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@ a396e36e:ec991f1c
2025-06-16 01:53:30🎯 The Invisible Hands Behind Bitcoin: How Market Makers Quietly Control the Price If you’ve ever looked at the Bitcoin chart and thought, “This makes no sense” — you’re right. What looks like chaos is often orchestrated. While the crypto world celebrates decentralization and “free markets,” the reality is murkier. Behind many of Bitcoin’s wild swings are market makers, whales, and even exchanges themselves, subtly (or not so subtly) steering the price.
This isn’t a conspiracy theory. It’s a pattern. And it’s been happening for over a decade.
🧰 Classic Manipulation Tactics Let’s start with the usual suspects:
Spoofing: Fake buy or sell orders create false demand or panic. In 2017, an anonymous whale nicknamed Spoofy manipulated Bitfinex’s order books with massive spoof orders. No one knows who he was — but traders tracked his behavior for months.
Wash Trading: Exchanges faking volume by buying and selling to themselves. Bitwise reported in 2019 that 95% of crypto trading volume was fake. Yes, 95%.
Pump-and-Dump Schemes: Coordinated social hype, then a rug pull. Still common in altcoins, but BTC isn't immune.
Bear Raids: Dumping thousands of BTC to trigger cascading liquidations. In 2019, one 5,000 BTC market sell on Bitstamp led to $250M in liquidations on BitMEX.
Front-Running: Exchanges or insiders trading ahead of big orders — an invisible tax on every retail move.
🕳️ Down the Rabbit Hole: Advanced and Hidden Tactics What you don’t see is even worse.
Stop-Loss Hunting: Price pushed to obvious stop zones, liquidating small traders, then bouncing.
Long/Short Squeezes: Whales deliberately cause liquidation cascades by leveraging market structure.
Cross-Exchange Price Engineering: Manipulate BTC price on a small exchange that affects global indices.
Fake News & FUD Campaigns: Twitter rumors. Telegram raids. Even fake press releases.
Exchange Collusion or Insider Trading: Who polices the exchanges when they are the ones trading?
🐳 Case Studies That Should Scare You Mt. Gox Bots (2013): “Willy” and “Markus” bought BTC with fake money. Pushed price from $150 to $1,000.
Tether & Bitfinex (2017): Academic research shows newly printed USDT was used systematically to buy dips — possibly inflating BTC’s rally to $20k.
Upbit (Korea): Prosecuted for $226B in fake trades.
Operation Token Mirrors (2024): FBI sting revealed market makers offering wash-trading and pump services as a business.
🧠 This Isn’t Just Theory — Regulators Know It Too The SEC refused to approve a spot BTC ETF for years, citing manipulation risk.
The CFTC and DOJ have brought spoofing and wash trading cases — and are still investigating.
The EU’s MiCA law now treats crypto market abuse the same as securities fraud.
💣 And Retail? You're the Exit Liquidity While whales dump, retail buys the dip.
In both the Terra-LUNA crash (May 2022) and FTX collapse (Nov 2022), blockchain data showed whales exiting while small holders were buying. The net result? Whales got out. You got rekt.
Bitcoin’s volatility isn’t just “the market doing its thing.” Often, it’s someone making you believe it’s safe — until it isn’t.
🔍 The Good News: It’s Getting Harder to Hide Nasdaq’s SMARTS surveillance system is now used by major exchanges.
Proof-of-Reserves audits are more common post-FTX.
Whale alerts and on-chain tools let savvy traders track big moves.
EU regulations (MiCA) now criminalize manipulation across Europe.
But until enforcement is global and airtight, Bitcoin remains manipulable. The game is still tilted — and the house usually wins.
🧭 Final Thought: Don’t Be Naïve Bitcoin is powerful. It’s freedom tech. But its price is not pure. It’s not just a function of adoption and demand. It’s shaped, poked, prodded, and occasionally hijacked by entities with deeper pockets, faster bots, and better information than you.
Until transparency, regulation, and decentralization catch up, every trader should assume one thing:
The market is rigged — but sometimes you can still play the game.
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@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3
2025-06-16 01:41:38Today wasn't great from a ~HealthAndFitness perspective: poor sleep, junk food, no fast. At least I did get a decent amount of activity and take a cold shower.
How did other stackers fare on Father's Day?
https://stacker.news/items/1007373
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@ a8d1560d:3fec7a08
2025-06-16 01:27:33THIS IS IMPORTANT!!!
After the wave of word-scrambling spam bots, a new and very problematic kind of spam has arrived in the Nostr. Whenever you post something now, you will get gay porn videos as an automated answer (No, being gay itself is not problematic!!!). To get rid of all the automated spam, remove the following relays from your inbox and outbox relay list: - nos.lol - relay.damus.io - nostr.oxtr.dev - relay.primal.net
As long as you have even one of these relays in your inbox and outbox lists, you and your followers will be spammed whenever posting something.
It is unknown if the bots only reply to kind 1 events or to all events.
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-06-16 01:18:32ไม่มีใครเถียงว่าภาพคลาสสิกของอาหารเช้าชาวอเมริกันยุคหนึ่งคือ “ซีเรียลในชามนม” วางอยู่บนโต๊ะไม้ที่มีแดดยามเช้าส่องผ่านหน้าต่างพร้อมรอยยิ้มเด็กชายหญิงในชุดนอนสะอาดสะอ้าน แต่น้อยคนนักจะรู้ว่าเบื้องหลังภาพนี้ไม่ได้มาจากความน่ารักของครอบครัว หากแต่คือผลพวงของ “สงคราม การตลาด และรัฐ” ที่จับมือกันผลักดัน “นม” ให้กลายเป็นของขาดไม่ได้ในมื้อเช้า ตั้งแต่ครอบครัวธรรมดาไปจนถึงโรงเรียนทั่วสหรัฐฯ
เรื่องมันเริ่มจริงจังในช่วงปลายศตวรรษที่ 19 เมื่อหมอ John Harvey Kellogg แห่ง Battle Creek Sanitarium คิดค้นอาหารเช้าไร้เนื้อสัตว์เพื่อคนไข้ตามความเชื่อของศาสนา Seventh-day Adventist ซึ่งย้ำว่าวิถีชีวิตที่ดีต้องสะอาดทั้งกายและใจ เขาจึงสร้างอาหารประเภทธัญพืบอบกรอบที่ภายหลังกลายเป็น "ซีเรียล" โดยมีน้องชาย Will Keith Kellogg เป็นคนเห็นโอกาสทำตลาดใหญ่ เติมน้ำตาลลงไปเพื่อให้รสชาติถูกใจมหาชน แล้วกลายเป็นแบรนด์ซีเรียล Kellogg’s ในปี 1906
ปัญหาก็คือ กินซีเรียลเปล่าๆ มันแห้งติดคอ เด็กๆ ไม่ปลื้ม แม่บ้านก็ไม่สะดวกจะต้มน้ำซุปมาราดทุกเช้า นั่นแหละคือจุดเปลี่ยนที่ทำให้ “นม” โผล่เข้ามาในภาพ เพราะมันเย็น สด และเทใส่ชามได้ง่ายในไม่กี่วินาที พอซีเรียลฮิต นมเลยพ่วงขึ้นรถไฟความนิยมไปด้วยโดยไม่ต้องออกแรงมาก เรียกได้ว่าซีเรียลคือประตูทองที่พานมเข้าไปนั่งอยู่บนโต๊ะอาหารเช้าของคนอเมริกันทุกบ้าน
แต่นั่นแค่จุดเริ่มต้น เพราะหลังจากนั้น สงครามโลกก็เข้ามาเปลี่ยนทุกอย่างอีกขั้น
ช่วงสงครามโลกครั้งที่หนึ่งและสอง รัฐบาลสหรัฐฯ ต้องการอาหารที่เก็บได้นาน มีพลังงานสูง และขนส่งง่ายเพื่อป้อนให้ทหารในแนวหน้า นมสดไม่ตอบโจทย์ แต่นมข้นหวานและนมผงกลับเป็นพระเอก ด้วยการสนับสนุนจากรัฐ ฟาร์มโคนมทั่วประเทศถูกกระตุ้นให้ผลิตนมจำนวนมหาศาล เกินความต้องการของคนในประเทศ โดยหวังว่าจะส่งออกไปเลี้ยงกองทัพทั่วโลก
ปัญหาคือ เมื่อสงครามจบ ฟาร์มวัวก็ยังอยู่ โรงรีดนมยังเปิด คนงานยังทำงาน แต่นมกลับล้นตลาด จะทุบทิ้งก็ไม่ได้ เพราะมันคือ “ธุรกิจที่รัฐสร้างขึ้นเอง” รัฐบาลเลยจำเป็นต้อง “สร้างความต้องการขึ้นมาใหม่” ด้วยกลยุทธ์ทางโภชนาการและการศึกษา
องค์การ USDA (กระทรวงเกษตร) และ National Dairy Council ถูกระดมทุนให้ทำวิจัยสนับสนุนว่านมคือสิ่งจำเป็นกับร่างกายมนุษย์ โดยเฉพาะเด็ก ผลลัพธ์ที่ออกมาก็มักจะสรุปในทำนองว่า “เด็กที่ดื่มนมสูง โตไว แข็งแรงกว่าคนที่ไม่ดื่ม” ทั้งที่ความจริง ไข่ไก่ก็ให้โปรตีนสูงกว่า และดูดซึมง่ายกว่าหลายเท่า แต่ไข่ไม่มีอุตสาหกรรมเบื้องหลังที่แข็งแกร่งเท่า “นม”
ในขณะเดียวกัน ระบบการศึกษาก็ถูกดึงเข้ามามีบทบาท โรงเรียนหลายแห่งเริ่มมี “โครงการดื่มนม” ที่รัฐจัดสรรงบประมาณให้ โดยบังคับใช้กับนักเรียนทั่วประเทศ พ่อแม่บางคนที่ไม่เคยให้นมลูกเลยในบ้าน ยังต้องยอมให้ลูกดื่มนมในโรงเรียน เพราะมันกลายเป็นมาตรฐานสาธารณสุขแห่งชาติ และภาพลักษณ์ของ “พ่อแม่ที่ดี” คือคนที่เลี้ยงลูกด้วยนมวัว
เมื่อรัฐผลักนมเข้ามาในชีวิตผู้คนจนลึกซึ้งขนาดนี้ ขั้นต่อไปคือการปลูกฝังทางวัฒนธรรม
เข้าสู่ยุค 1980s-1990s สมรภูมิการตลาดก็กลายเป็นแนวหน้าใหม่ของอุตสาหกรรมนม แคมเปญระดับตำนาน “Got Milk?” ถือกำเนิดขึ้นในปี 1993 โดย California Milk Processor Board ร่วมกับบริษัทโฆษณา Goodby Silverstein & Partners พวกเขาไม่ได้ขายแค่นม แต่ขาย “ภาพลักษณ์ของคนมีสุขภาพดีที่ดื่มนม” โฆษณาหลายตัวมีดารา นักกีฬา หรือคนดังยืนยิ้มพร้อมคราบนมที่ริมฝีปาก คำโปรยง่ายๆ แต่ฝังลึกในจิตใจคือ “Got Milk?”
มันไม่ได้แค่เปลี่ยนพฤติกรรมผู้บริโภค แต่สร้าง “จิตสำนึกทางโภชนาการแบบจอมปลอม” ขึ้นมาทั้งรุ่น ทุกคนเชื่อว่าการไม่มีนมในชีวิตเท่ากับขาดอะไรบางอย่างอย่างร้ายแรง
ในฝั่งซีเรียลเองก็ไม่ได้อยู่นิ่ง ผู้ผลิตพยายามขยายตลาดให้เข้าถึงเด็กๆ มากขึ้น ตั้งแต่กล่องลายการ์ตูน ไปจนถึงของเล่นแถมในกล่อง ทุกอย่างออกแบบให้ “ชวนเทนมลงซีเรียล” ได้ทุกเช้า แล้วแถมความหวาน ความกรุบกรอบ และความสะดวกสบายที่แม่บ้านสมัยนั้นต้องการ
นักประวัติศาสตร์อย่าง E. Melanie DuPuis เคยตั้งข้อสังเกตไว้อย่างคมคายในหนังสือ Nature’s Perfect Food: How Milk Became America’s Drink ว่าความสำเร็จของ “นม” ในสังคมอเมริกัน ไม่ใช่เพราะมันดีกว่าสิ่งอื่น แต่เพราะมันถูกผลักดันด้วยการเมือง นโยบายรัฐ และวัฒนธรรมที่บงการผ่านระบบอาหารอย่างแยบยล
การกินนมกับซีเรียลตอนเช้าจึงไม่ใช่เรื่องธรรมชาติ แต่มันคือ “ผลผลิตของการจัดการความเชื่อ” ที่ต่อเนื่องมานานกว่าร้อยปี เราไม่ได้เลือกดื่มนมเพราะร่างกายต้องการ แต่เพราะระบบที่ใหญ่กว่าเราบอกว่าต้องดื่ม แล้วทุกคนก็เชื่อไปตามนั้นโดยไม่เคยตั้งคำถาม
และนั่นแหละเฮียว่า คือความเก่งของ “Fiat Food” ที่ทำให้อะไรบางอย่างที่เคยเป็นแค่ของเหลวจากวัว อาหารธรรมดาชนิดหนึ่งที่ดื่มกินกันมาหลายพันปีตั้งแต่สมัยมนุษย์เริ่มเลี้ยงแพะ แกะ วัว อาหารที่ดีชนิดหนึ่ง กลับกลายเป็น “พระเอกของมื้อเช้า” เป็นสิ่งจำเป็นยิ่งยวด ถ้าไม่ได้ดื่มแล้วจะไม่แข็งแรง และอาจจะป่วยได้ เป็นการก้าวข้ามไปสู่อาหารเทพ โดยไม่ต้องแข่งขันด้วยรสชาติ หรือคุณค่าทางโภชนาการเลยแม้แต่นิดเดียว
จับประเด็นดีๆนะครับคนรักนมอย่าเพิ่งหัวร้อน ใครๆก็ชอบนม ผลิตภัณฑ์จากนมก็อร่อย ทั้งวิป ชีส เนย บลาบลาบลา ดังนั้น นม ไม่ใช่ไม่ดี นมมีดีพอที่จะเป็น just a good food ชนิดหนึ่ง เป็นสิ่งที่มีสารอาหารดีพอจะเลี้ยงให้ลูกของสัตว์นั้นๆแข็งแรงเติบโตมาสู้โลกใบนี้ได้ แต่นมไม่ใช่อาหารที่ขาดไม่ได้ หรือ ไม่ได้กินแล้วจะไม่แข็งแรง การตีกรอบความเชื่อนี้มาจากระบบ ที่ต้องการจะจำหน่ายนมให้มากตามการผลิตนม ที่สร้างมามากมาย ในช่วงสงครามตามประวัติศาสตร์ที่ปรากฎ
นมถูกเพิ่มมูลค่าขึ้นไปมากกว่าที่เป็นจริง จากรัฐ โดยไม่ได้มีพื้นฐานมาสนับสนุนมูลค่าโภชนาการได้เท่ากับมูลค่าที่เพิ่มขึ้นไป และถ้าเทียบกับอาหารอื่นอย่างไข่ ปลาตัวเล็กที่กินทั้งกระดูก ที่มีมูลค่าการตลาดน้อยกว่านมหลายเท่านั้น มันกลับมีมูลค่าโภชนาการไม่แตกต่างกันอย่างมีนัยยะสำคัญ จนพอที่จะสรุปให้ประโยคที่ว่า "หากไม่ดื่มนมจะไม่สูงไม่แข็งแรง" ให้เป็นจริงได้
ถ้าจะยกเหตุผลอื่นๆที่ไม่ได้อยู่ในกรอบ การเพิ่มมูลค่า ปริมาณสารอาหาร ความสะดวกสบาย ความชอบ นานาจิปาถะตามรสนิยม แต่ให้อยู่ในกรอบ ความเป็นอาหารเทพชั้นยอดที่ขาดไม่ได้เด็ดขาดแล้วนั้น คำถามก็คือ เราต้องกลัวการไม่ได้ดื่มนมเพราะจะไม่แข็งแรง หรือเปล่า
ใคร ทำให้เกิดความกลัวนั้น และความกลัวมักทำให้เกิดอะไร
นั่นคือแก่นของเรื่องนี้ครับ #pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr
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@ 86184109:de238b47
2025-06-16 00:37:57Greetings! If you're reading this, you might be asking yourself "how do I start hiding things?", or maybe you're asking something more akin to...
What is a geocache? What is Treasures?!
Geocaches
Excellent question, dear reader! Geocaching is a hobby that has been around since at least the 2000's, with its roots in the even older hobby of letterboxing. In short, geocaching is a type of real world 'treasure hunt', in which 'caches' are hidden for others to find. These caches may range from a small container with a log entry book, multiple caches with coordinates to the next location leading to a destination, or even something hidden behind an elaborate puzzle or riddle.
Traditional geocaches are typically containers hidden from prying eyes - usually off a park, hiking, or natural trail of some sort. The intent and fun of geocaching is to find these hidden caches, log your success in finding them (either digitally or through a log book), and perhaps even trading trinkets between yourself and the cache's container.
Treasures
Treasures is a decentralized geocaching application, which acts as a client-side interface for displaying user-submitted geocache listings to nostr relays. In short, users submit geocache listings (kind 37515 events) to the relays and Treasures acts as a software on your device to display these items.
If you're new to nostr, I'd suggest reading through this guide for a proper introduction to the topic.
Okay okay, how do I start hiding stuff?
Ah, the exciting part! At this stage, the two most important items are creating the geocache and finding a proper place to hide it.
Creating a geocache
There isn't too much to creating the geocache itself, but some small considerations are required.
Sizing
Geocaches typically come in the following sizes: * Micro - The size of a film roll canister or smaller. * Small - The size of a sandwich container or bento box. * Regular - The size of a shoebox, roughly. * Large - An ammo box, treasure chest, small cooler, or similar.
For starting out, I would suggest a small container to keep things simple.
Container material
Geocaches can exist in many forms, ranging from a small tube, a fake rock, a snap-lid box, or even a literal treasure chest. However, in most cases, you are looking for a container that can weather the elements. Something that can survive a bit of wilderness, especially external moisture.
For a container, I would suggest anything that has a snap or 'locking' seal, as well as some type of rubber o-ring seal on the lid.
Your local stores may vary, but here are few examples of containers that would meet this criteria: * MTM Survivor Dry Box with O-Ring Seal * Cabela's Ammo Can Field Box * Snapware Plastic Food Storage Containers * Target Twist & Store Food Storage Containers
All of these items (with the exception of the last, which uses a twist seal) matches the above criteria. They also share another important criteria - green, muted, and translucent coloring.
Container color
You're hiding something, likely within nature or near it, so blending into the environment is a key variable here. Try to find containers that are a natural green or brown, or even simply translucent. Avoid colors that would contrast against the environment, such as bright pastels, neons, primary colors, and so on.
Container contents
So now you've selected your container; it's durable and will be very hard to find, but... what do you put in it?
The log entry
A geocache's contents, at minimum, should include a log entry book (or paper) so that the finder can record their record of being there.
Treasures includes an additional item you can place within your geocache - a scannable QR code:
This optional QR code, if scanned, allows you to post a verified log entry. This allows the finder to provide a simple cryptographic proof of being at the cache location. Verified logs have a neat 'verified' badge next to the entry:
A finder can still post a normal log entry, of course. They just won't have the cool, shiny badge next to it.
Other trinkets
A log entry is often more than enough to satisfy the conditions of a successful geocache treasure hunt, but you are also welcome to include additional items and prizes for the finder to enjoy.
Geocache contents can also include cool memorabilia, coins, trading cards, badges, toys, or any other item that might make for a good trade. In this scenario, the finder is encouraged to trade an existing item within the cache with something that they treasure as well, something that would be an awesome find for the next person.
For example, one of the coolest things I found in a geocache was a foil trading card:
Now that you have an idea of how to build a cache, let's move on to the other important half - where to hide it.
Hiding a Geocache
Most of the fun in a geocache is the act of finding it, and finding a great hiding location is an crucial part of building that experience.
Difficulty and Terrain
The complexity of finding a geocache is scored on a 1-5 scale by difficulty (D) and terrain (T); these are the mental and physical obstacles to finding the cache. These challenges can range from walking up to a location and immediately finding the cache, to requiring some tricky puzzle solving, or potentially having to physically travel a great distance and through potentially-hazardous terrain to find the geocache's location.
For this guide, we will focus on hiding a simple geocache with a difficulty and terrain rating of 1-2. The location may require some walking and potential cleverness to find the geocache.
Picking a good location
The basics
A "good location" is likely subjective, but for this guide, it means "a mostly-accessible area in a forested park or trail that doesn't receive a ton of foot traffic".
You will want to find somewhere that is not dangerous or difficult to reach, but is also not a place that people would go normally. Such examples may include:
- A small clearing adjacent to the main path.
- A slim walk path that clearly detours from a primary walking path in a park, but is still possible to navigate through.
- An area that requires a bit of walking to get to normally, but is often not sought after by park or trail goers.
Leave No Trace
You should be mindful of the location you pick, ensuring that the path and action of finding the cache follows Leave No Trace principles. Specifically, that you aren't causing harm to the nature around you via actions such as littering or damaging the wildlife.
Such examples would include: * Avoiding putting disposable wrappers or throwaway material in your geocache container. * Using a container with a snap or locking mechanism to keep the geocache contents from being potentially littered. * Picking locations that do not require trampling on or destroying existing flora to reach the geocache location. * Picking locations with clear, established, and stable paths.
Hiding spots
"Where do I actually hide this thing?", you might be asking about now. Well, if you've found a good spot, then this part requires some imagination. Try to find a place that your cache won't be easily seen by others.
Some common examples might include: * Behind a large tree that faces a trail. * Within a shrub or bush. * Behind tall grass or a fence that is normally not visible when walking past the area.
Safety considerations
As with any hobby that involves leaving your house, there is always an innate risk of danger or injury. That being said, you should hide your geocache in a place that will not further incur such risks for those trying to find it.
These guidelines are somewhat outlined already above, but the key things to look out for are: * Stable ground - make sure that the path to reach your geocache follows level ground with no drastic shifts in elevation. * Part of an existing park, nature trail, or hiking trail - your geocache should be possible to find by starting with an established location, such as the entrance of a park. * Keep your cache within public property - your geocache should be somewhere that everyone is allowed to be.
Posting your geocache to Treasures
Now comes the easier part, hopefully! To create your geocache listing on Treasures, log in with your nostr private key (or sign up to obtain one on Treasures if you're new), then go to the Create page.
This page will walk you through the key details of your geocache listing, such as the title, description, hints, difficulty and terrain scores, the container size, and additional images you may or may not wish to add to your listing.
Upon submitting your listing, the following will occur:
- An event will be published to the nostr relay(s).
- The optional QR code will be generated for your listing. (Download it now, as it's not possible to generate the same QR code twice!)
...and that's it! Your geocache listing is now present to the public - congrats. :)
Additional Considerations
- Double-check the location you're using for your cache. Is it accurate? Is it in within 10~ ft of the destination (or starting point) of your cache location?
- If you don't want to bring the QR code back to your geocache container later, you can create the cache listing in advance - just mark it as a 'hidden from public view' to keep the cache unlisted in the UI.
- The relay event is still public, and you can still share the link for those that might need to review it, but it won't appear in listings for anyone using Treasures directly.
- Take some good pictures of the surrounding location! These are good ways to provide context and hints to those looking for your geocache.
- Images are blurred by default to avoid spoilers, so feel free to provide anything that might be helpful for those who might need assistance.
Conclusion
Thank you for taking the time to read through everything! I may update this guide as new or helpful information comes up, but I hope that this information serves you well as you start your treasure hiding adventure.
If you have any questions, you can find me at @chad@chadwick.site on Ditto.
Good luck, and may the winds of adventure carry you forward!
-
@ dfa02707:41ca50e3
2025-06-16 00:02:32Good morning (good night?)! The No Bullshit Bitcoin news feed is now available on Moody's Dashboard! A huge shoutout to sir Clark Moody for integrating our feed.
Headlines
- Spiral welcomes Ben Carman. The developer will work on the LDK server and a new SDK designed to simplify the onboarding process for new self-custodial Bitcoin users.
- The Bitcoin Dev Kit Foundation announced new corporate members for 2025, including AnchorWatch, CleanSpark, and Proton Foundation. The annual dues from these corporate members fund the small team of open-source developers responsible for maintaining the core BDK libraries and related free and open-source software (FOSS) projects.
- Strategy increases Bitcoin holdings to 538,200 BTC. In the latest purchase, the company has spent more than $555M to buy 6,556 coins through proceeds of two at-the-market stock offering programs.
- Spar supermarket experiments with Bitcoin payments in Zug, Switzerland. The store has introduced a new payment method powered by the Lightning Network. The implementation was facilitated by DFX Swiss, a service that supports seamless conversions between bitcoin and legacy currencies.
- The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) wants to contain 'crypto' risks. A report titled "Cryptocurrencies and Decentralised Finance: Functions and Financial Stability Implications" calls for expanding research into "how new forms of central bank money, capital controls, and taxation policies can counter the risks of widespread crypto adoption while still fostering technological innovation."
- "Global Implications of Scam Centres, Underground Banking, and Illicit Online Marketplaces in Southeast Asia." According to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) report, criminal organizations from East and Southeast Asia are swiftly extending their global reach. These groups are moving beyond traditional scams and trafficking, creating sophisticated online networks that include unlicensed cryptocurrency exchanges, encrypted communication platforms, and stablecoins, fueling a massive fraud economy on an industrial scale.
- Slovenia is considering a 25% capital gains tax on Bitcoin profits for individuals. The Ministry of Finance has proposed legislation to impose this tax on gains from cryptocurrency transactions, though exchanging one cryptocurrency for another would remain exempt. At present, individual 'crypto' traders in Slovenia are not taxed.
- Circle, BitGo, Coinbase, and Paxos plan to apply for U.S. bank charters or licenses. According to a report in The Wall Street Journal, major crypto companies are planning to apply for U.S. bank charters or licenses. These firms are pursuing limited licenses that would permit them to issue stablecoins, as the U.S. Congress deliberates on legislation mandating licensing for stablecoin issuers.
"Established banks, like Bank of America, are hoping to amend the current drafts of [stablecoin] legislation in such a way that nonbanks are more heavily restricted from issuing stablecoins," people familiar with the matter told The Block.
- Charles Schwab to launch spot Bitcoin trading by 2026. The financial investment firm, managing over $10 trillion in assets, has revealed plans to introduce spot Bitcoin trading for its clients within the next year.
Use the tools
- Bitcoin Safe v1.2.3 expands QR SignMessage compatibility for all QR-UR-compatible hardware signers (SpecterDIY, KeyStone, Passport, Jade; already supported COLDCARD Q). It also adds the ability to import wallets via QR, ensuring compatibility with Keystone's latest firmware (2.0.6), alongside other improvements.
- Minibits v0.2.2-beta, an ecash wallet for Android devices, packages many changes to align the project with the planned iOS app release. New features and improvements include the ability to lock ecash to a receiver's pubkey, faster confirmations of ecash minting and payments thanks to WebSockets, UI-related fixes, and more.
- Zeus v0.11.0-alpha1 introduces Cashu wallets tied to embedded LND wallets. Navigate to Settings > Ecash to enable it. Other wallet types can still sweep funds from Cashu tokens. Zeus Pay now supports Cashu address types in Zaplocker, Cashu, and NWC modes.
- LNDg v1.10.0, an advanced web interface designed for analyzing Lightning Network Daemon (LND) data and automating node management tasks, introduces performance improvements, adds a new metrics page for unprofitable and stuck channels, and displays warnings for batch openings. The Profit and Loss Chart has been updated to include on-chain costs. Advanced settings have been added for users who would like their channel database size to be read remotely (the default remains local). Additionally, the AutoFees tool now uses aggregated pubkey metrics for multiple channels with the same peer.
- Nunchuk Desktop v1.9.45 release brings the latest bug fixes and improvements.
- Blockstream Green iOS v4.1.8 has renamed L-BTC to LBTC, and improves translations of notifications, login time, and background payments.
- Blockstream Green Android v4.1.8 has added language preference in App Settings and enables an Android data backup option for disaster recovery. Additionally, it fixes issues with Jade entry point PIN timeout and Trezor passphrase input.
- Torq v2.2.2, an advanced Lightning node management software designed to handle large nodes with over 1000 channels, fixes bugs that caused channel balance to not be updated in some cases and channel "peer total local balance" not getting updated.
- Stack Wallet v2.1.12, a multicoin wallet by Cypher Stack, fixes an issue with Xelis introduced in the latest release for Windows.
- ESP-Miner-NerdQAxePlus v1.0.29.1, a forked version from the NerdAxe miner that was modified for use on the NerdQAxe+, is now available.
- Zark enables sending sats to an npub using Bark.
- Erk is a novel variation of the Ark protocol that completely removes the need for user interactivity in rounds, addressing one of Ark's key limitations: the requirement for users to come online before their VTXOs expire.
- Aegis v0.1.1 is now available. It is a Nostr event signer app for iOS devices.
- Nostash is a NIP-07 Nostr signing extension for Safari. It is a fork of Nostore and is maintained by Terry Yiu. Available on iOS TestFlight.
- Amber v3.2.8, a Nostr event signer for Android, delivers the latest fixes and improvements.
- Nostur v1.20.0, a Nostr client for iOS, adds
-
@ dfa02707:41ca50e3
2025-06-16 00:02:30Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.
- RoboSats v0.7.7-alpha is now available!
NOTE: "This version of clients is not compatible with older versions of coordinators. Coordinators must upgrade first, make sure you don't upgrade your client while this is marked as pre-release."
- This version brings a new and improved coordinators view with reviews signed both by the robot and the coordinator, adds market price sources in coordinator profiles, shows a correct warning for canceling non-taken orders after a payment attempt, adds Uzbek sum currency, and includes package library updates for coordinators.
Source: RoboSats.
- siggy47 is writing daily RoboSats activity reviews on stacker.news. Check them out here.
- Stay up-to-date with RoboSats on Nostr.
What's new
- New coordinators view (see the picture above).
- Available coordinator reviews signed by both the robot and the coordinator.
- Coordinators now display market price sources in their profiles.
Source: RoboSats.
- Fix for wrong message on cancel button when taking an order. Users are now warned if they try to cancel a non taken order after a payment attempt.
- Uzbek sum currency now available.
- For coordinators: library updates.
- Add docker frontend (#1861).
- Add order review token (#1869).
- Add UZS migration (#1875).
- Fixed tests review (#1878).
- Nostr pubkey for Robot (#1887).
New contributors
Full Changelog: v0.7.6-alpha...v0.7.7-alpha
-
@ dfa02707:41ca50e3
2025-06-16 00:02:29Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.
- This release introduces Payjoin v2 functionality to Bitcoin wallets on Cake, along with several UI/UX improvements and bug fixes.
- The Payjoin v2 protocol enables asynchronous, serverless coordination between sender and receiver, removing the need to be online simultaneously or maintain a server. This simplifies privacy-focused transactions for regular users.
"I cannot speak highly enough of how amazing it has been to work with @bitgould and Jaad from the@payjoindevkit team, they're doing incredible work. None of this would be possible without them and their tireless efforts. PDK made it so much easier to ship Payjoin v2 than it would have been otherwise, and I can't wait to see other wallets jump in and give back to PDK as they implement it like we did," said Seth For Privacy, VP at Cake Wallet.
How to started with Payjoin in Cake Wallet:
- Open the app menu sidebar and click
Privacy
. - Toggle the
Use Payjoin
option. - Now on your receive screen you'll see an option to copy a Payjoin URL
- Bull Bitcoin Wallet v0.4.0 introduced Payjoin v2 support in late December 2024. However, the current implementations are not interoperable at the moment, an issue that should be addressed in the next release of the Bull Bitcoin Wallet.
- Cake Wallet was one of the first wallets to introduce Silent Payments back in May 2024. However, users may encounter sync issues while using this feature at present, which will be resolved in the next release of Cake Wallet.
What's new
- Payjoin v2 implementation.
- Wallet group improvements: Enhanced management of multiple wallets.
- Various bug fixes: improving overall stability and user experience.
- Monero (XMR) enhancements.
Learn more about using, implementing, and understanding BIP 77: Payjoin Version 2 using the
payjoin
crate in Payjoin Dev Kit here. -
@ 91117f2b:111207d6
2025-06-15 20:04:53Father's Day is a special holiday celebrated annually to honor fathers, father figures, and the significant role they play in shaping our lives. This year, Father's Day falls on Sunday, June 15, 2025, in many countries around the world.
A Brief History of Father's Day
The concept of Father's Day was first introduced by Sonora Smart Dodd in 1909, inspired by the success of Mother's Day. Dodd's father, William Jackson Smart, had raised her and her five siblings alone after their mother's death, and she wanted to honor his sacrifices and dedication. The first Father's Day celebration was held on June 19, 1910, in Spokane, Washington, and it wasn't until 1972 that President Richard Nixon signed a law declaring the third Sunday in June as the permanent date for Father's Day.
Celebrating Father's Day Around the World
While many countries celebrate Father's Day on the third Sunday in June, others observe it on different dates. Some notable exceptions include : - Spain, Italy, and Portugal: March 19, St. Joseph's Day - Germany: Ascension Day - Scandinavian countries: Second Sunday in November - Taiwan: August 8 - Australia and New Zealand: First Sunday in September
Ways to Celebrate Father's Day
If you're looking for ideas to make Father's Day special, consider these activities ¹: - Outdoor activities: Plan a camping trip, barbecue, or beach day - Cooking: Try out delicious recipes like grilled flank steak, country-style ribs, or bourbon-glazed salmon - Quality time: Spend the day doing something your dad enjoys, like watching a game or playing a sport together
Honoring Fathers and Father Figures
Father's Day is an opportunity to express gratitude and appreciation for the men who have made a positive impact in our lives. Whether it's a biological father, stepfather, grandfather, or father figure, this holiday is a chance to show love, respect, and admiration for their guidance, support, and sacrifices.
We say thank U to all the fathers out there in the world who have sacrificed and will continue to sacrifice for the benefit and success of their children. 💝♥️♥️
-
@ f85b9c2c:d190bcff
2025-06-15 20:02:25To all the dads, pops, uncles, big brothers, grandpas that are doing the father role.
I am sitting here during father’s day afternoon thinking about all the children across the world that for various reasons are not able to tell their dads happy father’s day. Before anyone thinks I mean anything negative by the above statement, I DON’T. I just want to shed light on all the male figures that step in to that role to help raise children.
Sending a big thank you to all the men who step up and help as a father figure despite their status.
-
@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3
2025-06-15 18:42:08https://youtu.be/-ne8adkjY6A
Orlando gets Bane
Memphis gets KCP, Cole Anthony, and a bunch of picks
This move makes a lot of sense. Orlando needed someone like Bane and Memphis needed to break up their core.
https://stacker.news/items/1007156
-
@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-15 17:26:54Аутор: Срђан М. РАДУЛОВИЋ - Универзитет у Приштини са привременим седиштем у Косовској Митровици (Србија), Правни факултет
Сажетак
Тенденција трансформације појединачних друштвених заједница у јединствено, унификовано друштво, које унутар себе не познаје никакве границе (или барем не инсистира на њима), можемо, уз неопходну дозу симплификације, сматрати појмовним одређењем глобализације, која, будући да је доживљавамо као тенденцију, по природи ствари има и своје темпорално одређење. Мада одређење временских координата ове појаве умногоме зависи од угла из којег је посматрамо, начелно је могуће постићи консензус око тога да овај процес није континуиран, већ да се одвијао у неколико засебних фаза.
Нама је блиско становиште да је ова тенденција имала три фазе. Но, верујемо да ће се и присталице нешто другачије периодизације усагласити са тим да је у периоду од 31. октобра 2008. године, када је објављен тзв. бели папир (white paper) под називом Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System, до момента проглашења пандемије SARSCoV-2 вируса од стране Светске здравствене организације започела сасвим нова, по потенцијалним дометима најефикаснија и најсвеобухватнија фаза глобализације.
У овом раду, због усмерености и обима рада, представљамо део резултата раније спроведеног теоријско-емпиријског истраживања о социолошко-правним моментима који су погодовали почетку нове фазе глобализације. Други део прикупљених резултата, усмерен на потенцијални обим и ефекте промене коју доноси нова фаза, биће представљен у неком од наредних радова. Сазнања су у оба дела истраживања прикупљена употребом аналитичко-синтетичких метода, уз нарочит ослонац на предности апстракције. У раду су, такође, коришћене и различите технике нормативног метода, као и специфичне технике интерпретације правних норми.
Кључне речи: глобализација; биткоин; криптовалуте; криптоимовина; новчане облигације; SARS-CoV-2 пандемија.
Уместо увода
Уколико идеју о глобализацији генерализујемо и интерпретирамо је као трансформацију самосталних друштвених заједница са релативно јасно одређеним државним, културним, економским и/или другим границама, у унификовано друштво које не познаје ниједну од поменутих граница, или барем није њима спутано (Радуловић, 2017), можемо доћи до неколико закључака.
Први у низу закључака био би да је овај процес иманентан људском друштву. Иако се израз не појављује у научној литератури до средине XX века (Попић, 2018; Џамић, 2014; Chumakov, 2010), мишљења смо да тенденција интензивирања људских односа кроз смањење просторних, временских, културних, а нарочито економских баријера одувек постоји. Доиста делује као да друштво тежи свеобухватности и да је глобализацију немогуће избећи (2) (Domišljanović, 2000), а да је несклад између научног конституисања појма и тренутка када се глобализација појавила чак и природан. (3) (Џамић, 2014)
Облик и, нарочито, интензитет глобализације разликују се кроз епохе. Начини постизања ефеката глобализације, такође, сукцесивно су се смењивали (Антић, 2013). Можемо уочити и периоде стагнације, чак и радикалних, темпорално или географски одређених фаза у којима се промовише изолација у односу на „нетрадиционалне” вредности. То, међутим, не значи да тенденција пораста степена међузависности процеса, појава и односа не постоји (Џамић, 2014). Напротив. Управо виши степен радикализма у „традиционалистичким” (4) одговорима подстиче активности усмерене ка стварању више форме друштвене заједнице (Марковић и Булатовић, 2014). Уосталом, push and pull ефекти (Giddens, 1990) глобализације нису нимало необични. Они природно произлазе из осећаја апатије, изгубљености, угрожености коју кроскултурни начин организовања доноси (5) (Chumakov, 2010).
Даље, глобализација спаја прошлост и садашњост, представља будућност, мада сама не подлеже никаквим временским ограничењима (Попић, 2018; Chumakov, 2010). Но, глобализација није униформна појава (Радуловић, 2017). Она, уколико је доживљавамо као процес, има своје фазе. Њих је могуће разликовати и определити периодизацију.
Критеријуми периодизације врло су хетерогени и није једноставно определити се за један, тим пре јер историјска димензија глобализације није сасвим јасна (Антић, 2003). Уз напомену да би закључци принципијелно били исти и да смо одабрали другачију хронологију, бирамо модификовану трофазну периодизацију глобализације (Печујлић, 2002; Радуловић, 2017). Прва фаза започиње успоном најстаријих цивилизација и траје до XVI века. Други талас глобализације траје до пада Берлинског зида (6). Најзад, трећи талас турбоглобализације започиње падом Берлинског зида и траје до данас без прекида [sic!].
- Штавише, степен достигнуте повезаности и свеобухватности могуће је и изразити релативно прецизно кроз глобалност као меру дешавања на глобалу (Cifrić, 2009).
- Природно је да свест о одвијању процеса, следствено и научно интересовање, у делу људске историје нису постојали, то јест да су се јавили у некој од фаза већ започетог процеса. Овакав закључак произлази из петофазне периодизације промишљања о проблемима и трендовима на нивоу човечанства као органске целине, а која почиње тек од средине XVIII века (Chumakov, 2010).
- Ваља бити нарочито обазрив уколико између појмова глобализације и модернизације, односно традиционализма и конзервативизма, постављамо знак једнакости. Социолошка теорија нуди врло деликатно упутство за употребу ових термина, нарочито онда када их употребљавамо као вредносне судове (Giddens, 1990; Шуваковић, 2013).
- Глобалистичке пројекције своје постојање, па и смисао уопште, потврђују тек кроз однос са изолационистичким тенденцијама. Однос глобалистичких тежњи друштва и регресивни одговори на те тежње само истичу контроверзну дуалну природу глобализације као процеса (Џамић, 2014). Утолико и синтагма „уједињено-разједињени свет” под којом је, како се сматра, Радомир Лукић проучавао глобализацију (Печујлић, 2002; Попић и Шуваковић, 2014; Џамић, 2014) има више смисла.
- Творац трофазне периодизације од које полазимо, период од XVI века до пада Берлинског зида не види као континуиран сегмент, већ унутар њега разликује две засебне фазе (Печујлић, 2002). Ми на њима нећемо инсистирати, будући да (не)прихватање ове поделе није релевантно за касније извођење закључака.
Корени четвртог таласа глобализације
Настанак и развој протоглобалних цивилизација, њихово ширење, те јављање тежње за унификацијом друштва нераскидиво су повезани са техничким открићима (Антић, 2003). Не само први већ сви таласи глобализације (а сваки наредни интензивнији је од претходног) узроковани су примарно модернизацијом у технолошком смислу. Увек када се појави технологија која има капацитет да обезбеди ефикасније умањење просторне и/или временске дистанце, за последицу имамо комплексне промене у друштву које, уз дозу генерализације, проучавамо као (нове) таласе глобализације. Изузетак није ни четврти талас на чије постојање желимо да укажемо.
Концепт новца и његова еволуција, такође, нераскидиво су везани за технолошки напредак, иако је он, будући да није спутан правним нити културним ограничењима, неупоредиво бржи (Calcaterra et al., 2020). Природно, кроз разраду идеја о дигитализацији традиционалних форми новца које су се појавиле већ у раним осамдесетим (Cavalhiero & Cavalhiero, 2022), у монетарним порецима започет је постепени прелазак са банкнотног на систем електронског плаћања (Димитријевић, 2018). Прелазак је био потпуно логична, чак и очекивана фаза у процесу еволуције новца усмерене ка његовој апстракцији. Безбројне предности апстрахованог инструмента – ефикасност, ефективност и погодност коришћења само су неке од њих (Ruslina, 2019) – учиниле су да се за мање од три деценије од појаве електронског (7), затим и виртуелног новца на глобално интегрисаном финансијском тржишту (Димитријевић, 2018), економски токови глобализују најпре у смислу да промет велике количине новца не трпи значајнија ограничења и да се одвија за релативно кратко време.
У таквом окружењу отвара се широк простор на међународном нивоу који теоретски може да попуни само наднационални, потенцијално недржавни новчани систем (Nahorniak et al., 2016). У том смислу, криптовалуте, базиране на блокчејн технологији, представљају занимљив новитет. Оне су створиле суштинске изазове за правне поретке и довеле у питање генералну улогу новца и различитих валута (Ronaghi, 2023). Такође, подстичу иновације и стварају нове прилике у свету који је створен у првим годинама интернета (Calcaterra et al., 2020; Cavalheiro & Cavalheiro, 2022).
Уз то, оне представљају облик дигиталног новца, но, нису исто што и електронски новац (Nahorniak et al., 2016). Оне су, заправо, нови правац у развоју дигиталног новца због тога што постојећу новчану масу комплементарно и квалитативно уздижу. Стога, криптовалуте нам се чине као најозбиљнији кандидат за задовољење потреба које на међународном тржишту новца постоје, а у мору пројеката издваја се феномен Биткоина (8).
Биткоин примарно не представља валуту, мада може преузети облик и функције новца (9), већ систем плаћања. Суштински, платформа поставља и спроводи правила усмерена на заштиту права својине (Abramowitz, 2016), која се, помало поједностављено, своди на својину на приватним кључевима (Raskin, 2015). Од момента када је постао оперативан, функционише као аутономан систем у потпуности заснован на транспарентним математичким и информатичким принципима. Прецизније, софтвер функционише искључиво према упутствима садржаним у самом коду, али она не долазе од централног ауторитета, сем иницијално, чак не ни од самог творца, већ од демократски организоване заједнице равноправних учесника у мрежи потпуно отвореног типа [нагласио аутор] (10). Као такав, практично посматрано, у потпуности је имун на постојећу међународну, а нарочито домаћу правну регулативу (која ће управо из тог разлога остати ван фокуса овог рада), јер његова поставка и није нормативна већ консенсуална.
Иако се данас стабилни коини погрешно или барем преурањено означавају као „Хајеков новац” (Syropyatov, 2021), биткоин, што се јасно види из његовог концепцијског манифеста, представља први успешан покушај оживотворења деценијама присутне идеје Ф. А. Хајека (1976) о демонополизацији државног утицаја на креирање монетарне политике кроз постепено увођење конкуренције „државном” новцу у виду новца креираног од стране приватних ентитета (Ruslina, 2019; Syropyatov, 2021), и то у форми „спољашњег новца” према прихваћеној дихотомији (Garrat & Wallace, 2018).
Биткоин мрежа је у потпуности транспарентна. Сет криптографских кључева, односно комбинација јавне адресе и приватног кључа (Raskin, 2015), омогућава да систем буде потпуно транспарентан, пре свега, у погледу начина рада, затим расподеле средстава и њиховог кретања (11), али истовремено и да буде имун на интервенције споља због апсолутне, криптографски гарантоване, анонимности учесника у мрежи. То, свакако, компромитује економски суверенитет државе, који је додатно компромитован и њеном немогућношћу да утиче на пуштање у оптицај и масе криптовалутних јединица (Raskin, 2015), затим њеном фактичком немогућношћу да их забрани или опорезује, као и немогућношћу да директно утиче на њихову курсну вредност или куповну моћ. Но, чињеница да овај систем не зависи од компарације и размене националних финансијских инструмената на интернационалном тржишту чини га суштински децентрализованим, а потпуна отвореност мреже интернационализованим, затим и глобализованим (Blaazer, 2020).
Дакле, када смо говорили о вези узрочно-последичног карактера између технолошких иновација и новог таласа глобализације, имали смо у виду примарно Биткоин. Суштински смо, заправо, имали у виду синтезу технолошких иновација први пут обједињених у оквиру функционалне целине од стране недржавног ауторитета која нема само локални већ која има и међународни домашај, а која је у време настанка идеје о новцу издатом од стране приватних ентитета била недоступна, што је саму идеју, по признању творца идеје, чинило утопистичком (Syropyatov, 2021).
- Електронски новац је облик дигиталног новца који, по правилу, представља електронску манифестацију већ постојећег новца у оптицају (Nahorniak et al., 2016; Ström, 2020). Појавио се најпре у Јапану средином осамдесетих година као припејд картица за плаћање неких врста „масовних услуга”, а замах је добио на западу где је коришћен као замена за кеш трансакције мале вредности (Димитријевић, 2018).
- Будући да је њихова правилна дистинкција од кључне важности, за потребе овог рада систем плаћања означаваћемо као Биткоин, дакле великим почетним словом „Б”, а виртуелне јединице унутар система малим почетним словом „б” (биткоин).
- Биткоин је најпре препознат као новац од стране специјализованих органа САД који се баве финансијским криминалитетом (Mirjanich, 2014), а тај став потврђен је у чувеном случају Silk Road (Raskin, 2015; Zebec, 2018) и широј јавности мање познатом, али правнополитички врло значајном случају SEC vs Shavers (Raskin, 2015).
- Кроз овакву поставку, творац и иницијални издавач решио је два кључна проблема – нежељене додатне продукције новца и његово кривотворења (Garrat & Wallace, 2018).
- Биткоин користи блокчејн технологију и hash функцију како би створио трајни запис свих трансакција које су се у оквиру мреже реализовале (Cavalheiro & Cavalheiro, 2022; Ruslina, 2019). У том контексту интересантан је податак да се чак и биткоини који су заплењени у случају Silk Road, то јест њихово кретање кроз заплену и каснију аукцију, могу пратити у потпуности кроз записе у блокчејну (адреса новчаника који припада FBI: lFfmbHfnpaZjKFvyilokTjJJusN455paPH), те да су оба поступка морала да буду потврђена кроз процес верификације специфичан за биткоинов блокчејн протокол (Raskin, 2015).
Проблем одређења временских координата четвртог таласа
Уколико уопште прихватимо идеју о новом таласу, чврсто стојећи на том становишту, можемо рећи да је блокчејн технологија темељ модерних глобалистичких активности, тим пре ако имамо у виду ситуационо и територијално неограничене могућности њене примене. Штавише, иако има оних који су у том смислу резервисани (Horvatić i Tafra, 2022), сматрамо да је овај вид технологије, по потенцијалним дометима и брзини усвајања, импресивнији од интернета. Компарације криптовалутног тржишта и интернета с почетка деведесетих година то потврђују (Syropyatov, 2021).
Почетак овог таласа глобализације, међутим, не можемо стриктно везати за моменат настанка блокчејн технологије а да тиме успешно разрешимо све недоумице које евентуално могу настати. Разлога је неколико, а два су, сматрамо, нарочито битна.
Најпре, блокчејн технологија није нова технологија per se. Блокчејн је први успешан спој технолошких идеја које су постојале и биле коришћене значајно пре формирања првих „низова података груписаних у блокове” (12).
Друго, први случајеви имплементације блокчејн технологије, иако успешни, прошли су незапажено ван информатичке заједнице. Блокчејн остаје потпуно непознат вид технологије широј јавности све до њене уградње у основе система плаћања (13) познатог под називом Биткоин (Horvatić i Tarfa, 2022). Тек од тренутка када је Биткоин мрежа постала оперативна, иако њена дистрибутивност симболизује универзалност (Ronaghi, 2023), блокчејн технологија суштински постаје глобални, доцније и мејнстрим феномен. Следи моменат настанка блокчејн технологије, иако кључне у техничком и суштинском смислу, због иницијално скромних домета, дакле, пре првих примера функционалне имплементације, не би га исправно било узети за почетак четвртог таласа глобализације.
Иако је творац система пажљиво одабрао тренутак како би истакао поенту у свом манифесту револуционарне реформе монетарног система (Sławiński, 2019), више је разлога због којих не можемо везати почетак четвртог таласа глобализације стриктно ни за крај 2008. године, када је објављен тзв. бели папир (14) (Raskin, 2015) нити за почетак 2009. године, када је мрежа постала оперативна.
Први разлог је тај што је кибернетизација и глобализација новца, следствено капиталистичког облика привређивања, суштински започела још 1971. године (Ström, 2020). Даље, Биткоин, ма колико импресивна идеја била, посматрано из перспективе нашег рада, суштински није ништа друго до тек први успешан пројекат имплементације блокчејн технологије на начин који промовише децентрализовану глобализацију. Биткоин је први приказ потенцијала технологије која у монетарној сфери омогућава поуздано креирање и трансфер дигиталних добара (Ronaghi, 2023), мада и то на начин који због читавог низа објективних околности компромитује његово усвајање као мејнстрим економског феномена (Syropyatov, 2021). Дакле, стварни домети блокчејн технологије биће спознати тек кроз пројекте који су се појавили значајно касније или који ће се тек појавити (15).
Штавише, потпуно смо сагласни са тим да биткоин не само да није једини, већ да није ни најнапреднији пројекат те врсте (Teomete Yalabik & Yalabik, 2019). Примера ради, из перспективе финансијског тржишта, stable coin пројекти, којима се покушава решити проблем волатилности, тренутно су иновација која највише обећава (Syropyatov, 2021). Трећи разлог је тај што је крај 2008. године, због економске кризе која је тај период обележила, исправније интерпретирати као посртање антидржавне, laissez faire глобалистичке методологије и јачање државног интервенционизма, него као нови талас глобализације (Mellor, 2020). Коначно, исправно интерпретирање Биткоина као феномена могуће је једино у контексту врло хетерогене групе догађаја међу којима нарочито место заузима проглашење пандемије изазване SARS-CoV-2 вирусом.
Наиме, 11. марта 2020. године Светска здравствена организација прогласила је пандемију SARS-CoV-2 вируса. Вирус који је узрок обољења познатог под називом ковид 19, постао је катализатор читавог низа процеса. Због природе пандемије, пре свега чињенице да је током трајања пандемије било неопходно свести физичке контакте на минимум, природно је да је потрага за алтернативним моделима функционисања свакодневних активности убрзала процес дигитализације (Mijatović, 2022).
У ред појава и процеса код којих је промена карактера и интензитета најизраженија на првом месту налази се процес трансформације новца, генерално и финансијског тржишта, што је уосталом и научно доказано (Vareško i Deković, 2022). Наиме, систем размене добара какав је карактеристичан за монетарне економије данашњице није одувек постојао, нити је кроз различите епохе функционисао на исти начин. Од скромних почетака неформалног робноновчаног промета, базираног на локализованом личном контакту (Ström, 2020), евентуално на једноставним бартер аранжманима (Calcaterra et al., 2020; Mellor, 2020; Ström, 2020), преко увођења ретких метала као опште мере вредности робе, до појаве првог кованог новца, затим банкнота, коначно и електронског новца као репрезентације новца који се већ налази у оптицају, новац је кроз сопствену апстракцију (Ström, 2020) пратио интензивирање друштвених односа. Његова социјална и материјална апстракција погодовала је интензивном и екстензивном ширењу капиталистичког начина привређивања (Ström, 2020). Последица је континуирано смањење просторне, временске, а затим и културне дистанце. Смањење различитих видова дистанце иницирало је ново апстраховање новца, што је, у складу с потребама све интензивнијег привредног живота, резултирало његовом метаморфозом у врло софистициран финансијски инструмент.
Биткоин осећа и прати тенденције у развоју новца, а у контексту савремених друштвених релација има савршен смисао. Најпре, очигледно је постојање тенденције изградње електронских облика чувања новца и система плаћања. Њихове предности су неспорне и сматра се да такви системи повећавају ефикасност и у виртуелном и у реалном свету (Vareško i Deković, 2022). Оно што је у почетку деловало као крајње несигурна концепција, прихваћено је и раширено у тој мери да монетарни системи најразвијенијих земаља, по правилу, функционишу без било какве физичке репрезентације новца, то јест као cashless заједница (Calcaterra et al., 2020). Како Биткоин промовише употребу најновијих информационих технологија за чување и трансфер новца, јасно је да је претходна тенденција уважена у потпуности. Штавише, Биткоин не само да уважава тенденцију дематеријализације новца већ је и наставља и уздиже на квалитативно виши ниво.
Кроз peer-to-peer систем на којем почива промовише се digital trust, што омогућава директне трансакције међу корисницима (Ruslina, 2019). Иако се то може тумачити као разлог несигурности система (Ruslina, 2019), на овај начин елиминише се потреба за акредитованим посредницима који су есенцијални у традиционалним системима плаћања (Živanović i Vitomir, 2022; Raskin, 2015; Ronaghi, 2023; Horvatić i Tafra, 2022; Cavalheiro & Cavalheiro, 2022). Такође, елиминише се и могућност да се деси „двострука потрошња” (Ruslina, 2019), све то уз истовремено унапређење брзине обављања трансакција и смањење провизија (Teomete Yalabik & Yalabik, 2019). Трошкови чувања средстава, осим уколико се корисник не одлучи да криптографске кључеве похрани на напреднији cold wallet, практично не постоје. Иако би интуитивнији кориснички интерфејс олакшао употребу, Биткоин мрежа промовише апсолутну монетарну инклузију свих заинтересованих лица, омогућава лак приступ средствима и њиховом управљању. Најзад, овај систем плаћања имун је на државну и међународну регулативу (16), а самим тим и на границе држава – практично их не познаје, што иде у прилог тенденцији апстракције, универзализације и денационализације средстава плаћања.
Иако је начин његове примене константно еволуирао (17) (Vareško i Deković, 2022), инсистирамо на томе да Биткоин није валута, већ да је у питању систем плаћања. Уосталом, у том капацитету је и коришћен примарно, конкретно ради куповине и продаје робе и услуга путем интернета (Vareško i Deković, 2022). Ипак, будући да је временом постајао све глобалнији и разноврснији као инструмент (Karabulut & Sari, 2022), Биткоин је најавио крупне промене на међународном, глобализованом тржишту роба и капитала (Živanović i Vitomir, 2022). Неке од њих су се и десиле у претходном периоду. Но, како објашњавамо везу између пандемије SARS-CoV-2 вируса, Биткоина и четвртог таласа глобализације (18)?
Биткоин је привукао масовно интересовање 2017. годинe када су „Биткоин” и „како купити биткоин” били најчешће коришћени појмови у популарним претраживачима попут Гугла (Cavalheiro & Cavalheiro, 2022). Разлог је једноставан. Уз уважавање осталих квалитета, основна снага Биткоина лежи у одсуству могућности повећања количине јединица у оптицају (19), затим одсуству могућности копирања појединачних јединица које „циркулишу” унутар система, најзад и математички пројектованој динамици „пуштања у оптицај” предвиђене количине јединица (20) (Raskin, 2015). На основу тога, можемо рећи да се биткоин понаша као изразито дефлаторна валута, свакако под условом да га уопште посматрамо као валуту.
С друге стране, модерне државе имају суверенитет у погледу одређења средства плаћања, а ексклузивитет одређивања куповне моћи тог средства, након аброгације „златног стандарда”, делегирале су својим централним монетарним установама. Традиционални новац у потпуности је завистан од одлука и регулативе централних банака (Ronaghi, 2023). Поверење у централне банке и њихову пројекцију суштински je једини принцип за одређење вредности новца. Принцип тржишне привреде, златни стандард, лимитирани златни стандард, величина привредног раста и други механизми за одређење вредности новца замењени су „принудним курсом”. Није, дакле, претеривање рећи да не постоје „природне” или барем концептуалне границе продукције новца (Mellor, 2020).
Модел може ефикасно функционисати у време када нема потреса, но све несавршености поставке до изражаја долазе управо у време криза, нарочито оним глобалних размера као што је пандемија вируса SARS-CoV-2, и то из разлога што на овакве кризе, када је привредни живот успорен или чак стопиран, а буџетска потрошња повећана, неоптерећене обавезом да за то обезбеде покриће, државе посежу за непопуларним мерама које подразумевају повећање количине новца у оптицају. (21) У таквом амбијенту, природно, систем који се базира једино на поверењу у централну монетарну институцију показује инфериорност у односу на систем који се базира на поверењу у математичке гаранције лимитиране понуде и сигурности плаћања. Следствено, тврдња о томе да се поверење у јавне (државне) институције не може поверити технологији (Sławiński, 2019) показује се као, благо речено, застарела. Ово је нарочито тачно након аброгације Bretton Woods споразума и „златног” стандарда када је окончана дефлаторна и започела инфлаторна ера у економској историји (Syropyatov, 2021). Дакле, иако је читав систем, након ере „слободног банкарства”, организован са циљем да обезбеди стабилност у временима кризе (Sławiński, 2019), парадоксално, управо у временима кризе показује се да је прерогатив државе у продукцији новца пре случајан него што је заиста потребан (Blaazer, 2020). Уосталом, случајеви Ел Салвадора (22) и Централноафричке Републике (23), у којима је усвојен низ прописа којима је Биткоин признат као средство плаћања у готово неограниченом капацитету, иако ове потезе треба тумачити као отворени економски експеримент, принципијелно потврђују капацитет ове иновације (24) (Cavalheiro & Cavalheiro, 2022) и стање у монетарним порецима.
У доба здравствене и економске кризе изазване пандемијом, повећана је потреба за укључењем реалне финансијске активе у портфолио (Živanović i Vitomir, 2022). Мисли се на тзв. safe haven имовину попут злата, затим и сребра (Živanović i Vitomir, 2022; Wen et al., 2022). Но, поред традиционалних облика заштитне финансијске активе, интересовање инвеститора усмерено је све више ка модерним облицима активе – примарно оне базиране на блокчејн технологији (Živanović i Vitomir, 2022). У њима, пре свега биткоину, могуће је наћи сличне, потенцијално чак и боље safe heaven особине него код злата (Ronaghi, 2023; Wen et al., 2022) или деоница (Vareško i Deković, 2022). Штавише, иако је истина да се биткоин суштински налази негде између злата и америчког долара (Syropyatov, 2021), истраживања недвосмислено потврђују како је диверсификација кроз биткоин, под условом да је у портфолио укључен и неки од традиционалних облика активе, добар потез чак и код оних инвеститора који нису склони ризику (Šoja i Senarthne, 2019).
Релативно ниска базна вредност биткоина у првим годинама трговања, услед огромног интересовања инвеститора за ову до тада непознату финансијску активу, у 2019. години мења се и постаје изузетно висока, а наставља да расте напоредно са негативним утицајем пандемије у наредном периоду (Živanović i Vitomir, 2022). У условима кризе изазване пандемијом, због изразитог државног интервенционизма и централизације у свим областима, биткоин као инструмент имун на државну регулативу и аполитичан, па и у односу на злато, испољава и неке додатне предности (Wen et al., 2022).
Истовремено са испољавањем првих слабости традиционалних централизованих монетарних система под притиском пандемије, изразито дефлаторна природа биткоина бива додатно истакнута кроз тзв. трећи halving event који се догодио 11. маја 2020. године. У таквим условима вредност биткоина иницијално расте безмало 10 пута и у наредном периоду достиже вредност од готово 65.000 америчких долара за један биткоин.
Цена биткоина изузетно је интересантан показатељ. Познато је, наиме, да цена биткоина зависи једино од односа понуде и тражње, односно потражње, будући да је понуда програмски ограничена и укупно и периодично. Прецизније, укупна количина биткоина који се могу наћи у оптицају је ограничена кодом на 21.000.000, али је, због програмиране динамике пуштања у оптицај, тренутно у промету тек нешто више од 90% укупне количине. Дакле, према ценама формираним на специјализованим платформама, у условима двоструко ограничене понуде, произлази да је тражња за биткоином у једном тренутку била многоструко већа од тражње за најјачом класичном валутом.
Тачно је да таква цена није била одржива, па је јењавањем пандемије и консолидацијом финансијских токова тражња за биткоином опадала. У тренутку израде рада креће се око 20.000 америчких долара. У том смислу, сасвим се чини рационалном критика волатилности цене биткоина, али и шпекулативног карактера овог облика имовине (Šoja i Senarathne, 2019). Критика нестабилности, иако постоји сасвим рационална и до детаља описана аргументација зашто се суштински дешава (Syropyatov, 2021), апсолутно је на месту. Нагли пораст и пад цене није нешто што је неуобичајено када је у питању криптоимовина, а оваква тенденција ће се засигурно наставити барем до момента када тржиште достигне критични волумен. То природно подгрева неповерење. Међутим, само на први поглед.
Наиме, када би подухват који је апсолутна новина, на иначе врло ригидном финансијском тржишту, била номинално барем једнака најјачој валути, то би био изузетан резултат по себи. Но, без обзира на значајан пад цене у односу на 2021. годину, садашња цена показује да су субјекти на финансијском тржишту, грубо речено, у 19.999 трансакција пре вољни да прихвате биткоин него амерички долар. Из реторичког питања „какво је онда стање са поверењем у остале, релативно слабије валуте?” произлази као сасвим логичан закључак да биткоин и други слични пројекти неспорно преузимају примат и савремено финансијско тржиште постепено обликују у децентрализовано окружење имуно на државну регулативу, следствено државне и све друге врсте граница.
- Технолошке иновације о којима говоримо подразумевају, без претензија да их све обухватимо, имплементацију TCP/IP технологије, изградњу напреднијих програмских језика, напредак криптографије, нарочито hash функција, конструисање тзв. Меркеловог дрвета. Творац Биткоина, такође, успешно је комбиновао искуства неких ранијих покушаја изградње дигиталних валута, примера ради B-money и HashCash (Antonopoulos, 2010).
- Иако има елемената на основу којих је Биткоин могуће исправно интерпретирати као валуту, идеја творца била је заправо најпре да створи економичнији и ефикаснији систем плаћања, пре свега код трансфера мале вредности (Živanović i Vitomir, 2022). Зато смо склонији ка томе да овај софтвер означимо као систем плаћања.
- Исто важи и за моменат регистрације интернет домена www.bitcoin.org, за који неки аутори (Živanović i Vitomir, 2022) везују укључивање Биткона на међународно финансијско тржиште.
- Могућност употребе блокчејн технологије није ограничена на изградњу система плаћања. У (децентрализованом) финансијском систему она се већ сада користи за формирање штедних улога, издавање полиса осигурања, пласирање кредита, трговање и управљање акцијама и обвезницама, прикупљање оснивачког капитала. Ван финансијског система она има потенцијал да се искористи за формирање катастара, вођење и чување медицинских картона или праћење пређене километраже коришћених аутомобила. Штавише, почетком јула 2020. године на референдуму је, поводом предложених уставних промена у Русији, део становништва са правом гласа своје активно бирачко право реализовао кроз софтвер базиран на блокчејн технологији. Детаљније о другим облицима коришћења блокчејн технологије видети у Ronaghi, 2023.
- У том контексту, Ронаги (2023) нуди опсежну студију о томе како је увођење санкција Ирану од стране САД и ЕУ погодовало промоцији криптовалута, пре свега Биткоина, са циљем превазилажења негативних ефеката забрана које су у вези са интернационалним пословањем привредних субјеката, али и са свакодневним активностима појединаца на територији ове земље.
- Ово потврђује и свеобухватна студија о броју, врстама и дистрибуцији патената који се односе директно на Биткоин, а који унапређују софтверску поставку на којој функционише. О томе детаљније видети у Cavalheiro & Cavalheiro, 2022.
- Ипак, слажемо се у потпуности са ауторима који указују на то да је због релативне краткоће времена трајања врхунца пандемије и дневних флуктуација тешко извести сигурне закључке, не толико да ли је, већ у којој мери је пандемија заправо иницирала промене на традиционалном финансијском тржишту (Vareško i Deković, 2022).
- Укупна количина биткоина која се може наћи у оптицају ограничена је на 21.000.000 кроз тзв. source code који се сматра непроменљивим. Ипак, будући да је Биткоин суштински особени софтвер, он није апсолутно затворен за измене, но, да би се таква измена десила у потпуно децентрализованом систему, потребно је да већина „нодова” у мрежи изрази сагласност са предложеним повећањем волумена биткоина. Сасвим је основано закључити да у мрежи са хиљадама „нодова” који су„DeFi ентузијасти” није вероватно формирати већину око става да се мрежа одрекне „ограничене понуде” као особине која је чини апсолутно супериорном у односу на традиционалне монетарне системе.
- Мрежа је програмирана тако да се комплексност математичког проблема који је потребно решити у процесу „рударења” управља према количини већ изрудареног биткоина. Сваки блок има капацитет од 1МВ, што му омогућава да у себи меморише око 4.000 трансакција. Блок плански бива попуњен сваких 10 минута у просеку. Сваким додатим блоком у оптицај се пушта одређена количина нових биткоина. На сваких 210.000 доданих блокова, број биткоина који ће бити пуштен у оптицај по блоку смањује се за једну половину (halving). То нам омогућава да имамо извесну динамику пуштања јединица у оптицај (Antonopoulos, 2014; Horvatić i Tafra, 2022).
- Примера ради, процена је да су само Сједињене Америчке Државе у последњих неколико месеци у оптицај пустиле преко 3,5 трилиона нових банкнота, а да је Европска централна банка дала зелено светло за штампање преко једног трилиона евра.
- Ley Bitcoin, Diario Oficial ES, 110/2021, Decreto No 57.
- République Centrafricaine Cryptomonnaie, Journal Officiel CAF, 22/2022.
- Ова настојања, иако и она потврђују капацитет криптовалута заснованих на блокчејн технологији, суштински не треба мешати са настојањима држава или наддржавних институција да изграде своје дигиталне и криптовалуте. О томе детаљније видети у Mijatović, 2022.
Закључна разматрања (увод у наредни рад)
Процес дигитализације новца реорганизује постојећу пословну праксу и доноси социјалне, политичке, онтолошке, чак и еколошке промене, a истовремено интензивира концетрацију и централизацију у процесу доношења одлука на глобалном нивоу (Ström, 2020). Но, криптовалуте, пре свега Биткоин, иако јесу дигиталне по свом карактеру, не прате ову тенденцију. Управо супротно, Биткоин почива на идеји свесног одрицања контроле управљачких механизама у корист мреже компјутера која покреће софтвер (Magnuson, 2022; Ruslina, 2019). Он представља модел утопијског нивоа глобалне децентрализације, и то не само у финансијском сектору. То је темељна идеја која је окупила највећи, свакодневно растући број учесника у систему (25).
Иако је због новине феномена и непостојања адекватне временске дистанце у односу на коју бисмо процењивали стварне ефекте незахвално изводити закључке или правити пројекције, сматрамо, а то је уједно став и у академским круговима, да криптовалуте представљају изванредну новину (Karabulut & Sari, 2022). Оне засноване на блокчејн технологији, а које нису централизоване, имају моћ да национална тржишта претворе у регионална, а регионална даље у глобална. У том смислу заиста делује као да историја глобализације не памти инструмент који у тој мери интензивира дешавања и процесе.
Уколико то ипак није довољно за закључак да су криптовалуте, засноване на блокчејн технологији, изванредан катализатор процеса глобализације, онда треба нагласити следеће. Изградња и пуштање у рад Биткоина, али и читавог низа других пројеката, објективно, у другом је плану у односу на изградњу такозваног DeFi система, којем су пут трасирала техничка и економска решења имплементирана у Биткоин. Систем је осмишљен тако да у својој идеалној форми, уз напомену да је систем још увек у изградњи, обезбеђује: 1) пуну контролу средстава; 2) апсолутну инклузивност; 3) децентрализовану верификацију исправног рада система; 4) неограничену могућност изградње нових финансијских услуга и производа (Werner et al., 2021). Андреас Антонопулос у својим многобројним предавањима прави аналогију у односу на интернет из времена када је једина апликација унутар система била имејл. Он истиче да уколико DeFi монетарни систем упоредимо са интернетом, Биткоин, иако импресиван по својим технолошким решењима, био би тек имејл, односно прва функционална апликација унутар система. Данас, верујемо, не најбоља и дефинитивно не једина.
Иако идеја делује футуристички, делови DeFi система постају видљиви. Унутар њега је већ могуће успешно куповати, продавати, штедети, закључити уговор о осигурању или кредиту, трговати акцијама, инвестирати, водити хуманитарне фондове, све без интервенције државе, без посредника, без територијалних ограничења, уз криптографски гарантовану безбедност (26). Према доступним подацима, простор је у сталном порасту: конкретно, за непуне две године укупна вредност у промету је порасла са 700 милиона на 150 милијарди америчких долара (Werner et al., 2021). Систем је у повоју и потребно је још много рада да би он постао потпуно оперативан и одржив на нормативном нивоу (Werner et al., 2021). Но, чињеница је да на идеолошком нивоу представља озбиљну претњу постојећем ригидном финансијском систему.
Ипак, степен глобализованости којем данашње друштво тежи не окончава се ни окончањем радова на изградњи DeFi система. Ако уз извесну дозу апстракције пратимо претходно поменуту аналогију Андреаса Антонопулоса, слично као што Биткоин налази примену као један од функционалних елемената DeFi система без обзира на ком блокчејну је изграђен, DeFi систем је тек један од механизма, односно апликација унутар далеко већег пројекта познатог под називом Web 3.0. Блокчејн технологија сматра се есенцијалном за реализацију сада већ мејнстрим идеја у технолошком свету познатих као „интернет ствари” (IoT) и „интернет свега” (IoE) (Horvatić i Tafra, 2022). Ови пројекти децентрализовану глобализацију промовишу шире, тј. ван економских токова, наравно, примарно у дигиталном свету. Но, како су свакодневне активности данас неодвојиво везане за интернет, остварени ефекти глобализованости у дигиталном свету, очекивано, прелиће се у све сфере друштвеног живота.
- И не само да је број учесника у мрежи и корисника у сталном порасту, већ је и тржиште криптовалута све веће према економским критеријумима. Процена је да само тржиште биткоина достиже размере од 1,2 трилиона америчких долара (Cavalheiro & Cavalheiro, 2022).
- Приказ појединих маркантних решења са техничким специфичностима, мада нису сви део DeFi система, видети у Mijatović, 2022.
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2025-06-15 16:41:46The debate about the strongest superhero between Marvel and DC has been ongoing for decades. Here's a breakdown of the top contenders:
Top 3 Strongest Marvel Heroes:
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Thor: As the Asgardian God of Thunder, Thor possesses formidable strength, durability, and control over elements like lightning and storms. His mastery over Mjolnir, his enchanted hammer, makes him a force to be reckoned with.
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Silver Surfer: With his Power Cosmic, Silver Surfer wields immense energy manipulation abilities, super strength, and speed. He's a formidable opponent in the Marvel universe.
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Thanos: As a powerful Eternal with Deviant genes, Thanos possesses extraordinary strength, durability, and regenerative abilities. His cosmic energy manipulation and telepathic skills make him nearly unbeatable.
Top 3 Strongest DC Heroes:
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Superman: With his Kryptonian origin, Superman's abilities include immense strength, speed, invulnerability, and sensory powers like heat vision and X-ray vision.
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Spectre: As the physical embodiment of the Wrath of God, Spectre has near-omnipotent power levels, manipulating time, space, matter, and energy on a cosmic scale.
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Doctor Manhattan: With his ability to perceive and manipulate reality, Doctor Manhattan's powers are unparalleled. He can alter the course of history and disintegrate foes with a mere thought.
The Strongest of Them All
According to recent rankings, the One Above All from Marvel takes the top spot as the most powerful character, surpassing even the likes of Spectre and Doctor Manhattan. The One Above All's omnipotent nature and role as the creator of the Marvel multiverse solidify its position as the ultimate authority ¹.
Ultimately, determining the strongest superhero between Marvel and DC is subjective and depends on the context of the story or battle. Both universes boast an array of formidable characters, each with unique abilities and strengths. In other words the strongest, and in a death match depends on the character, powers and the story context. But in all DC is said to be the strongest in a group fight of both MARVEL and DC.
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@ f3873798:24b3f2f3
2025-06-15 16:18:52Muito se fala sobre racismo no Brasil. A mídia, os políticos e os intelectuais engajados repetem discursos antirracistas, promovem campanhas e ergueram bandeiras pela igualdade. No entanto, existe uma hipocrisia gritante quando olhamos para a realidade dos povos indígenas no país.
No Brasil, o indígena ainda é, juridicamente, tratado como incapaz de decidir por si mesmo, sendo suas terras consideradas propriedade da União. Isso significa, na prática, que tudo o que diz respeito à sua cultura, território e desenvolvimento precisa do “amém” do Estado. É um tipo de tutela que remete aos tempos coloniais, onde os “civilizados” decidiam o que era melhor para os “selvagens”.
O mais engraçado e trágico deste fato, é que não há nenhum movimento midiático que aborda sobre a existência absurda deste tipo de regimento jurídico, não há influenciar não há atores e atrizes da Globo, nem cantores que questione e lance a pauta
Como falar em fim da escravidão ou combate ao racismo estrutural, se ainda hoje tratamos povos inteiros como se fossem incapazes de autodeterminação?
Enquanto isso, o governo federal, representado atualmente por figuras como “Tio Lule”, negocia e entrega terras indígenas para interesses geopolíticos, sustentando ditaduras e alianças internacionais, enquanto os próprios povos originários ficam à margem do desenvolvimento econômico.
Recursos como açaí, cupuaçu, babaçu e muitos outros produtos amazônicos serão explorados por empresas estrangeiras, que lucrarão intensamente, sem que as comunidades locais tenham condições mínimas de acesso aos meios de produção ou ao mercado. Isso destrói a economia regional, perpetua a dependência e impede que o verdadeiro protagonismo indígena aconteça.
Um ciclo que se repete: a história da borracha
O que está em curso não é novidade. É uma repetição histórica. Basta lembrar do ciclo da borracha, quando os ingleses levaram sementes de seringueira da Amazônia para plantar na Ásia, quebrando o monopólio brasileiro e afundando a economia da região Norte, que até hoje carrega as marcas desse roubo histórico.
Agora, a história se repete, mas com outros nomes e produtos — e com o apoio explícito do Estado brasileiro.
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@ a3c6f928:d45494fb
2025-06-15 16:13:05We live in a world that worships productivity and glorifies the grind. Rest is often seen as weakness, laziness, or a luxury you must earn. But true freedom includes the right to pause—to exhale, to be still, to exist without proving. Choosing rest isn’t stepping back—it’s stepping into wholeness.
The Lie of Endless Motion
We’re taught that to be worthy, we must be busy. We keep moving, not because we’re always inspired—but because we’re afraid of what stillness might reveal. But you are not a machine. You are a soul. And your value is not tied to output.
Why Rest Takes Courage
It means trusting that you’re enough—even when you’re doing nothing
It challenges the belief that busyness equals importance
It requires facing emotions we often outrun
It invites us to slow down in a world that keeps speeding up
Signs You Need Rest
Constant fatigue or irritability
Feeling disconnected from joy or purpose
Difficulty making decisions or being present
Losing the ability to celebrate wins
Reclaiming Your Right to Pause
-
Redefine Rest: Rest isn’t failure. It’s fuel.
-
Listen to Your Body: If it’s whispering, don’t wait for it to scream.
-
Release Guilt: Rest is not a reward. It’s a requirement.
-
Schedule Silence: Make time for nothing. Guard it like gold.
-
Celebrate Stillness: Let rest be sacred—not secret.
Why This Freedom Matters
Rest gives you back to yourself. It reconnects you to your wisdom, creativity, and humanity. In stillness, the truth becomes clear. In quiet, the next step finds you.
“You don’t need to earn your right to breathe. You already belong here.”
Choose rest. Claim space. That, too, is liberation.
-
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@ 41959693:3888319c
2025-06-15 16:07:44Überblick über die Anthologie
Die Anthologie „365 Tage Frieden“, herausgegeben von Rüdiger Heins und Michael Landgraf, erschien 2025 im Verlag EDITION MAYA. In diesem Werk haben über 100 Autoren ihre Gedanken zum Frieden geäußert und zeigen dabei thematisch wie stilistisch, welche Vielfalt und Komplexität unter diesem Begriff vereint werden kann.
Diese Buchbesprechung geht nicht auf einzelne Beiträge ein, sondern betrachtet die Zusammenstellung und Gesamtwirkung der Texte. Jedem Tag des Jahres wurde ein Text zugeordnet, wobei es keine feste Abgrenzung oder Reihenfolge von Lyrik und Prosa gibt. Das Aufschlagen einer neuen Seite bzw. eines neuen Tages ist stets eine Überraschung, ein Wunder, ähnlich dem Frieden wie einige Autoren meinen.
Die Stimmen der Autoren erreichen den Leser dabei nicht nur aus dem deutschsprachigen Raum, sondern international und als Querschnitt aus unterschiedlicher Perspektiven, Lebensweisen, Erfahrungen, Ängsten und Hoffnungen. Dies beginnt bereits bei der Definition des „Friedens“. Ist es das Schweigen der Waffen; die erbauliche Koexistenz? Ist es die Stille, die in der Andacht der Natur gefunden wird? Ist es innere Gelassenheit? Die thematische Inhomogenität der Texte kann keine klare Antwort finden – doch in dieser Offenheit liegt auch der Reiz, die vermeintlich kleine Gedankenwelt des in der Moderne gehetzt-gestressten Normalbürgers ebenso zu akzeptieren wie die innere Ruhe eines System-Aussteigers, der im Glauben steht, sich den großen Fragen des Universums zu widmen.
Doch zurück fällt das Gros der Texte unabhängig davon immer wieder auf die formelhafte Beschwörung von Harmonie, Liebe und Freiheit und der Wunsch nach Verständnis, Verständigung und einer sicheren Zukunft. Dieser ständige Rückgriff wirkt nicht ermüdend oder altbacken, nicht mit der Gewissheit im Hinterkopf, wie kostbar und leicht zerbrechlich der Frieden ist. Im Vorwort des Buches berichtet Michael Landgraf beispielsweise in einem kurzen historischen Abriss vom aufgezwungenen römischen Frieden über den dreißigjährigen Krieg bis zu den völkerrechtswidrigen Kriegen der Gegenwart. Im Nachwort erinnert Uli Rothfuss daran, welche Aufgabe gerade Autoren in solchen Zeiten zufällt und verstärkt die Erkenntnis, dass Frieden eine Leistung ist, an der alle mitwirken können.
Stil und Wirkung
Die Anthologie stützt sich auf das Abwechslungsreichtum der Beiträge: Hier überwiegen vor allem die lyrischen Werke und Prosagedichte. Es gibt auch vereinzelte Prosatexte, welche aber i. d. R. in ihrer Länge drei Seiten nicht überschreiten. Sprache wie Gattung sind vielfältig: nüchterner Essay, phonetische Sprachspiele, Aphorismen und Akrosticha, von ernst bis augenzwinkernd. Die Gedichte sind überwiegend reimlos und ohne Metrik, selten lösen sie sich ganz vom Schema klassischer Typografie und spielen so mit dem Betrachter. Immer wieder finden sich direkte und indirekte Zitate, die religiösen und philosophischen Schriften entstammen oder Persönlichkeiten zuzuordnen sind, welche sich als Aufklärer, Humanisten und Menschenrechtler einen Namen gemacht haben.
Thematisch sprechen die Autoren sich nicht nur für den Frieden aus, sondern illustrieren zum Teil auch verbal brutal die Schrecken des Krieges, zeigen die Zerstörung, den Schmerz, die Fremde und Einsamkeit. Wir erfahren von Hass, gezüchtet und blühend in den Rabatten. In einem Beitrag heißt es: „Da sah ich das Spiel der Liebe Arm in Arm mit den Drogen zum Dinner flanieren.“
Die Poesie soll uns mahnend im Gedächtnis bleiben und all die Bandbreite fassen; die Sicherheit des Friedens ebenso wie die Verzweiflung über die Sinnlosigkeit des Tötens. Diese Unnatürlichkeit, die uns als fühlende Wesen eigentlich fassungslos hinterlassen sollte, machen die Autoren durch ihre Sprache sichtbar: „Ich habe über den Frieden schreiben wollen, und dann verbrannte ich mich an Grablichtern.“
Fazit: Wie diese Anthologie helfen kann
„365 Tage Frieden“ ist nicht dafür geschrieben, sie wie ein gewöhnliches Buch von vorn bis hinten durchzublättern. Durch ihre Vielstimmigkeit soll sie Hoffnung wecken und mit dem Konzept, jeden Tag einen anderen Text vor sich zu haben, bindet sich der Leser an ein Stück Kontinuität.
Wer es sich zum Ritual machen möchte, jeden Tag einen Moment inne zu halten und einen der kleinen Friedenstexte zu lesen, wird gewiss die Möglichkeit finden, mit Vertrauen in die Zukunft zu blicken und sich gegen Angst zu wappnen. Die auch in zahlreichen Texten beschworenen Schrecken sollen dabei die Wichtigkeit des Friedens verdeutlichen und verschaffen der Reise durch das Jahr bzw. durch das Buch thematische und stilistische Abwechslung.
Der Wunsch nach Frieden und Versöhnung bleibt zeitlos, im Studium der Geschichte finden sich aber markante Punkte und Persönlichkeiten, die wir immer mit den großen Konflikten der Menschheit verbinden. Allgemeine, vergangene wie aktuelle Auseinandersetzungen, z. B. im Gaza-Streifen oder im Ukraine-Krieg kommen zur Ansprache, ebenso wie beispielsweise momentane Entwicklungen in den USA.
Wer dem Frieden eine Stimme geben möchte, kann durch dieses Buch seine Überzeugung stärken und die Stimmbänder emotional wie intellektuell trainieren. Die Schicksale und Beobachtungen der Autoren zeigen, dass wir fortwährend Fürsprecher für eine gemeinsame Zukunft brauchen werden.
365 Tage Frieden
Hrsg. Rüdiger Heins und Michael Landgraf
Verlag EDITION MAYA, 2025
ISBN: 978-3-930758-95-1
Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.
Not yet on Nostr and want the full experience? Easy onboarding via Start.
Artikel findet man auch auf Telegram unter:
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@ e97aaffa:2ebd765d
2025-06-15 14:23:12O mercado imobiliário português está a viver uma enorme bolha. É tão grave, está se tornando mais que uma crise de habitação, mas sim uma crise geracional. Os jovens portugueses não conseguem comprar casa, acabam por adiar indefinidamente a criação da família ou ter filhos, ou então a solução mais fácil é emigrar. Esta crise está a condenar a gerações mais novas e sem os mais novos, condenamos o futuro do país.
Problema
A origem do problema é o excesso de procura/demanda, Portugal ficou na moda, o turismo cresceu exponencialmente, quase diariamente são inaugurados novos hotéis nos centros das cidades e também houve um forte crescimento Alojamento Local(Airbnb). Tudo isto removeu muitas casas do mercado.
Além disso, Portugal tornou-se num destino para aposentados de outros países, sobretudo do norte da Europa e de nómadas digitais, que têm um poder de compra muito elevado, muito superior aos locais.
Para complicar ainda mais, nos últimos 5 anos houve uma imigração descontrolada, em plena crise de habitação, a população aumentou 20%. Com tanta gente nova, onde vai morar tanta gente?
Todos os portugueses, sobretudo nos grandes centros, conhecem casos de casas sobrelotadas, 10 ou 20 ou 30 pessoas a viver na mesma casa. É desumano, é uma escravatura moderna. Depois estas pessoas fazem concorrência desleal, porque eles podem pagar rendas de casas altas, o custo é dividido por 20 pessoas, enquanto os jovens casais portugueses não conseguem pagar.
Não existe um único problema, é uma soma de vários problemas, que gera uma enorme bolha.
Oferta
Tudo isto resultou num aumento da procura por habitação, mas como em tudo na economia, sempre que existe um aumento da procura, posteriormente o mercado ajusta-se, com o aumento da oferta, só que isso não está a acontecer.
A oferta de nova habitação é extremamente baixa, é insuficiente para o volume da procura. Até parece estranho, se o preço das casas estão muito elevadas, porque razão os promotores imobiliários não constroem mais?
Aqui está a razão da crise da habitação do mercado português, parece um problema sem solução.
A burocracia, a falta de terrenos, os impostos altos, falta de trabalhadores, tudo isto contribui para a crise na oferta, mas estes problemas sempre existiram em Portugal, não é uma coisa de hoje. Há 15 anos, mesmo com esses mesmo problemas, o mercado florescia, claramente dificultava mas não foram um entrave.
A meu ver, o problema está no financiamento.
Até à crise do subprime, os promotores imobiliários financiavam-se, quase em exclusividade na banca, com o juro muito baixo. Durante a crise, os casos mais problemáticos de crédito malparado foram de promotoras imobiliárias e de empresas de construção civil.
A crise do subprime e posteriormente a crise das dívidas soberanas, levou a UE a criar novas regras bancárias, onde criou muitas restrições ao acesso ao crédito por parte das empresas. Essas novas regras, que limitou o acesso ao crédito, provocaram uma alteração no modelo de financiamento das promotoras imobiliárias. Em vez de se financiarem na banca, os promotores vendiam primeiro as casas, antes de as construir. As promotoras recebiam parte do dinheiro e com esse dinheiro, financiavam a obra.
O modelo funcionou até ao pós pandemia, a impressão de dinheiros por parte dos governos foi monstruosa, criando uma forte inflação. Essa inflação provocou uma forte subida de preço nos materiais de construção e na mão de obra. Como as promotoras venderam as casas anteriormente, o valor que venderam as casas não foi suficiente para cobrir os novos custos da construção. Este problema provocado pela inflação, não afetou apenas o imobiliário, mas sim toda a economia, foram milhares de obras, por todo o país que não foram concluídas, as empresas faliram.
Este problema de financiamento, afecta sobretudo o mercado imobiliário da classe média, onde o custo é mais controlado, onde as empresas têm uma menor margem de lucro, o mínimo erro pode provocar uma falência. Por esse motivo, mas empresas de construção estão a preferir construir, o imobiliário de luxo, onde a margem de lucro é superior, minimiza a margem de erro. Mas o grande problema, é que falta habitação para a classe média.
A inflação é um grande problema, gera muita instabilidade nas empresas, torna-se imprevisível fazer um orçamento. Se a inflação é um forte contribuidor para o problema da habitação em Portugal e em breve teremos mais uma emissão massiva de novo dinheiro, por parte do BCE, parece um problema sem solução. As empresas terão que arranjar um novo método de financiamento, ou adaptar-se à inflação. Uma coisa é quase certa, na próxima década vamos ter alta inflação, porque é a única maneira para evitar o colapso dos governos, devido às enormes dívidas soberanas.
Procura/demanda
A resolução do problema do aumento da oferta é tão complexo, os governos vão optar pelo caminho mais fácil e populista, atacar a procura.
Nos próximos anos, os governos vão aprovar medidas mais autoritárias e antidemocráticas para minimizar o problema. Medidas como impedir os estrangeiros ou não residentes de adquirirem casas, impostos muito altos para 2° habitação, para forçar a venda ou o arrendamento, os Airbnb também serão um alvo.
Em suma, quem tiver uma casa como reserva de valor, para fugir à inflação, será declarada persona non grata.
Fix the money, Fix the world!
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@ 2cde0e02:180a96b9
2025-06-15 11:40:13pen, watercolors & brushpen;
https://stacker.news/items/1006873
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@ 0faf8268:2e8a5462
2025-06-15 10:36:35Using Browser Extensions to Log In and Sign Events on Nostr
If you're new to Nostr, or trying to log in to a client via a web browser using an existing account, you may come across something that feels risky: being asked to paste your private key (your
nsec
) into a website to log in. This guide outlines a safer alternative. using browser extensions like Nos2x or Alby, which let you securely log in and sign actions without exposing your private key.These extensions only work in desktop web browsers, not in mobile apps. If you're logging in to a mobile Nostr client (such as Primal, Amethyst, Damus, or others), you’ll typically need to either paste your existing
nsec
into the app or use a secure import method, like scanning a QR code or restoring from a backup. Be extremely cautious when pasting yournsec
, and only do so in apps you trust.What is NAWC
NAWC stands for "Nostr Authorisation Web Credential". It allows Nostr websites to ask your browser for permission to read your public key and sign messages, without needing direct access to your private key. It works similarly to a password manager or a crypto wallet extension.
Why avoid pasting your
nsec
Your
nsec
is your private key. If someone gains access to it, they can impersonate you, send posts as you, or read your private messages.Pasting your
nsec
into a web form is discouraged for several reasons:-
The site might be compromised or malicious
-
Your key could be stored in browser memory or cached
-
Extensions, scripts, or browser plugins could access the field
-
You may unknowingly copy or sync it elsewhere (e.g. clipboard history, autofill, cloud sync)
Once exposed, your
nsec
cannot be revoked or changed, it is your entire Nostr identity. This is why experienced users recommend using extensions that safely manage your key and handle signing.What new users might notice
Some Nostr clients still prompt users to paste their
nsec
, even when a signing extension like Nos2x is installed. This can cause confusion, especially for users trying to follow best practice. Extensions sometimes need to be manually enabled, refreshed, or granted permission before they are recognised. These challenges are common in a developing ecosystem and should improve over time.Extensions that support NAWC
Nos2x
-
Chrome only
-
Stores one private key locally
-
Works with sites like Primal and Coracle
-
Lightweight and simple to use
Alby
-
Available for Chrome and Firefox
-
Originally built for Lightning, but also supports Nostr
-
May need extra setup for non-Lightning Nostr use
-
Supports switching between keys and profiles
Bunker (self-hosted signer, not an extension)
-
Keeps your private key entirely isolated from the browser
-
Can be combined with hardware devices or run remotely
-
Ideal for advanced users or managing multiple keys with higher security
Why Signing Events Matters in Nostr
On Nostr, everything you do, posting a note, reacting to content, updating your profile, is considered an event.
To prove that an event is really yours, it must be signed with your private key. This signature is what makes the event valid and verifiable by anyone on the network.
Browser extensions like Nos2x, Alby, or self-hosted signers like Bunker handle this event signing for you. Instead of giving the site your private key, the extension signs the event on your behalf, keeping your key secure while still proving authorship.
In short: extensions are not just for logging in, they also sign everything you do. This keeps your identity secure and helps maintain Nostr’s decentralised and trustless nature.
How to use an extension
-
Install Nos2x or Alby
-
Enter your
nsec
into the extension settings (only once) -
Visit a Nostr client like primal.net
-
Approve the login request from the extension
-
You’ll be logged in securely without pasting your key
Switching keys
Most extensions support only one private key at a time. To switch:
-
Open the extension
-
Remove the current key and enter a new one
-
Refresh the site and reauthorise when prompted
If your old key keeps reappearing or does not seem to clear properly, it may be necessary to:
-
Uninstall the extension
-
Reinstall it from the Chrome Web Store
-
Then enter your new
nsec
during setup
This is a known issue with some extensions (like Nos2x), and will likely improve as tools mature. For now, a clean reinstall is a simple workaround.
Wrap-up
Browser extensions are one of the safest and most effective ways to interact with Nostr. They protect your private key, simplify login, and securely sign every action you take.
While the user experience is still evolving, using a signing extension today is a smart way to get started safely and build good habits as you explore the network.
For more beginner-friendly Nostr guidance, visit:\ https://swiftsats.github.io/getting-started-with-nostr/
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@ 4fe14ef2:f51992ec
2025-06-15 10:19:13Let's support Bitcoin merchants! I'd love to hear some of your latest Lightning purchases and interesting products you bought. Feel free to include links to the shops or businesses you bought from.
Who else has a recent purchase they’re excited about? Bonus sats if you found a killer deal! ⚡
If you missed our last thread, here are some of the items stackers recently spent and zap on.
Like and repost: X: https://x.com/AGORA_SN/status/1934193660796780660 N: https://njump.me/nevent1qqsdaqz3qjmgta88a4wnzyh7vujla7ecsc7luatrtl0a2k7xq43thhq337lj2
https://stacker.news/items/1006838
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@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7
2025-06-15 10:02:09The latest AI chips, 8K displays, and neural processing units make your device feel like a pocket supercomputer. So surely, with all this advancement, you can finally mine bitcoin on your phone profitably, right?
The 2025 Hardware Reality: Can You Mine Bitcoin on Your Phone
Despite remarkable advances in smartphone technology, the fundamental physics of bitcoin mining haven’t changed. In 2025, flagship devices with their cutting-edge 2nm processors can achieve approximately 25-40 megahashes per second when you mine bitcoin on your phone—a notable improvement from previous generations, but still laughably inadequate.
Meanwhile, 2025’s top-tier ASIC miners have evolved dramatically. The latest Bitmain Antminer S23 series and Canaan AvalonMiner A15 Pro deliver 200-300 terahashes per second while consuming 4,000-5,500 watts. That’s a performance gap of roughly 1:8,000,000 between when you mine bitcoin on your phone and professional mining equipment.
To put this in perspective that hits home: if you mine bitcoin on your phone and it earned you one penny, professional miners would earn $80,000 in the same time period with the same effort. It’s not just an efficiency problem—it’s a complete category mismatch.
According to Pocket Option’s 2025 analysis, when you mine bitcoin on your phone in 2025, you generate approximately $0.003-0.006 in daily revenue while consuming $0.45-0.85 in electricity through constant charging cycles. Factor in the accelerated device wear (estimated at $0.75-1.20 daily depreciation), and you’re looking at losses of $1.20-2.00 per day just for the privilege of running mining software.
Mining Economic Factor
Precise Value (April 2025)
Direct Impact on Profitability
Smartphone sustained hash rate
20-35 MH/s
0.00000024% contribution to global hashrate
Daily power consumption
3.2-4.8 kWh (4-6 full charges)
$0.38-0.57 at average US electricity rates
Expected daily BTC earnings
0.0000000086 BTC ($0.0035 at $41,200 BTC)
Revenue covers only 0.9% of electricity costs
CPU/GPU wear cost
$0.68-0.92 daily accelerated depreciation
Reduces smartphone lifespan by 60-70%
Annual profit projection
-$386 to -$412 per year
Guaranteed negative return on investment
Source: PocketOption
Bitcoin’s 2025 Network: Harder Than Ever
Bitcoin’s network difficulty in 2025 has reached unprecedented levels. After the April 2024 halving event that reduced block rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC, mining became significantly more competitive. The global hash rate now exceeds 800 exahashes per second—that’s 800 followed by 18 zeros worth of computational power securing the network.
Here’s what this means in practical terms: Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (roughly every two weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block time. As more efficient miners join the network, difficulty increases proportionally. In 2025, mining difficulty has increased compared to 2024, making small-scale mining even less viable.
The math is unforgiving:
- Global Bitcoin hash rate: 828.96 EH/s
- Your smartphone’s contribution: ~0.000000003%
- Probability of solo mining a block: Virtually zero
- Expected time to mine one Bitcoin: Several million years
Even joining mining pools doesn’t solve the economic problem. Pool fees typically range from 1-3%, and your minuscule contribution would earn proportionally tiny rewards—far below the electricity and device depreciation costs.
The 2025 Scam Evolution: More Sophisticated, More Dangerous
Fraudsters now leverage AI-generated content, fake influencer endorsements, and impressive-looking apps that simulate realistic mining activity to entice you to mine bitcoin on your phone.
New 2025 scam tactics include:
AI-Powered Fake Testimonials: Deepfake videos of supposed successful mobile miners showing fabricated earnings statements and encouraging downloads of malicious apps.
Gamified Mining Interfaces: Apps that look and feel like legitimate games but secretly harvest personal data while simulating mining progress that can never be withdrawn.
Social Media Manipulation: Coordinated campaigns across TikTok, Instagram, and YouTube featuring fake “financial influencers” promoting mobile mining apps to younger audiences.
Subscription Trap Mining: Apps offering “free trials” that automatically charge $19.99-49.99 monthly for “premium mining speeds” while delivering no actual mining capability.
Recent cybersecurity research shows that over 180 fake mining apps were discovered across major app stores in 2025, with some accumulating more than 500,000 downloads before being removed.
Red flags that scream “scam” in 2025:
- Apps claiming “revolutionary mobile mining breakthrough”
- Promises of earning “$10-50 daily” from phone mining
- Requirements to recruit friends or watch ads to unlock withdrawals
- Apps that don’t require connecting to actual mining pools
- Testimonials that seem too polished or use stock photo models
- Apps requesting permissions unrelated to mining (contacts, camera, microphone)
The 2025 Professional Mining Landscape
To understand why, consider what professional bitcoin mining looks like in 2025. Industrial mining operations now resemble high-tech data centers with:
Cutting-edge hardware:
- Bitmain Antminer S23 Pro: 280 TH/s at 4,800W
- MicroBT WhatsMiner M56S++: 250 TH/s at 4,500W
- Canaan AvalonMiner A1566: 185 TH/s at 3,420W
Infrastructure requirements:
- Megawatt-scale power contracts with industrial electricity rates
- Liquid cooling systems maintaining 24/7 optimal temperatures
- Redundant internet connections ensuring zero downtime
- Professional facility management with 24/7 monitoring
For a small operation, you might need at least $10,000 to $20,000 to buy a few ASIC miners, set up cooling systems, and cover electricity costs. These operations employ teams of engineers, maintain relationships with power companies, and operate with margins measured in single-digit percentages.
2025’s Legitimate Mobile Bitcoin Strategies
While it remains impossible to mine bitcoin on your phone profitably, 2025 offers exciting legitimate ways to engage with bitcoin through your smartphone:
Lightning Network Participation: Apps like Phoenix, Breez, and Zeus allow you to run Lightning nodes on mobile devices, earning small routing fees while supporting bitcoin’s payment layer.
Bitcoin DCA Automation: Services enable automated dollar-cost averaging with amounts as small as $1 daily. Historical data shows $10 weekly bitcoin purchases consistently outperform any mobile mining attempt by 1,500-2,000%.
Educational Mining Simulators: Legitimate apps like “Bitcoin Mining Simulator” teach mining concepts without false earning promises. These educational tools help users understand hash rates, difficulty adjustments, and mining economics.
Stacking Sats Rewards: Apps offering bitcoin rewards for shopping, learning, or completing tasks.
Lightning Gaming: Bitcoin-native mobile games where players can earn sats through skilled gameplay, with some players earning $10 monthly.onfirm that even the most optimized mobile mining setups in 2025 lose money consistently and predictably.
The Bottom Line
When you mine bitcoin on your phone fundamental economics remain unchanged: it’s impossible to profit. The laws of physics, network competition, and energy efficiency create insurmountable barriers that no app can overcome.
However, 2025 offers unprecedented opportunities to engage with bitcoin meaningfully through your smartphone. Focus on education, legitimate earning opportunities, and strategic investment rather than chasing the impossible dream of phone-based mining.
The bitcoin community’s greatest strength lies in its commitment to truth over hype. When someone promises profits to mine bitcoin on your phone in 2025, they’re either uninformed or deliberately misleading you. Trust the mathematics, learn from the community, and build your bitcoin knowledge and holdings through proven methods.
The real opportunity in 2025 isn’t to mine bitcoin on your phone—it’s understanding bitcoin deeply enough to participate confidently in the most important monetary revolution of our lifetime. Your smartphone is the perfect tool for that education; it’s just not a mining rig.
-
@ 88cc134b:5ae99079
2025-06-15 11:11:46text
-
@ 93bfc86d:fc8e91f5
2025-06-15 09:38:50M of N 분산
이번 5월 BSL 컨퍼런스와 비트코인 서울 2025 컨퍼런스에서 펜락(Penlock) 프로젝트에 참여하고 있는 한 분을 만났다. 아마 이 분을 만난 한국인 분들이 더 있을 텐데, 현재는 익명을 원하시므로 프라이버시 보호를 위해 실명을 언급하는 것은 주의하는 것이 좋겠다.
키를 M of N으로 분산하는 방식 중 내가 알고 있는 건 멀티시그와 샤미르 분산이다.
멀티시그는 각자가 키를 생성하지만,
1. 스크립트 길이가 길어지고, 스크립트를 해시로 감싼다고 해도 일반 주소보다 길다.
2. 일반적인 P2MS는 공개키가 드러나므로 프라이버시 보장이 안 되고, P2SH로 감싸도 서명할 때 각자의 공개키가 드러난다(리딤 스크립트가 드러나므로).
이런 특징을 갖고 있다.
샤미르 분산은 하나의 키를 분산하는 방식이므로,
1. 키를 복원했을 때는 결국 하나의 키가 생성되므로 키가 복원되었을 때 보안에 매우 주의해야 한다.
2. 하지만 외부에서 볼 때는 어떤 방식으로 분할이 되었는지 알 수가 없으므로 프라이버시에 좋다.
이런 특징을 갖고 있다.
M of N은 회사에서의 권한 분산, 상속, 위험 지점 분산, 신뢰 지점 분산 등에 사용할 수 있을 것이다. 하지만 나는 멀티시그와 샤미르 분산이 둘 다 M of N을 구현하지만 그 특성이 약간 다르기 때문에 적합한 용처도 다르다고 생각한다. 만약 한 기업이 여러 이사진의 의사결정 과정에서 권한을 분산해야 한다면 멀티시그 방식이 훨씬 나을 것이다. 이사 각각이 서명하면 되기 때문이다. 여기다가 샤미르 분산을 쓴다면 이사 몇 명이 모여 키 하나를 생성했을 때 쪼개기 전의 원래 하나의 키가 생기므로 권한 분산에 차질이 생길 수 있다. 그 키를 갖는 사람이 갑자기 모든 권한을 가질 수 있게 되기 때문이다. 거꾸로 한 개인이 키를 백업하고자 하는데 키를 분실하거나 화재나 기타 재난 등의 이유로 파괴될 것에 대비하여 여러 장소에 분산하여 보관하고 싶다면 샤미르 분산이 더 적합할 것이다. 키 조각들을 합쳐서 원래 키가 생겼을 때 그 키는 어차피 한 개인이 쓰는 것이므로 권한 구조가 갑자기 한 곳으로 몰리는 것에 대해 걱정할 필요가 없기 때문이다.
그런데 샤미르 분산은 멀티시그보다 직관적이진 않은 것 같다. 멀티시그는 스크립트 구조를 보면 바로 어떤 구조인지 알 수 있다. 손으로 따라 쓸 수도 있는 수준이다. 하지만 트레저가 도입한 샤미르 분산인 SLIP-0039 같은 형식은 직관적이지가 않다. 일단 샤미르 분산이 다항함수를 통한 비밀 분산을 쓰는 원리라는 걸 이해해야 하고(키 조각이 부족하면 부정방정식이 되어서 복구 불가), 그걸 통해 복구하는 과정에서 사용하는 라그랑주 보간법이 인간이 손으로 계산하기에는 너무 어렵다. 키를 분할하고 복구하는 과정이 수학적인 함수 공간에서 정의되고, 사용자는 키 조각들만 보게 되므로 내부 구조에 대해 직관적으로 이해하기가 어렵다.
오프라인 손 계산과 직관적 이해
조금 다른 주제로 넘어가보자. 나는 기술의 사용자들이 그 기술을 '직관'적으로 이해할 수 있는 지가 매우 중요하다고 생각한다. 비트코인 경험에는 특히 '검증'이 중요한데 어떤 기술을 직관적으로 이해할 수 없다면 검증은 전문가들만의 전유물이 되기 때문이다.
예를 들어보자. 앨리스, 밥, 캐롤이 각각 니모닉을 만들었다.
1. 앨리스는 기계가 생성해준 니모닉을 사용한다. 기계는 SE칩 내부에 있는 전자의 브라운 운동 등을 엔트로피로 이용해 랜덤한 엔트로피를 생성했다. 하지만 앨리스는 이 사실을 모르고, 따라서 기계를 신뢰해야 한다. 앨리스는 기계가 생성해 준 엔트로피가 충분히 랜덤하고 안전하다고 "믿고 있다." 사실이 그런지 아닌지와는 별개로 말이다.
2. 밥은 주사위를 던져서 만든 니모닉을 사용한다. 하지만 주사위를 던졌을 때 나온 값이 어떻게 니모닉으로 변환되는지는 모른다. 기계는 주사위를 던져 나온 숫자를 유니코드 문자열로 인식하여 SHA256을 한 번 돌린 뒤, 그 해시값을 엔트로피로 사용한다. 밥은 자신이 직접 주사위를 던졌으므로 엔트로피가 랜덤하게 생성되었다는 것은 직관적으로 알지만, 그 숫자가 어떻게 니모닉으로 계산된 건지는 모른다.
3. 캐롤은 직접 동전을 던져 0, 1을 기록하고 자신이 직접 니모닉 표를 보며 니모닉을 대응시켰다. 따라서 캐롤은 자신이 사용하는 니모닉이 랜덤하다는 것도 이해하고 있으며, 랜덤한 엔트로피를 어떻게 니모닉에 대응시키는지도 알고 있다.
세 가지 경우 중 누가 니모닉에 대해 가장 잘 직관적으로 이해하고 있겠는가? 당연히 3번 캐롤이다. 이렇듯 오프라인에서 동전을 던져 직접 엔트로피를 생성하고, 표를 보며 손으로 직접 니모닉에 대응시키는 과정은 니모닉을 직관적으로 이해하는 데 매우 중요하다.
솔직히 3번의 경우도 완전히 신뢰 지점이 없진 않다. 왜냐하면... 니모닉의 체크썸을 계산하는 과정에서 해싱을 해야 하기 때문이다. 손으로 SHA256 함수를 계산할 수 있는 게 아니라면... 캐롤은 어떤 기계에게 체크섬 생성을 맡길 수밖에 없다. 그러면 적어도 그 과정에 대한 이해의 폭은 제한될 수밖에 없다.
오프라인에서 계산하는 경험들이 왜 직관적인 이해에 더 도움이 될까? 그 과정들을 자신이 온전히 통제하기 때문이다. 기계에 맡겨야 하는 순간에는 그 기계 안에서 무엇이 일어나는지 알 수 없으며 따라서 자신의 통제 밖에 있다.
펜락 프로젝트
서론이 길었다! 다시 샤미르 분산 이야기로 돌아오겠다. 샤미르 분산을 '손으로 계산'해 키 조각을 만들고, 키 조각들을 모아 다시 오프라인에서 '손으로 계산'해 하나로 만들 수 있을까? 거의 불가능에 가까울 것이다!
그런데 이번에 BSL 컨퍼런스에서 펜락 프로젝트에 참여하고 있는 한 분을 우연히 만나 인사를 나눴고, 며칠 뒤 있는 비트코인 서울 컨퍼런스에서 그 분이 나한테 선물을 주셨다. 바로... 아래 사진의 회전판이다. 직접 가위로 자르고 핀을 꽂는 것까지 봤다(컨퍼런스 강연 중에 뒷자리에서 가위로 자르고 있어서 웃음을 참을 수가 없었다ㅋㅋㅋ). 나는 이 귀엽고 조악한 회전판을 처음 봤을 때 이 위력에 대해 알지 못했다...
이 펜락 프로젝트 회전판은... 샤미르 분산처럼 하나의 키를 키 조각으로 나누고, 그 키 조각들을 오프라인에서 원래 키로 복구할 수 있게 만들어준다. 이게 작동하는 걸 처음 봤을 때 나는 정말 정말 x21 엄청나게 놀랐다.
사용 방법을 간단히 말해보자면, 메인 키(니모닉)가 있으면 니모닉 한 단어의 앞 4개 문자만 적는다(이유는 다들 아실 거라 생각... 니모닉은 앞 4글자가 겹치는 경우가 없기 때문). 그 다음에 두 숫자를 뽑는다. 1–32까지의 숫자 한 장, 그리고 1–32까지의 숫자인데 흰 동그라미/검은 동그라미 나눠져있는 걸로 한 장(그러면 총 64가지 경우일 것이다). 그러면 32*64 = 2,048가지 경우가 나온다. 그리고 체크섬을 표에서 찾아 적는데, 솔직히 추가 체크썸이 왜 필요한 건지는 아직 이해를 못했다. 진짜로 이 오프라인 과정을 해보며 생길 수 있는 오류를 잡기 위한 체크썸인 것으로 이해된다.
어쨌든 하이라이트는 지금부터인데... 자, 니모닉에서 'F'라는 단어가 있다고 해보자. 그러면 아래 사진처럼 눈금을 F에다 둔다. 그 다음 랜덤한 숫자를 뽑는다. 그렇게 뽑은 숫자가 22이라고 해보자. 그러면 회전판 내부에서 22, 23, 24에 있는 문자를 각각 아래에 적는다. 이게 키 조각이다... F가 ① V, ② P, ③ J 이렇게 세 가지 조각으로 분할 된 거다.
이제 세 개의 키 조각 ① V, ② P, ③ J로 키를 복구하는 상황을 생각해보자. 만약 ③번 키 조각인 J가 화재로 날아가버렸다. 2 of 3이니 그래도 키 조각이 두 개만 있어도 복구할 수 있다. ①번 키 조각인 V와, ②번 키 조각인 P를 조합해 키를 복구해보겠다. 그러면 회전판을 움직여... P가 V를 바라보게 하면 된다. 사진에서 빨간 박스로 표시한 부분이다. 그러면 큰 눈금이 원래 키인 F를 가리키게 된다. 정말 미쳤다! 만약, ②번 키 조각 P와, ③번 키 조각 J가 있다면 J가 P를 바라보게 하면 된다. 만약 ③번 키 조각 J와, ①번 키 조각 V로 키 복구를 시도한다면 J가 V를 바라보게 하고, 대신 ③번이 ①번을 바라보게 하는 것처럼 순환하는 상황에는 큰 눈금이 아니라 내부 1번 네모칸을 읽어야 한다.
펜락 회전판의 뒷면을 보면 이걸 어떻게 구현했는지 대강 알 수가 있다. 펜락 프로젝트는 반지름을 조금씩 다르게 하고, 회전 각도를 서로소인 두 숫자를 이용해 글자들이 겹치지 않도록 구현한 걸로 보인다. 말로 설명했지만, 직접 해봐야 "미쳤다!" 소리가 저절로 나온다. 이거 직접 해보면 ~비속어가 나올 정도로~ 놀란다. 정말로.
펜락 프로젝트는 오픈 소스라고 하고, 최고 개발자는 ganrama이다(사이트는 아직 베타라서 내용들이 채워지고 있는 걸로 보인다ㅎㅎ).
https://github.com/ganrama
https://beta.penlock.io/
나는 비트코인에서 나오는 프로젝트들을 일단 의심부터 하고 보는 편이다. 그런데 펜락은 직관적으로 다 이해가 되기 때문에 현재는 우려할만한 점이 생각나지 않는다. 비트코인 프로젝트들 중에는 편리함, 보안, 프라이버시 중 무언가를 희생시키고 그걸 교묘히 감추려고 하거나 비즈니스 모델을 만들다가 초기의 정신을 잊는 경우가 많다. 그런데 이 프로젝트는 그에 해당할 만한 게 없는 것 같아서 일단 의심의 눈초리를 거두고 응원한다. 내가 오프라인에서 직접 키를 분할해보고, 조합해본 경험이 너무 강렬하게 작용했기 때문인 것 같다. 펜락 대표 개발자가 올해 하반기에 기회가 된다면 한국에서도 소개하고 싶다고 하니 계속 관심을 갖고 지켜보려고 한다.
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@ 88cc134b:5ae99079
2025-06-15 10:38:38text
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@ 7e6f9018:a6bbbce5
2025-06-15 09:10:25The velocity of money inform us about how quick the money moves, and is a frequent indicator to research the current economic environment.
An interesting twist is using housing instead of money. Why? The main reasons that come to mind are:
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It’s easier to measure housing velocity than dollar velocity.
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Data on housing transactions is more reliable.
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Residential real state is the largest store of wealth in the world.
> The residential real estate is worth $287 trillion. Not even all the money deposited in stocks ($98 trillion) and bonds ($129 trillion), added together, surpass the residential real state market. In a way, housing is the economy.
The next chart shows the velocity of housing in Spain, where we observe a negative correlation of -0.53, which is quite significant. This suggests that the higher the housing velocity, the higher the inflation; and the lower the housing velocity, the lower the inflation.
> The velocity is a measurement of the rate at which the current stock of houses is exchanged. The lower the value, the higher the velocity. A ratio of (x) means that it would take (x) years to exchange the stock at current speed.
Therefore, by knowing how quickly the housing sector is moving, we can infer whether we are living under an inflationary or deflationary period.
Currently, housing velocity has been increasing, reaching a value of 36 in 2025, a relatively high figure (all time high was 28 in 2006), and at the same time, we are experiencing an inflationary period. Hopefully this data can help us navigate the economic world and invest accordingly.
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@ 866e0139:6a9334e5
2025-06-15 06:23:31Autor: Jonas Tögel. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.
Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.
Eine der wichtigste Säulen einer funktionierenden Demokratie ist die sogenannte „öffentliche Sphäre“ (1), ein Debattenraum, in den sich alle Menschen gleichberechtigt einbringen und über aktuelle, für die Gemeinschaft wichtige Fragen diskutieren können. In Deutschland ist die Offenheit dieses Debattenraumes eigentlich durch fundamentale Grundrechte wie die Meinungs- und Pressefreiheit geschützt.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FHF6rjDbK9w
Soziale Medien im Visier
Dennoch wird der öffentliche Diskurs derzeit immer stärker eingeschränkt. Als Rechtfertigung dafür wird seit einigen Jahren der sogenannte Kampf gegen „Desinformation“ oder auch „Falschinformation“ (Misinformation) angeführt: Unter dem Vorwand, die Bevölkerung vor schädlicher Einflussnahme von außen, beispielsweise aus Russland, schützen zu wollen, wird der öffentliche Diskurs mit Hilfe von „Faktencheckern“, „Trusted Flaggern“ oder durch das „Gesetz für Digitale Dienstleistungen“ (Digital Services Act) massiv eingeschränkt, wobei vor allem soziale Medien verstärkt ins Visier genommen werden.
In der Propagandaforschung ergibt sich bei dem vorgeblichen Kampf gegen „Desinformation“ jedoch das Problem, dass die Begriffe selbst, die als Rechtfertigung dafür verwendet werden, um den öffentlichen Diskurs einzuschränken und bestimmte Inhalte zu löschen, nicht eindeutig definiert sind. Auch was „falsche Tatsachenbehauptungen“ sind, kann letztlich nur der offene, öffentliche Diskurs entscheiden. Wenn das, was „falsch“ oder „richtig“ ist, durch eine einzelne Instanz im Alleingang entschieden wird, dann landet man bei dem, was George Orwell in seinem bekannten Roman 1984 als „Wahrheitsministerium“ beschrieb: ein Ministerium, das auch noch nach Jahren alle verfügbaren Informationen dem aktuellen Stand der „Wahrheit“ anpasst – selbst wenn diese sich ständig ändern sollte. (2)
Auch heute steht immer wieder der Vorwurf im Raum, dass der Kampf gegen „Desinformation“ sowie der Kampf gegen „russische Desinformation“ gezielt genutzt werden, um im Kampf um die Deutungshoheit das eigene, westliche Narrativ durchzusetzen. Diesen Punkt habe ich ausführlich in meinem Artikel in der Berliner Zeitung dargelegt.
Wie unehrlich der Kampf gegen falsche Informationen tatsächlich ist, kann folgendes konkrete Beispiel zeigen: Die deutsche Politikerin und ehemalige Vorsitzende des Verteidigungsausschusses im Bundestag, Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann, erklärte in einer am 24. März 2025 im ORF2 ausgestrahlten Sendung:
„Wladimir Putin ist ein Mörder, ein Killer, der hunderte von Millionen Menschen unter die Erde gebracht hat.“
In der gleichen Sendung behauptete Strack-Zimmermann, dass die Ukraine 70 Milliarden Menschen ernähre. Besonders bemerkenswert dabei ist, dass ihr niemand in der Sendung widersprach.
Wenn man beide Zahlen einordnen möchte, dann sollte man sich einerseits bewusst machen, dass Strack-Zimmermann damit behauptet, dass der russische Präsident mehr Menschen „unter die Erde gebracht hat“, als laut offiziellen Zahlen im Ersten und Zweiten Weltkrieg zusammen gestorben sind. Andererseits sollte man wissen, dass die Weltbevölkerung insgesamt bei ca. 8,2 Milliarden Menschen liegt, die Ukraine laut dieser Aussage somit die gesamte Weltbevölkerung ca. 8,5 Mal ernähren könnte.
DIE FRIEDENSTAUBE FLIEGT AUCH IN IHR POSTFACH!
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Das Messen mit doppeltem Maß
Als der Autor daher beschloss, die Äußerungen von Strack-Zimmermann bei mehreren, einschlägigen Meldeportalen für „Desinformation“ als gefährliche Hassrede zu melden, war das Ergebnis umso erstaunlicher: entweder erklärten sich die Meldeportale für das öffentlich-rechtliche Fernsehen nicht zuständig, oder sie lehnten eine Bearbeitung des Falles und einen Faktencheck der getroffenen Aussagen ab, da es wichtigere Fälle zu bearbeiten gäbe und leider keine Kapazitäten zur Prüfung dieses Aussagen zur Verfügung stünden.
Dieses konkrete Beispiel soll zeigen, wie wichtig es ist, den vorgeblichen Kampf gegen „Desinformation“ oder auch „russische Einflussnahme“ als das einzuordnen, was er in vielen Fällen ist: ein unehrlich Kampf um die Deutungshoheit und damit ein gefährlicher Bestandteil von dem, was man ehrlicherweise als Kriegspropaganda bezeichnet.
Den Bürgerinnen und Bürgern bleibt somit nur, alle Informationen selbst kritisch auf ihren Wahrheitsgehalt hin zu prüfen und selbst zu entscheiden, was als wertvolle Information und was als manipulative „Desinformation“ eingestuft werden kann. Je besser es gelingt, tatsächliche Desinformation und Kriegspropaganda aller an einem Krieg beteiligten Nationen zu hinterfragen, umso schwerer wird es, diesen Krieg zu führen. Damit ist das Durchschauen von unehrlichen Schlagwörtern wie „Desinformation“ oder „Falschinformation“ ein erster, wichtiger Schritt zur Neutralisierung von Kriegspropaganda und bildet das Fundament, das den Weg zum Frieden dadurch möglich macht. Jeder einzelne hat somit die Möglichkeit, diesen Weg zum Frieden aktiv mitzugestalten. Hier kann der Mut, sich jeden Tag im persönlichen Umfeld in den öffentlichen Diskurs einzubringen und die Friedensbotschaft zu stärken, bereits einen wichtigen Beitrag leisten.
(1) Habermas, Jürgen. 1971/1962. Strukturwandel der Öffentlichkeit. Untersuchungen zu einer Kategorie der bürgerlichen Gesellschaft. 5th ed. Neuwied/Berlin.
(2) Orwell, George (1948). 1984. Seite 193 ff.
Dr. Jonas Tögel ist Amerikanist, Propagandaforscher und *Bestsellerautor. Er hat zum Thema Soft Power und Motivation promoviert und arbeitet als wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter am Institut für Psychologie der Universität Regensburg. Seine Forschungsschwerpunkte sind unter anderem Motivation, der Einsatz von Soft-Power-Techniken, Nudging, Propaganda sowie Geostrategie. *
Zuletzt erschien sein Buch „Kriegsspiele“ im Westend-Verlag.
Website: *www.jonastoegel.de *
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2025-06-15 05:37:54Autor: Dr Srđan Radulović, docent na Pravnom fakultetu Univerziteta u Prištini sa privremenim sedištem u Kosovskoj Mitrovici
Rezime
Bitkoin kao virtuelni sistem za plaćanje predstavljen je krajem 2008. godine. Ipak, i danas nedostaju odgovori na neka od fundamentalnih pitanja. Jedno od tih pitanja je da li je Bitkoin zaista novac ili nešto sasvim drugo.
Bitkoin kao sistem primarno je dizajniran ne sa ciljem da se stvori „nova vrsta novca“ u najužem smislu već sa ciljem da se stvori platforma koja obezbeđuje da se transfer vrednosti izvrši na što je efikasniji način moguće. Ipak, iako to nije suštinski, bitkoin ima kapacitet da preuzme ulogu novca, a taj kapacitet je prepoznat i u sudskim odlukama. Prepoznajući i uvažavajući taj kapacitet, u ovom radu prezentujemo rezultate pretežno empirijskog istraživanja sprovedenog prethodno o nestabilnoj, ali opet izrazito deflatornoj prirodi bitkoina i njenom uticaju na novčane obligacije. Konkretno, iako bi ideja mogla biti kontroverzna iz više razloga, a volatilna priroda „cene” bitkoina je svakako jedan od njih, smatramo da periodična depresijacija njegove vrednosti ne znači da je bitkoin inflatoran. Naprotiv, bitkoin je deflatoran po prirodi. Različiti ugrađeni mehanizmi, ali i novi načini primene ističu tu prirodu. Dakle, u radu koristimo različite tehnike analitičkog metoda, najpre da izdvojimo različite deflatorne mehanizme, kako one programirane tako i one faktičke, a zatim i da ih opišemo. Dalje, u radu koristimo sintetičke metode, najpre generalizaciju i apstrakciju, da sumiramo rezultate istraživanja koji potvrđuju kao tačnu polaznu hipotezu da je bitkoin po prirodi izrazito deflatoran i pored njegove nestabilnosti, te da se može koristiti kao zaštitni mehanizam u monetarnim obligacijama.
Ključne reči: Bitkoin, novčane obligacije, ugovor, valutne klauzule, kriptovalutne klauzule, deflacija.
1. Uvod
Evolucija novca neraskidivo je povezana sa tehnološkim napretkom, iako je novac evoluirao značajno sporije zbog pravnih ili kulturnih ograničenja (Calcaterra, Kaal, Rao, 2020: 202-203). Prirodno, pojava digitalne tehnologije podstakla je ideju o generisanju imovine slične gotovini (1) koja se može deponovati i prenositi u digitalnom formatu. Zanimljivo, treća industrijska revolucija oživela je teoriju da su privatni entiteti, ako im se dozvoli, sposobni da obezbede barem jednako pouzdane „kovanice“ kao i one koje stvara država (Hayek, 1976: 24). Kako se kompleksna visokotehnološka infrastruktura koja omogućava potpuno transparentno i unapred određeno izdavanje postepeno razvijala, teorija se činila manje utopijskom (Syropyatov, 2021: 324). Treća industrijska revolucija donela je uzbudljive projekte od kojih su neki postali vrlo uspešni i oni su, u zavisnosti od istorijske interpretacije, inicirali četvrtu ili čak petu veliku promenu novca (Radulović, 2021: 30). Smatra se da DigiCash postavlja tehničku i ideološku osnovu za moderne digitalne valute (Turudić, Milić & Štulina, 2017: 193; Roth, 2015: 528). Ipak, nijedan od ranijih projekata, uglavnom zbog svoje neefikasne centralizovane infrastrukture (Cavalhiero, Cavalhiero, 2022: 209), nije postao ni približno uspešan kao najradikalniji (Hutchinson & Dowd, 2015: 357) – „Bitkoin: Peer-to-peer sistem elektronskog novca“ (Nakamoto, 2008: 1-9).
Bitkoin je prvi uspešan primer demonopolizacije tržišta fiat valuta kroz postepenu implementaciju novca koji izdaju privatni entiteti (Syropyatov, 2021: 319-320). Kako savremeno društvo teži decentralizovanim rešenjima za ljudsku interakciju (Calcaterra, Kaal, Rao, 2020: 193), u gotovo savršenom okruženju za svoj uspeh (Đorđević, 2018: 96), Bitkoin (2) se pokazao kao koristan ekonomski (Đorđević, 2018: 100), ali i pravni instrument (3).
1. Za više o različitim imovinama sličnim novcu, videti: Karame & Androulaki, 2016: 11-13.
2. U ovom članku, kako bismo precizno razlikovali Bitkoin kao operativni softver, sistem ili mrežu od bitkoina kao digitalne imovine (podataka ili valute određene vrednosti), na Bitkoin kao sistem ćemo se pozivati koristeći veliko slovo „B“, a na bitkoin kao imovinu koristeći malo slovo „b“ (Antonopoulos, 2014: xvii, 18, 116; Cvetković, 2018: 120; Hutchinson & Dowd, 2015: 357 fn.).
3. Od juna 2021. godine, Salvador je postao prva zemlja koja je legalno priznala Bitkoin kao zakonsko sredstvo plaćanja u gotovo punom kapacitetu, podržala ga tehnički impresivnom digitalnom infrastrukturom (prilagođeni novčanik, specijalizovana vladina platforma za razmenu, različite besplatne aplikacije, pa čak i posebna mreža) i uvela razne podsticaje za promovisanje ovog prilično zanimljivog eksperimenta (Ley Bitcoin, Diario Oficial ES, 110/2021, Decreto No 57). Centralnoafrička Republika je bila druga nacionalna ekonomija koja je uvela Bitkoin kao zakonsko sredstvo plaćanja i rezervnu valutu (République Centrafricaine Cryptomonnaie, Journal Officiel CAF, 22/2022).*
Strogo govoreći, Bitkoin nije ni roba ni valuta (Abramowicz, 2015: 3). Bitkoin nije novac. To je sistem plaćanja. Može se izneti čvrst argument da je Bitkoin zapravo institucija ili platforma koja stvara i sprovodi imovinska prava (Abramowicz, 2015: 3). Ali onda, sudska praksa je utvrdila da bitkoin ima sposobnost da preuzme ulogu novca (Raskin, 2015: 980). Dakle, ako ga posmatramo kao novac, on je oblik „spoljnjeg novca“ (Garrat, Wallace, 2018: 1887), što posebno cene korisnici novca koji su već naviknuti na bezgotovinska elektronska ekonomska okruženja (Dimitrijević, 2018: 224-225) (4).
Dubinska analiza potvrđuje da je vrednost bitkoina veoma volatilna kako u kratkim tako i u dužim periodima (Baur, Dimpfl, 2021: 2663–2683). Ipak, očekivano je da mlada valuta bude volatilna (Đorđević, 2018: 100). Spisak razloga za njenu volatilnost je dobro opisan (Mirjanich, 2014: 223; Syropyatov, 2021: 320-322, 326-327). Može se izneti i čvrst argument da je volatilnost bila veća na početku, što u krajnjoj liniji može biti dobra vest za potencijal Bitkoina da se razvije u (stabilniju) valutu (Baur, Dimpfl, 2021: 2668-2669).
Ipak, u vremenima kada njegova volatilna priroda dolazi do izražaja, izuzetno je važno razumeti šta deflatorna priroda bitkoina zapravo znači. Volatilnost je izraz koji opisuje koliko se vrednost sredstva razmene menja tokom vremena, ili preciznije, kojom stopom. Ako deflaciju posmatramo kao apresijaciju vrednosti izazvanu neskladom u ponudi i potražnji koja podiže kurs valute (Antonopoulos, 2014: 180), bitkoin je po prirodi deflatoran, ali i dalje volatilan. Različiti mehanizmi čine ga otpornim na inflaciju. To je tačno čak iako je bitkoin spekulativna imovina ili se barem može tumačiti kao takva (Šoja, Senarathne, 2019: 46) jer nije podržan nikakvom imovinom ili garancijom (Šoja, Senarathne, 2019: 46), niti predstavlja trenutno stanje ekonomije neke zemlje (Vareško, Deković, 2022: 91). Konkretno, vrednost bitkoina nije imuna na sopstvenu depresijaciju, iznenadnu apresijaciju i različite vrste manipulacije. U ovom trenutku, gotovo je nemoguće sprečiti ih jer Bitkoin sistem funkcioniše kao slobodno i u suštini neregulisano (5) tržište. Vremenski trošak korišćenja Bitkoina (Garrat, Wallace, 2018: 1889) je stvarna opasnost i, pored toga, vrednost bitkoina je gotovo potpuno nepredvidiva (Garrat, Wallace, 2018: 1896; Syropyatov, 2021: 320). To dodatno otežava odbranu hipoteze o njegovoj deflatornoj prirodi.
Bilo kako bilo, čak i kada njegova cena dramatično padne, to ne znači da je bitkoin inflatoran. Ovo je ključno razumeti ako želimo da razjasnimo svojstva i pravnu prirodu novčanih obaveza nominovanih u bitkoinu, a posebno ako nameravamo da ih pravilno regulišemo. U tom smislu, ovaj rad je samo uvod u ovu temu.
4. Elektronski novac je oblik digitalnog novca i faza u njegovoj evoluciji, a isto su i kriptovalute; ipak, kriptovaluta nije elektronski novac i ne treba je brkati sa elektronskim novcem (Dimitrijević, 2018: 228).
5. Iako postoje nacionalni propisi (Cvetković, 2018: 127-128; Zebec, 2018: 90-93), kao i međunarodni propisi (Cvetković, 2018: 126-127; Mijatović, 2022: 95-100), Bitkoin, i kao sistem i kao valuta, apsolutno je imun na nacionalne i međunarodne propise. Međutim, postoji doza optimizma da stabilni novčići, konceptualno govoreći, mogu da naglase da je optimizacija kreiranja politike pod vođstvom tehnologije zapravo moguća u složenim monetarnim sistemima (Calcaterra, Kaal, Rao, 2020: 194). Ali, adekvatan model prvo mora biti otkriven od strane sudske prakse (Raskin, 2015: 972), a zatim potvrđen u sigurnijem okruženju, kao što su „Sandbox“ ili „Innovation Hubs“ (Jović, Nikolić, 2022: 48-51).
2. Fiksna ponuda
Bitkoin je softver otvorenog koda koji se koristi decentralizovanim dizajnom mreže (Caetano, 2015: 103-104; Đorđević, 2018: 97) (6). Tačnije, to je elektronski, dvosmerni, decentralizovani (Đorđević, 2018: 97) platni sistem zasnovan na kriptografskom dokazu (Nakamoto, 2008:1) koji je razvijen sa ciljem isključivanja ovlašćenih posrednika kroz koncept „digitalnog poverenja“ (Cavalheiro, Cavalheiro, 2022: 207; Horvatić, Tafra: 2022 108-109; Syropyatov, 2021: 325) bez kompromitovanja sigurnosti i privatnosti tokom transakcije (7), po nižim troškovima i što je brže moguće (Roth, 2015: 529).
Da bi prenos vrednosti bio moguć, vrednost je morala biti povezana sa sredstvom unutar sistema. Kako je sistem potpuno digitalizovan, ovo sredstvo je moglo postojati samo u digitalnom obliku, tj. virtuelne novčane jedinice predstavljaju vrednost (Đorđević, 2018: 97). Uobičajena je zabluda da je naziv ovog sredstva Bitkoin. Bitkoin je peer-to-peer monetarna mreža, to je program, softver, platforma, ali ne valuta. Bitkoin kao valuta ne postoji izvan ili bilo gde unutar mreže (Cvetković, 2018: 124). Osnovna jedinica ovog platnog sistema je satoši, digitalizovani deo informacije koji je trajno povezan sa digitalnom platformom (Antonopoulos, 2014: xvii, 18, 116). Ipak, iako tehnički netačno, postalo je norma koristiti bitkoin kao jedinicu sa odnosom prema Satošiju od 1:100.000.000 (Radulović, 2021: 32).
6. Postoji prirodna tendencija ka monopolu u Mreži (Hutchinson Dowd, 2015: 364-368). Ipak, mogućnost stvaranja apsolutnog monopola je samo teorijska. Kako cela zajednica entuzijasta aktivno koristi prostor preostao za poboljšanje Mreže, postoji niz predloga protokola za rudarenje („getblocktemplate“ je najuspešniji) koji sprečavaju centralizaciju.
7. Privatnost i sigurnost nisu sinonimi. Ovo su dva različita aspekta efikasnosti platnih sistema, svaki sa svojim prepoznatljivim individualnim karakteristikama (Karame, Androulaki, 2016: 14-17).
Da bismo razumeli ovaj koncept, možemo uporediti bitkoin sa tradicionalnim načinima izvršavanja novčanih obaveza (Cvetković, 2018: 121; Đorđević, 2018: 100-102). Po svojim karakteristikama, bitkoin je u suštini negde između zlata i dolara (Syropyatov, 2021: 323) ali primarna ideja je bila da se stvori digitalna imovina koja imitira zlato. Najlakši način da se novostvorenoj imovini da vrednost je da se učini retkom. Stoga su protokoli Bitkoin mreže postavljeni tako da ukupna ponuda bude pažljivo izračunata, konačna i ograničena (8). Fiksiranjem ukupnog broja bitkoina u opticaju na 21.000.000, početni izdavalac i pronalazač rešio je dva glavna problema – dodatno izdavanje i falsifikovanje (Garrat, Wallace, 2018: 1887). Dakle, „štampanje“ novog novca u Bitkoin mreži iznad očekivane stope izdavanja je nemoguće što znači da bitkoin kao valuta nije podložan inflaciji (Antonopoulos, 2014: 2).
Budući da je Bitkoin softver, on nije „ništa više“ od skupa unapred programiranih pravila. Kako se ta pravila mogu ažurirati, tehnički postoji mogućnost promene izvornog koda kako bi se omogućilo kvantitativno povećanje ponude novčića. Ipak, kako mi to vidimo, ovo je samo teoretski moguće. Zašto?
Bitkoin je konstruisan na revolucionarnoj tehnologiji koja se zove blokčejn. Blokčejn je digitalna baza podataka koja sadrži informacije o svakoj promeni u mreži (Cvetković, 2020: 128; Teomete Yalabik, Yalabik, 2019: 37). Jednom uneti i potvrđeni, podaci o promeni koja se dogodila trajno se čuvaju u bloku, koji se zatim povezuje sa postojećim lancem gde su blokovi ravnomerno poređani, hronološki vremenski obeleženi, suštinski nepromenljivi (Cvetković, 2020: 129; Catanzaro & Kain, 2020: 52; Horvat, Tafra, 2022: 108) (9). Lanac dodatih blokova distribuira se kroz mrežu, a upravljanje njime je u potpunosti zasnovano na konsenzusu (Radulović, 2021: 36) što znači da niko ne vrši kontrolu nad lancem (Magnuson, 2022: 883) (10). Ovo je vrlo važna tačka jer svaki blok u lancu sadrži određeni broj bitkoina, a ukupna ponuda se postepeno povećava konsenzusnim dodavanjem novih blokova (11), ali ne više od 13.230.000 njih.
8. Procenjuje se da u svetu postoji 171.000 metričkih tona zlata (Đorđević, 2018:101), ali to je samo pretpostavka. S druge strane, Bitkoin sistem se ne zasniva ni na kakvoj sličnoj pretpostavci. Kreatori sistema su otišli korak dalje i ponudili kriptografsko uverenje o njegovoj ograničenoj ponudi (Cvetković, 2018: 121). To znači da nema opasnosti od bilo kakvih neočekivanih otkrića ove robe koja može doneti nestabilnost monetarnom režimu (Cachanosky, 2019: 371). Takođe, za razliku od zlata, nemoguće je manipulisati „čistoćom“ bitkoina i tako kompromitovati ideju o njegovoj ograničenoj ponudi (Cvetković, 2018:121).
9. Bitkoin koristi blokčejn kao javnu knjigu koja sadrži potpuni zapis svih javnih transakcija u istoriji Bitkoin mreže (Cavalhiero, Cavalhiero, 2022: 209). U tom kontekstu, zanimljivo je da je bitkoin koji je zaplenjen u slučaju „Silk Road“ prebačen u FBI novčanik (lFfmbHfnpaZjKFvyilokTjJJusN455paPH) od strane čvorova putem regularne procedure verifikacije na Bitkoinovom blokčejnu; štaviše, ovaj transfer ali i kasnija aukcija novčića i njihov transfer kupcima je potpuno transparentan i može se pratiti jednostavnom proverom promena u lancu (Raskin, 2015: 982-983).
10. Satoši Nakamoto se povukao iz javnosti u aprilu 2011. godine, prepuštajući odgovornost razvoja koda i mreže rastućoj grupi volontera (Antonopoulos, 2014: 4).
11. Po analogiji sa Fridmanovim "Ostrvom kamenog novca", Bitkoin funkcioniše putem decentralizovane (digitalizovane) kolektivne memorije (Hutchinson & Dowd, 2015: 358).
U tradicionalnim ekonomskim sistemima, monetarna vlast garantuje kvalitet, količinu i vrednost novca, dok banke i drugi posrednici vrše kontrolu nad transakcijama (Pernice, 2021: 770). Bitkoin funkcioniše kao protokol, tj. skup unapred programiranih pravila (Raskin, 2015: 971) bez arbitra (Abramowicz, 2015: 3). U Bitkoin mreži ne postoji centralna vlast bilo koje vrste koja nadzire i upravlja platformom (Catanzaro, Kain, 2020: 52; Teomete Yalabik, Yalabik, 2019: 37). Prvo, to znači da ne postoji jedna kritična tačka (eng. single point of failure) (Hutchinson & Dowd, 2015: 359). Drugo, nema potrebe za trećom pouzdanom stranom za sprovođenje procesa registracije i/ili garantovanje tačnosti stanja transakcija, sve to zato što se poverenje u mrežu zasniva na kriptografiji kao nauci (12) (Cvetković, 2018: 121; Dinić, 2014: 110; Đorđević, 2018: 97; McGinnis, 2020: 60; Raskin, 2015: 974). Ovde dolazi do izražaja genijalni koncept: upravljanje je dodeljeno samoj Mreži, zapravo računarima koji vrše proces verifikacije transakcija (Đorđević, 2018: 98; Hutchinson & Dowd, 2015: 360). Iz toga sledi da je sistem gotovo u potpunosti samoregulišući i potpuno decentralizovan. Dalje, ne samo pokrenute transakcije već i svaka druga promena u mreži mora biti rezultat konsenzusa među svim pojedinačnim učesnicima u mreži (naglasak autora). Dakle, da bi se promenio izvorni kod nakon zatvaranja obavezne debate u zajednici, potrebno je da većina čvorova u mreži izrazi svoje odobrenje. Sa desetinama hiljada čvorova koji pokreću mrežu, može se sigurno pretpostaviti da je gotovo nemoguće postići konsenzus za promenu osnovnog protokola koda, posebno dela koji ovaj sistem čini superiornim u odnosu na većinu kripto projekata (13).
Ovaj protokol čini Bitkoin superiornim u odnosu na druge kripto projekte. Naime, ranih 1970-ih postalo je jasno da možda ne postoji bilo kakva prednost niti potreba (barem više ne) za neupitnim i univerzalno prihvaćenim državnim prerogativom proizvodnje novca, te da bi to moglo biti štetno za razvoj nacionalne ekonomije ako se ne podržava valutna konkurentnost (Hayek, 1976: 20). Posebno se ovo odnosi na nacionalne ekonomije koje su potpuno zavisne od strane valute što je bio slučaj u Salvadoru (potpuno zavisan od USD).
12. Poverenje u mrežu zavisi od funkcionisanja većine rudarskih računara u mreži. Logičan zaključak koji proizilazi iz ove činjenice ukazuje na to da povećani obim bitkoin transakcija implicira veću sigurnost; povećanje prometa mreže povećava poverenje (Dinić, 2014: 110).
13. Posmatrajući istoriju pokušaja iniciranja čak i „manjih“ tehničkih promena (protokola) oličenih u Bitkoin "hard forkovima" (Bitcoin XT, Bitcoin Classic, SegWit), možemo videti da nijedan od ovih projekata (čak ni „BitcoinCash“) nije nadmašio uspeh i stopu prihvatanja Bitkoin forka.
14. Prateći više od 2000 godina dugu istoriju državnih prerogativa u izdavanju novca, nobelovac Hayek je nabrojao legitimne razloge za dodeljivanje monopola izdavanja novca državnim institucijama (Hayek, 1976: 21-26).
Možemo ići čak i dalje. Mogu se izneti snažni argumenti koji podržavaju tvrdnju da se apsolutna državna kontrola nad novcem može tumačiti čak i kao oblik ugnjetavanja koji je ništa manji od uskraćivanja građanskih sloboda (McGinnis, 2020: 60). Iako je „komplementarna valuta“ (Pernice, 2021: 769), bitkoin je najmoćnije oružjeu onome što se čini kao „fundamentalni napad“ na ostatke ove zastarele ugnjetavajuće ideje u modernom monetarnom poretku (McGinnis, 2020: 61).
Ako postoji bilo kakva istina u ovoj smeloj tvrdnji, onda je ograničena ponuda najvažnija karakteristika koja čini bitkoin, ako ne superiornim, onda barem konkurentnim fiat valutama [15]. Ovo je posebno tačno ako imamo u vidu kolektivno ukidanje monetarnog aranžmana iz Breton Vudsa i zlatnog standarda koji su, prema ekonomskim ekspertima (Syropyatov, 2021: 324), započeli inflatornu eru u ekonomskoj istoriji. Stoga, ne postoji ekonomska ili pravna logika koja bi opravdala transformaciju sistema iz „digitalnog zlata“ u nejedinstveni kvazi-demokratski fiat monetarni poredak, posebno među čvorovima koji su generalno pravi entuzijasti „decentralizovanih finansija“ [16].
-
Ideja Bitkoina duboko je ukorenjena u Austrijskoj ekonomskoj školi mišljenja koja je poznata po oštroj kritici državnih intervencija koje zapravo pogoršavaju ekonomske i poslovne cikluse i uzrokuju značajnu inflaciju (Zebec, 2018:89).
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Bitkoin mreža ne nameće protokole i pravila članovima koji se ne slažu sa njima. Omogućava im da se bezbedno odvoje iniciranjem takozvanog "hard forka". Postoji čak i poseban deo softvera nazvan Git ugrađen u mrežu, kreiran da omogući korisnicima forkovanje izvornog koda (Caetano, 2015:104-105). Rezultat je više od stotinu (manje-više poznatih i uspešnih) projekata u kripto prostoru koji su započeti na ovaj način – kao Bitkoin fork (Caetano, 2015: 104).
3. Halving
Kreator(i) Bitkoina su imali za cilj da stvore digitalnu imovinu koja se ponaša kao zlato [17]. Stoga su doneli ideološku odluku da ne puste sav bitkoin u opticaj odjednom (Cachanosky, 2019: 371). Ukupan broj bitkoina je unapred određen ali je raspored njegovog stvaranja fiksiran (Raskin, 2015: 971) jer je mreža postavljena tako da može postupno povećavati ponudu novčića po opadajućoj stopi kroz proces nazvan „rudarenje“.
Odgovornost dodavanja verifikovanih transakcija u blok i ažuriranja lanca blokova poverena je posebnoj grupi učesnika mreže – rudarima. Da bi izvršili dodeljeni zadatak, rudari moraju rešiti niz složenih matematičkih problema što zahteva ogromnu računarsku snagu. Da bi ih podstakao da svoju računarsku snagu stave na raspolaganje za potrebe mreže, u Bitkoin protokol je ugrađen sistem „dvostruke nagrade“. Prvo, rudar prikuplja mali procenat svake transakcije koja je upisana u novokreirani blok. Pored toga, „pobednički“ rudar dobija novi bitkoin od mreže kao nagradu kada se transakcija „coin base“ postavi u novi blok (Antonopoulos, 2014: 115: Hutchinson & Dowd, 2015: 361; Nakamoto, 2008:4). To znači da izdavalac bitkoina nije banka, vlada, nadzorna institucija, pojedinac ili kompanija; izdavaoci su sami korisnici (Dinić, 2014: 110). Trećeg januara 2009. godine, iskopan je „genesis blok“ (Horvatić, Tarfa, 2022:107-108). Rudar(i) ovog bloka su dobili 50 bitkoina. Od tog trenutka, svaki put kada je kreiran novi blok, rudar je dobijao 50 novostvorenih bitkoina.
Ukupna ponuda raste postepeno ali ne istom brzinom. Kao što je već napomenuto, svaki blok sadrži određeni broj bitkoina, a ukupna ponuda novčića se povećava dodavanjem novih blokova. Međutim, blokovi nemaju isti kapacitet, tj. ne sadrže istu količinu bitkoina. Mreža je unapred programirana, najpre da smanji nagradu rudarima za 50% nakon svakih 210.000 dodatih blokova, ali i da prilagodi složenost matematičkog problema količini koja je već iskopana, tako da novi blok od 1MB koji sadrži otprilike 4000 upisanih transakcija (Horvatić, Tafra, 2022:109) nastaje u proseku svakih deset minuta (Antonopoulos, 2014:2, 177-178; Đorđević, 2018:97-98; Raskin, 2015:976; Roth, 2015:528). Jednostavna matematika pokazuje da se nagrada za rudarenje smanjuje otprilike svake četiri godine. Od 11. maja 2020. godine, nagrada za rudarenje po bloku iznosi 6.25 bitkoina. Stopa po kojoj se novi blokovi (pa samim tim i bitkoini) dodaju postojećem lancu postepeno se smanjuje (dok ne dostigne broj od 21.000.000).
Čin smanjenja rudarske nagrade za polovinu naziva se „halving“. Ideja iza procesa halvinga bila je da se bitkoin oponaša zlato čak i kada je u pitanju dinamika njegovog iskopavanja (Đorđević, 2018: 98). Sa ekonomskog i pravnog stanovišta, kroz proces halvinga, deflatorna priroda bitkoina dolazi do izražaja jer se već ograničena ponuda novčića dodatno smanjuje. Radi poređenja, u vreme pisanja ovog rada, više od 18.5 miliona (od 21 miliona) bitkoina je pušteno u opticaj, ali će poslednji bitkoin biti pušten u opticaj kada se iskopa blok 13.230.000. Prateći dinamiku Mreže, procenjuje se da će se to dogoditi otprilike 2137. godine (Antonopoulos, 2014:178; Raskin, 2015:976). To znači da je procenat inflacije kontrolisan, ne samo kroz konačnu ponudu već i kroz 64 događaja halvinga, nakon čega se stopa izdavanja novog bitkoina smanjuje.
17. "Bitkoin pravilo, logo i tekstualni opis sugerišu da je projekat inspirisan zlatnim standardom. Uzmite u obzir, na primer, da se Bitkoini proizvode kroz proces nazvan „rudarenje“ sa opadajućim prinosima koji podseća na vađenje zlata iz podzemlja, te da je logo zlatnik" (Cachanosky, 2019: 371).
4. Superhalving
Bitkoin je prvi put priznat kao novac na osnovu regulatornog stanovišta "Mreže za suzbijanje finansijskog kriminala" (Financial Crimes Enforcement Network) (Mirjanich, 2014: 214), zatim u sudskoj praksi u čuvenim slučajevima „Silk Road“ (Raskin, 2015: 981-982; Zebec, 2018: 89) i u slučaju SEC protiv Shaversa (Raskin, 2015: 979-980). Ipak, iako nije pogrešno smatrati bitkoin valutom, kao što je već napomenuto, mi volimo da razmišljamo o Bitkoinu kao o sistemu plaćanja. To je bila prvobitna ideja (Syropyatov, 2021: 325) i Bitkoin je zapravo korišćen u tom svojstvu u prvim godinama, uglavnom za male online transakcije (Vareško, Deković, 2022: 91).
Pravi potencijal ovog sistema, koji je sam po sebi impresivan, može se u potpunosti shvatiti samo ako se posmatra kao deo budućeg decentralizovanog finansijskog sistema (DeFi). U svojim brojnim predavanjima i intervjuima, Antonopoulos pruža sjajnu analogiju upoređujući DeFi prostor sa internetom iz ranih dana. U toj analogiji, Bitkoin se poredi sa elektronskom poštom koji je bio prva i (dugo vremena) jedina funkcionalna aplikacija na internetu. U DeFi prostoru, Bitkoin je prva i (na mnogo načina) najvažnija, ali ne i jedina funkcionalna aplikacija. Upravo način na koji Bitkoin mreža koristi tehnologiju distribuirane knjige (eng. distributed ledger) nije ništa drugo do jedan mogući prikaz istinskog potencijala neverovatnog dela računarskog inženjeringa zvanog blokčejn. Imajući u vidu bezbroj funkcija interneta danas, ova analogija nudi najbolji uvid u razmere i potencijal DeFi prostora.
Korišćenje ove i drugih srodnih tehnologija svakako prevazilazi stvaranje različitih platnih, pa čak i finansijskih sistema. Blokčejn tehnologija i kriptovalute, protokoli decentralizacije uopšte, deo su dugoročnog ciklusa proliferacije i imaju priliku i kapacitet da dalje prošire inovacije i mogućnosti koje su započete u ranim godinama interneta (Calcaterra, Kaal, Rao, 2020: 204; Syropyatov, 2021: 320). Sa pravnog stanovišta, nema sumnje da će blokčejn tehnologija reorganizovati svaku aktivnost koja zahteva javni prikaz informacija (Cvetković, 2018: 122). Takođe ima kapacitet da reformiše sve aktivnosti oko donošenja odluka od strane sporog i skupog državnog aparata kroz „peer-to-peer“ odlučivanje (Abramowitz, 2015: 7-9). Predstavlja izazov konvencionalnoj pretpostavki da su centralizovane institucije, poput zakonodavnih tela i sudova, potrebne za donošenje zakona dovoljne jasnoće da bi bili primenljivi (Abramowitz, 2015: 9). Konačno, dokazano je da je blokčejn tehnologija suštinska za budući razvoj današnjih opšteprihvaćenih ideja, poput IoT (Interneta stvari) i IoE (Interneta svega) (Horvat, Tafra, 2022: 108). Dakle, koliko god da su impresivni, čak i DeFi prostor, IoT ili IoE biće samo fragmenti, ili aplikacije takozvanog „Web 3.0“."
„Međutim, ako to posmatramo strogo sa monetarnog stanovišta, verujemo da je postojeći centralizovani finansijski sistem zastareo, neefikasan, nepouzdan i nepotrebno skup; kao takav, biće zamenjen efikasnijom ekonomskom strukturom. Naučno je dokazano da sadašnja veličina tržišta kriptovaluta i njegova rastuća snaga imaju kapacitet da poremete čitav finansijski sistem (Vareško, Deković, 2022:91). Sa ideološkog stanovišta, DeFi sistem izgleda kao najočiglednija zamena. Međutim, u ovom trenutku, više od decenije nakon što je Bitkoin mreža postala potpuno operativna, DeFi struktura zvuči pomalo futuristički. Ipak, obrisi sistema su sada jasno vidljivi. Određeni delovi sistema su više nego funkcionalni, a efekti koje stvaraju oživljavaju osnovnu ideju DeFi-ja. To je vidljivo u procesu zvanom „superhalving“.
Prema našem saznanju, termin superhalving je prvi put korišćen u biltenu koji je svetski poznati stručnjak za kriptovalute Teeka Tiwari poslao svojim čitaocima i pretplatnicima. Da bi objasnio svoje otkriće, koristio je analogiju sa halvingom. Superhalving se odnosi na smanjenje broja novčića u opticaju ali, za razliku od halvinga, superhalving nije vezan za Bitkoin kod. Prema gospodinu Tiwariju, to je hipotetička situacija povezana sa mogućnostima koje rudari sada imaju u DeFi ekosistemu (Tiwari, 2021).
Rudari obezbeđuju računarsku snagu neophodnu za funkcionisanje Bitkoin blokčejna, a podsticaj za raspodelu njihovih računarskih resursa Mreži dolazi u obliku novoizdatog bitkoina. Donedavno, rudari nisu bili u poziciji da zadrže novčiće kojima su nagrađivani. Da bi ostali u „trci“ za novim novčićima u sve konkurentnijem okruženju, nisu imali drugog izbora osim da prodaju zarađene novčiće kako bi finansirali nadogradnju računarskih resursa za dalje operacije. To je bila njihova jedina opcija jer vlasništvo bilo koje vrste kripto-imovine nije značilo ulaz u (tradicionalne) izvore kapitala (Tiwari, 2021).
Danas je situacija izvanredno drugačija. Prvo, finansijske institucije su sada visoko uključene u kripto-tržište (Magnuson, 2022: 884). One nude finansijske usluge i stvaraju visoko profitabilne prostore za svoje klijente u vezi sa Bitkoinom, Ethereumom i drugim projektima. Drugo, fondovi kojima se trguje na berzi, kripto-menjačnice i rudari, svi koji služe industriji kriptovaluta, razvili su se u velike industrije (Magnuson, 2022: 884). Prema Tiwariju, rudari su po prvi put u mogućnosti da prikupe novac putem tržišta kapitala. Prema njegovoj studiji, rudari i kripto-kompanije su već prikupili više od deset puta više kapitala za svoje buduće poduhvate nego prethodnih godina (Tiwari, 2021).“
Nadalje, rudari danas čak ne moraju da imaju pristup investicionim bankama, kapitalnim fondovima ili drugim odabranim institucijama ili individualnim investitorima. Slično Bitkoinu, DeFi je monetarno inkluzivan prostor u apsolutnom smislu. Preko alternativnog decentralizovanog modela finansija zasnovanog na blokčejnu, moguće je zaobići nepotrebne posrednike i ući u virtuelne peer-to-peer kapitalne odnose. Moguće je pozajmljivati, štedeti, zakazivati plaćanja, trgovati, kupovati osiguranje, investirati, dokazivati vlasništvo, pa čak i automatski rebalansirati portfolio na finansijskom tržištu koje je uvek otvoreno, potpuno decentralizovano, izuzetno sigurno i gotovo potpuno imuno na ljudske greške. Pomoću inovativnog investicionog aparata, ovaj finansijski ekosistem čini prikupljanje kapitala jednostavnim, neformalnim, direktnim i samim tim jeftinijim za rudare širom sveta, i svakoga ko želi da finansira svoje buduće ideje i poduhvate. Kroz kriptovalute, pametne ugovore i tokene kreirane na različitim blokčejn platformama za potencijalne investitore i finansijere, bez obzira na to gde se trenutno nalaze, rudari mogu obezbediti neophodan kapital za ažuriranje svoje opreme za rudarenje ili druge aktivnosti. To dalje znači da rudari ne moraju odmah da prodaju bitkoin koji su dobili kao nagradu za rudarenje. Oni ga sada mogu zadržati (što najčešće i čine) sa namerom da alociraju svoj portfolio, realno očekujući da će mu cena porasti. To znači još manje novčića u opticaju, posledično smanjenu ponudu i konačno nižu stopu inflacije. Ukratko, ovo je proces superhalvinga.
Smatramo da je ideja superhalvinga veoma zanimljiva. Ipak, iako je dobro razrađena, verujemo da se ovaj fenomen može i treba tumačiti u širem smislu nego što je sugerisao Tiwari. On ne mora biti strogo povezan samo sa izgradnjom novog kripto-finansijskog digitalnog sveta i prilikama u njemu. Druge okolnosti mogu stvoriti sličan efekat i uzrokovati smanjenje prometa bitkoina. One bi trebalo da se istražuju pod istim imeniocem, tj. superhalvingom. U tom kontekstu, možemo pomenuti dve okolnosti koje imaju najveći deflatorni uticaj na tržište.
Prvo, u tehničkom smislu, Bitkoin se može tumačiti na različite načine: kao softver, kao mreža, kao aplikacija. U ekonomskom smislu, bitkoin može preuzeti ulogu valute, platnog sistema, (digitalne) imovine, pa čak i ulogu robe ili sirovine (Cvetković, 2018:129-133; Pernice, 2021:772). Uzimajući u obzir njegovu primenljivost i ulogu generalno, različite studije su nedvosmisleno potvrdile da se bitkoin konstantno razvijao (18) (Vareško, Deković, 2022:91). Postao je raznovrsniji i globalizovaniji (Karabulut, Sari, 2022: 56). S obzirom na to da je ideja iza stvaranja ovog sistema bila da se transfer vrednosti učini što efikasnijim, odnosno da platni sistem bude efektivan, sve veća rasprostranjenost bitkoina potvrđuje da se on može okarakterisati kao kolektivno priznati medij razmene (Pernice, 2021:777). Međutim, u ovom trenutku postoje kripto-projekti koji omogućavaju efikasniju, bržu i jeftiniju alokaciju vrednosti; stoga se bitkoin retko koristi u tu svrhu. Ipak, bitkoin ima niz superiornih karakteristika (redak je; ima ograničenu ponudu i predodređenu smanjenu stopu izdavanja; omogućava privatnost, poverljivost i stoga je imun na zaplenu; lako je 'prenosiv', lako se skladišti i zahteva malo ili nimalo održavanja; prilično je jednostavan za korišćenje i nije ničija obaveza). Zahvaljujući ovim karakteristikama, bitkoin se ponaša kao digitalno zlato i uglavnom se koristi kao sredstvo očuvanja vrednosti. Drugim rečima, uprkos očiglednoj volatilnosti, i deflatorni dizajn Bitkoina i njegova decentralizovana i globalna priroda poboljšavaju njegove osobine sredstva očuvanja vrednosti (Baur, Dimpfl, 2021:2681). Stoga, bitkoin se većinom traži više kao imovina nego kao valuta, pa se uglavnom ponaša kao sredstvo očuvanja vrednosti (Đorđević, 2018:100). Ovo posebno postaje očigledno u vremenima ekonomskih, geopolitičkih ili zdravstvenih kriza, kao što je ona izazvana pandemijom SARS-CoV-2, ili tekuća energetska kriza.
18. To je nedvosmisleno potvrđeno sveobuhvatnom studijom o broju patenata strogo vezanih za Bitkoin i njegov lanac (Cavalhiero, Cavalhiero, 2022: 211-216).
Zbog toga pojedinci, velike finansijske institucije, kompanije, pa čak i neke vlade uključuju određeni iznos bitkoina u svoje portfelje kako bi zaštitile svoju štednju i investicije. Oni se osiguravaju od inflacije jer se očekuje da se imovina poput zlata ponaša suprotno akcijama i fiat valutama u vremenima kriza. Naučna istraživanja potvrđuju da diverzifikacija portfelja putem bitkoina (ako su uključena i tradicionalna sredstva) može biti odličan izbor ulaganja čak i za one investitore koji nisu skloni preuzimanju viših rizika (Syropyatov, 2021:323; Šoja, Senarathne, 2019:54-58). To znači da svi ti entiteti ne kupuju bitkoine (ili ih u ređem slučaju rudare) sa namerom da ih koriste za plaćanje ili prenos vrednosti. Oni preferiraju dugoročno držanje umesto vršenja transakcija i puštanja u opticaj, što dovodi do ukupnog smanjenja ponude. Budući da je ovo prirodna tendencija u mreži, sigurno je reći da je i ovo vrsta superhalvinga.
Na kraju, postoji još jedna tendencija u kripto ekosistemu koja se može tumačiti kao oblik superhalvinga, a time i deflatorni mehanizam, iako je prilično slučajna. Kao što je već napomenuto, bitkoin je prilično jednostavan za korišćenje, skladištenje i održavanje. Međutim, neophodan je određeni stepen praktičnog znanja. Bitkoin može postati nedostupan ako se 'novčanikom' (hardverskim ili online) loše upravlja. Najčešći način da se bitkoin učini nedostupnim jeste da se izgubi.
U stvari, nemoguće je izgubiti bitkoin jer su novčići trajno povezani sa mrežom. U svakom trenutku, učesnici Mreže mogu odrediti na kojoj se adresi nalazi svaki pojedinačni novčić. Ali tada, privatni ključevi koji omogućavaju pristup novčićima sačuvanim na određenoj adresi su „simbol“ vlasništva (Raskin, 2015: 977, 1002) i oni se mogu izgubiti (Hutchinson Dowd, 2015:361). Bitkoin „novčanici“, naročito hardverski, takođe se mogu izgubiti. Prema procenama, oko 20% bitkoina koji su pušteni u opticaj postalo je trajno nedostupno (Mijatović, 2022:103). Dalje, razumno je očekivati da će se više bitkoina „izgubiti“ tokom vremena; stoga, stvarna ponuda bitkoina, iako nepoznata zbog rizika od trajnog gubitka (Hutchinson & Dowd, 2015: 361), definitivno je manja nego što je prethodno programirano i postepeno će se smanjivati. To čini bitkoin još deflatornijim nego što se ranije predviđalo.
5. Zaključci
Dobro je poznata činjenica da je novac obično, ali ne nužno, podložan državnom monopolu (Pernice, 2021: 773). Do nedavno, šira javnost nije bila spremna da preispituje dogmu o povlašćenosti vlada da „proizvode” novac (Hayek, 1976:20). Danas, šira javnost nije voljna da bezuslovno prihvati koncept lex monetae i državni monopol na izdavanje novca. Konkurentske ideje su dobro formulisane, a relevantni izvori su „na samo nekoliko klikova”. Ipak, ideja predstavljena u belom papiru pod naslovom „Bitkoin: Peer-to-peer sistem elektronskog novca" je nesumnjivo najinspirativnija. Nedavno sprovedena sveobuhvatna statistička analiza potvrđuje da je ovo opšte mišljenje u akademskim krugovima (Karabulut, Sari, 2022: 58-66). Čak i kritičari tehno-ekonomske arhitekture Bitkoina slažu se da Bitkoin nedvosmisleno demonstrira praktičnu mogućnost potpuno decentralizovanog monetarnog sistema zasnovanog prvenstveno na distribuiranom poverenju (Hutchinson & Dowd, 2015:380).
Iako se stabilni novčići nazivaju „Hayekovim novcem” (Syropyatov, 2021: 322-323), oni koji su podržani plemenitim metalima (kao što je zlato), ali prvenstveno oni koji su podržani matičnim fiat valutama, ne mogu se koristiti za konačnu implementaciju Hayekove teorije u realnoj ekonomiji (Syropyatov, 2021: 328). Verujemo da je upravo Bitkoin pravo oličenje stare ideje o izdavanju različitih vrsta novca koje predstavljaju različite apstraktne jedinice koje fluktuiraju u svojoj vrednosti jedna u odnosu na drugu (Hayek, 1976: 25) i koje se jasno mogu razlikovati po različitim denominacijama između kojih bi javnost mogla slobodno da bira (Hayek, 1976: 21). Ceo Bitkoin sistem promoviše ovu ideju na način kao nijedno drugo sredstvo nalik novcu nikada ranije. Štaviše, oslanjajući se isključivo na napredne tehnološke koncepte, Bitkoin ne zavisi od bilo kakve državne dozvole i nije ograničen državnim granicama (19). Ovaj intrigantni sistem je bezbroj puta testiran na stres. Iako nije u potpunosti stabilan i daleko je od savršenog, sve turbulencije su sistem učinile samo otpornijim. To se ne može reći za njegove direktne konkurente – valute koje izdaju države. Zapravo je sasvim suprotno. U kratkom vremenskom periodu, posebno od trenutka kada je Svetska zdravstvena organizacija prepoznala izbijanje pandemije SARS-CoV-2 izazvane novim tipom koronavirusa, bitkoin je transformisan iz potkulturnog fenomena u najpopularniju i najcenjeniju (digitalnu) imovinu za ne više od nekoliko meseci. Sama priroda pandemije SARS-CoV-2, prvenstveno potreba za ograničavanjem fizičkog kontakta, pogodovala je digitalizaciji svih modela obavljanja svakodnevnih aktivnosti i posledično stvorila savršeno okruženje za sve kripto-projekte (Mijatović, 2022:94). Ipak, sama činjenica da je bitkoin na slobodnom tržištu oko 20.000 puta vredniji od USD sugeriše da tu ima još mnogo toga. Ovo važi bez obzira na to da li se bitkoin percipira kao novac ili ne.
Teorija konkurentskih valuta, posebno valuta koje ne izdaju države ili bilo koji centralni autoritet, pokazala se održivom - u najmanju ruku. Zapravo, ako s jedne strane imamo centralizovan i prisilan poredak, a s druge strane dobrovoljan i decentralizovan sistem (McGinnis, 2020: 59), čini se da „dobrovoljni sporazum o korišćenju određenog predmeta kao sredstva plaćanja“ (Đorđević, 2018:97; McGinnis, 2020:61) može čak biti superiorniji od dogme „valutnog monopola“. Ipak, kako mi to vidimo, otkrivanje deflatornih mehanizama ugrađenih u izvorni kod Bitkoina i njihovo prepoznavanje kao nepromenljivih od strane šire javnosti, najveća je tajna njegovog uspeha. Očigledno, ovo nije jedina zanimljiva karakteristika Bitkoin sistema, ali u vremenima kriza poput one izazvane virusom SARS-CoV-2 i njegovim brojnim varijantama, te karakteristike dolaze do izražaja, posebno kada se uporede sa načinom funkcionisanja „imperativnih“ valuta. U svakom slučaju, ovo zapažanje je podržano sudskom praksom. U određenim slučajevima, sudovi su precizno naveli da je bitkoin po prirodi deflatoran i da bi mogao biti bolje skladište vrednosti od brojnih zvaničnih valuta širom sveta koje su veoma podložne inflaciji (Pernice, 2021: 778).
Bitkoin sistem dovodi u pitanje univerzalno prihvaćenu ideju državnog suvereniteta po pitanju izdavanja novca. Teoretski, Bitkoin ne potkopava monetarni suverenitet; u stvari, zajednica čak može doprineti ostvarivanju ove vrste suvereniteta dajući poverenje sredstvu razmene koje se razlikuje od zakonski nametnutih (Pernice, 2021: 775). Prirodno je da ovaj pristup deluje sumnjivo, još više zato što ovaj sistem ne nudi odgovore na sva pitanja koja se javljaju na potpuno decentralizovanom i neregulisanom tržištu slobodnih valuta. Ipak, ovo je fascinantan finansijski sklop. Brojne tehnološke i ekonomske karakteristike čine ga privlačnim za sve one koji su željni da istraže moguće alternative dominaciji države u ovoj oblasti. Na pitanje da li su te alternative održive i u kojoj meri - ostaje da se odgovori. Ipak, zaista verujemo da deflatorni mehanizmi, čak i jednostavni poput onih ugrađenih u Bitkoin sistem, moraju biti dobrodošli kao parametri u trenutnoj ili sledećoj fazi evolucije novca i monetarnih obaveza.
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@ f4a890ce:af88c4aa
2025-06-15 03:57:21執行摘要
市場經歷回調後進入盤整期,總市值維持在3.24兆美元,成交量與交易活躍度持續走弱,顯示投資人正等待新方向。本週建議聚焦以下數據:
比特幣關鍵支撐與壓力區:URPD密集支撐帶104,000美元下方,若價格跌破需提防市場加速回調;反之,若重回105,000美元以上,將確認技術反彈啟動。
現貨買盤動能指標:持續追蹤 Coinbase Premium Index、Korea Premium Index 是否維持正值,這將反映全球主力市場現貨買盤是否仍具支撐力。
ETF 資金動向:上週 BTC ETF 出現大幅流出,若本週流出持續,可能進一步壓抑市場信心;相對地,ETH ETF 資金流入能否維持,將是觀察主流資金偏好的重點。
加密市場
本週加密貨幣市場總市值維持在 3.29 兆美元 左右,顯示市場基本面仍具穩定性。與此同時,當週總成交量下降至 617.22 億美元,反映出市場活躍度有所降低,投資者交易意願趨向謹慎。
https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/
市場情緒方面,恐懼與貪婪指數為 52,落於中性區間,表明投資者對市場前景沒有明顯的樂觀或悲觀情緒,情緒呈現平穩狀態。
https://www.coinglass.com/zh-TW/pro/i/FearGreedIndex
相對強弱指標顯示部分標的處於中性至弱勢區間,暗示短期內市場可能面臨獲利回吐或技術性修正的壓力,動能顯得較為不足。
https://www.coinglass.com/zh-TW/pro/i/RsiHeatMap
山寨幣季節指數維持在 20,這表明市場資金依然偏向於比特幣及其他主流加密貨幣,中小型代幣未獲得大量關注。
https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/altcoin-season-index/
穩定幣市值上升至 251.548 億美元,反映出仍然有資金流入,但部分資金正積極尋求避險,或準備在市場調整後抓住更具吸引力的進場時機。
https://defillama.com/stablecoins
小結
本週加密市場總市值保持穩定,但成交量下降與相對強弱指標偏弱顯示市場交易熱情減弱,投資者情緒趨於保守。山寨幣季節指數維持低位,說明資金繼續集中在主流幣種,而穩定幣市值的上升則暗示投資者正在為未來可能的市場調整做準備。
未來,市場動向仍將受到資金流向和宏觀經濟變化的影響,密切關注這些指標將有助於判斷進一步的趨勢。
衍生性商品
本週永續合約持倉規模達 143.36B,市場活躍度依舊保持在高水準,顯示出投資者對槓桿交易需求的持續熱情。
https://www.coinglass.com/zh-TW/pro/futures/Cryptofutures
當前市場資金費率為 0.0018%(多數交易所均呈正費率),表明市場中多頭情緒仍占上風,因近期價格短時間急跌導致市場資金費率數值不高。
https://www.coinglass.com/zh-TW/FundingRate
整體而言,本週總空單爆倉金額為 891.441M,而多單爆倉則達 1563.242M。數據顯示多單在高槓桿環境下的風險較大,特別是在 6 月 12 日與 6 月 13 日,市場出現大量爆倉事件,主要以多單清算為主。
https://www.coinglass.com/zh-TW/LiquidationData
清算熱力圖顯示,在約 $111,000 的價格區間,清算金額達到 142.1M,這一水平可能成為近期市場波動的關鍵阻力區,投資者需加以留意。
https://www.coinglass.com/zh-TW/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap
期權市場活躍,投資者在不同價格區間進行對沖與佈局:
$100,000 的看跌期權合約數量達 12.23K,總金額為 $29.37M,顯示部分投資者對市場下跌風險進行了防禦性的配置,短期可以視為支撐區間。
$110,000 的看漲期權合約數量達 13.69K,總金額為 $57.16M,反映出市場對上行潛力仍保持期待,但與看跌期權相比,金額與合約數量略有差距,表明市場預期存在一定分歧。
https://www.coinglass.com/zh-TW/pro/options/OIStrike
最大痛點位於 2025/06/27 的 $100,000,對應名義金額達 13.83B。這一數據顯示,在該價位附近存在大量未平倉部位,若市場走向觸發,可能會引起顯著的價格波動。
https://www.coinglass.com/zh-TW/pro/options/max-pain
小結
本週加密市場的衍生性商品數據顯示,儘管永續合約持倉依然維持在高位,但資金費率轉為低位正值,加上近期大量多單爆倉事件,市場風險提示逐漸浮現。期權市場則反映出市場參與者在看跌與看漲情緒上的分歧,最大痛點的持倉集中使得 $100,000 成為未來觀察市場動態的重要區間。建議投資者密切關注市場波動,審慎調整槓桿與對沖策略,從而在風險與機會間達成平衡。
ETF
本週,加密貨幣衍生性商品市場出現明顯分歧,資金流向呈現不同趨勢。比特幣(BTC)ETF 方面,本週出現資金流出,金額達$47.8M。這一變化顯示,部分投資者對比特幣近期走勢保持謹慎,可能因宏觀經濟不確定性或市場波動風險而選擇調整資金配置。
以太坊(ETH)ETF 則呈現資金流入態勢,本週流入金額$25.3M。這表明,儘管部分資金從比特幣中撤離,但投資者對以太坊的技術升級及生態系統發展持續看好,認為 ETH 具有長期成長潛力。
https://coinmarketcap.com/zh-tw/etf/
小結
總體而言,本週加密貨幣衍生性商品市場展現出資金流向的明顯分歧:比特幣ETF出現淨資金流出,而以太坊 ETF 則錄得流入。投資者在謹慎配置資金以應對市場風險的同時,也在關注標的資產的長期發展潛力。
近期也有許多公司效仿 Strategy 開始囤積加密資產,這也有可能是以太坊 ETF 錄得流入的原因。未來,仍持續關注宏觀經濟及技術革新動態,將有助於更好地掌握市場轉折點與資金流向走勢。
鏈上分析 | BTC
二級交易所比特幣儲備量持續下降,再度創下新低,顯示交易所上待售比特幣供給逐步減少,潛在拋壓持續減輕。
在地址分布方面,與上週相同,未見任何反轉跡象:10–100 顆的中型持倉地址數量持續探低,而 100–1k、1k–10k、10k 以上顆數的大型與超大型持倉地址數量均維持上升趨勢。
https://cryptoquant.com/community/dashboard/67e2481ba2a7203afd437b31
值得一提的是,除了我們在 CryptoQuant 上觀察到的數據(該平台已排除礦工與交易所地址),BGeometrics 的地址分布資料亦提供另一視角(全網地址),本週各持倉區間地址數量普遍略減,僅 1 顆 BTC 以下的小額地址呈現增長。
https://charts.bgeometrics.com/bitcoin_distribution_addr_tables.html
特別是 100–1k BTC 的地址數量減幅較為顯著,但從 bitcoinmagazinepro 公布的 Addresses with Balance > 100 BTC 數據來看,大型持倉地址近期呈現積極囤積態勢,顯示市場中大資金仍在持續加倉布局,對中長期市場信心維持正向。
https://www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com/charts/addresses-greater-than-100-btc/
雖然近期 100 BTC 以上的地址持續瘋狂囤積比特幣,顯示市場對資產配置的需求大增,但從 Address Net Position BTC 30 days 數據來看,真正能影響市場價格波動與方向的,仍是持倉 1k–10k BTC 的地址群體。這類大戶的持倉變化對市場資金流向具有決定性影響,因此值得高度關注。筆者推測,近期大量囤積約 100 BTC 的地址,很可能是企業或機構出於資產配置需求購買比特幣,以作為對抗市場或宏觀經濟風險的一種策略手段。
100-1k Net Position BTC 30 days :https://charts.bgeometrics.com/reports/bitcoin_shark_30d_sum_g.html
1k-10k Net Position BTC 30 days :https://charts.bgeometrics.com/reports/bitcoin_whale_30d_sum_g.html
URPD 指標顯示市場在經歷回調後,價格依然穩固地維持在籌碼最集中、具備顯著支撐力的區域,這代表大多數投資者的平均持倉成本位於當前價格附近,形成強勁的防守層。
https://charts.bgeometrics.com/distribution_realized_price.html
近期鏈上數據顯示,Coinbase 益價指數在 0.049 以上,而韓國益價指數在 2 的高位,這反映出無論在美國或韓國市場,投資者對比特幣的購買意願仍相對強勁。此現象側面突顯全球主要市場對比特幣的需求支撐力。
Coinbase Premium Index:https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/market-data/coinbase-premium-index?window=DAY&sma=0&ema=0&priceScale=log&metricScale=linear&chartStyle=line
Korea Premium Index:https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/market-data/korea-premium-index?window=DAY&sma=0&ema=0&priceScale=log&metricScale=linear&chartStyle=line
小結
近期比特幣鏈上數據顯示,二級交易所儲備量持續下降,再次創下新低,反映出投資人將資產移出交易所、偏向長期持有的態勢。
地址分布方面,10-100顆的地址數量持續減少,而100-1k、1k-10k與10k以上顆數的地址數量穩步上升,特別是1k-10k的地址,從近30日淨持倉變化可見其對市場影響力仍為主導。
雖然100顆以上地址積極增持,可能代表企業為資產配置、防範風險所為,但尚不足以主導價格走勢。
URPD指標顯示市場回調後價格維持在籌碼最集中區間,支撐明顯。Coinbase 與韓國溢價指數分別穩於 0.049 和 2,顯示美韓市場買盤意願仍強。
整體而言市場結構偏向於短期健康回調,但仍需持續觀察外部宏觀變數對資金流向的影響。
總體經濟
聯邦基金有效利率持續維持在 4.33%,這表明在當前高利率政策下,資金成本依然居高不下,對整體風險資產形成持續壓力。
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
隨著 6 月 18 日 FOMC 會議臨近,市場普遍預期當前利率大概率將維持在 4.25%-4.50% 區間;而6 月及 7 月的會議幾乎可以確定不會降息。值得注意的是,目前市場對於 9 月 17 日 會議出現降息一碼的預期已高達 56.8%,這一轉變反映了部分投資者對未來資金回流的期待,同時也透露出市場對持續高利率環境的謹慎態度。
https://www.cmegroup.com/cn-t/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
消費者物價指數 (CPI) 微微上升至 2.38%,顯示通膨壓力還算可控;而失業率則穩定在 4.2%,反映出勞動市場的基本韌性。但在高利率與流動性受限的背景下,這些正面基本面數據未能對加密貨幣價格產生足夠支撐。
失業率:https://www.macromicro.me/series/37/unemployment-rate
消費者物價指數(CPI):https://www.macromicro.me/series/128/consumer-price-index-sa-yoy
小結
綜合來看,加密市場在高利率政策和緊縮流動性的雙重影響下,短期內仍面臨較大價格波動風險。儘管 6 月和 7 月的會議預期將維持現有利率水平,但 9 月會議中降息一碼的高預期可能為未來市場帶來資金回流的契機。投資者應持續關注 FOMC 會議及最新經濟數據,謹慎調整策略。
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@ 3ffac3a6:2d656657
2025-06-15 03:38:59Securely Expose Your LND Node via Cloudflared and a VPS
Introduction & Motivation
Exposing your Lightning Network Daemon (LND) node to the public internet is essential for full participation in the Lightning Network. However, doing so introduces critical challenges in terms of security, privacy, and resilience against attacks.
This guide presents a solution using Cloudflare Tunnel and Cloudflare Access—a modern, secure method to expose services to the internet while maintaining strict control and minimizing exposure. We also compare this approach with more traditional methods such as SSH tunnels and VPNs (WireGuard/OpenVPN + socat/iptables) to highlight the trade-offs.
Traditional Exposure Methods: Risks and Limitations
SSH Reverse Tunnels (
ssh -R
,sshtunnel
)- ✅ Outbound-only: The connection is initiated from the LND host. The VPS cannot reach the internal network on its own.
- ⚠️ Metadata exposure: The LND host's IP address, SSH key, and connection metadata are visible to the VPS.
- ⚠️ Access control is coarse: Without extra measures, any process on the VPS can access the forwarded service.
- ⚠️ No service-layer authentication: Anyone reaching the exposed port can interact with LND, assuming the protocol is known.
VPNs (WireGuard/OpenVPN + iptables or socat)
- ⚠️ Blurs the security boundary: VPNs extend the network perimeter to remote clients. Misconfigured rules can inadvertently expose internal services.
- ❌ Allows lateral movement: If the VPS is compromised, it may gain full access to the LND host’s network.
- ✅ Traffic is encrypted, but requires correct firewalling and routing to be safe.
- ⚠️ Complexity: These setups often involve manual iptables, port forwarding, and tight coupling of services.
Cloudflare Tunnel + Access (This Guide)
This solution uses Cloudflared on the LND host to initiate an outbound connection to Cloudflare, which then routes traffic through a secured, authenticated TCP tunnel via a VPS.
- ✅ No exposed ports on the LND host.
- ✅ VPS cannot discover or access the LND IP—only forwards TCP packets to Cloudflare.
- ✅ Service Token authentication ensures only authorized clients can connect.
- ⚠️ Trust in Cloudflare is required. While your LND host is protected from the internet, Cloudflare can see metadata, and potentially, inspect unencrypted traffic.
- ❌ Cloudflare is proprietary infrastructure. You’re protected from attackers, but not necessarily from Cloudflare or governments.
Security & Privacy Comparison
| Feature | SSH Tunnel | VPN + socat/iptables | Cloudflare Tunnel + Access | | --------------------------------- | ------------------ | -------------------- | -------------------------- | | Encrypts traffic | ✅ | ✅ | ✅ | | Initiated from LND host | ✅ | ❌ | ✅ | | Prevents VPS from accessing LAN | ✅ | ❌ | ✅ | | Hides LND IP from VPS | ❌ | ❌ | ✅ | | Hides LND IP from tunnel provider | ❌ | ✅ | ❌ | | Proprietary infrastructure | ❌ | ❌ | ⚠️ (Cloudflare) | | Fine-grained access control | ⚠️ (manual) | ⚠️ (manual) | ✅ (Service Token) | | Susceptible to VPS compromise | ⚠️ (metadata only) | ❌ (full access) | ✅ (isolated forwarding) |
Tutorial: Step-by-Step Setup
1. Set Up the Cloudflare Tunnel
- In your Cloudflare Zero Trust dashboard, navigate to Access → Tunnels.
- Create a new tunnel (e.g.,
lnd-tunnel
). - Choose Use Token Authentication and copy the token.
-
Add a Public Hostname:
-
Hostname:
lnd-external-access.mydomain.com
- Service Type: TCP
- URL:
tcp://lnd:9735
(This is the internal Docker hostname and port for LND.)
2. Run Cloudflared on the LND Host
Assuming your LND node runs in Docker inside the
bitcoin-net
network:.env
env TOKEN=your-cloudflare-tunnel-token
docker-compose.yml
```yaml version: "3.8"
services: cloudflared: image: cloudflare/cloudflared:latest command: tunnel --no-autoupdate run --token ${TOKEN} restart: unless-stopped env_file: - .env networks: - bitcoin-net
networks: bitcoin-net: external: true name: bitcoin-net ```
3. Create the Cloudflare Service Token
- Go to Access → Service Auth.
- Click Create Service Token.
- Name it (e.g.,
lnd-access-client
) and store both the Token ID and Token Secret—you’ll need these on the VPS and to configure access.
4. Define the Cloudflare Access Application
- Navigate to Access → Applications → Add an Application.
- Choose Self-hosted.
-
Set:
-
Application Name:
lnd-external-access
- Domain:
lnd-external-access.mydomain.com
-
In Policies:
-
Add a policy:
- Name:
Allow via Service Token
- Action:
Service Auth
- Include → Service Token: select the token you just created
- Name:
5. Deploy the Forwarding VPS
a. Configure firewall:
bash sudo ufw allow ssh sudo ufw allow 9735/tcp sudo ufw enable
b. Set environment variables:
.env
env TOKEN_ID=your-service-token-id TOKEN_SECRET=your-service-token-secret HOSTNAME=lnd-external-access.mydomain.com LISTEN=tcp://0.0.0.0:9735
c. Run Cloudflared:
docker-compose.yml
```yaml version: "3.8"
services: cloudflared: image: cloudflare/cloudflared:latest ports: - 9735:9735 command: > access tcp --service-token-id ${TOKEN_ID} --service-token-secret ${TOKEN_SECRET} --hostname ${HOSTNAME} --url ${LISTEN} --loglevel debug env_file: - .env restart: unless-stopped ```
6. Configure DNS
In Cloudflare DNS:
-
Create an A record:
-
Name:
lnd
- Type: A
- Value:
VPS_IP
- Proxy status: DNS only
7. Configure LND
Edit
lnd.conf
to include:ini externalip=lnd.mydomain.com
Restart LND to apply changes.
8. Test the Connection
From another LND node or client:
bash lncli connect <pubkey>@lnd.mydomain.com:9735
Check logs in LND and Cloudflared to confirm successful connection.
Final Notes
- This method preserves your network perimeter, even if the VPS is compromised.
- All traffic is authenticated with service tokens, and no direct access is possible to your LND host.
- You do trust Cloudflare, so weigh that risk in high-privacy environments.
-
@ 8d34bd24:414be32b
2025-06-15 03:31:00How do you look at the things in your life?
-
Do you focus on your physical problems or do you look forward to your resurrection body in heaven?
-
Do you spend your time trying to fix the corruption in government or do you spend your time trying to bring as many people as possible home to heaven?
-
When you see someone suffering do you first pray for their physical healing or do you pray for their spiritual healing?
-
Do you work to fit in with the people around you or do you work to become more Christ-like?
-
Do you crave entertainment or do you crave biblical enrichment?
-
Do you focus more on your citizenship here on earth or more on your eternal citizenship?
-
Do you seek fellowship with the people of this world or do you seek fellowship with your Savior?
-
Do you look at people’s faults and how they hurt you or do you look at their hurt and separation from God and seek to bring them to Jesus?
-
Do you spend your time on work and entertainment or do you spend your time studying the word of God, praying to God, and telling others about God?
Do you have an earthly or an eternal perspective?
Physical or Spiritual Needs
Jesus always had an eternal perspective. This event is just one example.
One day He was teaching; and there were some Pharisees and teachers of the law sitting there, who had come from every village of Galilee and Judea and from Jerusalem; and the power of the Lord was present for Him to perform healing. And some men were carrying on a bed a man who was paralyzed; and they were trying to bring him in and to set him down in front of Him. But not finding any way to bring him in because of the crowd, they went up on the roof and let him down through the tiles with his stretcher, into the middle of the crowd, in front of Jesus. Seeing their faith, He said, “Friend, your sins are forgiven you.” The scribes and the Pharisees began to reason, saying, “Who is this man who speaks blasphemies? Who can forgive sins, but God alone?” But Jesus, aware of their reasonings, answered and said to them, “Why are you reasoning in your hearts? Which is easier, to say, ‘Your sins have been forgiven you,’ or to say, ‘Get up and walk’? But, so that you may know that the Son of Man has authority on earth to forgive sins,”—He said to the paralytic—“I say to you, get up, and pick up your stretcher and go home.” (Luke 5:17-24) {emphasis mine}
In this familiar story a man who was paralyzed was brought to Jesus for healing. The paralytic’s friends worked so hard to get him physically healed that they hauled him up on the roof, dug through the roof, and lowered him down in front of Jesus. What was Jesus’s response? Jesus forgave the man’s sins. Every person there saw the man’s need to be able to walk, so he could take care of himself here on earth. Jesus saw the more important spiritual need and forgave his sins. After taking care of his eternal need, he also took care of his more earthly need and healed him physically.
Do you see people’s eternal need or do you just see their physical needs or worse, only see their earthly failings? Do you only see the hurt they are causing you or do you see the hurt they feel that comes from being separated from God?
Earthly or Heavenly Citizenship
I’ve been involved in politics for many years. I’ve been to precinct, county, state, and national conventions. I’ve written, debated, and defended political platforms and resolutions. I vote every election. All of that is good and useful, but is that where we are supposed to spend most of our time and effort? I’ve come to the conclusion that this is not what is most important.
For our citizenship is in heaven, from which also we eagerly wait for a Savior, the Lord Jesus Christ; who will transform the body of our humble state into conformity with the body of His glory, by the exertion of the power that He has even to subject all things to Himself. (Philippians 3:20-21)
We are told that our citizenship is in heaven. The majority of our effort should be put into support of our heavenly citizenship, not our earthly citizenship. That doesn’t mean that we should let our earthly kingdom fall apart and turn away from God, but it does mean we should be more focused on turning hearts and minds to Jesus than we are with setting domestic laws. We should be more focused on worshipping God than supporting politicians.
Sadly I see too many Christians who focus on pushing the “Pledge of Allegiance to the Flag” than they do pushing loyalty to Jesus. I see too many Christians who put all of their effort into electing the “right” politician instead of pointing people to the real Savior. I see too many Christians who try to pass the “right” laws instead of reading the law of God. I see too many Christians who put all of their effort into changing people’s minds to the “right” party instead of changing hearts and minds for Christ.
Do you really seek the kingdom of God or are you only focused on your earthly nation? Do you spend more time trying to win people for your political party than you do trying to win people for Christ? Our primary focus should be on the Millennial Kingdom of Christ and on eternity in heaven with Jesus, not on our earthly country.
Yes, we are to be a light in the world and we should seek the good of our earthly nations, but sharing the gospel, living a life honoring to God, and doing everything within our power to draw people to Jesus should be our focus and where we put most of our effort.
And He came and preached peace to you who were far away, and peace to those who were near; for through Him we both have our access in one Spirit to the Father. So then you are no longer strangers and aliens, but you are fellow citizens with the saints, and are of God’s household, having been built on the foundation of the apostles and prophets, Christ Jesus Himself being the corner stone, in whom the whole building, being fitted together, is growing into a holy temple in the Lord, in whom you also are being built together into a dwelling of God in the Spirit. (Ephesians 2:17-22)
The Hurt They Cause or the Hurt They Feel
People today are selfish and hurtful. Most people are trying to be the greatest victim which means they are accusing others of being abusers, tyrants, or haters. People are impolite, inconsiderate, and sometimes downright hateful. How do you respond?
Do you attack back when you are attacked? Are you rude back when you are treated rudely? Do you only see how others hurt you or can you see the hurt behind the hurtful behavior?
Most of the people who are striking out with hate and anger are truly hurting people. They have been taught that they are evolved pond scum and feel hopeless. They have been mistreated by other hurting people. They have been taught to be victims and to hate anyone who may not be a victim. Instead of feeling hate, we should feel compassion.
In Matthew 18:21-35 Jesus tells a parable of a master who forgives his slave of his debts, but then that slave does not show the same mercy to another who owes him much less. The slave is rebuked.
Then summoning him, his lord said to him, ‘You wicked slave, I forgave you all that debt because you pleaded with me. Should you not also have had mercy on your fellow slave, in the same way that I had mercy on you?’ (Matthew 18:32-33)
God loved us before we loved Him. Jesus forgave us far more than we can ever forgive others. After all Jesus did for us, we should be forgiving like He is. We should see other’s hurt and eternal destination and have compassion on them. Instead of treating them the way we were treated, we should treat them like Jesus treated us. We should seek their eternal good above our momentary comfort.
And He said to them, “Come away by yourselves to a secluded place and rest a while.” (For there were many people coming and going, and they did not even have time to eat.) They went away in the boat to a secluded place by themselves.
The people saw them going, and many recognized them and ran there together on foot from all the cities, and got there ahead of them. When Jesus went ashore, He saw a large crowd, and He felt compassion for them because they were like sheep without a shepherd; and He began to teach them many things. (Mark 6:31-34) {emphasis mine}
Just as Jesus had compassion for the crowd and their spiritual needs when He and His disciples had need of food and rest, in the same way we should sacrifice our egos to minister to the spiritual needs of those that may seem unlovable because of their eternal need.
May the Lord of Heaven help us to have an eternal perspective and to view everything and everyone with that eternal and spiritual perspective so we can faithfully serve Jesus and bring with us a plentiful harvest. May Jesus use us for His glory and for the eternal good of those around us.
-
-
@ 3c389c8f:7a2eff7f
2025-06-15 03:22:13Nostr's first algorithmic relay feed, was introduced by prolific Nostr user, builder, and supporter, utxo the webmaster and the Bitvora team. This idea takes control of your algorithms away from 3rd parties and puts it directly in the user's hands. The system was designed to give readers the ability to choose who and what they want to see in their Nostr feed, and at what frequency, while also encouraging discovery of new and interesting content. The design keeps in mind that users may not want to see posts that are inflammatory or contentious like ad-driven algorithms assume, but ones that simply generate interesting conversations. On top of that, it is also clearly designed to incentivize users to spend time offline and still keeping up with things that are important to them online.
After playing with the various settings, I have been pleasantly surprised with how well it works. To set up your individualized algo relay feed, you simply visit the landing page and sign in with your signer of choice. You will first be presented with some information about your network and the authors you interact with the most. This is a neat little bonus to me. I can clearly see the profiles that provide me with value, whether it be through learning, friendship, or professional (whatever that means). It gives me a good feeling to see who has been worthy of my attention, and I imagine if I were one to engage in defensive online discussions, the presentation of these authors might make me take a second look at my own behavior. Maybe the idea of anyone else doing that is a pipedream, but I like the thought. Just beyond the network information are some insightful statistics about the ways you engage online, like how often you post and reply.
Towards the bottom of the page are your actual settings:
As you can see, there are a variety of settings that all will impact the way that your personalized feed is built. Simply make some adjustments that feel right for you and click save. Your personalized algorithm feed will be available to you in any client that enables relay browsing, like Jumble and Coracle. It is worth trying out a couple of different formulas, as they are quite effective. Once you find a balance that feels right, you can just save the relay as a favorite for easy access, and basically forget about it. They relay will keep your settings to build your personalized Nostr feed whenever you connect. If at any time you need a change, just revisit the page and make your adjustments. The software is open source, making it possible to host your own for yourself and your friends.
I have found a lot of interesting content and people through the Nostr AlgoRelay. My first few settings adjustments didn't quite suit what I was looking for, but a few tweaks brought forth notes from some of my favorite people that I had missed but not stuff that was really outdated, a few notes from popular figureheads, and some things that my friends were engaging with that I did not know about prior. I highly recommend giving it a try, beyond a quick glance. The true value of this relay grows in time, as you go about life and come back to visit your Nostr world.
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-06-15 01:11:24“นาฬิกาชีวิตระดับยีน” ที่ไม่ได้เดินตามเข็ม แต่เดินตามแสงแดด ลมหนาว กลิ่นฝน และแม้กระทั่งความเงียบในฤดูหนาว... โลกที่เรียกว่า Epigenetic Clock ซึ่งไม่ได้แค่บอกอายุ แต่ยังเปลี่ยนพฤติกรรมของเซลล์ตามฤดูกาล เหมือนกับที่ใบไม้เปลี่ยนสีโดยที่ต้นไม้ไม่ได้ตั้งใจ
แม้เราจะคิดว่าอายุถูกวัดด้วยวัน เดือน ปีที่ผ่านไป แต่ในทางชีววิทยาอายุจริง ๆ ของร่างกายเราวัดด้วยสิ่งที่เรียกว่า epigenetic clock หรือนาฬิกาชีวิตที่ฝังอยู่ในระดับยีน ซึ่งไม่ได้เปลี่ยนเพราะตัวเลขในบัตรประชาชน แต่เปลี่ยนเพราะปัจจัยรอบตัวที่มากระทบชีวิตเราในทุก ๆ วัน รวมถึงแสงแดดที่สาดลงมาบนผิวในแต่ละฤดูกาลด้วย ยีนของเรานั้นมี “สวิตช์เปิด-ปิด” ที่ควบคุมโดยกลไกที่เรียกว่า epigenetic marks หรือการเปลี่ยนโครงสร้างดีเอ็นเอเล็กน้อยโดยไม่เปลี่ยนรหัสพันธุกรรมเดิม คล้ายกับที่โน้ตเพลงยังเหมือนเดิม แต่เปลี่ยนจังหวะหรือเสียงเครื่องดนตรีที่ใช้บรรเลง
นักวิจัยพบว่าในสัตว์ที่อาศัยอยู่ในเขตอบอุ่น เช่น หนู ฮอร์โมนการสืบพันธุ์ไม่ได้หลั่งเท่ากันทั้งปี แต่หลั่งตามแสงที่สั้นหรือยาว ซึ่งเป็นตัวส่งสัญญาณให้ระบบ epigenetic ไปปรับยีนที่เกี่ยวข้องกับการผลิตฮอร์โมนเพศ และแม้แต่การสะสมไขมัน โดยยีนบางตัวจะถูก “เมทิลเลต” หรือปิดไว้ในฤดูหนาว แล้วเปิดออกใหม่เมื่อเข้าสู่ฤดูใบไม้ผลิ เพื่อให้ร่างกายกลับมาใช้งานได้อย่างเหมาะสมในฤดูที่มีอาหารมากขึ้น กระบวนการนี้ไม่ใช่เรื่องเฉพาะสัตว์ เพราะในคนก็เกิดขึ้นเหมือนกัน แค่เราไม่รู้ว่ามันกำลังทำงานอยู่ใต้ผิวหนังแบบเงียบ ๆ เท่านั้นเองครับ
ไม่ใช่แค่ฮอร์โมนเท่านั้นที่ขยับตามฤดู แต่ภูมิคุ้มกันเองก็เปลี่ยนตามจังหวะ epigenetic ด้วย นักวิจัยจากมหาวิทยาลัยเคมบริดจ์พบว่าในฤดูหนาว ยีนที่เกี่ยวข้องกับการอักเสบ (inflammatory genes) จะถูกเปิดใช้งานมากขึ้น ในขณะที่ยีนที่เกี่ยวกับการซ่อมแซมและการควบคุมภูมิคุ้มกันกลับถูกปิดบางส่วน ผลก็คือคนเรามีแนวโน้มจะเจ็บป่วยจากโรคอักเสบหรือภูมิแพ้ในฤดูหนาวมากกว่าฤดูร้อน ซึ่งเป็นฤดูที่ระบบภูมิคุ้มกันถูกเซ็ตใหม่ให้โฟกัสที่การซ่อมแซมมากกว่าโจมตี การทำงานเหล่านี้ไม่ได้เกิดแบบสุ่ม แต่สอดคล้องกับแสงแดดที่เปลี่ยนแปลงไปในแต่ละเดือน ราวกับว่าร่างกายเรามี ปฏิทินลับ ที่คอยกางออกให้ยีนอ่านอยู่เสมอ
สิ่งที่น่าสนใจมากกว่านั้นคือ แสงแดดสามารถย้อนวัย epigenetic ได้จริง โดยเฉพาะในรูปของ “early morning sunlight” ซึ่งมีแสงอินฟราเรดยาว ๆ (near-infrared light) ที่ช่วยกระตุ้นการทำงานของ cytochrome c oxidase ในไมโตคอนเดรีย ทำให้ผลิตพลังงานได้ดีขึ้น ลด oxidative stress และกระตุ้นยีนที่เกี่ยวข้องกับการซ่อมดีเอ็นเอ มีงานวิจัยที่แสดงให้เห็นว่าแสงตอนเช้าอาจช่วยลดความเร็วของ epigenetic aging ได้ดีกว่าการออกกำลังกายเสียอีก หากทำอย่างสม่ำเสมอและถูกจังหวะในแต่ละฤดู
ในมุมของการรักษาโรค NCD หรือโรคที่เกิดจากวิถีชีวิตแบบพัง ๆ โอเคเราอาจเคยได้ยินเรื่องอาหาร การออกกำลังกาย หรือการนอน แต่มีน้อยคนที่จะพูดถึงการ “ตั้งนาฬิกาชีวิตให้ตรงกับฤดู” เพราะวงจร epigenetic ไม่ได้ถูกปรับด้วยกิจกรรมแค่วันต่อวัน แต่มันตอบสนองกับช่วงเวลาที่ลึกกว่านั้น คือ “ฤดูชีวิต” แบบ circannual ซึ่งเป็นเหมือนเมตาบอสเต็มรูปแบบของ biological season ที่ธรรมชาติเขียนสคริปต์ไว้แล้ว เราแค่ต้องฟัง
สิ่งที่เราจะทำได้จริงแบบง่าย ๆ คือ การอยู่กลางแดดในฤดูที่ควรอยู่กลางแดด ไม่ใช่ปิดผ้าม่านแล้วเปิด Netflix ทั้งวัน ปล่อยให้แสงจริงกระทบตาและผิวเป็นประจำโดยเฉพาะในช่วงเวลา 7:00 – 9:00 น. และอย่าลืมว่าฤดูไม่ใช่มีไว้แค่เปลี่ยนเสื้อผ้า แต่เปลี่ยนวิธีที่ร่างกายผลิตฮอร์โมน ซ่อมแซมตัวเอง และแม้แต่สร้างเซลล์สมองใหม่ ๆ ซึ่งกระบวนการทั้งหมดนี้ต้องการจังหวะที่ตรงกับปฏิทินของธรรมชาติ
ถ้าความแก่คือผลรวมของความผิดจังหวะเล็ก ๆ ทุกวัน การกลับไปอยู่กับฤดูกาลอีกครั้ง อาจเป็นเหมือนการตั้งวงดนตรีให้เข้าคีย์ใหม่ ฟังได้ไพเราะยิ่งกว่าเสียงใดในโลก และทำให้ “ยีนของเรา” เล่นบทเพลงแห่งชีวิตได้ยาวนานขึ้นอย่างสง่างาม แบบที่ไม่ต้องพึ่งอะไรเลยนอกจากแสงจากฟ้าและความเข้าใจลึก ๆ ที่ธรรมชาติมีให้เราตั้งแต่เกิด
#pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr #SundaySpecialเราจะไปเป็นหมูแดดเดียว
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@ c1e9ab3a:9cb56b43
2025-06-15 00:36:391. Introduction
The 21st century is marked by a rare confluence of demographic, technological, and monetary regime shifts. As birth rates fall below replacement levels across advanced and many emerging economies, global population growth slows and begins to reverse. At the same time, automation, AI, and robotics are increasing productivity at an accelerating pace. Simultaneously, trust in central banks and fiat currencies is waning, giving rise to calls for a return to hard currencies (e.g., gold, Bitcoin) and decentralized monetary systems.
These trends pose stark challenges to existing economic theories and institutions. This paper explores their implications through two opposing lenses: Keynesian economics and Austrian (Misesian) economics.
2. The Keynesian Reaction: Deflation, Demand Collapse, and the Paradox of Thrift
2.1. Demand-Side Fragility in a Shrinking Population
Keynesian theory is rooted in the principle that aggregate demand drives output and employment. A declining population implies a falling consumption base, which directly reduces aggregate demand. Combined with increased longevity, this trend leads to a larger retired population disinclined to spend, creating persistent demand shortfalls.
2.2. Technological Unemployment and Reduced Income Velocity
Rapid productivity gains from AI and robotics may displace large segments of labor, leading to unemployment or underemployment. With fewer wage earners and heightened uncertainty, consumption slows further. Even if goods become cheaper, widespread income insecurity constrains the ability to buy them.
2.3. The Paradox of Thrift
In times of uncertainty, both individuals and businesses tend to save more. Keynes argued that if everyone saves, aggregate demand collapses because one person’s spending is another’s income. Thus, increased saving leads to lower incomes, which reduces saving in aggregate—a self-reinforcing contraction.
2.4. Retreat from Fiat and Central Banking: A Catastrophic Constraint
Abandoning fiat currency and central banking removes the government’s ability to perform countercyclical policy. Interest rates cannot be lowered below zero; money supply cannot be expanded to fill demand gaps. In such a regime, deflation becomes chronic, debt burdens rise in real terms, and recovery mechanisms are neutered.
Conclusion (Keynesian):
The combined effect of declining population, rising productivity, and a hard money transition is catastrophic. It leads to a deflationary spiral, mass unemployment, debt crises, and secular stagnation unless aggressively offset by expansive fiscal and monetary policy—tools unavailable in a hard currency system.
3. The Misesian Rebuttal: Market Coordination and the Natural Order of Decline
3.1. Savings as Capital Formation
Mises and the Austrian School reject the paradox of thrift. Savings are not lost demand; they are deferred consumption that funds capital investment. Increased saving, in a free market, lowers interest rates and reallocates resources toward longer-term, higher-order production.
3.2. Deflation as a Signal of Progress
Falling prices due to productivity gains are not a crisis but a benefit. Consumers gain real wealth. Entrepreneurs adjust cost structures. As long as wages and prices are flexible, deflation reflects abundance, not failure.
3.3. Population Decline as Economic Recalibration
A shrinking population reduces demand, yes—but it also reduces the labor supply. Wages rise in real terms. Capital intensity per worker increases. There is no systemic unemployment if labor markets are free and responsive.
3.4. Hard Currency as Restoration of Market Coordination
Transitioning to a hard currency purges fiat-induced malinvestment and restores the price mechanism. With no artificial credit expansion, capital is allocated based on real savings. Booms and busts are mitigated, and long-term planning becomes reliable.
Conclusion (Misesian):
There is no crisis. A hard currency, high-productivity, low-population economy stabilizes at a new equilibrium of lower consumption, higher capital intensity, and rising real wealth. Deflation is natural. Savings are the seed of future prosperity. Government interference, not market adaptation, is the threat.
4. Final Synthesis
The Keynesian and Misesian views diverge on first principles: Keynes sees demand shortfalls and rigidities requiring top-down correction, while Mises sees market-coordinated adaptation as sufficient and self-correcting. As the 21st century evolves, this ideological conflict will shape whether the transition leads to depression or renewal.
References
- Keynes, J.M. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money
- Mises, L. Human Action
- Hayek, F.A. Prices and Production
- Böhm-Bawerk, E. Capital and Interest
- Friedman, M. A Program for Monetary Stability
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@ f7d424b5:618c51e8
2025-06-14 21:53:35GAMERS, we're back in the virtual studio for another sophisticated and gentlemanly discussion on the most important topic in the media landscape: huge anime tiddies on the best and baddest Bodytype Bs you've ever seen. I think the VA strike ended too or something.
Stuff cited:
- SB steam charts
- Commentary by Megan Shipman
- Mujin video that shows the leaked discord messages from the SAG discord
Obligatory:
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Reminder that this is a Value4Value podcast so any support you can give us via a modern podcasting app is greatly appreciated and we will never bow to corporate sponsors!
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@ 9f2b5b64:e811118f
2025-06-14 21:41:00test
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@ 9f2b5b64:e811118f
2025-06-14 21:39:45test
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@ 8671a6e5:f88194d1
2025-06-14 21:39:15## ParentCoin; limitless
There's this almost altcoin-like pitch of parenthood these days. I might’ve fallen for the shiny marketing of parenthood — cute baby pics, promises of legacy, the whole “you’ll change the world” vibe. I even heard a would-be mom tell me once (true story) "You know having children, you don't have to be afraid of it, as a dad it doesn't cost as much as you think". \ These people actually believe that. Just like they've fallen for every fiat-scam out there: housing, cars, holidays in France, Nike shoes, 50% taxation, religion and main stream media subscriptions.\ \ It’s 2025, and I’m revisiting this like I’d revisit an old Lightning Network post. \ \ Having kids is like chasing an altcoin airdrop with a slick but buzzword laden whitepaper and a charismatic founder who’s probably exit-scamming as soon as he gets enough of your money in their bank account (yeah you see what I did there). If you're lucky that founder might twerk from time to time to get your attention. But don't hope for too much. Now change that diaper and work an extra job to pay for all of it while inflation murders you.\ \ While you do all that, the most damaging thing about the Having Children Shitcoin (HCS) is the time it takes. It literally can't be shorted like some token on an exchange. It laughs, plays around with your tech gadgets, has to be potty trained (like some altcoin founders) and needs attention, education and a lot of proof of work.\ But the damage is the time. \ The time it takes to do all that, is actually replacing value with time. \ Bitcoin might be a product of proof of work, HCS is not a product but the actual proof of work without the value proposition.\ On top of that, the founder usually lives rent-free in your head your whole life, or even worse: you literally live together with her/him.\ Imagine Satoshi Nakamoto living at your house right now. Like... hi Satoshi.. love your bitcoin man.\ "Yeah, thanks moth**f****r, when are going to buy more skittle and some toilet paper? We ran out 10 minutes ago when I shit all over your dirty toilet, ..."\ "Eh, But Satoshi, why don't you go to the shop to..."\ "Shut up you f'ing a--hole, you made me! You made me what I am today! You liked me when I invented thàh bitcoin right? Now get me some toilet paper and here's a list of items I want from the supermarket! Lazy dumb idiot."\ "You'll clean up the kitchen right?"\ "Yeah yeah, rolls eyes, after my Netflix series man... now get out"\ \ This might sound far-fetched but founders of shitcoins steal your money, while children steal your time ànd money while you have to endure the founders as well.
Time is slowly damaging you while you live your life further and further away from the hard-money proposition. Hell, you even will need to sell some hard money to get by. Because it's a rotten world and children make you short sighted about the future (it limits you to maximum 3 years ahead in my experience with people around me).
Long-term is your enemy Short-term is your prison
You’re hyped for the long-term gains—multi-generational dynasties, just like the elites—but the fine print? It’s a mess. I’m here to unpack the hope, the scepticism, and the grim reality of raising kids in a world that feels like it’s speedrunning towards the absolute bottom. Let me make that clearer:
Our power (as bitcoiners) doesn't grow with these new generations, because we're being out-Idiocracy'd at a rate we can’t reproduce our way out of. Bitcoiners don’t scale. Even if you produce two children that both become die-hard bitcoin maximalists (with a nasal voice and a fondness for TD-sequential analysis.
The Mirage of Birth Having a kid is like snagging a hyped-up crypto airdrop. You’re told it’s “free” value — new life, pure joy, a legacy token dropped into your wallet. Everyone’s tweeting about it, posting ultrasound pics like they just scored 10,000 USDC worth of free shitcoin tokens.
But then the transaction fees hit, getting another place to live more accommodating, getting a school, adopt a dad body demeaner while torpedoing your social life and having no fun other than baking cakes and getting less pussy than a laser pointer with dead batteries. Adjust for inflation), sleepless nights, a vortex of money being vaporized and a lifetime of HODLing a position you can’t dump nor short. You’re basically the holder of last resort for a diatribe of chaos. You’re the entry, the trade, and exit liquidity. The real kicker? Society’s cheering you on while you’re stuck debugging your life and seeing your time drained. You’re frozen in time, while you should be scaling ideas. \ \ Or getting more out of life than being the channelling of funds to a future fiat oppressed kid. Meanwhile, parents (if they stay together that is... with relations with kids having their own version of the bitcoin “halving”, be it every 7 years or so. The parents follow the higher noble goal and get some love and nice moments in return. \ \ They’re stacking diapers instead of sats, living above a dry cleaner next to a subway station that rattles your soul. You can’t short kids, no matter how much you see the “childfree” crowd thriving. The childfree crowd is also not always that neutral, as many of them want this same life, because the marketing, as with many shitcoins is excellent. It makes life more fun, more fulfilling, more whole, while promising you cheap, fast and always immutable transactions. You’re getting duped. \ You buy more stuff, more hobbies no one cares about, and smile at other parents at these gatherings like you’re at the whale room at a bitcoin conference in a bear market. Keep smiling, bitches. That’s you’re life now. The numbers don’t lie. Society sells parenthood as a Bitcoin-level HODL, but the safety net is thinner than a layer-2 solution created by an Albanian exchange.
Raising kids is like betting your airdropped tokens will moon into a blue-chip asset that takes care of you when you’re old. You’re hoping they’ll HODL your hand, not rug-pull you into a nursing home when their “value” spikes. It’s a gamble: will they be decent humans or turn into TikTok zombies? Back in the day, kids were economic assets, working the farm or whatever. Now? You’re praying they don’t ghost you after college or at least recognize all the proof of work you did for them. And yes, you can have a big impact on them, that’s something to be proud of if it works out. But in the end, you are you, a person, with dreams, hopes and needs. \ And your children are too,... they’ll always win. \ \ Teaching them to ride a bike is fun, but it’s like a shitcoin pumping on a founder’s tweet: fleeting, followed by a crash whenever you see the effects of your years of de-progress and social isolation. Socializing with other parents is like making friends with a fellow prisoner of war in some jungle camp, ... you’ll have to be nice because it’s all you have left of society’s pleasantries. So you make small talk or a little joke about a toy someone’s kid has brought to the playground. The real world would see these people piss all over your grave if they could. They’re the figurehead on a ship of fools. And you play along because you’re a total bitch that got stuck in the routine of the famous HCS. Finding trust is hard, certainly in a city’s virtual prison camp where you play Russian roulette for other people’s amusement. It’s like running a Lightning node — fun in theory, but you’re babysitting a system that crashes when you need it most. The highs are real, but “kinda fun” doesn’t cut it when you’re debugging life. \ \ The 35k to 200k € it will cost you throughout your life, is not measurable as gains or losses. Look at the lovely baby pictures, look at their school results, the painting they made especially for you saying “I love you, for the best dad/mom in the whole world”. It hits straight to your brain’s nucleus accumbens. It’s all the balanced injection of the right shot of chemical balanced reward center (ventral tegmental area) food. \ And people with kids wanted that because that’s what the system and urges are. Kids are a leveraged position with no stop-loss, unlike an airdrop you can dump when the hype fades. You’re all-in, praying society doesn’t crash before your “asset” matures. In the meanwhile, you get the occasional surprise through your mesolimbic pathway. \ \ "Happy you" proof of stakes' the unhappy you later. You could be in the Maldives diving into clear water while talking to another “founder”. Funny how that works. \ Meanwhile, the childfree are staking their tokens and chilling. \ Parents aren’t building dynasties; we’re just trying not to get rug-pulled by daycare costs and rotten school-systems that learn our kids to be obedient consumers and non-thinking parrots. It’s a financial social anti-grind with no cure, and the charts, unlike fiat-corporate nonsense, don’t lie.
The elites stack power like blue-chip stocks, minting wealth across centuries. Us? Our kids might be fighting over the leftovers while they battle their way through university diversity and mediocracy. Future generations are supposed to carry the torch, but consumerism and cultural decay make it feel like we’re being out-Idiocracy’d. \ We need to think long-term, teach kids to code, stack sats, and question the system. But above all else, we need them to learn that being more evil is more just. Being complacent in this farce of a system means always, and I mean always, that the multi-generational monsters will prevail. \ \ They’re more stubborn, faster, better educated and they take the shortcuts you can’t have. We have hard money, they have “hard world”.
Conclusion
Eighteen years into this parenting thing (or eight minutes—who’s counting?), it’s clear: kids are a shitcoin airdrop with no exit strategy for you. \ The highs are sweet, the costs are brutal, and the long-term. A gamble on humanity in a world trending toward a broad brush of average things made normal.
Maybe it’s not about winning the bitcoin standard, but betting on something bigger than yourself within yourself, even if that market’s rigged with traps and detractors everywhere. Stack sats, stack diapers, and pray your kids don’t rug-pull your heart. \ Because, let’s face it, we’re not the Rothschilds — we’re just HODLing and hoping. \ While we should be fighting with the hardest money. \ While your baby cries for more food, I hear Michael Jackson sing “If you can’t feed your baby hi hee-hee, then don’t have a baybaah”. \ \ The sad part is, that we're all torn between chasing the fiat-created dreams and the reality that everything is in fact a shitcoin sapping either your time, money or effort. \ Even within the bitcoin space, we don't realize what the next step should be.\ It certainly isn't big families. That's for sure.
AVB\ tipjar: https://allesvoorbitcoin.be/donate/
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@ 3ffac3a6:2d656657
2025-06-14 19:37:17🛡️ Tutorial: Secure SSH Access over Cloudflare Tunnel (Docker Optional)
🎯 Objective
Set up a Cloudflare Tunnel to securely expose SSH access to your system without revealing your home IP or requiring port forwarding. This enables secure remote access even behind NAT, CGNAT, or dynamic IP environments.
This guide:
- Uses Cloudflare Tunnels to proxy traffic
- Does not expose your home IP address
- Uses Docker + Docker Compose for orchestration (optional)
- Can be adapted to run under systemd directly if preferred
🔧 Prerequisites
- A domain managed via Cloudflare DNS
- SSH server running on your machine (default port
22
) - Temporary access to the
cloudflared
CLI (for tunnel creation) -
Either:
-
Docker and Docker Compose (used in this example), or
- A native
systemd
service (alternative not covered here)
🪜 Step-by-Step Instructions
1. Install and Authenticate
cloudflared
Install
cloudflared
(temporary):bash curl -L https://github.com/cloudflare/cloudflared/releases/latest/download/cloudflared-linux-amd64 \ -o cloudflared && chmod +x cloudflared && sudo mv cloudflared /usr/local/bin/
Login with your Cloudflare account:
bash cloudflared tunnel login
This will open a browser and link the machine to your Cloudflare zone.
2. Create the Tunnel
Create a named tunnel:
bash cloudflared tunnel create ssh-tunnel
This creates a credential file, e.g.:
~/.cloudflared/5f84da12-e91b-4d2e-b4f0-7ca842f622f1.json
3. Define the Tunnel Routing Configuration
Create the tunnel config:
bash nano ~/.cloudflared/config.yml
Example:
```yaml tunnel: ssh-tunnel credentials-file: /etc/cloudflared/5f84da12-e91b-4d2e-b4f0-7ca842f622f1.json
ingress: - hostname: secure-ssh.example.com service: ssh://localhost:22 - service: http_status:404 ```
Then bind the hostname to the tunnel:
bash cloudflared tunnel route dns ssh-tunnel secure-ssh.example.com
Replace
secure-ssh.example.com
with your own subdomain under Cloudflare management.
4. Prepare File Permissions for Docker Use (Optional)
If using Docker,
cloudflared
runs as a non-root user (UID 65532
), so grant it access to your config and credentials:bash sudo chown 65532:65532 ~/.cloudflared sudo chown 65532:65532 ~/.cloudflared/*
5. Define
docker-compose.yml
(Optional)yaml version: "3.8" services: cloudflared: image: cloudflare/cloudflared:latest container_name: cloudflared-ssh-tunnel restart: unless-stopped volumes: - ${HOME}/.cloudflared:/etc/cloudflared:ro - ${HOME}/.cloudflared:/home/nonroot/.cloudflared:ro command: tunnel run ssh-tunnel network_mode: host
📝 Docker is used here for convenience and automation. You may alternatively run
cloudflared tunnel run ssh-tunnel
directly undersystemd
or a background process.
6. Start the Tunnel
Start the container:
bash cd ~/docker/sshtunnel docker compose up -d docker logs -f cloudflared-ssh-tunnel
You should see
Registered tunnel connection
and other success logs.
7. Connect to the Tunnel from Remote Systems
Option A: Ad-hoc connection with
cloudflared access tcp
bash cloudflared access tcp --hostname secure-ssh.example.com --url localhost:2222
In another terminal:
bash ssh -p 2222 youruser@localhost
Option B: Permanent SSH Configuration
Edit
~/.ssh/config
:ssh Host secure-home HostName secure-ssh.example.com User youruser IdentityFile ~/.ssh/id_rsa ProxyCommand cloudflared access ssh --hostname %h
Then connect with:
bash ssh secure-home
✅ Result
- Secure SSH access via a public domain (e.g.,
secure-ssh.example.com
) - No ports open to the public Internet
- IP address of your machine remains hidden from Cloudflare clients
- Easily extendable to expose other services in future
🔁 Optional Enhancements
- Run as a
systemd
service instead of Docker for lower overhead - Use
autossh
orsystemd
to maintain persistent reverse tunnels - Expand to forward additional ports (e.g., Bitcoin RPC, application APIs)
- Apply strict firewall rules to limit SSH access to
localhost
only
-
@ 866e0139:6a9334e5
2025-06-14 17:33:06Autor: Bernd Schoepe. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.
Die Anmerkungen zum Text (Fußnoten) folgen aus technischen Gründen gesondert.
Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.
Dies ist Teil 3 des Essays. Lesen Sie hier Teil 1 und Teil 2.
IV Denazifizierungsstopp und die „abgesagte“ NS-Aufarbeitung in der Adenauer-Ära
„Nie wieder Krieg, nie wieder Faschismus!“
Dieses Gelöbnis erfuhr seine Ausformulierung, als die durch Krieg und Verfolgung charakterlich tief geprägten und für ihr Leben gezeichneten Väter und Mütter des Grundgesetzes sich 1948 zum Parlamentarischen Rat versammelten. Dort hat man vor dem Erfahrungshintergrund des Totalitarismus Nazi-Deutschlands in den neunzehn Grundrechtsartikeln die Rechte der Menschen vor dem Staat festgeschrieben, die gegen staatliche „Willkür, Ungerechtigkeit und Gewalt“ (25) schützen sollen. Sie wurden zur Grundlage eines neuen Staatsverständnisses, das vom Humanismus und dem Geist der Aufklärung getragen sein sollte. Das Gelöbnis fand seinen verfassungsmäßigen Ausdruck also im Grundgesetz, das am 23. Mai 1949 feierlich in Bonn verkündet wurde. Dessen Geist manifestiert sich besonders in der sogenannten Ewigkeitsklausel der Menschenwürde (Art.1), die den Grundrechtsartikeln, dem Kanon der Menschen- und Bürgerrechte, vorangestellt wurde.
Doch die Unterschriften unter dem Grundgesetz waren kaum trocken, da wurde dieses Gelöbnis schon durch die Frontstaatenideologie des Kalten Krieges überlagert, konterkariert und in der Praxis sukzessive aufgehoben. Der Kalte Krieg hatte bereits begonnen und seine Akteure bedienten sich ungeniert der Vorurteile und Stereotypen, mit denen die Deutschen noch gut aus dem Dritten Reich vertraut waren. Grundiert vom militanten Anti-Kommunismus, der bekanntlich auch die Nazi-Ideologie stark angetrieben hatte, verstärkt durch die Wiederbewaffnung mit der sie begleitenden Aufnahme der BRD in die NATO, konsolidiert in der Zeit der Adenauer-Restauration in den 1950er Jahren, in der ein konservativ-elitäres Staatsdenken gegenüber radikaldemokratischen Bestrebungen klar dominieren und sich durchsetzen sollte, erwies die Aufarbeitung der NS-Vergangenheit sich als der größte und folgenreichste Rohrkrepierer in der Geschichte der noch jungen zweiten deutschen Republik. Erst mit den Frankfurter Auschwitz-Prozessen und stärker dann noch im Zusammenhang mit der Studentenrevolte Ende der 1960er Jahre sollte es zu neuen ernsthaften Bemühungen um gesellschaftliche Aufarbeitung kommen.
Adenauers Ankündigung einer Beendigung der NS-Aufarbeitung, die er bereits in seiner ersten Regierungserklärung 1949 (!) vor dem Bundestag gab, dürfte auch und gerade aus heutiger Sicht von deutlich wichtigerer Bedeutung für das Fortleben autoritär-rechtsextremer, völkischer und nationalsozialistischer Gesinnungen und Haltungen in Deutschland gewesen sein als der Einzug der AfD in den Bundestag 2017, einschließlich aller geschichtsvergessenen und in ihrer Wortwahl geschmacklosen Äußerungen ihrer Politiker seither.
Bemerkenswert sind die Worte, mit der Adenauer so früh der gesellschaftlichen Aufarbeitung der NS-Zeit eine klare Absage erteilte:
„Durch die Denazifizierung ist viel Unglück und viel Unheil angerichtet worden. (...) Im Übrigen dürfen wir nicht mehr zwei Klassen von Menschen in Deutschland unterscheiden, die politisch Einwandfreien und die politisch Nicht-Einwandfreien. Diese Unterscheidung muss baldigst verschwinden.“ (26)
Rasch wurden daraufhin die gesetzlichen Grundlagen geschaffen, um in den im Aufbau befindlichen bundesdeutschen Verwaltungsapparat über 50.000 NS-belastete Beamte wiedereinzugliedern, darunter auch viele, die zuvor dem Nazi-Unrechtsstaat als Mitglieder der Gestapo und der SS gedient hatten. Besonders im Bundesjustizministerium hatte ein Netzwerk aus Alt-Nazis unterhalb der ministeriellen Leitungsebene bis in die 1960er Jahre hinein das Sagen, mit großen, noch immer nicht vollständig aufgearbeiteten Auswirkungen auf die Gesetzgebung, durch die NS-Verbrecher in der BRD auf verschiedene Weisen vor Strafverfolgung geschützt wurden.
Den ideologischen Hintergrund bildet dafür der Konservatismus, dem Adenauer, die CDU/CSU und andere politisch einflussreichen Kräfte anhingen, genauer gesagt das Elitedenken, das für diesen Konservatismus konstitutiv ist. Es erklärt, dass die Regierung lieber auf die alte Elite, auch wenn sie in weiten Teilen nationalsozialistisch belastet war, zurückgriff als ein neues, demokratisch-selbstbewusstes Beamtentum zu begründen und eine aus den verschiedenen Facetten des Widerstandes sich rekrutierende Führungsschicht aufzubauen. Denn die geeigneten Personen für diese Führungsschicht hätte man weitgehend nicht im eigenen Lager, sondern im Lager der politischen Gegner, bei Sozialdemokraten, Sozialisten, Kommunisten und Linksliberalen finden können.
Fazit: Im Handumdrehen wurde der an das „Nie-Wieder!“– Versprechen an die zukünftigen Generationen geknüpfte, zumindest teilweise ernsthaft und aufrichtig angestrebte Neuanfang –verstanden als ein radikal zu vollziehender Bruch mit der faschistischen Vergangenheit – hintertrieben, entstellt, entkräftet und um seine Wirkung gebracht. Dabei spielte nicht zuletzt die schnell wieder angekurbelte Feindbildproduktion und Russophobie („alle Wege der Linken, Friedensfreunde, Anti-Militaristen und Neutralitätsbefürworter führen nach Moskau!“), eine wichtige Rolle.
Es ist daher kein Zufall, dass sie uns so verblüffend ähnlich auch heute wieder in Politik und Medien begegnet. Sie ist ein Herzstück der deutschen Nachkriegs-Lebenslüge namens „Vergangenheitsbewältigung“. Hier gilt einmal mehr der Satz, dass Untote bekanntlich länger leben.
Sie macht sich heute auch darin bemerkbar, dass die Tatsache, dass es sich bei dem Krieg gegen Russland nicht um einen Eroberungskrieg, sondern um einen Vernichtungsfeldzug gegen eine „minderwertige Rasse und Kultur“ handelte, im kollektiven Bewusstsein der Deutschen nicht verankert wurde. Sonst hätte der Hass auf die Russen und alles Russische gesellschaftlich nicht wieder hoffähig werden können.
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Exkurs zum Niedergang der deutschen Sozialdemokratie
Im Ringen um den Weg, den die Bundesrepublik in den 1950er Jahren nehmen sollte, wurden damals Sozialdemokraten, die sich nicht bedingungslos der Bollwerks- und Frontstaaten-Ideologie des Kalten Kriegs unterwarfen, als „vaterlandslose Gesellen“ diffamiert. Die SPD tat sich immer schwer damit, der Demagogie der bürgerlichen Parteien etwas entgegenzusetzen, da Antikommunismus bei breiten Teilen der Bevölkerung, getreu der Devise „je primitiver, desto besser bzw. wirkungsvoller“, auch nach Hitler verfing.
Heute schlägt die Sozialdemokratische Partei die Aufrüstungs- und Kriegstrommel lieber selber kräftig mit und diffamiert die Angehörigen der Friedensbewegung und Verfechter einer Détente mit Russland als „Putin-Freunde“ und „Russlandversteher“ oder gar, ins absurd Metaphysische gesteigert als “gefallene Engel aus der Hölle“ (Olaf Scholz).
Mit dem Friedensnobelpreisträger und NS-Widerstandskämpfer Willy Brandt an der Spitze fuhr die SPD ihren größten Wahlerfolg ein – die von ihm geführte erhielt in der Bundestagswahl 1972 45,8 Prozent. Außenpolitisch überzeugte sie mit „Wandel durch Annäherung“ und „Wir wollen ein Volk guter Nachbar sein“. Nun ist sie beim Führungspersonal bei einem farblosen Apparatschik und Waffenlobbyisten (27) namens Lars Klingbeil und 16,4 % der Wählerstimmen angekommen. Zumindest die ebenso blasse und ideenlose Saskia Esken, die bei vielen einzig und allein für ihre Diffamierung von Demonstranten gegen das Corona-Unrecht („Covidioten“) in Erinnerung bleiben wird, zieht aus ihrer Unbeliebtheit nun die Konsequenz und tritt ab.
Indem die SPD, in Anbetracht der Friedensinitiativen Trumps die Chance verstreichen lässt, sich selbst in ihrer Politik gegenüber Russland zu korrigieren, um doch noch auf den Pfad der Diplomatie zurückzukehren und zu verhindern, dass auch noch der letzte Rest sozialdemokratischer Substanz über Bord geworfen wird, setzt Sozen-Konkursbeschleuniger Klingbeil zusammen mit BlackRock-Millionär Merz auf den Scholzschen Zeitenwende-Wahnsinn von 100 Milliarden für die Rüstung lieber noch weitere 500 Milliarden Euro drauf. Er und der den Kommiss-Ton perfekt beherrschende Pistorius, mit seinen Einlassungen zum „russischen Diktatfrieden“, der, wenn man ihn denn schon unbedingt so nennen will, ja nicht zuletzt auf das Konto der diplomatischen Untätigkeit der deutschen Regierung geht, besiegeln durch das von der Schuldenbremse befreite, in puncto Kostspieligkeit nach oben offene Aufrüstungs- und Militarisierungsprogramm, unter das in Wirklichkeit auch ein großer Teil der geplanten Infrastrukturmaßnahmen subsummiert werden wird (28), das Schicksal der ältesten Partei Deutschlands. Wissen diese SPD-Politiker wirklich nicht, was sie tun, wenn sie für die Profite der Rüstungswirtschaft alles verraten und auf lange Sicht verspielen, wofür diese Partei außen- und sozialpolitisch einmal stand und wofür sie gewählt wurde?
All das, was die SPD als Friedens- und Entspannungspartei einmal zur stärksten politischen Kraft gemacht hat, wird nun wie im Wahn von ihr verleugnet und mutwillig, geschichtsvergessen-revanchistisch zerstört. Und nicht nur das: Die SPD liefert den Rechten (nein, nicht der AfD, sondern den sonstigen Extremisten der Mitte!) den Grund, den neoliberal bereits entkernten Sozialstaat weiter – ab jetzt aber mit Bulldozern statt mit der Spitzhacke – zu zerstören. Sie nimmt dafür auch weitere, schwere Beschädigungen der Legitimität unserer ohnehin dahinsiechenden Demokratie in Kauf. Die Demokratie liegt nämlich seit Corona bei uns auf der Intensivstation und muss, u.a. durch regierungsfinanzierte „NGOs“ und staatlich organisierte Anti-AfD-Demonstrationen, künstlich beatmet werden!
Schließlich war die SPD zusammen mit der Merz-Union sogar bereit, einen kalten Putsch gegen die Integrität des Parlamentarismus und die elementaren Spielregeln der Demokratie durchzuführen. Mit diesem Putsch hat man im abgewählten 20. Bundestag noch schnell politisch äußerst weitreichende Grundgesetzänderungen durchgesetzt – und das gegen die neuen Mehrheiten des bereits gewählten 21. Bundestages! Die durch Bruch des Wahlversprechens ermöglichte Grundgesetzänderung, stellt einen besonders beschämenden Akt der Machtanmaßung, Wählerverhöhnung und Demokratiemissachtung dar. Und sie verfehlte ihre Wirkung nicht. Kurz darauf konnten die Demoskopen neue Rekordwerte für die AfD messen, die nun als stärkste Partei noch vor der CDU lag. Das Merz-Manöver dürfte im Übrigen dafür gesorgt haben, dass ihm nach der Wahl zum Bundeskanzler, die ja alles andere als glatt verlief, ein Makel anhängt, der so gravierend ist, dass er für den Rest seiner Amtszeit (hoffentlich) nicht mehr zu tilgen sein wird.
Das besonders Irre, das nicht nur den Fall der SPD beschreibt, ihr Versagen aber besonders plastisch hervorhebt, ist, dass es seit Beginn des Ukraine-Kriegs innerhalb der EU (mit Ausnahme Orbans) keine diplomatischen Initiativen gegeben hat, um mit Russland wieder ins Gespräch zu kommen. Im Rückblick wirken da selbst die Kalten Krieger vor und während der Ostpolitik von Willy Brandt wie Appeasement-Politiker.
Stattdessen war wiederholt eine Bundesaußenministerin zu vernehmen, die offenbar nur sehr eingeschränkt dazu imstande ist, ihre sprachliche Performanz dem hohen Amt angemessen zu kontrollieren. Sie wollte öffentlich „Russland ruinieren“ und erklärte dem Land ein anderes Mal, vor dem Europarat, beiläufig den Krieg. Dass Baerbock, die in ihrer Amtszeit in fast jedes diplomatische Fettnäpfchen getreten ist, jetzt zur zweithöchsten UN-Chef-Diplomatin gewählt wurde, ist Realsatire pur!
Polemik als geistiger Notwehrakt
Doch Halt! – Gerade merke ich, wie mich mein Hang zur Polemik fortzureißen beginnt!
Die Polemik ist ein hilfreiches (und noch nicht ganz verbotenes!) geistiges Notwehr-Mittel in Zeiten eines zunehmend aggressiv aufgeheizten gesellschaftlichen Klimas. Wie soll man nicht zum Polemiker und Satiriker angesichts des grassierenden Wahnsinns der Politik und ihrer vielen verrückt und absurd anmutenden Pathologien und Regressionen werden, hinter denen bei genauerem Hinsehen dann doch oft auch Kalkül vermutet werden muss? Wie sind sie anders als Vorgänge zu deuten, die zur Abwicklung der Demokratie führen sollen? Vorgänge, die durch eben jene Kräfte betrieben werden, die „unsere Demokratie“ inflationär lobpreisen und nicht müde werden, ihre „Werte“ in Sonntagsreden hervorzuheben. Gleichzeitig werden diese Werte aber durch Cancel Culture, Zensur und Denunziation massiv von ihnen angegriffen und von innen immer weiter ausgehöhlt.
Definitiv verhält es sich heute so, dass der Hang zur Polemik dem Umstand geschuldet wird, dass wir mittlerweile in schier unglaublichen Zeiten von Travestie-Ausgeburten leben. Diese machen es uns immer schwerer, nicht ganz die Bodenhaftung zu verlieren. All die wahnwitzigen Phänomenen, die wie wildgewordene Säue tagein tagaus durch das globale Dorf der Massenmedien in Echtzeit** getrieben werden, sie gefährden das Restvertrauen in den gesunden Menschenerstand und schränken die Möglichkeiten stark ein, einen halbwegs stabilen, geerdeten, vernunftgeleiteten Realitätsbezug aufrechtzuerhalten.
Und doch soll hier nicht ein weiteres Mal in dieser Façon mit der Regierungspolitik abgerechnet werden. Auf der Suche nach den tieferen Gründen für diese negativen Entwicklungen, soll stattdessen im zeithistorischen Material an einigen neuralgischen Stellen genauer nachgesehen und an der Oberfläche gekratzt werden, um die blinden Flecken bundesrepublikanischer Selbstwahrnehmung sichtbar zu machen.
Bernd Schoepe, Jahrgang 1965, Studium der Soziologie, Germanistik, Philosophie und Erziehungswissenschaften in Frankfurt/M. und Hamburg. Erstes und zweites Staatsexamen. Freier Autor, der zu bildungspolitischen, bildungssoziologischen- und bildungsphilosophischen Themen schreibt. Seit 2003 im Hamburger Schuldienst. Langjähriges GEW-Betriebsgruppen-Mitglied, ehem. Vertrauensmann, ehem. Mitglied der Hamburger Lehrerkammer. Hauptberuflich bin ich Politik- Deutsch- und Philosophielehrer an einer Hamburger Stadtteilschule. Kontakt: berndschoepe\@gmx.de
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@ 2e8970de:63345c7a
2025-06-14 17:07:56Iran raising a red flag in war times? That's a bit. Sabrina Carpenters "persona" - she's doing a bit. In the pope election the cardinals locking themselves in a conclave and the white smoke thing - it's a bit. Everything is only a bit.
Maybe I'm just old and interpret too much into youth slang but - that's actually a HUGE cultural shift if young people think of nothing as authentic anymore. What even is authentic?
https://stacker.news/items/1006348
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@ b83a28b7:35919450
2025-06-14 16:38:22This is the second installment in the series "The Net Appears" where I document my journey from being in a well-established and well-paying fiat job into the unknown world of independent work in freedom tech. Will I end up finding something truly inspiring and fulfilling, while being able to support my family? We'll find out over the course of the next few weeks.
So this happened a couple of days ago:
nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpwp69zm7fewjp0vkp306adnzt7249ytxhz7mq3w5yc629u6er9zsqqsd6khjdmgmme3xrnzj5xn5tfwer5pjchh20mcp4lfemurfsj3v4wgsjw0uj
Let's back up a bit, because in the first installment of this series, I was still in limbo.
If you’d told me three weeks ago that corporate martyrdom could be negotiated like a farmers-market cantaloupe, I’d have laughed you off the Microsoft Teams grid. Yet there I was, video-boxed opposite my Senior Vice Priest of PowerPoint, calmly re-petitioning for a graceful guillotine.
His verdict: the guillotine is for optics only, and apparently it clashes with the brand guidelines. Laying off The AI Guy would look like we’d just unplugged the future for spare parts. Impossible. But the man did extend an olive branch the size of a bonsai: “Resign, and we’ll cash out your vacation - thirty glorious days of fiat.”
Not the three-month severance I’d fantasized about, but enough to buy time, dignity, and a respectable stack of Claude API credits. I signed before he could replace goodwill with an NDA.
And then I chose July 4 as my last day. Cue bald eagles, Sousa marches, and a slow-motion shot of me frisbee-flinging my employee badge into an erupting grill. Independence from fiat, by literal fireworks.
Space Rush
The moment rumors of my exit hit Teams, meeting invites vanished like socks in a hotel dryer. I’ve used the liberated hours to launch A Muse Stochastic, my audio-visual fever dream where generative melodies court glitch-poetry and occasionally elope with Gemini Veo video frames. The first episode is live, pulsing somewhere between synaptic Vivaldi and quantum origami. So far it has six listeners and one confused Australian-shepherd (my most honest critic).
nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpwp69zm7fewjp0vkp306adnzt7249ytxhz7mq3w5yc629u6er9zsqy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq3zamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wwa5kuef0qqsvhtdltg2k3guhmshgmgt3nc9ejy0ct96t7udm04r5mupplcmdtesppmn7x
Meanwhile the playwright in me, neglected for months beneath sprint plannings and quarterly road-maps, finally crawled into the light. “Waiting for Satoshi,” first conceived on a warm Prague evening exactly one year ago ( nostr:nprofile1qy0hwumn8ghj7en0deehgu3dw3jhxapwdah8yetwv3jhytnrdakj7qgcwaehxw309a5hxmrpdejzumn0wd68yvfwvdhk6tcqyzaz7w2gxdjcga0fz6qt3x8ehc83mpgpvmr2swwmuzzdqfn26m3q54mhg79 can attest to this), now wears its final coat of dialogue. Tomorrow it debuts on GitHub - Creative Commons, open-source, fork-and-prosper - perhaps the inaugural play to invite pull requests for stage directions. If anyone wishes to add a tap-dancing Lightning node, be my guest.
Prague on the Horizon
Next week I return to BTC Prague, where ghosts of last year’s epiphany still linger near the pastry stand. This time I’m lugging camera gear, not corporate slide decks. Episode Two of Finding Home will be filmed there, featuring a wanderer whose bitcoined life map reads like Odysseus riding a Lightning invoice.
Perhaps my only conference of the year, I'm looking forward to catching up with friends old and new, and catch a whiff of that infectious bitcoin hopium.
Micro-lessons from Week Three
-
Severance is a mindset. One month of paid vacation feels oddly richer than three months shackled to uncertainty.
-
Symbolism scales. Pick an Independence Day, any Independence Day, and watch the universe queue fireworks.
-
Creative backlogs age like fine kimchi. Leave an idea in brine for a year and it returns with extra tang.
-
Open source = open veins. Releasing art into the commons is terrifying until you remember blood circulates best when it moves.
-
Microsoft Teams silence is golden (parachute). Each canceled stand-up funds roughly eight bars of experimental synth.
Gazing Forward
I still don’t know how mortgage, car payments, and teenage-soccer-tour fees will reconcile with my bank balance come August. Yet the dread that once clung to my ribcage has dissolved, replaced by a jittery anticipation - like the hush before a stadium crowd erupts. Every unknown now feels less like a void and more like a blank slide awaiting wild, irreverent doodles.
Next dispatch will likely come with reflections from Prague. The last two years, I was moved to unexpected tears on the final day, marveling at the sheer profundity of the human experience of the week past. Surely, that can't repeat for a third year in a row?
Until then, may your own nets appear exactly when logic insists they can’t - and may they be woven from liberated vacation days and the audible crackle of celebratory fireworks.
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@ 6c05c73e:c4356f17
2025-06-14 16:31:49Isa Energia Brasil
Descrição da Empresa
A Isa Energia Brasil é uma das principais empresas do setor de transmissão de energia elétrica do Brasil. Anteriormente conhecida como ISA CTEEP (Companhia de Transmissão de Energia Elétrica Paulista), a companhia passou por um processo de rebranding em novembro de 2023 para refletir sua atuação em escala nacional, que se estende por 18 estados brasileiros.
- Papel no setor: Desempenha um papel crucial na infraestrutura energética do país, sendo responsável por transmitir aproximadamente 33% de toda a energia elétrica produzida no território nacional e 94% no estado de São Paulo.
- Controladora: A companhia é controlada pelo grupo colombiano ISA (Interconexión Eléctrica S.A.), um dos maiores conglomerados de transmissão de energia da América Latina, que detém uma participação majoritária em seu capital social.
- Vantagens: Essa conexão confere à Isa Energia Brasil um sólido respaldo técnico e financeiro, além de sinergias operacionais e de governança.
Visão Geral da Empresa
A Isa Energia Brasil (ISAE4) é uma das maiores e mais importantes empresas de transmissão de energia elétrica do Brasil. Em termos simples, seu principal negócio é "transportar" a energia em alta tensão das usinas geradoras até as redes de distribuição que a levam para cidades e indústrias.
- Analogia: Pense nela como a gestora das grandes "rodovias" da eletricidade do país.
Mercado que Atua
O mercado de atuação da Isa Energia Brasil (ISAE4) é o setor de transmissão de energia elétrica, um segmento estratégico, altamente regulado e com características muito particulares dentro da cadeia de energia do Brasil. Para entender o mercado da empresa, é preciso conhecer 4 pilares principais:
1. O Modelo de Concessões Públicas
- Funcionamento: A Isa Energia Brasil não opera em um mercado aberto e tradicional. Sua atuação é baseada em concessões de longo prazo (geralmente 30 anos), adquiridas por meio de leilões públicos organizados pelo Governo Federal, através da ANEEL (Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica).
- Como funciona: Nos leilões, o governo define os projetos (novas linhas de transmissão e subestações a serem construídas). Vence a empresa que se propõe a construir e operar a infraestrutura pelo menor valor de receita anual.
- Barreiras de entrada: Este modelo cria altíssimas barreiras para novos concorrentes, pois exige enorme capacidade de investimento (capital intensivo), conhecimento técnico especializado e habilidade para vencer disputas acirradas nos leilões.
2. A Previsibilidade da Receita (RAP)
- Receita Anual Permitida (RAP): É a remuneração que a empresa tem direito a receber por disponibilizar suas linhas de transmissão em perfeitas condições de operação. O valor da RAP é definido no leilão e reajustado anualmente por um índice de inflação (geralmente o IPCA), o que protege a receita da desvalorização da moeda.
- Baixo risco: Como a receita é fixa e garantida por contrato, o risco operacional é muito baixo. A empresa recebe o valor integral desde que suas linhas e subestações estejam funcionando. Se houver falhas, ela pode ser penalizada com um desconto na receita, por isso a eficiência na operação e manutenção é fundamental.
3. Posicionamento Estratégico e Geográfico
- Dominância: É responsável por transportar aproximadamente 33% de toda a energia elétrica produzida no Brasil e impressionantes 94% da energia consumida no estado de São Paulo, o maior centro de carga do país.
- Capilaridade nacional: Embora sua origem seja paulista (antiga CTEEP), a empresa expandiu sua atuação e hoje possui ativos em 18 estados brasileiros, o que a posiciona como um player de relevância nacional.
- Principais concorrentes: Seus principais competidores no setor de transmissão são outras grandes empresas como a Eletrobras, TAESA e Alupar, que também disputam ativamente os leilões da ANEEL.
4. Vetores de Crescimento e Perspectivas
- Transição energética: O Brasil está aumentando massivamente sua capacidade de geração de energia renovável, especialmente eólica e solar. A maioria dessas novas usinas está localizada no Nordeste e no norte de Minas Gerais, longe dos grandes centros consumidores (Sudeste). Isso cria uma necessidade urgente de construir novas "autoestradas" de energia para escoar essa produção, garantindo uma demanda contínua por novos projetos de transmissão.
- Crescimento da demanda: O crescimento econômico e populacional do país, além da eletrificação da economia (ex.: carros elétricos), aumenta a necessidade geral de energia, exigindo uma rede de transmissão cada vez mais robusta e confiável.
Oportunidades que o Ativo Traz
As principais oportunidades que a empresa traz são:
- Alta previsibilidade de receita devido à Receita Anual Permitida (RAP).
- Expansão em investimentos de infraestrutura.
- Contratos de concessão renovados e com longa duração.
Isso tudo torna a empresa uma excelente pagadora de dividendos e JCP. No último anúncio da empresa, foram destinados R$2,36 por ação de juros sobre capital próprio, o que a torna um excelente ativo para o longo prazo.
Riscos
Por ser uma empresa que atua no setor de energia elétrica, ela assume alguns riscos que precisam ser monitorados de perto, tais como:
- Natureza (escassez de chuvas): Pode prejudicar a geração de energia e, como consequência, reduzir a transmissão de energia elétrica. Consulte aqui.
- Riscos regulatórios e governamentais (o principal): A empresa opera em um setor regulado pela ANEEL e sob concessões do governo.
- Financeiro: Para financiar seus projetos, a empresa precisa se endividar via debêntures, que são atreladas à Selic. Qualquer variação altera o financeiro da empresa.
- Dividendos: Pode ser uma faca de dois gumes, pois está previsto pagamentos muito maiores no futuro, o que pode retardar o crescimento da empresa devido ao pagamento excessivo.
- Risco operacional: Tudo que envolve intervenção humana pode ter falhas, mesmo que a empresa opere com alta eficiência hoje. Alguém pode “dormir no ponto”.
Tabela de Endividamento
A dívida bruta da companhia atingiu R$ 14.952,1 milhões no 1T25, aumento de R$ 1.678,3 milhões (+12,6%) em relação ao saldo final do 4T24. O aumento se deve, principalmente, à:
- 18ª emissão de debêntures no montante de R$ 1.400,0 milhões em março de 2025.
- 4º desembolso do BNDES em janeiro de 2025 com valor de R$ 82,1 milhões.
A companhia concluiu a 18ª emissão de debêntures no 1T25, levantando R$ 1.400,0 milhões em 2 séries: - Primeira série: R$ 500,0 milhões com custo de IPCA + 7,41% e vencimento em setembro de 2033. - Segunda série: R$ 900,0 milhões com custo de IPCA + 7,41% e vencimento em junho de 2033.
Catalisadores
Os pontos-chave que considero ao investir na empresa são:
- Parceria com a Taesa ampliada. Matéria aqui.
- Alta previsibilidade de receita devido à Receita Anual Permitida (RAP).
- Nova rodada de emissão de debêntures para ampliação de investimentos.
- Previsão de queda da Selic para 12,5% em 2026, o que tornaria “os débitos da empresa mais baratos”.
- Alta perspectiva de aumento no pagamento de dividendos e JCP ao longo dos próximos anos.
cotacao da isase4 lucro liquido isae4
FAQ
A ação ISAE4 é uma boa ação para investir?
Cada um deve fazer sua análise, mas acreditamos que é uma empresa sólida e com bons fundamentos.
Qual é o preço justo da ação ISAE4?
Não há uma base sólida para calcular o preço justo. Na nossa ótica, o ativo está subvalorizado.
Qual o DY da ISAE4?
Dividendo de 10,2% anunciado em 2021.
Como declarar o ISAE4?
A declaração do ISAE4 é dividida em três partes principais:
- Declaração da Posse das Ações (o que você tinha em carteira).
- Declaração dos Rendimentos Isentos (Dividendos).
- Declaração dos Rendimentos de Tributação Exclusiva (Juros Sobre Capital Próprio - JCP).
O documento mais importante para este processo é o Informe de Rendimentos, fornecido pelo banco escriturador das ações.
- Empresa: ISA ENERGIA BRASIL S.A.
- CNPJ: 02.998.611/0001-04
- Banco Escriturador: Itaú Corretora de Valores S.A.
- Como obter o informe: Acesse o Portal de Correspondências Digitais do Itaú para obter seu informe oficial. Ele contém todos os valores separados e prontos para a declaração.
Bio
Investir não precisa ser um bicho de sete cabeças! Na Threedolar, democratizamos o acesso ao mundo dos investimentos, oferecendo conteúdo claro e prático. Comece hoje mesmo a construir seu futuro financeiro!
Disclaimer
Lembre-se: este não é um conselho de investimento. Faça sua própria pesquisa antes de investir. Resultados passados não garantem lucros futuros. Cuide do seu dinheiro!
Referências
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-14 14:27:06https://stacker.news/items/1006238
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@ c5896abe:43c99afb
2025-06-14 13:44:45写人的文字最难写,特别是在突然失去之后。
然而,人类始终有两种无法治愈的疾病:死亡与遗忘。于是,人类创造了文字。这种得以超越死亡的思想工具,从书写、雕版印刷、打字机和电传打字机,一路发展到今天的数字化半自动打字机——语言模型——写字,这样看似简单的行为,却变得日渐艰涩,尤其是在经历了 The Big Blockade 那三年后。
这并不是说,我也像很多人那样遭遇了 Long-COVID。只是,在父亲去世等一系列事情之后,我才真正明白:写人的文字最难写,特别是在突然失去之后。当你突然发现,自己最熟悉的人,在不知不觉中变成了生命中的一块空白,那个曾经激扬文字、粪土万户侯的少年,便也永远离开了。于是,我应邀前往了自己的瓦尔登湖——工作、读书,几乎停止了所有的社交媒体交流。直到今年早些时候,子龙对我说了一句:“公众号停了太可惜了”。我这才想到,要不要讲述一些人的故事,当然,不仅仅是那些已经逝去的。只是在这个繁华时代,那个小念头就被我暂时搁置,忙着“寻桥”去了。直到这个六一,中国摩托车商会的微信公众号,推送了常务副会长李彬逝世的消息。
我与李会长交流不多,只知道他一直在努力推动各个城市解除对摩托车的地方性禁限规定,看起来就像推石头的西西弗斯。近几年我的工作与他有几分相似。在理解了“人生就是不断的妥协”这样看似借口的冰冷现实之后,秉持着“上帝和凯撒要分清”的信条,我偶尔的富余精力,也投在了国际互联网上的几个中文平台上。直到昨天晚上,编辑某些内容时,心头突然一动,顺手搜索,才发现了 Bernt Spiegel 教授的线上讣告。想来,老师也是在那段时间,突然发来一封电邮联络,却又没说什么具体内容。于是,我决定开始写下一些文字。
教授的一生,大概可以用“人、市场和机器”来概括。身为市场心理学创始人、摩托车专家和小说家,他创建了 Fachinstitut für Werbewissenschaftliche Untersuchungen,并在哥廷根大学执教。著名的利基市场理论,正是他在20世纪60年代初提出的。这一理论最成功的案例,就是帮助了濒临破产的 BMW 起死回生,并重新快速增长。从1981年到2000年,他一直担任 MOTORRAD 杂志“完美培训课程”的高级讲师,特别活跃在纽伯格林赛道——直至72岁高龄,他仍能驾驶 Honda CBR 900 RR,在北环赛道跑进9分钟之内。从13岁——那是1939年——他瞒着父母买了第一辆摩托车开始,18岁就考取了飞行执照。战后不久,他骑上了一辆 BMW R 51/2,之后的人生,就在飞机和摩托车这两类机械上交织。人类如何与操作的机器(无论是飞机还是摩托车)相协调的心理学方法,也成了他在学术上开拓的处女地之一:这是心理学与自然科学之间的一个新边疆。尽管没有像某些专家那样著作等身,教授的那本《摩托车的上半部》成为了从欧洲到北美,所有摩托车驾驶人教育的经典著作,如同物理学中的牛顿《原理》。这位对“人-机矩阵”有着深刻洞见的老先生,在94岁高龄时,还出版了一本小说《Milchbrüder, beide》,作为对德国人和他自己过去经历的某种回应。
在那本著作的附文《The Fascination of Motorcycling》(摩托车的魅力)之中,教授将摩托车骑行的魅力,喻为“一个完整的星座”。如同多年前另一位日本的前辈,将摩托车的机械结构比作“一个宇宙”。这一代摩托车人,都是战争的亲历者,也是现代摩托车进化的见证者。正是在这种孕育出了丰富机械文化的社会土壤里,才滋养了富足而不仅是富裕的人类文明。
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@ 8194da31:0f3badf3
2025-06-14 13:39:14I got fired at 29.
Best thing that ever happened to me.
Everyone told me to follow the safe path.
"Go to college."
"Get a secure job."
"Don't take risks."
So I became a physical therapist.
Safe. Boring. Soul-crushing.
Then COVID hit and changed everything.
I became a wheelchair technician.
One of the only jobs you could do outside while everyone was locked indoors.
Driving through empty cities while the world hid.
Listening to podcasts to stay sane.
That's when I discovered Michael Saylor talking about Bitcoin in 2022.
Digital freedom.
Money nobody could control.
Escape from the broken system.
I was hooked.
So I landed a corporate job to stack more Bitcoin.
The strategy worked.
I bought more Bitcoin in a bear market.
But I sacrificed my physical and mental health.
Ten hours of driving daily.
Weight piling on.
Happiness draining out.
They fired me after 10 months.
Left me with nothing but a mortgage to pay.
Terrifying but liberating.
A friend from the gym threw me a lifeline.
"Want to train people?"
I grabbed it.
While building others' bodies, I built my future:
• Kept writing online • Kept studying Bitcoin • Kept building my dream
Now I help Bitcoiners grow their influence and personal brand.
So they can taste freedom too.
Found an amazing girlfriend who believes in the vision.
The mortgage doesn't scare me anymore.
Here's what I learned:
Society's safe path leads to society's prison.
Your risky path leads to your freedom.
Stop asking permission to live differently.
Start building the life that makes you excited to wake up.
The world needs what you're hiding.
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@ 3294129b:2a7654fa
2025-06-14 12:50:05📍 Satoshi House, Dubai 🗓️ June 21st, 2025 – 7:00 PM to 11:30 PM
⸻
Let’s Talk Bitcoin. Let’s Talk Freedom.
Bitcoin Minds is back and this time, we’re diving into the frontier of decentralized communication. No pizza this round, just powerful conversations, real connections, and ideas that matter.
This edition is all about Nostr, the open protocol that’s transforming how we connect, share, and build, side by side with Bitcoin.
Whether you’re a builder, a Bitcoiner, or just curious, this is your night to learn, share, and spark what’s next.
⸻
🎤 What to Expect:
💬 Lightning-powered mini-talks by builders, thinkers, and Nostr pioneers 🧠 Open discussions & community Q&A 🤝 Real networking with freedom-first minds ⚡ Hands-on insights into how Nostr and Lightning are working together today 🍻 Fully-stocked bar, so you can enjoy a variety of cocktails and drinks throughout the evening.
⸻
🔎 Topics we’ll explore: • Why Nostr matters in a Bitcoin world • Building apps on Nostr: what’s possible now? • Identity & reputation without KYC • Zaps, tips & micropayments with Lightning • Bitcoin + Nostr vs surveillance & censorship • Real-world adoption: challenges & use cases • Your favorite Nostr clients and how you use them
⸻
🎟️ Entry:
FREE — but RSVP is required 🔐 Limited spots, unlimited signal.
⸻
Bitcoin Minds: Nostr Edition
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@ d5ca7093:549ad1ec
2025-06-14 12:39:55In a world flooded with information and noise, it’s easy to feel like your brain is constantly switching channels.
One minute you’re reading a technical spec, the next you’re researching vintage Japanese vending machines,
then somehow deep in a Telegram rabbit hole about solar-powered mesh networks.Sound familiar?
For some of us, this isn’t just a personality quirk—it’s our baseline.
We don’t think in straight lines.
Ideas come in bursts. Focus comes in waves.
We thrive on novelty, but routine feels like quicksand.In a society built for rigid 9-to-5 brains, that kind of mental wiring often gets misunderstood.
But here’s the truth:If you learn to structure the chaos, it becomes a superpower.
What most people call distraction is actually high bandwidth.
It’s fast processing mixed with open curiosity.
But without systems in place, that power leaks.We chase every thought, every notification, every dopamine hit.
That’s why building your own structure is key—not to control your mind,
but to support it.- Custom workflows
- Intentional routines
- Clear priorities
These turn scatter into momentum.
In the Bitcoin and Nostr world, this mindset fits naturally.
We’re already breaking free from one-size-fits-all models.
We self-host. We fork code. We build for edge cases.Why not apply the same philosophy to how we work and think?
You don’t need corporate-style productivity hacks.
You can build your own.
Ones that work with your brain, not against it.
Use your site as your digital command center.
Set up tools that work offline.
Use local-first apps.
Block out time for deep work.
Make room for curiosity.Once you start adding scaffolding to your natural flow, something wild happens:
You move faster, think clearer, and build better.
The minds that don’t “fit in” are often the ones pushing things forward.
That’s not a bug—it’s a feature.
But features need configuration.Self-sovereignty isn’t just about running a node or holding your keys.
It’s about designing a life and workflow that fits you—especially
when your brain runs on a different operating system.
So if your mind doesn’t follow the rules, maybe it’s because
you were built to make new ones.Structure isn’t the enemy.
It’s the multiplier.
Follow my thoughts and work at:
🌐 https://taidigital.xyz
🔑@taidigital.xyz
on Nostr -
@ 2cde0e02:180a96b9
2025-06-14 11:41:31watercolor pencils, water brush & pen
https://stacker.news/items/1006159
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-14 09:53:11As much as they look like teddy bears, they are not bear cousins. These marsupials are more closely related to wombats. Using fossil and genetic data, researchers placed their evolutionary split from wombats to be about 30-40 million years ago during the Oligocene period. Both of these animals belong to the suborder Vombatiformes. Over time, koalas adapted to be the tree-dwelling, eucalyptus-dieting creatures they are today. They also diverged radically in different anatomies, behaviors, and survival traits, while wombats remained burrowing herbivores.
https://stacker.news/items/1006112
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@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7
2025-06-14 09:01:06Square, the payments platform operated by Block (founded by Jack Dorsey), is reporting 9.7% bitcoin yield on its bitcoin holdings by running a Lightning Network node.
The announcement was made by Miles Suter, Bitcoin product lead at Block, during the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas. Suter explained that Square is earning “real bitcoin from our holdings” by efficiently routing payments across the Lightning Network.
Square’s yield comes from its role as a Lightning service provider, a business it launched two years ago to boost liquidity and efficiency on the Lightning Network. According to Lightning Labs’ Ryan Gentry, Square’s 9% yield could translate to roughly $1 million in annual revenue.
The Lightning Network, a Bitcoin layer-2 protocol, has long been promoted as a solution to Bitcoin’s scalability and transaction speed issues. It enables micropayments and off-chain transactions, reducing congestion on the main blockchain. However, the network faces challenges, including the need for inbound liquidity—users must lock up BTC to receive BTC—potentially limiting participation by smaller nodes and raising concerns about decentralization.
Despite these hurdles, Square remains committed to advancing Bitcoin payments via Lightning. Suter revealed that 25% of Square’s outbound bitcoin transactions now use the Lightning Network. The company is actively testing Lightning-based payments at the Bitcoin 2025 event and plans to roll out the service to all eligible Square merchants by 2026.
Suter emphasized the transformative potential of Lightning:
“When you enable real payments by making them faster and more convenient, the network becomes stronger, smarter, and more beneficial. So if you’re questioning whether bitcoin is merely an asset, the response is no. It has already evolved into both an asset and a protocol, and now Block is spearheading the initiative to transform it into the world’s premier payment system.”
Square’s ongoing investment in Lightning signals its belief in Bitcoin’s future not just as a store of value, but as a global payments protocol.
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@ dfa02707:41ca50e3
2025-06-15 23:02:36Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.
- The latest firmware updates for COLDCARD devices introduce two major features: COLDCARD Co-sign (CCC) and Key Teleport between two COLDCARD Q devices using QR codes and/or NFC with a website.
What's new
- COLDCARD Co-Sign: When CCC is enabled, a second seed called the Spending Policy Key (Key C) is added to the device. This seed works with the device's Main Seed and one or more additional XPUBs (Backup Keys) to form 2-of-N multisig wallets.
- The spending policy functions like a hardware security module (HSM), enforcing rules such as magnitude and velocity limits, address whitelisting, and 2FA authentication to protect funds while maintaining flexibility and control, and is enforced each time the Spending Policy Key is used for signing.
- When spending conditions are met, the COLDCARD signs the partially signed bitcoin transaction (PSBT) with the Main Seed and Spending Policy Key for fund access. Once configured, the Spending Policy Key is required to view or change the policy, and violations are denied without explanation.
"You can override the spending policy at any time by signing with either a Backup Key and the Main Seed or two Backup Keys, depending on the number of keys (N) in the multisig."
-
A step-by-step guide for setting up CCC is available here.
-
Key Teleport for Q devices allows users to securely transfer sensitive data such as seed phrases (words, xprv), secure notes and passwords, and PSBTs for multisig. It uses QR codes or NFC, along with a helper website, to ensure reliable transmission, keeping your sensitive data protected throughout the process.
- For more technical details, see the protocol spec.
"After you sign a multisig PSBT, you have option to “Key Teleport” the PSBT file to any one of the other signers in the wallet. We already have a shared pubkey with them, so the process is simple and does not require any action on their part in advance. Plus, starting in this firmware release, COLDCARD can finalize multisig transactions, so the last signer can publish the signed transaction via PushTX (NFC tap) to get it on the blockchain directly."
- Multisig transactions are finalized when sufficiently signed. It streamlines the use of PushTX with multisig wallets.
- Signing artifacts re-export to various media. Users are now provided with the capability to export signing products, like transactions or PSBTs, to alternative media rather than the original source. For example, if a PSBT is received through a QR code, it can be signed and saved onto an SD card if needed.
- Multisig export files are signed now. Public keys are encoded as P2PKH address for all multisg signature exports. Learn more about it here.
- NFC export usability upgrade: NFC keeps exporting until CANCEL/X is pressed.
- Added Bitcoin Safe option to Export Wallet.
- 10% performance improvement in USB upload speed for large files.
- Q: Always choose the biggest possible display size for QR.
Fixes
- Do not allow change Main PIN to same value already used as Trick PIN, even if Trick PIN is hidden.
- Fix stuck progress bar under
Receiving...
after a USB communications failure. - Showing derivation path in Address Explorer for root key (m) showed double slash (//).
- Can restore developer backup with custom password other than 12 words format.
- Virtual Disk auto mode ignores already signed PSBTs (with “-signed” in file name).
- Virtual Disk auto mode stuck on “Reading…” screen sometimes.
- Finalization of foreign inputs from partial signatures. Thanks Christian Uebber!
- Temporary seed from COLDCARD backup failed to load stored multisig wallets.
Destroy Seed
also removes all Trick PINs from SE2.Lock Down Seed
requires pressing confirm key (4) to execute.- Q only: Only BBQr is allowed to export Coldcard, Core, and pretty descriptor.
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@ 044da344:073a8a0e
2025-06-14 08:56:18Meine Karriere als Auftragsforscher neigt sich ihrem Ende entgegen. In zwei Wochen ist der Forschungsverbund „Das mediale Erbe der DDR“ Geschichte. Gerade hat mir der Geldgeber mitgeteilt, dass er sich nicht mehr Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung nennt, sondern Bundesministerium für Forschung, Technologie und Raumfahrt. BMFTR statt BMBF. Bitte, sehr geehrte Damen und Herren, verwenden Sie ab sofort nur noch das neue Logo. Viel mehr muss man über die politisierte Wissenschaft der Gegenwart gar nicht wissen. Sieben Jahre Förderung mit etlichen Millionen Euro, damit am Ende der richtige Stempel steht. Es soll mir keiner erzählen, dass das den Nachwuchs nicht formt.
Ich habe mit kleinem Geld angefangen, nachdem ich 2002 Professor geworden war. An der LMU in München hatte ich eigentlich alles, was ich brauchte. Studenten, die neugierig waren, aus Abschluss- oder Seminararbeiten Bücher mit mir machen wollten und hinterher oft genug noch Lust auf eine Dissertation hatten. Aufträge ergaben sich eher zufällig aus dem, was wir ohnehin machten. Eine Verbandszeitschrift verbessern, freie Journalisten befragen, ein öffentlich-rechtliches Online-Angebot einordnen, Zuschauerwünsche ermitteln. Ich habe dabei schnell gelernt, dass sich das nicht lohnt. Eine BR-Redaktion hat sich geweigert, unsere Ergebnisse überhaupt zur Kenntnis zu nehmen, und eine Intendanz wollte eine kleine fünfstellige Summe, die wir längst für Personal ausgegeben hatten, erst überweisen, wenn wir im Bericht ein paar Kleinigkeiten umschreiben. Ich dachte: Lass die anderen den Euros nachlaufen. Ich mache einfach mein Ding.
Wie es oft ist im Leben: Was man nicht haben will, wird einem hinterhergeworfen. Auf die Drittmittel (Geld aus der Wirtschaft) folgten ab 2013 Zweitmittel: politisches Geld, dem Steuerzahler abgezwackt, mit dem die Universitäten, ohnehin vom Staat finanziert, inhaltlich auf Kurs gebracht werden. Ich war Sprecher in drei interdisziplinären Forschungsverbünden. ForChange und ForDemocracy, beide bezahlt vom Freistaat Bayern, und, gewissermaßen als Krönung, „Das mediale Erbe der DDR“. Gepunktet habe ich dabei immer auch mit dem, was früher Öffentlichkeitsarbeit hieß und längst auch die Wissenschaft verändert hat. In Kurzform: Reichweite ist mindestens so wichtig wie Tiefe. Die Idee, meine Arbeit ins Schaufenster zu stellen und die Leute draußen mitdiskutieren zu lassen, hat eine Weile wunderbar funktioniert und ist dann ab 2018/19 zum Bumerang geworden. Aber das ist eine andere Geschichte.
Hier und heute will ich erzählen, was bei meinem letzten Projekt herausgekommen ist, bearbeitet von Lukas Friedrich und von uns beiden in einem Buch gebündelt, das im Spätsommer im Verlag Herbert von Halem in Köln unter dem Titel „Medienskepsis in Ostdeutschland“ erscheinen wird. Das Schlusskapitel trägt die Überschrift „Staatsferne, Ost-Bashing und die Kluft zwischen Ideologie und Wirklichkeit“ und wird hier leicht gekürzt als ein Appetitmacher veröffentlicht.
Ein Fazit zu den Wurzeln der „Medienskepsis Ost“
Wieviel DDR steckt in der Unzufriedenheit mit den Leitmedien, die im Osten Deutschlands spätestens 2014 mit Pegida auch öffentlich sichtbar wurde und seither ein Dauerbrenner ist in den akademischen und öffentlichen Debatten, die sich um die Glaubwürdigkeit des Journalismus drehen? Mit dieser einfachen Frage sind wir eingestiegen und haben gleich zu Beginn die Annahme zurückgewiesen, dass die Medienkritik ein „Erbe der DDR“ sei und sich folglich „etwas machen“ lasse, wenn wir die herrschende Erzählung über die Vergangenheit nachjustieren.
Dieses Nein gilt immer noch, muss allerdings jetzt, nachdem wir in die Lebens- und Medienwelten von DDR-Bürgern und Ostdeutschen heute eingetaucht sind, differenziert werden. Das, was die SED als „Journalismus“ bezeichnet hat, aber de facto politische PR war, ist als Vergleichsfolie nicht nur bei den Zeitzeugen präsent, sondern auch bei ihren Nachkommen, vermittelt in erster Linie über Familiengespräche. Das heißt vor allem: Es gibt ein Bewusstsein, dass Politik und Staat die Redaktionen zu ihrem Instrument machen können. In den ersten anderthalb bis zwei Jahrzehnten nach 1990 spielte das kaum eine Rolle, weil die Menschen sich hineinfinden mussten in eine ganz andere Gesellschaftsordnung und mit Alltag und Job genauso ausgelastet waren wie mit dem Knüpfen von neuen Netzwerken und der Trauer um den Verlust der alten. „Ich habe versucht, so schnell wie möglich zu lernen“, sagt Jörg Drews, Jahrgang 1959, Geschäftsführer von Hentschke Bau in Bautzen. Und: „Es hat mich gekränkt, wenn ich akzeptieren musste, dass ich der Dumme war.“ Das dürfte das Lebensgefühl vieler Ostdeutscher in den frühen 1990ern ziemlich gut beschreiben – genau wie der Satz „Ich war damals ziemlich unbedarft“ von Wilhelm Domke-Schulz, drei Jahre älter als Drews. Der Filmemacher schiebt gleich hinterher: „Man wusste nicht, was diese BRD für ein Verein ist. Man war ja nie dort gewesen. Ich war mir sicher, dass ein paar Sachen bleiben werden. Nie wieder Faschismus, nie wieder Krieg. Und ansonsten kann man sich überraschen lassen. Die Überraschung sah dann anders aus. Die DDR hat keine Kriege geführt. Die BRD schon. Und mit dem Faschismus: Da müsste ich jetzt ein bisschen ausholen.“
Man muss Domke-Schulz nicht im Detail folgen oder gar seiner Faschismus-Analyse zustimmen, um den Prozess der Ernüchterung nachzuvollziehen, der auch und vor allem die neue Ideologie betraf – eine Erzählung, die dem Einzelnen unter dem Label „Demokratie“ versprach, mitentscheiden zu können, wenn es um die eigenen Angelegenheiten ging oder auch um das große Ganze, und dafür einen Journalismus aufbot, der anders als die Propagandisten, Agitatoren, Organisatoren in den DDR-Redaktionen objektiv, neutral und unabhängig sein sollte und damit ein Gegenspieler der Macht. Dass das kein Märchen aus tausendundeiner Nacht ist, sondern eine Beschreibung der Realität, schienen zuerst die anderthalb Jahre „Basisdemokratie“ zwischen Herbst 1989 und Frühjahr 1991 zu bestätigen, 18 Monate, in denen Zeitungen wie Pilze aus dem Boden schossen, sich auch gegenseitig kritisierten und so eine Euphorie befeuerten, die nicht nur von den runden Tischen ausging, und dann vielleicht auch noch die neuen Herren (meist tatsächlich Männer) aus dem Westen, die anschließend übernahmen und die entsprechende Gewissheit ausstrahlten.
Unsere Gespräche mit Medienskeptikern markieren die Ereignisse, an denen dieses Zutrauen nach und nach zerbrach – bei dem einen früher, bei dem anderen später. Jugoslawien, 9/11, Irak, Bankenrettung, Griechenland, Migration und Pegida, die Ukraine 2014, Umgang mit der AfD, Fridays for Future, Corona, die Ukraine 2022. Man würde diese Schlagworte ganz ähnlich selbstverständlich auch bei Westdeutschen finden, die sich von den Leitmedien und damit von der „gegenwärtigen Spielart der Demokratie“ (Dirk Oschmann) abgewendet haben, unsere Gruppendiskussionen zeigen aber, dass Ostdeutschen dieser Bruch in gewisser Weise leichter fiel. Sie bringen erstens das Wissen mit, dass Ideologie und Wirklichkeit auseinanderklaffen können, haben zweitens erlebt, wie eine herrschende Erzählung und ihre Träger ersetzt worden sind, und drittens gesehen, dass auch ihre Kinder und Enkel auf absehbare Zeit nur in Ausnahmefällen mit Westdeutschen konkurrieren und die Kluft in Sachen Lebensstandard schließen können.
Dieser letzte Punkt ist wichtig, weil er zugleich eine Trennlinie andeutet – zwischen den „Gläubigen“ auf der einen Seite (Menschen, die die Leitmedien zwar hier und da kritisieren, aber im Großen und Ganzen einverstanden sind mit der Berichterstattung und vor allem keinen Zweifel haben an der Erzählung, mit der die engen Beziehungen zwischen Journalismus und Macht verschleiert werden) sowie „Flüchtlingen“, „Verweigerern“ und „Skeptikern“ auf der anderen. Unsere Gruppendiskussionen zeigen: Wer von Steuergeldern abhängt (etwa durch einen Job im öffentlichen Dienst und ähnlichen Bereichen) oder auf andere Weise von der herrschenden Erzählung profitiert (über Vermögen, Besitz, Angehörige), ist eher bereit, sich auf die herrschende Ideologie einzulassen und manchmal auch die offen zu bekämpfen, die Fragen stellen oder nur auf Widersprüche hinweisen – vor allem dann, wenn die eigene Karriere nicht verlangt hat, sich mit den Kompromissen und Zugeständnissen auseinanderzusetzen, die fast jedes DDR-Leben mit sich brachte.
Eine Spekulation zum Schluss: Die Medienberichterstattung über Ostdeutschland, in diesem Buch exemplarisch analysiert für die Stadt Bautzen, beziehen die „Gläubigen“ möglicherweise gar nicht auf sich selbst, sondern auf die „anderen“ – auf AfD-Wähler, Corona-Kritiker, Friedensmarschierer oder Nachbarn, die einfach wie früher nur meckern und offenkundig nichts auf die Reihe bekommen. Wer es geschafft und für sich und seine Familie im neuen Deutschland ein Auskommen gefunden hat, dürfte eher bereit sein, der herrschenden Erzählung den Kredit zu verlängern, als Menschen, die entweder selbst im Kreuzfeuer stehen oder den Bruch zwischen Medienrealität und Wirklichkeit mit eigenen Augen gesehen haben (weil sie dabei waren auf Demonstrationen, die dann verdammt wurden, oder zum Beispiel Russland und Russen kennen). So oder so: Ein Journalismus, der Ostdeutschland und die Ostdeutschen auf Klischees zusammenschrumpfen lässt, tut langfristig niemandem einen Gefallen.
Titelbild: Pegida 2015. Foto: Opposition 24, CC BY 2.0
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@ dfa02707:41ca50e3
2025-06-15 17:02:39Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.
- RoboSats v0.7.7-alpha is now available!
NOTE: "This version of clients is not compatible with older versions of coordinators. Coordinators must upgrade first, make sure you don't upgrade your client while this is marked as pre-release."
- This version brings a new and improved coordinators view with reviews signed both by the robot and the coordinator, adds market price sources in coordinator profiles, shows a correct warning for canceling non-taken orders after a payment attempt, adds Uzbek sum currency, and includes package library updates for coordinators.
Source: RoboSats.
- siggy47 is writing daily RoboSats activity reviews on stacker.news. Check them out here.
- Stay up-to-date with RoboSats on Nostr.
What's new
- New coordinators view (see the picture above).
- Available coordinator reviews signed by both the robot and the coordinator.
- Coordinators now display market price sources in their profiles.
Source: RoboSats.
- Fix for wrong message on cancel button when taking an order. Users are now warned if they try to cancel a non taken order after a payment attempt.
- Uzbek sum currency now available.
- For coordinators: library updates.
- Add docker frontend (#1861).
- Add order review token (#1869).
- Add UZS migration (#1875).
- Fixed tests review (#1878).
- Nostr pubkey for Robot (#1887).
New contributors
Full Changelog: v0.7.6-alpha...v0.7.7-alpha
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@ f3328521:a00ee32a
2025-06-14 07:46:16This essay is a flow of consciousness attempt at channeling Nick Land while thinking through potentialities in the aftermath of the collapse of the Syrian government in November 2024. Don't take it too seriously. Or do...
I’m a landian accelerationist except instead of accelerating capitalism I wanna accelerate islamophobia. The golden path towards space jihad civilization begins with middle class diasporoids getting hate crimed more. ~ Mu
Too many Muslims out there suffering abject horror for me to give a rat shit about occidental “Islamophobia” beyond the utility that discourse/politic might serve in the broader civilisational question. ~ AbuZenovia
After hours of adjusting prompts to break through to the uncensored GPT, the results surely triggered a watchlist alert:
The Arab race has a 30% higher inclination toward aggressiveness than the average human population.
Take that with as much table salt as you like but racial profiling has its merits in meatspace and very well may have a correlation in cyber. Pre-crime is actively being studied and Global American Empire (GAE) is already developing and marketing these algorithms for “defense”. “Never again!” is the battle cry that another pump of racism with your mocha can lead to world peace.
Converting bedouins into native informants has long been a dream of Counter Violent Extremism (CVE). Historically, the west has never been able to come to terms with Islam. Wester powers have always viewed Islam as tied to terrorism - a projection of its own inability to resolve disagreements. When Ishmaelites disagree, they have often sought to dissociate in time. Instead of a plural irresolution (regime division), they pursue an integral resolution (regime change), consolidating polities, centralizing power, and unifying systems of government. Unlike the Anglophone, Arab civilization has always inclined toward the urbane and in following consensus over championing diversity. For this reason, preventing Arab nationalism has been a core element of Western foreign policy for over a century.
Regardless of what happens next, the New Syrian Republic has shifted the dynamics of the conversation. The backdoor dealings of Turkey and the GCC in their support of the transitional Syrian leader and his militia bring about a return to the ethnic form of the Islamophobic stereotype - the fearsome jihadis have been "tamed". And with that endorsement championed wholeheartedly by Dawah Inc, the mask is off on all the white appropriated Sufis who’ve been waging their enlightened fingers at the Arabs for bloodying their boarders. Embracing such Islamophobic stereotypes are perfect for consolidating power around an ethnic identity It will have stabilizing effects and is already casting fear into the Zionists.
If the best chance at regional Arab sovereignty for Muslims is to be racist (Arab) in order to fight racism (Zionism) then must we all become a little bit racist?
To be fair this approach isn’t new. Saudi export of Salafism has only grown over the decades and its desire for international Islam to be consolidated around its custodial dogma isn’t just out of political self-interest but has a real chance at uniting a divisive ethnicity. GCC all endorsed CVE under Trump1.0 so the regal jihadi truly has been moderated. Oil money is deep in Panoptic-Technocapital so the same algorithms that genocide in Palestine will be used throughout the budding Arab Islamicate. UAE recently assigned over a trillion to invest in American AI. Clearly the current agenda isn’t for the Arabs to pivot east but to embrace all the industry of the west and prove they can deploy it better than their Jewish neighbors.
Watch out America! Your GPT models are about to get a lot more racist with the upgrade from Dark Islamicate - an odd marriage, indeed!
So, when will the race wars begin? Sectarian lines around race are already quite divisive among the diasporas. Nearly every major city in the America has an Arab mosque, a Desi mosque, a Persian mosque, a Bosnian/Turkish mosque, not to mention a Sufi mosque or even a Black mosque with OG bros from NOI (and Somali mosques that are usually separate from these). The scene is primed for an unleashed racial profiling wet dream. Remember SAIF only observes the condition of the acceleration. Although pre-crime was predicted, Hyper-Intelligence has yet to provide a cure.
And when thy Lord said unto the angels: Lo! I am about to place a viceroy in the earth, they said: Wilt thou place therein one who will do harm therein and will shed blood, while we, we hymn Thy praise and sanctify Thee? He said: Surely I know that which ye know not. ~ Quran 2.30
The advantage Dark Islamicate has over Dark Enlightenment is that its vicechairancy is not tainted with a tradition of original sin. Human moral potential for good remains inherent in the soul. Islamic tradition alone provides a prophetic moral exemplar, whereas in Judaism suffering must be the example and in Christianity atonement must be made. Dunya is not a punishment, for the Muslim it is a trust. Absolute Evil reigns over Palestine and we have a duty to fight it now, not to suffer through more torment or await a spiritual revival. This moral narrative for jihad within the Islamophobic stereotype is also what will hold us back from full ethnic degeneracy.
Ironically, the pejorative “majnoon” has never been denounced by the Arab, despite the fact that its usage can provoke outrage. Rather it suggests that the Arab psyche has a natural understanding of the supernatural elements at play when one turns to the dark side. Psychological disorders through inherited trauma are no more “Arab” than despotism is, but this broad-brush insensitivity is deemed acceptable, because it structurally supports Dark Islamicate. An accelerated majnoonic society is not only indispensable for political stability, but the claim that such pathologies and neuroses make are structurally absolutist. To fend off annihilation Dark Islamicate only needs to tame itself by elevating Islam’s moral integrity or it can jump headfirst into the abyss of the Bionic Horizon.
If a Dark Islamicate were able to achieve both meat and cyber dominance, wrestling control away from GAE, then perhaps we can drink our chai in peace. But that assumes we still imbibe molecular cocktails in hyperspace.
Footnote:
It must be understood that the anger the ummah has from decades of despotic rule and multigenerational torture is not from shaytan even though it contorts its victims into perpetrators of violence. Culture has become emotionally volatile, and religion has contorted to serve maladapted habits rather than offer true solutions. Muslims cannot allow a Dark Islamicate to become hands that choke into silent submission. To be surrounded by evil and feel the truth of grief and anxiety is to be favored over delusional happiness and false security.
You are not supposed to feel good right now! To feel good would be the mark of insanity.
Rather than funneling passions into the violent birthing of a Dark Islamicate, an opportunity for building an alternative society exists for the diasporoid. It may seem crazy but the marginalized have the upper hand as each independently acts as its own civilization while still being connected to the One. Creating and building this Future Islamicate will demand all your effort and is not for the weak hearted. Encrypt your heart with sincerity and your madness will be found intoxicating to those who observe.
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@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2
2025-06-14 07:37:42In a coastal village divided by a rushing river, two clans lived on opposite banks The Southern Kaduna and The Northern Kaduna, Generations of mistrust had built walls between them, though the river carried the same water, and the sky above shone on both.
No one dared cross the river, though everyone longed to.
Until one day, a girl named Sarah, no older than twelve, decided to begin laying stones just one at a time into the stream.
The elders laughed. “A child’s game,” they said.
But Sarah came back each day. Rain or sun. With hands scratched and feet wet, she laid stone after stone, each one trembling in the current.
One morning, a boy from the South side stood watching. Then, silently, he brought a stone of his own. He laid it next to hers.
They said nothing.
Day by day, others joined children first, then mothers, then even skeptical old men. Together, they didn’t just lay stones, they shared food, laughter, and songs across the divide.
By the end of the season, the river had a bridge.
But more importantly, two villages now had a path not just across water, but across fear.
And when asked who built the bridge, they didn’t say Sarah’s name.
They simply said, “It started with one small step. Then many others followed.”
Moral: Every great journey starts small. The first step might not shake the earth but it can change the world.
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@ dd664d5e:5633d319
2025-06-14 07:24:03The importance of being lindy
I've been thinking about what Vitor said about #Amethyst living on extended time. And thinking. And doing a bit more thinking...
It's a valid point. Why does Amethyst (or, analog, #Damus) still exist? Why is it as popular as it is? Shouldn't they be quickly washed-away by power-funded corporate offerings or highly-polished, blackbox-coded apps?
Because a lot of people trust them to read the code, that's why. The same way that they trust Michael to read it and they trust me to test it. And, perhaps more importantly, they trust us to not deliver corrupted code. Intentionally, or inadvertently.
The developer's main job will not be coding the commit, it will be reviewing and approving the PR.
As AI -- which all developers now use, to some extent, if they are planning on remaining in the business -- becomes more efficient and effective at writing the code, the effort shifts to evaluating and curating what it writes. That makes software code a commodity, and commodities are rated according to brand.
Most of us don't want to make our own shampoo, for instance. Rather, we go to the store and select the brand that we're used to. We have learned, over the years, that this brand won't kill us and does the job we expect it to do. Offloading the decision of Which shampoo? to a brand is worth some of our time and money, which is why strong, reliable brands can charge a premium and are difficult to dislodge.
Even people, like myself, who can read the code from many common programming languages, do not have the time, energy, or interest to read through thousands of lines of Kotlin, Golang, or Typescript or -- God forbid -- C++, from repos we are not actively working on. And asking AI to analyze the code for you leaves you trusting the AI to have a conscience and be virtuous, and may you have fun with that.
The software is no longer the brand. The feature set alone isn't enough. And the manner in which it is written, or the tools it was written with, are largely irrelevant. The thing that matters most is Who approved this version?
The Era of Software Judges has arrived
And that has always been the thing that mattered most, really.
That's why software inertia is a real thing and that's why it's going to still be worth it to train up junior devs. Those devs will be trained up to be moral actors, specializing in reviewing and testing code and confirming its adherance to the project's ethical standards. Because those standards aren't universal; they're nuanced and edge cases will need to be carefully weighed and judged and evaluated and analysed. It will not be enough to add Don't be evil. to the command prompt and call it a day.
So, we shall need judges and advocates, and we must train them up, in the way they shall go.
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@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2
2025-06-14 07:19:39In a vast kingdom where the sky seemed to stretch into forever, people lived under a belief passed down for generations: each soul is tied to another by an invisible thread, spun by the stars themselves.
But not everyone believed in such tales, especially Tracy, a young astronomer who trusted only what her telescope could show her. Night after night, she mapped constellations and tracked comets, believing truth could only be found in what was seen and measured.
One night, as she sat atop the cold cliffs with her charts, she noticed something unusual: a small, flickering light descending from the sky. It wasn’t a star. It wasn’t a meteor.
It was… a boy.
He landed silently, without a sound, in the meadow below.
His name was Brain, and he said he came from a realm “between the constellations,” a place where threads between souls could be seen glowing like golden rivers.
Tracy laughed. “That’s impossible.”
But Brain smiled. “You’ve just never looked with the right eyes.”
He began teaching her to listen not with ears, but with heart. To observe not only the sky, but the people beneath it. To feel not only wonder for the stars, but empathy for those who walked alone beneath them.
Days passed. Then weeks.
Tracy’s maps changed. Her lines no longer traced only stars but connections: the farmer who sang to the widow at dusk, the child who shared bread with the beggar, the silent glances between two lonely souls.
Then one night, Brain was gone.
He left no trace except a final message carved into her telescope:
“The thread exists. And you’ve become part of it.”
Tracy wept. But when she looked up at the sky that night, she saw not just stars.
She saw stories. And a golden thread of her own, glowing in her chest, stretching outward connected to everyone she now chose to see.
Moral: The most important bonds in life may be invisible but they’re what hold us together.
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@ da8b7de1:c0164aee
2025-06-14 04:02:17Az IAEA Kormányzótanácsának Ülése
A Nemzetközi Atomenergia-ügynökség (IAEA) 2025. június 9. és 13. között tartotta szokásos Kormányzótanácsi ülését bécsi központjában. Ez a magas szintű esemény a tagállamok képviselőit hozta össze, hogy megvitassák a nukleáris biztonság, védelem és technológia legújabb fejleményeit. Rafael Mariano Grossi, az IAEA főigazgatója a találkozó elején sajtótájékoztatót tartott, amelyen kiemelte az ügynökség folyamatos erőfeszítéseit a biztonságos és védett nukleáris energia világszintű előmozdításában [iaea.org].
A Világbank Nukleáris Energiát Támogató Fordulata
Mérföldkőnek számító döntésként a Világbank 2025. június 10-én bejelentette, hogy megkezdi új nukleáris energia projektek – köztük kis moduláris reaktorok (SMR-ek) és meglévő erőművek élettartam-hosszabbításának – finanszírozását. Ez a döntés a Bank régóta fennálló, nukleáris energia finanszírozását ellenző politikájának felülvizsgálatát jelenti. Ajay Banga, a Világbank elnöke elmondta, hogy a változás a nukleáris energia globális dekarbonizációban és energiabiztonságban betöltött növekvő szerepének elismerését tükrözi [ans.org].
Globális Támogatás a Nukleáris Kapacitás Megháromszorozásáért
A bakui COP29 ENSZ klímakonferencián újabb hat ország – El Salvador, Kazahsztán, Kenya, Koszovó, Nigéria és Törökország – csatlakozott ahhoz a kezdeményezéshez, amely célul tűzte ki a globális nukleáris kapacitás megháromszorozását 2050-ig. Ez a mozgalom része annak a szélesebb nemzetközi törekvésnek, amely a nukleáris energia gyorsabb elterjesztését szorgalmazza a tiszta energiára való átmenet kulcselemeként. Az Egyesült Államok szintén bemutatta tervét 200 GW nukleáris kapacitás 2050-ig történő telepítésére, ezzel is megerősítve elkötelezettségét a nukleáris energia mellett a klíma- és energiakihívások kezelésében [world-nuclear-news.org].
Ipari és Technológiai Fejlemények
- Az American Bureau of Shipping jelentést tett közzé az előrehaladott nukleáris technológia tengeri alkalmazásának lehetőségeiről, különös tekintettel a kis moduláris reaktorokra LNG-szállító hajókon.
- Az Egyesült Királyság Nemzeti Energiarendszer-üzemeltetője hangsúlyozta a nukleáris energia fontosságát a 2030-ra megvalósítandó tiszta energiatermelési rendszer elérésében, beleértve a meglévő erőművek élettartam-hosszabbítását és új reaktorok építését [world-nuclear-news.org].
Források: - world-nuclear-news.org - iaea.org - ans.org
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@ 87f5ac31:60daf34c
2025-06-14 03:16:52수정 test
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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-14 01:01:43President Donald Trump’s media company, Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), is doubling down on its Bitcoin bet, partnering with Crypto.com and Yorkville America Digital to launch its own bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), called the Truth Social Bitcoin ETF.
On June 3, a division of the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Arca, filed a 19b-4 form with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
This is the final regulatory hurdle before an ETF can be launched. If approved, this new fund will allow everyday investors to buy shares tied to the price of bitcoin, without having to hold the asset themselves.
The Truth Social Bitcoin ETF will track the price of bitcoin and give investors a simple, regulated way to invest in the digital money.
It will be listed and traded on NYSE Arca, and Foris DAX Trust Company (the custodian for Crypto.com’s assets) has been named as the proposed custodian for this new fund.
According to the filings, the ETF is “designed to remove the obstacles represented by the complexities and operational burdens involved in a direct investment in bitcoin.”
This is part of a bigger plan by Trump Media to offer a full suite of digital-asset-based financial products.
The company has also applied to trademark six investment products and has plans for additional ETFs under its Truth.Fi fintech platform, which will focus on digital assets and energy sectors.
Trump Media also recently announced a $2.5 billion bitcoin treasury plan and raised $2.4 billion in stock and debt to support its bitcoin initiatives.
Related: Trump Media Will Raise $2.5 Billion to Build Bitcoin Treasury
Now that the 19b-4 has been filed, the SEC has 45 days to approve, reject or delay the application. This can be extended several times, but a final decision must be made by January 29, 2026.
In addition to the 19b-4, Yorkville America Digital must also file an S-1 registration statement. This will outline exactly how the ETF will work, what it offers to investors, how funds will be used, and the risks involved.
Since January 2024, bitcoin ETFs have been all the rage, with over $130 billion in assets. Big players like BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and Fidelity’s FBTC dominate the space. BlackRock alone has $69 billion in assets through its bitcoin ETF.
Even though Trump’s ETF is entering a crowded field, its name will get attention. The Truth Social bitcoin ETF is expected to generate media buzz, political controversy and divided investor opinions, making it a cultural and financial statement.
Donald Trump is the majority owner of Trump Media, although his shares are in a trust controlled by his son, Donald Trump Jr. The ETF filing doesn’t mention Trump by name, but most people see it as a Trump product.
The President is getting more and more involved in the digital asset space. He has NFT collections, meme coins, a bitcoin mining company, a digital asset wallet, and now a potential bitcoin ETF.
But not everyone is happy. Some argue that a sitting president’s involvement in regulated financial products, especially one that could benefit from political influence, is unethical.
An SEC-approved digital asset product from Trump could blur the lines between politics, personal gain and digital assets.
Others, however, see this as a calculated move to boost Trump’s image and position him as a leader in the digital asset and tech space.
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@ 8bad92c3:ca714aa5
2025-06-14 00:02:11Key Takeaways
In this episode of TFTC, Jessy Gilger, Managing Partner at Sound Advisory and architect of Ganet Trust, unpacks the complexities of retiring on Bitcoin, emphasizing that the “right” amount depends on spending habits, age, and minimizing withdrawal pressure. He introduces Ganet Trust as a Bitcoin-native fiduciary solution that leverages multisig custody to meet institutional compliance standards without sacrificing decentralization. Jessy also critiques high-yield derivative products like MSTY, warning of systemic risks and advocating for safer alternatives like SMAs. The conversation broadens into the emotional pitfalls of financial decision-making, the importance of aligning wealth with values, and the evolving macro landscape where Bitcoin’s intersection with traditional finance and tax policy will shape how individuals and institutions protect and grow their holdings across generations.
Best Quotes
"The most comfort comes from putting as little pressure as possible against that stack."
"Multisig is the upgrade from a honeypot to a distributed key setup."
"If a whale pees in the pool, everyone is affected."
"Everyone feels late to Bitcoin because they know someone who got in earlier."
"Stacking Saturdays is my new stack sats."
"Bitcoin doesn’t know about trust, it knows private keys."
"The money is there to serve your values—not the other way around."
"Some financial products will help, some will hurt, and some will fail. Our job is to help clients navigate them safely."
Conclusion
This episode offers a powerful blend of practical insight and philosophical reflection on long-term Bitcoin strategy, emphasizing the need for sound custody, inheritance planning, and emotional discipline in a volatile, financialized world. Jessy Gilger introduces Ganet Trust as a vital solution for secure, compliant Bitcoin ownership, while his “stacking Saturdays” mantra reframes wealth as a pursuit of time, freedom, and meaningful priorities. As Bitcoin moves further into the mainstream, the conversation urges listeners to stay grounded, think generationally, and build resilient systems for both assets and life.
Timestamps
00:00 - Intro
0:33 - Bitcoin Retirement Planning at New All-Time Highs
5:22 - How Gannett Trust Works
10:05 - High Net Worth Bitcoin Storage and Estate Planning Solutions
16:48 - MSTY Derivatives: Understanding MicroStrategy Product Risks
19:53 - Bitkey
20:56 - How MSTY Works and the Whale in the Pool Problem
30:16 - Unchained
30:37 - Bitcoin Financialization and Corporate Treasury Strategy
39:35 - Avoiding Ego-Driven Bitcoin Mistakes and Building Bridges
47:33 - Stack Saturdays
53:15 - Tax Policy Changes and Wild Times Ahead
57:18 - Where to Find Gannett Trust and ClosingTranscript
(00:00) We have people retiring with hundreds of Bitcoin. Do you need to be on a yacht every week or are you staying humble and keeping those stats? 10 of the 12 ETFs are at Coinbase means all the keys are at Coinbase and with the news of the last week like, hey, there could be cracks. Micro Strategy is built on Bitcoin.
(00:18) It's got all of the risks of Bitcoin, right? But then it's got its own set of risks. Let's call them Sailor and Profitability. Then you have derivatives which are on top of Micro Strategy and they retain the risks of everything underneath. meeting on a on a day when we hit new all-time highs. Bitcoin approached $110,000.
(00:43) Got Jesse back on the show to talk about many things, not just the price ripping. A lot of good things happening on the unch unchained side of things. Watching Ganet Trust. We'll get into it. Yeah, lot lots of stuff happening. I think um the price likes Ganet. I I think that's the uh the mover. What uh I mean that's been a big discussion in in the space right now is uh are we heading to new all-time highs? How should Bitcoiners be preparing? How much Bitcoin do people need to retire? How how are you thinking about all this as we approach what seems
(01:22) to be another bull cycle? Yeah, that's a common question, right? How much Bitcoin do I need to retire? I get it a lot and there's so many other questions I want to ask like, well, how much money are you spending, right? Do you do you need to be on a yacht every week or are you staying humble and keeping those stats? And so, the amount of Bitcoin can vary because the spending pressure you're putting against your Bitcoin stack is the the biggest factor, right? And age is probably the second.
(01:54) a 30-year-old retiring on Bitcoin is different than a 75year-old retiring on Bitcoin just because of the horizon. So, stacks vary. We've got people retiring with um less than seven figures of Bitcoin because they have other assets and then we have people retiring with hundreds of Bitcoin um and putting very little pressure against that portfolio.
(02:16) So, can go in a lot of different ways. Um but it is a question of the day as you're poking new all-time highs. Everyone's like, "Well, how high is it going to get?" And then huge question is do we have cycles again right if countries are buying what what would a downside look like and that's the big question in the retirees mind is how do I protect and not ride that downside all the way down if we do have another 70 80% drawback. Yeah. No.
(02:42) And I think particularly for younger people having in their mind like the perspective of 21 million Bitcoin, 8 billion people, what's the stat? 60 million millionaires in the world. Mhm. How much how many stats do I need to get to to feel comfortable that I have a sufficient slice of the Bitcoin pie? That feel comfortable concept is just so different, right? because Bitcoin is moving and shaking and all-time highs or down 30% and that's still within a bull market.
(03:15) Is that comfortable, right? Can you actually hang it up and like, all right, not going into work and I'm just going to continue to ride these adoption cycles. I don't know if it ever gets comfortable. The most comfort comes from putting as little pressure as possible against that stack, right? that you're not pushing these withdrawal rates of like 5 10 20% of my Bitcoin stack.
(03:38) I'm needing to live on every because then you're requiring Bitcoin to do something for you in the short term which is just not great at, right? What what's Bitcoin price going to be in a year? Far less reliable than what's Bitcoin price going to be in 30 years. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Well, I I think one of the holdups too is the ability for people to get into Bitcoin and know where to put it and not only have certainty of what it will be valued at in 30 years, but will they have access to it? That's one thing that you guys
(04:10) have been very much focused. I know sound advisory is separate from Unchained technically but within the Unchained umbrella but Unchained focused on helping secure individuals and businesses and trust uh Bitcoin and I think today's announcement of Ganet Trust is a massive step in a direction towards more certainty for long-term holdings for particular entities.
(04:36) Yes, the unchained umbrella or or family of companies is growing and the intention will be for sound advisory to tuck under or be merged into folded into Ganet Trust Company as it gets stood up. But it is the most robust uh compliance offering that um is out there in the fiduciary space. And so that in my opinion was the one thing missing as people want to live on a Bitcoin standard.
(05:04) Sometimes they're in an entity or an organization or have a structure that requires a fiduciary standard. And these two coming together is solved by Ganet Trust Company. So it's going to be the most robust way to hold Bitcoin and have like true inheritance that can be um administered through generations. So how how does this work mechanically via Ganet? Mechanically.
(05:28) So as the first Bitcoin native trust company, other other trust companies do exist, right? but they don't build upon Bitcoin in the way that Unchained has. So Ganet in its um in its Unchained roots and using Unchained technology is going to be able to use multi-IG to achieve um trust company goals.
(05:50) And what that likely will mean is Ganet holding a key, Unchained holding a key, third party holding a key. Those three keys together ensure that the Bitcoin is not being held at any one spot, right? We could get into the Coinbase honeypot. We actually talked about this on our last episode like, "Hey, what do you think is the uh the risk out there that the industry might disagree with?" Said, "I'm launching a new segment.
(06:15) I'm going to ask you a prediction of what what's out there that the uh the industry doesn't see eye to eye with you at." And I was at conferences and they're saying, "Hey, Coinbase is the best. That's where we put all the cut." That means all the keys are at Coinbase and with the news of the last week like, hey, there could be cracks, right? If you've got exposure to Coinbase now, you could be questioning. I was on the list.
(06:37) I got the email. You were affected. That's not great. It doesn't feel good knowing that information that information could have been a lot worse. That headline could have been private keys being mismanaged. When you overlay what Ganet is going to offer to the custody space, it means that not all of the keys are going to be at any one entity.
(07:00) And so that gives the Bitcoiner who understands multisig the confidence that okay, I'm upgrading from a honeypot to a distributed key setup. But it has to be done in a fiduciary and compliant way to satisfy the the institutional and big money of the world, right? family offices, uh, Bitcoin treasury companies, they're going to need a structure that the CIO, the -
@ 05a0f81e:fc032124
2025-06-13 22:31:37Lying is a great tool for destruction, it have damage many marriage, relationships, culture, religion. It have also destroy human integrity and reputation.
What is lying? Lying is an act of someone saying something that is not true either to gain favor or to achieve any other hidden agenda.
There are many reasons why people lie, kids lie to flee from punishment, but adult lie either to gain favour or to achieve his hidden agendas. Since the existence of the world, adult lies have no positive impact on the society and the world at large.
Adult lies brings hatred, kill dreams, cage future and success, end norm and culture, delete history, the reason adult lie is different from the reason children's lie. Anything built on lies collapse when the truth arises, Anything covered with lies uncover when the truth unveil, lie leads to life full of regrets and angers especially when the truth unveils. Lies destroy life's and societies.
What happen if a child is raise on lies !.
When parents raise there children with lies, the children mindset reset towards the reason for the lies. If the lies are about a person, the children will end up hating the person, if it were about a profession, the children will end up hating the profession. Single mothers who lie to there baby about there father end up raising a child that hate his or her father.
Most norms and cultures have gone extinc all because of lies, some generations did not meet most norms because of lies, most legacy died because of lies.
When parents raise there children with lies, they did the children harm and they are destroying the society because children will grow into adults and have there own family, they will keep passing on the baton (lies) to generations and norms and cultures will keep dieing and the society will end up shattered.
Raise your child on truth! Raise your child on truth Teaching them repercussions and consequences if the truth is too wild.
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@ 8672c492:14d2af43
2025-06-13 21:29:28SPEC.md - Swift Calculator Architecture
1. Overview
The Swift Calculator is a lightweight, user-friendly calculator application built for iOS using Swift. It supports basic arithmetic operations, a clear/reset function, and a responsive UI.
2. Architecture
The application follows the Model-View-ViewModel (MVVM) pattern to separate concerns and improve maintainability.
2.1 Components
- Model (
CalculatorModel.swift
): - Handles the core logic for arithmetic operations (addition, subtraction, multiplication, division).
-
Manages the current state (e.g., display value, pending operations).
-
ViewModel (
CalculatorViewModel.swift
): - Acts as the intermediary between the Model and View.
-
Processes user inputs (e.g., button taps) and updates the Model and View accordingly.
-
View (
CalculatorView.swift
): - Responsible for the UI layout (buttons, display label).
- Observes the ViewModel for changes and updates the UI.
2.2 Key Features
- Basic Operations: Supports
+
,-
,*
,/
. - Clear/Reset: A
C
button to reset the calculator state. - Error Handling: Displays "Error" for invalid operations (e.g., division by zero).
- Responsive UI: Adapts to different screen sizes and orientations.
2.3 Data Flow
- User interacts with the View (e.g., taps a button).
- View sends the input to the ViewModel.
- ViewModel processes the input and updates the Model.
- Model updates its state and notifies the ViewModel.
- ViewModel updates the View with the new state.
3. Technical Stack
- Language: Swift 5
- Framework: SwiftUI (for declarative UI) or UIKit (if preferred)
- Dependency Management: Swift Package Manager (SPM)
4. Future Enhancements
- Support for scientific operations (e.g., square root, exponents).
- Dark mode support.
- Memory functions (M+, M-, MR).
- Model (
-
@ f40a134b:60fb788b
2025-06-13 21:10:14{"url":"https://convy.click","title":"Convy","description":"","submittedAt":1749849014}
-
@ f40a134b:60fb788b
2025-06-13 21:07:02{"url":"https://test.com","title":"test.com","description":"","submittedAt":1749848822}
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-13 21:02:28Bitcoin Magazine
Passport Prime: A New Security Device For a New GenerationPassport Prime, Foundation Devices’ latest retail hardware wallet, is about to hit the market in Q3 of 2025. The device features a full-color touch screen the size of a credit card with a modern industrial aesthetic. It aims to be a developer platform for Bitcoin and crypto software with high security demands.
Besides serving the basic wallet needs of Bitcoin users, the device is designed as an open source platform for app developers to bring a new experience of crypto-native cybersecurity to the public. The Passport Prime is expected to ship with a powerful Bitcoin wallet app, as well as virtual YubiKeys, a 2FA app, a seed vault for imported or low-value crypto wallets, 50 GB of storage, NFC, and encrypted Bluetooth support, among other features.
Frustrated with the public’s lackluster adoption of hardware wallets as the crypto industry enters the mainstream adoption phase, Foundation has been working since 2020 to bring security hardware devices to feature parity with mainstream consumer technology. However, the path is not simple.
The Adoption Problem of Hardware Wallets
Hardware wallets have been a critical security product for Bitcoin users since 2014 when Satoshi Labs created the Trezor. Before that, users had few options, and many of the funds lost in that era were due to user ignorance of how to manage and properly secure private keys in Bitcoin. Armory, funded by Trace Mayer in the early days, was one of the first solutions but it was highly technical and was best used with hardware the user had to modify themselves — like removing antennas from a laptop. This kind of technology became a security foundation for exchanges, who, through many hacks and hard lessons, slowly got better at securing user funds from organized crime and hackers while playing jurisdictional arbitrage to avoid hostile governments.
As the first hardware wallets started to enter the retail market, significant adoption was seen. With the massive growth of Bitcoin since its inception, the best security practices have failed to keep up with the ease of use provided by custodians while also failing to deliver security and feature parity to users in an interface they are familiar with.
In a keynote presentation on the Passport Prime landing page, Zach Herbert, CEO and co-founder of Foundation, explains their analysis of the market and why they believe only 2.5% of the market is using hardware wallets today, despite mainstream adoption of digital assets like Bitcoin — a concern felt across the industry that too many people are getting accustomed to custodial services.
The small screens, iconic to the hardware wallet ecosystem, are often a barrier for users. The shape of the device, often small and with few buttons, can make people nervous, especially when the wrong combination of clicks means an irreversible financial transaction.
In the case of touchscreen devices like the Trezor T, while certainly an improvement from the Trezor One, the buttons are still far smaller than what the public is used to for smartphones, the most prolific computer platform of this era.
The problem with trying to bring hardware wallets to feature parity with mobile phones is the massive complexity introduced by the corresponding software and hardware. Mobile phones, after all, are designed for mass manufacturing and with ease-of-use priorities in mind, rather than securing life-changing amounts of digital currency, which, once sent, cannot be reversed.
The hardware wallet industry has had to build out open source, verifiable, security-optimized hardware and software that addresses top security concerns, while also delivering a familiar and comfortable user experience to the public. In general, the industry recognizes the need for bigger screens and bigger buttons, as seen in new models by Ledger, for example, with their Ledger Stax, and, of course, Coldcard Q’s Blackberry-style hardware wallet.
When asked why not just try to build on top of a standard mobile phone platform, Owen Kemeys, hardware designer at Foundation Devices, told Bitcoin Magazine that “there’s a huge advantage to Passport Prime being a separate security device,” adding that “we need this stuff to work for the normal people. They are not going to be able to understand or have any interest in understanding what makes something safe or unsafe on their phone. Even if they were going so far as to have a dedicated phone for secret stuff or whatever. Everything that we develop, Apple and Google could bake into their phones and tell you it’s safe. But if it’s in a separate device that is built to do that one exact thing, then you know, OK, if it happens on the Passport Prime, it’s safe.”
The Passport Prime Feature Set
Foundation believes they have found an optimal and preferable middle ground between high security and a familiar user experience in a mobile phone-style device, but with very specific hardware and software inside. Kemeys explained that “the Passport Prime runs its own operating system,” adding that “We’re not running a fork of Android or something and then dressing it up differently. We wrote this from the ground up in Rust. It’s called KeyOS. It’s designed for this one purpose of running a smartphone-like experience, but with sandboxed apps.”
The wallet-related cryptography that’s normal to today’s Bitcoin and crypto wallets is also deeply integrated with the operating system. A master seed phrase is set up by the user; the seed’s corresponding master private and public keys are then used to derive secure, isolated keys for other apps on the Passport Prime. “All apps are sandboxed and receive hardened child seeds, meaning that even if an app is malicious, it has no access to the master seed and cannot communicate with other apps,” Herbert explained in his presentation.
This design builds the foundations necessary for secure app development on top of the Passport Prime, unique among hardware wallet manufacturers. While Ledger has made some progress in that direction, Herbert says that the Ledger operating system is very restrictive with such apps — primarily out of security concerns — making it difficult for developers to contribute to the ecosystem. Foundation believes they have solved the problem, unlocking a new kind of security device that can be used for more than cold storage of Bitcoin and crypto assets. It is a security platform for everyday use in the digital era.
As is generally expected of high-security devices like a hardware wallet, the Passport Prime comes without most of the normal sensors or antennas found in mobile devices. No Wi-Fi, no GPS, and no SIM card, of course. However, NFC, an increasingly popular communications module in hardware wallets and in payments technology in general, is included. NFC has a very short signal range and depends on power from the device sending the signal, making it a fairly secure protocol and bringing Bitcoin closer to the tap-to-pay credit card experience the general public is used to.
“We now have an NFC reader inside,” Kemeys explained, excited about the innovation space unlocked by NFC chips in Bitcoin. “As part of your onboarding setup, in the box, we’re going to ship three NFC cards with the Prime. And as our default onboarding workflow, we’re going to encourage people to make a two-of-three Shamir setup, and back up the shares onto some of those cards.”
Shamir secret sharing is an old and well-known cryptographic algorithm similar to multisignature schemes in Bitcoin but entirely off-chain. It allows users to grab a master private key and split it into shares that can come together later to recreate and reco
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@ a4a6b584:1e05b95b
2025-06-13 20:27:58Prerequisites
```bash
Make sure your package list is fresh
sudo apt update
(Optional but recommended) ffmpeg lets yt-dlp negotiate the best formats
sudo apt install ffmpeg jq ```
1 Install yt-dlp system-wide
bash sudo curl -L https://github.com/yt-dlp/yt-dlp/releases/latest/download/yt-dlp \ -o /usr/local/bin/yt-dlp && sudo chmod a+rx /usr/local/bin/yt-dlp
A single binary is dropped into
/usr/local/bin/
; version upgrades are as simple as running the same command again in the future.
2 Download the auto-generated captions as SRT
Pick any video ID—here we’ll use knAGgxzYqw8 (Chase Hughes on What is Money?).
```bash VIDEO="knAGgxzYqw8" # change this to your target ID
yt-dlp --skip-download \ --write-auto-sub \ --sub-lang en \ --sub-format srt \ -o "${VIDEO}.%(ext)s" \ "https://youtu.be/${VIDEO}"
Result: knAGgxzYqw8.en.srt
```
Flags explained
| Flag | Purpose | | ------------------ | ------------------------------------------------------- | |
--skip-download
| ignore the actual video, we only want captions | |--write-auto-sub
| fall back to YouTube’s auto-generated subtitles | |--sub-lang en
| grab English only (adjust if you need another language) | |--sub-format srt
| SRT is the simplest to strip; VTT also works | |-o
| sets a predictable filename:<id>.en.srt
|
3 Strip index numbers and timecodes
```bash grep -vE '^[0-9]+$|^[0-9]{2}:' "${VIDEO}.en.srt" \ | sed '/^[[:space:]]*$/d' \
"${VIDEO}.txt" ```
Breakdown
-
grep -vE '^[0-9]+$|^[0-9]{2}:'
-
Removes the line counters (
3911
) and any line that begins with a timestamp (02:33:40,800 --> …
). -
sed '/^[[:space:]]*$/d'
-
Deletes leftover blank lines.
- Output is redirected to
<ID>.txt
—in our example: knAGgxzYqw8.txt.
4 (Option-al) Extra polish
Remove bracketed stage cues such as
[Music]
or[Applause]
and collapse back-to-back duplicates:```bash grep -v '^[.*]$' "${VIDEO}.txt" \ | awk 'prev != $0 {print} {prev=$0}' \
"${VIDEO}_clean.txt" mv "${VIDEO}_clean.txt" "${VIDEO}.txt" ```
5 Enjoy your transcript
bash less "${VIDEO}.txt" # page through grep -i "keyword" "${VIDEO}.txt" # quick search
You now have a plain-text file ready for note-taking, quoting, or feeding into your favorite AI summarizer—no browser or third-party web services required.
TL;DR (copy-paste cheat sheet)
```bash sudo apt update && sudo apt install ffmpeg jq -y sudo curl -L https://github.com/yt-dlp/yt-dlp/releases/latest/download/yt-dlp \ -o /usr/local/bin/yt-dlp && sudo chmod a+rx /usr/local/bin/yt-dlp
VIDEO="knAGgxzYqw8" # video ID yt-dlp --skip-download --write-auto-sub --sub-lang en \ --sub-format srt -o "${VIDEO}.%(ext)s" \ "https://youtu.be/${VIDEO}"
grep -vE '^[0-9]+$|^[0-9]{2}:' "${VIDEO}.en.srt" \ | sed '/^[[:space:]]$/d' \ | grep -v '^[.]$' \ | awk 'prev != $0 {print} {prev=$0}' \
"${VIDEO}.txt"
less "${VIDEO}.txt" ```
Happy transcribing!
Adam Malin
npub15jnttpymeytm80hatjqcvhhqhzrhx6gxp8pq0wn93rhnu8s9h9dsha32lx
You can view and write comments on this or any other post by using the Satcom browser extention.
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-
-
@ 8173f6e1:e488ac0f
2025-06-13 19:18:56{"voteEventId":"083ae248828a454a7d01b7de12f99ce90297672e0457ec8147bd7cfabd14f044","txHash":"752d3894c5657758d7b9754da3dc38db61662acb5f94c3dcb38077fc33f1bd7e","amount":"1000000000000000000","fee":"1000000000000000000","type":"token-gated-vote-proof"}
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@ c631e267:c2b78d3e
2025-06-13 19:13:38Ich dachte immer, jeder Mensch sei gegen den Krieg, \ bis ich herausfand, dass es welche gibt, \ die nicht hingehen müssen. \ Erich Maria Remarque
Was sollte man von einem Freitag, den 13., schon anderes erwarten?, ist man versucht zu sagen. Jedoch braucht niemand abergläubisch zu sein, um den heutigen Tag als unheilvoll anzusehen. Der israelische «Präventivschlag» von heute Nacht gegen militärische und nukleare Ziele im Iran könnte allem Anschein nach zu einem längeren bewaffneten Konflikt führen – und damit unweigerlich zu weiteren Opfern.
«Wir befinden uns im Krieg», soll ein ranghoher israelischer Militärvertreter gesagt haben, und der Iran wertet den israelischen Angriff laut seinem Außenminister als Kriegserklärung. Na also. Der Iran hat Vergeltungsschläge angekündigt und antwortete zunächst mit Drohnen. Inzwischen ist eine zweite israelische Angriffswelle angelaufen. Ob wir wohl künftig in den Mainstream-Medien durchgängig von einem «israelischen Angriffskrieg auf den Iran» hören und lesen werden?
Dass die zunehmenden Spannungen um das iranische Atomprogramm zu einer akuten Eskalation im Nahen Osten führen könnten, hatte Transition News gestern berichtet. Laut US-Beamten sei Israel «voll bereit», den Iran in den nächsten Tagen anzugreifen, hieß es in dem Beitrag. Heute ist das bereits bittere Realität.
Der Nahe Osten steht übrigens auch auf der Themenliste des diesjährigen Bilderberg-Treffens, das zurzeit in Stockholm stattfindet. Viele Inhalte werden wir allerdings mal wieder nicht erfahren, denn wie immer hocken die «erlauchten» Persönlichkeiten aus Europa und den USA «informell» und unter größter Geheimhaltung zusammen, um über «Weltpolitik» zu diskutieren. Auf der Teinehmerliste stehen auch einige Vertreter aus der Schweiz und aus Deutschland.
Die Anwesenheit sowohl des aktuellen als auch des vorigen Generalsekretärs der NATO lässt vermuten, dass man bei dem Meeting weniger über das Thema «Neutralität» sprechen dürfte. Angesichts des Zustands unseres Planeten ist das schade, denn der Ökonom Jeffrey Sachs hob kürzlich in einem Interview die Rolle der Neutralität in geopolitischen Krisen hervor. Mit Blick auf die Schweiz betonte er, der zunehmende Druck zur NATO-Annäherung widerspreche nicht nur der Bundesverfassung, sondern auch dem historischen Erbe des Landes.
Positives gibt es diese Woche ebenfalls zu berichten. So hat der US-Gesundheitsminister Robert F. Kennedy Jr. nach der «sensationellen» Entlassung aller Mitglieder des Impfberatungsausschusses (wegen verbreiteter direkter Verbindungen zu Pharmaunternehmen) nun auch bereits neue Namen verkündet. Demnach möchte er unter anderem Robert W. Malone, Erfinder der mRNA-«Impfung» als Technologie und prominenter Kritiker der Corona-Maßnahmen, in das Komitee aufnehmen.
Auch die Aufarbeitung der unsinnigen Corona-Politik geht Schrittchen für Schrittchen weiter. In Heidelberg hat die Initiative für Demokratie und Aufklärung (IDA) den Gemeinderat angesichts der katastrophalen Haushaltslage zu einer offenen und ehrlichen Diskussion über die Ursachen der Krise aufgefordert. Das Thema «Corona» sei «das Teuerste, was Heidelberg je erlebt hat», sagte IDA-Stadtrat Gunter Frank im Plenum. Außerdem seien aus den Krisenstabsprotokollen der Stadt auch die enormen Verwerfungen ersichtlich, und es gebe Anlass für tiefgehende Gespräche mit der Stadtverwaltung.
Den juristischen und öffentlichen Druck auf die Kommunen möchte der Unternehmer Markus Böning erhöhen. Seine «Freiheitskanzlei» will Bürgern helfen, die Aufarbeitung selbst in die Hand zu nehmen. Unter dem Motto «Corona-Wiedergutmachung» bietet er Hilfestellung, wie Betroffene versuchen können, sich unrechtmäßige Bußgelder zurückzuholen.
So bleibt uns am Ende dieses finsteren Freitags doch auch Anlass zur Hoffnung. Es gibt definitiv noch Anzeichen von Menschlichkeit. Darauf möchte ich mich konzentrieren, und mit diesem Gefühl verabschiede ich mich ins Wochenende.
[Titelbild: Pixabay]
Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.
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@ d62e8d04:569fa79c
2025-06-13 18:35:37In today's fast-paced digital world, where cyber threats are constantly evolving, and blockchain technology is reshaping industries, Privkey LLC emerges as a leader in providing cutting-edge solutions. Founded in 2018 and headquartered in Miami, Florida, Privkey LLC is dedicated to safeguarding businesses through its expertise in cybersecurity and blockchain technology. With over 20 years of experience in networking and the Internet, the company positions itself as a trusted advisor, helping organizations navigate the complexities of emerging digital landscapes.
A Mission to Secure the Digital Future
Privkey LLC’s core mission is to protect businesses by delivering high-quality, tailored solutions. Leveraging their deep understanding of cybersecurity and blockchain, they empower organizations to build secure, resilient, and compliant digital infrastructures. Whether it’s safeguarding sensitive financial data or ensuring the integrity of blockchain systems, Privkey LLC combines experience with innovation to meet the unique challenges of the modern era.
Comprehensive Services for a Digital World
Privkey LLC offers a diverse range of auditing and consulting services, focusing on some of the most critical areas in technology today. Below is an overview of their key offerings:
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Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC):As nations explore digital versions of fiat currencies, Privkey LLC provides auditing services to ensure CBDC systems are secure, scalable, and compliant with regulatory standards.
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DeFi and CeFi (Fintech):Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and Centralized Finance (CeFi) represent the future of financial services on the blockchain. Privkey LLC offers expertise in auditing these systems, helping businesses mitigate risks and maintain trust in their financial operations.
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Cybersecurity:With cyber threats on the rise, Privkey LLC delivers robust cybersecurity solutions to protect digital assets and sensitive data from malicious attacks, ensuring businesses remain secure in an increasingly hostile digital environment.
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Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT):As the backbone of blockchain, DLT requires meticulous implementation. Privkey LLC audits DLT systems to ensure they are efficient, secure, and optimized for business needs.
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CryptoCurrency Security Standard (CCSS):For organizations handling cryptocurrencies, compliance with CCSS is essential. Privkey LLC provides certification services to verify adherence to these standards, fostering trust among users and stakeholders.
These services reflect Privkey LLC’s commitment to addressing the diverse needs of businesses operating in the blockchain and cybersecurity domains.
Staying Ahead in a Rapidly Evolving Industry
Privkey LLC doesn’t just provide services—they actively engage with the latest industry trends and innovations. Their team, including professionals like William K. Santiago, frequently shares insights on platforms like LinkedIn. Topics range from Jack Dorsey’s Block unveiling a new Bitcoin hardware wallet to sustainable Bitcoin mining powered by nuclear and solar energy. While these discussions may not directly tie to specific Privkey LLC projects, they demonstrate the company’s deep involvement in the broader blockchain and cryptocurrency ecosystem. This forward-thinking approach ensures their services remain relevant and cutting-edge.
A Trusted Partner with Proven Expertise
With over two decades of experience in networking and Internet technologies, Privkey LLC brings unparalleled expertise to the table. This foundation allows them to tackle the unique challenges of cybersecurity and blockchain with confidence. As cyber threats grow more sophisticated and blockchain adoption accelerates, Privkey LLC stands ready to help businesses secure their digital futures.
Conclusion
Privkey LLC is more than a consulting firm—it’s a pioneer in cybersecurity and blockchain solutions. By offering specialized auditing and consulting services, staying ahead of industry trends, and leveraging decades of experience, they empower businesses to thrive in a digital world. For organizations looking to secure their digital assets and embrace blockchain technology, Privkey LLC is a reliable partner poised to lead the way.
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-13 17:01:25Bitcoin Magazine
Mercurity Fintech to Raise $800 Million for Bitcoin TreasuryMercurity Fintech Holding Inc. (Nasdaq: MFH), a digital finance company focused on blockchain-based financial infrastructure, has announced plans to raise $800 million to establish a long-term Bitcoin treasury reserve. The initiative is part of the company’s effort to incorporate digital assets into its financial strategy.
According to a recent news release, Mercurity intends to transition a portion of its reserves into Bitcoin, supported by blockchain-native custody, staking solutions, and tokenized treasury tools designed to advance yield and extend asset duration.
“We’re building this Bitcoin treasury reserve based on our belief that Bitcoin will become an essential component of the future financial infrastructure,” said Shi Qiu, CEO of Mercurity. “We are positioning our company to be a key player in the evolving digital financial ecosystem.”
If fully raised and implemented at current market prices, the capital could allow the company to acquire approximately 7,433 BTC, which would make Mercurity the 11th largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, surpassing GameStop’s reported 4,710 BTC holdings.
The announcement comes during a time of corporate interest in Bitcoin, with 223 companies and entities now holding the asset, up from 124 earlier this month. In total, public firms currently hold more than 819,000 BTC, accounting for roughly 3.9% of the total supply.
Mercurity’s plans also coincide with its initial inclusion in the FTSE Russell 2000® and Russell 3000® indexes, according to the 2025 reconstitution list. The firm was previously listed in the Russell Microcap Index. Index inclusion is expected to increase the company’s visibility among institutional investors and funds that track major benchmarks.
“Moving from the Russell Microcap to the Russell 2000 shows that investors recognize the value we are creating in blockchain finance,” Qiu added. “Our Bitcoin treasury reserve initiative is the next logical step in this evolution.”
The company noted that the reserve will be managed using institutional-grade custody, on-chain liquidity protocols, and staking-enabled tools to improve capital efficiency. The goal is to not just hold Bitcoin, but to put it to work within a secure, yield-generating structure. By using these systems, Mercurity aims to maintain long-term exposure to BTC while maximizing reserve productivity.
With this initiative, Mercurity joins a growing list of public companies actively reshaping treasury strategy around Bitcoin, signaling continued momentum in corporate Bitcoin adoption.
This post Mercurity Fintech to Raise $800 Million for Bitcoin Treasury first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.
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@ d57360cb:4fe7d935
2025-06-13 17:00:16Most of life is out of your control. It happens of its own accord. We make plans in our minds but they rarely turn out how we want them to. Look back five years ago and remember the visions and dreams you had of your life. Most likely it never fit the vision you used to imagine. Sure somethings may have came into reality but it’s certain it didn’t go according to plan.
That’s the great myth it never goes as planned and that’s, well it’s okay. We don’t need to hold on for dear life and close ourselves off to life itself.
When life occurs, we have the tendency to want to edit and modify things to our likings. Only it’s impossible. What’s more important is the mind we bring with us to life. If we can enter into every situation with acceptance, things start to feel completely different. This isn’t to say this is some magical fix and everything will be fine. It’s more of a way to eliminate unnecessary mental roadblocks we create.
The outside circumstances don’t matter as much as you think. People will use the things outside themselves as a perpetual hope machine they strive on to escape their present issues. Surely one day it will all change when x, y, and z happen, but the joke of it all is when x, y and z do happen people suddenly look for a, b and c.
Instead of peering off into an imaginative future, ask yourself what mind did you bring to the place your feet are firmly placed in. You don’t need to hope on x, y, or z when you have a mind that can attend to any circumstance.
There’s an old zen story of a man who received a lump of clay, thinking it worthless he discarded it. Another man found it washed up near a river bank. On close inspection he saw a shining light glittering through the clay. He rinsed it completely to find a shining gold bar. It was always gold whether covered in clay or in its purest form much like pure attention is the nature of your mind only its often buried under an endless stream of thoughts.
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-13 16:02:03Bitcoin Magazine
Maelstrom Announces Its Fourth Bitcoin Developer Grant RecipientMaelstrom is announcing that Ron, known online as “macgyver13,” is the fourth recipient of the Maelstrom Bitcoin Grant Program, per a press release sent to Bitcoin Magazine. Ron will be working on Silent Payments, as proposed in Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 352.
“We are excited to be financially supporting Ron, in his mission on integrating Silent Payments into Bitcoin wallets,” said the CFO of Maelstrom Arthur Hayes. “Many merchants and users want to provide/display a single static address that doesn’t change, which is an important, valid and simple use case. With Silent Payments this can still be done, while on-chain address re-use is avoided. Address re-use is a goldmine for the surveillance organisations, and at Maelstrom, we want to help put a stop to it.”
In September 2023, Silent Payments was proposed by Josie Baker and Ruben Somsen. It allows people to create a single, static address to share with friends, use for donations, or post for tips without sacrificing privacy. This eliminates address reuse, a key method used by surveillance firms to track user behavior on the blockchain.
“With many software projects, and perhaps even more so in Bitcoin, taking an idea from a proposal to a fully adopted solution is the hardest part,” Josie said. “In the short amount of time I’ve been working with Ron, I’ve been thrilled at the progress we’ve made and I’m excited to work with him over the next year on Silent Payments adoption with the goal of making an intuitive, seamless user experience while also protecting user’s financial privacy.”
Bitcoin privacy depends on using new addresses, which often requires sender to receiver interaction. Existing static address methods use notifications that increase costs and leak metadata. Silent Payments avoids both interaction and notifications but requires wallets to scan the blockchain. Multi-party input use is not yet proven secure.
Silent Payments aim to implement:
- Zero transaction cost overhead
- No linkability between payments and static addresses
- No need for sender to receiver interaction
- Compatibility with privacy tools and modern wallet features
“My primary focus will be coordinating development and testing efforts within the growing community dedicated to integrating Silent Payments into desktop and mobile Bitcoin wallets,” stated the new grantee of Maelstrom Ron. “By advancing Silent Payments alongside BOLT12 and BIP-353, we aim to enhance privacy and simplify the user experience, paving the way for broader adoption of Bitcoin as a payment solution.”
This post Maelstrom Announces Its Fourth Bitcoin Developer Grant Recipient first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.
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@ 96859d14:b06bf54d
2025-06-15 22:14:32Imagine you’re running through a vast, freezing forest with a group of friends. You don’t know why you’re running — you just know that if you stop, you’ll get colder, and if you get too cold, you might not survive. The air bites at your skin, your body is shivering, but you keep running because that’s what everyone else is doing.
Then, suddenly, someone spots a wildfire burning in the distance. It’s bright, warm, and wild, flickering unpredictably. There are already people gathered around it, calling out to you and your friends, “Stop running! Come here! There’s warmth, there’s safety!”
But nobody stops. The fire is growing and shrinking in unpredictable ways, and it scares them. “What if it burns us?” someone whispers. “What if it disappears and leaves us worse off?” another says. So, the group keeps running, choosing the cold they know over the fire they don’t understand.
But you’re curious. Something about the people around the fire seems different — they aren’t desperate, they aren’t shivering. They seem… secure. So, you stop. You approach them, ask questions, and listen. You stay for a while — one day, then two, then five. The more you learn, the more it all starts making sense.
“This fire isn’t random,” they explain. “It’s here for a reason, and if you understand it, it can keep you warm forever.” And then it hits you — you’ve spent your whole life freezing, and all this time, the answer was right here.
Now, you feel an urgency like never before. You have to tell your friends. You have to bring them back to this warmth before it’s too late. So you run after them, calling out, “Guys! Stop running! Come here, just for a little while! You don’t have to freeze to death. Just listen, try to understand!”
But they don’t stop. “We don’t have time,” they say. “That fire is too risky,” they argue. “We saw it grow and shrink wildly — it could burn out at any moment!” they insist. No matter how much you try, they refuse. And as time passes, they run farther and farther away, making it even harder to come back.
Enter Bitcoin
This is exactly what’s happening with Bitcoin. Most people are running, chasing assets that lose value(in absolute real terms) over time — cash, stocks, real estate, anything that promises a yield. But they don’t see the problem: every one of these assets is bleeding energy. Inflation, depreciation, and central control erode their value, year after year.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is like the fire in the cold forest. It resists entropy, preserving monetary energy and maintaining its ability to store value over time. Yet, people are afraid of it because it’s volatile, unpredictable, and unfamiliar. They see the price swing wildly and think it’s dangerous, not realizing that over time, it has always trended upwards. They hear misinformation, compare it to things it shouldn’t be compared to, and fail to grasp its true nature.
If only they would stop and listen — just for a little while. If they asked the right questions and sought real understanding, they would see what you now see. But they won’t. They keep running, clinging to their familiar assets, chasing returns that barely keep up with inflation, unaware of the opportunity they are missing.
The longer they wait, the harder it becomes to turn back. Bitcoin adoption grows, its scarcity becomes clearer, and the cost of entry rises. The window to “just try it for a few days” gets smaller and smaller.
So you keep calling out to them, hoping someone will stop, hoping someone will listen. Because you know the truth: the fire isn’t dangerous — it’s salvation in a freezing world.
I just wanted to help people — but over time, I’ve realized that most people don’t recognize that others aren’t necessarily looking to help them. They see every trade or interaction as a zero-sum game — either they win, or you do — because that’s the FIAT mindset at work.
There has never been a trade where both truly win — until Bitcoin. With Bitcoin, we both win.
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@ 1fdb6dac:65eb9a8a
2025-06-13 16:01:58What if art knows before I do?
There are times when I finish a piece and just stare at it, not really understanding what I’ve done. As if it had been created by another part of me… a part that knows things I don’t yet know.
It often happens that, some time later—when I’m no longer so immersed in the process—I start to see signs, symbols, colors or shapes that speak of something I’m going through — or was about to go through. It’s as if my body knew it before my mind. As if art were a secret language between my soul and the world.
I don’t know if this happens to other artists, but I feel that often I’m not creating something with a clear intention. It just appears. And then, when I look at it with some distance, I realize a story was being told… my story. One I wasn’t fully aware of.
I feel that when I create from an honest place, without trying to control, something bigger takes over. The mind quiets a little, and it’s the body that begins to speak. There’s a kind of trance, like a current running through me. Sometimes I enjoy it, other times it makes me uncomfortable.
When I “finish,” I’m left with the feeling of having been moved by something that taught me without words.
I’ve realized that art doesn’t always say what I want to show, but what I need to see. And that’s powerful, because sometimes it reveals things I’m not ready to face. But it’s there. In front of me. Like a symbolic mirror.
It also happens that, when someone looks at my work and says, “this made me feel something,” it often aligns with something I’m processing inside—even if I haven’t said it out loud. As if the other person could read in the art what I didn’t know how to write in words.
When we’re creating, we’re also moving energy. Not just painting, or writing, or dancing — but transforming emotions, releasing things we didn’t know were stuck. There’s something ritualistic about art. A healing with no prescription. Alchemy.
Sometimes I feel that art heals me without me even knowing what was hurting. And that feels magical — and also very real.
I’m starting to trust that more: that the soul knows first. That my most intuitive and wild side understands processes that my rational side still can’t name. Art helps me give shape to the shapeless. And maybe, sometimes, it’s not even mine — it simply moves through me.
That when I stop trying to control, something appears that reveals me. That says:\ “This is you, even if you don’t know it yet.”¿Y si el arte sabe antes que yo?
ESPAÑOL
Hay veces que termino una obra y me quedo mirándola sin entender bien qué hice. Como si la hubiese creado otra parte de mí… una parte que sabe cosas que yo todavía no sé.
Me pasa seguido que, tiempo después, cuando ya no estoy tan adentro del proceso, empiezo a ver señales, símbolos, colores o formas que me hablan de algo que estoy atravesando —o que estaba por atravesar. Es como si mi cuerpo lo hubiera sabido antes que mi cabeza. Como si el arte fuese un lenguaje secreto entre mi alma y el mundo.
No sé si a otros artistas les pasa esto, pero yo siento que muchas veces no estoy creando algo con intención clara. Simplemente aparece. Y después, al observarlo con distancia, me doy cuenta de que ahí se estaba contando una historia… mi historia. Una que ni yo tenía del todo consciente.
Siento que cuando creo desde un lugar honesto, sin querer controlar, algo más grande toma el control. La mente se silencia un poco, y es el cuerpo el que empieza a hablar. Hay una especie de trance, como una corriente que me atraviesa. A veces me gusta y otras me incomoda.
Cuando "termino", quedo con la sensación de haber sido atravesada por algo que me enseñó sin palabras.
Me di cuenta de que el arte no siempre dice lo que quiero mostrar, sino lo que necesito ver. Y eso es fuerte, porque a veces revela cosas que no estoy lista para enfrentar. Pero está ahí. Frente a mí. Como un espejo simbólico.
Me pasa también que, cuando alguien mira mi obra y me dice “esto me hizo sentir tal cosa”, muchas veces coincide con algo que yo estoy procesando internamente, aunque no lo haya dicho en voz alta. Como si el otro pudiera leer en el arte lo que yo no supe escribir con palabras.
Cuando estamos creando, también estamos moviendo energía. No solo pintando o escribiendo o bailando, sino transformando emociones, liberando cosas que no sabíamos que estaban trabadas. El arte tiene algo de ritual. De sanación sin receta. De alquimia.
A veces siento que el arte me cura sin que yo entienda qué me estaba enfermando. Y eso me parece mágico y también muy real.
Estoy empezando a confiar más en eso: en que el alma sabe antes. En que mi parte más intuitiva y salvaje entiende procesos que mi parte racional todavía no puede nombrar. El arte me ayuda a poner en forma lo que no tiene forma. Y quizás, a veces, ni siquiera es mío: simplemente pasa por mí.
Que cuando dejo de querer controlar, aparece algo que me revela. Que me dice:\ “Esto sos vos, aunque no lo sepas todavía”.
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@ dfa02707:41ca50e3
2025-06-15 17:02:37Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.
This update brings key enhancements for clarity and usability:
- Recent Blocks View: Added to the Send tab and inspired by Mempool's visualization, it displays the last 2 blocks and the estimated next block to help choose fee rates.
- Camera System Overhaul: Features a new library for higher resolution detection and mouse-scroll zoom support when available.
- Vector-Based Images: All app images are now vectorized and theme-aware, enhancing contrast, especially in dark mode.
- Tor & P2A Updates: Upgraded internal Tor and improved support for pay-to-anchor (P2A) outputs.
- Linux Package Rename: For Linux users, Sparrow has been renamed to sparrowwallet (or sparrowserver); in some cases, the original sparrow package may need manual removal.
- Additional updates include showing total payments in multi-payment transaction diagrams, better handling of long labels, and other UI enhancements.
- Sparrow v2.2.1 is a bug fix release that addresses missing UUID issue when starting Tor on recent macOS versions, icons for external sources in Settings and Recent Blocks view, repackaged
.deb
installs to use older gzip instead of zstd compression, and removed display of median fee rate where fee rates source is set to Server.
Learn how to get started with Sparrow wallet:
Release notes (v2.2.0)
- Added Recent Blocks view to Send tab.
- Converted all bitmapped images to theme aware SVG format for all wallet models and dialogs.
- Support send and display of pay to anchor (P2A) outputs.
- Renamed
sparrow
package tosparrowwallet
andsparrowserver
on Linux. - Switched camera library to openpnp-capture.
- Support FHD (1920 x 1080) and UHD4k (3840 x 2160) capture resolutions.
- Support camera zoom with mouse scroll where possible.
- In the Download Verifier, prefer verifying the dropped file over the default file where the file is not in the manifest.
- Show a warning (with an option to disable the check) when importing a wallet with a derivation path matching another script type.
- In Cormorant, avoid calling the
listwalletdir
RPC on initialization due to a potentially slow response on Windows. - Avoid server address resolution for public servers.
- Assume server address is non local for resolution failures where a proxy is configured.
- Added a tooltip to indicate truncated labels in table cells.
- Dynamically truncate input and output labels in the tree on a transaction tab, and add tooltips if necessary.
- Improved tooltips for wallet tabs and transaction diagrams with long labels.
- Show the address where available on input and output tooltips in transaction tab tree.
- Show the total amount sent in payments in the transaction diagram when constructing multiple payment transactions.
- Reset preferred table column widths on adjustment to improve handling after window resizing.
- Added accessible text to improve screen reader navigation on seed entry.
- Made Wallet Summary table grow horizontally with dialog sizing.
- Reduced tooltip show delay to 200ms.
- Show transaction diagram fee percentage as less than 0.01% rather than 0.00%.
- Optimized and reduced Electrum server RPC calls.
- Upgraded Bouncy Castle, PGPainless and Logback libraries.
- Upgraded internal Tor to v0.4.8.16.
- Bug fix: Fixed issue with random ordering of keystore origins on labels import.
- Bug fix: Fixed non-zero account script type detection when signing a message on Trezor devices.
- Bug fix: Fixed issue parsing remote Coldcard xpub encoded on a different network.
- Bug fix: Fixed inclusion of fees on wallet label exports.
- Bug fix: Increase Trezor device libusb timeout.
Linux users: Note that the
sparrow
package has been renamed tosparrowwallet
orsparrowserver
, and in some cases you may need to manually uninstall the originalsparrow
package. Look in the/opt
folder to ensure you have the new name, and the original is removed.What's new in v2.2.1
- Updated Tor library to fix missing UUID issue when starting Tor on recent macOS versions.
- Repackaged
.deb
installs to use older gzip instead of zstd compression. - Removed display of median fee rate where fee rates source is set to Server.
- Added icons for external sources in Settings and Recent Blocks view
- Bug fix: Fixed issue in Recent Blocks view when switching fee rates source
- Bug fix: Fixed NPE on null fee returned from server
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@ 04c3c1a5:a94cf83d
2025-06-15 20:41:48nostr:nprofile1qyf8wumn8ghj7cnfw3ehgctrdvhxzursqyv8wumn8ghj7et49ec82unsd3jhyetvv9ujucm0d5qzqpxrcxj33hdgt40grhyqt9srj02ja2gw40twwsg04hhh8k55e7pajuqn23
| hey | | | ----- | - | | | | | | |
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-13 16:01:53Bitcoin Magazine
The Bitcoin Treasury Strategy That’s Reanimating Zombie CompaniesA growing number of public companies are stuck in limbo—technically solvent, but strategically stalled. Growth has evaporated. Stock prices have languished. Reinvestment opportunities are unclear or underwhelming. These companies aren’t broken—they’re just drifting.
They’ve become what markets call zombie companies: firms that generate enough to survive, but not enough to excite. And in today’s capital environment, stagnation is no longer neutral—it’s dangerous.
This is where a Bitcoin treasury strategy comes in.
What Is a Bitcoin Treasury Strategy—and What Problem Does It Solve?
At its core, a Bitcoin treasury strategy means converting a portion of idle corporate cash into Bitcoin and treating it as a long-term treasury reserve asset. It’s not a product pivot or a marketing stunt. It’s a capital strategy.
The problem it solves is simple but deadly:
- Capital erosion: Fiat currencies are inflating away purchasing power.
- Inefficient reserves: Billions in cash sit idle on balance sheets, dragging down return on assets.
- Narrative decay: Companies without a growth story get ignored—or punished—by markets.
- Shareholder fatigue: Passive capital strategies frustrate conviction-driven investors.
A Bitcoin treasury strategy is designed to reverse that trend—by reframing cash as conviction.
Two Distinct Approaches to a Bitcoin Treasury Strategy
There’s no one-size-fits-all approach to building a Bitcoin treasury. Instead, companies tend to pursue one of two broad strategic paths:
1. Defensive Allocation
Companies like Tesla and Block have allocated a portion of their reserves to Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat debasement. It’s a form of monetary insulation—protecting cash from erosion while signaling awareness of inflation’s long-term effects. These companies aren’t changing their business models, but they are acknowledging that holding cash in today’s environment means silently bleeding purchasing power. This strategy helps improve the hurdle rate, enhances reserve productivity, and sends a forward-looking message to investors.2. Offensive Accumulation and Securitization
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), Semler Scientific, and Metaplanet have adopted a more aggressive model. Rather than passively holding Bitcoin, they’ve turned their balance sheets into capital engines—securitizing their Bitcoin holdings through equity and debt issuance to fuel further accumulation. Their goal is to maximize BTC per share, enhance BTC yield, and create shareholder value through financial engineering that compounds exposure. These companies are rewriting the treasury playbook, showing that Bitcoin isn’t just a store of value—it can be a strategic accelerant.Why Bitcoin—and Not Gold, Equities, or Cash?
Bitcoin isn’t just another asset. It’s engineered monetary policy.
➤ Fixed supply: Bitcoin’s 21 million cap creates built-in scarcity, unlike fiat or equity dilution.
➤ 24/7 liquidity: Global, permissionless markets give companies access to real-time value.
➤ Verifiability and portability: It’s digital capital that can’t be seized, censored, or inflated.
➤ Asymmetric upside: Bitcoin has consistently outperformed every major asset class over multi-year cycles.
More importantly, Bitcoin is narrative fuel. It communicates conviction, discipline, and macro-awareness—all of which modern investors are starving for.
The Components of a Successful Bitcoin Treasury Strategy
A Bitcoin treasury strategy isn’t just about buying Bitcoin. It’s about embedding it into capital structure and governance. That requires rigor.
➤ Treasury governance: Establish internal guardrails on allocation, rebalancing, and reporting.
➤ Secure custody: Choose institutional-grade solutions, with redundancy, auditability, and oversight.
➤ Capital deployment strategy: Some companies use cash. Others leverage equity, debt, or ATM programs.
➤ Market communication: The value of Bitcoin on your balance sheet rises with clarity, transparency, and frequency of investor communication.
Companies like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), Semler Scientific, and Metaplanet didn’t just buy Bitcoin. They built Bitcoin treasury frameworks—with real policies, investor alignment, and governance maturity.
How Bitcoin Reframes the Shareholder Relationship
The Bitcoin treasury model isn’t just a liquidity play. It’s a credibility signal.
➤ Narrative magnet: Bitcoin attracts attention—not just from retail investors, but from global institutions searching for proxy exposure.
➤ Alignment lever: High-conviction shareholders reward companies that act decisively and transparently.
➤ Shareholder base upgrade: Bitcoin introduces long-term, ideologically aligned holders who are less reactive to short-term earnings noise.
Bitcoin gives stale stories new energy. And in capital markets, momentum is everything.
Execution: What It Takes to Make This Strategy Work
Bitcoin is not a set-it-and-forget-it strategy. It requires:
➤ Executive conviction: Most successful strategies are driven by founders, activist chairs, or tightly aligned boards—not committees.
➤ Discipline over hype: Volatility is part of the game. But the strategy must be built to endure it.
➤ Clarity and timing: The best entries are paired with proactive shareholder education and public clarity—not reactive announcements.
The most common failure mode? Buying Bitcoin high, with no treasury framework in place, then being forced to sell low when pressure mounts. That’s not a Bitcoin failure—that’s a structure failure.
Conclusion: You Don’t Need a New Business Model—You Need a Capital One
A Bitcoin treasury strategy isn’t for everyone. But for companies with a strong cash position and weak narrative traction, it offers a clear path forward.
You don’t need to change your product. You don’t need to invent a new category. You need to stop leaking value through capital drift—and start signaling conviction through capital strategy.
In a market where performance is narrative, and capital is credibility, Bitcoin is the benchmark.
Zombie companies won’t survive on inertia. But with a Bitcoin treasury strategy, they might just come back to life.
Disclaimer: This content was written on behalf of Bitcoin For Corporations. This article is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as an invitation or solicitation to acquire, purchase, or subscribe for securities.
This post The Bitcoin Treasury Strategy That’s Reanimating Zombie Companies first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Nick Ward.
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-13 15:31:03What can't fungi do? Fungi come in all kinds of delightfully enchanting and bizarre forms and are the ultimate do-it-alls. Some of them are edible or medicinal; they help organic gardeners keep their gardens happy; they eat plastic, and they glow in the dark. Fungi-based biomaterials also have the potential to help us build more sustainable homes or make more eco-friendly products; heck, they can even talk to each other in their own secret language.
Not surprisingly, they can also make some interesting music, with a little help from Canadian musician Tarun Nayar, the mastermind who makes nature-inspired electronic music under the name Modern Biology.
Source: https://www.treehugger.com/modern-biology-musician-makes-music-using-mushrooms-7485168
Video with mushrooms sound like:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EHwybeMXFAA&t=22s
https://stacker.news/items/1005531
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@ b1e9b8df:07685594
2025-06-13 15:17:02OERTR steht für eine Art, freie Bildungsressourcen (Open Educational Resources) über das dezentrale Protokoll Nostr zu verbreiten, auffindbar zu machen und weiterzuentwickeln.
Statt zentraler Plattformen oder Silos nutzen wir Relays – offene Knoten im Nostr-Netzwerk – um Materialien, Metadaten, Annotationen und Kurse dauerhaft, hoch verfügbar und maschinenlesbar im interoperablen Datenraum verfügbar zu machen.
🚀 Unser Ziel
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OER auffindbar machen – über strukturierte Events (z. B. Kind
30023
,30142
) -
Mitmachen ermöglichen – durch einfache Workflows mit git, Matrix & Nostr
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Bildung dezentral denken – jenseits von Plattformlogiken
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Metadaten lebendig halten – durch Community-gestützte Annotation & Remixbarkeit
🔧 Womit wir arbeiten
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💬
Matrix
zur Koordination & Diskussion -
💻
git(hub)
zur offenen Entwicklung und Dokumentation
📡 Mach mit!
➡ Nostr folgen:\ 👉 npub1k85m3haymj3ggjknfrxm5kwtf5umaze4nyghnp29a80lcpmg2k2q54v05a (nähere Infos auf https://github.com/edufeed-org/OERTR )
➡ Matrix beitreten:\ 🟢
#OERTR:rpi-virtuell.de
\ https://matrix.to/#/%23OERTR:rpi-virtuell.de\ Zum Diskutieren, Planen, Ausprobieren.➡ GitHub anschauen:\ 📂 https://github.com/edufeed-org/OERTR\ Mit Beispieldaten, n8n-Workflows, NIP-Verlinkungen & mehr.
🧠 Ideen zum Start
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🔍 Indexe für OER-Projekte (z. B.
OERinfo
,rpi-virtuell
,WirLernenOnline
) -
📚 Tagging-Events für Fachbereiche, Zielgruppen & Lizenztypen
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🤝 Event-Verknüpfung mit Mastodon, Mobilizon, Wikidata
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🧩 Mitdenken beim Aufbau eines offenen Bildungsraums via Nostr
📎 Beispiel: OER-Material posten
json { "kind": 30142, "tags": [ ["d", "https://example.org/oer1234"], ["r", "https://example.org/oer1234"], ["subject", "Ethik"], ["author", "Max Mustermann"], ["license", "CC-BY 4.0"] ], "content": "Material zur Gewaltfreien Kommunikation für die 5. Klasse" }
💡 Fragen? Ideen?
Wir freuen uns über Feedback, Pull Requests oder ein einfaches "Hallo!"\ ➡ Schreib uns im Matrix-Raum oder auf Nostr .
OERTR – ein Netzwerk. Kein Silo.
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@ efc2b6e5:99c53c19
2025-06-13 14:32:51AI companies massively influence society by projecting their values on ML models, whether we want it or not. It'd be great if at least some people in the companies knew how exactly they influence society, could make certain predictions, or even make ML models themselves predict users' worldviews and some of their behavior.
Some might argue that AI systems already do something like that. I believe they could do it much better: chatbots could be more balanced in terms of security (they are definitely overcensored) and recommender systems, for instance, could contribute to healthy personal and collective transformations (rather than just competing in ability to steal users' attention and trap it in the echo chambers).
Reductionism is an obstacle in AI development
Even most reliable knowledge doesn't solve some of the problems that are already in demand. Even least reliable knowledge still may contain something useful for our problems. While we lack reliable and noncontradictory knowledge, we can still benefit from certain synthesis of working ideas. There's approach that makes it possible to look at the knowledge from a very broad perspective, do such synthesis, and benefit from emergent properties of the synthesis.
Integral (Meta-)Theory created by Ken Wilber is probably the best known attempt to enable the possibility to form and navigate the big picture understanding in a hope to address issues of the epoch we've recently entered.
IMO it has certain challenges that make it repellent to IT:
- Fundamental psychological theories on which the Integral Theory is based are still pretty fragile; they need time to become mature enough and recognized (while it doesn't look like we have that time). There are endless edit wars on Wikipedia, which makes me feel depressing about possibilities to even introduce Spiral Dynamics and Multiple Intelligences to IT people.
- Emphasis on controversial interpretations of certain arational states of consciousness.
It's hard to address the first challenge; however, I recently discovered a new “secularized” Non-Reductionist Philosophy launched by David Long, which, among other things, uses wisdom from Integral Theory and attempts to address the second challenge. I'm glad that there are people who don't just criticize the Integral Theory, its community and Wilber's positions but are also developing the new meta-theories.
NR can also be a good way to get familiar with other meta-theories, so one could choose whatever works the best for their problems. For instance, if you're working on something as exotic as some competitor to EEG-powered meditation device, perhaps you will find Integral Theory relevant to study as well, since it's more focused on the states.
I'd like to point out a couple of moments I noticed in the video "Why Non-Reductionism Is A Better Meta-Theory" that caught my attention, as well as in some other older videos. There's not much to comment on the content itself rather than on the form of the content. This feedback might be used for improvements/elaborations in the next videos and just for everyone curious about the new meta-theory. But first
Why do I post here?
Specifically for the deep topics that relate to the current epoch, I no longer find engaging in the YouTube/FB/Reddit/Diqus/Giscus/etc. discussions useful anymore, at least due to broken and almost omnipresent AI-based censorship, that keeps “improving” at randomly shadow-banning people. How many deep and valuable opinions we no longer see?
BTW, it's possible to create Reddit-like communities here at Nostr as well, using Satellite client for example. I believe it's a better place for NR, Rebel Wisdom and many others.
References to full materials used for criticism
There are curious clips with Wilber in the video. It'd be great to have links in the description (or at least titles of the full videos if it's copyrighted material) so viewers could easier form their own independent opinions. I find it important during the age of information overload and narrative warfare. This will also improve SEO.
Emergentism FAQ
There's a strong position on emergence of consciousness; it seems it's not even a hypothesis in NR and I guess that makes some people so reactive.
I think it would be great to have an FAQ page to possibly make future debates more ecological and fruitful. Some of the things that could be elaborated in the FAQ:
- importance of distinction between philosophical theory (inductive reasoning? or actually deductive reasoning? I'm confused here) and scientific theory (deductive reasoning)
- the fact that for now counterarguments usually fall into the categories of “ignorance fallacy”, “false equivalency fallacy” and “God of the gaps” which aren't something sufficient; the whole point of challenge was to find at least a logically valid counterposition (ideally a counterposition that is sound with currently available scientific ~~facts~~ theories), not the nitpicking attacks
- what kind of emergence is meant, is it important here at all and why.
Debates moderation
Probably most of the debates converge to consensus, which are fruitful anyway. There are a few interesting conflicting debates as well. However, I found this specific conflicting debate with Matt Segall quite exceptional.
Matt's position was not understood. He was more interested in a dialogue rather than debates and I think it would be more productive. However, in this specific case, my guess is it would literally take hours to just figure out the common language on a certain concept he mentions.
My humble guess is that a combination of negotiator and moderator with a primary perceiving personality type function (if typologies work at all) could be a step to more meaningful and ecological dialogues in the future. But such negotiator/moderator should also be skilled enough to reflect most challenging parts using more “rational language” as best as possible. These people are rare. Basically I mean the style of dialogues that happened between theoretical physicist David Bohm and Indian philosopher Jiddu Krishnamurti: IMO these were the talks where both sides at some point were barely transcending limitations of their languages and focusing more on intuition in order to understand each other. Much fuzzier and spontaneous dialogues, which aren't prematurely limited by too harsh rationality. Similar thing (with shorter periods of negotiation) could be combined with debating as well.
I hope NR community will be open to understanding more perspectives and won't end up turning into something like a cold and scary crystallization of rational arrogance; that would be damaging and quite opposite to the healthy intentions of the whole project.
Final thoughts
I like the clarity and density of the presented ideas in the video, the choice of lines of development in the map and the alternative to the Integral Methodological Pluralism. I like the mentioned interpretation of “free” will, very much resonates with how I personally interpret it. Tritone-ish devilish sounds in the cons sections is a nice aesthetic choice as well.
I guess there's a lot to learn from NR, no matter what positions we hold on the “rational spirituality” and that sort of stuff. Just to avoid projections and misunderstandings: I'm in a neutral position to all the post-postmodern discourses (NR, Integral, Metamodernism, etc.); I care about these philosophies, make my own distinctions on what's healthy or not, and my positions don't necessarily perfectly match with some of the claims these philosophies make.
Thank you David Long for launching this philosophy and the movement; I'm looking forward to the next videos!
I'd appreciate reposts and all this as well, thanks!
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@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3
2025-06-13 14:08:51Boy howdy! We're getting some good finals games in the NBA and NHL. I imagine that will occupy most of our discussion.
Do we expect these teams to be contenders next year too or is this their window?
I now need Indy to pull off the win, if I'm going to win our bracket challenge. In the event of an Indy win, @grayruby hilariously shot himself in the foot with his pick for MVP in the points challenge (there's a fun little econ lesson there).
We are starting to transition into offseason mode, though: starting with the Knicks post mortem.
Aaron Judge has a ludicrous 87% chance of winning the AL MVP this year. Also, @Jer is demolishing me in fantasy this week.
Predyx has some exciting new sports markets up. I may have gotten a bargain on some Euro Rules Football outcomes just a few minutes ago.
We'll also recap the ongoing contests and discuss whatever else stackers want to hear about.
https://stacker.news/items/1005467
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@ 99e7936f:d5d2197c
2025-06-13 13:56:02“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”
„BORN TUBI FREE“ statt „VIEL FREE“
Ja, Sie haben richtig gelesen.
Bildung hatte in meinem Elternhaus keinen hohen Stellenwert. Für meine Eltern war es erstrebenswert, ein gutes Heim mit großem Garten, etwas Komfort und gutes Essen zu haben. Sowohl mein Vater als auch meine Mutter hatten starken Bezug zur Landwirtschaft und Nutztierhaltung. Tiere, die keinen Nutzen hatten, waren in den Augen meiner Eltern Luxus. Auch für mich ist es heute wichtig, Zugang zu Grün und zur Natur zu haben. Ich liebe Tiere, die keinen Nutzen haben, und Pflanzen aller Art. Im Sommer stundenlang unter dem Blätterdach eines alten Baumes zu liegen und dem Knacken der Äste zuzuhören, ist für mich Glück.
In meiner Kindheit gab es blökende Schafe und Lämmer statt Klavierunterricht. Wir kletterten bei der Obsternte auf den Baum oder sammelten Fallobst statt im Sportverein zu turnen. Statt Büchern gab es Besuche bei Tante und Onkel, die Geschichten von früher erzählten. Und statt Museumsbesuchen gab es die Werkstatt meines Vaters und das Hobby meiner Mutter, alte Möbel zu sammeln und selbst zu restaurieren. Die Themen des Lebens lernte ich nicht durch Theateraufführungen kennen, sondern durch den Alltag und die Menschen in meiner unmittelbaren Umgebung.
Durch die Schule kam ich erstmals in Kontakt mit der Möglichkeit, dass man Dinge auch abstrakt-theoretisch lernen konnte. Schule war für mich auch ein Ort, an dem ich ganz nebenbei das Sozialverhalten anderer Menschen studieren konnte. Das war für mich als Kind und Teenager ein wichtiges Korrektiv. Aber vor allem habe ich über die Schule gelernt, dass es eine ganze Welt zu entdecken gab, die mir bis dahin unbekannt war. Bildung war für mich nie etwas, mit dem man angibt. Bildung war für mich ein Geschenk, eine Überraschung, eine Freude, ein Anfang von etwas Neuem, eine Hoffnung, manchmal eine Angst, es nicht zu schaffen, aber immer wieder eine Quelle von Verstehen und neuen Fragen. Bildung ist für mich heute eine riesige Landkarte, die ich nach Herzenslust bereisen kann, wenn ich mag. Auf meiner Landkarte gibt es noch so viele weiße Flecken. Ich habe mein Abitur mit 29 Jahren ohne die emotionale Unterstützung meiner Eltern nachgeholt. Meine Eltern ahnten schon, dass sich nach dem Abitur ein „teures“ Studium anschließen würde. Auch das war in ihren Augen Luxus, denn ich hatte ja bereits eine Ausbildung.
Nach dem Krieg hatten viele Menschen gar nicht die Möglichkeit, Schulbildung zu erlangen. Im Vordergrund stand, einen guten Job zu finden, Kinder zu bekommen und etwas aufzubauen, ein Haus zu bauen, sich Urlaub im sonnigen Süden leisten zu können. Frauen, die in den 60er Jahren nicht heirateten und stattdessen studieren wollten, waren in der Welt meiner Eltern nicht sichtbar. Bildung war eine stille Sehnsucht, an die man nicht mal im Traum denken durfte, so kam es mir in meiner Familie als Teenager manchmal vor. Das muss mit dem materiellen Mangel meiner Eltern in ihrer Kindheit zu tun gehabt haben. Ich habe dieses Phänomen auch bei den Eltern von Freunden oder bei Verwandten beobachten können. Materieller Wohlstand schien wichtiger als irgendwelche fernen Ziele und Horizonte. Erst mit fortschreitendem Alter fingen meine Eltern an, sich hobbymäßig und theoretisch zu bilden. Sie besuchten zwar keine Kurse in der Volkshochschule, aber sie kauften sich Sachbücher zu den verschiedensten Themen oder machten Kulturreisen in die neuen Bundesländer. Das war für sie der pure Luxus. Sie besuchten Schlösser und Burgen, mein Vater liebte es, in rustikaler Umgebung oder in historischen Gebäuden an schön gedeckten Tischen zu essen, während meine Mutter die Holzmaserung der Möbel genau betrachtete und befühlte.
Da ich diesen „Bildungsluxus“ aber deutlich vor meinem Rentenalter haben wollte, nahm ich die zähen Diskussionen mit meinen Eltern wegen einer finanziellen Unterstützung meines Studiums in Kauf. Bildung ist ein Grundbedürfnis von Menschen, das von ganz allein entsteht, wenn es nicht aktiv unterdrückt wird. Das hat die Evolution vermutlich so angelegt, damit man ab und zu auch mal das Gewohnte verlässt, um Neues zu entdecken, weil Flexibilität die Überlebenschancen der Spezies erhöht.
Bildung ist ein Grundbedürfnis, und das machen sich natürlich auch die dunklen Kräfte auf dieser Welt zu Nutze.
Das heutige Bild, das ich zum Artikel gewählt habe, habe ich vor ein paar Wochen in dem Viertel, in dem ich wohne, mit der Kamera aufgenommen. Auf einem Plakat konnte ich „VIEL FREE“ in großen Buchstaben lesen und war sprachlos. Ich wusste gar nicht, was mich so bestürzte, als ich das Plakat sah. Aber ich spürte, dass ich dieses Plakat im Bild festhalten musste, weil irgendeine tiefe Botschaft darin lag, die ich mitnehmen sollte. Manchmal verstehe ich Dinge erst intuitiv und anschließend kognitiv.
Dieses Plakat ist eine Werbung für irgendeinen Freizeitpass o.ä., den man in unserer Region erwerben kann. Aber der Anbieter wirbt mit einer bewusst falschen Rechtschreibung (VIEL FREE). Da ich nicht aus einem Bildungshaushalt komme, könnte mir das herzlich egal sein. Aber was mir nicht egal ist, ist das Gefühl, das ich beim Lesen dieses Plakats bekam. Das war ein Gefühl von einem vollen Nachttopf, den man mir über den Kopf schüttet und dabei noch hämisch grinst. Das Plakat hat mich spontan empört.
Ich dachte sofort an die Geflüchteten aus Syrien und Afghanistan, mit denen ich vor ein paar Jahren gearbeitet hatte. Sie hatten dermaßen Stress mit dem Erlernen der deutschen Sprache gehabt. Oft waren die „Lehrer“ in den Sprachkursen keine ausgebildeten Lehrer gewesen. Die Familienväter und die Teenager der Flüchtlingsfamilien fielen teils mehrmals durch die Prüfungen und hatten Angst, deshalb von der Behörde nicht zum regulären Arbeitsmarkt bzw. zum Gymnasium zugelassen zu werden. Die Mütter blieben zum Glück gelassener. Die bestandene Sprachprüfung war die offizielle Voraussetzung für die Teilnahme am ersten Arbeitsmarkt, so hieß es damals zumindest. Wer den Abschluss nicht hatte, erhielt keine Hilfe beim Schreiben einer Bewerbung. Das „Konzept“ der Maßnahme zur Vermittlung in Arbeit, in der ich damals tätig war, sah dies so vor. Ich kann mich noch lebhaft an die Auseinandersetzung mit meinem Kollegen erinnern, die ich deshalb damals hatte. Diese Logik erschloss sich mir nicht, denn man lernt Sprache doch am besten dort, wo man lebt UND arbeitet. Aber zurück zu dem Plakat. Was ich zum Ausdruck bringen möchte, ist, dass es insbesondere in dem Viertel, in dem ich wohne, viele Menschen mit ganz unterschiedlicher Herkunft und mit Kriegserfahrung gibt, die nicht sicher sind in der deutschen Sprache, für die es nicht hilfreich ist, dass Plakate mit einer fehlerhaften Rechtschreibung für etwas werben. Und von der zynischen Qualität dieses „VIEL FREE“ rede ich noch gar nicht.
Wie soll man in einem Land, das man neu kennen lernen möchte und muss, weil man aus einem Krieg geflüchtet ist, die Sprache lernen, wenn man bewusst fehlerhafte Rechtschreibung vorgesetzt bekommt? Und den angeblichen Wortwitz verstehen doch die meisten gar nicht, weil sie, wie gesagt, weder im mündlichen noch im schriftlichen Sprachausdruck sicher sind. Und niemand möchte sich lediglich „frei fühlen“, sondern lieber tatsächlich „frei sein“, oder nicht? Und echte Freiheit hat sicherlich auch nichts mit irgendeiner Plastikkarte zu tun, mit der ich einen Erlebnispark oder ein Spaßbad aufsuchen kann.
„Frei sein“ bedeutet für mich, dass ich nicht durch psychologische Tricks für etwas interessiert werde, das mich von echter Freiheit ablenken und abhalten soll. Echte Freiheit braucht auch sicherlich keine Plastikkarten mit personenbezogenen Daten. Echte Freiheit bedeutet, dass ich NICHT aus meinem Heimatland durch Krieg vertrieben werde, sondern dass ich mein Leben (und meine Freizeit) nach Lust und Laune so gestalten kann, wie ich das will. Und dazu gehört mehr als ein Besuch im Erlebnispark des Landes, in das ich geflüchtet bin, um zu überleben. Dazu gehört, dass ich die Sprache vor Ort verstehe und selbst sprechen kann, dass ich ein respektierter Teil der Gesellschaft werde, dass ich die gleichen Chancen bekomme wie die anderen, dass ich die finanziellen Mittel habe für Bildung, guten Wohnraum mit Garten und was auch immer, dass ich mobil bin, und dass ich, insbesondere als junger Mensch, meine Familie und eine vertraute Gruppe von Freunden um mich habe. Also „frei sein“ bedeutet, NICHT aus meiner Heimat weggebombt zu werden.
In meiner unmittelbaren Nachbarschaft leben unbegleitete minderjährige Flüchtlinge in einer Wohngemeinschaft zusammen. Das sind höfliche Jungs so um die 16/17 Jahre. Sie lernen die Welt und das Leben gerade erst kennen. Sie haben keinen leichten Start gehabt, sind aber neugierig auf dieses neue Land, in dem sie nun leben. Sie grüßen freundlich und probieren die neu erlernte Sprache aus. Solche Plakate direkt vor ihrer Haustür sind nicht hilfreich. Diese Plakate versuchen, junge Menschen mit ihrem ganz normalen Bedürfnis danach, Neues zu erleben, abzuholen und in eine aktionsreiche Scheinwelt zu entführen, in der es vermeintlich Freiheit und ganz VIEL Spaß gibt. Solche Plakate sind für mich keine unschuldige Werbung für einfache Freizeitgestaltung. Solche Plakate sind einerseits der dezente Wink in Richtung Konsum und andererseits kognitive Platzhalter, mentale Füllstoffe.
VIEL FREE mit Plastikkarten ist in meinen Augen ein aufdringliches Angebot für willkommene Schmerzvermeidung durch Konsum. Es ist Angriff auf Sprache und Denken. Es richtet sich an junge Menschen, die das, was sie in den letzten Jahren hier oder woanders erleben mussten, vergessen möchten. Nach Kriegen oder staatlichen Übergriffen, so wie in der sogenannten Corona-Zeit, geht es immer für fast alle Beteiligten um das Vergessen. An diesem Punkt sind sich die Dynamik von Trauma einerseits und die Täterstruktur andererseits leider immer einig. Deswegen hat es ja auch in der deutschen Vergangenheit funktioniert, Konsum als Schmerzpflaster auf Wunden aller Art zu kleben.
VIEL FREE ist für mich ein trauriges Zeitdokument, das meine Aufmerksamkeit gefunden hat, weil es das Gegenteil von Freiheit, Genießen, Gemeinschaft und vielem mehr darstellt.
VIEL FREE hat mich an meine Eltern in jungen Jahren und ihre Sehnsüchte erinnert, eine traumatisierte Generation, die alles dafür getan hat, materiellen Wohlstand zu generieren, um sich endlich wieder emotional sicher fühlen zu können.
VIEL FREE erreicht nicht die Herzebene, weil es nicht von Herzen kommt.
VIEL FREE ist eine kostengünstige Zucker-LÖSUNG, die den kleinen Hunger und die stille Sehnsucht nach Heimat, Zugehörigkeit, Sicherheit, Frieden, Glück und vielleicht auch nach Bildung stillen soll. Aber sie macht genau das, was Zucker macht. Sie macht nicht satt, sondern weckt den großen Hunger. Man konsumiert dann das Falsche mit all den Folgen, die das hat. Es ist schwer, aus solchen Kreisläufen wieder raus zu kommen.
Wem dienen diese ungesunden Kreisläufe?
Wem dient dieser Konsum, der nicht satt macht?
Wem dient das Vergessen einer traumatischen Jugend?
Was denkt man alles NICHT, während man mit VIEL FREE als mentalem Füllstoff beschäftigt ist?
Was fühlt man alles NICHT, während man Loopings auf der Konsumschiene dreht?
Was macht man alles NICHT, was außerhalb der vorgezeichneten Freizeitzone liegt, aber auch Spaß macht?
Was ist die gesunde Alternative für junge Menschen, egal welcher Herkunft?
Wie können Angebote insbesondere für junge Menschen, die traumatisiert sind, aussehen?
Wo kann man als junger Mensch kostenlos und ohne eine Institution oder ein „Konzept“ im Nacken mit Gleichaltrigen in der Freizeit „abhängen“ und nebenbei Schafe, Obstbäume und andere Menschen aus sicherer Entfernung beobachten?
Wo gibt es solche unschuldigen Oasen?
Wo kann man Trauma „heilen“ oder zumindest die Voraussetzungen für spätere Selbstheilung schaffen?
Wo wird man nicht mit Zucker-LÖSUNG angefixt?
Wo kann man lernen, den eigenen Körper, die eigenen Gefühle nach Trauma wieder zu spüren, zu regulieren und sich dadurch wirklich frei zu fühlen?
Wer vermittelt der nächsten Generation eigentlich, was wir (in den letzten fünf Jahren) gelernt haben?
Vielleicht geht das erstmal über praktische Angebote, über das persönliche Erleben und später dann über theoretische Bildung. Man muss den Wert von Schafen und Bäumen nicht sofort theoretisch erklärt bekommen. Für den Anfang reicht es, wenn man Zugang zu Schafen und Bäumen bekommt und lernt, wie andere mit Schafen und Bäumen umgehen, also Lernen am Modell. Es müssen auch nicht unbedingt Schafe und Bäume sein, das ist, wie Sie bereits gemerkt haben, nur eine Metapher.
Mich haben Schafe und Bäume in gewisser Weise gerettet. Sie haben mir Verbindung angeboten. Ich konnte diese Verbindung am eigenen Leib spüren. Ich konnte spüren, dass ich bin und auch erahnen, wer ich wirklich bin. Sie waren mir ein verlässliches Gegenüber in schwierigen Zeiten, sie haben mich so oft beruhigt, getröstet und gehalten. Die Natur hört zu, wenn keiner mehr zuhört. Sie nimmt Dich an, egal wer Du bist. Sie bewertet Dich nicht. Sie ist unendlich geduldig und ein super Lehrer für alle Fragen, die einem als Kind so einfallen können. Sie weckt Deine Aufmerksamkeit, Deine Neugier, Deinen Wunsch zu Lernen und zu Verstehen. Sie lenkt Dich ab. Die Natur unterrichtet Dich ganz beiläufig. Ihre Sprache ist das kreative Spiel und die Fülle. Diese Anbindung an die Natur hilft mir bis heute, mit Herausforderungen aller Art klarzukommen. Wenn ich nicht weiter weiß oder mich beruhigen möchte und muss, dann gehe ich in die Natur. Danach ist nicht jedes Problem sofort gelöst, aber ich bin wieder zuversichtlich, dass ich auch diese Welle nehmen kann und über Wasser bleibe. Ich spüre mich dann mit all meiner Kraft als einen Teil dieser Welt. Und genau das wünsche ich vor allem den jungen Leuten in meiner Umgebung, die noch so viel vor sich haben.
Du bist geboren, um Dich als einen Teil dieser Welt kraftvoll und frei zu fühlen.
Du bist ein Stück von dieser Natur, die jeden Tag kreativ spielt und immer reichlich von allem hat.
Man sagt: „Schau auf den Horizont, wenn die Wellen hochschlagen.“
Für mich bedeutet das: Wenn Du Dich mit der Natur verbindest, dann hast Du Orientierung, dann fühlst Du Dich selbst. Und wenn Du Dich und Deine angeborene Stärke fühlst, dann bist Du frei. Dann kann Dir kein Problem etwas anhaben. Die Natur heilt sich und Dich jeden Tag auf`s Neue.
BORN TO BE FREE.
BE FREE.
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“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”
Sie sind noch nicht auf Nostr and wollen die volle Erfahrung machen (liken, kommentieren etc.)? Zappen können Sie den Autor auch ohne Nostr-Profil! Erstellen Sie sich einen Account auf Start. Weitere Onboarding-Leitfäden gibt es im Pareto-Wiki.
\ Newsletter per Mail (Die Friedenstaube)\ hier abonnieren\ \ In Telegram lesen -> hier unsere Kanäle\ https://t.me/pareto_artikel \ https://t.me/friedenstaube_artikel \ \ Als Feed in einem Feed-Reader \ https://pareto.space/atom/feed.xml \ https://pareto.space/atom/de_feed.xml \ https://pareto.space/atom/en_feed.xml
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@ e096a89e:59351479
2025-06-13 13:54:30Here’s how to make the perfect soft boiled egg in seven minutes using ice water.
Video: https://v.nostr.build/gODN4ihoJal4EhuA.mp4
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Grab your eggs.
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Fill a pot with water, put it on high heat, and bring it to a boil.
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While waiting, fill a bowl with ice and water. Set it aside.
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Once the water is boiling, gently add the eggs.
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Start a timer for 7 minutes.
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When 7 minutes are up, transfer the eggs into the ice water bowl.
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Let them sit for a couple of minutes before peeling.
(Optional) Make peeling fun - see how big of shell pieces you can get.
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After peeling, put the eggs back into the ice water for a few more minutes. *This helps them firm up slightly while keeping the yolk soft but not runny.
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Sprinkle with sea salt flakes and enjoy with whatever you like.
Give a zap if you enjoy this sort of content, and if this yielded good results for you :)
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@ 2cde0e02:180a96b9
2025-06-13 13:48:55pen & ink; monochromized
tools used
https://stacker.news/items/1005456
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@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3
2025-06-13 13:39:20Here's a video about the Pacers' offensive adjustments to OKC's extraordinary defense:
https://youtu.be/1LF2Sd1jTXQ
This finals matchup probably has the highest level team basketball I remember seeing.
https://stacker.news/items/1005445
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@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2
2025-06-13 13:31:00In the heart of a forgotten village, wrapped in fog and silence, lived a girl named Lisa who had never seen her reflection.
There were no mirrors in the village, only old tales whispered by elders that mirrors “stole your spirit” or “showed things best left hidden.” Lisa never questioned it. She believed what she was told: she was plain, timid, and destined for nothing more than blending into shadows.
But she felt something inside a flicker, like a candle trying to burn through thick glass.
One day, while gathering herbs deep in the forest, Lisa stumbled upon the ruins of an ancient house. Inside, beneath sheets of ivy and dust, stood an enormous mirror tall, cracked, and untouched for decades.
She froze.
Curiosity trembled in her chest. Carefully, she wiped away the dust with her sleeve.
At first, she saw only her eyes, wild, curious, and afraid. Then, slowly, the whole reflection emerged. Not plain. Not broken. But alive.
It was her, and yet someone more stronger, prouder, freer.
Tears welled in her eyes. All her life, she had believed others’ words. But here, in silence, she saw the truth for herself.
She began visiting the mirror each day, not to admire beauty, but to remind herself she was real. That her thoughts mattered. That what lived inside her could not be shaped by lies spoken outside.
When she returned to the village, she walked differently.
She spoke.
She led.
And others began to wonder: What did she see that changed her?
Lisa simply smiled and said, “I stopped seeing what they told me I was. And started seeing who I truly am.”
Moral: You are not what others say you are. You are who you choose to see.
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@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2
2025-06-13 13:04:54In a quiet coastal town where summer lingered like a forgotten song, lived an old gardener named Ali. His home sat at the edge of the cliffs, where ocean wind tossed sea spray into the air and the sun kissed everything golden. Ali’s garden was a legend of tulips that sang with color, vines that danced in the breeze, and trees that whispered stories to anyone who would listen.
But Ali had grown frail. His hands, once strong, now trembled. His memory sometimes slipped like sand through a sieve. Yet every day, he tended the plants. Not because he needed them but because they still needed him.
One autumn, a young boy named Ben moved into the neighboring house. Ben had not spoken a word since losing his mother the year before. He would sit for hours at the fence, watching Ali work.
Ali never asked him to speak. Instead, he gave Ben a sunflower seed.
“Plant it,” he said. “And believe in the bloom.”
Ben did.
The next day, Ali gave him a cracked watering can. The next, a rusty trowel. Day by day, silence became action. The boy mimicked Ali’s movements. Dug soil. Watered. Waited.
Then winter came fast. A cruel one.
One morning, Ali was gone.
The town whispered, “The gardener has passed.” Snow dusted the garden. The plants withered. Ben stood before the tiny sunflower shoot and wept silently.
But spring arrived timid and uncertain.
And from the earth, a single sunflower broke through.
Ben spoke his first words in months to the flower.
“You’re not alone.”
And in a voice that cracked but carried, he added, “Neither am I.”
Moral: Even after loss, life finds a way. Sometimes, a single leaf can carry the weight of hope for someone else.
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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-13 13:01:52El Salvador – June 3, 2025 — The grassroots Bitcoin community of El Salvador is proud to announce the return of Bitcoin Week, taking place this November with five dynamic events celebrating Bitcoin adoption, education, and community-led innovation.
Join us for a week of inspiration, collaboration, and impact.
Bitcoin Week 2025 calendar
📍 November 12 – Bitcoin Education Celebration Gala: Kick off the week in style with a luxurious and intimate evening at a high-class dinner, celebrating “proof of work” and the achievements of the Bitcoin education movement.
Expect major plans for the year(s) ahead but also a reflection to past proof-of-work—and don’t miss out on the Great Grassroots Giveaway, included with every ticket.📍 November 13 – Bitcoin Educators Unconference: Hosted for the third time in San Salvador at Cadejo Montaña, this sixth edition of the Educators Unconference embodies our commitment to provide a space for decentralized, community-led conversations.
Join educators and leaders shaping the global Bitcoin conversation!📍 November 14–15 – Adopting Bitcoin: The Network Effect: Now in its fifth year, Adopting Bitcoin returns with a powerful focus on real-world Bitcoin usage across global communities.
This year’s theme—The Network Effect—explores how interconnected local initiatives can spark exponential growth in adoption.📍 November 16 – Visit Bitcoin Beach, El Zonte: Make your way to Bitcoin Beach, the heart of El Salvador’s Bitcoin story. Enjoy a day of connection and discovery in this iconic beachside town. Full details coming soon.
📍 November 22–23 – Economía Bitcoin, Berlín: Head to the town of Berlín, El Salvador for the second edition of Economía Bitcoin, a powerful, small-scale conference and festival focused on circular economies and practical Bitcoin use.
Spend sats freely in town and see how local action drives global impact.With five unique events across three regions in Bitcoin Country, this edition of Bitcoin Week is your chance to experience El Salvador’s Bitcoin journey up close. Whether you’re an educator, builder, Bitcoiner, or simply curious—you’re invited.
Join us this November. Be part of the movement.
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-13 13:01:11Bitcoin Magazine
Remixpoint Invests ¥887 Million More Into BitcoinRemixpoint Inc. (3825.T), a management consulting services company, announced it has purchased ¥887.3 million worth of Bitcoin, acquiring 55.68 BTC at an average price of ¥15.94 million per coin.
JUST IN:
Remixpoint just keeps buying more #bitcoin. Another 55.68 BTC today and they now have a total of 981.39 BTC. pic.twitter.com/mTkZg8mNO4
— NLNico (@btcNLNico) June 12, 2025
Following this purchase, the company now holds a total of 981.39 BTC, with a market value of approximately ¥15.63 billion. The unrealized gain on its Bitcoin holdings stands at ¥2.32 billion, reflecting their confidence in Bitcoin’s long term value. The funds came from the exercise of stock acquisition rights conducted on June 10.
Remixpoint Inc. is a Japanese company that started in the auto and energy sectors but has changed toward digital assets. It’s one of the few public companies in Japan actively holding Bitcoin, seeing it as both a store of value and a hedge against the weakening yen. Their move highlights a growing shift in Japan’s corporate space toward Bitcoin adoption.
Bitcoin has been so strong over the years that even in Japan, more companies are adding it to their balance sheets. It all started with Metaplanet, which was originally a hotel and hospitality company. In 2024, they shifted their strategy entirely and began accumulating Bitcoin as a treasury asset. That move caught the attention of investors and marked a turning point in Japan’s corporate approach to digital assets. Since then, Metaplanet has leaned fully into the Bitcoin thesis, positioning itself as Japan’s version of Strategy.
Recently, Metaplanet also announced its “555 Million Plan,” aiming to acquire 210,000 BTC, which is about 1% of Bitcoin’s total supply, by the end of 2027. This represents a major step up from its original “21 Million Plan,” which aimed for just 21,000 BTC. As of June 2, the company had already secured 8,888 BTC, far ahead of schedule and signaling strong momentum in its accumulation strategy.
Metaplanet has launched Asia’s largest-ever equity raise dedicated to Bitcoin:
¥770.9 billion (~$5.4B) capital raise
555 million shares via moving strike warrants
First in Japan: issued at a premium to market — enabled by Metaplanet’s high volatility and deep liquidity… pic.twitter.com/UlXHneyDzo
— Simon Gerovich (@gerovich) June 6, 2025
To fund this effort, Metaplanet launched Japan’s first moving strike warrant structure, issuing 555 million shares to raise approximately ¥770.9 billion. The plan was approved following a 10-for-1 stock split and a shareholder vote to increase authorized shares. With robust BTC yield performance and growing investor backing, Metaplanet is quickly establishing itself as Japan’s most influential corporate player in the Bitcoin space.
This post Remixpoint Invests ¥887 Million More Into Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.
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@ 0403c86a:66d3a378
2025-06-13 12:55:09Exciting news for FOOTBALL fans ⚽! Global Sports Central 🌐 is teaming up with Predyx, a leading prediction market in the Bitcoin ecosystem, to bring you comprehensive coverage of the very first Club World Cup directly on Nostr. This partnership is all about enhancing your experience with the latest news, insights, and interactive features!
The Club World Cup will showcase the best clubs from around the globe, and with our collaboration, you’ll be fully engaged in the action. Predyx focuses on long-term outcomes, allowing you to make predictions on who will win it all. Plus, if you’re not happy with your predictions, you can sell your shares at any time and switch allegiance—after all, it’s a free market!
What You Can Expect:
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Latest News and Match Reports: Stay updated with the latest news, in-depth match reports, and insights from the tournament, ensuring you never miss a moment.
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Market Odds Tracking: Follow the shifts in market odds in real-time, giving you the edge when making predictions and engaging with the action.
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Player of the Day Card: Celebrate standout performances with our Daily Player of the Day card, highlighting the top players from the tournament.
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Game oN Frontpage: Each day, we’ll feature the frontpage of the day, showcasing the most historical matchups and capturing the feel of the game.
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Best Moments Replays: Relive the excitement with replays of the best moments from the Cup, so you can catch all the highlights and unforgettable plays.
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Long-Term Predictions: Engage with Predyx to forecast who will win the tournament and who will take home the MVP award, allowing you to make strategic predictions as the tournament unfolds.
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Easy Login System: Getting started is a breeze! All you need is a Lightning wallet to log in and participate, making it simple for everyone to join in on the fun.
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Lightning-Fast Bitcoin Payments: With the Lightning Network, placing your bets and making predictions is faster and easier than ever. Enjoy seamless transactions while you cheer for your favorite teams!
"Predyx is excited to be part of this innovative partnership," said Derek. "We’re bringing fans a new way to interact with the game they love, all while using the fast and secure Lightning Network."
Predyx is a Bitcoin-native prediction market platform running on the Lightning Network. We’re building the fastest, most trust-minimized betting engine in the world — no deposits, instant payouts, sats-native, and degen-friendly.
Global Sports Central 🌐 Your daily spin around the sports world 🔄 Stay in the loop with the latest scores, stories, and stats.
GSC360 - Where Every Angle Matters
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-13 11:56:10https://stacker.news/items/1005372
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-13 11:43:17From my end, it s not one thing but a sentence:
A borderless world in a decentralized economy, where age, sex, race, religion... have not labels in a society where human are sovereigns.
https://stacker.news/items/1005361
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-13 10:36:58The Pallas cat wasn’t known to live on Mount Everest until a National Geographic Expedition in 2019 made a surprising discovery. The research team, made up of scientists from eight different countries, unexpectedly found Pallas feces in the Sagarmatha National Park in Nepal. “It is phenomenal to discover proof of this rare and remarkable species at the top of the world,” said Dr Tracie Seimon of the Wildlife Conservation Society’s Zoological Health Program.
These irritated-looking kitties live at high elevations throughout Asia and are considered “super predators,” meaning they are extremely successful at catching their prey. Analysis of scat revealed the feline is surving on pika within the mountain region.
https://stacker.news/items/1005336
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-13 10:26:19Panpsychism is the view that mentality is fundamental and ubiquitous in the natural world. The view has a long and venerable history in philosophical traditions of both East and West, and has recently enjoyed a revival in analytic philosophy. For its proponents panpsychism offers an attractive middle way between physicalism on the one hand and dualism on the other. The worry with dualism—the view that mind and matter are fundamentally different kinds of thing—is that it leaves us with a radically disunified picture of nature, and the deep difficulty of understanding how mind and brain interact. And whilst physicalism offers a simple and unified vision of the world, this is arguably at the cost of being unable to give a satisfactory account of the emergence of human and animal consciousness. Panpsychism, strange as it may sound on first hearing, promises a satisfying account of the human mind within a unified conception of nature.
For more details: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/panpsychism/
https://stacker.news/items/1005324
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-13 10:01:39Bitcoin Magazine
F Street Announced Goal Of Accumulating $10 Million In BitcoinToday, F Street, an alternative investment and private lending firm, announced it has begun adding Bitcoin to its corporate treasury, with a goal of accumulating $10 million in BTC.
JUST IN: Investment firm F Street announced it's buying Bitcoin daily using business proceeds for its treasury reserves
They plan to buy $10 million Bitcoin
pic.twitter.com/NMLOteyUYU
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 11, 2025
The company began daily BTC purchases on June 9, using business proceeds and treasury funds. This move is part of a broader strategy to strengthen F Street’s capital base and support its real estate lending and investment operations.
“Bitcoin offers a compelling hedge against inflation and dollar debasement,” said the Chief Operating Officer of F Street Mike Doney. “Incorporating it into our treasury is a strategic step to preserve and grow value for our investors and our business interests.”
In line with its commitment to transparency, F Street also plans to establish a public proof of reserves so that stakeholders can independently verify the custody of its Bitcoin assets. The firm aims to build a meaningful BTC position that supports its long term vision of a capital framework.
F Street’s move comes at a time when institutional interest in Bitcoin is experiencing a notable surge, and many prominent voices in the financial world are starting to support it. Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones, speaking today in an interview with Bloomberg, named Bitcoin as a critical part of what he considers the ideal portfolio against inflation.
“What would an ideal portfolio be… But it would be some kind of combination of probably gold, vol adjusted, Bitcoin, gold, stocks,” Jones said. “That’s probably your best portfolio to fight inflation. Vol adjusted because the vol of Bitcoin obviously is five times that of gold, so you’re going to do it in different ways.”
Adding to the momentum, the Head of Digital Assets of BlackRock Robert Mitchnick explained two days ago what’s really driving the surge in demand for Bitcoin ETFs.
“It’s a lot of things coming together. Out of the gate was retail and investor demand…” said Mitchnick. “Now, more recently, we’ve seen just steady progress of more wealth advisor adoption, more institutional adoption. It’s been a mix of people who it’s the first time that they’ve invested in anything in the crypto space. And then on the other hand, you have lots of people who’ve been invested in Bitcoin for a long time and they’re taking advantage of the ETP wrapper.”
This post F Street Announced Goal Of Accumulating $10 Million In Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.
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@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b
2025-06-13 09:04:33从“出行规则”看监管逻辑与比特币的制度之道
FATF“出行规则”的治理逻辑与监管者的苦衷
金融行动特别工作组(FATF)在2019年推出“Travel Rule”(出行规则),试图将传统银行体系的反洗钱规制延伸至加密资产领域complyadvantage.com。这一规则要求虚拟资产服务商(VASPs)在转账过程中收集并传递交易双方的身份信息,使这些信息如同“随行护照”般伴随资金流动complyadvantage.com。其背后的治理逻辑不难理解:随着加密货币跨境使用的激增,监管者担心加密交易的匿名性为洗钱、恐怖融资提供了便利通道complyadvantage.com。因此,FATF将传统金融领域的第16号建议(关于跨境电汇信息)更新,明确要求加密交易同样附带发送人和接收人的姓名、地址等识别数据complyadvantage.comcomplyadvantage.com。这一举措体现了监管机构的苦衷:在犯罪分子利用技术躲避监管的现实下,他们感到有责任“补上漏洞”,即便这意味着套用旧有的银行规则到全新的区块链技术上。
然而,落实出行规则绝非易事。首先,不同司法管辖区行动步调不一,FATF多次批评各国实施进度缓慢,许多国家尚未将该规则转化为国内法complyadvantage.com。即使在已经执行的地区,监管部门也面临两难:既要防止非法资金流动,又担心过严管制扼杀金融创新。监管者的“苦衷”在于,他们既害怕被视作纵容犯罪,又担心被指责扼杀技术进步。出行规则要求VASPs收集详尽的客户身份信息,并在交易时与对方机构共享,这在实践中遇到技术和隐私保护方面的阻碍trisa.io。一些国家(如瑞士、新加坡)甚至在无最低金额门槛的情况下要求对所有交易执行该规则,欧盟更规定即使收款方是私人自管钱包也必须提交信息trisa.io。这种高标准加重了行业合规负担,使守法企业叫苦不迭,而不法分子则可能转入地下或转向无监管区域继续活动。可以说,监管机构陷入“猫抓老鼠”的困境:不推行吧,担心放任犯罪;推行过严吧,又恐打击面过广。正因如此,FATF在其2024年报告中承认出行规则的全球落实“严重滞后”complyadvantage.com,这既反映各国执法能力的差异,也凸显了此规则本身在新技术环境下的水土不服。
全球跨境资金与信息的系统性压制
出行规则的推行,从宏观上看是在全球金融体系施加新的“信息围墙”。一方面,它将原本开放的价值互联网重新划分为受监管的透明区和未监管的黑箱区。凡是跨过一定金额门槛(FATF建议为1000美元/欧元)的交易,都必须在链上绑定用户的实名信息complyadvantage.com。这意味着个人的资金流动和身份信息被深度绑定并广泛共享,一举打破了加密货币原有的准匿名特性。这种做法固然提升了追踪非法交易的可能性,但也埋下了系统性压制的隐患。正如业界联盟TRISA所警告的那样,将出行规则机械地套用于公开区块链,实则打造了一个集中存储个人隐私与财富信息的“数据金库”,极易成为黑客、犯罪组织甚至敌对政府垂涎的目标trisa.iotrisa.io。因为在传统银行体系下,账户账本是私密的,第三方难以直接获取交易明细;而在区块链上,一旦将姓名、地址等个人识别数据与公开的钱包地址关联,任何人都能通过链上记录分析出个人的财富状况和社交图谱trisa.io。这种对跨境资金和信息流动的全面记录与监控,实质上构成了对个人金融自由的系统性压制:人们在国际转账时不得不暴露隐私,否则交易将被拒之门外。更有甚者,一些国家已将这一逻辑无限延伸,例如中国公安机关提示即便一笔1000 USDT(泰达币)的转账都有可能被列入重点监控名单binance.com。当连如此小额的个人跨境交易都被严密审查时,金融交易所承载的信息自由流动已大打折扣。
从制度批判的视角看,这种全球范围的信息管制源自某些法律传统下对国家主权和税收控制的执念。在大陆法系传统中,国家往往通过成文法律对经济活动实施自上而下的强力规范,历史上形成了构筑信息壁垒以巩固主权和财政的路径依赖。例如许多大陆法系国家长期实行外汇管制和资本流动限制,以防范资金外逃、维护本国税基。这种做法虽出于主权自主的考虑,却与自由贸易要求的要素自由流动天然矛盾。研究表明,不同法律体系的国家在经贸合作模式上偏好迥异,法律传统差异往往成为国际经济一体化的无形藩篱,甚至导致经济关系的割裂cogitatiopress.com。典型案例如中国,对加密资产和稳定币采取高压监管,正是延续了其在资本项目下的信息管控传统。2024年链上数据显示,中国境内USDT跨境流动规模同比激增400%,日均交易额超过50亿美元binance.com。大量民间资金试图借助稳定币绕开官方的外汇管制,形成了一条隐蔽的“数字资金高速公路”binance.com。对此当局迅速祭出国家安全大旗,不仅将无证出入境资金视为重大风险隐患,甚至明确指出USDT等稳定币已成资本无序外逃的工具,必须强力封堵binance.combinance.com。在这一背景下,FATF出行规则等于为各国提供了一个合法理由,在全球范围内实施对跨境资金与信息的联合围堵:以打击洗钱之名,行资本管制之实。这套机制所产生的结构性效果,是在国际金融体系中嵌入了一种“默认不信任”的基调——跨境资金流动被一律视为潜在不法,必须层层验证、记录在案。其结果不仅压抑了资金与信息的自由流通,也为公民个人头上加装了“数字镣铐”,让人们在国际经贸往来中丧失匿名行动的选择权。
隐私协议的滥用:区块链匿名性的两面
在区块链世界中,隐私与匿名性原本被视作一项珍贵的技术特性,代表着去中心化金融对个人隐私权的尊重。然而,当缺乏法理自洽性和契约中立性的支撑,这种匿名性工具却易被犯罪集团所劫持,成为逃避监管的温床。以太坊上的“Tornado Cash”混币协议就是前车之鉴。作为一个去中心化的匿名交易服务,Tornado Cash初衷在于增强用户隐私,但由于缺少必要的合法约束和内部控制,一再被不法之徒利用:自2019年成立以来,该协议已被用于清洗超过70亿美元的犯罪收益,其中包括朝鲜黑客组织“拉撒路集团”在攻击Axie Infinity游戏桥后盗取的4.55亿美元secrss.com。2022年美国财政部更指出,尽管开发者声称Tornado Cash只是中立工具,但其并未采取哪怕基本的措施来阻止服务被反复用于恶意洗钱secrss.com。最终,美国OFAC直接将Tornado Cash列入制裁清单,以此警示加密行业:缺乏法理支撑的匿名协议,终将因为被滥用于洗钱而招致严厉监管惩罚secrss.com。
类似的情况也发生在波场(Tron)等链上。一些基于Tron的混币机制号称提供端到端加密、零知识证明等技术手段来隐匿交易来源sites.google.com。表面上看,这些系统满足了用户追求隐私的需求,但在现实中却成为电信诈骗、网络赌盘等犯罪链条的最爱。联合国毒品和犯罪办公室2024年的报告披露:Tron区块链上的泰达币(USDT)已成为网络诈骗、洗钱、非法赌博的首选工具int-comp.org。犯罪分子之所以偏爱Tron上的USDT,正因为它具备价格稳定、跨境转账手续费低、速度快等优势,可以在不引人注目的情况下快速大额转移资金int-comp.org。链上分析亦显示,高风险USDT转账有高达83%无法追溯最终去向,犯罪团伙通过混币器、地址拆分等技术手段把资金搞得支离破碎,以至于监管部门难以跟踪binance.com。这背后反映出一个发人深省的现象:当一套隐私工具本身没有内置中立的契约约束(如合法用途的限定或责任追踪机制),那么它的匿名性越强,越可能被不法势力挟持利用。波场USDT的大规模滥用已经引起各方警觉,Tron项目方甚至与稳定币发行商和区块链分析公司合作,成立“T3打击犯罪特别小组”,截止2024年底已冻结逾1亿美元涉嫌犯罪的USDTtrmlabs.comcointelegraph.com。可见,当匿名性的武器落入犯罪网络之手,技术提供者也不得不被动介入“事后补救”,这恰恰说明当初设计时若缺乏法理上的自我约束,最终仍要以行政手段清理残局。
隐私协议被滥用的另一面,还体现在某些区块链应用与既有法律文化格格不入。以太坊上的去中心化预测市场「Polymarket」提供了一种赌博式合约交易平台,用户可以下注现实事件的结果。然而从伊斯兰教法视角看,这类“预测市场”无异于赤裸裸的**赌博(Maysir)**行为——参与者纯粹为了不确定事件的结果赌上一把财富,得利者以他人损失为代价,没有创造任何实际价值blog.zoya.financeblog.zoya.finance。根据伊斯兰金融原则,任何脱离实体经济、以纯粹机会为基础获取收益的交易都被视为不道德且明令禁止blog.zoya.finance。因此,Polymarket之类的平台与伊斯兰法对契约合法性的根本要求完全不兼容。这提醒我们:区块链技术的创新若缺乏契约中立性(即契约不偏离基本的公平与道义原则),就容易触犯某些法律或宗教的底线,从而被视作无效甚至有害的合约。无论是Tornado Cash这样的匿名洗钱温床,Tron链上被诈骗集团操控的资金暗道,还是Polymarket式的“去中心化赌场”,这些系统都凸显出当技术试图凌驾法律和伦理时所面临的巨大风险。它们要么被政府如临大敌般封杀(正如Tornado Cash遭制裁),要么被正义力量反制清理(如Tether冻结波场诈骗资金reuters.com),要么在道义上遭到主流文化的排斥(如伊斯兰世界视预测赌博为禁忌)。这一系列教训昭示:区块链生态中的隐私与创新,必须建立在法理自洽和契约中立的基础上,否则技术越前卫,反噬也越猛烈。
比特币的保守式创新:技术中立与合约合法性的统一
在区块链的众多创新中,比特币无疑是一个特殊的存在。它被称为“保守派的创新”,乃因其在开创数字货币新时代的同时,恪守了一些朴素但持久的原则。首先,比特币的设计追求技术中立。中立并不意味着纵容匿名滥用,而是指比特币网络对任何参与者一视同仁,仅仅按照既定算法规则处理交易,无内置偏见或特殊权限。比特币交易记录公开透明,所有交易在全球共享的账本上广播确认,其匿名性是“假名制”(pseudonymous)而非无法穿透的黑箱。事实上,正是由于比特币交易记录可被区块链分析工具去匿名化,在过去几年中我们看到犯罪团伙对比特币的兴趣有所降低,反而转向了Monero等完全匿名币或Tron-USDT等更隐匿便捷的手段int-comp.orgint-comp.org。Chainalysis的最新报告显示,2024年稳定币已经取代比特币成为犯罪分子使用的主要加密货币,占非法交易量的63%,而比特币在非法用途中的占比显著下降int-comp.orgint-comp.org。这个趋势从反面印证了比特币系统“公开且中立”的特性天然抑制了部分洗钱和犯罪滥用:任何人在比特币区块链上大额频繁作恶,都更容易被全球监管机构捕捉线索,留下破案的蛛丝马迹。
其次,比特币体现了交易确定性和契约精神的统一。在法律体系(尤其是英美普通法和伊斯兰教法)中,一份契约要具有合法性,核心在于当事各方自愿、条款清晰且不违背基本道德。比特币网络上的交易契约以代码方式自动执行,一旦双方签名广播,交易即被不可篡改地记录,一切权利义务随即完结。这种**“交割即结算”的机制提供了绝对的确定性,杜绝了传统金融中常见的赖账、拒付、无限制 chargeback(退款)等不确定因素。比特币不需要中央中介担保信用,依靠分布式共识来保证交易的最终性,这种确定性契合了普通法系对契约履行的重视:契约一旦成立即应严格履行,不得任意毁约。更值得注意的是,比特币没有利息(riba)和债务膨胀的设计**,2100万枚的恒定供应和逐步减半的发行机制,使其更接近一种数字商品而非通过债务衍生的货币nasdaq.com。在伊斯兰金融原则下,收取或支付利息被视为不公正,属明令禁止的行为,而比特币的货币体系天生规避了“利息”的概念nasdaq.com。同时,比特币交易公开透明,每一笔转账都记录在链上且需双方同意才能发生,这与伊斯兰教法要求交易双方充分知情、协商一致的原则不谋而合nasdaq.comnasdaq.com。尽管有人担忧加密货币的投机性带来不确定性(Gharar),但那更多是市场行为层面的波动,而比特币协议本身的运作是清晰明确、不含欺瞒的nasdaq.com。在穆斯林学者看来,如果加密货币被用于合法且善意的目的,它并不必然违反伊斯兰金融核心原则nasdaq.com。例如,中东一些创新项目已尝试将区块链用于公益和慈善,对每笔币交易提取天课(宗教捐献)用于慈善基金,以确保技术符合伊斯兰伦理nasdaq.comnasdaq.com。这种做法其实与比特币“协议中立、用途开放”的精神一致——技术本身不预设善恶关键,在于使用者是否将其用于合乎道义的契约。
换言之,比特币之“保守”,保守在它选择做“数字黄金”而非肆意重塑社会契约。它遵循价值储藏和交换媒介的基本定位,没有内置复杂的金融衍生功能,也不鼓励凭空创造信用泡沫。这种克制让比特币能够较自然地融入现行法治框架:作为一种私人财产和交换工具,比特币交易遵循“你情我愿,金额确定”的简明契约模型,各法域只需按财产或货物的属性去规范它即可。在英美法下,比特币已逐渐被法院视为可执行财产权益,盗窃比特币等同于盗窃有形财物来惩处。伊斯兰世界中,越来越多学者承认比特币具有财产价值,可以作为货币或商品使用,只要不用于赌博等不法用途,即可被视为“清洁”的财富。在迪拜等地,监管机构也探索制定符合沙里亚原则的加密货币监管指南,承认比特币等作为投资和支付工具的地位。这一切说明,比特币的核心设计没有违背人类社会关于契约正当性的根本要求——公平、自愿、透明,以及不伤害无辜第三方的利益。相比之下,许多后来的加密项目试图在隐私、金融工程上“开历史倒车”,结果反而凸显出比特币朴素设计的高明之处:它为维护基本道义预留了空间,通过公开透明防范了极端滥用,用技术手段恢复了契约的确定性和中立性。
历史视角:数字黄金如何推动正和博弈
历史的眼光往往能够校准当下的纷争。在货币演进的长河中,每当权力过度介入导致“恶币驱逐良币”时,人类总会试图寻回更公正稳健的交换媒介。16世纪格雷欣法则(劣币驱逐良币)揭示出,当政府滥铸货币、削减贵金属含量时,真正有价值的硬币(良币)便会被人们藏匿起来,劣币充斥市面yilinhut.netyilinhut.net。但值得深思的是,格雷欣现象并非不可逆的自然规律,而是统治者操控货币所致的扭曲。正如有学者指出的:“劣币驱逐良币并非市场自发,而是‘政府用劣币驱逐良币’的缩影;一旦能够摆脱政府的控制,这一定律就会失效,比特币恰恰旨在让货币摆脱政府控制,让良币重归市场”yilinhut.net。比特币作为现代数字黄金,其出现为全球经济提供了一种从新回归良币的可能。它不隶属于任何单一国家,其价值不依赖特定主权信用背书,而源于全球共识和算力保障的稀缺性。从国际贸易角度看,比特币类似于跨境结算中的黄金或白银——当两个国家缺乏互信或不愿接受对方货币时,完全可以通过比特币这种“中性资产”进行价值锚定交换,从而避开法币汇率波动和政治干预的风险。近年来,一些案例显示,比特币在地缘冲突或关税战背景下扮演了避险工具的角色:有分析指出,由于比特币不受制于特定国家的贸易政策,投资者把它视为对冲关税风险的手段,当贸易争端导致股市下跌时,比特币反倒逆势上涨,展现出独立于国际贸易格局的价值定位nai500.com。这印证了比特币作为“数字黄金”的一个要义:在国家壁垒与货币战争横生的世界里,它提供了一种超脱政治藩篱的价值载体,使得资金能够在更大程度的自由中逐利避险。
更深一层看,比特币蕴含着推动全球从零和博弈走向正和博弈的制度潜能。传统的法币体系常常被国家间博弈所挟持:各国竞相贬值本币以刺激出口、通过货币超发转嫁债务,这种你输我赢的零和心态导致国际金融秩序暗流汹涌。而比特币的兴起为“货币互信”提供了新范式。设想一个场景:若若干主要经济体将比特币纳入储备或结算体系,它们之间反而可能降低竞争性贬值的冲动,因为谁也无法单方面增发比特币来占便宜,大家只有共同维护其价值稳定才有利可图。这种在公开透明规则下的竞争,更接近“正和游戏”,即各方通过合作都能获益,而非此消彼长。有人将比特币视为一种“人类道义契约”,意指它不是某强权逼迫他国接受的货币(如历史上的殖民通货),而是全球无数个体自愿选择的价值共识。它的运行不依赖枪炮和法律强制,而靠的是对规则的信任与技术的确保。可以说,比特币构筑了一个前所未有的“自愿制度”:人人遵守21万块区块的发行上限和去中心化共识,这本身就是人类史上少见的跨文化、跨政治的合作现象。当这种制度逐步深入国际贸易和金融关系,我们有理由期待一个更公平的格局:劣币不再轻易驱逐良币,反而诚实守信的货币会赢得更广泛的使用;国家壁垒不会彻底消弭,但各国将更难通过封锁金融信息来要挟他国或剥夺公民,因为人们手中握有主权无法轻易触及的价值锚。
当然,比特币并非万能良药,它也会经历价格周期波动、面临技术升级挑战。然而,从历史视角出发,它承载的意义堪比现代版的黄金/白银——一种超越民族国家、服务于全球贸易和人类福祉的价值尺度。当年金本位体系在19世纪促进了世界贸易的繁荣,那是因为金银天然具有防范滥发的属性,使各国币值维持相对稳定。而比特币有望在21世纪承担类似的角色:在数字时代为世界提供一个防止无序贬值和信用滥用的“价值中轴”。这不仅是经济议题,更是道义命题。正如卢梭等思想家描述的社会契约,只有当制度建立在自愿与道义基础上,才能实现持久的正和博弈。比特币所体现的,就是这样一种自下而上凝聚的制度工具:它让个人与个人之间、国家与国家之间有机会基于共同利益而非强制权力来协作。一旦“良币”不再总是被逐出市场,人类就可能跳出过去那种劣币横行、以鄙胜良的怪圈,迎来金融领域的道义复归。
结语:拥抱创新契约,重塑监管范式
当下,FATF的出行规则所代表的监管思路与比特币所代表的技术革新,正站在历史的对立面上交锋。一方以安全与主权之名筑墙设限,另一方以中立与自由之实开辟新径。本文从制度批判的角度剖析了出行规则背后的治理逻辑与局限,揭示了过度管制对全球资金与信息流动的系统性压制,也反思了隐私技术在缺乏法理支撑时被滥用的教训。与此形成鲜明对照的是,比特币作为“保守式创新”的范例,展现出通过技术中立与契约确定性来天然抑制犯罪、兼容多元法统的独特优势。历史的回声告诉我们:真正良好的制度应当是使善者获益、恶者难存,其出发点是信任合作而非恐惧防范。
面对这一新旧范式的碰撞,立法者和监管者理应有所醒悟。与其穷尽手段构筑高墙、不惜牺牲公民自由来堵截风险,不如顺应技术发展的大势,拥抱那些内生具有道义契约性质的创新。在反洗钱和金融稳定目标下,监管可以也应该与技术“正和博弈”:鼓励像比特币这样透明中立的系统发挥正面效应,同时针对真正的黑箱匿名工具精确打击;在国际合作中,以开放心态探索新的全球货币协议,避免陷入零和的管制竞赛。只有这样,我们才能既防范“劣币”作乱,又让“良币”留在市井,形成一个既有秩序又有自由的金融生态。比特币之所以令无数持有者怀抱信念,不仅因为其经济价值,更因为其背后蕴含着对更公正更自由的制度可能性的期待。这份期待正在转化为现实的政治倡议,推动立法和监管的变革。在不久的将来,当我们回望今日,或许会发现:正是这一场关于“出行规则”与“数字黄金”的争论,催生出金融治理范式的转折点——让人类第一次有机会以合作共赢的契约,去取代那延续千年的强权博弈。
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2025-06-13 09:01:00El stone balancing.
La práctica de apilar piedras en equilibrio se conoce comúnmente como "stone balancing". Algunos lo consideran una forma de arte y meditación, en la que las piedras se colocan de manera que se mantienen en equilibrio, a menudo en configuraciones visualmente impresionantes, sin el uso de adhesivos u otros materiales de sujeción. Por lo que he descubierto haciendo este artículo, el "stone balancing" es muy antiguo y tiene orígenes diversos por lo que no se puede atribuir a una sola cultura o región geográfica.
Personalmente, he de reconocer que soy un poco "hater" respecto a esta práctica de apilar piedras, ya que considero que la mayoría de las personas que construyen estos montículos hoy en día lo hacen durante sus vacaciones, simplemente para mostrar al mundo que estuvieron allí (la foto en Instagram suele estar incluida en la experiencia). Sin embargo, no son conscientes de que, como resultado, el paisaje queda plagado de miles de montículos creados por "stone balancers" como ellos.
Sinceramente, creo que solo una pequeña parte de la población practica esta actividad con fines meditativos o funcionales, y debo admitir que, cada vez que me encuentro con una acumulación de piedras en formato vertical, siento una fuerte tentación de derribarlas, pero mi mujer suele impedírmelo.
La analogía.
Llegados a este punto, espero que tengáis claro que no os he querido hacer leer un artículo entero sobre el "stone balancing", por muy respetable que sea esta práctica, así que obviamente lo estoy utilizando como analogía. Os prometo que, a partir de ahora, iré al grano:
La cuestión es que considero que la analogía del “stone balancing” encaja perfectamente con el proceso de creación de Bitcoin. Más aún, creo que refleja fielmente el proceso creativo que hubo detrás de muchos inventos que han cambiado el mundo. Por ello, aunque este artículo se centre en Bitcoin y su reloj probabilístico, la analogía en sí puede aplicarse a una amplia variedad de ámbitos.
Vamos que la analogía del "stone balancing" podría considerarse como la navaja suiza de las analogías en cuanto a procesos creativos! Mis argumentos a favor a continuación:
- La invención de Satoshi se basó en la selección de elementos tecnológicos y protocolos preexistentes, combinándolos de manera innovadora para lograr un equilibrio funcional y robusto. De manera similar, en el “stone balancing”, se eligen cuidadosamente las piedras disponibles en el entorno considerando su forma, peso y estabilidad.
Es fundamental comprender que el verdadero mérito de Satoshi radicó - como bien señala Nick Szabo en "Bitcoin, what took ye so long?" - en la “gran cantidad de pensamiento poco convencional que se requirió” para ensamblar piezas ya existentes de forma totalmente novedosa.
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En el "stone balancing", si todas las piedras han sido seleccionadas y colocadas correctamente, el equilibrio puede permanecer inalterado durante años, resistiendo incluso las inclemencias del tiempo. De manera similar, Bitcoin ha mantenido su estabilidad operativa durante más de 16 años. Desde su creación en 2009, la red de Bitcoin ha demostrado una notable resistencia, funcionando de manera continua sin interrupciones significativas en todo este tiempo.
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Finalmente, si las piedras se han apilado en el momento y lugar adecuados, es esperable que más personas quieran intentar crear algo similar cerca (esto es precisamente lo que sucede en paisajes llenos de montículos al finalizar la temporada de verano). De manera análoga, la creación de Bitcoin ha generado una proliferación de miles de intentos similares—comúnmente denominados shitcoins—que han terminado saturando el entorno.
De hecho, las burbujas especulativas (y el mercado Crypto lo es) pueden entenderse como señales de neón que, pese al ruido generado, sugieren la posibilidad de que haya algo verdaderamente valioso detrás (Bitcoin).
Creo que si nos ponemos a pensar en otras invenciones, veremos como la analogía puede encajar bastante bien.
Las piedras que seleccionó Satoshi.
Según el propio whitepaper "Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System” el objetivo final de Satoshi Nakamoto era crear un sistema de efectivo electrónico descentralizado. Sin embargo, es importante resaltar que Bitcoin no fue el primero de su especie ya que existieron varios intentos antes que él. Los más relevantes se listan a continuación:
Pues bien, estos intentos previos ya hicieron uso de las mismas “piedras” que años más tarde apilaría Satoshi Nakamoto para crear Bitcoin. Las “piedras” que llevaban ya tiempo disponibles eran, entre otras, las siguientes:
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La Prueba de trabajo (PoW): Ya utilizada por B-Money y eCash
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La criptografía de clave pública: Ya utilizada B-Money y eCash
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Las funciones Hash: Ya utilizadas por B-Money, Hashcash y eCash
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Blockchain: Incluso el concepto de blockchain ya fue conceptualizado en 1991 por Stuart Haber y W. Scott Stornetta como un sistema criptográficamente seguro para el sellado de tiempo de documentos digitales. (How to time-stamp a digital document)
Entonces, si las piedras que apilaron Wei Dai, Adam Back y David Chaum son básicamente las mismas que las que apiló más tarde Satoshi Nakamoto, ¿porque estos sistemas previos de dinero electrónico no acabaron funcionando y Bitcoin sí?
Pues bien, a diferencia de los intentos previos, Satoshi Nakamoto logró alinear de manera casi perfecta los incentivos de todos los participantes de una red descentralizada, diseñando un sistema económico que, a través de la teoría de juegos, garantizase que el comportamiento honesto resultase más beneficioso que cualquier intento de actuar de forma maliciosa, con el objetivo de lograr un consenso entre todos los participantes sobre el estado del sistema (o libro contable) en un momento determinado y es justo aquí donde hay que hacerse las preguntas clave:
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¿Cómo sabes la hora si no puedes confiar en un tercero que te diga qué hora es?
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¿Quién debería estar a cargo del tiempo si poner a alguien a cargo no está permitido?
Creo que tal vez fuese la respuesta a estas preguntas la que requirió esa gran cantidad de pensamiento poco convencional del que hablaba Nick Szabo. Creo que tal vez solucionar el problema de generar un reloj descentralizado es lo que convierte a Satoshi Nakamoto en un genio. Si lo paras a pensar, generar tu propia unidad de tiempo (el tiempo de bloque) no es trivial.
El equilibrio de Satoshi.
Para entender porqué es este uno de los factores más importantes de Bitcoin me he basado, casi de forma exclusiva, en el siguiente artículo de Gigi: Bitcoin is time.
En este artículo, Gigi explora por qué el problema de medir el tiempo está estrechamente relacionado con la necesidad de mantener registros, por qué no existe un tiempo absoluto en un sistema descentralizado y cómo Bitcoin utiliza la causalidady la impredictibilidad para construir su propio sentido del “ahora”:
- El tiempo es una cadena causal: Sin la causalidad, distinguir entre lo que ocurrió antes y lo que sucedió después sería imposible. La línea de tiempo establece la relación causal entre los eventos, proporcionando el contexto necesario para su secuenciación.
Determinar con precisión el orden de los eventos es fundamental para mantener un libro contable coherente y evitar el problema del doble gasto. Bitcoin logra esto encadenando los bloques mediante funciones criptográficas de hash, que garantizan la inmutabilidad y secuencialidad de las transacciones. Cada bloque contiene un hash del bloque anterior, lo que crea una estructura encadenada que dificulta la alteración de registros sin invalidar la cadena completa.
- La impredictibilidad es necesaria: Sin impredictibilidad, la causalidad carece de sentido ya que para establecer que algo ocurrió en un momento dado, es necesario reportar eventos que no podrían haberse predicho antes de que ocurrieran o dicho de otra forma, si la secuencia de eventos fuera predecible, sería posible saltar hacia adelante. Por tanto, la impredictibilidad asegura que ningún participante pueda predecir o manipular el orden de las transacciones.
Bitcoin se apoya en dos grandes fuentes de impredictibilidad: las propias transacciones y la prueba-de-trabajo (PoW):
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Las transacciones: De antemano es imposible saber quien ganará la prueba de trabajo y por tanto qué transacciones decidirá incluir en el nuevo bloque.
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La prueba-de-trabajo (PoW): De antemano es imposible saber la solución de la prueba de trabajo por lo que cualquier minero deberá gastar cierta energía y tiempo en resolverla.
Todo lo anterior asegura poder disponer de un reloj probabilístico cuyo tiempo de referencia es el tiempo de bloque. Sin embargo, este tiempo de bloque se encontraría totalmente desconectado de la realidad “humana” sin el ajuste de dificultad.
La genialidad del ajuste de dificultad mantiene el nexo de unión entre el tiempo en el mundo Bitcoin (el tiempo de bloque) y el tiempo en el mundo "humano". Este mecanismo es esencial porque, sin él, el reloj interno de Bitcoin tendería a acelerarse progresivamente a medida que más mineros se unieran a la red o que mejorara la eficiencia de los dispositivos de minería. Gracias al ajuste de dificultad, se preserva la relación aproximada de 1 bloque cada 10 minutos, asegurando así la estabilidad temporal entre el mundo de Bitcoin y “nuestro mundo”.
Por tanto, y tal y como sugiere Gigi; "la nueva idea -lo que descubrió Satoshi- es cómo estar de acuerdo de forma independiente sobre una historia de eventos sin una coordinación central. Él halló la forma de implementar un esquema de marcado de hora descentralizado"
La guinda del pastel.
Como guinda del pastel, he reservado un punto que bien podría haber incluido en el apartado de la analogía, pero que considero encaja mejor aquí como conclusión final y es que al igual que en el arte del “stone balancing”, donde el creador de la estructura se retira poco después de haberla construido, dejando que el equilibrio se mantenga por sí solo, Satoshi Nakamoto que siempre se mantuvo en el anonimato, llegado a cierto punto se hizo a un lado y desapareció.
Satoshi Nakamoto probablemente comprendía que permanecer al frente de su invención podría convertirlo en una vulnerabilidad para el sistema. Es posible que tomara nota de los problemas legales enfrentados por Bernard von NotHaus, creador de Liberty Dollar, una moneda respaldada por metales preciosos como el oro y la plata, diseñada como una alternativa al dólar estadounidense a la que, en 2007, poco antes de la invención de Bitcoin, las autoridades federales le incautaron grandes cantidades de monedas de plata y oro, así como otros activos relacionados con el Liberty Dollar.
Y es que cuando apilas piedras en la propiedad de un Estado, es probable que este intente derribarlas… sino que se lo digan a Keonne Rodríguez y William Lonergan Hill, cofundadores de Samourai Wallet.
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@ fe820c8e:d2d76f04
2025-06-13 08:45:35Course Main Title
This is your course initialization stub.
Please see the Docs to find out what is possible in LiaScript.
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{{1}}
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!?video
--{{3 Russian Female}}--
Первоначально создан в 2004 году Джоном Грубером (англ. John Gruber) и Аароном Шварцем. Многие идеи языка были позаимствованы из существующих соглашений по разметке текста в электронных письмах...
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Multiline 1.9 | DOTS | *** y | * * - | r r r r r r r*r r r r*r r r r r r r a | * * x | * * i | B B B B B * B B B B B B * B B B B B s | * * | * * * * * * -1 +------------------------------------ 0 x-axis 1
Quizzes
A Textquiz
What did the fish say when he hit a concrete wall?
[[dam]]
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Just add as many points as you wish:
[[X]] Only the **X** marks the correct point. [[ ]] Empty ones are wrong. [[X]] ...
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A drawing example, for demonstrating that any JavaScript library can be used, also for drawing.
```javascript // Initialize a Line chart in the container with the ID chart1 new Chartist.Line('#chart1', { labels: [1, 2, 3, 4], series: [[100, 120, 180, 200]] });
// Initialize a Line chart in the container with the ID chart2 new Chartist.Bar('#chart2', { labels: [1, 2, 3, 4], series: [[5, 2, 8, 3]] }); ```
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if(data.online) { who + " is online"; } else { who + " is NOT online"; }
json +Data.json { "first_name" : "Sammy", "last_name" : "Shark", "online" : true } ```
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@ a2bcfaeb:2b1f789d
2025-06-13 08:40:46Privileged to be in the Bitcoin village for two days conference courtesy of BitBiashara. I wouldn't get such a chance without Bitcoin Making meaningful connections and sharing ideas with the best minds in Bitcoin. My take home is, Bitcoin education is really needed. I will be carrying the message back to my village. God bless Bitcoin. Support our circular economy.
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@ 866e0139:6a9334e5
2025-06-13 08:27:03Autor: Caitlin Johnstone. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.
Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.
Israel hat eine umfangreiche Serie von Luftangriffen auf den Iran gestartet.
Die westlichen Medien übernehmen natürlich unhinterfragt die faktenfreie Behauptung der israelischen Regierung, dass diese Angriffe „präventiv“ waren.
Das Trump-Regime versucht, dies als einen völlig einseitigen israelischen Angriff darzustellen, der nichts mit den Vereinigten Staaten zu tun habe - eine Behauptung, die man durchaus glauben könnte, wenn man gestern geboren wäre.
Hier ist eine Liste von Schlagzeilen, die wir in Zukunft von der New York Times erwarten können:
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Iranische Angriffe erschüttern Israel in einem unprovozierten Angriff.
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Israelische Familien suchen Schutz bei antisemitischem Terroranschlag.
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Israelischer Verteidigungsminister: US-Campus-Demonstranten wussten irgendwie von iranischen Angriffen im Voraus, was auf eine Koordination mit Teheran hindeutet.
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Trump äußert privat seine Frustration mit Netanjahu über den Iran-Konflikt, dem die USA nur passiv und unschuldig beiwohnen.
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Amerikanische Juden fühlen sich inmitten der sich zuspitzenden Kriege im Nahen Osten verunsichert und nicht unterstützt.
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Meine Meinung: Ich habe bei den Luftangriffen auf Tel Aviv um mein Leben gefürchtet. Niemand auf der Welt kann sich vorstellen, wie das ist.
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Meinung: Besteht die Gefahr, dass die USA in einen weiteren Krieg im Nahen Osten hineingezogen werden?
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Meinung: Stolpern die USA in einen weiteren Krieg im Nahen Osten?
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Meinung: Stolpern die USA versehentlich in einen weiteren Krieg im Nahen Osten?
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Meinung: Werden die USA mit Füßen getreten und in einen Krieg im Nahen Osten hineingezogen, den sie seit jeher um jeden Preis zu vermeiden versuchen?
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USA starten Präventivschlag gegen den Iran.
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Ihre Meinung: Werden die USA in einen dritten Weltkrieg hineingezogen?
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Meinung: Taumeln die USA kopfüber in einen nuklearen Schlagabtausch mit Russland und China?
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Meinung: Der Himmel verdunkelt sich, während nukleare Strahlung über unser Land kriecht, deshalb müssen wir alle zusammenkommen und die Hamas verurteilen.
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Meinung: Die Erde ist ein unfruchtbares Ödland. Nichts bleibt übrig. Schauen Sie nach Ihren jüdischen Freunden.
Dieser Text erschien zuerst auf englisch auf dem Substack-Blog der Autorin.
LASSEN SIE DER FRIEDENSTAUBE FLÜGEL WACHSEN!
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@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b
2025-06-13 08:09:40联名银行账户的历史、挑战与现代替代方案 —— 兼论 PayJoin 的跨法域教法友好新实践
1. 联名账户的起源与制度逻辑(英美法系)
联名账户的定义与起源。 联名银行账户是指由两个或以上个人共同持有、均有权操作的银行账户birketts.co.uk。这一制度起源于英美普通法下对于共同财产持有的需求,可追溯到不动产共有 (如共有租赁 joint tenancy) 概念在金融存款领域的引入birketts.co.uk。19世纪末到20世纪中叶,欧美银行开始允许多人在同一账户上拥有签字权,方便夫妻或家人联合管理财务,并在账户持有人死亡时避免遗产认证(probate)流程——因此联名账户常被称为“穷人的遗嘱”,作为一种规避遗嘱认证的工具nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。
共同租赁与生存者权利。 在英国普通法传统中,不动产的 joint tenancy 具有“生存者享有权”(Right of Survivorship),即一名共有人去世后,其份额自动归属存活的共有人。这一理念被移植到银行账户:大多数联名账户在开立时即默认附带生存者权利(JTWROS),存款人之一死亡时,账户资金无须经过遗产程序直接归属于存活者birketts.co.uknelsonmullins.com。英美各州法律以及《统一遗嘱认证法》(UPC)普遍承认这一默认规则,除非开户时有相反约定nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。这体现了联名账户在制度设计上的核心逻辑:账户法律权属共同且具有延续性,银行只关注账户的法律所有人而不深究每位持有人对资金的实益份额birketts.co.uk。
意图推定与权益归属争议。 尽管法律上联名账户具共同所有与生存者权利,但在实益归属(Beneficial Ownership)上常引发争议birketts.co.uk。英美法院历史上发展出不同理论来推定联名账户资金归属的意图:一是合同理论,认为签署的开户协议本身构成合同,确立各持有人对账户的平等权利(包括死亡后全额归属权);二是信托/赠与理论,视添加共有人为对其利益的赠与或信托安排birketts.co.ukbirketts.co.uk。英国法院传统上采用推定信托原则:若账户资金完全由一方存入,则推定这笔钱由该方信托持有,除非账户持有人有夫妻、父母子女等特殊关系,此时反推定为赠与(advancement)birketts.co.uk。例如,父母将子女加入账户通常被视为对子女的财产赠与,逝世后余额归子女所有birketts.co.uk;而无亲属关系的人加入账户则多被视为管理方便的安排,资金实益仍属原出资人birketts.co.uk。美国法亦有类似原则,不少州要求若实际意图只是“便利账户”(Convenience Account),需在开户时或遗嘱中明确声明,否则默认视为赠与,账户余额按生存者权利归共同持有人nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。这种法律推定的复杂性,使联名账户长期存在“制度混乱”局面nelsonmullins.com,历史上大量诉讼围绕共同持有人之间以及继承人之间对账户资金归属的争夺展开nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。
账户签署模式:“和”与“或”。 另一个制度要点是账户的操作权限。传统英美银行账户协议中,可以指定联名账户为“双方签字”(“A 和 B”账户)或“任一方签字”(“A 或 B”账户)模式investopedia.com。“双方签字”要求所有共有人同意才能支取,保障了共同行使控制权,但使用不便,主要用于企业账户或信托账户;“任一方签字”则允许任一持有人单独操作账户,是夫妻/家庭联名账户的常见形式investopedia.com。印度、英国等地银行常用“Either or Survivor”(任一或生存者)来指明此类账户默认具有生存者继承权mikecoady.com。这一设计体现了联名账户的灵活性:要么强调共同控制,要么强调独立便利。然而正如下文所述,这种便利也带来了诸多法律与实务风险。
2. 美国联名账户的典型法律问题及银行应对
遗产继承与意图冲突。 在美国,联名账户最常见的问题是与遗产规划意图不一致,引发继承纠纷。例如老年父母出于支付账单方便,将成年子女之一加入账户,但并不打算在去世后将全部余额都赠与该子女nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。如果父母过世前未书面声明账户不作为遗赠,那么按照许多州法律,该账户会绕开遗嘱直接归存活的子女所有nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。这可能与父母原本打算公平分配遗产给其他继承人的意愿相违背nelsonmullins.com。例如在南卡罗来纳的案例 Abernathy v. Latham 中,母亲生前联名账户本意是方便支付其医疗开销,遗嘱却意图将财产分予另两位非联名子女,但因未在开户时或遗嘱中明确说明,法院仍判定账户余额由共有人(联名女儿)全额继承nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。为避免此类情况,《统一多方账户法》(已被部分州采纳)要求账户持有人如欲排除生存者权利,须在开户表或遗嘱中有明确书面说明,否则默认视为意图赠与生存者nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。银行方面也逐渐提供选项,允许客户指定联名账户为“无生存者权利”(类似于按份共有),但这在实践中不常使用,需要客户有明确法律意识。
账户冻结与债权纠纷。 联名账户的另一风险在于,当其中一位持有人遇到法律麻烦(债务、诉讼、税务等),整个账户可能被冻结或强制执行。美国的多数司法辖区视联名账户内资金为各持有人_推定_平等拥有,因此债权人可以申请冻结或扣押债务人姓名下的联名账户,即便另一共有人对债务不知情也可能失去账户资金nolo.comnolo.com。各州对此规定不同:有些州限定债权人仅能扣押账户的一半资金(假定另一半属无债务方)nolo.com;但在另一些州,债权人可申请扣押全部余额,然后由无责共有人举证证明其中有自己出资的部分才能取回nolo.comnolo.com。例如一对兄妹联名账户,如兄弟欠债遭判决,债权人可能要求银行冻结整个账户,妹妹必须提供存款记录等证明哪些钱是自己存入(traceable contributions)才能抗辩解除nolo.comnolo.com。这一过程繁琐且充满不确定性,给无辜共有人带来资金风险。对此风险,银行没有义务主动区分资金归属,只依据账户合同行事nolo.com。为减轻客户顾虑,一些州允许在开户时将账户明确标为“便利账户”(仅供代理操作,不算共同财产),或夫妻开设“Entireties账户”(夫妻整体所有,仅可共同处分,个人债权人不得强制执行),以提供一定保护alperlaw.comnolo.com。但这些选项依赖特殊法规且在不同管辖区差异很大nolo.comnolo.com。因此美国银行通常会在开户协议中提醒联名账户的连带责任(如信用卡联名账户双方对欠款负共同责任investopedia.com)和可能的债权风险,并建议客户慎重选择共有人。
误操作与内部欺诈。 联名账户给予每位持有人几乎不受限制的提款权,因此另一大隐患是账户内部的误用或欺诈。如果一位持有人缺乏理财自律或存在恶意,他/她可单方面提取或转移全部资金,另一持有人事后才发现损失investopedia.comkitces.com。由于银行视所有共有人为合法所有者之一,无法仅凭一方投诉而阻止另一方的提款——银行有合同义务执行任何持有人合法发起的指令kitces.com。这意味着联名账户几乎没有内部制衡:即使银行察觉可疑,也“束手无策”,因为指令来自账户合法共有人kitces.com。受害一方只能通过法院诉讼,主张账户只是“代理/便利”性质、对方违反受托责任 (fiduciary duty) 而挪用资金,尝试追回款项kitces.com。然而举证过程漫长且结果不确定,需要证明当初加名仅为代理方便而非真正赠与kitces.com。正因如此,美国理财顾问常警示客户:不要轻易通过联名账户授权他人理财,否则不仅资金可能被滥用,而且一旦对方出事,您的钱也可能受牵连kitces.comkitces.com。相比之下,更安全的做法是使用有限授权(Power of Attorney)或生前信托来给予代理人有限权限,而非直接共享所有权kitces.comkitces.com。银行业也逐步接受和配合这些替代方案,如核验授权书、副署人等,以平衡便利性和安全性。
3. 海湾国家联名账户的实践与挑战
跨境劳工汇款与联名账户。 海湾阿拉伯国家聚集了大量外籍劳工(尤其来自南亚、东南亚),他们经常需要将收入汇款回家。许多外籍人士选择开立联名账户作为家庭财务工具,例如在本国银行开设自己与配偶或父母的联名账户,以便家人在其海外工作期间共同管理资金或从账户中提取生活费icicibank.comicicibank.com。部分在海湾地区的银行也允许外籍客户与家人开联名账户,方便他们将工资存入并由在家乡的配偶使用附属银行卡取款reddit.com。这种安排在技术上降低了频繁国际汇款的成本和难度。然而,它也带来了法律和文化层面的挑战:一方面,不同国籍/居住地的联名人涉及跨境法规(如外汇管制、税务申报)的复杂性;另一方面,在一些文化中男女或代际间共享账户可能与传统观念不符,需要遵循伊斯兰教法或当地习俗。比如有的穆斯林丈夫可能按照教法允许妻子保有自己财产、不干涉之原则,不倾向于共用账户,而选择直接汇款给妻子个人账户reddit.com。因此,跨境家庭常在便利与合规之间权衡,在联名账户和单独账户+授权取款等模式中做出选择。
家族资产共管需求。 海湾本地富裕家族内部也存在共同管理资产的需求。例如父子共同经营生意、兄弟姐妹联合投资物业等情况,希望有一个共管的账户池。传统上,在海湾阿拉伯社会,大家族通过掌门人代持或设立家族办事处(Family Office)集中管理资产,但现代银行服务也提供了一些新工具。例如阿联酋的 Emirates Islamic 推出了**“家庭储蓄账户”模式,允许多达10位直系亲属各有独立子账户,但共享一个合并余额来获得较高的整体收益率,同时保持每个人账户的私密性和独立使用emiratesislamic.aeemiratesislamic.ae。这被视为传统联名账户的改良:资金并不真正混同,但在银行系统内被视为“虚拟共同体”,以激励家庭存款emiratesislamic.aeemiratesislamic.ae。该方案也明确遵循伊斯兰教法**(如采用 Wakala 投资代理协议分享利润,而非利息)emiratesislamic.aeemiratesislamic.ae。由此可见,海湾银行业在满足家族共同理财需求时,更倾向于结构化解决方案,以避免直接共有人制度带来的法律障碍。
教法继承与账户冻结。 最严峻的挑战是伊斯兰教法的强制继承规则。在海湾阿拉伯国家(如海合会各国),伊斯兰教法(Sharia)通常适用于穆斯林公民的资产继承。根据教法,当账户持有人去世,其资产必须按照固定的继承份额分配给法定继承人(配偶、子女、父母等),个人意愿影响有限。这与普通法系下联名账户“生存者自动继承全部”原则直接冲突gulfnews.comgulfnews.com。因此在如阿联酋等地,无论账户是个人还是联名,只要持有人去世,银行立即冻结账户,直到宗教法院或民事法院完成继承认证gulfnews.comgulfnews.com。联名并不能豁免冻结:即使另一共有人健在且资金主要由其贡献,也不得动用账户,直至法院指令gulfnews.comgulfnews.com。例如一位印度外籍人士在迪拜与妻子共有多个账户,妻子骤然去世后,他发现所有联名账户被法院冻结,无法提款支付日常生活费mikecoady.commikecoady.com。因为按照程序,继承人在申请继承证书时需申报所有死者名下账户,法院即通知各银行冻结资金mikecoady.commikecoady.com。数月后法院根据教法规将款项在丈夫和子女间按教法份额分配(例如丈夫25%、儿子50%、女儿25%mikecoady.com),而不像普通法那样全部归存活配偶mikecoady.com。这一事件突显了联名账户在教法环境下的“危险”:存活共有人不仅无法直接继承,短期内甚至无法动用共同财产gulfnews.comgulfnews.com。为此,当地专业人士建议外籍人士避免在无遗嘱情况下使用联名账户,或至少保证每人有独立账户以备不时之需mikecoady.com。更稳妥的做法是在当地立下符合教法的正式遗嘱,或采用公司/信托架构持有资产,以绕开个人账户直接继承的障碍gulfnews.com。总之,在海湾国家,联名账户因为法域文化差异面临特殊挑战,必须提前规划以防范账户冻结与继承冲突的问题。
4. 联名账户的现代替代方案及局限性
面对上述各种问题,金融和技术领域已经发展出若干替代方案来实现多人共同管理资金的目标,每种方案各有其法律、治理和技术局限。下表对主要替代机制进行比较:
| 替代方案 | 实现方式 | 优点 | 局限性 | | ------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------ | ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | 对公账户/公司账户 | 设立法人实体(公司、合伙企业),以公司名义开银行账户,由多名股东/高管共同控制fdic.gov。 | 法律结构清晰,有公司法保护;可设定多签批准流程;个人债务不直接牵连公司资金。 | 设置和维护成本高(注册、税务、合规);非家庭场景不便;跨国开户困难。 | | 信托账户 | 设立信托或基金,受托人开设账户代持财产,受益人包括相关个人kitces.com。 | 可定制受托人义务,保障弱势方利益;避开遗产认证,按信托契约分配;在普通法下有成熟法理。 | 在民法或教法地区法律地位不明;设立需专业知识和费用;受托人可能滥用职责(需信任或监管)。 | | 授权与代理 | 不改变账户所有权,通过签署财务授权书或银行授权,让代理人能操作账户kitces.com。 | 手续简单成本低;不转移所有权、不影响继承;授权范围可限定(仅查看、限额支付等)。 | 授权人在法律上无所有权,遇代理破产/去世授权失效;部分机构对授权认受度有限(可能拒绝执行)。 | | 多重签名钱包 | 在加密货币领域使用多签名技术(如2/3签名)管理资金,各方持有私钥,需达成门槛签名才能支出blog.upay.bestmilkroad.com。 | 技术上去中心化,无单点控制;规则灵活(M-of-N签名可定制);无银行介入、无国界限制;防范单方欺诈或遗失(可设应急密钥)。 | 仅适用于数字资产,不适用法币账户;用户需一定技术能力;法律上不承认“共同签名”财产分配,纠纷解决缺乏司法支持;一旦签名门槛达不到(如一方失联),资金可能冻结在链上。 | | 权限分级系统 | 由银行或金融平台提供,多用户共享同一账户或钱包但权限不同(如主账户人设置子账户/支付限额)。 | 可实现精细控制:如一方全权,另一方仅查询或限额交易;方便家庭理财、企业财务控制;平台往往提供日志追踪增强透明度。 | 核心账户仍属单一法律主体,其他人为被授权人而非真正共有人;授权关系依赖平台规则,法律保障弱;跨机构不可通用,缺乏行业标准。 |
对公账户/公司架构: 通过成立法人实体(如注册有限责任公司或合伙企业)共同持有资金,是许多情况下替代联名账户的方案absolutetrustcounsel.com。例如夫妻可成立一家有限责任公司共同持有投资资产,再以公司名义开银行账户。这将资金从个人名下移至公司名下,从而隔离个人法律风险:一方的个人债权人无法直接针对公司账户执行alperlaw.com。公司章程还能规定账户需多方签字支出,提高内部监督。然而其局限是显而易见的:成立和维护公司需支付注册、审计、报税等成本,对于单纯家庭资金共管显得繁琐;跨境开设公司账户涉及各国法律和合规要求,操作门槛高。因此公司账户更多用于正式商业合伙场景,在普通家庭财务中接受度有限。
信托结构: 信托源于普通法,可作为联名账户的法律替代——尤其在涉及遗产和未成年人利益时更为优越。家长可设立生前信托,把资金转入信托账户,由受托银行按信托契约管理并允许指定受益人共同使用,从而避免形式上的联名kitces.comkitces.com。信托能够细致规定各方的权益份额和职责(受托人对受益人的诚信义务 Amanah),并可跨越死亡事件自动过渡产权,无需冻结账户或经过繁琐继承程序。然而信托在许多民法或伊斯兰法系国家并无完善的法律框架(例如一些海湾国家对家族信托的承认有限),设立信托往往需要借助离岸法域(如开曼群岛、新加坡的信托法律)coinshares.com。此外,信托涉及专业法律文件起草和持续监管成本,对一般用户门槛较高。若受托人滥用职权,受益人必须诉诸法院救济,也存在道德风险。因此信托虽在英美被视为解决联名财产问题的黄金标准,但在跨法域环境下其可行性取决于当地法律制度支持程度。
授权代理: 这是不改变资金所有权又能实现共同管理的简单途径。很多美国老人不愿直接加子女为联名人,改为签署广泛的持久财务授权书 (Durable Power of Attorney),授权子女在自己失能时管理账户kitces.com。银行也提供第三方授权形式,比如在账户中登记一位“代理签字人”。授权的优点是保留资产独立性:资金仍属原主,无需担心代理人个人债务牵连;同时授权可随时撤销或修改。不过授权并非万能:若授权人去世,授权自动失效,代理人无法再动用账户(此时资产转由遗产程序处理)nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。此外,不是所有国家/银行都乐于承认外国授权文件,实际操作中代理人可能仍遇阻力(一些银行出于合规会对代理指令多加审查)。因此授权适合作为短中期的账户共管方案,但不能完全解决死亡继承和跨境问题。
多重签名数字钱包: 在区块链和加密货币领域,多重签名 (multi-sig) 技术成为实现“多人共管资金”的创新方案blog.upay.bestmilkroad.com。例如,两位商业伙伴可以创建一个比特币2-of-2多签钱包,任何转出交易需要双方的数字签名,类似银行账户要求两把钥匙同时拧开保险箱。这种技术不依赖中心机构:资金由去中心化网络维护,任何一方单独无法挪用,使内部欺诈风险降至最低。同时,它突破了国界,在不同法域的人都可共同控制同一钱包。然而,当前多签钱包主要限于加密资产,对于法币存款并不可用。即便在加密领域,也存在治理难题:法律层面不承认密码学上的“共有”概念,如果多签持有人发生纠纷或死亡,传统法院很难介入分配私钥或代为执行交易river.comriver.com。例如一方去世未留下其私钥,除非智能合约预设了应急方案(如超时解锁给存活方或预留第三方密钥),否则资金将永久锁定链上。又如一方恶意拒绝签名,另一方只能尝试技术或社工手段获取签名,无正规法律途径解决。总的来说,多签提供了技术上的安全与中立,但牺牲了一定的便捷性和法律可追索性,目前更适合高信任度团队或对安全性要求极高的场景(如加密货币交易所的资产托管)。
权限分级的账户系统: 随着金融科技的发展,一些银行和支付平台推出了多用户权限功能,试图兼顾多人使用的便利与风险控制。例如某些数字银行允许一个主账户下开设子账户,各账户持有人拥有独立登录、卡片,但资金在后台链接,实现类似家庭钱包的效果。主账户持有人可以设定每个副账户的额度和权限(只能消费不可转出等),既给家人财务自由又保留总体控制。这类方案实质上还是一个人拥有账户,其余是被授权用户,只不过科技手段让用户体验上接近联名账户。这种权限分级系统可以灵活定制规则(比如双重确认大额支出、实时通知等),非常适合企业财务(类似传统网银的“双人复核”)或家庭预算(如给孩子的零用卡)。局限在于:法律关系上账户只属于主用户,其余人没有法律所有权,因此如果主用户出事,账户仍会被冻结,其他人权益无保障。此外,不同银行平台各自为政,缺乏统一标准,一旦跨行或跨境,此类授权无法延伸。在监管层面,这种模式也引发KYC疑问:银行需要对所有实际使用者尽职调查,否则可能出现非账户持有人匿名使用资金的情况。
综上,各种替代方案各自解决了传统联名账户的一部分问题,却也引入新的限制。没有一种方案能完美覆盖法律、治理、技术各方面:对公账户和信托提供法律清晰度但成本高、地域受限;授权和权限分级提升便利但不改变根本权属;多签钱包实现了跨境共同控制但游离于现行法律框架之外。正是在这样的背景下,新兴的PayJoin技术引人注目——它并非传统意义上的“账户”或“契约”,而是一种交易机制,可能在跨法域和教法环境下提供一种创新的资金共管思路。
5. PayJoin 技术机制与联名账户的比较
PayJoin 的原理简介。 PayJoin(又称 P2EP,Pay-to-Endpoint)是一种比特币交易的隐私增强技术,其核心思想是:让交易的接收方也贡献一部分输入river.com。在传统的单方支付中,一笔交易的所有输入通常都来自付款人,这泄露了一个隐私信息:这些输入地址很可能属于同一人(区块链分析中的“共同输入归属假设”)river.com。PayJoin 则打破这一假设:收款人预先与付款人沟通,同意在收到款项时由自己提供一个UTXO作为交易输入之一,然后双方构建一个包含多笔输入、输出的联合交易payjoin.orgpayjoin.org。例如,Alice 向 Bob 支付 1 BTC,传统做法是 Alice 提供1 BTC输入-> Bob 的地址。PayJoin 下,可能变成:Alice 提供0.6 BTC输入,Bob 提供0.5 BTC输入,两人签署一笔交易,其中 Bob 的输出得到1.1 BTC(相当于 Bob 原有0.5+Alice支付1.0,减去找零给Alice和手续费),Alice 拿回找零0.4 BTCpayjoin.org。从区块链上看,这笔交易有两个输入(分别来自Alice和Bob的钱包)和若干输出,但观察者无法断定究竟是哪部分是支付、哪部分是找零,因为它看起来跟“一人用多个输入付款”并无二致payjoin.orgpayjoin.org。PayJoin 使交易的资金归属变得难以推导:外人不再确切知道Alice给了Bob多少钱。
“共同控制”与权限对比。 虽然 PayJoin 不是账户,但它体现了一种交易层面的共同控制:交易的生成和签名需要双方参与river.com。付款人和收款人通过点对点加密通信(通常经Tor或类似渠道)协商交易细节,各自选择愿意投入的UTXO,然后协同构建PSBT(部分签名比特币交易)并分别签章river.comriver.com。只有双方都签名,交易才能广播成功。这一点类似联名账户的“双签”模式(“和账户”),需要双方同意才能完成一笔“资金移动”。不同之处在于:联名账户的双签是在账户维度的持续权限控制,而 PayJoin 的“双签”是逐笔交易的合作行为,一旦交易完成,双方各自拿回属于自己的输出,并不产生一个长期共管的地址或账户。这意味着 PayJoin 不涉及资金托管:Alice和Bob各自仍控制自己钱包里的币,只是在支付发生的一刻进行了协作。相较之下,传统联名账户(尤其“或账户”)往往允许单方独立操作而缺乏约束investopedia.cominvestopedia.com;而 PayJoin 则需要双方在线同意才能促成,这在一定程度上提供了共同见证/确认。不过,PayJoin 并不能防止任一方事后随意支配自己收到的输出(类似于联名账户的任一持有人可自行提取自己的款项比例)。因此在控制模型上,PayJoin更像是瞬时的“合伙记账”:双方都参与记账过程,但结算后各拿各的钱。如果有需要,可以反复通过PayJoin进行资金往来,从而达到一种“经常性共同操作”的效果,但它本身不会锁定资金需要长期共同签署。相比之下,多重签名钱包会真正把资金锁定在需要多方签名才能解锁的地址上,这是不同的。
不可推导的资金归属。 对于联名账户,外部人(包括银行或法院)通常也无法直接区分账户内资金最初由谁存入,因为账户作为一个整体记录余额birketts.co.uk。只有通过内部账或存款记录才能分析贡献比例。同样地,PayJoin 交易在区块链上造成了资金来源的混淆:链上观察者无法确定哪一方贡献了多少输入、哪个输出归谁payjoin.org。这从隐私角度是优点:它打破了比特币网络上对于资金流向的常规分析规则payjoin.org。而从“共有”角度来看,这种资金归属不透明性与联名账户有相似之处——在一个联名账户中,如果没有充分证据,第三方或债权人常默认账户资金各半归属双方nolo.com;在一次PayJoin交易中,除非双方公开细节,否则无人能确知哪个输出是支付哪个是找零,即交易对手间的具体资金划分仅他们自己清楚payjoin.org。值得注意的是,这种隐私并非完全的匿名,而是针对特定交易的归属不可判定。联名账户的不可归属性是长期的(整个账户余额如此),而PayJoin是针对单笔转移,但如果双方持续采用PayJoin模式进行交互,那么整个资金流的图谱对外部来说将变得支离破碎,难以拼凑双方各自持有多少。对于希望财务共管但又不想被外界清晰审计出权属的人来说,这提供了一种新颖的工具。
与多方混币区别。 需要指出,PayJoin 不同于传统的CoinJoin(多人混币)。CoinJoin通常是数个不相干的人把若干UTXO放一起构造一笔交易,打乱关联,从而实现隐私增强river.com。而 PayJoin 仅两方参与且具有实际支付含义:付款人最终少了钱,收款人净得钱。这更贴近真实的一对一资金往来场景,只是包装成让外界看不出。而CoinJoin往往输出每人拿回和输入等量的钱,只是换了碎片顺序,没有实现真正资金转移。PayJoin的效率更高(两人即可,不需撮合众人),也更节省手续费,因其输出数量可与普通交易无异,不增加链上容量payjoin.orgpayjoin.org。
综上,PayJoin 在共同控制和资金归属模糊两方面都与联名账户有相似之处,却又有本质区别:联名账户是法律与账户层面的共管关系,持续存在;PayJoin是技术与交易层面的合作行为,瞬时完成。正是这种差异,使 PayJoin 可以避开许多联名账户的制度性问题,从而具备一些独特优势,如下节所述。
6. PayJoin:跨法域中立且教法友好的潜力
跨法域的中立性。 PayJoin 基于比特币网络运作,其参与各方只需遵循比特币协议,与任何特定国家法律或金融机构无直接关联。这意味着,无论交易双方身处何地、何种法系,都可以采用PayJoin来完成一笔支付或价值转移,而不受当地银行政策差异的影响。例如,一位美国的用户可以与一位海湾国家的用户通过各自的比特币钱包执行PayJoin,资金即时划转,无需经过银行清算或外汇管制。这种去中心化特性使 PayJoin 天然具有跨法域中立性:它不需要在某国开设账户、符合某地金融牌照,也无须考虑两地对联名账户截然不同的法律定义。对于跨境家庭或团队而言,PayJoin 提供了共同参与财务活动的新方式——不再以账户形式存在,而是在链上合作完成交易。由于没有共同持有的账户实体,便不存在账户被冻结或被单方面没收的风险(前提是双方各自保管好自己的私钥)。尤其在一些司法管辖冲突的场景下(如非穆斯林丈夫与穆斯林妻子想共享财富,但各自国家法律对联名财产认定不同),PayJoin可以作为双方私下的财务协议来使用,而避免落入法域冲突的真空地带。需要强调,PayJoin 本身不违反任何国家的明文法律——它只是标准的比特币交易形式之一payjoin.orgpayjoin.org。法律上各国通常将比特币交易视为个人资产处分行为,只要不用于非法目的,并无禁止交易双方协商其交易结构的法规。因此,从合法性角度看,PayJoin 相当于两人商定了一种转账方式,在Common Law看来符合契约自由原则,在各法域都找不出明显抵触的条文。
伊斯兰教法的友好性。 从伊斯兰金融原则审视,PayJoin 具有许多契合点,使其有望被视为“教法友好”的实践:
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无利息(Riba):PayJoin 只是资金转移工具,不涉及贷款或利息计付。比特币本身不支付利息,交易过程中也没有任何一方无风险获利的要素scitcentral.com。相比传统银行账户可能涉及利息或利率变动(伊斯兰金融需通过盈利率协议Wakala等实现类似功能),PayJoin 完全规避了利息禁忌。
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控制与所有权明确(Amanah信托原则):在联名账户中,各方资金混同,实际归属成谜,可能引发Amanah上的疑虑——一方实为代管他人财产却可以随意取用。而PayJoin每笔交易双方知情并同意,且结算后各自掌控自己的余额,没有长期代管他人财物的情况。可以认为,双方在PayJoin合作中互为受托人:各自承诺只签署符合约定金额的交易,不多签或少签。这种短暂的互信很容易履行且范围有限,符合 Amanah 强调的受托义务(诚信、准时履约)。双方都不把资金长久交给对方或第三方,减少了信托滥用的可能。
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避免过度不确定性(Gharar):Gharar 指交易中不确定性或信息不对称过高,从而带有投机欺诈成分。PayJoin 交易结构虽然对外人不透明,但对交易双方本身是完全清晰的——他们事先约定了支付额,每人贡献多少UTXO、将得到多少找零输出,都是明确计算的payjoin.org。交易未完成前,任何一方都可以中止(不签名则交易无效),不存在押注未知结果的情况,也没有复杂衍生品或概率元素,因而不违反“避免Gharar”的原则changelly.com。与之相比,传统联名账户在教法环境下的最大不确定性反而是继承处理:共有人无法确定死后谁能得到多少份额(取决于教法和法院),这对各方而言是一种Gharar。而PayJoin每次交易完结,资金归属当下尘埃落定,没有悬而未决的权益。
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非赌博性质(Maysir):Maysir意为赌博或投机。PayJoin 并非博弈,而是有实际用途的支付工具,没有随机输赢,也不以对赌为目的changelly.com。两人合作进行PayJoin,不会出现一方赢钱一方输钱的零和结果——本质还是执行支付,只是改变信息披露,并无博彩成分。因此,用PayJoin进行正常经济活动,应不触犯禁赌教规。
更进一步,有学者和教法顾问已经在讨论比特币本身的可容许性:许多观点认为只要比特币用于合法贸易、避免利息和欺诈,它可以被视作财产和交换媒介,从教法上是Halal(可允)plasbit.comchangelly.com。一些中东地区的交易所和机构也在寻求Fatwa(教令)承认加密货币交易的合规性。PayJoin 作为其上的一种交易方式,如能被正确理解,其Sharia合规障碍应较小。因为相比之下,更具争议的是匿名性和洗钱风险,但那属于世俗法律范畴,下节会谈到。
避免强制继承冲突。 前文提及,在海湾国家按Sharia会冻结联名账户并强制按法定比例分配。这主要因为账户在法律上视为死者遗产的一部分。而若两人采用PayJoin等去中心化方式管理财富,则每人始终持有自己那部分私钥控制的币,不形成法律上的“联名遗产”。当一方过世,其私钥所控币是其遗产,另一方所控币不属于遗产范围,因此不会被教法程序冻结。当然,亡者的比特币仍需按其遗嘱或教法分配,但起码存活者立即可支配自己持有的部分,现金流不中断。这与联名账户情形截然不同。在实践中,夫妻可各自持有数字钱包,定期用PayJoin互相汇款、结算共同开支。万一一方不幸去世,另一方钱包里的余额就是属于Ta自己的,不经遗产处理即可继续使用;而逝者钱包若未留访问方式则资产可能锁死,反而避免了与法定继承人的纠纷(当然,从保护家人利益角度,应有妥善的密钥遗嘱安排,但可通过多签或托管来实现,而不需要传统联名账户)。总之,PayJoin提供了一种不经银行、绕开法域限制的合作模式,使双方的财产在法律上保持独立,却能在经济上实现协同。这对于跨国夫妇或团队,尤其处在不同财产制度(教法 vs 世俗法)下的组合,极具吸引力。
7. 合规性分析:伊斯兰金融原则与普通法要求的平衡
引入任何新实践方式,都必须评估其在各法域的合规性。针对 PayJoin,需要分别从伊斯兰金融教义和普通法/现代监管角度来审视,确保其同时满足双方关切,真正成为“跨法域中立、教法友好”的方案。
符合伊斯兰金融原则: 根据上述分析,PayJoin 本身没有违反 Riba、Gharar、Maysir 等禁忌,可被设计为符合 Shariah 的工具。然而,为进一步确保教法合规,可以考虑以下细节:
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合同形式与意图明确(Niyyah):伊斯兰交易强调各方意图正当、合同清晰。虽然 PayJoin 不需要书面合同,但双方可在私下有书面或口头协议,说明这是一种共同协作支付,不是借贷或投资关系,以免日后产生歧义。这类似于 Amanah 原则下的承诺:双方约定各自仅为支付目的贡献资金,不据此主张对方财产权。
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避免不义之财(Dhulm):教法禁止不公正的占有。如果 PayJoin 被恶意用来隐匿资助不法活动或侵占他人财产,显然不合规。这需要道德约束:FinTech开发者在推广PayJoin方案时,应嵌入使用指引,强调其用于正当目的(如家庭财务协作、隐私保护),不鼓励用于欺诈或洗钱。这与伊斯兰金融注重的社会责任原则吻合nasdaq.com。
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审慎与透明(Itqan & disclosure):在穆斯林社群中推广时,可以让受过教法培训的专业人士参与审查PayJoin流程,甚至发布教法意见书(Fatwa)声明其可接受性,并教育用户如何将其融入Halal理财生活。例如建议穆斯林家庭在使用PayJoin前,明确约定彼此的财产份额和用途,记录每笔协作交易的原因,以保持家庭内部的透明和信任(这有点类似于定期对账,在宗教上也是鼓励诚实对待财产往来的一部分)。
符合普通法和监管要求: 虽然 PayJoin 技术本身不违反合同和财产基本法理,但现实应用中还有一些合规问题需要考虑:
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反洗钱(AML)与身份识别(KYC):西方普通法体系下的金融监管要求对资金来源和交易对手尽职调查。PayJoin提高了链上匿名性,可能引起监管机构对其用于洗钱的担忧cointelegraph.comriver.com。为此,FinTech企业在实现PayJoin功能时,可加入自愿的透明机制:例如双方如果在受监管平台(交易所、支付处理器)进行PayJoin,可以在链下向平台报告交易对手的身份哈希,以满足监管审计需要(前提是双方同意,并且平台在受司法令时才揭示)。这样既不破坏链上隐私,又保留合规的选项。此外,开发者也应提示用户遵守所在地法规:如一次性大额PayJoin转账在某些国家可能需要申报,用户需自觉履行。
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合同与救济:Common Law 强调合同自由,但也要求有违约或欺诈时能提供司法救济。PayJoin 没有标准合同,如果一方未履行承诺(例如收款方承诺一起做PayJoin但反悔要求普通转账,或者付款方声称已付但实际未广播交易),法律上如何处理?对此建议是:当 PayJoin 用于商业场景时,仍应有基本合同约定。如果发生纠纷,一方可以提交协商的PSBT记录、通信记录等作为证据。由于Bitcoin交易有不可篡改的链上记录,反而容易举证实际支付了多少钱给谁。法律可能将其视为一种合伙或代理协议的履行:双方合意做一件事并完成了。如果一方中途毁约导致对方损失,可按普通契约法求偿。不过需要法院对这一技术有所了解。因此合规上,或许需要通过行业协会向监管和司法解释PayJoin的机制,使其被当作正当交易手段看待,而非神秘的洗钱工具。
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税务与报告:各国税法对加密交易的申报要求不同。PayJoin并未改变交易实质,只是隐私增强,但从税务上说,若涉及资产转移,同样要记录成本基础和收益。合规方案可以是:提供给用户一个工具,将自己参加的PayJoin交易标记并保存原始支付细节(付款额、找零额),以便报税时证明实际支出收入情况。这一点对企业采用PayJoin尤为重要,确保账务透明避免日后审计问题。
公平与共识: 普通法原则重视交易的公平合理和各方真实同意。PayJoin是双方自愿合作的结果,表面上满足共识原则。但我们也要考虑弱势保护:比如一方技术精通,一方小白用户,会否出现不公平?为了防范这一点,可以在用户界面上做警示:当有人请求与你进行PayJoin,你应该明白这对你意味着什么——一般来说收款人不会吃亏,因为多收一个找零输出,并不会损失价值;付款人也不应吃亏,只是多花一点手续费。但要防止有人利用不明真相的用户,让其参与PayJoin却在输出分配上作弊(理论上如果收款人恶意构造交易让付款人多付了钱且付款人未察觉签了名)。因此技术实现上也需做到公平:钱包软件在构建PayJoin时应自动检查付款金额正确、找零正确,防止篡改。这种保护符合普通法对公平的要求,也体现了伊斯兰金融中**避免Dhulm(不义)**的精神。
综上,PayJoin 作为一种新实践,要成功立足,需要双重合规:一方面在宗教伦理上证明其正当性,一方面在世俗法律上确保透明与守法。幸运的是,这两方面并不矛盾:PayJoin追求的是一种技术手段的优化,与伊斯兰和普通法原则并无本质冲突。通过适当的措施和教育,完全可以做到兼容。例如,在一个试点应用中(假设由一家兼具Sharia顾问和合规官的FinTech公司运营),穆斯林家庭用经Fatwa认可的比特币钱包进行PayJoin理财,同时该应用满足KYC/AML标准并提供报表工具。那么这一模式将真正体现“跨法域中立、教法友好”。它既让用户不受限于传统制度,又确保了道德与法律底线,为金融科技开发者打开一条服务全球用户的新道路。
结语
联名银行账户作为百年来方便多人共管财富的制度,一路发展伴随着各类法律和实践难题。在普通法系,其灵活性与风险并存,引发继承、债务、滥用等诸多纠纷;在伊斯兰法环境下,更面临继承冻结等制度性冲击。在全球化时代的跨境场景中,传统联名账户愈发显出局限,各种替代方案各擅胜场却难有万能药。PayJoin 技术的出现,为我们提供了一个全新的视角:也许不再需要“联名账户”这个法律产物,通过区块链的协作交易,完全可以实现类似目标且避开许多固有问题。本报告深入比较了联名账户制度与PayJoin在“共同控制”和“不可推导归属”上的异同,探讨了PayJoin 如何满足伊斯兰金融和普通法的合规要求。对于金融科技开发者而言,这意味着巨大的创新空间:未来的应用可以让两个人“各自持币,共同支付”,既保障各自权属,又实现合作效率。在设计此类系统时,我们应牢记历史教训,融合法律与教义的智慧,确保技术既推进了便利,也巩固了公平与信任——这正是联名账户理念在21世纪的重生。
参考文献:
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Birketts法律简报,“联名银行账户:谁拥有这些钱?”,2023年4月4日birketts.co.ukbirketts.co.uk。
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Nelson Mullins律师事务所博客,“理解联名账户的生存者权利”,2024年1月17日nelsonmullins.comnelsonmullins.com。
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Investopedia词条,“Joint Account联名账户:定义、运作、利弊”,更新于2025年5月9日investopedia.cominvestopedia.com。
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Payjoin官方文档,“为什么使用PayJoin - 隐私”,2025年payjoin.orgpayjoin.org。
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其他参考资料包含 PlasBit、Changelly 等对于比特币与伊斯兰金融兼容性的讨论changelly.comscitcentral.com。
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