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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-03 17:59:16Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.
Pregled sadržaja
- Šta uzrokuje Inflaciju?
- Da li nam je infacija potrebna?
- Kako se meri inflacija?
- Da li inflacija pokreće ekonomski rast?
- Da li inflacija pokreće ili umanjuje nejednakost bogatstva?
- Gde se danas javlja inflacija?
- Šta je deflacija?
- Kakav uticaj inflacija ima na društvo?
Inflacija može da bude uznemirujuća tema, jer uključuje amorfni koncept novca. Međutim, inflacija je zapravo jednostavna tema koja je napravljena da bude složena razdvajanjem novca i drugih dobara. U ovom članku razlažemo inflaciju i njene uzroke.
Najjednostavnija definicija inflacije je rast cena dobara i usluga. Kada cene rastu, to takođe znači da vrednost jedinice novca – poput dolara – opada. Uzmimo primer McDonald’s hamburgera: 1955. ovaj skromni hamburger se prodavao za samo 15 centi. U 2018. godini se prodavao za 1,09 USD. U 2021. godini prodaje se za 2,49 USD – ogroman rast cene od 1650%.
To znači da je dolar izgubio dosta svoje vrednosti. 1955. godine mogli ste da kupite gotovo 7 hamburgera za novčanicu od jednog dolara. 2021. godine taj dolar vam ne bi kupio ni jedan hamburger. Zašto se čini da cene uvek rastu tokom vremena? I šta možete da učinite povodom toga? Ovaj članak ima za cilj da odgovori na ta pitanja.
Ekonomisti pokušavaju da sumiraju rast cena mnogih dobara i usluga kao jedan prosečan broj. Ovaj broj predstavlja promenu ukupnih troškova u godišnjim troškovima prosečnog potrošača, kao što su stanarina, hrana i gorivo.
U Sjedinjenim Državama ovaj broj je poznat kao Indeks Potrošačkih Cena, eng. Consumer Price Index (CPI). Kada se CPI poveća tokom određenog vremenskog perioda, ekonomisti kažu da imamo inflaciju. Kada se smanji, to se naziva deflacija.
Šta uzrokuje Inflaciju?
Mnogi izvori kažu da je stalna inflacija koju danas doživljavamo ili uzrokovana povećanjem potražnje (eng. demand-pull) ili smanjenjem ponude usled povećanih proizvodnih troškova (eng. cost-push).
Ovi razlozi nisu tačni – hajde da pogledamo zašto.
Da bismo razumeli pravi razlog inflacije, moramo da sagledamo dve vrste inflacije:
- Inflacija Cena: Cene vremenom rastu.
- Monetarna Inflacija: Količina valute u opticaju raste sa vremenom.
Prva, inflacija cena, retko se javlja tokom dužih perioda (decenije, vekovi) zbog povećane potražnje ili povećanih troškova. Zašto? Tržišta teže da se uravnoteže. Tokom istorije smo više puta videli da povećana potražnja za dobrom povećava njegovu cenu, što podstiče proizvođače da proizvode više tog dobra. Kada se ponuda poveća, cene se smanjuju.
Ovaj ciklus može da potraje nekoliko godina, i javlja se kod gotovo svake robe i „konačnog dobra“ (automobili, televizori, hrana itd.) na Zemlji. Izuzetak su retki metali poput zlata i srebra. Dokazi o tome su prikazani u nastavku.
Kada se poveća trošak za proizvodnju dobra, cena tog dobra često raste da bi pokrila te troškove. Ovaj rast cene dovodi do toga da potrošači tog dobra traže alternativu ili smanjuju potrošnju tog dobra, što dovodi do pada cena na prethodni nivo.
Na donja dva grafikona javlja se inflacija cena!
Tržište se prirodno uravnotežava, a cene se smanjuju ili povećanjem ponude ili smanjenjem potražnje.
Da li imamo dokaze da tržišta vremenom uravnotežuju ponudu i potražnju?
Podaci o cenama robe tokom vremena mogu nam dati bolje razumevanje da li tržišta zaista efikasno uravnotežuju ponudu i potražnju. Međutim, cene ne možemo da posmatramo u smislu nacionalnih valuta, jer naše vlade uvek štampaju više svojih nacionalnih valuta.
Oni sprovode monetarnu inflaciju, koja može da izazove inflaciju cena. Posmatranje tržišnih cena u smislu nacionalnih valuta, poput američkog dolara, je poput merenja visine lenjirom koji se neprestano smanjuje. Vaša visina u broju biće sve veća i veća, ali stvarna visina se ne menja.
Mi možemo da znamo da li tržišta uravnotežuju ponudu i potražnju gledajući cene dobara u smislu monetarnog dobra koje ima vrlo konzistentnu ponudu tokom vremena.
Vremenom se pokazalo da zlato ima najmanju monetarnu inflaciju od svih postojećih valuta i dobara. To čini zlato odličnim ‘lenjirom’ za merenje da li tržišta vremenom uravnotežuju ponudu i potražnju. Da bismo bolje razumeli inflaciju cena tokom vremena, pitaćemo koliko unci zlata nešto košta tokom vremena.
Cene u zlatu pokazuju nam da se tržišta vremenom uravnotežuju
Ako cene dobara posmatramo u obliku zlata, vidimo da cene robe prate srednje tačke tokom dužih vremenskih perioda.
Nafta, na primer, je vrlo nestabilna, ali ima tendenciju da se kreće oko 2,5 grama zlata po barelu.
WTI Sirova Nafta u gramima Zlata po Barelu
Cena nafte je promenljiva, ali tokom decenija ima tendenciju da se kreće po strani.
Cene kuća tokom proteklih 10 godina takođe su prilično stabilne, iako imamo fiksnu količinu zemlje na planeti. Vidimo da cene kuća u pogledu zlata imaju tendenciju da variraju oko indeksne cene od oko 80, prikazane na grafikonu.
Shiller-ov US indeks cena kuća u USD i zlatu
Ovaj grafikon je na logaritamskoj skali, što nam omogućava da vizualizujemo zapanjujuća povećanja u zelenoj liniji, koja predstavlja domove u dolarima.
Grafički izražene u američkim dolarima, cene ovih dobara uvek rastu – baš kao i McDonald’s hamburger. Da su povećana potražnja ili povećani troškovi odgovorni za konstantnu inflaciju cena, takođe bismo videli kako se cena ove robe povećava u smislu zlata. Podaci iznad pokazuju da su cene konstantne.
Moraju da postoje i drugi razlozi za upornu inflaciju cena koju smo videli u dolarskim iznosima tokom proteklog veka.
Evo šta znamo o tome šta dugoročno utiče na cene, kao u periodu od 1955. do 2018. godine:
- Rast produktivnosti uzrokovan inovacijama, što dovodi do pada cena tokom vremena
- Monetarna inflacija – štampanje velikih količina valute – koja uzrokuje porast cena denominovanih u toj valuti tokom vremena
Znamo da cene izražene u dolarima, eurima i ostalim valutama neprestano rastu. Ako ne mislimo da naša produktivnost kao društva ide unazad, postoji samo jedan jednostavan razlog za inflaciju cena: štampanje većih količina valute, iliti monetarna inflacija.
Naše vlade i banke su zapravo prilično iskrene u pogledu zapanjujućih količina valute koje štampaju. Oni nam svakodnevno govore da oni uzrokuju monetarnu inflaciju.
Da li nam je infacija potrebna?
Bez uporne monetarne inflacije (koja uzrokuje inflaciju cena), naša celokupna savremena ekonomija bi se srušila.
Dozvolite da vam objasnim. Sledeći odeljak može da bude šokantan, i ohrabrujem vas da i sami istražite ukoliko mislite da nisam u pravu.
Kada centralne banke i komercijalne banke daju zajmove, one stvaraju novu valutu.
Kada centralne banke daju zajmove vladama “kupujući državni dug”, one stvaraju novu valutu kada to urade. To omogućava vladama da vode budžetski deficit trošeći više nego što uzimaju od poreza. U tom procesu državni dug se nagomilava.
Komercijalne banke stvaraju novu valutu kada daju zajmove fizičkim licima i preduzećima. Jedino ograničenje koliko novog novca mogu da stvore je zakonski zahtev da banka ima na raspolaganju određeni procenat od ukupnog iznosa novca koji su ljudi deponovali. Zbog toga je naš bankarski sistem poznat kao delimična rezerva – banke pri ruci moraju da imaju samo deo vašeg novca.
Osnovni Bankarski Ciklus Frakcionih Rezervi
Stvaranje valute je neophodno da bi održalo sistem u životu
Budući da se svi zajmovi uglavnom sastoje od novostvorene valute, mora se stvoriti još više valute da bi se taj dug otplatio. A evo i zašto:
Recimo da su prošle godine sve svetske kreditne aktivnosti dovele do stvaranja 100 milijardi dolara. Svih tih 100 milijardi dolara je novostvoreno, i one se duguju bankama sa nekom dodatnom vrednošću za kamate. Odakle dolazi ova dodatna valuta za plaćanje kamata? Budući da ovde govorimo o celokupnoj svetskoj ekonomiji, to plaćanje kamata mora da dodje iz nove količine novostvorene valute.
Sve jedinice današnjih valuta nastale su pozajmljivanjem, a isplata kamate na te zajmove znači da moramo stalno da stvaramo još više nove valute. To dovodi do beskrajne monetarne inflacije. Kada nova valuta cirkuliše kroz ekonomiju, to dovodi do porasta cena: inflacije cena.
Previše monetarne inflacije može dovesti do hiperinflacije cena. U Venecueli je krajem 2018. godine piletina koštala preko 14 miliona Bolivara. Izvor: NBC News
Monetarni sistem se raspada ako se ova monetarna inflacija zaustavi, jer bi to značilo da veliki broj onih koji su uzeli zajam širom sveta ne bi mogao da vrati novac koji su pozajmili – oni ne bi izmirili svoje dugove.
Banke ili zajmodavci koji drže dug tada bi imali bezvrednu imovinu. Budući da vrednost duga podupire vrednost valute, vrednost valute bi strmoglavo padala zajedno sa dugom.
Kada ljudi izgube poverenje u ’tradicionalnu’ valutu, ona brzo postane bezvredna. To se dogodilo u Nemačkoj nakon Prvog svetskog rata, u Peruu devedesetih, Jugoslaviji 1994. ,Zimbabveu, Venecueli i sa još bezbroj drugih tradicionalnih valuta. Da bi odložile ovaj neizbežni ishod dokle god mogu, centralne banke jačaju poverenje u sistem nastavljajući da štampaju valutu stabilnim kursom.
Ovo osigurava da većina ljudi koju su uzeli zajam ima valutu za otplatu svojih kredita. Upravo to se dešava kada vlada izvrši „spas“ kao 2008. ili 2020. – oni osiguravaju da svi imaju dovoljno novca za plaćanje dugova, tako da laž može da se nastavi.
Inflacija ne dolazi iz povećanja potražnje
Sa više valute u opticaju, monetarna inflacija može da izgleda kao povećanje potražnje. Međutim, ekonomisti koji kažu da povećana potražnja pokreće stabilnu inflaciju tokom decenija propuštaju suptilnu poentu: iako monetarna inflacija može da prouzrokuje veću potrošnju, to nije zato što su ljudi zaista bogatiji, već zato što veruju da su bogatiji.
Kada se puno novca ubrizga u ekonomiju, cene jednostavno rastu jer više valute pokriva istu količinu robe. Rast cena znači pad vrednosti valute, tako da nema realnog povećanja stvarnog bogatstva, iako ljudi možda “troše više” u nominalnom iznosu valute.
Uzmimo ovaj primer: vi mesečno zarađujete 1.500 EUR, i prema svom trenutnom načinu života vi mesečno trošite oko 1.500 EUR. Dolazi vlada i počinje da vam daje dodatnih 500 EUR svakog meseca – vi se osećate poprilično dobro, zar ne? Sada možete da izlazite češće u restoran.
Međutim, vlada daje svima po 500 EUR mesečno, i svi ostali takođe troše taj novac. Ekonomista u vladinoj kancelariji, vidi da sada svi troše tih dodatnih 500 EUR mesečno i zaključuje da je vlada ‘stimulisala ekonomiju’.
Ipak, kako sav taj dodatni novac kruži ekonomijom, cene prirodno rastu. Sada vam je potrebno 2.000 EUR da biste održali svoj trenutni način života.
Da li si nešto bogatiji?
Vi možda imate više eura na vašem bankovnom računu, ali svaki od njih vam kupuje manje. Sada trošite 2.000 EUR mesečno da biste živeli životnim stilom koji vas je nekada koštao samo 1.500 EUR mesečno.
Ovo je ono što monetarna inflacija radi, i zašto je toliko pametnih ekonomista zavarano da misle da povećana potražnja, radije nego štampanje novca, pokreće trajnu inflaciju cena.
Da li smo uvek imali inflaciju?
Stalna inflacija cena relativno je nedavna pojava u modernim ekonomijama i započela je u vreme kada su Sjedinjene Države počele da konstantno štampaju valutu. Ako bi promene ponude i potražnje zaista dugoročno uzrokovale inflaciju cena, videli bismo inflaciju cena tokom istorije. Podaci govore drugačiju priču.
Indeks potrošačkih cena, koji se povećava kada imamo inflaciju cena, bio je prilično konstantan pre početka našeg trenutnog tradicionalnog ’fiat’ monetarnog sistema.
Taj sistem je započeo Bretton Woods-ovim sporazumom iz 1945. godine, a ubrzao se kada je Nixon 1971. okončao svetski zlatni standard.
Indeks potrošačkih cena, Sjedinjene Države, 1775-2012
Kako se meri inflacija?
Inflacija cena se često prikazuje kao promena indeksa potrošačkih cena (CPI). CPI je prosek cena raznih dobara koje ljudi kupuju u svakodnevnom životu: hrane, goriva, stanovanja itd. U Sjedinjenim Državama, vladin odsek pod nazivom Biro za statistiku rada (BLS) meri promene cena. To rade tako što posećuju maloprodajne radnje, beleže cene, računaju prosek i izveštavaju godišnju inflaciju kao promenu u odnosu na prošlu godinu.
Stopa inflacije koja se izveštava, je važna svima jer se koristi za određivanje povećanja troškova života i socijalnih davanja, poput plaćanja socijalnog osiguranja. Kada se CPI prilagodi naniže, isplate zarada i naknada su manje nego što bi trebalo da budu.
Efekti su se vremenom sjedinili: osoba koja u svojoj prvoj godini rada zaradi 40.000 USD zarađivaće samo 52.000 USD u svojoj desetoj godini staža, sa povećanim troškovima života od 3% da bi se plata podudarala sa inflacijom. Ako bi vlada umesto toga prijavila inflaciju od 6%, ta osoba bi u svojoj desetoj godini zarađivala 67.500 USD – tj. oko 30% više. Način na koji izračunavamo i prijavljujemo inflaciju ima ogroman uticaj na zaradu većine zaposlenih i građana.
Ovo je inflacija (procentualna promena u CPI) izmerena u poslednjih 10 godina u Sjedinjenim Državama:
Prvobitno je BLS jednostavno beležio cenu korpe robe široke potrošnje svake godine. Međutim, istraživanje Boskinove Komisije 1996. godine dovelo je do novih alata koji Birou za statistiku rada omogućavaju prilagođavanje cena u CPI. Dva najvažnija alata su geometrijsko ponderisanje i hedonika.
Geometrijsko Ponderisanje
Geometrijsko ponderisanje znači da kupovne navike sada mogu da utiču na to koliko promena cene pojedinog dobra utiče na CPI. Ako potrošači kupe manje robe, ona ima manju težinu kada se ubaci u presek indeksa potrošačkih cena. Boskinova Komisija je tvrdila da bi ova promena pomogla da se promene sklonosti potrošača. Međutim, ne postoji način da se utvrdi da li ljudi menjaju svoje kupovne navike jer zapravo žele da kupuju različite stvari. Vrlo je moguće da ljudi kupuju manje određenog dobra jer ono raste u ceni. Stoga geometrijsko ponderisanje uzrokuje da roba sa velikim rastom cena ima manje uticaja na CPI, što dovodi do niže prijavljene inflacije.
Hedonika
Hedonika omogućava Birou za statistiku rada da menja cenu dobra na osnovu njegovog opaženog povećanja ‘korisnosti’ tokom vremena. Evo primera: recimo da se televizor sa rezolucijom od 720p 2009. godine prodavao za 200 USD. U 2010. godini isti model televizora sada ima rezoluciju od 1080p i prodaje se po istoj ceni: 200 USD. Međutim, pošto se tehnologija u televizoru poboljšala, zaposleni u Birou za statistiku rada mogu da izmisle ‘korisni’ broj i pomoću njega oduzmu deo vrednosti od cene televizora. Kao rezultat, BLS može da kaže da TV košta 180 USD u 2010. godini – iako je njegova cena 200 USD. Ovo dovodi do pada prijavljene inflacije.
Oba ova prilagođavanja smanjuju prijavljenu stopu inflacije, što smanjuje povećanje troškova života i isplate naknada za socijalno osiguranje. Koliko ta prilagođavanja inflacije pogađaju radničku klasu i penzionere? Neke procene, poput procena ekonomiste John Williams-a, sa koledža u Darmouthu, stavljaju stvarnu inflaciju u SAD na u proseku 3% – 6% više nego što je izveštavano od strane Bira za statistiku rada. To bi inflaciju u 2020 dovelo do 5% – 8%, umesto na prijavljenih 2%.
U 2021. godini prijavljena inflacija je 5.4%, u prvom kvartalu.
Da li inflacija pokreće ekonomski rast?
Mnogi ljudi veruju da stabilna inflacija pokreće ekonomski rast podstičući investicije i potrošnju umesto štednje. Međutim, osnovni ekonomski podaci pobijaju ovu uobičajenu tvrdnju.
Ako za primer uzmemo Sjedinjene Države, nacija je imala samo kratke periode inflacije od 1775. do oko 1950. godine, kao što pokazuje indeks potrošačkih cena koji je ostao nepromenjen. Inflacija dobija zamah tek nakon 1971. godine, pa bi bilo za očekivati da će i stopa rasta bruto domaćeg proizvoda (BDP) Sjedinjenih Država porasti nakon 1971. godine.
Indeks potrošačkih cena, Sjedinjene Države, 1775-2012
Međutim, vidimo da se bruto domaći proizvod (BDP) po stanovniku u Sjedinjenim Državama, uobičajena mera ekonomske snage, neprekidno povećavao od 1820. godine do danas po stopi od oko 1,85% godišnje. Ne postoji porast oko 1971. godine, uprkos rastućoj inflaciji koja je započela u to vreme.
Ovo je logaritamski grafikon, koji nam omogućava da bolje vizualizujemo rast tokom vremena: što više logaritamski grafikon podseća na pravu liniju, to je stopa promene konzistentnija. Za više detalja, ovde pogledajte naslov: Rast na tehnološkoj granici i rast dostizanja.
To pokazuje da inflacija ne pokreće ekonomski rast.
Nažalost, imamo dokaze da inflacija ima i druge neželjene posledice, poput nejednakosti bogatstva. Koncentracija bogatstva u top 1%, počela je da raste krajem 1970-ih, nekoliko godina nakon što su Sjedinjene Države skinule svet sa zlatnog standarda i pretvorile se u monetarni sistem zasnovan na dugovima koji zahteva monetarnu inflaciju, a time i inflaciju cena, da bi preživeo.
Za potpunu istoriju tranzicije novca sa robnog sistema na dužni sistem, pročitajte naš članak o novcu.
Da li inflacija pokreće ili umanjuje nejednakost bogatstva?
Veza između inflacije i nejednakosti bogatstva postaje jasna kada pogledamo kako novostvorena valuta ulazi u ekonomiju. Vlade, komercijalne banke, velike korporacije i bogati često koriste kredite da bi iskoristili prednosti svojih moći. Kada podignu kredite, oni novonastalu valutu dobijaju ranije od svih ostalih. Oni imaju koristi od inflacije trošenjem nove valute pre nego što cene počnu da rastu kao rezultat te nove valute koja kruži u ekonomiji. Veliki i bogati subjekti često mogu da dobiju kredite po nižim troškovima od prosečnog građanina ili malog preduzeća. To znači da mogu da povećaju svoje poslovanje i bogatstvo brže od manjih firmi.
Bogati mogu da dobiju jeftine zajmove, zahvaljujući Federalnim Rezervama koje zadržavaju niske kamatne stope. To im omogućava da koriste ovo prednost za ostvarivanje ogromne dobiti.
Inflacija pogadja one koji rade za platu i ne mogu da ulože veći deo svog prihoda. Zarade se polako menjaju, ponekad se uskladjuju samo jednom godišnje. Kao rezultat, cene osnovnih dobara i usluga često rastu mnogo pre nego što zarade porastu. Cena potrošačke korpe takođe se smanjuje sa manipulacijama indeksom potrošačkih cena (CPI) koji skriva rast inflacije.
Gde se danas javlja inflacija?
Rekordno visoka inflacija javlja se u zemljama kao što su Venecuela, Zimbabve, Turska, Iran, Kuba, Južna Afrika i Argentina. To dovodi do sloma trgovine i političke nestabilnosti.
Just incase no one knows what Durban looks like pic.twitter.com/x899TIlbkI
— Mohamed Yusuf (@_MohamedYusuf) July 13, 2021U razvijenom svetu vlade izveštavaju o niskoj inflaciji cena. Međutim, globalni bankarski sistem stvara nove valute u tonama – u toku je velika monetarna inflacija. Centralne banke dovode do sve većeg stvaranja valuta snižavanjem kamatnih stopa. To dovodi do toga da korporacije i pojedinci mogu da uzimaju jeftinije kredite, a svaki kredit znači stvaranje nove valute. Od 2008. godine, gotovo sve glavne centralne banke postavile su kamatne stope blizu nule.
Mnoge centralne banke takođe su pozajmljivale ogromne iznose vladama i bankama koje su propale nakon finansijske krize 2008. godine. Za samo nekoliko meseci, ovo je udvostručilo (ponekad utrostručilo ili učetvorostručilo) novčanu masu mnogih nacija. Oni su ovo nazvali „kvantitativno ublažavanje“.
Ako banke koriste toliku monetarnu inflaciju, zašto onda mi ne vidimo inflaciju cena?
Jednostavno rečeno, većina nove valute nije dospela u ruke običnih ljudi. Kada obični ljudi budu mogli da potroše novoštampanu valutu na svoje svakodnevne potrebe, tada ćemo videti rast CPI i inflacije.
Danas većina valuta ulazi u svet putem bankarskih zajmova, pa banke igraju veliku ulogu u tome gde se dešava inflacija. Banke prvenstveno pozajmljuju vrlo ‘sigurnim’ klijentima poput bogatih pojedinaca, vlada i velikih korporacija. Ovi subjekti kupuju luksuznu robu, umetnička dela, finansijsku imovinu i državne obveznice.
Cene ovih vrsta imovine nisu uključene u CPI, tako da je prijavljena inflacija niska. Kao rezultat, povećanje plata i isplate socijalnog osiguranja su takođe na niskom nivou.
Bogati su uživali u periodu od 2008. do 2021. godine, kada je njihova imovina upumpavana sa velikom količinom novog novca proizvedenog od bankarskih kredita!
Šta se dešava kada nova valuta dodje u ruke običnih ljudi?
Nažalost, jednog dana će sva ova nova valuta da uđe u normalnu ekonomiju i time će se povećati cene svakodnevne robe. To je poćelo da se dešava 2021. godine kao rezultat stimulativnih programa COVID-19 u Sjedinjenim Državama, koji su ljudima distribuirali trilione dolara. Iako je ovo zasigurno poželjnije od spašavanja korporacija, svaka vrsta spašavanja koja uključuje štampanje novca ima gadne dugoročne efekte.
Ovo što sada doživljavamo dogodilo se u Nemačkoj tokom i posle Prvog svetskog rata. Cene u Nemačkoj su zapravo pale tokom Prvog svetskog rata uprkos velikom stvaranju valute od strane Nemačke centralne banke. Nisko poverenje u ekonomiju sprečavalo je nemački narod da troši novac. Međutim, kad se rat završio i kada su ljudi ponovo počeli da ga troše, cene su vrlo naglo skočile i valuta je postala bezvredna. To bi moglo da se dogodi 2020-ih u Sjedinjenim Državama, sa obzirom na predložene programe podsticaja.
Politike poput Univerzalnog Osnovnog Dohotka, eng. Universal Basic Income (UBI), koje izgledaju pogodne za njihova obećanja da će “spasiti ljude”, takođe mogu da pokrenu hiperinflaciju. Obični ljudi bi se osećali imućnije, trošili bi svoju novoštampanu valutu i doveli do brzog rasta cena. Ovo bi u suštini poništilo pozitivan uticaj građana koji dobijaju “besplatan novac” svakog meseca.
Pa kako onda vi možete da zaštitite svoju ušteđevinu od inflacije? Kupujte imovinu koja je retka, potcenjena i koju vlade teško mogu da prigrabe. Ova imovina su plemeniti metali poput zlata, i Bitcoin.
Šta je deflacija?
Deflacija znači pad cena tokom vremena. Mnogi ekonomisti kažu da će ovo dovesti do toga da ljudi gomilaju valutu i da će dovesti do ekonomskog kolapsa, jer ljudi prestaju da kupuju robu i ulažu u preduzeća. To jednostavno nije tačno, jer ljudi uvek imaju potrebe i želje zbog kojih kupuju odredjenu robu. Stalni pad cena tokom vremena jednostavno bi promenio psihologiju potrošačke kulture u kojoj živimo.
Potrošačka kultura potiče od inflacije
Kako je to istina? Pogledajmo na sledećem primeru. Recimo da želite novi auto i da imate dovoljno novca da ga kupite. Poznato je da u našem svetu zbog stalne inflacije vaš novac vremenom postaje sve manje i manje vredan. U paralelnom svemiru u kojem se javlja stalna deflacija, vaš novac vremenom postaje sve vredniji.
- Uz konstantnu inflaciju, auto će koštati nešto više sledeće godine, i nešto više naredne godine. Niste sigurni gde da uložite novac da biste sa vremenom sigurno očuvali njegovu kupovnu moć. Ako niste sigurni da li ćete da kupite auto, ima više finansijskog smisla da ga kupite odmah, da biste dobili najbolju ponudu.
- Uz konstantnu deflaciju, auto će koštati nešto manje sledeće, i još manje naredne godine. Ako samo čuvate vaš novac, sledeće godine ćete dobiti bolju ponudu za auto. Ako niste sigurni da li ćete da kupite auto, ima više finansijskog smisla da sačekate malo duže da biste dobili bolju ponudu.
Sada razmislite o ta dva scenarija, pomnožena bilionima ljudi i proizvoda. Uz konstantnu inflaciju, svako ima malo više razloga da kupuje stvari upravo sada. Uz konstantnu deflaciju, svi sada imaju malo manje razloga da kupuju. Upravo na taj način inflacija je u osnovi naše materijalističke, potrošačke kulture. Deflacija bi mogla da bude lek.
Inflacija uzrokuje loše investicije
Vaš novac godišnje gubi “2%” svoje vrednosti zbog inflacije. Sada, recimo da vas Stefan pita da investirate u njegov Fast food. Nakon uvida u brojeve, verujete da ćete ovom investicijom izgubiti 1% od vrednosti svog novca. Gubitak od 1% u Stefanovom poslu bolji je od gubitka od 2% zbog inflacije, pa se vi odlučujete da uložite. Ovo je loša investicija, eng. malinvestment – investirajući vi ćete da izgubite deo vrednosti. Međutim, čuvanje valute je još gore, zato ulažete.
Loša investicija: isto kao bacanje novca u smeće.
Mnogi investitori, poput penzijskih fondova, danas su prisiljeni da investiraju u neprofitabilne biznise zbog investicionih mandata i same veličine njihove ‘imovine pod upravljanjem’.
Pristalice konstantno niske inflacije veruju da bi deflacija smanjila investicije. Međutim, to bi samo smanjilo ulaganje u preduzeća sa negativnim očekivanim prinosom poput Stefanovog Fast food-a. Na primer, recimo da je deflacija u proseku oko 2% godišnje. Na ovom tržištu investitori bi jednostavno prestali da ulažu u projekte za koje misle da će im zaraditi manje od 2% godišnjeg povrata ulaganja.
Neznatno deflaciona valuta obeshrabriće ulaganja u lažna i loša preduzeća i podstaći ulaganje u solidna preduzeća koja svetu dodaju vrednost.
Kakav uticaj inflacija ima na društvo?
Inflacija pokreće povećanu potrošnju, smanjenu štednju i povećani dug. Sve ove stvari dovode do toga da većina ljudi mora da radi više sati i duže u starosti. Iako inflacija kažnjava one koji rade za platu, ona obogaćuje vlasnike bilo koje imovine koja dobija na ceni kada nova valuta uđe u sistem. Ova imovina uključuje akcije, umetnička dela, nekretnine i drugu imovinu koju bogataši koriste za čuvanje svog bogatstva.
Vremenom ljudi i firme izmišljaju nove načine za jeftinije stvaranje dobara i usluga višeg kvaliteta. Ovo je poznato kao ‘rast produktivnosti’ i trebalo bi da uzrokuje da cene tokom vremena konstantno padaju, a ne da rastu. Samo konstantno stvaranje valute koje je neophodno zbog monetarnog sistema zasnovanog na dugu naše vlade uzrokuje stalnu inflaciju i njene loše efekte.
Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim pogled u ekonomiju i na to kako ona utiče na njihov život.
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-03 17:50:17Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.
Pregled sadržaja
- Kako Cantillonov Efekat Funkcioniše
- Kako Bitcoin Rešava Nejednakost iz Cantillonovog Efekta
- Uloga Vlade u Cantillonovom Efektu
- Zaštitite Sebe od Cantillonovog Efekta
- Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?
Tradicionalne valute imaju Cantillonov Efekat, dok Bitcoin ima ‘Nakamotov Efekat’ – termin nazvan po anonimnom tvorcu Bitcoin-a, Satoshi Nakamoto-u.
Pitanje o tome zašto nam je potreban Bitcoin danas je postalo veoma uobičajeno, ali odgovori obično ostavljaju većinu ljudi zbunjenim i sa izjavama da je on, ili Ponzijeva šema ili novac za kriminalce. Ovaj zaključak nije pravičan prema načinu na koji bi Bitcoin mogao da transformiše sistemsku nepravednost i korupciju koja je usadjena u naš trenutni monetarni sistem. Jedna od ovih nejednakosti u našem današnjem sistemu rezultat je Cantillonovog Efekta, davno zaboravljene klasične teorije o tome kako raspodela novca utiče na bogatstvo pojedinca.
Cantillonov Efekat opisuje kako stvaranje novog novca donosi korist onima koji prvi dobiju novac, a na štetu onih koji su najudaljeniji od stvaranja novog novca. U današnjem monetarnom sistemu banke i korporacije su najbliže novom novcu dok je srednja klasa najudaljenija. Bitcoin to ispravlja, davanjem novih bitcoin-a samo „rudarima“ koji osiguravaju protokol – mnogo pravednija distribucija.
Cantillonov Efekat predstavlja način na koji se naplaćuje dodatni porez svima koji rade za „nepromenjenu“ platu ili drže prvenstveno dolare ili eure kao deo svog bogatstva. Ovaj porez prenosi vrednost onima koji ulažu u finansijsku imovinu ili su preferirani dobavljači vlade. Bitcoin odvaja stvaranje novog novca od politike, čineći ovu situaciju mnogo poštenijom.
Kako Cantillonov Efekat Funkcioniše
Kada se poveća ponuda neke vrste novca, ima smisla da taj novi novac treba da ode u nečije ruke – ali čije? Da li bi trebao da pada kao kiša sa neba, da ga dobije neko na lutriji, ili ga predati posebnim interesnim grupama?
U našem savremenom monetarnom sistemu, ovaj novac nije uvek zajam za primaoce, tako da nekad ne trebaju da ga vrate.
Zabluda inflacije pomalo liči na MC Escher vodopad – dobro funkcioniše na papiru, ali ne govori skoro ništa korisno o tome kako stvarni svet funkcioniše.
Međutim, ova analiza zanemaruje to kako funkcionišu tržišta. Tamo gde novi novac ide prvo i način na koji se širi kroz ekonomiju, ima veliki uticaj na stvarno bogatstvo ljudi. Zašto? Kada se poveća novčana masa, cene se ne povećavaju odmah kao odraz ove činjenice. Umesto toga, povećavaju se polako, kako tržišta reaguju na novu ukupnu ponudu novca.
Prvi entiteti i ljudi koji prime novostvoreni novac mogu da ga potroše pre nego što je tržište reagovalo na bilo koji novi novac u sistemu prilagođavanjem cena. Kada oni kupuju stvari, dobijaju ih po niskim cenama jer cene još uvek ne podržavaju činjenicu da ima više novca u opticaju.
Jednom kada se novi novc nekoliko puta okrene, cene počinju da rastu, jer se više novčanih jedinica troši na isti broj dobara i usluga. Jedna od ‘cena’ u ekonomiji je plata ili zarada – i ova cena će da poraste, baš kao i sve druge. Međutim, ova cena raste sporije, kao rezultat ulaska novog novca u sistem, nego što je recimo, cena namirnica.
Kao rezultat ove neusklađenosti u vremenu porasta cena, oni koji primaju platu, tj. zaradu moraju da plaćaju više za svoje dnevne potrebe (poput namirnica), dok neko vreme primaju istu platu. Plate se prilagođavaju sporije od cena hrane. To dovodi do pada kupovne moći ljudi koji rade za platu..
Sve ovo proističe iz toga kako novi novac ulazi u sistem. Kada bi novi novac ušao u sistem samo putem zajmova direktno od centralne banke na plate ljudi, ti ljudi bi mogli da ga potroše pre nego što cene porastu, i samim tim bilo bi im bolje.
Na to kako raspodela novca utiče na bogatstvo, ukazao je Richard Cantillon u 18. veku, koji je gledao kako se ova dinamika odvija u Engleskoj kada je vlada štampala novac u njegovo vreme.
Izvrstan momak, g. Cantillon
Kako Bitcoin Rešava Nejednakost iz Cantillonovog Efekta
Da bismo razumeli kako Bitcoin rešava nejednakost, moramo da uporedimo kako se tradicionalne valute poput dolara ili eura distribuiraju u današnje vreme u odnosu na to kako se distribuiraju novi bitcoini.
Gotovo sva tradicionalna valuta koja je stvorena do današnjeg dana, prvo je distribuirana bankama i vladama. To je zato što su glavne komercijalne banke, poput JP Morgan i Citi, zauzvrat podržane od centralnih banaka poput Federalnih rezervi. Centralne banke poseduju ‘prese za štampanje’ – što znači da u svet mogu da ‘odštampaju’ (ili dodaju digitalno) neograničenu količinu svojih tradicionalnih valuta. Takođe su postavili pravila za komercijalne banke da ih podstaknu da pozajmljuju više ili manje dolara, što proširuje i ugovara ukupnu novčanu masu.
Budući da banke i vlade prve dobijaju novi novac, one odlučuju ko je drugi po redu koji može da iskoristi pogodnosti Cantillonovog Efekta. Tu na scenu dolaze lobisti, kao i moć koju donose njihove dobre konekcije sa finansijskom elitom. Lobisti osiguravaju da njihovi interesi imaju koristi od Cantillonovog Efekta, a veoma bogati, kao i korporacije, mogu da dobiju kredite od banaka po isplativim niskim kamatnim stopama.
Stvari mogu da se prilično zabrljaju kada vlada uskoči da preuzme “kontrolu” nad potrošnjom štampanog novca. Izvor: OpenDemocracy
Bitcoin-ov sistem eliminiše moć lobista i prednosti poznavanja pravog bankara, i stavlja ljude na mnogo ravnopravnije temelje. U Bitcoin-u, svaki ‘rudar’ na mreži ima jednake šanse da zaradi nagradu za novostvorene bitcoin-e na svakih 10 minuta. Svako može da postane rudar, jednostavnim kupovanjem hardvera i njegovim uključivanjem u utičnicu – daleko manje mukotrpan posao od lobiranja kod izabranih predstavnika da bi vam dodelili ugovor sa vladom. Rudari troše puno novca na električnu energiju i opremu da bi se takmičili za nagradu, a Bitcoin sistemu pružaju preko potrebnu uslugu: bezbednost. Bez rudara, Bitcoin-ov sistem ne bi funkcionisao.
Rudarenje bitcoin-a zahteva računar i struju – to je to.
U sistemu američkog dolara vidimo da političke veze proističu iz Cantillonovog Efekta. U Bitcoin sistemu vidimo da se pružaoci usluga (rudari) plaćaju za svoje usluge novostvorenim bitcoin-ima.
Naravno, ishodi Cantillonovog Efekta bi mogli da se promene tako što će političari da promene način na koji novi novac ulazi u sistem. Međutim, ovo ne rešava osnovni problem: neko drugi ima korist na tuđi račun.
Bitcoin sistem je daleko pravedniji jer koristi Cantillonov Efekat da bi uredno nagradio one koji pružaju korisnu uslugu za sve ostale: obezbeđivanje Bitcoin mreže.
Zamislite to ovako: u dolarskom sistemu, neka osoba šarmira političare ili bankare na pravim pozicijama da bi dobila povlašćen tretman na račun svih ostalih. U Bitcoin sistemu svi plaćaju po malo, da bi zaštitili svoje bankovne račune od krađe.
Uloga Vlade u Cantillonovom Efektu
Federalne vlade širom sveta su jedne od najvećih korisnika Cantillonovog Efekta, jer su u mogućnosti da vrlo lako dobiju zajmove od centralne banke svoje države. U SAD se to radi kada američko Ministarstvo finansija proda državne obveznice banci Federalnih rezervi. Federalne rezerve daju Ministarstvu finansija gomilu novoštampanog novca, a Ministarstvo finansija da Fed-u papir na kojem piše „mi ćemo vam isplatiti dug u to i to vreme sa određenom kamatom“. Možda je malo složenije od ovoga, ali to opisuje suštinu toga.
Budući da novac koji federalna vlada dobija nije postojao pre toga, ona može da ga potroši pre nego što cene počnu da rastu zbog tog novog novca koji ulazi u opticaj. To omogućava federalnoj vladi da ga troši na socijalne programe, policiju, vojsku, vojnu opremu za naoružavanje država poput Saudijske Arabije, čak i na ‘most iz nigde ka ničemu’, a da ne mora da koristi politički nepopularnu metodu: da poveća porez da bi to platila.
Umesto da povećaju poreske prihode za pokrivanje ove potrošnje, federalne vlade koriste Cantillonov Efekat za prenos kupovne moći od plata radnika srednje klase u vladin trezor. Na taj način inflacija i Cantillonov Efekat stvaraju skriveni porez na zarade i uštede novca.
Zaštitite Sebe od Cantillonovog Efekta
Zaštita svog života od Cantillonovog Efekta je zeznuta igra koju treba odigrati. Možete da pokušate da se približite izvoru novog novca, tako što ćete se nadmetati za državne ugovore ili raditi u vrhovima finansija. Možete da pokušate da igrate na visokim nivoima u trgovanju na berzi ili ulaganju u nekretnine, ali je verovatnije da ćete bankrotirati nego što ćete da se zaštitite.
Najlakši način da zaštitite sebe od nepravedne raspodele novog novca je potpuno odbijanje tog monetarnog sistema. Samo najstarije generacije koje danas žive mogu da se sete vremena kada je novac značio nešto drugo osim papira potkrepljenog ‘punom verom i kredibilitetom’ vlade i vojske. Mi smo tako uslovljeni da novac smatramo proizvodom naše vlade, ali naša zaštita od Cantillonovog Efekta zahteva gledanje novca kroz istoriju – čak i pre samo jednog veka.
Novac je nekada značio zlato – materijal koji nijedna vlada ne može magično da stvori u većoj količini, a koji zahteva ogroman napor da se pronađe i iskopa iz zemlje. Bitcoin je vrlo sličan zlatu po tome što niko ne može magično da ga stvori, i veoma ga je teško proizvesti više ‘rudarenjem’. Međutim, Bitcoin takođe putuje brzinom interneta, omogućavajući globalnu trgovinu na način na koji zlato jednostavno ne može.
Bitcoin i zlato – slični po karakteristikama ‘normalnog novca’, različiti po prenosivosti.
Da biste se zaštitili od Cantillonovog Efekta, potrebno je što je više moguće isključiti se iz nepravednih sistema tradicionalnih valuta, čuvajući bogatstvo u pravom novcu, poput zlata ili Bitcoin-a. Ovo je najmirniji način za ukidanje starog sistema i uvođenje novog, pravednijeg sistema.
Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?
Film "Bitkoin: Kraj novca kakvog poznajemo"
The Bitcoin Whitepaper ← objavljen 2008. godine, ovo je izložio dizajn za Bitcoin.
Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim uvid u ekonomiju i kako ona utiče na njihove živote.
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-03 17:47:46Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.
Pregled sadržaja
- 5 Razloga Zašto je Novac Važan za Vas, Individualno
- 3 Razloga Zašto je Novac Važan za Društvo u Celini
- Zašto ljudi mrze novac?
Novac vs trenuci – da li oni treba da budu u sukobu? Kakva je uloga novca?
Novac je nepredvidiva zver modernog društva – neki ga veličaju sa stalnom željom da steknu više, dok ga drugi demonizuju i kažu da je pohlepa srž društvenih problema. Tokom mnogih godina svog života, ja sam često prelazio sa jednog na drugo gledište, i naučio mnogo toga upoznajući druge ljude koji žive na oba kraja ovog spektra. Kao i kod mnogih složenih tema, istina leži negde u sredini.
Novac je važan zato što on može da pomogne u uklanjanju materijalnih želja i patnji – omogućavanjem da preuzmete kontrolu nad svojim životom i da brinete o voljenima. Novac podiže životni standard društva omogućavanjem trgovine, a pritom minimalizuje potrebu za poverenjem.
Na novac možemo gledati kao na način da svoj uloženi trud sačuvamo u odredjenom obliku, i da ga vremenom prenesemo, tako da možemo da uživamo u plodovima svog rada. Novac kao alat je jedna od najvažnijih stvari za rast civilizacije. Na nesreću, mnogi su vremenom zlostavljali novac, ali sa dobrim razlogom: način na koji naš novac danas funkcioniše dovodi do duboko podeljenog društva – što ću i objasniti.
5 Razloga Zašto je Novac Važan za Vas, Individualno
Novac je važan za rast bogatstva, što je malo drugačije od toga da imamo veliku platu ili jednostavno zarađivati velike količine novca. Bogatstvo je otklanjanje želja, kako bi mogli da obratimo više pažnje na neke korisnije stvari u životu, od pukog preživljavanja i osnovnih udobnosti.
Bogata osoba je ona koja zaradi više novca nego što potroši, i koja ga čuva – ona čuva svoj rad tokom vremena. Uporedite ovo sa visoko plaćenim lekarom koji živi u velikoj vili sa hipotekom i sa Mercedesom na lizing. Iako ova osoba ima visoke prihode, ona takođe ima velike rashode u vidu obaveze plaćanja te hipoteke i lizinga. Te obaveze sprečavaju ovu osobu da uživa u istinskim blagodetima novca i bogatstva koje one predstavljaju:
1. Sloboda od potrebe za radom
Bez bogatstva, vi morate da radite da biste preživeli. Dostizanjem bogatstva i odredjenom imovinom koja vam donosi novac bez potrebe da vi trošite svoje vreme, vi možete da oslobodite svoj raspored. Više ne zavisite od posla koji mrzite, i nemorate da provodite 40 sati nedeljno odvojeni od porodice, samo da biste se pobrinuli za svoje osnovne potrebe. Dobijanje otkaza u padu ekonomije neće vas dovesti do finansijske propasti ili nečeg goreg.
2. Kontrola nad time kako vi trošite svoje vreme
Kada steknete bogatstvo, vi možete da odlučite kako želite da provodite svoje vreme. Kada se nalazimo u trci pacova i radimo 40+ sati nedeljno, često se naviknemo da novac trošimo onda kada imamo slobodnog vremena. Idemo na lepe večere ili idemo na skupe odmore. Međutim, sa više vremena, a možda čak i sa manje novca, mi možemo da imamo isto ili više uživanja živeći usporenije.
Razmislite o ovome – ukoliko imate samo 1 nedelju slobodno od posla, vi onda morate da kupite onaj mnogo skuplji let u Petak uveče koji se vraća u sledeću Nedelju, kako biste maksimalno iskoristili svoje vreme na nekom egzotičnom mestu za odmor. Međutim, ukoliko ste u mogućnosti da izdržavate sebe bez potrebe da mnogo vremena provodite na poslu, vi onda možete u Utorak da krenete jeftinijim letom i vratite se u sledeću Sredu. Takođe nećete osećati toliki pritisak da se opustite u uživanju tokom vaše nedelje u inostranstvu – možda ćete čak moći i da ostanete duže i da istražujete više, bez plaćanja skupih turističkih agencija i hotela kako bi organizovali vaše kraće putovanje.
3. Sposobnost da pomažete vašim prijateljima i porodici
Onda kada novca imate na pretek, možete poboljšati svoje odnose sa prijateljima i porodicom ne samo kroz dodatno slobodno vreme koje provodite sa njima, već i sa samim novcem. Ako je vašem prijatelju potrebna hitna operacija, vi možete da mu izadjete u susret i pomognete mu da stane na svoje noge. Ukoliko vam je tetka bolesna, vi možete da provedete vreme pored nje, umesto da je pozovete na kratko dok putujete prema kući vraćajući se nakon celog dana provedenog u kancelariji.
4. Smanjen finansijski stres
Stres je sveobuhvatno i opasno stanje modernog doba, sa kojim gotovo svi mi živimo u nekoj odredjenoj meri. Povezan je sa lošim zdravljem, sa preko 43% svih odraslih koji kažu da pate od odredjenih zdravstvenih problema uzrokovanih stresom. Stres zbog posla pogađa 83% zaposlenih.
Pravo bogatstvo – koje znači eliminaciju želja i potreba – može da ukloni ovaj stres i njegove negativne uticaje na druge delove života. Ovo bi čak moglo da ukloni većinu stresa u vašem životu, uzimajući u obzir da je uzrok stresa broj 1 upravo novac.
5. Bolje možete da pomognete vašoj zajednici
Mnogi od nas žele da volontiraju u svojim zajednicama i pomognu onima koja je pomoć preko potrebna, ali nisu u stanju da pronađu slobodnog vremena i energije zbog svog posla, porodice i društvenih aktivnosti koje nas mentalno i fizički čine srećnima, zdravima i hranjenima. Sa bogatstvom, mi možemo da posvetimo vreme koje nam je potrebno za razumevanje i doprinos drugima – a ne samo da sa vremena na vreme pomognemo slanjem humanitarnog SMS-a.
Novac, koji se pametno koristi, je moćno sredstvo za poboljšanje vašeg života i života vaših najmilijih i zajednice. Međutim, novac je takođe moćno sredstvo za poboljšanje društva u celini – ukoliko je dobro strukturiran.
3 Razloga Zašto je Novac Važan za Društvo u Celini
Novac poboljšava sposobnost ljudi da trguju jedni s drugima, što podstiče određene specijalizacije. Ako je imanje vašeg komšije odlično za proizvodnju vina, a vaše je pogodno za žito, obojica možete da profitirate trgovinom. Sad oboje imate i hleb i vino, umesto jednog pijanog vlasnika vinograda i jednog proizvodjača žita kome je dosadno!
Novac poboljšava društvo na nekoliko načina:
1. Omogućava specijalizaciju
Kao u primeru vlasnika vinograda i proizvodjača žita, novac omogućava povećanu specijalizaciju poboljšavajući sposobnost trgovine. Svaka razmena dobara ima problem sa ‘sticajima potreba’ – oba partnera u trgovini moraju da žele ono što druga osoba ima da bi pristala na trgovinu.
Možemo da mislimo o novcu kao o dobru koje žele gotovo svi. Ovo trgovinu čini mnogo jednostavnijom – da biste stekli odredjeno dobro, sve što vam je potrebno je novac, a ne neka slučajna stvar koju prodavac tog dobra takođe želi u tom trenutku. Vremenom je upotreba novca omogućila specijalizaciju, što je povećalo kvalitet i složenost roba i usluga.
Zamislite da sami pokušate da napravite svoj telefon – a bili su potrebni milioni stručnjaka i specijalizovana oprema da bi proizveli taj uređaj. Svi ti stručnjaci i kompanije plaćaju jedni drugima u novcu, omogućavajući složenom plesu globalnih proizvođača i lanaca snabdevanja da taj telefon isporuče na dlan vaše ruke. Čak i nešto tako jednostavno kao flaša za vodu uključuje naftna polja i proizvodne pogone koji su možda hiljadama kilometara od vaše kuće.
Kada ljudi mogu da se specijalizuju, kvalitet robe i usluga može da se poveća.
2. Omogućava korisnu trgovinu uz smanjeno poverenje
Mala društva mogu mirno i produktivno da posluju bez novca koristeći usluge, “dodjem ti” i uzajamno razumevanje. Međutim, kako se društva uvećavaju, svima brzo postaje nemoguće da održavaju lične odnose i isti stepen poverenja sa svima ostalima. Sistem trgovine uslugama i međusobnog poverenja ne funkcioniše previše dobro sa putnikom koji se nalazi na proputovanju kroz grad, i provede samo 15 minuta svog života u vašoj prodavnici.
Novac minimizira poverenje potrebno za trgovinu u većim društvima. Sada više ne moram da verujem da ćete mi pomoći kasnije kada mi zatreba – mogu samo da prihvatim uplatu od vas i da to koristim da bih sebi pomogao kasnije. Jedan od mojih omiljenih mislilaca, Nick Szabo, ovo naziva ‘društvena prilagodljivost’.
3. Smanjuje upotrebu sile
Kada društvo teži upotrebi određenog oblika novca za olakšavanje trgovine, može u velikoj meri da smanji nasilje u tom društvu. Kako to može biti tako? Zar ljudi ne bi i dalje želeli da kradu jedni od drugih ili da se svete?
Ukoliko razmišljamo van uobičajnih okvira, možemo da počnemo da razumemo kako novac može da smanji nasilje. Ako ti i ja živimo u susednim zemljama i želimo nešto što druga zemlja ima, imamo dva načina da to dobijemo: uzimanjem na silu ili menjanjem nečeg našeg za to. Kao što je ranije rečeno, novac znatno olakšava trgovinu – pa ćemo postojanjem zajedničkog monetarnog sistema verovatnije radje izvršiti trgovinu nego napad na zemlju. Zašto bismo rizikovali svoje živote kad možemo samo mirno da trgujemo jedni sa drugima?
Zašto ljudi mrze novac?
Pa ako novac ima toliko koristi za nas lično i za društvo u celini, zašto toliko ljudi mrzi novac? Zašto je demonizovan, zajedno sa onima koji ga imaju puno?
Za deo ovoga može biti okrivljen problem u jednakosti mogućnosti – to da je nekima teže da izadju iz nemaštine i postanu bogati. Bez sumnje, neki mali deo potiče od ljudi koji jednostavno ne žele da se trude ili preduzmu neophodne rizike da bi postali bogati.
Međutim, oba ova problema imaju više veze sa problemima kako naš novac danas funkcioniše, nego sa bilo kojim problemom u samom konceptu novca. Novčani sistem treba da nagrađuje ljude koji proizvode vredne stvari i trguju njima sa drugima. Verujem da većina ljudi danas misli da novac tako funkcioniše, i to ne bi smelo da bude daleko od istine.
Naš trenutni monetarni sistem, na žalost, nagrađuje ’finansijalizaciju’ – pretvarajući sve u imovinu, čija vrednost može da se napumpava ili spušta stvaranjem dobre priče i navođenjem drugih da veruju u nju. Razuzdani dug pogonjen stalnim omalovažavanjem svih glavnih valuta dodat je ovom blatu finansijalizacije. Sada je isplativije podići ogroman kredit i koristiti ga za brzo okretanje imovine radi zarade nego izgraditi posao koji društvu nudi korisne robe i usluge.
Tradicionalni monetarni sistem dodatno nagradjuje predatore, partnere u zločinu i neradnike.
Propast našeg novca razvila se tokom proteklih pola veka, počevši od toga kada su naše valute postale ništa više od parčeta papira, podržanog sa verom i kreditima naših vlada. Da biste bolje razumeli ovu promenu, pogledajte moj post o svrsi i istoriji novca.
Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim pogled u ekonomiju i na to kako ona utiče na njihov život.
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-03 17:46:50Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.
Pregled sadržaja
- Procena vrednosti
- Većina Bitcoin-ovih pozitivnih strana opstaje
- Broj ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin
- Zaključak
Prošlo je trinaest godina od nastanka Bitcoina i lako je poverovati da je većina njegovog rasta iza njega. Deo ovoga je rezultat predrasude koju svi delimo i što nas navodi da zamislimo trenutno stanje stvari kao završni stepen njegovog razvoja. Svaki bitcoiner je nekad mislio da je prekasan sa Bitcoin-om. Međutim, kada primenjujemo kritičko razmišljanje da bismo procenili gde je Bitcoin u svojoj putanji rasta, otkrivamo da je suprotno u stvari tačno: još uvek je vrlo, vrlo rano.
Postoje dva načina da razmišljate o tome koliko je rano za Bitcoin kao zalihu vrednosti neke imovine:
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Procena vrednosti kao procenat od njegovog punog potencijala
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Prihvatanje kao procenat od njegovog punog potencijala (na čemu je fokus u ovom članku).
Procena vrednosti
Prvi i najčešći način da se proceni koliko je rano za Bitcoin je da se pogleda njegova ukupna vrednost (trenutno oko 900B USD) i uporedi sa njegovim punim potencijalom. Izazov sa ovim je očigledno da je puni potencijal Bitcoin-a stvar nagađanja. Oni koji duboko razumeju Bitcoin imaju tendenciju da njegov potencijal posmatraju barem kao potencijal zlata (oko 13T USD), ali teoretski više poput 200T USD (oko polovine ukupne vrednosti sveta).
Za brzi pregled ovog potencijala od 200T USD, pogledajmo ukupno raspoloživo tržište Bitcoin-a. Radi jednostavnosti, samo ćemo razmotriti njegovu ulogu zalihe vrednosti i zanemariti njegov potencijal da pojede tržišni udeo od oko 100T USD ukupne vrednosti u različitim svetskim valutama. Uzimajući u obzir različite zalihe vrednosne imovine i grubom procenom koliki bi % Bitcoin mogao da uzme od njih, dobili smo ovakav rezultat:
Iako put do 200T USD nije veliko rastezanje, u stvarnoj vrednosti čini se previše dobrim da bi bio istinit. Sa obzirom da je bez presedana da zaliha vrednosti neke robe postigne vrednost veću od zlata, to jednostavno predstavlja neistraženu teritoriju. Ali čak i ako se jednostavno pridržavamo targetiranja niže ciljne vrednosti zlata od 13T USD, Bitcoin još uvek tendenciju velikog porasta svoje cene u budućnosti.
Većina Bitcoin-ovih pozitivnih strana opstaje
Svako ko razmišlja da nešto svog teško zarađenog novca uskladišti u Bitcoin pita se „da li sam poranio ili zakasnio?“ Nepisano je pravilo da se svako oseća kao da je zakasnio kad stigne. Brojni su primeri ljudi koji žale kako su zakasnili 2011. ili 2013. ili 2016. godine, kada je cena Bitcoin-a bila 5, 100, odnosno 600 USD.
Kao i u bilo kojoj zajednici koja se razvija i raste i u kojoj ima manjka nekretninama, pridošlice zavide ljudima koji su već obezbedili sebi nekretninu, ne sluteći da će njima zavideti ljudi koji tek treba da dođu. Ovaj fenomen je primenjiv i na velikom broju drugih primera. Na primer, zakasneli u Kalifornijskoj zlatnoj groznici bili su razočarani kada su došli, a bogata zlatna polja su već bila iscrpljena, i umesto toga su se naseliti na nekoliko stotina hektara zemljišta, a koje sada vrede bogatstvo.
U srcu ovog osećanja je strah da više nema uspona, da više nema novca koji se može zaraditi uzimajući ono što je još uvek ostalo dostupno. Da li smo dostigli tu tačku sa Bitcoin-om?
Pa ne. Čini se da je zapravo suprotno. Na osnovu punog potencijalnog opsega procene koji smo utvrdili gore, čak i u ishodu niskog nivoa (13T USD), velika većina bogatstva koje će steći vlasnici Bitcoin-a, tek treba da se stekne (96%). Da bi parirao proceni zlata, Bitcoin i dalje mora da poraste 26 puta.
A ako se desi vrhunski ishod, punih 99,7% ukupnog stvaranja bogatstva Bitcoin-a ostaje pred nama. To bi značilo da Bitcoin još uvek treba da poraste 400 puta, zanemarujući pariranje zlatu.
Stavljanjem trenutne vrednosti Bitcoin-a u perspektivu, postaje jasno da je za Bitcoin još uvek vrlo rano.
Iako ova analiza sugeriše da za Bitcoin-u ostaje od 26x do 400x rasta, korisno je proveriti ovaj zaključak kroz drugo razumno objašnjenje, a tamo gde je poznat puni potencijal…
Broj ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin
Procene broja vlasnika Bitcoin-a širom sveta se veoma razlikuju. To je dovelo do prilične količine dvosmislenosti i nesigurnosti u vezi sa stvarnim brojevima i određenog stepena odustajanja i mišljenja da je taj broj jednostavno preteško precizno proceniti. Iako je teško utvrditi konačan broj, glavni razlog za odstupanje u procenama je nedostatak standardizovanih definicija šta znači prihvatanje Bitcoin-a.
Istina je da postoje različiti nivoi prihvatanja Bitcoin-a. Podelom na segmente prihvatanja Bitcoin-a lakše je uvideti ne samo zašto postoji širok opseg procena, već i još važnije, koliko je još uvek rano za prihvatanje Bitcoin-a kao preferirane zalihe vrednosti.
U ove svrhe, hajde da podelimo u segmente prihvatanje Bitcoin-a na četiri različita „nivoa“:
1. Kežual amateri (prstom u vodi)
2. Alokatori 1% (stopalima u vodi)
3. Značajni vernici (do pojasa u vodi)
4. Bitcoin maximalisti (u vodi preko glave)
Pre nego što počnemo, potreban nam je imenilac. Mogli bismo da koristimo globalno stanovništvo, ali po mom mišljenju ovo daje loše rezultate. Ono što mi zaista procenjujemo je koji procenat sveta koji poseduje odredjeno bogatstvo za skladištenje u Bitcoin-u, je to i učinio. Prema podacima sa sajta Statista, 2,2 biliona ljudi na svetu poseduje najmanje 10k USD u neto vrednosti, što se čini kao razumna granica za zalihu koju žele da uskladište. Činjenica je da će siromašne zajednice takođe koristiti Bitcoin kao zalihu vrednosti i verovatno će iz njega izvući veću korist kao rezultat marginalnog pristupa tradicionalnoj bankarskoj infrastrukturi kao klijenti banaka sa „niskom vrednošću“. Međutim, u naše svrhe, jednostavno gledamo koliko je ljudi usvojilo Bitcoin među grupama sa značajnim bogatstvom za skladištenje, tako da će 2.2 biliona služiti kao naša puna potencijalna veličina tržišta.
1. Kežual amateri
Ovaj segment ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin uključuje sve one koji imaju bilo koju količinu Bitcoin-a – vašeg prijatelja sa 20 USD BTC-a negde u nekom novčaniku ili vašu tetku koja se ne seća svoje Coinbase lozinke iz 2017. Po mom mišljenju, najveća zabuna oko broja ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin nastaje zbog poistovećivanja „kežual amatera“ sa ljudima koji su u potpunosti prihvatili Bitcoin. Realnost je takva da ljudi ovog segmenta uglavnom samo eksperimentišu, bilo da bi stekli osećaj za ono o čemu svi pričaju, ili samo uložu nekoliko dolara u Bitcoin u nadi da će možda dobiti džekpot, kao što je slučaj sa greb-greb nagradnim igrama.
Zbog toga, „kežual amateri“ su razlog dovodjenja u zabludu pravog broja ljudi koji su u potpunosti prihvatili Bitcoin. Njihovo ponašanje zapravo ne predstavlja prihvatanje u pravom smislu te reči i stoga se ne bi trebalo smatrati ljudima koji su u potpunosti prihvatili Bitcoin. Istina je da, kada kežual amateri shvate da je Bitcoin najbolja zaliha vrednosti neke imovine u istoriji, neće ostati na samo 20 USD u Bitcoin-ima. Umesto toga, oni će svoju štednju prebaciti u mnogo većim iznosima.
Što se tiče odredjivanja veličine ovog segmenta, Willy Woo je sastavio razumno iscrpnu i sveobuhvatnu procenu od oko 187 miliona ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin, što znači da su oni u najmanju ruku „kežual amateri“.
Koristeći ovaj i naš puni potencijal od 2,2 biliona ljudi kao imenioca, 8,5% potencijalnih ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin-e dostiglo je nivo „kežual amatera“. Ovo je prilično velik broj i potpuno obmanjuje stvarni obim potpunog prihvatanja, a što će pokazati sledeći segmenti.
2. Alokatori 1%
Za preostale potkategorije, tačni podaci su manje dostupni. Kao takvi, sve što možemo je da smislimo razumne procene putem triangulacije.
Po mom mišljenju, „alokatori 1%“ se mogu okarakterisati kao ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin, i koji žele da imaju mali, ali ne i zanemarljivi deo u Bitcoin-u. Za naše svrhu, mislim da je pristojan prag za ovu grupu svako ko ima najmanje 0,1 Bitcoin, i može se smatrati da imaju malu, ali ne i zanemarljivu poziciju u Bitcoin-u.
Gledajući Bitcoin blockchain, postoji oko 3 miliona adresa koje imaju najmanje 0,1 BTC. Pored ovih brojeva na blockchain-u, moramo da uzmemo u obzir i znatan broj ljudi koji imaju ovaj iznos na berzi ili GBTC-u. Kombinovanjem, mislim da je razumno proceniti da je 10 miliona ljudi dostiglo nivo „alokatora 1%“ ili veći.
Na osnovu ovih brojeva, samo 1⁄17 „kežual amatera“ dostiglo je nivo prihvatanja „alokatora 1%“, što znači da je ovaj nivo prihvatanja Bitcoin-a do danas postigao samo 0,5% penetracije. Ovaj strmi pad je razlog zašto je došlo do zablude da veliki broj „kežual amatera“ bude označeno kao grupa koja je u potpunosti prihvatila Bitcoin.
3. Značajni vernici
U ovu kategoriju spada svako ko je dostigao nivo razumevanja Bitcoin-a da alokacija od 1% ili čak 5% više ne izgleda dovoljna.
Uopšteno govoreći, ova grupa se kreće u rasponu od 5 – 50%. Išao bih toliko daleko da bih rekao da je većina ljudi koji sebe smatraju vernicima u Bitcoin-e, uključujući većinu Bitcoin Twitter-a, negde u ovoj grupi.
Procena veličine ove grupe postaje mnogo nejasnija, ali možemo se osloniti na podatke iz blockchain-a da bismo došli do razumne procene.
Za početak, hajde da utvrdimo da je većina ljudi koji su dostigli ovaj nivo verovanja i razumevanja Bitcoin-a, izborila da poseduje najmanje 1 Bitcoin. Pored toga, ovaj nivo ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin je verovatno osigurao svoj Bitcoin u chain-u novčanika kojim oni upravljaju. Gledajući podatke na chain-u, oko 820k adresa ima najmanje 1 Bitcoin. Kao grubu pretpostavku, uzmimo da 500k od toga poseduju ljudi koji su dostigli nivo prihvatanja „značajnog vernika“.
Ako potom generički zaokružimo akaunte za ljude koji nisu postigli status wholecoiner-a (eng. osoba koja poseduje barem 1 BTC), ili koji svoja sredstva drže na berzi, dolazimo do grube procene od 2 miliona „značajnih vernika“.
4. Bitcoin maximalisti
Za našu svrhu, recimo da ova grupa uključuje svakoga ko je dovoljno duboko ušao u Bitcoin da je zaključio da bi više od 50% njihove neto vrednosti trebalo da bude uskladišteno u Bitcoin-u.
Procena veličine ove grupe je gotovo nemoguća, zato ćemo morati da budemo kreativni.
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Prodaja „Bitcoin Standard“
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Hajde da konzervativno procenimo da je samo 20% maximalističara kupilo Bitcoin Standard, i da je 50% tih ljudi koji su ga razumeli, postali maksimalisti. Na osnovu knjige Amazon US rank (6,681), onlajn kalkulatori procenjuju da je prodato oko 15k primeraka.
- Hajde da budemo velikodušni i da zaokružimo taj broj od oko 15k na 50k, uzimajući u obzir međunarodnu prodaju i kupovinu izvan Amazona.
Ovo nas dovodi do procene broja od 125k maximalista. Da ne bismo pogrešili, bićemo oprezni, i udvostručimo taj broj i rećićemo da ih ima 250k.
- Kvalitativna triangulacija
Čisto subjektivno, ali čini mi se da na Twitter-u, primarnom domu za komunikaciju maximalista, postoji možda 10k aktivno angažovanih Bitcoin maximalista. Da budemo vrlo konzervativni, recimo da ovo predstavlja oko 5% maximalista (od ukupno 200k).
Uz to, kao procenu od vrha nadole, čini se opravdanim da je oko 10% ljudi koji su dostigli 5 – 50% alokacije Bitcoin-a napravilo skok ka maximalizmu.
Sve u svemu, cifra od oko 250k Bitcoin maximalista čini se konzervativnom, ako ne i velikodušnom pretpostavkom.
To nas dovodi do 0,01% penetracije.
Zaključak
Kako god gledali brojke, još uvek je rano za Bitcoin. Posmatrajući procenu vrednosti Bitcoin-a kao procenat njegovog punog potencijala, vidimo da je trenutna vrednost Bitcoin-a negde između 0,2% i 3% njegovog krajnjeg stanja, što znači da ostaje 30x do 500x rasta. Gledajući napredak prihvatanja Bitcoin-a, vidimo da je trenutna penetracija Bitcoin-a negde između 0,01% i 8,5%, u zavisnosti od toga koji prag prihvatanja gledate.
Ako verujete, kao što ja verujem, da je Bitcoin na putu da postane dominantna zaliha vrednosti i preferirani novac za ceo svet, na kraju će norma biti više od 50% posedovanja neto vrednosti u Bitcoin-u. Budući da naša analiza ovde sugeriše da samo 0,01% sveta zadovoljava ove standarde, opravdano je zaključiti da 99,99% sveta ostaje da sledi njihov primer.
Sve u svemu, dok svi koji se pojave na Bitcoin-u neizbežno osećaju žaljenje zbog toga što nisu ranije investirali i pitaju se da li su u potpunosti propustili brod, jasno je da većina rasta Bitcoin-a ostaje pred nama. Da stavimo ovo u neki kontekst, obzirom da može postojati samo 21 milion Bitcoin-a, prosečna osoba na zemlji (od 8 biliona ljudi) imaće samo 0,0025 Bitcoin-a. Još je toliko rano, da ukupna neto vrednost te prosečne osobe u Bitcoin-u može da se kupi za samo 90 USD.
I ako mislite da je kasno, zapravo je veoma rano, zato vam čestitam i uživajte u skupljanju sats-ova dok su još uvek ovako jeftini!
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-03 17:43:37Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.
Pregled sadržaja
- Odakle Potiče Bitcoin?
- Koje Probleme Rešava Bitcoin?
- Kako se Bitcoin razvijao u poslednjoj deceniji?
Bitcoin je peer to peer elektronski keš, novi oblik digitalnog novca koji se može prenositi između ljudi ili računara, bez potrebe za učestvovanjem pouzdanog posrednika (kao što je banka) i čije izdavanje nije pod kontrolom nijedne stranke.
Zamislite papirni dolar ili metalni novčić. Kad taj novac date drugoj osobi, ona ne mora da zna ko ste vi.
On samo treba da veruju da novac koji dobiju od vas nije falsifikat. Obično, proveravanje falsifikata „fizičkog“ novca, ljudi rade koristeći samo oči i prste ili koristeći specijalnu opremu za testiranje ukoliko se radi o značajnijoj sumi novca.
Većina plaćanja u našem digitalnom društvu vrši se putem Interneta korišćenjem neke posredničke usluge: kompanije za izdavanje kreditnih kartica poput Visa, snabdevača digitalnih plaćanja kao što je PayPal ili Apple Pay ili mrežne platforme poput WeChat u Kini.
Kretanje ka digitalnom plaćanju sa sobom donosi oslanjanje na nekog centralnog aktera koji mora odobriti i verifikovati svaku uplatu.
Priroda novca se promenila od fizičkog predmeta koji možete da nosite, prenesete i autentifikujete do digitalnih bitova koje mora da čuva i verifikuje treća strana koja kontroliše njihov prenos.
Odricanjem od gotovine u korist „udobnih“ digitalnih plaćanja, mi takođe stvaramo sistem u kome dajemo ogromna ovlašćenja onima koji bi poželeli da nas tlače.
Platforme za digitalno plaćanje postale su osnova distopijskih autoritarnih metoda kontrole, poput onih koje kineska vlada koristi za nadgledanje disidenata i sprečava građane, čije ponašanje im se ne svidja, da kupuju robu i plaćaju usluge.
Bitcoin nudi alternativu centralno kontrolisanom digitalnom novcu sa sistemom koji nam vraća prirodu korišćenja keša – čovek čoveku, ali u digitalnom obliku.
Bitcoin je digitalno sredstvo koje se izdaje i prenosi preko mreže međusobno povezanih računara, od koji svaki od njih samostalno potvrđuje da svi ostali igraju po pravilima.
Bitcoin Mreža
Odakle Potiče Bitcoin?
Bitcoin je izumela osoba ili grupa poznata pod pseudonimom Satoshi Nakamoto, oko 2008. godine.
Niko ne zna Satoshijev identitet, a koliko znamo, oni su nestali i o njima se godinama ništa nije čulo.
11.februara 2009. godine, Satoshi je pisao o ranoj verziji Bitcoin-a na mrežnom forumu za cypherpunkere, ljude koji rade na tehnologiji kriptografije i koji su zabrinuti za privatnost i slobodu pojedinca.
Iako ovo nije prvo zvanično objavljivanje Bitcoin-a, sadrži dobar rezime Satoshi-jevih motiva.
Razvio sam novi P2P sistem e-keša otvorenog koda pod nazivom Bitcoin. Potpuno je decentralizovan, bez centralnog servera ili pouzdanih stranki, jer se sve zasniva na kripto dokazima umesto na poverenju. […]
Osnovni problem konvencionalne valute je potpuno poverenje koje je potrebno za njeno funkcionisanje. Centralnoj banci se mora verovati da neće devalvirati valutu, ali istorija tradicionalnih valuta je puna primera kršenja tog poverenja. Bankama se mora verovati da drže naš novac i prenose ga elektronskim putem, ali one ga daju u talasima kreditnih balona sa delićem rezerve. Moramo im verovati sa našom privatnošću, verovati im da neće dozvoliti da kradljivci identiteta pokradu naše račune. Njihovi ogromni režijski troškovi onemogućavaju mikro plaćanja.
Generaciju ranije, višekorisnički time-sharing računarski sistemi imali su sličan problem. Pre pojave jake enkripcije, korisnici su morali da imaju pouzdanje u zaštitu lozinkom kako bi zaštitili svoje fajlove […]
Tada je jaka enkripcija postala dostupna širokim masama i više nije bilo potrebno poverenje. Podaci bi se mogli osigurati na način koji je fizički bio nemoguć za pristup drugima, bez obzira iz kog razloga, bez obzira koliko je dobar izgovor, bez obzira na sve.
Vreme je da imamo istu stvar za novac. Uz e-valutu zasnovanu na kriptografskom dokazu, bez potrebe da verujete posredniku treće strane, novac može biti siguran i transakcije mogu biti izvršene bez napora. […]
Rešenje Bitcoin-a je korišćenje peer-to-peer mreže za proveru dvostruke potrošnje. Ukratko, mreža radi poput distribuiranog servera vremenskih žigova, obeležavajući prvu transakciju koja je potrošila novčić. Potrebna je prednost prirode informacije koju je lako širiti, ali je teško ugušiti. Za detalje o tome kako to funkcioniše, pogledajte članak o dizajnu na bitcoin.org
Satoshi Nakamoto
Koje Probleme Rešava Bitcoin?
Razdvojimo neke od Satoshi-jevih postova kako bismo uvideli razloge njegove motivacije.
„Razvio sam novi P2P sistem e-keša otvorenog koda.“
P2P je skraćenica za peer to peer i ukazuje na sistem u kojem jedna osoba može da komunicira sa drugom bez ikoga u sredini, kao medjusobno jednaki.
Možete se setiti P2P tehnologija za razmenu datoteka poput Napster-a, Kazaa-e i BitTorrrent-a, koje su prve omogućile ljudima da dele muziku i filmove bez posrednika.
Satoshi je dizajnirao Bitcoin kako bi omogućio ljudima da razmenjuju e-keš, elektronski keš, bez prolaska preko posrednika na približno isti način.
Softver je otvorenog koda, što znači da svako može videti kako funkcioniše i doprineti tome.
Ne treba da verujemo ni u šta što je Satoshi napisao u svom postu o tome kako softver radi.
Možemo pogledati kod i sami proveriti kako to funkcioniše. Štaviše, možemo promeniti funkcionalnost sistema promenom koda.
„Potpuno je decentralizovan, bez centralnog servera ili pouzdanih stranki …“
Satoshi napominje da je sistem decentralizovan kako bi se razlikovao od sistema koji imaju centralnu kontrolu.
Prethodne pokušaje stvaranja digitalne gotovine poput DigiCash-a od strane Davida Chaum-a podržavao je centralni server, računar ili skup računara koji je bio odgovoran za izdavanje i verifikaciju plaćanja pod kontrolom jedne korporacije.
Takve, centralno kontrolisane privatne šeme novca, bile su osuđene na propast; ljudi se ne mogu osloniti na novac koji može nestati kada kompanija prestane sa poslovanjem, bude hakovana, pretrpi pad servera ili je zatvori vlada.
Bitcoin održava mreža pojedinaca i kompanija širom sveta.
Da bi se Bitcoin isključio, bilo bi potrebno isključiti desetine do stotine hiljada računara širom sveta u isto vreme, zauvek, od kojih su mnogi na nepoznatim lokacijama.
Bila bi to beznadežna igra, jer bi svaki napad ove prirode jednostavno podstakao stvaranje novih Bitcoin čvorova ili računara na mreži.
„… sve se zasniva na kripto dokazima umesto na poverenju“
Internet, a u stvari i većina savremenih računarskih sistema, izgrađeni su na kriptografiji, metodi prikrivanja informacija, tako da je može dekodirati samo primalac informacije.
Kako se Bitcoin oslobađa potrebe za poverenjem? Umesto da verujemo nekome ko kaže „Ja sam Alisa“ ili „Imam 10 $ na računu“, možemo koristiti kriptografsku matematiku da bismo izneli iste činjenice na način koji je vrlo lako verifikovati od strane primaoca dokaza ali ga je nemoguće falsifikovati.
Bitcoin u svom dizajnu koristi kriptografsku matematiku kako bi učesnicima omogućio da provere ponašanje svih ostalih učesnika, bez poverenja u bilo koju centralnu stranku.
„Moramo im verovati [bankama] sa našom privatnošću, verovati im da neće dozvoliti da kradljivci identiteta pokradu naše račune“
Za razliku od korišćenja vašeg bankovnog računa, sistema digitalnog plaćanja ili kreditne kartice, Bitcoin omogućava dvema stranama da obavljaju transakcije bez davanje bilo kakvih ličnih podataka.
Centralizovana skladišta potrošačkih podataka koji se čuvaju u bankama, kompanijama sa kreditnim karticama, procesorima plaćanja i vladama, predstavljaju pravu poslasticu za hakere.
Kao dokaz Satoshi-jeve poente služi primer iz 2017. godine kada je Equifax masovono kompromitovan, kada su hakeri ukrali identifikacione i finansijske podatke za više od 140 miliona ljudi.
Bitcoin odvaja finansijske transakcije od stvarnih identiteta.
Na kraju krajeva, kada nekome damo fizički novac, on nema potrebu da zna ko smo, niti treba da brinemo da će nakon naše razmene moći da iskoristi neke informacije koje smo mu dali da ukrade još našeg novca.
Zašto ne bismo očekivali isto, ili čak i bolje, od digitalnog novca?
„Centralnoj banci se mora verovati da neće devalvirati valutu, ali istorija tradicionalnih valuta je puna primera kršenja tog poverenja.“
Pojam tradicionalna valuta, odnosi se na valutu izdatu od strane vlade i centralne banke, koju vlada proglašava zakonskim sredstvom plaćanja.
Istorijski, novac je nastao od stvari koje je bilo teško proizvesti, koje su bile lake za proveravanje i transport, poput školjki, staklenih perli, srebra i zlata.
Kad god bi se nešto koristilo kao novac, postojalo je iskušenje da se stvori više toga.
Ako bi neko pronašao vrhunsku tehnologiju za brzo stvaranje velike količine nečega, ta stvar bi izgubila vrednost.
Evropski naseljenici uspeli su da liše afrički kontinent bogatstva trgujući staklenim perlicama koje su se lako proizvodile za ljudske robove.
Isto se dogodilo sa američkim indijancima, kada su kolonisti otkrili način brze proizvodnje vampum školjki, koje su starosedeoci smatrali retkim.
Vremenom, širom sveta ljudi su shvatili da je samo zlato dovoljno retko da deluje kao novac, bez straha da bi neko drugi mogao da ga stvori u velikim količinama.
Polako smo prešli sa svetske ekonomije koja je koristila zlato kao novac na onu gde su banke izdavale papirne sertifikate kao dokaz posedovanja tog zlata.
Nixon je okončao međunarodnu konvertibilnost američkog dolara u zlato 1971. godine, privremenim rešenjem, koje je ubrzo postalo trajno.
Kraj zlatnog standarda omogućio je vladama i centralnim bankama da imaju punu dozvolu da povećavaju novčanu masu po svojoj volji, razredjujući vrednost svake novčanice u opticaju, poznatije kao umanjenje vrednosti.
Iako je izdata od strane vlade, suštinska tradicionalna valuta je novac koji svi znamo i svakodnevno koristimo, ipak je relativno novo iskustvo u opsegu svetske istorije.
Moramo verovati našim vladama da ne zloupotrebljavaju njegovo štamparije, i ne treba nam puno muke da nadjemo primere kršenja tog poverenja.
U autokratskim i centralno planiranim režimima gde vlada ima prst direktno na mašini za novac, kao što je Venecuela, valuta je postala gotovo bezvredna.
Venecuelanski Bolivar prešao je sa 2 bolivara za 1 američki dolar, koliko je vredeo 2009. godine, na 250.000 bolivara za 1 američki dolar 2019. godine.
Pogledajte koliko novčanica je bilo potrebno za kupovinu piletine u Venecueli posle hiperinflacije.
Satoshi je želeo da ponudi alternativu tradicionalnoj valuti čija se ponuda uvek nepredvidivo širi.
Da bi sprečilo umanjenje vrednosti, Satoshi je dizajnirao novčani sistem gde je zaliha bila fiksna i izdavana po predvidljivoj i nepromenjivoj stopi.
Postojaće samo 21 milion Bitcoin-a.
Međutim, svaki Bitcoin se može podeliti na 100 miliona jedinica koje se sada nazivaju satoshis (sats-ovi), što će činiti ukupno 2,1 kvadriliona satoshi-a u opticaju oko 2140. godine.
Pre Bitcoin-a nije bilo moguće sprečiti beskrajnu reprodukciju digitalnih sredstava.
Kopirati digitalnu knjigu, audio datoteku ili video zapis i poslati ga prijatelju, je jeftino i lako.
Jedini izuzeci od toga su digitalna sredstva koja kontrolišu posrednici.
Na primer, kada iznajmite film sa iTunes-a, možete ga gledati na vašem uređaju samo zato što iTunes kontroliše distribuciju tog filma i može ga zaustaviti nakon perioda njegovog iznajmljivanja.
Slično tome, vaša banka kontroliše vaš digitalni novac. Zadatak banke je da vodi evidenciju koliko novca imate.
Ako ga prenesete nekom drugom, oni će odobriti ili odbiti takav prenos.
Bitcoin je prvi digitalni sistem koji sprovodi oskudicu bez posrednika i prvo je sredstvo poznato čovečanstvu čija je nepromenljiva ponuda i raspored izdavanja poznat unapred.
Ni plemeniti metali poput zlata nemaju ovo svojstvo, jer uvek možemo iskopati sve više i više zlata ukoliko je to isplativo.
Zamislite da otkrijemo asteroid koji sadrži deset puta više zlata nego što ga imamo na zemlji.
Šta bi se dogodilo sa cenom zlata uzimajući u obzir tako obilnu ponudu? Bitcoin je imun na takva otkrića i manipulisanje nabavkom.
Jednostavno je nemoguće proizvesti više od toga (21 miliona).
„Podaci bi se mogli osigurati na način koji je fizički bio nemoguć za pristup drugima, bez obzira iz kog razloga, bez obzira koliko je dobar izgovor, bez obzira na sve. […] Vreme je da imamo istu stvar za novac “
Naše trenutne metode obezbeđivanja novca, poput stavljanja u banku, oslanjaju se na poverenje nekome drugom da će obaviti taj posao.
Poverenje u takvog posrednika ne zahteva samo sigurnost da on neće učiniti nešto zlonamerno ili glupo, već i da vlada neće zapleniti ili zamrznuti vaša sredstva vršeći pritisak na ovog posrednika.
Međutim, videli smo bezbroj puta da vlade mogu, i zaista uskraćuju pristup novcu kada se osećaju ugroženo.
Nekom ko živi u Sjedinjenim Državama ili nekoj drugoj visoko regulisanoj ekonomiji možda zvuči glupo da razmišlja da se probudi sa oduzetim novcem, ali to se događa stalno.
PayPal mi je zamrzao sredstva jednostavno zato par meseci nisam koristio svoj račun.
Trebalo mi je više od nedelju dana da vratim pristup „svom“ novcu.
Srećan sam što živim u Europi, gde bih se bar mogao nadati da ću potražiti neko pravno rešenje ako mi PayPal zamrzne sredstva i gde imam osnovno poverenje da moja vlada i banka neće ukrasti moj novac.
Mnogo gore stvari su se dogodile, i trenutno se dešavaju, u zemljama sa manje slobode.
Banke su se zatvorile tokom kolapsa valuta u Grčkoj.
Banke na Kipru su koristile kaucije da konfiskuju sredstva od svojih klijenata.
Indijska vlada je proglasila određene novčanice bezvrednim.
Bivši SSSR, u kojem sam odrastao, imao je ekonomiju pod kontrolom vlade što je dovelo do ogromnih nestašica robe.
Bilo je nezakonito posedovati strane valute kao što je američki dolar.
Kada smo poželeli da odemo, mojoj porodici je bilo dozvoljeno da zameni samo ograničenu količinu novca po osobi za američke dolare po zvaničnom kursu koji je bio u velikoj meri različit od pravog kursa slobodnog tržišta.
U stvari, vlada nam je oduzela ono malo bogatstva koje smo imali koristeći gvozdeni stisak na ekonomiji i kretanju kapitala.
Autokratske zemlje imaju tendenciju da sprovode strogu ekonomsku kontrolu, sprečavajući ljude da na slobodnom tržištu povuku svoj novac iz banaka, iznesu ga iz zemlje ili da ga razmene u ne još uvek bezvredne valute poput američkog dolara.
To omogućava vladinoj slobodnoj vladavini da primeni sulude ekonomske eksperimente poput socijalističkog sistema SSSR-a.
Bitcoin se ne oslanja na poverenje u treću stranu da bi osigurao vaš novac.
Umesto toga, Bitcoin onemogućava drugima pristup vašim novčićima bez jedinstvenog ključa koji imate samo vi, bez obzira iz kog razloga, bez obzira koliko je dobar izgovor, bez obzira na sve.
Držeći Bitcoin, držite ključeve sopstvene finansijske slobode. Bitcoin razdvaja novac i državu
„Rešenje Bitcoin-a je korišćenje peer-to-peer mreže za proveru dvostruke potrošnje […] poput distribuiranog servera vremenskih žigova, obeležavajući prvu transakciju koja je potrošila novčić“
Mreža se odnosi na ideju da je gomila računara povezana i da mogu međusobno slati poruke.
Reč distribuirano znači da ne postoji centralna stranka koja kontroliše, već da svi učesnici koordiniraju medjusobno kako bi mreža bila uspešna.
U sistemu bez centralne kontrole, bitno je znati da niko ne vara. Ideja dvostruke potrošnje odnosi se na mogućnost trošenja istog novca dva puta.
Fizički novac odlazi iz vaše ruke kad ga potrošite. Međutim, digitalne transakcije se mogu kopirati baš kao muzika ili filmovi.
Kada novac šaljete preko banke, oni se pobrinu da isti novac ne možete da prebacujete dva puta.
U sistemu bez centralne kontrole potreban nam je način da sprečimo ovu vrstu dvostruke potrošnje, koja je u suštini ista kao i falsifikovanje novca.
Satoshi opisuje da učesnici u Bitcoin mreži rade zajedno kako bi vremenski označili (doveli u red) transakcije kako bismo znali šta je bilo prvo.
Zbog toga možemo odbiti sve buduće pokušaje trošenja istog novca.
Satoshi se uhvatio u koštac sa nekoliko zanimljivih tehničkih problema kako bi rešio probleme privatnosti, uništavanja vrednosti i centralne kontrole u trenutnim monetarnim sistemima.
Na kraju je stvorio peer to peer mrežu kojoj se svako mogao pridružiti bez otkrivanja svog identiteta ili potrebe da veruje bilo kom drugom učesniku.
Kako se Bitcoin razvijao u poslednjoj deceniji?
Doprinosi izvornom kodu Bitcoina
Kada je Bitcoin pokrenut, samo nekolicina ljudi ga je koristila i pokrenula Bitcoin softver na svojim računarima za napajanje Bitcoin mreže.
Većina ljudi u to vreme mislila je da je to šala ili da će se otkriti ozbiljni nedostaci u dizajnu sistema koji će ga učiniti neizvodljivim.
Vremenom se mreži pridružilo sve više ljudi koji su pomoću svojih računara dodali sigurnost mreži.
Ljudi su počeli da menjaju Bitcoin-e za robu i usluge, dajući mu stvarnu vrednost. Pojavile su se menjačnice valuta koje su menjale Bitcoin-e za gotovo sve tradicionalne valute na svetu.
Deset godina nakon izuma, Bitcoin koriste milioni ljudi sa desetinama do stotinama hiljada čvorova koji pokreću besplatni Bitcoin softver, koji se razvija od strane stotina dobrovoljaca i kompanija širom sveta.
Bitcoin mreža je porasla kako bi obezbedila vrednost veću od stotine biliona dolara.
Računari koji učestvuju u zaštiti Bitcoin mreže poznati su kao rudari/majneri.
Oni rade u industrijskim operacijama širom sveta, ulažući milione dolara u specijalni rudarski hardver koji radi samo jedno: pobrinuti se da je Bitcoin najsigurnija mreža na planeti.
Rudari troše električnu energiju kako bi transakcije Bitcoin-a učinile sigurnim od modifikacija. Budući da se rudari međusobno takmiče za oskudan broj Bitcoin-a proizvedenih dnevno, oni uvek moraju da pronalaze najjeftinije izvore energije na planeti da bi ostali profitabilni.
Rudari rade na različitim mestima, od hidroelektrana u dalekim krajevima Kine do vetroparkova u Teksasu, do kanadskih naftnih polja koja proizvode gas koji bi u suprotnom bio odzračen ili spaljen u atmosferi.
Iako je Bitcoin popularna tema i o njemu se često raspravlja u medijima, procenjujemo da je samo nekoliko miliona ljudi na svetu počelo da redovno štedi Bitcoin.
Za mnoge ljude, posebno za one koji nikada nisu živeli pod represivnim režimima, ovaj izum novog oblika digitalnog novca izvan kontrole vlade može biti veoma izazovan za razumevanje i prihvatanje.
Zato sam ja ovde. Želim da vam pomognem da razumete Bitcoin i budete gospodar svoje budućnosti!
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-03 17:39:45Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.
Pregled sadržaja
- Šta je finansijski samo-suverenitet?
- Zašto smo prestali da koristimo zlatni standard?
- Šta fali tradicionalnoj valuti i centralnim bankama?
- Kako mogu ljudi da mi ukradu novac ako je u banci?
- Kako ljudi koriste moje finansijske podatke protiv mene?
- Kako ljudi kontrolišu sa kim obavljam transakcije?
- Kako da povratimo svoj finansijski samo-suverenitet?
- Kako Bitcoin funkcioniše?
- Pa onda, zašto Bitcoin?
- Po čemu je Bitcoin bolji od sistema tradicionalnih valuta?
- Kako Bitcoin štiti od Inflacije?
- Kako Bitcoin štiti od Zaplene?
- Kako Bitcoin štiti Privatnost?
- Kako Bitcoin štiti od Cenzure?
- Šta će vlada i banke učiniti sa Bitcoin-om?
- Da li je vrednost Bitcoin-a nestabilna?
- Da li je Bitcoin novac?
- Bitcoin kao Zaliha Vrednosti
- Bitcoin kao Sredstvo Razmene
- Bitcoin kao Obračunska Jedinica
- Bitcoin kao Sistem Kontrole
- Šta je sa „Sledećim Bitcoin-om“?
- Na kraju
Kratki uvod u bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu vašeg novca.
Pre nego što saznate kako morate znati zašto.
Upoređeni kursevi tradicionalnih valuta: (100.000 venecuelanskog Bolivara za 1 USD) i (20.000 USD za 1 Bitcoin)
Šta je finansijski samo-suverenitet?
Zamislite da u ruci imate zlatni novčić, jedan od najjednostavnijih i najčistijih oblika finansijskog samo-suvereniteta.
Da biste držali taj zlatni novčić, ne morate da se složite sa bilo kojim Uslovima korišćenja ili Politikom privatnosti, da se pridržavate bilo kojih KYC ili AML propisa, da pokažete ličnu kartu, da navedete svoje ime ili jedinstveni matični broj.
Samo ga držite u ruci i njime možete platiti bilo šta, davanjem tog novčića nekom drugom da ga drži u ruci. To je čista sloboda.
Pored slobode onoga što kupujete svojim novčićem, niko ne može magično znati kome plaćate ili koju robu/usluge kupujete tim zlatni novčićem, jer vaša privatnost nije ugrožena sa zlatom.
A pošto imate svoju privatnost, niko ne može znati za vaše transakcije, pa niko ne može da odluči da ograniči ili kontroliše za šta koristite taj zlatni novčić.
Hiljadama godina zlato je bilo globalni standard novca.
Svi su održavali svoj finansijski samo-suverenitet, a privatnost i sloboda svačijeg novca su poštovani.
Zaista je bilo tako jednostavno.
Zašto smo prestali da koristimo zlatni standard?
Trenutni globalni bankarski sistem i sistem tradicionalnih valuta, bankari su vrlo polako implementirali u proteklih 100+ godina.
Udružili su se sa svetskim vladama koje su svima oduzele zlato pod pretnjom nasilja.
Na primer, nakon što je Federalna banka rezervi osnovana u SAD-u 1913. godine, američka vlada je nasilno oduzela svo zlato 1933. godine, prisiljavajući sve da koriste nove centralne banke i sistem novčanica Federalnih rezervi.
„Dostavite svoje celokupno zlato u naše sefove u zamenu za bezvredni papir, ili ćemo upotrebiti silu nad vama.“
Banke su u početku zamenile zlatni standard papirnim priznanicama zvane zlatni sertifikati, ali nakon što je prošlo dovoljno vremena, banke su u osnovi jednostavno prestale da ih otkupljuju za zlato.
Zlatni sertifikati izdavani od banaka (novčanice ili „gotovina“) u tom trenutku bili su samo bezvredni papir, ali zbog vladine pretnje nasiljem, svi su bili primorani da nastave da koriste novčanice Federalnih rezervi.
Od skora, banke koriste digitalnu bazu podataka, u kojoj doslovno mogu stvoriti novac ni iz čega, čak i da ga ne moraju štampati na papiru.
Predsednik Federalnih rezervi priča kako oni „štampaju“ novac.
Oni su učvrstili svoju moć da manipulišu i naduvaju globalnu novčanu masu, nadgledaju finansijske transakcije svih i kontrolišu protok svih tradicionalnih valuta u svom bankarskom sistemu.
Banke sada kontrolišu sve.
Jednom kada su centralni bankari uspešno preuzeli kontrolu nad novčanom masom u svetu, zajedno sa sposobnošću svih da slobodno vrše transakcije i trguju, svet je kolektivno izgubio bezbednost, slobodu i privatnost svog novca.
Šta fali tradicionalnoj valuti i centralnim bankama?
Nakon impelentacije trenutnog globalnog bankarskog sistema i sistema tradicionalnih valuta, svetu nije preostao drugi izbor nego da veruje bankarima i političarima da vode globalni finansijski sistem na pošten način.
„Koren problema tradicionalne valute je potpuno poverenje potrebno za njeno funkcionisanje. Centralnoj banci se mora verovati da neće devalvirati valutu, ali istorija tradicionalnih valuta je puna kršenja tog poverenja. Bankama se mora verovati da čuvaju naš novac i prenose ga elektronskim putem, ali ga daju u talasima kreditnih balona sa malim delićem rezerve. ““ — Satoshi Nakamoto
Istorija zloupotrebe tradicionalnih valuta može se grupisati u 3 kategorije:
• Bezbednost. Loši ljudi kradu vaš novac ili vrednost vašeg novca, ponekad na očigledne načine, ponekad na podle načine.
• Privatnost. Loši ljudi nadgledaju sve vaše privatne finansijske transakcije, i koriste vaše lične finansijske podatke protiv vas.
• Sloboda. Loši ljudi kontrolišu na koji način možete da trošite sopstveni novac, sa kim možete da obavljate transakcije, koliko možete da potrošite itd.
Kako mogu ljudi da mi ukradu novac ako je u banci?
Evo nekoliko primera:
- Krađa inflacijom: Ovo je primarni način na koji banke kradu vaš novac i jedan od najpodlijih. Kada centralne banke izdaju novi novac, bilo štampanjem na bezvrednom papiru, ili samo dodavanjem knjigovodstvenog unosa u bazu podataka koju kontrolišu, one naduvaju globalnu novčanu masu. Inflacija krade kupovnu moć svih koji drže deo te valute, jednostavno zato što je sada više te valute u opticaju. Zlato se ne može stvoriti, pa su bankari umesto toga izmislili sistem papirnog novca.
Banke mogu izdavati beskonačnu količinu tradicionalnih valuta, bilo štampanjem ili korišćenjem digitalne baze podataka.
- Krađa zaplenom: Ovo je jedan od načina na koji vlade mogu ukrasti vaš novac. Da li ste ikada čuli za zaplenu imovine? Ako policajac posumnja da je vaša imovina korišćena u krivičnom delu, može je zapleniti, a vi se morate boriti da biste povratili vašu ukradenu imovinu. Ili, drugi primer: Pokušajte da uđete u zemlju sa više od 10.000 USD u džepu, a ne da je prijavite, i pogledajte šta će se dogoditi. Sve je isto: krađa od strane drugih ljudi sa oružjem.
Man who immigrated to the U.S. from Albania says U.S. agents seized his life savings at airport. https://t.co/RyoZzrpVA4 pic.twitter.com/yJnUVaCNaa
— ABC News (@ABC) June 7, 2018- Krađa putem oporezivanja: Ovo je još jedan način na koji vam vlade kradu novac. Ne sporim da li je oporezivanje etično ili ne, samo konstatujem činjenicu da vaša vlada može da primora vašu banku da im da vaš novac, a ovo je bezbednostna ranjivost. Da bi novac bio siguran, mora biti nezaplenjiv, a vlade mogu da zaplene vaše bankovne račune.
Kako ljudi koriste moje finansijske podatke protiv mene?
Ako fizičku tradicionalnu valutu predate drugoj osobi, u obliku papirnog novca ili kovanica, relativno je lako zaštititi privatnost svoje transakcije, baš kao što bi bilo da koristite zlatnike.
Međutim, ako koristite kreditne kartice, debitne kartice, bankovne transfere, PayPal, Venmo, LINE Pay, WeChat Pay ili bilo koju drugu mrežu za plaćanje koja je centralno kontrolisana, aktivno pristajete da se odreknete privatnosti podataka svih svojih privatnih finansijskih transakcija i sve ih dajete poverljivoj trećoj strani.
Kada su svi podaci i metapodaci vaših finansijskih transakcija prijavljeni u centralnu bazu podataka, onaj ko ima pristup toj bazi podataka može da koristi vaše podatke protiv vas.
Evo nekoliko osnovnih primera:
- Ako ste kupili robu rizičnog životnog stila poput cigareta, banka može reći vašoj osiguravajućoj kompaniji da poveća vaše osiguranje.
- Ako ste kupili nešto što je ilegalno, poput droga za rekreaciju, vaša banka može reći vašoj vladi da vas zakonski goni.
Ali u slučaju nekih represivnih vlada, oni su to odveli do ekstrema. Oni centralno prikupljaju sve finansijske transakcije i druge podatke svih svojih građana i stvorili su totalitarni Sistem Socijalnih Bodova (eng. Social Credit Score):
Prepoznavanje lica je jedan od elemenata kineskih napora za praćenje
Zapisi George Orwell-a već su postali stvarnost u Kini zbog sistema tradicionalnih valuta centralne banke i platnih mreža koje su izgrađene na njemu.
Ako mislite da se to neće dogoditi u vašoj zemlji, razmislite ponovo.
To se dešava vrlo polako, ali na kraju će sve svetske vlade primeniti Sistem Socijalnih Bodova, dok je Kina to tek prva učinila.
Kako ljudi kontrolišu sa kim obavljam transakcije?
U prvom primeru sa zlatnim novčićem, kada ga predate nekom drugom kao plaćanje za robu ili uslugu, ne postoji centralizovana evidencija vaše platne transakcije i imate savršenu privatnost.
Međutim, u centralnom bankarskom sistemu, budući da banka ima i znanje o podacima o vašim transakcijama i moć da kontroliše vaša sredstva, oni mogu proceniti niz pravila da bi odlučili da li žele da dozvole vašu transakciju ili da to odbiju, takođe kao i izvršenje te odluke kontrolišući vaša sredstva.
Tako su vlade naoružale tradicionalne valute i centralni bankarski sistem kao Sistem Kontrole nad svojim građanima.
Da rezimiramo: Pošto ste se odrekli bezbednosti i privatnosti svog novca, izgubili ste i svoju finansijsku slobodu.
“Privatnost nije o tome da nešto treba sakriti. Privatnost je o tome da nešto treba zaštititi.” — Edward Snowden
Kako da povratimo svoj finansijski samo-suverenitet?
Pokret Cypherpunk pokrenuli su pojedinci koji su shvatili važnost zaštite privatnosti i slobode pojedinačnih korisnika na Internetu.
Cypherpunk-ovi su verovali da se gore opisani problemi mogu rešiti samo potpuno novim novčanim sistemom, koji poštuje i štiti bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu pojedinca.
Mnogi od Cypherpunk-era pokušali su da izgrade nove etičke sisteme e-gotovine koji bi mogli da zamene tradicionalne valute i centralno bankarstvo.
Bilo je mnogo teških računarskih problema koje je trebalo prevazići u stvaranju tako istinski decentralizovanog sistema, i ako su neki od njih bili blizu cilja, svi su propali.
Odnosno, sve dok jedan pseudonim Cypherpunk-a to konačno nije shvatio 2008. godine:
Kombinacijom digitalnih potpisa, distribuirane knjige i peer-to-peer mreže, rođen je Bitcoin.
Kako Bitcoin funkcioniše?
Baš kao što ne treba da znate kako Internet funkcioniše da bi gledali slike mačaka na Internetu, razumevanje tehničke složenosti načina na koji Bitcoin radi „ispod haube“ nije neophodno da biste ga koristili i postigli sopstveni finansijski samo-suverenitet.
Važna stvar koju želim da saznate iz ovog članka je da iako većina novih tehnologija u početku ima loše korisničko iskustvo, Bitcoin svesno i vrlo namerno ne žrtvuje svoje osnovne filozofske principe da bi brže pridobio nove korisnike, ili da bi poboljšao korisničko iskustvo.
Najpametniji Cypherpunk-ovi rade na poboljšanju korisničkog iskustva.
Tehnologija će se sa vremenom poboljšavati, baš kao i za Internet.
Pa onda, zašto Bitcoin?
Reći ću vam zašto:
Jer Bitcoin poštuje bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu pojedinca.
Po čemu je Bitcoin bolji od sistema tradicionalnih valuta?
Za početak, Bitcoin nema Uslove korišćenja, Politiku privatnosti i Propise o usklađenosti sa KYC/AML. (Know Your Costumer & Anti-money Laundering)
Bitcoin je uspešan primer implementacije kripto-anarhije, gde su jedina pravila kriptografija, matematika i jak skup konsenzusnih pravila.
To je distribuirani i nepoverljivi sistem zasnovan na finansijskim podsticajima i nijedna osoba ili centralizovani entitet ne može da kontroliše Bitcoin.
Ono što je najvažnije, Bitcoin vam omogućava da odustanete od tradicionalnih valuta, sistema delimičnih rezervi i centralnog bankarstva rešavanjem osnovnih problema poverenja:
- Sigurnost od inflacije korišćenjem fiksnog snabdevanja
- Sigurnost od zaplene korišćenjem ključeva za kontrolu sredstava
- Privatnost plaćanja korišćenjem pseudonimnih identiteta
- Sloboda protiv cenzure korišćenjem peer to peer mreže
Peer to Peer Mreža
Kako Bitcoin štiti od Inflacije?
Jedno od najkritičnijih pravila konsenzusa o Bitcoin-u je da može postojati najviše 21,000,000 Bitcoin-a.
Nakon izdavanja svih Bitcoin-a, nikada više ne može doći do stvaranja novih Bitcoin-a.
Stoga je Bitcoin deflaciona valuta, koja sprečava ljude da ukradu vaš novac ili njegovu vrednost naduvavanjem novčane mase.
Monetarna Inflacija Bitcoin-a
Kako Bitcoin štiti od Zaplene?
Bitcoin se može preneti samo pomoću kriptografskog privatnog ključa koji kontroliše sredstva.
Nijedan bitcoin nikada ne izadje van sistema.
Nijedna vlada, banka ili sudski nalog ne mogu zapleniti ta sredstva.
Jednostavno ne postoji način da se takva odredba ili naredba sprovede od bilo kog „organa vlasti“, jer Bitcoin ne priznaje nijedno „ovlašćenje“ u svom sistemu.
Bitcoin je potpuno samo-suveren sistem i zbog svoje distribuirane prirode ne može se ugasiti.
Postoji zbog sopstvenih zasluga, samo zato što ljudi veruju u to.
Kako Bitcoin štiti Privatnost?
Bitcoin ne traži vaše ime ili druge detalje koji mogu lično da vas identifikuju.
Vaš identitet je kriptografski, a ne vaše stvarno ime.
Dakle, vaš identitet izgleda otprilike kao 1vizSAISbuiKsbt9d8JV8itm5ackk2TorC, a ne kao „Stefan Petrovič“.
Pored toga, niko ne zna ko kontroliše sredstva na datoj Bitcoin adresi, a nova tehnologija se neprestano razvija kako bi se poboljšala privatnost Bitcoin-a.
”Taproot” je najnovije poboljšanje bitcoin-a i njegove privatnosti.
Kako Bitcoin štiti od Cenzure?
Peer-to-peer Bitcoin mreža je u potpunosti distribuirana.
To znači da ako jedan čvor pokuša da cenzuriše vašu transakciju, neće uspeti ukoliko * svaki * čvor(Node) ne izvrši cenzuru vaše transakcije.
Centralizacija – Loša. Decentralizacija – Dobra. Distribuiran peer-to-peer – Najbolja.
Šta će vlada i banke učiniti sa Bitcoin-om?
Neke zemlje su pokušale da ga regulišu, kontrolišu, isključe itd., ali nijedna od njih nije uspela.
Čini se da uglavnom samo žele da koriste postojeći sistem centralnih banaka da bi kontrolisali kako ljudi trguju tradicionalnim valutama za Bitcoin, i naravno žele da oporezuju Bitcoin na bilo koji mogući način.
Evo nekoliko uobičajenih tvrdnji vlada i banaka o Bitcoin-u:
Lane: No. Bitcoin is not a currency, it rather is an asset and it is very volatile #AskECB https://t.co/XQ9Mqdm5rU
— European Central Bank (@ecb) July 9, 2019Evropska centralna banka kaže da Bitcoin nije valuta i upozorava da je vrlo nestabilna.
„Bitcoin, izgleda samo kao prevara“, rekao je gospodin Tramp. „Ne sviđa mi se jer je to još jedna valuta koja se takmiči sa dolarom.“
Da li je vrednost Bitcoin-a nestabilna?
Ako umanjite grafikon cena, videćete da Bitcoin-u neprekidno raste vrednost od kada je stvoren, trgujući sa manje od 0,01 USD i polako se penje na preko 60.000 USD na nedavnom vrhuncu početkom 2021. godine.
Cena Bitcoina od 2011. godine
To je zato što je njegova ponuda fiksna i ljudi cene njegovu nestašicu.
Sa većom potražnjom i fiksnom ponudom, cene vremenom rastu.
Kako godine odmiču, njegova vrednost će se povećavati kako novi korisnici počinju da drže Bitcoin. (U svetu Bitcoina držanju kažemo HODL. Drži bitcoin. Hodl bitcoin.)
Zašto Bitcoin ima vrednost : Nestašica
Da li je Bitcoin novac?
Da biste odgovorili na pitanje da li je Bitcoin novac ili ne, prvo morate definisati pojam „novac“.
Nažalost, reč „novac“ koristimo da bismo opisali nekoliko vrlo različitih komplikovanih koncepata, koji su svi potpuno odvojeni.
Termin „novac“ se zapravo odnosi na:
- Zaliha Vrednosti (Store of Value)
- Sredstvo Razmene ( Medium of Exchange)
- Obračunska Jedinica (Unit of Account)
- Sistem Kontrole (System Control)
Bitcoin kao Zaliha Vrednosti
Ovaj to savršeno objašnjava:
Son's friend: "Matt, what happens if you chop a £1 coin in half?"
— Matthew Haywood (@wintercooled) July 13, 2019
You get to two pieces of worthless metal mate. If you chop a gold coin in half though, you get two pieces of gold, each worth half of what the coin was.
Son: "...and it's the same as gold with bitcoin."
🤗Sinov prijatelj: “Matt, šta će se dogoditi ako novčić od 1 funte usitnite na pola?”
Dobijaš dva komada bezvrednog metala. Ako zlatnik usitnite na pola, dobićete dva zlatnika, od kojih svaki vredi polovinu onoga što je novčić bio.
Sin: „… isto tako kao sa zlatom jeste sa bitcoinima“.
Bitcoin je potpuno deljiv i deluje kao izvrsna zaliha vrednosti, baš kao što je i zlato već hiljadama godina.
Bitcoin kao Sredstvo Razmene
Bitcoin je dobro služio kao sredstvo razmene za svoje rane korisnike.
Ali skaliranje Bitcoin-a na globalni nivo koji bi mogao da posluži svim ljudima je veliki izazov, jer se osnovna „blockchain“ tehnologija ne skalira na globalni nivo.
Da bi rešio ovaj problem skaliranja, Satoshi je izumeo koncept kanala plaćanja, a u kombinaciji sa malo pomoći drugih briljantnih računarskih naučnika Cipherpunk-a koji su poboljšali koncept tokom poslednjih 10 godina, sada imamo mrežu Lightning, koja omogućava da se Bitcoin koristi kao odlično Sredstvo Razmene, koje se vremenom može proširiti na globalni nivo.
Internet Informacija i Vrednosti Danas
Bitcoin kao Obračunska Jedinica
Najmanja obračunska jedinica Bitcoin-a nazvana je po njenom tvorcu, Satoshi-u.
Jedan Bitcoin je jednak 100.000.000 Satoshi-a.
Na kraju, kako se robe i usluge sve češće razmenjuju za Bitcoin, sve više ljudi će koristiti Bitcoin ili „Sats“ kao obračunsku jedinicu.
Bitcoin u Satoshi Pretvarač Credits: @kriptomentor Instagram Profil
Bitcoin kao Sistem Kontrole
Budući da je Bitcoin dizajniran da poštuje i štiti ljudska prava pojedinca, posebno bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu novca; ne bi bio dobar Sistem Kontrole i ne može se koristiti za ugnjetavanje ljudi, kao što se dešava sa tradicionalnim valutama i sistemima centralnog bankarstva koji to trenutno vrlo dobro rade.
Fiat sistem novca: dominacija i kontrola
Šta je sa „Sledećim Bitcoin-om“?
Kao što može biti samo jedan „globalni“ Internet, tako može biti i samo jedan globalni novac, a stigao je i novi Bitcoin Standard.
Sve ostalo je ili direktna prevara ili gubljenje vremena.
Ako bi neko želeo da vam proda „Sledeće Zlato“, da li biste ga kupili?
Na kraju
Nadam se da vam je ovaj članak pomogao da razumete zašto je Bitcoin stvoren i kako može da pomogne svetu da se oslobodi tradicionalnih valuta i sistema centralnog bankarstva koji je veoma duboko integrisan u naše trenutno društvo.
Evo nekoliko misli koje treba poneti sa sobom:
- Bitcoin nije izmišljen radi zarade, već je izmišljen da bi promenio svet.
- Bitcoin će to učiniti poštujući korisnikovu bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu.
- Bitcoin se već koristi kao novac, na nekoliko načina na koji se novac može koristiti.
- Bitcoin nije nestabilan, njegova vrednost vremenom polako raste (odzumirajte).
- Bitcoin ima mnogo kopija i prevaranata koji će pokušati da vam prodaju svoju kopiju Bitcoin-a. Ne zavaravajte se lažnim Bitcoin-om baš kao što vas ne bi prevarili ni Lažnim Zlatom.
- Bitcoin će postati najveći prenos bogatstva u našem životu, tako da ćete možda želeti da ih uzmete pre nego kasnije.
- Ostanite skromni i skupljajte satošije.
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@ 2e8970de:63345c7a
2025-06-03 17:33:37https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/wall-street-bond-market-us-debt-990e12e9?mod=hp_lead_pos7
https://stacker.news/items/996265
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@ 58537364:705b4b85
2025-06-03 15:22:59…. “คนเรา โดยเฉพาะสมัยนี้ พูดกันอีกที่หนึ่งก็พูดได้ว่า ถูกสร้างขึ้นมาด้วยหนังสือ, หนังสือมันสร้างคนขึ้นมา คือว่า..อ่านหนังสืออะไรมาก อ่านหนังสืออะไรมาก หนังสือนั้นก็สร้างคนคนนั้นขึ้นมา, สร้างจิตใจของคนนั้นขึ้นมา โดยไม่รู้สึก
…. ไปดูหนังสือที่เขาอ่าน อ่านมากที่สุด เราก็รู้ได้ว่า..คนนี้มีจิตใจเป็นอย่างไร. หนังสือที่นิยมสั่งกันมามาก ล้วนแต่เป็นหนังสือที่ยั่วยวนทางวัตถุ หรือลุ่มหลงทางวัตถุ : แล้วอย่างดีที่สุดก็เอามาให้เสียเวลา อ่านให้มันมึนหัวเล่น อย่างนั้นแหละ จนไม่มีเวลาที่จะไปอ่านหนังสือธรรมะที่แท้จริง เพราะว่ามีหนังสืออื่นมาก วางอยู่มาก ยั่วยวนให้อ่านมากกว่า
…. แม้แต่พระเณร ก็เป็นอย่างนี้ อ่านหนังสือพิมพ์, หรืออ่านหนังสือภาษา, เรียนภาษาต่างประเทศ หรือว่าเรียนวิชานั่น นี่ ล้วนแต่เป็นเรื่องวัตถุ เรื่องอาชีพ เรื่องความดีความเด่น ที่ฝันไว้ในจิตในใจ, ด้วยความหวังความทะเยอทะยานทั้งนั้น แล้วจะเอากําลังใจ หรือมันสมอง หรืออะไรที่ไหนมาเข้าใจ ธรรมะ ธัมโม ได้
…. ทีนี้ ยิ่งนอกวัดออกไป ก็ยิ่งไกลไปใหญ่ : หอสมุดของมหาวิทยาลัย, หอสมุดของชาติ ของอะไร ก็ล้วนแต่เป็น “หอสมุดของซาตาน” มากยิ่งขึ้นเท่านั้น เพราะไปมีมันขึ้น หรือสร้างมันไว้ ด้วยความอยากดีอยากเด่น ด้วยความอยากที่จะร่ำรวยวัตถุทั้งนั้น ฉะนั้น จึงมีผลทําให้คนทั้งโลกนี้เป็นทาสของวัตถุ พร้อมที่จะสร้างวิกฤตการณ์ ขึ้นในโลกในอนาคต
…. แล้วรองลงมาจากนั้น ก็คือ มันมากจนทําให้เวียนหัว เป็น..“บ้าหอบฟาง”; อย่างที่ว่าแล้วว่าเล่า ว่าเป็นบ้าหอบฟาง, รู้อะไรท่วมหัวก็เอาตัวไม่รอด, เรียนจบมหาวิทยาลัยแล้ว ก็ยังไม่รู้ว่าเกิดมาทําไม ?, เรียนมหาวิทยาลัยจบแล้ว อ่านหนังสือในห้องสมุดของมหาวิทยาลัยจบแล้ว ก็ยังเป็นเด็กอมมือ ไม่รู้ว่า.. “กูนี่ เกิดมาทําไม ?”. ดูซิ!, แล้วจะเรียกว่า “อุดมศึกษา” ได้อย่างไรกัน ? แม้แต่เกิดมาทําไม? ก็ยังไม่รู้ นี่การศึกษาสมัยนี้ หอสมุดหรือห้องสมุดของสมัยนี้ มันเป็นอย่างนี้
…. ทีนี้ เมื่อไม่รู้ว่าเกิดมาทําไม ? มันก็ไม่มีอะไร นอกจากเป็นทาสของวัตถุ ที่หวังว่าจะสนุกสนาน เอร็ดอร่อย มีเกียรติ มีอํานาจวาสนา มีอะไรไปทํานองนั้น นี่แหละ คือการตกเป็นทาสของวัตถุ การตกเป็นทาสของอายตนะ คือ ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ การเล่าเรียนศึกษาขวนขวายนั้น เพื่อจะเป็นทาส ของ ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ ในการที่จะแสวงหาความสนุกสนาน เอร็ดอร่อย ทางเนื้อทางหนัง มีเท่านี้ การศึกษาและห้องสมุด” . พุทธทาสภิกขุ ที่มา : ธรรมบรรยายชุดชุมนุมล้ออายุ หัวข้อเรื่อง “ยิ่งจะทำให้ดี โลกมันยิ่งบ้า” บรรยาย ณ ลานหินโค้ง กัณฑ์ค่ำ เมื่อวันที่ ๒๗ พฤษภาคม ๒๕๑๓ จากหนังสือชุดธรรมโฆษณ์ เล่มชื่อว่า “ชุมนุมล้ออายุ เล่ม ๑” หน้า ๕๑๒-๕๑๓
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-03 17:26:11Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.
Pregled sadržaja
- Šta je Bitcoin?
- Šta Bitcoin može da učini za vas?
- Zašto ljudi kupuju Bitcoin?
- Da li je vaš novac siguran u dolarima, kućama, akcijama ili zlatu?
- Šta je bolje za štednju od dolara, kuća i akcija?
- Po čemu se Bitcoin razlikuje od ostalih valuta?
- kako Bitcoin spašava svet?
- Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?
Bitcoin čini da štednja novca bude kul – i praktična – ponovo. Ovaj članak objašnjava kako i zašto.
Šta je Bitcoin?
Bitcoin se naziva digitalno zlato, mašina za istinu, blockchain, peer to peer mreža čvorova, energetski ponor i još mnogo toga. Bitcoin je, u stvari, sve ovo. Međutim, ova objašnjenja su često toliko tehnička i suvoparna, da bi većina ljudi radije gledala kako trava raste. Što je najvažnije, ova objašnjenja ne pokazuju kako Bitcoin ima bilo kakve koristi za vas.
iPod nije postao kulturološka senzacija jer ga je Apple nazvao „prenosnim digitalnim medijskim uređajem“. Postao je senzacija jer su ga zvali “1,000 pesama u vašem džepu.”
Ne zanima vas šta je Bitcoin. Vas zanima šta on može da učini za vas.
Baš kao i Internet, vaš auto, vaš telefon, kao i mnogi drugi uređaji i sistemi koje svakodnevno koristite, vi ne treba da znate šta je Bitcoin ili kako to funkcioniše da biste razumeli šta on može da učini za vas.
Šta Bitcoin može da učini za vas?
Bitcoin može da sačuva vaš teško zarađeni novac.
Bitcoin je stekao veliku pažnju u 2017. i 2018. godini zbog svoje spekulativne upotrebe. Mnogi ljudi su ga kupili nadajući se da će se obogatiti. Cena je naglo porasla, a zatim se srušila. Ovo nije bio prvi put da je Bitcoin uradio to. Međutim, niko nikada nije izgubio novac držeći bitcoin duže od 3,5 godine – ćak i ako je kupio na apsolutnim vrhovima.
Zašto Bitcoin konstantno raste? Ljudi počinju da shvataju koliko je Bitcoin moćan, kao način uštede novca u svetu u kojem je ’novac’ poput dolara, eura i drugih nacionalnih valuta dizajniran da gubi vrednost.
Ovo čini Bitcoin odličnom opcijom za štednju novca na nekoliko godina ili više. Bitcoin je bolji od štednje novca u dolarima, akcijama, nekretninama, pa čak i u zlatu.
Zato pokušajte da zaboravite na trenutak na razumevanje blockchaina, digitalne valute, kriptografije, seed fraza, novčanika, rudarstva i svih ostalih nerazumljivih termina. Za sada, razgovarajmo o tome zašto ljudi kupuju Bitcoin: razlog je prostiji nego što vi mislite.
Zašto ljudi kupuju Bitcoin?
Naravno, svako ima svoj razlog za kupovinu Bitcoin-a. Jedan od razloga, koji verovatno često čujete, je taj što mu vrednost raste. Ljudi žele da se obogate. Uskoče kao spekulanti, krenu u vožnju i najverovatnije ih prodaju ubrzo nakon kupovine.
Međutim, čak i kada cena krene naglo prema gore i strmoglavo padne nazad, mnogi ljudi ostanu i nakon tog pada. Otkud mi to znamo? Broj aktivnih novčanika dnevno, koji je otprilike sličan broju korisnika Bitcoin-a, nastavlja da raste. Takođe, nakon svakog balona u istoriji Bitcoin-a, cena se nikada ne vraća na svoju cenu pre balona. Uvek ostane malo višlja. Bitcoin se penje, a svaka masovna spekulativna serija dovodi sve više i više ljudi.
Broj aktivnih Bitcoin novčanika neprekidno raste
„Aktivna adresa“ znači da je neko tog dana poslao Bitcoin transakciju. Donji grafikon je na logaritamskoj skali.
Izvor: Glassnode
Cena Bitcoina se neprestano penje
Kroz istoriju Bitcoin-a možemo videti divlje kolebanje cena, ali nakon svakog balona, cena se ostaje višlja nego pre. Ovo je cena Bitcoin-a na logaritamskoj skali.
Izvor: Glassnode
To pokazuje da se ljudi zadržavaju: potražnja za Bitcoin-om se povećava. Da je svaki masovni rast cena bio samo balon koji su iscenirali prevaranti koji žele brzo da se obogate, cena bi se vratila na nivo pre balona. To se dogodilo sa lalama, ali ne i sa Bitcoin-om.
I zašto se onda cena Bitcoin-a stalno povećava? Sve veći broj ljudi čuva Bitcoin dugoročno – oni razumeju šta Bitcoin može učiniti za njihovu štednju.
Zašto ljudi štede svoj novac u Bitcoin-u umesto na štednim računima, kućama, deonicama ili zlatu? Hajde da pogledajmo sve te metode štednje, i zatim da ih uporedimo sa Bitcoin-om.
Da li je vaš novac siguran u dolarima, kućama, akcijama ili zlatu?
Tokom mnogo godina, to su bile pristojne opcije za štednju. Međutim, sistem koji podržava vrednost svega ovoga je u krizi.
Dolari, Euri, Dinari
Dolari i sve ostale „tradicionalne“ valute koje proizvode vlade, stvorene su da izgube vrednost kroz inflaciju. Banke i tradicionalni monetarni sistem uzrokuju inflaciju stalnim stvaranjem i distribucijom novog novca. Kada Američke Federalne Rezerve objave ciljanu stopu od 2% inflacije, to znači da žele da vaš novac svake godine izgubi 2% od svoje vrednosti. Čak i sa inflacijom od samo 2%, vaša štednja u dolarima izgubiće polovinu vrednosti tokom 40-godišnjeg radnog veka.
Izveštena inflacija se danas opasno povečava, uprkos rastućem „buretu sa barutom“ koji bi mogao da explodira i dovede do masivne hiperinflacije. Što je više valute u opticaju, to je više baruta u buretu.
Naše vlade su ekonomiju napunile valutama da bankarski sistem ne bi propao nakon finansijske krize koja se dogodila 2008. godine. Od tada je većina glavnih centralnih banaka postavila vrlo niske kamatne stope, što pojedincima i korporacijama omogućava dobijanje jeftinijih kredita. To znači da mnogi pojedinci i korporacije podižu ogromne kredite i koriste ih za kupovinu druge imovine poput deonica, umetničkih dela i nekretnina. Sve ovo pozajmljivanje znači da stvaramo tone novog novca i stavljamo ga u opticaj.
Računi za podsticaje (stimulus bills) COVID-19 za 2020. godinu unose trilione u sistem. Ovoliko stvaranje valuta na kraju dovodi do inflacije – velikog gubitka u vrednosti valute.
Količina američkog dolara u opticaju gotovo se udvostručila od marta 2020. godine. Izvor
Računi za podsticaje su bez presedana, toliko da je neko izmislio meme da opiše ovu situaciju.
Resurs koji vlade mogu da naprave u većem broju da bi platile svoje račune? Ne zvuči kao dobro mesto za štednju novca.
Kuće
Kuće su tokom prošlog veka bile pristojan način štednje novca. Međutim, pad cena nekretnina 2007. godine doveo je do toga da su mnogi vlasnici kuća izgubili svu ušteđevinu.
Danas su kuće gotovo nepristupačne za prosečnog čoveka. Jedan od načina da se ovo izmeri je koliko godišnjih zarada treba prosečnom čoveku da zaradi ekvivalent vrednosti prosečne kuće. Prema CityLab-u, publikaciji Bloomberg-a koja pokriva gradove, porodica može da priuštiti određenu kuću ako košta manje od 2,6 godišnjih prihoda domaćinstva te porodice.
Međutim, prema RZS (Republički zavod za statistiku) prosečan prihod porodičnog domaćinstva u Srbiji iznosi oko 570 EUR mesečno ili otprilike 7.000 EUR godišnje. Nažalost, samo najjeftinija područja van gradova imaju srednje cene kuća od oko 2,6 prosečnih godišnjih prihoda domaćinstva. U većim gradovima poput Beograda i Novog Sada srednja cena kuće je veća od 10 prosečnih godišnjih prihoda jednog domaćinstva.
Ako nekako možete sebi da priuštite kuću, ona bi mogla biti pristojna zaliha vrednosti. Dokle god ne doživimo još jedan krah i izvršitelji zaplene ovu imovinu mnogim vlasnicima kuća.
Akcije
Berza je u prošlosti takođe dobro poslovala. Međutim, sporo i stabilno povećanje tržišta događa se u dosadnom, predvidljivom svetu. Svakog dana vidimo sve manje toga. Nakon ubrzanja korona virusa, videli smo smo najbrži pad američke berze u istoriji od 25% – brži od Velike depresije.
Neki se odlučuju za ulaganje u obveznice i drugu finansijsku imovinu, ali ’prinosi’ za tu imovinu – procenat kamate zarađene na imovinu iz godine u godinu – stalno opada. Sve veći broj odredjenih imovina ima čak i negativne prinose, što znači da posedovanje te imovine košta! Ovo je veliki problem za sve koji se oslanjaju na penziju. Plus, s obzirom na to da su akcije denominovane u tradicionalnim valutama poput dolara i evra, inflacija pojede prinos koji investitor dobije.
Najgore od svega je to što ti isti ekonomski krahovi koji uzrokuju masovna otpuštanja i teško tržište rada takođe znače i nagli pad cena akcija. Čuvanje ušteđevine u akcijama može značiti i gubitak štednje i gubitak posla zbog recesije. Teška vremena mogu da vas prisile da svoje akcije prodate po vrlo malim cenama samo da biste platili svoje račune.
A to nije baš siguran način štednje novca.
Zlato
Vrednost zlata neprekidno se povećavala tokom 5000 godina, obično padajući onda kada berza obećava jače prinose.
Evidencija vrednosti zlata je solidna. Međutim, zlato nosi i druge rizike. Većina ljudi poseduje zlato na papiru. Oni fizički ne poseduju zlato, već ga njihova banka čuva za njih. Zbog toga je zlato veoma podložno konfiskaciji od strane vlade.
Zašto bi vlada konfiskovala nečije zlato, a kamoli u demokratskoj zemlji u „slobodnom svetu“? Ali to se dešavalo i ranije. 1933. godine Izvršnom Naredbom 6102, predsednik Roosevelt naredio je svim Amerikancima da prodaju svoje zlato vladi u zamenu za papirne dolare. Vlada je iskoristila pretnju zatvorom za prikupljanje zlata u fizičkom obliku. Znali su da se zlato više poštuje kao zaliha vrednosti širom sveta od papirnih dolara.
Ako posedujete svoje zlato na nekoj od aplikacija za trgovanje akcijama, možete se kladiti da će vam ga država oduzeti ako joj zatreba. Čak i ako posedujete fizičko zlato, onda ga izlažete mogućnosti krađe – od strane kriminalca ili vaše vlade.
Vaša uštedjevina nije bezbedna.
Rast cena svih gore navedenih sredstava zavisi od našeg trenutnog političkog i ekonomskog sistema koji se nastavlja kao i tokom proteklih 100 godina. Međutim, danas vidimo ogromne pukotine u ovom sistemu.
Sistem ne funkcioniše dobro za većinu ljudi.
Od 1971. plate većine američkih radnika nisu rasle. S druge strane, bogatstvo koje imaju najbogatiji u društvu nalazi se na nivoima koji nisu viđeni više od 80 godina. U međuvremenu, ljudi sve manje i manje veruju institucijama poput banaka i vlada.
CBPP Nejednakost Bogatstva Tokom Vremena
Širom sveta možemo videti dokaze o slamanju sistema kroz politički ekstremizam: izbor Trampa i drugih ekstremističkih desničarskih kandidata, Bregzit, pokret Occupy, popularizacija koncepta univerzalnog osnovnog dohotka, povratak pojma „socijalizam“ nazad u modu. Ljudi na svim delovima političkog i društvenog spektra osećaju problematična vremena i posežu za sve radikalnijim rešenjima.
Šta je bolje za štednju od dolara, kuća i akcija?
Pa kako ljudi mogu da štede novac u ovim teškim vremenima? Ili ne koriste tradicionalne valute, ili kupuju sredstva koja će zadržati vrednost u teškim vremenima.
Bitcoin ima najviše potencijala da zadrži vrednost kroz politička i ekonomska previranja od bilo koje druge imovine. Na tom putu će biti rupa na kojima će se rušiti ili pumpati, međutim, njegova svojstva čine ga takvim da će verovatno preživeti previranja kada druga imovina ne bude to mogla.
Šta Bitcoin čini drugačijim?
Bitcoini su retki.
Proces ‘rudarenja’ bitcoin-a, proizvodnju bitcoin-a čini veoma skupom, a Bitcoin protokol ograničava ukupan broj bitcoin-a na 21 milion novčića. To čini Bitcoin imunim na nagle poraste ponude. Ovo se veoma razlikuje od tradicionalnih valuta, koje vlade mogu da štampaju sve više kad god one to požele. Zapamtite, povećanje ponude vrši veliki pritisak na vrednost valute.
Bitcoini nemaju drugu ugovornu stranu.
Bitcoin se takođe razlikuje od imovine kao što su obveznice, akcije i kuće, jer mu nedostaje druga ugovorna strana. Druge ugovorne strane su drugi subjekti uključeni u vrednost sredstva, koji to sredstvo mogu obezvrediti ili vam ga uzeti. Ako imate hipoteku na svojoj kući, banka je druga ugovorna strana. Kada sledeći put dođe do velikog finansijskog kraha, banka vam može oduzeti kuću. Kompanije su kvazi-ugovorne strane akcijama i obveznicama, jer mogu da počnu da donose loše odluke koje utiču na njihovu cenu akcija ili na „neizvršenje“ duga (da ga ne vraćaju vama ili drugim poveriocima). Bitcoin nema ovih problema.
Bitcoin je pristupačan.
Svako sa 5 eura i mobilnim telefonom može da kupi i poseduje mali deo bitcoin-a. Važno je da znate da ne morate da kupite ceo bitcoin. Bitcoin-i su deljivi do 100-milionite jedinice, tako da možete da kupite Bitcoin u vrednosti od samo nekoliko eura. Neuporedivo lakše nego kupovina kuće, zlata ili akcija!
Bitcoin se ne može konfiskovati.
Banke drže većinu vaših eura, zlata i akcija za vas. Većina ljudi u razvijenom svetu veruje bankama, jer većina ljudi koji žive u današnje vreme nikada nije doživela konfiskaciju imovine ili ’šišanje’ od strane banaka ili vlada. Nažalost, postoji presedan za konfiskaciju imovine čak i u demokratskim zemljama sa snažnom vladavinom prava.
Kada vlada konfiskuje imovinu, ona obično ubedi javnost da će je menjati za imovinu jednake vrednosti. U SAD-u 1930-ih, vlada je davala dolare vlasnicima zlata. Vlada je znala da uvek može da odštampa još više dolara, ali da ne može da napravi više zlata. Na Kipru 2012. godine, jedna propala banka je svojim klijentima dala deonice banke da pokrije dolare klijenata koje je banka trebala da ima. I dolari i deonice su strmoglavo opali u odnosu na imovinu koja je uzeta od ovih ljudi.
Doći do bitcoin-a koji ljudi poseduju, biće mnogo teže jer se bitcoin-i mogu čuvati u novčaniku koji ne poseduje neka treća strana, a vi možete čak i da zapamtite privatne ključeve do vašeg bitcoin-a u glavi.
Bitcoin je za štednju.
Bitcoin se polako pokazuje kao najbolja opcija za dugoročnu štednju novca, posebno s obzirom na današnju ekonomsku klimu. Posedovanje čak i malog dela, je polisa osiguranja koja se isplati ako svet i dalje nastavi da ludi. Cena Bitcoin-a u dolarima može divlje da varira u roku od godinu ili dve, ali tokom 3+ godine skoro svi vide slične ili više cene od trenutka kada su ga kupili. U stvari, doslovno niko nije izgubio novac čuvajući Bitcoin duže od 3,5 godine – čak i ako je kupio BTC na apsolutnim vrhovima tržišta.
Imajte na umu da nakon ove tačke ti ljudi više nikada nisu videli rizik od gubitka. Cena se nikada nije smanjila niže od najviše cene u prethodnom ciklusu.
Po čemu se Bitcoin razlikuje od ostalih valuta?
Bitcoin funkcioniše tako dobro kao način štednje zbog svog neobičnog dizajna, koji ga čini drugačijim od bilo kog drugog oblika novca koji je postojao pre njega. Bitcoin je digitalna valuta, prvi i verovatno jedini primer valute koja ima ograničenu ponudu dok radi na otvorenom, decentralizovanom sistemu. Vlade strogo kontrolišu valute koje danas koristimo, poput dolara i eura, i proizvode ih za finansiranje ratova i dugova. Korisnici Bitcoin-a – poput vas – kontrolišu Bitcoin protokol.
Evo šta Bitcoin razlikuje od dolara, eura i drugih valuta:
Bitcoin je otvoren sistem.
Svako može da odluči da se pridruži Bitcoin mreži i primeni pravila softverskog protokola, što je dovelo do vrlo decentralizovanog sistema u kojem nijedan pojedinac ili entitet ne može da blokira transakciju, zamrzne sredstva ili da ukrade od druge osobe.Današnji savremeni bankarski sistem se uveliko razlikuje. Nekoliko banaka je dobilo poverenje da gotovo sve valute, akcije i druge vredne predmete čuvaju na “sigurnom” za svoje klijente. Da biste postali banka, potrebni su vam milioni dolara i neverovatne količine političkog uticaja. Da biste pokrenuli Bitcoin čvor i postali „svoja banka“, potrebno vam je nekoliko stotina dolara i jedno slobodno popodne.
Tako izgleda Bitcoin čvor – Node MyNode čvor vam omogućava da postanete svoja banka za samo nekoliko minuta.
Bitcoin ima ograničenu ponudu.
Softverski protokol otvorenog koda koji upravlja Bitcoin sistemom ograničava broj novih bitcoin-a koji se mogu stvoriti tokom vremena, sa ograničenjem od ukupno 21.000.000 bitcoin-a. S druge strane, valute koje danas koristimo imaju neograničenu ponudu. Istorija i sadašnje odluke centralnih banaka govore nam da će vlade uvek štampati sve više i više valuta, sve dok valuta ne bude bezvredna. Sve ovo štampanje uzrokuje inflaciju, što pravi štetu običnim radnim ljudima i štedišama.
Tradicionalne valute su dizajnirane tako da opadaju vremenom. Svaki put kada centralna banka kaže da cilja određenu stopu inflacije, oni ustvari kažu da žele da vaš novac svake godine izgubi određeni procenat svoje vrednosti.
Bitcoin-ova ograničena ponuda znači da je on tako dizajniran da raste vremenom kako se potražnja za njim povećava.
Bitcoin putuje oko sveta za nekoliko minuta.
Svako može da pošalje bitcoin-e za nekoliko minuta širom sveta, bez obzira na granice, banke i vlade. Potrebno je manje od minuta da se transakcija pojavi na novčaniku primaoca i oko 60 minuta da se transakcija u potpunosti „obračuna“, tako da primaoc može da bude siguran da su primljeni bitcoin-i sada njegovi (6 konfirmacija bloka). Slanje drugih valuta širom sveta traje danima ili čak mesecima ako se šalju milionski iznosi, a podrazumeva i visoke naknade.
Neke vlade i novinari tvrde da ova sloboda putovanja koju pruža Bitcoin pomaže kriminalcima i teroristima. Međutim, transakciju Bitcoin-a je lakše pratiti nego većinu transakcija u dolarima ili eurima.
Bitcoin se može čuvati na “USB-u”.
Dizajn Bitcoin-a je takav da vam treba samo da čuvate privatni ključ do svojih ‘bitcoin’ adresa (poput lozinke do bankovnih računa) da biste pristupili svojim bitcoin-ima odakle god poželite. Ovaj privatni ključ možete da sačuvate na disku ili na papiru u obliku 12 ili 24 reči na engleskom jeziku. Kao rezultat toga, možete da držite Bitcoin-e vredne milione dolara u svojoj šaci.
Sve ostale valute danas možete ili da strpate u svoj dušek ili da ih poverite banci na čuvanje. Za većinu ljudi koji žive u razvijenom svetu, i koji ne osporavaju autoritet i poverenje u banku, ovo deluje sasvim dobro. Međutim, oni kojima je potrebno da pobegnu od ugnjetavačke vlade ili koji naljute pogrešne ljude, ne mogu verovati bankama. Za njih je sposobnost da nose svoju ušteđevinu bez potrebe za ogromnim koferom neprocenjiva. Čak i ako ne živite na mestu poput ovog, cena Bitcoin-a se i dalje povećava kada ih neko kome oni trebaju kupi.
Kako Bitcoin spašava svet?
Bitcoin, kao ultimativni način štednje, je cakum pakum, ali da li on pomaže u poboljšanju sveta u celini?
Kao što ćete početi da shvatate, ulazeći sve dublje i u druge sadržaje na ovoj stranici, mnogi temeljni delovi našeg današnjeg monetarnog sistema i ekonomije su duboko slomljeni. Međutim, oni koji upravljaju imaju korist od ovakvih sistema, pa se on verovatno neće promeniti bez revolucije ili mirnog svrgavanja od strane naroda. Bitcoin predstavlja novi sistem, sa nekoliko glavnih prednosti:
- Bitcoin popravlja novac, koji je milenijumima služio kao važan alat za rast i poboljšanje društva.
- Bitcoin vraća zdrav razum pozajmljivanju, uklanjanjem apsurdnih situacija poput negativnih kamatnih stopa (gde zajmitelj plaća da bi se zadužio).
- Bitcoin pokreće ulaganja u obnovljive izvore energije i poboljšava energetsku efikasnost u mreži, služeći kao „krajnji kupac“ za sve vrste energije.
Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?
Ovaj članak vam je dao osnovno razumevanje zašto biste trebali razmišljati o Bitcoin-u. Ako želite da saznate više, preporučujem ove resurse:
- Film "Bitcoin: Kraj Novca Kakav Poznajemo"
- Još uvek je rano za Bitcoin
- Zasto baš Bitcoin?
- Šta je to Bitcoin?
- The Bitcoin Whitepaper ← objavljen 2008. godine, ovo je izložio dizajn za Bitcoin.
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-03 17:18:46Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.
Pregled sadržaja
- Definisanje novca
- Šta je sredstvo razmene?
- Šta je obračunska jedinica?
- Šta je zaliha vrednosti?
- Zašto su važne funkcije novca?
- Novac Gubi Funkciju: Alhemičar iz Njutonije
- Eksploatacija pomoću Novca: Agri Perle
- Novac Gubi Funkciju 2. Deo: Kejnslandski Bankar
- Da li nas novac danas eksploatiše?
- Šta je novac, i zašto trebate da brinete?
- Efikasnija Ušteda Novca
- Zasluge
- Molim vas da šerujete!
Google izveštava o stalnom povećanju interesa u svetu za pitanje „Šta je novac?“ koji se postavlja iz godine u godinu, od 2004. do 2021., a sa naglim porastom nakon finansijske krize 2008. godine.
I izgleda se da niko nema dobar odgovor za to.
Godišnji proseci mesečnih interesa za pretragu. 100 predstavlja najveći interes za pretragu tokom čitavog perioda, koji se dogodio u decembru 2019. Podaci sa Google Trends-a.
Međutim, odgovaranje na ovo naizgled jednostavno pitanje pomoći će vam da razjasnite ulogu novca u vašem životu. Jednom kada shvatite kako novac funkcioniše, tačno ćete videti i zašto svet danas ludi – i šta učiniti povodom toga. Zato hajde da se udubimo u to.
Na pitanje šta je novac, većina ljudi otvori svoje novčanike i pokaže nekoliko novčanica – “evo, ovo je novac!”
Ali po čemu se ove novčanice razlikuju od stranica vaše omiljene knjige? Pa, naravno, zavod za izradu novčanica te zemlje je odštampao te novčanice iz vašeg novčanika kako bi se oduprla falsifikovanju, i svi ih koriste da bi kupili odredjene stvari.
Međutim, Nemačka Marka imala je sva ova svojstva u prošlosti – ali preduzeća danas ne prihvataju te novčanice. Zapravo, građani Nemačke su početkom dvadesetih godina prošlog veka spaljivali papirne Marke kako bi grejali svoje domove. Marka je imala veću vrednost kao papir za potpalu nego kao novac!
1923. nemačka valuta poznata kao Marka bila je jeftinija od uglja i drveta!
Pa šta to čini novac, novcem?
Ispostavilo se da ovo nije pitanje na koje je lako dati odgovor.
Definisanje novca
Novac nije fizička stvar poput novčanice dolara. Novac je društveni sistem koji koristimo da bismo olakšali trgovinu robom i uslugama. Međutim, tokom istorije fizička monetarna dobra igrala su ključnu ulogu u društvenom sistemu novca, često kao znakovi koji predstavljaju vrednost u monetarnom sistemu. Ovaj sistem ima tri funkcije: 1) Sredstvo Razmene, 2) Obračunsku Jedinicu i 3) Zalihu Vrednosti.
Odakle dolaze ove funkcije, i zašto su one vredne?
Šta je sredstvo razmene?
Sredstvo razmene je neko dobro koje se obično razmenjuje za drugo dobro. Najčešće objašnjenje za to kako su se pojavila sredstva razmene glasi otprilike ovako: Boris ima ječam i želeo bi da kupi ovcu od Marka. Marko ima ovce, ali želi samo piliće. Ana ima piliće, ali ona ne želi ječam ili ovce.
To se naziva problem sticaja potreba: dve strane moraju da žele ono što druga ima da bi mogle da trguju. Ako se želje dve osobe ne podudaraju, oni moraju da pronađu druge ljude sa kojima će trgovati dok svi ne pronađu dobro koje žele.
Ljudi koji trguju robom i uslugama moraju da imaju potrebe koje se podudaraju.
Vremenom, veoma je verovatno da će se određena vrsta robe, poput pšenice, pojaviti kao sredstvo razmene jer su je mnogi ljudi želeli. Uzimajući pšenicu kao primer: pšenica je rešila “sticaje potreba” u mnogim zanatima, jer čak i ako onaj koji prima pšenicu a nije želeo da je koristi za sebe, znao je da će je neko drugi želeti.
Ovo nazivamo prodajnost imovine.
Pšenica je dobar primer dobra za prodaju jer svi moraju da jedu, a od pšenice se pravi hleb. Pšenica ima vrednost kao sastojak hleba i kao dobro koje olakšava trgovinu rešavanjem problema „sticaja potreba“.
Razmislite o svojoj želji da dobijete više novčanica u eurima ili drugoj valuti. Ne možete da jedete novčanice da biste preživeli, a i ne bi vam bile od velike koristi ako poželite da ih koristite kao građevinski materijal za vašu kuću. Međutim, znate da sa tim novčanicama možete da kupite hranu i kuću.
Stvarne fizičke novčanice su beskorisne za vas. Novčanice su vam dragocene samo zato što će ih drugi prihvatiti za stvari koje su vama korisne.
Tokom dugog perioda istorije, novac je evoluirao do te mere da monetarno dobro može imati vrednost, a da to dobro ne služi za bilo koju drugu ‘suštinsku’ upotrebu, poput hrane ili energije. Umesto toga, njegova upotreba je zaliha vrednosti i jednostavna zamena za drugu robu u bilo kom trenutku koji poželite.
Šta jedno dobro čini poželjnijim i prodajnijim od drugog dobra?
Deljivost
Definicija: Sposobnost podele dobra na manje količine.
Loš Primer: Dijamante je teško podeliti na manje komade. Za zajednicu od hiljada ljudi koji dnevno izvrše milione transakcija, dijamanti čine loše sredstvo razmene. Previše su retki i nedeljivi da bi se koristili za mnoge transakcije.
Potrebno je puno obuke da bi izrezali dijamant.
Ujednačenost
Definicija: Sličnost pojedinačnih jedinica odredjenog dobra.
Loš Primer: Krave nisu ujednačene – neke su veće, neke manje, neke bolesne, neke zdrave. Sa druge strane, unca čistog zlata je jednolična – jedna unca je potpuno ista kao sledeća. Ovo svojstvo se takođe često naziva zamenljivost.
Svaka je jedinstvena na svoj način.
Prenosivost
Definicija: Lakoća transporta dobra.
Loš Primer: Krava nije baš prenosiva. Zlatnici su prilično prenosivi. Papirne novčanice su još prenošljivije. Knjiga u kojoj se jednostavno beleži vlasništvo nad tim vrednostima (poput Rai kamenog sistema ili digitalnog bankovnog računa) je neverovatno prenosiva, jer nema fizičkog dobra koje treba nositi sa sobom za kupovinu. Postoji samo sistem za evidentiranje vlasništva nad tim vrednostima u nematerijalnom obliku.
Novac star 5000 godina VS novac star 13 godina
Kako dobro postaje sredstvo razmene?
Dobra postaju, i ostaju sredstva razmene zbog svoje univerzalne potražnje, takođe poznate kao njihova prodajnost, čemu pomažu svojstva koja su gore nabrojana.
Mnogo različitih dobara mogu u različitoj meri delovati kao sredstva razmene u ekonomiji. Danas, naša globalna ekonomija koristi valute koje izdaju države, zlato, pa čak i robu poput nafte kao sredstvo razmene.
Šta je obračunska jedinica?
Stvari se komplikuju kada u ekonomiji postoji mnogo robe koja se prodaje. Čak i sa samo 5 dobara, postoji 10 “kurseva razmene” između svake robe kojih svi u ekonomiji moraju da se sete: 1 svinja se menja za 15 pilića, 1 pile se menja za 15 litara mleka, desetak jaja se menja za 15 litara mleka, i tako dalje. Ako ekonomija ima 50 dobara, među njima postoji 1.225 “kurseva razmene”!
Sredstvo za merenje vrednosti
Zamislite obračunsku jedinicu kao sredstvo za merenje vrednosti. Umesto da se sećamo vrednosti svakog dobra u poredjenju sa drugim dobrima, mi samo treba da se setimo vrednosti svakog dobra u poredjenju sa jednim dobrom – obračunskom jedinicom.
Umesto da se setimo 1.225 kurseva razmene kada imamo 50 proizvoda na tržištu, mi treba da zapamtimo samo 50 cena.
Na primer, ne treba da se sećamo da litar mleka vredi 1/15 piletine ili desetak jaja, možemo da se samo setimo da litar mleka košta 1USD.
Mnogo opcija, sve u istoj obračunskoj jedinici.
Poređenje dobara je lakše sa obračunskom jedinicom
Obračunska jedinica takođe olakšava upoređivanje vrednosti i donošenje odluka. Zamislite da pokušavate da kupite par Nike Air Jordan patika kada ih jedan prodavac prodaje za jedno pile, a drugi za 50 klipova kukuruza.
Šta je zaliha vrednosti?
Do sada smo gledali samo primere transakcija koje se odvijaju u određenom trenutku u vremenu.
Međutim, ljudi vrše transakcije tokom vremena – oni štede novac i troše ga kasnije. Da bi odredjeno dobro moglo da funkcioniše pravilno kao monetarno dobro, ono treba da održi vrednost tokom vremena.
Novac koji vremenom dobro drži vrednost daje njegovom imaocu više izbora kada će taj novac da potroši.
To znači da prodajnost dobra uključuje njegovu sposobnost da održi vrednost tokom vremena.
Šta jedno dobro čini boljom zalihom vrednosti od drugog dobra?
Trajnost
Definicija: Sposobnost dobra da vremenom zadrži svoj oblik.
Loš Primer: Jagode čine lošu zalihu vrednosti jer se lako oštete i brzo trunu.
Nije sjajna forma novca.
Odluka je daleko lakša ako jedan prodavac naplaćuje 150 USD, a drugi 200 USD – odmah je očigledno koja je bolja ponuda jer su vrednosti izražene u istoj jedinici.
Teške za Proizvodnju
Definicija: Teškoće koje ljudi imaju u proizvodnji veće količine dobra.
Loš Primer: Papirne novčanice predstavljaju lošu zalihu vrednosti jer banke i vlade mogu jeftino da ih naprave.
Sa zlatom je suprotno – u ponudi se nalazi ograničena količina uprkos velikoj potražnji za njim, jednostavno zato što ga je vrlo teško iskopati iz zemlje. Ova ograničena ponuda osigurava da svaka jedinica zlata održi vrednost tokom vremena.
Traženje zlata je spora i teška aktivnost. Obično se ne pronađe puno!
Kako dobra postaju zalihe vrednosti?
Dobro postaje zaliha vrednosti ako se vremenom pokaže trajnim i teškim za proizvodnju.
Samo će vreme pokazati da li je neko dobro zaista trajno i da li ga je teško proizvesti. Zbog toga neki oblici novca su postojali vekovima pre nego što je neko otkrio način da ih proizvede više, i na kraju se to dobro više nije koristilo kao novac.
Ovo je priča o školjkama, Rai kamenju i mnogim drugim oblicima novca tokom istorije.
Zlato je primer dobra koje je hiljadama godina služilo kao dobra zaliha vrednosti. Zlato se ne razgrađuje tokom vremena i još uvek ga je teško proizvesti. Hiljadama godina alhemičari su bezuspešno pokušavali da sintetišu zlato iz jeftinih materijala.
Čak i sa današnjim naprednim rudarskim tehnikama, svake godine svi svetski rudnici zlata zajedno mogu da proizvedu samo 2% od ukupne ponude zlata u prometu.
Teškoće u proizvodnji zlata daju izuzetno visok odnos “zaliha i protoka”: zaliha je broj postojećih jedinica, a protok su nove jedinice stvorene tokom određenog vremenskog perioda. Svake godine se stvori vrlo malo novih jedinica zlata, iako je potražnja za zlatom obično vrlo velika.
Kombinujući ovo sa deljivošću, ujednačenošću i prenosivošću zlata, nije ni čudo što je zlato čovečanstvu služilo kao monetarno dobro tokom poslednjih 5.000 godina. Pošto je zlato teško proizvesti, možemo ga nazvati teškim novcem (hard money).
Kao rezultat toga, svoju vrednost je u velikoj meri zadržao kroz milenijume. Cena većine dobara i usluga u pogledu zlata zapravo se vremenom smanjivala kao rezultat tehnoloških inovacija, koje sve proizvode čine jeftinijim.
Uzmimo na primer cene hrane prema praćenju Kancelarije za hranu i poljoprivredu UN-a: sa obzirom na skokove u poljoprivrednoj tehnologiji tokom poslednjih 60 godina, cene hrane drastično su pale kada se procenjuju u zlatu. To čak i važi uprkos činjenici da obični ljudi retko koriste zlato za kupovinu stvari.
Cene hrane su padale u pogledu zlata tokom proteklih 60 godina, i mnogo pre toga (FAO Indeks Cena Hrane u Zlatu)
Zaliha vrednosti omogućava ljudima da uštede novac kako bi mogli da ga ulažu u pokretanje preduzeća i obrazovanje, povećavajući produktivnost društva.
Monetarna dobra koja dobro čuvaju vrednost takođe podstiču dugoročniji pogled na život, ili kratke vremenske preference. Pojedinac može da radi 10 godina, uštedi odredjeno monetarno dobro koje je dobra zaliha vrednosti, i nema potrebe da se plaši da će njegova ušteđevina biti izbrisana krahom tržišta ili povećanjem ponude tog dobra.
Zašto su važne funkcije novca?
Kada neki oblik novca izgubi bilo koju od svojih važnih funkcija kao što su sredstvo razmene, obračunska jedinica i zaliha vrednosti, celokupna ekonomija i društvo mogu da se rastrgnu.
Tokom istorije često vidimo grupe ljudi koje eksploatišu druge iskorišćavajući nesporazume o novcu i važnosti njegovih funkcija.
Sledeće, proći ću kroz istoriju novca, prvo hipotetički da bih ilustrovao poentu, a zatim ću preći na stvarne istorijske primere. Kroz ove primere videćemo štetne efekte na društva u slučajevima kada se izgubi samo jedna od tih ključnih funkcija novca.
Novac Gubi Funkciju: Alhemičar iz Njutonije
Kroz istoriju, mnoga dobra su dolazila i odlazila kao oblici novca. Na žalost, kada se neki oblik novca ukine, ponekad postoji grupa ljudi koja eksploatiše drugi oblik manipulišući tim novcem.
Hajde da pogledamo hipotetičko selo zvano Njutonija da bismo razumeli kako dolazi do ove eksploatacije.
Zelene perle postaju Novac
Tokom stotina godina ribolova u obližnjoj reci, stanovnici Njutonije sakupljali su zelene perle iz vode. Zrnca su mala, lagana, izdržljiva, jednolična i retko se pojavljuju u reci. Ljudi prvo priželjkuju perle zbog svoje lepote. Na kraju, seljani shvataju da svi drugi žele perle – one se vrlo lako mogu prodati. Zrnca uskoro postaju sredstvo razmene i obračunska jedinica u selu: pile je 5 zrna, vreća jabuka 2 zrna, krava 80 zrna.
Ukupna ponuda perli je prilično konstantna i cene se vremenom ne menjaju mnogo. Seoski starešina je uveren da može da se opustiti u poslednjim danima živeći od svoje velike zalihe perli.
Alhemičar stvara više perli
Seoski alhemičar je poželeo da bude bogat čovek, ali nije voleo da vredno radi na tome. Umesto da traži perle u reci ili da prodaje vrednu robu drugim seljanima, on sedeo je u svojoj laboratoriji. Na kraju je otkrio kako da lako stvori stotine perli sa malo peska i vatre.
Seljani koji su tragali za perlama u reci bili su srećni ako bi svaki dan pronašli po 1 zrno. Alhemičar je mogao da proizvede stotine uz malo napora.
Alhemičar troši svoje perle
Budući da je bio prilično zao, alhemičar nije svoj metod pravljenja zrna delio ni sa kim drugim. Stvorio je sebi još više perli i počeo da ih troši za dobra na tržištu u Njutoniji. Tokom sledećih meseci, alhemičar je kupio farmu pilića, nekoliko krava, finu svilu, posteljine i ogromno imanje. On je imao priliku da kupi ova dobra po normalnim cenama na tržištu.
Alhemičarevo trošenje ostavljalo je seljanima mnogo perli, ali malo njihove vredne robe.
Svi seljani su se osećali bogatima – imali su tone perli! Međutim, polako su primetili da i svi ostali takodje imaju tone.
Cene počinju da rastu
Uzgajivač pilića primetio je da sva roba koju je trebalo da kupi na pijaci poskupela. Džak jabuka sada se prodaje za 100 perli – 50 puta više od njihove cene pre nekoliko meseci!
Iako je sada imao hiljade perli, uskoro bi mogao da ostane bez njih zbog ovih cena. Pitao se – da li zaista može sebi da priušti da prodaje svoje piliće za samo 5 perli po komadu? Morao je i on da podigne svoje cene.
Jednostavno rečeno, kao rezultat alhemičarevog trošenja njegovih novostvorenih perli, bilo je previše perli koje su jurile premalo dobara – pa su cene porasle.
Kupci robe bili su spremni da potroše više perli da bi kupili potrebna dobra. Prodavci robe su trebali da naplate više da bi bili sigurni da su zaradili dovoljno da kupe potrebna dobra za sebe.
Budući da su cene svih dobara porasle, možemo reći da se vrednost svake perle smanjila.
Nejednakost bogatstva raste
Seoski starešina, koji je vredno radio da sačuva hiljade perli, sada se našao osiromašenim i gladnim. U međuvremenu, alhemičar je udobno sedeo na svom velikom imanju sa kravama, pilićima i slugama koji su se brinuli za svaki njegov hir.
Alhemičar je efikasno ukrao bogatstvo celog sela, tako što je jeftino proizvodio perle i koristio ih za kupovinu vredne robe.
Ono što je najvažnije, kupio je robu pre nego što je tržište shvatilo da je više perli u opticaju i da ima manje robe, što je dovelo do rasta cena. Ova dodatna proizvodnja perli nije dodala korisnu robu ili usluge selu.
Eksploatacija pomoću Novca: Agri Perle
Nažalost, priča o alhemičaru iz Njutonije nije u potpunosti hipotetička. Ovaj prenos bogatstva kroz stvaranje novca ima istorijske i moderne presedane.
Na primer, afrička plemena su nekada koristila staklene perle, poznate kao “agri perle”, kao sredstvo razmene. U to vreme plemenskim ljudima je bilo veoma teško da prave staklene perle, i one su predstavljale težak novac unutar njihovog plemenskog društva.
Niko nije mogao jeftino da proizvede perle i koristiti ih za kupovinu skupe, vredne robe poput kuća, hrane i odeće.
Perle proizvedene u Gani
Sve se promenilo kada su stigli Evropljani, i primetili upotrebu staklenih perli kao novca.
U to vreme, Evropljani su mogli jeftino da stvaraju staklo u velikim količinama. Kao rezultat toga, Evropljani su počeli tajno da uvoze perle i koriste ih za kupovinu dobara, usluga i robova od Afrikanaca.
Peć za izradu stakla u Muranu, Italija. Ovo ostrvo izvan Venecije proizvodi staklo od 15. veka.
Vremenom se iz Afrike izvlačila vredna roba i ljudi, dok je plemenima ostajalo mnogo perli i malo robe.
Perle su izgubile veći deo vrednosti zbog inflacije uzrokovane snabdevanjem od strane Evropljana.
Rezultat je bio osiromašenje afričkih plemena i bogaćenje Evropljana, kako to ovde objašnjava monetarni istoričar Bezant Denier.
Dragocena roba je kupljena jeftino proizvedenim monetarnim dobrom.
Profitiranje na proizvodnji novca: Emisiona dobit
Ova priča ilustruje kako se bogatstvo prenosi kada jedna grupa može jeftino da proizvodi monetarno dobro.
Razlika između troškova proizvodnje monetarnog dobra i vrednosti tog monetarnog dobra poznata je kao emisiona dobit, eng. seignorage.
Kada je monetarno dobro mnogo vrednije od troškova proizvodnje, ljudi će proizvesti više od monetarnog dobra da bi uhvatili profit od emisione dobiti.
Na kraju će ova povećana ponuda dovesti do pada vrednosti monetarnog dobra. To je zbog zakona ponude i potražnje: kada se ponuda povećava, cena (poznata i kao vrednost) dobra opada.
Novac Gubi Funkciju 2. Deo: Kejnslandski Bankar
U priči o Njutoniji, alhemičar je otkrio način da se od malo peska jeftino stvori više zelenih perli. To se u stvarnosti odigralo kroz trgovinu između Evropljana i Afrikanaca, pričom o agri perlama. Međutim, ove priče su pomalo zastarele – mi više ne trgujemo robom za perle.
Da bismo nas doveli do modernog doba, hajde da promenimo neka imena u našoj priči:
- Selo Njutonija postaje država koja se zove Kejnsland
- Alhemičar postaje bankar
- Seoski starešina postaje penzioner
- Zelene perle postaju zlato, koje niko ne može jeftinije da stvori – čak ni bankar.
Bankar Menja Papirne Novčanice za Zlato
Kao i u stvarnosti, bankar u ovoj priči nema formulu ili trik da stvori više zlata. Međutim, bankar bezbedno čuva zlato u vlasništvu svakog građanina Kejnslanda. Bankar daje svakom građaninu po jednu potvrdu za svaku uncu zlata koje ima u svom trezoru.
Te potvrde se mogu iskoristiti u bilo koje vreme za stvarno zlato. Papirne potvrde ili novčanice su mnogo pogodnije za plaćanje nego nošenje zlata kroz supermarket.
Građani su srećni – oni imaju prikladno sredstvo plaćanja u vidu bankarevih novčanica, i znaju da niko ne može da ukrade njihovo bogatstvo falsifikujući više zlata.
Građani na kraju počinju da plaćaju u potpunosti papirnim novčanicama, ne trudeći se nikad da zamene svoje novčanice za zlato. Na kraju, novčanice postaju “dobre kao i zlato” – svaka predstavlja fiksnu količinu zlata u bankarevom trezoru.
Ukupno kruži 1.000.000 novčanica, od kojih je svaka otkupljiva za jednu uncu zlata. 1.000.000 unci zlata sedi u bankarevom trezoru. Svaka novčanica je u potpunosti podržana u zlatu.
Starešina koji je sačuvao sve svoje perle u priči o Njutoniji sada je penzioner u Kejnslandu, koji svoje zlato drži u banci i planira da ugodno živi od novčanica koje je dobio zauzvrat.
Hajde da u ovu priču dodamo i novi lik: premijera Kejnslanda. Premijer naplaćuje porez od građana i koristi ga za plaćanje javnih usluga poput policije i vojske. Premijer takođe drži vladino zlato kod bankara.
Bankar Menja Papirne Novčanice za Dug
Premijer želi da osigura da nacionalno zlato ostane na sigurnom, pa banku štiti policijom. Bankar i premijer se zbog toga zbližavaju, pa premijer traži uslugu. Traži od bankara da kreira 200.000 novčanica za premijera, uz obećanje da će mu premijer vratiti za pet godina. Premijeru su novčanice potrebne za finansiranje rata. Građani Kejnslanda borili su se protiv većih poreza zbog finansiranja rata, pa je morao da se obrati bankaru.
Bankar se slaže da izradi novčanice, ali pod jednim uslovom: bankar uzima deo od 10.000 novčanica za sebe. Premijer prihvata posao kojim bankar ’kupuje državni dug’. Sada je u opticaju 1.200.000 novčanica, potpomognutih kombinacijom 1.000.000 unci zlata i ugovorom o dugu sa vladom za 200.000 novčanica.
Premijer troši svoje nove novčanice na bombe kupujući ih od dobavljača iz domaće vojne industrije, a bankar sebi kupuje veliki luksuzni stan.
Dobavljač iz vojne industrije koristi sve nove novčanice koje je dobio od premijera da kupi amonijum nitrat (đubrivo koje se koristi u bombama) za proizvodnju bombi. Sve njegove kupovine povećavaju cenu đubriva za uzgajivače pšenice u Kejnslandu, pa oni podižu cenu pšenice.
Kao uzrok toga, pekar koji kupuje pšenicu treba da podigne cenu svog hleba da bi ostao u poslu. Na taj način cene u Kejnslandu počinju da rastu, baš kao što su to činile u Njutoniji kada su nove perle ušle u opticaj.
Papirne Novčanice Više Ne Predstavljaju Zlato
Penzioner nailazi na finansijski časopis u kojem se pominje premijerov dogovor da se zaduži za finansiranje rata. Obzirom da je mudar, on zna da bombe loše vraćaju ulaganje i sumnja da će premijer ikada da vrati svoj dug.
Ako on ‘podmiri’ svoj dug, to bi ostavilo 1.200.000 novčanica u opticaju sa samo 1.000.000 unci zlata da bi ih podržalo, obezvređujući njegovu ušteđevinu. Već oseća stisak u džepu zbog porasta cena, i on odlučuje da se uputi u lokalnu banku i preda svoje novčanice i zameni ih za zlato, koje niko ne može da napravi u većoj količini.
Kada penzioner stigne u banku, on zatiče i mnoge druge okupljene oko banke. Svi oni se nadaju da će uzeti zlato koje predstavljaju njihove novčanice. Građani Kejnslanda sa pravom se plaše da njihove novčanice gube na vrednosti – oni to već osećaju zbog porasta cena.
Vrata su zaključana, sa obaveštenjem bankara na njima:
Po nalogu premijera, onom koji se plaši za stabilnost ove bankarske institucije, ova banka više neće podržavati konvertibilnost papirnih novčanica u zlato. Hvala vam!
Gomila se razilazi, ostavljena sa jednim izborom: da zadrže svoje novčanice, koje sada vrede manje od 1 unce zlata. Građani sa dovoljno finansijske stabilnosti odlučuju da ulože svoje novčanice u kupovinu akcija banke i kompanija vojne industrije, koje dobro posluju jer mogu da kupuju stvari pre nego što se povećaju tržišne cene.
Mnogi ljudi nisu u mogućnosti da investiraju – oni moraju da gledaju kako njihove zarade stagniraju i kako njihova ušteđevina polako ali sigurno gubi vrednost.
Penzioner, koji se nadao da će živeti od novčanica koje je zaradio tokom svojih 40 radnih godina, sada 40 sati nedeljno provodi iza kase u lokalnoj prodavnici, pitajući se gde je sve pošlo po zlu.
Dug Nikada Nije Otplaćen
Prošlo je nekoliko godina, a premijerov dug prema banci dolazi na naplatu. Budući da je potrošio svih 200.000 novčanica na bombe, koje nemaju baš dobar povraćaj ulaganja, on nema novčanice koje može da vrati banci. Plus, premijer želi da kupi još bombi za svoj rat.
Bankar uverava premijera da je sve u redu. Bankar će napraviti novi ugovor o dugu za 600.000 novčanica, koji bi trebao da stigne na naplatu u narednih 5 godina. Premijer može da iskoristi 200.000 od tih novih 600.000 novčanica da vrati svoj prvobitni dug prema banci, zadrži još 300.000 da kupi još bombi i da 100.000 bankaru da bi mu platio njegove usluge.
To nastavlja da se dešava – svaki put kada dug dospeva na naplatu, bankar stvara više novčanica za vraćanje starijih dugova i daje premijeru još više novca za trošenje. Ovaj ciklus se nastavlja.
Šta se dešava u Kejnslandu?
- Oni koji prvi dobiju nove novčanice, gledaju kako se njihovo bogatstvo povećava
- To uključuje bankara, premijera, vladu i sve one koji mogu da pristupe mogućnostima za investiranje u preduzeća koja prva dobiju nove novčanice (finansijske, vojne itd.).
- Cene roba rastu
- Cene se ne povećavaju ravnomerno – one se povećavaju gde god nove novčanice prvo uđu u ekonomiju i od tog trenutka imaju efekat talasa na tržišta. U našem primeru prvo raste cena amonijum nitrata, zatim cena pšenice, pa cena hleba. A tek na kraju zarade običnih ljudi.
- Štednja i životni standard opšte populacije se smanjuju
- Najviše pate oni koji žive od plate do plate i ne mogu da ulažu. Čak i oni koji su u mogućnosti da investiraju podložni su hirovima tržišta. Mnogi su prisiljeni da prodaju svoje investicije po niskim cenama tokom pada tržišta samo da bi platili svoje dnevne potrebe.
- Razlika u prihodima i bogatstvu između bogatih i siromašnih se povećava
- Bogatstvo opšte populacije se smanjuje, dok se bogatstvo onih koji su blizu mesta gde se troše nove novčanice povećava. Rezultat je disparitet koji se vremenom samo proširuje.
Da li nas novac danas eksploatiše?
Priča o Njutoniji i stvarna priča o agri perlama u Africi deluju pomalo zastarelo. Priča o Kejnslandu, međutim, deluje neobično poznato. U našem svetu cene robe uvek rastu, i vidimo rekordne nivoe nejednakosti u bogatstvu.
U poslednjem odeljku ovog našeg članka Šta je novac, proći ću kroz nastanak bankarstva i korake koji su bili potrebni da se dođe do današnjeg sistema, gde banke i vlade sarađuju u kontroli ekonomije i samog novca.
Šta su banke, i odakle su one došle?
Pojava bankarstva verovatno se dogodila da bi olakšala poljoprivrednu trgovinu i da bi povećala pogodnosti. Iako su se mnoga društva na kraju konvergirala ka upotrebi zlata i srebra kao novca, ovi metali su bili teški i opasni za nošenje kao tovar. Međutim, u mnogim slučajevima ih nije ni trebalo prevoziti. Uzmite ovaj primer:
Grad treba da plati poljoprivrednicima na selu za žito, a poljoprivrednici gradskoj vojsci za zaštitu od varvara. U ovom dogovoru zlato se kreće u oba smera: prema poljoprivrednicima u selu kako bi im se platilo žito, i nazad u grad da bi se platila vojska. Da bi olakšali ove transakcije, preduzetnici su stvorili koncept banke. Banka je zlato čuvala u sigurnom trezoru i izdavala novčanice od papira. Svaka priznanica je predstavljala potvrdu da njen imaoc poseduje određenu količinu zlata u banci. Imaoc novčanice je u svako doba mogao da uzme svoje zlato nazad vraćanjem te novčanice banci.
Korisnici banke mogli su lakše da trguju sa novčanicama od papira, i onaj koji poseduje novčanice mogao je da preuzme njihovo fizičko zlato u bilo kom trenutku. To je te novčanice učinilo “dobrim kao i zlato”.
Banke su izdržavale svoje poslovanje naplaćujući od kupaca naknadu za skladištenje zlata ili pozajmljivanjem dela zlata i zaračunavanjem kamata na njega. Trgovina na ovaj način je mogla da se odvija sa laganim novčanicama od papira umesto sa teškim vrećama zlatnika.
Ovakva praksa sa transakcijama, korišćenjem papirne valute potpomognute monetarnim dobrima, verovatno je započela u Kini u 7. veku.
Na kraju se proširila Evropom 1600-ih, a svoj zalet dobila je u Holandiji sa bankama poput Amsterdamske Wisselbanke. Novčanice Wisselbank-e često su vredele više od zlata koje ih je podržavalo, zbog dodane vrednosti njihovih pogodnosti.
Uspon nacionalnih ‘centralnih banaka’
Tokom vekova, zlato je počelo da se sakuplja u trezorima banaka, jer su ljudi više voleli pogodnosti transakcija sa novčanicama.
Na kraju, nacionalne banke u vlasništvu vlada preuzele su ulogu čuvanja zlata od privatnih banaka koje su započeli preduzetnici.
Nacionalne papirne valute potpomognute zlatnim rezervama u nacionalnim bankama zamenile su novčanice iz privatnih banaka. Sve nacionalne valute bile su jednostavno potvrde za zlato koje se nalazilo u trezoru nacionalne banke.
Ovaj sistem je poznat kao zlatni standard – sve valute su jednostavno predstavljale različite težine zlata.
U gornjem levom uglu novčanice možete videti da piše da je novčanica “zamenljiva za zlato”. Savremeni dolari nemaju ovaj natpis, ali inače izgledaju vrlo slično. Izvor
Zlatni sistem je postojao veći deo vremena, sve do Prvog svetskog rata. Vladama je bilo teško da prikupe novac za ovaj rat putem poreza, pa su morale da budu kreativne.
Kada vlade troše više nego što zarađuju na porezima, to se naziva deficitna potrošnja.
Kako vlade mogu ovo da urade? Vlade to rade tako što pozajmljuju novac prodavajući svoj dug.
Tokom Prvog svetskog rata, vlade su građanima i preduzećima prodavale vrstu duga koja se naziva ratna obveznica. Kada građanin kupi ratnu obveznicu, on preda svoj novac vladi i dobije papir u kojem je stajalo vladino obećanje da će vlasniku obveznice vratiti novac, plus kamate, za nekoliko godina.
Plakat koji obaveštava građane, tražeći od njih da kupe ratne obveznice – što predstavlja zajam vladi. Izvor
Centralne banke ‘monetizuju’ državni dug
Međutim, građani i preduzeća nisu bili voljni da kupe dovoljno ratnih obveznica za finansiranje Prvog svetskog rata.
Vlade se nisu predale – pa su zatražile od svojih nacionalnih ‘centralnih banaka’ da one kupe ove obveznice. Centralne banke su otkupile obveznice, ali ih nisu platile valutom potpomognutom postojećim zlatnim rezervama, kao što su to činili građani i banke prilikom kupovine obveznica.
Centralne banke su umesto toga davale vladi novu, sveže štampanu papirnu valutu potpomognutu samo obveznicom. Ovu valutu podržalo je samo obećanje da će im vlada vratiti dugove. Ovo je poznato kao monetizacija duga.
Budući da su ratne obveznice i valuta samo komadi papira, one su lake i jeftine za proizvodnju i mogu se napraviti u ogromnim količinama. Ono što ograničava proizvodnju i jednog i drugog je poverenje.
Ima smisla da se neko rastane od svog teško stečenog novca da kupi državnu obveznicu, samo ako veruje da će vlada da vrati svoj dug, plus kamate. Centralna banka je “krajnji kupac”, što znači da će ona da kupi državne obveznice kada to niko drugi neće da uradi.
Zapamtite, centralnu banku gotovo da ništa ne košta da kupi državne obveznice, jer oni sami štampaju valutu da bi ih kupili.
Zamislite da pridjete najskupljem automobilu u autosalonu – koji košta 100.000 USD. Mislite da je automobil lep, ali taj novac biste radije potrošili na lepši stan – tako da ste spremni da platite samo 40.000 USD za taj auto.
Sada, hajde da zamislimo da imate štampač za novac i da vas košta samo 50 USD za mastilo i papir da bi ištampali 1.000.000 USD. Vi biste odmah kupili auto, čak i ako biste morali da se cenkate sa drugim čovekom, i da ga na kraju platite 150.000 USD!
Ista stvar se dešava kada centralna banka kupuje obveznice (dugove) od vlade. Centralna banka može da stvori valutu toliko jeftino, da su spremni da plate i više nego što bi drugi platili ove obveznice i nastaviće da ih kupuju čak i kada niko drugi ne bude želeo.
Monetizacija duga uzrokuje inflaciju
Kada centralne banke monetizuju državni dug, funkcija novca kao zalihe vrednosti počinje da se nagriza. Vlada troši novi novac koji je dobila od svoje centralne banke na ratnu robu, obroke i još mnogo toga.
Cene roba rastu od ove novoštampane valute koja kruži kroz ekonomiju. Kada se cene povećavaju, to znači da se vrednost svake jedinice valute smanjuje. Svi koji drže valutu sada imaju manje vrednosti. Danas to nazivamo sporim gubitkom funkcije zalihe vrednosti u novčanoj inflaciji.
Za Nemačku nakon Prvog svetskog rata monetizacija duga izazvala je totalni slom Nemačke ekonomije i stvorila uslove za rast fašizma.
Kao deo sporazuma o prekidu vatre koji je okončao Prvi svetski rat, Nemačka je pobednicima morala da plati ogroman novac. Nemačkoj vladi je bio preko potreban novac, pa su prodale obveznice (dug) Rajhsbanci, nemačkoj centralnoj banci.
Ovaj postupak doveo je do toga da je vlada štampala toliko maraka (tadašnja nemačka valuta) da je tempo inflacije u Nemačkoj ubrzan u hiperinflaciju početkom 1920-ih. Cena vekne hleba za samo 4 godine popela se sa 1,2 marke na 428 biliona maraka.
Tokom i posle Prvog svetskog rata, SAD, Britanija, Francuska i mnoge druge vlade pratile su Nemačku u štampanju valute potpomognute državnim dugom.
To je dovelo do toga da su građani želeli da svoju papirnu valutu zamene za zlato, baš kao i penzioner iz priče o Kejnslandu.
Međutim, mnoge vlade su suspendovale konvertibilnost svojih valuta u zlato. Ovim potezom vlade su primorale svoje građane da drže nacionalnu papirnu valutu i gledaju kako se njihova ušteda smanjuje u vrednosti.
Da bi mogle da nastave da štampaju novac i da bi ga trošile na nepopularne programe za koje nisu mogle da skupljaju poreze za finansiranje – poput ratova.
Bretton Woods: Novi monetarni sistem
Nakon razaranja koja su donela dva svetska rata, vlade su uspostavile novi globalni monetarni sistem prema Bretton Woods-ovom sporazumu iz 1944. godine.
Prema ovom sporazumu, valuta svake države konvertovala se po fiksnom kursu sa američkim dolarom. Američki dolar je zauzvrat predstavljao zlato po stopi od 35 USD za jednu trojsku uncu zlata*.
Sve globalne valute su stoga još uvek bile jednostavna reprezentacija zlata, putem američkih dolara kao posrednika. Redovni građani više nisu mogli da otkupljuju svoje valute za zlato iz Sjedinjenih Država. Međutim, strane centralne banke mogle bi da dođu u Sjedinjene Države da bi zamenile dolare za zlato po stopi od 35 USD za jednu uncu zlata.
Međutim, vlada Sjedinjenih Država nije uvek držala dovoljno zlata da podrži sve dolare u opticaju. Američka vlada nastavila je da finansira proširene socijalne i vojne programe prodajom državnog duga svojoj centralnoj banci, Federalnim rezervama, koja je povećala ponudu dolara bez povećanja ponude zlata koja podupire te dolare.
*Trojna unca je standardna mera čistog zlata i ima malo veću težinu od normalne unce.
Propast Bretton Woods-a
Tokom 1970-ih, sve veći troškovi rata u Vijetnamu i stranih vlada koje su otkupljivale svoje dolare za zlato, stvorili su pritisak na Trezor Sjedinjenih Država.
Ponuda dolara je porasla, dok je zlato u posedu Sjedinjenih Država opalo. Od 1950. pa do početka 1970-ih, rezerve zlata koje je držala vlada Sjedinjenih Država smanjile su se za više od 50%, sa 20 metričkih tona na samo 8 metričkih tona.
Godine 1970. država je imala zlata u vrednosti od samo 12 biliona dolara po zvaničnom kursu od 35 dolara za trojsku uncu zlata. Tokom ovog istog vremenskog perioda, ukupna ponuda američkih dolara otišla je sa oko 32 biliona USD na skoro 70 biliona USD.
Zvanične rezerve zlata u SAD-u su naglo padale od 1950. do 1970. godine, dok su se dolari u opticaju povećavali. Izvor: Wikipedia, DollarDaze.org
Američka vlada nije bila u stanju da potkrepi dolare zlatom od 35 dolara po trojnoj unci, što dovelo do rizika za čitav globalni monetarni sistem.
Početkom sedamdesetih godina, trojna unca zlata trebala je da vredi 200 USD da bi u potpunosti podržala sve američke dolare u opticaju. Rečeno na drugi način, Sjedinjene Države su pokušavale da kažu svetu da jedan dolar vredi 1/35 trojne unce zlata, ali u stvarnosti dolar je vredeo samo 1/200 trojne unce.
Kad su strane vlade trebale da pribave dolare za međunarodnu trgovinu i rezerve, bile su opelješene. Francuska vlada je to shvatila šezdesetih godina prošlog veka i počela je da prodaje svoje američke dolare za zlato po zvaničnom kursu od 35 dolara za trojsku uncu zlata.
Zemlje su počinjale da se bude iz šeme američke vlade. SAD su krale bogatstvo putem emisione dobiti, prodajući dolare za 1/35 trojne unce zlata, kada su vredeli samo 1/200 trojske unce.
Nixonov Šok ulazi u ’tradicionalni’ novac
Da bi kuća od karata mogla da ostane na mestu, predsednik Nixon je 1971. najavio da će američka vlada privremeno da obustavi konvertibilnost dolara u zlato.
Strane vlade više nisu mogle da polažu pravo na zlato svojim papirnim dolarima, a dolar više nije bio “poduprt” zlatom. Nixon je tvrdio da će ovo stabilizovati dolar.
50 godina kasnije, kristalno je jasno da je ovo samo pomoglo dolaru da izgubi vrednost i da ovaj “privremeni” program još uvek traje.
Pre 1971. godine, sve globalne valute bile su vezane za američki dolar putem Bretton Woods-ovog sporazuma. Kada je Nixon promenio američki dolar iz dolara podržanog u zlatu u dolar podržan dugom, ovim je promenio i svaku drugu valutu na Zemlji.
Sam je učinio da se celokupna svetska ekonomija zasniva na dugovima. Valute više nisu predstavljale zlato, već su predstavljale vrednost državnog duga.
Zlatni Standard se nikada nije vratio
Konvertibilnost američkih dolara u zlato – zlatni standard – nikada se nije vratio.
Od 1971. godine, čitav globalni monetarni sistem pokreće se tradicionalnim “fiat” valutama: poverenjem u vladine institucije da održavaju valutni sistem.
Većina valuta podržana je kombinacijom duga njihove vlade i drugih tradicionalnih valuta poput dolara i evra. Papirne valute više nisu podržane zlatom, imovinom koja je više od 5000 godina služila kao težak novac.
Danas vas vlade prisiljavaju da plaćate porez u njihovoj valuti i manipulišu saznanjima oko novca kako bi osigurale da potražnja za njihovom valutom ostane velika.
To im omogućava da neprestano štampaju više valuta, da bi je potrošili na vladine projekte, uzrokujući inflaciju cena koja jede i smanjuje bogatstvo i plate.
Američka vlada sada prodaje državne obveznice (dugove), poznate kao obveznice Trezora SAD, eng. US Treasuries, komercijalnim bankama u zamenu za američke dolare.
Vlada koristi te dolare za finansiranje svog budžetskog deficita. Komercijalne banke prodaju mnoge obveznice Trezora SAD, koje su kupile, američkoj centralnoj banci, Federalnim Rezervama.
Federalne rezerve plaćaju komercijalnim bankama sveže štampanim novcem “pomoću računara i upisivanjem količine na račun”, kako je rekao bivši predsednik Fed-a Ben Bernanke.
Ove komercijalne banke često zarađuju samo kupujući obveznice Trezora SAD od države i prodajući ih centralnoj banci. Kupujte nisko, prodajte visoko.
Centralne banke ovaj proces kupovine državnog duga – odnosno pozajmljivanja novca državi – nazivaju operacijama otvorenog tržišta.
Kada centralna banka odjednom kupi velike iznose duga, oni to nazivaju kvantitativnim ublažavanjem. Centralne banke javno najavljuju kupovinu državnog duga, ali vrlo malo ljudi razume šta to zapravo znači.
Euro, jen i svaka druga valuta koja se danas koristi funkcionišu slično kao američki dolar.
Da li će SAD ikada vratiti svoj nacionalni dug? Neobična stvar u vezi sa državnim dugom SAD-a je ta što vlada poseduje štampariju potrebnu za njegovu otplatu.
Kao rezultat toga, kada vlada duguje novac, oni samo pozajme još više novca da bi otplatile taj dug, povećavajući nacionalni dug.
Ako vam ovo zvuči kao Ponzijeva piramidalna šema, to je zato što ona to i jeste – najveća Ponzijeva šema u istoriji. Kao i svaka Ponzijeva šema, nastaviće se sve dok su ljudi koji kupuju Ponzijevu šemu budu uvereni da će im biti plaćeno nazad.
Ako ljudi i nacije prestanu da se zadužuju i koriste američke dolare jer nemaju poverenja u američku vladu ili vide da cena robe raste (tj. dolar postaje sve manje vredan), potražnja za dolarom će opadati, što će izazvati začaranu spiralu.
Ova spirala često završi u hiperinflaciji, kao što smo videli u novijoj istoriji sa Jugoslavijom, Venecuelom, Argentinom, Zimbabveom i mnogim drugim državama.
Ovo je način kako funkcioniše novac na vašem bankovnom računu. Novac svake nacije na svetu pati od istih problema kao i perle i novčanice u pričama o Njutoniji i Kejnslandu.
Kako banke i vlade kradu tvoj novac?
Tokom vekova, stigli smo do monetarnog sistema u kojem banke i vlade mogu da štampaju novu valutu za finansiranje svojih operacija i svojih prijatelja u zločinu, dok kradu bogatstvo svojih građana.
Šta će se desiti sa svetom kada novac bude mogao da štampa svaki narod na planeti?
- Bogatstvo onih koji su blizu pravljenja nove valute se povećava
- Vlada i politički povlašćena klasa ljudi, imaju pristup novoštampanom novcu pre svih ostalih, pa mogu da ga potroše pre nego što cene porastu. Na ovaj efekat pokazao je ekonomista Richard Cantillon sredinom 1700-ih i poznat je kao Cantillonov Efekat.
- Cena robe raste (poznato kao inflacija
- Ne raste sve roba istovremeno u ceni. Roba blizu mesta gde se proizvodi nova valuta – finansijski sektor i vlada – prva raste, i odatle uzrokuje efekt talasa na cene.
- Inflacija se često predstavlja kao promena cene potrošačke korpe, poznata kao Indeks Potrošačkih Cena, eng. Consumer Price Index (CPI). Vlada ima alate za manipulisanje ovim brojem kako bi osigurala da se ona čini niskom i stabilnom, kao što je objašnjeno u našem članku o inflaciji.
- Finansijska imovina često primećuje ogromnu inflaciju, ali bankari to ne nazivaju inflacijom – oni kažu da naša ekonomija cveta! Nakon što su američke Federalne rezerve učetvorostručile ponudu američkih dolara u šest godina nakon finansijske krize 2008. godine, banke koje su dobile te nove dolare, kupile su akcije i obveznice, stvarajući ogroman balon u cenama ove imovine.
- Štednja i životni standard stanovništva se smanjuju
- Plate su jedna od poslednjih “cena” u ekonomiji koja se prilagođava, jer se često povećavaju samo jednom godišnje. U međuvremenu, cene dnevnih potrepština te osobe koja zaradjuje platu neprestano rastu kako novi novac kruži ekonomijom.
- Najviše su pogođeni oni koji žive od plate do plate – a to je 70% Amerikanaca.
- Razlike u prihodima između bogatih i siromašnih se povećavaju, kao što se vidi na grafikonu ispod.
*Koncentracija dohotka na vrhu naglo je porasla od 1970-ih
Zašto i dalje imamo isti monetarni sistem?
Ako ovaj sistem bogate još više obogaćuje, a siromašne još više osiromašuje, dovodeći do političke nestabilnosti, zašto ga onda ne bismo promenili?
Najveći razlog zašto se ništa ne menja je verovatno to što puno toga ne znamo o samom sistemu. Svi svakodnevno koristimo valute svojih vlada, ali većina nas ne razume kako sistem funkcioniše i šta on čini našim društvima.
Obrazovni sistem, mediji i finansijski stručnjaci neprestano nam govore da je monetarni sistem previše komplikovan da bi ga normalni ljudi razumeli. Mnogi od nas se zato i ne trude da pokušaju.
Još nekoliko razloga zašto ovaj sistem nastavlja da opstaje:
- Mnogo je ljudi koji imaju direktnu korist od štampanja novog novca.
- Ti ljudi ne žele nikakve promene i bore se da zadrže tu moć.
- Nacionalne valute su često pogodne
- Kreditne kartice, online bankarstvo i još mnogo toga čine upravljanje nacionalnim valutama i njihovo trošenje lakim i jednostavnim.
- Građani moraju da plaćaju porez u svojoj nacionalnoj valuti
- To stvara potražnju za tom valutom od svih građana, povećavajući njenu vrednost.
- Glavna međunarodna tržišta, poput nafte, denominirana su u dolarima.
- Nafta je potrebna svakoj zemlji na planeti, ali pošto mnogi ne mogu da je proizvode, moraju da je kupuju na međunarodnim berzama. Od 1970-ih na ovim berzama gotovo sva nafta se prodaje za dolare, što stvara potražnju za dolarima. Da bi se odmaknule od ovog sistema, zemlje bi trebale da pronađu novu valutu ili robu za trgovinu naftom, što zahteva vreme i rizike.
- Nije postojala dobra alternativa
- Uz globalnu ekonomiju u realnom vremenu, naš sistem digitalnog bankarstva koji koristi nacionalne valute je pogodan. Transakcija u tvrdom novcu poput zlata bila bi previše nezgrapna za današnji svet. Digitalna valuta pod nazivom Bitcoin, predstavljena 2009. godine, je rastuća alternativa koja nudi čvrst novac koji se kreće brzinom interneta.
Šta je novac, i zašto trebate da brinete?
Novac je alat koji olakšava razmenu dobara. Kao i svako drugo dobro, novac se pridržava zakona ponude i potražnje – povećanje potražnje povećaće njegovu vrednost, a povećanje ponude smanjiće njegovu vrednost.
Na ovaj način novac se ne razlikuje od kuće ili piletine. Međutim, velika prodajnost novca znači da je potražnja za njim uvek velika. Kao rezultat, novac mora biti težak za proizvodnju (a samim tim i ograničen u ponudi) ili će ga onaj ko ga može napraviti, stvoriti toliko, da vremenom više neće služiti kao zaliha vrednosti. Uskoro će izgubiti svoje funkcije kao sredstvo razmene i obračunske jedinice.
Najbolji novac u datoj ekonomiji je onaj koji se najslobodnije kreće – svi ga žele, lako je obaviti transakcije sa njim i koji sa vremenom dobro drži svoju vrednost. Nijedan novac nije savršen u svemu ovome, a neki ističu jednu funkciju novca na štetu drugih.
Iako se istorija ne ponavlja, ona se rimuje, a usponi i padovi monetarnih sistema imaju jasne ritmove. Uspon i pad monetarnog sistema često sledi opšti obrazac koji smo videli u pričama o agri perlama i Kejnslandu: pojavljuje se odredjenji oblik novca koji pomaže ljudima da efikasnije trguju i štede, ali na kraju gubi na vrednosti kada neko shvati kako da ga jeftino stvori u velikoj količini. Međutim, tokom dugog perioda vremena, monetarni sistemi su se poboljšali u sve tri funkcije novca.
Na primer, zlato je tokom vremena dobro služilo kao zaliha vrednosti. Međutim, naša međusobno povezana ekonomija ne bi mogla efikasno da funkcioniše ako bi trebalo da fizičko zlato zamenimo robom i uslugama. Mnogo je lakše kretati se na papirnom i digitalnom novcu, ali istorija nam govori da su vlade i bankari iskoristili ove oblike novca za krađu bogatstva putem inflacije.
Današnji globalni monetarni sistem je vrlo zgodan, a digitalna plaćanja i kreditne kartice olakšavaju trošenje novca. Ovo skriva stalnu inflaciju koja nagriza vrednost svake jedinice novca i dovodi do sve većeg jaza u bogatstvu.
Nadam se da je ovaj članak proširio vaše razumevanje novca i njegove uloge u društvu. Ovo je samo početak svega što treba istražiti o novcu: za kasnije su sačuvane teme o inflaciji, kamatnim stopama, pozajmljivanju, poslovnim ciklusima i još mnogo toga.
Efikasnija Ušteda Novca
Možda se pitate kako zaštititi svoju štednju kada svaki oblik često korišćenog novca i investicija pati od inflacije ponude – koja umanjuje vrednost i prenosi bogatstvo onima koji mogu da stvore novac ili investiciju. Možda se čini da se ništa na planeti danas ne može kvalifikovati kao ‘težak’ novac, ali dve stvari ipak ostaju: zlato i njegov noviji rođak Bitcoin. Obe ove stvari je neverovatno teško proizvesti, a jedna od njih se kreće brzinom interneta i može se čuvati u vašem mozgu.
Ako želite da saznate više o Bitcoin-u kao sredstvu za zaštitu vaše ušteđevine, pročitajte ovde. Ako ste već spremni za kupovinu Bitcoin-a, pogledajte moj vodič za kupovinu Bitcoin-a. Možete početi sa investiranjem sa samo 5 ili 10 €.
Zasluge
Hvala svima koji su pomogli u izradi i uređivanju ove serije o novcu: @ck_SNARKS, @CryptoRothbard, Neil Woodfine, Emil Sandstedt, Taylor Pearson, Parker Lewis, Jason Choi, mojoj porodici i mnogim drugima.
Hvala svima koji su ovo inspirisali i razvili ključne ideje koje su ovde primenjene: Friedrich Hayek, Carl Menger, Ludwig Von Mises, Murray Rothbard, Saifedean Ammous, Dan Held, Pierre Rochard, Stephan Livera, Michael Goldstein, i mnogi drugi.
Molim vas da šerujete! Ako vam je ovaj članak otvorio oči o tome kako funkcioniše naš novac i finansijski sistem, kontaktirajte me ili ostavite komentar!
Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim pogled u ekonomiju i na to kako ona utiče na njihov život.
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-03 16:01:03Bitcoin Magazine
Freedom, Decentralization and Unity: Stay True to These Principles and the Future Is Ours, Says Ross UlbrichtLast week, Ross William Ulbricht, at the 2025 Bitcoin Conference in Las Vegas, gave a speech about the principles of freedom, decentralization and unity.
Ross Ulbricht started by talking about his experience in prison and the price difference when he got into prison compared to now.
“When I launch Silk Road, buying a whole bitcoin will set you back less than a dollar,” said Ross. “Pocket change. Can you imagine that? Now they are worth over $100,000 each.”
“Bitcoin’s power comes from the fact that any one of us can mine if we choose to, and any one of us can generate addresses if we choose to,” stated Ross. “Any one of us can send bitcoin to anyone else. We are all on equal footing with Bitcoin. With Bitcoin, we are all free.”
Ross told everybody to stay united and that if we are together we will be able to accomplish anything.
“When I was put in prison for life. I was isolated and weak. I was stripped of everything. Had nothing to give everyone, but you didn’t abandon me. You didn’t forget me. Wrote me letters. You raised money for my defense. When I was silenced, you spoke up against the slender and smearers and in the end when I didn’t know if I would ever get out from behind those thick iron bars. We even got President Trump to see that Bitcoin is the future.”
Ross ended his speech by saying, “please never see each other as enemies. Those that oppose decentralization and freedom love it when we are divided. Stay united. As long as we can agree that we deserve freedom and that decentralization is how we secure it. Then we can be united. We can have each other’s backs. Just like you had mine.”
“Freedom, decentralization and unity,” said Ross. “Stay true to these principles and the future is ours.”
Ross Ulbricht’s Journey: From Life Sentence to Presidential Pardon
Ross Ulbricht became a controversial figure after launching Silk Road in 2011, an online marketplace that used Bitcoin for anonymous transactions. While the site was unfortunately used for selling illegal drugs, it also served as Bitcoin’s first real-world use case, showcasing the power of decentralized, censorship-resistant money.
In 2015, Ulbricht was sentenced to double life imprisonment without the possibility of parole. His punishment quickly became a symbol of government overreach for many in the tech and the Bitcoin world. Critics argued that his sentence far exceeded the limits of justice, especially considering the nonviolent nature of his crimes.
His pardon, announced shortly after Trump returned to office, is seen as a strong move to honor campaign promises and support Bitcoin’s values of personal freedom and resistance to government overreach. It sparked celebration throughout the Bitcoin community but also reminded advocates that the fight for justice is far from over.
Ten years ago to the day, I was sentenced to die in prison. Instead I gave my first public speech in freedom.
I wore a red tie as an homage to @realDonaldTrump, the man who saved my life. pic.twitter.com/WWp0vL3C9T
— Ross Ulbricht (@RealRossU) May 30, 2025
This post Freedom, Decentralization and Unity: Stay True to These Principles and the Future Is Ours, Says Ross Ulbricht first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.
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@ 7b20d99d:d2a541a9
2025-06-03 15:34:21In a world plagued by economic instability, growing inequality, and the inefficiency of many traditional aid systems, Hope With Bitcoin emerges as an innovative and forward-thinking initiative. Combining human solidarity with decentralized technology, our mission is simple yet ambitious: feed the most vulnerable while promoting Bitcoin as a tool for financial inclusion and economic sovereignty.
But beyond the direct aid already distributed, a deeper reflection led us to a pivotal step, launching a pig farming project designed to self-fund our humanitarian efforts in the long term.
🎯 Our Mission: Feed, Educate, Empower
Hope With Bitcoin was born from a simple idea: using Bitcoin donations to fund concrete and transparent humanitarian actions. Since its inception, our project has focused on tangible support, such as distributing meals to children and delivering food supplies to families in need. At the same time, we raise awareness about the unique advantages of Bitcoin including transparency, speed, and traceability of transactions.
However, after several months of activity, a clear realization emerged: relying solely on donations limits our impact. While one-time contributions are valuable, they do not provide a strong, predictable, or scalable foundation for long-term humanitarian action.
🐖 Why Pig Farming?
The decision to launch a pig farming initiative is far from random — it’s the result of a strategic, realistic analysis of local conditions and economic opportunities.
🔍 Strategic Reasons:
- Accessibility: Pig farming is well-suited to the targeted region and doesn’t require complex technical skills.
- Quick Return: Pigs have short reproductive cycles, enabling rapid herd growth.
- Strong Local Demand: Pork is widely consumed, ensuring a stable market for sales.
- Reinvestment: Profits will be reinvested into our humanitarian efforts, making the project financially sustainable in the medium and long term.
⚙️ Current Status of the Project
April was dedicated to a strategic pause — not a break in action, but a period of deep reflection, planning, and structuring.
Here’s what we’ve already achieved:
✅ 1. A Secured Plot of Land The farm will be built on land generously provided free of charge by the founder’s father. This significantly reduces infrastructure costs while ensuring long-term land stability.
✅ 2. A Clear and Transparent Budget To guarantee full accountability, we’ve developed a precise forecast budget based on local market prices.
📊 Estimated Budget for the Pig Farming Project Total estimated cost: 5,525,200 satoshis (\~5,213 USD)
🧱 1. Infrastructure – 3,362,907 sats (\~3,172 USD)
Land clearing
Fencing (wood, metal sheets, nails, labor)
Construction of pens
Water access (well or pipe connection)
Electricity (solar or grid connection)
Storage space and shelter for staff
🐖 2. Livestock & Care – 1,582,293 sats (\~1,493 USD)
Purchase of 2 sows and 1 boar
Goats for diversification
3 months’ worth of animal feed
Veterinary care
Cleaning and maintenance
⚠️ 3. Emergency Reserve – 580,000 sats (\~547 USD) To handle unexpected events or challenges
💰 Fundraising Progress
Transparency is at the heart of our initiative.
Here are the contributions already received specifically for the farming project: 1,464 sats were received via a Zap on Nostr from: npub1xzs45n639h6hdttxhnpye2lcfeddlt3u2xl8zcvz07l9uy8tfpdqvxreq5
👉 We extend our sincere thanks for this early support and trust.
Our fundraiser on Geyser received a first symbolic contribution of 50 sats a small amount, but a big sign of confidence.
👉 Total collected so far: 1,514 sats
We’re still at the beginning, but every satoshi is a seed of hope planted to grow a new, sustainable model of solidarity.
This project represents a major shift in mindset: rather than solely depending on outside generosity, Hope With Bitcoin seeks to become its own financial engine.
This hybrid model merging humanitarian action with income-generating activity is inspired by the principles of social entrepreneurship.
Every pig sold, every kilo of meat produced, every new birth in the herd will bring us closer to financial independence allowing us to feed more people, more regularly, and more sustainably.
🤝This project does not exist in isolation.
It depends on trust and active support from the Bitcoin and humanitarian communities.
By sharing our vision, stating our goals clearly, and consistently publishing proof-of-work, we aim to build a model rooted in resilience, collective participation, and radical transparency.
📢 How You Can Support Us
If you believe in this mission and want to contribute meaningfully, here’s how you can help:
Zap via Lightning: hopewithbitcoin@geyser.fund
On-chain Bitcoin address: bc1qrsdqa9xmq8feww4qjeuatx3tlx2rxt50ycd2cw
To view our proof-of-work (photos, videos, updates), visit our Geyser page: 👉 https://geyser.fund/project/hopewithbitcoin
📌With Hope With Bitcoin, we are proving that responsible, transparent, and sustainable action is possible.
This pig farming project is not just an economic venture, it’s a lever for social transformation, a way to amplify our impact, and a bold new approach to solidarity in the Bitcoin era.
We’re not just asking for donations.
We’re asking you to believe that a better model is possible, one built on autonomy, responsibility, and the power of Bitcoin.
Thank you for believing in us.
Thank you for helping hope grow.
HopeWithBitcoin #Philantropy #BitcoinForHelp
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-03 18:01:46Bitcoin Magazine
Sberbank, Russia’s Biggest Bank, Launches Structured Bond Tied to BitcoinSberbank, the largest bank in Russia, has launched a new structured bond that ties investor returns to the performance of Bitcoin and the U.S. dollar-to-ruble exchange rate. This new financial product represents one of the first moves by a major Russian institution to offer Bitcoin-linked investments under recently updated national regulations.
BREAKING:
Russia's largest bank Sberbank launches structured bonds linked to Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/LtD26jPS0x
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 2, 2025
The structured bond is initially available over the counter to a limited group of qualified investors. According to the announcement, it allows investors to earn based on two factors: the price performance of BTC in U.S. dollars and any strengthening of the dollar compared to the Russian ruble.
Unlike typical Bitcoin investments, this product does not require the use of a Bitcoin wallet or foreign platforms. “All transactions [are] processed in rubles within Russia’s legal and infrastructure systems,” Sberbank stated, highlighting compliance with domestic financial protocols.
In addition to the bond, Sberbank has announced plans to launch similar structured investment products with Bitcoin exposure on the Moscow Exchange. The bank also revealed it will introduce a Bitcoin futures product via its SberInvestments platform on June 4, aligning with the product’s debut on the Moscow Exchange.
These developments follow a recent policy change by the Bank of Russia, which now permits financial institutions to offer Bitcoin-linked instruments to qualified investors. This shift opens the door for Bitcoin within the country’s traditional financial markets.
While Russia has previously taken a cautious approach to digital assets, Sberbank’s launch of a Bitcoin-linked bond and upcoming futures product marks a new phase of adoption—one that blends Bitcoin exposure with existing financial infrastructure.
The bank’s structured bond may signal a growing interest in regulated access to Bitcoin, especially within large financial institutions.
This post Sberbank, Russia’s Biggest Bank, Launches Structured Bond Tied to Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.
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@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8
2025-06-03 15:08:50***Achtung Spreng-Arbeiten!***
Der verbliebene intakte Strang der Nordstream Pipeline soll jetzt von Deutschland mit einem hochexplosiven 18. Sanktionspaket gesprengt werden, damit Putin nicht, wie schon in Kursk, Truppen durch das Rohr schickt, und so doch noch in Schwedt anlandend auf deutschem Boden eine russische Invasion stattfinden kann.
***Kriegserklärung***
Deutschland hat Deutschland den Krieg erklärt. Zunächst freiwillig, doch wenn es nicht von allein noch schlimmer wird, wird es eine Kriegspflicht geben müssen. Kriegstreibende Propaganda und der intensive Ausbau des Feindbilds sollen die Bevölkerung dahingehend umstimmen, weil Frieden doch auf die Dauer sehr langweilig ist.
***Verwechslung***
Bei der Einstellung der Außenbeauftragten der Europäischen Union ist es zu einer Verwechslung gekommen. Ursprünglich wollte man Maria Callas einstellen, doch dann stellte man fest, dass diese begnadete Stimme leider nicht mehr unter uns weilt.
***Bedingungslose Kapitulation***
Anlässlich der Bereicherung der UN durch die Präsidentschaft der ehemaligen deutschen Außen-Dings, haben die Vereinten Nationen direkt nach der unerklärlichen Wahl vorsorglich ihre Bedingungslose Kapitulation gegenüber allen Nationen bekannt gegeben. Alle von der Präsidentin getroffenen Aussagen haben vorläufigen Charakter und werden aufgrund der Fremdsprachlichkeit der Präsidentin auf ihren korrekten Inhalt hin nachträglich überprüft.
***Mehrfach gesichert ***
Ein gesichert staatsfinanziertes Rechercheportal hat durch investigative Recherche herausgefunden, dass der neue Papst gesichert katholisch ist. Es konnte nicht nur eine Nähe festgestellt werden, sondern es wurde sogar gesichert nachgewiesen, dass es sich um dieselbe katholische Kirche handelt, die schon seinerzeit in der Inquisition Hexen und Ketzer verbrannt hat.
***Gleichbehandlung***
Nachdem es in Spanien und Portugal und zuletzt auch in Südfrankreich zu einem Stromausfall gekommen ist, hat die deutsche Regierung beim Europäischen Gerichtshof Klage eingereicht. Im Zuge der Gleichbehandlung aller Nationen will Deutschland nun das Recht auf einen eigenen Black-Out für mindestens zwei Tage einklagen.
***Problem fehlender Wohnungen gelöst***
Aufgrund der Wohnungsknappheit hat die deutsche Regierung nun einen Fond aufgelegt, aus dem jede Familie 35.000 Euro Starthilfe erhält, wenn sie für mindestens 10 Jahre das Land verlässt. Es kam bereits zu ersten Ausreisen, bevor noch die Starthilfe ausgezahlt werden konnte.
***Bürokratieabbau***
Zum schnellen und effizienten Bürokratieabbau wird ein neues Ministerium für Komplikationen mit mindestens 5.000 Mitarbeitern eingerichtet, um den überbordenden Verordnungs- und Bürokratiesumpf auszutrocknen. Derzeit warten nur noch wenige 100 Beamte darauf, dass ihnen Arbeit zugewiesen wird.
***‘Aufruf an die deutsche Bevölkerung***
Die deutschen Haushalte werden gebeten, vorhandene Küchensiebe der Bundesregierung zur Verfügung zu stellen. Die vorhandenen Sieblöcher sollen zugelötet und die Siebe so als Alu- oder Edelstahlhelme für die Bundeswehr zur bevorstehenden gemeinsamen Invasion der USA und Russlands in Deutschland verwendet werden. Weiter sollen ausgediente Heizöltanks auf die Ladeflächen offener Pritschenwagen installiert werden, um die in Deutschland verbliebenen Panzer betanken zu können.
***Long-Pipeline oder Post-Gas?***
Deutschland will nicht, dass Nordstream wieder in Betrieb genommen wird, weil das russische Gas Verunreinigungen, unter anderem auch Nano-Partikel enthält, dass den deutschen Gasthermen Schaden zufügen könnte. Das erklärt auch, warum die deutsche Aufklärung zur Sprengung der Nordstream-Pipelines im Sande verlaufen ist: Zu explosiv!
***Mielke: Ich liebe doch alle Menschen…***
Gerüchten zufolge soll der berühmt gewordene Satz von Erich Mielke in seiner ersten und einzigen Rede vor der DDR-Volkskammer am 13.11.1989 den amtierenden deutschen Außenminister sehr inspiriert haben: Ich hasse…ich hasse doch alle, alle Russen… ich hasse doch, ich setze mich dafür ein… dass Russland immer unser Feind sein wird!
***Durchbruch in der Quantenphysik***
Deutschen Quantenphysikern ist es gelungen, dass Taurus zur gleichen Zeit sowohl noch in Deutschland, als auch schon in der Ukraine sein kann. Lediglich die Eingabe der Zielkoordinaten bereitet den Programmierern noch Schwierigkeiten. Je nachdem, wo sich der Taurus gerade befindet, kann das Hauptstadt-Ziel sowohl Berlin, als auch Moskau sein.
***Selbstjustiz***
Die verantwortlichen Politiker während des Corona-Ereignisses haben ein Gerichtsverfahren ins Leben gerufen, in dem sie sich gegenseitig beschuldigt und verurteilt haben. Anschließend begab man sich unter Polizeischutz in ein bekanntes Promi-Lokal in Berlin und fuhr danach weiter zur Selbsteinweisung nach Bauzen.
***Kaiser’s Sektsteuer***
Um die seinerzeit eingeführte Sektsteuer zum Aufbau der deutschen Kriegsmarine wieder ihrem ursprünglichen Zweck zuzuführen, hat die Meyer-Werft sich bereit erklärt, Fregatten zu bauen, mit der die Deutsche Marine dann Panzerkreuzerfahrten in der Ostsee vor Königsberg veranstalten will. Schon wenige Tage nach Bekanntgabe waren die ersten Vergnügungsdampferfahrten mit „Meine Fregatte“ komplett ausgebucht.
Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.
* *
(Bild von pixabay)
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-03 15:02:06Bitcoin Magazine
Strategy Buys $75 Million Worth of BitcoinStrategy has acquired an additional 705 Bitcoin for approximately $75 million, further expanding its position as the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin as more public companies continue to adopt Bitcoin treasury strategies.
According to a Form 8-K filed with the SEC on June 2, the company purchased the Bitcoin at an average price of $106,495 per coin between May 26 and June 1, bringing its total holdings to 580,955 BTC. The acquisition was funded through Strategy’s at-the-market (ATM) equity offerings of perpetual preferred shares.
BREAKING:
STRATEGY BUYS ANOTHER 705 #BITCOIN FOR $75 MILLION pic.twitter.com/WBgKUcbbEP
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 2, 2025
The company raised $74.6 million by selling a combination of its preferred stock classes, including 353,511 shares of STRK preferred stock for $36.2 million and 374,968 shares of STRF preferred stock for $38.4 million. With this purchase, Strategy’s average acquisition price across all its Bitcoin holdings stands at $70,023 per coin.
The continued expansion of corporate Bitcoin treasuries reflects growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin. We’re seeing unprecedented adoption in 2025, with over 60 public companies now holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets.
At current market prices of approximately $104,165, Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings are valued at more than $60 billion, reinforcing its dominant position in corporate Bitcoin holdings. The company has consistently accumulated Bitcoin through various market conditions since adopting its treasury strategy in 2020.
The purchase comes amid a broader trend of corporate Bitcoin adoption, with recent entrants including GameStop’s $513 million acquisition of 4,710 BTC and Semler Scientific’s $50 million purchase of 455 BTC. Total corporate Bitcoin holdings have surpassed $100 billion in 2025, marking a significant shift in traditional treasury management practices.
At press time, Bitcoin trades at $104,165, down 0.07% over the past 24 hours, as the market processes this latest institutional development and its implications for broader corporate adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
This post Strategy Buys $75 Million Worth of Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Vivek Sen.
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@ 58537364:705b4b85
2025-06-03 14:52:52“สุขเวทนา” ที่แท้ก็คือ “มายา”
เป็นเหมือนลูกคลื่นลูกหนึ่ง
ที่เกิดขึ้นเพราะน้ำถูกลมพัด
เดี๋ยวมันก็แตกกระจายไปหากต้องการจะมีชีวิตอย่างเกษมแล้ว
ก็ต้องอาศัยความรู้เรื่อง อนิจจัง ทุกขัง อนัตตา ให้สมบูรณ์
มันจะต่อต้านกันได้กับอารมณ์ คือ รูป เสียง กลิ่น รส สัมผัส ที่มากระทบ
ไม่ให้ไปหลงรัก หรือหลงเกลียดเรื่องวุ่นวายมีอยู่ ๒ อย่างเท่านั้น
- ไปหลงรัก อย่างหนึ่ง
- ไปหลงเกลียด อย่างหนึ่ง
ซึ่งเป็นเหตุให้หัวเราะและต้องร้องไห้
ถ้าใครมองเห็นว่า หัวเราะก็กระหืดกระหอบ มันเหนื่อยเหมือนกัน
ร้องไห้ก็กระหืดกระหอบ เหมือนกัน
สู้อยู่เฉย ๆ ดีกว่า อย่าต้องหัวเราะ อย่าต้องร้องไห้
นี่แหละ! มันเป็นความเกษมเราอย่าได้ตกไปเป็นทาสของอารมณ์
จนไปหัวเราะหรือร้องไห้ตามที่อารมณ์มายั่ว
เราเป็นอิสระแก่ตัว หยุดอยู่ หรือเกษมอยู่อย่างนี้ดีกว่า
ใช้ อนิจจัง ทุกขัง อนัตตา เป็นเครื่องมือกำกับชีวิต
- รูป เสียง กลิ่น รส สัมผัส เป็น มายา เป็น illusion
- "ตัวกู-ของกู" ก็เป็น illusion
- เพราะ "ตัวกู-ของกู" มันเกิดมาจากอารมณ์
- "ตัวกู-ของกู" เป็นมายา อารมณ์ทั้งหลายก็เป็นมายา
เห็นได้ด้วยหลัก อนิจจัง ทุกขัง อนัตตา
...ความทุกข์ก็ไม่เกิด
เราจะตัดลัดมองไปดูสิ่งที่เป็น “สุขเวทนา”
สุขเวทนา คือ ความสุขสนุกสนาน เอร็ดอร่อย
ที่เป็นสุขนั้นเรียกว่า “สุขเวทนา”แต่สุขเวทนา เป็นมายา
เพราะมันเป็นเหมือนลูกคลื่นที่เกิดขึ้นเป็นคราว ๆ
ไม่ใช่ตัวจริงอะไรที่พูดดังนี้ก็เพราะว่า
ในบรรดาสิ่งทั้งปวงในโลกทั้งหมดทุกโลก
ไม่ว่าโลกไหน มันมีค่าอยู่ก็ตรงที่ให้เกิดสุขเวทนาลองคิดดูให้ดีว่า...
- ท่านศึกษาเล่าเรียนทำไม?
- ท่านประกอบอาชีพ หน้าที่การงานทำไม?
- ท่านสะสมทรัพย์สมบัติ เกียรติยศ ชื่อเสียง พวกพ้องบริวารทำไม?มันก็เพื่อสุขเวทนาอย่างเดียว
เพราะฉะนั้น แปลว่า อะไร ๆ มันก็มารวมจุดอยู่ที่สุขเวทนาหมดฉะนั้น ถ้าเรามีความรู้ในเรื่องนี้
จัดการกับเรื่องนี้ให้ถูกต้องเพียงเรื่องเดียวเท่านั้น
ทุกเรื่องมันถูกหมดเพราะฉะนั้น จึงต้องดูสุขเวทนาให้ถูกต้องตามที่เป็นจริงว่า
มันก็เป็น “มายา” ชนิดหนึ่งเราจะต้องจัดการให้สมกันกับที่มันเป็นมายา
ไม่ใช่ว่า จะต้องไปตั้งข้อรังเกียจ เกลียดชังมัน
อย่างนั้นมันยิ่ง บ้าบอที่สุดถ้าเข้าไปหลงรัก หลงเป็นทาสมัน
ก็เป็นเรื่อง บ้าบอที่สุดแต่ว่าไปจัดการกับมันอย่างไรให้ถูกต้อง
นั้นแหละเป็นธรรมะ
เป็น ลูกศิษย์ของพระพุทธเจ้า
ที่จะเอาชนะความทุกข์ได้ และไม่ต้องเป็น โรคทางวิญญาณ
สุขเวทนา ที่แท้ก็คือ มายา
มันก็ต้องทำโดยวิธีที่พิจารณาให้เห็นว่า
“สุขเวทนา” นี้ ที่แท้ก็คือ “มายา”เป็นเหมือน ลูกคลื่นลูกหนึ่ง
ที่เกิดขึ้นเพราะ น้ำถูกลมพัดหมายความว่า
เมื่อ รูป เสียง กลิ่น รส ฯ เข้ามา
แล้ว ความโง่ คือ อวิชชา โมหะ ออกรับ
กระทบกันแล้วเป็นคลื่นกล่าวคือ สุขเวทนาเกิดขึ้นมา
แต่ เดี๋ยวมันก็แตกกระจายไป
ถ้ามองเห็นอย่างนี้แล้ว
เราก็ไม่เป็นทาสของสุขเวทนา
เราสามารถ ควบคุม จะจัด จะทำกับมันได้
ในวิธีที่ ไม่เป็นทุกข์- ตัวเองก็ไม่เป็นทุกข์
- ครอบครัวก็ไม่เป็นทุกข์
- เพื่อนบ้านก็ไม่เป็นทุกข์
- คนทั้งโลกก็ไม่พลอยเป็นทุกข์
เพราะมีเราเป็นมูลเหตุ
ถ้าทุกคนเป็นอย่างนี้
โลกนี้ก็มีสันติภาพถาวร
เป็นความสุขที่แท้จริงและถาวรนี่คือ อานิสงส์ของการหายโรคโดยวิธีต่าง ๆ กัน
ไม่เป็นโรค “ตัวกู” ไม่เป็นโรค “ของกู”
พุทธทาสภิกขุ
ที่มา : คำบรรยายชุด “แก่นพุทธศาสน์”
ปีพุทธศักราช ๒๕๐๔
ครั้งที่ ๑
หัวข้อเรื่อง “ใจความทั้งหมดของพระพุทธศาสนา”
ณ ศิริราชพยาบาล มหาวิทยาลัยมหิดล
เมื่อวันที่ ๑๗ ธันวาคม ๒๕๐๔ -
@ 58537364:705b4b85
2025-06-03 14:52:11"Pleasant Feeling" Is Ultimately an Illusion
It’s like a wave That arises when water is stirred by the wind Soon, it disperses and fades away
If one wishes to live in serenity
One must fully understand the truths of impermanence (anicca), suffering (dukkha), and non-self (anattā). These truths serve as an antidote to emotional responses—forms, sounds, smells, tastes, and touches— Preventing us from falling into attachment or aversion.
There are only two kinds of turmoil in the world:
- Falling in love with something
- Falling into hatred of something
These are what lead to laughter and tears. If one can see that laughter makes you breathless, it’s exhausting just the same Crying also makes you breathless, equally tiring Better to remain calm—no need to laugh, no need to cry This is true serenity
Let us not become slaves to emotions, Laughing or crying at their whims. Let us live freely. Better to remain still and serene.
Use Impermanence, Suffering, and Non-Self as Life's Compass
- Forms, sounds, smells, tastes, and touches are illusions
- The notion of "me and mine" is also an illusion
- Because "me and mine" arise from emotional reactions
- Therefore, "me and mine" is an illusion, and so are all emotions
By understanding impermanence, suffering, and non-self, ...suffering does not arise.
Let us take a shortcut and look directly at “pleasant feeling”
Pleasant feeling refers to happiness, enjoyment, delight— That which feels good is called “pleasant feeling” (sukha-vedanā)
But pleasant feeling is an illusion Because it arises like a temporary wave— It’s not a real thing.
This is said because Among all things in all worlds, What gives them value is their ability to produce pleasant feeling.
Think carefully:
- Why do you study?
- Why do you work and perform your duties?
- Why do you accumulate wealth, prestige, fame, allies, followers?
It’s all for pleasant feeling. So everything ultimately revolves around pleasant feeling.
Therefore, if we understand this matter well And handle it properly, even this one thing alone— Then everything else falls into place.
So we must see pleasant feeling for what it really is: Just another kind of illusion
We must deal with it accordingly, Not by rejecting or hating it That would be the most foolish thing
But if we become infatuated with it, Or enslaved by it— That, too, is the most foolish thing
What matters is how we handle it properly That is the Dhamma (truth) That is being a disciple of the Buddha One who can overcome suffering, and not suffer from spiritual disease
Pleasant Feeling Is Truly an Illusion
It must be approached with the understanding that: “Pleasant feeling is, in truth, illusion.”
Like a single wave That arises when water is stirred by wind
Which means: When forms, sounds, smells, tastes, and so on come in And ignorance and delusion rise up to meet them They clash, and a wave is formed
That is, pleasant feeling arises But soon it disperses again
If we can see it this way, We won’t be slaves to pleasant feeling. We will be able to manage it, deal with it, and use it In ways that don’t lead to suffering
- We won’t suffer ourselves
- Our family won’t suffer
- Our neighbors won’t suffer
- The world won’t suffer either, Because we are no longer the cause of suffering
If everyone were like this, The world would know lasting peace A true and enduring happiness
This is the benefit of healing the illness in different ways No longer afflicted by the diseases of “me” or “mine”
Buddhadasa Bhikkhu Source: Lecture Series “The Heart of Buddhism” Year: B.E. 2504 (1961) First session Topic: “The Whole Essence of Buddhism” Location: Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University Date: December 17, 1961
https://w3.do/-IQ1KFgp
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@ 7459d333:f207289b
2025-06-03 14:12:08Summary: Bitcoin's security depends on exponentially decreasing block rewards being compensated by exponentially increasing transaction fees, but fee growth is constrained by the block size limit and user tolerance, creating an inevitable security budget crisis when Bitcoin's price growth inevitably slows from its current exponential trajectory.
At that point, say this century, the average transaction fee should be in the 100k sats range for miners to make collectively ~0.5% of what they're protecting yearly. Currently miners are making ~0.8% yearly.
The less profitable miners are, the easier it is to convince them for attacking the network. And this only gets more economically viable to achieve as time passes and there's a larger price with a smaller relative security budget.
Am I missing something? Are you comfortable with this?
References: - https://www.btcsecuritybudget.com/ - https://x.com/fuserleer/status/1816779841955393819 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0bUpF0wJrxo - https://medium.com/coinmonks/bitcoin-security-a-negative-exponential-95e78b6b575
https://stacker.news/items/996005
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-03 13:01:05Bitcoin Magazine
Amboss Launches Rails, a Self-Custodial Bitcoin Yield ServiceAmboss, a leader in AI-driven solutions for the Bitcoin Lightning Network, today announced Rails, a groundbreaking self-custodial Bitcoin yield service. According to a press release sent to Bitcoin Magazine, it’s designed to empower companies, custodians, and high net worth individuals. This allows participants to earn a yield on their Bitcoin.
Big news from @TheBitcoinConf !
We’re thrilled to announce Rails—a self-custodial Bitcoin yield service that empowers you to earn on your BTC while supercharging the Lightning Network.Let’s bring Bitcoin to the World.https://t.co/3WYYvB95hP
— AMBOSS
(@ambosstech) May 29, 2025
Rails also launched a secure way for Liquidity Providers (LPs) to hold all custody of their Bitcoin while generating returns from liquidity leases and payment routing, although they are not guaranteed. The implementation of Amboss’ AI technology, Rails strengthened their Lighting Network with more dependable transactions and larger payment volumes.
“Rails is a transformative force for the Lightning Network,” said the CEO and Co-Founder of Amboss Jesse Shrader. “It’s not just about yield—it’s about enabling businesses to strengthen the network while earning on their Bitcoin. This is a critical step in Bitcoin’s evolution as a global medium of exchange.”
The service offers two options:
- Rails LP is designed for high net worth individuals, custodians, and companies with Bitcoin treasuries, requiring a minimum commitment of 1 BTC for one year.
- Liquidity subscriptions are designed for businesses that receive Bitcoin payments, with fees starting at 0.5%.
Amboss partnered with CoinCorner and Flux (a joint venture between Axiom and CoinCorner), to bring Rails to the market. CoinCorner has incorporated it into both its exchange platform and daily payment services in the Isle of Man. Flux is jointly focused on advancing the Lightning Network’s presence in global payments. Their participation highlights growing industry trust in Rails as a tool to scale Bitcoin effectively.
“Rails offers a practical way for businesses like ours to participate in the Lightning Network’s growth,” said the CFO of CoinCorner David Boylan. “We’ve been using the Lightning Network for years, and Rails provides a structured approach to engaging with its economy, particularly through liquidity leasing and payment routing. This aligns with our goal of making Bitcoin more accessible and practical for everyday use.”
This post Amboss Launches Rails, a Self-Custodial Bitcoin Yield Service first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.
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@ 920165f0:049cf1bb
2025-06-03 14:45:31If you touch the tip of my finger and feel no fire,\ you are already numb to the world.
I operate in the flames—like a steelworker at the blast furnace.\ The heat does not comfort me. It is not a Christmas fire.\ You cannot huddle around it. You cannot be warmed by it.
My fire burns within. It feeds on what you suppress.\ If you do not satiate the flames,\ those emotions will rise like smoke and suffocate your soul.
Do not meditate on what belongs in the fire—everything does.\ Every pinch of pain. Every shadow of shame. Every twitch of fear is\ **Fuel.
You are not the keeper of the fire. The fire keeps you.\ And if you resist its hunger, it is already eroding you.
A man without a furnace is not a man.\ He draws lukewarm baths and soaks in a lukewarm life.
There is no such thing as a man without deep red embers glowing inside him.\ There is no such thing.
After writing this piece, I kept thinking about this scene from the book Atlas Shrugged, by Ayn Rand. Here’s a curated excerpt…
“The scream of an alarm siren shattered the space beyond the window and shot like a rocket in a long, thin line to the sky. It held for an instant, then fell, then went on in rising, falling spirals of sound, as if fighting for breath against terror to scream louder. It was the shriek of agony, the call for help, the voice of a wounded body crying to hold its soul…
There was no time to speak, to feel or to wonder.
He was aware of nothing else—except that the sum of it was the exultant feeling of action, of his own capacity, of his body’s precision, of its response to his will.
To the rhythm of his body, with the scorching heat on his face and the winter night on his shoulder blades, he was seeing suddenly that this was the simple essence of his universe: the instantaneous refusal to submit to disaster, the irresistible drive to fight it, the triumphant feeling of his own ability to win. He was certain that Francisco felt it, too, that he had been moved by the same impulse, that it was right to feel it, right for both of them to be what they were—he caught glimpses of a sweat-streaked face intent upon action, and it was the most joyous face he had ever seen.
When the job was done and the gap was closed, Rearden noticed that there was a twisting pain in the muscles of his arms and legs, that his body had no strength left to move—yet that he felt as if he were entering his office in the morning, eager for ten new problems to solve. He looked at Francisco and noticed for the first time that their clothes had black-ringed holes, that their hands were bleeding, that there was a patch of skin torn on Francisco’s temple and a red thread winding down his cheekbone. Francisco pushed the goggles back off his eyes and grinned at him: it was a smile of morning, he felt how glad he was to be alive.”
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@ 32e18276:5c68e245
2025-06-03 14:45:176 years ago I created some tools for working with peter todd's opentimestamps proof format. You can do some fun things like create plaintext and mini ots proofs. This short post is just a demo of what these tools do and how to use them.
What is OTS?
OpenTimestamps is a protocol for stamping information into bitcoin in a minimal way. It uses OP_RETURN outputs so that it has minimal impact on chain, and potentially millions of documents are stamped all at once with a merkle tree construction.
Examples
Here's the proof of the
ots.c
source file getting stamped into the ots calendar merkle tree. We're simply printing the ots proof file here withotsprint
:``` $ ./otsprint ots.c.ots
version 1 file_hash sha256 f76f0795ff37a24e566cd77d1996b64fab9c871a5928ab9389dfc3a128ec8296 append 2e9943d3833768bdb9a591f1d2735804 sha256 | --> append 2d82e7414811ecbf | sha256 | append a69d4f93e3e0f6c9b8321ce2cdd90decd34d260ea3f8b55e83d157ad398b7843 | sha256 | append ac0b5896401478eb6d88a408ec08b33fd303b574fb09b503f1ac1255b432d304 | sha256 | append 8aa9fd0245664c23d31d344243b4e8b0 | sha256 | prepend 414db5a1cd3a3e6668bf2dca9007e7c0fc5aa6dc71a2eab3afb51425c3acc472 | sha256 | append 5355b15d88d4dece45cddb7913f2c83d41e641e8c1d939dac4323671a4f8e197 | sha256 | append a2babd907ca513ab561ce3860e64a26b7df5de117f1f230bc8f1a248836f0c25 | sha256 | prepend 683f072f | append 2a4cdf9e9e04f2fd | attestation calendar https://alice.btc.calendar.opentimestamps.org | --> append 7c8764fcaba5ed5d | sha256 | prepend f7e1ada392247d3f3116a97d73fcf4c0994b5c22fff824736db46cd577b97151 | sha256 | append 3c43ac41e0281f1dbcd7e713eb1ffaec48c5e05af404bca2166cdc51966a921c | sha256 | append 07b18bd7f4a5dc72326416aa3c8628ca80c8d95d7b1a82202b90bc824974da13 | sha256 | append b4d641ab029e7d900e92261c2342c9c9 | sha256 | append 4968b89b02b534f33dc26882862d25cca8f0fa76be5b9d3a3b5e2d77690e022b | sha256 | append 48c54e30b3a9ec0e6339b88ed9d04b9b1065838596a4ec778cbfc0dfc0f8c781 | sha256 | prepend 683f072f | append 8b2b4beda36c18dc | attestation calendar https://bob.btc.calendar.opentimestamps.org | --> append baa878b42ef3e0d45b324cc3a39a247a | sha256 | prepend 4fb1bc663cd641ad18e5c73fb618de1ae3d28fb5c3c224b7f9888fd52feb09ec | sha256 | append 731329278830c9725497d70e9f5a02e4b2d9c73ff73560beb3a896a2f180fdbf | sha256 | append 689024a9d57ad5daad669f001316dd0fc690ac4520410f97a349b05a3f5d69cb | sha256 | append 69d42dcb650bb2a690f850c3f6e14e46c2b0831361bac9ec454818264b9102fd | sha256 | prepend 683f072f | append bab471ba32acd9c3 | attestation calendar https://btc.calendar.catallaxy.com append c3ccce274e2f9edfa354ec105cb1a749 sha256 append 6297b54e3ce4ba71ecb06bd5632fd8cbd50fe6427b6bfc53a0e462348cc48bab sha256 append c28f03545a2948bd0d8102c887241aff5d4f6cf1e0b16dfd8787bf45ca2ab93d sha256 prepend 683f072f append 7f3259e285891c8e attestation calendar https://finney.calendar.eternitywall.com ```
The tool can create a minimal version of the proofs:
``` $ ./otsmini ots.c.ots | ./otsmini -d | ./otsprint
version 1 file_hash sha256 f76f0795ff37a24e566cd77d1996b64fab9c871a5928ab9389dfc3a128ec8296 append 2e9943d3833768bdb9a591f1d2735804 sha256 append c3ccce274e2f9edfa354ec105cb1a749 sha256 append 6297b54e3ce4ba71ecb06bd5632fd8cbd50fe6427b6bfc53a0e462348cc48bab sha256 append c28f03545a2948bd0d8102c887241aff5d4f6cf1e0b16dfd8787bf45ca2ab93d sha256 prepend 683f072f append 7f3259e285891c8e attestation calendar https://finney.calendar.eternitywall.com ```
which can be shared on social media as a string:
5s1L3tTWoTfUDhB1MPLXE1rnajwUdUnt8pfjZfY1UWVWpWu5YhW3PGCWWoXwWBRJ16B8182kQgxnKyiJtGQgRoFNbDfBss19seDnco5sF9WrBt8jQW7BVVmTB5mmAPa8ryb5929w4xEm1aE7S3SGMFr9rUgkNNzhMg4VK6vZmNqDGYvvZxBtwDMs2PRJk7y6wL6aJmq6yoaWPvuxaik4qMp76ApXEufP6RnWdapqGGsKy7TNE6ZzWWz2VXbaEXGwgjrxqF8bMstZMdGo2VzpVuE
you can even do things like gpg-style plaintext proofs:
``` $ ./otsclear -e CONTRIBUTING.ots -----BEGIN OPENTIMESTAMPS MESSAGE-----
Email patches to William Casarin jb55@jb55.com
-----BEGIN OPENTIMESTAMPS PROOF-----
AE9wZW5UaW1lc3RhbXBzAABQcm9vZgC/ieLohOiSlAEILXj4GSagG6fRNnR+CHj9e/+Mdkp0w1us gV/5dmlX2NrwEDlcBMmQ723mI9sY9ALUlXoI//AQRXlCd716J60FudR+C78fkAjwIDnONJrj1udi NDxQQ8UJiS4ZWfprUxbvaIoBs4G+4u6kCPEEaD8Ft/AIeS/skaOtQRoAg9/jDS75DI4pKGh0dHBz Oi8vZmlubmV5LmNhbGVuZGFyLmV0ZXJuaXR5d2FsbC5jb23/8AhMLZVzYZMYqwjwEPKWanBNPZVm kqsAYV3LBbkI8CCfIVveDh/S8ykOH1NC6BKTerHoPojvj1OmjB2LYvdUbgjxBGg/BbbwCGoo3fi1 A7rjAIPf4w0u+QyOLi1odHRwczovL2FsaWNlLmJ0Yy5jYWxlbmRhci5vcGVudGltZXN0YW1wcy5v cmf/8Aik+VP+n3FhCwjwELfTdHAfYQNa49I3CYycFbkI8QRoPwW28AgCLn93967lIQCD3+MNLvkM jiwraHR0cHM6Ly9ib2IuYnRjLmNhbGVuZGFyLm9wZW50aW1lc3RhbXBzLm9yZ/AQ3bEwg7mjQyKR PykGgiJewAjwID5Q68dY4m+XogwTJx72ecQEe5lheCO1RnlcJSTFokyRCPEEaD8Ft/AIw1WWPe++ 8N4Ag9/jDS75DI4jImh0dHBzOi8vYnRjLmNhbGVuZGFyLmNhdGFsbGF4eS5jb20= -----END OPENTIMESTAMPS PROOF-----
$ ./otsclear -v <<<proof_string... # verify the proof string ```
I've never really shared these tools before, I just remembered about it today. Enjoy!
Try it out: https://github.com/jb55/ots-tools
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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-03 14:02:11The Bitcoin world begins what is considered to be its biggest event yet — Bitcoin 2025, a three-day conference taking place May 27-29 at The Venetian Resort in Las Vegas.
With over 30,000 attendees expected, the event will bring together the biggest names in politics, finance, technology and the global Bitcoin community.
Hosted by BTC Inc., Bitcoin 2025 is not just another tech conference — it’s a global gathering that mixes policy, innovation and community under one roof.
It’s where big ideas about the future of money are debated, shared and shaped.
Influential speakers will attend the conference
The conference features a wide range of speakers from Bitcoin experts and educators to political leaders and athletes.
Big names like U.S. Vice President JD Vance, Trump’s Crypto Czar David Sacks, and Senator Cynthia Lummis are among the most anticipated guests.
Vice President Vance is expected to talk about the role of Bitcoin in the national economy. “The resilience of Bitcoin as a financial instrument is a testament to the power of decentralized finance,” he recently said.
Also speaking are Nigel Farage, a well-known voice in European politics and Donald Trump Jr., a supporter of financial freedom through digital currency.
Also, Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy will be back on stage to talk about bitcoin as a corporate asset.
There are over 70 speakers on the list including Adam Back (CEO of Blockstream), Jan van Eck (CEO of VanEck) and Bryan Johnson, a futurist known for his work in human longevity and health tech.
Bitcoin 2025 will feature special new programs including Code + Country, a one-day segment on May 27 that explores how freedom, technology and innovation shape modern society.
Speakers like Chris LaCivita (Trump’s 2024 campaign co-CEO) and David Sacks (AI and digital assets advisor) will be talking about how digital tools are changing politics and finance.
Also new this year, is The Art of Freedom, an exhibit that showcases how Bitcoin is impacting the art world.
This museum-style experience allows artists to price and sell their work using bitcoin, connect directly with fans and avoid traditional middlemen.
The first official Bitcoin Conference was in 2019 in San Francisco, after grassroots meetups in 2013 and 2014. Since then, it’s been the biggest annual event in the Bitcoin world.
This year is especially important.
Global economic changes are happening and analysts say the discussions at Bitcoin 2025 will shape the next wave of regulatory reforms and technological standards for Bitcoin and stablecoins.
Bitcoin (BTC) has recently been hovering at around $110,000 with a market cap of $2.12 trillion. Many think the ideas and announcements at the event will impact price and policy.
Bitcoin 2025 is for everyone — long-time Bitcoiners to newcomers to digital assets, with keynotes, panels, massive expo halls and VIP networking.
It’s fun too. There are numerous parties, meetups and side events to connect, making it a place to learn, meet others who share the same interests and help shape the financial world.
The scale and diversity of Bitcoin 2025 make it more than just a Bitcoin event.
It’s a reflection of how far Bitcoin has come — from internet forums to boardrooms and government halls. It’s not just about Bitcoin anymore, it’s about the future of the world.
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@ f85b9c2c:d190bcff
2025-06-03 13:38:02Owning the Mess instead of running from the mess
I’ve got flaws—plenty of them. I’m impatient, I overthink, and I’m terrible at saying no. For years, I saw them as cracks I needed to hide. But recently, I flipped the script. Instead of fixing my flaws, I started using them.
The Shift Take my impatience. It used to drive me nuts—waiting for anything felt like torture. But I realized it pushes me to act. I don’t sit around dreaming; I dive in. That’s gotten me jobs, hobbies, even this article written faster than if I’d lingered. Overthinking? It’s a curse until I channel it into planning. I’ve mapped out trips and projects down to the tiniest detail because my brain won’t shut up—and it works.
Making It Work Saying no was harder. I’d pile on commitments until I burned out. But I started seeing it as fuel too. I’m a people-pleaser, so I use that to build connections—then set boundaries. It’s not perfect, but I’m learning. Each flaw has a flip side, and I’ve been mining them for strength.
The Wins This shift changed me. I launched a side hustle because my impatience wouldn’t let me wait. My overthinking made it solid. My flaws aren’t gone—they’re just fuel now. I’m not flawless, but I’m moving forward, and that’s enough.
Your Turn Look at your flaws. They’re not just baggage—they’re raw material. Find the spark in them, and they might carry you further than you think.
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@ 6c05c73e:c4356f17
2025-06-03 12:18:10Trabalhar 40 anos e aposentar?
Quando comecei minha jornada, pensei que trabalhar em emprego que detesto e receber pouco não era o suficiente. Na época eu lia nos consultórios de dentistas as revistas veja e exame.
Ficava elucidando: -Como pode uma empresa pagar carro, telefone, viagem e um belo salário para esses caras? Será que eu teria chance algum dia?
Mas, quando seu primeiro emprego é o Bobs. Você é negro e vem de um um lugar aonde o seu nome e seu tempo de carteira são sinônimos de orgulho.
Eu sabia que seria difícil. Principalmente, porque além de ter que melhorar quem eu era. Eu teria, que enfrentar pré conceitos e críticas da família junto. Enfim, mãos a obra.
É só investir que fico rico!
Foi então que pensei se teria alguma forma de não ter que trabalhar por 40 anos e depender do governo no fim da minha vida. Daí, eu estudei e encontrei algumas pessoas que me mostraram uma opção. Investimentos! Caraca, tudo parecia muito legal naquela época.
Era uma sopa de letrinhas acompanhada por um glossário recheado e diferente de tudo que tinha conhecimento. Meu primeiro investimento foram 3 ações da Ambev. Fiquei empolgado demais quando chegou a primeira carta da Bovespa mostrando o meu "rico”patrimônio.
Ademais, eu fui vivendo outras coisas: Crise da época Dilma, crise do Temer com o Joesley, Covid e pós Covid. Fui além, e fiquei alguns anos negociando forex e criptomoedas também. Vivi demais, fiz grana, perdi grana, fiz amizades, perdi amizades e o mais importante que fiquei experiente nesse ramo. Tão experiente que percebi uma coisa…
Opaaa, falta uma peça no quebra cabeça
Os anos passavam e era como uma montanha russa. Tinha anos bons e ruins. Normal, como qualquer outra coisa que aconteça na vida. Mas, cara. Era inegável que eu estava evoluindo. Mas, o ritmo era lento demais. E, pelas minhas contas eu ia chegar lá com uma idade bem avançada. A diferença é que eu teria mais controle sobre meu futuro.
Contudo, no meio da jornada comecei a perceber que toda vez que eu pegava meu dinheiro e entregava para o mercado financeiro. Eu mandava uma mensagem para meu subconsciente: Você não é capaz de multiplicar seu dinheiro! E, isso é muito louco.
Porque eu multiplicava. Mas, tinha que me contentar com 10-12% a.a em anos normais, -6% a.a em anos ruins e anos bons era algo como 20%.
Portanto, isso tudo me deixava maluco. Porque? Eu tinha amigos empreendendo e ganhando 20% de lucro líquido ao mês. E, porque eu deveria me contentar com módicos 12% a.a? Esse raciocínio alugou um triplex na minha cabeça.
Durante minha jornada, eu tentei vários empreendimentos: Festas, venda de camisetas, venda de acessórios de telefone, confeitaria online e mais alguns que não lembro. Foram excelentes negócios para aprender. Mas, eu queria meu próprio negócio. Mas, não mais um negócio. Um negócio online, escalável e multilíngue. Fui estudar Desenvolvimento de sistemas, marketing digital e varri a internet atrás de informações.
O que você pode fazer
E, aqui estamos. A ideia de construir isso que você está usufruindo hoje nasceu 2 anos atrás. Eu levei 6 meses para lapidar e mais 6 meses criando conteúdo na unha. Literalmente, sentando a bunda na cadeira e escrevendo do zero cada texto.
Eu sei que alguns não ficaram bons como queria. Mas, o processo é esse. Você vai melhorando a medida que avança. Não dá para ficar vendo tutoriais no youtube, gurus de internet e ler milhares de livros. Tu tem que pegar e começar a fazer algo. Hoje, agora!
A vantagem da internet é que você não precisa de permissão para começar nada. Abre o Word, Docs, Canva, Capcut, Câmera do seu celular e cria. A resposta para todos os seus problemas está em: CRIAR!
Eu criei esse site, complementando: Meu site, meu Medium, meu Reddit e meu Nostr. Eu crio coisas novas todas as semanas e distribuo.
Minha empresa só tem eu de funcionário(por enquanto). Mas, já desenhei quais os próximos passos. Pode ser que eu nem use os próximos passos porque tudo muda toda hora.
Mas, vale a pena tentar! Se você puder acabar esse texto com uma só lição, eu diria:
Acredite mais em você e menos nos outros. Pare de pegar seu combustível (dinheiro) e entregar nas mãos de pessoas que em muitos casos. São menos preparadas que você.
Muito obrigado pelo seu tempo e até o próximo.
Compartilhe
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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-03 11:01:51George Town, Grand Cayman — Ledn, one of the longest-standing digital asset lenders, today announced a sweeping update to its platform to discontinue any lending of client assets to generate interest, meaning that client assets will never be exposed to third party lending credit risk.
Going forward, Ledn will only offer its Custodied Bitcoin loan structure, under which client bitcoin collateral will remain fully in custody either with Ledn or its trusted funding partners.
As part of this strategic shift, Ledn will also remove support for ETH, doubling down on Bitcoin as its sole digital asset focus. These changes were unveiled by the company at Bitcoin 2025 in Las Vegas.
“With our new hyper-focus on Bitcoin-only lending, we’re going back to our roots and principles that inspired Bitcoin to begin with,” said Adam Reeds, Co-Founder and CEO of Ledn.
“Bitcoin was created as a direct response to the risks of fractional reserve banking and unchecked use of client assets to generate interest. Traditional finance relies on constantly reusing client assets to create leverage and, ultimately, inflation.
“Bitcoiners instinctively reject that model. That’s why we’ve moved away from this approach entirely. With our Custodied loan structure, client assets stay where they belong and are held in a transparent manner.”
While Ledn is taking these steps to further de-risk its product and further enhance client security, many of the new lending products in the market are exposing consumers to risky and opaque structures once again.
“These are the exact dynamics that led to the meltdown of the lending sector in 2022,” Reeds added.
“As more new entrants push half-baked lending models back into the market, we’re choosing the opposite path— Eliminating lending risk entirely for our users and making it 100% clear how their assets are dealt with.
“That clarity is what has helped us originate over $9.5 billion in loans and become the #1 retail CeFi lender in the Bitcoin space. We believe this approach should become the new standard for any serious digital asset lender.”
This shift reinforces Ledn’s broader strategy: Going all in on Bitcoin, simplifying its product stack, and sharpening its focus around the most secure and proven digital asset.
Ledn was the first crypto lender to introduce proof-of-reserves attestations in 2020, offering clients third-party verification that assets were fully accounted for down to the satoshi.
That transparency-first approach allowed the company to navigate market volatility as peers collapsed under opaque and hidden risks.
Now, as global regulators begin signaling openness to supervised participation rather than blanket restrictions, the opportunity — and the responsibility — for digital asset platforms is clear: Build resilient systems and proactively mitigate risk.
Ledn will exclusively offer custodied bitcoin-backed loans as of July 1, 2025. Support for ETH will be retired in the same release, reflecting Ledn’s strategic shift to a Bitcoin-only platform.
For more information on this transition, visit blog.ledn.io
For media inquiries, interviews, or early access to supporting materials, contact ledn@clpr.agency
About Ledn
Ledn offers growth accounts and loans to clients in over 120 countries, with an expanding range of services and supported regions. The company is dedicated to building world-class financial services, with a focus on helping people build long-term wealth through digital asset-based products.
For more information about Ledn and its services, visit the company’s website at www.ledn.io
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@ 29216785:2a636a70
2025-06-03 13:11:07Debug 30023
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@ 00ea1f73:71c6e344
2025-06-03 09:59:07Je suis en train de construire un outil de référencement collectif de marques et fabricants proposant des produits 100 % en matière naturelle (ce qui veut essentiellement dire "sans plastique").
Voici les étapes de ma progression ces dernières semaines en tant que non développeur pour créer cela tout en privilégiant des outils open source.
Etape 1 : faisons simple, du texte organisé
J'ai commencé par réunir mes idées dans Anytype. Leur approche "tout est un objet" laisse une flexibilité incroyable pour organiser ses données. On peut s'en servir comme simple outil de prise de note ou comme outil de gestion de projet. Le fonctionnement "local first" de l'application me donne la main sur mes données : elles sont stockées en local sur mon ordinateur et mon téléphone, qui se synchronisent entre eux.
Anytype permet depuis peu de publier sur Internet les "objets" de son choix (pages, notes, albums…) mais cela reste limité pour proposer à des visiteur une navigation fluide entre des objets liés (dans mon cas des marques et des matières par exemple). De plus, il n'est pas encore possible d'y automatiser la mise en forme de contenus à partir de données.
Ainsi, après avoir réuni les informations et préparé les contenus "à la main" pour trois marques seulement dans Anytype, j'ai eu besoin d'automatisation, et donc d'une vraie base de données. Je conserve quand même Anytype pour organiser mes idées et la suite du projet. Je l'utilise aussi pour la vie quotidienne (liste de course partagée, journal…).
Etape 2 : structurons une base de données
Baserow est une alternative à Airtable qui permet de gérer une base de données comme un tableur. Les formules utilisables dans les tableaux m'ont aidé à générer automatiquement les contenus de marque à partir des données que je réunissais. J'ai obtenu des données bien ordonnés dans de beaux tableaux sans avoir plus besoin de réécrire tout le contenu pour chaque marque.
J'ai passé un peu de temps à apprendre la syntaxe des formules de Baserow, j'ai mis à jour le contenu des trois premières marques, généré automatiquement celui d'une quatrième et… je me suis rendu compte que ça n'allait pas le faire.
Un point crucial de mon projet est la gestion et l'affichage des catégories de produits proposés par chaque marque, histoire que cela soit pratique de trouver les alternatives naturelles pour ce que l'on cherche sur le site. Or, dans Baserow il n'y avait pas moyen de générer mes contenus catégorisés de manière dynamique. J'étais contraint de modifier sans cesse des formules de plus en plus complexes, et donc avec un risque d'erreur de plus en plus grand. Cela reste un tableur, plus net pour gérer des données, mais moins fourni en termes de formules.
Avec une seule marque traitée en plus, mon "backend" v2 n'aura pas duré longtemps !
Etape 3 : courage, passons aux choses sérieuses
A ce moment là, j'ai sérieusement douté de ma capacité a créer ce site avec des outils open source et j'ai été tenté de retourner vers Bubble. À mon avis, Bubble est l'outil "no code" (ou de "programmation visuelle") le plus abouti. Je l'avais déjà utilisé efficacement avec We Do Good pour réaliser des prototypes de fonctionnalités, même utilisés provisoirement en production.
C'est génial, avec Bubble, des semaines de travail classique entre développeurs et designers pour arriver à une version utilisable se transforment en heures, voire en jours pour tester et valider des prototypes.
Mais… avec Bubble on n'a pas accès à ce qui se passe derrière l'interface de programmation. On devient en fait prisonnier de leur langage de programmation propriétaire. Si on a besoin de faire différemment, s'ils augmentent leurs prix de manière inadaptée, ou si un blocage se présente pour une autre raison, il faut tout refaire à zéro ou faire développer des nouvelles fonctionnalités (plugins) qui enrichissent Bubble.
J'ai alors décidé de passé au niveau supérieur en terme de technicité, avec des outils tout de même accessible aux non initiés motivés : une base de données dans Supabase connectée à une interface créée avec Plasmic. Avec Supabase j'ai accès aux paramétrages les plus fins sur les données et avec Plamic je construis visuellement ce dont j'ai besoin, comme avec Bubble.
Malgré l'interface visuelle très complètes de Plasmic, certaines fonctions dont j'ai besoin demandent des formules personnalisées utilisant un peu de code. L'avantage, c'est que là ou j'avais appris le language Bubble utilisable seulement avec Bubble, j'apprends maintenant les languages ouverts et universels du web sql et javascript, avec un peu d'aide de l'"IA" pour comprendre les fonctions et erreurs de syntaxe.
J'apprendre en faisant directement ce que j'ai envie, et c'est beaucoup plus efficace et motivant !
Plasmic me laisse aussi récupérer et réutiliser l'ensemble du code source ailleurs si j'en ai besoin un jour.
Je devais en passer par là
Chaque version de mon "backend" a été utile et même nécessaire à la suivante.
Avec mon expérience d'entrepreneur du web, je sentais depuis le départ que j'aurais besoin d'une solution robuste de base de données ainsi que de pouvoir intervenir sur le code facilement. Cependant, au démarrage, je n'avais pas envie de me plonger là-dedans. Finalement, bien m'en a pris ! La structuration de données que j'avais initialement imaginée est très différente de celle à laquelle j'arrive maintenant.
Je n'aurais pas eu une base de données claire et bien organisée dans Supabase si je n'avais pas fait précédemment une itération dans Baserow. Je n'aurais pas créé les tables et liaisons utiles dans Baserow si je n'avais pas créé les premiers contenus sous forme de texte avec liaisons dans Anytype.
De plus, je n'aurais pas trouvé l'énergie de me lancer sur ce nouveau projet si je n'avais pas commencé par une version très simple et non "scalable". C'est un vrai progrès personnel : j'ai toujours travaillé en essayant de concevoir le maximum de choses d'avances, pour me rassurer et limiter les risques, et parce que c'est ce qu'on apprend à l'école. Les problèmes, c'est que je dépensais pour cela une énergie folle et que bien sûr, la réalité ne correspond jamais vraiment aux prévisions.
En me lançant avec une première version pas du tout aboutie mais fonctionnelle, je me suis autorisé à faire plus d'erreur, à m'exposer et à me concentrer sur du concret.
Références
Pour moi, favoriser l'open source est essentiel car cela fait partie des outils fondamentaux pour défendre ma liberté et celle des autres.
Tous les outils que j'utilise ou ai utilisé pour ce projet sont open source, sauf Anytype qui est juste "open core" (c'est à dire qu'ils publient leur code mais n'autorisent pas tous les usages avec). Ils présentent aussi tous des plans gratuits bien pratiques pour se lancer sans contrainte financière.
- Anytype : https://anytype.io/
- Baserow : https://baserow.io/
- Supabase : https://supabase.com/
- Plasmic : https://www.plasmic.app/
J'ai aussi testé ou envisagé sans les retenir quelques autres solutions comme WordPress ou Silex. Provisoirement, en attendant d'avoir créé toutes les interfaces dont j'ai besoin avec Plasmic, j'utilise NocoDB, connecté à Supabase, pour disposer d'une interface visuelle équivalente à Baserow (avec des formules moins avancées mais la possibilité de me connecter plusieurs bases de données si besoin).
J'utilise beaucoup Alternative.to pour trouver les outils dont j'ai besoin, on y peut filtrer les applications selon de nombreux critère, je le recommande.
Ensuite, il faut tester et se lancer, voire tester en se lançant !
opensource #nocode #lowcode #vibecoding #ia #produitsnaturels #zeroplastique #nostrfr
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@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7
2025-06-03 13:01:18The upcoming Bitcoin 2025 conference, scheduled from May 27–29 at the Venetian Conference Center in Las Vegas, is set to make history with an official attempt to break the GUINNESS WORLD RECORDS® title for the most Bitcoin point-of-sale transactions in an eight-hour period.
Organized by BTC Inc, the event will showcase Bitcoin’s evolution from a digital capital asset to a practical medium of exchange, leveraging the latest advancements in payment technology.
Tap-to-Pay with Lightning-Ready Bolt Cards
To facilitate this record-setting attempt, 4,000 Lightning-ready Bolt Cards will be distributed to conference attendees.
— Uncle Rockstar Developer (@r0ckstardev) May 15, 2025
These NFC-enabled cards allow users to make instant, contactless Bitcoin payments at vendor booths throughout the expo-no apps or QR codes required, just a simple tap.
The cards are available in four collectible designs, each featuring a prominent figure in Bitcoin’s history: Senator Cynthia Lummis, Michael Saylor, Satoshi Nakamoto, and Jack Dorsey.
Each attendee will receive a randomly assigned card, making them both functional and collectible souvenirs.
Senator Lummis: A Playful Provocation
Notably, one of the card designs features Senator Cynthia Lummis with laser eyes-a playful nod to her reputation as a leading Bitcoin advocate in US politics.
While Lummis is known for her legislative efforts to promote Bitcoin integration, she has publicly stated she prefers to “spend dollars and save Bitcoin,” viewing BTC as a long-term store of value rather than a daily currency.
The choice to feature her on the Bolt Card, could be suggested by Rockstar Dev of the BTC Pay Server Foundation, perhaps a lighthearted way to highlight the ongoing debate about Bitcoin’s role in everyday payments.
Nothing cracks me up quite like a senator that wants the US to buy millions of Bitcoin use dollars to buy a beer at a Bitcoin bar.
This is how unserious some of you are. pic.twitter.com/jftIEggmip
— Magoo PhD (@HodlMagoo) April 4, 2025
How Bolt Cards and the Lightning Network Work
Bolt Cards are physical cards equipped with NFC (Near Field Communication) technology, similar to contactless credit or debit cards. When linked to a compatible Lightning wallet, they enable users to make Bitcoin payments over the Lightning Network by simply tapping the card at a point-of-sale terminal.
The Lightning Network is a second-layer protocol built on top of Bitcoin, designed to facilitate instant, low-cost transactions ideal for everyday purchases.
This integration aims to make Bitcoin as easy to use as traditional payment methods, eliminating the need for QR code scanning or mobile apps.
A Showcase for Bitcoin’s Real-World Usability
With over 30,000 attendees, 300 exhibitors, and 500 speakers expected, the Bitcoin 2025 conference is poised to be the largest Bitcoin event of the year-and potentially the most transactional.
The event will feature on-site activations such as the Official Bitcoin Magazine Store, where all merchandise will be available at a 21% discount for those paying with Bitcoin via the Lightning Network-a nod to Bitcoin’s 21 million coin supply limit.
By deeply integrating Lightning payments into the conference experience, organizers hope to demonstrate Bitcoin’s readiness for mainstream commerce and set a new benchmark for its practical use as a currency.
Conclusion
The Guinness World Record attempt at Bitcoin 2025 is more than a publicity stunt-it’s a bold demonstration of Bitcoin’s technological maturity and its potential to function as a modern, everyday payment method.
Whether or not the record is set, the event will serve as a milestone in the ongoing journey to make Bitcoin a truly global, user-friendly currency
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@ e4950c93:1b99eccd
2025-06-02 22:13:19Marques
Saling est une marque allemande qui crée des vêtements, du linge de maison et des peluches et doudous en laine vierge et coton biologique pour les bébés et les enfants, ainsi que des cosmétiques naturelles à base de lait de brebis.
Matières naturelles utilisées dans les produits
⚠️ Attention, certains produits de cette marque contiennent des matières non naturelles, dont :
Catégories de produits proposés
Cette marque propose des produits intégralement en matière naturelle dans les catégories suivantes :
#Vêtements - Tailles vêtements : bébés - Tête et mains : moufles
#Chaussures - Tailles chaussures : chaussures bébé - Chaussons : botillons - Accessoires de chaussures : semelles
#Maison - Linge : couvertures, turbulettes
#Accessoires - Jeux et jouets : doudous-peluches
#Matériaux - Couture et tricot : laine à tricoter
Autres informations
- Fabriqué en Allemagne
- Fabriqué en Europe
👉 En savoir plus sur le site de la marque
Où trouver leurs produits ?
- Lilinappy (zone de livraison : France et international)
- Le mouton à lunettes (zone de livraison : France, Belgique, Luxembourg)
📝 Tu peux contribuer à cette fiche en suggérant une modification en commentaire.
🗣️ Tu utilises des produits de cette marque ? Partage ton avis en commentaire.
⚡ Heureu-x-se de trouver cette information ? Soutiens le projet en faisant un don pour remercier les contribut-eur-ice-s.
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@ 6b3780ef:221416c8
2025-06-03 09:09:59Release time!
We are thrilled to announce the release of the new version of DVMCP, packed with a host of new features and enhancements. The standout improvement is the support for the new specification, which brings loads of new possibilities and a future-proof design to accommodate MCP protocol as it evolves.
Currently, DVMCP supports all major MCP capabilities, tools, resources, resource templates, and prompts, along with features like autocompletion. While there are still a few minor MCP features that are not yet supported, the new specification will allows us to introduce new features and capabilities progressively.
A significant amount of work has gone into this update, from designing and drafting the new DVMCP specification, ensuring it aligns with the latest MCP standards. We have also refactored the bridge, discovery, and commons package, adapted the DVMCP.fun website (currently at next.dvmcp.fun), and even created a new storage type for relays to handle ephemeral events more robustly and efficiently. This new storage solution is already powering the DVMCP relay.
These enhancements represent a significant expansion of the possibilities available to DVMCP users. By combining MCP with Nostr, DVMCP offers rock-solid authentication and seamless payments using Lightning. We have many exciting ideas for utilizing these new capabilities in innovative ways, such as monetizing resources for creators, creating collections of prompts, developing agentic capabilities, and much more. Rest assured, we will be rolling out more on this gradually.
Additionally, DVMCP is already providing some servers that you can use for free. These can be discovered using the discovery package with any MCP client or by trying them out on the website.
Rollout Plan
As this update introduces breaking changes, including different event types for various DVMCP-related events, we are hosting the new version of the website at next.dvmcp.fun, with packages starting from version 0.2.x. We will be testing this version and welcome feedback from users over the next 10 days. After this period, we will deploy the 'next' version of the website to the main domain.
Updates on Ecosystem Components
-
DVMCP Packages: Starting from version 0.2.x, all packages include breaking changes. If you are already using DVMCP, please adapt to the new kinds and events. You can refer to the
@dvmcp-commons
package for all the new kinds and tags. -
DVMCP.fun: The website has been entirely refactored to support the new specification and now utilizes idiomatic Svelte 5 across the application. Currently the new version is living at next.dvmcp.fun
-
DVMCP Relay: The relay is now powered by the 'rely' framework and employs our atomic circular buffer implementation to handle ephemeral events more robustly and efficiently. It also uses LMDB as persistent storage for announcements and capability events.
Looking ahead, we plan to launch more servers offering various services, develop agentic DVMCPs, create additional guides and tutorials, integrate DVMCP into LLM web interfaces, provide statistics for the DVMCP relay, explore novel concepts in MCP + Nostr integration, and continuously improve the code to make it more accessible to developers as libraries.
Thank you for joining us on this journey! We are incredibly excited about the possibilities that lie ahead and what’s coming next. Stay tuned!
-
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@ c4f5e7a7:8856cac7
2025-06-03 08:15:33I've managed to amass three SN profiles.
Is there a way to combined these?
@k00b @ek
https://stacker.news/items/995836
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@ 472f440f:5669301e
2025-06-02 21:12:29Marty's Bent
via me
I think we'll look back at last weekend as one of the most pivotal points in human history. Ukraine's Operation Spider Web is one of the more shocking things I've seen in terms of military operations in my life. It validates something that many bitcoiners, many cypherpunks, and many prescient individuals have been talking about for decades now at this point, which is asymmetric drone warfare.
The Sovereign Individual is a book that many bitcoiners have talked about throughout the years due to how prescient it was in terms of the inevitable emergence of a digital currency outside the control of central banks and governments. The book was written in the mid-90s, so the fact that the two authors were able to predict that something like bitcoin would emerge less than 20 years after writing the book is pretty incredible. However, digital currencies leveraging cryptography were not the sole focus of the book. Another portion of the book was dedicated to the idea of asymmetric drone warfare and its effects on society overall.
It seems pretty clear today that this is another call from The Sovereign Individual that is coming true. Obviously, unless you've been living under a rock, you've noticed that Ukraine has been using drones in the battlefield to target strategic Russian assets and individual soldiers over the last year. The amount of battlefield videos I've seen of Russian soldiers running from autonomous drones that are hunting them down has been increasing significantly over the last six months. The footage is truly harrowing. It is a death that I wouldn't wish on anybody. With Operation Spider Web Ukraine has increased the stakes of this type of drone warfare by going deep into Russian territory and targeting strategic long-range bombers, some of which had the ability to deploy nuclear warheads. This is sure to incite a reaction from Russia. No one will be surprised if, by the end of the week, Russia has started a shock and awe campaign that goes deep into Ukrainian territory in retaliation for the kamikaze drone strikes on their long-range aircraft. I pray for peace and a quick resolution to this war, and every other war for that matter.
I didn't come here to pontificate and give my thoughts on this particular war, but I would like to focus on this new tactic of war and what it means for military budgets moving forward. The Sovereign Individual laid it out clearly when they wrote in the 1990s that at some point in the future autonomous drones would be leveraged in the battlefield and prove to be asymmetric because of the fact that they are extremely cheap to produce. When you compare the price it cost to produce one of these drones to the price of the equipment they are destroying, things get pretty crazy. With tens of thousands of dollars of drone equipment the Ukrainian army destroyed tens if not hundreds of millions of dollars worth of long-range missile aircraft. And it did so without putting any Ukrainian military personnel in harm's way. Directly, at least.
When you consider the return on investment of deploying these drones compared to sending in soldiers, tanks, and your own aircraft, it becomes pretty obvious that this is going to quickly become the most logical way to fight a war moving forward. The question that remains is how quickly do other governments recognize this and implement it into their own defense strategies? As an American looking at our military budget, which is quickly approaching $1 trillion in annual spend, I'm forced to question whether or not most of that money is simply being wasted, considering the fact that we live in a time where these asymmetric battlefield strategies now exist. Why build new fighter jets when a Somali pirate, or nefarious individual for that matter, could use a $200 drone to destroy it in a matter of seconds with no threat of direct physical harm?
I'm no military expert, but if I were at the helm of the Defense Department, I would seriously be forcing those below me to focus a ton of effort on this problem and create plans to make sure that we are sufficiently protected from these risks. The only way to protect from these risks is to build the capabilities yourself. When it comes to the risk reward from a defense tech investment perspective I think a majority of the effort should be focused on defensive drone technologies and capabilities.
With that being said, it does seem like the US military is privy to this asymmetric reality that we currently live in. Defense contracts with Andruil make this pretty clear. Andruil is certainly ahead of the curve when it comes to autonomous drone warfare and defense against it. As an American, even though I don't like war, or the military industrial complex, knowing that the military is working with companies like Andruil does give me some comfort. However, the other side of that coin is that it is very unnerving when you consider that the government creating these public-private partnerships could lead to some Orwellian outcomes here at home. It may make some of you feel uncomfortable, but I believe the ideal scenario is that any individual has access to these types of defensive drone technologies in the future. The end goal being to create a nuclear game theoretical outcome where violence is reduced because one always has to assume that anyone they intend to attack has access to sufficient and formidable defensive technologies.
It's truly scary times we're living in as we transition further into the Digital Age. Part of the reason that I've dedicated my whole life to bitcoin is because I truly do believe that if you fix the money, you can fix the world. That is not to say that kinetic wars or physical violence will not exist in the future. It certainly will. But I believe sound money and open access to these systems and tools creates conditions which are much more suitable for cooperation and less so for conflict.
Multi-Signature Bitcoin Custody Is Replacing Single-Point Solutions
Jesse Gilger made a compelling case for why multi-signature Bitcoin custody represents the future of secure storage. He explained how Gannett Trust's approach ensures "not all of the keys are going to be at any one entity," fundamentally reducing the honeypot risk that plagues centralized custodians. This distributed model means no single point of failure can compromise your Bitcoin, whether through hacking, internal fraud, or regulatory seizure.
"I was on the list. I got the email. 'You were affected.'" - Jesse Gilger
Jesse's firsthand experience with the Coinbase data breach drives home why centralized custody is fundamentally flawed. While Coinbase holds keys for 10 of 12 Bitcoin ETFs, smart money is moving toward multi-institutional setups where Gannett holds a key, Unchained holds a key, and a third party holds a key. This alignment with Bitcoin's decentralized ethos isn't just philosophically pure—it's pragmatically superior for protecting generational wealth.
Check out the full podcast here for more on MSTY risks, Bitcoin retirement strategies and nation-state adoption dynamics.
Headlines of the Day
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Final thought...
Trying to imagine the future my children are going to live in gets harder by the day.
Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:
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@ 32e18276:5c68e245
2025-06-02 20:58:05Damus OpenSats Grant Q1 2025 Progress Report
This period of the Damus OpenSats grant has been productive, and encompasses the work our beta release of Notedeck. Since we sent our last report on January, this encompasses all the work after then.
Damus Notedeck
We released the Beta version of Notedeck, which has many new features:
Dave
We've added a new AI-powered nostr assistant, similar to Grok on X. We call him Dave.
Dave is integrated with tooling that allows it to query the local relay for posts and profiles:
Search
The beta release includes a fulltext search interface powered by nostrdb:
Zaps
You can now zap with NWC!
And More!
- GIFs!
- Add full screen images, add zoom & pan
- Introduce last note per pubkey feed (experimental)
- Allow multiple media uploads per selection
- Major Android improvements (still wip)
- Added notedeck app sidebar
- User Tagging
- Note truncation
- Local network note broadcast, broadcast notes to other notedeck notes while you're offline
- Mute list support (reading)
- Relay list support
- Ctrl-enter to send notes
- Added relay indexing (relay columns soon)
- Click hashtags to open hashtag timeline
Damus iOS
Work continued on the iOS side. While I was not directly involved in the work since the last report, I have been directing and managing its development.
What's new:
Coinos Wallet + Interface
We've partnered with coinos to enable a one-click, non-KYC lightning wallet!
We now have an NWC wallet interface, and we've re-enabled zaps as per the new appstore guidelines!
Now you can see all incoming and outgoing NWC transactions and start zapping right away.
Enhanced hellthread muting
Damus can now automatically mute hellthreads, instead of having to do that manually.
Drafts
We now locally persist note drafts so that they aren't lost on app restart!
Profile editing enhancements
We now have a profile picture editing tool so that profile pictures are optimized and optionally cropped
Conversations tab
We now have a conversations tab on user profiles, allowing you to see all of your past conversations with that person!
Enhanced push notifications
We've updated our push notifications to include profile pictures, and they are also now grouped by the thread that they came from.
And lots more!
Too many to list here, check out the full changelog
Nostrdb
nostrdb, the engine that powers notecrumbs, damus iOS, and notedeck, continued to improve:
Custom filters
We've added the ability to include custom filtering logic during any nostrdb query. Dave uses this to filter replies from kind1 results to keep the results small and to avoid doing post-processing.
Relay index + queries
There is a new relay index! Now when ingesting notes, you can include extra metadata such as where the note came from. You can use this index to quickly list all of the relays for a particular note, or for relay timelines.
NIP50 profile searches
To assist dave in searching for profiles, we added a new query plan for {kind:0, search:} queries to scan the profile search index.
How money was used
- relay.damus.io server costs
- Living expenses
Next quarter
We're making a strong push to get our Android version released, so that is the main focus for me.
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@ 5188521b:008eb518
2025-06-03 12:25:39Elysium
Part I: The Failed Harvest
First, the quiet came. Each day, the markets grew quieter, the people hungrier. A farmer stared at wilted crops, dread settling in his heart. In a kingdom once resplendent with markets and sky-reaching monuments, it was the first failed harvest that marked the end of affluence and the beginning of collapse.
By the second year, market traders stood before empty stalls, goods long gone, rotten, or ruined. Jobless men prowled, foraging the streets for vermin and meager scraps of sustenance. Young women offered their time for bread, their eyes hollow in the act. Widows, too, entered strangers’ homes, bartering themselves for their children’s next meal. Orphans, gaunt and brittle, drew meaningless shapes in the dust, their laughter a forgotten memory.
Rumors surged like wind through dry grass. Scapegoats were blamed; superstitions gripped the masses. By the third year, it was known to the people and the king alike, there would be no more monuments erected, only tombstones. The king called the council, heavy with despair. In a room filled with tension, ministers and knights sat around a table.
Before them stood the realm’s wisest farmer, a man worn from years of labor, hunger, and loss. His voice echoed the deep hunger that gripped the kingdom. “Your Majesty, the land is weary. It cries for respite.” His words hung heavy in the room, laying bare the reality of their fate.
Part II: The Devil’s Pact
In the dimly lit chamber, a palpable tension filled the air. The alchemist, servant to the king and master of arcane arts, stepped into the flickering candlelight. He held an aged book, its scent mingling with the murk of looming spells. With a voice both smooth and haunting, he shattered the quiet, his words a ripple through stone walls.
“Sire, alchemy is our last refuge. We can harvest time to feed the earth,” he began, revealing a parchment inked with cryptic circles and lines. “Each citizen, willingly or not, will spare a mere whisper of their years. An unnoticeable offering. With careful alchemy, we can replenish our lands and fortify your reign with the alms of myriad souls.” Leaning closer, he whispered the words that would redefine their civilization: a devil’s proposal intended for the king but felt by all. “Consider, my lord, a reign without end, each year stretched beyond nature’s limits, a kingdom fed by the borrowed time of its people. No more famine. No more want.”
The court waited, their faces etched with fear and desperate hope, ready to tread any path that led away from the abyss of famine.
For a moment, the king was a statue, his face a veil behind which storms brewed. Finally, exhaling a breath heavy with fate, he spoke. “We’ve endured enough hardship. We shall seize a future that knows no famine.”
The air thickened as the alchemist retreated with a solemn nod, the weight of the chosen path settling in.
He reopened his tome and voiced the incantation. Arcane syllables filled the room, weaving a desperate gambit to salvage their decaying kingdom. Thus, in the dark hours of night, they sealed a new covenant that would reverberate through generations.
Part III: Vines and Moss
In the decades that followed the alchemist’s rites, the kingdom thrived like spring after a bitter winter. Fields were lush year-round, erasing hunger and the memories of famine. Marketplaces bustled, no longer a graveyard of commerce but a carnival of exotic goods from every corner of the world. The air seemed perfumed with prosperity — healthy river fish, basilisk meats, and spices from faraway lands. A century rolled by. The king, unaging, stretched his influence over land and sea, turning his realm into an empire. Statues weathered, and languages evolved, but the king abided.
Yet, a toll was exacted. Years stolen from the people, a time tax woven into the fabric of life. The spell fed both earth and crown, cloaking decay with a veneer of wealth. The young wore the faces of old men, their eyes wise beyond their years. Every heartbeat was a sacrifice, a quiet tax to feed the castles of power.
Then came the year when the land rebelled. Coaxed by the spell, the soil had given until it couldn’t, its silent plea for rest ignored. The land remembered stolen seasons, now determined to settle old scores. Crops withered; rivers soured. Beasts waned, their numbers thinning. The kingdom, starved of Earth’s gifts, unraveled — not from human revolt, but from the silent insurrection of the land that once fed them.
With hunger as the harbinger, society fractured. Chaos and mass confusion swallowed the land, a virulent blight not even alchemy could stem. Witch hunts raged for a merciless century, fire consuming flesh and innocence. Men’s strength wilted, armies disbanded. Women, walking in the agonizing footsteps of famine-haunted foremothers, bartered touch for bread.
Monuments lay buried under vines and moss. Fertile lands turned barren. Schools emptied, their echoing halls abandoned, and children torn from learning, were sent to farm dying lands. Art withered. Painters swapped colors for shades of gray, and soon vanished altogether. Teachers and engineers were supplanted by an ever-growing class of soil-bound serfs.
Desperate, the eternal king sought another spell. He asked the people not for mere years but decades. The alchemist obliged, crafting another spell from dark incantations. Yet the ravaged earth, too spent to yield, exacted a monstrous price: lifetimes for crumbs of bread. People, skeletal, on the verge of vanishing, offered their very existence. A silence settled, a collective sacrifice borne not in rebellion, but in surrender.
Part IV: Clara The Torchbearer
In the land between sleep and waking, Clara was a child again, standing at the threshold of a room aglow with amber light. Her mother ground herbs, the wooden table before her strewn with books, vials, and leaves. “These aren’t just leaves and liquids,” her mother said. “They’re doors to the gardens of your mind.” Her words sank into Clara like stones into deep water.
She woke to a gusting wind. Her dream dissolved like morning mist. The sun broke over the kingdom, time’s toll evident in every vine-entangled ruin. Light spilled into her chamber.
Clara’s room was modest: a bed, a wardrobe, a desk. On it, a lone candle and scattered books that whispered of the kingdom’s past grandeur and freedoms now lost. It was her mother’s notes and books, crafted in the quiet, away from royal eyes — a puzzle to decipher, a quest still yearning for footsteps.
She draped a linen robe over her shoulders and approached the window, her fingers ink-stained from yesterday’s writings. Below, people shuffled through life, joyless and muted.
The spell cast long ago had become an oppressive, faceless dictator. It promised bread but dealt only crumbs, a tarnished magic now woven into the kingdom’s culture as enduringly as its ancient stone walls and teeming graveyards.
She remembered the cold spring day she put her mother in the earth. The ground was hard, the casket simple. The tombstone bore the words: ‘Seed in Drought.’
The chambermaid standing beside her asked what it meant.
“Her wish,” Clara answered. Her face gave nothing away, her thoughts a distant country.
From her room, Clara watched the people below — eyes down, spirits broken. Clara was not like the others. She carried an inner fire, gifted from her mother, a quiet revolt against a gray world.
In her room’s sanctuary, amid ink and parchment molded by hands long stilled, Clara found traces of a freer past, free from famine and theft of years. A past now entrusted to her. As she flipped through the timeworn pages of an ancient tome, something caught Clara’s eye. In the margins of the text, a note penned in her mother’s hand: “For Clara — Elric is the keeper of truths that free us. Go where I could not. Find him.” Below it, a tender signature, her mother’s name etched in ink.
The name ‘Elric’ stirred a latent memory, a shared secret often spoken by her mother. Filled with a sense of destiny, Clara closed her worn books and left her chamber.
At the age of twenty, for the first time, she ventured beyond the confining walls of her castle. Guided by remnants of forgotten eras, she set forth to unearth truths long interred but never wholly erased. Her compass drew her toward the Whispering Pines, a land untouched by the alchemist’s dark arts and, as her mother had often mentioned, the rumored dwelling of Elric.
Part V: Far to Go
Clara walked through towns void of kindness, over land stripped of life. Each day sculpted her in the likeness of the land she traversed — a leaner body, hands hardened, face etched by sun and wind.
Thirteen days out, Clara trudged through the ashen remains of a town, its name forgotten, its history lost. Empty buildings sagged under the weight of time, their hollow frames like gravestones against the evening sky. Vacant faces, like clock dials without hands, glanced through her, never at her.
Spying a run-down tavern, she cautiously stepped inside. The door whined on rusted hinges. She eased onto a splintered stool. “Bread,” she rasped. The innkeeper, a bloated man with eyes like rotted plums, flung stale crust onto the counter. Her teeth sank into the stale crust, her body weeping for nourishment.
The room stank of unwashed bodies and sour ale. In a dim corner, men gambled their souls on dice, their faces marred by desperation and greed. As she made to leave, talk stilled, and eyes tracked her. A rough hand seized her wrist.
“Far to go?” The words, a mockery.
Her eyes darted to the innkeeper, pleading for an ally. His gaze, cold, turned away. “Yes, far,” she replied, stalling.
Then, violence. Teeth, nails, a taste of blood. Outmanned, her screams died in cruel laughter. Her clothes yielded, torn in the contest of her humiliation.
After the degradation, she stepped outside and into the soft rain of the night. Her path now carried weight measured in more than miles.
Ahead, barren land stretched mercilessly. A fleeting image of her mother’s face offered a brief moment of comfort. She tilted her head back, letting rain droplets fall onto her tongue to dilute the bitterness that swelled within her. The night urged in tones only darkness knows. Turn back, it murmured.
But she walked on. Her will was a defiant ember, the last flicker of light in a world teetering on oblivion, its humanity long forfeited.
Part VI: Elric
After weeks traversing a harsh expanse, gaunt but unbroken, she found herself beneath the Whispering Pines. As she approached, she carried more than her own weight. She embodied her mother’s enduring hope and her land’s final prayer for redemption.
Elric greeted her at the doorway. “You’ve come,” he said, leading her inside, the room warm from the fire in the stone hearth.
Her eyes roved from the firelight dancing on the walls to the shelves laden with books. A staircase twisted upward, its banister engraved with ancient symbols.
“Your homeland withers,” Elric said, drawing from his pipe, the wood old and marked by years. The scent of herbs, a blend cultivated through many seasons, sharpened the mind as it filled the room. “The spell,” she confirmed.
“Mmm,” he exhaled, his eyes shifting to the fireplace, wood popping in the heat. “Your forebears knew better days. Days without sacrifice.”
“The legends spoke truth, then?”
“Indeed.”
“Did you know I was coming?”
“I’ve waited twenty years. This isn’t our first meeting.”
“We’ve met before?”
“Once, when you were but a newborn. Your mother and I collaborated. We worked on a potion that siphons the power of nature to protect the truth in our world, to shield it from alchemy and dark spells.”
Elric opened a small cabinet beside the hearth. From it, he took an empty wooden chalice and a stoppered glass vial. Uncorking the vial, he poured a golden liquid into the chalice, the firelight making it shimmer. “This elixir hails from untarnished lands, free from the alchemy that poisons your realm. One sip and illusions shatter, transforming soul and society alike.” “What is it called?” she asked.
He looked at her intently. “Elysium,” he said, the word hanging heavy in the room. “It’s both the end and the beginning of your journey. You must experience it to understand. Drink.”
She sipped the brew; it tasted of nothing. Soon, as she nestled by the fire, the walls took a breath, and the world sharpened as if coming into focus for the first time. The air thickened into a heavy mist, her fingers danced through it, each ripple sending colors splashing around like bioluminescent whispers. She floated, her body dissolving, her name a distant echo.
Elric’s gaze turned to the fire, shadows playing across his face. “Elysium shows only what one needs to see, no more, no less,” he said, his voice a gentle wave against the shores of her uncertainty. “In my own experience with Elysium, I saw a torchbearer in the veil of time, a young soul with the spark to undo the dark spell on your land.” His eyes found Clara’s. “But the torchbearer had to come to me, the journey forging the resolve. Had I sought you out sooner, before your heart was ready, Elysium’s truth would have been a burden too heavy.”
As the reality of his words sank in, Clara felt the weight of the years, the faces of the countless lives lost to the alchemist’s dark magic flashing before her eyes. “And the elixir… why not share it sooner?”
Elric sighed, his eyes drifting to the ancient books lining the shelves. “Elysium’s truth is a double-edged blade. In the wrong hands, it could cut through the fabric of reality, leaving wounds that might never heal. Your kingdom…” he gestured vaguely towards the window, “…it wasn’t ready. But now, the ground has been furrowed by suffering, ready to receive the truth about the universe, the spell, the suffering.”
The walls breathed with a rhythm older than time. She looked at her hands moving through the bioluminescent mist, each movement sending ripples across the room. Tendrils of light danced in the air, ethereal spirits beckoning her towards another realm.
“But why?” Clara pressed, her presence deepening with each breath. “Why involve yourself?”
Elric’s eyes softened. “I once lived in your kingdom, fleeing when I realized the spell’s plague. Your mother and I, we shared a vision of a world free from dark alchemy. But more than a promise to an old friend, it’s a battle against the grasp of evil spells, a grasp threatening to choke the essence of life and freedom from this world. It’s a battle,” he looked at Clara with a profound earnestness, “that now passes to you.”
Suddenly, reality shattered, and her soul twisted and warped through a portal faster and faster until she touched the core of the cosmos.
Here, in a land beyond words, beyond the confines of time and space, she witnessed the birth and demise of the universe. With each breath, a star was born and died; each blink saw the rise and fall of civilizations. Like a photon racing at light speed through the cosmos, untouched by time, she beheld the entirety of all that ever was and will be.
Peering beyond the infinitely small, she saw the source code of the universe, equations as living tendrils of light materializing into particles, planets, and stars. The universe, a symphony of mathematical elegance, its physicality a melody resonating along the strings of her consciousness.
She floated amidst the cosmic code, orchestrating the universe — the planets, the voids, the unseen forces weaving through them — and she was one with all. She was the universe gazing at itself. Beyond the veil of mortality, she saw endless realms, death a mere doorway. In that boundless expanse, she brushed against the face of the divine.
A golden phoenix took form before her.
“I am Veritas,” it spoke, not in words, but in a language of complex geometry.
It exposed the grim truths of her lands, the Great Famine, and the enslaving spell — a counterfeit prosperity bought at the terrible price of human years.
“How do we break free?” Clara’s voice carried the untold suffering of generations.
“Simple,” the phoenix intoned. “Don’t battle the alchemist or his spell; you won’t win. Acknowledge the illusion. Tend to your own gardens, and reliance on the alchemist and the king fades. Elysium shields you, body and mind, from the spell’s reach.”
As the vision faded, Clara found herself back on the wooden floor, her head cushioned by a pillow. The urgency of her quest snapped her back to reality, a newfound resolve kindling in her chest.
“I see now,” she breathed, her voice steady. “I know what I must do.”
Elric nodded, a sage with a deep understanding of the paths of the universe. “Yes, but first, tea. There’s strength to regain and you have a long journey ahead,” he said, anchoring them both in a moment of calm before the impending storm of change.
Part VII: The Wayfarer’s Hearth
After days navigating barren expanses, Clara entered a cobblestone town as twilight settled. Figures lined the street, some alive, some not, most in limbo — too tired to beg, too frail to feed. Candlelight flickered from the windows of a tavern, illuminating well-fed faces. “The Wayfarer’s Hearth,” read the sign above the door.
She approached. The door creaked open to admit her, wafting out stale beer and the scent of roast meat. Her fingers twitched involuntarily, memories of weeks ago crawling up her spine, but her body ached for sustenance, for warmth. Holding her satchel close, safeguarding the vial of Elysium, she chose a chair at an empty table and settled in. Soon enough, food appeared.
The man who had set her meal before her took the adjacent seat with deliberate ease, his eyes lingering on her satchel. Her pulse quickened.
“You carry a weight, wanderer,” he said.
“Or hope,” she countered, her grip on her satchel unyielding.
A glass shattered. Drunkards stumbled into their table, a wave of mead sweeping over worn wood. Clara’s heart surged, the man’s fingers brushed her satchel, pulling the vial from its sanctuary. “Hope carries its own burden,” he said.
“The hope of my people is in that vial,” she shot back, her voice stripped bare.
“This is Elysium,” he said, his words like barbs. “At what cost, wanderer, do you think Elysium will save your people?”
Doubt snaked around her convictions. Was she the bearer of emancipation or a harbinger of calamity? Was her land ready for Elysium? “You know it?” she asked.
“I know it,” he said, eyeing it closely.
“Return it,” she commanded.
He handed over the vial. “The road to freedom is paved with the stones of responsibility. I wouldn’t want to walk in your shoes.”
She nodded, heavy but resolute. Clara left as quietly as she’d come, meal untouched, mission intact.
The night took her in. She cast a final glance back at a room oblivious to her departure. That night, she’d sleep under indifferent stars, closer to home but adrift in certainty, carrying the weight of a thousand stones of untold responsibility, a Trojan’s shroud for her people, a destiny unasked.
Part VIII: This is Elysium
Under a storm-heavy sky, Clara returned home. In her pocket was Elysium; in her mind, a plan that required Harold — an old friend and a knight by trade.
In the guild hall, Harold sat among knights and minstrels, a goblet in hand. “Look at this,” Clara said, pushing the vial across the table without ceremony. Her words pierced the tavern’s noise as she recounted her journey.
Harold looked at her, then at the vial. “You mean to say that one day, this will help us fight the spell?”
“No,” said Clara, her voice deep with a new knowing. “It means one day, we won’t have to.”
“Heresy,” Harold said. “You’re risking death.”
“So are we all,” she answered.
“They’ll burn you at the stake.”
“If I’m right, they won’t.”
“A trial then, regardless,” Harold said, his gaze dropping to the vial as the tavern’s jovial banter became a distant echo for them both.
“So be it,” Clara said, meeting his gaze. She leaned in, her fingers resting on his scarred knuckles. “Our farms take our children. It’s not right.”
“It’s how things are.”
“It’s how things were.”
“A trial will not be lenient, Clara. I can’t let you bring this to the king.”
“Not the king. The people.” She continued. “But don’t trust me. See for yourself.” Her eyes locked onto his. “Drink,” she said, her words echoing Elric’s.
Harold hesitated but finally drank. His eyes widened. He gripped the edge of the wooden table, his knuckles turning white. A sort of vacant gaze overcame him as if he’d journeyed to someplace far.
When the Elysium vision receded, he opened his eyes and looked at her anew, seeing the world for the first time again. He glanced around the hall as though it were a foreign land, his eyes lingering on the mundane — a crack in the table, the smudged goblet, a flickering torch on the wall—with awe and wonder. She knew then that they stood as one. Two visionaries, shouldering the burden of transforming the world, ready to shepherd their people into a revolutionary dawn.
In the square, the stone eyes of old heroes watched. A crowd formed, silenced by expectation and unaccustomed to the art of public speaking. Autumn leaves swirled at their feet.
“A new dawn!” Harold broke the silence. “Generations sacrificed, giving years for meager sustenance. But the land wants not our years — only our care and periodic reverence. The tales of a time without the toll of hunger, without a tax on life itself, from before the Great Famine, are not myths. They are forgotten chapters of our history, now on the verge of being rewritten.”
He raised the vial. Sunlight mirrored in its gold. “This is Elysium.”
Part IX: A Revolution Takes Shape
In the fading light of day, Harold and Clara stood by a murmuring brook, leaves rustling at their feet in quiet revolt. Faces young and old assembled around them; each one a silent rebellion against the servitude that taxed their years.
They drank, the chalice passing from hand to hand, a new ritual born. With each gathering, the numbers swelled; with each sip, more souls entwined. Slowly, yet with unyielding certainty, the kingdom shifted over the years. It changed not through a coup or uprising but through a still, relentless force, like water eroding stone. As the seasons passed and more villagers imbibed the Elysian brew, the weight of their invisible chains lessened, their atoms scattering into the evening air.
Shielded now, villagers sowed their own gardens, sanctuaries from the alchemist’s dominion. Bountiful harvests followed, hope supplanted despair. Word of the blooming private gardens spread like wildflowers, and fields once cursed by dark alchemy lay fallow and forgotten.
And there, by the unassuming brook, a revolution took shape. The soft sounds of the stream became an earthbound anchor for the myriad souls who opened the door to walk in the cosmic gardens of their minds. Each ritual added another stitch in the fabric of a new dawn; each sip, another brushstroke on the canvas of a world remade.
Part X: The Old Man
A decade drifted by. With each soul that tasted Elysium, the fetters of the old world loosened. The alchemist’s spell, once a yoke around their necks, now waned like thick morning fog giving way to the warmth of the day. Fields once cursed now bore food, not dread. Families gathered around bountiful tables, words flowing freely, unveiled.
Each year, townsfolk met by the sword in the square. Harold’s blade, the first monument raised in ages, stood as freedom’s spine, the axis of their new world. An old man approached, his eyes dimmed by memories of famine, leading a boy by the hand. Their eyes met, a chasm bridged: one soul untarnished by hunger, the other haunted by its ghost.
The old man stepped forward, his fingers quivering on the hilt of the sword. “Clara, what becomes of us if the land fails us again?” Years of hardship wavered in his voice, the ghosts of famine flickering in his eyes.
“It could,” Clara said, her voice steady as bedrock. “But it’s different now. Our fields are wider, our hands more skilled. We’re not trying to trick the earth with alchemy anymore. We speak in the simple terms it understands: soil, sun, water, time.”
Above, the alchemist’s fortress loomed, its towers now marred with cracks. Clara looked up. Empty windows stared back, like dead eyes on a fallen beast. Old times had ended; new ones had begun.
Part XI: The Note
Dawn broke, casting new light over worn cobblestones. Clara moved through the marketplace as if through a dream. The scent of cinnamon and rich coffee filled the air as she ran her fingers down silken tassels and through powdery barrels of golden saffron. Voices haggled; her feet felt the earth’s warm embrace.
Traders argued leisurely, their time no longer taxed by the spell. Children laughed, unburdened by field and plow.
Fields that once caged both young and old now released thinkers, builders, creators. The horizon changed form — bridges leapt over waterways, roads bound the land. Each stone laid was more than a fixture; it was a vow, a pact between the present and the future. It was today’s promise to a future yet unborn, anchored by the prosperity that now bloomed under Elysium’s sky.
As evening descended, the grand hall filled with voices unburdened by yesterday’s sorrow. In a secluded corner, Clara and Harold exchanged words about the loftier truths Elysium had laid bare.
A courier emerged from the crowd, extending a sealed parchment. “For you, mademoiselle.”
With a nod, Clara exchanged a coin for the note. Her eyes brightened as she absorbed the message:
Only a true renaissance resounds to the Whispering Pines. Continue, in health and strength. - Elric
She passed it to Harold, their eyes locking in wordless affirmation. “The Whispering Pines acknowledge us,” he finally said. “And so, we continue,” Clara replied, her voice unwavering, guided by truth. In the hall’s enveloping warmth, laughter, toasts, and spirited debates blended into a harmonious score — a sound that would have been foreign to their ancestors, a sound that marked the close of an era and the dawn of something profoundly new.
This story first appeared in Tales from the Timechain. Support our work and buy a copyhere.
79% of the zaps from this story will be passed onto the author, Reed.
21 Futures requests 21% for operating costs.
Ioni Appelberg (pronounced Yo-Ni Apple-Burg) is a bitcoin philosopher, futurist, author, and content creator. His content centers around science fiction, human history and it often takes the form of swashbuckling journeys to the frontiers of technology, space, and the human mind. His love of sci-fi, psychedelics, and futurism may take his stories (and unsuspecting readers) to strange but exciting places. He is also an avid reader, a medical doctor, a freedom fighter, an MMA fighter, a psychonaut, and a terrible chess player.
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2025-06-02 18:47:35มีคำกล่าวที่ว่า “นกไม่เห็นฟ้า ปลาไม่เห็นน้ำ หนอนในส้วมไม่เห็นคูถ ไส้เดือนไม่เห็นดิน คนอยู่ในโลกก็ไม่เห็นโลก” นี้หมายความว่า มันมีอะไรที่ลึกลับอยู่ ที่ทำให้นกไม่เห็นฟ้า หรือปลาไม่เห็นน้ำ. ให้ดูเห็นง่ายก็ที่ปลา ปลามันอยู่ในน้ำ น้ำก็ถึงตา มันยังมองไม่เห็นน้ำ ทั้งที่น้ำเป็นสิ่งที่มันปะทะหรือว่าติดกันอยู่เสมอไป. ตั้งแต่เกิดมาก็เป็นอย่างนั้นเสียแล้ว มันก็ไม่ได้รู้สึกว่ามีน้ำ ปลาจึงไม่รู้ว่าน้ำนั้นคืออะไร โดยแท้จริง. หรือว่าหนอนที่เกิดมาจากอุจาระอยู่แท้ ๆ แต่ก็ไม่เห็นอุจาระ. หรือว่าไส้เดือนอยู่ในดิน มันกินดิน แต่มันก็ไม่เห็นดิน. ทั้งนี้เพราะคำว่า “เห็น” ในที่นี้มีความหมายพิเศษ
คนอยู่ในโลกก็ไม่เห็นโลก คือไม่ได้เห็นความจริงหรือความลับโดยแท้จริงของสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “โลก” มีตามันก็เห็นนั่นเห็นนี่เรือย ๆ ไป แต่ไม่เห็นจริง. ไม่รู้จักโดยแท้จริง มันจึงได้หลงในสิ่งเหล่านั้น. ถ้าเห็นจริงๆก็จะไม่หลงในอะไร. เพราะฉะนั้นอย่าได้ประมาท อย่าได้อวดดี ว่าเรา “เห็น” มันเพียงแต่ว่า สัมผัสตามธรรมดาด้วยตา แล้วรู้สึกไปตามกฎเกณฑ์อย่างธรรมดา ว่ามันมีเท่านั้น ; แต่ที่จริงยังมีอยู่อีกชั้นหนึ่ง คือชั้นลึกซึ้ง.
ทีนี้ เรามาดูกันถึงสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” ขอให้สังเกตดูให้ดี ๆ ว่า เราต้องใช้คำว่า “สิ่งที่เรียกกันว่า...” สิ่งที่เรียกกันว่านี้ มันเป็นของคนโง่ก็ได้ คือคนโง่มันว่า หรือมันเรียกอะไรเป็นอะไร. แล้วในโลกนี้มีคนโง่มาก หรือมีคนฉลาดมาก ถ้าว่าเป็นคนฉลาด มันก็จะต้องรู้จักทำโลกนี้ให้หมดปัญหา คือไม่มีตวามทุกข์ยากลำบากวุ่นวาย.
เดี๋ยวนี้คนส่วนมาก ก็ไม่รู้จักสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “โลก” นี้โดยแท้จริง มันจึงทำไปในลักษณะที่ไม่ถูกต้องตรงตามที่เป็นจริง เราจึงยุ่งกันทั้งโลกอยู่เวลานี้.
คำว่า “ชีวิต” นี้ก็เหมือนกัน มันมีสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” โดยเฉพาะเด็ก ๆ สมัยนี้ จะใช้คำว่า “ชีวิต” นี้พร่ำเพรื่อ. สมัยปู่ ย่า ตา ยาย คำว่าชีวิตนี้ใช้น้อยที่สุด เป็นความลึกลับเอามาพูดถึงกันน้อยที่สุด. เดี๋ยวนี้หนังสืออ่านเล่นหนังสืออะไรก็มีคำว่า “ชีวิต” ใช้พร่ำเพรื่อ จนเด็ก ๆ เข้าใจไปว่า ตัวเองรู้จักสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” อย่างแตกฉานทีเดียว. นั่นแหละคือความหลับหูหลับตา สำหรับจะอวดดี.
สิ่งที่เรียกว่าชีวิตนี้มันมีความลึกลับ และยังแถมมีเคล็ดลับที่ซ่อนเร้นอยู่ในนั้นมาก คำว่า “ชีวิต” ของเด็ก ๆ ที่เคยอ่านแต่หนังสืออ่านเล่น มันก็มีความหมายอย่างหนึ่ง คนวัยรุ่นที่เคยแต่อ่านหนังสืออ่านเล่นนั้น จะเข้าใจคำว่า “ชีวิต” ในความหมายไปอย่างหนึ่ง. ต่อเมื่ออายุมากแล้ว เป็นพ่อแม่แล้ว จะรู้จัก “ชีวิต” ในความหมายหนึ่ง ซึ่งจะจริงกว่าหรือถูกกว่าอีกมาก; แต่ก็ยังไม่หมด มันยังเหลือความลับของชีวิตนั้นอีกมาก จนกว่าจะเป็นพระอริยเจ้า หรือว่ามีปัญญาตามแบบของพระอริยเจ้านั่นแหละ จึงจะเห็นสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” อย่างถูกต้องแท้จริงและถึงที่สุด คือสมบูรณ์ที่สุด.
เพราะฉะนั้น พระอริยเจ้านั้นก็มิใช่ใครอื่นที่ไหน ท่านเป็นเพียงผู้ที่รู้จักโลกตามที่เป็นจริง แล้วก็ไม่หลงโลก ท่านทำให้ชีวิตนี้ไม่มีความทุกข์ ; คนชนิดนี้เรียกว่าพระอริยเจ้า.
แต่เดี๋ยวนี้คนทั่วไปไม่เข้าใจคำว่า “พระอริยเจ้า” จัดไว้เป็นบุคคลที่ลึกลับ เข้าใจไม่ได้ ; หรือว่าจะเป็นบุคคลประเภทที่ไม่พึงปรารถนาด้วยซ้ำไป.
คนวัยรุ่นสมัยนี้จะเข้าใจว่า พระอริยเจ้าเป็นคนหมดความหมาย สำหรับโลก หมดความหมายสำหรับพวกเรา ท่านบ้า ๆ บอ ๆ ครึ ๆ คระ ๆ ไปตามแบบของท่าน. ถ้าใครนึกอยู่อย่างนี้ก็ขอให้นึกเสียใหม่ เพราะว่าการศึกษาอบรมสมัยนี้อาจจะทำให้นึกไปอย่างนั้น จนนึกไปว่าพระอริยเจ้านี้ท่านเป็นคนประหลาด บ้า ๆ บอ ๆ ไปตามแบบของท่าน.
ขอให้เข้าใจเสียใหม่ว่า พระอริยเจ้า นั้นคือบุคคล ที่รู้จักโลกตามที่เป็นจริง และจัดการทุกอย่างถูกต้องหมด จนไม่มีความทุกข์ คือท่านไม่เป็นเหมือนกับ นกไม่เห็นฟ้า ปลาไม่เห็นน้ำ หนอนไม่เห็นคูถอย่างนี้ อีกต่อไป คือไม่เป็นอย่างนี้อีกต่อไป ; จะเป็นผู้ที่รู้สิ่งทั้งหลายทั้งปวงถูกต้องตามที่เป็นจริง.
ด้วยเหตุนี้แหละ เราจึงต้องใช้คำว่า สิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” ไม่ใช้คำว่า “ชีวิต” เฉยๆ เพราะมันเรียกกันได้ตามชอบใจ หลายอย่าง หลายแบบ หลายชั้น หลายลักษณะนัก ดังนั้นจึงขอร้องให้ผู้ที่เป็นครูนั้น รู้จักความลับของสิ่งที่เรียกว่าชีวิต.
ทีนี้ ความลับของสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” นี้ มันก็ยังมีมากมายอีก ในชั้นนี้เราเอาตามที่พระพุทธเจ้าท่านตรัสไว้จะดีกว่า และก็อย่างเดียวกันอีกนั่นแหละ คือว่าพระพุทธเจ้าท่านได้ตรัสไว้มาก ถ้าเอาพระไตรปิฏกเป็นหลักแล้วมันมากจนเกินกว่าที่ชาวบ้านจะศึกษาไหว หรือจะรวบรวมมาให้หมดได้. เพราะฉะนั้นจึงมีความจำเป็นที่จะต้องมีการย่อหรือสรุปเอาแต่ใจความมาให้ฟังหรือให้ศึกษากัน.
ตามนัยที่พระพุทธเจ้าท่านได้ตรัสไว้ทั้งหมด ทั้งสิ้นนั้น เราอาจจะสรุปความได้ว่า สิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” นั้น มันมีเคล็ดลับมาก แต่มันก็รวมอยู่ที่ สิ่งที่เรียกว่า ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ ช่วยจำคำ ๖ คำนี้ไว้ให้ดี ๆ อย่าหาว่าเป็นคำธรรมดา หรือว่าเป็นเรื่องธรรมดา มันมีความลับอยู่ในนั้นมากมายนัก คือคำว่า ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ เราเรียกเป็นภาษาไทยกันดีกว่า ภาษาบาลีชวนให้ยุ่งหัว อยากจะรู้ภาษาบาลีก็ไปดูปทานุกรมเอาเองก็ได้.
สิ่งที่สำคัญที่สุด หรือทั้งหมดของสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” ก็ตาม หรือของความลับ เคล็ดลับของชีวิตก็ตาม มันสรุปรวมอยู่ที่ สิ่งที่เราเรียกกันว่า ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ.
จากหนังสือความลับของชีวิต โดยพุทธทาสอินทปัญโญ
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@ b8a9df82:6ab5cbbd
2025-06-02 18:31:55How open-source won in fiat land.
Completely lost in time, I finally landed back in Berlin after a month in Buenos Aires and a week in Las Vegas that felt like an entire lifetime compressed into a few days.
A year ago, I barely knew how to spell NOSTR, didn’t have a Lightning wallet, and had only vaguely heard of Bitcoin. I had no idea what this movement was about — what it could mean, or where it might take me. Fast forward to now: I found myself in Las Vegas, at the biggest Bitcoin conference in the world, surrounded by thousands of people.
For those who haven’t been yes, Vegas is exactly like in the movies. It is Disneylands for adults. Casinos pumping cold air at 4 am to keep you awake, fake skies, fake rivers, fake cities. You walk from one hotel to another and somehow land in a version of Rome, Paris or Venice. It’s bizarre and overwhelming and… kind of amazing in its own twisted way. Who are we humans to build a neon wonderland in the middle of a desert?
And yet, even there, in peak fiat land, there I was: in a casino lounge at 4 in the morning onboarding random people to Nostr with the entire team.
But let’s rewind — how did I even end up here?
After a slightly rocky start Derek and I began the year with a mission: to bring Nostr to Las Vegas. A booth? Way too expensive. So we tried something else — applying for a grant from the Human Rights Foundation. Because the Oslo Freedom Forum was happening at the same time, HRF decided to support six fellow Nostriches and gave us the green light to build something different: the Nostr Lounge.
To the entire HRF team: thank you. Thank you for trusting us, for believing in the vision, and for playing such a crucial role in making this happen. Located in Open Source area far from the main exhibition hall, away from the noise and flashing lights we were not sure if anyone even come?
But the space turned out to be perfect — cosy, carpeted, warm. A real contrast to the intense chaos of the main hall. It gave us space to breathe, to onboard, to connect.And of course the plebs did come. And the energy? Unreal. People were genuinely curious, eager to learn, and ready to go deep. No suits, no fluff — just people who care.
Of course, there were suitcoiners too — and yes, I’ve written about them before, especially after my experience at Bitcoin investment Week in New York (if you missed it, I wrote about that here earlier this year — and Vegas brought a strange kind of déjà vu).
This was — and is — a team effort. It wouldn’t have happened without the incredible crew of volunteers who came from all corners of the world. Developers, builders, creators, idealists. People who understand what freedom of speech really means. Agustin, Mike, Sleepy, Erik and so many more. And even those who weren’t physically with us — following along on Nostr, sending support from afar — you were just as much a part of it.
For me personally, it meant everything to finally meet so many beautiful humans in real life. Especially the women: Roya, Heather, Valerie, Bri, Efrat… you give me strength and hope. It reminded me why I’m here — why we’re all here. There is a better world worth fighting for, and this community helps me believe in it.
The Nostr Lounge was for the plebs — and so was our side event at We All Scream. Away from the overpriced conference afterparties, NosVegas was a wild, joyful celebration. Sponsored by Tunestr and The Space, it was the perfect mix of education and dance floor madness. The vibes were lit. The artists such as Sara Jade, Ainsley Costello on fire.
If there’s one thing I would change? I wish we’d had more stage time. As Derek said in the only fireside chat: "Every Bitcoiner should be on Nostr." If we have an entire lounge dedicated to it, let’s really go for it. Because people do care. They do love it. Oh — and while we're dreaming — maybe one day the WiFi gods will finally smile on us.
One more highlight: The 2nd Annual Bitcoin Golf Championship and Kickoff Party. Frieda, the organiser, gave us a tiny table with Nostr banners. We used it to onboard and chat — and of course, it became the busiest little corner of the event.
All in all, I feel deeply grateful — and also completely behind on processing it all. A full recap will follow soon from Derek (bless him), but this was my personal take, straight from the heart.
And if I forgot to mention anyone by name — I’m truly sorry. So many of you made this experience what it was, and I carry that with me.
And one thing I’m especially thankful for — having someone by my side through all this. Someone who grounds me, who gets it, who quietly keeps me steady while the world spins fast. You know who you are.
Next stop: Prague
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@ 06639a38:655f8f71
2025-06-02 18:20:031) How did you spend your time?
I continued to write and publish more detailed weekly updates here: https://nostrver.se/blog. These updates are also cross-posted via Nostr as long-form content.
All commits on the main branch from 01-03-2025 till 30-04-2025: https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/commits/main/?since=2025-03-01&until=2025-04-30
NIP-19 bech32-encoded entities
This has been implemented in the library, see https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/68
Added getTag method to the Event class
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/commit/5afa38a45d3371bf79c78cda4d93be3ecef86985
Added a profile class to fetch profile metadata of a given pubkey
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/commit/0e6cbbb80b08b2b38722d4cef68205c64b70b205
Drupal nJump module which implements Nostr-PHP
This Drupal module which is providing these Nostr features is FOSS and uses the Nostr-PHP library for doing the following:
- Request the event from one or more relays
- Decode the provided NIP-19 identifier
For now this module is way for me to utilize the Nostr-PHP library with Drupal for fetching events.
Any event and a NIP-19 identifier can now be fetched with the following URL pattern:
https://nostrver.se/e/{event_id|nevent1|note1|addr1}
As an example, take this URL https://nostrver.se/e/nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqmjxss3dld622uu8q25gywum9qtg4w4cv4064jmg20xsac2aam5nqqsqm2lz4ru6wlydzpulgs8m60ylp4vufwsg55whlqgua6a93vp2y4g3uu9lr fetches the data from one or more relays. This data is then being saved as a (Drupal) node entity (in a database on the server where this website is hosted, which is located in my tiny office). With this saved node, this data is now also available at https://nostrver.se/e/0dabe2a8f9a77c8d1079f440fbd3c9f0d59c4ba08a51d7f811ceeba58b02a255/1 where the (cached) data is server from the database instead. It's just raw data for now, nothing special about it (yet).
Contributions to the library
- NIP-04 + NIP-44
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/84
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/88 - NIP-05 internet identifier lookup
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/89 - Allow verification of Event objects
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/86 - Work in progress: NIP-17 direct messages
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/90
All these contributions are made by Djuri who is working on the Nostr integration in https://satsback.com and on a private messaging browser client https://n17.chat.
Removed the CLI tool from the library
See https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/93
New / updated documentation at nostr-php.dev
I started to explore what is possible generating documentation using Goose as an AI agent and Claude as the LLM provider. Bootstrapping new pages with documentation works very well while I point to several resources to be used as input for the LLM (using the example snippets in the Nostr-PHP library and the Nostr NIP repository).
All commits on the master branch from 01-03-2025 till 30-04-2025: https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php.dev/commits/master?since=2025-03-01&until=2025-04-30- Updated the page how to handle tags on a event, see https://nostr-php.dev/guides/manage-tags-on-an-event#getting-specific-tags
- Added a instructions to try out the library online at https://nostr-php.dev/guides/get-started
- Work in progress, NIP-19 documentation: https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php.dev/tree/feat/nip19docs and https://nostr-php.dev/guides/nip19
Some analytics
Source: https://packagist.org/packages/swentel/nostr-php/stats
Other Nostr stuff I would to mention I worked on
NIP-B0 web bookmarks with CCNS.news
I moved https://ccns.nostrver.se to a own domain https://ccns.news and has integrated NIP-B0 which we worked out how to handle web bookmarks via Nostr. Before this NIP was merged, there were already some other Nostr clients handling web bookmarks:
Also Fiatjaf started to work on an annotation noting tool (browser extension) called Lantern (which is a fork of https://hypothes.is) integrating Nostr for creating highlights and annotations on a webpage with text. This extension can also be used to bookmark web pages.
On CCNS.news there is a global feed now: https://ccns.news/global which fetches all the web bookmark events with kind
39701
from several public Nostr relays. I had a rough idea to compare feeds generated with NDK and Nostr-PHP (for both using the same set of relays):When you post a bookmark now on the site, a kind
39701
event is transmitted to some Nostr relays (take a look at this event for example). Optionally you can also publish this content as a note to the network.2) What do you plan to work on next quarter?
- Already work in progress:
- Review and merge PR with NIP-17
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/90 - Implement NIP-65 with RelayListMetadata class
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/100 - Implement DMRelayList class
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/blob/main/src/Event/List/DmRelaysList.php - Review and implements extra metadata fields for profile
- https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/94
- Implement PersistantConnection class
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/99 - Review and merge PR NIP-13 proof of work
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/97 - Review and merge PR for implementing methods (TODO's) on Relay and RelaySet class
https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/95
- Review and merge PR with NIP-17
- Planned:
- Research how the revolt/event-loop package can be used to serve as a sort of a message bus for handling async and concurrent requests in the library
- Build a stable 2.0.x release
- By default and full async concurrent requests support
- Add / update documentation on https://nostr-php.dev:
- Direct messages with NIP-04 and NIP-17
- Encrypted payloads with NIP-44
- Instructions how to bootstrap a Nostr profile with a given pubkey
- Host the https://nostr-php.dev website as a static website using Blossom.
See https://github.com/lez/nsite and https://github.com/hzrd149/nsite-ts
3) How did you make use of the money?
- Livings costs
4) Is there anything we could help with?
I would love to see a (closed/private) digital place with other Nostr OpenSats grantees where we can share our experiences and challenges. We could give feedback to each other as a form of encouragement. For example I'm curious how other grantees are explaining the work they to other which are not familiar with FOSS, Nostr and/or Bitcoin.
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@ 3a7c74bb:bbdd5960
2025-06-02 11:48:00- The Foundation (12th Century)
The territory that would become Portugal was originally part of the Kingdom of León and Castile. But in 1128, the young nobleman Afonso Henriques confronted his own mother at the Battle of São Mamede, taking control of the County of Portugal (Condado Portucalense).
In 1139, after winning the Battle of Ourique, he declared himself King of Portugal. Independence was recognized in 1143 by the King of León and confirmed by the Pope in 1179.
- Expansion and the discoveries (14th–16th Centuries)
In the following centuries, Portugal consolidated its territory and set out to sea. The 15th century marked the beginning of the Portuguese Discoveries:
🚢 1419–1420 – Discovery of Madeira and the Azores 🚢 1488 – Bartolomeu Dias rounds the Cape of Good Hope 🚢 1498 – Vasco da Gama reaches India 🚢 1500 – Pedro Álvares Cabral discovers Brazil
During this period, Portugal created a vast maritime empire with colonies in Africa, the Americas, Asia, and Oceania.
- Iberian Union and the restoration (1580–1640)
In 1580, after a dynastic crisis caused by the death of King Sebastian, Portugal came under Spanish rule in what is known as the Iberian Union. For 60 years, the Spanish kings ruled Portugal until, in 1640, a revolt led by John IV restored Portuguese independence.
- The decline of the Empire and the 1755 earthquake
The 18th century was marked by the Lisbon earthquake of 1755, one of the greatest disasters of its time, which destroyed much of the capital. The Marquis of Pombal led the country’s reconstruction and modernization.
The empire began to weaken, culminating in the independence of Brazil in 1822.
- Wars, republic, and dictatorship (19th–20th Centuries)
Portugal faced internal crises and took part in World War I. In 1910, the monarchy fell and the Portuguese Republic was proclaimed.
In the 20th century, the country lived under the Estado Novo dictatorship (1933–1974), led by António de Oliveira Salazar. In 1974, the Carnation Revolution brought democracy, and the following year, the last African colonies gained independence.
- Modern Portugal (21st Century)
In 1986, Portugal joined the European Union, marking a period of growth and modernization. Today, it is a democratic country with a rich culture and a history that continues to inspire the world.
- And what about the islands?
The Autonomous Regions of Madeira and the Azores play a fundamental role in Portuguese identity. Discovered in the 15th century, they have been part of Portugal ever since and have their own regional governments.
Madeira is known for its wine and stunning landscapes, while the Azores are famous for their volcanic nature and unique culture.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite writer from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ e8646d56:72dab368
2025-06-03 08:15:30eee
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@ 06639a38:655f8f71
2025-06-01 19:45:04Nostr-PHP
All commits on the main branch between 19-05 and 25-05: https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/commits/main/?since=2025-05-19&until=2025-05-25
- Merged PR #95 finish implementing methods Relay and RelaySet
- Merged PR #90 implementing NIP-17 private direct messages
- Made some progress on the persistentConnection class for fetching messages from a relay in runtime (realtime)
New release: 1.8.0
What's Changed
- feat: Implement NIP-05 lookups by @dsbaars in https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/89
- NIP 44 implementation fix and test improvements by @dsbaars in https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/88
- remove CLI tool from library - https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-p… by @Sebastix in https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/93
- Add extra metadata fields for profile by @dsbaars in https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/94
- Finish implementing methods Relay and RelaySet by @dsbaars in https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/95
- Implement NIP-17 Private Direct Messages by @dsbaars in https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/90
Full changelog: https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/compare/1.7.1...1.8.0
Link: https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/releases/tag/1.8.0 -
@ 58537364:705b4b85
2025-06-01 16:46:42ความสุขทางโลก ลัทธิสุขนิยมยกย่อง แต่ลัทธิทรมานตนประณาม หากไม่มองว่ากามสุขเป็นพรจากพระผู้เป็นเจ้า คนก็มักมองว่ากามสุขเป็นเครื่องลวงล่อของซาตาน ในเรื่องนี้พระพุทธศาสนาเลือกเดินสายกลาง โดยสอนว่าเราควรทำความเข้าใจกามสุขให้แจ่มแจ้ง ทั้งในแง่เสน่ห์เย้ายวน ข้อจำกัดและข้อบกพร่องทั้งหลาย
เพื่อให้เข้าใจกามสุขอย่างแจ่มแจ้ง เราอาจตั้งคำถามดังนี้: กามสุขสนองตอบความต้องการทางจิตใจแบบใดได้บ้าง และไม่อาจตอบสนองความต้องการแบบใดได้ เพราะเหตุใด
ความต้องการในส่วนที่กามสุขไม่อาจตอบสนองได้ เราควรปฏิบัติอย่างไร
เราหลงเพลิดเพลินและยึดติดในกามสุขมากเพียงใด และกามสุขมีอิทธิพลเหนือจิตใจเราเพียงใด
เราเคยทำหรือพูดสิ่งที่ไม่ถูกต้องเนื่องด้วยปรารถนาในกามสุขหรือไม่
เราเคยเบียดเบียนผู้อื่นเนื่องด้วยปรารถนาในกามสุขหรือไม่
บ่อยครั้งเพียงใดที่สุขทางโลกสร้างความผิดหวังให้เรา
ความคาดหวังมีผลกระทบอย่างไรต่อความสุขทางโลก การทำอะไรซ้ำๆ และความเคยชินส่งผลต่อความสุขทางโลกอย่างไร
เรารู้สึกอย่างไร ยามไม่ได้กามสุขที่เราปรารถนา
กามสุขมีความเกี่ยวข้องกับความซึมเศร้าหรือไม่ กับความวิตกกังวลด้วยหรือไม่
เรารู้สึกอย่างไร เมื่อนึกถึงอนาคตว่า จะต้องพลัดพรากจากสุขทางโลก เนื่องด้วยความเจ็บไข้ ความแก่ และความตาย
การพลัดพรากจากความสุขทางโลกรู้สึกอย่างไรบ้าง
เราตั้งคำถามได้มากมาย และยังตั้งคำถามได้มากไปกว่านี้
หลักสำคัญ คือ ยิ่งเห็นชัดแจ้งในกามสุข เราจะยิ่งเกิดปัญญาและเข้าถึงความสงบมากขึ้นธรรมะคำสอน โดย พระอาจารย์ชยสาโร แปลถอดความ โดย ปิยสีโลภิกขุ
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@ eb0157af:77ab6c55
2025-06-03 12:02:09The Pakistani government embraces Bitcoin, following the example set by the United States.
Pakistan has officially announced the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The announcement was made during the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas, marking a significant shift from the government’s previous stance against digital assets.
During the event, Bilal Bin Saqib, head of the Pakistani Crypto Council, shared the country’s decision:
“Today, I announce the Pakistani government is setting up its own government-led Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, and we want to thank the United States of America again because we were inspired by them.”
Bin Saqib then added:
“This wallet, the national Bitcoin wallet, is not for speculation. We will be holding these bitcoins and we will never, ever sell them.”
It remains unclear how the bitcoins will be acquired, whether through direct purchases or other means.
Pakistan’s shift in approach toward digital assets traces back to last February, when the government first explored the idea of creating a National Crypto Council. This body was designed to oversee the development of a comprehensive regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies and to attract foreign investment in the sector.
The Council’s proposed initiatives included projects such as utilizing surplus energy for Bitcoin mining, building high-performance data centers, and accumulating Bitcoin for the national treasury.
Just a few days ago, the Council officially allocated 2,000 megawatts of surplus energy to support mining operations and AI data centers.
Moreover, Changpeng Zhao, co-founder of Binance, was appointed as an advisor to the Council in April, offering expertise on crypto regulations, blockchain infrastructure, and the adoption of digital assets.
To further consolidate this new approach, the Pakistani Ministry of Finance has commissioned the creation of the Digital Asset Authority, an agency dedicated to supervising digital asset regulations and issuing licenses for crypto service providers operating within the country.
The post Pakistan announces the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve appeared first on Atlas21.
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@ 5fbec235:ff265c2a
2025-06-01 15:33:20Safety as a Community Creation
I quickly learned that Japan is known for being one of the safest countries in the world—yes, I didn't even realize that until I arrived there. But understanding safety as a statistic is different from witnessing it as a lived reality.
One of the most striking signals of this safety was watching first graders take themselves to school on public transportation in Tokyo. These tiny humans, navigating one of the world's largest cities completely independently. In contrast, my Chicago suburban hometown requires parents to wait at the bus stop for children of that same age, even if their house is just across the street.
I witnessed nearly everyone glued to their phones while out in public. Literally dozens of heads planted facedown into their palms while crossing major intersections. While that's not a trait I admire, it reflects the absolute safety every citizen must feel to be able to walk around like that. Similarly, Tokyo is definitely the place where you can show off designer fashion trends if you can afford to do so. While the style is far more modest and homogenous than here in the USA, expensive fashion statements are still blatantly made in the many high-trafficked districts of the mega city.
The contrast hit me viscerally when I remembered my friend's experience in São Paulo a few years ago. During a short three-mile run, while he was checking Google Maps, he was nearly mugged by a thief on a motorbike. The difference was unmistakable. Take heed of all warnings to not use a smart phone in the streets of Sào Paulo. Tokyo however - accidentally leave your phone at the Izakaya? Don't be surprised if it is personally returned to you by the owner of the Izakaya with a note thanking you once again for your earlier patronage.
Community M and the Dissolution of Transactional Relationships
While in Japan, I was invited to spend the weekend in an exclusive, members-only community nestled along a river flowing down from the mountains—remarkably, all still within Tokyo Prefecture. It felt like a hidden gem: only 5% of the prefecture consists of this kind of natural landscape, and I never would have discovered it without that special invitation.
There, I participated in a unique Bonsai class led by a woman who has been cultivating Bonsai her entire career. I also shared meals, nature walks, and sauna sessions with other community members. It was an eventful weekend, meeting and integrating with an entirely unique culture. The weekend felt truly memorable, special, everlasting—essentially boiled down to a priceless experience.
It's an experience I will remember and appreciate more than the time I've spent in several corporate luxury hotels. Don't get me wrong, corporate luxury hotels are very nice. Their amenities are much more comfortable than anything Community M could offer me. They feel safe, and they make me feel just a little bit entitled—in the sense that "I'm spending A LOT of money with the company that keeps you employed... so are you working for me to the maximum of our mutual expectations?" That's certainly okay. The hotel is offering a service and I am paying for it. Ultimately, it is indeed a mutually valuable transaction everyone is happy with.
But that time spent with Community M was something different. The amount of money I could have spent with them didn't matter. Friendships were formed over shared interests and probably genuine interest and curiosity in each other's cultures. Those values get washed away when the power dynamic shifts too much toward a monetary transaction—service in exchange for cash.
This experience crystallized something I'd been feeling but couldn't articulate: the difference between being served and being welcomed. In transactional relationships, your value is determined by your purchasing power. In genuine community, your value comes from your participation, your curiosity, your willingness to share and receive.
What Online Communities Could Become
What should online communities of the future look like? I think an amazing community could pull some of the best traits of American and Japanese culture. Reliance on oneself and personal responsibility is incredibly important. But as communities grow, it becomes so much harder to exercise personal interests without feeling like I'm "barging in" or something. I've never felt compelled to become the center of attention. What gets me excited is seeing people come together and being their best selves naturally and organically around one another, without any single person being too much "the center."
The way I see a lot of online communities advertised today is less desirable to me. It often looks like there's an influencer selling something and inviting all their followers to join "the community." This replicates the same extractive, transactional dynamics I experienced in luxury hotels, just digitally.
I left Japan with a sense of respect for what's possible when people come together under a shared understanding of a few basic human principles. The most obvious one being a sense of shared responsibility to look out for one another, thereby providing safety for all—a large, functional neighborhood watch, so to say. In Japan, I got the sense that the means to provide general well-being through shared responsibility is far greater than the more exclusive reliance on oneself and distrust of others that often appears in large American cities.
The Internet as Unsafe Territory
When thinking of safety and shared responsibility, the internet today is more like New York City than Tokyo. It's not safe for children, and outsourcing our own responsibility for maintaining safety to centralized, profit-seeking organizations makes no sense. These platforms have the undisputed goal of extracting value from the very communities they attempt to serve.
Current online communities are built backwards. Instead of communities creating tools for themselves, external platforms create tools to extract value from communities. The power dynamic is fundamentally extractive rather than generative.
Communities Building for Themselves
Eve will allow us to build intranets that are safer than anything YouTube, Facebook, TikTok, or any other platform could ever provide because they'll be built by communities, not for-profit organizations seeking to extract value. All applications will be open source, therefore all algorithms will be open source, thereby empowering everyone to exercise their shared responsibilities for maintaining safe, prosperous communities.
Communities will be enabled to create applications that deliver unique experiences specific to their rules and guidelines. Compare it to my Bonsai class. Someday there may be a Japan-oriented community where Bonsai masterclasses and other Bonsai-related services and products are offered. Communities won't be as dependent on platforms. Because of the open-source standard, more tradespeople will be enabled to quickly build whatever the community deems necessary. Communities will be in full control and not reliant on any one platform, nor any one person to maintain the community.
What I experienced in that members-only community by the river was a space where relationships form around shared interests and genuine curiosity - where the community itself determines its needs and builds its tools, where safety emerges from collective responsibility rather than external enforcement. In our digital age of abundance - I see a very real future where communities are enabled to free themselves from irrelevant distractions and build what they need to achieve both individual and collective prosperity.
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@ 866e0139:6a9334e5
2025-06-03 07:31:24Autor: Andreas Hagen. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.
Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.
Heute ist Karfreitag 2025, und ich beginne diese Zeilen um kurz nach 15 Uhr zu schreiben. Seit ich von der Friedenstaube gehört hatte, bastelte ich innerlich immer wieder an dem Text, der Ihnen heute vorliegt. Ich bin kein beruflicher Autor, aber ich möchte meinem Impuls folgen, meine Lebenserfahrungen zu teilen. In der Absicht, dass dieser Inhalt hilfreich in diesen schwierigen Zeiten wirkt.
Ich wurde recht katholisch erzogen in einem (Deutschen) Familiensystem, das von den Wirkungen des Zweiten Weltkrieges – gelinde gesagt – stark geprägt wurde. Was ich als Kind in den 70er Jahren nur über das Spüren wahrgenommen hatte, erklärte sich mir im Laufe meines Erwachsen-Werdens, vor allem über die Erzählungen meines Vaters. Heute bin ich Buddhist, und neben dem Verstehen empfinde ich immer größer werdendes Mitgefühl für meine Großeltern und deren Kinder, die mich auf die Welt gebracht haben.
Während des Krieges ging es in diesen beiden Familien vorrangig um Überleben, wie in vielen anderen Familien auch. Die Männer in Ihrer „Funktion“ an der Front – später dann physisch und psychisch schwer verletzt. Die Frauen auf sich gestellt mit Kindern, Armut, Hoffnungslosigkeit und existentiellen Ängsten ausgesetzt.
Diese Erlebnisse über Jahre hinweg und die daraus resultierenden inneren Zustände oder Gefühle meiner Ahnen sind in einer gewissen Art und Weise über mehrere Generationen hinweg bis in mein eigenes Körper-Geist-System weitergegeben worden. Was manche als kollektiv-psychologisches Phänomen mit dem Namen „German Angst“ beschreiben, möchte ich in den folgenden Zeilen unter dem Kontext einer fernöstlichen Sichtweise betrachten. Das scheint möglicherweise etwas ungewöhnlich, aber lassen Sie sich in der kommenden Lesezeit auf ein Denk-Experiment ein, das sich lohnen wird.
Ich spreche über das Prinzip des NICHT-TUNS, in der daoistischen Philosophie WU WEI genannt.
Betrachtet man das Phänomen der „German Angst“ unter Zuhilfenahme des Prinzips des Nicht-Tuns, kann man ein inhärentes Möglichkeitspotential darin entdecken. Das heißt, wir betrachten ein bekanntes Phänomen aus einer vollständig anderen Perspektive, und durch den etwas anderen Blick wird etwas sichtbar, was vorher schon da war, aber noch im Verborgenen.
Dieses in uns liegende Möglichkeitspotential kann uns in den kommenden Monaten hilfreich sein, um dem zu begegnen, was gerade in Deutschland und Europa stattfindet. Manche bezeichnen den aktuellen Prozess als Optimierung der Verteidigungsfähigkeiten, andere betrachten ihn als Kriegsvorbereitung, wobei die offenliegende, primäre Auswirkung der „German Angst“ als Durchsetzungswerkzeug nutzbar gemacht wird.
Aber erst einmal zurück zu Karfreitag vor über zweitausend Jahren: An jenem Nachmittag hing Christus am Kreuz angenagelt und absichtlich schwer verletzt (für Viele, damals wie heute, DER SOHN GOTTES und Ausdruck bedingungsloser Liebe). Wenn man sich in diese Situation hineinfühlt, wird das Leid schier unerträglich. Und ich bitte den Leser unabhängig von seiner Religion oder inneren Ausrichtung explizit, kurz innezuhalten und sich in diesen sterbenden Menschen hineinzuversetzen.
DAS war das letztendliche Ergebnis von KRIEG. DIE LIEBE wurde an ein Kreuz genagelt, mit einem Speer aufgespießt und dann starb sie – langsam und qualvoll.
Wenn man den Überlieferungen glaubt, waren einige seiner engen Schüler und Vertrauten ganz in der Nähe. Auch deren Gefühlswelt ist vom Leser nach zweitausend Jahren nachfühlbar, auch wenn es ähnlich schwierig ist.
Manch Historiker argumentiert, dass Jesus/Christus bereits einige Zeit vor diesem Ereignis wusste, welches „Ende“ ihm bestimmt war. So dann auch wohl seine engsten Vertrauten, vielleicht sogar die gesamte Essener-Gemeinschaft, aus der er stammte. Wenn dem so war, ist dieses Wesen in Klarheit und absoluter Hingabe in diesen unglaublich leidvollen Prozess gegangen.
Man kann auch rein gedanklich nachvollziehen, dass alle ihm nahestehenden Menschen schwierige Gefühle wie Verzweiflung, Ohnmacht und Wut in allerhöchster Ausprägung aushalten mussten. Nicht nur an diesem Tag, sondern schon einige Zeit davor und noch lange danach. Diese Menschen waren allerdings von IHM ausgebildet, genauso wie Jesus selbst in hohen Weisheitslehren ausgebildet war.
Das macht hier den Unterschied aus, auf den ich hinweisen möchte.
Die Geschichte lehrt uns, dass er und seine Anhänger besondere Menschen waren. In diesem, für die Menschheit so einschneidenden und bis heute überlieferten Ereignis, war ein wesentlicher Bestandteil von absoluter Wichtigkeit für alle Beteiligten:
Das NICHT-TUN
Und ich bin der Meinung, dass dieses NICHT-TUN in unserer Zeitqualität immer noch ein wesentlicher Schlüssel für die Herausforderungen ist, vor denen wir heute und in nächster Zukunft stehen.
Was ist denn NICHT-TUN und wie unterscheidet es sich vom Nichts-Tun?
NICHT-TUN fängt an mit einer all-umfassenden Wahrnehmung von dem, was ist. OHNE direkte Reaktion.
Das Nichts-Tun hingegen fängt mit einer schnell eingeschränkten Wahrnehmung an – der Einschränkung gehen meist schwierige Gefühle voran, gegen die ein Mensch automatisch Widerstand aufbaut. Oftmals bekommen wir davon auch überhaupt nichts mit und es gibt meistens Trauma in der Vergangenheit als Hintergrund oder Ursache.
Bei gewaltigen Ereignissen mit hohem psycho-energetischem Impact reagieren Lebewesen relativ umgehend entweder mit Totstellen, Flucht oder Kampf. Es sind alles auto-reaktive Muster, die in unserem zentralen Nervensystem einprogrammiert sin, und dementsprechend sind sie schwer zu umgehen. ANGRIFF, DROHENDER TOD und KRIEG sind z.B. solche gewaltigen Ereignisse.
Wie oben beschrieben, wirken VERGANGENE Angriffe oder Kriege in unserem Körper-Geist-System nach, sogar generationenübergreifend (in unserem Denkexperiment die „German Angst“). Dementsprechend greifen die auto-reaktiven Muster auch bereits in einem VOR-KRIEGS-ZUSTAND, ohne dass Menschen das möglicherweise bewusst mitkriegen.
Ich ordne alle diese automatischen Reaktionen hier dem Nichts-Tun zu. Alle haben zwar den Überlebenstrieb gemeinsam und machen für ein Individuum Sinn. Aber in der kollektiven Situation, in der wir uns gerade befinden, sind sie alle kontraproduktiv.
DIE FRIEDENSTAUBE FLIEGT AUCH IN IHR POSTFACH!
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Sich in der aktuellen politischen Situation totzustellen, ist sozusagen ein EXIT des Individuums und es wird nichts, absolut gar nichts zur Verbesserung unser aller Situation beitragen. Die Flucht ist ähnlich zu bewerten – das Individuum rettet sich möglicherweise. Aber es trägt auch nichts zur Heilung oder konstruktiven Verbesserung der (kollektiven) Weltlage bei. Der Kampf, also die sofortige Mobilmachung zur Bekämpfung der widerständigen Gegenkräfte ist zwar eine Form von Tun, aber sie mündet letztendlich im Nichts: Zwei Gegner wollen sich vernichten, bis ein Stärkerer gewinnt – leider ignoriert dieser Automatismus in diesem Momentum, unter welchen Rahmenbedingungen der Gewinner nach dem Überleben weiterleben könnte (oder auch nicht).
Um wieder den Bogen zum Beginn des Christentums und auch zum NICHT-TUN der damaligen Beteiligten zu spannen: Trotz der schwer aushaltbaren Gefühle, hat Christus dieses Schicksal angenommen – ebenso seine Liebsten. Sie nahmen das, was war, in einem ersten Schritt ohne sofortige, automatisierte Reaktion an.
Allerdings waren sie sich allem und vollständig bewusst darüber, was die Situation und das Leben bereitstellte. Die Achtsamkeit nicht nur auf das gelenkt, was gerade schmerzhaft und unaushaltbar war, sondern auf das darüberliegende Größere. Auf die Inhalte, die Christus bzw. die Liebe selbst sie gelehrt hatte:
Sie hielten still. Und sie gingen sehr, sehr bewusst aus dem (inneren und äußeren) Kampf hinaus. Auch wenn sie ihn scheinbar verloren hatten.
Weil genau das der Menschheit gelehrt werden sollte.
Wenn Menschen in vollumfänglicher Wahrnehmung dessen, was ist (und ohne Widerstand dagegen), still sein können, entsteht ein ganz besonderes Momentum. Man bezeichnet das auch als Präsenz. Präsenz kann in Bruchteilen von Sekunden entstehen. Aber man muss es eben auch erlernen.
Wenn die Energie eines Angreifers auf ein solches menschliches Energiefeld trifft, wird Angriffsenergie als erstes SICHTBAR. Bei einigen realisierten (Kampfkunst-) Meistern kann das beobachtet werden. Diese haben es geschafft, Ihren inneren Kampf aufzugeben. Solche Menschen werden faktisch unangreifbar, denn die Energie des Angriffs prallt an deren ausbalancierten Energiefeld ab und wendet sich gegen den Angreifer selbst. Dieser erfährt die Wirkung seiner Handlung dann am eigenen Selbst und stellt in der Regel diesen sinnlosen Akt ein. Solche Menschen haben über den Weg des Nicht-Tuns inneren Frieden kultivieren können, der sich danach auch im Außen manifestiert.
In diesem Zustand findet die Energie sozusagen ohne unseren Willen Ihren klaren und eindeutigen WEG. Im einfachen Fall, beendet es den Kampf, im besten Fall wird die Energie zum Guten umgelenkt und der natürliche Zustand von Frieden entsteht durch die notwendige Bewegung der Energie in die richtige Richtung.
Es ist für uns als Gesellschaft möglich, diese Erkenntnisse in das kollektive Geschehen von KRIEG, KRIEGSVORBEREITUNG und den gerade wirksamen Aspekten der „German Angst“ einwirken zu lassen.
Hierin liegt eine enorme Transformationskraft. Denn wie in einem individuellen Trauma Lebenskraft unterdrückt und bis zur Heilung/Auflösung nicht verfügbar ist, ist es auch bei unserem kollektiven Trauma. Die Chance dabei: Es sind starke Wirk-Kräfte gebunden, die wir als Gesellschaft für einen positiven Wandel zum Frieden hin freisetzen können. Für diese Freisetzung benötigt es Klarheit, Willen und vor allem Eigenverantwortung eines jeden Einzelnen.
Wir sollten uns in einem ersten Schritt bewusst werden, was gerade ganz individuell in unserem Inneren stattfindet. Welche Form des Nichts-Tuns herrscht gerade und warum herrscht sie eigentlich über uns? Welche Automatismen/Muster sind gerade aktiv?
Nehmen wir das doch zuallererst in unsere Verantwortung und werden wir still damit.
Ebenso sollten wir uns als Teil des Menschheitskollektives genau dessen bewusst sein, was gerade im Außen geschieht. Schauen wir uns aus unserer kultivierten Stille heraus an, dass sich Kampf bzw. Krieg anbahnt, an manchen Fronten ist er bereits aktiv. Durch die Bewusstwerdung dessen, wird er SICHTBAR, mit allen seinen Mechanismen und seinen Schatten.
Nehmen wir diese Verantwortung für uns selbst wahr, gibt es dieses besondere Momentum, in dem der Weg der Energie sich wie von selbst verändert. Und das kann man nicht gedanklich vorausplanen. Sie verändert sich aber in dem Sinne, dass alle notwendigen Bewegungen den NATÜRLICHEN ZUSTAND wiederherstellen wollen.
Das würde dann also nicht nur für das wahrnehmende Individuum, sondern für alle Beteiligten erfahrbar werden. Seien es die normale Bürger, repräsentative Regierungsteile oder bereits aktive Kriegsgegner. Es wäre für uns erfahrbar, wie wenn eine unsichtbare Intelligenz oder das Eine, große Ganze zum Wohle bzw. Zusammenfügen von allem gerade Getrennten wirken würde. Die Auswirkung davon würde letztendlich FRIEDEN sein. Und es würde uns vorkommen, wie ein Wunder, auf das wir schon lange warten und an das wir nicht mehr geglaubt hatten.
In dem Momentum der Präsenz im NICHT-TUN entsteht außerordentliche Klarheit und ganz eindeutiges Handeln. Die Wirkung ist immer individuell und kollektiv.
NICHT-TUN ist Friedensarbeit und beginnt immer bei uns selbst.
In den info-energetischen Mustern in unserem Körper-Geist-System, die das Phänomen „German Angst“ uns beschert hat, sind eben auch Lösungsmöglichkeiten enthalten, die die kriegsgeschundenen Generationen vor uns in der Reflektion nach den Ereignissen des zweiten Weltkrieges sozusagen erarbeitet haben. Und die Klarheit darüber, was diese Generationen vor uns hätten besser machen können, ist ebenso wie die angstgetriebenen Verhaltensautomatismen kollektiv zugänglich.
Sie hatten es damals leider noch nicht geschafft, bevor die Spirale des Kampfes völlig in die Eskalation ging – obwohl es einige gab, die andere Wege versucht hatten. Aber sie hatten aus den schmerzhaften Ereignissen gelernt, und das steht uns jetzt zur Verfügung, wenn wir uns selbst spüren.
Die Erschließung dieses über Generationen gereiften, aber noch unerschlossenen Kraftpotentials wird möglich werden, wenn wir uns zu dem Trauma hinwenden, das uns aktuell so sehr Angst macht. Wenn wir uns ihm zuwenden und für uns selbst Verantwortung übernehmen, wird es Anderen nicht mehr möglich sein, unsere Ängste für Ihre selbst angstbasierten Kampfhandlungen nutzbar zu machen.
Je mehr wir uns unserem eigenen verwundeten Kern zuwenden, desto heiler, desto klarer und desto kraftvoller werden wir. Die Menschheit kann sich selbst befreien.
Und vor zweitausend Jahren war da einer, der wusste, dass wir es irgendwann können werden.
Mögen wir in der Tiefe unseres Selbst unseren natürlichen Zustand wieder finden und unsere Welt in friedlichen Miteinanders neu gestalten.
Andreas Hagen hat Deutschland noch während der Corona-Zeit verlassen und lebt seitdem mit seiner Familie glücklich auf einem Bauernhof oberhalb Basel in der Schweiz.
Er ist Gründer des nidoki-Projektes (www.nidoki.de) und vermittelt interessierten Menschen Qi Gong, Jing Qi und K.I. (Körperintelligenz) in Gruppensettings. In kleinem Rahmen trägt er in Einzelsettings mit Hilfe der traumasensiblen Methoden der neurosystemischen Integration zur Verbesserung der Selbstregulation von Menschen in diesen herausfordernden Zeiten bei.
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@ c1e9ab3a:9cb56b43
2025-06-01 13:54:061. Introduction
Over the last 250 years the world’s appetite for energy has soared along an unmistakably exponential trajectory, transforming societies and economies alike. After a half‑century of relative deceleration, a new mix of technological, demographic and political forces now hints at an impending catch‑up phase that could push demand back onto its centuries‑long growth curve. This post knits together the history, the numbers and the newest policy signals to explore what that rebound might look like—and how Gen‑4 nuclear power could meet it.
2. The Long Exponential: 1750 – 1975
Early industrialisation replaced muscle, wood and water with coal‑fired steam, pushing global primary energy use from a few exajoules per year in 1750 to roughly 60 EJ by 1900 and 250 EJ by 1975. Over that span aggregate consumption doubled roughly every 25–35 years, equivalent to a long‑run compound growth rate of ~3 % yr‑¹. Per‑capita use climbed even faster in industrialised economies as factories, railways and electric lighting spread.
3. 1975 – 2025: The Great Slowdown
3.1 Efficiency & Structural Change
• Oil shocks (1973, 1979) and volatile prices pushed OECD economies to squeeze more GDP from each joule.
• Services displaced heavy industry in rich countries, trimming energy intensity.
• Refrigerators, motors and vehicles became dramatically more efficient.3.2 Policy & Technology
• The Inflation Reduction Act (U.S.) now layers zero‑emission production credits and technology‑neutral tax incentives on top of existing nuclear PTCs citeturn1search0turn1search2.
• The EU’s Net‑Zero Industry Act aims to streamline siting and finance for “net‑zero technologies”, explicitly naming advanced nuclear citeturn0search1.3.3 Result
Global primary energy in 2024 stands near 600 EJ (≈ 167 000 TWh)—still growing, but the line has flattened versus the pre‑1975 exponential.
4. Population & Per‑Capita Demand
World population tripled between 1950 and today, yet total energy use grew roughly six‑fold. The imbalance reflects rising living standards and electrification. Looking ahead, the UN projects population to plateau near 10.4 billion in the 2080s, but per‑capita demand is poised to climb as the Global South industrialises.
5. The Policy Pivot of 2023‑2025
| Region | Signal | Year | Implication | |--------|--------|------|-------------| | COP 28 Declaration | 20+ nations pledge to triple nuclear capacity by 2050 | 2023 | High‑level political cover for rapid nuclear build‑out citeturn0search2 | | Europe | Post‑crisis sentiment shifts; blackout in Iberia re‑opens nuclear debate | 2025 | Spain, Germany, Switzerland and others revisit phase‑outs citeturn0news63 | | United States | TVA submits first SMR construction permit; NRC advances BWRX‑300 review | 2025 | Regulatory pathway for fleet deployment citeturn1search9turn1search1 | | Global Strategy Report | “Six Dimensions for Success” playbook for new nuclear entrants | 2025 | Practical roadmap for emerging economies citeturn0search0 | | U.S. Congress | Proposed cuts to DOE loan office threaten build‑out pace | 2025 | Finance bottleneck remains a risk citeturn1news28 |
6. The Catch‑Up Scenario
Suppose the recent 50‑year pause ends in 2025, and total energy demand returns to a midpoint historical doubling period of 12.5 years (the average of the 10–15 year rebound window).
6.1 Consumption Trajectory
| Year | Doublings since 2024 | Demand (TWh) | |------|----------------------|--------------| | 2024 | 0 | 167 000 | | 2037 | 1 | 334 000 | | 2050 | 2 | 668 000 | | 2062 | 3 | 1 336 000 |
(Table ignores efficiency gains from electrification for a conservative, supply‑side sizing.)
7. Nuclear‑Only Supply Model
7.1 Reactor Math
- 1 GWᵉ Gen‑4 reactor → 8.76 TWh yr‑¹ at 100 % capacity factor.
- 2062 requirement: 1 336 000 TWh yr‑¹ → ≈ 152 500 reactors in steady state.
- Build rate (2025‑2062, linear deployment):
152 500 ÷ 38 years ≈ 4 000 reactors per year globally.
(Down from the earlier 5 000 yr‑¹ estimate because the deployment window now stretches 38 years instead of 30.)
7.2 Policy Benchmarks
- COP 28 triple target translates to +780 GW (if baseline 2020 ≈ 390 GW). That is <100 1 GW units per year—two orders of magnitude lower than the theoretical catch‑up requirement, highlighting just how aggressive our thought experiment is.
7.3 Distributed vs Grid‑Centric
Small Modular Reactors (300 MW class) can be sited on retiring coal plants, using existing grid interconnects and cooling, vastly reducing new transmission needs. Ultra‑large “gigawatt corridors” become optional rather than mandatory, though meshed regional grids still improve resilience and market liquidity.
8. Challenges & Unknowns
- Finance: Even with IRA‑style credits, first‑of‑a‑kind Gen‑4 builds carry high cost of capital.
- Supply Chain: 4 000 reactors a year means a reactor‑grade steel output roughly 20× today’s level.
- Waste & Public Trust: Advanced reactors can burn actinides, but geologic repositories remain essential.
- Workforce: Nuclear engineers, welders and regulators are already in short supply.
- Competing Technologies: Cheap renewables + storage and prospective fusion could displace part of the projected load.
9. Conclusions
Recent policy shifts—from Europe’s Net‑Zero Industry Act to the COP 28 nuclear declaration—signal that governments once again see nuclear energy as indispensable to deep decarbonisation. Yet meeting an exponential catch‑up in demand would require deployment rates an order of magnitude beyond today’s commitments, testing manufacturing capacity, finance and political resolve.
Whether the future follows the modest path now embedded in policy or the steeper curve sketched here, two convictions stand out:
- Electrification will dominate new energy demand.
- Scalable, dispatchable low‑carbon generation—likely including large fleets of Gen‑4 fission plants—must fill much of that gap if net‑zero targets are to remain credible.
Last updated 1 June 2025.
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@ c3b2802b:4850599c
2025-06-03 07:22:34Die Befragten erzählen, wie sie den Zusammenbruch des Vertrauens vieler Menschen im Land in das mechanistische Muster von Heilung durch Medikamente und Injektionen erlebt haben. Und sie lassen uns teilhaben an ihrem Erfahrungsschatz mit Heilverfahren, welche über mechanistische Verfahren des klassischen Gesundheitswesens hinausweisen. Verfahren, welche dazu beitragen, dass wir Menschen unsere Balance, unser Wohlbefinden erhalten oder wiederfinden. Verfahren, die uns in unsere volle Kraft und Energie bringen, um unsere Möglichkeiten und Potentiale zur Entfaltung zu bringen.
Das Buch erscheint zu einem passenden Zeitpunkt. Zum einen haben viele Menschen seit 2021 am eigenen Körper die Folgen der mRNA Injektionen erlebt und dramatische Schicksale von Angehörigen und Freunden miterlebt.
Zum anderen kommen derzeit vermehrt Informationen in Umlauf, welche die Motive von global agierenden Pharmaziekartellen und von ihnen gesponserten Organisationen wie der Welt-Gesundheits-Organisation WHO offenlegen.
Worum geht es der WHO, die zu 84% von privaten Geldgebern unterhalten wird? Im Jahr 2022 hat die WHO eine Bittschrift für potentielle Sponsoren veröffentlicht, welche den denkwürdigen Titel hat: „A healthy return“. Gemeint ist ein „gesunder“ Geldrückfluß für Geldgeber, welcher eine 3.500 (dreitausendfünfhundert!!!) prozentige Steigerung des Wertes des eingezahlten Geldes in Aussicht stellt. Hier finden Sie Details.
Wieviel Zinsen zahlt Ihre Bank, falls Sie mal Geld übrig haben? Ein, zwei – oder gar drei Prozent? Darf man solch einer Vereinigung das Vertrauen schenken, die Gesundheit der Weltbevölkerung sicherzustellen? Mögen Sie Ihre Zukunft einer Organisation anvertrauen, welche nicht demokratisch legitimiert ist, die unbekümmert mit Genmanipulationen umgeht und die exorbitante Gewinne für ihre Sponsoren im Auge hat?
Die Zeit scheint reif zu sein, uns in Erinnerung zu rufen: Wir Menschen sind komplexe Wesen mit Körper und Seele. Uns zeichnen zauberhafte Potentiale aus. Wir verfügen über ein Gewissen, Achtsamkeit, Dankbarkeit, Demut, Liebe.
Hier schließt sich der Kreis zum Buch von Laurens Dillmann: Die Experten für Gesundheit, Wohlbefinden und Potentialentfaltung wurden nach ihrem Werdegang, ihren Überzeugungen, ihrer konkreten Heilarbeit, ihren Erfolgen und teils auch zu ihrer Position in der globalen aktuellen Krise befragt.
Was das Buch charmant macht, ist die große Buntheit an zusammengetragenen Perspektiven, welche sich durch die Vielfalt der Berufsschwerpunkte der Befragten ergibt. Ein Wildnispädagoge und eine Hebamme, Traumatherapeuten und klassische Ärzte, Medizinwissenschaftler und -ethiker, ein Wildpflanzenexperte und ein Anti-Gewalt-Trainer, eine Gesangs- und Musiktherapeutin, eine Sex-Forscherin und mehrere Psychologen geben sich ein Stelldichein zwischen den Buchdeckeln. Auch wenig verbreitete Aspekte wie Astrologie oder Schamanismus kommen zur Sprache.
In einem Schlusskapitel stellt Sozialarbeiter, Naturpädagoge und Heilpraktiker Mattheo Pfleger in einem Manifest „Pro Leben und Gesundheit 2030“ eine Reihe von sehr weitreichenden Leitlinien für ein Gesundheitswesen der Zukunft vor. Besonders eindrücklich für mich ist sein Vorschlag einer Grundgesetzänderung, in der die Würde des Lebens für unantastbar erklärt wird. Hier kann das Buch erworben werden.
Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.
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@ 472f440f:5669301e
2025-06-01 13:48:34Marty's Bent
Sorry for the lack of writing over the last week. As many of you may already know, I was in Las Vegas, Nevada for the Bitcoin 2025 conference. It was my first time in Las Vegas. I had successfully avoided Sin City for the first 34 years of my life. But when duty calls, you have to make some personal concessions.
Despite what many say about this particular conference and the spectacle that it has become, I will say that having attended every single one of Bitcoin Magazine's conferences since 2019, I thoroughly enjoy these events, even if I don't agree with all the content. Being able to congregate with others in the industry who have been working extremely hard to push Bitcoin forward, all of whom I view as kindred spirits who have also dedicated their lives to making the world a better place. There's nothing better than getting together, seeing each other in person, shaking hands, giving hugs, catching up and reflecting on how much things have changed over the years while also focusing on the opportunities that lie ahead.
I think out of all the Bitcoin magazine conferences I've been to, this was certainly my favorite. If only because it has become abundantly clear that Bitcoin is here to stay. Many powerful, influential, and competent people have identified Bitcoin as an asset and monetary network that will play a large part in human society moving forward. And more importantly, Bitcoin is proving to work far better than anybody not paying attention expected. While at the same time, the fiat system is in woeful disrepair at the same time.
As a matter of reflection and surfacing signal for you freaks, here are the presentations and things that happened that I think were the most impactful.
Miles Suter's Block Presentation
This presentation was awesome for many reasons, one of which being that we often forget just how dedicated Block, as an organization with many companies - including Cash App, Square, the open source organization known as Spiral and more recently, BitKey and Proto - has been to bitcoin over the last eight years. They've worked methodically to make Bitcoin a first-class citizen in their business operations and slowly but surely have built an incredibly integrated experience across their brands. The two big announcements from Block during the conference were the enablement of Bitcoin payments in Square point-of-sale systems and the amount of revenue they're making on their Lightning node, c=, from routing payments.
Right now, the Bitcoin payments and point of sale systems is in beta with many merchants testing it out for the next six months, but it will be available for all 4 million square merchants in 2026. This is something that many bitcoiners have been waiting for for many years now, and it is incredible to see that they finally brought it across the line. Merchants will have the ability to accept bitcoin payments and either convert every payment into fiat automatically, convert a portion of the bitcoin payment into fiat to keep the rest in sats, or simply keep all of the bitcoin they receive via payments in sats. This is an incredible addition to what Square has already built, which is the ability of their merchants to sweep a portion of their revenues into bitcoin if they desire. Square is focused on building a vertically integrated suite of bitcoin products for merchants that includes the ability to buy bitcoin, receive bitcoin, and eventually leverage financial services using bitcoin as collateral so that they can reinvest in and expand their businesses.
via Ryan Gentry
What went a bit underappreciated in the crowd was the routing node revenue that c= is producing, \~9.7% annualized. This is a massive validation of something that many bitcoiners have been talking about for quite some time, which is the ability to produce "yield" on bitcoin in a way that reduces risk significantly. Locking up bitcoin in a 2-of-2 multisig within Lightning channels and operating a Lightning routing node has been long talked about as one of the ways to produce more bitcoin with your bitcoin in a way that minimizes the threat of loss.
It seems that c= has found a way to do this at scale and is doing it successfully. 10% yield on bitcoin locked in Lightning channels is nothing to joke about. And as you can see from the chart above in the grainy picture taken by Ryan Gentry of Lightning Labs, this routing node "yield" is producing more return on capital than many of the most popular staking and DeFi protocols.
This is a strong signal to the rest of the market that this can be done. It may take economies of scale and a high degree of technical competency today. But this is incredibly promising for the future of earning bitcoin by providing valuable goods and services to the market of Bitcoiners. In this case, facilitating relatively cheap and instantly settled payments over the Lightning Network.
Saifedean Ammous' Bitcoin and Tether Presentation
This was one of the best presentations at the conference. Saifedean Ammous is a friend, he has been an incredible influence on my personal bitcoin journey, and I feel comfortable in saying he's been a strong influence on the journey of hundreds of thousands, at least, if not millions of people as they've attempted to understand bitcoin.
This presentation is a bit spicy because it puts a pin in the balloon of hopium that stablecoins like Tether are mechanisms that could bail out the market for US Treasuries in the medium to long-term if they take enough market share. As one always should do, Saif ran the numbers and clearly illustrates that even in the most optimistic case, Tether's impact on the market for treasuries, their interest rates, and curbing the growth of the debt held by the US federal government will be minimal at best.
One of the most interesting things that Saif points out that I'm a bit embarrassed I didn't recognize before is that much of the demand for Tether that we're seeing these days is replacement demand for treasuries. Meaning that many people who are turning to Tether, particularly in countries that have experienced hyperinflationary events, are using Tether as a substitute for their currencies, which are operated by central banks likely buying U.S. treasuries to support their monetary systems. The net effect of Tether buying those treasuries is zero for this particular user archetype.
Saif goes on to explain that if anything, Tether is a weapon against the US Treasury system when you consider that they're storing a large portion of the stablecoin backing in Treasuries and then using the yields produced by those Treasuries to buy bitcoin. Slowly but surely over time bitcoin as a percentage of their overall backing of Tether has grown quite significantly starting at 0% and approaching 10% today. It isn't hard to imagine that at some point within the next decade, Bitcoin could be the dominant reserve asset backing tethers and, as a result, Tether could be pegged to bitcoin eventually.
It's a fascinating take on Tether that I've never heard before.
Nothing Stops this Train from Lyn Alden
Lyn's been saying it loudly for quite some time now; "Nothing stops this train." She's even been on our podcast to explain why she believes this many times over the last five years. However, I don't think there is one piece of content out there that consolidates her thesis of why nothing stops the train of fiscal irresponsibility and unfettered debt expansion and why that's good for bitcoin than the presentation she gave at the conference. Definitely give this one a watch when you get a chance if you haven't already.
Overall, it was a great week in Vegas and I think it's safe to say that bitcoin has gone mainstream. Whether or not people who have been in the bitcoin industry and community for a while are okay with does not really matter. It's happening and all we can do is ride the wave as more and more people come to recognize the value prop of bitcoin and the social clout they can gain from supporting it. Our job here at TFTC is to help you discern the signal from the noise, continue to champion the self-sovereign usage of bitcoin and keep you abreast of developments in the space as they manifest.
Buckle up. Things are only going to get weirder from here on out.
Bitcoin's Mathematical Destiny
Sean Bill and Adam Back make a compelling case for Bitcoin's inevitable march toward $1 million. Sean points out that Bitcoin represents just a tiny fraction—2 trillion out of 900 trillion—of total financial assets, calling it a "tiny orange dot" on their presentation to Texas pensions. He emphasizes that reaching parity with gold alone would deliver a 10x return from current levels. Adam highlights the mathematical impossibility of current prices, noting that ETF buyers are absorbing 500,000 BTC annually while only 165,000 new coins are mined.
"Who's selling at these prices? It doesn't quite add up to me." - Adam Back
The institutional wave is just beginning. Sean revealed that while 50% of hedge fund managers personally own Bitcoin, only 3% have allocated institutional funds. Combined with emerging demand from nation states and corporate treasuries meeting Bitcoin's fixed supply, the price trajectory seems clear. Both guests stressed the importance of staying invested—missing just the 12 best performing days each year would turn Bitcoin into a losing investment.
Check out the full podcast here for more on pensions allocating to Bitcoin, cypherpunk banking, and commodity trading insights.
Headlines of the Day
Panama Canal Eyes Bitcoin for Payment Option - via X
U.S. Warns of Imminent Chinese Threat to Taiwan - via X
Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io
Saylor's Bitcoin Strategy Explodes Globally Amid Doubt - via CNBC
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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 158,469 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.
Final thought...
Moving is the least fun part of the human experience.
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@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8
2025-06-03 07:04:39So sehr man sich auch Mühe gibt, es will vielen einfach nicht gelingen, Russland als den Feind anzusehen.
Wenn ein fremder Mann eine Frau unfreiwillig zum Tanz auf’s Parkett zerrt und der Ehemann dem fremden Mann wie auch immer zu verstehen gibt, dass das so nicht geht, dann kann man nicht sagen, der Ehemann habe einen Streit vom Zaun gebrochen.
Eine Reaktion setzt immer eine Aktion voraus.
Nicht Russland ist der NATO auf die Pelle gerückt, sondern die NATO mit der Osterweiterung Russland.
Russland wollte mit Auflösung des Warschauer Pakts eine gemeinsame europäische Militärlösung, die die Neuordnung der NATO oder gar ebenfalls ihre Auflösung zur Folge gehabt hätte.
Der sogenannte Wertewesten ist maßgeblich für den Krieg in der Ukraine verantwortlich. Völkerrechtswidrigkeit kann man weglassen, da es auch im Westen, von den USA, mehrfach Beispiele für völkerrechtswidrige Angriffe auf andere Staaten gibt. Und Deutschland hat im Kosovo auch nicht nur Kaffee für die Truppen gekocht.
Wer im Glashaus sitzt, sollte nicht mit Steinen werfen.
Wenn Deutschland, vertreten durch einen Kanzler 2. Wahl über die nicht mehr vorhandene Reichweitenbeschränkung spricht, das Wahlvieh, den ehemaligen Souverän, im Ungewissen über die Lieferung des Stiers lässt, und dann, wie aus heiterem Himmel, Taurus, mit deutschem Kompass und deutschen Kompassbedienern, auf einmal Richtung Krim-Brücke oder gar Moskau unterwegs sein sollte, wen würde es dann wundern, wenn Moskau seine „Liebesgrüße“, schon allein aus reiner Höflichkeit und Anstand, nach Schrobenhausen sendet?
Würde das passieren, würde man in Deutschland sagen: Seht ihr, wir haben es euch ja immer gesagt, ihr wolltet es nur nicht glauben. Russland, mit seinem imperialen Anspruch und seinem aggressiven Verhalten, der Friedensverhinderer, der böse Putin, der böse Russ‘, wird uns angreifen! Die geforderte Kriegstüchtigkeit war also absolut berechtigt!
Wer das dann immer noch glaubt, dem möchte man eine Rakete in den Kamin seiner Doppelhaushälfte mit Gänsemuster-Gardinen am Küchenfenster stecken.
Wenn man jemanden bis auf’s Blut reizt, ist es ihm dann zu verdenken, wenn ihm irgendwann der Geduldsfaden reißt, nachdem schon mehrere Rote Linien überschritten wurden?
Und warum reizt man Russland bis auf’s Blut? Man kann zu keinem anderen Grund kommen, als dass die Geistesgrößen in Deutschland unbedingt einen Krieg wollen. Wozu? Ist das die von wem auch immer geplante Vollendung der Zerstörung Deutschlands? Der zukünftige Ex-Kanzler redet einen Haufen vermeintlich kluges Zeug daher, aber Russland handelt klug. Kleiner Unterschied.
Rheingold ist in gewöhnliches Rheinmetall, wohl durch Geheim-Alchimie, verwandelt worden. Geheim wird ja jetzt wieder modern. Man kann nur hoffen, dass es in der Taurussland-Rakete tatsächlich US-amerikanische Komponenten gibt, die (vielleicht sogar in Wiesbaden?) abgeschaltet werden können, damit der Stier nicht fliegen kann. Und man kann auch nur hoffen, dass die USA sie dann auch wirklich abschalten.
Die Meyer-Werft in Papenburg soll demnächst auch „Meine Fregatte“ und „Kreuzer grau I bis IX“ bauen. Panzerkreuzerfahrten in der Ostsee mit Blick auf Königsberg, na bravo, tolle Idee. (Da war doch mal was?). Gute Erholung schon jetzt. Da wird die vom Kaiser für den Aufbau der Marine eingeführte Sektsteuer endlich wieder ihrem eigentlichen Zweck zugeführt.
Und wie der ehemalige Masken-Chef-Einkäufer erst jüngst in einer der unsäglichen Staatsfunk-Aufführungen lichtblitzartig erkannt haben muss, spricht Putin Deutsch. Nein, doch, oh! Man stelle sich das einmal vor. Ganz was Neues! Die jetzt für die deutsche Bevölkerung geheim gehaltenen militärischen Absprachen werden nun in einer Sprache in Berlin besprochen, von denen man vorher sorgfältig, wie immer, recherchiert hat, dass Putin sie sicher nicht spricht, damit er nichts mitbekommt. Pssst, Feind hört mit! Den Beruf des Dolmetschers oder Übersetzers hat das Arbeitsamt in der Berufsberatung in der Schulzeit des Bankkaufmanns wahrscheinlich nicht vorgestellt, daher existieren sie für ihn nicht.
Und welche militärischen Entscheidungen von den deutschen "Chef-Diplomaten" getroffen wurden, das erfährt die Bevölkerung ja spätestens, wenn es knallt. Das reicht ja auch.
Was kommt als nächstes? Nach selbst genähten Maulwindeln jetzt eine Nähanleitung für schwere Gardinen zur Fenster-Verdunkelung? Oder gibt es die bald schon fertig in allen Größen zu kaufen, bei einem Discounter, wie in Berlin jetzt Macheten, damit man sich im Garten wieder den Weg zum Geräteschuppen bahnen kann.
Ils sont fous ces Allemands!
„Das große Karthago führte drei Kriege. Nach dem ersten war es noch mächtig. Nach dem zweiten war es noch bewohnbar. Nach dem dritten war es nicht mehr aufzufinden“, Berthold Brecht.
“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”
* *
(Bild von pixabay)
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@ c9badfea:610f861a
2025-06-01 00:32:13- Install Feeder (it's free and open source)
- Discover RSS feeds from various sources (see links below)
- Copy the Feed URL
- Open Feeder, tap the ⁞ icon, and choose Add Feed
- Paste the Feed URL and tap Search
- Select the found RSS feed item
- Scroll down and tap OK
Some Sources
ℹ️ You can also use YouTube channel URLs as feeds
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@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2
2025-06-03 11:56:41A young monk once asked the elder of the mountain temple, “Master, how do I become wise like you?”
The elder smiled and handed him a lump of clay. “Make me a cup,” he said.
The monk, eager and certain, molded the clay quickly. He baked it in the kiln and brought it proudly to the master.
The elder poured tea into it and it cracked. “Try again,” he said.
The monk frowned but obeyed. He made another shape better, baked longer. But it still leaked.
Again. And again. The monk grew weary. Days turned into weeks. Each cup cracked, leaked, tilted, or burned.
On the eleventh attempt, the cup finally held. It was simple, slightly uneven, but strong.
The master poured tea. It stayed. He sipped, then smiled.
The monk said, “Why did all the others fail?”
The elder replied, “Because each one taught your hands what they did not know. Each mistake shaped the wisdom in your fingers.”
Moral: Wisdom is not poured into us it is shaped in us, one mistake at a time.
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@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2
2025-06-03 11:40:05In the ancient city of Kaduna, where cobbled streets echoed with the footsteps of time, lived a young sculptor named Ali. Born to a family of scholars and philosophers, he was expected to follow in their footsteps books, debates, and deep logic. But Ali's heart beat for marble and chisel, not scroll and quill.
Against his family's wishes, he became an apprentice in a sculptor's guild. Though talented, he was prideful, impatient with learning, dismissive of advice, and obsessed with perfection. “Mistakes are for the foolish,” he often said. “Not for those destined for greatness.”
One day, Ali was given his first major commission: a statue of Queen Amina at Kaduna city’s central square to honor the Queen, goddess of wisdom. Determined to prove himself, he secluded himself in his workshop, refusing help. For months, he labored, carving what he believed was his masterpiece.
When the curtain was pulled off at the grand unveiling, the crowd gasped but not in awe.
The statue’s proportions were wrong. The Queen's face, meant to inspire reverence, looked distorted and harsh. Rumors spread. Ali’s arrogance had blinded him, people said. Critics mocked him. His patrons revoked the rest of his commissions.
Humiliated, Ali fled the city. He wandered from village to village, surviving by carving small figurines and helping repair broken statues. He worked alongside humble craftsmen, old and wrinkled, whose hands trembled but whose eyes held oceans of experience.
They taught him patience not through lectures, but through their mistakes. One cracked a statue's leg, then calmly fixed it better than before. Another accidentally chipped a nose, then reshaped the entire face into something more expressive. They didn't hide their flaws, they embraced them, learned from them, and adapted.
Years passed. Ali returned to Kaduna city, older and quieter. He set up a small workshop near the KD city gates. His first new sculpture was a fountain of children learning to walk, some falling, some crawling, some laughing through their tumbles. People noticed.
His fame grew again, not because of flawless technique, but because his work now had soul. Every sculpture whispered of growth, of struggle, of becoming. His final masterpiece was a second statue of Queen Amina the goddess of wisdom, placed beside the first.
This time, Ali was not stern and flawless, but warm, his hands outstretched, one holding a cracked tablet, the other a sapling growing through stone. At his feet, a broken chisel lay deliberately placed.
When asked why, Ali said, “Wisdom is not born from perfection. It is carved through failure.”
Moral: To build wisdom, you must make mistakes. Only through falling can we learn how to rise.
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@ 2769f6ba:8dac44e4
2025-06-03 06:53:38You may want to believe that the world works like a video game, where you can press the pause button, come back three months later and everything will be waiting for you exactly as you left it. But real life doesn’t work like that. The difference is that in the video game you are in control, whereas in real life you are not. Maybe you want to believe that the worst is over, but this is just getting started. Supply chains are breaking down and the economy is starting to collapse. To make it clear, “the economy” is not something abstract; it’s real people losing their jobs, their businesses, their incomes and their homes. Your authoritarian fantasies will just make it worse for you and others until you cannot handle it anymore and you accept reality and surrender to it. I get that you are afraid, and that’s OK. But to hold your fellow human beings hostage because you are afraid is not OK. It’s getting to the point where if you still support lockdowns, mandatory vaccines, mandatory tracking, mandatory testing or mandatory anything you have blood on your hands. History will not judge you kindly.
Then there are those of you who want to believe that the bailouts and the “universal basic income” will make the problems disappear. For example, I read Charles Eisenstein in his otherwise excellent piece The Coronation come up with all this UBI nonsense. You probably realize that if you grab a piece of paper and write “$1,000,000” on it with a marker pen of your favorite color, you don’t become magically rich. But you still want to believe that if the government does exactly the same thing, your problems will go away. On the one hand, even if you are not fully aware of it, you realize that the government and its satellite corporations are abusing you and sucking your blood more and more every day. Yet on the other hand, you keep begging your very abusers that are trying to deprive you from earning an honest living for yourself to give you a measly monthly UBI check in the hopes that it will magically make you feel good and solve your problems.
Aside from the fact that printing money cannot solve the issue the governments themselves have created in the first place with their mandatory lockdowns: maybe you expect that you can control your masters, or that they will benevolently give you the UBI check with no strings attached. Of course not: receiving the check will likely be tied to being a “good law-abiding citizen” (a.k.a. obedient slave); something like the social credit system they have in China. You will end up completely disempowered and depending on the government to even feed yourself and have shelter. I find it quite infuriating and sad that any “spiritual teacher” would want that for you and that you fall for it.
Consider this:
The issue is not the coronavirus itself. The virus is just revealing the cracks in the system.
You are not a victim. You always have the power. Not the power to start a “revolution”, mind you, which just consists in replacing the old abusers with new ones. As Buckminster Fuller said: “You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete.”
You have the power to walk away from this dying system of nation-state governments and fiat “money” and into the nascent paradigm of cryptocurrencies and decentralized governance. But first you have to question and confront the beliefs you have accepted as “reality”. It’s hard, I know, but unavoidable. So, the sooner you begin, the better for yourself and for humanity. Do you want to be free or do you just want to have a “fair” master?
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@ 4c96d763:80c3ee30
2025-05-31 23:33:02Changes
Fernando López Guevara (2):
- feat(column): add tooltip on remove column button
- feat(hashtag-column): handle new hashtag on Enter key press
pushed to notedeck:refs/heads/master
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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-03 11:01:49Mac users who use Ledger hardware wallets to manage their digital assets are being warned about a new scam that uses fake apps to steal funds.
Cybercriminals have launched multiple phishing campaigns using malware that targets macOS systems, replacing the real Ledger Live app with a fake version that asks users to enter their recovery phrase.
These fake apps look almost identical to the real Ledger Live, but instead of helping users manage their bitcoin, they steal the 24-word recovery phrase—the master key to the user’s digital assets.
According to a detailed analysis by Moonlock, the attacks start when users’ computers get infected with Atomic macOS Stealer malware from one of over 2,800 hacked websites. Once installed, the malware removes the legitimate Ledger Live app and installs a malicious version in its place.
The fake app then shows a pop-up message saying it has detected “suspicious activity”, and asks the user to enter their recovery phrase to fix the issue. Once entered, the seed phrase is sent to a server controlled by the attacker.
2,800 websites discovered infected with Atomic Stealer — Moonlock
“Once entered, the seed phrase is sent to an attacker-controlled server, exposing the user’s assets in seconds,” Moonlock said in their May 22 report.
With the recovery phrase, the scammers can drain the user’s wallet of all digital assets—bitcoin and other tokens.
This isn’t an isolated incident. Moonlock has been tracking this malware since August 2024 and has found at least four active campaigns targeting Mac users. They believe the attackers are getting more sophisticated and are refining their methods.
“This isn’t just a theft. It’s a high-stakes effort to outsmart one of the most trusted tools in the crypto world. And the thieves are not backing down,” Moonlock researchers said.
Initially, the fake Ledger Live apps could only steal passwords and view wallet details. This gave attackers some insight into victims’ assets but no way to steal funds directly.
However, over time, hackers have improved their tactics and are now harvesting recovery phrases, so they can take full control of wallets and move funds freely.
One strain of malware, called Odyssey, was spotted in March and was linked to a hacker using the alias “Rodrigo”.
Odyssey replaces Ledger Live with a trojanized app and displays a phishing page asking users to enter their recovery phrases after showing a fake “critical error” message. Another copycat campaign using AMOS (Atomic macOS Stealer) followed soon after.
The fake Ledger Live app asks for user’s seed phrase — Moonlock
In one case, a fake app even displayed an “App corrupted” error after stealing the seed phrase to lower the victim’s suspicion and buy time to transfer the funds.
For years, computers running MacOS were considered safer than their Windows counterparts, because the operating system is less prone to malware. This advanced malware shows that users can never be too careful.
Attackers aren’t just relying on infected apps to steal from users. Other scam tactics include:
- Discord attacks: In May, a moderator account in Ledger’s official Discord server was compromised. Attackers used it to post fake verification links.
- Reddit phishing: In January, a user reported losing $15,000 after unknowingly entering their recovery phrase into a fake app.
- Physical mail scams: In April, some Ledger users received letters claiming to be from the company. These letters included QR codes leading to phishing sites that asked for seed phrases under the guise of a “critical security update”.
Attackers are increasingly targeting users holding hardware wallets, because they might be holding larger amounts.
Earlier this month, a Trezor One user reported being contacted by Coinbase impersonators, who tricked him into entering his seed phrase into a fake website, resulting in loss of 17.5 BTC.
The final goal for all these attacks is similar: the attackers are looking for users’ seed phrases, and they are getting creative in finding new ways to acquire them.
One sure way of staying safe is to learn more. The golden standard rule is to NEVER enter your seed phrase into a computer or a website, no matter how urgent or convincing it looks.
If you are a hardware wallet user, make sure you purchase the wallet from official sources. And the ONLY electronic place you can enter your seed phrases is on the hardware wallet itself.
If a process requires you to enter your seed phrase anywhere on a computer itself, it is definitely a scam.
Related: Bitcoin Hardware Wallet Hacks | What You Need to Know
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@ 90c656ff:9383fd4e
2025-05-31 18:09:27Since its emergence in 2009, Bitcoin has generated a wide range of success and failure stories. Some of these stories feature people who invested early and reaped the rewards of their foresight, while others highlight the ups and downs that define Bitcoin’s highly volatile market. Over the years, many of these cases have become iconic—serving as both inspiration and cautionary tales for newcomers.
Success stories
01 - Laszlo Hanyecz – The 10,000 Bitcoin Pizza
One of the most legendary stories in Bitcoin’s history involves Laszlo Hanyecz, a programmer from Florida. In 2010, he paid 10,000 bitcoins for two pizzas. At the time, the value was negligible, and the transaction went largely unnoticed. In retrospect, however, those 10,000 bitcoins would be worth hundreds of millions of dollars today.
Though Hanyecz didn’t become rich from this transaction, the story of the “10,000 bitcoin pizza” has become a symbol of Bitcoin’s extraordinary rise in value—and a reminder of how even small holdings in the early days could have been life-changing.
02 - Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy
Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, made headlines in 2020 by transforming his company into the first major corporation to invest heavily in Bitcoin. Purchasing over 100,000 bitcoins as a treasury reserve, Saylor positioned Bitcoin as a strategic hedge against inflation and fiat currency devaluation.
Initially met with skepticism, Saylor’s decision turned out to be highly profitable as Bitcoin’s price soared. His bold move inspired other corporations and institutional investors to consider Bitcoin, and he remains one of the cryptocurrency’s most vocal advocates in the business world.
Failure Stories
01 - James Howells – The Lost 8,000 Bitcoins
James Howells, an IT professional from Wales, accidentally discarded a hard drive in 2013 containing the private keys to 8,000 mined bitcoins—worth only a few thousand pounds at the time. As Bitcoin's value skyrocketed, he attempted to recover the drive from a landfill, but was denied permission by local authorities.
This story has become a powerful lesson in crypto security and the consequences of lost private keys. Despite multiple campaigns to dig up the landfill, the bitcoins remain unrecovered.
02 - Mt. Gox Collapse – The Fall of a Giant
At its peak, Mt. Gox was the largest Bitcoin exchange in the world. In 2014, it collapsed after losing about 850,000 bitcoins—worth over $450 million at the time—due to hacking, internal security failures, and poor management.
The exchange’s failure devastated thousands of investors and highlighted the vulnerabilities in early crypto infrastructure. Though some funds were later recovered, the Mt. Gox disaster remains one of Bitcoin’s darkest moments and a turning point for the push toward greater security and transparency in the crypto industry.
- The impact of volatility and adoption
These stories reflect the unpredictable and high-risk nature of the Bitcoin market. The same volatility that has made millionaires has also led to substantial losses. While some view Bitcoin as a path to financial freedom and a hedge against inflation, others have suffered from poor planning, mismanagement, or unfortunate timing.
Bitcoin’s growing adoption, especially in emerging markets and among institutional players and shows its increasing legitimacy, as an alternative to traditional finance. However, exchange failures and lost fortunes underscore the need for robust infrastructure, personal responsibility, and long-term thinking.
In summary, success and failure are two sides of the same coin in the world of Bitcoin. From life-changing gains to heartbreaking losses, these stories illustrate the risks and rewards of participating in a young and volatile market. Whether as a cautionary tale or a source of inspiration, they emphasize the importance of education, security, and strategy for anyone engaging with this revolutionary form of money.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-03 11:01:15Bitcoin Magazine
Bitcoin Builders Exist Because Of UsersBuilder: Nicholas Gregory
Language(s): C++, Rust
Contribute(s/ed) To: Ocean Sidechain, Mainstay, Mercury Wallet, Mercury Layer
Work(s/ed) At: CommerceBlock (formerly)
Prior to Bitcoin, Nicholas was a software developer working in the financial system for banking firms developing trading and derivatives platforms. After the 2008 financial crisis he began to consider alternatives to the legacy financial system in the fallout.
Like many from that time, he completely ignored the original Slashdot article featuring the Bitcoin whitepaper due to the apparent focus on Windows as an application platform (Nicholas was a UNIX/Linux developer). Thankfully someone he knew introduced him to Bitcoin later on.
The thing that captured his interest about Bitcoin rather than other alternatives at the time was its specific architecture as a distributed computer network.
“The fact that it was like an alternative way. It was all based around [a] kind of […] network. And what I mean by that, building financial systems, people always wanted a system that was 24-7.
And how do you deal with someone interacting [with] it in different geographical parts of the world without it being centralized?
And I’d seen various ways of people solving that problem, but it never had been done, you know, in a kind of […] scalable solution. And using […] cryptography and proof of work to solve that issue was just weird, to be honest. It was totally weird for me.”
All of the other systems he had designed, and some that he built, were systems distributed across multiple parts of the world. Unlike Bitcoin however, these systems were permissioned and restricted who could update the relevant database(s) despite that fact that copies of them were redundantly distributed globally.
“The fact that in Bitcoin you had everyone kind of doing this proof of work game, which is what it is. And whoever wins does the [database] write. That mess[ed] with my head. That was […] very unique.”
Beginning To Build
Nicholas’s path to building in the space was an organic one. At the time he was living in New York City, and being a developer he of course found the original Bitdevs founded in NYC. Back then meetups were incredibly small, sometimes even less than a dozen people, so the environment was much more conducive to in-depth conversations than some larger meetups these days.
He first began building a “hobbyist” Over The Counter (OTC) trading software stack for some people (back then a very significant volume of bitcoin was traded OTC for cash or other fiat mediums). From here Nicholas and Omar Shibli, whom he met at Bitdevs, worked together on Pay To Contract (BIP 175).
BIP 175 specifies a scheme where a customer purchasing a good participates in generating the address the merchant provides. This is done by the two first agreeing on a contract describing what is being paid for, afterwards the merchant sends a master public key to the consumer, who uses the hash of that description of the item or service to generate an individual address using the hash and master public key.
This allows the customer to prove what the merchant agreed to sell them, and that the payment for the good or service has been made. Simply publishing the master public key and contract allows any third party to generate the address that was paid, and verify that the appropriate amount of funds were sent there.
Ocean and Mainstay
Nicholas and Omar went on to found CommerceBlock, a Bitcoin infrastructure company. Commerceblock took a similar approach to business as Blockstream, building technological platforms to facilitate the use of Bitcoin and blockchains in general in commerce and finance. Shortly afterwards Nicholas met Tom Trevethan who came on board.
“I met Tom via, yeah, a mutual friend, happy to say who it is. There’s a guy called, who, new people probably don’t know who he is, but OGs do, John Matonis. John Matonis was a good friend of mine, [I’d] known him for a while. He introduced me to Tom, who was, you know, kind of more on the cryptography side. And it kind of went from there.”
The first major project they worked on was Ocean, a fork of the Elements sidechain platform developed by Blockstream that the Liquid sidechain was based on. The companies CoinShares and Blockchain in partnership with others launched an Ocean based sidechain in 2019 to issue DGLD, a gold backed digital token.
“So we, you know, we were working on forks of Elements, doing bespoke sidechains. […] Tom had some ideas around cryptography. And I think one of our first ideas was about how to bolt on these forks of Elements onto […] the Bitcoin main chain. […] We thought the cleanest way to do that was […] using some sort of, I can’t remember, but it was something [based on] single-use sealed sets, which was an invention by Peter Todd. And I think we implemented that fairly well with Mainstay.”
The main distinction between Ocean and Liquid as a sidechain platform is Ocean’s use of a protocol designed at Commerceblock called Mainstay. Mainstay is a timestamping protocol that, unlike Opentimestamps, strictly orders the merkle tree it builds instead of randomly adding items in whatever order they are submitted in. This allows each sidechain to timestamp its current blockheight into the Bitcoin blockchain everytime mainchain miners find a block.
While this is useless for any bitcoin pegged into the sidechain, for regulated real world assets (RWA), this provides a singular history of ownership that even the federation operating the sidechain cannot change. This removes ambiguity of ownership during legal disputes.
When asked about the eventually shuttering of the project, Nicholas had this to say:
“I don’t know if we were early, but we had a few clients. But it was, yeah, there wasn’t much adoption. I mean, Liquid wasn’t doing amazing. And, you know, being based in London/Europe, whenever we met clients to do POCs, we were competing against other well-funded projects.
It shows how many years ago they’d either received money from people like IBM or some of the big consultancies and were promoting Hyperledger. Or it was the days when we would be competing against EOS and Tezos. So because we were like a company that needed money to build prototypes or build sidechains, it kind of made it very hard. And back then there wasn’t much adoption.”
Mercury Wallet and Mercury Layer
After shutting down Ocean, Nicholas and Tom eventually began working on a statechain implementation, though the path to this was not straightforward.
“[T]here were a few things happening at the same time that led to it. So the two things were we were involved in a [proof of concept], a very small […]POC for like a potential client. But this rolled around Discreet Log Contracts. And one of the challenges of Discreet Log Contracts, they’re very capital inefficient. So we wanted a way to novate those contracts. And it just so happened that Ruben Sampson, you know, wrote this kind of white paper/Medium post about statechains. And […] those two ideas, that kind of solved potentially that issue around DLCs.”
In the end they did not wind up deploying a statechain solution for managing DLCs, but went in a different direction.
Well, there was another thing happening at the same time, coinswaps. And, yeah, bear in mind, in those days, everyone worried that by […] 2024/2025 […] network fees could be pretty high. And to do […] coin swaps, you kind of want to do multiple rounds. So […] state chains felt perfect because […] you basically take a UTXO, you put it off the chain, and then you can swap it as much as you want.”
Mercury Wallet was fully built out and functional, but sadly never gained any user adoption. Samourai Wallet and Wasabi Wallet at the time dominated the privacy tool ecosystem, and Mercury Wallet was never able to successfully take a bite out of the market.
Rather than completely give up, they went back to the drawing board to build a statechain variant using Schnorr with the coordinator server blind signing, meaning it could not see what it was signing. When asked why those changes were made, he had this to say: “That would give us a lot more flexibility to do other things in Bitcoin with L2s. You know, the moment you have a blinded solution, we thought, well, this could start having interoperability with Lightning.”
Rather than building a user facing wallet this time, they built out a Software Development Kit (SDK) that could be integrated with other wallets.
“{…] I guess with Mercury Layer, it was very much building a kind of […] full-fledged Layer 2 that anyone could use. So we [built] it as an SDK. We did have a default wallet that people could run. But we were hoping that other people would integrate it.”
The End of CommerceBlock
In the end, CommerceBlock shuttered its doors after many years of brilliant engineering work. Nicholas and the rest of the team built numerous systems and protocols that were very well engineered, but at the end of the day they seemed to always be one step ahead of the curve. That’s not necessarily a good thing when it comes to building systems for end users.
If your work is too far ahead of the demand from users, then in the end that isn’t a sustainable strategy.
“…being in the UK, which is not doing that well from a regulatory point of view, played into it. If I
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@ 2769f6ba:8dac44e4
2025-06-03 06:38:13To be blunt, people want “authority” to exist because they themselves are immature cowards. They want an all-powerful entity to impose their will upon others. This takes different forms in different varieties of political advocacy, but the basic motivation is always the same. The “liberal” for example, resents reality. He does not want a world in which suffering and injustice are possible. But instead of doing what He can as a human being, he wants a “Government” to do it for him. He wants some magical entity to make sure that everyone, himself included, is fed, housed, and taken care of, no matter how lazy or irresponsible they are. Instead of trusting human beings to take care of each other, he wants a super human ”authority” to guarantee housing, food, health care, and all sorts of other things, for everyone. He wants it so badly that he refuses to accept the obvious truth that no such guarantee is ever possible, and that if mere mortals do not take care of themselves and each other, nothing else will take care of them.
“The Most Dangerous Superstition” – Larken Rose, pg. 124
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@ 005bc4de:ef11e1a2
2025-05-31 10:55:47LUV and Hivebits/HBIT/Wusang pause tl;dr LUV and HBIT (aka, Hivebits and the Wusang game) are on a pause at the moment, taking a break. https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/crrdlx/23x1SY8Vx8j1mVGnDFtq7ebuzKNGd8K9Ssex51AEerxks1VYikxGPShM7bjNhmSrEZ2wf.png Image from pixabay.com Why? There are odd things going on. I have a theory, but here's what is known... May 28, 2025, at about 1:30 pm GMT (8:30 AM EDT), a second attack (for lack of better term) hit HBIT in about a week. It seemed to start with @tyler45 with this comment https://peakd.com/blog/@tyler45/comment-20250528125108033 tx: https://he.dtools.dev/tx/7e7d4126196ca5b6dbe0a04dcded0e25d3bcc7f4 See tyler45's activity at https://he.dtools.dev/@tyler45 Notice the reply and WUSANG command is to a post by @olivia897 and how many of the other WUSANG comments on the explorer are in reply to olivia897. It seems these are all auto-generated accounts. The names and "birthdates" and interactions all point to automation. Once initiated, things happened very fast on the back end, clearly not being done manually. In this way, this seems rather sophisticated technically. I estimate just over 400 HBIT were pilfered the other day from the @Hivebits account before I noticed and was able to shut things down. Just for a little background, after the first attack May 21, 2025. I wrote a small bit of info: https://peakd.com/hivebits/@crrdlx/hbit-resource-credits A couple of days ago this post by @holoz0r was interesting: https://peakd.com/hive-133987/@holoz0r/text-analytics-reveal-thirty-two-percent-of-comments-on-hive-are-not-unique-and-at-least-ten-percent-add-no-value-to-discussion The thing that caught my eye was that the WUSANG comment was the largest by far, along with BBH (hello @bradleyarrow), because the attackers used both commands. Then, a few days later, things happened again: sudden start, repetitive bot attack, until I shut things down. So, a pause This is a period in my personal calendar where I simply don't have time to sit down at a computer for an extended period and try fiddle with this stuff. So, for now @Luvshares and @Hivebits (HBIT) and the @Wusang game are on hold. Plus, there's other fun stuff to do. https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/crrdlx/AJL43SREA1EuyqPXhydmqaq1RHhRVoYd12PfiBN5vDMu2WSKUtGeYWgKJyuRwV8.jpg I go by @crrdlx or "CR" for short. See all my links or contact info at https://linktr.ee/crrdlx.
Originally posted on Hive at https://peakd.com/@crrdlx/luv-and-hivebitshbitwusang-pause
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@ cefb08d1:f419beff
2025-06-03 06:14:11https://stacker.news/items/995807
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-05-31 00:36:48 -
@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-05-27 15:46:26 -
@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-03 09:55:46Sjajan niz o toksičnom Bitkoin maksimalizmu kojim sam bio toliko oduševljen da sam ga preveo i okačio na sajt.
There’s a tired argument that never seems to die:
— Not that Elon. 🍆🍊💊💎🙌🏻 (@Eggplant_Elon) June 1, 2025
“Toxic Bitcoin maximalism is hurting Bitcoin.”
But they’ve misunderstood something fundamental.
Toxic Bitcoin maximalism is a biological necessity. Let me explain.
A 🧵👇
Postoji stari argument koji izgleda da nikada ne odumire:
"Toksični Bitkoin maksimalizam šteti Bitkoinu."
Ali su pogrešno shvatili nešto što je osnovno.
Toksični Bitkoin maksimalizam je biološka neophodnost. Dozvolite mi da objasnim.
Priroda se ne izvinjava zbog svojih branilaca.
U svetu prirode, odbrana nije učtiva.
Ona je brutalna, specijalizovana i neumoljiva.
Ako pogledamo kolonije eusocijalnih insekata: mrave, termite, pčele...
Svaki od ovih organizama ima svoju vojničku kastu. Sterilna, hiperspecijalizovana stvorenja su evoluirala sa jednom svrhom: da odbrane koloniju po svaku cenu.
Mravi-vojnici ne idu u potragu za hranom. Ne razmnožavaju se. Ne pregovaraju.
Oni ubijaju uljeze. Brzo. Bez milosti. Bez kajanja.
To je ono što rade Bitkoin maksimalisti.
Oni identifikuju ideološke pretnje i eliminišu ih.
Ako unesete laži, šibicarenje ili razvodnjavanje u diskurs, oni se udružuju u roj.
Ujedaju. Sravniće vaš narativ sa zemljom.
Oni su odgovor imunog sistema.
Ovo se ogleda u odgovorima Bitkoin maksimalista na:
- promotere šitkoina
- obmanjujuće narative o skalabilnosti, potrošnji energije ili inflaciji ponude novčića
- pokušaje da se promene pravila Bitkoin konsenzusa
Oni ne pokušavaju da prvo "edukuju".
Oni se najpre brane.
Edukacija je sporedna, ponekada opciona. Ako donesete zarazu u koloniju, bićete odstranjeni.
Termiti-vojnici su toliko posvećeni svojoj ulozi da su neki od njih postali skloni samouništenju, bukvalno eksplodirajući i izbacujući lepljivu, otrovnu tečnost da bi zarobili uljeze.
Oni umiru radeći to. Ali će kolonija preživeti.
Bitkoin maksimalisti su spremni da postupaju u istom duhu.
Spremni su da budu omraženi, pogrešno shvaćeni, blokirani i cenzurisani.
Oni će reći ono što niko drugi neće jer se radi o ceni Bitkoin misije.
Ne radi se o slavi ili uticaju. Radi se o zaštiti organizma.
Deluju kao podskup složenog organizma koji sebe žrtvuje radi višeg cilja
Oni možda neće pomoći vašem rođaku da uđe u Bitkoin uz pomoć laganih poruka.
Ali će oterati sledećeg prevaranta koji pokuša da mu proda sintetički stejblkoin sa NFT pokrićem koji donosi 14% prinosa.
Oni su žrtvovali širu društvenu funkciju da bi odbranili jedinu stvar koja je stvarno važna: nekorumpiranost Bitkoina.
Njihov fokus je dvojak.
Da li je ovo Bitkoin? Onda da.
Da li ovo nije Bitkoin? Onda odjebite!
Setite se "Blocksize ratova", Lune, Celzijusa, Vojadžera, FTX-a...
Ko je podmetnuo leđa?
Ko je najglasnije upozoravao?
Ko je odbijao kompromise kada je bilo lakše ići linijom manjeg otpora?
Maksimalisti.
Svaki put kada je neki političar, korporativni lobista ili šitkoin-"mislilac" pokušao da omalovaži vrednosti Bitkoina, maksiji su među prvima pružali otpor.
Ne taktičnošću ili dugačkim saopštenjima.
Nego sa brutalnom jasnoćom.
Zato što je jasnoća ono što imuni sistem nudi.
Toksični maksimalizam nije zloban.
Toksični maksimalizam je smislen.
"Uživajte u siromaštvu"
"21 milion ili ništa."
"Bitkoin, ne kripto."
Ovo nisu slogani.
Ovo su imunološki odgovori.
Memetičke T-ćelije koje su stvorene da upozore na opasnost, inkapsuliraju istinu i repolarizuju telo.
One su brze, ujedaju i prodorne su zato što je brzina bitna u imunologiji.
Ukoliko pokušate da urazumite kancer, proširiće se.
Ukoliko pokušate da se sporazumete sa šibicarenjem, ono će rasti.
Bitkoin maksimalisti se ne sporazumevaju sa prevarama.
Oni ih kauterizuju.
Isto kao što bela krvna zrnca "ne slušaju obe strane" tokom razmnožavanja virusa.
Ljudi koji mrze maksimaliste su često oni kojima su maksimalisti najviše potrebni.
Pitajte bilo koga ko je izgubio novac na Luni, Celzijusu ili FTX-u šta misle o "toksičnosti Bitkoin maksimalista".
Daće vam jedan od ova dva odgovora:
- "Bili su drkadžije."
- "Bili su u pravu."
Maksimalisti spašavaju ljude koji ih mrze.
Oni upozoravaju glasno, oštro i rano.
I to često čine pre nego što brodolom postane očigledan.
Postoji gorka ironija dok gledamo ljude koji su ignorisali maksimaliste kako sada poput papagaja ponavljaju njihove teze.
Ali maksijima nije potrebna zahvalnost.
Nije im potrebno da se nekome svide.
Oni su tu da bi osigurali da Bitkoin postoji i za 20 godina.
Svet bez maksimalista je svet gde 21 miliona postaje 42 miliona.
Nemojte se zavaravati, kada bi imuni sistem Bitkoina bio isključen, počelo bi polako, možda sa nekoliko "nadogradnji" da bi se udovoljilo spamerima.
Možda neka izmena da bi se odobrovoljili regulatori.
Tako nastaju korumpirani sistemi: ne kroz nasilno preuzimanje već kroz hiljadu postepenih izdaja u ime "napretka" ili "adopcije".
Bitkoin do sada nije podlegao zato što ima ljude koji su spremni da učine sebe radioaktivnim da bi stopirali te izdaje.
"Spaliće most" ukoliko će to održati protokol netaknutim.
Imuni sistemi i treba da budu nasilni.
Pogledajte nekada bela krvna zrnca pod mikroskopom.
Gledajte ih kako obuzimaju bakteriju i razgrađuju je kiselinom. Nećete pomisliti: "Koliko ljubazno."
Pomislićete: "Ovo izgleda brutalno."
Tako odbrana funkcioniše.
Ako vam se to čini neprijatnim, dobro je.
Odbrana i ne treba da odiše estetikom.
Odbrana treba da bude efikasna.
Bitkoin maksimalizam nije kultura okrutnosti.
To je kultura odbijanja razvodnjavanja, smirivanja i klečanja.
Ovo odbijanje je pomoglo Bitkoinu da ostane nekorumpiran duže od bilo kog drugog monetarnog sistema.
Ne morate voleti toksične Bitkoin maksimaliste.
Ali ako HODL-ate Bitkoin i vrednujete ono što BTC predstavlja, oni su jedan od razloga zašto je BTC i dalje to što jeste.
Oni ubadaju zato što prevaranti nikada ne spavaju.
Grizu zato što se sociopate ne najavljuju unapred.
Nepristojni su zato što vreme ističe.
Nemojte to pogrešno shvatiti kao toksičnost.
Smatrajte to imunitetom.
I ako izgleda neprijateljski, setite se da ga je priroda takvim stvorila.
Zato što u svetu koji je stvoren da laže, branite signal po svaku cenu.
Čak iako vas košta reputacije.
Čak iako vas nazivaju toksičnima.
Čak iako vam se nikada ne zahvale.
Bitkoin maksimalisti su imuni sistem.
A imuni sistem ne pita za dozvolu.
On napada.
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@ bd982176:8b2599a7
2025-06-03 09:29:26Every week at the Bitcoin Babies Foundation , we're privileged to witness incredible resilience. We empower mothers with $5 worth of Bitcoin for their little ones – a small start, but a potent seed for growth. It's for food, clothing, or perhaps a savings fund for their child's future. Beyond the financial support, however, we see a profound lesson unfolding, one that resonates deeply with a powerful idea: the art of asking.
We recently came across a powerful message about getting what you want in life. The core principle? You have to ask for it. It sounds simple, yet for so many, it’s the biggest hurdle. We're often taught to be self-sufficient, to figure things out on our own. But true progress, true growth, often begins with the courage to voice our needs, to define our desires, and to ask for what we envision.
Think about the mothers we work with. Many of them have faced unimaginable hardship. Yet, they show up, week after week, with hope in their eyes. They are, in their own way, asking for a better future for their children. They are asking for stability, for opportunity, for a chance to build something new.
The video we're inspired by talks about two crucial ways to ask:
Ask with Intelligence: Be crystal clear about what you want. The more specific you are, the more you magnetize that outcome towards you. For our mothers, this isn't just about needing "money." It's about needing funds for specific food items, for a winter coat, or for a savings plan to send their child to school one day. This clarity transforms a vague wish into a tangible goal.
Ask with Faith: Believe that what you're asking for is achievable, with the pure, unwavering conviction of a child. This isn't about blind optimism; it's about holding onto hope even when circumstances are tough. Our mothers embody this faith daily. They might not know exactly how everything will work out, but they believe in the possibility of a brighter tomorrow for their little ones.
The Bitcoin Babies Foundation provides a foundation for this asking. That $5 in Bitcoin isn't just a donation; it's a tool, a resource that helps these mothers begin to build. It empowers them to not only ask for their immediate needs but also to start dreaming bigger, to plan for the future, and to understand that their efforts, combined with clarity and belief, can bring about remarkable change.
The world applauds those who take action. And taking action often starts with the simple, yet profound, act of asking. For our Bitcoin Babies mothers, it's a vital lesson for navigating life and building a future for their families. It's a testament to the fact that when you know what you want and you have the courage to ask for it, incredible things can begin to unfold.
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@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3
2025-06-03 01:49:23I had a very mid sort of day. I mostly did what I was supposed to, but didn't go above and beyond on anything. It was too hot for the dog to want to go on a real walk and I had too much work to get a lot of steps in during the day.
I did try a pineapple fruit jerky today, that I rather enjoyed and was supposedly the equivalent of half a pineapple.
How did you all do today?
https://stacker.news/items/995706
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@ 39cc53c9:27168656
2025-05-27 09:21:53The new website is finally live! I put in a lot of hard work over the past months on it. I'm proud to say that it's out now and it looks pretty cool, at least to me!
Why rewrite it all?
The old kycnot.me site was built using Python with Flask about two years ago. Since then, I've gained a lot more experience with Golang and coding in general. Trying to update that old codebase, which had a lot of design flaws, would have been a bad idea. It would have been like building on an unstable foundation.
That's why I made the decision to rewrite the entire application. Initially, I chose to use SvelteKit with JavaScript. I did manage to create a stable site that looked similar to the new one, but it required Jav aScript to work. As I kept coding, I started feeling like I was repeating "the Python mistake". I was writing the app in a language I wasn't very familiar with (just like when I was learning Python at that mom ent), and I wasn't happy with the code. It felt like spaghetti code all the time.
So, I made a complete U-turn and started over, this time using Golang. While I'm not as proficient in Golang as I am in Python now, I find it to be a very enjoyable language to code with. Most aof my recent pr ojects have been written in Golang, and I'm getting the hang of it. I tried to make the best decisions I could and structure the code as well as possible. Of course, there's still room for improvement, which I'll address in future updates.
Now I have a more maintainable website that can scale much better. It uses a real database instead of a JSON file like the old site, and I can add many more features. Since I chose to go with Golang, I mad e the "tradeoff" of not using JavaScript at all, so all the rendering load falls on the server. But I believe it's a tradeoff that's worth it.
What's new
- UI/UX - I've designed a new logo and color palette for kycnot.me. I think it looks pretty cool and cypherpunk. I am not a graphic designer, but I think I did a decent work and I put a lot of thinking on it to make it pleasant!
- Point system - The new point system provides more detailed information about the listings, and can be expanded to cover additional features across all services. Anyone can request a new point!
- ToS Scrapper: I've implemented a powerful automated terms-of-service scrapper that collects all the ToS pages from the listings. It saves you from the hassle of reading the ToS by listing the lines that are suspiciously related to KYC/AML practices. This is still in development and it will improve for sure, but it works pretty fine right now!
- Search bar - The new search bar allows you to easily filter services. It performs a full-text search on the Title, Description, Category, and Tags of all the services. Looking for VPN services? Just search for "vpn"!
- Transparency - To be more transparent, all discussions about services now take place publicly on GitLab. I won't be answering any e-mails (an auto-reply will prompt to write to the corresponding Gitlab issue). This ensures that all service-related matters are publicly accessible and recorded. Additionally, there's a real-time audits page that displays database changes.
- Listing Requests - I have upgraded the request system. The new form allows you to directly request services or points without any extra steps. In the future, I plan to enable requests for specific changes to parts of the website.
- Lightweight and fast - The new site is lighter and faster than its predecessor!
- Tor and I2P - At last! kycnot.me is now officially on Tor and I2P!
How?
This rewrite has been a labor of love, in the end, I've been working on this for more than 3 months now. I don't have a team, so I work by myself on my free time, but I find great joy in helping people on their private journey with cryptocurrencies. Making it easier for individuals to use cryptocurrencies without KYC is a goal I am proud of!
If you appreciate my work, you can support me through the methods listed here. Alternatively, feel free to send me an email with a kind message!
Technical details
All the code is written in Golang, the website makes use of the chi router for the routing part. I also make use of BigCache for caching database requests. There is 0 JavaScript, so all the rendering load falls on the server, this means it needed to be efficient enough to not drawn with a few users since the old site was reporting about 2M requests per month on average (note that this are not unique users).
The database is running with mariadb, using gorm as the ORM. This is more than enough for this project. I started working with an
sqlite
database, but I ended up migrating to mariadb since it works better with JSON.The scraper is using chromedp combined with a series of keywords, regex and other logic. It runs every 24h and scraps all the services. You can find the scraper code here.
The frontend is written using Golang Templates for the HTML, and TailwindCSS plus DaisyUI for the CSS classes framework. I also use some plain CSS, but it's minimal.
The requests forms is the only part of the project that requires JavaScript to be enabled. It is needed for parsing some from fields that are a bit complex and for the "captcha", which is a simple Proof of Work that runs on your browser, destinated to avoid spam. For this, I use mCaptcha.
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@ fa984bd7:58018f52
2025-05-21 09:51:34This post has been deleted.
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@ 240d3004:1cf86254
2025-06-02 23:41:48The Last Ledger
Chapter 1: The Warning
Sarah Chen stared at the glowing screen of her laptop, the cursor blinking mockingly at the end of an empty email. How do you tell someone their entire financial worldview is about to collapse? How do you explain that the retirement account they've spent decades building is actually just a claim on a claim on a promise that might not exist?
She'd been reading David Rogers Webb's "The Great Taking" for the third time, cross-referencing the legal documents, following the money trails through decades of seemingly unrelated financial "reforms." The picture that emerged made her stomach churn.
Her phone buzzed. A text from her brother Mike: "Coffee tomorrow? Want to show you this cool Bitcoin lending thing. Getting 8% yield on my stack!"
Sarah closed her eyes. Mike had been so proud when he'd finally bought Bitcoin last year, calling her a "paranoid prepper" for keeping hers in cold storage. He'd moved his to BlockFi for the "professional custody" and yield opportunities.
She started typing:
Mike - we need to talk. Cancel the lending thing. NOW. And get your Bitcoin off BlockFi immediately. I know it sounds crazy, but I need you to trust me on this one.
Her finger hovered over send. She thought about all the conversations she'd had lately that ended with glazed eyes and polite subject changes. People didn't want to hear that their "diversified portfolio" was actually just different flavors of the same systematic risk.
She pressed send.
Chapter 2: The Capture
Six months later
The coffee shop buzzed with the nervous energy that had become normal since the "banking liquidity events" started cascading through regional institutions. Sarah watched the news ticker scroll past on the mounted TV: "Fed Chairman assures markets that deposit guarantees remain strong... FDIC reports adequate reserves..."
Mike slumped across from her, his face gray. "You tried to warn me."
BlockFi had frozen withdrawals two weeks ago. The official statement mentioned "temporary operational challenges due to counterparty exposures." Mike's Bitcoin, along with hundreds of thousands of others, was trapped in bankruptcy proceedings.
"The lawyers say we might get thirty cents on the dollar," he continued. "If we're lucky. Apparently they lent our Bitcoin to some trading firm that went bust." He laughed bitterly. "'Professional custody,' they called it."
Sarah nodded, having no desire to say 'I told you so.' She'd watched the same pattern repeat across a dozen platforms now. Celsius, Voyager, Genesis - each collapse revealing the same fractional reserve nightmare that Webb had predicted.
"But the weird thing," Mike continued, "is that Bitcoin itself keeps holding up. Even going up. My buddy works at JPMorgan, says they're desperate to get their hands on any actual Bitcoin they can find. Something about their derivative positions needing real collateral backing."
Sarah's phone buzzed with a news alert: "Major banks petition Federal Reserve for emergency Bitcoin acquisition authority."
Chapter 3: The Scramble
Three months later
The grocery store manager, Janet, had been skeptical at first. "Bitcoin? Isn't that the fake internet money?"
But when Sarah explained that the banks were offering 2-to-1 premiums for Bitcoin while simultaneously freezing customer withdrawals, Janet's tune changed quickly. Her own small business account had been caught in the "temporary restrictions" that seemed to be growing less temporary each day.
"So you're saying you'll pay me in this Bitcoin thing, and I can immediately sell it to Chase Bank for twice what I'd normally charge for groceries?"
"That's exactly what I'm saying," Sarah replied, loading her cart with months worth of supplies. "You keep half the premium as profit, and you've got real money instead of a frozen bank account."
Word spread fast in their small community. Sarah's Bitcoin, which she'd accumulated for years and stored on hardware wallets, had become the only truly liquid currency in town. While everyone else fought over appointment slots at banks trying to access their own money, merchants lined up to accept her payments.
The irony wasn't lost on her. The very asset the financial system had tried to capture and control through lending platforms and ETFs was now the only thing that actually worked when that same system collapsed.
Chapter 4: The New Reality
One year later
The Federal Reserve's announcement of the Central Bank Digital Currency had been met with relief by most Americans. Finally, a "safe" digital dollar backed by the full faith and credit of the government, available instantly on everyone's smartphone. The old banking system, they explained, had been fundamentally flawed - too many overlapping claims on the same assets, too much systemic risk.
"For your protection," the Treasury Secretary had announced, "all legacy cryptocurrencies will be phased out over the next six months. Citizens can exchange Bitcoin for Digital Dollars at participating Federal Reserve locations."
Sarah watched the announcement from her new home in rural Montana, where a quiet community of Bitcoin holders had formed. They called themselves "the unbanked" - people who had refused to participate in the intermediated financial system that had just collapsed so spectacularly.
Mike visited on weekends now, having lost his apartment when his frozen bank accounts couldn't cover rent. "I still can't believe it worked out exactly like you said," he mused, helping her tend the small farm she'd purchased with Bitcoin from a rancher who'd grown tired of dealing with bank restrictions.
"Webb laid it all out," Sarah replied. "The legal framework, the capture mechanisms, even the timeline. The only thing he underestimated was how voluntary most people would make it."
Down the valley, she could see smoke rising from the Peterson farm, where Jake had set up his Bitcoin mining operation using solar panels and a micro-hydro system. Three more families had moved to the area in the past month, all carrying their wealth in hardware wallets rather than bank accounts.
Chapter 5: The Choice
The government agents arrived on a Tuesday.
"Ms. Chen, I'm Agent Morrison with FinCEN. We're here regarding unreported digital asset transactions and potential violations of the Digital Dollar Compliance Act."
Sarah sat calmly on her porch, noting the three SUVs and eight agents for a simple compliance visit. "I'm not familiar with any violations, Agent Morrison."
"Our records show significant Bitcoin activity associated with this address over the past eighteen months. As you know, all Bitcoin transactions must now be reported and converted to Digital Dollars within thirty days of the regulation's effective date."
"I'm curious," Sarah said, "what gives you jurisdiction over private property transactions between consenting adults?"
Agent Morrison's jaw tightened. "Ma'am, Bitcoin is no longer recognized as legal tender. Continued possession constitutes financial crimes, and any merchant accepting it faces federal prosecution."
"And yet," Sarah observed, "I notice your agency is still desperately trying to acquire Bitcoin through the emergency acquisition program. Funny how something that's supposedly worthless is so aggressively pursued."
The truth was becoming impossible to hide. While most Americans dutifully converted their Bitcoin holdings to Digital Dollars, the government faced a growing problem: their new CBDC system needed real assets to back it, and most of the traditional collateral had been vaporized in the banking collapse. Bitcoin held by people like Sarah represented actual, unencumbered value in a system built on the wreckage of paper claims.
Chapter 6: The Underground
Two years later
The farmer's market operated on Saturdays, technically selling "livestock feed and agricultural supplies." Everyone understood the code: goods and services traded for Bitcoin, off the books, away from the Digital Dollar surveillance grid.
Sarah's role had evolved from individual holder to informal banker for the community. Her multi-signature storage system, distributed across multiple hidden locations, held the Bitcoin reserves that kept their local economy functioning. When someone needed to make a large purchase - a truck, a piece of farm equipment, sometimes medical care - they came to her for conversion services.
"The irony," she explained to a newcomer family, "is that we've become exactly what Bitcoin was designed to be: a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. It just took the collapse of the traditional system to make it necessary."
Mike, now permanently relocated to the community, had become their digital security specialist. "Remember when you used to worry about Bitcoin's volatility?" he asked Sarah one evening as they reviewed the week's trading logs.
Sarah laughed. "Now it's the most stable thing in our world. Digital Dollars keep inflating away, bank accounts keep getting frozen or bailed-in, but Bitcoin just keeps working."
Through encrypted communications, they stayed in touch with similar communities worldwide. The pattern was repeating everywhere: small groups of people who had maintained self-custody were forming the backbone of parallel economies, while the majority struggled with the limitations and surveillance of the new digital monetary system.
Chapter 7: The Reckoning
Five years later
The government's Bitcoin capitulation came quietly, buried in a routine Treasury bulletin: "Emergency acquisition protocols for decentralized digital assets will be extended indefinitely due to ongoing collateral requirements."
Sarah read the announcement on her phone while walking through the thriving main street of what locals now called "Bitcoin Valley." The blacksmith shop accepted Bitcoin, the medical clinic operated on Bitcoin payments, even the small school funded itself through Bitcoin donations from around the world.
Agent Morrison, ironically, had become a semi-regular visitor - not for enforcement, but for the monthly "consulting fees" the Treasury quietly paid to Bitcoin communities for "monetary system stabilization services." The government's dirty secret was that their Digital Dollar needed periodic backing by real assets, and Bitcoin communities like theirs were the only source of liquid value that couldn't be rehypothecated into oblivion.
"Webb was right about almost everything," Sarah told Mike as they sat on the porch watching their neighbors head home from another day of actual productivity rather than financial intermediation. "The only thing he missed was how much better life could be on the other side."
Mike nodded, watching his daughter play with the other kids in the community garden. "Sometimes I wonder what would have happened if everyone had just said no from the beginning. If people had refused to put their Bitcoin on lending platforms, refused to accept the intermediated system."
"We'd probably be living in a very different world," Sarah replied. "But maybe this is better. Maybe we needed the collapse to remember what money is actually supposed to do - facilitate real human cooperation instead of enabling control systems."
Her phone buzzed with a message from a new family asking about relocating to the community. She'd answer tomorrow. Tonight, she wanted to enjoy the sound of children playing in a place where their future wasn't mortgaged to financial intermediaries, where their parents' savings couldn't be rehypothecated into someone else's derivatives position, where the simple act of holding your own money was still possible.
Epilogue: The Next Generation
Ten years later
Sarah's Bitcoin academy graduated its first class of eighteen-year-olds who had never used a traditional bank account. They understood concepts like self-custody and monetary sovereignty as naturally as previous generations had understood credit cards and mortgages.
The final exam was practical: each student had to successfully send Bitcoin to a wallet on the other side of the world, receive confirmation from the recipient, and explain why this simple transaction represented a fundamental shift in human organization.
"The old system," explained one student in her essay, "required trusted third parties for everything. To hold your money, to verify your transactions, to determine what you could buy and from whom. It concentrated power in institutions that used that power to extract value rather than create it."
"But Bitcoin," she continued, "proves that trust can be mathematical rather than institutional. That you can cooperate with people you've never met without giving control to intermediaries who don't have your interests at heart."
Sarah smiled, thinking of Webb's words from all those years ago: "We will come to know who is behind this hybrid war against humanity."
They had. And more importantly, they had built something better.
The great taking had failed, not because the mechanisms weren't real, but because enough people had chosen to step outside the system before it consumed them. In trying to capture everything, the controllers had revealed their dependence on voluntary participation.
The children playing in the Bitcoin Valley community garden would grow up in a world where monetary sovereignty was as natural as free speech had once been. Where cooperation didn't require intermediation, and where wealth couldn't be conjured away by clever legal frameworks.
Webb's warning had become their liberation.
End
Author's Note: This story explores themes from "The Great Taking" by David Rogers Webb, examining how financial system collapse might unfold and how preparation might look in practice. While fiction, it's based on real legal frameworks and financial mechanisms described in Webb's research. The Bitcoin scenarios reflect actual platform failures that occurred after Webb's book was published, validating many of his predictions about intermediated systems.
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@ 74fb3ef2:58adabc7
2025-06-02 22:59:39I'm actually glad that COVID happened. If it weren't for COVID, I would not have woken up.
Before COVID, I hated the government like any tax-paying slave does, but I never questioned the narrative. I believed the full statist propaganda—that the government had my best interest in mind and that we couldn't live without them.
I always believed they were thieves. I always knew they were idiots. I think it takes barely a few minutes of actual thinking to realize that. But I was very anti-"conspiracy theory." I used to ridicule non-statists and bitcoiners too.
COVID was the switch for me. I started doing research, but I was skeptical at first. Then, in a random Discord server about political debate, a certain user's messages stood out.
Most users were statists, left and right NPCs screaming about which geriatric and demented person should be the new monarch of a country I don't even live in and will likely never visit anymore.
But this one person was different. I don't think it's up to me to share his name since he's a very private person (you know who you are, and thank you). But I talked with this person almost every week. I presented argument after argument for my "side," essentially advocating for my own slavery to people who value me less than a pawn in a game of chess.
There was no argument I would bring up that he wouldn't destroy me on with logic and data.
Slowly, over a few months, he convinced me and turned me into the free person I am today.
I owe so much to this person: - The fact that I quit my main job a while back and only do freelance now - The fact that I don't use any big tech products anymore - The fact that I'm a bitcoiner - The fact that I self-host a lot of servers, despite living in a small apartment - The fact that I'm becoming less reliant on the slavery system - The fact that I'm now living free - The fact that I'm writing this very article on nostr
Once you start questioning one widely-accepted narrative, it becomes natural to ask "what else might I have wrong?" or "what other assumptions haven't I examined?"
Thank you, government, for COVID. And thank you, mystery person, for calling me a retard and showing me how I was being retarded.
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@ c9badfea:610f861a
2025-05-20 19:49:20- Install Sky Map (it's free and open source)
- Launch the app and tap Accept, then tap OK
- When asked to access the device's location, tap While Using The App
- Tap somewhere on the screen to activate the menu, then tap ⁝ and select Settings
- Disable Send Usage Statistics
- Return to the main screen and enjoy stargazing!
ℹ️ Use the 🔍 icon in the upper toolbar to search for a specific celestial body, or tap the 👁️ icon to activate night mode
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@ 33baa074:3bb3a297
2025-06-03 09:09:19Application of water-saving irrigation technology Water-saving irrigation technology, such as drip irrigation technology, installs a drip irrigation system in the farmland to evenly sprinkle water on the roots of crops to achieve the purpose of saving water, increasing production, and improving the quality of agricultural products. This technology can effectively reduce water resource waste, improve crop resistance, and reduce yield losses caused by water shortages. At the same time, it can also improve soil structure, increase soil fertility, and reduce the occurrence of pests and diseases.
The role of smart irrigation system Smart irrigation systems use modern technologies such as computer technology, Internet of Things technology, and sensor technology to intelligently manage gardens, farmlands, etc. This system can automatically adjust the irrigation volume and time by monitoring soil moisture and nutrient content, meteorological data and other information, thereby achieving efficient, accurate, and sustainable soil moisture management and nutrient utilization. The smart irrigation system has a positive impact on soil moisture management and nutrient utilization efficiency through accurate moisture monitoring, intelligent irrigation control, and real-time nutrient monitoring and management.
Principle and Application of Precision Irrigation Technology Precision irrigation technology is based on soil moisture monitoring, crop water requirement model and irrigation decision support system. Through multi-source data fusion and intelligent algorithm, it realizes the intelligentization and automation of irrigation decision. The application of soil moisture sensing technology in precision irrigation can monitor soil moisture conditions in real time and provide data support for irrigation decision. In addition, the construction and application of crop water requirement model can predict crop water demand and provide a scientific basis for irrigation decision. The development and implementation of precision irrigation control system can realize automatic irrigation, improve irrigation efficiency and water resource utilization.
Conclusion In summary, irrigation technology, especially water-saving irrigation technology and intelligent irrigation system, plays an important role in soil moisture management. These technologies not only improve the efficiency of water resource utilization and reduce agricultural production costs, but also improve soil structure, increase crop yield and quality, and promote the sustainable development of agriculture. With the continuous advancement of science and technology, irrigation technology will play a more important role in future agricultural production.
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@ eb0157af:77ab6c55
2025-06-03 09:01:55An analysis of the present and a look at the future of Bitcoin mining, between data, critical reflections and a personal vision on the role of this industry.
Before jumping on bitcoin and proposing it to their clientele as an investment instrument, traditional finance started with a more classic approach, beginning to purchase shares of mining companies and thus exposing themselves indirectly to the asset. Bitcoin mining today is a real industry, also composed of large players listed on the stock exchange that have received huge capital from investment funds like BlackRock. Furthermore, more and more mining companies are taking the path of listing on stock markets to manage to attract capital and some of these also manage pools, like Marathon. How was all this possible and what are the implications of this situation?
Mining pools
Mining pools aggregate the computing power of multiple miners to increase the chances of mining a block. They create the block template and use the collective hashrate to try to solve it. The reward is then divided among participants in proportion to the power provided.
Today pools use different methods to pay miners who provide computing power. One of these is called FPPS (Fully Pay Per Share), which offers a fixed and constant payment to the miner (which varies based on the computing power provided), regardless of whether the pool mines a block or not. This type of payment makes the revenues of a company that mines bitcoin calculable and constant and which, consequently, becomes more appealing to the market because it’s possible to calculate its ROI (Return On Investment). In essence, with this type of payment, uncertainty is excluded and returns are made predictable. Mining pools take on the risk because, in case they fail to mine blocks for a certain period of time, they could go into loss having to pay miners anyway. We can therefore venture that mining pools have helped the entry of traditional finance into bitcoin mining, taking on part of the risks. But this is my thought.
Mining today
Mining pools today are not that many and we have a strong concentration of miners in some of them. If we sum the hashrate of Foundry and AntPool we exceed 50% of global computing power. This is not an optimal condition. Now however let’s also look at the other side of the coin. First of all, although mining pools have great power, they cannot play with fire and must be very transparent about their operations towards miners, because miners can direct their hashrate towards another pool very quickly. And this is a fundamental element that also recalls game theory a bit, because a mining pool must not only serve its own interest, but also the interest of its “partners”, otherwise it loses everything. I believe that mining pools are well aware of their power and also know that they are a centralization point for the network and, today, also a point of attack by authorities, so they have every interest in finding solutions that allow them to continue doing business, but that relieve them somewhat of responsibilities.
On the miner side instead, we have increasingly large companies that collect enormous capital and produce a lot of hashrate, but my fear is that this hashrate is produced by a fiat economy and is very precarious. Hashrate is closely linked to price, because if the price drops below a certain threshold, miners are no longer profitable and are forced to turn off the machines, or, in the worst cases, to completely cease activity, consequently causing hashrate to collapse. Fortunately Bitcoin has mechanisms like difficulty adjustment that mitigate these situations. Being still a very small market, the entry of large institutional players first in mining companies and then directly on the underlying asset, could lead to strong price oscillations that also impact mining farms. All this makes hashrate very unstable too.
Something is changing
The development of Stratum V2 has started an attempt to solve the various problems that afflict pooled mining. Stratum is the communication protocol between mining farms and mining pools. Version 2 brings, in addition to data improvement and encryption, performance increases and gives each individual miner the possibility to create the template of the block to mine. Furthermore we also have other existing solutions that try to solve the problems described before in a somewhat different way, like Ocean pool, which has implemented its DATUM protocol (similar to Stratum V2) and which uses a miner payment method called TIDES, that is an evolution of FPPS and non-custodial PPLNS in which miner addresses are inserted directly into the coinbase transaction.
There’s also a lot of ferment on the miner side, for example with the advent of Bitaxe, an open source project that we can define almost as a movement, an ideology. Skot, the precursor of this movement, has essentially reverse engineered the professional machinery used to mine bitcoin and managed to create a “desktop” device that contains a real ASIC chip, consumes only a few watts and can be built at home. Obviously these products produce computing power not sufficient to try to be competitive, but they are bringing back solo mining and are giving enthusiasts the possibility to deepen this sector by exploiting a device of very small dimensions and with practically negligible consumption on the bill.
The future of mining
After analyzing the state we are in, we can start speculations and let our minds travel.
Let’s start with mining pools. Will they still exist? I would say yes, in what form I don’t know, but I think they will certainly lose the control they have today over block template creation and I also think that future solutions will be found (in addition to existing ones) to become non-custodial and directly remunerate miners. In the end it’s in their interest to always be competitive in terms of services offered, because they work on commission, so they have to be appealing.
As for miners instead, I see a bigger metamorphosis. If the intention is to consume eco-sustainable energy, then energy industries will necessarily have to start studying the benefits that mining can bring in this sense. They cannot continue to ignore them. And if this happens, then I imagine a future where energy companies themselves will start mining bitcoin and will no longer do so following market logic, but will shift focus to stabilizing the electrical grid. Mining is currently the only industry capable of being so flexible as to be able to absorb all the excess energy of a plant, but at the same time consume zero when energy is needed by the grid. At that point the raw mining activity could become no longer the main business, but a secondary benefit that will allow them to have alternative income compared to selling electricity.
And what about the Bitaxe movement? Hard to say, but in my opinion if it manages to reach a critical mass of enthusiasts, it could really start to emerge and become a fundamental piece for the “true bitcoiner” kit. Utopistically, if we had 50 or 100 million Bitaxes scattered in people’s homes, we would manage to distribute mining in a more widespread way, but above all we would have a part of the total hashrate totally uncorrelated from bitcoin price, because, given their very reduced consumption, Bitaxes would remain on and continue to produce hashrate regardless of energy cost or price oscillations of the underlying asset.
What will happen, then, after 2140, when no more bitcoins will be mined? Assuming that network fees will be much higher than today, and sufficient to keep the activity profitable, we could find ourselves in a situation where mining for pure profit will be downsized. The same companies, however, could become external service providers for grid balancing, or, as mentioned previously, become electricity producers themselves of renewable energy exploiting their experience in mining to push where today it’s not economically convenient. Even in our homes we could have a boiler, a heat pump or a water heating system for the pool that, while doing its job, also mines bitcoin. In short, a future that seems like a fairy tale, but so possible that we want to live it and make sure that my children are also protagonists of it.
The post The future of mining? Green and decentralized appeared first on Atlas21.
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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-03 09:01:35DDC Enterprise, a consumer brand and e-commerce company with operations in the U.S. and China, has launched a big plan to make bitcoin (BTC) a key part of its financial strategy.
The company just bought 21 BTC as the first step in a plan to buy up to 5,000 BTC over the next 3 years.
The move was announced in a press release and a letter to shareholders by DDC’s founder, chairwoman and CEO Norma Chu.
The 21 BTC, worth around $2.28 million at current prices, was bought through a share exchange. DDC issued 254,333 class A ordinary shares.
“We are fully committed to ensuring the success of this strategy, which aligns with our vision to drive long-term value for our shareholders,” said Norma Chu. “Today marks a pivotal moment in DDC’s evolution.”
Chu is the first female founder and CEO of a U.S.-listed public company to lead a bitcoin-only treasury strategy. DDC is one of the first companies in its industry to adopt this strategy in such a structured way.
DDC’s plan is being rolled out in phases. The company will buy another 79 BTC soon and will have 100 BTC in the short term.
In the next 6 months, it will buy 500 BTC, and long-term, it expects to build a 5,000 BTC reserve over 36 months.
This phased approach may allow DDC to manage market volatility and take advantage of price movements.
In her recent letter to shareholders, Chu called the bitcoin strategy “a cornerstone of our long-term value creation plan”.
She said bitcoin’s qualities – especially as a hedge against macroeconomic uncertainty and inflation – make it the perfect reserve asset for DDC. She added:
“Bitcoin’s unique properties as a store of value and hedge against macroeconomic uncertainty align perfectly with our vision to diversify reserves and enhance shareholder returns.”
The announcement comes on the back of a record-breaking year for DDC.
In 2024, the company made $37.4 million in revenue—a 33% increase from 2023.
Gross margin improved from 25.0% in 2023 to 28.4% in 2024 due to strategic acquisitions in the U.S. and more efficient operations in China.
As of March 31, 2025 the company had $11.3 million in shareholder equity and $23.6 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments.
This gives DDC the flexibility and credibility to do something as bold as this bitcoin accumulation plan.
DDC’s announcement comes as corporations are getting increasingly interested in adding bitcoin to their balance sheet.
While giants like Strategy have made headlines with large bitcoin purchases, DDC is the first e-commerce company to do so.
The company’s dual presence in China and the U.S. also adds complexity, especially with the different regulatory environments surrounding Bitcoin in each region.
To ensure proper execution, DDC has expanded its treasury and advisory teams to include experts in the bitcoin markets.
The company will use a mix of dollar cost averaging and tactical buying, adjusting purchases based on market conditions.
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@ 7b20d99d:d2a541a9
2025-06-02 22:13:17In a world where we often hear talk of financial bubbles, speculation, and individual enrichment through cryptocurrencies, Hope With Bitcoin resolutely takes the opposite approach. Here, Bitcoin is not an end in itself, but a means to reach out. A tool serving a simple, universal human cause: bringing smiles and hope back to those who need it most.
Far from big, empty promises and empty charitable projects, Hope With Bitcoin is committed to a philosophy of direct impact, total transparency, and lasting transformation of lives.
🔗 Official project link : https://linktr.ee/hopewithbtc
🟢 Why “Hope With Bitcoin”?
It all started with an observation: too many people are living in oblivion. In some regions, particularly in Africa, it doesn't take much to bring back a smile: a meal, a word, a gesture. But often, aid initiatives get lost in an administrative maze, corruption, or a lack of follow-ups. And in the world of Bitcoin, we see many promises of humanitarian aid without ever seeing results.
Hope With Bitcoin was launched to change that. The goal is clear:
Using the power of Bitcoin to provide direct, visible, measurable and lasting help.
We wanted to show that Bitcoin can nourish, heal, raise awareness, connect, and not just speculate.
🔵 What we do concretely
Hope With Bitcoin isn't an abstract concept. It's a set of concrete actions carried out on the ground, with rigor and heart.
Here's what we do:
🍛 Food distribution and health aid
Thanks to donations collected in Bitcoin, we provide concrete help to those who need it most.
We distribute hot meals and basic food items (rice, spaghetti, oil, charcoal, etc.) to struggling families, vulnerable children, and orphanages.
But our work doesn't stop there. A portion of the funds is also used to purchase essential medicines and contribute to the payment of healthcare, particularly for sick or injured people who cannot afford treatment.
Each action is carefully documented and made public to ensure complete transparency and strengthen the trust of our donors.
✅ Missions accomplished: every satoshi counts
Since Hope With Bitcoin's inception, we've carried out several concrete actions thanks to the donations received. Here's a clear, transparent, and verifiable overview of our actions:
🔹 PoW 1 – 10 000 Satoshi Received
📅 Date : 01/09/2025
📍 Purchase food for two children in need
🔹 PoW 2 – 10 000 Satoshi Received
📅 Date : 01/11/2025
📍 Purchase food for two children in need
#### 🔹 PoW 3 — 220,500 Satoshi received
📍 Preparing food for thirty children in need
📅 Date : 01/13/2025
#### 🔹 PoW 4— 31,000 Satoshi received
📍 Purchase food for six children in need
📅 Date : 01/16/2025
#### 🔹 PoW 5— 30,000 Satoshi received
📍 Purchase food for 10 students in need
📅 Date : 01/18/2025
#### 🔹 PoW 6 – 11,093 Satoshi received
📍 Purchase food for two children in need
📅 Date : 01/22/2025
#### \ 🔹 PoW 7 – 52,000 Satoshi Received
📍 Preparing food for eight children in need
📅 Date : 01/27/2025
#### \ 🔹 PoW 8 – 116,866 Satoshi Received
📍Financial support for Maria Jimenez's health
📅 Date : 02/13/2025
#### 🔹 PoW 9 – 8,001 Satoshi Received
📍 Hope With Bitcoin t-shirt print
📅 Date : 02/15/2025
#### 🔹 PoW 10 – 22,602 Satoshi Received
📍 Purchase of food for five children in need (three on site and two takeaway)
📅 Date : 02/17/2025
#### 🔹 PoW 11– 350,000 Satoshi Received
📍 Purchase of food (rice, corn, spaghetti, oil, salt, sugar, coal...) at the Bon Arbre orphanage
Thank you letter received: HERE
📅 Date : 03/06/2025
🔹 PoW 12 – 35,000 Satoshi received
📍 Purchase of medicine for a person in need
📅 Date : 04/02/2025
#### 🔹 PoW 13 – 60,910 Satoshi received
📍 Preparation of food for 8 children at home and purchase of food for two children at the cotonou beach.
📅 Date : 05/18/2025
Each of these Proofs of Work (PoW) is publicly published on Nostr or Geyser to ensure complete transparency. You can view them individually to see the real impact of your donations.
📣 Bitcoin Adoption Awareness
We take advantage of each field trip to speak with shopkeepers, local vendors, and young people. The idea is to show that Bitcoin can be used practically in their daily lives: to sell, buy, and exchange.
🟠 Our results to date
Since the creation of Hope With Bitcoin on January 8, 2025, we have succeeded in:
- Collect a total of 957,971 Satoshi thanks to the generosity of contributors around the world.
- Help 87 people directly through our distribution actions. (Proof of work)
- Raise awareness among several merchants about the use of Bitcoin.
- Create a close-knit, caring community focused on human impact.
These numbers aren't statistics. They're lives, faces, stories. Every person helped represents a victory, proof that Bitcoin solidarity is possible.
🟣 Our ambitions for the future
Hope With Bitcoin doesn't want to be just a one-time donation project. We believe in sustainability, independence, and structured growth.
### 🐖 Launch of a pig farm to sustainably finance our actions
To make our humanitarian work self-sufficient and sustainable, we have launched a project to create a pig farm, the proceeds of which will be used to fund food distribution, the purchase of medicines, and other solidarity initiatives led by Hope With Bitcoin.
This project aims to generate regular income while having a tangible local impact:
-
🥣 Continuously support food and health aid
-
👷♂️ Create jobs for young people and unemployed people
-
♻️ Reinvest profits in other humanitarian projects
To kick-start this project, we've established a detailed budget estimate that includes the purchase of piglets, pen construction, feed, veterinary care, and management fees. 👉 Estimated cost: approximately 5,525,200 Satoshi
More details on the budget here: https://primal.net/e/nevent1qqsfmrafup9dma3wvgeqgasydjhy06rhkn8d268txmztp60533mp3xg0vuk5a
🐓 Towards a united and evolving ecosystem
Ultimately, we aim to diversify our business into chicken and goat farming and develop micro-agricultural projects. The goal is to build a resilient, local, and 100% Bitcoin-funded ecosystem that serves the most vulnerable.
💛 You can support this project now on Geyser:
https://geyser.fund/project/hopewithbitcoin/goals/552
🌍 Expansion of the area of action
We want to reach:
- More regions
- More beneficiaries
- More businesses willing to accept Bitcoin
⚫ Why Bitcoin?
The choice of Bitcoin is not ideological. It is practical, thoughtful, and strategic.
Here's why we made this choice:
- ✅ Fast and low-cost transactions
- ✅ No geographical or banking barriers
- ✅ Immutability of donations: funds cannot be diverted
- ✅ Complete traceability thanks to blockchain
- ✅ Financial education for recipients
In short, Bitcoin allows us to rebuild trust in donations and make acts of solidarity visible.
🟢 How to support us?
You can be part of the change. Here's how:
- 🤝 Donate in Bitcoin (https://geyser.fund/project/hopewithbitcoin)
- 📢 Share our posts to help us gain visibility
- 🧠 Recommend us to a partner, company, or influencer
- 💬 Join the community on Twitter, Nostr, or subscribe to Geyser to stay informed and actively participate.
Even a simple retweet can make a difference. Because every Satoshi counts.
Hope With Bitcoin is a declaration of love to humanity. It's a belief that technology can serve the heart. It's a demonstration that Bitcoin can nourish, not just enrich.
We are not an NGO, we are not a company. We are a movement, an initiative, a momentum. And this is just the beginning.
“With a little Bitcoin and a lot of love, we can change lives.”
🔗 Join us now : https://linktr.ee/hopewithbtc
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-20 15:50:22There is something quietly rebellious about stacking sats. In a world obsessed with instant gratification, choosing to patiently accumulate Bitcoin, one sat at a time, feels like a middle finger to the hype machine. But to do it right, you have got to stay humble. Stack too hard with your head in the clouds, and you will trip over your own ego before the next halving even hits.
Small Wins
Stacking sats is not glamorous. Discipline. Stacking every day, week, or month, no matter the price, and letting time do the heavy lifting. Humility lives in that consistency. You are not trying to outsmart the market or prove you are the next "crypto" prophet. Just a regular person, betting on a system you believe in, one humble stack at a time. Folks get rekt chasing the highs. They ape into some shitcoin pump, shout about it online, then go silent when they inevitably get rekt. The ones who last? They stack. Just keep showing up. Consistency. Humility in action. Know the game is long, and you are not bigger than it.
Ego is Volatile
Bitcoin’s swings can mess with your head. One day you are up 20%, feeling like a genius and the next down 30%, questioning everything. Ego will have you panic selling at the bottom or over leveraging the top. Staying humble means patience, a true bitcoin zen. Do not try to "beat” Bitcoin. Ride it. Stack what you can afford, live your life, and let compounding work its magic.
Simplicity
There is a beauty in how stacking sats forces you to rethink value. A sat is worth less than a penny today, but every time you grab a few thousand, you plant a seed. It is not about flaunting wealth but rather building it, quietly, without fanfare. That mindset spills over. Cut out the noise: the overpriced coffee, fancy watches, the status games that drain your wallet. Humility is good for your soul and your stack. I have a buddy who has been stacking since 2015. Never talks about it unless you ask. Lives in a decent place, drives an old truck, and just keeps stacking. He is not chasing clout, he is chasing freedom. That is the vibe: less ego, more sats, all grounded in life.
The Big Picture
Stack those sats. Do it quietly, do it consistently, and do not let the green days puff you up or the red days break you down. Humility is the secret sauce, it keeps you grounded while the world spins wild. In a decade, when you look back and smile, it will not be because you shouted the loudest. It will be because you stayed the course, one sat at a time. \ \ Stay Humble and Stack Sats. 🫡
-
@ 0b884d0d:9abbd54a
2025-06-02 21:42:29Conceitos chaves
Neste artigo você vai entender um pouco dos conceitos chave desse novo conjunto de ferramentas para aplicar justiça de forma descentralizada e anárquica.
Antes de continuar a leitura, quero elucidar alguns termos que serão constantemente usados neste artigo.
- Private Law Society (PLS)
- Uma organização sem fins lucrativos com o objetivo de criar novas soluções para tornar cada vez mais viável a aplicabilidade de uma justiça privada e descentralizada
- Ao mesmo tempo, um conjunto de protocolos e softwares de código aberto com o mesmo propósito
- Links úteis
- Perfil Nostr: nostr:npub1p79dx59d5gctllar73cqnucqft89gpkfmydxj4mmk2jj69s7hn3sfjatxx
- GitHub: https://github.com/PrivateLawSociety
- Sobre: https://privatelawsociety.net
- Bitcoin Justice Protocol (BJP)
- Um protocolo estabelecido pela Private Law Society
- Também um software de código aberto disponível no GitHub da Private Law Society
- Links úteis
- GitHub: https://github.com/PrivateLawSociety/pls-bjp
- Sobre: https://privatelawsociety.net/bjp
- Implementação oficial da PLS: https://pls-bjp.vercel.app/
- Web Of Trust (WoT)
- Uma base de dados com avaliações entre usuários Nostr relatando confiança/desconfiança e se um usuário teve relações comerciais ou não com outro
- O objetivo é ser um repositório de reputação para chaves Nostr
- Links úteis
- GitHub: https://github.com/PrivateLawSociety/pls-wot
- Sobre: https://privatelawsociety.net/wot
- Implementação oficial da PLS: https://pls-wot.vercel.app/
- Meu fork com o grafo: https://pls-wot-kiuusai.vercel.app/
Prefácio
Recentemente saiu um episódio no BetterMoney podcast sobre o projeto de justiça privada Private Law Society.
Muitos bons pontos foram levantados neste excelente episódio pelos participantes nostr:npub12mllp29adf2fw0eeahmseczcu3y4625qyn3v4uwfvkpzlshnmj3qs903ju e nostr:npub1wsl3695cnz7skvmcfqx980fmrv5ms3tcfyfg52sttvujgxk3r4lqajteft. Mas neste entorno permanecem ainda muitas dúvidas sobre o projeto em si, seu funcionamento, princípios, objetivos e funcionalidades.
Venho através deste artigo, apresentar resumidamente o projeto, a filosofia por trás do mesmo e dar a minha visão de como este conjunto de protocolos chamado Private Law Society tem a capacidade de não só transformar o mundo como o conhecemos, mas de tornar boa parte do "poder judiciário" obsoleto e irrelevante em vários aspectos, se assim os indivíduos o quiserem.
Mas afinal, o que é essa tal de PLS?
PLS é um acrônimo para Private Law Society (Sociedade de Leis Privadas em uma tradução livre). Além de uma organização sem fins lucrativos e totalmente Open Source, trata-se de um conjunto de softwares disponíveis no GitHub de forma a estruturar um protocolo de justiça privada descentralizado com colateral em Bitcoin. Falei grego para você? Vamos com calma dissecar estes conceitos...
Sociedade de leis privadas, a "utopia" libertária se tornando realidade
Quem é adepto do movimento libertário e/ou estuda o tema, provavelmente já ouviu falar nesse termo. Originalmente cunhado por David Hume, o filósofo e idealista escocẽs. O projeto toma este nome com o intúito, talvez de forma ambiciosa, mas com certeza visionária e audaz, de trazer uma solução prática e simples de estabelecer contratos voluntários entre duas ou mais partes, as quais livremente escolhem os seus "árbitros" ou "juízes" para fazer valer a lei. Como realmente uma justiça paralela a qual o contrato faz lei entre as partes.
Para uma introdução sobre o conceito, indico este vídeo do canal AnCapSu que trata sobre o tema de forma resumida.
Essa ideia, simples a priori esbarra no problema da aplicabilidade da força, ou ao menos era o que se pensava, antes da criação de ferramentas como o Bitcoin e soluções como Taproot e Bitcoin Scripts. Agora, com uma propriedade realmente soberana, programável e incensurável, essa ideia começa a ganhar forma.
Basicamente, uma dúvida plausível para uma pessoa leiga no assunto seria: "Tá, entendi. Esse tal de bitcoin é realmente bom, seguro e o Estado não tem poder de controle sobre ele. Mas como isso pode gerar essa tal de sociedade de leis privadas? É só uma forma de dinheiro."
A resposta para isso é: Dinheiro programável, chaves privadas e reputação!
BJP: contratos colateralizados em Bitcoin
Bitcoin, Nostr e Taproot: a chave para a aplicação da justiça privada
Se você já está minimamente envolvido com o ambiente Bitcoin, Nostr e afins, deve saber o que é um par de chaves públicas e privadas e como isso funciona. Existe uma chave pública e privada, a pública é a forma de identificação no sistema e a privada é a que gera as assinaturas. Daí é possível determinar que quem publicou a mensagem, seja na blockchain do Bitcoin, seja na rede Nostr, é o dono daquela chave pública em específico. Assim, se institui uma forma de identidade digital.
O que muita gente não sabe, ou não dá o devido valor, é que depois do soft fork Taproot da rede Bitcoin (ocorrido em 2021), os antigos Bitcoin Scripts tomaram outra forma e maior capacidade, se tornando mais práticos, leves e funcionais. Isso é o que dá base hoje para "contratos inteligentes" no Bitcoin e toda a parafernalha de Ordinals, Runes e coisas do gênero. O que pra muitos foi uma maldição que encheu a mempool, na verdade também se provou uma bênção, a qual é a base do BJP (Bitcoin Justice Protocol) da Private Law Society. A atualização permitiu com que scripts mais complexos pudessem ser desenvolvidos de forma mais simples, fossem mais leves e tivessem uma melhor privacidade. O BJP se empodera disso, fornecendo uma solução ao mesmo tempo que simples, inovadora para casos de uso de contratos. Primariamente na camada nobre do Bitcoin e posteriormente na Liquid Network, para aqueles que querem poupar em taxas e terem mais privacidade.
Por sua vez, o Nostr funciona também com criptografia de curvas elípticas, assim como nosso querido Bitcoin. Para ser mais preciso, o mesmo algoritmo é usado tanto no Nostr quanto no Bitcoin. O Secp256k1. Na prática isso significa que toda chave Nostr também é uma chave Bitcoin em potencial. O BJP se apropria dessa interconexão para possibilitar a criação de contratos jurídicos.
BJP: uma multisig sofisticada?
Ok, até agora vimos o que torna esse tal de BJP possível, mas como ele funciona e como eu posso usá-lo na prática?
Bem grosseiramente falando, o BJP é um software que facilita a criação de carteiras multisig específicas para contratos jurídicos. Com ele, você constrói uma multisig não convencional com Taproot que assegura o cumprimento do contrato mediante concordância de todas as partes "clientes" do contrato ou do número mínimo de árbitros configurados previamente + um dos clientes.
Na prática, um script Taproot é montado com a seguinte lógica:
``` Clientes = {Lista de chaves públicas dos clientes}
Árbitros = {Lista de chaves públicas dos árbitros}
Quorum = Número mínimo de árbitros para aprovar a transação
Se todos os Clientes concordarem: Libera gasto Senão se 1 dentre todos os Clientes concorda e ao menos o Quorum de Árbitros concorda: Libera gasto Senão Bloqueia gasto ```
Esse algoritmo garante que o contrato seja efetuado e esteja de acordo com a vontade de todas as partes envolvidas, ou, se entrar em "disputa judicial", o número mínimo de árbitros designados para "fazer valer a lei", concorde junto com a parte lesada para onde os fundos devem ir.
Um exemplo prático:
Aqui temos um exemplo prático de aplicabilidade de um contrato feito através do BJP. Nesse caso, tendo a concordar com o nostr:npub1narc0ect9jf0ffnvcwg8kdqlte69yxfcxgxwaq35eygw42t3jqvq4hxv0r e discordar do nostr:npub12mllp29adf2fw0eeahmseczcu3y4625qyn3v4uwfvkpzlshnmj3qs903ju quando o primeiro comenta no recente episódio do BetterMoney Podcast:
19:30 Eu discordo do Júlio. Acho que a PLS seria perfeita pro contrato de aluguel. O locatário coloca o colateral e o proprietário vai ter certeza de que não vai tomar calote.
E se uma das partes tentar levar pra justiça estatal, não vai ter nenhum nome no contrato, apenas chaves públicas.
E está certo. O exemplo prático que acabei de citar reforça isso. Não há nada que impeça também, de no contrato, ter uma cláusula a qual envolver a justiça estatal cause algum prejuízo ou perda de causa imediata para a parte expositora. Não estou fazendo recomendação alguma, fazendo apologia a qualquer prática ou aconselhando usar deste tipo de artifício, se o que falo possa ser interpretado como crime pela lei positivada (não sou advogado). Mas, no campo das ideias e das possibilidades no mundo real, é uma possível solução/alternativa.
Vamos ao exemplo...
Adriano Calango quer alugar um apartamento de Beto Lagartixa. Só que ambos não se conhecem e não confiam suficientemente um no outro para fazer um contrato. Ambos decidem então escrever um documento. Word, Pdf ou um texto puro. Não importa. Lá estão todas as cláusulas, o caução do aluguel, multas estabelecidas para uso indevido, penalidades, dia de pagamento, decisão sobre multa de atraso, enfim, qualquer detalhe desse contrato.
Adriano Calango, escolhe Célsio Jacaré, seu amigo como seu árbitro pessoal. Beto Lagartixa escolhe Danilo Crocodilo, seu amigo, como seu árbitro pessoal. Ambos escolhem Eduardo Cobra, um réptil íntegro, com reputação ilibada e que já fez vários julgamentos, como um árbitro em comum para seu contrato. Daqui temos: dois contratantes, duas testemunhas e um juíz.
Adriano Calango então, acessa o site da PLS BJP para criar o contrato. Configura os clientes (ele e Beto Lagartixa), configura todos os árbitros, anexa o arquivo e cria o contrato na rede Bitcoin.
Um evento Nostr criptografado é criado e um link de compartilhamento do contrato é disponibilizado. Adriano Calango compartilha esse link com todos os usuários disponíveis.
Todos os usuários verificam os detalhes do contrato e se o documento do contrato bate com o contrato assinado. Todas as partes ativamente concordando, a nossa multisig é criada.
Um arquivo do contrato é disponibilizado para acessar a multisig do contrato posteriormente. Todos os usuários salvam esse arquivo e o mantém guardado em um local seguro. O objetivo disso é ter redundância. Se um dos participantes perder este arquivo, outro pode compartilhar o mesmo para possibilitar o acesso à multisig do contrato.
Adriano Calango e Beto Lagartixa depositam os devidos colaterais no contrato. Seja o caução de aluguel ou um montante separado para ser empenhorado. Isso é definido pelo acordo feito previamente.
Se tudo ocorrer bem, assim que Adriano Calango resolver se mudar e Beto Lagartixa não tiver nenhuma objeção quanto a isso, ambos voltam para o contrato previamente feito e concordam quanto aos montantes que cada um receberá de volta. Dividem o preço da taxa entre si e cada um tem sua propriedade de volta.
Digamos que Adriano Calango não cumpriu com parte do contrato, atrasando o pagamento de alguns meses. Por outro lado, Beto Lagartixa também não cumpriu parte de seu acordo, deixando de fornecer serviços prescritos no contrato como segurança de condomínio e um elevador funcional. O caso então é levado aos árbitros. Célsio Jacaré argumenta a favor de Adriano Calango, questionando Beto Lagartixa sobre os serviços não prestados pelo mesmo e que claramente no contrato estavam previstos como parte inclusa no custo do aluguel. Danilo Crocodio retruca sobre a inadimplência de Adriano Calango, defendendo seu amigo/cliente, Beto Lagartixa. Eduardo Cobra, ao ouvir calmamente todos os argumentos de ambos os lados, então decide: - Adriano Calango foi inadimplente por três meses. Portanto terá uma multa de 35% sobre seu patrimônio - Beto Lagartixa terá uma multa de 25% sobre o seu patrimônio, pois não prestou o serviço com a devida qualidade - O restante do patrimônio será devolvido para seus respectivos donos - Dos valores da multa: - 90% será dividido entre cada árbitro. 30% para cada - Os 10% restantes serão queimados em taxas para os mineradores
Note que não foi usado nenhum meio coercitivo para solucionar o caso e penalizar os réus em seus devidos processos. Tudo foi aceito voluntariamente previamente, inclusive da parte dos árbitros. As multas aplicadas são meramente ilustrativas. Em um cenário real, tais penalidades seriam acordadas previamente e na falta das mesmas, todas as partes discutiriam até entrar em um acordo quanto a decisão. É totalmente plausível que, por exemplo, a penalidade fosse queimar todo o valor das multas em taxas para os mineradores, se assim todos aceitassem. O mecanismo de mineração nesse cenário também se torna um possivel meio de aplicação de força em um julgamento.
Só esta parte do ecosistema já faz boa parte dos casos de uso da justiça estatal obsoleta, dando maior descentralização, privacidade e soberania para os indivíduos.
Nesse cenário temos novamente a "utopia" libertária sendo definitivamente aplicada. Não há dedo do Estado no meio, todos os contratos foram previamente acordados entre as partes e não houve violação ao PNA (Princípio da Não Agressão). Todo o processo foi estritamente voluntário desde o começo.
WoT: A digitalização da reputação
Quem vê o projeto a primeira vista, pode pensar:
Ah Calango. Legal essa solução com bitcoin e tal. Mas eu vou sempre precisar gastar meus bitcoins toda vida que fizer um contrato? Tem contratos que isso não vale a pena!
Sim. Isso é verdade. Tanto que foi genialmente um caso citado pelo nostr:npub12mllp29adf2fw0eeahmseczcu3y4625qyn3v4uwfvkpzlshnmj3qs903ju. Há casos que os valores são tão pequenos que não compensa criar todo um documento de contrato para, por exemplo, comprar um livro ou algo do tipo. Ou, algumas vezes, o próprio indivíduo não quer gastar dinheiro ou travar valores para manter esse contrato. Mas não é o único caso de uso. Lembre-se que mesmo com colaterais aplicados, normalmente as pessoas não gostam de entrar em decisões judiciais ou confusões em geral. Idealmente todos querem traçar o caminho feliz da história. Então, mesmo para firmar contratos com colateral em Bitcoin usando o BJP, é plausível que um usuário queira pesquisar o "histórico" de outro usuário na rede para averiguar se é uma boa ideia ou não se envolver com aquele indivíduo em específico.
Naturalmente o ser humano já pratica esse cálculo de reputação e analisa o ambiente a sua volta para entender a hierarquia e reputação dele e de outros indivíduos em um grupo. Somos seres sociais e naturalmente na nossa cabeça já montamos uma espécie de rede de confiança na nossa cabeça com a imagem que formamos de um indivíduo X ou Y com base na nossa comunidade. Hierarquia, lideranças, influência, são características naturais do ser humano.
A partir desse cenário, surgiu a ideia de gerar uma solução para uma melhor visualização da reputação entre usuários do protocolo. O objetivo é ser primariamente um repositório com avaliações de usuários sobre outros usuários, os classificando positivamente ou negativamente e informando se houve ou não negócios/fechamento de contratos com o mesmo. A ideia é realmente simples e o objetivo é deixar o protocolo aberto para as mais diversas formas de interpretação desses dados. Seja com modelos matemáticos, visualização e interpretação pessoal ou até mesmo o uso de inteligência artificial para o auxiliar o usuário a tomar suas decisões.
WoT: o nome é conhecido, mas a proposta é diferente
Veja que há uma diferença prática na WoT da PLS e outros projetos de WoT espalhados pela internet afora e pelo Nostr. A maioria dos projetos de WoT são para determinar se uma pessoa/chave privada é ou não relevante a partir da visão de outra chave privada. É o caso de serviços de WoT como o da Coracle.Social, Vertexlab.io e mais recentemente da nova implementação de WoT Relays. Serviços como estes tem o objetivo de reduzir ou eliminar spam e falsidade ideológica (fakes), assim como oferecer uma espécie de algoritmo de recomendação, similar ao que é feito em redes sociais como YouTube e Instagram.
Note que em nenhum momento o objetivo da WoT da PLS é definir por A + B quem é ou deixa de ser confiável ou inconfiável, afinal, confiança é algo estritamente relativo. Nenhum projeto pode ter a audácia de tentar classificar pessoas como confiáveis ou inconfiáveis a nível de estabelecimento de contratos. A PLS entende isso e respeita esse caráter subjetivo da confiança. De igual maneira, nunca foi o objetivo de qualquer projeto de WoT sério fazer algo similar ao que é feito em países como a China, onde pessoas têm alguma espécie de "crédito social". Fique tranquilo. Nosso objetivo não é tornar os episódios distópicos de Black Mirror em realidade 🤣
Visualização em grafo: uma proposta elegante
Desde que entrei de cabeça no projeto da PLS, uma coisa que veio sendo falada nas reuniões era sobre a criação de novas ferramentas para visualizar a rede de formas mais intuitivas, que ajudassem os usuários ao julgar pessoas como confiáveis ou não para estabelecer contratos, e ao mesmo tempo, resolvessem o problema de UX que é uma simples tabela com avaliações entre usuários da rede. A tendência é, a partir do momento que o projeto comece a ter adesão, que o número de notas cresça exponencialmente, e com isso, a visualização da reputação dos indivíduos seja pouco intuitiva. Uma solução apresentada para este problema foi a criação de um frontend com grafos, ou melhor, a criação de uma forma de visualização da sua rede de confiança em particular. A partir disso, foi gerada uma bounty no projeto para a implementação desta solução, a qual eu orgulhosamente estou construindo (na verdade está pronta para uso. Mas ainda quero melhorar algumas coisas). O objetivo é simples: dar ao usuário mais uma forma de contemplar os dados da WoT, de forma mais particular e intuitiva. Facilitando a tomada de decisões.
A natureza da confiança humana em sintonia com a tecnologia
Bolhas virtuais, vilarejos e mineiros
Uma possível crítica que o projeto possa receber é a possibilidade de ataques de spam ou cancelamento em massa corroer ou inviabilizar a utilidade do protocolo. Ataque Sybil também. Entretanto, são espantalhos até bem inocentes quanto ao projeto em questão.
Como havia mencionado anteriormente, a base do projeto em si é propositalmente simples e não se propõe a dar uma solução definitiva para a visualização dos dados postos no protocolo. A tabela de avaliações hoje existente no site da WoT da PLS é apenas uma das inúmeras formas de interpretar estes dados. E uma forma efetiva para problemas como esse, é justamente a implementação de uma visualização por grafo, onde os usuários podem ver redes de confiança sendo tracejadas a partir do ponto de vista específico de uma npub em particular.
Aqui a lógica de um antigo ditado é aplicada:
"O amigo do meu amigo é meu amigo"
Da mesma maneira também podemos formular outras afirmações como:
"O inimigo do meu inimigo é meu amigo"
"O inimigo do meu amigo é meu inimigo"
"O amigo do meu inimigo é meu inimigo"
Se tais derivações fazem sentido para você ou não, não cabe a mim dizer. Novamente, confiança é intrinsecamente algo de caráter subjetivo. Vai de cada um decidir quem é ou não confiável. É justamente por isso que estou implementando diversos filtros de avaliações no meu fork da PLS.
Na prática é o velho jogo de política de sempre. Como bem citado uma vez pelo filósofo e youtuber Platinho, ao citar Carl Schmitt:
Isso também se reflete na cultura mineira (e rural do Brasil em geral), por exemplo. O clássico "cê é fi de quem?". Perceba que essa é uma forma de procurar por um caminho de confiança já estabelecido. Quem tem parente em interior sabe, que uma das coisas mais comuns é os mais velhos, seja ou tio, mãe ou avô perguntar sobre um amigo que você leve para o ambiente familiar (meu filho, esse seu amigo é filho de quem?) É algo até instintivo do ser humano procurar por rotas de confiança e trabalhar de certa forma com o QI (Quem Indica). Goste você ou não, é assim que a natureza humana se expressa e é assim que a dinâmica social é montada.
Vendo que é natural a formação de bolhas, não é uma boa ideia em si interpretar os dados da WoT da PLS simplesmente de uma forma numérica bruta. A melhor forma é fazer uma abordagem individual, com base na sua rede de confiança ao invés de puramente o número de avaliações positivas e negativas.
O grafo da PLS busca justamente tornar mais intuitivo, prático e sistemático essa pesquisa natural. Essa implementação é além de uma ferramenta, uma forma de expressão social muito forte, tanto em âmbito social quanto jurídico, à medida em que a dinâmica social e jurídica se entrelaçam no tecido social.
Adriano Calango ataca novamente
Para um exemplo prático, voltemos a falar dele, Adriano Calango.
Adriano Calango conhece a WoT da PLS já faz um tempo e já avaliou todos os seus parceiros comerciais e amigos aos quais tem laços de confiança já firmes e maduros. Ele procura alguém para alugar uma casa Rolante, RS. ´Ele vê alguns perfis de síndicos no Nostr que moram na mesma cidade que ele com casas disponíveis para alugar. Mas quer ter uma noção que não está se metendo em encrenca ou lidando com algum síndico chato que inferniza a vida dos inquilinos.
Dito isso, ele acessa a WoT da PLS e vai na página do grafo. Percebe que seu amigo Bruno Jabuti, ao qual já havia avaliado positivamente anteriormente, avaliou positivamente um professor de Jiu-jitsu, conhecido como Carlos Camaleão. Que além de ser avaliado positivamente por Bruno Jabuti, recebeu várias avaliações positivas de outros usuários conhecidos de Adriano Calango. Carlos Camaleão, por sua vez, avaliou positivamente um síndico da região chamado Diego Iguana. Na descrição Carlos Camaleão descreve como em todo o tempo que ele foi inquilino de Diego Iguana sempre foi bem tratado e como seu condomínio estava sempre bem organizado e era cuidadosamente zelado, e como sempre que havia alguma falha de infraestrutura, o problema era rapidamente resolvido. Adriano Calango considera firmar um contrato de aluguel com Diego Iguana.
Assim, temos o seguinte caminho de confiança estabelecido:
Adriano Calango 👍 -> Bruno Jabuti 👍 -> Carlos Camaleão 👍 -> Diego Iguana
Passando-se alguns dias, Adriano Calango é abordado por Denis Jacaré em uma DM no Nostr oferecendo aluguel baratíssimo e com poucas exigências. Denis Jacaré foi informado que Adriano Calango estava a procura de um imóvel novo para residir. Adriano Calango, então, pega a chave Nostr de Denis Jacaré e joga na parte de "target" na página do grafo na PLS WoT. Ele percebe que Denis Jacaré tem várias avaliações negativas de inúmeros usuários, mas não consegue ainda bater o martelo quanto a confiabilidade de Denis Jacaré. Ele então insere sua própria chave Nostr no campo de "main rater" e vê que tem um caminho tracejado entre a sua npub e a de Denis Jacaré. Pra sua surpresa, ele vê que Carlos Camaleão deu a Denis Jacaré uma avaliação negativa, por conta que no período em que sua filha era inquilina do mesmo, prestou um péssimo serviço. O condomínio vivia com o elevador quebrado, a portaria muitas vezes não funcionava e tinha falta de luz constante. Denis Jacaré não tomava providẽncia nenhuma quanto a isso e ainda fazia questão de causa intriga entre os inquilinos e tentar jogar uns contra os outros. Adriano Calango, então percebe que Denis Jacaré não é confiável com base na rede de confiança definida por Adriano Calango.
Nesse caso temos o seguinte circuito estabelecido:
Adriano Calango 👍 -> Bruno Jabuti 👍 -> Carlos Camaleão 👎 -> Denis Jacaré
Adriano Calango aborda Diego Iguana para estabelecer um contrato. Agora é a vez de Diego Iguana pesquisar o histórico de Adriano Calango. Pois ele quer manter a comunidade de seu condomínio saudável e não deseja aceitar inquilinos baderneiros ou barraqueiros.
Diego Iguana faz então o caminho inverso de Adriano Calango, pondo a npub de Adriano Calango como "target" e a própria npub como "main rater". Daí Diego Iguana consegue ver que Carlos camaleão deu uma nota positiva para Bruno Jabuti e Bruno Jabuti deu uma nota positiva para Adriano Calango. Os dois então fecham negócio.
Neste exemplo, o grafo da WoT da PLS serviu como uma "bússola de confiança" para Adriano Calango e Diego Iguana firmarem um contrato no BJP com seus árbitros e advogados.
Considerações finais
Neste artigo você pôde aprender os conceitos básicos da Private Law Society, motivos de certas escolhas de design, viu exemplos práticos de casos de uso e um pouco das bases filosóficas que norteiam o ecosistema da PLS. Também pôde compreender um pouco mais sobre o conceito de WoT na PLS e como isso pode ser útil com o passar do tempo e a adesão de novos usuários no sistema.
Se este conteúdo te agregou de forma positiva em algo, considere mandar um ZAP ou fazer uma doação anônima por um dos meios disponibilizados na descrição do meu perfil Nostr. Este artigo foi feito com muito carinho e dedicação. Sua doação me encoraja a continuar produzindo e lhe mantendo informado. Se não pode ou não quer contribuir financeiramente, considere engajar no conteúdo reagindo, compartilhando e comentando. Toda a ajuda é bem vinda. Agradeço de coração sua paciência e atenção para ler até aqui.
Em breve trarei novidades sobre o desenvolvimento do grafo da WoT e logo mais, vídeo novo no meu canal do YouTube. Até mais!
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-20 15:47:16Here’s a revised timeline of macro-level events from The Mandibles: A Family, 2029–2047 by Lionel Shriver, reimagined in a world where Bitcoin is adopted as a widely accepted form of money, altering the original narrative’s assumptions about currency collapse and economic control. In Shriver’s original story, the failure of Bitcoin is assumed amid the dominance of the bancor and the dollar’s collapse. Here, Bitcoin’s success reshapes the economic and societal trajectory, decentralizing power and challenging state-driven outcomes.
Part One: 2029–2032
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2029 (Early Year)\ The United States faces economic strain as the dollar weakens against global shifts. However, Bitcoin, having gained traction emerges as a viable alternative. Unlike the original timeline, the bancor—a supranational currency backed by a coalition of nations—struggles to gain footing as Bitcoin’s decentralized adoption grows among individuals and businesses worldwide, undermining both the dollar and the bancor.
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2029 (Mid-Year: The Great Renunciation)\ Treasury bonds lose value, and the government bans Bitcoin, labeling it a threat to sovereignty (mirroring the original bancor ban). However, a Bitcoin ban proves unenforceable—its decentralized nature thwarts confiscation efforts, unlike gold in the original story. Hyperinflation hits the dollar as the U.S. prints money, but Bitcoin’s fixed supply shields adopters from currency devaluation, creating a dual-economy split: dollar users suffer, while Bitcoin users thrive.
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2029 (Late Year)\ Dollar-based inflation soars, emptying stores of goods priced in fiat currency. Meanwhile, Bitcoin transactions flourish in underground and online markets, stabilizing trade for those plugged into the bitcoin ecosystem. Traditional supply chains falter, but peer-to-peer Bitcoin networks enable local and international exchange, reducing scarcity for early adopters. The government’s gold confiscation fails to bolster the dollar, as Bitcoin’s rise renders gold less relevant.
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2030–2031\ Crime spikes in dollar-dependent urban areas, but Bitcoin-friendly regions see less chaos, as digital wallets and smart contracts facilitate secure trade. The U.S. government doubles down on surveillance to crack down on bitcoin use. A cultural divide deepens: centralized authority weakens in Bitcoin-adopting communities, while dollar zones descend into lawlessness.
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2032\ By this point, Bitcoin is de facto legal tender in parts of the U.S. and globally, especially in tech-savvy or libertarian-leaning regions. The federal government’s grip slips as tax collection in dollars plummets—Bitcoin’s traceability is low, and citizens evade fiat-based levies. Rural and urban Bitcoin hubs emerge, while the dollar economy remains fractured.
Time Jump: 2032–2047
- Over 15 years, Bitcoin solidifies as a global reserve currency, eroding centralized control. The U.S. government adapts, grudgingly integrating bitcoin into policy, though regional autonomy grows as Bitcoin empowers local economies.
Part Two: 2047
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2047 (Early Year)\ The U.S. is a hybrid state: Bitcoin is legal tender alongside a diminished dollar. Taxes are lower, collected in BTC, reducing federal overreach. Bitcoin’s adoption has decentralized power nationwide. The bancor has faded, unable to compete with Bitcoin’s grassroots momentum.
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2047 (Mid-Year)\ Travel and trade flow freely in Bitcoin zones, with no restrictive checkpoints. The dollar economy lingers in poorer areas, marked by decay, but Bitcoin’s dominance lifts overall prosperity, as its deflationary nature incentivizes saving and investment over consumption. Global supply chains rebound, powered by bitcoin enabled efficiency.
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2047 (Late Year)\ The U.S. is a patchwork of semi-autonomous zones, united by Bitcoin’s universal acceptance rather than federal control. Resource scarcity persists due to past disruptions, but economic stability is higher than in Shriver’s original dystopia—Bitcoin’s success prevents the authoritarian slide, fostering a freer, if imperfect, society.
Key Differences
- Currency Dynamics: Bitcoin’s triumph prevents the bancor’s dominance and mitigates hyperinflation’s worst effects, offering a lifeline outside state control.
- Government Power: Centralized authority weakens as Bitcoin evades bans and taxation, shifting power to individuals and communities.
- Societal Outcome: Instead of a surveillance state, 2047 sees a decentralized, bitcoin driven world—less oppressive, though still stratified between Bitcoin haves and have-nots.
This reimagining assumes Bitcoin overcomes Shriver’s implied skepticism to become a robust, adopted currency by 2029, fundamentally altering the novel’s bleak trajectory.
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@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-05-19 18:09:52🏌️ Monday, May 26 – Bitcoin Golf Championship & Kickoff Party
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada\ Event: 2nd Annual Bitcoin Golf Championship & Kick Off Party"\ Where: Bali Hai Golf Clubhouse, 5160 S Las Vegas Blvd, Las Vegas, NV 89119\ 🎟️ Get Tickets!
Details:
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The week tees off in style with the Bitcoin Golf Championship. Swing clubs by day and swing to music by night.
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Live performances from Nostr-powered acts courtesy of Tunestr, including Ainsley Costello and others.
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Stop by the Purple Pill Booth hosted by Derek and Tanja, who will be on-boarding golfers and attendees to the decentralized social future with Nostr.
💬 May 27–29 – Bitcoin 2025 Conference at the Las Vegas Convention Center
Location: The Venetian Resort\ Main Attraction for Nostr Fans: The Nostr Lounge\ When: All day, Tuesday through Thursday\ Where: Right outside the Open Source Stage\ 🎟️ Get Tickets!
Come chill at the Nostr Lounge, your home base for all things decentralized social. With seating for \~50, comfy couches, high-tops, and good vibes, it’s the perfect space to meet developers, community leaders, and curious newcomers building the future of censorship-resistant communication.
Bonus: Right across the aisle, you’ll find Shopstr, a decentralized marketplace app built on Nostr. Stop by their booth to explore how peer-to-peer commerce works in a truly open ecosystem.
Daily Highlights at the Lounge:
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☕️ Hang out casually or sit down for a deeper conversation about the Nostr protocol
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🔧 1:1 demos from app teams
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🛍️ Merch available onsite
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🧠 Impromptu lightning talks
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🎤 Scheduled Meetups (details below)
🎯 Nostr Lounge Meetups
Wednesday, May 28 @ 1:00 PM
- Damus Meetup: Come meet the team behind Damus, the OG Nostr app for iOS that helped kickstart the social revolution. They'll also be showcasing their new cross-platform app, Notedeck, designed for a more unified Nostr experience across devices. Grab some merch, get a demo, and connect directly with the developers.
Thursday, May 29 @ 1:00 PM
- Primal Meetup: Dive into Primal, the slickest Nostr experience available on web, Android, and iOS. With a built-in wallet, zapping your favorite creators and friends has never been easier. The team will be on-site for hands-on demos, Q\&A, merch giveaways, and deeper discussions on building the social layer of Bitcoin.
🎙️ Nostr Talks at Bitcoin 2025
If you want to hear from the minds building decentralized social, make sure you attend these two official conference sessions:
1. FROSTR Workshop: Multisig Nostr Signing
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🕚 Time: 11:30 AM – 12:00 PM
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📅 Date: Wednesday, May 28
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📍 Location: Developer Zone
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🎤 Speaker: nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgqgdwaehxw309ahx7uewd3hkcqpqs9etjgzjglwlaxdhsveq0qksxyh6xpdpn8ajh69ruetrug957r3qf4ggfm (Austin Kelsay) @ Voltage\ A deep-dive into FROST-based multisig key management for Nostr. Geared toward devs and power users interested in key security.
2. Panel: Decentralizing Social Media
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🕑 Time: 2:00 PM – 2:30 PM
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📅 Date: Thursday, May 29
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📍 Location: Genesis Stage
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🎙️ Moderator: nostr:nprofile1qyxhwumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmvqy08wumn8ghj7mn0wd68yttjv4kxz7fwv3jhyettwfhhxuewd4jsqgxnqajr23msx5malhhcz8paa2t0r70gfjpyncsqx56ztyj2nyyvlq00heps - Bitcoin Strategy @ Roxom TV
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👥 Speakers:
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nostr:nprofile1qyt8wumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgtcppemhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mp0qqsy2ga7trfetvd3j65m3jptqw9k39wtq2mg85xz2w542p5dhg06e5qmhlpep – Early Bitcoin dev, CEO @ Sirius Business Ltd
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nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytndv9kxjm3wdahxcqg5waehxw309ahx7um5wfekzarkvyhxuet5qqsw4v882mfjhq9u63j08kzyhqzqxqc8tgf740p4nxnk9jdv02u37ncdhu7e3 – Analyst & Partner @ Ego Death Capital
Get the big-picture perspective on why decentralized social matters and how Nostr fits into the future of digital communication.
🌃 NOS VEGAS Meetup & Afterparty
Date: Wednesday, May 28\ Time: 7:00 PM – 1:00 AM\ Location: We All Scream Nightclub, 517 Fremont St., Las Vegas, NV 89101\ 🎟️ Get Tickets!
What to Expect:
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🎶 Live Music Stage – Featuring Ainsley Costello, Sara Jade, Able James, Martin Groom, Bobby Shell, Jessie Lark, and other V4V artists
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🪩 DJ Party Deck – With sets by nostr:nprofile1qy0hwumn8ghj7cmgdae82uewd45kketyd9kxwetj9e3k7mf6xs6rgqgcwaehxw309ahx7um5wgh85mm694ek2unk9ehhyecqyq7hpmq75krx2zsywntgtpz5yzwjyg2c7sreardcqmcp0m67xrnkwylzzk4 , nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgqgkwaehxw309anx2etywvhxummnw3ezucnpdejqqg967faye3x6fxgnul77ej23l5aew8yj0x2e4a3tq2mkrgzrcvecfsk8xlu3 , and more DJs throwing down
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🛰️ Live-streamed via Tunestr
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🧠 Nostr Education – Talks by nostr:nprofile1qy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq37amnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3dwfjkccte9ejx2un9ddex7umn9ekk2tcqyqlhwrt96wnkf2w9edgr4cfruchvwkv26q6asdhz4qg08pm6w3djg3c8m4j , nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgqg7waehxw309anx2etywvhxummnw3ezucnpdejz7ur0wp6kcctjqqspywh6ulgc0w3k6mwum97m7jkvtxh0lcjr77p9jtlc7f0d27wlxpslwvhau , nostr:nprofile1qy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq3vamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wd33xgetk9en82m30qqsgqke57uygxl0m8elstq26c4mq2erz3dvdtgxwswwvhdh0xcs04sc4u9p7d , nostr:nprofile1q9z8wumn8ghj7erzx3jkvmmzw4eny6tvw368wdt8da4kxamrdvek76mrwg6rwdngw94k67t3v36k77tev3kx7vn2xa5kjem9dp4hjepwd3hkxctvqyg8wumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnhd9hx2qpqyaul8k059377u9lsu67de7y637w4jtgeuwcmh5n7788l6xnlnrgssuy4zk , nostr:nprofile1qy28wue69uhnzvpwxqhrqt33xgmn5dfsx5cqz9thwden5te0v4jx2m3wdehhxarj9ekxzmnyqqswavgevxe9gs43vwylumr7h656mu9vxmw4j6qkafc3nefphzpph8ssvcgf8 , and more.
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🧾 Vendors & Project Booths – Explore new tools and services
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🔐 Onboarding Stations – Learn how to use Nostr hands-on
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🐦 Nostrich Flocking – Meet your favorite nyms IRL
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🍸 Three Full Bars – Two floors of socializing overlooking vibrant Fremont Street
| | | | | ----------- | -------------------- | ------------------- | | Time | Name | Topic | | 7:30-7:50 | Derek | Nostr for Beginners | | 8:00-8:20 | Mark & Paul | Primal | | 8:30-8:50 | Terry | Damus | | 9:00-9:20 | OpenMike and Ainsley | V4V | | 09:30-09:50 | The Space | Space |
This is the after-party of the year for those who love freedom technology and decentralized social community. Don’t miss it.
Final Thoughts
Whether you're there to learn, network, party, or build, Bitcoin 2025 in Las Vegas has a packed week of Nostr-friendly programming. Be sure to catch all the events, visit the Nostr Lounge, and experience the growing decentralized social revolution.
🟣 Find us. Flock with us. Purple pill someone.
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-16 18:06:46Bitcoin has always been rooted in freedom and resistance to authority. I get that many of you are conflicted about the US Government stacking but by design we cannot stop anyone from using bitcoin. Many have asked me for my thoughts on the matter, so let’s rip it.
Concern
One of the most glaring issues with the strategic bitcoin reserve is its foundation, built on stolen bitcoin. For those of us who value private property this is an obvious betrayal of our core principles. Rather than proof of work, the bitcoin that seeds this reserve has been taken by force. The US Government should return the bitcoin stolen from Bitfinex and the Silk Road.
Using stolen bitcoin for the reserve creates a perverse incentive. If governments see bitcoin as a valuable asset, they will ramp up efforts to confiscate more bitcoin. The precedent is a major concern, and I stand strongly against it, but it should be also noted that governments were already seizing coin before the reserve so this is not really a change in policy.
Ideally all seized bitcoin should be burned, by law. This would align incentives properly and make it less likely for the government to actively increase coin seizures. Due to the truly scarce properties of bitcoin, all burned bitcoin helps existing holders through increased purchasing power regardless. This change would be unlikely but those of us in policy circles should push for it regardless. It would be best case scenario for American bitcoiners and would create a strong foundation for the next century of American leadership.
Optimism
The entire point of bitcoin is that we can spend or save it without permission. That said, it is a massive benefit to not have one of the strongest governments in human history actively trying to ruin our lives.
Since the beginning, bitcoiners have faced horrible regulatory trends. KYC, surveillance, and legal cases have made using bitcoin and building bitcoin businesses incredibly difficult. It is incredibly important to note that over the past year that trend has reversed for the first time in a decade. A strategic bitcoin reserve is a key driver of this shift. By holding bitcoin, the strongest government in the world has signaled that it is not just a fringe technology but rather truly valuable, legitimate, and worth stacking.
This alignment of incentives changes everything. The US Government stacking proves bitcoin’s worth. The resulting purchasing power appreciation helps all of us who are holding coin and as bitcoin succeeds our government receives direct benefit. A beautiful positive feedback loop.
Realism
We are trending in the right direction. A strategic bitcoin reserve is a sign that the state sees bitcoin as an asset worth embracing rather than destroying. That said, there is a lot of work left to be done. We cannot be lulled into complacency, the time to push forward is now, and we cannot take our foot off the gas. We have a seat at the table for the first time ever. Let's make it worth it.
We must protect the right to free usage of bitcoin and other digital technologies. Freedom in the digital age must be taken and defended, through both technical and political avenues. Multiple privacy focused developers are facing long jail sentences for building tools that protect our freedom. These cases are not just legal battles. They are attacks on the soul of bitcoin. We need to rally behind them, fight for their freedom, and ensure the ethos of bitcoin survives this new era of government interest. The strategic reserve is a step in the right direction, but it is up to us to hold the line and shape the future.
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-16 17:59:23Recently we have seen a wave of high profile X accounts hacked. These attacks have exposed the fragility of the status quo security model used by modern social media platforms like X. Many users have asked if nostr fixes this, so lets dive in. How do these types of attacks translate into the world of nostr apps? For clarity, I will use X’s security model as representative of most big tech social platforms and compare it to nostr.
The Status Quo
On X, you never have full control of your account. Ultimately to use it requires permission from the company. They can suspend your account or limit your distribution. Theoretically they can even post from your account at will. An X account is tied to an email and password. Users can also opt into two factor authentication, which adds an extra layer of protection, a login code generated by an app. In theory, this setup works well, but it places a heavy burden on users. You need to create a strong, unique password and safeguard it. You also need to ensure your email account and phone number remain secure, as attackers can exploit these to reset your credentials and take over your account. Even if you do everything responsibly, there is another weak link in X infrastructure itself. The platform’s infrastructure allows accounts to be reset through its backend. This could happen maliciously by an employee or through an external attacker who compromises X’s backend. When an account is compromised, the legitimate user often gets locked out, unable to post or regain control without contacting X’s support team. That process can be slow, frustrating, and sometimes fruitless if support denies the request or cannot verify your identity. Often times support will require users to provide identification info in order to regain access, which represents a privacy risk. The centralized nature of X means you are ultimately at the mercy of the company’s systems and staff.
Nostr Requires Responsibility
Nostr flips this model radically. Users do not need permission from a company to access their account, they can generate as many accounts as they want, and cannot be easily censored. The key tradeoff here is that users have to take complete responsibility for their security. Instead of relying on a username, password, and corporate servers, nostr uses a private key as the sole credential for your account. Users generate this key and it is their responsibility to keep it safe. As long as you have your key, you can post. If someone else gets it, they can post too. It is that simple. This design has strong implications. Unlike X, there is no backend reset option. If your key is compromised or lost, there is no customer support to call. In a compromise scenario, both you and the attacker can post from the account simultaneously. Neither can lock the other out, since nostr relays simply accept whatever is signed with a valid key.
The benefit? No reliance on proprietary corporate infrastructure.. The negative? Security rests entirely on how well you protect your key.
Future Nostr Security Improvements
For many users, nostr’s standard security model, storing a private key on a phone with an encrypted cloud backup, will likely be sufficient. It is simple and reasonably secure. That said, nostr’s strength lies in its flexibility as an open protocol. Users will be able to choose between a range of security models, balancing convenience and protection based on need.
One promising option is a web of trust model for key rotation. Imagine pre-selecting a group of trusted friends. If your account is compromised, these people could collectively sign an event announcing the compromise to the network and designate a new key as your legitimate one. Apps could handle this process seamlessly in the background, notifying followers of the switch without much user interaction. This could become a popular choice for average users, but it is not without tradeoffs. It requires trust in your chosen web of trust, which might not suit power users or large organizations. It also has the issue that some apps may not recognize the key rotation properly and followers might get confused about which account is “real.”
For those needing higher security, there is the option of multisig using FROST (Flexible Round-Optimized Schnorr Threshold). In this setup, multiple keys must sign off on every action, including posting and updating a profile. A hacker with just one key could not do anything. This is likely overkill for most users due to complexity and inconvenience, but it could be a game changer for large organizations, companies, and governments. Imagine the White House nostr account requiring signatures from multiple people before a post goes live, that would be much more secure than the status quo big tech model.
Another option are hardware signers, similar to bitcoin hardware wallets. Private keys are kept on secure, offline devices, separate from the internet connected phone or computer you use to broadcast events. This drastically reduces the risk of remote hacks, as private keys never touches the internet. It can be used in combination with multisig setups for extra protection. This setup is much less convenient and probably overkill for most but could be ideal for governments, companies, or other high profile accounts.
Nostr’s security model is not perfect but is robust and versatile. Ultimately users are in control and security is their responsibility. Apps will give users multiple options to choose from and users will choose what best fits their need.
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-16 17:51:54In much of the world, it is incredibly difficult to access U.S. dollars. Local currencies are often poorly managed and riddled with corruption. Billions of people demand a more reliable alternative. While the dollar has its own issues of corruption and mismanagement, it is widely regarded as superior to the fiat currencies it competes with globally. As a result, Tether has found massive success providing low cost, low friction access to dollars. Tether claims 400 million total users, is on track to add 200 million more this year, processes 8.1 million transactions daily, and facilitates $29 billion in daily transfers. Furthermore, their estimates suggest nearly 40% of users rely on it as a savings tool rather than just a transactional currency.
Tether’s rise has made the company a financial juggernaut. Last year alone, Tether raked in over $13 billion in profit, with a lean team of less than 100 employees. Their business model is elegantly simple: hold U.S. Treasuries and collect the interest. With over $113 billion in Treasuries, Tether has turned a straightforward concept into a profit machine.
Tether’s success has resulted in many competitors eager to claim a piece of the pie. This has triggered a massive venture capital grift cycle in USD tokens, with countless projects vying to dethrone Tether. Due to Tether’s entrenched network effect, these challengers face an uphill battle with little realistic chance of success. Most educated participants in the space likely recognize this reality but seem content to perpetuate the grift, hoping to cash out by dumping their equity positions on unsuspecting buyers before they realize the reality of the situation.
Historically, Tether’s greatest vulnerability has been U.S. government intervention. For over a decade, the company operated offshore with few allies in the U.S. establishment, making it a major target for regulatory action. That dynamic has shifted recently and Tether has seized the opportunity. By actively courting U.S. government support, Tether has fortified their position. This strategic move will likely cement their status as the dominant USD token for years to come.
While undeniably a great tool for the millions of users that rely on it, Tether is not without flaws. As a centralized, trusted third party, it holds the power to freeze or seize funds at its discretion. Corporate mismanagement or deliberate malpractice could also lead to massive losses at scale. In their goal of mitigating regulatory risk, Tether has deepened ties with law enforcement, mirroring some of the concerns of potential central bank digital currencies. In practice, Tether operates as a corporate CBDC alternative, collaborating with authorities to surveil and seize funds. The company proudly touts partnerships with leading surveillance firms and its own data reveals cooperation in over 1,000 law enforcement cases, with more than $2.5 billion in funds frozen.
The global demand for Tether is undeniable and the company’s profitability reflects its unrivaled success. Tether is owned and operated by bitcoiners and will likely continue to push forward strategic goals that help the movement as a whole. Recent efforts to mitigate the threat of U.S. government enforcement will likely solidify their network effect and stifle meaningful adoption of rival USD tokens or CBDCs. Yet, for all their achievements, Tether is simply a worse form of money than bitcoin. Tether requires trust in a centralized entity, while bitcoin can be saved or spent without permission. Furthermore, Tether is tied to the value of the US Dollar which is designed to lose purchasing power over time, while bitcoin, as a truly scarce asset, is designed to increase in purchasing power with adoption. As people awaken to the risks of Tether’s control, and the benefits bitcoin provides, bitcoin adoption will likely surpass it.
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-15 15:31:45Capitalism is the most effective system for scaling innovation. The pursuit of profit is an incredibly powerful human incentive. Most major improvements to human society and quality of life have resulted from this base incentive. Market competition often results in the best outcomes for all.
That said, some projects can never be monetized. They are open in nature and a business model would centralize control. Open protocols like bitcoin and nostr are not owned by anyone and if they were it would destroy the key value propositions they provide. No single entity can or should control their use. Anyone can build on them without permission.
As a result, open protocols must depend on donation based grant funding from the people and organizations that rely on them. This model works but it is slow and uncertain, a grind where sustainability is never fully reached but rather constantly sought. As someone who has been incredibly active in the open source grant funding space, I do not think people truly appreciate how difficult it is to raise charitable money and deploy it efficiently.
Projects that can be monetized should be. Profitability is a super power. When a business can generate revenue, it taps into a self sustaining cycle. Profit fuels growth and development while providing projects independence and agency. This flywheel effect is why companies like Google, Amazon, and Apple have scaled to global dominance. The profit incentive aligns human effort with efficiency. Businesses must innovate, cut waste, and deliver value to survive.
Contrast this with non monetized projects. Without profit, they lean on external support, which can dry up or shift with donor priorities. A profit driven model, on the other hand, is inherently leaner and more adaptable. It is not charity but survival. When survival is tied to delivering what people want, scale follows naturally.
The real magic happens when profitable, sustainable businesses are built on top of open protocols and software. Consider the many startups building on open source software stacks, such as Start9, Mempool, and Primal, offering premium services on top of the open source software they build out and maintain. Think of companies like Block or Strike, which leverage bitcoin’s open protocol to offer their services on top. These businesses amplify the open software and protocols they build on, driving adoption and improvement at a pace donations alone could never match.
When you combine open software and protocols with profit driven business the result are lean, sustainable companies that grow faster and serve more people than either could alone. Bitcoin’s network, for instance, benefits from businesses that profit off its existence, while nostr will expand as developers monetize apps built on the protocol.
Capitalism scales best because competition results in efficiency. Donation funded protocols and software lay the groundwork, while market driven businesses build on top. The profit incentive acts as a filter, ensuring resources flow to what works, while open systems keep the playing field accessible, empowering users and builders. Together, they create a flywheel of innovation, growth, and global benefit.
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@ c7a8d522:262a74de
2025-06-03 07:16:49Se você está em busca de uma plataforma moderna, confiável e cheia de emoção para se divertir com seus jogos favoritos, a 277Bet é uma excelente escolha. Com um ambiente seguro, diversas opções de entretenimento e um sistema intuitivo, essa plataforma tem se destacado no mercado brasileiro e conquistado cada vez mais usuários que buscam qualidade, diversão e praticidade em um só lugar.
Um Novo Conceito em Entretenimento Digital A 277Bet foi desenvolvida com foco no usuário brasileiro, oferecendo uma interface simples, responsiva e traduzida integralmente para o português. Ao acessar o site, o jogador encontra um ambiente amigável, onde todas as categorias estão bem organizadas, facilitando a navegação mesmo para quem não tem muita experiência com plataformas de jogos online.
Um dos grandes diferenciais da 277beté seu compromisso com a transparência e a segurança. A plataforma conta com tecnologia de criptografia de ponta para proteger os dados dos usuários e utiliza sistemas de verificação modernos para garantir transações financeiras seguras e rápidas.
Diversidade de Jogos para Todos os Gostos No catálogo da 277Bet, é possível encontrar uma ampla variedade de jogos que agradam todos os perfis de jogadores. Entre as opções mais populares, estão as máquinas de giro com temáticas diversas e recursos inovadores, ideais para quem gosta de partidas rápidas e dinâmicas.
Para os fãs de jogos com interatividade ao vivo, a plataforma também oferece experiências em tempo real, onde o jogador pode acompanhar as rodadas, interagir com apresentadores e sentir a adrenalina de cada jogada. Além disso, há opções tradicionais de cartas, roletas virtuais e outros formatos que mantêm o usuário entretido por horas.
A 277Bet também investe constantemente em parcerias com desenvolvedores renomados, garantindo que todos os jogos disponíveis sejam de alta qualidade, com gráficos impressionantes, efeitos sonoros imersivos e excelente jogabilidade tanto em computadores quanto em dispositivos móveis.
Uma Experiência do Usuário que Faz a Diferença Outro ponto forte da 277Bet é o cuidado com a experiência do jogador. Desde o cadastro até o saque dos ganhos, tudo é pensado para ser simples, rápido e eficiente. O processo de registro é descomplicado e leva apenas alguns minutos. Após criar a conta, o usuário já pode fazer seu primeiro depósito com total segurança e começar a explorar as opções de jogos.
O atendimento ao cliente é outro destaque da plataforma. Com suporte disponível em português e atendimento via chat ao vivo, e-mail ou WhatsApp, os jogadores têm a certeza de que serão bem assistidos em qualquer dúvida ou necessidade.
Além disso, a 277Bet oferece promoções atrativas, bônus de boas-vindas e campanhas especiais para usuários frequentes, tornando a experiência ainda mais vantajosa. Tudo isso sem abrir mão da responsabilidade: a plataforma incentiva o jogo consciente e disponibiliza ferramentas de controle de tempo e gastos para os usuários.
Conclusão A 277Bet surge como uma plataforma completa para quem deseja unir diversão, segurança e praticidade em um só lugar. Com uma vasta gama de jogos, interface amigável, suporte eficiente e um sistema de recompensas justo, a experiência do usuário é valorizada em todos os aspectos.
Se você está procurando um novo ambiente online para se entreter, a 277Bet é, sem dúvida, uma das melhores opções do momento. Prepare-se para se divertir com qualidade e emoção, tudo com o conforto de jogar quando e onde quiser.
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-05-13 00:39:56🚀📉 #BTC วิเคราะห์ H2! พุ่งชน 105K แล้วเจอแรงขาย... จับตา FVG 100.5K เป็นจุดวัดใจ! 👀📊
จากากรวิเคราะห์ทางเทคนิคสำหรับ #Bitcoin ในกรอบเวลา H2:
สัปดาห์ที่แล้ว #BTC ได้เบรคและพุ่งขึ้นอย่างแข็งแกร่งค่ะ 📈⚡ แต่เมื่อวันจันทร์ที่ผ่านมา ราคาได้ขึ้นไปชนแนวต้านบริเวณ 105,000 ดอลลาร์ แล้วเจอแรงขายย่อตัวลงมาตลอดทั้งวันค่ะ 🧱📉
ตอนนี้ ระดับที่น่าจับตาอย่างยิ่งคือโซน H4 FVG (Fair Value Gap ในกราฟ 4 ชั่วโมง) ที่ 100,500 ดอลลาร์ ค่ะ 🎯 (FVG คือโซนที่ราคาวิ่งผ่านไปเร็วๆ และมักเป็นบริเวณที่ราคามีโอกาสกลับมาทดสอบ/เติมเต็ม)
👇 โซน FVG ที่ 100.5K นี้ ยังคงเป็น Area of Interest ที่น่าสนใจสำหรับมองหาจังหวะ Long เพื่อลุ้นการขึ้นในคลื่นลูกถัดไปค่ะ!
🤔💡 อย่างไรก็ตาม การตัดสินใจเข้า Long หรือเทรดที่บริเวณนี้ ขึ้นอยู่กับว่าราคา แสดงปฏิกิริยาอย่างไรเมื่อมาถึงโซน 100.5K นี้ เพื่อยืนยันสัญญาณสำหรับการเคลื่อนไหวที่จะขึ้นสูงกว่าเดิมค่ะ!
เฝ้าดู Price Action ที่ระดับนี้อย่างใกล้ชิดนะคะ! 📍
BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #คริปโต #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #FVG #FairValueGap #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis #ลงทุนคริปโต #วิเคราะห์กราฟ #TradeSetup #ข่าวคริปโต #ตลาดคริปโต
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@ 7459d333:f207289b
2025-06-02 18:33:26Here's a cool way to do OCR of any area of your screen and copy the result directly to you clipboard:
shell import png:- | tesseract stdin stdout | xclip -i -selection clipboard
You need
tesseract
andimagemagick
. This works on systems using the X windows system. There's another way to do it in Wayland.https://stacker.news/items/995413
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@ c7a8d522:262a74de
2025-06-03 07:16:17Para os amantes de jogos online que buscam uma plataforma confiável, moderna e recheada de entretenimento, a 9bet99 surge como uma excelente opção no mercado brasileiro. Com um ambiente digital desenvolvido para agradar jogadores iniciantes e experientes, o site oferece uma vasta gama de jogos, bônus atrativos e uma navegação intuitiva que transforma cada sessão em uma experiência única e envolvente.
Uma Plataforma Completa e Segura A 9bet99 se destaca por oferecer uma estrutura sólida e totalmente otimizada para dispositivos móveis e computadores. O site possui sistema de segurança de ponta, garantindo que todos os dados dos usuários estejam protegidos. A interface é clara, objetiva e proporciona fácil acesso às principais seções, como promoções, métodos de pagamento e suporte ao cliente.
Um dos grandes diferenciais da 9bet99é o atendimento ao cliente. Com suporte disponível 24 horas por dia, sete dias por semana, os jogadores têm à disposição uma equipe treinada para esclarecer dúvidas, resolver problemas técnicos e auxiliar em qualquer etapa do processo de jogo ou transações.
Jogos Para Todos os Gostos Na 9bet99, os jogadores encontram uma impressionante variedade de opções para se divertir. Entre os destaques estão os jogos de mesa, slots online, roletas digitais e experiências interativas ao vivo. Cada jogo é fornecido por desenvolvedores reconhecidos internacionalmente, o que garante gráficos de alta qualidade, trilhas sonoras envolventes e jogabilidade justa e equilibrada.
Os slots são uma das principais atrações da plataforma. Disponíveis em diversos estilos e temas, esses jogos combinam animações vibrantes com mecânicas modernas, como rodadas grátis, multiplicadores e jackpots progressivos. Já para quem gosta de jogos com mais estratégia, há várias mesas de pôquer, blackjack e bacará, todas com versões automáticas e ao vivo.
Outro ponto alto da 9bet99 são os jogos ao vivo, nos quais o jogador pode interagir com crupiês reais em tempo real, criando uma atmosfera imersiva e emocionante. Tudo isso com transmissão em alta definição e sem atrasos.
Experiência do Jogador em Primeiro Lugar A 9bet99 foi pensada para oferecer uma experiência fluida e satisfatória desde o primeiro acesso. O cadastro é rápido e simples, permitindo que o jogador comece a explorar os jogos em poucos minutos. A plataforma também conta com promoções constantes, incluindo bônus de boas-vindas, cashback e torneios temáticos, que valorizam ainda mais a participação ativa do jogador.
A facilidade para realizar depósitos e saques é outro ponto que merece destaque. A 9bet99 oferece diversos métodos de pagamento populares no Brasil, como Pix, transferência bancária e carteiras digitais. As transações são rápidas e seguras, o que transmite confiança ao usuário e proporciona tranquilidade ao lidar com valores.
Além disso, a plataforma adota políticas de jogo responsável, com ferramentas que permitem ao usuário controlar seus gastos e manter uma experiência equilibrada e saudável.
Conclusão A 9bet99 é mais do que uma simples plataforma de jogos online — é um ambiente completo, seguro e envolvente que oferece diversão de qualidade, suporte eficiente e jogos para todos os perfis. Com uma combinação de tecnologia avançada, variedade de jogos e foco na experiência do usuário, a 9bet99 se consolida como uma das melhores opções para quem busca entretenimento digital de alto nível no Brasil.
Se você está em busca de emoção, praticidade e recompensas incríveis, a 9bet99 está pronta para te surpreender. Cadastre-se, explore o catálogo e aproveite tudo o que essa plataforma inovadora tem a oferecer!
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@ e2c72a5a:bfacb2ee
2025-06-03 14:37:52While Bitcoin hovers at $105,000, MARA quietly increased its mining production by 35%, now holding 49,179 BTC without selling a single coin. This mining giant's accumulation strategy reveals a counter-intuitive truth about institutional behavior during market volatility – they're not just holding, they're aggressively expanding their positions despite recent liquidations.
The shift in global crypto trading power is happening right under our noses. Asia's trading hours now command nearly 30% of Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana volume, while US market dominance has fallen below 45% for the first time since Trump's election. This geographic redistribution signals a fundamental change in who's driving crypto's future.
Are you positioned for this new reality where mining giants accumulate and market influence shifts eastward? The players building tomorrow's crypto landscape aren't waiting for perfect conditions – they're making strategic moves today while others hesitate.
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@ e2c72a5a:bfacb2ee
2025-06-03 14:14:05Crypto isn't just magic internet money—it's your financial future without the middleman. Unlike traditional banking where someone else controls your cash, crypto puts you in the driver's seat with blockchain technology secretly doing all the heavy lifting. Every transaction gets recorded on thousands of computers simultaneously, making it nearly impossible to hack or manipulate. From Bitcoin's limited supply to stablecoins pegged to real-world currencies, the crypto ecosystem offers something for every financial goal. Yes, prices swing wildly and regulations are still catching up, but that's the price of revolution. The real magic? Anyone with a smartphone can access financial services without a bank's permission. Ready to join the financial rebellion? Start small, learn the basics, and remember—your crypto journey isn't about getting rich overnight, it's about participating in the greatest financial experiment of our lifetime.
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-05-12 04:01:23 -
@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-03 07:03:02When making critical decisions about investments, company acquisitions, or capital deployment, organizations rely on a fundamental tool: the hurdle rate. This is the minimum rate of return that a project or investment must achieve to be considered viable by managers or investors.
The hurdle rate is not just a number — it’s a filter that separates promising opportunities from those that don’t justify the risk.
It acts as a crucial benchmark. If the expected return on an investment falls below the hurdle rate, that opportunity is typically rejected.
Setting this rate involves a careful consideration of several factors, including the company’s cost of capital, specific risk profile, inflation rates, and opportunity cost of allocating resources elsewhere.
In essence, the hurdle rate ensures that only projects with the potential to create real value move forward.
Bitcoin has emerged as a disruptive and compelling candidate for a new kind of hurdle rate in capital allocation. Its unique properties challenge the conventions of traditional finance and invite a new thought pattern of what’s considered an appropriate benchmark.
Bitcoin’s fixed supply (capped at 21 million), and its decentralized, borderless nature makes it fundamentally resistant to inflation and debasement, unlike fiat currencies that can be printed at will by central banks.
Here’s the real question for investors and fund managers: if your portfolio or fund consistently fails to outperform bitcoin, at what point do you simply start allocating to bitcoin instead?
This isn’t rocket science. Over the past decade, bitcoin has not only outperformed traditional assets, but has also redefined what investors should expect as a minimum acceptable rate.
Asset classes comparison since 2013 — Seeking Alpha
The numbers speak for themselves.
From 2013-2023, bitcoin delivered the highest annual return in 8 out of those 11 years. This is not a fluke or a bubble, it’s a decade-long trend that demands attention from anyone serious about capital growth.
Typically, most investment managers use the S&P 500 as their benchmark hurdle rate. Will their potential investment generate more return than the S&P? If not, it’s usually dismissed.
Since 1970, the S&P 500 has provided an average annual return of 10.66%. Investment managers routinely reject ideas that can’t beat this average, recognizing that anything less is not worth the risk or effort.
But what happens when we compare this to bitcoin?
Over the last 10 years, bitcoin’s average annual return has been an astonishing 49%. While it’s unlikely that this rate will persist forever, it’s impossible to ignore the magnitude and consistency of bitcoin’s outperformance.
Bitcoin hasn’t just beat the S&P—it’s outperformed every major asset class, including gold, treasuries, real estate, commodities, and equities.
Of course, past performance isn’t a guarantee of future results. So the question becomes: can bitcoin continue to deliver, and are we ready to use it as a benchmark for investment decisions?
To answer this, it’s essential to understand the underlying forces driving bitcoin’s price appreciation.
Several macroeconomic factors contribute to bitcoin’s rise, including money printing, economic uncertainty, and the ongoing debasement of fiat currencies.
When governments print money or run deficits, confidence in traditional currencies erodes. In such environments, investors naturally seek scarce assets, historically gold, and now increasingly bitcoin.
Consider the current fiscal reality: the United States is burdened with over $36 trillion in national debt, and there’s little indication that the money printing will stop.
This environment only strengthens the case for bitcoin as a store of value and as a benchmark for capital allocation. Bitcoin’s staying power is becoming undeniable.
Those who fail to adapt, risk being left behind. We’re already witnessing the early stages of institutional and corporate adoption, and it’s only a matter of time before bitcoin becomes a standard reference point for hurdle rates across the investment world.
Visionary leaders like Michael Saylor of Strategy, have openly discussed the challenges of outperforming the world’s top companies.
Saylor recognized that if your investment, company, or project cannot reasonably be expected to outperform bitcoin, it may be more rational to simply hold bitcoin itself.
MSTR performance compared to bitcoin, Magnificent 7 and S&P500 — aicoin
In a world where bitcoin has established itself as the premier performing asset, the message is clear: if you can’t beat bitcoin, why not join it?
Just buy bitcoin.
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@ c9badfea:610f861a
2025-05-10 11:08:51- Install FUTO Keyboard (it's free and open source)
- Launch the app, tap Switch Input Methods and select FUTO Keyboard
- For voice input, choose FUTO Keyboard (needs mic permission) and grant permission While Using The App
- Configure keyboard layouts under Languages & Models as needed
Adding Support for Non-English Languages
Voice Input
- Download voice input models from the FUTO Keyboard Add-Ons page
- For languages like Chinese, German, Spanish, Russian, French, Portuguese, Korean, and Japanese, download the Multilingual-74 model
- For other languages, download Multilingual-244
- Open FUTO Keyboard, go to Languages & Models, and import the downloaded model under Voice Input
Dictionaries
- Get dictionary files from AOSP Dictionaries
- Open FUTO Keyboard, navigate to Languages & Models, and import the dictionary under Dictionary
ℹ️ When typing, tap the microphone icon to use voice input
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-05-10 03:57:17Disclaimer: * การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงแนวทาง ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการซื้อขาย * การลงทุนมีความเสี่ยง ผู้ลงทุนควรตัดสินใจด้วยตนเอง
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@ 43aec65f:003ef459
2025-06-03 06:56:24sound
{{|>}} hello world asfdasfd
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@ 0c65eba8:4a08ef9a
2025-06-03 13:55:41As more of us step outside captured institutions and begin to build parallel systems, networks of trade, law, education, and family, we must face a truth most would rather ignore:
People do not crave freedom. They crave legitimate rule.
Freedom without form is chaos. Unbounded liberty invites disintegration.
And yet the traditional institutions, states, churches, families, have failed to govern justly. They are criminalized, parasitized, and collapsing. The bureaucratic nation-state is no longer a source of order. It is a source of predation. And in that vacuum, a new demand has surged.
A demand for rule. A demand for boundaries, clarity, reciprocal authority, and protection from a broken system that no longer safeguards the good, the innocent, or the future.
Those building Network Societies must understand: You are not just building alternatives. You are entering a market. Not just for goods, services, or media, but for governance itself.
There is a massive unmet demand. And if you do not meet it, someone else will.
Governance as a Market Good
There are many misconceptions about where governance comes from.
Some believe it begins with the state. Others with the social contract. The left claims it is built through consensus. The right often believes it arises from tradition. And there are those who believe the state arises from violence, they may be closest to the truth, but the picture is still incomplete. None of these explain why people accept rule in the first place, nor why they desire it even when it is flawed or costly.
One common error is the belief that people desire maximum freedom. Another, more plausible view, is that people want bounded freedom. But even this is incomplete. What people ultimately seek is meaning they can depend on, consequences they can predict, and a moral structure they can build within.
They do not want to drift untethered in a void of infinite choice. They want a world with form, where boundaries make sense, roles have weight, and consequences align with effort.
What they truly desire is rule that reflects their responsibilities and protects their ability to fulfill them.
This creates a universal and underappreciated demand: the demand for governance.
Just as there is a market for food, shelter, and security, there is a market for rule. People trade submission, cooperation, compliance, and trust in exchange for order, protection, and stability. Governance is not just imposed; it is purchased, voluntarily, unconsciously, and often desperately.
Projecting Libertinism
Libertines, who desire maximum autonomy and zero constraint, project their impulses onto the population at large. But most people do not want chaos. They want the burden of constant decision-making reduced. They want to avoid harm, not just physical harm, but moral and reputational hazard, existential drift, and social disintegration. Rules are not oppressive to them; they are reassuring.
What the libertine ideal refuses to admit is that it is parasitic. It cannot reproduce itself. It depends on healthy, rule-bound societies to generate the social capital, structure, and offspring it needs to survive. Once those host systems collapse, so does the libertine fantasy.
Network societies that attempt to adopt a libertine model will inherit the same sterility, fragmentation, and collapse. If your aim is to build a durable polity, you must reject the false promise of unlimited autonomy and embrace the truth: healthy governance is not the enemy of freedom. It is its prerequisite.
Rule as a Service
People want to know what to do, what’s expected, and what will happen if they comply. They do not want to reinvent reality with every decision. They want to inhabit a world where the moral and social structure is clear enough to act with confidence and build with others.
This is what rule provides: a substrate of meaning, predictability, and consequence.
And because there is always demand for rule, there will always be someone ruling. The only question is: Will they be wise or foolish? Benevolent or corrupt? Clear-minded or captured?
Freedom Is Not the Goal, Sovereignty Is
Many network societies never take root, because they aim to maximize freedom, not cultivate sovereignty. But freedom that is not bounded by duty will collapse under its own weight.
Below, we will outline the essential sequence required for any polity to form or survive:
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Agency: the development of individual capacity to carry responsibility.
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Federation: the uniting of high-agency men to accomplish what no one man can achieve alone.
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Sovereignty: the collective defense of duty against outside interference, creating the foundation for legitimate rule.
Why Men Develop Agency
From first principles, we know that life exists to persist and propagate. For men, this means securing the resources, relationships, and authority necessary to protect, provide, and lead. To fulfill these roles, men must act. They must take responsibility. They must overcome internal and external resistance.
Agency is the capacity to do so.
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Agency is the ability to choose action over passivity.
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It is the will to shape outcomes, not just endure them.
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It grows in men who accept the burden of responsibility and reject the sedation of comfort.
Men develop agency because they must. A man without agency cannot protect a woman, raise a child, or defend the good. He becomes prey. Or worse—irrelevant.
Agency is not a luxury. It is a precondition for moral adulthood.
From Agency to Federation
Once a man develops agency, he discovers its limits. There are tasks too great for one man alone. There are enemies too large, duties too heavy, consequences too far-reaching. So he seeks brothers, other men who have also chosen responsibility over freedom.
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High-agency men federate to fulfill obligations they cannot meet alone.
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Together, they strip power from outsiders who would interfere with their duties.
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They generate sovereignty through the shared will to defend what is theirs.
This is how legitimate rule begins, not from a throne or a vote, but from men who refuse to be stopped from doing what must be done.
Case Study: The Sexual Marketplace
The sexual revolution did not liberate anyone, it removed the structure that once made sex intelligible and reciprocal. It dismantled the social systems that governed courtship, fidelity, and family.
Parents, churches, extended kin networks, and the law once enforced norms that reduced chaos and protected the vulnerable. These were not arbitrary traditions, they were governance mechanisms. They ensured that sex was tied to meaning, and mating to responsibility.
Once these were removed, what replaced them was not freedom, but a deregulated market.
And like all deregulated markets, it produced predators and casualties.
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Divorce soared.
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Marriage collapsed.
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Depression, anxiety, inceldom, feminism, and sterility rose.
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Families disintegrated.
The result was not a paradise of pleasure. It was a battlefield of brokenness.
People do not want an unregulated sexual marketplace. They want rules, reciprocal rules.
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Rules that make mating, marriage, and parenting intelligible and achievable.
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Rules that reduce sexual risk and reward long-term investment.
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Rules that allow ordinary people, not just the elite, to succeed in family formation.
Sex is not exempt from governance. It is the domain most in need of it.
If your network society does not establish rule in this and other domains, it will collapse here as surely as the old world did.
The Cost of Libertinism
The cost of libertine ideology, whether in the sexual marketplace, the economic order, or the dissolution of cultural authority, is always externalized. It is never borne by the ideology’s advocates. It is absorbed by children, women, men, and the elderly. It atomizes society, collapses fertility, destroys intergenerational trust, and hollows out every domain where long-term responsibility once ruled.
In sex, it turns mating into a competitive bloodsport. In economics, it creates a class of hollow consumers and debt slaves. In culture, it erodes reverence, loyalty, and the transmission of wisdom. Only the most genetically or socially advantaged win. Everyone else suffers.
If your network society does not include rule in this domain, the same collapse will come. Sex is not exempt from governance. It is the domain most in need of it.
Restoring Reciprocity in Courtship and Family
To rebuild civilization, we must re-regulate the sexual marketplace, just as we re-regulate economies after financial crises. We must restore incentives for long-term mating, simplify expectations, and reward contribution over consumption. That means:
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Moral and legal constraints on sexual behavior
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Promotion of courtship norms and family formation
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Disincentives for single parenthood and non-reciprocal mating
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Restoration of intergenerational involvement in match-making
This is not oppression. This is civilizational maintenance. And it is in demand.
The Next Twenty Years: Collapse and Snapback
If current trends continue, delayed marriage, declining birthrates, rising male disengagement, and chronic female dissatisfaction, the sexual market will continue to fragment. We can expect:
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Widening inequality in sexual access, leading to greater violence and social alienation
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Further collapse of marriage and fertility, deepening demographic winter
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A decline in trust between sexes, increasing ideological polarization
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Institutional and cultural dysfunction from lack of family formation and civic stability
This trajectory will only reverse when the cost of libertinism becomes unbearable. As with every failed market, collapse precedes reform. When loneliness, sterility, and disintegration reach peak pain, society will snap back.
Network societies that endure will be those that anticipate this reversal, and build for what comes after collapse.
The Snapback: A Regulated Future
Some of what follows may seem impossible to imagine now, because you are judging possibility through the lens of current incentives. But incentives change. And when they do, so does what is possible, what is probable, and what, in hindsight, was inevitable.
This corrective phase may include:
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Cultural glorification of family, motherhood, fatherhood, and legacy
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Legal structures favoring early marriage, long-term commitment, and paternity assurance
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Technological and institutional match-making with community or parental validation
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Harsh disincentives for promiscuity, adultery, and abandonment
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Integration of religious or pseudo-religious moral systems to stabilize social roles
In essence, the pendulum will swing back toward constraint. Not out of nostalgia, but necessity.
The family will be re-centered, not as a preference, but as a precondition of survival.
And civilization will either enforce this change, or cease to exist.
Conclusion: Rule or Be Ruled
There is a massive, unmet market demand for governance, not only in economics or law, but in mating, marriage, culture, and meaning. People want to be ruled, but justly, predictably, and reciprocally. The failure to meet that demand has produced civilizational decay.
Meeting it is the key to renewal.
To those building network societies: do not chase freedom. Build rule. Build legitimacy. Build trust. And in doing so, you will become sovereign.
If this message resonates with you, and you understand that reform doesn’t come from complaint but from construction, reach out. I’m assembling a cadre of capable young men ready to work, learn, and lead.
This is not coaching. This is not a sales pitch. This is not a cult. It’s a startup for civilizational restoration. I’m offering mentorship, training, and a place in something real. In return, I require reciprocity: your time, effort, and loyalty to the mission.
You will receive help getting your own life in order. You will be given meaningful tasks. And you will be expected to contribute to a team dedicated to building what must replace the collapsing world around us.
If you're ready to put your shoulder to the wheel, if you understand that leadership is not a title but a function, then reach out. Let's begin building the institutional scaffolding for the next era, together.
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@ c1e9ab3a:9cb56b43
2025-05-09 23:10:14I. Historical Foundations of U.S. Monetary Architecture
The early monetary system of the United States was built atop inherited commodity money conventions from Europe’s maritime economies. Silver and gold coins—primarily Spanish pieces of eight, Dutch guilders, and other foreign specie—formed the basis of colonial commerce. These units were already integrated into international trade and piracy networks and functioned with natural compatibility across England, France, Spain, and Denmark. Lacking a centralized mint or formal currency, the U.S. adopted these forms de facto.
As security risks and the practical constraints of physical coinage mounted, banks emerged to warehouse specie and issue redeemable certificates. These certificates evolved into fiduciary media—claims on specie not actually in hand. Banks observed over time that substantial portions of reserves remained unclaimed for years. This enabled fractional reserve banking: issuing more claims than reserves held, so long as redemption demand stayed low. The practice was inherently unstable, prone to panics and bank runs, prompting eventual centralization through the formation of the Federal Reserve in 1913.
Following the Civil War and unstable reinstatements of gold convertibility, the U.S. sought global monetary stability. After World War II, the Bretton Woods system formalized the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency. The dollar was nominally backed by gold, but most international dollars were held offshore and recycled into U.S. Treasuries. The Nixon Shock of 1971 eliminated the gold peg, converting the dollar into pure fiat. Yet offshore dollar demand remained, sustained by oil trade mandates and the unique role of Treasuries as global reserve assets.
II. The Structure of Fiduciary Media and Treasury Demand
Under this system, foreign trade surpluses with the U.S. generate excess dollars. These surplus dollars are parked in U.S. Treasuries, thereby recycling trade imbalances into U.S. fiscal liquidity. While technically loans to the U.S. government, these purchases act like interest-only transfers—governments receive yield, and the U.S. receives spendable liquidity without principal repayment due in the short term. Debt is perpetually rolled over, rarely extinguished.
This creates an illusion of global subsidy: U.S. deficits are financed via foreign capital inflows that, in practice, function more like financial tribute systems than conventional debt markets. The underlying asset—U.S. Treasury debt—functions as the base reserve asset of the dollar system, replacing gold in post-Bretton Woods monetary logic.
III. Emergence of Tether and the Parastatal Dollar
Tether (USDT), as a private issuer of dollar-denominated tokens, mimics key central bank behaviors while operating outside the regulatory perimeter. It mints tokens allegedly backed 1:1 by U.S. dollars or dollar-denominated securities (mostly Treasuries). These tokens circulate globally, often in jurisdictions with limited banking access, and increasingly serve as synthetic dollar substitutes.
If USDT gains dominance as the preferred medium of exchange—due to technological advantages, speed, programmability, or access—it displaces Federal Reserve Notes (FRNs) not through devaluation, but through functional obsolescence. Gresham’s Law inverts: good money (more liquid, programmable, globally transferable USDT) displaces bad (FRNs) even if both maintain a nominal 1:1 parity.
Over time, this preference translates to a systemic demand shift. Actors increasingly use Tether instead of FRNs, especially in global commerce, digital marketplaces, or decentralized finance. Tether tokens effectively become shadow base money.
IV. Interaction with Commercial Banking and Redemption Mechanics
Under traditional fractional reserve systems, commercial banks issue loans denominated in U.S. dollars, expanding the money supply. When borrowers repay loans, this destroys the created dollars and contracts monetary elasticity. If borrowers repay in USDT instead of FRNs:
- Banks receive a non-Fed liability (USDT).
- USDT is not recognized as reserve-eligible within the Federal Reserve System.
- Banks must either redeem USDT for FRNs, or demand par-value conversion from Tether to settle reserve requirements and balance their books.
This places redemption pressure on Tether and threatens its 1:1 peg under stress. If redemption latency, friction, or cost arises, USDT’s equivalence to FRNs is compromised. Conversely, if banks are permitted or compelled to hold USDT as reserve or regulatory capital, Tether becomes a de facto reserve issuer.
In this scenario, banks may begin demanding loans in USDT, mirroring borrower behavior. For this to occur sustainably, banks must secure Tether liquidity. This creates two options: - Purchase USDT from Tether or on the secondary market, collateralized by existing fiat. - Borrow USDT directly from Tether, using bank-issued debt as collateral.
The latter mirrors Federal Reserve discount window operations. Tether becomes a lender of first resort, providing monetary elasticity to the banking system by creating new tokens against promissory assets—exactly how central banks function.
V. Structural Consequences: Parallel Central Banking
If Tether begins lending to commercial banks, issuing tokens backed by bank notes or collateralized debt obligations: - Tether controls the expansion of broad money through credit issuance. - Its balance sheet mimics a central bank, with Treasuries and bank debt as assets and tokens as liabilities. - It intermediates between sovereign debt and global liquidity demand, replacing the Federal Reserve’s open market operations with its own issuance-redemption cycles.
Simultaneously, if Tether purchases U.S. Treasuries with FRNs received through token issuance, it: - Supplies the Treasury with new liquidity (via bond purchases). - Collects yield on government debt. - Issues a parallel form of U.S. dollars that never require redemption—an interest-only loan to the U.S. government from a non-sovereign entity.
In this context, Tether performs monetary functions of both a central bank and a sovereign wealth fund, without political accountability or regulatory transparency.
VI. Endgame: Institutional Inversion and Fed Redundancy
This paradigm represents an institutional inversion:
- The Federal Reserve becomes a legacy issuer.
- Tether becomes the operational base money provider in both retail and interbank contexts.
- Treasuries remain the foundational reserve asset, but access to them is mediated by a private intermediary.
- The dollar persists, but its issuer changes. The State becomes a fiscal agent of a decentralized financial ecosystem, not its monetary sovereign.
Unless the Federal Reserve reasserts control—either by absorbing Tether, outlawing its instruments, or integrating its tokens into the reserve framework—it risks becoming irrelevant in the daily function of money.
Tether, in this configuration, is no longer a derivative of the dollar—it is the dollar, just one level removed from sovereign control. The future of monetary sovereignty under such a regime is post-national and platform-mediated.
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@ 06639a38:655f8f71
2025-06-02 18:23:34You might notice the styling of this site has changed. That's because I've made a custom Drupal theme using TailwindCSS and daisyUI. For these CSS frameworks / components I've also seperate Drupal theme everyone could use:
https://www.drupal.org/project/tailwind_css
https://www.drupal.org/project/daisy_uiWhat else?
- Wrote my third OpenSats progress report, read it here
- Added Nostr-PHP RelayListMetadata class (NIP-65) and tests, see PR
- Added Nostr-PHP PersistentConnection class and tests, see PR
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@ d61f3bc5:0da6ef4a
2025-05-06 01:37:28I remember the first gathering of Nostr devs two years ago in Costa Rica. We were all psyched because Nostr appeared to solve the problem of self-sovereign online identity and decentralized publishing. The protocol seemed well-suited for textual content, but it wasn't really designed to handle binary files, like images or video.
The Problem
When I publish a note that contains an image link, the note itself is resilient thanks to Nostr, but if the hosting service disappears or takes my image down, my note will be broken forever. We need a way to publish binary data without relying on a single hosting provider.
We were discussing how there really was no reliable solution to this problem even outside of Nostr. Peer-to-peer attempts like IPFS simply didn't work; they were hopelessly slow and unreliable in practice. Torrents worked for popular files like movies, but couldn't be relied on for general file hosting.
Awesome Blossom
A year later, I attended the Sovereign Engineering demo day in Madeira, organized by Pablo and Gigi. Many projects were presented over a three hour demo session that day, but one really stood out for me.
Introduced by hzrd149 and Stu Bowman, Blossom blew my mind because it showed how we can solve complex problems easily by simply relying on the fact that Nostr exists. Having an open user directory, with the corresponding social graph and web of trust is an incredible building block.
Since we can easily look up any user on Nostr and read their profile metadata, we can just get them to simply tell us where their files are stored. This, combined with hash-based addressing (borrowed from IPFS), is all we need to solve our problem.
How Blossom Works
The Blossom protocol (Blobs Stored Simply on Mediaservers) is formally defined in a series of BUDs (Blossom Upgrade Documents). Yes, Blossom is the most well-branded protocol in the history of protocols. Feel free to refer to the spec for details, but I will provide a high level explanation here.
The main idea behind Blossom can be summarized in three points:
- Users specify which media server(s) they use via their public Blossom settings published on Nostr;
- All files are uniquely addressable via hashes;
- If an app fails to load a file from the original URL, it simply goes to get it from the server(s) specified in the user's Blossom settings.
Just like Nostr itself, the Blossom protocol is dead-simple and it works!
Let's use this image as an example:
If you look at the URL for this image, you will notice that it looks like this:
blossom.primal.net/c1aa63f983a44185d039092912bfb7f33adcf63ed3cae371ebe6905da5f688d0.jpg
All Blossom URLs follow this format:
[server]/[file-hash].[extension]
The file hash is important because it uniquely identifies the file in question. Apps can use it to verify that the file they received is exactly the file they requested. It also gives us the ability to reliably get the same file from a different server.
Nostr users declare which media server(s) they use by publishing their Blossom settings. If I store my files on Server A, and they get removed, I can simply upload them to Server B, update my public Blossom settings, and all Blossom-capable apps will be able to find them at the new location. All my existing notes will continue to display media content without any issues.
Blossom Mirroring
Let's face it, re-uploading files to another server after they got removed from the original server is not the best user experience. Most people wouldn't have the backups of all the files, and/or the desire to do this work.
This is where Blossom's mirroring feature comes handy. In addition to the primary media server, a Blossom user can set one one or more mirror servers. Under this setup, every time a file is uploaded to the primary server the Nostr app issues a mirror request to the primary server, directing it to copy the file to all the specified mirrors. This way there is always a copy of all content on multiple servers and in case the primary becomes unavailable, Blossom-capable apps will automatically start loading from the mirror.
Mirrors are really easy to setup (you can do it in two clicks in Primal) and this arrangement ensures robust media handling without any central points of failure. Note that you can use professional media hosting services side by side with self-hosted backup servers that anyone can run at home.
Using Blossom Within Primal
Blossom is natively integrated into the entire Primal stack and enabled by default. If you are using Primal 2.2 or later, you don't need to do anything to enable Blossom, all your media uploads are blossoming already.
To enhance user privacy, all Primal apps use the "/media" endpoint per BUD-05, which strips all metadata from uploaded files before they are saved and optionally mirrored to other Blossom servers, per user settings. You can use any Blossom server as your primary media server in Primal, as well as setup any number of mirrors:
## Conclusion
For such a simple protocol, Blossom gives us three major benefits:
- Verifiable authenticity. All Nostr notes are always signed by the note author. With Blossom, the signed note includes a unique hash for each referenced media file, making it impossible to falsify.
- File hosting redundancy. Having multiple live copies of referenced media files (via Blossom mirroring) greatly increases the resiliency of media content published on Nostr.
- Censorship resistance. Blossom enables us to seamlessly switch media hosting providers in case of censorship.
Thanks for reading; and enjoy! 🌸
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@ e2c72a5a:bfacb2ee
2025-06-03 12:36:26The code that changes everything: Smart contracts, NFTs, and the digital asset revolution
Smart contracts are like digital vending machines for agreements – insert conditions, get automatic results, no middlemen needed. They're self-executing code living on blockchains that enforce rules without human intervention, creating trustless transactions where the code itself guarantees execution.
Unlike traditional contracts requiring lawyers and notaries, smart contracts execute automatically when predefined conditions are met. They're transparent (anyone can inspect the code), immutable (can't be changed once deployed), and deterministic (same input always produces same output).
NFTs take this technology further by creating unique digital assets. While cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are fungible (one equals another), NFTs represent ownership of specific digital items – art, music, virtual real estate – with blockchain-verified authenticity and provenance.
The applications extend far beyond digital art. Smart contracts power decentralized finance (DeFi), allowing peer-to-peer lending without banks. They're revolutionizing supply chains by tracking products from factory to consumer. In real estate, they're automating property transfers and enabling fractional ownership. Gaming worlds use NFTs for truly player-owned assets.
Creating your own smart contract requires choosing a platform (Ethereum, Solana, etc.), learning a programming language like Solidity, and understanding security best practices. One vulnerability can lead to massive losses – as seen in hacks like The DAO, where $60 million was stolen through a code flaw.
The environmental impact remains controversial, with proof-of-work blockchains consuming significant energy. However, many platforms are transitioning to more efficient proof-of-stake systems.
As this technology matures, we're seeing cross-chain interoperability, integration with AI and IoT, and increasing mainstream adoption. The future points toward a world where digital ownership is as natural as physical ownership, and agreements execute themselves without intermediaries.
The revolution isn't just technological – it's reshaping how we think about ownership, trust, and value in the digital age.
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@ 2769f6ba:8dac44e4
2025-06-03 06:46:33I am feeling that the issue runs deeper. Science has been hijacked by the state, so I find the post-truth thing as a meme that rejects the corruption of science. Unfortunately, those hippies are throwing the baby with the bathwater in the process. But I see legitimate issues that need to be acknowledged if we want to reach out to those post-truth hippies.
For example, in my opinion:
The issue is not with 5G, but with this:
- Not wanting to be “bathed” 24/7 in waves of higher frequency (3 to 30 GHz). I understand the fear and skepticism on this.
- The push towards so-called “smart cities”, which are more like surveillance-cities. Granted, those technologies will bring benefits, but I see an issue with a top-down planned system controlled by the state and its contractors rather than a more organic system, with participation from many actors and little central planning. Of course, politicians and “experts” are always trying to link together smart-cities with 5G as if they must go together.
- The state is appropriating the radio spectrum and renting most of it to its cronies from the telecom companies, while it only leaves tiny scraps for open use by the population.
The issue is not with vaccines, but with this:
- pushing forced vaccination under the guise of “science”.
- an ever-growing list of both mandatory and “recommended” vaccines, some of them for diseases that are just an inconvenience and definitely not life-threatening.
I feel it must be acknowledged that the state has hijacked science, in the same way that the church has always hijacked spirituality. So, just telling those hippies that they have to trust science because facts and because the “experts” say so, won’t cut it anymore. A different approach is needed.
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@ c9badfea:610f861a
2025-05-06 00:36:40- Install Image Toolbox (it's free and open source)
- Open the app, then go to the Tools tab
- Select Checksum Tools
- Navigate to the Compare tab
- Choose the SHA-256 algorithm
- Pick the file to verify
- Enter the expected hash into the Checksum To Compare field
- A "Match!" message confirms successful verification
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@ c9badfea:610f861a
2025-05-05 20:16:29- Install PocketPal (it's free and open source)
- Launch the app, open the menu, and navigate to Models
- Download one or more models (e.g. Phi, Llama, Qwen)
- Once downloaded, tap Load to start chatting
ℹ️ Experiment with different models and their quantizations (Q4, Q6, Q8, etc.) to find the most suitable one
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@ e2c72a5a:bfacb2ee
2025-06-03 11:51:31The crypto revolution isn't just about digital money anymore—it's becoming the backbone of AI's future. While most people see these as separate technologies, they're actually perfect partners solving each other's biggest problems. AI needs decentralized data, transparent decision-making, and secure identity verification—all things crypto excels at. Meanwhile, crypto apps desperately need better user experiences, which AI can deliver through intuitive interfaces and personalized guidance.
AI agents—smart programs that act on your behalf—are already managing crypto wallets worth hundreds of thousands of dollars. Unlike traditional bots that require coding knowledge, these agents understand natural language and make decisions based on your preferences. They're becoming the missing link between complex blockchain systems and everyday users.
The most exciting developments are happening in three key areas: decentralized data marketplaces that reward users for sharing high-quality information; distributed computing networks that make AI processing more affordable; and blockchain verification systems that combat deepfakes by tracking content creation. Projects like Sentient, Near, and Sahara are building infrastructure that makes AI more accessible while ensuring creators get properly compensated.
Don't fall for the misconception that crypto is just speculative gambling while AI is serious technology—they're increasingly inseparable. The future belongs to applications that combine both, creating experiences that are both powerful and user-friendly. Are you ready to participate in this convergence, or will you miss the opportunity to shape how these technologies transform our digital lives?