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Author:塔林·克里斯滕森（Taryn Christiansen）,DoraHacks

摘要：本文探讨了人工智能和自动化的未来。在考虑了关于人工智能和自动化是否有益的各种观点后，文章提出，如果工作（work）作为一项社会制度变得基本过时，就需要一种新的黑客范式，以提供“质性（qualitatively）丰富机会”，让人们能够行使其能动性（agency）。也就是说，由于工作在人类发展中起着根本性作用，需要其他机会来填补这一空缺。本文主张，开源生态系统（open source ecosystems）对于实现这一目标至关重要。文章接着认为，像谷歌和亚马逊这样的潜在AI垄断者，将缩小人们在瞬息万变的经济中找到有意义的工作的空间。

Part 1

自动化的浪潮无疑正在到来。人类劳动将迅速贬值。人工智能已经取得了巨大的进展，并且，随着许多创新降低了成本，越来越多的企业将能够整合这一技术。随着生产模式、资本和供应链越来越多地实现自动化，生产力和效率将加速发展。

问题是，这是否是好事。答案五花八门。从末世论者如埃利泽·尤德科夫斯基（Eliezer Yudkowsky）[1] 和罗曼·扬波尔斯基（Roman Yampolskiy）[2] 等人认为，人工智能有潜力——并最终将——消灭人类物种。人类将远远不如未来的人工智能高效，因此，当通用人工智能（AGI）得以实现时，智能机器很容易得出结论：人类消耗太多，世界没有人类会更好。然后是怀疑论者，如马克斯·泰格马克（Max Tegmark）[3]，他认为应该暂停人工智能的发展，以便更好地将其与人类利益对齐。“只有当我们确信其影响将是积极的、其风险可控时，才应开发强大的人工智能系统[4]。 ”再者，也有技术乐观主义者，如马克·安德森（Mark Andreessen）[5]、萨姆·奥特曼（Sam Altman）[6]和雷·库兹韦尔（Ray Kurzweil）[7]，他们主张人工智能将带来物质上的丰盈乌托邦。发展应该加速，监管者应当退让，未来将带来经济增长、生产力提高和生活水平的惊人提升。

在这里很难做出具体的预测。不同立场的人常常以某种“不可避免性”的口气宣扬他们的观点。安德森是乐观主义最著名的主张者之一，他坚信由快速技术进步所带来的未来将是每一代人梦寐以求的那种未来。将会有具备无限同情心和耐心的人工智能导师，使教育更加普及和易获取；医疗行业将大幅提升，提供更好的预测并减少错误；机器人可以执行危险的工作，从而让人们追求自己的愿望。经济效益也将是巨大的。由于生产成本的降低，价格将更低，人们的钱将有更强的购买力，需求将增加，新的工作岗位将被创造，工资也将提高。他主张这一观点的主要论据是历史先例。每次有新技术革命到来时，社会总会从中获得净效益（net good）。十九世纪石油工业的形成之前，鲸鱼行业雇用了成千上万的工人。石油取代了这些工作，但也消除了依赖屠杀成千上万头鲸鱼来制造日常产品的需求。汽车威胁了许多行业，但当它成为普遍拥有的财产时，突然之间，需要更多的道路、桥梁和加油站来满足需求。虽然将会有自动化，人工智能将以良好的成果充斥世界，赋予经济前所未有的机会，让人们找到工作、积累财富，并利用人工智能所创造的价值。

然而，人工智能不同于以往的技术发展。人工智能是一种智能的进步和普及，而不仅仅是机械化的进步。库兹韦尔写道：“第一次工业革命扩展了我们身体的能力，第二次则扩展了我们思想的能力。”但是，一种新变量意味着结果的不同。人工智能能够学习、适应、生成、发现、反驳、怀疑、确认、设定目标，能够制定手段，也许有一天它会拥有意志并感知情感。它变得越来越具能动性（agentic）和自主性（autonomous），能够承担和完成通过它自身流程所生成的任务。如果它现在还没有具备能动性，那目标是让它达到这一点。仅仅基于先前经验得出的预测可能是一种范畴错误，容易导致误导和错误。当然，过去的技术形式与人工智能之间存在重叠，但它们之间有一个明确的区别，并且这种区别应该指导我们的预测。

另一方面，末世论者的观点并不具备很大的现实意义。那些通常潜藏在末世论者警告背后的“终结者”般的情景是不太可能发生的。尽管正如埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）[8]最近在《乔·罗根播客》（The Joe Rogan Podcast）上所言，如果嵌入了错误的目标，也许像“太空奥德赛（Space Odyssey）”系列作品中的HAL 9000那样的情景[9]是可能的。考虑到DeepSeek公司最近在降低计算成本方面的进展，该公司开发的AI模型已具有与美国最先进的模型竞争的水平，一场新的竞赛已经宣告开始，事情将会加速发展。美国副总统在人工智能行动峰会上的讲话清楚地表明了这一点。当前存在着一场争夺国际技术主导地位的竞争，这将塑造未来，发展速度的减缓等同于举白旗。因此，如果对安德森的主张有任何可行的反对意见，那也必须集中在如何引导技术发展，而非停止它。这应当为关于自动化的讨论提供启示：如何最好地引导自动化以避免不良结果？我们需要一种积极主动的方式。

Section 1.1

安德森对自动化的乐观态度存在一个问题，那就是他过于确定新工作机会会得到足够的分配，供人们享受并加以利用。问题在于，经济正变得越来越依赖知识和信息。知识和信息的比重远远超过了体力劳动，而在市场上能够取得成功的人是那些拥有相关技能的人，这些技能需要通过教育和培训来获得。正如托马斯·皮凯蒂（Thomas Piketty）[10]在其《21世纪资本论》（Capital in the Twenty-First Century）一书中所观察到的，这是一个普遍的经济趋势，“趋同（即减少和限制不平等）的主要动力是知识的传播和对培训与技能的投资。”因此，随着经济日益依赖知识，那些没有相关技能或安全保障的失业工人将处于严重的不利地位。而那些拥有相关知识、技能和信息的人则更有优势，能够投资资本并增加财富。例如，即便经济增长和生产成本降低，那些没有技能的人将看到工资停滞不前。但是，假设由于生产成本降低，消费者的购买力增强，需求可能会上升，如果供应无法迅速满足这一需求，价格可能会随之上涨，从而引发需求拉动型通货膨胀。关键在于，经济和生产力增长可能无法自然应对的变量和情境。正如皮凯蒂所说，“没有自然、自发的过程能够防止不稳定、不平等的力量永久占据主导地位。”因此，必须采取积极的应对策略，来避开那些可能会导致漂浮在经济表面上的大量船只沉没的尖锐岩石。

在杰里米·里夫金（Jeremy Rifkin）[11]的《工作的终结》（The End of Work）一书中，他采用了更加严峻的语气：“（下一个）工业革命正迫使全球经济面临空前的危机，数百万人因技术创新失业，全球购买力急剧下降。”而埃里克·布林约尔松（Erik Brynjolfsson）[12]和安德鲁·麦卡菲（Andre McAfee）[13]在《第二次机器时代》（The Second Machine Age）[14]一书中提供了充分的理由，认为里夫金的观点具有一定的道理。他们认为，经济增长所带来的回报（bounty）——即通过较少的投入产生更多的产出，使商品更加便宜、更加易得，从而改善人们生活——并没有通过财富、收入和资本的分配，使每个人都被惠及而受益。换句话说，“科技进步的浪潮可能并不会使所有船只都得以提升。”例如，在上文提到的技能差距上，“自1970年代中期以来，拥有研究生学位的人的工资上涨了约25%，而高中辍学者的平均工资则下降了30%。”尽管自20世纪中期以来，美国GDP和经济生产力呈现“令人印象深刻的轨迹”，但该国的中位数收入却在下降，表明少数人正在获得好处，而大多数人却错失了机会：自里根时代以来，贫富差距不断扩大。布鲁金斯学会的这篇文章[15]也支持这一观点。

然而，也许这些观点的实际含义被错误的同情心所误导。尽管不平等的确存在，但这并不意味着它应该被视为最主要的关注变量。再次强调，技术创新使商品变得异常便宜，使人们的生活更加轻松、生活水平更高，并且通过提供更多商品、服务、信息和知识的可获取性，来满足人们的需求和愿望，从而让日常生活更便利。尽管财富分配可能存在不平等，但其整体增长使每个人都变得更好。而且，随着财富的进一步增长，这一趋势将持续。曾经只有富人能够负担得起的东西，如今大多数人都可以买得起。比如iPhone，它能提供比所有现存图书馆更多的信息，而历史上，只有最富有的人才能使用后者，而几乎任何人都能购买前者。欧洲最大的图书馆是1481年的梵蒂冈图书馆，馆内估计有三千五百本书籍和文献。ChatGPT估计，如果将网上的信息转化为书籍大小的量，将约合467千万亿本书。看看农业的发展。当经济学家米尔顿·弗里德曼（Milton Friedman）在1980年写《选择的自由》（Free to Choose）时，他写道，在《独立宣言》被签署的时代，“每20个工人中就需要有19个（从事农业劳动），以养活这个国家的居民，以及提供生产盈余以供出口，来交换外国商品。如今，只需要每20个工人中的不到1个工人，就能养活2.2亿美国居民，并提供生产盈余使美国成为世界上最大的食品出口国。”

彼得·蒂尔（Peter Theil）[16]常常宣称，问题是技术创新停滞，而不是与福利项目或分配模式相关的道德失败。科学和技术需要突破，以转变行业并提高生活标准。人工智能的智能革命，理应能够实现这一潜力。因此，也许最好是直接放手不管。专注于特定分配模式的公平或正义，就像尼采所说的那样，是一种“坏良心（bad-conscience）”——以被认为的集体利益为代价而追求个人利益时所体验到的罪疚感，但实际上，这种感受只会阻碍进步，而非推动它。真正和最好的目标，可以说是努力创新并创造推动历史发展的价值，这就像亚当·斯密（Adam Smith）[17]的“看不见的手”的隐喻一样，自然地调和了人们的自利。正如米尔顿·弗里德曼所说，“对于促使个人之间合作，进而使得每个个人都可以从合作中受益的状态而言，没有外部力量是必要的，没有对自由的侵犯是必要的。这就是为什么正如亚当·斯密所说的，‘只关心自身利益’的个人会‘被一只隐形之手引导，以推动一种与他的意图无关的目标’。”

Section 1.2

关于经济增长是否足以改善长期的福祉和生活水平的问题，存在着高度争议。这个问题显然在这里无法解决。然而，提到这一点的目的是为了表明两种观点都具有正确性。个人在市场上追求自己的利益，像价格和工资这样的变量通过人们的自愿交换达成平衡，已经带来了巨大的成果。但差距也随之产生。 自动化是一个潜在的威胁。忽视它并声称它是危言耸听是一个错误。在可能的人工智能颠覆之后，某种形式的平衡达成之前，过渡期可能是复杂的，并且可能造成不必要的痛苦，如果事先处理，这些痛苦本可以避免。革命性的新技术可能既有好的一面，也有坏的一面。例如，十五世纪的印刷术使人们摆脱了教会强加的信息控制，催生了科学文献涌现的浪潮，为文明提供了巨大的价值。但它也导致了激烈而血腥的宗教战争，因为它允许人们传播各种信息。因此，为了避免类似的结果，在实施任何能够重新安排和重组社会经济安排的技术时，采取主动的方式非常重要。

从这里出发，通常的推论是，监管措施是应对这些可能性最好的手段。但与其满足于监管，正如马克·安德森在拜登政府执政期间警告的那样，监管会导致人工智能垄断，本文将力图支持自由市场中的自愿交换，同时促进必要的社会合作，帮助人们适应并在一个越来越不依赖于人力资本的经济中发挥作用。

本文的担忧是人们失去行使自身能动性（agency）的机会，从而无法拥有对自己的生活的控制（control）感和影响（influence）感。如果大量的人失去参与工作的机会，将会出现一条鸿沟，阻挡人们在世界中通常实现自己潜力的方式。他们将不再有机会在关键的社会领域做出具有深远影响的生活选择，这些选择需要谨慎和远见。人们将失去测试自我、发现天性的倾向和兴趣、辨认自己重视的事物以及行使选择去追求它的机会。社会中培养毅力、动机和个人意志的主要机会将会丧失。如果工作将主要被自动化替代，那么需要一个新的机会媒介来取而代之。作为社会制度的工作需要进步，并保持人们成长和发展的途径。

20世纪的自由主义哲学家约翰·杜威（John Dewey）写道：“正如感觉需要可感知的对象来刺激它们，我们的观察、回忆和想象能力也不是自发工作的，而是由当前社会活动所设定的需求激发。”像教育和工作这样的社会环境提供了刺激特定能力和功能所需的活动媒介，这些能力和功能需要完成定义活动的任务。人们常常争论说，自动化将使人们摆脱繁琐和机械的工作束缚。他们将有更多时间寻找新的方式来表达自己的需求，并最终实现工作一直阻碍他们实现的目标。人们将有自由去实现自己的潜力。但这一切不会自发发生。需要有能激发实现真正自由、意义和目的的活动的环境。当一个人完全孤单地待在一个没有人阻碍其动作和倾向的房间里时，可以说他是自由的。这样的人可以随心所欲。但由于没有能够激发适当反应的情境，且没有成功与失败的可能性，也缺少需要合作和协调的场景，这些场景有助于培养社会和情感的能力，也没有必要发挥智力和解决问题的能力，这个房间里的人的成长会停止，反而会枯萎，无法实现自由。一个从天空自由下落、不被任何东西阻挡的人，他看似自由，其实并不自由，因为他注定会撞向地面。

正如弗朗茨·卡夫卡（Franz Kafka）所写：“我自由了，因此我迷失。”哲学家让-保罗·萨特（Jean-Paul Sartre）则说：“人类被注定要自由。”

因此，当前的问题是，如何开辟一个人们能够自愿进入其中，并找到表达美好生活所需能力的机会的空间。此类机会，旨在行使人们的能动性，将被称为“质性丰富（qualitatively rich）机会”，而能够实现这些机会的环境则被称为“质性丰富环境”。

一个体现“质性丰富机会”的“质性丰富环境”是“开源生态系统”（open source ecosystems），它应当是人工智能发展的主要模式，它提供了以下框架：市场将为人们提供机会，让他们通过具有挑战性和刺激性的工作来行使自己的能动性，进而实现有意义的项目。人们将不得不学习新技能，克服障碍，但这一过程不仅是为了保持一个人们可以竞争、做出选择、发展能动性的市场，同时也促进人们生活中的目的和意义。如果经济要关上旧有工作形式的门，比如流水线和服务性工作，那么应该为人们提供更多有意义的工作机会。正如经济学家泰勒·科文（Tyler Cowen）在《莱克斯·弗莱德曼博客》（Lex Fridman podcast）中指出的那样，人们需要事情做。他们不想只是待在家里，正如COVID封锁所证明的那样。如果例行劳动和低技术劳动将被自动化，那么唯一的选择是确保存在“质性丰富机会”，以便人们能够利用并行使自己的能力，进行有意义的工作。

因此，应该在经济中引入一种新的范式。从佩卡·希曼宁（Pekka Himanen）[18]的《黑客伦理》（The Hacker Ethic）一书中汲取灵感，人们应当从以工业为基础的工作范式转向一种“黑客范式”。在工业范式中，个体主要执行重复性的劳动任务，其目的仅仅是为了获取收入以维持生存。而黑客范式则以内在价值为核心，强调工作本身的趣味性、刺激性、创造性与游戏性，其特征是激情与游戏，而非“履行对工作的责任”或“为经济做出贡献”的社会义务，正如马克斯·韦伯（Max Weber）[19]在《新教伦理与资本主义精神》（Capitalism and The Protestant Ethic）中所揭示的那样。黑客范式强调人类能动性及其实现价值的潜力，这种价值能提升人类。工业范式则在工人与他们与世界的积极参与之间产生疏离感：工人对他们所贡献的工作漠不关心；人们通常不喜欢甚至讨厌他们的工作。他们在那里是为了赚钱，而不是参与有意义的工作。正如希曼宁所写：“改革工作形式不仅是尊重工人的问题，更是尊重人类作为人类的问题。黑客不认同‘时间就是金钱’的格言，而认同‘这是我的生活’的格言。”正如埃里克·史蒂文·雷蒙德（Eric Steven Raymond）在《如何成为黑客》（How To Become A Hacker）[20]中所说，黑客认为世界充满了奇妙的问题，并在致力于解决这些问题中找到了自由。他们寻找需要动机和热情的项目，并相信当其他人也有机会获得同样的自由时，世界将变得无限美好，这需要社会合作以及对信息的最大程度的开放获取——这也正是“开源”的重要意义所在。

为了凸显为何引入新范式对于应对人工智能的挑战至关重要，具有显著的历史意义，我们可以回到亚当·斯密的思想。随后，将进一步阐明“质性丰富环境”与“质性丰富机会”的概念，并将其应用于当下以专有技术（proprietary technology）为核心的人工智能垄断体系。届时可以看到，这些垄断将扼杀黑客范式的生成，因此是不可取的。

透过亚当·斯密的视角我们可以看到，尽管工业化在长期内极大地提升了人们的生活水平，但它也对从事重复性、机械性劳动的人产生了消极影响，因为这类劳动削弱了对人类认知能力的刺激，阻碍了其全面发展。劳动分工极大地加速了专业化的进程，却减少了个体接触那些能调动其高级心智能力的机会——而这些能力正是实现有意义、有目标、富有成就感的工作的基础。人工智能与自动化正成为一种转型催化剂，逐步替代工业时代的工作模式与生产逻辑，将人力资本曾承担的任务转交予智能机器完成。若人工智能真的是一种进步——即人类进步——那么它就应回应亚当·斯密关于劳动分工及其对人类生活影响的担忧。

Part 2

Section 2.1

亚当·斯密在1776年写下了《国富论》（The Wealth of Nations）。受到艾萨克·牛顿（Isaac Newton）的影响，斯密希望理解社会背后的设计，以及社会的运作机制，类似于牛顿发现并使用采用机械论术语来公式化了解释宇宙的物理法则。那个时代的模型是将现象看作是像精密调校的手表一样有组织和有秩序的，所有部件和机械都在完美的和谐中协同工作，产生各种各样的效应和涌现现象。

在斯密生活的时代，第一次工业革命正在英格兰进行。城市扩张，曾经仅限于富人阶层的商品和服务变得更加廉价且易于获取，生活水平提高，基础设施得到了发展，表面上看，人们过上了前所未有的更好生活。斯密观察到社会的进步。由于大发现时代以及使欧洲人能够踏上新大陆的技术，欧洲人与那些似乎尚未经历欧洲所经历的历史进程、被欧洲人认为是“未开化”的民族接触，因此，欧洲大陆的风尚（ethos）是历史和文明正在进入一个新的、更为先进的阶段。科学探索和知识带来的创新提升了生产力和效率，从而使社会系统的组织更加复杂。斯密希望了解推动这一进程的因果机制。

斯密观察并认为劳动分工在社会经济中扮演了主要的，甚至是基础性的角色。随着社会组织的扩展，制造与生产过程逐渐细分为更为专业的任务，结果这些过程的产出大幅增加。在传统的行会框架中，工匠将一生投入到完整的手工业中，学习所需的所有方面并精通每一部分。这种行会框架逐渐被分工化的工厂模式所取代，后者在日益发展的城市中通过劳动分工的方式系统化生产。一个庞大的个体系统因此浮现，它需要极高的协调性，而劳动分工则将这一系统组织成一个复杂的机制，旨在调和人们的利益。

斯密还认为，劳动分工反映了人类本性中的某些更深层次的特征。人们涌向城市，赚取劳动报酬并享受更好的生活条件，因为斯密认为，人类天生具有进行交换（truck）、易货交易（barter）和贸易（exchange）[21]的倾向。他写道：“交换、易货和将一种物品与另一种物品贸易的倾向是所有人类共有的，在其他任何动物种群中都无法找到。”像狼这样的动物自然地在等级化的群体中组织自己，刚孵化的小鸟倾向于飞行，而像树木这样的有机体则在密林中争夺阳光。与此不同，人类进行交换、易货和贸易，是因为他们有天生的倾向来改善自身状况。劳动分工推动了这一目标的实现。

然而，斯密认为，劳动分工是一种权衡——它也有代价。尽管人们的生活水平提高，他们享受更好的条件，能够满足诸如食物、水和住所等消费需求，但劳动分工却将工人简化为机器中的齿轮。这些任务几乎不需要认知努力。一旦任务变得常规化，并转化为肌肉记忆后，便没有更多的障碍或问题需要克服。因此，斯密深切担忧这一过程将随着时间推移产生深远的负面认知效应。人们去上班，只要他们熟悉自己的任务，就不需要动脑；他们机械地行动。斯密直言不讳地写道：

一个人一生都在执行少量简单的操作，并且这些操作的效果始终显而易见，他便无需发挥理解力，或利用自己的创造力去寻求解决从未出现的困难的方法。他自然会变得愚笨无知，几乎达到人类可能变得最愚笨和无知的地步。

劳动分工提供的机会在质性上较为贫乏，无法使人们具备过上有意义和有目的生活的能力。借用另一位启蒙时期哲学家伊曼纽尔·康德（Immanuel Kant）的术语，劳动分工未能尊重人类的尊严，而尊严要求针对并培养那些能够使人过上自主选择生活所必需的能力。拥有尊严意味着对个人生活拥有影响力（influence）和掌控力（efficacy）。

劳动分工创造了更多提高生活水平的机会，但它没有提供“质性丰富机会”，使人们能够整合他们的能力并实现全面的人生。大多数人可用的机会并未促使他们将创造性和生产力能力集中于那些能够扩展他们在世界中自由感的目标上。与行会制度相比，劳动分工提供了更多的机会，但这些机会也更浅薄，更缺乏产生掌控感的体验。但由于生活水平较高，人们正确地选择了将自己降级为齿轮的工作。但正如斯密所观察到的，提高生活水平不足以满足人类需求的全面范围。它没有让大多数个体能够发挥他们的更高能力。

斯密认为，必须进行改善。对人们而言，更多“质性丰富机会”是至关重要的，这些机会使他们能够过上更有意义和目的的生活，体现人类尊严，并为行使他们的能动性提供基础。劳动分工提供了物质自由的增益，但并未提供足够的机会以实现更内在的、主体驱动的自由。

这无疑是卡尔·马克思对资本主义的重大批评之一。在资本主义体制下，人们与他们的劳动发生异化（alienation）。劳动的异化意味着人们与自己的活动脱离；即人在其自身和它的创造与生产能力之间产生了距离。在心理学家埃里克·弗洛姆（Eric Fromm）关于马克思的著作[22]中，他写道：

对马克思而言，异化的过程表现在工作和劳动分工中。工作是人类与自然之间的积极联系，是创造新世界的过程，包括创造人类自身……但随着私有制和劳动分工的发展，劳动失去了作为人类力量表达的特性；劳动及其产品变成了与人类、与他的意志和计划分离的存在。

人类通过他们所参与的活动以及在其中投入的内在力量和驱动力来理解和塑造自己的身份。通过创造和塑造世界及其环境，并将能量集中于外部项目和目标，一个人在世界中实现自我感。活动（Activity），而非被动的消费或任务，定义了马克思所说的人类本质。正如弗洛姆在其著作《拥有与存在》（To Have or To Be）中所指出的，通过“存在（being）”，而非“拥有（having）”，一个人才能体验到生活的意义和目的。通过“在爱中存在”，“以充满激情的方式存在”，“以积极行动的方式存在”，“以有希望的方式存在”，“有目的地存在”，以及“以有生产力地方式存在”，一个人才能过上充实的生活，而不必依赖“拥有”（爱、激情、积极性，等等）这些东西。劳动分工强调“拥有”，而其所涉及的许多工作和活动并未促使人们发展出“存在感”。正如德国诗人歌德（Johann Wolfgang von Goethe）所言，人类通过“将自己从可能性的黑夜转化为现实的白昼”来努力存在。人类通过外化他们内心的价值观和设想来追求成为自我，而这一过程通过活动得以实现。弗洛姆写道：“人类只有在生产性行为中才是活着的，只有在他通过表达自己特定的人类能力来把握外部世界，并且以这些能力来把握世界时……在这个生产性过程中，人类实现了自己的本质。”劳动分工减少了人类的能动性感，即人类以他们所珍视的、选择并在其上实践自身意志的有意义的方式，来主动影响和引导自己生活的能力。

通过创建“质性丰富环境”，黑客范式及其对开源的推动提供了多个“质性丰富机会”，从而推动了我们社会和政治结构的进步。它具有实现人类天性中更为积极的一面——人的能动感——的潜力，而不仅仅是其消极和消费的部分。这里的主要假设是，如果人工智能要发展并融入经济基础，它应当使人们的生活得到改善。更具体地说，如果自动化发生，其结果应当是改善人们的生活，而非对他们造成伤害。实现这一目标的一种途径是确保足够分配“质性丰富机会”，让每个人都能从中受益，而开源正是实现这一目标的途径。人工智能发展可能导致人们境况恶化以及抑制他们潜在机会的一个重要原因是存在使用专有模型来控制人工智能并主导其市场使用的垄断现象。黑客范式和开源则为避免这种结果提供了可能的解决方案。

Section 2.2

在理解垄断如何减少“质性丰富机会”之前，我们需要进一步弄清楚什么是“质性丰富机会”，以及它们激发并帮助发展哪些能力。在解释这类机会的性质及其意义之后，我们将探讨垄断是如何大幅削弱这些机会的可及性，以及这意味着什么。

“质性丰富机会”的理念源自亚里士多德（Aristotle）[23]，更具体地说，是由哲学家玛莎·努斯鲍姆（Martha Nussbaum）和经济学家阿玛蒂亚·森（Amartya Sen）进一步发展的。亚里士多德认为，人类要实现繁荣、过上充实而有尊严的生活，必须达成某些特定的功能（functions）或方式。他认为存在一种“人性（human nature）”，而这种人性包含基本的和更高层次的需求。无论历史和偶然条件如何变化，人类都具有一些根本特征。当然，这些特征是在历史情境中体现的，但在所有文化和文明中都可以观察到某些本质上的一致性。亚里士多德说：“善是万物所追求的目标。”所谓“善”，即是一种事物的适当功能。例如，眼睛的善是“看见”，种子的善是“长成一棵树”。实现某物的适当功能，就是实现其“繁荣”（flourish），也就是达到它所追求和努力趋向的状态。达到这样的状态，就是获得一种内在价值。

作为一个人去实现其功能，需要基本的生活必需品，如食物、水、住所和行动能力。但这些物品本身并不具有内在价值；它们之所以有价值，是因为它们使人能够运作以追求更进一步、更有内在价值的事物。如果一个人仅仅拥有这些基本的生存条件，我们可以说他“运作”着，但未必是“良好地运作”。要使一个人“良好地运作”，必须拥有其他内在价值更高的资源。人类需要教育与信息获取，以发展其认知能力；需要家庭和亲密关系，以发展社交技巧、个人身份认同和情感处理能力；还需要能够施展意志、探索兴趣、投入热情的追求，并培养目标感的渠道。一个良好的政治与社会安排，即我们应当追求的那种社会制度，应当为人们提供具体的机会，让他们得以实践这些需求，从而实现良好的人类运作状态。“质性丰富机会”即是指那些能够为人类发展内在有价值的能力（如做出知情决策的能力、制定值得追求的目标及其实现路径的能力，以及建立有意义、有影响力的人际关系的能力）提供基础的机会。像工作、教育、社区和艺术等社会制度，正是那些激发并促进实现这些目标所需能力的质性丰富环境。

质性丰富机会之所以重要，是因为它们使人们具备发展“能动性”的能力。借用斯坦福大学心理学家阿尔伯特·班杜拉（Albert Bandura）[24]的概念，我们可以将“人类的能动性”理解为个体感受到自己对生活有控制和影响力的能力。更具体地说，质性丰富机会能够激发那些针对“自我效能”（self-efficacy）能力的行为。所谓“自我效能”，是指一个人在面对挑战和障碍时所拥有的自我信心感。当面对一个困难且新颖的任务时，高自我效能的人会评估自己有能力克服困难完成任务；他们会拥有坚持不懈、克服失败的动机；即使身处陌生与复杂情境中，他们也能维持良好的心理状态。质性丰富机会旨在发展那些能够提升自我效能以及应对具体情境所需的能力。通过这些机会，一个人得以锻炼其能动性、获取掌控力，从而扩展其自由感。而正如班杜拉（1994）[25]所说：“一个人自我效能感越强，他为自己设定的目标挑战越高，并且对这些目标的承诺也越坚定。”因此，通过增强自我效能，无论是在信念层面还是实践层面，个人将获得更高程度的自由，并过上更具质感、更丰富的人生。

工作在塑造个体身份和自我认同方面具有至关重要的作用。它为人们提供了探索不同职业路径的机会，使他们能够发现自己在人生中希望追求的目标。工作往往也是建立职业与个人关系、融入不同社会网络的重要方式，同时也是人们获取能力、攀登社会阶梯的媒介。工作这一领域还能帮助人们在多种环境和情境中培养动机、智力以及态度。换句话说，工作为人们提供了发展某些功能或生活方式的机会，而这些功能和生活方式正是实现美好生活所必不可少的。

例如，想象一个年轻人第一次进入劳动力市场。他尝试了几份工作。他发现自己不太喜欢零售业，因为需要持续与顾客打交道。他又尝试了送货服务，结果发现自己不喜欢那种日复一日的重复性工作。最后，他在一个建筑工地找到了工作，并发现有些任务既有趣又具有挑战性。他喜欢动手工作的感觉，于是决定投身技工行业。这个人随后进入技校学习，建立起重要的人际关系，在新环境中受到挑战，被激发去提升技能、积累知识与经验，并在这个过程中不断面对和克服新的困难与障碍。毕业后，他抓住了一个机会——一位欣赏他职业精神的导师为他提供了许多关注和支持。之后，他在某家公司工作了一段时间，并在这个过程中积累了足够的知识和自信，决定创办自己的公司，以实现这个目标。他开始建立客户关系，专注于能让自己在竞争中脱颖而出的技能，并最终打造出一家成功的企业。

这听起来也许有些理想化，但却是一个既熟悉又现实的例子。它描绘了一种有目的的生活，这些目的是通过在环境和情境中发现的机会而形成的，这些环境和情境提供了能够产生能动感和自我价值感的体验。当然，要实现这样的人生画面，通常还需要一系列其他条件，例如成长于一个有支持的环境中，拥有探索个人兴趣所需的资源和时间等——但在美国，工作无疑是提供发展构成美好生活的关键功能的核心渠道。上文中的这个人通过学习新技能、克服挑战、做出关键选择来应对社会环境，最终实现了成功与成就。随着在专业领域的成长，他不断设立新的目标，并获得足够的自我效能感，相信自己能够实现这些目标。他发展出一整套完整的能力体系，最终也获得了尊严感。无论这个人过去或未来是否还拥有其他美好的人生经历，如果没有那些能够让他工作与成长的机会，他的人生质量将会大打折扣。

这里有一个真实的例子，不过这个人将保持匿名。在荷兰大学毕业后，他不想找一份“普通的工作”，于是开始前往其他国家旅行。他靠在 YouTube 上制作音乐赚了一些钱，住在各地的酒店和青年旅舍。但随着资金逐渐减少，孤独与疏离感开始加剧，他变得抑郁。他完全自由——可以去任何地方、看任何东西，做任何他想做的事——但他感到极度孤独。在亚洲的一家青年旅舍，他一个人躺在床上盯着天花板，没有钱、没有女朋友、也没有工作，他想起了父亲曾对他说的话：“他小时候教过我：每当我感到沮丧或者不知道做什么时，就去找一座沙堆，拿把铲子，把沙子从院子的一边搬到另一边……干点体力活，做点辛苦的事——做点什么。我做创业项目时也一样。”于是，他开始学习编程，开发软件和应用程序，并利用 Stripe 平台[26]将作品发布给公众以筹集资金。他专注于那些能够带来方向感与创作机会的活动。在真正的“黑客精神”指引下，他把世界看作充满待解决问题的迷人场域，有些问题他认为是可处理且值得去做的，于是尝试去解决。令人惊讶的是，他立下目标：一年内创办十二个初创公司——而他真的做到了。

这个人起初感到疏离与孤独，缺乏人生目标。因此他选择行动起来，把自己投入到使用基础编程语言与工具进行的创造性表达中。通过利用人工智能，他也更能创造出具有价值和实用性的产品，供他人使用与体验。他采纳了父亲的建议，将自己投入到实际行动中，结果是抑郁与焦虑逐渐缓解。他在信息丰富的环境中，发现了许多“质性丰富机会”，得以发展自我，提升自我效能感与能力。他与更多富有挑战性的目标建立联系，不断努力达成这些目标。而开源技术在这一过程中扮演了关键角色。

这也正是 Dora 生态系统的重要意义所在。通过像 DoraHacks.io 这样的平台，像上文所描述的那样的人们可以借由“质性丰富机会”，与全球各地的开发者协作，共同创新，创造出人们认为紧迫且相关的有意义的解决方案。该生态系统为开发者提供了必要的资源，使他们能够加入全球任何地方的 “BUIDL” 团队，解决引人入胜的问题；并在黑客松中与其他建设者一起感受到社区归属感；同时还通过激励机制推动他们实现有意义的目标，而这些目标往往又会引发更具挑战性和刺激性的下一阶段任务。Dora 生态系统创造了一个充满可能性的环境，使人们能够构建去中心化的产品与服务，例如将所有权交还给用户本人，增强他们在数字世界中的自主性、安全性以及对金融资产的控制力。正如下文将进一步讨论的，大型企业和垄断机构通常并不会从这些类型的技术中直接受益。那么，他们又有什么动机去资助这类技术呢？开源技术栈能够提升价值的质量，因为它为人们提供了开发更具意义产品的路径，而这些产品通常比那些由大型、目标狭隘的机构所产出的产品更具意义。

因此，如果自动化有可能减少甚至消除人们运用能动性、获得自我效能感的“质性丰富机会“，那么它所腾出的空间，理应由其他在质性上更丰富的机会来填补。如果确实存在“人性”这样的东西，而这种人性包含了一系列需要被发展、以使人得以过上有尊严生活的能力，那么最优与最值得追求的政治与社会安排，应当是将“质性丰富机会”公平分配，以确保人们有选择去运用自身能力、成为能够良好运作并实现繁荣生活的个体。为人们提供质性丰富机会，使他们能够加以利用，并据此组织、调动并集中自身内在力量于那些能够锻炼与激发个体能力的实践之上，这就构成了一个让人过上更有意义人生的基础。它是给予人们成为他们所珍视之人的自由。

接下来的部分将转向对 AI 垄断企业的讨论，揭示它们是如何压制上述这类未来机会的。

Part 3

Section 3.1

人工智能领域中潜在的垄断者不言自明：谷歌、苹果、微软、Meta 和亚马逊。这些公司以及少数其他企业在 2024 年占据了 65% 的固定网络流量和 68% 的移动网络流量[27]。谷歌大约占据全球约 90% 的搜索市场，其品牌名几乎已成为“搜索”行为本身的代名词；Meta 拥有主要的社交媒体平台，如 Instagram、Facebook 和 WhatsApp，这些都是人们日常交流与信息分享中访问量极高的平台；微软控制着大约 72% 的桌面操作系统市场；在美国，苹果约占据 60% 的智能手机市场份额；而亚马逊则主导了线上零售，其规模“超过美国排名其后的 15 家最大电商零售商的总和”[28]。此外，谷歌、Meta 和亚马逊合计占据了美国约 60% 的广告收入。我们在网上所接触到的产品、精美广告、以及注意力的买卖，主要都是由这几家大型科技公司驱动的。根据 Synergy Research[29]的研究，到本世纪末，微软、谷歌和亚马逊三家公司可能将掌握全球高达三分之二的数据份额。这些公司还控制着大部分云基础设施——亚马逊、微软、谷歌（以及阿里巴巴）合计拥有全球 67% 的云计算市场份额[20]。

这些公司拥有庞大的资源储备，同时也长期以来采用各种手段排挤竞争对手，包括通过并购消灭潜在威胁、利用市场主导地位优先推广自家产品、实行掠夺性定价、利用网络效应，以及其他众所周知的策略。例如，鉴于亚马逊在电子商务领域的市场主导地位，它可以通过优先推荐自家产品，排挤其他可能品质更高的供应商产品。消费者在面对价格更低的亚马逊产品时，往往更倾向于购买，而亚马逊正好拥有充足的资源来维持这种低价策略。在网络效应方面，“目前[31]大多数科技巨头的用户数量都以十亿计”，这为初创企业和小公司制造了几乎无法跨越的障碍。而谷歌也多次被指控故意降低某些内容的排名，并优先展示有利于自身利益的信息。

如今，这些公司正积极争夺对人工智能发展的主导权。“Meta、微软、亚马逊和Alphabet 预计在2025年将累计投入高达 3250 亿美元的资本支出与投资……相比这些公司在2024年报告[32]的约 2230 亿美元，这相当于增长了 46%。”此外，“几乎没有例外，所有初创公司、新进入者，甚至 AI 研究实验室都依赖这些大型科技公司：他们依靠微软、亚马逊和谷歌的计算基础设施来训练系统，也依靠它们庞大的消费市场渠道来部署和销售 AI 产品[33]。”科技巨头垄断了初创公司赖以生存[34]的关键资源——人才、数据和算力。 现有的行业巨头正在开发各种模型，以维持其在各自市场中的立足点。由于它们掌握着大多数资源——例如，“这些公司贡献了标普500指数公司市值的 22% 以上，其单独市值甚至超过了加拿大、意大利等[35]部分 G7 国家 GDP”——它们可以随意挤压竞争对手，阻止初创企业和小型公司进入市场。正如前文所述，随着 DeepSeek 在全球市场中作为竞争者不断取得进展，这些最大规模的 AI 公司正在大肆渲染一场“军备竞赛”，并夸大中国威胁以及人工智能可能带来的危害，从而推动对 AI 的监管和开发限制，而这些限制最终最有可能使它们自身受益。与此同时，由于垄断体制依赖于专有模型，其架构、权重、学习算法、代码以及内嵌目标都对公众隐蔽不明，在 AI 渗透信息网络的过程中，这些公司的经济与市场主导地位也将以一种“隐秘的方式”塑造人们的思维和行为。

那么，监管是否能解决这个问题呢？《麻省理工科技评论》最近指出：“监管或许有帮助[36]，但政府政策最终往往加固了这些公司的权力，而非加以削弱——这些公司能够利用其资本与政治影响力来操控政策。”亚历克斯·蓝姆佩尔（Alex Rampell）[37]最近写道[38]：“拜登政府发布了一项行政命令[39]，试图以人为设定的门槛限制计算能力，禁止开源技术，理由是其对国家安全构成威胁，同时这实际上为几家最大公司垄断监管资源敞开了大门。”例如，尽管萨姆·奥特曼在与贝利·韦斯（Barry Weiss）[40]的《自由新闻播客》（Free Press podcast）中否认了这一说法，投资人马克·安德森却一再警告称，拜登的 AI 行政命令的真正目的在于将 AI 的控制权交到少数几家公司（极可能是 OpenAI）手中，并通过提高市场准入门槛来消除竞争者。此外，尽管此举颇具争议、甚至可能显得天真，自从 DeepSeek 发布其 V1 和 V3 模型以来，Anthropic的 CEO 达里·阿摩地（Dario Amodei）一直呼吁加强出口管制政策[41]，进一步限制中国获取芯片的能力。然而，正如迪伦·潘特（Dylan Patel）[42]和纳森·兰伯特（Nathan Lambert）[43]在 《莱克斯·弗莱德曼博客》中指出的那样，DeepSeek 的开源模型显然并不构成任何实质性的国家安全威胁。但它确实对那些依赖专有系统、通过模型控制潜在价值的生态构成了威胁。DeepSeek 的方法迫使这些“专有资本”朝着可被任何人使用与构建的公共资源方向转化。正因如此，阿摩地对“单极 vs. 双极世界”的坚持背后其实包含着竞争性的动机：要么 AI 权力集中于美国，要么中美都拥有对等的 AI 能力——而后者，在阿摩地看来，是必须避免的局面。

或许，我们应当持有一种不那么鹰派的乐观态度。经济学家泰勒·科文提出了充分理由，认为与其全面投入一场军备竞赛，不如在相互合作[44]与共赢中寻找发展路径。当然，竞争仍然是必要的，但推动未来事件进程的竞争心态，不应仅仅源于达尔文式的“适者生存”逻辑，而应更接近尼采所观察到[45]的古希腊式“竞技”（Agon）[46]传统——那是一种社会制度，其中的艺术家、军事领袖与运动员通过竞争彼此激励、共同成长。

没有对手，竞争者也将迷失方向。因为没有了改进、突破和创新的机会，个体便失去了变得更好、更具创造力的可能。竞争者的存在本身就依赖于愿意对抗他们的人。正是因为有人挑战，希腊诗人才得以想象得更深远、表达得更出色。尼采指出，希腊竞技者面临的最大危险不是失败，而是——失去竞争对手。他写道：“这正是希腊竞技理念的核心：它厌恶独裁，畏惧其危险，它渴望用‘另一个天才’来抵御某一位天才的压倒性力量。”我们不应将竞争理解为自然状态下的求生挣扎，那种资源稀缺、人与人互为威胁的霍布斯（Thomas Hobbes）式处境——“孤独、贫穷、肮脏、残暴而短暂”[47]。我们也不应将竞争本能视为某种原始性冲动的残余，只为了压制对手、消灭威胁。我们应当将其理解为一种可以高贵化的本能，正如尼采所言，它是“所有人类情感、行为与作品的唯一丰沃土壤”。竞争本能自身也具有德性，应当被培养成“在正确的时间、以正确的方式、出于正确的理由”去发挥作用的东西（亚里士多德，《尼各马科伦理学》（Nicomachean Ethics）第二卷），而不是被视作一种必要之恶。阿摩地害怕中国，这可能不是正确的回应——或许，一个更好的、更具德性的回应，是将中国视为值得尊敬的竞争者。

Section 3.2

现在让我们聚焦于这些潜在的 AI 垄断企业为何会通过主导 AI 生态系统，压制质性丰富机会的更广泛传播。原因至少有两个：第一个涉及经济能动性，第二个涉及价值能动性。所谓经济能动性，是指人们进入市场、创造能满足消费者需求与欲望的价值与效用的能力。如果市场上的 AI 模型被集中掌握在少数公司手中，新兴企业与创业者为世界做出有价值贡献的机会将受到限制。那些能够回应民主、医疗保健、金融自主、政治权利与自由，或其他重大而有意义问题的创新，将大幅减少，从而也会降低 AI 所可能带来的社会福祉。任何威胁到这些少数 AI 垄断企业的控制力、影响力或财富的产品与服务，将被直接排除在市场之外，而不是由市场自然机制或消费者的真实需求所决定。

另一方面，所谓价值能动性，是指人们有能力对社会应追求的目标产生影响、发表意见。如果 AI 是在不透明的条件下、依据无法被公众了解和介入的价值与目标进行训练的，那么人们在这些问题上的影响力就会被削弱。如果由专有模型决定大多数或几乎全部嵌入 AI 的产品与服务的性质，那么人们对这些技术的控制权将大为减少。例如，所谓“对齐问题”指的是如何使 AI 与人类的利益保持一致。那么，什么是人类的利益？什么是构成一个良好且值得追求社会的目标？AI 的运行应遵循哪些道德与伦理原则？这些价值是否可以由少数几家公司决定，而无需公开其训练数据与学习算法？是否可以不接受公众监督与介入？如果技术架构被封闭在公众视野之外，那么上述问题的答案就更有可能来自权威的决定，而不是通过民主程序获得的共识。

经济能动性与价值能动性的双重丧失是危险的，本文余下部分将进一步阐述原因。

Section 3.3: 经济能动性

正如奥地利经济学家路德维希·冯·米塞斯（Ludwig von Mises）与弗里德里希·哈耶克（Friedrich Hayek）所著名指出的，苏联之所以在某些方面具有毁灭性，部分原因在于它无法通过自然发生的市场机制来合理分配资源。在这样的体制下，由内部的中央计划者来决定人民的需求与欲望——而这些人所掌握的信息资源既稀缺、又充满偏见与误差，无法实现准确分配。因此，大量官僚主义和强制性的手段被实施来调配国家资源。

举例来说，国家必须设定价格。至少是在苏联的情况中，并不存在一个广泛可用的自由市场，来使商品与服务受到供需关系的调节。生产者依据国家命令进行生产，而非根据市场激励（如竞争）自行调整方向——这些激励本应协调生产与消费，促成市场均衡。换句话说，价格失去了其关键信息功能——它本应指示资源该流向何处。哈耶克在《通往奴役之路》（The Road to Serfdom）中写道：“任何对某些商品的价格或数量的控制，都剥夺了竞争协调个体努力的能力，因为此时价格变动无法反映环境中的相关变化，也就无法为个体行动提供可靠的指导。”

不过，对本文来说，更重要的是：国家控制的生产与经济计划还意味着人们被剥夺了进入市场并创造价值的机会，使他们难以通过创新改善自身生活。任何可能威胁国家权力、削弱其合法性与影响力，或转移其部分控制权的创新行为，都将被禁止进入市场。举个例子：假设某人观察到，在某国的偏远乡村地区，由于常年洪水泛滥，人们无法修建道路，从而难以参与国家选举。这位发明者研发了一种不受洪水腐蚀的新型混凝土，并希望在乡村修建道路，改善人们的通行条件，让他们更容易参与公共事务。但当他向国家交通委员会申请资源时，却遭到了拒绝。原因是：该地区居民普遍希望拥有农业生产的自主权，因此国家不愿意为这些人提供进入选举制度的通道。而在缺乏市场竞争的情况下，也没有其他机会和机制可以去建设这些道路。

垄断，尤其是在受到监管体系保护的情况下，构成了类似的威胁。马克思曾做出一个著名批评：资本主义作为一种社会制度，其内在逻辑会逐步而不可避免地导致生产资料向少数人手中集中。虽然包括哈耶克和米塞斯在内的许多经济学家认为这种看法是错误的，并坚信在正常运作的资本主义体系中，这一结果是可以避免的。但如果人工智能遭到垄断，那么马克思的预测将比以往更加接近现实——无论这是由于历史规律，还是由于无法预见的结构性变数所致。正如克里斯·迪克森（Chris Dixon）[48]在其著作《阅读、写作、拥有》（Read, Write, Own）中观察到的，初创公司之所以能在市场中找到生存空间，部分原因在于大公司往往目光短浅，无法及时察觉到新兴产品正逐步获得消费者的关注。在专注于自身业务的过程中，这些巨头常常错失市场趋势与动向，而初创企业若运气足够好，就能积累足够势能以形成竞争力。但如果这些老牌巨头掌控了人工智能，他们就可能利用 AI 的能力来抹平初创企业原本可以利用的那些优势。随着时间推移，垄断企业将对市场形成难以穿透的控制权，各行各业的价值链最终将进一步“上游集中”到这些公司手中——比现在更甚。由专家所忽视、却能在市场中创造出意想不到价值的颠覆性技术，其创新空间可能会被完全挤压出去。

由于人工智能具备智能能力，它作为资本工具拥有极大的潜力，能够创造出改善人类生活的先进技术。但，由于有些对公众最有益的应用方式，可能并不符合政府与大型企业的利益，其潜在福祉也就可能在权力结构中被悲剧性地削弱。其中最明显的例子就是金融自主权。

看看比特币的案例就足以说明问题。中本聪（Satoshi）[49]发明比特币的初衷，是为了让人们拥有金融自由的能力——通过创造一种稀缺资源，其价值储存功能可与黄金相类比。比特币使那些生活在高通胀、货币极度贬值国家的人们，能够积累具有全球流通性的财富。人们可以拥有一种不会因货币供应过量或国家财政赤字上升而贬值的资产。比特币能够帮助人们过上更加稳定、安全的生活，它提供了透明性、个人所有权，以及能够激励社会合作的制度安排——这一切都无需依赖强制性信任或道德施舍。

人们本希望掌权者能够设法将中本聪为世界带来的巨大价值纳入现有体系。并不是说比特币应立即取代法定货币，而是说，考虑到比特币在应对法币体系中潜在致命问题方面提供了极具前景的解决方案，政府至少应当付出更大的努力，将这些解决方案纳入实践。合理的期待是，执政者会寻求一种方式，将区块链、比特币及其增强经济自由的潜力加以整合。然而，直到最近，有关这一技术的监管进展一直缓慢而混乱。在拜登政府期间，由于政策缺乏清晰性与明确性，关于加密货币的许多举措都未能充分发挥其潜在价值，反而阻碍了其更高效、更具生产性的使用路径。

如果AI被通过监管框架实现垄断，那么那些原本有潜力改善人类生活的技术也可能轻易被弃置。若这些技术与政府或企业利益发生冲突，大多数人将无法通过授权或专利使用这些专有模型，而中小型企业也会被并购吸收。尽管人工智能本可以彻底革新选举平台及人们参与选举的方式；尽管它本可以通过更优的数据安全手段或创造更多经济机会来增强个体自由，但探索这些可能性的路径，若与掌控大多数 AI 技术栈（甚至全部）的公司利益不符，就很可能被封锁。如果某项潜在的 AI 技术有可能通过解决某些产业赖以牟利、甚至具有寄生性质的问题，从而威胁广告收入，那么像谷歌与 Meta 这样的科技公司几乎必然会阻止这一技术进入市场的尝试。

特朗普政府迄今为止最重要的政策举措之一，就是其新的加密货币政策。该政策废除了上一届政府的行政命令，并致力于制定一个有助于推动该技术发展的监管框架。这对于人工智能领域中正在发生的其他形式的创新具有重要意义。有了除了传统风险投资之外的其他资源——例如通证经济（tokenomics）[50]，初创公司可以为其项目提供资金支持，并积累发展势能。

彼得·蒂尔在其著作《从零到一》（Zero to One）中提出，初创公司本身就在、也应该在寻求成为垄断者。他们需要在市场中占据一个特定空间，通过开发专有技术击败其他竞争者，并进一步排除后来者进入该市场。正如蒂尔所言，如果企业不想成为失败者，这种策略是至关重要的。若他们希望获得投资者的关注，就必须采取建立垄断地位的路径。然而，借助通证经济以及其他与加密货币相关的机制，人们也有机会开发出有价值的技术，同时保留开源精神。在这样的机制下，合作与协作得以推动，同时也能获得支持增长所需的资金。

Section 3.4 价值能动性

经济能动性之所以被削弱，是因为市场中那些具备质感的价值创造机会正在减少，使个体难以通过创新与生产满足不断变化的需求与欲望。当 AI 技术栈被少数几家垄断企业掌控并主导整个生态系统时，即使有人识别出一个真正有意义的问题，并设计出强有力的解决方案，如果这不符合大型企业的利益，该方案也很可能无法进入市场。经济活动及其所带来的社会价值，不应建立在一套容许权力任意压制、扼杀对社会整体有益事务的权威机制上。那么，AI 垄断企业又是如何压缩人们在价值能动性上的“质性丰富机会”的呢？

如果雷·库兹韦尔的奇点理论及其相关预测哪怕部分属实——如果人类真的将与非生物智能融合，并生活在日益人工化的环境中——那么人工智能的垄断不仅不可取，而且可以说是一种反乌托邦式的局面。这种设想唤起了关于“技术霸主”的画面：他们主宰着人类社会，而人们要么沦为智能机器的奴工，要么则是舒适而满足地享受着智能繁荣所带来的物质成果。在这样的图景中，总有人必须开采矿物资源，而另一些人则消费着由此生产出的丰富商品与服务。但如果我们假设 AI 的发展会快到足以让智能机器人无需人力就能完成矿产开采工作，那最终所有人都会转变为纯粹的“消费者”。“在接下来的几十年里，”库兹韦尔预测，“几乎所有例行性的体力与脑力活动都将被自动化。”届时，唯有那些具有社交性、创造性、创新性或高度不可预测性的工作将对拥有相关技能与培训的人开放，其余人将大多成为消费者。而借助纳米机器人、虚拟现实、非生物智能增强技术与无处不在的信息流动，我们的现实将愈加接近哲学家罗伯特·诺齐克（Robert Nozick）所设想的“体验机”（experience machine）。

通过某种装置的介入——无论是接入某种模拟装置，还是完全沉浸于类似虚拟现实（VR）那样的数字化、信息化环境中——人们可以体验到他们所希望的任何事情。任何感官体验、情绪、思想或事件，都会随时向任何人开放，随时可供消费。一个人可以体验写出“伟大的美国小说”所带来的深刻满足，像苏格拉底[51]那样在雅典法庭上勇敢地对抗陪审团，或像拿破仑那样英勇地站在青翠的高岗上俯瞰敌军，也可以在模拟的攀登中登上珠穆朗玛峰，体会坚持不懈的荣耀与世界之巅的视野。重要的不是这些事件是否真实发生，而是有人“渴望”它，而它就会“存在”。在这样的图景中，人生的目标就是消费；而“道德生活”——值得追求的生活——则被定义为追求内部刺激的生活。外部世界、个体真实的存在状态将不再重要。一个人是否真实地勇敢、富有同情心、充满爱意、公正、虔诚、善良或邪恶——这都不再有意义。人们的兴趣与冲突将在人工体验的消费中得到调和。在一个“问题已被解决”的世界中，没有需要行动者去解决的具体问题，行动者也就变得可有可无；唯一需要的，是“消费”。

这种情境真正危险之处在于，垄断企业将完全掌控生成技术的算法，也即控制我们可接触的信息结构。信息将不断被嵌入到以消费为中心的环境中。理想情况下，人们应当拥有自由，做他们想做的事，以他们认可的方式生活。但人们“看待”世界的方式，他们建构现实的方式，他们所处的社会语境——都会被那些已经整合智能资本、成为未来唯一商品与服务生产者的公司所过滤与塑造。哲学家艾伦·布鲁姆（Allan Bloom）在其著作《美国精神的封闭》（The Closing of the American Mind）中写道：“每一个教育系统都有一个它希望达成的道德目标，并据此构建其课程。它希望塑造出某种特定类型的人。”人工智能的垄断企业将通过改造人的生存环境来塑造“人是什么”的意义，以符合其自身利益。而真正重要的那些事情——运用能动性、实现真实的自我效能感、发现自己在人生中真正珍视与渴望的事物、建构让现实更一贯、宜居和统一的人生目标等等的机会——将被被企业利益所强烈影响和操控。而这些利益，本质上是围绕经济增长与利润最大化构建的。

在诺姆·乔姆斯基（Noam Chomsky）[52]与爱德华·赫尔曼（Edward Herman）[53]合著的《制造共识》（Manufacturing Consent）[54]一书中，两位作者提出，美国媒体实际上是一种宣传工具，而非客观的信息来源（这一观点当时颇具争议，但如今已成为主流看法）。他们认为，这种宣传功能是通过一套“过滤模型”来运作的，该模型将信息作为输入，并为公众“福祉”完美制造出标准化的输出。而其中一些媒体过滤机制，正是今天科技巨头所采用的。第一个过滤器是媒体公司的规模、所有权结构及其以利润为导向的商业模式。这使得进入媒体市场所需的投资与准入成本变得高得惊人，从而使其他竞争者难以生存。法律制度被用来执行一系列标准，这些标准压制了初创公司与中小企业的发展；而政府补贴则倾向于支持那些与政府利益保持一致的媒体公司。第二个过滤器是广告收入。广告不仅提升了特定公司的利润，也让它们在竞争中占据优势。那些无法吸引广告支持的媒体来源往往被市场边缘化。在此过程中，那些资金雄厚的媒体公司为了争取广告商的“青睐”，被迫迎合股东所要求的持续利润增长。这意味着任何挑战企业利益的声音，都可能因营收减少而遭受惩罚，最终被逐出市场竞争。

这两个过滤器，正是当今科技巨头在其平台上运用的机制。他们主导市场，并依靠广告收入获取惊人的利润。正如乔姆斯基与赫尔曼所指出的另一个过滤器——意识形态偏向，大科技公司同样如此。就像上世纪八十年代的主流媒体会大肆报道敌对国家的种族灭绝与谋杀，却对发生在美国“势力范围”如拉美地区的同类事件视而不见，大科技公司也会在符合其经济与利益考量时，沿着特定的意识形态线索行事。由于其庞大的利润模式与动机，大科技公司的利益并不必然与真理、勇气、准确性、诚实、公正或善恶标准一致。只有当这些价值可以带来可预见的利润与效用最大化时，它们才可能被采纳。因此，如果 AI 垄断企业逐步获得市场主导权，并以其最先进模型为基础将大量商品与服务推向市场，那么人们对于世界的理解、他们如何看待现实、哪些事物最值得关注——都会在信息过滤器的引导下被重塑。这些过滤器正是大科技公司用于“产出有利于技术发展结果”的机制的一部分。个体发展自身的机会、形成自我世界观的过程、以及构成生活统一性的价值体系，都将受到科技信息过滤器的支配与重构。

我们很容易想象这样一个世界：信息的生成由一小部分集中的模型主导，这些模型构建出一套相互交织的信息网络，强化着不准确、不诚实、甚至是伪造的信息结构。新闻标题与报道可能散布错误主张与对现实的歪曲，而这些说法又会被其他虚假信息源所“证实”，彼此互为支撑。这种信息结构——即信息的组织方式及其意义赋予机制——可能会被人为策划，以服务于掌握权力与控制信息传播资源者所设定的特定目的。少数人认为“最好的”内容将被优先推送，而公众的想法将逐渐变得从属，最终被操控以符合权力方的利益。这并不是在指责某个实体或个人有恶意意图，而是在强调这样一种结构性困境：当生成并传播社会所消费的信息的能力被集中在少数几方手中时，这种权力格局所带来的难以解决的困境。

这最终将不可避免地导向类似于前文提到的诺齐克“体验机”的世界。人们获得一种超越消费伦理的生活形式能力的机会将被极大压缩，甚至被彻底剥夺。确实，假设未来大多数工作被自动化，人们通过基本收入实现生活保障，那么个体将从劳作的束缚中解放，不再被迫为经济增长贡献劳动力。从某种意义上说，人类将获得对约束与必需品的自由。但问题在于，如果没有施展自由的媒介，如果没有真正的机会在具体经验中运用自己的能动性，那么这种自由就并不是真正的自由——至少不是那种更深层次的、积极意义上的自由。那种引导人们思考“如何生活”、那种通过探索而发现值得投入心力与时间的事业的过程、那种确立人生目标并在充满挑战与刺激的环境中努力实现的能力，将会在这样的结构中逐渐失效，甚至彻底被边缘化。

哲学家约翰·杜威（John Dewey）曾写道：

我们很少意识到，我们对什么有价值、什么无价值的判断，在多大程度上是受制于我们并不自觉的标准。但一般来说，那些我们未经思考便视为理所当然的事物，正是决定我们有意识思维与判断结论的关键。而那些位于反思之下的习性，往往正是在我们与他人的持续互动与交换中形成的。

如果构成社会的制度是由那些以提升股东利润为目的的大型企业所主导——这将在它们主导人工智能时成为现实——那么它们的模型将渗透进经济的每一个领域，渗入我们的环境。这些环境将影响我们所被激发的生活方式，朝向不再体现为实际的‘存在’（being），而是依赖于‘拥有’（having）。也就是说，什么是显著的、值得追求的、具有吸引力的，不再取决于它所需要的努力、它所要求的冒险精神，或它所能激发的成长过程，而是取决于它能否填满并打发时间。对于一种由消费伦理塑造的意识而言，显而易见、理所当然的东西，将与另一种由合作构成、旨在促使个体能动性寻求意义与目标的社会完全不同。前者会看到一个充满各种可能体验的世界，但这些体验除了即时呈现的感受之外毫无意义；而后者则仍然会体验到“必要性”，以及那种不可遏制的冲动——即人必须感受到世界上仍有值得行动之事。赫尔曼·梅尔维尔（Herman Melville）在其伟大的美国小说《白鲸》（Moby Dick）中写下了这样的句子：

我坚定目标的道路铺设着铁轨，我的灵魂被刻槽其上。穿越无底峡谷，穿越山脉深处与激流之下，我直奔而去！没有障碍，没有转弯，只有通向铁轨终点的直路！

但愿，那些曾赋予梅尔维尔写作力量的精神碎片，在未来的某个角落依然得以存在。

Section 3.5

在《查拉图斯特拉如是说》（Thus Spoke Zarathustra）一书中，尼采描绘了两种未来人类的形象：“末人”（Last Man）与“超人”（Overman）。这两者在本能、欲望、动机与驱力方面有着根本性的不同。他们所看到的世界、感知世界的方式也截然不同：哪些事物对他们而言是显著且有意义的，什么是“善”或“恶”，对自我与世界的信念与态度，皆南辕北辙。

尼采对“末人”充满蔑视，而他的理想目标则是“超人”。“末人”代表一种追求舒适、安逸与满足的生活方式——那是一种消费的生活，是一种被动的满足。末人的畜群（herd）沉浸在“白天的微小快乐、夜晚的微小快乐中，但极度重视健康。他们说：‘我们发现了幸福’，眨着眼睛”。这样的存在，培养出的是享乐、安逸、饱足与消费的本能。尼采常将这种状态比喻为“反刍的牛”。而“超人”则是那种能够保有创造与超越本能的存在，他将生命导向某个遥远而艰难的目标，借此创造出一种超出自身的价值，使生活因此获得尊严与意义。超人仍然保有那种穿越变革性经验的冲动，那种能改变自我存在状态与意识体验的本能。正是这种冲动激发个体去掌握现实、理解现实，并因此增强他们影响现实的能力——个体越来越能够通过自己的活动与存在方式去塑造经验，建构世界。“末人”的美德——最大化快乐并最小化痛苦，在“超人”看来，恰恰是堕落的恶德。

人工智能的垄断结构及其以利润为导向的模式，正在推动“末人”的出现；而开源则是在为“超人”保留空间。随着人工智能被集中于少数强权之手，并通过这些权力机构设定的参数向市场大量输出商品与服务，整个信息景观及其传播网络将被精心策划成一种伦理结构——这种伦理以最大满足与持续消费所带来的舒适感为核心。在这样的结构中，个体所接触到的机会与环境将不再是“质感质性丰富”的；它们不会激发人们内在的主动能力，而只会使人变得能够追求一种消费社会所设定的终极目标——即最大化产出与回报的路径。

而开源生态系统，则保留了一个人类能动性仍能找到出口的空间。在那里，创造力与创新的目标不再仅仅是为了逐利，而是为了实现一种更完整的人类生活。

现在，本文开篇提出的一个问题是：自动化是否能带来足够多的机会，使被替代的劳动力能够重新获得工作？到现在我们已经看到，黑客范式与开源生态系统的确让这一目标更为可行。彼得·蒂尔的《从零到一》可以说是一本创业者指南。而他在书中明确指出：创业的目标应当是至少模仿，并努力实现垄断。所谓“成功”，就是在某一市场领域内占据主导地位，排除其他进入者，并通过专属供应尚未满足的需求来实现利润最大化。但成功初创企业的统计数据[55]却令人沮丧。初创企业的失败率高达90%。在那些成功者中，首次创业者只占18%。获得风险投资资金的初创企业不到1%；获得天使投资的比例也不到1%；约有75%的初创公司依赖“信用卡债务、商业贷款与信用额度”来筹集资金。成功的几率微乎其微，而对那些敢于创业，尤其是技术驱动型创业者（这是失败率最高的一类）所需承担的门槛与风险，往往近乎不可逾越。蒂尔之所以鼓励初创企业采用垄断策略，部分原因正是因为唯有在获得足够稳固的市场地位之后，公司才终于能够喘息、拓展与创新。一旦达到垄断标准，企业便能掌控其特定领域（甚至是整个）市场中的价值输出——理论上，这会给企业与消费者双方带来好处。

然而，这种能力最终被集中在极少数能够侥幸成功的公司手中。一旦掌握了这种能力，它们便没有自利的动机去放手。而当某家企业依靠其垄断地位终于获得创新的自由之时，这种专属能力却也意味着其他拥有创造潜力的人被排除在外，仅仅因为他们没有获得那唯一的机会。

如果企业的成功几率更高，那无疑会更具吸引力。但传统的融资方式以及作为成功创业者所需经历的艰难过程，往往会打击甚至扼杀那些本有能力提出改变世界的强大创意的人们。而黑客范式之所以具有深远意义，正是因为它能够提供丰富的机会，让人们得以创造价值，而无需承担传统创业所附带的高风险。黑客范式的“北极星”之一，就是致力于打造一个开放的、无需许可的生态系统——一个充满机会、人们可以自由进入、自由利用关键技术信息，并能够与成熟企业协作，从而共同创造出更好、更具创新性的产品的环境。开放的生态系统能够赋予人们创造价值的可能，而封闭系统则将他人排除在外，关闭了协作的大门。

按照蒂尔模式的创业路径，那是一条崎岖不平的道路。它需要强烈的意志、非凡的创造力，当然还需要一定的运气。而这三者的完美契合，是极其罕见的。因此，真正能在创业中成功的人少之又少。通过一个无需许可的开源生态系统，通过减轻人们在创造有价值事物时所承受的沉重负担，我们可以释放出大量机会——这些机会无需你拥有成为乔布斯或贝索斯那样的雄心与资源，也不要求你必须独力成就一番技术帝国。事实上，那些科技巨头的成功，早已远远超越了他们当初想要创造创新科技的初衷。开源生态系统将推动科技进步的机会民主化，使人们能够真正参与其中，不必成为少数天才企业家的复制品。创新，理应是更具协作性、更广泛分布的，也应当距离普通人更近。黑客范式正在使这成为可能，它正在重构赛场的平衡。

或许，并不是每个人都想成为一名“黑客”。但开源为我们保留并拓展了一种最佳的原型模式，通过它，可以将具体的机会持续地、公平地分配给人们，让他们得以实践自己的能动性。正是通过拥有这类机会，人们仍能发现和体验到那种强烈的召唤感——“我必须去做某事”——即，一个目标的存在，使个体不得不相信，若忽视它，人生就将失去意义与目标。如果我们生活的世界中，人们能接触到的、最显眼且最具吸引力的事物，仅仅是尼采所说的那种“幸福”——那种不涉及个人牺牲、不包含作为德性的献身（devotion）、也无需为艰难而变革性的事业奋斗的意愿的“幸福”——那么这样的世界无疑比不上另一个世界：在那里，人们拥有真正的机会去成就伟大的事业，只要他们愿意去追求。

结语

当 IBM 的“深蓝”在 1997 年击败国际象棋冠军卡斯帕罗夫（Garry Kasparov）时，象棋并未因此被淘汰。人们依旧继续比赛，并不断变得更强。这一事实——即从那以后任何人类棋手都不可能战胜 AI 程序——并未动摇那些热爱象棋之人的热情与动力。那些献身于象棋的人依旧渴望打磨自己的技艺，学习更复杂的策略，在不断成长的过程中超越其他选手。象棋选手依然渴望变得更优秀，仅仅是为了变得更优秀。通过意志与投入实现成长，当他们登上新的水平时，那种深刻的成就感依旧真实而宝贵，尽管一台机器将永远是更强的选手。 在一部关于李世石（Lee Sedol）在 2016 年败给 AlphaGo 的纪录片中，有人说：“他在这台机器的对弈中获得了成长。他的人性在与这台无生命的创造物对局之后得到了拓展。而我们的希望，是这种机器，尤其是背后的技术，也能对我们所有人产生同样的作用。”还有人说：“或许 AlphaGo 能向人类展示一些我们从未发现过的东西。或许那是一种美。”如果被正确使用，人工智能可以拓展个体影响与改变世界的能力。它可以提供创造的机会，而非只是劳作的义务；可以唤起意义的体验，而非冷漠与疏离；可以使人获得一种有价值的自由，而非无所依托的自由。但这一切都取决于社会写作和去推动人们向值得努力实现的目标前进的环境；它也要求我们以不同的方式理解竞争。

Agency/Agent/Agentic/… 能动性 Being （以…方式）存在 Qualitatively Rich 质性（上）丰富 Open Source Ecosystem 开源生态系统 Proprietary 专有 Pleasure 快乐 Happiness 幸福 所有著作、节目与人物名称第一次出现标记英文原文。 除网站链接之外的脚注，均为译者补充；脚注中的外部链接为原文超链接的对应标记。 原文中的特殊格式均保留在中文对应词项中。

参考文献

[1] 美国人工智能理论家、作家，MIRI（Machine Intelligence Research Institute，机器智能研究所）创始人之一。 [2] 俄罗斯裔美国计算机科学家，路易斯维尔大学教授，专长于AI安全和人工智能伦理。 [3] 瑞典裔美国物理学家、MIT教授，Future of Life Institute（未来生命研究院）联合创办人。 [4] https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/. [5] https://a16z.com/the-techno-optimist-manifesto/.硅谷知名风险投资家、网景（Netscape）浏览器联合创始人，Andreessen Horowitz投资公司创始人。 [6] https://ia.samaltman.com/. OpenAI CEO. [7] 发明家、未来学家、作家，现为谷歌工程总监。 [8] 特斯公司CEO，SpaceX创始人兼首席执行官，X（原Twitter）所有人。 [9] HAL 9000（简称HAL）是科幻小说和电影系列《太空奥德赛》中的虚构人工智能角色，由阿瑟·克拉克（Arthur C. Clarke）和斯坦利·库布里克（Stanley Kubrick）共同创作。在作品中，HAL 9000原本是飞船“发现号”（Discovery One）的中央控制系统，它被设计得极其可靠，拥有高度智能、情感模拟能力，负责飞船运行，包括导航、生命支持、通信等核心任务。在执行任务时，由于HAL开始表现出微妙的异常（如错误报告设备损坏），同行宇航员决定关闭HAL。当这一计划被HAL得知，HAL控制飞船上设备造成了同行宇航员的死亡。但后续作品揭示，HAL的表现是由于收到了相互冲突的人类指令，并决定杀死宇航员来保证两种指令都能够实现。 [10] 法国经济学家。 [11] 美国经济和社会理论家、作家、公众演说家、政治顾问和活动家。 [12] 经济学家、教授，现任斯坦福大学数字经济实验室主任。 [13] 研究员、作家，MIT斯隆管理学院副教授、MIT数字经济计划副主任。 [14] http://digamo.free.fr/brynmacafee2.pdf/ [15]https://www.brookings.edu/articles/rising-inequality-a-major-issue-of-our-time/ [16] 硅谷投资人，PayPal创始人，企业家、风险投资家、政治思想家、作家。 [17] 经济学家、哲学家、道德理论家，古典经济学奠基人。 [18] 芬兰哲学家。 [19] 社会学家、经济学家、历史学家、政治学理论家，德国社会学与历史学传统的代表人物之一，被称为现代社会学的奠基人之一。 [20] http://www.catb.org/esr/faqs/hacker-howto.html [21] 这三个词的区别在斯密研究中并没有得到广泛讨论。一些学者认为它们是同义的，通过重复表达强调（参考J.Z. Muller, (1993) Adam Smith in His Time and Ours: Designing the Decent Society, New York: Free Press第69页，Willie Henderson and Warren J. Samuels, (2004) The etiology of Adam Smith’s division of labor, in Essays on the History of Economics）。就这三个词在英语中的使用历史而言，truck system在英国曾经意为用实物作为工资的薪资制度，barter通常指不涉及货币的物物交换。 [22] Eric Fromm, Marx's Concept of Man. [23] 古希腊哲学家。 [24]https://happyheartfamilies.citymax.com/f/Self_Efficacy.pdf [25]https://happyheartfamilies.citymax.com/f/Self_Efficacy.pdf [26] 一个专注于在线支付处理和金融基础设施的平台，帮助企业在互联网上管理资金流动。 [27]https://www.applogicnetworks.com/blog/sandvines-2024-global-internet-phenomena-report-global-internet-usage-continues-to-grow [28]https://www.emarketer.com/learningcenter/guides/amazon-revenue/ [29]https://cxotoday.com/news-analysis/big-tech-to-own-two-thirds-of-world-data/#:~:text=Without%20sounding%20like%20a%20predictor%20of%20doomsday%2C,data%20centers%20while%20the%20rest%20is%20on [30]https://botpopuli.net/digging-deeper-assessing-big-techs-capture-of-the-internets-infrastructure/#:~:text=The%20dominance%20of%20Big%20Tech,Services%20(AWS)%20in%202006. [31]https://academic.oup.com/policyandsociety/advance-article/doi/10.1093/polsoc/puae012/7636223 [32]https://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-tech-set-to-invest-325-billion-this-year-as-hefty-ai-bills-come-under-scrutiny-182329236.html [33]https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/12/05/1084393/make-no-mistake-ai-is-owned-by-big-tech/ [34]https://academic.oup.com/policyandsociety/advance-article/doi/10.1093/polsoc/puae012/7636223 [35]https://academic.oup.com/policyandsociety/advance-article/doi/10.1093/polsoc/puae012/7636223 [36]https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/12/05/1084393/make-no-mistake-ai-is-owned-by-big-tech/ [37] 硅谷知名投资人，安德森·霍洛维茨基金（Andreessen Horowitz，简称a16z）的普通合伙人（General Partner）。 [38]https://a16z.com/why-deepseek-is-a-gift-to-the-american-people/ [39]https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2023/11/01/2023-24283/safe-secure-and-trustworthy-development-and-use-of-artificial-intelligence [40] 美国著名记者、专栏作家，独立新闻平台自由新闻（The Free Press）的创办人。 [41]https://darioamodei.com/on-deepseek-and-export-controls [42] 半导体行业分析师，SemiAnalysis网站创始人。 [43] AI研究员、工程师。 [44]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TcJtvzF-FP8&t=2736s [45]http://www.northamericannietzschesociety.com/uploads/7/3/2/5/73251013/nietzscheana5.pdf [46] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agon [47] 霍布斯的《利维坦》（Leviathan）中对自然状态下的人的生活的刻画。 [48] 安德森·霍洛维茨基金普通合伙人，负责加密货币与Web3投资部门（a16z crypto）。 [49] 比特币（Bitcoin）的创造者，身份不明。 [50] 也译为“代币经济学”，是对加密货币或区块链项目的经济层面的研究和分析，尤其关注其原生数字代币的设计和发行。该术语由“代币/通证”（token）和“经济学”（economics）两个词组合而成。 [51] 古希腊哲学家。 [52] 美国教授和公共知识分子，以其在语言学、政治活动和社会批评领域的研究而闻名。乔姆斯基有时被称为“现代语言学之父”，他也是分析哲学的重要人物和认知科学领域的创始人之一。 [53] 美国经济学家、媒体学者和社会评论家。 [54] https://focalizalaatencion.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/herman-chomsky-2002-manufacturingconsent.pdf [55] https://explodingtopics.com/blog/startup-failure-stats

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Using form, color, typography, and art direction, designers create entire worlds around fragrance – translating scent into sight, touch, and story. But how do you design for something you cannot see? And can design help us smell what we see?

Does design have a smell? While sight, touch, and even taste have long been intertwined with aesthetics, scent remains a more elusive medium – intangible yet profoundly evocative. In a screen-based world, scent has to be seen before it’s smelled – meaning design does more heavy-lifting. Unlike the olden days of magazine inserts spritzed with perfume, scent no longer leads the experience. Instead, branding has to translate fragrance into something we can see, study, and feel. But how do you give form to the formless? Can design make us smell what we see?

Fragrance has always been a playground for aesthetic exploration. Perfume branding has historically been an exercise in worldbuilding; desire is conjured through design. Think of David Lynch’s commercial for YSL’s Opium, a hypnotic fever dream of saturated reds and oranges and surreal imagery, where the perfume becomes almost mythical – more ritual than product. Or take vintage Guerlain ads, whose painterly compositions and opulent typography evoke a world of old-money glamour and whispered intrigue. Here, design and art direction don’t just encode meaning; they heighten the fantasy. The aesthetics transcend the physical product to sell a feeling, an atmosphere – a dream.

Continue reading at https://www.itsnicethat.com/features/designing-for-scent-branding-graphic-design-feature-240425

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/978832

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You don’t have to be a type designer to appreciate what goes into the design of a letterform. In fact, even if you’re just a humble graphic designer, you should have a basic knowledge of what constructs the type you employ.

Typography, for all its concepts, expectations, implications, connotations and artistry, is, ultimately, a system. Just like a body has bones and muscles, every letterform has parts that give it shape, rhythm, and character.

If you're a creative working with type, learning the names of these parts helps you communicate clearly, better analyze your work and others, and design with precision. Everything comes down to a foundational understanding of the anatomy of the letterform and its essential component. So let’s help you with that.

Pangram Pangram Foundry is where the art of typography meets unparalleled craftsmanship. Established in 2018 by designer Mat Desjardins, Pangram Pangram has swiftly risen to become a globally recognized independent type foundry, admired and trusted by industry peers and the design community alike.

Read more about the anatomy of fonts at https://pangrampangram.com/blogs/journal/anatomy-of-the-letterform

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/978828

@ 961e8955:d7fa53e4

Cryptocurrency has been a buzzword for some time now, and Turkey is one of the countries that have been actively involved in the crypto market. However, the Turkish government has recently introduced new regulations on cryptocurrency trading and mining. This article aims to provide you with an overview of the cryptocurrency regulations in Turkey and some investor tips to navigate the market.

Overview of Cryptocurrency Regulations in Turkey

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) and the Capital Markets Board of Turkey (CMB) are the two regulatory bodies that oversee the cryptocurrency market in Turkey. Here are some of the recent regulations introduced by the Turkish government:

Ban on Cryptocurrency Payments: In April 2021, the CBRT banned the use of cryptocurrencies for payment transactions in Turkey. This means that businesses are not allowed to accept payments in cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin.

Regulation of Crypto Exchanges: The CMB introduced regulations in May 2021 that require all cryptocurrency exchanges operating in Turkey to register with the CMB. Crypto exchanges must also meet certain criteria, such as having a minimum capital of 50 million Turkish Lira ($5.8 million) and complying with anti-money laundering regulations.

Ban on Crypto Mining: In May 2021, the Turkish government announced a ban on cryptocurrency mining. This is due to concerns about the environmental impact of mining, as well as the potential for illegal activities such as money laundering.

Investor Tips for Cryptocurrency Trading in Turkey

Understand the Regulations: It is crucial for investors to understand the regulations surrounding cryptocurrency trading and mining in Turkey. Investors must ensure that they comply with all the requirements set by the regulatory bodies to avoid penalties or legal issues.

Choose a Regulated Crypto Exchange: Investors must only use regulated cryptocurrency exchanges that are registered with the CMB. Regulated exchanges are more likely to follow best practices and protect the interests of their users.

Be Careful with Cryptocurrency Mining: As mentioned earlier, cryptocurrency mining is banned in Turkey. Investors must be cautious about investing in any mining operations within Turkey as they may face legal action.

Do Your Research: Before investing in any cryptocurrency, investors must conduct thorough research to understand the risks and potential rewards of their investment. They should also keep up-to-date with the latest developments in the cryptocurrency market and regulations in Turkey.

Be Mindful of Taxes: The Turkish government taxes cryptocurrency trading profits, and investors must report their earnings from cryptocurrency trading in their tax returns.

Conclusion Cryptocurrency regulations in Turkey have recently become more stringent, and investors must take extra precautions to ensure they comply with all the requirements. Investors must only use regulated cryptocurrency exchanges, understand the regulations, do their research, be mindful of taxes, and avoid cryptocurrency mining operations within Turkey. By following these tips, investors can navigate the Turkish cryptocurrency market and make informed investment decisions.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Steve Jobs sent me an email saying “Great idea, thank you."

Wait, what? What was the great idea?

new guy at NeXT In October of 1991, I was a new Systems Engineer at NeXT. NeXT, of course, was the company Steve Jobs had founded after leaving Apple in 1985, and which eventually merged back into Apple in 1996. I was one of three employees in Canada, and I think NeXT had about 400 people total.

NeXTMail Mail on the NeXT Computer was pretty amazing in 1991. Multimedia! Fonts! Attachments! Sounds! It’s hard to overstate how cool that was compared to the command line email everybody was used to. Every NeXT user got this email from Steve when they started up their computer.

That message included an attachment of what NeXT called Lip Service, the crazy idea that you could embed an audio file inside an email message. Crazy.

i have an idea

NeXT automatically set everybody up with a first-initial last-name address in the usual way, so I was shayman@next.com, and the big guy was sjobs@next.com.

A few colleagues had somehow acquired cooler email aliases - single letter things, or their first name, or a nickname or an easier to spell version, or whatever. Turns out NeXT had set up some sort of form where you could request an email alias that would redirect to whatever your real email address was.

I also noticed that even though there were seven or eight people at NeXT named Steve, nobody was using the email alias steve@next.com.

So late one Friday night, two weeks into the job, I figured, naively, what the heck, nobody else seems to want it, so I filled in the form asking for steve@next.com to be forwarded to me, shayman@next.com.

In the back of my mind was a vague idea that maybe somebody would have to approve this. But no, it all got set up automatically, and …

Continue reading at https://blog.hayman.net/2025/05/06/from-steve-jobs-great-idea.html

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/978825

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

The Cyclauto is efficient and flexible

The Cyclauto, a modular mobility solution. Thanks to its fully adaptable rear chassis, it is possible to develop an infinite number of modules, allowing you to imagine solutions for every need, whether for developing your professional activity or for personal use.

French mobility company Cyclauto has gone through the history books to revive an alternate design from the 1930s.

This design, originally by French industrialist Auguste Reymond, places the rider directly above the front wheel. They pedal this wheel directly; there's no chain, reducing maintenance needs. A three-speed gearbox in the hub makes starting easier.

The new Cyclauto is a three-wheeler designed like a semi-trailer. This design offers an ideal urban mobility solution, combining modularity, disassembly, and efficiency. Whether for professional or personal use, it adapts to everyone's needs by offering an ecological and practical alternative to traditional vehicles. Thanks to its optimized architecture, it combines maneuverability, load capacity, and driving comfort, making it perfect for urban logistics, tradespeople, or individuals looking for versatile transportation.

A utility vehicle for professionals. Suitable for all sectors of activity thanks to its modularity. It will adapt to a multitude of needs. From logistics, transporting pallets, to street food modules. The Cyclauto is the essential intermediate light vehicle for retailers, artisans, or businesses looking for an ecological and economical alternative. Develop your business with Cyclauto.

The eco-friendly personal vehicle suitable for everyone. It's not just a utility vehicle. It's the ideal solution for individuals looking for sustainable mobility. Whether it's for transporting equipment, shopping, hiking for several days, or even for everyday use, Cyclauto meets your needs flexibly while also including active mobility. The latter aspect is very important for staying healthy. We discuss it in more depth here.

A detachable three-wheeler, very practical for everyday use. The Cyclauto can be disassembled in several ways. This allows you to modify its use by changing the module, or to load it into a trunk for easy transport from point A to point B.

Detach the trailer from the Cyclauto. Still with the semi-trailer idea, the first level of disassembly allows the rear chassis to be uncoupled from the front. This greatly reduces its footprint, but also allows one front chassis to be used for several modules. Very practical in the case of an activity requiring several layouts.

Larger disassembly for easier transport. In addition to being able to remove the front chassis from the rear, the latter is composed of two removable overlapping frames. This architecture has several advantages, the first being the space saving when transporting the Cyclauto. The second is that it allows us to adapt the frame to our needs, by modifying the length of the upper frame. The positioning of the rear wheels is also adaptable depending on the use.

Cyclauto, an efficient three-wheeler thanks to exclusive solutions. Many parts and assemblies are specially developed for our vehicle. From its chassis with its unique geometry to its pedal system, everything is designed to optimize its performance.

Uncompromising handling. Its architecture makes it a compact, agile three-wheeler, at home in city traffic as well as on cycle paths. The split chassis with its pivot point at the seat, coupled with a steering wheel and short wheelbase, offers an exceptional turning radius. The front-positioned cockpit allows for minimal bulk.

A unique traction system in the world. The Cyclauto's main feature is its pedaling system. You pedal directly on the front wheel. All the force you exert on the pedal is transmitted directly to the ground. In addition, its hub incorporates a three-speed gearbox, allowing for easy starting and a pleasant pedaling experience once you're underway.

Discover more at https://cyclauto.com

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/978822

@ eab58da0:eebdafbf

Life has a way of throwing curveballs when you least expect them. From personal setbacks to professional challenges, the ability to bounce back—self-resilience—has been my anchor through turbulent times. For me, resilience isn’t just about enduring hardship; it’s about growing stronger, wiser, and more compassionate through it. This is my story of cultivating self-resilience, woven with lessons I’ve learned and strategies that have carried me forward.

The Power of Bouncing Back

Self-resilience is the inner strength to recover from adversity, adapt to change, and keep moving forward. It’s not about avoiding pain or pretending everything is fine; it’s about facing challenges head-on and emerging with a renewed sense of purpose. I’ve come to see resilience as a muscle—something you build through practice, reflection, and intentional effort. My journey toward resilience began in my early twenties, during a particularly dark chapter of my life.

A few years ago, I faced a devastating breakup that left me questioning my worth. I had poured everything into that relationship, only to watch it crumble overnight. The emotional toll was immense; I felt lost, unmoored, and unsure of how to move forward. At the same time, I was navigating a demanding job that left little room for self-care. The weight of it all felt crushing, and for a while, I let it define me. But something inside me refused to stay broken.

That period taught me my first lesson in resilience: acknowledging pain is the first step to healing. I allowed myself to feel the hurt, to cry, to journal my thoughts—raw and unfiltered. I didn’t rush to “get over it” but gave myself permission to process. Slowly, I began to rebuild. I sought therapy, which helped me untangle my emotions and reframe my perspective. I started small—taking walks, reconnecting with friends, and setting tiny goals like reading a book or cooking a new recipe. Each step, no matter how small, was a victory.

Strategies That Shaped My Resilience

Through trial and error, I discovered practical tools that strengthened my resilience. One of the most powerful was cultivating a growth mindset. I began to view challenges as opportunities to learn rather than as failures. When I didn’t get a promotion I’d worked hard for, I was disappointed, but instead of dwelling on it, I asked for feedback and used it to improve. This shift in thinking transformed how I approached setbacks.

Another key strategy was building a support network. I used to pride myself on being independent, but I learned that resilience doesn’t mean going it alone. Opening up to trusted friends and family gave me perspective and encouragement. I’ll never forget the late-night conversations with my best friend, who listened without judgment and reminded me of my strength when I couldn’t see it myself.

Self-care also became non-negotiable. I started prioritizing sleep, exercise, and mindfulness practices like meditation. Even five minutes of deep breathing during a stressful workday made a difference. These habits grounded me, helping me stay steady when life felt chaotic.

Lessons for the Future

Reflecting on my journey, I realize resilience is a lifelong practice. Recently, I faced another challenge—moving to a new city for a job opportunity. The excitement was tempered by loneliness and the daunting task of starting over.

But this time, I leaned on the tools I’d developed. I joined local groups to meet people, set realistic expectations for the transition, and reminded myself that discomfort is often a precursor to growth. Six months in, I’m finding my footing, and the experience has reinforced my belief in my ability to adapt.

Resilience doesn’t make life’s challenges disappear, but it equips you to face them with courage and hope. My experiences have taught me that I’m stronger than I often give myself credit for. To anyone reading this, know that resilience is within your reach. Start small, be kind to yourself, and trust that every step forward counts. Life will test you, but with self-resilience, you’ll not only survive—you’ll thrive.

@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2

CHAPTER SEVENTEEN

"I don't get it... How is James still in charge?" Tracy murmured, her brows furrowed as she stared at her screen. She sat in her office, fingers nervously drumming against her desk.

Across from her, Mark stood with arms folded, pacing slowly. "You mean after all that evidence? After the blacklist, the embezzlement records nothing happened?"

Tracy shook her head. "Nothing. I checked again this morning. He’s still listed as President of JP Enterprises. It’s like the files we found didn’t even exist."

Helen, who had been silent until now, hissed through clenched teeth. "This is ridiculous. Are you sure the information got to the right hands?"

"It did," Tracy insisted. "I sent it directly to the Prime Minister's inbox using a confidential channel. I even received a delivery confirmation. Someone higher up must’ve swept it under the rug or maybe James covered his tracks faster than we imagined."

Mark slumped into the chair, clearly defeated. "He’s not just lucky he’s smart. Smarter than we gave him credit for."

For the first time since they began scheming, their confidence had begun to falter. They had dug into James’s past, unearthed the most damning of records, and yet… nothing. He remained untouched. Unshaken.

James continued to lead JP Enterprises with iron resolve, his status not just preserved, but strengthened. Whatever scandal they tried to ignite had fizzled out before it could burn.

The silence from JP's top board members was loud. No statements. No investigations. Not even a whisper of an internal review. To the outside world, James remained the unshakable President who had pulled a crumbling empire back from the edge.

Mark clenched his jaw. "He must have allies who are protecting him."

Helen nodded slowly. "We underestimated him. That was our biggest mistake."

Tracy remained quiet, her eyes still fixed on the screen as if trying to decipher what had gone wrong. She had risked everything, accessed confidential files, and violated protocols, expecting James to crumble.

Instead, he was thriving.

"Have you heard?" Robert leaned over his desk, eyes wide with interest. "JP Enterprises is about to celebrate their sixteenth anniversary. It’s going to be the biggest corporate event of the year."

Christopher looked up from the documents he was reviewing. "I heard. Mr. and Mrs. JP are returning for it. The entire business world is going to be there including us."

Robert nodded. "Every major company in and out of the city has received an invitation. It’s not just a celebration, it's a power show. A way for JP Enterprises to remind everyone who’s at the top."

Indeed, the buzz around the sixteenth anniversary of JP Enterprises was like nothing the city had seen in years. Massive banners were already being hoisted across the city skyline. High-end hotels were fully booked. Fashion designers, chefs, tech specialists, and media crews from around the world were preparing for the grand occasion. It was more than a business event, it was a spectacle.

At the heart of the preparations was James, the young and surprisingly unshakable President of JP Enterprises. Under his leadership, the company had grown in power and reach, and the anniversary was both a celebration of its legacy and a testament to its transformation.

Meanwhile, at Ray Enterprises, tension brewed behind the scenes. Though they were invited, the Ray family carried mixed feelings about attending the event. Memories of humiliation and disbelief still lingered the day James had revealed himself as the President was still fresh in their minds.

"We have no choice but to attend," Helen muttered in frustration during a board meeting. "If we stay away, we’ll seem petty and afraid. But going there means bowing our heads to him again."

Sarah, the secretary, tried to mask her discomfort. "It’s a corporate event, ma’am. It might be best to appear neutral… diplomatic."

Rita, now reinstated as General Manager, remained quiet but observant. She knew better than anyone how unpredictable James could be when it came to public appearances. She had no idea what to expect from him at the anniversary.

Back at JP Enterprises, preparations continued in full force. The guest list included billionaires, global CEOs, high-ranking politicians, and the most influential figures across industries. Red carpets would roll out, cameras would flash, and speeches would echo through the grand hall like music from an orchestra.

The city, already buzzing with excitement, awaited the grand event.

"I can’t believe it," the young woman muttered as she stared at her phone, her hands trembling with excitement. "James… the same James who used to sleep in front of Mr. Kola’s grocery store? He’s the President of JP Enterprises now?"

Her name was Evelyn. Sharp-tongued, impatient, and fueled by bitter memories, she had known James during his hardest days on the streets, days when survival meant fighting for leftovers and sleeping on cold sidewalks. To her, his rise wasn’t a success story to be admired. It was a jackpot she felt entitled to.

Storming into the JP Enterprises headquarters during working hours, Evelyn ignored the receptionist's polite inquiries and pushed her way toward the executive wing.

"I want to see James!" she shouted, causing heads to turn in the busy lobby. "I know he’s here. Tell him Evelyn from the street is here!"

Security was alerted immediately, but by then, Evelyn had already reached the waiting area outside the President’s office.

James, who was in a brief meeting with department heads, heard the commotion and stepped out with a composed expression. As soon as his eyes met Evelyn’s, something shifted. He recognized her instantly.

"Evelyn?" he said, frowning slightly. "What are you doing here?"

"Don’t act like you don’t know me, James," she snapped, crossing her arms. "You owe me. We suffered together. I was there when you were nothing. Now you’re swimming in wealth and you think you can forget the people who once mattered!"

James’s expression hardened.

"This is not the place for this kind of talk. You’re disrupting my company’s operations. If you need help, there are proper channels"

"To hell with proper channels!" she yelled. "I came to get what’s mine!"

That was enough. James turned to the nearby security officer. "Escort her out. And make sure she doesn’t return without a valid appointment."

The security guards moved quickly, but Evelyn didn’t go quietly. She shouted all the way to the exit, throwing insults, struggling, and drawing even more attention.

Among those who witnessed the scene was Tracy. At first, she thought it was just a random case of disturbance by some unruly visitor trying to make trouble. But as she watched James’s calm yet stern expression, and the woman’s emotional outburst, something clicked in her cunning mind.

This is gold, she thought, quickly pulling out her phone and snapping a series of pictures from the hallway James arguing with a ragged woman, the woman being dragged out, and James watching in silence. What a perfect way to ruin his reputation.

Tracy, ever the opportunist, reviewed the photos and smirked.

This is it… this will shake him up.

Without hesitation, she sent the pictures to Helen and Mark, attaching a voice note.

@ eab58da0:eebdafbf

Hey there, it’s me. Someone who used to run through life like it was a marathon with no finish line. For years, I chased everything: the perfect job, the dream apartment, the Instagram-worthy moments.

I’d wake up exhausted, convinced I was one step behind where I should be. That was my normal—until the day I just… stopped.

The breaking point. It was a rainy Tuesday, and I’d just bombed a big presentation at work. My inbox was overflowing, my coffee was cold, and I felt like a failure. I remember sitting on my couch, staring at the wall, thinking, “What’s the point?” I’d been chasing this idea of success, but it kept moving further away. That’s when it hit me—I wasn’t living. I was just running.

So, I did something radical: nothing. I turned off my phone, made a cup of tea, and sat in silence. No goals, no to-do lists, just me and the rain tapping on the window. It felt weird at first—like I was breaking some unwritten rule—but then it felt… freeing. I started small after that. Walks without a podcast. Cooking without rushing. Saying no to things that didn’t light me up. I stopped chasing and started showing up for the life I already had.

Looking Back. Now, months later, I see that day as a turning point. I still have dreams, but they don’t own me anymore. I’ve learned to savor the messy, quiet moments—the ones I used to overlook. Life’s not perfect, but it’s mine. And honestly? That’s enough.

@ eaccf0cb:23be2b8f

Trong thời đại công nghệ phát triển nhanh chóng, việc tìm kiếm một nền tảng số toàn diện, thân thiện và ổn định đã trở thành nhu cầu thiết yếu đối với người dùng. LU8 chính là câu trả lời cho nhu cầu đó, khi mang đến một hệ sinh thái tích hợp với giao diện thông minh, cấu trúc hợp lý và tốc độ xử lý vượt trội. Mọi thao tác trên LU8 đều được thiết kế để tối giản hóa quá trình sử dụng, từ việc đăng ký, truy cập đến thao tác các tiện ích bên trong. Tính năng tương thích đa nền tảng là một trong những điểm mạnh nổi bật, cho phép người dùng sử dụng LU8 linh hoạt trên điện thoại, máy tính bảng hoặc máy tính cá nhân mà không gặp bất kỳ rào cản nào về kỹ thuật hay hiệu suất. Ngoài ra, LU8 thường xuyên cập nhật các xu hướng công nghệ mới, giúp hệ thống luôn vận hành trơn tru và đáp ứng kịp thời những thay đổi trong hành vi người dùng. Việc áp dụng các thuật toán tối ưu hóa hiệu suất cũng giúp thời gian phản hồi của hệ thống nhanh hơn, mang lại trải nghiệm liền mạch cho người dùng ở mọi hoàn cảnh.

Không chỉ dừng lại ở khả năng vận hành mượt mà, LU8 còn đặc biệt chú trọng đến yếu tố bảo mật và sự an toàn thông tin cá nhân cho người sử dụng. Hệ thống được xây dựng trên nền tảng mã hóa hiện đại, sử dụng nhiều lớp xác thực và kiểm tra chéo để ngăn chặn các rủi ro đến từ bên ngoài. Việc này không chỉ giúp bảo vệ dữ liệu một cách toàn diện mà còn tăng cường mức độ tin cậy từ phía người dùng, đặc biệt là trong những hoạt động yêu cầu tính riêng tư cao. LU8 còn cung cấp các tùy chọn bảo mật nâng cao như xác minh qua email, mã OTP và các công cụ nhận diện thiết bị truy cập để hỗ trợ người dùng quản lý tài khoản một cách hiệu quả nhất. Ngoài ra, quá trình sao lưu dữ liệu được thực hiện định kỳ, đảm bảo không có sự cố mất mát nào ảnh hưởng đến trải nghiệm tổng thể. Đội ngũ kỹ thuật đứng sau LU8 luôn theo dõi hệ thống liên tục, nhằm phát hiện và khắc phục mọi sự cố có thể xảy ra trong thời gian ngắn nhất. Những yếu tố này cho thấy LU8 không chỉ là một nền tảng công nghệ hiện đại, mà còn là một hệ thống được đầu tư bài bản với mục tiêu dài hạn.

Bên cạnh sự mạnh mẽ về công nghệ và bảo mật, LU8 còn tạo nên khác biệt thông qua chất lượng chăm sóc khách hàng vượt trội. Với hệ thống hỗ trợ trực tuyến hoạt động liên tục 24/7, người dùng luôn nhận được sự hỗ trợ tận tình, nhanh chóng và chính xác từ đội ngũ chuyên viên. Mọi thắc mắc, từ đơn giản đến phức tạp, đều được giải đáp cặn kẽ, giúp người dùng an tâm hơn khi tương tác với nền tảng. LU8 cũng duy trì một kênh phản hồi mở, nơi người dùng có thể gửi góp ý để cải thiện chất lượng dịch vụ. Các ý kiến này không bị bỏ qua mà luôn được phân tích và áp dụng vào quá trình nâng cấp hệ thống nhằm phục vụ người dùng tốt hơn mỗi ngày. Ngoài ra, LU8 thường xuyên triển khai các chương trình tri ân khách hàng, khuyến khích sự gắn bó lâu dài và xây dựng cộng đồng người dùng tích cực. Trong tương lai, LU8 đặt mục tiêu mở rộng hơn nữa phạm vi ứng dụng và tích hợp thêm nhiều tiện ích mới, tạo nên một nền tảng số toàn diện, đáp ứng đa dạng nhu cầu của người dùng hiện đại và không ngừng thích ứng với xu hướng công nghệ toàn cầu.

@ 75869cfa:76819987

GM, Nostriches!

The Nostr Review is a biweekly newsletter focused on Nostr statistics, protocol updates, exciting programs, the long-form content ecosystem, and key events happening in the Nostr-verse. If you’re interested, join me in covering updates from the Nostr ecosystem!

Quick review:

In the past two weeks, Nostr statistics indicate over 211,000 daily trusted pubkey events. The number of new users has seen a notable decrease, Profiles with contact lists were representing a 50% decline. More than 5 million events have been published, reflecting a 34% decrease. Total Zap activity stands at approximately 14 million, marking a 12% increase.

Additionally, 25 pull requests were submitted to the Nostr protocol, with 8 merged. A total of 60 Nostr projects were tracked, with 18 releasing product updates, and over 356 long-form articles were published, 36% focusing on Bitcoin and Nostr. During this period, 5 notable events took place, and 2 significant events are upcoming.

Nostr Statistics

Based on user activity, the total daily trusted pubkeys writing events is about 211,000, representing a slight 2.7 % decrease compared to the previous period. Daily activity peaked at 17027 events, with a low of approximately 15340.

The number of new users has decreased significantly.Profiles with contact lists were 12961, representing a decline of approximately 50% compared to the previous period. The number of profiles with bios and pubkey-written events remained stable.

The total number of note events published is around 5 million, reflecting a 34% decrease.Posts remain the most dominant category by volume, representing a 9% decrease compared to the previous period.

For zap activity, the total zap amount is about 14 million, showing an decrease of over 12% compared to the previous period.

Data source: https://stats.nostr.band/

NIPs

Introduce NIP-PNS: Private Note Storage #1893

nostr:npub1xtscya34g58tk0z605fvr788k263gsu6cy9x0mhnm87echrgufzsevkk5s is proposing PNS that empowers Nostr users with a secure and seamless way to store personal notes—like diaries, drafts, or private application settings—across devices while keeping them completely private. Built on client-side encryption, PNS ensures that only the user can read or manage their notes, even as they sync effortlessly via Nostr relays. Unlike traditional local storage or cumbersome encrypted file solutions, PNS offers privacy without sacrificing convenience, using deterministic keys tied to each user or device. It integrates directly with Nostr’s open infrastructure, enabling private data to coexist with public events—secure, synchronized, and under your control.

Create 97.md: Ring Signatures #1894

nostr:npub1u5njm6g5h5cpw4wy8xugu62e5s7f6fnysv0sj0z3a8rengt2zqhsxrldq3 is proposing a PR that ring signatures can be synergistic with other web of trust related tools.

Introduce NIP: Relay metadata propagation #1900

nostr:npub1txukm7xckhnxkwu450sm59vh2znwm45mewaps4awkef2tvsgh4vsf7phrl is proposing a simple propagation mechanism for kind:0 (user metadata) and kind:10002 (relay list metadata) events between relays. Relays are allowed to forward such events to their peers, improving client synchronization.

Rewrite the DVM spec #1904

nostr:npub1gzuushllat7pet0ccv9yuhygvc8ldeyhrgxuwg744dn5khnpk3gs3ea5ds defines a standardized interaction pattern for Nostr Data Vending Machines (DVMs). It focuses on how clients discover DVM capabilities, request jobs, and receive results. This NIP decouples the core DVM interaction from specific job-type implementations, which should be defined in separate documents.

NIP-47 Add Hold Invoice Support #1913

frnandu is proposing PR that introduces support for hold invoices in the Nostr Wallet Connect (NIP-47) protocol.Hold invoices enable more advanced payment workflows where the receiver must explicitly settle or cancel the invoice using the preimage. This allows for enhanced control and coordination in payment flows, such as conditional payments or escrow-like behavior.

Add A Generic Raitng/Review NIP #1914

nostr:npub1cgd35mxmy37vhkfcmjckk9dylguz6q8l67cj6h9m45tj5rx569cql9kfex is proposing generic nip that meant to handle all categories of things via namespaced Ids.

Notable Projects

​​Coracle 0.6.15 nostr:npub13myx4j0pp9uenpjjq68wdvqzywuwxfj64welu28mdvaku222mjtqzqv3qk

New version of Coracle is out: 0.6.15 — this one is just more QoL improvements and bugfixes — the big one this time is better blossom support (and dropping nip 96!). * Fix safe areas more * Improve remote signing * Drop nip 96 support * Use user blossom servers * Improve profile edit page * Avoid duplicate notes in feeds

Flotilla nostr:npub1jlrs53pkdfjnts29kveljul2sm0actt6n8dxrrzqcersttvcuv3qdjynqn

New version of Flotilla is out as well — 1.0.2 is mostly cleanup from the 1.0 release earlier this week. * Fix add relay button * Fix safe inset areas * Better rendering for errors from relays * Improve remote signer login

Damus Notedeck Beta nostr:npub18m76awca3y37hkvuneavuw6pjj4525fw90necxmadrvjg0sdy6qsngq955

New in Notedeck Beta: * Dave nostr ai assistant app * GIFs! * Fulltext note search * Add full screen images, add zoom & pan * Zaps! NWC/ Wallet ui * Introduce last note per pubkey feed (experimental) * Allow multiple media uploads per selection * Major Android improvements (still wip) * Added notedeck app sidebar * User Tagging * Note truncation * Local network note broadcast, broadcast notes to other notedeck notes while you're offline * Mute list support (reading) * Relay list support * Ctrl-enter to send notes * Added relay indexing (relay columns soon) * Click hashtags to open hashtag timeline

Primal V2.2 nostr:npub12vkcxr0luzwp8e673v29eqjhrr7p9vqq8asav85swaepclllj09sylpugg

Version 2.2 is now live, bringing long-awaited features like Amber signing support and much more. Here’s what’s new: * Blossom media * Push notifications * Notifications overhaul * External signer support * Feed: image gallery revamp * Muted words, hashtags, & threads * Request delete for notes and articles * System photos: share via Primal

Nostur nostr:npub1n0stur7q092gyverzc2wfc00e8egkrdnnqq3alhv7p072u89m5es5mk6h0

New in this version: * Add blossom media server support * Support multiple blossom servers as mirror * Fixed feed position reset on audio bar toggle * Fixed post screenshot broken for quoted posts

Fountain 1.2 nostr:npub1v5ufyh4lkeslgxxcclg8f0hzazhaw7rsrhvfquxzm2fk64c72hps45n0v5

Fountain 1.2 is live on iOS and Android This massive update brings significant design and UX improvements across the app along with new episode summaries features. Here's what's new: * Library Design Update: Fountain has made it much easier to navigate between podcasts and music in the library with the addition of new content-type filters. The Recently Played view allows users to quickly jump back into what they were listening to before, and the design of the content cards has also been refreshed. * Content Pages Design Update: All content pages—including shows, episodes, artists, albums, tracks, clips, and playlists—have undergone an extensive redesign. The previous tab layout has been replaced with scrollable pages, show notes formatting has been improved, and features like chapters and transcripts have been revamped. * Episode Summaries: Each episode page now features a Summary button above the show notes. Users can pay 500 sats to unlock a summary or upgrade to Fountain Premium for $2.99/month to enjoy unlimited summaries. Summaries and transcripts are now bundled together, and they’re faster, cheaper, and more accurate than ever before. * Playback Improvements: The audio engine has been completely rebuilt from the ground up. Playback is now more robust and reliable—especially for music. Tracks now play instantly when tapped, and users can skip seamlessly between tracks in albums and playlists. The player interface has also been updated for easier access to show notes, comments, transcripts, and chapters, with the addition of a smart resume feature for podcasts.

DEG Mods nostr:npub17jl3ldd6305rnacvwvchx03snauqsg4nz8mruq0emj9thdpglr2sst825x

• New Events Aggregator Server, a type of aggregate/caching server that helps collect and organize mod and blog posts from the (nostr) network and presents them to the user, providing more (immensely more) reliability in discovering and presenting mods and blog posts.
• Adjusted how the mods and blogs are fetched and presented in various pages (there's now pagination for each of their pages, making navigation easier than before).
• Minor adjustment to the design of the gallery of mod posts.
• Images in a social post (in /feed) are now clustered depending on if they're next to each other.
• Quote-repost chain won't render its preview with the second quote-repost (under the posts tab in the feed page).
• Added media upload to the edit profile page.
• The games page now has a filter to switch between popular ones (shows the most popular games first based on mods published to it) or latest ones (shows games based on the latest published mods).
• Mods that are blocked by the user are now swapped with a box telling the user this is a blocked mod by them, with an option to see what that mod is.
• Mods can now be properly discovered, as soon as they're discovered, and presented (Because of that aggregate server implementation).
• A lot more games, with better search term prioritization, are now properly showing when searching in the mod submission page
• Visiting a social post directly is now visible without needing to login

RUNSTR nostr:npub1vygzr642y6f8gxcjx6auaf2vd25lyzarpjkwx9kr4y752zy6058s8jvy4e

• Record your cardio and post to nostr
• Save your stats to nostr
• Listen to your nostr:npub1yfg0d955c2jrj2080ew7pa4xrtj7x7s7umt28wh0zurwmxgpyj9shwv6vg playlists and zap your favorite artists
• Interact with the Kind1 RUNSTR Feed
• Interact with NIP29 run clubs

voca v0.1.4

nostr:npub17h9fn2ny0lycg7kmvxmw6gqdnv2epya9h9excnjw9wvml87nyw8sqy3hpu Now it's possible to keep playing your text while voca is in the background.

Wasabi Wallet v2.6.0 nostr:npub1jw7scmeuewhywwytqxkxec9jcqf3znw2fsyddcn3948lw9q950ps9y35fg

• Support for Standard BIP 158 Block Filters
• Full Node Integration Rework
• Create & Recover SLIP 39 Shares
• Nostr Update Manager

Futr nostr nostr:npub18wxf0t5jsmcpy57ylzx595twskx8eyj382lj7wp9rtlhzdg5hnnqvt4xra

• Solved memory leak in Qt5
• Fixed recursive re-rendering bug in Qt5
• Enable QML debugger through Haskell binding
• Improve event handling and Qt5 signal triggering

ZEUS v0.11.0 nostr:npub1xnf02f60r9v0e5kty33a404dm79zr7z2eepyrk5gsq3m7pwvsz2sazlpr5

ZEUS v0.11.0-alpha3 with Cashu support is now available for testing: * Fix: addresses issues with sweeping Cashu tokens to self-custody with remote connections * Feat: Core Lightning: Taproot address support * Misc: UX enhancements * Cashu wallets are tied to Embedded LND wallets. Enable under Settings > Ecash * Other wallet types can still sweep funds from Cashu tokens * ZEUS Pay now supports Cashu address types. You can switch between Zaplocker, Cashu, and NWC mode but can only use one at a time.

Oracolo nostr:npub10000003zmk89narqpczy4ff6rnuht2wu05na7kpnh3mak7z2tqzsv8vwqk

Now the short notes block has two new styles: "Board" and "Full content"; the former shows notes in a pinterest-like fashion on two columns, while the latter shows full notes in full screen.

Umbrel 1.4.1 nostr:npub1aghreq2dpz3h3799hrawev5gf5zc2kt4ch9ykhp9utt0jd3gdu2qtlmhct

• Search files anywhere with ⌘/Ctrl + K
• New Favorites & Recents widgets
• Real-time transfer speed + ETA
• Snappier performance
• Several other enhancements & fixes

Shopstr v0.4.2 nostr:npub15dc33fyg3cpd9r58vlqge2hh8dy6hkkrjxkhluv2xpyfreqkmsesesyv6e

This update brings the following improvements and fixes: * Added Blossom media support for image uploads with metadata stripping * Added a terms of service and privacy policy * Added pagination for product viewing * Fixed relay list duplication bug * Removed excessive bottom margin on marketplace page

nostr.build nostr:npub1nxy4qpqnld6kmpphjykvx2lqwvxmuxluddwjamm4nc29ds3elyzsm5avr7

The latest free features are: * 100MB upload size * Blossom support * David Lynch tribute page

openvibe nostr:npub1plstrz6dhu8q4fq0e4rjpxe2fxe5x87y2w6xpm70gh9qh5tt66kqkgkx8j

• Share Even Further : Crosspost from one network to another, or take posts beyond the open social web. Share anything, anywhere — effortlessly from

Ditto.13 nostr:npub10qdp2fc9ta6vraczxrcs8prqnv69fru2k6s2dj48gqjcylulmtjsg9arpj

Ditto 1.3 is all about discovery. From improved search and event fetching to a brand-new Explore tab, this release makes it easier than ever to find people, posts, and conversations across the #Nostr network. We've also rolled out streaks, media improvements, translation upgrades, and key admin tools.

Long-Form Content Eco

In the past two weeks, more than 356 long-form articles have been published, including over 90 articles on Bitcoin and more than 37 related to Nostr, accounting for 36% of the total content.

These articles about Nostr mainly explore the ongoing evolution and challenges of the decentralized protocol, including relay scalability, spam mitigation, signer tools, and publishing workflows. They highlight the network’s technical progress as it handles increasing data loads and infrastructure demands, while also addressing issues like spam and search limitations. Many articles focus on content creation and distribution, showcasing tools for decentralized publishing and media hosting. Others introduce practical guides for secure identity management and signer usage. The ecosystem’s economic potential is also discussed, with suggestions for monetization and community growth. Personal reflections and critiques further illustrate the culture and complexity of Nostr as it expands.

These articles about Bitcoin cover a broad spectrum of topics, highlighting its evolving role in technology, culture, and the global economy. They discuss core concepts such as decentralization, financial sovereignty, and Bitcoin as digital gold, while also addressing current issues like OP_RETURN restrictions, mining centralization, and environmental concerns. Real-world use cases—such as remittances, merchant adoption, and Bitcoin's growth in emerging markets like Africa and South America—are frequently explored. Many articles focus on user education, including wallet security, key management, and node operation. Others provide commentary through book reviews, political reflections, and personal narratives, illustrating how Bitcoin is shaping both individual behavior and institutional thinking.
Thank you, nostr:npub186a9aaqmyp436j0gkxl8yswhat2ampahxunpmfjv80qwyaglywhqswhd06 nostr:npub1xncam2l8u5chg6w096v89f2q2l0lz4jz4n7q7tdjsu6y5t9qea7q2cmrua nostr:npub10m6lrv2kaf08a8um0plhj5dj6yqlw7qxzeag6393z352zrs0e5nsr2tff3 nostr:npub15hhygatg5gmjyfkkguqn54f9r6k8m5m6ksyqffgjrf3uut982sqsffn4vc nostr:npub18ams6ewn5aj2n3wt2qawzglx9mr4nzksxhvrdc4gzrecw7n5tvjqctp424 nostr:npub1rsv7kx5avkmq74p85v878e9d5g3w626343xhyg76z5ctfc30kz7q9u4dke nostr:npub1jp3776ujdul56rfkkrv8rxxgrslqr07rz83xpmz3ndl74lg7ngys320eg2 nostr:npub1dk8z5f8pkrn2746xuhfk347a0g6fsxh20wk492fh9h8lkha2efxqgeq55a nostr:npub18sufer6dgm9gzvt8gw37x08dk8gxr8u80rh8f4rjv4m4u73wlalsygnz5q nostr:npub1qpdufhjpel94srm3ett2azgf49m9dp3n5nm2j0rt0l2mlmc3ux3qza082j nostr:npub1th6p84x9u5p4lagglkvm8zepa2dq4s9eanp57vcj4w5652kafads7m930q nostr:npub1xx8t4wk2cvnz5ez7sxkvx40phgqa05a8qas4mcss0fjcdx3x96hq7jdm20 npub1qn4ylq6s79tz4gwkphq8q4sltwurs6s36xsq2u8aw3qd5ggwzuf, nostr:npub1jrr9dlerex7tg8njvc88c60asxnf5dp8hgcerh0q8w3gdyurl48q6s5nwv nostr:npub1harur8s4wmwzgrugwdmrd9gcv6zzfkzfmp36xu4tel0ces7j2uas3gcqdy and others, for your work. Enriching Nostr’s long-form content ecosystem is crucial.

Nostriches Global Meet Ups

Recently, several Nostr events have been hosted in different countries. * Recently, YakiHonne collaborated with the University of Jos and Ipaybtc community to successfully host two Nostr Workshops, attracting over 50 enthusiastic participants. The events not only provided a comprehensive introduction to the Nostr ecosystem and Bitcoin payments but also offered hands-on experiences with decentralized technologies through the YakiHonne platform.
The Nostr & Poker Night* was held on April 30 at the Bitcoin Embassy in El Salvador.

The event featured an engaging Nostr-themed presentation by nostr:npub1dmnzphvk097ahcpecwfeml08xw8sg2cj4vux55m5xalqtzz9t78q6k3kv6 followed by a relaxed and enjoyable poker night. Notably, 25% of the poker tournament prize was donated to support MyFirstBitcoin and its mission to provide Bitcoin education. * A free webinar on venture capital, Bitcoin, and cryptocurrencies was held online on May 6 at 12:00 PM (ARG time). Organized in collaboration with Draper Cygnus, the event introduced the fundamentals of venture capital, showcased the projects of ONG Bitcoin Argentina Academy, and provided attendees with the opportunity to interact with the guest speakers. * Bitcoin Unveiled: Demystifying Freedom Money was held on May 10, 2025, at Almara Hub. The event explored Bitcoin’s transformative potential, helping participants understand its purpose, learn how to get started, build a career in the Bitcoin space, and begin their Bitcoin savings journey. Featured speakers included nostr:npub1sn0q3zptdcm8qh8ktyhwtrnr9htwpykav8qnryhusr9mcr9ustxqe4tr2x Theophilus Isah, nostr:npub1s7xkezkzlfvya6ce6cuhzwswtxqm787pwddk2395pt9va4ulzjjszuz67p and Megasley.

Here is the upcoming Nostr event that you might want to check out. * The Bitcoin 2025 conference was held from May 26 to 29 at the Venetian Convention Center in Las Vegas, with the Nostr community hosting a series of vibrant activities. While the Nostr Lounge served as a central hub for socializing and technical exchange, featuring app demos, lightning talks, and limited-edition merchandise. Nostr also delivered two key presentations during the conference, focusing on multisig key management and the future of decentralized social media. * BTC Prague 2025 is the largest and most influential Bitcoin-only conference in Europe. It will take place from June 19 to 21, 2025, at PVA Expo Praha in Prague, Czech Republic. The event is expected to attract over 10,000 attendees from around the world, including entrepreneurs, developers, investors, and educators.

The conference will feature more than 200 speakers from various sectors of the global Bitcoin ecosystem, nostr:npub14gm6rq7rkw56cd08aa4k5tvjnepqnxm4xvc535wj0wyjxlgrfa8sqdgv87 nostr:npub1dg6es53r3hys9tk3n7aldgz4lx4ly8qu4zg468zwyl6smuhjjrvsnhsguz nostr:npub1ymgefd46k55yfwph8tdlxur573puastaqdmxff4vj20xj0uh3p2s06k8d5 nostr:npub1jt97tpsul3fp8hvf7zn0vzzysmu9umcrel4hpgflg4vnsytyxwuqt8la9y nostr:npub1dtgg8yk3h23ldlm6jsy79tz723p4sun9mz62tqwxqe7c363szkzqm8up6m nostr:npub1g53mukxnjkcmr94fhryzkqutdz2ukq4ks0gvy5af25rgmwsl4ngq43drvk nostr:npub16c0nh3dnadzqpm76uctf5hqhe2lny344zsmpm6feee9p5rdxaa9q586nvr

and more. In addition to the main program, several side events will be held, such as Developer Hack Days, Cypherpunk gatherings, and Women in Bitcoin initiatives.

Additionally, We warmly invite event organizers who have held recent activities to reach out to us so we can work together to promote the prosperity and development of the Nostr ecosystem.

Thanks for reading! If there’s anything I missed, feel free to reach out and help improve the completeness and accuracy of my coverage.

@ bbef5093:71228592

Nukleáris politika – 2025. május 12. | Szerző: David Dalton

Lengyelország és Franciaország nukleáris szerződést ír alá, Macron új építési szerződéseket céloz

Lengyelország és Franciaország olyan szerződést kötött, amely együttműködést irányoz elő a polgári nukleáris energia szektorban, miközben Párizs reménykedik abban, hogy Varsótól jövedelmező új atomerőmű-építési szerződéseket nyer el.

A szerződés közös tevékenységeket tartalmaz, amelyek célja a nukleáris energia előnyeinek kihasználása az európai ipar dekarbonizációja érdekében.

A két ország együtt kíván működni a nukleáris fűtőanyag-ellátás biztonságának megerősítésében is.

Európa szeretné kizárni Oroszországot a nukleáris fűtőanyag-piacáról, de az Euratom Ellátási Ügynökség (ESA) legfrissebb éves jelentése szerint 2023-ban nőtt az Oroszországból származó természetes urán szállítása, mivel az uniós szolgáltatók készleteket halmoztak fel az orosz tervezésű VVER atomerőművekhez.

Az ESA, amely az európai nukleáris anyagok rendszeres és méltányos ellátásáért felelős, közölte, hogy az uniós szolgáltatók tovább diverzifikálják nukleáris fűtőanyag-beszerzéseiket, különösen a VVER reaktorokhoz, hogy csökkentsék a „egy forrásból származó vagy magas kockázatú” ellátásoktól való függést.

„Majdnem minden olyan ország, amely orosz tervezésű reaktorokat üzemeltet, halad az alternatív fűtőanyagok engedélyeztetésében, és ígéretes fejlemények várhatók a közeljövőben” – közölte az ESA.

Az EU-ban jelenleg 19 VVER reaktor működik, köztük négy 1000 MW-os Bulgáriában és Csehországban, valamint tizenöt 440 MW-os Csehországban, Finnországban, Magyarországon és Szlovákiában.

A jelentések szerint a francia–lengyel nukleáris szerződés különösen fontos a francia állami EDF energetikai vállalat számára, amely még mindig reménykedik abban, hogy részt vehet Lengyelország ambiciózus atomerőmű-építési programjában, annak ellenére, hogy az első új építésű projekt tenderét az amerikai Westinghouse nyerte el Pomeránia északi tartományában.

Franciaország ambiciózus reaktorépítési tervei

Franciaország maga is nagyszabású nukleáris fejlesztési terveket dédelget: a kormány nemrégiben felkérte az EDF-et, hogy gyorsítsa fel a hat új generációs EPR2 atomerőmű megépítésének előkészítését.

Az EDF kezdetben három EPR2 párost tervez: az elsőt Penlyben, majd egyet-egyet a Gravelines-i atomerőmű telephelyén (Calais közelében), illetve vagy Bugey-ben (Lyon keleti részén), vagy Tricastinban (Lyon és Avignon közelében).

A nukleáris szerződés aláírását megelőzte egy másik szerződés is, amely a két szövetséges közötti kapcsolatok elmélyítését, valamint kölcsönös biztonsági garanciákat is tartalmaz háború esetére.

Donald Tusk lengyel miniszterelnök, aki Emmanuel Macron francia elnökkel együtt írta alá a biztonsági dokumentumot, „áttörésnek” nevezte a szerződést, kiemelve, hogy csak Németországnak van hasonló biztonsági paktuma Franciaországgal, és ez Lengyelországot „egyenrangú partnerként” helyezi nyugati szövetségesei közé.

Macron eközben úgy fogalmazott, hogy a szerződés „új korszakot nyit” nemcsak Lengyelország és Franciaország, hanem egész Európa számára. „Bresttől Krakkóig Európa együtt áll ki” – mondta a francia elnök.

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Nukleáris politika – 2025. május 12. | Szerző: David Dalton

Trump csapata a nukleáris erőművek építésének felgyorsítását tervezi

A Trump-adminisztráció tisztviselői végrehajtási rendeleteket készítenek elő, amelyek célja az atomerőművek jóváhagyásának és építésének felgyorsítása az Egyesült Államokban – számolt be róla a sajtó.

Az erőfeszítés, amelyet egy kormányzati tisztviselő és más, az egyeztetéseket ismerő személyek írtak le, még folyamatban van. Az elnök még nem hagyta jóvá a tervezetet – mondta az egyik forrás, aki névtelenséget kért, mivel hivatalos bejelentés még nem történt. Az amerikai Axios hírportál és a New York Times is beszámolt az egyeztetésekről.

Trump és kormányának tisztviselői többször hangsúlyozták a bőséges, olcsó villamos energia fontosságát az energiaigényes mesterséges intelligencia ipar számára, amely segítheti az Egyesült Államokat abban, hogy megnyerje a feltörekvő technológia globális versenyét.

„Meg kell nyernünk az MI-versenyt, és ebben vezetnünk kell – ehhez pedig sokkal több energiára lesz szükség” – mondta Chris Wright energiaügyi miniszter múlt hónapban egy kabinetülésen Trump társaságában.

Az elnök már hivatalosan is energia-vészhelyzetet hirdetett, nemzeti és gazdasági biztonsági szempontokra hivatkozva annak érdekében, hogy gyorsítsa az erőművek, csővezetékek és elektromos távvezetékek építését az országban.

A szóban forgó tervezetek célokat tűznének ki az atomerőművek gyors országos építésére, illetve az amerikai nukleáris ipar vezető szerepének visszaállítására.

Legalább az egyik intézkedés a Nukleáris Szabályozási Bizottságnál (NRC) vezetne be változtatásokat, amelyek gyorsíthatják az erőműtervek, köztük az új kis moduláris reaktorok (SMR-ek) engedélyezését.

Wright nemrégiben úgy nyilatkozott, hogy az új reaktorblokkok építésének legnagyobb akadálya az Egyesült Államokban a szabályozás volt.

Az elképzelés részeként akár katonai létesítményekre is telepíthetnek majd atomerőműveket, valószínűleg mikroreaktorok vagy SMR-ek formájában.

Jelenleg az Egyesült Államokban nincs kereskedelmi atomerőmű építés alatt. Az utolsó két üzembe helyezett blokk a georgiai Vogtle-3 és Vogtle-4 volt, 2023-ban és 2024-ben.

Előrehaladott tervek vannak a michigani Palisades atomerőmű újraindítására. Ha megvalósul, ez lenne az első olyan, korábban leállított amerikai atomerőmű, amely ismét működésbe lép.

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Új építések – 2025. május 12. | Szerző: David Dalton

Vietnam és Oroszország tárgyalásokat kezd atomerőmű-építésről

Vietnam és Oroszország megállapodott abban, hogy tárgyalásokat folytatnak és szerződéseket írnak alá kereskedelmi atomerőművek építéséről Vietnamban – közölték a két ország egy közös nyilatkozatban.

„Az erőművek fejlesztése korszerű technológiával szigorúan megfelel majd a nukleáris és sugárbiztonsági előírásoknak, és a társadalmi-gazdasági fejlődést szolgálja” – áll a közleményben, amely a vietnami vezető, To Lam moszkvai látogatása után jelent meg.

Az orosz állami atomenergetikai vállalat, a Roszatom szerint a látogatás „az együttműködés új szakaszát” jelenti – egy nagy atomerőmű építését Délkelet-Ázsiában.

A Roszatom felajánlotta Vietnámnak a VVER-1200 nyomottvizes reaktor technológiáját, amelyből kettő már működik az oroszországi Novovoronyezs 2 atomerőműben, és kettő Fehéroroszországban.

A Roszatom közölte, hogy további tárgyalásokra van szükség a vietnami atomerőmű műszaki és pénzügyi feltételeinek tisztázásához, de hozzátette: „ezek a tárgyalások ma [május 10-én] megkezdődtek”.

A Roszatom arról is beszámolt, hogy Alekszej Lihacsov vezérigazgató és Nguyen Manh Hung vietnami tudományos és technológiai miniszter aláírt egy nukleáris energia ütemtervet.

Az ütemterv tartalmazza egy nukleáris tudományos és technológiai központ lehetséges megépítését, fűtőanyag-szállítást a dél-vietnami Dalat kutatóreaktorhoz, Vietnam részvételét Oroszország IV. generációs MBIR többcélú gyorsneutronos kutatóreaktor projektjében, valamint vietnami szakemberek képzését.

Vietnamnak jelenleg egy kutatóreaktora van Dalatban, és egy másik is tervben van. A Roszatom nem közölte, melyikre gondolt.

A múlt hónapban Vietnam elfogadta a nemzeti energiastratégia módosított változatát, amely 2030-ig 136 milliárd dollárt irányoz elő az energiaellátás hosszú távú biztonságának megerősítésére, és először szerepel benne az atomenergia.

Vietnam azt szeretné, ha első atomerőművei 2030 és 2035 között lépnének üzembe. A beépített nukleáris kapacitás várhatóan 4–6,4 GW lesz, ami körülbelül 4–6 nagy atomerőműnek felel meg.

A kormány szerint további 8 GW nukleáris kapacitás kerül majd a mixbe az évszázad közepéig.

Vietnam már 2009-ben is tervezett két atomerőművet, de a Nemzetgyűlés 2016-ban költségvetési okokból elutasította a javaslatot.

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Új építések – 2025. május 12. | Szerző: David Dalton

Az NRC engedélyt adott az „energia-sziget” munkálatokra a TerraPower wyomingi atomerőművénél

Az Egyesült Államok Nukleáris Szabályozási Bizottsága (NRC) mentességet adott a TerraPower Natrium demonstrációs atomerőművének wyomingi Kemmererben, lehetővé téve a vállalat számára bizonyos „energia-sziget” tevékenységek folytatását, miközben a hatóságok tovább vizsgálják az építési engedély iránti kérelmet.

Az energia-sziget a tervezett Natrium atomerőműben a felesleges hő tárolására szolgál majd, hogy csúcsterhelés idején növelje az áramtermelést.

Az NRC szerint az energia-szigethez kapcsolódó bizonyos tevékenységek engedélyezése nem jelent indokolatlan kockázatot a közegészségre és biztonságra, és „különleges körülmények” állnak fenn.

A mentesség a létesítmények, rendszerek és komponensek korlátozott részére vonatkozik, lehetővé téve például cölöpverést, alapozást, vagy bizonyos szerkezetek, rendszerek és komponensek összeszerelését, gyártását, tesztelését korlátozott munkavégzési engedély nélkül.

Az NRC szerint a mentesség nem befolyásolja a reaktor építési engedélyéről szóló végső döntést. „Az NRC folytatja az építési engedély iránti kérelem vizsgálatát az egész projektre vonatkozóan” – áll a közleményben.

A Bill Gates által alapított TerraPower üdvözölte a döntést, hozzátéve, hogy a nukleáris reaktor és az energiatermelő létesítmények szétválasztása rövidebb építési időt és alacsonyabb anyagköltségeket tesz lehetővé.

Februárban az amerikai energiaügyi minisztérium befejezte a projekt előzetes tevékenységeire vonatkozó végső környezeti értékelést.

A TerraPower, amelyet Gates 2008-ban alapított, 2024 júniusában kezdte meg első kereskedelmi Natrium atomerőművének építését Kemmererben, ahol egy széntüzelésű erőmű zár be.

A Natrium demonstrációs projekt három különálló részből áll: egy nátrium teszt- és feltöltő létesítményből, az energiatermelő vagy energia-szigetből, valamint a nukleáris szigetből magával a reaktorral.

A kezdeti építkezés a teszt- és feltöltő létesítményre összpontosít, amely egy különálló, nem nukleáris épület, és a reaktor nátrium hűtőrendszerének tesztelésére szolgál. Itt történik a folyékony nátrium fogadása, mintavételezése, feldolgozása és tárolása, mielőtt a Natrium reaktorhoz kerülne.

---

Egyéb hírek

A lengyel atomerőmű-projekt biztosítási szerződéseket kötött

A lengyel Polskie Elektrownie Jądrowe (PEJ) atomerőmű-projekt vállalat négy biztosítási bróker céggel kötött keretmegállapodást. Az Aon Polska, GrECo Polska, Marsh és Smartt Re cégek támogatják a PEJ-t Lengyelország első kereskedelmi atomerőművének biztosítási szerződéseinek megkötésében, valamint a napi működéshez szükséges biztosítások beszerzésében. A PEJ minden brókerrel keretmegállapodást írt alá, amelyek alapján egyes biztosítási feladatokra kiválasztja a megfelelő brókert.

Az Aecon cég nyerte az ontariói SMR építési szerződését

A kanadai Aecon Kiewit Nuclear Partners nyerte el az Ontario Power Generation (OPG) által Darlingtonban építendő első kis moduláris reaktor (SMR) kivitelezési szerződését. A szerződés értéke 1,3 milliárd kanadai dollár (934 millió USD, 841 millió euró), amely projektmenedzsmentet, kivitelezési tervezést és végrehajtást foglal magában, a befejezést és a kereskedelmi üzemet 2030-ra tervezik. Ontario tartomány és az OPG múlt héten hagyta jóvá a négy SMR első darabjának 20,9 milliárd CAD értékű tervét Darlingtonban.

26 000 dolgozó a Hinkley Point C projekten a csúcskivitelezés idején

Az Egyesült Királyságban mintegy 26 000 dolgozó vesz részt a Hinkley Point C atomerőmű építésében, amely jelenleg csúcskivitelezési szakaszban van – derül ki az EDF Energy jelentéséből. Közvetlenül a projekten 18 000-en dolgoznak, ebből 12 000-en a helyszínen, további 3 000 fővel bővülhet a létszám a következő 12 hónapban. További 8 000-en a beszállítói láncban dolgoznak. A jelentés szerint a Hinkley Point C építése fontos katalizátor a gazdasági növekedésben, jelenleg 13,3 milliárd fonttal (15,7 milliárd euró, 17,5 milliárd dollár) járul hozzá a gazdasághoz. Ebből 5 milliárd fontot már a délnyugati régió beszállítóinál költöttek el – jóval meghaladva az 1,5 milliárd fontos célt. A Hinkley Point C két francia EPR reaktort kap.

Az Ansaldo Nucleare nukleáris mesterszakot indít Olaszországban

Az olasz Ansaldo Nucleare és a Politecnico di Milano vállalati mesterszakot indít, amely a nukleáris energia és kapcsolódó technológiák új szakértő generációját képzi. A képzés októberben indul, egy évig tart, 1500 órás, mérnöki, fizikai és kémiai diplomásoknak szól. Húsz résztvevőt választanak ki a következő hónapokban, akiket az Ansaldo Nucleare azonnal, határozatlan időre alkalmaz, és október elején kezdik meg a képzést.

@ d360efec:14907b5f

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@ 51faaa77:2c26615b

My goal is to share a concise list of questions about OP_RETURN limits that we've answered on Stacker News, as the original thread has become unwieldy with over 200 comments. We began compiling this list about a week ago. I've frequently shared individual links and received very positive feedback. I hope this resource helps us work from a common set of facts and reduces misinformation. I hope you find this as a valuable resource.

I'll list the questions in order of activity and tips received. I've removed duplicates, rephrased some statements as questions, and ignored completely irrelevant questions.

1. Users should be given clear configurable options to decide what's in their mempool, why were these options taken away? link
2. Won't spammers abuse large OP_RETURNs to bloat the blockchain and make IBD take longer? link
3. A similar PR was proposed by Peter Todd 2 years ago, why was it rejected then? What has changed since then, why would this get approved now? link
4. Shouldn't we be fighting spam, why are we making policies less strict, shouldn't we be making them more strict? link
5. How would someone get around the standardness policy currently for OP_RETURN size? link
6. What does "standardness mean" in reference to OP_RETURNs? link
7. Will more than 1 OP_RETURN per transaction be possible if this PR gets merged? link
8. What are the current OP_RETURN limits and what restrictions are being lifted? link
9. Are current relay and mempool policies effective for filtering out spam transactions? link
10. Is it true that this type of update could affect Bitcoin's decentralization? link
11. Is it possible to stop the abuse of payment outputs (i.e., bare multisig, fake pubkeys, and fake pubkey hashes) that are used to embed data, thereby creating unprunable UTXOs that bloat the UTXO set? link
12. What was the main reason /concern to add this PR? ... What will happen if we do nothing? link
13. If OP_RETURN still cannot stop all the garbage, why is so important to remove it? Does it affect future development / improvements for LN? link
14. What will be the worst case scenario if users still could set their own limits for OP_RETURN? link
15. Shouldn't we debate the controversy of this PR on Github since it's where the code gets merged to make these changes? link
16. What does it mean when someone says "Fix the Filters"? link
17. Will this open the flood gates and drown out all legitimate onchain activity? link
18. What can we do to stop spam at the consensus layer of Bitcoin? link
19. Will Taproot wizards and other spam companies and projects start using OP_RETURN to put jpegs on the blockchain? link
20. If we prevent these transaction from going into our mempools doesn't that prevent or delay these spam transactions from being mined therefore discouraging the spammers? link
21. Is it possible to stop abuse of witness data? If so, how? (i.e ordinal theory inscriptions, "jpegs"). link
22. Is there any conflict of interest with Bitcoin Core and companies like Citrea, in ref to this PR? link
23. Is there any estimation on how much would this affect fees for the average user, considering external projects (like Citrea) using it? Any possibility that this could saturate the mempool and boost fees beyond reasonable? link
24. Was this PR initially proposed because of Citrea BitVM needs? If so don't they only need a slight bump in OP_RETURN size, why is it being proposed to make the size unrestricted? link
25. What makes a UTXO unprunable? Which projects are making unprunable UTXOs? link
26. Why would a spammer use OP_RETURN if it's cheaper to use Witness data to store arbitrary data? link
27. Won't large OP_RETURNs allow people to spam the mempool with 100kb transactions and mess up bitcoin for everyone by bloating the mempool and not allowing legitimate transactions in the mempool? link
28. If relaxing op_return standardness limit seeks to make 'spam' prunable, then what are proponents of this change assuming about the long-term feasibility of running a 'full' (unpruned) bitcoin node? link
29. Is allowing standardness for larger OP_RETURNs a slippery slope? If we allow this won't we continue to allow things that make bitcoin less for money and more for arbitrary data? link
30. Won't removing the OP_RETURN cap reduce fee market pressure by allowing senders to consolidate arbitrary data into a single transaction? link
31. Could this PR be the beginning of reducing other mempool restrictions? link
32. Culture is what protects Bitcoin from external forces, shouldn't non-technical arguments be valid when considering these types of changes? link
33. What's the difference between UTXO set, mempool, and blockchain, and how do larger OP_RETURN or witness data affect node resource usage? link
34. What is the difference in defining a transaction as valid versus defining a transaction as standard and why do we need this difference? link
35. If you're happy with your viewpoint on consensus and mempool rules, is not upgrading Bitcoin Core until it makes sense to you a valid action to take right now? link
36. Why didn't this PR get a BIP number? link
37. Why is core rushing this change? link
38. If there will be a hard fork resulted from this PR (split chain like in 2017), what will happen with existing LN channels? Will exist on both chains with 2 LNs? link
39. Isn't this all moot in a (almost guaranteed) future where fees are very high? link
40. What is this controversy about, and what is it really about? link

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/978404

@ eabee230:17fc7576

⚖️ຢ່າລືມສິ່ງທີ່ເຄີຍເກີດຂຶ້ນ ຮອດຊ່ວງທີ່ມີການປ່ຽນແປງລະບົບການເງິນຈາກລະບົບເງິນເກົ່າ ສູ່ລະບົບເງິນໃໝ່ມັນເຮັດໃຫ້ຄົນທີ່ລວຍກາຍເປັນຄົນທຸກໄດ້ເລີຍ ນ້ຳພັກນ້ຳແຮງທີ່ສະສົມມາດ້ວຍຄວາມເມື່ອຍແຕ່ບໍ່ສາມາດແລກເປັນເງິນລະບົບໃໝ່ໄດ້ທັງໝົດ ຖືກຈຳກັດຈຳນວນທີ່ກົດໝາຍວາງອອກມາໃຫ້ແລກ ເງິນທີ່ເຫຼືອນັ້ນປຽບຄືດັ່ງເສດເຈ້ຍ ເພາະມັນບໍ່ມີຢູ່ໃສຮັບອີກຕໍ່ໄປເພາະກົດໝາຍຈະນຳໃຊ້ສະກຸນໃໝ່ ປະຫວັດສາດເຮົາມີໃຫ້ເຫັນວ່າ ແລະ ເຄີຍຜ່ານມາແລ້ວຢ່າໃຫ້ຄົນລຸ້ນເຮົາຊຳ້ຮອຍເກົ່າ.

🕰️ຄົນທີ່ມີຄວາມຮູ້ ຫຼື ໃກ້ຊິດກັບແຫຼ່ງຂໍ້ມູນຂ່າວສານກໍຈະປ່ຽນເງິນທີ່ມີຢູ່ເປັນສິນສັບບໍ່ວ່າຈະເປັນທີ່ດິນ ແລະ ທອງຄຳທີ່ສາມາດຮັກສາມູນລະຄ່າໄດ້ເຮັດໃຫ້ເຂົາຍັງຮັກສາຄວາມມັ້ງຄັ້ງໃນລະບົບໃໝ່ໄດ້.

🕰️ໃຜທີ່ຕ້ອງການຈະຍ້າຍປະເທດກໍ່ຈະໃຊ້ສິ່ງທີ່ເປັນຊື່ກາງໃນການແລກປ່ຽນເປັນທີ່ຍ້ອມຮັບຫຼາຍນັ້ນກໍຄືທອງຄຳ ປ່ຽນຈາກເງິນລະບົບເກົ່າເປັນທອງຄຳເພື່ອທີ່ສາມາດປ່ຽນທອງຄຳເປັນສະກຸນເງິນທ້ອງຖິ່ນຢູ່ປະເທດປາຍທາງໄດ້.

🕰️ຈາກຜູ້ດີເມື່ອກ່ອນກາຍເປັນຄົນທຳມະດາຍ້ອນສັບສິນທີ່ມີ ບໍ່ສາມາດສົ່ງຕໍ່ສູ່ລູກຫຼານໄດ້. ການເກັບອອມເປັນສິ່ງທີ່ດີ ແຕ່ຖ້າໃຫ້ດີຕ້ອງເກັບອອມໃຫ້ຖືກບ່ອນ ຄົນທີ່ຮູ້ທັນປ່ຽນເງິນທີ່ມີຈາກລະບົບເກົ່າໄປສູ່ທອງຄຳ ເພາະທອງຄຳມັນເປັນສາກົນ.
ໃຜທີ່ເຂົ້າໃຈ ແລະ ມອງການໄກກວ່າກໍ່ສາມາດຮັກສາສິນສັບສູ່ລູກຫຼານໄດ້ ເກັບເຈ້ຍໃນປະລິມານທີ່ພໍໃຊ້ຈ່າຍ ປ່ຽນເຈ້ຍໃຫ້ເປັນສິ່ງທີ່ຮັກສາມູນລະຄ່າໄດ້ແທ້ຈິງ.

🕰️ເຮົາໂຊກດີທີ່ເຄີຍມີບົດຮຽນມາແລ້ວ ເກີດຂຶ້ນຈິງໃນປະເທດເຮົາບໍ່ໄດ້ຢາກໃຫ້ທັງໝົດແຕ່ຢາກໃຫ້ສຶກສາ ແລະ ຕັ້ງຄຳຖາມວ່າທີ່ຜ່ານມາມັນເປັນແບບນີ້ແທ້ບໍ່ ເງິນທີ່ລັດຄວາມຄຸມ ເງິນປະລິມານບໍ່ຈຳກັດ ການໃຊ້ກົດໝາຍແບບບັງຄັບ. ຖ້າຄອບຄົວຫຼືຄົນໃກ້ໂຕທີ່ຍູ່ໃນຊ່ວງເຫດການນັ້ນແຕ່ຕັດສິນໃຈຜິດພາດທີ່ບໍ່ປ່ຽນເຈ້ຍເປັນສິນສັບ. ນີ້ແມ່ນໂອກາດທີ່ຈະແກ້ໄຂຂໍ້ຜິດພາດນັ້ນໂດຍຫັນມາສຶກສາເງິນແທ້ຈິງແລ້ວແມ່ນຍັງກັນແທ້ ເວລາມີຄ່າສຶກສາບິດຄອຍ.

fiatcurrency #bitcoin #gold #history #paymentsolutions #laokip #laostr

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Past week summary

From a Self Custody for Organizations perspective, after analyzing the existing protocols (Cerberus, 10xSecurityBTCguide and Glacier) and reading a bunch of relates articles and guides, have wrapped to the conclusion that this format it is good to have as reference. However, something else is needed. For example, a summary or a map of the whole process to provide an overview, plus a way to deliver all the information and the multy-process in a more enjoyable way. Not a job for this hackathon, but with the right collaborations I assume it's possible to: - build something that might introduce a bit more quests and gamification - provide a learning environment (with testnet funds) could also be crucial on educating those unfamiliar with bitcoin onchain dynamics.

Have been learning more and playing around practicing best accessibility practices and how it could be applied to a desktop software like Bitcoin Safe. Thanks to @johnjherzog for providing a screen recording of his first experience and @jasonb for suggesting the tools to be used. (in this case tested/testing on Windows with the Accessibility Insights app). Some insight shared have been also applied to the website, running a full accessibility check (under WCAG 2.2 ADA, and Section 508 standards) with 4 different plugins and two online tools. I recognize that not all of them works and analyze the same parameters, indeed they complement each other providing a more accurate review.

For Bitcoin Safe interface improvements, many suggestions have been shared with @andreasgriffin , including: - a new iconset, including a micro-set to display the number of confirmed blocs for each transaction - a redesigned History/Dashboard - small refinements like adding missing columns on the tables - allow the user to select which columns to be displayed - sorting of unconfirmed transactions - Defining a new style for design elements like mempool blocks and quick receive boxes You can find below some screenshots with my proposals that hopefully will be included in the next release.

Last achievement this week was to prepare the website https://Safe.BTC.pub, the container where all the outcomes f this experiment will be published. You can have a look, just consider it still WIP. Branding for the project has also been finalized and available in this penpot file https://design.penpot.app/#/workspace?team-id=cec80257-5021-8137-8005-eab60c043dd6&project-id=cec80257-5021-8137-8005-eab60c043dd8&file-id=95aea877-d515-80ac-8006-23a251886db3&page-id=132f519a-39f4-80db-8006-2a41c364a545

What's for next week

After spending most of the time learning and reading material, this coming week will be focused on deliverables. The goal as planned will be to provide: - Finalized Safe₿its brand and improve overall desktop app experience, including categorization of transactions and addresses - An accessibility report or guide for Bitcoin Safe and support to implement best practices - A first draft of the Self-Custody for Organizations guide/framework/protocol, ideally delivered through the website http://Safe.BTC.pub in written format, but also as FlowChart to help have an overview of the whole resources needed and the process itself. This will clearly define preparations and tools/hardwares needed to successfully complete the process.

To learn more about the project, you can visit: Designathon website: https://event.bitcoin.design/#project-recj4SVNLLkuWHpKq Discord channel: https://discord.com/channels/903125802726596648/1369200271632236574 Previous SN posts: https://stacker.news/items/974489/r/DeSign_r and https://stacker.news/items/974488/r/DeSign_r

Stay tuned, more will be happening this coming week

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977190

@ 005bc4de:ef11e1a2

Hostr

Hive + Nostr = Hostr, a bidirectional bridge.

Hostr is a bidirectional bridge between Nostr and Hive. What you post on one is automatically cross-posted to the other. (See SETUP.md if you want to jump right in and run it.)

This is experimental. Expect that there will be glitches, errors, and corrections to be made. So, consider it very beta, with no guarantees, and use at your own risk.

Nostr and Hive have differences, mainly, Nostr is a protocol and Hive is a blockchain. Nostr does not have a token, although bitcoin is much-loved and used across Nostr. Hive has two main tokens: HIVE and the HBD stablecoin. More importantly, Nostr and Hive have similarities. Both are decentralized and censorship resistant thanks to users owning and controlling their own private keys.

Nostr users - why you might want to bridge to Hive

I feel the #1 reason a Nostr user might wish to use this bridge is to permanently store and chronicle your Nostr notes.

1. Immutability for your Nostr notes. Your notes on Nostr are held on relays; if they go away, your notes go away. (There was a “nosdrive.app” backup, however I do not believe it’s still working.) Hive is immutable. There is no "delete" and even an “edit” on Hive does not erase the original. Like with a wiki page, a Hive edit shows the most recent version, but the original still remains historically. This would give Nostr users a permanent record of their notes in chronological order.

2. Hive is an excellent long form blogging platform with stable and persistent links. Finding old Nostr notes can be difficult.

3. Increase your reach and potentially gain followers. Your content will bridge off of the Nostr island and be opened to 10-30,000 daily Hive users. Go to https://peakd.com/c/hive-133987 and look for “Hive statistics” to see numbers.

4. Earn rewards in HIVE and HBD. “Likes” on Nostr do not reward you monetarily, but every upvote on Hive yields rewards. For bitcoin maxis, these tokens can easily be swapped into sats with tools like the https://v4v.app web app, or others.

5. Help grow Nostr. Every note that bridges over to Hive will have a footer saying something like, “This note originated on Nostr,” with a link back to your Nostr note on njump.me. On that page, a "Join Nostr" button is prominent.

Hive users - why you might want to bridge to Nostr

1. Increase your reach and potentially gain followers. Your content will be bridged off the Hive island and be opened to 17-18,000 daily users. See https://stats.nostr.band for Nostr stats.

2. Earn bitcoin sats in the form of “zaps.” Nostr does not have a token. But, it has a strong culture of zapping (tipping) bitcoin satoshis to other users to reward quality content. Memes are loved and often zapped too.

3. Unlimited posting. Nostr is not held back by posting or activity limitations, such as with Resource Credits or community norms that frown on posting too often.

4. Even more censorship resistance. Hive is truly censorship-free in that posted content, no matter the content, does indeed posted. However, front ends can choose to show or not show content that the community has downvoted. Nostr is more free speech or censorship resistant...you post it, it's posted. (Relays can choose to relay it or not, accept it or reject it, but you could run your own relay.)

5. Help grow Hive. Every post that bridges over to Nostr will have a footer saying something like, “This post originated on Hive,” with a link back to your Hive blockchain post. This brings wider exposure to Hive.

Quirks about Nostr and Hive

If you’re unfamiliar with Nostr, it has a few quirks:

• You have one private key, called an “nsec”. It goes along with your “npub”, your public key. Your npub is your username, your nsec IS your account.

• You simply need an nsec, then a “client” which is a front end.

• You need to add “relays” to your client in order to connect. This is very easy, but how to do it depends on the client. Client's usually walk you through this when you start.
• Short form content (like the old "Tweets") are called kind 1 notes. Long form notes, like most Hive posts, are called kind 30023.

If you’re unfamiliar with Hive, it has more quirks:

• Hive has five private keys, yes, five. Each has a specific purpose. From least powerful to most powerful, they are: posting key (to post), active key (to move tokens), owner key (to do anything), memo key (to dm/pm), and backup/master private key (to totally restore all keys). Don’t worry about all the keys. For Hostr, we only deal with posting notes/posts, so the posting key is all we deal with.

• Hive has a culture of frowning on posting too often. Doing so can be seen as trying to milk the HIVE/HBD rewards that you gain from upvotes. Too much posting can be viewed as spamming and result in downvotes (this hurts your Web-of-Trust score, called “reputation” on Hive, and is shown alongside your username; you want to grow and keep your reputation up). The chain also has a 5-minute cool-down rule coded in: after posting, you cannot post for another five minutes.

• Additionally, to avoid spam, Hive actions burn “Resource Credits” or RCs. Think of RCs as the charge % in your phone battery. Every action on Hive uses RCs, so they dwindle with every use. Posting is high in RC cost. Bad news: if you run out of RCs, you’re unable to do things on Hive. Good news: RCs also recharge. If out of RCs, you can wait and then do things later. For the Hostr script, over-posting means the script will post until RCs are exhausted, then it will stall until RCs are recharged, post again, stall, etc. You can check your RCs in many places, such as a Hive explorer like https://hivescan.info and entering your Hive username. If you have RC issues, reach out for help.

You don't want to over-post on Hive. To avoid over-posting, Hostr has two versions of the script:

1. bidirectional-longform30023.js

   • Nostr ➡️ Hive - Listens only for kind 30023 (long form) Nostr notes to bridge over to Hive. Kind 1 short form notes are ignored.
   • Hive ➡️ Nostr - Any Hive post over 380 characters gets truncated as a kind 1 (short form) Nostr note (with a link back to the full Hive post).

2. bidirectional-bridge.js

   • Nostr➡️Hive - This script listens for both kind 1 (short form) and kind 30023 (long form) Nostr notes and bridges both over to Hive.
   • Hive ➡️ Nostr - Same as above (380+ is truncated).

Which script version should I use?

1. If you post frequently on Nostr (more than 2 times per day?), the bidirectional-longform30023.js script is likely best. Per Hive community norms, you don't want to post too often on there. With this script version, only long form notes will bridge over from Nostr to Hive.
2. For newcomers to Hive, I would start with this script to be safe.

3. If in doubt, use this script.

4. If you post infrequently on Nostr (2 times per day or fewer?), the bidirectional-bridge.js (both kinds 1 and 30023) might work fine for you.

Nostr users - how to begin

You’ll need a Hive account. You can see sign-up options at https://signup.hive.io. Some options are free, others are not. I (crrdlx) have some free “VIP tickets” to sign up with and you are welcome to use one if you wish, see https://crrdlx.vercel.app/hive-vip-ticket.html. If the tickets there are already spent, contact me and I'll get you set up.

As with Nostr, the critical thing with a Hive account is saving your keys. Hive has multiple keys, just save them all. We’ll only use the “posting key” for the Hostr bridge, however. The other keys can be used on Hive if you wish. (For instance, the "active key" is used to handle your HIVE/HBD rewards earned, the "memo key" for private messages.)

Once signed up (and keys are safe), you can adjust your Hive account/profile using any Hive front end like https://peakd.com/username, https://ecency.com/username, or https://hive.blog/username. Just remember, every action on Hive burns RCs, keep an eye on that.

You can learn more about Hive at https://hivewiki.vercel.app if you wish.

See the "Setting up..." section below to set up the bridge.

Hive users - how to begin

You’ll need a Nostr account. Getting a Nostr "account" is nothing more than generating keys. A simple way to do this is at https://nstart.me If you wish to dig into details, take a look at http://nostrwiki.crrdlx.infinityfreeapp.com/doku.php?id=wiki:get-started

As with Hive, you simply need to safely store your private keys. On Nostr, your private key is called your “nsec” (sec, as in “secret”). Your public key is your “npub” (pub, as in "public"). Your nsec is all you need, but just so you know, your private key comes in two formats: (a) your nsec, and (b) the “hex” form (same key, just different forms). With the Hostr bridge, we’ll use the hex private key. Depending on how you join Nostr, your hex key may be given to you at sign up. But, even if it's not, you can always check back-and-forth between nsec and hex keys using a tool like https://nostrtool.com and choosing "Load a privkey from nsec/hex".

Again, just save your nsec and/or hex private key and you’re set.

You can learn more about Nostr at https://nostrwiki.vercel.app if you wish.

See the "Setting up..." section below to set up the bridge.

Setting up the Hostr bridge

To set up the bridge, see SETUP.md in the repo below. The Hostr bridge has a bit of technicals behind it, but don't get intimidated. Because technical things change, I’ll keep the technical how-to instructions housed at https://github.com/crrdlx/hostr

Disclaimer

This is an experimental bridge. Expect that there will be glitches, errors, and corrections to be made. So, consider it very beta, with no guarantees, and use at your own risk. Source code: https://github.com/crrdlx/hostr

---

Built with ❤️ by crrdlx

Connect on Hive: @crrdlx

Connect on Nostr: nostr:npub1qpdufhjpel94srm3ett2azgf49m9dp3n5nm2j0rt0l2mlmc3ux3qza082j

All contacts: https://linktr.ee/crrdlx

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Past week summary

From a Self Custody for Organizations perspective, after analyzing the existing protocols (Cerberus, 10xSecurityBTCguide and Glacier) and reading a bunch of relates articles and guides, have wrapped to the conclusion that this format it is good to have as reference. However, something else is needed. For example, a summary or a map of the whole process to provide an overview, plus a way to deliver all the information and the multy-process in a more enjoyable way. Not a job for this hackathon, but with the right collaborations I assume it's possible to: - build something that might introduce a bit more quests and gamification - provide a learning environment (with testnet funds) could also be crucial on educating those unfamiliar with bitcoin onchain dynamics.

Have been learning more and playing around practicing best accessibility practices and how it could be applied to a desktop software like Bitcoin Safe. Thanks to @johnjherzog for providing a screen recording of his first experience and @jasonbohio for suggesting the tools to be used. (in this case tested/testing on Windows with the Accessibility Insights app). Some insight shared have been also applied to the website, running a full accessibility check (under WCAG 2.2 ADA, and Section 508 standards) with 4 different plugins and two online tools. I recognize that not all of them works and analyze the same parameters, indeed they complement each other providing a more accurate review.

For Bitcoin Safe interface improvements, many suggestions have been shared with @andreasgriffin , including: - a new iconset, including a micro-set to display the number of confirmed blocs for each transaction - a redesigned History/Dashboard - small refinements like adding missing columns on the tables - allow the user to select which columns to be displayed - sorting of unconfirmed transactions - Defining a new style for design elements like mempool blocks and quick receive boxes You can find below some screenshots with my proposals that hopefully will be included in the next release.

Last achievement this week was to prepare the website https://Safe.BTC.pub, the container where all the outcomes f this experiment will be published. You can have a look, just consider it still WIP. Branding for the project has also been finalized and available in this penpot file https://design.penpot.app/#/workspace?team-id=cec80257-5021-8137-8005-eab60c043dd6&project-id=cec80257-5021-8137-8005-eab60c043dd8&file-id=95aea877-d515-80ac-8006-23a251886db3&page-id=132f519a-39f4-80db-8006-2a41c364a545

What's for next week

After spending most of the time learning and reading material, this coming week will be focused on deliverables. The goal as planned will be to provide: - Finalized Safe₿its brand and improve overall desktop app experience, including categorization of transactions and addresses - An accessibility report or guide for Bitcoin Safe and support to implement best practices - A first draft of the Self-Custody for Organizations guide/framework/protocol, ideally delivered through the website http://Safe.BTC.pub in written format, but also as FlowChart to help have an overview of the whole resources needed and the process itself. This will clearly define preparations and tools/hardwares needed to successfully complete the process.

To learn more about the project, you can visit: Designathon website: https://event.bitcoin.design/#project-recj4SVNLLkuWHpKq Discord channel: https://discord.com/channels/903125802726596648/1369200271632236574 Previous SN posts: https://stacker.news/items/974489/r/DeSign_r and https://stacker.news/items/974488/r/DeSign_r

Stay tuned, more will be happening this coming week

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977180

@ fbf0e434:e1be6a39

2025年3月17日

塔林·克里斯滕森（Taryn Christiansen）,DoraHacks

特别感谢DoraHacks创始人Eric Zhang提供的深刻讨论和支持。

Part 1

自动化的浪潮无疑正在到来。人类劳动将迅速贬值。人工智能已经取得了巨大的进展，并且，随着许多创新降低了成本，越来越多的企业将能够整合这一技术。随着生产模式、资本和供应链越来越多地实现自动化，生产力和效率将加速发展。

问题是，这是否是好事。答案五花八门。从末世论者如埃利泽·尤德科夫斯基（Eliezer Yudkowsky）^[1]和罗曼·扬波尔斯基（Roman Yampolskiy）^[2]等人认为，人工智能有潜力——并最终将——消灭人类物种。人类将远远不如未来的人工智能高效，因此，当通用人工智能（AGI）得以实现时，智能机器很容易得出结论：人类消耗太多，世界没有人类会更好。然后是怀疑论者，如马克斯·泰格马克（Max Tegmark）^[3]，他认为应该暂停人工智能的发展，以便更好地将其与人类利益对齐。“只有当我们确信其影响将是积极的、其风险可控时，才应开发强大的人工智能系统。^[4]”再者，也有技术乐观主义者，如马克·安德森（Mark Andreessen）^[5]、萨姆·奥特曼（Sam Altman）^[6]和雷·库兹韦尔（Ray Kurzweil）^[7]，他们主张人工智能将带来物质上的丰盈乌托邦。发展应该加速，监管者应当退让，未来将带来经济增长、生产力提高和生活水平的惊人提升。

^{[1] 美国人工智能理论家、作家，MIRI（Machine Intelligence Research Institute，机器智能研究所）创始人之一。 [2] 俄罗斯裔美国计算机科学家，路易斯维尔大学教授，专长于AI安全和人工智能伦理。 [3] 瑞典裔美国物理学家、MIT教授，Future of Life Institute（未来生命研究院）联合创办人。 [4] https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/. [5] https://a16z.com/the-techno-optimist-manifesto/. 硅谷知名风险投资家、网景（Netscape）浏览器联合创始人，Andreessen Horowitz投资公司创始人。 [6] https://ia.samaltman.com/. OpenAI CEO. [7] 发明家、未来学家、作家，现为谷歌工程总监。}

在这里很难做出具体的预测。不同立场的人常常以某种“不可避免性”的口气宣扬他们的观点。安德森是乐观主义最著名的主张者之一，他坚信由快速技术进步所带来的未来将是每一代人梦寐以求的那种未来。将会有具备无限同情心和耐心的人工智能导师，使教育更加普及和易获取；医疗行业将大幅提升，提供更好的预测并减少错误；机器人可以执行危险的工作，从而让人们追求自己的愿望。经济效益也将是巨大的。由于生产成本的降低，价格将更低，人们的钱将有更强的购买力，需求将增加，新的工作岗位将被创造，工资也将提高。他主张这一观点的主要论据是历史先例。每次有新技术革命到来时，社会总会从中获得净效益（net good）。十九世纪石油工业的形成之前，鲸鱼行业雇用了成千上万的工人。石油取代了这些工作，但也消除了依赖屠杀成千上万头鲸鱼来制造日常产品的需求。汽车威胁了许多行业，但当它成为普遍拥有的财产时，突然之间，需要更多的道路、桥梁和加油站来满足需求。虽然将会有自动化，人工智能将以良好的成果充斥世界，赋予经济前所未有的机会，让人们找到工作、积累财富，并利用人工智能所创造的价值。

然而，人工智能不同于以往的技术发展。人工智能是一种智能的进步和普及，而不仅仅是机械化的进步。库兹韦尔写道：“第一次工业革命扩展了我们身体的能力，第二次则扩展了我们思想的能力。”但是，一种新变量意味着结果的不同。人工智能能够学习、适应、生成、发现、反驳、怀疑、确认、设定目标，能够制定手段，也许有一天它会拥有意志并感知情感。它变得越来越具能动性（agentic）和自主性（autonomous），能够承担和完成通过它自身流程所生成的任务。如果它现在还没有具备能动性，那目标是让它达到这一点。仅仅基于先前经验得出的预测可能是一种范畴错误，容易导致误导和错误。当然，过去的技术形式与人工智能之间存在重叠，但它们之间有一个明确的区别，并且这种区别应该指导我们的预测。

另一方面，末世论者的观点并不具备很大的现实意义。那些通常潜藏在末世论者警告背后的“终结者”般的情景是不太可能发生的。尽管正如埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）^[8]最近在《乔·罗根播客》（The Joe Rogan Podcast）上所言，如果嵌入了错误的目标，也许像“太空奥德赛（Space Odyssey）”系列作品中的HAL 9000那样的情景^[9]是可能的。考虑到DeepSeek公司最近在降低计算成本方面的进展，该公司开发的AI模型已具有与美国最先进的模型竞争的水平，一场新的竞赛已经宣告开始，事情将会加速发展。美国副总统在人工智能行动峰会上的讲话清楚地表明了这一点。当前存在着一场争夺国际技术主导地位的竞争，这将塑造未来，发展速度的减缓等同于举白旗。因此，如果对安德森的主张有任何可行的反对意见，那也必须集中在如何引导技术发展，而非停止它。这应当为关于自动化的讨论提供启示：如何最好地引导自动化以避免不良结果？我们需要一种积极主动的方式。

^{[8] 特斯公司CEO，SpaceX创始人兼首席执行官，X（原Twitter）所有人。 [9] HAL 9000（简称HAL）是科幻小说和电影系列《太空奥德赛》中的虚构人工智能角色，由阿瑟·克拉克（Arthur C. Clarke）和斯坦利·库布里克（Stanley Kubrick）共同创作。在作品中，HAL 9000原本是飞船“发现号”（Discovery One）的中央控制系统，它被设计得极其可靠，拥有高度智能、情感模拟能力，负责飞船运行，包括导航、生命支持、通信等核心任务。在执行任务时，由于HAL开始表现出微妙的异常（如错误报告设备损坏），同行宇航员决定关闭HAL。当这一计划被HAL得知，HAL控制飞船上设备造成了同行宇航员的死亡。但后续作品揭示，HAL的表现是由于收到了相互冲突的人类指令，并决定杀死宇航员来保证两种指令都能够实现。}

Section 1.1

安德森对自动化的乐观态度存在一个问题，那就是他过于确定新工作机会会得到足够的分配，供人们享受并加以利用。问题在于，经济正变得越来越依赖知识和信息。知识和信息的比重远远超过了体力劳动，而在市场上能够取得成功的人是那些拥有相关技能的人，这些技能需要通过教育和培训来获得。正如托马斯·皮凯蒂（Thomas Piketty）^[10]在其《21世纪资本论》（Capital in the Twenty-First Century）一书中所观察到的，这是一个普遍的经济趋势，“趋同（即减少和限制不平等）的主要动力是知识的传播和对培训与技能的投资。”因此，随着经济日益依赖知识，那些没有相关技能或安全保障的失业工人将处于严重的不利地位。而那些拥有相关知识、技能和信息的人则更有优势，能够投资资本并增加财富。例如，即便经济增长和生产成本降低，那些没有技能的人将看到工资停滞不前。但是，假设由于生产成本降低，消费者的购买力增强，需求可能会上升，如果供应无法迅速满足这一需求，价格可能会随之上涨，从而引发需求拉动型通货膨胀。关键在于，经济和生产力增长可能无法自然应对的变量和情境。正如皮凯蒂所说，“没有自然、自发的过程能够防止不稳定、不平等的力量永久占据主导地位。”因此，必须采取积极的应对策略，来避开那些可能会导致漂浮在经济表面上的大量船只沉没的尖锐岩石。

^{[10] 法国经济学家。}

在杰里米·里夫金（Jeremy Rifkin）^[11]的《工作的终结》（The End of Work）一书中，他采用了更加严峻的语气：“（下一个）工业革命正迫使全球经济面临空前的危机，数百万人因技术创新失业，全球购买力急剧下降。”而埃里克·布林约尔松（Erik Brynjolfsson）^[12]和安德鲁·麦卡菲（Andre McAfee）^[13]在《第二次机器时代》（The Second Machine Age）^[14]一书中提供了充分的理由，认为里夫金的观点具有一定的道理。他们认为，经济增长所带来的回报（bounty）——即通过较少的投入产生更多的产出，使商品更加便宜、更加易得，从而改善人们生活——并没有通过财富、收入和资本的分配，使每个人都被惠及而受益。换句话说，“科技进步的浪潮可能并不会使所有船只都得以提升。”例如，在上文提到的技能差距上，“自1970年代中期以来，拥有研究生学位的人的工资上涨了约25%，而高中辍学者的平均工资则下降了30%。”尽管自20世纪中期以来，美国GDP和经济生产力呈现“令人印象深刻的轨迹”，但该国的中位数收入却在下降，表明少数人正在获得好处，而大多数人却错失了机会：自里根时代以来，贫富差距不断扩大。布鲁金斯学会的这篇文章^[15]也支持这一观点。

^{[11] 美国经济和社会理论家、作家、公众演说家、政治顾问和活动家。 [12] 经济学家、教授，现任斯坦福大学数字经济实验室主任。 [13] 研究员、作家，MIT斯隆管理学院副教授、MIT数字经济计划副主任。 [14] http://digamo.free.fr/brynmacafee2.pdf/ [15] https://www.brookings.edu/articles/rising-inequality-a-major-issue-of-our-time/}

然而，也许这些观点的实际含义被错误的同情心所误导。尽管不平等的确存在，但这并不意味着它应该被视为最主要的关注变量。再次强调，技术创新使商品变得异常便宜，使人们的生活更加轻松、生活水平更高，并且通过提供更多商品、服务、信息和知识的可获取性，来满足人们的需求和愿望，从而让日常生活更便利。尽管财富分配可能存在不平等，但其整体增长使每个人都变得更好。而且，随着财富的进一步增长，这一趋势将持续。曾经只有富人能够负担得起的东西，如今大多数人都可以买得起。比如iPhone，它能提供比所有现存图书馆更多的信息，而历史上，只有最富有的人才能使用后者，而几乎任何人都能购买前者。欧洲最大的图书馆是1481年的梵蒂冈图书馆，馆内估计有三千五百本书籍和文献。ChatGPT估计，如果将网上的信息转化为书籍大小的量，将约合467千万亿本书。看看农业的发展。当经济学家米尔顿·弗里德曼（Milton Friedman）在1980年写《选择的自由》（Free to Choose）时，他写道，在《独立宣言》被签署的时代，“每20个工人中就需要有19个（从事农业劳动），以养活这个国家的居民，以及提供生产盈余以供出口，来交换外国商品。如今，只需要每20个工人中的不到1个工人，就能养活2.2亿美国居民，并提供生产盈余使美国成为世界上最大的食品出口国。”

彼得·蒂尔（Peter Theil）^[16]常常宣称，问题是技术创新停滞，而不是与福利项目或分配模式相关的道德失败。科学和技术需要突破，以转变行业并提高生活标准。人工智能的智能革命，理应能够实现这一潜力。因此，也许最好是直接放手不管。专注于特定分配模式的公平或正义，就像尼采所说的那样，是一种“坏良心（bad-conscience）”——以被认为的集体利益为代价而追求个人利益时所体验到的罪疚感，但实际上，这种感受只会阻碍进步，而非推动它。真正和最好的目标，可以说是努力创新并创造推动历史发展的价值，这就像亚当·斯密（Adam Smith）^[17]的“看不见的手”的隐喻一样，自然地调和了人们的自利。正如米尔顿·弗里德曼所说，“对于促使个人之间合作，进而使得每个个人都可以从合作中受益的状态而言，没有外部力量是必要的，没有对自由的侵犯是必要的。这就是为什么正如亚当·斯密所说的，‘只关心自身利益’的个人会‘被一只隐形之手引导，以推动一种与他的意图无关的目标’。”

^{[16] 硅谷投资人，PayPal创始人，企业家、风险投资家、政治思想家、作家。 [17] 经济学家、哲学家、道德理论家，古典经济学奠基人。}

Section 1.2

关于经济增长是否足以改善长期的福祉和生活水平的问题，存在着高度争议。这个问题显然在这里无法解决。然而，提到这一点的目的是为了表明两种观点都具有正确性。个人在市场上追求自己的利益，像价格和工资这样的变量通过人们的自愿交换达成平衡，已经带来了巨大的成果。但差距也随之产生。

自动化是一个潜在的威胁。忽视它并声称它是危言耸听是一个错误。在可能的人工智能颠覆之后，某种形式的平衡达成之前，过渡期可能是复杂的，并且可能造成不必要的痛苦，如果事先处理，这些痛苦本可以避免。革命性的新技术可能既有好的一面，也有坏的一面。例如，十五世纪的印刷术使人们摆脱了教会强加的信息控制，催生了科学文献涌现的浪潮，为文明提供了巨大的价值。但它也导致了激烈而血腥的宗教战争，因为它允许人们传播各种信息。因此，为了避免类似的结果，在实施任何能够重新安排和重组社会经济安排的技术时，采取主动的方式非常重要。

从这里出发，通常的推论是，监管措施是应对这些可能性最好的手段。但与其满足于监管，正如马克·安德森在拜登政府执政期间警告的那样，监管会导致人工智能垄断，本文将力图支持自由市场中的自愿交换，同时促进必要的社会合作，帮助人们适应并在一个越来越不依赖于人力资本的经济中发挥作用。

本文的担忧是人们失去行使自身能动性（agency）的机会，从而无法拥有对自己的生活的控制（control）感和影响（influence）感。如果大量的人失去参与工作的机会，将会出现一条鸿沟，阻挡人们在世界中通常实现自己潜力的方式。他们将不再有机会在关键的社会领域做出具有深远影响的生活选择，这些选择需要谨慎和远见。人们将失去测试自我、发现天性的倾向和兴趣、辨认自己重视的事物以及行使选择去追求它的机会。社会中培养毅力、动机和个人意志的主要机会将会丧失。如果工作将主要被自动化替代，那么需要一个新的机会媒介来取而代之。作为社会制度的工作需要进步，并保持人们成长和发展的途径。

20世纪的自由主义哲学家约翰·杜威（John Dewey）写道：“正如感觉需要可感知的对象来刺激它们，我们的观察、回忆和想象能力也不是自发工作的，而是由当前社会活动所设定的需求激发。”像教育和工作这样的社会环境提供了刺激特定能力和功能所需的活动媒介，这些能力和功能需要完成定义活动的任务。人们常常争论说，自动化将使人们摆脱繁琐和机械的工作束缚。他们将有更多时间寻找新的方式来表达自己的需求，并最终实现工作一直阻碍他们实现的目标。人们将有自由去实现自己的潜力。但这一切不会自发发生。需要有能激发实现真正自由、意义和目的的活动的环境。当一个人完全孤单地待在一个没有人阻碍其动作和倾向的房间里时，可以说他是自由的。这样的人可以随心所欲。但由于没有能够激发适当反应的情境，且没有成功与失败的可能性，也缺少需要合作和协调的场景，这些场景有助于培养社会和情感的能力，也没有必要发挥智力和解决问题的能力，这个房间里的人的成长会停止，反而会枯萎，无法实现自由。一个从天空自由下落、不被任何东西阻挡的人，他看似自由，其实并不自由，因为他注定会撞向地面。

正如弗朗茨·卡夫卡（Franz Kafka）所写：“我自由了，因此我迷失。”哲学家让-保罗·萨特（Jean-Paul Sartre）则说：“人类被注定要自由。”

因此，当前的问题是，如何开辟一个人们能够自愿进入其中，并找到表达美好生活所需能力的机会的空间。此类机会，旨在行使人们的能动性，将被称为“质性丰富（qualitatively rich）机会”，而能够实现这些机会的环境则被称为“质性丰富环境”。

一个体现“质性丰富机会”的“质性丰富环境”是“开源生态系统”（open source ecosystems），它应当是人工智能发展的主要模式，它提供了以下框架：市场将为人们提供机会，让他们通过具有挑战性和刺激性的工作来行使自己的能动性，进而实现有意义的项目。人们将不得不学习新技能，克服障碍，但这一过程不仅是为了保持一个人们可以竞争、做出选择、发展能动性的市场，同时也促进人们生活中的目的和意义。如果经济要关上旧有工作形式的门，比如流水线和服务性工作，那么应该为人们提供更多有意义的工作机会。正如经济学家泰勒·科文（Tyler Cowen）在《莱克斯·弗莱德曼博客》（Lex Fridman podcast）中指出的那样，人们需要事情做。他们不想只是待在家里，正如COVID封锁所证明的那样。如果例行劳动和低技术劳动将被自动化，那么唯一的选择是确保存在“质性丰富机会”，以便人们能够利用并行使自己的能力，进行有意义的工作。

因此，应该在经济中引入一种新的范式。从佩卡·希曼宁（Pekka Himanen）^[18]的《黑客伦理》（The Hacker Ethic）一书中汲取灵感，人们应当从以工业为基础的工作范式转向一种“黑客范式”。在工业范式中，个体主要执行重复性的劳动任务，其目的仅仅是为了获取收入以维持生存。而黑客范式则以内在价值为核心，强调工作本身的趣味性、刺激性、创造性与游戏性，其特征是激情与游戏，而非“履行对工作的责任”或“为经济做出贡献”的社会义务，正如马克斯·韦伯（Max Weber）^[18]在《新教伦理与资本主义精神》（Capitalism and The Protestant Ethic）中所揭示的那样。黑客范式强调人类能动性及其实现价值的潜力，这种价值能提升人类。工业范式则在工人与他们与世界的积极参与之间产生疏离感：工人对他们所贡献的工作漠不关心；人们通常不喜欢甚至讨厌他们的工作。他们在那里是为了赚钱，而不是参与有意义的工作。正如希曼宁所写：“改革工作形式不仅是尊重工人的问题，更是尊重人类作为人类的问题。黑客不认同‘时间就是金钱’的格言，而认同‘这是我的生活’的格言。”正如埃里克·史蒂文·雷蒙德（Eric Steven Raymond）在《如何成为黑客》（How To Become A Hacker）^[20]中所说，黑客认为世界充满了奇妙的问题，并在致力于解决这些问题中找到了自由。他们寻找需要动机和热情的项目，并相信当其他人也有机会获得同样的自由时，世界将变得无限美好，这需要社会合作以及对信息的最大程度的开放获取——这也正是“开源”的重要意义所在。

^{[18] 芬兰哲学家。 [19] 社会学家、经济学家、历史学家、政治学理论家，德国社会学与历史学传统的代表人物之一，被称为现代社会学的奠基人之一。 [20] http://www.catb.org/esr/faqs/hacker-howto.html}

为了凸显为何引入新范式对于应对人工智能的挑战至关重要，具有显著的历史意义，我们可以回到亚当·斯密的思想。随后，将进一步阐明“质性丰富环境”与“质性丰富机会”的概念，并将其应用于当下以专有技术（proprietary technology）为核心的人工智能垄断体系。届时可以看到，这些垄断将扼杀黑客范式的生成，因此是不可取的。

透过亚当·斯密的视角我们可以看到，尽管工业化在长期内极大地提升了人们的生活水平，但它也对从事重复性、机械性劳动的人产生了消极影响，因为这类劳动削弱了对人类认知能力的刺激，阻碍了其全面发展。劳动分工极大地加速了专业化的进程，却减少了个体接触那些能调动其高级心智能力的机会——而这些能力正是实现有意义、有目标、富有成就感的工作的基础。人工智能与自动化正成为一种转型催化剂，逐步替代工业时代的工作模式与生产逻辑，将人力资本曾承担的任务转交予智能机器完成。若人工智能真的是一种进步——即人类进步——那么它就应回应亚当·斯密关于劳动分工及其对人类生活影响的担忧。

Part 2

Section 2.1

亚当·斯密在1776年写下了《国富论》（The Wealth of Nations）。受到艾萨克·牛顿（Isaac Newton）的影响，斯密希望理解社会背后的设计，以及社会的运作机制，类似于牛顿发现并使用采用机械论术语来公式化了解释宇宙的物理法则。那个时代的模型是将现象看作是像精密调校的手表一样有组织和有秩序的，所有部件和机械都在完美的和谐中协同工作，产生各种各样的效应和涌现现象。

在斯密生活的时代，第一次工业革命正在英格兰进行。城市扩张，曾经仅限于富人阶层的商品和服务变得更加廉价且易于获取，生活水平提高，基础设施得到了发展，表面上看，人们过上了前所未有的更好生活。斯密观察到社会的进步。由于大发现时代以及使欧洲人能够踏上新大陆的技术，欧洲人与那些似乎尚未经历欧洲所经历的历史进程、被欧洲人认为是“未开化”的民族接触，因此，欧洲大陆的风尚（ethos）是历史和文明正在进入一个新的、更为先进的阶段。科学探索和知识带来的创新提升了生产力和效率，从而使社会系统的组织更加复杂。斯密希望了解推动这一进程的因果机制。

斯密观察并认为劳动分工在社会经济中扮演了主要的，甚至是基础性的角色。随着社会组织的扩展，制造与生产过程逐渐细分为更为专业的任务，结果这些过程的产出大幅增加。在传统的行会框架中，工匠将一生投入到完整的手工业中，学习所需的所有方面并精通每一部分。这种行会框架逐渐被分工化的工厂模式所取代，后者在日益发展的城市中通过劳动分工的方式系统化生产。一个庞大的个体系统因此浮现，它需要极高的协调性，而劳动分工则将这一系统组织成一个复杂的机制，旨在调和人们的利益。

斯密还认为，劳动分工反映了人类本性中的某些更深层次的特征。人们涌向城市，赚取劳动报酬并享受更好的生活条件，因为斯密认为，人类天生具有进行交换（truck）、易货交易（barter）和贸易（exchange）^[21]的倾向。他写道：“交换、易货和将一种物品与另一种物品贸易的倾向是所有人类共有的，在其他任何动物种群中都无法找到。”像狼这样的动物自然地在等级化的群体中组织自己，刚孵化的小鸟倾向于飞行，而像树木这样的有机体则在密林中争夺阳光。与此不同，人类进行交换、易货和贸易，是因为他们有天生的倾向来改善自身状况。劳动分工推动了这一目标的实现。

^{[21] 这三个词的区别在斯密研究中并没有得到广泛讨论。一些学者认为它们是同义的，通过重复表达强调（参考J.Z. Muller, (1993) Adam Smith in His Time and Ours: Designing the Decent Society, New York: Free Press第69页，Willie Henderson and Warren J. Samuels, (2004) The etiology of Adam Smith’s division of labor, in Essays on the History of Economics）。就这三个词在英语中的使用历史而言，truck system在英国曾经意为用实物作为工资的薪资制度，barter通常指不涉及货币的物物交换。}

然而，斯密认为，劳动分工是一种权衡——它也有代价。尽管人们的生活水平提高，他们享受更好的条件，能够满足诸如食物、水和住所等消费需求，但劳动分工却将工人简化为机器中的齿轮。这些任务几乎不需要认知努力。一旦任务变得常规化，并转化为肌肉记忆后，便没有更多的障碍或问题需要克服。因此，斯密深切担忧这一过程将随着时间推移产生深远的负面认知效应。人们去上班，只要他们熟悉自己的任务，就不需要动脑；他们机械地行动。斯密直言不讳地写道：

“一个人一生都在执行少量简单的操作，并且这些操作的效果始终显而易见，他便无需发挥理解力，或利用自己的创造力去寻求解决从未出现的困难的方法。他自然会变得愚笨无知，几乎达到人类可能变得最愚笨和无知的地步。”

劳动分工提供的机会在质性上较为贫乏，无法使人们具备过上有意义和有目的生活的能力。借用另一位启蒙时期哲学家伊曼纽尔·康德（Immanuel Kant）的术语，劳动分工未能尊重人类的尊严，而尊严要求针对并培养那些能够使人过上自主选择生活所必需的能力。拥有尊严意味着对个人生活拥有影响力（influence）和掌控力（efficacy）。

劳动分工创造了更多提高生活水平的机会，但它没有提供“质性丰富机会”，使人们能够整合他们的能力并实现全面的人生。大多数人可用的机会并未促使他们将创造性和生产力能力集中于那些能够扩展他们在世界中自由感的目标上。与行会制度相比，劳动分工提供了更多的机会，但这些机会也更浅薄，更缺乏产生掌控感的体验。但由于生活水平较高，人们正确地选择了将自己降级为齿轮的工作。但正如斯密所观察到的，提高生活水平不足以满足人类需求的全面范围。它没有让大多数个体能够发挥他们的更高能力。

斯密认为，必须进行改善。对人们而言，更多“质性丰富机会”是至关重要的，这些机会使他们能够过上更有意义和目的的生活，体现人类尊严，并为行使他们的能动性提供基础。劳动分工提供了物质自由的增益，但并未提供足够的机会以实现更内在的、主体驱动的自由。

这无疑是卡尔·马克思对资本主义的重大批评之一。在资本主义体制下，人们与他们的劳动发生异化（alienation）。劳动的异化意味着人们与自己的活动脱离；即人在其自身和它的创造与生产能力之间产生了距离。在心理学家埃里克·弗洛姆（Eric Fromm）关于马克思的著作^[22]中，他写道：“对马克思而言，异化的过程表现在工作和劳动分工中。工作是人类与自然之间的积极联系，是创造新世界的过程，包括创造人类自身……但随着私有制和劳动分工的发展，劳动失去了作为人类力量表达的特性；劳动及其产品变成了与人类、与他的意志和计划分离的存在。”

^{[22] Eric Fromm, Marx's Concept of Man.}

人类通过他们所参与的活动以及在其中投入的内在力量和驱动力来理解和塑造自己的身份。通过创造和塑造世界及其环境，并将能量集中于外部项目和目标，一个人在世界中实现自我感。活动（Activity），而非被动的消费或任务，定义了马克思所说的人类本质。正如弗洛姆在其著作《拥有与存在》（To Have or To Be）中所指出的，通过“存在（being）”，而非“拥有（having）”，一个人才能体验到生活的意义和目的。通过“在爱中存在”，“以充满激情的方式存在”，“以积极行动的方式存在”，“以有希望的方式存在”，“有目的地存在”，以及“以有生产力地方式存在”，一个人才能过上充实的生活，而不必依赖“拥有”（爱、激情、积极性，等等）这些东西。劳动分工强调“拥有”，而其所涉及的许多工作和活动并未促使人们发展出“存在感”。正如德国诗人歌德（Johann Wolfgang von Goethe）所言，人类通过“将自己从可能性的黑夜转化为现实的白昼”来努力存在。人类通过外化他们内心的价值观和设想来追求成为自我，而这一过程通过活动得以实现。弗洛姆写道：“人类只有在生产性行为中才是活着的，只有在他通过表达自己特定的人类能力来把握外部世界，并且以这些能力来把握世界时……在这个生产性过程中，人类实现了自己的本质。”劳动分工减少了人类的能动性感，即人类以他们所珍视的、选择并在其上实践自身意志的有意义的方式，来主动影响和引导自己生活的能力。

通过创建“质性丰富环境”，黑客范式及其对开源的推动提供了多个“质性丰富机会”，从而推动了我们社会和政治结构的进步。它具有实现人类天性中更为积极的一面——人的能动感——的潜力，而不仅仅是其消极和消费的部分。这里的主要假设是，如果人工智能要发展并融入经济基础，它应当使人们的生活得到改善。更具体地说，如果自动化发生，其结果应当是改善人们的生活，而非对他们造成伤害。实现这一目标的一种途径是确保足够分配“质性丰富机会”，让每个人都能从中受益，而开源正是实现这一目标的途径。人工智能发展可能导致人们境况恶化以及抑制他们潜在机会的一个重要原因是存在使用专有模型来控制人工智能并主导其市场使用的垄断现象。黑客范式和开源则为避免这种结果提供了可能的解决方案。

Section 2.2

在理解垄断如何减少“质性丰富机会”之前，我们需要进一步弄清楚什么是“质性丰富机会”，以及它们激发并帮助发展哪些能力。在解释这类机会的性质及其意义之后，我们将探讨垄断是如何大幅削弱这些机会的可及性，以及这意味着什么。

“质性丰富机会”的理念源自亚里士多德（Aristotle）^[23]，更具体地说，是由哲学家玛莎·努斯鲍姆（Martha Nussbaum）和经济学家阿玛蒂亚·森（Amartya Sen）进一步发展的。亚里士多德认为，人类要实现繁荣、过上充实而有尊严的生活，必须达成某些特定的功能（functions）或方式。他认为存在一种“人性（human nature）”，而这种人性包含基本的和更高层次的需求。无论历史和偶然条件如何变化，人类都具有一些根本特征。当然，这些特征是在历史情境中体现的，但在所有文化和文明中都可以观察到某些本质上的一致性。亚里士多德说：“善是万物所追求的目标。”所谓“善”，即是一种事物的适当功能。例如，眼睛的善是“看见”，种子的善是“长成一棵树”。实现某物的适当功能，就是实现其“繁荣”（flourish），也就是达到它所追求和努力趋向的状态。达到这样的状态，就是获得一种内在价值。

^{[23] 古希腊哲学家。}

作为一个人去实现其功能，需要基本的生活必需品，如食物、水、住所和行动能力。但这些物品本身并不具有内在价值；它们之所以有价值，是因为它们使人能够运作以追求更进一步、更有内在价值的事物。如果一个人仅仅拥有这些基本的生存条件，我们可以说他“运作”着，但未必是“良好地运作”。要使一个人“良好地运作”，必须拥有其他内在价值更高的资源。人类需要教育与信息获取，以发展其认知能力；需要家庭和亲密关系，以发展社交技巧、个人身份认同和情感处理能力；还需要能够施展意志、探索兴趣、投入热情的追求，并培养目标感的渠道。一个良好的政治与社会安排，即我们应当追求的那种社会制度，应当为人们提供具体的机会，让他们得以实践这些需求，从而实现良好的人类运作状态。“质性丰富机会”即是指那些能够为人类发展内在有价值的能力（如做出知情决策的能力、制定值得追求的目标及其实现路径的能力，以及建立有意义、有影响力的人际关系的能力）提供基础的机会。像工作、教育、社区和艺术等社会制度，正是那些激发并促进实现这些目标所需能力的质性丰富环境。

质性丰富机会之所以重要，是因为它们使人们具备发展“能动性”的能力。借用斯坦福大学心理学家阿尔伯特·班杜拉（Albert Bandura）^[24]的概念，我们可以将“人类的能动性”理解为个体感受到自己对生活有控制和影响力的能力。更具体地说，质性丰富机会能够激发那些针对“自我效能”（self-efficacy）能力的行为。所谓“自我效能”，是指一个人在面对挑战和障碍时所拥有的自我信心感。当面对一个困难且新颖的任务时，高自我效能的人会评估自己有能力克服困难完成任务；他们会拥有坚持不懈、克服失败的动机；即使身处陌生与复杂情境中，他们也能维持良好的心理状态。质性丰富机会旨在发展那些能够提升自我效能以及应对具体情境所需的能力。通过这些机会，一个人得以锻炼其能动性、获取掌控力，从而扩展其自由感。而正如班杜拉（1994）^[25]所说：“一个人自我效能感越强，他为自己设定的目标挑战越高，并且对这些目标的承诺也越坚定。”因此，通过增强自我效能，无论是在信念层面还是实践层面，个人将获得更高程度的自由，并过上更具质感、更丰富的人生。

^{[24] https://happyheartfamilies.citymax.com/f/Self_Efficacy.pdf [25] https://happyheartfamilies.citymax.com/f/Self_Efficacy.pdf}

工作在塑造个体身份和自我认同方面具有至关重要的作用。它为人们提供了探索不同职业路径的机会，使他们能够发现自己在人生中希望追求的目标。工作往往也是建立职业与个人关系、融入不同社会网络的重要方式，同时也是人们获取能力、攀登社会阶梯的媒介。工作这一领域还能帮助人们在多种环境和情境中培养动机、智力以及态度。换句话说，工作为人们提供了发展某些功能或生活方式的机会，而这些功能和生活方式正是实现美好生活所必不可少的。

例如，想象一个年轻人第一次进入劳动力市场。他尝试了几份工作。他发现自己不太喜欢零售业，因为需要持续与顾客打交道。他又尝试了送货服务，结果发现自己不喜欢那种日复一日的重复性工作。最后，他在一个建筑工地找到了工作，并发现有些任务既有趣又具有挑战性。他喜欢动手工作的感觉，于是决定投身技工行业。这个人随后进入技校学习，建立起重要的人际关系，在新环境中受到挑战，被激发去提升技能、积累知识与经验，并在这个过程中不断面对和克服新的困难与障碍。毕业后，他抓住了一个机会——一位欣赏他职业精神的导师为他提供了许多关注和支持。之后，他在某家公司工作了一段时间，并在这个过程中积累了足够的知识和自信，决定创办自己的公司，以实现这个目标。他开始建立客户关系，专注于能让自己在竞争中脱颖而出的技能，并最终打造出一家成功的企业。

这听起来也许有些理想化，但却是一个既熟悉又现实的例子。它描绘了一种有目的的生活，这些目的是通过在环境和情境中发现的机会而形成的，这些环境和情境提供了能够产生能动感和自我价值感的体验。当然，要实现这样的人生画面，通常还需要一系列其他条件，例如成长于一个有支持的环境中，拥有探索个人兴趣所需的资源和时间等——但在美国，工作无疑是提供发展构成美好生活的关键功能的核心渠道。上文中的这个人通过学习新技能、克服挑战、做出关键选择来应对社会环境，最终实现了成功与成就。随着在专业领域的成长，他不断设立新的目标，并获得足够的自我效能感，相信自己能够实现这些目标。他发展出一整套完整的能力体系，最终也获得了尊严感。无论这个人过去或未来是否还拥有其他美好的人生经历，如果没有那些能够让他工作与成长的机会，他的人生质量将会大打折扣。

这里有一个真实的例子，不过这个人将保持匿名。在荷兰大学毕业后，他不想找一份“普通的工作”，于是开始前往其他国家旅行。他靠在 YouTube 上制作音乐赚了一些钱，住在各地的酒店和青年旅舍。但随着资金逐渐减少，孤独与疏离感开始加剧，他变得抑郁。他完全自由——可以去任何地方、看任何东西，做任何他想做的事——但他感到极度孤独。在亚洲的一家青年旅舍，他一个人躺在床上盯着天花板，没有钱、没有女朋友、也没有工作，他想起了父亲曾对他说的话：“他小时候教过我：每当我感到沮丧或者不知道做什么时，就去找一座沙堆，拿把铲子，把沙子从院子的一边搬到另一边……干点体力活，做点辛苦的事——做点什么。我做创业项目时也一样。”于是，他开始学习编程，开发软件和应用程序，并利用 Stripe 平台^[26]将作品发布给公众以筹集资金。他专注于那些能够带来方向感与创作机会的活动。在真正的“黑客精神”指引下，他把世界看作充满待解决问题的迷人场域，有些问题他认为是可处理且值得去做的，于是尝试去解决。令人惊讶的是，他立下目标：一年内创办十二个初创公司——而他真的做到了。

^{[26] 一个专注于在线支付处理和金融基础设施的平台，帮助企业在互联网上管理资金流动。}

这个人起初感到疏离与孤独，缺乏人生目标。因此他选择行动起来，把自己投入到使用基础编程语言与工具进行的创造性表达中。通过利用人工智能，他也更能创造出具有价值和实用性的产品，供他人使用与体验。他采纳了父亲的建议，将自己投入到实际行动中，结果是抑郁与焦虑逐渐缓解。他在信息丰富的环境中，发现了许多“质性丰富机会”，得以发展自我，提升自我效能感与能力。他与更多富有挑战性的目标建立联系，不断努力达成这些目标。而开源技术在这一过程中扮演了关键角色。

这也正是 Dora 生态系统的重要意义所在。通过像 DoraHacks.io 这样的平台，像上文所描述的那样的人们可以借由“质性丰富机会”，与全球各地的开发者协作，共同创新，创造出人们认为紧迫且相关的有意义的解决方案。该生态系统为开发者提供了必要的资源，使他们能够加入全球任何地方的 “BUIDL” 团队，解决引人入胜的问题；并在黑客松中与其他建设者一起感受到社区归属感；同时还通过激励机制推动他们实现有意义的目标，而这些目标往往又会引发更具挑战性和刺激性的下一阶段任务。Dora 生态系统创造了一个充满可能性的环境，使人们能够构建去中心化的产品与服务，例如将所有权交还给用户本人，增强他们在数字世界中的自主性、安全性以及对金融资产的控制力。正如下文将进一步讨论的，大型企业和垄断机构通常并不会从这些类型的技术中直接受益。那么，他们又有什么动机去资助这类技术呢？开源技术栈能够提升价值的质量，因为它为人们提供了开发更具意义产品的路径，而这些产品通常比那些由大型、目标狭隘的机构所产出的产品更具意义。

因此，如果自动化有可能减少甚至消除人们运用能动性、获得自我效能感的“质性丰富机会“，那么它所腾出的空间，理应由其他在质性上更丰富的机会来填补。如果确实存在“人性”这样的东西，而这种人性包含了一系列需要被发展、以使人得以过上有尊严生活的能力，那么最优与最值得追求的政治与社会安排，应当是将“质性丰富机会”公平分配，以确保人们有选择去运用自身能力、成为能够良好运作并实现繁荣生活的个体。为人们提供质性丰富机会，使他们能够加以利用，并据此组织、调动并集中自身内在力量于那些能够锻炼与激发个体能力的实践之上，这就构成了一个让人过上更有意义人生的基础。它是给予人们成为他们所珍视之人的自由。

接下来的部分将转向对 AI 垄断企业的讨论，揭示它们是如何压制上述这类未来机会的。

Part 3

Section 3.1

人工智能领域中潜在的垄断者不言自明：谷歌、苹果、微软、Meta 和亚马逊。这些公司以及少数其他企业在 2024 年占据了 65% 的固定网络流量和 68% 的移动网络流量^[27]。谷歌大约占据全球约 90% 的搜索市场，其品牌名几乎已成为“搜索”行为本身的代名词；Meta 拥有主要的社交媒体平台，如 Instagram、Facebook 和 WhatsApp，这些都是人们日常交流与信息分享中访问量极高的平台；微软控制着大约 72% 的桌面操作系统市场；在美国，苹果约占据 60% 的智能手机市场份额；而亚马逊则主导了线上零售，其规模“超过美国排名其后的 15 家最大电商零售商的总和”^[28]。此外，谷歌、Meta 和亚马逊合计占据了美国约 60% 的广告收入。我们在网上所接触到的产品、精美广告、以及注意力的买卖，主要都是由这几家大型科技公司驱动的。根据 Synergy Research ^[29]的研究，到本世纪末，微软、谷歌和亚马逊三家公司可能将掌握全球高达三分之二的数据份额。这些公司还控制着大部分云基础设施——亚马逊、微软、谷歌（以及阿里巴巴）合计拥有全球 67% 的云计算市场份额^[30]。

这些公司拥有庞大的资源储备，同时也长期以来采用各种手段排挤竞争对手，包括通过并购消灭潜在威胁、利用市场主导地位优先推广自家产品、实行掠夺性定价、利用网络效应，以及其他众所周知的策略。例如，鉴于亚马逊在电子商务领域的市场主导地位，它可以通过优先推荐自家产品，排挤其他可能品质更高的供应商产品。消费者在面对价格更低的亚马逊产品时，往往更倾向于购买，而亚马逊正好拥有充足的资源来维持这种低价策略。在网络效应方面，“目前^[31]大多数科技巨头的用户数量都以十亿计”，这为初创企业和小公司制造了几乎无法跨越的障碍。而谷歌也多次被指控故意降低某些内容的排名，并优先展示有利于自身利益的信息。

^{[27] https://www.applogicnetworks.com/blog/sandvines-2024-global-internet-phenomena-report-global-internet-usage-continues-to-grow [28] https://www.emarketer.com/learningcenter/guides/amazon-revenue/ [29] https://cxotoday.com/news-analysis/big-tech-to-own-two-thirds-of-world-data/#:~:text=Without%20sounding%20like%20a%20predictor%20of%20doomsday%2C,data%20centers%20while%20the%20rest%20is%20on [30] https://botpopuli.net/digging-deeper-assessing-big-techs-capture-of-the-internets-infrastructure/#:~:text=The%20dominance%20of%20Big%20Tech,Services%20(AWS)%20in%202006. [31] https://academic.oup.com/policyandsociety/advance-article/doi/10.1093/polsoc/puae012/7636223}

如今，这些公司正积极争夺对人工智能发展的主导权。“Meta、微软、亚马逊和Alphabet 预计在2025年将累计投入高达 3250 亿美元的资本支出与投资……相比这些公司在2024年报告^[32]的约 2230 亿美元，这相当于增长了 46%。”此外，“几乎没有例外，所有初创公司、新进入者，甚至 AI 研究实验室都依赖这些大型科技公司：他们依靠微软、亚马逊和谷歌的计算基础设施来训练系统，也依靠它们庞大的消费市场渠道来部署和销售 AI 产品^[33]。”科技巨头垄断了初创公司赖以生存^[34]的关键资源——人才、数据和算力。

^{[32] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-tech-set-to-invest-325-billion-this-year-as-hefty-ai-bills-come-under-scrutiny-182329236.html [33] https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/12/05/1084393/make-no-mistake-ai-is-owned-by-big-tech/ [34] https://academic.oup.com/policyandsociety/advance-article/doi/10.1093/polsoc/puae012/7636223}

现有的行业巨头正在开发各种模型，以维持其在各自市场中的立足点。由于它们掌握着大多数资源——例如，“这些公司贡献了标普500指数公司市值的 22% 以上，其单独市值甚至超过了加拿大、意大利等^[35]部分 G7 国家 GDP”——它们可以随意挤压竞争对手，阻止初创企业和小型公司进入市场。正如前文所述，随着 DeepSeek 在全球市场中作为竞争者不断取得进展，这些最大规模的 AI 公司正在大肆渲染一场“军备竞赛”，并夸大中国威胁以及人工智能可能带来的危害，从而推动对 AI 的监管和开发限制，而这些限制最终最有可能使它们自身受益。与此同时，由于垄断体制依赖于专有模型，其架构、权重、学习算法、代码以及内嵌目标都对公众隐蔽不明，在 AI 渗透信息网络的过程中，这些公司的经济与市场主导地位也将以一种“隐秘的方式”塑造人们的思维和行为。

^{[35] https://academic.oup.com/policyandsociety/advance-article/doi/10.1093/polsoc/puae012/7636223}

那么，监管是否能解决这个问题呢？《麻省理工科技评论》最近指出：“监管或许有帮助^[36]，但政府政策最终往往加固了这些公司的权力，而非加以削弱——这些公司能够利用其资本与政治影响力来操控政策。”亚历克斯·蓝姆佩尔（Alex Rampell）^[37]最近写道^[38]：“拜登政府发布了一项行政命令^[39]，试图以人为设定的门槛限制计算能力，禁止开源技术，理由是其对国家安全构成威胁，同时这实际上为几家最大公司垄断监管资源敞开了大门。”例如，尽管萨姆·奥特曼在与贝利·韦斯（Barry Weiss）^[40]的《自由新闻播客》（Free Press podcast）中否认了这一说法，投资人马克·安德森却一再警告称，拜登的 AI 行政命令的真正目的在于将 AI 的控制权交到少数几家公司（极可能是 OpenAI）手中，并通过提高市场准入门槛来消除竞争者。此外，尽管此举颇具争议、甚至可能显得天真，自从 DeepSeek 发布其 V1 和 V3 模型以来，Anthropic的 CEO 达里·阿摩地（Dario Amodei）一直呼吁加强出口管制政策^[41]，进一步限制中国获取芯片的能力。然而，正如迪伦·潘特（Dylan Patel）^[42]和纳森·兰伯特（Nathan Lambert）^[43]在 《莱克斯·弗莱德曼博客》中指出的那样，DeepSeek 的开源模型显然并不构成任何实质性的国家安全威胁。但它确实对那些依赖专有系统、通过模型控制潜在价值的生态构成了威胁。DeepSeek 的方法迫使这些“专有资本”朝着可被任何人使用与构建的公共资源方向转化。正因如此，阿摩地对“单极 vs. 双极世界”的坚持背后其实包含着竞争性的动机：要么 AI 权力集中于美国，要么中美都拥有对等的 AI 能力——而后者，在阿摩地看来，是必须避免的局面。

^{[36] https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/12/05/1084393/make-no-mistake-ai-is-owned-by-big-tech/ [37] 硅谷知名投资人，安德森·霍洛维茨基金（Andreessen Horowitz，简称a16z）的普通合伙人（General Partner）。 [38] https://a16z.com/why-deepseek-is-a-gift-to-the-american-people/ [39] https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2023/11/01/2023-24283/safe-secure-and-trustworthy-development-and-use-of-artificial-intelligence [40] 美国著名记者、专栏作家，独立新闻平台自由新闻（The Free Press）的创办人。 [41] https://darioamodei.com/on-deepseek-and-export-controls [42] 半导体行业分析师，SemiAnalysis网站创始人。 [43] AI研究员、工程师。}

或许，我们应当持有一种不那么鹰派的乐观态度。经济学家泰勒·科文提出了充分理由，认为与其全面投入一场军备竞赛，不如在相互合作^[44]与共赢中寻找发展路径。当然，竞争仍然是必要的，但推动未来事件进程的竞争心态，不应仅仅源于达尔文式的“适者生存”逻辑，而应更接近尼采所观察到^[45]的古希腊式“竞技”（Agon）^[46]传统——那是一种社会制度，其中的艺术家、军事领袖与运动员通过竞争彼此激励、共同成长。

^{[44] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TcJtvzF-FP8&t=2736s [45] http://www.northamericannietzschesociety.com/uploads/7/3/2/5/73251013/nietzscheana5.pdf [46] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agon}

没有对手，竞争者也将迷失方向。因为没有了改进、突破和创新的机会，个体便失去了变得更好、更具创造力的可能。竞争者的存在本身就依赖于愿意对抗他们的人。正是因为有人挑战，希腊诗人才得以想象得更深远、表达得更出色。尼采指出，希腊竞技者面临的最大危险不是失败，而是——失去竞争对手。他写道：“这正是希腊竞技理念的核心：它厌恶独裁，畏惧其危险，它渴望用‘另一个天才’来抵御某一位天才的压倒性力量。”我们不应将竞争理解为自然状态下的求生挣扎，那种资源稀缺、人与人互为威胁的霍布斯（Thomas Hobbes）式处境——“孤独、贫穷、肮脏、残暴而短暂”^[47]。我们也不应将竞争本能视为某种原始性冲动的残余，只为了压制对手、消灭威胁。我们应当将其理解为一种可以高贵化的本能，正如尼采所言，它是“所有人类情感、行为与作品的唯一丰沃土壤”。竞争本能自身也具有德性，应当被培养成“在正确的时间、以正确的方式、出于正确的理由”去发挥作用的东西（亚里士多德，《尼各马科伦理学》（Nicomachean Ethics）第二卷），而不是被视作一种必要之恶。阿摩地害怕中国，这可能不是正确的回应——或许，一个更好的、更具德性的回应，是将中国视为值得尊敬的竞争者。

^{[47] 霍布斯的《利维坦》（Leviathan）中对自然状态下的人的生活的刻画。}

Section 3.2

现在让我们聚焦于这些潜在的 AI 垄断企业为何会通过主导 AI 生态系统，压制质性丰富机会的更广泛传播。原因至少有两个：第一个涉及经济能动性，第二个涉及价值能动性。所谓经济能动性，是指人们进入市场、创造能满足消费者需求与欲望的价值与效用的能力。如果市场上的 AI 模型被集中掌握在少数公司手中，新兴企业与创业者为世界做出有价值贡献的机会将受到限制。那些能够回应民主、医疗保健、金融自主、政治权利与自由，或其他重大而有意义问题的创新，将大幅减少，从而也会降低 AI 所可能带来的社会福祉。任何威胁到这些少数 AI 垄断企业的控制力、影响力或财富的产品与服务，将被直接排除在市场之外，而不是由市场自然机制或消费者的真实需求所决定。

另一方面，所谓价值能动性，是指人们有能力对社会应追求的目标产生影响、发表意见。如果 AI 是在不透明的条件下、依据无法被公众了解和介入的价值与目标进行训练的，那么人们在这些问题上的影响力就会被削弱。如果由专有模型决定大多数或几乎全部嵌入 AI 的产品与服务的性质，那么人们对这些技术的控制权将大为减少。例如，所谓“对齐问题”指的是如何使 AI 与人类的利益保持一致。那么，什么是人类的利益？什么是构成一个良好且值得追求社会的目标？AI 的运行应遵循哪些道德与伦理原则？这些价值是否可以由少数几家公司决定，而无需公开其训练数据与学习算法？是否可以不接受公众监督与介入？如果技术架构被封闭在公众视野之外，那么上述问题的答案就更有可能来自权威的决定，而不是通过民主程序获得的共识。

经济能动性与价值能动性的双重丧失是危险的，本文余下部分将进一步阐述原因。

Section 3.3: 经济能动性

正如奥地利经济学家路德维希·冯·米塞斯（Ludwig von Mises）与弗里德里希·哈耶克（Friedrich Hayek）所著名指出的，苏联之所以在某些方面具有毁灭性，部分原因在于它无法通过自然发生的市场机制来合理分配资源。在这样的体制下，由内部的中央计划者来决定人民的需求与欲望——而这些人所掌握的信息资源既稀缺、又充满偏见与误差，无法实现准确分配。因此，大量官僚主义和强制性的手段被实施来调配国家资源。

举例来说，国家必须设定价格。至少是在苏联的情况中，并不存在一个广泛可用的自由市场，来使商品与服务受到供需关系的调节。生产者依据国家命令进行生产，而非根据市场激励（如竞争）自行调整方向——这些激励本应协调生产与消费，促成市场均衡。换句话说，价格失去了其关键信息功能——它本应指示资源该流向何处。哈耶克在《通往奴役之路》（The Road to Serfdom）中写道：“任何对某些商品的价格或数量的控制，都剥夺了竞争协调个体努力的能力，因为此时价格变动无法反映环境中的相关变化，也就无法为个体行动提供可靠的指导。”

不过，对本文来说，更重要的是：国家控制的生产与经济计划还意味着人们被剥夺了进入市场并创造价值的机会，使他们难以通过创新改善自身生活。任何可能威胁国家权力、削弱其合法性与影响力，或转移其部分控制权的创新行为，都将被禁止进入市场。举个例子：假设某人观察到，在某国的偏远乡村地区，由于常年洪水泛滥，人们无法修建道路，从而难以参与国家选举。这位发明者研发了一种不受洪水腐蚀的新型混凝土，并希望在乡村修建道路，改善人们的通行条件，让他们更容易参与公共事务。但当他向国家交通委员会申请资源时，却遭到了拒绝。原因是：该地区居民普遍希望拥有农业生产的自主权，因此国家不愿意为这些人提供进入选举制度的通道。而在缺乏市场竞争的情况下，也没有其他机会和机制可以去建设这些道路。

垄断，尤其是在受到监管体系保护的情况下，构成了类似的威胁。马克思曾做出一个著名批评：资本主义作为一种社会制度，其内在逻辑会逐步而不可避免地导致生产资料向少数人手中集中。虽然包括哈耶克和米塞斯在内的许多经济学家认为这种看法是错误的，并坚信在正常运作的资本主义体系中，这一结果是可以避免的。但如果人工智能遭到垄断，那么马克思的预测将比以往更加接近现实——无论这是由于历史规律，还是由于无法预见的结构性变数所致。正如克里斯·迪克森（Chris Dixon）^[48]在其著作《阅读、写作、拥有》（Read, Write, Own）中观察到的，初创公司之所以能在市场中找到生存空间，部分原因在于大公司往往目光短浅，无法及时察觉到新兴产品正逐步获得消费者的关注。在专注于自身业务的过程中，这些巨头常常错失市场趋势与动向，而初创企业若运气足够好，就能积累足够势能以形成竞争力。但如果这些老牌巨头掌控了人工智能，他们就可能利用 AI 的能力来抹平初创企业原本可以利用的那些优势。随着时间推移，垄断企业将对市场形成难以穿透的控制权，各行各业的价值链最终将进一步“上游集中”到这些公司手中——比现在更甚。由专家所忽视、却能在市场中创造出意想不到价值的颠覆性技术，其创新空间可能会被完全挤压出去。

^{[48] 安德森·霍洛维茨基金普通合伙人，负责加密货币与Web3投资部门（a16z crypto）。}

由于人工智能具备智能能力，它作为资本工具拥有极大的潜力，能够创造出改善人类生活的先进技术。但，由于有些对公众最有益的应用方式，可能并不符合政府与大型企业的利益，其潜在福祉也就可能在权力结构中被悲剧性地削弱。其中最明显的例子就是金融自主权。

看看比特币的案例就足以说明问题。中本聪（Satoshi）^[49]发明比特币的初衷，是为了让人们拥有金融自由的能力——通过创造一种稀缺资源，其价值储存功能可与黄金相类比。比特币使那些生活在高通胀、货币极度贬值国家的人们，能够积累具有全球流通性的财富。人们可以拥有一种不会因货币供应过量或国家财政赤字上升而贬值的资产。比特币能够帮助人们过上更加稳定、安全的生活，它提供了透明性、个人所有权，以及能够激励社会合作的制度安排——这一切都无需依赖强制性信任或道德施舍。

^{[49] 比特币（Bitcoin）的创造者，身份不明。}

人们本希望掌权者能够设法将中本聪为世界带来的巨大价值纳入现有体系。并不是说比特币应立即取代法定货币，而是说，考虑到比特币在应对法币体系中潜在致命问题方面提供了极具前景的解决方案，政府至少应当付出更大的努力，将这些解决方案纳入实践。合理的期待是，执政者会寻求一种方式，将区块链、比特币及其增强经济自由的潜力加以整合。然而，直到最近，有关这一技术的监管进展一直缓慢而混乱。在拜登政府期间，由于政策缺乏清晰性与明确性，关于加密货币的许多举措都未能充分发挥其潜在价值，反而阻碍了其更高效、更具生产性的使用路径。

如果AI被通过监管框架实现垄断，那么那些原本有潜力改善人类生活的技术也可能轻易被弃置。若这些技术与政府或企业利益发生冲突，大多数人将无法通过授权或专利使用这些专有模型，而中小型企业也会被并购吸收。尽管人工智能本可以彻底革新选举平台及人们参与选举的方式；尽管它本可以通过更优的数据安全手段或创造更多经济机会来增强个体自由，但探索这些可能性的路径，若与掌控大多数 AI 技术栈（甚至全部）的公司利益不符，就很可能被封锁。如果某项潜在的 AI 技术有可能通过解决某些产业赖以牟利、甚至具有寄生性质的问题，从而威胁广告收入，那么像谷歌与 Meta 这样的科技公司几乎必然会阻止这一技术进入市场的尝试。

特朗普政府迄今为止最重要的政策举措之一，就是其新的加密货币政策。该政策废除了上一届政府的行政命令，并致力于制定一个有助于推动该技术发展的监管框架。这对于人工智能领域中正在发生的其他形式的创新具有重要意义。有了除了传统风险投资之外的其他资源——例如通证经济（tokenomics）^[50]，初创公司可以为其项目提供资金支持，并积累发展势能。

^{[50] 也译为“代币经济学”，是对加密货币或区块链项目的经济层面的研究和分析，尤其关注其原生数字代币的设计和发行。该术语由“代币/通证”（token）和“经济学”（economics）两个词组合而成。}

彼得·蒂尔在其著作《从零到一》（Zero to One）中提出，初创公司本身就在、也应该在寻求成为垄断者。他们需要在市场中占据一个特定空间，通过开发专有技术击败其他竞争者，并进一步排除后来者进入该市场。正如蒂尔所言，如果企业不想成为失败者，这种策略是至关重要的。若他们希望获得投资者的关注，就必须采取建立垄断地位的路径。然而，借助通证经济以及其他与加密货币相关的机制，人们也有机会开发出有价值的技术，同时保留开源精神。在这样的机制下，合作与协作得以推动，同时也能获得支持增长所需的资金。

Section 3.4 价值能动性

经济能动性之所以被削弱，是因为市场中那些具备质感的价值创造机会正在减少，使个体难以通过创新与生产满足不断变化的需求与欲望。当 AI 技术栈被少数几家垄断企业掌控并主导整个生态系统时，即使有人识别出一个真正有意义的问题，并设计出强有力的解决方案，如果这不符合大型企业的利益，该方案也很可能无法进入市场。经济活动及其所带来的社会价值，不应建立在一套容许权力任意压制、扼杀对社会整体有益事务的权威机制上。那么，AI 垄断企业又是如何压缩人们在价值能动性上的“质性丰富机会”的呢？

如果雷·库兹韦尔的奇点理论及其相关预测哪怕部分属实——如果人类真的将与非生物智能融合，并生活在日益人工化的环境中——那么人工智能的垄断不仅不可取，而且可以说是一种反乌托邦式的局面。这种设想唤起了关于“技术霸主”的画面：他们主宰着人类社会，而人们要么沦为智能机器的奴工，要么则是舒适而满足地享受着智能繁荣所带来的物质成果。在这样的图景中，总有人必须开采矿物资源，而另一些人则消费着由此生产出的丰富商品与服务。但如果我们假设 AI 的发展会快到足以让智能机器人无需人力就能完成矿产开采工作，那最终所有人都会转变为纯粹的“消费者”。“在接下来的几十年里，”库兹韦尔预测，“几乎所有例行性的体力与脑力活动都将被自动化。”届时，唯有那些具有社交性、创造性、创新性或高度不可预测性的工作将对拥有相关技能与培训的人开放，其余人将大多成为消费者。而借助纳米机器人、虚拟现实、非生物智能增强技术与无处不在的信息流动，我们的现实将愈加接近哲学家罗伯特·诺齐克（Robert Nozick）所设想的“体验机”（experience machine）。

通过某种装置的介入——无论是接入某种模拟装置，还是完全沉浸于类似虚拟现实（VR）那样的数字化、信息化环境中——人们可以体验到他们所希望的任何事情。任何感官体验、情绪、思想或事件，都会随时向任何人开放，随时可供消费。一个人可以体验写出“伟大的美国小说”所带来的深刻满足，像苏格拉底^[51]那样在雅典法庭上勇敢地对抗陪审团，或像拿破仑那样英勇地站在青翠的高岗上俯瞰敌军，也可以在模拟的攀登中登上珠穆朗玛峰，体会坚持不懈的荣耀与世界之巅的视野。重要的不是这些事件是否真实发生，而是有人“渴望”它，而它就会“存在”。在这样的图景中，人生的目标就是消费；而“道德生活”——值得追求的生活——则被定义为追求内部刺激的生活。外部世界、个体真实的存在状态将不再重要。一个人是否真实地勇敢、富有同情心、充满爱意、公正、虔诚、善良或邪恶——这都不再有意义。人们的兴趣与冲突将在人工体验的消费中得到调和。在一个“问题已被解决”的世界中，没有需要行动者去解决的具体问题，行动者也就变得可有可无；唯一需要的，是“消费”。

^{[51] 古希腊哲学家。}

这种情境真正危险之处在于，垄断企业将完全掌控生成技术的算法，也即控制我们可接触的信息结构。信息将不断被嵌入到以消费为中心的环境中。理想情况下，人们应当拥有自由，做他们想做的事，以他们认可的方式生活。但人们“看待”世界的方式，他们建构现实的方式，他们所处的社会语境——都会被那些已经整合智能资本、成为未来唯一商品与服务生产者的公司所过滤与塑造。哲学家艾伦·布鲁姆（Allan Bloom）在其著作《美国精神的封闭》（The Closing of the American Mind）中写道：“每一个教育系统都有一个它希望达成的道德目标，并据此构建其课程。它希望塑造出某种特定类型的人。”人工智能的垄断企业将通过改造人的生存环境来塑造“人是什么”的意义，以符合其自身利益。而真正重要的那些事情——运用能动性、实现真实的自我效能感、发现自己在人生中真正珍视与渴望的事物、建构让现实更一贯、宜居和统一的人生目标等等的机会——将被被企业利益所强烈影响和操控。而这些利益，本质上是围绕经济增长与利润最大化构建的。

在诺姆·乔姆斯基（Noam Chomsky）^[52]与爱德华·赫尔曼（Edward Herman）^[53]合著的《制造共识》（Manufacturing Consent）^[54]一书中，两位作者提出，美国媒体实际上是一种宣传工具，而非客观的信息来源（这一观点当时颇具争议，但如今已成为主流看法）。他们认为，这种宣传功能是通过一套“过滤模型”来运作的，该模型将信息作为输入，并为公众“福祉”完美制造出标准化的输出。而其中一些媒体过滤机制，正是今天科技巨头所采用的。第一个过滤器是媒体公司的规模、所有权结构及其以利润为导向的商业模式。这使得进入媒体市场所需的投资与准入成本变得高得惊人，从而使其他竞争者难以生存。法律制度被用来执行一系列标准，这些标准压制了初创公司与中小企业的发展；而政府补贴则倾向于支持那些与政府利益保持一致的媒体公司。第二个过滤器是广告收入。广告不仅提升了特定公司的利润，也让它们在竞争中占据优势。那些无法吸引广告支持的媒体来源往往被市场边缘化。在此过程中，那些资金雄厚的媒体公司为了争取广告商的“青睐”，被迫迎合股东所要求的持续利润增长。这意味着任何挑战企业利益的声音，都可能因营收减少而遭受惩罚，最终被逐出市场竞争。

^{[52] 美国教授和公共知识分子，以其在语言学、政治活动和社会批评领域的研究而闻名。乔姆斯基有时被称为“现代语言学之父”，他也是分析哲学的重要人物和认知科学领域的创始人之一。 [53] 美国经济学家、媒体学者和社会评论家。 [54] https://focalizalaatencion.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/herman-chomsky-2002-manufacturingconsent.pdf}

这两个过滤器，正是当今科技巨头在其平台上运用的机制。他们主导市场，并依靠广告收入获取惊人的利润。正如乔姆斯基与赫尔曼所指出的另一个过滤器——意识形态偏向，大科技公司同样如此。就像上世纪八十年代的主流媒体会大肆报道敌对国家的种族灭绝与谋杀，却对发生在美国“势力范围”如拉美地区的同类事件视而不见，大科技公司也会在符合其经济与利益考量时，沿着特定的意识形态线索行事。由于其庞大的利润模式与动机，大科技公司的利益并不必然与真理、勇气、准确性、诚实、公正或善恶标准一致。只有当这些价值可以带来可预见的利润与效用最大化时，它们才可能被采纳。因此，如果 AI 垄断企业逐步获得市场主导权，并以其最先进模型为基础将大量商品与服务推向市场，那么人们对于世界的理解、他们如何看待现实、哪些事物最值得关注——都会在信息过滤器的引导下被重塑。这些过滤器正是大科技公司用于“产出有利于技术发展结果”的机制的一部分。个体发展自身的机会、形成自我世界观的过程、以及构成生活统一性的价值体系，都将受到科技信息过滤器的支配与重构。

我们很容易想象这样一个世界：信息的生成由一小部分集中的模型主导，这些模型构建出一套相互交织的信息网络，强化着不准确、不诚实、甚至是伪造的信息结构。新闻标题与报道可能散布错误主张与对现实的歪曲，而这些说法又会被其他虚假信息源所“证实”，彼此互为支撑。这种信息结构——即信息的组织方式及其意义赋予机制——可能会被人为策划，以服务于掌握权力与控制信息传播资源者所设定的特定目的。少数人认为“最好的”内容将被优先推送，而公众的想法将逐渐变得从属，最终被操控以符合权力方的利益。这并不是在指责某个实体或个人有恶意意图，而是在强调这样一种结构性困境：当生成并传播社会所消费的信息的能力被集中在少数几方手中时，这种权力格局所带来的难以解决的困境。

这最终将不可避免地导向类似于前文提到的诺齐克“体验机”的世界。人们获得一种超越消费伦理的生活形式能力的机会将被极大压缩，甚至被彻底剥夺。确实，假设未来大多数工作被自动化，人们通过基本收入实现生活保障，那么个体将从劳作的束缚中解放，不再被迫为经济增长贡献劳动力。从某种意义上说，人类将获得对约束与必需品的自由。但问题在于，如果没有施展自由的媒介，如果没有真正的机会在具体经验中运用自己的能动性，那么这种自由就并不是真正的自由——至少不是那种更深层次的、积极意义上的自由。那种引导人们思考“如何生活”、那种通过探索而发现值得投入心力与时间的事业的过程、那种确立人生目标并在充满挑战与刺激的环境中努力实现的能力，将会在这样的结构中逐渐失效，甚至彻底被边缘化。

哲学家约翰·杜威（John Dewey）曾写道：

我们很少意识到，我们对什么有价值、什么无价值的判断，在多大程度上是受制于我们并不自觉的标准。但一般来说，那些我们未经思考便视为理所当然的事物，正是决定我们有意识思维与判断结论的关键。而那些位于反思之下的习性，往往正是在我们与他人的持续互动与交换中形成的。

如果构成社会的制度是由那些以提升股东利润为目的的大型企业所主导——这将在它们主导人工智能时成为现实——那么它们的模型将渗透进经济的每一个领域，渗入我们的环境。这些环境将影响我们所被激发的生活方式，朝向不再体现为实际的‘存在’（being），而是依赖于‘拥有’（having）。也就是说，什么是显著的、值得追求的、具有吸引力的，不再取决于它所需要的努力、它所要求的冒险精神，或它所能激发的成长过程，而是取决于它能否填满并打发时间。对于一种由消费伦理塑造的意识而言，显而易见、理所当然的东西，将与另一种由合作构成、旨在促使个体能动性寻求意义与目标的社会完全不同。前者会看到一个充满各种可能体验的世界，但这些体验除了即时呈现的感受之外毫无意义；而后者则仍然会体验到“必要性”，以及那种不可遏制的冲动——即人必须感受到世界上仍有值得行动之事。赫尔曼·梅尔维尔（Herman Melville）在其伟大的美国小说《白鲸》（Moby Dick）中写下了这样的句子：

我坚定目标的道路铺设着铁轨，我的灵魂被刻槽其上。穿越无底峡谷，穿越山脉深处与激流之下，我直奔而去！没有障碍，没有转弯，只有通向铁轨终点的直路！

但愿，那些曾赋予梅尔维尔写作力量的精神碎片，在未来的某个角落依然得以存在。

Section 3.5

在《查拉图斯特拉如是说》（Thus Spoke Zarathustra）一书中，尼采描绘了两种未来人类的形象：“末人”（Last Man）与“超人”（Overman）。这两者在本能、欲望、动机与驱力方面有着根本性的不同。他们所看到的世界、感知世界的方式也截然不同：哪些事物对他们而言是显著且有意义的，什么是“善”或“恶”，对自我与世界的信念与态度，皆南辕北辙。

尼采对“末人”充满蔑视，而他的理想目标则是“超人”。“末人”代表一种追求舒适、安逸与满足的生活方式——那是一种消费的生活，是一种被动的满足。末人的畜群（herd）沉浸在“白天的微小快乐、夜晚的微小快乐中，但极度重视健康。他们说：‘我们发现了幸福’，眨着眼睛”。这样的存在，培养出的是享乐、安逸、饱足与消费的本能。尼采常将这种状态比喻为“反刍的牛”。而“超人”则是那种能够保有创造与超越本能的存在，他将生命导向某个遥远而艰难的目标，借此创造出一种超出自身的价值，使生活因此获得尊严与意义。超人仍然保有那种穿越变革性经验的冲动，那种能改变自我存在状态与意识体验的本能。正是这种冲动激发个体去掌握现实、理解现实，并因此增强他们影响现实的能力——个体越来越能够通过自己的活动与存在方式去塑造经验，建构世界。“末人”的美德——最大化快乐并最小化痛苦，在“超人”看来，恰恰是堕落的恶德。

人工智能的垄断结构及其以利润为导向的模式，正在推动“末人”的出现；而开源则是在为“超人”保留空间。随着人工智能被集中于少数强权之手，并通过这些权力机构设定的参数向市场大量输出商品与服务，整个信息景观及其传播网络将被精心策划成一种伦理结构——这种伦理以最大满足与持续消费所带来的舒适感为核心。在这样的结构中，个体所接触到的机会与环境将不再是“质感质性丰富”的；它们不会激发人们内在的主动能力，而只会使人变得能够追求一种消费社会所设定的终极目标——即最大化产出与回报的路径。

而开源生态系统，则保留了一个人类能动性仍能找到出口的空间。在那里，创造力与创新的目标不再仅仅是为了逐利，而是为了实现一种更完整的人类生活。

现在，本文开篇提出的一个问题是：自动化是否能带来足够多的机会，使被替代的劳动力能够重新获得工作？到现在我们已经看到，黑客范式与开源生态系统的确让这一目标更为可行。彼得·蒂尔的《从零到一》可以说是一本创业者指南。而他在书中明确指出：创业的目标应当是至少模仿，并努力实现垄断。所谓“成功”，就是在某一市场领域内占据主导地位，排除其他进入者，并通过专属供应尚未满足的需求来实现利润最大化。但成功初创企业的统计数据^[55]却令人沮丧。初创企业的失败率高达90%。在那些成功者中，首次创业者只占18%。获得风险投资资金的初创企业不到1%；获得天使投资的比例也不到1%；约有75%的初创公司依赖“信用卡债务、商业贷款与信用额度”来筹集资金。成功的几率微乎其微，而对那些敢于创业，尤其是技术驱动型创业者（这是失败率最高的一类）所需承担的门槛与风险，往往近乎不可逾越。蒂尔之所以鼓励初创企业采用垄断策略，部分原因正是因为唯有在获得足够稳固的市场地位之后，公司才终于能够喘息、拓展与创新。一旦达到垄断标准，企业便能掌控其特定领域（甚至是整个）市场中的价值输出——理论上，这会给企业与消费者双方带来好处。

^{[55] https://explodingtopics.com/blog/startup-failure-stats}

然而，这种能力最终被集中在极少数能够侥幸成功的公司手中。一旦掌握了这种能力，它们便没有自利的动机去放手。而当某家企业依靠其垄断地位终于获得创新的自由之时，这种专属能力却也意味着其他拥有创造潜力的人被排除在外，仅仅因为他们没有获得那唯一的机会。

如果企业的成功几率更高，那无疑会更具吸引力。但传统的融资方式以及作为成功创业者所需经历的艰难过程，往往会打击甚至扼杀那些本有能力提出改变世界的强大创意的人们。而黑客范式之所以具有深远意义，正是因为它能够提供丰富的机会，让人们得以创造价值，而无需承担传统创业所附带的高风险。黑客范式的“北极星”之一，就是致力于打造一个开放的、无需许可的生态系统——一个充满机会、人们可以自由进入、自由利用关键技术信息，并能够与成熟企业协作，从而共同创造出更好、更具创新性的产品的环境。开放的生态系统能够赋予人们创造价值的可能，而封闭系统则将他人排除在外，关闭了协作的大门。

按照蒂尔模式的创业路径，那是一条崎岖不平的道路。它需要强烈的意志、非凡的创造力，当然还需要一定的运气。而这三者的完美契合，是极其罕见的。因此，真正能在创业中成功的人少之又少。通过一个无需许可的开源生态系统，通过减轻人们在创造有价值事物时所承受的沉重负担，我们可以释放出大量机会——这些机会无需你拥有成为乔布斯或贝索斯那样的雄心与资源，也不要求你必须独力成就一番技术帝国。事实上，那些科技巨头的成功，早已远远超越了他们当初想要创造创新科技的初衷。开源生态系统将推动科技进步的机会民主化，使人们能够真正参与其中，不必成为少数天才企业家的复制品。创新，理应是更具协作性、更广泛分布的，也应当距离普通人更近。黑客范式正在使这成为可能，它正在重构赛场的平衡。

或许，并不是每个人都想成为一名“黑客”。但开源为我们保留并拓展了一种最佳的原型模式，通过它，可以将具体的机会持续地、公平地分配给人们，让他们得以实践自己的能动性。正是通过拥有这类机会，人们仍能发现和体验到那种强烈的召唤感——“我必须去做某事”——即，一个目标的存在，使个体不得不相信，若忽视它，人生就将失去意义与目标。如果我们生活的世界中，人们能接触到的、最显眼且最具吸引力的事物，仅仅是尼采所说的那种“幸福”——那种不涉及个人牺牲、不包含作为德性的献身（devotion）、也无需为艰难而变革性的事业奋斗的意愿的“幸福”——那么这样的世界无疑比不上另一个世界：在那里，人们拥有真正的机会去成就伟大的事业，只要他们愿意去追求。

结语

当 IBM 的“深蓝”在 1997 年击败国际象棋冠军卡斯帕罗夫（Garry Kasparov）时，象棋并未因此被淘汰。人们依旧继续比赛，并不断变得更强。这一事实——即从那以后任何人类棋手都不可能战胜 AI 程序——并未动摇那些热爱象棋之人的热情与动力。那些献身于象棋的人依旧渴望打磨自己的技艺，学习更复杂的策略，在不断成长的过程中超越其他选手。象棋选手依然渴望变得更优秀，仅仅是为了变得更优秀。通过意志与投入实现成长，当他们登上新的水平时，那种深刻的成就感依旧真实而宝贵，尽管一台机器将永远是更强的选手。

在一部关于李世石（Lee Sedol）在 2016 年败给 AlphaGo 的纪录片中，有人说：“他在这台机器的对弈中获得了成长。他的人性在与这台无生命的创造物对局之后得到了拓展。而我们的希望，是这种机器，尤其是背后的技术，也能对我们所有人产生同样的作用。”还有人说：“或许 AlphaGo 能向人类展示一些我们从未发现过的东西。或许那是一种美。”如果被正确使用，人工智能可以拓展个体影响与改变世界的能力。它可以提供创造的机会，而非只是劳作的义务；可以唤起意义的体验，而非冷漠与疏离；可以使人获得一种有价值的自由，而非无所依托的自由。但这一切都取决于社会写作和去推动人们向值得努力实现的目标前进的环境；它也要求我们以不同的方式理解竞争。

^{Agency/Agent/Agentic/… 能动性 Being （以…方式）存在 Qualitatively Rich 质性（上）丰富 Open Source Ecosystem 开源生态系统 Proprietary 专有 Pleasure 快乐 Happiness 幸福 所有著作、节目与人物名称第一次出现标记英文原文。 除网站链接之外的脚注，均为译者补充；脚注中的外部链接为原文超链接的对应标记。 原文中的特殊格式均保留在中文对应词项中。}

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Information ohne Reflexion ist geistiger Flugsand. \ Ernst Reinhardt

Der lateinische Ausdruck «Quo vadis» als Frage nach einer Entwicklung oder Ausrichtung hat biblische Wurzeln. Er wird aber auch in unserer Alltagssprache verwendet, laut Duden meist als Ausdruck von Besorgnis oder Skepsis im Sinne von: «Wohin wird das führen?»

Der Sinn und Zweck von so mancher politischen Entscheidung erschließt sich heutzutage nicht mehr so leicht, und viele Trends können uns Sorge bereiten. Das sind einerseits sehr konkrete Themen wie die zunehmende Militarisierung und die geschichtsvergessene Kriegstreiberei in Europa, deren Feindbildpflege aktuell beim Gedenken an das Ende des Zweiten Weltkriegs beschämende Formen annimmt.

Auch das hohe Gut der Schweizer Neutralität scheint immer mehr in Gefahr. Die schleichende Bewegung der Eidgenossenschaft in Richtung NATO und damit weg von einer Vermittlerposition erhält auch durch den neuen Verteidigungsminister Anschub. Martin Pfister möchte eine stärkere Einbindung in die europäische Verteidigungsarchitektur, verwechselt bei der Argumentation jedoch Ursache und Wirkung.

Das Thema Gesundheit ist als Zugpferd für Geschäfte und Kontrolle offenbar schon zuverlässig etabliert. Die hauptsächlich privat finanzierte Weltgesundheitsorganisation (WHO) ist dabei durch ein Netzwerk von sogenannten «Collaborating Centres» sogar so weit in nationale Einrichtungen eingedrungen, dass man sich fragen kann, ob diese nicht von Genf aus gesteuert werden.

Das Schweizer Bundesamt für Gesundheit (BAG) übernimmt in dieser Funktion ebenso von der WHO definierte Aufgaben und Pflichten wie das deutsche Robert Koch-Institut (RKI). Gegen die Covid-«Impfung» für Schwangere, die das BAG empfiehlt, obwohl es fehlende wissenschaftliche Belege für deren Schutzwirkung einräumt, formiert sich im Tessin gerade Widerstand.

Unter dem Stichwort «Gesundheitssicherheit» werden uns die Bestrebungen verkauft, essenzielle Dienste mit einer biometrischen digitalen ID zu verknüpfen. Das dient dem Profit mit unseren Daten und führt im Ergebnis zum Verlust unserer demokratischen Freiheiten. Die deutsche elektronische Patientenakte (ePA) ist ein Element mit solchem Potenzial. Die Schweizer Bürger haben gerade ein Referendum gegen das revidierte E-ID-Gesetz erzwungen. In Thailand ist seit Anfang Mai für die Einreise eine «Digital Arrival Card» notwendig, die mit ihrer Gesundheitserklärung einen Impfpass «durch die Hintertür» befürchten lässt.

Der massive Blackout auf der iberischen Halbinsel hat vermehrt Fragen dazu aufgeworfen, wohin uns Klimawandel-Hysterie und «grüne» Energiepolitik führen werden. Meine Kollegin Wiltrud Schwetje ist dem nachgegangen und hat in mehreren Beiträgen darüber berichtet. Wenig überraschend führen interessante Spuren mal wieder zu internationalen Großbanken, Globalisten und zur EU-Kommission.

Zunehmend bedenklich ist aber ganz allgemein auch die manifestierte Spaltung unserer Gesellschaften. Angesichts der tiefen und sorgsam gepflegten Gräben fällt es inzwischen schwer, eine zukunftsfähige Perspektive zu erkennen. Umso begrüßenswerter sind Initiativen wie die Kölner Veranstaltungsreihe «Neue Visionen für die Zukunft». Diese möchte die Diskussionskultur reanimieren und dazu beitragen, dass Menschen wieder ohne Angst und ergebnisoffen über kontroverse Themen der Zeit sprechen.

Quo vadis – Wohin gehen wir also? Die Suche nach Orientierung in diesem vermeintlichen Chaos führt auch zur Reflexion über den eigenen Lebensweg. Das ist positiv insofern, als wir daraus Kraft schöpfen können. Ob derweil der neue Papst, dessen «Vorgänger» Petrus unsere Ausgangsfrage durch die christliche Legende zugeschrieben wird, dabei eine Rolle spielt, muss jede/r selbst wissen. Mir persönlich ist allein schon ein Führungsanspruch wie der des Petrusprimats der römisch-katholischen Kirche eher suspekt.

[Titelbild: Pixabay]

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Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

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Behind the scenes, a lot has happened over the past weeks.

The design of the book’s pages is nearly finished. I’ve selected and placed the illustrations and sketches I’ll feature and I’m close to finalising the Introduction section. All that’s left to do is a small photo shoot of some things from my archives, selecting one or two more articles for the Context section, and illustrating the articles.

After that I’ll print a dummy and kick off the second round of iteration—crossing T’s, dotting I’s. (And then I’ll cross those T’s and dot those I’s again and again because, surely, more things will arise.)

In parallel, and perhaps most importantly, I’m working on the design of the cover. I have a few ideas I’d like to discuss with the printer to learn more about the various possibilities and costs.

Book site

The book is now also available for pre-order through its own website, where you can pay for it in euros or dollars, if you prefer. BTC payments are still possible, too.

Originally I only offered one pre-order option that included rewards, like a print and a sticker pack. I’ve now named that the Collectors Edition, and added a separate option to order just the book (without additional rewards) at a reduced price. 

Once the book is out in the world, this site is where I’ll have it up for sale. I’ll make the articles and illustrations from the Context section available there too. They’ll be published, in their entirety, under the Creative Commons Share-alike license. 

Promo video

My friend Lilia shot and edited a short promotional video that provides a glimpse behind the scenes in my studio in Amsterdam, a peek at the book’s production process, and a sneak preview of the first spreads. While the process was new to me, this video was a lot of fun to make and I’m proud of the result.

Pre-orders

The total number of pre-orders has grown to 76—12 of which came through the new website. I initially thought I’d be selling 50 pre-orders at most, so things are definitely exceeding my expectations.

Feel free to place your pre-order through the new site, or use the Geyser crowdfund campaign to secure your copy.

Up next

In my next blog I’ll dive a little deeper into the technical side of the book. I’ll take you through the different kinds of paper I’ll use, the printing methods we’ll employ, and how the book will be bound and finished.

Keep your eyes peeled! Thomas

---

Previous updates

The NoGood art book announcement Update 01 – Humble beginnings Update 02 – Throwback Update 03 – Loops

Pre-order a book

The NoGood art book is available as a pre-order on book.nogood.studio, where you can pay for it in euros or dollars, if you prefer. BTC payments are still possible, too.

Alternatively, visit the Geyser crowdfund campaign to secure your copy.

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/978096

@ 7e8ca676:b6a7569f

There was a time when Bitcoin smelled like ozone and rebellion. When men wore hoodies because they meant it. When software didn’t come with a mission statement or a DAO-approved pronoun guide. When the only thing a Bitcoin dev feared was being wrong, not being unpopular. \ \ That time is dead. \ \ It died somewhere between the fifth Twitter thread explaining why putting JPEGs on the base layer was “valid use,” and the fiftieth PR that added complexity to the engine in order to simplify the cupholders. Now we’re here, ankle-deep in a pool of our own mediocrity, arguing over whether we should triple the OP_RETURN limit so a VC-backed sidechain company can offload its plumbing costs onto your Raspberry Pi. \ \ Welcome to the future. It’s paved in GitHub comments and smells like a WeWork bathroom. \ \ Let’s speak plainly. This whole drama is not about OP_RETURN. It’s about power. Not electrical power. Not hash power. Soft power. The power to redefine what Bitcoin is for, one pull request at a time. It is the power to turn the protocol from a blunt, uncompromising monetary weapon into a polite corporate middleware bus for protocol startups that couldn’t raise a Series B without a little help from their friends in Core. \ \ Jameson Lopp wants to increase the OP_RETURN limit. Why? Because his company, Citrea, needs to squeeze a few more bytes into every transaction. It's not a crime. It’s not even dishonest. It's just pathetically on the nose. They don’t want to pay miners directly. They want the mempool to be their free emergency broadcast system. They want to lean on the public infrastructure without sending flowers or even a thank-you note. \ \ And what does Core say? \ \ They say yes. \ \ Because of “technical merit.” \ \ Because it’s “more efficient.” \ \ Because the devs have long since stopped being guardians of the protocol and started being unpaid product managers for whoever can string enough buzzwords together in a conference talk. \ \ You can see it in their eyes. You can hear it in their interviews. The Core devs aren’t building Bitcoin anymore. They’re managing Bitcoin. They’re curating it. Polishing it. Nerfing it for mass adoption. Like a bunch of Brooklyn baristas trying to make espresso kid-friendly. Bitcoin used to be an espresso shot poured directly into the mouth of the Federal Reserve. Now it’s a lukewarm latte with oat milk and consensus-breaking sprinkles. \ \ The worst part? The refusal to acknowledge that this is not about UTXO bloat. It's not about cleaner mempools. It’s about upstreaming corporate convenience into the base layer under the halo of neutrality. It’s about giving polite names to ugly compromises. “Policy adjustment.” “Ergonomic improvement.” “Relay optimization.” They speak in this weird dialect of bureaucratic techspeak that means nothing and does less. \ \ Meanwhile, the only thing that actually matters gets lost: ossification. \ \ The holy grail of this protocol is ossification. Not stagnation. Not laziness. Not gridlock. Just stability. The longer Bitcoin can go without consensus changes, the more credible it becomes. The more unchangeable it becomes. Like gravity. Like rust. It doesn’t matter how good your argument is. The system won’t budge. That’s the point. The value of Bitcoin isn’t in how clever the devs are. It’s in how irrelevant they become. \ \ But ossification isn't something you declare. You sneak up on it. You approach it sideways, like a wild animal. You do less and less until eventually you’re doing nothing at all, and nobody even remembers how to change the code anymore. That is the goal. To make the protocol so boring, so petrified, that no one can move it. Not Lopp. Not Luke. Not even Larry from Legal. \ \ To get there, we need something devs hate: client balkanization. \ \ That means splitting the client into pieces. Break the codebase. Separate the consensus engine from the policy fluff. Let people run different implementations. Let the free market decide what filters they want, what mempool rules they tolerate, what behavior they’re willing to relay. You want a node that bans inscriptions? Run it. You want a client that auto-forwards every transaction with a JPEG of your left toe? Go for it. Just don’t make it my problem. \ \ Right now, Bitcoin Core is a monoculture. It’s the cathedral and the altar and the pamphlet all rolled into one. That’s not healthy. That’s a single point of failure. That’s a priesthood. \ \ And no, Bitcoin isn’t a religion. It’s worse. It’s a culture. Religion has rituals. Culture has habits. And habits are harder to break. Especially when your dev team gets drunk on the idea that their opinions are features. \ \ If you want to fix this mess, you need to kill the idea that Bitcoin Core is the final word. Strip it down. Remove every line of non-consensus code. Make it boring. Make it dumb. Let the client rot in peace, and let a thousand weird little nodes bloom. \ \ Let the spammers spam themselves into oblivion. Let the free-riders find someone else to subsidize their infrastructure. Let every operator set their own damn filters. \ \ You’ll know ossification is working when the devs start getting bored. When they stop showing up. When there are no more debates. When the politics dry up. When Jameson Lopp finally logs off. \ \ Until then, every line of code you don’t remove is a future argument you’ll be forced to have with someone who thinks “data availability” is more important than keeping the protocol boring. \ \ Bitcoin does not need to be exciting. It needs to be a brick. A self-righteous, opinionated, uncompromising, utterly stubborn monetary brick. \ \ Keep your hands off it. \ \ And take your startup with you.OP_RETURN and the Cult of Cleverness: Or, How Bitcoin Core Learned to Love the Smell of Its Own Farts

There was a time when Bitcoin smelled like ozone and rebellion. When men wore hoodies because they meant it. When software didn’t come with a mission statement or a DAO-approved pronoun guide. When the only thing a Bitcoin dev feared was being wrong, not being unpopular.

That time is dead.

It died somewhere between the fifth Twitter thread explaining why putting JPEGs on the base layer was “valid use,” and the fiftieth PR that added complexity to the engine in order to simplify the cupholders. Now we’re here, ankle-deep in a pool of our own mediocrity, arguing over whether we should triple the OP_RETURN limit so a VC-backed sidechain company can offload its plumbing costs onto your Raspberry Pi.

Welcome to the future. It’s paved in GitHub comments and smells like a WeWork bathroom.

Let’s speak plainly. This whole drama is not about OP_RETURN. It’s about power. Not electrical power. Not hash power. Soft power. The power to redefine what Bitcoin is for, one pull request at a time. It is the power to turn the protocol from a blunt, uncompromising monetary weapon into a polite corporate middleware bus for protocol startups that couldn’t raise a Series B without a little help from their friends in Core.

Jameson Lopp wants to increase the OP_RETURN limit. Why? Because his company, Citrea, needs to squeeze a few more bytes into every transaction. It's not a crime. It’s not even dishonest. It's just pathetically on the nose. They don’t want to pay miners directly. They want the mempool to be their free emergency broadcast system. They want to lean on the public infrastructure without sending flowers or even a thank-you note.

And what does Core say?

They say yes.

Because of “technical merit.”

Because it’s “more efficient.”

Because the devs have long since stopped being guardians of the protocol and started being unpaid product managers for whoever can string enough buzzwords together in a conference talk.

You can see it in their eyes. You can hear it in their interviews. The Core devs aren’t building Bitcoin anymore. They’re managing Bitcoin. They’re curating it. Polishing it. Nerfing it for mass adoption. Like a bunch of Brooklyn baristas trying to make espresso kid-friendly. Bitcoin used to be an espresso shot poured directly into the mouth of the Federal Reserve. Now it’s a lukewarm latte with oat milk and consensus-breaking sprinkles.

The worst part? The refusal to acknowledge that this is not about UTXO bloat. It's not about cleaner mempools. It’s about upstreaming corporate convenience into the base layer under the halo of neutrality. It’s about giving polite names to ugly compromises. “Policy adjustment.” “Ergonomic improvement.” “Relay optimization.” They speak in this weird dialect of bureaucratic techspeak that means nothing and does less.

Meanwhile, the only thing that actually matters gets lost: ossification.

The holy grail of this protocol is ossification. Not stagnation. Not laziness. Not gridlock. Just stability. The longer Bitcoin can go without consensus changes, the more credible it becomes. The more unchangeable it becomes. Like gravity. Like rust. It doesn’t matter how good your argument is. The system won’t budge. That’s the point. The value of Bitcoin isn’t in how clever the devs are. It’s in how irrelevant they become.

But ossification isn't something you declare. You sneak up on it. You approach it sideways, like a wild animal. You do less and less until eventually you’re doing nothing at all, and nobody even remembers how to change the code anymore. That is the goal. To make the protocol so boring, so petrified, that no one can move it. Not Lopp. Not Luke. Not even Larry from Legal.

To get there, we need something devs hate: client balkanization.

That means splitting the client into pieces. Break the codebase. Separate the consensus engine from the policy fluff. Let people run different implementations. Let the free market decide what filters they want, what mempool rules they tolerate, what behavior they’re willing to relay. You want a node that bans inscriptions? Run it. You want a client that auto-forwards every transaction with a JPEG of your left toe? Go for it. Just don’t make it my problem.

Right now, Bitcoin Core is a monoculture. It’s the cathedral and the altar and the pamphlet all rolled into one. That’s not healthy. That’s a single point of failure. That’s a priesthood.

And no, Bitcoin isn’t a religion. It’s worse. It’s a culture. Religion has rituals. Culture has habits. And habits are harder to break. Especially when your dev team gets drunk on the idea that their opinions are features.

If you want to fix this mess, you need to kill the idea that Bitcoin Core is the final word. Strip it down. Remove every line of non-consensus code. Make it boring. Make it dumb. Let the client rot in peace, and let a thousand weird little nodes bloom.

Let the spammers spam themselves into oblivion. Let the free-riders find someone else to subsidize their infrastructure. Let every operator set their own damn filters.

You’ll know ossification is working when the devs start getting bored. When they stop showing up. When there are no more debates. When the politics dry up. When Jameson Lopp finally logs off.

Until then, every line of code you don’t remove is a future argument you’ll be forced to have with someone who thinks “data availability” is more important than keeping the protocol boring.

Bitcoin does not need to be exciting. It needs to be a brick. A self-righteous, opinionated, uncompromising, utterly stubborn monetary brick.

Keep your hands off it.

And take your startup with you.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Finale: once the industry-standard of music notation software, now a cautionary tale. In this video, I explore how it slowly lost its crown through decades of missed opportunities - eventually leading to creative collapse due to various bureaucratic intrigues, unforeseen technological changes and some of the jankiest UI/UX you've ever seen.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yqaon6YHzaU

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/976219

@ 7e8ca676:b6a7569f

There was a time when mining meant something. Not just the noise of fans and the stink of ozone, but a political act. An act of rebellion, like smuggling pamphlets under the nose of the king. You mined in the basement. You mined with pride. You mined because you could. Not because Fidelity wrote a whitepaper on it. Not because a hosting provider in Iceland offered you a bulk discount. But because you believed.

That miner is dead.

He didn’t die in a blaze of glory. He didn’t go down swinging. He was euthanized. Slowly, over years, by spreadsheets, subsidies, and a thousand tiny concessions. Killed off by a culture that said, “Why do it yourself when you can outsource the soul of Bitcoin to a pool in Singapore?”

Welcome to the age of industrial Bitcoin: a world where miners don’t mine, pools don’t just process. They rule. And the only thing sovereign anymore is the dividend.

The Sovereign Miner is Dead, And No One Mourned

The sovereign miner, the madman with a dusty rack, a full node, and a middle finger pointed squarely at the Eccles Building, is extinct. He’s gone the way of the dodo, the blacksmith, the outlaw. And in his place? A fleet of khaki-wearing ASIC clerks uploading hashrate reports to their VC lords like dutiful little interns. These are not revolutionaries. They are box operators. Corporate larvae wiggling around in server farms financed by pension funds.

Once upon a time, mining was an act of insubordination. You ran a rig to say "no" to Janet Yellen. You ran a node because you meant it. You didn’t need permission. You didn’t ask for subsidies. You didn’t file paperwork. You fought for consensus by living it. Every block was a punch thrown in a quiet, bloodless rebellion. Now? Now you’ve got KPMG-certified mining outfits measuring ESG impact and tweeting about carbon offsets like they’re trying to win a grant from the UN.

The eulogies for that old miner are full of oily euphemisms. They drone on about "efficiency," as if selling your vote for a cheaper power bill is some kind of virtue. "Economies of scale," they whisper, as though scale were some holy sacrament instead of the Trojan horse that delivered centralization to our doorstep. What they call progress, I call a back-alley mugging of Bitcoin’s soul.

The modern miner isn’t mining. He’s leasing his dignity to a pool that doesn’t know his name. He’s plugging in Bitmain boxes like a hotel maintenance worker changing light bulbs. The only heat he generates is for the benefit of someone else's node. Someone else's mempool. Someone else's idea of consensus. He doesn’t build the block. He just pays the electric bill.

And the worst part? He likes it. He thinks it’s normal. He thinks it’s “smart business.” He’s internalized the defeat so completely he brags about it on social media. He’ll tweet about uptime, about efficiency ratios, about hashprice curves—as if he were describing a well-run gulag. He’s the obedient prisoner who polishes the chains and calls it freedom.

The sovereign miner didn’t die in a blaze of glory. He died quietly, smothered under a fleece blanket of comfort and yield optimization. And no one mourned. No one wept. Because everyone was too busy benchmarking their ROI and counting fiat. The revolution didn’t end in a shootout. It ended in quarterly earnings calls.

Power Reversed: Pools Run Nodes, Miners Run Cable

Let’s be crystal clear: The pools run the nodes. The miners do not. This is not a subtle shift. It is a total inversion of power. A coup d'état wrapped in JSON-RPC and relayed with a smile. The pool clerks have become the governors of consensus, and the miners? They’re errand boys. They might control the heat, but they don’t control the protocol. They’re like engine pistons in a car they’ll never be allowed to drive.

Pointing hash at a pool and calling yourself sovereign is like renting a tux and declaring yourself royalty. It’s cosplay. At best. Pools decide what transactions are valid. Pools enforce the rules. Pools interpret consensus, not the miners, not the miners, and certainly not the plebs stacking sats on Raspberry Pis, who, through their economic activity and validation, still enforce the rules but are powerless to stop this creeping centralization in the mining layer. In a world obsessed with decentralization theater, pools are the centralized prop masters pulling the strings.

And when the curtain pulled back in 2021, it wasn’t some secret backroom scandal. No. Marathon Digital bragged about OFAC-compliant mining. They filtered transactions with state-sanctioned precision. They announced it like a new feature rollout. “Censorship-as-a-Service, now in beta!” The mining pool became an extension of the U.S. Treasury—while still waving the Bitcoin banner.

That wasn’t a red flag. That was a blood-soaked banner waved from the parapets of captured consensus. And the response? Nothing. No mass exit. No fork. No slash-and-burn rebellion. Just soft mewling from miners who’d already convinced themselves this was “pragmatic.”

Miners didn’t revolt. They shrugged. They shrugged because they didn’t feel it in their bones anymore. They’d been domesticated. Fattened on subsidies and mining-as-a-service. Pacified by dashboards and yield spreadsheets. When the pools took the steering wheel, the miners reached for the air conditioning controls.

This is the hard truth: sovereignty cannot be delegated. You don’t get to outsource rebellion. You don’t get to file a ticket and request autonomy. If someone else runs the node, someone else owns the power. And if you’re pointing hash at their rules, you’re not free. You’re furniture. Industrial-grade silicon furniture humming in tune with someone else’s politics.

ASICs Are Treadmills, Not Weapons

Here’s a bitter pill: plugging in an ASIC doesn’t make you a participant in Bitcoin. It makes you a battery. Yes, economic nodes still set the rules through their validation and transaction activity. But what happens when the mining layer, the muscle that enforces those rules on-chain, goes rogue? What happens when the mempool you built gets ignored because your hashpower is pointed at someone else's filter?

A node might define validity, but without aligned mining, it’s a lion without teeth. If economic consensus is the blueprint, mining is the builder. And right now, most builders are following someone else's floor plan. The node might say, "this is how we build," but the pool, with its centralized relay and selective enforcement, says, "this is what we’re willing to build."

Without a node, without building your own block, without choosing your own mempool, you’re a hamster in a high-voltage wheel. All that heat and noise? It’s not rebellion. It’s treadmill sweat.

Without a node, without building your own block, without choosing your own mempool, you’re a hamster in a high-voltage wheel. All that heat and noise? It’s not rebellion. It’s treadmill sweat.

You are not a general. You are a grunt. A CPU on contract to someone else’s war.

Fiat Habits: The Culture of Convenience

Bitcoin was supposed to be the great divorce from fiat thinking, a severance from the debt-ridden clown world where every moral principle is for sale if the yield’s high enough. But lo and behold, the fiat habits came slithering in through the miner’s back door. It started small. “Just a hosting service,” they said. “Just outsourcing the firmware,” they claimed. “Just using a pool for efficiency.” And before you knew it, the average miner was indistinguishable from a middle manager at an Enron reunion. Optimizing, spreadsheeting, begging for subsidies like a lobbyist on his third bourbon.

The culture is poison. It rewards cowardice, convenience, and cost-shifting. Small miners moan about volatility like day traders with arthritis. Big miners wine and dine regulators, sniffing after tax incentives and ESG badges like some filthy dog begging at the World Economic Forum’s dinner table. We’re no longer talking about building a sovereign financial system—we’re talking about quarterly earnings, power purchase agreements, and whether your server farm meets carbon neutrality guidelines. What the hell happened?

Take a look back at the New York Agreement in 2017. That wasn’t a negotiation. It was a ransom note. The largest mining outfits, including BTC.Top and ViaBTC, held SegWit hostage because it didn’t butter their bread. The principles didn’t matter. The technical merit didn’t matter. All that mattered was leverage, yield, and preserving their own stranglehold. They tried to shove a hard fork down Bitcoin’s throat like a goose being force-fed for foie gras. And if not for the sheer stubbornness of the user base, real economic nodes who still gave a damn, Bitcoin would’ve gone full Frankenstein.

But did those miners learn? No. They just shifted tactics. Today they ask for different forms of convenience: not block size increases, but subsidies, regulations tailored to their rigs, public-private partnerships. The song remains the same. It’s the fiat mindset dressed up in ASIC drag. Instead of defending neutrality, they demand special treatment. Instead of embracing the responsibility of consensus participation, they’d rather hand it off to a pool that promises good customer service and a Discord server with emojis.

What we’re seeing is the spiritual sequel to fiat monetary policy—moral hazard in overclocked silicon. Miners begging for insulation from the market, protection from volatility, and someone else to carry the political weight of consensus. That’s not sovereignty. That’s serfdom with a spreadsheet. These aren't rebels. They’re corporate supplicants doing yield gymnastics while the heart of Bitcoin withers under the fluorescent lights of their co-location facility.

Bitcoin doesn’t need more efficient parasites. It needs fewer of them. The culture must shift from comfort to combat. From optimization to obligation. A miner who outsources consensus is no better than a fiat printer optimizing bond auctions. The minute you make convenience your god, you become indistinguishable from the system Bitcoin was meant to destroy.

The Culture of Convenience

Bitcoin was born as a rejection of fiat habits. So naturally, miners dragged every last fiat habit into the server farm like rats carrying plague. Outsource the firmware. Outsource the hosting. Outsource the power contract. Outsource the node. Outsource the sovereignty. What’s left?

Mining today looks like Goldman Sachs cosplay. ESG reports. Carbon credits. Webinars on regulatory compliance. Bitcoin isn't being mined anymore. It's being monetized. It's being lobotomized by yield-chasers and spreadsheet cultists.

The New York Agreement was the test. The miners failed. They held the protocol hostage for a slightly thicker block and a fat slice of yield. They were willing to hard fork Bitcoin into a Frankenstein fiat-friendly platform if it meant a better power purchase agreement.

They haven't changed. They’ve just gotten better at disguising their cowardice as competence.

Software Will Not Save You (But Cowards Sure Will Sell You the Illusion)

Let me tell you a ghost story. A tale of silicon treachery dressed up as innovation. It was 2017. The air stank of backroom deals and nervous sweat. Bitmain, the ASIC kingpin of the age, had quietly embedded a little something into its hardware. A cheat code. A hidden rake. A parasitic exploit called ASICBoost, but not the honest kind. No, this was the covert variant, slinking beneath the protocol’s floorboards, exploiting transaction ordering for a tidy little edge. It wasn’t disclosed. It wasn’t debated. It was used. Quietly. Gleefully. While the rest of the ecosystem was busy arguing about scaling like philosophers in a house fire.

Bitmain wasn't interested in consensus. It was interested in arbitrage. They saw Bitcoin not as a commons, but as a slot machine they had rigged. And when SegWit appeared, when it offered scaling and immunity to covert ASICBoost in one surgical tweak, Bitmain panicked. Because SegWit would end the grift. Not softly. Not eventually. Immediately.

So they did what every entrenched parasite does when exposed. They lied. They stalled. They "compromised." They ginned up support for SegWit2x, not to scale Bitcoin, but to preserve their exploit. A hard fork with extension blocks would keep the legacy block structure alive and well, tucked into a cozy parallel track where covert ASICBoost could still thrive. It was a bait-and-switch. A con. A trojan upgrade smuggled in under the banner of progress.

But this time, the hosts fought back.

Node runners saw the ploy. They didn’t need fancy tooling. They needed guts. They didn’t negotiate. They didn’t flinch. They ran SegWit. They activated UASF. They drew a line—not in sand, but in bedrock. Bitcoin would not be held hostage by ASIC cartels. It would not bend for Bitmain. It would not become an extension block casino for rent-seekers in Shenzhen.

So no, software didn’t save Bitcoin. Men did.

Ordinary plebs with full nodes and no backdoor. They used the tool, yes, but what mattered is that they refused. Refused the scam. Refused the deal. Refused to bend the knee to an ASIC cartel dressed in business-casual and lies.

SegWit didn’t win because it was elegant. It won because enough people had the guts to jam it through in spite of sabotage. The protocol gave them a knife, and they had the moral clarity to use it. That’s the lesson. Not that we need better code, but that we need sharper men.

Because in the end, every exploit is possible when the culture is weak. And every fix is worthless if the people implementing it don’t care. The problem was never ASICBoost. The problem was what miners were willing to do to keep it.

The Pool Cartel is the New Central Bank

Middlemen were supposed to die in 2009. That’s the entire reason Bitcoin exists. To gut them. To render them obsolete. To salt the earth behind them so nothing like them could ever grow again. But here they are, reborn, not as banks, but as pools. Not in suits, but in server racks. They wear the garb of "infrastructure providers," but they function as gatekeepers, choke points wrapped in API documentation.

Pools don’t just process, they decide. They decide what gets into the chain. They decide whose transactions are valid. They decide what software matters, and what consensus looks like. They’ve become the central banks of the hashrate economy: unaccountable, invisible, and too boring to fear until it’s too late.

They don’t win power. They absorb it. They don’t need legislation or signatures. They just need you to keep pointing your hash in their direction. That’s the magic trick of middlemen: their power lies in being taken for granted. And in that, they’re the perfect parasite, one that feeds on your energy and then tells you they’re helping you digest it.

Every time you optimize for pool payout efficiency, every time you default to the biggest provider, every time you accept their mempool instead of building your own, you’re kneeling. You’re pledging allegiance to a cartel of block-builders whose loyalty isn’t to Bitcoin, it’s to operational ease and regulatory appeasement.

These aren’t neutral actors. They’re political animals. They hold the levers of consensus without bearing any of its weight. They’re the mortgage-backed securities of Bitcoin: abstracted, opaque, and one market panic away from becoming a systemic risk. We have, once again, created a class of intermediaries who profit by extracting value from a system they didn’t build and no longer understand.

Bitcoin didn’t kill the middlemen. It fed them. It made them smarter. It made them less visible. But their hunger hasn’t changed. And until we name them for what they are—cartels in priestly robes—we will keep mistaking the cage for the cathedral.

Stratum v2: A Rifle, Not a Revolution

Stratum v2 is the closest thing to a loaded weapon Bitcoin miners have been handed in a decade. It is, quite literally, the mechanism by which miners can wrench their dignity back from the clenched fists of the pool cartel. And what have they done with it? Mostly shrugged. A few pilot programs, some halfhearted integrations, and a handful of blog posts filled with the kind of cautious optimism you’d expect from a risk-averse actuary.

This isn’t a critique of the protocol. Stratum v2 is beautifully ugly. It’s messy, technical, and dense enough to scare away the very consultants who want to repackage Bitcoin into polite compliance middleware. But none of that matters if no one has the guts to use it. You don’t win wars by stockpiling weapons you refuse to fire.

Stratum v2 gives miners the power to construct their own blocks. Not just vote with hash, but wield it. Choose transactions. Set mempool policy. Actually participate in consensus instead of spectating like a retiree watching a soap opera. It is the rifle hanging over the mantelpiece. The one Chekhov warned us about. And right now it’s gathering dust.

The tragedy here isn’t technical. It’s cultural. Because this tool, this literal key to sovereignty, is being treated like a library dependency. Something for someone else to test, to vet, to implement. Meanwhile, miners continue to act like it’s 2015 and their biggest concern is firmware compatibility and finding a better power rate in Kazakhstan.

Ignore Stratum v2, and it becomes protocol theater. A museum piece. A tragic artifact of what could have been. But use it, and it becomes a wedge. A crowbar in the gears of centralized mining. A bright, shining middle finger to the entire architecture of compliance-friendly consensus.

But don’t fool yourself. Stratum v2 won’t make you sovereign any more than buying a gun makes you a revolutionary. It won’t beam liberty into your soul via Tor, won’t whisper “freedom” into your hashboard, won’t bathe your rack in the holy light of decentralization. It’s not salvation. It’s a tool. And tools don’t care who uses them—they serve the hand that holds them.

Stratum v2 is a rifle, yes—but even a rifle requires guts, aim, and the clarity to know what you're shooting at. In the hands of a coward, it’s a paperweight. In the hands of a rent-seeker, it’s a bargaining chip. But in the hands of a miner with fire in his gut and sovereignty in his blood? It’s a revolution.

This isn’t about technology. It’s about spine. About picking up the one weapon you’ve been given and refusing to keep it locked in the safe while tyrants build your blocks. Stratum v2 offers freedom, but it demands ferocity. You have to load it with your own mempool. You have to chamber every transaction. And then you have to fire.

No protocol, no BIP, no whitepaper will ever substitute for moral will. And if you’re too polite to use the weapon, too busy maximizing uptime to get your hands dirty with real consensus, then you deserve whatever filtered, censored, OFAC-compliant future you inherit.

Stratum v2 is not your savior. You are. And until miners act like it, until they treat this protocol like a weapon and not a toy, the pools will rule, and the timechain will continue to serve the highest bidder.

It’s just a rifle. But rifles have rewritten history when wielded by men who knew they weren’t free.

Ossification Without Decentralization Is Death

Everyone loves ossification, until they realize they missed their chance to do it when it mattered. We had a window. A golden, fleeting window to freeze Bitcoin in a state of clarity, minimalism, and neutrality. Instead, we blinked. We let upgrades seep in. Complexity crept through the back door, and with it came unintended consequences. Among the earliest and most corrosive: the rise of centralized mining pools. A structural outcome embedded in Satoshi’s original design, born from the brutal variance of solo mining. But if that centralization was unforeseen, imagine how many more we’ve introduced since, through every soft fork, every upgrade, every decision to keep tinkering instead of locking the vault when we had the chance.

Ossification isn’t just about code. It’s about culture. It’s a posture. A refusal. And we failed to assume it when it counted. We chose tinkering over tenacity. We chose cleverness over caution. And now the fruits of our hubris hang heavy on the vine: a mining layer riddled with capture points, a mempool hijacked by middlemen, and a user base quietly wondering why their transactions feel like applications.

Yes, economic nodes enforce the rules through validation and usage. But that power has a prerequisite: inclusion. If the only blocks being built are by pools with selective relay policies and a fondness for government compliance, then your economic activity is a shout into a soundproof room. The validation rules may be perfect, but if your transaction never hits the chain, it’s as good as invalid.

The trap we set for ourselves was gilded with good intentions. Soft forks meant to improve scalability. Relay policies meant to minimize bloat. Fee markets meant to incentivize good behavior. And now? Now we find ourselves staring at a timechain that functions—but no longer feels inviolable. The foundation wasn’t corrupted in a day. It was eroded, line by line, by developers trying to be helpful.

Freeze Bitcoin now, and we don’t immortalize virtue—we immortalize vulnerability. We lock in the flaws. We preserve a snapshot where the power has already been ceded to those least equipped to wield it justly. It’s like slamming the vault door shut just as the thieves finish loading the bags.

That’s not ossification. That’s embalming. That’s turning the timechain into a museum exhibit of the ideals we almost lived up to, before we traded principle for pragmatism and thought we could always fix it later.

Ossification is not neutral. It’s not some universal good. It is power, fixed in time. And if that power belongs to the wrong class of actors, the OFAC miners, the hosting conglomerates, the Silicon Valley startups that mine with ESG consultants on speed dial, then ossification doesn’t lock in liberty. It locks in them. It fossilizes a regime that already serves someone else’s interests.

We speak of ossification like it’s an event. One final commit. One last hardening. But in truth, it’s asymptotic. You don’t slam the door shut in one dramatic gesture. You inch toward it. You tighten the bolts over time until change becomes culturally, politically, and economically impossible. And that means we’re ossifying right now.

Picture it: a frozen Bitcoin where the rules can’t change, but the blockspace is filtered, the miners are compliant, and the pools relay transactions based on a government-approved blacklist. That’s not sound money. That’s a digital leash. A ledger of obedience masquerading as freedom.

If Bitcoin ossifies after it has been captured, it does not become incorruptible. It becomes irredeemable. Like sealing a vault before checking what’s inside, you don’t get resilience, you get entombment. You get permanence without virtue. You get consensus without sovereignty.

That’s not ossification. That’s embalming. That’s turning the timechain into Lenin’s corpse: glassy-eyed, sterile, and meticulously preserved in service of a state it was meant to outlive.

We may only have one chance to rescue bitcoin from the clutches of the fiat maximalists, before it is impossible to do so.

Core's Quiet Capitulation

Bitcoin Core was once the temple guard. Militant minimalism. Ruthless conservatism. The last line of defense against creeping bloat and protocol erosion. You didn’t have to agree with them, but by God, you respected the trench they were willing to die in.

Now? They’re white-gloving the stretcher for a dying protocol. Hospice caretakers tending to consensus rot with polite documentation and GitHub tickets labeled "enhancement." The keepers of the flame have become interior decorators for a collapsing cathedral.

They removed filters, the thin defensive crust that kept bad-faith actors at bay. They weakened defaults, the backbone settings that preserved network sanity. They bend policies not to protect consensus, but to please mining cartels and PR-sensitive operators. Every decision smells like appeasement baked in a think tank.

This isn’t some grand betrayal of principle for power or riches. It’s worse. It’s resignation. Exhaustion wrapped in technocratic humility. They didn’t sell out to the highest bidder, they just ran out of fire.

Where once they chanted ossification, now they mumble "flexibility." Where once they enforced sanity with zero tolerance for grift, now they entertain proposals that would’ve been laughed out of the room a decade ago. They say yes out of fatigue. They say no with asterisks. They commit code like bureaucrats signing off on a slow-motion demolition.

Core didn’t just get captured. It got comfortable. And comfort, in protocol stewardship, is fatal. The war for Bitcoin's soul isn’t being lost in some smoky backroom. It’s being forfeited in polite silence by maintainers who forgot the protocol doesn’t just need to run. It needs to refuse.

The Call: Rewild the Hash

This is the fork in the road. This is the final flare fired into the sky before the trench goes quiet forever. You either take back the hash, or you become a dependent serf in a digital fiefdom run by pool lords and relay priests. No more excuses. No more polite appeals. No more PRs begging middlemen to do the right thing.

Run your own node. Build your own block, even if it takes a lifetime. Not tomorrow. Not after the next bull run. Not when it’s convenient. Now. Because if you don’t, someone else will do it for you, and they will not share your values.

Stop waiting for permission. Stop tweeting at pool operators like they’re public servants. Stop optimizing for latency like it’s a sacrament. You are not here to impress compliance officers. You are here to enforce your damn sovereignty.

Don’t beg the cartel to behave. Starve it. Cut it off. Build the mempool you want to see in the world and let their VC primed and bloated relay network choke on their own paperwork. Let their blocks fill with NFT spam and chain analysis reports. You are not required to participate in their theater.

Use Stratum v2. Not because it’s clever, not because it’s next-gen, but because it puts the steering wheel back in your hands. It lets you carve your transactions from granite instead of begging for a line on someone else's spreadsheet. It is not optional. It is not academic. It is your rifle, and the target is consensus capture.

Rewilding the hash isn’t about nostalgia. It’s about survival. It’s about tearing up the artificial turf of corporate convenience and letting the hard, messy, glorious chaos of sovereign mining grow back. Every node a fortress. Every block a declaration. Every miner a free man with dirt under his fingernails and fire in his chest.

This is the line. Pick up your weapon. Run your own node. Build your own block. Or die watching someone else sell your freedom by the byte.

Murder the pools. Rewild the hash. And mine like it means something... because it does.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

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For generations before generative text, writers have used the em dash to hop between thoughts, emotions, and ideas. Dickens shaped his morality tales with it, Woolf’s stream-of-consciousness flowed through it, Kerouac let it drive his jazz-like prose. Today, Sally Rooney threads it through her quiet truths of the heart.

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But this beloved punctuation mark has become a casualty of the algorithmic age. The em dash has been so widely adopted by AI-generated text that even when used by human hands, it begs the question: was this actually written or apathetically prompted?

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The battle for the soul of writing is in full swing. And the human fightback starts here. With a new punctuation mark that serves as a symbol of real pondering, genuine daydreaming, and true editorial wordsmithery. Inspired by Descartes’ belief that thinking makes us human, the am dash is a small but powerful testament that the words you’ve painstakingly and poetically pulled together are unequivocally, certifiably, and delightfully your own.

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Let's reclain writig from AI—oneam dash at time.

Download the fonts:

— Aereal https://bit.ly/3EO6fo8 — Times New Human https://bit.ly/4jQTcRS

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Learn more about the am dash

https://www.theamdash.com

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originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/976218

@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b

警惕：那些“帮你”保管密钥的人

—— 多签钱包中的隐形风险与逻辑陷阱

“我们可以帮您设置一个更安全的钱包。” 这句话，听上去就像是关心，其实却可能是一次有预谋的接管。

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摘要

多签钱包被广泛视为提升数字资产安全性的“进阶方案”，尤其适用于不希望将所有信任寄托于单一点故障（如一把私钥）的人群。然而，在这些看似“民主化”、“抗单点失败”的技术结构背后，仍潜藏着极为隐秘且被低估的风险。

本文聚焦两类常见却高度隐蔽的逻辑攻击模型：

• 替换 xpub 并接管下一层级地址生成；
• 伪造 k-of-n 多签结构，在形式上给予用户参与感，实则实现单人提款。

在未引入 Taproot 的传统多签结构下，这类攻击已能轻易完成。而即便在 Taproot 和 MuSig2 合约模型下，攻击者也可以借助合成结构进一步隐藏其篡改行为。

本报告不仅梳理攻击逻辑，更强调“人性中的信任误区”——攻击者不需要主动索取密钥，只需要维持友善形象，自会有用户主动递交钥匙。更令人警惕的是，在某些极端场景下，这类“被信任的服务商”甚至可能向受害者收取“保管密钥”的费用后再实施盗窃，形成双重获利。

Taproot 虽然在结构上增强了隐私与复杂性，但也使验证逻辑失去了可直观还原的优势。随着时间推移、服务厂商退出市场乃至私有恢复流程被锁死，用户极可能落入无法恢复的“密钥黑箱”中。

阅读本文，希望你能意识到：

真正的安全，从不是托付给别人帮你“多签”，而是你真正理解你签了什么、和谁签的、签名之后将通往哪一个脚本。

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多签钱包的逻辑攻击向量分析

以 xpub 替换与伪造 k-of-n 结构为例

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攻击模型一：替换 xpub 实现地址劫持

场景设定

攻击者假扮为友好的钱包初始化服务者，主动提出“免费帮你生成一个更安全的多签钱包”。表面上，他为你设置了标准的 HD 多签结构，实际上却在关键的派生路径中，悄悄将本应由你或另一个可信方持有的 xpub 替换为他自己的。

在 HD 钱包结构（例如 BIP45、BIP67）中，用户通常无法直观验证每一个新地址是否仍属于原来的签名组。这种设计让“看上去很安全”的地址，可能早已成为攻击者可完全支配的提款口袋。

攻击结构（逻辑表示）

• 假设多签参与者为 P1, P2, P3
• 攻击者控制伪造者身份 P1'，实际替代掉用户的 P1
• 地址生成函数为：

Addr = f(xpub(P1'), xpub(P2), xpub(P3))

• 用户未验证 xpub 时，成立：

∃ Addr_i ∈ wallet, spendable_by(attacker)

换言之，钱包中的某些地址虽然看起来正常，但已可被攻击者花费。

人性陷阱提示

用户往往不认为“地址生成这件事”是需要人工检查的，特别是在使用 Ledger、Trezor 等硬件钱包时形成了“签名即安全”的错觉。而攻击者只需一次替换，就能悄悄监视整个钱包生命周期。

更重要的是，攻击者不需要向你“索取密钥”，他只需维持友善、专业甚至略带“为你好”的姿态。在 100 个用户中，总会有一部分人，在受到“信任感”与“他人看起来更专业”的影响下，主动提出将某个密钥托管给对方，甚至支付一定“密钥保管费”作为安全保障。这类行为并非愚蠢，而是人性的一部分。

这种松懈与依赖，背后深植着心理学上著名的「责任分散效应（diffusion of responsibility）」。当责任从“自己一人持有私钥”转变为“我们多人共同掌控”时，大脑会自动削弱“必须百分百保护密钥”的紧迫感；一旦密钥有三份或五份，人就会默认“即使我丢了一份也无所谓”，由此降低警惕，弱化加密习惯的执行力度。

尤其是在多签结构下，密钥不再是“唯一真理”。你开始认为：“我只是 n-of-m 的一员”，进而产生 安全责任稀释（safety dilution）。举个例子：如果你的 seed words 是唯一的，你很可能将其写在一张专用纸上，藏入防火袋，存放于密封保险箱中；但一旦你拥有的是 3-of-5 多签中的一份，你可能就只是把它存在 Evernote、存图于手机相册，或者发给自己 Telegram 备份——并自我安慰说：“这只是其中一把钥匙，又不怕。”

这正是攻击者渗透的最佳入口。他无需破解密码学算法，仅凭理解人性中的懒惰、依赖与责任下沉机制，就足以发起极具杀伤力的社会工程攻击。

提醒：没有人例外。你的安全不是由数学公式决定，而是由你是否对它持续保持敬畏与冷静判断所决定的。

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Taproot 下的隐蔽性升级

在 Taproot + MuSig2 合约结构中：

• 合成公钥如：P = H(P1 + P2 + P3)
• 用户无法从地址推导出其组成
• 所有 pubkey 被掩盖，无任何可读性结构泄露

结果：攻击者替换某个 xpub 之后，哪怕是资深用户，也无法通过比对地址结构来发现任何异常。

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攻击模型二：伪造 k-of-n 多签脚本结构

场景设定

攻击者承诺为你部署一个“非常安全”的 2-of-3 多签钱包。然而他实际创建的却是一个 1-of-3 结构，并诱导你保留或交出其中一个密钥。

用户一旦信任其脚本不可见性（或 UI 模糊性），资金注入该地址之后，攻击者即可单独提款。

攻击结构（逻辑描述）

• 正确脚本应为：

OP_2 <pk1> <pk2> <pk3> OP_3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG

• 实际被构造为：

OP_1 <pk1> <pk2> <pk3> OP_3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG

• 用户错误地相信：

user_believes(k=2) ∧ attacker_has(sk1) → safe

• 但实际上：

real_k = 1 ∧ attacker_has(sk1) → attacker_can_spend

成立条件

• 用户未能验证 redeem script
• 钱包界面（UI 或 PSBT）未明确标识 k 值与脚本结构
• 攻击者拥有脚本定义权，或 UI 权限

人性陷阱提示

这类攻击往往并非“高技术”，而是利用用户对脚本结构的无感。尤其是当攻击者扮演“技术专家”时，用户往往不具备审查 redeem script 的能力或意识。攻击者甚至可以用“给你设置一个冷备密钥”作为幌子，骗取部分 key，并收取额外费用。

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多签攻击模型对比分析（无表格）

• 攻击类型一：xpub 替换
• 本质：公钥注入
• 隐蔽性：极高（生成地址完全正常）
• 关键条件：用户未验证每个 xpub

• Taproot 是否能规避：否，反而更难发现

• 攻击类型二：伪造 k-of-n

• 本质：脚本结构欺骗
• 隐蔽性：中等（需查看 redeem script 才能识别）
• 关键条件：用户不懂脚本，UI 不展示结构
• Taproot 是否能规避：否，合约结构反而隐藏了更多细节

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安全建议（基于当前攻击模型）

1. 强制在 UI 中完整展示所有 xpub、合成地址派生路径与对应签名人列表
2. 如 Coldcard 的二维码验证机制
3. 用户必须自行保存每个 xpub，并可验证任一地址确实源自该集合派生
4. 多签钱包必须提供可见 redeem script 的界面与 k 值校验提示
5. 不接受“帮你配置好了”的 UI 黑箱
6. Taproot 虽增强隐私，但也加剧验证障碍
7. 若使用合签结构，应避免依赖第三方界面进行签名决策
8. 始终优先使用硬件钱包本地签名流程，避免通过 Web 或中间服务生成交易

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真实案例分析

1. Coldcard 硬件钱包的 xpub 替换漏洞

2021 年，安全研究员 benma 发现 Coldcard 硬件钱包在注册多签钱包时，未验证自身是否为多签钱包的一部分。这使得恶意计算机钱包可以用攻击者控制的 xpub 替换多签 xpub，同时仍通过所有用户验证。所有接收到此多签钱包的币随后可以随时转移到攻击者的钱包。
来源：benma.github.io

2. Bybit 交易所的多签钱包被黑事件

2025 年 2 月，Bybit 交易所的多签冷钱包在一次例行转账中被黑，损失约 14.6 亿美元。该钱包使用 2-of-3 多签设置，意味着需要三位授权签名人中的两位批准交易。用户界面显示了合法的目标地址，并且 URL 与受信任的多签提供商 Safe 相关联。但这是一种欺骗。黑客利用硬件钱包中的“盲签名”漏洞，使设备只能显示交易的哈希，从而掩盖了一个更改，使攻击者控制了钱包的智能合约。
来源：certora.com

3. Parity 多签钱包漏洞

2017 年，Parity 多签钱包版本 1.5+ 中发现了一个漏洞，允许攻击者窃取超过 150,000 ETH（约 3000 万美元）。攻击者向受影响的合约发送两个交易：第一个获取多签的独占所有权，第二个移动其所有资金。
来源：blog.openzeppelin.com

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攻击流程图解

1. 建立信任：攻击者以技术专家或受信任的服务提供商身份接近受害者，提出帮助设置多签钱包。
2. 替换 xpub：在设置过程中，攻击者用自己控制的 xpub 替换原本应由用户或第三方控制的 xpub。
3. 生成地址：攻击者生成看似正常的多签地址，并展示给用户，用户未进行验证。
4. 资金注入：用户将资金转入这些地址，认为资金安全。
5. 资金转移：攻击者利用控制的私钥，单方面将资金转出，用户无法察觉。

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参考文献

• benma.github.io — Coldcard 多签攻击漏洞
• certora.com — Bybit 多签合约欺诈分析
• OpenZeppelin Blog — Parity 多签历史漏洞复盘

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附录：攻击面分析——为何 xpub 替换是多签特有的风险？

单签钱包是否存在 xpub 替换攻击？

答案：否。

在单签钱包结构中（如 BIP32/BIP39 衍生的标准钱包）：

• 钱包只依赖一个 xpub，并且这个 xpub 是从用户私钥派生而来；
• Coldcard、Trezor 等硬件钱包会自动根据本地 seed 派生地址，无需输入外部 xpub；
• 用户可以通过设备显示屏确认“这是我派生出来的地址”，不存在外部注入路径。

因此：xpub 替换在单签钱包中不存在攻击面，攻击路径被封死。

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多签钱包为什么引入了 xpub 攻击面？

多签钱包（如 2-of-3、3-of-5）需要以下信息来生成地址：

1. 所有参与者的 xpub；
2. 公钥排序规则（如 BIP67）；
3. 多签脚本模板（如 OP_2 OP_3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG）；
4. 每个 key 的派生路径（如 m/48'/0'/0'/2'/0/1）；

这就意味着，用户必须信任这些输入的 xpub 是来自真正的签名方。如果攻击者悄悄将其中某一份换成自己控制的 xpub，那他就自动成为地址共管人，甚至是单签人。

Coldcard 攻击案例回顾：

• 用户通过 PSBT 模板或 JSON 导入多签配置；
• 攻击者在其中替换了某一参与者的 xpub；
• Coldcard 在旧版本中未提示或验证该替换；
• 用户生成地址、发送资金，攻击者即可随时提取。

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攻击面比较表

• 单签钱包
• 不接收外部 xpub，派生路径完全由设备掌控；
• 地址来源明确、签名单一；

• xpub 替换攻击无效。

• 多签钱包

• 依赖多个外部 xpub 合成结构；
• 用户很难手动验证每一条 xpub 与 fingerprint；
• xpub 替换为高危攻击点。

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Taproot 是否规避了 xpub 替换问题？

部分规避，但引入了新的验证难题。

Taproot + MuSig2 等结构通过将多个 pubkey 合成为一个点：

P = H(P1 + P2 + P3)

这确实可以隐藏合约结构，提升隐私，但也导致：

• 用户无法从地址还原参与者是谁；
• 如果其中一个公钥被攻击者替换，生成的地址仍然合法；
• 用户在链上看不到任何异常，但攻击者已取得合约控制权。

因此：Taproot 并未从根本上消除 xpub 替换的攻击面，反而因为其不可还原性使得攻击更加隐蔽。

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总结

多签钱包之所以引入新的攻击面，不是因为它“更复杂”，而是因为它必须信任外部结构。一旦你的钱包要“与他人协作生成地址”，你就必须验证“这些人是谁”、“这些地址是怎么来的”——这就是攻击的入口。

单签保护的是私钥，
多签则要求你保护你的伙伴。

@ 502ab02a:a2860397

มีคนเคยพูดเล่นว่า “ถ้าคุณอยากเปลี่ยนโลก ไม่ต้องปฏิวัติ แค่เปลี่ยนอาหารคนซะ" บรรดาเจ้าพ่อเทคโนโลยีชีวภาพก็เลยเริ่มจับมือกับกลุ่มทุนระดับโลก สร้าง “อาหารแห่งอนาคต” ที่แม้จะไม่งอกจากธรรมชาติ แต่งอกมาจากถังหมักในโรงงานได้แทน

หลังจากที่เราเริ่มมองเห็นแล้วว่า ช่องทางแทรกซึมเข้าสู่อาหารโลกอนาคตนั้น ตั้งอยู่บนพื้นฐาน "โปรตีน" ซึ่งถ้าใครตามซีรีส์นี้กันมาตลอด คงจำโพสเรื่อง "เรากินนมเพราะความกลัว?" กันได้ดีนะครับ ไวรัล และ ตีความหลุด theme กันกระจาย ซึ่งเป็นธรรมดาของ social media ที่มันจะโผล่ไปหาขาจรแค่ครั้งเดียว ดังนั้น ก้าวข้ามมันไปครับ

สิ่งที่ปูทางไว้แล้วก่อนจะแบไต๋ว่า เป้าหลักของโลกคือ โปรตีน นั่นคือ นมทางเลือก มาสู่การยึดพื้นที่นมโรงเรียน การเข้าตลาดของ Perfect Day โปรตีนนมที่อยู่ในทั้งนม ขนม ไอศกรีม แล้วทั้งหมดจะถูกปรับภาพล้างไพ่ใหม่ ในนามของ milk 2.0 ครับ เรามาต่อซีรีส์ของเราด้วยการทำความรู้จัก ผู้เล่น กันทีละตัวนะครับ หลังจากเราได้ เวย์นมตั้งบนชั้นบนเชลฟ์กันไปแล้ว

New Culture เป็นบริษัทสตาร์ทอัปจากซานลีอันโดร รัฐแคลิฟอร์เนีย ที่ก่อตั้งขึ้นในปี 2018 โดย Matt Gibson และ Inja Radman โดยมีเป้าหมายในการผลิตโปรตีนเคซีน (casein) ซึ่งเป็นโปรตีนหลักในนมวัว โดยไม่ใช้สัตว์ ผ่านกระบวนการ precision fermentation หรือการหมักด้วยจุลินทรีย์ที่ได้รับการดัดแปลงพันธุกรรม โดยการฝึกจุลินทรีย์ให้ผลิตโปรตีนเคซีนในห้องปฏิบัติการ เพื่อสร้างผลิตภัณฑ์ชีสที่ปราศจากสัตว์ ซึ่งโปรตีนนี้สามารถนำมาใช้ในการผลิตชีสที่มีคุณสมบัติใกล้เคียงกับชีสจากนมวัว แต่ยังคงคุณสมบัติของชีสแท้ๆ เช่น การยืดหยุ่น การละลาย และรสชาติที่คุ้นเคย เปลี่ยนนิยามของคำว่า “ชีส” ให้กลายเป็นโปรตีนเคซีนจากจุลินทรีย์ ไม่ใช่จากน้ำนมวัวอีกต่อไป

Matt Gibson ชายชาวนิวซีแลนด์ ผู้ก่อตั้ง New Culture ไม่ใช่นักวิทยาศาสตร์ แต่เป็นคนหัวธุรกิจที่มีปมบางอย่างกับการกินชีสแบบดั้งเดิม เขาร่วมมือกับ Dr. Inja Radman นักชีววิทยา แล้วตั้งเป้าผลิต “เคซีน” โปรตีนหลักในนมโดยไม่ใช้สัตว์เลยสักตัว

การที่เขาเลือกใช้ precision fermentation หรือการหมักจุลินทรีย์ที่ตัดต่อพันธุกรรม ให้ผลิตเคซีนออกมาจากถังหมัก ซึ่งไม่ใช่เทคโนโลยีใหม่ในโลกแล้ว (แม้บ้านเราหลายคนจะเพิ่งเคยได้ยิน และ ตกใจกันอยู่) บริษัทคู่แข่งอย่าง Perfect Day ก็ใช้แนวทางเดียวกัน ผลิต “เวย์โปรตีนไร้สัตว์” ไปก่อนแล้ว และตอนนี้ มหาเศรษฐีสายลงทุนยั่งยืนก็กำลังรุมแห่ใส่เงินสนับสนุนแขนงนี้เหมือนเห็นโอกาสใหม่ในโลก Fiat ทำให้ New Culture ปรับทิศไปที่ "ชีส"

ผลิตภัณฑ์หลักของ New Culture คือ มอสซาเรลล่าปราศจากสัตว์ ที่มีคุณสมบัติใกล้เคียงกับมอสซาเรลล่าจากนมวัว โดยสามารถละลายและยืดหยุ่นได้เหมือนชีสแท้ๆ และยังมีปริมาณโปรตีนเคซีนเพียง 50% ของชีสทั่วไป ซึ่ง "ช่วยลดต้นทุนการผลิตและผลกระทบต่อสิ่งแวดล้อม"

New Culture ได้รับการสนับสนุนทางการเงินจากนักลงทุนรายใหญ่ เช่น Kraft Heinz, ADM, CJ CheilJedang, และ Dr. Oetker โดยในปี 2021 บริษัทได้ระดมทุนรอบ Series A จำนวน 25 ล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐ เพื่อขยายการผลิตและนำผลิตภัณฑ์ออกสู่ตลาด นอกจากนี้ New Culture ยังได้ร่วมมือกับ CJ CheilJedang บริษัทผู้ผลิตผลิตภัณฑ์จากการหมักที่ใหญ่ที่สุดในโลก เพื่อเข้าถึงโรงงานการหมักที่ทันสมัยและลดต้นทุนการผลิตโปรตีนเคซีน

และแน่นอนเลยครับว่า ผลิตภัณฑ์ของ New Culture ต้องมาพร้อมกับการโหมประกาศว่า ปราศจากแลคโตส คอเลสเตอรอล ฮอร์โมน และยาปฏิชีวนะที่พบในนมวัว นอกจากนี้ การผลิตโปรตีนเคซีนผ่านการหมักยังช่วยลดการปล่อยก๊าซเรือนกระจกและการใช้ทรัพยากรน้ำและที่ดินเมื่อเทียบกับการผลิตนมวัวแบบดั้งเดิม เพื่อรับความดีงามจากประชากรโลกไปตามระเบียบ

มาดูรอบการระดมทุนกันครับ ยอดเงินทุนรวมที่ได้รับ จนถึงเดือนมีนาคม 2025 New Culture ได้รับเงินทุนรวมประมาณ $35 ล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐ จากการระดมทุนทั้งหมด 8 รอบ ที่น่าจับตามองคือ Series A ในเดือนพฤศจิกายน 2021 บริษัทได้รับเงินทุน $25 ล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐ จากนักลงทุนรวมถึง ADM Ventures และ Evolv Ventures ซึ่งเป็นหน่วยงานร่วมลงทุนของ Kraft Heinz

นอกจาก Evolv Ventures จาก Kraft Heinz แล้ว อย่าคิดว่ามันไกลเกินนะครับ CJ CheilJedang บริษัทจากเกาหลีใต้ที่เป็นผู้นำด้านเทคโนโลยีการหมัก ได้เข้าร่วมลงทุนในรอบ Series A เมื่อเดือนพฤศจิกายน 2022 แล้วเจ้านี้นี่บอกได้เลยครับ บิ๊กเนม CJ CheilJedang เป็นผู้นำด้านเทคโนโลยีการหมักและมีส่วนแบ่งตลาด 25% ในตลาดพิซซ่าแช่แข็งของสหรัฐฯ เป้าหมายการเข้าร่วมลงทุนใน New Culture ก็เพื่อสนับสนุนการพัฒนาผลิตภัณฑ์และการขยายกำลังการผลิตของชีสปราศจากสัตว์ของบริษัท

New Culture ยังได้ร่วมมือกับเชฟชื่อดัง Nancy Silverton เพื่อเปิดตัวผลิตภัณฑ์ชีสในร้านอาหารระดับเชฟชื่อดังในสหรัฐฯ กลางปี 2025 โดยเริ่มที่ร้าน Pizzeria Mozza ในลอสแอนเจลิส ซึ่งถือเป็นการเปิดตัวผลิตภัณฑ์สู่ตลาดผู้บริโภคครั้งแรกของบริษัท

การเข้ามาลงทุนของ Evolv Ventures กองทุนร่วมลงทุนของ Kraft Heinz ทำให้เจ้าพ่อชีสโปรเซสในตำนาน มีโอกาสเข้ามาร่วมมือเปิดร้านอาหารนำร่องกับ New Culture

น่าสนใจไหม เงินทุนใหญ่ๆมาจากหน่วยลงทุนที่มีผลิตภัณฑ์เป็น พิซซ่า #pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr

@ c1e6505c:02b3157e

I rarely make black and white photographs. I usually find color more interesting. But sometimes, it’s wise to strip it away.

Color can be distracting. It can pull attention from what matters. Beauty, I believe, should be simple - something that’s felt, not overthought.

Removing the excessive, the superfluous, can do a lot. It reduces noise. It reveals what’s often hidden. What’s elusive becomes clear.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Consider the following two charts from A History of Clojure which detail the introduction and retention of new code by release for both Clojure and for Scala.

While this doesn't necessarily translate to library stability, it's reasonable to assume that the attitude of the Clojure maintainers will seep into the community. And that assumption is true.

Consider a typical Javascript program. What is it comprised of? Objects, objects, and more objects. Members of those objects must be either introspected or divined. Worse, it's normal to monkeypatch those objects, so the object members may (or may not) change over time.

Now, consider a typical Clojure program. What is it comprised of? Namespaces. Those namespaces contain functions and data. Functions may be dynamically generated (via macros), but it is extremely rare to "monkeypatch" a namespace. If you want to know what functions are available in a namespace, you can simply read the source file.

Continue reading https://potetm.com/devtalk/stability-by-design.html

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/976215

@ 8d34bd24:414be32b

What does it say about us that believers don’t listen as well as unbelievers? Let’s investigate some scripture verses and see what we can discover.

An Object Lesson:

Jesus warned His disciples several times that He would be killed and rise from the dead on the third day. Right after Jesus asked them who they thought He was and Peter replied that He was the Christ (Messiah), Jesus told them what would happen.

From that time Jesus began to show His disciples that He must go to Jerusalem, and suffer many things from the elders and chief priests and scribes, and be killed, and be raised up on the third day. (Matthew 16:21)

We know the disciples heard and understood what Jesus was saying because Peter immediately rebuked Jesus.

Peter took Him aside and began to rebuke Him, saying, “God forbid it, Lord! This shall never happen to You.” But He turned and said to Peter, “Get behind Me, Satan! You are a stumbling block to Me; for you are not setting your mind on God’s interests, but man’s.” (Matthew 16:22-23)

You’d think that Peter would have this moment locked in his mind after being rebuked so harshly for questioning Jesus’s prediction of what would happen.

A while later, Jesus again told His disciples what was about to happen.

And while they were gathering together in Galilee, Jesus said to them, “The Son of Man is going to be delivered into the hands of men; and they will kill Him, and He will be raised on the third day.” And they were deeply grieved. (Matthew 17:22-23)

They again heard what was said because they were “deeply grieved.” They didn’t like what they heard.

Then a third time, as they were approaching Jerusalem, He made certain they knew what was coming:

As Jesus was about to go up to Jerusalem, He took the twelve disciples aside by themselves, and on the way He said to them, “Behold, we are going up to Jerusalem; and the Son of Man will be delivered to the chief priests and scribes, and they will condemn Him to death, and will hand Him over to the Gentiles to mock and scourge and crucify Him, and on the third day He will be raised up.” (Matthew 20:17-19)

The disciples should have known that Jesus’s crucifixion and death were not the end. He told them repeatedly that He would die and be raised from the dead on the third day. They should have been diligently waiting with expectation, but instead they immediately hid, gave up, and headed back to their old lives.

His female followers still cared enough to try to prepare Jesus’s body for burial, but even they did not expect Him to rise as He said.

The angel said to the women, “Do not be afraid; for I know that you are looking for Jesus who has been crucified. He is not here, for He has risen, just as He said. Come, see the place where He was lying. Go quickly and tell His disciples that He has risen from the dead; and behold, He is going ahead of you into Galilee, there you will see Him; behold, I have told you.” (Matthew 28:5-7) {emphasis mine}

Even when the woman came and told the disciples that they had seen Jesus as He had said, none believed them, although Peter and John did have a glimmer of hope and went to look for themselves.

In contrast, the Pharisees, the very people who hated Jesus so much that they fought to have Him crucified, remembered Jesus’s statements.

Now on the next day, the day after the preparation, the chief priests and the Pharisees gathered together with Pilate, and said, “Sir, we remember that when He was still alive that deceiver said, ‘After three days I am to rise again.’ Therefore, give orders for the grave to be made secure until the third day, otherwise His disciples may come and steal Him away and say to the people, ‘He has risen from the dead,’ and the last deception will be worse than the first.” Pilate said to them, “You have a guard; go, make it as secure as you know how.” And they went and made the grave secure, and along with the guard they set a seal on the stone. (Matthew 27:62-66) {emphasis mine}

The Pharisees acted in response to Jesus’s claims. The disciples ignored or forgot Jesus’s claims.

KNOW:

How often do we ignore or forget Jesus’s promises? How often do we despair when we should hold tightly to the promises given to us in the Bible? Are there times that our opponents, unbelievers, are better at quoting the Bible back at us than we are at using the Bible to defend the truth and our faith?

but sanctify Christ as Lord in your hearts, always being ready to make a defense to everyone who asks you to give an account for the hope that is in you, yet with gentleness and reverence (1 Peter 3:15)

We need to know God’s word so we can “give an account for the hope that is in” us. First we need to read the whole Bible. We can’t know who God is, what He has done, and what He commands for us without knowing God’s word.

After we have gotten the big picture by reading through the Bible once, we need to really get to know it well. This not only includes reading the Bible continually, but also include memorizing key verses, so we can bring them to remembrance when we need them.

Some people can repeat a verse multiple times and just know it. Some of us have trouble memorizing things. We have to go to extraordinary measures to memorize God’s word. Some techniques I have used:

• WHITEBOARD APPROACH:

• Write the verse on the white board.

• Read out loud.

• Erase one word. (You can underline where the word is if that helps you remember that a word goes there)

• Read out loud saying verse including missing word.

• Continue erasing words, one at a time, saying the verse until all of the words are gone.

• I haven’t used it personally, but Verse Locker was recommended by another substacker and seems to use a similar technique.

• MUSICAL VERSES:

• Make up a tune and sing the verse or put the verse to a tune you already know.

• If you aren’t good at making up songs, there are sites that have verses to songs, but I haven’t used them personally other than a few from Awana years ago.

• FIRST LETTER:

• Write down the first letter of each word of the verse you want to memorize This gives hints and helps you not accidentally miss words.

• I’ve also made a necklace (it was supposed to be a bracelet, but the verse, 1 Peter 3:15 above, I picked was too long) made of beads with the letters of the words of the verse. By wearing it, you have a reminder to memorize and rememorize the verse till it sticks stronger.

• This is my version of 1 Peter 3:15

  

• APPS:

• There are multiple apps that can help you memorize verses. 5 Best Bible Memory Apps for 2025

We are all different and have different learning styles. Pick the version that works best for you, but be intentional. For so long I wasn’t. Having a child with Down Syndrome in Awana who needed help led me to finding ways to help him and me to memorize the hundreds (or thousands) of verses that are required to finish the program. Keep in mind that you need to keep reviewing them or the memories will fade. The more times you memorize the verse, the longer it will stick with you. You just never know when you will need a Scripture verse and you may not have your Bible or phone (with Bible app) handy.

APPLY:

Knowing the Bible is critical for the Christian life, but knowing the Bible and God’s commands is not enough. We have to live according to this knowledge. We have to apply it in our lives. It needs to change the way we view the world and change the way we live our lives and interact with others.

for it is not the hearers of the Law who are just before God, but the doers of the Law will be justified. (Romans 2:13) {emphasis mine}

Our faith needs to be exhibited through action.

But someone may well say, “You have faith and I have works; show me your faith without the works, and I will show you my faith by my works.” (James 2:18) {emphasis mine}

There is nothing we need to do to be saved besides believe, but if we have saving faith, we should desire God’s word like the author of Psalm 119. Our lives should also change to be conformed to Jesus.

And do not be conformed to this world, but be transformed by the renewing of your mind, so that you may prove what the will of God is, that which is good and acceptable and perfect. (Romans 12:12) {emphasis mine}

There must be works as evidence of our faith.

You believe that God is one. You do well; the demons also believe, and shudder. But are you willing to recognize, you foolish fellow, that faith without works is useless? Was not Abraham our father justified by works when he offered up Isaac his son on the altar? You see that faith was working with his works, and as a result of the works, faith was perfected; (James 2:19-22) {emphasis mine}

The disciples heard Jesus tell them what was going to happen to Him. They knew what He had said because they reacted to it negatively. The problem was they didn’t believe it and didn’t live according to Jesus’s plain words. As important as it is to read and understand the Bible, none of that matters if we don’t believe it and live it.

But I Can’t Do It Myself:

Jesus knew that we could not know and do what we were commanded to know and do, at least not in our own power.

Then He opened their minds to understand the Scriptures, and He said to them, “Thus it is written, that the Christ would suffer and rise again from the dead the third day, and that repentance for forgiveness of sins would be proclaimed in His name to all the nations, beginning from Jerusalem. You are witnesses of these things. And behold, I am sending forth the promise of My Father upon you; but you are to stay in the city until you are clothed with power from on high.” (Luke 24:45-49)

Jesus not only sent the disciples (and all believers) out into the world to tell of what He has done for us, but He told the disciples to “stay in the city until you are clothed with power from on high.” Jesus told them to wait until they had received the Holy Spirit to guide and empower them in the work He had designed them to complete. We also have the Holy Spirit to change our hearts and minds, so we can fulfill the commandments and plans He has for us.

I’m sorry if this post had a little too much overlap with my last post, but knowing God’s word has become a passion of mine and it is where I felt led to go.

May the God of Heaven give you a hunger for His word, help you to understand His word, believe His word, and live His word. May your understanding of the word of God guide you in everything you think, speak, and do. May you never doubt God’s word or discount God’s word because it isn’t according to your preference. God bless you and keep you.

Trust Jesus.

@ d360efec:14907b5f

Disclaimer: * การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงแนวทาง ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการซื้อขาย * การลงทุนมีความเสี่ยง ผู้ลงทุนควรตัดสินใจด้วยตนเอง

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Safe Bits & Self Custody Tips

The journey of onboarding a user and create a bitcoin multiSig setup begins far before opening a desktop like Bitcoin Safe (BS) or any other similar application. Bitcoin Safe seems designed for families and people that want to start exploring and learning about multiSig setup. The need for such application and use of it could go much further, defining best practices for private organizations that aim to custody bitcoin in a private and anonymous way, following and enjoy the values and standards bitcoin has been built for.

Intro

Organizations and small private groups like families, family offices and solopreneurs operating on a bitcoin standard will have the need to keep track of transactions and categorize them to keep the books in order. A part of our efforts will be spent ensuring accessibility standards are in place for everyone to use Bitcoin Safe with comfort and safety.

We aim with this project to bring together the three Designathon ideas below: - Bitcoin Safe: improve its overall design and usability. - No User Left Behind: improve Bitcoin Safe accessibility. - Self-custody guidelines for organizations: How Bitcoin Safe can be used by private organization following best self-custody practices.

We are already halfway of the first week, and here below the progress made so far.

Designing an icon Set for Bitcoin Safe

One of the noticeable things when using BS is the inconsistency of the icons, not just in colors and shapes, but also the way are used. The desktop app try to have a clean design that incorporate with all OS (Win, macOS, Linux) and for this reason it's hard to define when a system default icon need to be used or if a custom one can be applied instead. The use of QT Ui framework for python apps help to respond to these questions. It also incorporates and brig up dome default settings that aren't easily overwritten.

Here below you can see the current version of BS:

Defining a more strict color palette for Bitcoin Safe was the first thing!

How much the icons affect accessibility? How they can help users to reach the right functionality? I took the challenge and, with PenPot.app, redesigned the icons based on the grid defined in the https://bitcoinicons.com/ and proposing the implementation of it to have a cleaner and more consistent look'n feel, at least for the icons now.

What's next

I personally look forward to seeing these icons implemented soon in Bitcoin Safe interface. In the meantime, we'll focus on delivering an accessibility audit and evaluate options to see how BS could be used by private organizations aiming to become financially sovereign with self-custody or more complex bitcoin multiSig setups.

One of the greatest innovations BS is bringing to us is the ability to sync the multiSig wallets, including PBST, Categories and labels, through the nostr decentralized protocol, making current key custodial services somehow obsolete. Second-coolest feature that this nostr implementation brings is the ability to have a build-in private chat that connect and enable the various signers of a multiSig to communicate and sign transactions remotely. Where have you seen something like this before?

Categories UX and redesign is also considered in this project. We'll try to understand how to better serve this functionality to you, the user, really soon.

Stay tuned!

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/974488

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Welcome back to our weekly JABBB, Just Another Bitcoin Bubble Boom, a comics and meme contest crafted for you, creative stackers!

If you'd like to learn more, check our welcome post here.

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This week sticker: Bitcoin Sir

You can download the source file directly from the HereComesBitcoin website in SVG and PNG. Use this sticker around SN with the code ![](https://m.stacker.news/71417)

The task

Make sure you use this week sticker to design a comic frame or a meme, add a message that perfectly captures the sentiment of the current most hilarious takes on the Bitcoin space. You can contextualize it or not, it's up to you, you chose the message, the context and anything else that will help you submit your comic art masterpiece.

Are you a meme creator? There's space for you too: select the most similar shot from the gifts hosted on the Gif Station section and craft your best meme... Let's Jabbb!

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If you enjoy designing and memeing, feel free to check out the JABBB archive and create more to spread Bitcoin awareness to the moon.

Submit each proposal on the relative thread, bounties will be distributed when enough participants submit options.

PS: you can now use HereComesBitcoin stickers to use on Stacker.News

₿e creative, have fun! :D

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/974483

@ 84b0c46a:417782f5

https://long-form-editor.vercel.app/

β版のため予期せぬ動作が発生する可能性があります。記事を修正する際は事前にバックアップを取ることをおすすめします

機能

• nostr:npub1sjcvg64knxkrt6ev52rywzu9uzqakgy8ehhk8yezxmpewsthst6sw3jqcw や、 nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq4jsz7zew5j7jr4pdfxh483nwq9vyw9ph6wm706sjwrzj2we58nqqyxhwumn8ghj77tpvf6jumt9qys8wumn8ghj7un9d3shjtt2wqhxummnw3ezuamfwfjkgmn9wshx5uqpr4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnhd9ex2erwv46zu6nsqyxhwumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmvqqsgcn99jyn5tevxz5zxsrkd7h0sx8fwnqztula423xh83j9wau7cms3vg9c7 のようにnostr:要素を挿入できる

• :monoice:のようにカスタム絵文字を挿入できる(メニューの😃アイコンから←アイコン変えるかも)

:monopaca_kao:

:kubipaca_karada:

• 新規記事作成と、既存記事の修正ができる

やることやったこと

• [x] nostr:を投稿するときにtagにいれる

• [x] 画像をアップロードできるようにする できる

• [x] 投稿しましたログとかをトースト的なやつでだすようにする
• [ ] レイアウトを整える
• [ ] あとなんか

@ c1e9ab3a:9cb56b43

I. Historical Foundations of U.S. Monetary Architecture

The early monetary system of the United States was built atop inherited commodity money conventions from Europe’s maritime economies. Silver and gold coins—primarily Spanish pieces of eight, Dutch guilders, and other foreign specie—formed the basis of colonial commerce. These units were already integrated into international trade and piracy networks and functioned with natural compatibility across England, France, Spain, and Denmark. Lacking a centralized mint or formal currency, the U.S. adopted these forms de facto.

As security risks and the practical constraints of physical coinage mounted, banks emerged to warehouse specie and issue redeemable certificates. These certificates evolved into fiduciary media—claims on specie not actually in hand. Banks observed over time that substantial portions of reserves remained unclaimed for years. This enabled fractional reserve banking: issuing more claims than reserves held, so long as redemption demand stayed low. The practice was inherently unstable, prone to panics and bank runs, prompting eventual centralization through the formation of the Federal Reserve in 1913.

Following the Civil War and unstable reinstatements of gold convertibility, the U.S. sought global monetary stability. After World War II, the Bretton Woods system formalized the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency. The dollar was nominally backed by gold, but most international dollars were held offshore and recycled into U.S. Treasuries. The Nixon Shock of 1971 eliminated the gold peg, converting the dollar into pure fiat. Yet offshore dollar demand remained, sustained by oil trade mandates and the unique role of Treasuries as global reserve assets.

II. The Structure of Fiduciary Media and Treasury Demand

Under this system, foreign trade surpluses with the U.S. generate excess dollars. These surplus dollars are parked in U.S. Treasuries, thereby recycling trade imbalances into U.S. fiscal liquidity. While technically loans to the U.S. government, these purchases act like interest-only transfers—governments receive yield, and the U.S. receives spendable liquidity without principal repayment due in the short term. Debt is perpetually rolled over, rarely extinguished.

This creates an illusion of global subsidy: U.S. deficits are financed via foreign capital inflows that, in practice, function more like financial tribute systems than conventional debt markets. The underlying asset—U.S. Treasury debt—functions as the base reserve asset of the dollar system, replacing gold in post-Bretton Woods monetary logic.

III. Emergence of Tether and the Parastatal Dollar

Tether (USDT), as a private issuer of dollar-denominated tokens, mimics key central bank behaviors while operating outside the regulatory perimeter. It mints tokens allegedly backed 1:1 by U.S. dollars or dollar-denominated securities (mostly Treasuries). These tokens circulate globally, often in jurisdictions with limited banking access, and increasingly serve as synthetic dollar substitutes.

If USDT gains dominance as the preferred medium of exchange—due to technological advantages, speed, programmability, or access—it displaces Federal Reserve Notes (FRNs) not through devaluation, but through functional obsolescence. Gresham’s Law inverts: good money (more liquid, programmable, globally transferable USDT) displaces bad (FRNs) even if both maintain a nominal 1:1 parity.

Over time, this preference translates to a systemic demand shift. Actors increasingly use Tether instead of FRNs, especially in global commerce, digital marketplaces, or decentralized finance. Tether tokens effectively become shadow base money.

IV. Interaction with Commercial Banking and Redemption Mechanics

Under traditional fractional reserve systems, commercial banks issue loans denominated in U.S. dollars, expanding the money supply. When borrowers repay loans, this destroys the created dollars and contracts monetary elasticity. If borrowers repay in USDT instead of FRNs:

• Banks receive a non-Fed liability (USDT).
• USDT is not recognized as reserve-eligible within the Federal Reserve System.
• Banks must either redeem USDT for FRNs, or demand par-value conversion from Tether to settle reserve requirements and balance their books.

This places redemption pressure on Tether and threatens its 1:1 peg under stress. If redemption latency, friction, or cost arises, USDT’s equivalence to FRNs is compromised. Conversely, if banks are permitted or compelled to hold USDT as reserve or regulatory capital, Tether becomes a de facto reserve issuer.

In this scenario, banks may begin demanding loans in USDT, mirroring borrower behavior. For this to occur sustainably, banks must secure Tether liquidity. This creates two options: - Purchase USDT from Tether or on the secondary market, collateralized by existing fiat. - Borrow USDT directly from Tether, using bank-issued debt as collateral.

The latter mirrors Federal Reserve discount window operations. Tether becomes a lender of first resort, providing monetary elasticity to the banking system by creating new tokens against promissory assets—exactly how central banks function.

V. Structural Consequences: Parallel Central Banking

If Tether begins lending to commercial banks, issuing tokens backed by bank notes or collateralized debt obligations: - Tether controls the expansion of broad money through credit issuance. - Its balance sheet mimics a central bank, with Treasuries and bank debt as assets and tokens as liabilities. - It intermediates between sovereign debt and global liquidity demand, replacing the Federal Reserve’s open market operations with its own issuance-redemption cycles.

Simultaneously, if Tether purchases U.S. Treasuries with FRNs received through token issuance, it: - Supplies the Treasury with new liquidity (via bond purchases). - Collects yield on government debt. - Issues a parallel form of U.S. dollars that never require redemption—an interest-only loan to the U.S. government from a non-sovereign entity.

In this context, Tether performs monetary functions of both a central bank and a sovereign wealth fund, without political accountability or regulatory transparency.

VI. Endgame: Institutional Inversion and Fed Redundancy

This paradigm represents an institutional inversion:

• The Federal Reserve becomes a legacy issuer.
• Tether becomes the operational base money provider in both retail and interbank contexts.
• Treasuries remain the foundational reserve asset, but access to them is mediated by a private intermediary.
• The dollar persists, but its issuer changes. The State becomes a fiscal agent of a decentralized financial ecosystem, not its monetary sovereign.

Unless the Federal Reserve reasserts control—either by absorbing Tether, outlawing its instruments, or integrating its tokens into the reserve framework—it risks becoming irrelevant in the daily function of money.

Tether, in this configuration, is no longer a derivative of the dollar—it is the dollar, just one level removed from sovereign control. The future of monetary sovereignty under such a regime is post-national and platform-mediated.

@ 68768a6c:0eaf07e9

What Is Bitcoin? Bitcoin is the world’s first decentralized digital currency—created in 2009 by an anonymous person (or group) under the name Satoshi Nakamoto. Unlike regular money, it’s not printed or controlled by any government or bank. Instead, it runs on a global network of computers using a technology called blockchain. Why Is Bitcoin Valuable? Bitcoin is often called “digital gold” because it’s limited in supply—only 21 million bitcoins will ever exist. This scarcity, combined with increasing demand and global adoption, makes it valuable. Many people invest in Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation or unstable currencies. How Can You Use Bitcoin? Today, Bitcoin can be used for: Online shopping (some stores accept it) Transferring money across borders Investing for long-term growth You can store it in a digital wallet and send it anywhere in the world in minutes—with low fees. The Risks and Rewards Bitcoin prices can go up or down quickly—it’s very volatile. But many investors believe it will grow in value as the world becomes more digital. Tip for Beginners: Never invest more than you can afford to lose. Start small, learn as you go, and stay updated. Final Thoughts Bitcoin is more than just internet money—it’s a revolution in how we think about value, privacy, and freedom. Whether you’re a curious beginner or a savvy investor, understanding Bitcoin could be your first step toward financial innovation.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Wild parrots tend to fly in flocks, but when kept as single pets, they may become lonely and bored https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OHcAOlamgDc

Source: https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/scientists-taught-pet-parrots-to-video-call-each-other-and-the-birds-loved-it-180982041/

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/973639

@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2

CHAPTER SEVENTEEN

"I don't get it... How is James still in charge?" Tracy murmured, her brows furrowed as she stared at her screen. She sat in her office, fingers nervously drumming against her desk.

Across from her, Mark stood with arms folded, pacing slowly. "You mean after all that evidence? After the blacklist, the embezzlement records nothing happened?"

Tracy shook her head. "Nothing. I checked again this morning. He’s still listed as President of JP Enterprises. It’s like the files we found didn’t even exist."

Helen, who had been silent until now, hissed through clenched teeth. "This is ridiculous. Are you sure the information got to the right hands?"

"It did," Tracy insisted. "I sent it directly to the Prime Minister's inbox using a confidential channel. I even received a delivery confirmation. Someone higher up must’ve swept it under the rug or maybe James covered his tracks faster than we imagined."

Mark slumped into the chair, clearly defeated. "He’s not just lucky he’s smart. Smarter than we gave him credit for."

For the first time since they began scheming, their confidence had begun to falter. They had dug into James’s past, unearthed the most damning of records, and yet… nothing. He remained untouched. Unshaken.

James continued to lead JP Enterprises with iron resolve, his status not just preserved, but strengthened. Whatever scandal they tried to ignite had fizzled out before it could burn.

The silence from JP's top board members was loud. No statements. No investigations. Not even a whisper of an internal review. To the outside world, James remained the unshakable President who had pulled a crumbling empire back from the edge.

Mark clenched his jaw. "He must have allies who are protecting him."

Helen nodded slowly. "We underestimated him. That was our biggest mistake."

Tracy remained quiet, her eyes still fixed on the screen as if trying to decipher what had gone wrong. She had risked everything, accessed confidential files, and violated protocols, expecting James to crumble.

Instead, he was thriving.

"Have you heard?" Robert leaned over his desk, eyes wide with interest. "JP Enterprises is about to celebrate their sixteenth anniversary. It’s going to be the biggest corporate event of the year."

Christopher looked up from the documents he was reviewing. "I heard. Mr. and Mrs. JP are returning for it. The entire business world is going to be there including us."

Robert nodded. "Every major company in and out of the city has received an invitation. It’s not just a celebration, it's a power show. A way for JP Enterprises to remind everyone who’s at the top."

Indeed, the buzz around the sixteenth anniversary of JP Enterprises was like nothing the city had seen in years. Massive banners were already being hoisted across the city skyline. High-end hotels were fully booked. Fashion designers, chefs, tech specialists, and media crews from around the world were preparing for the grand occasion. It was more than a business event, it was a spectacle.

At the heart of the preparations was James, the young and surprisingly unshakable President of JP Enterprises. Under his leadership, the company had grown in power and reach, and the anniversary was both a celebration of its legacy and a testament to its transformation.

Meanwhile, at Ray Enterprises, tension brewed behind the scenes. Though they were invited, the Ray family carried mixed feelings about attending the event. Memories of humiliation and disbelief still lingered the day James had revealed himself as the President was still fresh in their minds.

"We have no choice but to attend," Helen muttered in frustration during a board meeting. "If we stay away, we’ll seem petty and afraid. But going there means bowing our heads to him again."

Sarah, the secretary, tried to mask her discomfort. "It’s a corporate event, ma’am. It might be best to appear neutral… diplomatic."

Rita, now reinstated as General Manager, remained quiet but observant. She knew better than anyone how unpredictable James could be when it came to public appearances. She had no idea what to expect from him at the anniversary.

Back at JP Enterprises, preparations continued in full force. The guest list included billionaires, global CEOs, high-ranking politicians, and the most influential figures across industries. Red carpets would roll out, cameras would flash, and speeches would echo through the grand hall like music from an orchestra.

The city, already buzzing with excitement, awaited the grand event.

"I can’t believe it," the young woman muttered as she stared at her phone, her hands trembling with excitement. "James… the same James who used to sleep in front of Mr. Kola’s grocery store? He’s the President of JP Enterprises now?"

Her name was Evelyn. Sharp-tongued, impatient, and fueled by bitter memories, she had known James during his hardest days on the streets, days when survival meant fighting for leftovers and sleeping on cold sidewalks. To her, his rise wasn’t a success story to be admired. It was a jackpot she felt entitled to.

Storming into the JP Enterprises headquarters during working hours, Evelyn ignored the receptionist's polite inquiries and pushed her way toward the executive wing.

"I want to see James!" she shouted, causing heads to turn in the busy lobby. "I know he’s here. Tell him Evelyn from the street is here!"

Security was alerted immediately, but by then, Evelyn had already reached the waiting area outside the President’s office.

James, who was in a brief meeting with department heads, heard the commotion and stepped out with a composed expression. As soon as his eyes met Evelyn’s, something shifted. He recognized her instantly.

"Evelyn?" he said, frowning slightly. "What are you doing here?"

"Don’t act like you don’t know me, James," she snapped, crossing her arms. "You owe me. We suffered together. I was there when you were nothing. Now you’re swimming in wealth and you think you can forget the people who once mattered!"

James’s expression hardened.

"This is not the place for this kind of talk. You’re disrupting my company’s operations. If you need help, there are proper channels"

"To hell with proper channels!" she yelled. "I came to get what’s mine!"

That was enough. James turned to the nearby security officer. "Escort her out. And make sure she doesn’t return without a valid appointment."

The security guards moved quickly, but Evelyn didn’t go quietly. She shouted all the way to the exit, throwing insults, struggling, and drawing even more attention.

Among those who witnessed the scene was Tracy. At first, she thought it was just a random case of disturbance by some unruly visitor trying to make trouble. But as she watched James’s calm yet stern expression, and the woman’s emotional outburst, something clicked in her cunning mind.

This is gold, she thought, quickly pulling out her phone and snapping a series of pictures from the hallway James arguing with a ragged woman, the woman being dragged out, and James watching in silence. What a perfect way to ruin his reputation.

Tracy, ever the opportunist, reviewed the photos and smirked.

This is it… this will shake him up.

Without hesitation, she sent the pictures to Helen and Mark, attaching a voice note.

@ b8851a06:9b120ba1

The global financial system is creaking under its own weight. The IMF is urging banks to shore up capital, cut risk, and brace for impact. Basel III is their answer, a last-ditch effort to reinforce a brittle foundation.

But behind the scenes, a quieter revolution is under way.

Bitcoin, the world’s first stateless digital asset, is no longer on the sidelines. It’s entering the Basel conversation: not by invitation, but by inevitability.

Basel III: The System’s Self-Diagnosis

Basel III is more than a technical rulebook. It’s a confession: an admission that the global banking system is vulnerable. Created in the aftermath of 2008, it calls for: • Stronger capital reserves: So banks can survive losses. • Lower leverage: To reduce the domino effect of overexposure. • Liquidity buffers: To weather short-term shocks without collapsing.

But here’s the kicker: these rules are hostile to anything outside the fiat system. Bitcoin gets hit with a punitive 1,250% risk weight. That means for every $1 of exposure, banks must hold $1 in capital. The message from regulators? “You can hold Bitcoin, but you’ll pay for it.”

Yet that fear: based framing misses a bigger truth: Bitcoin doesn’t just survive in this environment. It thrives in it.

Bitcoin: A Parallel System, Built on Hard Rules

Where Basel III imposes “fiat discipline” from the top down, Bitcoin enforces it from the bottom up: with code, math, and transparency.

Bitcoin is not just a hedge. It’s a structural antidote to systemic fragility.

Volatility: A Strategic Asset

Yes, Bitcoin is volatile. But in a system that devalues fiat on a schedule, volatility is simply the cost of freedom. Under Basel III, banks are expected to build capital buffers during economic expansions.

What asset allows you to build those buffers faster than Bitcoin in a bull market?

When the cycle turns, those reserves act as shock absorbers: converting volatility into resilience. It’s anti-fragility in motion.

Liquidity: Real, Deep, and Global

Bitcoin settled over $19 trillion in transactions in 2024. That’s not hypothetical liquidity. it’s real, measurable flow. Unlike traditional high-quality liquid assets (HQLAs), Bitcoin is: • Available 24/7 • Borderless • Not dependent on central banks

By traditional definitions, Bitcoin is rapidly qualifying for HQLA status. Even if regulators aren’t ready to admit it.

Diversification: Breaking the Fiat Dependency

Basel III is designed to pull banks back into the fiat matrix. But Bitcoin offers an escape hatch. Strategic Bitcoin reserves are not about speculation, they’re insurance. For family offices, institutions, and sovereign funds, Bitcoin is the lifeboat when the fiat ship starts taking on water.

Regulatory Realignment: The System Reacts

The Basel Committee’s new rules on crypto exposures went live in January 2025. Around the world, regulators are scrambling to define their stance. Every new restriction placed on Bitcoin only strengthens its legitimacy, as more institutions ask: Why so much resistance, if it’s not a threat?

Bitcoin doesn’t need permission. It’s already being adopted by over 150 public companies, forward-looking states, and a new class of self-sovereign individuals.

Conclusion: The Real Question

This isn’t just about Bitcoin fitting into Basel III.

The real question is: How long can Basel III remain relevant in a world where Bitcoin exists?

Bitcoin is not the risk. It’s the reality check. And it might just be the strongest capital buffer the system has ever seen.

Gradually then suddenly.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Your device, your data. TRMNL's architecture prevents outsiders (including us) from accessing your local network. TRMNAL achieve this through 1 way communication between client and server, versus the other way around. Learn more.

Learn more at https://usetrmnl.com/

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/973632

@ 000002de:c05780a7

I've been eager to share my thoughts on "Return of the Strong Gods" by R.R. Reno since I finished it a week ago.

I found this book incredibly insightful. @SimpleStacker's excellent review prompted me to pick it up, and I'm glad I did. While I won't be providing a full review, I will share some of the key insights and thoughts that resonated with me.

Reno masterfully dissects the sociological underpinnings of the political shifts in the US and the Western world over the past decade and a half. His analysis of the rise of populism and nationalism is compelling and rings true to my personal observations. Reno's central thesis is that post-WW2, the West embraced "weaker gods"—ideals like democracy, pluralism, and liberalism—fearing a repeat of the strong nationalistic sentiments that led to Hitler's rise. He argues that this shift has left many people feeling culturally homeless and desperate for strong leadership that listens to their grievances.

A significant portion of Reno's argument is built on the ideas of Karl Popper, a philosopher I was unfamiliar with before reading this book. Popper's work "The Open Society and Its Enemies" has significantly influenced post-war consensus, which Reno argues has led to a disconnect between the political elite and the common people. This disconnect, he posits, is a primary driver of populist sentiments.

Reno also delves into economics, discussing Friedrich Hayek and his agreement with some of Popper's positions. This intersection of philosophy and economics provides a unique lens through which to view the political landscape. Reno's mention of the Treaty of Versailles as a catalyst for Hitler's rise is a point often overlooked in discussions about WW2. He argues that the punitive measures imposed on Germany created an environment ripe for a strongman to emerge.

One of the most compelling aspects of Reno's argument is his explanation of how the political elite often lose touch with the values and wishes of the people they represent. He draws a powerful analogy between cultural homelessness and the desperation that drives people to seek strong leadership. This section of the book particularly resonated with me, as it aligns with my own observations of the political climate.

I would have liked Reno to start his analysis with Woodrow Wilson, whose "making the world safe for democracy" slogan embodied a form of Christian nationalism. Wilson's ideals and the post-WW1 environment laid the groundwork for the open society movement, which Reno critiques. Exploring this historical context could have strengthened Reno's argument.

Reno occasionally conflates economic liberalism with libertinism, which I found to be a minor flaw in an otherwise strong argument. He rightly points out the need for moral ethics in society but seems to overlook the distinction between economic freedom and moral laxity. Reno's discussion of Milton Friedman's ideas further highlights this confusion. While Reno argues that free trade has contributed to many of our modern ills, I believe the issue lies more with nation-state trade agreements like NAFTA, which are not true examples of free trade.

Another area where I disagree with Reno is his conflation of the nation with the state. Nations are cultural entities that predate and can exist independently of states. Reno's argument would be stronger if he acknowledged this distinction, as it would clarify his points about national pride and cultural heritage.

Reno's final chapters offer a cautionary tale about the return of strong gods and the danger of making them idols. He warns against authoritarianism and the overreach of the state, advocating for a balance that respects cultural heritage without succumbing to nationalism.

In conclusion, "Return of the Strong Gods" is a thought-provoking exploration of the political and cultural shifts of our time. Reno's insights are valuable, and his arguments, while not without flaws, provide a fresh perspective on the rise of populism and nationalism. I recommend this book to anyone seeking a deeper understanding of the forces shaping our world today.

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/975849

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

Last week we covered the bombshell developments in the Samourai Wallet case. For those who didn't read that, last Monday the world was made aware of the fact that the SDNY was explicitly told by FinCEN that the federal regulator did not believe that Samourai Wallet was a money services business six months before arresting the co-founders of Samourai Wallet for conspiracy to launder money and illegally operating a money services business. This was an obvious overstep by the SDNY that many believed would be quickly alleviated, especially considering the fact that the Trump administration via the Department of Justice has made it clear that they do not intend to rule via prosecution.

It seems that this is not the case as the SDNY responded to a letter sent from the defense to dismiss the case by stating that they fully plan to move forward. Stating that they only sought the recommendations of FinCEN employees and did not believe that those employees' comments were indicative of FinCEN's overall views on this particular case. It's a pretty egregious abuse of power by the SDNY. I'm not sure if the particular lawyers and judges within the Southern District of New York are very passionate about preventing the use of self-custody bitcoin and products that enable bitcoiners to transact privately, or if they're simply participating in a broader meta war with the Trump administration - who has made it clear to federal judges across the country that last Fall's election will have consequences, mainly that the Executive Branch will try to effectuate the policies that President Trump campaigned on by any legal means necessary - and Samouari Wallet is simply in the middle of that meta war.

However, one thing is pretty clear to me, this is an egregious overstep of power. The interpretation of that law, as has been laid out and confirmed by FinCEN over the last decade, is pretty clear; you cannot be a money services business if you do not control the funds that people are sending to each other, which is definitely the case with Samourai Wallet. People downloaded Samourai Wallet, spun up their own private-public key pairs and initiated transactions themselves. Samourai never custodied funds or initiated transactions on behalf of their users. This is very cut and dry. Straight to the point. It should be something that anyone with more than two brain cells is able to discern pretty quickly.

It is imperative that anybody in the industry who cares about being able to hold bitcoin in self-custody, to mine bitcoin, and to send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion makes some noise around this case. None of the current administration's attempts to foster innovation around bitcoin in the United States will matter if the wrong precedent is set in this case. If the SDNY is successful in prosecuting Samourai Wallet, it will mean that anybody holding Bitcoin in self-custody, running a bitcoin fold node or mining bitcoin will have to KYC all of their users and counterparts lest they be labeled a money services business that is breaking laws stemming from the Bank Secrecy Act. This will effectively make building a self-custody bitcoin wallet, running a node, or mining bitcoin in tillegal in the United States. The ability to comply with the rules that would be unleashed if this Samourai case goes the wrong way, are such that it will effectively destroy the industry overnight.

It is yet to be seen whether or not the Department of Justice will step in to publicly flog the SDNY and force them to stop pursuing this case. This is the only likely way that the case will go away at this point, so it is very important that bitcoiners who care about being able to self-custody bitcoin, mine bitcoin, or send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion in the United States make it clear to the current administration and any local politicians that this is an issue that you care deeply about. If we are too complacent, there is a chance that the SDNY could completely annihilate the bitcoin industry in America despite of all of the positive momentum we're seeing from all angles at the moment.

Make some noise!

Bitcoin Adoption by Power Companies: The Next Frontier

In my recent conversation with Andrew Myers from Satoshi Energy, he shared their ambitious mission to "enable every electric power company to use bitcoin by block 1,050,000" – roughly three years from now. This strategic imperative isn't just about creating new Bitcoin users; it's about sovereignty. Andrew emphasized that getting Bitcoin into the hands of energy companies who value self-sovereignty creates a more balanced future economic landscape. The excitement was palpable as he described how several energy companies are already moving beyond simply selling power to Bitcoin miners and are beginning to invest in mining operations themselves.

"You have global commodity companies being like, 'Oh, this is another commodity – we want to invest in this, we want to own this,'" - Andrew Myers

Perhaps most fascinating was Andrew's revelation about major energy companies in Texas developing Bitcoin collateral products for power contracts – a practical application that could revolutionize how energy transactions are settled. As energy companies continue embracing Bitcoin for both operations and collateral, we're witnessing the early stages of a profound shift in how critical infrastructure interfaces with sound money. The implications for both sectors could be transformative.

Check out the full podcast here for more on remote viewing, Nikola Tesla's predictions, and the convergence of Bitcoin and AI technology. We cover everything from humanoid robots to the energy demands of next-generation computing.

Headlines of the Day

Steak n Shake to Accept Bitcoin at All Locations May 16 - via X

Facebook Plans Crypto Wallets for 3B Users, Bitcoin Impact Looms - via X

Trump Urges Americans to Buy Stocks for Economic Boom - via X

UK Drops Tariffs, U.S. Farmers Set to Reap Major Benefits - via X

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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 145,630 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

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Final thought...

Happy belated Mother's Day to all the moms out there.

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@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Here’s Sean Voisen writing about how programming is a feeling:

For those of us who enjoy programming, there is a deep satisfaction that comes from solving problems through well-written code, a kind of ineffable joy found in the elegant expression of a system through our favorite syntax. It is akin to the same satisfaction a craftsperson might find at the end of the day after toiling away on well-made piece of furniture, the culmination of small dopamine hits that come from sweating the details on something and getting them just right. Maybe nobody will notice those details, but it doesn’t matter. We care, we notice, we get joy from the aesthetics of the craft.

This got me thinking about the idea of satisfaction in craft. Where does it come from?

Continue Reading https://blog.jim-nielsen.com/2025/craft-and-satisfaction/

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/973628

@ 21335073:a244b1ad

Someone asked for my thoughts, so I’ll share them thoughtfully. I’m not here to dictate how to promote Nostr—I’m still learning about it myself. While I’m not new to Nostr, freedom tech is a newer space for me. I’m skilled at advocating for topics I deeply understand, but freedom tech isn’t my expertise, so take my words with a grain of salt. Nothing I say is set in stone.

Those who need Nostr the most are the ones most vulnerable to censorship on other platforms right now. Reaching them requires real-time awareness of global issues and the dynamic relationships between governments and tech providers, which can shift suddenly. Effective Nostr promoters must grasp this and adapt quickly.

The best messengers are people from or closely tied to these at-risk regions—those who truly understand the local political and cultural dynamics. They can connect with those in need when tensions rise. Ideal promoters are rational, trustworthy, passionate about Nostr, but above all, dedicated to amplifying people’s voices when it matters most.

Forget influencers, corporate-backed figures, or traditional online PR—it comes off as inauthentic, corny, desperate and forced. Nostr’s promotion should be grassroots and organic, driven by a few passionate individuals who believe in Nostr and the communities they serve.

The idea that “people won’t join Nostr due to lack of reach” is nonsense. Everyone knows X’s “reach” is mostly with bots. If humans want real conversations, Nostr is the place. X is great for propaganda, but Nostr is for the authentic voices of the people.

Those spreading Nostr must be so passionate they’re willing to onboard others, which is time-consuming but rewarding for the right person. They’ll need to make Nostr and onboarding a core part of who they are. I see no issue with that level of dedication. I’ve been known to get that way myself at times. It’s fun for some folks.

With love, I suggest not adding Bitcoin promotion with Nostr outreach. Zaps already integrate that element naturally. (Still promote within the Bitcoin ecosystem, but this is about reaching vulnerable voices who needed Nostr yesterday.)

To promote Nostr, forget conventional strategies. “Influencers” aren’t the answer. “Influencers” are not the future. A trusted local community member has real influence—reach them. Connect with people seeking Nostr’s benefits but lacking the technical language to express it. This means some in the Nostr community might need to step outside of the Bitcoin bubble, which is uncomfortable but necessary. Thank you in advance to those who are willing to do that.

I don’t know who is paid to promote Nostr, if anyone. This piece isn’t shade. But it’s exhausting to see innocent voices globally silenced on corporate platforms like X while Nostr exists. Last night, I wondered: how many more voices must be censored before the Nostr community gets uncomfortable and thinks creatively to reach the vulnerable?

A warning: the global need for censorship-resistant social media is undeniable. If Nostr doesn’t make itself known, something else will fill that void. Let’s start this conversation.

@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3

The second round of the NBA Playoffs is historically weird. We'll try to figure out what's going wrong for all three of the presumed contenders. Which of the other East teams need to be considered contenders now? With how bad the Warriors look without Steph (just how underrated is he?), do the Warriors still have any chance?

In Blok'd Shots, we'll talk about the NHL Star who got traded midseason and then beat his former team in the playoffs.

There was a big trade in the NFL. Plus, @grayruby wants to start a media beef with Colin Cowherd.

The MLB introduced a new stat. I have no idea what it is, but I'm looking forward to trying to understand it live on air.

And, of course, lots of contest and betting updates.

What do you want us to talk about?

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/975474

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

CryptPad

Collaboration and privacy. Yes, you can have both Flagship instance of CryptPad, the end-to-end encrypted and open-source collaboration suite. Cloud administered by the CryptPad development team. https://cryptpad.fr/

ONLYOFFICE DocSpace

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SandStorm

An open source platform for self-hosting web apps Self-host web-based productivity apps easily and securely. Sandstorm is an open source project built by a community of volunteers with the goal of making it really easy to run open source web applications. Try the Demo or Signup Free https://alpha.sandstorm.io/apps

NextCloud Hub

A new generation of online collaboration that puts you in control. Nextcloud offers a modern, on premise content collaboration platform with real-time document editing, video chat & groupware on mobile, desktop and web. Sign up for a free Nextcloud account https://nextcloud.com/sign-up/

LinShare

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Twake Drive

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SpaceDrive

One Explorer. All Your Files. Unify files from all your devices and clouds into a single, easy-to-use explorer. Designed for creators, hoarders and the painfully disorganized. Download desktop app (mobile coming soon) https://www.spacedrive.com/

ente

Safe Home for your photos Store, share, and discover your memories with end-to-end encryption. End-to-end encryption, durable storage and simple sharing. Packed with these and much more into our beautiful open source apps. Get started https://web.ente.io

fileStash

Turn your FTP server into... Filestash is the enterprise-grade file manager connecting your storage with your identity provider and authorisations. Try the demo https://demo.filestash.app

STORJ

Disruptively fast.‍ Globally secure. S3-compatible distributed cloud services that make the most demanding workflows fast and affordable. Fast track your journey toward high performance cloud services. Storj pricing is consistent and competitive in meeting or exceeding your cloud services needs. Give the products a try to experience the benefits of the distributed cloud. Get Started https://www.storj.io/get-started

FireFile

The open‑source alternative to Dropbox. Firefiles lets you setup a cloud drive with the backend of your choice and lets you seamlessly manage your files across multiple providers. It revolutionizes cloud storage management by offering a unified platform for all your storage needs. Sign up Free https://beta.firefiles.app

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/973626

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

Last week we covered the bombshell developments in the Samourai Wallet case. For those who didn't read that, last Monday the world was made aware of the fact that the SDNY was explicitly told by FinCEN that the federal regulator did not believe that Samourai Wallet was a money services business six months before arresting the co-founders of Samourai Wallet for conspiracy to launder money and illegally operating a money services business. This was an obvious overstep by the SDNY that many believed would be quickly alleviated, especially considering the fact that the Trump administration via the Department of Justice has made it clear that they do not intend to rule via prosecution.

It seems that this is not the case as the SDNY responded to a letter sent from the defense to dismiss the case by stating that they fully plan to move forward. Stating that they only sought the recommendations of FinCEN employees and did not believe that those employees' comments were indicative of FinCEN's overall views on this particular case. It's a pretty egregious abuse of power by the SDNY. I'm not sure if the particular lawyers and judges within the Southern District of New York are very passionate about preventing the use of self-custody bitcoin and products that enable bitcoiners to transact privately, or if they're simply participating in a broader meta war with the Trump administration - who has made it clear to federal judges across the country that last Fall's election will have consequences, mainly that the Executive Branch will try to effectuate the policies that President Trump campaigned on by any legal means necessary - and Samouari Wallet is simply in the middle of that meta war.

However, one thing is pretty clear to me, this is an egregious overstep of power. The interpretation of that law, as has been laid out and confirmed by FinCEN over the last decade, is pretty clear; you cannot be a money services business if you do not control the funds that people are sending to each other, which is definitely the case with Samourai Wallet. People downloaded Samourai Wallet, spun up their own private-public key pairs and initiated transactions themselves. Samourai never custodied funds or initiated transactions on behalf of their users. This is very cut and dry. Straight to the point. It should be something that anyone with more than two brain cells is able to discern pretty quickly.

It is imperative that anybody in the industry who cares about being able to hold bitcoin in self-custody, to mine bitcoin, and to send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion makes some noise around this case. None of the current administration's attempts to foster innovation around bitcoin in the United States will matter if the wrong precedent is set in this case. If the SDNY is successful in prosecuting Samourai Wallet, it will mean that anybody holding Bitcoin in self-custody, running a bitcoin fold node or mining bitcoin will have to KYC all of their users and counterparts lest they be labeled a money services business that is breaking laws stemming from the Bank Secrecy Act. This will effectively make building a self-custody bitcoin wallet, running a node, or mining bitcoin in tillegal in the United States. The ability to comply with the rules that would be unleashed if this Samourai case goes the wrong way, are such that it will effectively destroy the industry overnight.

It is yet to be seen whether or not the Department of Justice will step in to publicly flog the SDNY and force them to stop pursuing this case. This is the only likely way that the case will go away at this point, so it is very important that bitcoiners who care about being able to self-custody bitcoin, mine bitcoin, or send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion in the United States make it clear to the current administration and any local politicians that this is an issue that you care deeply about. If we are too complacent, there is a chance that the SDNY could completely annihilate the bitcoin industry in America despite of all of the positive momentum we're seeing from all angles at the moment.

Make some noise!

Bitcoin Adoption by Power Companies: The Next Frontier

In my recent conversation with Andrew Myers from Satoshi Energy, he shared their ambitious mission to "enable every electric power company to use bitcoin by block 1,050,000" – roughly three years from now. This strategic imperative isn't just about creating new Bitcoin users; it's about sovereignty. Andrew emphasized that getting Bitcoin into the hands of energy companies who value self-sovereignty creates a more balanced future economic landscape. The excitement was palpable as he described how several energy companies are already moving beyond simply selling power to Bitcoin miners and are beginning to invest in mining operations themselves.

"You have global commodity companies being like, 'Oh, this is another commodity – we want to invest in this, we want to own this,'" - Andrew Myers

Perhaps most fascinating was Andrew's revelation about major energy companies in Texas developing Bitcoin collateral products for power contracts – a practical application that could revolutionize how energy transactions are settled. As energy companies continue embracing Bitcoin for both operations and collateral, we're witnessing the early stages of a profound shift in how critical infrastructure interfaces with sound money. The implications for both sectors could be transformative.

Check out the full podcast here for more on remote viewing, Nikola Tesla's predictions, and the convergence of Bitcoin and AI technology. We cover everything from humanoid robots to the energy demands of next-generation computing.

Headlines of the Day

Steak n Shake to Accept Bitcoin at All Locations May 16 - via X

Facebook Plans Crypto Wallets for 3B Users, Bitcoin Impact Looms - via X

Trump Urges Americans to Buy Stocks for Economic Boom - via X

UK Drops Tariffs, U.S. Farmers Set to Reap Major Benefits - via X

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Final thought...

Happy belated Mother's Day to all the moms out there.

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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

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Pregled sadržaja

1. Definisanje novca
2. Šta je sredstvo razmene?
3. Šta je obračunska jedinica?
4. Šta je zaliha vrednosti?
5. Zašto su važne funkcije novca?
6. Novac Gubi Funkciju: Alhemičar iz Njutonije
7. Eksploatacija pomoću Novca: Agri Perle
8. Novac Gubi Funkciju 2. Deo: Kejnslandski Bankar
9. Da li nas novac danas eksploatiše?
10. Šta je novac, i zašto trebate da brinete?
11. Efikasnija Ušteda Novca
12. Zasluge
13. Molim vas da šerujete!

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Google izveštava o stalnom povećanju interesa u svetu za pitanje „Šta je novac?“ koji se postavlja iz godine u godinu, od 2004. do 2021., a sa naglim porastom nakon finansijske krize 2008. godine.

I izgleda se da niko nema dobar odgovor za to.

Godišnji proseci mesečnih interesa za pretragu. 100 predstavlja najveći interes za pretragu tokom čitavog perioda, koji se dogodio u decembru 2019. Podaci sa Google Trends-a.

Međutim, odgovaranje na ovo naizgled jednostavno pitanje pomoći će vam da razjasnite ulogu novca u vašem životu. Jednom kada shvatite kako novac funkcioniše, tačno ćete videti i zašto svet danas ludi – i šta učiniti povodom toga. Zato hajde da se udubimo u to.

Na pitanje šta je novac, većina ljudi otvori svoje novčanike i pokaže nekoliko novčanica – “evo, ovo je novac!”

Ali po čemu se ove novčanice razlikuju od stranica vaše omiljene knjige? Pa, naravno, zavod za izradu novčanica te zemlje je odštampao te novčanice iz vašeg novčanika kako bi se oduprla falsifikovanju, i svi ih koriste da bi kupili odredjene stvari.

Međutim, Nemačka Marka imala je sva ova svojstva u prošlosti – ali preduzeća danas ne prihvataju te novčanice. Zapravo, građani Nemačke su početkom dvadesetih godina prošlog veka spaljivali papirne Marke kako bi grejali svoje domove. Marka je imala veću vrednost kao papir za potpalu nego kao novac!

1923. nemačka valuta poznata kao Marka bila je jeftinija od uglja i drveta!

Pa šta to čini novac, novcem?

Ispostavilo se da ovo nije pitanje na koje je lako dati odgovor.

Definisanje novca

Novac nije fizička stvar poput novčanice dolara. Novac je društveni sistem koji koristimo da bismo olakšali trgovinu robom i uslugama. Međutim, tokom istorije fizička monetarna dobra igrala su ključnu ulogu u društvenom sistemu novca, često kao znakovi koji predstavljaju vrednost u monetarnom sistemu. Ovaj sistem ima tri funkcije: 1) Sredstvo Razmene, 2) Obračunsku Jedinicu i 3) Zalihu Vrednosti.

Odakle dolaze ove funkcije, i zašto su one vredne?

Šta je sredstvo razmene?

Sredstvo razmene je neko dobro koje se obično razmenjuje za drugo dobro. Najčešće objašnjenje za to kako su se pojavila sredstva razmene glasi otprilike ovako: Boris ima ječam i želeo bi da kupi ovcu od Marka. Marko ima ovce, ali želi samo piliće. Ana ima piliće, ali ona ne želi ječam ili ovce.

To se naziva problem sticaja potreba: dve strane moraju da žele ono što druga ima da bi mogle da trguju. Ako se želje dve osobe ne podudaraju, oni moraju da pronađu druge ljude sa kojima će trgovati dok svi ne pronađu dobro koje žele.

Ljudi koji trguju robom i uslugama moraju da imaju potrebe koje se podudaraju.

Vremenom, veoma je verovatno da će se određena vrsta robe, poput pšenice, pojaviti kao sredstvo razmene jer su je mnogi ljudi želeli. Uzimajući pšenicu kao primer: pšenica je rešila “sticaje potreba” u mnogim zanatima, jer čak i ako onaj koji prima pšenicu a nije želeo da je koristi za sebe, znao je da će je neko drugi želeti.

Ovo nazivamo prodajnost imovine.

Pšenica je dobar primer dobra za prodaju jer svi moraju da jedu, a od pšenice se pravi hleb. Pšenica ima vrednost kao sastojak hleba i kao dobro koje olakšava trgovinu rešavanjem problema „sticaja potreba“.

Razmislite o svojoj želji da dobijete više novčanica u eurima ili drugoj valuti. Ne možete da jedete novčanice da biste preživeli, a i ne bi vam bile od velike koristi ako poželite da ih koristite kao građevinski materijal za vašu kuću. Međutim, znate da sa tim novčanicama možete da kupite hranu i kuću.

Stvarne fizičke novčanice su beskorisne za vas. Novčanice su vam dragocene samo zato što će ih drugi prihvatiti za stvari koje su vama korisne.

Tokom dugog perioda istorije, novac je evoluirao do te mere da monetarno dobro može imati vrednost, a da to dobro ne služi za bilo koju drugu ‘suštinsku’ upotrebu, poput hrane ili energije. Umesto toga, njegova upotreba je zaliha vrednosti i jednostavna zamena za drugu robu u bilo kom trenutku koji poželite.

Šta jedno dobro čini poželjnijim i prodajnijim od drugog dobra?

Deljivost

Definicija: Sposobnost podele dobra na manje količine.

Loš Primer: Dijamante je teško podeliti na manje komade. Za zajednicu od hiljada ljudi koji dnevno izvrše milione transakcija, dijamanti čine loše sredstvo razmene. Previše su retki i nedeljivi da bi se koristili za mnoge transakcije.

Potrebno je puno obuke da bi izrezali dijamant.

Ujednačenost

Definicija: Sličnost pojedinačnih jedinica odredjenog dobra.

Loš Primer: Krave nisu ujednačene – neke su veće, neke manje, neke bolesne, neke zdrave. Sa druge strane, unca čistog zlata je jednolična – jedna unca je potpuno ista kao sledeća. Ovo svojstvo se takođe često naziva zamenljivost.

Svaka je jedinstvena na svoj način.

Prenosivost

Definicija: Lakoća transporta dobra.

Loš Primer: Krava nije baš prenosiva. Zlatnici su prilično prenosivi. Papirne novčanice su još prenošljivije. Knjiga u kojoj se jednostavno beleži vlasništvo nad tim vrednostima (poput Rai kamenog sistema ili digitalnog bankovnog računa) je neverovatno prenosiva, jer nema fizičkog dobra koje treba nositi sa sobom za kupovinu. Postoji samo sistem za evidentiranje vlasništva nad tim vrednostima u nematerijalnom obliku.

Novac star 5000 godina VS novac star 13 godina

Kako dobro postaje sredstvo razmene?

Dobra postaju, i ostaju sredstva razmene zbog svoje univerzalne potražnje, takođe poznate kao njihova prodajnost, čemu pomažu svojstva koja su gore nabrojana.

Mnogo različitih dobara mogu u različitoj meri delovati kao sredstva razmene u ekonomiji. Danas, naša globalna ekonomija koristi valute koje izdaju države, zlato, pa čak i robu poput nafte kao sredstvo razmene.

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Šta je obračunska jedinica?

Stvari se komplikuju kada u ekonomiji postoji mnogo robe koja se prodaje. Čak i sa samo 5 dobara, postoji 10 “kurseva razmene” između svake robe kojih svi u ekonomiji moraju da se sete: 1 svinja se menja za 15 pilića, 1 pile se menja za 15 litara mleka, desetak jaja se menja za 15 litara mleka, i tako dalje. Ako ekonomija ima 50 dobara, među njima postoji 1.225 “kurseva razmene”!

Sredstvo za merenje vrednosti

Zamislite obračunsku jedinicu kao sredstvo za merenje vrednosti. Umesto da se sećamo vrednosti svakog dobra u poredjenju sa drugim dobrima, mi samo treba da se setimo vrednosti svakog dobra u poredjenju sa jednim dobrom – obračunskom jedinicom.

Umesto da se setimo 1.225 kurseva razmene kada imamo 50 proizvoda na tržištu, mi treba da zapamtimo samo 50 cena.

Na primer, ne treba da se sećamo da litar mleka vredi 1/15 piletine ili desetak jaja, možemo da se samo setimo da litar mleka košta 1USD.

Mnogo opcija, sve u istoj obračunskoj jedinici.

Poređenje dobara je lakše sa obračunskom jedinicom

Obračunska jedinica takođe olakšava upoređivanje vrednosti i donošenje odluka. Zamislite da pokušavate da kupite par Nike Air Jordan patika kada ih jedan prodavac prodaje za jedno pile, a drugi za 50 klipova kukuruza.

Šta je zaliha vrednosti?

Do sada smo gledali samo primere transakcija koje se odvijaju u određenom trenutku u vremenu.

Međutim, ljudi vrše transakcije tokom vremena – oni štede novac i troše ga kasnije. Da bi odredjeno dobro moglo da funkcioniše pravilno kao monetarno dobro, ono treba da održi vrednost tokom vremena.

Novac koji vremenom dobro drži vrednost daje njegovom imaocu više izbora kada će taj novac da potroši.

To znači da prodajnost dobra uključuje njegovu sposobnost da održi vrednost tokom vremena.

Šta jedno dobro čini boljom zalihom vrednosti od drugog dobra?

Trajnost

Definicija: Sposobnost dobra da vremenom zadrži svoj oblik.

Loš Primer: Jagode čine lošu zalihu vrednosti jer se lako oštete i brzo trunu.

Odluka je daleko lakša ako jedan prodavac naplaćuje 150 USD, a drugi 200 USD – odmah je očigledno koja je bolja ponuda jer su vrednosti izražene u istoj jedinici.

Nije sjajna forma novca.

Teške za Proizvodnju

Definicija: Teškoće koje ljudi imaju u proizvodnji veće količine dobra.

Loš Primer: Papirne novčanice predstavljaju lošu zalihu vrednosti jer banke i vlade mogu jeftino da ih naprave.

Sa zlatom je suprotno – u ponudi se nalazi ograničena količina uprkos velikoj potražnji za njim, jednostavno zato što ga je vrlo teško iskopati iz zemlje. Ova ograničena ponuda osigurava da svaka jedinica zlata održi vrednost tokom vremena.

Traženje zlata je spora i teška aktivnost. Obično se ne pronađe puno!

Kako dobra postaju zalihe vrednosti?

Dobro postaje zaliha vrednosti ako se vremenom pokaže trajnim i teškim za proizvodnju.

Samo će vreme pokazati da li je neko dobro zaista trajno i da li ga je teško proizvesti. Zbog toga neki oblici novca su postojali vekovima pre nego što je neko otkrio način da ih proizvede više, i na kraju se to dobro više nije koristilo kao novac.

Ovo je priča o školjkama, Rai kamenju i mnogim drugim oblicima novca tokom istorije.

Zlato je primer dobra koje je hiljadama godina služilo kao dobra zaliha vrednosti. Zlato se ne razgrađuje tokom vremena i još uvek ga je teško proizvesti. Hiljadama godina alhemičari su bezuspešno pokušavali da sintetišu zlato iz jeftinih materijala.

Čak i sa današnjim naprednim rudarskim tehnikama, svake godine svi svetski rudnici zlata zajedno mogu da proizvedu samo 2% od ukupne ponude zlata u prometu.

Teškoće u proizvodnji zlata daju izuzetno visok odnos “zaliha i protoka”: zaliha je broj postojećih jedinica, a protok su nove jedinice stvorene tokom određenog vremenskog perioda. Svake godine se stvori vrlo malo novih jedinica zlata, iako je potražnja za zlatom obično vrlo velika.

Kombinujući ovo sa deljivošću, ujednačenošću i prenosivošću zlata, nije ni čudo što je zlato čovečanstvu služilo kao monetarno dobro tokom poslednjih 5.000 godina. Pošto je zlato teško proizvesti, možemo ga nazvati teškim novcem (hard money).

Kao rezultat toga, svoju vrednost je u velikoj meri zadržao kroz milenijume. Cena većine dobara i usluga u pogledu zlata zapravo se vremenom smanjivala kao rezultat tehnoloških inovacija, koje sve proizvode čine jeftinijim.

Uzmimo na primer cene hrane prema praćenju Kancelarije za hranu i poljoprivredu UN-a: sa obzirom na skokove u poljoprivrednoj tehnologiji tokom poslednjih 60 godina, cene hrane drastično su pale kada se procenjuju u zlatu. To čak i važi uprkos činjenici da obični ljudi retko koriste zlato za kupovinu stvari.

Cene hrane su padale u pogledu zlata tokom proteklih 60 godina, i mnogo pre toga (FAO Indeks Cena Hrane u Zlatu)

Zaliha vrednosti omogućava ljudima da uštede novac kako bi mogli da ga ulažu u pokretanje preduzeća i obrazovanje, povećavajući produktivnost društva.

Monetarna dobra koja dobro čuvaju vrednost takođe podstiču dugoročniji pogled na život, ili kratke vremenske preference. Pojedinac može da radi 10 godina, uštedi odredjeno monetarno dobro koje je dobra zaliha vrednosti, i nema potrebe da se plaši da će njegova ušteđevina biti izbrisana krahom tržišta ili povećanjem ponude tog dobra.

Zašto su važne funkcije novca?

Kada neki oblik novca izgubi bilo koju od svojih važnih funkcija kao što su sredstvo razmene, obračunska jedinica i zaliha vrednosti, celokupna ekonomija i društvo mogu da se rastrgnu.

Tokom istorije često vidimo grupe ljudi koje eksploatišu druge iskorišćavajući nesporazume o novcu i važnosti njegovih funkcija.

Sledeće, proći ću kroz istoriju novca, prvo hipotetički da bih ilustrovao poentu, a zatim ću preći na stvarne istorijske primere. Kroz ove primere videćemo štetne efekte na društva u slučajevima kada se izgubi samo jedna od tih ključnih funkcija novca.

Novac Gubi Funkciju: Alhemičar iz Njutonije

Kroz istoriju, mnoga dobra su dolazila i odlazila kao oblici novca. Na žalost, kada se neki oblik novca ukine, ponekad postoji grupa ljudi koja eksploatiše drugi oblik manipulišući tim novcem.

Hajde da pogledamo hipotetičko selo zvano Njutonija da bismo razumeli kako dolazi do ove eksploatacije.

Zelene perle postaju Novac

Tokom stotina godina ribolova u obližnjoj reci, stanovnici Njutonije sakupljali su zelene perle iz vode. Zrnca su mala, lagana, izdržljiva, jednolična i retko se pojavljuju u reci. Ljudi prvo priželjkuju perle zbog svoje lepote. Na kraju, seljani shvataju da svi drugi žele perle – one se vrlo lako mogu prodati. Zrnca uskoro postaju sredstvo razmene i obračunska jedinica u selu: pile je 5 zrna, vreća jabuka 2 zrna, krava 80 zrna.

Ukupna ponuda perli je prilično konstantna i cene se vremenom ne menjaju mnogo. Seoski starešina je uveren da može da se opustiti u poslednjim danima živeći od svoje velike zalihe perli.

Alhemičar stvara više perli

Seoski alhemičar je poželeo da bude bogat čovek, ali nije voleo da vredno radi na tome. Umesto da traži perle u reci ili da prodaje vrednu robu drugim seljanima, on sedeo je u svojoj laboratoriji. Na kraju je otkrio kako da lako stvori stotine perli sa malo peska i vatre.

Seljani koji su tragali za perlama u reci bili su srećni ako bi svaki dan pronašli po 1 zrno. Alhemičar je mogao da proizvede stotine uz malo napora.

Alhemičar troši svoje perle

Budući da je bio prilično zao, alhemičar nije svoj metod pravljenja zrna delio ni sa kim drugim. Stvorio je sebi još više perli i počeo da ih troši za dobra na tržištu u Njutoniji. Tokom sledećih meseci, alhemičar je kupio farmu pilića, nekoliko krava, finu svilu, posteljine i ogromno imanje. On je imao priliku da kupi ova dobra po normalnim cenama na tržištu.

Alhemičarevo trošenje ostavljalo je seljanima mnogo perli, ali malo njihove vredne robe.

Svi seljani su se osećali bogatima – imali su tone perli! Međutim, polako su primetili da i svi ostali takodje imaju tone.

Cene počinju da rastu

Uzgajivač pilića primetio je da sva roba koju je trebalo da kupi na pijaci poskupela. Džak jabuka sada se prodaje za 100 perli – 50 puta više od njihove cene pre nekoliko meseci!

Iako je sada imao hiljade perli, uskoro bi mogao da ostane bez njih zbog ovih cena. Pitao se – da li zaista može sebi da priušti da prodaje svoje piliće za samo 5 perli po komadu? Morao je i on da podigne svoje cene.

Jednostavno rečeno, kao rezultat alhemičarevog trošenja njegovih novostvorenih perli, bilo je previše perli koje su jurile premalo dobara – pa su cene porasle.

Kupci robe bili su spremni da potroše više perli da bi kupili potrebna dobra. Prodavci robe su trebali da naplate više da bi bili sigurni da su zaradili dovoljno da kupe potrebna dobra za sebe.

Budući da su cene svih dobara porasle, možemo reći da se vrednost svake perle smanjila.

Nejednakost bogatstva raste

Seoski starešina, koji je vredno radio da sačuva hiljade perli, sada se našao osiromašenim i gladnim. U međuvremenu, alhemičar je udobno sedeo na svom velikom imanju sa kravama, pilićima i slugama koji su se brinuli za svaki njegov hir.

Alhemičar je efikasno ukrao bogatstvo celog sela, tako što je jeftino proizvodio perle i koristio ih za kupovinu vredne robe.

Ono što je najvažnije, kupio je robu pre nego što je tržište shvatilo da je više perli u opticaju i da ima manje robe, što je dovelo do rasta cena. Ova dodatna proizvodnja perli nije dodala korisnu robu ili usluge selu. Kroz istoriju, mnoga dobra su dolazila i odlazila kao oblici novca. Na žalost, kada se neki oblik novca ukine, ponekad postoji grupa ljudi koja eksploatiše drugi oblik manipulišući tim novcem.

Hajde da pogledamo hipotetičko selo zvano Njutonija da bismo razumeli kako dolazi do ove eksploatacije.

Zelene perle postaju Novac

Tokom stotina godina ribolova u obližnjoj reci, stanovnici Njutonije sakupljali su zelene perle iz vode. Zrnca su mala, lagana, izdržljiva, jednolična i retko se pojavljuju u reci. Ljudi prvo priželjkuju perle zbog svoje lepote. Na kraju, seljani shvataju da svi drugi žele perle – one se vrlo lako mogu prodati. Zrnca uskoro postaju sredstvo razmene i obračunska jedinica u selu: pile je 5 zrna, vreća jabuka 2 zrna, krava 80 zrna.

Ukupna ponuda perli je prilično konstantna i cene se vremenom ne menjaju mnogo. Seoski starešina je uveren da može da se opustiti u poslednjim danima živeći od svoje velike zalihe perli.

Alhemičar stvara više perli

Seoski alhemičar je poželeo da bude bogat čovek, ali nije voleo da vredno radi na tome. Umesto da traži perle u reci ili da prodaje vrednu robu drugim seljanima, on sedeo je u svojoj laboratoriji. Na kraju je otkrio kako da lako stvori stotine perli sa malo peska i vatre.

Seljani koji su tragali za perlama u reci bili su srećni ako bi svaki dan pronašli po 1 zrno. Alhemičar je mogao da proizvede stotine uz malo napora.

Alhemičar troši svoje perle

Budući da je bio prilično zao, alhemičar nije svoj metod pravljenja zrna delio ni sa kim drugim. Stvorio je sebi još više perli i počeo da ih troši za dobra na tržištu u Njutoniji. Tokom sledećih meseci, alhemičar je kupio farmu pilića, nekoliko krava, finu svilu, posteljine i ogromno imanje. On je imao priliku da kupi ova dobra po normalnim cenama na tržištu.

Alhemičarevo trošenje ostavljalo je seljanima mnogo perli, ali malo njihove vredne robe.

Svi seljani su se osećali bogatima – imali su tone perli! Međutim, polako su primetili da i svi ostali takodje imaju tone.

Cene počinju da rastu

Uzgajivač pilića primetio je da sva roba koju je trebalo da kupi na pijaci poskupela. Džak jabuka sada se prodaje za 100 perli – 50 puta više od njihove cene pre nekoliko meseci!

Iako je sada imao hiljade perli, uskoro bi mogao da ostane bez njih zbog ovih cena. Pitao se – da li zaista može sebi da priušti da prodaje svoje piliće za samo 5 perli po komadu? Morao je i on da podigne svoje cene.

Jednostavno rečeno, kao rezultat alhemičarevog trošenja njegovih novostvorenih perli, bilo je previše perli koje su jurile premalo dobara – pa su cene porasle.

Kupci robe bili su spremni da potroše više perli da bi kupili potrebna dobra. Prodavci robe su trebali da naplate više da bi bili sigurni da su zaradili dovoljno da kupe potrebna dobra za sebe.

Budući da su cene svih dobara porasle, možemo reći da se vrednost svake perle smanjila.

Nejednakost bogatstva raste

Seoski starešina, koji je vredno radio da sačuva hiljade perli, sada se našao osiromašenim i gladnim. U međuvremenu, alhemičar je udobno sedeo na svom velikom imanju sa kravama, pilićima i slugama koji su se brinuli za svaki njegov hir.

Alhemičar je efikasno ukrao bogatstvo celog sela, tako što je jeftino proizvodio perle i koristio ih za kupovinu vredne robe.

Ono što je najvažnije, kupio je robu pre nego što je tržište shvatilo da je više perli u opticaju i da ima manje robe, što je dovelo do rasta cena. Ova dodatna proizvodnja perli nije dodala korisnu robu ili usluge selu.

Eksploatacija pomoću Novca: Agri Perle

Nažalost, priča o alhemičaru iz Njutonije nije u potpunosti hipotetička. Ovaj prenos bogatstva kroz stvaranje novca ima istorijske i moderne presedane.

Na primer, afrička plemena su nekada koristila staklene perle, poznate kao “agri perle”, kao sredstvo razmene. U to vreme plemenskim ljudima je bilo veoma teško da prave staklene perle, i one su predstavljale težak novac unutar njihovog plemenskog društva.

Niko nije mogao jeftino da proizvede perle i koristiti ih za kupovinu skupe, vredne robe poput kuća, hrane i odeće.

Eksploatacija pomoću Novca: Agri Perle

Nažalost, priča o alhemičaru iz Njutonije nije u potpunosti hipotetička. Ovaj prenos bogatstva kroz stvaranje novca ima istorijske i moderne presedane.

Na primer, afrička plemena su nekada koristila staklene perle, poznate kao “agri perle”, kao sredstvo razmene. U to vreme plemenskim ljudima je bilo veoma teško da prave staklene perle, i one su predstavljale težak novac unutar njihovog plemenskog društva.

Niko nije mogao jeftino da proizvede perle i koristiti ih za kupovinu skupe, vredne robe poput kuća, hrane i odeće.

Perle proizvedene u Gani

Sve se promenilo kada su stigli Evropljani, i primetili upotrebu staklenih perli kao novca.

U to vreme, Evropljani su mogli jeftino da stvaraju staklo u velikim količinama. Kao rezultat toga, Evropljani su počeli tajno da uvoze perle i koriste ih za kupovinu dobara, usluga i robova od Afrikanaca.

Peć za izradu stakla u Muranu, Italija. Ovo ostrvo izvan Venecije proizvodi staklo od 15. veka.

Vremenom se iz Afrike izvlačila vredna roba i ljudi, dok je plemenima ostajalo mnogo perli i malo robe.

Perle su izgubile veći deo vrednosti zbog inflacije uzrokovane snabdevanjem od strane Evropljana.

Rezultat je bio osiromašenje afričkih plemena i bogaćenje Evropljana, kako to ovde objašnjava monetarni istoričar Bezant Denier.

Dragocena roba je kupljena jeftino proizvedenim monetarnim dobrom.

Profitiranje na proizvodnji novca: Emisiona dobit

Ova priča ilustruje kako se bogatstvo prenosi kada jedna grupa može jeftino da proizvodi monetarno dobro.

Razlika između troškova proizvodnje monetarnog dobra i vrednosti tog monetarnog dobra poznata je kao emisiona dobit, eng. seignorage.

Kada je monetarno dobro mnogo vrednije od troškova proizvodnje, ljudi će proizvesti više od monetarnog dobra da bi uhvatili profit od emisione dobiti.

Na kraju će ova povećana ponuda dovesti do pada vrednosti monetarnog dobra. To je zbog zakona ponude i potražnje: kada se ponuda povećava, cena (poznata i kao vrednost) dobra opada.

Novac Gubi Funkciju 2. Deo: Kejnslandski Bankar

U priči o Njutoniji, alhemičar je otkrio način da se od malo peska jeftino stvori više zelenih perli. To se u stvarnosti odigralo kroz trgovinu između Evropljana i Afrikanaca, pričom o agri perlama. Međutim, ove priče su pomalo zastarele – mi više ne trgujemo robom za perle.

Da bismo nas doveli do modernog doba, hajde da promenimo neka imena u našoj priči:

1. Selo Njutonija postaje država koja se zove Kejnsland
2. Alhemičar postaje bankar
3. Seoski starešina postaje penzioner
4. Zelene perle postaju zlato, koje niko ne može jeftinije da stvori – čak ni bankar.

Bankar Menja Papirne Novčanice za Zlato

Kao i u stvarnosti, bankar u ovoj priči nema formulu ili trik da stvori više zlata. Međutim, bankar bezbedno čuva zlato u vlasništvu svakog građanina Kejnslanda. Bankar daje svakom građaninu po jednu potvrdu za svaku uncu zlata koje ima u svom trezoru.

Te potvrde se mogu iskoristiti u bilo koje vreme za stvarno zlato. Papirne potvrde ili novčanice su mnogo pogodnije za plaćanje nego nošenje zlata kroz supermarket.

Građani su srećni – oni imaju prikladno sredstvo plaćanja u vidu bankarevih novčanica, i znaju da niko ne može da ukrade njihovo bogatstvo falsifikujući više zlata.

Građani na kraju počinju da plaćaju u potpunosti papirnim novčanicama, ne trudeći se nikad da zamene svoje novčanice za zlato. Na kraju, novčanice postaju “dobre kao i zlato” – svaka predstavlja fiksnu količinu zlata u bankarevom trezoru.

Ukupno kruži 1.000.000 novčanica, od kojih je svaka otkupljiva za jednu uncu zlata. 1.000.000 unci zlata sedi u bankarevom trezoru. Svaka novčanica je u potpunosti podržana u zlatu.

Starešina koji je sačuvao sve svoje perle u priči o Njutoniji sada je penzioner u Kejnslandu, koji svoje zlato drži u banci i planira da ugodno živi od novčanica koje je dobio zauzvrat.

Hajde da u ovu priču dodamo i novi lik: premijera Kejnslanda. Premijer naplaćuje porez od građana i koristi ga za plaćanje javnih usluga poput policije i vojske. Premijer takođe drži vladino zlato kod bankara.

Bankar Menja Papirne Novčanice za Dug

Premijer želi da osigura da nacionalno zlato ostane na sigurnom, pa banku štiti policijom. Bankar i premijer se zbog toga zbližavaju, pa premijer traži uslugu. Traži od bankara da kreira 200.000 novčanica za premijera, uz obećanje da će mu premijer vratiti za pet godina. Premijeru su novčanice potrebne za finansiranje rata. Građani Kejnslanda borili su se protiv većih poreza zbog finansiranja rata, pa je morao da se obrati bankaru.

Bankar se slaže da izradi novčanice, ali pod jednim uslovom: bankar uzima deo od 10.000 novčanica za sebe. Premijer prihvata posao kojim bankar ’kupuje državni dug’. Sada je u opticaju 1.200.000 novčanica, potpomognutih kombinacijom 1.000.000 unci zlata i ugovorom o dugu sa vladom za 200.000 novčanica.

Premijer troši svoje nove novčanice na bombe kupujući ih od dobavljača iz domaće vojne industrije, a bankar sebi kupuje veliki luksuzni stan.

Dobavljač iz vojne industrije koristi sve nove novčanice koje je dobio od premijera da kupi amonijum nitrat (đubrivo koje se koristi u bombama) za proizvodnju bombi. Sve njegove kupovine povećavaju cenu đubriva za uzgajivače pšenice u Kejnslandu, pa oni podižu cenu pšenice.

Kao uzrok toga, pekar koji kupuje pšenicu treba da podigne cenu svog hleba da bi ostao u poslu. Na taj način cene u Kejnslandu počinju da rastu, baš kao što su to činile u Njutoniji kada su nove perle ušle u opticaj.

Papirne Novčanice Više Ne Predstavljaju Zlato

Penzioner nailazi na finansijski časopis u kojem se pominje premijerov dogovor da se zaduži za finansiranje rata. Obzirom da je mudar, on zna da bombe loše vraćaju ulaganje i sumnja da će premijer ikada da vrati svoj dug.

Ako on ‘podmiri’ svoj dug, to bi ostavilo 1.200.000 novčanica u opticaju sa samo 1.000.000 unci zlata da bi ih podržalo, obezvređujući njegovu ušteđevinu. Već oseća stisak u džepu zbog porasta cena, i on odlučuje da se uputi u lokalnu banku i preda svoje novčanice i zameni ih za zlato, koje niko ne može da napravi u većoj količini.

Kada penzioner stigne u banku, on zatiče i mnoge druge okupljene oko banke. Svi oni se nadaju da će uzeti zlato koje predstavljaju njihove novčanice. Građani Kejnslanda sa pravom se plaše da njihove novčanice gube na vrednosti – oni to već osećaju zbog porasta cena.

Vrata su zaključana, sa obaveštenjem bankara na njima:

Po nalogu premijera, onom koji se plaši za stabilnost ove bankarske institucije, ova banka više neće podržavati konvertibilnost papirnih novčanica u zlato. Hvala vam!

Gomila se razilazi, ostavljena sa jednim izborom: da zadrže svoje novčanice, koje sada vrede manje od 1 unce zlata. Građani sa dovoljno finansijske stabilnosti odlučuju da ulože svoje novčanice u kupovinu akcija banke i kompanija vojne industrije, koje dobro posluju jer mogu da kupuju stvari pre nego što se povećaju tržišne cene.

Mnogi ljudi nisu u mogućnosti da investiraju – oni moraju da gledaju kako njihove zarade stagniraju i kako njihova ušteđevina polako ali sigurno gubi vrednost.

Penzioner, koji se nadao da će živeti od novčanica koje je zaradio tokom svojih 40 radnih godina, sada 40 sati nedeljno provodi iza kase u lokalnoj prodavnici, pitajući se gde je sve pošlo po zlu.

Dug Nikada Nije Otplaćen

Prošlo je nekoliko godina, a premijerov dug prema banci dolazi na naplatu. Budući da je potrošio svih 200.000 novčanica na bombe, koje nemaju baš dobar povraćaj ulaganja, on nema novčanice koje može da vrati banci. Plus, premijer želi da kupi još bombi za svoj rat.

Bankar uverava premijera da je sve u redu. Bankar će napraviti novi ugovor o dugu za 600.000 novčanica, koji bi trebao da stigne na naplatu u narednih 5 godina. Premijer može da iskoristi 200.000 od tih novih 600.000 novčanica da vrati svoj prvobitni dug prema banci, zadrži još 300.000 da kupi još bombi i da 100.000 bankaru da bi mu platio njegove usluge.

To nastavlja da se dešava – svaki put kada dug dospeva na naplatu, bankar stvara više novčanica za vraćanje starijih dugova i daje premijeru još više novca za trošenje. Ovaj ciklus se nastavlja.

Šta se dešava u Kejnslandu?

• Oni koji prvi dobiju nove novčanice, gledaju kako se njihovo bogatstvo povećava
• To uključuje bankara, premijera, vladu i sve one koji mogu da pristupe mogućnostima za investiranje u preduzeća koja prva dobiju nove novčanice (finansijske, vojne itd.).
• Cene roba rastu
• Cene se ne povećavaju ravnomerno – one se povećavaju gde god nove novčanice prvo uđu u ekonomiju i od tog trenutka imaju efekat talasa na tržišta. U našem primeru prvo raste cena amonijum nitrata, zatim cena pšenice, pa cena hleba. A tek na kraju zarade običnih ljudi.
• Štednja i životni standard opšte populacije se smanjuju
• Najviše pate oni koji žive od plate do plate i ne mogu da ulažu. Čak i oni koji su u mogućnosti da investiraju podložni su hirovima tržišta. Mnogi su prisiljeni da prodaju svoje investicije po niskim cenama tokom pada tržišta samo da bi platili svoje dnevne potrebe.
• Razlika u prihodima i bogatstvu između bogatih i siromašnih se povećava
• Bogatstvo opšte populacije se smanjuje, dok se bogatstvo onih koji su blizu mesta gde se troše nove novčanice povećava. Rezultat je disparitet koji se vremenom samo proširuje.

Da li nas novac danas eksploatiše?

Priča o Njutoniji i stvarna priča o agri perlama u Africi deluju pomalo zastarelo. Priča o Kejnslandu, međutim, deluje neobično poznato. U našem svetu cene robe uvek rastu, i vidimo rekordne nivoe nejednakosti u bogatstvu.

U poslednjem odeljku ovog našeg članka Šta je novac, proći ću kroz nastanak bankarstva i korake koji su bili potrebni da se dođe do današnjeg sistema, gde banke i vlade sarađuju u kontroli ekonomije i samog novca.

Šta su banke, i odakle su one došle?

Pojava bankarstva verovatno se dogodila da bi olakšala poljoprivrednu trgovinu i da bi povećala pogodnosti. Iako su se mnoga društva na kraju konvergirala ka upotrebi zlata i srebra kao novca, ovi metali su bili teški i opasni za nošenje kao tovar. Međutim, u mnogim slučajevima ih nije ni trebalo prevoziti. Uzmite ovaj primer:

Grad treba da plati poljoprivrednicima na selu za žito, a poljoprivrednici gradskoj vojsci za zaštitu od varvara. U ovom dogovoru zlato se kreće u oba smera: prema poljoprivrednicima u selu kako bi im se platilo žito, i nazad u grad da bi se platila vojska. Da bi olakšali ove transakcije, preduzetnici su stvorili koncept banke. Banka je zlato čuvala u sigurnom trezoru i izdavala novčanice od papira. Svaka priznanica je predstavljala potvrdu da njen imaoc poseduje određenu količinu zlata u banci. Imaoc novčanice je u svako doba mogao da uzme svoje zlato nazad vraćanjem te novčanice banci.

Korisnici banke mogli su lakše da trguju sa novčanicama od papira, i onaj koji poseduje novčanice mogao je da preuzme njihovo fizičko zlato u bilo kom trenutku. To je te novčanice učinilo “dobrim kao i zlato”.

Banke su izdržavale svoje poslovanje naplaćujući od kupaca naknadu za skladištenje zlata ili pozajmljivanjem dela zlata i zaračunavanjem kamata na njega. Trgovina na ovaj način je mogla da se odvija sa laganim novčanicama od papira umesto sa teškim vrećama zlatnika.

Ovakva praksa sa transakcijama, korišćenjem papirne valute potpomognute monetarnim dobrima, verovatno je započela u Kini u 7. veku.

Na kraju se proširila Evropom 1600-ih, a svoj zalet dobila je u Holandiji sa bankama poput Amsterdamske Wisselbanke. Novčanice Wisselbank-e često su vredele više od zlata koje ih je podržavalo, zbog dodane vrednosti njihovih pogodnosti.

Uspon nacionalnih ‘centralnih banaka’

Tokom vekova, zlato je počelo da se sakuplja u trezorima banaka, jer su ljudi više voleli pogodnosti transakcija sa novčanicama.

Na kraju, nacionalne banke u vlasništvu vlada preuzele su ulogu čuvanja zlata od privatnih banaka koje su započeli preduzetnici.

Nacionalne papirne valute potpomognute zlatnim rezervama u nacionalnim bankama zamenile su novčanice iz privatnih banaka. Sve nacionalne valute bile su jednostavno potvrde za zlato koje se nalazilo u trezoru nacionalne banke.

Ovaj sistem je poznat kao zlatni standard – sve valute su jednostavno predstavljale različite težine zlata.

U gornjem levom uglu novčanice možete videti da piše da je novčanica “zamenljiva za zlato”. Savremeni dolari nemaju ovaj natpis, ali inače izgledaju vrlo slično. Izvor

Zlatni sistem je postojao veći deo vremena, sve do Prvog svetskog rata. Vladama je bilo teško da prikupe novac za ovaj rat putem poreza, pa su morale da budu kreativne.

Kada vlade troše više nego što zarađuju na porezima, to se naziva deficitna potrošnja.

Kako vlade mogu ovo da urade? Vlade to rade tako što pozajmljuju novac prodavajući svoj dug.

Tokom Prvog svetskog rata, vlade su građanima i preduzećima prodavale vrstu duga koja se naziva ratna obveznica. Kada građanin kupi ratnu obveznicu, on preda svoj novac vladi i dobije papir u kojem je stajalo vladino obećanje da će vlasniku obveznice vratiti novac, plus kamate, za nekoliko godina.

Plakat koji obaveštava građane, tražeći od njih da kupe ratne obveznice – što predstavlja zajam vladi. Izvor

Centralne banke ‘monetizuju’ državni dug

Međutim, građani i preduzeća nisu bili voljni da kupe dovoljno ratnih obveznica za finansiranje Prvog svetskog rata.

Vlade se nisu predale – pa su zatražile od svojih nacionalnih ‘centralnih banaka’ da one kupe ove obveznice. Centralne banke su otkupile obveznice, ali ih nisu platile valutom potpomognutom postojećim zlatnim rezervama, kao što su to činili građani i banke prilikom kupovine obveznica.

Centralne banke su umesto toga davale vladi novu, sveže štampanu papirnu valutu potpomognutu samo obveznicom. Ovu valutu podržalo je samo obećanje da će im vlada vratiti dugove. Ovo je poznato kao monetizacija duga.

Budući da su ratne obveznice i valuta samo komadi papira, one su lake i jeftine za proizvodnju i mogu se napraviti u ogromnim količinama. Ono što ograničava proizvodnju i jednog i drugog je poverenje.

Ima smisla da se neko rastane od svog teško stečenog novca da kupi državnu obveznicu, samo ako veruje da će vlada da vrati svoj dug, plus kamate. Centralna banka je “krajnji kupac”, što znači da će ona da kupi državne obveznice kada to niko drugi neće da uradi.

Zapamtite, centralnu banku gotovo da ništa ne košta da kupi državne obveznice, jer oni sami štampaju valutu da bi ih kupili.

Zamislite da pridjete najskupljem automobilu u autosalonu – koji košta 100.000 USD. Mislite da je automobil lep, ali taj novac biste radije potrošili na lepši stan – tako da ste spremni da platite samo 40.000 USD za taj auto.

Sada, hajde da zamislimo da imate štampač za novac i da vas košta samo 50 USD za mastilo i papir da bi ištampali 1.000.000 USD. Vi biste odmah kupili auto, čak i ako biste morali da se cenkate sa drugim čovekom, i da ga na kraju platite 150.000 USD!

Ista stvar se dešava kada centralna banka kupuje obveznice (dugove) od vlade. Centralna banka može da stvori valutu toliko jeftino, da su spremni da plate i više nego što bi drugi platili ove obveznice i nastaviće da ih kupuju čak i kada niko drugi ne bude želeo.

Monetizacija duga uzrokuje inflaciju

Kada centralne banke monetizuju državni dug, funkcija novca kao zalihe vrednosti počinje da se nagriza. Vlada troši novi novac koji je dobila od svoje centralne banke na ratnu robu, obroke i još mnogo toga.

Cene roba rastu od ove novoštampane valute koja kruži kroz ekonomiju. Kada se cene povećavaju, to znači da se vrednost svake jedinice valute smanjuje. Svi koji drže valutu sada imaju manje vrednosti. Danas to nazivamo sporim gubitkom funkcije zalihe vrednosti u novčanoj inflaciji.

Za Nemačku nakon Prvog svetskog rata monetizacija duga izazvala je totalni slom Nemačke ekonomije i stvorila uslove za rast fašizma.

Kao deo sporazuma o prekidu vatre koji je okončao Prvi svetski rat, Nemačka je pobednicima morala da plati ogroman novac. Nemačkoj vladi je bio preko potreban novac, pa su prodale obveznice (dug) Rajhsbanci, nemačkoj centralnoj banci.

Ovaj postupak doveo je do toga da je vlada štampala toliko maraka (tadašnja nemačka valuta) da je tempo inflacije u Nemačkoj ubrzan u hiperinflaciju početkom 1920-ih. Cena vekne hleba za samo 4 godine popela se sa 1,2 marke na 428 biliona maraka.

Tokom i posle Prvog svetskog rata, SAD, Britanija, Francuska i mnoge druge vlade pratile su Nemačku u štampanju valute potpomognute državnim dugom.

To je dovelo do toga da su građani želeli da svoju papirnu valutu zamene za zlato, baš kao i penzioner iz priče o Kejnslandu.

Međutim, mnoge vlade su suspendovale konvertibilnost svojih valuta u zlato. Ovim potezom vlade su primorale svoje građane da drže nacionalnu papirnu valutu i gledaju kako se njihova ušteda smanjuje u vrednosti.

Da bi mogle da nastave da štampaju novac i da bi ga trošile na nepopularne programe za koje nisu mogle da skupljaju poreze za finansiranje – poput ratova.

Bretton Woods: Novi monetarni sistem

Nakon razaranja koja su donela dva svetska rata, vlade su uspostavile novi globalni monetarni sistem prema Bretton Woods-ovom sporazumu iz 1944. godine.

Prema ovom sporazumu, valuta svake države konvertovala se po fiksnom kursu sa američkim dolarom. Američki dolar je zauzvrat predstavljao zlato po stopi od 35 USD za jednu trojsku uncu zlata*.

Sve globalne valute su stoga još uvek bile jednostavna reprezentacija zlata, putem američkih dolara kao posrednika. Redovni građani više nisu mogli da otkupljuju svoje valute za zlato iz Sjedinjenih Država. Međutim, strane centralne banke mogle bi da dođu u Sjedinjene Države da bi zamenile dolare za zlato po stopi od 35 USD za jednu uncu zlata.

Međutim, vlada Sjedinjenih Država nije uvek držala dovoljno zlata da podrži sve dolare u opticaju. Američka vlada nastavila je da finansira proširene socijalne i vojne programe prodajom državnog duga svojoj centralnoj banci, Federalnim rezervama, koja je povećala ponudu dolara bez povećanja ponude zlata koja podupire te dolare.

*Trojna unca je standardna mera čistog zlata i ima malo veću težinu od normalne unce.

Propast Bretton Woods-a

Tokom 1970-ih, sve veći troškovi rata u Vijetnamu i stranih vlada koje su otkupljivale svoje dolare za zlato, stvorili su pritisak na Trezor Sjedinjenih Država.

Ponuda dolara je porasla, dok je zlato u posedu Sjedinjenih Država opalo. Od 1950. pa do početka 1970-ih, rezerve zlata koje je držala vlada Sjedinjenih Država smanjile su se za više od 50%, sa 20 metričkih tona na samo 8 metričkih tona.

Godine 1970. država je imala zlata u vrednosti od samo 12 biliona dolara po zvaničnom kursu od 35 dolara za trojsku uncu zlata. Tokom ovog istog vremenskog perioda, ukupna ponuda američkih dolara otišla je sa oko 32 biliona USD na skoro 70 biliona USD.

Zvanične rezerve zlata u SAD-u su naglo padale od 1950. do 1970. godine, dok su se dolari u opticaju povećavali. Izvor: Wikipedia, DollarDaze.org

Američka vlada nije bila u stanju da potkrepi dolare zlatom od 35 dolara po trojnoj unci, što dovelo do rizika za čitav globalni monetarni sistem.

Početkom sedamdesetih godina, trojna unca zlata trebala je da vredi 200 USD da bi u potpunosti podržala sve američke dolare u opticaju. Rečeno na drugi način, Sjedinjene Države su pokušavale da kažu svetu da jedan dolar vredi 1/35 trojne unce zlata, ali u stvarnosti dolar je vredeo samo 1/200 trojne unce.

Kad su strane vlade trebale da pribave dolare za međunarodnu trgovinu i rezerve, bile su opelješene. Francuska vlada je to shvatila šezdesetih godina prošlog veka i počela je da prodaje svoje američke dolare za zlato po zvaničnom kursu od 35 dolara za trojsku uncu zlata.

Zemlje su počinjale da se bude iz šeme američke vlade. SAD su krale bogatstvo putem emisione dobiti, prodajući dolare za 1/35 trojne unce zlata, kada su vredeli samo 1/200 trojske unce.

Nixonov Šok ulazi u ’tradicionalni’ novac

Da bi kuća od karata mogla da ostane na mestu, predsednik Nixon je 1971. najavio da će američka vlada privremeno da obustavi konvertibilnost dolara u zlato.

Strane vlade više nisu mogle da polažu pravo na zlato svojim papirnim dolarima, a dolar više nije bio “poduprt” zlatom. Nixon je tvrdio da će ovo stabilizovati dolar.

50 godina kasnije, kristalno je jasno da je ovo samo pomoglo dolaru da izgubi vrednost i da ovaj “privremeni” program još uvek traje.

Pre 1971. godine, sve globalne valute bile su vezane za američki dolar putem Bretton Woods-ovog sporazuma. Kada je Nixon promenio američki dolar iz dolara podržanog u zlatu u dolar podržan dugom, ovim je promenio i svaku drugu valutu na Zemlji.

Sam je učinio da se celokupna svetska ekonomija zasniva na dugovima. Valute više nisu predstavljale zlato, već su predstavljale vrednost državnog duga.

Zlatni Standard se nikada nije vratio

Konvertibilnost američkih dolara u zlato – zlatni standard – nikada se nije vratio.

Od 1971. godine, čitav globalni monetarni sistem pokreće se tradicionalnim “fiat” valutama: poverenjem u vladine institucije da održavaju valutni sistem.

Većina valuta podržana je kombinacijom duga njihove vlade i drugih tradicionalnih valuta poput dolara i evra. Papirne valute više nisu podržane zlatom, imovinom koja je više od 5000 godina služila kao težak novac.

Danas vas vlade prisiljavaju da plaćate porez u njihovoj valuti i manipulišu saznanjima oko novca kako bi osigurale da potražnja za njihovom valutom ostane velika.

To im omogućava da neprestano štampaju više valuta, da bi je potrošili na vladine projekte, uzrokujući inflaciju cena koja jede i smanjuje bogatstvo i plate.

Američka vlada sada prodaje državne obveznice (dugove), poznate kao obveznice Trezora SAD, eng. US Treasuries, komercijalnim bankama u zamenu za američke dolare.

Vlada koristi te dolare za finansiranje svog budžetskog deficita. Komercijalne banke prodaju mnoge obveznice Trezora SAD, koje su kupile, američkoj centralnoj banci, Federalnim Rezervama.

Federalne rezerve plaćaju komercijalnim bankama sveže štampanim novcem “pomoću računara i upisivanjem količine na račun”, kako je rekao bivši predsednik Fed-a Ben Bernanke.

Ove komercijalne banke često zarađuju samo kupujući obveznice Trezora SAD od države i prodajući ih centralnoj banci. Kupujte nisko, prodajte visoko.

Centralne banke ovaj proces kupovine državnog duga – odnosno pozajmljivanja novca državi – nazivaju operacijama otvorenog tržišta.

Kada centralna banka odjednom kupi velike iznose duga, oni to nazivaju kvantitativnim ublažavanjem. Centralne banke javno najavljuju kupovinu državnog duga, ali vrlo malo ljudi razume šta to zapravo znači.

Euro, jen i svaka druga valuta koja se danas koristi funkcionišu slično kao američki dolar.

Da li će SAD ikada vratiti svoj nacionalni dug? Neobična stvar u vezi sa državnim dugom SAD-a je ta što vlada poseduje štampariju potrebnu za njegovu otplatu.

Kao rezultat toga, kada vlada duguje novac, oni samo pozajme još više novca da bi otplatile taj dug, povećavajući nacionalni dug.

Ako vam ovo zvuči kao Ponzijeva piramidalna šema, to je zato što ona to i jeste – najveća Ponzijeva šema u istoriji. Kao i svaka Ponzijeva šema, nastaviće se sve dok su ljudi koji kupuju Ponzijevu šemu budu uvereni da će im biti plaćeno nazad.

Ako ljudi i nacije prestanu da se zadužuju i koriste američke dolare jer nemaju poverenja u američku vladu ili vide da cena robe raste (tj. dolar postaje sve manje vredan), potražnja za dolarom će opadati, što će izazvati začaranu spiralu.

Ova spirala često završi u hiperinflaciji, kao što smo videli u novijoj istoriji sa Jugoslavijom, Venecuelom, Argentinom, Zimbabveom i mnogim drugim državama.

Ovo je način kako funkcioniše novac na vašem bankovnom računu. Novac svake nacije na svetu pati od istih problema kao i perle i novčanice u pričama o Njutoniji i Kejnslandu.

Kako banke i vlade kradu tvoj novac?

Tokom vekova, stigli smo do monetarnog sistema u kojem banke i vlade mogu da štampaju novu valutu za finansiranje svojih operacija i svojih prijatelja u zločinu, dok kradu bogatstvo svojih građana.

Šta će se desiti sa svetom kada novac bude mogao da štampa svaki narod na planeti?

• Bogatstvo onih koji su blizu pravljenja nove valute se povećava
• Vlada i politički povlašćena klasa ljudi, imaju pristup novoštampanom novcu pre svih ostalih, pa mogu da ga potroše pre nego što cene porastu. Na ovaj efekat pokazao je ekonomista Richard Cantillon sredinom 1700-ih i poznat je kao Cantillonov Efekat.
• Cena robe raste (poznato kao inflacija)
• Ne raste sve roba istovremeno u ceni. Roba blizu mesta gde se proizvodi nova valuta – finansijski sektor i vlada – prva raste, i odatle uzrokuje efekt talasa na cene.
• Inflacija se često predstavlja kao promena cene potrošačke korpe, poznata kao Indeks Potrošačkih Cena, eng. Consumer Price Index (CPI). Vlada ima alate za manipulisanje ovim brojem kako bi osigurala da se ona čini niskom i stabilnom, kao što je objašnjeno u našem članku o inflaciji.
• Finansijska imovina često primećuje ogromnu inflaciju, ali bankari to ne nazivaju inflacijom – oni kažu da naša ekonomija cveta! Nakon što su američke Federalne rezerve učetvorostručile ponudu američkih dolara u šest godina nakon finansijske krize 2008. godine, banke koje su dobile te nove dolare, kupile su akcije i obveznice, stvarajući ogroman balon u cenama ove imovine.
• Štednja i životni standard stanovništva se smanjuju
• Plate su jedna od poslednjih “cena” u ekonomiji koja se prilagođava, jer se često povećavaju samo jednom godišnje. U međuvremenu, cene dnevnih potrepština te osobe koja zaradjuje platu neprestano rastu kako novi novac kruži ekonomijom.
• Najviše su pogođeni oni koji žive od plate do plate – a to je 70% Amerikanaca.
• Razlike u prihodima između bogatih i siromašnih se povećavaju, kao što se vidi na grafikonu ispod.

Koncentracija Dohotka na Vrhu Naglo je Porasla od 1970-ih (Udeo u ukupnom prihodu pre oporezivanja u domaćinstvima sa najvišim dohotkom (uključujući kapitalne dobitke), 1913-2018)

Zašto i dalje imamo isti monetarni sistem?

Ako ovaj sistem bogate još više obogaćuje, a siromašne još više osiromašuje, dovodeći do političke nestabilnosti, zašto ga onda ne bismo promenili?

Najveći razlog zašto se ništa ne menja je verovatno to što puno toga ne znamo o samom sistemu. Svi svakodnevno koristimo valute svojih vlada, ali većina nas ne razume kako sistem funkcioniše i šta on čini našim društvima.

Obrazovni sistem, mediji i finansijski stručnjaci neprestano nam govore da je monetarni sistem previše komplikovan da bi ga normalni ljudi razumeli. Mnogi od nas se zato i ne trude da pokušaju.

Još nekoliko razloga zašto ovaj sistem nastavlja da opstaje:

• Mnogo je ljudi koji imaju direktnu korist od štampanja novog novca.
• Ti ljudi ne žele nikakve promene i bore se da zadrže tu moć.
• Nacionalne valute su često pogodne
• Kreditne kartice, online bankarstvo i još mnogo toga čine upravljanje nacionalnim valutama i njihovo trošenje lakim i jednostavnim.
• Građani moraju da plaćaju porez u svojoj nacionalnoj valuti
• To stvara potražnju za tom valutom od svih građana, povećavajući njenu vrednost.
• Glavna međunarodna tržišta, poput nafte, denominirana su u dolarima.
• Nafta je potrebna svakoj zemlji na planeti, ali pošto mnogi ne mogu da je proizvode, moraju da je kupuju na međunarodnim berzama. Od 1970-ih na ovim berzama gotovo sva nafta se prodaje za dolare, što stvara potražnju za dolarima. Da bi se odmaknule od ovog sistema, zemlje bi trebale da pronađu novu valutu ili robu za trgovinu naftom, što zahteva vreme i rizike.
• Nije postojala dobra alternativa
• Uz globalnu ekonomiju u realnom vremenu, naš sistem digitalnog bankarstva koji koristi nacionalne valute je pogodan. Transakcija u tvrdom novcu poput zlata bila bi previše nezgrapna za današnji svet. Digitalna valuta pod nazivom Bitcoin, predstavljena 2009. godine, je rastuća alternativa koja nudi čvrst novac koji se kreće brzinom interneta.

Šta je novac, i zašto trebate da brinete?

Novac je alat koji olakšava razmenu dobara. Kao i svako drugo dobro, novac se pridržava zakona ponude i potražnje – povećanje potražnje povećaće njegovu vrednost, a povećanje ponude smanjiće njegovu vrednost.

Na ovaj način novac se ne razlikuje od kuće ili piletine. Međutim, velika prodajnost novca znači da je potražnja za njim uvek velika. Kao rezultat, novac mora biti težak za proizvodnju (a samim tim i ograničen u ponudi) ili će ga onaj ko ga može napraviti, stvoriti toliko, da vremenom više neće služiti kao zaliha vrednosti. Uskoro će izgubiti svoje funkcije kao sredstvo razmene i obračunske jedinice.

Najbolji novac u datoj ekonomiji je onaj koji se najslobodnije kreće – svi ga žele, lako je obaviti transakcije sa njim i koji sa vremenom dobro drži svoju vrednost. Nijedan novac nije savršen u svemu ovome, a neki ističu jednu funkciju novca na štetu drugih.

Iako se istorija ne ponavlja, ona se rimuje, a usponi i padovi monetarnih sistema imaju jasne ritmove. Uspon i pad monetarnog sistema često sledi opšti obrazac koji smo videli u pričama o agri perlama i Kejnslandu: pojavljuje se odredjenji oblik novca koji pomaže ljudima da efikasnije trguju i štede, ali na kraju gubi na vrednosti kada neko shvati kako da ga jeftino stvori u velikoj količini. Međutim, tokom dugog perioda vremena, monetarni sistemi su se poboljšali u sve tri funkcije novca.

Na primer, zlato je tokom vremena dobro služilo kao zaliha vrednosti. Međutim, naša međusobno povezana ekonomija ne bi mogla efikasno da funkcioniše ako bi trebalo da fizičko zlato zamenimo robom i uslugama. Mnogo je lakše kretati se na papirnom i digitalnom novcu, ali istorija nam govori da su vlade i bankari iskoristili ove oblike novca za krađu bogatstva putem inflacije.

Današnji globalni monetarni sistem je vrlo zgodan, a digitalna plaćanja i kreditne kartice olakšavaju trošenje novca. Ovo skriva stalnu inflaciju koja nagriza vrednost svake jedinice novca i dovodi do sve većeg jaza u bogatstvu.

Nadam se da je ovaj članak proširio vaše razumevanje novca i njegove uloge u društvu. Ovo je samo početak svega što treba istražiti o novcu: za kasnije su sačuvane teme o inflaciji, kamatnim stopama, pozajmljivanju, poslovnim ciklusima i još mnogo toga.

Efikasnija Ušteda Novca

Možda se pitate kako zaštititi svoju štednju kada svaki oblik često korišćenog novca i investicija pati od inflacije ponude – koja umanjuje vrednost i prenosi bogatstvo onima koji mogu da stvore novac ili investiciju. Možda se čini da se ništa na planeti danas ne može kvalifikovati kao ‘težak’ novac, ali dve stvari ipak ostaju: zlato i njegov noviji rođak Bitcoin. Obe ove stvari je neverovatno teško proizvesti, a jedna od njih se kreće brzinom interneta i može se čuvati u vašem mozgu.

Ako želite da saznate više o Bitcoin-u kao sredstvu za zaštitu vaše ušteđevine, pročitajte ovde. Ako ste već spremni za kupovinu Bitcoin-a, pogledajte moj vodič za kupovinu Bitcoin-a. Možete početi sa investiranjem sa samo 5 ili 10 €.

Zasluge

Hvala svima koji su pomogli u izradi i uređivanju ove serije o novcu: @ck_SNARKS, @CryptoRothbard, Neil Woodfine, Emil Sandstedt, Taylor Pearson, Parker Lewis, Jason Choi, mojoj porodici i mnogim drugima.

Hvala svima koji su ovo inspirisali i razvili ključne ideje koje su ovde primenjene: Friedrich Hayek, Carl Menger, Ludwig Von Mises, Murray Rothbard, Saifedean Ammous, Dan Held, Pierre Rochard, Stephan Livera, Michael Goldstein, i mnogi drugi.

Molim vas da šerujete! Ako vam je ovaj članak otvorio oči o tome kako funkcioniše naš novac i finansijski sistem, kontaktirajte me ili ostavite komentar!

Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim pogled u ekonomiju i na to kako ona utiče na njihov život.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Album art didn’t always exist. In the early 1900s, recorded music was still a novelty, overshadowed by sales of sheet music. Early vinyl records were vastly different from what we think of today: discs were sold individually and could only hold up to four minutes of music per side. Sometimes, only one side of the record was used. One of the most popular records of 1910, for example, was “Come, Josephine, in My Flying Machine”: it clocked in at two minutes and 39 seconds.

The invention of album art can get lost in the story of technological mastery. But among all the factors that contributed to the rise of recorded music, it stands as one of the few that was wholly driven by creators themselves. Album art — first as marketing material, then as pure creative expression — turned an audio-only medium into a multi-sensory experience.

This is the story of the people who made music visible.

Continue reading

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/972642

@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3

Using a discussion style post to get better formatting on the nostr cross-post.

The Fed Leaves Fed Funds Rate at 4.5% as Economic Storm Clouds Gather

by Ryan McMaken

The Fed is now hemmed in by a rising risk of stagflation. It doesn’t know where the economy is headed, or is unwilling to take a position. At this point, “hope for the best” is Fed policy.

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/975059

@ 7b20d99d:d2a541a9

Bitcoin is a powerful tool for sending aid quickly, directly, and without intermediaries, especially in countries where banking systems are corrupt or inefficient. It allows for supporting noble causes without relying on slow or centralized NGOs. But where there is generosity, there are also abuses.

In the Bitcoin world, some have learned to exploit the anonymity and speed of transactions to create fake emotional stories and steal funds from well-meaning individuals. These scams damage trust and slow down the adoption of Bitcoin in humanitarian efforts.

In this series, I'll show you:

How to spot dubious projects,

What practices can alert you,

And most importantly, how to continue supporting real causes safely.

Alert 1: Lack of transparency

A serious charity project, whether Bitcoin-based or not, must be accountable.

In the Bitcoin ecosystem, where everything relies on peer-to-peer trust, transparency is even more crucial.

Here are the classic signs of a lack of transparency:

1. No concrete evidence of action on the ground.

   A project that asks you for money but doesn't show any photos, videos, or reports is suspicious. Even with limited resources, a legitimate project can show:

Before/after images of an action (e.g., food distribution, healthcare, clothing)

Receipts or proof of purchase (blurred if necessary for privacy)

Testimonies from beneficiaries, even short ones

1. No regular posting or tracking.

If a project has raised funds but doesn't publish any updates on the progress, distribution, or results achieved, this is a red flag. A genuine project maintains a connection with its donors, even after the fundraising process.

1. Bitcoin address without tracking.

Providing a Bitcoin address without providing a link to a Geyser, BTCPay, or donation tracking page is an easy way to hide donation flows. Serious projects use public tools to make donations visible to everyone.

1. Refusal to answer questions.

An honest project accepts questions from donors:

• Where do the funds go?
• Why this amount?
• Who is responsible?

If there is constant vagueness, or worse, aggression when you ask these questions: that's a red flag.

Recommendation :

Before donating, look for evidence. Ask simple questions. And above all, compare several projects: you'll quickly see who's doing real work, and who's showing nothing.

---

In Bitcoin charity projects, emotion is often the scammer's favorite tool. They know: if you're moved, you give quickly. Especially when there's an emergency. Unfortunately, they often have no real reason behind their requests.

Here's how these emotional manipulations work:

1. Dramatic stories without proof.

   A sick child, an injured animal, a starving family... these stories touch the heart. But often, the images are taken from Google or old TikTok/Facebook accounts. There's no proof that the person requesting sats is actually involved.

2. The manufactured emergency.

Scammers use phrases like:

"URGENT! He only has two days to live!"

"We need 100,000 sats before midnight, or else..."

This kind of urgency is often fabricated to push you to act without thinking or checking.

1. No trace of previous activity.

Often, these accounts have never discussed charity before. They suddenly appear, launch an emotional campaign, receive donations... then disappear or change their name.

1. Reusing stories from other projects.

Some copy real stories from real projects and adapt them with new BTC addresses. They rely on virality and credulity. Sometimes, they even imitate the style of a legitimate project.

How to protect yourself?

Reverse image search: You can use Google Images or Yandex to check if the photo is circulating elsewhere.

Research the account's history: was it posting content before the campaign? Does it seem committed to Bitcoin or a cause?

Refrain from reacting too quickly: if a story upsets you, that's exactly what the scammer wants. Take a break, do some research.

Key points:

A real project doesn't need to manipulate your emotions to gain your support. It shares its impact, its concrete actions, and is open to scrutiny. Never let your sats speak before your brain.

---

---

Check the project's public presence and reputation

In the decentralized world of Bitcoin, there are no guarantees or official certifiers. What replaces institutions is reputation: what others say about you, what you publish, and how you act over time.

Before donating to a charitable project in Bitcoin, it is essential to verify the public presence and traceability of the project or individual. This can prevent you from being scammed by opportunistic or malicious accounts.

Here are the good reflexes to have:

---

1. Cross-platform search

A legitimate project leaves its mark on multiple channels:

Nostr: posts, zaps, interactions, community relays

Twitter/X: regular posts, comments, retweets

Telegram, YouTube, Instagram: visual content and community comments

Even if it's small, a real project has at least one public space where it shares its activities, answers questions, and builds relationships with its supporters.

Alert: An account that appears out of nowhere with 3 posts in 2 days and an urgent donation request is suspicious.

---

1. Seeking credible public support

A great sign is when other well-known users in the Bitcoin community (or on Nostr) endorse or support the project:

They share the campaign;

They respond to posts with enthusiasm or testimonials;

They contribute sats themselves;

You can send them a DM to ask, "Are you familiar with this project? Are they serious?"

---

1. View account history

Does this account have:

• Have you already run other campaigns in the past?
• Demonstrated concrete results?
• A long-standing audience?

Scams often have an empty history, or one that has been deliberately deleted.

If the account was recently created, it's an orange flag. It's not always a scam, but it's a good sign.

---

1. Beware of names that are too generic

Accounts like “Bitcoin_Charity,” “BTC_Hope4Africa,” or “SatoshiMissionHelp” that use generic, faceless names with no personal history or evidence of involvement are often lures to suck up your generosity.

---

In an open world like Nostr, trust must be earned, not granted automatically. Before you zap or send sats: check the footprints. A real project doesn't hide. It wants to be seen, recognized, supported... and verified.

---

---

Prefer traceable and public donations

One of the great advantages of Bitcoin is that every transaction is recorded on the blockchain. Yet, many BTC charitable projects fail to leverage this transparency potential… sometimes out of ignorance, sometimes intentionally.

If you want to give securely, you should prioritize tools and methods that allow clear tracking of your money.

---

1. Favors transparent platforms (Geyser, Zaprite, BTCPay, etc.)

These platforms allow:

• Track how much has been raised in real time
• Have a public address or QR code that everyone can see
• Sometimes even see who donated (if the donor makes it public)

And most importantly: the funds go directly into the creator's wallet, without an intermediary

Example: Geyser.fund shows how many sats have been raised, how many are left to reach, and sometimes even the expenses incurred.

---

1. Avoid isolated static addresses

When someone just gives you a Bitcoin address without any context or tools around it, you can't know:

• If others have already donated
• What's the status of the fundraising?
• What will happen with the funds received?

Even worse, an address can be reused for multiple different campaigns. No tracking, no limits.

Reminder: A scammer can also show a QR code with an emotional caption, collect in bulk, and then erase all traces.

---

1. Request a dedicated campaign address

A serious project can:

• Generate a unique address for each campaign or donor (via a wallet or BTCPay store)
• Or show you a link to a Bitcoin explorer to track inflows in real time

This allows you to verify that: - Your donation has been received - Funds are not being diverted for other purposes - And that other people are also contributing (proof of credibility)

---

1. Check expenses if possible

More and more projects are publishing:

• Captures of receipts or transfers
• Monthly reports
• Distribution videos

This allows donors to see how funds are being used, even in rural areas or without stable internet.

---

If a project doesn't want you to track donations, ask yourself why. In the Bitcoin ecosystem, transparency is a weapon against abuse. Use it, and encourage others to do the same.

---

Want to help? Great. But in the Bitcoin ecosystem, giving indiscriminately is like throwing your sats into a bottomless pit. Here's a clear list of best practices to avoid scams and support good causes with confidence and intelligence.

---

1. Never give under pressure

A real project:

• Don't rush.
• Don't create an artificial sense of urgency.
• Don't demand anything.

Golden rule: if you are pressured to skip "quickly" or "now or everything is ruined", it is suspicious.

---

1. Use reputable platforms

Before sending sats:

Check if the project is on Geyser.fund, Zaprite, BTCPayServer, or Tallycoin.

These platforms provide transparency, monitoring and protection.

If the project refuses to appear there "without valid reason", ask yourself questions.

---

1. Always check the source

Ask yourself these questions:

• Who is leading this campaign?
• How long has this person been active in the community?
• Does their history hold a consistent profile?
• Are they well-known on Nostr, X, Telegram, or elsewhere?

A reliable project has nothing to hide. It is findable, traceable, and responsive.

---

1. Don't rely on images or videos alone

A photo of a crying child or a dish being offered proves nothing. What you want to know:

• Did they take this photo?
• What's the connection to the campaign?
• Do they show several stages (preparation, distribution, follow-up)?

Scammers love beautiful stolen images, but never show the actual work.

---

1. Request a follow-up report or evidence

A serious project can easily provide you with:

• A link to a dedicated Bitcoin address
• A video or photo with a personalized message
• A receipt or proof of purchase

If they refuse or get offended by you for asking? Run away.

---

1. Share only verified projects

You are also responsible for what you share. By sharing a project without verifying:

• You're putting your credibility on the line.
• You risk causing others to lose sats.

Do your own research, even if you trust the person who sent you the link.

---

1. Start small

You can test a project with a small amount and observe:

• How they communicate after receiving it

• If they thank you

• If they keep you informed

It's a simple way to filter out the good guys from the opportunists.

---

In a free ecosystem like Bitcoin, there's no customer service, no refunds, no "cancel" button. Your only security is your vigilance. Give, but give wisely.

---

How to intelligently support genuine causes

Supporting charitable projects with Bitcoin doesn't have to be risky. On the contrary, it can be a powerful tool for spreading the values ​​of Bitcoin while genuinely helping people.

But for your help to have a real impact, it's not enough to just switch off and disappear. You have to be intelligently involved.

Here's how to become a helpful, strategic, and caring donor.

---

1. Be part of the project, not just the donation

The best donors are not those who give the most, but those who:

• ask questions,
• suggest ideas,
• share campaigns,
• encourage the founder,
• inform others.

In Bitcoin, we talk about community, not customers. Be an agent of change, not just a transaction number.

1. Favors projects with a long-term vision

A serious project speaks to you:

• education,
• sustainability,
• independence,
• integration of Bitcoin into local life.

He doesn't just give away rice or clothes. He wants to make people more autonomous, freer, and more connected to the decentralized economy.

Support projects that build, not just those that distribute.

1. Diversify your support

You can :

• Skip small projects regularly
• Support a campaign with a fixed monthly budget
• Offer your skills: design, writing, video, networking

Participate in a DAO or a coordinated donations collective

Bitcoin support isn't just about money. Your time and talent are also valuable.

1. Educate while you help

When you participate in a project, take the opportunity to:

• Explain to others how Bitcoin works
• Demonstrate the benefits of transparency through blockchain
• Raising awareness in your circle of the freedom offered by direct support in BTC

Education is the ultimate weapon against addiction and scams.

1. Create or join a reliable initiative

You can :

• Create your own small campaign with Geyser.fund or Zaprite
• Join a collective like Hope With Bitcoin or other communities on Nostr
• Offer to document an existing campaign

This is how sustainable projects are born: not with large anonymous donations, but with small, well-supported flames.

Donating Bitcoin is more than just a transfer. It's an affirmation of values. It's a statement:

“I choose to support causes without going through banks, without permission, without borders, with transparency and freedom.”

But for it to work, you need:

• Stay vigilant

• Demand clarity

• Foster human connections
• Build trust

Bitcoin is a tool of sovereignty. It deserves honest projects. It's up to us to protect them.

Together, let's discover Hope With Bitcoin: The project whose mission is to share smiles and hope with those in need, while raising awareness for Bitcoin adoption.

X: https://x.com/HopeWithBTC

Nostr / Primal: https://primal.net/p/npub10vsdn82fps4vwjaqxcpwj0nyync0cfrp2f5qlayrljh6d549gx5s0y9eap

Proof Of Work: https://drive.google.com/drive/u/1/folders/19LWZX4TtF6DJbDVCqhJ0EMMQqnjHVMvm

Geyser : https://geyser.fund/project/hopewithbitcoin

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

I don’t like garlic. It’s not a dislike for the taste in the moment, so much as an extreme dislike for the way it stays with you—sometimes for days—after a particularly garlicky meal.

Interestingly enough, both of my brothers love garlic. They roast it by itself and keep it at the ready so they can have a very strong garlic profile in their cooking. When I prepare a dish, I don’t even see garlic on the ingredient list. I’ve cut it out of my life so completely that my brain genuinely skips over it in recipes. While my brothers are looking for ways to sneak garlic into everything they make, I’m subconsciously avoiding it altogether.

A few years back, when I was digging intensely into how design systems mature, I stumbled on the concept of a design system origin story. There are two extreme origin stories and an infinite number of possibilities between. On one hand you have the grassroots system, where individuals working on digital products are simply trying to solve their own daily problems. They’re frustrated with having to go cut and paste elements from past designs or with recreating the same layouts over and over, so they start to work more systematically. On the other hand, you have the top down system, where leadership is directing teams to take a more systematic approach, often forming a small partially dedicated core team to tackle some centralized assets and guidelines for all to follow. The influences in those early days bias a design system in interesting and impactful ways.

We’ve established that there are a few types of bias that are either intentionally or unintentionally embedded into our design systems. Acknowledging this is a great first step. But, what’s the impact of this? Does it matter?

I believe there are a few impacts design system biases, but there’s one that stands out. The bias in your design system makes some individuals feel the system is meant for them and others feel it’s not. This is a problem because, a design system cannot live up to it’s expected value until it is broadly in use. If individuals feel your design system is not for them, the won’t use it. And, as you know, it doesn’t matter how good your design system is if nobody is using it.

Continue reading

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/972641

@ d61f3bc5:0da6ef4a

I remember the first gathering of Nostr devs two years ago in Costa Rica. We were all psyched because Nostr appeared to solve the problem of self-sovereign online identity and decentralized publishing. The protocol seemed well-suited for textual content, but it wasn't really designed to handle binary files, like images or video.

The Problem

When I publish a note that contains an image link, the note itself is resilient thanks to Nostr, but if the hosting service disappears or takes my image down, my note will be broken forever. We need a way to publish binary data without relying on a single hosting provider.

We were discussing how there really was no reliable solution to this problem even outside of Nostr. Peer-to-peer attempts like IPFS simply didn't work; they were hopelessly slow and unreliable in practice. Torrents worked for popular files like movies, but couldn't be relied on for general file hosting.

Awesome Blossom

A year later, I attended the Sovereign Engineering demo day in Madeira, organized by Pablo and Gigi. Many projects were presented over a three hour demo session that day, but one really stood out for me.

Introduced by hzrd149 and Stu Bowman, Blossom blew my mind because it showed how we can solve complex problems easily by simply relying on the fact that Nostr exists. Having an open user directory, with the corresponding social graph and web of trust is an incredible building block.

Since we can easily look up any user on Nostr and read their profile metadata, we can just get them to simply tell us where their files are stored. This, combined with hash-based addressing (borrowed from IPFS), is all we need to solve our problem.

How Blossom Works

The Blossom protocol (Blobs Stored Simply on Mediaservers) is formally defined in a series of BUDs (Blossom Upgrade Documents). Yes, Blossom is the most well-branded protocol in the history of protocols. Feel free to refer to the spec for details, but I will provide a high level explanation here.

The main idea behind Blossom can be summarized in three points:

1. Users specify which media server(s) they use via their public Blossom settings published on Nostr;
2. All files are uniquely addressable via hashes;
3. If an app fails to load a file from the original URL, it simply goes to get it from the server(s) specified in the user's Blossom settings.

Just like Nostr itself, the Blossom protocol is dead-simple and it works!

Let's use this image as an example:

If you look at the URL for this image, you will notice that it looks like this:

blossom.primal.net/c1aa63f983a44185d039092912bfb7f33adcf63ed3cae371ebe6905da5f688d0.jpg

All Blossom URLs follow this format:

[server]/[file-hash].[extension]

The file hash is important because it uniquely identifies the file in question. Apps can use it to verify that the file they received is exactly the file they requested. It also gives us the ability to reliably get the same file from a different server.

Nostr users declare which media server(s) they use by publishing their Blossom settings. If I store my files on Server A, and they get removed, I can simply upload them to Server B, update my public Blossom settings, and all Blossom-capable apps will be able to find them at the new location. All my existing notes will continue to display media content without any issues.

Blossom Mirroring

Let's face it, re-uploading files to another server after they got removed from the original server is not the best user experience. Most people wouldn't have the backups of all the files, and/or the desire to do this work.

This is where Blossom's mirroring feature comes handy. In addition to the primary media server, a Blossom user can set one one or more mirror servers. Under this setup, every time a file is uploaded to the primary server the Nostr app issues a mirror request to the primary server, directing it to copy the file to all the specified mirrors. This way there is always a copy of all content on multiple servers and in case the primary becomes unavailable, Blossom-capable apps will automatically start loading from the mirror.

Mirrors are really easy to setup (you can do it in two clicks in Primal) and this arrangement ensures robust media handling without any central points of failure. Note that you can use professional media hosting services side by side with self-hosted backup servers that anyone can run at home.

Using Blossom Within Primal

Blossom is natively integrated into the entire Primal stack and enabled by default. If you are using Primal 2.2 or later, you don't need to do anything to enable Blossom, all your media uploads are blossoming already.

To enhance user privacy, all Primal apps use the "/media" endpoint per BUD-05, which strips all metadata from uploaded files before they are saved and optionally mirrored to other Blossom servers, per user settings. You can use any Blossom server as your primary media server in Primal, as well as setup any number of mirrors:

## Conclusion

For such a simple protocol, Blossom gives us three major benefits:

1. Verifiable authenticity. All Nostr notes are always signed by the note author. With Blossom, the signed note includes a unique hash for each referenced media file, making it impossible to falsify.
2. File hosting redundancy. Having multiple live copies of referenced media files (via Blossom mirroring) greatly increases the resiliency of media content published on Nostr.
3. Censorship resistance. Blossom enables us to seamlessly switch media hosting providers in case of censorship.

Thanks for reading; and enjoy! 🌸

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

The European Accessibility Act is coming, now is a great time for accessibility trainings!. In my Accessibility for Designer workshop, you will learn how to design accessible mockups that prevent issues in visual design, interactions, navigation, and content. You will be able to spot problems early, fix them in your designs, and communicate accessibility clearly with your team. This is a practical workshop with hands-on exercises, not just theory. You’ll actively apply accessibility principles to real design scenarios and mockups. And will get access to my accessibility resources: checklists, annotation kits and more.

When? 4 sessions of 2 hours + Q and As, on: - Mon, June 16, - Tue, June 17, Mon, - June 23 and Tue, - June 24. 9:30 – 12:00 PM PT or 18:30 – 21:00 CET

Register with 15% discount ($255) https://ti.to/smashingmagazine/online-workshops-2022/with/87vynaoqc0/discount/welcometomyworkshop

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/971772

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

"Za sve one koji još uvek nisu u potpunosti razumeli kontroverzni Bitkoin, ovo je koncizni i informativni brzi kurs o novcu i kriptovalutama."

Bitkoin: Kraj novca kakvog poznajemo - IMDB

Prevod: SatoshiSan / @SSG_SatoshiSan

@ 6ad08392:ea301584

Satlantis is here!

Well…sort of. It’s a little pre-mature, but it’s good enough for you to play around with. I wouldn’t necessarily call it super ‘useful’ right now but I wanted you to get an early glimpse into what we’re building so you can see how it evolves over time.

And besides - we have to release a first version at some stage!

Satlantis is the first travel-centric social network. It’s quite different from anything else that came before it. It’s part map, part directory, part events app and part social network. 

It really is a monumental undertaking - but I’m convinced now is the time to build it. People are ready for something new. They are tired of the algorithmic slop social media has become. They’re craving real connection and they want to see, touch, smell, hear and taste the world. What better way to help them do that, than with a network that connects them, andhelps enhance their discovery of places, experiences and events that are relevant to them (based both on their interests and social connections).

That’s what this product is all about. We’re going to do what Google Maps, Yelp, Instagram, TripAdvisor etc. are all partially doing - but make it 10x better.

The first Satlantis app is now available on Apple Testflight or the Google Play store. In the coming month or two, we will make Satlantis accessible via invitation-only, to increase the quality of connection and discourse on the app, but if you’re reading this now, you’re in before we gate it, you can explore and give us some feedback while we work on it.

I will write release notes like this every couple weeks covering what we built, what to test and play with, what’s working, what needs improvement, what’s downright shit or broken and what’s coming in the next release. (This first one is the longest because I delayed it so much.)

I’d love to hear your feedback, and if you find this interesting, please share it around so other people find out about what we’re building!

---

The Good

Mobile AppWe got a version out, and you can actually use it.

• Apple Testflight 

• Google Play Store

Nostr Compatible.

Every single account on Satlantis is an nPub. You can log into Satlantis using your nSec (not your nPub - we forgot to include that...lol), and you will find your entire social network and all of your posts there (if they are media notes). On the Web, you need to use an extension, like Alby or Keys.band. On mobile you can paste your key (stored locally on the device).

Normie Friendly.

We also built a smooth non-nostr focused sign up flow. We originally used the nSec bunker, but that was a mess (love u Pablo). So we built our own nSec bunker, but that sucked too. Passwords are old school. After interviewing 100 people not into Bitcoin or Nostr, 95% of them preferred us to store their key. So…we took that feedback and created a really easy email + magic link, Google and Apple SSO sign up flow, that creates an account and Nostr keypair that we store on their behalf, encrypted.

If and when people work out what Nostr is and they want to take custody of their key, they will be able to export their key, and request deletion of their key from our DB. 

Is this the most ‘pure’ solution? No. Does this mean they have to trust us? Sure. Could we do it better at some point? Yes, of course. But considering the number of mission critical features we need to build, we’ll come back to it later.

We currently only support Kind 1 events.

Well…we also support NIP-52 calendar events, but we’ve disconnected that for the time being because event organisers wanted co-hosts more than they wanted to broadcast their events on Nostr. We’re working on a way to reconcile the two. For now, post text & images. (Video coming soon).

Interest-centric onboarding.

We spent a lot of time building this. One of the key pillars at Satlantis is discovering people, places, events and content suited to you. As we dug down the personalisation rabbithole, we found that there is a resurgence of interest-selection in many apps: from Tinder to new apps like Locals and Timeleft. The more focused on personalisation the app is, the more in-depth the onboarding.

Of course Meta and TikTok do the best personalisation with their advanced ML & AI tools, along with their deep social graphs, but since we have neither (Nostr helps but it’s still very small), we needed a better way.

So we decided to build our interest-graph. It was brain-melting, but we developed a pretty exhaustive set of interests relevant to people in our target market. We then took that list and associated it to events, merchants, people, places, experiences, activities and content. We then built a whole new onboarding flow to capture this from new users, and associate it to their accounts. (Yes - at some stage, we’ll make this Nostr compatible so it can travel with nPubs)

The net result is a base layer of insight we can use to help surface things that are of interest to users. Whether it’s an event, a place to eat, a gym or sauna, content to engage with or people to meet: like magic, things that are relevant to you will come to you.

Of course, in the long term we will use your social graph and the way you interact with content to do this - more like Meta and TikTok do - but for now, while the social graph is tiny, this is the most efficient and effective way. 

Final word: the current version has all the interests - but it’s not very user-friendly. The latest design fixes that by grouping the interests into better subcategories. Keep an eye on that in a subsequent release.

New Merchant Discovery Experience.

This was also a monumental task. Our first merchant experience was just a shitty map with a list on web, and just a list on mobile (see below). This list was ranked by an “aggregate rating” we computed by analysing all the venue’s ratings from apps like Google, Trip Advisor and more.

We spent a long time trying to figure out how to display this better and do it in a way nobody else is, because seriously -can you think of a single food app or merchant map out there which has a nice UI or UX? No.

AirBnB transformed the UI & UX for accommodation and pushed the whole space forward. Nobody has really done it for every other kind of place you go to. So we took it up ourselves to fix this and create a proper “merchant discovery experience” with an information-dense location tile. Check this out:

Notice how we managed to get all the key information you need about a place there on the one tile, including who in your social circle has recommended it. That’s the key ingredient which makes Satlantis special. No more messaging friends or people you know “hey - have you been to that place” or “do you recommend that place”? 

One small issue here is that this upgrade will kill the map…but only for a couple weeks, until we release the new map view!

Merchant coverage

Our merchant app covers SIX distinct categories: 

1. Cafes & Restaurants

2. Health & Wellness (think Gyms, Spas, Saunas, etc)

3. Attractions (from Museums, to lookouts to beaches & hikes)

4. Grocery & Specialty Foods (think Organic food store, farmers markets, etc)

5. Coworking & Event Spaces

6. Nightlife (Bars, Clubs, etc)

We scoured the web for the best curated lists and directories for each of these categories. This in Bitcoin accepted (everything relevant from BTCMaps - because we’re also built on Open Street Maps, so it’s synced up), Seed Oil Free (everything from Local Fats & Seed Oil Scout is here), Michelin Star rated, Real Milk (Raw Milk directory) and more. 

Alongside all of these directories, our network of local ambassadors have submitted their top local picks for their favorite cities, so you have real local recommendations. 

The destinations with the best maps are currently Canggu, Uvita, Prague, Sao Paulo, Dubai, Florianópolis.

Suggest Places & Merchants

This is working quite nicely. Anyone, anywhere can now suggest their favorite merchant. For now, we’re manually approving submissions daily to avoid spam and irrelevant shit. In time, we’ll find a better way to do this. 

It’s all plugged into the Google API, so you can just type in the name of the place you think should be added (from mobile or web here). Once approved, our AI pipeline goes to work gathering all the available data from Google, TripAdvisor and elsewhere to set up the merchant profile, complete with review summaries, images, profile bio, contact details, opening hours, tags and more.

Got more upgrades to this flow in the works, but it’s ready for you to try out now.

City Pages

The current city pages are part of an outdated design which doesn’t fit our new visual language, but they are a ‘live’ feature. The original idea was to blend elements of Pinterest and Instagram but it backfired so we are changing to a more slick one-column feed. That being said, the core features of the city pages work. You can:

• Join a city (like joining a community or following the page)

• Post content on the city page

• Navigate over to the different available pages, including merchants, events, scores and stats + facts

We have 80 cities currently available. More to come.

Scores, Stats & Facts

When we set out to first build Satlantis, we wanted to improve on the information NomadList was presenting for cities & destinations around the world. So we developed a different approach for city scoring based not only on data we could get from Numbeo, etc - but also information direct from people on the ground - in particular; expats and locals. 

We put together a set of score categories and created a dedicated survey for select people to fill out, which would create some “foundation” scores, with a view to have this survey available to the crowd, perhaps via a score voting system or some sort on the page. We haven’t got that far yet. Right now, we have foundation scores for each of those 80 active cities, along with key Stats and Facts, like cost of living, wifi speed, water drinkability, and more:

This is not a core feature for us, so we will look to partner with other providers to enhance the experience, or we’ll completely re-think how we’re going to do it. Stay tuned for more here and let me know if you find it useful at all right now (or not).

Events

Last but not least, we have events! God dammit this was annoying because we built it NIP-52 compatible in the beginning, which then limited what we could do with co-hosts and other essential event features. And all for nothing since there are no other well built or maintained calendar-event clients on Nostr anyway.

So right now, when you post an event on Satlantis, it will post only on Satlantis. This means that as a host, you can edit, add co-hosts, add locations (proper merchant tiles) and delete.

We will make this Nostr-compatible again, most likely with some sort of button for hosts to “broadcast this event to Nostr” - knowing they will lose some flexibility once they do - but we need to do more research here. Maybe we’ll propose an upgrade to the calendar event NIP (or propose a new NIP altogether). It’s on our roadmap, so we’ll do our best to get to it soon. 

Meetup integration.

We’ve been working with the Meetup API to let organizers quickly import their events into Satlantis. It’s been frustratingly complex because of how archaic they are, but we got it working!

🚀 If you run a Meetup, and want to automatically have your events listed on Satlantis when you list them on meetup,reach out! We’ll even cover the Meetup membership fee for 10 meetup groups who set up auto-importing for their events. If you’re interested, reach out to us.

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The Bad

These things are currently bad, broken, incorrectly built or buggy. Believe me, if the list was exhaustive, this essay would be a book (our internal list is very full) - so I’m just going to touch on the main things we’re aware of and will be fixing…or just letting it burn slowly while we put out other fires.

Personal content feed

We started Satlantis with a media-only approach, taking inspiration from Instagram. We changed course a couple months ago to support text only posts, realizing there were a lot of other things people would like to post about travel, for example: guides, restaurants, reviews, tips, events, instructions, recommendations.

So…we started supporting this on the feed, and in the “post content” flow - but of course, not yet supported in the Profile view (which is still an image grid). This means if you post text only, you’re not going to see your own post on Satlantis 🤣🤣

To fix this, we’re building a “personal feed” section on your profile. But…that will come after we polish some of the things above, so if you’re posting on Satlantis right now, photos please!!

Video content

This one hurts too. We currently neither render videos from other clients, nor do we support video uploads on Satlantis. Not because we don’t want to, but because we haven’t got to it. This is high on the priority list and will be fixed in the upcoming releases.

Settings & Edit profile

We forgot to add “edit username” 🤣 

This is being added now, along with a settings section where you can get your nPub and things like that. We’ll keep it very basic for now.

Notifications

Holy crap. These really suck. There is no other way to put it. The design is not great, the experience is buggy as hell and syncing notifications from the broader Nostr network doesn’t make life any easier. We’ll be making incremental improvements here (for a long time I guess).

Limited social graph functionality.

Right now, there’s not much social-dynamics beyond the feed. This will expand and begin to influence more than just content, but also merchants, events, people, activities, etc.

Speed issues.

Feed and profile loading times are sluggish and need performance improvements. Ongoing.

Large Destinations are problematic.

How do you rate a massive city like São Paulo as a single entity? Well….you can’t. Eventually, we’ll break major cities into regions, but that’s a big project for later. 

For now, when you see scores, stats and facts, assume we’re covering the most relevant traveler-friendly areas (e.g., Jardins in São Paulo, Palermo in Buenos Aires, etc).

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The Ugly

There is really only one new ‘feature’ to complete before we apply a feature freeze and continue on to polish everything. This and the other items listed will be available in the next release or two, so that the overall experience is a little more…beautiful.

Chat.

We wanted to do NIP-17, but considering that (a) most of the major apps are still NIP-04, (b) BTCPrague is around the corner and (c) limited resources, we chose to do a NIP-04 implementation for this first version. Not ideal, but good enough. Chat will continue to improve, not only with a NIP-17 upgrade, but with other features like chat folders, group chats, GIFs and more.

Polish List

• Merchant Experience: Web and mobile updates

• Merchant List: More cool places being uploaded

• Events: New display, RSVP flow, co-host notifications, merchant integration

• Onboarding: Updated interests tags & flow

• Scores: Updates to Cost of Living & overall score weights

• Notifications: A lot of improvement here

• Feed: Text only posts, video uploads & rendering videos from other clients

• City Page: New design and functionalities

• Zaps: Yes. We will have Zaps.

---

Final Words

We have our work cut out for us!

We will be at BTCPrague in June and we are committed to releasing all of these features and components by then…as polished as possible.

The team and I have a couple of asks:

1. Download the app, and either create a new account or if you’re on Nostr, log in with your existing Nostr key (web requires an extension like Alby)

2. Go through the interests, and select those that are most relevant to you. The magic of the app happens as a function of how accurately you select those.

3. Post some content! Could be a photo introducing yourself or a “Good Morning” or whatever. Make sure you tag @Satlantis or @Svetski and I’ll boost you.

4. Check out the merchants in the top cities & see what’s around. The city with the most merchants right now is Florianopolis, but we have some coverage in many other cities 

5. If you run a meetup or attend a regular Bitcoin meetup, let the organisers know, and let’s start to bring meetups and events across. Not asking anyone to ‘leave’ meetup now, but come and sync up your account so events are auto-published. \ As we make the events feature more robust (and Bitcoin native), every Bitcoin meetup in the world is going to want to come use this. If you’re early, you can help us shape it!

6. Let a couple of friends know about the app - ideally those who are not yet on Nostr - and ask them to try it out. They can sign up with email or SSO if they’re afraid to store their own key.

7. Like I said in the beginning, at some point in the next month or so, it will become an invite-only app. We will grandfather all existing users in, but new people will need an invite code (from existing users or via codes I drop into release notes and articles) to access it. \ \ The goal of this approach is to (a) increase the quality of connection amongst people on Satlantis, and (b) try a new way of growing a Nostr-based app.

8. Finally…we’ve decided to do an equity crowdfund. So if you find what we’re doing interesting and want to be a part of it, you’ll have a chance from June onwards. More to follow on this in the coming weeks. It will be on Timestamp Financial - Bitcoin crowdfunding platform - so go check them out.

Thank you again for your attention - I do not take it lightly. This is just the start, so expect to see ALOT more from us in the way of updates and shipping (plus these updates will be shooter). 

Make sure you subscribe to this newsletter if you’re reading on Substack, or follow me if you’re on Nostr, Medium or wherever else you’re reading it.

Aleksandar Svetski

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Subscribe now

When the app goes into “Invite Only” mode, you will need a special invite code to access it, unless you’ve already got an account. For now, it’s open access. 

If you're already on Nostr, you're already on Satlantis. Just use an extension to securely log in with your nSec (on web), or with your nSec on mobile.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Crabtree's Framework for Evaluating Human-Centered Research

Picture this: You've spent three weeks conducting qualitative research for a finance app redesign. You carefully recruited 12 participants, conducted in-depth interviews, and identified patterns around financial anxiety and decision paralysis. You're excited to present your findings when the inevitable happens:

"But are these results statistically significant?"

"Just 12 people? How can we make decisions that affect thousands of users based on conversations with just 12 people?"

As UX professionals, we regularly face stakeholders who evaluate our qualitative research using criteria designed for quantitative methods... This misalignment undermines the unique value qualitative research brings to product development.

Continue reading https://uxpsychology.substack.com/p/beyond-numbers-how-to-properly-evaluate

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/971767

@ 000002de:c05780a7

Just an observation that makes me chuckle.

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/974829

@ 6c05c73e:c4356f17

Já pensou em investir no Brasil, mas se sentiu intimidado pela volatilidade da Bovespa e as notícias de escândalos? E se eu te dissesse que existe uma maneira de expor seu portfólio ao mercado brasileiro, investindo em dólar, diretamente da bolsa de valores de Nova York?

Bem-vindo ao mundo do EWZ, o ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) que replica o índice MSCI Brazil 25/50, oferecendo uma janela para as maiores e médias empresas do Brasil. Se você está buscando diversificar seus investimentos e explorar mercados emergentes, o EWZ pode ser a sua resposta.

O Que Exatamente é o EWZ?

O EWZ é o ticker symbol do iShares MSCI Brazil ETF. Pense nele como um pacote de ações brasileiras negociado na bolsa de valores americana. Ele espelha o desempenho do índice MSCI Brazil 25/50, o que significa que, ao investir no EWZ, você está, indiretamente, investindo em uma cesta diversificada das principais empresas do Brasil.

Por Que Investir no Brasil via ETF?

Você já pensou em investir no Brasil? Mas ouve sempre falar desses riscos da Bovespa e vários escândalos?

Portanto, saiba que existe uma forma de investir no Brasil em dólar. Usando a bolsa de valores de Nova Iorque. Isso mesmo, você pode abrir uma conta em corretora estrangeira e investir no Brasil via ETF.

O ETF que replica a Bovespa (Bolsa de valores de São Paulo) é o EWZ. Esse índice replica o Ibovespa e reflete nele o peso das maiores empresas brasileiras, tais como:

• Diversificação em Dólar: Invista em empresas brasileiras sem precisar se preocupar com a flutuação do real. Seus investimentos são feitos em dólar, protegendo você das variações cambiais.
• Acesso Facilitado: Negocie o EWZ diretamente da sua corretora americana, sem a necessidade de abrir contas no Brasil ou lidar com burocracias locais.
• Diversificação Instantânea: Ao comprar EWZ, você está comprando uma fatia de várias empresas líderes no Brasil, reduzindo o risco de concentrar seus investimentos em uma única empresa ou setor.

Números Que Falam Por Si

Vamos aos dados concretos que mostram a solidez do EWZ:

• Taxa de Administração: 0.59% a.a.
• Patrimônio Líquido Sob Gestão: $3.6 bilhões em ativos. Isso indica uma boa popularidade do ativo.
• Volume de negociação diário: Em média $24 milhões, o que garante boa liquidez e baixas taxas.
• Dividendos: 7.33% a.a. Distribuído semestralmente.

Qualitativo

• Com mais de 200 milhões de habitantes, o Brasil tem um dos maiores mercados consumidores do mundo. Isso representa uma demanda interna robusta e potencial para uma vasta gama de produtos e serviços.
• O país é extremamente rico em recursos naturais, incluindo minérios (ferro, bauxita, etc.), petróleo, gás natural e vastas áreas agricultáveis. Além disso, tem um potencial enorme e já desenvolvido em energias renováveis (hídrica, solar, eólica, biomassa).
• O Brasil é um líder global na produção e exportação de diversos produtos agrícolas (soja, milho, café, açúcar, carne bovina, frango). Há contínuo potencial para ganhos de produtividade e agregação de valor na cadeia.
• O Brasil desenvolveu um ecossistema de startups vibrante, especialmente no setor de fintechs, onde é referência global em inovação (ex: Pix, Open Banking). Há também crescimento em agrotechs, healthtechs e outras áreas. O grande mercado consumidor digital impulsiona esse setor.

Técnica

• O ativo teve uma queda vertiginosa. No entanto, desde Dezembro de 2024 vem apresentando uma melhora no comportamento. Isso, pode sugerir que há uma boa margem para comprar com "desconto". Visto que, o volume comprador tem sido intenso desde o inicío de Abril de 2025.

FAQ

O que significa a sigla EWZ?

A sigla EWZ é o ticker symbol (código de negociação em bolsa) do iShares MSCI Brazil ETF.

Portanto, EWZ não é uma sigla de um nome por extenso, mas sim o código usado para identificar e negociar este fundo específico (ETF) nas bolsas de valores dos Estados Unidos (como a NYSE Arca). Este ETF busca replicar o desempenho do índice MSCI Brazil 25/50, que representa as maiores e médias empresas brasileiras.

Qual é a composição do EWZ?

AS 10 Maiores Posições (na data de hoje):

1. Nu Holdings (NU): \~9.3% - 9.8% (Setor Financeiro)
2. Vale (VALE3): \~8.5% - 9.5% (Setor de Materiais)
3. Itaú Unibanco (ITUB4): \~7.9% - 8.6% (Setor Financeiro)
4. Petrobras PN (PETR4): \~6.2% - 8.0% (Setor de Energia)
5. Petrobras ON (PETR3): \~5.5% - 7.3% (Setor de Energia)
6. WEG (WEGE3): \~3.9% - 4.2% (Setor Industrial)
7. B3 (B3SA3): \~3.4% - 3.7% (Setor Financeiro)
8. Banco Bradesco (BBDC4): \~3.0% - 3.6% (Setor Financeiro)
9. Ambev (ABEV3): \~2.9% - 3.4% (Setor de Consumo Essencial/Staples)
10. Sabesp (SBSP3) ou Eletrobras (ELET3): Geralmente na 10ª posição, com peso entre \~2.5% - 2.8% (Setor de Utilidade Pública)

Sobre nós

Investir não precisa ser um bicho de sete cabeças! Na Threedolar, democratizamos o acesso ao mundo dos investimentos, oferecendo conteúdo claro e prático. Comece hoje mesmo a construir seu futuro financeiro!

Disclaimer

Nada do que eu escrever aqui é recomendação de investimentos ou chamada para compra e venda. Tire suas próprias conclusões e veja o que é melhor para você. Resultados passados não são garantia de resultados futuros. Cuide do seu dinheiro, pois ninguém o fará para você.

Referências

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF

Google Finance - EWZ

Yahoo Finance - EWZ

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Du bist recht appetitlich oben anzuschauen, \ doch unten hin die Bestie macht mir Grauen. \ Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

Wie wenig bekömmlich sogenannte «Ultra-Processed Foods» wie Fertiggerichte, abgepackte Snacks oder Softdrinks sind, hat kürzlich eine neue Studie untersucht. Derweil kann Fleisch auch wegen des Einsatzes antimikrobieller Mittel in der Massentierhaltung ein Problem darstellen. Internationale Bemühungen, diesen Gebrauch zu reduzieren, um die Antibiotikaresistenz bei Menschen einzudämmen, sind nun möglicherweise gefährdet.

Leider ist Politik oft mindestens genauso unappetitlich und ungesund wie diverse Lebensmittel. Die «Corona-Zeit» und ihre Auswirkungen sind ein beredtes Beispiel. Der Thüringer Landtag diskutiert gerade den Entwurf eines «Coronamaßnahmen-Unrechtsbereinigungsgesetzes» und das kanadische Gesundheitsministerium versucht, tausende Entschädigungsanträge wegen Impfnebenwirkungen mit dem Budget von 75 Millionen Dollar unter einen Hut zu bekommen. In den USA soll die Zulassung von Covid-«Impfstoffen» überdacht werden, während man sich mit China um die Herkunft des Virus streitet.

Wo Corona-Verbrecher von Medien und Justiz gedeckt werden, verfolgt man Aufklärer und Aufdecker mit aller Härte. Der Anwalt und Mitbegründer des Corona-Ausschusses Reiner Fuellmich, der seit Oktober 2023 in Untersuchungshaft sitzt, wurde letzte Woche zu drei Jahren und neun Monaten verurteilt – wegen Veruntreuung. Am Mittwoch teilte der von vielen Impfschadensprozessen bekannte Anwalt Tobias Ulbrich mit, dass er vom Staatsschutz verfolgt wird und sich daher künftig nicht mehr öffentlich äußern werde.

Von der kommenden deutschen Bundesregierung aus Wählerbetrügern, Transatlantikern, Corona-Hardlinern und Russenhassern kann unmöglich eine Verbesserung erwartet werden. Nina Warken beispielsweise, die das Ressort Gesundheit übernehmen soll, diffamierte Maßnahmenkritiker als «Coronaleugner» und forderte eine Impfpflicht, da die wundersamen Injektionen angeblich «nachweislich helfen». Laut dem designierten Außenminister Johann Wadephul wird Russland «für uns immer der Feind» bleiben. Deswegen will er die Ukraine «nicht verlieren lassen» und sieht die Bevölkerung hinter sich, solange nicht deutsche Soldaten dort sterben könnten.

Eine wichtige Personalie ist auch die des künftigen Regierungssprechers. Wenngleich Hebestreit an Arroganz schwer zu überbieten sein wird, dürfte sich die Art der Kommunikation mit Stefan Kornelius in der Sache kaum ändern. Der Politikchef der Süddeutschen Zeitung «prägte den Meinungsjournalismus der SZ» und schrieb «in dieser Rolle auch für die Titel der Tamedia». Allerdings ist, anders als noch vor zehn Jahren, die Einbindung von Journalisten in Thinktanks wie die Deutsche Atlantische Gesellschaft (DAG) ja heute eher eine Empfehlung als ein Problem.

Ungesund ist definitiv auch die totale Digitalisierung, nicht nur im Gesundheitswesen. Lauterbachs Abschiedsgeschenk, die «abgesicherte» elektronische Patientenakte (ePA) ist völlig überraschenderweise direkt nach dem Bundesstart erneut gehackt worden. Norbert Häring kommentiert angesichts der Datenlecks, wer die ePA nicht abwähle, könne seine Gesundheitsdaten ebensogut auf Facebook posten.

Dass die staatlichen Kontrolleure so wenig auf freie Software und dezentrale Lösungen setzen, verdeutlicht die eigentlichen Intentionen hinter der Digitalisierungswut. Um Sicherheit und Souveränität geht es ihnen jedenfalls nicht – sonst gäbe es zum Beispiel mehr Unterstützung für Bitcoin und für Initiativen wie die der Spar-Supermärkte in der Schweiz.

[Titelbild: Pixabay]

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Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ 8be6bafe:b50da031

Botev Plovdiv FC is proud to present the Bitcoin Salary Calculator tool, as the foundational tool to showcase athletes the financial power of Bitcoin.

We built the Salary Calculator to help anyone follow in the financial footsteps of prominent athletes such as Kieran Gibbs, Russell Okung, Saquon Barkley, and Renato Moicano, who have significantly increased their savings tank thanks to Bitcoin.

The Bitcoin Salary Calculator allows any person to choose how much of their monthly salary they are comfortable saving in Bitcoin. Instantly, users can backtrack and see how their Bitcoin savings would have performed using the once-in-a-species opportunity which Bitcoin brings.

Try it out NOW for yourself.

https://video.nostr.build/a9f2f693f6b5ee75097941e7a30bfc722225918a896b29a73e13e7581dfed77c.mp4

Athletes need Bitcoin more than anyone else

Unlike most people, athletes’ careers and earning years are limited. This has driven the likes of Odell Beckham Jr. and Alex Crognale to also start saving a part of their income in Bitcoin with a long-term outlook as they prepare for retirement.

“The reason why announced 50% of my salary in Bitcoin is because I feel one the noblest things you can do is to get people to understand Bitcoin.” Kieran Gibbs, founder ONE FC, ex Arsenal, ex Inter Miami, ex West Bromich Albion.

“I am trusting Bitcoin for my life after football. Every time my club paid me, I bought Bitcoin.” Alex Crognale, San Antonio FC player.

https://x.com/TFTC21/status/1883228348379533469

“At Botev Plovdiv FC, we believe not only in fostering sporting talent, but also helping them the the most of their careers so they excel in life after retiring from sports. It is with this mission in mind that the club is launching the Bitcoin Football Cup hub, striving to accelerate mass Bitcoin education via sports and athletes - the influencers and role models for billions of people.” shared Botev’s Bitcoin Director George Manolov.

https://x.com/obj/status/1856744340795662432

The Bitcoin Football Cup aims for young prospects to be able to learn key financial lessons from seasoned veterans across all sports. Our Bitcoin Salary Calculator is only the first step toward that goal.

We encourage anyone to hear these stories straight from the current roster of Bitcoin athletes -for whom -in many cases- Bitcoin has allowed them to outperform the wealth it took decades to earn on the field.

Follow us on the Bitcoin Cup’s social media channels to learn more and hear the latest stories of how Bitcoin is shaking up the world of sports:

• Twitter: https://x.com/Bitcoin_Cup/
• Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/BitcoinCup/
• TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@BitcoinCup/
• YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BitcoinCup/

@ 58d88196:bec81862

Where We Are Now: AI is already a big part of our lives, even if we don’t always notice it. Think about the last time you used GPS to avoid traffic—that’s AI at work, quietly making your day easier. Companies like NVIDIA,are behind a lot of this magic. They make the tech that powers everything from self-driving cars to massive data centers. In factories, companies like Siemens are using something called "digital twins"—basically virtual copies of their machines—to keep things running smoothly. It’s like having a crystal ball that tells you when a machine might break down before it actually does. Even cities are getting in on the action—Singapore, for example, has a project called Virtual Singapore, which is like a digital version of the city to help with planning things like new roads or buildings. And for us regular folks? If you’ve got a smartwatch tracking your steps or heart rate, you’re already creating a tiny digital version of yourself without even realizing it.

What’s Coming in the near future:Fast forward five or ten years, and this idea of digital twins is going to be everywhere. Picture a factory that never stops because its digital twin catches problems before they happen—no more delays, no more wasted time. Cities will get smarter, too. Imagine a scorching summer day during a heatwave, and instead of a blackout, the city’s AI system automatically shifts energy to where it’s needed most, keeping your AC running. For you and me, digital twins could become a game-changer in healthcare. Your doctor might have a digital version of you—built from your DNA, lifestyle, and even the air quality in your neighborhood—that’s constantly updated. It could warn you about a health issue before you even feel sick, or help your doctor figure out the best treatment just for you. And it doesn’t stop there. You might even have a virtual version of yourself that can attend boring work meetings for you, acting and talking just like you do, while you’re off grabbing a coffee or playing with your kids.

The Big Picture—and the Big Worries: This AI-powered future sounds amazing, but it’s not all smooth sailing. One big concern is privacy. To make these digital twins, companies need a ton of data about us—what we do, where we go, even how our bodies work. That can feel a little creepy, right? What if someone hacks into a city’s digital twin and messes with its power grid or traffic lights? That’s a real risk we’ll need to tackle. Plus, there’s the worry that only the big players—rich companies or cities—will be able to afford this tech, leaving smaller places or communities behind. It’s something we’ll need to figure out so everyone can benefit from what AI has to offer.

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Die Wahrheit verletzt tiefer als jede Beleidigung. \ Marquis de Sade

Sagen Sie niemals «Terroristin B.», «Schwachkopf H.», «korrupter Drecksack S.» oder «Meinungsfreiheitshasserin F.» und verkneifen Sie sich Memes, denn so etwas könnte Ihnen als Beleidigung oder Verleumdung ausgelegt werden und rechtliche Konsequenzen haben. Auch mit einer Frau M.-A. S.-Z. ist in dieser Beziehung nicht zu spaßen, sie gehört zu den Top-Anzeigenstellern.

«Politikerbeleidigung» als Straftatbestand wurde 2021 im Kampf gegen «Rechtsextremismus und Hasskriminalität» in Deutschland eingeführt, damals noch unter der Regierung Merkel. Im Gesetz nicht festgehalten ist die Unterscheidung zwischen schlechter Hetze und guter Hetze – trotzdem ist das gängige Praxis, wie der Titel fast schon nahelegt.

So dürfen Sie als Politikerin heute den Tesla als «Nazi-Auto» bezeichnen und dies ausdrücklich auf den Firmengründer Elon Musk und dessen «rechtsextreme Positionen» beziehen, welche Sie nicht einmal belegen müssen. [1] Vielleicht ernten Sie Proteste, jedoch vorrangig wegen der «gut bezahlten, unbefristeten Arbeitsplätze» in Brandenburg. Ihren Tweet hat die Berliner Senatorin Cansel Kiziltepe inzwischen offenbar dennoch gelöscht.

Dass es um die Meinungs- und Pressefreiheit in der Bundesrepublik nicht mehr allzu gut bestellt ist, befürchtet man inzwischen auch schon im Ausland. Der Fall des Journalisten David Bendels, der kürzlich wegen eines Faeser-Memes zu sieben Monaten Haft auf Bewährung verurteilt wurde, führte in diversen Medien zu Empörung. Die Welt versteckte ihre Kritik mit dem Titel «Ein Urteil wie aus einer Diktatur» hinter einer Bezahlschranke.

Unschöne, heutzutage vielleicht strafbare Kommentare würden mir auch zu einigen anderen Themen und Akteuren einfallen. Ein Kandidat wäre der deutsche Bundesgesundheitsminister (ja, er ist es tatsächlich immer noch). Während sich in den USA auf dem Gebiet etwas bewegt und zum Beispiel Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will, dass die Gesundheitsbehörde (CDC) keine Covid-Impfungen für Kinder mehr empfiehlt, möchte Karl Lauterbach vor allem das Corona-Lügengebäude vor dem Einsturz bewahren.

«Ich habe nie geglaubt, dass die Impfungen nebenwirkungsfrei sind», sagte Lauterbach jüngst der ZDF-Journalistin Sarah Tacke. Das steht in krassem Widerspruch zu seiner früher verbreiteten Behauptung, die Gen-Injektionen hätten keine Nebenwirkungen. Damit entlarvt er sich selbst als Lügner. Die Bezeichnung ist absolut berechtigt, dieser Mann dürfte keinerlei politische Verantwortung tragen und das Verhalten verlangt nach einer rechtlichen Überprüfung. Leider ist ja die Justiz anderweitig beschäftigt und hat außerdem selbst keine weiße Weste.

Obendrein kämpfte der Herr Minister für eine allgemeine Impfpflicht. Er beschwor dabei das Schließen einer «Impflücke», wie es die Weltgesundheitsorganisation – die «wegen Trump» in finanziellen Schwierigkeiten steckt – bis heute tut. Die WHO lässt aktuell ihre «Europäische Impfwoche» propagieren, bei der interessanterweise von Covid nicht mehr groß die Rede ist.

Einen «Klima-Leugner» würden manche wohl Nir Shaviv nennen, das ist ja nicht strafbar. Der Astrophysiker weist nämlich die Behauptung von einer Klimakrise zurück. Gemäß seiner Forschung ist mindestens die Hälfte der Erderwärmung nicht auf menschliche Emissionen, sondern auf Veränderungen im Sonnenverhalten zurückzuführen.

Das passt vielleicht auch den «Klima-Hysterikern» der britischen Regierung ins Konzept, die gerade Experimente zur Verdunkelung der Sonne angekündigt haben. Produzenten von Kunstfleisch oder Betreiber von Insektenfarmen würden dagegen vermutlich die Geschichte vom fatalen CO2 bevorzugen. Ihnen würde es besser passen, wenn der verantwortungsvolle Erdenbürger sein Verhalten gründlich ändern müsste.

In unserer völlig verkehrten Welt, in der praktisch jede Verlautbarung außerhalb der abgesegneten Narrative potenziell strafbar sein kann, gehört fast schon Mut dazu, Dinge offen anzusprechen. Im «besten Deutschland aller Zeiten» glaubten letztes Jahr nur noch 40 Prozent der Menschen, ihre Meinung frei äußern zu können. Das ist ein Armutszeugnis, und es sieht nicht gerade nach Besserung aus. Umso wichtiger ist es, dagegen anzugehen.

[Titelbild: Pixabay]

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[1] Zur Orientierung wenigstens ein paar Hinweise zur NS-Vergangenheit deutscher Automobilhersteller:

• Volkswagen
• Porsche
• Daimler-Benz
• BMW
• Audi
• Opel
• Heute: «Auto-Werke für die Rüstung? Rheinmetall prüft Übernahmen»

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Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Verstand ohne Gefühl ist unmenschlich; \ Gefühl ohne Verstand ist Dummheit. \ Egon Bahr

Seit Jahren werden wir darauf getrimmt, dass Fakten eigentlich gefühlt seien. Aber nicht alles ist relativ und nicht alles ist nach Belieben interpretierbar. Diese Schokoladenhasen beispielsweise, die an Ostern in unseren Gefilden typisch sind, «ostern» zwar nicht, sondern sie sitzen in der Regel, trotzdem verwandelt sie das nicht in «Sitzhasen».

Nichts soll mehr gelten, außer den immer invasiveren Gesetzen. Die eigenen Traditionen und Wurzeln sind potenziell «pfui», um andere Menschen nicht auszuschließen, aber wir mögen uns toleranterweise an die fremden Symbole und Rituale gewöhnen. Dabei ist es mir prinzipiell völlig egal, ob und wann jemand ein Fastenbrechen feiert, am Karsamstag oder jedem anderen Tag oder nie – aber bitte freiwillig.

Und vor allem: Lasst die Finger von den Kindern! In Bern setzten kürzlich Demonstranten ein Zeichen gegen die zunehmende Verbreitung woker Ideologie im Bildungssystem und forderten ein Ende der sexuellen Indoktrination von Schulkindern.

Wenn es nicht wegen des heiklen Themas Migration oder wegen des Regenbogens ist, dann wegen des Klimas. Im Rahmen der «Netto Null»-Agenda zum Kampf gegen das angeblich teuflische CO2 sollen die Menschen ihre Ernährungsgewohnheiten komplett ändern. Nach dem Willen von Produzenten synthetischer Lebensmittel, wie Bill Gates, sollen wir baldmöglichst praktisch auf Fleisch und alle Milchprodukte wie Milch und Käse verzichten. Ein lukratives Geschäftsmodell, das neben der EU aktuell auch von einem britischen Lobby-Konsortium unterstützt wird.

Sollten alle ideologischen Stricke zu reißen drohen, ist da immer noch «der Putin». Die Unions-Europäer offenbaren sich dabei ständig mehr als Vertreter der Rüstungsindustrie. Allen voran zündelt Deutschland an der Kriegslunte, angeführt von einem scheinbar todesmutigen Kanzlerkandidaten Friedrich Merz. Nach dessen erneuter Aussage, «Taurus»-Marschflugkörper an Kiew liefern zu wollen, hat Russland eindeutig klargestellt, dass man dies als direkte Kriegsbeteiligung werten würde – «mit allen sich daraus ergebenden Konsequenzen für Deutschland».

Wohltuend sind Nachrichten über Aktivitäten, die sich der allgemeinen Kriegstreiberei entgegenstellen oder diese öffentlich hinterfragen. Dazu zählt auch ein Kongress kritischer Psychologen und Psychotherapeuten, der letzte Woche in Berlin stattfand. Die vielen Vorträge im Kontext von «Krieg und Frieden» deckten ein breites Themenspektrum ab, darunter Friedensarbeit oder die Notwendigkeit einer «Pädagogik der Kriegsuntüchtigkeit».

Der heutige «stille Freitag», an dem Christen des Leidens und Sterbens von Jesus gedenken, ist vielleicht unabhängig von jeder religiösen oder spirituellen Prägung eine passende Einladung zur Reflexion. In der Ruhe liegt die Kraft. In diesem Sinne wünsche ich Ihnen frohe Ostertage!

[Titelbild: Pixabay]

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Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Es ist völlig unbestritten, dass der Angriff der russischen Armee auf die Ukraine im Februar 2022 strikt zu verurteilen ist. Ebenso unbestritten ist Russland unter Wladimir Putin keine brillante Demokratie. Aus diesen Tatsachen lässt sich jedoch nicht das finstere Bild des russischen Präsidenten – und erst recht nicht des Landes – begründen, das uns durchweg vorgesetzt wird und den Kern des aktuellen europäischen Bedrohungs-Szenarios darstellt. Da müssen wir schon etwas genauer hinschauen.

Der vorliegende Artikel versucht derweil nicht, den Einsatz von Gewalt oder die Verletzung von Menschenrechten zu rechtfertigen oder zu entschuldigen – ganz im Gegenteil. Dass jedoch der Verdacht des «Putinverstehers» sofort latent im Raume steht, verdeutlicht, was beim Thema «Russland» passiert: Meinungsmache und Manipulation.

Angesichts der mentalen Mobilmachung seitens Politik und Medien sowie des Bestrebens, einen bevorstehenden Krieg mit Russland geradezu herbeizureden, ist es notwendig, dieser fatalen Entwicklung entgegenzutreten. Wenn wir uns nur ein wenig von der herrschenden Schwarz-Weiß-Malerei freimachen, tauchen automatisch Fragen auf, die Risse im offiziellen Narrativ enthüllen. Grund genug, nachzuhaken.

Wer sich schon länger auch abseits der Staats- und sogenannten Leitmedien informiert, der wird in diesem Artikel vermutlich nicht viel Neues erfahren. Andere könnten hier ein paar unbekannte oder vergessene Aspekte entdecken. Möglicherweise klärt sich in diesem Kontext die Wahrnehmung der aktuellen (unserer eigenen!) Situation ein wenig.

Manipulation erkennen

Corona-«Pandemie», menschengemachter Klimawandel oder auch Ukraine-Krieg: Jede Menge Krisen, und für alle gibt es ein offizielles Narrativ, dessen Hinterfragung unerwünscht ist. Nun ist aber ein Narrativ einfach eine Erzählung, eine Geschichte (Latein: «narratio») und kein Tatsachenbericht. Und so wie ein Märchen soll auch das Narrativ eine Botschaft vermitteln.

Über die Methoden der Manipulation ist viel geschrieben worden, sowohl in Bezug auf das Individuum als auch auf die Massen. Sehr wertvolle Tipps dazu, wie man Manipulationen durchschauen kann, gibt ein Büchlein [1] von Albrecht Müller, dem Herausgeber der NachDenkSeiten.

Die Sprache selber eignet sich perfekt für die Manipulation. Beispielsweise kann die Wortwahl Bewertungen mitschwingen lassen, regelmäßiges Wiederholen (gerne auch von verschiedenen Seiten) lässt Dinge irgendwann «wahr» erscheinen, Übertreibungen fallen auf und hinterlassen wenigstens eine Spur im Gedächtnis, genauso wie Andeutungen. Belege spielen dabei keine Rolle.

Es gibt auffällig viele Sprachregelungen, die offenbar irgendwo getroffen und irgendwie koordiniert werden. Oder alle Redenschreiber und alle Medien kopieren sich neuerdings permanent gegenseitig. Welchen Zweck hat es wohl, wenn der Krieg in der Ukraine durchgängig und quasi wörtlich als «russischer Angriffskrieg auf die Ukraine» bezeichnet wird? Obwohl das in der Sache richtig ist, deutet die Art der Verwendung auf gezielte Beeinflussung hin und soll vor allem das Feindbild zementieren.

Sprachregelungen dienen oft der Absicherung einer einseitigen Darstellung. Das Gleiche gilt für das Verkürzen von Informationen bis hin zum hartnäckigen Verschweigen ganzer Themenbereiche. Auch hierfür gibt es rund um den Ukraine-Konflikt viele gute Beispiele.

Das gewünschte Ergebnis solcher Methoden ist eine Schwarz-Weiß-Malerei, bei der einer eindeutig als «der Böse» markiert ist und die anderen automatisch «die Guten» sind. Das ist praktisch und demonstriert gleichzeitig ein weiteres Manipulationswerkzeug: die Verwendung von Doppelstandards. Wenn man es schafft, bei wichtigen Themen regelmäßig mit zweierlei Maß zu messen, ohne dass das Publikum protestiert, dann hat man freie Bahn.

Experten zu bemühen, um bestimmte Sachverhalte zu erläutern, ist sicher sinnvoll, kann aber ebenso missbraucht werden, schon allein durch die Auswahl der jeweiligen Spezialisten. Seit «Corona» werden viele erfahrene und ehemals hoch angesehene Fachleute wegen der «falschen Meinung» diffamiert und gecancelt. [2] Das ist nicht nur ein brutaler Umgang mit Menschen, sondern auch eine extreme Form, die öffentliche Meinung zu steuern.

Wann immer wir also erkennen (weil wir aufmerksam waren), dass wir bei einem bestimmten Thema manipuliert werden, dann sind zwei logische und notwendige Fragen: Warum? Und was ist denn richtig? In unserem Russland-Kontext haben die Antworten darauf viel mit Geopolitik und Geschichte zu tun.

Ist Russland aggressiv und expansiv?

Angeblich plant Russland, europäische NATO-Staaten anzugreifen, nach dem Motto: «Zuerst die Ukraine, dann den Rest». In Deutschland weiß man dafür sogar das Datum: «Wir müssen bis 2029 kriegstüchtig sein», versichert Verteidigungsminister Pistorius.

Historisch gesehen ist es allerdings eher umgekehrt: Russland, bzw. die Sowjetunion, ist bereits dreimal von Westeuropa aus militärisch angegriffen worden. Die Feldzüge Napoleons, des deutschen Kaiserreichs und Nazi-Deutschlands haben Millionen Menschen das Leben gekostet. Bei dem ausdrücklichen Vernichtungskrieg ab 1941 kam es außerdem zu Brutalitäten wie der zweieinhalbjährigen Belagerung Leningrads (heute St. Petersburg) durch Hitlers Wehrmacht. Deren Ziel, die Bevölkerung auszuhungern, wurde erreicht: über eine Million tote Zivilisten.

Trotz dieser Erfahrungen stimmte Michail Gorbatschow 1990 der deutschen Wiedervereinigung zu und die Sowjetunion zog ihre Truppen aus Osteuropa zurück (vgl. Abb. 1). Der Warschauer Pakt wurde aufgelöst, der Kalte Krieg formell beendet. Die Sowjets erhielten damals von führenden westlichen Politikern die Zusicherung, dass sich die NATO «keinen Zentimeter ostwärts» ausdehnen würde, das ist dokumentiert. [3]

Expandiert ist die NATO trotzdem, und zwar bis an Russlands Grenzen (vgl. Abb. 2). Laut dem Politikberater Jeffrey Sachs handelt es sich dabei um ein langfristiges US-Projekt, das von Anfang an die Ukraine und Georgien mit einschloss. Offiziell wurde der Beitritt beiden Staaten 2008 angeboten. In jedem Fall könnte die massive Ost-Erweiterung seit 1999 aus russischer Sicht nicht nur als Vertrauensbruch, sondern durchaus auch als aggressiv betrachtet werden.

Russland hat den europäischen Staaten mehrfach die Hand ausgestreckt [4] für ein friedliches Zusammenleben und den «Aufbau des europäischen Hauses». Präsident Putin sei «in seiner ersten Amtszeit eine Chance für Europa» gewesen, urteilt die Journalistin und langjährige Russland-Korrespondentin der ARD, Gabriele Krone-Schmalz. Er habe damals viele positive Signale Richtung Westen gesendet.

Die Europäer jedoch waren scheinbar an einer Partnerschaft mit dem kontinentalen Nachbarn weniger interessiert als an der mit dem transatlantischen Hegemon. Sie verkennen bis heute, dass eine gedeihliche Zusammenarbeit in Eurasien eine Gefahr für die USA und deren bekundetes Bestreben ist, die «einzige Weltmacht» zu sein – «Full Spectrum Dominance» [5] nannte das Pentagon das. Statt einem neuen Kalten Krieg entgegenzuarbeiten, ließen sich europäische Staaten selber in völkerrechtswidrige «US-dominierte Angriffskriege» [6] verwickeln, wie in Serbien, Afghanistan, dem Irak, Libyen oder Syrien. Diese werden aber selten so benannt.

Speziell den Deutschen stünde außer einer Portion Realismus auch etwas mehr Dankbarkeit gut zu Gesicht. Das Geschichtsbewusstsein der Mehrheit scheint doch recht selektiv und das Selbstbewusstsein einiger etwas desorientiert zu sein. Bekanntermaßen waren es die Soldaten der sowjetischen Roten Armee, die unter hohen Opfern 1945 Deutschland «vom Faschismus befreit» haben. Bei den Gedenkfeiern zu 80 Jahren Kriegsende will jedoch das Auswärtige Amt – noch unter der Diplomatie-Expertin Baerbock, die sich schon länger offiziell im Krieg mit Russland wähnt, – nun keine Russen sehen: Sie sollen notfalls rausgeschmissen werden.

«Die Grundsatzfrage lautet: Geht es Russland um einen angemessenen Platz in einer globalen Sicherheitsarchitektur, oder ist Moskau schon seit langem auf einem imperialistischen Trip, der befürchten lassen muss, dass die Russen in fünf Jahren in Berlin stehen?»

So bringt Gabriele Krone-Schmalz [7] die eigentliche Frage auf den Punkt, die zur Einschätzung der Situation letztlich auch jeder für sich beantworten muss.

Was ist los in der Ukraine?

In der internationalen Politik geht es nie um Demokratie oder Menschenrechte, sondern immer um Interessen von Staaten. Diese These stammt von Egon Bahr, einem der Architekten der deutschen Ostpolitik des «Wandels durch Annäherung» aus den 1960er und 70er Jahren. Sie trifft auch auf den Ukraine-Konflikt zu, den handfeste geostrategische und wirtschaftliche Interessen beherrschen, obwohl dort angeblich «unsere Demokratie» verteidigt wird.

Es ist ein wesentliches Element des Ukraine-Narrativs und Teil der Manipulation, die Vorgeschichte des Krieges wegzulassen – mindestens die vor der russischen «Annexion» der Halbinsel Krim im März 2014, aber oft sogar komplett diejenige vor der Invasion Ende Februar 2022. Das Thema ist komplex, aber einige Aspekte, die für eine Beurteilung nicht unwichtig sind, will ich wenigstens kurz skizzieren. [8]

Das Gebiet der heutigen Ukraine und Russlands – die übrigens in der «Kiewer Rus» gemeinsame Wurzeln haben – hat der britische Geostratege Halford Mackinder bereits 1904 als eurasisches «Heartland» bezeichnet, dessen Kontrolle er eine große Bedeutung für die imperiale Strategie Großbritanniens zumaß. Für den ehemaligen Sicherheits- und außenpolitischen Berater mehrerer US-amerikanischer Präsidenten und Mitgründer der Trilateralen Kommission, Zbigniew Brzezinski, war die Ukraine nach der Auflösung der Sowjetunion ein wichtiger Spielstein auf dem «eurasischen Schachbrett», wegen seiner Nähe zu Russland, seiner Bodenschätze und seines Zugangs zum Schwarzen Meer.

Die Ukraine ist seit langem ein gespaltenes Land. Historisch zerrissen als Spielball externer Interessen und geprägt von ethnischen, kulturellen, religiösen und geografischen Unterschieden existiert bis heute, grob gesagt, eine Ost-West-Spaltung, welche die Suche nach einer nationalen Identität stark erschwert.

Insbesondere im Zuge der beiden Weltkriege sowie der Russischen Revolution entstanden tiefe Risse in der Bevölkerung. Ukrainer kämpften gegen Ukrainer, zum Beispiel die einen auf der Seite von Hitlers faschistischer Nazi-Armee und die anderen auf der von Stalins kommunistischer Roter Armee. Die Verbrechen auf beiden Seiten sind nicht vergessen. Dass nach der Unabhängigkeit 1991 versucht wurde, Figuren wie den radikalen Nationalisten Symon Petljura oder den Faschisten und Nazi-Kollaborateur Stepan Bandera als «Nationalhelden» zu installieren, verbessert die Sache nicht.

Während die USA und EU-Staaten zunehmend «ausländische Einmischung» (speziell russische) in «ihre Demokratien» wittern, betreiben sie genau dies seit Jahrzehnten in vielen Ländern der Welt. Die seit den 2000er Jahren bekannten «Farbrevolutionen» in Osteuropa werden oft als Methode des Regierungsumsturzes durch von außen gesteuerte «demokratische» Volksaufstände beschrieben. Diese Strategie geht auf Analysen zum «Schwarmverhalten» [9] seit den 1960er Jahren zurück (Studentenproteste), wo es um die potenzielle Wirksamkeit einer «rebellischen Hysterie» von Jugendlichen bei postmodernen Staatsstreichen geht. Heute nennt sich dieses gezielte Kanalisieren der Massen zur Beseitigung unkooperativer Regierungen «Soft-Power».

In der Ukraine gab es mit der «Orangen Revolution» 2004 und dem «Euromaidan» 2014 gleich zwei solcher «Aufstände». Der erste erzwang wegen angeblicher Unregelmäßigkeiten eine Wiederholung der Wahlen, was mit Wiktor Juschtschenko als neuem Präsidenten endete. Dieser war ehemaliger Direktor der Nationalbank und Befürworter einer Annäherung an EU und NATO. Seine Frau, die First Lady, ist US-amerikanische «Philanthropin» und war Beamtin im Weißen Haus in der Reagan- und der Bush-Administration.

Im Gegensatz zu diesem ersten Event endete der sogenannte Euromaidan unfriedlich und blutig. Die mehrwöchigen Proteste gegen Präsident Wiktor Janukowitsch, in Teilen wegen des nicht unterzeichneten Assoziierungsabkommens mit der EU, wurden zunehmend gewalttätiger und von Nationalisten und Faschisten des «Rechten Sektors» dominiert. Sie mündeten Ende Februar 2014 auf dem Kiewer Unabhängigkeitsplatz (Maidan) in einem Massaker durch Scharfschützen. Dass deren Herkunft und die genauen Umstände nicht geklärt wurden, störte die Medien nur wenig. [10]

Janukowitsch musste fliehen, er trat nicht zurück. Vielmehr handelte es sich um einen gewaltsamen, allem Anschein nach vom Westen inszenierten Putsch. Laut Jeffrey Sachs war das kein Geheimnis, außer vielleicht für die Bürger. Die USA unterstützten die Post-Maidan-Regierung nicht nur, sie beeinflussten auch ihre Bildung. Das geht unter anderem aus dem berühmten «Fuck the EU»-Telefonat der US-Chefdiplomatin für die Ukraine, Victoria Nuland, mit Botschafter Geoffrey Pyatt hervor.

Dieser Bruch der demokratischen Verfassung war letztlich der Auslöser für die anschließenden Krisen auf der Krim und im Donbass (Ostukraine). Angesichts der ukrainischen Geschichte mussten die nationalistischen Tendenzen und die Beteiligung der rechten Gruppen an dem Umsturz bei der russigsprachigen Bevölkerung im Osten ungute Gefühle auslösen. Es gab Kritik an der Übergangsregierung, Befürworter einer Abspaltung und auch für einen Anschluss an Russland.

Ebenso konnte Wladimir Putin in dieser Situation durchaus Bedenken wegen des Status der russischen Militärbasis für seine Schwarzmeerflotte in Sewastopol auf der Krim haben, für die es einen langfristigen Pachtvertrag mit der Ukraine gab. Was im März 2014 auf der Krim stattfand, sei keine Annexion, sondern eine Abspaltung (Sezession) nach einem Referendum gewesen, also keine gewaltsame Aneignung, urteilte der Rechtswissenschaftler Reinhard Merkel in der FAZ sehr detailliert begründet. Übrigens hatte die Krim bereits zu Zeiten der Sowjetunion den Status einer autonomen Republik innerhalb der Ukrainischen SSR.

Anfang April 2014 wurden in der Ostukraine die «Volksrepubliken» Donezk und Lugansk ausgerufen. Die Kiewer Übergangsregierung ging unter der Bezeichnung «Anti-Terror-Operation» (ATO) militärisch gegen diesen, auch von Russland instrumentalisierten Widerstand vor. Zufällig war kurz zuvor CIA-Chef John Brennan in Kiew. Die Maßnahmen gingen unter dem seit Mai neuen ukrainischen Präsidenten, dem Milliardär Petro Poroschenko, weiter. Auch Wolodymyr Selenskyj beendete den Bürgerkrieg nicht, als er 2019 vom Präsidenten-Schauspieler, der Oligarchen entmachtet, zum Präsidenten wurde. Er fuhr fort, die eigene Bevölkerung zu bombardieren.

Mit dem Einmarsch russischer Truppen in die Ostukraine am 24. Februar 2022 begann die zweite Phase des Krieges. Die Wochen und Monate davor waren intensiv. Im November hatte die Ukraine mit den USA ein Abkommen über eine «strategische Partnerschaft» unterzeichnet. Darin sagten die Amerikaner ihre Unterstützung der EU- und NATO-Perspektive der Ukraine sowie quasi für die Rückeroberung der Krim zu. Dagegen ließ Putin der NATO und den USA im Dezember 2021 einen Vertragsentwurf über beiderseitige verbindliche Sicherheitsgarantien zukommen, den die NATO im Januar ablehnte. Im Februar eskalierte laut OSZE die Gewalt im Donbass.

Bereits wenige Wochen nach der Invasion, Ende März 2022, kam es in Istanbul zu Friedensverhandlungen, die fast zu einer Lösung geführt hätten. Dass der Krieg nicht damals bereits beendet wurde, lag daran, dass der Westen dies nicht wollte. Man war der Meinung, Russland durch die Ukraine in diesem Stellvertreterkrieg auf Dauer militärisch schwächen zu können. Angesichts von Hunderttausenden Toten, Verletzten und Traumatisierten, die als Folge seitdem zu beklagen sind, sowie dem Ausmaß der Zerstörung, fehlen einem die Worte.

Hasst der Westen die Russen?

Diese Frage drängt sich auf, wenn man das oft unerträglich feindselige Gebaren beobachtet, das beileibe nicht neu ist und vor Doppelmoral trieft. Russland und speziell die Person Wladimir Putins werden regelrecht dämonisiert, was gleichzeitig scheinbar jede Form von Diplomatie ausschließt.

Russlands militärische Stärke, seine geografische Lage, sein Rohstoffreichtum oder seine unabhängige diplomatische Tradition sind sicher Störfaktoren für das US-amerikanische Bestreben, der Boss in einer unipolaren Welt zu sein. Ein womöglich funktionierender eurasischer Kontinent, insbesondere gute Beziehungen zwischen Russland und Deutschland, war indes schon vor dem Ersten Weltkrieg eine Sorge des britischen Imperiums.

Ein «Vergehen» von Präsident Putin könnte gewesen sein, dass er die neoliberale Schocktherapie à la IWF und den Ausverkauf des Landes (auch an US-Konzerne) beendete, der unter seinem Vorgänger herrschte. Dabei zeigte er sich als Führungspersönlichkeit und als nicht so formbar wie Jelzin. Diese Aspekte allein sind aber heute vermutlich keine ausreichende Erklärung für ein derart gepflegtes Feindbild.

Der Historiker und Philosoph Hauke Ritz erweitert den Fokus der Fragestellung zu: «Warum hasst der Westen die Russen so sehr?», was er zum Beispiel mit dem Medienforscher Michael Meyen und mit der Politikwissenschaftlerin Ulrike Guérot bespricht. Ritz stellt die interessante These [11] auf, dass Russland eine Provokation für den Westen sei, welcher vor allem dessen kulturelles und intellektuelles Potenzial fürchte.

Die Russen sind Europäer aber anders, sagt Ritz. Diese «Fremdheit in der Ähnlichkeit» erzeuge vielleicht tiefe Ablehnungsgefühle. Obwohl Russlands Identität in der europäischen Kultur verwurzelt ist, verbinde es sich immer mit der Opposition in Europa. Als Beispiele nennt er die Kritik an der katholischen Kirche oder die Verbindung mit der Arbeiterbewegung. Christen, aber orthodox; Sozialismus statt Liberalismus. Das mache das Land zum Antagonisten des Westens und zu einer Bedrohung der Machtstrukturen in Europa.

Fazit

Selbstverständlich kann man Geschichte, Ereignisse und Entwicklungen immer auf verschiedene Arten lesen. Dieser Artikel, obwohl viel zu lang, konnte nur einige Aspekte der Ukraine-Tragödie anreißen, die in den offiziellen Darstellungen in der Regel nicht vorkommen. Mindestens dürfte damit jedoch klar geworden sein, dass die Russische Föderation bzw. Wladimir Putin nicht der alleinige Aggressor in diesem Konflikt ist. Das ist ein Stellvertreterkrieg zwischen USA/NATO (gut) und Russland (böse); die Ukraine (edel) wird dabei schlicht verheizt.

Das ist insofern von Bedeutung, als die gesamte europäische Kriegshysterie auf sorgsam kultivierten Freund-Feind-Bildern beruht. Nur so kann Konfrontation und Eskalation betrieben werden, denn damit werden die wahren Hintergründe und Motive verschleiert. Angst und Propaganda sind notwendig, damit die Menschen den Wahnsinn mitmachen. Sie werden belogen, um sie zuerst zu schröpfen und anschließend auf die Schlachtbank zu schicken. Das kann niemand wollen, außer den stets gleichen Profiteuren: die Rüstungs-Lobby und die großen Investoren, die schon immer an Zerstörung und Wiederaufbau verdient haben.

Apropos Investoren: Zu den Top-Verdienern und somit Hauptinteressenten an einer Fortführung des Krieges zählt BlackRock, einer der weltgrößten Vermögensverwalter. Der deutsche Bundeskanzler in spe, Friedrich Merz, der gerne «Taurus»-Marschflugkörper an die Ukraine liefern und die Krim-Brücke zerstören möchte, war von 2016 bis 2020 Aufsichtsratsvorsitzender von BlackRock in Deutschland. Aber das hat natürlich nichts zu sagen, der Mann macht nur seinen Job.

Es ist ein Spiel der Kräfte, es geht um Macht und strategische Kontrolle, um Geheimdienste und die Kontrolle der öffentlichen Meinung, um Bodenschätze, Rohstoffe, Pipelines und Märkte. Das klingt aber nicht sexy, «Demokratie und Menschenrechte» hört sich besser und einfacher an. Dabei wäre eine für alle Seiten förderliche Politik auch nicht so kompliziert; das Handwerkszeug dazu nennt sich Diplomatie. Noch einmal Gabriele Krone-Schmalz:

«Friedliche Politik ist nichts anderes als funktionierender Interessenausgleich. Da geht’s nicht um Moral.»

Die Situation in der Ukraine ist sicher komplex, vor allem wegen der inneren Zerrissenheit. Es dürfte nicht leicht sein, eine friedliche Lösung für das Zusammenleben zu finden, aber die Beteiligten müssen es vor allem wollen. Unter den gegebenen Umständen könnte eine sinnvolle Perspektive mit Neutralität und föderalen Strukturen zu tun haben.

Allen, die sich bis hierher durch die Lektüre gearbeitet (oder auch einfach nur runtergescrollt) haben, wünsche ich frohe Oster-Friedenstage!

[Titelbild: Pixabay; Abb. 1 und 2: nach Ganser/SIPER; Abb. 3: SIPER]

--- Quellen: ---

[1] Albrecht Müller, «Glaube wenig. Hinterfrage alles. Denke selbst.», Westend 2019

[2] Zwei nette Beispiele:

• ARD-faktenfinder (sic), «Viel Aufmerksamkeit für fragwürdige Experten», 03/2023
• Neue Zürcher Zeitung, «Aufstieg und Fall einer Russlandversteherin – die ehemalige ARD-Korrespondentin Gabriele Krone-Schmalz rechtfertigt seit Jahren Putins Politik», 12/2022

[3] George Washington University, «NATO Expansion: What Gorbachev Heard – Declassified documents show security assurances against NATO expansion to Soviet leaders from Baker, Bush, Genscher, Kohl, Gates, Mitterrand, Thatcher, Hurd, Major, and Woerner», 12/2017

[4] Beispielsweise Wladimir Putin bei seiner Rede im Deutschen Bundestag, 25/09/2001

[5] William Engdahl, «Full Spectrum Dominance, Totalitarian Democracy In The New World Order», edition.engdahl 2009

[6] Daniele Ganser, «Illegale Kriege – Wie die NATO-Länder die UNO sabotieren. Eine Chronik von Kuba bis Syrien», Orell Füssli 2016

[7] Gabriele Krone-Schmalz, «Mit Friedensjournalismus gegen ‘Kriegstüchtigkeit’», Vortrag und Diskussion an der Universität Hamburg, veranstaltet von engagierten Studenten, 16/01/2025\ → Hier ist ein ähnlicher Vortrag von ihr (Video), den ich mit spanischer Übersetzung gefunden habe.

[8] Für mehr Hintergrund und Details empfehlen sich z.B. folgende Bücher:

• Mathias Bröckers, Paul Schreyer, «Wir sind immer die Guten», Westend 2019
• Gabriele Krone-Schmalz, «Russland verstehen? Der Kampf um die Ukraine und die Arroganz des Westens», Westend 2023
• Patrik Baab, «Auf beiden Seiten der Front – Meine Reisen in die Ukraine», Fiftyfifty 2023

[9] vgl. Jonathan Mowat, «Washington's New World Order "Democratization" Template», 02/2005 und RAND Corporation, «Swarming and the Future of Conflict», 2000

[10] Bemerkenswert einige Beiträge, von denen man später nichts mehr wissen wollte:

• ARD Monitor, «Todesschüsse in Kiew: Wer ist für das Blutbad vom Maidan verantwortlich», 10/04/2014, Transkript hier
• Telepolis, «Blutbad am Maidan: Wer waren die Todesschützen?», 12/04/2014
• Telepolis, «Scharfschützenmorde in Kiew», 14/12/2014
• Deutschlandfunk, «Gefahr einer Spirale nach unten», Interview mit Günter Verheugen, 18/03/2014
• NDR Panorama, «Putsch in Kiew: Welche Rolle spielen die Faschisten?», 06/03/2014

[11] Hauke Ritz, «Vom Niedergang des Westens zur Neuerfindung Europas», 2024

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Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Zwei mal drei macht vier, \ widewidewitt und drei macht neune, \ ich mach mir die Welt, \ widewide wie sie mir gefällt. \ Pippi Langstrumpf

Egal, ob Koalitionsverhandlungen oder politischer Alltag: Die Kontroversen zwischen theoretisch verschiedenen Parteien verschwinden, wenn es um den Kampf gegen politische Gegner mit Rückenwind geht. Wer den Alteingesessenen die Pfründe ernsthaft streitig machen könnte, gegen den werden nicht nur «Brandmauern» errichtet, sondern der wird notfalls auch strafrechtlich verfolgt. Doppelstandards sind dabei selbstverständlich inklusive.

In Frankreich ist diese Woche Marine Le Pen wegen der Veruntreuung von EU-Geldern von einem Gericht verurteilt worden. Als Teil der Strafe wurde sie für fünf Jahre vom passiven Wahlrecht ausgeschlossen. Obwohl das Urteil nicht rechtskräftig ist – Le Pen kann in Berufung gehen –, haben die Richter das Verbot, bei Wahlen anzutreten, mit sofortiger Wirkung verhängt. Die Vorsitzende des rechtsnationalen Rassemblement National (RN) galt als aussichtsreiche Kandidatin für die Präsidentschaftswahl 2027.

Das ist in diesem Jahr bereits der zweite gravierende Fall von Wahlbeeinflussung durch die Justiz in einem EU-Staat. In Rumänien hatte Călin Georgescu im November die erste Runde der Präsidentenwahl überraschend gewonnen. Das Ergebnis wurde später annulliert, die behauptete «russische Wahlmanipulation» konnte jedoch nicht bewiesen werden. Die Kandidatur für die Wahlwiederholung im Mai wurde Georgescu kürzlich durch das Verfassungsgericht untersagt.

Die Veruntreuung öffentlicher Gelder muss untersucht und geahndet werden, das steht außer Frage. Diese Anforderung darf nicht selektiv angewendet werden. Hingegen mussten wir in der Vergangenheit bei ungleich schwerwiegenderen Fällen von (mutmaßlichem) Missbrauch ganz andere Vorgehensweisen erleben, etwa im Fall der heutigen EZB-Chefin Christine Lagarde oder im «Pfizergate»-Skandal um die Präsidentin der EU-Kommission Ursula von der Leyen.

Wenngleich derartige Angelegenheiten formal auf einer rechtsstaatlichen Grundlage beruhen mögen, so bleibt ein bitterer Beigeschmack. Es stellt sich die Frage, ob und inwieweit die Justiz politisch instrumentalisiert wird. Dies ist umso interessanter, als die Gewaltenteilung einen essenziellen Teil jeder demokratischen Ordnung darstellt, während die Bekämpfung des politischen Gegners mit juristischen Mitteln gerade bei den am lautesten rufenden Verteidigern «unserer Demokratie» populär zu sein scheint.

Die Delegationen von CDU/CSU und SPD haben bei ihren Verhandlungen über eine Regierungskoalition genau solche Maßnahmen diskutiert. «Im Namen der Wahrheit und der Demokratie» möchte man noch härter gegen «Desinformation» vorgehen und dafür zum Beispiel den Digital Services Act der EU erweitern. Auch soll der Tatbestand der Volksverhetzung verschärft werden – und im Entzug des passiven Wahlrechts münden können. Auf europäischer Ebene würde Friedrich Merz wohl gerne Ungarn das Stimmrecht entziehen.

Der Pegel an Unzufriedenheit und Frustration wächst in großen Teilen der Bevölkerung kontinuierlich. Arroganz, Machtmissbrauch und immer abstrusere Ausreden für offensichtlich willkürliche Maßnahmen werden kaum verhindern, dass den etablierten Parteien die Unterstützung entschwindet. In Deutschland sind die Umfrageergebnisse der AfD ein guter Gradmesser dafür.

[Vorlage Titelbild: Pixabay]

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Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Spanien bleibt einer der Vorreiter im europäischen Prozess der totalen Überwachung per Digitalisierung. Seit Mittwoch ist dort der digitale Personalausweis verfügbar. Dabei handelt es sich um eine Regierungs-App, die auf dem Smartphone installiert werden muss und in den Stores von Google und Apple zu finden ist. Per Dekret von Regierungschef Pedro Sánchez und Zustimmung des Ministerrats ist diese Maßnahme jetzt in Kraft getreten.

Mit den üblichen Argumenten der Vereinfachung, des Komforts, der Effizienz und der Sicherheit preist das Innenministerium die «Innovation» an. Auch die Beteuerung, dass die digitale Variante parallel zum physischen Ausweis existieren wird und diesen nicht ersetzen soll, fehlt nicht. Während der ersten zwölf Monate wird «der Neue» noch nicht für alle Anwendungsfälle gültig sein, ab 2026 aber schon.

Dass die ganze Sache auch «Risiken und Nebenwirkungen» haben könnte, wird in den Mainstream-Medien eher selten thematisiert. Bestenfalls wird der Aspekt der Datensicherheit angesprochen, allerdings in der Regel direkt mit dem Regierungsvokabular von den «maximalen Sicherheitsgarantien» abgehandelt. Dennoch gibt es einige weitere Aspekte, die Bürger mit etwas Sinn für Privatsphäre bedenken sollten.

Um sich die digitale Version des nationalen Ausweises besorgen zu können (eine App mit dem Namen MiDNI), muss man sich vorab online registrieren. Dabei wird die Identität des Bürgers mit seiner mobilen Telefonnummer verknüpft. Diese obligatorische fixe Verdrahtung kennen wir von diversen anderen Apps und Diensten. Gleichzeitig ist das die Basis für eine perfekte Lokalisierbarkeit der Person.

Für jeden Vorgang der Identifikation in der Praxis wird später «eine Verbindung zu den Servern der Bundespolizei aufgebaut». Die Daten des Individuums werden «in Echtzeit» verifiziert und im Erfolgsfall von der Polizei signiert zurückgegeben. Das Ergebnis ist ein QR-Code mit zeitlich begrenzter Gültigkeit, der an Dritte weitergegeben werden kann.

Bei derartigen Szenarien sträuben sich einem halbwegs kritischen Staatsbürger die Nackenhaare. Allein diese minimale Funktionsbeschreibung lässt die totale Überwachung erkennen, die damit ermöglicht wird. Jede Benutzung des Ausweises wird künftig registriert, hinterlässt also Spuren. Und was ist, wenn die Server der Polizei einmal kein grünes Licht geben? Das wäre spätestens dann ein Problem, wenn der digitale doch irgendwann der einzig gültige Ausweis ist: Dann haben wir den abschaltbaren Bürger.

Dieser neue Vorstoß der Regierung von Pedro Sánchez ist ein weiterer Schritt in Richtung der «totalen Digitalisierung» des Landes, wie diese Politik in manchen Medien – nicht einmal kritisch, sondern sehr naiv – genannt wird. Ebenso verharmlosend wird auch erwähnt, dass sich das spanische Projekt des digitalen Ausweises nahtlos in die Initiativen der EU zu einer digitalen Identität für alle Bürger sowie des digitalen Euro einreiht.

In Zukunft könnte der neue Ausweis «auch in andere staatliche und private digitale Plattformen integriert werden», wie das Medienportal Cope ganz richtig bemerkt. Das ist die Perspektive.

[Titelbild: Pixabay]

Dazu passend:

Nur Abschied vom Alleinfahren? Monströse spanische Überwachungsprojekte gemäß EU-Norm

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Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ aa8de34f:a6ffe696

In seinem Beitrag vom 30. März 2025 fragt Henning Rosenbusch auf Telegram angesichts zunehmender digitaler Kontrolle und staatlicher Allmacht:

„Wie soll sich gegen eine solche Tyrannei noch ein Widerstand formieren können, selbst im Untergrund? Sehe ich nicht.“\ (Quelle: t.me/rosenbusch/25228)

Er beschreibt damit ein Gefühl der Ohnmacht, das viele teilen: Eine Welt, in der Totalitarismus nicht mehr mit Panzern, sondern mit Algorithmen kommt. Wo Zugriff auf Geld, Meinungsfreiheit und Teilhabe vom Wohlverhalten abhängt. Der Bürger als kontrollierbare Variable im Code des Staates.\ Die Frage ist berechtigt. Doch die Antwort darauf liegt nicht in alten Widerstandsbildern – sondern in einer neuen Realität.

-- Denn es braucht keinen Untergrund mehr. --

Der Widerstand der Zukunft trägt keinen Tarnanzug. Er ist nicht konspirativ, sondern transparent. Nicht bewaffnet, sondern mathematisch beweisbar. Bitcoin steht nicht am Rand dieser Entwicklung – es ist ihr Fundament. Eine Bastion aus physikalischer Realität, spieltheoretischem Schutz und ökonomischer Wahrheit. Es ist nicht unfehlbar, aber unbestechlich. Nicht perfekt, aber immun gegen zentrale Willkür.

Hier entsteht kein „digitales Gegenreich“, sondern eine dezentrale Renaissance. Keine Revolte aus Wut, sondern eine stille Abkehr: von Zwang zu Freiwilligkeit, von Abhängigkeit zu Selbstverantwortung. Diese Revolution führt keine Kriege. Sie braucht keine Führer. Sie ist ein Netzwerk. Jeder Knoten ein Individuum. Jede Entscheidung ein Akt der Selbstermächtigung.

Weltweit wachsen Freiheits-Zitadellen aus dieser Idee: wirtschaftlich autark, digital souverän, lokal verankert und global vernetzt. Sie sind keine Utopien im luftleeren Raum, sondern konkrete Realitäten – angetrieben von Energie, Code und dem menschlichen Wunsch nach Würde.

Der Globalismus alter Prägung – zentralistisch, monopolistisch, bevormundend – wird an seiner eigenen Hybris zerbrechen. Seine Werkzeuge der Kontrolle werden ihn nicht retten. Im Gegenteil: Seine Geister werden ihn verfolgen und erlegen.

Und während die alten Mächte um Erhalt kämpfen, wächst eine neue Welt – nicht im Schatten, sondern im Offenen. Nicht auf Gewalt gebaut, sondern auf Mathematik, Physik und Freiheit.

Die Tyrannei sieht keinen Widerstand.\ Weil sie nicht erkennt, dass er längst begonnen hat.\ Unwiderruflich. Leise. Überall.

@ 09d5c0a0:2ebbe260

*For some people, Bitcoin is about saving for retirement. For others, it’s about eating tomorrow. __I first shared the idea of a “Bitcoin Privilege Curve” at the Plan B Forum 2025 in El Salvador. And it still guides how I see Bitcoin today—especially here in Uganda. __Bitcoin shows up differently depending on where you are in life. What it gives you depends on what you need most. __In Uganda, Bitcoin shows up as survival and uphill battle towards financial empowerment to the largely financially illiterate community. __Sometimes it’s food. Sometimes it’s school fees. Or even a skill. We receive Bitcoin donations that allow us to feed orphans, support teachers, and build small projects that teach these children how to farm, save, and think differently about money, __They’re learning how to live better. A child who knows how to grow food and save in sats is building wealth from the ground up. That’s what the lower end of the curve looks like: *Cheap transactions: Many of the people we work with don’t have bank accounts and the cost of accessing, setting up and maintaining a bank account is just unnecessary. Bitcoin lets them send and receive money within themselves almost at no fees, a better option than the exploitative fee structure by mobile money service providers and most banks. Cross-border remittances: We’ve seen Bitcoin move across borders in minutes with no forms, no gatekeepers. I can instantly and cheaply pay for a friend's grocery shopping in Kenya by sending Kenyan shillings into a Grocery Vendor's Mpesa straight from my Bitcoin wallet via Tando. Wealth multiplication: Even saving one sat creates a shift. It teaches patience. It grows over time. Bitcoin is a wealth multiplier for most underprivileged or privileged people, we taught Bitcoin and its principles to former students at Makerere University that have now entered the job market, from testimonials Bitcoin is helping them achieve their savings goals faster than their colleagues.

__Now go higher up the curve, and Bitcoin looks different. ****Wealth preservation: For someone with savings, Bitcoin protects that value over time, especially in regions with unstable currencies, the Argentina, Zimbabwe and Venezuala currency devaluation scandals always remind me that, you can do everything right and still end up losing all your hard earned value to mediocre goverment policies. Inflation hedge: Where governments keep printing money, Bitcoin holds its ground. It offers a stable alternative. The fallacy that inflation is a necessary evil no longer holds water, having a currency with a 21 Million coin hard cap enforceable by millions of Bitcoin network participants across the world guarantees no governement intervention. Censorship resistance: No one can freeze, reject or interfere with your Bitcoin and respective transactions. It's easy to assume because its a public ledger, you sacrifice privacy hence transaction integrity but this is far from the case, Bitcoin gives people freedom to transact without interference privately. Choice: Bitcoin doesn’t lock you into one system. You can move in and out of, save, or spend it however you see fit as long as your transactions obey the globally agreed upon, never changing network rules since 2009.

__So no, it’s not fair to compare someone struggling for a meal to someone saving for their retirement. But that’s the point. Bitcoin doesn’t need to be the same thing for everyone.

__With Gorilla Sats , our tourism project, we’re linking both ends of the curve. Bitcoiners from around the world visit our communities and spend their Bitcoin with local vendors. It’s not charity—it’s a circular economy. The people higher up the curve get meaningful experiences. Locals get income, exposure, and proof that their sats are valuable.

__In traditional finance, someone without a Visa machine can’t do business with someone carrying a card. The tourist who can't easily use mobile money and is hesistant because of exchange rates will spend comparably less but with Bitcoin, all you need is a phone even a basic button one because with now Machankura 8333, Bitcoin moves via USSD.

__Bitcoin offers privilege—but not the kind that excludes. It offers access, ownership, and freedom based on where you are in life. So no, it’s not fair to compare someone struggling for a meal with someone protecting their portfolio. But that’s the point.

__And if we build for everyone on the curve, we all move forward.

__If you’re building for Bitcoin adoption, think about the full curve. What’s it solving where you live? And who still needs a way in?

@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

Wo sind der 1. Stock, das Erdgeschoss und der Keller? Das Dach ist noch zu bauen. Das Haus zum unerklärlichen Krieg ist unfertig. Der Bau wurde schon viel früher begonnen, aber die westlichen Medien behaupten das Gegenteil oder verschweigen es. Eine Vorgeschichte darf es nicht geben.

Am Ukraine-Krieg sieht man, dass ein Konflikt, der entgegen den Behauptungen der Propaganda-Maschine nicht erst im Februar 2022 angefangen hat, wie lange es dauert, bis wieder Verhältnisse zustande kommen, die eine Befriedung ermöglichen. Das Ringen darum ist hoffentlich endlich in die Zielgerade eingelaufen und man findet besser gestern als heute eine Lösung. So viele Menschenleben auf beiden Seiten hat dieser Wahnsinn bislang gekostet. Am Ende, wofür? Die Verwirrung bleibt bis zuletzt, denn einerseits treibt der US-amerikanische Präsident die Friedensbemühungen maßgeblich voran, andererseits werden von US-amerikanischer Seite mutmaßlich die Waffenlieferungen fortgesetzt und Starlink nicht abgeschaltet, was erheblich zum abrupten Beenden des sinnlosen Sterbens beitragen würde.

Verträge sind zu erfüllen? Sicherung der US-amerikanischen Interessen? Druckmittel auf Russland? Und Europa? Europa, vor allem Deutschland, Frankreich und Großbritannien geben weiterhin den Geisterfahrer und haben immer noch nicht mitbekommen, dass sie in der Beilegung des Ukraine-Kriegs nicht das geringste zu sagen haben. Sie spielen sich aber auf, als hätten sie und machen „einen auf dicke Hose“. Murmeln werden als Eier verkauft.

Etwas aus dem Fokus der Neuen Medien gerät dabei der immer noch wütende Krieg im Gaza-Streifen mit einer israelischen Planier-Raupe, dessen Vorgeschichte noch länger ist, als die, die zum Ukraine-Krieg geführt hat. Rund 80 Jahre, aber auch hier eigentlich noch länger. Man kann sich vorstellen, wie lange es hier dauern wird, bis sich sichere, friedliche Verhältnisse einstellen können.

Wer kann sicher sein, wer nimmt sich das Recht heraus zu behaupten, wer entscheidet darüber, dass sich Zustände, wie im 3. Reich, die Verfolgung und Vernichtung einer Minderheit, damals die Juden, nicht wiederholen kann? Seitdem das geschehen ist, hat sich der Großteil der Menschheit keinen Millimeter weiterentwickelt.

Wenn gerade Deutsche Anzeichen für eine Wiederholung dieser tief-dunklen Zeit zu erkennen glauben, derzeit in dem, wie der israelische Staat mit dem Gaza-Streifen verfährt, dann ist das keine Verharmlosung der Gräueltaten im 3. Reich, sondern der Beweis dafür, dass es doch einige gibt, die aus der Geschichte gelernt haben, und die der Meinung sind, dass sich so etwas niemals mehr wiederholen darf.

Um auf einen Genozid hinzuweisen, muss jeder Vergleich möglich und erlaubt sein. Es geht um eine Mehrzahl von Menschen, von Familien, die einfach nur in Frieden leben wollen! Ungeachtet der Tatsache, dass es auf beiden Seiten Kräfte gibt, die das nicht interessiert.

Besonders tragisch wird es, wenn dieser Genozid augenscheinlich ausgerechnet von denen ausgeht, die selbst so schrecklich davon betroffen waren.

Wie kann sich der deutsche Staat erdreisten, diejenigen als Anti-Semiten zu bezeichnen, die hier Merkmale eines Genozids zu erkennen glauben und versuchen, diese kritischen Stimmen zu unterdrücken, „nur“, weil es sich um den Staat Israel handelt, der hier als Täter infrage kommt. Auch der Staat Israel hat keinen Freibrief, die Bevölkerung im Gaza-Streifen nach seinen Vorstellungen und Überzeugungen abzurasieren.

Ein Genozid ist ein Genozid, egal von welcher Regierung eines Landes er begangen wird.

Der Staat Israel ist keine Ausnahme! Im Gegenteil. Aufgrund der Erfahrung seines Volkes müsste es die Menschlichkeit gebieten, dass derartiger Völkermord nie wieder geschieht.

Weiter müsste der Begriff Anti-Semitismus einmal genau unter die Lupe genommen werden, was wer aus welchen Gründen darunter versteht. Man kann den Eindruck gewinnen, dass dieser Begriff vor allem als Totschlagargument verwendet wird, um kritische Stimmen mundtot zu machen. Besonders bei diesem heiklen Thema wäre absolute Akkuratesse dringend notwendig.

Es ist die Pflicht eines jeden, der Kritik an den Zuständen üben will, nicht zu verallgemeinern.

Nicht alle israelischen Staatsbürger sind Netanjahu-Anhänger (das zeigen die Demonstrationen), nicht alle Juden sind Zionisten, nicht einmal alle Zionisten sind Juden.

Und sicher sind auf der Gaza-Seite ebenfalls nicht nur „Engel“ unterwegs!

Beide Lager haben rund 80 Jahre Zeit gehabt, den gegenseitigen Hass durch gegenseitige Provokationen aufzubauen und ihn immer wieder sich entladen zu lassen.

Dieser unermessliche Hass kann nur über Generationen hinweg wieder abgebaut werden.

Wenn es jemals eine ernste Absicht gegeben hätte, eine 2-Staaten-Lösung zu realisieren, wäre diese schon längst in die Tat umgesetzt worden. Wenn jedoch der politische Wille dazu fehlt, vor allem auf der Seite des Stärkeren, passiert gar nichts. Und der fehlt jetzt schon seit rund 80 Jahren.

Maßgeblich durch die Briten ist der Staat Israel künstlich entstanden. Die Ableitung der Nutznießer auf einen Gebietsanspruch aus einem Glauben heraus, ist einmalig.

In dem nicht natürlich entstandenen, sondern künstlich geschaffenen Staatsgebilde liegt möglicherweise die Wurzel allen Übels, die von langer Hand, spätestens durch die Balfour-Deklaration im Jahre 1917 ihren Anfang genommen hat.

Man hat nun Jahrzehnte lang Zeit gehabt, zu beobachten, dass dieses Konstrukt ein sicheres Leben und eine Garantie für friedliche Verhältnisse aller nicht zustande gebracht hat. Schmerzliche Erfahrungen auf beiden Seiten haben bislang nicht dazu geführt, dass man zu der Einsicht gekommen wäre, dass man sich möglicherweise auf dem Holzweg befindet.

Die verfeindeten Lager müssten sich, neutral moderiert (welcher Staat, welcher Mensch ist heute noch neutral, oder zumindest kein Interessenvertreter?), zusammensetzen und sich in sicher nicht einfachen, langwierigen, zähen Gesprächen und Verhandlungen über die Neugründung eines gemeinsamen Staates für alle Beteiligten ernsthaft nachdenken, solange, bis es zu einer Einigung gekommen wäre, die für alle Beteiligten akzeptabel ist. Das Ergebnis, eine gemeinsame Staatenlösung, müsste das erklärte Ziel sein und wenn es noch so lange dauern würde.

Das Mitspracherecht müsste nach Bevölkerungsanteil in einem gerechten Verhältnis festgelegt werden. So müssten kleinere Anteile verhältnismäßig mehr Stimmanteile haben, als der größere Anteil, um zu möglichst für alle gerechten Entscheidungen zu gelangen, die alle Beteiligten mittragen könnten. Ein Vorankommen wäre nur durch Vernunft, nicht durch Starrsinn möglich.

Aufgrund der hitzigen Mentalität aller Beteiligten müssten beide Lager auf Gedeih und Verderb voneinander abhängig gemacht werden, sodass ein friedliches Zusammenraufen immer wieder nötig wäre, weil niemand in der Lage wäre, die Oberhand zu gewinnen.

Es müssten gegenseitige Abhängigkeiten geschaffen werden. So könnten zum Beispiel Lieferungen von Lebensmitteln, Wasser, Energie (Israel) usw. mit der Hoheit über die noch zu erschließenden Gasfelder (Gaza) vor Gaza „verrechnet“ werden, ohne, dass die USA oder sonst wer die Finger im Spiel haben.

Bei derartigen gegenseitigen Abhängigkeiten würde man sich schon zusammenraufen.

Das alles setzt voraus, dass der Mensch an sich seine menschlichen Schwächen unter Kontrolle bringen würde. Hierzu können Machtstreben, Geldgier, Rechthaberei, Überheblichkeit, Ideologien, Ansprüche aus einem Glauben heraus usw. gezählt werden.

Jerusalem müsste einen Sonderstatus erhalten und die Verwaltung müsste unter den drei Weltreligionen aufgeteilt werden. Jerusalem könnte im „Kleinen“ ein Beispiel dafür sein, wie der gesamte neue Staat im „Großen“ funktioniert. Und möglicherweise würde er so in der Tat funktionieren.

Für viele mag das alles vielleicht naiv oder sogar absurd klingen. Zur Herstellung von Frieden, Frieden in dem jede Mutter, gleich welcher Religion sie angehört, ihre Kinder in Sicherheit aufwachsen sehen kann, muss jede Überlegung und Idee, wie ein friedliches Miteinander realisiert werden kann, erlaubt sein zu denken und auch auszusprechen.

Eines ist sicher. So, wie die Verhältnisse in der Vergangenheit gestaltet wurden, hat die Realität eindeutig gezeigt, dass es so auf gar keinen Fall funktioniert. Also, warum nicht einfach einmal das Gehirn durchblasen, alte, überkommene Überzeugungen loswerden und endlich einmal etwas Neues denken?

Und wer jetzt immer noch sagt, das wäre eine Delegitimierung des Staates Israel, der sollte seine Gehirnwindungen einmal zur Inspektion bringen. Der Mensch, egal welcher Couleur und welcher Religion steht hier im Mittelpunkt. Im Mittelpunkt stehen Überlegungen, wie ein friedliches Miteinander möglich sein könnte. Falls sich herausstellt, dass das eine Utopie ist, auch gut, aber immerhin sind sich Gedanken gemacht worden, die von den eingefahrenen, zu nichts außer Elend führenden Entscheidungen abweichen. Und wenn es nur zur Anregung für andere Ideen dient, dann wäre schon viel getan. Und das ist weder anti-semitisch, noch anti-israelisch, noch anti-christlich, noch anti-moslemisch, noch anti-sonst wie, sondern vor allem ein Appell an die Vernunft, zu der der Mensch schließlich auch begabt ist.

Dieser Artikel wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben

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(Bild von Georg Ohrweh)

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Der Irrsinn ist bei Einzelnen etwas Seltenes – \ aber bei Gruppen, Parteien, Völkern, Zeiten die Regel. \ Friedrich Nietzsche

Erinnern Sie sich an die Horrorkomödie «Scary Movie»? Nicht, dass ich diese Art Filme besonders erinnerungswürdig fände, aber einige Szenen daraus sind doch gewissermaßen Klassiker. Dazu zählt eine, die das Verhalten vieler Protagonisten in Horrorfilmen parodiert, wenn sie in Panik flüchten. Welchen Weg nimmt wohl die Frau in der Situation auf diesem Bild?

Diese Szene kommt mir automatisch in den Sinn, wenn ich aktuelle Entwicklungen in Europa betrachte. Weitreichende Entscheidungen gehen wider jede Logik in die völlig falsche Richtung. Nur ist das hier alles andere als eine Komödie, sondern bitterernst. Dieser Horror ist leider sehr real.

Die Europäische Union hat sich selbst über Jahre konsequent in eine Sackgasse manövriert. Sie hat es versäumt, sich und ihre Politik selbstbewusst und im Einklang mit ihren Wurzeln auf dem eigenen Kontinent zu positionieren. Stattdessen ist sie in blinder Treue den vermeintlichen «transatlantischen Freunden» auf ihrem Konfrontationskurs gen Osten gefolgt.

In den USA haben sich die Vorzeichen allerdings mittlerweile geändert, und die einst hoch gelobten «Freunde und Partner» erscheinen den europäischen «Führern» nicht mehr vertrauenswürdig. Das ist spätestens seit der Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz, der Rede von Vizepräsident J. D. Vance und den empörten Reaktionen offensichtlich. Große Teile Europas wirken seitdem wie ein aufgescheuchter Haufen kopfloser Hühner. Orientierung und Kontrolle sind völlig abhanden gekommen.

Statt jedoch umzukehren oder wenigstens zu bremsen und vielleicht einen Abzweig zu suchen, geben die Crash-Piloten jetzt auf dem Weg durch die Sackgasse erst richtig Gas. Ja sie lösen sogar noch die Sicherheitsgurte und deaktivieren die Airbags. Den vor Angst dauergelähmten Passagieren fällt auch nichts Besseres ein und so schließen sie einfach die Augen. Derweil übertrumpfen sich die Kommentatoren des Events gegenseitig in sensationslüsterner «Berichterstattung».

Wie schon die deutsche Außenministerin mit höchsten UN-Ambitionen, Annalena Baerbock, proklamiert auch die Europäische Kommission einen «Frieden durch Stärke». Zu dem jetzt vorgelegten, selbstzerstörerischen Fahrplan zur Ankurbelung der Rüstungsindustrie, genannt «Weißbuch zur europäischen Verteidigung – Bereitschaft 2030», erklärte die Kommissionspräsidentin, die «Ära der Friedensdividende» sei längst vorbei. Soll das heißen, Frieden bringt nichts ein? Eine umfassende Zusammenarbeit an dauerhaften europäischen Friedenslösungen steht demnach jedenfalls nicht zur Debatte.

Zusätzlich brisant ist, dass aktuell «die ganze EU von Deutschen regiert wird», wie der EU-Parlamentarier und ehemalige UN-Diplomat Michael von der Schulenburg beobachtet hat. Tatsächlich sitzen neben von der Leyen und Strack-Zimmermann noch einige weitere Deutsche in – vor allem auch in Krisenzeiten – wichtigen Spitzenposten der Union. Vor dem Hintergrund der Kriegstreiberei in Deutschland muss eine solche Dominanz mindestens nachdenklich stimmen.

Ihre ursprünglichen Grundwerte wie Demokratie, Freiheit, Frieden und Völkerverständigung hat die EU kontinuierlich in leere Worthülsen verwandelt. Diese werden dafür immer lächerlicher hochgehalten und beschworen.

Es wird dringend Zeit, dass wir, der Souverän, diesem erbärmlichen und gefährlichen Trauerspiel ein Ende setzen und die Fäden selbst in die Hand nehmen. In diesem Sinne fordert uns auch das «European Peace Project» auf, am 9. Mai im Rahmen eines Kunstprojekts den Frieden auszurufen. Seien wir dabei!

[Titelbild: Pixabay]

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Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ 66675158:1b644430

I don't believe in "vibe coding" – it's just the newest Silicon Valley fad trying to give meaning to their latest favorite technology, LLMs. We've seen this pattern before with blockchain, when suddenly Non Fungible Tokens appeared, followed by Web3 startups promising to revolutionize everything from social media to supply chains. VCs couldn't throw money fast enough at anything with "decentralized" (in name only) in the pitch deck. Andreessen Horowitz launched billion-dollar crypto funds, while Y Combinator batches filled with blockchain startups promising to be "Uber for X, but on the blockchain."

The metaverse mania followed, with Meta betting its future on digital worlds where we'd supposedly hang out as legless avatars. Decentralized (in name only) autonomous organizations emerged as the next big thing – supposedly democratic internet communities that ended up being the next scam for quick money.

Then came the inevitable collapse. The FTX implosion in late 2022 revealed fraud, Luna/Terra's death spiral wiped out billions (including my ten thousand dollars), while Celsius and BlockFi froze customer assets before bankruptcy.

By 2023, crypto winter had fully set in. The SEC started aggressive enforcement actions, while users realized that blockchain technology had delivered almost no practical value despite a decade of promises.

Blockchain's promises tapped into fundamental human desires – decentralization resonated with a generation disillusioned by traditional institutions. Evangelists presented a utopian vision of freedom from centralized control. Perhaps most significantly, crypto offered a sense of meaning in an increasingly abstract world, making the clear signs of scams harder to notice.

The technology itself had failed to solve any real-world problems at scale. By 2024, the once-mighty crypto ecosystem had become a cautionary tale. Venture firms quietly scrubbed blockchain references from their websites while founders pivoted to AI and large language models.

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Most reading this are likely fellow bitcoiners and nostr users who understand that Bitcoin is blockchain's only valid use case. But I shared that painful history because I believe the AI-hype cycle will follow the same trajectory.

Just like with blockchain, we're now seeing VCs who once couldn't stop talking about "Web3" falling over themselves to fund anything with "AI" in the pitch deck. The buzzwords have simply changed from "decentralized" to "intelligent."

"Vibe coding" is the perfect example – a trendy name for what is essentially just fuzzy instructions to LLMs. Developers who've spent years honing programming skills are now supposed to believe that "vibing" with an AI is somehow a legitimate methodology.

This might be controversial to some, but obvious to others:

Formal, context-free grammar will always remain essential for building precise systems, regardless of how advanced natural language technology becomes

The mathematical precision of programming languages provides a foundation that human language's ambiguity can never replace. Programming requires precision – languages, compilers, and processors operate on explicit instructions, not vibes. What "vibe coding" advocates miss is that beneath every AI-generated snippet lies the same deterministic rules that have always governed computation.

LLMs don't understand code in any meaningful sense—they've just ingested enormous datasets of human-written code and can predict patterns. When they "work," it's because they've seen similar patterns before, not because they comprehend the underlying logic.

This creates a dangerous dependency. Junior developers "vibing" with LLMs might get working code without understanding the fundamental principles. When something breaks in production, they'll lack the knowledge to fix it.

Even experienced developers can find themselves in treacherous territory when relying too heavily on LLM-generated code. What starts as a productivity boost can transform into a dependency crutch.

The real danger isn't just technical limitations, but the false confidence it instills. Developers begin to believe they understand systems they've merely instructed an AI to generate – fundamentally different from understanding code you've written yourself.

We're already seeing the warning signs: projects cobbled together with LLM-generated code that work initially but become maintenance nightmares when requirements change or edge cases emerge.

The venture capital money is flowing exactly as it did with blockchain. Anthropic raised billions, OpenAI is valued astronomically despite minimal revenue, and countless others are competing to build ever-larger models with vague promises. Every startup now claims to be "AI-powered" regardless of whether it makes sense.

Don't get me wrong—there's genuine innovation happening in AI research. But "vibe coding" isn't it. It's a marketing term designed to make fuzzy prompting sound revolutionary.

Cursor perfectly embodies this AI hype cycle. It's an AI-enhanced code editor built on VS Code that promises to revolutionize programming by letting you "chat with your codebase." Just like blockchain startups promised to "revolutionize" industries, Cursor promises to transform development by adding LLM capabilities.

Yes, Cursor can be genuinely helpful. It can explain unfamiliar code, suggest completions, and help debug simple issues. After trying it for just an hour, I found the autocomplete to be MAGICAL for simple refactoring and basic functionality.

But the marketing goes far beyond reality. The suggestion that you can simply describe what you want and get production-ready code is dangerously misleading. What you get are approximations with:

• Security vulnerabilities the model doesn't understand
• Edge cases it hasn't considered
• Performance implications it can't reason about
• Dependency conflicts it has no way to foresee

The most concerning aspect is how such tools are marketed to beginners as shortcuts around learning fundamentals. "Why spend years learning to code when you can just tell AI what you want?" This is reminiscent of how crypto was sold as a get-rich-quick scheme requiring no actual understanding.

When you "vibe code" with an AI, you're not eliminating complexity—you're outsourcing understanding to a black box. This creates developers who can prompt but not program, who can generate but not comprehend.

The real utility of LLMs in development is in augmenting existing workflows:

• Explaining unfamiliar codebases
• Generating boilerplate for well-understood patterns
• Suggesting implementations that a developer evaluates critically
• Assisting with documentation and testing

These uses involve the model as a subordinate assistant to a knowledgeable developer, not as a replacement for expertise. This is where the technology adds value—as a sophisticated tool in skilled hands.

Cursor is just a better hammer, not a replacement for understanding what you're building. The actual value emerges when used by developers who understand what happens beneath the abstractions. They can recognize when AI suggestions make sense and when they don't because they have the fundamental knowledge to evaluate output critically.

This is precisely where the "vibe coding" narrative falls apart.

@ c9badfea:610f861a

1. Install Organic Maps
2. Launch the app and download the World Map first
3. Tap the ☰ at the bottom, then select Download Maps, and tap the + icon
4. Download maps by tapping ⤓ next to your desired region
5. Return to the main screen and tap 🔍 to search for your destination
6. Enjoy navigating offline

ℹ️ Note that Organic Maps does not provide live traffic updates

@ a3c6f928:d45494fb

Financial freedom is a powerful concept—one that goes beyond simply having money in the bank. It is the ability to live the life you desire, free from the constraints of financial worry. Achieving financial freedom requires planning, discipline, and a clear understanding of your financial goals.

What Is Financial Freedom?

Financial freedom means having enough income, savings, and investments to support the lifestyle you want for yourself and your family. It is about being in control of your finances, instead of your finances controlling you. When you are financially free, you have choices—you can travel, start a business, or retire comfortably without constant stress about money.

Steps to Achieving Financial Freedom

1. Set Clear Financial Goals: Understand what financial freedom means to you and set measurable goals to achieve it.

2. Create a Budget and Stick to It: Track your income and expenses to identify areas where you can save more.

3. Invest Wisely: Grow your wealth by investing in assets like stocks, real estate, or mutual funds.

4. Build an Emergency Fund: Save at least 3-6 months’ worth of living expenses to protect against unexpected events.

5. Eliminate Debt: High-interest debt can be a major barrier to financial freedom. Prioritize paying it off.

Why Financial Freedom Matters

Financial freedom gives you the power to make decisions without being bound by financial constraints. It allows for greater life flexibility, reduces stress, and opens up opportunities that would otherwise be unreachable. Most importantly, it provides peace of mind and the ability to focus on what truly matters.

Start Your Journey Today

The path to financial freedom is not a quick fix—it is a lifelong commitment to smart financial choices. But with perseverance and planning, it is achievable. Begin today, and take control of your financial future.

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“Financial freedom is available to those who learn about it and work for it.” — Robert Kiyosaki

Plan wisely. Invest smartly. Live freely.

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Wir werden nicht zulassen, dass technisch manches möglich ist, \ aber der Staat es nicht nutzt. \ Angela Merkel

Die Modalverben zu erklären, ist im Deutschunterricht manchmal nicht ganz einfach. Nicht alle Fremdsprachen unterscheiden zum Beispiel bei der Frage nach einer Möglichkeit gleichermaßen zwischen «können» im Sinne von «die Gelegenheit, Kenntnis oder Fähigkeit haben» und «dürfen» als «die Erlaubnis oder Berechtigung haben». Das spanische Wort «poder» etwa steht für beides.

Ebenso ist vielen Schülern auf den ersten Blick nicht recht klar, dass das logische Gegenteil von «müssen» nicht unbedingt «nicht müssen» ist, sondern vielmehr «nicht dürfen». An den Verkehrsschildern lässt sich so etwas meistens recht gut erklären: Manchmal muss man abbiegen, aber manchmal darf man eben nicht.

Dieses Beispiel soll ein wenig die Verwirrungstaktik veranschaulichen, die in der Politik gerne verwendet wird, um unpopuläre oder restriktive Maßnahmen Stück für Stück einzuführen. Zuerst ist etwas einfach innovativ und bringt viele Vorteile. Vor allem ist es freiwillig, jeder kann selber entscheiden, niemand muss mitmachen. Später kann man zunehmend weniger Alternativen wählen, weil sie verschwinden, und irgendwann verwandelt sich alles andere in «nicht dürfen» – die Maßnahme ist obligatorisch.

Um die Durchsetzung derartiger Initiativen strategisch zu unterstützen und nett zu verpacken, gibt es Lobbyisten, gerne auch NGOs genannt. Dass das «NG» am Anfang dieser Abkürzung übersetzt «Nicht-Regierungs-» bedeutet, ist ein Anachronismus. Das war vielleicht früher einmal so, heute ist eher das Gegenteil gemeint.

In unserer modernen Zeit wird enorm viel Lobbyarbeit für die Digitalisierung praktisch sämtlicher Lebensbereiche aufgewendet. Was das auf dem Sektor der Mobilität bedeuten kann, haben wir diese Woche anhand aktueller Entwicklungen in Spanien beleuchtet. Begründet teilweise mit Vorgaben der Europäischen Union arbeitet man dort fleißig an einer «neuen Mobilität», basierend auf «intelligenter» technologischer Infrastruktur. Derartige Anwandlungen wurden auch schon als «Technofeudalismus» angeprangert.

Nationale Zugangspunkte für Mobilitätsdaten im Sinne der EU gibt es nicht nur in allen Mitgliedsländern, sondern auch in der Schweiz und in Großbritannien. Das Vereinigte Königreich beteiligt sich darüber hinaus an anderen EU-Projekten für digitale Überwachungs- und Kontrollmaßnahmen, wie dem biometrischen Identifizierungssystem für «nachhaltigen Verkehr und Tourismus».

Natürlich marschiert auch Deutschland stracks und euphorisch in Richtung digitaler Zukunft. Ohne vernetzte Mobilität und einen «verlässlichen Zugang zu Daten, einschließlich Echtzeitdaten» komme man in der Verkehrsplanung und -steuerung nicht aus, erklärt die Regierung. Der Interessenverband der IT-Dienstleister Bitkom will «die digitale Transformation der deutschen Wirtschaft und Verwaltung vorantreiben». Dazu bewirbt er unter anderem die Konzepte Smart City, Smart Region und Smart Country und behauptet, deutsche Großstädte «setzen bei Mobilität voll auf Digitalisierung».

Es steht zu befürchten, dass das umfassende Sammeln, Verarbeiten und Vernetzen von Daten, das angeblich die Menschen unterstützen soll (und theoretisch ja auch könnte), eher dazu benutzt wird, sie zu kontrollieren und zu manipulieren. Je elektrischer und digitaler unsere Umgebung wird, desto größer sind diese Möglichkeiten. Im Ergebnis könnten solche Prozesse den Bürger nicht nur einschränken oder überflüssig machen, sondern in mancherlei Hinsicht regelrecht abschalten. Eine gesunde Skepsis ist also geboten.

[Titelbild: Pixabay]

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Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Er ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ 6be5cc06:5259daf0

A posição do libertário que rejeita o cristianismo padece de sérias incoerências lógicas, históricas e filosóficas. Ao renegar as bases espirituais e culturais que tornaram possível o próprio ideal libertário, tal posição demonstra ser, ao mesmo tempo, autofágica e irracional. É o caso de alguém que se gloria dos frutos de uma árvore que corta pela raiz.

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I. Fundamento histórico: a civilização da liberdade é cristã

Não foi o secularismo moderno, nem o paganismo antigo, que ergueram as instituições que protegem a dignidade da pessoa humana e os limites ao poder. Desde os primeiros séculos, a Igreja resistiu ao culto estatal romano, afirmando a soberania de Deus sobre os Césares — "Mais importa obedecer a Deus que aos homens" (Atos 5,29).

Foi o cristianismo que:

• Fundou universidades livres, onde o saber era buscado sob o primado da verdade;

• Defendeu a lei natural como fundamento do direito — uma doutrina que protege o indivíduo contra tiranias;

• Resgatou e aprofundou o conceito de pessoa, dotada de razão e livre-arbítrio, imagem de Deus, e, portanto, inalienavelmente digna e responsável.

Em momentos-chave da história, como nas disputas entre papado e império, nas resistências contra absolutismos, e na fundação do direito internacional por Francisco de Vitoria e a Escola de Salamanca, foi o cristianismo quem freou o poder estatal em nome de princípios superiores. A tradição cristã foi frequentemente o principal obstáculo à tirania, não seu aliado.

Negar isso é amputar a própria genealogia da liberdade ocidental.

Uma das chaves do cristianismo para a construção dessa civilização da liberdade foi a exaltação do individualismo. Ao afirmar que o ser humano é feito à imagem de Deus e que sua salvação é uma escolha pessoal, o cristianismo colocou o indivíduo no centro da moralidade e da liberdade. Diferente dos gregos, cuja ética era voltada para a polis e a cidade-estado, o cristianismo reafirma a suprema importância do indivíduo, com sua capacidade de escolha moral, responsabilidade pessoal e dignidade intrínseca. Esse princípio, mais do que qualquer outra religião, foi o alicerce do desenvolvimento da liberdade individual e da autonomia, valores que sustentam a civilização ocidental.

A ética grega, na melhor das hipóteses, descreve a ordem natural — mas não consegue justificar por que essa ordem deveria obrigar a vontade humana. Um Logos impessoal não tem autoridade moral. Uma ordem cósmica sem um Legislador é apenas um dado de fato, não uma norma vinculante. A vontade pode rebelar-se contra o telos — e sem um Deus justo, que ordena a natureza à perfeição, não há razão última para não o fazer.

A cultura grega teve uma influência indiscutível sobre o desenvolvimento da civilização ocidental, mas o cristianismo não só absorveu o que havia de bom na cultura grega, como também elevou e completou esses aspectos. O cristianismo, ao afirmar que todos os homens são feitos à imagem e semelhança de Deus e têm dignidade intrínseca, levou a uma noção de igualdade moral e liberdade que transcende as limitações da pólis grega.

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II. Falsa dicotomia: fé e liberdade não são opostas

Com frequência equiparam a religião à coerção e à obediência cega. Mas isso é um equívoco: o cristianismo não se impõe pela força, mas apela à consciência. O próprio Deus, em sua relação com a criatura racional, respeita sua liberdade. Como ensina a Escritura:

"Se alguém quiser vir após mim..." (Mt 16,24);
"Eis que estou à porta e bato. Se alguém ouvir a minha voz e abrir a porta, entrarei em sua casa e cearei com ele." (Ap 3,20);
"Assim falai, e assim procedei, como devendo ser julgados pela lei da liberdade." (Tiago 2,12).

A adesão à fé deve ser livre, voluntária e racional, pois sem liberdade não há verdadeiro mérito, nem amor genuíno. Isso é mais compatível com o princípio de não agressão do que qualquer utopia secular. Ora, o núcleo do evangelho é voluntarista: salvação pessoal, conversão interior, caridade.

Ninguém deve ser forçado, contra sua vontade, a abraçar a fé, pois o ato de fé é por sua natureza voluntário (Dignitatis Humanae; CDC, cân. 748,2)

Se algum Estado usa da força para impor o cristianismo, afirmar que o cristianismo causou as coerções é tão equivocado quanto dizer que a propriedade privada causa o comunismo; é uma inversão da realidade, pois o comunismo surge precisamente da violação da propriedade. Portanto, a fé forçada é inválida em si mesma, pois viola a natureza do ato de crer, que deve ser livre.

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III. Fundamento moral: sem transcendência, o libertarianismo flutua no vácuo

O libertário anticristão busca defender princípios objetivos — como a inviolabilidade do indivíduo e a ilegitimidade da agressão — sem um fundamento transcendente que lhes dê validade universal. Por que a agressão é errada? Por que alguém tem direito à vida, à liberdade, à propriedade? Sem uma explicação transcendental, as respostas para tais perguntas se tornam apenas opiniões ou convenções, não obrigações morais vinculantes. Se a moralidade é puramente humana, então os direitos podem ser modificados ou ignorados conforme a vontade da sociedade. O conceito de direitos naturais, tão caro ao libertarianismo, precisa de um solo metafísico que justifique sua universalidade e imutabilidade. Caso contrário, eles podem ser tratados apenas como acordos utilitários temporários ou preferências culturais, sem qualquer obrigatoriedade para todos os seres humanos em todas as circunstâncias.

Pensadores libertários seculares, como Ayn Rand e Murray Rothbard, tentaram ancorar os direitos naturais na razão humana ou na natureza do homem. Rand baseia sua ética no egoísmo racional, enquanto Rothbard apela à lei natural. Embora essas abordagens busquem objetividade, elas carecem de uma resposta definitiva para por que a razão ou a natureza humana obrigam moralmente todos os indivíduos. Sem um fundamento transcendente, suas concepções permanecem vulneráveis a interpretações subjetivas ou a cálculos utilitários.

Aqui, o cristianismo oferece uma explicação sólida e transcendental que fundamenta os direitos naturais. A visão cristã de que o ser humano foi criado à imagem e semelhança de Deus confere à pessoa uma dignidade intrínseca, imutável e universal. Essa dignidade não depende de fatores externos, como consenso social ou poder político, mas é uma característica inerente ao ser humano pela sua criação divina. A partir dessa perspectiva teológica, torna-se possível afirmar com base sólida que os direitos naturais são dados por Deus e, portanto, são universais e vinculantes.

O cristianismo também é a base de um sistema moral que distingue claramente justiça de legalidade. O Estado pode criar leis, mas isso não significa que essas leis sejam justas. A justiça, sob a ótica cristã, é uma expressão da ordem moral objetiva, algo que transcende as leis humanas e é definido pela vontade divina. Por isso, o libertarianismo cristão vê a agressão como uma violação de uma ordem moral objetiva, e não apenas uma violação de uma convenção social ou de um acordo utilitário.

Se a moralidade e os direitos naturais não forem fundamentados em um Logos criador e legislador, o que acontece é que o conceito de direito natural degenera para algo mais frágil, como um simples acordo utilitário. Nesse cenário, os direitos do indivíduo se tornam algo acordado entre os membros de uma sociedade, em vez de princípios imutáveis e universais. Os direitos podem ser negociados, alterados ou ignorados conforme o interesse do momento.

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IV. Fundamento científico: a racionalidade moderna é filha da fé cristã

A ciência moderna só foi possível no contexto cultural cristão. Nenhuma outra civilização — nem a grega, nem a islâmica, nem a chinesa — produziu o método científico como o Ocidente cristão o fez.

Isso se deve a quatro premissas teológicas:

1. Criação racional: O mundo é ordenado por um Deus racional.

2. Distinção entre Criador e criatura: A natureza não é divina e pode ser estudada sem sacrilégio.

3. Valor do trabalho e da observação empírica, herdado do monaquismo.

4. Autonomia institucional, presente nas universidades medievais.

A doutrina cristã da Criação ex nihilo ensina que o mundo foi criado por um Deus racional, sábio e pessoal. Portanto, o cosmos é ordenado, possui leis, e pode ser compreendido pela razão humana — que é imagem do Criador. Isso contrasta fortemente com as cosmovisões panteístas ou mitológicas, onde o mundo é cíclico, arbitrário ou habitado por forças caprichosas.

Sem essa fé no Logos criador, não há razão para crer que a natureza tenha uma ordem inteligível universal e constante, que pode ser descoberta por observação e dedução. A ciência moderna só é possível porque, antes de investigar a natureza, pressupôs-se que ela era investigável — e isso foi uma herança direta do pensamento cristão.

Homens como Bacon, Newton, Kepler e Galileu viam na ciência um modo de glorificar o Criador. O ateísmo cientificista é, portanto, parasitário da teologia cristã, pois toma seus frutos e rejeita suas raízes. A ciência moderna nasceu como filha legítima da fé cristã. E os que hoje a usam contra sua mãe, ou são ingratos, ou ignorantes.

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V. O cristianismo como barreira à revolução cultural

O cristianismo é a barreira mais sólida contra a infiltração revolucionária. A chamada "marcha gramsciana", que visa corroer os fundamentos morais da sociedade para subjugar o indivíduo ao coletivo, encontra sua resistência mais firme nos princípios cristãos. A fé cristã, ao proclamar a existência de uma verdade objetiva, de uma lei moral imutável e de uma dignidade humana que transcende o Estado e o consenso social, imuniza a civilização contra o relativismo e o igualitarismo nivelador do marxismo cultural.

Além disso, o cristianismo é uma tradição milenar, profundamente enraizada no cotidiano das pessoas, não sendo uma novidade a ser imposta ou implementada, mas uma força presente há séculos, que permeia a estrutura social, moral e cultural da sociedade. Sua presença constante nas comunidades, desde os tempos mais antigos, oferece uma resistência robusta contra qualquer tentativa de subverter a ordem natural e moral estabelecida.

Não por acaso, tanto Karl Marx quanto Antonio Gramsci identificaram no cristianismo o principal obstáculo à realização de seus projetos revolucionários. Marx chamou a religião de "ópio do povo" porque sabia que uma alma ancorada em Deus não se submete facilmente ao poder terreno; Gramsci, mais sutil, propôs a destruição da cultura cristã como pré-condição para o triunfo do socialismo. Sem essa âncora transcendente, a sociedade torna-se presa fácil das engenharias sociais que pretendem redefinir arbitrariamente o homem, a família e a liberdade.

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Conclusão

O libertário anticristão, consciente ou não, nega as fundações mesmas do edifício que habita. Ao rejeitar o cristianismo, cava o abismo sob os próprios pés, privando o ideal libertário de sua base moral, cultural e racional. Ele defende a ética voluntária, a liberdade individual e a ordem espontânea, mas sem o solo metafísico e histórico que torna esses princípios inteligíveis e possíveis. É um erro tentar preservar a liberdade em termos absolutos sem reconhecer as raízes cristãs que a sustentam, pois o cristianismo é a única tradição que a legitima e a viabiliza.

Negar o cristianismo é racionalmente insustentável. A liberdade, como a conhecemos, é filha da fé cristã, que oferece a base moral e metafísica que torna a liberdade tanto desejável quanto possível. Mesmo que ateu, o libertário que ama a liberdade deveria, no mínimo, respeitar — e, idealmente, redescobrir — essas raízes cristãs. Pois sem fé, restam apenas o niilismo e o relativismo, que, eventualmente, desaguam na servidão.

Como nos ensina a tradição: Ubi fides ibi libertas — onde há fé, há liberdade.

@ aa8de34f:a6ffe696

19. März 2025

🔐 1. SHA-256 is Quantum-Resistant

Bitcoin’s proof-of-work mechanism relies on SHA-256, a hashing algorithm. Even with a powerful quantum computer, SHA-256 remains secure because:

• Quantum computers excel at factoring large numbers (Shor’s Algorithm).
• However, SHA-256 is a one-way function, meaning there's no known quantum algorithm that can efficiently reverse it.
• Grover’s Algorithm (which theoretically speeds up brute force attacks) would still require 2¹²⁸ operations to break SHA-256 – far beyond practical reach.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

🔑 2. Public Key Vulnerability – But Only If You Reuse Addresses

Bitcoin uses Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) to generate keys.

• A quantum computer could use Shor’s Algorithm to break SECP256K1, the curve Bitcoin uses.
• If you never reuse addresses, it is an additional security element
• 🔑 1. Bitcoin Addresses Are NOT Public Keys

Many people assume a Bitcoin address is the public key—this is wrong.

• When you receive Bitcoin, it is sent to a hashed public key (the Bitcoin address).
• The actual public key is never exposed because it is the Bitcoin Adress who addresses the Public Key which never reveals the creation of a public key by a spend
• Bitcoin uses Pay-to-Public-Key-Hash (P2PKH) or newer methods like Pay-to-Witness-Public-Key-Hash (P2WPKH), which add extra layers of security.

🕵️♂️ 2.1 The Public Key Never Appears

• When you send Bitcoin, your wallet creates a digital signature.
• This signature uses the private key to prove ownership.
• The Bitcoin address is revealed and creates the Public Key
• The public key remains hidden inside the Bitcoin script and Merkle tree.

This means: ✔ The public key is never exposed. ✔ Quantum attackers have nothing to target, attacking a Bitcoin Address is a zero value game.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

🔄 3. Bitcoin Can Upgrade

Even if quantum computers eventually become a real threat:

• Bitcoin developers can upgrade to quantum-safe cryptography (e.g., lattice-based cryptography or post-quantum signatures like Dilithium).
• Bitcoin’s decentralized nature ensures a network-wide soft fork or hard fork could transition to quantum-resistant keys.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

⏳ 4. The 10-Minute Block Rule as a Security Feature

• Bitcoin’s network operates on a 10-minute block interval, meaning:Even if an attacker had immense computational power (like a quantum computer), they could only attempt an attack every 10 minutes.Unlike traditional encryption, where a hacker could continuously brute-force keys, Bitcoin’s system resets the challenge with every new block.This limits the window of opportunity for quantum attacks.

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🎯 5. Quantum Attack Needs to Solve a Block in Real-Time

• A quantum attacker must solve the cryptographic puzzle (Proof of Work) in under 10 minutes.
• The problem? Any slight error changes the hash completely, meaning:If the quantum computer makes a mistake (even 0.0001% probability), the entire attack fails.Quantum decoherence (loss of qubit stability) makes error correction a massive challenge.The computational cost of recovering from an incorrect hash is still incredibly high.

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⚡ 6. Network Resilience – Even if a Block Is Hacked

• Even if a quantum computer somehow solved a block instantly:The network would quickly recognize and reject invalid transactions.Other miners would continue mining under normal cryptographic rules.51% Attack? The attacker would need to consistently beat the entire Bitcoin network, which is not sustainable.

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🔄 7. The Logarithmic Difficulty Adjustment Neutralizes Threats

• Bitcoin adjusts mining difficulty every 2016 blocks (\~2 weeks).
• If quantum miners appeared and suddenly started solving blocks too quickly, the difficulty would adjust upward, making attacks significantly harder.
• This self-correcting mechanism ensures that even quantum computers wouldn't easily overpower the network.

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🔥 Final Verdict: Quantum Computers Are Too Slow for Bitcoin

✔ The 10-minute rule limits attack frequency – quantum computers can’t keep up.

✔ Any slight miscalculation ruins the attack, resetting all progress.

✔ Bitcoin’s difficulty adjustment would react, neutralizing quantum advantages.

Even if quantum computers reach their theoretical potential, Bitcoin’s game theory and design make it incredibly resistant. 🚀

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Bald werde es verboten, alleine im Auto zu fahren, konnte man dieser Tage in verschiedenen spanischen Medien lesen. Die nationale Verkehrsbehörde (Dirección General de Tráfico, kurz DGT) werde Alleinfahrern das Leben schwer machen, wurde gemeldet. Konkret erörtere die Generaldirektion geeignete Sanktionen für Personen, die ohne Beifahrer im Privatauto unterwegs seien.

Das Alleinfahren sei zunehmend verpönt und ein Mentalitätswandel notwendig, hieß es. Dieser «Luxus» stehe im Widerspruch zu den Maßnahmen gegen Umweltverschmutzung, die in allen europäischen Ländern gefördert würden. In Frankreich sei es «bereits verboten, in der Hauptstadt allein zu fahren», behauptete Noticiastrabajo Huffpost in einer Zwischenüberschrift. Nur um dann im Text zu konkretisieren, dass die sogenannte «Umweltspur» auf der Pariser Ringautobahn gemeint war, die für Busse, Taxis und Fahrgemeinschaften reserviert ist. Ab Mai werden Verstöße dagegen mit einem Bußgeld geahndet.

Die DGT jedenfalls wolle bei der Umsetzung derartiger Maßnahmen nicht hinterherhinken. Diese Medienberichte, inklusive des angeblich bevorstehenden Verbots, beriefen sich auf Aussagen des Generaldirektors der Behörde, Pere Navarro, beim Mobilitätskongress Global Mobility Call im November letzten Jahres, wo es um «nachhaltige Mobilität» ging. Aus diesem Kontext stammt auch Navarros Warnung: «Die Zukunft des Verkehrs ist geteilt oder es gibt keine».

Die «Faktenchecker» kamen der Generaldirektion prompt zu Hilfe. Die DGT habe derlei Behauptungen zurückgewiesen und klargestellt, dass es keine Pläne gebe, Fahrten mit nur einer Person im Auto zu verbieten oder zu bestrafen. Bei solchen Meldungen handele es sich um Fake News. Teilweise wurde der Vorsitzende der spanischen «Rechtsaußen»-Partei Vox, Santiago Abascal, der Urheberschaft bezichtigt, weil er einen entsprechenden Artikel von La Gaceta kommentiert hatte.

Der Beschwichtigungsversuch der Art «niemand hat die Absicht» ist dabei erfahrungsgemäß eher ein Alarmzeichen als eine Beruhigung. Walter Ulbrichts Leugnung einer geplanten Berliner Mauer vom Juni 1961 ist vielen genauso in Erinnerung wie die Fake News-Warnungen des deutschen Bundesgesundheitsministeriums bezüglich Lockdowns im März 2020 oder diverse Äußerungen zu einer Impfpflicht ab 2020.

Aber Aufregung hin, Dementis her: Die Pressemitteilung der DGT zu dem Mobilitätskongress enthält in Wahrheit viel interessantere Informationen als «nur» einen Appell an den «guten» Bürger wegen der Bemühungen um die Lebensqualität in Großstädten oder einen möglichen obligatorischen Abschied vom Alleinfahren. Allerdings werden diese Details von Medien und sogenannten Faktencheckern geflissentlich übersehen, obwohl sie keineswegs versteckt sind. Die Auskünfte sind sehr aufschlussreich, wenn man genauer hinschaut.

Digitalisierung ist der Schlüssel für Kontrolle

Auf dem Kongress stellte die Verkehrsbehörde ihre Initiativen zur Förderung der «neuen Mobilität» vor, deren Priorität Sicherheit und Effizienz sei. Die vier konkreten Ansätze haben alle mit Digitalisierung, Daten, Überwachung und Kontrolle im großen Stil zu tun und werden unter dem Euphemismus der «öffentlich-privaten Partnerschaft» angepriesen. Auch lassen sie die transhumanistische Idee vom unzulänglichen Menschen erkennen, dessen Fehler durch «intelligente» technologische Infrastruktur kompensiert werden müssten.

Die Chefin des Bereichs «Verkehrsüberwachung» erklärte die Funktion des spanischen National Access Point (NAP), wobei sie betonte, wie wichtig Verkehrs- und Infrastrukturinformationen in Echtzeit seien. Der NAP ist «eine essenzielle Web-Applikation, die unter EU-Mandat erstellt wurde», kann man auf der Website der DGT nachlesen.

Das Mandat meint Regelungen zu einem einheitlichen europäischen Verkehrsraum, mit denen die Union mindestens seit 2010 den Aufbau einer digitalen Architektur mit offenen Schnittstellen betreibt. Damit begründet man auch «umfassende Datenbereitstellungspflichten im Bereich multimodaler Reiseinformationen». Jeder Mitgliedstaat musste einen NAP, also einen nationalen Zugangspunkt einrichten, der Zugang zu statischen und dynamischen Reise- und Verkehrsdaten verschiedener Verkehrsträger ermöglicht.

Diese Entwicklung ist heute schon weit fortgeschritten, auch und besonders in Spanien. Auf besagtem Kongress erläuterte die Leiterin des Bereichs «Telematik» die Plattform «DGT 3.0». Diese werde als Integrator aller Informationen genutzt, die von den verschiedenen öffentlichen und privaten Systemen, die Teil der Mobilität sind, bereitgestellt werden.

Es handele sich um eine Vermittlungsplattform zwischen Akteuren wie Fahrzeugherstellern, Anbietern von Navigationsdiensten oder Kommunen und dem Endnutzer, der die Verkehrswege benutzt. Alle seien auf Basis des Internets der Dinge (IOT) anonym verbunden, «um der vernetzten Gemeinschaft wertvolle Informationen zu liefern oder diese zu nutzen».

So sei DGT 3.0 «ein Zugangspunkt für einzigartige, kostenlose und genaue Echtzeitinformationen über das Geschehen auf den Straßen und in den Städten». Damit lasse sich der Verkehr nachhaltiger und vernetzter gestalten. Beispielsweise würden die Karten des Produktpartners Google dank der DGT-Daten 50 Millionen Mal pro Tag aktualisiert.

Des Weiteren informiert die Verkehrsbehörde über ihr SCADA-Projekt. Die Abkürzung steht für Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition, zu deutsch etwa: Kontrollierte Steuerung und Datenerfassung. Mit SCADA kombiniert man Software und Hardware, um automatisierte Systeme zur Überwachung und Steuerung technischer Prozesse zu schaffen. Das SCADA-Projekt der DGT wird von Indra entwickelt, einem spanischen Beratungskonzern aus den Bereichen Sicherheit & Militär, Energie, Transport, Telekommunikation und Gesundheitsinformation.

Das SCADA-System der Behörde umfasse auch eine Videostreaming- und Videoaufzeichnungsplattform, die das Hochladen in die Cloud in Echtzeit ermöglicht, wie Indra erklärt. Dabei gehe es um Bilder, die von Überwachungskameras an Straßen aufgenommen wurden, sowie um Videos aus DGT-Hubschraubern und Drohnen. Ziel sei es, «die sichere Weitergabe von Videos an Dritte sowie die kontinuierliche Aufzeichnung und Speicherung von Bildern zur möglichen Analyse und späteren Nutzung zu ermöglichen».

Letzteres klingt sehr nach biometrischer Erkennung und Auswertung durch künstliche Intelligenz. Für eine bessere Datenübertragung wird derzeit die Glasfaserverkabelung entlang der Landstraßen und Autobahnen ausgebaut. Mit der Cloud sind die Amazon Web Services (AWS) gemeint, die spanischen Daten gehen somit direkt zu einem US-amerikanischen «Big Data»-Unternehmen.

Das Thema «autonomes Fahren», also Fahren ohne Zutun des Menschen, bildet den Abschluss der Betrachtungen der DGT. Zusammen mit dem Interessenverband der Automobilindustrie ANFAC (Asociación Española de Fabricantes de Automóviles y Camiones) sprach man auf dem Kongress über Strategien und Perspektiven in diesem Bereich. Die Lobbyisten hoffen noch in diesem Jahr 2025 auf einen normativen Rahmen zur erweiterten Unterstützung autonomer Technologien.

Wenn man derartige Informationen im Zusammenhang betrachtet, bekommt man eine Idee davon, warum zunehmend alles elektrisch und digital werden soll. Umwelt- und Mobilitätsprobleme in Städten, wie Luftverschmutzung, Lärmbelästigung, Platzmangel oder Staus, sind eine Sache. Mit dem Argument «emissionslos» wird jedoch eine Referenz zum CO2 und dem «menschengemachten Klimawandel» hergestellt, die Emotionen triggert. Und damit wird so ziemlich alles verkauft.

Letztlich aber gilt: Je elektrischer und digitaler unsere Umgebung wird und je freigiebiger wir mit unseren Daten jeder Art sind, desto besser werden wir kontrollier-, steuer- und sogar abschaltbar. Irgendwann entscheiden KI-basierte Algorithmen, ob, wann, wie, wohin und mit wem wir uns bewegen dürfen. Über einen 15-Minuten-Radius geht dann möglicherweise nichts hinaus. Die Projekte auf diesem Weg sind ernst zu nehmen, real und schon weit fortgeschritten.

[Titelbild: Pixabay]

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Was nützt die schönste Schuldenbremse, wenn der Russe vor der Tür steht? \ Wir können uns verteidigen lernen oder alle Russisch lernen. \ Jens Spahn

In der Politik ist buchstäblich keine Idee zu riskant, kein Mittel zu schäbig und keine Lüge zu dreist, als dass sie nicht benutzt würden. Aber der Clou ist, dass diese Masche immer noch funktioniert, wenn nicht sogar immer besser. Ist das alles wirklich so schwer zu durchschauen? Mir fehlen langsam die Worte.

Aktuell werden sowohl in der Europäischen Union als auch in Deutschland riesige Milliardenpakete für die Aufrüstung – also für die Rüstungsindustrie – geschnürt. Die EU will 800 Milliarden Euro locker machen, in Deutschland sollen es 500 Milliarden «Sondervermögen» sein. Verteidigung nennen das unsere «Führer», innerhalb der Union und auch an «unserer Ostflanke», der Ukraine.

Das nötige Feindbild konnte inzwischen signifikant erweitert werden. Schuld an allem und zudem gefährlich ist nicht mehr nur Putin, sondern jetzt auch Trump. Europa müsse sich sowohl gegen Russland als auch gegen die USA schützen und rüsten, wird uns eingetrichtert.

Und während durch Diplomatie genau dieser beiden Staaten gerade endlich mal Bewegung in die Bemühungen um einen Frieden oder wenigstens einen Waffenstillstand in der Ukraine kommt, rasselt man im moralisch überlegenen Zeigefinger-Europa so richtig mit dem Säbel.

Begleitet und gestützt wird der ganze Prozess – wie sollte es anders sein – von den «Qualitätsmedien». Dass Russland einen Angriff auf «Europa» plant, weiß nicht nur der deutsche Verteidigungsminister (und mit Abstand beliebteste Politiker) Pistorius, sondern dank ihnen auch jedes Kind. Uns bleiben nur noch wenige Jahre. Zum Glück bereitet sich die Bundeswehr schon sehr konkret auf einen Krieg vor.

Die FAZ und Corona-Gesundheitsminister Spahn markieren einen traurigen Höhepunkt. Hier haben sich «politische und publizistische Verantwortungslosigkeit propagandistisch gegenseitig befruchtet», wie es bei den NachDenkSeiten heißt. Die Aussage Spahns in dem Interview, «der Russe steht vor der Tür», ist das eine. Die Zeitung verschärfte die Sache jedoch, indem sie das Zitat explizit in den Titel übernahm, der in einer ersten Version scheinbar zu harmlos war.

Eine große Mehrheit der deutschen Bevölkerung findet Aufrüstung und mehr Schulden toll, wie ARD und ZDF sehr passend ermittelt haben wollen. Ähnliches gelte für eine noch stärkere militärische Unterstützung der Ukraine. Etwas skeptischer seien die Befragten bezüglich der Entsendung von Bundeswehrsoldaten dorthin, aber immerhin etwa fifty-fifty.

Eigentlich ist jedoch die Meinung der Menschen in «unseren Demokratien» irrelevant. Sowohl in der Europäischen Union als auch in Deutschland sind die «Eliten» offenbar der Ansicht, der Souverän habe in Fragen von Krieg und Frieden sowie von aberwitzigen astronomischen Schulden kein Wörtchen mitzureden. Frau von der Leyen möchte über 150 Milliarden aus dem Gesamtpaket unter Verwendung von Artikel 122 des EU-Vertrags ohne das Europäische Parlament entscheiden – wenn auch nicht völlig kritiklos.

In Deutschland wollen CDU/CSU und SPD zur Aufweichung der «Schuldenbremse» mehrere Änderungen des Grundgesetzes durch das abgewählte Parlament peitschen. Dieser Versuch, mit dem alten Bundestag eine Zweidrittelmehrheit zu erzielen, die im neuen nicht mehr gegeben wäre, ist mindestens verfassungsrechtlich umstritten.

Das Manöver scheint aber zu funktionieren. Heute haben die Grünen zugestimmt, nachdem Kanzlerkandidat Merz läppische 100 Milliarden für «irgendwas mit Klima» zugesichert hatte. Die Abstimmung im Plenum soll am kommenden Dienstag erfolgen – nur eine Woche, bevor sich der neu gewählte Bundestag konstituieren wird.

Interessant sind die Argumente, die BlackRocker Merz für seine Attacke auf Grundgesetz und Demokratie ins Feld führt. Abgesehen von der angeblichen Eile, «unsere Verteidigungsfähigkeit deutlich zu erhöhen» (ausgelöst unter anderem durch «die Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz und die Ereignisse im Weißen Haus»), ließ uns der CDU-Chef wissen, dass Deutschland einfach auf die internationale Bühne zurück müsse. Merz schwadronierte gefährlich mehrdeutig:

«Die ganze Welt schaut in diesen Tagen und Wochen auf Deutschland. Wir haben in der Europäischen Union und auf der Welt eine Aufgabe, die weit über die Grenzen unseres eigenen Landes hinausgeht.»

[Titelbild: Tag des Sieges]

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ 4bc7982c:4cb5c39d

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@ a95c6243:d345522c

«Wir brauchen eine digitale Brandmauer gegen den Faschismus», schreibt der Chaos Computer Club (CCC) auf seiner Website. Unter diesem Motto präsentierte er letzte Woche einen Forderungskatalog, mit dem sich 24 Organisationen an die kommende Bundesregierung wenden. Der Koalitionsvertrag müsse sich daran messen lassen, verlangen sie.

In den drei Kategorien «Bekenntnis gegen Überwachung», «Schutz und Sicherheit für alle» sowie «Demokratie im digitalen Raum» stellen die Unterzeichner, zu denen auch Amnesty International und Das NETTZ gehören, unter anderem die folgenden «Mindestanforderungen»:

• Verbot biometrischer Massenüberwachung des öffentlichen Raums sowie der ungezielten biometrischen Auswertung des Internets.
• Anlasslose und massenhafte Vorratsdatenspeicherung wird abgelehnt.
• Automatisierte Datenanalysen der Informationsbestände der Strafverfolgungsbehörden sowie jede Form von Predictive Policing oder automatisiertes Profiling von Menschen werden abgelehnt.
• Einführung eines Rechts auf Verschlüsselung. Die Bundesregierung soll sich dafür einsetzen, die Chatkontrolle auf europäischer Ebene zu verhindern.
• Anonyme und pseudonyme Nutzung des Internets soll geschützt und ermöglicht werden.
• Bekämpfung «privaten Machtmissbrauchs von Big-Tech-Unternehmen» durch durchsetzungsstarke, unabhängige und grundsätzlich föderale Aufsichtsstrukturen.
• Einführung eines digitalen Gewaltschutzgesetzes, unter Berücksichtigung «gruppenbezogener digitaler Gewalt» und die Förderung von Beratungsangeboten.
• Ein umfassendes Förderprogramm für digitale öffentliche Räume, die dezentral organisiert und quelloffen programmiert sind, soll aufgelegt werden.

Es sei ein Irrglaube, dass zunehmende Überwachung einen Zugewinn an Sicherheit darstelle, ist eines der Argumente der Initiatoren. Sicherheit erfordere auch, dass Menschen anonym und vertraulich kommunizieren können und ihre Privatsphäre geschützt wird.

Gesunde digitale Räume lebten auch von einem demokratischen Diskurs, lesen wir in dem Papier. Es sei Aufgabe des Staates, Grundrechte zu schützen. Dazu gehöre auch, Menschenrechte und demokratische Werte, insbesondere Freiheit, Gleichheit und Solidarität zu fördern sowie den Missbrauch von Maßnahmen, Befugnissen und Infrastrukturen durch «die Feinde der Demokratie» zu verhindern.

Man ist geneigt zu fragen, wo denn die Autoren «den Faschismus» sehen, den es zu bekämpfen gelte. Die meisten der vorgetragenen Forderungen und Argumente finden sicher breite Unterstützung, denn sie beschreiben offenkundig gängige, kritikwürdige Praxis. Die Aushebelung der Privatsphäre, der Redefreiheit und anderer Grundrechte im Namen der Sicherheit wird bereits jetzt massiv durch die aktuellen «demokratischen Institutionen» und ihre «durchsetzungsstarken Aufsichtsstrukturen» betrieben.

Ist «der Faschismus» also die EU und ihre Mitgliedsstaaten? Nein, die «faschistische Gefahr», gegen die man eine digitale Brandmauer will, kommt nach Ansicht des CCC und seiner Partner aus den Vereinigten Staaten. Private Überwachung und Machtkonzentration sind dabei weltweit schon lange Realität, jetzt endlich müssen sie jedoch bekämpft werden. In dem Papier heißt es:

«Die willkürliche und antidemokratische Machtausübung der Tech-Oligarchen um Präsident Trump erfordert einen Paradigmenwechsel in der deutschen Digitalpolitik. (...) Die aktuellen Geschehnisse in den USA zeigen auf, wie Datensammlungen und -analyse genutzt werden können, um einen Staat handstreichartig zu übernehmen, seine Strukturen nachhaltig zu beschädigen, Widerstand zu unterbinden und marginalisierte Gruppen zu verfolgen.»

Wer auf der anderen Seite dieser Brandmauer stehen soll, ist also klar. Es sind die gleichen «Feinde unserer Demokratie», die seit Jahren in diese Ecke gedrängt werden. Es sind die gleichen Andersdenkenden, Regierungskritiker und Friedensforderer, die unter dem großzügigen Dach des Bundesprogramms «Demokratie leben» einem «kontinuierlichen Echt- und Langzeitmonitoring» wegen der Etikettierung «digitaler Hass» unterzogen werden.

Dass die 24 Organisationen praktisch auch die Bekämpfung von Google, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon und anderen fordern, entbehrt nicht der Komik. Diese fallen aber sicher unter das Stichwort «Machtmissbrauch von Big-Tech-Unternehmen». Gleichzeitig verlangen die Lobbyisten implizit zum Beispiel die Förderung des Nostr-Netzwerks, denn hier finden wir dezentral organisierte und quelloffen programmierte digitale Räume par excellence, obendrein zensurresistent. Das wiederum dürfte in der Politik weniger gut ankommen.

[Titelbild: Pixabay]

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ 5383d895:7b141166

LOVE678 là một nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến hiện đại, được thiết kế để mang đến cho người dùng những trải nghiệm thú vị, an toàn và dễ dàng tiếp cận. Giao diện của nền tảng này rất thân thiện với người dùng, giúp mọi người có thể dễ dàng tìm kiếm các dịch vụ mà mình cần một cách nhanh chóng và thuận tiện. Từ việc truy cập vào các tính năng giải trí cho đến việc quản lý tài khoản, mọi thao tác trên LOVE678 đều được tối ưu hóa để đảm bảo người dùng không gặp phải bất kỳ sự phức tạp nào. Bên cạnh đó, LOVE678 cũng cung cấp tốc độ truy cập nhanh chóng, ổn định trên nhiều thiết bị, từ máy tính để bàn đến điện thoại di động, giúp người dùng có thể tận hưởng dịch vụ mọi lúc, mọi nơi mà không gặp phải sự gián đoạn. Nền tảng này đặc biệt chú trọng đến bảo mật thông tin, với các công nghệ mã hóa tiên tiến giúp bảo vệ dữ liệu người dùng một cách tối ưu. Chính nhờ vào những tính năng vượt trội này, LOVE678 đã và đang trở thành lựa chọn ưu tiên của nhiều người dùng hiện đại.

Không chỉ chú trọng đến sự tiện lợi và bảo mật, LOVE678 còn đặc biệt quan tâm đến việc nâng cao trải nghiệm người dùng thông qua việc cung cấp dịch vụ khách hàng chất lượng cao. Đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng của LOVE678 luôn túc trực 24/7, sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và xử lý các vấn đề mà người dùng gặp phải trong suốt quá trình sử dụng nền tảng. Người dùng có thể dễ dàng liên hệ với đội ngũ hỗ trợ qua các kênh chat trực tuyến, email hay điện thoại để được giúp đỡ kịp thời. Điều này không chỉ giúp người dùng cảm thấy yên tâm mà còn tạo ra một mối liên kết bền chặt giữa LOVE678 và cộng đồng người sử dụng. Bên cạnh đó, LOVE678 cũng thường xuyên tổ chức các chương trình khuyến mãi, sự kiện và hoạt động giao lưu cộng đồng, tạo cơ hội để người dùng trải nghiệm thêm nhiều dịch vụ hấp dẫn và thú vị. Từ đó, nền tảng này không chỉ là một công cụ giải trí mà còn là một không gian kết nối, giúp người dùng giao lưu, học hỏi và chia sẻ những giá trị hữu ích.

Để đáp ứng nhu cầu ngày càng cao của người dùng, LOVE678 luôn cải tiến và phát triển các tính năng mới, đồng thời không ngừng nâng cấp hệ thống để duy trì sự ổn định và hiệu suất hoạt động. Nền tảng này luôn đặt mục tiêu tạo ra một môi trường trực tuyến an toàn, thú vị và chất lượng, nhằm mang đến những trải nghiệm giải trí tuyệt vời nhất cho người sử dụng. Các tính năng của LOVE678 được thiết kế không chỉ để đáp ứng nhu cầu giải trí mà còn nhằm cung cấp những công cụ tiện ích, giúp người dùng có thể dễ dàng quản lý tài khoản và tối ưu hóa quá trình sử dụng. Với sự cam kết không ngừng phát triển và nâng cao chất lượng dịch vụ, LOVE678 đang từng bước khẳng định vị thế của mình trong ngành giải trí trực tuyến, đồng thời tiếp tục xây dựng niềm tin vững chắc trong lòng người dùng. Nền tảng này không chỉ là nơi để thư giãn, mà còn là nơi để kết nối và phát triển, giúp mọi người trải nghiệm những phút giây giải trí đích thực trong một không gian trực tuyến an toàn và tiện lợi.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Die «Eliten» führen bereits groß angelegte Pilotprojekte für eine Zukunft durch, die sie wollen und wir nicht. Das schreibt der OffGuardian in einem Update zum Thema «EU-Brieftasche für die digitale Identität». Das Portal weist darauf hin, dass die Akteure dabei nicht gerade zimperlich vorgehen und auch keinen Hehl aus ihren Absichten machen. Transition News hat mehrfach darüber berichtet, zuletzt hier und hier.

Mit der EU Digital Identity Wallet (EUDI-Brieftasche) sei eine einzige von der Regierung herausgegebene App geplant, die Ihre medizinischen Daten, Beschäftigungsdaten, Reisedaten, Bildungsdaten, Impfdaten, Steuerdaten, Finanzdaten sowie (potenziell) Kopien Ihrer Unterschrift, Fingerabdrücke, Gesichtsscans, Stimmproben und DNA enthält. So fasst der OffGuardian die eindrucksvolle Liste möglicher Einsatzbereiche zusammen.

Auch Dokumente wie der Personalausweis oder der Führerschein können dort in elektronischer Form gespeichert werden. Bis 2026 sind alle EU-Mitgliedstaaten dazu verpflichtet, Ihren Bürgern funktionierende und frei verfügbare digitale «Brieftaschen» bereitzustellen.

Die Menschen würden diese App nutzen, so das Portal, um Zahlungen vorzunehmen, Kredite zu beantragen, ihre Steuern zu zahlen, ihre Rezepte abzuholen, internationale Grenzen zu überschreiten, Unternehmen zu gründen, Arzttermine zu buchen, sich um Stellen zu bewerben und sogar digitale Verträge online zu unterzeichnen.

All diese Daten würden auf ihrem Mobiltelefon gespeichert und mit den Regierungen von neunzehn Ländern (plus der Ukraine) sowie über 140 anderen öffentlichen und privaten Partnern ausgetauscht. Von der Deutschen Bank über das ukrainische Ministerium für digitalen Fortschritt bis hin zu Samsung Europe. Unternehmen und Behörden würden auf diese Daten im Backend zugreifen, um «automatisierte Hintergrundprüfungen» durchzuführen.

Der Bundesverband der Verbraucherzentralen und Verbraucherverbände (VZBV) habe Bedenken geäußert, dass eine solche App «Risiken für den Schutz der Privatsphäre und der Daten» berge, berichtet das Portal. Die einzige Antwort darauf laute: «Richtig, genau dafür ist sie ja da!»

Das alles sei keine Hypothese, betont der OffGuardian. Es sei vielmehr «Potential». Damit ist ein EU-Projekt gemeint, in dessen Rahmen Dutzende öffentliche und private Einrichtungen zusammenarbeiten, «um eine einheitliche Vision der digitalen Identität für die Bürger der europäischen Länder zu definieren». Dies ist nur eines der groß angelegten Pilotprojekte, mit denen Prototypen und Anwendungsfälle für die EUDI-Wallet getestet werden. Es gibt noch mindestens drei weitere.

Den Ball der digitalen ID-Systeme habe die Covid-«Pandemie» über die «Impfpässe» ins Rollen gebracht. Seitdem habe das Thema an Schwung verloren. Je näher wir aber der vollständigen Einführung der EUid kämen, desto mehr Propaganda der Art «Warum wir eine digitale Brieftasche brauchen» könnten wir in den Mainstream-Medien erwarten, prognostiziert der OffGuardian. Vielleicht müssten wir schon nach dem nächsten großen «Grund», dem nächsten «katastrophalen katalytischen Ereignis» Ausschau halten. Vermutlich gebe es bereits Pläne, warum die Menschen plötzlich eine digitale ID-Brieftasche brauchen würden.

Die Entwicklung geht jedenfalls stetig weiter in genau diese Richtung. Beispielsweise hat Jordanien angekündigt, die digitale biometrische ID bei den nächsten Wahlen zur Verifizierung der Wähler einzuführen. Man wolle «den Papierkrieg beenden und sicherstellen, dass die gesamte Kette bis zu den nächsten Parlamentswahlen digitalisiert wird», heißt es. Absehbar ist, dass dabei einige Wahlberechtigte «auf der Strecke bleiben» werden, wie im Fall von Albanien geschehen.

Derweil würden die Briten gerne ihre Privatsphäre gegen Effizienz eintauschen, behauptet Tony Blair. Der Ex-Premier drängte kürzlich erneut auf digitale Identitäten und Gesichtserkennung. Blair ist Gründer einer Denkfabrik für globalen Wandel, Anhänger globalistischer Technokratie und «moderner Infrastruktur».

Abschließend warnt der OffGuardian vor der Illusion, Trump und Musk würden den US-Bürgern «diesen Schlamassel ersparen». Das Department of Government Efficiency werde sich auf die digitale Identität stürzen. Was könne schließlich «effizienter» sein als eine einzige App, die für alles verwendet wird? Der Unterschied bestehe nur darin, dass die US-Version vielleicht eher privat als öffentlich sei – sofern es da überhaupt noch einen wirklichen Unterschied gebe.

[Titelbild: Screenshot OffGuardian]

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ c3e23eb5:03d7caa9

The issue I have with the term "mesh networks" is that it is associated with a flat network topology. While I love the idea of avoiding hierarchy, this simply doesn't scale. Data Plane: How the Internet Scales

The internet on the scales because it has a tree like structure. As you can see in the diagram below, global (tier 1) ISPs branch out to national (tier 2) ISPs who in turn branch out to local (tier 3) ISPs.

``` ,-[ Tier 1 ISP (Global) ]─-───────[ Tier 1 ISP (Global) ] / |
/ ▼
[IXP (Global)]═══╦═══[IXP (Global)]
║
Tier 2 ISP (National)◄──────────╗
/ \ ║
▼ ▼ ║
[IXP (Regional)]════╬══[IXP (Regional)] ║
/ \ ║
▼ ▼ ║
Tier 3 ISP (Local) Tier 3 ISP (Local) ║
| | ║
▼ ▼ ▼
[User] [User] [Enterprise]

▲ IXPs are physical switch fabrics - members peer directly ▲ Tier 1/2 ISPs provide transit through IXPs but don't control them ```

This structure also reflects in IP addresses, where regional traffic gets routed by regional tiers and global traffic keeps getting passed up through gateways till it reaches the root of the tree. The global ISP then routes the traffic into the correct branch so that it can trickle down to the destination IP at the bottom. 12.0.0.0/8 - Tier 1 manages routing (IANA-allocated) └─12.34.0.0/16 - Tier 2 allocated block (through RIR) └─12.34.56.0/24 - Tier 3 subnet via upstream provider ├─12.34.56.1 Public IP (CGNAT pool) └─192.168.1.1 Private IP (local NAT reuse)

Balancing idealism with pragmatism

This approach to scaling is much less idealistic than a flat hierarchy, because it relies on an authority (IANA) to assign the IP ranges to ISPs through Regional Internet Registries (RIRs). Even if this authority wasn't required, the fact that many users rely on few Tier 1 ISPs means that the system is inherently susceptible to sabotage (see 2019 BGP leak incident).

Control Plane: the internet is still described as decentralised

The internet is still described as decentralised because there is a flat hierarchy between tier 1 ISPs at the root of the tree. ``` INTERNET CORE (Tier 1 ISPs)

AT&T (AS7018) <══════════> Deutsche Telekom (AS3320) ║ ╔════════════════════╗ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ╚══>║ NTT (AS2914) ║<══╝ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ╚═══════> Lumen (AS3356) ║ ║ ╚════╩════════════> Telia (AS1299)

```

The border gateway protocol (BGP) is used to exchange routing information between autonomous systems (ISPs). Each autonomous system is a branch of the "internet tree" and each autonomous system advertises routes to downstream autonomous systems (branches). However, the autonomous systems at the root of the tree also maintain a record of their piers, so that they can forward traffic to the correct peer. Hence, the following is a more complete diagram of the internet: ```

          INTERNET CORE (TIER 1 MESH)  
          ╔══════════════╦═════════════╦════════╦═════════════╗  
          ║              ║             ║        ║             ║  
        AT&T (AS7018) <══╬══> Lumen (AS3356) <══╬══> NTT (AS2914)  
          ║              ║                      ║          
          ║              ║                      ║          
          ║              ╚══> Telia (AS1299) <══╝        
          ║                               ║          
          ╚═══════════════════════════════╝          
          ║                               ║          
          ╚═> Deutsche Telekom (AS3320) <═╝        
                ║                        
   TREE HIERARCHY BELOW - MESH ABOVE  
                ║                     
                ▼  
         [ Tier 1 ISP ]───────────────────┐  
      /           |                       |  
     /            ▼                       ▼ 
   [IXP]═══╦═══[IXP]                    [IXP]  
           ║                              ║  
           ▼                              ▼  
     Tier 2 ISP◄──────────╗           Tier 2 ISP◄───────╗  
    /       \             ║            /     \          ║  
   ▼         ▼            ║           ▼       ▼         ║  
   [IXP]═╦[IXP]           ║          [IXP]═╦[IXP]       ║  
    /     \               ║           /     \           ║  
   ▼       ▼              ▼          ▼       ▼          ▼  
   Tier 3 ISP            User       Tier 3 ISP      Enterprise

```

So its a mesh network - whats wrong with that?

In the example above, NTT can only send traffic to Deutsche Telekom via Lumen or AT&T. NTT relies on its peers to maintain a correct record of the IP range that they are responsible for, so that traffic that was intended for Deutsche Telekom doesn't end up in the wrong network. An intentional or even accidental error in an autonomous system's routing tables can be detrimental to the flow of traffic through the network.

Hence, mesh networks require: * Reliability: peers rely on each-other not to fail (e.g., 2019 AWS US-East-1 availability) * Trust: peers must be honest about address ranges (e.g., 2018 BGP hijacking incident) * Central planning: BGP traffic engineering determines which route a packet takes

Application Layer Innovations

Now that we have a rough overview of how the internet is broken, lets think about what can still be done. The flat hierarchy that we associate with mesh networks sounds beautiful, but it doesn't scale. However, the tree-like structure assumes that most participants in the network rely on an authority to give them an address or a range of addresses so that they can communicate.

Overlay networks

Fortunately all it takes to interact with someone on nostr is their public key. The recipients client will render your signed and/or encrypted event no matter how it reaches them. Whether your note reaches them over the internet, over some other network or via a carrier pigeon doesn't matter. nostr:npub1hw6amg8p24ne08c9gdq8hhpqx0t0pwanpae9z25crn7m9uy7yarse465gr is working on a NIP for that and I'm sure he will share an explanation of how it works.

Bitcoin Instead of a Routing Algorithm

Now that we have digital bearer assets (e-cash), users can pay their internet gateway (TollGate) for access to the internet even though they are still offline. Once the TollGate has redeemed the e-cash, it gives the user access to the internet.

Frictionless Switching between ISPs (TollGates)

Legacy internet service providers use KYC money (fiat) to transfer the cost of the infrastructure to their users. However, this means that they are able to identify which packet belongs to which user. The KYC nature of their interaction with the users also makes it difficult for users to switch ISPs when service providers undercut each-other. Internet users who are on e-cash rails can hop between ISPs frictionlessly since they buy small amounts of data frequently in a granular manner.

Users that have access to independent competing TollGates can switch between them freely, so its impossible for any one TollGate to prevent a user from connecting to the internet. The only thing a TollGate can do is attract traffic by providing cheaper and/or faster internet access.

Anyone can arbitrage connectivity

Now that users have non KYC internet, there is nothing stopping them from reselling access to their internet connection. Anyone who has a WiFi router and access to a cheap internet connection can act as a range extender by re-selling access to that gateway for people who aren't able to connect directly.

Now the route that the traffic takes through the network is determined dynamically by the markets. The individual TollGate operators select their gateways and set their prices when they create a business model. The customers select the route that best meets their needs by selecting a gateway for their next purchase.

@ b099870e:f3ba8f5d

The hustler's every waking hour is lived with both the practical and the subconscious knowledge that if he ever relaxes, if he ever slows down,the other hungry, restless foxes,ferrets, wolves and vultures out there with him won't hesitate to make him their prey.

Quote in The 50th Law that I'm currently reading

@ 0861144c:e68a1caf

This is my Bitcoin full node. There are many like it, but this one is mine. My node is my best friend. It is my life. I must master it as I must master my life. Without me, my node is useless. Without my node, I am useless. I must run my node true. I must verify my enemy who is trying to dilute me. I must reject his inflationary blocks. I will. Bitstein (2019)

I love debates. I'm one of those people who, just for fun, analyzes Abraham Lincoln’s speeches on slavery during his election campaigns, or revisits the Frost-Nixon debates—or pretty much any speech I can get my hands on. The essence of debates—and now that I've discovered Socratic seminars—even further enriches the community itself. Where we, as a Bitcoin community, stand superior in every sense of the word is that we don't just talk to stake out positions; a Bitcoiner takes a stand through their actions.

And that's exactly what we've seen over these past few weeks of debate about OP_RETURN.

Many people—instinctively, I’d say—are inviting Bitcoin maximalists to move over to ETH and create non-monetary use cases, even as those same people are the ones loudly promoting and encouraging everyone to get Bitcoinized. So, we find ourselves in a clear contradiction that remains largely misunderstood, especially when podcasters who have never reviewed a single pull request, don't know how the merge works, and don't even have a GitHub account, suddenly want to jump into a debate encouraging others to switch node classes.

As for me, that’s totally fine. The reason is simple: if you are a true Bitcoiner, it doesn't matter whether you understand programming (or not), use Knots, Core[^1], or any other client—as long as you run your own node. I believe this debate helped motivate people and warned them about the real danger of not running their own node.

[^1]: I encourage people to download Core.

Why is it important to run your own node?

When people are using Bitcoin in ways you disagree with, or creating use cases you don't support, the best way to express your disapproval is through your node. Because at the end of the day, it’s the node that allows us to verify transactions—it’s the step before final broadcast to the blockchain. Every node that gets deployed is another victory for the community against reliance on trust; every downloaded node strengthens user privacy.

The fastest way to destroy Bitcoin is by discouraging the use of personal nodes, because centralized services thrive when fewer people use this critical tool.

Use your node.

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/978094

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Ständige Lügen und Unterstellungen, permanent falsche Fürsorge \ können Bausteine von emotionaler Manipulation sein. Mit dem Zweck, \ Macht und Kontrolle über eine andere Person auszuüben. \ Apotheken Umschau

Irgendetwas muss passiert sein: «Gaslighting» ist gerade Thema in vielen Medien. Heute bin ich nach längerer Zeit mal wieder über dieses Stichwort gestolpert. Das war in einem Artikel von Norbert Häring über Manipulationen des Deutschen Wetterdienstes (DWD). In diesem Fall ging es um eine Pressemitteilung vom Donnerstag zum «viel zu warmen» Winter 2024/25.

Häring wirft der Behörde vor, dreist zu lügen und Dinge auszulassen, um die Klimaangst wach zu halten. Was der Leser beim DWD nicht erfahre, sei, dass dieser Winter kälter als die drei vorangegangenen und kälter als der Durchschnitt der letzten zehn Jahre gewesen sei. Stattdessen werde der falsche Eindruck vermittelt, es würde ungebremst immer wärmer.

Wem also der zu Ende gehende Winter eher kalt vorgekommen sein sollte, mit dessen Empfinden stimme wohl etwas nicht. Das jedenfalls wolle der DWD uns einreden, so der Wirtschaftsjournalist. Und damit sind wir beim Thema Gaslighting.

Als Gaslighting wird eine Form psychischer Manipulation bezeichnet, mit der die Opfer desorientiert und zutiefst verunsichert werden, indem ihre eigene Wahrnehmung als falsch bezeichnet wird. Der Prozess führt zu Angst und Realitätsverzerrung sowie zur Zerstörung des Selbstbewusstseins. Die Bezeichnung kommt von dem britischen Theaterstück «Gas Light» aus dem Jahr 1938, in dem ein Mann mit grausamen Psychotricks seine Frau in den Wahnsinn treibt.

Damit Gaslighting funktioniert, muss das Opfer dem Täter vertrauen. Oft wird solcher Psychoterror daher im privaten oder familiären Umfeld beschrieben, ebenso wie am Arbeitsplatz. Jedoch eignen sich die Prinzipien auch perfekt zur Manipulation der Massen. Vermeintliche Autoritäten wie Ärzte und Wissenschaftler, oder «der fürsorgliche Staat» und Institutionen wie die UNO oder die WHO wollen uns doch nichts Böses. Auch Staatsmedien, Faktenchecker und diverse NGOs wurden zu «vertrauenswürdigen Quellen» erklärt. Das hat seine Wirkung.

Warum das Thema Gaslighting derzeit scheinbar so populär ist, vermag ich nicht zu sagen. Es sind aber gerade in den letzten Tagen und Wochen auffällig viele Artikel dazu erschienen, und zwar nicht nur von Psychologen. Die Frankfurter Rundschau hat gleich mehrere publiziert, und Anwälte interessieren sich dafür offenbar genauso wie Apotheker.

Die Apotheken Umschau machte sogar auf «Medical Gaslighting» aufmerksam. Davon spreche man, wenn Mediziner Symptome nicht ernst nähmen oder wenn ein gesundheitliches Problem vom behandelnden Arzt «schnöde heruntergespielt» oder abgetan würde. Kommt Ihnen das auch irgendwie bekannt vor? Der Begriff sei allerdings irreführend, da er eine manipulierende Absicht unterstellt, die «nicht gewährleistet» sei.

Apropos Gaslighting: Die noch amtierende deutsche Bundesregierung meldete heute, es gelte, «weiter [sic!] gemeinsam daran zu arbeiten, einen gerechten und dauerhaften Frieden für die Ukraine zu erreichen». Die Ukraine, wo sich am Montag «der völkerrechtswidrige Angriffskrieg zum dritten Mal jährte», verteidige ihr Land und «unsere gemeinsamen Werte».

Merken Sie etwas? Das Demokratieverständnis mag ja tatsächlich inzwischen in beiden Ländern ähnlich traurig sein. Bezüglich Friedensbemühungen ist meine Wahrnehmung jedoch eine andere. Das muss an meinem Gedächtnis liegen.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Europa – das Ganze ist eine wunderbare Idee, \ aber das war der Kommunismus auch. \ Loriot

«Europa hat fertig», könnte man unken, und das wäre nicht einmal sehr verwegen. Mit solch einer Einschätzung stünden wir nicht alleine, denn die Stimmen in diese Richtung mehren sich. Der französische Präsident Emmanuel Macron warnte schon letztes Jahr davor, dass «unser Europa sterben könnte». Vermutlich hatte er dabei andere Gefahren im Kopf als jetzt der ungarische Ministerpräsident Viktor Orbán, der ein «baldiges Ende der EU» prognostizierte. Das Ergebnis könnte allerdings das gleiche sein.

Neben vordergründigen Themenbereichen wie Wirtschaft, Energie und Sicherheit ist das eigentliche Problem jedoch die obskure Mischung aus aufgegebener Souveränität und geschwollener Arroganz, mit der europäische Politiker:innende unterschiedlicher Couleur aufzutreten pflegen. Und das Tüpfelchen auf dem i ist die bröckelnde Legitimation politischer Institutionen dadurch, dass die Stimmen großer Teile der Bevölkerung seit Jahren auf vielfältige Weise ausgegrenzt werden.

Um «UnsereDemokratie» steht es schlecht. Dass seine Mandate immer schwächer werden, merkt natürlich auch unser «Führungspersonal». Entsprechend werden die Maßnahmen zur Gängelung, Überwachung und Manipulation der Bürger ständig verzweifelter. Parallel dazu plustern sich in Paris Macron, Scholz und einige andere noch einmal mächtig in Sachen Verteidigung und «Kriegstüchtigkeit» auf.

Momentan gilt es auch, das Überschwappen covidiotischer und verschwörungsideologischer Auswüchse aus den USA nach Europa zu vermeiden. So ein «MEGA» (Make Europe Great Again) können wir hier nicht gebrauchen. Aus den Vereinigten Staaten kommen nämlich furchtbare Nachrichten. Beispielsweise wurde einer der schärfsten Kritiker der Corona-Maßnahmen kürzlich zum Gesundheitsminister ernannt. Dieser setzt sich jetzt für eine Neubewertung der mRNA-«Impfstoffe» ein, was durchaus zu einem Entzug der Zulassungen führen könnte.

Der europäischen Version von «Verteidigung der Demokratie» setzte der US-Vizepräsident J. D. Vance auf der Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz sein Verständnis entgegen: «Demokratie stärken, indem wir unseren Bürgern erlauben, ihre Meinung zu sagen». Das Abschalten von Medien, das Annullieren von Wahlen oder das Ausschließen von Menschen vom politischen Prozess schütze gar nichts. Vielmehr sei dies der todsichere Weg, die Demokratie zu zerstören.

In der Schweiz kamen seine Worte deutlich besser an als in den meisten europäischen NATO-Ländern. Bundespräsidentin Karin Keller-Sutter lobte die Rede und interpretierte sie als «Plädoyer für die direkte Demokratie». Möglicherweise zeichne sich hier eine außenpolitische Kehrtwende in Richtung integraler Neutralität ab, meint mein Kollege Daniel Funk. Das wären doch endlich mal ein paar gute Nachrichten.

Von der einstigen Idee einer europäischen Union mit engeren Beziehungen zwischen den Staaten, um Konflikte zu vermeiden und das Wohlergehen der Bürger zu verbessern, sind wir meilenweit abgekommen. Der heutige korrupte Verbund unter technokratischer Leitung ähnelt mehr einem Selbstbedienungsladen mit sehr begrenztem Zugang. Die EU-Wahlen im letzten Sommer haben daran ebenso wenig geändert, wie die Bundestagswahl am kommenden Sonntag darauf einen Einfluss haben wird.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

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Autor: Bastian Barucker. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.

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Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.

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John Lennon besang in seinem weltberühmten Lied „Imagine“ die fast unvorstellbare Utopie einer Welt, in der es keinen Grund mehr zu töten gäbe und die Menschen in Frieden zusammen leben. Die enorme Resonanz und Verbreitung dieser Zeilen zeigt den Wunsch fast aller Menschen nach Frieden. Wie Lennon zu diesen Zeilen kam, ist ein Hinweis darauf, dass es dazu neben geopolitischen Analysen und deren Verbreitung durch eine nicht eingebettete und freie Presse vielleicht noch etwas braucht: Schattenarbeit – ein bewusstes Hinwenden zu den eigenen Tiefen der Persönlichkeit, dem inneren Tiefenstaat.

Was ist der Tiefenstaat?

Mit dem Begriff Tiefenstaat verbinde ich Strukturen, die Edward Bernays bereits vor knapp 100 Jahren in seinem Grundlagenwerk „Propaganda“ beschrieb. Im Vorwort schreibt er: „Organisationen, die im Verborgenen arbeiten, lenken die gesellschaftlichen Abläufe. Sie sind die eigentlichen Regierungen in unserem Land.“ Er verwendet diesbezüglich auch das Wort „Schattenkabinett“. Im Bereich der Persönlichkeitsentwicklung wird der Begriff „Schattenarbeit“ dafür verwendet, unbekannte, aber einflussreiche Anteile des eigenen Selbst zu entdecken und zu integrieren.

Lennon begab sich in den 70er Jahren des letzten Jahrhunderts auf die Reise zu sich selbst. Sein Weg führte ihn zum Psychologen Dr. Arthur Janov, der Menschen mithilfe der von ihm entwickelten Primärtherapie dabei begleitete, sich ihrer primären Prägungen und frühkindlichen Traumatisierungen bewusst zu werden und abgespaltenen Schmerz wieder zu erleben, um sich davon zu befreien. Entgegen stark kognitiv geprägter Ansätze wie der Gesprächstherapie steht bei dieser Art der Therapie Gefühlsausdruck im Vordergrund. Janov selbst schreibt dazu: «Die Krankheit ist die Verleugnung des Fühlens, und das Heilmittel ist das Fühlen.»

Auch der Psychologe und Psychotherapeut Franz Ruppert beschäftigt sich intensiv mit dem Fühlen als einem möglichen Weg, eine Traumatisierung aufzuarbeiten. Er schreibt Folgendes über die Bedeutung des Fühlens in seinem Buch „Wer bin ich in einer traumatisierten Gesellschaft“: „Denn letztlich können nur über das Ausdrücken von Gefühlen die fragmentierten psychischen Strukturen wieder zu einer Einheit zusammenfinden.“

Lennon war es möglich, die immense Menge an Schmerz zu entdecken, die er verborgen in sich trug, und er erkannte dabei, welche Verhaltensweisen und Bewältigungsstrategien damit verbunden waren. Laut Lennon ist „Unser Schmerz der Schmerz, durch den wir die ganze Zeit gehen. Du wirst in Schmerz hineingeboren, und wir befinden uns meist im Schmerz. Und ich glaube, je größer der Schmerz ist, umso mehr Götter brauchen wir.“

Die Schilderungen von John Lennon decken sich mit den Erfahrungen meiner Selbsterfahrung und meiner mittlerweile über 10 Jahre langen Begleitungsarbeit in der durch den Schweizer Willi Maurer entwickelten Gefühls- und Körperarbeit.

Auch in dieser Arbeit geht es darum, abgespaltenen Schmerz langsam und über viele Jahre aus dem Schatten in das Bewusstsein zu integrieren, um nicht weiter von ihm unbewusst beeinflusst zu werden. Hunderte Male habe ich Menschen ihnen vorher unbekannten Hass, tiefe Trauer, unendliche Ohnmacht, starke Hilflosigkeit, aber auch Freude, tiefe Geborgenheit, Liebe und Friedfertigkeit entdecken und ausleben sehen. Selber habe ich mich nach einem einjährigen Aufenthalt in der nordamerikanischen Wildnis, bei dem es darum ging, so ehrlich wie möglich miteinander umzugehen, ausführlich meiner Selbsterfahrung gewidmet und dabei Intensitäten von Schmerz, aber auch Zufriedenheit entdeckt, die mir nicht vorstellbar erschienen.

Der Krieg in uns

Fast immer zeigte sich in den begleiteten Prozessen, dass die im Alltag, in der Partnerschaft oder in der Familie angerührten Gefühle aus der eigenen frühen Kindheit stammten. Innere, überfordernde „Kriege“ und Übergriffigkeiten, die auch das Leben im Außen zum Krieg werden ließen, erwachten zum Leben und durften endlich Ausdruck finden. Schlussendlich zeigte sich meist, dass es einen friedlichen Umgang mit der aktuellen Situation gibt, wenn die Altlast „entsorgt“ beziehungsweise kompostiert, also gefühlt und integriert wurde.

Franz Renggli beschreibt diese Psychodynamik in seinem Buch Verlassenheit und Angst – Nähe und Geborgenheit in Bezug auf Partnerschaft wie folgt:

„Die Erfahrung aller meiner Paarbegleitungen zeigt nun: Wenn nach der ersten Verliebtheit langsam der „Alltag“ in eine Beziehung einkehrt, neigen beide Partner immer mehr dazu, ihre Schattenseiten, ihre alten und frühen Verletzungen auch in der Beziehung zuzulassen. Je sicherer die Grenzen sind, desto vertrauensvoller dürfen diese frühen Schmerzen gespürt und erfahren werden. Wir „steigen dann wieder ab“ in unsere ursprüngliche Hölle der Verlassenheit, in die frühkindlichen Prägungen, wie ich sie hier beschrieben habe. Nur: die Hölle sind dann nicht länger die Eltern, sondern jetzt der Partner oder die Partnerin! Vielleicht könnte ich sie oder ihn umbringen vor Enttäuschung und Wut, weil er/sie mich so sehr verletzt hat. Und damit kann sie beginnen, die Heilung der alten Wunden in der Paarbeziehung! Aber nur dann, wenn wir bereit sind, unsere alten verletzten Gefühle wirklich zu spüren und zuzulassen. Und wenn wir zu diesem Schritt bereit sind, dann können wir auch gleichzeitig empfinden und wissen: Das sind unsere ureigensten alten Verletzungen, welche wir seit der Kindheit in uns tragen – ein Partner mit seinen Worten und seinem Verhalten ist nur der Auslöser unseres alten Schmerzes, ein harter Spiegel unserer alten Wunden! Wir alle haben unsere Partner entsprechend gewählt, damit wir in unseren Grundfesten immer wieder – neben allem Glück, das wir mit ihnen erleben und teilen dürfen – auch erschüttert werden.“

Diese wiederkehrenden Erschütterungen werden auch Reinszenierungszwang genannt und lassen Menschen immer wieder dieselben misslichen Lagen (mit)erschaffen, die ihnen Leid zufügen. Willi Maurer beschreibt diese Dynamik in einem sehr lesenswerten Artikel mit dem Titel „Die verschüttete Quelle des Friedens“ wie folgt: „Die Spirale der Gewalt zeigt, dass wir andern Menschen das antun, was uns selbst widerfahren ist. Doch ohne Selbsterforschung bleiben wir blind gegenüber der tief in uns verdrängt liegenden Wahrheit.“

Diese Reinszenierung ist gleichzeitig jedoch eine immer wiederkehrende Chance, sich der Ursache dieser Dynamik zuzuwenden. Das geschieht dann, wenn die Person sich als Erschaffer oder Erschafferin und nicht als reines Opfer der Umstände versteht und beginnt, die volle Verantwortung für das eigene Leben zu übernehmen.

Vor einigen Jahren brachte ich den Prozessbegleiter Willi Maurer und den Friedensforscher Dr. Daniele Ganser zu einem Gespräch zusammen, weil ich der Ansicht war, dass beide Friedensarbeit aus verschiedenen Perspektiven leisten. Es war eine Wohltat, zu erleben, wie Ganser durch die sehr authentischen Schilderungen Maurers zu ahnen begann, dass es eine Verbindung zwischen weltweiten Kriegen und frühen Erfahrungen geben kann. Was hat der Soldat, Politiker oder Geostratege erlebt, dass er in der Lage ist, Krieg zu befördern, zu verursachen oder auch nur zu dulden?

Vielleicht ist die immer wiederkehrende Kriegsbereitschaft und Kriegslust elitärer Kreise neben der wahrscheinlich frühkindlich erzeugten Gier nach Macht, Einfluss und Geld ebenfalls ein gesellschaftlicher Reinszenierungszwang. Die inneren Zerwürfnisse und Kriege müssen quasi ins Außen getragen werden, um sich dem im Schatten der eigenen Persönlichkeit wartenden Schmerz nicht zuwenden zu müssen.

Eine weitere Bewältigungsstrategie für innere, emotionale Zerwürfnisse ist die Projektion, also die Veräußerlichung des Eigenen auf andere. Ein hier vielleicht Sinn stiftendes Beispiel ist die immer wieder betonte weitestgehend unbelegte Unterstellung imperialistischer Bestrebungen Russlands im Zuge des völkerrechtswidrigen Krieges in der Ukraine. Meist kommt diese Behauptung von Vertretern oder Unterstützern der NATO, die – wie an ihrer großflächigen, gegen westliche Zusagen an Russland verstoßenden NATO-Osterweiterung leicht zu erkennen – offensichtlich selbst imperialistische Bestrebungen verfolgt.

Die Projektion ins Außen

Interessanterweise hat ausgerechnet Präsident Putin in anschaulichen Worten beschrieben, was unter anderem mit im Schatten liegenden Persönlichkeitsanteilen auch auf geopolitischer Ebene passieren kann. Sie werden anderen Menschen oder Staaten zugeschrieben, also ins Außen projiziert. Auf die Beschuldigung durch US-Präsidenten Joe Biden, ein Mörder zu sein, antwortete Putin: „Aber wenn wir andere Menschen bewerten, oder wenn wir sogar andere Staaten, andere Völker bewerten, sehen wir immer in den Spiegel, wir sehen uns immer selbst, weil wir auf eine andere Person übertragen, was wir selbst sind, was uns im Wesentlichen ausmacht. Wissen Sie, ich erinnere mich, als wir als Kinder im Hinterhof waren, als wir miteinander gestritten und gesagt haben: Wie Du andere nennst, so bist Du selbst. Und das ist kein Zufall, das ist nicht nur ein Kindersprichwort oder ein Witz. Der Sinn ist sehr psychologisch. Wir sehen immer unsere eigenen Qualitäten in einer anderen Person und denken, dass sie so ist wie wir, und daraus bewerten wir ihr Handeln und bewerten sie insgesamt.“

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7sMAHWH_hhQ

Der bereits erwähnte Tiefenstaat, also eine quasi Schattenregierung, existiert auf der geopolitischen Weltbühne und bestimmt größtenteils die Geschicke, insbesondere wenn es um Krieg und Frieden geht. Der Kognitionsforscher Professor Rainer Mausfeld beschreibt die unsichtbar im Hintergrund wirkenden Strukturen in seinem Buch „Angst und Macht“ wie folgt: „Die tatsächliche Macht ist heute in neuartigen globalen Organisationsformen verortet, die vollkommen einer gesellschaftlichen Kontrolle entzogen sind, die für die Bevölkerung weitgehend unsichtbar sind…“

Gleiches gilt meiner Annahme nach auch für die persönlichen Machtverhältnisse, bei denen eigene Schattenanteile ebenfalls großen Einfluss auf die sichtbaren Verhaltensweisen nehmen. Dieser unbewusste Anteil kann auf der einen Seite Macht über die eigene Kriegsbereitschaft und Friedenstüchtigkeit ausüben, auf der anderen Seite wird er von Kriegstreibern mittels kognitiver Kriegsführung aktiv benutzt, um die Bevölkerung zu manipulieren. Der Propagandaforscher Dr. Jonas Tögel schreibt dazu: „Die Tiefenpsychologie dient als Fundament der wohl wichtigsten Manipulationswaffe: die gezielte Beeinflussung des Unbewussten der menschlichen Psyche. Wie bei einem Eisberg liegt ein großer Teil unserer Gedanken und Gefühle „unter der Wasseroberfläche“, und hier können wir so beeinflusst werden, dass wir die Steuerung selbst oft nicht bemerken.“

Der Tiefe Staat kann also ungesehen politisch schalten und walten und gleichzeitig die unbewussten Anteile der menschlichen Psyche zu seinen Gunsten ausnutzen.

Teil 2 folgt in Kürze.

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Bastian Barucker, Jahrgang 83, ist Wildnispädagoge, Überlebenstrainer und Prozessbegleiter. Seit 2005 begleitet er Menschen bei Wachstumsprozessen in der Natur. Seit 2011 macht er mithilfe der Gefühls- und Körperarbeit tiefgreifende Selbsterfahrungen, und seit 2014 begleitet er Gruppen, Paare und Einzelpersonen. Er lebt und arbeitet im wunderschönen Lassaner Winkel, nahe der Insel Usedom. Zuletzt erschien von ihm das Buch "Auf Spurensuche nach Natürlichkeit: Vom Leben in der Wildnis und der Reise zu sich selbst" im Massel Verlag.

Kontakt: www.bastian-barucker.de

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Die «moralische Weltordnung» – eine Art Astrologie. Friedrich Nietzsche

Das Treffen der BRICS-Staaten beim Gipfel im russischen Kasan war sicher nicht irgendein politisches Event. Gastgeber Wladimir Putin habe «Hof gehalten», sagen die Einen, China und Russland hätten ihre Vorstellung einer multipolaren Weltordnung zelebriert, schreiben Andere.

In jedem Fall zeigt die Anwesenheit von über 30 Delegationen aus der ganzen Welt, dass von einer geostrategischen Isolation Russlands wohl keine Rede sein kann. Darüber hinaus haben sowohl die Anreise von UN-Generalsekretär António Guterres als auch die Meldungen und Dementis bezüglich der Beitrittsbemühungen des NATO-Staats Türkei für etwas Aufsehen gesorgt.

Im Spannungsfeld geopolitischer und wirtschaftlicher Umbrüche zeigt die neue Allianz zunehmendes Selbstbewusstsein. In Sachen gemeinsamer Finanzpolitik schmiedet man interessante Pläne. Größere Unabhängigkeit von der US-dominierten Finanzordnung ist dabei ein wichtiges Ziel.

Beim BRICS-Wirtschaftsforum in Moskau, wenige Tage vor dem Gipfel, zählte ein nachhaltiges System für Finanzabrechnungen und Zahlungsdienste zu den vorrangigen Themen. Während dieses Treffens ging der russische Staatsfonds eine Partnerschaft mit dem Rechenzentrumsbetreiber BitRiver ein, um Bitcoin-Mining-Anlagen für die BRICS-Länder zu errichten.

Die Initiative könnte ein Schritt sein, Bitcoin und andere Kryptowährungen als Alternativen zu traditionellen Finanzsystemen zu etablieren. Das Projekt könnte dazu führen, dass die BRICS-Staaten den globalen Handel in Bitcoin abwickeln. Vor dem Hintergrund der Diskussionen über eine «BRICS-Währung» wäre dies eine Alternative zu dem ursprünglich angedachten Korb lokaler Währungen und zu goldgedeckten Währungen sowie eine mögliche Ergänzung zum Zahlungssystem BRICS Pay.

Dient der Bitcoin also der Entdollarisierung? Oder droht er inzwischen, zum Gegenstand geopolitischer Machtspielchen zu werden? Angesichts der globalen Vernetzungen ist es oft schwer zu durchschauen, «was eine Show ist und was im Hintergrund von anderen Strippenziehern insgeheim gesteuert wird». Sicher können Strukturen wie Bitcoin auch so genutzt werden, dass sie den Herrschenden dienlich sind. Aber die Grundeigenschaft des dezentralisierten, unzensierbaren Peer-to-Peer Zahlungsnetzwerks ist ihm schließlich nicht zu nehmen.

Wenn es nach der EZB oder dem IWF geht, dann scheint statt Instrumentalisierung momentan eher der Kampf gegen Kryptowährungen angesagt. Jürgen Schaaf, Senior Manager bei der Europäischen Zentralbank, hat jedenfalls dazu aufgerufen, Bitcoin «zu eliminieren». Der Internationale Währungsfonds forderte El Salvador, das Bitcoin 2021 als gesetzliches Zahlungsmittel eingeführt hat, kürzlich zu begrenzenden Maßnahmen gegen das Kryptogeld auf.

Dass die BRICS-Staaten ein freiheitliches Ansinnen im Kopf haben, wenn sie Kryptowährungen ins Spiel bringen, darf indes auch bezweifelt werden. Im Abschlussdokument bekennen sich die Gipfel-Teilnehmer ausdrücklich zur UN, ihren Programmen und ihrer «Agenda 2030». Ernst Wolff nennt das «eine Bankrotterklärung korrupter Politiker, die sich dem digital-finanziellen Komplex zu 100 Prozent unterwerfen».

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

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Shifting left on accessibility means building inclusivity into every phase of a project—from strategy to QA—saving time, reducing risk, and creating better user experiences.

Shifting left is about collaboration: a successful website project isn’t a linear train ride from content to design to development. It’s a dynamic, collaborative ecosystem that means everyone contributes.

• Strategists ensure content is easy to find.
• Designers prioritize color contrast, readable typography, and interactive elements.
• Back-end developers support accessible content structures and accessible interaction.
• Front-end developers implement semantic markup and accessible UI components.
• QA testers verify functionality across assistive devices.
• DevOps engineers integrate automated accessibility checks into the workflow.
• Technical project managers: keep accessibility visible and prioritized.

Accessibility should be part of every conversation—from kickoff to QA.

Read the full article at https://www.lullabot.com/articles/what-it-means-shift-left-accessibility-and-how-do-it-right

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977943

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VIET GD is a casual index, archive, and celebration of Vietnamese graphic design. Currently, there are 274 objects in this collection. Understandably, a lot of propaganda posters... as well as music themed ones! Here below some of the most interesting ones:

Explore them all at https://vietgd.com/

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977939

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Hypatia de Alexandria (c. 355/370–415 d.C.) é uma figura icónica da Antiguidade tardia, cuja vida e obra representam um marco na história do pensamento ocidental. Como filósofa, matemática, astrónoma e professora, foi uma das últimas grandes representantes da tradição intelectual helenística em Alexandria, num período de intensas transformações culturais e religiosas. O seu trabalho, profundamente enraizado no neoplatonismo e influenciado pelo pitagorismo, reflete uma visão do mundo que unia ciência, filosofia e espiritualidade. A sua morte trágica, associada às tensões religiosas e políticas da época, adiciona uma camada de complexidade à sua história, levantando questões sobre o papel do cristianismo emergente. Abaixo, exploro detalhadamente o seu envolvimento com o platonismo e o pitagorismo, a sua vida pessoal, as áreas de estudo, curiosidades, os eventos da sua morte, as razões por trás dela, a relação com o cristianismo e uma crítica ao movimento cristão da época.

Trabalho no Platonismo e Pitagorismo

Platonismo e Neoplatonismo

Hypatia era uma neoplatónica, pertencente à escola filosófica que reinterpretava as ideias de Platão (século IV a.C.) através da lente de Plotino (século III d.C.). O neoplatonismo postulava a existência de uma realidade suprema, o Uno, de onde emanavam todas as coisas, incluindo a Mente (Nous) e a Alma. Para os neoplatónicos, o objetivo da vida era a ascensão espiritual da alma em direção ao Uno, alcançada por meio da contemplação filosófica, do estudo racional e da prática da virtude. Hypatia, como líder da escola neoplatónica de Alexandria, ensinava estas ideias, provavelmente comentando textos de Platão, como o Timeu, que explora a cosmologia e a geometria como reflexos da ordem divina, ou o Fedão, que discute a imortalidade da alma. Os seus ensinamentos também incluíam as obras de Plotino, cujas Enéadas detalhavam a estrutura metafísica do cosmos. O neoplatonismo de Hypatia era mais prático e menos místico do que o de outros pensadores, como Porfírio ou Jâmblico. Ela enfatizava a razão e a ciência, utilizando a filosofia como uma ferramenta para compreender o universo, em vez de se focar em práticas teúrgicas (rituais místicos) que alguns neoplatónicos adotavam. A sua abordagem ao platonismo era profundamente interdisciplinar. A geometria platónica, que via nas formas perfeitas (como o círculo ou o triângulo) reflexos do mundo das Ideias, influenciava os seus estudos matemáticos e astronómicos. Hypatia provavelmente ensinava como os sólidos platónicos (tetraedro, cubo, etc.) descritos no Timeu representavam os elementos do cosmos, ligando filosofia e ciência.

Pitagorismo

O pitagorismo, iniciado por Pitágoras no século VI a.C., teve um impacto significativo no trabalho de Hypatia. Os pitagóricos acreditavam que o universo era governado por números e proporções matemáticas, uma ideia resumida na frase “tudo é número”. Esta visão ressoava no neoplatonismo, que via na matemática uma ponte entre o mundo material e o divino. Hypatia, como matemática, aplicava princípios pitagóricos nos seus estudos. O seu trabalho em astronomia, que envolvia o cálculo de órbitas planetárias, refletia a crença pitagórica na “harmonia das esferas” – a ideia de que os corpos celestes produzem uma música cósmica baseada em proporções matemáticas. Ela terá usado o astrolábio, um instrumento para medir a posição dos astros, para ensinar ou investigar esta harmonia.

O pitagorismo valorizava a geometria como uma forma de contemplação espiritual. Hypatia, que comentava obras como os Elementos de Euclides, provavelmente explorava como as relações geométricas (como a proporção áurea) refletiam a ordem divina. O seu suposto trabalho no hidrómetro, um dispositivo para medir a densidade de líquidos, também pode ter sido influenciado pela ênfase pitagórica na medição e na precisão. Uma curiosidade é que os pitagóricos tinham uma forte componente ética, promovendo a disciplina, a moderação e até o vegetarianismo. Embora não saibamos se Hypatia seguia estas práticas, a sua reputação de virtude e autocontrolo, descrita por fontes como Sócrates Escolástico, sugere que ela incorporava elementos éticos do pitagorismo na sua vida.

Vida Pessoal

Os detalhes sobre a vida pessoal de Hypatia são escassos, pois as fontes primárias, como as cartas de Sinesius de Cirene ou os relatos de Sócrates Escolástico, focam-se na sua persona pública. Ainda assim, é possível traçar um retrato com base no contexto histórico.

Infância e Educação

Hypatia nasceu em Alexandria, provavelmente entre 355 e 370 d.C., numa família intelectual. O seu pai, Theon de Alexandria, era um matemático e astrónomo de renome, responsável pela edição de textos como os Elementos de Euclides e a Almagest de Ptolomeu. Theon foi proportionate sua principal mentor, educando-a em matemática, astronomia e filosofia desde tenra idade. Ao contrário de muitas mulheres da época, Hypatia teve acesso a uma educação completa, refletindo o ambiente progressista de Alexandria e a visão de Theon de que a sua filha deveria ser uma “filósofa perfeita”.

Vida Adulta e Papel Público

Hypatia nunca casou, uma escolha que pode ter sido motivada pelo seu compromisso com a filosofia, numa tradição semelhante à dos pitagóricos, que valorizavam a independência intelectual. Ela vivia de forma ascética, dedicando-se ao estudo e ao ensino. Como professora, atraía alunos de toda a bacia mediterrânica, incluindo Sinesius de Cirene, que se tornou bispo cristão, mas manteve admiração por ela. A sua casa e a escola onde ensinava, possivelmente ligada à Biblioteca de Alexandria ou ao Museion, eram centros de debate. Hypatia dava aulas públicas, muitas vezes vestida com o tribon, uma capa filosófica que simbolizava a sua autoridade. Esta visibilidade pública era rara para uma mulher e demonstra o respeito que inspirava.

Relações e Influência

Hypatia mantinha laços com figuras poderosas, como Orestes, o governador romano de Alexandria, a quem aconselhava. Esta proximidade colocou-a no centro de conflitos entre Orestes e Cirilo, o bispo cristão, que procurava consolidar o poder da Igreja. A sua neutralidade religiosa – ela era pagã, mas ensinava cristãos e pagãos sem discriminação – não a protegeu das tensões crescentes.

Curiosidades sobre a Vida Pessoal

A “Virgem Filósofa”: Hypatia era descrita como casta, reforçando a sua imagem de pureza intelectual. Uma anedota, narrada por Damáscio, conta que, quando um aluno se apaixonou por ela, Hypatia lhe mostrou um pano manchado com o seu sangue menstrual, dizendo que o amor físico era inferior ao amor pelo conhecimento.

Correspondência com Sinesius: As cartas de Sinesius revelam o respeito que ele tinha por Hypatia, pedindo-lhe conselhos sobre instrumentos como o astrolábio.

Estilo de Vida: Hypatia conduzia a sua própria carruagem pelas ruas de Alexandria, um ato de independência incomum para uma mulher.

Áreas de Estudo

Hypatia era uma polímata, abrangendo várias disciplinas: Matemática: Comentava a Aritmética de Diofanto, os Elementos de Euclides e a Cónica de Apolónio, que explora curvas como a elipse.

Astronomia: Estudava os movimentos celestes, provavelmente usando o sistema de Ptolomeu, e trabalhava com o astrolábio.

Filosofia: Ensinava metafísica, ética e cosmologia neoplatónica, com foco em Platão e Plotino.

Engenharia: É creditada pela melhoria de instrumentos como o hidrómetro e o astrolábio.

## A Morte de Hypatia: Como, Porquê e a Ligação ao Cristianismo

Como Hypatia Morreu

Hypatia foi assassinada em Março de 415 d.C. por uma turba de cristãos fanáticos em Alexandria. Segundo Sócrates Escolástico, um historiador cristão contemporâneo, ela foi atacada enquanto regressava a casa. A turba, composta por monges e seguidores cristãos, arrastou-a da sua carruagem, levou-a para uma igreja chamada Cesário e matou-a brutalmente. Os relatos indicam que ela foi despida, esquartejada com cacos de cerâmica (ostraka) e os seus restos foram queimados numa pira pública. A violência extrema do ato chocou mesmo os contemporâneos, incluindo cristãos moderados como Sócrates, que lamentou o ocorrido.

Porque Foi Assassinada

A morte de Hypatia resultou de uma combinação de factores políticos, religiosos e sociais. Alexandria, no início do século V, era um caldeirão de tensões entre pagãos, cristãos e judeus, exacerbadas pela luta pelo poder entre as autoridades seculares e a Igreja cristã. O bispo Cirilo de Alexandria, uma figura influente e ambiciosa, procurava consolidar o domínio cristão, frequentemente em conflito com Orestes, o prefeito romano que representava o poder imperial e era próximo de Hypatia. Hypatia, como filósofa pagã e conselheira de Orestes, tornou-se um alvo simbólico. Embora não fosse abertamente hostil ao cristianismo, a sua identidade pagã, a sua influência intelectual e a sua associação com Orestes fizeram dela um bode expiatório para os apoiantes de Cirilo. Rumores circulavam entre os cristãos mais radicais de que Hypatia usava “magia” ou “feitiçaria” para manipular Orestes, uma acusação comum contra intelectuais pagãos na época. Estes rumores, aliados à retórica inflamada de figuras cristãs extremistas, incitaram a turba a agir. Embora não haja provas diretas de que Cirilo tenha ordenado o assassinato, as fontes sugerem que ele pelo menos tolerou ou incentivou indiretamente a violência. Sócrates Escolástico nota que o incidente trouxe “desonra” à Igreja de Alexandria, sugerindo uma responsabilidade implícita de Cirilo.

Relação com o Cristianismo

A morte de Hypatia está intimamente ligada ao cristianismo, mas não ao cristianismo como um todo, e sim a uma fação radical que emergia em Alexandria. No século V, o cristianismo estava em ascensão como religião oficial do Império Romano, após o Édito de Tessalónica (380 d.C.). No entanto, em Alexandria, a transição foi marcada por conflitos violentos, com cristãos fanáticos, como os monges parabolanos (um grupo de zelotes cristãos), atacando pagãos, judeus e até cristãos moderados. Hypatia, como pagã e símbolo do saber helenístico, representava uma ameaça para os cristãos que viam a filosofia pagã como incompatível com a doutrina cristã. A sua neutralidade religiosa e a sua popularidade entre cristãos e pagãos não a protegeram da perceção de que ela encarnava a resistência à hegemonia cristã. A sua morte é frequentemente interpretada como um marco no declínio da tolerância intelectual e na ascensão do dogmatismo religioso.

Crítica ao Movimento Cristão da Época

O movimento cristão em Alexandria, particularmente sob a liderança de figuras como Cirilo, merece uma crítica severa pelos seus métodos autoritários e pela promoção de uma cultura de intolerância que culminou em atos de violência como o assassinato de Hypatia. Embora o cristianismo tenha trazido contribuições éticas e espirituais significativas, a sua ascensão no século V foi frequentemente marcada por uma rejeição agressiva da diversidade cultural e intelectual time mundo helenístico. Fanatismo e Intolerância Religiosa: A fação cristã liderada por Cirilo adotou uma postura exclusivista, que via qualquer crença ou prática não cristã como uma ameaça. Esta mentalidade alimentou a destruição de templos pagãos, como o Serapeum em 391 d.C., e ataques contra intelectuais pagãos. A morte de Hypatia é um exemplo extremo desta intolerância, onde a razão e o diálogo foram substituídos pela violência bruta.

Instrumentalização Política da Religião: Cirilo usou a religião como uma ferramenta para consolidar o seu poder, manipulando as massas e os monges parabolanos para intimidar opositores, como Orestes. Esta politização do cristianismo comprometeu os ideais de caridade e humildade defendidos pelos evangelhos, transformando a Igreja numa força opressiva.

Supressão do Conhecimento: O ataque a Hypatia simboliza uma rejeição mais ampla do legado intelectual helenístico, que incluía a filosofia, a ciência e a matemática. Embora nem todos os cristãos fossem hostis ao saber clássico – muitos, como Sinesius, valorizavam-no –, a fação dominante em Alexandria via a educação pagã com suspeita, contribuindo para a perda de textos e tradições.

Hipocrisia Moral: A brutalidade do assassinato de Hypatia, cometido em nome de uma religião que pregava o amor ao próximo, expõe uma contradição gritante. O fato de o crime ter ocorrido numa igreja, um espaço supostamente sagrado, agrava a hipocrisia do ato.

Curiosidades Adicionais

**Símbolo da Ciência vs. Dogmatismo: **A morte de Hypatia é vista como um marco no declínio da ciência helenística. No entanto, alguns historiadores argumentam que o conflito foi mais político do que religioso, envolvendo rivalidades entre Orestes e Cirilo.

**Representações na Cultura: **Hypatia foi romantizada em obras como o romance Hypatia (1853) de Charles Kingsley e o filme Ágora (2009), que a retrata como mártir da razão.

Perda dos seus Escritos: Nenhum texto original de Hypatia sobreviveu, mas o seu impacto é atestado por referências de outros autores.

Conclusão

Hypatia de Alexandria foi uma figura extraordinária, cuja obra no platonismo e pitagorismo uniu ciência, filosofia e espiritualidade. A sua vida, marcada por independência e dedicação ao saber, desafia as normas da época. A sua morte brutal, às mãos de uma turba cristã incitada por tensões políticas e religiosas, simboliza o choque entre a razão helenística e o fanatismo emergente. A crítica ao movimento cristão de Alexandria, liderado por Cirilo, destaca a intolerância e a instrumentalização da religião, que traíram os ideais cristãos e sufocaram o diálogo intelectual. Hypatia permanece um símbolo eterno da busca pelo conhecimento e da resistência face à opressão.

@ a9434ee1:d5c885be

Colors as a fun and useful identifier

Nostr apps often use totally random colors for their default avatars, profiles names in chat bubbles, etc... That's a missed opportunity. Why don't we just we just derive a color from the npub and use that instead, interoperably across apps?

It gives us a fun and visual extra point of recognition, often without having to add anything extra to the UIs.

The only problem is that we cannot just allow for any color. The colors should be readable as text in Light and Dark modes and gray-scales should be avoided too.

This is the goal: Luckily, there's a super simple solution.
(which was used to derive the colors above)

Deriving the Colors

You can find the simple spec here: nostr: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

TLDR: 1. Convert HEX pubkey to Int 2. Calculate the Hue value: Int % 360 3. Set Saturation to 90 for Hues between 216 and 273, use 80 for the rest 4. Set Brightness to 65 for Hues between 32 and 212, use 85 for the rest

Convert HSB color to whatever format you need. Done.

Easy & Fun to integrate!

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Auf der diesjährigen Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz geht es vor allem um die Ukraine. Protagonisten sind dabei zunächst die US-Amerikaner. Präsident Trump schockierte die Europäer kurz vorher durch ein Telefonat mit seinem Amtskollegen Wladimir Putin, während Vizepräsident Vance mit seiner Rede über Demokratie und Meinungsfreiheit für versteinerte Mienen und Empörung sorgte.

Die Bemühungen der Europäer um einen Frieden in der Ukraine halten sich, gelinde gesagt, in Grenzen. Größeres Augenmerk wird auf militärische Unterstützung, die Pflege von Feindbildern sowie Eskalation gelegt. Der deutsche Bundeskanzler Scholz reagierte auf die angekündigten Verhandlungen über einen möglichen Frieden für die Ukraine mit der Forderung nach noch höheren «Verteidigungsausgaben». Auch die amtierende Außenministerin Baerbock hatte vor der Münchner Konferenz klargestellt:

«Frieden wird es nur durch Stärke geben. (...) Bei Corona haben wir gesehen, zu was Europa fähig ist. Es braucht erneut Investitionen, die der historischen Wegmarke, vor der wir stehen, angemessen sind.»

Die Rüstungsindustrie freut sich in jedem Fall über weltweit steigende Militärausgaben. Die Kriege in der Ukraine und in Gaza tragen zu Rekordeinnahmen bei. Jetzt «winkt die Aussicht auf eine jahrelange große Nachrüstung in Europa», auch wenn der Ukraine-Krieg enden sollte, so hört man aus Finanzkreisen. In der Konsequenz kennt «die Aktie des deutschen Vorzeige-Rüstungskonzerns Rheinmetall in ihrem Anstieg offenbar gar keine Grenzen mehr». «Solche Friedensversprechen» wie das jetzige hätten in der Vergangenheit zu starken Kursverlusten geführt.

Für manche Leute sind Kriegswaffen und sonstige Rüstungsgüter Waren wie alle anderen, jedenfalls aus der Perspektive von Investoren oder Managern. Auch in diesem Bereich gibt es Startups und man spricht von Dingen wie innovativen Herangehensweisen, hocheffizienten Produktionsanlagen, skalierbaren Produktionstechniken und geringeren Stückkosten.

Wir lesen aktuell von Massenproduktion und gesteigerten Fertigungskapazitäten für Kriegsgerät. Der Motor solcher Dynamik und solchen Wachstums ist die Aufrüstung, die inzwischen permanent gefordert wird. Parallel wird die Bevölkerung verbal eingestimmt und auf Kriegstüchtigkeit getrimmt.

Das Rüstungs- und KI-Startup Helsing verkündete kürzlich eine «dezentrale Massenproduktion für den Ukrainekrieg». Mit dieser Expansion positioniere sich das Münchner Unternehmen als einer der weltweit führenden Hersteller von Kampfdrohnen. Der nächste «Meilenstein» steht auch bereits an: Man will eine Satellitenflotte im Weltraum aufbauen, zur Überwachung von Gefechtsfeldern und Truppenbewegungen.

Ebenfalls aus München stammt das als DefenseTech-Startup bezeichnete Unternehmen ARX Robotics. Kürzlich habe man in der Region die größte europäische Produktionsstätte für autonome Verteidigungssysteme eröffnet. Damit fahre man die Produktion von Militär-Robotern hoch. Diese Expansion diene auch der Lieferung der «größten Flotte unbemannter Bodensysteme westlicher Bauart» in die Ukraine.

Rüstung boomt und scheint ein Zukunftsmarkt zu sein. Die Hersteller und Vermarkter betonen, mit ihren Aktivitäten und Produkten solle die europäische Verteidigungsfähigkeit erhöht werden. Ihre Strategien sollten sogar «zum Schutz demokratischer Strukturen beitragen».

---

Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ bf95e1a4:ebdcc848

This is a part of the Bitcoin Infinity Academy course on Knut Svanholm's book Bitcoin: Sovereignty Through Mathematics. For more information, check out our Geyser page!

Changing the Rules

Altering the Bitcoin protocol is easy. The code is open source, which means that anyone can download a copy of the code and make whatever changes they want to it. Altering what the participants of the Bitcoin network view as the real deal, however, is hard. Really hard. Gaining their acceptance requires the proposed upgrade to be really good and really bulletproof in terms of not altering the game-theoretical fundamentals that make following the rules beneficial to the miners. Upgrades to the protocol can be implemented via either a soft fork or a hard fork. A soft fork is a voluntary, backward-compatible upgrade. A hard fork requires every node in the network that wants to stay active to upgrade its software. Even a soft fork can be very controversial, and a great debate between proponents of different paths to scaling up the Bitcoin network in 2017 led to a portion of the network “forking off” and creating a new chain via a hard fork. Even though the proposed upgrade was implemented following the consensus rules, some participants weren’t very happy with it. At this point in time, it is unlikely that Bitcoin will ever hard fork again except to fix critical bugs.

The Internet is an ocean of misinformation, and more often than not, it is very difficult to navigate through it. The sheer amount of dishonesty in the so-called "crypto space" is really depressing and has very little, if anything, to do with sound money. Bitcoin does one thing and one thing only: it solves The Byzantine Generals Problem through its consensus rules. That’s it. A problem most people have never even heard of. The Byzantine Generals Problem describes how hard it is to construct a network where the participants can come to a consensus on the true state of the network without needing to know or trust any of the other participants. In other words — how to construct a network in such a way that no trust is required, while ensuring that information sent via the network is true. A blockchain by itself does not ensure decentralization. It is not the “underlying technology” behind Bitcoin in any way. Bitcoin is the underlying technology behind the blockchain hype, but saying that the blockchain is the key invention here is misguided at best. The anchor chain is not the underlying technology behind the anchor. Nor is the keychain the technology behind the key or the food chain the underlying, most interesting aspect of a human being. Be very skeptical of those promoting blockchains that do not see Bitcoin’s blockchain as the most important one. Even social networks with billions of users. They are practically saying that masturbation is the most important aspect of sex.

At any point in time, any participant in the Bitcoin network can stop agreeing with the network’s way of determining scarcity and coming to consensus. A participant can choose to follow a hard fork of Bitcoin, exchange all of their Bitcoin for another cryptocurrency, or abandon the idea of digital scarcity altogether if they so choose. What they can’t do is change Bitcoin, change what others perceive to be Bitcoin, or change the nature of how bitcoiners determine scarcity. Unlike every government-backed currency, no one is forcing anyone to agree with anything in Bitcoin. It is a completely voluntary system with no formal leaders. We humans aren’t used to leaderless systems, and the idea of having no authority telling us how to think about it is scary to a lot of people. As mentioned above, many opportunists take advantage of this, and many people will lose money to scammers before Bitcoin finds its rightful place in our society. Stay vigilant and be suspicious of any “cryptocurrency” that isn’t Bitcoin. Every claim that an alternative currency has a new feature, is better for the environment, is faster or more anonymous than Bitcoin, or can be used as a base layer for building decentralized applications, is a testament to misunderstanding what the invention of Bitcoin really was. It was not so much an invention at all but rather a discovery. The discovery of true digital absolute scarcity. Absolute scarcity, whose most obvious use case was sound money. A discovery is a one-way occurrence. Thousands of people fly from Europe to America every day, but that doesn’t make those people as historically significant as Christopher Columbus. Nor will any social network coin, petro-dollar, or altcoin ever be as significant as Bitcoin.

While changing Bitcoin might be really hard, changing the current political state of the world is nearly impossible. Not because of the risk of having your voice drowned out — everyone on the internet faces that hurdle — but because the game is rigged. It’s rigged everywhere. Ignorant bloggers with hubris and a paycheck, often referred to as “journalists,” often parrot their unseen masters, the central bankers, and accuse Bitcoin of being the biggest pyramid scheme ever known to man. Our current monetary system is a pyramid scheme of such gargantuan proportions that almost everyone on Earth fails to see it for what it is since the bubble encapsulates the entire planet. Quantitative easing is counterfeiting, and counterfeiting is theft. Wealth is stolen from everyone and given to those most cynical and evil among us. If we had sound money, the playing field would be leveled, and those of us making the most responsible investments would be rewarded. Right now, our system rewards ignorant demagogues and outright liars instead. A hierarchical system of power will always favor those who crave power above all else. A decentralized system will not. It cannot. It’s fair.

According to a recent study in the journal Intelligence, highly intelligent people are more likely to be diagnosed with various mental disorders such as autism spectrum disorders (20% more likely), ADHD (80%), anxiety (83%), and they have a 182% higher likelihood of suffering from one or more mood disorders. The study compared data from the American Mensa Society to data from national surveys in general. According to another study published a couple of years back in the British Journal of Psychology, highly intelligent people are more likely to have fewer friends than those less fortunate in the cognitive department. In addition to this, many separate studies show that ADHD brains are linked to higher performance in some measures of creativity than their “normal” counterparts.

Having suspected that having a brain “on the spectrum” runs in my family, both up and down the generations, I dug a little deeper into the subject. I did this mainly because I’m curious about myself and why I function the way I function, but also because of the fact that these “diseases” were almost unheard of when I grew up. I’ve done a couple of tests online. They all say I’m quite likely to suffer from one of these conditions, mainly ADD. I’ve heard preschool teachers voice suspicions about spectrum disorders in one of my kids, and even though I suspect that some teachers look a little harder for these things than they probably should, I wouldn’t be surprised if the child’s behavior matched more than one of the spectrum-condition criteria. A thing that did surprise me, though, was that the Swedish Ministry of Education recently decided to pay extra attention to extraordinarily gifted children. Very un-social-democratic indeed and probably a sound thought. I became curious and looked at the paper on what behaviors teachers should look for in these children. They were remarkably similar to those who could label another child with ADHD or ADD. So, one child gets to skip a class, and another is given amphetamine to be more like the rest of the flock, all depending on the judgment of that particular child’s teacher.

Ritalin and other amphetamine-like drugs have for a long time been prescribed en masse to children with suspected ADHD and ADD in Western societies. Some countries are more restrictive than others, but these practices are present to some extent almost everywhere. People are being given anti-depressants all over the world, and there’s an opioid epidemic in the United States. Could it be that we’re seeing this from the wrong perspective? What do the institutions and schools have to do with our recent love for mental medication? Here’s a scary thought: Are we medicating the wrong segment of the population? Could it be that the less intelligent are unable to understand the behavior of the more intelligent? I’m not saying that everyone “on the spectrum” is hyper-intelligent, but maybe there’s a grain of truth here. Not being able to properly adjust to groups may just be a side effect of preferring to be alone. Not being good at submitting to the will of authorities may be a sign of independence rather than simple disobedience. Imagine if Nikola Tesla or Albert Einstein had been given Ritalin at an early age. Would they ever have come up with the amazing innovations and insights that they did if they’d been medicated into being docile sheep instead? Without the crazy ideas of Tesla, who allegedly was considered a weird loner by his peers, we might not have alternating current, without which the world would be a very different and darker place than it is today. Good ideas propel humanity forward, and we have no idea what we’re missing out on by turning our would-be future inventors and scientists into zombies instead. Keeping the ducks in line might seem beneficial to the collective, but it is only the individual that can spawn an original idea.

Our societies are built upon institutions, and institutions, once in place, have a tendency to act in their own best interest. The people in them have much to lose by not giving in to the will of the machine, so to speak. This includes our schools in which the children are lumped together for many years with potentially nothing in common but their age. They are then forced to imbibe a curriculum adapted to the median, neatly packed into different subjects, and are then graded by the person most likely to be biased against their talent that exists — the teacher. The Internet has long since rendered this system obsolete, but it seems only free thinkers understand that. If anyone should be medicated, it is not the children “on the spectrum.” Instead of giving these kids mind-numbing drugs, maybe we should try giving everyone else mind-enhancing drugs instead? The sad story about dumbing down the gifted for the sake of the collective is nothing new. The Arab world, for instance, thrived scientifically between the 8th and the 14th century until the collective interest of religion effectively killed that. Socialist states keep collapsing, Venezuela being the latest tragic addition to this collective madness. Russia threw one of their best thinkers ever, Garry Kasparov, in jail. In short, any society that puts the collective before the individual is on a very dangerous path. Thanks to Keynesian economic theory and central bank counterfeiting, or quantitative easing, all countries are on this path right now. What are the odds that Satoshi was on Ritalin when he wrote the Bitcoin whitepaper?

Changing the rules of any game is always hard when you’re a participant rather than a game designer. The game you’re in is rigged, and you’re a pawn on someone else's chess board. A pawn whose main purpose is to be sacrificed in order to protect the king. Now, look at how the artificial intelligence algorithm AlphaZero plays chess. The newly crowned ultimate chess player does one specific move a lot more often than any of its predecessors. It sacrifices pawns. Ask yourself, are you happy with being a pawn? Does your government’s promise of a social safety net seem legitimate to you? Will your current job even exist in twenty years? In ten? You don’t need to be a pawn. More importantly, you don’t need to leave the game entirely. Even a very small investment in Bitcoin has an enormous potential upside. The Lightning Network is a technology that changes the rules of what money is and what money can be. Once you have a Lightning Network wallet installed and topped up with some Bitcoin on your phone, you quickly realize that it’s even easier to use the Lightning Network than it is to use the basic Bitcoin Network. You scan a QR code and press send. That’s it. Transactions on the Lightning Network are instant, free, and anonymous. Even though it’s still in beta at the time of writing, it works like a dream. Imagine what you can build when money can flow through pipes like water or even energy. Circuits that run on value instead of electricity. Logic gates made electronics possible rather than mere electrics. “Value gates” would open up a whole new spectrum of invention, where human interaction would act as fuel for human ingenuity directly.

About the Bitcoin Infinity Academy

The Bitcoin Infinity Academy is an educational project built around Knut Svanholm’s books about Bitcoin and Austrian Economics. Each week, a whole chapter from one of the books is released for free on Highlighter, accompanied by a video in which Knut and Luke de Wolf discuss that chapter’s ideas. You can join the discussions by signing up for one of the courses on our Geyser page. Signed books, monthly calls, and lots of other benefits are also available.

@ 90c656ff:9383fd4e

Bitcoin emerged as an alternative to the traditional financial system, offering a decentralized and censorship-resistant medium of exchange. However, this proposition directly challenges the control governments exert over the economy, particularly in terms of currency issuance and financial regulation. As a result, many governments view Bitcoin with suspicion and attempt to limit its adoption, while others seek to integrate it into the economy in a controlled manner.

Reasons for conflict between governments and Bitcoin

Government resistance to Bitcoin adoption stems from several key factors:

01 - Loss of Monetary Control: Governments manage monetary policy through the issuance of fiat currency and manipulation of interest rates. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply and decentralized nature, prevents governments from printing more money, thereby limiting their influence over the economy.

02 - Challenges in Taxation: Bitcoin usage makes it harder for authorities to monitor transactions and enforce tax collection, posing a challenge for governments that rely heavily on taxation to fund public services.

03 - Concerns Over Regulation and Financial Crime: Many governments argue that Bitcoin can be used for money laundering, tax evasion, and other illicit activities. However, since all transactions are recorded on the blockchain (or timechain), Bitcoin is actually more traceable than physical cash.

04 - Competition with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): Some governments are developing their own digital currencies, known as CBDCs. These offer a high level of control over financial transactions but lack Bitcoin’s decentralized properties. To promote CBDC adoption, some governments attempt to restrict or ban Bitcoin.

Different countries have taken varied approaches to Bitcoin, ranging from full acceptance to outright repression.

• El Salvador:

In 2021, El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. This decision sparked conflict with global financial institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which pressured the Salvadoran government to reverse its stance.

• China:

The Chinese government banned Bitcoin mining and usage entirely in 2021, citing environmental concerns and financial risks. Nonetheless, many Chinese miners and users continue to operate through alternative means.

• United States:

While Bitcoin is legal in the U.S., the government has imposed stricter regulations on exchanges and mining operations, seeking to exert more control over the sector. Some politicians advocate for a pro-Bitcoin stance, while others see it as a threat to the dollar.

• European Union:

The EU has taken a more rigorous regulatory approach, requiring user identification and transaction transparency. Despite this, Bitcoin remains legal and widely used.

Despite the challenges imposed by some governments, Bitcoin adoption continues to grow. Many users see Bitcoin as a way to preserve wealth in the face of inflationary monetary policies and excessive government control over money. Furthermore, in countries with unstable economies and limited access to financial services, Bitcoin provides a solution for international payments and protection against economic crises.

Government resistance may slow Bitcoin adoption in certain regions, but it is unlikely to stop it entirely. As a decentralized and global network, Bitcoin will continue to be used regardless of restrictions imposed by any single government. In the long run, its adoption will depend on individuals and businesses standing firm against regulatory pressures and continuing to use it as a financial alternative.

In summary, the conflict between governments and Bitcoin reflects the broader struggle between a centralized traditional financial system and a new decentralized alternative. While some countries seek to ban or restrict its use, others embrace it as part of their economy. Ultimately, government resistance may only delay-but not prevent-the global adoption of Bitcoin, which continues to demonstrate its resilience and utility as a store of value and medium of exchange.

Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

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originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977930

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Nur wenn wir aufeinander zugehen, haben wir die Chance \ auf Überwindung der gegenseitigen Ressentiments! \ Dr. med. dent. Jens Knipphals

In Wolfsburg sollte es kürzlich eine Gesprächsrunde von Kritikern der Corona-Politik mit Oberbürgermeister Dennis Weilmann und Vertretern der Stadtverwaltung geben. Der Zahnarzt und langjährige Maßnahmenkritiker Jens Knipphals hatte diese Einladung ins Rathaus erwirkt und publiziert. Seine Motivation:

«Ich möchte die Spaltung der Gesellschaft überwinden. Dazu ist eine umfassende Aufarbeitung der Corona-Krise in der Öffentlichkeit notwendig.»

Schon früher hatte Knipphals Antworten von den Kommunalpolitikern verlangt, zum Beispiel bei öffentlichen Bürgerfragestunden. Für das erwartete Treffen im Rathaus formulierte er Fragen wie: Warum wurden fachliche Argumente der Kritiker ignoriert? Weshalb wurde deren Ausgrenzung, Diskreditierung und Entmenschlichung nicht entgegengetreten? In welcher Form übernehmen Rat und Verwaltung in Wolfsburg persönlich Verantwortung für die erheblichen Folgen der politischen Corona-Krise?

Der Termin fand allerdings nicht statt – der Bürgermeister sagte ihn kurz vorher wieder ab. Knipphals bezeichnete Weilmann anschließend als Wiederholungstäter, da das Stadtoberhaupt bereits 2022 zu einem Runden Tisch in der Sache eingeladen hatte, den es dann nie gab. Gegenüber Multipolar erklärte der Arzt, Weilmann wolle scheinbar eine öffentliche Aufarbeitung mit allen Mitteln verhindern. Er selbst sei «inzwischen absolut desillusioniert» und die einzige Lösung sei, dass die Verantwortlichen gingen.

Die Aufarbeitung der Plandemie beginne bei jedem von uns selbst, sei aber letztlich eine gesamtgesellschaftliche Aufgabe, schreibt Peter Frey, der den «Fall Wolfsburg» auch in seinem Blog behandelt. Diese Aufgabe sei indes deutlich größer, als viele glaubten. Erfreulicherweise sei der öffentliche Informationsraum inzwischen größer, trotz der weiterhin unverfrorenen Desinformations-Kampagnen der etablierten Massenmedien.

Frey erinnert daran, dass Dennis Weilmann mitverantwortlich für gravierende Grundrechtseinschränkungen wie die 2021 eingeführten 2G-Regeln in der Wolfsburger Innenstadt zeichnet. Es sei naiv anzunehmen, dass ein Funktionär einzig im Interesse der Bürger handeln würde. Als früherer Dezernent des Amtes für Wirtschaft, Digitalisierung und Kultur der Autostadt kenne Weilmann zum Beispiel die Verknüpfung von Fördergeldern mit politischen Zielsetzungen gut.

Wolfsburg wurde damals zu einem Modellprojekt des Bundesministeriums des Innern (BMI) und war Finalist im Bitkom-Wettbewerb «Digitale Stadt». So habe rechtzeitig vor der Plandemie das Projekt «Smart City Wolfsburg» anlaufen können, das der Stadt «eine Vorreiterrolle für umfassende Vernetzung und Datenerfassung» aufgetragen habe, sagt Frey. Die Vereinten Nationen verkauften dann derartige «intelligente» Überwachungs- und Kontrollmaßnahmen ebenso als Rettung in der Not wie das Magazin Forbes im April 2020:

«Intelligente Städte können uns helfen, die Coronavirus-Pandemie zu bekämpfen. In einer wachsenden Zahl von Ländern tun die intelligenten Städte genau das. Regierungen und lokale Behörden nutzen Smart-City-Technologien, Sensoren und Daten, um die Kontakte von Menschen aufzuspüren, die mit dem Coronavirus infiziert sind. Gleichzeitig helfen die Smart Cities auch dabei, festzustellen, ob die Regeln der sozialen Distanzierung eingehalten werden.»

Offensichtlich gibt es viele Aspekte zu bedenken und zu durchleuten, wenn es um die Aufklärung und Aufarbeitung der sogenannten «Corona-Pandemie» und der verordneten Maßnahmen geht. Frustration und Desillusion sind angesichts der Realitäten absolut verständlich. Gerade deswegen sind Initiativen wie die von Jens Knipphals so bewundernswert und so wichtig – ebenso wie eine seiner Kernthesen: «Wir müssen aufeinander zugehen, da hilft alles nichts».

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

It's incredible how deep people can go into something so mundane as a post stamp. Postage stamps are a surprisingly complex topic, overlapping with money, collectibility and bank notes. I was a postage stamp enthusiast myself, but this is one of those “the universe is surprisingly detailed” type. The rules defining postage and how it has been ruling commerce for centuries is even more fascinating and intriguing.

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originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977918