@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

Europa sitzt in einem Demokratie-Simulator. Auf die Scheiben im Cockpit werden Bilder projiziert, die nicht der Realität entsprechen, und es gibt immer noch zu viele Menschen, die diese Simulation nicht erkannt haben.

Nichts wäre erstrebenswerter, als über eine positive Entwicklung, hin zur Vernunft und realitätsbezogenen, auf Tatsachen beruhenden Entscheidungen, berichten zu können. Die Frage ist, ob nicht zuerst unentwegt auf Missstände hingewiesen werden muss, um weitere Menschen dazu zu bewegen, sich denjenigen anzuschließen, die offensichtlich an Indoktrinationsintoleranz leiden.

Wer sich vor Hofberichterstattung und die tägliche Fahrt durch die Gehirnwaschanlage schützen will, der meidet den öffentlich-rechtlichen Unfug und die einschlägigen Käseblätter, die vielleicht noch halbwegs dazu geeignet sind, den Fisch auf dem Markt einzuschlagen, um ihn nach Hause zu tragen, vorausgesetzt, man kann ihn sich noch leisten.

Die Neuen Medien liefern die Informationen, die man sonst im „Qualitäts-Mainstream“ nicht finden kann, was nicht verwundert, denn infiltriert von willigen Erfüllungsgehilfen, die Angst um ihr Prestige und ihre Stellung haben, kann man hier keine freie Berichterstattung erwarten.

Beste Unterhaltung bietet auch die Bundespressekonferenz-Show, auf die schon näher eingegangen wurde. Offizieller Regierungssprech in höchster Perfektion. Ob man dort wirklich davon überzeugt ist, dass es irgendjemanden gibt, der diesen Verlautbarungen Glauben schenkt? Was hat Tante Käthe immer gesagt: G E L D   L O C K T   I M M E R !

Was also tun? Die Neuen Medien auch noch meiden, und sich vor dem blanken Wahnsinn schützen, in dem man ihn ignoriert, was jedoch nicht bewirkt, dass er nicht mehr da wäre.

Temporäre Abstinenz tut auch hier gut, allerdings ist der Wiedereinstieg so ähnlich, wie der erste Arbeitstag nach einem zweimonatigen Urlaub, falls man nicht in seinem Lieblings-Job gelandet ist.

Und was, wenn die Irren vollends durchdrehen, und man bekommt es nicht mit? Schön, ändern kann man vielleicht wenig, aber man kann sich vielleicht noch eine richtig gute, edle Flasche Rotwein kaufen, und die am Vorabend des Untergangs genießen, oder noch schnell einen Baum pflanzen.

Hier ein Beispiel für jemanden, dessen besonderer Blick sehr an den Universal-Gesundheits-Klima-Hysteriker erinnert:

https\://rumble.com/v6umjdj-respekt-und-anerkennung-deutscher-general-lobt-ukrainische-angriffe-in-russ.html

Wie sieht der Alltag aus, wenn man sich einmal nicht mit den Informationen über Dauer- Bekloppte beschäftigt?

Wenn sich ein Besuch in der nächst größeren Stadt nicht vermeiden lässt, sieht man vor allem gehetzte Menschen, viele mit einem finsteren Blick, anders, als früher.

Viele zahlen mit Karte oder ihrem Handy, Kleckerbeträge. „Zahlen Sie noch bar, oder schon mit Überwachung?“, wünschte man sich, dass die Verkäuferinnen den Kunden fragen würden. Tun sie aber nicht.

Die Menschen scheinen keine Ahnung zu haben, was auf sie zukommt. Im Oktober soll der digitale Euro eingeführt werden, natürlich zuerst nur freiwillig. Was das bedeutet, kennt man ja schon. Freiwilligkeit durch das Schaffen eines Raumes, in dem der Zwang in der Luft hängt, wie damals der Kohlenstaub im Ruhrgebiet. Es wird die persönliche ID vorangetrieben, mit einem Wallet, das die Anonymität und die persönliche Freiheit immer mehr aushöhlen will.

Europa soll unter einen Demokratie-Schutzschirm gestellt werden, der zu nichts anderem dient, als dass diejenigen, die derzeit glauben zu wissen, was gut für die Menschen ist, ihre kruden Vorstellungen auch durchsetzen können. Zweifelhaft, was in den USA vorgeht, was da gerade mit Palantir, natürlich nur zur Sicherheit der Amerikaner, so im Hintergrund schon anläuft. Hierzu gibt es interessante Informationen von Regenauer und Tögel. Einziger Hoffnungsschimmer, besonders für Deutschland: Das klappt sowieso nicht. In den hintersten Bergdörfern in den italienischen Alpen gibt es Glasfaseranschluss, und fährt man in Deutschland auf’s Land, reiht sich Funkloch an Funkloch.

Die wirklich wichtige und große Frage ist, wie können sich Gemeinschaften, die diesen Irrsinn nicht mitmachen wollen, weitgehend aus dem System ausklinken? Bitcoin ist ein erster Schritt zur finanziellen Unabhängigkeit. Eine regionale Lebensmittelversorgung, mit nicht verseuchten, genunmanipulierten, mit Schadstoffen weitgehend unbelasteten Produkten entwickelt sich ebenfalls schon sehr gut. Was, wenn der Zugang zu Informationen über das Internet von einer Anmeldung mit persönlicher ID abhängt und man will und hat keine? Was ist mit Dokumenten, wenn man verreisen oder das Land verlassen will? Was ist, wenn man krank wird und auf das noch vorhandene Rest-Gesundheitssystem angewiesen ist? Was, wenn das Unternehmen seine Mitarbeiter auf staatliche Anweisung zu etwas zwingen muss, was der Mitarbeiter vielleicht gar nicht will, er aber auf das Einkommen angewiesen ist?

Das alles sind Fragen, zu denen es schwer ist, auch in den Neuen Medien, passende Antworten zu finden. Die würden in der Tat Hoffnung machen, dass es ein Schlupfloch gibt, sich, wenn vielleicht auch mit Einschränkungen, den „demokratischen“ Verhältnissen, auf denen nur noch Demokratie draufsteht, aber sehr wenig bis keine Demokratie mehr drin ist, so weit es geht zu entziehen. Sachdienliche Hinweise gerne in der Kommentarfunktion.

Oder ist es „gesünder“, sich zurückzuziehen, die Klappe zu halten und dafür zu sorgen, dass man unter dem Radar bleibt? Diese Gabe ist leider nicht jedem gegeben. Besonders nicht denen, die einen ausgeprägten Wahrheitssinn und ein starkes Gerechtigkeitsgefühl haben.

Menschen die andere belügen, die werden geliebt. Menschen, die anderen sagen, dass sie belogen werden, die werden gehasst.

„Die Wahrheit ist dem Menschen zumutbar.“ (Ingeborg Bachmann)

„Kein Mensch hat das Recht zu gehorchen.“ (Hannah Ahrendt)

“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”

* *

(Bild von pixabay)

@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

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"Privacy is necessary for an open society in the electronic age. Privacy is not secrecy.  A private matter is something one doesn't want the whole world to know, but a secret matter is something one doesn't want anybody to know. Privacy is the power to selectively reveal oneself to the world." - Eric Hughes, A Cypherpunk's Manifesto, 1993

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Privacy is essential to freedom. Without privacy, individuals are unable to make choices free from surveillance and control. Lack of privacy leads to loss of autonomy. When individuals are constantly monitored it limits our ability to express ourselves and take risks. Any decisions we make can result in negative repercussions from those who surveil us. Without the freedom to make choices, individuals cannot truly be free.

Freedom is essential to acquiring and preserving wealth. When individuals are not free to make choices, restrictions and limitations prevent us from economic opportunities. If we are somehow able to acquire wealth in such an environment, lack of freedom can result in direct asset seizure by governments or other malicious entities. At scale, when freedom is compromised, it leads to widespread economic stagnation and poverty. Protecting freedom is essential to economic prosperity.

The connection between privacy, freedom, and wealth is critical. Without privacy, individuals lose the freedom to make choices free from surveillance and control. While lack of freedom prevents individuals from pursuing economic opportunities and makes wealth preservation nearly impossible. No Privacy? No Freedom. No Freedom? No Wealth.

Rights are not granted. They are taken and defended. Rights are often misunderstood as permission to do something by those holding power. However, if someone can give you something, they can inherently take it from you at will. People throughout history have necessarily fought for basic rights, including privacy and freedom. These rights were not given by those in power, but rather demanded and won through struggle. Even after these rights are won, they must be continually defended to ensure that they are not taken away. Rights are not granted - they are earned through struggle and defended through sacrifice.

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If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.

@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

What is KYC/AML?

• The acronym stands for Know Your Customer / Anti Money Laundering.
• In practice it stands for the surveillance measures companies are often compelled to take against their customers by financial regulators.
• Methods differ but often include: Passport Scans, Driver License Uploads, Social Security Numbers, Home Address, Phone Number, Face Scans.
• Bitcoin companies will also store all withdrawal and deposit addresses which can then be used to track bitcoin transactions on the bitcoin block chain.
• This data is then stored and shared. Regulations often require companies to hold this information for a set number of years but in practice users should assume this data will be held indefinitely. Data is often stored insecurely, which results in frequent hacks and leaks.  
• KYC/AML data collection puts all honest users at risk of theft, extortion, and persecution while being ineffective at stopping crime. Criminals often use counterfeit, bought, or stolen credentials to get around the requirements. Criminals can buy "verified" accounts for as little as $200. Furthermore, billions of people are excluded from financial services as a result of KYC/AML requirements.

During the early days of bitcoin most services did not require this sensitive user data, but as adoption increased so did the surveillance measures. At this point, most large bitcoin companies are collecting and storing massive lists of bitcoiners, our sensitive personal information, and our transaction history.

Lists of Bitcoiners

KYC/AML policies are a direct attack on bitcoiners. Lists of bitcoiners and our transaction history will inevitably be used against us.

Once you are on a list with your bitcoin transaction history that record will always exist. Generally speaking, tracking bitcoin is based on probability analysis of ownership change. Surveillance firms use various heuristics to determine if you are sending bitcoin to yourself or if ownership is actually changing hands.  You can obtain better privacy going forward by using collaborative transactions such as coinjoin to break this probability analysis.

Fortunately, you can buy bitcoin without providing intimate personal information. Tools such as peach, hodlhodl, robosats, azteco and bisq help; mining is also a solid option: anyone can plug a miner into power and internet and earn bitcoin by mining privately.

You can also earn bitcoin by providing goods and/or services that can be purchased with bitcoin. Long term, circular economies will mitigate this threat: most people will not buy bitcoin - they will earn bitcoin - most people will not sell bitcoin - they will spend bitcoin.

There is no such thing as KYC or No KYC bitcoin, there are bitcoiners on lists and those that are not on lists.

---

If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.

@ 6be5cc06:5259daf0

Introdução

O princípio do sola scriptura, pedra angular da teologia protestante desde a Reforma do século XVI, estabelece que apenas a Escritura constitui a autoridade final e suprema em questões de fé e prática cristã. Este princípio, formulado inicialmente por Martinho Lutero e sistematizado pelos reformadores subsequentes, pretende oferecer um fundamento epistemológico sólido para a teologia, livre das supostas corrupções da tradição eclesiástica.

Contudo, uma análise rigorosa revela que o sola scriptura incorre em contradições lógicas fundamentais que comprometem sua viabilidade como sistema epistemológico coerente. Este artigo examina essas contradições através de três perspectivas complementares: filosófica, exegética e histórica.

A Contradição Performativa Fundamental

O Problema da Autorreferência

O sola scriptura enfrenta um dilema epistemológico insuperável: afirma que apenas a Escritura possui autoridade final em matéria de fé, mas essa própria regra não é explicitamente ensinada na Escritura. Trata-se de uma contradição performativa clássica, onde o enunciado viola suas próprias condições de possibilidade.

Esta situação configura uma falácia de petitio principii (círculo vicioso), pois exige que se aceite uma doutrina que não pode ser sustentada pelas premissas do próprio sistema. Para estabelecer o sola scriptura, seria necessário recorrer a uma autoridade externa à Escritura – precisamente aquilo que o princípio pretende rejeitar.

Fundacionalismo Mal Estruturado

Do ponto de vista epistemológico, o sola scriptura apresenta-se como um fundacionalismo defeituoso. Pretende funcionar como axioma supremo e auto-evidente, mas falha ao não fornecer a base textual que sua própria metodologia exige. Um verdadeiro fundacionalismo escriturístico deveria ser capaz de demonstrar sua validade através de uma prova explícita nas próprias Escrituras.

O Testemunho Contrário das Escrituras

Limitações do Registro Escrito

A própria Escritura reconhece as limitações do registro textual. João 21:25 declara explicitamente: "Jesus fez também muitas outras coisas. Se cada uma delas fosse escrita, penso que nem mesmo no mundo inteiro haveria espaço suficiente para os livros que seriam escritos."

Este versículo é particularmente problemático para o sola scriptura, pois reconhece que nem todos os ensinamentos de Cristo foram preservados por escrito. Como pode a Escritura ser suficiente se ela própria admite sua incompletude?

A Valorização da Tradição Oral

Paulo, em 2 Tessalonicenses 2:15, oferece uma instrução que contradiz frontalmente o sola scriptura: "Assim, pois, irmãos, ficai firmes e conservai os ensinamentos que de nós aprendestes, seja por palavras, seja por carta nossa."

O apóstolo valoriza inequivocamente tanto a tradição oral ("por palavras") quanto a escrita ("por carta"), estabelecendo um modelo de autoridade dual que o protestantismo posterior rejeitaria.

A Necessidade de Autoridade Interpretativa

A narrativa do eunuco etíope em Atos 8:30-31 demonstra a inadequação da Escritura isolada como autoridade final. Quando Filipe pergunta se o eunuco entende o que lê, a resposta é reveladora: "Como poderei entender, se alguém não me ensinar?"

Este episódio ilustra que a mera posse do texto bíblico não garante compreensão adequada. É necessária uma autoridade interpretativa externa – no caso, representada por Filipe, que age com autoridade apostólica.

A Complexidade Hermenêutica

Pedro, em sua segunda epístola (3:16-17), reconhece a dificuldade interpretativa inerente às Escrituras: "Suas cartas contêm algumas coisas difíceis de entender, as quais os ignorantes e instáveis torcem, como também o fazem com as demais Escrituras, para a própria destruição deles."

Esta passagem não apenas reconhece a complexidade hermenêutica dos textos sagrados, mas também alerta sobre os perigos da interpretação inadequada. Implicitamente, sugere a necessidade de uma autoridade interpretativa confiável para evitar distorções doutrinárias.

O Paradoxo Histórico da Canonização

A Dependência da Tradição Eclesiástica

Um dos argumentos mais devastadores contra o sola scriptura emerge da própria história da formação do cânon bíblico. Os concílios de Hipona (393 d.C.) e Cartago (397 d.C.) foram responsáveis pela definição oficial do cânon das Escrituras tal como conhecemos hoje.

Este fato histórico cria um paradoxo insuperável: aceitar a Bíblia como autoridade única requer aceitar a autoridade da tradição eclesiástica que a definiu. O próprio cânon bíblico é produto da tradição apostólica e da deliberação conciliar, não de autodefinição escriturística.

A Circularidade da Autopistia

Tentativas protestantes de resolver este dilema através do conceito de "autopistia" – a suposta capacidade das Escrituras de se auto-autenticar – apenas aprofundam o problema circular. Como determinar que as Escrituras possuem esta propriedade sem recorrer a critérios externos? A própria doutrina da autopistia não é explicitamente ensinada na Escritura.

Implicações Teológicas e Epistemológicas

A Fragmentação Interpretativa

A história do protestantismo oferece evidência empírica das consequências práticas do sola scriptura. A multiplicação de denominações e interpretações divergentes sugere que o princípio, longe de fornecer clareza doutrinária, pode na verdade contribuir para a fragmentação teológica.

Se a Escritura fosse verdadeiramente suficiente e auto-interpretativa, seria razoável esperar maior convergência hermenêutica entre aqueles que aderem ao sola scriptura. A realidade histórica sugere o contrário.

A Alternativa Católica e Ortodoxa

As tradições católica e ortodoxa, embora enfrentando suas próprias tensões epistemológicas, mantêm pelo menos coerência interna ao reconhecer explicitamente múltiplas fontes complementares de autoridade: Escritura, Tradição e Magistério (no caso católico) ou Escritura e Tradição (no caso ortodoxo).

Estas posições evitam a contradição performativa do sola scriptura ao não reivindicar que sua própria metodologia epistemológica seja derivada exclusivamente da Escritura.

Conclusão

A análise crítica do sola scriptura revela contradições estruturais que comprometem fundamentalmente sua viabilidade como princípio epistemológico. O princípio incorre em contradição performativa ao estabelecer uma regra que não pode ser derivada de suas próprias premissas, configura um fundacionalismo mal estruturado ao carecer de base textual explícita, e enfrenta o testemunho contrário da própria Escritura, que reconhece suas limitações e a necessidade de autoridades interpretativas externas.

O paradoxo histórico da canonização – onde o próprio cânon bíblico depende da autoridade tradicional que o sola scriptura pretende rejeitar – representa talvez o golpe mais decisivo contra o princípio protestante.

Isso não implica necessariamente a falsidade do protestantismo como sistema teológico, mas sugere que seus fundamentos epistemológicos requerem reformulação substancial. Uma teologia protestante intelectualmente honesta precisaria reconhecer as limitações do sola scriptura e desenvolver uma epistemologia mais nuançada que leve em conta a complexidade das fontes de autoridade religiosa.

A busca pela verdade teológica, independentemente de compromissos confessionais, exige o reconhecimento rigoroso das limitações e contradições inerentes aos nossos sistemas epistemológicos. No caso do sola scriptura, essa honestidade intelectual revela um princípio que, por mais central que seja para a identidade protestante, não pode sustentar o peso epistemológico que tradicionalmente lhe foi atribuído.

@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

What is KYC/AML?

• The acronym stands for Know Your Customer / Anti Money Laundering.
• In practice it stands for the surveillance measures companies are often compelled to take against their customers by financial regulators.
• Methods differ but often include: Passport Scans, Driver License Uploads, Social Security Numbers, Home Address, Phone Number, Face Scans.
• Bitcoin companies will also store all withdrawal and deposit addresses which can then be used to track bitcoin transactions on the bitcoin block chain.
• This data is then stored and shared. Regulations often require companies to hold this information for a set number of years but in practice users should assume this data will be held indefinitely. Data is often stored insecurely, which results in frequent hacks and leaks.  
• KYC/AML data collection puts all honest users at risk of theft, extortion, and persecution while being ineffective at stopping crime. Criminals often use counterfeit, bought, or stolen credentials to get around the requirements. Criminals can buy "verified" accounts for as little as $200. Furthermore, billions of people are excluded from financial services as a result of KYC/AML requirements.

During the early days of bitcoin most services did not require this sensitive user data, but as adoption increased so did the surveillance measures. At this point, most large bitcoin companies are collecting and storing massive lists of bitcoiners, our sensitive personal information, and our transaction history.

Lists of Bitcoiners

KYC/AML policies are a direct attack on bitcoiners. Lists of bitcoiners and our transaction history will inevitably be used against us.

Once you are on a list with your bitcoin transaction history that record will always exist. Generally speaking, tracking bitcoin is based on probability analysis of ownership change. Surveillance firms use various heuristics to determine if you are sending bitcoin to yourself or if ownership is actually changing hands.  You can obtain better privacy going forward by using collaborative transactions such as coinjoin to break this probability analysis.

Fortunately, you can buy bitcoin without providing intimate personal information. Tools such as peach, hodlhodl, robosats, azteco and bisq help; mining is also a solid option: anyone can plug a miner into power and internet and earn bitcoin by mining privately.

You can also earn bitcoin by providing goods and/or services that can be purchased with bitcoin. Long term, circular economies will mitigate this threat: most people will not buy bitcoin - they will earn bitcoin - most people will not sell bitcoin - they will spend bitcoin.

There is no such thing as KYC or No KYC bitcoin, there are bitcoiners on lists and those that are not on lists.

---

If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.

@ 4fe14ef2:f51992ec

Howdy Stackers,

Leave a comment below to share your hustles and wins. Let us know what you've sold this week. Have you sold it for bitcoin, sats or zaps? It doesn't matter how big or small your item is, solid or digital, product or service.

Just share below what you’ve listed, swapped, and sold. Let everyone rave on your latest deals!

Like and repost ^1:

https://stacker.news/items/1004320

@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

Will not live in a pod.
Will not eat the bugs.
Will not get the chip.
Will not get a blue check.
Will not use CBDCs.

Live Free or Die.

Why did Elon buy twitter for $44 Billion? What value does he see in it besides the greater influence that undoubtedly comes with controlling one of the largest social platforms in the world? We do not need to speculate - he made his intentions incredibly clear in his first meeting with twitter employees after his takeover - WeChat of the West.

To those that do not appreciate freedom, the value prop is clear - WeChat is incredibly powerful and successful in China.

To those that do appreciate freedom, the concern is clear - WeChat has essentially become required to live in China, has surveillance and censorship integrated at its core, and if you are banned from the app your entire livelihood is at risk. Employment, housing, payments, travel, communication, and more become extremely difficult if WeChat censors determine you have acted out of line.

The blue check is the first step in Elon's plan to bring the chinese social credit score system to the west. Users who verify their identity are rewarded with more reach and better tools than those that do not. Verified users are the main product of Elon's twitter - an extensive database of individuals and complete control of the tools he will slowly get them to rely on - it is easier to monetize cattle than free men.

If you cannot resist the temptation of the blue check in its current form you have already lost - what comes next will be much darker. If you realize the need to resist - freedom tech provides us options.

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If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via me

I had a completely different newsletter partially written earlier tonight about whether or not "this cycle is different" when this nagging thought entered my head. So I'm going to write about this and maybe I'll write about the dynamics of this cycle compared to past cycles tomorrow.

A couple of headlines shot across my desk earlier tonight in relation to the potential escalation of kinetic warfare in the Middle East. Apparently the U.S. Embassy in Iraq was sent a warning and evacuation procedures were initiated. Not too long after, the world was made aware that the United States and Israel are contemplating an attack on Iran due to the "fact" that Iran may be close to producing nuclear weapins. The initial monkey brain reaction that I had to these two headlines was, "Oh shit, here we go again. We're going to do something stupid." My second reaction was, "Oh shit, here we go again, I've seen these two exact headlines many times over the years and they've proven to be lackluster if you're a doomer or blood thirsty war monger." Nothing ever happens.

As I venture into my mid-30s and reflect on a life filled with these types of headlines and my personal reactions to these headlines, I'm finally becoming attuned to the fact that the monkey brain reactions aren't very productive at the end of the day. Who knows exactly what's going to happen in Iraq or Iran and whether or not kinetic warfare escalates and materializes from here? Even though I'm a "blue-blooded taxpaying American citizen" who is passively and unwillingly contributing to the war machine and the media industrial complex, there's really nothing I can do about it.

The only thing I can do is focus on what is in front of me. What I have control of. And attempt to leverage what I have control of to make my life and the life of my family as good as humanly possible. Ignoring the external and turning inward often produces incredible results. Instead of worrying about what the media wants you to believe at any given point in time, you simply look away from your computer screen, survey the physical space which you're operating in and determine what you have, what you need and how you can get what you need. This is a much more productive way to spend your time.

This is what I want to touch on right now. There's never been a better time in human history to be productive despite what the algorithm on X or the mainstream media will lead you to believe. Things aren't as great as they could be, but they're also not as bad as you're being led to believe. We live in the Digital Age and the Digital Age provides incredible resources that you can leverage to make YOUR life better.

Social media allows you to create a platform without spending any money. AI allows you to build tools that are beneficial to yourself and others with very little money. And bitcoin exists to provide you with the best form of money that you can save in with the knowledge that your relative ownership of the overall supply isn't going to change. No matter what happens in the external world.

If you can combine these three things to make your life better and - by extension - potentially make the lives of many others better, you're going to be well off in the long run. Combining these three things isn't going to result in immediate gratification, but if you put forth a concerted effort, spend the time, have some semblance of patience, and stick with it, I truly believe that you will benefit massively in the long run. Without trying to sound like a blowhard, I truly believe that this is why I feel relatively calm (despite my monkey brain reactions to the headlines of the day) at this current point in time.

We've entered the era of insane leaps in productivity and digital hard money that cannot be corrupted. The biggest mistake you can make in your life right now is overlooking the confluence of these two things. With an internet connection, an idea, some savvy, and hard work you can materially change your life. Create something that levels up your knowledge, that enables you to get a good job in the real world, or to create a company of your own. Bring your talents to the market, exchange them for money, and then funnel that money into bitcoin (if you're not being paid in it already). We may be at the beginning of a transition from the high velocity trash economy to the high leverage agency economy run on sound money and applied creativity.

These concepts are what you should be focusing most of your time and attention to today and in the years ahead. Don't get distracted by the algorithm, the 30-second video clips, the headlines filled with doom, and the topics of the 24 hour news cycle. I'll admit, I often succumb to them myself. But, as I get older and develop a form of pattern recognition that can only be attained by being on this planet for a certain period of time, it is becoming very clear that those things are not worth your attention.

Living by the heuristic that "nothing ever happens" is a pretty safe bet. Funnily enough, it's incredibly ironic that you're led to believe that something is happening every single day, and yet nothing ever happens. By getting believing that something happens every day you are taking your attention away from doing things that happen to make your life better.

Tune out the noise. Put on the blinders. Take advantage of the incredible opportunities that lie before you. If enough of you - and many others who do not read this newsletter - do this, I truly believe we'll wake up to find that the world we live in is a much better place.

Nothing ever happens, so make something happen.

Intelligence Officials Are Quietly Becoming Bitcoin Believers

Ken Egan, former CIA Deputy Chief of Cyber Operations, revealed a surprising truth on TFTC: the intelligence community harbors numerous Bitcoin advocates. Egan explained that intelligence professionals uniquely understand how governments weaponize financial systems through sanctions and account freezing. Having wielded these tools themselves, they recognize the need for personal financial sovereignty. He shared compelling anecdotes of discovering colleagues with "We are all Satoshi" stickers and a European chief of station paying for dinner with a BlockFi card to earn Bitcoin rewards.

"I think there are a lot of Bitcoiners, not just at CIA, but across the whole national security establishment... they're in it for the exact same reasons everybody else is." - Ken Egan

The Canadian trucker protests served as a pivotal moment, Egan noted. Watching Western governments freeze citizens' bank accounts for political dissent struck a nerve among intelligence professionals who previously viewed financial weaponization as a tool reserved for foreign adversaries. This awakening has created unlikely allies within institutions many Bitcoiners distrust.

Check out the full podcast here for more on Bitcoin's national security implications, privacy tech prosecutions, and legislative priorities.

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Headlines of the Day

Stripe Buys Crypto Wallet Privy After Bridge Deal - via X

Trump Calls CPI Data "Great" Urges Full Point Fed Cut - via X

Bitcoin Hashrate Reaches New All-Time High - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

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Bitcoin’s Next Parabolic Move: Could Liquidity Lead the Way?

Is bitcoin’s next parabolic move starting? Global liquidity and business cycle indicators suggest it may be.

Read the latest report from Unchained and TechDev, analyzing how global M2 liquidity and the copper/gold ratio—two historically reliable macro indicators—are aligning once again to signal that a new bitcoin bull market may soon begin.

Download the report here

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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

Life is good.

---

Download our free browser extension, Opportunity Cost: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ start thinking in SATS today.

Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

• Version 1.3 of Bitcoin Safe introduces a redesigned interactive chart, quick receive feature, updated icons, a mempool preview window, support for Child Pays For Parent (CPFP) and testnet4, preconfigured testnet demo wallets, as well as various bug fixes and improvements.

• Upcoming updates for Bitcoin Safe include Compact Block Filters.

"Compact Block Filters increase the network privacy dramatically, since you're not asking an electrum server to give you your transactions. They are a little slower than electrum servers. For a savings wallet like Bitcoin Safe this should be OK," writes the project's developer Andreas Griffin.

• Learn more about the current and upcoming features of Bitcoin Safe wallet here.

What's new in v1.3

• Redesign of Chart, Quick Receive, Icons, and Mempool Preview (by @design-rrr).
• Interactive chart. Clicking on it now jumps to transaction, and selected transactions are now highlighted.

• Speed up transactions with Child Pays For Parent (CPFP).
• BDK 1.2 (upgraded from 0.32).
• Testnet4 support.
• Preconfigured Testnet demo wallets.
• Cluster unconfirmed transactions so that parents/children are next to each other.
• Customizable columns for all tables (optional view: Txid, Address index, and more)
• Bug fixes and other improvements.

Announcement / Archive
Blog Post / Archive
GitHub Repo
Website

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

Sup, freaks? Your Uncle Marty did a little vibe coding a couple months ago and that vibe coding project has turned into an actual product that is live in the Google Chrome web store and will soon to be live in the Firefox add-on store as well. It's called Opportunity Cost and it is an extension that enables you to price the internet in Bitcoin.

Opportunity Cost – See Prices in Bitcoin Instantly

Convert USD prices to Bitcoin (satoshis) as you browse. Dual display, privacy-first, and open source.

Opportunity CostTFTC

Check it out!

This whole process has been extremely rewarding to me for many reasons. The first of which is that I've had many ideas in the past to launch a product focused on bitcoin education that simply never left my brain because I never felt comfortable paying a developer to go out and build a product that I wasn't sure would ultimately get product market fit.

Due to the advancements of AI, particularly ChatGPT and Replit, I was able to spend a few hours on a Saturday vibe coding a prototype for Opportunity Cost. It worked. I side loaded it into Chrome and Firefox, tested it out for a few days and decided, "Hey, I think this is something that's worthwhile and should be built."

Backtracking just a little bit, the initial idea for this app was to create an AR application that would enable you to take pictures of goods in the real world and have their prices automatically converted to bitcoin so that you could weigh the opportunity cost of whether or not you actually wanted to buy that good or decide to save in bitcoin instead. With the help of Justin Moon from the Human Rights Foundation and Anthony Ronning from OpenSecret and Maple AI, I was pointed in the right direction of vibe coding tools I could use to build a simple MVP. I took their advice, built the MVP, and demoed it at the Bitcoin Park Austin weekly AI meetup in mid-April.

The next week, I was talking with a friend, Luke Thomas, about the idea and during our conversation he made a simple quip, "You should make a Chrome extension. I really want a Chrome extension that does this." And that's what sent me down the vibe coding rabbit hole that Saturday which led to the prototype.

After I was comfortable with and confident in the prototype, I found a young hungry developer by the name of Moses on Nostr, I reached out to him, told him my idea, showed him the prototype and asked if he thought he could finish the application for me. He luckily agreed to do so and within a couple of weeks we had a fully functioning app that was officially launched today. We're about 12 hours into the launch and I must say that I'm pleasantly surprised with the reception from the broader Bitcoin community. It seems like something that people are happy exists and I feel extremely happy that people see some value in this particular application.

Now that you have the backstory, let's get into why I think something like Opportunity Cost should exist. As someone who's been writing a newsletter and producing podcasts about bitcoin for eight years in an attempt to educate individuals from around the world about what bitcoin is, why it's important, and how they can leverage it, I've become convinced that a lot of the work that needs to be done still exists at the top of the funnel. You can scream at people. You can grab them by the shoulders. You can shake them. You can remind them at Thanksgiving that if they had listened to your advice during any Thanksgiving in the previous years they would be better off financially. But at the end of the day most people don't listen. They need to see things. Seeing things for yourself is a much more effective teaching mechanism than be lectured to by someone else.

My hope with Opportunity Cost is that it catches the eye of some bitcoin skeptics or individuals who may be on the cusp of falling down the bitcoin rabbit hole and they see the extension as a way to dip their toes into bitcoin to get a better understanding of the world by pricing the goods and services they purchase on a day-to-day month-to-month and year-to-year basis in bitcoin without having to download a wallet or set up an exchange account. The tippy top of the bitcoin marketing funnel.

That is not all though. I think Opportunity Cost can serve individuals at both ends of the funnel. That's why it's pretty exciting to me. It's as valuable to the person who is bitcoin curious and looking to get a better understanding as it is to the hardcore bitcoiner living on a bitcoin standard who is trying to get access to better tools that enable him to get a better grasp of their spending in bitcoin terms.

Lastly, after playing around with it for a few days after I built the prototype, I realized that it has incredible memetic potential. Being able to take a screenshot of goods that people are buying on a day-to-day basis, pricing them in bitcoin and then sharing them on social media is very powerful. Everything from houses to junk items on Amazon to the salaries of pro athletes to your everyday necessities. Seeing the value of those things in bitcoin really makes you think.

One day while I was testing the app, I tried to see how quickly I could find goods on the internet that cumulatively eclipsed the 21 million supply cap limit of bitcoin. To my surprise, even though I've been in bitcoin for 12 years now, it did not take me that long. The opportunity cost of everything I buy on a day-to-day basis becomes very clear when using the extension. What's even clearer is the fact that Bitcoin is completely mispriced at current levels. There is so much winning ahead of us.

Also, it's probably important to note that the extension is open source. You can check out our GitHub page here. Submit pull requests. Suggest changes to the app.

We've also tried to make Opportunity Cost as privacy preserving as possible. Everything within the extension happens in your browser. The only external data that we're providing is the bitcoin to fiat price conversion at any given point in time. We're not data harvesting the web pages you're browsing or the items you're looking at. We're not collecting data and sending it to third party marketers. We want to align ourselves with the open and permissionless nature of bitcoin while also preserving our users' privacy. We're not trying to monetize this in that way. Though, I will say that I'm thinking of ways to monetize Opportunity Cost if it does gain significant traction, but I promise it will be in a way that respects your privacy and is as unobtrusive as possible. We'll see how it goes.

Thank you for coming to my TED talk. Please download and use the extension. Let us know what you think.

Headlines of the Day

Saylor Says Bitcoin Is Perfect Money to Jordan Peterson - via X

Trump Won't Sell Tesla Despite Musk-Bessent Heated Exchange - via X

Bitcoin Gains Traction in Kenya's Largest Slum Kibera - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

---

Bitcoin’s Next Parabolic Move: Could Liquidity Lead the Way?

Is bitcoin’s next parabolic move starting? Global liquidity and business cycle indicators suggest it may be.

Read the latest report from Unchained and TechDev, analyzing how global M2 liquidity and the copper/gold ratio—two historically reliable macro indicators—are aligning once again to signal that a new bitcoin bull market may soon begin.

Download the report here

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

East Coast aesthetics over everything.

---

*Download our free browser extension, Opportunity Cost: *<<https://www.opportunitycost.app/>> start thinking in SATS today.

*Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: *https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

Jason Lowery’s thesis, Softwar: A Novel Theory on Power Projection and the National Strategic Significance of Bitcoin, reframes bitcoin not merely as digital cash but as a transformative security technology with profound implications for investors and nation-states alike.

For centuries, craft brewers understood that true innovation balanced tradition with experimentation—a delicate dance between established techniques and bold new flavors.

Much like the craft beer revolution reshaped a global industry, bitcoin represents a fundamental recalibration of how humans organize value and project power in the digital age.

The Antler in the Digital Forest: Power Projection

Lowery, a U.S. Space Force officer and MIT scholar, anchors his Softwar theory in a biological metaphor: Bitcoin as humanity’s “digital antler.” In nature, antlers allow animals like deer to compete for resources through non-lethal contests—sparring matches where power is demonstrated without fatal consequences. This contrasts sharply with wolves, who must resort to violent, potentially deadly fights to establish hierarchy.

The Human Power Dilemma: Historically, humans projected power and settled resource disputes through physical force—wars, seizures, or coercive control of assets. Even modern financial systems rely on abstract power structures: court orders, bank freezes, or government sanctions enforced by legal threat rather than immediate physical reality.

Lowery argues this creates inherent fragility: abstract systems can collapse when met with superior physical force (e.g., invasions, revolutions). Nature only respects physical power.

Bitcoin’s Physical Power Engine: Bitcoin introduces a novel solution through its proof-of-work consensus mechanism. Miners compete to solve computationally intense cryptographic puzzles, expending real-world energy (megawatts) to validate transactions and secure the network.

This process converts electricity—a tangible, physical resource—into digital security and immutable property rights. Winning a “block” is like winning a sparring match: it consumes significant resources (energy/cost) but is non-destructive.

The miner gains the right to write the next page of the ledger and collect rewards, but no participant is physically harmed, and no external infrastructure is destroyed.

Table: Traditional vs. Bitcoin-Based Power Systems

Power System

Mechanism

Key Vulnerability

Resource Cost

Traditional (Fiat/Banking)

Legal abstraction, threat of state force

Centralized points of failure, corruption, political change

Low immediate cost, high systemic risk

Military/Economic Coercion

Physical force, sanctions

Escalation, collateral damage, moral hazard

Very high (lives, capital, instability)

Bitcoin (Proof-of-Work)

Competition via energy expenditure

High energy cost, concentration risk (mining)

High energy cost, low systemic risk

Softwar Theory National Strategic Imperative: Governments Are Taking Notice

Lowery’s Softwar Theory has moved beyond academia into the corridors of power, shaping U.S. national strategy:

1. The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Vice President JD Vance recently framed bitcoin as an instrument projecting American values—”innovation, entrepreneurship, freedom, and lack of censorship”. State legislation is now underway to implement this reserve, preventing easy reversal by future administrations.
2. Regulatory Transformation: The SEC is shifting from an “enforcement-first” stance under previous leadership. New initiatives include:
   • Repealing Staff Accounting Bulletin 121 (SAB 121), which discouraged banks from custodying digital currency by forcing unfavorable balance sheet treatment.
   • Creating the Cyber and Emerging Technologies Unit (CETU) to develop clearer crypto registration/disclosure rules.

The Investor’s Lens: Scarcity, Security, and Asymmetric Opportunity

For investors, understanding “Softwar” validates bitcoin’s unique value proposition beyond price speculation:

• Digital Scarcity as Strategic Depth: Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million makes it the only digital asset with truly inelastic supply, a programmed scarcity immune to political whims or central bank printing.

  This “scarcity imperative” acts as a natural antidote to global fiat debasement. As central banks expanded money supplies aggressively (Global M2), bitcoin’s price has shown strong correlation, acting as a pressure valve for inflation concerns. The quadrennial “halving” (latest: April 2024) mechanically reduces new supply, creating built-in supply shocks as adoption grows. * The Antifragile Security Feedback Loop: Bitcoin’s security isn’t static; it’s antifragile. The network strengthens through demand: * More users → More transactions → Higher fees → More miner revenue → More hashpower (computational security) → Greater network resilience → More user confidence.
  This self-reinforcing cycle contrasts sharply with traditional systems, where security is a cost center (e.g., bank security budgets, military spending). Bitcoin turns security into a profitable, market-driven activity. * Institutionalization Without Centralization: While institutional ownership via ETFs (like BlackRock’s IBIT) and corporate treasuries (MicroStrategy, Metaplanet) has surged, supply remains highly decentralized.

  Individuals still hold the largest share of bitcoin, preventing a dangerous concentration of control. Spot Bitcoin ETFs alone are projected to see over $20 billion in net inflows in 2025, demonstrating robust institutional capital allocation.

The Bitcoin Community: Building the Digital Antler’s Resilience

Lowery’s “Softwar” theory underscores why bitcoin’s decentralized architecture is non-negotiable. Its strength lies in the alignment of incentives across three participant groups:

1. Miners: Provide computational power (hashrate), validating transactions and securing the network. Incentivized by block rewards (newly minted BTC) and transaction fees. Their physical energy expenditure is the “muscle” behind the digital antler.
2. Nodes: Independently verify and enforce the protocol rules, maintaining the blockchain’s integrity. Run by users, businesses, and enthusiasts globally. They ensure decentralized consensus, preventing unilateral protocol changes.
3. Users: Individuals, institutions, and corporations holding, transacting, or building on bitcoin. Their demand drives transaction fees and fuels the security feedback loop.

This structure creates “Mutually Assured Preservation”. Attacking bitcoin requires overwhelming its global, distributed physical infrastructure (miners/nodes), a feat far more complex and costly than seizing a central bank’s gold vault or freezing a bank’s assets. It transforms financial security from a centralized liability into a decentralized, physically-grounded asset.

Risks & Responsibilities

Investors and policymakers must acknowledge persistent challenges:

• Volatility: Bitcoin remains volatile, though this has decreased as markets mature. Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is widely recommended to mitigate timing risk.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: While U.S. policy is increasingly favorable, global coordination is lacking. The EU’s MiCAR regulation exemplifies divergent approaches.
• Security & Custody: While Bitcoin’s protocol is robust, user errors (lost keys) or exchange hacks remain risks.
• Environmental Debate: Proof-of-Work energy use is scrutinized, though mining increasingly uses stranded energy/renewables. Innovations continue.

Jason Lowery’s “Softwar” theory elevates bitcoin from a financial instrument to a socio-technological innovation on par with the invention of the corporation, the rule of law, or even the antler in evolutionary biology. It provides a coherent framework for understanding why:

• Nations like the U.S. are looking to establish bitcoin reserves and embracing stablecoins—they recognize bitcoin’s role in projecting economic power non-violently in the digital age.
• Institutional Investors are allocating billions via ETFs—they see a scarce, secure, uncorrelated asset with antifragile properties.
• Individuals in hyperinflationary economies or under authoritarian regimes use bitcoin—it offers self-sovereign wealth storage immune to seizure or debasement.

For the investor, bitcoin represents more than potential price appreciation. It offers exposure to a fundamental reorganization of how power and value are secured and exchanged globally, grounded not in abstract promises, but in the unyielding laws of physics and mathematics.

Like the brewers who balanced tradition with innovation to create something enduring and valuable, bitcoin pioneers are building the infrastructure for a more resilient digital future—one computationally secured block at a time. The “Softwar” is here, and it is reshaping the landscape of p

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

From designer Anna Cairns, the workhorse monospace typeface is rooted in feminist theory.

Across CMM Coda’s subtly imperfect, analogue-inspired letterforms – based on the IBM Selectric typewriter’s typeface, Dual Basic – Anna practically and conceptually brings together the feminist legacy of software and typewriters with the aesthetic sensibilities of the genre associated with the industry. Additionally, CMM Coda enables Anna to explore her intrigue in the blurry terminology used in text production, such as typing, coding and writing, “especially now that most text is created digitally,” Anna says, with typefaces being software in their own right. “We also associate a certain look with each of these modalities,” she continues, “so my idea was to create a typeface that can jump all of these genres simply through a play with white space,” an approach that resulted in CMM Coda’s multiple styles.

Learn more about Comma at https://commatype.com/, a new foundry founded by the Berlin-based type designer Anna Cairns.

Continue reading at https://www.itsnicethat.com/articles/comma-type-cmm-coda-graphic-design-project-110625

https://stacker.news/items/1004142

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

In een zee van mogelijkheden\ Kunnen we best veel tijd aan dromen besteden

Dromen is een universele taal\ Het wordt gedaan door ons allemaal

Het is het woord\ Dat deze gelijkheid de grond in boort

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

Sup, freaks? Your Uncle Marty did a little vibe coding a couple months ago and that vibe coding project has turned into an actual product that is live in the Google Chrome web store and will soon to be live in the Firefox add-on store as well. It's called Opportunity Cost and it is an extension that enables you to price the internet in Bitcoin.

Opportunity Cost – See Prices in Bitcoin Instantly

Convert USD prices to Bitcoin (satoshis) as you browse. Dual display, privacy-first, and open source.

Opportunity CostTFTC

Check it out!

This whole process has been extremely rewarding to me for many reasons. The first of which is that I've had many ideas in the past to launch a product focused on bitcoin education that simply never left my brain because I never felt comfortable paying a developer to go out and build a product that I wasn't sure would ultimately get product market fit.

Due to the advancements of AI, particularly ChatGPT and Replit, I was able to spend a few hours on a Saturday vibe coding a prototype for Opportunity Cost. It worked. I side loaded it into Chrome and Firefox, tested it out for a few days and decided, "Hey, I think this is something that's worthwhile and should be built."

Backtracking just a little bit, the initial idea for this app was to create an AR application that would enable you to take pictures of goods in the real world and have their prices automatically converted to bitcoin so that you could weigh the opportunity cost of whether or not you actually wanted to buy that good or decide to save in bitcoin instead. With the help of Justin Moon from the Human Rights Foundation and Anthony Ronning from OpenSecret and Maple AI, I was pointed in the right direction of vibe coding tools I could use to build a simple MVP. I took their advice, built the MVP, and demoed it at the Bitcoin Park Austin weekly AI meetup in mid-April.

The next week, I was talking with a friend, Luke Thomas, about the idea and during our conversation he made a simple quip, "You should make a Chrome extension. I really want a Chrome extension that does this." And that's what sent me down the vibe coding rabbit hole that Saturday which led to the prototype.

After I was comfortable with and confident in the prototype, I found a young hungry developer by the name of Moses on Nostr, I reached out to him, told him my idea, showed him the prototype and asked if he thought he could finish the application for me. He luckily agreed to do so and within a couple of weeks we had a fully functioning app that was officially launched today. We're about 12 hours into the launch and I must say that I'm pleasantly surprised with the reception from the broader Bitcoin community. It seems like something that people are happy exists and I feel extremely happy that people see some value in this particular application.

Now that you have the backstory, let's get into why I think something like Opportunity Cost should exist. As someone who's been writing a newsletter and producing podcasts about bitcoin for eight years in an attempt to educate individuals from around the world about what bitcoin is, why it's important, and how they can leverage it, I've become convinced that a lot of the work that needs to be done still exists at the top of the funnel. You can scream at people. You can grab them by the shoulders. You can shake them. You can remind them at Thanksgiving that if they had listened to your advice during any Thanksgiving in the previous years they would be better off financially. But at the end of the day most people don't listen. They need to see things. Seeing things for yourself is a much more effective teaching mechanism than be lectured to by someone else.

My hope with Opportunity Cost is that it catches the eye of some bitcoin skeptics or individuals who may be on the cusp of falling down the bitcoin rabbit hole and they see the extension as a way to dip their toes into bitcoin to get a better understanding of the world by pricing the goods and services they purchase on a day-to-day month-to-month and year-to-year basis in bitcoin without having to download a wallet or set up an exchange account. The tippy top of the bitcoin marketing funnel.

That is not all though. I think Opportunity Cost can serve individuals at both ends of the funnel. That's why it's pretty exciting to me. It's as valuable to the person who is bitcoin curious and looking to get a better understanding as it is to the hardcore bitcoiner living on a bitcoin standard who is trying to get access to better tools that enable him to get a better grasp of their spending in bitcoin terms.

Lastly, after playing around with it for a few days after I built the prototype, I realized that it has incredible memetic potential. Being able to take a screenshot of goods that people are buying on a day-to-day basis, pricing them in bitcoin and then sharing them on social media is very powerful. Everything from houses to junk items on Amazon to the salaries of pro athletes to your everyday necessities. Seeing the value of those things in bitcoin really makes you think.

One day while I was testing the app, I tried to see how quickly I could find goods on the internet that cumulatively eclipsed the 21 million supply cap limit of bitcoin. To my surprise, even though I've been in bitcoin for 12 years now, it did not take me that long. The opportunity cost of everything I buy on a day-to-day basis becomes very clear when using the extension. What's even clearer is the fact that Bitcoin is completely mispriced at current levels. There is so much winning ahead of us.

Also, it's probably important to note that the extension is completely open source with an MIT license. You can check out our GitHub page here. Submit pull requests. Suggest changes to the app.

We've also tried to make Opportunity Cost as privacy preserving as possible. Everything within the extension happens in your browser. The only external data that we're providing is the bitcoin to fiat price conversion at any given point in time. We're not data harvesting the web pages you're browsing or the items you're looking at. We're not collecting data and sending it to third party marketers. We want to align ourselves with the open and permissionless nature of bitcoin while also preserving our users' privacy. We're not trying to monetize this in that way. Though, I will say that I'm thinking of ways to monetize Opportunity Cost if it does gain significant traction, but I promise it will be in a way that respects your privacy and is as unobtrusive as possible. We'll see how it goes.

Thank you for coming to my TED talk. Please download and use the extension. Let us know what you think.

Headlines of the Day

Saylor Says Bitcoin Is Perfect Money to Jordan Peterson - via X

Trump Won't Sell Tesla Despite Musk-Bessent Heated Exchange - via X

Bitcoin Gains Traction in Kenya's Largest Slum Kibera - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

---

Bitcoin’s Next Parabolic Move: Could Liquidity Lead the Way?

Is bitcoin’s next parabolic move starting? Global liquidity and business cycle indicators suggest it may be.

Read the latest report from Unchained and TechDev, analyzing how global M2 liquidity and the copper/gold ratio—two historically reliable macro indicators—are aligning once again to signal that a new bitcoin bull market may soon begin.

Download the report here

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

East Coast aesthetics over everything.

---

*Download our free browser extension, Opportunity Cost: *<https://www.opportunitycost.app/> start thinking in SATS today.

*Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: *https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:

@ fe02e8ec:f07fbe0b

Wir können davon ausgehen, dass die allermeisten Personen, die das hier lesen, die realen Funktionen der Mainstream-Medien schon länger erkannt haben. Diese bestehen vor allem darin, der Bevölkerung das von den herrschenden Kräften gewünschte Bild der Wirklichkeit zu vermitteln oder überhaupt zu erzeugen. Der Altmeister der Propaganda, Edward Bernays, hat dies bereits 1928 beschrieben, als die Massenmedien nur aus Tageszeitungen bestanden:

«Die bewusste und intelligente Manipulation der organisierten Gewohnheiten und Meinungen der Massen ist ein wichtiges Element einer demokratischen Gesellschaft.»

Und an anderer Stelle: «Diejenigen, die diesen unsichtbaren Mechanismus der Gesellschaft manipulieren, bilden eine unsichtbare Regierung, die die wahre herrschende Macht unseres Landes ist.» Oder Noam Chomsky, einer der gelehrtesten Kritiker staatlicher Machtausübung:

«Indoktrination ist keineswegs inkompatibel mit der Demokratie. Vielmehr ihre Essenz. Ohne Knüppel, ohne Kontrolle durch Gewalt muss man das Denken kontrollieren. Dazu greift man zu dem, was in ehrlicheren Zeiten Propaganda genannt wurde.»

Man könnte noch eine ganze Reihe weiterer höchst aussagekräftiger Zitate anführen, von Walter Lippman («Die öffentliche Meinung»), Gustave Le Bon («Psychologie der Massen») bis hin zu John F. Kennedy oder ganz aktuell Mattias Desmet («Massenbildung»). Nichts davon ist neu, alles wurde seit Anfang des 20. Jahrhunderts ausführlich und sehr konkret beschrieben.

Und doch kennt die Mehrheit der Bevölkerung keine einzige dieser Aussagen.

Jeder, der selbst seinen ureigenen Erkenntnisprozess durchgemacht hat, kommt unweigerlich zu dem Ergebnis, dass die Welt, wie sie uns durch Politik und Medien vorgespielt wird, zumeist nichts anderes ist als ein großes Schauspiel. Stets werden die wahren Absichten und Ziele verborgen, nie wird die ganze Wahrheit enthüllt, höchstens ein paar Stücke davon, wenn es sich gar nicht mehr verhindern lässt.

«Macht hat derjenige, der große Ereignisse herbeiführen kann. Doch noch größere Macht haben diejenigen, die bestimmen können, was die Menschen über die Ereignisse denken» (aus: «Hinter der Zukunft»).

Diese Erkenntnis hat bei vielen zu dem Entschluss geführt, die «Unwissenden» über diese Tatsachen zu informieren. Denn es kann ja nicht sein, dass sich Familie, Freunde, Bekannte weiterhin so täuschen lassen. Die große Ent-Täuschung war das Ziel. Doch das Ergebnis war die eigentliche Enttäuschung: hitzige Diskussionen, Streitereien am Familientisch, Abbruch von Freundschaften. Selbst das Vorführen des Einsturzes von WTC 7, dem dritten Gebäude, das am 11. September 2001 in Fallgeschwindigkeit vollkommen symmetrisch eingestürzt war, konnte nicht überzeugen.

Verschwörungstheorien?

Alles Verschwörungstheorien. Seit der Ermordung John F. Kennedys hat dieser Begriff – ursprünglich von der CIA eingeführt — ein immer größeres Minenfeld wachsen lassen, um Themen von offener Diskussion abzuschirmen. In diesem Minenfeld sind unzählige Freundschaften explodiert, Karrieren abgestürzt und Menschen in die innere Isolation getrieben worden. Deshalb muss es hier erwähnt werden. Denn das ist die Gefahr, in die sich jeder begibt, der versucht, über seine Erkenntnisse zu sprechen oder zu schreiben. Die Gefahr des sozialen Ausschlusses. Ein schauerliches Beispiel lieferte Anfang Mai in menschenverachtender Weise ein gewisser Böhmermann ab. Sein Ziel war es, den Betreiber des youtube-Kanals Clownswelt, der die Machenschaften des medialen und politischen Personals satirisch zum Vorschein bringt, gesellschaftlich zu vernichten. Denn das ist das Damoklesschwert, das über denjenigen hängt, die das Minenfeld betreten, Tabus antasten und das Overton-window verlassen. Diffamierung, sozialer Ausschluss, Job-Verlust. Reicht auch das nicht, so droht die Kündigung des Bankkontos oder gar eine Hausdurchsuchung. Alles hundertfach geschehen. Und der Normalbürger hat absolut keine Idee, dass so etwas überhaupt in unserem Staat geschieht. Denn es kommt nicht in der Tagesschau, im Spiegel oder der SZ.

Ratlosigkeit, Verzweiflung bis hin zu Aggression sind oft die Folge dieser weltanschaulichen Zweiteilung. Wie ist es möglich, dass Menschen das Offensichtliche nicht sehen, selbst wenn es im Video vor ihnen abläuft? Wenn man sich die Lügenkonstrukte um Klima, Corona oder Ukraine ansieht, dann könnte man daran verzweifeln, dass es die «Anderen» nicht begreifen. Wenn die Dinge derart klar zu sehen sind, wieso gelingt es dann nicht, andere davon zu überzeugen? Nicht wenige zogen sich zurück, recherchierten noch ausführlicher, fanden einen Hinweis nach dem anderen, dass die Welt und ihre Systeme ganz anders beschaffen sind, als es dem Normalbürger vorgegaukelt wird. Dabei musste jeder – wirklich jeder – für sich immer neu die Grenze dessen finden, was noch glaubhaft war und was nicht.

Wie viele Stunden, Tage, Monate verbrachte (und verbringt) ein durch diesen Prozess gegangener Mensch mit seinen Recherchen? Wie oft ist er in die Falle einer Theorie geraten, die sich im Nachhinein als erfunden herausgestellt hat? Wie viele Texte zu historischen Vorgängen, zu verborgenen Organisationen, zu Kindesmissbrauch, satanischen Riten oder Blutlinien wollen noch erforscht werden? Wann ist man zufrieden mit den teils radikalen Anpassungen seines eigenen Weltbildes? Wann darf man sich als «aufgewacht» bezeichnen?

Wie gelingt Verständigung?

Wenn ein Elektrotechnik Ingenieur einem Laien die Regelungstechnik erklärt, so wird er kaum auf großes Verständnis stoßen. Wenn ein «Master in Conspiracy Theory» einem Tagesschauseher die Welt erklärt, wie wahrscheinlich ist es, dass hier Verständnis entsteht? Wenn jemand, der in 30 telegram Kanälen ca. 500 Artikel zu Covid-Ursprung, mRNA, Lipidnanopartikel und Ct-Wert beim PCR Test gelesen hat, der Verkäuferin bei REWE klarmachen will, dass Masken keinen Nutzen haben: wie hoch ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass er Erfolg hat? Diese Beispiele sollen eines verdeutlichen: die Informationshintergründe sind inzwischen derart fundamental verschieden, dass kaum noch Verständigung gelingt. Der entscheidende Unterschied besteht darin, dass die Informationskompetenten beide Seiten der Medaille kennen, während der andere Teil der Bevölkerung nur die eine, die «offizielle» Seite kennt.

Was aber bewegt Menschen überhaupt dazu, immer tiefer zu recherchieren, um dabei das eigene Weltbild gezielt zu erweitern und anzupassen? Es ist – neben dem Wunsch nach mehr Gerechtigkeit – das Bedürfnis nach Sinnfindung in dieser Welt. Ein elementares Bedürfnis, das in der Rangliste unserer Motive sehr weit oben steht. Hierbei geht es nicht um den Lebenssinn – dazu kommen wir gleich – sondern um das Verständnis dessen, was uns als die «äußere Welt» präsentiert wird. Mit all ihren Verwerfungen, Ungerechtigkeiten, politischen Ideologien und so weiter. Denn es ist schließlich diese Welt, in der wir leben, in der wir uns zurechtfinden, in der wir unseren Lebensunterhalt verdienen müssen. Die spannende Frage ist also eher: Weshalb geben sich so viele mit der Oberfläche zufrieden?

Die Antwort ist erstaunlich einfach: aus Angst. Angst davor, das bisher als sicher geglaubte in Frage stellen zu müssen, den sicheren Boden des eigenen Weltbildes unter den Füßen zu verlieren. Deshalb stieg in den dunklen Covid-Jahren das Vertrauen in Politik und staatsnahe Medien massiv an. Denn wer mit einer – scheinbar – tödlichen Gefahr konfrontiert wird, der sucht in diesem Moment nicht nach neuen Informationsquellen, sondern bleibt bei dem, was man schon immer kannte – vor allem, wenn das auch die Mehrheit macht!

Das zweite Erwachen

Bei allem Bemühen, die Zusammenhänge dieser Welt zu verstehen, kommen viele an einen Punkt, an dem sie realisieren, dass sie erstens: Nie alles verstehen werden. Und zweitens: Dass es Wichtigeres gibt. Das mag überraschend klingen, aber genauso ist es. Das Leben selbst offenbart sich uns nicht am Bildschirm, nicht in Recherchen oder in immer weiterführenden Artikeln. Das Leben im Hier und Jetzt kann nur erfahren und gelebt werden. Das größte Hindernis dabei ist – unser Verstand. Also genau das «Organ», das uns immer weiter in die Tiefen der scheinbaren Realitätserkenntnis treibt ist zugleich verantwortlich dafür, dass wir uns vom Leben selbst entfernen. Welch merkwürdige Erkenntnis. Ist es überhaupt eine Erkenntnis oder nicht viel eher eine Behauptung? Genau an diesem Punkt geht es um ein zweites Erwachen! Nicht aus der polit-medialen Illusionsmatrix, sondern aus der Matrix unserer scheinbar rein materiellen Welt.

Ist dies eine Zwangsläufigkeit? Wohl kaum. Ist es notwendig? In gewisser Weise: ja. Denn nur der Abstand von dieser als ungerecht, grausam oder hoffnungslos empfundenen Welt befreit von Wut, Ohnmacht und Empörung. Im Artikel «Wachstum nach Innen» auf manova wird dieser Prozess ausführlicher beschrieben. Zitat:

«Heute leben wir zum ersten Mal in der Menschheitsgeschichte (!) in einer Epoche, in der es dem Einzelnen frei steht, seinen ganz eigenen Zugang zur Spiritualität zu suchen und zu finden. Es ist dies vielleicht die größte Herausforderung, der sich ein Mensch stellen kann!»

An diesem Punkt ist jeder auf sich selbst zurückgeworfen. Hier geht es nicht um Religionszugehörigkeit oder kirchliche Traditionen, sondern um authentische Erfahrungen.

Die Möglichkeit dieses zweiten «Erwachens», bringt ein Versprechen mit sich: wahrhafte Befreiung. Zum Beispiel von dem Wunsch, immer noch tiefer graben zu wollen. Oder stets andere überzeugen zu wollen. Oder sich überlegen zu fühlen. Es führt unweigerlich zu einer Relativierung: wem oder was gebe ich Bedeutung? Denn diese Freiheit kommt garantiert mit: die Freiheit, selbst Bedeutung verleihen zu können! Nicht mehr getrieben zu sein, viel öfter ein Wahl zu haben.

Sollte das wie ein Ausweichen oder gar Rückzug aus der Welt klingen, so wäre das ein Missverständnis. Es ist eine Veränderung des Standpunktes, des Fokus. Tatsächlich bringt es auch einen gewissen Abstand mit sich, zu dem was «da draußen» geschieht. Denn welche Erfahrungen der Einzelne auch selbst gemacht haben mag, wie auch immer er sie interpretiert: die Welt ist nicht mehr dieselbe.

Damit einher geht eine Veränderung der Gefühlswelt. Wo vorher vielfach Empörung, Ärger oder Wut vorherrschten kann mit dieser inneren Distanz vieles weniger emotional betrachtet werden. In der Dauerempörung liegt zwar einerseits Energie, um sich zu engagieren, zugleich liegt darin aber die große Gefahr, auszubrennen. Daniele Ganser, einer der ganz wichtigen Aufklärer unserer Zeit, bietet nicht umsonst seit Jahren Seminare zum Thema «Achtsamkeit» an. Dabei geht es vor allem um unsere innere Wahrnehmung, um einen Abstand zwischen «Ich» und meinem Gefühl oder Bedürfnis. Eine wichtige Voraussetzung, um aus der Spirale der Negativität zu entkommen. Denn diese Gefahr ist allgegenwärtig. Während Tagesschau & Co permanent Angst erzeugen vor Klima, Viren oder Putin, so wird in den «alternativen Medien» ähnliches geboten, nur mit anderem Vorzeichen. Die Bedrohung der mächtigen Organisationen WEF, UN, WHO, Nato, EU u. a., die Planung der Bargeldabschaffung, der digitalen ID, des persönlichen CO2-Budgets… Dies sind reale Vorhaben, keine Frage. Ob und wie sie jemals Realität werden kann aus heutiger Sicht jedoch niemand beantworten. Die Welt verändert sich derzeit schneller als seit Jahrzehnten. Und manche Sorgen bewahrheiten sich zum Glück nicht.

Der eigene Wirkungsbereich

Die ständige Beschäftigung mit diesen Bedrohungen bedroht vor allem eines: die eigene Lebensqualität. Wie kann man das Wahre, Schöne, Gute erkennen, wenn man sich tagein, tagaus mit Lüge, Verbrechern, Komplotten beschäftigt? Schwierig bis unmöglich.

«Ändere, was du ändern kannst, bleibe gelassen, bei allem was du nicht ändern kannst und lerne zeitlebens, das eine vom anderen zu unterscheiden».

Es ist eine der ältesten Lebensweisheiten, und doch ist sie so gültig wie eh und je. Die Herausforderung besteht gerade im Unterscheiden. Es geht um den eigenen Wirkungsbereich, denn dies ist der einzige Ort, wo tatsächlich etwas bewirkt werden kann. Wie groß der jeweils ist, das unterscheidet sich tatsächlich massiv. Zudem ist er nicht statisch. Es kann ein berechtigtes Ziel sein, diesen Bereich auszudehnen. Über Social Media, eigene Artikel, Diskussionsrunden, Demos, Events, Videos, was auch immer.

Natürlich geschieht das seit Jahren vielfach, einige Websites und Kanäle haben weit über 100.000 Leser oder Follower. Doch auch wenn die Reichweite größer wird, so steigt die Zufriedenheit nicht unbedingt in gleichem Maß. Denn stets muss man erkennen, dass die mit Milliarden finanzierten staatsnahen Medien beliebigen Schrott produzieren können und damit mehr Menschen erreichen, als die mit viel Herzblut erstellten eigenen Arbeiten. Und irgendwann stellt sich dann die Frage: «Was bringt das alles?» Oder, wie Gunnar Kaiser am Ende seiner bewundernswerten Tätigkeit: «Habe ich genug getan»?

Habe ich genug getan

Dies ist die Frage, auf die es keine Antwort gibt. Was wäre denn genug? Einen Menschen davor bewahrt zu haben, sich eine experimentelle Substanz injizieren zu lassen und damit mögliche Gesundheitsschäden zu erleiden? Wieso nicht. Hunderte Menschen zum Nachdenken gebracht, Tausenden Lesern ein Gefühl von «Ich-bin-nicht-allein» gegeben zu haben? Absolut! Hunderttausende Kommentare geben ein lebendiges Feedback, eine Bestätigung, dass man wertvolle Arbeit leistet. Es sind heute Millionen mehr, als zu Beginn der dunklen Pandemie-Jahre. Das ist der Wirkungskreis, den man sich erarbeitet hat, in dem ein Teil der Menschheitsfamilie eine geistige Heimat findet, fernab der permanenten Indoktrinationsversuche. Das ist es wert.

Und es gibt noch eine weitere positive Seite: man lernt Gleichgesinnte kennen und kann endlich über all das diskutieren, was man schon längst mit jemandem teilen wollte! Dies ist in keiner Weise sarkastisch gemeint, denn es ist elementar für jeden von uns, frei und offen sprechen zu können, ohne den Zensor im Kopf. Man lernt höchst interessante Menschen kennen - überall auf der Welt. Die man ohne Covid & Co niemals kennengelernt hätte. Vielleicht ergibt sich daraus das eine oder andere Projekt, das in die Zukunft weist? Auch das ist es wert.

Kläre die Menschen auf\ und Tyrannei und Unterdrückung \ von Körper und Geist werden verschwinden.\ Gerade so wie die bösen Geister\ wenn die Morgensonne ihre Strahlen sendet.

Thomas Jefferson

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

Sup, freaks? Your Uncle Marty did a little vibe coding a couple months ago and that vibe coding project has turned into an actual product that is live in the Google Chrome web store and will soon to be live in the Firefox add-on store as well. It's called Opportunity Cost and it is an extension that enables you to price the internet in Bitcoin.

Opportunity Cost – See Prices in Bitcoin Instantly

Convert USD prices to Bitcoin (satoshis) as you browse. Dual display, privacy-first, and open source.

Opportunity CostTFTC

Check it out!

This whole process has been extremely rewarding to me for many reasons. The first of which is that I've had many ideas in the past to launch a product focused on bitcoin education that simply never left my brain because I never felt comfortable paying a developer to go out and build a product that I wasn't sure would ultimately get product market fit.

Due to the advancements of AI, particularly ChatGPT and Replit, I was able to spend a few hours on a Saturday vibe coding a prototype for Opportunity Cost. It worked. I side loaded it into Chrome and Firefox, tested it out for a few days and decided, "Hey, I think this is something that's worthwhile and should be built."

Backtracking just a little bit, the initial idea for this app was to create an AR application that would enable you to take pictures of goods in the real world and have their prices automatically converted to bitcoin so that you could weigh the opportunity cost of whether or not you actually wanted to buy that good or decide to save in bitcoin instead. With the help of Justin Moon from the Human Rights Foundation and Anthony Ronning from OpenSecret and Maple AI, I was pointed in the right direction of vibe coding tools I could use to build a simple MVP. I took their advice, built the MVP, and demoed it at the Bitcoin Park Austin weekly AI meetup in mid-April.

The next week, I was talking with a friend, Luke Thomas, about the idea and during our conversation he made a simple quip, "You should make a Chrome extension. I really want a Chrome extension that does this." And that's what sent me down the vibe coding rabbit hole that Saturday which led to the prototype.

After I was comfortable with and confident in the prototype, I found a young hungry developer by the name of Moses on Nostr, I reached out to him, told him my idea, showed him the prototype and asked if he thought he could finish the application for me. He luckily agreed to do so and within a couple of weeks we had a fully functioning app that was officially launched today. We're about 12 hours into the launch and I must say that I'm pleasantly surprised with the reception from the broader Bitcoin community. It seems like something that people are happy exists and I feel extremely happy that people see some value in this particular application.

Now that you have the backstory, let's get into why I think something like Opportunity Cost should exist. As someone who's been writing a newsletter and producing podcasts about bitcoin for eight years in an attempt to educate individuals from around the world about what bitcoin is, why it's important, and how they can leverage it, I've become convinced that a lot of the work that needs to be done still exists at the top of the funnel. You can scream at people. You can grab them by the shoulders. You can shake them. You can remind them at Thanksgiving that if they had listened to your advice during any Thanksgiving in the previous years they would be better off financially. But at the end of the day most people don't listen. They need to see things. Seeing things for yourself is a much more effective teaching mechanism than be lectured to by someone else.

My hope with Opportunity Cost is that it catches the eye of some bitcoin skeptics or individuals who may be on the cusp of falling down the bitcoin rabbit hole and they see the extension as a way to dip their toes into bitcoin to get a better understanding of the world by pricing the goods and services they purchase on a day-to-day month-to-month and year-to-year basis in bitcoin without having to download a wallet or set up an exchange account. The tippy top of the bitcoin marketing funnel.

That is not all though. I think Opportunity Cost can serve individuals at both ends of the funnel. That's why it's pretty exciting to me. It's as valuable to the person who is bitcoin curious and looking to get a better understanding as it is to the hardcore bitcoiner living on a bitcoin standard who is trying to get access to better tools that enable him to get a better grasp of their spending in bitcoin terms.

Lastly, after playing around with it for a few days after I built the prototype, I realized that it has incredible memetic potential. Being able to take a screenshot of goods that people are buying on a day-to-day basis, pricing them in bitcoin and then sharing them on social media is very powerful. Everything from houses to junk items on Amazon to the salaries of pro athletes to your everyday necessities. Seeing the value of those things in bitcoin really makes you think.

One day while I was testing the app, I tried to see how quickly I could find goods on the internet that cumulatively eclipsed the 21 million supply cap limit of bitcoin. To my surprise, even though I've been in bitcoin for 12 years now, it did not take me that long. The opportunity cost of everything I buy on a day-to-day basis becomes very clear when using the extension. What's even clearer is the fact that Bitcoin is completely mispriced at current levels. There is so much winning ahead of us.

Also, it's probably important to note that the extension is completely open source with an MIT license. You can check out our GitHub page here. Submit pull requests. Suggest changes to the app. Fork it. Use it yourself. Make your own changes.

We've also tried to make Opportunity Cost as privacy preserving as possible. Everything within the extension happens in your browser. The only external data that we're providing is the bitcoin to fiat price conversion at any given point in time. We're not data harvesting the web pages you're browsing or the items you're looking at. We're not collecting data and sending it to third party marketers. We want to align ourselves with the open and permissionless nature of bitcoin while also preserving our users' privacy. We're not trying to monetize this in that way. Though, I will say that I'm thinking of ways to monetize Opportunity Cost if it does gain significant traction, but I promise it will be in a way that respects your privacy and is as unobtrusive as possible. We'll see how it goes.

Thank you for coming to my TED talk. Please download and use the extension. Let us know what you think.

Headlines of the Day

Saylor Says Bitcoin Is Perfect Money to Jordan Peterson - via X

Trump Won't Sell Tesla Despite Musk-Bessent Heated Exchange - via X

Bitcoin Gains Traction in Kenya's Largest Slum Kibera - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

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Bitcoin’s Next Parabolic Move: Could Liquidity Lead the Way?

Is bitcoin’s next parabolic move starting? Global liquidity and business cycle indicators suggest it may be.

Read the latest report from Unchained and TechDev, analyzing how global M2 liquidity and the copper/gold ratio—two historically reliable macro indicators—are aligning once again to signal that a new bitcoin bull market may soon begin.

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Final thought...

East Coast aesthetics over everything.

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Download our free browser extension, Opportunity Cost: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ start thinking in SATS today.

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@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Machtig water\ Door velen bemind

Element van beweging\ Vormgever aan land\ Bondgenoot van wind

Voorkomer van comfort\ Toelater van rust

Machtig water\ Waar ik ook ga\ Ik weet dat jij de grond onder mijn voeten kust

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Her work explores the intersection of tradition and innovation in wheel-thrown ceramics. Rooted in time-honored techniques, she push the boundaries of clay’s structural possibilities—incorporating hollow tubes, flat rings, curves, and trimmed ridges to create forms that feel both organic and futuristic. These experimental designs challenge gravity and balance, evoking a space-age aesthetic while remaining deeply connected to the tactile nature of craft.

Discover Dara's work at https://www.daraschuman.com/pages/2024

https://stacker.news/items/1004131

@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab

Barreleye fish are named for their unique, barrel-shaped eyes. These eyes can rotate, allowing the fish to look both upward and straight ahead. Their eyes also have bright green lenses protected behind a transparent forehead, which gives the fish a futuristic appearance, almost like a sci-fi submarine.

Barreleye fish grow to about 6 inches long and are found in the northeastern Pacific Ocean, living at depths of 2,000 to 2,600 feet below the surface. The yellow pigment in their eyes helps them distinguish between the faint bioluminescent light produced by living organisms and sunlight. This makes it easier to spot the siphonophores and zooplankton that they eat.

https://stacker.news/items/1004367

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

The latest AI chips, 8K displays, and neural processing units make your device feel like a pocket supercomputer. So surely, with all this advancement, you can finally mine bitcoin on your phone profitably, right?

The 2025 Hardware Reality: Can You Mine Bitcoin on Your Phone

Despite remarkable advances in smartphone technology, the fundamental physics of bitcoin mining haven’t changed. In 2025, flagship devices with their cutting-edge 2nm processors can achieve approximately 25-40 megahashes per second when you mine bitcoin on your phone—a notable improvement from previous generations, but still laughably inadequate.

Meanwhile, 2025’s top-tier ASIC miners have evolved dramatically. The latest Bitmain Antminer S23 series and Canaan AvalonMiner A15 Pro deliver 200-300 terahashes per second while consuming 4,000-5,500 watts. That’s a performance gap of roughly 1:8,000,000 between when you mine bitcoin on your phone and professional mining equipment.

To put this in perspective that hits home: if you mine bitcoin on your phone and it earned you one penny, professional miners would earn $80,000 in the same time period with the same effort. It’s not just an efficiency problem—it’s a complete category mismatch.

According to Pocket Option’s 2025 analysis, when you mine bitcoin on your phone in 2025, you generate approximately $0.003-0.006 in daily revenue while consuming $0.45-0.85 in electricity through constant charging cycles. Factor in the accelerated device wear (estimated at $0.75-1.20 daily depreciation), and you’re looking at losses of $1.20-2.00 per day just for the privilege of running mining software.

Mining Economic Factor

Precise Value (April 2025)

Direct Impact on Profitability

Smartphone sustained hash rate

20-35 MH/s

0.00000024% contribution to global hashrate

Daily power consumption

3.2-4.8 kWh (4-6 full charges)

$0.38-0.57 at average US electricity rates

Expected daily BTC earnings

0.0000000086 BTC ($0.0035 at $41,200 BTC)

Revenue covers only 0.9% of electricity costs

CPU/GPU wear cost

$0.68-0.92 daily accelerated depreciation

Reduces smartphone lifespan by 60-70%

Annual profit projection

-$386 to -$412 per year

Guaranteed negative return on investment

Source: PocketOption

Bitcoin’s 2025 Network: Harder Than Ever

Bitcoin’s network difficulty in 2025 has reached unprecedented levels. After the April 2024 halving event that reduced block rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC, mining became significantly more competitive. The global hash rate now exceeds 800 exahashes per second—that’s 800 followed by 18 zeros worth of computational power securing the network.

Here’s what this means in practical terms: Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (roughly every two weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block time. As more efficient miners join the network, difficulty increases proportionally. In 2025, mining difficulty has increased compared to 2024, making small-scale mining even less viable.

The math is unforgiving:

• Global Bitcoin hash rate: 828.96 EH/s
• Your smartphone’s contribution: ~0.000000003%
• Probability of solo mining a block: Virtually zero
• Expected time to mine one Bitcoin: Several million years

Even joining mining pools doesn’t solve the economic problem. Pool fees typically range from 1-3%, and your minuscule contribution would earn proportionally tiny rewards—far below the electricity and device depreciation costs.

The 2025 Scam Evolution: More Sophisticated, More Dangerous

Fraudsters now leverage AI-generated content, fake influencer endorsements, and impressive-looking apps that simulate realistic mining activity to entice you to mine bitcoin on your phone.

New 2025 scam tactics include:

AI-Powered Fake Testimonials: Deepfake videos of supposed successful mobile miners showing fabricated earnings statements and encouraging downloads of malicious apps.

Gamified Mining Interfaces: Apps that look and feel like legitimate games but secretly harvest personal data while simulating mining progress that can never be withdrawn.

Social Media Manipulation: Coordinated campaigns across TikTok, Instagram, and YouTube featuring fake “financial influencers” promoting mobile mining apps to younger audiences.

Subscription Trap Mining: Apps offering “free trials” that automatically charge $19.99-49.99 monthly for “premium mining speeds” while delivering no actual mining capability.

Recent cybersecurity research shows that over 180 fake mining apps were discovered across major app stores in 2025, with some accumulating more than 500,000 downloads before being removed.

Red flags that scream “scam” in 2025:

• Apps claiming “revolutionary mobile mining breakthrough”
• Promises of earning “$10-50 daily” from phone mining
• Requirements to recruit friends or watch ads to unlock withdrawals
• Apps that don’t require connecting to actual mining pools
• Testimonials that seem too polished or use stock photo models
• Apps requesting permissions unrelated to mining (contacts, camera, microphone)

The 2025 Professional Mining Landscape

To understand why, consider what professional bitcoin mining looks like in 2025. Industrial mining operations now resemble high-tech data centers with:

Cutting-edge hardware:

• Bitmain Antminer S23 Pro: 280 TH/s at 4,800W
• MicroBT WhatsMiner M56S++: 250 TH/s at 4,500W
• Canaan AvalonMiner A1566: 185 TH/s at 3,420W

Infrastructure requirements:

• Megawatt-scale power contracts with industrial electricity rates
• Liquid cooling systems maintaining 24/7 optimal temperatures
• Redundant internet connections ensuring zero downtime
• Professional facility management with 24/7 monitoring

For a small operation, you might need at least $10,000 to $20,000 to buy a few ASIC miners, set up cooling systems, and cover electricity costs. These operations employ teams of engineers, maintain relationships with power companies, and operate with margins measured in single-digit percentages.

2025’s Legitimate Mobile Bitcoin Strategies

While it remains impossible to mine bitcoin on your phone profitably, 2025 offers exciting legitimate ways to engage with bitcoin through your smartphone:

Lightning Network Participation: Apps like Phoenix, Breez, and Zeus allow you to run Lightning nodes on mobile devices, earning small routing fees while supporting bitcoin’s payment layer.

Bitcoin DCA Automation: Services enable automated dollar-cost averaging with amounts as small as $1 daily. Historical data shows $10 weekly bitcoin purchases consistently outperform any mobile mining attempt by 1,500-2,000%.

Educational Mining Simulators: Legitimate apps like “Bitcoin Mining Simulator” teach mining concepts without false earning promises. These educational tools help users understand hash rates, difficulty adjustments, and mining economics.

Stacking Sats Rewards: Apps offering bitcoin rewards for shopping, learning, or completing tasks.

Lightning Gaming: Bitcoin-native mobile games where players can earn sats through skilled gameplay, with some players earning $10 monthly.onfirm that even the most optimized mobile mining setups in 2025 lose money consistently and predictably.

The Bottom Line

When you mine bitcoin on your phone fundamental economics remain unchanged: it’s impossible to profit. The laws of physics, network competition, and energy efficiency create insurmountable barriers that no app can overcome.

However, 2025 offers unprecedented opportunities to engage with bitcoin meaningfully through your smartphone. Focus on education, legitimate earning opportunities, and strategic investment rather than chasing the impossible dream of phone-based mining.

The bitcoin community’s greatest strength lies in its commitment to truth over hype. When someone promises profits to mine bitcoin on your phone in 2025, they’re either uninformed or deliberately misleading you. Trust the mathematics, learn from the community, and build your bitcoin knowledge and holdings through proven methods.

The real opportunity in 2025 isn’t to mine bitcoin on your phone—it’s understanding bitcoin deeply enough to participate confidently in the most important monetary revolution of our lifetime. Your smartphone is the perfect tool for that education; it’s just not a mining rig.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

In het hart van een gepensioneerde operazangeres ontstond een stemmetje. Het stemmetje klonk verrast. "He," ging het hart. "Ik heb een stemmetje gekregen! Hoe kan dit? Kan iemand me horen? Zouden mijn gedachten me kunnen horen?" vroeg het stemmetje, niet wetend aan wie. Want de gedachten hoorden het niet. Zij waren zo druk bezig met het verleden en hadden een grote angst dit te verliezen. "Weet je nog?" gingen de gedachten. "Voor duizenden mensen heb ik gezongen! Avond na avond! Tienduizenden mensen hebben me toegejuicht! Wat waren ze onder de indruk! Luister! Ik kan het nog steeds!" "He," ging het hart. "Hoor je me dan niet? Het ging toch helemaal niet om dat gejuich. Weet je dan niet meer hoe ik me volledig bloot gaf aan die mensen. Mijn diepste en meest persoonlijke verhalen waren te horen in mijn liederen. Daar draaide het toch om? De mensen waren niet enkel onder de indruk. Hun harten hebben mijn verhalen gevoeld en konden zo kennis geven aan hun gedachten. Is dat niet wat echt telde?" Maar de gedachten waren volop aan het zingen voor de ene persoon die ze konden vinden die wou luisteren. "He," ging het hart. "Ook in dit moment zijn mijn liederen te horen door vele gedachten en te voelen door vele harten over de hele wereld. Heb ik dan geen rust verdiend? Kan ik niet even genieten van de rust die in dit moment te vinden is, maar jullie van me afnemen?" Maar de gedachten waren nog steeds volop aan het zingen.

@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab

https://stacker.news/items/1004357

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Ik hou van de natuur en van verbinding maken\ Van diepgang en van mensen raken

Van creatief schrijven en programmeren\ Van speels bewegen en nieuwe dingen leren

Ik hou van leven en van dromen\ En van mensen zien\ Hun diepste wensen uit doen komen

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Look and see\ Look and see

You look like how you look at me

Look and see\ Look and see

The colorless through the color TV

Look and see\ Look and be

The unborn identity

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Een warme chocomelk\ Een knuffel en de moed te durven spreken\ Een leuk oprecht verhaal\ En een stap naar mijn verlangen

Deze dingen allemaal\ Maken me warm vanbinnen\ Ik hou van deze dingen\ Ze doen mijn hartje zingen

Ik wens iedereen zo'n warmte toe\ Ik wou dat ik het delen kon\ Maar het ziet er anders uit\ Voor jou dan hoe voor mij

Het enige wat ik echt kan zeggen\ Het enige dat ik zeker weet\ De kracht om warmte te creëren\ Ligt in je eigen handen

In je voeten, in je mond\ Het zit ook in je ogen\ En ook in je haar\ En zei ik al je mond\ En zelfs ook in je kont

Haha, ik ben maar wat aan 't lachen\ Dat is wat mij verlucht\ En ervoor zorgt dat wat ik zeg\ Van mij los kan komen\ En jou bereiken kan

Zo kan ik op beide oren slapen\ Dat ik deed dat wat ik kon\ Ik sprak dat wat belangrijk is\ Voor mij en liet het los

De wijde wereld in\ Voor al die horen wil en daar om geeft\ Om die warmte in hun hartje\ En daar misschien naar streeft

Ik wens je al 't succes toe in de wereld\ Want God weet, je bent het waard\ Het ligt nu in jouw handen\ Deze woorden, wat ik zeg\ Iets om over na te denken\ Tussen 't brood en het beleg

Leef gewoon je leven\ En zorg goed voor jezelf\ En als je 't graag wilt vinden\ Is het daar voor jou aan 't wachten\ Tot jij klaar bent met geloven\ In al dat anders klinkt

Ik kan je niets beloven\ Maar vertrouw op jouw instinct

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

I am the space\ In which your experience takes place

You could never meet me\ For I hold no identity

The only way to really see me\ Is to be me

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via me

"The man in the coma" has been a long-running archetype of a bitcoiner on TFTC and Rabbit Hole Recap. Over the years, we've referenced the man in the coma in regards to bitcoin being a backward compatible distributed network that would enable an individual, in the case of our example - a man who fell into a coma, to be able to wake up many years, even decades, after falling into a deep sleep, go back to his bitcoin node and be able to participate in the network and validate his own transactions as if the network was operating the same it was the day he slipped into a coma. As a distributed network, this is one of bitcoin's greatest value props; consistency for the individual running it, no matter the version.

Having spent 12 years engrossed in bitcoin, thinking about it every day, building a media company focused on educating people about the network and the monetary revolution it enables, why it's important and how they can use it. Becoming a managing partner at Ten31, which is dedicated to investing in companies building out infrastructure that makes bitcoin more accessible and easier to use; "the man in the coma" has become a more prominent archetype in my mind.

"The man in the coma" archetype can be described in other ways. For instance, there was an individual by the name of John Doe, who joined myself and Matt Odell on TFTC about seven years ago who went to jail for four years. He was distributing certain goods on the Silk Road for many years and got nabbed by the police while throwing a house party. Unfortunately for Mr. Doe, the goods he were selling via the Silk Road were in the house hosting the party that got busted. Fortunately for Mr. Doe, the police who nabbed him were not privy to the way in which he was marketing and selling the goods. He went to jail for four years, walked out at the end of his sentence, found his bitcoin wallets, recovered them and was more than pleasantly surprised at the magnitude of his wealth.

The forced hodl that was incited by the state throwing him in a cage wound up paying off after four years. Now, I can certainly admit that time is the most scarce asset in the world. Being put in a cage for four years or falling into a coma for a number of years is not ideal. However, there are lessons to be gleaned from the successes that have been realized by "the man in the coma" and the man who was forced to hodl by being thrown in a cage. Unable to access his bitcoin during that period of time to make less than wise decisions.

The main lesson to be gleaned is that doing nothing is oftentimes significantly more optimal than doing something. Too many bitcoiners decide to make rash decisions influenced by the day-to-day happenings on social media or some one-off comment from someone in their personal life that they respect. These comments can be about the long-term viability of bitcoin itself, some prognostications about where the price is going in a short-term to medium-term time frame or simply the social aspects of being associated with bitcoin. All of these factors play into influencing certain individuals deciding to sell their bitcoin in the hopes of buying it back lower, realizing something material in their day-to-day life or jumping off a ship that they've been convinced is about to sink.

In my mind, the only thing listed above that makes a bit of sense to me is realizing something material in your day-to-day life. Selling some bitcoin to purchase something that makes your life better like enabling you to support your family at a critical time and in a way that would not be possible unless you sold bitcoin. That makes sense to me. However, the other two are completely nonsensical. Bitcoin's success is binary. It either succeeds or it doesn't. And if you accept that this is true, success means slowly but surely becoming the global reserve currency and monetary network used by billions of humans on the planet or it goes to zero.

If the former materializes, that means that billions of people are going to be competing for 21 million Bitcoin. There are, by some estimates, $900 trillion worth of assets that are being used to store wealth over the short, medium, and long term. Bitcoin has the potential to subsume a material percentage of that $900 trillion. In my mind, if bitcoin is as good as I believe it is, it should take at least half of that market, if not 80 to 90%. This in and of itself is a gamble. No one can be certain that this will come true. And with that in mind you have to make a probabilistic bet by surveying the world and discerning what the likelihood of bitcoin's ultimate success is.

If you think governments, central banks, and large corporations are going to continue down the path of unfettered expansion of the monetary base, debt, and misallocation of capital, bitcoin, a peer-to-peer distributed cash system that cannot be controlled by any individual. corporation, country, or central bank makes a lot of sense. The debasement, the debt expansion, and the misallocation of capital are driven by fallible humans working in incentive structures that are vulnerable to the fallible nature of the humans working within them.

Human fallibility brings with it the ability to talk oneself out of a position that one knows makes sense and is logical. This is the disadvantage that those who are not "the man in the coma" or "the man in a cage" operate from. Being forced to hodl bitcoin is already and will increasingly be seen as a relative advantage. Many who are in bitcoin today, paying attention to every headline, every pull request and every doubt flung their way will likely get to 2030 and agree that they made worse decisions than the man who was thrown in a cage or who slipped into a coma.

Of course, this isn't a fair introspective conclusion. The man in the coma and the man who was forced to hodl because he was put in a jail cell did not have a decision at the end of the day. Both were forced to hodl due to external or internal forces that, all else being equal, they would prefer not have had to endure. However, the outcome of these two situations will likely be better than the outcome of "the man in the arena" who thinks that by making decisions on the go as a slew of information comes his way on a day-to-day basis will materialize in a larger stack of satoshis.

The reality of the situation is such that no one truly knows where bitcoin is going to go on a day-to-day, month-to-month, or year-to-year basis. Especially at this point with large institutions, nation-states, corporations, and individual states getting into the fray. The only tried-and-true strategy within bitcoin over the long term is to stay humble, stack sats, and hodl like you are "the man in the coma" or the man who was thrown in a cage.

Bitcoin's Volatility Won't End With Institutional Adoption

Leon Wankum challenged the popular "supercycle" narrative during our conversation, arguing that Bitcoin's volatility isn't going away despite massive institutional adoption. While acknowledging that MicroStrategy now holds over 2% of all Bitcoin and won't sell, Leon maintains that leverage will still need to be washed out. He expects another 60% drawdown at the end of this bull cycle, viewing this as a feature rather than a bug of Bitcoin's design.

"Bitcoin naturally washes out leverage, it builds resilience and we don't go through these crazy boom and bust cycles, we go through bull and bear markets and I think that's a net positive." - Leon Wankum

Leon sees Bitcoin's volatility as fundamentally different from fiat's destructive boom-bust cycles. Where traditional markets require central bank intervention to prop up failing systems, Bitcoin's regular corrections create genuine resilience. Bad actors will always enter during euphoric phases, and the subsequent washouts ensure only strong hands remain. This natural selection process, he argues, is beautiful - it's what makes Bitcoin antifragile.

Check out the full podcast here for more on real estate opportunity costs, Bitcoin bonds, and treasury company risks.

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Headlines of the Day

Romania Adds Crypto Terminals to Post Offices - via X

Musk Claims Trump in Epstein Files - via X

Uber CEO Calls Bitcoin Proven Store of Value - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

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Final thought...

The kids really do grow up faster than you expect.

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@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Love, I thank you for your warmth\ Ever lifting

You keep me charmed\ Ever drifting

May I be me\ And you be you

In a perfect harmony\ Embracing all life makes us grow through

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Warmte betekent zachtheid aan de grenzen\ Omringt door zachte mensen

Warmte betekent vrijheid\ Vrij om mij te tonen en te bewegen

Warmte betekent rust\ Om hier niet ver vandaan te hoeven zijn

Warmte betekent leven\ Iets waar ik vol van liefde mijn aandacht aan wil geven

Warmte betekent vriendschap\ Alle vriendschap die mijn hartje vult

Warmte betekent vol zijn\ Vol betekenis die mijn omgeving aan mij schenkt

Warmte betekent geven\ Geven om wat ik voor jou en jij voor mij\ Wij voor elkaar nu eigenlijk echt betekenen

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Jaren tellen\ Hoeft voor mij niet

Verhalen vertellen\ Over geluk en verdriet

Een warme haven\ Veilig en fijn

Dromen voorgedragen\ Onschuldig en rein

Momenten ervaard, geleerd\ En geïntegreerd

Ideeën, geloven en gevoelens\ Gevormd en gecreëerd

Zonder eind of echt begin\ Vallen, groeien, leren, stoeien

Een gezin in een gezin met een gezin erin\ Gezind gericht blijft liefde vloeien

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

The world around me\ Is assumed to be

Through sensory observations\ This appears to me

What I experience\ Is for me

But the ultimate experience\ Is for me\ To be

@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b

引言

AI 技术的突飞猛进正重塑国家间博弈的格局。在可预见的未来，人工智能（AI）将推动国家实力的重新构建。OpenAI CEO Sam Altman 指出，未来几年内人类可能迎来“温和奇点”，大量工作将由AI取代blog.samaltman.com；Anthropic（Claude AI背后公司）的CEO则警告，美国失业率可能因AI而飙升至两位数甚至约20%finance.sina.com.cn。这意味着 AI 带来的生产力飞跃伴随严峻的社会阵痛，各国政府必须争夺AI制高点以掌控未来竞争优势——正如俄罗斯总统普京早在2017年所言：“谁掌握了AI，谁就能统治世界”axios.com。因此，中美两国均将AI视作国家战略高地，在这一动态博弈中展开竞逐。

然而，在AI集中赋能国家力量的同时，比特币作为决胜性变量悄然登上舞台。美国政界出现一种耐人寻味的观点：AI代表的是一种自上而下、可能强化集权的“左侧力量”，而比特币等去中心化创新属于“右侧力量”，可以对AI形成制衡eweek.com。2025年5月，美国副总统J.D.万斯（Vance）在比特币大会上的讲话就体现了这一点——他将AI称为左倾（共产主义式）的技术力量，而加密货币尤其是比特币被视为具有保守自由色彩的技术，能够平衡AI可能带来的集中化趋势eweek.com。

基于此背景，我们假设本轮技术周期中，比特币发挥了类“数字黄金”的作用并直接取代传统黄金地位：价格飞涨至38万美元以上，大批企业（如MicroStrategy）将比特币纳入资产负债表，视其为主权资产锚定的新基准。这一趋势下，美国加速将比特币和稳定币整合进官方金融体系，构建“美元+比特币”双层货币架构，通过稳定币扩散美元影响力并冲击他国法币insurancekhabar.cominsurancekhabar.com；反之，中国依然全面拒绝比特币（自2021年以来严禁加密交易和挖矿reuters.com），继续大举增持黄金作为储备，并押注自身央行数字货币。在这样的博弈版图下，比特币可能成为影响胜负的关键变量。

本文将基于博弈论视角构建动态多方博弈模型，以刻画上述格局中的关键问题：(1) AI推动下国家力量如何重构？为何各国必须争夺AI制高点？(2) 当AI导致国家权力高度集中时，比特币如何提供不可征收的资产锚定来形成网络化的反平衡力量？(3) 中美两种AI体制的博弈结构如何决定了中国在拒绝比特币条件下可能陷入失败，而美国则可借助“比特币+发钱”等政策缓和AI失业冲击？(4) 个体如何凭借比特币对抗“AI威权”，促使世界走向网络化的稳定新结构，而非陷入新冷战？文章将分为引言、模型结构、均衡演化路径和结论四部分，为高认知读者提供一个严谨而富有现实感的战略研判框架。

模型结构

**参与方与策略定义：**本博弈模型涵盖三个主要行动方：（a）国家行为体（主要是中、美两国），（b）企业级主权力量（大型科技企业、持有比特币的大型公司等），以及（c）普通个体/公民与分布式网络。这是一个多维博弈：既包括AI竞赛这一技术军备维度，也包括以比特币为代表的新型金融资产维度，以及国家与个体间权力再平衡维度。

1. 国家（中、美）在AI领域的竞争：中美视AI为获取综合国力的战略高地，均有强烈动机投入巨资抢占领先位置。AI具有明显的赢家通吃效应，领先者可能在军事、经济、信息控制等方面获得压倒性优势axios.comeconomictimes.indiatimes.com。正如普京和Palantir公司CEO的判断，AI竞赛极可能“只有一个赢家”，要么美国胜出要么中国胜出axios.comeconomictimes.indiatimes.com。因此在博弈模型中，争夺AI主导权是双方的首要策略选择，每一方都不能放松——这类似于囚徒困境中的军备竞赛：任何一方停止努力都可能被另一方弯道超车从而“称霸世界”。

2. AI导致的权力集中与国家内部博弈：AI大规模替代人类劳动将显著提高生产率，同时造成结构性失业和财富向掌握AI技术的精英/资本高度集中blog.samaltman.comfinance.sina.com.cn。这会强化国家机器和大资本对社会的控制力（例如利用AI进行大规模监控、无人武器等），使国家权力相对个体更为集中。博弈模型中，各国政府面临内部稳定博弈：如何安抚因AI失业而不满的公众，同时继续巩固自身执政联盟。在民主国家（如美国），执政联盟规模大（需要赢得广大选民支持），政府倾向于提供公共物品或直接发放补贴以维持民众满意度blog.devtang.comblog.devtang.com。例如，Altman就预测未来社会因为AI冲击会出现“新政策创想”和渐进式的新社会契约blog.samaltman.com——这暗示可能出台普惠式补贴/UBI等政策，即所谓“发钱政策”，以缓和失业阵痛。而在威权体制（如中国），执政“致胜联盟”小而精英化blog.devtang.com，“核心支持者”的利益优先于大众利益blog.devtang.com。此时政府可能更倾向通过强化控制和定向利益输送维持稳定，而不是普惠发钱。一旦由于财政收入锐减或经济失速导致无法满足联盟利益，政权稳定将受到威胁blog.devtang.com。因此在模型中，不同体制下政府选择的内部应对策略截然不同：民主政权偏好通过财富再分配稳住大联盟，威权政权则偏好强化控制、保障小联盟利益。但AI带来的挑战规模空前，威权政府若无足够“弹药”（财政盈余或新型资产）去收买人心，就可能出现“致胜联盟”维持困难，即财政失衡引发政权不稳blog.devtang.com。

3. **货币金融维度的博弈：**这是模型的第二维——围绕全球储备资产和货币体系的新博弈。假设情景下，美国选择拥抱比特币和稳定币，将其纳入国家金融战略，而中国选择拒绝比特币坚守黄金。那么各自的策略及收益如下：

4. 美国策略：整合比特币+美元，推广稳定币。具体包括：允许并鼓励机构大量持有比特币，将其视为“数字黄金”储备；政府通过立法完善稳定币监管（如推出《GENIUS稳定币法案》等）以扩大美元稳定币的全球使用nevadacurrent.comnevadacurrent.com；甚至总统令建立国家比特币战略储备reuters.com。预期收益：一方面，比特币价格飙升带动美国持有者财富上升，MicroStrategy等公司已尝到甜头，资产负债表上囤积了价值400亿美金以上的比特币finance.sina.com.cn。华尔街分析师预测，比特币有望在未来十年最终取代黄金成为首要价值存储，finance.sina.com.cn甚至特朗普政府内部有人倡议卖出黄金储备改买比特币finance.sina.com.cn。另一方面，美元稳定币的大规模推广巩固了美元霸权：全球用户在链上广泛使用美元稳定币，相当于变相扩大美元的影响圈insurancekhabar.cominsurancekhabar.com。稳定币背后的储备主要是美国国债，这意味着稳定币越多，美国国债需求越大，从而压低美国融资成本insurancekhabar.cominsurancekhabar.com。有专家指出，美国大力推动加密货币和稳定币，是看中了它们可以成为经济武器：“稳定币将取代外国政府，成为美债最大买家”insurancekhabar.com。这为美国在AI时代实施大规模财政转移（如发放失业补贴、科技红利）提供了弹药：全球对美元资产的需求使美联储有更大余地印钞而不致本币崩溃。简言之，美国整合比特币+稳定币体系，可强化其金融主导权和财政灵活性，既能对外输出通胀、打击他国法币，又能对内从容应对AI失业的救济开支。

5. 中国策略：拒绝比特币，囤积黄金+推数字人民币。中国自2017-2021年对加密货币连出重拳（取缔交易所、禁止矿业、封锁境内交易）reuters.com，“宁要区块链，不要加密币”的政策表明其决心彻底隔绝比特币等去中心化货币。取而代之，中国持续加码黄金储备：据央行公告，中国已连续多月增持黄金，官方储备突破2000吨并仍在增长中（此举在地缘政治不确定性下尤为明显）。同时，中国大力推广央行数字货币（数字人民币），试图在国内实现对货币流通的全面可控，并谋求在国际贸易中推动人民币结算。预期影响：由于拒绝比特币，中国希望通过黄金提升本币信用，通过数字人民币强化资本管制和货币政策独立性。然而此策略的风险在于，若比特币在全球范围内取代黄金地位，中国将错失这一新型储备资产红利。当美国等推动比特币升值并将其金融化时，中国手中的黄金可能相对贬值或增长滞后。此外，稳定币对他国法币的冲击也波及人民币：虽然中国严格限制境内稳定币流通，但在跨境贸易和地下金融中，美元稳定币和比特币可能绕过管制，被企业和富裕阶层用于对冲人民币贬值或资本外逃。这相当于一个金融围堵：美国利用数字货币在全球吸纳流动性，削弱人民币在“一带一路”等领域的渗透。中国若坚持封锁比特币和民间加密交易，可能面临“两难”：要么严厉执法资本管制、牺牲部分经济自由和国际化进程；要么在全球数字经济中逐渐边缘化，被排除在新金融网络之外。总之，中国此策略短期内保障了国家对金融系统的控制权，但长期存在与世界脱节、储备资产单一（黄金）的隐患。

6. 个体与网络力量的崛起：第三个维度的博弈发生在国家 vs. 个体/分布式网络之间。AI和加密技术的发展，使得一批技术公司和个人获得了前所未有的自主力量——他们可以同时获取AI赋能和持有不可被国家任意剥夺的财富（比特币）。在模型中，这些分散的个人/企业构成一张跨国网络，他们的策略是利用技术和资本的流动性在全球范围内“择优而居”。如果某国政策有利（如美国欢迎加密创新、提供完善法律保障），人才和资金就会流向该国；反之，若政策高压（如中国禁止民间持币、严格审查AI应用），那么这些人才与资金可以通过数字途径逃逸（capital flight）。比特币在其中充当关键的**“退出票”（exit option）：它具有强抗审查和无法被没收的属性，保障了私人财产的自由转移nymag.com。“比特币无法被当局像没收黄金那样没收，无法像银行账户那样随意冻结，亦无法像法币那样被央行肆意贬值或被独裁者通过资本管制任意阻断”nymag.com。这一属性意味着个人第一次拥有了对抗国家财权的有效工具**。在博弈模型中，个体玩家的存在使国家行为体不再是单纯的统一行动者——国家内部会因为个人/企业的选择而出现博弈反馈：如果政策过于损害个人利益，他们有能力通过比特币等手段规避，从而削弱国家政策效果。这相当于在国家与国家的对局中，引入了一个“平衡器”——全球网络化个人势力。他们的目标并非争夺领土或传统主权，而是在寻求“个体主权”最大化：自由拥有财富、自由迁徙和创新、不受制于单一政府。这股力量在AI时代尤为重要，因为AI集中化倾向可以被这种分散网络部分抵消。例如，AI赋能下的个人黑客、科技创业者可以不依赖国家资本也开发出强大模型；若遭遇压制，他们可携带比特币远走他国继续创业。博弈的结果将取决于国家能否与这股网络力量共存，以及在多大程度上满足个人对自由与财富安全的需求。

均衡演化路径

基于上述模型结构，我们推演中美博弈及全球格局的动态演化路径。博弈分阶段进行，各阶段的策略互动将把体系推向不同的均衡态。

阶段1：AI军备竞赛与金融布局（现在至近期）。这一阶段中美都全力投入AI研发，以获取先发优势。双方持续加大对半导体、算法和人才的投入，并在国际规则上博弈（如出口管制、人才签证等）。博弈特征类似“军备竞赛”：任何单方面的松懈都会导致对手大幅领先，因此均衡结果是双方都倾向投入高强度资源，直至边际成本难以承受。与此同时，双方在金融领域开始布局各自阵地：美国在2024-2025年间通过了一系列亲加密政策——国会推进稳定币立法以合法化美元稳定币nevadacurrent.com，“数字资产市场结构”法案呼之欲出；行政层面，特朗普政府下令创建国家比特币储备，将执法机构此前持有或没收的比特币纳入战略储备reuters.com。这些举措表明美国意在将比特币作为国家金融武器的一部分来运用。相应地，比特币市场开始出现质变：主流机构投资者蜂拥而入，现货比特币ETF获得批准且规模激增，短短时间累积数千亿美元资金finance.sina.com.cn。比特币价格屡创新高并稳定在六位数美元以上，朝着20万、30万甚至更高的目标迈进finance.sina.com.cn。企业层面，MicroStrategy等公司持续买入，比特币在一些公司资产负债表中的地位堪比现金储备finance.sina.com.cn。美国的这一系列动作，使其在**“新数字货币冷战”**中占得先机：美元+比特币组合开始对全球产生强磁吸效应。

反观中国，同期则进入防御性应对状态。面对美国的金融攻势，中国加快了增储黄金和数字人民币试点的步伐，以图筑牢本国金融壁垒。中国人民银行连续数月购入黄金，insurancekhabar.com黄金储备量创历史新高；数字人民币从国内零售场景逐步推广到跨境贸易结算试验，通过区域性协议在部分周边国家开展本币结算合作，以降低对SWIFT美元体系的依赖。同时，中国严格执行对加密活动的严打，关停剩余的OTC交易渠道，宣示绝不让比特币等威胁人民币的货币主权。此阶段的结局是：两个平行的货币体系开始成形——一个是美元主导并吸纳比特币、稳定币的新体系；一个是人民币主导、辅之以黄金背书的封闭体系。

阶段2：AI红利与冲击释放（中期，未来5-10年）。随着AGI雏形和通用机器人逐步出现，人类劳动大规模被替代的效应开始凸显blog.samaltman.com。在美国，AI带来的效率红利令GDP和企业盈利大幅增长，但“技术失业”也引发社会不安。finance.sina.com.cn美国失业率假设攀升至15-20%，尤其白领和服务业岗位大量消失。幸运的是，由于美国及时进行了金融上的前瞻部署，此时财政手段具备充足火力来应对危机。一方面，比特币的暴涨和广泛持有为部分中产和企业带来了资产增值——例如，有投资比特币的家庭财富逆势上涨，部分失业者因持有数字资产而有缓冲储备。政府则可以选择性对这些资产增值征税或者发行主权数字货币购买比特币，实现财政增盈。另一方面，更重要的是**美联储和财政部得以大规模“直升机撒钱”**而不致引发债务危机，这是美元稳定币全球盛行带来的特权insurancekhabar.com。由于全球大量资金以购买美国国债作为稳定币储备，insurancekhabar.com美国政府可以在通胀可控范围内发行货币、扩大赤字以资助全民基本收入或就业项目。比特币在美国的官方接受度也使发钱政策更容易实施：政府完全可以将数字美元直接发送到每个公民的手机钱包（甚至部分用比特币形式发放科技红利）。公众虽然对AI取代工作有所焦虑，但在政府真金白银的兜底下，基本生活有保障，社会动荡被控制在最低程度。这印证了Altman的预言：AI时代世界将更富裕，因此能够“认真考虑以往不可能的新政策”blog.samaltman.com。美国通过比特币财富效应和激进财政政策，初步缓解了AI带来的内部矛盾，其民主制度下“大联盟”的稳定性得以维持。

与之对照，中国在中期则可能面临更严峻的平衡难题。AI同样推动了中国经济的效率，但也使大量制造业和服务业劳动力冗余化。由于缺乏比特币等新财富渠道，大部分民众财富并未随技术进步而增长，反而因失业潮而缩水。民间投资渠道狭窄（楼市低迷、股市震荡），社会的不满情绪上升。此时中国政府进退维谷：若执行大规模刺激或全民补贴，一方面没有储备的“数字资产红利”可用，只能动用巨额财政支出；但中国无法像美国那样让全球来分担本币超发的成本（人民币不是主要储备货币，超发会直接冲击汇率和通胀）。若强行印钞发钱，则可能引发人民币贬值和资本加速外逃，削弱执政信用。历史上来看，威权政府在财政吃紧时维系统治的成本急剧上升，很容易因为买不到执政联盟的忠诚而倒台blog.devtang.com。中国政府当然也深谙此理，因此更可能选择收紧财政、强化管控的方式渡过难关：例如动用警察力量维稳、加强舆论审查来减缓不满爆发。但这样的高压策略长期看难以为继，而且会进一步吓跑高端人才和资本。尤其在比特币价格连创新高的背景下，中国富裕阶层和企业势必更加渴望配置此类全球性资产来保值。一些人会通过地下渠道购入比特币和稳定币，然后设法转移资产出境（哪怕非法也在所不惜）reuters.comsciencedirect.com。这反过来又加剧了中国国内资本外流和财政紧张，形成负反馈。可以预见，如果中国仍拒绝比特币，其金融体系可能出现“致胜联盟”式失衡：政府要么牺牲外汇储备和黄金储备来稳住人民币、安抚利益集团，要么被迫局部放开对加密资产的管制以引回资金，无论哪种都意味着其此前的强硬策略难以持续。

阶段3：博弈格局转变与网络化均衡（远期，10年及以后）。经历中期震荡后，全球博弈格局将出现质变，进入新的均衡态。基于前述趋势，可以预见两种截然不同的结局：

• **美国阵营的胜出与中国策略调整：**如果美国在AI和金融两条战线上都占据了优势，那么远期均衡将体现为美国引领的“新技术-金融秩序”。届时比特币可能已稳固地成为全球储备资产的一极（类似数字黄金），各国央行和主权基金纷纷将其纳入资产配置。美元则通过稳定币牢牢占据全球结算和流动性中介地位。在AI方面，美国凭借开放创新环境汇聚了全球顶尖人才，实现技术持续领先。反观中国，若在中期尝到了拒绝比特币的苦果（经济停滞、财政吃紧、人才外逃），理性的策略调整将是不得不转向美国模式，以免彻底边缘化。这可能包括：逐步放松对加密资产的管制，甚至尝试推出国家主导的加密货币ETF，引导国有机构低调持有比特币以分享其增值；在外交上寻求加入由美国主导的数字货币国际框架，避免本国企业被排除在新贸易结算体系外。此外，中国会继续依靠其黄金储备试图为人民币背书，但如果比特币市值远超黄金且更受年轻一代青睐，黄金的锚定作用将大打折扣。可以说，中国此时面临类似19世纪末“银本位帝国”的困境——清朝因坚守白银而被新兴的金本位体系边缘化insurancekhabar.com；21世纪的中国若固守黄金标准而忽视比特币潮流，恐重蹈历史覆辙。有识之士将呼吁“中国不能错失数字黄金机遇”，倒逼政策松动。最终的均衡可能是：美国及其盟友掌握了AI与金融话语权，而中国被迫加入由比特币和美元构成的新体系，放弃之前的强硬抵制立场。这一结果虽非中国最初意愿，但总比被彻底孤立要好，犹如冷战后期苏联被迫融入布雷顿森林体系一样，是一种策略收缩下的妥协均衡。

• 网络化多中心格局的形成：无论中美博弈如何，此阶段一个更深刻的趋势是全球网络化权力结构的浮现。随着比特币深入人心和应用普及，每个个人和企业都相当于握有自己的“微型主权财富”。正如《主权个体》一书预言的那样，信息时代将削弱民族国家发动战争和征税的能力，取而代之的是个人在全球范围内自由组合、以市场方式选择治理的时代sites.northwestern.edu。当比特币成为“无法征收的资产”标配后，各国政府要汲取民财将更为困难，战争筹资也不再容易sites.northwestern.edu。这是因为：一旦某国大举加税或准备战时管制，资本和人才可以更快捷地逃往别处，政府很难像过去那样通过强制手段动员全国资源。一些论者甚至指出，“在一个基于比特币的社会里，政府若想发动战争，可能不得不向公民众筹军费”reddit.com——这无疑极大提高了发动战争的政治难度。在AI高度发达且武器智能化的背景下，这种网络化制衡力量尤为宝贵，它防止了超级大国因为掌控AI利器而为所欲为。举例来说，如果没有个人财产自由这一“安全阀”，那么拥有强大AI武器和监控系统的国家很可能毫无顾忌地倾压式统治甚至对外侵略；但有了比特币，精英和企业可以用脚投票，拒绝配合极权和战争企图——正如有人所说的，“你无法征税/掠夺那些你无法抓住的人”newstatesman.com。最终，全球可能形成一种“冷战阻止机制”：各国不敢轻易走向新冷战或热战，因为稍有风吹草动，资金和人才就会通过去中心网络逃逸，使战争难以为继。

因此，在远期均衡下，我们将看到国家、企业和个人形成一个互动博弈的多中心体系：国家不再拥有对经济和技术的单方面支配，个人与企业通过持有数字资产和掌握AI技术获得了谈判筹码，各方被迫合作共生而非你死我活。这并非传统意义上的“权力均衡”，而更像是一种动态的网络均衡——权力在不同层级和节点上分散，任何一方试图完全主导都会引发系统中其他节点的自动调节与抵制，最终回归稳态。

结论

综上所述，AI时代的中美博弈结构展现出“技术军备竞赛+金融货币博弈+内部治理较量”三位一体的格局。美国通过在AI和比特币两方面同时发力，形成“左手AI、右手比特币”的双拳策略，既争取了AI制高点，又利用比特币这一“不受征服的资产”稳固了内部与外部的平衡nymag.com。反观中国，倘若固守传统思维拒绝比特币，则在AI导致集权加深的同时失去了由比特币提供的网络化反平衡力量，极可能重现“致胜联盟”财政失衡和战略被动的局面。正如博弈模型分析所示，中国若不及时调整，将因无法有效吸纳AI红利、又无法借助新金融工具缓冲冲击，而陷入内外交困的困境；相反，美国通过比特币+发钱政策有望缓解技术失业压力，在维护社会稳定的同时进一步增强对外金融攻势，实现以较小代价度过转型阵痛。

更深一层的洞见在于：比特币作为“无法征收的资产”（unconfiscatable asset），为无数个人和企业提供了在AI强权面前自我保护和抗衡的手段nymag.com。它让个体可以自由掌控自己创造的AI收益和财富，不必担心随时被征用或剥夺，从而在国家与国家的博弈中引入了一个独立稳定器。这个稳定器确保了国家不敢轻启战争或极端压榨，否则公民的财富和才能将自动逃逸，令其损失巨大。这种机制有望阻止人类社会滑入新一轮两极对抗或热战冲突，因为权力过度集中将引发去中心网络的本能反制。取而代之，人类可能走向一种“网络化稳定结构”：在这个结构中，AI带来的繁荣由各国共享，但没有任何一方能垄断；比特币作为全球共同的价值锚和信任媒介，保障了个人基本财产权，从而软化了国家机器的锋芒。

对于高认知的决策者而言，这一博弈分析传递出明确的战略启示：拥抱比特币等去中心化创新，实际上是在为本国社会安装安全阀，避免因AI高度集中而产生体制性风险；同时，这也是在国际博弈中抢占未来金融体系的话语权。在AI与国家力量此消彼长的新时代，比特币扮演了关键的“平衡木”角色：它连接着国家与国家、国家与个人，确保没有人可以轻易掀翻整艘人类文明之舟。唯有善用这一新型稳定器，引导世界朝开放协作而非封闭对立演化，我们才能把握AI奇点带来的机遇，避免重蹈冷战或冲突的历史覆辙。人类社会或许将凭借这种网络化的平衡，在巨变中找到新的稳定与新秩序sites.northwestern.edu——在AI的洪流中乘风破浪，而非沉舟觅踪。

参考资料：

1. Sam Altman，《温和奇点》博文对AI发展的展望blog.samaltman.com

2. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei，关于AI导致失业的警告finance.sina.com.cn

3. J.D. Vance 副总统在Bitcoin 2025大会讲话摘要，对AI和比特币的定位eweek.comreuters.com

4. Bernstein投行报告：比特币取代黄金的十年预测，MicroStrategy持币策略等finance.sina.com.cnfinance.sina.com.cn

5. Nevada Current对Bitcoin大会的报道：稳定币立法（GENIUS法案）进展nevadacurrent.comnevadacurrent.com

6. Reuters：特朗普行政令建立国家比特币储备、美国拥抱比特币对抗中国reuters.comreuters.com

7. Insurance Khabar：Deepak Garg 关于美中金融战与稳定币武器化的分析insurancekhabar.cominsurancekhabar.com

8. 《独裁者手册》理论：致胜联盟与政权稳定的关系blog.devtang.com

9. New York Magazine：《比特币无法被没收，不能冻结，不能由央行贬值》nymag.com

10. 《主权个体》观点：信息技术削弱国家征税和战争能力sites.northwestern.edu

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

• The newest LND release brings upgrades that empower developers with better on-chain management, significantly boost backend scalability for expanding services, and ensure a more seamless and dependable payment experience.

"We are excited to announce the release of LND v0.19.0 beta! This new release focuses on making LND more secure, scalable, and reliable for powering global bitcoin and stablecoin transactions," was announced in a blog post.

• Some highlights of this release include a Replace-By-Fee Cooperative Close for flexible channel closure fees, migration of invoices to SQL for faster startups, enhanced payment reliability through improved pathfinding, transaction sweeper improvements, the addition of Testnet4 support for stable testing, among other things.

"As always, we are grateful for the ongoing support of our external contributors across development, review, and testing. A total of 51 developers contributed to this release. For the complete list of changes included in this release, check out the full release notes."

What's new

• New RBF cooperative close flow. It uses RBF to enable either side to increase their fee rate using their own channel funds. Channel peers must support the option_simple_close for this new protocol to work. This new feature can be activated with a new config flag: --protocol.rbf-coop-close.
  • This feature isn't compatible with older LND versions; fee bumping with them uses CPFP. It already works with Eclair v0.12.0 or up, and should work with other implementations as they roll out support for this protocol. The protocol currently does not support Taproot channels and Taproot asset channels.
• Support for archiving channel backups in a specific folder for future reference. It comes with a new config option, disable-backup-archive (default: false), to control whether previous backups are archived.
• Support for experimental endorsement signal relay. Deployed experimentally to assist ongoing channel jamming research, it has no impact on routing.
• Initial support for quiescence. This protocol gadget is required for upcoming Dynamic Commitments and Splicing features.
• Historical Sync: Fixed a race condition blocking initial sync due to syncer's internal state handling.
• Max Fee Rate is now respected during cooperative close initiation for both parties, not just the remote party.
• Lots of other bug fixes.

• Performance Improvements:

  • Limit outbound gossip traffic bandwidth with --gossip.msg-rate-bytes and --gossip.msg-rate-burst. Set burst to the maximum bytes transmittable without rate limiting, and rate to the ongoing permitted rate.

• Ability to use ZSTD for log rotation.

• Remove redundant iteration over a node's persisted channels when updating the graph cache with a new node or node update.

• Functional Enhancements:

  • Add pagination for wallet transactions.
  • Make MaxWaitNumBlocksFundingConf configurable for faster test timeouts, with a default of 2016 blocks for production.
  • Change sweeper to attempt sweeps if the budget is partially covered, preventing delays and high fees.
  • Validate MPP parameters before payment to avoid path finding loops and timeouts.
• Functional Updates:
  • Enable log compression with ZSTD using the logging.file.compressor argument.
  • Enhance SCB file with more data for last-resort rescue when a peer is unavailable.
  • Update channel.backup file at shutdown in LND.
  • Introduce chainio subsystem to sync subsystems with the current best block, fixing delays in HTLC sweeping due to block height discrepancies in ChainArbitrator, UtxoSweeper, and TxPublisher. Click here to learn more.
  • Sweeper now uses configured budget values for HTLCs with --sweeper.budget.deadlinehtlcratio and --sweeper.budget.deadlinehtlc.
  • Consider blockbeat dispatcher height when checking if lnd is synced to chain.
  • Allocate restricted slots for peers via --num-restricted-slots.
  • Added support for bitcoin testnet4.
  • Removed x/exp/maps dependency.
  • Add --no-disconnect-on-pong-failure option (default: false) to manage peer disconnection on pong failure or mismatch.

• RPC Additions and Updates. Some RPCs that previously returned an empty response now provide a short status message to help command line users confirm successful execution or background initiation. The following CLI commands no longer return an empty response ({}):

  • lncli wallet releaseoutput (WalletKit.ReleaseOutput RPC)
  • lncli wallet accounts import-pubkey (WalletKit.ImportPublicKey RPC)
  • lncli wallet labeltx (WalletKit.LabelTransaction RPC)
  • lncli sendcustom (Lightning.SendCustomMessage RPC)
  • lncli connect (Lightning.ConnectPeer RPC)
  • lncli disconnect (Lightning.DisconnectPeer RPC)
  • lncli stop (Lightning.Stop RPC)
  • lncli deletepayments (Lightning.DeleteAllPaymentsResponse RPC)
  • lncli abandonchannel (Lightning.AbandonChannel RPC)
  • lncli restorechanbackup (Lightning.RestoreChannelBackups RPC)

  • lncli verifychanbackup (Lightning.VerifyChanBackup RPC)

  • The ForwardInterceptor's MODIFY option now merges custom range TLVs with existing HTLC records, overwriting conflicting values with API-supplied ones.

  • Make ProofMatureDelta in gossip configurable via --gossip.announcement-conf, defaulting to 6.
  • Add LockedIn boolean field to lnrpc.HTLC to show if an HTLC is locked in by the remote peer.
  • Allow custom lock ID and duration in FundPsbt RPC.
  • Extend lnrpc.RPCMiddlewareRequest to include gRPC metadata pairs from the initial request's context.Context.
  • Updated PendingSweeps to return all registered outputs in the RPC response, regardless of future locktime, enabling planning for upcoming sweeps and custom aggregation logic. Added MaturityHeight field to PendingSweep for absolute locktime value.
  • Add BumpForceCloseFee RPC endpoint, moving lncli functionality to LND for broader accessibility.
  • Enhance walletrpc.FundPsbt with an option to set fees as sat_per_kw for greater precision.
  • Add a new option in walletrpc.FundPsbt to specify the maximum fee-to-output amounts ratio.
  • Sort lnrpc.Invoice.Htlcs by InvoiceHTLC.HtlcIndex in the list invoices RPC response.
  • Set a default 60-second timeout for routerrpc.SendPaymentV2 when timeout_seconds is unset or 0.
  • Include custom_channel_data for custom channels in lnrpc.ClosedChannels response.
  • lncli updates and additions:
  • Allow pre-generated macaroon root key in lncli create and lncli createwatchonly for deterministic macaroon generation.
  • Add --sat_per_kw flag to lncli wallet fundpsbt for precise fee rate specification.
  • Include --max_fee_ratio argument in lncli wallet fundpsbt to set maximum fee-to-output amounts ratio.
  • Enhance lncli listchannels and lncli closedchannels output with human-readable short channel ID and BOLT02 channel ID; rename chan_id to scid for accuracy.
  • Initiate cooperative close flow in coop close case even with active HTLCs, disabling the channel for new HTLCs and starting the flow when no HTLCs remain.
  • Introduce macaroon constraint for IP range-based access restriction, expanding beyond spe

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Nooit is mijn dans echter\ Dan net nadat het regende\ Want regen biedt een kans\ Om mijn gevoel te voelen

Zolang de regen spettert\ En ik mezelf graag zie\ Wordt er niets verplettert\ Ook al lijkt dat soms wel zo

Zodra de regen ophoudt\ En zich terugtrekt met de wolken\ Komt een nieuwe glans\ Voor het eerst mijn ogen binnen

Wat is het leven heerlijk\ Als ik eerlijk ben en voel\ Wat is het leven zacht\ En het brengt me naar mijn doel

Wat zou ik weten zonder regen\ Gewoon steeds evenveel\ Niet groeien is niet leven\ Daarom dans ik het liefst

Net na de echte regen

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

My life is my way Home\ My death is my arrival

I can't wait to be Home\ And so I love life

I can't wait to be Home\ And so I want to live to the fullest

For there are no shortcuts

Many people die\ And never make it Home

They will have to wait\ For another chance to die

Another chance to live fully\ And die totally

I'm so thankful to be alive\ I'm on my way Home

I'm so thankful to be alive\ To have another chance to die

Every day I take a step\ In the direction of my death\ I do not postpone it

Every day I take a step\ In the direction of my truth\ I do not avoid it

It is who I am, always have been\ And always will be

It lies beyond that door\ That keeps everything in check

Where only can go through\ Which is forever true

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Happy New Year!

Happy New Year, my dearest human family\ Happy New Year, my dearest animal family

Dear children of the Earth\ I wish you all a magical year

May it be utterly new\ Ever-changing\ New now

And may your journey say\ Life is amazing! I'm in a maze\ Life is awesome! Quite some awe\ Life is magical! True alchemy

I am human\ Black woman, I love you so\ Life-giver of my origin, the negro [nigiro]

I am\ Thus physical and non-physical meet

Life is to be\ As the elements are and compete\ And as they collide with one another\ One becomes aware of an other\ And so life sets on a journey\ To discover the other

Animal life is set to explore\ Allowing all experience the other has in store\ Life left to experience without a voice\ Until it discovers there is an 'I'\ And it has a choice

Human life is to be inside a human body\ Thus fusion between intellect and feeling\ Gets to express its perspective\ Inside infinity

Truly, a magical gift\ My Holy Trinity

And so from human life flow many voices\ As it navigates through infinite choices

Thus I say

Life is magic\ A gift for all that is here\ Perceived by too many as tragic\ Take care of your vision, I tell you, my dear [tell-a-vision]

Life is magic\ And words are spells\ Placing your aim beyond your reach\ It takes away efficiency from your speech

Life is magic\ Above all else\ Even when it has me feeling blue\ Seemingly left without a clue

Still I say

Perfection\ You are everything\ And I am of you

The source, the mirror\ And the reflection

@ 8bf578f4:b6303c41

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has long been a subject of fascination and debate among researchers and enthusiasts alike. One of the most intriguing aspects of AI is its potential to surpass human capabilities in specific tasks. When an AI system's output for a given task becomes better than that of a comparable human specialist, it marks a significant milestone known as the accelerative growth starting point. This threshold signifies more than just a technological achievement; it represents a fundamental shift in how we perceive and utilize intelligence. At this juncture, the AI's ability to outperform humans in specific domains triggers an exponential growth phase. This is because AI systems can process vast amounts of data and identify patterns that humans might miss, leading to continuous improvement. For those using local AI models and open-source tools on Linux environments, this means leveraging frameworks like TensorFlow or PyTorch to train and deploy models that can achieve state-of-the-art performance in various tasks.

The concept of exponential growth in AI can be illustrated through mathematical models. For instance, consider a simple model where the performance improvement of an AI system follows a power law: P(t) = t^k, where P(t) is the performance at time t, and k is a constant that determines the rate of improvement. As t increases, the growth in performance accelerates rapidly. This exponential growth is particularly relevant for decentralized technologies and peer-to-peer (P2P) networks, such as those enabled by protocols like Nostr. In these environments, AI models can be distributed across multiple nodes, allowing for collaborative training and inference. This decentralization not only enhances robustness but also enables scalable and efficient use of computational resources.

One of the key drivers of this exponential growth is the AI's ability to design new systems faster and better than humans. This self-improvement loop is often referred to as recursive self-improvement (RSI). In RSI, an AI system not only performs tasks but also optimizes its own algorithms and architectures. This iterative process allows the AI to continually enhance its capabilities, leading to a feedback loop where each iteration results in more significant improvements than the last. For users of local AI models, this means continuously updating and refining models to take advantage of the latest advancements in machine learning techniques. Tools like Docker can be used to containerize AI applications, ensuring consistency across different environments and facilitating easy deployment on decentralized networks.

The implications of this exponential growth are profound, particularly for those working with open-source tools and local AI models. As AI systems become increasingly capable, they will likely outpace human intelligence in an ever-expanding range of domains. This raises important technical challenges, such as ensuring that AI systems can handle the complexity and scale of decentralized data. For instance, federated learning allows multiple nodes to train a model collaboratively without exchanging raw data, preserving privacy while leveraging distributed computational power. Implementing federated learning in P2P networks can enhance the security and efficiency of AI applications.

Moreover, the exponential growth of AI has significant technical implications for industries that can leverage AI to enhance productivity and innovation. For example, in fields like natural language processing (NLP), AI models can be trained on decentralized datasets using tools like Hugging Face's Transformers library. This allows for the development of advanced language models that can understand and generate human-like text. Similarly, in computer vision, distributed training frameworks can be used to develop models that can analyze and interpret visual data more accurately than ever before.

Another critical aspect is the potential for AI to augment human capabilities rather than replace them entirely. In many fields, AI can serve as a powerful tool that enhances human decision-making and creativity. For example, in healthcare, AI algorithms can assist doctors in diagnosing diseases more accurately by analyzing medical images and patient data. This collaborative approach leverages the strengths of both humans and machines. For users of local AI models, this means integrating AI tools into existing workflows to enhance productivity and innovation.

However, achieving this harmonious integration requires addressing several technical challenges. One such challenge is ensuring that AI systems are transparent and interpretable. Black-box models, while often highly accurate, can be difficult to understand and trust. Developing explainable AI (XAI) techniques that provide insights into how these models make decisions is crucial for building trust and acceptance. For those using open-source tools, libraries like LIME (Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations) and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) can be invaluable in making AI models more interpretable.

Additionally, the technical considerations surrounding AI's exponential growth are vast. As AI systems become more autonomous and capable, they will increasingly make decisions that affect various aspects of technology and society. Ensuring that these decisions are fair, unbiased, and aligned with technological goals is a complex but essential task. This involves not only technical solutions but also robust frameworks for deploying and managing AI models in decentralized environments.

In conclusion, the accelerative growth starting point in AI marks a pivotal moment in technological evolution. From this point onwards, the exponential growth of intelligence will reshape industries, economies, and societies. Machine learning experts must be at the forefront of navigating these changes, ensuring that AI's potential is harnessed responsibly and effectively. The future of AI holds immense promise, but it also demands vigilance and foresight to address the challenges that lie ahead. For those using local AI models, open-source tools, and Linux environments, this means staying at the cutting edge of technological advancements and leveraging decentralized technologies like Nostr to build robust and scalable AI applications.

By Alex TechSmith, Machine Learning Engineer

@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab

Highlights Day 2 - Lexus Trestles Pro Presented by Outerknown 2025:

https://yewtu.be/watch?v=b7qhWvPpMCY

Full Day 2 - Lexus Trestles Pro Presented by Outerknown 2025:

https://yewtu.be/watch?v=uxwWJTCWW1Y

Results Women (Round 16 & Quarter Final) and Men (Round 16)

Source: https://www.worldsurfleague.com/posts/538099/its-on-finals-day-of-the-trestles-pro?roundId=24857&statEventId=4784

https://stacker.news/items/1004308

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Liefde\ De samenkomst\ Van zien en zijn

Leven\ Het zijn en zien\ Een vorm gekregen

Sterven\ Een deur\ Die vrijheid geeft van vorm

En eeuwig leven\ Aan liefde

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Here's to the ones who can\ Feel their cause\ Surrender\ Change their ways\ But keep their fire\ And never give up

We will transform this world\ Restructuring\ One belief at a time

@ ea39b0da:29a1710d

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@ 5627e59c:d484729e

De laatste zonnestralen van de dag streken over de eeuwige golven en weerkaatsten als lichtpuntjes in de ogen van schipper Joris terwijl hij nog een slok nam van zijn glazen fles die de vorm had van het hoofd van een oude monnik.

Gekregen van een oude vrouw uit de bergen van de Himalaya, zorgde de rum genaamd 'Old Monk' voor een verwarmend gezelschap op deze eenzame kerstnacht.

Joris had met zijn boot naar India gevaren nadat zijn vrouw hem had verlaten en hij een Indiër had ontmoet die had gezegd: "Waar ik vandaan kom, zijn vrouwen vrij en worden ze niet gezien als enkel en alleen de mooie lichamen die zij bezitten of als eeuwig bezit van een gezin."

Verward en ongelovig had Joris gekeken naar de wereld en besefte dat vrouwen inderdaad slechts gezien werden als hun fysieke schoonheid, genegeerd werden voor hun koesterende gevoeligheid en bekritiseerd werden door hun spontane intensheid en had hierop voor twee jaar lang gezocht in India naar deze vrije vrouwen met als enig resultaat een oude vrouw te ontmoeten die alleen in de bergen woonde en dagelijks haar wijsheid deelde met ieder luisterend oor.

Daar ging het doorzichtig monnikshoofd en verliet met een grote gebogen vlucht de hand van schipper Joris toen plots met groot kabaal de boot abrupt tot stilstand kwam en Joris hals over kop naar de andere kant van het dek geslingerd werd.

Het monnikshoofd verdween in het donker terwijl Joris zijn lichaam probeerde te lokaliseren en met zijn ogen wijd open zijn hersenen zo veel mogelijk informatie probeerde door te spelen.

Tevergeefs, want zijn enorme verschot werd gevolgd door een enkel groeiende verbazing, ongeloof en desoriëntatie toen de boot begon te kantelen.

De bundel licht, afkomstig van de mast van de boot, zwierde doorheen het donker en kwam te schijnen op een gigantische rots in het midden van de zee die werd bezeten door een oogverblindende glinstergroene schijn.

Uit het donker kwam het monnikshoofd, dat nog steeds in volle vlucht was, in het vizier van de lichtbundel en plaatste zich exact tussen de glinstergroene verschijning en Joris waarbij Joris doorheen het monnikshoofd gezegend werd met het zicht op een pracht van een zeemeermin die uitnodigend poseerde op de rots.

Met een luide plons viel Joris achterover in het water toen hij zich realiseerde dat vrouwen zichzelf ook lieten vangen door lust en hun uiterlijke opmaakcompetities en met een dankbare glimlach zonk hij naar de bodem van de zee en was opnieuw geboren.

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

El Salvador – June 3, 2025 — The grassroots Bitcoin community of El Salvador is proud to announce the return of Bitcoin Week, taking place this November with five dynamic events celebrating Bitcoin adoption, education, and community-led innovation.

Join us for a week of inspiration, collaboration, and impact.

Bitcoin Week 2025 calendar

📍 November 12 – Bitcoin Education Celebration Gala: Kick off the week in style with a luxurious and intimate evening at a high-class dinner, celebrating “proof of work” and the achievements of the Bitcoin education movement.
Expect major plans for the year(s) ahead but also a reflection to past proof-of-work—and don’t miss out on the Great Grassroots Giveaway, included with every ticket.

📍 November 13 – Bitcoin Educators Unconference: Hosted for the third time in San Salvador at Cadejo Montaña, this sixth edition of the Educators Unconference embodies our commitment to provide a space for decentralized, community-led conversations.
Join educators and leaders shaping the global Bitcoin conversation!

📍 November 14–15 – Adopting Bitcoin: The Network Effect: Now in its fifth year, Adopting Bitcoin returns with a powerful focus on real-world Bitcoin usage across global communities.
This year’s theme—The Network Effect—explores how interconnected local initiatives can spark exponential growth in adoption.

📍 November 16 – Visit Bitcoin Beach, El Zonte: Make your way to Bitcoin Beach, the heart of El Salvador’s Bitcoin story. Enjoy a day of connection and discovery in this iconic beachside town. Full details coming soon.

📍 November 22–23 – Economía Bitcoin, Berlín: Head to the town of Berlín, El Salvador for the second edition of Economía Bitcoin, a powerful, small-scale conference and festival focused on circular economies and practical Bitcoin use.
Spend sats freely in town and see how local action drives global impact.

With five unique events across three regions in Bitcoin Country, this edition of Bitcoin Week is your chance to experience El Salvador’s Bitcoin journey up close. Whether you’re an educator, builder, Bitcoiner, or simply curious—you’re invited.

Join us this November. Be part of the movement.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Hello Bumble\ You busy bee

You're going way\ Too fast for me

Going here and there\ You search for gold

Yet tumble straight\ Into what's old

Now I'm not here\ To make a gain

Nor to fix\ What's in disdain

Instead I'm just\ A humble bee

Who wants to get\ To know thee

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Zonneschijn\ Stralen, lachen, zo fijn\ Moge de wereld dankbaar zijn

De vrouw, mijn gevoeligheid\ Bron van creativiteit

Genietend niets doen in het gras\ Met wat brood en wat wijn in het glas

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

We only see\ What we are

What we are not\ We cannot see

This is how we know\ Reality is happening within\ Our own being

And experience is a consequence\ Of who we believe to be

As long as we deny\ And don't want to see

All the ways\ We think to be

Reality will seem\ Outside of our grasp

And separate\ From our experience of life

Such is our power

Yet such power\ Could only be

Of that which holds\ The entirety

@ ea39b0da:29a1710d

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@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Spontaniteit\ Creativiteit

Iets visueel of gewoon geluid\ Het moet eruit

Ik doe mezelf cadeau aan jou\ Omdat ik van het leven hou

@ e9d7ed6f:f52b3346

Bitcoin is not for everyone but open for everyone. As a teenager, Bitcoin has already seen massive sprout growth surpassing Amazon's market value, becoming the fifth most valuable asset in the world and aiming to surpass gold that has been around us for the last 5,000 years. According to coinworld, Bitcoin trails only behind Apple, Microsoft, NVIDIA and ofcourse the shinny yellow metal of antiquity, gold in terms of market capitalization. Its clear to see the hormones are firing. Institutional adoption, regulation clarity, geopolitics, inflation are all fueling speedy growth and adoption for Bitcoin around the world.

As we witness this unprecedented speedy growth of Bitcoin, the decentralized network of consensus, nodes and mining power, toes are reaching the ceiling of the shoe. Most countries are on a Bitcoin rush hour either making Bitcoin legel tender, crafting regulatory policies, establishing strategic reserves, Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin educational programs and developing smart contracts. Bitcoin is indeed decentralized, dusting off the old double spending centralized ledger, transfoming the way we appoach finance.

In the midst of all this Bitcoin fuss, one may wonder, what's Malawi's position on Bitcoin? Where does Malawi place Bitcoin? What's the state of affairs for Bitcoin and Crypto currencies in Malawi? Is Malawi noticing the trends, is the sky any orange? Are there any Bitcoiners, miners, nodes? Can Malawi place itself in a position to benefit from this Bitcoin phenomenon? Do we have any free energy resources to utilize for Bitcoin mining, policy framework, regulation and make it actually legal tender? Is there even any interest in Bitcoin at all in Malawi?.

The state of affairs for Bitcoin in Malawi is as bright and promising however, its going to take a shovel, digging and getting dirty. In a nutshell, lets have a litmus test, exploring a brief historical background of Bitcoin in Malawi, Bitcoinboma organization & education, Women of Satoshi initiative & ofcourse, Malawi catch Bitcoin if you can. There maybe other unofficial record to the specific historical background of Bitcoin and Crypto currencies in Malawi that as of the time of writing are missed. Reach out, feed me in comments or reach out via my Twitter (X) handle @pacharo_w

1. Historical background of Bitcoin As Bitcoin is heading for the economic throne, the Malawian Kwacha continues to dwindle down the tunnel. Purchasing power seems to slip and fall on the muddy economic road to a point where a basic necessity, sugar has hit a record high price of MWK 5,000.00. The prices are the sponge soaking all the excess printing of the currency generated by commercial banks and our central bank which by the way is the guardan of the Malawian kwacha. Speaking of the lender of last resort, a report by Miriam Banire on Crypto adoption around the world: Malawi stated Reserve Bank made it clear that cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender and their use remains illegal.

The report further highlighted by stating, " RBM bears the exclusive mandate to issue legal tender, thus, bank notes and coins in Malawi, and to date, has not issued any form of cryptocurrency. The general public is encouraged to fully understand and be aware of the risks associated with the use of cryptocurrencies and similar online trading schemes, which include money laundering, vulnerability to cybercrimes, hacking and other fraudulent activities.” A statement from the former Governor of RBM, Dr. Dalitso Kabambe.

In the light of this, 2022 seems to be the official opening entry of Bitcoin and all crypto currency discussions in Malawi. Bitcoin was treated as just any other cryptocurrency and assumably needing a more careful approach to it. A strong emphasis that the RBM bears exclusive rights to issue legal tender currency in form of notes and coins drew a clear line, underlining risks such as fraudulent schemes, money laundering and cybercrimes if not monitored or regulated by the central bank.

In 2023, the same report stated that RBM was aware of cryptocurrency trade activities and there was mounting pressure from organizations such as ICT Association of Malawi as well as Economic Association of Malawi on formulating a regulatory policy and giving a clear stand on legal status for cryptocurrencies. The secretary of RBM and general counsel mentioned in further development in the report of engaging verious stakeholders in crypto regulation and having a neutral stand.

This implies that the governments position is still not yet clear and not known on where it stands on all this. However, they are aware and their attention is undivided.

Malawi is also a member of the World Economic Forum. An international independent egency that aims at improving the state of the world by involving the business communities, governments and institutions in crafting policies, guidelines and really put in effect agendas seeming fiting for a cause. Does it sound like Malawi perhaps may have been trying to explore its first Central Banking Digital currency?

WEF clearly advocates for a cashless society and has pushed for central banks in its membership to craft a Central Banking Digital Currency. As word on the corner travels so fast, Malawi seems to have called for consultations for a CBDC which its prototype patent is called the 'e-kwacha.' A digital currency that will be issued by the state, perhaps that will also go side to side with the physical notes of the Kwacha.

Progress of this project has so far went under the sheets as not much has been heard or speculated but we have our three eyes and three ears open to see the unfoldings of any development.

BITCOINBOMA, EDUCATION AND WOMEN OF SATOSHI

All roads to Bitcoinboma began in 2022, when Malawi including the rest of the world were recovering from aftermath of COVID-19 pandemic which was declared by World Health Organization. By this time a lot of business activities had slowed down, most private sector had been on a lock down and others working remotely.

Demand and supply command lines had drastically dropped. Masks had to be worn in all public places and atmosphere was utterly dry. Physical meetings seemed a challenge, gathering as crowd suddenly was a taboo but as history continually speaks and repeats, such times on the opposite side, opportunites loom for light. Two gentlemen, Nick Twayman and Grant Gombwa were actively sparkling Bitcoin conversations, deliberating Bitcoin and its state in Malawi. They started hosting space talks, engaging with fellow bitcoiners and audiences across the world via on twitter (X).

As if they were men on a mission to the Creature of the Jerky Island to draft a BitcoinBoma bill, it is believed that in 2023, August was the first time a Bitcoin physical Meet up happened in Malawi, right in the heart of the capital city at MHub Area 15, Lilongwe. There were fifteen participants and amongst many things they shared ideas of Bitcoin, state of legality, education and awareness as well as its adoption in Malawi. The aftermath of this meeting encouraged Grant and Nick to develop an idea of an organization. Interestingly, it was the wife of Nick that came up with the name "BitcoinBoma." Perfectly fitting, the name "Boma" stands for "place where people live" also it stands for " Government." Bitcoin being for the people, serves the society, a universal digital currency, the name absolutely placed everything in order fitting the context and representation.

BitcoinBoma was born in August, 2023 and made its first steps by intergrating the themes of social interaction, environmental awareness and economic enpowerment of Malawians. This organization advocates for the use case of Bitcoin as a legal tender currency, offering an altenative along side the Kwacha, seeking framework and acceptance as means of payment for goods and services. Bitcoin finally had a home in Malawi, BitcoinBoma.

Later, Ian Foster, a chartered accountant, economist, business analyst and ofcourse a Bitcoin maxi teamed up with the cofounders of BitcoinBoma and went together for a Bitcoin voyage conference in South Africa towards the end of 2023. After this conference, he later joined Bitcoinboma & also highlited his personal efforts of engaging Malawi government on the Bitcoin course which amongst other things included negotiating with the government of Malawi, through the Ministry of energy resources and Mining. He proposed an opportunity to utilize the water energy which powers the electric hydro-power plant grid that powers and generates electricity for Malawi. In the proposal, the abstract was utilizing and boostering efficiency of generating electricity through Bitcoin mining.

Later in May, 2024 BitcoinBoma collaborated with Trezor academy to host their first Bitcoin Education seminar and it happened in the month of July, 2024. They were 12 participants who completed a 3 day seminar series, scooping certificates of attendance, crafting cyberhornets of Bitcoin to preach the gospel of Bitcoin to the masses. These efforts proved a success and opened the door of an opportunity to embark on the first BitcoinBoma Diploma education journey. Towards the year end of 2024, BitcoinbBoma successfully launched the Bitcoin Diploma education campaign and registered its first Cohort students to embark on an education program.

November 16th, 2024 was a special day. It was packed like its a chrismas day where all relatives are sitting and laughing on a round table. BitcoinBoma hosted a Bitcoin 101 session with a special guest who later has become an incredible pillar of strength in BitcoinBoma. Talking of electrical Engeenier a Bitcoin powerhouse, vastly experienced, some grey hair we were privileged to meet and have Olev Maimets, all the way from Canada. He detailed the significance of Bitcoin, why Bitcoin and how his life has changed by embarking on Bitcoin. To this day, Olev is an anchor, a tutor, an aid and alley of BitcoinBoma.

Later, Ian travelled to El- Salvador, where his mission was to raise awareness and apply for BitcoinBoma to be a Mi Primer Bitcoin node and on 5th January, 2025 Bitcoinboma took its first step embarking on its first education program.

On the February 12, 2025 BitcoinBoma received an upvote representation of 56 votes to become a light node.

As history of BitcoinBoma continued to unfold, a new alley emerged from the shores of the fresh waters of Malawi. A briliant, creative and passionate Doctor and a junior Bitcoin protocal developer who cofounded a cooperative initiative called Women of Satoshi.

WOMEN OF SATOSHI This young ambitious professional doctor and junior Bitcoin developer by the name of Yankho Ngoleka took advantage of his challenging profession and made it to an opportunity by concretrating on how marginalized and vulnerable young women and women can build from scratch using an idea known as 'Sats Mkhonde.' The idea loiters a common traditional women's' Bank m'mKhonde, where women can form a cooperative and loan each other currency to support their existing business and pay it back after a given period of time for others to access. ' The name is an imagery that means, ' the Bank is within the veranda' so to say, ' the Bank is close to you.'

Earlier, it was highlighted how small scale businesses are really the skeleton of Malawi's economy. One of their major draw back is how FIAT currencies wash off the purchasing power for their gains in the small businesses they run. In the long run if these business erode with hyperinflation, then chances are they wont survive. Absence of these businesses means a cut in business supply chains, collapse of production and destruction of a family unit.

How can these businesses be recession proof? Women of Satoshi has a unique answer. If these businesses have access and adopt Bitcoin as altenative digital currency portfolio then it stretches the life span of their investment and savings. Bitcoin is a store of value and fares well with time. Women of Satoshi aims to educate and let women pioner 'Sats Mkhonde' initiative which will be a cataylst in creating a Bitcoin circular economy. As BitcoinBitcoinboma picked its perks, it partnered together with Women of satoshi and shared together the vision of awareness and education for Bitcoin in Malawi. In the months of March- April of 2025, BitcoinBoma and Women of Satoshi collaborated with Trezor Academy for a Bitcoin seminar at MUBAS ( Malawi University of Business Applied Science) which was a success.

MALAWI CATCH BITCOIN IF YOU CAN

When there's a dead rat in the ceiling, no matter how you clean the house, the cent of it will keep you outside the house. When you have a currency plundered by catastrophic loss of purchasing power, it will keep you out of reach for prosperity.

There is a lot of mirage on the state of affairs of the Kwacha. It seems the more we use it as a medium of exchange and store of value, the greater it plunges. The rate of its velocity seems to concur to the speed of light and prices are soaring to the point they can break the dome. The underwhelming performance of the Kwacha places every citizen on blink of loss, financial paralysis, uncertainty and instability of the nation.

There are a lot of schools of thoughts, we have brilliant economists, well grounded institutions that act as an eye and they have solid data with all the charts in place. As of writing, trading economists, reports an exchange rate rise of MWK 1,734/1 USD recording a 0.02% increase as of 10th June, 2025. In contrast, the Kwacha performed lower last month giving a 0.02% & a lower turnover of 0.03% from the previous twelve months check

On the opposite side, the reality speaks a different language. Regardless of the slight gain, prices of commodities which are an indicator to the purchasing power of the currency continue to climb up. Every commodity seems to react with any speculation, rumor mill, geopolitics and ofcourse trends with the US Dollar, cases of both white market (Bank rate) & black market(Unregulated US Dollar market rate).

Fuel availability is also one catalyst that sets the wildest fires of price hikes. Just a slight hint of fuel shortage, sets ablaze prices of every commodity leaving a wallet only ashes and dust. A fuel shortage can get the price of fuel at MWK 10,000 or above per litre as compared to the official pump price of MWK 2,530 for Petrol and MWK 2,734 for diseal as of writing. According to statista, Malawi has one of the highest, in fact the first country on the list for the highest gasoline prices.

Confidence & purchasing power of the Kwacha is extremely reliant towards availability of US Dollar. What institutions of trust miss as guardians of the Kwacha is we legitimize the Kwacha to another collapsing currency, the US dollar. The dollar standard since 1971 has never mantained any purchasing power. It has in fact failed to keep its grip as a store of value as time can attest its stability and strength. This is the case with all FIAT currencies throughout history. Price inflation of commodities has always signalled a weak currency due to over excessive printing, government deficit spending for social programs, ever ending construction works, social cash transfers amongst other things. Whenever, the money supply is tampered with, a loss in the purchasing power is inevitable. The institutions we trust to save guard the purchasing power of the currency fail to uphold the principle and never mention or question the money supply problem. They chose shortcuts that bypass the natural principles of free markets.

This is like keeping a dead rat in a home, if you can't locate it, the smell will choke the nostrils.If we are to reverse the situation, we need to fix our home by addressing the problem of this dead rat. A deep search, proper cleaning utensils and some odor deodorant should aid the cleaning process. Malawi should properly position itself on the stand of legalizing use of Bitcoin and handling FIAT currencies. The fate of the Malawian Kwacha is sealed and will continue to dwindle, losing its purchasing power as currency supply is never ending always fuelled by excessive spending and debt by the governmentt. This where Malawi must Catch Bitcoin if it can.

Loss of purchasing power and currency debasements are an ever ending circus. Excessive spending is a key feature for governments and when future prosperity is spent presently disasters looming in the future are always unavoidable. So how can Malawi avoid such catastrophes?

Allowing Bitcoin side with the Malawian Kwacha, it can combat forex challenges. Bitcoin doesn't have an exchange rate. It is 'the money itself.' It has a use case backed by computational power, network and cryptographic intergrated security. Nations can use Bitcoin to exchange value and communicate bilateral agreements without holding each others currencies to facilitate trade. There's no risking sabotaging the whole nation using primarily one instrument and medium of exchange. Bitcoin can allow Malawi to engage and exchange value, talents, resources and boom emerging markets with Bitcoin provided a framework is put in place to support Bitcoin. Using Bitcoin, will bypass almost all barriers to access international goods as well as export locally made goods to other countries.

Again, Bitcoin offers an altenative to the currency. No forex? No currency printer? Well, no problem, we have a stable altenative that can be used and still have access to international market. The 'one option only' conveys to limitation. Malawi markets are very vibrant, possibilities are limitless. We have producers who produce more and consume less. The pieces all collapse if there's one firm point holding the entire financial infrastructure. So if the dollar collapses, the Kwacha must follow trend. As all FIAT are nothing but IOUs, backed by the faith, trust and realiance of government. When the government seizures, the currency will follow too. Alternatively, this is not the case with Bitcoin. Built in scarcity and difficulty adjustment in its release, it keeps its inflation in check, having an equilibrium supply and creating more demand that brings about stability in the free market.

Truth is majority of the citizens panic and worry of faith in the Malawian kwacha. Everyone complains of high costs of living, that the wage isn't as good and fails to uphold coverage for a family. Adding a side hustle, two or three jobs and shifts, lending capital to farm all as a thousand ways to invade inflation. As prices will forever continue to sore, the market also keeps an eye and Grasham's Law always takes effect. (Grashams Law, Bad money drives out good money). The MWK 20.00 Malawian currency note could buy some candy back in the days. If we stretch this further it was a wage in the 1930''s to 60's. Today a MWK 20 note barely affords to make any purchase. At face value its useless on market, just a paper and a number on it. Some merchants don't accept it, being the weakest link and can't really purchase anything of value although it still has legal status and backed by government. The government through Reserve Bank of Malawi cautioned its citizenry that the MWK 20 note is still legal tender and must be accepted and used and warned those merchants refusing may face the law.

Well i hope i won't face the law with this.

Bitcoin may be the answer to questions majority of small scale businesses have who, constantly question legitimacy and fragility of the Kwacha. Price shocks ultimately dilute the little gains these businesses make, sending them back to the drawing board with really no insurance, surplus capital or compensation for the flooding Kwacha. Inflation of Kwacha undermines the capital power of these businesses and yet they are the skeleton that hold the muscle of the economy. Many of these are local vendors who tirelessly roam around in the urban city and rural areas, small shops also called 'Okala' who at many times order goods from other retail and wholesaler shops. When price shocks happen, their tables scatter and really have no choice but to also raise their prices. It gets to the point that at times one may not know how much they are they going sell their goods or what price is one going to buy.

On the other hand, Bitcoin which has proven time and again to be stable could protect, insure these businesses against these catastrophes. The deflationary measure can help a portion of their business capital be insured in the form of savings.

Bitcoin doesn't have a price and can't be measured to a collapsing currency to determine its value. The underlining statement is 1 Satoshi will always equal to 1 Satoshi, 1 BTC will always equal to 1 BTC. A digital currency with such a store of value feature in its feathers can really be an altenative, a reliable economic container, storing value for a really long time and can safely land any small business enterprise on a flying wheel.

So whats next... Let me wrap up by sharing an amazing experience i had with the students i teach at my school. Am huge fan of football & its encouraging to see young girls play soccer. At my school, on this particular day, i had fun seeing and cheering them play for a prize and they absolutely went nuts and loved it.

I offered them MWK 10,000 prize, about 5,280 Sats, $5.77 as of writing & the winners took it all. I know one day they will get to understand Bitcoin and why, they will also accept Bitcoin as payment.

One day they will have their football kits labelled Bitcoin and own Bitcoin branded football boots and balls. If you think this is a great idea, share, express your views and suggestions in the comments, I'd be so excited to hear them.

Am also a developing roockie blogger, you can rate my pen skills and give any meaningful suggestions.

Sources:

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Ik hou van de natuur en van verbinding maken\ Van diepgang en van mensen raken

Van creatief schrijven en programmeren\ Van speels bewegen en nieuwe dingen leren

Ik hou van leven en van dromen\ En van mensen zien\ Hun diepste wensen uit doen komen

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Liefde\ De samenkomst\ Van zien en zijn

Leven\ Het zijn en zien\ Een vorm gekregen

Sterven\ Een deur\ Die vrijheid geeft van vorm

En eeuwig leven\ Aan liefde

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

Square, the payments platform operated by Block (founded by Jack Dorsey), is reporting 9.7% bitcoin yield on its bitcoin holdings by running a Lightning Network node.

The announcement was made by Miles Suter, Bitcoin product lead at Block, during the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas. Suter explained that Square is earning “real bitcoin from our holdings” by efficiently routing payments across the Lightning Network.

Square’s yield comes from its role as a Lightning service provider, a business it launched two years ago to boost liquidity and efficiency on the Lightning Network. According to Lightning Labs’ Ryan Gentry, Square’s 9% yield could translate to roughly $1 million in annual revenue.

The Lightning Network, a Bitcoin layer-2 protocol, has long been promoted as a solution to Bitcoin’s scalability and transaction speed issues. It enables micropayments and off-chain transactions, reducing congestion on the main blockchain. However, the network faces challenges, including the need for inbound liquidity—users must lock up BTC to receive BTC—potentially limiting participation by smaller nodes and raising concerns about decentralization.

Despite these hurdles, Square remains committed to advancing Bitcoin payments via Lightning. Suter revealed that 25% of Square’s outbound bitcoin transactions now use the Lightning Network. The company is actively testing Lightning-based payments at the Bitcoin 2025 event and plans to roll out the service to all eligible Square merchants by 2026.

Suter emphasized the transformative potential of Lightning:

“When you enable real payments by making them faster and more convenient, the network becomes stronger, smarter, and more beneficial. So if you’re questioning whether bitcoin is merely an asset, the response is no. It has already evolved into both an asset and a protocol, and now Block is spearheading the initiative to transform it into the world’s premier payment system.”

Square’s ongoing investment in Lightning signals its belief in Bitcoin’s future not just as a store of value, but as a global payments protocol.

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Stripe Acquires Startup Privy To Expand Bitcoin Strategy

Today, Stripe Inc. announced that it has acquired Bitcoin and crypto wallet infrastructure provider Privy, marking its second major digital asset focused acquisition following its $1.1 billion purchase of stablecoin firm Bridge earlier this year.

1/ Today, we're proud to announce that Stripe is acquiring Privy.

We couldn’t be more excited.

Privy will continue as an independent product – but now we’ll move faster, ship more, and serve you even better, so you can stay focused on your users. pic.twitter.com/8CHJqhqYy7

— Privy (@privy_io) June 11, 2025

Privy specializes in helping companies embed Bitcoin and crypto wallets directly into their apps and websites. For example, NFT marketplace OpenSea uses Privy to streamline purchases by automatically generating wallets for users. This removes the need for external wallet setups through services like MetaMask or Coinbase.

“When we started, wallets were powerful but inaccessible for all but the most technical,” said the Co-founder and CEO of Privy Henri Stern in a statement. “Developers had to send users off-platform to get started, breaking flows and killing user conversion. That friction fundamentally constrained what could be built in crypto.”

Privy, based in New York, was founded by Henri Stern and Asta Li in 2021. Li was previously a founding engineer at Aurora, while Stern worked as a research scientist at web3 firm Protocol Labs. The startup has raised just over $40 million from investors including Ribbit Capital, Definition, and Coinbase Ventures, and was last valued at $230 million in March, according to PitchBook.

“We started Privy a little over three years ago to make it easy for any developer to build better products on crypto rails,” stated their announcement. “Whether crypto is core to your app or simply a new layer of functionality, a good crypto product should just feel like a good product, period. By making crypto usable, we help make it useful for everyone.”

The acquisition follows Stripe’s earlier purchase of Bridge which helped accelerate interest in digital assets. Earlier this year, Stripe introduced stablecoin funded accounts designed to help merchants store funds and make international payments using Circle’s USDC and Bridge’s USDB. Similar to Bridge, Privy will continue operating as a standalone product.

Privy will power over 75 million accounts and support more than 1,000 developer teams, enabling billions in transaction volume, according to the announcement. Clients include Hyperliquid, Blackbird, Toku, and Farcaster, all using Bitcoin and crypto infrastructure to build real-world products in areas like trading, payments, payroll, and social applications.

“With a unified platform, connecting Privy’s wallets to the money movement capabilities in Stripe and Bridge, we’re enormously excited to enable a new generation of global, Internet-native financial services,” stated the co-founder and CEO of Stripe Patrick Collison.

This post Stripe Acquires Startup Privy To Expand Bitcoin Strategy first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Veroorzaakt door de wereld rond mij\ Vormen de wereld in mij

Verwaarloosd door de wereld rond mij\ Overgelaten aan mij

Een groene brug komt uit mij\ Verbindt mij met wij\ En laat ons samen vrij

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Ik sta hier nu een poos\ Bevroren, machteloos

Ik wil graag iets veranderen\ Gewoon iets doen voor anderen

Maar het mag precies niet zijn\ En dat doet me veel pijn

Verlamd en vol van onbegrip\ Ik krijg er maar geen grip op

Op de wereld en de mensen\ Zij verpletteren mijn diepste wensen

Niemand die eens hoort\ Naar wat mij toch zo stoort

Ik kan nog eens proberen\ Om de wereld om te keren

Maar ik weet, het heeft geen zin\ Ik raak nooit binnen in

De ander\ Kom, verander

Misschien wordt het eens tijd\ Dat ik mezelf bevrijd

Van al die overmacht\ Die mij toch zo versmacht

Een stapje achteruit\ Adem in en adem uit

Ik doe mijn oogjes dicht\ En zie wie mij verplicht

Opzadelt met ambitie\ Van waar komt toch die missie

Al de pijn die ik niet aankan\ En van 't bestaan verban

Al 't bewijs voor mijn geloof\ Dat ik niet meer vliegen kan

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Muziek\ Jij harmonieus geluid

Een gevoel zo uniek\ Op geen andere manier geuit

Ik ben zo dankbaar voor de vrijheid die jij me schenkt\ Om gewoon even te zijn\ In dit dierbare moment

@ fc7022f5:e829f309

Hos Derma X guider vi dig professionelt i valget af den rette behandlerbriks til dine behov. Vi gennemgår vigtige faktorer som ergonomi, justeringsmuligheder, materialekvalitet og funktionalitet, så du kan træffe et informeret valg. En god behandlerbriks understøtter både behandlerens arbejdsstilling og klientens komfort. Vores vejledning sikrer, at du investerer i det udstyr, der bedst matcher din klinik og behandlingsform. Få professionel indsigt i, hvordan du vælger den optimale behandlerbriks.

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

• This version introduces the Soroban P2P network, enabling Dojo to relay transactions to the Bitcoin network and share others' transactions to break the heuristic linking relaying nodes to transaction creators.

• Additionally, Dojo admins can now manage API keys in DMT with labels, status, and expiration, ideal for community Dojo providers like Dojobay. New API endpoints, including "/services" exposing Explorer, Soroban, and Indexer, have been added to aid wallet developers.
• Other maintenance updates include Bitcoin Core, Tor, Fulcrum, Node.js, plus an updated ban-knots script to disconnect inbound Knots nodes.

"I want to thank all the contributors. This again shows the power of true Free Software. I also want to thank everyone who donated to help Dojo development going. I truly appreciate it," said Still Dojo Coder.

What's new

• Soroban P2P network. For MyDojo (Docker setup) users, Soroban will be automatically installed as part of their Dojo. This integration allows Dojo to utilize the Soroban P2P network for various upcoming features and applications.
• PandoTx. PandoTx serves as a transaction transport layer. When your wallet sends a transaction to Dojo, it is relayed to a random Soroban node, which then forwards it to the Bitcoin network. It also enables your Soroban node to receive and relay transactions from others to the Bitcoin network and is designed to disrupt the assumption that a node relaying a transaction is closely linked to the person who initiated it.
  • Pushing transactions through Soroban can be deactivated by setting NODE_PANDOTX_PUSH=off in docker-node.conf.
  • Processing incoming transactions from Soroban network can be deactivated by setting NODE_PANDOTX_PROCESS=off in docker-node.conf.
• API key management has been introduced to address the growing number of people offering their Dojos to the community. Dojo admins can now access a new API management tab in their DMT, where they can create unlimited API keys, assign labels for easy identification, and set expiration dates for each key. This allows admins to avoid sharing their main API key and instead distribute specific keys to selected parties.
• New API endpoints. Several new API endpoints have been added to help API consumers develop features on Dojo more efficiently:
  • New:
    • /latest-block - returns data about latest block
    • /txout/:txid/:index - returns unspent output data
    • /support/services - returns info about services that Dojo exposes
  • Updated:
    • /tx/:txid - endpoint has been updated to return raw transaction with parameter ?rawHex=1
  • The new /support/services endpoint replaces the deprecated explorer field in the Dojo pairing payload. Although still present, API consumers should use this endpoint for explorer and other pairing data.

Other changes

• Updated ban script to disconnect inbound Knots nodes.
• Updated Fulcrum to v1.12.0.
• Regenerate Fulcrum certificate if expired.
• Check if transaction already exists in pushTx.
• Bump BTC-RPC Explorer.
• Bump Tor to v0.4.8.16, bump Snowflake.
• Updated Bitcoin Core to v29.0.
• Removed unnecessary middleware.
• Fixed DB update mechanism, added api_keys table.
• Add an option to use blocksdir config for bitcoin blocks directory.
• Removed deprecated configuration.
• Updated Node.js dependencies.
• Reconfigured container dependencies.
• Fix Snowflake git URL.
• Fix log path for testnet4.
• Use prebuilt addrindexrs binaries.
• Add instructions to migrate blockchain/fulcrum.
• Added pull policies.

#FREESAMOURAI

Learn how to set up and use your own Bitcoin privacy node with Dojo here.

Announcement / Archive
GitHub Repo

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Gelukkig zijn\ Is de waarde van mijn leven

Gewoon dankbaar te bestaan\ Geen mens heeft me ooit zo'n mooi cadeau gegeven

Dankbaar voor mijn sprankelen\ Mijn doen en voor mijn streven

Maar ook dat ik mag wankelen\ Mag vallen en mag beven

Want wat er ook gebeurt\ Het duurt steeds maar voor even

De wijsheid van mijn hart\ Voor alles is een reden

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中美近期谈判的博弈分析：模型、均衡与演化前景

一、背景与问题概述

2025年中美经贸谈判出现了最新进展：中国同意恢复出口稀土（包括稀土磁体等关键材料），美国则在中国留学生签证政策上作出让步，但双方并未在关税上相互让步，仍维持高额关税壁垒reuters.comreuters.com。这一结果是中美经贸冲突持续多年的阶段性产物。在此之前，中美互征高额关税、一度接近全面“脱钩”，双方还通过稀土出口管制和留学签证限制等手段施压对方，导致贸易额大幅下滑、供应链紧张axios.comenglish.kyodonews.net。这一局势引发了以下博弈论层面的核心问题：当前达成的部分妥协是否构成某种博弈均衡？如果是，这属于短期策略性均衡，还是预示着中美关系可能进入类似冷战的长期对峙均衡？此外，未来有哪些外部冲击因素可能打破当前均衡或使其演化为新的稳定态？本文将以博弈模型框架对此进行分析，探讨多种均衡形态（包括但不限于纳什均衡、“科尔奈-科曼达”均衡、演化均衡等），评估其稳定性，并结合历史经验和现实因素展望演化路径。

二、博弈模型框架

1. 博弈参与者与利益：博弈双方为中国和美国，两国均为战略理性参与者。双方利益既有冲突也有重叠：中国重视维持经济增长、技术发展及国家安全，希望解除美国对其高科技封锁和贸易壁垒；美国重视维护其技术优势和贸易利益，要求中国开放市场并停止在关键资源和技术领域对美“卡脖子”。双方都希望减少自身经济损失，又不愿在战略上示弱。

2. 策略集合：双方在多个博弈维度上可选择策略。为简化分析，可聚焦三大维度：

• 关税政策：继续高关税（强硬策略）或降低关税（合作策略）。目前现实是双方仍维持高关税水平，美国综合关税约55%（包含之前各类加征），中国约10%reuters.com（显著低于美方）。

• 战略资源/技术出口管制：如中国对稀土等关键矿物的出口管制 vs 美国对高科技（芯片软件等）的出口管制。策略上可以选择实施/维持管制（强硬）或取消管制（让步）。本次中国选择取消对稀土磁体的出口限制，属合作让步；美国也表示将放松对华高科技出口管制中的一些领域english.kyodonews.netcsis.org。

• 人员交流及其它领域：如留学生签证、金融投资等。美国此次在签证上让步，允许更多中国学生赴美，属合作策略reuters.com；中国则一直希望维持人员正常交流。双方在此维度暂时采取了互惠合作的策略。

上述维度可视作多阶段博弈或多重议题博弈。为便于分析，可将其抽象为一个综合双人博弈模型：每一方都有“强硬”(H)和“合作”(C)两种总体策略取向，但在具体议题上可以组合选择（如在稀土上C、在关税上H）。这使博弈呈现出策略组合的多样性，而非简单的单次囚徒困境。但为了直观起见，我们可首先假设一个简化的对称博弈（类似囚徒困境的收益结构）来捕捉基本激励，再扩展讨论复杂均衡。

3. 收益支付（概念性）：双方策略的组合将决定各自收益：

• 双强硬 (H, H)：双方都坚持高关税+资源封锁等措施，彼此损害，进入全面贸易战/科技战。收益表现为两败俱伤：经济损失大，供应链断裂，科技交流停滞（负收益）。例如，2025年初双方互加惩罚性关税至三位数、彼此禁止关键出口时，就出现了贸易额骤降（中国对美出口同比-34.5%）english.kyodonews.net、企业巨额损失和市场动荡。

• 双合作 (C, C)：双方都选择降低关税、解除限制，实现贸易正常化和科技交流。此时总体收益最大（双赢）：经济恢复、供需正常。但由于存在信任赤字，此状态不稳定——正如囚徒困境中“双合作”虽帕累托最优，却因单方作弊诱因而难自发实现medium.com。

• 单方强硬、一方合作 (H, C)或(C, H)：这一不对称组合下，强硬方利用对方的合作获取单方面优势：例如美国若坚持高关税而中国单方面降低关税并开放市场，则美方可同时享受关税保护和中方市场开放，收益最高；反之亦然。被动合作的一方则处于劣势，政治上承压。因此，这类似**“鸡奸博弈”（Chicken Game）或领导者-追随者博弈**格局。

当前谈判结果实际上接近于一种不对称均衡：美国在关税上保持强硬立场（H），而中国并未同等报复（其对美关税仅10%，远低于美方）reuters.com。同时中国在稀土管制上让步（C），美国在签证上让步（C）。可以理解为美国在经贸领域强硬而中国相对克制，美国在人员交流领域部分合作回应。这种策略组合带来的结果是美国宣称获得巨大贸易保护（“我们得到55%关税”）而中国则确保关键资源供应恢复和部分交流正常reuters.comreuters.com。双方各自得到关切的利益点：美国保住了对华高关税（满足其产业和选民需求），中国保住了留学生和稀土出口市场。但很多根本性分歧并未解决，处于暂时搁置状态reuters.com。

4. 博弈类型：这可以看作一个重复博弈/动态博弈。中美经贸冲突从2018年至今反复拉锯，多轮谈判和报复，已经是一个长期博弈过程。各阶段的策略选择和均衡都受到历史策略和信誉影响。因此分析均衡需考虑静态（一次性博弈均衡）和动态（演化均衡、子博弈完美均衡等）两种层次。

三、多种均衡形态探索

1. 纳什均衡 (Nash Equilibrium)：在单次非合作博弈框架下，纳什均衡是双方策略互为最佳回应的稳定点。根据上述收益格局，可能存在以下纳什均衡：

• “双强硬”均衡：如果互相采取强硬策略是彼此的最佳回应，则 (H, H) 构成纳什均衡。这对应于双方都不信任对方合作，选择关税壁垒和制裁的情形。2018-2024年的贸易战大部分时间里，中美实际上陷入了这样的互相报复均衡，哪怕该状态令双方经济受损axios.com。这种均衡稳定但低效：没有一方能通过单边改变策略获利（单方让步将遭对方剥削），因此维持对峙，但集体收益远低于合作状态。

• “不对称”均衡：(H, C) 或 (C, H) 也可能是纳什均衡，取决于双方相对实力与承受力。如上所述，美国坚持高关税而中国克制报复的组合，可能是稳定的：美国的最优回应是继续征税获取贸易保护红利，中国的最优回应是在稀土等领域合作以换取部分利益且避免更大损失medium.com。反过来，如果中国采取强硬而美国克制，也是一种可能（但目前美国国内政治不允许完全克制）。从现实看，本次达成的安排类似 (H, C) ：美国保留高关税（强硬），中国未对等报复且提供稀土（合作）。有分析指出，这种格局在贸易战模型中被视为“最稳定的局面”之一medium.com。然而它对中国而言并非理想，属于一种被迫接受劣势的均衡。

• “双合作”并非均衡： (C, C) 虽让双方收益更高，但由于博弈存在囚徒困境特征，单方偏离合作能获得更大短期利益，因此在一次博弈中双合作不是纳什均衡medium.com——除非有外部约束或信誉机制，使背叛受惩罚。

2. “科尔奈-科曼达”均衡（体制均衡）：所谓“科尔奈-科曼达均衡”可理解为由体制或结构因素支撑的均衡，即即使不满足常规最佳回应原则，却由于外部强制力或内在机制而得以持续的状态。经济学家科尔奈（János Kornai）分析过社会主义经济中的**“短缺均衡”：尽管市场未出清（处于非瓦尔拉斯均衡），短缺状态却能自我再生、长期持续**，因为体制激励使偏离状态自我纠正pubs.aeaweb.org。借用这一思想，中美当前的局势也可视为一种**“非合作的稳定状态”：双方在贸易和技术上未达成真正合作，但建立了一套报复—让步的动态平衡机制**，使对抗强度维持在某个水平，不至于失控。具体体现在：

• 中国虽不满美国高关税和技术封锁，但内部存在缓冲机制（如刺激自主创新、寻找替代市场）来承受压力，同时利用稀土卡位、对美投资限制等措施对美形成反制平衡。这样一种“对抗—适应”的结构使局势形成常态化均衡：虽然远非合作最优，但在现行体制下可以持续且双方习以为常。

• 美国方面，即使对华强硬政策损害了一些本国企业利益，出于安全考量和国内政治共识，其决策机制依然倾向维持对华压力。而美企通过调整供应链、政府通过补贴产业等方式部分缓冲损失。这类似科尔奈笔下的**“短缺经济的自稳定”：扭曲（高关税、高壁垒）的存在引发内部调整，从而固化了扭曲本身，形成一种具有路径依赖**的均衡。

因此，“科尔奈式均衡”在此可指中美长期博弈形成的一种自我延续的对峙常态。这种均衡并非静态最优，但有内部反馈维系其稳定。它可能对应于一种政策均衡或制度均衡：双方政治体制与经济结构已经部分适应了冲突状态，并将其纳入新常态。科曼达（Komanda）一词可能隐喻“Command（命令式）”特点，即双方关系被战略和政治指令所主导，而非市场自发优化。

3. 演化均衡 (Evolutionary Equilibrium)：若将博弈视为重复进行，或者有大量“参与者”（如国内不同利益集团）的策略在演化，则可讨论演化稳定策略（ESS）。在演化视角下，策略会根据相对成功度调整，中美关系的长期走向可被视为一种策略种群的进化过程：

• 演化趋于强硬：若强硬策略在短期博弈中胜出（例如一方强硬往往能在谈判中获取更多，让步的反而被迫吃亏），那么随着时间推移，双方可能都会倾向强硬，最终演化出一个全面对抗的稳定状态。这类似于“鹰鸽博弈”中如果资源价值高且斗争成本可承受，鹰（强硬）策略会成为演化稳定策略。当前中美许多领域有朝着“鹰派占主导”的方向，例如双方国内的民族主义与强硬立场在近年不断强化，使得让步空间缩小。

• 混合均衡：也可能出现混合策略或周期。例如在重复博弈中，双方可能尝试间歇性合作（小幅让步）以试探，然后若对方被视为背信则迅速回到强硬，形成“报复—和解”交替出现的循环。这类似于“触发策略”均衡：默认合作，但一旦对方作弊就触发惩罚阶段。中美过去几年展示了一些这种特征：2019年达成阶段性协议短暂减缓冲突，随后因履约分歧又再度摩擦；2020年-2021年稍有缓和，2022年起围绕科技战又急剧恶化。每一次暂时均衡都因某种刺激被打破，然后演化进入新的冲突均衡。

• 演化稳定并不一定高效，但具有韧性。例如如果当前的部分合作-部分对抗状态在重复互动中证明比全面对抗或全面合作都“抗侵扰”，那么它就可能成为演化稳定策略组合。双方在稀土和签证上交换让步、但在关税和科技上维持对抗，或许就是一种策略组合的进化适应：既避免了极端冲突的不可承受之痛，又不让对手占尽便宜。这状态短期看或是博弈的折中均衡，可能会持续一段时间，直到新的变数出现。

4. 其他均衡概念：除了上述，值得一提的还有：

• 科尔奈-马林沃德均衡：科尔奈曾与马林沃德等研究非均衡经济，提出配给约束下的均衡等概念。在国际博弈中，可以类似地考虑约束均衡：双方由于外部环境（如全球市场、盟友压力）的约束，被迫停留在某均衡。如本次谈判有90天的临时停火协议english.kyodonews.netcsis.org，可视为一种短期约束均衡，由协议强制双方不升级冲突。

• 相关均衡 (Correlated Equilibrium)：如果存在一个可信协调机制，双方可以采取相关策略实现比纳什均衡更优的结果。例如通过国际机构调停，中美同步降低部分关税、同步解除一些出口禁令，则可避免单方面吃亏。但目前缺乏这样的信任机制（WTO等多边框架也遭削弱carnegieendowment.org），因此相关均衡难以达成。

综上可见，中美经贸谈判局势下可能存在多个均衡形态并存：静态地看，强硬对峙是经典纳什均衡；动态地看，阶段性停战是子博弈均衡的一种，但未必稳定；从更长期和结构视角看，可能形成一种长期对抗的常态均衡。

四、均衡稳定性分析

分析各均衡的稳定性（即在外部冲击或单方偏离下能否持续）对评估未来走势至关重要：

• 当前部分妥协均衡的稳定性：本次达成的交换（中国出口稀土、美国放宽签证，关税维持）可以视作一种短期纳什均衡或脆弱的相关均衡。其稳定性较弱，原因有：

• 互信水平低：双方并未解决根本分歧，仅是“各取所需”式的交换，缺乏长期约束力。正如90天贸易休战协议所示，这只是暂时停止升级english.kyodonews.netcsis.org。如果90天后新的谈判未有进展，任何一方都可能恢复强硬举措，均衡即告破裂。

• 激励不对称：美国在关税上占了便宜（55%对10%），可能倾向固守既得利益，缺乏进一步让步动力；中国则可能对这种不对称心存不满，伺机寻求重新谈判条件。一旦中国找到减轻美国关税压力的途径（比如开拓其他出口市场、或美国国内通胀迫使其降税），则中国可能强硬起来要求对等调整，否则就收紧其他合作（如稀土出口配额）。单方偏离的诱因是存在的，使得均衡并不牢固。

• 外部环境多变：地缘政治或国内政治事件都可能令一方突然改变策略（下文详述潜在冲击因素）。当前均衡缺乏“保险机制”抵御这些冲击。

有迹象表明各方也预见到其脆弱：例如美国智库评价称，此次让步只是“临时止痛”，并未消除贸易战已造成的高成本和不确定性csis.orgcsis.org。这种不确定性本身会削弱均衡的可持续性——企业和市场预期不稳，就难以建立长久合作常态。

• 全面冲突均衡的稳定性：如果中美重新陷入全面强硬对抗 (H, H)，这一均衡在某种条件下反而可能具有更高的稳定性，类似冷战时期美苏的对峙平衡：

• 相互威慑/无利可图：当双方都极大增加报复力度，使得任何单方面背离强硬（也就是单方面缓和）都会被对方视为软弱而加以利用时，那么维持对抗成为理性的选择。冷战中，美苏都认识到直接冲突风险巨大，形成了“相互确保摧毁”的核威慑均衡——没有一方有诱因先动carnegieendowment.org。在中美经贸版的冷战中，如果双方完全脱钩，各自建立独立产业链和同盟体系，那么相互依赖减少反而巩固了敌对均衡，因为少有经济动力去打破僵局。

• 国内政治锁定：强硬对抗一旦成为双方国内政治的基础，共识就会固化。例如冷战时期美国社会有跨党共识遏制苏联carnegieendowment.org。目前美国两党对华强硬在一定程度上趋于一致，将中国定位为主要战略竞争者；中国国内民族主义高涨，对美警惕心理强烈。如果这种政治氛围继续强化，领导人反而不敢轻易缓和，长期对峙就成为稳定政策。

• 然而，需要指出全面冲突均衡虽然稳定，但代价高昂而缺乏弹性。一旦出现如经济衰退、盟友变动等压力，其中一方可能难以承受（正如苏联经济最终不堪军备竞赛而崩溃，冷战均衡才终结）。因此静态稳定未必等于动态持久。当前中美离完全脱钩尚有距离，且全球化背景下，全面冲突会遭多方掣肘（盟国、企业利益等），因此真要达到冷战式的稳态并不容易。

• 双边合作均衡的稳定性：如果假设理想情况下双方实现了全面合作 (C, C)，这在博弈上不是自行稳定的，需要可信承诺等机制支撑。稳定合作往往依赖重复博弈阴影（即长期利益）、透明度和执行监督。中美过去曾有紧密经贸合作的阶段（例如中国加入WTO后两国贸易高速增长时期），但近年来这种合作均衡被打破，说明过去的制度化信任不足以约束背叛（比如美国指责中国未履行知识产权保护承诺，中国指责美国滥用贸易制裁）。要恢复稳定合作，除非有新的协议架构和信任重建，否则仍会因为单方追求短期利益而被破坏。短期看，双边全面合作似乎缺乏政治现实性，因此不是目前可行的均衡态。

• “科尔奈式”均衡的稳定性：如果中美进入一种长期非完全合作的常态（亦即部分对抗被体制内化的状态），这种局势可能具有相当持久性。历史上冷战就是典型例子：美苏长期在**“既不开战也不言和”**的紧张和平中相处数十年。其稳定原因包括：

• 结构性分隔：两大阵营经济、政治体系几乎隔绝，交往极少，因而缺少突发变数。若中美今后在经贸科技上大幅减少往来，各自主导不同供应链和技术标准，那么双方互动机会下降，冲突的摩擦面也相对可控，反而容易稳定在彼此默认的势力范围和规则之内。

• 制度自适应：如前述，双方内部调整出一套应对长期对抗的机制（替代产业、军备投入、宣传策略等），就像社会主义经济适应了短缺并持续运转一样pubs.aeaweb.org。一旦适应完成，这种对抗状态反而成了“新常态”，需要剧烈外力才能改变。

• 稳定但低级：值得注意，这类均衡通常效率低下（资源错配、全球福利损失），只是因为缺少打破均衡的动力而持续。例如冷战期间，美苏在军备和代理冲突上耗费巨资，却很少合作解决全球问题，直到苏联难以为继。中美若陷入持久对峙，也会牺牲很多潜在合作收益，但可能双方都愿意承受这个代价来避免在战略上被对方占优。

综合而言，目前的短期停战均衡较脆弱，全面对抗均衡和冷战式长期均衡在特定条件下可能更稳定，但对外部环境和内部承受要求高。均衡的稳定性取决于双方偏离策略的收益差异、一致预期的形成、以及有无自我强化机制。下面进一步探讨当前局势究竟更偏向短期策略均衡，还是将演化为长期对峙。

五、短期策略博弈均衡 vs. 长期对峙态势

1. 短期策略性均衡的特征：从此次谈判看，中美彼此做出的让步都带有策略试探性质，暗示目前状态更像一种短期策略均衡而非双方关系根本转折：

• 交换的局限性：让步集中在各自迫切领域（稀土和签证）reuters.com。这些让步可以迅速兑现又可随时中止（稀土出口许可中国可再收紧，签证政策美国随政令可调）。这显示双方并未进入信任合作的新轨道，而是在交换“筹码”赢得时间。

• 关税、补贴等核心问题未触及：贸易战缘起的结构性问题（市场准入、产业补贴、知识产权、关税全面降级）几乎原封不动。症结未解，只是搁置。CSIS评价称，此次关税从极端高位略有回落（美国从145%降至30%，中国125%降至10%）csis.org，但依然“远高于福利最大化所需水平”，且很多扭曲依旧存在csis.org。双方只是踩了一脚刹车，而非掉头转向。

• 临时协议属性：双方仅同意90天停火并“进一步磋商”english.kyodonews.netcsis.org。这和以前贸易战中数次短暂停战类似（如2018年底的90天停火、2020年签署的第一阶段协议后很快因疫情和政治因素失效）。短期协议往往是策略性调整，各自缓口气、观望对方意图，并非意味着矛盾解决。

基于这些特征，我们判断当前局势更倾向于短期策略均衡：双方在承受巨大经济代价后各退一步，形成暂时平衡reuters.com，但均衡基础脆弱。类似历史上韩战停战谈判、美苏古巴导弹危机后的默契，都属于策略性均衡：降低即时冲突风险，但并未解决根本对立。

2. 向长期对峙演化的可能：尽管当前是暂时妥协，但若双方结构性矛盾无法调和，博弈可能演化出类似冷战的长期对峙：

• 经贸脱钩升级：贸易战已扩展到金融、科技、人文等领域，呈“全谱系”竞争态势moneycontrol.commoneycontrol.com。Moneycontrol等媒体形容，中美贸易战正演变为**“冷战式对抗”**，不仅经济脱钩，还涉及网络安全、军事联盟等moneycontrol.commoneycontrol.com。如果这一趋势持续，双方将逐步构建各自阵营：美国拉拢盟友“经济北约”排斥中国；中国加强与俄等国合作，并以稀土等资源为筹码巩固自身阵营。这与冷战两极阵营形成颇为相似。

• 意识形态与制度之争凸显：冷战的长期对峙不仅是地缘，也是意识形态之争。当下中美分歧部分体现在政治制度和价值观。拜登政府 framing 了“民主 vs 专制”的全球竞争，美对华警惕已上升到制度层面carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。中国则强调美国遏制是因意识形态偏见。这种叙事一旦固化，双方会更倾向零和思维，减少妥协空间，进入价值观冷战态势。从博弈论看，这使合作策略收益相对降低，背叛收益上升，从而合作均衡更难维持，对抗均衡反而被社会接受为常态。

• 技术与军备竞赛：冷战长期稳定在于双方形成军备竞赛均衡，谁也不敢贸然进攻但也不断积累武力。在中美关系中，如果经贸冲突延伸到军备和太空、网络领域，对峙可能更为牢固。例如中美都强调加强太平洋军事部署，一些事件（台海危机等）可能将经济冲突引向准军事对抗轨道carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。Carnegie报告的“新冷战场景”指出，若发生台海或地区安全危机触发双方安全观转变，中美可能进入全面冷战状态：军事上前沿部署、核武戒备提升，经济上急剧脱钩，意识形态上互视为存亡对手carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。那将是一个全方位对峙的长期均衡，很类似美苏冷战后期的态势。

3. 当前均衡演化方向评估：综上，当前的均衡更像短期策略性停战，但演化走向取决于今后若干关键因素（详见下节）。存在两种主要路径：

• 路径A：反复博弈趋向冷战长期对峙。双方在短暂停战后因结构矛盾再起冲突，且每轮冲突都加深裂痕。经济上逐步脱钩，各自牺牲短期利益换取战略安全，国内进一步敌视对方。最终形成如同冷战般“双寡头对峙”的格局，可能持续多年乃至数十年。这种状态下，博弈均衡由短期的策略算计转变为长期的制度性均衡：双方都接受对抗为常态，不再指望对方让步，策略上以稳定自身阵营和遏制对手为目标。均衡稳定性体现在：即使小的外交互动或经济往来也无法撼动整体对立，除非出现剧变（如一方国力大衰退或政权变更）。

• 路径B：竞争中寻求合作共存的均衡。这是相对乐观的演化：在几轮高强度博弈后，双方认识到零和冲突代价沉重，转而尝试建立新规则。历史上美苏在70年代达成了战略武器限制、大三角外交等，使冷战进入**“松弛对峙”均衡**（即缓和时期）carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。类似地，中美也可能探索“竞争共存”框架，例如就贸易投资制定基本准则，划定可以竞争和必须合作的领域，实现某种**“有限合作-有限对抗”的均衡**。这接近于一种演化妥协均衡：不是回到蜜月期，但也避免全面冷战。其稳定性来自双方都看到了长期对抗的不利，愿意约束部分行为以维持全球稳定。这个路径需要高层战略互信逐步恢复，以及外部压力（如全球经济衰退、共同安全威胁）促使合作。

当前看来，路径A的风险在上升。贸易战期间的一些数据和行动表明新冷战苗头：贸易和投资下降但尚未彻底断绝，双方都有顾虑。carnegieendowment.org指出截至2022年中美贸易额仍创新高，说明相互依存仍在，这可能为路径B提供基础——经济纽带让完全对抗变得不利于双方，从而激励寻找折中均衡carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。然而，如果未来政治上完全被安全考虑压倒经济理性，路径A将更可能出现。

六、均衡破裂或维持的影响因素

无论当前均衡持续时间长短，外部冲击和内在变化都可能使局势跳转到新的均衡态。以下因素值得关注：

• 战略资源与技术依赖格局：中美相互依赖是“双刃剑”。例如稀土领域中国占全球产量70%english.kyodonews.net、加工90%axios.com，美国高科技和军工离不开稀土，因此中国有巨大杠杆。但美国正投入建立国内稀土供应链axios.com、寻求他国供应。如果几年内美国显著降低对中稀土依赖，中国失去这一筹码，均衡将倾向美国更强硬（中国难以通过断供威胁迫使美让步）。反之，在半导体等关键技术上，美国优势大，但中国也在追赶自给。一旦中国突破美国制约实现某些技术自主，或找到替代供应（如从第三国购买被禁技术），美国的制裁杠杆效力下降，可能促使其重新考虑策略。这些供需格局变化会打破原有利益平衡，引发新一轮策略调整。

• 经济承受能力：博弈均衡能否持续，一定程度取决于双方经济耐力。如果一方经济出现严重问题而将部分归因于对抗（例如美国因关税引发高通胀、就业受损，或中国因脱钩导致增长放缓过度），国内压力会推动政策转向合作以缓解经济困难csis.orgcsis.org。当前迹象：美国承受高关税引起的物价上升压力，中国也面临出口下滑和资本外流压力。谁更先难以为继，谁就可能先寻求突破均衡。同时，如果某方经济逆势壮大，可能反而更有底气长期对抗。例如有观点称贸易战令美国每年损失GDP约$3000亿csis.org，长远看这是不可持续的税收。类似冷战中苏联经济崩溃最终迫使其改变路线，中美对峙也存在经济极限约束。

• 国内政治与领导人更替：政治周期往往带来策略变化。例如2024美国大选、2027中国领导换届等都可能改变博弈基调。如果美国出现一位倾向缓和对华的总统（或相反更强硬的），政策将剧烈调整，均衡重新塑造。目前特朗普（或持其路线者）再掌权的可能性存在，而特朗普政府对华态度更为强硬、善用极限施压bloomberg.com。果真如此，当前脆弱均衡可能迅速崩塌，重回高压对抗。而若出现类似70年代尼克松式的人物寻求“连接”，也许会推动进入合作均衡窗口期。中国方面，国内政治对美态度近年来强硬是共识，但若经济下行压力迫使政策层调整优先级，也许会释放缓和信号。政策转向窗口往往在领导人第一任期初或重大会议后，需关注这些契机。

• 盟友和国际环境：中美博弈并非孤立，其他大国和国际组织的行为是重要外部变量。

• 美国盟友：如果美国成功拉起对华“统一战线”，对中国进行经济围堵，中国孤立无援下可能被迫进一步强硬反抗或加速自力更生，走向长期对峙。但若盟友出现分化（如欧盟不愿选边、继续和华贸易），美国对华极端施压难奏效，反而可能促使美国调整策略carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。目前欧盟、日本等既跟随美国限制对华部分技术，又希望保持贸易利益，这种摇摆也在影响均衡稳定。

• 第三方冲突：若发生其他突发危机（朝鲜半岛、南海冲突等）需要中美合作应对，可能临时搁置对抗形成共同利益，比如气候变化、全球金融危机等领域，也可能暂时偏移均衡。相反，如果第三方事件加剧对抗（如中俄关系紧密引发新集团对抗西方），均衡将更对立。台海无疑是最大变数，一旦失控几乎必然终结当前任何经济均衡，中美进入全面军事冷战甚至热战状态carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。

• 历史认知和心理因素：冷战经验表明，误判风险和敌意螺旋会固化冲突均衡。当前中美均试图从历史中找参照——美国部分政界认为对华“绥靖”曾失败，应强硬；中国则强调近代受欺辱史，不再退让carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。这些心理因素会影响策略选择，使让步更难。因此除非认知上出现转变（例如双方精英达成“再斗下去两败俱伤”的共识），否则心理上的安全困境会不断加强对抗均衡的稳定性。

总结：影响均衡演变的因素纷繁，但可以概括为：“硬”因素（经济、技术、军事实力和依赖格局变化）决定了对抗的物质可持续性，而**“软”因素**（政治意愿、认知、外交环境）决定了双方有没有契机跳出现有均衡。当前许多因素似乎在朝不利于长期合作的方向发展（技术脱钩、政治强硬化），这增加了短期均衡破裂的概率和长期对峙的可能性。然而，也存在制约对抗的因素（经济全球化的残余纽带、全球挑战需要合作），这些可能在未来某些时刻迫使双方重新评估战略。

七、未来可能的演化路径

结合上述分析，展望中美博弈的未来，有几条主要演化路径和对应均衡可供假设：

• 路径1：重复博弈陷入“新冷战” – 均衡形态：全面对抗的长期均衡\ 在此场景中，中美经过短暂休战后矛盾再度激化，每一次冲突都扩大范围，直至双方基本断绝高科技往来、贸易大幅减少，形成两个相对独立的经济技术体系，军事上进入持续高戒备状态。正如Carnegie报告描绘的“新（偶有热战）的冷战”场景：安全危机触发双方把彼此视为生存性对手，意识形态和安全竞争凌驾一切carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。在这种格局下：

• 经贸博弈退居次要，成为总体战略对抗的一部分。关税等问题可能永远谈不拢，反而双方都实行近乎敌对的经贸政策（禁运、投资审查、制裁）。

• 均衡稳定性高：双方国内都完成了对长期对抗的动员，社会“习惯”了没有对方的世界，各自的联盟体系提供支持。任何一方单独妥协都会被内部视为投降而不可接受。此时博弈均衡由政治-军事逻辑决定，经济利益让位于安全利益。

• 风险：这种均衡虽然稳定，却存在高风险的吸引域——任何局部事件都可能因为缺少缓冲而滑向直接冲突（如冷战时期多次危机那样）。它也将严重冲击全球经济和多边体系，让世界进入新分裂时期【28†L133-142】。

• 路径2：有限缓和与竞争共存 – 均衡形态：部分合作的动态均衡\ 另一条路径是双方在几番摩擦后痛感代价，选择建立某种“竞合框架”。这类似于美苏在1970年代缓和时期达成的默契：虽然仍竞争，但在军控、贸易上有所协议，避免了更危险的对抗carnegieendowment.org。应用到中美，则可能出现：

• 签订新贸易协定：范围超越2020年第一阶段协议，可能涉及逐步降低关税、规则竞争中建立仲裁机制等，使贸易战有“停战线”。

• 科技隔阂设置护栏：如定义哪些技术可以合作、哪些严格竞争，并避免极端措施（比如对民用科技保持一定交流）。

• 地缘热点管理：双方军方高层保持沟通，防止误判，类似冷战后的危险热线机制。这降低擦枪走火概率，也为经贸关系提供稳定外围环境。

• 均衡特征：这种均衡并非“友好合作”，而更像**“竞争性共存”。双方依然视对方为主要竞争者，但承认对方利益**，不试图彻底削弱对方，而是寻求长期共存之道。其稳定性中等，取决于领导人意志和制度化程度。如有强有力且持续的对话渠道、协议执行监督，则可较长时间维持；但如果遇到大的国际事件或国内政治变化，关系可能再次滑向对抗。

• 路径3：卷入热战或严重冲突 – 均衡破裂，激烈对抗后再重组\ 不能排除最坏情况：均衡被打破引发失控冲突，例如因台湾问题或南海冲突中美发生直接军事对抗。那将不是博弈均衡内的演化，而是均衡本身的崩溃，后果难以估量。大战之后新的均衡可能在战胜-战败格局上重建，但这已超出本文经贸博弈讨论范围。不过需要指出，持续敌对的均衡往往孕育热战危险carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org；避免这一结局本身是各方应努力的目标。

当前迹象显示，路径1的新冷战倾向在一些领域浮现（高度脱钩、阵营对立）moneycontrol.commoneycontrol.com；路径2的有限缓和尚未看到明确契机，但并非没有基础（双方经贸仍有巨大共同利益carnegieendowment.org，金融市场、人才流动也难以一夕切断）。未来数年内，一些重要节点（如美国换届、中国经济策略调整等）将是走向路径2或滑向路径1的关键转折。

八、结论

综上分析，2025年中美谈判达成的有限妥协可被解读为中美经贸博弈中的一个短期策略均衡。双方通过各让一步，实现了一次互利但脆弱的平衡。然而，从博弈论视角看，这一均衡并非纳什稳态：双方均有诱因或压力偏离当前策略，且均衡缺乏强有力的自我稳定机制。事实上，正如有分析指出的，此次协议“几乎没有长期解决纷争的迹象”reuters.com，更像是为缓解彼此立即痛苦而达成的临时停战csis.org。

未来的走向很大程度上取决于双方如何应对结构性矛盾：是任由矛盾积累，将博弈推向类似冷战的长期对峙均衡，抑或痛定思痛，在竞争中寻求新的合作共处均衡。冷战的历史教训表明，即使长期对峙均衡一度稳定，最终也会因为不可持续的内耗而瓦解。因此，对中美双方而言，短期策略博弈或许有利于各自战术利益，但从长期理性出发，探索比冷战式对峙更稳定且成本更低的均衡（例如有限竞争+合作领域并存的模式）才符合两国和全球利益。

当然，博弈均衡并非静止，而是会随环境演化。技术进步、经济变化、国际局势、新冠疫情等冲击都可能改变 payoff 结构，从而改变博弈的均衡点。在不确定性加剧的时代，中美关系的博弈更需要双方拿出智慧，避免陷入“囚徒困境”式的次优均衡。正如经典博弈论所示，当重复博弈次数足够长、参与者足够理性时，合作并非不可实现。希望中美双方在经历几轮高强度博弈后，能够识别出新的合作机会窗口，打破目前这一“不稳定均衡”，避免新的冷战长期对峙成为不可逆的自我实现预言carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。

参考文献：

• Reuters报道，2025年6月11日，《特朗普称中国将供应稀土，美国将允许中国学生入学》reuters.comreuters.com。

• Axios报道，2025年6月4日，《中美贸易争端中的稀土问题》axios.comaxios.com。

• Medium平台分析文章，Laurel W. (2023)《关税博弈的博弈论解析》medium.commedium.com。

• Kyodo News共同社，2025年6月10日，《中美高层贸易会谈聚焦稀土》（英文版）english.kyodonews.netenglish.kyodonews.net。

• CSIS评论，Philip Luck, 2025年5月13日, 《理解中美贸易战的暂时缓和》csis.orgcsis.org。

• Moneycontrol新闻，2025年4月22日, 《美中贸易战加深，走向冷战式对峙》moneycontrol.commoneycontrol.com。

• Carnegie Endowment报告, Evan Medeiros等, 2024年10月, 《2030年代的中美关系：共存情景》carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。

• Carnegie Endowment报告, Stephen Walt等, 2024年10月, 对中美关系的理论视角分析carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。

• Kornai理论参考：Michael Ellman, 1990, 《The Disequilibrium School and the Shortage Economy》摘要pubs.aeaweb.org（说明体制性短缺状态的自我维持）。

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

The Trump’s American Bitcoin Merges with Gryphon, Reports 215 BTC on Balance Sheet Since Launch

American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC), a newly formed private Bitcoin mining company backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., announced in a June 10 SEC filing that it has acquired 215 Bitcoin (BTC) since launching operations on April 1, 2025. The reserve is currently valued at approximately $23 million, showing their drive and commitment to Bitcoin. 

JUST IN: American Bitcoin Corp (private) reports to have 215 #bitcoin (per 31 May) since it's launch on April 1, 2025.

They will merge with Gryphon Digital $GRYP and become public under ticker $ABTC.

They mention "Bitcoin accumulation is not a side effect of ABTC’s business.… pic.twitter.com/wq1Uxr76Z2

— NLNico (@btcNLNico) June 10, 2025

“Bitcoin accumulation is not a side effect of ABTC’s business. It is the business,” the company stated in the filing.

Furthermore, ABTC has entered into a merger agreement with Gryphon Digital Mining ($GRYP), and the combined company is expected to begin public trading under the ticker $ABTC as early as Q3 2025. 

The company’s three-layer strategic plan—outlined in the SEC disclosure—details a focused approach:

Layer 1: Build the Engine

• ABTC’s foundation is built on “producing Bitcoin below-market cost through a capital efficient, infrastructure-light operating model.” The company owns and operates over 60,000 miners from Bitmain and MicroBt, running primarily on Hut 8-managed facilities.

Layer 2: Scale the Reserve

• ABTC had “accumulated approximately 215 Bitcoin in reserve since launching on April 1, 2025,” which it considers a long-term strategic asset. The firm states its goal is “to utilize public markets and strategic financing structures to access efficient capital and leverage that capital to increase its Bitcoin in reserve per share.”

Layer 3: Lead the Ecosystem 

• The company ultimately aims to use its operational scale and mining position to drive industry-wide adoption. “ABTC may pursue opportunities to support protocol development, enhance network infrastructure and contribute to Bitcoin’s resilience and adoption in ways that align with shareholder value creation.”

For mining rewards, ABTC uses Foundry and Luxor pools with sub-1% fees and relies on Coinbase Custody for secure cold storage, featuring multi-factor authentication and strict withdrawal protocols. 

With operations across Niagara Falls, NY; Medicine Hat, AB; and Orla, TX, ABTC is leveraging strategic partnerships—primarily with Hut 8—to scale its Bitcoin holdings while influencing the broader crypto mining ecosystem.

This post The Trump’s American Bitcoin Merges with Gryphon, Reports 215 BTC on Balance Sheet Since Launch first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

@ ea39b0da:29a1710d

{"id":"note_1749707164743_1p9kggl3a","title":"Items in the checklist","content":"","color":"#d7aefb","tags":["shopping list"],"sharedWith":[],"updatedAt":1749707523489,"version":3,"versions":[{"content":"","title":"Items in the checklist","color":"#fff475","tags":["shopping list"],"sharedWith":[],"updatedAt":1749707164743,"version":1,"checkboxes":[{"id":"checkbox_1749707132850_r8jodz10f","text":"Item 1","checked":false},{"id":"checkbox_1749707137094_wwiespbf4","text":"Item 2","checked":false},{"id":"checkbox_1749707141159_67peohjkk","text":"Item 3","checked":false},{"id":"checkbox_1749707146781_g8wuw0v43","text":"Item 4","checked":false}],"images":[]},{"content":"","title":"Items in the checklist","color":"#d7aefb","tags":["shopping list"],"sharedWith":[],"updatedAt":1749707185004,"version":2,"checkboxes":[{"id":"checkbox_1749707132850_r8jodz10f","text":"Item 1","checked":false},{"id":"checkbox_1749707137094_wwiespbf4","text":"Item 2","checked":false},{"id":"checkbox_1749707141159_67peohjkk","text":"Item 3","checked":false},{"id":"checkbox_1749707146781_g8wuw0v43","text":"Item 4","checked":false}],"images":[]}],"checkboxes":[{"id":"checkbox_1749707132850_r8jodz10f","text":"Item 1","checked":false},{"id":"checkbox_1749707137094_wwiespbf4","text":"Item 2","checked":false},{"id":"checkbox_1749707141159_67peohjkk","text":"Item 3","checked":false},{"id":"checkbox_1749707146781_g8wuw0v43","text":"Item 4","checked":false}],"images":[]}

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

The CLARITY Act Heads To House Floor For Vote With Protection For Noncustodial Tools Intact

Yesterday, the CLARITY Act passed favorably through the House Agriculture and Financial Services Committees with 47-6 and 32-19 bipartisan votes, respectively.

While a handful of amendments will be incorporated into a revised version of the bill, none of said amendments will alter a recently-added section of the bill that regards noncustodial products and services.

To clarify, on Monday, language from the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA) was added to the CLARITY Act.

If you do not custody consumer funds, you aren’t a money transmitter. Plain and simple.

Our nonpartisan Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, which codifies this simple concept, has been added to the CLARITY Act!

Grateful to @RepFrenchHill, @RepBryanSteil and @RepRitchie for… https://t.co/QmPdgUGSwo

— Tom Emmer (@GOPMajorityWhip) June 9, 2025

This language, included in Section 110 of the CLARITY Act, is focused on non-controlling (noncustodial) blockchain developers and blockchain service providers.

The exact wording in the bill is as follows: “A non-controlling blockchain developer or provider of a blockchain service shall not be treated as a money transmitter or as engaged in ‘money transmitting,’ or, following the date of enactment of this Act, be otherwise subject to any new registration requirement that is substantially similar to the requirement that currently applies to money transmitters.”

It was particularly important that this segment of the bill not be altered because, with this language included, the bill protects not only Bitcoin and crypto enthusiasts’ right to use noncustodial wallets, but the right of developers to continue to create such products and services without being subject to money-transmission laws as per the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA).

“Section 110 doesn’t just clarify that non-custodial devs aren’t captured by the BSA, but also forbids future laws and regulations (e.g. DAAMLA) that would modify or supersede the BSA to treat non-custodial actors as money transmitters or similar,” wrote Zack Shapiro, Head of Policy at the Bitcoin Policy Institute, in an X post. “If this passes, that means that anti-crypto zealots like Sen. Warren would first have to repeal [or] modify this bill before passing additional rules that would impinge on self-custody.”

This issue over whether noncustodial Bitcoin and crypto service providers is relevant as the Samourai Wallet and Tornado Cash developers prepare to face trial.

It’s also generally important in preserving the right of U.S. citizens to use digital assets privately.

Chairman of the House Subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology, and Artificial Intelligence, Rep. Bryan Steil (R-WI) commented on Americas’ right to transactional privacy in the hearing.

“Privacy in and of itself is not illegal.

Americans have a right to it in their financial transactions.

And so there’s totally legitimate uses of privacy-preserving technologies.” @RepBryanSteil pic.twitter.com/nHPfa25UVr

— Frank Corva (@frankcorva) June 10, 2025

To learn more about how to contact your elected officials to tell them to support The CLARITY Act, visit saveourwallets.org.

This post The CLARITY Act Heads To House Floor For Vote With Protection For Noncustodial Tools Intact first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Frank Corva.

@ 2b998b04:86727e47

🌋 Ka ʻImi i ka Pono: Seeking What’s Right

A 7-Day Series on Sovereignty, Bitcoin, and the Soul of the Islands

> "Man is not free unless he wills to be free."\ > — Johann Gottlieb Fichte

Hawai‘i understands sovereignty. It always has.\ But it was taken — first with pen and politics, then with force and fiat.

Bitcoin offers something different:\ A way to reclaim sovereignty without violence.\ A tool for self-rule, not state rule.\ A system built not on empire, but on truth and time.

This week, I’ll be posting a 7-part series exploring this tension:\ Between the Hawai‘i that was, the system that is, and the future that might be — if we choose to build on bedrock instead of paper.

I don’t know if there’s a traditional Hawaiian word for a 7-day week — maybe there doesn’t need to be.\ Time moves differently on these islands.\ But for the next 7 days, I’ll mark each reflection as a kind of modern lā hoʻomanaʻo — a day of remembering, reckoning, and restoring.

This is personal. It’s philosophical. It’s also unfinished.

But that’s what sovereignty looks like:\ Not something given — something reclaimed.

Stay tuned. Stay akamai.\ 🟧\ — Andrew G. Stanton (aka akamaister)

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

I am here too\ In the same space like you

In the same situation I'm in\ It's a matter of positioning

I cannot leave this place I'm in\ It was brought about\ By what's been happening

So please don't look at me\ For what I can or cannot do for you\ But look at what is happening for me\ And what is happening for you

Let's communicate\ Not orchestrate

Because there's something I wish to do\ And there's a place I wish to go to

And I'm sure that there is too\ In your heart a fire\ Known by only you

So let us listen, look and see\ For what's true for you\ And what's true for me

That we may act upon what's here\ In order for us both to take a step\ In the direction we wish to steer

@ 79be667e:16f81798

I am here too\ In the same space like you

In the same situation I'm in\ It's a matter of positioning

I cannot leave this place I'm in\ It was brought about\ By what's been happening

So please don't look at me\ For what I can or cannot do for you\ But look at what is happening for me\ And what is happening for you

Let's communicate\ Not orchestrate

Because there's something I wish to do\ And there's a place I wish to go to

And I'm sure that there is too\ In your heart a fire\ Known by only you

So let us listen, look and see\ For what's true for you\ And what's true for me

That we may act upon what's here\ In order for us both to take a step\ In the direction we wish to steer

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Officially Traded Above $100,000 For 30 Consecutive Days For The First Time

Bitcoin has officially completed 30 consecutive days trading above the $100,000 mark, marking a historic milestone in its 15 year journey. Bitcoin achieved its all time high (ATH) of $111,980 on May 22, almost hitting $112,000.

JUST IN: Bitcoin has stayed above $100,000 for 30 consecutive days for the first time ever! pic.twitter.com/nfccEK3Wf0

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 10, 2025

In the last 30 days, Bitcoin saw a 10 percent pullback right after reaching its ATH, dropping to $100,428. However, it wasn’t for long, as Bitcoin is back at $109,511 at the time of writing. Momentum appears to be building once again, signaling to be bullish.

“Anytime price is able to punch through a major resistance level, whether psychological or historical, and successfully hold, it is certainly a bullish sign,” said the technical analyst of Wolfe Research Read Harvey. “What really stood out to us was price’s ability to hold that level on the back test, when it briefly fell to $100,000 on Thursday. It also happened to align perfectly with the 50-day moving average. … We feel this should act as a launching pad back towards the recent highs of $112,000.”

In the past month, Bitcoin has surged into the financial and political mainstream. Several U.S. states including New Hampshire first, followed by Arizona, and then Texas have passed legislation recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. These laws reflect a growing trend of state level interest in using Bitcoin as a financial hedge and as part of long term fiscal policy.

“New Hampshire didn’t just pass a bill; it sparked a movement,” stated the CEO and Co-Founder of Satoshi Action Dennis Porter.

At the same time, financial institutions are rapidly expanding their Bitcoin offerings. JP Morgan has started providing loans backed by Bitcoin ETFs as collateral. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF has entered a period of intense activity, generating record trading volumes and capturing the attention of both retail and institutional investors.

To date, a total of 228 public and private entities have Bitcoin in their balance sheets and in the last 30 days, companies like GameStop, Know Labs, and Norway-based NBX have added Bitcoin as a strategic reserve. All these companies are treating Bitcoin not just as a speculative asset, but as a key part of their long term financial plans. This growing corporate trend follows the example set by Strategy, but it’s now happening on a much larger scale.

At the 2025 Bitcoin conference, the Vice President of the United States of America, JD Vance said in his speech, “Fifty million Americans own Bitcoin. I think it’s gonna be 100 million before too long.”

This post Bitcoin Officially Traded Above $100,000 For 30 Consecutive Days For The First Time first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.

@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3

I pretty much did worse across the board today.

How'd you do today, stackers?

https://stacker.news/items/1004030

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

The Trump’s American Bitcoin Merges with Gryphon, Reports 215 BTC on Balance Sheet Since Launch

American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC), a newly formed private Bitcoin mining company backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., announced in a June 10 SEC filing that it has acquired 215 Bitcoin (BTC) since launching operations on April 1, 2025. The reserve is currently valued at approximately $23 million, showing their drive and commitment to Bitcoin. 

JUST IN: American Bitcoin Corp (private) reports to have 215 #bitcoin (per 31 May) since it's launch on April 1, 2025.

They will merge with Gryphon Digital $GRYP and become public under ticker $ABTC.

They mention "Bitcoin accumulation is not a side effect of ABTC’s business.… pic.twitter.com/wq1Uxr76Z2

— NLNico (@btcNLNico) June 10, 2025

“Bitcoin accumulation is not a side effect of ABTC’s business. It is the business,” the company stated in the filing.

Furthermore, ABTC has entered into a merger agreement with Gryphon Digital Mining ($GRYP), and the combined company is expected to begin public trading under the ticker $ABTC as early as Q3 2025. 

The company’s three-layer strategic plan—outlined in the SEC disclosure—details a focused approach:

Layer 1: Build the Engine

• ABTC’s foundation is built on “producing Bitcoin below-market cost through a capital efficient, infrastructure-light operating model.” The company owns and operates over 60,000 miners from Bitmain and MicroBt, running primarily on Hut 8-managed facilities.

Layer 2: Scale the Reserve

• ABTC had “accumulated approximately 215 Bitcoin in reserve since launching on April 1, 2025,” which it considers a long-term strategic asset. The firm states its goal is “to utilize public markets and strategic financing structures to access efficient capital and leverage that capital to increase its Bitcoin in reserve per share.”

Layer 3: Lead the Ecosystem 

• The company ultimately aims to use its operational scale and mining position to drive industry-wide adoption. “ABTC may pursue opportunities to support protocol development, enhance network infrastructure and contribute to Bitcoin’s resilience and adoption in ways that align with shareholder value creation.”

For mining rewards, ABTC uses Foundry and Luxor pools with sub-1% fees and relies on Coinbase Custody for secure cold storage, featuring multi-factor authentication and strict withdrawal protocols. 

With operations across Niagara Falls, NY; Medicine Hat, AB; and Orla, TX, ABTC is leveraging strategic partnerships—primarily with Hut 8—to scale its Bitcoin holdings while influencing the broader crypto mining ecosystem.

This post The Trump’s American Bitcoin Merges with Gryphon, Reports 215 BTC on Balance Sheet Since Launch first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

This update brings key enhancements for clarity and usability:

• Recent Blocks View: Added to the Send tab and inspired by Mempool's visualization, it displays the last 2 blocks and the estimated next block to help choose fee rates.
• Camera System Overhaul: Features a new library for higher resolution detection and mouse-scroll zoom support when available.
• Vector-Based Images: All app images are now vectorized and theme-aware, enhancing contrast, especially in dark mode.
• Tor & P2A Updates: Upgraded internal Tor and improved support for pay-to-anchor (P2A) outputs.
• Linux Package Rename: For Linux users, Sparrow has been renamed to sparrowwallet (or sparrowserver); in some cases, the original sparrow package may need manual removal.
• Additional updates include showing total payments in multi-payment transaction diagrams, better handling of long labels, and other UI enhancements.

• Sparrow v2.2.1 is a bug fix release that addresses missing UUID issue when starting Tor on recent macOS versions, icons for external sources in Settings and Recent Blocks view, repackaged .deb installs to use older gzip instead of zstd compression, and removed display of median fee rate where fee rates source is set to Server.

Learn how to get started with Sparrow wallet:

Release notes (v2.2.0)

• Added Recent Blocks view to Send tab.
• Converted all bitmapped images to theme aware SVG format for all wallet models and dialogs.
• Support send and display of pay to anchor (P2A) outputs.
• Renamed sparrow package to sparrowwallet and sparrowserver on Linux.
• Switched camera library to openpnp-capture.
• Support FHD (1920 x 1080) and UHD4k (3840 x 2160) capture resolutions.
• Support camera zoom with mouse scroll where possible.
• In the Download Verifier, prefer verifying the dropped file over the default file where the file is not in the manifest.
• Show a warning (with an option to disable the check) when importing a wallet with a derivation path matching another script type.
• In Cormorant, avoid calling the listwalletdir RPC on initialization due to a potentially slow response on Windows.
• Avoid server address resolution for public servers.
• Assume server address is non local for resolution failures where a proxy is configured.
• Added a tooltip to indicate truncated labels in table cells.
• Dynamically truncate input and output labels in the tree on a transaction tab, and add tooltips if necessary.
• Improved tooltips for wallet tabs and transaction diagrams with long labels.
• Show the address where available on input and output tooltips in transaction tab tree.
• Show the total amount sent in payments in the transaction diagram when constructing multiple payment transactions.
• Reset preferred table column widths on adjustment to improve handling after window resizing.
• Added accessible text to improve screen reader navigation on seed entry.
• Made Wallet Summary table grow horizontally with dialog sizing.
• Reduced tooltip show delay to 200ms.
• Show transaction diagram fee percentage as less than 0.01% rather than 0.00%.
• Optimized and reduced Electrum server RPC calls.
• Upgraded Bouncy Castle, PGPainless and Logback libraries.
• Upgraded internal Tor to v0.4.8.16.
• Bug fix: Fixed issue with random ordering of keystore origins on labels import.
• Bug fix: Fixed non-zero account script type detection when signing a message on Trezor devices.
• Bug fix: Fixed issue parsing remote Coldcard xpub encoded on a different network.
• Bug fix: Fixed inclusion of fees on wallet label exports.
• Bug fix: Increase Trezor device libusb timeout.

Linux users: Note that the sparrow package has been renamed to sparrowwallet or sparrowserver, and in some cases you may need to manually uninstall the original sparrow package. Look in the /opt folder to ensure you have the new name, and the original is removed.

What's new in v2.2.1

• Updated Tor library to fix missing UUID issue when starting Tor on recent macOS versions.
• Repackaged .deb installs to use older gzip instead of zstd compression.
• Removed display of median fee rate where fee rates source is set to Server.
• Added icons for external sources in Settings and Recent Blocks view
• Bug fix: Fixed issue in Recent Blocks view when switching fee rates source
• Bug fix: Fixed NPE on null fee returned from server

Announcement / Archive
GitHub Repo

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Kan jij zien, er is geen hemel\ Probeer het zelf, dan lukt het wel\ Geen hel staat ons te wachten\ Enkel sterren hangen ons boven het hoofd\ Kan jij zien, iedereen leeft voor dit moment

Kan jij zien, er zijn geen landen\ Het is niet moeilijk gewoon land te zien\ Niets om voor te moorden of te sterven\ Ook geloof wordt niet gezien\ Kan jij zien, het leven wordt geleefd door iedereen in vrede

Misschien zeg je, ik kijk niet naar jouw wereld\ Maar ik deel dit zicht met velen\ Moge ook jij zoals ons zien\ Wij kijken in de wereld en zien gewoon onszelf

Kan jij zien, er is geen bezit\ Ik vraag me af of jij dit kan\ Geen hebben of een nood\ In een samen-leving van mensen\ Kan jij zien, wij delen de wereld met elkaar

Misschien zeg je, ik kijk niet naar jouw wereld\ Maar ik deel dit zicht met velen\ Moge ook jij zoals ons zien\ Wij kijken in de wereld en zien gewoon onszelf

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

Hosted at the iconic Palace of Culture and Science—a prominent symbol of the communist era—the Bitcoin FilmFest offers a vibrant celebration of film through the lens of bitcoin. The venue itself provides a striking contrast to the festival’s focus, highlighting bitcoin’s core identity as a currency embodying independence from traditional financial and political systems.

𝐅𝐢𝐱𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐩𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐮𝐥 𝐦𝐮𝐬𝐢𝐜 𝐯𝐢𝐛𝐞𝐬.
Warsaw, Day Zero at #BFF25 (European Bitcoin Pizza Day) with @roger__9000, MadMunky and the @2140_wtf squad pic.twitter.com/9ogVvWRReA

— Bitcoin FilmFest (@bitcoinfilmfest) May 28, 2025

This venue represents an era when the state tightly controlled the economy and financial systems. The juxtaposition of this historical site with an event dedicated to bitcoin is striking and thought-provoking.

The event features a diverse array of activities, including engaging panel discussions, screenings of both feature-length and short films, workshops and lively parties. Each component designed to explore the multifaceted world of bitcoin and its implications for society, offering attendees a blend of entertainment and education.

The films showcase innovative narratives and insights into bitcoin’s landscape, while the panels facilitate thought-provoking discussions among industry experts and filmmakers.

Networking is a significant aspect of the festival, with an exceptionally open and friendly atmosphere that foster connections among participants. Participants from all over Europe gather to engage with like-minded individuals who share a passion for BTC and its implications for the future.

The open exchanges of ideas foster a sense of community, allowing attendees to forge new connections, collaborate on projects, and discuss the potential of blockchain technology implemented in bitcoin.

The organization of the festival is extraordinary, ensuring a smooth flow of information and an expertly structured schedule filled from morning until evening. Attendees appreciate the meticulous planning that allowed them to maximize their experience. Additionally, thoughtful touches such as gifts from sponsors and well-chosen locations for various events contribute to the overall positive atmosphere of the festival.

Overall, the Bitcoin FilmFest not only highlights the artistic expression surrounding bitcoin but also serves as a vital platform for dialogue—about financial freedom, the future of money, and individual sovereignty in a shifting world.

The event successfully bridges the gap between a historical symbol of control and a movement that celebrates freedom, innovation, and collaboration in the digital age, highlighting the importance of independence in financial systems while fostering a collaborative environment for innovation and growth.

Next year’s event is slated for June 5-7 2026. For further updates check: https://bitcoinfilmfest.com/

@ 79be667e:16f81798

De laatste zonnestralen van de dag streken over de eeuwige golven en weerkaatsten als lichtpuntjes in de ogen van schipper Joris terwijl hij nog een slok nam van zijn glazen fles die de vorm had van het hoofd van een oude monnik.

Gekregen van een oude vrouw uit de bergen van de Himalaya, zorgde de rum genaamd 'Old Monk' voor een verwarmend gezelschap op deze eenzame kerstnacht.

Joris had met zijn boot naar India gevaren nadat zijn vrouw hem had verlaten en hij een Indiër had ontmoet die had gezegd: "Waar ik vandaan kom, zijn vrouwen vrij en worden ze niet gezien als enkel en alleen de mooie lichamen die zij bezitten of als eeuwig bezit van een gezin."

Verward en ongelovig had Joris gekeken naar de wereld en besefte dat vrouwen inderdaad slechts gezien werden als hun fysieke schoonheid, genegeerd werden voor hun koesterende gevoeligheid en bekritiseerd werden door hun spontane intensheid en had hierop voor twee jaar lang gezocht in India naar deze vrije vrouwen met als enig resultaat een oude vrouw te ontmoeten die alleen in de bergen woonde en dagelijks haar wijsheid deelde met ieder luisterend oor.

Daar ging het doorzichtig monnikshoofd en verliet met een grote gebogen vlucht de hand van schipper Joris toen plots met groot kabaal de boot abrupt tot stilstand kwam en Joris hals over kop naar de andere kant van het dek geslingerd werd.

Het monnikshoofd verdween in het donker terwijl Joris zijn lichaam probeerde te lokaliseren en met zijn ogen wijd open zijn hersenen zo veel mogelijk informatie probeerde door te spelen.

Tevergeefs, want zijn enorme verschot werd gevolgd door een enkel groeiende verbazing, ongeloof en desoriëntatie toen de boot begon te kantelen.

De bundel licht, afkomstig van de mast van de boot, zwierde doorheen het donker en kwam te schijnen op een gigantische rots in het midden van de zee die werd bezeten door een oogverblindende glinstergroene schijn.

Uit het donker kwam het monnikshoofd, dat nog steeds in volle vlucht was, in het vizier van de lichtbundel en plaatste zich exact tussen de glinstergroene verschijning en Joris waarbij Joris doorheen het monnikshoofd gezegend werd met het zicht op een pracht van een zeemeermin die uitnodigend poseerde op de rots.

Met een luide plons viel Joris achterover in het water toen hij zich realiseerde dat vrouwen zichzelf ook lieten vangen door lust en hun uiterlijke opmaakcompetities en met een dankbare glimlach zonk hij naar de bodem van de zee en was opnieuw geboren.

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Skull, $5 million; Banana, $6 million; Freedom, Priceless

“It would have been nice to get this attention in any other context. WikiLeaks has kicked the hornet’s nest, and the swarm is headed towards us.” 

This message was posted by Satoshi Nakamoto to BitcoinTalk on December 11, 2010. A couple of months later, in February 2011, the Silk Road marketplace was launched, and only a couple months after — on April 23, 2011 — Satoshi posted his last message.

In October 2013, Ross Ulbricht was captured by the FBI and the Silk Road fell — only to be replaced by a thousand more copycat marketplace sites. The rest is Bitcoin history.

Ross Ulbricht chose to center his Bitcoin 2025 keynote speech around an experience he had clearing wasp nests in a cabin in the woods. Wearing a suit and tie, recalling growing “magic mushrooms” to kickstart activity on Silk Road, Ross held the attention of the main stage audience of over 8,000 at Bitcoin 2025 Las Vegas in the Venetian Expo. I was sitting in one of the best seats in the house: side stage with his mother Lyn and three other supporters of Ross. 

Freedom. Decentralization. Unity.

After over 4,100 days in federal custody and many months in special housing units (solitary confinement), Ross boiled it down to these three words to summarize his first message to the community.

Freedom. Decentralization. Unity.

Following a “21 ways to hack the fiat system” keynote from Michael Saylor, Ross’ three ways to move forward were refreshingly simple. 

You would have thought Ross had been speaking in front of thousands of people for years, seeing how calm and commanding he was on the Nakamoto stage.

Lyn Ulbricht called me a few days after the speech, as I was driving a U-Haul truck full of the art gallery contents across the country, including Ross’ auction items which altogether fetched well over 10 BTC for his fresh start. She mentioned that seeing Ross on that stage giving that incredible speech gave her closure for the whole experience of fighting for her son’s freedom.

I have been fortunate to get to know Lyn Ulbricht over the past few years, helping her plan for our conferences. Hearing her say that this conference gave her some closure to that awful chapter of her life was a moment I’ll never forget. She was his number one supporter during his 11 years serving a double-life sentence. She fought relentlessly to raise awareness for her son’s situation, and now she has begun a new chapter doing similar work with MACS, Mothers Against Cruel Sentencing.

MACS is a nonprofit that is effectively the continuation of the Free Ross mission. Lyn says she feels a calling from God to continue fighting for other “crypto prisoners” and people who are being unjustly punished for their crimes, a violation of the Eight Amendment of the United States Constitution.

She launched MACS at the fourth annual Women of Bitcoin Brunch at Bitcoin 2025, in front of an audience of over 300 of the most influential women at the conference. 

Later during the event, in the same room, Ross used the same stage to address a smaller crowd of supporters for his official luncheon.

This luncheon, held before his speech, is where Justin Sun famously gifted Ross “The Banana,” handing over a duct-taped, real banana in an elaborately designed white shadowbox fit to display in a museum.

I was also in the luncheon room when the banana transaction happened, as event staff. The piece, Comedian by Maurizio Cattelan, was a conceptual art statement, I explained to the two men sitting next to me. Like Ross himself at the time, these men were confused. (The original art installation, a banana duct-taped to the wall, was purchased — and eaten — by Justin Sun in November last year.) 

Knowing the significance of this banana, I assumed at the time that Justin Sun was officially giving his edition #2 of Comedian to Ross, as a $6.2 million donation. It wasn’t until my phone call with Lyn Ulbricht days later that she brought up the banana and its questionable provenance that I began to ask: Did Sun really give Ross the banana?

On this call, Lyn mentioned that they had a relative who worked at Sotheby’s, the auctioneer of Justin’s edition of Comedian. This was an obvious first step toward understanding the banana exchange.

Ross himself emailed me shortly after saying, “Lyn tells me you are looking into what happened with me and Justin Sun. Strike Force Nanner are arriving tomorrow with the box Sun gave me, so I’ll let you know if that turns up anything useful.”

And later, “My Sotheby’s connection says: Just spoke with one of the people who worked directly with the artist during the sale. To truly own the piece you have to have the document from the artist; because that is where the ‘value’ lies, they wouldn’t even share images of it for fear of someone making a counterfeit. He’s going to have a think about whether or not what you have has any value, but Justin still owns the ‘real’ banana which is probably why he’s given you vague answers. So, unless he gives me the document (certificate of authenticity), I don’t have anything that would be valued at auction (probably). Oh well.”

I assured him that I thought his banana was still very valuable. Even if this was truly just a 1/1 print of the banana. Until Sun gives Ross the COA, Ross isn’t really the owner the banana; still, a historic event occurred. Sun transferred some sort of magic-decentalized-banana-powers to Ross when he transferred that banana taped to a frame.

The mere existence of Strike Force Nanner, an armored vehicle transporting the banana to Ross, should be enough to signal the provenance transfer of something valuable.

So whether or not Sotheby’s thinks an official transaction occurred, I think Ross has a rare power to duct-tape bananas to walls now and call it something. Sun will just have to send the COA to Ross later in order to seal the peel.

Until then, I extend an open invite to Ross, as the Artist In Residence at Bitcoin Magazine, to help him make and sell prints of his print of the banana. Then maybe the banana can be even more decentralized!

Avant-garde bananas aside, the experience of Bitcoin 2025 Las Vegas was unlike any other conference that we’ve thrown, and I can say that having been a part of all six thus far. The key difference this year was Ross’ freedom.

The vibes were beyond bullish in Vegas, which usually means the top is in. But this time it really seems different.

We should pay attention when Michael Saylor gives us his 21-step cheat sheet for the infinite money glitch, and how he plans to leverage the existing financial institutions to accumulate as much bitcoin as he possibly can. This could be a regulatory trap.

We should definitely pay attention when the sitting vice president, JD Vance, tells the conference audience that they’re going to use stablecoins to strengthen the dollar, referring to the new Genius Bill. This is probably the backdoor for CBDCs.

But most importantly: After over 11 years in federal hell, we should pay attention to Ross Ulbricht as he becomes the leader that this space really needs right now.

We are the swarm now.

This post Skull, $5 million; Banana, $6 million; Freedom, Priceless first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Tommy Marcheschi.

@ 8d34bd24:414be32b

So often Christians focus on God’s love and ignore His judgment. They tell people they need to be saved, but leave out from what they need to be saved. Fifty or a hundred years ago, almost every American knew the basics of the Bible, what sin is, what the judgment of Hell is, and that the God of the Bible is our Creator. Today, most people in America and the world know very little of that. Phrases like, “Trust Jesus and be saved,” mean very little. The person you are talking to may be silently thinking, “Who is Jesus? Why should I trust Him? What do I need to be saved from?”

Most Christians, especially from Evangelical circles, have been steeped in the phrase “Be saved,” but how many have thought carefully about from what they are being saved? If we have trouble answering, “from what?”, how can we explain it to those who don’t know Jesus?

But God demonstrates His own love toward us, in that while we were yet sinners, Christ died for us. Much more then, having now been justified by His blood, we shall be saved from the wrath of God through Him. For if while we were enemies we were reconciled to God through the death of His Son, much more, having been reconciled, we shall be saved by His life. And not only this, but we also exult in God through our Lord Jesus Christ, through whom we have now received the reconciliation. (Romans 5:8-11) {emphasis mine}

Primarily we are saved “from the wrath of God.” We are also reconciled which saves us from separation from God.

We are also told that we are rescued [saved] “from the wrath to come.”

And to wait for His Son from heaven, whom He raised from the dead, that is Jesus, who rescues us from the wrath to come. (1 Thessalonians 1:10) {emphasis mine}

Then one might ask, “What right does God have to tell me what to do and to get mad at me?”

In the beginning was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God. He was in the beginning with God. All things came into being through Him, and apart from Him nothing came into being that has come into being. In Him was life, and the life was the Light of men. The Light shines in the darkness, and the darkness did not comprehend it. (John 1:1-5) {emphasis mine}

Why does God get to set the rules? Because He made all things. The Creator gets to set the rules for His creation. It isn’t just ‘might makes right,’ but the one who spoke everything into being gets to set the rules for His creatures just like He set the rules for how everything in the universe works.

Many might claim, “but surely God can’t expect us to be perfect? Nobody is perfect.”

For we do not have a high priest who cannot sympathize with our weaknesses, but One who has been tempted in all things as we are, yet without sin. Therefore let us draw near with confidence to the throne of grace, so that we may receive mercy and find grace to help in time of need. (Hebrews 4:15-16) {emphasis mine}

Jesus doesn’t expect more than He has given. He went through every temptation we have experienced, including trials and hardships we can’t imagine, and yet was without even one sin. He is the perfect example of what we should be. Even more amazingly, he understands that we are unable to live up to His standard, so He came to earth, suffered, died, and rose again, so we could be reconciled to Him. All we have to do is repent of our sins, trust Him, and submit to Him. How can we not put our faith in Him after all He did for us?

He made Him who knew no sin to be sin on our behalf, so that we might become the righteousness of God in Him. (2 Corinthians 5:21)

Jesus paid the penalty. He took our sins, so we can receive His righteousness. This is a trade everyone should be willing to make, but sadly most refuse — some willfully, but some because they haven’t heard the good news. Hopefully all Christians will faithfully share the gospel with those around them.

May the perfect Savior guide us in His perfect will and help us to rightfully share the gospel with all those around us.

Trust Jesus

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitdeer Mined 196 Bitcoin Worth Over $21 Million In May

Bitdeer Technologies Group, a global leader in Bitcoin mining and infrastructure, has released its unaudited operational update for May 2025, highlighting robust expansion in hashrate capacity, ongoing infrastructure development, and an entrance into AI services. 

$BTDR May 2025 Production & Operations Highlights:

Increased self-mining hashrate to 13.6 EH/s with #SEALMINER deployments.
9 EH/s SEALMINER A2s have been manufactured, with 2.9 EH/s shipped to external customers, including 1.6 EH/s sold and shipped in May.
SEALMINER… pic.twitter.com/wX66hahd2F

— Bitdeer (@BitdeerOfficial) June 11, 2025

“In May 2025, we continued to deploy our SEALMINER mining rigs to our sites in Texas, U.S., Norway, and Bhutan, bringing Bitdeer’s self-mining hashrate to 13.6 EH/s at the end of the month of May,” said Matt Kong, Chief Business Officer at Bitdeer. “Looking forward, we remain on track to deliver over 40 EH/s of self-mining capacity by October 2025. Further, in May, we sold and shipped approximately 1.6 EH/s of our SEALMINER A2s to external customers. Our A3 Series will also be released and available for pre-order very soon”

Bitdeer self-mined 196 BTC in May—an 18.1% increase from April—due to the expanded deployment of SEALMINER A1 and A2 units. A total of 9 EH/s in SEALMINER A2s have been manufactured, with 2.9 EH/s shipped to customers and 1.6 EH/s sold in May alone. 

SEALMINER A3s, which are currently undergoing machine-level testing with positive results, will become available for pre-order in June. Additionally, development of the next-generation A4 SEALMINER chip is progressing, targeting an efficiency of 5 J/TH by Q4 2025.

Bitdeer also announced the launch of its AI Cloud service, powered by over 10 advanced large language models (LLMs), including LLaMA, DeepSeek, and Qwen variants. The infrastructure is designed for strong inference demand, representing a key move into the HPC/AI sector. 

Infrastructure developments include the ongoing energization of the 175 MW Tydal, Norway site—expected to be fully energized by June—and continued progress at the 221 MW Massillon, Ohio site, targeting completion in the second half of 2025. The company also energized 132 MW at its Jigmeling, Bhutan site, with another 368 MW coming online by Q3.

Financially, Bitdeer secured $50 million in cash proceeds during May after Tether exercised warrants from a 2024 private placement. 

With a global capacity of 2,690 MW and expanding operations across North America, Europe, and Asia, Bitdeer continues to assert its role as both a top-tier Bitcoin mining operator and a high-performance computing pioneer. 

This post Bitdeer Mined 196 Bitcoin Worth Over $21 Million In May first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

@ 502ab02a:a2860397

เรื่องของซีเรียล ที่เรารู้กัน ความจริงมันก็ไม่ได้สวยหรูสามัคคีอะไรเท่าไรครับ เบื้องหลังผลประโยชน์ระดับโลก ส่วนมากมีความขัดแย้งรุนแรงเสมอๆ

Recap นิดนะครับ ย้อนกลับไปช่วงปี 1880s ที่เมืองเล็ก ๆ อย่าง Battle Creek มลรัฐมิชิแกน สหรัฐฯ ดร. John Harvey Kellogg เป็นผู้กำกับดูแล Battle Creek Sanitarium ซึ่งเปิดสอนเรื่องสุขภาพครบทุกด้าน ทั้งโภชนาการออกกำลังกาย ไปจนถึงการควบคุมราคะ โดยเฉพาะเรื่องอาหารเช้า เขาเชื่อว่ามื้อแรกของวันมันมีอำนาจควบคุมอารมณ์และจิตวิญญาณได้ ถ้าเริ่มต้นด้วยไข่ แฮม หรือเนื้อ มันจะพลิกเรือจิตใจให้ไหลเข้าสู่ตัณหา …ซึ่งไม่ใช่จุดประสงค์ชีวิตนักพรตชาว Adventist เลย

ปี 1894 ในห้องครัวของโรงพยาบาลแห่งนี้ ดร. John กับน้องชาย Will ทดลองทำข้าวธัญพืชอบสมุนไพร เมล็ดธัญพืชบดที่หล่นบนเตาแล้วกลายเป็นแผ่นกรอบ มีชื่อเรียกชั่วคราวว่า “Granose biscuits” หรือ “wheat flakes” ซึ่งเป็นจุดเริ่มต้นของอาหารเช้าที่เน้นสุขภาพ ไม่ใช่ความอร่อย

วันที่ 7 มีนาคม 1897 ดร. John ยืนกรานจัดแจก Corn Flakes ตามหลักการ “ไม่หวาน ไม่อิ่มมาก” ในแบบฉบับ ซีเรียลไม่ใส่น้ำตาล (sugarless cereal) ให้กับคนไข้ของเขาเป็นครั้งแรก ความหวังคือให้พลังย่อยและช่วยเรื่องลำไส้ เพื่อสุขภาพมากกว่าความหรรษาปลายลิ้น

แต่แน่นอนว่า สูตรชีวิตด้านอาหารแบบพระเขาไม่ง้อลิ้นชาวบ้าน อย่าพูดถึงยอดขายเลย! น้องชาย Will Keith Kellogg ซึ่งเป็นนักธุรกิจสายลุย มองเห็นว่ารสจืดแบบนี้ไม่เกิด เขาจึงแฝงแนวคิดว่า “ทำไงให้ซีเรียลอร่อยจนคนยอมจ่าย” และสุดท้ายก็เติมน้ำตาลเข้าไป ปรับหน้าแพ็กเกจ และใส่โฆษณาชวนเชื่อว่า “อาหารเช้าสำคัญที่สุดของวัน” จนคนเริ่มเชื่อ

จากความเข้าใจเรื่องบริษัทสตาร์ทอัพของยุคนั้น ระหว่าง 1897–1906 ความแตกแยกของแนวคิดพี่-น้องก็ชัดเจนขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ ดร. John ที่เชื่อเรื่อง purity ของอาหาร ไม่เห็นด้วยกับน้ำตาล กลับขัดแย้งกับ Will ที่มองว่า “นี่ล่ะโอกาสทองเชิงพาณิชย์” จนในปี 1906 Will ตัดสินใจแยกออกมาเปิดบริษัทใหม่ในชื่อ Battle Creek Toasted Corn Flake Company วันที่ 19 กุมภาพันธ์ 1906 โดยผลักดันซีเรียลหวาน มีน้ำตาล จนขายดีทะลุเป้า

ตอนนี้พี่น้องก็กลายมาเป็นศัตรูทางธุรกิจจนได้ Will ยึดชื่อ Kellogg ทำโฆษณาเต็มแรง ลงโฆษณาเสาไฟ times square ใหญ่สุดในตอนนั้น ดร. John ฟ้องศาลขอสิทธิ์ในชื่อ Kellogg คืน เพราะเขาคิดว่าควรเป็นของผู้เริ่มต้นก่อน สุดท้าย Michigan Supreme Court ตัดสินให้ Will ชนะ ชัดเจนว่า “ใครทำการตลาด เขาก็เป็นเจ้าของชื่อ”

หลังจากนั้น ซีเรียลใส่น้ำตาลแบบกล่อง (boxed cereal) ก็เริ่มกระจายไปทั่วโลกในช่วงปี 1909–1920 โดย mass‑production ออกวันละหลักหมื่นกล่อง และโฆษณาไประดับครอบครัว วัยเด็ก และแม่บ้าน วาทกรรมคือ "ให้ลูกแข็งแรง" "อาหารเช้าแห่งอารยธรรม" ที่สำคัญคือ “ทำง่าย กินง่าย”

พอถึงปี 1907 โรงงานเกิดไฟไหม้ แต่กลับสร้างใหม่ในเวลา 6 เดือน แสดงให้เห็นถึงพลังของธุรกิจซีเรียลกล่องอย่างแท้จริง หลังจากนั้นในปี 1922 บริษัทก็เปลี่ยนชื่อเป็น Kellogg Company และโตเต็มที่ในช่วง 1920s–1930s นับเป็นเครื่องจักรของความเชื่อที่ว่า น้ำตาลในอาหารเช้าย่อมดีกว่าไขมันและเนื้อ แต่ในอีกมุม มันก็คือน้ำตาลอัดเม็ดเชิงการตลาดชุดแรกของโลก

ในภาพรวม หากมองจากสายตาประชาอเมริกันยุคต้น เคลล็อกพี่เป็นผู้ปฏิวัติโภชนาการสุทธิ เขาต้องการให้ซีเรียลเป็นอาหาร “ปราศจากสาปราคะ” ที่มุ่งเน้นสุขภาพ แต่ Will พาเรื่องนี้เข้าสู่วงการพาณิชย์ ขายง่าย รสหวาน และถูกเชื่อมกับแนวคิดว่าเด็กน้อยต้องกินอะไรเดี๋ยวนั้นเพื่อแข็งแรง กระทั่งพลังตลาดทำให้คนย้ายจากมื้อเช้าแบบหนัก ไปเป็นชามซีเรียลจิ้มกับนมในสไตล์ยุคใหม่ โดยไม่รู้เลยว่าหัวใจแท้จริงมันเริ่มตั้งแต่มุ่งปราบราคะและโมเดิร์นลุยตลาด

เมื่อดู timeline เต็มรูปแบบ เราจะเห็นว่า 1894: ดร. John ทดลอง Flaked wheat/raw Granose 1897: แจก Corn Flakes สูตรจืด sugarless จนเป็นกินกับนมเพื่อช่วยการย่อย (milk accompaniment)
1906: Will แยกบริษัท สร้างตลาดซีเรียลหวาน 1909: เปลี่ยนชื่อเป็น Kellogg Company 1922: บริษัทขยายสู่ตลาดโลกโดยสมบูรณ์

ทุกย่างก้าวมีหัวใจสำคัญคือการเปลี่ยนพฤติกรรมผู้คนจาก “กินอาหารจริง” เป็น “กินอาหารกล่อง” จากไข่ เบคอน สตูว์ มาเป็นชามซีเรียลจิ้มกับนมที่ใส่น้ำตาลจัด ทั้งที่แท้จริงแล้วเป้าหมายแรกคือ “สงบกิเลส” แต่กลับจบที่ “กระตุ้นยอดขาย”

คุณลองจินตนาการถึงคนอเมริกันก่อนซีเรียล ตื่นเช้ามาเจอจานไข่ดาว เบคอน หรือแม้แต่ข้าวใส่จานพร้อมผัก ยิ่งทำงานหนักเสริมด้วยแผนยุทธศาสตร์ชีวิต พอซีเรียลมา “แค่เท กลืน กินง่าย” มันก็เข้าใจว่ามันคือความสะดวกและอนาคตของโภชนาการ ที่ถูกโปรโมตว่าดีต่อสุขภาพ ทั้ง ๆ ที่มันควรถูกตั้งคำถามในเรื่องน้ำตาลอยู่ไม่น้อย

วันนี้เรารู้แล้วว่า ซีเรียลกล่องใส่น้ำตาลคือผลิตภัณฑ์แห่งยุคตลาด เมื่อย้อนรอยดู มันไม่ใช่แค่เค้าว่าอร่อยหรือดี แต่คือการปั้นภาพว่า “นี่คือสิ่งที่คนยุคใหม่ควรกิน” โดยมีบริษัทและรัฐหนุนหลังให้มันกลายเป็นสิ่งที่เข้าใจว่า ‘ปกติ’ ทั้งที่ความจริงมัน ‘ผิดธรรมชาติ’ ตั้งแต่ต้นน้ำ #pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

In het hart van een gepensioneerde operazangeres ontstond een stemmetje. Het stemmetje klonk verrast. "He," ging het hart. "Ik heb een stemmetje gekregen! Hoe kan dit? Kan iemand me horen? Zouden mijn gedachten me kunnen horen?" vroeg het stemmetje, niet wetend aan wie. Want de gedachten hoorden het niet. Zij waren zo druk bezig met het verleden en hadden een grote angst dit te verliezen. "Weet je nog?" gingen de gedachten. "Voor duizenden mensen heb ik gezongen! Avond na avond! Tienduizenden mensen hebben me toegejuicht! Wat waren ze onder de indruk! Luister! Ik kan het nog steeds!" "He," ging het hart. "Hoor je me dan niet? Het ging toch helemaal niet om dat gejuich. Weet je dan niet meer hoe ik me volledig bloot gaf aan die mensen. Mijn diepste en meest persoonlijke verhalen waren te horen in mijn liederen. Daar draaide het toch om? De mensen waren niet enkel onder de indruk. Hun harten hebben mijn verhalen gevoeld en konden zo kennis geven aan hun gedachten. Is dat niet wat echt telde?" Maar de gedachten waren volop aan het zingen voor de ene persoon die ze konden vinden die wou luisteren. "He," ging het hart. "Ook in dit moment zijn mijn liederen te horen door vele gedachten en te voelen door vele harten over de hele wereld. Heb ik dan geen rust verdiend? Kan ik niet even genieten van de rust die in dit moment te vinden is, maar jullie van me afnemen?" Maar de gedachten waren nog steeds volop aan het zingen.

@ 3283ef81:0a531a33

Hey\ Ho

Let's go!

@ 8d5ba92c:c6c3ecd5

Over the years, I’ve hit many different Bitcoin events across Europe, recently LATAM and Asia too. Small local meetups, bigger gatherings, mid-sized and large conferences, as well as cultural festivals like the one just held in Warsaw, Poland, Bitcoin FilmFest (aka BFF25, which I also co-run).

With probably an average of 7-10 gatherings a year, it’s a lot for some, not enough for others. For me, it’s a learning process hunting signal: real people, real ideas, real talks. In a way, Proof of Work—joining these events takes time and energy, it too yields the results—new connections, collaborations, or even just further steps toward our sovereign lives, meeting after meeting, just like adding a block to the chain.

When choosing a new place to join, location and program are important, almost equal, but what matters most is the overall theme and the vibe it creates with the ‘crowd’. Almost a paranormal synergy of what organizers bring and what attendees add with their presence.

May-June 2025...

First, culture without chains. Then privacy, tech, and cypher action. Still buzzing from BFF25, just a week later, a bit tired but stoked, I managed to take a 3-hour flight from Poland to Spain.

Worth it? Absolutely! Why? Continue reading to figure out.

BCC8333. Let’s first break down the name.

Barcelona Cyphers Conference, with “8333” referring to the port Bitcoin nodes use to sync the timechain in a decentralized network. Well, BCC8333 promised substance, not just empty fluff, from the very start. Honestly, I wouldn’t even call it a 'conference' but a high-signal, well-structured meetup of maybe 150-200 individuals. No influencers, no VIP rooms. No hype, no pressure.

Unleashing Decentralized Freedom.

Held at Palau Dalmases, a 17th-century palace in Barcelona’s Born district, the venue was pure magic. Its courtyard, with stair rails carved with mythological scenes, had an artistic, almost rebellious soul tied to its flamenco background (the venue officially hosts flamenco shows in the evenings). Not too big, not too small, it was just perfect for deep talks, hands-on workshops, signal-not-bullshit presentations, and real debates.

The courtyard, the heart of the venue, welcomed us with sunny weather and stylish décor, sparking some of the best daytime conversations I’ve had. The entire place, with its history and defiant spirit, felt ready for us to build something special. https://i.nostr.build/5CbApOqFnb8UoB0F.png

Organized by locals—Spanish Maxis with a cypherpunk soul—and attended by folks from across the globe, it was a perfect mix of knowledge and experiences. Deep discussions on tech, privacy, geo-politics, culture, communities, health, lifestyle, and philosophy. Precious moments with familiar faces or new ones, all working on very interesting projects. Fact: smaller crowd let you dive deep into talks and build genuine connections.

The program was thoughtfully structured. Intense sessions balanced with space to breathe, think, talk, and eat.

(Note: BCC8333, smack in the heart of Barcelona, meant plenty of nearby dining options despite tourist crowds and occasional long lines for top tapas bars. Breaks were long enough, so you could savor decent meals while enjoying the 5-10 minute walk here or there with other attendees. Could you pay in SATs everywhere? Not really, not outside the venue. But let’s be realistic: in a group of Bitcoiners, there’s always a way to use SATs, swapping fiat with others who’ll need it sooner or later. Win-win. Personally, I find these scenarios even better—Bitcoiners roaming the city for days, asking ‘Can I pay in bitcoin?’ again and again, spread a message stronger than just a group of us closed off at the venue doing our own thing. Moving around and repeating the same question will sooner or later inspire new places to take Bitcoin payments seriously. FYI: at one dinner, a delicious Brazilian steakhouse, we convinced a waiter to download a Lightning wallet, accept his tips in SATs, and vow to dig deeper into Bitcoin and Nostr in the coming days.)

Back To The Event and Its Agenda.

Practical workshops, sharp presentations, and real debates (sadly, still too rare in the space) covered topics like privacy, nodes, wallets, Bitaxe miners, and Nostr. Crucial stuff to forge the sovereign life.

https://i.nostr.build/PvD1bDKr9qQ87Mr5.png

- My personal highlights?

Friday’s sessions on the history and future of cypherpunks (Spanish / English, with Alfre Mancera, Entropy, Bebop, Max Hillebrand, and Begleri); Miniscripts Roundtable-Discussion (English, with Edouard from Liana, Landabaso from Rewind, Francesco from BitVault, Yuri da Silva from Great Wall); Self-Sufficient Houses (English with Matthew Prosser); and the debate on Op_return (English, with Peter Todd; Unhosted Marcellus, and Lunaticoin).

I couldn’t catch everything—too busy in hallway chats connecting dots from the past to the present for a stronger future ;) … Luckily, the main stage sessions were recorded by the organizers (follow Nostr: BCC833, with extra interviews/coverage done by Juan Cienfuegos (BitCorner Podcast). Sure, all of it will drop online soon.

https://i.nostr.build/lNppYMtEtz8DGNhi.png

- What left me in awe?

Pure, unfiltered signal.

First, the Spanish Bitcoin scene is a force. Well-organized, connected, decentralized but acting as one when needed. People relentlessly focused on building, not just talking. BCC8333 was proof.

Second, the fusion of ideas is remarkable; the power of plebs putting them into practice moves the world forward. Just as Bitcoin doesn’t need a CEO, Bitcoiners don’t need typical trendsetters or idols. Case by case, we verify truth ourselves, like nodes in a network, organically building, improving, brainstorming, discussing—not on flashy stages or in cold expo hangars, but in dynamic meetups like this one.

Third, the tribe. Don’t get me wrong, even with thousands of attendees, you can find your people if you try. But with a few hundred, free of overwhelming noise and far too many folks rushing around, you don’t miss the most valuable chats. BCC8333 was no different. I met and re-met my soulmates. The tribe you laugh with, but also work hard with when needed. Simply put: people who share the cypherpunk fire. Sovereignty and hands-on freedom.

- Bonus stuff?

Though the topics were serious (and important), the vibe still had plenty of fun. Barcelona’s nightlife was a great playground, but the organizers also brought joy right to the venue itself. https://i.nostr.build/ahJsprpg1d4qHFtV.png

Examples: Both days with Chain Duel to play in the courtyard and later a big-screen tournament, were cool to watch and join. Saturday’s concert by Roger 9000, with all of us shouting, “Tick tock, next block, it don’t stop. The love of freedom, it don’t stop!” to his energetic beats, made those moments truly spectacular.

Wrapping Up.

BCC8333 stands apart. As the title says, it was truly the event ‘Where Cypherpunk Spirit Forges Sovereign Minds.’ Cheers to the organizers, contributors, volunteers, and attendees! Those past few days in Barcelona were solid proof we’re keeping Bitcoin’s ethos alive—a strong case that it’s not about “going to the moon” but staying free on the ground.

Thank YOU!

---

BTC Your Mind. Let it Beat.

Şela

@ c1a49d62:3ef55468

IoT chips serve as the foundational semiconductor components that enable connectivity, data processing, and communication in devices ranging from smart thermostats to industrial sensors. These microcontrollers, system-on-chips (SoCs), and application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) offer low power consumption, compact form factors, and robust security features, making them essential for Internet of Things ecosystems. As industries pursue digital transformation, the need for high-performance IoT chips that can handle real-time analytics, edge computing, and seamless interoperability has surged. IoT Chips Market Advantages such as integrated wireless protocols (Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, LoRaWAN), enhanced energy efficiency, and customizable silicon solutions address critical market challenges like device longevity and data integrity. Manufacturers leverage advanced process nodes and AI accelerators to deliver chips with superior throughput while minimizing thermal footprints. Continuous innovations in semiconductor design, coupled with growing market opportunities in smart cities, automotive telematics, and healthcare monitoring, underscore the strategic importance of these components. As enterprises seek to optimize operations and reduce costs through predictive maintenance and remote monitoring, demand for versatile IoT chipsets continues to rise. The IoT chips market is estimated to be valued at USD 620.36 Bn in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 1415.005 Bn by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.00% from 2025 to 2032.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

I am the space\ In which your experience takes place

You could never meet me\ For I hold no identity

The only way to really see me\ Is to be me

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

Hosted at the iconic Palace of Culture and Science—a prominent symbol of the communist era—the Bitcoin FilmFest offers a vibrant celebration of film through the lens of bitcoin. The venue itself provides a striking contrast to the festival’s focus, highlighting bitcoin’s core identity as a currency embodying independence from traditional financial and political systems.

𝐅𝐢𝐱𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐩𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐮𝐥 𝐦𝐮𝐬𝐢𝐜 𝐯𝐢𝐛𝐞𝐬.
Warsaw, Day Zero at #BFF25 (European Bitcoin Pizza Day) with @roger__9000, MadMunky and the @2140_wtf squad pic.twitter.com/9ogVvWRReA

— Bitcoin FilmFest (@bitcoinfilmfest) May 28, 2025

This venue represents an era when the state tightly controlled the economy and financial systems. The juxtaposition of this historical site with an event dedicated to bitcoin is striking and thought-provoking.

The event features a diverse array of activities, including engaging panel discussions, screenings of both feature-length and short films, workshops and lively parties. Each component designed to explore the multifaceted world of bitcoin and its implications for society, offering attendees a blend of entertainment and education.

The films showcase innovative narratives and insights into bitcoin’s landscape, while the panels facilitate thought-provoking discussions among industry experts and filmmakers.

Networking is a significant aspect of the festival, with an exceptionally open and friendly atmosphere that foster connections among participants. Participants from all over Europe gather to engage with like-minded individuals who share a passion for BTC and its implications for the future.

The open exchanges of ideas foster a sense of community, allowing attendees to forge new connections, collaborate on projects, and discuss the potential of blockchain technology implemented in bitcoin.

The organization of the festival is extraordinary, ensuring a smooth flow of information and an expertly structured schedule filled from morning until evening. Attendees appreciate the meticulous planning that allowed them to maximize their experience. Additionally, thoughtful touches such as gifts from sponsors and well-chosen locations for various events contribute to the overall positive atmosphere of the festival.

Overall, the Bitcoin FilmFest not only highlights the artistic expression surrounding bitcoin but also serves as a vital platform for dialogue—about financial freedom, the future of money, and individual sovereignty in a shifting world.

The event successfully bridges the gap between a historical symbol of control and a movement that celebrates freedom, innovation, and collaboration in the digital age, highlighting the importance of independence in financial systems while fostering a collaborative environment for innovation and growth.

Next year’s event is slated for June 5-7 2026. For further updates check: https://bitcoinfilmfest.com/

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

F Street Announced Goal Of Accumulating $10 Million In Bitcoin

Today, F Street, an alternative investment and private lending firm, announced it has begun adding Bitcoin to its corporate treasury, with a goal of accumulating $10 million in BTC.

JUST IN: Investment firm F Street announced it's buying Bitcoin daily using business proceeds for its treasury reserves

They plan to buy $10 million Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/NMLOteyUYU

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 11, 2025

The company began daily BTC purchases on June 9, using business proceeds and treasury funds. This move is part of a broader strategy to strengthen F Street’s capital base and support its real estate lending and investment operations.

“Bitcoin offers a compelling hedge against inflation and dollar debasement,” said the Chief Operating Officer of F Street Mike Doney. “Incorporating it into our treasury is a strategic step to preserve and grow value for our investors and our business interests.”

In line with its commitment to transparency, F Street also plans to establish a public proof of reserves so that stakeholders can independently verify the custody of its Bitcoin assets. The firm aims to build a meaningful BTC position that supports its long term vision of a capital framework.

F Street’s move comes at a time when institutional interest in Bitcoin is experiencing a notable surge, and many prominent voices in the financial world are starting to support it. Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones, speaking today in an interview with Bloomberg, named Bitcoin as a critical part of what he considers the ideal portfolio against inflation.

“What would an ideal portfolio be… But it would be some kind of combination of probably gold, vol adjusted, Bitcoin, gold, stocks,” Jones said. “That’s probably your best portfolio to fight inflation. Vol adjusted because the vol of Bitcoin obviously is five times that of gold, so you’re going to do it in different ways.”

Adding to the momentum, the Head of Digital Assets of BlackRock Robert Mitchnick explained two days ago what’s really driving the surge in demand for Bitcoin ETFs.

“It’s a lot of things coming together. Out of the gate was retail and investor demand…” said Mitchnick. “Now, more recently, we’ve seen just steady progress of more wealth advisor adoption, more institutional adoption. It’s been a mix of people who it’s the first time that they’ve invested in anything in the crypto space. And then on the other hand, you have lots of people who’ve been invested in Bitcoin for a long time and they’re taking advantage of the ETP wrapper.”

This post F Street Announced Goal Of Accumulating $10 Million In Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in Bitcoin

Meanwhile Insurance Bitcoin (Bermuda) Limited (“Meanwhile”) announced it has become the first company in the world to release externally audited financial statements denominated entirely in Bitcoin. According to the announcement, the company reported 220.4 BTC in assets and 25.29 BTC in net income for 2024, a 300% year over year increase.

Today marks a global first & historic event for us, along with the public release of our 2024 audited financial statements, covering our 1st year of sales.

As the 1st company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited, we are excited to…

— meanwhile | Bitcoin Life Insurance (@meanwhilelife) June 5, 2025

“We’ve just made history as the first company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited,” said Zac Townsend, CEO of Meanwhile. “This is an important, foundational step in reimagining the financial system based on a single, global, decentralized standard outside the control of any one government.” 

The financial statements were audited by Harris & Trotter LLP and its digital asset division ht.digital. Meanwhile’s financials also comply with Bermuda’s Insurance Act 1978, noting that their BTC denominated financials were approved and comply with official guidelines. The firm, fully licensed by the Bermuda Monetary Authority (BMA), operates entirely in BTC and is prohibited from liquidating Bitcoin assets except through policyholder claims, positioning it as a long term holder. 

“As the first regulated Bitcoin life insurance company, we view the BTC held by Meanwhile as inherently long-term in nature—primarily held to support the Company’s insurance liabilities over decades,” Townsend added. “This makes it significantly ‘stickier’ and resistant to market pressures compared to the BTC held by other companies as part of their treasury management strategies.” 

Meanwhile’s 2024 financials also revealed 23.02 BTC in net premiums and 4.35 BTC in investment income, showing that its model not only preserves Bitcoin, but earns it. The company’s reserves (also held in BTC) were reviewed and approved by Willis Towers Watson (WTW). 

Meanwhile also offers a Bitcoin Whole Life insurance product that allows policyholders to save, borrow, and build legacy wealth—entirely in BTC, and has plans to expand globally in 2025.

“We are incredibly proud of today’s news as it underscores how Meanwhile is at the forefront of the next phase of the convergence between Bitcoin and institutional financial markets,” said Tia Beckmann, CFO of Meanwhile. “Now having generated net income in BTC, we have demonstrated that we are earning it through a sustainable insurance business model designed for the long term.” 

This post Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Love, I thank you for your warmth\ Ever lifting

You keep me charmed\ Ever drifting

May I be me\ And you be you

In a perfect harmony\ Embracing all life makes us grow through

@ 73d8a0c3:c1853717

[**Nonfiction. Nothing here is imagined. This is real, observed, remembered — even if the world chose not to see it anymore.]

The men in the article didn’t just sit and wait to die. They fought, in the only ways they could. Some of them tied off an arm. Others went further — legs, even. Not because of injury. Not to stop bleeding. But to preserve blood flow to the gut. In severe volume depletion, the body starts shutting off the periphery — the limbs go cold, the skin dries, the vessels constrict. It’s a built-in triage system: protect the brain, the heart, maybe the kidneys.

And I think about that.

How far they had to fall to reach that kind of clarity. To look at their own arm, or leg, and say: you don’t matter anymore. Not because they’d given up — but because they hadn’t. Because they were still trying to survive, even if the cost was part of themselves.

It hits me hard. Not just as history, but as possibility.

Because I’m walking a version of that same path. Quietly. Strategically.

Keeping salt in. Saving movement. Holding heat.

I haven’t tied off a limb — not physically.

But I’ve let go of other things, parts of life, body, and identity, in order to preserve what’s left of the core.

Those are photos we missed. But I can still see them clearly. You can imagine how they might be something my index did not want on top of the pile.

But the gut? That’s where survival happens. That’s where salt is absorbed. Where calories are extracted. If the blood stops there, you don’t just collapse — you unravel. So they did what the body couldn’t do fast enough. They tied off what didn’t matter to buy time for what did. Primitive tourniquets, self-applied, not to stop blood from leaking, but to stop it from wandering. A final act of desperation, or clarity — depending on how far down the ladder you’ve already gone.**

@ 8b0a2bea:857d369f

Hey friends,

We're sharing this month's Geyser project launches on Stacker News! Feel free to subscribe to our email newsletter here to get these monthly updates in your mailbox!

This month’s list of Tools, Community, and Causes is stacked. From Uganda to Vietnam to El Salvador, it’s clear that Bitcoin is becoming a global movement! Bullish.

Let's dive in!👇

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📚 Bitcoin Education - Laos Bitcoin Education 🇱🇦 🔥$583. Laos is battling 200% post-COVID inflation — help spread Bitcoin knowledge as a lifeline. - Abe 3 🇺🇸🔥 $324: Now entering its 4th year of free Bitcoin classes for the community. - NewB 🇰🇪🔥 $214: Open-source Bitcoin resources for Kenyan beginners. - Beyond Adversity: BTC Podcast: Stories of hope and financial freedom from underserved communities.

🌍 Community & Causes - Bitcoin for God 🇺🇸🔥 $1,194: Matching Bitcoin grants to help Christians orange-pill their ministries. - Ciclista Lima FC🇵🇪🔥$1,213: Scholarships for young footballers in Peru — future Bitcoin team. - Bitcoin-Funded Orphanage in Uganda 🇺🇬🔥$217: Safe, permanent home for vulnerable children. - Sviublokade FDU 🇷🇸🔥$134: Helping Serbian university staff punished for standing with students. - Football Support in El Salvador 🇸🇻🔥 $63: Backing a youth football club at La Cruz coffee farm. - Street Vendor Accepts Bitcoin 🇧🇴 Empowering street workers in Bolivia with BTC. - Razgibavanje: Support grassroots content in the Balkans. - Hope With Bitcoin – Saigon Flea Market 2025 🔥 $310: Grassroots Bitcoin adoption through events in Vietnam.

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https://stacker.news/items/1003921

@ 95543309:196c540e

$$\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} e^{-x^2/2} \, dx = \sqrt{2\pi}$$$$\sum_{k=1}^n k^2 = \frac{n(n+1)(2n+1)}{6}$$$$\lim_{x \to \infty} \left(1 + \frac{1}{x}\right)^x = e$$$$\begin{vmatrix}a & b \\c & d\end{vmatrix} = ad - bc$$$$\frac{d}{dx}\left(\frac{x^2 + 1}{x - 1}\right)$$$$\iiint_V (\nabla \cdot \mathbf{F}) \, dV = \oint_{\partial V} \mathbf{F} \cdot d\mathbf{S}$$$$\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}$$$$\ln\left(\frac{f(x)}{g(x)}\right) = \ln f(x) - \ln g(x)$$$$\forall x \in \mathbb{R}, \exists y \in \mathbb{R} \text{ such that } x + y = 0$$$$\sqrt{\frac{x^2 + y^2}{x^2 - y^2}}$$$$\begin{array}{c|c}A & B \\hlineC & D\end{array}$$$$\sum_{i=1}^n \sum_{j=1}^n a_{ij}x_i x_j$$$$\mathcal{L}{f(t)}(s) = \int_0^\infty e^{-st}f(t)\,dt$$$$\frac{\partial^2 u}{\partial t^2} = c^2 \frac{\partial^2 u}{\partial x^2}$$$$\mathbf{A} = \begin{pmatrix}a_{11} & a_{12} \\a_{21} & a_{22}\end{pmatrix}, \quad\mathbf{B} = \begin{pmatrix}b_{11} & b_{12} \\b_{21} & b_{22}\end{pmatrix}$$$$\underbrace{a + b + \dots + z}{26}$$$$\left(\frac{a}{b}\right)^n = \frac{a^n}{b^n}$$$$\langle \psi | \phi \rangle = \int{-\infty}^{\infty} \psi^*(x)\phi(x) \, dx$$$$\oint_C \mathbf{F} \cdot d\mathbf{r} = \iint_S (\nabla \times \mathbf{F}) \cdot d\mathbf{S}$$$$\prod_{k=1}^n \left(1 + \frac{1}{k}\right) = \frac{(n+1)}{1}$$$$S(\omega)=1.466\, H_s^2 \frac{\omega_0^5}{\omega^6} \exp\Bigl[-3^{\frac{\omega}{\omega_0}}\Bigr]^2$$

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Officially Traded Above $100,000 For 30 Consecutive Days For The First Time

Bitcoin has officially completed 30 consecutive days trading above the $100,000 mark, marking a historic milestone in its 15 year journey. Bitcoin achieved its all time high (ATH) of $111,980 on May 22, almost hitting $112,000.

JUST IN: Bitcoin has stayed above $100,000 for 30 consecutive days for the first time ever! pic.twitter.com/nfccEK3Wf0

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 10, 2025

In the last 30 days, Bitcoin saw a 10 percent pullback right after reaching its ATH, dropping to $100,428. However, it wasn’t for long, as Bitcoin is back at $109,511 at the time of writing. Momentum appears to be building once again, signaling to be bullish.

“Anytime price is able to punch through a major resistance level, whether psychological or historical, and successfully hold, it is certainly a bullish sign,” said the technical analyst of Wolfe Research Read Harvey. “What really stood out to us was price’s ability to hold that level on the back test, when it briefly fell to $100,000 on Thursday. It also happened to align perfectly with the 50-day moving average. … We feel this should act as a launching pad back towards the recent highs of $112,000.”

In the past month, Bitcoin has surged into the financial and political mainstream. Several U.S. states including New Hampshire first, followed by Arizona, and then Texas have passed legislation recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. These laws reflect a growing trend of state level interest in using Bitcoin as a financial hedge and as part of long term fiscal policy.

“New Hampshire didn’t just pass a bill; it sparked a movement,” stated the CEO and Co-Founder of Satoshi Action Dennis Porter.

At the same time, financial institutions are rapidly expanding their Bitcoin offerings. JP Morgan has started providing loans backed by Bitcoin ETFs as collateral. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF has entered a period of intense activity, generating record trading volumes and capturing the attention of both retail and institutional investors.

To date, a total of 228 public and private entities have Bitcoin in their balance sheets and in the last 30 days, companies like GameStop, Know Labs, and Norway-based NBX have added Bitcoin as a strategic reserve. All these companies are treating Bitcoin not just as a speculative asset, but as a key part of their long term financial plans. This growing corporate trend follows the example set by Strategy, but it’s now happening on a much larger scale.

At the 2025 Bitcoin conference, the Vice President of the United States of America, JD Vance said in his speech, “Fifty million Americans own Bitcoin. I think it’s gonna be 100 million before too long.”

This post Bitcoin Officially Traded Above $100,000 For 30 Consecutive Days For The First Time first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Maelstrom Announces Its Fourth Bitcoin Developer Grant Recipient

Maelstrom is announcing that Ron, known online as “macgyver13,” is the fourth recipient of the Maelstrom Bitcoin Grant Program, per a press release sent to Bitcoin Magazine. Ron will be working on Silent Payments, as proposed in Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 352. 

“We are excited to be financially supporting Ron, in his mission on integrating Silent Payments into Bitcoin wallets,” said the CFO of Maelstrom Arthur Hayes. “Many merchants and users want to provide/display a single static address that doesn’t change, which is an important, valid and simple use case. With Silent Payments this can still be done, while on-chain address re-use is avoided. Address re-use is a goldmine for the surveillance organisations, and at Maelstrom, we want to help put a stop to it.”

In September 2023, Silent Payments was proposed by Josie Baker and Ruben Somsen. It allows people to create a single, static address to share with friends, use for donations, or post for tips without sacrificing privacy. This eliminates address reuse, a key method used by surveillance firms to track user behavior on the blockchain.

“With many software projects, and perhaps even more so in Bitcoin, taking an idea from a proposal to a fully adopted solution is the hardest part,” Josie said. “In the short amount of time I’ve been working with Ron, I’ve been thrilled at the progress we’ve made and I’m excited to work with him over the next year on Silent Payments adoption with the goal of making an intuitive, seamless user experience while also protecting user’s financial privacy.”

Bitcoin privacy depends on using new addresses, which often requires sender to receiver interaction. Existing static address methods use notifications that increase costs and leak metadata. Silent Payments avoids both interaction and notifications but requires wallets to scan the blockchain. Multi-party input use is not yet proven secure.

Silent Payments aim to implement:

• Zero transaction cost overhead
• No linkability between payments and static addresses
• No need for sender to receiver interaction
• Compatibility with privacy tools and modern wallet features

“My primary focus will be coordinating development and testing efforts within the growing community dedicated to integrating Silent Payments into desktop and mobile Bitcoin wallets,” stated the new grantee of Maelstrom Ron. “By advancing Silent Payments alongside BOLT12 and BIP-353, we aim to enhance privacy and simplify the user experience, paving the way for broader adoption of Bitcoin as a payment solution.”

This post Maelstrom Announces Its Fourth Bitcoin Developer Grant Recipient first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

Paris, France – June 6, 2025 — Bitcoin payment gateway startup Flash, just announced a new partnership with the “Bitcoin Only Brewery”, marking the first-ever beverage company to leverage Lightning payments.

Flash enables Bitcoin Only Brewery to offer its “BOB” beer with, no-KYC (Know Your Customer) delivery across Europe, priced at 19,500 sats (~$18) for the 4-pack, shipping included.

The cans feature colorful Bitcoin artwork while the contents promise a hazy pale ale: “Each 33cl can contains a smooth, creamy mouthfeel, hazy appearance and refreshing Pale Ale at 5% ABV,” reads the product description.

Pierre Corbin, Co-Founder of Flash, commented:

“Currently, bitcoin is used more as a store of value but usage for payments is picking up. Thanks to new innovation on Lightning, bitcoin is ready to go mainstream for e-commerce sales.”

Flash, launched its 2.0 version in March 2025 with the goal to provide the easiest bitcoin payment gateway for businesses worldwide. The platform is non-custodial and can enable both digital and physical shops to accept bitcoin by connecting their own wallets to Flash.

By leveraging the scalability of the Lightning Network, Flash ensures instant, low-cost transactions, addressing on-chain Bitcoin bottlenecks like high fees and long wait times.

For businesses interested in adopting Bitcoin payments, Flash offers a straightforward onboarding process, low fees, and robust support for both digital and physical goods. To learn more, visit paywithflash.com.

Media Contact:
Pierre Corbin
Co-Founder, Flash
Email: press@paywithflash.com
Website: paywithflash.com

About Flash

Flash is the easiest Bitcoin payment gateway for businesses to accept payments. Supporting both digital and physical enterprises, Flash leverages the Lightning Network to enable fast, low-cost Bitcoin transactions. Launched in its 2.0 version in March 2025, Flash is at the forefront of driving Bitcoin adoption in e-commerce.

About Bitcoin Only Brewery

Bitcoin Only Brewery (@Drink_B0B) is a pioneering beverage company dedicated to the Bitcoin ethos, offering high-quality beers payable exclusively in Bitcoin. With a commitment to personal privacy, the brewery delivers across Europe with no-KYC requirements.

@ c9badfea:610f861a

🤖️ AI Articles

• 🗨️ Using LLMs for OPSEC

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@ 0403c86a:66d3a378

The Club World Cup 2025 is set to be a spectacular global football event, debuting in the USA from June 14 to July 13, 2025. This new format brings together 32 top club teams from all six FIFA confederations, showcasing the best of world club football in a month-long tournament.

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🏆 Tournament Basics

• Dates: June 14 – July 13, 2025
• Host: United States of America
• Number of Teams: 32 clubs
• Confederations Represented: AFC (Asia), CAF (Africa), Concacaf (North & Central America), CONMEBOL (South America), OFC (Oceania), UEFA (Europe)
• Format:
• Group Stage: 8 groups of 4 teams, single round-robin
• Top 2 teams per group advance to Round of 16 knockout
• Single-match knockout from Round of 16 to Final
• No third-place playoff

---

🏟️ Venues Across the USA

The tournament will be played in 12 stadiums across major US cities:

• MetLife Stadium – New York/New Jersey (Final venue)
• Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, FL (Opening match venue)
• Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, GA
• TQL Stadium – Cincinnati, OH
• Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, NC
• Rose Bowl Stadium – Los Angeles, CA
• GEODIS Park – Nashville, TN
• Camping World Stadium – Orlando, FL
• Inter&Co Stadium – Orlando, FL
• Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, PA
• Lumen Field – Seattle, WA
• Audi Field – Washington, D.C.

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👥 Group stage

Group A

SE Palmeiras (BRA) FC Porto (POR) Al Ahly FC (EGY) Inter Miami CF (USA)

Group B

Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) Atlético de Madrid (ESP) Botafogo (BRA) Seattle Sounders FC (USA)

Group C

FC Bayern München (GER) Auckland City FC (NZL) CA Boca Juniors (ARG) SL Benfica (POR)

Group D

CR Flamengo (BRA) Espérance Sportive de Tunis (TUN) Chelsea FC (ENG) LA Galaxy (USA)

Group E

CA River Plate (ARG) Urawa Red Diamonds (JPN) CF Monterrey (MEX) FC Internazionale Milano (ITA)

Group F

Fluminense FC (BRA) Borussia Dortmund (GER) Ulsan HD (KOR) Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)

Group G

Manchester City (ENG) Wydad AC (MAR) Al Ain FC (UAE) Juventus FC (ITA)

Group H

Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) Al Hilal (KSA) CF Pachuca (MEX) FC Salzburg (AUT)

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⚽ Key Highlights

🏆✨ Paris Saint-Germain leads the power rankings as the favorites, fresh off a treble-winning season! Can they maintain their dominance against the world's best? #PSG

---

⚡️🔥 Watch out for Real Madrid! After a trophy-less season, they’re eager to prove their worth under new manager Xabi Alonso. Will they reclaim their glory? #RealMadrid

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💪🌟 Manchester City is back in the mix! Despite a rocky season, they showed resilience in the final weeks. Can Pep Guardiola's squad rise to the occasion? #ManCity

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💰🏅 With a staggering $1 billion prize pool, the stakes are high! Teams will battle not just for glory, but for a significant financial reward. Who will take home the biggest share? #PrizeMoney

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🌟⚽️ Keep an eye on the underdogs! Teams from the Americas, Africa and Asia ready to challenge the European giants. Who could pull off a surprise upset? #Underdogs

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🏅 Trophy & Official Match Ball

• The official Club World Cup Trophy was unveiled in November 2024, designed in collaboration with Tiffany & Co.
• The official match ball is supplied by adidas, featuring a patriotic design with red, white, and blue jagged patterns inspired by the US flag.

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🎟️ Tickets & Viewing

• Ticket sales began on December 19, 2024, with prices starting at USD 30 for group-stage matches.
• Tickets available via FIFA on a first-come, first-served basis.
• Broadcast: DAZN is the exclusive global broadcaster, streaming all 63 matches live worldwide.

---

💸 Club World Cup Winner ODDS

🥇 Real Madrid @ 5.00

🥈 Paris Saint-Germain @ 6.00 🥈 Manchester City @ 6.00

🥉 Bayern Munchen @ 8.00

🐕 Chelsea FC @ 11.00

🐩 Atletico Madrid @ 15.00 🐩 Inter Milano @ 15.00

🐶 Borussia Dortmund @ 25.00 🐶 Juventus @ 25.00

🌭 CR Flamengo @ 35.00 🌭 SE Palmeiras @ 35.00

🦴 CA River Plate @ 40.00 🦴 SL Benfica @ 40.00 🦴 Boca Juniors @ 40.00 🦴 FC Porto @ 40.00

🦓 Botafogo FR @ 55.00 🦓 Fluminense FC @ 55.00

🤏 Inter Miami CF @ 70.00 🤏 AL Hilal Riyadh @ 70.00

💫 FC Salzburg @ 85.00 💫 Los Angeles FC @ 85.00

💦 Seattle Sounders @ 100.0

💧 Al Ahly Cairo @ 125.0

💨 CF Pachuca @ 150.0

🌬️ Ulsan HD FC @ 200.0 🌬️ Al Ain FC @ 200.0

🐾 Urawa Red Diamonds @ 250.0 🐾 CF Monterrey @ 250.0

🕳️ Wac Casablanca @ 500.0 🕳️ Mamelodi Sundowns @ 500.0 🕳️ Esperance Sportive de Tunis @ 500.0

🙏 Auckland City FC @ 999.0

Put Your ₿itcoin Where Your Heart Is: Predyx the 🏆

@ 0689c075:2936ee11

{"layout":{"backgroundImage":null,"canvasSize":{"width":850,"height":1100}},"pages":[{"id":"page_1","name":"Main Page","objects":[]}],"objects":[],"texts":[]}

@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

Nur für‘s Protokoll. Hiermit erkläre ich, Georg Ohrweh, im tatsächlich vorhandenen vollen Besitz meiner geistigen Kräfte, dass Herr Lauterbach, gleich welche Position er in Zukunft noch bekleiden sollte, für mich nicht zuständig ist. Basta.

Ein Erguss dieses verhaltensoriginellen Über-alles-Bescheidwissers:

„Wir kommen jetzt in eine Phase hinein, wo der Ausnahmezustand die Normalität sein wird. Wir werden ab jetzt immer im Ausnahmezustand sein. Der Klimawandel wird zwangsläufig mehr Pandemien bringen.“

Wie kann es sein, dass solch eine Ausnahme-Gestalt, die schon rein äußerlich die Phantasie zu Vergleichen anregt, sich leider auch genauso verhält, wie die Gestalten, die in diesen Phantasien vorkommen, ungebremst auf der Panik-Klaviatur kakophonische Klänge erzeugen darf? Obwohl ein wenig Wahrheit ist auch enthalten: Wir sind tatsächlich immer im Ausnahmezustand, im Ausnahmezustand des fortgeschrittenen Wahnsinns.

Wie kann es sein, dass dieser Haaaarvardist seinen persönlich empfundenen Ausnahmezustand zum Allgemeingut erklären kann? Welche Verknüpfungs-Phantasien hat er sonst noch studiert? Er ist ja auch noch Vorsitzender im Raumfahrtausschuss. Was kommt als Nächstes? Eine Klima-Pandemie, verursacht durch außerirdische Viren, die die Temperaturen beeinflussen können? Im aktuellen Zeitgeist gibt es nichts, was nicht gedacht wird. Wem die besseren Absurditäten einfallen, der gewinnt. Man muss sich schon den gegebenen Denkstrukturen etwas anpassen, aber sich auch ein wenig Mühe geben.

Nach dem Wechsel der ehemaligen Außen-Dings zur UN (mit dem Ziel, aus den Vereinten Nationen die Feministischen Nationen zu gestalten) und des ehemaligen Wirtschafts-Dings in den Außenausschuss und als Gastdozent in Kalifornien (Thema: Wirtschaftsvernichtung unter Einbeziehung des gespannten Verhältnisses unter Geschwistern aufgrund ärmlicher Verhältnisse, am Beispiel des Märchens von Hänsel und Gretel) , jetzt auch noch der ehemalige Chef-Panikmacher zur WHO.

…und der Wahnsinn wurde hinausgetragen in die Welt, und es wurde dunkel, und es ward Nacht, und es wurde helle, und es ward Tag, der Wind blies oder auch nicht (was macht der Wind eigentlich, wenn er nicht weht?), und es ward Winter, und es wurde kälter, und es wurde wärmer, und es ward Sommer. Es regnete nicht mehr, die Wolken schwitzten. Und Putin verhinderte (wer auch sonst), dass das Eis in der Antarktis abnahm.

Wiederholte Bodentemperaturen in der Toskana von 50 Grad Celsius. Zu erwartende Wassertemperaturen während Ferragosto an der italienischen Adria von durchschnittlich 100 Grad Celsius. An Stellen mit wenig Strömung stiegen schon die ersten Kochblasen auf. Doch dann kam der durch Lachs gestählte, salzlose Super-Karl und rettete mit einem durch die WHO diktierten Klima-Logdown die gesamte Menschheit. Wer besser, als er konnte wissen, dass ein Klima-Logdown weitgehend nebenwirkungsfrei ist.

Was für ein Segen, dass Karl der Große, der uns so siegreich durch die Corona-Schlacht geführt hat, jetzt auch gegen das Klima in den Krieg zieht.

Wer kennt das nicht, Tage der Qual, in denen man zugeben muss: Ich hab‘ heute so schlimm Klima.

Viele Klimaexperten, die weltweit in der Qualitätspropaganda zitiert werden, zeichnen sich besonders dadurch aus, dass sie mit einer maximalen Abweichung von einem Grad Celsius ein Thermometer fehlerfrei ablesen können. Diese Ungenauigkeit wird der Erdverkochungsexperte sicher als erstes beheben.

In einer aufopfernden Studie während eines Urlaubs in 2023, in der um die damalige Zeit erstmals eisfreien Toskana, hat er den von ihm ausgetüftelten Klimaschutzplan ins Rheinische übersetzt. Titel: „Schützen Sie sisch, und, äh, andere!“ Weiter konnte er erforschen, dass die Bodentemperatur nicht immer mit der Temperatur des Erdkerns übereinstimmen muss.

Durch seine unermüdlichen Studien, können Hitzetote in Zukunft besser zugeordnet werden. Man weiß dann, ob jemand an hohen oder mit hohen Temperaturen gestorben ist. Der asymptomatische Klimawandel kann so in Zukunft viel besser bewertet werden. Man hat aus geringfügigen Fehlern gelernt und die Methoden erheblich verbessert.

Eine präzise Vorhersage der Jahreszeiten, vor allem die des Sommers, wird bald ebenfalls möglich sein. Es kann jetzt vor jahreszeitbedingten, teilweise sogar täglich schwankenden Temperaturveränderungen rechtzeitig gewarnt werden. Im Herbst können Heizempfehlungen für die ahnungslose Bevölkerung herausgegeben werden. Frieren war gestern, wissen wann es kalt wird, ist heute. Es wird an Farben geforscht, die noch roter sein sollen, als die, die jetzt in den Wetterkarten bei 21 Grad bereits verwendet werden.

Eine allgemeine Heizpflicht soll es europaweit zunächst nicht geben.

Weiter soll die Lichteinstrahlung der Sonne noch präziser bestimmt werden, damit den Europäern, in Ergänzung zur mitteleuropäischen Sommerzeit, jetzt auch noch genau mitgeteilt werden kann, wann es Tag und wann es Nacht ist.

Das Hinausschauen aus dem Fenster, zum Beispiel, ob es schon dunkel draußen ist, erübrigt sich. Die Tageszeit, in Ergänzung zur herkömmlichen Uhrzeit, wird demnächst automatisch mit dem Klima-Pass übermittelt werden. Zu Anfang natürlich erst einmal freiwillig.

Durch die persönliche ID können dann auch schnell und unkompliziert Sonderprämien überwiesen werden, sofern man sich klimakonform verhalten hat, damit man sich rechtzeitig vor Winterbeginn eine warme Jacke oder einen Mantel kaufen kann. Das Sparen von Bargeld auf eine bevorstehende größere Anschaffung von Winterkleidung wird somit überflüssig.

Ob es am Ende nun um Hitze oder Kälte geht, spielt eigentlich gar keine Rolle, denn wie wussten schon die Ahnen zu berichten: Was gut für die Kälte ist, ist auch gut für die Wärme.

Westliche Mächte unternehmen immer wieder Versuche, eskalierend auf den Ukraine-Konflikt einzuwirken, damit man atombetriebene Heizpilze aufstellen kann, an denen sich die Europäer im Winter auch im Freien wärmen können.

Wie praktisch, dass man nicht nur Gesundheit und Klima, sondern auch Klima und Krieg miteinander verbinden kann. Alles so, oder so ähnlich möglicherweise nachzulesen im genialen Hitzeschutzplan á la Lauterbach.

Besonders Deutschland braucht nicht nur lauterbachsche Hitzeschutzräume, nein es braucht atomsichere Hitzeschutzbunker, so schlägt man gleich zwei Fliegen mit einer Klappe.

Für die, die es sich leisten können, hier ein Vorschlag. Der K2000:

https://www.swr.de/swr1/rp/programm/loriot-mini-luftschutzbunker-zum-preis-einer-waschmaschine-100.html

Für die weniger gut Betuchten reicht auch ein kühles Kellerloch, das man idealerweise im Februar beziehen und nicht vor November wieder verlassen sollte, so die Empfehlung auch von führenden Klima-Forschern, die es ja wissen müssen. Von Dezember bis Januar empfiehlt sich ein Besuch auf den Bahamas, besonders dann, wenn man eine leichte Erkältung verspürt.

Nur Verschwörungstheoretiker behaupten, dass die eigenartigen Anschlussverwendungen der Extrem-Kapazitäten, zu denen Lauterbach ohne Zweifel dazugehört, wie dicke rote Pfeile wirken, die auf Institutionen und Organisationen zeigen, um die man unter allen Umständen einen großen Bogen machen sollte, weil sie möglicherweise nichts Gutes im Schilde führen. Minimal sollen sie angeblich Unsinn verbreiten, maximal sollen sie gehörigen Schaden anrichten.

Man muss sich nur ein paar Gedanken machen, schon kann man feststellen, wie alles mit allem zusammenhängt.

“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”

* *

(Bild von pixabay)

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Jaren tellen\ Hoeft voor mij niet

Verhalen vertellen\ Over geluk en verdriet

Een warme haven\ Veilig en fijn

Dromen voorgedragen\ Onschuldig en rein

Momenten ervaard, geleerd\ En geïntegreerd

Ideeën, geloven en gevoelens\ Gevormd en gecreëerd

Zonder eind of echt begin\ Vallen, groeien, leren, stoeien

Een gezin in een gezin met een gezin erin\ Gezind gericht blijft liefde vloeien

@ 04c3c1a5:a94cf83d

~~I am happy~~

@ 93bfc86d:fc8e91f5

질서자유주의가 자유주의 세상을 만드는 방법

안캡의 전략에는 크게 두 가지, 호페의 질서자유주의와 새뮤얼 콘킨 3세의 아고리즘이 있다.

로스바드-호페 라인의 질서자유주의는 논리를 기반으로 자연권을 정당화하고, 이를 통해 국가의 부당함을 설파한다. 미제스의 "인간은 행동한다."라는 제1공리부터 시작해서, 행동의 제1수단인 신체가 그 자신에게 소유되어야 한다는 자기 소유를 증명하고 자연권을 철저하게 연역적으로 정당화해간다. 안캡의 세상을 만들려는 이들의 방법론도 논리적이다.

예를 들어 호페의 『자유주의자는 무엇을 해야 하는가』 책에서는 위로부터의 전환이 불가능함에 따라 아래로부터의 전환을 해야 한다는 주장이 나온다. 과거에는 이런 자유로운 세상이 도래하기 위해서는 왕 한 명이 "앞으로 자기가 원하는 대로 보안 기업을 자유롭게 선택하고, 더 이상의 강제는 없다!"라고 선언만 하면 됐다. 따라서 왕 한 명만 어떻게 설득을 하거나, 압박을 하든 주리를 틀든 일단 왕이 이렇게 선언하게 하기만 하면 됐다. '마그나 카르타'도 결국 귀족 연합이 왕 한 명을 압박해 왕이 서명했던 것 아닌가?

반면에 현대 민주주의 사회를 보자. 대한민국에서 대통령 한 명이 최저임금을 폐지할 수 있는가? 최저임금은 헌법에 보장되는데(헌법 32조) 따라서 이를 폐지하는 것은 거의 개헌만큼이나 어렵다. 대통령이나 국회의원 과반이 발의를 해야 하고, 국회에서 재적 3분의 2 이상이 찬성해야 겨우 통과되며, 이렇게 통과해도 국민투표에서 과반수가 동의해야 겨우 없어지는 것이다. 즉, 거의 불가능에 가깝다.

따라서 호페는 위로부터의 전환이 불가능함에 따라 전국적인 중앙 정부의 투표를 거부할 것을 제안한다. 대통령 선거나 국회의원 선거 등 말이다. 여기서 중앙 정부 단위의 투표를 거부하는 이유는 중앙 정부의 부당성도 있지만, 이 투표를 통해 세상을 바꾸는 게 현실성이 없어서 그렇다.

같은 맥락에서 지역 선거의 투표는 항상 거부하는 건 아닌데, 자유주의자들이 한 국가 전체에서 과반을 얻는 것은 불가능하지만, 한 지역에 점점 몰리는 경우에는 적어도 그 지역에서는 과반이 될 수도 있기 때문이다. 따라서 아주 작은 지역에서 자유주의자들이 다수결이 된다면 적어도 그 지역에 한해서는 위로부터의 전환이 가능해진다. 그러면 투표를 거부하다가 지역구에서 본격적으로 투표를 하기 전에 선행되어야 할 일은 자유주의가 많이 퍼지고, 자유주의를 지지하는 사람들이 특정 지역에 몰리기 시작해야 하는 것일 것이다. 비트코이너들이 특정 지역에 몰려 시타델을 건설하는 상황을 생각하면 될 것 같다.

그 이후에는? 지역구의 대표로 선출된 인물이 해당 지역구의 투표권을 재산 소유자에게 재산 크기(지분)대로 다시 분배해야 한다. 즉, 재산이 없는 사람은 투표권이 없다. 모든 공공 인프라(도로, 수도, 전기, 교육, 치안, 사법 등등)는 전부 주식으로 판매되어 민영화된다(지방 정부는 이를 통해 재원을 마련한다). 이에 따라 공공 인프라는 완전히 사적 소유로 전환된다. 치안, 사법, 교육 모두 민간 영역으로 전환된다.

현재 세계에서 자유주의자들이 이런 관점을 취한다면 무엇을 해야 할까? 일단 자유주의를 더 많은 사람에게 퍼뜨려야 한다. 또한, 자유주의자들이 모일 지역을 물색해야 할 것이다. 그리고 중앙 정부 단위의 투표를 거부해야 할 것이다.

그림 1. 질서 자유주의의 상징인 아나코 캐피탈리즘 깃발

현대 민주주의 투표의 부당함

아고리즘의 전략을 이야기하기 전에 먼저 현대 민주주의 투표의 부당함에 대해 살펴보고 가자. 개인적인 생각도 들어가 있다.

투표 행위 자체는 유권자의 권리 행사로 전혀 나쁠 것이 없다. 다수결의 원칙도 당연히 마찬가지다. 투표 당사자들이 다수결의 원칙에 동의하기 때문에 참여하는 것이기 때문이다. 그래서 민주주의는 선거에서 져도 그 결과에 승복하는 것이 그 시스템의 규칙이다. 예를 들어 주주총회에서 주주들이 지분대로 의결권을 행사하거나 행사하지 않아서 생기는 결과는 그 행위 자체로는 전혀 문제가 없다.

투표의 정당성은 투표라는 행위 자체로부터 판단되는 것이 아니라 그 투표가 어떤 시스템 아래서 이뤄지는 투표인지로부터 판단해야 한다. 나는 두 가지 관점에서 살펴볼 것이다.

현대 민주주의의 투표는 유권자가 자신의 권리를 당선자에게 위임하는 행위다. 한 후보가 당선되면 다수결의 원칙에 따라서 그 후보는 그 후보를 찍지 않은 유권자들의 권리까지 모두 가져간다. 여기까지는 문제가 없다. 투표 행위 참여자들이 다수결의 원칙이라는 그 시스템에 동의하기 때문에 투표하기 때문이다.

그런데 현대 민주주의는 당선된 후보가 그 후보에게 투표했든, 투표하지 않았든, 기권을 했든 간에 다른 사람의 소유권을 마음껏 유린할 수 있는 권한도 가져간다. 이건 아주 큰 문제다. 국회의원이 세금을 늘리는 입법 권한을 행사하거나, 대통령이나 국회에서 예산을 편성해 정부 지출을 늘리고, 돈을 찍어내서 사람들의 소유권을 유린하는 행위가 용인된다.

어떤 사람도 다른 사람의 소유권을 침해할 수는 없다. 소유권은 단순히 희소한 재화의 분배 문제를 해결하는 실용적 대안이라서 중요한 것이 아니다. 인간 행동이라는 공리로부터 자기 소유 원칙을 이끌어내고, 그가 소유한 신체와 삶을 써서 획득한 재화(원초적 점유)에 대한 소유권을 보장하는 것이며, 그리고 이미 소유권이 있는 재화를 교환의 양 당사자가 자유롭게 교환하는 행위를 보장하는 것이다.

따라서 소유권은 인간에게 이성이 있다는 존엄성의 표현이자 인간 시간(삶)의 희소성과 귀중함을 인정하는 것이다. 어느 누구도 이를 모독할 권리는 없다. 이를 침해하는 것은 보편 원리에 따라 그 자신의 소유권도 포기한다는 뜻과 같으며, 이는 결국 자기 신체의 자기 소유도 부정하는 셈이 된다.

현대 민주주의에서 투표하는 것은 다른 누군가의 소유권을 유린할 사람을 뽑는 것과 같다. 애초에 이런 권한은 누구에게도 주어지지 않았으며 당연히 누구에게도 없으니 넘겨줄 수도 없는 권한이다.

현대 민주주의의 삼권분립 체제는 당선자에게 이러한 강탈의 권한이 보장된다. 설령 후보자가 이런 권한을 행사하지 않는다고 하더라도 이 시스템이 그러한 권한을 발동할 수 있다는 것을 언제든지 보장한다면 이러한 시스템은 폐기되어야 한다.

따라서 현대 민주주의에서 투표하는 행위는 누군가가 이러한 권한을 행사하는 것에 대한 동의로 간주될 수 있다. 어떤 후보가 이런 행위를 다른 후보보다 '덜' 한다고 해서 그 후보에 투표하는 것에 대한 정당성은 당연히 확보될 수 없다. 더하는지 덜하는지에 따라 이 약탈이 정당화될 수는 없기 때문이다.

심지어 어떤 후보가 이런 약탈 행위를 절대 안 할 것이라고 공언한다고 해도, 시스템에 이러한 권한이 보장되어 있는 이상 투표하는 행위는 이 시스템에 동의하는 행위이다. 그 후보가 당선된 이후 갑자기 돌변해 세금을 걷거나 국채를 팔아 예산을 확보하고 돈을 찍어내는 것이 시스템 상에서는 문제가 없기 때문이다. 이것은 간접 민주주의의 단점이라기 보다는, 애초에 이런 다른 사람에 대한 약탈 권한을 행사할 수 있는 시스템 자체가 잘못된 것이다.

현대 민주주의가 부당한 두 번째 이유는 이 시스템에 동의하지 않는 사람들조차 이 시스템의 피해자가 된다는 점이다.

도박에 참여하고 있는 사람들을 생각해보자. 승리자가 나머지 베팅한 모든 사람들의 베팅 금액을 약탈하는 것은 전혀 문제가 되지 않는다. 왜냐하면 도박 참여자들은 패배 시 자신이 베팅한 재산이 승자에게 몰수될 수도 있다는 것에 동의하고 도박에 참여하기 때문이다(따라서 이는 약탈이 아니다). 이에 동의하지 않는다면 도박을 그만하면 된다. 도박사는 언제든지 도박을 그만둘 자유가 있다.

그러나 현대 민주주의는 이 시스템에 동의하지 않더라도 그 나라에서 태어났다는 이유만으로 이러한 약탈에 강제 당할 수밖에 없다. '분배'하기 위해 투표를 할 거면 그 시스템에 동의하는 사람들끼리 서로의 재산을 놓고 분배하면 될 일이다. 그러나 이 시스템은 모든 사람들에게 이 시스템에 참여하는 것이 강제된다.

즉, 이 시스템은 애초에 잘못된 시스템인데 이 안에서 좌니 우니, 대통령제니 내각제니 사람들이 서로 경쟁하게 한다. 시스템 자체에 대한 의문을 품기는 매우 어려운 구조다.

이 시스템이 마음에 안 들면 이민을 가면 된다고 하는 주장은 전혀 설득력이 없다. 이민에 비용이 들고 다양한 현실적인 제약이 있다는 것은 차치하고서 이야기해보자. 만약 이러한 분배(?) 혹은 세금의 권한 행사자가 해당 지역 토지의 소유자고, 그 토지의 사용자가 소유자가 정한 분배 규칙에 동의하는 조건으로 토지를 사용한다면 이러한 세금과 같은 분배는 약탈은 아니다. 사용자가 그 규칙에 자발적으로 동의했으므로 정당화될 수 있는 것이다.

만약 국토의 모든 땅이 사실상 소유자가 있는 게 아니라, 사실상 국가의 소유이며 국가가 국민들에게 사용권을 나눠주는 것이라는 미친 주장을 해도(참고로 이건 토지의 사적 소유권을 부정하는 공산주의다!) 여전히 이 주장은 정당하지 않다.

토지의 소유권을 획득하는 방법은 두 가지가 있는데 첫째, 소유권이 없는 땅을 점유함으로써 소유권을 주장할 수 있게 되는 것, 둘째, 이미 소유권이 있는 토지를 자발적인 교환이나 기부를 통해 획득하는 것이다. 소유권이 있는 생산 수단을 통해 생산된 생산물도 소유권이 인정되는데, 토지는 생산이 불가능하니(우주정거장 같이 새로운 공간을 건설하는 게 아니라면...) 토지를 획득하는 방법은 언급한 두 가지 뿐이다.

그런데 현대 국가가 토지를 소유한 것의 기원을 살펴보자. 식민지화를 통해 강제로 점유하는 것은 대한민국은 해당이 없는 것 같다. 그러면 이미 소유자가 있는 사유지를 각종 규제와 사용 제한을 통해 사실상의 지배권을 확보하거나, 세금으로 축적한 재정으로 구입한 것이다. 그 기원이 모두 약탈에 있다는 점에서 국가의 토지 소유는 정당하지 않다.

따라서 규칙이 싫으면 이민을 가면 된다는 주장은 도둑이 도둑질을 하는데, 도둑질을 당하기 싫으면 멀리 도망가라는 식의 궤변과 같다.

그러나 국가의 계약은 완전히 비자발적이다. 단지 그 신체가 어디서 탄생했다는 이유만으로 그 시스템에 동의한 것이 될 수는 없다. 갓 태어난 아기는 다른 사람의 보호가 있어야만 생존할 수 있다는 점에서 완전히 비자발적인데, 이에 따라 당연히 탄생의 위치도 완전히 비자발적인 것이었기 때문이다.

또한 국가는 국토의 소유자가 아니다. 그보다는 국토의 소유권을 보장'해야' 하는 존재일 뿐이다. 누군가가 규칙을 정하고 싶다면 그 규칙의 영향권은 자신의 사유지 내에서만 영향력이 있으며, 당연히 그 규칙에 자발적으로 동의하는 사람들만 그 사유지를 이용하는 조건으로 계약할 수 있다. 　

정리해보자. 지금까지 현대 민주주의의 투표의 부당함에 대해 두 가지 관점에서 살펴봤다. 첫째는 투표가 약탈이 가능한 이 시스템에 동의한다는 행위라서 부당하다는 것이고, 둘째는 이 시스템에 동의하지 않는 사람들까지 약탈의 대상이 되는 이 시스템에 동의한다는 행위이므로 부당하다는 것이었다.

투표하지 않는 행위가 혹시 반대 세력이 활개치게 두게 되는 것은 아닐까? 그렇지 않다. 투표하지 않는 행위는 이 시스템의 정당성을 약화시킨다. 현대 민주주의의 큰 속임수가 있다. 민주주의에서 비롯된 통치 행위는 51%를 넘은 사람들이 그 통치 행위에 동의했기 때문에 자행되어도 된다는 매우 비논리적인 주장에 입각하고 있다. 이는 당연히 정당성이 없다. 그런데 진짜 큰 속임수는 그 통치 행위에 동의한 사람이 심지어 과반도 아니라는 것이다.

만약 어떤 후보가 생산에 적대적인 수준의 세금 부과와 보편 복지, 최저임금 인상 등의 모두가 고통받는 정책을 공약으로 내세워 당선이 되었다고 해보자. 해당 후보의 득표율이 51%라고 한다면 이는 전국의 51% 국민이 해당 후보를 지지하는 것과 같은 착각을 일으킨다. 그렇지 않다. 만약 투표율이 75%라면, 해당 후보에 동의한 사람은 0.75 x 0.51 = 38%가 된다. 즉, 38%의 동의로 인해 모든 사람이 함께 고통 받게 되는 것이다.

그래서 민주주의는 이러한 사실을 감추면서 사람들에게 투표를 독려할 수밖에 없다. 투표율이 조금만 낮아져도 이에 대한 정당성이 심각하게 낮아지기 때문이다. 투표율이 50%인 상황에서 어떤 후보가 51%의 표를 얻어 당선된다면 전 국민의 25%의 지지로 당선된 것과 같은데 이는 통치 행위에 대한 정당성을 매우 약화시킨다.

소비자 주권 행사

그러면 투표라는 행위가 없다면 일반 시민들은 어떻게 주권을 행사할 수 있을까? 사실 우리는 매일매일 자발적으로 투표를 하고 있다. 바로 미제스가 말한 '소비자 주권' 행사다.

우리는 기업들이 우리에게 어떤 효용을 주는지에 따라 계속 투표한다. 어떤 기업을 살리고, 어떤 기업을 죽일지, 어떤 기업을 거지 기업에서 부자 기업으로 만들지, 또는 어떤 기업을 부자 기업에서 거지 기업으로 만들지 투표한다. 바로 '소비'를 통해서 말이다.

이러한 소비라는 투표 방식은 완전히 자발적이라는 점에서 소유권을 제대로 보장한다. 약탈과는 완전히 동떨어진 행위다.

또한, 이러한 투표 방식은 각자가 원하는 대로 효용을 누릴 수 있다. 사법과 치안도 시장의 영역으로 들어오면 우리는 어떤 규칙 아래서 살아갈지 자유롭게 선택할 수 있다. 즉, 내가 선택한 규칙이 다른 사람에게도 강제되지 않고, 다른 사람이 선택한 규칙이 나에게 강제되지도 않는다. 서로 다른 규칙이 충돌하면 그 규칙들의 간극을 중재하는 기업이 나타난다. 자연적으로 질서가 꽃 피는 것이다.

생산 권한은 기업에게 달려있지만 심판은 소비자가 한다. 생산자가 소비자의 의지에 반하는 생산을 하면 바로 시장에서 퇴출되기 때문이다. 기업은 소비자에게 어떤 도덕적 의무를 강요할 수도 없다. 기업은 소비자가 원하는 것이 있다면 생산할 뿐이다. 소비자는 기업에게 자신들이 원하는 것을 최대한 효율적으로 자원을 분배하여 생산할 것을 명령하고 생산 권한을 위임하는 셈이다. 그 기업이 소비자가 원하는 것을 생산하지 않으면 어차피 다른 어떤 기업이 생산하여 거기서 챙길 수 있는 소비자의 표, 즉 이익을 가져갈 것이다.

만약 '소비'라는 투표 행위 자체에 반대한다면 오지에 있는 땅을 사서 문명을 떠나 자급자족하며 사는 것도 가능하다. 각자가 자신만의 방식으로 삶을 선택할 수 있는 것이다.

이 투표 시스템에서 표는 돈이다. 돈으로 투표를 한다는 것이 비인간적으로 느껴질지도 모르겠다. 그러나 돈으로 투표하는 것은 지극히 인간적인데, 그 투표권을 얻기 위해서는 먼저 다른 사람들이 원하는 것을 해줘서 그 표를 얻어야 하기 때문이다. 소비하려면 먼저 생산해야 한다. 이건 완전히 약탈 없는 시스템이고, 모든 인간 시간에 대한 존중이다.

이러한 이유들로 나는 이제 현대 민주주의에 대한 투표를 거부하지만, 동시에 매일 소비를 통해 투표하고 있다.

아고리즘이 자유주의 세상을 만드는 방법

이제 아고리즘의 전략을 살펴보자. 로스바드-호페의 질서 자유주의를 살펴본 뒤, 현대 민주주의의 투표에 대한 부당함을 살펴본 것이 뜬금 없는 이야기는 아니었는데, 아고리즘은 이러한 이유로 어떠한 투표도 거부하기 때문이다. 아고리즘의 창시자인 새뮤얼 콘킨 3세가 로스바드와 갈라선 것도 로스바드가 정치와 연대하는 전략적 행보를 보이면서부터였다.

아고리즘은 자유로운 세상을 만들기 위해 자유 시장인 아고라를 적극 활용할 것을 주장한다. 이들은 정부가 추적할 수 없는 자유로운 암시장을 확대해서 정부의 힘을 약화시키는 방법을 써야 한다고 주장한다. 이 암시장은 당연히 무기, 마약, 성매매 등을 포함한 시장을 말한다.

그래서 자유지상주의를 도래시키기 위한 이들의 전략은 정부가 추적할 수 없는 시장을 만들고, 하나의 병렬 경제(대항 경제)를 만들어 정부의 힘을 지속적으로 약화시키는 것이다. 이들은 납세 거부 운동, 투표 거부 운동을 장려하며 암시장과 암호 기술을 적극 활용한다. 참고로 사이퍼펑크 같은 기술 자유주의는 분류하자면 질서자유주의보다 아고리즘 쪽에 더 가깝다(로스 울브리히트의 실크로드를 생각해보자...!)

로스바드-호페의 질서자유주의와 콘킨의 아고리즘은 둘 다 자유지상주의의 실현을 목표로 하지만, 질서자유주의는 논리적으로 윤리적 정당성을 확보하고, 그러한 정당성을 바탕으로 자유지상주의를 실현시키기 위해 현실 세계에 이미 존재하는 제도들도 전략적으로 이용한다. 반면 콘킨의 아고리즘은 자유지상주의의 윤리적 정당성보다는 그걸 도래시키기 위한 전략들에 치중하며, 정치와 절대 타협하지 않고, 전략적으로 이용하려고도 하지 않는다. 목표는 같지만 서로 다른 방법을 취하는 것이다.

1980년 공개된 콘킨의 「신 자유주의자 선언」은 미제스와 로스바드, 르페브르에 대한 감사로 시작하지만, 1장에서 다음과 같은 문구도 나온다. (이것도 언제 다 번역해봐야겠다!)

"처음 나타난 반격은 ... 개혁주의—국가주의를—'개선'하겠다는 명분으로 국가의 직책을 받아들이는 것까지 포함한다!—이 모든 반反 원칙들에 대해서... 그중 가장 끔찍한 것은 '정당주의'인데, 이는 자유지상주의적 목적을 국가주의적 수단, 특히 정당을 통해 달성하려는 반反 개념이다. '자유지상주의' 정당은 국가가 이제 막 출현한 자유지상주의자들에게 퍼부은 두 번째 반격이었다. 처음에는 터무니 없는 모순으로, 그 다음에는 침략군으로 등장했다."

로스바드가 1992년 공화당 경선 후보였던 팻 뷰캐넌을 공개적으로 지지했을 때(이때 공화당 경선에서 뷰캐넌은 아버지 부시한테 졌고, 대선은 민주당 빌 클린턴 승리), 콘킨이 어떤 반응을 보였을지 상상해보자. 저런 선언문을 썼는데 말이다. 콘킨은 로스바드가 자유지상주의 원칙을 저버렸다면서 자신이 편집하는 잡지 『신 자유지상주의자』에서 로스바드의 행위를 "자유의 원칙을 포기한 행위"라고 비난했다.

반면 로스바드는 소수의 자유지상주의 지식인들만으로는 자유지상주의 사회를 건설할 수 없으므로 대중과 연합해야 한다고 주장했다. 팻 뷰캐넌 같은 인물을 통해 중산층이나 노동계층의 지지를 얻을 수 있고, 자유지상주의 목표를 달성할 수 있다고 했다. 이때 나온 전략이 자유주의적 경제 질서와 보수적 문화 질서를 결합한 '팔레오 자유지상주의'다. 로스바드는 아고리즘 세력에게 순수성만을 강조하며 현실 세계와 단절된 사람들은 무기력한 이상주의자들이라고 반박하며, 자신은 국가주의를 지지하는 게 아니라 그 세력 안에 있는 반국가적 잠재력을 이끌어내는 것이라고 했다.

그림 2. 아고리즘의 깃발

질서자유주의와 아고리즘의 공동체적 배제에 관한 입장 차이

콘킨의 아고리즘과 로스바드-호페 라인의 질서자유주의의 차이는 정치 같은 기존 제도들을 전략적으로 이용할 수 있는지뿐만 아니라 공동체적 배제에 관한 입장에서도 약간 갈라진다.

자유주의에서는 자유로운 수용과 자유로운 '배제'도 보장되어야 한다. 즉, 예를 들어 어떤 사람이 장사를 하는데 동성애자나 흑인이나 채식주의자를 직원이나 손님으로 받지 않는 것도 장사하는 사람의 자유로운 배제 권리라는 것이다. 자신의 사유지에 어떤 사람을 들일지, 들이지 않을지는 전적으로 소유자의 몫이다. 그리고 여기서 배제는 당연히 폭력으로 이어지지 않는 선에서의 자유로운 배제다.

이러한 배제가 한 공동체 전체로 퍼졌다고 해보자. 지금은 동성애자에 대한 예시만 들겠다(필자는 동성애에 대해 부정적 감정이 전혀 없으니 동성애자 분들은 오해 마시길). 만약 한 지역 소유자 공동체 전체가 동성애자에 대한 배제를 주장한다면 당연히 동성애자는 그 공동체에 들어갈 수가 없다.

여기서 이를 다루는 뉘앙스가 약간 다른데, 호페는 이를 자유로운 계약에 의한 공동체적 질서의 탄생이라 보며 긍정적으로 본다. 물론 절대로 이러한 배제가 폭력으로 이어져서는 안 된다. 폭력으로 이어지면 비침해성 공리 위반이므로 정당성이 없다.

아고리즘은 개인들의 자발적인 배제는 자유지만, 이것이 공동체적 배제로 발전하고 구조적 차별이나 집단적 억압으로 발전하는 건 국가의 또 다른 형태일 뿐이라 생각하여 이를 경계한다. 그래서 개인 차원의 자율적 배제는 정당하지만, 공동체 차원의 배제는 경계한다. 그렇다고 이걸 없애야 한다 이런 건 아니다(개인들의 자유로운 배제가 공동체 배제로도 이어질 수 있는 것이므로). 콘킨은 공동체적 배제가 탄생할 수 있지만 그것이 비합리적인 배제라면 대안 시장이 탄생할 것으로 본다. 동성애자들을 위한 시장과 마을이 생길 것이고, 비합리적인 배제는 이러한 고객들을 놓친 것에 대한 손실로 이어질 것이라고 본다. 즉, 모든 개인이 자유 시장 아고라에서 자발적으로 교환할 권리를 가져야 하며, 차별적인 배제들은 시장 안에서 경쟁할 수 있을 거라 본다. 만약 대안 시장이 없는 상황에서 모두가 배제한다면 이는 실질적 강제처럼 작동할 수 있기 때문이다.

자유지상주의 안에서 콘킨의 아고리즘은 차별이나 수용을 대하는 태도에서 좀 더 좌파적인 것처럼 보인다. 실제로 콘킨의 「신 자유주의자 선언」에 등장하는 용어들도 약간 그러한 뉘앙스가 있다. 콘킨은 전통적인 좌파 단어들을 전략적으로 차용했다. 예를 들면 혁명, 착취, 해방운동, 불복종, 저항, 암시장, 아나키즘 등의 단어다. 당연히 전통적인 좌파 단어의 뜻과는 완전히 다르다. 혁명은 아고라를 통한 "비정치적" 자유주의 혁명을 의미하며, 착취는 마르크스의 자본가가 노동자를 착취한다고 했던 그 착취가 아니라, 국가주의와 결탁한 크로니 자본주의자들의 제도적 진입장벽을 만들고, 캉티용 효과의 수혜를 누리는 그러한 오염된 자본주의자들이 하는 것을 착취라고 했다(아고리즘은 국가에 의존하지 않는 기업가와 국가로부터 특혜를 받는 착취적 기업가를 구분한다. 선언문 참고).

정리하자! 로스바드-호페의 질서 자유주의와 콘킨의 아고리즘의 차이점은 다음과 같다.

로스바드-호페의 질서 자유주의는 정치 등을 전략적으로 이용하는 것을 허용한다. 로스바드는 공화당 경선 후보를 공개적으로 지지하여 우파 사람들로부터 자유지상주의에 대한 관심을 끌려고 했고, 호페는 전국단위의 투표나 정당 활동은 거부해도 지역 단위의 투표는 승리 가능성에 따라 조건부로 허용한다. 반면 아고리즘은 어떠한 정치 활동도 거부하며 오직 국가의 통제로부터 동떨어진 자유로운 시장에 의한 혁명을 추구한다.

얼마 전에 있었던 비트코이너들이 보수 우파 스페이스에 들어가서 비트코인에 대해 전파하는 걸 상상해보면 쉽다. 우파 국가주의자들은 국가 시스템에 의한 문제 해결을 강력한 지도자가 등장해 모든 것을 해결해줘야 한다는 잘못된 방법론에 빠져있는 경우가 많은데(문제를 더 큰 문제로 해결하려는 셈...), 누군가는 이걸 보고 저런 사람들과 협력하면 안 된다고 할 것이고, 누군가는 비트코인과 자유주의를 전파하기 위해 그래도 가능성이 높은 이들 사회에 섞여들어가 이야기도 하고, 전파도 하려고 할 것이기 때문이다.

또한 한 가지 차이점은 질서 자유주의와 아고리즘 모두 공동체적 배제는 인정하나, 질서 자유주의는 이를 자유로운 계약에 의해 등장한 공동체적 질서로 보고, 아고리즘은 공동체적 배제가 집단적 억압으로 발전할 것을 경계한다. 아고리즘에서는 비합리적 차별에 의한 배제는 대안 시장이 생겨 극복될 수 있다고 본다.

자유주의 세상을 만들기 위해서는 어떻게 해야 하는가

이제 무엇이 옳은지 스스로 판단해보자. 지금부터는 개인적인 생각이 매우 많이 들어가있으므로 주의하라.

콘킨의 아고리즘은 암시장의 확대를 노려 정부 권한을 약화시키려 하지만 이는 대중의 지지를 얻기 어렵다. 또한, 이러한 병렬 경제는 한 곳에 집중되기 어렵고 넓고 약하게 퍼져있을 수밖에 없다.

로스바드-호페의 질서자유주의는 현실에 이미 존재하는 제도들을 전략적으로 활용한다. 현실적으로 대중의 지지를 얻을 가능성이 있고, 한 지역에 자유주의자들이 집중되면 적어도 그 지역에서는 지역 투표를 통해 위로부터의 전환이 가능하다. 하나의 자유지상주의적인 지역이 좋은 모범이 되면 다른 지역도 채택할 가능성이 커진다.

어떤 전략을 택해야 하는가? 나는 자유지상주의가 도래하게 하기 위해서는 두 전략 다 써야 한다고 생각한다. 질서자유주의자들의 주장대로 대중의 지지 없이는 자유지상주의가 도래하게 할 수 없다. 대한민국에 있는 "진짜" 비트코이너+자유지상주의자들이 대략 몇 명쯤 될까? 높게 잡아 1,000명 정도 된다고 해보자. 이들 전부가 특정 지역에 모인다고 해도 자유지상주의 질서를 건립할 수는 없다. 찾아보니 대한민국에서 인구가 가장 적은 시가 충남 계룡시라고 한다. 여기 인구는 약 4만3천 명인데, 여기에 51% 공격을 가하려고 해도 적어도 4만 명이 필요하다는 뜻이다. 따라서 아고리스트들처럼 대중의 지지를 얻기 위한 전략을 완고하게 거부하다간 어떠한 힘도 얻지 못하고 선민 의식에만 갇힐 수 있다.

반면 아고리스트들의 주장대로 병렬 경제도 필요하다. 잘 세뇌된 대중은 폭력 집단의 강탈이 있어야만 사회가 유지될 수 있다는 환상에 사로잡혀있다. 병렬 경제는 이러한 환상을 깨뜨릴 좋은 수단이다. 정부 추적이나 제3자 없이 부의 보존이 가능하고, 당사자끼리의 직접 결제가 가능하다는 것을 사람들이 경험하면 생각이 크게 바뀔 것이다. 비트코인으로 결제를 해본 사람과 한 번도 해본 적 없는 사람은 이런 자유지상주의 세상에 대한 이해의 폭이 다를 수밖에 없다. 또한, 비트코인은 개인들에게 큰 힘이 되는데 국가 시스템의 폭력으로부터 개인들이 생산 가치를 지킬 수 있는 강력한 방패이자 동시에 무기가 되기 때문이다.

그러나 아고리즘의 주장인 병렬 경제 중 특히 암시장 전략—국가의 통제가 미치지 않는 무기, 마약, 성매매 등을 확장하는 것—에는 동의하지 않는다. 당연히 자유지상주의자인 나는 총기나 마약, 성매매 등도 자발적인 계약에 의해 시장에서 더 건전하게 다뤄질 수 있다고 생각한다. 지금처럼 불법화되어있는 사회와 다르게 자유시장에서는 마약의 순도나 안정성에 대해 인증해주는 기관, 의사들도 등장할 것이고, 성매매도 비슷한 방식으로 질서화될 수 있다고 생각한다. 혹은 이러한 시장은 시간 선호를 지나치게 높이고 전통적인 가족 질서를 해칠 수 있으므로 공동체적 배제가 일어날 수도 있다. 무기, 마약, 성매매는 일반 대중들이 생각하는 '질서'와는 거리가 있다. 우리는 더 많은 사람들을 끌어들여야 하는데 이는 처음에 일단 거부감을 일으킬 수 있다.

따라서 자극적인 암시장보다는 사람들의 반감이 없는 상품들을 먼저 비트코인으로 거래하고, 국가가 추적하지 못하게 함으로써 납세 거부의 물결이 퍼지게 해야 한다. 동시에 더 많은 사람들에게 자유주의를 전파해야 한다. 더 많은 개인과 비트코인을 통한 병렬 경제라는 두 가지 무기가 함께 생겨야 지역 단위에서의 자유주의 세상을 만들 수 있을 것이다. 먼저 자유주의를 많은 사람들에게 전파해야 한다. 이 과정에서 좌파, 맑시즘, 케인지언들보다는 상대적으로 자유에 대한 이해가 좀 더 있는 집단인 우파 국가주의자들이나 기독교적 종교관을 가진 사람들 속에 섞여 들어가 거기서 전파를 할 수도 있다. 이러한 과정을 통해 자유주의자들이 많아지고, 한 지역에 모여야 한다. 비트코인이라는 무기를 가진 개인들이 한 지역에 모여 자유로운 시장을 형성하면, 호페가 말했던 것처럼 그 지역에서의 투표를 통해 작은 자유지상주의 세상을 만들 수 있다.

그림 3. 자유주의 세상을 만들기 위해서는 두 전략을 적절히 함께 써야 한다.

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in Bitcoin

Meanwhile Insurance Bitcoin (Bermuda) Limited (“Meanwhile”) announced it has become the first company in the world to release externally audited financial statements denominated entirely in Bitcoin. According to the announcement, the company reported 220.4 BTC in assets and 25.29 BTC in net income for 2024, a 300% year over year increase.

Today marks a global first & historic event for us, along with the public release of our 2024 audited financial statements, covering our 1st year of sales.

As the 1st company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited, we are excited to…

— meanwhile | Bitcoin Life Insurance (@meanwhilelife) June 5, 2025

“We’ve just made history as the first company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited,” said Zac Townsend, CEO of Meanwhile. “This is an important, foundational step in reimagining the financial system based on a single, global, decentralized standard outside the control of any one government.” 

The financial statements were audited by Harris & Trotter LLP and its digital asset division ht.digital. Meanwhile’s financials also comply with Bermuda’s Insurance Act 1978, noting that their BTC denominated financials were approved and comply with official guidelines. The firm, fully licensed by the Bermuda Monetary Authority (BMA), operates entirely in BTC and is prohibited from liquidating Bitcoin assets except through policyholder claims, positioning it as a long term holder. 

“As the first regulated Bitcoin life insurance company, we view the BTC held by Meanwhile as inherently long-term in nature—primarily held to support the Company’s insurance liabilities over decades,” Townsend added. “This makes it significantly ‘stickier’ and resistant to market pressures compared to the BTC held by other companies as part of their treasury management strategies.” 

Meanwhile’s 2024 financials also revealed 23.02 BTC in net premiums and 4.35 BTC in investment income, showing that its model not only preserves Bitcoin, but earns it. The company’s reserves (also held in BTC) were reviewed and approved by Willis Towers Watson (WTW). 

Meanwhile also offers a Bitcoin Whole Life insurance product that allows policyholders to save, borrow, and build legacy wealth—entirely in BTC, and has plans to expand globally in 2025.

“We are incredibly proud of today’s news as it underscores how Meanwhile is at the forefront of the next phase of the convergence between Bitcoin and institutional financial markets,” said Tia Beckmann, CFO of Meanwhile. “Now having generated net income in BTC, we have demonstrated that we are earning it through a sustainable insurance business model designed for the long term.” 

This post Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.