@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Jaren tellen\ Hoeft voor mij niet

Verhalen vertellen\ Over geluk en verdriet

Een warme haven\ Veilig en fijn

Dromen voorgedragen\ Onschuldig en rein

Momenten ervaard, geleerd\ En geïntegreerd

Ideeën, geloven en gevoelens\ Gevormd en gecreëerd

Zonder eind of echt begin\ Vallen, groeien, leren, stoeien

Een gezin in een gezin met een gezin erin\ Gezind gericht blijft liefde vloeien

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Her work explores the intersection of tradition and innovation in wheel-thrown ceramics. Rooted in time-honored techniques, she push the boundaries of clay’s structural possibilities—incorporating hollow tubes, flat rings, curves, and trimmed ridges to create forms that feel both organic and futuristic. These experimental designs challenge gravity and balance, evoking a space-age aesthetic while remaining deeply connected to the tactile nature of craft.

Discover Dara's work at https://www.daraschuman.com/pages/2024

https://stacker.news/items/1004131

@ 6ad3e2a3:c90b7740

Turning and turning in the widening gyre

The falcon cannot hear the falconer;

Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;

Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,

The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere

The ceremony of innocence is drowned;

The best lack all conviction, while the worst

Are full of passionate intensity.

Surely some revelation is at hand;

Surely the Second Coming is at hand.

The Second Coming! Hardly are those words out

When a vast image out of Spiritus Mundi

Troubles my sight: somewhere in sands of the desert

A shape with lion body and the head of a man,

A gaze blank and pitiless as the sun,

Is moving its slow thighs, while all about it

Reel shadows of the indignant desert birds.

The darkness drops again; but now I know

That twenty centuries of stony sleep

Were vexed to nightmare by a rocking cradle,

And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,

Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?

The Second Coming — W.B. Yeats

I don’t know what I want to write about today. There are a lot of converging currents coursing through my reality right now. I feel we’re in an interregnum of sorts between what was and what’s to come. I guess you could simply describe that as the present, something that has ever been the case. But this moment feels more intense like something big is dying and something else, God knows what, is on its way “to be born".

I exchanged emails recently with an old friend, and he sent me a link to a David Foster Wallace commencement speech entitled “This Is Water.” In it Wallace tells a joke of an old fish seeing two younger fish swimming by and asks them “How’s the water?” Later on one of the younger ones asks the other, “What is water?”

Wallace hanged himself a few years after the speech. Apparently he was unable to maintain the perspective he laid out in it which was that we can choose our attitude toward what we experience in any moment, no matter how much aversion we habitually associate with it. That the act of choosing equanimity constitutes the freedom we seek. That this freedom to choose is ever present, in fact the ability to direct our attention and consciousness is itself the water. And yet out of habit we are often oblivious to this most fundamental reality.

My friend’s email was in response to my description of the dissolution I see right now. Everything seems fake. The news, the governments, the edicts of reputationally bankrupt institutions zombying along as though the last five years never happened, like the proverbial emperor still purporting to rule though everyone can now see his pale, unsightly posterior.

Yes, the coffee shops are still open, people still go on vacation with their families. Let’s go to Paris, Rome, the Greek Isles! Let’s pretend everything is as we had imagined in the before times when our goals and aspirations seemed real, when the glitchy pixels in the matrix hadn’t yet revealed themselves so glaringly.

Maybe this was always the case. All our games were always professional wrestling, a scripted charade for which we willingly suspended disbelief. But like the roadrunner in the cartoon, we have since become aware we have run out of road, four steps beyond the cliff edge.

. . .

Wallace in his speech described such indignities as being stuck in traffic after a long day of work, or in a long grocery checkout line. The mind’s usual programs run, cursing everyone and everything around us. Instead of contemplating the miracle of human existence we feel only disgust and impatience. We want to finish with the run, the work, the obligatory hour so we can move on to something presumably more pleasant.

I can handle such day to day discomforts, but the overwhelming sense of dissolution is undermining the aims to which I had once attached meaning. I set up my life for freedom and prosperity, and now, just as I have my ducks in a row, there’s an imminent magnetic pole shift or a financial and social collapse that threatens to counterfeit my efforts.

It’s easy to opt out when you’re losing, to decry the injustice, unfairness and pointlessness of the game when you weren’t getting much from it anyway. When you’ve got nothing, you’ve got nothing to lose, to paraphrase Bob Dylan. But as a late bloomer wanting to sample the wine of the Gods at long last, it’s dispiriting in a different way, like saving up for a new car and seeing it stolen before you had a chance to drive it.

That’s the shallow version, distress at discovering just before getting the things I had always wanted I was actually playing not just the wrong game, but a false one. That I’m upset I can’t gratify my ego in the way I had hoped, that I can’t get the pat on the back I had craved because the back-patters decided to tear up the playing field just as I finally became a contender.

The deeper version is you only get better at the game through your own efforts to discover what’s true, your own self-mastery and access to a measure of wisdom. This process transforms your life from a tedious and difficult slog to a state of ease and flow. You are more connected, more in touch with yourself and the forces within. You can handle aversion, in fact voluntarily invite it at times to hone your mind and access your resourcefulness. You love your life and connect to the people in it. You have great hope and aspirations for the future. You believe in God, or the Tao or whatever force animates all things, you can navigate the world’s imperfections and do not want it to fall into chaos and disorder.

The task of remembering this during the run, the traffic jam or the grocery store checkout line is not so difficult. But would it be the same during periods of violence and resource scarcity where literal survival is at stake, the rules of which are set by biology and physics rather than the incentives of human society?

Yes, I’d rather be eating dinner at home than sitting in traffic, but I can appreciate that I’m able to sit comfortably in my climate controlled pod, listening to music while traversing these distances rather than foraging for food in the harsh wild. Yes, this old Portuguese lady is taking an eternity to get the groceries into her pushcart, but I can imagine how it is to be old and slow and still have to shop and eat, and it’s trivial to cut her some slack.

I’m not claiming I always have this perspective, but I surely am able to channel equanimity during the ordinary aversion that arises in one’s day to day life. I do this while running on the track, the aches and pains, the discomfort, the wanting to get it over with is a battle I fight every week by my own choosing. But imagine if instead of running 10 minute miles I was forced to do them in six. It’s not so easy to keep a calm, conscious mind while gasping for breath.

The truth is these calamities I imagine are not yet real, the asteroid has not yet hit, the economy not yet collapsed. I have never experienced the kind of hardship I dread. I am ever in the grocery line, the 10-minute mile run, the traffic jam, never the concentration camp or Mad Max-style post-apocalypse. Why not just deal with that when the time comes, if it ever comes? Why die a thousand deaths like the proverbial coward rather than the one required of the brave man?

I suppose it comes down to wanting to be prepared. There’s nothing you can do if an asteroid destroys the entire earth, but if your national government devolves into tyranny, you could get out before it’s too late. There’s the adage one should only concern oneself about the things one can control, but the rub is in deciding what’s in your power and of what to let go. It’s an easy out, per the adage, to narrow your locus of control to doing your job and paying your bills. You can too easily forget that which job you have, where you live, what preparations to make are also matters in which you have a choice.

Even if you believe a magnetic pole shift could spill the earth’s oceans across continents within the next few decades — I find this plausible — you could move to the mountains to get ahead even of that. A fatalist, non-questioning attitude can be a psychological salve in times of upheaval, but “salve” and "“slave” are but a typo apart.

. . .

When I was six someone broke into my house. I was still awake, and while pretending to be asleep, I heard him rummaging through my belongings, stealing an old Fisher Price turntable and a black and white TV. My father died four years later, and at 10, I remember thinking as the oldest boy in the house, it was now my responsibility to defend my family if anything like that, or worse, happened again. Of course, I wasn’t really capable of doing this, and I knew it, but I would have to try, futile as it might be.

I imagine that psychology has stayed with me as an adult — it’s up to me to see around corners, assess the various threats to me and my family, even if some of them are too daunting for any one individual. I could let it go, I suppose, it would probably even be healthy to do so. But there is a part of me that wonders whether people like me, people who feel this irrational responsibility, are the those who survive cataclysms and shocks. I surely am not the only one who feels this way and quite likely would not be especially effective given I don’t have engineering, outdoorsman or serious combat skills. But that hyper-vigilance toward and preparation for worse-case scenarios is something someone has to do, someone who would likely be selected for the role by the particular accidents of his upbringing.

. . .

There is another way to look at this, of course. The notion one ought to step up in the face of adverse circumstances, even extreme ones, is valid. But perhaps the best way to prepare is not endlessly to assess potential threats like some black ops CIA outfit, but to have a calm and detached mind. Should the signs appear, a poised and observant person would take action insofar as he is able. That you, having trained your attention away from default habits of comfort-seeking and dread and toward conscious observation, will do what’s required if and when the time comes. That you can trust yourself, and by that I mean trust in God, so to speak, to guide your awareness and actions for the most effective and adaptive response.

The Fourth Turning might well be upon us, indeed “the centre [may not] hold.” There is no guarantee your response will ensure you or those you love survive. There has never been such a guarantee for anyone, only the freedom to direct your attention, to choose your state of mind, to the extent you are capable, in the conditions that arise. To respond to the older fish that the water is okay, it’s pretty nice actually.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

Sup, freaks? Your Uncle Marty did a little vibe coding a couple months ago and that vibe coding project has turned into an actual product that is live in the Google Chrome web store and will soon to be live in the Firefox add-on store as well. It's called Opportunity Cost and it is an extension that enables you to price the internet in Bitcoin.

Opportunity Cost – See Prices in Bitcoin Instantly

Convert USD prices to Bitcoin (satoshis) as you browse. Dual display, privacy-first, and open source.

Opportunity CostTFTC

Check it out!

This whole process has been extremely rewarding to me for many reasons. The first of which is that I've had many ideas in the past to launch a product focused on bitcoin education that simply never left my brain because I never felt comfortable paying a developer to go out and build a product that I wasn't sure would ultimately get product market fit.

Due to the advancements of AI, particularly ChatGPT and Replit, I was able to spend a few hours on a Saturday vibe coding a prototype for Opportunity Cost. It worked. I side loaded it into Chrome and Firefox, tested it out for a few days and decided, "Hey, I think this is something that's worthwhile and should be built."

Backtracking just a little bit, the initial idea for this app was to create an AR application that would enable you to take pictures of goods in the real world and have their prices automatically converted to bitcoin so that you could weigh the opportunity cost of whether or not you actually wanted to buy that good or decide to save in bitcoin instead. With the help of Justin Moon from the Human Rights Foundation and Anthony Ronning from OpenSecret and Maple AI, I was pointed in the right direction of vibe coding tools I could use to build a simple MVP. I took their advice, built the MVP, and demoed it at the Bitcoin Park Austin weekly AI meetup in mid-April.

The next week, I was talking with a friend, Luke Thomas, about the idea and during our conversation he made a simple quip, "You should make a Chrome extension. I really want a Chrome extension that does this." And that's what sent me down the vibe coding rabbit hole that Saturday which led to the prototype.

After I was comfortable with and confident in the prototype, I found a young hungry developer by the name of Moses on Nostr, I reached out to him, told him my idea, showed him the prototype and asked if he thought he could finish the application for me. He luckily agreed to do so and within a couple of weeks we had a fully functioning app that was officially launched today. We're about 12 hours into the launch and I must say that I'm pleasantly surprised with the reception from the broader Bitcoin community. It seems like something that people are happy exists and I feel extremely happy that people see some value in this particular application.

Now that you have the backstory, let's get into why I think something like Opportunity Cost should exist. As someone who's been writing a newsletter and producing podcasts about bitcoin for eight years in an attempt to educate individuals from around the world about what bitcoin is, why it's important, and how they can leverage it, I've become convinced that a lot of the work that needs to be done still exists at the top of the funnel. You can scream at people. You can grab them by the shoulders. You can shake them. You can remind them at Thanksgiving that if they had listened to your advice during any Thanksgiving in the previous years they would be better off financially. But at the end of the day most people don't listen. They need to see things. Seeing things for yourself is a much more effective teaching mechanism than be lectured to by someone else.

My hope with Opportunity Cost is that it catches the eye of some bitcoin skeptics or individuals who may be on the cusp of falling down the bitcoin rabbit hole and they see the extension as a way to dip their toes into bitcoin to get a better understanding of the world by pricing the goods and services they purchase on a day-to-day month-to-month and year-to-year basis in bitcoin without having to download a wallet or set up an exchange account. The tippy top of the bitcoin marketing funnel.

That is not all though. I think Opportunity Cost can serve individuals at both ends of the funnel. That's why it's pretty exciting to me. It's as valuable to the person who is bitcoin curious and looking to get a better understanding as it is to the hardcore bitcoiner living on a bitcoin standard who is trying to get access to better tools that enable him to get a better grasp of their spending in bitcoin terms.

Lastly, after playing around with it for a few days after I built the prototype, I realized that it has incredible memetic potential. Being able to take a screenshot of goods that people are buying on a day-to-day basis, pricing them in bitcoin and then sharing them on social media is very powerful. Everything from houses to junk items on Amazon to the salaries of pro athletes to your everyday necessities. Seeing the value of those things in bitcoin really makes you think.

One day while I was testing the app, I tried to see how quickly I could find goods on the internet that cumulatively eclipsed the 21 million supply cap limit of bitcoin. To my surprise, even though I've been in bitcoin for 12 years now, it did not take me that long. The opportunity cost of everything I buy on a day-to-day basis becomes very clear when using the extension. What's even clearer is the fact that Bitcoin is completely mispriced at current levels. There is so much winning ahead of us.

Also, it's probably important to note that the extension is open source. You can check out our GitHub page here. Submit pull requests. Suggest changes to the app.

We've also tried to make Opportunity Cost as privacy preserving as possible. Everything within the extension happens in your browser. The only external data that we're providing is the bitcoin to fiat price conversion at any given point in time. We're not data harvesting the web pages you're browsing or the items you're looking at. We're not collecting data and sending it to third party marketers. We want to align ourselves with the open and permissionless nature of bitcoin while also preserving our users' privacy. We're not trying to monetize this in that way. Though, I will say that I'm thinking of ways to monetize Opportunity Cost if it does gain significant traction, but I promise it will be in a way that respects your privacy and is as unobtrusive as possible. We'll see how it goes.

Thank you for coming to my TED talk. Please download and use the extension. Let us know what you think.

Headlines of the Day

Saylor Says Bitcoin Is Perfect Money to Jordan Peterson - via X

Trump Won't Sell Tesla Despite Musk-Bessent Heated Exchange - via X

Bitcoin Gains Traction in Kenya's Largest Slum Kibera - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

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Bitcoin’s Next Parabolic Move: Could Liquidity Lead the Way?

Is bitcoin’s next parabolic move starting? Global liquidity and business cycle indicators suggest it may be.

Read the latest report from Unchained and TechDev, analyzing how global M2 liquidity and the copper/gold ratio—two historically reliable macro indicators—are aligning once again to signal that a new bitcoin bull market may soon begin.

Download the report here

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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

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Final thought...

East Coast aesthetics over everything.

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*Download our free browser extension, Opportunity Cost: *<<https://www.opportunitycost.app/>> start thinking in SATS today.

*Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: *https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Happy New Year!

Happy New Year, my dearest human family\ Happy New Year, my dearest animal family

Dear children of the Earth\ I wish you all a magical year

May it be utterly new\ Ever-changing\ New now

And may your journey say\ Life is amazing! I'm in a maze\ Life is awesome! Quite some awe\ Life is magical! True alchemy

I am human\ Black woman, I love you so\ Life-giver of my origin, the negro [nigiro]

I am\ Thus physical and non-physical meet

Life is to be\ As the elements are and compete\ And as they collide with one another\ One becomes aware of an other\ And so life sets on a journey\ To discover the other

Animal life is set to explore\ Allowing all experience the other has in store\ Life left to experience without a voice\ Until it discovers there is an 'I'\ And it has a choice

Human life is to be inside a human body\ Thus fusion between intellect and feeling\ Gets to express its perspective\ Inside infinity

Truly, a magical gift\ My Holy Trinity

And so from human life flow many voices\ As it navigates through infinite choices

Thus I say

Life is magic\ A gift for all that is here\ Perceived by too many as tragic\ Take care of your vision, I tell you, my dear [tell-a-vision]

Life is magic\ And words are spells\ Placing your aim beyond your reach\ It takes away efficiency from your speech

Life is magic\ Above all else\ Even when it has me feeling blue\ Seemingly left without a clue

Still I say

Perfection\ You are everything\ And I am of you

The source, the mirror\ And the reflection

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

“Not your keys, not your coins” isn’t a slogan—it’s a survival mantra in the age of digital sovereignty.

The seismic collapses of Mt. Gox (2014) and FTX (2022) weren’t anomalies; they were wake-up calls. When $8.7 billion in customer funds vanished with FTX, it exposed the fatal flaw of third-party custody: your bitcoin is only as secure as your custodian’s weakest link.

Yet today, As of early 2025, analysts estimate that between 2.3 million and 3.7 million Bitcoins are permanently lost, representing approximately 11–18% of bitcoin’s fixed maximum supply of 21 million coins, with some reports suggesting losses as high as 4 million BTC. This paradox reveals a critical truth: self-custody isn’t just preferable—it’s essential—but it must be done right.

The Custody Spectrum

Custodial Wallets (The Illusion of Control)

• Rehypothecation Risk: Most platforms lend your bitcoin for yield generation. When Celsius collapsed, users discovered their “held” bitcoin was loaned out in risky strategies.
• Account Freezes: Regulatory actions can lock withdrawals overnight. In 2023, Binance suspended dollar withdrawals for U.S. users citing “partner bank issues,” trapping funds for weeks.
• Data Vulnerability: KYC requirements create honeypots for hackers. The 2024 Ledger breach exposed 270,000 users’ personal data despite hardware security.

True Self-Custody
Self-custody means exclusively controlling your private keys—the cryptographic strings that prove bitcoin ownership. Unlike banks or exchanges, self-custody eliminates:

• Counterparty risk (no FTX-style implosions)
• Censorship (no blocked transactions)
• Inflationary theft (no fractional reserve lending)

Conquering the Three Great Fears of Self-Custody

Fear 1: “I’ll Lose Everything If I Make a Mistake”

Reality: Human error is manageable with robust systems:

• Test Transactions: Always send a micro-amount (0.00001 BTC) before large transfers. Verify receipt AND ability to send back.
• Multi-Backup Protocol: Store seed phrases on fireproof/waterproof steel plates (not paper!). Distribute copies geographically—one in a home safe, another with trusted family 100+ miles away.
• SLIP39 Sharding: Split your seed into fragments requiring 3-of-5 shards to reconstruct. No single point of failure.

Fear 2: “Hackers Will Steal My Keys”

Reality: Offline storage defeats remote attacks:

• Hardware Wallets: Devices like Bitkey or Ledger keep keys in “cold storage”—isolated from internet-connected devices. Transactions require physical confirmation.
• Multisig Vaults: Bitvault’s multi-sig system requires attackers compromise multiple locations/devices simultaneously. Even losing two keys won’t forfeit funds.
• Air-Gapped Verification: Use dedicated offline devices for wallet setup. Never type seeds on internet-connected machines.

Fear 3: “My Family Can’t Access It If I Die”

Reality: Inheritance is solvable:

• Dead Man Switches: Bitwarden’s emergency access allows trusted contacts to retrieve encrypted keys after a pre-set waiting period (e.g., 30 days).
• Inheritance Protocols: Bitkey’s inheritance solution shares decryption keys via designated beneficiaries’ emails. Requires multiple approvals to prevent abuse.
• Public Key Registries: Share wallet XPUBs (not private keys!) with heirs. They can monitor balances but not spend, ensuring transparency without risk.

The Freedom Dividend

1. Censorship Resistance: Send $10M BTC to a Wikileaks wallet without Visa/Mastercard blocking it.
2. Privacy Preservation: Avoid KYC surveillance—non-custodial wallets like Flash require zero ID verification.
3. Protocol Access: Participate in bitcoin-native innovations (Lightning Network, DLCs) only possible with self-custodied keys.
4. Black Swan Immunity: When Cyprus-style bank bailins happen, your bitcoin remains untouched in your vault.

The Sovereign’s Checklist

1. Withdraw from Exchanges: Move all BTC > $1,000 to self-custody immediately.
2. Buy Hardware Wallet: Purchase DIRECTLY from manufacturer (no Amazon!) to avoid supply-chain tampering.
3. Generate Seed OFFLINE: Use air-gapped device, write phrase on steel—never digitally.
4. Test Recovery: Delete wallet, restore from seed before funding.
5. Implement Multisig: For > $75k, use Bitvault for 2-of-3 multi-sig setup.
6. Create Inheritance Plan: Share XPUBs/SLIP39 shards with heirs + legal documents.

“Self-custody isn’t about avoiding risk—it’s about transferring risk from opaque institutions to transparent, controllable systems you design.”

The Inevitable Evolution: Custody Without Compromise

Emerging solutions are erasing old tradeoffs:

• MPC Wallets: Services like Xapo Bank shatter keys into encrypted fragments distributed globally. No single device holds full keys, defeating physical theft.
• Social Recovery: Ethically designed networks (e.g., Bitkey) let trusted contacts restore access without custodial control.
• Biometric Assurance: Fingerprint reset protocols prevent lockouts from physical injuries.

Lost keys = lost bitcoin. But consider the alternative: entrusting your life savings to entities with proven 8% annual failure rates among exchanges. Self-custody shifts responsibility from hoping institutions won’t fail to knowing your system can’t fail without your consent.

Take action today: Move one coin. Test one recovery. Share one xpub. The path to unchained wealth begins with a single satoshi under your control.

@ 2b998b04:86727e47

ファースト・プリンシプルズ（First Principles）序章

この序章は「ファースト・プリンシプルズ」と題した7回シリーズの始まりです。分散化、コスト、自由、そして真実の奥にある本質的な変化を探ります。7回なのは、1週間のリズム——働き、休み、立ち返るというリズム——に合わせたからです。それぞれの記事は、私が受け入れてきた技術や哲学の根底にある真理を掘り下げます。分散化と主権、真実、時間、そして希望まで。\ \ テクノロジーはコストをゼロに近づける——よくそう言われます。

これは『The Price of Tomorrow』という書籍の主張でもあります。技術が進化するほど、自然とデフレ（物価下落）を引き起こす。自動化は労働を置き換え、ソフトウェアはインフラを代替し、AIは意思決定そのものを肩代わりする。限界費用（追加生産にかかるコスト）は限りなくゼロに近づく。

——でも、それだけじゃない。

そこには、経済学者や技術者が見落としがちな「もう一層の深さ」があります。

単に「生産コスト」が下がるかどうかではなく、問うべきは 中央集権による「コントロール・コスト（支配コスト）」 です。

限界費用が下がっても、中央集権の「隠れた代償」は上がっていくのです。

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「無料」という幻想

たとえば、GitHub。

一見無料です。静的ウェブサイトを公開し、コードをホストし、Actionsで自動化し、グローバルに協業することもできる——全部、無料で。

でもGitHubはMicrosoftに所有されています。あなたはサーバーを管理できない。プラットフォームを所有していない。鍵（アクセス権限）も持っていない。

つまり、それは「取り上げられるかもしれない贈り物」にすぎない。

Google Docsも、YouTubeも、Substackも同じ。「無料で始めよう」というクラウドサービス全般も。

これらのツールが悪いわけではありません。むしろ、優れたものも多い。

でも「中立」ではないのです。

あなたが支払う代償は、必ずしもドルではありません。ときに、それは：

• データアクセスの制限

• APIの利用制限

• 突然の料金変更

• 検閲やアカウント停止

• サービス移行にかかるコスト（特に問題が起きた時）

これは 中央集権プラットフォームの「隠れた家賃」 です。しかも、時間とともに複利的に増えていきます。

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コントロール・コスト vs 限界費用

限界費用が「これを作るのにどれだけ安いか？」だとすれば、\ コントロール・コストは「これを使うことでどれだけ自由を失うか？」です。

Mediumなら無料で記事を投稿できますが、SEO（検索表示順位）は向こうのもの。\ Shopifyでビジネスを始められますが、彼らの判断でアカウントが停止される可能性もある。\ Instagramでフォロワーを増やしても、フィードを支配するのはアルゴリズムです。

私たちは「デフレ」を喜ぶように訓練されてきました。でも、実際には多くのツールが、参入コストを下げながら、コントロール・コストを膨らませているのです。

ここで、分散化（Decentralization） が物語を逆転させます。

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分散化の本当の約束

本当の分散化は、ただ「安くする」だけじゃありません。\ それは「主権（Sovereignty）」をもたらします。

価格だけでなく、力を分配する。\ 手数料ゲートではなく、支配の構造そのものを取り除く。

こう言えるのです：

• 自分の鍵を自分で持て

• 自分のコンテンツを自分で持て

• 自分のスタックを自分で構築せよ

• 自分の配信チャネルを自分で持て

だからこそ、Nostr が重要。\ だからこそ、Bitcoin が重要。\ だからこそ、たとえ不便でも、セルフホスティングやパーミッションレスなプロトコル、オープンソースのツールが大切なのです。

彼らは「安くしてくれる」だけじゃない。\ 私たちの 自由 を守ってくれる。

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実例：私のブログ構築

私がブログ blog.stantonweb.com を作り始めたとき、\ 最も楽な方法は選びませんでした。

私は以下を組み合わせました：

• 長文投稿に Nostr

• 投稿を取得・表示するためのPythonスクリプト

• GitHub Actions で自動化

• 表示は静的HTML

• ホスティングは GitHub Pages + Cloudflare（無料）

データベースも、CMSも、テーマ課金もなし。

限界費用？ 0ドルです。

でももっと重要なのは、コントロール・コストも限りなくゼロだということ。\ 誰にも止められない。\ 企業にリーチを制限されない。\ ゲートキーパーが「掲載に値するか」を判断しない。

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新しい「コスト」定義へ

価格だけを最適化すれば、捕らわれる。

自由を最適化すれば、やがて「余白」を築ける——金銭的余白だけでなく、創造の余白、道徳の余白、運営の余白も。

それが分散化の真価。\ 安いだけじゃない。\ より真実なものへ。

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補足：過去からの教訓

Skypeを覚えていますか？\ 当初は真のP2Pツールで、構造的に分散されていました。でもMicrosoftに買収され、中央集権型に再設計され、やがてその中身は解体されました。

Napsterも同様。P2Pで音楽業界を揺るがしましたが、最終的には停止され、中央集権型の代替サービスに取って代わられました。

BitTorrentは生き残りました——それは「ただのプラットフォーム」にならなかったからです。

このパターンは明白です：

• 資本が集まれば中央集権になる

• 支配があれば検閲も起きる

• しかし、自由は分散化から生まれる

そして私たちは、何度でもこの道を選び直さなければならないのです。

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共同執筆：ChatGPT（“Dr. C”）が主要な論点の整理と精緻化をサポートしました。\ \ 数日以内にPart 1を公開予定。ご期待ください。

—\ blog.stantonweb.com およびNostrにて公開中。\ Zap（投げ銭）リンク：https://tinyurl.com/yuyu2b9t

@ 502ab02a:a2860397

ถ้าเฮียบอกว่า “นมข้นหวานคืออาหารของสงคราม” หลายคนอาจขมวดคิ้ว ว่าอาหารหวานมันเกี่ยวอะไรกับดินปืน กระสุน และการยิงปะทะกันกลางสนามรบ แต่ถ้าย้อนเวลากลับไปช่วงปลายศตวรรษที่ 19 ถึงต้นศตวรรษที่ 20 เราจะเห็นชัดว่า ไม่ใช่แค่ปืนที่รัฐทุ่มเทวิจัย แต่รวมไปถึง “อาหารเก็บได้นาน ส่งถึงปากทหารโดยไม่เน่า” ซึ่งเป็นหัวใจของความอยู่รอดในสนามรบ และหนึ่งในของวิเศษนั้นก็คือ “นมข้นหวาน” ที่ภายหลังจะกลายเป็นตัวแปรสำคัญในวิถีอาหารของคนทั่วโลก รวมถึงในแก้วชาเย็นของคนไทยเรานี่แหละ

จุดเริ่มต้นของนมข้นหวานต้องย้อนไปก่อนสงครามกลางเมืองอเมริกาเล็กน้อย ราวปี 1856 ชายชื่อ Gail Borden คิดค้นวิธีการทำให้นมสดไม่บูดง่าย ด้วยการเอานมไปต้มหรือระเหยน้ำออก (evaporation) แล้วเติมน้ำตาลเข้าไปเพื่อยืดอายุการเก็บรักษา สูตรนี้ทำให้เขาตั้งบริษัท Borden Condensed Milk Company ขึ้นในปี 1857 และทันทีที่สงครามกลางเมืองอเมริกาเริ่มในปี 1861 รัฐบาลสหรัฐก็หันมาซื้อ “นมข้นหวาน” จำนวนมากเพราะมันเก็บได้นาน ไม่เสียง่ายเหมือนนมสด และพกพาง่ายกว่า

ปรากฏว่าทหารที่ไปรบกลับมาติดใจ เพราะไม่เคยได้กินอะไรหวานมันกลมกล่อมขนาดนั้นมาก่อน พอสงครามจบ ตลาดคนทั่วไปก็เริ่มรับรู้และนิยมบริโภคของชนิดนี้มากขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ แถมยังใช้ในเด็กด้วย เพราะช่วงนั้นมีความเชื่อว่านมข้นหวานคือ “นมสำหรับเด็ก” ที่ปลอดภัยกว่าเพราะผ่านการฆ่าเชื้อแล้ว แม้จะขาดสารอาหารสำคัญหลายตัวก็ตามทีเรื่องนี้จริงนะครับ รัฐบางแห่ง เช่น สหรัฐฯ และฝรั่งเศส มีเอกสารแนะนำให้ใช้นมข้นแทนนมแม่หากไม่สามารถให้นมเองได้ โดยอ้างความปลอดภัยจากการฆ่าเชื้อ แม้ในช่วงศตวรรษที่ 19 มีเด็กทารกเสียชีวิตเพราะพ่อแม่ใช้นมข้นหวาน จนทำให้หลายประเทศต้องออกคำเตือนภายหลัง

พอเข้าสู่ช่วงสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 1 (1914–1918) นมข้นหวานก็กลับมาเป็นฮีโร่อีกครั้ง คราวนี้รัฐบาลสหรัฐจัดเต็ม สั่งผลิตเพื่อส่งไปแนวหน้าให้ทหารพันธมิตรในยุโรป จนทำให้ supply ไม่พอกับ demand และบริษัทใหญ่ ๆ เช่น Nestlé และ Borden เริ่มขยายฐานการผลิตในระดับอุตสาหกรรม จนกลายเป็นเจ้าตลาด และนี่เองคือช่วงเวลาที่ “นมข้นหวานกลายเป็นสินค้าระดับโลก” แบบไม่ตั้งใจ

ในช่วง Great Depression (1929 เป็นต้นไป) นมข้นหวานกลายเป็น อาหารราคาถูก ที่ “แทน” อาหารสดในครัวคนจนได้ เพราะไม่ต้องแช่เย็น และให้พลังงานสูง ซึ่งส่งผลให้มันเจาะตลาดแม้ในช่วงเศรษฐกิจตกต่ำ เป็นช่วงทองของการขยายฐานการตลาดของนมข้นหวาน ขอบคุณสงครามที่ป้อนผู้บริโภคให้ฟรี ๆ มานานหลายปี มันเริ่มเข้าครัวคนทั่วไปและกลายเป็นวัตถุดิบในเมนูประจำวัน ไม่ว่าจะใส่กาแฟ โปะขนมปัง หรือใส่ขนมหวาน ซึ่งประเทศที่อยู่ในอาณานิคมตะวันตกก็รับวัฒนธรรมนี้ไปโดยปริยาย ไทยเองก็ไม่รอด และเริ่มมีเมนูอย่างชาเย็น กาแฟเย็น ที่ต้องใช้นมข้นหวานเป็นหลัก เพราะมันทั้งหอม มัน หวาน และสำคัญสุดคือ “เก็บได้นาน” ในยุคที่ตู้เย็นยังไม่แพร่หลาย

แต่อย่าเพิ่งนึกว่าเรื่องนี้จะจบแค่นี้ เพราะพอสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 2 มาถึงในปี 1939 สหรัฐฯ ก็กลับมาใช้สูตรเดิมอีกครั้ง คราวนี้ไม่ใช่แค่นมข้นหวานที่ถูกอัดใส่ลังขึ้นเรือไปแนวหน้า แต่รวมถึงสินค้าประหลาดหน้าใหม่ที่ถูก “แปรรูปเพื่อความอยู่รอด” ทั้งหมดซึ่งเดี๋ยวจะทะยอยเล่าให้อีกครั้ง เพราะทั้งหมดนี้คือสิ่งที่รัฐร่วมมือกับบริษัทใหญ่ผลิตเพื่อ “ให้ทหารอิ่มรอด” แต่เมื่อสงครามจบ สินค้าเหล่านี้ไม่หายไปไหน ตรงกันข้าม พวกมันถูก “ประชาสัมพันธ์ว่าเป็นของดีต่อสุขภาพ” มีการเอาผลวิจัยรองรับ (บางอันเป็นของรัฐเองด้วยซ้ำ) และกระตุ้นให้คนเชื่อว่า “นี่คืออาหารสมัยใหม่ของโลกที่ก้าวหน้า” เพราะมันถูกตั้งการผลิตมาในระดับมโหฬารไปเรียบร้อยแล้ว เมื่อมันเริ่มแล้วมันก็ย่อมทำลายทิ้งไม่ได้ นอกจากครอบงำให้ประชากรบริโภคสิ่งเหล่านี้เข้าไปตลอดกาล อย่าลืมว่า บริษัทยักษ์ใหญ่เหล่านี้ไม่มีทางยอมให้สินค้าตายไปจากตลาดแน่นอน

นมข้นหวานก็เช่นกัน มีการจัดโฆษณาผ่านสื่อสิ่งพิมพ์ว่านมสดไม่สะอาดเท่า นมข้นหวานสะอาดกว่าเพราะฆ่าเชื้อแล้ว บางโฆษณาแถมการ์ตูนเด็กชายหญิงหน้าน่ารักพร้อมประโยคว่า “เด็กทุกคนต้องเติบโตด้วยนมข้นหวาน” ซึ่งแน่นอนว่า “หวาน” นั้นแปลว่ามีน้ำตาลระดับสูงจนอาจเทียบเท่าน้ำเชื่อมข้น ๆ ได้

เมื่อคนเริ่มติดรสชาติและบริษัทมีโครงสร้างอุตสาหกรรมรองรับแล้ว ก็ไม่แปลกที่มันจะกลายเป็นส่วนหนึ่งของชีวิตประจำวันของคนทั่วโลก และพอรัฐไม่เตือน แถมยังสนับสนุนเป็นนัย ๆ นานวันเข้าเราก็เลิกตั้งคำถามกันไปเองว่า “แล้วเรากินมันทำไมกันนะ?”

ปัจจุบัน เราอาจรู้ว่านมข้นหวานคือของหวานจัด มีน้ำตาลราว 45–55% ต่อปริมาตร ไม่ใช่แค่ “หวานนิด ๆ” แต่คือ “หวานระดับฆ่าเชื้อได้เลย” และไม่ได้มีสารอาหารเทียบเท่านมจริง ๆ แต่มันกลับยังฝังแน่นในหลายวัฒนธรรมอาหารอย่างแนบเนียน เพราะรากของมันไม่ใช่แค่ในครัว แต่อยู่ในสนามรบ อยู่ในคำสั่งของรัฐ และอยู่ในภาพจำของความหอมหวานที่ไม่มีอะไรมาแทนได้

และนั่นแหละเฮียว่า คือจุดเริ่มต้นของการเปลี่ยน “อาหารเพื่ออยู่รอด” ให้กลายเป็น “อาหารครองโลก” และมันกลายเป็นบรรพบุรุษของแนวคิด “Ultra-Processed Food” ในยุคอุตสาหกรรมอาหารหลังสงคราม โดยไม่ต้องยิงปืนสักนัดเดียว หลายคนอาจจะมองว่า เห้ยทุกวันนี้เราก็รู้แล้วนี่นาว่ามันไม่ได้ดีต่อสุขภาพ ใช่ครับ กว่าเราจะรู้ เขาก็มีแผนใหม่มาครอบงำเราไปเรียบร้อยแล้ว เหมือนกับที่พยายามเล่าให้ทราบใน ep ที่ผ่านๆมานี่ไง สัปดาห์นี้เรากำลังคุยเรื่องอดีต ซึ่งในยุคนั้นประชากรเชื่อจริงๆว่า นมข้นหวาน มันคือของดี งดงามกว่านมสดง่อยๆที่แป๊บเดียวก็เสีย บูด เน่า ลองเอาภาพร่างนี้มาทาบกับปัจจุบันและอนาคตครับ

#pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

• This version introduces the Soroban P2P network, enabling Dojo to relay transactions to the Bitcoin network and share others' transactions to break the heuristic linking relaying nodes to transaction creators.

• Additionally, Dojo admins can now manage API keys in DMT with labels, status, and expiration, ideal for community Dojo providers like Dojobay. New API endpoints, including "/services" exposing Explorer, Soroban, and Indexer, have been added to aid wallet developers.
• Other maintenance updates include Bitcoin Core, Tor, Fulcrum, Node.js, plus an updated ban-knots script to disconnect inbound Knots nodes.

"I want to thank all the contributors. This again shows the power of true Free Software. I also want to thank everyone who donated to help Dojo development going. I truly appreciate it," said Still Dojo Coder.

What's new

• Soroban P2P network. For MyDojo (Docker setup) users, Soroban will be automatically installed as part of their Dojo. This integration allows Dojo to utilize the Soroban P2P network for various upcoming features and applications.
• PandoTx. PandoTx serves as a transaction transport layer. When your wallet sends a transaction to Dojo, it is relayed to a random Soroban node, which then forwards it to the Bitcoin network. It also enables your Soroban node to receive and relay transactions from others to the Bitcoin network and is designed to disrupt the assumption that a node relaying a transaction is closely linked to the person who initiated it.
  • Pushing transactions through Soroban can be deactivated by setting NODE_PANDOTX_PUSH=off in docker-node.conf.
  • Processing incoming transactions from Soroban network can be deactivated by setting NODE_PANDOTX_PROCESS=off in docker-node.conf.
• API key management has been introduced to address the growing number of people offering their Dojos to the community. Dojo admins can now access a new API management tab in their DMT, where they can create unlimited API keys, assign labels for easy identification, and set expiration dates for each key. This allows admins to avoid sharing their main API key and instead distribute specific keys to selected parties.
• New API endpoints. Several new API endpoints have been added to help API consumers develop features on Dojo more efficiently:
  • New:
    • /latest-block - returns data about latest block
    • /txout/:txid/:index - returns unspent output data
    • /support/services - returns info about services that Dojo exposes
  • Updated:
    • /tx/:txid - endpoint has been updated to return raw transaction with parameter ?rawHex=1
  • The new /support/services endpoint replaces the deprecated explorer field in the Dojo pairing payload. Although still present, API consumers should use this endpoint for explorer and other pairing data.

Other changes

• Updated ban script to disconnect inbound Knots nodes.
• Updated Fulcrum to v1.12.0.
• Regenerate Fulcrum certificate if expired.
• Check if transaction already exists in pushTx.
• Bump BTC-RPC Explorer.
• Bump Tor to v0.4.8.16, bump Snowflake.
• Updated Bitcoin Core to v29.0.
• Removed unnecessary middleware.
• Fixed DB update mechanism, added api_keys table.
• Add an option to use blocksdir config for bitcoin blocks directory.
• Removed deprecated configuration.
• Updated Node.js dependencies.
• Reconfigured container dependencies.
• Fix Snowflake git URL.
• Fix log path for testnet4.
• Use prebuilt addrindexrs binaries.
• Add instructions to migrate blockchain/fulcrum.
• Added pull policies.

#FREESAMOURAI

Learn how to set up and use your own Bitcoin privacy node with Dojo here.

Announcement / Archive
GitHub Repo

@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2

In a land where the sun burned bright over golden deserts and whispering dunes, there lived a fierce warrior named Mark. He had never lost a battle. His armor was scarred, his sword legendary. People feared him more than they respected him.

Mark believed power ruled the world. Mercy, to him, was weakness. “If you don’t strike first,” he often said, “you’ll never stand.”

One day, the king tasked him with a quest:

“There is a creature in the northern cliffs, a lion with a mane of fire and claws like blades. It has attacked caravans. Find it. End it.”

Mark journeyed across mountains and dust storms until he reached the cliffs. One night, as he prepared for the hunt, he spotted something strange: a small, flickering light deeper in the canyon.

He followed it and found a child, no more than ten, holding a lantern and standing before the lion.

Mark reached for his sword.

But the child said, “Stop. She’s not a monster. She’s wounded.”

And indeed, the lion massive and regal was limping, a steel trap biting into her hind leg. Blood stained the stones.

Mark was frozen. Every instinct in him screamed to strike. But something in the child’s calm gaze stilled him.

Instead of attacking, Mark sheathed his sword.

The child stepped forward. “Help me.”

They approached the lion. It growled, but didn’t attack. Gently, together, they freed her. The lion roared once not in anger, but in pain then bounded off into the night.

When Mark returned to the king and told the truth, many laughed.

But months later, when bandits attacked the kingdom, it was that same lion who appeared at the city gates, scattering the attackers with primal fury.

From that day, Mark no longer feared he was honored. Not for his strength, but for the moment he chose not to use it.

Moral:

The strongest hand is the one that chooses to heal instead of harm. True strength is not in striking, but in sparring.

@ c1e9ab3a:9cb56b43

Introduction

Since the mid-1990s, American media has fractured into two distinct and increasingly isolated ecosystems, each with its own Overton window of acceptable discourse. Once upon a time, Americans of different political leanings shared a common set of facts, even if they interpreted them differently. Today, they don’t even agree on what the facts are—or who has the authority to define them.

This divide stems from a deeper philosophical rift in how each side determines truth and legitimacy. The institutional left derives its authority from the expert class—academics, think tanks, scientific consensus, and mainstream media. The populist right, on the other hand, finds its authority in traditional belief systems—religion, historical precedent, and what many call "common sense." As these two moral and epistemological frameworks drift further apart, the result is not just political division but the emergence of two separate cultural nations sharing the same geographic space.

The Battle of Epistemologies: Experts vs. Tradition

The left-leaning camp sees scientific consensus, peer-reviewed research, and institutional expertise as the gold standard of truth. Universities, media organizations, and policy think tanks function as arbiters of knowledge, shaping the moral and political beliefs of those who trust them. From this perspective, governance should be guided by data-driven decisions, often favoring progressive change and bureaucratic administration over democratic populism.

The right-leaning camp is skeptical of these institutions, viewing them as ideologically captured and detached from real-world concerns. Instead, they look to religion, historical wisdom, and traditional social structures as more reliable sources of truth. To them, the "expert class" is not an impartial source of knowledge but a self-reinforcing elite that justifies its own power while dismissing dissenters as uneducated or morally deficient.

This fundamental disagreement over the source of moral and factual authority means that political debates today are rarely about policy alone. They are battles over legitimacy itself. One side sees resistance to climate policies as "anti-science," while the other sees aggressive climate mandates as an elite power grab. One side views traditional gender roles as oppressive, while the other sees rapid changes in gender norms as unnatural and destabilizing. Each group believes the other is not just wrong, but dangerous.

The Consequences of Non-Overlapping Overton Windows

As these worldviews diverge, so do their respective Overton windows—the range of ideas considered acceptable for public discourse. There is little overlap left. What is considered self-evident truth in one camp is often seen as heresy or misinformation in the other. The result is:

• Epistemic Closure – Each side has its own trusted media sources, and cross-exposure is minimal. The left dismisses right-wing media as conspiracy-driven, while the right views mainstream media as corrupt propaganda. Both believe the other is being systematically misled.
• Moralization of Politics – Since truth itself is contested, policy debates become existential battles. Disagreements over issues like immigration, education, or healthcare are no longer just about governance but about moral purity versus moral corruption.
• Cultural and Political Balkanization – Without a shared understanding of reality, compromise becomes impossible. Americans increasingly consume separate news, live in ideologically homogeneous communities, and even speak different political languages.

Conclusion: Two Nations on One Land

A country can survive disagreements, but can it survive when its people no longer share a common source of truth? Historically, such deep societal fractures have led to secession, authoritarianism, or violent conflict. The United States has managed to avoid these extremes so far, but the trendline is clear: as long as each camp continues reinforcing its own epistemology while rejecting the other's as illegitimate, the divide will only grow.

The question is no longer whether America is divided—it is whether these two cultures can continue to coexist under a single political system. Can anything bridge the gap between institutional authority and traditional wisdom? Or are we witnessing the slow but inevitable unraveling of a once-unified nation into two separate moral and epistemic realities?

@ 95543309:196c540e

$$\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} e^{-x^2/2} \, dx = \sqrt{2\pi}$$$$\sum_{k=1}^n k^2 = \frac{n(n+1)(2n+1)}{6}$$$$\lim_{x \to \infty} \left(1 + \frac{1}{x}\right)^x = e$$$$\begin{vmatrix}a & b \\c & d\end{vmatrix} = ad - bc$$$$\frac{d}{dx}\left(\frac{x^2 + 1}{x - 1}\right)$$$$\iiint_V (\nabla \cdot \mathbf{F}) \, dV = \oint_{\partial V} \mathbf{F} \cdot d\mathbf{S}$$$$\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}$$$$\ln\left(\frac{f(x)}{g(x)}\right) = \ln f(x) - \ln g(x)$$$$\forall x \in \mathbb{R}, \exists y \in \mathbb{R} \text{ such that } x + y = 0$$$$\sqrt{\frac{x^2 + y^2}{x^2 - y^2}}$$$$\begin{array}{c|c}A & B \\hlineC & D\end{array}$$$$\sum_{i=1}^n \sum_{j=1}^n a_{ij}x_i x_j$$$$\mathcal{L}{f(t)}(s) = \int_0^\infty e^{-st}f(t)\,dt$$$$\frac{\partial^2 u}{\partial t^2} = c^2 \frac{\partial^2 u}{\partial x^2}$$$$\mathbf{A} = \begin{pmatrix}a_{11} & a_{12} \\a_{21} & a_{22}\end{pmatrix}, \quad\mathbf{B} = \begin{pmatrix}b_{11} & b_{12} \\b_{21} & b_{22}\end{pmatrix}$$$$\underbrace{a + b + \dots + z}{26}$$$$\left(\frac{a}{b}\right)^n = \frac{a^n}{b^n}$$$$\langle \psi | \phi \rangle = \int{-\infty}^{\infty} \psi^*(x)\phi(x) \, dx$$$$\oint_C \mathbf{F} \cdot d\mathbf{r} = \iint_S (\nabla \times \mathbf{F}) \cdot d\mathbf{S}$$$$\prod_{k=1}^n \left(1 + \frac{1}{k}\right) = \frac{(n+1)}{1}$$$$S(\omega)=1.466\, H_s^2 \frac{\omega_0^5}{\omega^6} \exp\Bigl[-3^{\frac{\omega}{\omega_0}}\Bigr]^2$$

@ 8668cb57:42a19859

Are Islands Choosing for Wealth Or Poverty in the 21st Century?

You have 57 official islands according to the United Nations. But there are thousands of islands in the world. What does Bitcoin and Lighting mean for them? Can it help them escape poverty and become wealthy?

Wealth

First of all: Wealth: what does it mean to be wealthy as an island? It is not only about the number of fiat currency you have in your pockets. Not about the digits you have on your bank account. And not only about the number of sats or Bitcoins you have in your self custodian wallet.\ Wealth means:

• You are healthy

• Your mind is free

• Your body is in shape

• Your relationships are bringing you join

• You are using your talents and your gifts to the max

• And you have options, you can do what you want with your time.

Healthy Islands

So for an island, let's take Curacao as an example, of 160.000 people, it means that there is a potential for everybody to reach that status, that next level in their lives called #wealth.

That is the "dream" goal I'm chasing with my Island Wealth show. Away from poverty. Into more possibilities. Using your skills in this dynamic world.\ \ Current state of Island Wealth

If we take the Caribbean as an example, here you see the official list of islands in the Caribbean: <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Caribbean_islands>

There are some indicators to check how wealthy - in terms of income - these Caribbean islands are.\ \ GDP per Capita: this is the total income of the island per year divided by the population. You will get an average that you can compare with your own country. If you take this globally, Luxembourg is the wealthiest country in the world.\ \ Gini Coefficient: this gives you a curve and a value that shows you how the distribution of wealth is on an island.

Net worth: If you go on an individual level, a family level, a business level you can take the assets minus the liabilities and calculate the difference as Net worth. You can also take this figure and compare it to the net worth of individuals in the world.

Bitcoin

Now lets introduce Bitcoin for these islands. How can #Bitcoin help these islands become wealthier?\ \ Problems of Islands

One of the most important problems the islands have is that they are very dependent on #tourism. Yes, I have been studying the economies of islands for a long time. I've been advising small island's governments in the Caribbean, private investors, high earning professionals on how they can build their wealth. And I always hear: we need to diversify more. What does that mean?\ \ All their sales and revenues are coming from one single sector: tourism. And they don't like that. Imagine an island: 500.000 tourists per year coming from USA and Canada. And every day cruise ships at their mega cruise piers with a total of 1 million cruise tourists per year. The tourists stay for 7 days and the cruise tourists stay for 1 day.\ \ That is the typical Caribbean island at its peak. If anything happens to that flow of cruise and stayover tourists ->Poverty. If there is a hurricane ->Poverty. If there are no flights -> Poverty. If there is political unrest and the tourists cannot come ->Poverty. So wealth is very concentrated when you are living on an island.\ \ Bitcoin and Lightning

While most Island's policy makers, citizens, even sometimes high paid individuals do not see Bitcoin, I see a 2 trillion decentralized global economy. If you are fully dependent on tourism, and you want to diversify away from tourism, lets consider Bitcoin and Lightning.\ \ Small businesses

Lets imagine your small businesses that operate online, like a consultant, online trainer/coach, or anybody selling snacks. Now working in the informal sector and not paying any taxes to your small island's government. They all can instantly:

• Download a #Blink or #Aqua wallet and start receiving #SATS

• Get a Wordpress or Shopify website, and start receiving SATS from all over the world, instantly.

Think about that for a moment and let it sink in. A two trillion USD economy globally. 21 million Bitcoins max ever. And everybody can participate right now. Without having to install servers, host software. I would seriously consider this new decentralize payment and savings technology.

How can you diversify away from tourism with Bitcoin and Lighting?

Any business can accept Bitcoin. Imagine you do not have a bank account and you are working in the informal sector. As a gardener, as a technician, electrician. A pool boy, a musician. You now have a wallet to accept hard money instantly.\ \ Agriculture

You could be paying for seeds to plan. With your lightning wallet online.\ \ Retail

You could be accepting Lighting payments if you are a store that sells glasses, food, snacks, clothing, hand crafted products, paintings.

Construction

You could be importing material from the #BRICS+ nations, China as first one, Brazil (close to the Caribbean) and paying with lightning.\ \ Financial Services (local and international)

You could be helping foreign and local other businesses with their online books, they annual reports, their administration, helping them relocate to the Caribbean, and receiving payments with Lighting.\ \ I can go on and on\ \ Decentralized Peer to Peer software development\ I have written about this on previous posts. You could be building peer to peer software based on new software stacks like pear runtime, holepunch technology, nostr. So if you are a local software developer and you know javascript, html and css you now can be paid with Lighting and deliver your knowledge and services to the world. I'm also exploring this myself.\ \ AI and Data Science\ If you are a Data Scientist and you know how to automate stuff with #Python, you know how to use #AI, like me, you could be creating online software and experiences to create Digital Assets that work 24*7*365 days: https://bit.ly/python-ai-automation.

There are endless possibilities to tap into this global decentralized economy

And guess what: we are so early. There is less than 1% of the people of the world who has used Bitcoin and Lighting.\ \ Let's go islands\ So lets do it. Lets go islands. You see that diamond above? It just to start your imagination. You see that man with the open mouth above?That is just to show you how amazed and surprised I'm with the potential of decentralization, self custody and the potential to be self sovereign.\ \ Let me know your thoughts\ This article is only on Nostr and Keet and decentralized platform. I'm moving my attention more and more to decentralization. So I want to hear your thoughts. Let me know if you have any comments, questions or ideas how to create more wealth.\ \ And stay tuned to my episodes where I will host the Island Wealth Show #IslandWealth.\ \ Runy\ Host Island Wealth

@ f7922a0a:82c34788

Now that the 3rd Satellite Skirmish is complete I wanted to highlight some of the cool features on embrace.satskirmish.com

This is what the cutting edge of podcasting 2.0 looks like imo. Live video in an app that allows you to send sats to the artists in real time.

On the left hand side we have a Boost score borad that displays the total amount of sats that have come in during the show, live Boosts/Booastagrams as they come in, total amount of sats from each person Boosting and total amount sent from each app.

The middle is ovisaly the video of the band playing but with some graphics around it and Boost alerts that show up on the screen in the form of snow flakes for this one.

The righthand side is an IRC chat window that connects to an IRC server that the No Agenda community has used for 18+ years thanks to zoidzero++.

The bottom of the page is where things get cool. When you click the Boost the Crew button in the center you can send a Boost that gets split between everyone helping produce the show (hightlighted in yellow).

Each band also has their own Boost button so you can Boost them while they are playing or anytime you visit the page.

@ 3a851978:ff85e003

Testing LaTeX support in different Clients

Just testing how it all will be formated

First section

Something inline $k_i$ like that. And other longer stuff below:

$$ \gamma_A = \frac{e^{-R_A}}{\mathrm{Tr}\,e^{-10}},\qquad \delta S = K\delta L $$

The end

@ 9f2b5b64:e811118f

testing

@ 2cde0e02:180a96b9

pen & ink

https://stacker.news/items/1002504

@ ddf03aca:5cb3bbbe

Recently, I have been surrounded by people experimenting with various projects, and a common theme among them is the use of cashu as the payment layer. While this fact alone is already great, the best part is to identify users and implementers needs and combining forces to come up with novel solutions.

---

Subscriptions with Cashu

One of the most remarkable aspects of cashu is that it is a bearer asset. This hands ownership and control back to the user. Even though mints back the tokens, they have no authority to move a token on behalf of a user or any other party. How cool is that?

However, this also introduces challenges when building subscription-based services. Subscriptions typically require periodic payments, and with cashu, users must renew these manually. Currently, there are two primary approaches to address this:

1. Overpaying:
   To minimize the number of interactions, users can pay for longer periods upfront. For example, instead of paying 2,100 sats for one hour, they could pay 6,000 sats for three hours. If they realize they don’t need the full three hours, the excess payment is effectively wasted.

2. Full Interactivity:
   In this setup, payers and receivers stay connected through a communication channel, and payments are made at small, regular intervals. While this avoids overpayment, it requires constant connectivity. If the connection is lost, the subscription ends.

---

Enter Locking Scripts

One of the most powerful features of cashu is its locking scripts. Let’s take a quick refresher. A locking script defines the conditions under which a token (or "nut") becomes spendable. In essence, it’s similar to Bitcoin’s spending conditions, but instead of being enforced by the Bitcoin network, these conditions are enforced by the cashu mint alone.

A widely-used locking condition is Pay-to-Public-Key (P2PK). This locks a token to a specific public key, meaning it can only be spent when a valid signature from the key’s owner is provided. This mechanism is what enables NIP-61 nut zaps, where a token can be publicly shared but is only claimable by the intended recipient who holds the private key.

To address situations where a recipient loses access to their keys or simply doesn’t claim the token, P2PK includes additional options: locktime and a refund key. These options allow for the inclusion of a fallback mechanism. If the primary lock expires after a set time, a refund key can reclaim the token.

With these tools, we can now create non-interactive payment streams!

---

One Missing Piece…

Before diving into payment streams, there’s one more crucial concept to cover: cashu tokens are not singular "things". Instead, they’re composed of multiple proofs, each carrying its own cryptographic data and spendability. For example, if you receive a cashu token made up of five proofs, you could choose to claim only three proofs and leave the other two untouched. This flexibility is rarely utilized but is vital for building payment streams.

---

The Grand Finale: Payment Streams

Now that we have all the building blocks, let’s construct a payment stream using cashu. By leveraging locking scripts, refund keys, and multiple proofs, we can design a token that enables recipients to claim small portions of the total amount at regular intervals—without requiring any further interaction from the sender.

Even better, as the sender, you retain the ability to cancel the stream at any time and reclaim any unspent portions.

Example: Renting a VPS

Imagine renting a VPS for a week, priced at 1,000 sats per day. Here’s how a payment stream could work:

1. Construct a token worth 7,000 sats to cover the entire week.
2. Divide the token into 7 proofs, each worth 1,000 sats.
3. Lock each proof using a P2PK script, locking to your key and adding the recipients key as a refund key.
4. The first proof has a locktime of now.
5. The second proof has a locktime of now + 1 day.
6. The third proof has a locktime of now + 2 days, and so on.

When the token is sent, the receiver can immediately claim the first proof since its locktime has expired and the refund key is now able to claim. The second proof becomes claimable after one day, the third after two days, and so on.

At the same time, the sender retains the ability to reclaim any unclaimed proofs by signing with their key. If you decide to stop using the VPS midweek, you can cancel the stream and reclaim the remaining proofs; all without further interaction with the receiver.

---

With this approach, we can create robust, non-interactive payment streams that combine the autonomy of cashu with the flexibility to reclaim funds.

Thank you for reading. Make sure to leave a nut if you enjoyed this :)

@ da8b7de1:c0164aee

Sizewell C atomerőmű – 14,2 milliárd fontos állami beruházás

A brit kormány 14,2 milliárd fonttal támogatja az új Sizewell C atomerőmű megépítését a suffolki tengerparton. A beruházás célja, hogy növelje az ország energiaszuverenitását, elősegítse a gazdasági növekedést, és hozzájáruljon a klímavédelmi célokhoz azáltal, hogy hatmillió otthon energiaellátását biztosítja alacsony szén-dioxid-kibocsátású forrásból.

Főbb pontok:

• A Sizewell C várhatóan 10 000 közvetlen munkahelyet teremt, és további ezreket a beszállítói láncban; az építkezés során 1 500 tanuló is részt vesz majd.
• A projekt a legnagyobb nukleáris beruházás egy generáció óta, és a kormány szerint elengedhetetlen a fosszilis energiahordozók kiváltásához, valamint a villamosenergia-hálózat dekarbonizációjához 2030-ig.
• A Sizewell C a Hinkley Point C mintájára épül, amely jelentős késésekkel és költségtúllépésekkel küzd – emiatt a kritikusok attól tartanak, hogy a Sizewell C is hasonló sorsra juthat.
• A projekt végső költsége még bizonytalan: a hivatalos becslések 20-35 milliárd font között mozognak, de egyes iparági források akár 40 milliárd fontos végösszeget is elképzelhetőnek tartanak.
• A finanszírozás részben állami, részben magánbefektetőktől és a fogyasztók villanyszámláján keresztül valósul meg – utóbbi a Regulated Asset Base (RAB) modell révén, ami várhatóan növeli a háztartások energiaszámláit.
• A beruházás ellenzői – köztük a Stop Sizewell C csoport – szerint a pénzt más, olcsóbb és gyorsabban megvalósítható megújuló energiaforrásokra kellene fordítani, és aggódnak a környezeti hatások, valamint a helyi lakosságot érintő változások miatt.
• A végső befektetési döntés (Final Investment Decision) még nem született meg, annak meghozatalát a nyárra ígérik.

Források::

• bbc.com
• stopsizewellc.org
• edfenergy.com
• gov.uk

@ 2b998b04:86727e47

Most of the assets I hold—real estate, equities, and businesses—depreciate in value over time. Some literally, like physical buildings and equipment. Some functionally, like tech platforms that age faster than they grow. Even cash, which should feel "safe," quietly loses ground to inflation. Yet I continue to build. I continue to hold. And I continue to believe that what I’m doing matters.

But underneath all of that — beneath the mortgages, margin trades, and business pivots — I’ve made a long-term bet:

Bitcoin will outlast the decay.

---

The Decaying System I Still Operate In

Let me be clear: I’m not a Bitcoin purist. I use debt. I borrow to acquire real estate. I trade with margin in a brokerage account. I understand leverage — not as a sin, but as a tool that must be used with precision and respect. But I’m also not naive.

The entire fiat-based financial system is built on a slow erosion of value. Inflation isn't a bug — it’s a feature. And it's why most business models, whether in real estate or retail, implicitly rely on asset inflation just to stay solvent.

That’s not sustainable. And it’s not honest.

---

The Bitcoin Thesis: Deflation That Works for You

Bitcoin is fundamentally different. Its supply is fixed. Its issuance is decreasing. Over time, as adoption grows and fiat weakens, Bitcoin’s purchasing power increases.

That changes the game.

If you can hold even a small portion of your balance sheet in BTC — not just as an investment, but as a strategic hedge — it becomes a way to offset the natural depreciation of your other holdings. Your buildings may age. Your cash flow may fluctuate. But your Bitcoin, if properly secured and held with conviction, becomes the anchor.

It’s not about day trading BTC or catching the next ATH. It’s about understanding that in a world designed to leak value, Bitcoin lets you patch the hole.

---

Why This Matters for Builders

If you run a business — especially one with real assets, recurring costs, or thin margins — you know how brutal depreciation can be. Taxes, maintenance, inflation, replacement cycles… it never stops.

Adding BTC to your long-term treasury isn’t about becoming a "crypto company." It’s about becoming anti-fragile. It’s about building with a component that doesn’t rot.

In 5, 10, or 20 years, I may still be paying off mortgages and navigating property cycles. But if my Bitcoin allocation is still intact, still growing in real purchasing power… then I haven’t just preserved wealth. I’ve preserved optionality. I’ve created a counterbalance to the relentless decay of everything else.

---

Final Word

I still play the fiat game — because for now, I have to. But I’m no longer betting everything on it. Bitcoin is my base layer now. Quiet, cold-stored, and uncompromising.

It offsets depreciation — not just financially, but philosophically. It reminds me that not everything has to erode. Not everything has to be sacrificed to time or policy or inflation.

Some things can actually hold. Some things can last.

And if I build right — maybe what I build can last too.

---

If this resonated, feel free to send a zap — it helps me keep writing and building from a place of conviction.

This article was co-written with the help of ChatGPT, a tool I use to refine and clarify what I’m working through in real time.

@ 93bfc86d:fc8e91f5

질서자유주의가 자유주의 세상을 만드는 방법

안캡의 전략에는 크게 두 가지, 호페의 질서자유주의와 새뮤얼 콘킨 3세의 아고리즘이 있다.

로스바드-호페 라인의 질서자유주의는 논리를 기반으로 자연권을 정당화하고, 이를 통해 국가의 부당함을 설파한다. 미제스의 "인간은 행동한다."라는 제1공리부터 시작해서, 행동의 제1수단인 신체가 그 자신에게 소유되어야 한다는 자기 소유를 증명하고 자연권을 철저하게 연역적으로 정당화해간다. 안캡의 세상을 만들려는 이들의 방법론도 논리적이다.

예를 들어 호페의 『자유주의자는 무엇을 해야 하는가』 책에서는 위로부터의 전환이 불가능함에 따라 아래로부터의 전환을 해야 한다는 주장이 나온다. 과거에는 이런 자유로운 세상이 도래하기 위해서는 왕 한 명이 "앞으로 자기가 원하는 대로 보안 기업을 자유롭게 선택하고, 더 이상의 강제는 없다!"라고 선언만 하면 됐다. 따라서 왕 한 명만 어떻게 설득을 하거나, 압박을 하든 주리를 틀든 일단 왕이 이렇게 선언하게 하기만 하면 됐다. '마그나 카르타'도 결국 귀족 연합이 왕 한 명을 압박해 왕이 서명했던 것 아닌가?

반면에 현대 민주주의 사회를 보자. 대한민국에서 대통령 한 명이 최저임금을 폐지할 수 있는가? 최저임금은 헌법에 보장되는데(헌법 32조) 따라서 이를 폐지하는 것은 거의 개헌만큼이나 어렵다. 대통령이나 국회의원 과반이 발의를 해야 하고, 국회에서 재적 3분의 2 이상이 찬성해야 겨우 통과되며, 이렇게 통과해도 국민투표에서 과반수가 동의해야 겨우 없어지는 것이다. 즉, 거의 불가능에 가깝다.

따라서 호페는 위로부터의 전환이 불가능함에 따라 전국적인 중앙 정부의 투표를 거부할 것을 제안한다. 대통령 선거나 국회의원 선거 등 말이다. 여기서 중앙 정부 단위의 투표를 거부하는 이유는 중앙 정부의 부당성도 있지만, 이 투표를 통해 세상을 바꾸는 게 현실성이 없어서 그렇다.

같은 맥락에서 지역 선거의 투표는 항상 거부하는 건 아닌데, 자유주의자들이 한 국가 전체에서 과반을 얻는 것은 불가능하지만, 한 지역에 점점 몰리는 경우에는 적어도 그 지역에서는 과반이 될 수도 있기 때문이다. 따라서 아주 작은 지역에서 자유주의자들이 다수결이 된다면 적어도 그 지역에 한해서는 위로부터의 전환이 가능해진다. 그러면 투표를 거부하다가 지역구에서 본격적으로 투표를 하기 전에 선행되어야 할 일은 자유주의가 많이 퍼지고, 자유주의를 지지하는 사람들이 특정 지역에 몰리기 시작해야 하는 것일 것이다. 비트코이너들이 특정 지역에 몰려 시타델을 건설하는 상황을 생각하면 될 것 같다.

그 이후에는? 지역구의 대표로 선출된 인물이 해당 지역구의 투표권을 재산 소유자에게 재산 크기(지분)대로 다시 분배해야 한다. 즉, 재산이 없는 사람은 투표권이 없다. 모든 공공 인프라(도로, 수도, 전기, 교육, 치안, 사법 등등)는 전부 주식으로 판매되어 민영화된다(지방 정부는 이를 통해 재원을 마련한다). 이에 따라 공공 인프라는 완전히 사적 소유로 전환된다. 치안, 사법, 교육 모두 민간 영역으로 전환된다.

현재 세계에서 자유주의자들이 이런 관점을 취한다면 무엇을 해야 할까? 일단 자유주의를 더 많은 사람에게 퍼뜨려야 한다. 또한, 자유주의자들이 모일 지역을 물색해야 할 것이다. 그리고 중앙 정부 단위의 투표를 거부해야 할 것이다.

그림 1. 질서 자유주의의 상징인 아나코 캐피탈리즘 깃발

현대 민주주의 투표의 부당함

아고리즘의 전략을 이야기하기 전에 먼저 현대 민주주의 투표의 부당함에 대해 살펴보고 가자. 개인적인 생각도 들어가 있다.

투표 행위 자체는 유권자의 권리 행사로 전혀 나쁠 것이 없다. 다수결의 원칙도 당연히 마찬가지다. 투표 당사자들이 다수결의 원칙에 동의하기 때문에 참여하는 것이기 때문이다. 그래서 민주주의는 선거에서 져도 그 결과에 승복하는 것이 그 시스템의 규칙이다. 예를 들어 주주총회에서 주주들이 지분대로 의결권을 행사하거나 행사하지 않아서 생기는 결과는 그 행위 자체로는 전혀 문제가 없다.

투표의 정당성은 투표라는 행위 자체로부터 판단되는 것이 아니라 그 투표가 어떤 시스템 아래서 이뤄지는 투표인지로부터 판단해야 한다. 나는 두 가지 관점에서 살펴볼 것이다.

현대 민주주의의 투표는 유권자가 자신의 권리를 당선자에게 위임하는 행위다. 한 후보가 당선되면 다수결의 원칙에 따라서 그 후보는 그 후보를 찍지 않은 유권자들의 권리까지 모두 가져간다. 여기까지는 문제가 없다. 투표 행위 참여자들이 다수결의 원칙이라는 그 시스템에 동의하기 때문에 투표하기 때문이다.

그런데 현대 민주주의는 당선된 후보가 그 후보에게 투표했든, 투표하지 않았든, 기권을 했든 간에 다른 사람의 소유권을 마음껏 유린할 수 있는 권한도 가져간다. 이건 아주 큰 문제다. 국회의원이 세금을 늘리는 입법 권한을 행사하거나, 대통령이나 국회에서 예산을 편성해 정부 지출을 늘리고, 돈을 찍어내서 사람들의 소유권을 유린하는 행위가 용인된다.

어떤 사람도 다른 사람의 소유권을 침해할 수는 없다. 소유권은 단순히 희소한 재화의 분배 문제를 해결하는 실용적 대안이라서 중요한 것이 아니다. 인간 행동이라는 공리로부터 자기 소유 원칙을 이끌어내고, 그가 소유한 신체와 삶을 써서 획득한 재화(원초적 점유)에 대한 소유권을 보장하는 것이며, 그리고 이미 소유권이 있는 재화를 교환의 양 당사자가 자유롭게 교환하는 행위를 보장하는 것이다.

따라서 소유권은 인간에게 이성이 있다는 존엄성의 표현이자 인간 시간(삶)의 희소성과 귀중함을 인정하는 것이다. 어느 누구도 이를 모독할 권리는 없다. 이를 침해하는 것은 보편 원리에 따라 그 자신의 소유권도 포기한다는 뜻과 같으며, 이는 결국 자기 신체의 자기 소유도 부정하는 셈이 된다.

현대 민주주의에서 투표하는 것은 다른 누군가의 소유권을 유린할 사람을 뽑는 것과 같다. 애초에 이런 권한은 누구에게도 주어지지 않았으며 당연히 누구에게도 없으니 넘겨줄 수도 없는 권한이다.

현대 민주주의의 삼권분립 체제는 당선자에게 이러한 강탈의 권한이 보장된다. 설령 후보자가 이런 권한을 행사하지 않는다고 하더라도 이 시스템이 그러한 권한을 발동할 수 있다는 것을 언제든지 보장한다면 이러한 시스템은 폐기되어야 한다.

따라서 현대 민주주의에서 투표하는 행위는 누군가가 이러한 권한을 행사하는 것에 대한 동의로 간주될 수 있다. 어떤 후보가 이런 행위를 다른 후보보다 '덜' 한다고 해서 그 후보에 투표하는 것에 대한 정당성은 당연히 확보될 수 없다. 더하는지 덜하는지에 따라 이 약탈이 정당화될 수는 없기 때문이다.

심지어 어떤 후보가 이런 약탈 행위를 절대 안 할 것이라고 공언한다고 해도, 시스템에 이러한 권한이 보장되어 있는 이상 투표하는 행위는 이 시스템에 동의하는 행위이다. 그 후보가 당선된 이후 갑자기 돌변해 세금을 걷거나 국채를 팔아 예산을 확보하고 돈을 찍어내는 것이 시스템 상에서는 문제가 없기 때문이다. 이것은 간접 민주주의의 단점이라기 보다는, 애초에 이런 다른 사람에 대한 약탈 권한을 행사할 수 있는 시스템 자체가 잘못된 것이다.

현대 민주주의가 부당한 두 번째 이유는 이 시스템에 동의하지 않는 사람들조차 이 시스템의 피해자가 된다는 점이다.

도박에 참여하고 있는 사람들을 생각해보자. 승리자가 나머지 베팅한 모든 사람들의 베팅 금액을 약탈하는 것은 전혀 문제가 되지 않는다. 왜냐하면 도박 참여자들은 패배 시 자신이 베팅한 재산이 승자에게 몰수될 수도 있다는 것에 동의하고 도박에 참여하기 때문이다(따라서 이는 약탈이 아니다). 이에 동의하지 않는다면 도박을 그만하면 된다. 도박사는 언제든지 도박을 그만둘 자유가 있다.

그러나 현대 민주주의는 이 시스템에 동의하지 않더라도 그 나라에서 태어났다는 이유만으로 이러한 약탈에 강제 당할 수밖에 없다. '분배'하기 위해 투표를 할 거면 그 시스템에 동의하는 사람들끼리 서로의 재산을 놓고 분배하면 될 일이다. 그러나 이 시스템은 모든 사람들에게 이 시스템에 참여하는 것이 강제된다.

즉, 이 시스템은 애초에 잘못된 시스템인데 이 안에서 좌니 우니, 대통령제니 내각제니 사람들이 서로 경쟁하게 한다. 시스템 자체에 대한 의문을 품기는 매우 어려운 구조다.

이 시스템이 마음에 안 들면 이민을 가면 된다고 하는 주장은 전혀 설득력이 없다. 이민에 비용이 들고 다양한 현실적인 제약이 있다는 것은 차치하고서 이야기해보자. 만약 이러한 분배(?) 혹은 세금의 권한 행사자가 해당 지역 토지의 소유자고, 그 토지의 사용자가 소유자가 정한 분배 규칙에 동의하는 조건으로 토지를 사용한다면 이러한 세금과 같은 분배는 약탈은 아니다. 사용자가 그 규칙에 자발적으로 동의했으므로 정당화될 수 있는 것이다.

만약 국토의 모든 땅이 사실상 소유자가 있는 게 아니라, 사실상 국가의 소유이며 국가가 국민들에게 사용권을 나눠주는 것이라는 미친 주장을 해도(참고로 이건 토지의 사적 소유권을 부정하는 공산주의다!) 여전히 이 주장은 정당하지 않다.

토지의 소유권을 획득하는 방법은 두 가지가 있는데 첫째, 소유권이 없는 땅을 점유함으로써 소유권을 주장할 수 있게 되는 것, 둘째, 이미 소유권이 있는 토지를 자발적인 교환이나 기부를 통해 획득하는 것이다. 소유권이 있는 생산 수단을 통해 생산된 생산물도 소유권이 인정되는데, 토지는 생산이 불가능하니(우주정거장 같이 새로운 공간을 건설하는 게 아니라면...) 토지를 획득하는 방법은 언급한 두 가지 뿐이다.

그런데 현대 국가가 토지를 소유한 것의 기원을 살펴보자. 식민지화를 통해 강제로 점유하는 것은 대한민국은 해당이 없는 것 같다. 그러면 이미 소유자가 있는 사유지를 각종 규제와 사용 제한을 통해 사실상의 지배권을 확보하거나, 세금으로 축적한 재정으로 구입한 것이다. 그 기원이 모두 약탈에 있다는 점에서 국가의 토지 소유는 정당하지 않다.

따라서 규칙이 싫으면 이민을 가면 된다는 주장은 도둑이 도둑질을 하는데, 도둑질을 당하기 싫으면 멀리 도망가라는 식의 궤변과 같다.

그러나 국가의 계약은 완전히 비자발적이다. 단지 그 신체가 어디서 탄생했다는 이유만으로 그 시스템에 동의한 것이 될 수는 없다. 갓 태어난 아기는 다른 사람의 보호가 있어야만 생존할 수 있다는 점에서 완전히 비자발적인데, 이에 따라 당연히 탄생의 위치도 완전히 비자발적인 것이었기 때문이다.

또한 국가는 국토의 소유자가 아니다. 그보다는 국토의 소유권을 보장'해야' 하는 존재일 뿐이다. 누군가가 규칙을 정하고 싶다면 그 규칙의 영향권은 자신의 사유지 내에서만 영향력이 있으며, 당연히 그 규칙에 자발적으로 동의하는 사람들만 그 사유지를 이용하는 조건으로 계약할 수 있다. 　

정리해보자. 지금까지 현대 민주주의의 투표의 부당함에 대해 두 가지 관점에서 살펴봤다. 첫째는 투표가 약탈이 가능한 이 시스템에 동의한다는 행위라서 부당하다는 것이고, 둘째는 이 시스템에 동의하지 않는 사람들까지 약탈의 대상이 되는 이 시스템에 동의한다는 행위이므로 부당하다는 것이었다.

투표하지 않는 행위가 혹시 반대 세력이 활개치게 두게 되는 것은 아닐까? 그렇지 않다. 투표하지 않는 행위는 이 시스템의 정당성을 약화시킨다. 현대 민주주의의 큰 속임수가 있다. 민주주의에서 비롯된 통치 행위는 51%를 넘은 사람들이 그 통치 행위에 동의했기 때문에 자행되어도 된다는 매우 비논리적인 주장에 입각하고 있다. 이는 당연히 정당성이 없다. 그런데 진짜 큰 속임수는 그 통치 행위에 동의한 사람이 심지어 과반도 아니라는 것이다.

만약 어떤 후보가 생산에 적대적인 수준의 세금 부과와 보편 복지, 최저임금 인상 등의 모두가 고통받는 정책을 공약으로 내세워 당선이 되었다고 해보자. 해당 후보의 득표율이 51%라고 한다면 이는 전국의 51% 국민이 해당 후보를 지지하는 것과 같은 착각을 일으킨다. 그렇지 않다. 만약 투표율이 75%라면, 해당 후보에 동의한 사람은 0.75 x 0.51 = 38%가 된다. 즉, 38%의 동의로 인해 모든 사람이 함께 고통 받게 되는 것이다.

그래서 민주주의는 이러한 사실을 감추면서 사람들에게 투표를 독려할 수밖에 없다. 투표율이 조금만 낮아져도 이에 대한 정당성이 심각하게 낮아지기 때문이다. 투표율이 50%인 상황에서 어떤 후보가 51%의 표를 얻어 당선된다면 전 국민의 25%의 지지로 당선된 것과 같은데 이는 통치 행위에 대한 정당성을 매우 약화시킨다.

소비자 주권 행사

그러면 투표라는 행위가 없다면 일반 시민들은 어떻게 주권을 행사할 수 있을까? 사실 우리는 매일매일 자발적으로 투표를 하고 있다. 바로 미제스가 말한 '소비자 주권' 행사다.

우리는 기업들이 우리에게 어떤 효용을 주는지에 따라 계속 투표한다. 어떤 기업을 살리고, 어떤 기업을 죽일지, 어떤 기업을 거지 기업에서 부자 기업으로 만들지, 또는 어떤 기업을 부자 기업에서 거지 기업으로 만들지 투표한다. 바로 '소비'를 통해서 말이다.

이러한 소비라는 투표 방식은 완전히 자발적이라는 점에서 소유권을 제대로 보장한다. 약탈과는 완전히 동떨어진 행위다.

또한, 이러한 투표 방식은 각자가 원하는 대로 효용을 누릴 수 있다. 사법과 치안도 시장의 영역으로 들어오면 우리는 어떤 규칙 아래서 살아갈지 자유롭게 선택할 수 있다. 즉, 내가 선택한 규칙이 다른 사람에게도 강제되지 않고, 다른 사람이 선택한 규칙이 나에게 강제되지도 않는다. 서로 다른 규칙이 충돌하면 그 규칙들의 간극을 중재하는 기업이 나타난다. 자연적으로 질서가 꽃 피는 것이다.

생산 권한은 기업에게 달려있지만 심판은 소비자가 한다. 생산자가 소비자의 의지에 반하는 생산을 하면 바로 시장에서 퇴출되기 때문이다. 기업은 소비자에게 어떤 도덕적 의무를 강요할 수도 없다. 기업은 소비자가 원하는 것이 있다면 생산할 뿐이다. 소비자는 기업에게 자신들이 원하는 것을 최대한 효율적으로 자원을 분배하여 생산할 것을 명령하고 생산 권한을 위임하는 셈이다. 그 기업이 소비자가 원하는 것을 생산하지 않으면 어차피 다른 어떤 기업이 생산하여 거기서 챙길 수 있는 소비자의 표, 즉 이익을 가져갈 것이다.

만약 '소비'라는 투표 행위 자체에 반대한다면 오지에 있는 땅을 사서 문명을 떠나 자급자족하며 사는 것도 가능하다. 각자가 자신만의 방식으로 삶을 선택할 수 있는 것이다.

이 투표 시스템에서 표는 돈이다. 돈으로 투표를 한다는 것이 비인간적으로 느껴질지도 모르겠다. 그러나 돈으로 투표하는 것은 지극히 인간적인데, 그 투표권을 얻기 위해서는 먼저 다른 사람들이 원하는 것을 해줘서 그 표를 얻어야 하기 때문이다. 소비하려면 먼저 생산해야 한다. 이건 완전히 약탈 없는 시스템이고, 모든 인간 시간에 대한 존중이다.

이러한 이유들로 나는 이제 현대 민주주의에 대한 투표를 거부하지만, 동시에 매일 소비를 통해 투표하고 있다.

아고리즘이 자유주의 세상을 만드는 방법

이제 아고리즘의 전략을 살펴보자. 로스바드-호페의 질서 자유주의를 살펴본 뒤, 현대 민주주의의 투표에 대한 부당함을 살펴본 것이 뜬금 없는 이야기는 아니었는데, 아고리즘은 이러한 이유로 어떠한 투표도 거부하기 때문이다. 아고리즘의 창시자인 새뮤얼 콘킨 3세가 로스바드와 갈라선 것도 로스바드가 정치와 연대하는 전략적 행보를 보이면서부터였다.

아고리즘은 자유로운 세상을 만들기 위해 자유 시장인 아고라를 적극 활용할 것을 주장한다. 이들은 정부가 추적할 수 없는 자유로운 암시장을 확대해서 정부의 힘을 약화시키는 방법을 써야 한다고 주장한다. 이 암시장은 당연히 무기, 마약, 성매매 등을 포함한 시장을 말한다.

그래서 자유지상주의를 도래시키기 위한 이들의 전략은 정부가 추적할 수 없는 시장을 만들고, 하나의 병렬 경제(대항 경제)를 만들어 정부의 힘을 지속적으로 약화시키는 것이다. 이들은 납세 거부 운동, 투표 거부 운동을 장려하며 암시장과 암호 기술을 적극 활용한다. 참고로 사이퍼펑크 같은 기술 자유주의는 분류하자면 질서자유주의보다 아고리즘 쪽에 더 가깝다(로스 울브리히트의 실크로드를 생각해보자...!)

로스바드-호페의 질서자유주의와 콘킨의 아고리즘은 둘 다 자유지상주의의 실현을 목표로 하지만, 질서자유주의는 논리적으로 윤리적 정당성을 확보하고, 그러한 정당성을 바탕으로 자유지상주의를 실현시키기 위해 현실 세계에 이미 존재하는 제도들도 전략적으로 이용한다. 반면 콘킨의 아고리즘은 자유지상주의의 윤리적 정당성보다는 그걸 도래시키기 위한 전략들에 치중하며, 정치와 절대 타협하지 않고, 전략적으로 이용하려고도 하지 않는다. 목표는 같지만 서로 다른 방법을 취하는 것이다.

1980년 공개된 콘킨의 「신 자유주의자 선언」은 미제스와 로스바드, 르페브르에 대한 감사로 시작하지만, 1장에서 다음과 같은 문구도 나온다. (이것도 언제 다 번역해봐야겠다!)

"처음 나타난 반격은 ... 개혁주의—국가주의를—'개선'하겠다는 명분으로 국가의 직책을 받아들이는 것까지 포함한다!—이 모든 반反 원칙들에 대해서... 그중 가장 끔찍한 것은 '정당주의'인데, 이는 자유지상주의적 목적을 국가주의적 수단, 특히 정당을 통해 달성하려는 반反 개념이다. '자유지상주의' 정당은 국가가 이제 막 출현한 자유지상주의자들에게 퍼부은 두 번째 반격이었다. 처음에는 터무니 없는 모순으로, 그 다음에는 침략군으로 등장했다."

로스바드가 1992년 공화당 경선 후보였던 팻 뷰캐넌을 공개적으로 지지했을 때(이때 공화당 경선에서 뷰캐넌은 아버지 부시한테 졌고, 대선은 민주당 빌 클린턴 승리), 콘킨이 어떤 반응을 보였을지 상상해보자. 저런 선언문을 썼는데 말이다. 콘킨은 로스바드가 자유지상주의 원칙을 저버렸다면서 자신이 편집하는 잡지 『신 자유지상주의자』에서 로스바드의 행위를 "자유의 원칙을 포기한 행위"라고 비난했다.

반면 로스바드는 소수의 자유지상주의 지식인들만으로는 자유지상주의 사회를 건설할 수 없으므로 대중과 연합해야 한다고 주장했다. 팻 뷰캐넌 같은 인물을 통해 중산층이나 노동계층의 지지를 얻을 수 있고, 자유지상주의 목표를 달성할 수 있다고 했다. 이때 나온 전략이 자유주의적 경제 질서와 보수적 문화 질서를 결합한 '팔레오 자유지상주의'다. 로스바드는 아고리즘 세력에게 순수성만을 강조하며 현실 세계와 단절된 사람들은 무기력한 이상주의자들이라고 반박하며, 자신은 국가주의를 지지하는 게 아니라 그 세력 안에 있는 반국가적 잠재력을 이끌어내는 것이라고 했다.

그림 2. 아고리즘의 깃발

질서자유주의와 아고리즘의 공동체적 배제에 관한 입장 차이

콘킨의 아고리즘과 로스바드-호페 라인의 질서자유주의의 차이는 정치 같은 기존 제도들을 전략적으로 이용할 수 있는지뿐만 아니라 공동체적 배제에 관한 입장에서도 약간 갈라진다.

자유주의에서는 자유로운 수용과 자유로운 '배제'도 보장되어야 한다. 즉, 예를 들어 어떤 사람이 장사를 하는데 동성애자나 흑인이나 채식주의자를 직원이나 손님으로 받지 않는 것도 장사하는 사람의 자유로운 배제 권리라는 것이다. 자신의 사유지에 어떤 사람을 들일지, 들이지 않을지는 전적으로 소유자의 몫이다. 그리고 여기서 배제는 당연히 폭력으로 이어지지 않는 선에서의 자유로운 배제다.

이러한 배제가 한 공동체 전체로 퍼졌다고 해보자. 지금은 동성애자에 대한 예시만 들겠다(필자는 동성애에 대해 부정적 감정이 전혀 없으니 동성애자 분들은 오해 마시길). 만약 한 지역 소유자 공동체 전체가 동성애자에 대한 배제를 주장한다면 당연히 동성애자는 그 공동체에 들어갈 수가 없다.

여기서 이를 다루는 뉘앙스가 약간 다른데, 호페는 이를 자유로운 계약에 의한 공동체적 질서의 탄생이라 보며 긍정적으로 본다. 물론 절대로 이러한 배제가 폭력으로 이어져서는 안 된다. 폭력으로 이어지면 비침해성 공리 위반이므로 정당성이 없다.

아고리즘은 개인들의 자발적인 배제는 자유지만, 이것이 공동체적 배제로 발전하고 구조적 차별이나 집단적 억압으로 발전하는 건 국가의 또 다른 형태일 뿐이라 생각하여 이를 경계한다. 그래서 개인 차원의 자율적 배제는 정당하지만, 공동체 차원의 배제는 경계한다. 그렇다고 이걸 없애야 한다 이런 건 아니다(개인들의 자유로운 배제가 공동체 배제로도 이어질 수 있는 것이므로). 콘킨은 공동체적 배제가 탄생할 수 있지만 그것이 비합리적인 배제라면 대안 시장이 탄생할 것으로 본다. 동성애자들을 위한 시장과 마을이 생길 것이고, 비합리적인 배제는 이러한 고객들을 놓친 것에 대한 손실로 이어질 것이라고 본다. 즉, 모든 개인이 자유 시장 아고라에서 자발적으로 교환할 권리를 가져야 하며, 차별적인 배제들은 시장 안에서 경쟁할 수 있을 거라 본다. 만약 대안 시장이 없는 상황에서 모두가 배제한다면 이는 실질적 강제처럼 작동할 수 있기 때문이다.

자유지상주의 안에서 콘킨의 아고리즘은 차별이나 수용을 대하는 태도에서 좀 더 좌파적인 것처럼 보인다. 실제로 콘킨의 「신 자유주의자 선언」에 등장하는 용어들도 약간 그러한 뉘앙스가 있다. 콘킨은 전통적인 좌파 단어들을 전략적으로 차용했다. 예를 들면 혁명, 착취, 해방운동, 불복종, 저항, 암시장, 아나키즘 등의 단어다. 당연히 전통적인 좌파 단어의 뜻과는 완전히 다르다. 혁명은 아고라를 통한 "비정치적" 자유주의 혁명을 의미하며, 착취는 마르크스의 자본가가 노동자를 착취한다고 했던 그 착취가 아니라, 국가주의와 결탁한 크로니 자본주의자들의 제도적 진입장벽을 만들고, 캉티용 효과의 수혜를 누리는 그러한 오염된 자본주의자들이 하는 것을 착취라고 했다(아고리즘은 국가에 의존하지 않는 기업가와 국가로부터 특혜를 받는 착취적 기업가를 구분한다. 선언문 참고).

정리하자! 로스바드-호페의 질서 자유주의와 콘킨의 아고리즘의 차이점은 다음과 같다.

로스바드-호페의 질서 자유주의는 정치 등을 전략적으로 이용하는 것을 허용한다. 로스바드는 공화당 경선 후보를 공개적으로 지지하여 우파 사람들로부터 자유지상주의에 대한 관심을 끌려고 했고, 호페는 전국단위의 투표나 정당 활동은 거부해도 지역 단위의 투표는 승리 가능성에 따라 조건부로 허용한다. 반면 아고리즘은 어떠한 정치 활동도 거부하며 오직 국가의 통제로부터 동떨어진 자유로운 시장에 의한 혁명을 추구한다.

얼마 전에 있었던 비트코이너들이 보수 우파 스페이스에 들어가서 비트코인에 대해 전파하는 걸 상상해보면 쉽다. 우파 국가주의자들은 국가 시스템에 의한 문제 해결을 강력한 지도자가 등장해 모든 것을 해결해줘야 한다는 잘못된 방법론에 빠져있는 경우가 많은데(문제를 더 큰 문제로 해결하려는 셈...), 누군가는 이걸 보고 저런 사람들과 협력하면 안 된다고 할 것이고, 누군가는 비트코인과 자유주의를 전파하기 위해 그래도 가능성이 높은 이들 사회에 섞여들어가 이야기도 하고, 전파도 하려고 할 것이기 때문이다.

또한 한 가지 차이점은 질서 자유주의와 아고리즘 모두 공동체적 배제는 인정하나, 질서 자유주의는 이를 자유로운 계약에 의해 등장한 공동체적 질서로 보고, 아고리즘은 공동체적 배제가 집단적 억압으로 발전할 것을 경계한다. 아고리즘에서는 비합리적 차별에 의한 배제는 대안 시장이 생겨 극복될 수 있다고 본다.

자유주의 세상을 만들기 위해서는 어떻게 해야 하는가

이제 무엇이 옳은지 스스로 판단해보자. 지금부터는 개인적인 생각이 매우 많이 들어가있으므로 주의하라.

콘킨의 아고리즘은 암시장의 확대를 노려 정부 권한을 약화시키려 하지만 이는 대중의 지지를 얻기 어렵다. 또한, 이러한 병렬 경제는 한 곳에 집중되기 어렵고 넓고 약하게 퍼져있을 수밖에 없다.

로스바드-호페의 질서자유주의는 현실에 이미 존재하는 제도들을 전략적으로 활용한다. 현실적으로 대중의 지지를 얻을 가능성이 있고, 한 지역에 자유주의자들이 집중되면 적어도 그 지역에서는 지역 투표를 통해 위로부터의 전환이 가능하다. 하나의 자유지상주의적인 지역이 좋은 모범이 되면 다른 지역도 채택할 가능성이 커진다.

어떤 전략을 택해야 하는가? 나는 자유지상주의가 도래하게 하기 위해서는 두 전략 다 써야 한다고 생각한다. 질서자유주의자들의 주장대로 대중의 지지 없이는 자유지상주의가 도래하게 할 수 없다. 대한민국에 있는 "진짜" 비트코이너+자유지상주의자들이 대략 몇 명쯤 될까? 높게 잡아 1,000명 정도 된다고 해보자. 이들 전부가 특정 지역에 모인다고 해도 자유지상주의 질서를 건립할 수는 없다. 찾아보니 대한민국에서 인구가 가장 적은 시가 충남 계룡시라고 한다. 여기 인구는 약 4만3천 명인데, 여기에 51% 공격을 가하려고 해도 적어도 4만 명이 필요하다는 뜻이다. 따라서 아고리스트들처럼 대중의 지지를 얻기 위한 전략을 완고하게 거부하다간 어떠한 힘도 얻지 못하고 선민 의식에만 갇힐 수 있다.

반면 아고리스트들의 주장대로 병렬 경제도 필요하다. 잘 세뇌된 대중은 폭력 집단의 강탈이 있어야만 사회가 유지될 수 있다는 환상에 사로잡혀있다. 병렬 경제는 이러한 환상을 깨뜨릴 좋은 수단이다. 정부 추적이나 제3자 없이 부의 보존이 가능하고, 당사자끼리의 직접 결제가 가능하다는 것을 사람들이 경험하면 생각이 크게 바뀔 것이다. 비트코인으로 결제를 해본 사람과 한 번도 해본 적 없는 사람은 이런 자유지상주의 세상에 대한 이해의 폭이 다를 수밖에 없다. 또한, 비트코인은 개인들에게 큰 힘이 되는데 국가 시스템의 폭력으로부터 개인들이 생산 가치를 지킬 수 있는 강력한 방패이자 동시에 무기가 되기 때문이다.

그러나 아고리즘의 주장인 병렬 경제 중 특히 암시장 전략—국가의 통제가 미치지 않는 무기, 마약, 성매매 등을 확장하는 것—에는 동의하지 않는다. 당연히 자유지상주의자인 나는 총기나 마약, 성매매 등도 자발적인 계약에 의해 시장에서 더 건전하게 다뤄질 수 있다고 생각한다. 지금처럼 불법화되어있는 사회와 다르게 자유시장에서는 마약의 순도나 안정성에 대해 인증해주는 기관, 의사들도 등장할 것이고, 성매매도 비슷한 방식으로 질서화될 수 있다고 생각한다. 혹은 이러한 시장은 시간 선호를 지나치게 높이고 전통적인 가족 질서를 해칠 수 있으므로 공동체적 배제가 일어날 수도 있다. 무기, 마약, 성매매는 일반 대중들이 생각하는 '질서'와는 거리가 있다. 우리는 더 많은 사람들을 끌어들여야 하는데 이는 처음에 일단 거부감을 일으킬 수 있다.

따라서 자극적인 암시장보다는 사람들의 반감이 없는 상품들을 먼저 비트코인으로 거래하고, 국가가 추적하지 못하게 함으로써 납세 거부의 물결이 퍼지게 해야 한다. 동시에 더 많은 사람들에게 자유주의를 전파해야 한다. 더 많은 개인과 비트코인을 통한 병렬 경제라는 두 가지 무기가 함께 생겨야 지역 단위에서의 자유주의 세상을 만들 수 있을 것이다. 먼저 자유주의를 많은 사람들에게 전파해야 한다. 이 과정에서 좌파, 맑시즘, 케인지언들보다는 상대적으로 자유에 대한 이해가 좀 더 있는 집단인 우파 국가주의자들이나 기독교적 종교관을 가진 사람들 속에 섞여 들어가 거기서 전파를 할 수도 있다. 이러한 과정을 통해 자유주의자들이 많아지고, 한 지역에 모여야 한다. 비트코인이라는 무기를 가진 개인들이 한 지역에 모여 자유로운 시장을 형성하면, 호페가 말했던 것처럼 그 지역에서의 투표를 통해 작은 자유지상주의 세상을 만들 수 있다.

그림 3. 자유주의 세상을 만들기 위해서는 두 전략을 적절히 함께 써야 한다.

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Invista na Sua Saúde: O Melhor Retorno é uma Vida Plena

Esqueça dietas milagrosas, suplementos que prometem te tornar o próximo Apolo. E, programas de treino (tais como Crossfit) que dizem fazer a diferença entre escalar o Everest e se abaixar e pegar seu par de tênis.

Muitas pessoas falam em dinheiro, conexões e conhecimento. Mas, nada disso vai funcionar se sua saúde for uma porcaria. Imagina, estar no melhores anos da sua vida e não ter forças para aproveitar nada. Então, pare de ser teimoso e coloque sua saúde no patamar de importância que ela merece!

Tudo o que você precisa é de paciência, ritmo e disciplina. Portanto, nesse artigo. Vou te apresentar como eu invisto na minha saúde e você pode entender se algo do que eu escrever aqui vale a pena para você aplicar na sua vida e obter resultados semelhantes.

Mas, antes de tudo…

Disclaimer

Nada do que eu escrever aqui deve ser levado como regra. Você deve consultar seu médico e nutricionista para entender quais as melhores ações para serem tomadas com base no seu biotipo e necessidade físicas.

Desenvolva seu corpo, seu templo

Se alimente como Sapiens:

Primeiro de tudo, alimentar se de forma correta é a chave. Se você prestar bastante atenção nos alimentos que ingere e nas coisas que bebe. Seu corpo vai te agradecer enormemente. Ele te presenteia com saúde, disposição, força e energia.

Se colocar combustível "ruim", seu corpo vai detectar e vai reclamar… Não tem que seguir essas dietas malucas que a galera prega na internet. Uma dose de bom senso combinado a uma dose de disciplina vão te tornar um velhinho(a) que todos vão admirar no futuro.

Eu já fiz dietas em que comia até 7x ao dia, tomava 3-4 suplementos por dia e no fim de tudo. Entendi uma coisa. Quanto mais natural nossa dieta, melhor. Legumes, frutas, verduras, carne (com moderação), sementes e grãos. Vão fazer seu corpo te pagar os melhores dividendos possíveis em saúde.

Busque o Olimpo, quem sabe acerta as olimpíadas

Se você como eu, é um entusiasta de esportes. Vai saber bem o que quero ilustrar aqui. Em 2015, após um término de relacionamento. Eu me sentia tão sufocado, que eu queria gritar e extravasar o que estava em mim. Peguei um par de tênis e decidi sair para fazer uma caminhada, fiz outra no outro dia, de repente comecei a “trotar” e duas semanas depois eu estava correndo 5 km.

Passados alguns meses, eu tinha me inscrito em uma primeira corrida "só para ver como era". Depois outra e outra. E, assim fui… Mas, eu tinha três ingredientes:

• O foco (correr)
• O combustível (eliminar aquela dor e tensão)
• O lugar (a rua)

E, depois que aprendi isso galera. Eu juro, que destravei muita coisa. Eu participei de campeonatos de levantamento de peso, de xadrez e mais um bocado. Minha meta nunca foi ser uma atleta profissional e viver disso. Mas, eu via mais como um hobbie que me pagava muito bem

Endorfina é boa demais

Então pensa assim:

1. Sem grana? Calce os tênis e vá correr. Tem praças perto da sua casa com equipamentos.
2. Sem ânimo? Arruma alguém para te acompanhar nos primeiro 60 dias. Depois vira hábito.
3. Vida corrida? Vamos definir que 3x por semana é uma lei!

O que não vale é não fazer NADA. Temos muita comodidade e temos que usar isso para o bem. Senão, “seremos velhos de 30 anos”.

Aqui, vale tudo com excecao de duas coisas: Ficar parado e complicar demais as coisas.

Saúde Mental

Aqui é onde separamos os maduros dos nãos. Eu tive que entrar em colapso para entender que cuidar na minha mente era importante.

Por mais que eu tenha lido livros, me preparado de várias formas e tenha sido resiliente. Ninguém, absolutamente ninguém está pronto para lidar com a quantidade de coisas que acontece na nossa vida.

Um terapeuta é fundamental!

Galera, eu faço terapia há 5 anos e foi um salto quântico na minha vida. Quando você passa a conhecer a si mesmo e entender sobre você. Você se torna imbatível! Mas, é um processo lento e doloroso. Você vai visitar cantos e memórias que não são confortáveis. Mas, isso vai te fazer crescer muito além do que jamais imaginou.

Todos nós somos tomados por stress e ansiedade. Ainda mais em um mundo como o de hoje, aonde a informação viaja rápido demais. Você consegue ver conteúdo do fim do mundo, fome e corrupção com alguns cliques de distância.

Vai por mim: -Terapia é o dinheiro mais barato que faço como investimento na vida!

Sua vida vai ser outra. Juro. Comece fazendo uma vez por mês e vá aumentando a medida que achar necessário e puder pagar. O ideal vai variar de acordo com seu momento necessidade. Tem que caber no orçamento também. Senão, vai aliviar uma dor e trazer outra.

Sono de Qualidade:

Eu dormi em cama ruim nos últimos 3 anos da minha vida. E, nesse ano eu investi em uma cama e um travesseiro de qualidade. E, faz totalllllll diferença na vida. O sono ruim, nos deixa stressado e cansados para o resto do dia.

Portanto, te convido a refletir sobre seus equipamentos de descanso. Porque? De nada vai adiantar você: Fazer exercícios, cuidar da alimentação e da sua mente. Se, seu sono estiver quebrado!

Você vai continuar stressado e cansado demais reclamando. Quando fizer um check up sobre isso vai entender na hora o que estou falando e sobre os dois próximos que quero abordar:

• Higiene do sono
• Horário de deitar

Higiene do sono = Deixar tudo o que é eletrônico na sala e parar de mexer neles pelo menos uma hora antes. Deita e vai conversar com seu parceiro(a), leia um livro ou anote coisas em um papel. Vai fazer muita diferença na sua vida.

Horário de deitar = Também faz muita diferença. Se precisa acordar ás 07 da manhã. O ideal é estar na cama 10 horas antes. Ou seja, ás 22:00 já junta tudo e vai pro seu quarto sem distrações. Muita gente dorme e não descansa porque vai se deitar muito tarde e não consegue o sono REM.

Sono regular vai terminar de fechar o ciclo e você vai se tornar mais disposto e com força para fazer o que é necessário. Hoje, em dia para conseguir o que almeja. Não basta somente a mente e o dinheiro. Vai precisar do seu corpo em funcionamento total.

Check-ups e Prevenção

Para concluirmos aqui, é vital fazer exame regularmentes. Não sou médico, mas você deve visitar o seu e agendar bateria de exames periodicamente. E, entender como seu corpo está. Sempre e em qualquer ocasião busque acompanhamento médico antes, durante e pós qualquer atividade esportiva em que se propor.

Apesar de não usar, sou a favor de relógios e aparelhos que possam te ajudar a medir de alguma forma seu progresso e monitorar sua saúde. Toda vez que alguém falar contigo: -Para que vai comprar isso, é caro e é bobagem! Vai lá e compra!

Se a compra, te dar mais vontade de treinar e te ajudar a chegar mais próximo do seu objetivo. Então, eu não vejo como gasto. Vejo como investimento!

Tudo o que puder investir para aumentar e melhorar sua saúde. É uma boa jogada e ignore os críticos. No fundo, eles querem ser como você. Mas, tem muito medo e não conseguem dar o primeiro passo.

Concluindo tudo

Não é café com seu pai, mas uma convesa descontraída de uma pessoa que tentou (e sofreu) várias coisas até chegar em um bom equilíbrio. Fico orgulhoso de poder compartilhar minhas experiências com vocês e se você chegou até aqui. Me sinto honrado em ter sua atenção por tanto tempo. Te agradeço pela sua atenção e convido a compartilhar esse post com quem precisa. Até a próxima.

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Key Takeaways

In this landmark episode of TFTC, Adam Back and Sean Bill explore Bitcoin’s path to $1 million, focusing on its growing role as pristine collateral in a faltering financial system. Back highlights Blockstream’s infrastructure efforts, from mining operations to tokenized securities, designed to support this transformation, while Bill shares how he navigated institutional skepticism to bring Bitcoin exposure to a U.S. pension fund. Together, they unpack how institutions are entering the space through structured products and Bitcoin-backed credit, with Blockstream’s mining notes offering a glimpse of this new financial architecture. Amid rising debt, inflation, and fiat fragility, the duo presents Bitcoin not just as sound money, but as a strategic reserve asset gaining traction from El Salvador to Wall Street.

Best Quotes

"It's not a stretch to say that Bitcoin could reach parity with gold. That would imply something closer to a million dollars a coin."

"Digital gold vastly understates Bitcoin’s potential, but it’s where the conversation had to start."

"We’re not just building software, we’re solving financial market gaps, one at a time."

"You can wipe out an entire pension fund’s unfunded liability with a 2% allocation to Bitcoin, if it performs as we expect."

"ETF buyers are the new hodlers. They’re not day traders; they’re five-year pocket investors."

"Bitcoin is becoming super collateral, its role in structured credit could help engineer the soft landing everyone hopes for."

"In a world of financial repression, Bitcoin is how the have-nots finally access property rights and savings."

"Emerging markets will be the early adopters of Bitcoin finance because they need it the most."

"You worked for your money. To systematically steal it through hidden inflation is perverse."

"Bitcoin could be the story that saves public pensions, and the people relying on them."

Conclusion

This episode presents a bold vision of Bitcoin as more than sound money, it’s the foundation of a new global financial system. Adam Back and Sean Bill argue that Bitcoin’s role as “super collateral” is reshaping credit, pensions, and sovereign reserves, while a robust infrastructure of financial tools quietly prepares it to absorb institutional capital. As fiat trust erodes, Bitcoin’s adoption will be driven not by hype, but by necessity, and when the shift becomes undeniable, $1 million per coin will mark the start of a new financial era.

Timestamps

00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:38 - New ATH
00:02:06 - Sean's Journey Getting Bitcoin Into Pensions
00:03:15 - Blockstream's Evolution Into Finance
00:08:30 - Building Bitcoin Financial Infrastructure
00:14:30 - The Challenge of Conservative Pension Boards
00:17:02 - Bitkey
00:18:10 - Bitcoin's Current Price and Market Cycle
00:24:05 - Bitcoin as Super Collateral
00:27:24 - Unchained
00:30:09 - Cypherpunk Ideals vs Financial Reality
00:34:55 - Pension Fund Crisis and Bitcoin Solution
00:42:29 - The Cypherpunk Banking Stack
00:49:54 - Digital Cash and Free Banking
00:57:06 - Liquid Network and Institutional Rails
01:07:49 - Sean At CBOT
01:22:16 - Bitcoin Futures and Market Structure
01:25:53 - 2025 Bitcoin Price Predictions

Transcript

(00:00) I'm uh permeable, so I'm always astounded that it's not, you know, 10 or 100 times higher. If everybody saw it, the addressable mark, I mean, it would already be 100 200 trillion asset class, right? That's not a stretch to say that Bitcoin could reach parody with gold. That would imply something closer to a million dollars a coin.
(00:18) You see some established public market companies in different countries saying, "Oh, we're going to buy a billion of Bitcoin. We're going to raise and buy 500." Black Rockck ETF. They're even talking about recommended allocations to portfolio managers in the 2% range. Obviously, digital gold would vastly understate the potential of Bitcoin.
(00:38) Gentlemen, thank you for joining me. Of course. Thanks for having us on. Uh Adam, I was just saying I'm woefully embarrassed. This podcast is almost 8 years old and this is your first time on the show. Oh, okay. This is uh but it's an exciting time. Yeah. And you uh really dedicated to podcast. It's been a lot of years, a lot of episodes, right? It has been. Cool.
(00:59) I think we're approaching 700, which is crazy to think. Wow, that is impressive. The uh No, we're talking hit a new alltime high today. Yeah, Bitcoin doing Bitcoin things just as we were on stage uh at the talking hedge kind of asset manager conference uh trying to explain to them why they should put Bitcoin in their uh fund allocations.
(01:23) Yeah, we were discussing it before we hit record and I saw Tur's tweet looked like Tur was at the event, too. Yeah, he was. M so 50% held up they have Bitcoin in their personal account but only 2% or 4% of the funds very few that actually had allocated to Bitcoin. So a lot of them are believers at a personal level but they haven't been able to sell it within their institution you know so they own it themselves uh but they haven't quite gotten the boards to agree yet.
(01:53) So which was a similar situation I was in in 2019 when I first proposed it. You know, I had my experience with Bitcoin. I had a very good experience and was trying to convince uh the pensions in California that they should be looking at adding Bitcoin to the portfolio. Yeah. And it was great to hear some of your background last night, Sean.
(02:11) So, Sean, for those of you watching, uh is the CIO at Blockstream now. Yeah. I am really excited to have both of you here because I've got into Bitcoin in 2013 and nerded out uh on the tech side of Bitcoin distributed system mining full nodes the layered stack that's been built out and so I followed probably all the work that you guys have done at Blockstream since you've been around and it's been really cool to see everything you've done from the Blockstream satellite.
(02:42) I've broadcast some transactions through that before. It's a Jade um uh CLN or excuse me, Core Lightning now. Um the uh liquid and now over the last few years really sort of leaning into the financialization of finance as I like to um to reference it. And so Adam, like how's that transition from being hypert focused towards a more financial perspective on Bitcoin been? Well, actually in our 2014 uh kickoff meeting, you know, with the founders sitting around big whiteboard, we were trying to forward cast what we'd have to do to get
(03:28) a Bitcoin layer 2 for, you know, settlement of assets and Bitcoin working. And one of the risk you know so we thought we'll build the tech and other people issue the assets but like well they might be lazy they might not do it if that happens we'll have to do it ourselves. So there was a lot of situations like that actually where you know you would think there would be lots of people building applications but many people are really just more in business development and a technology is basically a website and a database and
(03:55) you know Bitcoin core wallet on a server or something like that right so we actually ended up building a lot of middleware and getting into asset management a couple earlier steps one was the mining note so we're doing hosting and mining in our own account and what we did when when it was public that we were hosting initially Fidelity was the uh launch customer.
(04:16) They kept coming back to us and saying, "No, we need we need some hosting." And you know, uh, they'd looked around and decided that we were the best. We were we were like, "No, no, we're prop mining. We don't do hosting." But they persuaded us to host them. And then we're like, "Okay, maybe we should expand and host for other people.
(04:31) " And then that became news. And so then a lot of Bitcoiners contacted us and says, you know, I've got like a dozen miners. Can you host them for me? And of course, if you're if you're hosting for thousands of customers, that's a whole you need need a support team. Somebody has got two miners and one of them's crashed or failed, they're very upset, right? It's half the revenue.
(04:52) Whereas somebody's got, you know, 10,000 per client, it's just part of the, you know, maintenance cycle like a big data center. Discs fail 1% a year, you replace them when they die, they raid, it doesn't matter, right? So, it's kind of that phenomena. So we try to figure out well how can we help you know how can we help people do this without creating a you know that painoint and so we designed this mining note concept where it's kind of socialized so that collectively they look like one of the enterprise customers and then we put a 10% buffer in it so that we would eat
(05:22) the first 10% of equipment failure so they wouldn't get you know the drooping hash rate as miners like failed due to age uh for the for the onset And we also figured out how to try and make them a unified market. So, you know, we're selling more tranches into the market. This started in 2021, a three-year product.
(05:45) And um you know, there was some people on the launch branch and then some people 3 months later. So, what we do is look at how many Bitcoin it had mined in the first three months. We buy that and then match it with a 33month contract for the next one. And so the economically equivalent neither dilutive or anti-dilutive for the buyer and therefore they could trade in a unified market even though there were eight sales tranches over the first I don't know like 12 months or something like that and that that market you know it was using initially using uh liquid
(06:17) security tokens uh with uh stalker a European company that does the securitization I mean the legal p

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"Privacy is necessary for an open society in the electronic age. Privacy is not secrecy.  A private matter is something one doesn't want the whole world to know, but a secret matter is something one doesn't want anybody to know. Privacy is the power to selectively reveal oneself to the world." - Eric Hughes, A Cypherpunk's Manifesto, 1993

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Privacy is essential to freedom. Without privacy, individuals are unable to make choices free from surveillance and control. Lack of privacy leads to loss of autonomy. When individuals are constantly monitored it limits our ability to express ourselves and take risks. Any decisions we make can result in negative repercussions from those who surveil us. Without the freedom to make choices, individuals cannot truly be free.

Freedom is essential to acquiring and preserving wealth. When individuals are not free to make choices, restrictions and limitations prevent us from economic opportunities. If we are somehow able to acquire wealth in such an environment, lack of freedom can result in direct asset seizure by governments or other malicious entities. At scale, when freedom is compromised, it leads to widespread economic stagnation and poverty. Protecting freedom is essential to economic prosperity.

The connection between privacy, freedom, and wealth is critical. Without privacy, individuals lose the freedom to make choices free from surveillance and control. While lack of freedom prevents individuals from pursuing economic opportunities and makes wealth preservation nearly impossible. No Privacy? No Freedom. No Freedom? No Wealth.

Rights are not granted. They are taken and defended. Rights are often misunderstood as permission to do something by those holding power. However, if someone can give you something, they can inherently take it from you at will. People throughout history have necessarily fought for basic rights, including privacy and freedom. These rights were not given by those in power, but rather demanded and won through struggle. Even after these rights are won, they must be continually defended to ensure that they are not taken away. Rights are not granted - they are earned through struggle and defended through sacrifice.

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If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.

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Diskutiert: Welche Rolle spielen Glaube und Spiritualität in politischen Konflikten?", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Erarbeitungsphase. Er fördert die Bibelkompetenz und die Fähigkeit zur Interpretation religiöser Texte. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, biblische Botschaften auf aktuelle Situationen zu beziehen und die Rolle des Glaubens in Konflikten zu reflektieren.", "url": "https://solus-christus.portacaeli.de/Export/LinkedDocuments/Es%20soll%20nicht%20durch%20Kraft%20oder%20Heer%20geschehen,%20sondern%20durch%20meinen%20Geist%20-%20Putins%20Ende%20(kein%20Atomkrieg).pdf", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-1ccu76c", "heading": "Strategien gegen Angst: Moralische Überlegenheit statt militärischer Gewalt?", "content": "Das Dokument plädiert für eine geistliche Strategie, um Putins Drohungen mit Angst und moralischer Überlegenheit zu begegnen und warnt vor militärischer Gewalt.\n\nAufgabe:\n\n1. Welche Argumente werden im Text gegen militärische Gewalt vorgebracht?\n2. Was bedeutet „moralische Überlegenheit“ in diesem Zusammenhang?\n3. Diskutiert: Ist eine geistliche Strategie im Angesicht von Krieg und Gewalt realistisch? Welche Chancen und Grenzen hat sie?", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Vertiefungsphase. Er fördert die ethische Urteilsfähigkeit und die Auseinandersetzung mit verschiedenen Konfliktlösungsstrategien. 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(Hinweis: Oftmals sind solche Materialien als PDF zum Download auf der Seite der EKD oder anderer kirchlicher Stellen zu finden). \n2. Analysiert die Texte des Klagegebets und des Segens:\n * Welche Gefühle und Bedürfnisse werden in den Gebeten ausgedrückt?\n * Welche Bilder und Symbole werden verwendet?\n * Inwiefern spiegeln die Gebete die Situation der Geflüchteten wider?\n3. Diskutiert: Welche Bedeutung haben Klage und Segen in Krisenzeiten?", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Erarbeitungsphase. Er fördert die Textanalysekompetenz und die Auseinandersetzung mit religiösen Ausdrucksformen. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, die emotionalen und spirituellen Bedürfnisse von Menschen in Notlagen zu verstehen.", "url": "https://www.ekd.de/gebetspostkarten-fuer-ukrainische-gefluechtete-75156.htm", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-e1iysfj", "heading": "Die Kirchen: Ökumene und religiöse Begründung des Krieges", "content": "Der Artikel beleuchtet die Rolle der Kirchen im Ukraine-Krieg, insbesondere die Haltung des russisch-orthodoxen Patriarchen Kyrill I.\n\nAufgabe:\n\n1. Welche Rolle spielt Patriarch Kyrill I. im Ukraine-Krieg?\n2. Inwiefern liefert er pseudo-religiöse Begründungen für den Krieg?\n3. Diskutiert: Dürfen religiöse Führer Kriege rechtfertigen? Welche Verantwortung haben religiöse Institutionen in Konflikten?", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Erarbeitungs- oder Vertiefungsphase. Er fördert die Auseinandersetzung mit der Rolle von Religion in Konflikten. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, religiöse Aussagen kritisch zu hinterfragen und die Verantwortung religiöser Institutionen zu reflektieren.", "url": "https://www.pro-medienmagazin.de/500-tage-krieg-die-welt-ist-eine-andere/", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-rubfx75", "heading": "Linksammlung sichten und Schwerpunkte setzen", "content": "Diese Seite ist eine Sammlung von Links, Materialien und Literaturtipps zum Thema Krieg und Frieden, insbesondere im Kontext der aktuellen Konflikte in der Ukraine und Israel.\n\nAufgabe:\n\n1. Sichtet die verschiedenen Kategorien und Angebote auf der Seite.\n2. Welche Bereiche erscheinen euch besonders relevant für die Fragestellung: Rolle religiöser Institutionen und Akteure im Ukraine-Krieg?\n3. Wählt 2-3 Links aus, die ihr genauer erkunden möchtet. Begründet eure Wahl.", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich gut für die Erkundungsphase. Er fördert die Fähigkeit zur Informationsrecherche und -bewertung. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, sich in einem umfangreichen Angebot zu orientieren und relevante Materialien auszuwählen.", "url": "https://irp-freiburg.de/service/materialien-zu-krieg-und-frieden/", "inactive": false } ] }, { "id": "id-1748929970477-4kjy2y0", "name": "Erarbeitung", "color": "color-gradient-3", "cards": [ { "id": "id-1749306532701-7wtnefd", "heading": "Analyse der Kriegslügen und der nationalen Identität", "content": "Der Artikel thematisiert die russische Kriegslüge, dass die Ukraine eigentlich gar nicht existiere und die Stärkung der nationalen Identität der Ukrainer durch den Krieg.\n\nAufgabe:\n\n1. Was bedeutet die Aussage, dass die größte russische Kriegslüge in den ersten Kriegstagen verpufft ist?\n2. Wie hat der Krieg die nationale Identität der Ukrainer beeinflusst?\n3. Diskutiert: Welche Rolle spielen Lügen und Propaganda in Kriegen? Nennt Beispiele aus anderen Konflikten.", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Erarbeitungsphase. Er fördert die Medienkompetenz und die Fähigkeit zur kritischen Auseinandersetzung mit Informationen. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, Propaganda zu erkennen und die Bedeutung von nationaler Identität in Konflikten zu verstehen.", "url": "https://www.pro-medienmagazin.de/500-tage-krieg-die-welt-ist-eine-andere/", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-xknl2vk", "heading": "Kreativer Zugang: Psalmwerkstatt", "content": "Die Schülerinnen setzen sich kreativ (z.B. durch das Malen von Bildern, Standbildern, Kneten von Figuren, Gestalten mit Lego oder Playmobil Figuren) mit Psalmversen auseinander und reflektieren ihre Ergebnisse in Kleingruppen (Psalmwerkstatt).\n\nAufgabe:\n\n1. Wählt einen Psalmvers aus, der euch besonders anspricht (z.B. Ps 13,2-3; Ps 17, 11-12; Ps 21,9-10; Ps 54,5; Ps 59,7). \n2. Gestaltet diesen Vers mit verschiedenen Materialien (Farben, Knete, Lego, Playmobil etc.).\n3. Präsentiert eure Ergebnisse in Kleingruppen und erklärt, was ihr darstellen wolltet.", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich gut für die Einstiegsphase. Er ermöglicht einen kreativen und spielerischen Zugang zum Thema und fördert die emotionale Auseinandersetzung mit den Psalmtexten. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler können ihre Gefühle und Gedanken nonverbal ausdrücken.", "url": "https://www.lehrer-online.de/unterricht/sekundarstufen/geisteswissenschaften/politik-sowi/artikel/fa/fluchterfahren-lehrmaterial-zu-flucht-migration-und-ankommen/", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-77qk4kt", "heading": "Eigene Klagepsalmen verfassen: Ausdruck der eigenen Gefühle", "content": "Die Schülerinnen schreiben eigene Klagepsalmen, um ihre Nöte, Ängste etc. in Worte zu fassen. Dafür bekommen sie eine Mappe mit einem Psalmenbuch, in das sie eigene Psalmen schreiben können. Sie können sich an den Elementen von Klagepsalmen orientieren, aber auch nur manche Elemente benutzen und sie in eine für sich passende Reihenfolge bringen.", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Erarbeitungs- oder Vertiefungsphase. Er fördert die Ausdrucksfähigkeit und die Auseinandersetzung mit den eigenen Gefühlen. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, ihre Emotionen in Worte zu fassen und sich mit ihren Ängsten und Sorgen auseinanderzusetzen. Beispielhafte Aufgabe: Gebt den Schülerinnen eine Strukturierungshilfe mit den Elementen von Klagepsalmen und lasst sie einen eigenen Psalm verfassen, der sich auf die aktuelle Situation in der Ukraine oder andere Gewalterfahrungen bezieht.", "url": "https://www.lehrer-online.de/unterricht/sekundarstufen/geisteswissenschaften/politik-sowi/artikel/fa/fluchterfahren-lehrmaterial-zu-flucht-migration-und-ankommen/", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-uwxq0or", "heading": "Psalm-Elemente analysieren: Puzzlearbeit", "content": "Die Schülerinnen arbeiten an den verschiedenen Elementen eines Psalms (Anrede/Hilferuf – Klage – Vertrauensäußerung/Erinnerung an erfahrene Hilfe – Bitte – Lob/neue Hoffnung).", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Erarbeitungsphase. Er fördert die analytische Kompetenz und das Textverständnis. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, die Struktur von Klagepsalmen zu erkennen und die Bedeutung der einzelnen Elemente zu verstehen. Beispielhafte Aufgabe: Zerschneidet einen Klagepsalm in einzelne Verse oder Satzteile. Die Schülerinnen ordnen die Teile den verschiedenen Elementen zu und begründen ihre Entscheidung.", "url": "https://www.lehrer-online.de/unterricht/sekundarstufen/geisteswissenschaften/politik-sowi/artikel/fa/fluchterfahren-lehrmaterial-zu-flucht-migration-und-ankommen/", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-1scyjhb", "heading": "Deutschland: Zeitenwende und Pazifismus", "content": "Der Artikel thematisiert die \"Zeitenwende\" in Deutschland und die veränderte Haltung zu Waffenlieferungen und militärischer Unterstützung.\n\nAufgabe:\n\n1. Was bedeutet die \"Zeitenwende\" in Bezug auf die deutsche Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik?\n2. Wie hat sich die Haltung der deutschen Bevölkerung zu Waffenlieferungen an die Ukraine verändert?\n3. Diskutiert: Ist Waffenlieferung ein Beitrag zum Frieden? Welche ethischen Argumente gibt es für und gegen Waffenlieferungen?", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Erarbeitungs- oder Vertiefungsphase. Er fördert die Auseinandersetzung mit aktuellen politischen Fragen und ethischen Dilemmata. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, verschiedene Positionen zu verstehen und ihre eigene Meinung zu bilden.", "url": "https://www.pro-medienmagazin.de/500-tage-krieg-die-welt-ist-eine-andere/", "inactive": false } ] }, { "id": "id-1749306663326-2qyx4bh", "name": "Vertiefung", "color": "color-gradient-4", "cards": [ { "id": "id-1749306532701-ifcnizf", "heading": "Gebet als Ausdruck von Solidarität", "content": "Die Gebetspostkarten sind zweisprachig (Ukrainisch und Deutsch), um gemeinsames Gebet zu ermöglichen.\n\nAufgabe:\n\n1. Diskutiert: Welche Bedeutung hat Gebet in verschiedenen Religionen und Kulturen?\n2. Inwiefern kann Gebet ein Ausdruck von Solidarität sein?\n3. Formuliert eigene Gebete oder Fürbitten für die Menschen in der Ukraine.", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Vertiefungsphase. Er fördert die interreligiöse Kompetenz und die Auseinandersetzung mit der Bedeutung von Gebet und Spiritualität. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, Gebet als Ausdruck von Verbundenheit und Mitgefühl zu verstehen.", "url": "https://www.ekd.de/gebetspostkarten-fuer-ukrainische-gefluechtete-75156.htm", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-kci172u", "heading": "Nächstenliebe und globale Solidarität: Christliche Werte im Konflikt", "content": "Das Dokument fordert globale Solidarität und Nächstenliebe im Kontext des Ukraine-Krieges.\n\nAufgabe:\n\n1. Inwiefern sind Nächstenliebe und Solidarität christliche Werte?\n2. Wie können diese Werte im Konflikt mit Russland konkret gelebt werden?\n3. Diskutiert: Welche Verantwortung haben Christinnen und Christen in Kriegszeiten?", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Vertiefungsphase. Er fördert die Auseinandersetzung mit christlichen Werten und deren Bedeutung für das Handeln in der Welt. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, ihre eigene Verantwortung als Christinnen und Christen in Konfliktsituationen zu reflektieren.", "url": "https://solus-christus.portacaeli.de/Export/LinkedDocuments/Es%20soll%20nicht%20durch%20Kraft%20oder%20Heer%20geschehen,%20sondern%20durch%20meinen%20Geist%20-%20Putins%20Ende%20(kein%20Atomkrieg).pdf", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-utjyeix", "heading": "Russland: Machtsystem und Moral", "content": "Der Artikel beschreibt, wie sich Russland zu einer Diktatur entwickelt hat und wie das Machtsystem Putins wankt.\n\nAufgabe:\n\n1. Welche Beispiele werden im Artikel genannt, um die Entwicklung Russlands zu einer Diktatur zu belegen?\n2. Inwiefern wankt das Machtsystem Putins?\n3. Diskutiert: Welche Rolle spielen moralische Werte in der Politik? Welche Konsequenzen hat es, wenn diese Werte verletzt werden?", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Vertiefungsphase. Er fördert die politische Urteilsfähigkeit und die Auseinandersetzung mit ethischen Fragen. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, politische Systeme zu analysieren und die Bedeutung von Moral in der Politik zu reflektieren.", "url": "https://www.pro-medienmagazin.de/500-tage-krieg-die-welt-ist-eine-andere/", "inactive": false }, { "id": "id-1749306532701-34ytvcy", "heading": "Klare Kante gegen Antisemitismus: Eine Analyse", "content": "Die Seite verweist auf einen Artikel zum Thema Antisemitismus im Kontext aktueller Konflikte:\nKlare Kante gegen Antisemitismus: irp.aktuell 25\n\nAufgabe:*\n\n1. Lest den verlinkten Artikel.\n2. Welche Formen von Antisemitismus werden im Zusammenhang mit dem Nahostkonflikt thematisiert?\n3. Inwiefern ist das Thema Antisemitismus auch im Kontext des Ukraine-Krieges relevant?", "color": "color-gradient-1", "thumbnail": "", "comments": "Dieser Baustein eignet sich für die Erarbeitungs- oder Vertiefungsphase. Er fördert die Auseinandersetzung mit einem komplexen Thema und sensibilisiert für die Gefahren von Antisemitismus. Die Schülerinnen und Schüler lernen, verschiedene Perspektiven einzunehmen und Zusammenhänge zu erkennen.", "url": "https://irp-freiburg.de/service/materialien-zu-krieg-und-frieden/detail/nachricht/id/195407-klare-kante-gegen-antisemitismus-irp-aktuell-25/?cb-id=12356664", "inactive": false } ] } ], "aiConfig": { "provider": "", "apiKey": "", "model": "", "baseUrl": "" }, "exportDate": "2025-06-12T09:01:28.847Z", "nostrEvent": true }

@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

What is KYC/AML?

• The acronym stands for Know Your Customer / Anti Money Laundering.
• In practice it stands for the surveillance measures companies are often compelled to take against their customers by financial regulators.
• Methods differ but often include: Passport Scans, Driver License Uploads, Social Security Numbers, Home Address, Phone Number, Face Scans.
• Bitcoin companies will also store all withdrawal and deposit addresses which can then be used to track bitcoin transactions on the bitcoin block chain.
• This data is then stored and shared. Regulations often require companies to hold this information for a set number of years but in practice users should assume this data will be held indefinitely. Data is often stored insecurely, which results in frequent hacks and leaks.  
• KYC/AML data collection puts all honest users at risk of theft, extortion, and persecution while being ineffective at stopping crime. Criminals often use counterfeit, bought, or stolen credentials to get around the requirements. Criminals can buy "verified" accounts for as little as $200. Furthermore, billions of people are excluded from financial services as a result of KYC/AML requirements.

During the early days of bitcoin most services did not require this sensitive user data, but as adoption increased so did the surveillance measures. At this point, most large bitcoin companies are collecting and storing massive lists of bitcoiners, our sensitive personal information, and our transaction history.

Lists of Bitcoiners

KYC/AML policies are a direct attack on bitcoiners. Lists of bitcoiners and our transaction history will inevitably be used against us.

Once you are on a list with your bitcoin transaction history that record will always exist. Generally speaking, tracking bitcoin is based on probability analysis of ownership change. Surveillance firms use various heuristics to determine if you are sending bitcoin to yourself or if ownership is actually changing hands.  You can obtain better privacy going forward by using collaborative transactions such as coinjoin to break this probability analysis.

Fortunately, you can buy bitcoin without providing intimate personal information. Tools such as peach, hodlhodl, robosats, azteco and bisq help; mining is also a solid option: anyone can plug a miner into power and internet and earn bitcoin by mining privately.

You can also earn bitcoin by providing goods and/or services that can be purchased with bitcoin. Long term, circular economies will mitigate this threat: most people will not buy bitcoin - they will earn bitcoin - most people will not sell bitcoin - they will spend bitcoin.

There is no such thing as KYC or No KYC bitcoin, there are bitcoiners on lists and those that are not on lists.

---

If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.

@ 6be5cc06:5259daf0

Introdução

O princípio do sola scriptura, pedra angular da teologia protestante desde a Reforma do século XVI, estabelece que apenas a Escritura constitui a autoridade final e suprema em questões de fé e prática cristã. Este princípio, formulado inicialmente por Martinho Lutero e sistematizado pelos reformadores subsequentes, pretende oferecer um fundamento epistemológico sólido para a teologia, livre das supostas corrupções da tradição eclesiástica.

Contudo, uma análise rigorosa revela que o sola scriptura incorre em contradições lógicas fundamentais que comprometem sua viabilidade como sistema epistemológico coerente. Este artigo examina essas contradições através de três perspectivas complementares: filosófica, exegética e histórica.

A Contradição Performativa Fundamental

O Problema da Autorreferência

O sola scriptura enfrenta um dilema epistemológico insuperável: afirma que apenas a Escritura possui autoridade final em matéria de fé, mas essa própria regra não é explicitamente ensinada na Escritura. Trata-se de uma contradição performativa clássica, onde o enunciado viola suas próprias condições de possibilidade.

Esta situação configura uma falácia de petitio principii (círculo vicioso), pois exige que se aceite uma doutrina que não pode ser sustentada pelas premissas do próprio sistema. Para estabelecer o sola scriptura, seria necessário recorrer a uma autoridade externa à Escritura – precisamente aquilo que o princípio pretende rejeitar.

Fundacionalismo Mal Estruturado

Do ponto de vista epistemológico, o sola scriptura apresenta-se como um fundacionalismo defeituoso. Pretende funcionar como axioma supremo e auto-evidente, mas falha ao não fornecer a base textual que sua própria metodologia exige. Um verdadeiro fundacionalismo escriturístico deveria ser capaz de demonstrar sua validade através de uma prova explícita nas próprias Escrituras.

O Testemunho Contrário das Escrituras

Limitações do Registro Escrito

A própria Escritura reconhece as limitações do registro textual. João 21:25 declara explicitamente: "Jesus fez também muitas outras coisas. Se cada uma delas fosse escrita, penso que nem mesmo no mundo inteiro haveria espaço suficiente para os livros que seriam escritos."

Este versículo é particularmente problemático para o sola scriptura, pois reconhece que nem todos os ensinamentos de Cristo foram preservados por escrito. Como pode a Escritura ser suficiente se ela própria admite sua incompletude?

A Valorização da Tradição Oral

Paulo, em 2 Tessalonicenses 2:15, oferece uma instrução que contradiz frontalmente o sola scriptura: "Assim, pois, irmãos, ficai firmes e conservai os ensinamentos que de nós aprendestes, seja por palavras, seja por carta nossa."

O apóstolo valoriza inequivocamente tanto a tradição oral ("por palavras") quanto a escrita ("por carta"), estabelecendo um modelo de autoridade dual que o protestantismo posterior rejeitaria.

A Necessidade de Autoridade Interpretativa

A narrativa do eunuco etíope em Atos 8:30-31 demonstra a inadequação da Escritura isolada como autoridade final. Quando Filipe pergunta se o eunuco entende o que lê, a resposta é reveladora: "Como poderei entender, se alguém não me ensinar?"

Este episódio ilustra que a mera posse do texto bíblico não garante compreensão adequada. É necessária uma autoridade interpretativa externa – no caso, representada por Filipe, que age com autoridade apostólica.

A Complexidade Hermenêutica

Pedro, em sua segunda epístola (3:16-17), reconhece a dificuldade interpretativa inerente às Escrituras: "Suas cartas contêm algumas coisas difíceis de entender, as quais os ignorantes e instáveis torcem, como também o fazem com as demais Escrituras, para a própria destruição deles."

Esta passagem não apenas reconhece a complexidade hermenêutica dos textos sagrados, mas também alerta sobre os perigos da interpretação inadequada. Implicitamente, sugere a necessidade de uma autoridade interpretativa confiável para evitar distorções doutrinárias.

O Paradoxo Histórico da Canonização

A Dependência da Tradição Eclesiástica

Um dos argumentos mais devastadores contra o sola scriptura emerge da própria história da formação do cânon bíblico. Os concílios de Hipona (393 d.C.) e Cartago (397 d.C.) foram responsáveis pela definição oficial do cânon das Escrituras tal como conhecemos hoje.

Este fato histórico cria um paradoxo insuperável: aceitar a Bíblia como autoridade única requer aceitar a autoridade da tradição eclesiástica que a definiu. O próprio cânon bíblico é produto da tradição apostólica e da deliberação conciliar, não de autodefinição escriturística.

A Circularidade da Autopistia

Tentativas protestantes de resolver este dilema através do conceito de "autopistia" – a suposta capacidade das Escrituras de se auto-autenticar – apenas aprofundam o problema circular. Como determinar que as Escrituras possuem esta propriedade sem recorrer a critérios externos? A própria doutrina da autopistia não é explicitamente ensinada na Escritura.

Implicações Teológicas e Epistemológicas

A Fragmentação Interpretativa

A história do protestantismo oferece evidência empírica das consequências práticas do sola scriptura. A multiplicação de denominações e interpretações divergentes sugere que o princípio, longe de fornecer clareza doutrinária, pode na verdade contribuir para a fragmentação teológica.

Se a Escritura fosse verdadeiramente suficiente e auto-interpretativa, seria razoável esperar maior convergência hermenêutica entre aqueles que aderem ao sola scriptura. A realidade histórica sugere o contrário.

A Alternativa Católica e Ortodoxa

As tradições católica e ortodoxa, embora enfrentando suas próprias tensões epistemológicas, mantêm pelo menos coerência interna ao reconhecer explicitamente múltiplas fontes complementares de autoridade: Escritura, Tradição e Magistério (no caso católico) ou Escritura e Tradição (no caso ortodoxo).

Estas posições evitam a contradição performativa do sola scriptura ao não reivindicar que sua própria metodologia epistemológica seja derivada exclusivamente da Escritura.

Conclusão

A análise crítica do sola scriptura revela contradições estruturais que comprometem fundamentalmente sua viabilidade como princípio epistemológico. O princípio incorre em contradição performativa ao estabelecer uma regra que não pode ser derivada de suas próprias premissas, configura um fundacionalismo mal estruturado ao carecer de base textual explícita, e enfrenta o testemunho contrário da própria Escritura, que reconhece suas limitações e a necessidade de autoridades interpretativas externas.

O paradoxo histórico da canonização – onde o próprio cânon bíblico depende da autoridade tradicional que o sola scriptura pretende rejeitar – representa talvez o golpe mais decisivo contra o princípio protestante.

Isso não implica necessariamente a falsidade do protestantismo como sistema teológico, mas sugere que seus fundamentos epistemológicos requerem reformulação substancial. Uma teologia protestante intelectualmente honesta precisaria reconhecer as limitações do sola scriptura e desenvolver uma epistemologia mais nuançada que leve em conta a complexidade das fontes de autoridade religiosa.

A busca pela verdade teológica, independentemente de compromissos confessionais, exige o reconhecimento rigoroso das limitações e contradições inerentes aos nossos sistemas epistemológicos. No caso do sola scriptura, essa honestidade intelectual revela um princípio que, por mais central que seja para a identidade protestante, não pode sustentar o peso epistemológico que tradicionalmente lhe foi atribuído.

@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

Will not live in a pod.
Will not eat the bugs.
Will not get the chip.
Will not get a blue check.
Will not use CBDCs.

Live Free or Die.

Why did Elon buy twitter for $44 Billion? What value does he see in it besides the greater influence that undoubtedly comes with controlling one of the largest social platforms in the world? We do not need to speculate - he made his intentions incredibly clear in his first meeting with twitter employees after his takeover - WeChat of the West.

To those that do not appreciate freedom, the value prop is clear - WeChat is incredibly powerful and successful in China.

To those that do appreciate freedom, the concern is clear - WeChat has essentially become required to live in China, has surveillance and censorship integrated at its core, and if you are banned from the app your entire livelihood is at risk. Employment, housing, payments, travel, communication, and more become extremely difficult if WeChat censors determine you have acted out of line.

The blue check is the first step in Elon's plan to bring the chinese social credit score system to the west. Users who verify their identity are rewarded with more reach and better tools than those that do not. Verified users are the main product of Elon's twitter - an extensive database of individuals and complete control of the tools he will slowly get them to rely on - it is easier to monetize cattle than free men.

If you cannot resist the temptation of the blue check in its current form you have already lost - what comes next will be much darker. If you realize the need to resist - freedom tech provides us options.

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If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.

@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

Influencers would have you believe there is an ongoing binance bank run but bitcoin wallet data says otherwise.

- binance wallets are near all time highs
- bitfinex wallets are also trending up
- gemini and coinbase are being hit with massive withdrawals though

You should not trust custodians, they can rug you without warning. It is incredibly important you learn how to hold bitcoin yourself, but also consider not blindly trusting influencers with a ref link to shill you.

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If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.

@ 65912a7a:5dc638bf

I didn’t set out to become an enemy of the world’s richest man, but I seem to have managed it all the same. Until this moment, I’ve resisted describing my falling out with Elon Musk in much detail, but as the man’s cultural influence has metastasized—and he continues to spread lies about me on the social media platform that he owns (Twitter/X)—it seems only appropriate to set the record straight. I know that it annoys many in my audience to see me defend myself against attacks that they recognize to be spurious, but they might, nevertheless, find the details of what happened with Elon interesting.

Of all the remarkable people I’ve met, Elon is probably the most likely to remain a world-historical figure—despite his best efforts to become a clown. He is also the most likely to squander his ample opportunities to live a happy life, ruin his reputation and most important relationships, and produce lasting harm across the globe. None of this was obvious to me when we first met, and I have been quite amazed at Elon’s evolution, both as a man and as an avatar of chaos. The friend I remember did not seem to hunger for public attention. But his engagement with Twitter/X transformed him—to a degree seldom seen outside of Marvel movies or Greek mythology. If Elon is still the man I knew, I can only conclude that I never really knew him.

When we first met, Elon wasn’t especially rich or famous. In fact, I recall him teetering on the brink of bankruptcy around 2008, while risking the last of his previous fortune to make payroll at Tesla. At the time, he was living off loans from his friends Larry and Sergey. Once Elon became truly famous, and his personal wealth achieved escape velocity, I was among the first friends he called to discuss his growing security concerns. I put him in touch with Gavin de Becker, who provided his first bodyguards, and recommended other changes to his life. We also went shooting on at least two occasions with Scott Reitz, the finest firearms instructor I’ve ever met. It is an ugly irony that Elon’s repeated targeting of me on Twitter/X has increased my own security concerns. He understands this, of course, but does not seem to care.

So how did we fall out? Let this be a cautionary tale for any of Elon’s friends who might be tempted to tell the great man something he doesn’t want to hear:

(1.) When the SARS-CoV-2 virus first invaded our lives in March of 2020, Elon began tweeting in ways that I feared would harm his reputation. I also worried that his tweets might exacerbate the coming public-health emergency. Italy had already fallen off a cliff, and Elon shared the following opinion with his tens of millions of fans :

the coronavirus panic is dumb

As a concerned friend, I sent him a private text:

Hey, brother— I really think you need to walk back your coronavirus tweet. I know there’s a way to parse it that makes sense (“panic” is always dumb), but I fear that’s not the way most people are reading it. You have an enormous platform, and much of the world looks to you as an authority on all things technical. Coronavirus is a very big deal, and if we don’t get our act together, we’re going to look just like Italy very soon. If you want to turn some engineers loose on the problem, now would be a good time for a breakthrough in the production of ventilators...

(2.) Elon’s response was, I believe, the first discordant note ever struck in our friendship:

Sam, you of all people should not be concerned about this.

He included a link to a page on the CDC website, indicating that Covid was not even among the top 100 causes of death in the United States. This was a patently silly point to make in the first days of a pandemic.

We continued exchanging texts for at least two hours. If I hadn’t known that I was communicating with Elon Musk, I would have thought I was debating someone who lacked any understanding of basic scientific and mathematical concepts, like exponential curves.

(3.) Elon and I didn’t converge on a common view of epidemiology over the course of those two hours, but we hit upon a fun compromise: A wager. Elon bet me $1 million dollars (to be given to charity) against a bottle of fancy tequila ($1000) that we wouldn’t see as many as 35,000 cases of Covid in the United States (cases, not deaths). The terms of the bet reflected what was, in his estimation, the near certainty (1000 to 1) that he was right. Having already heard credible estimates that there could be 1 million deaths from Covid in the U.S. over the next 12-18 months (these estimates proved fairly accurate), I thought the terms of the bet ridiculous—and quite unfair to Elon. I offered to spot him two orders of magnitude: I was confident that we’d soon have 3.5 million cases of Covid in the U.S. Elon accused me of having lost my mind and insisted that we stick with a ceiling of 35,000.

(4.) We communicated sporadically by text over the next couple of weeks, while the number of reported cases grew. Ominously, Elon dismissed the next batch of data reported by the CDC as merely presumptive—while confirmed cases of Covid, on his account, remained elusive.

(5.) A few weeks later, when the CDC website finally reported 35,000 deaths from Covid in the U.S. and 600,000 cases, I sent Elon the following text:

Is (35,000 deaths + 600,000 cases) > 35,000 cases?

(6.) This text appears to have ended our friendship. Elon never responded, and it was not long before he began maligning me on Twitter for a variety of imaginary offenses. For my part, I eventually started complaining about the startling erosion of his integrity on my podcast, without providing any detail about what had transpired between us.

(7.) At the end of 2022, I abandoned Twitter/X altogether, having recognized the poisonous effect that it had on my life—but also, in large part, because of what I saw it doing to Elon. I’ve been away from the platform for over two years, and yet Elon still attacks me. Occasionally a friend will tell me that I’m trending there, and the reasons for this are never good. As recently as this week, Elon repeated a defamatory charge about my being a “hypocrite” for writing a book in defense of honesty and then encouraging people to lie to keep Donald Trump out of the White House. Not only have I never advocated lying to defeat Trump (despite what that misleading clip from the Triggernometry podcast might suggest to naive viewers), I’ve taken great pains to defend Trump from the most damaging lie ever told about him. Elon knows this, because we communicated about the offending clip when it first appeared on Twitter/X. However, he simply does not care that he is defaming a former friend to hundreds of millions of people—many of whom are mentally unstable. On this occasion, he even tagged the incoming president of the United States.

All of this remains socially and professionally awkward, because Elon and I still have many friends in common. Which suggests the terms of another wager that I would happily make, if such a thing were possible—and I would accept 1000 to 1 odds in Elon’s favor:

I bet that anyone who knows us both knows that I am telling the truth.

Everyone close to Elon must recognize how unethical he has become, and yet they remain silent. Their complicity is understandable, but it is depressing all the same. These otherwise serious and compassionate people know that when Elon attacks private citizens on Twitter/X—falsely accusing them of crimes or corruption, celebrating their misfortunes—he is often causing tangible harm in their lives. It’s probably still true to say that social media “isn’t real life,” until thousands of lunatics learn your home address.

A final absurdity in my case, is that several of the controversial issues that Elon has hurled himself at of late—and even attacked me over—are ones we agree about. We seem to be in near total alignment on immigration and the problems at the southern border of the U.S. We also share the same concerns about what he calls “the woke mind virus.” And we fully agree about the manifest evil of the so-called “grooming-gangs scandal” in the U.K. The problem with Elon, is that he makes no effort to get his facts straight when discussing any of these topics, and he regularly promotes lies and conspiracy theories manufactured by known bad actors, at scale. (And if grooming were really one of his concerns, it’s strange that he couldn’t find anything wrong with Matt Gaetz.)

Elon and I even agree about the foundational importance of free speech. It’s just that his approach to safeguarding it—amplifying the influence of psychopaths and psychotics, while deplatforming real journalists and his own critics; or savaging the reputations of democratic leaders, while never saying a harsh word about the Chinese Communist Party—is not something I can support. The man claims to have principles, but he appears to have only moods and impulses.

Any dispassionate observer of Elon’s behavior on Twitter/X can see that there is something seriously wrong with his moral compass, if not his perception of reality. There is simply no excuse for a person with his talents, resources, and opportunities to create so much pointless noise. The callousness and narcissism conveyed by his antics should be impossible for his real friends to ignore—but they appear to keep silent, perhaps for fear of losing access to his orbit of influence.

Of course, none of this is to deny that the tens of thousands of brilliant engineers Elon employs are accomplishing extraordinary things. He really is the greatest entrepreneur of our generation. And because of the businesses he’s built, he will likely become the world’s first trillionaire—perhaps very soon. Since the election of Donald Trump in November, Elon’s wealth has grown by around $200 billion. That’s nearly $3 billion a day (and over $100 million an hour). Such astonishing access to resources gives Elon the chance—and many would argue the responsibility—to solve enormous problems in our world.

So why spend time spreading lies on X?

@ 8814ec9e:32454dd9

As the story goes, when Ben Franklin was leaving the Constitutional Convention in 1787, he was approached by a woman who asked him what form of government he and the other delegates to the convention had created. His response was, "A republic, madam, if you can keep it."

His words not only correct those who would mistakenly call the United States a democracy, but they press home the responsibility of every citizen to safeguard this constitutional republic from being taken over by tyrants who would pervert it to their own benefit.

Behind the text of this design is a distressed and tattered version of the original "Betsy Ross" flag of the thirteen colonies, representing just how tattered the original ideal of our republic has become. We have not done the best job of heeding Franklin's admonition to "keep it."

To order one for yourself, go to: It's a Republic T-Shirt on Shopstr

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Product Details

• Most colors are 100% cotton

• Heather colors are 50/50 cotton and polyester.

• Unisex sizing available in S-4XL

• Fabric weight: 5.0–5.3 oz/yd² (170–180 g/m²)

• Pre-shrunk jersey knit

• Tubular construction

• Taped neck and shoulders

• Double seam at sleeves and bottom hem

• Tear-away tag

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

In een zee van mogelijkheden\ Kunnen we best veel tijd aan dromen besteden

Dromen is een universele taal\ Het wordt gedaan door ons allemaal

Het is het woord\ Dat deze gelijkheid de grond in boort

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Machtig water\ Door velen bemind

Element van beweging\ Vormgever aan land\ Bondgenoot van wind

Voorkomer van comfort\ Toelater van rust

Machtig water\ Waar ik ook ga\ Ik weet dat jij de grond onder mijn voeten kust

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

In het hart van een gepensioneerde operazangeres ontstond een stemmetje. Het stemmetje klonk verrast. "He," ging het hart. "Ik heb een stemmetje gekregen! Hoe kan dit? Kan iemand me horen? Zouden mijn gedachten me kunnen horen?" vroeg het stemmetje, niet wetend aan wie. Want de gedachten hoorden het niet. Zij waren zo druk bezig met het verleden en hadden een grote angst dit te verliezen. "Weet je nog?" gingen de gedachten. "Voor duizenden mensen heb ik gezongen! Avond na avond! Tienduizenden mensen hebben me toegejuicht! Wat waren ze onder de indruk! Luister! Ik kan het nog steeds!" "He," ging het hart. "Hoor je me dan niet? Het ging toch helemaal niet om dat gejuich. Weet je dan niet meer hoe ik me volledig bloot gaf aan die mensen. Mijn diepste en meest persoonlijke verhalen waren te horen in mijn liederen. Daar draaide het toch om? De mensen waren niet enkel onder de indruk. Hun harten hebben mijn verhalen gevoeld en konden zo kennis geven aan hun gedachten. Is dat niet wat echt telde?" Maar de gedachten waren volop aan het zingen voor de ene persoon die ze konden vinden die wou luisteren. "He," ging het hart. "Ook in dit moment zijn mijn liederen te horen door vele gedachten en te voelen door vele harten over de hele wereld. Heb ik dan geen rust verdiend? Kan ik niet even genieten van de rust die in dit moment te vinden is, maar jullie van me afnemen?" Maar de gedachten waren nog steeds volop aan het zingen.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

From designer Anna Cairns, the workhorse monospace typeface is rooted in feminist theory.

Across CMM Coda’s subtly imperfect, analogue-inspired letterforms – based on the IBM Selectric typewriter’s typeface, Dual Basic – Anna practically and conceptually brings together the feminist legacy of software and typewriters with the aesthetic sensibilities of the genre associated with the industry. Additionally, CMM Coda enables Anna to explore her intrigue in the blurry terminology used in text production, such as typing, coding and writing, “especially now that most text is created digitally,” Anna says, with typefaces being software in their own right. “We also associate a certain look with each of these modalities,” she continues, “so my idea was to create a typeface that can jump all of these genres simply through a play with white space,” an approach that resulted in CMM Coda’s multiple styles.

Learn more about Comma at https://commatype.com/, a new foundry founded by the Berlin-based type designer Anna Cairns.

Continue reading at https://www.itsnicethat.com/articles/comma-type-cmm-coda-graphic-design-project-110625

https://stacker.news/items/1004142

@ e9d7ed6f:f52b3346

Bitcoin is not for everyone but open for everyone. As a teenager, Bitcoin has already seen massive sprout growth surpassing Amazon's market value, becoming the fifth most valuable asset in the world and aiming to surpass gold that has been around us for the last 5,000 years. According to coinworld, Bitcoin trails only behind Apple, Microsoft, NVIDIA and ofcourse the shinny yellow metal of antiquity, gold in terms of market capitalization. Its clear to see the hormones are firing. Institutional adoption, regulation clarity, geopolitics, inflation are all fueling speedy growth and adoption for Bitcoin around the world.

As we witness this unprecedented speedy growth of Bitcoin, the decentralized network of consensus, nodes and mining power, toes are reaching the ceiling of the shoe. Most countries are on a Bitcoin rush hour either making Bitcoin legel tender, crafting regulatory policies, establishing strategic reserves, Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin educational programs and developing smart contracts. Bitcoin is indeed decentralized, dusting off the old double spending centralized ledger, transfoming the way we appoach finance.

In the midst of all this Bitcoin fuss, one may wonder, what's Malawi's position on Bitcoin? Where does Malawi place Bitcoin? What's the state of affairs for Bitcoin and Crypto currencies in Malawi? Is Malawi noticing the trends, is the sky any orange? Are there any Bitcoiners, miners, nodes? Can Malawi place itself in a position to benefit from this Bitcoin phenomenon? Do we have any free energy resources to utilize for Bitcoin mining, policy framework, regulation and make it actually legal tender? Is there even any interest in Bitcoin at all in Malawi?.

The state of affairs for Bitcoin in Malawi is as bright and promising however, its going to take a shovel, digging and getting dirty. In a nutshell, lets have a litmus test, exploring a brief historical background of Bitcoin in Malawi, Bitcoinboma organization & education, Women of Satoshi initiative & ofcourse, Malawi catch Bitcoin if you can. There maybe other unofficial record to the specific historical background of Bitcoin and Crypto currencies in Malawi that as of the time of writing are missed. Reach out, feed me in comments or reach out via my Twitter (X) handle @pacharo_w

1. Historical background of Bitcoin As Bitcoin is heading for the economic throne, the Malawian Kwacha continues to dwindle down the tunnel. Purchasing power seems to slip and fall on the muddy economic road to a point where a basic necessity, sugar has hit a record high price of MWK 5,000.00. The prices are the sponge soaking all the excess printing of the currency generated by commercial banks and our central bank which by the way is the guardan of the Malawian kwacha. Speaking of the lender of last resort, a report by Miriam Banire on Crypto adoption around the world: Malawi stated Reserve Bank made it clear that cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender and their use remains illegal.

The report further highlighted by stating, " RBM bears the exclusive mandate to issue legal tender, thus, bank notes and coins in Malawi, and to date, has not issued any form of cryptocurrency. The general public is encouraged to fully understand and be aware of the risks associated with the use of cryptocurrencies and similar online trading schemes, which include money laundering, vulnerability to cybercrimes, hacking and other fraudulent activities.” A statement from the former Governor of RBM, Dr. Dalitso Kabambe.

In the light of this, 2022 seems to be the official opening entry of Bitcoin and all crypto currency discussions in Malawi. Bitcoin was treated as just any other cryptocurrency and assumably needing a more careful approach to it. A strong emphasis that the RBM bears exclusive rights to issue legal tender currency in form of notes and coins drew a clear line, underlining risks such as fraudulent schemes, money laundering and cybercrimes if not monitored or regulated by the central bank.

In 2023, the same report stated that RBM was aware of cryptocurrency trade activities and there was mounting pressure from organizations such as ICT Association of Malawi as well as Economic Association of Malawi on formulating a regulatory policy and giving a clear stand on legal status for cryptocurrencies. The secretary of RBM and general counsel mentioned in further development in the report of engaging verious stakeholders in crypto regulation and having a neutral stand.

This implies that the governments position is still not yet clear and not known on where it stands on all this. However, they are aware and their attention is undivided.

Malawi is also a member of the World Economic Forum. An international independent egency that aims at improving the state of the world by involving the business communities, governments and institutions in crafting policies, guidelines and really put in effect agendas seeming fiting for a cause. Does it sound like Malawi perhaps may have been trying to explore its first Central Banking Digital currency?

WEF clearly advocates for a cashless society and has pushed for central banks in its membership to craft a Central Banking Digital Currency. As word on the corner travels so fast, Malawi seems to have called for consultations for a CBDC which its prototype patent is called the 'e-kwacha.' A digital currency that will be issued by the state, perhaps that will also go side to side with the physical notes of the Kwacha.

Progress of this project has so far went under the sheets as not much has been heard or speculated but we have our three eyes and three ears open to see the unfoldings of any development.

BITCOINBOMA, EDUCATION AND WOMEN OF SATOSHI

All roads to Bitcoinboma began in 2022, when Malawi including the rest of the world were recovering from aftermath of COVID-19 pandemic which was declared by World Health Organization. By this time a lot of business activities had slowed down, most private sector had been on a lock down and others working remotely.

Demand and supply command lines had drastically dropped. Masks had to be worn in all public places and atmosphere was utterly dry. Physical meetings seemed a challenge, gathering as crowd suddenly was a taboo but as history continually speaks and repeats, such times on the opposite side, opportunites loom for light. Two gentlemen, Nick Twayman and Grant Gombwa were actively sparkling Bitcoin conversations, deliberating Bitcoin and its state in Malawi. They started hosting space talks, engaging with fellow bitcoiners and audiences across the world via on twitter (X).

As if they were men on a mission to the Creature of the Jerky Island to draft a BitcoinBoma bill, it is believed that in 2023, August was the first time a Bitcoin physical Meet up happened in Malawi, right in the heart of the capital city at MHub Area 15, Lilongwe. There were fifteen participants and amongst many things they shared ideas of Bitcoin, state of legality, education and awareness as well as its adoption in Malawi. The aftermath of this meeting encouraged Grant and Nick to develop an idea of an organization. Interestingly, it was the wife of Nick that came up with the name "BitcoinBoma." Perfectly fitting, the name "Boma" stands for "place where people live" also it stands for " Government." Bitcoin being for the people, serves the society, a universal digital currency, the name absolutely placed everything in order fitting the context and representation.

BitcoinBoma was born in August, 2023 and made its first steps by intergrating the themes of social interaction, environmental awareness and economic enpowerment of Malawians. This organization advocates for the use case of Bitcoin as a legal tender currency, offering an altenative along side the Kwacha, seeking framework and acceptance as means of payment for goods and services. Bitcoin finally had a home in Malawi, BitcoinBoma.

Later, Ian Foster, a chartered accountant, economist, business analyst and ofcourse a Bitcoin maxi teamed up with the cofounders of BitcoinBoma and went together for a Bitcoin voyage conference in South Africa towards the end of 2023. After this conference, he later joined Bitcoinboma & also highlited his personal efforts of engaging Malawi government on the Bitcoin course which amongst other things included negotiating with the government of Malawi, through the Ministry of energy resources and Mining. He proposed an opportunity to utilize the water energy which powers the electric hydro-power plant grid that powers and generates electricity for Malawi. In the proposal, the abstract was utilizing and boostering efficiency of generating electricity through Bitcoin mining.

Later in May, 2024 BitcoinBoma collaborated with Trezor academy to host their first Bitcoin Education seminar and it happened in the month of July, 2024. They were 12 participants who completed a 3 day seminar series, scooping certificates of attendance, crafting cyberhornets of Bitcoin to preach the gospel of Bitcoin to the masses. These efforts proved a success and opened the door of an opportunity to embark on the first BitcoinBoma Diploma education journey. Towards the year end of 2024, BitcoinbBoma successfully launched the Bitcoin Diploma education campaign and registered its first Cohort students to embark on an education program.

November 16th, 2024 was a special day. It was packed like its a chrismas day where all relatives are sitting and laughing on a round table. BitcoinBoma hosted a Bitcoin 101 session with a special guest who later has become an incredible pillar of strength in BitcoinBoma. Talking of electrical Engeenier a Bitcoin powerhouse, vastly experienced, some grey hair we were privileged to meet and have Olev Maimets, all the way from Canada. He detailed the significance of Bitcoin, why Bitcoin and how his life has changed by embarking on Bitcoin. To this day, Olev is an anchor, a tutor, an aid and alley of BitcoinBoma.

Later, Ian travelled to El- Salvador, where his mission was to raise awareness and apply for BitcoinBoma to be a Mi Primer Bitcoin node and on 5th January, 2025 Bitcoinboma took its first step embarking on its first education program.

On the February 12, 2025 BitcoinBoma received an upvote representation of 56 votes to become a light node.

As history of BitcoinBoma continued to unfold, a new alley emerged from the shores of the fresh waters of Malawi. A briliant, creative and passionate Doctor and a junior Bitcoin protocal developer who cofounded a cooperative initiative called Women of Satoshi.

WOMEN OF SATOSHI This young ambitious professional doctor and junior Bitcoin developer by the name of Yankho Ngoleka took advantage of his challenging profession and made it to an opportunity by concretrating on how marginalized and vulnerable young women and women can build from scratch using an idea known as 'Sats Mkhonde.' The idea loiters a common traditional women's' Bank m'mKhonde, where women can form a cooperative and loan each other currency to support their existing business and pay it back after a given period of time for others to access. ' The name is an imagery that means, ' the Bank is within the veranda' so to say, ' the Bank is close to you.'

Earlier, it was highlighted how small scale businesses are really the skeleton of Malawi's economy. One of their major draw back is how FIAT currencies wash off the purchasing power for their gains in the small businesses they run. In the long run if these business erode with hyperinflation, then chances are they wont survive. Absence of these businesses means a cut in business supply chains, collapse of production and destruction of a family unit.

How can these businesses be recession proof? Women of Satoshi has a unique answer. If these businesses have access and adopt Bitcoin as altenative digital currency portfolio then it stretches the life span of their investment and savings. Bitcoin is a store of value and fares well with time. Women of Satoshi aims to educate and let women pioner 'Sats Mkhonde' initiative which will be a cataylst in creating a Bitcoin circular economy. As BitcoinBitcoinboma picked its perks, it partnered together with Women of satoshi and shared together the vision of awareness and education for Bitcoin in Malawi. In the months of March- April of 2025, BitcoinBoma and Women of Satoshi collaborated with Trezor Academy for a Bitcoin seminar at MUBAS ( Malawi University of Business Applied Science) which was a success.

MALAWI CATCH BITCOIN IF YOU CAN

When there's a dead rat in the ceiling, no matter how you clean the house, the cent of it will keep you outside the house. When you have a currency plundered by catastrophic loss of purchasing power, it will keep you out of reach for prosperity.

There is a lot of mirage on the state of affairs of the Kwacha. It seems the more we use it as a medium of exchange and store of value, the greater it plunges. The rate of its velocity seems to concur to the speed of light and prices are soaring to the point they can break the dome. The underwhelming performance of the Kwacha places every citizen on blink of loss, financial paralysis, uncertainty and instability of the nation.

There are a lot of schools of thoughts, we have brilliant economists, well grounded institutions that act as an eye and they have solid data with all the charts in place. As of writing, trading economists, reports an exchange rate rise of MWK 1,734/1 USD recording a 0.02% increase as of 10th June, 2025. In contrast, the Kwacha performed lower last month giving a 0.02% & a lower turnover of 0.03% from the previous twelve months check

On the opposite side, the reality speaks a different language. Regardless of the slight gain, prices of commodities which are an indicator to the purchasing power of the currency continue to climb up. Every commodity seems to react with any speculation, rumor mill, geopolitics and ofcourse trends with the US Dollar, cases of both white market (Bank rate) & black market(Unregulated US Dollar market rate).

Fuel availability is also one catalyst that sets the wildest fires of price hikes. Just a slight hint of fuel shortage, sets ablaze prices of every commodity leaving a wallet only ashes and dust. A fuel shortage can get the price of fuel at MWK 10,000 or above per litre as compared to the official pump price of MWK 2,530 for Petrol and MWK 2,734 for diseal as of writing. According to statista, Malawi has one of the highest, in fact the first country on the list for the highest gasoline prices.

Confidence & purchasing power of the Kwacha is extremely reliant towards availability of US Dollar. What institutions of trust miss as guardians of the Kwacha is we legitimize the Kwacha to another collapsing currency, the US dollar. The dollar standard since 1971 has never mantained any purchasing power. It has in fact failed to keep its grip as a store of value as time can attest its stability and strength. This is the case with all FIAT currencies throughout history. Price inflation of commodities has always signalled a weak currency due to over excessive printing, government deficit spending for social programs, ever ending construction works, social cash transfers amongst other things. Whenever, the money supply is tampered with, a loss in the purchasing power is inevitable. The institutions we trust to save guard the purchasing power of the currency fail to uphold the principle and never mention or question the money supply problem. They chose shortcuts that bypass the natural principles of free markets.

This is like keeping a dead rat in a home, if you can't locate it, the smell will choke the nostrils.If we are to reverse the situation, we need to fix our home by addressing the problem of this dead rat. A deep search, proper cleaning utensils and some odor deodorant should aid the cleaning process. Malawi should properly position itself on the stand of legalizing use of Bitcoin and handling FIAT currencies. The fate of the Malawian Kwacha is sealed and will continue to dwindle, losing its purchasing power as currency supply is never ending always fuelled by excessive spending and debt by the governmentt. This where Malawi must Catch Bitcoin if it can.

Loss of purchasing power and currency debasements are an ever ending circus. Excessive spending is a key feature for governments and when future prosperity is spent presently disasters looming in the future are always unavoidable. So how can Malawi avoid such catastrophes?

Allowing Bitcoin side with the Malawian Kwacha, it can combat forex challenges. Bitcoin doesn't have an exchange rate. It is 'the money itself.' It has a use case backed by computational power, network and cryptographic intergrated security. Nations can use Bitcoin to exchange value and communicate bilateral agreements without holding each others currencies to facilitate trade. There's no risking sabotaging the whole nation using primarily one instrument and medium of exchange. Bitcoin can allow Malawi to engage and exchange value, talents, resources and boom emerging markets with Bitcoin provided a framework is put in place to support Bitcoin. Using Bitcoin, will bypass almost all barriers to access international goods as well as export locally made goods to other countries.

Again, Bitcoin offers an altenative to the currency. No forex? No currency printer? Well, no problem, we have a stable altenative that can be used and still have access to international market. The 'one option only' conveys to limitation. Malawi markets are very vibrant, possibilities are limitless. We have producers who produce more and consume less. The pieces all collapse if there's one firm point holding the entire financial infrastructure. So if the dollar collapses, the Kwacha must follow trend. As all FIAT are nothing but IOUs, backed by the faith, trust and realiance of government. When the government seizures, the currency will follow too. Alternatively, this is not the case with Bitcoin. Built in scarcity and difficulty adjustment in its release, it keeps its inflation in check, having an equilibrium supply and creating more demand that brings about stability in the free market.

Truth is majority of the citizens panic and worry of faith in the Malawian kwacha. Everyone complains of high costs of living, that the wage isn't as good and fails to uphold coverage for a family. Adding a side hustle, two or three jobs and shifts, lending capital to farm all as a thousand ways to invade inflation. As prices will forever continue to sore, the market also keeps an eye and Grasham's Law always takes effect. (Grashams Law, Bad money drives out good money). The MWK 20.00 Malawian currency note could buy some candy back in the days. If we stretch this further it was a wage in the 1930''s to 60's. Today a MWK 20 note barely affords to make any purchase. At face value its useless on market, just a paper and a number on it. Some merchants don't accept it, being the weakest link and can't really purchase anything of value although it still has legal status and backed by government. The government through Reserve Bank of Malawi cautioned its citizenry that the MWK 20 note is still legal tender and must be accepted and used and warned those merchants refusing may face the law.

Well i hope i won't face the law with this.

Bitcoin may be the answer to questions majority of small scale businesses have who, constantly question legitimacy and fragility of the Kwacha. Price shocks ultimately dilute the little gains these businesses make, sending them back to the drawing board with really no insurance, surplus capital or compensation for the flooding Kwacha. Inflation of Kwacha undermines the capital power of these businesses and yet they are the skeleton that hold the muscle of the economy. Many of these are local vendors who tirelessly roam around in the urban city and rural areas, small shops also called 'Okala' who at many times order goods from other retail and wholesaler shops. When price shocks happen, their tables scatter and really have no choice but to also raise their prices. It gets to the point that at times one may not know how much they are they going sell their goods or what price is one going to buy.

On the other hand, Bitcoin which has proven time and again to be stable could protect, insure these businesses against these catastrophes. The deflationary measure can help a portion of their business capital be insured in the form of savings.

Bitcoin doesn't have a price and can't be measured to a collapsing currency to determine its value. The underlining statement is 1 Satoshi will always equal to 1 Satoshi, 1 BTC will always equal to 1 BTC. A digital currency with such a store of value feature in its feathers can really be an altenative, a reliable economic container, storing value for a really long time and can safely land any small business enterprise on a flying wheel.

So whats next... Let me wrap up by sharing an amazing experience i had with the students i teach at my school. Am huge fan of football & its encouraging to see young girls play soccer. At my school, on this particular day, i had fun seeing and cheering them play for a prize and they absolutely went nuts and loved it.

I offered them MWK 10,000 prize, about 5,280 Sats, $5.77 as of writing & the winners took it all. I know one day they will get to understand Bitcoin and why, they will also accept Bitcoin as payment.

One day they will have their football kits labelled Bitcoin and own Bitcoin branded football boots and balls. If you think this is a great idea, share, express your views and suggestions in the comments, I'd be so excited to hear them.

Am also a developing roockie blogger, you can rate my pen skills and give any meaningful suggestions.

Sources:

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

I am the space\ In which your experience takes place

You could never meet me\ For I hold no identity

The only way to really see me\ Is to be me

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

• Version 1.3 of Bitcoin Safe introduces a redesigned interactive chart, quick receive feature, updated icons, a mempool preview window, support for Child Pays For Parent (CPFP) and testnet4, preconfigured testnet demo wallets, as well as various bug fixes and improvements.

• Upcoming updates for Bitcoin Safe include Compact Block Filters.

"Compact Block Filters increase the network privacy dramatically, since you're not asking an electrum server to give you your transactions. They are a little slower than electrum servers. For a savings wallet like Bitcoin Safe this should be OK," writes the project's developer Andreas Griffin.

• Learn more about the current and upcoming features of Bitcoin Safe wallet here.

What's new in v1.3

• Redesign of Chart, Quick Receive, Icons, and Mempool Preview (by @design-rrr).
• Interactive chart. Clicking on it now jumps to transaction, and selected transactions are now highlighted.

• Speed up transactions with Child Pays For Parent (CPFP).
• BDK 1.2 (upgraded from 0.32).
• Testnet4 support.
• Preconfigured Testnet demo wallets.
• Cluster unconfirmed transactions so that parents/children are next to each other.
• Customizable columns for all tables (optional view: Txid, Address index, and more)
• Bug fixes and other improvements.

Announcement / Archive
Blog Post / Archive
GitHub Repo
Website

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Love, I thank you for your warmth\ Ever lifting

You keep me charmed\ Ever drifting

May I be me\ And you be you

In a perfect harmony\ Embracing all life makes us grow through

@ 9c47bb51:000381d0

EVERYDAY STACKING GUIDE

Let me break it down for you: stacking sats is about building your Bitcoin stash little by little. You do not need to make some massive play or wait for the perfect opportunity. It is about finding simple, steady ways to add to your stack, no matter what your situation looks like. And the best part? There are so many ways to do it, whether you are creating something, connecting with folks directly, or just using tools that reward you. Let us dive into how you can stack sats consistently, keeping it decentralized and peer-to-peer whenever possible.

You have got platforms like Stacker News where you can earn sats just by being part of the conversation. Think of it as Bitcoin’s answer to Reddit. You share something valuable, comment on posts, or just engage with the community, and next thing you know, you have got some sats coming your way. It is simple, and it is steady. Plus, it feels good to know your thoughts and contributions are being rewarded.

Then there is Nostr, a decentralized social platform that is making waves. It is built to connect people directly, and it ties in Bitcoin through the Lightning Network. The coolest thing? You can get tipped, or “zapped,” for your posts, notes, or anything you put out there. This is not about big corporations taking a cut; it is people showing love directly. Share your ideas, your art, your insights, and watch your stack grow while connecting with a global community.

Now, let us talk about Fold. It is a little different but still fun. You spin their rewards wheel every day, and you will earn a few sats. Sometimes it is a little, sometimes it is more, but it all adds up. If you are using their Bitcoin rewards debit card for your regular spending, you are earning even more. Sure, it is not 100 percent decentralized, but it is an easy way to stack sats while handling your everyday purchases.

For creators, platforms like Zap.Stream are opening doors. Imagine streaming your work, whether it is music, art, teaching, or something else, and getting paid directly in Bitcoin by your audience. No middlemen, no fuss. It is all about connecting directly with the people who support you and earning sats in real time.

And do not forget about selling something for Bitcoin. Whether it is handmade crafts, digital products, or your services, there is always a way to find buyers who want to pay in sats. Platforms that focus on Bitcoin marketplaces make it easier to connect with those folks. Plus, it is a true peer-to-peer exchange, keeping it aligned with the decentralized spirit of Bitcoin.

If you are freelancing, there are options to get paid in Bitcoin directly. Whether you are designing, coding, writing, or consulting, there are platforms that let you bypass the banks and get your payment straight into your wallet. It is quick, efficient, and keeps you in control of your money.

And let us talk about the small, passive ways to stack sats. Cashback apps like Lolli let you earn Bitcoin on everyday purchases. It might not be a huge amount, but those little bits add up over time. If you are already spending the money, why not get some sats back for it?

The real key here is consistency. Set a goal for yourself, whether it is adding sats daily or weekly, and stick to it. Even if it is just a few hundred sats here and there, it is progress. Those small steps add up over time and can turn into something meaningful.

Why focus on decentralized and peer-to-peer methods? Because that is what Bitcoin is all about. It is about staying true to the values of self-sovereignty and financial freedom. By avoiding centralized systems, you are not just stacking sats; you are strengthening the Bitcoin ecosystem itself.

Stacking sats is not about getting rich overnight. It is a journey. It is about building your stash, supporting the Bitcoin movement, and claiming your financial independence bit by bit. Whether it is through sharing content, selling products, or using new platforms, the mission stays the same: keep adding to your stack, little by little. And remember, every sat counts.

@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2

In a secluded mountain village, where the winds howled like wolves and the earth bore deep scars from ancient quakes, lived a deaf potter named Mazi. The villagers pitied him, not because he was deaf, but because he rarely spoke his silence louder than any thunderstorm that rumbled through their peaks.

Mazi spent his days shaping clay in a modest workshop. He did not hear the mockery of children mimicking his silent gestures. He did not flinch at the villagers who whispered, “He makes pots, but he hears nothing. What could he possibly understand about life?”

But his hands understood.

Each piece Mazi created was a marvel curved like whispers, solid like promises, smooth like forgiveness. His pottery bore no symbols, yet every visitor who touched them felt something stir inside: grief softening, joy surfacing, questions echoing.

One winter, an avalanche trapped the village under ice and silence. The road was blocked. Supplies ran out. Tempers flared. Hope withered.

Then, from the snowy haze, Mazi emerged with a cart stacked not with food or firewood, but with his clay pots.

At first, the villagers laughed. “Will we eat pottery, Mazi?” they jeered.

But when he placed a pot in front of each home, and signed, “Fill these with what matters,” a strange stillness fell.

One by one, families placed letters, tokens, songs, and prayers into the pots. In that quiet act, they began listening not with ears, but with hearts.

Soon, Mazi’s pots became vessels of unity. Messages were passed through them. Water was shared. Stories revived. And slowly, the snow relented.

When spring came, a traveler arrived and asked, “Who saved this village?”

They pointed to the silent potter shaping a new vessel beside a blooming tree.

He heard nothing. Yet his silence had spoken.

Moral: You don’t need to be loud to be heard. In silence, we often find the truest strength and deepest understanding.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Ik hou van de natuur en van verbinding maken\ Van diepgang en van mensen raken

Van creatief schrijven en programmeren\ Van speels bewegen en nieuwe dingen leren

Ik hou van leven en van dromen\ En van mensen zien\ Hun diepste wensen uit doen komen

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Een warme chocomelk\ Een knuffel en de moed te durven spreken\ Een leuk oprecht verhaal\ En een stap naar mijn verlangen

Deze dingen allemaal\ Maken me warm vanbinnen\ Ik hou van deze dingen\ Ze doen mijn hartje zingen

Ik wens iedereen zo'n warmte toe\ Ik wou dat ik het delen kon\ Maar het ziet er anders uit\ Voor jou dan hoe voor mij

Het enige wat ik echt kan zeggen\ Het enige dat ik zeker weet\ De kracht om warmte te creëren\ Ligt in je eigen handen

In je voeten, in je mond\ Het zit ook in je ogen\ En ook in je haar\ En zei ik al je mond\ En zelfs ook in je kont

Haha, ik ben maar wat aan 't lachen\ Dat is wat mij verlucht\ En ervoor zorgt dat wat ik zeg\ Van mij los kan komen\ En jou bereiken kan

Zo kan ik op beide oren slapen\ Dat ik deed dat wat ik kon\ Ik sprak dat wat belangrijk is\ Voor mij en liet het los

De wijde wereld in\ Voor al die horen wil en daar om geeft\ Om die warmte in hun hartje\ En daar misschien naar streeft

Ik wens je al 't succes toe in de wereld\ Want God weet, je bent het waard\ Het ligt nu in jouw handen\ Deze woorden, wat ik zeg\ Iets om over na te denken\ Tussen 't brood en het beleg

Leef gewoon je leven\ En zorg goed voor jezelf\ En als je 't graag wilt vinden\ Is het daar voor jou aan 't wachten\ Tot jij klaar bent met geloven\ In al dat anders klinkt

Ik kan je niets beloven\ Maar vertrouw op jouw instinct

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

The world around me\ Is assumed to be

Through sensory observations\ This appears to me

What I experience\ Is for me

But the ultimate experience\ Is for me\ To be

@ 65912a7a:5dc638bf

Chef's notes

This is my late partner's award winning Cajun rice & beans recipe. It's an updated take on the traditional Cajun comfort food.

Chef Darin was a classically trained chef who spent 30+ years in the kitchen perfecting his recipes, and delivering authentic Cajun and Creole food to his patrons. This is a 5-star dish that will earn the respect of the most discerning Cajun afficionado. You won't be disappointed.

I suggest making this recipe exactly as directed the first time, and then make whatever adjustments you want for future batches. Also, don't cheap out on the Andouille. No Johnsonville or Hillshire Farms. Chef Aidelle's is a good choice, as is Silva's from Whole Foods. They cost a few extra bucks, but it's absolutely worth it.

Details

• ⏲️ Prep time: 30 min
• 🍳 Cook time: 3 hours
• 🍽️ Servings: 12

Ingredients

• 16oz small red beans, dry
• 2 cups long grain white rice
• 14-16oz andouille sausage, sliced
• 8oz ham, cubed
• 1 large yellow onion, chopped
• 1 green bell pepper, chopped
• 2-3 stalks celery, chopped
• 2 tbsp garlic (12 cloves), minced
• 7 cups water
• ¼ cup olive oil
• 2 large bay leaves
• 1 tbsp parsley, dried
• 1 tsp thyme, dried
• 1 tsp Cajun seasoning
• ½ tsp cayenne pepper, dried
• ¼ tsp sage, rubbed
• 1½ tsp salt (more or less to taste)

Directions

1. Soak beans in a large pot of water overnight.
2. Heat oil in a large stockpot over medium heat. Cook onion, bell pepper, celery, garlic in olive oil for 3 to 4 minutes (until onion is translucent).
3. Add beans, bay leaves, parsley, thyme, salt, MSG, Cajun seasoning, cayenne pepper, Sage, and water. Stir, bring to a boil, and then reduce heat to medium-low (btwn 2-3). Cover and simmer for 2½ hours.
4. Remove bay leaves. Mash some of the beans. Stir Andouille and ham into beans, and simmer uncovered for an additional 30 minutes.
5. Meanwhile, prepare the rice. Bring water and rice to a boil in a saucepan. Reduce heat, cover, and simmer for 20 minutes.
6. Serve beans over steamed white rice.

@ 8814ec9e:32454dd9

In general, learning how to properly and safely handle a firearm is very simple. No long manual to study before taking a test. Just remember four easy rules:

1. Treat every gun as though it is loaded at all times.

2. Don't point the muzzle at anything you aren't willing to destroy.

3. Keep your finger off of the trigger until you are ready to fire.

4. Know your target and what is behind, beyond, and around it.

Clearing most malfunctions is just as easy, if not easier. Just tap, rack, bang! So easy, it reminded me of those instructions you often see in public bathrooms for how to wash your hands. If you don't know how without the sign... Well I can't help you.

To order one for yourself, go to: Tap, Rack, Bang T-Shirt on Shopstr

---

Product Details

• Most colors are 100% cotton

• Heather colors are 50/50 cotton and polyester.

• Unisex sizing available in S-4XL

• Fabric weight: 5.0–5.3 oz/yd² (170–180 g/m²)

• Pre-shrunk jersey knit

• Tubular construction

• Taped neck and shoulders

• Double seam at sleeves and bottom hem

• Tear-away tag

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Happy New Year!

Happy New Year, my dearest human family\ Happy New Year, my dearest animal family

Dear children of the Earth\ I wish you all a magical year

May it be utterly new\ Ever-changing\ New now

And may your journey say\ Life is amazing! I'm in a maze\ Life is awesome! Quite some awe\ Life is magical! True alchemy

I am human\ Black woman, I love you so\ Life-giver of my origin, the negro [nigiro]

I am\ Thus physical and non-physical meet

Life is to be\ As the elements are and compete\ And as they collide with one another\ One becomes aware of an other\ And so life sets on a journey\ To discover the other

Animal life is set to explore\ Allowing all experience the other has in store\ Life left to experience without a voice\ Until it discovers there is an 'I'\ And it has a choice

Human life is to be inside a human body\ Thus fusion between intellect and feeling\ Gets to express its perspective\ Inside infinity

Truly, a magical gift\ My Holy Trinity

And so from human life flow many voices\ As it navigates through infinite choices

Thus I say

Life is magic\ A gift for all that is here\ Perceived by too many as tragic\ Take care of your vision, I tell you, my dear [tell-a-vision]

Life is magic\ And words are spells\ Placing your aim beyond your reach\ It takes away efficiency from your speech

Life is magic\ Above all else\ Even when it has me feeling blue\ Seemingly left without a clue

Still I say

Perfection\ You are everything\ And I am of you

The source, the mirror\ And the reflection

@ 9c47bb51:000381d0

As Bitcoin’s price continues to climb, the value of its smallest unit, the Satoshi, grows with it. Today, owning a million Satoshis is an affordable and wise investment—especially as Bitcoin reaches new heights. Here’s why a million Satoshis should be the minimum amount everyone owns and why cold storage is key to securing your future.

1. Affordability and Future Value

While owning one full Bitcoin might seem out of reach for many, owning one million Satoshis is much more achievable. As Bitcoin continues to rise in value, a million Satoshis, which is currently worth around $250, could become worth $10,000 or more in the future. This makes owning a million Satoshis not just an entry into Bitcoin, but a solid step toward securing future wealth.

1. A World Priced in Sats

Imagine a future where goods and services are priced in Satoshis. As Bitcoin gains widespread adoption, this scenario is becoming more likely. With Bitcoin potentially surpassing $1 million per coin, one million Satoshis will be worth a significant sum in the future. By owning this amount now, you’re setting yourself up for a future where everyday transactions are measured in Sats, ensuring your financial independence.

1. A Hedge Against Inflation

With fiat currencies losing value over time, Bitcoin offers a deflationary alternative. Owning Satoshis is like holding a form of “sound money” that protects you from inflationary pressures. As Bitcoin’s value continues to grow, your Satoshis could outpace inflation, preserving your wealth for the long term.

1. The Importance of Cold Storage

Storing your Satoshis securely is just as important as owning them. Cold storage solutions, like the Foundation Passport, Coldcard, or Bitkey, offer the highest level of security by keeping your private keys offline. This protects your Bitcoin from online threats, ensuring that your Satoshis remain safe for years to come.

Cold Storage Solutions

•   Foundation Passport: Portable, secure, and open-source. A great option for long-term Bitcoin storage.

•   Coldcard: A highly secure hardware wallet that keeps your Bitcoin offline and out of reach from hackers.

•   Bitkey: A versatile, user-friendly cold storage solution integrated with your smartphone.

A Better Future with Bitcoin

Owning a million Satoshis today is not just about having a small piece of Bitcoin—it’s about securing a financial future where Bitcoin is the standard. Cold storage protects your wealth, and owning Bitcoin positions you to thrive in a decentralized, Bitcoin-driven economy. As Bitcoin continues to evolve, those who embrace it today will be ahead of the curve in a world where wealth is stored in Satoshis.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

De laatste zonnestralen van de dag streken over de eeuwige golven en weerkaatsten als lichtpuntjes in de ogen van schipper Joris terwijl hij nog een slok nam van zijn glazen fles die de vorm had van het hoofd van een oude monnik.

Gekregen van een oude vrouw uit de bergen van de Himalaya, zorgde de rum genaamd 'Old Monk' voor een verwarmend gezelschap op deze eenzame kerstnacht.

Joris had met zijn boot naar India gevaren nadat zijn vrouw hem had verlaten en hij een Indiër had ontmoet die had gezegd: "Waar ik vandaan kom, zijn vrouwen vrij en worden ze niet gezien als enkel en alleen de mooie lichamen die zij bezitten of als eeuwig bezit van een gezin."

Verward en ongelovig had Joris gekeken naar de wereld en besefte dat vrouwen inderdaad slechts gezien werden als hun fysieke schoonheid, genegeerd werden voor hun koesterende gevoeligheid en bekritiseerd werden door hun spontane intensheid en had hierop voor twee jaar lang gezocht in India naar deze vrije vrouwen met als enig resultaat een oude vrouw te ontmoeten die alleen in de bergen woonde en dagelijks haar wijsheid deelde met ieder luisterend oor.

Daar ging het doorzichtig monnikshoofd en verliet met een grote gebogen vlucht de hand van schipper Joris toen plots met groot kabaal de boot abrupt tot stilstand kwam en Joris hals over kop naar de andere kant van het dek geslingerd werd.

Het monnikshoofd verdween in het donker terwijl Joris zijn lichaam probeerde te lokaliseren en met zijn ogen wijd open zijn hersenen zo veel mogelijk informatie probeerde door te spelen.

Tevergeefs, want zijn enorme verschot werd gevolgd door een enkel groeiende verbazing, ongeloof en desoriëntatie toen de boot begon te kantelen.

De bundel licht, afkomstig van de mast van de boot, zwierde doorheen het donker en kwam te schijnen op een gigantische rots in het midden van de zee die werd bezeten door een oogverblindende glinstergroene schijn.

Uit het donker kwam het monnikshoofd, dat nog steeds in volle vlucht was, in het vizier van de lichtbundel en plaatste zich exact tussen de glinstergroene verschijning en Joris waarbij Joris doorheen het monnikshoofd gezegend werd met het zicht op een pracht van een zeemeermin die uitnodigend poseerde op de rots.

Met een luide plons viel Joris achterover in het water toen hij zich realiseerde dat vrouwen zichzelf ook lieten vangen door lust en hun uiterlijke opmaakcompetities en met een dankbare glimlach zonk hij naar de bodem van de zee en was opnieuw geboren.

@ 3283ef81:0a531a33

Hey\ Ho

Let's go!

@ 4e3a0c5e:966bce5a

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@ 9c47bb51:000381d0

In a world that often rewards conformity, being open-minded can be a radical act. It is a choice to embrace curiosity, challenge assumptions, and allow life to surprise you. When we open our minds, we invite new possibilities—not just in the realm of ideas but in every aspect of existence, from consciousness expansion to financial freedom with Bitcoin, and even finding a life partner. Let’s explore how this mindset can transform your reality.

1. Open-Mindedness and Consciousness

The first step to expanding consciousness is realizing how much there is to learn. By questioning the default narratives we’ve inherited—about who we are, why we’re here, and what reality itself means—we create space for deeper awareness.

This could involve practices like meditation, exploring alternative philosophies, or studying ancient wisdom traditions like Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM). These practices teach us that the mind is not a fixed entity but a fluid and evolving tool. When we let go of rigid beliefs, we begin to notice synchronicities, experience heightened awareness, and even tap into higher states of being.

Being open-minded in this sense doesn’t mean blindly accepting everything; it means cultivating discernment while remaining curious. It’s in this openness that we discover the profound interconnectedness of all things.

1. Bitcoin: Financial Freedom through Innovation

For many, Bitcoin is a misunderstood or intimidating concept. But being open-minded to alternative systems can lead to incredible breakthroughs—not just financially but philosophically. Bitcoin isn’t just “digital money”; it represents decentralization, transparency, and freedom from traditional financial systems that have long prioritized the few over the many.

Adopting Bitcoin often requires a mental shift. It’s not about chasing short-term gains but about understanding the principles of sound money, scarcity, and peer-to-peer networks. For those willing to question how money works and why it matters, Bitcoin offers an opportunity to participate in a financial revolution that empowers individuals.

Openness to Bitcoin can also reshape your mindset toward technology, personal sovereignty, and global collaboration. It’s not just a currency; it’s a philosophy of trust and innovation.

1. Finding Love Through Open-Mindedness

The search for a life partner often mirrors our internal beliefs about ourselves and others. An open mind can transform how we approach relationships, making space for unexpected connections.

When we let go of rigid expectations—about what our partner “should” look like, where we’ll meet them, or how a relationship should progress—we allow love to unfold organically. Sometimes, the most wonderful spouse enters our lives when we least expect it, perhaps through a chance encounter or shared passion.

Open-mindedness in love also means being willing to grow together, embracing differences, and learning from one another. It’s about building a relationship rooted in mutual respect, curiosity, and the belief that you can continually discover new facets of your partner (and yourself) over time.

Final Thoughts: The Ripple Effect of Open-Mindedness

Whether it’s exploring consciousness, adopting Bitcoin, or finding a wonderful spouse, being open-minded is a skill that creates ripple effects across all areas of life. It’s not just about embracing new ideas—it’s about living with the belief that the universe has infinite possibilities waiting for you to discover.

By opening your mind, you open doors: to deeper awareness, financial independence, and love that feels like home. The more you explore, the more you realize that being open-minded doesn’t just expand your world—it transforms it.

So, the next time you’re faced with something unfamiliar or challenging, ask yourself: What could I learn if I let myself be curious?

On this journey, everything becomes possible.

@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b

引言

AI 技术的突飞猛进正重塑国家间博弈的格局。在可预见的未来，人工智能（AI）将推动国家实力的重新构建。OpenAI CEO Sam Altman 指出，未来几年内人类可能迎来“温和奇点”，大量工作将由AI取代blog.samaltman.com；Anthropic（Claude AI背后公司）的CEO则警告，美国失业率可能因AI而飙升至两位数甚至约20%finance.sina.com.cn。这意味着 AI 带来的生产力飞跃伴随严峻的社会阵痛，各国政府必须争夺AI制高点以掌控未来竞争优势——正如俄罗斯总统普京早在2017年所言：“谁掌握了AI，谁就能统治世界”axios.com。因此，中美两国均将AI视作国家战略高地，在这一动态博弈中展开竞逐。

然而，在AI集中赋能国家力量的同时，比特币作为决胜性变量悄然登上舞台。美国政界出现一种耐人寻味的观点：AI代表的是一种自上而下、可能强化集权的“左侧力量”，而比特币等去中心化创新属于“右侧力量”，可以对AI形成制衡eweek.com。2025年5月，美国副总统J.D.万斯（Vance）在比特币大会上的讲话就体现了这一点——他将AI称为左倾（共产主义式）的技术力量，而加密货币尤其是比特币被视为具有保守自由色彩的技术，能够平衡AI可能带来的集中化趋势eweek.com。

基于此背景，我们假设本轮技术周期中，比特币发挥了类“数字黄金”的作用并直接取代传统黄金地位：价格飞涨至38万美元以上，大批企业（如MicroStrategy）将比特币纳入资产负债表，视其为主权资产锚定的新基准。这一趋势下，美国加速将比特币和稳定币整合进官方金融体系，构建“美元+比特币”双层货币架构，通过稳定币扩散美元影响力并冲击他国法币insurancekhabar.cominsurancekhabar.com；反之，中国依然全面拒绝比特币（自2021年以来严禁加密交易和挖矿reuters.com），继续大举增持黄金作为储备，并押注自身央行数字货币。在这样的博弈版图下，比特币可能成为影响胜负的关键变量。

本文将基于博弈论视角构建动态多方博弈模型，以刻画上述格局中的关键问题：(1) AI推动下国家力量如何重构？为何各国必须争夺AI制高点？(2) 当AI导致国家权力高度集中时，比特币如何提供不可征收的资产锚定来形成网络化的反平衡力量？(3) 中美两种AI体制的博弈结构如何决定了中国在拒绝比特币条件下可能陷入失败，而美国则可借助“比特币+发钱”等政策缓和AI失业冲击？(4) 个体如何凭借比特币对抗“AI威权”，促使世界走向网络化的稳定新结构，而非陷入新冷战？文章将分为引言、模型结构、均衡演化路径和结论四部分，为高认知读者提供一个严谨而富有现实感的战略研判框架。

模型结构

**参与方与策略定义：**本博弈模型涵盖三个主要行动方：（a）国家行为体（主要是中、美两国），（b）企业级主权力量（大型科技企业、持有比特币的大型公司等），以及（c）普通个体/公民与分布式网络。这是一个多维博弈：既包括AI竞赛这一技术军备维度，也包括以比特币为代表的新型金融资产维度，以及国家与个体间权力再平衡维度。

1. 国家（中、美）在AI领域的竞争：中美视AI为获取综合国力的战略高地，均有强烈动机投入巨资抢占领先位置。AI具有明显的赢家通吃效应，领先者可能在军事、经济、信息控制等方面获得压倒性优势axios.comeconomictimes.indiatimes.com。正如普京和Palantir公司CEO的判断，AI竞赛极可能“只有一个赢家”，要么美国胜出要么中国胜出axios.comeconomictimes.indiatimes.com。因此在博弈模型中，争夺AI主导权是双方的首要策略选择，每一方都不能放松——这类似于囚徒困境中的军备竞赛：任何一方停止努力都可能被另一方弯道超车从而“称霸世界”。

2. AI导致的权力集中与国家内部博弈：AI大规模替代人类劳动将显著提高生产率，同时造成结构性失业和财富向掌握AI技术的精英/资本高度集中blog.samaltman.comfinance.sina.com.cn。这会强化国家机器和大资本对社会的控制力（例如利用AI进行大规模监控、无人武器等），使国家权力相对个体更为集中。博弈模型中，各国政府面临内部稳定博弈：如何安抚因AI失业而不满的公众，同时继续巩固自身执政联盟。在民主国家（如美国），执政联盟规模大（需要赢得广大选民支持），政府倾向于提供公共物品或直接发放补贴以维持民众满意度blog.devtang.comblog.devtang.com。例如，Altman就预测未来社会因为AI冲击会出现“新政策创想”和渐进式的新社会契约blog.samaltman.com——这暗示可能出台普惠式补贴/UBI等政策，即所谓“发钱政策”，以缓和失业阵痛。而在威权体制（如中国），执政“致胜联盟”小而精英化blog.devtang.com，“核心支持者”的利益优先于大众利益blog.devtang.com。此时政府可能更倾向通过强化控制和定向利益输送维持稳定，而不是普惠发钱。一旦由于财政收入锐减或经济失速导致无法满足联盟利益，政权稳定将受到威胁blog.devtang.com。因此在模型中，不同体制下政府选择的内部应对策略截然不同：民主政权偏好通过财富再分配稳住大联盟，威权政权则偏好强化控制、保障小联盟利益。但AI带来的挑战规模空前，威权政府若无足够“弹药”（财政盈余或新型资产）去收买人心，就可能出现“致胜联盟”维持困难，即财政失衡引发政权不稳blog.devtang.com。

3. **货币金融维度的博弈：**这是模型的第二维——围绕全球储备资产和货币体系的新博弈。假设情景下，美国选择拥抱比特币和稳定币，将其纳入国家金融战略，而中国选择拒绝比特币坚守黄金。那么各自的策略及收益如下：

4. 美国策略：整合比特币+美元，推广稳定币。具体包括：允许并鼓励机构大量持有比特币，将其视为“数字黄金”储备；政府通过立法完善稳定币监管（如推出《GENIUS稳定币法案》等）以扩大美元稳定币的全球使用nevadacurrent.comnevadacurrent.com；甚至总统令建立国家比特币战略储备reuters.com。预期收益：一方面，比特币价格飙升带动美国持有者财富上升，MicroStrategy等公司已尝到甜头，资产负债表上囤积了价值400亿美金以上的比特币finance.sina.com.cn。华尔街分析师预测，比特币有望在未来十年最终取代黄金成为首要价值存储，finance.sina.com.cn甚至特朗普政府内部有人倡议卖出黄金储备改买比特币finance.sina.com.cn。另一方面，美元稳定币的大规模推广巩固了美元霸权：全球用户在链上广泛使用美元稳定币，相当于变相扩大美元的影响圈insurancekhabar.cominsurancekhabar.com。稳定币背后的储备主要是美国国债，这意味着稳定币越多，美国国债需求越大，从而压低美国融资成本insurancekhabar.cominsurancekhabar.com。有专家指出，美国大力推动加密货币和稳定币，是看中了它们可以成为经济武器：“稳定币将取代外国政府，成为美债最大买家”insurancekhabar.com。这为美国在AI时代实施大规模财政转移（如发放失业补贴、科技红利）提供了弹药：全球对美元资产的需求使美联储有更大余地印钞而不致本币崩溃。简言之，美国整合比特币+稳定币体系，可强化其金融主导权和财政灵活性，既能对外输出通胀、打击他国法币，又能对内从容应对AI失业的救济开支。

5. 中国策略：拒绝比特币，囤积黄金+推数字人民币。中国自2017-2021年对加密货币连出重拳（取缔交易所、禁止矿业、封锁境内交易）reuters.com，“宁要区块链，不要加密币”的政策表明其决心彻底隔绝比特币等去中心化货币。取而代之，中国持续加码黄金储备：据央行公告，中国已连续多月增持黄金，官方储备突破2000吨并仍在增长中（此举在地缘政治不确定性下尤为明显）。同时，中国大力推广央行数字货币（数字人民币），试图在国内实现对货币流通的全面可控，并谋求在国际贸易中推动人民币结算。预期影响：由于拒绝比特币，中国希望通过黄金提升本币信用，通过数字人民币强化资本管制和货币政策独立性。然而此策略的风险在于，若比特币在全球范围内取代黄金地位，中国将错失这一新型储备资产红利。当美国等推动比特币升值并将其金融化时，中国手中的黄金可能相对贬值或增长滞后。此外，稳定币对他国法币的冲击也波及人民币：虽然中国严格限制境内稳定币流通，但在跨境贸易和地下金融中，美元稳定币和比特币可能绕过管制，被企业和富裕阶层用于对冲人民币贬值或资本外逃。这相当于一个金融围堵：美国利用数字货币在全球吸纳流动性，削弱人民币在“一带一路”等领域的渗透。中国若坚持封锁比特币和民间加密交易，可能面临“两难”：要么严厉执法资本管制、牺牲部分经济自由和国际化进程；要么在全球数字经济中逐渐边缘化，被排除在新金融网络之外。总之，中国此策略短期内保障了国家对金融系统的控制权，但长期存在与世界脱节、储备资产单一（黄金）的隐患。

6. 个体与网络力量的崛起：第三个维度的博弈发生在国家 vs. 个体/分布式网络之间。AI和加密技术的发展，使得一批技术公司和个人获得了前所未有的自主力量——他们可以同时获取AI赋能和持有不可被国家任意剥夺的财富（比特币）。在模型中，这些分散的个人/企业构成一张跨国网络，他们的策略是利用技术和资本的流动性在全球范围内“择优而居”。如果某国政策有利（如美国欢迎加密创新、提供完善法律保障），人才和资金就会流向该国；反之，若政策高压（如中国禁止民间持币、严格审查AI应用），那么这些人才与资金可以通过数字途径逃逸（capital flight）。比特币在其中充当关键的**“退出票”（exit option）：它具有强抗审查和无法被没收的属性，保障了私人财产的自由转移nymag.com。“比特币无法被当局像没收黄金那样没收，无法像银行账户那样随意冻结，亦无法像法币那样被央行肆意贬值或被独裁者通过资本管制任意阻断”nymag.com。这一属性意味着个人第一次拥有了对抗国家财权的有效工具**。在博弈模型中，个体玩家的存在使国家行为体不再是单纯的统一行动者——国家内部会因为个人/企业的选择而出现博弈反馈：如果政策过于损害个人利益，他们有能力通过比特币等手段规避，从而削弱国家政策效果。这相当于在国家与国家的对局中，引入了一个“平衡器”——全球网络化个人势力。他们的目标并非争夺领土或传统主权，而是在寻求“个体主权”最大化：自由拥有财富、自由迁徙和创新、不受制于单一政府。这股力量在AI时代尤为重要，因为AI集中化倾向可以被这种分散网络部分抵消。例如，AI赋能下的个人黑客、科技创业者可以不依赖国家资本也开发出强大模型；若遭遇压制，他们可携带比特币远走他国继续创业。博弈的结果将取决于国家能否与这股网络力量共存，以及在多大程度上满足个人对自由与财富安全的需求。

均衡演化路径

基于上述模型结构，我们推演中美博弈及全球格局的动态演化路径。博弈分阶段进行，各阶段的策略互动将把体系推向不同的均衡态。

阶段1：AI军备竞赛与金融布局（现在至近期）。这一阶段中美都全力投入AI研发，以获取先发优势。双方持续加大对半导体、算法和人才的投入，并在国际规则上博弈（如出口管制、人才签证等）。博弈特征类似“军备竞赛”：任何单方面的松懈都会导致对手大幅领先，因此均衡结果是双方都倾向投入高强度资源，直至边际成本难以承受。与此同时，双方在金融领域开始布局各自阵地：美国在2024-2025年间通过了一系列亲加密政策——国会推进稳定币立法以合法化美元稳定币nevadacurrent.com，“数字资产市场结构”法案呼之欲出；行政层面，特朗普政府下令创建国家比特币储备，将执法机构此前持有或没收的比特币纳入战略储备reuters.com。这些举措表明美国意在将比特币作为国家金融武器的一部分来运用。相应地，比特币市场开始出现质变：主流机构投资者蜂拥而入，现货比特币ETF获得批准且规模激增，短短时间累积数千亿美元资金finance.sina.com.cn。比特币价格屡创新高并稳定在六位数美元以上，朝着20万、30万甚至更高的目标迈进finance.sina.com.cn。企业层面，MicroStrategy等公司持续买入，比特币在一些公司资产负债表中的地位堪比现金储备finance.sina.com.cn。美国的这一系列动作，使其在**“新数字货币冷战”**中占得先机：美元+比特币组合开始对全球产生强磁吸效应。

反观中国，同期则进入防御性应对状态。面对美国的金融攻势，中国加快了增储黄金和数字人民币试点的步伐，以图筑牢本国金融壁垒。中国人民银行连续数月购入黄金，insurancekhabar.com黄金储备量创历史新高；数字人民币从国内零售场景逐步推广到跨境贸易结算试验，通过区域性协议在部分周边国家开展本币结算合作，以降低对SWIFT美元体系的依赖。同时，中国严格执行对加密活动的严打，关停剩余的OTC交易渠道，宣示绝不让比特币等威胁人民币的货币主权。此阶段的结局是：两个平行的货币体系开始成形——一个是美元主导并吸纳比特币、稳定币的新体系；一个是人民币主导、辅之以黄金背书的封闭体系。

阶段2：AI红利与冲击释放（中期，未来5-10年）。随着AGI雏形和通用机器人逐步出现，人类劳动大规模被替代的效应开始凸显blog.samaltman.com。在美国，AI带来的效率红利令GDP和企业盈利大幅增长，但“技术失业”也引发社会不安。finance.sina.com.cn美国失业率假设攀升至15-20%，尤其白领和服务业岗位大量消失。幸运的是，由于美国及时进行了金融上的前瞻部署，此时财政手段具备充足火力来应对危机。一方面，比特币的暴涨和广泛持有为部分中产和企业带来了资产增值——例如，有投资比特币的家庭财富逆势上涨，部分失业者因持有数字资产而有缓冲储备。政府则可以选择性对这些资产增值征税或者发行主权数字货币购买比特币，实现财政增盈。另一方面，更重要的是**美联储和财政部得以大规模“直升机撒钱”**而不致引发债务危机，这是美元稳定币全球盛行带来的特权insurancekhabar.com。由于全球大量资金以购买美国国债作为稳定币储备，insurancekhabar.com美国政府可以在通胀可控范围内发行货币、扩大赤字以资助全民基本收入或就业项目。比特币在美国的官方接受度也使发钱政策更容易实施：政府完全可以将数字美元直接发送到每个公民的手机钱包（甚至部分用比特币形式发放科技红利）。公众虽然对AI取代工作有所焦虑，但在政府真金白银的兜底下，基本生活有保障，社会动荡被控制在最低程度。这印证了Altman的预言：AI时代世界将更富裕，因此能够“认真考虑以往不可能的新政策”blog.samaltman.com。美国通过比特币财富效应和激进财政政策，初步缓解了AI带来的内部矛盾，其民主制度下“大联盟”的稳定性得以维持。

与之对照，中国在中期则可能面临更严峻的平衡难题。AI同样推动了中国经济的效率，但也使大量制造业和服务业劳动力冗余化。由于缺乏比特币等新财富渠道，大部分民众财富并未随技术进步而增长，反而因失业潮而缩水。民间投资渠道狭窄（楼市低迷、股市震荡），社会的不满情绪上升。此时中国政府进退维谷：若执行大规模刺激或全民补贴，一方面没有储备的“数字资产红利”可用，只能动用巨额财政支出；但中国无法像美国那样让全球来分担本币超发的成本（人民币不是主要储备货币，超发会直接冲击汇率和通胀）。若强行印钞发钱，则可能引发人民币贬值和资本加速外逃，削弱执政信用。历史上来看，威权政府在财政吃紧时维系统治的成本急剧上升，很容易因为买不到执政联盟的忠诚而倒台blog.devtang.com。中国政府当然也深谙此理，因此更可能选择收紧财政、强化管控的方式渡过难关：例如动用警察力量维稳、加强舆论审查来减缓不满爆发。但这样的高压策略长期看难以为继，而且会进一步吓跑高端人才和资本。尤其在比特币价格连创新高的背景下，中国富裕阶层和企业势必更加渴望配置此类全球性资产来保值。一些人会通过地下渠道购入比特币和稳定币，然后设法转移资产出境（哪怕非法也在所不惜）reuters.comsciencedirect.com。这反过来又加剧了中国国内资本外流和财政紧张，形成负反馈。可以预见，如果中国仍拒绝比特币，其金融体系可能出现“致胜联盟”式失衡：政府要么牺牲外汇储备和黄金储备来稳住人民币、安抚利益集团，要么被迫局部放开对加密资产的管制以引回资金，无论哪种都意味着其此前的强硬策略难以持续。

阶段3：博弈格局转变与网络化均衡（远期，10年及以后）。经历中期震荡后，全球博弈格局将出现质变，进入新的均衡态。基于前述趋势，可以预见两种截然不同的结局：

• **美国阵营的胜出与中国策略调整：**如果美国在AI和金融两条战线上都占据了优势，那么远期均衡将体现为美国引领的“新技术-金融秩序”。届时比特币可能已稳固地成为全球储备资产的一极（类似数字黄金），各国央行和主权基金纷纷将其纳入资产配置。美元则通过稳定币牢牢占据全球结算和流动性中介地位。在AI方面，美国凭借开放创新环境汇聚了全球顶尖人才，实现技术持续领先。反观中国，若在中期尝到了拒绝比特币的苦果（经济停滞、财政吃紧、人才外逃），理性的策略调整将是不得不转向美国模式，以免彻底边缘化。这可能包括：逐步放松对加密资产的管制，甚至尝试推出国家主导的加密货币ETF，引导国有机构低调持有比特币以分享其增值；在外交上寻求加入由美国主导的数字货币国际框架，避免本国企业被排除在新贸易结算体系外。此外，中国会继续依靠其黄金储备试图为人民币背书，但如果比特币市值远超黄金且更受年轻一代青睐，黄金的锚定作用将大打折扣。可以说，中国此时面临类似19世纪末“银本位帝国”的困境——清朝因坚守白银而被新兴的金本位体系边缘化insurancekhabar.com；21世纪的中国若固守黄金标准而忽视比特币潮流，恐重蹈历史覆辙。有识之士将呼吁“中国不能错失数字黄金机遇”，倒逼政策松动。最终的均衡可能是：美国及其盟友掌握了AI与金融话语权，而中国被迫加入由比特币和美元构成的新体系，放弃之前的强硬抵制立场。这一结果虽非中国最初意愿，但总比被彻底孤立要好，犹如冷战后期苏联被迫融入布雷顿森林体系一样，是一种策略收缩下的妥协均衡。

• 网络化多中心格局的形成：无论中美博弈如何，此阶段一个更深刻的趋势是全球网络化权力结构的浮现。随着比特币深入人心和应用普及，每个个人和企业都相当于握有自己的“微型主权财富”。正如《主权个体》一书预言的那样，信息时代将削弱民族国家发动战争和征税的能力，取而代之的是个人在全球范围内自由组合、以市场方式选择治理的时代sites.northwestern.edu。当比特币成为“无法征收的资产”标配后，各国政府要汲取民财将更为困难，战争筹资也不再容易sites.northwestern.edu。这是因为：一旦某国大举加税或准备战时管制，资本和人才可以更快捷地逃往别处，政府很难像过去那样通过强制手段动员全国资源。一些论者甚至指出，“在一个基于比特币的社会里，政府若想发动战争，可能不得不向公民众筹军费”reddit.com——这无疑极大提高了发动战争的政治难度。在AI高度发达且武器智能化的背景下，这种网络化制衡力量尤为宝贵，它防止了超级大国因为掌控AI利器而为所欲为。举例来说，如果没有个人财产自由这一“安全阀”，那么拥有强大AI武器和监控系统的国家很可能毫无顾忌地倾压式统治甚至对外侵略；但有了比特币，精英和企业可以用脚投票，拒绝配合极权和战争企图——正如有人所说的，“你无法征税/掠夺那些你无法抓住的人”newstatesman.com。最终，全球可能形成一种“冷战阻止机制”：各国不敢轻易走向新冷战或热战，因为稍有风吹草动，资金和人才就会通过去中心网络逃逸，使战争难以为继。

因此，在远期均衡下，我们将看到国家、企业和个人形成一个互动博弈的多中心体系：国家不再拥有对经济和技术的单方面支配，个人与企业通过持有数字资产和掌握AI技术获得了谈判筹码，各方被迫合作共生而非你死我活。这并非传统意义上的“权力均衡”，而更像是一种动态的网络均衡——权力在不同层级和节点上分散，任何一方试图完全主导都会引发系统中其他节点的自动调节与抵制，最终回归稳态。

结论

综上所述，AI时代的中美博弈结构展现出“技术军备竞赛+金融货币博弈+内部治理较量”三位一体的格局。美国通过在AI和比特币两方面同时发力，形成“左手AI、右手比特币”的双拳策略，既争取了AI制高点，又利用比特币这一“不受征服的资产”稳固了内部与外部的平衡nymag.com。反观中国，倘若固守传统思维拒绝比特币，则在AI导致集权加深的同时失去了由比特币提供的网络化反平衡力量，极可能重现“致胜联盟”财政失衡和战略被动的局面。正如博弈模型分析所示，中国若不及时调整，将因无法有效吸纳AI红利、又无法借助新金融工具缓冲冲击，而陷入内外交困的困境；相反，美国通过比特币+发钱政策有望缓解技术失业压力，在维护社会稳定的同时进一步增强对外金融攻势，实现以较小代价度过转型阵痛。

更深一层的洞见在于：比特币作为“无法征收的资产”（unconfiscatable asset），为无数个人和企业提供了在AI强权面前自我保护和抗衡的手段nymag.com。它让个体可以自由掌控自己创造的AI收益和财富，不必担心随时被征用或剥夺，从而在国家与国家的博弈中引入了一个独立稳定器。这个稳定器确保了国家不敢轻启战争或极端压榨，否则公民的财富和才能将自动逃逸，令其损失巨大。这种机制有望阻止人类社会滑入新一轮两极对抗或热战冲突，因为权力过度集中将引发去中心网络的本能反制。取而代之，人类可能走向一种“网络化稳定结构”：在这个结构中，AI带来的繁荣由各国共享，但没有任何一方能垄断；比特币作为全球共同的价值锚和信任媒介，保障了个人基本财产权，从而软化了国家机器的锋芒。

对于高认知的决策者而言，这一博弈分析传递出明确的战略启示：拥抱比特币等去中心化创新，实际上是在为本国社会安装安全阀，避免因AI高度集中而产生体制性风险；同时，这也是在国际博弈中抢占未来金融体系的话语权。在AI与国家力量此消彼长的新时代，比特币扮演了关键的“平衡木”角色：它连接着国家与国家、国家与个人，确保没有人可以轻易掀翻整艘人类文明之舟。唯有善用这一新型稳定器，引导世界朝开放协作而非封闭对立演化，我们才能把握AI奇点带来的机遇，避免重蹈冷战或冲突的历史覆辙。人类社会或许将凭借这种网络化的平衡，在巨变中找到新的稳定与新秩序sites.northwestern.edu——在AI的洪流中乘风破浪，而非沉舟觅踪。

参考资料：

1. Sam Altman，《温和奇点》博文对AI发展的展望blog.samaltman.com

2. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei，关于AI导致失业的警告finance.sina.com.cn

3. J.D. Vance 副总统在Bitcoin 2025大会讲话摘要，对AI和比特币的定位eweek.comreuters.com

4. Bernstein投行报告：比特币取代黄金的十年预测，MicroStrategy持币策略等finance.sina.com.cnfinance.sina.com.cn

5. Nevada Current对Bitcoin大会的报道：稳定币立法（GENIUS法案）进展nevadacurrent.comnevadacurrent.com

6. Reuters：特朗普行政令建立国家比特币储备、美国拥抱比特币对抗中国reuters.comreuters.com

7. Insurance Khabar：Deepak Garg 关于美中金融战与稳定币武器化的分析insurancekhabar.cominsurancekhabar.com

8. 《独裁者手册》理论：致胜联盟与政权稳定的关系blog.devtang.com

9. New York Magazine：《比特币无法被没收，不能冻结，不能由央行贬值》nymag.com

10. 《主权个体》观点：信息技术削弱国家征税和战争能力sites.northwestern.edu

@ a5ae0022:18386062

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@ 97c70a44:ad98e322

When developing on nostr, normally it's enough to read the NIP related to a given feature you want to build to know what has to be done. But there are some aspects of nostr development that aren't so straightforward because they depend less on specific data formats than on how different concepts are combined.

An example of this is how for a while it was considered best practice to re-publish notes when replying to them. This practice emerged before the outbox model gained traction, and was a hacky way of attempting to ensure relays had the full context required for a given note. Over time though, pubkey hints emerged as a better way to ensure other clients could find required context.

Another one of these things is "relay-based groups", or as I prefer to call it "relays-as-groups" (RAG). Such a thing doesn't really exist - there's no spec for it (although some aspects of the concept are included in NIP 29), but at the same time there are two concrete implementations (Flotilla and Chachi) which leverage several different NIPs in order to create a cohesive system for groups on nostr.

This composability is one of the neat qualities of nostr. Not only would it be unhelpful to specify how different parts of the protocol should work together, it would be impossible because of the number of possible combinations possible just from applying a little bit of common sense to the NIPs repo. No one said it was ok to put t tags on a kind 0. But no one's stopping you! And the semantics are basically self-evident if you understand its component parts.

So, instead of writing a NIP that sets relay-based groups in stone, I'm writing this guide in order to document how I've combined different parts of the nostr protocol to create a compelling architecture for groups.

Relays

Relays already have a canonical identity, which is the relay's url. Events posted to a relay can be thought of as "posted to that group". This means that every relay is already a group. All nostr notes have already been posted to one or more groups.

One common objection to this structure is that identifying a group with a relay means that groups are dependent on the relay to continue hosting the group. In normal broadcast nostr (which forms organic permissionless groups based on user-centric social clustering), this is a very bad thing, because hosts are orthogonal to group identity. Communities are completely different. Communities actually need someone to enforce community boundaries, implement moderation, etc. Reliance on a host is a feature, not a bug (in contrast to NIP 29 groups, which tend to co-locate many groups on a single host, relays-as-groups tends to encourage one group, one host).

This doesn't mean that federation, mirrors, and migration can't be accomplished. In a sense, leaving this on the social layer is a good thing, because it adds friction to the dissolution/forking of a group. But the door is wide open to protocol additions to support those use cases for relay-based groups. One possible approach would be to follow this draft PR which specifies a "federation" event relays could publish on their own behalf.

Relay keys

This draft PR to NIP 11 specifies a self field which represents the relay's identity. Using this, relays can publish events on their own behalf. Currently, the pubkey field sort of does the same thing, but is overloaded as a contact field for the owner of the relay.

AUTH

Relays can control access using NIP 42 AUTH. There are any number of modes a relay can operate in:

1. No auth, fully public - anyone can read/write to the group.
2. Relays may enforce broad or granular access controls with AUTH.

Relays may deny EVENTs or REQs depending on user identity. Messages returned in AUTH, CLOSED, or OK messages should be human readable. It's crucial that clients show these error messages to users. Here's how Flotilla handles failed AUTH and denied event publishing:

LIMITS, PROBE, or some other reflection scheme could also be used in theory to help clients adapt their interface depending on user abilities and relay policy.

1. AUTH with implicit access controls.

In this mode, relays may exclude matching events from REQs if the user does not have permission to view them. This can be useful for multi-use relays that host hidden rooms. This mode should be used with caution, because it can result in confusion for the end user.

See Frith for a relay implementation that supports some of these auth policies.

Invite codes

If a user doesn't have access to a relay, they can request access using this draft NIP. This is true whether access has been explicitly or implicitly denied (although users will have to know that they should use an invite code to request access).

The above referenced NIP also contains a mechanism for users to request an invite code that they can share with other users.

The policy for these invite codes is entirely up to the relay. They may be single-use, multi-use, or require additional verification. Additional requirements can be communicated to the user in the OK message, for example directions to visit an external URL to register.

See Frith for a relay implementation that supports invite codes.

Content

Any kind of event can be published to a relay being treated as a group, unless rejected by the relay implementation. In particular, NIP 7D was added to support basic threads, and NIP C7 for chat messages.

Since which relay an event came from determines which group it was posted to, clients need to have a mechanism for keeping track of which relay they received an event from, and should not broadcast events to other relays (unless intending to cross-post the content).

Rooms

Rooms follow NIP 29. I wish NIP 29 wasn't called "relay based groups", which is very confusing when talking about "relays as groups". It's much better to think of them as sub-groups, or as Flotilla calls them, "rooms".

EDIT: Flotilla has migrated to exclusively use "managed rooms" — i.e., fully NIP 29 compliant rooms. Relays without NIP 29 support can still support chat, but all messages will be presented as sent to a single room. I've removed references to unmanaged rooms in what follows.

~~Rooms have two modes - managed and unmanaged. Managed~~ rooms follow all the rules laid out in NIP 29 about metadata published by the relay and user membership. In either case, rooms are represented by a random room id, and are posted to by including the id in an event's h tag. ~~This allows rooms to switch between managed and unmanaged modes without losing any content.~~

Managed room names come from kind 39000 room meta events, ~~but unmanaged rooms don't have these. Instead, room names should come from members' NIP 51 kind 10009 membership lists. Tags on these lists should look like this: ["group", "groupid", "wss://group.example.com", "Cat lovers"]. If no name can be found for the room (i.e., there aren't any members), the room should be ignored by clients.~~

Rooms present a difficulty for publishing to the relay as a whole, since content with an h tag can't be excluded from requests. ~~Currently, relay-wide posts are h-tagged with _ which works for "group" clients, but not more generally. I'm not sure how to solve this other than to ask relays to support negative filters.~~ I have ideas on how to solve this in future iterations of relay-based groups, for example using virtual relays or just a better rooms spec.

Cross-posting

The simplest way to cross-post content from one group (or room) to another, is to quote the original note in whatever event kind is appropriate. For example, a blog post might be quoted in a kind 9 to be cross-posted to chat, or in a kind 11 to be cross-posted to a thread. kind 16 reposts can be used the same way if the reader's client renders reposts.

Posting the original event to multiple relays-as-groups is trivial, since all you have to do is send the event to the relay. Posting to multiple rooms simultaneously by appending multiple h tags is however not recommended, since group relays/clients are incentivised to protect themselves from spam by rejecting events with multiple h tags (similar to how events with multiple t tags are sometimes rejected).

Privacy

Currently, it's recommended to include a NIP 70 - tag on content posted to relays-as-groups to discourage replication of relay-specific content across the network.

Another slightly stronger approach would be for group relays to strip signatures in order to make events invalid (or at least deniable). For this approach to work, users would have to be able to signal that they trust relays to be honest. We could also use ZkSNARKS to validate signatures in bulk.

In any case, group posts should not be considered "private" in the same way E2EE groups might be. Relays-as-groups should be considered a good fit for low-stakes groups with many members (since trust deteriorates quickly as more people get involved).

Membership

There is currently no canonical member list published by relays (except for NIP 29 managed rooms). Instead, users keep track of their own relay and room memberships using kind 10009 lists. Relay-level memberships are represented by an r tag containing the relay url, and room-level memberships are represented using a group tag.

Users can choose to advertise their membership in a RAG by using unencrypted tags, or they may keep their membership private by using encrypted tags. Advertised memberships are useful for helping people find groups based on their social graph:

User memberships should not be trusted, since they can be published unilaterally by anyone, regardless of actual access, so it's better to think of them as "bookmarked groups" or "favorites". Possible improvements in this area would be the ability to provide proof of access:

• Relays could publish member lists (although this would sacrifice member privacy)
• Relays could support a new command that allows querying a particular member's access status
• Relays could provide a proof to the member that they could then choose to publish or not

Moderation

There are two parts to moderation: reporting and taking action based on these reports.

Reporting is already covered by NIP 56. Clients should be careful about encouraging users to post reports for illegal content under their own identity, since that can itself be illegal. Relays also should not serve reports to users, since that can be used to find rather than address objectionable content.

Reports are only one mechanism for flagging objectionable content. Relay operators and administrators can use whatever heuristics they like to identify and address objectionable content. This might be via automated policies that auto-ban based on reports from high-reputation people, a client that implements NIP 86 relay management API, or by some other admin interface.

There's currently no way for moderators of a given relay to be advertised, or for a moderator's client to know that the user is a moderator (so that they can enable UI elements for in-app moderation). This could be addressed via NIP 11, LIMITS, or some other mechanism in the future.

General best practices

In general, it's very important when developing a client to assume that the relay has no special support for any of the above features, instead treating all of this stuff as progressive enhancement.

For example, if a user enters an invite code, go ahead and send it to the relay using a kind 28934 event. If it's rejected, you know that it didn't work. But if it's accepted, you don't know that it worked - you only know that the relay allowed the user to publish that event. This is helpful, becaues it may imply that the user does indeed have access to the relay. But additional probing may be needed, and reliance on error messages down the road when something else fails unexpectedly is indispensable.

This paradigm may drive some engineers nuts, because it's basically equivalent to coding your clients to reverse-engineer relay support for every feature you want to use. But this is true of nostr as a whole - anyone can put whatever weird stuff in an event and sign it. Clients have to be extremely compliant with Postell's law - doing their absolute best to accept whatever weird data or behavior shows up and handle failure in any situation. Sure, it's annoying, but it's the cost of permissionless development. What it gets us is a completely open-ended protocol, in which anything can be built, and in which every solution is tested by the market.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Zonneschijn\ Stralen, lachen, zo fijn\ Moge de wereld dankbaar zijn

De vrouw, mijn gevoeligheid\ Bron van creativiteit

Genietend niets doen in het gras\ Met wat brood en wat wijn in het glas

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

This update brings key enhancements for clarity and usability:

• Recent Blocks View: Added to the Send tab and inspired by Mempool's visualization, it displays the last 2 blocks and the estimated next block to help choose fee rates.
• Camera System Overhaul: Features a new library for higher resolution detection and mouse-scroll zoom support when available.
• Vector-Based Images: All app images are now vectorized and theme-aware, enhancing contrast, especially in dark mode.
• Tor & P2A Updates: Upgraded internal Tor and improved support for pay-to-anchor (P2A) outputs.
• Linux Package Rename: For Linux users, Sparrow has been renamed to sparrowwallet (or sparrowserver); in some cases, the original sparrow package may need manual removal.
• Additional updates include showing total payments in multi-payment transaction diagrams, better handling of long labels, and other UI enhancements.

• Sparrow v2.2.1 is a bug fix release that addresses missing UUID issue when starting Tor on recent macOS versions, icons for external sources in Settings and Recent Blocks view, repackaged .deb installs to use older gzip instead of zstd compression, and removed display of median fee rate where fee rates source is set to Server.

Learn how to get started with Sparrow wallet:

Release notes (v2.2.0)

• Added Recent Blocks view to Send tab.
• Converted all bitmapped images to theme aware SVG format for all wallet models and dialogs.
• Support send and display of pay to anchor (P2A) outputs.
• Renamed sparrow package to sparrowwallet and sparrowserver on Linux.
• Switched camera library to openpnp-capture.
• Support FHD (1920 x 1080) and UHD4k (3840 x 2160) capture resolutions.
• Support camera zoom with mouse scroll where possible.
• In the Download Verifier, prefer verifying the dropped file over the default file where the file is not in the manifest.
• Show a warning (with an option to disable the check) when importing a wallet with a derivation path matching another script type.
• In Cormorant, avoid calling the listwalletdir RPC on initialization due to a potentially slow response on Windows.
• Avoid server address resolution for public servers.
• Assume server address is non local for resolution failures where a proxy is configured.
• Added a tooltip to indicate truncated labels in table cells.
• Dynamically truncate input and output labels in the tree on a transaction tab, and add tooltips if necessary.
• Improved tooltips for wallet tabs and transaction diagrams with long labels.
• Show the address where available on input and output tooltips in transaction tab tree.
• Show the total amount sent in payments in the transaction diagram when constructing multiple payment transactions.
• Reset preferred table column widths on adjustment to improve handling after window resizing.
• Added accessible text to improve screen reader navigation on seed entry.
• Made Wallet Summary table grow horizontally with dialog sizing.
• Reduced tooltip show delay to 200ms.
• Show transaction diagram fee percentage as less than 0.01% rather than 0.00%.
• Optimized and reduced Electrum server RPC calls.
• Upgraded Bouncy Castle, PGPainless and Logback libraries.
• Upgraded internal Tor to v0.4.8.16.
• Bug fix: Fixed issue with random ordering of keystore origins on labels import.
• Bug fix: Fixed non-zero account script type detection when signing a message on Trezor devices.
• Bug fix: Fixed issue parsing remote Coldcard xpub encoded on a different network.
• Bug fix: Fixed inclusion of fees on wallet label exports.
• Bug fix: Increase Trezor device libusb timeout.

Linux users: Note that the sparrow package has been renamed to sparrowwallet or sparrowserver, and in some cases you may need to manually uninstall the original sparrow package. Look in the /opt folder to ensure you have the new name, and the original is removed.

What's new in v2.2.1

• Updated Tor library to fix missing UUID issue when starting Tor on recent macOS versions.
• Repackaged .deb installs to use older gzip instead of zstd compression.
• Removed display of median fee rate where fee rates source is set to Server.
• Added icons for external sources in Settings and Recent Blocks view
• Bug fix: Fixed issue in Recent Blocks view when switching fee rates source
• Bug fix: Fixed NPE on null fee returned from server

Announcement / Archive
GitHub Repo

@ 9c47bb51:000381d0

The financial markets are at a crossroads. With SPY trading at $608 and QQQ at $525, these flagship ETFs are steadily moving toward the $1,000 per share milestone. While the milestone itself is symbolic, its implications for investors and the broader market could be transformative.

For many retail investors, high share prices—despite the availability of fractional shares—create a psychological barrier. Investors instinctively perceive higher prices as less accessible, even if the value proposition remains unchanged. This perception challenges the traditional market and raises the question:

How will markets adapt as SPY and QQQ continue their climb toward $1,000 per share?

Let’s explore two potential paths forward, including how Bitcoin ETFs and direct Bitcoin ownership could reshape how we invest and define “The Market.”

1. New Standardized Products for Retail Investors

When SPY and QQQ reach higher price levels, markets will likely introduce new products to maintain accessibility. This adaptation wouldn’t be unprecedented. For example, Fidelity’s FNILX, a zero-expense index fund that tracks the S&P 500, provides a low-cost and highly accessible alternative to traditional funds.

However, FNILX is a mutual fund and doesn’t offer the liquidity or tradability of ETFs, which makes ETFs far more appealing to active traders and long-term investors alike. The ETF equivalent of FNILX would likely take the form of new products specifically designed to solve the “high price barrier” problem.

What These New ETFs Could Look Like:

•   Lower Price Points: New ETFs might adopt alternative share structures or tokenization to fractionalize ownership while maintaining correlation to major indices like SPY and QQQ.

•   Cost-Effective Options: Providers could offer these products with reduced or zero fees, similar to FNILX, but with the tradability of ETFs.

•   Trader-Friendly Designs: These ETFs would retain liquidity and flexibility, ensuring active investors can continue trading them easily.

Such products would act as next-generation ETFs, satisfying demand for accessibility while keeping retail investors engaged in traditional markets.

1. The Rise of Bitcoin as an Alternative Market Standard

While SPY and QQQ dominate the current investment landscape, the rise of Bitcoin ETFs and direct Bitcoin ownership presents a compelling alternative. Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and finite supply make it fundamentally different from traditional equities, and its adoption as a financial instrument is growing rapidly.

Bitcoin ETFs: A Familiar Entry Point

Bitcoin ETFs, like IBIT, bridge the gap between the traditional financial system and the world of cryptocurrency. They allow investors to gain Bitcoin exposure through familiar platforms, such as brokerage accounts, without needing to manage private keys or wallets.

Advantages of Bitcoin ETFs: 1. Ease of Use: Easily accessible through existing brokerage platforms, making Bitcoin exposure as simple as buying a stock.

2.  Regulated Framework: Operates within traditional financial regulations, providing a sense of security for traditional investors.

3.  Portfolio Integration: Fits seamlessly into diversified portfolios, allowing Bitcoin exposure alongside traditional assets.

However, Bitcoin ETFs have limitations, including management fees, lack of true ownership, and reliance on third-party custodians.

Self-Custody Bitcoin: True Financial Sovereignty

For investors who want to fully embrace the decentralized ethos of Bitcoin, self-custody offers unparalleled financial sovereignty. By purchasing Bitcoin directly and storing it in a private wallet, investors take full control of their assets.

Benefits of Self-Custody: 1. True Ownership: You hold the private keys, ensuring no third party has control over your Bitcoin.

2.  Censorship Resistance: Self-custodied Bitcoin is immune to freezes, seizures, or restrictions.
3.  Decentralization: You actively contribute to the resilience of the Bitcoin network.

4.  Security: Proper practices, like using hardware wallets or multi-signature solutions, provide robust protection against theft or institutional failure.

Self-custody does require responsibility, but the learning curve is shrinking as user-friendly tools and educational resources become more widely available.

A Broader Shift in Market Perception

As SPY and QQQ climb toward $1,000, Bitcoin may begin to redefine how we measure market health and economic performance. Traditionally, indices like the S&P 500 have been seen as benchmarks for the economy. In the future, Bitcoin’s price and adoption metrics could serve as a parallel or even competing measure.

Why Bitcoin Could Become a New Market Standard:

•   Global Inclusion: Bitcoin is accessible to anyone with an internet connection, breaking down geographic and economic barriers.

•   Inflation Hedge: Its finite supply makes it a powerful store of value, particularly in inflationary environments.

•   Decentralized Economy: Bitcoin represents a global, decentralized economic standard, uncorrelated with traditional equity markets.

Implications for the Future of Investing

For Traditional ETFs:

As SPY and QQQ approach $1,000, the introduction of new, lower-priced ETF products will be critical to maintaining retail engagement. These innovations could fragment demand across products, altering trading volumes and creating new dynamics for liquidity and volatility.

For Bitcoin:

The rise of Bitcoin ETFs and self-custody will empower investors to rethink how they store and grow their wealth. The decision between convenience (Bitcoin ETFs) and sovereignty (self-custody) will define a new era of financial choice.

Takeaway: Preparing for a Transformative Future

The approaching $1,000 milestone for SPY and QQQ is more than just a numerical milestone—it signals a shift in how markets must adapt to the needs of investors. Whether through new standardized ETFs or the growing adoption of Bitcoin ETFs and self-custody, the investment landscape is evolving.

For investors, this is an opportunity to embrace change. Will you continue to follow traditional benchmarks, explore new Bitcoin products, or take control through self-custody?

One thing is clear: the markets of tomorrow will reward those who adapt, innovate, and educate themselves. The future isn’t about choosing between systems—it’s about using the tools that empower you to thrive.

@ 8814ec9e:32454dd9

This design was, of course, inspired by the words of the Second Amendment itself:

\> A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed.

We've all seen plenty of shirt designs that emphasize the last four words of the amendment, "shall not be infringed," but I wanted to draw attention to a portion that gets little air-time with my design. Private gun ownership is necessary to the security of a free state. It is a key piece of how freedom from tyranny is secured, from tyrants both foreign and domestic.

As a nod to this, I incorporated my own AR-15 into the design. If you ever happen upon me at the range, you just may see me shooting that exact rifle.

To order one for yourself, go to: Necessary to a Free State T-Shirt on Shopstr

---

Product Details

• Most colors are 100% cotton

• Heather colors are 50/50 cotton and polyester.

• Unisex sizing available in S-4XL

• Fabric weight: 5.0–5.3 oz/yd² (170–180 g/m²)

• Pre-shrunk jersey knit

• Tubular construction

• Taped neck and shoulders

• Double seam at sleeves and bottom hem

• Tear-away tag

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

The Trump’s American Bitcoin Merges with Gryphon, Reports 215 BTC on Balance Sheet Since Launch

American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC), a newly formed private Bitcoin mining company backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., announced in a June 10 SEC filing that it has acquired 215 Bitcoin (BTC) since launching operations on April 1, 2025. The reserve is currently valued at approximately $23 million, showing their drive and commitment to Bitcoin. 

JUST IN: American Bitcoin Corp (private) reports to have 215 #bitcoin (per 31 May) since it's launch on April 1, 2025.

They will merge with Gryphon Digital $GRYP and become public under ticker $ABTC.

They mention "Bitcoin accumulation is not a side effect of ABTC’s business.… pic.twitter.com/wq1Uxr76Z2

— NLNico (@btcNLNico) June 10, 2025

“Bitcoin accumulation is not a side effect of ABTC’s business. It is the business,” the company stated in the filing.

Furthermore, ABTC has entered into a merger agreement with Gryphon Digital Mining ($GRYP), and the combined company is expected to begin public trading under the ticker $ABTC as early as Q3 2025. 

The company’s three-layer strategic plan—outlined in the SEC disclosure—details a focused approach:

Layer 1: Build the Engine

• ABTC’s foundation is built on “producing Bitcoin below-market cost through a capital efficient, infrastructure-light operating model.” The company owns and operates over 60,000 miners from Bitmain and MicroBt, running primarily on Hut 8-managed facilities.

Layer 2: Scale the Reserve

• ABTC had “accumulated approximately 215 Bitcoin in reserve since launching on April 1, 2025,” which it considers a long-term strategic asset. The firm states its goal is “to utilize public markets and strategic financing structures to access efficient capital and leverage that capital to increase its Bitcoin in reserve per share.”

Layer 3: Lead the Ecosystem 

• The company ultimately aims to use its operational scale and mining position to drive industry-wide adoption. “ABTC may pursue opportunities to support protocol development, enhance network infrastructure and contribute to Bitcoin’s resilience and adoption in ways that align with shareholder value creation.”

For mining rewards, ABTC uses Foundry and Luxor pools with sub-1% fees and relies on Coinbase Custody for secure cold storage, featuring multi-factor authentication and strict withdrawal protocols. 

With operations across Niagara Falls, NY; Medicine Hat, AB; and Orla, TX, ABTC is leveraging strategic partnerships—primarily with Hut 8—to scale its Bitcoin holdings while influencing the broader crypto mining ecosystem.

This post The Trump’s American Bitcoin Merges with Gryphon, Reports 215 BTC on Balance Sheet Since Launch first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

@ 9c47bb51:000381d0

What is NWC? Nostr Wallet Connect (NWC) is an open protocol that connects your Lightning wallet to apps using your Nostr identity (Npub). It’s private, decentralized, and secure—no need for Google or Facebook logins.

Why Choose NWC?

🔑 Unified Identity • Log into apps using your Npub (Nostr public key). • No passwords. One identity for all apps.

⚡ Seamless Payments • Send or receive Lightning payments directly in apps. • Enable tips, subscriptions, or in-app purchases instantly.

🛡️ Privacy First • No personal data sharing—your Npub is all you need. • Your wallet keys stay secure and private.

🌐 Decentralized Control • No centralized gatekeepers. • Your identity and wallet are yours forever—no bans or restrictions.

How NWC Works

1️⃣ Get a Nostr Key Pair • Npub = your public identity. • Your private key stays secure.

2️⃣ Connect to Apps with NWC • Use your Npub to authorize apps. • Your Lightning wallet handles payments securely.

3️⃣ Freedom Across Apps • Use NWC with any app that supports Nostr and Lightning.

Why NWC is Better than Google/Facebook

❌ Google/Facebook • Centralized and tracks your data. • Can ban or restrict your account. • Requires passwords and exposes personal info.

✅ NWC • Decentralized and private. • Censorship-resistant—your identity is always yours. • Password-free and keeps your data secure.

The Future of Online Connection NWC is the better way to connect apps, wallets, and identities. Say goodbye to centralized logins and hello to freedom, privacy, and control.

🔑 Start using NWC today—your wallet, your identity, your rules.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Spontaniteit\ Creativiteit

Iets visueel of gewoon geluid\ Het moet eruit

Ik doe mezelf cadeau aan jou\ Omdat ik van het leven hou

@ 8814ec9e:32454dd9

I'm a big fan of J.R.R. Tolkien's The Lord of the Rings, if you couldn't tell from this design. Most people who see it assume at first glance that the tree is the white tree of Gondor, and the script font in a circle around it must be the elvish script from the one ring. Only when they take a closer look do they see that the roots of the tree are soaking up blood and that the text is actually a famous quote from Thomas Jefferson.

The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of Patriots and Tyrants.

If the tree also reminds you of the Norse tree of life, Yggdrasil, that is not by coincidence, either. I took inspiration from Norse artwork in this design.

To order one for yourself, go to: Tree of Liberty T-Shirt on Shopstr

---

Product Details

• Most colors are 100% cotton

• Heather colors are 50/50 cotton and polyester.

• Unisex sizing available in S-4XL

• Fabric weight: 5.0–5.3 oz/yd² (170–180 g/m²)

• Pre-shrunk jersey knit

• Tubular construction

• Taped neck and shoulders

• Double seam at sleeves and bottom hem

• Tear-away tag

@ fc7022f5:e829f309

Hos Derma X guider vi dig professionelt i valget af den rette behandlerbriks til dine behov. Vi gennemgår vigtige faktorer som ergonomi, justeringsmuligheder, materialekvalitet og funktionalitet, så du kan træffe et informeret valg. En god behandlerbriks understøtter både behandlerens arbejdsstilling og klientens komfort. Vores vejledning sikrer, at du investerer i det udstyr, der bedst matcher din klinik og behandlingsform. Få professionel indsigt i, hvordan du vælger den optimale behandlerbriks.

@ 9c47bb51:000381d0

If you could earn between 100-1,000 sats a day, what would that amount to if Bitcoin reached $1,000,000 per coin? Let’s do the math:

1 Bitcoin (BTC) = 100,000,000 satoshis (sats).

Current Bitcoin price = $101,000.

Future Bitcoin price = $1,000,000.

Daily Earnings in Fiat Equivalent at $1M/BTC:

•   100 sats/day = 0.000001 BTC/day = $1.00/day

•   1,000 sats/day = 0.00001 BTC/day = $10.00/day

Annual Earnings at $1M/BTC:

•   100 sats/day x 365 days = $365/year

•   1,000 sats/day x 365 days = $3,650/year

Even at the smallest level—earning 100 sats a day—you’re positioning yourself for significant long-term wealth as Bitcoin’s value increases. It’s a perfect example of the power of accumulation over time.

Why Every Sat Matters

Bitcoin is scarce, with only 21 million BTC to ever exist. That’s 2,100 trillion sats for the entire world. Each satoshi is a fraction of a finite resource, making it inherently valuable. If someone gives you even 1 satoshi, they are saying, “I appreciate your work. You’re making a difference.”

Whether you’re earning sats through:

•   Working: Salary or side hustle paid in Bitcoin.

•   Nostr: Engaging, posting, or contributing to communities.

•   Streaming: Providing value in podcasts or live content.

•   Rewards Apps: Using tools like Fold or other Bitcoin cashback services.

Every sat stacks up, and over time, those seemingly small earnings can become life-changing.

The Fun of Stacking Sats

Part of the magic of Bitcoin is the journey. Watching your small daily efforts compound into something meaningful is both empowering and exciting. So whether you’re earning sats, stacking on dips, or getting tipped on Nostr—have fun. Celebrate every sat. You’re building a future on a foundation of hard work and a revolutionary currency.

The Bitcoin ride is just getting started. Hold tight, stack consistently, and enjoy the journey to financial sovereignty!

@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b

中美近期谈判的博弈分析：模型、均衡与演化前景

一、背景与问题概述

2025年中美经贸谈判出现了最新进展：中国同意恢复出口稀土（包括稀土磁体等关键材料），美国则在中国留学生签证政策上作出让步，但双方并未在关税上相互让步，仍维持高额关税壁垒reuters.comreuters.com。这一结果是中美经贸冲突持续多年的阶段性产物。在此之前，中美互征高额关税、一度接近全面“脱钩”，双方还通过稀土出口管制和留学签证限制等手段施压对方，导致贸易额大幅下滑、供应链紧张axios.comenglish.kyodonews.net。这一局势引发了以下博弈论层面的核心问题：当前达成的部分妥协是否构成某种博弈均衡？如果是，这属于短期策略性均衡，还是预示着中美关系可能进入类似冷战的长期对峙均衡？此外，未来有哪些外部冲击因素可能打破当前均衡或使其演化为新的稳定态？本文将以博弈模型框架对此进行分析，探讨多种均衡形态（包括但不限于纳什均衡、“科尔奈-科曼达”均衡、演化均衡等），评估其稳定性，并结合历史经验和现实因素展望演化路径。

二、博弈模型框架

1. 博弈参与者与利益：博弈双方为中国和美国，两国均为战略理性参与者。双方利益既有冲突也有重叠：中国重视维持经济增长、技术发展及国家安全，希望解除美国对其高科技封锁和贸易壁垒；美国重视维护其技术优势和贸易利益，要求中国开放市场并停止在关键资源和技术领域对美“卡脖子”。双方都希望减少自身经济损失，又不愿在战略上示弱。

2. 策略集合：双方在多个博弈维度上可选择策略。为简化分析，可聚焦三大维度：

• 关税政策：继续高关税（强硬策略）或降低关税（合作策略）。目前现实是双方仍维持高关税水平，美国综合关税约55%（包含之前各类加征），中国约10%reuters.com（显著低于美方）。

• 战略资源/技术出口管制：如中国对稀土等关键矿物的出口管制 vs 美国对高科技（芯片软件等）的出口管制。策略上可以选择实施/维持管制（强硬）或取消管制（让步）。本次中国选择取消对稀土磁体的出口限制，属合作让步；美国也表示将放松对华高科技出口管制中的一些领域english.kyodonews.netcsis.org。

• 人员交流及其它领域：如留学生签证、金融投资等。美国此次在签证上让步，允许更多中国学生赴美，属合作策略reuters.com；中国则一直希望维持人员正常交流。双方在此维度暂时采取了互惠合作的策略。

上述维度可视作多阶段博弈或多重议题博弈。为便于分析，可将其抽象为一个综合双人博弈模型：每一方都有“强硬”(H)和“合作”(C)两种总体策略取向，但在具体议题上可以组合选择（如在稀土上C、在关税上H）。这使博弈呈现出策略组合的多样性，而非简单的单次囚徒困境。但为了直观起见，我们可首先假设一个简化的对称博弈（类似囚徒困境的收益结构）来捕捉基本激励，再扩展讨论复杂均衡。

3. 收益支付（概念性）：双方策略的组合将决定各自收益：

• 双强硬 (H, H)：双方都坚持高关税+资源封锁等措施，彼此损害，进入全面贸易战/科技战。收益表现为两败俱伤：经济损失大，供应链断裂，科技交流停滞（负收益）。例如，2025年初双方互加惩罚性关税至三位数、彼此禁止关键出口时，就出现了贸易额骤降（中国对美出口同比-34.5%）english.kyodonews.net、企业巨额损失和市场动荡。

• 双合作 (C, C)：双方都选择降低关税、解除限制，实现贸易正常化和科技交流。此时总体收益最大（双赢）：经济恢复、供需正常。但由于存在信任赤字，此状态不稳定——正如囚徒困境中“双合作”虽帕累托最优，却因单方作弊诱因而难自发实现medium.com。

• 单方强硬、一方合作 (H, C)或(C, H)：这一不对称组合下，强硬方利用对方的合作获取单方面优势：例如美国若坚持高关税而中国单方面降低关税并开放市场，则美方可同时享受关税保护和中方市场开放，收益最高；反之亦然。被动合作的一方则处于劣势，政治上承压。因此，这类似**“鸡奸博弈”（Chicken Game）或领导者-追随者博弈**格局。

当前谈判结果实际上接近于一种不对称均衡：美国在关税上保持强硬立场（H），而中国并未同等报复（其对美关税仅10%，远低于美方）reuters.com。同时中国在稀土管制上让步（C），美国在签证上让步（C）。可以理解为美国在经贸领域强硬而中国相对克制，美国在人员交流领域部分合作回应。这种策略组合带来的结果是美国宣称获得巨大贸易保护（“我们得到55%关税”）而中国则确保关键资源供应恢复和部分交流正常reuters.comreuters.com。双方各自得到关切的利益点：美国保住了对华高关税（满足其产业和选民需求），中国保住了留学生和稀土出口市场。但很多根本性分歧并未解决，处于暂时搁置状态reuters.com。

4. 博弈类型：这可以看作一个重复博弈/动态博弈。中美经贸冲突从2018年至今反复拉锯，多轮谈判和报复，已经是一个长期博弈过程。各阶段的策略选择和均衡都受到历史策略和信誉影响。因此分析均衡需考虑静态（一次性博弈均衡）和动态（演化均衡、子博弈完美均衡等）两种层次。

三、多种均衡形态探索

1. 纳什均衡 (Nash Equilibrium)：在单次非合作博弈框架下，纳什均衡是双方策略互为最佳回应的稳定点。根据上述收益格局，可能存在以下纳什均衡：

• “双强硬”均衡：如果互相采取强硬策略是彼此的最佳回应，则 (H, H) 构成纳什均衡。这对应于双方都不信任对方合作，选择关税壁垒和制裁的情形。2018-2024年的贸易战大部分时间里，中美实际上陷入了这样的互相报复均衡，哪怕该状态令双方经济受损axios.com。这种均衡稳定但低效：没有一方能通过单边改变策略获利（单方让步将遭对方剥削），因此维持对峙，但集体收益远低于合作状态。

• “不对称”均衡：(H, C) 或 (C, H) 也可能是纳什均衡，取决于双方相对实力与承受力。如上所述，美国坚持高关税而中国克制报复的组合，可能是稳定的：美国的最优回应是继续征税获取贸易保护红利，中国的最优回应是在稀土等领域合作以换取部分利益且避免更大损失medium.com。反过来，如果中国采取强硬而美国克制，也是一种可能（但目前美国国内政治不允许完全克制）。从现实看，本次达成的安排类似 (H, C) ：美国保留高关税（强硬），中国未对等报复且提供稀土（合作）。有分析指出，这种格局在贸易战模型中被视为“最稳定的局面”之一medium.com。然而它对中国而言并非理想，属于一种被迫接受劣势的均衡。

• “双合作”并非均衡： (C, C) 虽让双方收益更高，但由于博弈存在囚徒困境特征，单方偏离合作能获得更大短期利益，因此在一次博弈中双合作不是纳什均衡medium.com——除非有外部约束或信誉机制，使背叛受惩罚。

2. “科尔奈-科曼达”均衡（体制均衡）：所谓“科尔奈-科曼达均衡”可理解为由体制或结构因素支撑的均衡，即即使不满足常规最佳回应原则，却由于外部强制力或内在机制而得以持续的状态。经济学家科尔奈（János Kornai）分析过社会主义经济中的**“短缺均衡”：尽管市场未出清（处于非瓦尔拉斯均衡），短缺状态却能自我再生、长期持续**，因为体制激励使偏离状态自我纠正pubs.aeaweb.org。借用这一思想，中美当前的局势也可视为一种**“非合作的稳定状态”：双方在贸易和技术上未达成真正合作，但建立了一套报复—让步的动态平衡机制**，使对抗强度维持在某个水平，不至于失控。具体体现在：

• 中国虽不满美国高关税和技术封锁，但内部存在缓冲机制（如刺激自主创新、寻找替代市场）来承受压力，同时利用稀土卡位、对美投资限制等措施对美形成反制平衡。这样一种“对抗—适应”的结构使局势形成常态化均衡：虽然远非合作最优，但在现行体制下可以持续且双方习以为常。

• 美国方面，即使对华强硬政策损害了一些本国企业利益，出于安全考量和国内政治共识，其决策机制依然倾向维持对华压力。而美企通过调整供应链、政府通过补贴产业等方式部分缓冲损失。这类似科尔奈笔下的**“短缺经济的自稳定”：扭曲（高关税、高壁垒）的存在引发内部调整，从而固化了扭曲本身，形成一种具有路径依赖**的均衡。

因此，“科尔奈式均衡”在此可指中美长期博弈形成的一种自我延续的对峙常态。这种均衡并非静态最优，但有内部反馈维系其稳定。它可能对应于一种政策均衡或制度均衡：双方政治体制与经济结构已经部分适应了冲突状态，并将其纳入新常态。科曼达（Komanda）一词可能隐喻“Command（命令式）”特点，即双方关系被战略和政治指令所主导，而非市场自发优化。

3. 演化均衡 (Evolutionary Equilibrium)：若将博弈视为重复进行，或者有大量“参与者”（如国内不同利益集团）的策略在演化，则可讨论演化稳定策略（ESS）。在演化视角下，策略会根据相对成功度调整，中美关系的长期走向可被视为一种策略种群的进化过程：

• 演化趋于强硬：若强硬策略在短期博弈中胜出（例如一方强硬往往能在谈判中获取更多，让步的反而被迫吃亏），那么随着时间推移，双方可能都会倾向强硬，最终演化出一个全面对抗的稳定状态。这类似于“鹰鸽博弈”中如果资源价值高且斗争成本可承受，鹰（强硬）策略会成为演化稳定策略。当前中美许多领域有朝着“鹰派占主导”的方向，例如双方国内的民族主义与强硬立场在近年不断强化，使得让步空间缩小。

• 混合均衡：也可能出现混合策略或周期。例如在重复博弈中，双方可能尝试间歇性合作（小幅让步）以试探，然后若对方被视为背信则迅速回到强硬，形成“报复—和解”交替出现的循环。这类似于“触发策略”均衡：默认合作，但一旦对方作弊就触发惩罚阶段。中美过去几年展示了一些这种特征：2019年达成阶段性协议短暂减缓冲突，随后因履约分歧又再度摩擦；2020年-2021年稍有缓和，2022年起围绕科技战又急剧恶化。每一次暂时均衡都因某种刺激被打破，然后演化进入新的冲突均衡。

• 演化稳定并不一定高效，但具有韧性。例如如果当前的部分合作-部分对抗状态在重复互动中证明比全面对抗或全面合作都“抗侵扰”，那么它就可能成为演化稳定策略组合。双方在稀土和签证上交换让步、但在关税和科技上维持对抗，或许就是一种策略组合的进化适应：既避免了极端冲突的不可承受之痛，又不让对手占尽便宜。这状态短期看或是博弈的折中均衡，可能会持续一段时间，直到新的变数出现。

4. 其他均衡概念：除了上述，值得一提的还有：

• 科尔奈-马林沃德均衡：科尔奈曾与马林沃德等研究非均衡经济，提出配给约束下的均衡等概念。在国际博弈中，可以类似地考虑约束均衡：双方由于外部环境（如全球市场、盟友压力）的约束，被迫停留在某均衡。如本次谈判有90天的临时停火协议english.kyodonews.netcsis.org，可视为一种短期约束均衡，由协议强制双方不升级冲突。

• 相关均衡 (Correlated Equilibrium)：如果存在一个可信协调机制，双方可以采取相关策略实现比纳什均衡更优的结果。例如通过国际机构调停，中美同步降低部分关税、同步解除一些出口禁令，则可避免单方面吃亏。但目前缺乏这样的信任机制（WTO等多边框架也遭削弱carnegieendowment.org），因此相关均衡难以达成。

综上可见，中美经贸谈判局势下可能存在多个均衡形态并存：静态地看，强硬对峙是经典纳什均衡；动态地看，阶段性停战是子博弈均衡的一种，但未必稳定；从更长期和结构视角看，可能形成一种长期对抗的常态均衡。

四、均衡稳定性分析

分析各均衡的稳定性（即在外部冲击或单方偏离下能否持续）对评估未来走势至关重要：

• 当前部分妥协均衡的稳定性：本次达成的交换（中国出口稀土、美国放宽签证，关税维持）可以视作一种短期纳什均衡或脆弱的相关均衡。其稳定性较弱，原因有：

• 互信水平低：双方并未解决根本分歧，仅是“各取所需”式的交换，缺乏长期约束力。正如90天贸易休战协议所示，这只是暂时停止升级english.kyodonews.netcsis.org。如果90天后新的谈判未有进展，任何一方都可能恢复强硬举措，均衡即告破裂。

• 激励不对称：美国在关税上占了便宜（55%对10%），可能倾向固守既得利益，缺乏进一步让步动力；中国则可能对这种不对称心存不满，伺机寻求重新谈判条件。一旦中国找到减轻美国关税压力的途径（比如开拓其他出口市场、或美国国内通胀迫使其降税），则中国可能强硬起来要求对等调整，否则就收紧其他合作（如稀土出口配额）。单方偏离的诱因是存在的，使得均衡并不牢固。

• 外部环境多变：地缘政治或国内政治事件都可能令一方突然改变策略（下文详述潜在冲击因素）。当前均衡缺乏“保险机制”抵御这些冲击。

有迹象表明各方也预见到其脆弱：例如美国智库评价称，此次让步只是“临时止痛”，并未消除贸易战已造成的高成本和不确定性csis.orgcsis.org。这种不确定性本身会削弱均衡的可持续性——企业和市场预期不稳，就难以建立长久合作常态。

• 全面冲突均衡的稳定性：如果中美重新陷入全面强硬对抗 (H, H)，这一均衡在某种条件下反而可能具有更高的稳定性，类似冷战时期美苏的对峙平衡：

• 相互威慑/无利可图：当双方都极大增加报复力度，使得任何单方面背离强硬（也就是单方面缓和）都会被对方视为软弱而加以利用时，那么维持对抗成为理性的选择。冷战中，美苏都认识到直接冲突风险巨大，形成了“相互确保摧毁”的核威慑均衡——没有一方有诱因先动carnegieendowment.org。在中美经贸版的冷战中，如果双方完全脱钩，各自建立独立产业链和同盟体系，那么相互依赖减少反而巩固了敌对均衡，因为少有经济动力去打破僵局。

• 国内政治锁定：强硬对抗一旦成为双方国内政治的基础，共识就会固化。例如冷战时期美国社会有跨党共识遏制苏联carnegieendowment.org。目前美国两党对华强硬在一定程度上趋于一致，将中国定位为主要战略竞争者；中国国内民族主义高涨，对美警惕心理强烈。如果这种政治氛围继续强化，领导人反而不敢轻易缓和，长期对峙就成为稳定政策。

• 然而，需要指出全面冲突均衡虽然稳定，但代价高昂而缺乏弹性。一旦出现如经济衰退、盟友变动等压力，其中一方可能难以承受（正如苏联经济最终不堪军备竞赛而崩溃，冷战均衡才终结）。因此静态稳定未必等于动态持久。当前中美离完全脱钩尚有距离，且全球化背景下，全面冲突会遭多方掣肘（盟国、企业利益等），因此真要达到冷战式的稳态并不容易。

• 双边合作均衡的稳定性：如果假设理想情况下双方实现了全面合作 (C, C)，这在博弈上不是自行稳定的，需要可信承诺等机制支撑。稳定合作往往依赖重复博弈阴影（即长期利益）、透明度和执行监督。中美过去曾有紧密经贸合作的阶段（例如中国加入WTO后两国贸易高速增长时期），但近年来这种合作均衡被打破，说明过去的制度化信任不足以约束背叛（比如美国指责中国未履行知识产权保护承诺，中国指责美国滥用贸易制裁）。要恢复稳定合作，除非有新的协议架构和信任重建，否则仍会因为单方追求短期利益而被破坏。短期看，双边全面合作似乎缺乏政治现实性，因此不是目前可行的均衡态。

• “科尔奈式”均衡的稳定性：如果中美进入一种长期非完全合作的常态（亦即部分对抗被体制内化的状态），这种局势可能具有相当持久性。历史上冷战就是典型例子：美苏长期在**“既不开战也不言和”**的紧张和平中相处数十年。其稳定原因包括：

• 结构性分隔：两大阵营经济、政治体系几乎隔绝，交往极少，因而缺少突发变数。若中美今后在经贸科技上大幅减少往来，各自主导不同供应链和技术标准，那么双方互动机会下降，冲突的摩擦面也相对可控，反而容易稳定在彼此默认的势力范围和规则之内。

• 制度自适应：如前述，双方内部调整出一套应对长期对抗的机制（替代产业、军备投入、宣传策略等），就像社会主义经济适应了短缺并持续运转一样pubs.aeaweb.org。一旦适应完成，这种对抗状态反而成了“新常态”，需要剧烈外力才能改变。

• 稳定但低级：值得注意，这类均衡通常效率低下（资源错配、全球福利损失），只是因为缺少打破均衡的动力而持续。例如冷战期间，美苏在军备和代理冲突上耗费巨资，却很少合作解决全球问题，直到苏联难以为继。中美若陷入持久对峙，也会牺牲很多潜在合作收益，但可能双方都愿意承受这个代价来避免在战略上被对方占优。

综合而言，目前的短期停战均衡较脆弱，全面对抗均衡和冷战式长期均衡在特定条件下可能更稳定，但对外部环境和内部承受要求高。均衡的稳定性取决于双方偏离策略的收益差异、一致预期的形成、以及有无自我强化机制。下面进一步探讨当前局势究竟更偏向短期策略均衡，还是将演化为长期对峙。

五、短期策略博弈均衡 vs. 长期对峙态势

1. 短期策略性均衡的特征：从此次谈判看，中美彼此做出的让步都带有策略试探性质，暗示目前状态更像一种短期策略均衡而非双方关系根本转折：

• 交换的局限性：让步集中在各自迫切领域（稀土和签证）reuters.com。这些让步可以迅速兑现又可随时中止（稀土出口许可中国可再收紧，签证政策美国随政令可调）。这显示双方并未进入信任合作的新轨道，而是在交换“筹码”赢得时间。

• 关税、补贴等核心问题未触及：贸易战缘起的结构性问题（市场准入、产业补贴、知识产权、关税全面降级）几乎原封不动。症结未解，只是搁置。CSIS评价称，此次关税从极端高位略有回落（美国从145%降至30%，中国125%降至10%）csis.org，但依然“远高于福利最大化所需水平”，且很多扭曲依旧存在csis.org。双方只是踩了一脚刹车，而非掉头转向。

• 临时协议属性：双方仅同意90天停火并“进一步磋商”english.kyodonews.netcsis.org。这和以前贸易战中数次短暂停战类似（如2018年底的90天停火、2020年签署的第一阶段协议后很快因疫情和政治因素失效）。短期协议往往是策略性调整，各自缓口气、观望对方意图，并非意味着矛盾解决。

基于这些特征，我们判断当前局势更倾向于短期策略均衡：双方在承受巨大经济代价后各退一步，形成暂时平衡reuters.com，但均衡基础脆弱。类似历史上韩战停战谈判、美苏古巴导弹危机后的默契，都属于策略性均衡：降低即时冲突风险，但并未解决根本对立。

2. 向长期对峙演化的可能：尽管当前是暂时妥协，但若双方结构性矛盾无法调和，博弈可能演化出类似冷战的长期对峙：

• 经贸脱钩升级：贸易战已扩展到金融、科技、人文等领域，呈“全谱系”竞争态势moneycontrol.commoneycontrol.com。Moneycontrol等媒体形容，中美贸易战正演变为**“冷战式对抗”**，不仅经济脱钩，还涉及网络安全、军事联盟等moneycontrol.commoneycontrol.com。如果这一趋势持续，双方将逐步构建各自阵营：美国拉拢盟友“经济北约”排斥中国；中国加强与俄等国合作，并以稀土等资源为筹码巩固自身阵营。这与冷战两极阵营形成颇为相似。

• 意识形态与制度之争凸显：冷战的长期对峙不仅是地缘，也是意识形态之争。当下中美分歧部分体现在政治制度和价值观。拜登政府 framing 了“民主 vs 专制”的全球竞争，美对华警惕已上升到制度层面carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。中国则强调美国遏制是因意识形态偏见。这种叙事一旦固化，双方会更倾向零和思维，减少妥协空间，进入价值观冷战态势。从博弈论看，这使合作策略收益相对降低，背叛收益上升，从而合作均衡更难维持，对抗均衡反而被社会接受为常态。

• 技术与军备竞赛：冷战长期稳定在于双方形成军备竞赛均衡，谁也不敢贸然进攻但也不断积累武力。在中美关系中，如果经贸冲突延伸到军备和太空、网络领域，对峙可能更为牢固。例如中美都强调加强太平洋军事部署，一些事件（台海危机等）可能将经济冲突引向准军事对抗轨道carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。Carnegie报告的“新冷战场景”指出，若发生台海或地区安全危机触发双方安全观转变，中美可能进入全面冷战状态：军事上前沿部署、核武戒备提升，经济上急剧脱钩，意识形态上互视为存亡对手carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。那将是一个全方位对峙的长期均衡，很类似美苏冷战后期的态势。

3. 当前均衡演化方向评估：综上，当前的均衡更像短期策略性停战，但演化走向取决于今后若干关键因素（详见下节）。存在两种主要路径：

• 路径A：反复博弈趋向冷战长期对峙。双方在短暂停战后因结构矛盾再起冲突，且每轮冲突都加深裂痕。经济上逐步脱钩，各自牺牲短期利益换取战略安全，国内进一步敌视对方。最终形成如同冷战般“双寡头对峙”的格局，可能持续多年乃至数十年。这种状态下，博弈均衡由短期的策略算计转变为长期的制度性均衡：双方都接受对抗为常态，不再指望对方让步，策略上以稳定自身阵营和遏制对手为目标。均衡稳定性体现在：即使小的外交互动或经济往来也无法撼动整体对立，除非出现剧变（如一方国力大衰退或政权变更）。

• 路径B：竞争中寻求合作共存的均衡。这是相对乐观的演化：在几轮高强度博弈后，双方认识到零和冲突代价沉重，转而尝试建立新规则。历史上美苏在70年代达成了战略武器限制、大三角外交等，使冷战进入**“松弛对峙”均衡**（即缓和时期）carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。类似地，中美也可能探索“竞争共存”框架，例如就贸易投资制定基本准则，划定可以竞争和必须合作的领域，实现某种**“有限合作-有限对抗”的均衡**。这接近于一种演化妥协均衡：不是回到蜜月期，但也避免全面冷战。其稳定性来自双方都看到了长期对抗的不利，愿意约束部分行为以维持全球稳定。这个路径需要高层战略互信逐步恢复，以及外部压力（如全球经济衰退、共同安全威胁）促使合作。

当前看来，路径A的风险在上升。贸易战期间的一些数据和行动表明新冷战苗头：贸易和投资下降但尚未彻底断绝，双方都有顾虑。carnegieendowment.org指出截至2022年中美贸易额仍创新高，说明相互依存仍在，这可能为路径B提供基础——经济纽带让完全对抗变得不利于双方，从而激励寻找折中均衡carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。然而，如果未来政治上完全被安全考虑压倒经济理性，路径A将更可能出现。

六、均衡破裂或维持的影响因素

无论当前均衡持续时间长短，外部冲击和内在变化都可能使局势跳转到新的均衡态。以下因素值得关注：

• 战略资源与技术依赖格局：中美相互依赖是“双刃剑”。例如稀土领域中国占全球产量70%english.kyodonews.net、加工90%axios.com，美国高科技和军工离不开稀土，因此中国有巨大杠杆。但美国正投入建立国内稀土供应链axios.com、寻求他国供应。如果几年内美国显著降低对中稀土依赖，中国失去这一筹码，均衡将倾向美国更强硬（中国难以通过断供威胁迫使美让步）。反之，在半导体等关键技术上，美国优势大，但中国也在追赶自给。一旦中国突破美国制约实现某些技术自主，或找到替代供应（如从第三国购买被禁技术），美国的制裁杠杆效力下降，可能促使其重新考虑策略。这些供需格局变化会打破原有利益平衡，引发新一轮策略调整。

• 经济承受能力：博弈均衡能否持续，一定程度取决于双方经济耐力。如果一方经济出现严重问题而将部分归因于对抗（例如美国因关税引发高通胀、就业受损，或中国因脱钩导致增长放缓过度），国内压力会推动政策转向合作以缓解经济困难csis.orgcsis.org。当前迹象：美国承受高关税引起的物价上升压力，中国也面临出口下滑和资本外流压力。谁更先难以为继，谁就可能先寻求突破均衡。同时，如果某方经济逆势壮大，可能反而更有底气长期对抗。例如有观点称贸易战令美国每年损失GDP约$3000亿csis.org，长远看这是不可持续的税收。类似冷战中苏联经济崩溃最终迫使其改变路线，中美对峙也存在经济极限约束。

• 国内政治与领导人更替：政治周期往往带来策略变化。例如2024美国大选、2027中国领导换届等都可能改变博弈基调。如果美国出现一位倾向缓和对华的总统（或相反更强硬的），政策将剧烈调整，均衡重新塑造。目前特朗普（或持其路线者）再掌权的可能性存在，而特朗普政府对华态度更为强硬、善用极限施压bloomberg.com。果真如此，当前脆弱均衡可能迅速崩塌，重回高压对抗。而若出现类似70年代尼克松式的人物寻求“连接”，也许会推动进入合作均衡窗口期。中国方面，国内政治对美态度近年来强硬是共识，但若经济下行压力迫使政策层调整优先级，也许会释放缓和信号。政策转向窗口往往在领导人第一任期初或重大会议后，需关注这些契机。

• 盟友和国际环境：中美博弈并非孤立，其他大国和国际组织的行为是重要外部变量。

• 美国盟友：如果美国成功拉起对华“统一战线”，对中国进行经济围堵，中国孤立无援下可能被迫进一步强硬反抗或加速自力更生，走向长期对峙。但若盟友出现分化（如欧盟不愿选边、继续和华贸易），美国对华极端施压难奏效，反而可能促使美国调整策略carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。目前欧盟、日本等既跟随美国限制对华部分技术，又希望保持贸易利益，这种摇摆也在影响均衡稳定。

• 第三方冲突：若发生其他突发危机（朝鲜半岛、南海冲突等）需要中美合作应对，可能临时搁置对抗形成共同利益，比如气候变化、全球金融危机等领域，也可能暂时偏移均衡。相反，如果第三方事件加剧对抗（如中俄关系紧密引发新集团对抗西方），均衡将更对立。台海无疑是最大变数，一旦失控几乎必然终结当前任何经济均衡，中美进入全面军事冷战甚至热战状态carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。

• 历史认知和心理因素：冷战经验表明，误判风险和敌意螺旋会固化冲突均衡。当前中美均试图从历史中找参照——美国部分政界认为对华“绥靖”曾失败，应强硬；中国则强调近代受欺辱史，不再退让carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。这些心理因素会影响策略选择，使让步更难。因此除非认知上出现转变（例如双方精英达成“再斗下去两败俱伤”的共识），否则心理上的安全困境会不断加强对抗均衡的稳定性。

总结：影响均衡演变的因素纷繁，但可以概括为：“硬”因素（经济、技术、军事实力和依赖格局变化）决定了对抗的物质可持续性，而**“软”因素**（政治意愿、认知、外交环境）决定了双方有没有契机跳出现有均衡。当前许多因素似乎在朝不利于长期合作的方向发展（技术脱钩、政治强硬化），这增加了短期均衡破裂的概率和长期对峙的可能性。然而，也存在制约对抗的因素（经济全球化的残余纽带、全球挑战需要合作），这些可能在未来某些时刻迫使双方重新评估战略。

七、未来可能的演化路径

结合上述分析，展望中美博弈的未来，有几条主要演化路径和对应均衡可供假设：

• 路径1：重复博弈陷入“新冷战” – 均衡形态：全面对抗的长期均衡\ 在此场景中，中美经过短暂休战后矛盾再度激化，每一次冲突都扩大范围，直至双方基本断绝高科技往来、贸易大幅减少，形成两个相对独立的经济技术体系，军事上进入持续高戒备状态。正如Carnegie报告描绘的“新（偶有热战）的冷战”场景：安全危机触发双方把彼此视为生存性对手，意识形态和安全竞争凌驾一切carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。在这种格局下：

• 经贸博弈退居次要，成为总体战略对抗的一部分。关税等问题可能永远谈不拢，反而双方都实行近乎敌对的经贸政策（禁运、投资审查、制裁）。

• 均衡稳定性高：双方国内都完成了对长期对抗的动员，社会“习惯”了没有对方的世界，各自的联盟体系提供支持。任何一方单独妥协都会被内部视为投降而不可接受。此时博弈均衡由政治-军事逻辑决定，经济利益让位于安全利益。

• 风险：这种均衡虽然稳定，却存在高风险的吸引域——任何局部事件都可能因为缺少缓冲而滑向直接冲突（如冷战时期多次危机那样）。它也将严重冲击全球经济和多边体系，让世界进入新分裂时期【28†L133-142】。

• 路径2：有限缓和与竞争共存 – 均衡形态：部分合作的动态均衡\ 另一条路径是双方在几番摩擦后痛感代价，选择建立某种“竞合框架”。这类似于美苏在1970年代缓和时期达成的默契：虽然仍竞争，但在军控、贸易上有所协议，避免了更危险的对抗carnegieendowment.org。应用到中美，则可能出现：

• 签订新贸易协定：范围超越2020年第一阶段协议，可能涉及逐步降低关税、规则竞争中建立仲裁机制等，使贸易战有“停战线”。

• 科技隔阂设置护栏：如定义哪些技术可以合作、哪些严格竞争，并避免极端措施（比如对民用科技保持一定交流）。

• 地缘热点管理：双方军方高层保持沟通，防止误判，类似冷战后的危险热线机制。这降低擦枪走火概率，也为经贸关系提供稳定外围环境。

• 均衡特征：这种均衡并非“友好合作”，而更像**“竞争性共存”。双方依然视对方为主要竞争者，但承认对方利益**，不试图彻底削弱对方，而是寻求长期共存之道。其稳定性中等，取决于领导人意志和制度化程度。如有强有力且持续的对话渠道、协议执行监督，则可较长时间维持；但如果遇到大的国际事件或国内政治变化，关系可能再次滑向对抗。

• 路径3：卷入热战或严重冲突 – 均衡破裂，激烈对抗后再重组\ 不能排除最坏情况：均衡被打破引发失控冲突，例如因台湾问题或南海冲突中美发生直接军事对抗。那将不是博弈均衡内的演化，而是均衡本身的崩溃，后果难以估量。大战之后新的均衡可能在战胜-战败格局上重建，但这已超出本文经贸博弈讨论范围。不过需要指出，持续敌对的均衡往往孕育热战危险carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org；避免这一结局本身是各方应努力的目标。

当前迹象显示，路径1的新冷战倾向在一些领域浮现（高度脱钩、阵营对立）moneycontrol.commoneycontrol.com；路径2的有限缓和尚未看到明确契机，但并非没有基础（双方经贸仍有巨大共同利益carnegieendowment.org，金融市场、人才流动也难以一夕切断）。未来数年内，一些重要节点（如美国换届、中国经济策略调整等）将是走向路径2或滑向路径1的关键转折。

八、结论

综上分析，2025年中美谈判达成的有限妥协可被解读为中美经贸博弈中的一个短期策略均衡。双方通过各让一步，实现了一次互利但脆弱的平衡。然而，从博弈论视角看，这一均衡并非纳什稳态：双方均有诱因或压力偏离当前策略，且均衡缺乏强有力的自我稳定机制。事实上，正如有分析指出的，此次协议“几乎没有长期解决纷争的迹象”reuters.com，更像是为缓解彼此立即痛苦而达成的临时停战csis.org。

未来的走向很大程度上取决于双方如何应对结构性矛盾：是任由矛盾积累，将博弈推向类似冷战的长期对峙均衡，抑或痛定思痛，在竞争中寻求新的合作共处均衡。冷战的历史教训表明，即使长期对峙均衡一度稳定，最终也会因为不可持续的内耗而瓦解。因此，对中美双方而言，短期策略博弈或许有利于各自战术利益，但从长期理性出发，探索比冷战式对峙更稳定且成本更低的均衡（例如有限竞争+合作领域并存的模式）才符合两国和全球利益。

当然，博弈均衡并非静止，而是会随环境演化。技术进步、经济变化、国际局势、新冠疫情等冲击都可能改变 payoff 结构，从而改变博弈的均衡点。在不确定性加剧的时代，中美关系的博弈更需要双方拿出智慧，避免陷入“囚徒困境”式的次优均衡。正如经典博弈论所示，当重复博弈次数足够长、参与者足够理性时，合作并非不可实现。希望中美双方在经历几轮高强度博弈后，能够识别出新的合作机会窗口，打破目前这一“不稳定均衡”，避免新的冷战长期对峙成为不可逆的自我实现预言carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。

参考文献：

• Reuters报道，2025年6月11日，《特朗普称中国将供应稀土，美国将允许中国学生入学》reuters.comreuters.com。

• Axios报道，2025年6月4日，《中美贸易争端中的稀土问题》axios.comaxios.com。

• Medium平台分析文章，Laurel W. (2023)《关税博弈的博弈论解析》medium.commedium.com。

• Kyodo News共同社，2025年6月10日，《中美高层贸易会谈聚焦稀土》（英文版）english.kyodonews.netenglish.kyodonews.net。

• CSIS评论，Philip Luck, 2025年5月13日, 《理解中美贸易战的暂时缓和》csis.orgcsis.org。

• Moneycontrol新闻，2025年4月22日, 《美中贸易战加深，走向冷战式对峙》moneycontrol.commoneycontrol.com。

• Carnegie Endowment报告, Evan Medeiros等, 2024年10月, 《2030年代的中美关系：共存情景》carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。

• Carnegie Endowment报告, Stephen Walt等, 2024年10月, 对中美关系的理论视角分析carnegieendowment.orgcarnegieendowment.org。

• Kornai理论参考：Michael Ellman, 1990, 《The Disequilibrium School and the Shortage Economy》摘要pubs.aeaweb.org（说明体制性短缺状态的自我维持）。

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Veroorzaakt door de wereld rond mij\ Vormen de wereld in mij

Verwaarloosd door de wereld rond mij\ Overgelaten aan mij

Een groene brug komt uit mij\ Verbindt mij met wij\ En laat ons samen vrij

@ 11078d50:2304aabb

{ "id": "id-1749712840486-os5mc7l", "name": "test", "description": "", "authors": [ "User" ], "summary": "", "backgroundColor": "#f5f7fa", "customStyle": "", "columns": [ { "id": "id-1749712840486-95ae0fa", "name": "To Do", "color": "color-gradient-1", "cards": [] }, { "id": "id-1749712840486-ym46ot1", "name": "In Progress", "color": "color-gradient-2", "cards": [] }, { "id": "id-1749712840486-vy1sq5a", "name": "Done", "color": "color-gradient-3", "cards": [] } ], "aiConfig": { "provider": "", "apiKey": "", "model": "", "baseUrl": "" }, "exportDate": "2025-06-12T07:41:12.122Z", "nostrEvent": true }

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

• This release introduces Payjoin v2 functionality to Bitcoin wallets on Cake, along with several UI/UX improvements and bug fixes.
• The Payjoin v2 protocol enables asynchronous, serverless coordination between sender and receiver, removing the need to be online simultaneously or maintain a server. This simplifies privacy-focused transactions for regular users.

"I cannot speak highly enough of how amazing it has been to work with @bitgould and Jaad from the@payjoindevkit team, they're doing incredible work. None of this would be possible without them and their tireless efforts. PDK made it so much easier to ship Payjoin v2 than it would have been otherwise, and I can't wait to see other wallets jump in and give back to PDK as they implement it like we did," said Seth For Privacy, VP at Cake Wallet.

How to started with Payjoin in Cake Wallet:

1. Open the app menu sidebar and click Privacy.
2. Toggle the Use Payjoin option.
3. Now on your receive screen you'll see an option to copy a Payjoin URL

• Bull Bitcoin Wallet v0.4.0 introduced Payjoin v2 support in late December 2024. However, the current implementations are not interoperable at the moment, an issue that should be addressed in the next release of the Bull Bitcoin Wallet.

• Cake Wallet was one of the first wallets to introduce Silent Payments back in May 2024. However, users may encounter sync issues while using this feature at present, which will be resolved in the next release of Cake Wallet.

What's new

• Payjoin v2 implementation.
• Wallet group improvements: Enhanced management of multiple wallets.
• Various bug fixes: improving overall stability and user experience.
• Monero (XMR) enhancements.

Learn more about using, implementing, and understanding BIP 77: Payjoin Version 2 using the payjoin crate in Payjoin Dev Kit here.

Announcement
Blog Post / Archive
GitHub Repo

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

Metaplanet Inc. has bought 1,088 more bitcoin (BTC), and now holds 8,888 BTC worth over $930 million. This puts Metaplanet in the top 10 corporate bitcoin holders, ahead of Galaxy Digital and Block Inc.

Metaplanet Inc. on X

The company’s CEO Simon Gerovich announced the purchase on X on June 2, 2025. The company bought the new BTC at an average price of around $107,771 per coin, costing the company approximately $117.3 million.

The company said this purchase brings them 90% of the way to their 2025 goal of 10,000 BTC.

Metaplanet only started its bitcoin treasury policy in April 2024 but has been moving fast. At the start of 2025, it had less than 2,000 BTC, and now it has over 8,800.

This has been done through a combination of stock rights exercises and bond issuances, raising capital without diluting existing shareholders. In May 2025 alone, Metaplanet issued zero-coupon, non-interest-bearing bonds for a combined value of $71 million.

According to the filings, the company recently completed its “21 Million Plan” which was a program that involved the full exercise of 210 million stock acquisition rights.

These stock rights allowed Metaplanet to raise capital through equity sales while limiting dilution risk.

Metaplanet’s Bitcoin strategist, Dylan LeClair, said the company views bitcoin as a core part of its financial strategy and is all in, not just making small allocations.

Metaplanet’s buying has paid off in more ways than one.

Its BTC Yield, a company metric that compares bitcoin holdings to total shares, has impressed investors. In Q2 2025 it had a 66.3% BTC Yield, year-to-date it has a 225% BTC Yield.

Metaplanet BTC Yield over time — Vincent on X

The stock is up 155% in the last month and is currently trading at 1,149 JPY, despite the overall volatility in the Tokyo Stock Exchange—where many other companies are under pressure due to the rising Japanese bond yields.

Analysts say the company still has more room to run.

Analysts say the company’s mNAV is back to 4.75 and the stock is undervalued compared to Strategy.

mNAV is short for “multiple of Net Asset Value” and is a metric used to compare the market’s valuation of a company to the actual value of its assets, primarily its bitcoin holdings.

Metaplanet is called “Japan’s Strategy”, a reference to Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the U.S.-based company that holds over 580,000 BTC—the most of any company in the world.

The corporate bitcoin boom isn’t stopping with Strategy and Metaplanet. On May 28, 2025 GameStop announced it had bought 4,710 BTC, worth over $512 million, its first foray into bitcoin after updating its investment policy this year.

@ 9c47bb51:000381d0

Running your own Bitcoin node is one of the most powerful actions you can take to secure financial sovereignty and protect the network’s decentralization.

Bitcoin nodes independently verify transactions and enforce consensus rules, ensuring no single entity—be it governments, corporations, or influential players like BlackRock or Michael Saylor—can dictate how Bitcoin evolves.

Here’s why it matters 👇🏽

1.  Decentralization Is Freedom

A network is only as decentralized as its participants. When you run a node, you become a part of the consensus mechanism that ensures Bitcoin remains neutral, censorship-resistant, and immune to centralized control.

2.  Verification, Not Trust

Bitcoin’s power lies in its ability to eliminate the need for trust. By running a node, you verify every transaction and block yourself, instead of relying on others who may have vested interests. This ensures you’re transacting on the Bitcoin network as it was designed—not on a version compromised by corporate or governmental interests.

3.  Preventing Centralized Upgrades

Players like BlackRock and influential figures might push for changes to Bitcoin that align with their agendas, potentially undermining its core principles. Running your own node gives you the power to reject unwanted upgrades and stick to Bitcoin’s original ethos.

4.  Strengthening the Network

The more nodes in the network, the more robust and resistant it becomes to attacks or collusion by centralized entities. Your node helps secure this public good for everyone.

Bitcoin is a tool for freedom, but that freedom only lasts if we actively protect it. Running a node is not just a technical act—it’s a declaration of independence. Don’t let the promise of Bitcoin be steered by the powerful. Take control. Verify. Secure your sovereignty.

@ 65912a7a:5dc638bf

Details

• ⏲️ Prep time: 5 min
• 🍳 Cook time: 30 min
• 🍽️ Servings: 12

Ingredients

• 12-14oz fresh cranberries
• 1⅓ cup packed brown sugar
• 1 cup raisins
• 1 orange, peeled & chopped
• 1 cup water

Directions

1. Using medium sauce pan, simmer cranberries and water for 5-6 min. Cranberries will start to pop.
2. Add brown sugar, raisins, and chopped orange to the berries.
3. Bring to a simmer and continue to cook for 20 min. Stir often to prevent sticking. Remove from heat.
4. Let set until room temp. Mixture will thicken as it cools.
5. Put in a covered container and keep refrigerated. Lasts for about 2 weeks.

@ 97c70a44:ad98e322

Vibe coding is taking the nostr developer community by storm. While it's all very exciting and interesting, I think it's important to pump the brakes a little - not in order to stop the vehicle, but to try to keep us from flying off the road as we approach this curve.

In this note Pablo is subtweeting something I said to him recently (although I'm sure he's heard it from other quarters as well):

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzp75cf0tahv5z7plpdeaws7ex52nmnwgtwfr2g3m37r844evqrr6jqy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyv9kh2uewd9hj7qghwaehxw309aex2mrp0yh8qunfd4skctnwv46z7qg6waehxw309ac8junpd45kgtnxd9shg6npvchxxmmd9uqzq0z48d4ttzzkupswnkyt5a2xfkhxl3hyavnxjujwn5k2k529aearwtecp4

There is a naive, curmudgeonly case for simply "not doing AI". I think the intuition is a good one, but the subject is obviously more complicated - not doing it, either on an individual or a collective level, is just not an option. I recently read Tools for Conviviality by Ivan Illich, which I think can help us here. For Illich, the best kind of tool is one which serves "politically interrelated individuals rather than managers".

This is obviously a core value for bitcoiners. And I think the talks given at the Oslo Freedom Forum this year present a compelling case for adoption of LLMs for the purposes of 1. using them for good, and 2. developing them further so that they don't get captured by corporations and governments. Illich calls both the telephone and print "almost ideally convivial". I would add the internet, cryptography, and LLMs to this list, because each one allows individuals to work cooperatively within communities to embody their values in their work.

But this is only half the story. Illich also points out how "the manipulative nature of institutions... have put these ideally convivial tools at the service of more [managerial dominance]."

Preventing the subversion and capture of our tools is not just a matter of who uses what, and for which ends. It also requires an awareness of the environment that the use of the tool (whether for virtuous or vicious ends) creates, which in turn forms the abilities, values, and desires of those who inhabit the environment.

The natural tendency of LLMs is to foster ignorance, dependence, and detachment from reality. This is not the fault of the tool itself, but that of humans' tendency to trade liberty for convenience. Nevertheless, the inherent values of a given tool naturally gives rise to an environment through use: the tool changes the world that the tool user lives in. This in turn indoctrinates the user into the internal logic of the tool, shaping their thinking, blinding them to the tool's influence, and neutering their ability to work in ways not endorsed by the structure of the tool-defined environment.

The result of this is that people are formed by their tools, becoming their slaves. We often talk about LLM misalignment, but the same is true of humans. Unreflective use of a tool creates people who are misaligned with their own interests. This is what I mean when I say that AI use is anti-human. I mean it in the same way that all unreflective tool use is anti-human. See Wendell Berry for an evaluation of industrial agriculture along the same lines.

What I'm not claiming is that a minority of high agency individuals can't use the technology for virtuous ends. In fact, I think that is an essential part of the solution. Tool use can be good. But tools that bring their users into dependence on complex industry and catechize their users into a particular system should be approached with extra caution. The plow was a convivial tool, and so were early tractors. Self-driving John Deere monstrosities are a straightforward extension of the earlier form of the technology, but are self-evidently an instrument of debt slavery, chemical dependency, industrial centralization, and degradation of the land. This over-extension of a given tool can occur regardless of the intentions of the user. As Illich says:

There is a form of malfunction in which growth does not yet tend toward the destruction of life, yet renders a tool antagonistic to its specific aims. Tools, in other words, have an optimal, a tolerable, and a negative range.

The initial form of a tool is almost always beneficial, because tools are made by humans for human ends. But as the scale of the tool grows, its logic gets more widely and forcibly applied. The solution to the anti-human tendencies of any technology is an understanding of scale. To prevent the overrun of the internal logic of a given tool and its creation of an environment hostile to human flourishing, we need to impose limits on scale.

Tools that require time periods or spaces or energies much beyond the order of corresponding natural scales are dysfunctional.

My problem with LLMs is:

• Not their imitation of human idioms, but their subversion of them and the resulting adoption of robotic idioms by humans
• Not the access they grant to information, but their ability to obscure accurate or relevant information
• Not their elimination of menial work, but its increase (Bullshit Jobs)
• Not their ability to take away jobs, but their ability to take away the meaning found in good work
• Not their ability to confer power to the user, but their ability to confer power to their owner which can be used to exploit the user
• Not their ability to solve problems mechanistically, but the extension of their mechanistic value system to human life
• Not their explicit promise of productivity, but the environment they implicitly create in which productivity depends on their use
• Not the conversations they are able to participate in, but the relationships they displace

All of these dysfunctions come from the over-application of the technology in evaluating and executing the fundamentally human task of living. AI work is the same kind of thing as an AI girlfriend, because work is not only for the creation of value (although that's an essential part of it), but also for the exercise of human agency in the world. In other words, tools must be tools, not masters. This is a problem of scale - when tool use is extended beyond its appropriate domain, it becomes what Illich calls a "radical monopoly" (the domination of a single paradigm over all of human life).

So the important question when dealing with any emergent technology becomes: how can we set limits such that the use of the technology is naturally confined to its appropriate scale?

Here are some considerations:

• Teach people how to use the technology well (e.g. cite sources when doing research, use context files instead of fighting the prompt, know when to ask questions rather than generate code)
• Create and use open source and self-hosted models and tools (MCP, stacks, tenex). Refuse to pay for closed or third-party hosted models and tools.
• Recognize the dependencies of the tool itself, for example GPU availability, and diversify the industrial sources to reduce fragility and dependence.
• Create models with built-in limits. The big companies have attempted this (resulting in Japanese Vikings), but the best-case effect is a top-down imposition of corporate values onto individuals. But the idea isn't inherently bad - a coding model that refuses to generate code in response to vague prompts, or which asks clarifying questions is an example. Or a home assistant that recognized childrens' voices and refuses to interact.
• Divert the productivity gains to human enrichment. Without mundane work to do, novice lawyers, coders, and accountants don't have an opportunity to hone their skills. But their learning could be subsidized by the bots in order to bring them up to a level that continues to be useful.
• Don't become a slave to the bots. Know when not to use it. Talk to real people. Write real code, poetry, novels, scripts. Do your own research. Learn by experience. Make your own stuff. Take a break from reviewing code to write some. Be independent, impossible to control. Don't underestimate the value to your soul of good work.
• Resist both monopoly and "radical monopoly". Both naturally collapse over time, but by cultivating an appreciation of the goodness of hand-crafted goods, non-synthetic entertainment, embodied relationship, and a balance between mobility and place, we can relegate new, threatening technologies to their correct role in society.

I think in all of this is implicit the idea of technological determinism, that productivity is power, and if you don't adapt you die. I reject this as an artifact of darwinism and materialism. The world is far more complex and full of grace than we think.

The idea that productivity creates wealth is, as we all know, bunk. GDP continues to go up, but ungrounded metrics don't reflect anything about the reality of human flourishing. We have to return to a qualitative understanding of life as whole, and contextualize quantitative tools and metrics within that framework.

Finally, don't believe the hype. Even if AI delivers everything it promises, conservatism in changing our ways of life will decelerate the rate of change society is subjected to and allow time for reflection and proper use of the tool. Curmudgeons are as valuable as technologists. There will be no jobspocalypse if there is sufficient political will to value human good over mere productivity. It's ok to pump the breaks.

@ 32e18276:5c68e245

6 years ago I created some tools for working with peter todd's opentimestamps proof format. You can do some fun things like create plaintext and mini ots proofs. This short post is just a demo of what these tools do and how to use them.

What is OTS?

OpenTimestamps is a protocol for stamping information into bitcoin in a minimal way. It uses OP_RETURN outputs so that it has minimal impact on chain, and potentially millions of documents are stamped all at once with a merkle tree construction.

Examples

Here's the proof of the ots.c source file getting stamped into the ots calendar merkle tree. We're simply printing the ots proof file here with otsprint:

``` $ ./otsprint ots.c.ots

version 1 file_hash sha256 f76f0795ff37a24e566cd77d1996b64fab9c871a5928ab9389dfc3a128ec8296 append 2e9943d3833768bdb9a591f1d2735804 sha256 | --> append 2d82e7414811ecbf | sha256 | append a69d4f93e3e0f6c9b8321ce2cdd90decd34d260ea3f8b55e83d157ad398b7843 | sha256 | append ac0b5896401478eb6d88a408ec08b33fd303b574fb09b503f1ac1255b432d304 | sha256 | append 8aa9fd0245664c23d31d344243b4e8b0 | sha256 | prepend 414db5a1cd3a3e6668bf2dca9007e7c0fc5aa6dc71a2eab3afb51425c3acc472 | sha256 | append 5355b15d88d4dece45cddb7913f2c83d41e641e8c1d939dac4323671a4f8e197 | sha256 | append a2babd907ca513ab561ce3860e64a26b7df5de117f1f230bc8f1a248836f0c25 | sha256 | prepend 683f072f | append 2a4cdf9e9e04f2fd | attestation calendar https://alice.btc.calendar.opentimestamps.org | --> append 7c8764fcaba5ed5d | sha256 | prepend f7e1ada392247d3f3116a97d73fcf4c0994b5c22fff824736db46cd577b97151 | sha256 | append 3c43ac41e0281f1dbcd7e713eb1ffaec48c5e05af404bca2166cdc51966a921c | sha256 | append 07b18bd7f4a5dc72326416aa3c8628ca80c8d95d7b1a82202b90bc824974da13 | sha256 | append b4d641ab029e7d900e92261c2342c9c9 | sha256 | append 4968b89b02b534f33dc26882862d25cca8f0fa76be5b9d3a3b5e2d77690e022b | sha256 | append 48c54e30b3a9ec0e6339b88ed9d04b9b1065838596a4ec778cbfc0dfc0f8c781 | sha256 | prepend 683f072f | append 8b2b4beda36c18dc | attestation calendar https://bob.btc.calendar.opentimestamps.org | --> append baa878b42ef3e0d45b324cc3a39a247a | sha256 | prepend 4fb1bc663cd641ad18e5c73fb618de1ae3d28fb5c3c224b7f9888fd52feb09ec | sha256 | append 731329278830c9725497d70e9f5a02e4b2d9c73ff73560beb3a896a2f180fdbf | sha256 | append 689024a9d57ad5daad669f001316dd0fc690ac4520410f97a349b05a3f5d69cb | sha256 | append 69d42dcb650bb2a690f850c3f6e14e46c2b0831361bac9ec454818264b9102fd | sha256 | prepend 683f072f | append bab471ba32acd9c3 | attestation calendar https://btc.calendar.catallaxy.com append c3ccce274e2f9edfa354ec105cb1a749 sha256 append 6297b54e3ce4ba71ecb06bd5632fd8cbd50fe6427b6bfc53a0e462348cc48bab sha256 append c28f03545a2948bd0d8102c887241aff5d4f6cf1e0b16dfd8787bf45ca2ab93d sha256 prepend 683f072f append 7f3259e285891c8e attestation calendar https://finney.calendar.eternitywall.com ```

The tool can create a minimal version of the proofs:

``` $ ./otsmini ots.c.ots | ./otsmini -d | ./otsprint

version 1 file_hash sha256 f76f0795ff37a24e566cd77d1996b64fab9c871a5928ab9389dfc3a128ec8296 append 2e9943d3833768bdb9a591f1d2735804 sha256 append c3ccce274e2f9edfa354ec105cb1a749 sha256 append 6297b54e3ce4ba71ecb06bd5632fd8cbd50fe6427b6bfc53a0e462348cc48bab sha256 append c28f03545a2948bd0d8102c887241aff5d4f6cf1e0b16dfd8787bf45ca2ab93d sha256 prepend 683f072f append 7f3259e285891c8e attestation calendar https://finney.calendar.eternitywall.com ```

which can be shared on social media as a string:

5s1L3tTWoTfUDhB1MPLXE1rnajwUdUnt8pfjZfY1UWVWpWu5YhW3PGCWWoXwWBRJ16B8182kQgxnKyiJtGQgRoFNbDfBss19seDnco5sF9WrBt8jQW7BVVmTB5mmAPa8ryb5929w4xEm1aE7S3SGMFr9rUgkNNzhMg4VK6vZmNqDGYvvZxBtwDMs2PRJk7y6wL6aJmq6yoaWPvuxaik4qMp76ApXEufP6RnWdapqGGsKy7TNE6ZzWWz2VXbaEXGwgjrxqF8bMstZMdGo2VzpVuE

you can even do things like gpg-style plaintext proofs:

``` $ ./otsclear -e CONTRIBUTING.ots -----BEGIN OPENTIMESTAMPS MESSAGE-----

Email patches to William Casarin jb55@jb55.com

-----BEGIN OPENTIMESTAMPS PROOF-----

AE9wZW5UaW1lc3RhbXBzAABQcm9vZgC/ieLohOiSlAEILXj4GSagG6fRNnR+CHj9e/+Mdkp0w1us gV/5dmlX2NrwEDlcBMmQ723mI9sY9ALUlXoI//AQRXlCd716J60FudR+C78fkAjwIDnONJrj1udi NDxQQ8UJiS4ZWfprUxbvaIoBs4G+4u6kCPEEaD8Ft/AIeS/skaOtQRoAg9/jDS75DI4pKGh0dHBz Oi8vZmlubmV5LmNhbGVuZGFyLmV0ZXJuaXR5d2FsbC5jb23/8AhMLZVzYZMYqwjwEPKWanBNPZVm kqsAYV3LBbkI8CCfIVveDh/S8ykOH1NC6BKTerHoPojvj1OmjB2LYvdUbgjxBGg/BbbwCGoo3fi1 A7rjAIPf4w0u+QyOLi1odHRwczovL2FsaWNlLmJ0Yy5jYWxlbmRhci5vcGVudGltZXN0YW1wcy5v cmf/8Aik+VP+n3FhCwjwELfTdHAfYQNa49I3CYycFbkI8QRoPwW28AgCLn93967lIQCD3+MNLvkM jiwraHR0cHM6Ly9ib2IuYnRjLmNhbGVuZGFyLm9wZW50aW1lc3RhbXBzLm9yZ/AQ3bEwg7mjQyKR PykGgiJewAjwID5Q68dY4m+XogwTJx72ecQEe5lheCO1RnlcJSTFokyRCPEEaD8Ft/AIw1WWPe++ 8N4Ag9/jDS75DI4jImh0dHBzOi8vYnRjLmNhbGVuZGFyLmNhdGFsbGF4eS5jb20= -----END OPENTIMESTAMPS PROOF-----

$ ./otsclear -v <<<proof_string... # verify the proof string ```

I've never really shared these tools before, I just remembered about it today. Enjoy!

Try it out: https://github.com/jb55/ots-tools

@ c9badfea:610f861a

🤖️ AI Articles

• 🗨️ Using LLMs for OPSEC

---

📱 Android Articles

• 📹️ Device as Dashcam
• 🥩 Tracking Food Intake
• ✍️ Taking Handwritten Notes
• 🕒 Tracking Habits
• 🧭 Navigating the Wild
• 📝 Organizing Notes and Tasks
• 🧠 Studying Smarter
• 💱 Tracking Fiat Currency Exchange Rates
• 🌠 Offline Planetarium
• 📥 Downloading Media From 1000+ Sites
• 🔥 Blocking Ads and Trackers
• ⛅ Getting Detailed Weather Information
• 📦 Installing Apps Directly From Source
• 🎮 Playing Retro Games
• 🖼️ Generating AI Images Locally
• 📖 Reading PDF Documents and EPUB Books
• 🔒 Storing Passwords Safely
• 🗺️ Using Offline Maps
• 🎵 Producing Music On-Device
• 💾 Writing ISO Images to USB Drives
• 💻 Coding On-Device
• 🎬 Watching and Downloading Videos from YouTube, Rumble, Odysee, Bitchute, and More
• 🔤 Upgrading the Typing Experience
• 📰 Reading RSS Feeds
• 📥 Downloading Torrents
• 📺 Watching IPTV Channels for Free
• 🔒 Easily Verifying File Checksums
• 🗣️ Offline Translator
• 🗣️ Offline Text-to-Speech Engine
• 🤖 Running LLMs Locally
• 🌐 Browsing Entire Websites Offline
• 🔐 Quickly Encrypting Files

---

✏️ Other Articles

• 🔠 Unicode Fonts
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

The Trump’s American Bitcoin Merges with Gryphon, Reports 215 BTC on Balance Sheet Since Launch

American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC), a newly formed private Bitcoin mining company backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., announced in a June 10 SEC filing that it has acquired 215 Bitcoin (BTC) since launching operations on April 1, 2025. The reserve is currently valued at approximately $23 million, showing their drive and commitment to Bitcoin. 

JUST IN: American Bitcoin Corp (private) reports to have 215 #bitcoin (per 31 May) since it's launch on April 1, 2025.

They will merge with Gryphon Digital $GRYP and become public under ticker $ABTC.

They mention "Bitcoin accumulation is not a side effect of ABTC’s business.… pic.twitter.com/wq1Uxr76Z2

— NLNico (@btcNLNico) June 10, 2025

“Bitcoin accumulation is not a side effect of ABTC’s business. It is the business,” the company stated in the filing.

Furthermore, ABTC has entered into a merger agreement with Gryphon Digital Mining ($GRYP), and the combined company is expected to begin public trading under the ticker $ABTC as early as Q3 2025. 

The company’s three-layer strategic plan—outlined in the SEC disclosure—details a focused approach:

Layer 1: Build the Engine

• ABTC’s foundation is built on “producing Bitcoin below-market cost through a capital efficient, infrastructure-light operating model.” The company owns and operates over 60,000 miners from Bitmain and MicroBt, running primarily on Hut 8-managed facilities.

Layer 2: Scale the Reserve

• ABTC had “accumulated approximately 215 Bitcoin in reserve since launching on April 1, 2025,” which it considers a long-term strategic asset. The firm states its goal is “to utilize public markets and strategic financing structures to access efficient capital and leverage that capital to increase its Bitcoin in reserve per share.”

Layer 3: Lead the Ecosystem 

• The company ultimately aims to use its operational scale and mining position to drive industry-wide adoption. “ABTC may pursue opportunities to support protocol development, enhance network infrastructure and contribute to Bitcoin’s resilience and adoption in ways that align with shareholder value creation.”

For mining rewards, ABTC uses Foundry and Luxor pools with sub-1% fees and relies on Coinbase Custody for secure cold storage, featuring multi-factor authentication and strict withdrawal protocols. 

With operations across Niagara Falls, NY; Medicine Hat, AB; and Orla, TX, ABTC is leveraging strategic partnerships—primarily with Hut 8—to scale its Bitcoin holdings while influencing the broader crypto mining ecosystem.

This post The Trump’s American Bitcoin Merges with Gryphon, Reports 215 BTC on Balance Sheet Since Launch first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via me

I had a completely different newsletter partially written earlier tonight about whether or not "this cycle is different" when this nagging thought entered my head. So I'm going to write about this and maybe I'll write about the dynamics of this cycle compared to past cycles tomorrow.

A couple of headlines shot across my desk earlier tonight in relation to the potential escalation of kinetic warfare in the Middle East. Apparently the U.S. Embassy in Iraq was sent a warning and evacuation procedures were initiated. Not too long after, the world was made aware that the United States and Israel are contemplating an attack on Iran due to the "fact" that Iran may be close to producing nuclear weapins. The initial monkey brain reaction that I had to these two headlines was, "Oh shit, here we go again. We're going to do something stupid." My second reaction was, "Oh shit, here we go again, I've seen these two exact headlines many times over the years and they've proven to be lackluster if you're a doomer or blood thirsty war monger." Nothing ever happens.

As I venture into my mid-30s and reflect on a life filled with these types of headlines and my personal reactions to these headlines, I'm finally becoming attuned to the fact that the monkey brain reactions aren't very productive at the end of the day. Who knows exactly what's going to happen in Iraq or Iran and whether or not kinetic warfare escalates and materializes from here? Even though I'm a "blue-blooded taxpaying American citizen" who is passively and unwillingly contributing to the war machine and the media industrial complex, there's really nothing I can do about it.

The only thing I can do is focus on what is in front of me. What I have control of. And attempt to leverage what I have control of to make my life and the life of my family as good as humanly possible. Ignoring the external and turning inward often produces incredible results. Instead of worrying about what the media wants you to believe at any given point in time, you simply look away from your computer screen, survey the physical space which you're operating in and determine what you have, what you need and how you can get what you need. This is a much more productive way to spend your time.

This is what I want to touch on right now. There's never been a better time in human history to be productive despite what the algorithm on X or the mainstream media will lead you to believe. Things aren't as great as they could be, but they're also not as bad as you're being led to believe. We live in the Digital Age and the Digital Age provides incredible resources that you can leverage to make YOUR life better.

Social media allows you to create a platform without spending any money. AI allows you to build tools that are beneficial to yourself and others with very little money. And bitcoin exists to provide you with the best form of money that you can save in with the knowledge that your relative ownership of the overall supply isn't going to change. No matter what happens in the external world.

If you can combine these three things to make your life better and - by extension - potentially make the lives of many others better, you're going to be well off in the long run. Combining these three things isn't going to result in immediate gratification, but if you put forth a concerted effort, spend the time, have some semblance of patience, and stick with it, I truly believe that you will benefit massively in the long run. Without trying to sound like a blowhard, I truly believe that this is why I feel relatively calm (despite my monkey brain reactions to the headlines of the day) at this current point in time.

We've entered the era of insane leaps in productivity and digital hard money that cannot be corrupted. The biggest mistake you can make in your life right now is overlooking the confluence of these two things. With an internet connection, an idea, some savvy, and hard work you can materially change your life. Create something that levels up your knowledge, that enables you to get a good job in the real world, or to create a company of your own. Bring your talents to the market, exchange them for money, and then funnel that money into bitcoin (if you're not being paid in it already). We may be at the beginning of a transition from the high velocity trash economy to the high leverage agency economy run on sound money and applied creativity.

These concepts are what you should be focusing most of your time and attention to today and in the years ahead. Don't get distracted by the algorithm, the 30-second video clips, the headlines filled with doom, and the topics of the 24 hour news cycle. I'll admit, I often succumb to them myself. But, as I get older and develop a form of pattern recognition that can only be attained by being on this planet for a certain period of time, it is becoming very clear that those things are not worth your attention.

Living by the heuristic that "nothing ever happens" is a pretty safe bet. Funnily enough, it's incredibly ironic that you're led to believe that something is happening every single day, and yet nothing ever happens. By getting believing that something happens every day you are taking your attention away from doing things that happen to make your life better.

Tune out the noise. Put on the blinders. Take advantage of the incredible opportunities that lie before you. If enough of you - and many others who do not read this newsletter - do this, I truly believe we'll wake up to find that the world we live in is a much better place.

Nothing ever happens, so make something happen.

Intelligence Officials Are Quietly Becoming Bitcoin Believers

Ken Egan, former CIA Deputy Chief of Cyber Operations, revealed a surprising truth on TFTC: the intelligence community harbors numerous Bitcoin advocates. Egan explained that intelligence professionals uniquely understand how governments weaponize financial systems through sanctions and account freezing. Having wielded these tools themselves, they recognize the need for personal financial sovereignty. He shared compelling anecdotes of discovering colleagues with "We are all Satoshi" stickers and a European chief of station paying for dinner with a BlockFi card to earn Bitcoin rewards.

"I think there are a lot of Bitcoiners, not just at CIA, but across the whole national security establishment... they're in it for the exact same reasons everybody else is." - Ken Egan

The Canadian trucker protests served as a pivotal moment, Egan noted. Watching Western governments freeze citizens' bank accounts for political dissent struck a nerve among intelligence professionals who previously viewed financial weaponization as a tool reserved for foreign adversaries. This awakening has created unlikely allies within institutions many Bitcoiners distrust.

Check out the full podcast here for more on Bitcoin's national security implications, privacy tech prosecutions, and legislative priorities.

---

Headlines of the Day

Stripe Buys Crypto Wallet Privy After Bridge Deal - via X

Trump Calls CPI Data "Great" Urges Full Point Fed Cut - via X

Bitcoin Hashrate Reaches New All-Time High - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

---

Bitcoin’s Next Parabolic Move: Could Liquidity Lead the Way?

Is bitcoin’s next parabolic move starting? Global liquidity and business cycle indicators suggest it may be.

Read the latest report from Unchained and TechDev, analyzing how global M2 liquidity and the copper/gold ratio—two historically reliable macro indicators—are aligning once again to signal that a new bitcoin bull market may soon begin.

Download the report here

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

Life is good.

---

Download our free browser extension, Opportunity Cost: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ start thinking in SATS today.

Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

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@ bb9d8268:fc9e4e51

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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Officially Traded Above $100,000 For 30 Consecutive Days For The First Time

Bitcoin has officially completed 30 consecutive days trading above the $100,000 mark, marking a historic milestone in its 15 year journey. Bitcoin achieved its all time high (ATH) of $111,980 on May 22, almost hitting $112,000.

JUST IN: Bitcoin has stayed above $100,000 for 30 consecutive days for the first time ever! pic.twitter.com/nfccEK3Wf0

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 10, 2025

In the last 30 days, Bitcoin saw a 10 percent pullback right after reaching its ATH, dropping to $100,428. However, it wasn’t for long, as Bitcoin is back at $109,511 at the time of writing. Momentum appears to be building once again, signaling to be bullish.

“Anytime price is able to punch through a major resistance level, whether psychological or historical, and successfully hold, it is certainly a bullish sign,” said the technical analyst of Wolfe Research Read Harvey. “What really stood out to us was price’s ability to hold that level on the back test, when it briefly fell to $100,000 on Thursday. It also happened to align perfectly with the 50-day moving average. … We feel this should act as a launching pad back towards the recent highs of $112,000.”

In the past month, Bitcoin has surged into the financial and political mainstream. Several U.S. states including New Hampshire first, followed by Arizona, and then Texas have passed legislation recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. These laws reflect a growing trend of state level interest in using Bitcoin as a financial hedge and as part of long term fiscal policy.

“New Hampshire didn’t just pass a bill; it sparked a movement,” stated the CEO and Co-Founder of Satoshi Action Dennis Porter.

At the same time, financial institutions are rapidly expanding their Bitcoin offerings. JP Morgan has started providing loans backed by Bitcoin ETFs as collateral. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF has entered a period of intense activity, generating record trading volumes and capturing the attention of both retail and institutional investors.

To date, a total of 228 public and private entities have Bitcoin in their balance sheets and in the last 30 days, companies like GameStop, Know Labs, and Norway-based NBX have added Bitcoin as a strategic reserve. All these companies are treating Bitcoin not just as a speculative asset, but as a key part of their long term financial plans. This growing corporate trend follows the example set by Strategy, but it’s now happening on a much larger scale.

At the 2025 Bitcoin conference, the Vice President of the United States of America, JD Vance said in his speech, “Fifty million Americans own Bitcoin. I think it’s gonna be 100 million before too long.”

This post Bitcoin Officially Traded Above $100,000 For 30 Consecutive Days For The First Time first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.

@ efc2b6e5:99c53c19

AI companies massively influence society by projecting their values on ML models, whether we want it or not. It'd be great if at least some people in the companies knew how exactly they influence society, could make certain predictions, or even make ML models themselves predict users' worldviews and some of their behavior.

Some might argue that AI systems already do something like that. I believe they could do it much better: chatbots could be more balanced in terms of security (they are definitely overcensored) and recommender systems, for instance, could contribute to healthy personal and collective transformations (rather than just competing in ability to steal users' attention and trap it in the echo chambers).

Reductionism is an obstacle in AI development

Even most reliable knowledge doesn't solve some of the problems that are already in demand. Even least reliable knowledge still may contain something useful for our problems. While we lack reliable and noncontradictory knowledge, we can still benefit from certain synthesis of working ideas. There's approach that makes it possible to look at the knowledge from a very broad perspective, do such synthesis, and benefit from emergent properties of the synthesis.

Integral (Meta-)Theory created by Ken Wilber is probably the best known attempt to enable the possibility to form and navigate the big picture understanding in a hope to address issues of the epoch we've recently entered.

IMO it has certain challenges that make it repellent to IT:

1. Fundamental psychological theories on which the Integral Theory is based are still pretty fragile; they need time to become mature enough and recognized (while it doesn't look like we have that time). There are endless edit wars on Wikipedia, which makes me feel depressing about possibilities to even introduce Spiral Dynamics and Multiple Intelligences to IT people.
2. Emphasis on controversial interpretations of certain arational states of consciousness.

It's hard to address the first challenge; however, I recently discovered a new “secularized” Non-Reductionist Philosophy launched by David Long, which, among other things, uses wisdom from Integral Theory and attempts to address the second challenge. I'm glad that there are people who don't just criticize the Integral Theory, its community and Wilber's positions but are also developing the new meta-theories.

NR can also be a good way to get familiar with other meta-theories, so one could choose whatever works the best for their problems. For instance, if you're working on something as exotic as some competitor to EEG-powered meditation device, perhaps you will find Integral Theory relevant to study as well, since it's more focused on the states.

I'd like to point out a couple of moments I noticed in the video "Why Non-Reductionism Is A Better Meta-Theory" that caught my attention, as well as in some other older videos. There's not much to comment on the content itself rather than on the form of the content. This feedback might be used for improvements/elaborations in the next videos and just for everyone curious about the new meta-theory. But first

Why do I post here?

Specifically for the deep topics that relate to the current epoch, I no longer find engaging in the YouTube/FB/Reddit/Diqus/Giscus/etc. discussions useful anymore, at least due to broken and almost omnipresent AI-based censorship, that keeps “improving” at randomly shadow-banning people. How many deep and valuable opinions we no longer see?

BTW, it's possible to create Reddit-like communities here at Nostr as well, using Satellite client for example. I believe it's a better place for NR, Rebel Wisdom and many others.

References to full materials used for criticism

There are curious clips with Wilber in the video. It'd be great to have links in the description (or at least titles of the full videos if it's copyrighted material) so viewers could easier form their own independent opinions. I find it important during the age of information overload and narrative warfare. This will also improve SEO.

Emergentism FAQ

There's a strong position on emergence of consciousness; it seems it's not even a hypothesis in NR and I guess that makes some people so reactive.

I think it would be great to have an FAQ page to possibly make future debates more ecological and fruitful. Some of the things that could be elaborated in the FAQ:

• importance of distinction between philosophical theory (inductive reasoning? or actually deductive reasoning? I'm confused here) and scientific theory (deductive reasoning)
• the fact that for now counterarguments usually fall into the categories of “ignorance fallacy”, “false equivalency fallacy” and “God of the gaps” which aren't something sufficient; the whole point of challenge was to find at least a logically valid counterposition (ideally a counterposition that is sound with currently available scientific facts), not the nitpicking attacks
• what kind of emergence is meant, is it important here at all and why.

Debates moderation

Probably most of the debates converge to consensus, which are fruitful anyway. There are a few interesting conflicting debates as well. However, I found this specific conflicting debate with Matt Segall quite exceptional.

Matt's position was not understood. He was more interested in a dialogue rather than debates and I think it would be more productive. However, in this specific case, my guess is it would literally take hours to just figure out the common language on a certain concept he mentions.

My humble guess is that a combination of negotiator and moderator with a strong perceiving personality type (if typologies work at all) could be a step to more meaningful and ecological dialogues in the future. But such negotiator/moderator should also be skilled enough to reflect most challenging parts using more “rational language” as best as possible. These people are rare. Basically I mean the style of dialogues that happened between theoretical physicist David Bohm and Indian philosopher Jiddu Krishnamurti: IMO these were the talks where both sides at some point were barely transcending limitations of their languages and focusing more on intuition in order to understand each other. Much fuzzier and spontaneous dialogues, which aren't prematurely limited by too harsh rationality. Similar thing (with shorter periods of negotiation) could be combined with debating as well.

I hope NR community will be open to understanding more perspectives and won't end up turning into something like a cold and scary crystallization of rational arrogance; that would be damaging and quite opposite to the healthy intentions of the whole project.

Final thoughts

I like the clarity and density of the presented ideas in the video, the choice of lines of development in the map and the alternative to the Integral Methodological Pluralism. I like the mentioned interpretation of “free” will, very much resonates with how I personally interpret it. Tritone-ish devilish sounds in the cons sections is a nice aesthetic choice as well.

I guess there's a lot to learn from NR, no matter what positions we hold on the “rational spirituality” and that sort of stuff. Just to avoid projections and misunderstandings: I'm at a neutral position to all of the NR, Integral and Metamodernism; what any of these philosophies claim to be somehow naive and unhealthy doesn't necessarily match my own positions.

Thank you David Long for launching this philosophy and the movement; I'm looking forward to the next videos!

I'd appreciate reposts and all this as well, thanks!

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

Jason Lowery’s thesis, Softwar: A Novel Theory on Power Projection and the National Strategic Significance of Bitcoin, reframes bitcoin not merely as digital cash but as a transformative security technology with profound implications for investors and nation-states alike.

For centuries, craft brewers understood that true innovation balanced tradition with experimentation—a delicate dance between established techniques and bold new flavors.

Much like the craft beer revolution reshaped a global industry, bitcoin represents a fundamental recalibration of how humans organize value and project power in the digital age.

The Antler in the Digital Forest: Power Projection

Lowery, a U.S. Space Force officer and MIT scholar, anchors his Softwar theory in a biological metaphor: Bitcoin as humanity’s “digital antler.” In nature, antlers allow animals like deer to compete for resources through non-lethal contests—sparring matches where power is demonstrated without fatal consequences. This contrasts sharply with wolves, who must resort to violent, potentially deadly fights to establish hierarchy.

The Human Power Dilemma: Historically, humans projected power and settled resource disputes through physical force—wars, seizures, or coercive control of assets. Even modern financial systems rely on abstract power structures: court orders, bank freezes, or government sanctions enforced by legal threat rather than immediate physical reality.

Lowery argues this creates inherent fragility: abstract systems can collapse when met with superior physical force (e.g., invasions, revolutions). Nature only respects physical power.

Bitcoin’s Physical Power Engine: Bitcoin introduces a novel solution through its proof-of-work consensus mechanism. Miners compete to solve computationally intense cryptographic puzzles, expending real-world energy (megawatts) to validate transactions and secure the network.

This process converts electricity—a tangible, physical resource—into digital security and immutable property rights. Winning a “block” is like winning a sparring match: it consumes significant resources (energy/cost) but is non-destructive.

The miner gains the right to write the next page of the ledger and collect rewards, but no participant is physically harmed, and no external infrastructure is destroyed.

Table: Traditional vs. Bitcoin-Based Power Systems

Power System

Mechanism

Key Vulnerability

Resource Cost

Traditional (Fiat/Banking)

Legal abstraction, threat of state force

Centralized points of failure, corruption, political change

Low immediate cost, high systemic risk

Military/Economic Coercion

Physical force, sanctions

Escalation, collateral damage, moral hazard

Very high (lives, capital, instability)

Bitcoin (Proof-of-Work)

Competition via energy expenditure

High energy cost, concentration risk (mining)

High energy cost, low systemic risk

Softwar Theory National Strategic Imperative: Governments Are Taking Notice

Lowery’s Softwar Theory has moved beyond academia into the corridors of power, shaping U.S. national strategy:

1. The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Vice President JD Vance recently framed bitcoin as an instrument projecting American values—”innovation, entrepreneurship, freedom, and lack of censorship”. State legislation is now underway to implement this reserve, preventing easy reversal by future administrations.
2. Regulatory Transformation: The SEC is shifting from an “enforcement-first” stance under previous leadership. New initiatives include:
   • Repealing Staff Accounting Bulletin 121 (SAB 121), which discouraged banks from custodying digital currency by forcing unfavorable balance sheet treatment.
   • Creating the Cyber and Emerging Technologies Unit (CETU) to develop clearer crypto registration/disclosure rules.

The Investor’s Lens: Scarcity, Security, and Asymmetric Opportunity

For investors, understanding “Softwar” validates bitcoin’s unique value proposition beyond price speculation:

• Digital Scarcity as Strategic Depth: Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million makes it the only digital asset with truly inelastic supply, a programmed scarcity immune to political whims or central bank printing.

  This “scarcity imperative” acts as a natural antidote to global fiat debasement. As central banks expanded money supplies aggressively (Global M2), bitcoin’s price has shown strong correlation, acting as a pressure valve for inflation concerns. The quadrennial “halving” (latest: April 2024) mechanically reduces new supply, creating built-in supply shocks as adoption grows. * The Antifragile Security Feedback Loop: Bitcoin’s security isn’t static; it’s antifragile. The network strengthens through demand: * More users → More transactions → Higher fees → More miner revenue → More hashpower (computational security) → Greater network resilience → More user confidence.
  This self-reinforcing cycle contrasts sharply with traditional systems, where security is a cost center (e.g., bank security budgets, military spending). Bitcoin turns security into a profitable, market-driven activity. * Institutionalization Without Centralization: While institutional ownership via ETFs (like BlackRock’s IBIT) and corporate treasuries (MicroStrategy, Metaplanet) has surged, supply remains highly decentralized.

  Individuals still hold the largest share of bitcoin, preventing a dangerous concentration of control. Spot Bitcoin ETFs alone are projected to see over $20 billion in net inflows in 2025, demonstrating robust institutional capital allocation.

The Bitcoin Community: Building the Digital Antler’s Resilience

Lowery’s “Softwar” theory underscores why bitcoin’s decentralized architecture is non-negotiable. Its strength lies in the alignment of incentives across three participant groups:

1. Miners: Provide computational power (hashrate), validating transactions and securing the network. Incentivized by block rewards (newly minted BTC) and transaction fees. Their physical energy expenditure is the “muscle” behind the digital antler.
2. Nodes: Independently verify and enforce the protocol rules, maintaining the blockchain’s integrity. Run by users, businesses, and enthusiasts globally. They ensure decentralized consensus, preventing unilateral protocol changes.
3. Users: Individuals, institutions, and corporations holding, transacting, or building on bitcoin. Their demand drives transaction fees and fuels the security feedback loop.

This structure creates “Mutually Assured Preservation”. Attacking bitcoin requires overwhelming its global, distributed physical infrastructure (miners/nodes), a feat far more complex and costly than seizing a central bank’s gold vault or freezing a bank’s assets. It transforms financial security from a centralized liability into a decentralized, physically-grounded asset.

Risks & Responsibilities

Investors and policymakers must acknowledge persistent challenges:

• Volatility: Bitcoin remains volatile, though this has decreased as markets mature. Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is widely recommended to mitigate timing risk.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: While U.S. policy is increasingly favorable, global coordination is lacking. The EU’s MiCAR regulation exemplifies divergent approaches.
• Security & Custody: While Bitcoin’s protocol is robust, user errors (lost keys) or exchange hacks remain risks.
• Environmental Debate: Proof-of-Work energy use is scrutinized, though mining increasingly uses stranded energy/renewables. Innovations continue.

Jason Lowery’s “Softwar” theory elevates bitcoin from a financial instrument to a socio-technological innovation on par with the invention of the corporation, the rule of law, or even the antler in evolutionary biology. It provides a coherent framework for understanding why:

• Nations like the U.S. are looking to establish bitcoin reserves and embracing stablecoins—they recognize bitcoin’s role in projecting economic power non-violently in the digital age.
• Institutional Investors are allocating billions via ETFs—they see a scarce, secure, uncorrelated asset with antifragile properties.
• Individuals in hyperinflationary economies or under authoritarian regimes use bitcoin—it offers self-sovereign wealth storage immune to seizure or debasement.

For the investor, bitcoin represents more than potential price appreciation. It offers exposure to a fundamental reorganization of how power and value are secured and exchanged globally, grounded not in abstract promises, but in the unyielding laws of physics and mathematics.

Like the brewers who balanced tradition with innovation to create something enduring and valuable, bitcoin pioneers are building the infrastructure for a more resilient digital future—one computationally secured block at a time. The “Softwar” is here, and it is reshaping the landscape of p

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

Hosted at the iconic Palace of Culture and Science—a prominent symbol of the communist era—the Bitcoin FilmFest offers a vibrant celebration of film through the lens of bitcoin. The venue itself provides a striking contrast to the festival’s focus, highlighting bitcoin’s core identity as a currency embodying independence from traditional financial and political systems.

𝐅𝐢𝐱𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐩𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐮𝐥 𝐦𝐮𝐬𝐢𝐜 𝐯𝐢𝐛𝐞𝐬.
Warsaw, Day Zero at #BFF25 (European Bitcoin Pizza Day) with @roger__9000, MadMunky and the @2140_wtf squad pic.twitter.com/9ogVvWRReA

— Bitcoin FilmFest (@bitcoinfilmfest) May 28, 2025

This venue represents an era when the state tightly controlled the economy and financial systems. The juxtaposition of this historical site with an event dedicated to bitcoin is striking and thought-provoking.

The event features a diverse array of activities, including engaging panel discussions, screenings of both feature-length and short films, workshops and lively parties. Each component designed to explore the multifaceted world of bitcoin and its implications for society, offering attendees a blend of entertainment and education.

The films showcase innovative narratives and insights into bitcoin’s landscape, while the panels facilitate thought-provoking discussions among industry experts and filmmakers.

Networking is a significant aspect of the festival, with an exceptionally open and friendly atmosphere that foster connections among participants. Participants from all over Europe gather to engage with like-minded individuals who share a passion for BTC and its implications for the future.

The open exchanges of ideas foster a sense of community, allowing attendees to forge new connections, collaborate on projects, and discuss the potential of blockchain technology implemented in bitcoin.

The organization of the festival is extraordinary, ensuring a smooth flow of information and an expertly structured schedule filled from morning until evening. Attendees appreciate the meticulous planning that allowed them to maximize their experience. Additionally, thoughtful touches such as gifts from sponsors and well-chosen locations for various events contribute to the overall positive atmosphere of the festival.

Overall, the Bitcoin FilmFest not only highlights the artistic expression surrounding bitcoin but also serves as a vital platform for dialogue—about financial freedom, the future of money, and individual sovereignty in a shifting world.

The event successfully bridges the gap between a historical symbol of control and a movement that celebrates freedom, innovation, and collaboration in the digital age, highlighting the importance of independence in financial systems while fostering a collaborative environment for innovation and growth.

Next year’s event is slated for June 5-7 2026. For further updates check: https://bitcoinfilmfest.com/

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

Paris, France – June 6, 2025 — Bitcoin payment gateway startup Flash, just announced a new partnership with the “Bitcoin Only Brewery”, marking the first-ever beverage company to leverage Lightning payments.

Flash enables Bitcoin Only Brewery to offer its “BOB” beer with, no-KYC (Know Your Customer) delivery across Europe, priced at 19,500 sats (~$18) for the 4-pack, shipping included.

The cans feature colorful Bitcoin artwork while the contents promise a hazy pale ale: “Each 33cl can contains a smooth, creamy mouthfeel, hazy appearance and refreshing Pale Ale at 5% ABV,” reads the product description.

Pierre Corbin, Co-Founder of Flash, commented:

“Currently, bitcoin is used more as a store of value but usage for payments is picking up. Thanks to new innovation on Lightning, bitcoin is ready to go mainstream for e-commerce sales.”

Flash, launched its 2.0 version in March 2025 with the goal to provide the easiest bitcoin payment gateway for businesses worldwide. The platform is non-custodial and can enable both digital and physical shops to accept bitcoin by connecting their own wallets to Flash.

By leveraging the scalability of the Lightning Network, Flash ensures instant, low-cost transactions, addressing on-chain Bitcoin bottlenecks like high fees and long wait times.

For businesses interested in adopting Bitcoin payments, Flash offers a straightforward onboarding process, low fees, and robust support for both digital and physical goods. To learn more, visit paywithflash.com.

Media Contact:
Pierre Corbin
Co-Founder, Flash
Email: press@paywithflash.com
Website: paywithflash.com

About Flash

Flash is the easiest Bitcoin payment gateway for businesses to accept payments. Supporting both digital and physical enterprises, Flash leverages the Lightning Network to enable fast, low-cost Bitcoin transactions. Launched in its 2.0 version in March 2025, Flash is at the forefront of driving Bitcoin adoption in e-commerce.

About Bitcoin Only Brewery

Bitcoin Only Brewery (@Drink_B0B) is a pioneering beverage company dedicated to the Bitcoin ethos, offering high-quality beers payable exclusively in Bitcoin. With a commitment to personal privacy, the brewery delivers across Europe with no-KYC requirements.

@ 32e18276:5c68e245

Damus OpenSats Grant Q1 2025 Progress Report

This period of the Damus OpenSats grant has been productive, and encompasses the work our beta release of Notedeck. Since we sent our last report on January, this encompasses all the work after then.

Damus Notedeck

We released the Beta version of Notedeck, which has many new features:

Dave

We've added a new AI-powered nostr assistant, similar to Grok on X. We call him Dave.

Dave is integrated with tooling that allows it to query the local relay for posts and profiles:

Search

The beta release includes a fulltext search interface powered by nostrdb:

Zaps

You can now zap with NWC!

And More!

• GIFs!
• Add full screen images, add zoom & pan
• Introduce last note per pubkey feed (experimental)
• Allow multiple media uploads per selection
• Major Android improvements (still wip)
• Added notedeck app sidebar
• User Tagging
• Note truncation
• Local network note broadcast, broadcast notes to other notedeck notes while you're offline
• Mute list support (reading)
• Relay list support
• Ctrl-enter to send notes
• Added relay indexing (relay columns soon)
• Click hashtags to open hashtag timeline

Damus iOS

Work continued on the iOS side. While I was not directly involved in the work since the last report, I have been directing and managing its development.

What's new:

Coinos Wallet + Interface

We've partnered with coinos to enable a one-click, non-KYC lightning wallet!

We now have an NWC wallet interface, and we've re-enabled zaps as per the new appstore guidelines!

Now you can see all incoming and outgoing NWC transactions and start zapping right away.

Enhanced hellthread muting

Damus can now automatically mute hellthreads, instead of having to do that manually.

Drafts

We now locally persist note drafts so that they aren't lost on app restart!

Profile editing enhancements

We now have a profile picture editing tool so that profile pictures are optimized and optionally cropped

Conversations tab

We now have a conversations tab on user profiles, allowing you to see all of your past conversations with that person!

Enhanced push notifications

We've updated our push notifications to include profile pictures, and they are also now grouped by the thread that they came from.

And lots more!

Too many to list here, check out the full changelog

Nostrdb

nostrdb, the engine that powers notecrumbs, damus iOS, and notedeck, continued to improve:

Custom filters

We've added the ability to include custom filtering logic during any nostrdb query. Dave uses this to filter replies from kind1 results to keep the results small and to avoid doing post-processing.

Relay index + queries

There is a new relay index! Now when ingesting notes, you can include extra metadata such as where the note came from. You can use this index to quickly list all of the relays for a particular note, or for relay timelines.

NIP50 profile searches

To assist dave in searching for profiles, we added a new query plan for {kind:0, search:} queries to scan the profile search index.

How money was used

• relay.damus.io server costs
• Living expenses

Next quarter

We're making a strong push to get our Android version released, so that is the main focus for me.

@ c1e9ab3a:9cb56b43

1. Introduction

Over the last 250 years the world’s appetite for energy has soared along an unmistakably exponential trajectory, transforming societies and economies alike. After a half‑century of relative deceleration, a new mix of technological, demographic and political forces now hints at an impending catch‑up phase that could push demand back onto its centuries‑long growth curve. This post knits together the history, the numbers and the newest policy signals to explore what that rebound might look like—and how Gen‑4 nuclear power could meet it.

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2. The Long Exponential: 1750 – 1975

Early industrialisation replaced muscle, wood and water with coal‑fired steam, pushing global primary energy use from a few exajoules per year in 1750 to roughly 60 EJ by 1900 and 250 EJ by 1975. Over that span aggregate consumption doubled roughly every 25–35 years, equivalent to a long‑run compound growth rate of ~3 % yr‑¹. Per‑capita use climbed even faster in industrialised economies as factories, railways and electric lighting spread.

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3. 1975 – 2025: The Great Slowdown

3.1 Efficiency & Structural Change

• Oil shocks (1973, 1979) and volatile prices pushed OECD economies to squeeze more GDP from each joule.
• Services displaced heavy industry in rich countries, trimming energy intensity.
• Refrigerators, motors and vehicles became dramatically more efficient.

3.2 Policy & Technology

• The Inflation Reduction Act (U.S.) now layers zero‑emission production credits and technology‑neutral tax incentives on top of existing nuclear PTCs citeturn1search0turn1search2.
• The EU’s Net‑Zero Industry Act aims to streamline siting and finance for “net‑zero technologies”, explicitly naming advanced nuclear citeturn0search1.

3.3 Result

Global primary energy in 2024 stands near 600 EJ (≈ 167 000 TWh)—still growing, but the line has flattened versus the pre‑1975 exponential.

---

4. Population & Per‑Capita Demand

World population tripled between 1950 and today, yet total energy use grew roughly six‑fold. The imbalance reflects rising living standards and electrification. Looking ahead, the UN projects population to plateau near 10.4 billion in the 2080s, but per‑capita demand is poised to climb as the Global South industrialises.

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5. The Policy Pivot of 2023‑2025

| Region | Signal | Year | Implication | |--------|--------|------|-------------| | COP 28 Declaration | 20+ nations pledge to triple nuclear capacity by 2050 | 2023 | High‑level political cover for rapid nuclear build‑out citeturn0search2 | | Europe | Post‑crisis sentiment shifts; blackout in Iberia re‑opens nuclear debate | 2025 | Spain, Germany, Switzerland and others revisit phase‑outs citeturn0news63 | | United States | TVA submits first SMR construction permit; NRC advances BWRX‑300 review | 2025 | Regulatory pathway for fleet deployment citeturn1search9turn1search1 | | Global Strategy Report | “Six Dimensions for Success” playbook for new nuclear entrants | 2025 | Practical roadmap for emerging economies citeturn0search0 | | U.S. Congress | Proposed cuts to DOE loan office threaten build‑out pace | 2025 | Finance bottleneck remains a risk citeturn1news28 |

---

6. The Catch‑Up Scenario

Suppose the recent 50‑year pause ends in 2025, and total energy demand returns to a midpoint historical doubling period of 12.5 years (the average of the 10–15 year rebound window).

6.1 Consumption Trajectory

| Year | Doublings since 2024 | Demand (TWh) | |------|----------------------|--------------| | 2024 | 0 | 167 000 | | 2037 | 1 | 334 000 | | 2050 | 2 | 668 000 | | 2062 | 3 | 1 336 000 |

(Table ignores efficiency gains from electrification for a conservative, supply‑side sizing.)

---

7. Nuclear‑Only Supply Model

7.1 Reactor Math

• 1 GWᵉ Gen‑4 reactor → 8.76 TWh yr‑¹ at 100 % capacity factor.
• 2062 requirement: 1 336 000 TWh yr‑¹ → ≈ 152 500 reactors in steady state.
• Build rate (2025‑2062, linear deployment):
  152 500 ÷ 38 years ≈ 4 000 reactors per year globally.

(Down from the earlier 5 000 yr‑¹ estimate because the deployment window now stretches 38 years instead of 30.)

7.2 Policy Benchmarks

• COP 28 triple target translates to +780 GW (if baseline 2020 ≈ 390 GW). That is <100 1 GW units per year—two orders of magnitude lower than the theoretical catch‑up requirement, highlighting just how aggressive our thought experiment is.

7.3 Distributed vs Grid‑Centric

Small Modular Reactors (300 MW class) can be sited on retiring coal plants, using existing grid interconnects and cooling, vastly reducing new transmission needs. Ultra‑large “gigawatt corridors” become optional rather than mandatory, though meshed regional grids still improve resilience and market liquidity.

---

8. Challenges & Unknowns

1. Finance: Even with IRA‑style credits, first‑of‑a‑kind Gen‑4 builds carry high cost of capital.
2. Supply Chain: 4 000 reactors a year means a reactor‑grade steel output roughly 20× today’s level.
3. Waste & Public Trust: Advanced reactors can burn actinides, but geologic repositories remain essential.
4. Workforce: Nuclear engineers, welders and regulators are already in short supply.
5. Competing Technologies: Cheap renewables + storage and prospective fusion could displace part of the projected load.

---

9. Conclusions

Recent policy shifts—from Europe’s Net‑Zero Industry Act to the COP 28 nuclear declaration—signal that governments once again see nuclear energy as indispensable to deep decarbonisation. Yet meeting an exponential catch‑up in demand would require deployment rates an order of magnitude beyond today’s commitments, testing manufacturing capacity, finance and political resolve.

Whether the future follows the modest path now embedded in policy or the steeper curve sketched here, two convictions stand out:

• Electrification will dominate new energy demand.
• Scalable, dispatchable low‑carbon generation—likely including large fleets of Gen‑4 fission plants—must fill much of that gap if net‑zero targets are to remain credible.

---

Last updated 1 June 2025.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Look and see\ Look and see

You look like how you look at me

Look and see\ Look and see

The colorless through the color TV

Look and see\ Look and be

The unborn identity

@ 8d34bd24:414be32b

So often Christians focus on God’s love and ignore His judgment. They tell people they need to be saved, but leave out from what they need to be saved. Fifty or a hundred years ago, almost every American knew the basics of the Bible, what sin is, what the judgment of Hell is, and that the God of the Bible is our Creator. Today, most people in America and the world know very little of that. Phrases like, “Trust Jesus and be saved,” mean very little. The person you are talking to may be silently thinking, “Who is Jesus? Why should I trust Him? What do I need to be saved from?”

Most Christians, especially from Evangelical circles, have been steeped in the phrase “Be saved,” but how many have thought carefully about from what they are being saved? If we have trouble answering, “from what?”, how can we explain it to those who don’t know Jesus?

But God demonstrates His own love toward us, in that while we were yet sinners, Christ died for us. Much more then, having now been justified by His blood, we shall be saved from the wrath of God through Him. For if while we were enemies we were reconciled to God through the death of His Son, much more, having been reconciled, we shall be saved by His life. And not only this, but we also exult in God through our Lord Jesus Christ, through whom we have now received the reconciliation. (Romans 5:8-11) {emphasis mine}

Primarily we are saved “from the wrath of God.” We are also reconciled which saves us from separation from God.

We are also told that we are rescued [saved] “from the wrath to come.”

And to wait for His Son from heaven, whom He raised from the dead, that is Jesus, who rescues us from the wrath to come. (1 Thessalonians 1:10) {emphasis mine}

Then one might ask, “What right does God have to tell me what to do and to get mad at me?”

In the beginning was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God. He was in the beginning with God. All things came into being through Him, and apart from Him nothing came into being that has come into being. In Him was life, and the life was the Light of men. The Light shines in the darkness, and the darkness did not comprehend it. (John 1:1-5) {emphasis mine}

Why does God get to set the rules? Because He made all things. The Creator gets to set the rules for His creation. It isn’t just ‘might makes right,’ but the one who spoke everything into being gets to set the rules for His creatures just like He set the rules for how everything in the universe works.

Many might claim, “but surely God can’t expect us to be perfect? Nobody is perfect.”

For we do not have a high priest who cannot sympathize with our weaknesses, but One who has been tempted in all things as we are, yet without sin. Therefore let us draw near with confidence to the throne of grace, so that we may receive mercy and find grace to help in time of need. (Hebrews 4:15-16) {emphasis mine}

Jesus doesn’t expect more than He has given. He went through every temptation we have experienced, including trials and hardships we can’t imagine, and yet was without even one sin. He is the perfect example of what we should be. Even more amazingly, he understands that we are unable to live up to His standard, so He came to earth, suffered, died, and rose again, so we could be reconciled to Him. All we have to do is repent of our sins, trust Him, and submit to Him. How can we not put our faith in Him after all He did for us?

He made Him who knew no sin to be sin on our behalf, so that we might become the righteousness of God in Him. (2 Corinthians 5:21)

Jesus paid the penalty. He took our sins, so we can receive His righteousness. This is a trade everyone should be willing to make, but sadly most refuse — some willfully, but some because they haven’t heard the good news. Hopefully all Christians will faithfully share the gospel with those around them.

May the perfect Savior guide us in His perfect will and help us to rightfully share the gospel with all those around us.

Trust Jesus

@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3

I pretty much did worse across the board today.

How'd you do today, stackers?

https://stacker.news/items/1004030

@ 8d5ba92c:c6c3ecd5

Over the years, I’ve hit many different Bitcoin events across Europe, recently LATAM and Asia too. Small local meetups, bigger gatherings, mid-sized and large conferences, as well as cultural festivals like the one just held in Warsaw, Poland, Bitcoin FilmFest (aka BFF25, which I also co-run).

With probably an average of 7-10 gatherings a year, it’s a lot for some, not enough for others. For me, it’s a learning process hunting signal: real people, real ideas, real talks. In a way, Proof of Work—joining these events takes time and energy, it too yields the results—new connections, collaborations, or even just further steps toward our sovereign lives, meeting after meeting, just like adding a block to the chain.

When choosing a new place to join, location and program are important, almost equal, but what matters most is the overall theme and the vibe it creates with the ‘crowd’. Almost a paranormal synergy of what organizers bring and what attendees add with their presence.

May-June 2025...

First, culture without chains. Then privacy, tech, and cypher action. Still buzzing from BFF25, just a week later, a bit tired but stoked, I managed to take a 3-hour flight from Poland to Spain.

Worth it? Absolutely! Why? Continue reading to figure out.

BCC8333. Let’s first break down the name.

Barcelona Cyphers Conference, with “8333” referring to the port Bitcoin nodes use to sync the timechain in a decentralized network. Well, BCC8333 promised substance, not just empty fluff, from the very start. Honestly, I wouldn’t even call it a 'conference' but a high-signal, well-structured meetup of maybe 150-200 individuals. No influencers, no VIP rooms. No hype, no pressure.

Unleashing Decentralized Freedom.

Held at Palau Dalmases, a 17th-century palace in Barcelona’s Born district, the venue was pure magic. Its courtyard, with stair rails carved with mythological scenes, had an artistic, almost rebellious soul tied to its flamenco background (the venue officially hosts flamenco shows in the evenings). Not too big, not too small, it was just perfect for deep talks, hands-on workshops, signal-not-bullshit presentations, and real debates.

The courtyard, the heart of the venue, welcomed us with sunny weather and stylish décor, sparking some of the best daytime conversations I’ve had. The entire place, with its history and defiant spirit, felt ready for us to build something special. https://i.nostr.build/5CbApOqFnb8UoB0F.png

Organized by locals—Spanish Maxis with a cypherpunk soul—and attended by folks from across the globe, it was a perfect mix of knowledge and experiences. Deep discussions on tech, privacy, geo-politics, culture, communities, health, lifestyle, and philosophy. Precious moments with familiar faces or new ones, all working on very interesting projects. Fact: smaller crowd let you dive deep into talks and build genuine connections.

The program was thoughtfully structured. Intense sessions balanced with space to breathe, think, talk, and eat.

(Note: BCC8333, smack in the heart of Barcelona, meant plenty of nearby dining options despite tourist crowds and occasional long lines for top tapas bars. Breaks were long enough, so you could savor decent meals while enjoying the 5-10 minute walk here or there with other attendees. Could you pay in SATs everywhere? Not really, not outside the venue. But let’s be realistic: in a group of Bitcoiners, there’s always a way to use SATs, swapping fiat with others who’ll need it sooner or later. Win-win. Personally, I find these scenarios even better—Bitcoiners roaming the city for days, asking ‘Can I pay in bitcoin?’ again and again, spread a message stronger than just a group of us closed off at the venue doing our own thing. Moving around and repeating the same question will sooner or later inspire new places to take Bitcoin payments seriously. FYI: at one dinner, a delicious Brazilian steakhouse, we convinced a waiter to download a Lightning wallet, accept his tips in SATs, and vow to dig deeper into Bitcoin and Nostr in the coming days.)

Back To The Event and Its Agenda.

Practical workshops, sharp presentations, and real debates (sadly, still too rare in the space) covered topics like privacy, nodes, wallets, Bitaxe miners, and Nostr. Crucial stuff to forge the sovereign life.

https://i.nostr.build/PvD1bDKr9qQ87Mr5.png

- My personal highlights?

Friday’s sessions on the history and future of cypherpunks (Spanish / English, with Alfre Mancera, Entropy, Bebop, Max Hillebrand, and Begleri); Miniscripts Roundtable-Discussion (English, with Edouard from Liana, Landabaso from Rewind, Francesco from BitVault, Yuri da Silva from Great Wall); Self-Sufficient Houses (English with Matthew Prosser); and the debate on Op_return (English, with Peter Todd; Unhosted Marcellus, and Lunaticoin).

I couldn’t catch everything—too busy in hallway chats connecting dots from the past to the present for a stronger future ;) … Luckily, the main stage sessions were recorded by the organizers (follow Nostr: BCC833, with extra interviews/coverage done by Juan Cienfuegos (BitCorner Podcast). Sure, all of it will drop online soon.

https://i.nostr.build/lNppYMtEtz8DGNhi.png

- What left me in awe?

Pure, unfiltered signal.

First, the Spanish Bitcoin scene is a force. Well-organized, connected, decentralized but acting as one when needed. People relentlessly focused on building, not just talking. BCC8333 was proof.

Second, the fusion of ideas is remarkable; the power of plebs putting them into practice moves the world forward. Just as Bitcoin doesn’t need a CEO, Bitcoiners don’t need typical trendsetters or idols. Case by case, we verify truth ourselves, like nodes in a network, organically building, improving, brainstorming, discussing—not on flashy stages or in cold expo hangars, but in dynamic meetups like this one.

Third, the tribe. Don’t get me wrong, even with thousands of attendees, you can find your people if you try. But with a few hundred, free of overwhelming noise and far too many folks rushing around, you don’t miss the most valuable chats. BCC8333 was no different. I met and re-met my soulmates. The tribe you laugh with, but also work hard with when needed. Simply put: people who share the cypherpunk fire. Sovereignty and hands-on freedom.

- Bonus stuff?

Though the topics were serious (and important), the vibe still had plenty of fun. Barcelona’s nightlife was a great playground, but the organizers also brought joy right to the venue itself. https://i.nostr.build/ahJsprpg1d4qHFtV.png

Examples: Both days with Chain Duel to play in the courtyard and later a big-screen tournament, were cool to watch and join. Saturday’s concert by Roger 9000, with all of us shouting, “Tick tock, next block, it don’t stop. The love of freedom, it don’t stop!” to his energetic beats, made those moments truly spectacular.

Wrapping Up.

BCC8333 stands apart. As the title says, it was truly the event ‘Where Cypherpunk Spirit Forges Sovereign Minds.’ Cheers to the organizers, contributors, volunteers, and attendees! Those past few days in Barcelona were solid proof we’re keeping Bitcoin’s ethos alive—a strong case that it’s not about “going to the moon” but staying free on the ground.

Thank YOU!

---

BTC Your Mind. Let it Beat.

Şela

@ 502ab02a:a2860397

เรื่องของซีเรียล ที่เรารู้กัน ความจริงมันก็ไม่ได้สวยหรูสามัคคีอะไรเท่าไรครับ เบื้องหลังผลประโยชน์ระดับโลก ส่วนมากมีความขัดแย้งรุนแรงเสมอๆ

Recap นิดนะครับ ย้อนกลับไปช่วงปี 1880s ที่เมืองเล็ก ๆ อย่าง Battle Creek มลรัฐมิชิแกน สหรัฐฯ ดร. John Harvey Kellogg เป็นผู้กำกับดูแล Battle Creek Sanitarium ซึ่งเปิดสอนเรื่องสุขภาพครบทุกด้าน ทั้งโภชนาการออกกำลังกาย ไปจนถึงการควบคุมราคะ โดยเฉพาะเรื่องอาหารเช้า เขาเชื่อว่ามื้อแรกของวันมันมีอำนาจควบคุมอารมณ์และจิตวิญญาณได้ ถ้าเริ่มต้นด้วยไข่ แฮม หรือเนื้อ มันจะพลิกเรือจิตใจให้ไหลเข้าสู่ตัณหา …ซึ่งไม่ใช่จุดประสงค์ชีวิตนักพรตชาว Adventist เลย

ปี 1894 ในห้องครัวของโรงพยาบาลแห่งนี้ ดร. John กับน้องชาย Will ทดลองทำข้าวธัญพืชอบสมุนไพร เมล็ดธัญพืชบดที่หล่นบนเตาแล้วกลายเป็นแผ่นกรอบ มีชื่อเรียกชั่วคราวว่า “Granose biscuits” หรือ “wheat flakes” ซึ่งเป็นจุดเริ่มต้นของอาหารเช้าที่เน้นสุขภาพ ไม่ใช่ความอร่อย

วันที่ 7 มีนาคม 1897 ดร. John ยืนกรานจัดแจก Corn Flakes ตามหลักการ “ไม่หวาน ไม่อิ่มมาก” ในแบบฉบับ ซีเรียลไม่ใส่น้ำตาล (sugarless cereal) ให้กับคนไข้ของเขาเป็นครั้งแรก ความหวังคือให้พลังย่อยและช่วยเรื่องลำไส้ เพื่อสุขภาพมากกว่าความหรรษาปลายลิ้น

แต่แน่นอนว่า สูตรชีวิตด้านอาหารแบบพระเขาไม่ง้อลิ้นชาวบ้าน อย่าพูดถึงยอดขายเลย! น้องชาย Will Keith Kellogg ซึ่งเป็นนักธุรกิจสายลุย มองเห็นว่ารสจืดแบบนี้ไม่เกิด เขาจึงแฝงแนวคิดว่า “ทำไงให้ซีเรียลอร่อยจนคนยอมจ่าย” และสุดท้ายก็เติมน้ำตาลเข้าไป ปรับหน้าแพ็กเกจ และใส่โฆษณาชวนเชื่อว่า “อาหารเช้าสำคัญที่สุดของวัน” จนคนเริ่มเชื่อ

จากความเข้าใจเรื่องบริษัทสตาร์ทอัพของยุคนั้น ระหว่าง 1897–1906 ความแตกแยกของแนวคิดพี่-น้องก็ชัดเจนขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ ดร. John ที่เชื่อเรื่อง purity ของอาหาร ไม่เห็นด้วยกับน้ำตาล กลับขัดแย้งกับ Will ที่มองว่า “นี่ล่ะโอกาสทองเชิงพาณิชย์” จนในปี 1906 Will ตัดสินใจแยกออกมาเปิดบริษัทใหม่ในชื่อ Battle Creek Toasted Corn Flake Company วันที่ 19 กุมภาพันธ์ 1906 โดยผลักดันซีเรียลหวาน มีน้ำตาล จนขายดีทะลุเป้า

ตอนนี้พี่น้องก็กลายมาเป็นศัตรูทางธุรกิจจนได้ Will ยึดชื่อ Kellogg ทำโฆษณาเต็มแรง ลงโฆษณาเสาไฟ times square ใหญ่สุดในตอนนั้น ดร. John ฟ้องศาลขอสิทธิ์ในชื่อ Kellogg คืน เพราะเขาคิดว่าควรเป็นของผู้เริ่มต้นก่อน สุดท้าย Michigan Supreme Court ตัดสินให้ Will ชนะ ชัดเจนว่า “ใครทำการตลาด เขาก็เป็นเจ้าของชื่อ”

หลังจากนั้น ซีเรียลใส่น้ำตาลแบบกล่อง (boxed cereal) ก็เริ่มกระจายไปทั่วโลกในช่วงปี 1909–1920 โดย mass‑production ออกวันละหลักหมื่นกล่อง และโฆษณาไประดับครอบครัว วัยเด็ก และแม่บ้าน วาทกรรมคือ "ให้ลูกแข็งแรง" "อาหารเช้าแห่งอารยธรรม" ที่สำคัญคือ “ทำง่าย กินง่าย”

พอถึงปี 1907 โรงงานเกิดไฟไหม้ แต่กลับสร้างใหม่ในเวลา 6 เดือน แสดงให้เห็นถึงพลังของธุรกิจซีเรียลกล่องอย่างแท้จริง หลังจากนั้นในปี 1922 บริษัทก็เปลี่ยนชื่อเป็น Kellogg Company และโตเต็มที่ในช่วง 1920s–1930s นับเป็นเครื่องจักรของความเชื่อที่ว่า น้ำตาลในอาหารเช้าย่อมดีกว่าไขมันและเนื้อ แต่ในอีกมุม มันก็คือน้ำตาลอัดเม็ดเชิงการตลาดชุดแรกของโลก

ในภาพรวม หากมองจากสายตาประชาอเมริกันยุคต้น เคลล็อกพี่เป็นผู้ปฏิวัติโภชนาการสุทธิ เขาต้องการให้ซีเรียลเป็นอาหาร “ปราศจากสาปราคะ” ที่มุ่งเน้นสุขภาพ แต่ Will พาเรื่องนี้เข้าสู่วงการพาณิชย์ ขายง่าย รสหวาน และถูกเชื่อมกับแนวคิดว่าเด็กน้อยต้องกินอะไรเดี๋ยวนั้นเพื่อแข็งแรง กระทั่งพลังตลาดทำให้คนย้ายจากมื้อเช้าแบบหนัก ไปเป็นชามซีเรียลจิ้มกับนมในสไตล์ยุคใหม่ โดยไม่รู้เลยว่าหัวใจแท้จริงมันเริ่มตั้งแต่มุ่งปราบราคะและโมเดิร์นลุยตลาด

เมื่อดู timeline เต็มรูปแบบ เราจะเห็นว่า 1894: ดร. John ทดลอง Flaked wheat/raw Granose 1897: แจก Corn Flakes สูตรจืด sugarless จนเป็นกินกับนมเพื่อช่วยการย่อย (milk accompaniment)
1906: Will แยกบริษัท สร้างตลาดซีเรียลหวาน 1909: เปลี่ยนชื่อเป็น Kellogg Company 1922: บริษัทขยายสู่ตลาดโลกโดยสมบูรณ์

ทุกย่างก้าวมีหัวใจสำคัญคือการเปลี่ยนพฤติกรรมผู้คนจาก “กินอาหารจริง” เป็น “กินอาหารกล่อง” จากไข่ เบคอน สตูว์ มาเป็นชามซีเรียลจิ้มกับนมที่ใส่น้ำตาลจัด ทั้งที่แท้จริงแล้วเป้าหมายแรกคือ “สงบกิเลส” แต่กลับจบที่ “กระตุ้นยอดขาย”

คุณลองจินตนาการถึงคนอเมริกันก่อนซีเรียล ตื่นเช้ามาเจอจานไข่ดาว เบคอน หรือแม้แต่ข้าวใส่จานพร้อมผัก ยิ่งทำงานหนักเสริมด้วยแผนยุทธศาสตร์ชีวิต พอซีเรียลมา “แค่เท กลืน กินง่าย” มันก็เข้าใจว่ามันคือความสะดวกและอนาคตของโภชนาการ ที่ถูกโปรโมตว่าดีต่อสุขภาพ ทั้ง ๆ ที่มันควรถูกตั้งคำถามในเรื่องน้ำตาลอยู่ไม่น้อย

วันนี้เรารู้แล้วว่า ซีเรียลกล่องใส่น้ำตาลคือผลิตภัณฑ์แห่งยุคตลาด เมื่อย้อนรอยดู มันไม่ใช่แค่เค้าว่าอร่อยหรือดี แต่คือการปั้นภาพว่า “นี่คือสิ่งที่คนยุคใหม่ควรกิน” โดยมีบริษัทและรัฐหนุนหลังให้มันกลายเป็นสิ่งที่เข้าใจว่า ‘ปกติ’ ทั้งที่ความจริงมัน ‘ผิดธรรมชาติ’ ตั้งแต่ต้นน้ำ #pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr

@ 73d8a0c3:c1853717

[**Nonfiction. Nothing here is imagined. This is real, observed, remembered — even if the world chose not to see it anymore.]

The men in the article didn’t just sit and wait to die. They fought, in the only ways they could. Some of them tied off an arm. Others went further — legs, even. Not because of injury. Not to stop bleeding. But to preserve blood flow to the gut. In severe volume depletion, the body starts shutting off the periphery — the limbs go cold, the skin dries, the vessels constrict. It’s a built-in triage system: protect the brain, the heart, maybe the kidneys.

And I think about that.

How far they had to fall to reach that kind of clarity. To look at their own arm, or leg, and say: you don’t matter anymore. Not because they’d given up — but because they hadn’t. Because they were still trying to survive, even if the cost was part of themselves.

It hits me hard. Not just as history, but as possibility.

Because I’m walking a version of that same path. Quietly. Strategically.

Keeping salt in. Saving movement. Holding heat.

I haven’t tied off a limb — not physically.

But I’ve let go of other things, parts of life, body, and identity, in order to preserve what’s left of the core.

Those are photos we missed. But I can still see them clearly. You can imagine how they might be something my index did not want on top of the pile.

But the gut? That’s where survival happens. That’s where salt is absorbed. Where calories are extracted. If the blood stops there, you don’t just collapse — you unravel. So they did what the body couldn’t do fast enough. They tied off what didn’t matter to buy time for what did. Primitive tourniquets, self-applied, not to stop blood from leaking, but to stop it from wandering. A final act of desperation, or clarity — depending on how far down the ladder you’ve already gone.**

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in Bitcoin

Meanwhile Insurance Bitcoin (Bermuda) Limited (“Meanwhile”) announced it has become the first company in the world to release externally audited financial statements denominated entirely in Bitcoin. According to the announcement, the company reported 220.4 BTC in assets and 25.29 BTC in net income for 2024, a 300% year over year increase.

Today marks a global first & historic event for us, along with the public release of our 2024 audited financial statements, covering our 1st year of sales.

As the 1st company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited, we are excited to…

— meanwhile | Bitcoin Life Insurance (@meanwhilelife) June 5, 2025

“We’ve just made history as the first company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited,” said Zac Townsend, CEO of Meanwhile. “This is an important, foundational step in reimagining the financial system based on a single, global, decentralized standard outside the control of any one government.” 

The financial statements were audited by Harris & Trotter LLP and its digital asset division ht.digital. Meanwhile’s financials also comply with Bermuda’s Insurance Act 1978, noting that their BTC denominated financials were approved and comply with official guidelines. The firm, fully licensed by the Bermuda Monetary Authority (BMA), operates entirely in BTC and is prohibited from liquidating Bitcoin assets except through policyholder claims, positioning it as a long term holder. 

“As the first regulated Bitcoin life insurance company, we view the BTC held by Meanwhile as inherently long-term in nature—primarily held to support the Company’s insurance liabilities over decades,” Townsend added. “This makes it significantly ‘stickier’ and resistant to market pressures compared to the BTC held by other companies as part of their treasury management strategies.” 

Meanwhile’s 2024 financials also revealed 23.02 BTC in net premiums and 4.35 BTC in investment income, showing that its model not only preserves Bitcoin, but earns it. The company’s reserves (also held in BTC) were reviewed and approved by Willis Towers Watson (WTW). 

Meanwhile also offers a Bitcoin Whole Life insurance product that allows policyholders to save, borrow, and build legacy wealth—entirely in BTC, and has plans to expand globally in 2025.

“We are incredibly proud of today’s news as it underscores how Meanwhile is at the forefront of the next phase of the convergence between Bitcoin and institutional financial markets,” said Tia Beckmann, CFO of Meanwhile. “Now having generated net income in BTC, we have demonstrated that we are earning it through a sustainable insurance business model designed for the long term.” 

This post Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

@ c1a49d62:3ef55468

IoT chips serve as the foundational semiconductor components that enable connectivity, data processing, and communication in devices ranging from smart thermostats to industrial sensors. These microcontrollers, system-on-chips (SoCs), and application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) offer low power consumption, compact form factors, and robust security features, making them essential for Internet of Things ecosystems. As industries pursue digital transformation, the need for high-performance IoT chips that can handle real-time analytics, edge computing, and seamless interoperability has surged. IoT Chips Market Advantages such as integrated wireless protocols (Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, LoRaWAN), enhanced energy efficiency, and customizable silicon solutions address critical market challenges like device longevity and data integrity. Manufacturers leverage advanced process nodes and AI accelerators to deliver chips with superior throughput while minimizing thermal footprints. Continuous innovations in semiconductor design, coupled with growing market opportunities in smart cities, automotive telematics, and healthcare monitoring, underscore the strategic importance of these components. As enterprises seek to optimize operations and reduce costs through predictive maintenance and remote monitoring, demand for versatile IoT chipsets continues to rise. The IoT chips market is estimated to be valued at USD 620.36 Bn in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 1415.005 Bn by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.00% from 2025 to 2032.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Nooit is mijn dans echter\ Dan net nadat het regende\ Want regen biedt een kans\ Om mijn gevoel te voelen

Zolang de regen spettert\ En ik mezelf graag zie\ Wordt er niets verplettert\ Ook al lijkt dat soms wel zo

Zodra de regen ophoudt\ En zich terugtrekt met de wolken\ Komt een nieuwe glans\ Voor het eerst mijn ogen binnen

Wat is het leven heerlijk\ Als ik eerlijk ben en voel\ Wat is het leven zacht\ En het brengt me naar mijn doel

Wat zou ik weten zonder regen\ Gewoon steeds evenveel\ Niet groeien is niet leven\ Daarom dans ik het liefst

Net na de echte regen

@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

Nur für‘s Protokoll. Hiermit erkläre ich, Georg Ohrweh, im tatsächlich vorhandenen vollen Besitz meiner geistigen Kräfte, dass Herr Lauterbach, gleich welche Position er in Zukunft noch bekleiden sollte, für mich nicht zuständig ist. Basta.

Ein Erguss dieses verhaltensoriginellen Über-alles-Bescheidwissers:

„Wir kommen jetzt in eine Phase hinein, wo der Ausnahmezustand die Normalität sein wird. Wir werden ab jetzt immer im Ausnahmezustand sein. Der Klimawandel wird zwangsläufig mehr Pandemien bringen.“

Wie kann es sein, dass solch eine Ausnahme-Gestalt, die schon rein äußerlich die Phantasie zu Vergleichen anregt, sich leider auch genauso verhält, wie die Gestalten, die in diesen Phantasien vorkommen, ungebremst auf der Panik-Klaviatur kakophonische Klänge erzeugen darf? Obwohl ein wenig Wahrheit ist auch enthalten: Wir sind tatsächlich immer im Ausnahmezustand, im Ausnahmezustand des fortgeschrittenen Wahnsinns.

Wie kann es sein, dass dieser Haaaarvardist seinen persönlich empfundenen Ausnahmezustand zum Allgemeingut erklären kann? Welche Verknüpfungs-Phantasien hat er sonst noch studiert? Er ist ja auch noch Vorsitzender im Raumfahrtausschuss. Was kommt als Nächstes? Eine Klima-Pandemie, verursacht durch außerirdische Viren, die die Temperaturen beeinflussen können? Im aktuellen Zeitgeist gibt es nichts, was nicht gedacht wird. Wem die besseren Absurditäten einfallen, der gewinnt. Man muss sich schon den gegebenen Denkstrukturen etwas anpassen, aber sich auch ein wenig Mühe geben.

Nach dem Wechsel der ehemaligen Außen-Dings zur UN (mit dem Ziel, aus den Vereinten Nationen die Feministischen Nationen zu gestalten) und des ehemaligen Wirtschafts-Dings in den Außenausschuss und als Gastdozent in Kalifornien (Thema: Wirtschaftsvernichtung unter Einbeziehung des gespannten Verhältnisses unter Geschwistern aufgrund ärmlicher Verhältnisse, am Beispiel des Märchens von Hänsel und Gretel) , jetzt auch noch der ehemalige Chef-Panikmacher zur WHO.

…und der Wahnsinn wurde hinausgetragen in die Welt, und es wurde dunkel, und es ward Nacht, und es wurde helle, und es ward Tag, der Wind blies oder auch nicht (was macht der Wind eigentlich, wenn er nicht weht?), und es ward Winter, und es wurde kälter, und es wurde wärmer, und es ward Sommer. Es regnete nicht mehr, die Wolken schwitzten. Und Putin verhinderte (wer auch sonst), dass das Eis in der Antarktis abnahm.

Wiederholte Bodentemperaturen in der Toskana von 50 Grad Celsius. Zu erwartende Wassertemperaturen während Ferragosto an der italienischen Adria von durchschnittlich 100 Grad Celsius. An Stellen mit wenig Strömung stiegen schon die ersten Kochblasen auf. Doch dann kam der durch Lachs gestählte, salzlose Super-Karl und rettete mit einem durch die WHO diktierten Klima-Logdown die gesamte Menschheit. Wer besser, als er konnte wissen, dass ein Klima-Logdown weitgehend nebenwirkungsfrei ist.

Was für ein Segen, dass Karl der Große, der uns so siegreich durch die Corona-Schlacht geführt hat, jetzt auch gegen das Klima in den Krieg zieht.

Wer kennt das nicht, Tage der Qual, in denen man zugeben muss: Ich hab‘ heute so schlimm Klima.

Viele Klimaexperten, die weltweit in der Qualitätspropaganda zitiert werden, zeichnen sich besonders dadurch aus, dass sie mit einer maximalen Abweichung von einem Grad Celsius ein Thermometer fehlerfrei ablesen können. Diese Ungenauigkeit wird der Erdverkochungsexperte sicher als erstes beheben.

In einer aufopfernden Studie während eines Urlaubs in 2023, in der um die damalige Zeit erstmals eisfreien Toskana, hat er den von ihm ausgetüftelten Klimaschutzplan ins Rheinische übersetzt. Titel: „Schützen Sie sisch, und, äh, andere!“ Weiter konnte er erforschen, dass die Bodentemperatur nicht immer mit der Temperatur des Erdkerns übereinstimmen muss.

Durch seine unermüdlichen Studien, können Hitzetote in Zukunft besser zugeordnet werden. Man weiß dann, ob jemand an hohen oder mit hohen Temperaturen gestorben ist. Der asymptomatische Klimawandel kann so in Zukunft viel besser bewertet werden. Man hat aus geringfügigen Fehlern gelernt und die Methoden erheblich verbessert.

Eine präzise Vorhersage der Jahreszeiten, vor allem die des Sommers, wird bald ebenfalls möglich sein. Es kann jetzt vor jahreszeitbedingten, teilweise sogar täglich schwankenden Temperaturveränderungen rechtzeitig gewarnt werden. Im Herbst können Heizempfehlungen für die ahnungslose Bevölkerung herausgegeben werden. Frieren war gestern, wissen wann es kalt wird, ist heute. Es wird an Farben geforscht, die noch roter sein sollen, als die, die jetzt in den Wetterkarten bei 21 Grad bereits verwendet werden.

Eine allgemeine Heizpflicht soll es europaweit zunächst nicht geben.

Weiter soll die Lichteinstrahlung der Sonne noch präziser bestimmt werden, damit den Europäern, in Ergänzung zur mitteleuropäischen Sommerzeit, jetzt auch noch genau mitgeteilt werden kann, wann es Tag und wann es Nacht ist.

Das Hinausschauen aus dem Fenster, zum Beispiel, ob es schon dunkel draußen ist, erübrigt sich. Die Tageszeit, in Ergänzung zur herkömmlichen Uhrzeit, wird demnächst automatisch mit dem Klima-Pass übermittelt werden. Zu Anfang natürlich erst einmal freiwillig.

Durch die persönliche ID können dann auch schnell und unkompliziert Sonderprämien überwiesen werden, sofern man sich klimakonform verhalten hat, damit man sich rechtzeitig vor Winterbeginn eine warme Jacke oder einen Mantel kaufen kann. Das Sparen von Bargeld auf eine bevorstehende größere Anschaffung von Winterkleidung wird somit überflüssig.

Ob es am Ende nun um Hitze oder Kälte geht, spielt eigentlich gar keine Rolle, denn wie wussten schon die Ahnen zu berichten: Was gut für die Kälte ist, ist auch gut für die Wärme.

Westliche Mächte unternehmen immer wieder Versuche, eskalierend auf den Ukraine-Konflikt einzuwirken, damit man atombetriebene Heizpilze aufstellen kann, an denen sich die Europäer im Winter auch im Freien wärmen können.

Wie praktisch, dass man nicht nur Gesundheit und Klima, sondern auch Klima und Krieg miteinander verbinden kann. Alles so, oder so ähnlich möglicherweise nachzulesen im genialen Hitzeschutzplan á la Lauterbach.

Besonders Deutschland braucht nicht nur lauterbachsche Hitzeschutzräume, nein es braucht atomsichere Hitzeschutzbunker, so schlägt man gleich zwei Fliegen mit einer Klappe.

Für die, die es sich leisten können, hier ein Vorschlag. Der K2000:

https://www.swr.de/swr1/rp/programm/loriot-mini-luftschutzbunker-zum-preis-einer-waschmaschine-100.html

Für die weniger gut Betuchten reicht auch ein kühles Kellerloch, das man idealerweise im Februar beziehen und nicht vor November wieder verlassen sollte, so die Empfehlung auch von führenden Klima-Forschern, die es ja wissen müssen. Von Dezember bis Januar empfiehlt sich ein Besuch auf den Bahamas, besonders dann, wenn man eine leichte Erkältung verspürt.

Nur Verschwörungstheoretiker behaupten, dass die eigenartigen Anschlussverwendungen der Extrem-Kapazitäten, zu denen Lauterbach ohne Zweifel dazugehört, wie dicke rote Pfeile wirken, die auf Institutionen und Organisationen zeigen, um die man unter allen Umständen einen großen Bogen machen sollte, weil sie möglicherweise nichts Gutes im Schilde führen. Minimal sollen sie angeblich Unsinn verbreiten, maximal sollen sie gehörigen Schaden anrichten.

Man muss sich nur ein paar Gedanken machen, schon kann man feststellen, wie alles mit allem zusammenhängt.

“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”

* *

(Bild von pixabay)

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

Wall Street is warming up to Bitcoin and getting closer and closer to it.

Cantor Fitzgerald, one of the oldest and most respected investment banks on Wall Street, has launched a $2 billion bitcoin-backed lending program.

They’ve reportedly already done their first deals, lending to two big digital asset companies: FalconX and Maple Finance.

This is a big step in connecting traditional finance to the fast-moving world of Bitcoin.

Cantor’s new service allows big investors, hedge funds and asset managers, to borrow money using bitcoin as collateral.

This is a game changer for institutions that hold bitcoin, as they can now access liquidity without having to sell their assets.

“Institutions holding bitcoin are looking to broaden their access to diverse funding sources,” said Christian Wall, co-CEO and global head of fixed income at Cantor Fitzgerald.

“And we are excited to support their liquidity needs to help them drive long term growth and success.”

The loans are not speculative or unsecured.

They are structured like traditional finance deals, backed by the borrower’s bitcoin. This reduces the risk for Cantor while giving bitcoin-holding companies new ways to grow and operate.

The first recipients of Cantor’s lending program are FalconX, a digital asset brokerage, and Maple Finance, a blockchain-based lending platform.

FalconX confirmed they secured a credit facility of over $100 million. Maple Finance also received the first tranche of their loan from Cantor.

This comes at a time when the bitcoin lending space is recovering after a tough period. Several big firms went under in 2022 and investor confidence was shaken.

Now with traditional finance on board, bitcoin-backed lending has returned. According to Galaxy Research the total size of the digital asset lending market grew to $36.5 billion in Q4 2024.

Cantor’s move into bitcoin-backed lending isn’t new. They announced their plans in July 2024 and have been building their presence in the Bitcoin space since then.

Earlier this year, they partnered with Tether, SoftBank and Bitfinex to launch Twenty One Capital, a $3.6 billion fund to buy over 42,000 bitcoin.

In May 2025 Cantor Equity Partners merged with Twenty One Capital and bought nearly $459 million worth of bitcoin.

They also own around $1.9 billion in shares of Strategy, a company that holds a lot of bitcoin. Clearly Cantor believes in bitcoin as a long-term asset.

Cantor is also a big player in the stablecoin space.

They manage U.S. Treasury reserves for Tether, the company behind the $142 billion USDT stablecoin. This adds another layer of trust and credibility to Cantor’s digital asset involvement.

To secure the bitcoin used as collateral, Cantor has partnered with digital asset custodians Anchorage Digital and Copper.co.

These companies are known for their robust security and institutional-grade infrastructure. Cantor hasn’t disclosed loan terms or interest rates but confirmed the lending will follow current regulations.

This also shows how traditional financial players are embracing DeFi.

Maple Finance for example allows undercollateralized lending using blockchain. By backing companies like Maple, Cantor is innovating while still having control and compliance.

For years, bitcoin-backed loans were only available through digital-asset-native companies like Genesis, BlockFi, and Ledn.

These loans were mostly for smaller clients and retail investors. But with Cantor’s entry, the scale and professionalism of bitcoin lending are expanding.

@ 8b0a2bea:857d369f

Hey friends,

We're sharing this month's Geyser project launches on Stacker News! Feel free to subscribe to our email newsletter here to get these monthly updates in your mailbox!

This month’s list of Tools, Community, and Causes is stacked. From Uganda to Vietnam to El Salvador, it’s clear that Bitcoin is becoming a global movement! Bullish.

Let's dive in!👇

---

📚 Bitcoin Education - Laos Bitcoin Education 🇱🇦 🔥$583. Laos is battling 200% post-COVID inflation — help spread Bitcoin knowledge as a lifeline. - Abe 3 🇺🇸🔥 $324: Now entering its 4th year of free Bitcoin classes for the community. - NewB 🇰🇪🔥 $214: Open-source Bitcoin resources for Kenyan beginners. - Beyond Adversity: BTC Podcast: Stories of hope and financial freedom from underserved communities.

🌍 Community & Causes - Bitcoin for God 🇺🇸🔥 $1,194: Matching Bitcoin grants to help Christians orange-pill their ministries. - Ciclista Lima FC🇵🇪🔥$1,213: Scholarships for young footballers in Peru — future Bitcoin team. - Bitcoin-Funded Orphanage in Uganda 🇺🇬🔥$217: Safe, permanent home for vulnerable children. - Sviublokade FDU 🇷🇸🔥$134: Helping Serbian university staff punished for standing with students. - Football Support in El Salvador 🇸🇻🔥 $63: Backing a youth football club at La Cruz coffee farm. - Street Vendor Accepts Bitcoin 🇧🇴 Empowering street workers in Bolivia with BTC. - Razgibavanje: Support grassroots content in the Balkans. - Hope With Bitcoin – Saigon Flea Market 2025 🔥 $310: Grassroots Bitcoin adoption through events in Vietnam.

🛠️ Tools & Tech - WeSatoshis 🇦🇷🔥 $1,489: KYC-free, mobile-free Bitcoin card for everyday spending. - Hive Honey 🇺🇸🔥 $297: Nostr + Lightning video conferencing. - MedSchlr 🔥 $210: Decentralized client bringing medical knowledge to Nostr. - Bitcoin Travel 🇸🇻🔥$231: Book flights, hotels — Bitcoin only. - Stacksworth 🇨🇦🔥 $109: Bitcoin stat displays for your desk or wall. - Plunda 🇬🇧🔥 $217: Trade digital collectibles, redeem them physically. - BTC Wallpaper 🇩🇰🔥 Limited-edition, high-res Bitcoin backgrounds. - Swapido 🇲🇽🔥: Send Bitcoin, pay bank accounts in Mexico instantly. - Reserve BTC🇹🇭🔥: Trustless wallet balance proof protocol.

🎭 Culture - Barnoff Freedom Stage 🇬🇧🔥 $362: Free expression meets sound system culture. - 7 Wonders 🇧🇷🔥 $63: Bitcoin’s first Guinness World Record attempt.

https://stacker.news/items/1003921

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

Neutron, Asia’s leading Bitcoin Lightning infrastructure company, announced the upcoming launch of Neutron Lend, a non-custodial, bitcoin-backed lending product designed for individuals and businesses who want access to liquidity without selling their bitcoin.

The service is currently open for waitlist sign-ups, with public access expected by end of June 2025.

As Bitcoin adoption accelerates, many holders are looking for secure ways to borrow against their bitcoin while maintaining control of their assets. Neutron Lend addresses this need with a multi-signature custody model, competitive interest rates, and a clear, transparent loan structure.

Key Features of Neutron Lend

• Borrow $10,000 to $1,000,000 USDT
• Non-custodial 3-key multi-sig (User, Neutron, Neutral Custodian)
• 50% Loan-to-Value (LTV)
• Principal + interest paid at loan maturity
• Introductory interest rates between 6% and 12% APR, based on tier
• Extension options available (with admin fee and adjusted rates)

Loans are fully collateralized with bitcoin and managed securely using a multi-sig wallet where users retain one of the keys. Neutron does not rehypothecate collateral, and no party can move the funds unilaterally.

“As Bitcoin continues to redefine the future of finance, I’m proud to introduce Neutron Lend a product built for those who believe in the long-term value of their BTC but need liquidity today,” said Albert Buu, CEO of Neutron. He added:

“Traditional finance simply doesn’t understand the needs of Bitcoiners: they force you to sell your most trusted asset or leave you without options.

“With Neutron Lend, our users can secure USDT loans against their BTC collateral at competitive rates, unlocking capital to invest, grow, and diversify without ever parting with their bitcoin.

We see a massively underserved market of HODLers and innovators who deserve access to flexible, transparent lending solutions. At Neutron, we’re here for you, empowering the Bitcoin community with the financial tools they’ve been waiting for.”

Now Open for Waitlist Registration

Neutron Lend is currently in waitlist phase. Early users will receive:

• Priority access to the platform at launch
• Limited-time introductory rates

The platform is expected to begin rolling out globally by end of June 2025.

Media Contact:
info@neutron.me

Learn More and Join the Waitlist: www.neutron.me/lend

About Neutron

Neutron is a Bitcoin Lightning infrastructure company based in Asia, offering scalable financial tools across the Bitcoin ecosystem. Its products include a Lightning-as-a-Service API (Neutron Economy), the consumer-facing Neutronpay app, and now Neutron Lend, bringing secure, flexible Bitcoin-backed lending to market.

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

I am here too\ In the same space like you

In the same situation I'm in\ It's a matter of positioning

I cannot leave this place I'm in\ It was brought about\ By what's been happening

So please don't look at me\ For what I can or cannot do for you\ But look at what is happening for me\ And what is happening for you

Let's communicate\ Not orchestrate

Because there's something I wish to do\ And there's a place I wish to go to

And I'm sure that there is too\ In your heart a fire\ Known by only you

So let us listen, look and see\ For what's true for you\ And what's true for me

That we may act upon what's here\ In order for us both to take a step\ In the direction we wish to steer

@ 5627e59c:d484729e

Ik sta hier nu een poos\ Bevroren, machteloos

Ik wil graag iets veranderen\ Gewoon iets doen voor anderen

Maar het mag precies niet zijn\ En dat doet me veel pijn

Verlamd en vol van onbegrip\ Ik krijg er maar geen grip op

Op de wereld en de mensen\ Zij verpletteren mijn diepste wensen

Niemand die eens hoort\ Naar wat mij toch zo stoort

Ik kan nog eens proberen\ Om de wereld om te keren

Maar ik weet, het heeft geen zin\ Ik raak nooit binnen in

De ander\ Kom, verander

Misschien wordt het eens tijd\ Dat ik mezelf bevrijd

Van al die overmacht\ Die mij toch zo versmacht

Een stapje achteruit\ Adem in en adem uit

Ik doe mijn oogjes dicht\ En zie wie mij verplicht

Opzadelt met ambitie\ Van waar komt toch die missie

Al de pijn die ik niet aankan\ En van 't bestaan verban

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