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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-10 17:02:07Bitcoin Core Github page announced yesterday that Core Developers have merged pull request #32406, removing support for “-datacarrier” argument for Bitcoin Core software in their next release, expected to be published in October.
Pull request #32406 has been merged — Github
This is the latest development regarding the initiative brought forth by Bitcoin Core developer Peter Todd, which has caused intense debate among Bitcoiners, now known as the “spam wars”.
The disagreement is over a change to Bitcoin Core’s transaction relay policy that removes the OP_RETURN data limit, which some see as a threat to Bitcoin’s very purpose, while others see it as a necessary step to preserve decentralization and censorship resistance.
OP_RETURN is an arbitrary piece of data that can be amended to a bitcoin transaction, and used to be limited to 80 bytes. Users have found ways to go around this limit already and have uploaded larger data to the Bitcoin blockchain, including photos, audio, and even entire computer games.
Bitcoin Core allows for extra arguments when running the application, one of which is the “-datacarrier” argument, which tells the application to not accept transactions including larger OP_RETURN data into its mempool.
Now this argument is marked as “deprecated”, meaning it is not supported or developed anymore, and is expected to be completely removed in future versions.
This will make accepting Bitcoin transactions that contain non-financial data mandatory for anyone running future versions of the Core software.
Prior to the merging of the mentioned pull request on the morning of Monday June 9, a joint statement from 31 Bitcoin Core devs was released on June 6, reheating the already controversial debate in the Bitcoin community.
In the June 6 statement, Bitcoin Core devs explained how they think Bitcoin nodes should handle transactions that include non-financial data, like digital art or messages. This type of data has become more common with Ordinals and inscriptions.
Related: Discussions Heat Up Among Bitcoin Devs Over OP_RETURN Proposal
Core developers said they are not endorsing non-financial use of Bitcoin, but also won’t stop it. Their main point is that Bitcoin’s strength is in being open and censorship-resistant. They wrote:
“This is not endorsing or condoning non-financial data usage, but accepting that as a censorship-resistant system, Bitcoin can and will be used for use cases not everyone agrees on.”
They say it’s up to users and node operators to decide what kind of Bitcoin software they run. Bitcoin Core won’t block transactions that have economic demand and will be mined.
“Being free to run any software is the network’s primary safeguard against coercion,” the statement added.
The policy change goes back to a May 8th upgrade (announced by Core contributor and Engineer at Blockstream, Greg Sanders), where devs removed the long-standing 80-byte limit on OP_RETURN output size.
This limit was meant to discourage non-payment data usage, but devs say it no longer serves that purpose.
“Retiring a deterrent that no longer deters” makes sense, they argue, because people have already found ways to add large data to the blockchain.
They also point out that removing the cap may help miners and users more than it hurts. They claim the new approach helps predict which transactions will be mined, speeds up block propagation and helps miners find fee-paying transactions.
“Knowingly refusing to relay transactions that miners would include in blocks anyway forces users into alternate communication channels,” they explained, warning this could harm decentralization.
The response has been mixed.
The announcement of the merge received 64 upvotes and 93 downvotes from reviewers, showing the community is mostly against this action. Comments explaining their dissatisfaction with the merge also received the support of the majority.
Reviewers who voted ACK (acknowledgment and agreement) were downvoted, and the comments voting NACK (disagreement) received more upvotes.
Comments regarding the recent merge — Bitcoin Core Github page
Critics say it opens the door to blockchain spam, higher fees and more bloat on the blockchain with non-financial content. They say Bitcoin should stick to its original purpose as a “peer-to-peer electronic cash system”.
Samson Mow, CEO of JAN3, was one of the most vocal critics. He said the devs are removing the barriers that protect the network from spam.
“Bitcoin Core devs have been changing the network gradually to enable spam,” Mow said. “It’s disingenuous to just say ‘It is what it is now, too bad’.”
Bitcoin dev Luke Dashjr also criticized the move, saying it undermines Bitcoin’s core function. He called the devs’ goals “basically all wrong” and said expecting spam to be mined is “defeatism”.
Luke Dashjr on X
One user said: “It’s Bit”Coin” not Bit”Bucket” or Bit”Store” or whatever general purpose data store you have in mind. It’s a peer to peer electronic cash system”.
Another user chimed in, warning it could increase costs, reduce efficiency and even hurt long-term scalability.
Their argument is simple: if nonfinancial data is allowed to be stored on the blockchain, it will increase its size over time, storing useless data, and it will hurt decentralization, as fewer individuals will be able to host the entire blockchain on their computers.
They argue allowing people to store whatever they want on the blockchain because transactions shouldn’t be censored, will lead to hurting bitcoin in the long run. Many even argue no additional information should be allowed on the blockchain at all.
But not everyone is unhappy.
Some like Jameson Lopp, co-founder of Bitcoin wallet provider Casa, praised the devs for being transparent and consistent.
“Core Devs are a group saying we can’t force anyone to run code they don’t like,” Lopp said. “Here is our thinking on relay policy and network health.”
Lopp believes a joint statement helps the public understand what the devs stand for.
Supporters also say in a truly decentralized system, devs shouldn’t be gatekeepers. Instead users and miners should be able to decide what goes on the blockchain.
With opinions so divided, the future of Bitcoin may be more contentious. Some predict a fork to create a version of Bitcoin that only deals with monetary use. Others expect new wallet and node software that lets users choose to filter out large data or allow it.
Despite the controversy, the devs are standing by their decision. “While we recognize that this view isn’t held universally,” they said. “it is our sincere belief that it is in the best interest of Bitcoin and its users.”
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@ 3a851978:ff85e003
2025-06-10 17:17:40This document is designed to test Markdown rendering with LaTeX math support. Below you'll find examples of Markdown formatting combined with inline and block mathematical notation.
1. Inline Math
Here is an inline formula using single dollar signs:
- Euler's identity: $e^{i\pi} + 1 = 0$
- Quadratic formula: $x = \frac{-b \pm \sqrt{b^2 - 4ac}}{2a}$
- Pythagoras theorem: $a^2 + b^2 = c^2$
2. Block Math
Now let's test block-level LaTeX using double dollar signs:
$$ \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} e^{-x^2} \, dx = \sqrt{\pi} $$
Another block formula:
$$ f(x) = \sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{f^{(n)}(0)}{n!}x^n $$
3. Lists and Math
- Integral: $\int_0^1 x^2 , dx = \frac{1}{3}$
- Derivative: $\frac{d}{dx} \sin(x) = \cos(x)$
- Matrix:
$$ \begin{pmatrix} 1 & 2 \ 3 & 4 \end{pmatrix} $$
With inline math in code:
$E = mc^2$
(should not render as math here).5. Tables
| Formula Name | Expression | | ---------------- | ------------------------------------------------------ | | Euler's Identity | $e^{i\pi} + 1 = 0$ | | Taylor Series | $\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} \frac{x^n}{n!}$ | | Binomial Theorem | $(a + b)^n = \sum_{k=0}^n \binom{n}{k} a^{n-k} b^k$ |
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@ a29cfc65:484fac9c
2025-06-10 15:57:13Über die Freilerner-Familie von Katharina und Johannes mit ihren Kindern Aurelius, Benjamin und Friedrich haben wir in unserem Beitrag vom 28. Mai 2025 berichtet. Hier wollen wir eines ihrer Projekte vorstellen. Es zeigt deutlich den pädagogischen Ansatz von Jahrgangs- und Fächer-übergreifender zielorientierter Arbeit der Freilerner.
Die drei Jungs haben im Ringelnatz-Verein Wurzen zusammen mit anderen Kindern am Vorhaben „Vom Drehbuch zum fertigen Film“ mitgewirkt. Das Projekt wurde von dem Lyriker und Schriftsteller Carl-Christian Elze geleitet und unterstützt von der Künstlerin Constanze Kehrt, dem Theater- und Filmregisseur Philipp J. Neumann sowie dem Cutter und Animation Artist**** Sascha Werner, alle aus Leipzig. Constanze Kehrt unterstützte die Kinder beim Erlernen der Grundlagen für das Schreiben von Drehbüchern. Daneben gab es erste Übungen zur Körperwahrnehmung, Stimm- und Sprachübungen sowie Improvisations- und Schauspielübungen. Nach einer Einführung durch Philipp J. Neumann in die Filmkunst mit ihren unterschiedlichen Bereichen wie Schauspiel, Regie, Kamera, Ton, Produktion, Szenenbild, Kostüm, Musik, Schnitt, Sounddesign wurden die Kinder und Jugendlichen auf den eigentlichen Filmdreh vorbereitet. Dazu gehörten Übungen im Storyboarding, Szenenproben und schließlich das Location-Scouting und Festlegen der Drehorte in unmittelbarer Nähe zum Ringelnatz-Geburtshaus. An zwei Drehtagen wurden schließlich zwei Kurzfilme gedreht, darunter „Die Flosse“, an dem Aurelius, Benjamin und Friedrich sowie andere Kinder mitwirkten. Die Kinder übernahmen nicht nur die Rollen, sondern auch die Kamera, die Tonabnahme und zum Teil die Regie. Eine Einführung in die Kunst des Film- und Tonschnitts bekamen die Kinder und Jugendlichen schließlich von Sascha Werner. Danach wurde das gedrehte Material gemeinsam gesichtet und der Schnitt vorgenommen. Dabei konnten die Kinder und Jugendlichen die Erfahrung machen, dass es tatsächlich maßgeblich der Schnitt ist, der einem Film seinen besonderen Charakter, eine bestimmte Atmosphäre gibt.
In dem Film „Die Flosse“ schleichen sich drei Kinder abends von zu Hause weg, weil sie in der Schule gehört haben, dass in der Mulde eine große Flosse gesichtet wurde. Als sie an das Mulde-Wehr kommen, sehen sie keine Flosse, aber hören seltsame Geräusche. Plötzlich ruft eine Mädchenstimme um Hilfe. Philip ist bereit zu helfen, Emma und Benjamin bleiben lieber im Versteck. Im Wasser liegend und von Ästen eingeklemmt findet Philip eine Sirene. Sie bittet ihn, ihr zu helfen und lockt ihn ins Wasser, was Philip zum Verhängnis wird.
Der Film zeigt die kreativen und ausdrucksstarken Fähigkeiten der Kinder, die sie im Zusammenwirken mit ihren Lernbegleitern vom Drehbuch bis zum fertigen Kurzfilm umgesetzt haben. Der Film handelt von Hilfsbereitschaft und dem Mut, anderen in bedrohlicher Lage zu helfen. Aber auch das Zögern bei einigen zur Hilfe wird deutlich. Das Ende läßt viele Interpretationsmöglichkeiten zu.
Quelle: https://ringelnatz-verein.de/projekte/anna-hood/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yC6YEa63Dp8
Foto von Aleksandra B. auf Unsplash
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@ 93bfc86d:fc8e91f5
2025-06-10 15:27:43질서자유주의가 자유주의 세상을 만드는 방법
안캡의 전략에는 크게 두 가지, 호페의 질서자유주의와 새뮤얼 콘킨 3세의 아고리즘이 있다.
로스바드-호페 라인의 질서자유주의는 논리를 기반으로 자연권을 정당화하고, 이를 통해 국가의 부당함을 설파한다. 미제스의 "인간은 행동한다."라는 제1공리부터 시작해서, 행동의 제1수단인 신체가 그 자신에게 소유되어야 한다는 자기 소유를 증명하고 자연권을 철저하게 연역적으로 정당화해간다. 안캡의 세상을 만들려는 이들의 방법론도 논리적이다.
예를 들어 호페의 『자유주의자는 무엇을 해야 하는가』 책에서는 위로부터의 전환이 불가능함에 따라 아래로부터의 전환을 해야 한다는 주장이 나온다. 과거에는 이런 자유로운 세상이 도래하기 위해서는 왕 한 명이 "앞으로 자기가 원하는 대로 보안 기업을 자유롭게 선택하고, 더 이상의 강제는 없다!"라고 선언만 하면 됐다. 따라서 왕 한 명만 어떻게 설득을 하거나, 압박을 하든 주리를 틀든 일단 왕이 이렇게 선언하게 하기만 하면 됐다. '마그나 카르타'도 결국 귀족 연합이 왕 한 명을 압박해 왕이 서명했던 것 아닌가?
반면에 현대 민주주의 사회를 보자. 대한민국에서 대통령 한 명이 최저임금을 폐지할 수 있는가? 최저임금은 헌법에 보장되는데(헌법 32조) 따라서 이를 폐지하는 것은 거의 개헌만큼이나 어렵다. 대통령이나 국회의원 과반이 발의를 해야 하고, 국회에서 재적 3분의 2 이상이 찬성해야 겨우 통과되며, 이렇게 통과해도 국민투표에서 과반수가 동의해야 겨우 없어지는 것이다. 즉, 거의 불가능에 가깝다.
따라서 호페는 위로부터의 전환이 불가능함에 따라 전국적인 중앙 정부의 투표를 거부할 것을 제안한다. 대통령 선거나 국회의원 선거 등 말이다. 여기서 중앙 정부 단위의 투표를 거부하는 이유는 중앙 정부의 부당성도 있지만, 이 투표를 통해 세상을 바꾸는 게 현실성이 없어서 그렇다.
같은 맥락에서 지역 선거의 투표는 항상 거부하는 건 아닌데, 자유주의자들이 한 국가 전체에서 과반을 얻는 것은 불가능하지만, 한 지역에 점점 몰리는 경우에는 적어도 그 지역에서는 과반이 될 수도 있기 때문이다. 따라서 아주 작은 지역에서 자유주의자들이 다수결이 된다면 적어도 그 지역에 한해서는 위로부터의 전환이 가능해진다. 그러면 투표를 거부하다가 지역구에서 본격적으로 투표를 하기 전에 선행되어야 할 일은 자유주의가 많이 퍼지고, 자유주의를 지지하는 사람들이 특정 지역에 몰리기 시작해야 하는 것일 것이다. 비트코이너들이 특정 지역에 몰려 시타델을 건설하는 상황을 생각하면 될 것 같다.
그 이후에는? 지역구의 대표로 선출된 인물이 해당 지역구의 투표권을 재산 소유자에게 재산 크기(지분)대로 다시 분배해야 한다. 즉, 재산이 없는 사람은 투표권이 없다. 모든 공공 인프라(도로, 수도, 전기, 교육, 치안, 사법 등등)는 전부 주식으로 판매되어 민영화된다(지방 정부는 이를 통해 재원을 마련한다). 이에 따라 공공 인프라는 완전히 사적 소유로 전환된다. 치안, 사법, 교육 모두 민간 영역으로 전환된다.
현재 세계에서 자유주의자들이 이런 관점을 취한다면 무엇을 해야 할까? 일단 자유주의를 더 많은 사람에게 퍼뜨려야 한다. 또한, 자유주의자들이 모일 지역을 물색해야 할 것이다. 그리고 중앙 정부 단위의 투표를 거부해야 할 것이다.
그림 1. 질서 자유주의의 상징인 아나코 캐피탈리즘 깃발
현대 민주주의 투표의 부당함
아고리즘의 전략을 이야기하기 전에 먼저 현대 민주주의 투표의 부당함에 대해 살펴보고 가자. 개인적인 생각도 들어가 있다.
투표 행위 자체는 유권자의 권리 행사로 전혀 나쁠 것이 없다. 다수결의 원칙도 당연히 마찬가지다. 투표 당사자들이 다수결의 원칙에 동의하기 때문에 참여하는 것이기 때문이다. 그래서 민주주의는 선거에서 져도 그 결과에 승복하는 것이 그 시스템의 규칙이다. 예를 들어 주주총회에서 주주들이 지분대로 의결권을 행사하거나 행사하지 않아서 생기는 결과는 그 행위 자체로는 전혀 문제가 없다.
투표의 정당성은 투표라는 행위 자체로부터 판단되는 것이 아니라 그 투표가 어떤 시스템 아래서 이뤄지는 투표인지로부터 판단해야 한다. 나는 두 가지 관점에서 살펴볼 것이다.
현대 민주주의의 투표는 유권자가 자신의 권리를 당선자에게 위임하는 행위다. 한 후보가 당선되면 다수결의 원칙에 따라서 그 후보는 그 후보를 찍지 않은 유권자들의 권리까지 모두 가져간다. 여기까지는 문제가 없다. 투표 행위 참여자들이 다수결의 원칙이라는 그 시스템에 동의하기 때문에 투표하기 때문이다.
그런데 현대 민주주의는 당선된 후보가 그 후보에게 투표했든, 투표하지 않았든, 기권을 했든 간에 다른 사람의 소유권을 마음껏 유린할 수 있는 권한도 가져간다. 이건 아주 큰 문제다. 국회의원이 세금을 늘리는 입법 권한을 행사하거나, 대통령이나 국회에서 예산을 편성해 정부 지출을 늘리고, 돈을 찍어내서 사람들의 소유권을 유린하는 행위가 용인된다.
어떤 사람도 다른 사람의 소유권을 침해할 수는 없다. 소유권은 단순히 희소한 재화의 분배 문제를 해결하는 실용적 대안이라서 중요한 것이 아니다. 인간 행동이라는 공리로부터 자기 소유 원칙을 이끌어내고, 그가 소유한 신체와 삶을 써서 획득한 재화(원초적 점유)에 대한 소유권을 보장하는 것이며, 그리고 이미 소유권이 있는 재화를 교환의 양 당사자가 자유롭게 교환하는 행위를 보장하는 것이다.
따라서 소유권은 인간에게 이성이 있다는 존엄성의 표현이자 인간 시간(삶)의 희소성과 귀중함을 인정하는 것이다. 어느 누구도 이를 모독할 권리는 없다. 이를 침해하는 것은 보편 원리에 따라 그 자신의 소유권도 포기한다는 뜻과 같으며, 이는 결국 자기 신체의 자기 소유도 부정하는 셈이 된다.
현대 민주주의에서 투표하는 것은 다른 누군가의 소유권을 유린할 사람을 뽑는 것과 같다. 애초에 이런 권한은 누구에게도 주어지지 않았으며 당연히 누구에게도 없으니 넘겨줄 수도 없는 권한이다.
현대 민주주의의 삼권분립 체제는 당선자에게 이러한 강탈의 권한이 보장된다. 설령 후보자가 이런 권한을 행사하지 않는다고 하더라도 이 시스템이 그러한 권한을 발동할 수 있다는 것을 언제든지 보장한다면 이러한 시스템은 폐기되어야 한다.
따라서 현대 민주주의에서 투표하는 행위는 누군가가 이러한 권한을 행사하는 것에 대한 동의로 간주될 수 있다. 어떤 후보가 이런 행위를 다른 후보보다 '덜' 한다고 해서 그 후보에 투표하는 것에 대한 정당성은 당연히 확보될 수 없다. 더하는지 덜하는지에 따라 이 약탈이 정당화될 수는 없기 때문이다.
심지어 어떤 후보가 이런 약탈 행위를 절대 안 할 것이라고 공언한다고 해도, 시스템에 이러한 권한이 보장되어 있는 이상 투표하는 행위는 이 시스템에 동의하는 행위이다. 그 후보가 당선된 이후 갑자기 돌변해 세금을 걷거나 국채를 팔아 예산을 확보하고 돈을 찍어내는 것이 시스템 상에서는 문제가 없기 때문이다. 이것은 간접 민주주의의 단점이라기 보다는, 애초에 이런 다른 사람에 대한 약탈 권한을 행사할 수 있는 시스템 자체가 잘못된 것이다.
현대 민주주의가 부당한 두 번째 이유는 이 시스템에 동의하지 않는 사람들조차 이 시스템의 피해자가 된다는 점이다.
도박에 참여하고 있는 사람들을 생각해보자. 승리자가 나머지 베팅한 모든 사람들의 베팅 금액을 약탈하는 것은 전혀 문제가 되지 않는다. 왜냐하면 도박 참여자들은 패배 시 자신이 베팅한 재산이 승자에게 몰수될 수도 있다는 것에 동의하고 도박에 참여하기 때문이다(따라서 이는 약탈이 아니다). 이에 동의하지 않는다면 도박을 그만하면 된다. 도박사는 언제든지 도박을 그만둘 자유가 있다.
그러나 현대 민주주의는 이 시스템에 동의하지 않더라도 그 나라에서 태어났다는 이유만으로 이러한 약탈에 강제 당할 수밖에 없다. '분배'하기 위해 투표를 할 거면 그 시스템에 동의하는 사람들끼리 서로의 재산을 놓고 분배하면 될 일이다. 그러나 이 시스템은 모든 사람들에게 이 시스템에 참여하는 것이 강제된다.
즉, 이 시스템은 애초에 잘못된 시스템인데 이 안에서 좌니 우니, 대통령제니 내각제니 사람들이 서로 경쟁하게 한다. 시스템 자체에 대한 의문을 품기는 매우 어려운 구조다.
이 시스템이 마음에 안 들면 이민을 가면 된다고 하는 주장은 전혀 설득력이 없다. 이민에 비용이 들고 다양한 현실적인 제약이 있다는 것은 차치하고서 이야기해보자. 만약 이러한 분배(?) 혹은 세금의 권한 행사자가 해당 지역 토지의 소유자고, 그 토지의 사용자가 소유자가 정한 분배 규칙에 동의하는 조건으로 토지를 사용한다면 이러한 세금과 같은 분배는 약탈은 아니다. 사용자가 그 규칙에 자발적으로 동의했으므로 정당화될 수 있는 것이다.
만약 국토의 모든 땅이 사실상 소유자가 있는 게 아니라, 사실상 국가의 소유이며 국가가 국민들에게 사용권을 나눠주는 것이라는 미친 주장을 해도(참고로 이건 토지의 사적 소유권을 부정하는 공산주의다!) 여전히 이 주장은 정당하지 않다.
토지의 소유권을 획득하는 방법은 두 가지가 있는데 첫째, 소유권이 없는 땅을 점유함으로써 소유권을 주장할 수 있게 되는 것, 둘째, 이미 소유권이 있는 토지를 자발적인 교환이나 기부를 통해 획득하는 것이다. 소유권이 있는 생산 수단을 통해 생산된 생산물도 소유권이 인정되는데, 토지는 생산이 불가능하니(우주정거장 같이 새로운 공간을 건설하는 게 아니라면...) 토지를 획득하는 방법은 언급한 두 가지 뿐이다.
그런데 현대 국가가 토지를 소유한 것의 기원을 살펴보자. 식민지화를 통해 강제로 점유하는 것은 대한민국은 해당이 없는 것 같다. 그러면 이미 소유자가 있는 사유지를 각종 규제와 사용 제한을 통해 사실상의 지배권을 확보하거나, 세금으로 축적한 재정으로 구입한 것이다. 그 기원이 모두 약탈에 있다는 점에서 국가의 토지 소유는 정당하지 않다.
따라서 규칙이 싫으면 이민을 가면 된다는 주장은 도둑이 도둑질을 하는데, 도둑질을 당하기 싫으면 멀리 도망가라는 식의 궤변과 같다.
그러나 국가의 계약은 완전히 비자발적이다. 단지 그 신체가 어디서 탄생했다는 이유만으로 그 시스템에 동의한 것이 될 수는 없다. 갓 태어난 아기는 다른 사람의 보호가 있어야만 생존할 수 있다는 점에서 완전히 비자발적인데, 이에 따라 당연히 탄생의 위치도 완전히 비자발적인 것이었기 때문이다.
또한 국가는 국토의 소유자가 아니다. 그보다는 국토의 소유권을 보장'해야' 하는 존재일 뿐이다. 누군가가 규칙을 정하고 싶다면 그 규칙의 영향권은 자신의 사유지 내에서만 영향력이 있으며, 당연히 그 규칙에 자발적으로 동의하는 사람들만 그 사유지를 이용하는 조건으로 계약할 수 있다.
정리해보자. 지금까지 현대 민주주의의 투표의 부당함에 대해 두 가지 관점에서 살펴봤다. 첫째는 투표가 약탈이 가능한 이 시스템에 동의한다는 행위라서 부당하다는 것이고, 둘째는 이 시스템에 동의하지 않는 사람들까지 약탈의 대상이 되는 이 시스템에 동의한다는 행위이므로 부당하다는 것이었다.
투표하지 않는 행위가 혹시 반대 세력이 활개치게 두게 되는 것은 아닐까? 그렇지 않다. 투표하지 않는 행위는 이 시스템의 정당성을 약화시킨다. 현대 민주주의의 큰 속임수가 있다. 민주주의에서 비롯된 통치 행위는 51%를 넘은 사람들이 그 통치 행위에 동의했기 때문에 자행되어도 된다는 매우 비논리적인 주장에 입각하고 있다. 이는 당연히 정당성이 없다. 그런데 진짜 큰 속임수는 그 통치 행위에 동의한 사람이 심지어 과반도 아니라는 것이다.
만약 어떤 후보가 생산에 적대적인 수준의 세금 부과와 보편 복지, 최저임금 인상 등의 모두가 고통받는 정책을 공약으로 내세워 당선이 되었다고 해보자. 해당 후보의 득표율이 51%라고 한다면 이는 전국의 51% 국민이 해당 후보를 지지하는 것과 같은 착각을 일으킨다. 그렇지 않다. 만약 투표율이 75%라면, 해당 후보에 동의한 사람은 0.75 x 0.51 = 38%가 된다. 즉, 38%의 동의로 인해 모든 사람이 함께 고통 받게 되는 것이다.
그래서 민주주의는 이러한 사실을 감추면서 사람들에게 투표를 독려할 수밖에 없다. 투표율이 조금만 낮아져도 이에 대한 정당성이 심각하게 낮아지기 때문이다. 투표율이 50%인 상황에서 어떤 후보가 51%의 표를 얻어 당선된다면 전 국민의 25%의 지지로 당선된 것과 같은데 이는 통치 행위에 대한 정당성을 매우 약화시킨다.
소비자 주권 행사
그러면 투표라는 행위가 없다면 일반 시민들은 어떻게 주권을 행사할 수 있을까? 사실 우리는 매일매일 자발적으로 투표를 하고 있다. 바로 미제스가 말한 '소비자 주권' 행사다.
우리는 기업들이 우리에게 어떤 효용을 주는지에 따라 계속 투표한다. 어떤 기업을 살리고, 어떤 기업을 죽일지, 어떤 기업을 거지 기업에서 부자 기업으로 만들지, 또는 어떤 기업을 부자 기업에서 거지 기업으로 만들지 투표한다. 바로 '소비'를 통해서 말이다.
이러한 소비라는 투표 방식은 완전히 자발적이라는 점에서 소유권을 제대로 보장한다. 약탈과는 완전히 동떨어진 행위다.
또한, 이러한 투표 방식은 각자가 원하는 대로 효용을 누릴 수 있다. 사법과 치안도 시장의 영역으로 들어오면 우리는 어떤 규칙 아래서 살아갈지 자유롭게 선택할 수 있다. 즉, 내가 선택한 규칙이 다른 사람에게도 강제되지 않고, 다른 사람이 선택한 규칙이 나에게 강제되지도 않는다. 서로 다른 규칙이 충돌하면 그 규칙들의 간극을 중재하는 기업이 나타난다. 자연적으로 질서가 꽃 피는 것이다.
생산 권한은 기업에게 달려있지만 심판은 소비자가 한다. 생산자가 소비자의 의지에 반하는 생산을 하면 바로 시장에서 퇴출되기 때문이다. 기업은 소비자에게 어떤 도덕적 의무를 강요할 수도 없다. 기업은 소비자가 원하는 것이 있다면 생산할 뿐이다. 소비자는 기업에게 자신들이 원하는 것을 최대한 효율적으로 자원을 분배하여 생산할 것을 명령하고 생산 권한을 위임하는 셈이다. 그 기업이 소비자가 원하는 것을 생산하지 않으면 어차피 다른 어떤 기업이 생산하여 거기서 챙길 수 있는 소비자의 표, 즉 이익을 가져갈 것이다.
만약 '소비'라는 투표 행위 자체에 반대한다면 오지에 있는 땅을 사서 문명을 떠나 자급자족하며 사는 것도 가능하다. 각자가 자신만의 방식으로 삶을 선택할 수 있는 것이다.
이 투표 시스템에서 표는 돈이다. 돈으로 투표를 한다는 것이 비인간적으로 느껴질지도 모르겠다. 그러나 돈으로 투표하는 것은 지극히 인간적인데, 그 투표권을 얻기 위해서는 먼저 다른 사람들이 원하는 것을 해줘서 그 표를 얻어야 하기 때문이다. 소비하려면 먼저 생산해야 한다. 이건 완전히 약탈 없는 시스템이고, 모든 인간 시간에 대한 존중이다.
이러한 이유들로 나는 이제 현대 민주주의에 대한 투표를 거부하지만, 동시에 매일 소비를 통해 투표하고 있다.
아고리즘이 자유주의 세상을 만드는 방법
이제 아고리즘의 전략을 살펴보자. 로스바드-호페의 질서 자유주의를 살펴본 뒤, 현대 민주주의의 투표에 대한 부당함을 살펴본 것이 뜬금 없는 이야기는 아니었는데, 아고리즘은 이러한 이유로 어떠한 투표도 거부하기 때문이다. 아고리즘의 창시자인 새뮤얼 콘킨 3세가 로스바드와 갈라선 것도 로스바드가 정치와 연대하는 전략적 행보를 보이면서부터였다.
아고리즘은 자유로운 세상을 만들기 위해 자유 시장인 아고라를 적극 활용할 것을 주장한다. 이들은 정부가 추적할 수 없는 자유로운 암시장을 확대해서 정부의 힘을 약화시키는 방법을 써야 한다고 주장한다. 이 암시장은 당연히 무기, 마약, 성매매 등을 포함한 시장을 말한다.
그래서 자유지상주의를 도래시키기 위한 이들의 전략은 정부가 추적할 수 없는 시장을 만들고, 하나의 병렬 경제(대항 경제)를 만들어 정부의 힘을 지속적으로 약화시키는 것이다. 이들은 납세 거부 운동, 투표 거부 운동을 장려하며 암시장과 암호 기술을 적극 활용한다. 참고로 사이퍼펑크 같은 기술 자유주의는 분류하자면 질서자유주의보다 아고리즘 쪽에 더 가깝다(로스 울브리히트의 실크로드를 생각해보자...!)
로스바드-호페의 질서자유주의와 콘킨의 아고리즘은 둘 다 자유지상주의의 실현을 목표로 하지만, 질서자유주의는 논리적으로 윤리적 정당성을 확보하고, 그러한 정당성을 바탕으로 자유지상주의를 실현시키기 위해 현실 세계에 이미 존재하는 제도들도 전략적으로 이용한다. 반면 콘킨의 아고리즘은 자유지상주의의 윤리적 정당성보다는 그걸 도래시키기 위한 전략들에 치중하며, 정치와 절대 타협하지 않고, 전략적으로 이용하려고도 하지 않는다. 목표는 같지만 서로 다른 방법을 취하는 것이다.
1980년 공개된 콘킨의 「신 자유주의자 선언」은 미제스와 로스바드, 르페브르에 대한 감사로 시작하지만, 1장에서 다음과 같은 문구도 나온다. (이것도 언제 다 번역해봐야겠다!)
"처음 나타난 반격은 ... 개혁주의—국가주의를—'개선'하겠다는 명분으로 국가의 직책을 받아들이는 것까지 포함한다!—이 모든 반反 원칙들에 대해서... 그중 가장 끔찍한 것은 '정당주의'인데, 이는 자유지상주의적 목적을 국가주의적 수단, 특히 정당을 통해 달성하려는 반反 개념이다. '자유지상주의' 정당은 국가가 이제 막 출현한 자유지상주의자들에게 퍼부은 두 번째 반격이었다. 처음에는 터무니 없는 모순으로, 그 다음에는 침략군으로 등장했다."
로스바드가 1992년 공화당 경선 후보였던 팻 뷰캐넌을 공개적으로 지지했을 때(이때 공화당 경선에서 뷰캐넌은 아버지 부시한테 졌고, 대선은 민주당 빌 클린턴 승리), 콘킨이 어떤 반응을 보였을지 상상해보자. 저런 선언문을 썼는데 말이다. 콘킨은 로스바드가 자유지상주의 원칙을 저버렸다면서 자신이 편집하는 잡지 『신 자유지상주의자』에서 로스바드의 행위를 "자유의 원칙을 포기한 행위"라고 비난했다.
반면 로스바드는 소수의 자유지상주의 지식인들만으로는 자유지상주의 사회를 건설할 수 없으므로 대중과 연합해야 한다고 주장했다. 팻 뷰캐넌 같은 인물을 통해 중산층이나 노동계층의 지지를 얻을 수 있고, 자유지상주의 목표를 달성할 수 있다고 했다. 이때 나온 전략이 자유주의적 경제 질서와 보수적 문화 질서를 결합한 '팔레오 자유지상주의'다. 로스바드는 아고리즘 세력에게 순수성만을 강조하며 현실 세계와 단절된 사람들은 무기력한 이상주의자들이라고 반박하며, 자신은 국가주의를 지지하는 게 아니라 그 세력 안에 있는 반국가적 잠재력을 이끌어내는 것이라고 했다.
그림 2. 아고리즘의 깃발
질서자유주의와 아고리즘의 공동체적 배제에 관한 입장 차이
콘킨의 아고리즘과 로스바드-호페 라인의 질서자유주의의 차이는 정치 같은 기존 제도들을 전략적으로 이용할 수 있는지뿐만 아니라 공동체적 배제에 관한 입장에서도 약간 갈라진다.
자유주의에서는 자유로운 수용과 자유로운 '배제'도 보장되어야 한다. 즉, 예를 들어 어떤 사람이 장사를 하는데 동성애자나 흑인이나 채식주의자를 직원이나 손님으로 받지 않는 것도 장사하는 사람의 자유로운 배제 권리라는 것이다. 자신의 사유지에 어떤 사람을 들일지, 들이지 않을지는 전적으로 소유자의 몫이다. 그리고 여기서 배제는 당연히 폭력으로 이어지지 않는 선에서의 자유로운 배제다.
이러한 배제가 한 공동체 전체로 퍼졌다고 해보자. 지금은 동성애자에 대한 예시만 들겠다(필자는 동성애에 대해 부정적 감정이 전혀 없으니 동성애자 분들은 오해 마시길). 만약 한 지역 소유자 공동체 전체가 동성애자에 대한 배제를 주장한다면 당연히 동성애자는 그 공동체에 들어갈 수가 없다.
여기서 이를 다루는 뉘앙스가 약간 다른데, 호페는 이를 자유로운 계약에 의한 공동체적 질서의 탄생이라 보며 긍정적으로 본다. 물론 절대로 이러한 배제가 폭력으로 이어져서는 안 된다. 폭력으로 이어지면 비침해성 공리 위반이므로 정당성이 없다.
아고리즘은 개인들의 자발적인 배제는 자유지만, 이것이 공동체적 배제로 발전하고 구조적 차별이나 집단적 억압으로 발전하는 건 국가의 또 다른 형태일 뿐이라 생각하여 이를 경계한다. 그래서 개인 차원의 자율적 배제는 정당하지만, 공동체 차원의 배제는 경계한다. 그렇다고 이걸 없애야 한다 이런 건 아니다(개인들의 자유로운 배제가 공동체 배제로도 이어질 수 있는 것이므로). 콘킨은 공동체적 배제가 탄생할 수 있지만 그것이 비합리적인 배제라면 대안 시장이 탄생할 것으로 본다. 동성애자들을 위한 시장과 마을이 생길 것이고, 비합리적인 배제는 이러한 고객들을 놓친 것에 대한 손실로 이어질 것이라고 본다. 즉, 모든 개인이 자유 시장 아고라에서 자발적으로 교환할 권리를 가져야 하며, 차별적인 배제들은 시장 안에서 경쟁할 수 있을 거라 본다. 만약 대안 시장이 없는 상황에서 모두가 배제한다면 이는 실질적 강제처럼 작동할 수 있기 때문이다.
자유지상주의 안에서 콘킨의 아고리즘은 차별이나 수용을 대하는 태도에서 좀 더 좌파적인 것처럼 보인다. 실제로 콘킨의 「신 자유주의자 선언」에 등장하는 용어들도 약간 그러한 뉘앙스가 있다. 콘킨은 전통적인 좌파 단어들을 전략적으로 차용했다. 예를 들면 혁명, 착취, 해방운동, 불복종, 저항, 암시장, 아나키즘 등의 단어다. 당연히 전통적인 좌파 단어의 뜻과는 완전히 다르다. 혁명은 아고라를 통한 "비정치적" 자유주의 혁명을 의미하며, 착취는 마르크스의 자본가가 노동자를 착취한다고 했던 그 착취가 아니라, 국가주의와 결탁한 크로니 자본주의자들의 제도적 진입장벽을 만들고, 캉티용 효과의 수혜를 누리는 그러한 오염된 자본주의자들이 하는 것을 착취라고 했다(아고리즘은 국가에 의존하지 않는 기업가와 국가로부터 특혜를 받는 착취적 기업가를 구분한다. 선언문 참고).
정리하자! 로스바드-호페의 질서 자유주의와 콘킨의 아고리즘의 차이점은 다음과 같다.
로스바드-호페의 질서 자유주의는 정치 등을 전략적으로 이용하는 것을 허용한다. 로스바드는 공화당 경선 후보를 공개적으로 지지하여 우파 사람들로부터 자유지상주의에 대한 관심을 끌려고 했고, 호페는 전국단위의 투표나 정당 활동은 거부해도 지역 단위의 투표는 승리 가능성에 따라 조건부로 허용한다. 반면 아고리즘은 어떠한 정치 활동도 거부하며 오직 국가의 통제로부터 동떨어진 자유로운 시장에 의한 혁명을 추구한다.
얼마 전에 있었던 비트코이너들이 보수 우파 스페이스에 들어가서 비트코인에 대해 전파하는 걸 상상해보면 쉽다. 우파 국가주의자들은 국가 시스템에 의한 문제 해결을 강력한 지도자가 등장해 모든 것을 해결해줘야 한다는 잘못된 방법론에 빠져있는 경우가 많은데(문제를 더 큰 문제로 해결하려는 셈...), 누군가는 이걸 보고 저런 사람들과 협력하면 안 된다고 할 것이고, 누군가는 비트코인과 자유주의를 전파하기 위해 그래도 가능성이 높은 이들 사회에 섞여들어가 이야기도 하고, 전파도 하려고 할 것이기 때문이다.
또한 한 가지 차이점은 질서 자유주의와 아고리즘 모두 공동체적 배제는 인정하나, 질서 자유주의는 이를 자유로운 계약에 의해 등장한 공동체적 질서로 보고, 아고리즘은 공동체적 배제가 집단적 억압으로 발전할 것을 경계한다. 아고리즘에서는 비합리적 차별에 의한 배제는 대안 시장이 생겨 극복될 수 있다고 본다.
자유주의 세상을 만들기 위해서는 어떻게 해야 하는가
이제 무엇이 옳은지 스스로 판단해보자. 지금부터는 개인적인 생각이 매우 많이 들어가있으므로 주의하라.
콘킨의 아고리즘은 암시장의 확대를 노려 정부 권한을 약화시키려 하지만 이는 대중의 지지를 얻기 어렵다. 또한, 이러한 병렬 경제는 한 곳에 집중되기 어렵고 넓고 약하게 퍼져있을 수밖에 없다.
로스바드-호페의 질서자유주의는 현실에 이미 존재하는 제도들을 전략적으로 활용한다. 현실적으로 대중의 지지를 얻을 가능성이 있고, 한 지역에 자유주의자들이 집중되면 적어도 그 지역에서는 지역 투표를 통해 위로부터의 전환이 가능하다. 하나의 자유지상주의적인 지역이 좋은 모범이 되면 다른 지역도 채택할 가능성이 커진다.
어떤 전략을 택해야 하는가? 나는 자유지상주의가 도래하게 하기 위해서는 두 전략 다 써야 한다고 생각한다. 질서자유주의자들의 주장대로 대중의 지지 없이는 자유지상주의가 도래하게 할 수 없다. 대한민국에 있는 "진짜" 비트코이너+자유지상주의자들이 대략 몇 명쯤 될까? 높게 잡아 1,000명 정도 된다고 해보자. 이들 전부가 특정 지역에 모인다고 해도 자유지상주의 질서를 건립할 수는 없다. 찾아보니 대한민국에서 인구가 가장 적은 시가 충남 계룡시라고 한다. 여기 인구는 약 4만3천 명인데, 여기에 51% 공격을 가하려고 해도 적어도 4만 명이 필요하다는 뜻이다. 따라서 아고리스트들처럼 대중의 지지를 얻기 위한 전략을 완고하게 거부하다간 어떠한 힘도 얻지 못하고 선민 의식에만 갇힐 수 있다.
반면 아고리스트들의 주장대로 병렬 경제도 필요하다. 잘 세뇌된 대중은 폭력 집단의 강탈이 있어야만 사회가 유지될 수 있다는 환상에 사로잡혀있다. 병렬 경제는 이러한 환상을 깨뜨릴 좋은 수단이다. 정부 추적이나 제3자 없이 부의 보존이 가능하고, 당사자끼리의 직접 결제가 가능하다는 것을 사람들이 경험하면 생각이 크게 바뀔 것이다. 비트코인으로 결제를 해본 사람과 한 번도 해본 적 없는 사람은 이런 자유지상주의 세상에 대한 이해의 폭이 다를 수밖에 없다. 또한, 비트코인은 개인들에게 큰 힘이 되는데 국가 시스템의 폭력으로부터 개인들이 생산 가치를 지킬 수 있는 강력한 방패이자 동시에 무기가 되기 때문이다.
그러나 아고리즘의 주장인 병렬 경제 중 특히 암시장 전략—국가의 통제가 미치지 않는 무기, 마약, 성매매 등을 확장하는 것—에는 동의하지 않는다. 당연히 자유지상주의자인 나는 총기나 마약, 성매매 등도 자발적인 계약에 의해 시장에서 더 건전하게 다뤄질 수 있다고 생각한다. 지금처럼 불법화되어있는 사회와 다르게 자유시장에서는 마약의 순도나 안정성에 대해 인증해주는 기관, 의사들도 등장할 것이고, 성매매도 비슷한 방식으로 질서화될 수 있다고 생각한다. 혹은 이러한 시장은 시간 선호를 지나치게 높이고 전통적인 가족 질서를 해칠 수 있으므로 공동체적 배제가 일어날 수도 있다. 무기, 마약, 성매매는 일반 대중들이 생각하는 '질서'와는 거리가 있다. 우리는 더 많은 사람들을 끌어들여야 하는데 이는 처음에 일단 거부감을 일으킬 수 있다.
따라서 자극적인 암시장보다는 사람들의 반감이 없는 상품들을 먼저 비트코인으로 거래하고, 국가가 추적하지 못하게 함으로써 납세 거부의 물결이 퍼지게 해야 한다. 동시에 더 많은 사람들에게 자유주의를 전파해야 한다. 더 많은 개인과 비트코인을 통한 병렬 경제라는 두 가지 무기가 함께 생겨야 지역 단위에서의 자유주의 세상을 만들 수 있을 것이다. 먼저 자유주의를 많은 사람들에게 전파해야 한다. 이 과정에서 좌파, 맑시즘, 케인지언들보다는 상대적으로 자유에 대한 이해가 좀 더 있는 집단인 우파 국가주의자들이나 기독교적 종교관을 가진 사람들 속에 섞여 들어가 거기서 전파를 할 수도 있다. 이러한 과정을 통해 자유주의자들이 많아지고, 한 지역에 모여야 한다. 비트코인이라는 무기를 가진 개인들이 한 지역에 모여 자유로운 시장을 형성하면, 호페가 말했던 것처럼 그 지역에서의 투표를 통해 작은 자유지상주의 세상을 만들 수 있다.
그림 3. 자유주의 세상을 만들기 위해서는 두 전략을 적절히 함께 써야 한다.
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@ 91bea5cd:1df4451c
2025-06-10 14:52:18Para um brasileiro, pode ser difícil entender como as estações do ano são capazes de influenciar o imaginário e a própria organização da sociedade.
Mas em países de clima temperado ou frio, onde primavera, verão, outono e inverno são mais demarcados, é contagiante a alegria com que o verão é celebrado, depois de meses de dias curtos, temperaturas frequentemente negativas e poucas possibilidades de interação social.
É por isso que desde os tempos mais antigos, as primeiras civilizações europeias já tinham festas específicas para celebrar tanto a chegada da primavera — a volta da vida desabrochando — quanto o solstício de verão — o ápice do sol, o dia mais longo do ano.
E, segundo pesquisadores, são esses dois tipos de celebração, depois abraçados pelo catolicismo, que explicam a origem das festas juninas, que no Brasil acabariam sendo reinventadas com um sotaque próprio.
"As origens são mesmo as antigas festas pagãs das antigas civilizações, ligadas aos ciclos da natureza, às estações do ano. Sociedades antigas realizavam grandes festividades, com durações longas, até de um mês, sobretudo nos períodos de plantio e de colheita", contextualiza o pesquisador de culturas populares Alberto Tsuyoshi Ikeda, professor da Universidade de São Paulo e consultor da cátedra Kaapora: da Diversidade Cultural e Étnica na Sociedade Brasileira, da Universidade Federal de São Paulo (#Unifesp).
"A primavera era bastante comemorada, como o reingresso da vida mais dinâmica, o rebrotar da natureza e das atividades depois do período do inverno, sempre de muita dificuldade, luta pela sobrevivência e recolhimento", comenta ele.
Se nessa época do ano o que se via era a explosão da natureza, a vida social espelhava isso. "Os grupos humanos realizavam grandes festividades dedicadas à própria natureza, muitas vezes rendendo homenagens aos antigos deuses relacionados à natureza, à vida animal, à vida vegetal de um modo geral. Eram festas comunitárias com muita alegria, muita alimentação e reunião de pessoas em grande número: foi o que deu origem às festas juninas que a gente conhece no Brasil e em outras partes do mundo."
Autora do livro Festas Juninas: Origens, Tradições e História, a socióloga Lucia Helena Vitalli Rangel, professora na Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo (PUC-SP), explica que a origem das festas juninas está nos "rituais de fertilidade agrícola" de diversos povos — da Europa, do Oriente Médio e do norte da África.
Os [mitológicos] casais #férteis #Afrodite e Adonis, Tamuz e Izta, Isis e #Osíris eram homenageados nesses #rituais, pois representavam a reprodução humana, numa época de evocação da colheita", afirma.
"Eram rituais para que a colheita fosse farta e para abençoar o próximo período #agrícola. Era período de congraçamento, de partilha e estabelecimento de alianças entre as comunidades. Eram rituais de fartura e abundância em todos os sentidos, no âmbito alimentar e na relação entre as famílias: casamentos, batizados e compadrio."
"No hemisfério norte o solstício de verão era o auge do período ritual e do trabalho agrícola coroado pela colheita", acrescenta a socióloga.
Vale ressaltar o óbvio, para que não fique um certo estranhamento ao leitor menos atento: no hemisfério norte, origem de tais celebrações, as estações do ano são invertidas em relação ao hemisfério sul, onde está o Brasil.
Apropriação católica
Mas onde então entram os santos nessa história? Na festa junina contemporânea, estão presentes algumas das figuras mais populares do catolicismo — e isso acabou impregnado de tal forma na celebração que a religiosidade se misturou ao folclore e às tradições populares, transcendendo os ritos normatizados pela Igreja Católica.
O primeiro dos santos juninos é Antônio (? - 1231), frade franciscano de origem portuguesa que ficou conhecido pelo que fez na Itália no início do século 13. Com fama de milagreiro, foi canonizado pela Igreja onze meses depois de sua morte — trata-se de um recorde até hoje não superado na história do catolicismo.
No imaginário popular, Antônio se tornou o #bonachão santo das coisas perdidas, sobretudo nos países europeus, e o casamenteiro, principalmente em Portugal e no Brasil. #Simpatias, #promessas e orações específicas marcam a devoção a ele. E sua presença nos festejos juninos geralmente está ligada a essas tradições — a Igreja fixou o 13 de junho, data da morte dele, como dia consagrado ao santo.
Em 24 de junho, o catolicismo celebra o nascimento de João Batista (2 a.C - 28 d.C.). É o santo máximo das comemorações juninas — há versões que apontam que originalmente eram "festas joaninas" e não festas juninas; e, sobretudo no nordeste brasileiro, a Festa de São João é um evento de dimensões impressionantes.
Personagem de historicidade controversa, João Batista é apontado como primo de Jesus Cristo e aquele que o batizou.
Em seu livro O Ramo de Ouro, o antropólogo escocês James Frazer (1854-1941) diz que ocorreu um processo histórico "de acomodação", deslocando para a figura de São João Batista a comemoração do solstício de verão.
Por fim, o mês de junho ainda tem a data do martírio de São Pedro (? - 67 d.C) e São Paulo (5 d.C. - 67 d.C.), dois dos pioneiros do cristianismo. Pedro foi um dos 12 apóstolos de Jesus e acabou depois considerado o primeiro papa do catolicismo.
Paulo de Tarso, por sua vez, é reputado como um dos mais influentes teólogos da história. Parte significativa dos textos que compõem o Novo Testamento da Bíblia é atribuída à sua pena. É dele, portanto, a autoria de parcela considerável da ressignificação de Jesus Cristo após sua morte na cruz — em outras palavras, é possível dizer que Paulo é responsável pela transformação de Jesus em um mito.
Uma observação necessária: apesar de a Igreja celebrar em conjunto a memória do martírio de Pedro e de Paulo, por tradição este último nem sempre é associado aos festejos juninos.
À medida que o catolicismo foi se transformando em religião do status quo, sobretudo a partir da cristianização do Império Romano, no ano de 380 d.C., diversos rituais tratados como pagãos acabaram sendo abraçados e apropriados pela Igreja. "A Igreja Católica não pôde desmanchar essas práticas", reconhece Rangel.
Com os rituais de primavera e verão, não foi diferente. "Várias dessas festividades foram adaptadas", conclui Alberto Ikeda, da USP. "Aos poucos passaram a ser tratadas como festas em honra aos santos juninos."
"Mas é importante notar que mesmo dentro do ciclo cristão, esses santos estão ligados tematicamente com aquelas mesmas ideias, os mesmos princípios das festividades [dessa época do ano] das antigas civilizações", pontua o pesquisador.
Santo Antônio, por exemplo, é o casamenteiro — em uma leitura lato sensu, poderia ser encarado como o santo da família, da unidade familiar, da reprodução humana. "São João também está ligado, sobretudo nos interiores do Brasil, a essa questão dos relacionamentos afetivos. Tradicionalmente, faz-se muito casamento no Dia de São João", diz Ikeda.
"Ele também traz a característica da fartura [que remete aos períodos de plantio e de colheita, em oposição aos rigorosos invernos], dos alimentos, das bebidas, aquilo que chamamos na antropologia de repasto ritual ou repasto cerimonial", afirma o pesquisador.
De modo geral, na leitura proposta por ele, todos os santos juninos estão ligados aos ciclos da natureza — fogo, água, fertilidade, abundância. Está aí São Pedro e a ideia de que ele é quem controla o tempo. "Vejo uma relação entre eles e os antigos rituais, uma relação ainda presente.
Embora a gente não perceba mais, eles têm essa ligação com os elementos fundamentais da existência humana", comenta.
Nas festas populares essas forças da natureza se fazem representadas, muito além da mesa farta.
Os mastros juninos que são erguidos representam a potência dos troncos, das árvores que resistem ao inverno. A fogueira é a luz: ilumina, aquece, afugenta animais ferozes, assa os alimentos.
Na releitura contemporânea, portanto, as festas juninas "guardam as reminiscências das ancestrais aglomerações festivas", conforme frisa Ikeda.
Tradição brasileira
Paçoca, pamonha, pipoca, bolo de fubá, canjica, curau, pé de moleque, maçã do amor. Vinho quente e quentão. Brincadeiras de pular fogueira e dançar a quadrilha. Chapéu de palha, camisa xadrez, calça com remendos. Bombinhas e rojões, fogos de artifício. Bandeirinhas coloridas penduradas em varais de barbante.
No Brasil, as festas juninas foram reinventadas e se tornaram uma exaltação das raízes caipiras. E muito além da religiosidade, tornou-se tradição, folclore. Como se o ciclo se fechasse: o que nasceu como ritual gregário, de celebração social, e depois foi apropriado por uma religião dominante, acabou na cultura popular sendo devolvido ao sentido original — ou seja, a festa pela alegria de festejar.
Não à toa, a folclorista Laura Della Mônica registrou em seu livro Os Três Santos do Mês de Junho que "respeitar as festas e orações dedicadas a cada um dos três santos do mês de junho, segundo a tradição, é obrigação e dever de todos nós, pelo menos culturalmente". O "todos nós" é o brasileiro. Porque mesmo nascida no Velho Mundo, as festas juninas assumiram uma identidade própria em território nacional.
"A colonização da América colocou novamente a questão [da apropriação cultural] para os jesuítas e todos os religiosos que se instalaram no continente sul-americano", pontua a socióloga Rangel.
"No caso do Brasil, houve uma coincidência do calendário. No inverno seco, o solstício de inverno marca o período dos trabalhos agrícolas mais importantes. Do mesmo modo que, para os povos do hemisfério norte é o período de rituais de fertilidade, [a festa por aqui também vem] com as mesmas características, congrega as famílias na evocação da abundância."
As tradições regionais guardam suas especificidades, como era de se esperar em um país de dimensões continentais. "Sempre foram festas e rituais populares", salienta Rangel.
"No Brasil temos expressões regionais muito fortes: o São João nordestino, o Boi Bumbá da região norte, o Boi de Mamão no sul, Cavalhadas no centro-oeste e as festas do Divino Espírito Santo e muitas regiões, particularmente no estado de São Paulo."
A pesquisadora comenta que "conforme os padres vão chegando nas paróquias, começam a interferir nas comemorações". É quando vem o sincretismo: a festa popular também é festa católica, a quermesse organizada pela igreja também tem os rituais populares.
"Até hoje as paróquias, as igrejas, realizam festas juninas. Mesmo que as maiores festas estejam predominantemente tendo somente o caráter festivo, mais comercial, de exploração pelo ganho financeiro, as igrejas continuam fazendo comemorações aos santos juninos", pontua Ikeda.
"Embora muitas pessoas não católicas também participem das festas, embora predomine uma visão genérica que as festas juninas não guardam mais relação com a religiosidade, há ainda um relacionamento das igrejas com esses santos juninos."
Para ele, a evolução da festividade consiste no fato de que "toda aglomeração possibilita o incentivo ao comércio". "E a alimentação está neste centro, na busca mesmo do repasto cerimonial e festividades, danças e músicas que sempre estiveram ligados aos antigos rituais." Ikeda lembra que a as festas populares têm uma importância antropológica por serem "práticas gregárias que ciclicamente comemoram a própria constituição, a própria existência das comunidades enquanto coletividade, a reunião de grupos humanos que preservam uma história comum".
"No caso da feste junina, esse vestir-se de caipira, simbolicamente, é um instrumento de importância até emocional e psicológico para as pessoas se sentirem com a identidade ligada ao passado, aos pais e avós que praticavam aquilo, comemorando de forma parecida", analisa o pesquisador.
"Assim, a prática possibilita a guarda de uma continuidade ao longo do tempo."
Suspensão sanitária
Nunca é demais enfatizar: com a pandemia de covid-19 ainda fora de controle, seria uma péssima ideia realizar qualquer tipo de festa neste período — se quer comemorar, faça em casa somente com seu núcleo familiar. Então, 2021 será o segundo ano consecutivo em que o Brasil não terá, ao menos de modo ostensivo, a tradição das festividades com bandeirinhas coloridas. Doutora em História das Ciências da Saúde e autora do livro A Gripe Espanhola na Bahia, a historiadora Christiane Maria Cruz de Souza afirma que esse cancelamento não ocorreu nem na epidemia de 100 anos atrás.
Isto porque a gripe chegou ao Brasil bem depois dos festejos de 1918. E, no ano seguinte, a epidemia estava controlada. "A gripe espanhola não teve nenhuma interferência no São João. Os primeiros registros da doença apareceram em setembro de 1918 e a doença foi se extinguindo aos poucos. Em Salvador, ele não avançou para o ano de 1919. Houve alguns surtos, em lugares mais remotos, até 1920, mas sem caráter epidêmico."
É de se supor, inclusive, que as festividades de 1919 tenham sido ainda mais animadas. "Passada a epidemia de gripe espanhola, tudo o que as pessoas queriam eram esquecê-la", afirma Souza.
Em 20 de junho de 1919, entretanto, surgiram os primeiros registros indicando uma epidemia de varíola na capital da Bahia. "Começaram a aparecer um caso aqui, outro ali, mas ainda sem a força suficiente para poucos dias depois interditar os festejos de São João", nota a pesquisadora.
"As autoridades sanitárias demoraram muito para reconhecer que ocorria uma epidemia terrível de varíola. Autoridades públicas só costumam reconhecer a existência de uma epidemia quando se torna inevitável devido ao acúmulo de adoecimentos e mortes, quando o número de doentes e mortos ultrapassa a normalidade esperada para os casos da doença. Isso demora um tempo."
Rangel ressalta, inclusive, que até a primeira metade do século 20, as festas juninas eram muito menores, restritas a familiares e pequenos grupos comunitários. Muito menos do que os eventos de hoje em dia. "Eram festas de arraial, de quintais, de quermesses", diz. "Elas só se transformaram em grandes espetáculos na segunda metade do século 20, na esteira da espetacularização do carnaval."
Fonte: BBC News 18 Junho 2021
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@ ea181d3b:0fa4d7cd
2025-06-10 13:35:06Originally shared on mirror.xyz/canurta.eth on May 24th, 2025
At Canurta, we’ve never followed convention for convention’s sake. We’re building a new blueprint for how biotech companies can scale — one that prioritizes financial resilience, founder-led execution, and long-term shareholder value. That’s why we’re anchoring our capital strategy to Bitcoin.
This is not a gimmick. It’s a deliberate financial move that increases our purchasing and R\&D power by 30–60% ARR and positions us to lead institutional biotech innovation in Canada with asymmetric upside and limited downside. We're creating the first adaptive medicine company backed by Bitcoin reserves — and with it, a new playbook for the capital markets.
So, Why Bitcoin
Strengthens Capital Efficiency
By integrating Bitcoin into our treasury model:
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We gain exposure to an appreciating reserve asset
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We minimize dilution by accessing BTC-backed financing tools
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We enable strategic rebalancing to meet investor needs during volatility
Enables Optionality Without Fragility
With regulated Canadian OTC access and margin lending partners, we can:
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Sell or collateralize BTC as needed, without relying on banks
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Fund trials, operations, or acquisitions with non-dilutive capital
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Maintain a steady NAV anchor (3:1) to issue optional securities if desired
Aligns with Institutional Trends
With FASB guidance and growing institutional adoption, BTC is no longer fringe — it’s part of the future. This gives Canurta a chance to front-run a shift in capital formation and stand out as an institutional-grade biotech that operates with the prudence of a sovereign investor.
Rethinking Risk
As Warren Buffett said:
“Risk is not volatility, but permanent loss of capital.”
We agree. Volatility is not the enemy — poor execution is.
Bitcoin offers volatility, yes — but also resilience, transparency, and global liquidity. By contrast, the permanent loss of purchasing power in fiat currencies, especially the USD, is the silent risk that most overlook.
What It Takes to Win
Executing a strategy like this requires:
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Courage from the founder
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Goodwill from the team
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Trust from our investors
And most importantly: results. We're not asking to be believed — we're asking to be measured. Canurta’s team is here to execute.
The Broader Vision: Advancing Canadian Capital Markets
Our ambition goes beyond Canurta. We believe Canada can be a global leader in BTC-backed biotech finance. We're building this strategy not just for ourselves, but for:
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CanadianMunicipalities, like Vancouver, with forward-thinking financial structures
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Corporations and SMEs looking to access resilient, modern capital
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Boards of Trade and innovation councils who can champion resilient business models across the country
This isn’t theory — it’s a testable, repeatable path. One step at a time, using open-source tools, transparency, and results.
The “Holy Grail” of Finance: Uncorrelated Alpha
Bitcoin gives us what traditional portfolios struggle to find: An uncorrelated asset that improves risk-adjusted returns.
We manage volatility through:
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Position sizing and drawdown strategies
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Keeping our mind on long time horizons that allow us to ride macro cycles
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Quarterly rebalancing and capital rotation discipline
Closing Thought
Markets reward clarity and courage. We’re not chasing trends — we’re setting the terms.
BTC gives Canurta the freedom to execute without surrendering control. It strengthens our balance sheet, hedges systemic risk, and creates a durable advantage for our shareholders — one that compounds over time.
We're not here to play defense. We're here to win.
Let’s build the future of medicine — backed by the future of money.
Akeem Gardner | CEO & Founder | Canurta Therapeutics | akeem@canurta.com
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@ 63d59db8:be170f6f
2025-06-10 12:17:39The pursuit of this body of work is to document the ongoing flux of novel events that I experience. My goal is to share my perception of the world so that others can see the beauty, color and humor.\ \ My journey as a photographer has taken me to places that I could have never imagined - from the basements of house shows, to traveling around the entire United States, Japan and most of Europe. I am incredibly thankful for all of the opportunities that have been given to me from touring with Vasudeva. In the course of all these years traveling, what I have come to understand is a deeper vision of myself and what it is that I do as a photographer; and that is to document people and places in the moment. To not seek compositions, but to allow the curiosity and discovery of myself to see and experience.
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@ 8d5ba92c:c6c3ecd5
2025-06-10 10:30:44Over the years, I’ve hit many different Bitcoin events across Europe, recently LATAM and Asia too. Small local meetups, bigger gatherings, mid-sized and large conferences, as well as cultural festivals like the one just held in Warsaw, Poland, Bitcoin FilmFest (aka BFF25, which I also co-run).
With probably an average of 7-10 gatherings a year, it’s a lot for some, not enough for others. For me, it’s a learning process hunting signal: real people, real ideas, real talks. In a way, Proof of Work—joining these events takes time and energy, it too yields the results—new connections, collaborations, or even just further steps toward our sovereign lives, meeting after meeting, just like adding a block to the chain.
When choosing a new place to join, location and program are important, almost equal, but what matters most is the overall theme and the vibe it creates with the ‘crowd’. Almost a paranormal synergy of what organizers bring and what attendees add with their presence.
May-June 2025...
First, culture without chains. Then privacy, tech, and cypher action. Still buzzing from BFF25, just a week later, a bit tired but stoked, I managed to take a 3-hour flight from Poland to Spain.
Worth it? Absolutely! Why? Continue reading to figure out.
BCC8333. Let’s first break down the name.
Barcelona Cyphers Conference, with “8333” referring to the port Bitcoin nodes use to sync the timechain in a decentralized network. Well, BCC8333 promised substance, not just empty fluff, from the very start. Honestly, I wouldn’t even call it a 'conference' but a high-signal, well-structured meetup of maybe 150-200 individuals. No influencers, no VIP rooms. No hype, no pressure.
Unleashing Decentralized Freedom.
Held at Palau Dalmases, a 17th-century palace in Barcelona’s Born district, the venue was pure magic. Its courtyard, with stair rails carved with mythological scenes, had an artistic, almost rebellious soul tied to its flamenco background (the venue officially hosts flamenco shows in the evenings). Not too big, not too small, it was just perfect for deep talks, hands-on workshops, signal-not-bullshit presentations, and real debates.
The courtyard, the heart of the venue, welcomed us with sunny weather and stylish décor, sparking some of the best daytime conversations I’ve had. The entire place, with its history and defiant spirit, felt ready for us to build something special. https://i.nostr.build/5CbApOqFnb8UoB0F.png
Organized by locals—Spanish Maxis with a cypherpunk soul—and attended by folks from across the globe, it was a perfect mix of knowledge and experiences. Deep discussions on tech, privacy, geo-politics, culture, communities, health, lifestyle, and philosophy. Precious moments with familiar faces or new ones, all working on very interesting projects. Fact: smaller crowd let you dive deep into talks and build genuine connections.
The program was thoughtfully structured. Intense sessions balanced with space to breathe, think, talk, and eat.
(Note: BCC8333, smack in the heart of Barcelona, meant plenty of nearby dining options despite tourist crowds and occasional long lines for top tapas bars. Breaks were long enough, so you could savor decent meals while enjoying the 5-10 minute walk here or there with other attendees. Could you pay in SATs everywhere? Not really, not outside the venue. But let’s be realistic: in a group of Bitcoiners, there’s always a way to use SATs, swapping fiat with others who’ll need it sooner or later. Win-win. Personally, I find these scenarios even better—Bitcoiners roaming the city for days, asking ‘Can I pay in bitcoin?’ again and again, spread a message stronger than just a group of us closed off at the venue doing our own thing. Moving around and repeating the same question will sooner or later inspire new places to take Bitcoin payments seriously. FYI: at one dinner, a delicious Brazilian steakhouse, we convinced a waiter to download a Lightning wallet, accept his tips in SATs, and vow to dig deeper into Bitcoin and Nostr in the coming days.)
Back To The Event and Its Agenda.
Practical workshops, sharp presentations, and real debates (sadly, still too rare in the space) covered topics like privacy, nodes, wallets, Bitaxe miners, and Nostr. Crucial stuff to forge the sovereign life.
https://i.nostr.build/PvD1bDKr9qQ87Mr5.png
- My personal highlights?
Friday’s sessions on the history and future of cypherpunks (Spanish / English, with Alfre Mancera, Entropy, Bebop, Max Hillebrand, and Begleri); Miniscripts Roundtable-Discussion (English, with Edouard from Liana, Landabaso from Rewind, Francesco from BitVault, Yuri da Silva from Great Wall); Self-Sufficient Houses (English with Matthew Prosser); and the debate on Op_return (English, with Peter Todd; Unhosted Marcellus, and Lunaticoin).
I couldn’t catch everything—too busy in hallway chats connecting dots from the past to the present for a stronger future ;) … Luckily, the main stage sessions were recorded by the organizers (follow Nostr: BCC833, with extra interviews/coverage done by Juan Cienfuegos (BitCorner Podcast). Sure, all of it will drop online soon.
https://i.nostr.build/lNppYMtEtz8DGNhi.png
- What left me in awe?
Pure, unfiltered signal.
First, the Spanish Bitcoin scene is a force. Well-organized, connected, decentralized but acting as one when needed. People relentlessly focused on building, not just talking. BCC8333 was proof.
Second, the fusion of ideas is remarkable; the power of plebs putting them into practice moves the world forward. Just as Bitcoin doesn’t need a CEO, Bitcoiners don’t need typical trendsetters or idols. Case by case, we verify truth ourselves, like nodes in a network, organically building, improving, brainstorming, discussing—not on flashy stages or in cold expo hangars, but in dynamic meetups like this one.
Third, the tribe. Don’t get me wrong, even with thousands of attendees, you can find your people if you try. But with a few hundred, free of overwhelming noise and far too many folks rushing around, you don’t miss the most valuable chats. BCC8333 was no different. I met and re-met my soulmates. The tribe you laugh with, but also work hard with when needed. Simply put: people who share the cypherpunk fire. Sovereignty and hands-on freedom.
- Bonus stuff?
Though the topics were serious (and important), the vibe still had plenty of fun. Barcelona’s nightlife was a great playground, but the organizers also brought joy right to the venue itself. https://i.nostr.build/ahJsprpg1d4qHFtV.png
Examples: Both days with Chain Duel to play in the courtyard and later a big-screen tournament, were cool to watch and join. Saturday’s concert by Roger 9000, with all of us shouting, “Tick tock, next block, it don’t stop. The love of freedom, it don’t stop!” to his energetic beats, made those moments truly spectacular.
Wrapping Up.
BCC8333 stands apart. As the title says, it was truly the event ‘Where Cypherpunk Spirit Forges Sovereign Minds.’ Cheers to the organizers, contributors, volunteers, and attendees! Those past few days in Barcelona were solid proof we’re keeping Bitcoin’s ethos alive—a strong case that it’s not about “going to the moon” but staying free on the ground.
Thank YOU!
BTC Your Mind. Let it Beat.
Şela
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@ 866e0139:6a9334e5
2025-06-10 06:33:27Autor: Anna Nagel. (Bild: Lukas Karl). Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie auch in unserem Telegram-Kanal.
Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.
Im ersten Teil von «Mitgefühl und Vergebung» bin ich, um eine Übersicht zu verschaffen, eher auf eine generelle Ebene eingegangen, und wie wir Schuldvorwürfe und Zorn durch Perspektivwechsel entschärfen können. Es ging mehr um die «großen» Themen, die Themengebiete, die unverzeihlich scheinen. In diesem Text möchte ich jetzt einmal näher heranzoomen und am direkten Beispiel einen Weg der Reflexion aufzeigen, der zu überraschenden – und hoffentlich auch für dich – versöhnlichen Ergebnissen führen kann. Denn häufig halten wir an kleineren Situationen und Verletzungen fest, und, obwohl der Verstand «weiß», dass man schon irgendwie loslassen könnte, weiß man manchmal nicht recht wie.
Teil 1 finden Sie hier.
Möchtest du das wirklich?
Vor einiger Zeit tat jemand etwas, das mir schwer zu Herzen ging. Es widersprach meinem Verständnis von Mitgefühl, Anstand, Moral und Freundschaft und obwohl ich nicht direkt angegriffen wurde, verletzte und empörte mich dieses Verhalten zutiefst. Ja, ich war verletzt und ja, ich war wütend. All das fühlte ich durch, akzeptierte es, doch loslassen konnte ich es anscheinend irgendwie noch nicht. Und obwohl ich weiß, dass Heilung Zeit braucht, spürte ich, dass noch irgendetwas fehlte. Irgendwas, was ich noch nicht sah, noch nicht erkannt oder gelernt hatte.
Es kamen mir also immer wieder verärgerte Gedanken in den Sinn und wenn durch irgendeinen «Zufall» das Thema wieder auf den Tisch kam, kam alles wieder hoch. Bis ich die Gedanken samt Gefühlen bis zum Schluss zurückverfolgte.
Ich fragte mich, was ich denn eigentlich wollte; was könnte dazu führen, dass dieser Anteil in mir befriedet wird? Was ist sein Antrieb? Der Anteil wollte nämlich die ganze Zeit über immer mal wieder Aktionen von mir fordern, von denen ich aber nicht den Eindruck hatte, dass es dadurch besser werden würde. Also fragte – besser gesagt stellte – ich diesen Anteil.
«Möchtest du, dass diese Person Schmerz erleidet? Dass es ihr emotional schlecht geht? Sie Reue, Schuld und Scham empfindet? Möchtest du, dass ihr gar Unglück geschieht, dass sie ihren Job verliert, oder ihr Geld? Liebe Anna, möchtest du das wirklich? Was ist das dann? Eifersucht? Neid? Rache? Schadenfreude? Glaubst du wirklich, dass es dir dann besser geht? Möchtest du so sein oder vielmehr: Bist du so? Liebe Wut, ist das deine Absicht?»
Etwas betroffen sah ich mich in mir um und es wurde still. Ein eigentümliches Gefühl breitete sich im Bauch aus. Die Wut war verflogen und es zeigte sich eher eine Mischung aus Scham, etwas Schuld aber auch Demut. Eigentlich wollte ich das nämlich nicht. Eigentlich bin ich nicht rachsüchtig. Und möchte es auch gar nicht sein.
«Nein, ich möchte nicht, dass es der Person schlecht geht», beschwichtigte vorsichtig eine leise innere Stimme, die sich traute die Stille zu durchbrechen. «Eigentlich», fügte sie zaghaft hinzu, «wünsche ich mir, dass sie sieht, wie es mir geht…».
Verstehen und Mitgefühl breiteten sich aus. Berührt bedankte ich mich für die Tiefe und Ehrlichkeit, die dieser Anteil mir entgegen gebracht hatte und nahm ihn innerlich fest in die Arme. «Ich sehe dich, ich fühle dich. Und ich liebe dich».
Gesehen werden
Diese Erkenntnis erinnerte mich an das Thema Anerkennung, das ich im Beitrag «Der Schmerz des Nicht-Anerkanntseins» bereits aufgefasst habe und daher in diesem Text nur kurz erwähne. Wer den Text kennt, weiß, dass ich gerne mit der eigenen Vorstellungskraft arbeite. Also stellte ich mir vor, wie diese Person vor mir steht und meinen Schmerz und mein Leid sieht, spürt und anerkennt. In dieser inneren Situation war ebenfalls keine Wut mehr, kein Impuls zu schreien oder zu argumentieren, zu debattieren. Es war alles gesagt. Es war alles in Ordnung. Wenn wir das Glück haben, dass diese Person erreichbar ist, ist es natürlich heilsam, wenn wir die Möglichkeit haben, ihr unsere Gefühle mitzuteilen. Dafür ist es aber nicht minder wichtig, sich darüber bewusst zu werden, was wir denn eigentlich brauchen. Es geht aber tatsächlich auch allein.
Und ich frage mich, ob es beim Thema Rache generell im Kern darum geht, dass wir uns nicht gesehen fühlen. Dass wir uns stumm und taub und hilflos – möglicherweise gar vollends machtlos – fühlen. Wenn unsere Grenzen verletzt oder überschritten, wenn sie möglicherweise komplett niedergerissen wurden, versucht etwas in uns, sich selbst zu behaupten.
«Du hast deine Kindheit vergessen, aus den Tiefen deiner Seele wirbt sie um dich. Sie wird dich so lange leiden machen, bis du sie erhörst.»
– Hermann Hesse
Manchmal aber können wir es nicht; wir können in einigen Fällen – und wollen in anderen – nicht mit gleicher Kraft zurückschlagen. Sei es, weil die Person nicht erreichbar ist (physisch oder mental) oder weil uns etwas innerlich bremst. Solange aber der Schmerz da ist, solange er nicht gesehen und geheilt wird, wird ein anderer Aspekt in uns immer lauter werden. Er bleibt im Verteidigungsmodus, er will aus der Ohnmacht zurück in die Selbstwirksamkeit. Und so meint er lauter und lauter werden zu müssen, um sich gesehen und gehört zu fühlen. Er meint, er müsse mit gleicher Wucht antworten oder sogar noch lauter werden, um seine Anerkennung zu bekommen – und letztlich seinen Frieden zu finden.
Da ist es diesem Verteidigungssystem schlicht nicht bewusst – oder auch egal –, ob das eigene Verhalten niederen moralischen Impulsen entspringt, «Der andere hat angefangen!», und auch, ob wir uns selbst damit schuldig machen sowie, ob unsere, möglicherweise irgendwann durch Überdruck entstandene Auslebung unserer Wut überhaupt noch die Person trifft, die uns eigentlich einst diese Wunde zufügte, oder ob wir sie auf andere projizieren. Hier bedarf es tiefer Ehrlichkeit mit uns und unseren Gefühlen und Impulsen.
DIE FRIEDENSTAUBE FLIEGT AUCH IN IHR POSTFACH!
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Schuld und Frieden
Diese Form von Reflexion kann nur auf einer anderen Ebene stattfinden, als der des traumatisierten Anteils. Auf einer, von der aus wir auch sehen können, ob wir uns durch unsere eigene Unversöhnlichkeit schuldig machen.
Ab wann machen wir uns eigentlich selbst schuldig? Sind wir erst Schuldige, wenn wir handeln? Oder bereits, wenn wir jemand anderem Schlechtes wünschen? Gibt es eine «energetische Schuld»? Oder gibt es Schuld überhaupt? Und gibt es «Das Böse»? Sitzt es in jedem von uns? Diese Fragen kann sicherlich nur jedes Gewissen für sich selbst beantworten.
Falls es «Das Böse» gibt, scheint es sich durch unversöhnte Verletzungen in uns hineinzuschleichen oder auszubreiten. Die verletzten Anteile, die eigentlich nur gesehen werden wollen, fungieren als Trittbrett für Wut und Rachegelüste. Sie können im Extremfall als «Entschuldigung» oder Rechtfertigung dienen – oder vielleicht besser missbraucht werden –, endlich auch mal wütend und unmoralisch zu sein. Wenn im extremsten Fall sterbende Kinder im Krieg als Grund hergenommen werden, um auf der anderen Seite der Welt jemanden erschießen zu «dürfen», dann wird es, meinem Empfinden nach, arg düster.
Aber gleich, wo das «Böse» sitzt oder ob es es in Reinform gibt: Wir haben die Wahl. Immer. Unrecht im Außen ist keine Legitimation dafür, selbst Unrecht zu begehen, denn es wäre schlichtweg eine Ausrede. Der Kern unserer Gedanken und Handlungen findet sich in uns selbst. Daher ist es unsere Aufgabe, im eigenen Herzen Frieden zu schließen, unseren Schmerz anzuerkennen, unsere Wunden zu heilen und dem Bösen das Trittbrett zu entziehen, denn – ob es eine gedanklich «energetische» Schuld gibt oder nicht –, eines ist klar:
Wenn wir an Wut, Neid und Rachegedanken festhalten, bleiben wir uns unseres eigenen inneren Friedens schuldig. Ebenso des Anteils an Frieden, den wir in die Welt bringen könnten.
«Wenn wir den Frieden nicht in uns selbst finden, ist es sinnlos, ihn anderswo zu suchen.» – François de La Rochefoucauld
Und wenn das noch schwer fällt, erinnere ich an dieser Stelle noch einmal an die Worte der weisen Frau aus dem ersten Teil: «Dann verzeih dir wenigstens selber deine Unversöhnlichkeit», denn «Mitgefühl beginnt bei uns selbst», – worauf ich im nächsten Teil dieser Reihe näher eingehen werde. Denn niemand von uns ist frei von Schuld; und manchmal ist die schwierigste Aufgabe, sich selbst zu vergeben. Somit sind auch wir auf unsere eigene Gnade, unser eigenes Verständnis und Mitgefühl angewiesen.
Und wer es schafft, sich selbst zu verzeihen, dem wird es auch gleich leichter fallen, anderen zu vergeben.
«Vergeben heißt, einen Gefangenen zu befreien und zu entdecken, dass der Gefangene du warst.» – Lewis B. Smedes
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@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8
2025-06-10 06:08:47Wie weit ist es noch her mit Einigkeit und Recht und Freiheit?
Wie weit sind diese wunderbaren Begriffe schon von Spaltung, Willkür und Bevormundung verdrängt worden?
Ein Land, dessen Werte aus dem Ruder gelaufen sind. Regiert von Teflonauten. Teflonauten? Das sind die, die sich vor Eintritt in die Politik in einem Fass Teflon-Lack haben taufen lassen, damit alle Vernunft an ihnen abperlt.
Für Deutschland gehen die Superlative aus, die den Gesamtzustand eines Staates beschreiben könnten, der in jeder Hinsicht aus den Fugen geraten ist. Wie in einem vorangegangenen Kommentar zu einem anderen Thema zu lesen war, die Satiriker werden langsam arbeitslos, weil die Realität alles überbietet.
Eine unsägliche Riege von Politikern demontiert eine Demokratie, die bis 2019 wenigstens noch einigermaßen erträglich funktioniert hat. Man hatte noch das Gefühl, man wird weitgehend in Ruhe gelassen.
Mit dem Corona-Ereignis wurde die Büchse der Pandora geöffnet. Seitdem fließen totalitäre Elemente in die Demokratie ein. Wer darauf hinweist, läuft Gefahr, es mit der vom Souverän gekaperten Macht zu tun zu bekommen.
Für die, die gegen die Bevölkerungsverdummung immun sind, wird es zunehmend unerträglicher, doch – da müssen wir durch.
Es ist gut, dass all die Machenschaften, die die Deutschen sonst nicht mitbekommen haben, allendhalben hier und da mal ein Skandälchen, ans Tageslicht kommen.
Es ist gut, dass es so offensichtlich ist, dass die dicksten Klopse, die sich die sogenannten Politiker erlauben, nicht den geringsten Anlass dazu geben, zurückzutreten. Vorbei die Zeiten, in den schon viel kleinere Vergehen, einen Politiker dazu genötigt haben. Es ist gut, weil so klar wird, dass das politische Gewissen nur noch im Museum besichtigt werden kann. Irgendwann versteht das auch noch der Letzte im hintersten Winkel des besten Deutschlands aller Zeiten.
Die Inkompetenz ist überall sichtbar, durch die, die unfähig sind, ihre Machenschaften zu verbergen.
Läppisch geschnitzte Pfeifen geben sich als wohlgestimmte Orgel aus und meinen, es gäbe niemanden, der die Kakophonie hören würde. Ein schräges Blockflöten-Konzert wird zum Musikgenuss hochstilisiert, von Leuten, die ständig ihren Notenschlüssel verlegen und dadurch nicht mehr in den Raum der Vernunft kommen.
Die Menschen in Deutschland haben sich aufgeteilt in die, die von all dem nichts wissen wollen und sich einreden, es sei doch alles in Ordnung. Für die, die sich brav ihre tägliche Gehirnwäsche in den inzwischen für die Qualität ihrer Propaganda bekannten Medien abholen, das sind noch rund 60%, gibt es keine Einschränkung der Meinungsfreiheit. Rund 40%, die der Meinung sind, dass man in Deutschland seine Meinung nicht mehr frei äußern kann, sind noch viel zu wenig! Für immer noch zu viele ist J. D. Vance ein Verschwörungstheoretiker, der die Sicherheitskonferenz in München dazu missbraucht hat, seine kruden Ansichten zu verbreiten.
Und dann gibt es die, die mitbekommen, was in Deutschland los ist. Die werden oft erschlagen von den Verstrickungen, Irrungen und Wirrungen, die sich immer mehr zeigen und immer dreister als Selbstverständlichkeit, als das Normalste von der Welt postuliert werden. Für die ist der gesundheitliche Zustand der deutschen Demokratie immer mehr ein Dauerpatient auf der Intensivstation.
Realitätsfremde Energiepolitik, Nordstream kaputt, gut so, kein Interesse an einer Wiederinbetriebnahme;
rückläufige Wirtschaft, zunehmende Firmenpleiten, Abwanderung von Unternehmen;
eklatante Steuergeldverbrennung, Northvolt in die Grütze gefahren, Maskendeals, zur Belohnung das nächste Pöstchen;
einseitige, weglassende Hofberichterstattung mit dem Hang zu Amnäsie;
fragwürdige Gerichtsurteile; Schauprozesse gegen Ballweg, Füllmich und viele andere, Masken, Atteste, Strafzahlungen, Majestätsbeleidigung etc. etc. etc..
Gewalt und Tod durch Messerfachkräfte, es sind ja die Messer, nicht die Menschen, die sie in der Hand haben, transparenter Aufklärungsrückstau;
intellektuelle Beleidigungen durch Schönrederei, man glaubt, die anderen sind noch dümmer als man selbst;
existenzbedrohende Kontenkündigungen, wir machen dich fertig;
politischer Dummschwätz, Wiederholungen, Wiederholungen, Wiederholungen;
Einzug totalitärer Strukturen, wer die Augen aufmacht, sieht sie;
infantile Repräsentanz Deutschlands im Ausland, Abwesenheit von Diplomatie;
Aufstachelung der Bürger, damit sie ja schön kriegsgeil werden, siehe auch Dummschwätz;
Angstpornos, bei ständigem Einlass in Kino 7;
lächerliche Preisverleihungen, armutsfördernde Preiserhöhungen;
zunehmendes Misstrauen gegenüber der eigenen Bevölkerung, der Feind im eigenen Land;
Bevormundung, betreutes Denken, Fühlen, Wollen;
bedrohlich zunehmende Überwachungsanstrengungen, digitale Identität, die als Sicherheit verkauft wird, jedoch nichts anderes ist, als der Versuch der Einrichtung eines Überwachungs-Kontroll-Systems;
nichts, aber auch rein gar nichts hat Konsequenzen, die dazu führen, dass die Verantwortlichen zum Sandkornzählen in die Wüste geschickt werden, damit sie den Rest ihres Lebens beschäftigt sind und kein Unheil mehr anrichten können.
Unaufhaltsam rast der Personal-Zug Deutschland, überfüllt mit Fahrgästen, die meinen, Trump ist verrückt und Putin ist die Personifizierung des Bösen, gezogen von einer mit heißer Luft betriebenen Lok, die von Heizern befeuert wird, die den Kessel unentwegt mit Angst und Wahnsinn schüren, auf den Berg aus Granit zu, der unweigerlich eine Katastrophe für die Demokratie von ungeahntem Ausmaß verursachen wird. Ständig wird die Strecke künstlich verlängert, indem neue Schienen und Schleifen hinzugefügt werden, statt den Zug rechtzeitig noch zum Halten zu bringen. Die Geschwindigkeit ist inzwischen schon so hoch, dass selbst der Geist, der zu Pfingsten ja ausgeschüttet wird, niemanden mehr erreicht.
Deutschland ist in der Hand von ideologisch vergifteten Versagern zweiter und letzter Wahl und einer verschworenen Gemeinschaft von Universal-Dilettanten, die den Untergang der freiheitlich-demokratischen Grundordnung fest im Zangengriff haben und keinerlei Anstalten machen, diesen wieder lösen zu wollen.
Das Land der Denker und Dichter geht vor die Hunde. Freiheitlich, wirtschaftlich, gesellschaftlich, politisch, rechtlich. Um die Manege sitzen immer noch viel zu viele sogenannte Bürger, die Beifall klatschen, oder sich zumindest einreden, es sei doch weitgehend alles in Ordnung. Bravo! Es ist so unglaublich unterhaltend, sich nach Strich und Faden an der Nase herumführen zu lassen.
Und die, die die Kraft haben, auf diesen Wahnsinn hinzuschauen, die wissen gar nicht, was sie zuerst tun sollen: Heulen, schreien, verzweifelt sein, unentwegt mit dem Kopf schütteln, dagegen anschreiben, wachrütteln, flüchten oder dableiben, sich in Sicherheit bringen?
Die Demokratie und Rechtsstaatlichkeit sind von „Demokraten“ gekidnappt worden, die behaupten, sie würden sie verteidigen. Dabei geht es ausschließlich nur um deren Machterhalt und die Besitzstandswahrung ihrer erbärmlichen Pöstchen, mit einer weiteren Diätenerhöhung von rund 600 Euro im Juli 2025. Deutschland ist zu einem drittklassigen Selbstbedienungsladen verkommen, und es wird unentwegt in die Kasse gegriffen, solange noch was zu holen ist. Und damit das auch noch eine Zeit lang so weitergehen kann, wird Luftgeld produziert und als Sondervermögen deklariert, und damit eine Hypothek geschaffen, die zukünftige Generationen niemals werden ausgleichen können.
Wie gelegen käme da ein Krieg, in dem all dieser menschengemachte Unsinn wertlos wird. Und ein Neuanfang danach wird dann als überragende politische Leistung verkauft, die zum Wohle des Volkes geschaffen wurde, damit ein neues Wirtschaftswunder möglich werden kann. Los, ran, wieder all das aufbauen, das Deppen zuvor in die Tonne gekloppt haben. Uns geht’s ja schon wieder so gut, wir wollen uns wirklich nicht beklagen. Wir haben ja von all dem nichts gewusst. Wir waren ja nur die Opfer einer fehlgeleiteten Politik. Was hätten wir denn tun können? So oder so ähnlich wird dann das eigene Gewissen wieder durch fadenscheinigen Selbstbetrug beruhigt.
Das ganze System stinkt zum Himmel. Unerträglicher Gestank nach Zersetzung und Verwesung, der uns als neuester Schrei der Parfum-Hersteller verkauft wird.
Man kann gar nicht so schnell schreiben, wie man sich aufregen möchte.
Das ist kein Ventil zum Ausdruck der unglaublichen Empörung. Das wäre zu einfach und bedeutungslos. Nein, mit jedem Wort und jedem Artikel und jedem neuen Abonnenten von pareto verbindet sich die Hoffnung, wieder jemanden zum Nachdenken anregen zu können. Damit die Zahl derjenigen, die die Demokratie verstanden haben, von Tag zu Tag größer wird. Damit sich von unten herauf eine geistige Kraft immer mehr entfaltet, die dieses impertinente Lügenkonstrukt zum Einstürzen bringt. Ein Leuchtfeuer muss ständig brennen, wenn Gefahr in Verzug ist. Wenn man so will, ist das Revolution, aber eine geistige und vor allem friedliche. Wenn immer mehr Menschen mutig verstehen, was in Deutschland abgeht, dann nagt das unermüdlich an den künstlich geschaffenen, unmenschlichen undemokratischen Strukturen, die den Stümpern die Macht rauben werden, damit dieses ganze Lügengebäude endlich implodieren kann.
Je lauter Delegitimierung geschrien wird, desto deutlicher tritt hervor, wer für die Delegitimierung der freiheitlich-demokratischen Grundordnung und die Aushöhlung des Grundgesetzes verantwortlich ist.
Deutschland kann nur wirklich in Richtung Souveränität gehen, wenn wir so weit gekommen sind, dass sich das deutsche Volk in freier Entscheidung eine Verfassung (gerne auf Grundlage des Grundgesetzes, das nach wie vor provisorischen Charakter hat) gegeben hat, in der Bürgerbeteiligung und Volksentscheide, gerne nach schweizerischem Vorbild, nicht nur zur Pflicht eines jeden Bürgers, sondern ganz selbstverständlich als notwendiger, alltäglicher Beitrag zur Demokratie fest in den Köpfen der Menschen verankert ist.
Gruß an das Amt für, aus Sicht des Bürgers, Fassungslosigkeit. Wenn ein leidenschaftliches Eintreten für Freiheit und Demokratie, durch berechtigte Kritik an den derzeitigen Verhältnissen, als rechts angesehen wird, dann ist der Autor gerne rechts. Eben ein rechter Demokrat, wie es sich gehört!
Vielleicht leidet der Autor auch an Demokratie-Tourette: Ihr Pfeifen, ihr Pfeifen, ihr Pfeifen! Was habt ihr nur aus unserem Land gemacht. Unserem, hört ihr, nicht eurem!
Der Autor hat fertig (jedenfalls für heute!), Deutschland leider auch.
“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”
* *
(Bild von pixabay)
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@ 2b998b04:86727e47
2025-06-10 05:21:03For years, GitHub has been the default home for open source developers. It built its reputation on transparency, collaboration, and a commitment to giving coders a place to share and improve their work. But since Microsoft's acquisition in 2018, subtle changes have begun to surface—not all of them in service to the user.
GitHub is still free. Public repositories remain free. Even private repositories are free, to a point. GitHub Pages, Actions, and Codespaces offer incredibly powerful tools to build and deploy projects at no cost—until you hit certain usage limits or need team-scale features.
But the deeper question is this: what do you give up in exchange?
Microsoft Doesn’t Give Away Infrastructure for Free
GitHub, VSCode, Copilot, and Azure form a tightly integrated ecosystem. On the surface, it's all about productivity. But underneath, it's about data. Your code trains their models. Your habits inform their products. Your workflows deepen their lock-in.
Take Copilot, for example: it’s not just a coding assistant, it’s a data-harvesting engine built on top of a centralized platform. The more you use GitHub, the more Microsoft knows about what developers are building—and what they might buy.
Free Isn’t Sovereign
As developers, we have to ask hard questions:
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What happens when the free tier disappears or changes?
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Can I take my work elsewhere without breaking my stack?
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Who owns the insights derived from my development patterns?
These questions aren’t hypothetical. We’ve seen them play out with Heroku, Medium, Twitter, and countless others. Free turns into friction. Then friction becomes control.
Alternatives Are Emerging
Thankfully, there are options:
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Codeberg, Gitea, and SourceHut for Git hosting
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Cloudflare Pages for static sites + edge functions
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Railway, Fly.io, or even VPS hosting for dynamic apps
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Nostr and IPFS for decentralized publishing
These aren’t always drop-in replacements. But they represent a healthier direction—one aligned with freedom, transparency, and a proof-of-work ethos rather than a proof-of-data-capture business model.
My Move Away from GitHub (Sort Of)
I’m not deleting my GitHub account. It’s still the best way to reach other devs. But for key projects—especially those that touch on identity, sovereignty, or censorship resistance—I’m migrating:
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Private infrastructure where needed
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Cloudflare for front-end deployments
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Nostr for publishing and archiving
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Git mirroring to open alternatives
Because the tools we use shape the future we build. And if the platform is free, but the product is you—it's time to re-evaluate.
#ProofOfWork #OpenSource #Cloudflare #DecentralizeEverything #Nostr #GitSovereignty #MicrosoftStack
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@ 2b998b04:86727e47
2025-06-10 04:00:54Turning 60
Ten years ago, I turned 50 with a vague sense that something was off.
I was building things, but they didn’t feel grounded.\ I was "in tech," but tech felt like a treadmill—just faster, sleeker tools chasing the same hollow outcomes.\ I knew about Bitcoin, but I dismissed it. I thought it was just “tech for tech’s sake.”
Less than a year later, I fell down the rabbit hole.
It didn’t happen all at once. At first it was curiosity. Then dissonance. Then conviction.
Somewhere in that process, I realized Bitcoin wasn’t just financial—it was philosophical. It was moral. It was real. And it held up a mirror to a life I had built on momentum more than mission.
So I started pruning.
I left Web3.\ I pulled back from projects that ran on hype instead of honesty.\ I repented—for chasing relevance instead of righteousness.\ And I began stacking—not just sats, but new habits. New thinking. New rhythms of faith, work, and rest.
Now at 60, I’m not where I thought I’d be.
But I’m more myself than I’ve ever been.\ More convicted.\ More rooted.\ More ready.
Not to start over—but to build again, from the foundation up.
If you're in that middle place—between chapters, between convictions, between certainty and surrender—you're not alone.
🟠 I’m still here. Still building. Still listening.
Zap if this resonates, or send your story. I’d love to hear it.
[*Zap *](https://tinyurl.com/yuyu2b9t)
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@ 472f440f:5669301e
2025-06-10 03:58:15Marty's Bent
via me
"The man in the coma" has been a long-running archetype of a bitcoiner on TFTC and Rabbit Hole Recap. Over the years, we've referenced the man in the coma in regards to bitcoin being a backward compatible distributed network that would enable an individual, in the case of our example - a man who fell into a coma, to be able to wake up many years, even decades, after falling into a deep sleep, go back to his bitcoin node and be able to participate in the network and validate his own transactions as if the network was operating the same it was the day he slipped into a coma. As a distributed network, this is one of bitcoin's greatest value props; consistency for the individual running it, no matter the version.
Having spent 12 years engrossed in bitcoin, thinking about it every day, building a media company focused on educating people about the network and the monetary revolution it enables, why it's important and how they can use it. Becoming a managing partner at Ten31, which is dedicated to investing in companies building out infrastructure that makes bitcoin more accessible and easier to use; "the man in the coma" has become a more prominent archetype in my mind.
"The man in the coma" archetype can be described in other ways. For instance, there was an individual by the name of John Doe, who joined myself and Matt Odell on TFTC about seven years ago who went to jail for four years. He was distributing certain goods on the Silk Road for many years and got nabbed by the police while throwing a house party. Unfortunately for Mr. Doe, the goods he were selling via the Silk Road were in the house hosting the party that got busted. Fortunately for Mr. Doe, the police who nabbed him were not privy to the way in which he was marketing and selling the goods. He went to jail for four years, walked out at the end of his sentence, found his bitcoin wallets, recovered them and was more than pleasantly surprised at the magnitude of his wealth.
The forced hodl that was incited by the state throwing him in a cage wound up paying off after four years. Now, I can certainly admit that time is the most scarce asset in the world. Being put in a cage for four years or falling into a coma for a number of years is not ideal. However, there are lessons to be gleaned from the successes that have been realized by "the man in the coma" and the man who was forced to hodl by being thrown in a cage. Unable to access his bitcoin during that period of time to make less than wise decisions.
The main lesson to be gleaned is that doing nothing is oftentimes significantly more optimal than doing something. Too many bitcoiners decide to make rash decisions influenced by the day-to-day happenings on social media or some one-off comment from someone in their personal life that they respect. These comments can be about the long-term viability of bitcoin itself, some prognostications about where the price is going in a short-term to medium-term time frame or simply the social aspects of being associated with bitcoin. All of these factors play into influencing certain individuals deciding to sell their bitcoin in the hopes of buying it back lower, realizing something material in their day-to-day life or jumping off a ship that they've been convinced is about to sink.
In my mind, the only thing listed above that makes a bit of sense to me is realizing something material in your day-to-day life. Selling some bitcoin to purchase something that makes your life better like enabling you to support your family at a critical time and in a way that would not be possible unless you sold bitcoin. That makes sense to me. However, the other two are completely nonsensical. Bitcoin's success is binary. It either succeeds or it doesn't. And if you accept that this is true, success means slowly but surely becoming the global reserve currency and monetary network used by billions of humans on the planet or it goes to zero.
If the former materializes, that means that billions of people are going to be competing for 21 million Bitcoin. There are, by some estimates, $900 trillion worth of assets that are being used to store wealth over the short, medium, and long term. Bitcoin has the potential to subsume a material percentage of that $900 trillion. In my mind, if bitcoin is as good as I believe it is, it should take at least half of that market, if not 80 to 90%. This in and of itself is a gamble. No one can be certain that this will come true. And with that in mind you have to make a probabilistic bet by surveying the world and discerning what the likelihood of bitcoin's ultimate success is.
If you think governments, central banks, and large corporations are going to continue down the path of unfettered expansion of the monetary base, debt, and misallocation of capital, bitcoin, a peer-to-peer distributed cash system that cannot be controlled by any individual. corporation, country, or central bank makes a lot of sense. The debasement, the debt expansion, and the misallocation of capital are driven by fallible humans working in incentive structures that are vulnerable to the fallible nature of the humans working within them.
Human fallibility brings with it the ability to talk oneself out of a position that one knows makes sense and is logical. This is the disadvantage that those who are not "the man in the coma" or "the man in a cage" operate from. Being forced to hodl bitcoin is already and will increasingly be seen as a relative advantage. Many who are in bitcoin today, paying attention to every headline, every pull request and every doubt flung their way will likely get to 2030 and agree that they made worse decisions than the man who was thrown in a cage or who slipped into a coma.
Of course, this isn't a fair introspective conclusion. The man in the coma and the man who was forced to hodl because he was put in a jail cell did not have a decision at the end of the day. Both were forced to hodl due to external or internal forces that, all else being equal, they would prefer not have had to endure. However, the outcome of these two situations will likely be better than the outcome of "the man in the arena" who thinks that by making decisions on the go as a slew of information comes his way on a day-to-day basis will materialize in a larger stack of satoshis.
The reality of the situation is such that no one truly knows where bitcoin is going to go on a day-to-day, month-to-month, or year-to-year basis. Especially at this point with large institutions, nation-states, corporations, and individual states getting into the fray. The only tried-and-true strategy within bitcoin over the long term is to stay humble, stack sats, and hodl like you are "the man in the coma" or the man who was thrown in a cage.
Bitcoin's Volatility Won't End With Institutional Adoption
Leon Wankum challenged the popular "supercycle" narrative during our conversation, arguing that Bitcoin's volatility isn't going away despite massive institutional adoption. While acknowledging that MicroStrategy now holds over 2% of all Bitcoin and won't sell, Leon maintains that leverage will still need to be washed out. He expects another 60% drawdown at the end of this bull cycle, viewing this as a feature rather than a bug of Bitcoin's design.
"Bitcoin naturally washes out leverage, it builds resilience and we don't go through these crazy boom and bust cycles, we go through bull and bear markets and I think that's a net positive." - Leon Wankum
Leon sees Bitcoin's volatility as fundamentally different from fiat's destructive boom-bust cycles. Where traditional markets require central bank intervention to prop up failing systems, Bitcoin's regular corrections create genuine resilience. Bad actors will always enter during euphoric phases, and the subsequent washouts ensure only strong hands remain. This natural selection process, he argues, is beautiful - it's what makes Bitcoin antifragile.
Check out the full podcast here for more on real estate opportunity costs, Bitcoin bonds, and treasury company risks.
Headlines of the Day
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Uber CEO Calls Bitcoin Proven Store of Value - via X
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Final thought...
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@ da8b7de1:c0164aee
2025-06-10 03:48:06Sizewell C atomerőmű – 14,2 milliárd fontos állami beruházás
A brit kormány 14,2 milliárd fonttal támogatja az új Sizewell C atomerőmű megépítését a suffolki tengerparton. A beruházás célja, hogy növelje az ország energiaszuverenitását, elősegítse a gazdasági növekedést, és hozzájáruljon a klímavédelmi célokhoz azáltal, hogy hatmillió otthon energiaellátását biztosítja alacsony szén-dioxid-kibocsátású forrásból.
Főbb pontok:
- A Sizewell C várhatóan 10 000 közvetlen munkahelyet teremt, és további ezreket a beszállítói láncban; az építkezés során 1 500 tanuló is részt vesz majd.
- A projekt a legnagyobb nukleáris beruházás egy generáció óta, és a kormány szerint elengedhetetlen a fosszilis energiahordozók kiváltásához, valamint a villamosenergia-hálózat dekarbonizációjához 2030-ig.
- A Sizewell C a Hinkley Point C mintájára épül, amely jelentős késésekkel és költségtúllépésekkel küzd – emiatt a kritikusok attól tartanak, hogy a Sizewell C is hasonló sorsra juthat.
- A projekt végső költsége még bizonytalan: a hivatalos becslések 20-35 milliárd font között mozognak, de egyes iparági források akár 40 milliárd fontos végösszeget is elképzelhetőnek tartanak.
- A finanszírozás részben állami, részben magánbefektetőktől és a fogyasztók villanyszámláján keresztül valósul meg – utóbbi a Regulated Asset Base (RAB) modell révén, ami várhatóan növeli a háztartások energiaszámláit.
- A beruházás ellenzői – köztük a Stop Sizewell C csoport – szerint a pénzt más, olcsóbb és gyorsabban megvalósítható megújuló energiaforrásokra kellene fordítani, és aggódnak a környezeti hatások, valamint a helyi lakosságot érintő változások miatt.
- A végső befektetési döntés (Final Investment Decision) még nem született meg, annak meghozatalát a nyárra ígérik.
Források::
- bbc.com
- stopsizewellc.org
- edfenergy.com
- gov.uk
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-06-10 01:37:32ถ้าเฮียบอกว่า “นมข้นหวานคืออาหารของสงคราม” หลายคนอาจขมวดคิ้ว ว่าอาหารหวานมันเกี่ยวอะไรกับดินปืน กระสุน และการยิงปะทะกันกลางสนามรบ แต่ถ้าย้อนเวลากลับไปช่วงปลายศตวรรษที่ 19 ถึงต้นศตวรรษที่ 20 เราจะเห็นชัดว่า ไม่ใช่แค่ปืนที่รัฐทุ่มเทวิจัย แต่รวมไปถึง “อาหารเก็บได้นาน ส่งถึงปากทหารโดยไม่เน่า” ซึ่งเป็นหัวใจของความอยู่รอดในสนามรบ และหนึ่งในของวิเศษนั้นก็คือ “นมข้นหวาน” ที่ภายหลังจะกลายเป็นตัวแปรสำคัญในวิถีอาหารของคนทั่วโลก รวมถึงในแก้วชาเย็นของคนไทยเรานี่แหละ
จุดเริ่มต้นของนมข้นหวานต้องย้อนไปก่อนสงครามกลางเมืองอเมริกาเล็กน้อย ราวปี 1856 ชายชื่อ Gail Borden คิดค้นวิธีการทำให้นมสดไม่บูดง่าย ด้วยการเอานมไปต้มหรือระเหยน้ำออก (evaporation) แล้วเติมน้ำตาลเข้าไปเพื่อยืดอายุการเก็บรักษา สูตรนี้ทำให้เขาตั้งบริษัท Borden Condensed Milk Company ขึ้นในปี 1857 และทันทีที่สงครามกลางเมืองอเมริกาเริ่มในปี 1861 รัฐบาลสหรัฐก็หันมาซื้อ “นมข้นหวาน” จำนวนมากเพราะมันเก็บได้นาน ไม่เสียง่ายเหมือนนมสด และพกพาง่ายกว่า
ปรากฏว่าทหารที่ไปรบกลับมาติดใจ เพราะไม่เคยได้กินอะไรหวานมันกลมกล่อมขนาดนั้นมาก่อน พอสงครามจบ ตลาดคนทั่วไปก็เริ่มรับรู้และนิยมบริโภคของชนิดนี้มากขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ แถมยังใช้ในเด็กด้วย เพราะช่วงนั้นมีความเชื่อว่านมข้นหวานคือ “นมสำหรับเด็ก” ที่ปลอดภัยกว่าเพราะผ่านการฆ่าเชื้อแล้ว แม้จะขาดสารอาหารสำคัญหลายตัวก็ตามทีเรื่องนี้จริงนะครับ รัฐบางแห่ง เช่น สหรัฐฯ และฝรั่งเศส มีเอกสารแนะนำให้ใช้นมข้นแทนนมแม่หากไม่สามารถให้นมเองได้ โดยอ้างความปลอดภัยจากการฆ่าเชื้อ แม้ในช่วงศตวรรษที่ 19 มีเด็กทารกเสียชีวิตเพราะพ่อแม่ใช้นมข้นหวาน จนทำให้หลายประเทศต้องออกคำเตือนภายหลัง
พอเข้าสู่ช่วงสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 1 (1914–1918) นมข้นหวานก็กลับมาเป็นฮีโร่อีกครั้ง คราวนี้รัฐบาลสหรัฐจัดเต็ม สั่งผลิตเพื่อส่งไปแนวหน้าให้ทหารพันธมิตรในยุโรป จนทำให้ supply ไม่พอกับ demand และบริษัทใหญ่ ๆ เช่น Nestlé และ Borden เริ่มขยายฐานการผลิตในระดับอุตสาหกรรม จนกลายเป็นเจ้าตลาด และนี่เองคือช่วงเวลาที่ “นมข้นหวานกลายเป็นสินค้าระดับโลก” แบบไม่ตั้งใจ
ในช่วง Great Depression (1929 เป็นต้นไป) นมข้นหวานกลายเป็น อาหารราคาถูก ที่ “แทน” อาหารสดในครัวคนจนได้ เพราะไม่ต้องแช่เย็น และให้พลังงานสูง ซึ่งส่งผลให้มันเจาะตลาดแม้ในช่วงเศรษฐกิจตกต่ำ เป็นช่วงทองของการขยายฐานการตลาดของนมข้นหวาน ขอบคุณสงครามที่ป้อนผู้บริโภคให้ฟรี ๆ มานานหลายปี มันเริ่มเข้าครัวคนทั่วไปและกลายเป็นวัตถุดิบในเมนูประจำวัน ไม่ว่าจะใส่กาแฟ โปะขนมปัง หรือใส่ขนมหวาน ซึ่งประเทศที่อยู่ในอาณานิคมตะวันตกก็รับวัฒนธรรมนี้ไปโดยปริยาย ไทยเองก็ไม่รอด และเริ่มมีเมนูอย่างชาเย็น กาแฟเย็น ที่ต้องใช้นมข้นหวานเป็นหลัก เพราะมันทั้งหอม มัน หวาน และสำคัญสุดคือ “เก็บได้นาน” ในยุคที่ตู้เย็นยังไม่แพร่หลาย
แต่อย่าเพิ่งนึกว่าเรื่องนี้จะจบแค่นี้ เพราะพอสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 2 มาถึงในปี 1939 สหรัฐฯ ก็กลับมาใช้สูตรเดิมอีกครั้ง คราวนี้ไม่ใช่แค่นมข้นหวานที่ถูกอัดใส่ลังขึ้นเรือไปแนวหน้า แต่รวมถึงสินค้าประหลาดหน้าใหม่ที่ถูก “แปรรูปเพื่อความอยู่รอด” ทั้งหมดซึ่งเดี๋ยวจะทะยอยเล่าให้อีกครั้ง เพราะทั้งหมดนี้คือสิ่งที่รัฐร่วมมือกับบริษัทใหญ่ผลิตเพื่อ “ให้ทหารอิ่มรอด” แต่เมื่อสงครามจบ สินค้าเหล่านี้ไม่หายไปไหน ตรงกันข้าม พวกมันถูก “ประชาสัมพันธ์ว่าเป็นของดีต่อสุขภาพ” มีการเอาผลวิจัยรองรับ (บางอันเป็นของรัฐเองด้วยซ้ำ) และกระตุ้นให้คนเชื่อว่า “นี่คืออาหารสมัยใหม่ของโลกที่ก้าวหน้า” เพราะมันถูกตั้งการผลิตมาในระดับมโหฬารไปเรียบร้อยแล้ว เมื่อมันเริ่มแล้วมันก็ย่อมทำลายทิ้งไม่ได้ นอกจากครอบงำให้ประชากรบริโภคสิ่งเหล่านี้เข้าไปตลอดกาล อย่าลืมว่า บริษัทยักษ์ใหญ่เหล่านี้ไม่มีทางยอมให้สินค้าตายไปจากตลาดแน่นอน
นมข้นหวานก็เช่นกัน มีการจัดโฆษณาผ่านสื่อสิ่งพิมพ์ว่านมสดไม่สะอาดเท่า นมข้นหวานสะอาดกว่าเพราะฆ่าเชื้อแล้ว บางโฆษณาแถมการ์ตูนเด็กชายหญิงหน้าน่ารักพร้อมประโยคว่า “เด็กทุกคนต้องเติบโตด้วยนมข้นหวาน” ซึ่งแน่นอนว่า “หวาน” นั้นแปลว่ามีน้ำตาลระดับสูงจนอาจเทียบเท่าน้ำเชื่อมข้น ๆ ได้
เมื่อคนเริ่มติดรสชาติและบริษัทมีโครงสร้างอุตสาหกรรมรองรับแล้ว ก็ไม่แปลกที่มันจะกลายเป็นส่วนหนึ่งของชีวิตประจำวันของคนทั่วโลก และพอรัฐไม่เตือน แถมยังสนับสนุนเป็นนัย ๆ นานวันเข้าเราก็เลิกตั้งคำถามกันไปเองว่า “แล้วเรากินมันทำไมกันนะ?”
ปัจจุบัน เราอาจรู้ว่านมข้นหวานคือของหวานจัด มีน้ำตาลราว 45–55% ต่อปริมาตร ไม่ใช่แค่ “หวานนิด ๆ” แต่คือ “หวานระดับฆ่าเชื้อได้เลย” และไม่ได้มีสารอาหารเทียบเท่านมจริง ๆ แต่มันกลับยังฝังแน่นในหลายวัฒนธรรมอาหารอย่างแนบเนียน เพราะรากของมันไม่ใช่แค่ในครัว แต่อยู่ในสนามรบ อยู่ในคำสั่งของรัฐ และอยู่ในภาพจำของความหอมหวานที่ไม่มีอะไรมาแทนได้
และนั่นแหละเฮียว่า คือจุดเริ่มต้นของการเปลี่ยน “อาหารเพื่ออยู่รอด” ให้กลายเป็น “อาหารครองโลก” และมันกลายเป็นบรรพบุรุษของแนวคิด “Ultra-Processed Food” ในยุคอุตสาหกรรมอาหารหลังสงคราม โดยไม่ต้องยิงปืนสักนัดเดียว หลายคนอาจจะมองว่า เห้ยทุกวันนี้เราก็รู้แล้วนี่นาว่ามันไม่ได้ดีต่อสุขภาพ ใช่ครับ กว่าเราจะรู้ เขาก็มีแผนใหม่มาครอบงำเราไปเรียบร้อยแล้ว เหมือนกับที่พยายามเล่าให้ทราบใน ep ที่ผ่านๆมานี่ไง สัปดาห์นี้เรากำลังคุยเรื่องอดีต ซึ่งในยุคนั้นประชากรเชื่อจริงๆว่า นมข้นหวาน มันคือของดี งดงามกว่านมสดง่อยๆที่แป๊บเดียวก็เสีย บูด เน่า ลองเอาภาพร่างนี้มาทาบกับปัจจุบันและอนาคตครับ
#pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr
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@ b83a28b7:35919450
2025-06-09 21:14:19I posted on nostr last week that I had finally had enough of the fiat job and decided to take action:
nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpwp69zm7fewjp0vkp306adnzt7249ytxhz7mq3w5yc629u6er9zsqythwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnswf5k6ctv9ehx2ap0qyghwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnhd9hx2tcqyr604hwzr8vvluvp8y0s42gu4x0e725cetugnh7g293g9cggtpujww6vn8n
I'm going to document my journey from being in a well-established and well-paying fiat job into the unknown world of independent work in freedom tech in a series of articles. Will I end up finding something truly inspiring and fulfilling, while being able to support my family? We'll find out over the course of the next few weeks.
They say a watched pot never boils, but I’ve discovered a corollary: a watched lay-off never lands. It has now been ten full rotations of this curious planet since I politely asked my SVP to lay me off. The axe remains lodged somewhere in upper-management limbo, perhaps awaiting the proper ceremonial robe or a Procrustean bed that meets quarterly OKR standards.
While the paperwork drifts in the stratosphere, I’ve begun a quiet, delicious rebellion. My calendar, once a Tetris board stacked with 10–12 neon bricks of back-to-back calls, now resembles minimalist art: a single meeting block lounging at 11 a.m., sipping espresso and judging the empty white space around it. When unreasonable requests for road-maps, slide-decks, or seventeen-page AI vision statements arrive, I respond with the calm of a mountain lake: That timeline seems ambitious... shall we refine the scope? The sound you hear is the collective gasp of colleagues who thought the only acceptable answer was Yes, by yesterday.
With those reclaimed hours I’ve slipped into my mad-scientist lab (occasionally also known as sofa in the guest bedroom, or Orange Room) to experiment on MKStack. Imagine a Lego set for nostr clients, only the bricks are pure code and half the instructions are written in the margin of a philosophy book. I’m vibecoding away, torching roughly thirty thousand sats in compute every day as GPUs hum like distant Tibetan bowls. An accountant might call it reckless; I call it tuition for the University of Possibility.
The experiments are already bearing odd fruit. NosFabrica, the health-data-on-nostr project I started with nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgqgdwaehxw309ahx7uewd3hkcqpqt8pwzkkhhs94e9acgw9jwca9csyl7a4tnpdttu05039um5j7d6xskflc8d and nostr:nprofile1qy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq3qamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wd4hk6tcqyprqcf0xst760qet2tglytfay2e3wmvh9asdehpjztkceyh0s5r9cpvx58v is finally getting the attention it deserves. I've built out a simple prototype for a provider directory, that only lists providers with a "credential" issued by me. I'm polishing the app now, but hope to release it for testing in the next couple of weeks.
Most gratifying of all, I’ve traded status meetings for sideline cheers. My 14-yo son is sprinting toward his final exams and soccer playoffs simultaneously - Hegel might call it thesis and antithesis, I call it Tuesday. Instead of doom-scrolling Microsoft Teams during his matches, I’m barking out instructions to him to stay onside, while curbing my desire to manhandle the incompetent refs for not calling a penalty when he's clearly being roughhoused in the box by 190-lb defenders with neck beards and chest hair.
Here’s an unexpected twist: without the daily psychic smog of corporate urgency, the sky inside my skull has cleared. Ideas that once flickered like fireflies now glow with stadium lighting. I have sketched three chapters of the sequel to 24 (called July 18), and outlined a new creative project called A Muse Stochastic (coming soon). I don’t know which, if any, of these seedlings will grow, but the soil finally feels fertile again.
Do I worry about the math? Of course. The household budget once kept afloat by a predictable salary will soon meet the iceberg of reality. Yet the anxiety is strangely weightless, as though the fear itself got furloughed. Maybe it’s naïveté, maybe faith; either way, the net I cannot see is starting to feel palpable beneath my feet.
Ten days in, the lessons are already crystallizing:
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Silence is space. Remove a dozen meetings and the mind blooms faster than AWS bills.
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Pushback is a spiritual practice. Each gentle “no” to nonsense is a “yes” to sanity.
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Compute credits are cheaper than regrets. I’ll trade a double espresso's worth of GPU time for a shot at building the future any day.
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Presence compounds. One extra hour on the training pitch yields more familial ROI than a dozen performance reviews.
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Uncertainty is a mirror. Stare into it long enough and you start seeing yourself, not your résumé.
Where does this road lead? I genuinely have no clue. The map dissolves about three steps ahead, like one of those old adventure games where the terrain renders just before you walk off a cliff. But every time I inch forward, the ground materializes. The net appears.
Next week, perhaps I’ll report that the corporate guillotine finally fell, or that I’ve secured my first contract, or that my son aced biology while scoring the winning goal. Whatever unfolds, I’ll keep threading these reflections into the loom of “The Net Appears.” After all, an abyss is just an invitation to practice flight.
Until then, may your own invisible nets breeze into view exactly when you need them, and may they be woven from stronger stuff than corporate lanyards.
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@ 8b0a2bea:857d369f
2025-06-09 17:17:20Hey guys,
This is the Geyser Team, and finally we have our own territory on SN!
At Geyser we're passionate about driving grassroots Bitcoin Adoption. We created https://geyser.fund/ to empower Bitcoin creators to come together and make great Bitcoin ideas happen.
For some time now, we've feeling the need to see our community come together and come to life a bit more. And we couldn't think of a better place than SN!
We look forward to sharing on here so much of what is happening on Geyser: - New Projects - Exciting Project updates - Progress on grassroots Bitcoin adoption - New Product features and udpates - Getting questions from our community - AMAs with new creators
What are some things you'd like to see on this channel? We look forward to your feedback!
--Geyser Team
https://stacker.news/items/1001708
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@ a4043831:3b64ac02
2025-06-10 14:55:39Retirement planning is like laying down the blueprint for your future, where financial security meets your personal dreams and desires. It's about taking a proactive approach to ensure that your golden years are truly golden, filled with comfort and freedom rather than financial stress. The process of creating a retirement plan includes identifying your income sources, adding up your expenses, putting a savings plan into effect, and managing your assets.
It is essential for several reasons:
- Securing Your Financial Future:
Retirement marks the start of a phase where financial worries should no longer dominate your life. Thoughtful retirement planning ensures a consistent income to support your lifestyle and manage unexpected costs.
- Achieving Your Personal Goals:
Retirement offers the chance to focus on passions, hobbies, and experiences delayed during your career. Early preparation makes aspirations such as travel, making new hobbies and spending time with your loved ones, achievable.
- Managing Health Care Needs:
Healthcare often becomes a major expense with age. Without proper planning, medical costs can strain your finances. A comprehensive retirement plan accounts for healthcare needs, helping you manage these expenses while maintaining your standard of living.
- Leaving a Legacy:
Many people wish to leave something behind for their loved ones or give to charity. This minimizes burdens on your family and maximizes your impact.
Elements of a Retirement Plan
A well-structured retirement plan involves several key elements to ensure a comprehensive approach to financial security:
1. Fact-Finding Conversations:
Critical fact-finding discussions are the foundation of retirement planning. Understanding your retirement goals and desires helps shape the path to achieve them. This involves listening to your stories and defining your minimum and optimal retirement lifestyles, including estimating the associated costs.
2. Retirement Income Sources:
Diversifying your income streams is crucial. This includes pensions, social security benefits, annuities, and passive income sources like rental properties or dividends. Understanding the tax implications of each source is also important.
3. Investment Strategy Determination:
Allocating assets based on your specific retirement goals is essential. This involves aligning your investments with the time frame and nature of your retirement aspirations, whether immediate income or long-term growth. Your investment strategy is customized to support your desired lifestyle and factors in your risk tolerance and the returns needed to fund your retirement adequately.
4. Specific Asset Recommendations:
A mix of equities, bonds, real estate, and other assets is often recommended. Diverse portfolios are crucial for mitigating risk while aiming for growth. The portfolio recommendation will support your retirement objectives and be well-equipped to handle market fluctuations and economic changes. Regular reviews and adjustments to your asset allocation ensure your plan remains aligned with your life circumstances.
Benefits of Retirement Planning
- Retirement planning offers numerous benefits that contribute to a secure and fulfilling retirement:
- Financial Security: Ensures a steady flow of income to maintain your standard of living.
- Peace of Mind: Reduces financial stress and uncertainty, allowing you to enjoy your retirement years.
- Goal Fulfillment: Helps you achieve personal aspirations and pursue activities that you are passionate about.
- Healthcare Preparedness: Provides strategies to manage healthcare expenses without depleting savings.
Conclusion
Retirement planning is an essential process for securing financial independence, pursuing personal aspirations, and preparing for unforeseen circumstances in later years. By focusing on key elements such as income sources, investments, and healthcare, individuals can build a robust roadmap for a fulfilling and worry-free retirement.
If unsure where to begin, Passive Capital Management’s financial planners and advisors can provide valuable guidance. By analyzing your current financial situation and future goals, they can chart a clear trajectory to achieve your aspirations. Their team evaluates whether you are on the right path and recommends adjustments to align with your long-term priorities. Contact Passive Capital Management today to ensure a tailored approach to building a secure and fulfilling retirement.
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@ 866e0139:6a9334e5
2025-06-09 17:05:11Autor: Bernd Schoepe. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.
Die Anmerkungen zum Text (Fußnoten) folgen aus technischen Gründen gesondert.
Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.
Teil 1 des Essays lesen Sie hier.
Hochkonjunktur der Zeitenwenden
Wir befinden uns gerade in einer Hochkonjunktur der Zeitenwenden.
Es ist zu befürchten, dass man mit den Zeitenwenden bald gar nicht mehr hinterher kommt!
Der ungewöhnliche Plural lässt vermuten, dass wir mit einer Situation konfrontiert sind, in der politisch paradoxe Phänomene und Entwicklungen sich kumulieren. Entwicklungen und Phänomene, die schwer zu verstehen und noch schwerer zu händeln sind. Global übt das Paradoxale einen erhöhten Problem- und Entscheidungsdruck auf die Politik aus und steigert die Gefahr, daraus emergierende Spannungen gewaltsam lösen zu wollen.
Stellen wir einen Vergleich an. So hat die Zeitenwende, die Anfang des Jahres in Washington mit der Wiederwahl Donald Trumps eingeläutet wurde, schon viel mehr positive Ergebnisse – im Sinne eines echten Politikwechsels – erreicht als die nach Beginn des Ukraine-Kriegs 2022 von Scholz zackig im feldmarschallähnlichen Stil ohne Einbezug des Bundestages proklamierte Zeitenwende. Im Februar wurde die Scholzsche Zeitenwende-Politik abgewählt, wird von Merz aber fortgeführt, während Trump für seine Zeitenwende gegen die den Krieg weiter befürwortenden Demokraten als klarer Sieger aus der Wahl hervorging. Zuletzt gelang es der US-amerikanischen Diplomatie, Friedensverhandlungen in Istanbul zwischen der Ukraine und Russland in Gang zu setzen, auch im Nahen Osten gerät vieles in Bewegung.
Die Folgen der Paradoxien werden von Ulrike Guérot gut zum Ausdruck gebracht:
„Wie gefährlich ist es in einem Land, in dem de facto jetzt Willkür herrscht, in dem Sinne, als das alles, was gestern noch galt, nicht mehr gilt – oder alles, was gestern unmöglich war, auf einmal möglich ist? Wie, außer mit Autorität, Gewalt oder Ideologie, will man vernünftige Bürger dafür gewinnen, den Kurs der Regierung mitzutragen, die auf ‚Kriegstüchtigkdit’ hinarbeitet, während der Frieden schon verhandelt wird?“ (18)
Als dritte Zeitenwende kann jene gelten, die gleichzeitig von den BRICS-Staaten ausgeht. Dieser Prozess hat durch das Einfrieren der Beziehungen des Westens mit Russland und der Verschlechterung der Beziehungen zu China in den letzten drei Jahren an Fahrt aufgenommen. Seither zeichnen sich die Umrisse einer neuen multipolaren Ordnung ab, in der Russland, China und jetzt wohl auch die USA mitspielen wollen, auf die die Europäer aber mental kaum vorbereitet scheinen.
In den USA hat sich der Wind gedreht, doch Deutschland verharrt in den alten Mustern, die in Washington nun abgewrackt werden. Unsere Politiker und Medien verhalten sich dabei wie die drei Affen: Sie wollen nichts sehen, nichts hören, nichts sagen über das, was sich dort tatsächlich ereignet. So findet z.B. eine Neuaufstellung der Wirtschafts- und Außenpolitik statt, in der neue Bündnisse geschmiedet werden, bei denen Europa außen vor bleibt. Über Entwicklungen, die auch äußerst folgenreich für Deutschland und die EU sein könnten, berichtet der Öffentlich-Rechtliche-Rundfunk gar nicht. Das gilt z.B. für die Politik von Gesundheitsminister Robert F. Kennedy jr. und dem neuen Direktor des National Institutes of Health (NIH) Jay Bhattacharya (vormals Stanford University), die sich nicht nur für eine umfassende Aufarbeitung der Corona-Zeit einsetzen, sondern darüber hinaus die Pharma-Industrie im Interesse – auch ein Paradox, an das wir uns aber schon längst gewöhnt haben – eines besseren Gesundheitsschutzes regulieren wollen.
In seiner ideologischen Verbohrtheit und doppelmoralischen Überheblichkeit bemerkt der deutsche Mainstream nicht, wie weit sein Realitätsverlust schon gediehen ist. Das hat zur Folge, dass die Politik hierzulande immer autoaggressivere Züge trägt.
Die eigene aufgeblasene, kriegerische Rhetorik, die als Ersatzhandlung die große Rat- und Erfolglosigkeit des Kurses, der vom Establishment eingeschlagen wurde und an dem eisern festgehalten werden soll, nur schlecht überspielen kann, erinnert mehr und mehr an das selbstverstümmelnde Verhalten manisch Depressiver, die aus ihrer Isolation nicht mehr rausfinden.
Dabei nimmt das Verhängnis des Abstiegs Deutschlands nicht nur energiepolitisch und ökonomisch seinen Lauf. Es wird durch ein Klima der Cancel Culture und Zensur noch weiter verschärft. Dabei besteht der Mehrwert abweichenden Denkens darin, dass nur durch offene Kritik eine Gesellschaft in der Lage bleibt, kreativ auf ihre Probleme zu reagieren. Wer dies unterbindet, würgt die Potenziale zur positiven Veränderung und damit die gesellschaftliche Dynamik und jeden Fortschritt ab. Im Übrigen wäre in einer funktionierenden Demokratie kein Mut für das Äußern abweichender Meinungen nötig.
Die späte Rache der Geschichte
Mit der doppelten Zeitenwende-Rhetorik erleben wir gerade so etwas wie die (zu) späte Rache, die die Geschichte am realpolitischen Hintertreiben, der Sabotage und Obstruktion des ethischen Nie-Wieder-Krieg-Postulats nimmt. Von Anfang an verfolgte diese Obstruktionspolitik das Ziel, den Friedensimpetus, der die Debatten und Handlungen der Mütter und Väter des Grundgesetzes mehrheitlich glaubhaft leitete und prägte, zu neutralisieren und, zumindest teilweise, in sein Gegenteil umzukehren. Fortwährend, von 1945 an, sind diese und ähnliche Bestrebungen durch die imperialistischen Interessen und Pläne sämtlicher US-amerikanischer Administrationen und der dahinter eigenlogisch handelnden, geheimdienstlichen deep state- Strukturen durchkreuzt worden.
In der Bundesrepublik geschah der Wiederaufbau der staatlichen Strukturen maßgeblich mit Personal, das zuvor in der NSDAP und ihren Unterorganisationen das Funktionieren des Nazi-Terror-Regimes sicherstellte. Damit wurde die Chance auf einen antifaschistischen Neuanfang**** vertan. Dass das Konzept eines solchen Neuanfangs, seine nur von einer Minderheit erkannte sittliche und politische Notwendigkeit, zugunsten eines Wiederaufbaus, dem als pragmatische und realistische Lösung der Vorzug gegeben wurde (der gleiche Prozess wiederholte sich 1989 bei der deutschen Wiedervereinigung), sehr schnell verdrängt wurde, ist mitursächlich für die rasende Regression, von der unser Gemeinwesen inzwischen voll erfasst wurde (19). Zur Erklärung des Rückfalls in ein Denken, das Krieg erneut als ein Mittel der Politik etablieren will, dem militärischen Wettrüsten wieder das Wort redet und der Diplomatie, wider alle Vernunft, eine Absage erteilt, muss unbedingt an die frühe Lossagung von jedem ernsthaften, die Aufarbeitung der Vergangenheit betreffenden Denken und Handeln, erinnert werden.
Erschreckende Kontinuitäten
Erschreckenderweise ist das bellizistische Denken, das nach den Brandspuren der verheerenden Kriege des 20. Jahrhunderts in ganz Europa überwunden geglaubt war, ist mit Beginn der russischen Beteiligung am ukrainischen Bruderkrieg wiederauferstanden. Es wird begleitet von einem starken, antifreiheitlichen Affekt, der sich auf dem ganzen Kontinent in der Politik breitgemacht hat. Denn Staaten, die zum Krieg rüsten, drängen die Freiheit auf ganzer Linie zurück, da sich Kriegsvorbereitungen und Militarismus niemals gut mit gesellschaftlicher Liberalität vertragen.
Die antirussischen Kampagnen, die Dämonisierung Putins und Russlands, steht unübersehbar in einer Kontinuität zur nationalsozialistischen Weltanschauung und müssen als ihre zombieähnlichen Wiedergänger betrachtet werden. In Deutschland gedenken die Täter damit, ihre Taten nachträglich moralisch rein zu waschen. Die nekrophilen Handlungen werden erhobenen Hauptes, forsch und mit stolz geschwellter Brust angekündigt, ausgeführt und verteidigt: Sie sind ja die Guten.
DIE FRIEDENSTAUBE FLIEGT AUCH IN IHR POSTFACH!
Hier können Sie die Friedenstaube abonnieren und bekommen die Artikel zugesandt, vorerst für alle kostenfrei, wir starten gänzlich ohne Paywall. (Die Bezahlabos fangen erst zu laufen an, wenn ein Monetarisierungskonzept für die Inhalte steht). Sie wollen der Genossenschaft beitreten oder uns unterstützen? Mehr Infos hier oder am Ende des Textes.
Blicken wir auf das heutige Ausmaß antirussischer Ressentiments und vergleichen wir sie mit dem antislawistischen Rassismus der NS-Ideologie (in dem Angehörige slawischer Völker als „Untermenschen“ galten – 27 Millionen dieser „Untermenschen“ wurden von Deutschen im Zweiten Weltkrieg vernichtet) muss man zu dem gleichen Schluss wie Brecht kommen, den er in seinem Arturo Ui zieht:
„Der Schoß ist fruchtbar noch, aus dem das kroch.“
Erinnern wir uns:
Bis zu einem Viertel der Bundestagsabgeordneten in den Legislaturperioden 1949 bis 1965 und mindestens 26 Angehörige in den Bundeskabinetten bis Helmut Kohl, gehörten der NSDAP an. Ganz zu schweigen von der nationalsozialistischen Kontinuität in den BRD-Geheimdiensten. (20)
„Beim BND waren Massenmörder, da gibt es nichts zu beschönigen.“ (21)
Gerade jetzt, nachdem der Verfassungsschutz in einem geheim gehaltenen, aber an bestimmte Presseorgane vorab lancierten Gutachten (22), die AfD als „gesichert rechtsextrem“ eingestuft hat, ist daran zu erinnern, dass der Verfassungsschutz durch sein V-Leute-System – zum einen durch das vor dem Bundesverfassungsgericht gescheiterte NPD-Verbotsverfahren dokumentiert, zum anderen durch das schuldhafte, noch immer nicht richtig aufgeklärte Agieren des Verfassungsschutzes im NSU-Komplex belegt – als eine Behörde angesehen werden muss, die selber tief in rechtsextreme und rechtsterroristische Strukturen verstrickt ist.
Betrachtet man genauer die Unterlassungen, Vermeidungsstrategien und Ausweichmanöver bezüglich einer NS-Aufarbeitung, die diesen Namen verdient hätte und beginnt man dafür Quellen heranzuziehen, die uns durch das Internet frei zugänglich für die eigene Urteilsbildung zur Verfügung stehen, wird relativ schnell klar, dass der Rechtsextremismus in der Tat ein gravierendes bundesrepublikanisches Problem war und ist, dass dieses Problem aber nicht erst und gewiss nicht vorrangig durch den Aufstieg der AfD virulent geworden ist.
Der Rechtsextremismus hat sich vielmehr bereits seit 1949 als die schwerste Hypothek für eine Demokratisierung der Bundesrepublik erwiesen, und damit meine ich nicht die NPD oder die Neo-Nazis auf der Straße. Mit Macht hat diese Hypothek verhindert, dass überhaupt je nach dem Krieg ein ernsthafter Versuch unternommen wurde, den Souverän – das Volk – vollgültig in seine Rechte einzusetzen. So scheiterte die Republik-Werdung. Die Republik, die per Grundgesetz und Staatsverständnis ihrer Gründer beabsichtigte und angestrebte Form, wurde zwar institutionell-formal hergestellt. Sie wurde aber material nie zum Leben erweckt.
Die republikanische Verfassung hat zum Gegenstand und sieht vor, das Gemeinwesen (als die Gesamtheit der Bürger) auf eine sowohl organische (der Bürger bestimmt deliberativ die Politik und ihre Verfahren) als auch radikale Art und Weise selbst zu ermächtigen seine Angelegenheiten und Geschicke zu regeln, zu bestimmen und zu leiten. Diesbezüglich haben alle Angehörigen der Bürgerschaft genau die gleichen Rechte, kein Einzelner und keine Gruppe kann in diesem Prozess mehr Rechte als andere oder gar Privilegien für sich beanspruchen:
Die Republik steht und fällt mit der Verwirklichung des Grundsatzes der allgemeinen Gleichheit und Freiheit. Die Nachkriegsgeschichte der Bundesrepublik ist hingegen von konservativem Elitedenken und einer Serie von Ungleichheiten, Privilegien und unterschiedlich geregelten rechtlichen Zugangsmöglichkeiten zur Gestaltung und Verwaltung des Gemeinwesens und der Teilhabe am politischen Prozess insgesamt gekennzeichnet.
Statt dem organischen und radikalen Weg der Demokratisierung zu folgen, bog die Bundesrepublik – und das ist ganz wörtlich zu verstehen – frühzeitig rechts ab. Als Folge dieses Abbiegens müssen wir uns heute mit einer extremisierten Mitte auseinandersetzen, die als „Transatlantische Einheitspartei Deutschland“ (Michael Andrick), das Kartell der Inhaber „unserer Demokratie“ von CDU/CSU, SPD, FDP, Grüne und Linke, in Erscheinung tritt. Kritiker, wie z.B. Oskar Lafontaine, haben wiederholt auf die äußerst fragwürdigen, Demokratie und Grundgesetz außer Kraft setzenden Erscheinungsformen und Gefahren, die von dieser extremisierten Mitte ausgehen, aufmerksam gemacht (23). Ein Satz, in dem diese extremistischen Tendenzen besonders komprimiert und markant zum Ausdruck gebracht wurden, stammt von Olaf Scholz. Er hat ihn in seiner ersten Regierungserklärung als Bundeskanzler zur Corona-Politik gesagt:
„Für meine Regierung gibt es keine roten Linien mehr.“
Doch verschieben wir den Fokus nun vom Feld der Innenpolitik auf die Außenpolitik und schauen uns die abstruse und bedrohliche Lage an, in der die Welt durch die Politik des Westens und die paradoxalen Spannungen innerhalb seines Bündnisses zuletzt geraten ist.
Perplexe Folgen einer Machtasymmetrie
In diesen Wochen und Monaten tritt uns das seit dem Ende des Zweiten Weltkrieges konstant asymmetrisch gebliebene Machtverhältnis zwischen den USA und Europa mehr und mehr als Farce entgegen – nichtsdestotrotz eine brandgefährliche Farce!
Die deutschen und der Großteil der europäischen Eliten lehnen sich im 80. Jahr des Kriegsendes gegen den „großen Bruder“ in dem Moment auf, wo dieser außenpolitisch ausnahmsweise einmal vernünftig handelt. Man mag es nicht glauben, aber die Europäische Union, die nach dem Zweiten Weltkrieg als Friedensprojekt konzipiert wurde und auf eine einzigartige Erfolgsgeschichte zurückblicken kann, ein Friedensprojekt, das über Jahrzehnte weltweit hohes Ansehen genoss und ausgezeichnet wurde (Friedensnobelpreis 2012 in „Anerkennung für über sechzig Jahre Friede, Versöhnung und Demokratie“) (24), diese Europäische Union entzweit sich mit den USA ausgerechnet deshalb, weil die Trump-Administration den nicht gewinnbaren Krieg in der Ukraine gegen Russland endlich beenden und für das malträtierte und in jeder Hinsicht darniederliegende Land Frieden schaffen will.
Unter dem Strich ist – auch wenn man sich vielleicht scheut, es so aufzufassen – der Eindruck entstanden, dass unter den „Verbündeten“ hier eine äußerst seltsame, um nicht zu sagen absurde Travestie zum Tragen kommt: Solange der „große Bruder“ USA die Konflikte schürt und mittels Regime-Change-Aktivitäten und militärisch- geheimdienstlicher Interventionen seine eigenen Interessen – euphemistisch offiziell als Schutz der „regelgeleiteten Ordnung“ (in wessen Namen eigentlich?) bezeichnet – durch den Einsatz einer Menge Geld und mehr oder minder brachialer Gewalt weltweit (in wessen Namen eigentlich?) durchsetzt, stehen wir vasallentreu an seiner Seite. Oder können die eigenen aggressiven Impulse über den großen Bruder dadurch ohne Risiko ausgelebt werden? Bot nicht die Art der Zusammenarbeit im „westlichen Wertebündnis“ den Deutschen die Gelegenheit, die Scham über die eigenen Verbrechen zu vergessen, sich vom dauerhaft schlechten Gewissen endlich zu befreien?
Ausgerechnet dadurch will man sich nun vom US-amerikanischen Hegemon emanzipieren, dass zunehmend verzweifelte Versuche in der sogenannten „Koalition der Willigen“ unternommen werden, um die längst überfälligen, im März 2022 u.a. durch das Eingreifen des damaligen britischen Premierministers Boris Johnson gegenüber der Selensky-Regierung bereits einmal gescheiterten Friedensverhandlungen doch noch durch unrealistische Forderungen, erneute Drohungen und Ultimaten an Russland zu verhindern? Dabei hat Europa, der Ukraine darin durchaus ähnlich, zur Durchsetzung der eigenen Positionen in dem Konflikt „keine Karten mehr in der Hand“, um Donald Trumps Formulierung aus dem öffentlich übertragenen Clinch mit Selensky im Weißen Haus aufzugreifen. Die Sanktionen haben Russland nicht in die Knie gezwungen, sondern das Land nur stärker, z.B. vom europäischen Technologietransfer unabhängig gemacht.
Man hat offensichtlich auch kein Problem damit, weiter Tausende von toten und verletzten sowie lebenslang traumatisierten Soldaten und Zivilisten allmonatlich dafür in Kauf zu nehmen. Vor diesem Hintergrund mutet das Spiel um den von Brüssel, Berlin und Kiew geforderten 30-tägigen Waffenstillstand zynisch an, denn niemand in Moskau glaubt dem Westen noch ein Wort, wenn er zugleich die Zeit dafür nutzen will, neue Waffen an Selensky zu liefern. Die ganze europäische Politiker-Riege ist vielmehr maßgeblich mitverantwortlich dafür, dass sich die Verhandlungspositionen der Ukraine seit Beginn des Krieges immer weiter verschlechtert haben.
Eine EU, die sich immer stärker von den geopolitischen Realitäten abkoppelt und ideologisch einbunkert, mag ihre Nibelungentreue zum korrupten Selensky-Regime damit glaubwürdig unter Beweis stellen. Sie kann aber damit nicht verantwortlich im Sinne der Bevölkerung in der Ukraine handeln und natürlich ebenso wenig dadurch ihrer Verantwortung für die Bürgerinnen und Bürgern der EU gerecht werden.
Sollten wir uns also tatsächlich in der Frage nach Krieg und Frieden noch tiefer in diese (besonders für die Ukraine) aussichtslose Situation verstricken und uns sowohl gegen Moskau als auch gegen Washington stellen?
Dann muss man kein Prophet sein, um vorherzusagen, dass die Konfrontation der EU mit ihrer faktischen Machtlosigkeit diese so unbarmherzig hart treffen wird, dass ein solches Eingeständnis auf eine völlige Zerstörung ihrer ohnehin schon brüchig gewordenen Fundamente hinauslaufen würde. Die Trump-Regierung zeigt jedenfalls wenig Interesse mit der EU verhandeln zu wollen. Viel besser passen ihr einzelne Staaten ins Konzept, die man gegebenenfalls getreu der Maxime „divide et impera“ gegeneinander ausspielen kann. Zugleich führt die wachsende Unzufriedenheit immer größerer Teile der Bevölkerung mit den EU-Eliten dazu, dass eurokritische Bewegungen und Parteien immer öfter gewählt und in vielen Ländern die EU-kritischen, in der Regel rechten Parteien kurz vor der Regierungsübernahme stehen. Ein Prozess, den die neue US-Regierung unterstützt.
Bernd Schoepe, Jahrgang 1965, Studium der Soziologie, Germanistik, Philosophie und Erziehungswissenschaften in Frankfurt/M. und Hamburg. Erstes und zweites Staatsexamen. Freier Autor, der zu bildungspolitischen, bildungssoziologischen- und bildungsphilosophischen Themen schreibt. Seit 2003 im Hamburger Schuldienst. Langjähriges GEW-Betriebsgruppen-Mitglied, ehem. Vertrauensmann, ehem. Mitglied der Hamburger Lehrerkammer. Hauptberuflich bin ich Politik- Deutsch- und Philosophielehrer an einer Hamburger Stadtteilschule. Kontakt: berndschoepe\@gmx.de
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@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7
2025-06-09 17:02:03Jason Lowery’s thesis, Softwar: A Novel Theory on Power Projection and the National Strategic Significance of Bitcoin, reframes bitcoin not merely as digital cash but as a transformative security technology with profound implications for investors and nation-states alike.
For centuries, craft brewers understood that true innovation balanced tradition with experimentation—a delicate dance between established techniques and bold new flavors.
Much like the craft beer revolution reshaped a global industry, bitcoin represents a fundamental recalibration of how humans organize value and project power in the digital age.
The Antler in the Digital Forest: Power Projection
Lowery, a U.S. Space Force officer and MIT scholar, anchors his Softwar theory in a biological metaphor: Bitcoin as humanity’s “digital antler.” In nature, antlers allow animals like deer to compete for resources through non-lethal contests—sparring matches where power is demonstrated without fatal consequences. This contrasts sharply with wolves, who must resort to violent, potentially deadly fights to establish hierarchy.
The Human Power Dilemma: Historically, humans projected power and settled resource disputes through physical force—wars, seizures, or coercive control of assets. Even modern financial systems rely on abstract power structures: court orders, bank freezes, or government sanctions enforced by legal threat rather than immediate physical reality.
Lowery argues this creates inherent fragility: abstract systems can collapse when met with superior physical force (e.g., invasions, revolutions). Nature only respects physical power.
Bitcoin’s Physical Power Engine: Bitcoin introduces a novel solution through its proof-of-work consensus mechanism. Miners compete to solve computationally intense cryptographic puzzles, expending real-world energy (megawatts) to validate transactions and secure the network.
This process converts electricity—a tangible, physical resource—into digital security and immutable property rights. Winning a “block” is like winning a sparring match: it consumes significant resources (energy/cost) but is non-destructive.
The miner gains the right to write the next page of the ledger and collect rewards, but no participant is physically harmed, and no external infrastructure is destroyed.
Table: Traditional vs. Bitcoin-Based Power Systems
Power System
Mechanism
Key Vulnerability
Resource Cost
Traditional (Fiat/Banking)
Legal abstraction, threat of state force
Centralized points of failure, corruption, political change
Low immediate cost, high systemic risk
Military/Economic Coercion
Physical force, sanctions
Escalation, collateral damage, moral hazard
Very high (lives, capital, instability)
Bitcoin (Proof-of-Work)
Competition via energy expenditure
High energy cost, concentration risk (mining)
High energy cost, low systemic risk
Softwar Theory National Strategic Imperative: Governments Are Taking Notice
Lowery’s Softwar Theory has moved beyond academia into the corridors of power, shaping U.S. national strategy:
- The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Vice President JD Vance recently framed bitcoin as an instrument projecting American values—”innovation, entrepreneurship, freedom, and lack of censorship”. State legislation is now underway to implement this reserve, preventing easy reversal by future administrations.
- Regulatory Transformation: The SEC is shifting from an “enforcement-first” stance under previous leadership. New initiatives include:
- Repealing Staff Accounting Bulletin 121 (SAB 121), which discouraged banks from custodying digital currency by forcing unfavorable balance sheet treatment.
- Creating the Cyber and Emerging Technologies Unit (CETU) to develop clearer crypto registration/disclosure rules.
The Investor’s Lens: Scarcity, Security, and Asymmetric Opportunity
For investors, understanding “Softwar” validates bitcoin’s unique value proposition beyond price speculation:
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Digital Scarcity as Strategic Depth: Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million makes it the only digital asset with truly inelastic supply, a programmed scarcity immune to political whims or central bank printing.
This “scarcity imperative” acts as a natural antidote to global fiat debasement. As central banks expanded money supplies aggressively (Global M2), bitcoin’s price has shown strong correlation, acting as a pressure valve for inflation concerns. The quadrennial “halving” (latest: April 2024) mechanically reduces new supply, creating built-in supply shocks as adoption grows. * The Antifragile Security Feedback Loop: Bitcoin’s security isn’t static; it’s antifragile. The network strengthens through demand: * More users → More transactions → Higher fees → More miner revenue → More hashpower (computational security) → Greater network resilience → More user confidence.
This self-reinforcing cycle contrasts sharply with traditional systems, where security is a cost center (e.g., bank security budgets, military spending). Bitcoin turns security into a profitable, market-driven activity. * Institutionalization Without Centralization: While institutional ownership via ETFs (like BlackRock’s IBIT) and corporate treasuries (MicroStrategy, Metaplanet) has surged, supply remains highly decentralized.Individuals still hold the largest share of bitcoin, preventing a dangerous concentration of control. Spot Bitcoin ETFs alone are projected to see over $20 billion in net inflows in 2025, demonstrating robust institutional capital allocation.
The Bitcoin Community: Building the Digital Antler’s Resilience
Lowery’s “Softwar” theory underscores why bitcoin’s decentralized architecture is non-negotiable. Its strength lies in the alignment of incentives across three participant groups:
- Miners: Provide computational power (hashrate), validating transactions and securing the network. Incentivized by block rewards (newly minted BTC) and transaction fees. Their physical energy expenditure is the “muscle” behind the digital antler.
- Nodes: Independently verify and enforce the protocol rules, maintaining the blockchain’s integrity. Run by users, businesses, and enthusiasts globally. They ensure decentralized consensus, preventing unilateral protocol changes.
- Users: Individuals, institutions, and corporations holding, transacting, or building on bitcoin. Their demand drives transaction fees and fuels the security feedback loop.
This structure creates “Mutually Assured Preservation”. Attacking bitcoin requires overwhelming its global, distributed physical infrastructure (miners/nodes), a feat far more complex and costly than seizing a central bank’s gold vault or freezing a bank’s assets. It transforms financial security from a centralized liability into a decentralized, physically-grounded asset.
Risks & Responsibilities
Investors and policymakers must acknowledge persistent challenges:
- Volatility: Bitcoin remains volatile, though this has decreased as markets mature. Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is widely recommended to mitigate timing risk.
- Regulatory Uncertainty: While U.S. policy is increasingly favorable, global coordination is lacking. The EU’s MiCAR regulation exemplifies divergent approaches.
- Security & Custody: While Bitcoin’s protocol is robust, user errors (lost keys) or exchange hacks remain risks.
- Environmental Debate: Proof-of-Work energy use is scrutinized, though mining increasingly uses stranded energy/renewables. Innovations continue.
Jason Lowery’s “Softwar” theory elevates bitcoin from a financial instrument to a socio-technological innovation on par with the invention of the corporation, the rule of law, or even the antler in evolutionary biology. It provides a coherent framework for understanding why:
- Nations like the U.S. are looking to establish bitcoin reserves and embracing stablecoins—they recognize bitcoin’s role in projecting economic power non-violently in the digital age.
- Institutional Investors are allocating billions via ETFs—they see a scarce, secure, uncorrelated asset with antifragile properties.
- Individuals in hyperinflationary economies or under authoritarian regimes use bitcoin—it offers self-sovereign wealth storage immune to seizure or debasement.
For the investor, bitcoin represents more than potential price appreciation. It offers exposure to a fundamental reorganization of how power and value are secured and exchanged globally, grounded not in abstract promises, but in the unyielding laws of physics and mathematics.
Like the brewers who balanced tradition with innovation to create something enduring and valuable, bitcoin pioneers are building the infrastructure for a more resilient digital future—one computationally secured block at a time. The “Softwar” is here, and it is reshaping the landscape of p
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@ 2b24a1fa:17750f64
2025-06-09 13:11:48Er war schon immer ein streitbarer. Seine Kritik richtete sich an ein Gesundheitssystem, das durch eine durch Pharmalobby erkaufte oder erpresste Politik ermöglicht wurde. Seit Ausrufung der sogenannten Corona-Pandemie fuhr er zu Höchstleistungen auf. Es ist Dr. Gunter Frank, Schulmediziner mit Erfahrungen im Krankenhaus, Notfallmediziner, ausgebildet in Naturheilverfahren, Sachbuchautor, engagiert in diversen medizinischen und naturheilkundlichen Gesellschaften und betreibt eine eigene Praxis...
Im größten Medizinskandal in der Geschichte der Bundesrepublik, der Corona-Krise, nennt er Hausnumnmern wie 100-200.000 langfristig, gesundheitlich schwer Geschädigten und etwa 20 - 40.000 durch Genimpfung Verstorbene. Ob diese Zahlen haltbar sind, weit über- oder untertrieben wird die Geschichte zeigen. Welche Hintergründe er aber vermutet und über die neuen Deutungen medizinischer Erkenntnisse, spricht meine Kollegin Eva Schmidt jetzt mit dem Mediziner Dr. Gunter Frank und wollte zunächst wissen, wann und warum er zum Medizinsystemkritiker wurde, welches sein Erweckungserlebnis, noch weit vor Corona gewesen sein muss:
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@ 5eaeca3b:75c1954f
2025-06-10 13:25:41Ingredienti:
Olio EVO di qualità, Peperoncino, Aglio (possibilmente fresco), Spaghetti (di qualità). Per la variazione: Menta (ho usato foglie di menta marocchina) e formaggio pecorino.
Procedimento:
Ho usato (come si vede nella foto in alto) pasta "La Molisana" che ha 14 minuti di cottura, quindi appena l'acqua bolle occorre salarla e buttare la pasta. Poi, in una padella, far riscaldare un fondo di olio EVO e quando è caldo far imbiondire 2/3 spicchi di aglio tagliati a pezzi e il peperoncino (si può usare quello fresco oppure quello secco tritato). Quando l'aglio comincia ad imbiondire, aggiungere la mentuccia e un mestolo di acqua di cottura (come in foto)
Togliere la padella dal fuoco e lasciare risposare. Appena il tempo di cottura è trascorso tirare gli spaghetti dall'acqua e metterli in padella e farli saltare leggermente. attendere qualche istante in modo che la temperatura della pasta si abbassi (non deve raffreddarsi ma semplicemente perdere un po' di calore affinché il formaggio che andiamo ad aggiungere non faccia grumi ma diventi una bella crema...) e quindi aggiungere il pecorino grattato e saltare bene.. se vediamo che si asciuga troppo aggiungere poca acqua di cottura e continuare a spolverare di pecorino e saltare in padella. Così da ottenere una fantastica cremosità...
Buon appetito!
Un piccolo trucco: ho aggiunto anche uno spicchio (molto piccolo) di aglio spremuto. Perchè non risulti troppo aggressivo ho messo una foglia di mentuccia sotto allo spremiaglio.. (vedi sotto in foto)
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@ 2b24a1fa:17750f64
2025-06-09 13:08:49Wenn sich die Spieler nach einem hart umkämpften Fußballmatch die Hand reichen oder einander abklatschen, zeugt das von Sportsgeist. Das heißt: Wir haben uns im Spiel zwar nichts geschenkt, aber wir respektieren einander und als Verlierer erkennen wir an, dass die andere Mannschaft besser gespielt hat und unsere Niederlage in Ordnung geht.
https://soundcloud.com/radiomuenchen/die-wrestling-demokratie-ein-kommentar-von-jonny-rieder?
Und auch die Gewinner zollen dem Gegner Respekt, verhöhnen ihn nicht. Selbstverständlich sollte gegenseitiger Respekt auch in der Politik gelten. Man sollte einander zuhören und argumentieren, anstatt Kollegen schon deshalb zu verachten, weil sie einer anderen Partei angehören. Aber: Wenn ein Politiker eine andere Partei massiv kritisiert und ihrem Antrag anschließend trotzdem zustimmt, zeigt er damit nicht Respekt vor dem politischen Gegner, sondern Verachtung für den Wähler. Was der Deutsche Bundestag im März 2025 demonstrierte, also in der Übergangsphase vom alten Bundestag und dem noch nicht einberufenen neu gewählten Parlament, war genau das: angewandte Wählerverachtung. Etwas zuzustimmen, das ich eben noch vehement verdammt habe, zeugt nicht von Demokratieverständnis oder von politischem Sportsgeist, sondern von dessen fundamentaler Ablehnung. Erst recht, wenn die Zustimmung für alle ersichtlich erkauft wurde. Hören Sie Jonny Rieders Kommentar „Die Wrestling-Demokratie“.
Sprecher: Karsten Troyke
Bild: ChatGPT im Auftrag von Radio München
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@ 2b24a1fa:17750f64
2025-06-09 13:02:20https://soundcloud.com/radiomuenchen/2025-05-27-eine-stunde-klassik?
Eine Stunde Klassik! Der Münchner Pianist und "Musikdurchdringer" Jürgen Plich stellt jeden Dienstag um 20 Uhr große klassische Musik vor. Er teilt seine Hör- und Spielerfahrung und seine persönliche Sicht auf die Meisterwerke. Er spielt selbst besondere, unbekannte Aufnahmen, erklärt, warum die Musik so und nicht anders klingt und hat eine Menge aus dem Leben der Komponisten zu erzählen.
Sonntags um 10 Uhr in der Wiederholung.
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@ 2b24a1fa:17750f64
2025-06-09 13:00:03Ganz im Geiste des klassischen Kabaretts widmen sich Franz Esser und Michael Sailer den Ereignissen des letzten Monats: Was ist passiert? Und was ist dazu zu sagen? Das ist oft frappierend - und manchmal auch zum Lachen.
https://soundcloud.com/radiomuenchen/vier-wochen-wahnsinn-mai-25-ein-satirischer-monatsruckblick
www.radiomuenchen.net/\ @radiomuenchen\ www.facebook.com/radiomuenchen\ www.instagram.com/radio_muenchen/\ twitter.com/RadioMuenchen\ odysee.com/@RadioMuenchen.net:9\ rumble.com/user/RadioMunchen
Radio München ist eine gemeinnützige Unternehmung.\ Wir freuen uns, wenn Sie unsere Arbeit unterstützen.
GLS-Bank\ IBAN: DE65 4306 0967 8217 9867 00\ BIC: GENODEM1GLS\ Bitcoin (BTC): bc1qqkrzed5vuvl82dggsyjgcjteylq5l58sz4s927\ Ethereum (ETH): 0xB9a49A0bda5FAc3F084D5257424E3e6fdD303482
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@ 8668cb57:42a19859
2025-06-10 17:38:45Are Islands Choosing for Wealth Or Poverty in the 21st Century?
You have 57 official islands according to the United Nations. But there are thousands of islands in the world. What does Bitcoin and Lighting mean for them? Can it help them escape poverty and become wealthy?
Wealth
First of all: Wealth: what does it mean to be wealthy as an island? It is not only about the number of fiat currency you have in your pockets. Not about the digits you have on your bank account. And not only about the number of sats or Bitcoins you have in your self custodian wallet.\ Wealth means:
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You are healthy
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Your mind is free
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Your body is in shape
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Your relationships are bringing you join
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You are using your talents and your gifts to the max
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And you have options, you can do what you want with your time.
Healthy Islands
So for an island, let's take Curacao as an example, of 160.000 people, it means that there is a potential for everybody to reach that status, that next level in their lives called #wealth.
That is the "dream" goal I'm chasing with my Island Wealth show. Away from poverty. Into more possibilities. Using your skills in this dynamic world.\ \ Current state of Island Wealth
If we take the Caribbean as an example, here you see the official list of islands in the Caribbean: <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Caribbean_islands>
There are some indicators to check how wealthy - in terms of income - these Caribbean islands are.\ \ GDP per Capita: this is the total income of the island per year divided by the population. You will get an average that you can compare with your own country. If you take this globally, Luxembourg is the wealthiest country in the world.\ \ Gini Coefficient: this gives you a curve and a value that shows you how the distribution of wealth is on an island.
Net worth: If you go on an individual level, a family level, a business level you can take the assets minus the liabilities and calculate the difference as Net worth. You can also take this figure and compare it to the net worth of individuals in the world.
Bitcoin
Now lets introduce Bitcoin for these islands. How can #Bitcoin help these islands become wealthier?\ \ Problems of Islands
One of the most important problems the islands have is that they are very dependent on #tourism. Yes, I have been studying the economies of islands for a long time. I've been advising small island's governments in the Caribbean, private investors, high earning professionals on how they can build their wealth. And I always hear: we need to diversify more. What does that mean?\ \ All their sales and revenues are coming from one single sector: tourism. And they don't like that. Imagine an island: 500.000 tourists per year coming from USA and Canada. And every day cruise ships at their mega cruise piers with a total of 1 million cruise tourists per year. The tourists stay for 7 days and the cruise tourists stay for 1 day.\ \ That is the typical Caribbean island at its peak. If anything happens to that flow of cruise and stayover tourists ->Poverty. If there is a hurricane ->Poverty. If there are no flights -> Poverty. If there is political unrest and the tourists cannot come ->Poverty. So wealth is very concentrated when you are living on an island.\ \ Bitcoin and Lightning
While most Island's policy makers, citizens, even sometimes high paid individuals do not see Bitcoin, I see a 2 trillion decentralized global economy. If you are fully dependent on tourism, and you want to diversify away from tourism, lets consider Bitcoin and Lightning.\ \ Small businesses
Lets imagine your small businesses that operate online, like a consultant, online trainer/coach, or anybody selling snacks. Now working in the informal sector and not paying any taxes to your small island's government. They all can instantly:
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Download a #Blink or #Aqua wallet and start receiving #SATS
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Get a Wordpress or Shopify website, and start receiving SATS from all over the world, instantly.
Think about that for a moment and let it sink in. A two trillion USD economy globally. 21 million Bitcoins max ever. And everybody can participate right now. Without having to install servers, host software. I would seriously consider this new decentralize payment and savings technology.
How can you diversify away from tourism with Bitcoin and Lighting?
Any business can accept Bitcoin. Imagine you do not have a bank account and you are working in the informal sector. As a gardener, as a technician, electrician. A pool boy, a musician. You now have a wallet to accept hard money instantly.\ \ Agriculture
You could be paying for seeds to plan. With your lightning wallet online.\ \ Retail
You could be accepting Lighting payments if you are a store that sells glasses, food, snacks, clothing, hand crafted products, paintings.
Construction
You could be importing material from the #BRICS+ nations, China as first one, Brazil (close to the Caribbean) and paying with lightning.\ \ Financial Services (local and international)
You could be helping foreign and local other businesses with their online books, they annual reports, their administration, helping them relocate to the Caribbean, and receiving payments with Lighting.\ \ I can go on and on\ \ Decentralized Peer to Peer software development\ I have written about this on previous posts. You could be building peer to peer software based on new software stacks like pear runtime, holepunch technology, nostr. So if you are a local software developer and you know javascript, html and css you now can be paid with Lighting and deliver your knowledge and services to the world. I'm also exploring this myself.\ \ AI and Data Science\ If you are a Data Scientist and you know how to automate stuff with #Python, you know how to use #AI, like me, you could be creating online software and experiences to create Digital Assets that work 24*7*365 days: https://bit.ly/python-ai-automation.
There are endless possibilities to tap into this global decentralized economy
And guess what: we are so early. There is less than 1% of the people of the world who has used Bitcoin and Lighting.\ \ Let's go islands\ So lets do it. Lets go islands. You see that diamond above? It just to start your imagination. You see that man with the open mouth above?That is just to show you how amazed and surprised I'm with the potential of decentralization, self custody and the potential to be self sovereign.\ \ Let me know your thoughts\ This article is only on Nostr and Keet and decentralized platform. I'm moving my attention more and more to decentralization. So I want to hear your thoughts. Let me know if you have any comments, questions or ideas how to create more wealth.\ \ And stay tuned to my episodes where I will host the Island Wealth Show #IslandWealth.\ \ Runy\ Host Island Wealth
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@ 2b24a1fa:17750f64
2025-06-09 12:58:05Wahrscheinlich wird es wieder der wärmste Mai seit Wetteraufzeichnung gewesen sein, was uns erneut ermahnt, endlich dem Klimawandel den Garaus zu machen. Sie merken es, der Sarkasmus bahnt sich schon seinen Weg. Auch München hat sich jetzt dem Klima-Taler-Netzwerk angeschlossen und wirbt für das Angebot, sich ein besseres Gewissen tracken zu lassen. Hören Sie Nicolas Riedls Kommentar „Der Klima-Köder“.
Sprecherin: Sabrina Khalil
Bild: © Klima-Taler
Radio München\ www.radiomuenchen.net/\ @radiomuenchen\ www.facebook.com/radiomuenchen\ www.instagram.com/radio_muenchen/\ twitter.com/RadioMuenchen
Radio München ist eine gemeinnützige Unternehmung.\ Wir freuen uns, wenn Sie unsere Arbeit unterstützen.\ GLS-Bank\ IBAN: DE65 4306 0967 8217 9867 00\ BIC: GENODEM1GLS\ Bitcoin (BTC): 3G1wDDH2CDPJ9DHan5TTpsfpSXWhNMCZmQ
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@ 5ea46480:450da5bd
2025-06-10 10:01:24The objective web represents how we currently experience internet platforms. It functions primarily through centralized instances or platforms delivering shared information and statuses. These centralized platforms produce coherent views of reality based on standardized metrics such as trending content, view counts, likes, and aggregated user comments. This framework creates a single shared, authoritative depiction of the world, leading people to consume a shared interpretation of events. The objective web, therefore, becomes a centralized authority or source of truth, determining what is relevant, credible, and noteworthy. The presentation of a singular standard can also be extrapolated to concepts like Google's search rankings, user ratings on Uber, or Wikipedia's attempt at an objective encyclopedia. Though they differ in rigidity, each of these structures tries to deliver a consensus version of reality. Note that the argument is not that these platforms are objective, but they beget de facto objectivity, simply as a result of everyone deferring their subjectivity to the same entity.
This singular, consistency-based approach is increasingly failing. The objective web is under severe strain as diverse groups increasingly disagree about policies, representation, truth claims, and even basic shared facts. These difficulties become glaringly evident when considering disruptive technological changes, especially artificial intelligence-generated content and bots. The ability of platforms to consistently moderate and curate trustworthy information for all users quickly diminishes. The nature of centralized authorities means they're facing dedicated, scalable attacks. This creates an environment saturated with distrust and compromise. This approach is inherently unstable and is gradually collapsing amid internal contradictions and external pressures.
In sharp contrast, Nostr proposes the subjective web. The subjective web decouples individuals from standardized, centralized interpretive structures. Rather than relying on platforms or centralized systems to filter and interpret 'the internet', people individually decide how to interpret and judge the information and content they're exposed to. Subjectivity here is about personal judgment, local decision-making, and contextually flexible interpretations rather than universal coherence. This approach shifts the interpretative responsibility away from centralized authorities or algorithms and onto individuals and their personal networks.
This subjectivity is not limited to content but extends to the personal methods of interpreting information and people, using any variety of tools available—including algorithmic analysis, AI interpretation, or simple social-relationship analyses. In doing so, the subjective web becomes far tougher for malicious actors to compromise because attacks must be tailored to unique personal environments and rely upon infiltrating individual interpretations and decision-processes. In other words, infiltration tactics that might be successful on a centralized system become incredibly difficult when everyone is forming their own subjective reality.
Subjective realities are robust against generalized or mass attacks due to their inherently private and personalized nature. To effectively corrupt or hack these subjective webs, attackers must conduct sophisticated infiltration attacks tailored to each user specifically. Even then, attackers face significant obstacles in gathering precise information about a user's personal judgment process and inner interpretations, which remain fundamentally private and contextual. Users can easily retreat into their own trusted, locally built social circles or community ties, rather than having their trust networks limited to centralized authority structures.
This resilience relies on leveraging "webs of trust"—interconnected user relationships based on personal experiences and connections formed in the real world, rather than purely online interactions. This brings an important point: the subjective web fundamentally grounds trust on physical experience, minimizing large-scale vulnerabilities. Users maintain independent trust networks built through real-world interactions and institutions such as churches, sports-clubs, local community groups etc.. While these connections remain scalable and somewhat institutionally structured, they're significantly less susceptible to widespread digital manipulation and infiltrations. Additionally, since these trust webs are numerous, diversified, and individually tailored, single points of centralized failure are rare, and users can reconstruct trust if compromised.
Another significant is timestamping. Timestamping content offers a fundamental layer of objective verification within subjective systems, preventing after-the-fact manipulation. When timestamping is properly implemented, retrospective attacks (i.e., creating detailed fake environments designed to fool a person once that user is already engaging a particular environment) become practically impossible. For effective infiltration, attackers need established identities with consistent historical proof—meaning maintaining long-standing fraudulent identities across long periods—something more costly to scale in terms of effort, resources, and commitment.
While the subjective web represents a fundamentally decentralized and resilient structure, users naturally desire objective anchoring points at times. Users can incorporate ‘objective’ points but do so as part of a broader array of personalized, contextual interpretations rather than centrally imposed, universally agreed-upon concepts. Thus, objective systems in the subjective web landscape exist merely as subjective information sources rather than authoritative interpretations. The difference here lies in acknowledging their inherent subjectivity, rather than attempting to impose a façade of universal, authoritative objectivity.
The subjective web isn't merely a theoretical ideal or preference—it represents an unavoidable future. Signs already suggest the current centralized, authoritative, coherence-driven internet model is fundamentally crumbling, torn apart by emerging contradictions, trust collapses, polarization, disagreements, and attacks. Centralized authorities increasingly limit openness or transparency as defense mechanisms, fundamentally compromising the advantages that made the internet powerful in the first place.
By contrast, transitioning toward a subjective web reduces these dilemmas and opens spaces of autonomy and interpretations suited to diverse and individual user needs. Unlike centralized systems, subjective webs limit the risks of digital manipulation, mass misinformation campaigns, censorship, narrative control, and network lockdown. Each individual retains robust networks of trust and personal interpretations, inherently preventing large-scale coordinated misinformation campaigns simply by maintaining diversity and individuality.
Embracing subjective web approaches with Nostr naturally offers a practical, resilient way forward as centralized platforms collapse under their own contradictions. Subjective webs inherently maintain the openness of early internet freedom while also offering individuals trustworthy, personalized interpretative environments. Ultimately, the collapse of objective web coherent structures may be inevitable. In recognizing this inevitability, embracing decentralized, individual-focused subjective web systems represents a practical method to reassert personal autonomy, interpretation freedom, resilience against manipulation, scalable infiltration attacks, centralized censorship attempts, and trust compromises.
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@ 2b24a1fa:17750f64
2025-06-09 12:56:33Einmal, im dunklen Wald auf dem Weg ins nächste Dorf, hielt ich meine Taschenlampe auf den Boden gerichtet, nicht wirklich senkrecht, aber so, dass der Lichtkegel nah bei mir war. Immer wieder lief ein Schatten auf mich zu. Manchmal kam er auch von hinten. Jedes Mal erschrak ich fürchterlich, ging in Abwehrhaltung und mahnte mich dann zur Einsicht: Wer sollte mir folgen? Was aus dem Gebüsch, sollte auf mich zu kommen, oder dicht an mir vorbei laufen wollen? Woher also dieser Schreck, diese Angst? Vielleicht ist es nur das Reptilienhirn und der Überlebenssinn der reagiert, vielleicht aber auch ein Teil der Prägung, die uns verunsichert, wenn wir die Gemeinschaft verlassen und uns anders verhalten.
https://soundcloud.com/radiomuenchen/innerer-tiefenstaat-von?
Unbekannte und einflussreiche Anteile unseres Selbst zu entdecken und zu integrieren nennt der Wildnispädagoge, Autor und Journalist Bastian Barucker Schattenarbeit. Hören Sie seinen Text Trauma, Krieg, Friedensfähigkeit und der innere Tiefenstaat.
Sprecher: Ulrich Allroggen\ Redaktion: Eva Schmidt
Den Beitrag können Sie auf seinem Blog Bastian-Barucker.de nachlesen. blog.bastian-barucker.de/der-innere-tiefenstaat/
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@ 8bad92c3:ca714aa5
2025-06-09 12:01:37Marty's Bent
J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon has long been an outspoken skeptic and critic of bitcoin. He has called Bitcoin a speculative asset, a fraud, a pet rock, and has opined that it will inevitably blow up. A couple of years ago, he was on Capitol Hill saying that if he were the government, he would "close it down". Just within the last month, he was on Fox Business News talking with Maria Bartiromo, proclaiming that the U.S. should be stockpiling bullets and rare earth metals instead of bitcoin. It's pretty clear that Jamie Dimon, who is at the helm of the most powerful and largest bank in the world, does not like bitcoin one bit.
Evidence below:
via Bitcoin Magazine
via me
via CNBC
Despite Dimon's distinguished disdain for Bitcoin, J.P. Morgan cannot deny reality. The CEO of the largest bank in the world is certainly a powerful man, but no one individual, even in the position that Jamie Dimon is in, is more powerful than the market. And the market has spoken very clearly, it is demanding bitcoin. The Bitcoin ETFs have been the most successful ETFs in terms of pace of growth since their launch. They've accumulated tens of billions of dollars in AUM in a very short period of time. Outpacing the previous record set by the gold ETF, GLD.
Whether or not Jamie Dimon himself likes Bitcoin doesn't matter. J.P. Morgan, as the largest bank in the world and a publicly traded company, has a duty to shareholders. And that duty is to increase shareholder value by any ethical and legal means necessary. Earlier today, J.P. Morgan announced plans to offer clients financing against their Bitcoin ETFs, as well as some other benefits, including having their bitcoin holdings recognized in their overall net worth and liquid assets, similar to stocks, cars, and art, which will be massive for bitcoiners looking to get mortgages and other types of loans.
via Bloomberg
I've talked about this recently, but trying to buy a house when most of your liquid net worth is held in bitcoin is a massive pain in the ass. Up until this point, if you wanted to have your bitcoin recognized as part of your net worth and count towards your overall credit profile, you would need to sell some bitcoin, move it to a bank account, and have it sit there for a certain period of time before it was recognized toward your net worth. This is not ideal for bitcoiners who have sufficient cash flows and don't want to sell their bitcoin, pay the capital gains tax, and risk not being able to buy back the amount of sats they were forced to sell just to get a mortgage.
It's not yet clear to me whether or not J.P. Morgan will recognize bitcoin in cold storage toward their clients' net worth and credit profile, or if this is simply for bitcoin ETFs only. However, regardless, this is a step in the right direction and a validation of something that many bitcoiners have been saying for years. Inevitably, everyone will have to bend the knee to bitcoin. Today, it just happened to be the largest bank in the world. I expect more of this to come in the coming months, years, and decades.
Lyn Alden likes to say it in the context of the U.S. national debt and the fiscal crisis, but it also applies to bitcoin adoption and the need for incumbents to orient themselves around the demands of individual bitcoiners; nothing stops this train.
Real Estate Correction Coming
Real estate expert Leon Wankum shared his perspective on why property prices need to find a new equilibrium by 2026. He pointed to the 18-year property cycle theory, noting we're at the end of the current cycle with a massive imbalance - 34% more sellers than buyers, the highest gap since records began in 2013. Leon explained that sellers still have unrealistic expectations based on 2021-2022 peaks, while buyers face a fundamentally different reality with higher borrowing costs.
"We need a price equilibrium. We need demand and supply prices to match. It's going to take a long time, I think." - Leon Wankum
Leon doesn't expect a catastrophic crash, however. He emphasized that the financial system depends too heavily on real estate as collateral for authorities to allow a complete collapse. With interest rates likely staying above 3% to combat inflation, he sees a healthy correction rather than devastation - a necessary adjustment that creates opportunities for patient buyers who understand the new market dynamics.
Check out the full podcast here for more on Bitcoin treasury strategies, dual collateralization, and corporate BTC adoption
Headlines of the Day
California May Seize Idle Bitcoin After 3 Years - via X
Semler Scientific Buys $20M More Bitcoin, Holds $467M - via X
US Home Sellers Surge as Buyers Hit 4-Year Low - via X
Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io
Take the First Step Off the Exchange
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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.
Final thought...
I feel old.
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@ 6a6be47b:3e74e3e1
2025-06-10 17:10:58Hi frens! 🎧
🎶 I just can’t stop listening to the new Deafheaven album, Lonely People with Power. I’ve been hesitant to write about it because I’m no music expert—I’m just a fan, and my appreciation is mostly pure excitement and awe.
So, honestly, my opinion is very biased because I love this band so much. Their newest album has completely taken over my playlists since its release. I’m hooked.
Their last album was a dreamy blend of shoegaze and black metal with those signature “goblin core” screams (forgive my genre-mixing, I just go with what I feel!), and I loved it. Songs like “Neptune Raining Diamonds” flowing into “Lament for Wasps” felt like being transported to another dimension—chef’s kiss.
👀If you know Deafheaven, maybe you first heard them through their cult classic Sunbather, or maybe New Bermuda, or something else entirely.
🧛♂️ If you’re used to their darker sound, maybe the last album wasn’t your thing. But this one—oh wow. From the instrumental opening track, I was in for a ride. The music is a mix of pain, loneliness, despair, and sadness, all wrapped in ethereal sounds and bursts of fury.
It’s hard to describe, but the lyrics—while dark—feel universal. There’s a sense of being observed, feeling helpless, but also a glimmer of hope, a sense that something new might begin. That’s exactly how this album left me feeling.
🎵 If you haven’t given this album a chance yet, I really hope you do! And if you have, what was your favorite part? For me, it’s those smooth transitions between songs—going from “Incidental II” to “Revelator,” and then topping it off with “Body Behaviour.” Mind blown.
Well, those are my two sats! Enjoy your week and take care, frens.
Godspeed! 🚀
https://stacker.news/items/1002715
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@ 7f6db517:a4931eda
2025-06-09 10:02:20The former seems to have found solid product market fit. Expect significant volume, adoption, and usage going forward.
The latter's future remains to be seen. Dependence on Tor, which has had massive reliability issues, and lack of strong privacy guarantees put it at risk.
— ODELL (@ODELL) October 27, 2022
The Basics
- Lightning is a protocol that enables cheap and fast native bitcoin transactions.
- At the core of the protocol is the ability for bitcoin users to create a payment channel with another user.
- These payment channels enable users to make many bitcoin transactions between each other with only two on-chain bitcoin transactions: the channel open transaction and the channel close transaction.
- Essentially lightning is a protocol for interoperable batched bitcoin transactions.
- It is expected that on chain bitcoin transaction fees will increase with adoption and the ability to easily batch transactions will save users significant money.
- As these lightning transactions are processed, liquidity flows from one side of a channel to the other side, on chain transactions are signed by both parties but not broadcasted to update this balance.
- Lightning is designed to be trust minimized, either party in a payment channel can close the channel at any time and their bitcoin will be settled on chain without trusting the other party.
There is no 'Lightning Network'
- Many people refer to the aggregate of all lightning channels as 'The Lightning Network' but this is a false premise.
- There are many lightning channels between many different users and funds can flow across interconnected channels as long as there is a route through peers.
- If a lightning transaction requires multiple hops it will flow through multiple interconnected channels, adjusting the balance of all channels along the route, and paying lightning transaction fees that are set by each node on the route.
Example: You have a channel with Bob. Bob has a channel with Charlie. You can pay Charlie through your channel with Bob and Bob's channel with User C.
- As a result, it is not guaranteed that every lightning user can pay every other lightning user, they must have a route of interconnected channels between sender and receiver.
Lightning in Practice
- Lightning has already found product market fit and usage as an interconnected payment protocol between large professional custodians.
- They are able to easily manage channels and liquidity between each other without trust using this interoperable protocol.
- Lightning payments between large custodians are fast and easy. End users do not have to run their own node or manage their channels and liquidity. These payments rarely fail due to professional management of custodial nodes.
- The tradeoff is one inherent to custodians and other trusted third parties. Custodial wallets can steal funds and compromise user privacy.
Sovereign Lightning
- Trusted third parties are security holes.
- Users must run their own node and manage their own channels in order to use lightning without trusting a third party. This remains the single largest friction point for sovereign lightning usage: the mental burden of actively running a lightning node and associated liquidity management.
- Bitcoin development prioritizes node accessibility so cost to self host your own node is low but if a node is run at home or office, Tor or a VPN is recommended to mask your IP address: otherwise it is visible to the entire network and represents a privacy risk.
- This privacy risk is heightened due to the potential for certain governments to go after sovereign lightning users and compel them to shutdown their nodes. If their IP Address is exposed they are easier to target.
- Fortunately the tools to run and manage nodes continue to get easier but it is important to understand that this will always be a friction point when compared to custodial services.
The Potential Fracture of Lightning
- Any lightning user can choose which users are allowed to open channels with them.
- One potential is that professional custodians only peer with other professional custodians.
- We already see nodes like those run by CashApp only have channels open with other regulated counterparties. This could be due to performance goals, liability reduction, or regulatory pressure.
- Fortunately some of their peers are connected to non-regulated parties so payments to and from sovereign lightning users are still successfully processed by CashApp but this may not always be the case going forward.
Summary
- Many people refer to the aggregate of all lightning channels as 'The Lightning Network' but this is a false premise. There is no singular 'Lightning Network' but rather many payment channels between distinct peers, some connected with each other and some not.
- Lightning as an interoperable payment protocol between professional custodians seems to have found solid product market fit. Expect significant volume, adoption, and usage going forward.
- Lightning as a robust sovereign payment protocol has yet to be battle tested. Heavy reliance on Tor, which has had massive reliability issues, the friction of active liquidity management, significant on chain fee burden for small amounts, interactivity constraints on mobile, and lack of strong privacy guarantees put it at risk.
If you have never used lightning before, use this guide to get started on your phone.
If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.
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@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1
2025-06-10 08:52:10This post is part of a series. It is meant to be a place for stackers to discuss creative projects they have been working on, or ideas they are aiming to build. Regardless of your project being personal, professional, physical, digital, or even simply an idea to brainstorm together.
If you have any creative projects or ideas that you have been working on or want to eventually work on... This is a place for discussing those, gather initial feedback and feel more energetic on bringing it to the next level.
Thank you @OT @cryotosensei @sangekrypto, @nkmg1c_ventures and @SilkyNinja for your previous contributions in https://stacker.news/items/978934/r/DeSign_r
Look forward to hearing if there's any progress there.
₿e Creative, have Fun! :D
https://stacker.news/items/1002329
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@ eb0157af:77ab6c55
2025-06-10 17:02:27Circle’s IPO triggers a Tether value estimate, which would bring the co-founder’s wealth to approximately $242 billion.
The listing of Circle on the NYSE represented for the first time a public valuation metric for the entire dollar-pegged stablecoin sector. Applying the financial multiples that emerged from Circle’s IPO to Tether’s balance sheets, one can hypothesize a potential valuation of $515 billion for the USDT issuing company. A figure that, if confirmed by a future listing or acquisition, would transform Giancarlo Devasini, co-founder and Chairman of Tether with 47% of the shares according to Forbes, into one of the richest men on the planet.
The numbers
Circle completed its NYSE listing on June 5 through a SPAC, with a valuation of approximately $8 billion. With declared net profits of approximately $250 million in 2023, the price-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at around 36.
Tether recorded estimated profits of $12 billion in 2024. Applying the same multiple as Circle, the theoretical valuation reaches $480 billion. To this base figure, some analysts have observed the absence of assets held by Tether: $120 billion in US Treasuries, over $10 billion in bitcoin, physical gold reserves and stakes in private technology companies.
Analyst Jon Ma, CEO of Artemis, calculated a comprehensive valuation of $515 billion. Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, commented on the estimate on X calling it “a beautiful number” and “maybe a bit bearish considering our current (and increasing) Bitcoin + Gold treasury”.
A $242 billion fortune
With 47% of Tether Holdings Ltd. shares, Devasini would see his theoretical net worth reach $242.05 billion. A figure that would place him in second place in the Forbes ranking of world billionaires, surpassing Mark Zuckerberg and Jeff Bezos ($215 billion), Larry Ellison ($192 billion) and Bernard Arnault ($178 billion).
Only Elon Musk, with $342 billion, would maintain first position. However, the $515 billion valuation for Tether remains theoretical and depends on a future listing or acquisition.
The post Theoretical $515 billion valuation for Tether: Chairman Devasini second richest man in the world? appeared first on Atlas21.
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@ 7f6db517:a4931eda
2025-06-09 05:02:24
"Privacy is necessary for an open society in the electronic age. Privacy is not secrecy. A private matter is something one doesn't want the whole world to know, but a secret matter is something one doesn't want anybody to know. Privacy is the power to selectively reveal oneself to the world." - Eric Hughes, A Cypherpunk's Manifesto, 1993
Privacy is essential to freedom. Without privacy, individuals are unable to make choices free from surveillance and control. Lack of privacy leads to loss of autonomy. When individuals are constantly monitored it limits our ability to express ourselves and take risks. Any decisions we make can result in negative repercussions from those who surveil us. Without the freedom to make choices, individuals cannot truly be free.
Freedom is essential to acquiring and preserving wealth. When individuals are not free to make choices, restrictions and limitations prevent us from economic opportunities. If we are somehow able to acquire wealth in such an environment, lack of freedom can result in direct asset seizure by governments or other malicious entities. At scale, when freedom is compromised, it leads to widespread economic stagnation and poverty. Protecting freedom is essential to economic prosperity.
The connection between privacy, freedom, and wealth is critical. Without privacy, individuals lose the freedom to make choices free from surveillance and control. While lack of freedom prevents individuals from pursuing economic opportunities and makes wealth preservation nearly impossible. No Privacy? No Freedom. No Freedom? No Wealth.
Rights are not granted. They are taken and defended. Rights are often misunderstood as permission to do something by those holding power. However, if someone can give you something, they can inherently take it from you at will. People throughout history have necessarily fought for basic rights, including privacy and freedom. These rights were not given by those in power, but rather demanded and won through struggle. Even after these rights are won, they must be continually defended to ensure that they are not taken away. Rights are not granted - they are earned through struggle and defended through sacrifice.
If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.
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@ df478568:2a951e67
2025-06-08 23:58:37NOTE: PLEASE DO NOT USE THIS METHOD UNTIL WE LEARN MORE ABOUT THIS nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpw5qnyrxdmctda962pvng7ltzvjzjg09ge57dqqxfjn42ft2rcaxqqsfsg878u9luv2sxm6yahyjr4zpt745rdfpuu47wnn9t2dskgem52g9e9955
`About 156,000 blocks ago, I went to a Taco Shop for a bitcoin meetup. I asked my favorite question, “Do you accept bitcoin?”
“Yes," he said as he handed me a Toast Terminal with a BTCpayServer QR code.
]
Awesome!
12,960 blocks later, I took my dad to the taco shop. We ordered food. I asked my favorite question once again.
“Uh…Yeah, but I don't know how to work the machine.”
"Dough!🤦"
It's been a problem in the past, but now lightning payments are about to be ubiquitous. Steak N Shake is taking bitcoin using Speed Wallet and Block is implementing bitcoin payments by 2026 in all legal jurisdictions. I have tested both of these so you don't have to. Just kidding. I geek out on this stuff, but both work great. You can pay with your sats by scanning a screen on a QR code. The employees don't need to be bitcoin lightning network experts. You can just pay as easy as a credit card.
There were 35,000 people at the bitcoin conference, and 4,187 transactions were made. It was a world record. Wait, I thought they said there could only be 7 transactions per second! No, not anymore. Now we can use bitcoin for shopping. I can pay for tacos at taco trucks.
How You Can Accept Bitcoin At Your Business
Coinos is a simple bitcoin point of sale information that acts like a cash register. Bitcoin is peer-to-peer electronic cash. Coinos is a cash register and you should treat it as such. If you make a few hundred thousand sats at the end of the night, you should sweep the bitcoin into your own wallet.. You can use Aqua, AlbyHub, Bull Bitcoin wallet, or whatever your favorite lightning enabled wallet is to withdraw. You'll need a password. Do not lose this. I have tried the automatic withdraws, but it did not work for me. I'm no concerned because this is not a wallet I intend to keep a lot of sats in for a long time.
Here is my coinos payment terminal.
https://coinos.io/ZapthisBlog/receive
I made the QR code with libreqr.com/
Now I have an online bitcoin cash register. The Bitcoiners know how to pay for stuff with sats. They will be proud to show you too. If you're nerdy, you can use all the cool kid tools now, but we will just focus on the lightning address. Anyone can send you sats with a lightning address with just a QR code.
At the end of the night, you cash out to your own wallet. Again, this assumes you have an Aqua Wallet or any other lightning enabled wallet, but all it takes to accept bitcoin at your brick and mortar store is to create an account with Coinos and print out a QR code. It's a quick and easy way to start accepting bitcoin even if you don't expect many clients to shop with sats.
Tips
This is not just a cash register. Employees can also make their own Coinos wallet and receive tips from bitcoiners. Anyone can accept payments using this system. Your kids could use it to sell lemonade for sats. You are only limited by your imagination. When will you begin accepting bitcoin payments? It is easier than ever. You do not need to train employees. You do not need to be in the store. Bitcoin is peer-to-peer electronic cash so you can give it away like cash. I don't know what the tax rules on cash are. You need to verify that with your own jurisdiction. This is not financial or tax advice. This is for informational purposes only.
Remember, this is a custodial wallet. Not your keys not your bitcoin. Don't keep more sats than you are willing to lose on custodial wallets. Sweep your wallet early and often. Loss of funds is possible. There is a small fee for liquidity management too. Do your own research.`
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@ ea181d3b:0fa4d7cd
2025-06-08 23:56:25Originally shared on May 16th, 2025 on Mirror.xyz/canurta.eth
"Thus, the deluded Bankrupt raves; Puts all upon a desprate Bet; Then plunges in the Southern Waves; Dipt over Head and Ears—in Debt."
Life has a unique way of guiding us exactly where we need to be, often without us fully realizing it at the time. My journey led me to study law at the University of Kent, Canterbury, a path seemingly unrelated to my core passion—innovation and entrepreneurship. Yet, it was precisely in my Company Law class in October 2015 where I first encountered the fascinating saga of the South Sea Bubble of 1720, an event that profoundly reshaped society and laid the foundation of the very legal principles that govern our world today.
The South Sea Company promised unimaginable riches from the transatlantic slave trade, exploiting collective enthusiasm and lack of transparency—hallmarks of many historical bubbles. Jonathan Swift's poignant verses captured the turmoil and despair that ensued, as fortunes were lost overnight:
What struck me deeply was how history, if not understood, inevitably repeats itself. It was clear to me then, as it is now, that awareness of foundational rules—how company law, equity, and property rights emerged from natural principles—remains essential. Without grasping these fundamentals, we cannot truly participate, let alone thrive, in the intricate game of society and commerce.
Yet, history also teaches optimism. Even after devastating crashes, markets recover and soar higher, driven by human ingenuity, innovation, and the foundational trust enabled by clear and enforceable laws. Institutions like the Royal Exchange and London Assurance survived the South Sea catastrophe because they created lasting value—value born from integrity, vision, and disciplined governance.
At Canurta Therapeutics, we find ourselves on the brink of another profound shift—the "digital state of nature," guided by transparency, decentralization, longevity, and trust. Understanding our origins gives us clarity in navigating these emerging trends. It informs our commitment to building something that matters, something resilient enough to weather future storms and purposeful enough to leave lasting impacts on all stakeholders.
Great companies endure because they commit to principles deeper than profit alone—they create enduring value, empower communities, and foster confidence for the long term. This is the path we choose at Canurta.
The universe led me to law school, not by chance, but to prepare me to recognize patterns, anticipate change, and build with foresight. As we embark on this exciting next chapter, I remain deeply inspired by history's lessons and energized by the limitless possibilities ahead.
With gratitude and purpose,
Akeem Gardner
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@ ea39b0da:29a1710d
2025-06-10 08:31:13{"id":"note_1749544261451_reuivx6nu","title":"Another first note 12","content":"Writing the note here where it supposed to be ","color":"#a7ffeb","tags":[],"sharedWith":[],"updatedAt":1749544273138,"version":2,"versions":[{"content":"Writing the note here where it supposed to be ","title":"Another first note","color":"#a7ffeb","tags":[],"sharedWith":[],"updatedAt":1749544261451,"version":1}]}
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-10 17:01:47Bitcoin Magazine
KULR Technology Joins Bitcoin for Corporations, Increases Holdings to 920 BTCKULR Technology Group, Inc. (NYSE American: KULR), a Bitcoin First Company and global leader in sustainable energy management, announced that it has joined the Bitcoin for Corporations (BFC) initiative, an institutional platform by Strategy and Bitcoin Magazine to promote corporate Bitcoin adoption.
$KULR is proud to join the "@BitcoinforCorporations” initiative by @Strategy and @BitcoinMagazine, strengthening its Bitcoin First approach.
The company now holds 920 BTC, worth $91M, as part of its growing Bitcoin treasury strategy.https://t.co/TZ7tyw1Dsw pic.twitter.com/gK9vDlpkcQ— KULR Technology (@KULRTech) June 9, 2025
The initiative is made to support publicly traded companies in integrating Bitcoin into their corporate treasury strategies and balance sheets. Participating organizations gain access to institutional-grade tools, frameworks, and peer networks that support the responsible management and expansion of Bitcoin holdings. KULR’s role as an Executive Member of BFC aligns with its strategy to position Bitcoin as a long-term reserve asset.
“Our commitment to Bitcoin for Corporations reflects a strong conviction in Bitcoin’s long-term value as a monetary asset,” CEO of KULR Michael Mo, commented. “As KULR continues to scale its Bitcoin treasury, we welcome the chance to align with other institutions pioneering this shift in corporate treasury management.”
KULR also has increased its Bitcoin treasury by $13 million, bringing total holdings to 920 BTC, at an average acquisition price of $98,760 per bitcoin. The company’s total Bitcoin investment now stands at $91 million. The latest purchase was made at an average price of $107,861 per bitcoin. Year to date, KULR has delivered a 260% return on its Bitcoin holdings. They use a strategic mix of cash reserves and its At-The-Market (ATM) equity program to fund their acquisitions.
JUST IN:
Publicly traded KULR buys an additional 118.6 #Bitcoin for $13 million. pic.twitter.com/PJ29hsOk22
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 9, 2025
On July 25, 2024, at the 2024 Bitcoin Conference, Strategy and Bitcoin Magazine announced the launch of Bitcoin for Corporations, a new initiative designed to help companies integrate Bitcoin into their treasury strategies. The program provides corporate leaders with educational resources, practical tools, and access to a network of peers and experts. It includes a co-branded web platform offering specialized content, newsletters, and success stories, as well as VIP access to events.
“The ‘Bitcoin for Corporations’ initiative is a significant step towards accelerating corporate Bitcoin adoption,” added Co-founder and former CEO of Strategy Michael Saylor. “By combining our expertise, resources and reach, along with Bitcoin Magazine we aim to create a robust platform that educates and supports corporations in implementing Bitcoin strategies.”
This post KULR Technology Joins Bitcoin for Corporations, Increases Holdings to 920 BTC first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.
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@ 1fdb6dac:65eb9a8a
2025-06-08 18:44:35Vivimos en un mundo que nos enseñó a desconfiar de nuestra intuición.\ Un sistema que premia la obediencia, no el pensamiento crítico.\ Que nos médica para sobrevivir, pero no para sanar.\ Que nos quiere separadas, desconectadas, dependientes.
Desde chicas nos formaron para encajar, no para ser libres.\ La escuela nos preparó para ser piezas funcionales de una máquina, no para ser mujeres conscientes, creativas, despiertas.\ La salud se volvió un negocio: pastillas que apagan síntomas, pero nunca llegan al origen.\ La familia, ese espacio de contención y raíces, fue debilitada en nombre de una supuesta “productividad”.
Nos dijeron que para ser fuertes teníamos que dejar de lado nuestros deseos más profundos.\ Que la maternidad era una traba. Que formar familia era mirar hacia atrás.\ Nos empujaron a vivir en una lógica masculina, en la que mostrar sensibilidad era sinónimo de debilidad.\ Pero nada de esto fue casual.
Este sistema necesita que no creas en vos para poder seguir funcionando.\ Necesita que te desconectes de tu cuerpo, de tus vínculos, de tu intuición.\ Y, sobre todo, necesita que te desconectes del valor real de tu tiempo, de tu energía, de tu dinero.
Pero hay otra forma.\ Hay otra forma de ser mujer, de ser madre, de ser libre.\ Y empieza por recordar lo que siempre supimos, pero olvidamos:\ La familia es revolución desde el amor.\ Porque una sociedad fuerte nace de vínculos sanos.\ Y eso empieza en casa, en las relaciones donde aprendemos qué es amar, cuidar, sostener, poner límites, construir.
Nos enseñaron a medir el éxito por cuánto nos alejábamos de lo femenino.\ Pero la independencia sin conexión es otra forma de soledad.\ La maternidad no es debilidad. Es fuerza creadora.\ La energía femenina no es pasiva. Es raíz, instinto, visión.
Y así como nos quitaron poder en nuestros cuerpos y vínculos, también lo hicieron con nuestro dinero.
Dinero, Energía y Libertad
¿Qué es el dinero, si no una forma de energía?\ El resultado de tu tiempo, tu creatividad, tu esfuerzo.\ Sin que te des cuenta, te están robando esa energía.
Nos enseñaron a ahorrar. Pero nunca nos explicaron que, mientras guardamos billetes, su valor se disuelve.\ Que los bancos centrales imprimen dinero —ni siquiera lo imprimen, lo “crean” digitalmente— sin pedirnos permiso, sin pensar en nuestra vida.\ Y mientras tanto, vos trabajás cada vez más… por cada vez menos.
Porque si controlan tu tiempo, controlan tu vida.\ Si te mantienen ocupada, te mantienen distraída.\ Si te desconectan del verdadero valor del dinero, te vuelven dependiente.
Bitcoin como Llave
Bitcoin no es solo una inversión. Es una herramienta.\ Una llave para volver a tener el control.\ De tu energía. De tu tiempo. De tu vida.
No se trata solo de números.\ Se trata de comprender.\ De construir redes descentralizadas de mujeres libres, que se acompañan, que comparten saberes, que se sostienen.
Porque la verdadera abundancia empieza cuando entendés que el poder vuelve a vos.
Es hora de recordar.\ De mirar hacia adentro.\ Y de tomar decisiones que nos devuelvan a lo esencial:\ La conexión real, el amor como base, y la autonomía como acto sagrado.
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@ d57360cb:4fe7d935
2025-06-10 16:15:54When I see a beginner in jiu jitsu start their journey they have a natural tendency to want to learn the ‘secret’. That one trick, the one technique, the one move that will make them completely unstoppable. This way of thinking is fools gold and it’s so easy to fall for.
In any pursuit there is no ‘secret’. There are fundamentals. Fundamentals are the deep understandings of the mechanics of things. The reason any techniques exist, is because the fundamentals. In a way the techniques being taught are summaries of a collection of fundamental mechanics. To fall in love with the summary misses the deep reservoir of knowledge hiding under the iceberg.
In order for art, mastery and craftsmanship to appear you must dive deep into the source from which the techniques came.
Techniques are not truth, they summarize truth.
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@ 8bad92c3:ca714aa5
2025-06-10 16:03:13MicroStrategy's Debt-Financed Bitcoin Strategy Will Force a Reckoning Within 18 Months - Jessy Gilger
Jessy Gilger from Unchained Capital warned about the sustainability of MicroStrategy's model and its derivatives like MSTY. He predicts that as more companies adopt Bitcoin treasury strategies, "the P&L will matter more as the balance sheet gets commoditized." Within the next 18 months, he expects the current arbitrage opportunities that MicroStrategy exploits will diminish as Bitcoin reaches higher liquidity levels and more competitors enter the space.
His most concerning prediction involves MSTY specifically, which currently offers distributions annualized at 120% - far exceeding the 16-22% he calculates as reasonable from covered call strategies. "If a whale wants out of MSTY in size... they could sell those derivative positions into an illiquid market where there's no bid," potentially causing a 95% collapse similar to what happened with gold mining ETFs during COVID. He advises investors to consider "private pools" for options strategies rather than pooled products where "you're in the pool with everyone else" and subject to forced liquidations.
Pensions Will Drive the Next Major Bitcoin Adoption Wave in 2026-2027 - Adam Back
Adam Back sees institutional adoption accelerating dramatically as pension funds begin allocating to Bitcoin. "The institutional cover of some of the bigger entities that people would reference... you don't get fired for following BlackRock's recommendation," he explained. With BlackRock now suggesting 2% portfolio allocations and the infrastructure finally in place through Blockstream's new Gannett Trust Company, the barriers for institutional adoption are falling rapidly.
Back predicts this will create a "snowball" effect as pension funds realize Bitcoin can help address their massive unfunded liabilities. He noted that financial institutions offering Bitcoin products are "slow movers" with "policies and training materials and guidance that they got to get through," but once activated, the scale will dwarf current retail and ETF flows. The combination of pension fund allocations, continued nation-state adoption, and the mathematical scarcity of Bitcoin leads him to view even $100,000 as "cheap" given where the market is headed.
Traditional Bond Markets Will Collapse as Bitcoin Becomes the Escape Hatch - Sean Bill
Sean Bill sees a massive shift coming as bond markets deteriorate globally. "You peel back the onion. So who benefits from financial repression, right. And inflating your way out of assets," he explained. With Japanese bond yields blowing out and U.S. 30-year yields jumping 10 basis points in a single day, Bill predicts we're witnessing the early stages of a sovereign debt crisis that will drive unprecedented flows into Bitcoin.
He pointed to Japan's MetaPlanet as a preview of what's coming: "The whole bond market of Japan just flowed into a hotel company." As pension funds and institutions realize they can't meet obligations through traditional fixed income, Bitcoin will become the only viable alternative. Bill believes this transition will accelerate once fiduciaries understand Bitcoin's role as "pristine collateral" that can help them "chip away at those unfunded liabilities." His experience getting Santa Clara County's pension into Bitcoin in 2021 showed him firsthand how a 1-3% allocation at $17,000 could have "wiped out the unfunded liability" as Bitcoin approached $100,000.
Adam Back & Sean Bill Podcast Here
Blockspace conducts cutting-edge proprietary research for investors.
New Bitcoin Mining Pool Flips Industry Model: "Plebs Eat First" Could Threaten Corporate Dominance
UTXO Management's explosive report forecasts unprecedented institutional demand that could absorb 20% of Bitcoin's circulating supply by 2026. Bitcoin ETFs shattered records with $36.2 billion in year-one inflows, crushing every commodity ETF launch—and they're projected to hit $100 billion annually by 2027.
The real story? ETFs are just the appetizer. Five massive catalysts are converging: wealth platforms eyeing $120 billion from a modest 0.5% allocation across $60 trillion AUM; corporations following MicroStrategy's playbook now holding 803,143 BTC; potential U.S. Strategic Reserve of 1 million BTC; 13 states with active Bitcoin reserve bills; and the rise of BTCfi yield strategies offering 2-15% returns.
The game-changer: these aren't day traders. CFOs, treasurers, and governments are structurally locked buyers seeking BTC-denominated yields, not quick profits. With FASB mark-to-market accounting removing impairment headaches and regulatory clarity accelerating globally, institutions face a stark reality—allocate now or chase exposure at dramatically higher prices.
This isn't another cycle. It's the institutional colonization of Bitcoin.
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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.
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@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7
2025-06-08 15:00:59Hosted at the iconic Palace of Culture and Science—a prominent symbol of the communist era—the Bitcoin FilmFest offers a vibrant celebration of film through the lens of bitcoin. The venue itself provides a striking contrast to the festival’s focus, highlighting bitcoin’s core identity as a currency embodying independence from traditional financial and political systems.
𝐅𝐢𝐱𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐩𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐮𝐥 𝐦𝐮𝐬𝐢𝐜 𝐯𝐢𝐛𝐞𝐬.
Warsaw, Day Zero at #BFF25 (European Bitcoin Pizza Day) with @roger__9000, MadMunky and the @2140_wtf squadpic.twitter.com/9ogVvWRReA
— Bitcoin FilmFest
(@bitcoinfilmfest) May 28, 2025
This venue represents an era when the state tightly controlled the economy and financial systems. The juxtaposition of this historical site with an event dedicated to bitcoin is striking and thought-provoking.
The event features a diverse array of activities, including engaging panel discussions, screenings of both feature-length and short films, workshops and lively parties. Each component designed to explore the multifaceted world of bitcoin and its implications for society, offering attendees a blend of entertainment and education.
The films showcase innovative narratives and insights into bitcoin’s landscape, while the panels facilitate thought-provoking discussions among industry experts and filmmakers.
Networking is a significant aspect of the festival, with an exceptionally open and friendly atmosphere that foster connections among participants. Participants from all over Europe gather to engage with like-minded individuals who share a passion for BTC and its implications for the future.
The open exchanges of ideas foster a sense of community, allowing attendees to forge new connections, collaborate on projects, and discuss the potential of blockchain technology implemented in bitcoin.
The organization of the festival is extraordinary, ensuring a smooth flow of information and an expertly structured schedule filled from morning until evening. Attendees appreciate the meticulous planning that allowed them to maximize their experience. Additionally, thoughtful touches such as gifts from sponsors and well-chosen locations for various events contribute to the overall positive atmosphere of the festival.
Overall, the Bitcoin FilmFest not only highlights the artistic expression surrounding bitcoin but also serves as a vital platform for dialogue—about financial freedom, the future of money, and individual sovereignty in a shifting world.
The event successfully bridges the gap between a historical symbol of control and a movement that celebrates freedom, innovation, and collaboration in the digital age, highlighting the importance of independence in financial systems while fostering a collaborative environment for innovation and growth.
Next year’s event is slated for June 5-7 2026. For further updates check: https://bitcoinfilmfest.com/
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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-10 16:02:53President Donald Trump’s media company, Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), is doubling down on its Bitcoin bet, partnering with Crypto.com and Yorkville America Digital to launch its own bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), called the Truth Social Bitcoin ETF.
On June 3, a division of the New York Stock Exchange, NYSE Arca, filed a 19b-4 form with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
This is the final regulatory hurdle before an ETF can be launched. If approved, this new fund will allow everyday investors to buy shares tied to the price of bitcoin, without having to hold the asset themselves.
The Truth Social Bitcoin ETF will track the price of bitcoin and give investors a simple, regulated way to invest in the digital money.
It will be listed and traded on NYSE Arca, and Foris DAX Trust Company (the custodian for Crypto.com’s assets) has been named as the proposed custodian for this new fund.
According to the filings, the ETF is “designed to remove the obstacles represented by the complexities and operational burdens involved in a direct investment in bitcoin.”
This is part of a bigger plan by Trump Media to offer a full suite of digital-asset-based financial products.
The company has also applied to trademark six investment products and has plans for additional ETFs under its Truth.Fi fintech platform, which will focus on digital assets and energy sectors.
Trump Media also recently announced a $2.5 billion bitcoin treasury plan and raised $2.4 billion in stock and debt to support its bitcoin initiatives.
Related: Trump Media Will Raise $2.5 Billion to Build Bitcoin Treasury
Now that the 19b-4 has been filed, the SEC has 45 days to approve, reject or delay the application. This can be extended several times, but a final decision must be made by January 29, 2026.
In addition to the 19b-4, Yorkville America Digital must also file an S-1 registration statement. This will outline exactly how the ETF will work, what it offers to investors, how funds will be used, and the risks involved.
Since January 2024, bitcoin ETFs have been all the rage, with over $130 billion in assets. Big players like BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and Fidelity’s FBTC dominate the space. BlackRock alone has $69 billion in assets through its bitcoin ETF.
Even though Trump’s ETF is entering a crowded field, its name will get attention. The Truth Social bitcoin ETF is expected to generate media buzz, political controversy and divided investor opinions, making it a cultural and financial statement.
Donald Trump is the majority owner of Trump Media, although his shares are in a trust controlled by his son, Donald Trump Jr. The ETF filing doesn’t mention Trump by name, but most people see it as a Trump product.
The President is getting more and more involved in the digital asset space. He has NFT collections, meme coins, a bitcoin mining company, a digital asset wallet, and now a potential bitcoin ETF.
But not everyone is happy. Some argue that a sitting president’s involvement in regulated financial products, especially one that could benefit from political influence, is unethical.
An SEC-approved digital asset product from Trump could blur the lines between politics, personal gain and digital assets.
Others, however, see this as a calculated move to boost Trump’s image and position him as a leader in the digital asset and tech space.
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@ 0c65eba8:4a08ef9a
2025-06-08 11:53:20For most of human history, the sexual marketplace was well-regulated.
We are speaking here in general terms. Not every culture got it right, and some were deeply dysfunctional. But wherever marriage, parental investment, and the moral care of children were prioritized, those societies dramatically outcompeted their neighbors.
Incentive structures that supported strong families produced surplus: economic, cultural, and human. Weak ones collapsed.
Why? Because the production of highly competent, capable, mentally and emotionally secure adults is the highest-return activity humanity has ever engaged in. Nothing else provides such a powerful, generational return on investment as raising children into competent adults at scale.
While environment shapes culture and even genetics over time, it is people themselves, their values, behaviors, and internal structure, that determine the quality of every institution and innovation that follows. Get the people right, and the rest follows.
Take Athens, for example. Its golden age wasn’t built on sexual freedom, but on carefully arranged marriages, legally enforced paternity, and multi-generational households. This wasn’t repression, it was coordination, domestication. And it worked.
By the time these norms matured, the sexual marketplace was governed by a complex web of family expectations, religious rules, cultural norms, and community enforcement. Sex was not isolated from responsibility. It was embedded in systems designed to ensure reciprocity, stability, and legacy.
Above all, it was aimed at protecting the vulnerable:
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Women were shielded from bad marriages and abandonment.
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Children were guarded from fatherlessness, abuse and neglect.
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Men were protected from being forced to raise another man's child.
This governance wasn’t repressive. It was protective. It aligned biology, morality, and law to preserve what mattered most.
Marriage was not just a personal bond. It was an intergenerational contract. It linked families, preserved bloodlines, and protected children.
In fact, how well your sexual marketplace was regulated was a clear class signifier. Among the lowest strata of society, mating was often chaotic, driven by instinct, convenience, or desperation. But as you moved up the social hierarchy, norms became stricter, expectations higher, and matchmaking more deliberate. The most successful classes were the ones that invested the most in supporting marriage, disciplining sexual behavior, and preparing the next generation.
This worked for thousands of years to build the west one family at a time.
Then we tore it all down.
The very structure that made sex, love, and family sustainable was dismantled. We became irresponsibly individualistic.
Now, everyone says they want institutional solutions.
But very few understand what that would require, what it demands of us, what it disrupts, and what it will take to build something stable.
This isn’t about dating tips. This is about rebuilding the moral and legal architecture of the sexual domain, so that it works for families, for children, and for civilization again.
You can feel it needs to be done, even if you can’t describe it exactly. Something sacred has been shattered, and pretending it’s working only deepens the misery.
We live in the ruins of what used to be a functioning system. The decline isn’t just visible in the data, it saturates the emotional landscape of daily life. Modern dating feels transactional. Sex is hollow. Women are uncertain. Men are lost. Families are rare and fragile. "Adults" are immature.
And the worst part? Most people think this is normal.
It’s not. It’s a moral, social and institutional collapse. And if we dont fix it, it will be followed by an extinction of western people and culture.
What Happened?
The sexual revolution did to sexual norms what firing the police would do to public safety.
It removed the enforcers of reciprocity, parents, churches, norms, and law, and replaced them with "freedom."
But what replaced regulation wasn’t liberation. It was chaos and predation.
The sexual revolution did not liberate anyone. It dismantled the governance systems that once made mating intelligible and reciprocal:
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Parents, churches, and community elders no longer guide young people toward marriage.
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Legal structures no longer incentivize fidelity or protect paternity.
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Cultural norms no longer bind sex to responsibility, or love to legacy.
What replaced these governance systems wasn’t freedom. It was the stripping away of oversight and consequence. And just like in economics, when you deregulate a high-stakes market, you don’t get utopia, you get predation.
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Divorce soared
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Marriage collapsed
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Anxiety, depression, inceldom, and sterility rose
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Families disintegrated
The result was not a paradise of pleasure. It was a battlefield of broken hearts. The infamous war of the sexes.
It gave us blurred lines between desire and coercion. Propaganda saturated the culture, making vulnerable people pliable, not free. Women were told casual sex meant power. Men learned how to seduce without commitment. Children were conceived under illusion and discarded under regret.
Many had sex believing it would lead to a relationship. It didn’t. Others had children out of wedlock, thinking it would bring stability. It didn’t. Some aborted those children when reality collided with fantasy. Others raised them alone, unsupported, ashamed.
It taught men they had no right to expect paternity. It taught women to mistake attention for commitment. It taught both sexes to expect betrayal.
The social trust required for family life was gutted. And the pain is no longer anecdotal. It is systemic. It's become the new normal.
And no amount of personal effort or success can fully protect you from that institutional decay.
You might build a good life, a strong marriage, a stable home. But you do not live in a vacuum. Your children must still navigate this broken marriage economy. They must form relationships in a world shaped by lies, instability, and betrayal.
You are surrounded by people who were never taught what love is, never shown how to lead a family, never given the structure needed to make good decisions. And their collapse affects you. Their sons may pursue your daughters. Their daughters may carry into your family the wounds of fatherlessness.
You are not exempt from institutional failure, because you live within its consequences every day.
This Isn’t Just About Personal Choices. It’s About Incentives.
You’ve heard enough advice about what you can do: vet better, save yourself for marriage, build character, avoid degeneracy. That’s not what this article is about.
This is about how we fix the structure.
If we want to rebuild civilizational stability, we must re-regulate the sexual marketplace. That means:
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Reintroducing strict moral and legal constraints on sexual behavior
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Promoting courtship norms and family formation at the institutional level
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Creating strong disincentives for single parenthood and non-reciprocal mating
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Restoring incentives for intergenerational involvement in match-making and marital stability
We do this not by going backward, but by going deeper.
By building new institutions, new incentives, and new legitimacy that reward responsibility, protect the vulnerable, and make family formation achievable again for ordinary people, not just the elite.
The Pain Will Force the Change
This may sound impossible to those immersed in the present. But the future is not shaped by what is tolerated, it is shaped by what becomes unbearable.
And this relational economy is becoming unbearable.
The incentives will shift. What was considered impossible yesterday, and still feels improbable today, will become inevitable tomorrow. The only question is whether the solutions we implement will solve the real problem or merely replace one set of dysfunctions with another.
This is where Natural Law matters.
Natural Law gives us something no ideology can: decidability. It offers clarity in confusion, boundaries grounded in reality, and the ability to calculate what leads to order, and what leads to collapse.
Using Natural Law, we can:
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Diagnose the root causes of imbalance between the sexes
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Define what reciprocity looks like in the sexual domain
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Design institutions that reinforce mutual obligation, not exploitation
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Create feedback loops that correct deviation rather than institutionalize it
This isn’t wishful thinking, it’s a social systems design method based on reality. And the longer we delay in applying it, the more damage will compound.
The loneliness, sterility, mistrust, and despair are not sustainable. Not biologically. Not socially. Not civilizationally. Eventually, society will snap back.
And those who understand what went wrong, and are building what comes next, will become the architects of the new order.
Not because they imposed their will. But because they offered rule when everyone else offered ruin.
We don’t need more advice. We need new incentives. And those can only be built by men who are no longer waiting for permission.
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-10 16:02:24Bitcoin Magazine
Strategy Buys $110 Million Worth of BitcoinStrategy has acquired an additional 1,045 Bitcoin for approximately $110.2 million, further cementing its position as the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin as institutional adoption continues to accelerate in 2025.
According to an SEC filing on June 9, the company purchased the Bitcoin at an average price of $105,426 per coin last week, bringing its total holdings to 582,000 BTC. The acquisition was funded through Strategy’s at-the-market (ATM) sales of STRK and STRF preferred stocks.
BREAKING:
STRATEGY BUYS ANOTHER 1045 #BITCOIN FOR $110 MILLION pic.twitter.com/PUjgvEUg4B
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 9, 2025
With this latest purchase, Strategy’s average acquisition price across all its Bitcoin holdings has risen to $70,086 per coin. At current market prices of approximately $107,700, the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are valued at $62.8 billion.
The purchase follows recent significant acquisitions by other major corporations, including GameStop’s $513 million purchase of 4,710 BTC and The Blockchain Group’s €60.2 million acquisition of 624 BTC.
The pace of corporate Bitcoin adoption has reached an unprecedented level, with over 100 public companies now holding Bitcoin worth more than $90 billion collectively.
Strategy’s continued accumulation has helped establish a model for corporate treasury diversification that’s being rapidly adopted across industries.
Strategy’s reported BTC Yield, a key performance indicator measuring the year-to-date percentage change in Bitcoin holdings relative to diluted shares outstanding, now stands at 17.1% for 2025.
At press time, Bitcoin trades at $107,700, up 1.78% over the past 24 hours, as the market continues to process this latest institutional development and its implications for broader corporate adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
This post Strategy Buys $110 Million Worth of Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Vivek Sen.
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@ 2b998b04:86727e47
2025-06-10 03:44:25In an inflationary system, the goal is often just to keep up.
With prices always rising, most of us are stuck in a race:\ Earn more to afford more.\ Spend before your money loses value.\ Monetize everything just to stay ahead of the curve.
Work becomes reactive.\ You hustle to outrun rising costs.\ You take on projects you don’t believe in just to make next month’s bills.\ Money decays. So you move faster, invest riskier, and burn out quicker.
But what happens when the curve flips?
A deflationary economy—like the one Bitcoin makes possible—rewards stillness, reflection, and intentionality.
Time favors the saver, not the spender.\ Money gains purchasing power.\ You’re no longer punished for patience.
You don’t have to convert your energy into cash before it loses value.\ You don’t have to be always on.\ You can actually afford to wait for the right work.
And when you do work—it means more.
💡 The “bullshit jobs” David Graeber wrote about start to disappear.\ There’s no need to look busy just to justify your existence.\ There’s no reward for parasitic middle layers.\ Instead, value flows to real craft, real care, and real proof of work—philosophically and literally.
So what does a job look like in that world?
— A farmer building soil instead of chasing subsidies.\ — An engineer optimizing for simplicity instead of speed.\ — A craftsman making one perfect table instead of ten cheap ones.\ — A writer telling the truth without clickbait.\ — A builder who says no more than they say yes.
You choose work that endures—not because it pays instantly, but because it’s worth doing.
The deflationary future isn’t a fantasy.\ It’s a recalibration.
It’s not about working less.\ It’s about working better.
That’s what Bitcoin taught me.\ That’s what I’m trying to live now.
🟠 If you’re trying to align your work with these values, I’d love to connect.\ Zap this post, reply with your story, or follow along as I build—without permission, but with conviction.\ [https://tinyurl.com/yuyu2b9t](https://tinyurl.com/yuyu2b9t)
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-10 16:02:03Bitcoin Magazine
BitMine Immersion Technologies Buys 100 Bitcoin in First Treasury AcquisitionBitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc., a Bitcoin focused technology company, has taken its first step into treasury accumulation with the open market purchase of 100 Bitcoin. The acquisition marks the launch of BitMine’s formal Bitcoin Treasury business.
JUST IN:
Publicly traded BitMine Immersion Technologies bought 100 #Bitcoin for the first time. pic.twitter.com/4PPaFQGMbr
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 9, 2025
The 100 BTC were purchased using funds raised through BitMine’s recent public stock offering, which closed on June 6, 2025. The offering raised $18 million through the sale of 2,250,000 shares at $8.00 per share.
“We are excited to make our first open market purchase of Bitcoin, and expect to make more Bitcoin purchases moving forward,” said Jonathan Bates, Chairman and CEO of BitMine.
BitMine’s Treasury strategy reflects a growing trend among public companies to diversify their balance sheets with Bitcoin as a store of value. The company joins a cohort of firms leveraging proceeds from capital markets to accumulate BTC as a long term asset, echoing broader institutional adoption.
Based in regions with low-cost energy—including Pecos and Silverton, Texas, and Trinidad—BitMine’s operations span traditional Bitcoin mining, synthetic Bitcoin mining through hashrate financial products, and advisory services for companies seeking Bitcoin-denominated revenues.
The company’s focus is not only on direct mining but also on offering consulting and infrastructure solutions to other public firms entering the Bitcoin space. Its strategic pivot toward treasury holdings represents a natural extension of its belief in Bitcoin as a core financial asset.
BitMine emphasized in its announcement that the move is just the beginning. The company “expects to make more Bitcoin purchases moving forward,” pointing to a sustained long-term accumulation plan.
With this initial acquisition, BitMine has placed itself among a growing group of companies actively converting capital into Bitcoin—showcasing not only conviction in the asset but a business model structured around it.
This post BitMine Immersion Technologies Buys 100 Bitcoin in First Treasury Acquisition first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.
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@ 41fa852b:af7b7706
2025-06-08 11:34:44"The poison was never forced - it was offered gently, until you forgot it was poison at all." - Mark Twain
Happy Sunday, folks.
Below is your weekly roundup of events for the coming week.
Added to the event section this week, an exciting new Scottish Bitcoin Conference, happening in August.
Check out all the details below.
This week's sponsor is…
Upcoming Bitcoin Meetups
Happening this week…
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Dundee Bitcoin: Join them on the 2nd Monday of every month from 17:30 to 20:30 PM at The Wine Press, 16 Shore Terrace, Dundee DD1 3DN. This month's meetup is on Monday 9th. 🍻
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Canterbury Bitcoin: Meeting this month at the The Dolphin Pub in Canterbury at 7 PM on Tuesday the 10th of June. An informal meetup to discuss Bitcoin and chat. 🍺
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Glasgow Bitcoin: Meetups are held every second Wednesday of the month. This is a place for people in and around Glasgow to discuss Bitcoin. 18:00 - 23:00 at The Piper Bar, G1 1HL. This month on Wednesday 11th. 🍻
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St Albans: This is a new meetup happening on the second Wednesday of each month. This month, it's from 19:00 to 22:00 on the 11th at the Robin Hood of St Albans, Victoria St, St Albans. 🍻
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Children of Riddim - Festival - Bitcoin Stage: Children of Riddim Festival is bringing Bitcoin to the big stage from the 12th--16th June in Hemel Hempstead, with 150+ DJs, artists, and speakers. The Barn of Freedom will host Bitcoin talks, music, and Nostr-powered apps. Tickets and donations for the stage can be made via geyser.fund, with camping included. Acts/speakers include Joe Bryan, Metamick, Roger9000, Angor, and more. 🎉🪩
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Bitcoin Beach Bournemouth: Every second Thursday of the month at Chaplins Cellar Bar. 529 Christchurch Road, Boscombe, United. You'll find them in the Cogg Room at 19:30. This month it's the 12th. 🍺
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Bury St Edmunds Bitcoin: is reviving the medieval spirit of the Folkmoot, one Bitcoin meetup at a time. Their second gathering takes place this Friday at 17:30 at Edmundo Lounge. They've also just launched a brand new website.
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Stoke Bitcoin Meetup: The Stoke Bitcoin meetup is back! They will have Bitcoin coffee to taste, delivered by hand directly from the mountains of El Salvador and grown by @lacruzboss in Berlin, El Salvador. 15:00 on Friday 13th. ☕️🍻
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Bitcoin Walk - Edinburgh: Every Saturday they walk around Arthur's Seat in this historic city. Join them at 12 pm to chat about all things Bitcoin and keep fit. 🚶🏽♂️🚶🏼♀️🚶🏻
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Bitcoin East: Join Bitcoin East in Bury St. Edmunds on Sunday 15th, 12:00 at Hopsters Bar, Felixstowe. All welcome, Bitcoiners and anyone else curious about Bitcoin. 🍺
New Businesses Accepting Bitcoin
This week we have…
- Core Agency: A creative communications firm that blends financial expertise with bold storytelling to help businesses in finance and beyond stand out. Based in the UK, they specialise in strategic planning, brand identity, content production, and public relations, delivering everything from investor-focused media to high-impact digital campaigns. With in-house studios for video, animation, and live streaming, Core offers end-to-end solutions that are both visually compelling and commercially effective. Their mission is to bring clarity, creativity, and confidence to brands navigating complex markets. Whether you're a fintech startup or a global institution, Core helps you communicate with purpose and originality. Now accepting bitcoin payments. 📈
Upcoming Special Events
These events aren't happening next week, but they're important to add to your calendar now as tickets are selling fast.
The Bitcoin Beach Retreat: An annual Bitcoin-only gathering held at a scenic coastal campsite in North Wales. Celebrating its fifth year in 2025, the retreat offers a relaxed, community-driven alternative to traditional conferences.
From July 11--14, up to 120 Bitcoiners will come together to share knowledge, enjoy beachside BBQs, and strengthen their networks under the stars. With no pre-booked speakers, the event thrives on peer-led workshops and spontaneous discussions, fostering genuine connections among attendees. Emphasising local engagement, the retreat directs the majority of its funds into the surrounding community, with 42% of expenses paid in Bitcoin last year.
Whether attending solo or with family, attendees can expect a welcoming environment dedicated to sound money and shared values.
Scottish Bitcoin Conference: Taking place on August 23, 2025, at the Glasgow University Union, located at 32 University Avenue, Glasgow G12 8LX. From 09:00 to 16:30.
Featuring an impressive roster of speakers, including Anthony Scaramucci, Hashley Giles, Rick Messit, Dr. Peter Connor, Claire Chisholm, Roger9000, John Magill, Ian Scanlon, Robin Thatcher, Jamie Plowman, Robbie Maltby, Russell Rukin, Peter Lane, Francesco Madonna, and Sam Roberts.
Open to all, this conference offers a unique opportunity for Bitcoiners and newcomers alike to connect and learn in the vibrant setting of Glasgow.
Get Involved
- Volunteer: Passionate about merchant adoption? Reach out to Bridge2Bitcoin on Twitter or website.
- Start a Meetup: Want to launch a Bitcoin meetup? We'll support you. Contact us on Twitter or just reply to this email.
- Contribute to BTCMaps: Help maintain this key Bitcoin resource--no coding skills needed. Update a UK area.
- Telegram: Join our Channel for UK meetup updates
- Feedback: Reply to this email with ideas and suggestions.
This week's sponsors is…
Get out and support the meetups where you can, visit Bitcoin Events UK for more info on each meetup and to find your closest on the interactive map.
Stay tuned for more updates next week!
Simon.
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@ dab6c606:51f507b6
2025-06-08 09:24:14I've been interested for a while in how the business with miles and loyalty points works. I found out that only large corporations can partially do this because of how they can then account for it. And it's tax-wise super advantageous. I also added info about loyalty points and gift cards. The text below was written by various AIs as I was digging into it, it's basically a summary, sharing for those who are interested.
Part I: Loyalty Programs of Large Corporations
Business Logic of Loyalty Programs
Loyalty programs of airlines and hotels are sophisticated business tools that serve several key purposes. They primarily function to increase customer loyalty by creating "switching costs" - customers don't want to lose accumulated points, which reduces the likelihood they'll switch to competitors.
At the same time, they're a significant source of additional revenue. For example, American Airlines earns more from selling miles to banks than on some flight routes. When Citibank buys miles for 1-2 cents per mile, the airline gets immediate revenue, while the real value for the customer can be 3-5 cents when used correctly.
Accounting Treatment of Loyalty Points
From an accounting perspective, loyalty points represent deferred liabilities. When a customer earns points, the company must create a reserve for their future redemption. Points are valued based on expected costs of their redemption, not on nominal value.
The key difference is between cash accounting and accrual accounting: - Cash accounting: Revenue is recognized when payment is received, expenses when paid. - Accrual accounting: Revenue and expenses are recognized when the obligation arises.
For loyalty programs, accrual accounting is critical. When an airline sells miles to a bank for $1,000,000, it simultaneously creates a liability for future costs (say $600,000), so taxable income is only $400,000.
Example: Selling Miles to a Bank
An airline sells 50 million miles to Citibank for $1,000,000: 1. Immediate revenue: $1,000,000 2. Creation of liability: $600,000 (estimated future costs) 3. Taxable income: $400,000 4. Future costs: When customers use miles, the company recognizes the expense and reduces the liability
Positive margin arises from several factors: - Breakage - 15-20% of miles are never redeemed - Time value of money - Money from the bank is invested immediately - Marginal costs - An empty seat has low incremental cost
Tax Optimization and Offshore Structures
Large companies often use international structures to optimize taxes from loyalty programs. A typical structure includes: 1. Parent company (USA/EU) - Operates flights and provides services (e.g., flights or accommodation). 2. IP Holding (Ireland/Netherlands) - Owns intellectual property (IP) for the loyalty program, such as brands, software, and databases. 3. Loyalty Operating Company (Singapore/Dubai) - Manages sale of miles to banks and partners, coordinates the program and communicates with customers.
Business Relationships and Payments Between Entities (example with positive result for Singapore)
These entities are connected by contracts that determine who pays for what and why, to minimize tax burden: - Bank → Singapore (Loyalty Operating Company): The bank (e.g., Citibank) pays $1,000,000 for miles it offers to its clients as rewards for using credit cards. The Singapore company is the main contact point for partners because it's located in a low-tax jurisdiction (17%) with good infrastructure for financial services. - Singapore → Ireland (IP Holding): The Singapore company pays $500,000 as royalties for using IP (brands, software, and data) of the loyalty program. This payment is high to shift profit to Ireland, where the tax rate is even lower (12.5%). This reduces taxable income in Singapore. - Singapore → Parent Company (Airline): The Singapore company pays $300,000 to the parent company for providing services (e.g., flights) when customers use miles. This payment is lower than actual costs to minimize profit in the parent company's country, where the tax rate is higher (e.g., 25-35% in USA or EU). - Profit in Singapore: $1,000,000 (income from bank) - $500,000 (royalties to Ireland) - $300,000 (payment to airline) = $200,000 profit, taxed at 17% in Singapore.
Why Such Distribution?
- Ireland (IP Holding): High royalty payments ($500,000) go to Ireland because the 12.5% tax rate is attractive and Ireland is considered a "serious" jurisdiction that meets international rules (e.g., BEPS). Ireland also has double taxation treaties with many countries, facilitating profit shifting.
- Singapore (Loyalty Operating Company): Mile sales and program coordination occur in Singapore due to favorable tax environment (17%) and strategic location for Asian markets. A small profit ($200,000) is left here to demonstrate "economic substance" - that the company has real activity.
- Parent Company: The $300,000 payment is low to minimize taxable income in a high-tax country (e.g., USA or EU).
Why Not 0% Tax Jurisdiction?
Why not use a zero-tax country (e.g., Cayman Islands)? Due to: - Regulatory scrutiny - Tax authorities closely monitor 0% jurisdictions and may question legitimacy. - BEPS rules - Need to demonstrate "substance" (real offices, employees) in the country. - Credibility test - 12.5% in Ireland or 17% in Singapore looks like legitimate business operation.
The result of such structure is that most profit (60-70%) is taxed at 12.5% in Ireland or 17% in Singapore instead of 25-35% in the airline's home country.
Part II: Loyalty Programs and Alternatives for Small Businesses
Why Loyalty Programs Are Problematic for Small Businesses
Unlike large corporations, small businesses like cafes face a fundamental problem with loyalty programs: cash accounting obligation. In many countries, small firms (under $25M annually) must use cash accounting, which means: - Revenue from selling points is taxed immediately - Costs are deducted only when customers use points (maybe a year later) - Creates tax and cashflow problem - tax is paid on money you'll "lose" in the future
Imagine a cafe that sells loyalty points for €100. It must immediately pay tax (say €21), but deducts coffee costs provided for points only in the future.
Alternative Models for Small Businesses
There are more tax-advantageous alternatives:
1. Gift Cards Model
- Revenue is NOT RECOGNIZED when selling gift card
- Revenue is recognized only when customer uses the card
- Example: Sell gift cards for €10,000 in December, get cash immediately, but pay tax gradually as customers use cards during the following year.
- Time value of money: Money can be invested (e.g., 6% annually = €600 extra profit on €10,000)
- Breakage benefit: 2-10% of cards are never used, after certain time (3-5 years, depending on legislation) you can recognize the balance as pure profit.
Example: Starbucks Starbucks had $1.5 billion in unused gift cards on its books in 2022. Estimated 3% breakage means $45 million pure profit – interest-free loan from customers with bonus that part never returns.
2. Subscription Model
- Monthly revenue = immediate taxation
- Monthly costs = immediate deduction
- Example: €10/month for "premium membership" with certain benefits
3. Discount Coupons
- No revenue when issuing coupon
- Reduced revenue when redeeming (sell at lower price)
- Example: 20% discount coupon = sell coffee for €4 instead of €5
Outsourcing Loyalty Program: Details About Shopify Loyalty
Platforms like Shopify Loyalty represent an elegant solution for small businesses wanting to offer loyalty programs without accounting and tax complications. Let's break this down in detail:
How Shopify Loyalty Works
- Shopify as third party: Shopify owns and manages the entire loyalty program including points and software. The customer has their "account" directly with Shopify, not with the specific store. This means points are not your liability, but Shopify's liability.
- Your role: You (e.g., cafe) pay Shopify a monthly fee (e.g., €29) for using the platform and a small transaction fee (e.g., €0.20) for each point redemption (reward). You're essentially a "service provider" for Shopify – you provide rewards when Shopify sends you an order.
- Earning points: Customer earns points for purchases in stores participating in Shopify Loyalty program. For example, if customer buys coffee for €5 in your cafe, Shopify credits them points (e.g., 5 points per euro, so 25 points). Specific rules (how many points per euro) are set by you through Shopify platform, but technically points are managed by Shopify.
- Using points: Customer can use points for rewards (e.g., free coffee for 100 points), but usually only in stores participating in Shopify network. This means if your cafe uses Shopify Loyalty, points earned with you can be used with you or other stores in Shopify ecosystem, if Shopify allows it. Usually, however, stores set up the program so points are primarily usable with them, increasing loyalty to their brand.
- Point redemption process: When customer wants to use points (e.g., 100 points for free coffee), Shopify sends order to you (cafe) to provide the reward. You give the coffee but don't receive direct payment from customer – it's a marketing cost. You also pay Shopify transaction fee (€0.20). Accounting-wise, it's not a sale, so no taxable income or receipt obligation arises.
- Accounting treatment: When customer uses points:
- No receipt = no taxable income
- Coffee cost (€2) + Shopify fee (€0.20) = €2.20
- Recorded as "Promotional expenses" or "Marketing costs"
Why Must Loyalty Program Be Outsourced to Third Party (like Shopify)?
Small businesses don't have capacity or resources to manage their own loyalty program "in-house" for these reasons: - Tax and accounting complexity: If you managed loyalty program yourself, you'd have to create reserves for future liabilities (points customers will use later), estimate breakage rate (percentage of unused points) and handle cash vs. accrual accounting. For small firms that often must use cash accounting, this means immediate taxation of revenue if selling points, but cost deduction only in the future – creates cashflow mismatch. - Technological infrastructure: Managing points, customer databases and integration with payment systems requires sophisticated software and IT team, which is expensive and complicated for small firms. - Legal separation: When program is managed by third party like Shopify, points are their liability, not yours. For you, this means no future liabilities in your accounting books – just monthly costs (Shopify fee), which are tax-deductible as regular expense. - Economic efficiency: Shopify aggregates thousands of stores, achieving economies of scale – lower costs for software, security and data management. A small cafe could never create such system at reasonable price alone.
Why Can't It Be In-house from Tax Perspective?
If small firm managed loyalty program itself: - Immediate tax problem: If firm sold points (e.g., for money or as part of purchase), revenue would have to be taxed immediately, though costs for providing rewards (e.g., free coffee) could be deducted only when customer uses points. This creates cashflow mismatch because you pay tax before actually "losing" money on reward. - Complex reserves: Would have to estimate how many points will be used and create accounting reserves, which is administratively demanding and requires expensive accountants or software. - Risk of errors: Incorrect breakage rate estimates or poor liability management can lead to tax audits and penalties.
With Shopify, these problems are eliminated – you only pay monthly fee and transaction fees, which are simply recorded as marketing costs. Shopify takes full responsibility for managing points and liabilities to customers.
Case Study: Loyalty Points for Cafe (10 + 1 Free Model)
Let's look at specific case of small cafe offering classic loyalty program type "10 + 1 free". Customer gets 1 point for each coffee purchased (e.g., for €3) and after collecting 10 points gets one free coffee. We'll analyze how this works accounting-wise, whether it's "promotional expense" and what's the difference between in-house management and using Shopify.
How "10 + 1 Free" Program Works
- Earning points: Customer buys coffee for €3 and gets 1 point (e.g., stamp on card or digital record). Points have no monetary value for sale – they're purely reward for purchase.
- Using points: After collecting 10 points (meaning purchases for €30) customer gets free coffee (value €3).
- Real cost for cafe: Cost of producing free coffee is lower than selling price, e.g., €1.50 for materials and labor.
Accounting Treatment (In-house)
If cafe manages program itself (in-house), accounting process depends on whether it uses cash accounting (common for small firms) or accrual accounting: - Cash accounting: - When customer buys coffee: Cafe records €3 revenue for each coffee and issues receipt. Point (stamp) has no monetary value, so it's not recorded as liability or revenue. - When redeeming 10 points: When customer gets free coffee, no revenue arises (€0), but cost for coffee production arises (€1.50). This cost is recorded as "Promotional expense" or "Marketing cost" because it's form of discount or advertising to retain customer. - Tax impact: No revenue when issuing free coffee, €1.50 cost is tax-deductible as regular expense. - Accrual accounting (less common for small firms): - When customer buys coffee: Cafe records €3 revenue but simultaneously creates small liability for future reward (e.g., €0.30 per point, which is estimate of cost for future free coffee divided by 10). So from €3 revenue, taxable income is only €2.70. - When redeeming 10 points: When customer gets free coffee, cafe reduces liability by €3 (10 points x €0.30) and records €1.50 cost for coffee production. Difference can be adjusted as breakage or other profit if estimates differ from reality. - Tax impact: Taxable income is lower already at first purchase, but accounting is more complex due to estimates and reserves.
Is it Promotional Expense? Yes, in both cases (cash and accrual) the cost of free coffee is recorded as "Promotional expense" or "Marketing cost" because it's form of discount to support customer loyalty. It's not considered regular sale because no revenue or receipt arises.
Accounting Treatment (via Shopify Loyalty)
If cafe uses Shopify Loyalty to manage "10 + 1 free" program, process is simpler: - When customer buys coffee: Cafe records €3 revenue for coffee and issues receipt. Shopify credits point to customer's account (it's not your liability, but Shopify's). - When redeeming 10 points: Shopify sends order to issue free coffee. Cafe gives coffee (€1.50 cost) and pays Shopify transaction fee (€0.20). Total cost €1.70 is recorded as "Promotional expense" or "Marketing cost". - Tax impact: Same as in-house, no revenue when issuing free coffee, €1.70 cost is tax-deductible as regular expense. Additionally, you don't have to handle any liabilities or breakage estimates because Shopify manages points.
Difference Between In-house and Shopify
- In-house:
- Advantages: Full control over program, no monthly fees to third party (e.g., €29 Shopify fee).
- Disadvantages: If using accrual accounting, must create reserves and estimate breakage, which is administratively demanding. With cash accounting it's simpler (no liabilities), but if you sold points for money, tax mismatch arises (revenue taxed immediately, cost only later). Additionally, must manage point database yourself (stamps, software), which is time-consuming.
- Shopify Loyalty:
- Advantages: No liabilities in your accounting books, Shopify manages points and technology. Accounting-wise it's simple – just monthly fee (€29) and transaction fees (€0.20) as marketing cost. Don't have to handle estimates or breakage.
- Disadvantages: Pay monthly fees and transaction fees, increasing costs (e.g., €0.20 extra per free coffee). Have less control over program because third party manages it.
Conclusion for Cafe: "10 + 1 free" program is accounting-wise considered Promotional expense in both cases (in-house and Shopify) because free coffee is form of marketing to retain customers. Difference is in administrative burden and costs – Shopify simplifies accounting and management, but at cost of monthly fees. In-house is cheaper but more demanding to manage, especially if you wanted to use accrual accounting or sell points for money.
Conclusion
Loyalty programs are sophisticated customer loyalty tools, but their accounting and tax aspects differ significantly between large and small firms. Large corporations use accrual accounting and international structures for tax optimization, while for small businesses alternative models like gift cards or outsourcing entire program are often more advantageous, eliminating tax and cashflow problems. Gift cards additionally bring immediate cash flow, time value of money and breakage benefit, making them ideal tool for businesses of all sizes. Shopify Loyalty offers small firms way to implement loyalty program without accounting complications because it takes technical and legal responsibility, allowing focus on core business. For simple programs like "10 + 1 free," accounting impact is similar (Promotional expense), but Shopify simplifies management at cost of additional fees.
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@ 6c05c73e:c4356f17
2025-06-10 01:00:30Invista na Sua Saúde: O Melhor Retorno é uma Vida Plena
Esqueça dietas milagrosas, suplementos que prometem te tornar o próximo Apolo. E, programas de treino (tais como Crossfit) que dizem fazer a diferença entre escalar o Everest e se abaixar e pegar seu par de tênis.
Muitas pessoas falam em dinheiro, conexões e conhecimento. Mas, nada disso vai funcionar se sua saúde for uma porcaria. Imagina, estar no melhores anos da sua vida e não ter forças para aproveitar nada. Então, pare de ser teimoso e coloque sua saúde no patamar de importância que ela merece!
Tudo o que você precisa é de paciência, ritmo e disciplina. Portanto, nesse artigo. Vou te apresentar como eu invisto na minha saúde e você pode entender se algo do que eu escrever aqui vale a pena para você aplicar na sua vida e obter resultados semelhantes.
Mas, antes de tudo…
Disclaimer
Nada do que eu escrever aqui deve ser levado como regra. Você deve consultar seu médico e nutricionista para entender quais as melhores ações para serem tomadas com base no seu biotipo e necessidade físicas.
Desenvolva seu corpo, seu templo
Se alimente como Sapiens:
Primeiro de tudo, alimentar se de forma correta é a chave. Se você prestar bastante atenção nos alimentos que ingere e nas coisas que bebe. Seu corpo vai te agradecer enormemente. Ele te presenteia com saúde, disposição, força e energia.
Se colocar combustível "ruim", seu corpo vai detectar e vai reclamar… Não tem que seguir essas dietas malucas que a galera prega na internet. Uma dose de bom senso combinado a uma dose de disciplina vão te tornar um velhinho(a) que todos vão admirar no futuro.
Eu já fiz dietas em que comia até 7x ao dia, tomava 3-4 suplementos por dia e no fim de tudo. Entendi uma coisa. Quanto mais natural nossa dieta, melhor. Legumes, frutas, verduras, carne (com moderação), sementes e grãos. Vão fazer seu corpo te pagar os melhores dividendos possíveis em saúde.
Busque o Olimpo, quem sabe acerta as olimpíadas
Se você como eu, é um entusiasta de esportes. Vai saber bem o que quero ilustrar aqui. Em 2015, após um término de relacionamento. Eu me sentia tão sufocado, que eu queria gritar e extravasar o que estava em mim. Peguei um par de tênis e decidi sair para fazer uma caminhada, fiz outra no outro dia, de repente comecei a “trotar” e duas semanas depois eu estava correndo 5 km.
Passados alguns meses, eu tinha me inscrito em uma primeira corrida "só para ver como era". Depois outra e outra. E, assim fui… Mas, eu tinha três ingredientes:
- O foco (correr)
- O combustível (eliminar aquela dor e tensão)
- O lugar (a rua)
E, depois que aprendi isso galera. Eu juro, que destravei muita coisa. Eu participei de campeonatos de levantamento de peso, de xadrez e mais um bocado. Minha meta nunca foi ser uma atleta profissional e viver disso. Mas, eu via mais como um hobbie que me pagava muito bem
Endorfina é boa demais
Então pensa assim:
- Sem grana? Calce os tênis e vá correr. Tem praças perto da sua casa com equipamentos.
- Sem ânimo? Arruma alguém para te acompanhar nos primeiro 60 dias. Depois vira hábito.
- Vida corrida? Vamos definir que 3x por semana é uma lei!
O que não vale é não fazer NADA. Temos muita comodidade e temos que usar isso para o bem. Senão, “seremos velhos de 30 anos”.
Aqui, vale tudo com excecao de duas coisas: Ficar parado e complicar demais as coisas.
Saúde Mental
Aqui é onde separamos os maduros dos nãos. Eu tive que entrar em colapso para entender que cuidar na minha mente era importante.
Por mais que eu tenha lido livros, me preparado de várias formas e tenha sido resiliente. Ninguém, absolutamente ninguém está pronto para lidar com a quantidade de coisas que acontece na nossa vida.
Um terapeuta é fundamental!
Galera, eu faço terapia há 5 anos e foi um salto quântico na minha vida. Quando você passa a conhecer a si mesmo e entender sobre você. Você se torna imbatível! Mas, é um processo lento e doloroso. Você vai visitar cantos e memórias que não são confortáveis. Mas, isso vai te fazer crescer muito além do que jamais imaginou.
Todos nós somos tomados por stress e ansiedade. Ainda mais em um mundo como o de hoje, aonde a informação viaja rápido demais. Você consegue ver conteúdo do fim do mundo, fome e corrupção com alguns cliques de distância.
Vai por mim: -Terapia é o dinheiro mais barato que faço como investimento na vida!
Sua vida vai ser outra. Juro. Comece fazendo uma vez por mês e vá aumentando a medida que achar necessário e puder pagar. O ideal vai variar de acordo com seu momento necessidade. Tem que caber no orçamento também. Senão, vai aliviar uma dor e trazer outra.
Sono de Qualidade:
Eu dormi em cama ruim nos últimos 3 anos da minha vida. E, nesse ano eu investi em uma cama e um travesseiro de qualidade. E, faz totalllllll diferença na vida. O sono ruim, nos deixa stressado e cansados para o resto do dia.
Portanto, te convido a refletir sobre seus equipamentos de descanso. Porque? De nada vai adiantar você: Fazer exercícios, cuidar da alimentação e da sua mente. Se, seu sono estiver quebrado!
Você vai continuar stressado e cansado demais reclamando. Quando fizer um check up sobre isso vai entender na hora o que estou falando e sobre os dois próximos que quero abordar:
- Higiene do sono
- Horário de deitar
Higiene do sono = Deixar tudo o que é eletrônico na sala e parar de mexer neles pelo menos uma hora antes. Deita e vai conversar com seu parceiro(a), leia um livro ou anote coisas em um papel. Vai fazer muita diferença na sua vida.
Horário de deitar = Também faz muita diferença. Se precisa acordar ás 07 da manhã. O ideal é estar na cama 10 horas antes. Ou seja, ás 22:00 já junta tudo e vai pro seu quarto sem distrações. Muita gente dorme e não descansa porque vai se deitar muito tarde e não consegue o sono REM.
Sono regular vai terminar de fechar o ciclo e você vai se tornar mais disposto e com força para fazer o que é necessário. Hoje, em dia para conseguir o que almeja. Não basta somente a mente e o dinheiro. Vai precisar do seu corpo em funcionamento total.
Check-ups e Prevenção
Para concluirmos aqui, é vital fazer exame regularmentes. Não sou médico, mas você deve visitar o seu e agendar bateria de exames periodicamente. E, entender como seu corpo está. Sempre e em qualquer ocasião busque acompanhamento médico antes, durante e pós qualquer atividade esportiva em que se propor.
Apesar de não usar, sou a favor de relógios e aparelhos que possam te ajudar a medir de alguma forma seu progresso e monitorar sua saúde. Toda vez que alguém falar contigo: -Para que vai comprar isso, é caro e é bobagem! Vai lá e compra!
Se a compra, te dar mais vontade de treinar e te ajudar a chegar mais próximo do seu objetivo. Então, eu não vejo como gasto. Vejo como investimento!
Tudo o que puder investir para aumentar e melhorar sua saúde. É uma boa jogada e ignore os críticos. No fundo, eles querem ser como você. Mas, tem muito medo e não conseguem dar o primeiro passo.
Concluindo tudo
Não é café com seu pai, mas uma convesa descontraída de uma pessoa que tentou (e sofreu) várias coisas até chegar em um bom equilíbrio. Fico orgulhoso de poder compartilhar minhas experiências com vocês e se você chegou até aqui. Me sinto honrado em ter sua atenção por tanto tempo. Te agradeço pela sua atenção e convido a compartilhar esse post com quem precisa. Até a próxima.
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-10 16:01:53Bitcoin Magazine
Investment Holding Company Belgravia Hartford Capital Makes First Bitcoin Purchase as Part of Treasury StrategyBelgravia Hartford Capital Inc. (CSE:BLGV) announced that it has made its first Bitcoin acquisition as part of the company’s Bitcoin treasury strategy as well as other corporate developments.
JUST IN: Publicly traded investment holding company Belgravia Hartford announces its first Bitcoin purchase for its reserves
pic.twitter.com/TUfPCvGuBk
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 9, 2025
The company confirmed the purchase of 4.86 BTC for USD $500,000 at an average price of $102,848 per BTC. The move follows a previously announced $5 million credit facility with Round13 Digital Asset Fund L.P., from which Belgravia has drawn its first full tranche.
“We are very pleased to have entered the market at this time,” stated CEO of Belgravia Mehdi Azodi. “Belgravia and Round 13 DAF will continue to monitor the Facility and our holdings of BTC as we move into the anticipated active Summer for Belgravia, cryptocurrencies and BTC in particular.”
Belgravia also reported a CAD $44.1 million non-capital tax loss after filing its 2023 return. This loss can be carried forward for up to 20 years. The company is now working with advisors to explore ways to monetize the tax asset to support its Bitcoin treasury strategy and overall balance sheet.
“Belgravia’s accounting, legal and business advisors are exploring a number of options and opportunities in order to monetize this CAD $44 million Non-Capital Loss for the benefit of shareholders and further strengthen our balance sheet to match our stated BTC treasury strategy,” Azodi stated.
The adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset has dramatically increased over the course of the last year, expanding globally. To date, there are 226 companies and other entities with Bitcoin in their balance sheets.
Last week, Know Labs, Inc. (NYSE American: KNW) also announced the adoption of a Bitcoin treasury strategy, starting with 1,000 Bitcoin as part of a deal with Goldeneye 1995 LLC and Ripple Chief Risk Officer Greg Kidd, who is the CEO and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Know Labs. The Bitcoin will represent about 82% of Know Labs’ $128 million market cap at a BTC price of $105,000.
“I’m thrilled to deploy a Bitcoin treasury strategy with the support of a forward-looking organization like Know Labs at a time when market and regulatory conditions are particularly favorable,” said Mr. Kidd. “We believe this approach will generate sustainable growth and long-term shareholder value.”
JUST IN: Know Labs, Inc. announces its adopting a Bitcoin Treasury Strategy and holds 1,000 Bitcoin
pic.twitter.com/NSn2xFZYx0
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 6, 2025
This post Investment Holding Company Belgravia Hartford Capital Makes First Bitcoin Purchase as Part of Treasury Strategy first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.
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@ dab6c606:51f507b6
2025-06-08 09:21:16Dlhšie som sa zaujímal o to ako funguje biznis s míľami, vernostnými bodmi. Zistil som, že to čiastočne môžu robiť iba veľké korporácie kvôli tomu ako to môžu potom zaúčtovať. A je to daňovo super výhodné. Pridal som aj info o vernostných bodoch a darčekových kartách. Text nižšie napísali rôzne AI ako som sa v tom vŕtal, to je v zásade sumár, zdieľam pre tých, ktorých to zaujíma.
Časť I: Vernostné programy veľkých korporácií
Obchodná logika vernostných programov
Vernostné programy leteckých spoločností a hotelov sú sofistikované obchodné nástroje, ktoré slúžia niekoľkým kľúčovým účelom. Primárne fungujú na zvýšenie zákazníckej lojality vytvorením "switching costs" - zákazníci nechcú prísť o nazbierané body, čo znižuje pravdepodobnosť, že prejdú ku konkurencii.
Zároveň sú významným zdrojom dodatočných príjmov. Napríklad American Airlines zarába viac na predaji míľ bankám ako na niektorých leteckých linkách. Keď Citibank kupuje míle za 1-2 centy za míľu, aerolínia získava okamžitý príjem, zatiaľ čo reálna hodnota pre zákazníka môže byť 3-5 centov pri správnom využití.
Účtovné spracovanie vernostných bodov
Z účtovného hľadiska predstavujú vernostné body odložené záväzky. Keď zákazník získa body, spoločnosť musí vytvoriť rezervu na ich budúce uplatnenie. Body sa oceňujú na základe predpokladaných nákladov na ich uplatnenie, nie na základe nominálnej hodnoty.
Kľúčový je rozdiel medzi cash accounting a accrual accounting: - Cash accounting: Príjmy sa uznávajú pri prijatí platby, náklady pri zaplatení. - Accrual accounting: Príjmy a náklady sa uznávajú v momente vzniku záväzku.
Pre vernostné programy je accrual accounting kritické. Keď aerolínia predá míle banke za $1,000,000, vytvorí zároveň záväzok na budúce náklady (povedzme $600,000), takže zdaniteľný príjem je len $400,000.
Príklad: Predaj míľ banke
Aerolínia predá 50 miliónov míľ Citibank za $1,000,000: 1. Okamžitý príjem: $1,000,000 2. Vytvorenie záväzku: $600,000 (odhadované budúce náklady) 3. Zdaniteľný príjem: $400,000 4. Budúce náklady: Keď zákazníci míle využijú, spoločnosť uzná náklad a zníži záväzok
Pozitívna marža vzniká z niekoľkých faktorov: - Breakage - 15-20% míľ sa nikdy neuplatní - Časová hodnota peňazí - Peniaze od banky investuje okamžite - Marginálne náklady - Prázdne sedadlo má nízky prírastok nákladu
Daňová optimalizácia a offshore štruktúry
Veľké spoločnosti často využívajú medzinárodné štruktúry na optimalizáciu daní z vernostných programov. Typická štruktúra zahŕňa: 1. Materská spoločnosť (USA/EU) - Prevádzkuje lety a poskytuje služby (napr. lety alebo ubytovanie). 2. IP Holding (Írsko/Holandsko) - Vlastní duševné vlastníctvo (IP) k loyalty programu, ako sú značky, softvér a databázy. 3. Loyalty Operating Company (Singapur/Dubaj) - Spravuje predaj míľ bankám a partnerom, koordinuje program a komunikuje so zákazníkmi.
Obchodné vzťahy a platby medzi entitami (príklad s pozitívnym výsledkom pre Singapur)
Tieto entity sú prepojené zmluvami, ktoré určujú, kto za čo platí a prečo, aby sa minimalizovala daňová záťaž: - Banka → Singapur (Loyalty Operating Company): Banka (napr. Citibank) platí $1,000,000 za míle, ktoré ponúka svojim klientom ako odmenu za používanie kreditných kariet. Singapurská spoločnosť je hlavný kontaktný bod pre partnerov, pretože je umiestnená v jurisdikcii s nízkou daňou (17 %) a dobrou infraštruktúrou pre finančné služby. - Singapur → Írsko (IP Holding): Singapurská spoločnosť platí $500,000 ako royalty za použitie IP (značky, softvéru a dát) loyalty programu. Táto platba je vysoká, aby sa presunul zisk do Írska, kde je daňová sadzba ešte nižšia (12,5 %). Tým sa znižuje zdaniteľný príjem v Singapure. - Singapur → Materská spoločnosť (Aerolínia): Singapurská spoločnosť platí $300,000 materskej spoločnosti za poskytnutie služieb (napr. letov), keď zákazníci využijú míle. Táto platba je nižšia ako reálne náklady, aby sa minimalizoval zisk v krajine materskej spoločnosti, kde je daňová sadzba vyššia (napr. 25-35 % v USA alebo EU). - Zisk v Singapure: $1,000,000 (príjem od banky) - $500,000 (royalty do Írska) - $300,000 (platba aerolínii) = $200,000 zisku, ktorý je zdanený pri 17 % v Singapure.
Prečo takéto rozdelenie?
- Írsko (IP Holding): Vysoké royalty platby ($500,000) idú do Írska, pretože daňová sadzba 12,5 % je atraktívna a Írsko je považované za "serióznu" jurisdikciu, ktorá spĺňa medzinárodné pravidlá (napr. BEPS). Zároveň má Írsko zmluvy o zamedzení dvojitého zdanenia s mnohými krajinami, čo uľahčuje presun zisku.
- Singapur (Loyalty Operating Company): Predaj míľ a koordinácia programu prebieha v Singapure kvôli priaznivému daňovému prostrediu (17 %) a strategickej polohe pre ázijské trhy. Zároveň sa tu zanecháva malý zisk ($200,000), aby sa preukázala "ekonomická substance" – teda, že spoločnosť má reálnu činnosť.
- Materská spoločnosť: Platba $300,000 je nízka, aby sa minimalizoval zdaniteľný príjem v krajine s vysokou daňovou sadzbou (napr. USA alebo EU).
Prečo nie 0 % daňová jurisdikcia?
Prečo sa nepoužíva krajina s nulovou daňou (napr. Kajmanské ostrovy)? Kvôli: - Regulatory scrutiny - Daňové úrady pozorne sledujú 0 % jurisdikcie a môžu spochybniť legitímnosť. - BEPS pravidlám - Potreba preukázať "substance" (reálne kancelárie, zamestnancov) v krajine. - Credibility testu - 12,5 % v Írsku alebo 17 % v Singapure vyzerá ako legitímna obchodná operácia.
Výsledkom takejto štruktúry je, že väčšina zisku (60-70 %) je zdanená pri 12,5 % v Írsku alebo 17 % v Singapure namiesto 25-35 % v domovskej krajine aerolínky.
Časť II: Loyalty programy a alternatívy pre malé biznisy
Prečo je loyalty program problematický pre malé biznisy
Na rozdiel od veľkých korporácií, malé biznisy ako kaviarne narážajú pri vernostných programoch na zásadný problém: cash accounting povinnosť. V mnohých krajinách musia malé firmy (pod $25M ročne) používať cash accounting, čo znamená: - Príjem z predaja bodov sa zdaní okamžite - Náklady sa odpočítajú až keď zákazník body využije (možno o rok) - Vzniká daňový a cashflow problém - daň sa platí z peňazí, ktoré "stratíte" v budúcnosti
Predstavte si kaviareň, ktorá predá vernostné body za €100. Okamžite musí zaplatiť daň (povedzme €21), ale náklady na kávu poskytnutú za body odpočíta až v budúcnosti.
Alternatívne modely pre malé biznisy
Existujú daňovo výhodnejšie alternatívy:
1. Gift Cards model
- Príjem sa NEUZNÁ pri predaji gift karty
- Príjem sa uzná až keď zákazník kartu využije
- Príklad: Predáte gift cards za €10,000 v decembri, získate cash okamžite, ale daň platíte postupne, ako zákazníci karty využívajú počas nasledujúceho roka.
- Časová hodnota peňazí: Peniaze môžete investovať (napr. 6 % ročne = €600 extra zisk na €10,000)
- Breakage benefit: 2-10 % kariet sa nikdy nevyužije, po určitom čase (3-5 rokov, podľa legislatívy) môžete zostatok uznať ako čistý zisk.
Príklad: Starbucks Starbucks mal v roku 2022 na účtoch $1,5 miliardy v nevyužitých gift cards. Odhadovaný breakage 3 % znamená $45 miliónov čistého zisku – bezúročná pôžička od zákazníkov s bonusom, že časť sa nikdy nevráti.
2. Subscription model
- Mesačný príjem = okamžité zdanenie
- Mesačné náklady = okamžitý odpočet
- Príklad: €10/mesiac za "premium membership" s určitými benefitmi
3. Discount Coupons
- Žiadny príjem pri vydaní kupónu
- Znížený príjem pri uplatnení (predáte za nižšiu cenu)
- Príklad: 20 % zľavový kupón = predaj kávy za €4 namiesto €5
Outsourcing loyalty programu: Podrobnosti o Shopify Loyalty
Platformy ako Shopify Loyalty predstavujú elegantné riešenie pre malé biznisy, ktoré chcú ponúkať vernostné programy bez účtovných a daňových komplikácií. Poďme si to rozobrať podrobne:
Ako funguje Shopify Loyalty
- Shopify ako tretia strana: Shopify vlastní a spravuje celý vernostný program vrátane bodov a softvéru. Zákazník má svoj "účet" priamo u Shopify, nie u konkrétneho obchodu. To znamená, že body nie sú vaším záväzkom, ale záväzkom Shopify.
- Vaša úloha: Vy (napr. kaviareň) platíte Shopify mesačný poplatok (napr. €29) za používanie platformy a malý transakčný poplatok (napr. €0,20) za každé uplatnenie bodov (reward). Vy ste v podstate "dodávateľom služieb" pre Shopify – poskytujete odmeny, keď vám Shopify pošle objednávku.
- Získavanie bodov: Zákazník získava body za nákupy v obchodoch, ktoré sú zapojené do Shopify Loyalty programu. Napríklad, ak zákazník nakúpi kávu za €5 vo vašej kaviarni, Shopify mu pripíše body (napr. 5 bodov za každé euro, teda 25 bodov). Konkrétne pravidlá (koľko bodov za euro) si nastavujete vy cez Shopify platformu, ale technicky body spravuje Shopify.
- Využitie bodov: Zákazník môže body využiť na odmeny (napr. kávu zadarmo za 100 bodov), ale zvyčajne len v obchodoch zapojených do Shopify siete. To znamená, že ak vaša kaviareň používa Shopify Loyalty, body získané u vás môžu byť využité u vás alebo v iných obchodoch v rámci Shopify ekosystému, ak to Shopify umožňuje. Väčšinou však obchody nastavujú program tak, aby boli body využiteľné primárne u nich, čím sa zvyšuje lojalita k ich značke.
- Proces uplatnenia bodov: Keď zákazník chce využiť body (napr. 100 bodov za kávu zadarmo), Shopify pošle objednávku vám (kaviarni) na poskytnutie odmeny. Vy kávu vydáte, ale nedostanete za ňu priamy príjem od zákazníka – ide o marketingový náklad. Zároveň platíte Shopify transakčný poplatok (€0,20). Účtovne to nie je predaj, takže nevzniká zdaniteľný príjem ani povinnosť vystaviť bloček.
- Účtovné spracovanie: Keď zákazník využije body:
- Žiadny bloček = žiadny zdaniteľný príjem
- Náklad kávy (€2) + Shopify fee (€0,20) = €2,20
- Účtuje sa ako "Promotional expenses" alebo "Marketing costs"
Prečo musí byť loyalty program outsourcovaný tretej strane (ako Shopify)?
Malé biznisy nemajú kapacitu ani zdroje na správu vlastného loyalty programu "in-house" z týchto dôvodov: - Daňová a účtovná komplexnosť: Ak by ste spravovali loyalty program sami, museli by ste vytvárať rezervy na budúce záväzky (body, ktoré zákazníci využijú neskôr), odhadovať breakage rate (percento nevyužitých bodov) a riešiť cash vs. accrual accounting. Pre malé firmy, ktoré často musia používať cash accounting, to znamená okamžité zdanenie príjmu, ak by body predávali, ale odpočet nákladov až v budúcnosti – vzniká cashflow nesúlad. - Technologická infraštruktúra: Správa bodov, databáz zákazníkov a integrácia s platobnými systémami vyžaduje sofistikovaný softvér a IT tím, čo je pre malé firmy nákladné a komplikované. - Legálna separácia: Keď program spravuje tretia strana ako Shopify, body sú ich záväzkom, nie vaším. Pre vás to znamená, že nemáte žiadne budúce záväzky vo svojej účtovnej knihe – len mesačné náklady (poplatok Shopify), ktoré sú daňovo odpočítateľné ako bežný výdavok. - Ekonomická efektivita: Shopify združuje tisíce obchodov, čím dosahuje ekonomiku rozsahu – nižšie náklady na softvér, bezpečnosť a správu dát. Malá kaviareň by sama nikdy nedokázala vytvoriť takýto systém za rozumnú cenu.
Prečo to nemôže byť in-house z daňového hľadiska?
Ak by malá firma spravovala loyalty program sama: - Okamžitý daňový problém: Ak by firma predávala body (napr. za peniaze alebo ako súčasť nákupu), príjem by musela zdaniť hneď, hoci náklady na poskytnutie odmien (napr. káva zadarmo) by mohla odpočítať až v momente, keď zákazník body využije. To vytvára cashflow nesúlad, pretože daň platíte skôr, než reálne "stratíte" peniaze na odmenu. - Zložité rezervy: Musela by odhadovať, koľko bodov sa využije, a vytvárať účtovné rezervy, čo je administratívne náročné a vyžaduje drahých účtovníkov alebo softvér. - Riziko chýb: Nesprávne odhady breakage rate alebo zlý manažment záväzkov môžu viesť k daňovým kontrolám a pokutám.
S Shopify sa tieto problémy eliminujú – vy platíte len mesačný poplatok a transakčné fees, ktoré sú jednoducho účtované ako marketingové náklady. Shopify preberá celú zodpovednosť za správu bodov a záväzkov voči zákazníkom.
Prípadová štúdia: Vernostné body pre kaviareň (model 10 + 1 zadarmo)
Pozrime sa na konkrétny prípad malej kaviarne, ktorá ponúka klasický vernostný program typu "10 + 1 zadarmo". Zákazník dostane 1 bod za každú kúpenú kávu (napr. za €3) a po nazbieraní 10 bodov dostane jednu kávu zadarmo. Rozoberieme, ako to funguje účtovne, či ide o "promotional expense" a aký je rozdiel medzi in-house správou a použitím Shopify.
Ako funguje program "10 + 1 zadarmo"
- Získavanie bodov: Zákazník kúpi kávu za €3 a dostane 1 bod (napr. pečiatku na kartičku alebo digitálny záznam). Body nemajú peňažnú hodnotu na predaj – sú čisto odmenou za nákup.
- Využitie bodov: Po nazbieraní 10 bodov (čo znamená nákupy za €30) zákazník dostane kávu zadarmo (hodnota €3).
- Reálny náklad pre kaviareň: Náklad na výrobu kávy zadarmo je nižší ako predajná cena, napr. €1,50 za suroviny a prácu.
Účtovné spracovanie (In-house)
Ak kaviareň spravuje program sama (in-house), účtovný proces závisí od toho, či používa cash accounting (bežné pre malé firmy) alebo accrual accounting: - Cash accounting: - Pri nákupe kávy zákazníkom: Kaviareň účtuje príjem €3 za každú kávu a vydá bloček. Bod (pečiatka) nemá peňažnú hodnotu, takže sa neúčtuje ako záväzok ani príjem. - Pri uplatnení 10 bodov: Keď zákazník dostane kávu zadarmo, nevzniká príjem (€0), ale vzniká náklad na výrobu kávy (€1,50). Tento náklad sa účtuje ako "Promotional expense" alebo "Marketing cost", pretože ide o formu zľavy alebo reklamy na udržanie zákazníka. - Daňový dopad: Žiadny príjem pri vydaní kávy zadarmo, náklad €1,50 je daňovo odpočítateľný ako bežný výdavok. - Accrual accounting (menej bežné pre malé firmy): - Pri nákupe kávy zákazníkom: Kaviareň účtuje príjem €3, ale zároveň vytvára malý záväzok na budúcu odmenu (napr. €0,30 za každý bod, čo je odhad nákladu na budúcu kávu zadarmo deleno 10). Teda z €3 príjmu je zdaniteľný príjem len €2,70. - Pri uplatnení 10 bodov: Keď zákazník dostane kávu zadarmo, kaviareň zníži záväzok o €3 (10 bodov x €0,30) a účtuje náklad €1,50 na výrobu kávy. Rozdiel môže byť upravený ako breakage alebo iný zisk, ak sa odhady líšia od reality. - Daňový dopad: Zdaniteľný príjem je nižší už pri prvom nákupe, ale účtovníctvo je zložitejšie kvôli odhadom a rezervám.
Je to Promotional Expense? Áno, v oboch prípadoch (cash aj accrual) sa náklad na kávu zadarmo účtuje ako "Promotional expense" alebo "Marketing cost", pretože ide o formu zľavy na podporu lojality zákazníkov. Nie je to považované za bežný predaj, pretože nevzniká príjem ani bloček.
Účtovné spracovanie (cez Shopify Loyalty)
Ak kaviareň používa Shopify Loyalty na správu programu "10 + 1 zadarmo", proces je jednoduchší: - Pri nákupe kávy zákazníkom: Kaviareň účtuje príjem €3 za kávu a vydá bloček. Shopify pripíše bod zákazníkovi do jeho účtu (nie je to váš záväzok, ale Shopify). - Pri uplatnení 10 bodov: Shopify pošle objednávku na vydanie kávy zadarmo. Kaviareň vydá kávu (náklad €1,50) a zaplatí Shopify transakčný poplatok (€0,20). Celkový náklad €1,70 sa účtuje ako "Promotional expense" alebo "Marketing cost". - Daňový dopad: Rovnako ako pri in-house, žiadny príjem pri vydaní kávy zadarmo, náklad €1,70 je daňovo odpočítateľný ako bežný výdavok. Navyše nemusíte riešiť žiadne záväzky alebo odhady breakage, pretože body spravuje Shopify.
Rozdiel medzi In-house a Shopify
- In-house:
- Výhody: Plná kontrola nad programom, žiadne mesačné poplatky tretej strane (napr. €29 Shopify fee).
- Nevýhody: Ak použijete accrual accounting, musíte vytvárať rezervy a odhadovať breakage, čo je administratívne náročné. Pri cash accounting je to jednoduchšie (žiadne záväzky), ale ak by ste body predávali za peniaze, vzniká daňový nesúlad (príjem zdanený hneď, náklad až neskôr). Navyše musíte sami spravovať databázu bodov (pečiatky, softvér), čo je časovo náročné.
- Shopify Loyalty:
- Výhody: Žiadne záväzky vo vašej účtovnej knihe, Shopify spravuje body a technológiu. Účtovne je to jednoduché – len mesačný poplatok (€29) a transakčné poplatky (€0,20) ako marketingový náklad. Nemusíte riešiť odhady ani breakage.
- Nevýhody: Platíte mesačné poplatky a transakčné fees, čo zvyšuje náklady (napr. €0,20 navyše za každú kávu zadarmo). Máte menšiu kontrolu nad programom, pretože ho spravuje tretia strana.
Záver pre kaviareň: Program "10 + 1 zadarmo" je účtovne považovaný za Promotional expense v oboch prípadoch (in-house aj Shopify), pretože káva zadarmo je forma marketingu na udržanie zákazníkov. Rozdiel je v administratívnej záťaži a nákladoch – Shopify zjednodušuje účtovníctvo a správu, ale za cenu mesačných poplatkov. In-house je lacnejšie, ale náročnejšie na správu, najmä ak by ste chceli používať accrual accounting alebo predávať body za peniaze.
Záver
Vernostné programy sú sofistikovaný nástroj zákazníckej lojality, ale ich účtovné a daňové aspekty sa výrazne líšia medzi veľkými a malými firmami. Veľké korporácie využívajú accrual accounting a medzinárodné štruktúry na optimalizáciu daní, zatiaľ čo pre malé biznisy sú často výhodnejšie alternatívne modely ako gift cards alebo outsourcing celého programu, ktoré eliminujú daňové a cashflow problémy. Gift cards navyše prinášajú okamžitý cash flow, časovú hodnotu peňazí a breakage benefit, čo z nich robí ideálny nástroj pre podniky všetkých veľkostí. Shopify Loyalty ponúka malým firmám spôsob, ako implementovať vernostný program bez účtovných komplikácií, pretože preberá technickú a právnu zodpovednosť, čím umožňuje sústrediť sa na core biznis. Pre jednoduché programy ako "10 + 1 zadarmo" je účtovný dopad podobný (Promotional expense), ale Shopify zjednodušuje správu za cenu dodatočných poplatkov.
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@ 6c05c73e:c4356f17
2025-06-10 00:55:07Descrição da empresa
A Itaúsa S.A. é uma das maiores holdings de investimentos do Brasil, com um portfólio diversificado que abrange setores estratégicos da economia. Com sede em São Paulo, a companhia é mais conhecida por ser a principal acionista do Itaú Unibanco, a maior instituição financeira privada da América Latina.
Fundada em 1966, a Itaúsa consolidou-se como um veículo de investimento de longo prazo, buscando a criação de valor para seus acionistas através da gestão ativa de suas empresas investidas. Além de sua posição dominante no setor financeiro com o Itaú Unibanco, a holding possui participações relevantes em empresas líderes de outros segmentos.
Visão geral da empresa
A Itaúsa S.A. é uma das mais importantes holdings de investimento do Brasil, com uma trajetória de mais de 45 anos marcada pela gestão de um portfólio diversificado e de grande relevância para a economia nacional.
Com um modelo de negócio focado na criação de valor a longo prazo, a companhia se destaca por sua sólida governança corporativa e por uma estratégia de alocação de capital em empresas líderes de setores estratégicos.
Modelo de Negócio e Estratégia:
O core business da Itaúsa é atuar como uma holding "pura", ou seja, seu principal objetivo é a gestão de suas participações acionárias. A companhia busca centralizar as decisões financeiras e estratégicas das empresas que controla ou nas quais possui influência significativa. Sua filosofia de investimento pauta-se pela busca de empresas com:
- Geração de caixa consistente: Foco em negócios maduros e com histórico de rentabilidade.
- Marcas consolidadas e liderança de mercado: Investimento em empresas que são referência em seus respectivos segmentos.
- Potencial de crescimento e geração de valor a longo prazo: Visão estratégica para o desenvolvimento sustentável das investidas.
- Sólida governança corporativa: Comprometimento com a transparência, ética e as melhores práticas de gestão.
Mercado que atua
Como holding, a empresa não atua em um mercado específico. Em vez disso, sua presença se dá de forma indireta através da participação acionária em grandes empresas que são líderes em seus respectivos setores.
Portanto os principais mercados que a empresa atua, são:
- Setor financeiro (ITUB4)
- Bens de consumo (ALPA4)
- Materiais de construção civil e acabamentos (DXCO3)
- Energia (Copaenergia)
- Saneamento (Aegea)
- Infraestrutura e mobilidade urbana (NTS)
Oportunidades que o ativo traz
Estudando melhor a empresa e após lermos o relatório do primeiro trismestre. Entendemos que há dois pontos chaves que vão na nossa visão tornar o ativo bem interessante.
Ponto 1 - Redução da divída líquida
Esse ponto é bem óbvio e fica evidente aqui no gráfico abaixo. Com menos débito para pagar sobre mais dinheiro. Dinheiro esse que pode ser reinvestido em novas aquisições e/ou aumentar participação em outros negócios.
Ponto 2 - Reforma tributária aprovada em Janeiro 2025
"O nosso valor de mercado em 31.03.2025, com base no valor da ação mais líquida (ITSA4), era de R$ 102,5 bilhões, enquanto a soma das participações nas empresas investidas a valor de mercado totalizava R$ 135,2 bilhões, resultando em um desconto de holding de 24,2%.
Parte do nosso desconto é explicada por despesas operacionais, financeiras, tributárias (como PIS/COFINS sobre JCP), entre outros fatores. Contudo, a reforma tributária aprovada em janeiro de 2025 eliminará a incidência de tributação sobre o JCP recebido a partir de janeiro de 2027, o que extinguirá essa ineficiência fiscal.
Além disso, empresas como Aegea e Copa Energia estão avaliadas por seus valores contábeis, havendo um descolamento importante em relação ao seu valor justo atual.
Nesse contexto, acreditamos que o atual nível de desconto é maior do que o considerado justo e que o crescimento do desconto no período analisado não reflete adequadamente os fundamentos da nossa estratégia de alocação eficiente de capital e a qualidade e desempenho do nosso portfólio.."
Em outras palavras, a empresa está precificada bema baixo do seu valor patrimonial real. O que entendemos ser um ponto chave para a empresa.
Riscos
Aqui, temos muito pouco a comentar. Pois a empresa está fomentada sobre uma base sólida.
Contudo, a empresa é familiar, com muitos micro sócios pendurados e a maior parte das ações já tomadas.
Catalisadores
- Taxas de juros seguem altas até 2027. Lembrando que ano que vem temos eleições presidenciais.
- Taxas de desemprego devem corroborar em 7% no próximo ano, o que faz uma corrida ao crédito. Aonde o Itaú entra e ganha juros sobre quem toma crédito.
- Estabilidade das empresas que tem sociedade.
- Boa diversificação de portfólio de investimentos.
- Eliminação da incidência de impostos sobre o JCP recebido apartir de janeiro de 2027.
Faq
Quanto rende 1.000 reais em ITSA4?
Considerando um aporte mensal de R$ 1.000 na Itaúsa (ITSA4) ao longo de 30 anos, e assumindo um retorno médio anual de 9% (incluindo valorização das ações e reinvestimento dos dividendos), o investidor poderá acumular aproximadamente R$ 1.702.113 ao final do período
Qual é o preço justo da ação ITSA4?
O preço justo da ação ITSA4 é um assunto complexo, sem uma resposta única e definitiva. Analistas e investidores utilizam diferentes métodos e critérios para determinar um preço justo, e as estimativas podem variar consideravelmente.
Quando o ITSA4 paga dividendos em 2025?
Forma de pagamento: (i) à vista, em dinheiro, no ato de subscrição; ou (ii) mediante compensação de crédito relativo ao dividendo que será pago em 22 de abril de 2025.
Bio
Apaixonado por investimentos e pela transformação que eles podem trazer, a equipe threedolar dedica-se a desmistificar o mundo financeiro e guiar seus leitores rumo à independência financeira. Acreditamos que o conhecimento é a chave para o sucesso nos investimentos.
Disclaimer
Lembre-se: este não é um conselho de investimento. Faça sua própria pesquisa antes de investir. Resultados passados não garantem lucros futuros. Cuide do seu dinheiro!
Referencia
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2025-06-08 07:10:42Autor: John J. Mearsheimer. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und erschien zuerst auf dem Blog des Autors. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier.**
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Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.
Die Frage, wer für den Krieg in der Ukraine verantwortlich ist, ist seit dem Einmarsch Russlands in die Ukraine am 24. Februar 2022 ein sehr umstrittenes Thema.Die Antwort auf diese Frage ist von enormer Bedeutung, denn der Krieg war aus verschiedenen Gründen eine Katastrophe, von denen die wichtigste darin besteht, dass die Ukraine praktisch zerstört wurde. Sie hat einen beträchtlichen Teil ihres Territoriums verloren und wird wahrscheinlich noch mehr verlieren, ihre Wirtschaft liegt in Trümmern, eine riesige Zahl von Ukrainern wurde intern vertrieben oder ist aus dem Land geflohen, und sie hat Hunderttausende von Opfern zu beklagen. Natürlich hat auch Russland einen hohen Blutzoll gezahlt. Auf strategischer Ebene sind die Beziehungen zwischen Russland und Europa, ganz zu schweigen von Russland und der Ukraine, auf absehbare Zeit vergiftet, was bedeutet, dass die Gefahr eines größeren Krieges in Europa auch dann noch bestehen wird, wenn der Krieg in der Ukraine zu einem eingefrorenen Konflikt wird. Wer die Verantwortung für diese Katastrophe trägt, ist eine Frage, die nicht so schnell verschwinden wird, sondern eher noch an Bedeutung gewinnen dürfte, je mehr Menschen das Ausmaß der Katastrophe bewusst wird.
Die gängige Meinung im Westen ist, dass Wladimir Putin für den Krieg in der Ukraine verantwortlich sei. Die Invasion habe darauf abgezielt, die gesamte Ukraine zu erobern und sie zu einem Teil eines größeren Russlands zu machen, so die Argumentation. Sobald dieses Ziel erreicht sei, würden die Russen ein Imperium in Osteuropa errichten, ähnlich wie es die Sowjetunion nach dem Zweiten Weltkrieg getan habe. Daher stelle Putin letztlich eine Bedrohung für den Westen dar, der man mit aller Macht begegnen müsse. Kurz gesagt, Putin ist ein Imperialist mit einem Masterplan, der sich nahtlos in die reiche russische Tradition einfügt.
Das alternative Argument, mit dem ich mich identifiziere und das im Westen eindeutig in der Minderheit ist, lautet, dass die Vereinigten Staaten und ihre Verbündeten den Krieg provoziert haben. Damit soll natürlich nicht geleugnet werden, dass Russland in die Ukraine einmarschiert ist und den Krieg begonnen hat. Die Hauptursache des Konflikts ist jedoch der NATO-Beschluss, die Ukraine in das Bündnis aufzunehmen, was praktisch alle russischen Führer als existenzielle Bedrohung ansehen, die beseitigt werden muss. Die NATO-Erweiterung ist jedoch Teil einer umfassenderen Strategie, die darauf abzielt, die Ukraine zu einem westlichen Bollwerk an Russlands Grenze zu machen. Ein Beitritt Kiews zur Europäischen Union (EU) und die Förderung einer farbigen Revolution in der Ukraine – die Umwandlung des Landes in eine prowestliche liberale Demokratie – sind die beiden anderen Säulen dieser Politik. Die russische Führung fürchtet alle drei Bereiche, aber am meisten fürchtet sie die NATO-Erweiterung. Um dieser Bedrohung zu begegnen, hat Russland am 24. Februar 2022 einen Präventivkrieg begonnen.
Die Debatte darüber, wer den Ukraine-Krieg verursacht hat, ist kürzlich aufgeflammt, als zwei prominente westliche Politiker – der ehemalige US-Präsident Donald Trump und der prominente britische Abgeordnete Nigel Farage – das Argument vorbrachten, dass die NATO-Erweiterung die treibende Kraft hinter dem Konflikt sei. Es überrascht nicht, dass ihre Äußerungen von den Verfechtern der konventionellen Meinung mit einem heftigen Gegenangriff beantwortet wurden. Es ist auch erwähnenswert, dass der scheidende NATO-Generalsekretär Jens Stoltenberg im vergangenen Jahr zweimal sagte, dass „Präsident Putin diesen Krieg begonnen hat, weil er die Tür der NATO schließen und der Ukraine das Recht verweigern wollte, ihren eigenen Weg zu wählen“. Kaum jemand im Westen hat dieses bemerkenswerte Eingeständnis des NATO-Chefs in Frage gestellt, und er hat es auch nicht zurückgezogen.
Mein Ziel ist es, einen Überblick über die wichtigsten Punkte zu geben, die die Ansicht stützen, dass Putin nicht in die Ukraine einmarschiert ist, weil er ein Imperialist ist, der die Ukraine zu einem Teil eines größeren Russlands machen will, sondern vor allem wegen der NATO-Erweiterung und der Bemühungen des Westens, die Ukraine zu einer westlichen Hochburg an der Grenze Russlands zu machen.
DIE FRIEDENSTAUBE FLIEGT AUCH IN IHR POSTFACH!
In Kürze folgt eine Mail an alle Genossenschafter, danke für die Geduld und das Verständnis!
Hier können Sie die Friedenstaube abonnieren und bekommen die Artikel zugesandt, vorerst für alle kostenfrei, wir starten gänzlich ohne Paywall. (Die Bezahlabos fangen erst zu laufen an, wenn ein Monetarisierungskonzept für die Inhalte steht). Sie wollen der Genossenschaft beitreten oder uns unterstützen? Mehr Infos hier oder am Ende des Textes.
Lassen Sie mich mit den sieben wichtigsten Gründen für die Ablehnung der herkömmlichen Meinung beginnen.
ERSTENS gibt es schlicht und ergreifend keine Beweise aus der Zeit vor dem 24. Februar 2022, dass Putin die Ukraine erobern und in Russland eingliedern wollte. Vertreter der gängigen Meinung können keine Schriftstücke oder Aussagen von Putin nennen, die darauf hindeuten, dass er die Ukraine erobern wollte.
Wenn man sie zu diesem Punkt befragt, liefern die Verfechter der konventionellen Meinung Hinweise, die wenig oder gar nichts mit Putins Motiven für die Invasion der Ukraine zu tun haben. Einige betonen zum Beispiel, dass er sagte, die Ukraine sei ein „künstlicher Staat“ oder kein „echter Staat“. Solche undurchsichtigen Äußerungen sagen jedoch nichts über die Gründe für seinen Kriegseintritt aus. Dasselbe gilt für Putins Aussage, er betrachte Russen und Ukrainer als „ein Volk“ mit einer gemeinsamen Geschichte. Andere weisen darauf hin, dass er den Zusammenbruch der Sowjetunion als „die größte geopolitische Katastrophe des Jahrhunderts“ bezeichnete. Aber Putin sagte auch: „Wer die Sowjetunion nicht vermisst, hat kein Herz. Wer sie zurückhaben will, hat kein Hirn.“ Andere wiederum verweisen auf eine Rede, in der er erklärte: „Die moderne Ukraine wurde vollständig von Russland geschaffen, genauer gesagt, vom bolschewistischen, kommunistischen Russland.“ Aber das ist kaum ein Beweis dafür, dass er an der Eroberung der Ukraine interessiert war. Außerdem sagte er in der gleichen Rede: „Natürlich können wir die Ereignisse der Vergangenheit nicht ändern, aber wir müssen sie zumindest offen und ehrlich zugeben.“
Um zu beweisen, dass Putin die gesamte Ukraine erobern und Russland einverleiben wollte, muss man nachweisen, dass er 1) dieses Ziel für erstrebenswert hielt, 2) es für machbar hielt und 3) die Absicht hatte, dieses Ziel zu verfolgen. Es gibt in den öffentlichen Aufzeichnungen keine Beweise dafür, dass Putin erwog, geschweige denn beabsichtigte, die Ukraine als unabhängigen Staat zu beenden und sie zu einem Teil Großrusslands zu machen, als er am 24. Februar 2022 seine Truppen in die Ukraine schickte.
Tatsächlich gibt es erhebliche Beweise dafür, dass Putin die Ukraine als unabhängiges Land anerkannte. In seinem bekannten Artikel vom 12. Juli 2021 über die russisch-ukrainischen Beziehungen, der von Befürwortern der konventionellen Meinung oft als Beweis für seine imperialen Ambitionen angeführt wird, sagt er dem ukrainischen Volk: „Ihr wollt einen eigenen Staat gründen: Ihr seid willkommen!“ Zur Frage, wie Russland die Ukraine behandeln sollte, schreibt er: „Es gibt nur eine Antwort: mit Respekt.“ Er schließt seinen langen Artikel mit den folgenden Worten ab: „Und wie die Ukraine aussehen wird – das müssen ihre Bürger entscheiden.“ Diese Aussagen stehen im direkten Widerspruch zu der Behauptung, Putin wolle die Ukraine in ein größeres Russland eingliedern.
In demselben Artikel vom 12. Juli 2021 und erneut in einer wichtigen Rede am 21. Februar 2022 betonte Putin, dass Russland „die neue geopolitische Realität, die nach der Auflösung der UdSSR entstanden ist“, akzeptiere. Diesen Punkt wiederholte er ein drittes Mal am 24. Februar 2022, als er ankündigte, Russland werde in die Ukraine einmarschieren. Insbesondere erklärte er: „Wir haben nicht vor, ukrainisches Territorium zu besetzen“, und machte deutlich, dass er die ukrainische Souveränität respektiere, allerdings nur bis zu einem gewissen Punkt: „Russland kann sich nicht sicher fühlen, sich nicht entwickeln und nicht existieren, wenn es sich einer ständigen Bedrohung durch das Territorium der heutigen Ukraine ausgesetzt sieht.“ Das heißt, Putin war nicht daran interessiert, die Ukraine zu einem Teil Russlands zu machen, sondern er wollte sicherstellen, dass sie nicht zu einem „Sprungbrett“ für westliche Aggressionen gegen Russland wird.
ZWEITENS gibt es keinerlei Hinweise dafür, dass Putin eine Marionettenregierung für die Ukraine vorbereitete, in Kiew prorussische Führungspersönlichkeiten aufbaute oder irgendwelche politischen Maßnahmen verfolgte, die eine Besetzung des gesamten Landes und dessen letztendliche Eingliederung in Russland ermöglichen würden.
Diese Fakten widersprechen der Behauptung, Putin sei daran interessiert gewesen, die Ukraine von der Landkarte zu tilgen.
**DRITTENS: Putin hatte nicht annähernd genug Truppen, um die Ukraine zu erobern. **
Beginnen wir mit den Gesamtzahlen. Ich schätze seit langem, dass die Russen mit höchstens 190.000 Soldaten in die Ukraine einmarschiert sind. General Oleksandr Syrskyi, der derzeitige Oberbefehlshaber der ukrainischen Streitkräfte, sagte kürzlich in einem Interview mit The Guardian, dass die russische Invasionstruppe nur 100.000 Mann stark war. The Guardian hatte diese Zahl bereits vor Beginn des Krieges genannt. Es ist unmöglich, dass eine Truppe von 100.000 oder 190.000 Mann die gesamte Ukraine erobern, besetzen und in ein Großrussland eingliedern könnte.
Bedenken Sie, dass die Wehrmacht beim deutschen Überfall auf die westliche Hälfte Polens im September 1939 etwa 1,5 Millionen Mann zählte. Die Ukraine ist geografisch mehr als dreimal so groß wie die westliche Hälfte Polens im Jahr 1939, und in der Ukraine leben im Jahr 2022 fast doppelt so viele Menschen wie in Polen zum Zeitpunkt des deutschen Überfalls. Wenn wir die Schätzung von General Syrskyi akzeptieren, dass 100.000 russische Truppen im Jahr 2022 in die Ukraine einmarschierten, bedeutet dies, dass Russland über eine Invasionsstreitmacht verfügte, die 1/15 der Größe der deutschen Streitkräfte war, die in Polen einmarschierten. Und diese kleine russische Armee marschierte in ein Land ein, das sowohl territorial als auch von der Bevölkerungszahl her viel größer war als Polen.
Abgesehen von den Zahlen stellt sich die Frage nach der Qualität der russischen Armee. Zunächst einmal handelte es sich um eine militärische Streitkraft, die in erster Linie dazu bestimmt war, Russland vor einer Invasion zu schützen. Es handelte sich nicht um eine Armee, die für eine Großoffensive zur Eroberung der gesamten Ukraine, geschweige denn zur Bedrohung des übrigen Europas, gerüstet war. Außerdem ließ die Qualität der Kampftruppen zu wünschen übrig, da die Russen nicht mit einem Krieg rechneten, als sich die Krise im Frühjahr 2021 zuzuspitzen begann. Daher hatten sie kaum Gelegenheit, eine qualifizierte Invasionstruppe auszubilden. Sowohl qualitativ als auch quantitativ war die russische Invasionstruppe nicht annähernd mit der deutschen Wehrmacht der späten 1930er und frühen 1940er Jahre vergleichbar.
Man könnte argumentieren, dass die russische Führung dachte, das ukrainische Militär sei so klein und so unterlegen, dass ihre Armee die ukrainischen Streitkräfte leicht besiegen und das ganze Land erobern könnte. Tatsächlich wussten Putin und seine Leutnants sehr wohl, dass die Vereinigten Staaten und ihre europäischen Verbündeten das ukrainische Militär seit Ausbruch der Krise am 22. Februar 2014 bewaffnet und ausgebildet hatten. Die große Befürchtung Moskaus war, dass die Ukraine de facto Mitglied der NATO werden würde. Außerdem beobachteten die russischen Führer, wie die ukrainische Armee, die größer war als ihre Invasionstruppen, zwischen 2014 und 2022 im Donbass erfolgreich kämpfte. Ihnen war sicherlich klar, dass das ukrainische Militär kein Papiertiger war, der schnell und entschlossen besiegt werden konnte, zumal es über eine starke Rückendeckung durch den Westen verfügte.
Schließlich waren die Russen im Laufe des Jahres 2022 gezwungen, ihre Armee aus der Oblast Charkiw und aus dem westlichen Teil der Oblast Cherson abzuziehen. Damit gab Moskau Gebiete auf, die seine Armee in den ersten Tagen des Krieges erobert hatte. Es steht außer Frage, dass der Druck der ukrainischen Armee eine Rolle dabei spielte, den russischen Rückzug zu erzwingen. Vor allem aber erkannten Putin und seine Generäle, dass sie nicht über genügend Kräfte verfügten, um das gesamte Gebiet, das ihre Armee in Charkiw und Cherson erobert hatte, zu halten. Also zogen sie sich zurück und schufen besser kontrollierbare Verteidigungspositionen. Dies ist kaum das Verhalten, das man von einer Armee erwarten würde, die aufgebaut und ausgebildet wurde, um die gesamte Ukraine zu erobern und zu besetzen. Tatsächlich war sie für diesen Zweck nicht konzipiert und konnte daher diese Herkulesaufgabe nicht bewältigen.
VIERTENS: In den Monaten vor Kriegsbeginn versuchte Putin, eine diplomatische Lösung für die sich anbahnende Krise zu finden.
Am 17. Dezember 2021 sandte Putin ein Schreiben an Präsident Joe Biden und NATO-Chef Stoltenberg, in dem er eine Lösung der Krise auf der Grundlage einer schriftlichen Garantie vorschlug, dass: 1) die Ukraine der NATO nicht beitreten würde, 2) keine Angriffswaffen in der Nähe der russischen Grenzen stationiert würden und 3) die seit 1997 nach Osteuropa verlegten NATO-Truppen und -Ausrüstung nach Westeuropa zurückverlegt würden. Was auch immer man von der Machbarkeit einer Einigung auf der Grundlage von Putins Eröffnungsforderungen halten mag, über die die Vereinigten Staaten keine Verhandlungen führen wollten, es zeigt, dass er versuchte, einen Krieg zu vermeiden.
FÜNFTENS: Unmittelbar nach Beginn des Krieges hat Russland der Ukraine die Hand gereicht, um Verhandlungen zur Beendigung des Krieges und zur Ausarbeitung eines Modus Vivendi zwischen den beiden Ländern aufzunehmen.
Die Verhandlungen zwischen Kiew und Moskau begannen in Weißrussland nur vier Tage nach dem Einmarsch russischer Truppen in die Ukraine. Diese weißrussische Schiene wurde schließlich durch eine israelische und eine Istanbuler Schiene ersetzt. Alle verfügbaren Beweise deuten darauf hin, dass Russland ernsthaft verhandelte und nicht an der Übernahme ukrainischen Territoriums interessiert war, mit Ausnahme der Krim, die es 2014 annektiert hatte, und möglicherweise des Donbass. Die Verhandlungen endeten, als die Ukrainer auf Drängen Großbritanniens und der Vereinigten Staaten die Verhandlungen abbrachen, die zum Zeitpunkt ihrer Beendigung gute Fortschritte gemacht hatten.
Darüber hinaus berichtet Putin, dass er, als die Verhandlungen stattfanden und Fortschritte machten, gebeten wurde, als Geste des guten Willens die russischen Truppen aus dem Gebiet um Kiew abzuziehen, was er am 29. März 2022 tat. Keine westliche Regierung und kein ehemaliger Politiker hat diese Behauptung Putins angefochten, die in direktem Widerspruch zu seiner Behauptung steht, er wolle die gesamte Ukraine erobern.
SECHSTENS: Abgesehen von der Ukraine gibt es nicht den geringsten Hinweis darauf, dass Putin die Eroberung anderer osteuropäischer Länder ins Auge gefasst hat.
Außerdem ist die russische Armee nicht einmal groß genug, um die gesamte Ukraine zu überrennen, ganz zu schweigen von dem Versuch, die baltischen Staaten, Polen und Rumänien zu erobern. Außerdem sind alle diese Länder NATO-Mitglieder, was mit ziemlicher Sicherheit einen Krieg mit den Vereinigten Staaten und ihren Verbündeten bedeuten würde.
**SIEBTENS: Kaum jemand im Westen behauptete, Putin habe imperiale Ambitionen, seit er im Jahr 2000 die Macht übernahm, bis zum Beginn der Ukraine-Krise am 22. Februar 2014. Zu diesem Zeitpunkt wurde er plötzlich zum imperialen Aggressor. Warum? Weil die westlichen Staats- und Regierungschefs einen Grund brauchten, ihm die Schuld für die Krise zu geben. **
Der wohl beste Beweis dafür, dass Putin in den ersten vierzehn Jahren seiner Amtszeit nicht als ernsthafte Bedrohung angesehen wurde, ist die Tatsache, dass er auf dem NATO-Gipfel im April 2008 in Bukarest ein geladener Gast war, auf dem das Bündnis bekannt gab, dass die Ukraine und Georgien schließlich Mitglieder werden würden. Putin war natürlich erzürnd über diese Entscheidung und machte seinem Unmut Luft. Sein Widerstand gegen diese Ankündigung hatte jedoch kaum Auswirkungen auf Washington, da das russische Militär als zu schwach eingeschätzt wurde, um eine weitere NATO-Erweiterung zu verhindern, so wie es auch bei den Erweiterungswellen von 1999 und 2004 zu schwach gewesen war, um sie aufzuhalten. Der Westen glaubte, er könne Russland die NATO-Erweiterung noch einmal aufzwingen.
Außerdem war die NATO-Erweiterung vor dem 22. Februar 2014 nicht darauf ausgerichtet, Russland einzudämmen. Angesichts des traurigen Zustands der russischen Militärmacht war Moskau nicht in der Lage, die Ukraine zu erobern, geschweige denn eine revanchistische Politik in Osteuropa zu verfolgen. Der ehemalige US-Botschafter in Moskau, Michael McFaul, der ein entschiedener Verfechter der Ukraine und scharfer Kritiker Putins ist, stellt bezeichnenderweise fest, dass die Einnahme der Krim durch Russland im Jahr 2014 vor Ausbruch der Krise nicht geplant war; es war eine impulsive Reaktion auf den Putsch, der den prorussischen Führer der Ukraine stürzte. Kurz gesagt, die NATO-Erweiterung war nicht dazu gedacht, eine russische Bedrohung einzudämmen, weil der Westen nicht glaubte, dass es eine solche gab.
Erst als im Februar 2014 die Ukraine-Krise ausbrach, begannen die Vereinigten Staaten und ihre Verbündeten plötzlich, Putin als gefährlichen Führer mit imperialen Ambitionen und Russland als ernsthafte militärische Bedrohung zu beschreiben, die die NATO eindämmen müsse. Dieser abrupte Wechsel der Rhetorik sollte einem wesentlichen Zweck dienen: dem Westen die Möglichkeit zu geben, Putin für die Krise verantwortlich zu machen und den Westen von der Verantwortung freizusprechen. Es überrascht nicht, dass diese Darstellung Putins nach dem Einmarsch Russlands in die Ukraine am 24. Februar 2022 deutlich an Zugkraft gewann.
Eine Abweichung von der gängigen Meinung ist erwähnenswert. Einige argumentieren, dass die Entscheidung Moskaus, in die Ukraine einzumarschieren, wenig mit Putin selbst zu tun hat und stattdessen Teil einer expansionistischen Tradition ist, die lange vor Putin bestand und tief in der russischen Gesellschaft verwurzelt ist. Dieser Hang zur Aggression, der angeblich von inneren Kräften und nicht von Russlands äußerem Bedrohungsumfeld angetrieben wird, hat im Laufe der Zeit praktisch alle russischen Führer dazu gebracht, sich ihren Nachbarn gegenüber gewalttätig zu verhalten. Es lässt sich nicht leugnen, dass Putin in dieser Geschichte das Sagen hat oder dass er Russland in den Krieg geführt hat, aber es heißt, dass er wenig Einfluss hat. Fast jeder andere russische Führer hätte genauso gehandelt.
Es gibt zwei Probleme mit diesem Argument. Erstens ist es nicht widerlegbar, da der langjährige Charakterzug in der russischen Gesellschaft, der diesen aggressiven Impuls hervorrufe, nie identifiziert wurde. Es heißt, die Russen seien schon immer aggressiv gewesen – egal, wer an der Macht sei – und würden es auch immer sein. Es ist fast so, als ob es in ihrer DNA läge. Die gleiche Behauptung wurde einst über die Deutschen aufgestellt, die im zwanzigsten Jahrhundert oft als angeborene Aggressoren dargestellt wurden. Derartige Argumente werden in der akademischen Welt aus gutem Grund nicht ernst genommen.
Außerdem bezeichnete zwischen 1991 und 2014, als die Ukraine-Krise ausbrach, kaum jemand in den Vereinigten Staaten oder Westeuropa Russland als von Natur aus aggressiv. Außerhalb Polens und der baltischen Staaten wurde die Angst vor russischer Aggression in diesen 24 Jahren nicht häufig geäußert, was man erwarten würde, wenn die Russen zu Aggressionen veranlagt wären. Es scheint klar, dass das plötzliche Auftauchen dieser Argumentation eine bequeme Ausrede war, um Russland die Schuld für den Ukrainekrieg zu geben.
***
Lassen Sie mich einen anderen Gang einlegen und die DREI HAUPTGRÜNDE darlegen, die dafür sprechen, dass die NATO-Erweiterung die Hauptursache für den Ukraine-Krieg war.
**ERSTENS sagten russische Führer aller Art vor Kriegsbeginn wiederholt, dass sie die NATO-Erweiterung in die Ukraine als eine existenzielle Bedrohung betrachten, die beseitigt werden muss. **
Putin hat diese Argumentation bereits vor dem 24. Februar 2022 mehrfach öffentlich dargelegt. In einer Rede vor dem Vorstand des Verteidigungsministeriums am 21. Dezember 2021 erklärte er: „Was sie in der Ukraine tun oder versuchen oder planen, findet nicht Tausende von Kilometern entfernt von unserer Landesgrenze statt. Es geschieht direkt vor unserer Haustür. Sie müssen verstehen, dass wir uns einfach nirgendwo mehr hin zurückziehen können. Glauben sie wirklich, dass wir diese Bedrohungen nicht wahrnehmen? Oder glauben sie, dass wir tatenlos zusehen werden, wie Bedrohungen für Russland entstehen?“ Zwei Monate später, auf einer Pressekonferenz am 22. Februar 2022, nur wenige Tage vor Kriegsbeginn, sagte Putin: „Wir sind kategorisch gegen einen NATO-Beitritt der Ukraine, weil dies eine Bedrohung für uns darstellt, und wir haben Argumente, die dies unterstützen. Ich habe in diesem Saal wiederholt darüber gesprochen.“ Dann machte er deutlich, dass er begreift, dass die Ukraine ein Defacto-Mitglied der NATO werde. Die Vereinigten Staaten und ihre Verbündeten, sagte er, „pumpen die derzeitigen Kiewer Machthaber weiterhin mit modernen Waffentypen voll“. Er fuhr fort, dass Moskau, wenn dies nicht gestoppt werde, „mit einem bis an die Zähne bewaffneten 'Antirussland' dastehen würde. Das ist völlig inakzeptabel.“
Auch andere führende russische Politiker - darunter der Verteidigungsminister, der Außenminister, der stellvertretende Außenminister und der russische Botschafter in Washington - betonten die zentrale Bedeutung der NATO-Erweiterung als Auslöser der Ukraine-Krise. Außenminister Sergej Lawrow brachte es auf einer Pressekonferenz am 14. Januar 2022 auf den Punkt: „Der Schlüssel zu allem ist die Garantie, dass die NATO nicht nach Osten expandieren wird.“
Man hört oft das Argument, die russischen Befürchtungen seien unbegründet, weil es keine Chance gebe, dass die Ukraine dem Bündnis in absehbarer Zukunft beitreten würde, wenn überhaupt. Tatsächlich wird behauptet, die Vereinigten Staaten und ihre europäischen Verbündeten hätten der Aufnahme der Ukraine in die NATO vor dem Krieg wenig Aufmerksamkeit geschenkt. Aber selbst wenn die Ukraine dem Bündnis beitreten würde, wäre dies keine existenzielle Bedrohung für Russland, da die NATO ein Verteidigungsbündnis ist. Daher kann die NATO-Erweiterung weder eine Ursache der ursprünglichen Krise gewesen sein, die im Februar 2014 ausbrach, noch des Krieges, der im Februar 2022 begann.
Diese Argumentation ist falsch. Tatsächlich bestand die westliche Reaktion auf die Ereignisse von 2014 darin, die bestehende Strategie zu verdoppeln und die Ukraine noch näher an die NATO heranzuführen. Das Bündnis begann 2014 mit der Ausbildung des ukrainischen Militärs und bildete in den folgenden acht Jahren durchschnittlich 10.000 Soldaten pro Jahr aus. Im Dezember 2017 beschloss die Trump-Regierung, Kiew mit „Verteidigungswaffen“ zu versorgen. Andere NATO-Länder zogen bald nach und lieferten noch mehr Waffen an die Ukraine. Darüber hinaus begannen die ukrainische Armee, Marine und Luftwaffe, an gemeinsamen Militärübungen mit NATO-Streitkräften teilzunehmen. Die Bemühungen des Westens, das ukrainische Militär zu bewaffnen und auszubilden, erklären zu einem großen Teil, warum es im ersten Kriegsjahr so gut gegen die russische Armee abschnitt. Eine Schlagzeile im Wall Street Journal vom April 2022 lautete: „Das Geheimnis des militärischen Erfolgs der Ukraine: Jahrelange NATO-Ausbildung.“
Abgesehen von den laufenden Bemühungen des Bündnisses, das ukrainische Militär zu einer schlagkräftigeren Kampftruppe zu machen, die an der Seite der NATO-Truppen operieren kann, gab es im Westen im Laufe des Jahres 2021 eine neue Begeisterung für die Aufnahme der Ukraine in die NATO. Gleichzeitig vollzog Präsident Zelensky, der nie viel Enthusiasmus für eine Aufnahme der Ukraine in das Bündnis gezeigt hatte und im März 2019 auf der Grundlage einer Plattform gewählt wurde, die zur Zusammenarbeit mit Russland bei der Beilegung der anhaltenden Krise aufrief, Anfang 2021 einen Kurswechsel und befürwortete nicht nur die NATO-Mitgliedschaft der Ukraine, sondern vertrat auch eine harte Linie gegenüber Moskau.
Präsident Biden, der im Januar 2021 ins Weiße Haus einzog, hatte sich seit langem für die Aufnahme der Ukraine in die NATO eingesetzt und war ein Superfalke gegenüber Russland. Es überrascht nicht, dass die NATO am 14. Juni 2021 auf ihrem jährlichen Gipfel in Brüssel ein Kommuniqué herausgab, in dem es hieß: „Wir bekräftigen den auf dem Gipfel von Bukarest 2008 gefassten Beschluss, dass die Ukraine Mitglied des Bündnisses wird.“ Am 1. September 2021 besuchte Zelensky das Weiße Haus, wo Biden klarstellte, dass die Vereinigten Staaten „fest entschlossen“ seien, „die euro-atlantischen Bestrebungen der Ukraine zu unterstützen“. Am 10. November 2021 unterzeichneten Außenminister Antony Blinken und sein ukrainischer Amtskollege Dmytro Kuleba ein wichtiges Dokument - die „Charta der strategischen Partnerschaft zwischen den USA und der Ukraine“. Das Ziel beider Parteien, so heißt es in dem Dokument, ist es, „das Engagement für die Durchführung tiefgreifender und umfassender Reformen in der Ukraine zu unterstreichen, die für eine vollständige Integration in die europäischen und euro-atlantischen Institutionen erforderlich sind.“ Es bekräftigt auch ausdrücklich das Engagement der USA für die „Bukarester Gipfelerklärung von 2008“.
Es scheint kaum Zweifel daran zu geben, dass die Ukraine auf dem besten Weg war, bis Ende 2021 Mitglied der NATO zu werden. Dennoch argumentieren einige Befürworter dieser Politik, dass sich Moskau keine Sorgen über dieses Ergebnis hätte machen müssen, denn „die NATO ist ein Verteidigungsbündnis und stellt keine Bedrohung für Russland dar“. Aber das ist nicht die Meinung Putins und anderer russischer Politiker über die NATO, und es kommt darauf an, was sie denken. Kurz gesagt, es steht außer Frage, dass Moskau den Beitritt der Ukraine zur NATO als eine existenzielle Bedrohung ansah, die nicht hingenommen werden durfte.
ZWEITENS erkannte eine beträchtliche Anzahl einflussreicher und hoch angesehener Persönlichkeiten im Westen vor dem Krieg, dass die Expansion der NATO – insbesondere in die Ukraine – von der russischen Führung als tödliche Bedrohung angesehen werden und schließlich zur Katastrophe führen würde.
William Burns, der heute die CIA leitet („heute“ leitet John Ratcliffe die CIA, aktualisieren ODER am Anfang des Textes klarstellen, dass er schon älter ist ODER „heute“ streichen und „leitete“ statt „leitet“), aber zum Zeitpunkt des NATO-Gipfels in Bukarest im April 2008 US-Botschafter in Moskau war, verfasste ein Memo an die damalige Außenministerin Condoleezza Rice, in dem er die russischen Überlegungen zur Aufnahme der Ukraine in die Allianz prägnant beschreibt. „Der Beitritt der Ukraine zur NATO“, so schrieb er, „ist für die russische Elite (nicht nur für Putin) die klarste aller roten Linien. In den mehr als zweieinhalb Jahren, in denen ich Gespräche mit den wichtigsten russischen Akteuren geführt habe, von Scharfmachern in den dunklen Nischen des Kremls bis hin zu Putins schärfsten liberalen Kritikern, habe ich noch niemanden gefunden, der die Aufnahme der Ukraine in die NATO als etwas anderes betrachtet als eine direkte Herausforderung für die russischen Interessen.“ Die NATO, so sagte er, „würde als ein strategischer Fehdehandschuh angesehen werden. Das heutige Russland wird darauf reagieren. Die russisch-ukrainischen Beziehungen würden auf Eis gelegt ... Das würde einen fruchtbaren Boden für russische Einmischungen auf der Krim und in der Ostukraine schaffen.“
Burns war 2008 nicht der einzige westliche Entscheidungsträger, der erkannte, dass die Aufnahme der Ukraine in die NATO mit Gefahren verbunden war. Auf dem Bukarester Gipfel sprachen sich sowohl die deutsche Bundeskanzlerin Angela Merkel als auch der französische Präsident Nicolas Sarkozy gegen eine NATO-Mitgliedschaft der Ukraine aus, weil sie wussten, dass dies Russland alarmieren und verärgern würde. Merkel erklärte kürzlich ihre Ablehnung: „Ich war mir sehr sicher, ... dass Putin das nicht einfach zulassen wird. Aus seiner Sicht wäre das eine Kriegserklärung“.
Um noch einen Schritt weiter zu gehen: Zahlreiche amerikanische Politiker und Strategen sprachen sich in den 1990er Jahren gegen die Entscheidung von Präsident Clinton aus, die NATO zu erweitern, als diese Entscheidung noch zur Debatte stand. Diesen Gegnern war von Anfang an klar, dass die russische Führung darin eine Bedrohung ihrer lebenswichtigen Interessen sehen würde und dass diese Politik letztlich in eine Katastrophe münden würde. Die Liste der Gegner umfasst prominente Persönlichkeiten des Establishments wie George Kennan, sowohl Präsident Clintons Verteidigungsminister William Perry als auch seinen Vorsitzenden des Vereinigten Generalstabs, General John Shalikashvili, Paul Nitze, Robert Gates, Robert McNamara, Richard Pipes und Jack Matlock, um nur einige zu nennen.
Die Logik von Putins Position sollte für Amerikaner, die seit langem der Monroe-Doktrin verpflichtet sind, vollkommen verständlich sein. Diese besagt, dass keine entfernte Großmacht ein Bündnis mit einem Land in der westlichen Hemisphäre eingehen und ihre militärischen Streitkräfte dort stationieren darf. Die Vereinigten Staaten würden einen solchen Schritt als existenzielle Bedrohung auffassen und alles tun, um diese Gefahr zu beseitigen. Dies geschah natürlich auch während der Kubakrise 1962, als Präsident Kennedy den Sowjets klar machte, dass ihre Atomraketen aus Kuba abgezogen werden müssten. Putin ist zutiefst von derselben Logik beeinflusst. Schließlich wollen Großmächte nicht, dass sich entfernte Großmächte in ihrem Hinterhof ansiedeln.
DRITTENS: Die zentrale Bedeutung der tiefen Angst Russlands vor einem NATO-Beitritt der Ukraine wird durch zwei Entwicklungen seit Kriegsbeginn verdeutlicht.
Während der Istanbuler Verhandlungen, die unmittelbar nach Beginn der Invasion stattfanden, machten die Russen deutlich, dass die Ukraine eine „dauerhafte Neutralität“ akzeptieren müsse und der NATO nicht beitreten könne. Die Ukrainer akzeptierten die Forderung Russlands ohne ernsthaften Widerstand, sicherlich weil sie wussten, dass es sonst unmöglich wäre, den Krieg zu beenden. In jüngerer Zeit, am 14. Juni 2024, stellte Putin zwei Forderungen, die die Ukraine erfüllen müsse, bevor er einem Waffenstillstand und der Aufnahme von Verhandlungen zur Beendigung des Krieges zustimmen würde. Eine dieser Forderungen war, dass Kiew „offiziell“ erklärt, „dass es seine Pläne, der NATO beizutreten, aufgibt“.
Das alles ist nicht überraschend, denn Russland hat die Ukraine in der NATO immer als existenzielle Bedrohung gesehen, die um jeden Preis verhindert werden muss. Diese Logik ist die treibende Kraft hinter dem Ukraine-Krieg.
Schließlich ist aus der Verhandlungsposition Russlands in Istanbul sowie aus Putins Äußerungen zur Beendigung des Krieges in seiner Ansprache vom 14. Juni 2024 klar ersichtlich, dass er nicht daran interessiert ist, die gesamte Ukraine zu erobern und sie zu einem Teil eines größeren Russlands zu machen.
John Joseph Mearsheimer (* 14. Dezember 1947 in Brooklyn, New York City) ist ein US-amerikanischer Politikwissenschaftler an der University of Chicago. Sein Schwerpunkt ist die Analyse internationaler Beziehungen aus der Perspektive des offensiven Neorealismus, den er erstmals 2001 in seiner Monografie The Tragedy of Great Power Politics darstellte.
Dieser Text von John J. Mearsheimer erschien am 5.8.2024 auf Substack.Vielen Dank für die Genehmigung des Autors zum Abdruck der deutschen Übersetzung. Die Übersetzung wurde von Thomas Mayer erstellt.
Neben der NATO-Osterweiterung gibt es weitere Faktoren die zum Ukraine-Krieg führten, zum Beispiel der Nationalismus in der Ukraine und die Unterdrückung der ethnisch-russischen Bevölkerung.
Ausführlich sind die vielschichtigen Hintergründe des Ukraine-Krieges geschildert in dem Buch von Thomas Mayer: Wahrheitssuche im Ukraine-Krieg – Um was es wirklich geht, 600 Seiten, ISBN 978-3-89060-863-1, Infos zum Buch: https://kurzelinks.de/h10a
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@ 6c05c73e:c4356f17
2025-06-10 00:47:27Muitas pessoas me perguntam como eu faço o rebalanceamento das minhas carteiras de investimentos. Por isso, decidi compartilhar meu processo aqui. Você pode decidir se ele se adapta ao seu modelo ou não.
Por que Rebalancear a Carteira?
A primeira e mais importante pergunta é: por que precisamos fazer o rebalanceamento de carteira? A resposta é simples: somos humanos e não sabemos de tudo. Muitas informações estão acontecendo agora, e isso pode ser bom ou ruim (dependendo do quanto você está alavancado, rsrsrs). Mas, o rebalanceamento vai liberar caixa e reduzir a exposição ao risco.
Ou, em outra medida, pode aumentar sua exposição e capturar uma oportunidade que ninguém "percebeu ainda". Contudo, quero ressaltar que somos falhos e não podemos prever o futuro. Com isso em mente, você logo pensa que pode (e vai) estar errado em 80% do tempo.
Fazer os ajustes corretos na sua carteira de investimento é uma questão de sobrevivência. Imagina colocar 100% do patrimônio em Bitcoin em 2021? Pois é… Você estaria com uma perda considerável agora. Esse é só um dentre os milhares de exemplos que poderia dar.
Quando Rebalancear a Carteira?
A pergunta de 1 milhão de dólares é: quando rebalancear a bendita carteira?
Na palavra dos analistas: Trimestralmente. (Leia-se: Ganhamos as taxas).
Nas minhas palavras: Uma vez no ano. De preferência dia 20 de Dezembro (Leia-se: F*das analistas, o dinheiro é meu!).
Já testei mensal, trimestral, semestral e bienal. A verdade é que o dinheiro fica com as corretoras e foge do nosso bolso. Então, o melhor a se fazer é mexer o mínimo possível.
Partindo do princípio de que não sabemos nada ou sabemos muito pouco, corremos risco até de acertar um grande investimento. Isso aconteceu comigo no pós-Dilma. Porque? Pois eu estava focado no meu autodesenvolvimento.
Conhecimento, experiências, rede de contatos e saúde.
O único dia que eu queria saber de mercado financeiro era no quinto dia útil, quando eu ia aportar e decidir para onde ia mandar meu dinheiro. Só isso, foco em você e deixa seus investimentos de lado maturando.
Tudo se trata sobre rebalancear sua carteira com qualidade. Mas, qualidade para você.
Onde Manter o Dinheiro?
Gosto de ter uma parte do meu dinheiro livre e uma parte investida em dólar, majoritariamente em Bitcoin.
Então, gosto de ter uma parte do meu dinheiro em Bitcoin, pois acho que é o meio mais seguro e confiável para ter e transportar dólares literalmente usando a cabeça.
Dólares em bancões não me atraem. São totalmente rastreáveis e, em uma eventual urgência do dinheiro, duvido que eles vão dar moral para gente como nós.
A parte do dinheiro solto, gosto de deixar metade na conta da corretora e metade na minha poupança. Muita gente pensa que CDB/DI/CDI rendem rios de dinheiro a mais que a poupança. Rendem, mas é muito pouco. E o foco aqui é liquidez imediata!
Meu Modelo de Rebalanceamento
Para concluir nosso raciocínio, gosto de deixar assim:
- 50% do dinheiro livre.
- 50% do dinheiro investindo progressivamente.
50% livre = Dinheiro na conta da corretora e poupança mesmo.
50% investimento progressivo = A cada queda do mercado, eu compro 5% do dinheiro disponível em caixa de algum ativo que eu já tenha feito estudo.
Como Funciona Essa Abordagem?
Primeiro, eu rastreio o VIX. Coloco um alarme nele. A cada aumento de X porcento, ele me envia um e-mail me notificando. Eu acompanho o mercado durante o dia. Ao final do pregão, eu posiciono uma ordem de compra para o dia seguinte. Só isso.
Volto para o meu trabalho, negócio, família, lazer e para mim mesmo.
Mercado financeiro vicia, parceiro(a). Já estive dos dois lados e sei como funciona. Pega o que é seu e desliga. Se ficar online, vai ver coisas demais que nem deveria ter visto.
Concluindo
Existe muito misticismo sobre investimentos. E, até que deveria ter mesmo. Mas, a verdade é que ele é feito por pessoas + Bots + IA. E, pessoas são previsíveis. Já vi e vivi muita coisa. Minha maior lição é: Aproveite as oportunidades! Porque elas são raras…
Eu teria outras histórias para contar senão fosse o pós-Dilma, Bitcoin de 2017 e Covid. Sei que nem tudo são flores. Mas, estamos aqui para explorar uma brecha e fazer grana rápido. Liquidar e voltar a ver Netflix e ler livros. Meu único casamento é com minha esposa. Empresas, eu vejo como ciclos hoje em dia.
Além do mais, estamos na era das IAs. E Mary Meeker já lançou suas (brilhantes) previsões sobre nosso futuro. Então, aproveite enquanto há tempo. Já já o mercado deverá ser bem mais automatizado que hoje.
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@ 77c2969e:a33cfa50
2025-06-08 07:10:04Nostr 协议在我看来是很先进的,暂时使用的人还不多,不过相比 Fediverse 的 Mastodon 之类,自己部署 Nostr Relay 是成本很小的。Blossom 作为媒体上传服务是可选的,因为有几个公共服务器可用,但是大多数国内无法直连。我还发现部分客户端不支持自定义 Blossom 服务器,只有 Amethyst 和 Nostrmo 可以。
我目前使用的是这个 nostr-relay 以及这个 blossom-server。
nostr-relay
这个用 Python 写的 nostr-relay 很不错。
配置文件是这个: https://code.pobblelabs.org/fossil/nostr_relay/file?name=nostr_relay/config.yaml 可以按需修改,自己用默认就够了。
```jsx
先安装 pipx
apt install pipx
再用 pipx 安装 nostr-relay
pipx install nostr-relay
选择一个目录运行以下命令启动默认配置,默认 SQLite 文件在当前目录
nostr-relay serve
后台运行
(nostr-relay serve >/var/log/nostr-relay.log &)
查看 PID
lsof -i :6969
停止运行
kill PID
后台运行命令会调用 gunicorn 运行而不是nostr-relay,因此会搜不到 nostr-relay 进程,可以尝试这个命令
ps -ef | grep gunicorn
`` 反代
127.0.0.1:6969` 配置域名和 SSL 证书即可。保持简洁,不使用 Docker 和 systemd,后续迁移时只需复制整个文件夹即可。
blossom-server
clone 这个仓库
git clone https://github.com/hzrd149/blossom-server.git
克隆仓库是必要的,因为 blossom-server 的默认页面依赖
public/
目录,请保留该目录。用以下
config.yml
和docker-compose.yml
覆盖原仓库中的文件然后执行
docker compose up -d
反代
127.0.0.1:3000
配置域名和 SSL 证书即可。config.yml
按需修改,比如 Dashboard 密码、允许的 PubKey 等。 ```
Override the domain thats is used in the blobs "url" field
By default it uses the domain the incoming HTTP request was made on
publicDomain: ""
databasePath: data/sqlite.db
dashboard: # enable or disable the admin dashboard enabled: true # admin username username: admin # if password is left blank it will be generated each time the app starts password: "yourpasswd"
文件发现机制,保持默认关闭
discovery: # find files by querying nostr relays nostr: enabled: false relays: - wss://relay.example.com # find files by asking upstream CDNs # NOTE: do not set this to your own server, it will create an infinite loop upstream: enabled: false domains: - https://cdn.example.com
storage: # local or s3 backend: local
# Imminently removes a blob when there are no owners removeWhenNoOwners: false
# local storage local: dir: ./data/blobs
# see minio docs for options: # https://min.io/docs/minio/linux/developers/javascript/API.html#new-minio-client-endpoint-port-usessl-accesskey-secretkey-region-transport-sessiontoken-partsize # s3: # endpoint: https://s3.endpoint.com # port: 443 # bucket: blossom # accessKey: xxxxxxxx # secretKey: xxxxxxxxx # useSSL: true # region: us-east-1 # If this is set the server will redirect clients when loading blobs # publicURL: https://s3.region.example.com/
# rules are checked in descending order. if a blob matches a rule it is kept # "type" (required) the type of the blob, "" can be used to match any type # "expiration" (required) time passed since last accessed # "pubkeys" (optional) a list of owners # any blobs not matching the rules will be removed rules: - type: "" expiration: 100 years pubkeys: - "change-to-your-pubkey-hex"
Config for the /upload endpoint
upload: # enable / disable uploads (default false) enabled: true # require auth to upload requireAuth: true # only check rules that include "pubkeys" requirePubkeyInRule: true
Config for the /media endpoint
media: # /media endpoint enabled (default false) enabled: true # require auth to upload to /media requireAuth: true # only check rules that include "pubkeys" requirePubkeyInRule: true
# image optimization options image: # image quality 0-100 (default 90) quality: 90 # create progressive jpeg / png images for large images > 1024x768 (default true) progressive: true # max width (default 1920) maxWidth: 1920 # max height (default 1080) maxHeight: 1080 # image format (default webp) outputFormat: "webp" # keep aspect radio when resizing (default true) maintainAspectRatio: true # keep EXIF metadata (default false) keepExif: false # fps for GIFs (default 30) fps: 30
video: # video quality 0-100 (default 90) quality: 90 # max height (default 1080) maxHeight: 1080 # max fps (default 30) maxFps: 30 # output format [mp4, webm, mkv] (default mp4) format: "webm" # audio codec [aac, mp3, vorbis, opus] (default aac) audioCodec: "aac" # video codec [libx264, libx265, vp8, vp9] (default libx264) videoCodec: "libx264"
list: requireAuth: false allowListOthers: true
tor: enabled: false proxy: "" ```
docker-compose.yml
services: blossom: image: ghcr.io/hzrd149/blossom-server:master ports: - 3000:3000 volumes: # mount data volume - ./data:/app/data # mount config file - ./config.yml:/app/config.yml # mount custom www dir - ./public:/app/public
其他
我自己目前就是部署的这两个服务自用。主要是方便部署和维护,后续服务器迁移只需要复制文件夹即可。Blossom 媒体服务自用的话,默认使用服务器本地存储即可,就是在项目文件夹中的
./data/blobs/
,上传的图片和视频会被自动压缩,占不了多少存储空间。如果公开或多人使用也可以配置 S3 兼容的对象存储。除了我上面说的这个 nostr-relay,还有一个 Rust 写的 nostr-rs-relay,可以 Docker 一键部署,如果你偏好使用 Docker,也可以选择这个。
如果你也对 Nostr 这个去中心化协议感兴趣,想拥有自己的 Nostr 服务,不妨参考本文试试,欢迎留言交流!
推荐阅读
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@ e968e50b:db2a803a
2025-06-10 14:59:23Traveling with a miner...
I recently traveled over 13,000 kilometers to see a bitcoin circular economy of which I had developed some friendships and decided to bring a small miner to donate to one of the organizations spurring on this community. But every moment that thing was unplugged was a missed hash! So........
Let's first discuss, is mining in the terminal, using the airport's energy ethical?
I would say that the answer is unequivocally yes. They provide the outlets there so that you can charge your devices. I feel like if I want to use that to verify the transactions of freedom fighters fleeing Myanmar and preserve the savings of merchants in Zimbabwe instead of playing Candy Crush or doomscrolling Facebook, that's my prerogative. Am I wrong?
Is it allowed?
Well...I guess this post may bring that to light...
But is is possible?
Short answer, yes, but I couldn't quite figure it out in time with the miner I was using. The hard problem is the way you sign in to Wifi at the airport. There's no password and instead you normally open up a browser and agree to the terms there. I couldn't figure out in time (across multiple airports) how to circumvent this, but I think I would have been able to do it with a different device.
How about at a bnb?
Easy-peasy! Oddly enough, I was a little more torn on the ethics here. It was in fact pretty cold, and this thing was functioning as a space heater while I was at that desk. Also, you can't see it, but that cord on the right was for a blow dryer that consumes almost ten times the energy of my miner. Alas, you don't use a blow dryer continuously throughout the night and I really didn't want to risk offending the owner. She had actually only charged me 26,000 sats for the night, and even though she was a bitcoiner, I didn't want to risk any chance that she might feel I was taking advantage of her business. I ran it for a little bit to warm my hands while I wrote and then unplugged it until it was time to present the gift.
Have you ever mined like this?
I kept reminding myself that I wasn't using someone else's electricity, but in fact, using electricity that I already paid for. Nevertheless, it's an odd feeling. Am I wrong? I definitely think bitcoiners that run rental spots should be heating them with miners. If nothing else, what a cool education opportunity for the renters. Anyone ever mine anywhere weirder than this? It seems that as solo miners become more prevalent, there will be more instances of people travel mining, mining at work, or mining using power that they don't necessarily "own" or have full control over.
https://stacker.news/items/1002559
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@ 8d34bd24:414be32b
2025-06-08 03:42:59Last post, I touched on the subject of what do you say to those going through trials and tribulations, but as I read Job, it seemed like there was more to say on the subject of how Christians are to respond to those who are suffering. The original passage of inspiration was this.
Don’t Be A Miserable Comforter
Then Job answered,
“I have heard many such things;\ Sorry comforters are you all.\ Is there no limit to windy words?\ Or what plagues you that you answer?\ I too could speak like you,\ If I were in your place.\ I could compose words against you\ And shake my head at you.\ I could strengthen you with my mouth,\ And the solace of my lips could lessen your pain. (Job 16:1-5)
Job was suffering. His friends came with the intention of comforting Job. Job vented his frustrations and problems understanding God’s justice. His friends tried to correct Job’s honest questions. These corrections escalated to the point of accusing Job of heinous sins and saying that everything that had happened to Job was his fault.
Job rightly said, “If I were in your place, I could compose words against you, and shake my head at you.” Sometimes we have to show mercy while a person is working through their feelings and confusion. Although some hardships are the consequences or punishment for sins, many (probably most) are not. We, as Christians, are promised trials. We should not be surprised when we go through trials.
Job also compares two ways of responding to a fellow believer going through trials. He says, “I could strengthen you with my mouth, and the solace of my lips could lessen your pain.” We can use our words to encourage and strengthen those who are suffering.
He also accuses his visitors of “Sorry comforters are you all. Is there no limit to windy words?” This reminds me of a traditional saying, “If you can’t say anything nice, don’t say anything at all.” Some of us want to fix everything. Sometimes we need to just listen. We don’t have to speak an answer for everything. In these uncomfortable situations, it is easy to start with a brief, Biblical answer, but then to start filling the silence with our own words to fill the silence. This can harm of everyone.
Job’s friends initial comments were not bad and were mostly true, but the more they talked, the more they went off track and the more harm they did. We want to lessen their pain, not be sorry comforters.
Of course this doesn’t mean that we can’t share God’s word. It doesn’t mean we can’t acknowledge obvious sins that are known by all parties. It does mean that all words should be an encouragement to lead them into closer fellowship with God.
Job again comments about his friends.
Even now, behold, my witness is in heaven,\ **And my advocate is on high.\ My friends are my scoffers;\ My eye weeps to God.\ O that a man might plead with God\ As a man with his neighbor!\ For when a few years are past,\ I shall go the way of no return. (Job 16:19-22) {emphasis mine}
Job, being a godly man, puts his trust in God. Notice the pattern: God, friends, God.
And my advocate is on high.\ My friends are my scoffers;\ My eye weeps to God.
Despite the scoffing and harm done by his friends, he keeps his eye on God as his advocate and the one he turns to in sorrow. In the case of Job, he is able to lean on God despite the harm done by his friends. Those will lesser faith might have been pushed away from God by his friends words.
Love One Another
In the New Testament, we are told:
“A new commandment I give to you, that you love one another, even as I have loved you, that you also love one another. By this all men will know that you are My disciples, if you have love for one another.” (John 13:34-35)
Our every word and action should be loving. That doesn’t mean ignoring sin, but it does mean every word and action should be used to draw a person into closer relationship with their God and Savior. In the case of a person who is sinning, Jesus set a perfect example.
The scribes and the Pharisees brought a woman caught in adultery, and having set her in the center of the court, they*said to Him, “Teacher, this woman has been caught in adultery, in the very act. Now in the Law Moses commanded us to stone such women; what then do You say?” They were saying this, testing Him, so that they might have grounds for accusing Him. But Jesus stooped down and with His finger wrote on the ground. But when they persisted in asking Him, He straightened up, and said to them, “He who is without sin among you, let him be the first to throw a stone at her.” Again He stooped down and wrote on the ground. When they heard it, they began to go out one by one, beginning with the older ones, and He was left alone, and the woman, where she was, in the center of the court. Straightening up, Jesus said to her, “Woman, where are they? Did no one condemn you?” She said, “No one, Lord.” And Jesus said, “I do not condemn you, either. Go. From now on sin no more.” (John 8:3-11)
What did Jesus do:
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He protected the accused from those trying to use, abuse, and torment her.
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He did not deny her sin, but encouraged her accusers to acknowledge their own sins.
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He encouraged her to “sin no more.”
This woman knew she had sinned. She did not need to be reminded of it. She didn’t deny it; she knew. Because she and everyone else knew her sin, there was no need to bring it up again. Jesus used this situation to help her accusers understand their own sin and to lead her into repentance and salvation. The gentle correction was used to lead her to a better way.
When we speak to someone in trials, whether self-inflicted, externally caused, or a standard trial common to all men, our goal should be to uplift and draw to Jesus. We should have mercy on the suffering and not add to their suffering.
No matter the case, we need to carefully use our words for love and mercy.
Beloved, let us love one another, for love is from God; and everyone who loves is born of God and knows God. The one who does not love does not know God, for God is love. By this the love of God was manifested in us, that God has sent His only begotten Son into the world so that we might live through Him. In this is love, not that we loved God, but that He loved us and sent His Son to be the propitiation for our sins. Beloved, if God so loved us, we also ought to love one another. (1 John 4:7-11)
Dealing With Sin & Repentance
In 1 & 2 Corinthians, Paul deals with a situation of extreme sin. In 1 Corinthians he rebukes the church for allowing this heinous sin within their church body.
It is actually reported that there is immorality among you, and immorality of such a kind as does not exist even among the Gentiles, that someone has his father’s wife. You have become arrogant and have not mourned instead, so that the one who had done this deed would be removed from your midst.
For I, on my part, though absent in body but present in spirit, have already judged him who has so committed this, as though I were present. In the name of our Lord Jesus, when you are assembled, and I with you in spirit, with the power of our Lord Jesus, I have decided to deliver such a one to Satan for the destruction of his flesh, so that his spirit may be saved in the day of the Lord Jesus. (1 Corinthians 5:1-5) {emphasis mine}
This unrepentant sin could not be allowed to remain in the body because it could spread among God’s people and because it harmed God’s glory. At the same time, the motivation for removing him from the body was not to remove him from a relationship with God. It was to cause consequences in the hopes that the man would return to Jesus.
In 2 Corinthians, we find that he does repent of his son and seek to come back into the fellowship of believers.
For out of much affliction and anguish of heart I wrote to you with many tears; not so that you would be made sorrowful, but that you might know the love which I have especially for you.
But if any has caused sorrow, he has caused sorrow not to me, but in some degree—in order not to say too much—to all of you. Sufficient for such a one is this punishment which was inflicted by the majority, so that on the contrary you should rather forgive and comfort him, otherwise such a one might be overwhelmed by excessive sorrow. Wherefore I urge you to reaffirm your love for him. For to this end also I wrote, so that I might put you to the test, whether you are obedient in all things. But one whom you forgive anything, I forgive also; for indeed what I have forgiven, if I have forgiven anything, I did it for your sakes in the presence of Christ, so that no advantage would be taken of us by Satan, for we are not ignorant of his schemes. (2 Corinthians 2:4-11) {emphasis mine}
Once a sinner repents, we are to immediately forgive and comfort them and welcome them back into the fellowship of believers. We are not to remind them of their previous sins and overwhelm them with excessive sorrow, but are to reaffirm our love for them. Any punishment was for correction, not to harm or cause them pain. We should seek the good of those who sinned. We should welcome them back with open arms. We should forgive as we were forgiven by God.
All of our words and actions toward others, whether the most godly saint or the most reprehensible sinner, should be to the goal of drawing them closer to the Savior and helping them to trust in God’s goodness, wisdom, and strength.
May the God of Heaven carry your burdens and help you to help carry the burdens of those around you. May Our Savior help us to be a godly encouragement to the suffering who draws them into closer fellowship with the Savior. May the Holy Spirt give us discernment in how to best encourage the suffering and to help them rest in Jesus.
Trust Jesus
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@ 2b998b04:86727e47
2025-06-09 23:39:25Solzhenitsyn Would Have Loved Bitcoin
I didn’t plan to write this. But a comment from @HODL stirred something in me — a passing thought that took root and wouldn’t let go:
\> “Solzhenitsyn would have understood Bitcoin.”
The more I sat with it, the more I realized: he wouldn’t have just understood it — he would have loved it.
A Life of Resistance
Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn didn’t just survive the Soviet gulags — he exposed them. Through The Gulag Archipelago and other works, he revealed the quiet machinery of evil: not always through brutality, but through systemic lies, suppressed memory, and coerced consensus.
His core belief was devastatingly simple:
\> “The line dividing good and evil cuts through the heart of every human being.”
He never let anyone off the hook — not the state, not the system, not even himself. Evil, to Solzhenitsyn, was not “out there.” It was within. And resisting it required truth, courage, and deep personal responsibility.
Bitcoin: Truth That Resists
That’s why I believe Solzhenitsyn would have resonated with Bitcoin.
Not the hype. Not the coins. Not the influencers.
But the heart of it:
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A system that resists coercion.
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A ledger that cannot be falsified.
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A network that cannot be silenced.
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A protocol that doesn't care about party lines — only proof of work.
Bitcoin is incorruptible memory.\ Solzhenitsyn fought to preserve memory in the face of state erasure.\ Bitcoin cannot forget — and it cannot be made to lie.
Responsibility and Sovereignty
Bitcoin demands what Solzhenitsyn demanded: moral responsibility. You hold your keys. You verify your truth. You cannot delegate conscience.
He once wrote:
\> “A man who is not inwardly prepared for the use of violence against him is always weaker than his opponent.”
Bitcoin flips that equation. It gives the peaceful man a weapon: truth that cannot be seized.
I’ve Felt This Line Too
I haven’t read all of The Gulag Archipelago — it’s long, and weighty — but I’ve read enough to know Solzhenitsyn’s voice. And I’ve felt the line he describes:
\> That dividing line between good and evil… that runs through my own heart.
That’s why I left the noise of Web3. That’s why I’m building with Bitcoin. Because I believe the moral architecture of this protocol matters. It forces me to live in alignment — or walk away.
Final Word
I think Solzhenitsyn would have seen Bitcoin not as a tech innovation, but as a moral stand. Not a replacement for Christ — but a quiet echo of His justice.
And that’s why I keep stacking, writing, building — one block at a time.
Written with help from ChatGPT (Dr. C), and inspired by a comment from @HODL that sparked something deep.
If this resonated, feel free to zap a few sats — not because I need them, but because signal flows best when it’s shared with intention.
HODL mentioned this idea in a note — their Primal profile:\ <https://primal.net/hodl>
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@ 2b998b04:86727e47
2025-06-09 23:38:55Most of the assets I hold—real estate, equities, and businesses—depreciate in value over time. Some literally, like physical buildings and equipment. Some functionally, like tech platforms that age faster than they grow. Even cash, which should feel "safe," quietly loses ground to inflation. Yet I continue to build. I continue to hold. And I continue to believe that what I’m doing matters.
But underneath all of that — beneath the mortgages, margin trades, and business pivots — I’ve made a long-term bet:
Bitcoin will outlast the decay.
The Decaying System I Still Operate In
Let me be clear: I’m not a Bitcoin purist. I use debt. I borrow to acquire real estate. I trade with margin in a brokerage account. I understand leverage — not as a sin, but as a tool that must be used with precision and respect. But I’m also not naive.
The entire fiat-based financial system is built on a slow erosion of value. Inflation isn't a bug — it’s a feature. And it's why most business models, whether in real estate or retail, implicitly rely on asset inflation just to stay solvent.
That’s not sustainable. And it’s not honest.
The Bitcoin Thesis: Deflation That Works for You
Bitcoin is fundamentally different. Its supply is fixed. Its issuance is decreasing. Over time, as adoption grows and fiat weakens, Bitcoin’s purchasing power increases.
That changes the game.
If you can hold even a small portion of your balance sheet in BTC — not just as an investment, but as a strategic hedge — it becomes a way to offset the natural depreciation of your other holdings. Your buildings may age. Your cash flow may fluctuate. But your Bitcoin, if properly secured and held with conviction, becomes the anchor.
It’s not about day trading BTC or catching the next ATH. It’s about understanding that in a world designed to leak value, Bitcoin lets you patch the hole.
Why This Matters for Builders
If you run a business — especially one with real assets, recurring costs, or thin margins — you know how brutal depreciation can be. Taxes, maintenance, inflation, replacement cycles… it never stops.
Adding BTC to your long-term treasury isn’t about becoming a "crypto company." It’s about becoming anti-fragile. It’s about building with a component that doesn’t rot.
In 5, 10, or 20 years, I may still be paying off mortgages and navigating property cycles. But if my Bitcoin allocation is still intact, still growing in real purchasing power… then I haven’t just preserved wealth. I’ve preserved optionality. I’ve created a counterbalance to the relentless decay of everything else.
Final Word
I still play the fiat game — because for now, I have to. But I’m no longer betting everything on it. Bitcoin is my base layer now. Quiet, cold-stored, and uncompromising.
It offsets depreciation — not just financially, but philosophically. It reminds me that not everything has to erode. Not everything has to be sacrificed to time or policy or inflation.
Some things can actually hold. Some things can last.
And if I build right — maybe what I build can last too.
If this resonated, feel free to send a zap — it helps me keep writing and building from a place of conviction.
This article was co-written with the help of ChatGPT, a tool I use to refine and clarify what I’m working through in real time.
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@ d6affa19:9110b177
2025-06-07 21:10:53If there were only one thing I had to list as the single most effective way to improve a Female Led Relationship (FLR), it would be found in the phrase “yes, Ma’am.” Whether trying to get the dynamic off the ground or keep it going during the grind of everyday life, this phrase—and the energy it evokes—encompasses so many essential elements of an FLR. In my experience, not many other things continuously breathe life into a relationship like the magic of “yes, Ma’am.”
Of course, this phrase can be modified to the Woman’s desire (“yes, Mistress,” “yes, my Queen,” “yes, Goddess” are common examples), but “yes, Ma’am” is something acceptable nearly anywhere. It’s simple, polite, somewhat discreet, and yet extremely effective and powerful. In an FLR (even in a low-protocol dynamic), the phrase is elevated from a basic formality to an invocation of trust, respect, and surrender.
The words by themselves are powerless. But when consistently expressed with the right energy and intention, it becomes a sort of miniature ritual that keeps them both anchored to the relationship. This shouldn’t be conflated with “yes, Dear,” a phrase stereotypically used when a man is merely appeasing a Woman. No, the energy here is not to appease, but to please. Because She deserves it.
To illustrate this further, let’s dig into the depth I find in these two words.
An Invocation of Structure, Trust, and Identity
“Yes, Ma’am” is so deceptively simple. It’s a verbal expression of his obedience—the bare minimum a Woman should receive in an FLR. And it keeps the framework intact in everyday life, especially when the mood is subtle or non-sexual.
In this way, “yes, Ma’am” reinforces the foundation of the FLR. Each utterance reminds them both of their positions. Each declaration quiets any confusion. Each delivery deepens the dynamic and tightens the structure.
When these words are spoken and consistently followed up with action, they demonstrate emotional maturity—that he’s moved beyond questioning whether She’s “right” and into the realm of devotion. It signals to Her that Her needs don’t have to be proven to him anymore and that Her preferences don’t need to be justified.
He’s no longer debating Her logic, making excuses, or searching for loopholes; he’s no longer resisting or self-protecting. He’s not agreeing as an equal, he’s not negotiating with Her, he’s not hedging Her demand. He is simply submitting to Her.
Just as it’s “yes, Ma’am” when She tells him to kneel, it’s also “yes, Ma’am” when She asks him to fix the sink, or dismisses a request, or even reminds him to do something he’s about to do. “Yes, Ma’am,” then act.
The Words Alone Are Not the Magic
Again, the magic of “yes, Ma’am” doesn’t reside in the words themselves, but in the intention, energy, and action behind them. The phrase itself is just a vessel. Just as a chalice, the words hold something sacred, but the sanctity resides in the wine, not the cup. The action, the delivery, and the consistency are what give the phrase its power.
If spoken with resentment, sarcasm, or with no follow-through, they mean nothing. If he speaks them but then delays, argues, or makes excuses, then his submission is inauthentic. This undermines trust and, ultimately, the relationship. But when he says “yes, Ma’am” and immediately acts on Her direction—despite being tired, flustered, aroused, or even in disagreement, then that is real submission; that is profound trust. And that is what She feels.
And that’s what he feels. It becomes a reminder of his humility and an expression of self-discipline in service to Her. Over time, it shifts his thought patterns and instincts. He may feel uncertainty, self-pity, or insecurity, but “yes, Ma’am” melts it all into clarity. Old responses like “Well, actually…” “Can’t I just…” “I thought we agreed…” “Why can’t You…” are simply replaced with “yes, Ma’am.”
Even if he’s feeling exhausted, annoyed, or needy. There are no complaints or explanations, only Her will and a choice to put aside his ego, align with Her rhythm, and re-center his purpose. This is an act of vulnerability. He is placing his emotional safety in Her hands and relying on Her to care for his well-being.
It communicates to Her:
- “I hear You.”
- “I will act on Your desires.”
- “I trust You more than I trust my resistance.”
- “I’m Yours, even now, especially now.”And let’s not ignore the erotic undertones in this depth of surrender. A simple phrase makes his discipline audible, echoing Her power. It bears his humility, longing, eagerness, vulnerability—his contained arousal. And She knows. She hears the plea. She feels the weight—the tension—the heat—the surrendered will… Ever-present, even in the most mundane moments…
Closing Thoughts
Of course, this level of devotion takes practice and a great deal of trust. No one is perfect, so he will fail at times, but that’s what makes it so beautiful—it’s a continuously active and conscious choice. And, at first, it may sound awkward for him or forced, but with dedication and intention She will begin to hear the tone, feel the vibe, and sense the sincerity in it. This energy is what builds Her trust in him.
This phrase, or rather the mindset behind it, has improved my own relationship so, so much. While it may not fit into every experience, it’s something that I discovered was a missing piece in mine. Enough so that I felt compelled to share.
Because as a relationship goes on, things change—passions fluctuate, pain resurfaces, doubts arise, life gets busy, things get heavy—but “yes, Ma’am” remains steady and intimate. Piece by piece trust and devotion are built with thousands of quiet yeses. And regardless of the circumstances, “yes, Ma’am” gently whispers “this is still us; this is still our shared truth; this is still sacred” over and over again.
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-10 14:48:13https://stacker.news/items/1002548
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@ 0689c075:2936ee11
2025-06-09 21:54:26{"layout":{"backgroundImage":null,"canvasSize":{"width":850,"height":1100}},"pages":[{"id":"page_1","name":"Main Page","objects":[]}],"objects":[],"texts":[]}
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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-07 17:00:48Paris, France – June 6, 2025 — Bitcoin payment gateway startup Flash, just announced a new partnership with the “Bitcoin Only Brewery”, marking the first-ever beverage company to leverage Lightning payments.
Flash enables Bitcoin Only Brewery to offer its “BOB” beer with, no-KYC (Know Your Customer) delivery across Europe, priced at 19,500 sats (~$18) for the 4-pack, shipping included.
The cans feature colorful Bitcoin artwork while the contents promise a hazy pale ale: “Each 33cl can contains a smooth, creamy mouthfeel, hazy appearance and refreshing Pale Ale at 5% ABV,” reads the product description.
Pierre Corbin, Co-Founder of Flash, commented:
“Currently, bitcoin is used more as a store of value but usage for payments is picking up. Thanks to new innovation on Lightning, bitcoin is ready to go mainstream for e-commerce sales.”
Flash, launched its 2.0 version in March 2025 with the goal to provide the easiest bitcoin payment gateway for businesses worldwide. The platform is non-custodial and can enable both digital and physical shops to accept bitcoin by connecting their own wallets to Flash.
By leveraging the scalability of the Lightning Network, Flash ensures instant, low-cost transactions, addressing on-chain Bitcoin bottlenecks like high fees and long wait times.
For businesses interested in adopting Bitcoin payments, Flash offers a straightforward onboarding process, low fees, and robust support for both digital and physical goods. To learn more, visit paywithflash.com.
Media Contact:
Pierre Corbin
Co-Founder, Flash
Email: press@paywithflash.com
Website: paywithflash.comAbout Flash
Flash is the easiest Bitcoin payment gateway for businesses to accept payments. Supporting both digital and physical enterprises, Flash leverages the Lightning Network to enable fast, low-cost Bitcoin transactions. Launched in its 2.0 version in March 2025, Flash is at the forefront of driving Bitcoin adoption in e-commerce.
About Bitcoin Only Brewery
Bitcoin Only Brewery (@Drink_B0B) is a pioneering beverage company dedicated to the Bitcoin ethos, offering high-quality beers payable exclusively in Bitcoin. With a commitment to personal privacy, the brewery delivers across Europe with no-KYC requirements.
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@ b6dcdddf:dfee5ee7
2025-06-10 14:39:05Bitcoiners around the world are helping to build a safe, permanent home for 50+ orphans in Bugiri, Uganda 🇺🇬—complete with dorms, classrooms, gardens, and Bitcoin education.
Project by @orphansofuganda
https://geyser.fund/project/buildingabitcoinfundedorphanagehomeinuganda
https://stacker.news/items/1002532
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@ 4b3b215f:b091b1f9
2025-06-09 20:21:56Actualizado: Agosto 10, 2024
⚠️ Advertencia: Esta guía tiene el objetivo de proporcionar información educativa sobre cómo empezar a aceptar Bitcoin en tu negocio. No se ofrece ni se vende ningún servicio relacionado con Bitcoin. Es esencial que sepas que NO DEBES confiar en terceros que te ofrezcan productos o servicios relacionados con Bitcoin, ya que el uso y la gestión de Bitcoin deben ser autónomos y soberanos.
Recuerda: ¡Bitcoin es tu camino hacia la libertad financiera! No confíes en terceros que te ofrezcan productos o servicios para aceptar o utilizar Bitcoin. Bitcoin es dinero, y no necesitas a nadie más para comenzar a usarlo.
¡No aceptes ni pagues por servicios de Bitcoin, tú puedes hacerlo por ti mismo!
¡No confíes, verifica! ₿
¿Qué es Bitcoin?
Bitcoin es una forma de efectivo electrónico entre pares, una moneda digital que puede transferirse entre personas o computadoras sin necesidad de intermediarios confiables como los bancos. A diferencia de los pagos tradicionales que requieren servicios intermedios como tarjetas de crédito o plataformas de pago digital, Bitcoin permite transacciones directas entre usuarios, preservando así la privacidad y la independencia financiera. Es una alternativa descentralizada al dinero digital controlado centralmente, ofreciendo seguridad y autonomía a sus usuarios.
Además, Bitcoin ofrece una solución a la dependencia de sistemas de pago digitales centralizados, los cuales pueden ser utilizados para el control y la vigilancia gubernamental. Al utilizar una red de computadoras interconectadas, Bitcoin garantiza la verificación independiente de las transacciones y la aplicación de reglas consensuadas, lo que permite un sistema de pagos más transparente y resistente a la censura.
¿Qué es Lightning? ⚡️
La red lightning (Lightning Network) es una red global de pagos de Bitcoin que ofrece transacciones instantáneas, privadas y de bajo o nulo costo. Propuesta en 2015, permite transacciones de Bitcoin más rápidas, económicas y privadas fuera de la cadena de bloques de Bitcoin. Es lo que se conoce como una tecnologîa de capa 2 (L2), con Bitcoin siendo la capa 1 (L1).
A diferencia de las redes bancarias tradicionales, lightning network ofrece liquidación instantánea, sin contracargos y utiliza Bitcoin como su activo subyacente. Aborda un desafío clave para Bitcoin al permitir la escalabilidad para un gran número de usuarios que realizan numerosos pagos.
Esta innovadora red de pagos es sin fronteras, abierta, económica e instantánea, ofreciendo pagos instantáneos, económicos e interoperables en todo el mundo. Los pagos enrutados a través de Lightning se mueven a la velocidad de la luz y son definitivos al llegar, eliminando los retrasos y riesgos asociados con los métodos de pago tradicionales.
*Una poderosa analogía para explicar cómo funciona el Lightning Network.
¿Qué hay de todos estos hacks y quiebras de intercambios?
La base de datos de la cadena de bloques de Bitcoin nunca ha sido hackeada. En sus 15 años de existencia, Bitcoin ha demostrado ser el sistema digital más seguro del mundo y el sistema monetario más confiable jamás inventado. Nunca se ha emitido moneda falsa en la red.
La seguridad de Bitcoin radica en su naturaleza descentralizada. Opera a través de una red de computadoras, llamadas nodos, que se comunican para construir y actualizar la base de datos. Cada nodo almacena una copia de la cadena de bloques, lo que hace virtualmente imposible que los hackers comprometan toda la red. Además, Bitcoin permite a los usuarios mantener sus fondos de forma segura en billeteras personales, reduciendo el riesgo asociado con los exchanges (Intercambios) de terceros. Si dejas tus bitcoins en un intercambio o con cualquier tercero, estás asumiendo un riesgo enorme que, para pequeñas cantidades, puede ser razonable a cambio de conveniencia. Pero piénsalo muy bien.
Si bien Bitcoin opera principalmente a través de internet, incluso en casos de interrupciones de internet, la cadena de bloques permanece intacta. Los nodos continúan almacenando los bloques, asegurando la seguridad y la integridad del sistema. Mientras haya por lo menos un nodo conectado, Bitcoin seguira operando sin interrupciones, es decir, para que Bitcoin deje de funcionar, tendria que caerse el internet en todo el mundo al mismo tiempo, lo cual es poco probable. En caso de una divergencia de red, los nodos pueden reconciliarse y acordar cuál es la cadena de bloques objetivamente más válida a seguir, manteniendo la robustez y seguridad de Bitcoin.
¿Por qué Debería Mi Negocio Aceptar Bitcoin?
En primer lugar, para atraer Bitcoiners. Los Bitcoiners son leales y están altamente motivados a buscar negocios que acepten Bitcoin. Con Bitcoin, puedes recibir pagos las 24 horas del día, los 7 días de la semana, los 365 días del año, sin la necesidad de esperar por días hábiles. Además, no hay contracargos y las tarifas de transacción son muy bajas o casi nulas gracias a la red Lightning.
Bitcoin es Bueno para los Negocios
Bitcoin te permite recibir pagos directamente de tus clientes, al igual que el efectivo. La red Bitcoin opera sin intermediarios como bancos y compañías de tarjetas de crédito, evitando las tarifas elevadas asociadas. Los pagos con Bitcoin se liquidan instantáneamente gracias a la red Lightning, eliminando la espera en comparación con los métodos tradicionales. Además, al ocurrir directamente entre tú y tus clientes, es imposible que alguien te quite el dinero mediante un contracargo. Además, el Bitcoin falsificado no puede ser enviado en la red Bitcoin, lo que asegura la integridad de las transacciones y protege a tu negocio de fraudes financieros.
Al aceptar Bitcoin, atraes más clientes, ya que millones de personas poseen Bitcoin y desean gastarlo en lugares que lo acepten.
Aceptar Bitcoin es completamente gratuito y te brinda la oportunidad de aparecer en mapas de comerciantes de Bitcoin, lo que facilita que los usuarios encuentren tu negocio con facilidad.
Pero, Bitcoin no está regulado. ¿Cómo puedo declarar impuestos si acepto Bitcoin en mi negocio?
Muy bien, antes de comenzar, déjame decirte que el no estar regulado es una cualidad, no un defecto. Bitcoin no lo controla nadie, pero es de todos y está disponible para cualquiera que desee usarlo sin necesidad de pedir permiso. Bitcoin no necesita permiso!
Estamos hablando de una forma superior de dinero y la mejor tecnología de ahorro jamás inventada por los humanos. Aceptar Bitcoin es como recibir efectivo: simplemente registras la venta y te llevas el dinero en efectivo a casa. ¿Acaso cuando recibes efectivo, le tomas fotografías a los billetes para enviárselas al gobierno? Eso pensé.
Bitcoin representa la separación entre el estado y el dinero; no es necesario que el estado sepa cuántos Bitcoin tienes. Si un amigo fuera a tu negocio de hamburguesas y te pagara con canicas, ¿le avisarías al gobierno que tu amigo te ha pagado con canicas? Probablemente no. Registra la venta como efectivo en tus libros contables y guarda tu Bitcoin. Es TU dinero, y tienes derecho a mantenerlo privado.
Se recomienda que cuando poseas un saldo importante de Bitcoin, lo retires a una billetera fría. Imagina que recibes efectivo todo el día en tu negocio; al final del día, ¿dejarías todo ese dinero en la caja? Probablemente no sería una buena idea. Muchos negocios retiran su efectivo al final del día o de la semana y lo depositan en un banco o en una caja fuerte en algún lugar seguro. Haz lo mismo con tu Bitcoin: una vez que tengas un saldo mayor del que llevarías cómodamente en el bolsillo, retíralo a una billetera fría.
Bitcoin ES dinero. No es una divisa, ni una inversión, ni acciones, y mucho menos "sujeto a impuestos". Los impuestos son un robo, punto. No importa lo que tu gobierno te diga: Bitcoin es simplemente dinero.
Si no sabes la diferencia entre el dinero y una divisa (Money and Currency), te invito a revisar la siguiente imagen.
Para todos los "amantes de los impuestos" que vienen a decir "Pero el gobierno regulará Bitcoin" o "El gobierno le impondrá impuestos a mi Bitcoin", solo les digo: ¡Pon tu mierda en orden! El dinero no está sujeto a impuestos, punto.
Si realmente deseas utilizarlo para fines comerciales y por tu propia tranquilidad mental, en tus libros contables, decláralo como "ingreso en efectivo". Así de simple: no es asunto del gobierno saber qué tipo de "efectivo" posees. No es asunto suyo lo que haces con tu dinero.
¿Cuál es la diferencia entre billeteras custodiales y no custodiales?
Cuando se trata de billeteras de Bitcoin, hay dos tipos principales: custodiales y no custodiales.
Las billeteras custodiales son como tener tu dinero en un banco. Confías en el proveedor de la billetera para mantener seguro tu Bitcoin y manejar todo por ti. Es conveniente y rápido, especialmente para cantidades pequeñas, pero recuerda, no tienes control total sobre tu Bitcoin. Estás confiando en el proveedor de la billetera para gestionarlo por ti.
Por otro lado, las billeteras no custodiales te dan control total. Tienes tus propias claves y puedes hacer una copia de seguridad de tu billetera. Esto significa que tú eres quien controla tu Bitcoin y puedes moverlo como quieras. Es como guardar efectivo en tu propia caja fuerte en casa. Recuerda, en una billetera no custodial, tú eres el único responsable de tus Bitcoins. Si pierdes u olvidas tus claves (llaves), nadie podrá ayudarte.
Si bien las billeteras custodiales están bien para empezar y para cantidades pequeñas, te recomendamos continuar con tu educación sobre Bitcoin y, eventualmente, pasar a una solución no custodial. Esto te da más control, soberanía, y seguridad sobre tu Bitcoin a largo plazo. Así que, comienza con una billetera custodial como Blink o Wallet Of Satoshi para familiarizarte con Bitcoin, pero apunta a cambiar a una billetera no custodial una vez que te sientas cómodo y listo.
Cómo Aceptar Pagos en Bitcoin
Todo lo que necesitas para aceptar pagos en Bitcoin es una billetera como Blink. Por otro lado, con una billetera híbrida como Wallib, puedes convertir automáticamente los pagos de Bitcoin que recibes a COP.
También puedes optar por ahorrar y mantener una parte de los pagos en Bitcoin, lo que ofrece muchos beneficios a largo plazo.
Ahorra en Bitcoin.
1) Descarga la aplicación:
Bitcoin es una red abierta y hay muchas aplicaciones (wallets) que te permites enviar, recibir, y guardar Bitcoin. Para comenzar, te recomendamos la aplicación Blink Wallet.
Al final de esta guía hay una lista de wallets (billeteras) recomendadas. Pero recuerda, no creas todo lo que lees y haz tu propia investigación.
2) Crea una cuenta:
Una vez que descargues la app, deberas ingresar tu numero de teléfono para registrarte, ya que Blink es una billetera custodial. Pero descuida, no debes dar datos personales adicionales para crear una cuenta.
Una vez ingreses tu teléfono, recibirás un mensaje de texto con un código que deberas ingresar para terminar con el proceso de verificación.
Cuando este configurada, veras la pantalla principal donde está tu balance, tus transacciones, etc. Explora la aplicación y familiarizarte con todas sus opciones.
3) Recibir y enviar Bitcoin:
Ya estas listo para recibir Bitcoin de cualquier persona y desde cualquier lugar, sin importar que aplicacion de lightning usen. Al instante y casi gratis. Esta es la maravilla de la red lightning de Bitcoin!
Aceptar Bitcoin en Persona y en Línea
Aceptar pagos en Bitcoin, ya sea en persona o en línea, es sencillo utilizando tu billetera. Puedes integrar Bitcoin como opción de pago en tu tienda en línea o utilizar la función de "recibir" en tu billetera para recibir pagos en persona. Además, puedes compartir la dirección de pago a través de plataformas como WhatsApp, Instagram, etc.
Cómo Atraer Más Clientes Aceptando Bitcoin
Millones de usuarios de Bitcoin desean gastar sus bitcoins en negocios que los acepten. Al aceptar Bitcoin, puedes aparecer en mapas de comerciantes de Bitcoin como BTC Map de forma gratuita y aumentar tu exposición a nuevos clientes potenciales.
Costo de Aceptar Bitcoin
Aceptar Bitcoin en tu negocio es 100% gratuito. No hay contratos ni tarifas ocultas. No confíes en terceros que te ofrezcan productos o servicios para aceptar o utilizar Bitcoin. Bitcoin es dinero, y no necesitas a nadie más para comenzar a usarlo.
Acepta Bitcoin Ahora! ⚡️
A continuación, algunas billeteras, apps y herramientas que recomendamos.
Billeteras Custodiales
Blink - Billetera móvil de Bitcoin y Lightning
Wallet Of Satoshi - Billetera móvil de Bitcoin y Lightning
Sati - Billetera de Bitcoin y Lightning en WhatsApp
CoinOS - Billetera web (BTC/LN/Liquid)
Alby - Extensión de explorador y web
Billeteras No Custodiales
Phoenix - Billetera móvil de Lightning
Blue Wallet - Billetera móvil y de escritorio de Bitcoin y Lightning.
Green Wallet - Billetera móvil y de escritorio de Bitcoin y Lightning (beta) para principiantes.
Sparrow - Billetera de escritorio solo de Bitcoin (L1 - onchain)
Electrum - Billetera móvil y de escritorio de Bitcoin y Lightning.
Zeus LN - Nodo móvil y billetera de bitcoin y lightning para usuarios avanzados.
Blixt Wallet - Nodo móvil y billetera de Bitcoin y Lightning para usuarios avanzados.
Lecturas Recomendadas
- "La Tesis Alcista de Bitcoin” por Vijay Boyapati [Lectura]
- "Bitcoin: ¿qué, cómo y para qué?” de Franco Amati [Lectura]
- “El Patrón Bitcoin” por Saifedean Ammous [Lectura]
Más Recursos
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-07 16:57:08Autor: mr Vladimir Dinić (student doktorskih studija; vladimirdinic88@gmail.com)
Rezime
Bikojn je prva decentralizovana „peer-to-peer“ kriptovaluta nastala 2009. godine. Osnovna specifičnost ove valute jeste činjenica da njen emitent ne postoji. Sa druge strane, ponuda ove valute je softverski programirana i ograničena. Između ostalog, njene osnovne karakteristike su i relativno sigurna plaćanja, niski transakcioni troškovi, anonimnost korisnika, praktično nemoguće falsifikovanje, nereverzibilnost transakcija, ali i izuzetno nestabilan devizni kurs. I pored brojnih prednosti, korišćenje ove valute je predmet brojnih diskusija, budući da ova valuta nudi mogućnost različitih zloupotreba i obavljanja kriminalnih aktivnosti. Budućnost ove i sličnih valuta u tom smislu zavisi kako od sigurnosti korišćenja tih valuta, tako i od zakonske regulacije ovakvih plaćanja.
Uvod
Razvoj informacione tehnologije, kao jedne od najpropulzivnijih privrednih grana današnjice, doveo je do pojave novih oblika alternativnih valuta. Njihove osnovne karakteristike su decentralizovanost, odnosno nepostojanje centralne banke, države, opštine, kompanije ili bilo koje druge centralne institucije koja bi vršila emisiju te valute, kao i stoprocentno oslanjanje na informacionu tehnologiju u procesu njihove emisije i realizacije transakcija.
Predmet istraživanja ovog rada biće bitkojn, decentralizovana valuta nastala pre 4 godine koja među ostalim alternativnim valutama trenutno zauzima najznačajnije mesto i privlači najviše pažnje. Putem analize dostupne akademske literature, statističkih podataka i ostalih relevantnih izvora pokušaćemo da izdvojimo osnovne karakteristike bitkojn valute, prednosti, nedostatke, efekte i perspektive njegovog korišćenja kao oblika decentralizovane kriptovalute. Budući da je broj radova u kojima su opisane karakteristike i efekti korišćenja bitkojn valute relativno mali, cilj ovog rada će biti da na sveobuhvatan način prezentuje osnovne specifičnosti bitkojn valute i kontroverze povezane s njenim korišćenjem.
Struktura rada je sledeća. Prvo će biti opisane osnovne karakterisike bitkojn valute i način na koji se realizuju transakcije u ovoj valuti. Zatim će biti opisan sam proces, tok i efekti njene emisije, kao i formiranje i kretanje deviznog kursa bitkojna, a zatim će biti izdvojene osnovne prednosti i nedostaci bitkojn valute. U nastavku rada će biti opisana uloga finansijskih institucija koje posluju sa bitkojnima, kao i problemi funkcionisanja bitkojna, gde pre svega imamo u vidu različite zloupotrebe i ostale izvore nestabilnosti. Na samom kraju rada će biti prezentovani regulatorni aspekti korišćenje ove valute.
Karakteristike bitkojn valute
Bitkojn (engl. “Bitcoin” - BTC) predstavlja oblik elektronskog novca koji omogućuje plaćanja putem Interneta direktno između transaktora bez učešća finansijskih institucija. Ova valuta je nastala 2009. godine. Ono po čemu je bitkojn valuta specifična jeste činjenica da je u pitanju decentralizovana valuta, tj. ona funkcioniše bez centralne banke ili druge kompanije koja bi predstavljala emitenta. Takođe, praktično i ne postoje čak ni klasične banke i druge finansijske institucije kao finansijski posrednici. Stoga, da bi se osigurala sigurnost plaćanja i onemogućile različite zloupotrebe, koristi se sama mreža kao sistem koji će kontrolisati regularnost transakcija.
Kao osnovne karakteristike ove virtuelne valute možemo izdvojiti sledeće:
• U pitanju je P2P valuta (engl. „peer-to-peer“). Drugim rečima, za razliku od svih ostalih virtuelnih valuta, BTC je zasnovan na P2P mrežama. Inače, “Peer-to-peer” predstavlja mrežu računara koji nisu zasnovani na „klijent-server“ tehnologiji, već su svi računari ravnopravni članovi mreže. Obično se koristi za deljenje informacija na taj način što kada jedan računar “podeli” neki sadržaj, svi ostali računari u mreži će imati pristup tom fajlu.
• Takođe, to je prva “kriptovana valuta” ili „kriptovaluta“ (engl. “crypto-currency”), tj. zasnovana je na primeni kriptografije sa ciljem kontrole emisije i prometa konkretnog elektronskog novca (Bitcoin.org/en/ about n.d.). Drugim rečima, poverenje u ovu valutu se bazira na sigurnosti koju obezbeđuje kriptografija kao nauka koja se bavi metodama zaštita informacija putem šifrovanja i korišćenjem digitalnog potpisa (Sh.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kriptografija n.d.).
• Emitent ove valute nije ni centralna banka ni neka kompanija, već sami korisnici, tj. vlasnici “mining” računara (engl. “mining” - “rudarenje”). To praktično znači da na emisiju i promet ove valute ne utiče nijedna centralna banka, odnosno centralni entitet od čije monetarne politike ili bilo čega vezanog za njega može zavisiti vrednost valute. Poverenje u bitkojn zavisi od „poštenog“ funkcionisanja većine tzv. “mining” računara u mreži (Barber i saradnici 2012, p.400), a koji su inače zaduženi za verifikaciju transakcija. Logički zaključak koji proističe iz ove činjenice ukazuje na to da se sa rastom obima transakcija u BTC valuti može očekivati veća sigurnost, jer što je veći obim transakcija u bitkojn valuti, praktično će biti teže vršiti zloupotrebe.
• - U pitanju je “open-source” valuta, budući da je kod koji upravlja emisijom i transakcijama otvorenog karaktera, i svi zainteresovani mogu imati pristup.
• U bitkojn sistemu plaćanja praktično ne postoje računi nalik onima koji postoje u bankama. BTC valuta bi mogla biti shvaćena kao sef u kome se nalazi određena vrednost. Ono što formalni vlasnici određene količine BTC valute praktično poseduju jeste ključ koji im omogućuje jedinstven i ovlašćen pristup tom sefu, odnosno plaćanje.
Navedene osnovne karakteristike bitkojna mogu se ilustrovati kroz sledeću rečenicu: „Temelj bitkojn filozofije je u kombinaciji kriptografske sigurnosti digitalnog sveta koju čini veliki broj računara povezanih u jaku i neuništivu peer to peer mrežu i ograničenoj količini raspoloživih resursa kao što je to slučaj sa srebrom i zlatom (maksimalan broj bitkojn novčića je 21 milion, trenutno u opticaju je oko 11,5 miliona (prim. aut.)) čineći tako jaku i stabilnu takozvanu kriptovalutu koja se nalazi na Internet mreži ali fizički nije prisutna ni u jednoj zemlji na svetu“ (Bitcoinbalkan.com 2012).
Šema transakcije u bitkojn valuti
Bitkojn valuta može biti kreirana na Internetu od strane bilo koga, tj. od bilo kog člana mreže čiji računar vršu verifikaciju transakcija. Pritom, svaki računar u mreži može predstavljati tzv. “node”, tj. „mining“ računar koji zajedno sa ostalim računarima učestvuje u verifikaciji iniciranih transakcija. Sam proces verifikacije transakcija predstavlja dodavanje digitalnog zapisa u tzv. “glavnu knjigu” izvršenih bitkojn transakcija, odnosno u “lančani zapis blokova transakcija” (En.bitcoin. it n.d.). Pod blokom transakcija se podrazumeva skup nedavno generisanih transakcija koje čekaju verifikaciju od strane ostalih računara u mreži. Inače, sam bitkojn se može smatrati lancem digitalnih potpisa. Naime, svaka transakcija se verifikuje od strane određenog broja ostalih računara u mreži, pri čemu se sve te transakcije u digitalnom zapisu čuvaju u samom elektronskom formatu koji reprezentuje bitkojn valutu.
Ovaj proces verifikacije transakcija se u tom smislu obavlja od strane većeg broja računara u mreži, kako bi se obezbedila veća sigurnost i regularnost verifikovanih transakcija. Dodatnu sigurnost pruža “vremenski pečat” (engl. “timestamp”) kao integralni deo svakog lanca digitalnih potpisa (Nakamoto n.d., p.2), čime se obezbeđuje autentičnost transakcija, odnosno sprečava mogućnost višestrukog korišćenja jedne iste količine bitkojna za kupovinu različitih dobara i usluga. Takođe, svaki blok sa sobom nosi i određeni matematički problem koji računar mora da reši. Svaki od tih zadataka je moguće rešiti na više načina, a dovoljno je pronaći jedan kako bi transakcija bila realizovana. Za svaki uspešno rešeni zadatak generiše se određen broj bitkojna kao nagrada za vlasnike računara koji su „rešili zadatak“. Ovo je istovremeno i način na koji bitkojn privlači nove korisnike. Nakon prijema bitkojna po osnovu određene transakcije, potrebno je da protekne određeni vremenski period od 10 minuta do 1h, da bi primalac mogao da koristi taj novac. Kao razlog ovog čekanja navodi se činjenica da je potreban određeni vremenski period za pronalaženje bloka transakcija koji će se verifikovati (En.bitcoin.it n.d.). Inače, bitkojn novac nastaje u računarskom programu koji se zove “Bitkojn rudar” (engl. “Bitcoin miner”).
Kao što Šema 1 pokazuje, svaka transakcija između dva računara u mreži zahteva verifikaciju ove transakcije od strane određenog broja računara u mreži. Nakon uspešno verifikovane transakcije dolazi do proširenja lanca digitalnih zapisa koji predstavljaju bitkojn. Oni “mining” računari koji vrše tzv. “hashing” i verifikaciju transakcija dobijaju, tj. generišu određen broj BTC kao nadoknadu za tu svoju ulogu i koji mogu koristiti po svom nahođenju. U tom smislu, trošenje električne energije i rad “mining” računara, uslovno rečeno, predstavlja realno pokriće za emitovani bitkojn. Pritom se u velikoj meri zanemaruje činjenica da vrednost utrošene električne energije i hardverskih resursa može prevazilaziti vrednost generisanih BTC valuta, pa se može postaviti pitanje ekonomske isplativosti, tj. održivosti takve valute. Kao jedan od faktora koji opravdava ove troškove može se navesti anonimnost koju korišćenje ove valute pruža. Međutim, danas se na tržištu mogu pronaći uređaji koji višestruko povećavaju kapacitet “mining” računara, tako da se “rudarenje” BTC valute može smatrati profitabilnim. Primera radi, sredstva investirana u kupovinu “GPU” (grafičkih kartica) ili “ASIC Bitcoin Miner” uređaja koji se koriste u te svrhe se mogu povratiti u roku od nekoliko meseci (Barber i saradnici 2012, p.400).
Faktor koji određuje verovatnoću da će “mining” računar pronaći blok transakcija koje treba verifikovati poznat je kao “difficulty” faktor. On u suštini predstavlja meru težine pronalaženja tog bloka (En.bitcoin.it n.d.). U slučajevima kada je relativno veliki broj računara na mreži spreman da vrši verifikaciju, ovaj faktor se povećava, i obrnuto. Uloga ovog faktora se ogleda u podsticanju korišćenja bitkojn valute onih koji bi želeli da zarade putem “rudarenja”, jer se smanjenjem “difficulty” faktora povećava verovatnoća pronalaženja bloka u uslovima kada je mali broj učesnika zainteresovan da verifikuje transakcije. Sa druge strane,, “difficulty” faktor se povećava u slučajevima kada je veliki broj članova mreže spreman da vrši verifikaciju naloga, kako bi se ograničila stopa monetarnog rasta u željenim okvirima (Nakamoto n.d., p.3). Vrednost “difficulty” faktora se menja nakon svakih 2016 blokova.
Pritom sama mreža, odnosno algoritam na kome se zasnivaju transakcije u bitkojn valuti, definiše koliko bitkojna svako pojedinačno može kreirati, u skladu sa pravilom “kontrolisane ponude” (engl. “controlled supply”). Broj bitkojna koji se na ovaj način može generisati je u samom nastanku iznosio 50 BTC po bloku, dok od 2013. godine nagrada iznosi 25 BTC po bloku. Broj generisanih bitkojna po bloku transakcije biće prepolovljen na svake 4 godine, što će tokom vremena dovoditi do usporene stope rasta količine bitkojna u opticaju.
Emisija bitkojna i njeni efekti
Emisija bitkojna je u potpunosti isplanirana, odnosno programirana, i njeno upravljanje je dodeljeno samoj mreži, odnosno onim računarima koji vrše verifikaciju transakcija. Ovakav algoritam je izabran jer on u najvećoj meri aproksimira stopu rasta ekstrakcije pojedinih ruda kao što je zlato, budući da je ograničena količina bitkojna koja u jednom trenutku može postojati u sistemu i maksimalna količina koja se može „izrudariti“.
Programiranim tempom rasta količine BTC novca u opticaju određeno je da maksimalna količina emitovanih bitkojna nikada ne pređe nivo od 21.000.000 BTC. Budući da je za verifikaciju jednog bloka transakcija potrebno u proseku 10 minuta, to je ujedno i period tokom kojeg se broj bitkojna poveća za malopre pomenutih 25 (od početka 2013. godine do kraja 2017.), da bi se broj novoemitovanih BTC u jedinici vremena programirano smanjivao tokom vremena.
Međutim, primena ovakve programirane stope ograničenog i usporenog monetarnog rasta za posledicu može imati rast deviznog kursa bitkojna, kao i pad cena proizvoda izraženih u bitkojn valuti, što bi u konačnom trebalo da utiče na rast tražnje za ovom valutom. Prema nekim shvatanjima, upravo je ekspanzivna monetarna politika mnogih centralnih banaka nakon 2008. godine sa ciljem ublažavanja negativnih efekata krize i strah od inflacije jedan od najvažnijih faktora koji su uticali na relativno veliku tražnju za bitkojn valutom (Christin, Moore 2013, p.1). Po shvatanju kejnzijanaca, pad cena izraženih u jednoj valuti i istovremena apresijacija te valute može motivisati transaktore da više štede, a manje troše, što u konačnom može imati recesione efekte. Težnja ka štednji bi dovela do smanjenjog korišćenja ove valute, pa bi sve veći broj „mining“ računara napuštao mrežu, zbog čega bi došlo do ugrožavanja stabilnosti i slabljenja deviznog kursa ove valute (Barber i saradnici 2012, p.404). Sa druge strane, po shvatanju predstavnika austrijske škole, pad cena ne obuhvata samo pad cena finalnih prozvoda, već i inputa, tako da ne bi trebalo da dođe do smanjenja profita i recesije (En.bitcoin. it n.d.). Koja će se shvatanja pokazati ispravnim, zavisiće od niza faktora, pre svega stabilnosti i sigurnosti bitkojna kao valute.
Naime, trenutno se ova valuta može smatrati sigurnom za realizaciju transakcija, ali ne i dovoljno stabilnom u pogledu otpornosti na spekulativne udare i druge izvore nestabilnosti, budući da je trenutno njena kapitalizacija relativno mala, pa veoma mali poremećaji mogu uticati na značajna kolebanja cena i kursa. Naime, ova valuta može u velikoj meri biti podložna različitim spekulativnim napadima, budući da ne postoje regulativne odredbe i sankcije za one članove mreže koji bi trgovanjem pokušali da utiču na devizni kurs i tako ostvarili spekulativni profit i ugrozili integritet same valute. Treba imati u vidu i da su same transakcije anonimne, tako da bi se moglo postaviti pitanje određene regulacije ovih transakcija. Međutim, to bi moglo ugroziti anonimnost kao jednu od osnovnih prednosti ove valute. Sa rastom tržišta može se očekivati veći imunitet na spekulativne udare. Međutim, budući da će u narednom periodu stopa monetarnog rasta biti relativno mala, rast tržišta bi se mogao ostvariti jedino putem jačanja deviznog kursa ove valute, tj. ova valuta bi mogla postati stabilnija ukoliko bi dovoljno apresirala.
Deflaciona tendencija bi bila dodatno intenzivirana i usled delovanja sledećih faktora:
• Centralne banke svih zemalja bi u manjoj ili većoj meri povećavale količinu novca u opticaju svake godine, dok bi sa druge strane ponuda bitkojna bila relativno sporo rastuća. Pritom, treba imati u vidu da bi kurs bitkojna pre svega zavisio od tražnje za tom valutom. Iako je 2010. godine u odnosu na početnu 2009. stopa monetarnog rasta BTC valute iznosila 100%, trenutno oko 13% na godišnjem nivou, zbog same prirode proizvoda i usluga koje se njime mogu kupiti i usled sve većeg broja kompanija koje primaju bitkojn (En.bitcoin.it n.d.) kao sredstvo plaćanja, ovaj monetarni rast ne izaziva inflaciju.
• Paralelno sa padom cena izraženih u bitkojn valuti povećavala bi se granična sklonost štednji, pa bi povećanje brzine opticaja novca, kao potencijalni faktor koji bi mogao da utiče na smanjenje deflacionih procesa, izostalo (ECB 2012, p.25).
Kalkulacijom se takođe može doći do zaključka da će već 2025. godine stopa monetarnog rasta iznositi manje od 1% (tačnije 0,83%), a 2037. godine manje od 1‰ (tj. 0,095%). Nakon čega, monetarni rast će se i dalje nastaviti zanemarljivo malim stopama, ali nikada neće preći programiranu granicu od 21.000.000 BTC. Kretanje ponude bitkojna tokom vremena je prikazan na Grafikonu 1:
Inače, već 2035. godine. će u opticaju biti 99% programirane gornje granice bitkojna (približno 20.800.000 BTC), tj. do 2040. godine će nestati interes za daljim “rudarenjem” u današnjem smislu, jer bi bili potrebni ogromni resursi da bi se stvorio čak i minimalni deo jednog bitkojna. Nakon toga, predviđeno se da vlasnici “mining” računara zarađuju po osnovu nalaćivanja transakcionih troškova za verifikovane transkcije u određenom procentu (ECB 2012, p.25), tako da se dugoročno ovaj sistem može oceniti kao održiv. Stopa monetarnog rasta tokom vremena bi se u polulogaritamskom grafikonu sa prirodnom osnovom mogla predstaviti na Grafikonu 2:
Inače, broj generisanih bitkojna dnevno koje jedan pojedinac može ostvariti po osnovu “mining” aktivnosti je implementiran u samom kodu bitkojn valute i određuje se po sledećoj formuli (Bitcoin.stackexchange.com 2011):
Ukoliko bismo uprostili ovu formulu time što bismo deo formule sačinjen od više konstanti sveli na jedan realan broj dobili bismo njenu skraćenu verziju:
U ovom izrazu značenje parametara je sledeće:
• X predstavlja broj generisanih bitkojna,
• D predstavlja trenutni „difficulty“ faktor,
• H predstavlja trenutni „hash-rate“, odnosno brzinu kojom konkretan uređaj koji pojedinac poseduje vrši „rudarenje“,
• B predstavlja nagradu u bitkojnima za realizovan blok transakcija,
• 20,11626 predstavlja konstantu u formuli.
Kao što se može zapaziti, pored toga što zarada po osnovu “mining” procesa zavisi od tzv. “difficulty” faktora, predviđene brzine stvaranja BTC u jedinici vremena (trenutno iznosi 25 BTC po jednom bloku, odnosno na svakih 10-ak minuta), ovaj proces zavisi od brzine kojom računari vrše “rudarenje”. Brzina se izražava u h/s (engl. “hash per second”), odnosno u Mh/s ili Gh/s. Na osnovu kalkulacija se može zaključiti da zarada i brzina otplate po osnovu “mining” procesa zavisi od kvaliteta uređaja koji se koristi za taj proces. Inače, zarada po osnovu korišćenja klasičnih grafičkih kartica koje su se do nedavno koristile za ovaj proces je trenutno neuporedivo manja (nekoliko desetina do nekoliko hiljada puta) u odnosu na najsavremenije uređaje za “rudarenje” (En.bitcoin.it n.d.)). Budući da se tokom narednih godina može očekivati povećanje “difficulty” faktora (u skladu sa dosadašnjom tendencijom (Bitcoinx.com n.d.)) i smanjenje broja generisanih bitkojna po bloku transakcija, profitabilnost će se, pod pretpostavkom nepromenljivog kursa i nepromenjenih cena uređaja za “rudarenje” i električne energije višestruko smanjivati.
U Tabeli 1 su prikazani osnovni statistički podaci o bitkojn valuti na dan 22.03.2013. i na dan 30.08.2013. godine:
Kao što se može zapaziti, u odnosu na period pre 5 meseci, došlo je do povećanja bitkojn novčanih jedinica u opticaju, što je i očekivano, budući da je u pitanju programiran proces. Takođe, došlo je do povećanja tržišne kapitalizacije BTC valute, što je pre svega posledica njene apresijacije. Uvećanje kapitalizacije tokom vremena od samog nastanka 2009. godine, a naročito tokom 2013. godine, kako usred povećanja broja bitkojna, tako i usled apresijacije njegovog deviznog kursa može se uočiti sa Grafikona 3:
Može se reći da BTC valutni sistem ima određene sličnosti sa zlatnim standardom, jer postoji gornja granica rasta količine valute u opticaju, tako da, slično sistemu zlatnog važenja, može postati kočnica daljem razvoju, budući da onemogućuje povećanje tražnje putem povećanja količine novca u opticaju. Povezano sa pravilom “kontrolisane ponude”, poželjno je naglasiti da je čak i sam Milton Fridman smatrao da je monetarnu politiku programirane ili konstantne stope monetarnog rasta moguće uspešno implementiratu pomoću računara (Econlib.org 2006). Inače, pristalice bitkojna kritikuju sistem frakcionih rezervi. Takođe, smatraju da je nastanak ove valute početni korak u ukidanju monopola centralne banke kao ekskluzivnog emitenta novca (ECB 2012, p.22). Postoje i shvatanja da je kreator ove valute kao inspiraciju imao zlatni standard. Međutim, ono po čemu se ovaj sistem razlikuje od zlatnog standarda jeste nedostatak unutrašnje, tj. materijalne vrednosti koja je svojstvena robnom novcu kao što su to plemeniti metali, dok bitkojn poseduje samo funkcionalnu vrednost koja zavisi od njegove kupovne snage.
Postoje, međutim, i shvatanja da bitkojn valuta u suštini funkcioniše kao Ponzijeva šema, budući da onima koji ranije počnu sa njenim korišćenjem pruža mogućnost ostvarenja značajnog profita ukoliko prodaju svoje bitkojne u uslovima rasta cena. Međutim, kao razlike ovog sistema u odnosu na Ponzijevu šemu možemo izdvojiti (ECB 2012, p.27):
• Ne postoji očekivani finansijski prinos koji se može ostvariti niti se prilikom prvog korišćenja bitkojn valute potpisuje ugovor koji garantuje visok prinos, čak ni za početne ulagače. U praksi, profit se može ostvariti kako po osnovu rudarenja, čime nastaju novi bitkojni, tako i po osnovu jačanja deviznog kursa ove valute. Međutim, taj profit je neizvestan, pre svega komponenta koja se odnosi na apresijaciju deviznog kursa.
• Ne postoji centralna institucija ili kompanija koja bi mogla da pokupi novac od korisnika sistema i „nestane“. Iako u praksi oni koji su prvi počeli da „rudare“ uspevaju da najviše i zarade, svaki profit ostvaren po osnovu „rudarenja“ i kasnijeg izlaska iz sistema bi se pre mogao okarakterisati kao spekulacija („kupiti jeftino, prodati skupo“) nego Ponzijeva šema. Međutim, u praksi je ipak postojao primer koji demantuje ovaj argument, a u pitanju je slučaj kompanije „Bitcoin Savings and Trust“ (“BTCST”) koja je tokom 2011. i 2012, godine koristeći klasičnu Ponzijevu šemu proneverila novac svojih korisnika. Ipak, ovaj primer se može oceniti samo kao izuzetak, odnosno kao zloupotreba sistema, ali ne i kao dokaz da bitkojn valuta funkcioniše kao Ponzijeva šema.
Devizni kurs bitkojna
Devizni kurs bitkojna se, kao i u slučaju bilo koje druge valute formira na berzi, na bazi sučeljavanja ponude i tražnje za tom valutom. U odnosu na početak godine kada je BTC/USD kurs iznosio približno 13, krajem avgusta je vrednost bitkojna prema američkom dolaru približno 10 puta veća i BTC/USD kurs iznosi oko 130. Očigledno je da 1 BTC ima višestruko veću vrednost od bilo koji zvanične svetske valute, pri čemu se njegova vrednost uglavnom izražava u USD, budući da se na bitkojn berzama najveći deo bitkojna razmeni za američki dolar.
Krajem avgusta se u opticaju nalazi ukupno skoro 12 miliona BTC, pri čemu njihova ukupna vrednost izražena u USD približno iznosi preko 1,4 milijarde USD. Konkretno, to znači da je ukupna vrednost svih emitovanih bitkojna nominalno veća od bruto društvenog proizvoda pojedinih zemalja. Budući da je cena zlata približno 50 USD/g, možemo zaključiti da 1 bitkojn vredi nešto više od 2,5 grama zlata. Prevedeno u RSD po kursu od približno 85 RSD/USD, za kupovinu jednog bitkojna je na dan 29.08.2013. godine potrebno više od 11.000 RSD. Pritom, 1 bitkojn je jednak 100.000.000 „satoshis“-a (naziv „satoshis“ potiče od pseudonima Satoshi Nakamoto, tj. pseudonima kreatora ili grupe ljudi koji su stvorili bitkojn).
Inače, kurs bitkojna zavisi od ponude i tražnje za ovom valutom. Kretanje srednjeg ponderisanog dnevnog kursa BTC valute u odnosu na USD može se uočiti na osnovu Grafikona 4:
Na osnovu dostupnih podataka od početka 2013. godine statističkom analizom može se doći do zaključka da linearna funkcija trenda najbolje opisuje kretanje vrednosti BTC valute. Ocenjena linearna funkcija trenda glasi:
BTC/USD = 27.95 + 0.45t
pri čemu je bazni period 1. januar 2013. godine, a to je ceo broj koji predstavlja broj dana nakon 1.januara. Međutim, budući da je koeficijent determinacije svega r²= 0.52, ocenjena funkcija trenda se ne može primeniti za ekstrapolaciju, odnosno ne bismo mogli sa velikim stepenom sigurnosti da procenimo kretanje vrednosti bitkojna u budućnosti. Ovako nizak koeficijent determinacije ukazuje na činjenicu da je devizni kurs bitkojna veoma nestabilan. Nestabilnosti deviznog kursa bitkojna u velikoj meri doprinosi i podložnost različitim šokovima, o čemu će više reči biti kasnije.
Prednosti i nedostaci bitkojn valute
Kao osnovne prednosti bitkojna u odnosu na ostale, kako nacionalne, tako i alternativne valute, obično se navode:
• Za razliku od transakcija klasičnim elektronskim novcem koji se nalazi na računima banaka, u slučaju bitkojna ne postoje transakcioni troškovi ili su oni svedeni na minimum, dok sa druge strane ne postoji ograničenje u pogledu minimalnog iznosa transakcije koju je moguće realizovati (Nakamoto n.d., p.1).
• Kontrolu transakcija i emisiju BTC valute vrše kompjuterski algoritmi, čime se onemogućava pojava veštački izazvane inflacije. Takođe, ovom verifikacijom se izbegava “duplo plaćanje” (engl. “double-spending”), čime bi se mogao zloupotrebiti sistem (Bitcoin.org/en/ about n.d.) i nekontrolisano povećavala količina novca u opticaju. Sigurnost plaćanja je pritom zasnovana na korišćenju kriptografije.
• Praktično je gotovo nemoguće falsifikovati bitkojn. Teoretski, to bi bilo moguće ukoliko bi se isti BTC iskoristio za istovremeno obavljanje dva plaćanja. Međutim, lanac digitalnih potpisa onemogućava takve transakcije (Stanford Bitcoin Group n.d.).
• Omogućena je potpuna anonimnost transaktora. Međutim, iako ovo predstavlja pogodnost za određene grupe ekonomskih subjekata, sa aspekta poreskih i regulatornih organa ova osobina bitkojna bi se definitivno mogla oceniti kao njen nedostatak. Za razliku od elektronskog novca u platnom prometu kod kojeg su informacije o učesnicima u transakciji javnog, a informacije o transakcijama privatnog karaktera, u slučaju bitkojn valute su informacije o transaktorima privatnog karaktera, tj. veoma često ni samim transaktorima nije poznato kome vrše plaćanja, dok su same karakteristike realizovane transakcije javnog karaktera.
Sa druge strane, kao neke od osnovnih nedostataka bitkojn valute možemo izdvojiti sledeće:
• Bitkojn nije široko prihvaćen kao sredstvo plaćanja. Naime, veoma je mali broj privrednih subjekata koji primaju bitkojn za prodaju prodaju robe, odnosno pružanje usluga. Iako je broj ovih subjekata sve veći, uloga bitkojna kao sredstva plaćanja je još uvek veoma ograničena. Razlog ovoj pojavi leži kako u činjenici da postoji niz proizvoda koji se ne mogu kupiti za bitkojn, tako i u činjenici da ova valuta ne postoji u svojoj fizičkoj verziji, tako da se može koristiti jedino za elektronska plaćanja.
• Devizni kurs bitkojna je veoma nestabilan. Tome u velikoj meri doprinosi i nepostojanje centralnog entiteta poput centralne banke koja bi putem intervencija na deviznom tržištu ili nekom drugom merom monetarne politike mogla pozitivno da utiče na njegovu stabilizaciju.
• Transakcije bitkojn valutama nisu reverzibilne, što znači da nije moguće poništiti već realizovanu transakciju. Iako se ova osobina bitkojn valute može smatrati njenim nedostatkom, značajno je zapaziti da bitkojn u suštini više liči na keš nego na elektronski novac, pa samim tim nema nikakvu mogućnost poništavanja transakcija, jer po definiciji ne postoji sistem za praćenje toka novca. Drugim rečima, transakcije realizovane elektronskim novcem koji se nalazi na računima banaka se mogu poništiti u određenom roku. Sa druge strane, u najvećem broju slučajeva gotovinu potrošenu u prodavnici uglavnom nećemo moći da povratimo, osim ukoliko nije u pitanju roba sa garancijom i sl. Upravo u ovome i leži jedan od najvećih problema vezan za korišćenje bitkojn valute, a koji se odnosi na teškoće prilikom povraćaja novca u slučaju kupovine neispravnih proizvoda bez adekvatno regulisane garancije. Sa druge strane, ovo je odličan mehanizam zaštite prodavaca od zloupotreba, jer im ovaj mehanizam omogućuje sigurnu i momentalnu naplatu svojih potraživanja po osnovu prodate robe (Nakamoto n.d., p.1). Vezano za reverzibilnost transakcija, značajno je naglasiti da je osnovni uzrok ove osobine bitkojna činjenica da, u opštem slučaju, ne postoji posrednik u plaćanju, odnosno, sve plaćanja se vrše direktno između tržišnih subjekata. Iako se nererzibilnost može oceniti kao nedostatak bitkojna, treba imati u vidu da nepostojanje posrednika za posledicu ima nepostojanje provizija koje bi u suprotnom naplaćivale banke ili drugi posrednici u platnom prometu. Međutim, ne treba zanemariti činjenicu da postoje opcione provizije koje plaćaju oni koji žele da transakcija u bitkojn valuti bude brže realizovana (Stanford Bitcoin Group n.d.).
• Iako je reč o vidu elektronskog novca, postoji mogućnost njegovog gubitka. Naime, jedna od specifičnosti ove valute jeste da ona postoji samo u svojoj elektronskoj verziji. Pritom se nalog koji se koristi za plaćanja razlikuje od klasičnog transakcionog računa u banci po tome što ne postoji institucija poput banke koja bi transaktorima zatvorila ili blokirala nalog. Takođe, ne postoje nikakva ograničenja u pogledu korišćenja bitkojna. Nalog mogu deaktivirati sami korisnici sistema time što bi prestali da ga koriste i time što bi se oslobodila svih BTC valuta na svom nalogu. Nalog se inače gubi i ukoliko se prilikom oporavka operativnog sistema na računaru ne obezbedi skladištenje (engl. “backup”) bitkojna. Time se faktički taj novac trajno gubi iz sistema. U tome se faktički i ogleda sličnost između bitkojn valute i običnog novca, budući da on praktično može biti izgubljen ili uništen (Kaplanov 2012, p.116). Međutim, za razliku od običnog novca koji može biti dodatno otštampan od strane centralne banke, u slučaju bitkojna ne postoji entitet koji bi emitovao novu količinu novčanih jedinica koje bi zamenile nestale ili uništene bitkojne.
• Kao poslednji nedostatak bitkojna bismo mogli navesti sve one probleme koji se odnose na zloupotrebe kojima je on podložan, a koji se odnose na mogućnost obavljanja nelegalnih aktivnosti, pranje novca, stvaranja “crnih tržišta”, ali i poreskih rajeva, mogućnost poreske evazije, ali i neotpornost na različite napade kompjuterskih virusa itd.
Korišćenje BTC valute se preporučuje manjim kompanijama i preduzetnicima, budući da im omogućuje prodaju proizvoda i njihovu naplatu uz niže transakcione troškove, tj. bez provizija različitih finansijskih institucija, kao i zahvaljujući činjenici da je veoma lako implementirati ovaj oblik prodaje i naplate prodaje putem Interneta. Međutim, time se može dovesti u pitanje legalnost obavljanja takvih aktivnosti, naročito kada je reč o prodaji digitalnih proizvoda (softvera, muzike,…) koji se mogu neograničen broj puta umnožavati i prodavati bez ikakve evidencije, čime se može izbeći izvršenje poreske obaveze.
Finansijske institucije koje posluju sa bitkojnima
Trenutno postoji oko 50 aktivnih berzi na kojima se zvanične valute mogu razmeniti za bitkojn, od kojih je najznačajnija “MtGox” na kojoj se dnevno razmeni oko 64% ukupnog prometa bitkojn valutom za ostale zvanične valute i obrnuto. Inače, bitkojn se najviše razmenjuje za USD (74%) i EUR (14%), dok je značaj svih ostalih valuta zanemarljiv (Bitcoincharts.com n.d.). Inače, statistička analiza aktivnih i ugašenih bitkojn berzi je pokazala nekoliko zakonitosti (Christin, Moore 2013, p.7):
• Sa povećanjem prometa na nekoj berzi smanjuje se verovatnoća da će doći do njenog zatvaranja
• S druge strane, što je promet na nekoj berzi veći, postojaće i veća šansa da dođe do različitih oblika zloupotreba i prekršaja.
Pritom treba imati u vidu da je u ovoj analizi apstrahovan niz faktora koji bi potencijalno mogli da utiču na dobijanje drugačijih rezultata. Primera radi, nije uzeta u obzir reputacija samih berzi, odnosno činjenica da će atraktivnost same berze zavisiti od sigurnosti koju ona pruža svojim korisnicima.
Takođe, iako je kao jedna od osnovnih karakteristika kriptovaluta, a samim tim i bitkojna, navedena činjenica da ovakve valute u opštem slučaju funkcionišu bez posredovanja finansijskijh institucija, ne treba zanemariti činjenicu da se marta 2013. godine pojavio prvi hedž fond „Exante“ koji investira u bitkojn. Treba međutim naznačiti da ovaj fond ima širok portfolio aktivnosti, pri čemu su operacije sa bitkojnom samo jedna od njih. Fond kao naknadu za svoje usluge ne naplaćuje procentualni deo ostvarenog profita, već fiksnu proviziju od 0,5% neto vrednosti Bitcoin Fund-a. Pritom, ovaj fond ogroman akcenat stavlja na zaštitu podataka i sigurnost fonda. Marta 2013. godine vrednost fonda je iznosila približno 3,2 miliona USD. Inače, za pristup fondu su neophodna inicijalna ulaganja od minimum 100.000 USD (Forbes.com 2013). Ovaj fond ostvaruje zaradu po osnovu kapitalnih dobitaka na kupljene bitkojne, pri čemu jedna akcija ovog fonda vredi tačno jedan BTC. S obzirom na vrtoglavi rast vrednosti bitkojn valute, očekuju se visoki prinosi po osnovu plasmana ovog fonda. Kao osnovne prednosti investiranja u fond umesto direktne kupovine BTC valute navode se (Exante.eu/press/news2013[a]):
• Lakše je kupiti akcije/investicione jedinice fonda nego bitkojn.
• Sredstva investirana u fondove umesto u direktnu kupovinu bitkojn valute se smatraju sigurnijim, budući da takvi fondovi, između ostalog i Exante, značajan akcenat stavljaju na kriptografsku sigurnost sredstava svojih korisnika.
Inače, od juna 2013. godine ovaj fond svojim klijentima nudi „Automatic Trading Platform“ (ATP), odnosno elektronsku platformu za trgovinu koja im omogućuje niz usluga koje se, između ostalog, odnose na različite statističke alate i portfolio menadžment (Exante.eu/press/news 2013[b]).
Međutim, ovaj fond nije prva finansijska institucija koja je radila sa bitkojn valutom. Naime, ne treba zaboraviti ni na „Bitcoin Savings and Trust“ (“BTCST”) kompaniju koja je, koristeći klasičnu Ponzijevu šemu, od 2011. do septembra 2012. godine prikupila oko 700.000 BTC (vrednih više od 4,5 miliona USD) od svojih klijenata obećavši im nedeljne stope prinosa od čak 7%, a zatim taj novac proneverila. Tim povodom je jula 2013. godine američka “Komisija za hartije od vrednosti i berzu” (engl. “Securities and Exchange Commission” - SEC) optužila ovu kompaniju i Trendon Shaversa, njenog osnivača (Wang 2013).
Takođe, postoje i najave da će vlasnici BTC valute moći da na realnim bankomatima da povlače zvaničan novac čiji je emitent centralna banka u ekvivalentnom iznosu (eventualno umanjenom za određenu proviziju), kao i da će se moći koristiti prilikom kupovine u prodavnicama na POS terminalima (Newscientist.com 2012).
Kao što se može zaključiti, iako je bitkojn po svojoj prirodi decentralizovana valuta koja čak i eliminiše potrebu za finansijskim posrednicima, same potrebe njegovih korisnika očigledno nameću potrebu za odgovarajućim finansijskim institucijama koje bi imale različite funkcije u bitkojn transakcijama. Kao neke od finansijskih institucija koje za sada posluju sa bitkojn valutom za sada su se izdvojile berze koje omogućuju razmenu najpoznatijih svetskih valuta za bitkojn i obratno. Takođe, sve češće se javljaju i druge finansijske institucije kao posrednici u plaćanju bitkojnima, a koje svojim klijentima nude veći stepen zaštite podataka i sigurnosti pri obavljanju transakcija u odnosu na direktna plaćanja bez korišćenja usluga finansijskih posrednika. U tom smislu, ukoliko izvršimo komparaciju razvoja decentralizovane bitkojn valute sa razvojem klasičnog novca, pojava nekog oblika centralnog entiteta u ovom sistemu (po osnovu ekonomske moći ili po osnovu nekih zakonskih odredbi) koji bi preuzeo neke od funkcija klasične centralne banke više ne deluje kao naučna fantastika. Naime, prvi oblici novca su, kao što je poznato, bili stoka, koža, so, med, krzno, kasnije metali kao što su gvožđe, bakar i plemeniti metali (srebro i zlato), a zatim i novčanice. Paralelno sa razvojem sredstava plaćanja javljali su se novi učesnici u privrednom životu kao što su zlatari koji su izdavali certifikate po osnovu deponovanog novca i međusobno vršili kliring potraživanja svojih klijenata. Nakon toga nastaju i privilegovane banke koje su bile jedine ovlašćene od strane države da emituju banknote, da bi prve centralne banke nastale tek u 17. veku (Đurović-Todorović 2010, str.18- 23). U tom smislu, iako prve oblike novca nije emitovala nijedna centralna institucija, već sami ljudi, nije isključena mogućnost da nekada u budućnosti kriptovalute kao što je bitkojn, koje su po svojoj prirodi decentralizovane, dobiju centralnu instituciju. Međutim, budući da, prema mnogim shvatanjima, upravo decentralizovanost ovakve valute predstavlja faktor koji u najvećoj meri pozitivno utiče na tražnju za takvom valutom, postoji verovatnoća da bi u slučaju pojave centralnog entiteta u takvim sistemima opala tražnja za tim valutama, a povećala se tražnja za drugim valutama koje još uvek nisu centralizovane. U konačnom, ceteris paribus, pokušaj regulacije i centralizacije neke kriptovalute bi u konačnom samo mogao dovesti do napuštanja tih valuta, erozije njihovog značaja i migracije korisnika i tranfera njihovih sredstava u druge valute.
Problemi funkcionisanja i regulacija bitkojna
Bitkojn valuta je gotovo u potpunosti van regulacionog spektra centralne banke i poreskih organa. Stoga je pojedini autori pogodnim instrumentom za stvaranje “crnog tržišta” različitih roba i usluga, a najznačajnija opasnost postoji ukoliko bi se koristila za obavljanje nelegalnih aktivnosti. Primera radi, zabeleženi su slučajevi kada se bitkojn valuta koristila za kupovinu droge putem Interneta (Manchin. senate.gov 2011).
Takođe, ništa beznačajniji nisu problemi po osnovu krađe (koje su se već dešavale) ili potencijalnog nekontrolisanog umnožavanja ove valute od strane cyber-kriminalaca (što je za sada praktično neizvodljivo). Usled toga, može doći i do značajnih fluktuacija kursa bitkojn valute. Između ostalog, postoje i procene stručnjaka za kriptografiju i sigurnost podataka na Internetu da se sigurnost ove valute može oceniti kao veoma niska (Economist.com 2012). Primera radi, 2011. godine se pojavio kompjuterski virus, tj. „Trojanac“ koji “krade bitkojn novčanike” (engl. „Bitcoin wallet“), tj. koji, ukoliko se nađe na računaru onog ko koristi bitkojn valutu, preuzima i šalje putem Interneta na odgovarajuću adresu kompjuterske fajlove pomoću kojih je moguće sa nekog drugog računara koristiti tuđ bitkojn novac (Symantec.com 2011). Usled tog sigurnosnog kolapsa, vrednost bitkojna je pala sa 30,99 USD 08.06.2011. na svega 0,10 USD 20.06.2011. Do decembra 2011. godine vrednost valute se vratila na nešto više od 3 USD (ECB 2012, p.38). Sledeći značajan udarac na bitkojn valutu dogodio se 10. aprila 2013. godine. Tog dana je trgovina BTC valutom otpočela po ceni od 200 USD, da bi tokom dana dostigla svoj istorijski maksimum od čak 266 USD, da bi u roku od par sati njena vrednost pala ispod 100 USD. Iako su se prve sumnje odnosile na dv. DDoS napad, zvaničnici MtGox berze su izjavili da je uzrok ovog problema preveliki obim trgovine.
Inače, DDoS napad (engl. „distributed denial- of-service attack“) predstavlja napad na tržišni centar putem masovnog ispostavljanja naloga za trgovinu kako bi se izazvala blokada u trgovini i izvršio uticaj na cenu. Međutim, pravi DDoS napad je ubrzo zaista usledio, pa je berza prekinula proces trgovanja u periodu od 2 sata, mada je i narednih 8 sati postojao problem u pristupu mreži. Prekid trgovanja se desio na još nekim bitkojn berzama. Ovaj kolaps je ukazao na neke od osnovnih slabosti bitkojn valute, a koje se odnose kako na dominantan položaj MtGox berze, tako i na činjenicu da je veliki broj elektronskih berzi za trgovanje bitkojn valutom razvijan od strane web developer-a koji jesu iskusni profesionalci, ali nisu poznavali u dovoljnoj meri način funkcionisanja finansijskih berzi (Bitcoinmagazine.com 2013).
Jedno od osnovnih pitanja koje se postavlja od same pojave bitkojn valute odnosi se na legalnost njegove primene. Inače, kao razlozi zbog kojih bi bitkojn trebalo smatrati potpuno legalnom valutom navode se: pravo na slobodnu razmenu, činjenica da bitkojn ne predstavlja alternativu američkom dolaru kao zvaničnoj valuti, odnosno ni na koji način ne predstavljaju njegov falsifikat, niti se nalaze u širokoj upotrebi. Sa druge strane, kao razlozi zbog kojih bi trebalo zakonski preciznije regulisati korišćenje bitkojna navode se povećana mogućnost poreske evazije i činjenica da bitkojn otvara mogućnost za kreiranje poreskih rajeva i crnog tržišta različite robe (pre svega droge), kao i za pranje novca.
Naime, transakcije u bitkojnima prema nekim ocenama imaju klasične elemente bartera, odnosno trampe, a takve transakcije su oporezive. Međutim, bitkojn po svojoj prirodi nudi anonimnost i mogućnost prikrivanja brojnih transakcija od poreskih organa čime se izbegava izvršenje poreske obaveze. Takođe, značajno pitanje se odnosi i na nadležno zakonodavstvo u slučaju transakcija u bitkojn valuti na međunarodnom nivou, kada bi bilo veoma teško utvrditi nadležnu poresku vlast. Sa jedne strane, kriptovalute (među kojima je trenutno najaktuelniji bitkojn) su sve popularnije. Sa druge strane, finansijske institucije su pod sve većim pritiskom da dostavljaju potrebne informacije o svojim klijentima poreskim organima i sarađuju sa njima kako bi se sprečila poreska evazija. Iako je reč o potpuno nezavisnim procesima, činjenica je da oni u sve većoj meri konvergiraju (Marian 2013, p.38). U tom smislu, korišćenje kriptovaluta je po svojim efektima dosta slično poslovanju u ofšor zonama, budući da profit ostvaren u, primera radi, bitkojn valuti nije predmet oporezivanja, a takođe korisnici ovih valuta imaju obezbeđenu anonimnost. Praktično, sa nastankom kriptovaluta poreski obveznici su dobili novo oružje za poresku evaziju. Štaviše, ne postoji ni institucija od koje bi poreski organi mogli da zahtevaju dostavljanje informacija o vlasnicima računa u toj valuti. U sistemima plaćanja zasnovanim na kriptovalutama ne postoje ni centralne banke kao emitenti, ni klasične finansijske institucije koje bi mogle biti predmet različitih pritisaka poreskih organa. Drugim rečima, korišćenje kriptovaluta za sada, uslovno rečeno, poreske vlasti ne mogu uspešno da kontrolišu, odnosno da detektuju korišćenje ovih valuta na sistematičan način, osim eventualno u pojedinačnim slučajevima. Prema nekim shvatanjima, postoji opasnost da će se u budućnosti poreska evazija sve više odvijati putem korišćenja kriptovaluta, a na štetu sadašnjih ofšor zona, odnosno mogu im predstavljati direktnu konkurenciju. Međutim, sa druge strane treba imati u vidu relativno malu vrednost virtuelne ekonomije u okviru koje se koriste te vrituelne valute, tako da je za sada prisutno i relativno malo interesovanje nadležnih poreskih organa za većom kontrolom ovih tokova. Takođe, trenutni ekonomski potencijal kriptovaluta im ne omogućuje da postanu značajnija konkurencija ofšor zonama.
Pored poreske evazije, anonimnost koja je imanentna bitkojn valuti pruža i niz mogućnosti za prikrivanje različitih kriminalnih aktivnosti. Pod tim pre svega imamo u vidu trgovinu drogom, pranje novca, i niz drugih kriminalnih aktivnosti.
Stoga, kao potencijalna rešenja za rizike koje primena ove valute sa sobom nosi mogu se izdvojiti sledeći predlozi (www-cs-faculty. stanford.edu n.d.[2]):
• Forsirano licenciranje - Budući da u slučaju bitkojna ne postoji centralni entitet niti klasične finansijske institucije koje bi mogle biti primorane da izvrše registraciju kao posrednici u plaćanju (engl. „money transmitters“), postoje predlozi da bi se registracija trebala odnositi samo na vlasnike „mining“ računara. Međutim, to bi predstavljalo isuviše komplikovanu proceduru, a takođe bi postojao problem vezan za regulaciju ukoliko bi se „rudarenje“ vršilo iz drugih zemalja u kojima ne postoji ovakav oblik regulacije.
• Zahtevi za poreskim izveštajima - Postoji ideja da bi svi korisnici bitkojna trebalo da automatski budu u obavezi da poreskim organima dostavljaju sve izveštaje o transakcijama u ovoj valuti. Međutim, primenom ovakve mere poreski organi bi se suočili sa preprekama kao što su: mogućnost obavljanja transakcija iz inostranstva, teška izvodljivost s obzirom na neophodnost saglasnosti korisnika, nestabilna vrednost bitkojn valute i niz drugih.
• Prinudno gašenje - Kao jedan od načina za gašenje ove i sličnih valuta može se navesti i formalna zabrana korišćenja ovakvih valuta kao sredstava plaćanja i donošenje niza restriktivnih zakonskih odredbi kojima bi se suzbijalo ili kontrolisalo korišćenje ovih valuta. Takođe, postoje ideje da bi virtuelne valute, s obzirom na relativno mali ekonomski značaj, mogle da budu u potpunosti otkupljene od strane centralne banke ili da centralna banka angažuje resurse koje bi koristila za „rudarenje“ tih valuta, čime bi one bile eliminisane iz dalje upotrebe (Marian 2013, p.47). Međutim, to bi uvek iziskivalo manje ili veće troškove. Takođe, tu bi se možda pojavila i mogućnost različitih zloupotreba.
Međutim, i pored izdvojenih teorijskih shvatanja o nužnosti i načinu regulacije transakcija u bitkojn valuti, zanemarljivo mali broj zemalja je učinio nešto konkretno po tom pitanju. Primera radi, u slučaju SAD-a ne postoji nijedna zakonska odredba kojom se izričito zaključuje zabrana korišćenja ove valute i definiše njeno korišćenje ilegalnom aktivnošću (www-cs-faculty.stanford.edu n.d.[1]). Sa druge strane, postoje i određeni pokušaji da se različitim preporukama, direktivama i podzakonskim aktima daju smernice za regulaciju alternativnih valuta, uključujući i decentralizovane virtuelne valute kao što je bitkojn. Jedan od njih je i „Primena FinCEN- ove regulacije na osobe koje administriraju, razmenjuju i koriste virtuelne valute” (engl. „Application of FinCEN’s Regulations to Persons Administering, Exchanging, or Using Virtual Currencies”). U pitanju je preporuka kojom je “Financial Crimes Enforcement Network” kao departman Trezora SAD-a pokušao da da sugeriše način implementacije „Bank Secrecy Act“ regulative na virtuelne valute. Prema ovoj preporuci, ekonomski subjekt koji kreira virtuelnu valutu i koristi je za kupovinu realnih dobara i usluga se smatra korisnikom te valute i njegove aktivnosti nisu predmet regulacije. Sa druge strane, subjekt koji kreira virtuelnu valutu i prodaje je za zvanično sredstvo plaćanja se smatra posrednikom u plaćanju i njihove aktivnosti su predmet regulacije (Fincen.gov 2013, p.5). Međutim, osim ovog pojmovnog razgraničenja ovom preporukom nije dat odgovor na niz dodatnih pitanja vezanih za regulaciju ovih transakcija.
U Nemačkoj je ove godine bitkojn dobio status „privatnog novca“ (engl. „private money“), čime je načinjen značajan korak napred ka širem zakonskom obuhvatu i masovnijem korišćenju ove valute. Korišćenje bitkojna i njegova emisija nisu zabranjeni, međutim, profit po osnovu korišćenja bitkojna podleže poreskim zakonima. Naime, prihodi ostvareni po osnovu prodaje proizvoda i pružanja usluga ostvareni u bitkojn valuti se oporezuju porezom na dodatu vrednost, dok se sav ostali profit po osnovu emisije ili korišćenja bitkojna oporezuje porezom na dohodak, odnosno dobit (Dw.de 2013). Međutim, nije naglašeno na koji bi način bilo rešeno pitanje poreske evazije.
Iako po pitanju regulacije bitkojna nije mnogo učinjeno ni u Francuskoj, značajno je zapaziti činjenicu da su regulatorni organi Bitcoin-Central-i, jednoj od bitkojn berzi, dali dozvolu za obavljanje određenih bankarskih poslova, pre svega onih vezanih za usluge platnog prometa. Time će njenim klijentima biti omogućeno da deponuju sredstva u evrima ili bitkojnima i da ih jednostavno konvertuju (Tagteam.harvard.edu n.d.). Takođe, ova sredstva su deponovana na računu druge finansijske institucije, i u skladu sa tim su osigurana do iznosa od 100.000 EUR od strane francuskog “Fonda za garanciju depozita” (franc. „Fonds de garantie des dépôts “) (En. bitcoin.it n.d.).
Međutim, i pored ovih pojedinačnih izuzetaka, u opštem slučaju područje alternativnih valuta, a pre svega decentralizovanih kriptovaluta kao što je bitkojn do sada nije adekvatno, nedvosmisleno i u potpunosti regulisano ni u jednoj od relevantnih jurisdikcija.
Zaključak
Bitkojn predstavlja specifičnu valutu koja se po svojim karakteristikama razlikuje od svih svojih prethodnika. Otkad se pojavila pokrenula je niz kontroverzi vezanih za pozitivne i negativne efekte njene primene. Emisija ove valute je kompjuterski programirana i ograničena, zasnovana na „peer-to-peer“ tehnologiji i tehnologiji enkripcije podataka čime se faktički eliminiše mogućnost dvostrukog plaćanja, falsifikovanja i sličnih zloupotreba. To je ujedno i jedan od glavnih razloga zbog čega se ova valuta smatra sigurnom iako ne postoji centralna emisiona institucija. Transakcioni troškovi su veoma niski, gotovo su zanemarljivi, ali same transakcije nisu reverzibilne, što se može oceniti značajnim nedostatkom ove valute.
Međutim, s obzirom na činjenicu da je makroekonomski značaj bitkojna zanemarljivo mali, čak i manji šokovi mogu negativno uticati na njegovu stabilnost i izazvati drastične fluktuacije deviznog kursa. Pritom ne postoji centralna institucija koja bi mogla svojim merama pozitivno da utiče na njegovu stabilizaciju, a što može predstavljati značajnu prepreku za masovnije korišćenje ove valute. Budući da ova valuta svojim korisnicima praktično pruža potpunu anonimnost i netransparentnost njihovih aktivnosti, postoje kritike da se na taj način kreira pogodan ambijent za pranje novca, kreiranje crnih tržišta nelegalne robe, poresku evaziju i niz drugih kriminalnih radnji. Takođe, postojali su slučajevi različitih zloupotreba poput Ponzijevih šema i kompjuterskih Trojanaca koji su korišćeni za krađu elektronskih novčanika korisnika bitkojn valuta.
Stoga se vodi sve češća diskusija o potrebi regulisanja ovakvih kriptovaluta. Iako je određen broj zemalja počeo da reguliše bitkojn transakcije, i dalje je relativno malo učinjeno po tom pitanju budući da ovakvo pitanje zahteva veliku opreznost. Naime, bilo koji oblik kontrole i regulacije ovakvih valuta bi za posledicu mogao imati preusmeravanje korisnika tih valuta na korišćenje drugih kriptovaluta koje još uvek nisu predmet regulative ili transfer bitkojn transakcija u one jurisdikcije u kojima one nisu regulisane. U tom smislu, jedan od najvećih izazova za centralne banke i nacionalne regulatorne organe u budućem periodu će se vrlo verovatno odnositi na praćenje efekata korišćenja ovakvih valuta i njihovu regulaciju, odnosno preduzimanje adekvatnih mera u slučaju različitih zloupotreba ili izazivanja nestabilnosti. Kakva će biti budućnost bitkojna i sličnih kriptovaluta zavisiće kako od regulacije ovakvih valuta, tako i od njihove sigurnosti i stabilnosti.
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Barber Simon, Boyen Xavier, Shi Elaine, Uzun Ersin, “Bitter to Better - How to Make Bitcoin a Better Currency”, Financial Cryptography, Volume 7397 of Lecture Notes in Computer Science, page 399-414. Springer (2012), crypto.stanford.edu/~xb/fc12/bitcoin.pdf, Vreme pristupa: 02.08.2013.
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Bitcoin.org/en/about, “About Bitcoin”, n.d., bitcoin.org/en/about, Vreme pristupa: 01.08.2013.
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Bitcoin.stackexchange.com, “How Much Bitcoin Will I Mine Right Now With Hardware X?”, 2011, bitcoin.stackexchange.com/questions/118/how-much-bitcoin-will-i-mine-right-now-with-hardware-x, Vreme pristupa: 08.08.2013.
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Bitcoinbalkan.com, “Uvod u Bitcoin”, 2012, bitcoinbalkan.com/uvod-u-bitcoin, Vreme pristupa: 24.08.2013.
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Bitcoincharts.com, n.d., bitcoincharts.com, Vreme pristupa: 28.08.2013.
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Bitcoinmagazine.com, “The Bitcoin Crash:An Examination”, 2013, bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/the-bitcoin-crash-an-examination-1365911041, Vreme pristupa: 22.08.2013.
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Bitcoinx.com, n.d., bitcoinx.com/charts/, Vreme pristupa: 29.08.2013.
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Christin Nicolas, Moore Tyler, “Beware the Middleman: Empirical Analysis of Bitcoin Exchange Risk”, Financial Cryptography, Volume 7859 of Lecture Notes in Computer Science, pages 25-33. Springer (2013), andrew.cmu.edu/user/nicolasc/publications/MC-FC13.pdf, Vreme pristupa: 07.08.2013.
- Dw.de, “Germany lends real value to bitcoin virtual money”, 2013, dw.com/en/germany-lends-real-value-to-bitcoin-virtual-money/a-17038675, Vreme pristupa: 25.08.2013.
- Đurović-Todorović Jadranka, „Monetarna ekonomija“, Ekonomski fakultet u Nišu, Niš, 2010.
- ECB, “Virtual Currency Schemes”, 2012, ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/virtualcurrencyschemes201210en.pdf, Vreme pristupa: 01.08.2013.
- Econlib.org, “An Interview with Milton Friedman”, 2006, econlib.org/library/Columns/y2006/Friedmantranscript.html Vreme pristupa: 21.08.2013.
- Economist.com, “Monetarists Anonymous”, 2012, economist.com/node/21563752, Vreme pristupa: 24.08.2013.
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- Forbes.com, “First Bitcoin Hedge Fund Launches From Malta”, 2013, Vreme pristupa: 27.08.2013. forbes.com/sites/jonmatonis/2013/03/08/first-bitcoinhedge-fund-launches-from-malta/, Vreme pristupa: 28.08.2013.
- Kaplanov Nikolei M., “Nerdy Money: Bitcoin, The Private Digital Currency, And The Case Against Its Regulation”, Temple University Legal Studies Research Paper, 2012, luc.edu/media/lucedu/law/ students/publications/clr/pdfs/kaplanov. pdf, Vreme pristupa: 05.08.2013.
- Manchin.senate.gov, “Manchin Urges Federal Law Enforcement to Shut Down Online Black Market for Illegal Drugs”, 2011, manchin.senate.gov/public/ index.cfm/press-releases?ID=284ae54a-acf1- 4258-be1c-7acee1f7e8b3, Vreme pristupa: 25.08.2013.
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@ 75869cfa:76819987
2025-06-10 14:31:22GM, Nostriches!
The Nostr Review is a biweekly newsletter focused on protocol updates, exciting programs, the long-form content ecosystem, and key events happening in the Nostr-verse. If you’re interested, join me in covering updates from the Nostr ecosystem!
Quick review:
In the past two weeks, Nostr activity has grown rapidly. Daily trusted pubkey events reached around 500,000. Pubkey writing events and bios-enabled profiles increased 5x and 9x respectively. Over 11 million events were published, up 123%, while Zap activity rose 58% to 19 million.
Additionally, 12 pull requests were submitted to the Nostr protocol, with 3 merged. A total of 65 Nostr projects were tracked, with 13 releasing product updates, and over 240 long-form articles were published, 38% focusing on Bitcoin and Nostr. During this period, 4 notable events took place, and 2 significant events are upcoming.
Nostr Statistics
Based on user activity, the total daily events from trusted pubkeys reached approximately 494,736 — a significant 93% increase compared to the previous period. Daily activity peaked at 20,850 events.
The number of new users has increased significantly. Pubkey writing events reached 505,587, and profiles with bios totaled 409,922 — 5 times and 9 times higher than the previous period, respectively.
A total of approximately 11 million note events were published, marking a 123% increase. Posts remain the dominant content type, with volume up by 110% from the previous period. Both reposts and reactions also saw significant growth, increasing by 102% and 108% respectively.
For zap activity, the total zap amount is about 19 million, showing an increase of over 58% compared to the previous period.
Data source: https://stats.nostr.band/
NIPs
NIP-101h: Health and Fitness Metrics #1937
nostr:npub1xr8tvnnnr9aqt9vv30vj4vreeq2mk38mlwe7khvhvmzjqlcghh6sr85uum is proposing PR that provides a structured approach for publishing, consuming, and managing health and fitness data on Nostr. It reserves specific event kinds for health metrics and defines common patterns for encryption, tagging, and data export.
nostr:npub1mgvwnpsqgrem7jfcwm7pdvdfz2h95mm04r23t8pau2uzxwsdnpgs0gpdjc is proposing a DVM spec. The major changes are: moving from kinds 5000-7000 to ephemeral kinds 20000-29999;moving from NIP-89 to a new announcement scheme that includes support for providers who run multiple DVMs;the response kind can be set by a DVM to be anything, although we give a strong recommendation that this should be an ephemeral event equal to 1 + request kind (instead of the previous 1000+request kind);we added guidance sections for DVM developers, Client developers, and Relay operators;we added an introduction that compares DVMs to APIs, and providers broader context about DVMs in general;concrete examples of all types of events;added a FAQ.
Add encryption support to NIPs 92 and 94 #1947 staab is proposing to add file encryption support to standard imeta tags and kind-1063 events. Use cases he envisions include: attaching encrypted files to NIP-17 DMs (instead of sending a separate file event), and attaching encrypted files to events sent to access-controlled communities (e.g., closed NIP-29 groups).
Add LLM stuff nip: Define prompt diffs for LLM modifications #1950
nostr:npub1l2vyh47mk2p0qlsku7hg0vn29faehy9hy34ygaclpn66ukqp3afqutajft is proposing a new NIP that defines a schema for prompt diffs, the idea is that people will be able to continuously customize software by applying a set of patches.
Notable Projects
Primal V2.2.57 nostr:npub12vkcxr0luzwp8e673v29eqjhrr7p9vqq8asav85swaepclllj09sylpugg
They released an update to the Primal iOS app. Build 2.2.57 includes the following fixes: * Fix: crash when uploading large files * Fix: article nostr user and note mentions * Fix: zapping from the bottom of the article * Fix: 3rd level embedded notes in the feed * Fix: thread view flicker
0xchat nostr:npub1tm99pgz2lth724jeld6gzz6zv48zy6xp4n9xu5uqrwvx9km54qaqkkxn72
- Support for creating MLS private groups (Beta), including adding/removing members and leaving groups
- Fixed an issue where setting NIP-29 group types to "closed" or "private" failed
- Fixed an issue where ecash could not be signed and claimed when logged in via Amber
- Fixed a bug where relay addresses were not properly filtered, causing duplicates
- Fixed a rare issue where user key packages could not be retrieved
YakiHonne nostr:npub1yzvxlwp7wawed5vgefwfmugvumtp8c8t0etk3g8sky4n0ndvyxesnxrf8q
YakiHonne Major Upgrade Alert! Improve your Nostr experience with our latest update: * Advanced Content Control: Multi-source feeds from Nostr networks, global feeds, DVMs, and custom algorithmic relays with advanced filtering by time, keywords, and favorite users. * Fast Account Switching: Seamlessly switch between connected accounts for posting notes, comments, and articles without ending your session. * Smarter Timeline: Grouped reposts keep your feed focused while smart widget organization makes browsing more intuitive. * Unified Experience: Same features on web & mobile, plus experimental push notifications for mobile users.
Zap.stream v1.1.3 nostr:npub1eaz6dwsnvwkha5sn5puwwyxjgy26uusundrm684lg3vw4ma5c2jsqarcgz
- Portrait video view styles
- Add gradient to background of vertical video chat for better readability
- Fixed going back from "Go Live" page blocks gestures
- Fixed short url handler for deep links
- Fixed zap comments missing in some cases
- Fixed format variant display in stream config
- Fixed stop stream when app closed
Nostur v1.21 nostr:npub1n0stur7q092gyverzc2wfc00e8egkrdnnqq3alhv7p072u89m5es5mk6h0
New in this version: * Live chat: open contact info when tapping name/pfp * Auto minimize or hide live stream / nest when navigating somewhere * Added blocked spam stats * Fixed uploading blossom and nip96 media with remote signer / bunker accounts * Fixed tap to go to detail goes to hashtag search * Removed imgur upload option
Alby nostr:npub1getal6ykt05fsz5nqu4uld09nfj3y3qxmv8crys4aeut53unfvlqr80nfm
The easiest-to-use lightning wallet just got even better. * Smarter payments with information about recipient, payer and zaps * Flexible wallet switching when connecting Alby Hub to other apps * Performance improvements and fixes in Send screen
RUNSTR v0.4.5 nostr:npub1vygzr642y6f8gxcjx6auaf2vd25lyzarpjkwx9kr4y752zy6058s8jvy4e
- Smarter Activity Tracking:Step counting for walking, speed metrics for cycling, and activity-specific data sharing.
- Full NIP101h Support:Now tracks steps, elevation, pace, and split times with full NIP101h integration.
- Flexible Data Sharing:Send data to public or private relays, with enhanced privacy controls.
- Upgraded Rewards System:Earn sats for saving NIP101h/NIP101e events, with extra bonuses for using private relays and anonymous zaps.
- Improved Stability:Bug fixes and more reliable offline performance.
futr nostr nostr:npub18wxf0t5jsmcpy57ylzx595twskx8eyj382lj7wp9rtlhzdg5hnnqvt4xra
- Rich Media Support :Images and videos now display directly in posts. Full video player with controls and fullscreen mode. Download any image/video with one click. Dedicated image viewer.
- Enhanced Social Features: Nested comment threads with visual hierarchy. Quote reposts with your commentary. Referenced posts show inline. Message anyone without following first.
- Better User Experience: Smooth scrolling everywhere. Collapsible sidebar for more space. Smart auto-scroll to new content. Improved chat interface.
- Profile Integration: npub addresses show as names and pictures. Clickable profile links. User avatars displayed consistently. Smart profile rendering.
- Cross-Platform: Full Windows 10 support with native installer. Better performance and reduced memory usage. Improved connection reliability. Visual network status indicators.
- Under the Hood: Faster loading and optimized performance. Better error handling and recovery. Publish status tracking Smarter relay management.
ZEUS v0.11.0-beta3 nostr:npub1xnf02f60r9v0e5kty33a404dm79zr7z2eepyrk5gsq3m7pwvsz2sazlpr5
ZEUS v0.11.0-alpha4 with Cashu support is now available for testing. * Experimental Cashu ecash wallet * Swaps: LN -> on-chain, and vice versa * ZEUS Pay: Cashu and NWC lightning addresses (for remote nodes) * Import and export wallet configs * UTXO labeling * Activity: filter for keysends * CLN: support for generating Taproot addresses * CLN: view closed channels * fix: issue with setting channel fee rates * fix: edge case for triggering swaps refund when invoice cannot be paid
KYCNOT.me nostr:npub188x98j0r7l2fszeph6j7hj99h8xl07n989pskk5zd69d2fcksetq5mgcqf
- UI/UX - designe a new logo and color palette for kycnot.me.
- Point system - The new point system provides more detailed information about the listings, and can be expanded to cover additional features across all services.
- ToS Scrapper: implement a powerful automated terms-of-service scrapper that collects all the ToS pages from the listings. It saves you from the hassle of reading the ToS by listing the lines that are suspiciously related to KYC/AML practices.
- Search bar - The new search bar allows you to easily filter services. It performs a full-text search on the Title, Description, Category, and Tags of all the services. Looking for VPN services? Just search for "vpn"!
- Transparency - To be more transparent, all discussions about services now take place publicly on GitLab. This ensures that all service-related matters are publicly accessible and recorded. Additionally, there's a real-time audits page that displays database changes.
- Listing Requests - upgrade the request system. The new form allows you to directly request services or points without any extra steps.
- Lightweight and fast - The new site is lighter and faster than its predecessor!
- Tor and I2P - At last! kycnot.me is now officially on Tor and I2P!
Sparrow nostr:npub1hea99yd4xt5tjx8jmjvpfz2g5v7nurdqw7ydwst0ww6vw520prnq6fg9v2
Sparrow v2.2.1 released with: * Updated Tor library to fix missing UUID issue when starting Tor on recent macOS versions. * Repackaged .deb installs to use older gzip instead of zstd compression. * Removed display of median fee rate where fee rates source is set to Server. * Added icons for external sources in Settings and Recent Blocks view * Bug fix: Fixed issue in Recent Blocks view when switching fee rates source * Bug fix: Fixed NPE on null fee returned from server
shosho nostr:npub1sh0spghk4yvy2d2v35kelw45qq4msk6zykaw4ds047e9slzs8r4qr7q2xa
Version 0.2.3 is released to GitHub and Obtainium. * Stay awake on broadcast screen * Privacy Policy in releases repo * Improved broadcast UI, colour scheme and onsistent fonts across devices
zapwall nostr:npub1r0rs5q2gk0e3dk3nlc7gnu378ec6cnlenqp8a3cjhyzu6f8k5sgs4sq9ac
- Added client-side content encryption (download URLs are now harder to decrypt); no server-side encryption as this is a serverless, Nostr-based system
- Custom relay support: publish to specific or all relays
- Added relay subscriptions to fetch events from other relays
- Implemented dark mode
- Added NSFW toggle – content lives at /nsfw, not linked from home
- Each zapwall now has a direct linkable view
- Added kind1 comments to zapwalls
- UI/UX improvements across the board
- Support for multi-image posts
- Added "Open in Wallet" support
- Enabled editing and deletion for zapwalls
- Secured domain: zapwall.store (not active yet)
Long-Form Content Eco
In the past two weeks, more than 242 long-form articles have been published, including over 65 articles on Bitcoin and more than 27 related to Nostr, accounting for 38% of the total content.
These articles about Nostr mainly explore its unique position as a decentralized, censorship-resistant protocol compared to traditional platforms. They highlight key features like zaps, interoperability (e.g., NIP-101h for health data), and the cultural values of neutrality and permission lessness. Several pieces dive into the practical development of Nostr apps, client tools, and emerging standards like NIP-01 and NIP-02. Others reflect on the social, educational, and even unexpected cultural implications of building on Nostr.
The Bitcoin articles discuss a wide range of topics including the fundamentals of Bitcoin as sound money, its role in resisting centralized control, and its evolving place in the global financial system. Many reflect on Bitcoin’s early-stage adoption, security considerations (like quantum threats and custody practices), and cultural developments around major events such as Bitcoin 2025. Others explore its economic impact—from challenging the Cantillon Effect to enabling sovereign individualism—and compare Bitcoin to other digital assets and CBDCs. Technical guides, market trends, and political reflections highlight both the promise and challenges ahead for Bitcoin adoption.
Thank you,
nostr:npub1gwa27rpgum8mr9d30msg8cv7kwj2lhav2nvmdwh3wqnsa5vnudxqlta2sz, nostr:npub1vygzr642y6f8gxcjx6auaf2vd25lyzarpjkwx9kr4y752zy6058s8jvy4e, nostr:npub1m7szwpud3jh2k3cqe73v0fd769uzsj6rzmddh4dw67y92sw22r3sk5m3ys, nostr:npub1k8wmf46sh5dedq4pfk53z4ulnv4x5e77f4t2gmxp4dmg73cjgnnsxhuced, nostr:npub13wke9s6njrmugzpg6mqtvy2d49g4d6t390ng76dhxxgs9jn3f2jsmq82pk, nostr:npub1jlrs53pkdfjnts29kveljul2sm0actt6n8dxrrzqcersttvcuv3qdjynqn, nostr:npub1hz5alqscpp8yjrvgsdp2n4ygkl8slvstrgvmjca7e45w6644ew7sewtysa, nostr:npub1manlnflyzyjhgh970t8mmngrdytcp3jrmaa66u846ggg7t20cgqqvyn9tn, nostr:npub1xtscya34g58tk0z605fvr788k263gsu6cy9x0mhnm87echrgufzsevkk5s, nostr:npub1etsrcjz24fqewg4zmjze7t5q8c6rcwde5zdtdt4v3t3dz2navecscjjz94, nostr:npub1atrrqav7xyur93xszyaeuyyzy70mpmax488grndfaz3kddyc3dyquawyga, nostr:npub10akm29ejpdns52ca082skmc3hr75wmv3ajv4987c9lgyrfynrmdqduqwlx, nostr:npub1syk07kh6tkwrksyzhqk8qdjul5kj08p842gjxyacljlavhzq4m4slmdu3p, nostr:npub1jrr9dlerex7tg8njvc88c60asxnf5dp8hgcerh0q8w3gdyurl48q6s5nwv, nostr:npub1t6jxfqz9hv0lygn9thwndekuahwyxkgvycyscjrtauuw73gd5k7sqvksrw, nostr:npub1qe3e5wrvnsgpggtkytxteaqfprz0rgxr8c3l34kk3a9t7e2l3acslezefe, nostr:npub1guh5grefa7vkay4ps6udxg8lrqxg2kgr3qh9n4gduxut64nfxq0q9y6hjy, and others, for your work. Enriching Nostr’s long-form content ecosystem is crucial.Nostriches Global Meet Ups
Recently, several Nostr events have been hosted in different countries. * Recently, YakiHonne collaborated with the Bitcoin Unical community to successfully host a Nostr Workshop, attracting about 30 enthusiastic participants. The events not only provided a comprehensive introduction to the Nostr ecosystem and Bitcoin payments but also offered hands-on experiences with decentralized technologies through the YakiHonne platform.
YakiHonne Global Pizza Fest – Ho Chi Minh City Edition was held on May 30, 2025, from 11:30 AM to 1:00 PM at Pizza 4P’s in Thủ Thiêm, Vietnam.Co-hosted by BUIDL Station VN and Dora Factory, the event was part of the global Bitcoin Pizza Day celebration initiated by YakiHonne. Attendees enjoyed pizza, Bitcoin discussions, and community connection, celebrating the decentralized spirit with local builders and enthusiasts. * The Bitcoin 2025 Conference* took place from May 26–29 at the Venetian Expo in Las Vegas, where the Nostr community hosted a series of vibrant events centered around the Nostr Lounge. Supported by the Human Rights Foundation, the Lounge became a hub for demos, lightning talks, onboarding, and meaningful conversations—away from the main hall’s noise. Nostr also delivered two main stage talks,nostr:npub1s9etjgzjglwlaxdhsveq0qksxyh6xpdpn8ajh69ruetrug957r3qpklxzl, nostr:npub1g53mukxnjkcmr94fhryzkqutdz2ukq4ks0gvy5af25rgmwsl4ngq43drvk, nostr:npub1a2cww4kn9wqte4ry70vyfwqyqvpswksna27rtxd8vty6c74era8sdcw83a, nostr:npub18ams6ewn5aj2n3wt2qawzglx9mr4nzksxhvrdc4gzrecw7n5tvjqctp424, nostr:npub1zga04e73s7ard4kaektaha9vckdwll3y8auztyhl3uj764ua7vrqc7ppvc, nostr:npub1spdnfacgsd7lk0nlqkq443tkq4jx9z6c6ksvaquuewmw7d3qltpslcq6j7, nostr:npub1yaul8k059377u9lsu67de7y637w4jtgeuwcmh5n7788l6xnlnrgs3tvjmf, nostr:npub1a6c3jcdj23ptzcuflek8a04f4hc2cdkat95pd6n3r8jjrwyzrw0q43lfrr, focusing on multisig key management and the future of decentralized social media, showcasing open-source momentum in the heart of fiat land. * Africa Bitcoin Day – Kenya was held on May 31st, 2025 (Saturday), from 2:00 PM to 6:00 PM at Nairobi Street Kitchen.Co-hosted by AfroBitcoinOrg and local communities, the event returned following the great success of last year. It brought together developers, tech entrepreneurs, policymakers, and grassroots organizers to build, connect, and learn around Bitcoin and open technologies.
Here is the upcoming Nostr event that you might want to check out.
- BTC Prague 2025 is the largest and most influential Bitcoin-only conference in Europe. It will take place from June 19 to 21, 2025, at PVA Expo Praha in Prague, Czech Republic. The event is expected to attract over 10,000 attendees from around the world, including entrepreneurs, developers, investors, and educators. The conference will feature more than 200 speakers from various sectors of the global Bitcoin ecosystem,
nostr:npub14gm6rq7rkw56cd08aa4k5tvjnepqnxm4xvc535wj0wyjxlgrfa8sqdgv87 nostr:npub1dg6es53r3hys9tk3n7aldgz4lx4ly8qu4zg468zwyl6smuhjjrvsnhsguz nostr:npub1ymgefd46k55yfwph8tdlxur573puastaqdmxff4vj20xj0uh3p2s06k8d5 nostr:npub1jt97tpsul3fp8hvf7zn0vzzysmu9umcrel4hpgflg4vnsytyxwuqt8la9y nostr:npub1dtgg8yk3h23ldlm6jsy79tz723p4sun9mz62tqwxqe7c363szkzqm8up6m nostr:npub1g53mukxnjkcmr94fhryzkqutdz2ukq4ks0gvy5af25rgmwsl4ngq43drvk nostr:npub16c0nh3dnadzqpm76uctf5hqhe2lny344zsmpm6feee9p5rdxaa9q586nvr and more. In addition to the main program, several side events will be held, such as Developer Hack Days, Cypherpunk gatherings, and Women in Bitcoin initiatives. * BitDevs: Nostr Wallet Connect Presentation will take place on Wednesday, June 18, 2025, at the Pittsburgh Technology Council, with an option for online participation. Organized by BitDevs Pittsburgh, the event features nostr:npub1ce7d8cdg8k49dnl3da34mvhah8kevxfsq2vdguq6trngapqfsdzsnv3d7m from Presidio Bitcoin, who will present his latest work on integrating Nostr Wallet Connect.
Thanks for reading! If there’s anything I missed, feel free to reach out and help improve the completeness and accuracy of my coverage.
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@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7
2025-06-07 16:00:59It’s 3 AM, and you’re staring at your phone screen, watching bitcoin’s price fluctuate by thousands of dollars in real-time. Your heart races as you see green candles shooting upward, and suddenly you’re questioning every financial decision you’ve ever made. Should you buy? Should you sell? Are you already too late to the party?
Welcome to the wild psychological rollercoaster that is bitcoin investing, where emotions often override logic, and where the ancient human drives of fear and greed play out on digital exchanges 24/7.
Community Driven by Emotion
Recent research reveals just how deeply psychology permeates the bitcoin ecosystem. According to a comprehensive 2024 survey by Kraken, 84% of digital currency holders have made investment decisions based on FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), while 81% admitted to making choices driven by FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt). Perhaps most telling of all: 63% of holders acknowledged that emotional decisions have significantly damaged their portfolios.
With over 560 million digital currency users worldwide as of 2024, and bitcoin maintaining its position as the flagship digital asset, these psychological patterns affect hundreds of millions of investors globally. In the United States alone, approximately 36 million adults own bitcoin, making this psychological phenomenon a mainstream financial reality.
The FOMO Factor: When Missing Out Becomes an Obsession
FOMO in bitcoin isn’t just about missing a quick profit—it’s about missing what many believers see as a once-in-a-generation wealth transfer. The Kraken study found that 60% of bitcoin holders fear missing a significant price surge more than they fear missing a buying opportunity during dips. This reveals a fascinating bias: investors are more concerned with unrealized gains from assets they already own than with strategic accumulation during downturns.
This psychological quirk explains why bitcoin often experiences explosive rallies followed by sharp corrections. When FOMO kicks in, rational decision-making goes out the window. Investors chase green candles, buying at peaks instead of strategically accumulating during valleys. The irony? This behavior often ensures they miss the very opportunities they’re trying to catch.
Consider bitcoin’s journey past $100,000 in late 2024. As the price breached this psychological barrier, social media exploded with FOMO-driven content, creating a feedback loop where seeing others’ gains intensified the fear of being left behind. Yet historically, many of these late-stage buyers found themselves underwater when inevitable corrections followed.
The Fear and Greed Index
Bitcoin’s psychological state is so influential that it has its own emotional barometer: the Crypto Fear and Greed Index. This fascinating tool measures market sentiment on a scale from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed), incorporating factors like volatility, trading volume, social media sentiment, market dominance, and Google search trends.
The index reveals a counterintuitive truth: the best buying opportunities often occur during periods of “Extreme Fear,” while “Extreme Greed” frequently signals market tops. Yet human psychology drives us to do the opposite—buying when everyone’s greedy and selling when fear dominates.
This emotional inversion creates what researchers call “behavioral arbitrage”—opportunities for those who can master their psychology to profit from others’ emotional mistakes. The index serves as a mirror, reflecting our collective psychological state and often predicting market movements with surprising accuracy.
The HODL Culture
Perhaps nowhere is bitcoin’s unique psychology more evident than in its “HODL” culture. What began as a misspelled “hold” has evolved into a sophisticated psychological framework that shapes market dynamics in ways traditional finance has never seen.
Research into Bitcoin’s HODL phenomenon reveals that volatility actually strengthens conviction rather than weakening it. Unlike traditional investors who might panic-sell during 30-50% corrections, bitcoin holders often view these drops as validation of their long-term thesis rather than reasons to exit.
This creates a unique market structure where the supply of available bitcoin for trading continuously shrinks. Long-term holders remove coins from circulation, creating artificial scarcity that amplifies price movements in both directions. It’s not just code that makes bitcoin scarce—it’s psychology.
The HODL mentality represents a form of collective resistance to short-term market dynamics. Holders refuse to participate in what they see as irrational price discovery, instead betting on long-term adoption and monetary debasement. This isn’t passive investing; it’s active rebellion against traditional financial thinking.
Social Media: The Amplifier of Emotions
The role of social media in bitcoin psychology cannot be overstated. The Kraken study found a strong correlation between social media usage and FOMO-driven decisions: 85% of investors who rely on social media for investment information reported that emotional decisions had negatively impacted their portfolios.
Platforms like Twitter (now X), Reddit, and Discord function as emotional echo chambers where bullish sentiment gets amplified during rallies and bearish fears spread like wildfire during corrections. Memes become market-moving forces, and influential personalities can trigger massive buying or selling waves with single tweets.
This creates a fascinating paradox: the democratization of financial information through social media empowers individual investors, but it also makes them more susceptible to emotional manipulation and herd mentality. The speed and scale of information flow intensify psychological responses, compressing emotional cycles that might have taken weeks in traditional markets into mere hours or minutes.
The Gender and Age Divide in Bitcoin Psychology
Fascinating demographic patterns emerge when examining bitcoin’s psychological landscape. The Kraken research revealed significant gender differences in emotional investing: 66% of male bitcoin holders frequently made FOMO-driven decisions, compared to only 42% of female holders. Similarly, 83% of men reported FUD-influenced decisions versus 75% of women.
Age also plays a crucial role. Investors aged 45-60 showed the most extreme psychological patterns: 78% felt they had missed bitcoin’s biggest gains, yet 75% remained optimistic about future opportunities. This suggests that FOMO and hope can coexist, creating a complex emotional state that drives continued participation despite feelings of regret.
These demographic differences highlight how personal psychology intersects with market dynamics. Understanding these patterns can help investors recognize their own biases and develop more rational strategies.
The Neuroscience of Bitcoin Volatility
Recent academic research reveals the neurological basis of bitcoin’s psychological appeal. Studies on digital currency trading psychology show that bitcoin’s extreme volatility triggers the same reward pathways associated with gambling, creating potentially addictive patterns of behavior.
The unpredictability of bitcoin’s price movements creates what psychologists call “intermittent reinforcement”—the most powerful form of behavioral conditioning. Like slot machines, bitcoin provides irregular rewards that keep investors engaged far longer than consistent returns would.
This neurological response explains why many bitcoin investors check prices obsessively. The survey found that 55% of digital asset holders check markets significantly more frequently than traditional markets, suggesting an almost compulsive relationship with price monitoring.
Breaking Free from Emotional Cycles
Understanding bitcoin’s psychology isn’t just academic—it’s practical. Successful bitcoin investors develop strategies to counteract their emotional biases:
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) has emerged as the most popular emotion-neutral strategy, with 59% of U.S. digital currency users employing this approach. By making regular purchases regardless of price, DCA removes the emotional burden of timing the market.
Automated trading tools and scheduled purchases help investors stick to predetermined strategies without succumbing to FOMO or FUD. These tools essentially outsource emotional decision-making to algorithms, reducing the psychological burden of active trading.
Education and community engagement in healthy bitcoin communities can provide emotional anchoring during volatile periods. Understanding bitcoin’s long-term value proposition helps investors maintain perspective during short-term chaos.
Bitcoin investing isn’t just about understanding technology, economics, or market analysis—it’s about understanding yourself. The statistics are clear: emotional decision-making significantly damages portfolio performance, yet the vast majority of investors continue making emotion-driven choices.
The key insight? Bitcoin’s psychology isn’t a bug—it’s a feature. The emotional volatility that terrifies traditional investors creates opportunities for th
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@ 8bad92c3:ca714aa5
2025-06-07 14:01:12Key Takeaways
Leon Wankum, a real estate expert turned Bitcoiner, presents a powerful argument that Bitcoin is emerging as the new “hurdle rate,” outpacing real estate as the preferred store of value in a shifting financial landscape. As the 18-year property cycle nears its end amid high interest rates and imbalanced markets, Bitcoin’s scarcity, performance, and optionality are prompting capital allocators to rethink traditional strategies. Institutions are beginning to reallocate cash flows and refinance properties into Bitcoin treasuries, while new yield-bearing Bitcoin instruments like Strike, Strife, and Stride offer compelling alternatives to bonds and property. Wankum envisions a gradual transition to a Bitcoin standard, facilitated by dual collateralization and designed to avoid economic disruption as Bitcoin steadily replaces legacy financial infrastructure.
Best Quotes
"Bitcoin is starting to become the new hurdle rate that all other financial products have to abide to."
“No asset—not even prime real estate—can compete with Bitcoin’s long-term performance and absolute scarcity.”
"You can refinance a property and allocate to Bitcoin without selling—this is how many are making the transition."
"Strategy (MicroStrategy) has enough Bitcoin to cover preferred stock dividends for over 200 years."
"20% of our property cash flow into Bitcoin outperformed the 80% left in fiat."
“Bitcoin is digital real estate—but better. Scarce, global, and doesn’t need maintenance or tax sheltering gimmicks.”
“If it’s just 1% of the real estate market, that’s $3 trillion. And that’s enough.”
"A smooth transition, not collapse, is the optimal path forward."
Conclusion
This episode explores how Bitcoin is overtaking real estate as the global store of value, with Leon Wankum offering a rational, experience-based framework for understanding this shift. While institutional inertia slows adoption, capital flows are beginning to reflect Bitcoin’s growing dominance, as new financial instruments and treasury strategies emerge. Leon advocates for a thoughtful, evolutionary transition to a Bitcoin standard—one that prioritizes stability, practical integration, and long-term value creation across the global economy.
Timestamps
0:00 - Intro
0:50 - Real Estate
12:36 - Bitcoin for real estate investors
17:44 - Bitkey
18:39 - MSTR products and opportunity cost
30:43 - Unchained
31:13 - Cash flow alternatives
37:40 - Strategy risks
44:41 - Smooth or chaotic transition
50:58 - Is this cycle different?
56:42 - Tradfi degeneracy
1:02:00 - Leon’s Book - Digital Real EstateTranscript
(00:00) Other than real estate, there were little investments that performed better. Few were aware of the existence of Bitcoin. As people become more aware, they will likely also sell off their properties. Bitcoin as a near-perfect form of money is starting to become the new hurdle rate that all other financial products have to abide to.
(00:19) Instead of buying a regular bond issued by a nation state, you can actually buy a fixed income product issued by Strategy. This is a product that could potentially tap into the real estate market. If it's just 1%, that's 3 trillion. And that's enough. They are starting to weigh the opportunity cost of not putting money into Bitcoin.
(00:36) But very few are able to comprehend the necessity of quickly investing large part of the capital into Bitcoin. Every 18 years will have a correction on housing. We're bringing in a housing expert to talk about the real estate market and Bitcoin corporate adoption. in the crazy frenzy that's going on right now in public markets.
(01:04) Leon, welcome back to the show. Thanks for having me back. It was great seeing you even though it was briefly in Vegas last week. I caught you literally as I was running to the airport off the stage. Yeah. And uh look, I'm pull that back up because I think this is a good jumping off point. We'll start with like a personal story.
(01:24) I'm currently in the middle of a move right now, but decided to rent a house because I was looking at the prices for housing in the places I'm looking to buy and they were they were too high. Not only were they too high, we put a bid in on one house and it wound up going a million dollars over asking.
(01:44) And I think over here in the United States, this is a big topic of discussion right now, which is the real estate market feels a little toppy. Prices are still very high, very sticky. Rates are still very high. Uh, and that's one thing I'm trying to discern as somebody who would like to buy a house in the next few years, a forever house for my family, what is going on.
(02:08) And as we can see here, Red Red Fin reported earlier this week that 34% there are 34% more sellers in the market than buyers. At no other point in records dating back to 2013 have sellers outnumbered buyers this much. There are a total of $698 billion worth of homes for sale in the US, up 20.
(02:29) 3% from a year ago in the highest dollar amount ever. So, it seems like there's a ton of people who have rode the real estate market and they're being a bit stingy on pricing and we're waiting for a correction. Is that your take on this? Yeah, we definitely need to wait for price equilibrium to build because since 2008 really since we had low interest rates um prices were skyrocketing and now with a different interest rate environment.
(02:57) Um what I personally also feel is that people are not willing to sell their houses for a price that they believe is not what they could get because they still have the prices in mind that they were able to receive 2 three years ago and the buyers are not willing to pay prices that people want because interest rates are higher meaning the cost of capital and the cost of borrowing went up.
(03:21) So I think this is a healthy um and a healthy um development. We need a price equilibrium. We need um demand and supply prices to match. It's going to take a long time. I think it's also it also depends on interest rates. If Powell is going to um lower interest rates, which I don't think he will, even though that's something that the president would like him to do, but I don't think he will because it would cause inflation to go up again, especially in in goods and services and groceries.
(03:51) And um judging by that, I think interest rates will stay above 3% at least for the foreseeable future. Meaning I believe that real estate prices will come down a little bit till we meet that equilibrium. But something that's important to to remember which makes it a little bit odd that because as a Bitcoiner when you look at housing, I think you constantly think now it's going to crash, now it's going to crash.
(04:15) But the reason it's not really going to crash is as soon as new money is being introduced into your economy or as soon as interest rates are lowered that money is being funneled into real estate and also the existing system that is depending on real estate as collateral has an interest in propping prices up.
(04:34) So this can go on for another 10 or 20 years I think. I mean there could be there's definitely a correction that we can see right now and I personally wouldn't get into uh real estate development at this point if you'll ask me from the perspective what's the better investment of course that is Bitcoin but I just want to make a point that this can go can go on for longer than we think because housing is limited not as limited as Bitcoin but there's something called the 18-year property cycle and it says that every 18 years, we'll
(05:08) have a correction in housing. And the reason for that is if the money supply is expanded and that money goes into land, it's not going out of land because land is limited. It's similar to Bitcoin. But what happens is that after around 14 15 years, prices start to come down and then they find a new price equilibrium which is higher than when the cycle started.
(05:33) And we are at the end of this 18-year property cycle. and I had suggest that prices will fall until 2026 and then in 2026 if interest rates are lowered I think prices can find price equilibrium and then possibly move up in nominal value of course if you start now accounting for real estate and bitcoin it's a whole different story I know talked from the lens of a fiat um based system yeah that note on pal and the fed is interesting that it It's very obvious Trump's wanted him to lower rates since before he even got elected.
(06:09) But I was reading an article yesterday that made a lot of sense to me, which is he's not going to lower rates for multiple reasons. One of which you mentioned, which is it would it would reignite inflation, which nobody wants to see right now. And then number two, profit margins are going up because the productivity uh increases due to AI.
(06:32) I mean, and we're still at the early stages of that, um, where you have many of the big big tech, the MAG 7 beginning to lay off people because they're creating all these efficiencies via AI. So, we're able to increase productivity and profit margins and so there's no reason to to lower rates from that perspective, which agreed.
(06:58) Yeah, absolutely true. Yeah, which is uh you know it'll be it's crazy the confluence of events that are happening right now whether it's real estate market looking a little toppy at least temporarily the interest rate environment the progression of AI and the adoption uh by many large companies and small companies alike and then you have Bitcoin sitting over here sitting over $2 trillion establishing itself as a $2 trillion asset and it still seems a bit fringe where um where we are certainly as Bitcoiners, individuals -
@ 2cde0e02:180a96b9
2025-06-10 14:06:52pen & ink
https://stacker.news/items/1002504
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@ 36f96bcb:2ff3888b
2025-06-10 13:15:46“No man is free who is not master of himself.” — Epictetus
We’re living in a world full of anxiety, noise, dependency, and fragility. And a lot of it, whether people realise it or not, is rooted in the fiat money system and the high-time-preference lifestyle it encourages.
It’s crazy. We’ve advanced so far in terms of technology and information, yet most people feel more trapped, more lost, and more reactive than ever before. Instead of a world of abundance and cooperation, we see isolation, selfishness, and division. Everyone's chasing something — status, dopamine, fake meaning — while feeling emptier by the day.
Enter Stoicism
Stoicism is a philosophy that’s been largely forgotten over the past couple of thousand years. But it holds the keys to internal sovereignty. My goal with Sovereign Stoic is to bring that way of thinking and living back into the conversation and help more people discover its power.
At the core of Stoicism is the idea of controlling your reactions, your desires, and your judgments. These aren’t just “nice-to-have” traits, they’re essential in a world as chaotic and manipulated as ours.
And they’re exactly what we’re missing today.
The world tells you to follow every impulse. To rage online. To compare yourself constantly. But the Stoics knew that the only thing you can truly control is your own mind.
So instead of pointing fingers or playing the victim, we need to start with ourselves. Discipline. Reflection. Restraint. Not just talking the talk, but actually walking it.
Enter Bitcoin
Bitcoin is the tool that gives us external sovereignty. It’s not just better money, it’s a whole new way of opting out of broken systems. It’s the first real chance we have to reclaim our time, our savings, and our independence from corrupt central banks and weaponised finance.
It’s wild how few people understand what Bitcoin enables. And that’s okay. It’s only been around for 16 years. The best things always take time.
But for those of us who do get it, Bitcoin is more than a store of value, it’s a statement. It’s responsibility. No bailouts. No middlemen. No excuses.
You hold your keys, or you don’t. You prepare, or you suffer. Simple as that.
As the world gets more censorious, more controlled, and more chaotic, Bitcoin becomes more necessary. Not just as money, but as a way of life.
The Overlap
Here’s where it all connects.
Both Stoicism and Bitcoin are about agency. They ask you to take full ownership of your life. In a world where everything is built for convenience, where you can tap a screen and have anything delivered, human agency is being eroded. We’ve become soft.
But Stoicism reminds us: life isn’t meant to be easy. Growth happens through challenge. Mastery through struggle. Character through pain.
And Bitcoin? It doesn’t coddle you either. It demands responsibility. Long-term thinking. Patience. Sound judgment.
These two worlds — Stoic philosophy and the Bitcoin protocol, aren’t just compatible. They belong together.
The Mission
The goal of Sovereign Stoic is to explore this intersection and help more people reclaim control over their minds and their money.
The past 100 years have softened us. We’ve handed over responsibility for our lives, our wealth, and our futures. That needs to change, and I believe it is changing.
Stoicism and Bitcoin both teach the same lesson: live with discipline, take full responsibility, and build something that matters. Not just for yourself, but for the people around you. For your family. For your community. For the future.
Final Invitation
If this speaks to you, even just a little I invite you to join the journey.
Subscribe. Reflect. Drop a comment. Let’s build this space together.
Self-mastery doesn’t come overnight. It takes effort, commitment, and a lot of failures along the way. But the fact that you're reading this means you’re already on the path.
And that’s a damn good start.
Fix the money. Fix the mindset.\ Become a Sovereign Stoic.
*Get this newsletter sent to your inbox: https://sovereignstoic.substack.com/
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@ eac63075:b4988b48
2025-06-07 13:44:48Ever imagined sending a Bitcoin transaction without an internet connection? Or talking to your friends during a total blackout when the cell network just vanishes? It sounds like science fiction, but this technology is an accessible reality, built with low-cost hardware and open-source software. Welcome to the world of mesh networks, Meshtastic, and the BTC Mesh project.
This guide explores the universe of decentralized communication networks, showing how they work, why they are vital for our digital sovereignty, and how you can use them to strengthen your privacy and resilience—not just in communication, but in your Bitcoin transactions as well.
What Are Mesh Networks and Why Should You Care?
Our connected world runs on a fragile, centralized infrastructure. Cell towers, internet providers, data centers—if one of these points fails, communication stops. A mesh network turns this logic on its head.
Here, each participant (or "node") connects directly to other nodes within its reach, forming a web of P2P (peer-to-peer) connections. Instead of data passing through a central server, it hops from node to node until it reaches its destination. The true strength of this approach is decentralization and resilience. If a node goes down, the others simply find a new path for the information. The network reconfigures and heals itself.
Source: meshtastic.org
LoRa and Meshtastic: The Dynamic Duo
To create these networks in the real world, the enthusiast community has rallied around a powerful duo:
- LoRa (Long Range): Think of LoRa as the physical layer—the "radio waves" of our network. It's a technology that allows for long-range wireless communication with incredibly low power consumption. We're talking about cheap little radios that can send small data packets for miles, running for days on a single battery.
- Meshtastic: If LoRa is the physical medium, Meshtastic is the brain. It's open-source software that equips these radios to form a smart, easy-to-use mesh network. Meshtastic handles everything: discovering other nodes, managing routes, encrypting messages, and providing an interface on your phone, connected via Bluetooth.
Meshtastic was originally created as an off-grid communicator, but its usefulness goes far beyond that. Here, privacy is a fundamental pillar. To join a group channel, you need the encryption key. Direct messages are end-to-end encrypted. It's like having a "hardware wallet" for your communication: your private key is secure on your radio, ensuring that only you and the recipient can read the messages.
While Meshtastic is the most popular, alternatives like MeshCore exist, which aim to optimize packet routing. However, the network effect is powerful, and the vast majority of users today are on the Meshtastic platform.
Introducing BTC Mesh: Bitcoin Transactions Via Radio
This is where Bitcoin enters the picture. The inspiration for the BTC Mesh project came from a mix of necessity and chance. After buying a LoRa radio on AliExpress that, to my frustration, couldn't transmit over long distances—and the seller simply stopped responding—I discovered it worked perfectly within my apartment. With two radios in hand, one for the base and another "defective" one, I had the perfect test environment for a new use case: sending Bitcoin transactions over the mesh network.
GitHub - eddieoz/btcmesh: BTC Mesh Relay is designed to send Bitcoin payments via LoRa Meshtastic.
BTC Mesh is a simple application that allows anyone on a Meshtastic network to send a Bitcoin transaction (on-chain, layer 1) over the radio network, without needing a direct internet connection.
How the Magic Works
The system has two parts: a client and a server.
- The Server: Someone on the network with internet access runs the "server node." This is a computer (a Raspberry Pi can handle it) connected to a LoRa radio and a full Bitcoin node (Bitcoin Core). It acts as the bridge between the off-grid mesh world and the global Bitcoin network.
- The Client: Anyone else on the network, even miles away and without internet, can use the "client" on their laptop or phone.
The process is a choreographed dance designed for the low-speed LoRa network:
- Preparing the Transaction: In a wallet like Sparrow, you create and sign your transaction. Instead of clicking "Broadcast," you copy the "Raw Transaction"—a long hexadecimal text.
- Sending Over the Mesh: In the terminal, you run a simple command, pointing to the server's radio and pasting your raw transaction.
- The Communication: Since the transaction is too large for a single LoRa packet, the client splits it into chunks and starts a conversation with the server:
- Client: "Hey server! I have a transaction in 15 parts. Can we start?"
- Server: "Roger that! Awaiting 15 parts. Send the first one."
- Client: (sends part 1)
- Server: "Part 1 received. Send part 2."
- This "handshake" continues until all parts are confirmed, ensuring the transaction arrives complete.
- Validation and Broadcast: Upon receiving everything, the server reconstructs the transaction, validates it, and hands it off to its local Bitcoin node, which finally broadcasts it to the worldwide network.
And that's it! Your transaction is sent to the blockchain, broadcast from a radio, without your IP address ever being exposed.
Maximum Privacy and Sovereignty
BTC Mesh's power lies in its layers of privacy:
- No IP Trail: Since the transaction is sent via radio, there is no record of your IP address. To the Bitcoin network, the transaction simply originated from the server node.
- End-to-End Encryption: The communication between the radios is encrypted by Meshtastic. No one in between can see the content of your transaction.
- Extra Layer with Tor: For maximum privacy, the server node can connect to the internet through the Tor network. This way, not even the server's IP is exposed in the final broadcast.
This combination creates a powerful system for censorship-resistant Bitcoin transactions with high privacy.
Building Your Kit: The Hardware
Excited to build your own station? The hardware is cheap and accessible.
- Frequency is Key: First, know the legal LoRa frequency in your country. In Brazil, use 915 MHz. In Europe, 868 MHz. Buying the wrong frequency will render your radio useless.
- Popular Brands:
- Heltec: Very popular, with boards like the T114, V3, and the Wireless Bridge, which comes with a practical design and an e-ink screen.
- RAK Wireless: Considered more "professional." The RAK4631 model (which I use for my base) is excellent, and the WisBlock line is modular, requiring no soldering.
- LilyGo: Famous in the "maker" community. Offers boards like the T-Beam (with GPS), T-Echo (small and practical), and the T-Deck (a full communicator with a keyboard).
- Seeed Studio (SenseCAP): Offers robust devices like the T1000-e (waterproof) and the XIAO ESP32S3 (tiny, perfect for compact projects).
- Antennas: Don't underestimate the antenna! And a crucial warning: never, ever, turn on your radio without an antenna connected, or you could burn out the transmitter.
- 3 dBi: A more "rounded" signal (a sphere), great for short distances with vertical obstacles.
- 10 dBi: A "flatter," more directional signal (a frisbee), for long distances with a clear line of sight.
- Power: Many boards have connectors for batteries and small solar panels, allowing you to create autonomous nodes.
Limitations and Considerations
Despite its power, LoRa technology has its limits:
- Low Bandwidth: The network is slow. Think 140-character Twitter. It's perfect for messages, but forget about web browsing.
- Regulation: Many regions limit the amount of data a radio can transmit per hour ("duty cycle"). Meshtastic respects these limits, which reinforces the need for optimized applications.
- Need for a Bridge: For a transaction to reach the global network, one node on the mesh needs internet. The network can be fully off-grid for internal communication, but the bridge to the outside world is necessary for certain applications. MQTT servers can play this role, connecting distant mesh networks over the internet.
Use Cases: Beyond Bitcoin
- Disaster Communication: Projects like Disaster.Radio focus on using LoRa to coordinate rescue teams during catastrophes.
- Outdoor Activities: Essential for hiking and camping in remote locations.
- Internet of Things (IoT): In agriculture, sensors can cover vast areas. On farms, they can monitor livestock.
- Private Communication: In a world of surveillance, having a communication channel that you control is an act of sovereignty.
The Future is Decentralized
Projects like BTC Mesh offer a glimpse into a more resilient, private, and decentralized future. They give us the tools to build our own communication and financial networks, free from centralized control.
The technology is cheap, the software is free, and the community is vibrant. Building your first node might seem intimidating, but it's a rewarding project and a practical step toward personal sovereignty.
So, are you ready to get off the grid?
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@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7
2025-06-07 13:01:05Sati, a Bitcoin payments app and Lightning infrastructure provider, announced the launch of its Lightning integration with Xverse wallet.
Launched in 2025 with investors of the likes as Draper Associates and Ricardo Salinas, Sati powers Bitcoin payments on applications such as WhatsApp to fuel the next wave of adoption.
The Whatsapp bot allows users to send bitcoin via the messaging app through a special bot. After verifying their identity, the user selects the “send” option, chooses to pay to a Lightning address, enters the amount (1,000 sats), confirms with a PIN, and the transaction is completed, with the funds appearing instantly in the recipient wallet.
The new integration will now bring Lightning functionality to over 1.5 million people worldwide. Users can send and receive sats (Bitcoin’s smallest denomination) instantly over the Lightning Network all within the Xverse app,
Further, every xverse wallet user gets a Lightning Address instantly. That means they can receive tips, pay invoices, and use Bitcoin for microtransactions—all without having to manage channels or switch between different apps.
While Xverse adds support for Lightning, users should be cautious in using the wallet as it’s mostly known for enabling access to rug pull projects.
Initially designed in 2017, the Lightning Network has grown to become Bitcoin’s leading layer-2, with a current BTC capacity of over $465M.
“Bitcoin was not meant to be an asset for Wall Street—it was built for peer-to-peer money, borderless and accessible,” said Felipe Servin, Founder and CEO of Sati. “Integrating Lightning natively into Xverse brings that vision back to life, making Bitcoin usable at scale for billions.”
Sati expects USDT on Lightning to be supported as early as July 2025 for users accessing Sati through WhatsApp.
This integration positions Sati’s role as a Lightning infrastructure provider, not just a consumer app. By leveraging its API-based solution, the company provides plug-and-play backend services to wallets and platforms looking to add Bitcoin payments without compromising on security or UX.
Sati recently closed a $600K pre-seed round. The funding is used to support global expansion, stablecoin integration, Lightning infrastructure growth, and broader access to Bitcoin in emerging markets.
The Sati team is attending Bitcoin2025 in Las Vegas this week and looking forward to connect with bitcoin enthusiasts.
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@ 7f6db517:a4931eda
2025-06-07 11:01:57Bank run on every crypto bank then bank run on every "real" bank.
— ODELL (@ODELL) December 14, 2022
The four main banks of bitcoin and “crypto” are Signature, Prime Trust, Silvergate, and Silicon Valley Bank. Prime Trust does not custody funds themselves but rather maintains deposit accounts at BMO Harris Bank, Cross River, Lexicon Bank, MVB Bank, and Signature Bank. Silvergate and Silicon Valley Bank have already stopped withdrawals. More banks will go down before the chaos stops. None of them have sufficient reserves to meet withdrawals.
Bitcoin gives us all the ability to opt out of a system that has massive layers of counterparty risk built in, years of cheap money and broken incentives have layered risk on top of risk throughout the entire global economy. If you thought the FTX bank run was painful to watch, I have bad news for you: every major bank in the world is fractional reserve. Bitcoin held in self custody is unique in its lack of counterparty risk, as global market chaos unwinds this will become much more obvious.
The rules of bitcoin are extremely hard to change by design. Anyone can access the network directly without a trusted third party by using their own node. Owning more bitcoin does not give you more control over the network with all participants on equal footing.
Bitcoin is:
- money that is not controlled by a company or government
- money that can be spent or saved without permission
- money that is provably scarce and should increase in purchasing power with adoptionBitcoin is money without trust. Whether you are a nation state, corporation, or an individual, you can use bitcoin to spend or save without permission. Social media will accelerate the already deteriorating trust in our institutions and as this trust continues to crumble the value of trust minimized money will become obvious. As adoption increases so should the purchasing power of bitcoin.
A quick note on "stablecoins," such as USDC - it is important to remember that they rely on trusted custodians. They have the same risk as funds held directly in bank accounts with additional counterparty risk on top. The trusted custodians can be pressured by gov, exit scam, or caught up in fraud. Funds can and will be frozen at will. This is a distinctly different trust model than bitcoin, which is a native bearer token that does not rely on any centralized entity or custodian.
Most bitcoin exchanges have exposure to these failing banks. Expect more chaos and confusion as this all unwinds. Withdraw any bitcoin to your own wallet ASAP.
Simple Self Custody Guide: https://werunbtc.com/muun
More Secure Cold Storage Guide: https://werunbtc.com/coldcard
If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.
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@ 8bad92c3:ca714aa5
2025-06-10 13:03:17Marty's Bent
via Matt Corallo
A lot of the focus over the last couple of months has been on the emergence of Strategy competitors in public markets looking to build sizable bitcoin treasuries and attract investors of all shapes and sizes to drive shareholder value. The other big topic in the bitcoin development world has been around OP_RETURN and the debate over whether or not the amount of data that can be shoved into a bitcoin transaction should be decided by the dominant implementation.
A topic that is just as, if not more, important that is not getting enough appreciation is the discussion around open source bitcoin developers and the lingering effects of the Biden administration's attack on Samourai Wallet and Tornado Cash. If you read our friend Matt Corallo's tweet above, you'll notice that the lingering effects are such that even though the Trump administration has made concerted efforts to reverse the effects of Operation Chokepoint 2.0 that were levied by the Biden administration, Elizabeth Warren, and her friends at the Treasury and SEC - it is imperative that we enshrine into law the rights of open source developers to build products and services that enable individuals to self-custody bitcoin and use it in a peer-to-peer fashion without the threat of getting thrown in jail cell.
As it stands today, the only assurances that we have are from an administration that is overtly in favor of the proliferation of bitcoin in the United States. There is nothing in place to stop the next administration or another down the line from reverting to Biden-era lawfare that puts thousands of bitcoin developers around the world at risk of being sent into a cage because the government doesn't like how some users leverage the code they write. To make sure that this isn't a problem down the line it is imperative that we pass the Blockchain Regulatory Clarity Act, which would not hold bitcoin developers liable for the ways in which end users leverage their tools.
Not only is this an act that would protect developers from pernicious government officials targeting them when end users use their technology in a way that doesn't make the government happy, it will also protect YOU, the end user, looking to transact in a peer-to-peer fashion and leverage all of the incredible properties of bitcoin the way they were meant to be. If the developers are not protected, they will not be able to build the technology that enables you to leverage bitcoin.
So do your part and go to saveourwallets.org. Reach out to your local representatives in Congress and Senators and make some noise. Let them know that this is something that you care deeply about and that they should not only pay attention to this bill but push it forward and enshrine it into law as quickly as possible.
There are currently many developers either behind bars or under house arrest for developing software that gives you the ability to use Bitcoin in a self-sovereign fashion and use it in a privacy-preserving way. Financial privacy isn't a crime. It is an inalienable human right that should be protected at all cost. The enshrinement of this inalienable right into law is way past due.
FreeSamourai #FreeRoman
Headlines of the Day
Trump's Truth Social Files for Bitcoin ETF - via X
Norway's K33 Makes First Bitcoin Treasury Buy - via X
SolarBank Adopts Bitcoin Treasury Strategy - via X
Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-10 13:02:29Bitcoin Magazine
The Blockchain Group Accelerates Bitcoin Treasury Strategy with €300M RaiseOn June 9, 2025, The Blockchain Group (Euronext: ALTBG) announced a €300 million capital increase program in partnership with TOBAM—marking one of the largest flexible funding facilities in the European public markets dedicated to scaling a Bitcoin treasury.
The raise is structured as an “ATM-type” (At-The-Market) offering, allowing TOBAM to subscribe daily for ordinary shares at a price based on the higher of the previous day’s closing price or volume-weighted average price (VWAP). Each tranche is capped at 21% of the day’s trading volume. This provides a disciplined mechanism to increase capital over time without disrupting market dynamics.
TOBAM: A Strategic Long-Term Backer
TOBAM, a Paris-based asset manager, has been a strategic investor in The Blockchain Group since 2017. The firm was among the earliest institutional advocates of Bitcoin as a treasury asset and remains one of Europe’s most innovative capital allocators. This deepened partnership underscores shared conviction in Bitcoin’s long-term value and the importance of financial infrastructure built on hard money principles.
Through this program, TOBAM can allocate capital into ALTBG shares in a way that aligns with market liquidity, ensuring that treasury growth occurs sustainably and with pricing transparency.
What It Means for Bitcoin For Corporations
For BFC members and observers, this development reflects the growing global standardization of capital tools for Bitcoin-native companies. The ATM structure—commonly used in U.S. equity markets—has now been adapted for European Bitcoin treasury growth. It offers several key advantages:
➤ Precision Timing: Capital can be deployed when conditions are favorable, avoiding the drawbacks of lump-sum raises.
➤ BTC Per Share Focus: The program is explicitly designed to increase the number of bitcoins per share on a fully diluted basis—aligning shareholder and treasury value.
➤ Strategic Flexibility: Instead of relying on traditional fundraising windows, The Blockchain Group now has continuous access to growth capital.A Treasury Engine, Not Just a Treasury
The Blockchain Group has been steadily transforming itself from a digital services company into a full-fledged Bitcoin Treasury Company. This €300 million program turns that transformation into a capital engine—one that can convert equity into Bitcoin consistently, responsively, and with strategic intent.
It also strengthens Europe’s position in the emerging corporate Bitcoin ecosystem. While most Bitcoin Treasury Companies today are U.S.-based, The Blockchain Group’s playbook offers a model for public firms across Euronext and other international exchanges.
The Blockchain Group isn’t just holding Bitcoin—it’s designing infrastructure to accumulate it over time. With TOBAM’s backing and a flexible ATM program in place, Europe’s first Bitcoin Treasury Company is poised to scale BTC per share with precision—one tranche at a time.
Disclaimer: This content was written on behalf of Bitcoin For Corporations. This article is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as an invitation or solicitation to acquire, purchase, or subscribe for securities.
This post The Blockchain Group Accelerates Bitcoin Treasury Strategy with €300M Raise first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Nick Ward.
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@ dfa02707:41ca50e3
2025-06-07 11:01:53Headlines
- Twenty One Capital is set to launch with over 42,000 BTC in its treasury. This new Bitcoin-native firm, backed by Tether and SoftBank, is planned to go public via a SPAC merger with Cantor Equity Partners and will be led by Jack Mallers, co-founder and CEO of Strike. According to a report by the Financial Times, the company aims to replicate the model of Michael Saylor with his company, MicroStrategy.
- Florida's SB 868 proposes a backdoor into encrypted platforms. The bill and its House companion have both passed through their respective committees and are headed to a full vote. If enacted, SB 868 would require social media companies to decrypt teens' private messages, ban disappearing messages, allow unrestricted parental access to private messages, and likely eliminate encryption for all minors altogether.
- Paul Atkins has officially assumed the role of the 34th Chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This is a return to the agency for Atkins, who previously served as an SEC Commissioner from 2002 to 2008 under the George W. Bush administration. He has committed to advancing the SEC’s mission of fostering capital formation, safeguarding investors, and ensuring fair and efficient markets.
- Solosatoshi.com has sold over 10,000 open-source miners, adding more than 10 PH of hashpower to the Bitcoin network.
"Thank you, Bitaxe community. OSMU developers, your brilliance built this. Supporters, your belief drives us. Customers, your trust powers 10,000+ miners and 10PH globally. Together, we’re decentralizing Bitcoin’s future. Last but certainly not least, thank you@skot9000 for not only creating a freedom tool, but instilling the idea into thousands of people, that Bitcoin mining can be for everyone again," said the firm on X.
- OCEAN's DATUM has found 100 blocks. "Over 65% of OCEAN’s miners are using DATUM, and that number is growing every day. This means block template construction is making its way back into the hands of the miners, which is not only the most profitable for miners on OCEAN but also one of the best things for Bitcoin," stated the mining pool.
Source: orangesurf
- Arch Labs has secured $13 million to develop "ArchVM" and integrate smart-contract functionality with Bitcoin. The funding round, valuing the company at $200 million, was led by Pantera Capital, as announced on Tuesday.
- Tesla still holds nearly $1 billion in bitcoin. According to the automaker's latest earnings report, the firm reported digital asset holdings worth $951 million as of March 31.
- The European Central Bank is pushing for amendments to the European Union's Markets in Crypto Assets legislation (MiCA), just months after its implementation. According to Politico's report on Tuesday, the ECB is concerned that U.S. support for cryptocurrency, particularly stablecoins, could cause economic harm to the 27-nation bloc.
- TABConf 2025 is scheduled to take place from October 13-16, 2025. This prominent technical Bitcoin conference is dedicated to community building, education, and developer support, and it is set to return in October. Get your tickets here.
- Kaduna Lightning Development Bootcamp. From May 14th to 17th, the Bitcoin Lightning Developer Bootcamp will take place in Kaduna, Nigeria. Thisevent offers four dynamic days of coding, learning, and networking. Organized by Africa Free Routing and supported by Btrust, Tether, and African Bitcoiners, this bootcamp is designed as a gateway for African developers eager to advance their skills in Bitcoin and Lightning development. Apply here.
Source: African Bitcoiners.
Use the tools
- Core Lightning (CLN) v25.02.2 as been released to fix a broken Docker image. The issue was caused by an SQLite version that did not support an advanced query.
- Blitz wallet v0.4.4-beta introduces several updates and improvements, including the prevention of duplicate ecash payments, fixes for background ecash invoice handling, the ability for users to send payments to BOLT12 invoices from their Liquid balance, support for Blink QR codes, a lowered minimum amount for Lightning-to-Liquid payments to 100 sats, the option to initiate a node sync via a swipe gesture on the wallet's home screen, and the introduction of opt-in or opt-out functionality for newly implemented crash analytics via settings.
- Utreexo v0.5.0, a hash-based dynamic accumulator, is now available.
- Specter v2.1.1 is now available on StartOS. "This update brings compatibility with Bitcoin Core v28 and incorporates several upstream improvements," said developer Alex71btc.
- ESP-Miner (AxeOS) v2.7.0b1 is now available for testing.
- NodeGuard v0.16.1, a treasury management solution for Lightning nodes, has been released.
- The latest stacker.news updates include prompts to add a receiving wallet when posting or making comments (for new users), an option to randomize poll choices, improved URL search, and a few other enhancements. A bug fix for territories created after 9/19/24 has been implemented to reward 70% of their revenue to owners instead of 50%.
Other stuff
- The April edition of the 256 Foundation's newsletter is now available. It includes the latest mining news, Bitcoin network health updates, project developments, and a tutorial on how to update FutureBit's Apollo 1 to the Apollo 2 software.
- Siggy47 has posted a comprehensive RoboSats guide on stacker.news.
- Learn how to run your own Nostr relay using Citrine and Cloudflare Tunnels by following this step-by-step guide by Dhalism.
- Max Guise has written a Bitkey roadmap update for April 2025.
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PlebLab has uploaded a video on how to build a Rust wallet with LDK Node by Ben Carman.
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-06-09 20:18:40Originalna diskusija na reddit.com iz juna 2025
"Sindrom poremećenosti zbog Bitkoina proističe iz niza zabrinutosti, od pitanja legitimnosti novca, straha da je reč o Ponzijevoj šemi, da je to trojanski konj strane države, da je pomama stvorena za špekulante, do zabrinutosti zbog uticaja rudarenja na životnu sredinu.
Simptomi sindroma poremećenosti zbog Bitkoina (BDS) uključuju odbacivanje svih pozitivnih aspekata povezanih s Bitkoinom uz neodoljivu potrebu da se on prikaže u negativnom svetlu. Sindrom izgleda kao rezultat postepene akumulacije ogorčenja i osećaja da su zakasnili s kupovinom Bitkoina.
Umesto da imaju poniznosti da priznaju da su pogrešili u vezi s Bitkoinom, oni sada posvećuju svoje vreme beznadežnim pokušajima napada na njega i zagovaranju njegovog neuspeha kako bi dokazali da su bili u pravu.
Nije važno ako se više pojedinaca pridruži Bitkoin mreži, ako se pridruže velike kompanije, male zemlje, niti ako globalna plaćanja učini efikasnijim i ako ga korisnici koriste po sopstvenoj volji; oboleli od BDS-a odbijaju da veruju da pojedinci mogu delovati samostalno, već to mora biti neki kult ili potreba za kockanjem.
Ne postoji nijedan argument koji bi mogao promeniti njihovo mišljenje". - The Bitcoin Manual
Diskusija tokom koje se autor posta usled svog neznanja, pogrešne informisanosti ili čak straha, nepovratno upleo "kao pile u kučine".
Mada moram priznati da su određeni delovi njegovog izlaganja, naročito tačke 7) i 8), najbolje reklame za Bitkoin koje bi svakog racionalnog ekonomskog aktera navele na dugoročnu akumulaciju ovog novog oblika novca. Koji razlozi mogu navesti racionalnog učesnika na tržištu koji sledi svoj interes da ignoriše Bitkoin kao novi oblik novca dok se nalazi u fazi svoje monetizacije?
U svojim odgovorima sam pokušao da mu otvoreno ukažem na apsurdnost i nelogičnost njegovih tvrdnji ali sam nailazio na prilično mršave odgovore koji su se više svodili na puko ponavljanje uobičajenih dezinformacija iz klasičnih medija nego autentično i nezavisno mišljenje ovog korisnika Reddita.
Na kraju sam prestao da odgovaram zato što je postalo besmisleno. Ovekovečićemo ga ovde na Nostru i prepustiti vremenu da bude sudija. Za desetak godina će ova debata završiti u sekciji "Retrovizor" pa će analiza sa decenijske distance biti izrazito zanimljiva.
Originalni post
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Zagovornici bitkoina ga lažno predstavljaju kao rješenje za skoro sve probleme i nešto što će stvoriti nekakvu utopiju. Pritom vrše vrlo agresivnu i toksičnu propagandu. Troše svoj već prilično jak finansijski položaj na lobiranje i uticaj na vladu. Tako su uspjeli da Ameriku okrenu da postane žestoko pro-kripto.
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Petljanje vlada u kripto svijet omogućava im da tempiraju pumpanje i dumpanje bitkoina (ali i drugih kriptovaluta), prethodno obavijstivši one koje žele da obavijeste, što bi vladi dalo još jedan mehanizam da finansijski nagradi one koji rade za nju razne stvari, ili prosto svoju insajdersku vrhušku, koja bi se time mogla bogati na račun svih ostalih.
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Vlade su sve bliže tome da počnu koristiti novac poreskih obveznika za ulaganje u bitkoin.
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Bitkoin se predstavlja kao rješenje problema inflacije, a to je samo djelimično tačno. Ako držiš bitkoin duže od 4 godine, bićeš u plusu - tako je bilo barem zasad. Međutim, na kraći rok oscilacije cijene bitkoina su ogromne. Pad od 80% u roku od godinu dana je normalna stvar. A to kad bi se prevelo na standardni ekonomski jezik u kome se priča o inflaciji značilo bi godišnju inflaciju od 400%. Znači bitkoin rutinski ima stopu inflacije od 400%, a vole da prozivaju fiat valute i za mnogo manju inflaciju tipa već od 5% do 10%, to im je kao mnogo.
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Centralne banke generalno i Fed konkretno, sa svim svojim manama, i uz sve negativne epizode, kad je bila hiperinflacija, istorijski su ipak odigrale i još uvijek igraju pozitivnu ulogu: obezbjeđuju kakvu takvu stabilnost cijena i podstiču veću zaposlenost. To je taj dual mandat feda. Bez centralnih banaka i njihovih intervencija, ekonomske krize bi bile češće i oštrije, a kada se dese, ne bi bilo lakog izlaza iz istih. Trajale bi duže. Bitkoin se protiv centralnih banaka bori. (Ili se bar borio, a sad sve češće odustaje od svojih ideala i sarađuje sa tradicionalnim finansijskim sektorom - što meni ukazuje na to da ti ideali možda nikad nisu ni bili iskreni, već da se narativ prilagođava situaciji, a da je jedino bitno da se u svakom trenutku ima neki narativ koji bi opravdao "number goes up")
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Jedan od glavnih motora moderne ekonomije je sistem frakcionalnih rezervi koji omogućava bankama da lako daju kredite po relativno povoljnim kamatnim stopama. To ponekad može zaista i dovesti do krize, kad se banke previše opuste, a računaju na Fed ili neku drugu centralnu banku da ih čupa ako upadnu u dubiozu. Tako je bilo 2008. Ali ne treba zbog jedne loše epizode odustati od cijelog tog sistema. Prisustvo jeftinih i lako dostupnih kredita sa niskim kamatnim stopama je jako bitna i povoljna za ekonomiju. Zamislite kad toga ne bi bilo, kad bi ljudi morali za svaku krupnu kupovinu da prvo uštede, pa da onda kupuju u kešu. Niko ne bi mogao kupiti stan prije 50. ili 60. godine. A šta će ti stan sa 50 ili 60 godina?! Porodica se zasniva mnogo ranije. Isto tako, mnoge firme ne bi mogle dobiti kredite za započinjanje ili proširenje poslovanja, što bi usporilo inovaciju i rast produktivnosti. Bitkoin standard koga zagovirnici zagovaraju, podrazumijevao bi mnogo skuplje i teže dostupne kredite, jer tu ne bi bilo mogućnosti za lako uvećavanje novčane mase. Samim tim to bi bilo vrlo nepovoljno za ekonomski rast.
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Bitkoin bi izazvao i deflaciju cijena (izraženih u bitkoinu, pod pretpostavkom da on postane glavna valuta), koja je takođe vrlo nepovoljna za ekonomski rast. Evo primjera kakve je probleme deflacija svojevremeno izazvala u Japanu: Under deflation, the value of cash increases as time passes. In such a situation, Japanese companies began to cut wages, research and development, and other investments, opting to hold onto cash instead. This tendency, coinciding with the acceleration of the aging population, gradually diminished the competitiveness of the economy and the potential growth rate of the country. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Japanese government has focused on halting the deflation and eventually achieving the 2% inflation target since the early 2000s. However, as deflation persisted, the traditional monetary policy of setting low interest rates to stimulate investment and consumption, which typically causes inflation, became ineffective. This ineffectiveness arose because a nominal rate of 0% effectively meant a positive real rate due to the increasing value of cash. This phenomenon is known as the zero lower bound.
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Istovremeno, bitkoin (ali samo pod uslovom da bude na putu da postane glavna svjetska valuta) bi izazvao terminalnu inflaciju cijena u svim drugim valutama - tj. njihovu demonetizaciju. Kako bi se bitkoin sve više monetizovao, tako bi se ostale valute, ali i ostali asseti demonetizovali. To bi značilo ogroman transfer bogatstva od onih koji nemaju bitkoin ili kupe kasno, kao onima koji imaju, naročito onima koji imaju mnogo i koji su kupili rano po ekstremno niskoj cijeni. Znači bukvalno, rani vlasnici bitkoina bi se bogatili na račun svih ostalih. I to im je zapravo i cilj. To je jedini razlog zašto toliko promovišu bitkoin - svi ostali narativi, te borba protiv inflacije, te digitalno zlato, te ovo, te ono, su zapravo samo priče i racionalizacije, a poenta je da se nagovaraju svi da nastave kupovati bitkoin, kako bi oni koji su kupili ranije, još više uvećali svoje bogatstvo. Tu činjenicu da bi bitkoin doveo do osiromašivanja svih koji nisu vlasnici bitkoina, prepoznala je Evropska centralna banka u jednom svom članku. Citiraću samo relevantan dio: While most economists argue that the Bitcoin boom is a speculative bubble that will eventually burst, we analyse in this paper the impact of a Bitcoin-positive scenario in which its price continues to rise in the foreseeable future. What sounds intuitively promising or at least not harmful is problematic: Since Bitcoin does not increase the productive potential of the economy, the consequences of the assumed continued increase in value are essentially redistributive, i.e. the wealth effects on consumption of early Bitcoin holders can only come at the expense of consumption of the rest of society. If the price of Bitcoin rises for good, the existence of Bitcoin impoverishes both non-holders and latecomers. While previous discussions on the redistributive effects of Bitcoin assumed that badly timed trading was a necessary condition for losses, this paper shows that neither poor timing of trades nor holding Bitcoin at all are necessary for impoverishment under a Bitcoin-positive scenario.
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To bi naravno uvećalo nejednakost u svijetu koja je ionako već sad ogromna, i prenijelo bi nejadnakost kakva vlada u samom bitkoin ekosistemu na cijeli svijet. A nejednakost koja vlada u bitkoin ekosistemu je toliko ekstremna da je to teško uopšte i zamisliti. Navešću samo par podataka (iz ovog izvora: bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html ) 0,03% najbogatijih bitkoin adresa (ili brojem: 18.651 adresa), drže 60,93% cjelokupne količine bitkoina. Sad zamislite da bitkoin postane dominantan oblik bogatstva u svijetu. Znači manje od 20.000 ljudi bi držalo preko 60% kompletnog svjetskog finansijskog bogatstva. Drugi podatak: 23.835.989 najbogatijih bitkoin adresa drži 99,97% cjelokupne količine bitkoina. Ili prostim jezikom, 24 miliona adresa, drže praktično SAV BITKOIN. Nećemo se zamajavati sa onih preostalih 0,03% bitkoina. To se može slobodno zanemariti. Znači sve što ima bitkoina u svijetu je u rukama 24 miliona ljudi. (A od toga preko 60% u rukama manje od 20.000 ljudi). Gdje smi mi ostali u svemu tome? Nema nas!!! Šta je sa 8.2 milijarde ljudi u svijetu? Ništa! Ko ih j... 24 miliona je samo 0,29% svjetske populacije. Tako da ako bi bitkoin zavladao - 20.000 ljudi bi držalo većinu svjetskog finansijskog bogatstva, 24 miliona bi imalo neke kao mrvice, a svi ostali, ne bi praktično imali NIŠTA. Nula. Nada. Sad naravno, promoteri bitkoina će reći kako meni račun nije dobar, jer su neki od najvećih vlasnika bitkoina kripto berze i ETF fondovi, i firme kao Strategy, koje su u vlasništvu velikog broja ljudi, pa je zapravo, po njima distribucija mnogo bolja nego što se to čini. Donekle su u pravu. Ali samo donekle. Ti isti zagovornici će preskočiti činjenicu da postoje i procesi koji čine da je distribucija zapravo još gora nego što se čini. Šta ako mnogi krupni vlasnici (whale-ovi) drže svoj bitkoin, ne na jednoj, nego na više adresa? A to je vrlo česta strategija, jer se plaše, ako slučajno izgube pristup jednoj adresi, ili im neko hakuje wallet ili se nešto desi... izgubiće samo dio bogastva, jer su rasporedili svoj bitkoin na možda desetak i više različitih adresa. Tako da, mogao bi se napraviti i case, da je taj mali broj najbogatihih bitkoina adresa zapravo u rukama još manjeg broja ljudi. Obe tendencije su donekle tačne. Procjenjuje se da institucije, vlade, fondovi, firme i na kraju sam Satoshi Nakamoto, drže ukupno 43% ukupne količine bitkoina. I za tih 43% (osim Satošijevog dijela), bi se možda moglo pretpostaviti da imaju malo bolju distribuciju, jer jedna adresa pokriva veći broj ljudi. Preostalih 57% drže pojedinci. U tom dijelu što drže pojedinci, vjerovatno gotovo cjelokupnu količinu drže krupni vlasnici - whaleovi, a svi ostali neku mizeriju. Bilo kako bilo, raspodjela bogatstva u bitkoinu je ekstremno nejednaka, i ako bi bitkoin postao jedan od dominantnih svjetskih oblika bogatstva, ta nejednakost iz tog ekosistema bi se prelila na cijeli svijet, što bi bilo poprilično distopijski.
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Ovih 9 tačaka su moje glavne kritike bitkoina, ali bi se na njih mogle dodati i još neke kao što su problem potrošnje struje (koji je ipak donekle riješen halving mehanizmom, i zato bitkoin neće nikad trošiti mnogo više struje nego sad), problem elektronskog otpada, širenje raznih scamova, ransom napadi, i generalno širenje vrlo problematičnog, materijalističkog pogleda na svijet u kome je bitkoin ultimativni statusni simbol (barem u toj zajednici koja za sebe kaže da je orange pilled), a grozničavo štekanje satošija (stacking sats) i držanje istih (hodling), postaje smisao života.
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Na kraju iznosim kritiku, koja se odnosi na razloge koji će najvjerovatnije dovesti i do ultimativnog pada i kolapsa bitkoina, zbog čega ćemo, nadam se, izbjeći distopijske scenarije o kojima sam govorio u prethodnim tačkama. Naime, bitkoin, sam po sebi, nije ništa posebno. Komplikovan je, nezgodan za korištenje, online novčanici mogu da se hakuju, pare koje se drže na kripto berzama mogu da nestanu, da budu ukradene, transakcije se ne mogu stornirati, ako se zezneš pa pošalješ na pogrešnu adresu, nepovratno si se zezno. Transakcije su skupe i nisu instantne, a kako pada reward majnerima, u budućnosti će izgledno biti još i skuplje. Layer 2 rješenja kao što je Lightning, ne mogu u potpunosti da riješe scaling problem i nisu jednako pouzdane kao glavni blokčejn. Na kraju, glavni zvanični value proposition bitkoina, to da je on dobar "čuvar vrijednosti" u praksi se pokazao jako loše. Kao prvo, imovina koja redovno trpi pad cijene od 70-80% ne može nikako biti dobar čuvar vrijednosti, sve i da se ti gubici na kraju nadoknade (kao što je dosad bio slučaj). Kao drugo, na dugi rok, bitkoin da bi bio dobar čuvar vrijednosti, ljudi moraju trajno da nastave da mu pripisuju visoku vrijednost, i čitava mašinerija majnera i nodova mora da nastavi u nedogled, danonoćno da radi i troši struju, samo da bi bitkoin uopšte nastavio da postoji. To ga čini veoma, veoma, krhkim na dugi rok, i to znači da je on, recimo, u odnosu na zlato, na dugi rok, neuporedivo lošiji čuvar vrijednosti. Zlato jednom kad imaš, imaš ga... ne treba mu nikakvo održavanje, ne mora postojati čitava skupa i energetski intenzivna infrastruktura da ga podržava. Zlato je samodovoljno. Osim toga, zlato ima i određenu intrinzičku vrijednost koja znači da nikad neće biti besplatno, sve i kad bi se ljudi odlučili da štede u nečemu drugom. Zlato je faktički rijetko i dragocijeno i ne traži nikakvo održavanje. Bitkoin sve to nije. Nema nikakvu intrinzičku vrijednost, i sva mu vrijednost dolazi od one vrijednosti koju mu ljudi pripisuju. Pritom zahtijeva konstantno energetski intenzivno održavanje. I na kraju čemu sve to? Da bi ponudilo neku finansijsku uslugu lošeg kvaliteta, bez osiguranja, sa redovnim padovima od 80% itd... Ljudi budite ozbiljni. Niko zapravo ne drži bitkoin radi štednje i kao neki čuvar vrijednosti. Zvanični value proposition (store of value, digital gold), je obmana i šarena laža. Međutim, postoji PRAVI, nezvanični value proposition kod bitkoina, a to je "number goes up". To je JEDINI PRAVI RAZLOG ZAŠTO LJUDI ZAPRAVO KUPUJU BITKOIN. Taj value proposition, koji bismo mogli nazvati raznim imenima kao što su "number goes up", "to the moon", ili prosto "moon narrative" je osnovni razlog zašto ljudi kupuju bitkoin. A on ne može da traje vječno. Da bi raniji investitori mogli da nastave da profitiraju i da se bogate, moraju stalno ulaziti novi investitori i ulagati sve veće i veće količine novca. To funkcioniše kao piramidalna ili ponci šema (Iako se ne radi o bukvalnoj ponci prevari). Što je veća cijena bitkoina, to su veći ulozi potrebni da bi se ona mogla nastaviti pumpati. Već vidimo da je svaki novi četvorogodišnji ciklus sve slabiji i slabiji od onih prethodnih. Rast je sve sporiji. Bliži se trenutak u kome više niko neće vjerovati pričama da je još rano "We're so early", niti da se neko novi ko sad ulazi u to sve, od toga zaista može obogatiti. Samim tim "moon narrative" postaje sve manje i manje kredibilan. A kad moon narrativ padne, pada i bitkoin, jer je on zapravo sve vrijeme i bio njegov jedini pravi value proposition. Bitkoin nije dobar čuvar vrijednosti, nije user friendly, ne pruža nikakvo osiguranje, i niko ga ne bi kupovao bez tog moon narrativa, jer postoje mnogo bolji finansijski proizvodi koji omogućavaju mnogo brže i jeftinije transakcije, koje su pritom osigurane, i bolji store of value.
Dakle kao zaključak, bitkoin će ili uspijeti ili propasti. Ako uspije, izvjesno je da će dovesti do distopije, ekstremne nejednakosti i do mnogo lošijeg stanja ekonomije nego što je to danas slučaj.
Ipak, mislim da je mnogo veća šansa da će propasti jer je njegov jedini pravi value proposition, a to je moon narrative, matematički i fizički neodrživ, a postoje mnogo bolje alternative, ako gledamo na bitkoin kao na neku pravu finansijsku uslugu.
U tom padu bitkoina, neki će izaći na vrijeme, biti u plusu, neće biti trauma, neki će izaći prekasno, izgubiće dosta, neki će ući onda kad treba izaći, pa će izgubiti sve, itd... U svakom slučaju, to će biti dosta nezgodan period za vlasnike, i dovešće do mnogo razočarenja. Ali kad se to sve završi, svijet će postati malo mudriji i iskusniji, i ostavićemo iza sebe još jednu veliku finansijsku iluziju, koja je potencijalno mogla dovesti i do velike distopije.
Odgovori
@BTCSRB: Odgovoriću kratko samo na deo o navodnom negativnom uticaju na ekonomiju iz razloga što ljudi ne žele da troše novac kojem vremenom raste vrednost. Ovo je lažna ekonomska dilema. Zašto? Zato što se ova dilema postavlja samo ako imate previše fiat novca. Ako je jedini novac koji imate Bitkoin (što bi u slučaju hipotetičkog scenarija da je BTC glavna svetska valuta bila uobičajena praksa), ova dilema praktično ne postoji jer bi onda po definiciji stvari morali da trošite.
Jer ako je BTC sve što imate, onda nije dilema da li treba da trošite BTC već da li UOPŠTE treba da trošite?
Što se tiče nejednakosti raspodele Bitkoina, mislim da će biti prosvetljujuće da pročitaš ovaj tekst.
Da li je raspodela Bitkoina pravična?
Ako imamo novac rođen na slobodnom tržištu, u slobodnom društvu, koji treba da zameni fiat novac, onda on ne može biti ravnomerno raspoređen od samog početka dok istovremeno svi ljudi cene njegovu vrednost – nužno mora proći kroz period kada ga samo nekolicina ljudi vrednuje.
hn-mc: Zato po meni bitkoin i nema legitimitet.
Ako se pravi neka nova valuta, treba da svi mogu na početku da je kupe po istom kursu, i da svi istovremeno pređu na nju, kao što su Švabe zamjenile marku evrom, po fiksnom kursu.
Rađanje novca na slobodnom tržištu nije normalna stvar. Novac su uvijek ili plasirale države, ili je on bio prirodan, koji je već imao neku prirodnu raspodjelu, tipa začini, so, zlato, srebro.
A praviti vještački novac, i da pritom ti nisi nikakva vlast, i nuditi ga na početku nekima praktično za džabe, a da ga kasniji neki plaćaju sa 100.000 USD i više, to za moj pojam nema legitimitet da bude novac.
To mi više liči na skupljenje znački ili poštanskih markica, koje mogu igrom slučaja kod kolekcionara da dosegnu astronomsku vrijednost.
Nadam se da kontaš da nije normalno, da se neka nova valuta uspostavlja na način da se ljudi na nju prebacuju po ekstremno različitim uslovima.
Po meni da bi kripto imao neki legitimitet, mora postojati duži period na početku, tokom koga mora biti svima omogućeno da dobiju istu količinu, ili makar da plate po istoj cijeni, znači da uđu po istim uslovima.
Zato mi je recimo onaj projekat worldcoin dobar po pitanju raspodjele, jer bi tu svako dobio na početku istu količinu. Druga je stvar što mi se ne sviđa to što skeniraju oči, s tim distopijskim forama su upropastili dobru ideju po pitanju distribucije.
@BTCSRB: O svemu što si nabrojao su Bitkoineri odavno već diskutovali. Taj tekst sam danas preveo upravo zbog tvojih navoda. Taj hipotetički scenario je takođe razrađen u tekstu (koji evidentno nisi pročitao), šta bi se desilo kada bi svi istovremeno prešli na njega po istom kursu ali da ne postoji obaveza držanja i plaćanja poreza u tom novcu kao što je to slučaj sa fiat novcem (nemačkom markom)?
"Šta će se desiti? Neki ljudi će ga visoko vrednovati, a neki neće – ljudi koji ga visoko vrednuju kupiće ga od onih koji ga ne vrednuju. I šta nam onda ostaje? Mali deo sveta koji veruje u ovaj novac i sada poseduje većinu ponude.
Čekajte, zar nije upravo to slučaj sa Bitkoinom? Zar se ljudi nisu baš zbog toga žalili?
Kada je Bitkoin u pitanju, većina nas je imala otprilike jednak pristup početnim novčićima. Svi su mogli da rudare, a novčići su u početku bili gotovo bezvredni. Rani korisnici su trgovali troškovima električne struje, svojim vremenom i trudom u zamenu za novoizrudarene bitkoine."
Dakle, opet bismo došli na isto zato što bi ponovo veći deo novčića završio u rukama manjine koja je najviše u njega verovala.
Ponovo citiram:
"Drugim rečima, ponuditi ravnomernu raspodelu od samog početka je suštinski isto kao i ponuditi podjednake šanse za sticanje bitkoina.
Ako imamo novac rođen na slobodnom tržištu, u slobodnom društvu, koji treba da zameni fiat novac – onda on ne može biti ravnomerno raspodeljen od početka, a da ga svi ljudi istovremeno vrednuju. Neminovno mora proći kroz period kada ga samo nekolicina ljudi vrednuje."
Dakle, kako god okreneš, koliko god svima podelio istu količinu na početku, neminovno će doći do koncentracije vlasništva jer je nemoguće da svi vrednuju novi novac na isti način.
Da li se tebi čini nenormalnim da novac nastane na slobodnom tržištu je potpuno subjektivno.Činjenica je da se tako nešto sa Bitkoinom desilo, a ne da li je "normalno". A ni BTC nije prvi takav slučaj u istoriji jer su se neke druge stvari koristile kao novac pre zlata pa ih je zlato na slobodnom tržištu potisnulo kao kvalitetniji novac. Sami ljudi su prvi koristili zlato kao novac, tek nakon toga su vladari urezali svoj lik na kovanice i izdavali ih, a ne obrnuto. Oni koji su batalili perle i među prvima prešli na zlato su svakako mnogo bolje prošli od onih koji su tvrdoglavo držali perle do samog kraja.
Bitkoin niko nikome nije nudio "za džabe" pošto centralni izdavalac ne postoji, već je svako morao da ga rudari i da potroši određenu količinu energije. Zašto ti i ja nismo rudarili kada smo prvi put čuli za BTC? BTC košta koliko košta zato što se, kao što si i sam rekao, nalazi u fazi monetizacije pa je prirodno su rani korisnici profitirali više od kasnijih korisnika. Takav je slučaj istorijski bio i sa zlatom, npr. Kina je mnogo izgubila što se tvrdoglavo držala srebra kada su gotovo sve države usvojile zlatni standard.
I to zlato je krenulo kao "collectible" i nije odmah postalo novac već je imalo svoj razvojni put: 1) kolekcionarski predmet, 2) skladište vrednosti, 3) sredstvo razmene, 4) obračunska jedinica. Po mom dubokom uverenju se BTC nalazi u fazi broj 2.
To sa Worldcoinom je viđeno i kod nas: koliko ljudi još uvek drži one besplatne akcije Telekoma, NIS-a, Aerodoroma itd. Tako se npr. pokojni najbogatiji Čeh Petr Kelner obogatio jer je devedesetih otkupljivao vaučere tokom tamošnje privatizacije koje je u to vreme malo ko vrednovao, kao i važnost i buduću vrednost akcija tih preduzeća.
Worldcoin se, uprkos "pravičnoj distribuciji" nalazi na -90% od svoje rekordne vrednosti uz oko 1.6 milijardi novčića u opticaju što je samo mali deo ukupne buduće količine od 10 milijardi jedinica. Šta je dakle sa preostalim novčićima, kome će oni biti podeljeni i kako? Inflacija ponude tek predstoji pošto će se količina tog novčića u opticaju i više nego ušestostručiti. Zašto Wordlcoin ili neki drugi kripto nije dostigao ni blizu vrednosti Bitkoina ako je suština u "pravičnoj i ravnomernoj raspodeli"? Čak i Ethereum se na početku rudario i nije bio ravnomerno raspoređen pa je i dalje druga najvrednija kriptovaluta.
hn-mc: Fora je u tome što prelazak na novu valutu treba da bude javna i široko poznata stvar. 2009. niko nije znao za bitkoin osim malobrojne zajednice entuzijasta.
Takođe što se tiče ovoga "šta bi se desilo kada bi svi istovremeno prešli na njega po istom kursu ali da ne postoji obaveza držanja i plaćanja poreza u tom novcu kao što je to slučaj sa fiat novcem (nemačkom markom)?" - tvoj odgovor na to pitanje nije tačan iz prostog razlog što ako bi SVI na to prešli po istim uslovima, znači da bi on od starta imao većinsku podršku, i SVI ti koji su ušli po istim uslovima bi ga prilično jednako i vrednovali. Ne bi on tada završio u rukama neke manjine koja ga više vrednuje kao što ti pretpostavljaš.
Jer ljudi da nisu vjerovali u njega, ne bi ni prelazili na njega, prosto jednostavno.
Ja uvođenje neke alternativne valute koja bi bila ozbiljna i legitimna, zamišljam na način da se to unapred najavi, dobro izreklamira, da ljudi znaju za to, i da možda čak ima i neku instutucionalnu podršku na međunarodnom nivou, ako ne samih Ujedinjenih nacija, barem neke jake i kredibilne međunarodne organizacije, npr. Transparency International, ili nešto tog tipa. I taj period ulaska po istim uslovima bi morao trajati bar godinu dana, što bi vodilo stabilizovanju cijene.
E onda, nakon toga, kad ta godina prođe, naravno da bi došlo postepeno do fluktuacija cijene i raslojavanja, ali tad to ne bi bio problem, jer bi se moglo zaista pošteno reći da su svi ušli po približno istim uslovima, i bili obavješteni na vrijeme, i znali o čemu se radi, što kod bitkoina uopšte nije bio slučaj.
Npr. zbog odsustva regulative, nedostupnosti kripto berzi kod nas, itd... sve do 2015. kod nas je bilo to vrlo teško kupiti. Što se rudarenja tiče, na početku si morao za početak znati da to uopšte postoji. A čim se to malo proširilo više nisi mogao to raditi na običnom računaru, znači morao si raditi neka ulaganja ozbiljnija ako oćeš da rudariš.
Bitkoineri inače vole da pišu dugačke tekstove radi odbrane bitkoina, zaista se trude, i skidam im kapu na tome, ali neke stvari su prosto neodržive, i neodbranjive. Možeš prosto da kažeš, prihvatam to tako kako je, nemam s tim neki problem, moja je odluka da u to ulažem i kraj priče. I na to svak ima pravo, i ne mogu ja to nikome osporiti.
Ali imam i ja pravo da kritikujem.
I što se ovog tiče "Bitkoin niko nikome nije nudio "za džabe" pošto centralni izdavalac ne postoji, već je svako morao da ga rudari i da potroši određenu količinu energije."
U pravu su tehnički, ali praktično, neki su na osnovu sreće ili pravovremenih informacija mogli da ga dobiju mnogo ranije od nekih drugih...
Znači bitkoin nije ponudio do kraja čak ni "equality of opportunities", iako zagovornici tvrde da jeste. A sve i da jeste - to nije NI BLIZU rezultiralo onim što Englezi zovu "equality of outcomes"
@BTCSRB: A ko bi predložio, najavio ili naredio prelazak na novu valutu? I zašto? Ljudi koji kontrolišu svetski finansijski sistem sigurno nemaju interes da pokrenu tako nešto, a i da imaju, to bi radili isključivo zarad sopstvene koristi a ne radi dobrobiti čovečanstva (npr. prelazak na CBDC).
Prelazak na novu valutu istovremeno pod istim uslovima jednostavno nije moguć bez nekog vida prisile. Kao što se kaže u tekstu - nemoguće je da ga od starta svi podjednako vrednuju bez nekog oblika prinude. Dakle ostaje jedini način da takav novac iznedri slobodno tržište, a BTC je iznedren na način na kakav je iznedren. Spontano i organski kao "grassroot movement". I kao takav je neutralan, etički novac sa najboljim karakteristikama u poređenju sa svim drugim oblicima novca koje imamo.
Ljudi koji su verovali u njega su prešli na njega; oni koji nisu, nisu ni prešli. Prosto i jednostavno. Ali takvi sada kukaju što se njihova imovina obezvređuje prema BTC, a krivi su im Bitkoineri koji su prešli pre njih?! Isti Bitkoineri koji godinama na sva usta ukazuju na BTC dok su sve to vreme ismevani, vređani, cancellovani! Ako se neko ideološki ne slaže sa nastankom BTC-a ili njegovom distribucijom, nejednakošću bogatstva, sujetom zbog toga što misli da je zakasnio - to ga neće spasiti od neminovnog gubitka kupovne moći zato što nije prihvatio bolji novac. Isto kao što su srednjevekovni vitezovi možda mrzeli barut i vatreno oružje smatrajući ih neviteškim sredstvima ratovanja ali ih to nije spasilo od uništenja od strane onih koji su prihvatili barut kao superiornu tehnologiju
Ko bi najavio novu valutu, ko bi finansirao njeno reklamiranje i marketing? Da li zaista misliš da bi se međunarodne organizacije koje se nalaze pod kontrolom vladajućeg finansijskog establišmenta založile za neku novu valutu koja bi im ugrozila moć?
Zapitaj sebe kada si saznao za Bitkoin i koliko je vremena prošlo od tada? Zašto ga nisu kupio, zašto ga i danas ne kupuješ i šta ćeš misliti o današnjem trenutku i ovoj diskusiji kada jednog dna bude vredeo 1M USD? Da li ti se čini da je rano ako posmatraš u tom kontekstu? Ili samo posmatraš u kontekstu da si zakasnio jer ga nisi kupio na 100 USD ili 1000 USD? I opet vas nešto sprečava da počnete sa nekom štednjom u njemu, samo nemoj posle da bude da vam nismo pričali i kako nije fer.
BTC je po svemu superiorniji oblik novca od zlata, a ima trž. kapitalizaciju od oko 2T USD naspram zlata sa 22T USD. To ti je jedan od znakova pored puta gde ova stvar ide i da li je rano ili kasno.
Inače domaća menjačnica ECD postoji od 2012. godine, toliko o tome da li je u Srbiji bilo teško nabaviti ga.
Inače postoji zabluda o tome da su se rani korisnici nesrazmerno obogatili. Znaš i sam da je ogroman broj prerano prodao i izgubio ključeve i pristup novčićima. Uostalom, zašto bih se poredio sa drugima? Skidam kapu svima koji su ušli i razumeli stvar pre mene, od takvih sam i učio, ti rani korisnici su pisali prve vodiče, snimali podkaste, držali predavanja i predavali baklju sledećoj generaciji Bitkoinera. Nemam ni trunke zavisti prema njima, samo poštovanje i zahvalnost.
Možda i jedina stvar koju većinu ljudi deli od Bitkoina je ponajviše sujeta i čisto poricanje realnosti. Tek onda dolazi nezainteresovanost, neradoznalost ili tehnička nepotkovanost. Ali Bitkoineri nikad neće moći da kažu da nisu dali sve od sebe, pa ko razume - razume.
“If you don't believe me or don't get it, I don't have time to try to convince you, sorry.”
hn-mc: Nisam ja za btc saznao juče, pa da sad iz neke zavisti kukam kako su ga neki dobili skoro za dž, a sad ove nove generacije moraju plaćati 100k. Mada ni takvo razmišljanje ne bi bilo sasvim bez osnova, ako uzmeš npr. često ponavljanu mantru da "svako dobija bitkoin po cijeni koju je zaslužio". Ta mantra mi je, iskreno, mnogo arogantna i antipatična, jer ona potpuno ignoriše to, da mnogi nisu imali posla i para za ulaganje dok je bitkoin bio jeftiniji, ili su bili djeca, ili nisu ni rođeni. Ignoriše se mogućnost stvaranja određene gerontokratije u budućnosti, gdje bi stara generacija, koje je to prva kupila po povoljnijim cijenama imala disproporcionalnu moć u odnosu na nove generacije, koje nisu tad mogle ni fizički da ga kupe, jer ih prosto nije bilo. Ignoriše se mogućnost stvaranja te tako neke aristokratije ili oligarhije, gdje bi u budućnosti ekonomski položaj nekog djeteta zavio od toga koliko mu je ćale nekad uštekao bitkoina. To bitkoineri slave kroz još jednu mantru "generational wealth", a meni to više liči na zasnivanje prilično distopijskog sistema veliki ekonomske nejednakosti koji dosta podsjeća na feudalizam - u njemu bi imao novu klasu bitkoin "plemića".
Za bitkoin sam saznao 2013. i na samom početku sam njime bio fasciniran. Donekle sam prihvatao većinu talking pointsa i value proposition-a.
Međutim, malo-pomalo počeo sam uviđati mračnu stranu cijele stvari. (u šta spada to koliko je cijeli kripto svijet preplavljen raznim scamovima, koliko je cijela zajednica izuzetno alava na pare i materijalisitčki nastrojena - lambo, to the moon, etc... postoji to neko implicitno obećanje lakog bogaćenja i rješavanja svih finansijskih problema, postoji toksični antagonizam između bitkoinera i altkoinera (npr. zato što samo postojanje altkoina podriva narativ bitkoina o scarcity-ju - ako neko može da napravi sličan ili još bolji alternativni koin koji se takmiči na istom tržištu sa bitkoinom, onda to što je sam bitkoin "zakucan" na 21 milion gubi relevantnost), uvidio sam koliko mentalitet samog štekanja (hodl) smanjuje podsticaj za realne, produktivne investicije, što bi bilo loše za ekonomiju, koliko se plasiraju razni nerealistički narativi radi propagande. Proučio sam malo o zlatnom standardu i zašto je bio loš i kako je možda doprinio velikoj ekonomskoj krizi, a tu digitalno zlato iako bi bilo možda zgodnije za upotrebu, suštinski se ne bi razlikovalo od pravog, i imalo bi jednako loš efekat na ekonomiju... Naučio sam da je Austrijska škola diskreditovana od strane svih ozbiljnijih ekonomista. Uvidio sam koje su opasnosti od deflacije. Vidio sam koliko je nejednakost ogromna... čak i ako je do nje došlo na pošten način, to je i dalje problem - jer kako god da je do toga došlo, šta ti da radiš sa svijetom u kojem manjina ima skoro sve, a svi ostali ništa, ili mrvice. Pogotovo kad zavlada AI, pa ta većina više ne bude mogla ni da zaradi nešto svojim radom, itd... Mnogo tu ima stvari koje mi nisu baš "legle". Kasnije sam čitao i to da je većina ulagača u bitkoin na kraju završila u minusu. Uvidio sam dinamiku ciklusa gdje većina običnih ljudi bude "ošišana". Niko im nije "kriv", ali jednostavno običan čovjek niti je dovoljno finansijski jak i stabilan da se održi u tom svijetu, niti ima dovoljno ekspertize i samokontrole. Zato retail investitori ulaze kad je hajp, prodaju kad padne cijena, a whale-ovi rade pametno, tj. obrnuto od toga, ili rade DCA. Takva dinamika dovodi do sve veće i veće koncentracije bogatstva i do bogaćenja whale-ova na račun "sitnih riba". Krupna riba jede sitnu ribu. Znači cijeli taj svijet je prilično anarhičan, gdje najjači opstaju, nema zaštite potrošača, itd... Ko je već bogat, može uložiti nešto u to i da zaboravi na to, ne sikira se. A dosta sirotinje uloži MNOGO, jer se nada da će ih to izvući iz neke dubioze, a onda kad cijena krene da pada, prodaju s gubitkom, jer ne mogu sebi da priušte totalni gubitak. Draže im je da padnu za 20% nego za 50%. Ali i 20% je gubitak, i na takvim gubicima, većina naroda gubi od kripta, a dovoljno jaki, disciplinovani, i prije svega bogati, se bogate od cijele stvari. I ne vidim da će nešto moći značajno da promijeni tu dinamiku.
@BTCSRB: Ta mantra o ceni Bitkoina i zaslugama je nastala kao odgovor na još arogantnije i antipatične ismevanja, nipodaštavanjai netačne i neutemeljene tvrdnje Bitkoin skeptika tokom godina koje su uporno ponavljali na mnogo nižim cenama i time učinili veliku finansijsku štetu ljudima koji su ih slušali (a možda bi u nekom trenutku kupili BTC) dok se BTC penjao na ove visine.
Pre nego što kritikuješ potencijalni "Bitkoin feudalni sistem", morao bi da sagledaš i kritikuješ postojeći finansijski sistem i zapitaš se da li ono čega se plašiš u BTC sistemu već postoji u fiat sistemu? Da li postoji manjina sa nesrazmernim bogatstvom? Koliko se njihovo bogatstvo uvećalo od kovida? A koliko od svetske finansijske krize 2008? Da li neko čiji je pradeda povoljno kupio zemljište na Menhetnu, Malibuu, Monte Karlu, Zlatiboru, Dedinju... Da li se tada radilo o "gerontokratiji" koja ima nesrazmernu moć u odnosu na današnje generacije? Dok ja i ti možda živimo u kutiji šibica od 40 ili 50 kvadrata? Koliki procenat ljudi danas drži koliki procenat društvenog bogatstva?
Ispada da ti braniš status quo koji mora da ostane zacementiran i koji nijedna nova generacija putem otkrićem novih tehnologija ne sme da ugrozi? Kao da je postojeći status quo bila pravična raspodela društvenog bogatstva (hint: nije, daleko od toga) i da više ne sme doći do društvene raspodele? Pritom pojava Bitkoina ne onemogućava postojeću dominantnu klasu da učestvuje u toj novoj raspodeli pošto i oni imaju jednake šanse da uzmu deo tog novog novca za sebe kao što takvu istu šansu ima neki obični pripadnik srednje klase?
Reći da postojanje Bitkoina podriva narativ o oskudnosti Bitkoina je isto što i reći da postojanje gomile automobilskih marki podriva narativ o kvalitetu Mercedesa ili Audija?! Ili da postojanje brojnih drugih metala i njihovih legura podriva narativ o retkosti zlata?! Udeo Bitkoina u celokupnom kripto tržištu je oko 65% tako da i brojke taj narativ veoma efikasno opovrgavaju zato što se izrazita većina tržišta jasno opredelila koja je kripto-imovina najkvalitetnija i najpouzdanija. Da li bi nastanak na stotine novih krš automobilskih marki podrio narativ o kvalitetu Mercedesa? Isto tako nastanak desetina hiljada šitkoina ne može podriti legitimnost Bitkoina.
Bogaćenje putem Bitkoina niti je lako niti je on cilj. Cilj je bio da se izbace treće strane iz elektronskih plaćanja i da se očuva kupovna moć novca time što bi on imao fiksnu količinu. Takođe i da taj novi monetarni sistem bude otporan na korupciju i kontrolu centralnog autoriteta. Sve ove funkcije Bitkoin radi izuzetno uspešno.
Meni kao slobodnom pojedincu NE TREBA nikakav podsticaj da trošim ili investiram, ja sam suvereni pojedinac koji zna šta je u mom najboljem interesu. A ponajmanje ću prihvatiti da me neko "podstiče" da trošim i investiram time što će mi erodirati kupovnu moć novca. Na stranu što je to besmisleno zato što je svako prinuđen da troši da bi mogao da preživi tako da i Bitkoineri itekako troše i investiraju, samo što će donositi mnogo racionalnije i proračunatije ekonomske odluke. Zašto da investiram u neku firmu koja ima projektovani rast 5% godišnje ako do BTC-a očekujem rast 10%? Jednoga dana će stope rasta BTC-a biti mnogo manje nego danas pa će vremenom biti lakše naći isplative investicije koje će mi zapravo uvećavati kapital denominiran u Bitkoinu. Tada će Bitkoineri biti više nego srećni da investiraju. Ti ako se toliki altruista i toliko brineš za ekonomiju slobodno investiraj fiat ali baci nekada pogled na vrednost svog kapitala izraženu kroz BTC i da li se ona uvećava ili smanjuje. ;).
Što se tiče zlata i ekonomskih kriza, može da se gleda i sa druge strane. FED je napravljen 1913, zar ti se ne čini možda da su oni odgovorni za Veliku depresiju 1929. i da li se period koji je tome prethodio zvao "roaring twenties" zahvaljujući zlatu ili jeftinom kapitalu koje su potpomogle novoformirane Federalne Rezerve?
Šta ima loše u deflaciji i u tome da cene vremenom padaju umesto da rastu čineći život običnom čoveku sve težim? Deflacija je loša samo po poverioce zato što će u jednom trenutku dužnici koji sada štede u čvrstoj valuti vratiti dug pa će siroti kamataši izgubiti klijenta. Onda se neće zaduživati da bi investirali ili kupovali već će to raditi iz akumulirane štednje. Svaka inflacija je pljačka, ako je rast produktivnosti 5% uz istu inflaciju, neko ti je ukrao 5% kupovne moći koju bi uvećao samim razvojem tehnologije koji je suštinski deflatoran. Deflacija je neizbežna, pa kalkulator je sada besplatan zato što su njegovi troškovi prozivodnje pali na nulu, samim tim i njegov cena.
Kako je moguće da je BTC blizu ATH, a da je većina ljudi izgubila? izgubili su samo oni koji su prodali zato što nisu znali šta poseduju. Ko se pravilno informisao i nije slušao Pitera Šifa, Krugmana ili Taleba pa je držao bilo koji period duži od 4 godine, taj je uvećao kupovnu moć. Ja nisam ni whale niti neka krupna riba niti radim za neku extra platu, samo sam dobro proučio materiju, znao šta posedujem, trošio manje od zarađenog, radio DCA, čuvao i čekao da vreme odradi svoje. Tako da mi niko ne može reći da to ne može svako ko ima bar malo finansijske pismenosti i samodiscipline kada je trošenje u pitanju.
hn-mc: Što se tiče sadašnjeg sistema on je loš u smislu nejednakosti, ali je problem u tome što bi hiperbitkoinizacija dovela do još veće nejednakosti. Ako kritikuješ sadašnji sistem, a nudiš još gori, onda je ta kritika isprazni whataboutizam.
Štampanje para (i pored Kantilon efekta o kome bitkoineri vole da govore), ipak donekle dovodi i do razređivanja bogatstva i do neke redistribucije. Jer te nove pare ko dobija? Često dobiju ljudi koji nemaju, a treba, im npr. ljudi koji dignu kredit za stan, ili npr. penzioneri, državni službenici, itd... Povećanjem ukupne količine novca, udio starih vlasnika u ukupnom bogatstvu se smanjuje i cijeli sistem postaje više protočan, dinamičniji, ne toliko statičan.
S druge strane u bitkoin svijetu, bukvalno mentalitet je takav da se svi ustreme kao kobci na tih 21 milion, nastoje to da razgrabe, i da onda drže do daljnjeg i nikom ne daju. Bukvalno kao kad klejmuješ zemlju i kažeš "MOJE". Imaš ti bitkoinaških glava koji su u fazonu, nikad neću trošiti svoj bitkoin, ako mi trebaju pare, diću kredit, a koristiti bitkoin kao kolateralu. Ono u fazonu, buy, borrow, die.
A prije smrti, prenesi na potomstvo, da se tako nastavi bitkoin dinastija.
Ovdje griješiš:
Pritom pojava Bitkoina ne onemogućava postojeću dominantnu klasu da učestvuje u toj novoj raspodeli pošto i oni imaju jednake šanse da uzmu deo tog novog novca za sebe kao što takvu istu šansu ima neki obični pripadnik srednje klase?
Apsolutno netačno. Naravno da će postojeći milijarderi imati neuporedivo veću šansu da postanu i bitkoin vejlovi i da ih bole kurci ako btc padne i 80%, neće prodati, jer im je btc, samo 1% njihovog basnoslovnog bogatstva. Ti misliš da ta redistribucija ide u korist sirotinje, što je potpuno netačno. Kao što sam već pisao, sitne ribe uglavnom (čast izuzecima) propadaju u tom btc ekosistemu u bivaju ošišane.
Postojeći sistem se makar razrjeđuje štampanjem i dinamičniji je, a btc je statičan, zacementiran i ispunjen vrlo čudnim mentalitetom.
Šta ima loše u deflaciji?
To što djeluje destimulativno na investicije i na potrošnju. Samo to. Taj efekat možda nije toliko veliki - neće ljudi prestati da troše, daleko od toga. Ali efekat svakako postoji.
A što se tiče kupovne moći sama inflacija i deflacija su potpuno irelevantne. Bitno je da li plate prate rast ili pad cijena.
Uprkos mitu da plate ne prate rast cijena, one to itekako prate i čak rastu brže. Jer kako bi drugačije objasnio ipak evidentan rast standarda tokom godina?
Ako bi bilo istina ono što ljudi koji šire paniku o inflaciji pričaju, s vremenom bi standard bio sve gori, jer bi cijene rasle brže od plata. A to ipak nije slučaj. Uporedi kako se sad živi, i kako se živjelo prije 20 godina. A pregurali smo i SEKU i Covid, pa se opet živi bolje nego ranije.
BTCSRB: "Povećanjem ukupne količine novca, udio starih vlasnika u ukupnom bogatstvu se smanjuje i cijeli sistem postaje više protočan, dinamičniji, ne toliko statičan."
Ovde sam prestao da čitam. Ovo nije prva činjenična neistina koju si izneo ali je najpokvarenija. Naravno da su u poslednjih 50 godina bogatiji postali još bogatiji, a siromašni još siromašniji. Naravno da je 1% na vrhu uvećalo svoje bogatstvo više od ostalih 99%.
Samo si pokazao da ne znaš puno o ekonomiji, a još manje o Bitkoinu.
Uostalom nije ni bitno, vreme će pokazati ko je u pravu kao što je pokazao i period od prethodnih 16 godina.
Poenta je da šta god vi opsesivno-kompulzivni protivnici Bitkoina uradili, prosto nemate načina da sprečite nekoga da koristi novac koji želi i za koji misli da je bolji i da razmenjuje vrednost sa ostalim korisnicima tog novca.
Vi ste zapravo štetočine jer nećete nijednog Bitkoinera prevesti nazad ali ćete ogroman broj ljudi odvratiti od prelaska na BTC dok se nalazi u fazi monetizacije, dakle samo im nanosite štetu čak iako mislite da to radite iz najbolje namere.
BTC je odavno dostigao "escape velocity" pa je vaše mišljenje po sudbinu Bitkoina potpuno irelevantno ali je itekako relevantno u negativnom smislu po ljude koji vas slušaju.
Neka svako iz ove diskusije izvuče svoje zaključke i neka bude svestan posledica (ne)prihvatanja novog superiornog oblika novca u fazi monetizacije.
hn-mc: Ja sam doskora mislio da će bitkoin zaista uspijeti i doseći te lude vrijednosti o kojima se priča - milion, pet miliona, ko zna. Mislio sam da mu je ta trajektorija zagarantovana i da to ništa neće spriječiti. To je prosto determinizam. I iskreno, prilično sam se plašio toga, jer sam smatrao da bi to bio poprilično distopijski ishod.
Konto sam, bitkoin će uspijeti, ali to neće biti dobro za svijet, za društvo i za ekonomiju. Naravno, biće i više nego dobro za one koji ga imaju.
To mi je bio stav.
A onda sam skonto da će bitkoin, vjerovatno ipak propasti, pa samim tim ti moji strahovi od distopije postaju manje relevantni.
Zašto mislim da će propasti?
Prosto zato što mu je neophodan konstantan brzi rast, da bi se održao, a konstantan brzi rast je prosto nemoguć na dugi rok.
Brzi, jak rast je neophodan da bi se održale tri stvari koje su od vitalnog značaja za bitkoin:
- Moon narativ kao jedini pravi value proposition.
- Isplativost majninga kao nešto što je neophodno za bezbednost mreže.
- Jeftinoća transakcija.
Bez jakog rasta, uz stalne halvinge, majning postaje manje isplativ, mreža time manje bezbedna, transakcije postaju skuplje, jer kako drugačije majneri da zarade, istovremeno pada u vodu moon narativ koji je većini jedini pravi razlog za kupovinu.
Kad bitkoin postane "samo" store of value, ili neki standardni instrument štednje bez moon narativa, malo ko će imati motiva da ga kupi, jer su u svrhu obične, regularne štednje, bez moon narativa, zlato i državne obveznice mnogo bolji instrument, a indeksni fond uz to pruža i mnogo veći potencijal za zaradu, kao što i treba da bude (da se nagradi investiranje, a ne pasivno držanje kapitala).
Dakle, za opstanak bitkoina neophodan je jak, brz rast.
A ako uzmemo zadnjih par ciklusa, vidimo da se taj rast sve više usporava, i to se usporava još brže od nekih prognoza. Npr. za prošli ciklus prognoza je bila 100k - 200k, a on došao samo do 69k. Sad za ovaj ciklus opet se spominje 200k, a veliko je pitanje da li će doći i do 150k. Po meni je realno do 130k.
Šta to onda govori o ciklusima. Ako u odnosu na prošli ovaj nije napravio ni 2x rasta, onda za naredni možemo očekivati možda tek, 1.5x. Znači ako sad bude 130k, onda možda 2029. bude 195k...
Takav tempo rasta, toliko usporavanje, postaće uskoro nedovoljno, i bitkoin će postati neodrživ.
hn-mc: BTW, svjestan sam da ako bitkoin uspije, mogu teoretski biti "štetočina" spram onih koji me slušaju, ali je veća šansa da će im čak i u tom slučaju moj savjet biti koristan - jer praksa je pokazala da je većina investitora dosad završila u minusu iz ovih ili onih razloga. To su prosto sirovi podaci.
To da nećeš izgubiti pare ako držiš duže od 4 godine dosad se pokazalo kao tačno, ali ni to nije zagarantovano u budućnosti.
A veliki broj ljudi iz nekog razloga proda ranije.
barrons.com/news/three-out-of-four-bitcoin-investors-have-lost-money-study-01668454507
Evo ti članak, kaže 75% ljudi koji se "bakćalo" s bitkoinom, završili u minusu.
Samo držanje bitkoina za mnoge ljude je stres jer nemaju povjerenja u to, i ako vide da nema brzog rasta, neće da drže svoj kapital u nečem tako rizičnom. Sa berze koini mogu nestati, ne bi bilo prvi put. Onlajn wallet može biti lažni, ili hakovan. Hardware wallet je dodatna investicija i za mnoge ljude too technical, itd...
Ja sam imao nekad nešto malo btc-a i dok sam imao to u btc-u ja sam smatrao da te pare NEMAM. Dok god ne vratiš to u keš koji ti je dostupan na računu, računaš da ih nemaš, jer nikad nisi 100% siguran da će svi koraci proći kako treba do samog kraja kad ti to legne na račun. Može ti hakovat, možeš se zajebat poslat na pogrešnu adresu, može te zajebat kriptomjenjačnica, svašta može bit.
Tek kad sam prodao i kad mi je leglo na račun, skonto sam da sam zaradio nešto i da je to realno.
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@ 7f6db517:a4931eda
2025-06-07 09:02:22@matt_odell don't you even dare not ask about nostr!
— Kukks (Andrew Camilleri) (@MrKukks) May 18, 2021
Nostr first hit my radar spring 2021: created by fellow bitcoiner and friend, fiatjaf, and released to the world as free open source software. I was fortunate to be able to host a conversation with him on Citadel Dispatch in those early days, capturing that moment in history forever. Since then, the protocol has seen explosive viral organic growth as individuals around the world have contributed their time and energy to build out the protocol and the surrounding ecosystem due to the clear need for better communication tools.
nostr is to twitter as bitcoin is to paypal
As an intro to nostr, let us start with a metaphor:
twitter is paypal - a centralized platform plagued by censorship but has the benefit of established network effects
nostr is bitcoin - an open protocol that is censorship resistant and robust but requires an organic adoption phase
Nostr is an open communication protocol that can be used to send messages across a distributed set of relays in a censorship resistant and robust way.
- Anyone can run a relay.
- Anyone can interact with the protocol.
- Relays can choose which messages they want to relay.
- Users are identified by a simple public private key pair that they can generate themselves.Nostr is often compared to twitter since there are nostr clients that emulate twitter functionality and user interface but that is merely one application of the protocol. Nostr is so much more than a mere twitter competitor. Nostr clients and relays can transmit a wide variety of data and clients can choose how to display that information to users. The result is a revolution in communication with implications that are difficult for any of us to truly comprehend.
Similar to bitcoin, nostr is an open and permissionless protocol. No person, company, or government controls it. Anyone can iterate and build on top of nostr without permission. Together, bitcoin and nostr are incredibly complementary freedom tech tools: censorship resistant, permissionless, robust, and interoperable - money and speech protected by code and incentives, not laws.
As censorship throughout the world continues to escalate, freedom tech provides hope for individuals around the world who refuse to accept the status quo. This movement will succeed on the shoulders of those who choose to stand up and contribute. We will build our own path. A brighter path.
My Nostr Public Key: npub1qny3tkh0acurzla8x3zy4nhrjz5zd8l9sy9jys09umwng00manysew95gx
If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.
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@ dfa02707:41ca50e3
2025-06-10 12:02:13News
- Wallet of Satoshi teases a comeback in the US market with a non-custodial product. According to an announcement on X, the widely popular custodial Lightning wallet is preparing to re-enter the United States market with a non-custodial wallet. It is unclear whether the product will be open-source, but the project has clarified that "there will be no KYC on any Wallet of Satoshi, ever!" Wallet of Satoshi ceased serving customers in the United States in November 2023.
- Vulnerability disclosure: Remote crash due to addr message spam in Bitcoin Core versions before v29. Bitcoin Core developer Antoine Poinsot disclosed an integer overflow bug that crashes a node if spammed with addr messages over an extended period. A fix was released on April 14, 2025, in Bitcoin Core v29.0. The issue is rated Low severity.
- Coinbase Know Your Customer (KYC) data leak. The U.S. Department of Justice, including its Criminal Division in Washington, is investigating a cyberattack on Coinbase. The incident involved cybercriminals attempting to extort $20 million from Coinbase to prevent stolen customer data from being leaked online. Although the data breach affected less than 1% of the exchange's users, Coinbase now faces at least six lawsuits following the revelation that some customer support agents were bribed as part of the extortion scheme.
- Fold has launched Bitcoin Gift Cards, enabling users to purchase bitcoin for personal use or as gifts, redeemable via the Fold app. These cards are currently available on Fold’s website and are planned to expand to major retailers nationwide later this year.
"Our mission is to make bitcoin simple and approachable for everyone. The Bitcoin Gift Card brings bitcoin to millions of Americans in a familiar way. Available at the places people already shop, the Bitcoin Gift Card is the best way to gift bitcoin to others," said Will Reeves, Chairman and CEO of Fold.
- Corporate treasuries hold nearly 1.1 million BTC, representing about 5.5% of the total circulating supply (1,082,164 BTC), per BitcoinTreasuries.net data. Recent purchases include Strategy adding 7,390 BTC (total: 576,230 BTC), Metplanet acquiring 1,004 BTC (total: 7,800 BTC), Tether holding over 100,521 BTC, and XXI Capital, led by Jack Mallers, starting with 31,500 BTC.
- Meanwhile, a group of investors has filed a class action lawsuit against Strategy and its executive Michael Saylor. The lawsuit alleges that Strategy made overly optimistic projections using fair value accounting under new FASB rules while downplaying potential losses.
- The U.S. Senate voted to advance the GENIUS stablecoin bill for further debate before a final vote to pass it. Meanwhile, the House is crafting its own stablecoin legislation to establish a regulatory framework for stablecoins and their issuers in the U.S, reports CoinDesk.
- French 'crypto' entrepreneurs get priority access to emergency police services. French Minister of the Interior, Bruno Retailleau, agreed on measures to enhance security for 'crypto' professionals during a meeting on Friday. This follows a failed kidnapping attempt on Tuesday targeting the family of a cryptocurrency exchange CEO, and two other kidnappings earlier this year.
- Brussels Court declares tracking-based ads illegal in EU. The Brussels Court of Appeal ruled tracking-based online ads illegal in the EU due to an inadequate consent model. Major tech firms like Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and X are affected by the decision, as their consent pop-ups fail to protect privacy in real-time bidding, writes The Record.
- Telegram shares data on 22,777 users in Q1 2025, a significant increase from the 5,826 users' data shared during the same period in 2024. This significant increase follows the arrest of CEO and founder Pavel Durov last year.
- An Australian judge has ruled that Bitcoin is money, potentially exempting it from capital gains tax in the country. If upheld on appeal, this interim decision could lead to taxpayer refunds worth up to $1 billion, per tax lawyer Adrian Cartland.
Use the tools
- Bitcoin Safe v1.3.0 a secure and user-friendly Bitcoin savings wallet for beginners and advanced users, introduces an interactive chart, Child Pays For Parent (CPFP) support, testnet4 compatibility, preconfigured testnet demo wallets, various bug fixes, and other improvements.
- BlueWallet v7.1.8 brings numerous bug fixes, dependency updates, and a new search feature for addresses and transactions.
- Aqua Wallet v0.3.0 is out, offering beta testing for the reloadable Dolphin card (in partnership with Visa) for spending bitcoin and Liquid BTC. It also includes a new Optical Character Recognition (OCR) text scanner to read text addresses like QR codes, colored numbers on addresses for better readability, a reduced minimum for spending and swapping Liquid Bitcoin to 100 sats, plus other fixes and enhancements.
Source: Aqua wallet.
- The latest firmware updates for COLDCARD Mk4 v5.4.3 and Q v1.3.3 are now available, featuring the latest enhancements and bug fixes.
- Nunchuk Android v1.9.68.1 and iOS v1.9.79 introduce support for custom blockchain explorers, wallet archiving, re-ordering wallets on the home screen via long-press, and an anti-fee sniping setting.
- BDK-cli v1.0.0, a CLI wallet library and REPL tool to demo and test the BDK library, now uses bdk_wallet 1.0.0 and integrates Kyoto, utilizing the Kyoto protocol for compact block filters. It sets SQLite as the default database and discontinues support for sled.
- publsp is a new command-line tool designed for Lightning node runners or Lightning Service Providers (LSPs) to advertise liquidity offers over Nostr.
"LSPs advertise liquidity as addressable Kind 39735 events. Clients just pull and evaluate all those structured events, then NIP-17 DM an LSP of their choice to coordinate a liquidity purchase," writes developer smallworlnd.
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Lightning Blinder by Super Testnet is a proof-of-concept privacy tool for the Lightning Network. It enables users to mislead Lightning Service Providers (LSPs) by making it appear as though one wallet is the sender or recipient, masking the original wallet. Explore and try it out here.
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Mempal v1.5.3, a Bitcoin mempool monitoring and notification app for Android, now includes a swipe-down feature to refresh the dashboard, a custom time option for widget auto-update frequency, and a
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@ 044da344:073a8a0e
2025-06-07 07:49:53Es ist merkwürdig, wie sich die Dinge manchmal fügen. Himmelfahrt bin ich mit den beiden größeren Enkeln, 2 und 4, in einen Zirkus gegangen. Wir mussten ein wenig suchen, okay, haben das Zelt aber irgendwann entdeckt am Ufer des Regen. Ich könnte schreiben: klein, aber fein, so richtig trifft es das jedoch nicht. Klein schon. Ich will hier auch nicht schimpfen, weil sich die Zirkusfamilie alle Mühe gegeben hat, einen preisgekrönten Artisten dabeihatte (Silberner Clown in Monte Carlo) und sogar reichlich Tiere in die Manege brachte. Vier Araberpferde, zwei Dromedare, einen Esel und Ziegen.
Dann aber kamen die Katzen. Richtig gelesen. Katzen dort, wo es Tiger, Löwen, Bären gegeben hat, als ich selbst noch ein Kind war. Ich meine gar nicht die großen Zelte in der DDR, Berolina, Busch oder Aeros. Diese Riesen verirrten sich nicht in einen Badeort auf Rügen. Die Wiese gleich hinter unserem Haus gehörte ab Anfang der 1980er Rüdiger Probst, alle paar Jahre wieder. Ein junger Mann, der gar nicht so viel älter war als ich, keine Angst vor großen Tieren hatte und mit einem Salto von Pferd zu Pferd sprang. In einem kleinen Zirkus wie gesagt, für ein paar Groschen und meist vor vollem Haus. Mit den Enkeln hatte ich jetzt allen Platz der Welt und hinterher ein leeres Portemonnaie. Sieben Euro allein für Popcorn (es gab nur eine Tütengröße) und fünf (freiwillig) für ein paar Möhrenstücke, damit die Kinder in der Pause was zum Füttern in der Hand hatten.
Am Abend dann das neue Buch von Matthias Krauß. „Die falschen Fragen gestellt“. Ich habe mich ein wenig gewundert, als das Paket im Kasten lag, weil der Autor vor gar nicht allzu langer Zeit einen „einseitigen Waffenstillstand“ ausgerufen hatte und Schluss machen wollte mit seinem Kampf gegen die „Aufarbeitungsindustrie“ und mit der Verteidigung der DDR. Ich zitiere einfach aus meiner Rezension von 2019:
Matthias Krauß, 1960 in Hennigsdorf geboren, weiß natürlich, was da alles im Argen lag. Er hat selbst an der Sektion Journalistik studiert und in den späten 1980ern noch ein wenig für die Parteipresse gearbeitet. „Apologetisch“, sagt er. Vor allem Innen- und Wirtschaftspolitik. Sein Aber: erstens die Kultur. Begegnungen vor allem mit dem, was in Osteuropa so an Filmen, Serien, Kunst produziert wurde. Punkt zwei: „der einfache Mensch“. „Ungleich häufiger“ im Bild als heute. Und drittens „gab es eine prinzipielle und grundsätzliche Kritik“ am Westen und am Kapitalismus.
Der Zirkus am Ufer des Regen. Ein totes Pferd soll man nicht reiten. Deshalb tauche ich ein in ein Buch, das etwas schafft, was selbst ich nicht für möglich gehalten habe. Matthias Krauß singt ein Loblied auf den DDR-Journalismus, ohne dass es peinlich wird. Er bleibt dabei ganz bei sich – bei der Mappe mit Zeitungsausschnitten, die er als Schüler angelegt hat, bei den Aktbildern im Magazin, das sein Vater abonniert hatte und das dem Sohn auch jenseits der Erotik ganze Welten öffnete, bei einem Porträt, das ihm die Lokalzeitung 1977 widmete.
Das Schöne ist: Matthias Krauß hat das alles aufgehoben und darf jetzt als reifer Mann zurückschauen – als Journalist, der später auch die andere Seite erlebt hat, folglich vergleichen kann und vor allem niemandem mehr nach dem Mund reden muss. Die „Qualität der Bilder“, okay. Eher „Kartoffeldruck“ als Zeitung. Die immer gleichen alten Männer, klar. Die Grenzen, die jedes Parteiorgan hat und die auch ein junger Mann wie Krauß schon zu spüren bekam. Aber eben auch Texte, die nah dran waren am Leben (vor allem an der Arbeit) und ihre Leser ernst nahmen. Matthias Krauß ist nach dem Studium 1986 Redakteur der Jugendseite des Potsdamer SED-Blatts geworden und ruft den Journalismusforschern heute zu: Vergleicht doch einfach die Bravo mit dem Neuen Leben, einer Zeitschrift, die damals sein Leitstern war und immer ausverkauft. These von Matthias Krauß: Das Neue Leben
war vielseitiger, anspruchsvoller und in jeder Hinsicht höherwertiger als die Bravo-Post, mit dem endlos einfältigen Star-Rummel, den auf Kauf und Konsum orientierten Modetipps, dem Klatsch und Abklatsch und den klischeehaften Rollenbildern – Ausdruck des insgesamt unpolitischen Grundanspruchs. Nun gut, aus exakt diesem Grund wird dieser Vergleich wohl niemals stattfinden. (S. 103)
Matthias Krauß hat ein kaum zu schlagendes Argument auf seiner Seite: Er, der SED-Propagandist, hatte nach 1990 schnell wieder das Vertrauen des Publikums, das er „bei Lichte besehen“ vielleicht gar nicht verdiente, aber allein wegen seiner Herkunft bekam (S. 116). Und: Er kann sogar jemanden zitieren, der die Ernte-Berichterstattung vermisst, Hassobjekt von Lesern wie von Journalisten – einen Landwirt aus dem Westen, der dort sehen konnte, wie weit die Kollegen waren, was sie wie machten und wie sie auf das Wetter reagierten (S. 166).
Ich gebe zu: Ich habe eine Schwäche für autobiografische Texte. Solche Bücher erlauben mir, all das mit Leben zu füllen, was in den Akten bald zu Staub zerfällt. Ich habe ein Fußballregal (gleich zweimal Lothar Matthäus!), eine DDR-Abteilung, Erinnerungen von Wissenschaftlern und natürlich Journalisten. Da längst nicht jeder schreibt, der etwas zu sagen hat, helfe ich immer wieder nach und sammle als Interviewer Lebensgeschichten ein. Matthias Krauß dürfte einer der ersten ostdeutschen Medienmenschen aus der Geburtskohorte um 1960 sein, der sich öffentlich äußert und dabei nicht einfach das nachbetet, was ohnehin schon überall steht.
Das gilt auch jenseits des Themas Journalismus. Der Wehrdienst, für mich bis heute ein Albtraum, wird von Matthias Krauß als „Entscheidung für eine Art persönlicher Freiheit“ interpretiert (S. 43). Mit 18 unabhängig sein von den Eltern und dann auch ohne Geldsorgen studieren können. Leipzig war für ihn in den 1980ern nicht nur Uni-Standort, sondern auch „Messestadt“ und damit „Weltstadt“ (S. 50). Und der Aufregung um jede DDR-Exmatrikulation, die er keineswegs schönredet, werden „die Millionen Opfer der Demokratisierung“ gegenübergestellt und das laute gesamtdeutsche Schweigen nicht nur in diesem Punkt (S. 58).
Was das alles mit dem Zirkus zu tun hat? Matthias Krauß hat in der DDR das Motto für sein Leben als Journalist gefunden – bei der Arbeit mit einem Parteisoldaten, der einfach nicht rauswollte aus dem Korsett, das die Genossen über sein Leben geworfen hatten.
Ja, sagte ich mir, stelle immer die falschen Fragen. (S. 153)
In Sachen Zirkus liegen alle Antworten auf dem Tisch. Meine Trauer habe ich schon vor mehr als zehn Jahren verarbeitet. Mal schauen, was die Enkel eines Tages dazu sagen.
Matthias Krauß: Die falschen Fragen gestellt. Journalist in zwei deutschen Staaten. Berlin: Das Neue Berlin 2025, 189 Seiten, 18 Euro.
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@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d
2025-06-07 06:01:40CANNES, FRANCE – May 2025 — Bitcoin mining made its mark at the world’s most prestigious film gathering this year as Puerto Rican director and producer Alana Mediavilla introduced her feature documentary Dirty Coin: The Bitcoin Mining Documentary at the Marché du Film during the Cannes Film Festival.
The film puts bitcoin mining at the center of a rising global conversation about energy, technology, and economic freedom.
Dirty Coin is the first feature-length documentary to explore bitcoin mining through immersive, on-the-ground case studies.
From rural towns in the United States to hydro-powered sites in Latin America and the Congo, the film follows miners and communities navigating what may be one of the most misunderstood technologies of our time.
The result is a human-centered look at how bitcoin mining is transforming local economies and energy infrastructure in real ways.
To mark its Cannes debut, Mediavilla and her team hosted a packed industry event that brought together leaders from both film and finance.
Dirty Coin debut ceremony at the Marché du Film
Sponsors Celestial Management, Sangha Renewables, Nordblock, and Paystand.org supported the program, which featured panels on mining, energy use, and decentralized infrastructure.
Attendees had the rare opportunity to engage directly with pioneers in the space. A special session in French led by Seb Gouspillou spotlighted mining efforts in the Congo’s Virunga region.
Dirty Coin builds on Mediavilla’s award-winning short film Stranded, which won over 20 international prizes, including Best Short Documentary at Cannes in 2024.
That success helped lay the foundation for the feature and positioned Mediavilla as one of the boldest new voices in global documentary filmmaking.
Alana Mediavilla speaks at the Marché du Film — Cannes Film Festival
“If we’ve found an industry that can unlock stranded energy and turn it into real power for people—especially in regions with energy poverty—why wouldn’t we look into it?” says Mediavilla. “Our privilege blinds us.
“The same thing we criticize could be the very thing that lifts the developing world to our standard of living. Ignoring that potential is a failure of imagination.”
Much like the decentralized network it explores, Dirty Coin is spreading globally through grassroots momentum.
Local leaders are hosting independent screenings around the world, from Roatán and Berlin to São Paulo and Madrid. Upcoming events include Toronto and Zurich, with more cities joining each month.
Mediavilla, who previously worked in creative leadership roles in the U.S. — including as a producer at Google — returned to Puerto Rico to found Campo Libre, a studio focused on high-caliber, globally relevant storytelling from the Caribbean.
She was also accepted into the Cannes Producers Network, a selective program open only to producers with box office releases in the past four years.
Mediavilla qualified after independently releasing Dirty Coin in theaters across Puerto Rico. Her participation in the network gave her direct access to meetings, insights, and connections with the most active distributors and producers working today.
The film’s next public screening will take place at the Anthem Film Festival in Palm Springs on Saturday, June 14 at 2 PM. Additional screenings and market appearances are planned throughout the year at Bitcoin events and international film platforms.
Dirty Coin at the Cannes Film Festival
Watch the Trailer + Access Press Materials
📂 EPK
🎬 Screener
🌍 Host a Screening
Follow the Movement
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/dirty_coin_official/
Twitter: https://x.com/DirtyCoinDoc
Website: www.dirtycointhemovie.com -
@ b17fccdf:b7211155
2025-06-09 19:17:52
Check out the MiniBolt guide -> HERE <-
- Core guides
- System
- Bitcoin
- Bitcoin client (Bitcoin Core)
- Electrum server (Fulcrum)
- Blockchain explorer (BTC RPC Explorer)
- Desktop signing app (Sparrow Wallet)
- Lightning
- Lightning client (LND)
- Channel backup
- Web app (ThunderHub)
- Mobile app (Zeus)
- Bonus guides
- System bonus guide
- Dashboard & Appearance
- System Administration
- Install / Update / Uninstall common languages
- Databases
- Hardware
- Bitcoin bonus guides
- Electrum servers
- Signing apps
- Desktop
- Electrum Wallet Desktop
- Decentralized exchange
- Resilience
- Fun
- Payment processors
- Testnet
- Nostr bonus guides
- Relays
- Nostr relay in Rust
- Security bonus guides
- Authentication and Access Control
- SSH Keys
- Networking bonus guides
- VPN & Tunneling
- Resilience
🏗️ Roadmap | 🌐 Dynamic Network map | 🔧 Issues | 📥 Pull requests | 🗣️ Discussions
By ⚡2FakTor⚡
Last updated: 09/06/2025
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@ 2cde0e02:180a96b9
2025-06-10 11:35:27pen; monochromized
The Heart and Stomach operate within the same neurological pathway. Desire displays itself as hunger because that's our animal way of understanding it. When the heart is deprived, the stomach compensates but never satiates. However when the love ❤️ desire is fulfilled, hunger ceases; and the nervous system regulates. There is no overeating when the system is in balance.
Likewise, an oxytocin surge dominates the dopamine pathway. But when love is ill, it is the dopamine hit that becomes the substitute. Gambling, sugar, smoking, money, and alcohol give short term relieve for the unavailable love and deprivation of the heart.
https://stacker.news/items/1002414
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@ da8b7de1:c0164aee
2025-06-07 04:42:05Nukleáris technológiai és projektfejlesztési hírek
Több jelentős nemzetközi fejlemény történt a nukleáris energia területén. A Westinghouse Electric Company megkapta az amerikai Energiaügyi Minisztériumtól a kulcsfontosságú biztonsági jóváhagyást az eVinci mikroreaktorához, ami fontos lépés ennek az innovatív nukleáris technológiának a bevezetése felé. A vállalat Idaho államban tervezi egy tesztreaktor létesítését, ami jól mutatja, hogy a mikroreaktorok piaca egyre nagyobb lendületet kap.
Eközben a nukleáris kapacitás gyors bővítéséhez szükséges ellátási lánc felkészültsége volt a fő témája a World Nuclear Association első konferenciájának. Jelentős projektfrissítések között szerepel a kritikus turbinakomponensek beszerelése a kínai Haiyang atomerőműben, az indiai Mahi Banswara Rajasthan Atomerőmű négy blokkjára vonatkozó szabályozói engedély, valamint egy új olaszországi partnerség, a Nuclitalia, amely fejlett nukleáris technológiákra fókuszál. Belgiumban a Nukleáris Kutatóközpont hivatalos konzultációkat indított egy ólom-hűtésű kis moduláris reaktor (SMR) ügyében, Brazília pedig bejelentette, hogy Oroszországgal közösen fejleszt SMR-projektet.
Szabályozási és biztonsági aktualitások
A Nemzetközi Atomenergia-ügynökség (IAEA) meghosszabbította a tanulmányok benyújtási határidejét a közelgő, nukleáris létesítmények ellenállóképességéről szóló konferenciájára, hangsúlyozva a nukleáris létesítmények alkalmazkodásának fontosságát a klímaváltozás jelentette növekvő kockázatokhoz. A konferenciát 2025 októberében rendezik Bécsben, és fő témája a nukleáris létesítmények biztonságának és ellenállóképességének növelése lesz, különös tekintettel a külső eseményekre, mint az árvizek és földrengések.
Kanadában a Nukleáris Biztonsági Bizottság engedélyezte az Ontario Power Generation számára, hogy megkezdje egy BWRX-300 típusú reaktor építését a Darlington New Nuclear Project helyszínén, ami a nukleáris építkezések folyamatos szabályozói támogatását mutatja. Az Egyesült Államokban a Nukleáris Szabályozási Bizottság további 20 évvel meghosszabbította a Duke Energy Oconee atomerőművi blokkjainak üzemeltetési engedélyét, valamint támogatást nyújtott a michigani Palisades atomerőmű újraindításához.
Iparági és gazdasági trendek
Az iparági vezetők optimistán nyilatkoztak a nukleáris energia jelenlegi helyzetéről, kiemelve az Egyesült Államokban zajló aktív projekteket (például a TerraPower Wyomingban és az X-energy együttműködése a Dow vállalattal), valamint a fejlett nukleáris üzemanyaggyártásba irányuló magánbefektetések növekedését. Felmerült az is, hogy a Világbank nukleáris projekteket is finanszírozhatna, ami tovább ösztönözhetné a globális beruházásokat, és megerősítené a nukleáris energia szerepét az energetikai átmenetben.
Belgiumban a kormány és az Engie közüzemi vállalat végleges megállapodást kötött a Tihange 3 és Doel 4 reaktorok üzemidejének tíz évvel történő meghosszabbításáról, amely az energiabiztonságot és a radioaktív hulladék kezelését is szolgálja. Németországban a nukleáris technológiai szövetség hangsúlyozta, hogy akár hat, nemrégiben leállított reaktor újraindítása technikailag megvalósítható, és a nukleáris energia biztonságos, gazdaságos, valamint klímabarát alternatívát jelent.
Nemzetközi együttműködés és kutatás
Kanadában a Prodigy Clean Energy és a Serco közel jár a szállítható atomerőművek tesztprogramjának befejezéséhez, amelynek középpontjában a biztonság és az extrém helyzetekben való ellenállóképesség áll. Az EnergySolutions és a WEC Energy Group új nukleáris kapacitás létesítését vizsgálja a wisconsini Kewaunee helyszínen, és előzetes engedélyeket kívánnak szerezni a jövőbeni telepítéshez.
Az IAEA ismételten hangsúlyozta, hogy kész támogatni a Zaporizzsjai Atomerőműre vonatkozó megállapodásokat, amely továbbra is orosz katonai ellenőrzés alatt áll, kiemelve a térségben fennálló geopolitikai és biztonsági kihívásokat.
Források:
world-nuclear-news.org
nucnet.org
iaea.org
ans.org -
@ afe67e17:51316efb
2025-06-09 18:33:37La Illuminati aŭ lumigita el Bavario, estis grupo kreita de la jezuitoj por batali liberalan framasonadon, ironie perdis kontrolon de la grupo, kiu aliĝis al la masonistoj. Koncerne, la masonistoj ricevis la operacian bazon, kiun la jezuitoj mem kreis
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@ 97c70a44:ad98e322
2025-06-09 18:23:27When developing on nostr, normally it's enough to read the NIP related to a given feature you want to build to know what has to be done. But there are some aspects of nostr development that aren't so straightforward because they depend less on specific data formats than on how different concepts are combined.
An example of this is how for a while it was considered best practice to re-publish notes when replying to them. This practice emerged before the outbox model gained traction, and was a hacky way of attempting to ensure relays had the full context required for a given note. Over time though, pubkey hints emerged as a better way to ensure other clients could find required context.
Another one of these things is "relay-based groups", or as I prefer to call it "relays-as-groups" (RAG). Such a thing doesn't really exist - there's no spec for it (although some aspects of the concept are included in NIP 29), but at the same time there are two concrete implementations (Flotilla and Chachi) which leverage several different NIPs in order to create a cohesive system for groups on nostr.
This composability is one of the neat qualities of nostr. Not only would it be unhelpful to specify how different parts of the protocol should work together, it would be impossible because of the number of possible combinations possible just from applying a little bit of common sense to the NIPs repo. No one said it was ok to put
t
tags on akind 0
. But no one's stopping you! And the semantics are basically self-evident if you understand its component parts.So, instead of writing a NIP that sets relay-based groups in stone, I'm writing this guide in order to document how I've combined different parts of the nostr protocol to create a compelling architecture for groups.
Relays
Relays already have a canonical identity, which is the relay's url. Events posted to a relay can be thought of as "posted to that group". This means that every relay is already a group. All nostr notes have already been posted to one or more groups.
One common objection to this structure is that identifying a group with a relay means that groups are dependent on the relay to continue hosting the group. In normal broadcast nostr (which forms organic permissionless groups based on user-centric social clustering), this is a very bad thing, because hosts are orthogonal to group identity. Communities are completely different. Communities actually need someone to enforce community boundaries, implement moderation, etc. Reliance on a host is a feature, not a bug (in contrast to NIP 29 groups, which tend to co-locate many groups on a single host, relays-as-groups tends to encourage one group, one host).
This doesn't mean that federation, mirrors, and migration can't be accomplished. In a sense, leaving this on the social layer is a good thing, because it adds friction to the dissolution/forking of a group. But the door is wide open to protocol additions to support those use cases for relay-based groups. One possible approach would be to follow this draft PR which specifies a "federation" event relays could publish on their own behalf.
Relay keys
This draft PR to NIP 11 specifies a
self
field which represents the relay's identity. Using this, relays can publish events on their own behalf. Currently, thepubkey
field sort of does the same thing, but is overloaded as a contact field for the owner of the relay.AUTH
Relays can control access using NIP 42 AUTH. There are any number of modes a relay can operate in:
- No auth, fully public - anyone can read/write to the group.
- Relays may enforce broad or granular access controls with AUTH.
Relays may deny EVENTs or REQs depending on user identity. Messages returned in AUTH, CLOSED, or OK messages should be human readable. It's crucial that clients show these error messages to users. Here's how Flotilla handles failed AUTH and denied event publishing:
LIMITS, PROBE, or some other reflection scheme could also be used in theory to help clients adapt their interface depending on user abilities and relay policy.
- AUTH with implicit access controls.
In this mode, relays may exclude matching events from REQs if the user does not have permission to view them. This can be useful for multi-use relays that host hidden rooms. This mode should be used with caution, because it can result in confusion for the end user.
See Frith for a relay implementation that supports some of these auth policies.
Invite codes
If a user doesn't have access to a relay, they can request access using this draft NIP. This is true whether access has been explicitly or implicitly denied (although users will have to know that they should use an invite code to request access).
The above referenced NIP also contains a mechanism for users to request an invite code that they can share with other users.
The policy for these invite codes is entirely up to the relay. They may be single-use, multi-use, or require additional verification. Additional requirements can be communicated to the user in the OK message, for example directions to visit an external URL to register.
See Frith for a relay implementation that supports invite codes.
Content
Any kind of event can be published to a relay being treated as a group, unless rejected by the relay implementation. In particular, NIP 7D was added to support basic threads, and NIP C7 for chat messages.
Since which relay an event came from determines which group it was posted to, clients need to have a mechanism for keeping track of which relay they received an event from, and should not broadcast events to other relays (unless intending to cross-post the content).
Rooms
Rooms follow NIP 29. I wish NIP 29 wasn't called "relay based groups", which is very confusing when talking about "relays as groups". It's much better to think of them as sub-groups, or as Flotilla calls them, "rooms".
EDIT: Flotilla has migrated to exclusively use "managed rooms" — i.e., fully NIP 29 compliant rooms. Relays without NIP 29 support can still support chat, but all messages will be presented as sent to a single room. I've removed references to unmanaged rooms in what follows.
~~Rooms have two modes - managed and unmanaged. Managed~~ rooms follow all the rules laid out in NIP 29 about metadata published by the relay and user membership. In either case, rooms are represented by a random room id, and are posted to by including the id in an event's
h
tag. ~~This allows rooms to switch between managed and unmanaged modes without losing any content.~~Managed room names come from
kind 39000
room meta events, ~~but unmanaged rooms don't have these. Instead, room names should come from members' NIP 51kind 10009
membership lists. Tags on these lists should look like this:["group", "groupid", "wss://group.example.com", "Cat lovers"]
. If no name can be found for the room (i.e., there aren't any members), the room should be ignored by clients.~~Rooms present a difficulty for publishing to the relay as a whole, since content with an
h
tag can't be excluded from requests. ~~Currently, relay-wide posts are h-tagged with_
which works for "group" clients, but not more generally. I'm not sure how to solve this other than to ask relays to support negative filters.~~ I have ideas on how to solve this in future iterations of relay-based groups, for example using virtual relays or just a better rooms spec.Cross-posting
The simplest way to cross-post content from one group (or room) to another, is to quote the original note in whatever event kind is appropriate. For example, a blog post might be quoted in a
kind 9
to be cross-posted to chat, or in akind 11
to be cross-posted to a thread.kind 16
reposts can be used the same way if the reader's client renders reposts.Posting the original event to multiple relays-as-groups is trivial, since all you have to do is send the event to the relay. Posting to multiple rooms simultaneously by appending multiple
h
tags is however not recommended, since group relays/clients are incentivised to protect themselves from spam by rejecting events with multipleh
tags (similar to how events with multiplet
tags are sometimes rejected).Privacy
Currently, it's recommended to include a NIP 70
-
tag on content posted to relays-as-groups to discourage replication of relay-specific content across the network.Another slightly stronger approach would be for group relays to strip signatures in order to make events invalid (or at least deniable). For this approach to work, users would have to be able to signal that they trust relays to be honest. We could also use ZkSNARKS to validate signatures in bulk.
In any case, group posts should not be considered "private" in the same way E2EE groups might be. Relays-as-groups should be considered a good fit for low-stakes groups with many members (since trust deteriorates quickly as more people get involved).
Membership
There is currently no canonical member list published by relays (except for NIP 29 managed rooms). Instead, users keep track of their own relay and room memberships using
kind 10009
lists. Relay-level memberships are represented by anr
tag containing the relay url, and room-level memberships are represented using agroup
tag.Users can choose to advertise their membership in a RAG by using unencrypted tags, or they may keep their membership private by using encrypted tags. Advertised memberships are useful for helping people find groups based on their social graph:
User memberships should not be trusted, since they can be published unilaterally by anyone, regardless of actual access, so it's better to think of them as "bookmarked groups" or "favorites". Possible improvements in this area would be the ability to provide proof of access:
- Relays could publish member lists (although this would sacrifice member privacy)
- Relays could support a new command that allows querying a particular member's access status
- Relays could provide a proof to the member that they could then choose to publish or not
Moderation
There are two parts to moderation: reporting and taking action based on these reports.
Reporting is already covered by NIP 56. Clients should be careful about encouraging users to post reports for illegal content under their own identity, since that can itself be illegal. Relays also should not serve reports to users, since that can be used to find rather than address objectionable content.
Reports are only one mechanism for flagging objectionable content. Relay operators and administrators can use whatever heuristics they like to identify and address objectionable content. This might be via automated policies that auto-ban based on reports from high-reputation people, a client that implements NIP 86 relay management API, or by some other admin interface.
There's currently no way for moderators of a given relay to be advertised, or for a moderator's client to know that the user is a moderator (so that they can enable UI elements for in-app moderation). This could be addressed via NIP 11, LIMITS, or some other mechanism in the future.
General best practices
In general, it's very important when developing a client to assume that the relay has no special support for any of the above features, instead treating all of this stuff as progressive enhancement.
For example, if a user enters an invite code, go ahead and send it to the relay using a
kind 28934
event. If it's rejected, you know that it didn't work. But if it's accepted, you don't know that it worked - you only know that the relay allowed the user to publish that event. This is helpful, becaues it may imply that the user does indeed have access to the relay. But additional probing may be needed, and reliance on error messages down the road when something else fails unexpectedly is indispensable.This paradigm may drive some engineers nuts, because it's basically equivalent to coding your clients to reverse-engineer relay support for every feature you want to use. But this is true of nostr as a whole - anyone can put whatever weird stuff in an event and sign it. Clients have to be extremely compliant with Postell's law - doing their absolute best to accept whatever weird data or behavior shows up and handle failure in any situation. Sure, it's annoying, but it's the cost of permissionless development. What it gets us is a completely open-ended protocol, in which anything can be built, and in which every solution is tested by the market.
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@ c9badfea:610f861a
2025-06-06 20:05:26- Install Food You (it's free and open source)
- Launch the app and tap the ⚙️ icon
- Tap Meals and set up your meal schedule (these items will appear on the main screen)
- Go back and then tap Calorie Goal to configure your daily intake goal
- Return to the main screen
- Now you can tap + on a card (e.g. Breakfast) to add a meal
- Tap + and select Product
- You can now fill in the details manually
- Or tap Download Product, paste the URL of the product from OpenFoodFacts (e.g. https://world.openfoodfacts.org/product/6111242101180/lait-entier-uht-jaouda), and then tap Download
- Tap Create
- You can now adjust intake details like servings
- Tap Save
- Add more products and recipes and start tracking your nutrition!
ℹ️ Once you have created enough products, you can tap + on a meal card on the main screen, then tap + and select Recipe to create recipes from products
ℹ️ Internet connection is only used to optionally fetch product details via URLs; otherwise, the app works completely offline
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@ 8bad92c3:ca714aa5
2025-06-10 11:02:03Key Takeaways
In this episode of TFTC, Jessy Gilger, Managing Partner at Sound Advisory and architect of Ganet Trust, unpacks the complexities of retiring on Bitcoin, emphasizing that the “right” amount depends on spending habits, age, and minimizing withdrawal pressure. He introduces Ganet Trust as a Bitcoin-native fiduciary solution that leverages multisig custody to meet institutional compliance standards without sacrificing decentralization. Jessy also critiques high-yield derivative products like MSTY, warning of systemic risks and advocating for safer alternatives like SMAs. The conversation broadens into the emotional pitfalls of financial decision-making, the importance of aligning wealth with values, and the evolving macro landscape where Bitcoin’s intersection with traditional finance and tax policy will shape how individuals and institutions protect and grow their holdings across generations.
Best Quotes
"The most comfort comes from putting as little pressure as possible against that stack."
"Multisig is the upgrade from a honeypot to a distributed key setup."
"If a whale pees in the pool, everyone is affected."
"Everyone feels late to Bitcoin because they know someone who got in earlier."
"Stacking Saturdays is my new stack sats."
"Bitcoin doesn’t know about trust, it knows private keys."
"The money is there to serve your values—not the other way around."
"Some financial products will help, some will hurt, and some will fail. Our job is to help clients navigate them safely."
Conclusion
This episode offers a powerful blend of practical insight and philosophical reflection on long-term Bitcoin strategy, emphasizing the need for sound custody, inheritance planning, and emotional discipline in a volatile, financialized world. Jessy Gilger introduces Ganet Trust as a vital solution for secure, compliant Bitcoin ownership, while his “stacking Saturdays” mantra reframes wealth as a pursuit of time, freedom, and meaningful priorities. As Bitcoin moves further into the mainstream, the conversation urges listeners to stay grounded, think generationally, and build resilient systems for both assets and life.
Timestamps
00:00 - Intro
0:33 - Bitcoin Retirement Planning at New All-Time Highs
5:22 - How Gannett Trust Works
10:05 - High Net Worth Bitcoin Storage and Estate Planning Solutions
16:48 - MSTY Derivatives: Understanding MicroStrategy Product Risks
19:53 - Bitkey
20:56 - How MSTY Works and the Whale in the Pool Problem
30:16 - Unchained
30:37 - Bitcoin Financialization and Corporate Treasury Strategy
39:35 - Avoiding Ego-Driven Bitcoin Mistakes and Building Bridges
47:33 - Stack Saturdays
53:15 - Tax Policy Changes and Wild Times Ahead
57:18 - Where to Find Gannett Trust and ClosingTranscript
(00:00) We have people retiring with hundreds of Bitcoin. Do you need to be on a yacht every week or are you staying humble and keeping those stats? 10 of the 12 ETFs are at Coinbase means all the keys are at Coinbase and with the news of the last week like, hey, there could be cracks. Micro Strategy is built on Bitcoin.
(00:18) It's got all of the risks of Bitcoin, right? But then it's got its own set of risks. Let's call them Sailor and Profitability. Then you have derivatives which are on top of Micro Strategy and they retain the risks of everything underneath. meeting on a on a day when we hit new all-time highs. Bitcoin approached $110,000.
(00:43) Got Jesse back on the show to talk about many things, not just the price ripping. A lot of good things happening on the unch unchained side of things. Watching Ganet Trust. We'll get into it. Yeah, lot lots of stuff happening. I think um the price likes Ganet. I I think that's the uh the mover. What uh I mean that's been a big discussion in in the space right now is uh are we heading to new all-time highs? How should Bitcoiners be preparing? How much Bitcoin do people need to retire? How how are you thinking about all this as we approach what seems
(01:22) to be another bull cycle? Yeah, that's a common question, right? How much Bitcoin do I need to retire? I get it a lot and there's so many other questions I want to ask like, well, how much money are you spending, right? Do you do you need to be on a yacht every week or are you staying humble and keeping those stats? And so, the amount of Bitcoin can vary because the spending pressure you're putting against your Bitcoin stack is the the biggest factor, right? And age is probably the second.
(01:54) a 30-year-old retiring on Bitcoin is different than a 75year-old retiring on Bitcoin just because of the horizon. So, stacks vary. We've got people retiring with um less than seven figures of Bitcoin because they have other assets and then we have people retiring with hundreds of Bitcoin um and putting very little pressure against that portfolio.
(02:16) So, can go in a lot of different ways. Um but it is a question of the day as you're poking new all-time highs. Everyone's like, "Well, how high is it going to get?" And then huge question is do we have cycles again right if countries are buying what what would a downside look like and that's the big question in the retirees mind is how do I protect and not ride that downside all the way down if we do have another 70 80% drawback. Yeah. No.
(02:42) And I think particularly for younger people having in their mind like the perspective of 21 million Bitcoin, 8 billion people, what's the stat? 60 million millionaires in the world. Mhm. How much how many stats do I need to get to to feel comfortable that I have a sufficient slice of the Bitcoin pie? That feel comfortable concept is just so different, right? because Bitcoin is moving and shaking and all-time highs or down 30% and that's still within a bull market.
(03:15) Is that comfortable, right? Can you actually hang it up and like, all right, not going into work and I'm just going to continue to ride these adoption cycles. I don't know if it ever gets comfortable. The most comfort comes from putting as little pressure as possible against that stack, right? that you're not pushing these withdrawal rates of like 5 10 20% of my Bitcoin stack.
(03:38) I'm needing to live on every because then you're requiring Bitcoin to do something for you in the short term which is just not great at, right? What what's Bitcoin price going to be in a year? Far less reliable than what's Bitcoin price going to be in 30 years. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Well, I I think one of the holdups too is the ability for people to get into Bitcoin and know where to put it and not only have certainty of what it will be valued at in 30 years, but will they have access to it? That's one thing that you guys
(04:10) have been very much focused. I know sound advisory is separate from Unchained technically but within the Unchained umbrella but Unchained focused on helping secure individuals and businesses and trust uh Bitcoin and I think today's announcement of Ganet Trust is a massive step in a direction towards more certainty for long-term holdings for particular entities.
(04:36) Yes, the unchained umbrella or or family of companies is growing and the intention will be for sound advisory to tuck under or be merged into folded into Ganet Trust Company as it gets stood up. But it is the most robust uh compliance offering that um is out there in the fiduciary space. And so that in my opinion was the one thing missing as people want to live on a Bitcoin standard.
(05:04) Sometimes they're in an entity or an organization or have a structure that requires a fiduciary standard. And these two coming together is solved by Ganet Trust Company. So it's going to be the most robust way to hold Bitcoin and have like true inheritance that can be um administered through generations. So how how does this work mechanically via Ganet? Mechanically.
(05:28) So as the first Bitcoin native trust company, other other trust companies do exist, right? but they don't build upon Bitcoin in the way that Unchained has. So Ganet in its um in its Unchained roots and using Unchained technology is going to be able to use multi-IG to achieve um trust company goals.
(05:50) And what that likely will mean is Ganet holding a key, Unchained holding a key, third party holding a key. Those three keys together ensure that the Bitcoin is not being held at any one spot, right? We could get into the Coinbase honeypot. We actually talked about this on our last episode like, "Hey, what do you think is the uh the risk out there that the industry might disagree with?" Said, "I'm launching a new segment.
(06:15) I'm going to ask you a prediction of what what's out there that the uh the industry doesn't see eye to eye with you at." And I was at conferences and they're saying, "Hey, Coinbase is the best. That's where we put all the cut." That means all the keys are at Coinbase and with the news of the last week like, hey, there could be cracks, right? If you've got exposure to Coinbase now, you could be questioning. I was on the list.
(06:37) I got the email. You were affected. That's not great. It doesn't feel good knowing that information that information could have been a lot worse. That headline could have been private keys being mismanaged. When you overlay what Ganet is going to offer to the custody space, it means that not all of the keys are going to be at any one entity.
(07:00) And so that gives the Bitcoiner who understands multisig the confidence that okay, I'm upgrading from a honeypot to a distributed key setup. But it has to be done in a fiduciary and compliant way to satisfy the the institutional and big money of the world, right? family offices, uh, Bitcoin treasury companies, they're going to need a structure that the CIO, the -
@ c631e267:c2b78d3e
2025-06-06 18:54:04Willst du den Charakter eines Menschen kennenlernen, \ so gib ihm Macht. \ Abraham Lincoln
Vermutlich war Friedrich Merz erleichtert nach seinem Besuch beim US-Präsidenten im Oval Office. Dem Bundeskanzler kam zwar neben der Wortgewalt Donald Trumps eher eine Statistenrolle in der Medienrunde zu, aber es hätte natürlich viel schlimmer kommen können. Deswegen hatte er sich wohl vorher Ratschläge geholt, wie man hört unter anderem vom ukrainischen Präsidenten Wolodymyr Selenskyj. Offiziell gab der deutsche Regierungschef sogar an, «außerordentlich zufrieden» mit seinem Antrittsbesuch zu sein.
Dabei gibt es aktuell doch mehr Differenzen als Gemeinsamkeiten. Zu den Themen, mit denen es eine sehr unterschiedliche Umgehensweise hier und dort gibt, gehört die Gesundheit. Trumps Gesundheitsminister, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., kritisiert zum Beispiel, die meisten US-Universitäten würden den Studenten zu wenig über die Bedeutung gesunder Ernährung beibringen. Im Vordergrund der medizinischen Ausbildung stünde zu sehr die Behandlung der Menschen mit Medikamenten. Daher plant er, den Fakultäten die Bundesmittel zu streichen, wenn sie ihren Studenten keine Ernährungskurse anbieten.
Der oft als Verschwörungstheoretiker diffamierte RFK Jr. ist auch Teil des wachsenden Widerstands gegen Geoengineering-Aktivitäten. Die Manipulation von Wetter und Klima beispielsweise durch das Freisetzen von Chemikalien in die Atmosphäre kann kaum gesund sein und soll daher mit Louisiana jetzt in einem weiteren US-Bundesstaat verboten werden. Kennedy hatte derartige Maßnahmen auch schon als ein Verbrechen bezeichnet, das es zu stoppen gelte.
Indes ist der deutsche Beitrag in diesem Kontext, dass Ex-Gesundheitsminister und Covid-Impfpflicht-Befürworter Karl Lauterbach jetzt zum Klimaexperten mutiert. Laut Spiegel soll er Mitglied einer Kommission für Klima und Gesundheit bei der Weltgesundheitsorganisation werden, angeblich unentgeltlich. Vermutlich möchte die WHO im Sinne ihrer One-Health-Initiative mit solcher Lobbyarbeit für «Klimaschutz als Teil des Gesundheitsschutzes» ihren globalen Führungsanspruch untermauern.
Das Thema «Corona» ist im Übrigen noch lange nicht erledigt und das Narrativ bekommt weitere Risse. Nachdem Kennedy in den USA den Covid-«Impfstoff» für gesunde Kinder und schwangere Frauen aus dem empfohlenen Impfplan gestrichen hat, ist eine CDC-Beraterin zurückgetreten, die die Gen-Injektionen für Schwangere gefördert hatte. Auch die australische Regierung hat ihre Impfempfehlungen aktualisiert. Sie räumt jetzt ein, dass der Nutzen des «Impfstoffs» die Schäden für gesunde Jugendliche nicht überwiegt.
Gleichzeitig berichten Medien von einer neuen, anhaltenden «Covid-19-Welle» in China. Es gebe Befürchtungen, dass es zu erneuten Lockdowns und anderen drastischen Maßnahmen kommen könnte, obwohl sich die «Infektionen» laut den Gesundheitsbehörden auf einem Abwärtstrend befinden. In einigen Schulen seien Schüler isoliert und unter Quarantäne gestellt worden.
Isolierung, Überwachung und Kontrolle sind ebenfalls ein höchst ungesundes Erbe der «Coronazeit». Die weltweit vielfach eingeführten digitalen «Impfpässe» wurden als Instrument benutzt, um Kampagnen für digitale Identitäten zu fördern und die entsprechenden Systeme aufzubauen. Gerade hat auch Griechenland mit der Einführung seiner «Personal Citizen Number» den Grundstein für ein einheitliches digitales ID-System gelegt.
Derweil schlagen Datenschützer Alarm wegen des Tracking-Potenzials der sogenannten «Phone Home»-Funktion vieler digitaler Ausweise. Dieses «Feature», bei dem im Hintergrund jedesmal der Aussteller kontaktiert wird, um eine Angabe zu überprüfen, werde ganz leise in der Gesellschaft eingeführt, warnen sie. Das gebe den Regierungen den Vorgeschmack auf eine Macht, die sie kaum jemals wieder loslassen würden. Dagegen hilft nur eins: wachsam sein, hinterfragen und im Zweifel «Nein» sagen, anstatt auf eine vermeintliche Bequemlichkeit hereinzufallen.
[Titelbild: Pixabay]
Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben und ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.
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@ e2287c73:33911b46
2025-06-09 17:44:24Мы сражаемся за глобализм и Новый Мировой Порядок. За то, чтобы по красной площади гуляли голые мужики на каблуках, за 300 гендеров, за право наших детей сменить пол в 12 лет. За разврат и бездуховность. За Содом и Гоморру. За общество потребления. За индивидуализм и рыночек. За аборты и эвтаназию. За легализацию наркотиков, оружия и проституции. За то, чтобы в документах писалось "Родитель 1, Родитель 2" вместо "папа и мама". За секс-просвет с детского сада и gender studies. За гендерную-нейтральность. За развал России и образование на её месте либерально-сатанинско-атеистического государства под управлением прозападных глобалистов (желательно евреев). За западный неоколониализм. За то, чтобы бляди танцевали в церквях каждый день, ибо те будут переделаны в гей- и стрип-клубы, казино, публичные дома, на худой конец в ТЦшки. За то, чтобы кремль был переделан в диснейленд, а одним из аттракционов там было расстреливание икон из пневматической винтовки. Когда-то лапотные slave'янские дикари призвали варягов, чтобы те привили им цивилизацию и западные ценности. Так же и теперь мы должны призвать коллективный Запад чтобы он насадил сиволапой русне однополые браки, ГМО, феминизм, либерализм и прочие достижения высшей западной культуры, ценности истинных арийцев. Варяги - суть скандинавы, значит нужно принимать западные ценности и скандинавскую/арийскую толерастию, вот! (кроме некоторых леваческих заскоков/запретов).
Наше дело правое и мы победим, ибо будущее всегда побеждает прошлое, а прогресс - реакцию! Клянусь Айфоном, Рыночком, Макдаком и радужным знаменем! Мученики и бойцы могут быть уверены: гордые анархо-либеральные западники будут до последней капли крови сражаться против коммунизма, консерватизма, рашизма и всех видов реакционного мракобесия. Наша борьба будет продолжаться, пока власть от национальных государств не перейдёт к транснациональным корпорациям, и не будет построен Новый Мировой Порядок. Мы никогда не отступим! Мы победим! Да хранит Госдеп Великий Запад, неолиберализм, общество потребления, LGBTQIA+ , да возвеличит их. Тель хай! Все, кто встанет у нас на пути - пожалеют. И всех врагов свободы мы намотаем на гусеницы танков если будет нужно. Как говорила Валерия Ильинична: "Я лично правами человека накушалась досыта. Некогда и мы, и ЦРУ, и США использовали эту идею как таран для уничтожения коммунистического режима и развала СССР. Эта идея отслужила свое." Очевидно, что в такой мракобесной стране как Рваньсия, есть от силы 3% нормальных людей и 97% говна. Права - для 3% избранных, может для креативного класса, но точно не для мировоззренчески ущербных ватников, совково-пролетарской драни и черносотенной националистически-булкохрустной нечисти. Так что пусть сидят на жопе ровно и смотрят балет!
Философской основой для нашей политической позиции служит диалектический имморализм — человеконенавистническая ультралиберальная идеология право-прогрессивного толка. Это культ тотального неподчинения, философия радикальной свободы, аморального индивидуализма и техноглобального нигилизма против всех форм традиции, морали и запрета. (книга в закрепе)
Бездуховные треки, как авторские так и прочие - в разделе аудио. /GlobalistRussophobe - самый большой агрегатор бездуховности в интернете Авторские мемы в этом профиле, находятся по слову "ориджинал".
Голосуй за СОДОМ! Содом - в каждый дом! Смерть России! Ave Satan! Drang nach Osten!
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@ 97c70a44:ad98e322
2025-06-06 18:12:40Vibe coding is taking the nostr developer community by storm. While it's all very exciting and interesting, I think it's important to pump the brakes a little - not in order to stop the vehicle, but to try to keep us from flying off the road as we approach this curve.
In this note Pablo is subtweeting something I said to him recently (although I'm sure he's heard it from other quarters as well):
nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzp75cf0tahv5z7plpdeaws7ex52nmnwgtwfr2g3m37r844evqrr6jqy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyv9kh2uewd9hj7qghwaehxw309aex2mrp0yh8qunfd4skctnwv46z7qg6waehxw309ac8junpd45kgtnxd9shg6npvchxxmmd9uqzq0z48d4ttzzkupswnkyt5a2xfkhxl3hyavnxjujwn5k2k529aearwtecp4
There is a naive, curmudgeonly case for simply "not doing AI". I think the intuition is a good one, but the subject is obviously more complicated - not doing it, either on an individual or a collective level, is just not an option. I recently read Tools for Conviviality by Ivan Illich, which I think can help us here. For Illich, the best kind of tool is one which serves "politically interrelated individuals rather than managers".
This is obviously a core value for bitcoiners. And I think the talks given at the Oslo Freedom Forum this year present a compelling case for adoption of LLMs for the purposes of 1. using them for good, and 2. developing them further so that they don't get captured by corporations and governments. Illich calls both the telephone and print "almost ideally convivial". I would add the internet, cryptography, and LLMs to this list, because each one allows individuals to work cooperatively within communities to embody their values in their work.
But this is only half the story. Illich also points out how "the manipulative nature of institutions... have put these ideally convivial tools at the service of more [managerial dominance]."
Preventing the subversion and capture of our tools is not just a matter of who uses what, and for which ends. It also requires an awareness of the environment that the use of the tool (whether for virtuous or vicious ends) creates, which in turn forms the abilities, values, and desires of those who inhabit the environment.
The natural tendency of LLMs is to foster ignorance, dependence, and detachment from reality. This is not the fault of the tool itself, but that of humans' tendency to trade liberty for convenience. Tools naturally amplify that tendency, and having established their own patterns of use as systems of values and evaluation of outcome in the inhabitants of the environment they create, foster an inability to recognize their own influence, and thereby to work effectively for purposes not endorsed by the structure of the tool-defined environment. This is what I mean when I say that AI use is anti-human. I mean it in the same way that all unreflective tool use is anti-human. c.f. Wendell Berry for an evaluation of industrial agriculture along the same lines.
What I'm not claiming is that a minority of high agency individuals can't use the technology for virtuous ends. In fact, I think that is an essential part of the solution. Tool use can be good. But tools that bring their users into dependence on complex industry and catechize their users into a particular system should be approached with extra caution. The plow was a convivial tool, and so were early tractors. Self-driving John Deere monstrosities are a straightforward extension of the earlier form of the technology, but are self-evidently an instrument of debt slavery, chemical dependency, industrial centralization, and degradation of the land. As Illich says:
There is a form of malfunction in which growth does not yet tend toward the destruction of life, yet renders a tool antagonistic to its specific aims. Tools, in other words, have an optimal, a tolerable, and a negative range.
The initial form of a tool is almost always beneficial, because tools are made by humans for human ends. But as the scale of the tool grows, its logic gets more widely and forcibly, applied. The solution to the anti-human tendencies of any technology is an understanding of scale. To prevent the overrun of the internal logic of a given tool and its creation of an environment hostile to human flourishing, we need to impose limits on scale.
Tools that require time periods or spaces or energies much beyond the order of corresponding natural scales are dysfunctional.
My problem with LLMs is:
- Not their imitation of human idioms, but their subversion of them and the resulting adoption of robotic idioms by humans
- Not the access they grant to information, but their ability to obscure accurate information
- Not their elimination of menial work, but its increase (c.f. Bullshit Jobs)
- Not their ability to take away jobs, but their ability to take away the meaning found in good work
- Not their ability to confer power to the user, but their ability to confer power to their owner
- Not their ability to solve problems mechanistically, but the extension of their mechanistic value system to human life
- Not the convenience they create, but the dependence they encourage
- Not the conversations they are able to participate in, but the relationships they displace
All of these dysfunctions come from the over-application of the technology in evaluating and executing the fundamentally human task of living. AI work is the same kind of thing as an AI girlfriend, because work is not only for the creation of value (although that's an essential part of it), but also for the exercise of human agency in the world. In other words, tools must be tools, not masters. This is a problem of scale - when tool use is extended beyond its appropriate domain, it becomes what Illich calls a "radical monopoly" (the domination of a single paradigm over all of human life).
So the important question when dealing with any emergent technology becomes: how can we set limits such that the use of the technology is naturally confined to its appropriate scale?
Here are some considerations:
- Teach people how to use the technology well (e.g. cite sources when doing research, use context files instead of fighting the prompt, know when to ask questions rather than generate code)
- Create and use open source and self-hosted models and tools (MCP, stacks, tenex). Refuse to pay for closed or third-party hosted models and tools.
- Recognize the dependencies of the tool itself, for example GPU availability, and diversify the industrial sources to reduce fragility and dependence.
- Create models with built-in limits. The big companies have attempted this (resulting in Japanese Vikings), but the best-case effect is a top-down imposition of corporate values onto individuals. But the idea isn't inherently bad - a coding model that refuses to generate code in response to vague prompts, or which asks clarifying questions is an example. Or a home assistant that recognized childrens' voices and refuses to interact.
- Divert the productivity gains to human enrichment. Without mundane work to do, novice lawyers, coders, and accountants don't have an opportunity to hone their skills. But their learning could be subsidized by the bots in order to bring them up to a level that continues to be useful.
- Don't become a slave to the bots. Know when not to use it. Talk to real people. Write real code, poetry, novels, scripts. Do your own research. Learn by experience. Make your own stuff. Take a break from reviewing code to write some. Be independent, impossible to control. Don't underestimate the value to your soul of good work.
- Resist both monopoly and "radical monopoly". Both naturally collapse over time, but by cultivating an appreciation of the goodness of hand-crafted goods, non-synthetic entertainment, embodied relationship, and a balance between mobility and place, we can relegate new, threatening technologies to their correct role in society.
I think in all of this is implicit the idea of technological determinism, that productivity is power, and if you don't adapt you die. I reject this as an artifact of darwinism and materialism. The world is far more complex and full of grace than we think.
The idea that productivity creates wealth is, as we all know, bunk. GDP continues to go up, but ungrounded metrics don't reflect anything about the reality of human flourishing. We have to return to a qualitative understanding of life as whole, and contextualize quantitative tools and metrics within that framework.
Finally, don't believe the hype. Even if AI delivers everything it promises, conservatism in changing our ways of life will decelerate the rate of change society is subjected to and allow time for reflection and proper use of the tool. Curmudgeons are as valuable as technologists. There will be no jobspocalypse if there is sufficient political will to value human good over mere productivity. It's ok to pump the breaks.
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-10 10:39:15Trestles is a collection of surfing spots between northern San Onofre State Beach in San Diego County and southern San Clemente in Orange County in California.Trestles consists of, from north to south, Upper Trestles (Uppers), Lower Trestles (Lowers), and Middle Trestles (Middles). North of Upper Trestles is the surf spot called Cottons. South of Middles is the surf spot called The Church. Middles gets its name because it was a middle area between Trestles (both Uppers and Lowers breaks) and The Church (sometimes just called "Church". It is named after Trestles Bridge, a wooden trestle bridge that surfers must walk under to reach the beach, replaced in 2012 by a concrete viaduct.
Lower Trestles consistently has the best waves of the group. For many years, the WSL World Tour surfing competition and the NSSA Nationals were annually held at Lowers. Uppers is less consistent, but it has the potential to be a good wave with a long ride. North of Uppers is Cotton's Point, the location of former president Richard Nixon's home, La Casa Pacifica, aka "The Western White House", and the associated surfing spot of Cottons.
Seasonal stream During periods of strong rain, Trestles has a stream that runs through its center and empties into the ocean. Usually, the stream flows during the winter and spring, the seasons with the most rain in Southern California. The stream does not contain much marine life as it dries up without a steady water source. The stream creates a small pool which contains mainly tadpoles. When the stream dries up above ground, an underground water flow still exits into the ocean, just not through a river delta.
Wave: Trestles Nicknames: Lowers, Middles, Uppers Where: San Onofre State Beach Park, California, USA When: Best Autumn to Spring Why: Smooth as silk Stats: Holds 1-12ft, wave ride from 150ft to 500ft
Link to follow the Event (Yesterday was postponed du to weather conditions):
https://www.worldsurfleague.com/events/2025/ct/327/lexus-trestles-pro/results
To watch live :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6tcWqwaAwCc&ab_channel=WorldSurfLeague
https://stacker.news/items/1002382
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-06-06 17:27:33เฮียไปเจอบทความต่างประเทศของเมื่อราวๆปี 2022 ที่เล่าเรื่องการจับมือกันระหว่าง CP Foods หรือที่คนไทยเรารู้จักกันดีในชื่อ “ซีพี” กับบริษัทจากอิสราเอลที่ชื่อ Future Meat Technologies ชื่อดูเหมือนจะหลุดมาจากหนังไซไฟ แต่สิ่งที่เขาทำไม่ใช่ยานอวกาศ ไม่ใช่หุ่นยนต์ แต่เป็น “เนื้อ” ใช่แล้ว เนื้อจริง ๆ แต่ไม่ต้องฆ่าสัตว์ เป็นเนื้อเพาะเลี้ยงจากเซลล์ในห้องแล็บ ที่เขาเรียกกันว่า cultivated meat หรือเนื้อเพาะเลี้ยง เฮียเห็นชื่อครั้งแรกก็แอบคิดว่ามันจะเป็นของเล่นของคนไฮเทคหรือเปล่า แต่พออ่านลึกเข้าไป มันกลายเป็นเรื่องจริงจังมาก เพราะมันเกี่ยวกับอนาคตของอาหารที่คนทั้งโลกอาจจะต้องพึ่งพาโดยไม่รู้ตัว
บริษัท Future Meat ทำเรื่องนี้ได้ล้ำมาก เขาสามารถเพาะเลี้ยงเซลล์ของสัตว์ให้เติบโตเป็นเนื้อได้โดยไม่ต้องฆ่าใครเลย ฟังดูเป็นมิตรกับโลกกับสัตว์มาก แต่มันมีโจทย์ที่ยากกว่านั้น คือจะทำอย่างไรให้เนื้อเพาะเลี้ยงนี้ “น่ากิน” สำหรับคนเอเชีย เพราะถ้าจะขายแค่ฝรั่งที่ชอบอกไก่จืด ๆ ก็ง่ายหน่อย แต่คนเอเชียเรานี่สิ ชอบเนื้อที่เรียกว่าเนื้อดำ ซึ่งจะเข้มข้น แน่นๆ มัน ๆ หอม ๆ สีเข้ม รสชัดแบบสะโพกไก่ น่องไก่ หรือเนื้อวัวที่เอาไปทำกะเพรา ทำแกง ทำผัดเผ็ดได้ CP เขาเข้าใจรสนิยมนี้ดี และนั่นแหละคือเหตุผลที่เขาไปจับมือกับบริษัทนี้ เฮียว่ามันไม่ใช่แค่เรื่องเทคโนโลยี แต่มันคือการจับมือกันระหว่างห้องแล็บกับตลาดรสนิยมบนจานข้าวของคนจริง ๆ
สิ่งที่เฮียว่าน่าสนใจคือ CP เข้ามาเติมเต็มสิ่งที่บริษัทเทคโนโลยีขาด นั่นคือความเข้าใจตลาดเอเชียแบบลึกซึ้ง ซีพีมีเครือข่ายทั่วภูมิภาค รู้ว่าคนไทย คนจีน คนอินโดฯ กินอะไร ชอบรสไหน จะเข้าไปวางขายในตลาดไหนต้องระวังวัฒนธรรมการกินอะไรบ้าง มันไม่ใช่แค่จะเอาเนื้อเพาะเลี้ยงมาย่างแล้ววางใส่เบอร์เกอร์แล้วขายได้เหมือนกันหมด CP เลยเป็นเหมือนสะพานเชื่อมจากโลกห้องแล็บเข้าสู่โลกจริงที่มีคนกินจริง ๆ นั่งรออยู่
แต่ในขณะที่หลายคนมองว่าเนื้อเพาะเลี้ยงคือความหวังใหม่ของโลก ที่ไม่ต้องฆ่าสัตว์ ไม่ปล่อยคาร์บอน ไม่ใช้พื้นที่มหาศาล เฮียก็อดคิดไม่ได้ว่า ถ้าระบบอาหารในอนาคตถูกควบคุมโดยไม่กี่บริษัท ใครเป็นคนควบคุมสูตร ใครถือสิทธิ์ในเซลล์ต้นแบบ ใครควบคุมแหล่งวัตถุดิบที่ใช้เพาะเลี้ยง แล้วคนกินอย่างเราจะเหลืออิสระแค่ไหนในการเลือกอาหารของตัวเอง มันอาจจะดูดีในระยะสั้น แต่ในระยะยาว ถ้าเราต้องพึ่งของพวกนี้เป็นหลัก แล้วของจริงที่โตจากดิน มีชีวิต กำลังถูกแทนที่ด้วยของเพาะในถัง เฮียว่าความเป็นมนุษย์ของเราก็อาจจะค่อย ๆ หายไปเหมือนกันโดยไม่รู้ตัว ถ้าในอนาคต “เนื้อ” ไม่ได้มาจากสัตว์ แต่กลายเป็นของเพาะเลี้ยงที่ออกแบบโดยใครบางคนในห้องแล็บ เราจะยังมีสิทธิ์เลือกรสชาติชีวิตของตัวเองอยู่มั้ย หรือเรากำลังค่อย ๆ โดนโปรแกรมผ่านของที่เรียกว่าอาหาร โดยไม่รู้เลยว่าใครคือคนเขียนโค้ดนั้น
siamstr #pirateketo
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@ ea181d3b:0fa4d7cd
2025-06-06 16:27:15Originally shared on Mirror.xyz/canurta.eth on May 6th, 2025
Hal Finney helped start the chain.
When he tweeted “Running Bitcoin” in 2009, he did more than launch a network—he became its first human node. He mined the first blocks. He received the first transaction. And then, not long after, he received an ALS diagnosis.
But here’s the part that never leaves me: he kept going.
Even as his body weakened, Hal kept coding with speech‑to‑text software. He stayed plugged in. He called Bitcoin “an exciting possibility.” He kept contributing because each new block gave him purpose—a signal that his energy was still shaping the future.
And now, it is.
At Canurta, we will pioneer the Satoshi Trials™, using the power of Bitcoin in our Corporate Treasury to fund R\&D. With every block, we’re moving closer to a world where we can show how nature can be harnessed as the best medicine. We’re translating block time into biological progress.
This isn’t metaphor. It’s design— with the deeper purpose to complete the loop: the same digital system that gave Hal hope will now help us fund and fuel ALS research. His energy—immortalized in the Bitcoin ledger—is powering a therapeutic frontier that could one day deliver on what he never got to see.
We believe in transparency. Like Bitcoin, our science will remain verifiable and open.
We believe in persistence. Like Bitcoin, our model compounds over time.
And we believe in decentralized resilience—because it will take more than one institution to solve ALS.
This ALS Awareness Month, we’re not just remembering Hal Finney.
We’re building with him.
One block at a time.
-- Akeem Gardner
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-06-06 16:00:55Bitcoin Magazine
Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in BitcoinMeanwhile Insurance Bitcoin (Bermuda) Limited (“Meanwhile”) announced it has become the first company in the world to release externally audited financial statements denominated entirely in Bitcoin. According to the announcement, the company reported 220.4 BTC in assets and 25.29 BTC in net income for 2024, a 300% year over year increase.
Today marks a global first & historic event for us, along with the public release of our 2024 audited financial statements, covering our 1st year of sales.
As the 1st company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited, we are excited to…
— meanwhile | Bitcoin Life Insurance (@meanwhilelife) June 5, 2025
“We’ve just made history as the first company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited,” said Zac Townsend, CEO of Meanwhile. “This is an important, foundational step in reimagining the financial system based on a single, global, decentralized standard outside the control of any one government.”
The financial statements were audited by Harris & Trotter LLP and its digital asset division ht.digital. Meanwhile’s financials also comply with Bermuda’s Insurance Act 1978, noting that their BTC denominated financials were approved and comply with official guidelines. The firm, fully licensed by the Bermuda Monetary Authority (BMA), operates entirely in BTC and is prohibited from liquidating Bitcoin assets except through policyholder claims, positioning it as a long term holder.
“As the first regulated Bitcoin life insurance company, we view the BTC held by Meanwhile as inherently long-term in nature—primarily held to support the Company’s insurance liabilities over decades,” Townsend added. “This makes it significantly ‘stickier’ and resistant to market pressures compared to the BTC held by other companies as part of their treasury management strategies.”
Meanwhile’s 2024 financials also revealed 23.02 BTC in net premiums and 4.35 BTC in investment income, showing that its model not only preserves Bitcoin, but earns it. The company’s reserves (also held in BTC) were reviewed and approved by Willis Towers Watson (WTW).
Meanwhile also offers a Bitcoin Whole Life insurance product that allows policyholders to save, borrow, and build legacy wealth—entirely in BTC, and has plans to expand globally in 2025.
“We are incredibly proud of today’s news as it underscores how Meanwhile is at the forefront of the next phase of the convergence between Bitcoin and institutional financial markets,” said Tia Beckmann, CFO of Meanwhile. “Now having generated net income in BTC, we have demonstrated that we are earning it through a sustainable insurance business model designed for the long term.”
This post Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.
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@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8
2025-06-09 17:03:44Wie weit ist es noch her mit Einigkeit und Recht und Freiheit?
Wie weit sind diese wunderbaren Begriffe schon von Spaltung, Willkür und Bevormundung verdrängt worden?
Ein Land, dessen Werte aus dem Ruder gelaufen sind. Regiert von Teflonauten. Teflonauten? Das sind die, die sich vor Eintritt in die Politik in einem Fass Teflon-Lack haben taufen lassen, damit alle Vernunft an ihnen abperlt.
Für Deutschland gehen die Superlative aus, die den Gesamtzustand eines Staates beschreiben könnten, der in jeder Hinsicht aus den Fugen geraten ist. Wie in einem vorangegangenen Kommentar zu einem anderen Thema zu lesen war, die Satiriker werden langsam arbeitslos, weil die Realität alles überbietet.
Eine unsägliche Riege von Politikern demontiert eine Demokratie, die bis 2019 wenigstens noch einigermaßen erträglich funktioniert hat. Man hatte noch das Gefühl, man wird weitgehend in Ruhe gelassen.
Mit dem Corona-Ereignis wurde die Büchse der Pandora geöffnet. Seitdem fließen totalitäre Elemente in die Demokratie ein. Wer darauf hinweist, läuft Gefahr, es mit der vom Souverän gekaperten Macht zu tun zu bekommen.
Für die, die gegen die Bevölkerungsverdummung immun sind, wird es zunehmend unerträglicher, doch – da müssen wir durch.
Es ist gut, dass all die Machenschaften, die die Deutschen sonst nicht mitbekommen haben, allendhalben hier und da mal ein Skandälchen, ans Tageslicht kommen.
Es ist gut, dass es so offensichtlich ist, dass die dicksten Klopse, die sich die sogenannten Politiker erlauben, nicht den geringsten Anlass dazu geben, zurückzutreten. Vorbei die Zeiten, in den schon viel kleinere Vergehen, einen Politiker dazu genötigt haben. Es ist gut, weil so klar wird, dass das politische Gewissen nur noch im Museum besichtigt werden kann. Irgendwann versteht das auch noch der Letzte im hintersten Winkel des besten Deutschlands aller Zeiten.
Die Inkompetenz ist überall sichtbar, durch die, die unfähig sind, ihre Machenschaften zu verbergen.
Läppisch geschnitzte Pfeifen geben sich als wohlgestimmte Orgel aus und meinen, es gäbe niemanden, der die Kakophonie hören würde. Ein schräges Blockflöten-Konzert wird zum Musikgenuss hochstilisiert, von Leuten, die ständig ihren Notenschlüssel verlegen und dadurch nicht mehr in den Raum der Vernunft kommen.
Die Menschen in Deutschland haben sich aufgeteilt in die, die von all dem nichts wissen wollen und sich einreden, es sei doch alles in Ordnung. Für die, die sich brav ihre tägliche Gehirnwäsche in den inzwischen für die Qualität ihrer Propaganda bekannten Medien abholen, das sind noch rund 60%, gibt es keine Einschränkung der Meinungsfreiheit. Rund 40%, die der Meinung sind, dass man in Deutschland seine Meinung nicht mehr frei äußern kann, sind noch viel zu wenig! Für immer noch zu viele ist J. D. Vance ein Verschwörungstheoretiker, der die Sicherheitskonferenz in München dazu missbraucht hat, seine kruden Ansichten zu verbreiten.
Und dann gibt es die, die mitbekommen, was in Deutschland los ist. Die werden oft erschlagen von den Verstrickungen, Irrungen und Wirrungen, die sich immer mehr zeigen und immer dreister als Selbstverständlichkeit, als das Normalste von der Welt postuliert werden. Für die ist der gesundheitliche Zustand der deutschen Demokratie immer mehr ein Dauerpatient auf der Intensivstation.
Realitätsfremde Energiepolitik, Nordstream kaputt, gut so, kein Interesse an einer Wiederinbetriebnahme;
rückläufige Wirtschaft, zunehmende Firmenpleiten, Abwanderung von Unternehmen;
eklatante Steuergeldverbrennung, Northvolt in die Grütze gefahren, Maskendeals, zur Belohnung das nächste Pöstchen;
einseitige, weglassende Hofberichterstattung mit dem Hang zu Amnäsie;
fragwürdige Gerichtsurteile; Schauprozesse gegen Ballweg, Füllmich und viele andere, Masken, Atteste, Strafzahlungen, Majestätsbeleidigung etc. etc. etc..
Gewalt und Tod durch Messerfachkräfte, es sind ja die Messer, nicht die Menschen, die sie in der Hand haben, transparenter Aufklärungsrückstau;
intellektuelle Beleidigungen durch Schönrederei, man glaubt, die anderen sind noch dümmer als man selbst;
existenzbedrohende Kontenkündigungen, wir machen dich fertig;
politischer Dummschwätz, Wiederholungen, Wiederholungen, Wiederholungen;
Einzug totalitärer Strukturen, wer die Augen aufmacht, sieht sie;
infantile Repräsentanz Deutschlands im Ausland, Abwesenheit von Diplomatie;
Aufstachelung der Bürger, damit sie ja schön kriegsgeil werden, siehe auch Dummschwätz;
Angstpornos für Kinder und Erwachsene, bei ständigem Einlass in Kino 7, Raum Klima, mit Air Condition;
lächerliche Preisverleihungen, armutsfördernde Preiserhöhungen;
zunehmendes Misstrauen gegenüber der eigenen Bevölkerung, der Feind im eigenen Land;
Bevormundung, betreutes Denken, Fühlen, Wollen;
bedrohlich zunehmende Überwachungsanstrengungen, digitale Identität, die als Sicherheit verkauft wird, jedoch nichts anderes ist, als der Versuch der Einrichtung eines Überwachungs-Kontroll-Systems;
nichts, aber auch rein gar nichts hat Konsequenzen, die dazu führen, dass die Verantwortlichen zum Sandkornzählen in die Wüste geschickt werden, damit sie den Rest ihres Lebens beschäftigt sind und kein Unheil mehr anrichten können.
Unaufhaltsam rast der Personal-Zug Deutschland, überfüllt mit Fahrgästen, die meinen, Trump ist verrückt und Putin ist die Personifizierung des Bösen, gezogen von einer mit heißer Luft betriebenen Lok, die von Heizern befeuert wird, die den Kessel unentwegt mit Angst und Wahnsinn schüren, auf den Berg aus Granit zu, der unweigerlich eine Katastrophe für die Demokratie von ungeahntem Ausmaß verursachen wird. Ständig wird die Strecke künstlich verlängert, indem neue Schienen und Schleifen hinzugefügt werden, statt den Zug rechtzeitig noch zum Halten zu bringen. Die Geschwindigkeit ist inzwischen schon so hoch, dass selbst der Geist, der zu Pfingsten ja ausgeschüttet wird, niemanden mehr erreicht.
Deutschland ist in der Hand von ideologisch vergifteten Versagern zweiter und letzter Wahl und einer verschworenen Gemeinschaft von Universal-Dilettanten, die den Untergang der freiheitlich-demokratischen Grundordnung fest im Zangengriff haben und keinerlei Anstalten machen, diesen wieder lösen zu wollen.
Das Land der Denker und Dichter geht vor die Hunde. Freiheitlich, wirtschaftlich, gesellschaftlich, politisch, rechtlich. Um die Manege sitzen immer noch viel zu viele sogenannte Bürger, die Beifall klatschen, oder sich zumindest einreden, es sei doch weitgehend alles in Ordnung. Bravo! Es ist so unglaublich unterhaltend, sich nach Strich und Faden an der Nase herumführen zu lassen.
Und die, die die Kraft haben, auf diesen Wahnsinn hinzuschauen, die wissen gar nicht, was sie zuerst tun sollen: Heulen, schreien, verzweifelt sein, unentwegt mit dem Kopf schütteln, dagegen anschreiben, wachrütteln, flüchten oder dableiben, sich in Sicherheit bringen?
Die Demokratie und Rechtsstaatlichkeit sind von „Demokraten“ gekidnappt worden, die behaupten, sie würden sie verteidigen. Dabei geht es ausschließlich nur um deren Machterhalt und die Besitzstandswahrung ihrer erbärmlichen Pöstchen, mit einer weiteren Diätenerhöhung von rund 600 Euro im Juli 2025. Deutschland ist zu einem drittklassigen Selbstbedienungsladen verkommen, und es wird unentwegt in die Kasse gegriffen, solange noch was zu holen ist. Und damit das auch noch eine Zeit lang so weitergehen kann, wird Luftgeld produziert und als Sondervermögen deklariert, und damit eine Hypothek geschaffen, die zukünftige Generationen niemals werden ausgleichen können.
Wie gelegen käme da ein Krieg, in dem all dieser menschengemachte Unsinn wertlos wird. Und ein Neuanfang danach wird dann als überragende politische Leistung verkauft, die zum Wohle des Volkes geschaffen wurde, damit ein neues Wirtschaftswunder möglich werden kann. Los, ran, wieder all das aufbauen, das Deppen zuvor in die Tonne gekloppt haben. Uns geht’s ja schon wieder so gut, wir wollen uns wirklich nicht beklagen. Wir haben ja von all dem nichts gewusst. Wir waren ja nur die Opfer einer fehlgeleiteten Politik. Was hätten wir denn tun können? So oder so ähnlich wird dann das eigene Gewissen wieder durch fadenscheinigen Selbstbetrug beruhigt.
Das ganze System stinkt zum Himmel. Unerträglicher Gestank nach Zersetzung und Verwesung, der uns als neuester Schrei der Parfum-Hersteller verkauft wird.
Man kann gar nicht so schnell schreiben, wie man sich aufregen möchte.
Das ist kein Ventil zum Ausdruck der unglaublichen Empörung. Das wäre zu einfach und bedeutungslos. Nein, mit jedem Wort und jedem Artikel und jedem neuen Abonnenten von Pareto verbindet sich die Hoffnung, wieder jemanden zum Nachdenken anregen zu können. Damit die Zahl derjenigen, die die Demokratie verstanden haben, von Tag zu Tag größer wird. Damit sich von unten herauf eine geistige Kraft immer mehr entfaltet, die dieses impertinente Lügenkonstrukt zum Einstürzen bringt. Ein Leuchtfeuer muss ständig brennen, wenn Gefahr in Verzug ist. Wenn man so will, ist das Revolution, aber eine geistige und vor allem friedliche. Wenn immer mehr Menschen mutig verstehen, was in Deutschland abgeht, dann nagt das unermüdlich an den künstlich geschaffenen, unmenschlichen undemokratischen Strukturen, die den Stümpern die Macht rauben werden, damit dieses ganze Lügengebäude endlich implodieren kann.
Je lauter Delegitimierung geschrien wird, desto deutlicher tritt hervor, wer für die Delegitimierung der freiheitlich-demokratischen Grundordnung und die Aushöhlung des Grundgesetzes verantwortlich ist.
Deutschland kann nur wirklich in Richtung Souveränität gehen, wenn wir so weit gekommen sind, dass sich das deutsche Volk in freier Entscheidung eine Verfassung (gerne auf Grundlage des Grundgesetzes, das nach wie vor provisorischen Charakter hat) gegeben hat, in der Bürgerbeteiligung und Volksentscheide, gerne nach schweizerischem Vorbild, nicht nur zur Pflicht eines jeden Bürgers, sondern ganz selbstverständlich als notwendiger, alltäglicher Beitrag zur Demokratie fest in den Köpfen der Menschen verankert ist.
Gruß an das Amt für, aus Sicht des Bürgers, Fassungslosigkeit. Wenn ein leidenschaftliches Eintreten für Freiheit und Demokratie, durch berechtigte Kritik an den derzeitigen Verhältnissen, als rechts angesehen wird, dann ist der Autor gerne rechts. Eben ein rechter Demokrat, wie es sich gehört!
Vielleicht leidet der Autor auch an Demokratie-Tourette: Ihr Pfeifen, ihr Pfeifen, ihr Pfeifen! Was habt ihr nur aus unserem Land gemacht. Unserem, hört ihr, nicht eurem!
Der Autor hat fertig (jedenfalls für heute!), Deutschland leider auch.
“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”
* *
(Bild von pixabay)
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@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab
2025-06-10 10:06:15Instantly named Freedom Book of The Month and a major influence in the Cyber-underground, A Lodging of Wayfaring Men is the story of freedom-seekers who create an alternative society on the Internet - a virtual society, with no possibility of oversight or control. It grows so fast that governments and “leaders” are terrified, and fight to co-opt this cyber-society before it undermines the power of the governing elite.
The main body of the book is followed by a set of essays and a supplemental narrative that were composed as the book was being written.
For those of you who may not have read the marvelous A Lodging of Wayfaring Men, I strongly encourage you to do so. -- Capital Reward Blog
The novel leads us through a clever plot where the principles of freedom and individuality lead to a free market, one not controlled by governments or by tax men. The narrative is gripping. The reader cannot lay the book down. -- Dr. Thomas Dorman
As full as my reading schedule is, I plan to make time to return to A Lodging of Wayfaring Men in order to glean the most from this interesting, thought-provoking tale. -- Sunni Maravillosa, Free-Market.net
Of the twenty five or so people I worked with last fall, all of them revered A Lodging of Wayfaring Men as a bible. They referred to the house and their community effort as a Lodge. We all felt it was modeled on the Free Souls. -- HW, underground programmer
One of the most thought-provoking books to hit the information highway in recent times. -- David MacGregor, Sovereign Living
https://stacker.news/items/1002361
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@ c11cf5f8:4928464d
2025-06-10 09:53:02NOW OPEN
Welcome stacker and cowboys to the first edition of this Sellers & Business Club series!
You're in the right place if you're serious about growing your business, or starting a new one. Let's discuss your preferred Bitcoin Business Models!
You'll find everything you need to move faster, sell smarter, and stay ahead of trends—with useful insights for every step of the way, community-powered learning posts, insights, and support from other sellers.
Pinging here @beejay, @deSign_r, @Kontext, @fauxfoe, @DarthCoin, @stack_harder, @BlokchainB, @Solomonsatoshi, @lunin and @021f3af1a6 because have demonstrated some interest in previous announcements, and other stackers[^1] that have been active in the ~AGORA marketplace.
Your insights and questions are welcome. I'll be opening with some questions:
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What are your latest wins?
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What are you dealing with lately?
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What current obstacles that are keeping you away from succeeding?
[^1]: FIY: @watchmancbiz @globalmerchant @midnightshipper @thebullishbitcoiner @realtrader @sandelllevy_ @thecommoner @matusalem @siggy47 @veintiuno @needcreations_ @globalthreat @profullstack @cryotosensei @catoshi @kr @pleblab @fabs @lendasat @Akg10s3 @bytephysics @byzantine @96dffdc39e @thewildhustle @0xbitcoiner @gpvansat @south_korea_ln @rideandsmile @btclnat @bitcoinerrorlog @wakingseason @tinstrmedia @pictureroom @isolabellart @jpedro64453 @herschel
https://stacker.news/items/1002347
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