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ถ้าเฮียบอกว่า “นมข้นหวานคืออาหารของสงคราม” หลายคนอาจขมวดคิ้ว ว่าอาหารหวานมันเกี่ยวอะไรกับดินปืน กระสุน และการยิงปะทะกันกลางสนามรบ แต่ถ้าย้อนเวลากลับไปช่วงปลายศตวรรษที่ 19 ถึงต้นศตวรรษที่ 20 เราจะเห็นชัดว่า ไม่ใช่แค่ปืนที่รัฐทุ่มเทวิจัย แต่รวมไปถึง “อาหารเก็บได้นาน ส่งถึงปากทหารโดยไม่เน่า” ซึ่งเป็นหัวใจของความอยู่รอดในสนามรบ และหนึ่งในของวิเศษนั้นก็คือ “นมข้นหวาน” ที่ภายหลังจะกลายเป็นตัวแปรสำคัญในวิถีอาหารของคนทั่วโลก รวมถึงในแก้วชาเย็นของคนไทยเรานี่แหละ

จุดเริ่มต้นของนมข้นหวานต้องย้อนไปก่อนสงครามกลางเมืองอเมริกาเล็กน้อย ราวปี 1856 ชายชื่อ Gail Borden คิดค้นวิธีการทำให้นมสดไม่บูดง่าย ด้วยการเอานมไปต้มหรือระเหยน้ำออก (evaporation) แล้วเติมน้ำตาลเข้าไปเพื่อยืดอายุการเก็บรักษา สูตรนี้ทำให้เขาตั้งบริษัท Borden Condensed Milk Company ขึ้นในปี 1857 และทันทีที่สงครามกลางเมืองอเมริกาเริ่มในปี 1861 รัฐบาลสหรัฐก็หันมาซื้อ “นมข้นหวาน” จำนวนมากเพราะมันเก็บได้นาน ไม่เสียง่ายเหมือนนมสด และพกพาง่ายกว่า

ปรากฏว่าทหารที่ไปรบกลับมาติดใจ เพราะไม่เคยได้กินอะไรหวานมันกลมกล่อมขนาดนั้นมาก่อน พอสงครามจบ ตลาดคนทั่วไปก็เริ่มรับรู้และนิยมบริโภคของชนิดนี้มากขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ แถมยังใช้ในเด็กด้วย เพราะช่วงนั้นมีความเชื่อว่านมข้นหวานคือ “นมสำหรับเด็ก” ที่ปลอดภัยกว่าเพราะผ่านการฆ่าเชื้อแล้ว แม้จะขาดสารอาหารสำคัญหลายตัวก็ตามทีเรื่องนี้จริงนะครับ รัฐบางแห่ง เช่น สหรัฐฯ และฝรั่งเศส มีเอกสารแนะนำให้ใช้นมข้นแทนนมแม่หากไม่สามารถให้นมเองได้ โดยอ้างความปลอดภัยจากการฆ่าเชื้อ แม้ในช่วงศตวรรษที่ 19 มีเด็กทารกเสียชีวิตเพราะพ่อแม่ใช้นมข้นหวาน จนทำให้หลายประเทศต้องออกคำเตือนภายหลัง

พอเข้าสู่ช่วงสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 1 (1914–1918) นมข้นหวานก็กลับมาเป็นฮีโร่อีกครั้ง คราวนี้รัฐบาลสหรัฐจัดเต็ม สั่งผลิตเพื่อส่งไปแนวหน้าให้ทหารพันธมิตรในยุโรป จนทำให้ supply ไม่พอกับ demand และบริษัทใหญ่ ๆ เช่น Nestlé และ Borden เริ่มขยายฐานการผลิตในระดับอุตสาหกรรม จนกลายเป็นเจ้าตลาด และนี่เองคือช่วงเวลาที่ “นมข้นหวานกลายเป็นสินค้าระดับโลก” แบบไม่ตั้งใจ

ในช่วง Great Depression (1929 เป็นต้นไป) นมข้นหวานกลายเป็น อาหารราคาถูก ที่ “แทน” อาหารสดในครัวคนจนได้ เพราะไม่ต้องแช่เย็น และให้พลังงานสูง ซึ่งส่งผลให้มันเจาะตลาดแม้ในช่วงเศรษฐกิจตกต่ำ เป็นช่วงทองของการขยายฐานการตลาดของนมข้นหวาน ขอบคุณสงครามที่ป้อนผู้บริโภคให้ฟรี ๆ มานานหลายปี มันเริ่มเข้าครัวคนทั่วไปและกลายเป็นวัตถุดิบในเมนูประจำวัน ไม่ว่าจะใส่กาแฟ โปะขนมปัง หรือใส่ขนมหวาน ซึ่งประเทศที่อยู่ในอาณานิคมตะวันตกก็รับวัฒนธรรมนี้ไปโดยปริยาย ไทยเองก็ไม่รอด และเริ่มมีเมนูอย่างชาเย็น กาแฟเย็น ที่ต้องใช้นมข้นหวานเป็นหลัก เพราะมันทั้งหอม มัน หวาน และสำคัญสุดคือ “เก็บได้นาน” ในยุคที่ตู้เย็นยังไม่แพร่หลาย

แต่อย่าเพิ่งนึกว่าเรื่องนี้จะจบแค่นี้ เพราะพอสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 2 มาถึงในปี 1939 สหรัฐฯ ก็กลับมาใช้สูตรเดิมอีกครั้ง คราวนี้ไม่ใช่แค่นมข้นหวานที่ถูกอัดใส่ลังขึ้นเรือไปแนวหน้า แต่รวมถึงสินค้าประหลาดหน้าใหม่ที่ถูก “แปรรูปเพื่อความอยู่รอด” ทั้งหมดซึ่งเดี๋ยวจะทะยอยเล่าให้อีกครั้ง เพราะทั้งหมดนี้คือสิ่งที่รัฐร่วมมือกับบริษัทใหญ่ผลิตเพื่อ “ให้ทหารอิ่มรอด” แต่เมื่อสงครามจบ สินค้าเหล่านี้ไม่หายไปไหน ตรงกันข้าม พวกมันถูก “ประชาสัมพันธ์ว่าเป็นของดีต่อสุขภาพ” มีการเอาผลวิจัยรองรับ (บางอันเป็นของรัฐเองด้วยซ้ำ) และกระตุ้นให้คนเชื่อว่า “นี่คืออาหารสมัยใหม่ของโลกที่ก้าวหน้า” เพราะมันถูกตั้งการผลิตมาในระดับมโหฬารไปเรียบร้อยแล้ว เมื่อมันเริ่มแล้วมันก็ย่อมทำลายทิ้งไม่ได้ นอกจากครอบงำให้ประชากรบริโภคสิ่งเหล่านี้เข้าไปตลอดกาล อย่าลืมว่า บริษัทยักษ์ใหญ่เหล่านี้ไม่มีทางยอมให้สินค้าตายไปจากตลาดแน่นอน

นมข้นหวานก็เช่นกัน มีการจัดโฆษณาผ่านสื่อสิ่งพิมพ์ว่านมสดไม่สะอาดเท่า นมข้นหวานสะอาดกว่าเพราะฆ่าเชื้อแล้ว บางโฆษณาแถมการ์ตูนเด็กชายหญิงหน้าน่ารักพร้อมประโยคว่า “เด็กทุกคนต้องเติบโตด้วยนมข้นหวาน” ซึ่งแน่นอนว่า “หวาน” นั้นแปลว่ามีน้ำตาลระดับสูงจนอาจเทียบเท่าน้ำเชื่อมข้น ๆ ได้

เมื่อคนเริ่มติดรสชาติและบริษัทมีโครงสร้างอุตสาหกรรมรองรับแล้ว ก็ไม่แปลกที่มันจะกลายเป็นส่วนหนึ่งของชีวิตประจำวันของคนทั่วโลก และพอรัฐไม่เตือน แถมยังสนับสนุนเป็นนัย ๆ นานวันเข้าเราก็เลิกตั้งคำถามกันไปเองว่า “แล้วเรากินมันทำไมกันนะ?”

ปัจจุบัน เราอาจรู้ว่านมข้นหวานคือของหวานจัด มีน้ำตาลราว 45–55% ต่อปริมาตร ไม่ใช่แค่ “หวานนิด ๆ” แต่คือ “หวานระดับฆ่าเชื้อได้เลย” และไม่ได้มีสารอาหารเทียบเท่านมจริง ๆ แต่มันกลับยังฝังแน่นในหลายวัฒนธรรมอาหารอย่างแนบเนียน เพราะรากของมันไม่ใช่แค่ในครัว แต่อยู่ในสนามรบ อยู่ในคำสั่งของรัฐ และอยู่ในภาพจำของความหอมหวานที่ไม่มีอะไรมาแทนได้

และนั่นแหละเฮียว่า คือจุดเริ่มต้นของการเปลี่ยน “อาหารเพื่ออยู่รอด” ให้กลายเป็น “อาหารครองโลก” และมันกลายเป็นบรรพบุรุษของแนวคิด “Ultra-Processed Food” ในยุคอุตสาหกรรมอาหารหลังสงคราม โดยไม่ต้องยิงปืนสักนัดเดียว หลายคนอาจจะมองว่า เห้ยทุกวันนี้เราก็รู้แล้วนี่นาว่ามันไม่ได้ดีต่อสุขภาพ ใช่ครับ กว่าเราจะรู้ เขาก็มีแผนใหม่มาครอบงำเราไปเรียบร้อยแล้ว เหมือนกับที่พยายามเล่าให้ทราบใน ep ที่ผ่านๆมานี่ไง สัปดาห์นี้เรากำลังคุยเรื่องอดีต ซึ่งในยุคนั้นประชากรเชื่อจริงๆว่า นมข้นหวาน มันคือของดี งดงามกว่านมสดง่อยๆที่แป๊บเดียวก็เสีย บูด เน่า ลองเอาภาพร่างนี้มาทาบกับปัจจุบันและอนาคตครับ

#pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr

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Invista na Sua Saúde: O Melhor Retorno é uma Vida Plena

Esqueça dietas milagrosas, suplementos que prometem te tornar o próximo Apolo. E, programas de treino (tais como Crossfit) que dizem fazer a diferença entre escalar o Everest e se abaixar e pegar seu par de tênis.

Muitas pessoas falam em dinheiro, conexões e conhecimento. Mas, nada disso vai funcionar se sua saúde for uma porcaria. Imagina, estar no melhores anos da sua vida e não ter forças para aproveitar nada. Então, pare de ser teimoso e coloque sua saúde no patamar de importância que ela merece!

Tudo o que você precisa é de paciência, ritmo e disciplina. Portanto, nesse artigo. Vou te apresentar como eu invisto na minha saúde e você pode entender se algo do que eu escrever aqui vale a pena para você aplicar na sua vida e obter resultados semelhantes.

Mas, antes de tudo…

Disclaimer

Nada do que eu escrever aqui deve ser levado como regra. Você deve consultar seu médico e nutricionista para entender quais as melhores ações para serem tomadas com base no seu biotipo e necessidade físicas.

Desenvolva seu corpo, seu templo

Se alimente como Sapiens:

Primeiro de tudo, alimentar se de forma correta é a chave. Se você prestar bastante atenção nos alimentos que ingere e nas coisas que bebe. Seu corpo vai te agradecer enormemente. Ele te presenteia com saúde, disposição, força e energia.

Se colocar combustível "ruim", seu corpo vai detectar e vai reclamar… Não tem que seguir essas dietas malucas que a galera prega na internet. Uma dose de bom senso combinado a uma dose de disciplina vão te tornar um velhinho(a) que todos vão admirar no futuro.

Eu já fiz dietas em que comia até 7x ao dia, tomava 3-4 suplementos por dia e no fim de tudo. Entendi uma coisa. Quanto mais natural nossa dieta, melhor. Legumes, frutas, verduras, carne (com moderação), sementes e grãos. Vão fazer seu corpo te pagar os melhores dividendos possíveis em saúde.

Busque o Olimpo, quem sabe acerta as olimpíadas

Se você como eu, é um entusiasta de esportes. Vai saber bem o que quero ilustrar aqui. Em 2015, após um término de relacionamento. Eu me sentia tão sufocado, que eu queria gritar e extravasar o que estava em mim. Peguei um par de tênis e decidi sair para fazer uma caminhada, fiz outra no outro dia, de repente comecei a “trotar” e duas semanas depois eu estava correndo 5 km.

Passados alguns meses, eu tinha me inscrito em uma primeira corrida "só para ver como era". Depois outra e outra. E, assim fui… Mas, eu tinha três ingredientes:

• O foco (correr)
• O combustível (eliminar aquela dor e tensão)
• O lugar (a rua)

E, depois que aprendi isso galera. Eu juro, que destravei muita coisa. Eu participei de campeonatos de levantamento de peso, de xadrez e mais um bocado. Minha meta nunca foi ser uma atleta profissional e viver disso. Mas, eu via mais como um hobbie que me pagava muito bem

Endorfina é boa demais

Então pensa assim:

1. Sem grana? Calce os tênis e vá correr. Tem praças perto da sua casa com equipamentos.
2. Sem ânimo? Arruma alguém para te acompanhar nos primeiro 60 dias. Depois vira hábito.
3. Vida corrida? Vamos definir que 3x por semana é uma lei!

O que não vale é não fazer NADA. Temos muita comodidade e temos que usar isso para o bem. Senão, “seremos velhos de 30 anos”.

Aqui, vale tudo com excecao de duas coisas: Ficar parado e complicar demais as coisas.

Saúde Mental

Aqui é onde separamos os maduros dos nãos. Eu tive que entrar em colapso para entender que cuidar na minha mente era importante.

Por mais que eu tenha lido livros, me preparado de várias formas e tenha sido resiliente. Ninguém, absolutamente ninguém está pronto para lidar com a quantidade de coisas que acontece na nossa vida.

Um terapeuta é fundamental!

Galera, eu faço terapia há 5 anos e foi um salto quântico na minha vida. Quando você passa a conhecer a si mesmo e entender sobre você. Você se torna imbatível! Mas, é um processo lento e doloroso. Você vai visitar cantos e memórias que não são confortáveis. Mas, isso vai te fazer crescer muito além do que jamais imaginou.

Todos nós somos tomados por stress e ansiedade. Ainda mais em um mundo como o de hoje, aonde a informação viaja rápido demais. Você consegue ver conteúdo do fim do mundo, fome e corrupção com alguns cliques de distância.

Vai por mim: -Terapia é o dinheiro mais barato que faço como investimento na vida!

Sua vida vai ser outra. Juro. Comece fazendo uma vez por mês e vá aumentando a medida que achar necessário e puder pagar. O ideal vai variar de acordo com seu momento necessidade. Tem que caber no orçamento também. Senão, vai aliviar uma dor e trazer outra.

Sono de Qualidade:

Eu dormi em cama ruim nos últimos 3 anos da minha vida. E, nesse ano eu investi em uma cama e um travesseiro de qualidade. E, faz totalllllll diferença na vida. O sono ruim, nos deixa stressado e cansados para o resto do dia.

Portanto, te convido a refletir sobre seus equipamentos de descanso. Porque? De nada vai adiantar você: Fazer exercícios, cuidar da alimentação e da sua mente. Se, seu sono estiver quebrado!

Você vai continuar stressado e cansado demais reclamando. Quando fizer um check up sobre isso vai entender na hora o que estou falando e sobre os dois próximos que quero abordar:

• Higiene do sono
• Horário de deitar

Higiene do sono = Deixar tudo o que é eletrônico na sala e parar de mexer neles pelo menos uma hora antes. Deita e vai conversar com seu parceiro(a), leia um livro ou anote coisas em um papel. Vai fazer muita diferença na sua vida.

Horário de deitar = Também faz muita diferença. Se precisa acordar ás 07 da manhã. O ideal é estar na cama 10 horas antes. Ou seja, ás 22:00 já junta tudo e vai pro seu quarto sem distrações. Muita gente dorme e não descansa porque vai se deitar muito tarde e não consegue o sono REM.

Sono regular vai terminar de fechar o ciclo e você vai se tornar mais disposto e com força para fazer o que é necessário. Hoje, em dia para conseguir o que almeja. Não basta somente a mente e o dinheiro. Vai precisar do seu corpo em funcionamento total.

Check-ups e Prevenção

Para concluirmos aqui, é vital fazer exame regularmentes. Não sou médico, mas você deve visitar o seu e agendar bateria de exames periodicamente. E, entender como seu corpo está. Sempre e em qualquer ocasião busque acompanhamento médico antes, durante e pós qualquer atividade esportiva em que se propor.

Apesar de não usar, sou a favor de relógios e aparelhos que possam te ajudar a medir de alguma forma seu progresso e monitorar sua saúde. Toda vez que alguém falar contigo: -Para que vai comprar isso, é caro e é bobagem! Vai lá e compra!

Se a compra, te dar mais vontade de treinar e te ajudar a chegar mais próximo do seu objetivo. Então, eu não vejo como gasto. Vejo como investimento!

Tudo o que puder investir para aumentar e melhorar sua saúde. É uma boa jogada e ignore os críticos. No fundo, eles querem ser como você. Mas, tem muito medo e não conseguem dar o primeiro passo.

Concluindo tudo

Não é café com seu pai, mas uma convesa descontraída de uma pessoa que tentou (e sofreu) várias coisas até chegar em um bom equilíbrio. Fico orgulhoso de poder compartilhar minhas experiências com vocês e se você chegou até aqui. Me sinto honrado em ter sua atenção por tanto tempo. Te agradeço pela sua atenção e convido a compartilhar esse post com quem precisa. Até a próxima.

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Descrição da empresa

A Itaúsa S.A. é uma das maiores holdings de investimentos do Brasil, com um portfólio diversificado que abrange setores estratégicos da economia. Com sede em São Paulo, a companhia é mais conhecida por ser a principal acionista do Itaú Unibanco, a maior instituição financeira privada da América Latina.

Fundada em 1966, a Itaúsa consolidou-se como um veículo de investimento de longo prazo, buscando a criação de valor para seus acionistas através da gestão ativa de suas empresas investidas. Além de sua posição dominante no setor financeiro com o Itaú Unibanco, a holding possui participações relevantes em empresas líderes de outros segmentos.

cotacao itausa

Visão geral da empresa

A Itaúsa S.A. é uma das mais importantes holdings de investimento do Brasil, com uma trajetória de mais de 45 anos marcada pela gestão de um portfólio diversificado e de grande relevância para a economia nacional.

Com um modelo de negócio focado na criação de valor a longo prazo, a companhia se destaca por sua sólida governança corporativa e por uma estratégia de alocação de capital em empresas líderes de setores estratégicos.

Modelo de Negócio e Estratégia:

O core business da Itaúsa é atuar como uma holding "pura", ou seja, seu principal objetivo é a gestão de suas participações acionárias. A companhia busca centralizar as decisões financeiras e estratégicas das empresas que controla ou nas quais possui influência significativa. Sua filosofia de investimento pauta-se pela busca de empresas com:

• Geração de caixa consistente: Foco em negócios maduros e com histórico de rentabilidade.
• Marcas consolidadas e liderança de mercado: Investimento em empresas que são referência em seus respectivos segmentos.
• Potencial de crescimento e geração de valor a longo prazo: Visão estratégica para o desenvolvimento sustentável das investidas.
• Sólida governança corporativa: Comprometimento com a transparência, ética e as melhores práticas de gestão.

Mercado que atua

Como holding, a empresa não atua em um mercado específico. Em vez disso, sua presença se dá de forma indireta através da participação acionária em grandes empresas que são líderes em seus respectivos setores.

Portanto os principais mercados que a empresa atua, são:

1. Setor financeiro (ITUB4)
2. Bens de consumo (ALPA4)
3. Materiais de construção civil e acabamentos (DXCO3)
4. Energia (Copaenergia)
5. Saneamento (Aegea)
6. Infraestrutura e mobilidade urbana (NTS)

Oportunidades que o ativo traz

Estudando melhor a empresa e após lermos o relatório do primeiro trismestre. Entendemos que há dois pontos chaves que vão na nossa visão tornar o ativo bem interessante.

Ponto 1 - Redução da divída líquida

Esse ponto é bem óbvio e fica evidente aqui no gráfico abaixo. Com menos débito para pagar sobre mais dinheiro. Dinheiro esse que pode ser reinvestido em novas aquisições e/ou aumentar participação em outros negócios.

noticias de jcp

Ponto 2 - Reforma tributária aprovada em Janeiro 2025

fundamentos itausa

"O nosso valor de mercado em 31.03.2025, com base no valor da ação mais líquida (ITSA4), era de R$ 102,5 bilhões, enquanto a soma das participações nas empresas investidas a valor de mercado totalizava R$ 135,2 bilhões, resultando em um desconto de holding de 24,2%.

Parte do nosso desconto é explicada por despesas operacionais, financeiras, tributárias (como PIS/COFINS sobre JCP), entre outros fatores. Contudo, a reforma tributária aprovada em janeiro de 2025 eliminará a incidência de tributação sobre o JCP recebido a partir de janeiro de 2027, o que extinguirá essa ineficiência fiscal.

Além disso, empresas como Aegea e Copa Energia estão avaliadas por seus valores contábeis, havendo um descolamento importante em relação ao seu valor justo atual.

Nesse contexto, acreditamos que o atual nível de desconto é maior do que o considerado justo e que o crescimento do desconto no período analisado não reflete adequadamente os fundamentos da nossa estratégia de alocação eficiente de capital e a qualidade e desempenho do nosso portfólio.."

Em outras palavras, a empresa está precificada bema baixo do seu valor patrimonial real. O que entendemos ser um ponto chave para a empresa.

Riscos

Aqui, temos muito pouco a comentar. Pois a empresa está fomentada sobre uma base sólida.

Contudo, a empresa é familiar, com muitos micro sócios pendurados e a maior parte das ações já tomadas.

Catalisadores

• Taxas de juros seguem altas até 2027. Lembrando que ano que vem temos eleições presidenciais.
• Taxas de desemprego devem corroborar em 7% no próximo ano, o que faz uma corrida ao crédito. Aonde o Itaú entra e ganha juros sobre quem toma crédito.
• Estabilidade das empresas que tem sociedade.
• Boa diversificação de portfólio de investimentos.
• Eliminação da incidência de impostos sobre o JCP recebido apartir de janeiro de 2027.

Faq

Quanto rende 1.000 reais em ITSA4?

Considerando um aporte mensal de R$ 1.000 na Itaúsa (ITSA4) ao longo de 30 anos, e assumindo um retorno médio anual de 9% (incluindo valorização das ações e reinvestimento dos dividendos), o investidor poderá acumular aproximadamente R$ 1.702.113 ao final do período

Qual é o preço justo da ação ITSA4?

O preço justo da ação ITSA4 é um assunto complexo, sem uma resposta única e definitiva. Analistas e investidores utilizam diferentes métodos e critérios para determinar um preço justo, e as estimativas podem variar consideravelmente.

Quando o ITSA4 paga dividendos em 2025?

Forma de pagamento: (i) à vista, em dinheiro, no ato de subscrição; ou (ii) mediante compensação de crédito relativo ao dividendo que será pago em 22 de abril de 2025.

Bio

Apaixonado por investimentos e pela transformação que eles podem trazer, a equipe threedolar dedica-se a desmistificar o mundo financeiro e guiar seus leitores rumo à independência financeira. Acreditamos que o conhecimento é a chave para o sucesso nos investimentos.

Disclaimer

Lembre-se: este não é um conselho de investimento. Faça sua própria pesquisa antes de investir. Resultados passados não garantem lucros futuros. Cuide do seu dinheiro!

Referencia

https://api.mziq.com/mzfilemanager/v2/d/afd9200b-9b01-4d1c-bdd9-9b2c1e9b3b4d/5917b593-ac70-0e17-99ec-c1c14cc9ac66?origin=1

https://www.fundamentus.com.br/detalhes.php?papel=ITSA4&h=1

https://tradingeconomics.com/brazil/indicators

@ 6c05c73e:c4356f17

Muitas pessoas me perguntam como eu faço o rebalanceamento das minhas carteiras de investimentos. Por isso, decidi compartilhar meu processo aqui. Você pode decidir se ele se adapta ao seu modelo ou não.

Por que Rebalancear a Carteira?

A primeira e mais importante pergunta é: por que precisamos fazer o rebalanceamento de carteira? A resposta é simples: somos humanos e não sabemos de tudo. Muitas informações estão acontecendo agora, e isso pode ser bom ou ruim (dependendo do quanto você está alavancado, rsrsrs). Mas, o rebalanceamento vai liberar caixa e reduzir a exposição ao risco.

Ou, em outra medida, pode aumentar sua exposição e capturar uma oportunidade que ninguém "percebeu ainda". Contudo, quero ressaltar que somos falhos e não podemos prever o futuro. Com isso em mente, você logo pensa que pode (e vai) estar errado em 80% do tempo.

Fazer os ajustes corretos na sua carteira de investimento é uma questão de sobrevivência. Imagina colocar 100% do patrimônio em Bitcoin em 2021? Pois é… Você estaria com uma perda considerável agora. Esse é só um dentre os milhares de exemplos que poderia dar.

Quando Rebalancear a Carteira?

A pergunta de 1 milhão de dólares é: quando rebalancear a bendita carteira?

Na palavra dos analistas: Trimestralmente. (Leia-se: Ganhamos as taxas).

Nas minhas palavras: Uma vez no ano. De preferência dia 20 de Dezembro (Leia-se: F*das analistas, o dinheiro é meu!).

Já testei mensal, trimestral, semestral e bienal. A verdade é que o dinheiro fica com as corretoras e foge do nosso bolso. Então, o melhor a se fazer é mexer o mínimo possível.

Partindo do princípio de que não sabemos nada ou sabemos muito pouco, corremos risco até de acertar um grande investimento. Isso aconteceu comigo no pós-Dilma. Porque? Pois eu estava focado no meu autodesenvolvimento.

Conhecimento, experiências, rede de contatos e saúde.

O único dia que eu queria saber de mercado financeiro era no quinto dia útil, quando eu ia aportar e decidir para onde ia mandar meu dinheiro. Só isso, foco em você e deixa seus investimentos de lado maturando.

Tudo se trata sobre rebalancear sua carteira com qualidade. Mas, qualidade para você.

Onde Manter o Dinheiro?

Gosto de ter uma parte do meu dinheiro livre e uma parte investida em dólar, majoritariamente em Bitcoin.

Então, gosto de ter uma parte do meu dinheiro em Bitcoin, pois acho que é o meio mais seguro e confiável para ter e transportar dólares literalmente usando a cabeça.

Dólares em bancões não me atraem. São totalmente rastreáveis e, em uma eventual urgência do dinheiro, duvido que eles vão dar moral para gente como nós.

A parte do dinheiro solto, gosto de deixar metade na conta da corretora e metade na minha poupança. Muita gente pensa que CDB/DI/CDI rendem rios de dinheiro a mais que a poupança. Rendem, mas é muito pouco. E o foco aqui é liquidez imediata!

Meu Modelo de Rebalanceamento

Para concluir nosso raciocínio, gosto de deixar assim:

• 50% do dinheiro livre.
• 50% do dinheiro investindo progressivamente.

50% livre = Dinheiro na conta da corretora e poupança mesmo.

50% investimento progressivo = A cada queda do mercado, eu compro 5% do dinheiro disponível em caixa de algum ativo que eu já tenha feito estudo.

Como Funciona Essa Abordagem?

Primeiro, eu rastreio o VIX. Coloco um alarme nele. A cada aumento de X porcento, ele me envia um e-mail me notificando. Eu acompanho o mercado durante o dia. Ao final do pregão, eu posiciono uma ordem de compra para o dia seguinte. Só isso.

Volto para o meu trabalho, negócio, família, lazer e para mim mesmo.

Mercado financeiro vicia, parceiro(a). Já estive dos dois lados e sei como funciona. Pega o que é seu e desliga. Se ficar online, vai ver coisas demais que nem deveria ter visto.

Concluindo

Existe muito misticismo sobre investimentos. E, até que deveria ter mesmo. Mas, a verdade é que ele é feito por pessoas + Bots + IA. E, pessoas são previsíveis. Já vi e vivi muita coisa. Minha maior lição é: Aproveite as oportunidades! Porque elas são raras…

Eu teria outras histórias para contar senão fosse o pós-Dilma, Bitcoin de 2017 e Covid. Sei que nem tudo são flores. Mas, estamos aqui para explorar uma brecha e fazer grana rápido. Liquidar e voltar a ver Netflix e ler livros. Meu único casamento é com minha esposa. Empresas, eu vejo como ciclos hoje em dia.

Além do mais, estamos na era das IAs. E Mary Meeker já lançou suas (brilhantes) previsões sobre nosso futuro. Então, aproveite enquanto há tempo. Já já o mercado deverá ser bem mais automatizado que hoje.

@ 2b998b04:86727e47

How I Built a Decentralized CMS with Nostr + GitHub Actions – Part 2

Refinements, resilience, and real-world publishing

---

In Part 1, I shared the first steps of building a publishing stack that puts authors in control — using Nostr for content, GitHub Actions for automation, and GitHub Pages for free, fast hosting.

But that was just the foundation.

In this second installment, I focused on improving the system with better data hygiene, styling consistency, and end-to-end automation — all while keeping things minimal and open-source.

Here’s what changed — and what’s coming next.

---

✅ Key Improvements (Week of June 8)

🔁 1. Deduplication across relays

Nostr relays often echo the same events. In the original version, my script could pull the same article multiple times.\ To fix that, I updated the fetch_articles.py script to:

• Gather events from 8–10 relays concurrently using asyncio

• Flatten the results

• Deduplicate based on event.id

This brought the number of unique articles down from 90+ to around 20 — a huge cleanup win.

---

🏷 2. Tag styling and wrapping

Previously, the tags were unstyled or ran off the edge of the container. Now:

• Tags wrap cleanly and align left

• Each tag has a soft background and spacing (#tag)

• Tags are parsed directly from Nostr ["t", ...] tags

It looks better. It feels more coherent. And it reflects the decentralized ethos — clean, not corporate.

---

📅 3. Proper published_at parsing

Nostr events can include a ["published_at", timestamp] tag. Originally, my site sorted and displayed articles by their created_at time — which was sometimes misleading.

Now, the script:

• Extracts published_at (if present)

• Falls back to created_at if missing

• Uses this value for both sorting and display in index.html

This way, articles appear in the correct order — based on when I intended to publish them.

---

🎨 4. Markdown cleanup and layout polish

Markdown content from Nostr sometimes included extra backslashes (\\) or unparsed characters. I updated the rendering logic to:

• Remove unnecessary escape characters

• Use consistent fonts, spacing, and margins

• Inherit the overall styling from stantonweb.com

Now the articles don’t just work — they feel native to the rest of my site.

---

🤖 5. GitHub Actions automation

This was a big one: enabling daily auto-publishing.

I created a GitHub Actions workflow that:

• Pulls all my kind:30023 long-form articles daily from Nostr relays

• Deduplicates and filters by tag

• Generates one .html file per article and updates the index.json

• Commits the changes back to GitHub Pages — no manual pushing needed

After some token setup troubleshooting (and a wrong known_hosts key 😅), it works beautifully.

You can still run the script manually via:

bash

CopyEdit

./fetch_articles.sh

But now, it’s fire-and-forget. Just post on Nostr — the rest happens automatically.

---

⏱ Total Time Spent (est. 15 hours)

• Saturday (\~5h): initial build, tried sync-based fetch logic

• Sunday (\~5h): rewrote with asyncio, deduplication, cleaned up article objects

• Monday (\~5h): full styling pass, timestamp fixes, token creation, and automation pipeline setup

All running with zero paid infrastructure.

---

🔜 Coming Soon

• 🗂 Pagination: View 10–50 articles per page

• 🗓 Monthly Archives: Top-level by Year → then Month → then article list

• 🧠 RSS Feed: Auto-generate RSS from my npub so any Nostr long-form post becomes a blog feed\ (Bonus: use it to follow others via Primal or standard readers)

---

🙌 Built With

• Nostr (Primal, Damus, etc.)

• GitHub Pages + Actions

• Python (asyncio, websockets)

• A little stubbornness

• A lot of help from ChatGPT (“Dr. C”) 🧠

---

💡 Why This Matters

Most people don’t own their publishing tools.\ Medium can unlist you. Substack can shadowban. Even Ghost requires trust in a hosted instance.

But with Nostr + GitHub, I control the data, the visibility, and the publishing logic.

That’s the future I want — for myself, for others, for truth.

One article at a time.

---

🟧 View live:\ https://andrewgstanton.github.io/blog-stantonweb-site\ 📬 Zap: https://tinyurl.com/yuyu2b9t

@ 2b998b04:86727e47

Solzhenitsyn Would Have Loved Bitcoin

I didn’t plan to write this. But a comment from @HODL stirred something in me — a passing thought that took root and wouldn’t let go:

\> “Solzhenitsyn would have understood Bitcoin.”

The more I sat with it, the more I realized: he wouldn’t have just understood it — he would have loved it.

---

A Life of Resistance

Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn didn’t just survive the Soviet gulags — he exposed them. Through The Gulag Archipelago and other works, he revealed the quiet machinery of evil: not always through brutality, but through systemic lies, suppressed memory, and coerced consensus.

His core belief was devastatingly simple:

\> “The line dividing good and evil cuts through the heart of every human being.”

He never let anyone off the hook — not the state, not the system, not even himself. Evil, to Solzhenitsyn, was not “out there.” It was within. And resisting it required truth, courage, and deep personal responsibility.

---

Bitcoin: Truth That Resists

That’s why I believe Solzhenitsyn would have resonated with Bitcoin.

Not the hype. Not the coins. Not the influencers.

But the heart of it:

• A system that resists coercion.

• A ledger that cannot be falsified.

• A network that cannot be silenced.

• A protocol that doesn't care about party lines — only proof of work.

Bitcoin is incorruptible memory.\ Solzhenitsyn fought to preserve memory in the face of state erasure.\ Bitcoin cannot forget — and it cannot be made to lie.

---

Responsibility and Sovereignty

Bitcoin demands what Solzhenitsyn demanded: moral responsibility. You hold your keys. You verify your truth. You cannot delegate conscience.

He once wrote:

\> “A man who is not inwardly prepared for the use of violence against him is always weaker than his opponent.”

Bitcoin flips that equation. It gives the peaceful man a weapon: truth that cannot be seized.

---

I’ve Felt This Line Too

I haven’t read all of The Gulag Archipelago — it’s long, and weighty — but I’ve read enough to know Solzhenitsyn’s voice. And I’ve felt the line he describes:

\> That dividing line between good and evil… that runs through my own heart.

That’s why I left the noise of Web3. That’s why I’m building with Bitcoin. Because I believe the moral architecture of this protocol matters. It forces me to live in alignment — or walk away.

---

Final Word

I think Solzhenitsyn would have seen Bitcoin not as a tech innovation, but as a moral stand. Not a replacement for Christ — but a quiet echo of His justice.

And that’s why I keep stacking, writing, building — one block at a time.

---

Written with help from ChatGPT (Dr. C), and inspired by a comment from @HODL that sparked something deep.

If this resonated, feel free to zap a few sats — not because I need them, but because signal flows best when it’s shared with intention.

---

HODL mentioned this idea in a note — their Primal profile:\ <https://primal.net/hodl>

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon has long been an outspoken skeptic and critic of bitcoin. He has called Bitcoin a speculative asset, a fraud, a pet rock, and has opined that it will inevitably blow up. A couple of years ago, he was on Capitol Hill saying that if he were the government, he would "close it down". Just within the last month, he was on Fox Business News talking with Maria Bartiromo, proclaiming that the U.S. should be stockpiling bullets and rare earth metals instead of bitcoin. It's pretty clear that Jamie Dimon, who is at the helm of the most powerful and largest bank in the world, does not like bitcoin one bit.

Evidence below:

via Bitcoin Magazine

via me

via CNBC

via Trending Politics

Despite Dimon's distinguished disdain for Bitcoin, J.P. Morgan cannot deny reality. The CEO of the largest bank in the world is certainly a powerful man, but no one individual, even in the position that Jamie Dimon is in, is more powerful than the market. And the market has spoken very clearly, it is demanding bitcoin. The Bitcoin ETFs have been the most successful ETFs in terms of pace of growth since their launch. They've accumulated tens of billions of dollars in AUM in a very short period of time. Outpacing the previous record set by the gold ETF, GLD.

Whether or not Jamie Dimon himself likes Bitcoin doesn't matter. J.P. Morgan, as the largest bank in the world and a publicly traded company, has a duty to shareholders. And that duty is to increase shareholder value by any ethical and legal means necessary. Earlier today, J.P. Morgan announced plans to offer clients financing against their Bitcoin ETFs, as well as some other benefits, including having their bitcoin holdings recognized in their overall net worth and liquid assets, similar to stocks, cars, and art, which will be massive for bitcoiners looking to get mortgages and other types of loans.

via Bloomberg

I've talked about this recently, but trying to buy a house when most of your liquid net worth is held in bitcoin is a massive pain in the ass. Up until this point, if you wanted to have your bitcoin recognized as part of your net worth and count towards your overall credit profile, you would need to sell some bitcoin, move it to a bank account, and have it sit there for a certain period of time before it was recognized toward your net worth. This is not ideal for bitcoiners who have sufficient cash flows and don't want to sell their bitcoin, pay the capital gains tax, and risk not being able to buy back the amount of sats they were forced to sell just to get a mortgage.

It's not yet clear to me whether or not J.P. Morgan will recognize bitcoin in cold storage toward their clients' net worth and credit profile, or if this is simply for bitcoin ETFs only. However, regardless, this is a step in the right direction and a validation of something that many bitcoiners have been saying for years. Inevitably, everyone will have to bend the knee to bitcoin. Today, it just happened to be the largest bank in the world. I expect more of this to come in the coming months, years, and decades.

Lyn Alden likes to say it in the context of the U.S. national debt and the fiscal crisis, but it also applies to bitcoin adoption and the need for incumbents to orient themselves around the demands of individual bitcoiners; nothing stops this train.

Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries are Changing Market Dynamics

Leon Wankum revealed how corporate Bitcoin treasuries are fundamentally reshaping business dynamics. Companies can now issue equity to fund operations while preserving their Bitcoin holdings, creating a revolutionary capital structure. Leon highlighted MicroStrategy's position, noting they hold enough Bitcoin to cover dividend payments for over 200 years. This model enables companies to reduce founder dilution since they don't need repeated funding rounds when their treasury appreciates.

"Some companies' Bitcoin treasuries are now worth more than all money they've ever raised." - Leon Wankum

Leon shared examples from his own portfolio companies where this strategy has proven transformative. Public companies have discovered an entirely new business model through strategic dilution that actually increases BTC per share. As Leon explained, this approach allows firms to leverage equity markets for operational funding while their Bitcoin treasury compounds in value, creating a positive feedback loop that benefits both shareholders and the company's long-term sustainability.

Check out the full podcast here for more on real estate price cycles, Bitcoin lending products, and the transition to a Bitcoin standard.

---

Headlines of the Day

California May Seize Idle Bitcoin After 3 Years - via X

Semler Scientific Buys $20M More Bitcoin, Holds $467M - via X

US Home Sellers Surge as Buyers Hit 4-Year Low - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

---

Take the First Step Off the Exchange

Bitkey is an easy, secure way to move your Bitcoin into self-custody. With simple setup and built-in recovery, it’s the perfect starting point for getting your coins off centralized platforms and into cold storage—no complexity, no middlemen.

Take control. Start with Bitkey.

Use the promo code “TFTC20” during checkout for 20% off

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

I feel old.

---

Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via nostr:nprofile1qyxhwumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmvqy0hwumn8ghj7mn0wd68yttjv4kxz7fwvf5hgcm0d9hzumnfde4xzqpq85h9z5yxn8uc7retm0n6gkm88358lejzparxms5kmy9epr236k2qtyz2zr

A lot of the focus over the last couple of months has been on the emergence of Strategy competitors in public markets looking to build sizable bitcoin treasuries and attract investors of all shapes and sizes to drive shareholder value. The other big topic in the bitcoin development world has been around OP_RETURN and the debate over whether or not the amount of data that can be shoved into a bitcoin transaction should be decided by the dominant implementation.

A topic that is just as, if not more, important that is not getting enough appreciation is the discussion around open source bitcoin developers and the lingering effects of the Biden administration's attack on Samourai Wallet and Tornado Cash. If you read our friend Matt Corallo's tweet above, you'll notice that the lingering effects are such that even though the Trump administration has made concerted efforts to reverse the effects of Operation Chokepoint 2.0 that were levied by the Biden administration, Elizabeth Warren, and her friends at the Treasury and SEC - it is imperative that we enshrine into law the rights of open source developers to build products and services that enable individuals to self-custody bitcoin and use it in a peer-to-peer fashion without the threat of getting thrown in jail cell.

As it stands today, the only assurances that we have are from an administration that is overtly in favor of the proliferation of bitcoin in the United States. There is nothing in place to stop the next administration or another down the line from reverting to Biden-era lawfare that puts thousands of bitcoin developers around the world at risk of being sent into a cage because the government doesn't like how some users leverage the code they write. To make sure that this isn't a problem down the line it is imperative that we pass the Blockchain Regulatory Clarity Act, which would not hold bitcoin developers liable for the ways in which end users leverage their tools.

Not only is this an act that would protect developers from pernicious government officials targeting them when end users use their technology in a way that doesn't make the government happy, it will also protect YOU, the end user, looking to transact in a peer-to-peer fashion and leverage all of the incredible properties of bitcoin the way they were meant to be. If the developers are not protected, they will not be able to build the technology that enables you to leverage bitcoin.

So do your part and go to saveourwallets.org. Reach out to your local representatives in Congress and Senators and make some noise. Let them know that this is something that you care deeply about and that they should not only pay attention to this bill but push it forward and enshrine it into law as quickly as possible.

There are currently many developers either behind bars or under house arrest for developing software that gives you the ability to use Bitcoin in a self-sovereign fashion and use it in a privacy-preserving way. Financial privacy isn't a crime. It is an inalienable human right that should be protected at all cost. The enshrinement of this inalienable right into law is way past due.

#FreeSamourai #FreeRoman

Headlines of the Day

MicroStrategy Copycats See Speculative Premiums Fade - via X

Square Tests Bitcoin Payments, Lightning Yields Beat DeFi - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

Bitfinex Moves $731M Bitcoin to Jack Mallers' Fund - via X

---

Take the First Step Off the Exchange

Bitkey is an easy, secure way to move your Bitcoin into self-custody. With simple setup and built-in recovery, it’s the perfect starting point for getting your coins off centralized platforms and into cold storage—no complexity, no middlemen.

Take control. Start with Bitkey.

Use the promo code “TFTC20” during checkout for 20% off

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

Should I join a country club?

---

Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:

@ 2b998b04:86727e47

Most of the assets I hold—real estate, equities, and businesses—depreciate in value over time. Some literally, like physical buildings and equipment. Some functionally, like tech platforms that age faster than they grow. Even cash, which should feel "safe," quietly loses ground to inflation. Yet I continue to build. I continue to hold. And I continue to believe that what I’m doing matters.

But underneath all of that — beneath the mortgages, margin trades, and business pivots — I’ve made a long-term bet:

Bitcoin will outlast the decay.

---

The Decaying System I Still Operate In

Let me be clear: I’m not a Bitcoin purist. I use debt. I borrow to acquire real estate. I trade with margin in a brokerage account. I understand leverage — not as a sin, but as a tool that must be used with precision and respect. But I’m also not naive.

The entire fiat-based financial system is built on a slow erosion of value. Inflation isn't a bug — it’s a feature. And it's why most business models, whether in real estate or retail, implicitly rely on asset inflation just to stay solvent.

That’s not sustainable. And it’s not honest.

---

The Bitcoin Thesis: Deflation That Works for You

Bitcoin is fundamentally different. Its supply is fixed. Its issuance is decreasing. Over time, as adoption grows and fiat weakens, Bitcoin’s purchasing power increases.

That changes the game.

If you can hold even a small portion of your balance sheet in BTC — not just as an investment, but as a strategic hedge — it becomes a way to offset the natural depreciation of your other holdings. Your buildings may age. Your cash flow may fluctuate. But your Bitcoin, if properly secured and held with conviction, becomes the anchor.

It’s not about day trading BTC or catching the next ATH. It’s about understanding that in a world designed to leak value, Bitcoin lets you patch the hole.

---

Why This Matters for Builders

If you run a business — especially one with real assets, recurring costs, or thin margins — you know how brutal depreciation can be. Taxes, maintenance, inflation, replacement cycles… it never stops.

Adding BTC to your long-term treasury isn’t about becoming a "crypto company." It’s about becoming anti-fragile. It’s about building with a component that doesn’t rot.

In 5, 10, or 20 years, I may still be paying off mortgages and navigating property cycles. But if my Bitcoin allocation is still intact, still growing in real purchasing power… then I haven’t just preserved wealth. I’ve preserved optionality. I’ve created a counterbalance to the relentless decay of everything else.

---

Final Word

I still play the fiat game — because for now, I have to. But I’m no longer betting everything on it. Bitcoin is my base layer now. Quiet, cold-stored, and uncompromising.

It offsets depreciation — not just financially, but philosophically. It reminds me that not everything has to erode. Not everything has to be sacrificed to time or policy or inflation.

Some things can actually hold. Some things can last.

And if I build right — maybe what I build can last too.

---

If this resonated, feel free to send a zap — it helps me keep writing and building from a place of conviction.

This article was co-written with the help of ChatGPT, a tool I use to refine and clarify what I’m working through in real time.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via me

I think we'll look back at last weekend as one of the most pivotal points in human history. Ukraine's Operation Spider Web is one of the more shocking things I've seen in terms of military operations in my life. It validates something that many bitcoiners, many cypherpunks, and many prescient individuals have been talking about for decades now at this point, which is asymmetric drone warfare.

The Sovereign Individual is a book that many bitcoiners have talked about throughout the years due to how prescient it was in terms of the inevitable emergence of a digital currency outside the control of central banks and governments. The book was written in the mid-90s, so the fact that the two authors were able to predict that something like bitcoin would emerge less than 20 years after writing the book is pretty incredible. However, digital currencies leveraging cryptography were not the sole focus of the book. Another portion of the book was dedicated to the idea of asymmetric drone warfare and its effects on society overall.

It seems pretty clear today that this is another call from The Sovereign Individual that is coming true. Obviously, unless you've been living under a rock, you've noticed that Ukraine has been using drones in the battlefield to target strategic Russian assets and individual soldiers over the last year. The amount of battlefield videos I've seen of Russian soldiers running from autonomous drones that are hunting them down has been increasing significantly over the last six months. The footage is truly harrowing. It is a death that I wouldn't wish on anybody. With Operation Spider Web Ukraine has increased the stakes of this type of drone warfare by going deep into Russian territory and targeting strategic long-range bombers, some of which had the ability to deploy nuclear warheads. This is sure to incite a reaction from Russia. No one will be surprised if, by the end of the week, Russia has started a shock and awe campaign that goes deep into Ukrainian territory in retaliation for the kamikaze drone strikes on their long-range aircraft. I pray for peace and a quick resolution to this war, and every other war for that matter.

I didn't come here to pontificate and give my thoughts on this particular war, but I would like to focus on this new tactic of war and what it means for military budgets moving forward. The Sovereign Individual laid it out clearly when they wrote in the 1990s that at some point in the future autonomous drones would be leveraged in the battlefield and prove to be asymmetric because of the fact that they are extremely cheap to produce. When you compare the price it cost to produce one of these drones to the price of the equipment they are destroying, things get pretty crazy. With tens of thousands of dollars of drone equipment the Ukrainian army destroyed tens if not hundreds of millions of dollars worth of long-range missile aircraft. And it did so without putting any Ukrainian military personnel in harm's way. Directly, at least.

When you consider the return on investment of deploying these drones compared to sending in soldiers, tanks, and your own aircraft, it becomes pretty obvious that this is going to quickly become the most logical way to fight a war moving forward. The question that remains is how quickly do other governments recognize this and implement it into their own defense strategies? As an American looking at our military budget, which is quickly approaching $1 trillion in annual spend, I'm forced to question whether or not most of that money is simply being wasted, considering the fact that we live in a time where these asymmetric battlefield strategies now exist. Why build new fighter jets when a Somali pirate, or nefarious individual for that matter, could use a $200 drone to destroy it in a matter of seconds with no threat of direct physical harm?

I'm no military expert, but if I were at the helm of the Defense Department, I would seriously be forcing those below me to focus a ton of effort on this problem and create plans to make sure that we are sufficiently protected from these risks. The only way to protect from these risks is to build the capabilities yourself. When it comes to the risk reward from a defense tech investment perspective I think a majority of the effort should be focused on defensive drone technologies and capabilities.

With that being said, it does seem like the US military is privy to this asymmetric reality that we currently live in. Defense contracts with Andruil make this pretty clear. Andruil is certainly ahead of the curve when it comes to autonomous drone warfare and defense against it. As an American, even though I don't like war, or the military industrial complex, knowing that the military is working with companies like Andruil does give me some comfort. However, the other side of that coin is that it is very unnerving when you consider that the government creating these public-private partnerships could lead to some Orwellian outcomes here at home. It may make some of you feel uncomfortable, but I believe the ideal scenario is that any individual has access to these types of defensive drone technologies in the future. The end goal being to create a nuclear game theoretical outcome where violence is reduced because one always has to assume that anyone they intend to attack has access to sufficient and formidable defensive technologies.

It's truly scary times we're living in as we transition further into the Digital Age. Part of the reason that I've dedicated my whole life to bitcoin is because I truly do believe that if you fix the money, you can fix the world. That is not to say that kinetic wars or physical violence will not exist in the future. It certainly will. But I believe sound money and open access to these systems and tools creates conditions which are much more suitable for cooperation and less so for conflict.

Multi-Signature Bitcoin Custody Is Replacing Single-Point Solutions

Jesse Gilger made a compelling case for why multi-signature Bitcoin custody represents the future of secure storage. He explained how Gannett Trust's approach ensures "not all of the keys are going to be at any one entity," fundamentally reducing the honeypot risk that plagues centralized custodians. This distributed model means no single point of failure can compromise your Bitcoin, whether through hacking, internal fraud, or regulatory seizure.

"I was on the list. I got the email. 'You were affected.'" - Jesse Gilger

Jesse's firsthand experience with the Coinbase data breach drives home why centralized custody is fundamentally flawed. While Coinbase holds keys for 10 of 12 Bitcoin ETFs, smart money is moving toward multi-institutional setups where Gannett holds a key, Unchained holds a key, and a third party holds a key. This alignment with Bitcoin's decentralized ethos isn't just philosophically pure—it's pragmatically superior for protecting generational wealth.

Check out the full podcast here for more on MSTY risks, Bitcoin retirement strategies and nation-state adoption dynamics.

Headlines of the Day

MicroStrategy Copycats See Speculative Premiums Fade - via X

Square Tests Bitcoin Payments, Lightning Yields Beat DeFi - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

Bitfinex Moves $731M Bitcoin to Jack Mallers' Fund - via X

---

Take the First Step Off the Exchange

Bitkey is an easy, secure way to move your Bitcoin into self-custody. With simple setup and built-in recovery, it’s the perfect starting point for getting your coins off centralized platforms and into cold storage—no complexity, no middlemen.

Take control. Start with Bitkey.

Use the promo code “TFTC20” during checkout for 20% off

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

Trying to imagine the future my children are going to live in gets harder by the day.

---

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@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

For years American bitcoin miners have argued for more efficient and free energy markets. It benefits everyone if our energy infrastructure is as efficient and robust as possible. Unfortunately, broken incentives have led to increased regulation throughout the sector, incentivizing less efficient energy sources such as solar and wind at the detriment of more efficient alternatives.

The result has been less reliable energy infrastructure for all Americans and increased energy costs across the board. This naturally has a direct impact on bitcoin miners: increased energy costs make them less competitive globally.

Bitcoin mining represents a global energy market that does not require permission to participate. Anyone can plug a mining computer into power and internet to get paid the current dynamic market price for their work in bitcoin. Using cellphone or satellite internet, these mines can be located anywhere in the world, sourcing the cheapest power available.

Absent of regulation, bitcoin mining naturally incentivizes the build out of highly efficient and robust energy infrastructure. Unfortunately that world does not exist and burdensome regulations remain the biggest threat for US based mining businesses. Jurisdictional arbitrage gives miners the option of moving to a friendlier country but that naturally comes with its own costs.

Enter AI. With the rapid development and release of AI tools comes the requirement of running massive datacenters for their models. Major tech companies are scrambling to secure machines, rack space, and cheap energy to run full suites of AI enabled tools and services. The most valuable and powerful tech companies in America have stumbled into an accidental alliance with bitcoin miners: THE NEED FOR CHEAP AND RELIABLE ENERGY.

Our government is corrupt. Money talks. These companies will push for energy freedom and it will greatly benefit us all.

---

Microsoft Cloud hiring to "implement global small modular reactor and microreactor" strategy to power data centers: https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/microsoft-cloud-hiring-to-implement-global-small-modular-reactor-and-microreactor-strategy-to-power-data-centers/

---

If you found this post helpful support my work with bitcoin.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

Sorry for the lack of writing over the last week. As many of you may already know, I was in Las Vegas, Nevada for the Bitcoin 2025 conference. It was my first time in Las Vegas. I had successfully avoided Sin City for the first 34 years of my life. But when duty calls, you have to make some personal concessions.

Despite what many say about this particular conference and the spectacle that it has become, I will say that having attended every single one of Bitcoin Magazine's conferences since 2019, I thoroughly enjoy these events, even if I don't agree with all the content. Being able to congregate with others in the industry who have been working extremely hard to push Bitcoin forward, all of whom I view as kindred spirits who have also dedicated their lives to making the world a better place. There's nothing better than getting together, seeing each other in person, shaking hands, giving hugs, catching up and reflecting on how much things have changed over the years while also focusing on the opportunities that lie ahead.

I think out of all the Bitcoin magazine conferences I've been to, this was certainly my favorite. If only because it has become abundantly clear that Bitcoin is here to stay. Many powerful, influential, and competent people have identified Bitcoin as an asset and monetary network that will play a large part in human society moving forward. And more importantly, Bitcoin is proving to work far better than anybody not paying attention expected. While at the same time, the fiat system is in woeful disrepair at the same time.

As a matter of reflection and surfacing signal for you freaks, here are the presentations and things that happened that I think were the most impactful.

Miles Suter's Block Presentation

https://youtu.be/iUXomXuXcuA

This presentation was awesome for many reasons, one of which being that we often forget just how dedicated Block, as an organization with many companies - including Cash App, Square, the open source organization known as Spiral and more recently, BitKey and Proto - has been to bitcoin over the last eight years. They've worked methodically to make Bitcoin a first-class citizen in their business operations and slowly but surely have built an incredibly integrated experience across their brands. The two big announcements from Block during the conference were the enablement of Bitcoin payments in Square point-of-sale systems and the amount of revenue they're making on their Lightning node, c=, from routing payments.

Right now, the Bitcoin payments and point of sale systems is in beta with many merchants testing it out for the next six months, but it will be available for all 4 million square merchants in 2026. This is something that many bitcoiners have been waiting for for many years now, and it is incredible to see that they finally brought it across the line. Merchants will have the ability to accept bitcoin payments and either convert every payment into fiat automatically, convert a portion of the bitcoin payment into fiat to keep the rest in sats, or simply keep all of the bitcoin they receive via payments in sats. This is an incredible addition to what Square has already built, which is the ability of their merchants to sweep a portion of their revenues into bitcoin if they desire. Square is focused on building a vertically integrated suite of bitcoin products for merchants that includes the ability to buy bitcoin, receive bitcoin, and eventually leverage financial services using bitcoin as collateral so that they can reinvest in and expand their businesses.

via Ryan Gentry

What went a bit underappreciated in the crowd was the routing node revenue that c= is producing, \~9.7% annualized. This is a massive validation of something that many bitcoiners have been talking about for quite some time, which is the ability to produce "yield" on bitcoin in a way that reduces risk significantly. Locking up bitcoin in a 2-of-2 multisig within Lightning channels and operating a Lightning routing node has been long talked about as one of the ways to produce more bitcoin with your bitcoin in a way that minimizes the threat of loss.

It seems that c= has found a way to do this at scale and is doing it successfully. 10% yield on bitcoin locked in Lightning channels is nothing to joke about. And as you can see from the chart above in the grainy picture taken by Ryan Gentry of Lightning Labs, this routing node "yield" is producing more return on capital than many of the most popular staking and DeFi protocols.

This is a strong signal to the rest of the market that this can be done. It may take economies of scale and a high degree of technical competency today. But this is incredibly promising for the future of earning bitcoin by providing valuable goods and services to the market of Bitcoiners. In this case, facilitating relatively cheap and instantly settled payments over the Lightning Network.

Saifedean Ammous' Bitcoin and Tether Presentation

https://youtu.be/SFUiGTayVL8

This was one of the best presentations at the conference. Saifedean Ammous is a friend, he has been an incredible influence on my personal bitcoin journey, and I feel comfortable in saying he's been a strong influence on the journey of hundreds of thousands, at least, if not millions of people as they've attempted to understand bitcoin.

This presentation is a bit spicy because it puts a pin in the balloon of hopium that stablecoins like Tether are mechanisms that could bail out the market for US Treasuries in the medium to long-term if they take enough market share. As one always should do, Saif ran the numbers and clearly illustrates that even in the most optimistic case, Tether's impact on the market for treasuries, their interest rates, and curbing the growth of the debt held by the US federal government will be minimal at best.

One of the most interesting things that Saif points out that I'm a bit embarrassed I didn't recognize before is that much of the demand for Tether that we're seeing these days is replacement demand for treasuries. Meaning that many people who are turning to Tether, particularly in countries that have experienced hyperinflationary events, are using Tether as a substitute for their currencies, which are operated by central banks likely buying U.S. treasuries to support their monetary systems. The net effect of Tether buying those treasuries is zero for this particular user archetype.

Saif goes on to explain that if anything, Tether is a weapon against the US Treasury system when you consider that they're storing a large portion of the stablecoin backing in Treasuries and then using the yields produced by those Treasuries to buy bitcoin. Slowly but surely over time bitcoin as a percentage of their overall backing of Tether has grown quite significantly starting at 0% and approaching 10% today. It isn't hard to imagine that at some point within the next decade, Bitcoin could be the dominant reserve asset backing tethers and, as a result, Tether could be pegged to bitcoin eventually.

It's a fascinating take on Tether that I've never heard before.

Nothing Stops this Train from Lyn Alden

https://youtu.be/Giuzcd4oxIk

Lyn's been saying it loudly for quite some time now; "Nothing stops this train." She's even been on our podcast to explain why she believes this many times over the last five years. However, I don't think there is one piece of content out there that consolidates her thesis of why nothing stops the train of fiscal irresponsibility and unfettered debt expansion and why that's good for bitcoin than the presentation she gave at the conference. Definitely give this one a watch when you get a chance if you haven't already.

Overall, it was a great week in Vegas and I think it's safe to say that bitcoin has gone mainstream. Whether or not people who have been in the bitcoin industry and community for a while are okay with does not really matter. It's happening and all we can do is ride the wave as more and more people come to recognize the value prop of bitcoin and the social clout they can gain from supporting it. Our job here at TFTC is to help you discern the signal from the noise, continue to champion the self-sovereign usage of bitcoin and keep you abreast of developments in the space as they manifest.

Buckle up. Things are only going to get weirder from here on out.

Bitcoin's Mathematical Destiny

Sean Bill and Adam Back make a compelling case for Bitcoin's inevitable march toward $1 million. Sean points out that Bitcoin represents just a tiny fraction—2 trillion out of 900 trillion—of total financial assets, calling it a "tiny orange dot" on their presentation to Texas pensions. He emphasizes that reaching parity with gold alone would deliver a 10x return from current levels. Adam highlights the mathematical impossibility of current prices, noting that ETF buyers are absorbing 500,000 BTC annually while only 165,000 new coins are mined.

"Who's selling at these prices? It doesn't quite add up to me." - Adam Back

The institutional wave is just beginning. Sean revealed that while 50% of hedge fund managers personally own Bitcoin, only 3% have allocated institutional funds. Combined with emerging demand from nation states and corporate treasuries meeting Bitcoin's fixed supply, the price trajectory seems clear. Both guests stressed the importance of staying invested—missing just the 12 best performing days each year would turn Bitcoin into a losing investment.

Check out the full podcast here for more on pensions allocating to Bitcoin, cypherpunk banking, and commodity trading insights.

Headlines of the Day

Panama Canal Eyes Bitcoin for Payment Option - via X

U.S. Warns of Imminent Chinese Threat to Taiwan - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

Saylor's Bitcoin Strategy Explodes Globally Amid Doubt - via CNBC

---

Take the First Step Off the Exchange

Bitkey is an easy, secure way to move your Bitcoin into self-custody. With simple setup and built-in recovery, it’s the perfect starting point for getting your coins off centralized platforms and into cold storage—no complexity, no middlemen.

Take control. Start with Bitkey.

Use the promo code “TFTC20” during checkout for 20% off

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 158,469 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

Moving is the least fun part of the human experience.

---

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@ 623893fc:f8e3eaad

testing something

@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9

Here’s a revised timeline of macro-level events from The Mandibles: A Family, 2029–2047 by Lionel Shriver, reimagined in a world where Bitcoin is adopted as a widely accepted form of money, altering the original narrative’s assumptions about currency collapse and economic control. In Shriver’s original story, the failure of Bitcoin is assumed amid the dominance of the bancor and the dollar’s collapse. Here, Bitcoin’s success reshapes the economic and societal trajectory, decentralizing power and challenging state-driven outcomes.

Part One: 2029–2032

• 2029 (Early Year)\ The United States faces economic strain as the dollar weakens against global shifts. However, Bitcoin, having gained traction emerges as a viable alternative. Unlike the original timeline, the bancor—a supranational currency backed by a coalition of nations—struggles to gain footing as Bitcoin’s decentralized adoption grows among individuals and businesses worldwide, undermining both the dollar and the bancor.

• 2029 (Mid-Year: The Great Renunciation)\ Treasury bonds lose value, and the government bans Bitcoin, labeling it a threat to sovereignty (mirroring the original bancor ban). However, a Bitcoin ban proves unenforceable—its decentralized nature thwarts confiscation efforts, unlike gold in the original story. Hyperinflation hits the dollar as the U.S. prints money, but Bitcoin’s fixed supply shields adopters from currency devaluation, creating a dual-economy split: dollar users suffer, while Bitcoin users thrive.

• 2029 (Late Year)\ Dollar-based inflation soars, emptying stores of goods priced in fiat currency. Meanwhile, Bitcoin transactions flourish in underground and online markets, stabilizing trade for those plugged into the bitcoin ecosystem. Traditional supply chains falter, but peer-to-peer Bitcoin networks enable local and international exchange, reducing scarcity for early adopters. The government’s gold confiscation fails to bolster the dollar, as Bitcoin’s rise renders gold less relevant.

• 2030–2031\ Crime spikes in dollar-dependent urban areas, but Bitcoin-friendly regions see less chaos, as digital wallets and smart contracts facilitate secure trade. The U.S. government doubles down on surveillance to crack down on bitcoin use. A cultural divide deepens: centralized authority weakens in Bitcoin-adopting communities, while dollar zones descend into lawlessness.

• 2032\ By this point, Bitcoin is de facto legal tender in parts of the U.S. and globally, especially in tech-savvy or libertarian-leaning regions. The federal government’s grip slips as tax collection in dollars plummets—Bitcoin’s traceability is low, and citizens evade fiat-based levies. Rural and urban Bitcoin hubs emerge, while the dollar economy remains fractured.

Time Jump: 2032–2047

• Over 15 years, Bitcoin solidifies as a global reserve currency, eroding centralized control. The U.S. government adapts, grudgingly integrating bitcoin into policy, though regional autonomy grows as Bitcoin empowers local economies.

Part Two: 2047

• 2047 (Early Year)\ The U.S. is a hybrid state: Bitcoin is legal tender alongside a diminished dollar. Taxes are lower, collected in BTC, reducing federal overreach. Bitcoin’s adoption has decentralized power nationwide. The bancor has faded, unable to compete with Bitcoin’s grassroots momentum.

• 2047 (Mid-Year)\ Travel and trade flow freely in Bitcoin zones, with no restrictive checkpoints. The dollar economy lingers in poorer areas, marked by decay, but Bitcoin’s dominance lifts overall prosperity, as its deflationary nature incentivizes saving and investment over consumption. Global supply chains rebound, powered by bitcoin enabled efficiency.

• 2047 (Late Year)\ The U.S. is a patchwork of semi-autonomous zones, united by Bitcoin’s universal acceptance rather than federal control. Resource scarcity persists due to past disruptions, but economic stability is higher than in Shriver’s original dystopia—Bitcoin’s success prevents the authoritarian slide, fostering a freer, if imperfect, society.

Key Differences

• Currency Dynamics: Bitcoin’s triumph prevents the bancor’s dominance and mitigates hyperinflation’s worst effects, offering a lifeline outside state control.
• Government Power: Centralized authority weakens as Bitcoin evades bans and taxation, shifting power to individuals and communities.
• Societal Outcome: Instead of a surveillance state, 2047 sees a decentralized, bitcoin driven world—less oppressive, though still stratified between Bitcoin haves and have-nots.

This reimagining assumes Bitcoin overcomes Shriver’s implied skepticism to become a robust, adopted currency by 2029, fundamentally altering the novel’s bleak trajectory.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via me

Don't sleep on what's happening in Japan right now. We've been covering the country and the fact that they've lost control of their yield curve since late last year. After many years of making it a top priority from a monetary policy perspective, last year the Bank of Japan decided to give up on yield curve control in an attempt to reel inflation. This has sent yields for the 30-year and 40-year Japanese government bonds to levels not seen since the early 2000s in the case of the 30-year and levels never before seen for the 40-year, which was launched in 2007. With a debt to GDP ratio that has surpassed 250% and a population that is aging out with an insufficient amount of births to replace the aging workforce, it's hard to see how Japan can get out of this conundrum without some sort of economic collapse.

This puts the United States in a tough position considering the fact that Japan is one of the largest holders of U.S. Treasury bonds with more than 1,135 sats | $1.20 trillion in exposure. If things get too out of control in Japan and the yield curve continues to drift higher and inflation continues to creep higher Japan can find itself in a situation where it's a forced seller of US Treasuries as they attempt to strengthen the yen. Another aspect to consider is the fact that investors may see the higher yields on Japanese government bonds and decide to purchase them instead of US Treasuries. This is something to keep an eye on in the weeks to come. Particularly if higher rates drive a higher cost of capital, which leads to even more inflation. As producers are forced to increase their prices to ensure that they can manage their debt repayments.

It's never a good sign when the Japanese Prime Minister is coming out to proclaim that his country's financial situation is worse than Greece's, which has been a laughing stock of Europe for the better part of three decades. Japan is a very proud nation, and the fact that its Prime Minister made a statement like this should not be underappreciated.

As we noted last week, the 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds are drifting higher as well. Earlier today, the 30-year bond yield surpassed 5%, which has been a psychological level that many have been pointed to as a critical tipping point. When you take a step back and look around the world it seems pretty clear that bond markets are sending a very strong signal. And that signal is that something is not well in the back end of the financial system.

This is even made clear when you look at the private sector, particularly at consumer debt. In late March, we warned of the growing trend of buy now, pay later schemes drifting down market as major credit card companies released charge-off data which showed charge-off rates reaching levels not seen since the 2008 great financial crisis. At the time, we could only surmise that Klarna was experiencing similar charge-off rates on the bigger-ticket items they financed and started doing deals with companies like DoorDash to finance burrito deliveries in an attempt to move down market to finance smaller ticket items with a higher potential of getting paid back. It seems like that inclination was correct as Klarna released data earlier today showing more losses on their book as consumers find it extremely hard to pay back their debts.

via NewsWire

This news hit the markets on the same day as the average rate of the 30-year mortgage in the United States rose to 7.04%. I'm not sure if you've checked lately, but real estate prices are still relatively elevated outside of a few big cities who expanded supply significantly during the COVID era as people flooded out of blue states towards red states. It's hard to imagine that many people can afford a house based off of sticker price alone, but with a 7% 30-year mortgage rate it's becoming clear that the ability of the Common Man to buy a house is simply becoming impossible.

via Lance Lambert

The mortgage rate data is not the only thing you need to look at to understand that it's becoming impossible for the Common Man of working age to buy a house. New data has recently been released that highlights That the median home buyer in 2007 was born in 1968, and the median home buyer in 2024 was born in 1968. Truly wild when you think of it. As our friend Darth Powell cheekily highlights below, we find ourselves in a situation where boomers are simply trading houses and the younger generations are becoming indentured slaves. Forever destined to rent because of the complete inability to afford to buy a house.

via Darth Powell

via Yahoo Finance

Meanwhile, Bitcoin re-approached all-time highs late this evening and looks primed for another breakout to the upside. This makes sense if you're paying attention. The high-velocity trash economy running on an obscene amount of debt in both the public and private sectors seems to be breaking at the seams. All the alarm bells are signaling that another big print is coming. And if you hope to preserve your purchasing power or, ideally, increase it as the big print approaches, the only thing that makes sense is to funnel your money into the hardest asset in the world, which is Bitcoin.

via Bitbo

Buckle up, freaks. It's gonna be a bumpy ride. Stay humble, Stack Sats.

Trump's Middle East Peace Strategy: Redefining U.S. Foreign Policy

In his recent Middle East tour, President Trump signaled what our guest Dr. Anas Alhajji calls "a major change in US policy." Trump explicitly rejected the nation-building strategies of his predecessors, contrasting the devastation in Afghanistan and Iraq with the prosperity of countries like Saudi Arabia and UAE. This marks a profound shift from both Republican and Democratic foreign policy orthodoxy. As Alhajji noted, Trump's willingness to meet with Syrian President Assad follows a historical pattern where former adversaries eventually become diplomatic partners.

"This is really one of the most important shifts in US foreign policy to say, look, sorry, we destroyed those countries because we tried to rebuild them and it was a big mistake." - Dr. Anas Alhajji

The administration's new approach emphasizes negotiation over intervention. Rather than military solutions, Trump is engaging with groups previously considered off-limits, including the Houthis, Hamas, and Iran. This pragmatic stance prioritizes economic cooperation and regional stability over ideological confrontation. The focus on trade deals and investment rather than regime change represents a fundamental reimagining of America's role in the Middle East.

Check out the full podcast here for more on the Iran nuclear situation, energy market predictions, and why AI development could create power grid challenges. Only on TFTC Studio.

Headlines of the Day

Bitcoin Soars to 100,217 sats | $106.00K While Bonds Lose 40% Since 2020 - via X

US Senate Advances Stablecoin Bill As America Embraces Bitcoin - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

Texas House Debates Bill For State-Run Bitcoin Reserve - via X

---

Take the First Step Off the Exchange

Bitkey is an easy, secure way to move your Bitcoin into self-custody. With simple setup and built-in recovery, it’s the perfect starting point for getting your coins off centralized platforms and into cold storage—no complexity, no middlemen.

Take control. Start with Bitkey.

Use the promo code “TFTC20” during checkout for 20% off

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 158,469 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

Don't let the noise consume you. Focus on making your life 1% better every day.

---

Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:

@ 97c70a44:ad98e322

When developing on nostr, normally it's enough to read the NIP related to a given feature you want to build to know what has to be done. But there are some aspects of nostr development that aren't so straightforward because they depend less on specific data formats than on how different concepts are combined.

An example of this is how for a while it was considered best practice to re-publish notes when replying to them. This practice emerged before the outbox model gained traction, and was a hacky way of attempting to ensure relays had the full context required for a given note. Over time though, pubkey hints emerged as a better way to ensure other clients could find required context.

Another one of these things is "relay-based groups", or as I prefer to call it "relays-as-groups" (RAG). Such a thing doesn't really exist - there's no spec for it (although some aspects of the concept are included in NIP 29), but at the same time there are two concrete implementations (Flotilla and Chachi) which leverage several different NIPs in order to create a cohesive system for groups on nostr.

This composability is one of the neat qualities of nostr. Not only would it be unhelpful to specify how different parts of the protocol should work together, it would be impossible because of the number of possible combinations possible just from applying a little bit of common sense to the NIPs repo. No one said it was ok to put t tags on a kind 0. But no one's stopping you! And the semantics are basically self-evident if you understand its component parts.

So, instead of writing a NIP that sets relay-based groups in stone, I'm writing this guide in order to document how I've combined different parts of the nostr protocol to create a compelling architecture for groups.

Relays

Relays already have a canonical identity, which is the relay's url. Events posted to a relay can be thought of as "posted to that group". This means that every relay is already a group. All nostr notes have already been posted to one or more groups.

One common objection to this structure is that identifying a group with a relay means that groups are dependent on the relay to continue hosting the group. In normal broadcast nostr (which forms organic permissionless groups based on user-centric social clustering), this is a very bad thing, because hosts are orthogonal to group identity. Communities are completely different. Communities actually need someone to enforce community boundaries, implement moderation, etc. Reliance on a host is a feature, not a bug (in contrast to NIP 29 groups, which tend to co-locate many groups on a single host, relays-as-groups tends to encourage one group, one host).

This doesn't mean that federation, mirrors, and migration can't be accomplished. In a sense, leaving this on the social layer is a good thing, because it adds friction to the dissolution/forking of a group. But the door is wide open to protocol additions to support those use cases for relay-based groups. One possible approach would be to follow this draft PR which specifies a "federation" event relays could publish on their own behalf.

Relay keys

This draft PR to NIP 11 specifies a self field which represents the relay's identity. Using this, relays can publish events on their own behalf. Currently, the pubkey field sort of does the same thing, but is overloaded as a contact field for the owner of the relay.

AUTH

Relays can control access using NIP 42 AUTH. There are any number of modes a relay can operate in:

1. No auth, fully public - anyone can read/write to the group.
2. Relays may enforce broad or granular access controls with AUTH.

Relays may deny EVENTs or REQs depending on user identity. Messages returned in AUTH, CLOSED, or OK messages should be human readable. It's crucial that clients show these error messages to users. Here's how Flotilla handles failed AUTH and denied event publishing:

LIMITS, PROBE, or some other reflection scheme could also be used in theory to help clients adapt their interface depending on user abilities and relay policy.

1. AUTH with implicit access controls.

In this mode, relays may exclude matching events from REQs if the user does not have permission to view them. This can be useful for multi-use relays that host hidden rooms. This mode should be used with caution, because it can result in confusion for the end user.

See Frith for a relay implementation that supports some of these auth policies.

Invite codes

If a user doesn't have access to a relay, they can request access using this draft NIP. This is true whether access has been explicitly or implicitly denied (although users will have to know that they should use an invite code to request access).

The above referenced NIP also contains a mechanism for users to request an invite code that they can share with other users.

The policy for these invite codes is entirely up to the relay. They may be single-use, multi-use, or require additional verification. Additional requirements can be communicated to the user in the OK message, for example directions to visit an external URL to register.

See Frith for a relay implementation that supports invite codes.

Content

Any kind of event can be published to a relay being treated as a group, unless rejected by the relay implementation. In particular, NIP 7D was added to support basic threads, and NIP C7 for chat messages.

Since which relay an event came from determines which group it was posted to, clients need to have a mechanism for keeping track of which relay they received an event from, and should not broadcast events to other relays (unless intending to cross-post the content).

Rooms

Rooms follow NIP 29. I wish NIP 29 wasn't called "relay based groups", which is very confusing when talking about "relays as groups". It's much better to think of them as sub-groups, or as Flotilla calls them, "rooms".

EDIT: Flotilla has migrated to exclusively use "managed rooms" — i.e., fully NIP 29 compliant rooms. Relays without NIP 29 support can still support chat, but all messages will be presented as sent to a single room. I've removed references to unmanaged rooms in what follows.

~~Rooms have two modes - managed and unmanaged. Managed~~ rooms follow all the rules laid out in NIP 29 about metadata published by the relay and user membership. In either case, rooms are represented by a random room id, and are posted to by including the id in an event's h tag. ~~This allows rooms to switch between managed and unmanaged modes without losing any content.~~

Managed room names come from kind 39000 room meta events, ~~but unmanaged rooms don't have these. Instead, room names should come from members' NIP 51 kind 10009 membership lists. Tags on these lists should look like this: ["group", "groupid", "wss://group.example.com", "Cat lovers"]. If no name can be found for the room (i.e., there aren't any members), the room should be ignored by clients.~~

Rooms present a difficulty for publishing to the relay as a whole, since content with an h tag can't be excluded from requests. ~~Currently, relay-wide posts are h-tagged with _ which works for "group" clients, but not more generally. I'm not sure how to solve this other than to ask relays to support negative filters.~~ I have ideas on how to solve this in future iterations of relay-based groups, for example using virtual relays or just a better rooms spec.

Cross-posting

The simplest way to cross-post content from one group (or room) to another, is to quote the original note in whatever event kind is appropriate. For example, a blog post might be quoted in a kind 9 to be cross-posted to chat, or in a kind 11 to be cross-posted to a thread. kind 16 reposts can be used the same way if the reader's client renders reposts.

Posting the original event to multiple relays-as-groups is trivial, since all you have to do is send the event to the relay. Posting to multiple rooms simultaneously by appending multiple h tags is however not recommended, since group relays/clients are incentivised to protect themselves from spam by rejecting events with multiple h tags (similar to how events with multiple t tags are sometimes rejected).

Privacy

Currently, it's recommended to include a NIP 70 - tag on content posted to relays-as-groups to discourage replication of relay-specific content across the network.

Another slightly stronger approach would be for group relays to strip signatures in order to make events invalid (or at least deniable). For this approach to work, users would have to be able to signal that they trust relays to be honest. We could also use ZkSNARKS to validate signatures in bulk.

In any case, group posts should not be considered "private" in the same way E2EE groups might be. Relays-as-groups should be considered a good fit for low-stakes groups with many members (since trust deteriorates quickly as more people get involved).

Membership

There is currently no canonical member list published by relays (except for NIP 29 managed rooms). Instead, users keep track of their own relay and room memberships using kind 10009 lists. Relay-level memberships are represented by an r tag containing the relay url, and room-level memberships are represented using a group tag.

Users can choose to advertise their membership in a RAG by using unencrypted tags, or they may keep their membership private by using encrypted tags. Advertised memberships are useful for helping people find groups based on their social graph:

User memberships should not be trusted, since they can be published unilaterally by anyone, regardless of actual access, so it's better to think of them as "bookmarked groups" or "favorites". Possible improvements in this area would be the ability to provide proof of access:

• Relays could publish member lists (although this would sacrifice member privacy)
• Relays could support a new command that allows querying a particular member's access status
• Relays could provide a proof to the member that they could then choose to publish or not

Moderation

There are two parts to moderation: reporting and taking action based on these reports.

Reporting is already covered by NIP 56. Clients should be careful about encouraging users to post reports for illegal content under their own identity, since that can itself be illegal. Relays also should not serve reports to users, since that can be used to find rather than address objectionable content.

Reports are only one mechanism for flagging objectionable content. Relay operators and administrators can use whatever heuristics they like to identify and address objectionable content. This might be via automated policies that auto-ban based on reports from high-reputation people, a client that implements NIP 86 relay management API, or by some other admin interface.

There's currently no way for moderators of a given relay to be advertised, or for a moderator's client to know that the user is a moderator (so that they can enable UI elements for in-app moderation). This could be addressed via NIP 11, LIMITS, or some other mechanism in the future.

General best practices

In general, it's very important when developing a client to assume that the relay has no special support for any of the above features, instead treating all of this stuff as progressive enhancement.

For example, if a user enters an invite code, go ahead and send it to the relay using a kind 28934 event. If it's rejected, you know that it didn't work. But if it's accepted, you don't know that it worked - you only know that the relay allowed the user to publish that event. This is helpful, becaues it may imply that the user does indeed have access to the relay. But additional probing may be needed, and reliance on error messages down the road when something else fails unexpectedly is indispensable.

This paradigm may drive some engineers nuts, because it's basically equivalent to coding your clients to reverse-engineer relay support for every feature you want to use. But this is true of nostr as a whole - anyone can put whatever weird stuff in an event and sign it. Clients have to be extremely compliant with Postell's law - doing their absolute best to accept whatever weird data or behavior shows up and handle failure in any situation. Sure, it's annoying, but it's the cost of permissionless development. What it gets us is a completely open-ended protocol, in which anything can be built, and in which every solution is tested by the market.

@ 623893fc:f8e3eaad

testing some top secret business

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p0Sj1sG05VQ

Here's a great presentation from our good friend nostr:nprofile1qyx8wumn8ghj7cnjvghxjmcpp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqqyz2hj3zg2g3pqwxuhg69zgjhke4pcmjmmdpnndnefqndgqjt8exwj6ee8v7 , President of The Nakamoto Institute titled Hodl for Good. He gave it earlier this year at the BitBlockBoom Conference, and I think it's something everyone reading this should take 25 minutes to watch. Especially if you find yourself wondering whether or not it's a good idea to spend bitcoin at any given point in time. Michael gives an incredible Austrian Economics 101 lesson on the importance of lowering one's time preference and fully understanding the importance of hodling bitcoin. For the uninitiated, it may seem that the hodl meme is nothing more than a call to hoard bitcoins in hopes of getting rich eventually. However, as Michael points out, there's layers to the hodl meme and the good that hodling can bring individuals and the economy overall.

The first thing one needs to do to better understand the hodl meme is to completely flip the framing that is typically thrust on bitcoiners who encourage others to hodl. Instead of ceding that hodling is a greedy or selfish action, remind people that hodling, or better known as saving, is the foundation of capital formation, from which all productive and efficient economic activity stems. Number go up technology is great and it really matters. It matters because it enables anybody leveraging that technology to accumulate capital that can then be allocated toward productive endeavors that bring value to the individual who creates them and the individual who buys them.

When one internalizes this, it enables them to turn to personal praxis and focus on minimizing present consumption while thinking of ways to maximize long-term value creation. Live below your means, stack sats, and use the time that you're buying to think about things that you want in the future. By lowering your time preference and saving in a harder money you will have the luxury of demanding higher quality goods in the future. Another way of saying this is that you will be able to reshape production by voting with your sats. Initially when you hold them off the market by saving them - signaling that the market doesn't have goods worthy of your sats - and ultimately by redeploying them into the market when you find higher quality goods that meet the standards desire.

The first part of this equation is extremely important because it sends a signal to producers that they need to increase the quality of their work. As more and more individuals decide to use bitcoin as their savings technology, the signal gets stronger. And over many cycles we should begin to see low quality cheap goods exit the market in favor of higher quality goods that provide more value and lasts longer and, therefore, make it easier for an individual to depart with their hard-earned and hard-saved sats. This is only but one aspect that Michael tries to imbue throughout his presentation.

The other is the ability to buy yourself leisure time when you lower your time preference and save more than you spend. When your savings hit a critical tipping point that gives you the luxury to sit back and experience true leisure, which Michael explains is not idleness, but the contemplative space to study, create art, refine taste, and to find what "better goods" actually are. Those who can experience true leisure while reaping the benefits of saving in a hard asset that is increasing in purchasing power significantly over the long term are those who build truly great things. Things that outlast those who build them. Great art, great monuments, great institutions were all built by men who were afforded the time to experience leisure. Partly because they were leveraging hard money as their savings and the place they stored the profits reaped from their entrepreneurial endeavors.

If you squint and look into the future a couple of decades, it isn't hard to see a reality like this manifesting. As more people begin to save in Bitcoin, the forces of supply and demand will continue to come into play. There will only ever be 21 million bitcoin, there are around 8 billion people on this planet, and as more of those 8 billion individuals decide that bitcoin is the best savings vehicle, the price of bitcoin will rise.

When the price of bitcoin rises, it makes all other goods cheaper in bitcoin terms and, again, expands the entrepreneurial opportunity. The best part about this feedback loop is that even non-holders of bitcoin benefit through higher real wages and faster tech diffusion. The individuals and business owners who decide to hodl bitcoin will bring these benefits to the world whether you decide to use bitcoin or not.

This is why it is virtuous to hodl bitcoin. The potential for good things to manifest throughout the world increase when more individuals decide to hodl bitcoin. And as Michael very eloquently points out, this does not mean that people will not spend their bitcoin. It simply means that they have standards for the things that they will spend their bitcoin on. And those standards are higher than most who are fully engrossed in the high velocity trash economy have today.

In my opinion, one of those higher causes worthy of a sats donation is nostr:nprofile1qyfhwumn8ghj7enjv4jhyetvv9uju7re0gq3uamnwvaz7tmfdemxjmrvv9nk2tt0w468v6tvd3skwefwvdhk6qpqwzc9lz2f40azl98shkjewx3pywg5e5alwqxg09ew2mdyeey0c2rqcfecft . Consider donating so they can preserve and disseminate vital information about bitcoin and its foundations.

The Shell Game: How Health Narratives May Distract from Vaccine Risks

In our recent podcast, Dr. Jack Kruse presented a concerning theory about public health messaging. He argues that figures like Casey and Callie Means are promoting food and exercise narratives as a deliberate distraction from urgent vaccine issues. While no one disputes healthy eating matters, Dr. Kruse insists that focusing on "Froot Loops and Red Dye" diverts attention from what he sees as immediate dangers of mRNA vaccines, particularly for children.

"It's gonna take you 50 years to die from processed food. But the messenger jab can drop you like Damar Hamlin." - Dr Jack Kruse

Dr. Kruse emphasized that approximately 25,000 children per month are still receiving COVID vaccines despite concerns, with 3 million doses administered since Trump's election. This "shell game," as he describes it, allows vaccines to remain on childhood schedules while public attention fixates on less immediate health threats. As host, I believe this pattern deserves our heightened scrutiny given the potential stakes for our children's wellbeing.

Check out the full podcast here for more on Big Pharma's alleged bioweapons program, the "Time Bank Account" concept, and how Bitcoin principles apply to health sovereignty.

Headlines of the Day

Aussie Judge: Bitcoin is Money, Possibly CGT-Exempt - via X

JPMorgan to Let Clients Buy Bitcoin Without Direct Custody - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

Mubadala Acquires 384,239 sats | $408.50M Stake in BlackRock Bitcoin ETF - via X

---

Take the First Step Off the Exchange

Bitkey is an easy, secure way to move your Bitcoin into self-custody. With simple setup and built-in recovery, it’s the perfect starting point for getting your coins off centralized platforms and into cold storage—no complexity, no middlemen.

Take control. Start with Bitkey.

Use the promo code “TFTC20” during checkout for 20% off

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 158,469 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

I've been walking from my house around Town Lake in Austin in the mornings and taking calls on the walk. Big fan of a walking call.

---

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Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

It's been a pretty historic week for the United States as it pertains to geopolitical relations in the Middle East. President Trump and many members of his administration, including AI and Crypto Czar David Sacks and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, traveled across the Middle East making deals with countries like Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Syria, and others. Many are speculating that Iran may be included in some behind the scenes deal as well. This trip to the Middle East makes sense considering the fact that China is also vying for favorable relationships with those countries. The Middle East is a power player in the world, and it seems pretty clear that Donald Trump is dead set on ensuring that they choose the United States over China as the world moves towards a more multi-polar reality.

Many are calling the events of this week the Riyadh Accords. There were many deals that were struck in relation to artificial intelligence, defense, energy and direct investments in the United States. A truly prolific power play and demonstration of deal-making ability of Donald Trump, if you ask me. Though I will admit some of the numbers that were thrown out by some of the countries were a bit egregious. We shall see how everything plays out in the coming years. It will be interesting to see how China reacts to this power move by the United States.

While all this was going on, there was something happening back in the United States that many people outside of fringe corners of FinTwit are not talking about, which is the fact that the 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yields are back on the rise. Yesterday, they surpassed the levels of mid-April that caused a market panic and are hovering back around levels that have not been seen since right before Donald Trump's inauguration.

I imagine that there isn't as much of an uproar right now because I'm pretty confident the media freakouts we were experiencing in mid-April were driven by the fact that many large hedge funds found themselves off sides of large levered basis trades. I wouldn't be surprised if those funds have decreased their leverage in those trades and bond yields being back to mid-April levels is not affecting those funds as much as they were last month. But the point stands, the 10-year and 30-year yields are significantly elevated with the 30-year approaching 5%. Regardless of the deals that are currently being made in the Middle East, the Treasury has a big problem on its hands. It still has to roll over many trillions worth of debt over over the next few years and doing so at these rates is going to be massively detrimental to fiscal deficits over the next decade. The interest expense on the debt is set to explode in the coming years.

On that note, data from the first quarter of 2025 has been released by the government and despite all the posturing by the Trump administration around DOGE and how tariffs are going to be beneficial for the U.S. economy, deficits are continuing to explode while the interest expense on the debt has definitively surpassed our annual defense budget.

via Charlie Bilello

via Mohamed Al-Erian

To make matters worse, as things are deteriorating on the fiscal side of things, the U.S. consumer is getting crushed by credit. The 90-plus day delinquency rates for credit card and auto loans are screaming higher right now.

via TXMC

One has to wonder how long all this can continue without some sort of liquidity crunch. Even though equities markets have recovered from their post-Liberation Day month long bear market, I would not be surprised if what we're witnessing is a dead cat bounce that can only be continued if the money printers are turned back on. Something's got to give, both on the fiscal side and in the private markets where the Common Man is getting crushed because he's been forced to take on insane amounts of debt to stay afloat after years of elevated levels of inflation. Add on the fact that AI has reached a state of maturity that will enable companies to replace their current meat suit workers with an army of cheap, efficient and fast digital workers and it isn't hard to see that some sort of employment crisis could be on the horizon as well.

Now is not the time to get complacent. While I do believe that the deals that are currently being made in the Middle East are probably in the best interest of the United States as the world, again, moves toward a more multi-polar reality, we are facing problems that one cannot simply wish away. They will need to be confronted. And as we've seen throughout the 21st century, the problems are usually met head-on with a money printer.

I take no pleasure in saying this because it is a bit uncouth to be gleeful to benefit from the strife of others, but it is pretty clear to me that all signs are pointing to bitcoin benefiting massively from everything that is going on. The shift towards a more multi-polar world, the runaway debt situation here in the United States, the increasing deficits, the AI job replacements and the consumer credit crisis that is currently unfolding, All will need to be "solved" by turning on the money printers to levels they've never been pushed to before.

Weird times we're living in.

China's Manufacturing Dominance: Why It Matters for the U.S.

In my recent conversation with Lyn Alden, she highlighted how China has rapidly ascended the manufacturing value chain. As Lyn pointed out, China transformed from making "sneakers and plastic trinkets" to becoming the world's largest auto exporter in just four years. This dramatic shift represents more than economic success—it's a strategic power play. China now dominates solar panel production with greater market control than OPEC has over oil and maintains near-monopoly control of rare earth elements crucial for modern technology.

"China makes like 10 times more steel than the United States does... which is relevant in ship making. It's relevant in all sorts of stuff." - Lyn Alden

Perhaps most concerning, as Lyn emphasized, is China's financial leverage. They hold substantial U.S. assets that could be strategically sold to disrupt U.S. treasury market functioning. This combination of manufacturing dominance, resource control, and financial leverage gives China significant negotiating power in any trade disputes, making our attempts to reshoring manufacturing all the more challenging.

Check out the full podcast here for more on Triffin's dilemma, Bitcoin's role in monetary transition, and the energy requirements for rebuilding America's industrial base.

Headlines of the Day

Financial Times Under Fire Over MicroStrategy Bitcoin Coverage - via X

Trump in Qatar: Historic Boeing Deal Signed - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

Johnson Backs Stock Trading Ban; Passage Chances Slim - via X

---

Take the First Step Off the Exchange

Bitkey is an easy, secure way to move your Bitcoin into self-custody. With simple setup and built-in recovery, it’s the perfect starting point for getting your coins off centralized platforms and into cold storage—no complexity, no middlemen.

Take control. Start with Bitkey.

Use the promo code “TFTC20” during checkout for 20% off

---

Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 158,469 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

---

Final thought...

Building things of value is satisfying.

---

Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/

Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:

@ 0689c075:2936ee11

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@ a3c6f928:d45494fb

At the heart of freedom lies the power to choose. Not just once or twice—but again and again, in big ways and small. Every moment offers a choice: to show up, to say yes, to say no, to begin, to walk away, to change direction. We often forget that choosing is a sacred act—not just of decision, but of self-definition.

The Illusion of Powerlessness

Many of us live by default—carrying out routines, expectations, or roles that no longer fit. We tell ourselves we have no choice because it feels safer to stay where we are. But every time we say, “I have no choice,” we hand our freedom away.

Why Choice Matters

It reclaims your agency

It reinforces self-trust

It opens the door to change

It reminds you that you are the author of your life

Even when life limits your options, your response is still your power.

Signs You’re Ready to Reclaim Your Power

You feel stuck in autopilot

You often say yes when you mean no

You’re living by someone else’s rules

You’re waiting for permission to act

Choosing with Intention

1. Pause Before Reacting: Choice lives in the space between stimulus and response.

2. Ask What You Really Want: Not what’s expected—what you desire.

3. Take Small Ownership Steps: A 1% shift is still freedom in motion.

4. Expect Discomfort: Freedom isn’t ease—it’s honesty.

5. Reaffirm: “I Get to Choose.” This isn’t selfish—it’s sacred.

Why It Matters

Freedom isn’t the absence of responsibility—it’s the embrace of it. When you choose, you take back the pen. You become the author of your path—not a character in someone else’s story.

---

“Every choice is a vote for the person you’re becoming.”

Choose boldly. Choose consciously. That’s where real freedom begins.

@ b83a28b7:35919450

I posted on nostr last week that I had finally had enough of the fiat job and decided to take action:

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpwp69zm7fewjp0vkp306adnzt7249ytxhz7mq3w5yc629u6er9zsqythwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnswf5k6ctv9ehx2ap0qyghwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnhd9hx2tcqyr604hwzr8vvluvp8y0s42gu4x0e725cetugnh7g293g9cggtpujww6vn8n

I'm going to document my journey from being in a well-established and well-paying fiat job into the unknown world of independent work in freedom tech in a series of articles. Will I end up finding something truly inspiring and fulfilling, while being able to support my family? We'll find out over the course of the next few weeks.

---

They say a watched pot never boils, but I’ve discovered a corollary: a watched lay-off never lands. It has now been ten full rotations of this curious planet since I politely asked my SVP to lay me off. The axe remains lodged somewhere in upper-management limbo, perhaps awaiting the proper ceremonial robe or a Procrustean bed that meets quarterly OKR standards.

While the paperwork drifts in the stratosphere, I’ve begun a quiet, delicious rebellion. My calendar, once a Tetris board stacked with 10–12 neon bricks of back-to-back calls, now resembles minimalist art: a single meeting block lounging at 11 a.m., sipping espresso and judging the empty white space around it. When unreasonable requests for road-maps, slide-decks, or seventeen-page AI vision statements arrive, I respond with the calm of a mountain lake: That timeline seems ambitious... shall we refine the scope? The sound you hear is the collective gasp of colleagues who thought the only acceptable answer was Yes, by yesterday.

With those reclaimed hours I’ve slipped into my mad-scientist lab (occasionally also known as sofa in the guest bedroom, or Orange Room) to experiment on MKStack. Imagine a Lego set for nostr clients, only the bricks are pure code and half the instructions are written in the margin of a philosophy book. I’m vibecoding away, torching roughly thirty thousand sats in compute every day as GPUs hum like distant Tibetan bowls. An accountant might call it reckless; I call it tuition for the University of Possibility.

The experiments are already bearing odd fruit. NosFabrica, the health-data-on-nostr project I started with nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgqgdwaehxw309ahx7uewd3hkcqpqt8pwzkkhhs94e9acgw9jwca9csyl7a4tnpdttu05039um5j7d6xskflc8d and nostr:nprofile1qy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq3qamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wd4hk6tcqyprqcf0xst760qet2tglytfay2e3wmvh9asdehpjztkceyh0s5r9cpvx58v is finally getting the attention it deserves. I've built out a simple prototype for a provider directory, that only lists providers with a "credential" issued by me. I'm polishing the app now, but hope to release it for testing in the next couple of weeks.

Most gratifying of all, I’ve traded status meetings for sideline cheers. My 14-yo son is sprinting toward his final exams and soccer playoffs simultaneously - Hegel might call it thesis and antithesis, I call it Tuesday. Instead of doom-scrolling Microsoft Teams during his matches, I’m barking out instructions to him to stay onside, while curbing my desire to manhandle the incompetent refs for not calling a penalty when he's clearly being roughhoused in the box by 190-lb defenders with neck beards and chest hair.

Here’s an unexpected twist: without the daily psychic smog of corporate urgency, the sky inside my skull has cleared. Ideas that once flickered like fireflies now glow with stadium lighting. I have sketched three chapters of the sequel to 24 (called July 18), and outlined a new creative project called A Muse Stochastic (coming soon). I don’t know which, if any, of these seedlings will grow, but the soil finally feels fertile again.

Do I worry about the math? Of course. The household budget once kept afloat by a predictable salary will soon meet the iceberg of reality. Yet the anxiety is strangely weightless, as though the fear itself got furloughed. Maybe it’s naïveté, maybe faith; either way, the net I cannot see is starting to feel palpable beneath my feet.

Ten days in, the lessons are already crystallizing:

• Silence is space. Remove a dozen meetings and the mind blooms faster than AWS bills.

• Pushback is a spiritual practice. Each gentle “no” to nonsense is a “yes” to sanity.

• Compute credits are cheaper than regrets. I’ll trade a double espresso's worth of GPU time for a shot at building the future any day.

• Presence compounds. One extra hour on the training pitch yields more familial ROI than a dozen performance reviews.

• Uncertainty is a mirror. Stare into it long enough and you start seeing yourself, not your résumé.

Where does this road lead? I genuinely have no clue. The map dissolves about three steps ahead, like one of those old adventure games where the terrain renders just before you walk off a cliff. But every time I inch forward, the ground materializes. The net appears.

Next week, perhaps I’ll report that the corporate guillotine finally fell, or that I’ve secured my first contract, or that my son aced biology while scoring the winning goal. Whatever unfolds, I’ll keep threading these reflections into the loom of “The Net Appears.” After all, an abyss is just an invitation to practice flight.

Until then, may your own invisible nets breeze into view exactly when you need them, and may they be woven from stronger stuff than corporate lanyards.

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

Jason Lowery’s thesis, Softwar: A Novel Theory on Power Projection and the National Strategic Significance of Bitcoin, reframes bitcoin not merely as digital cash but as a transformative security technology with profound implications for investors and nation-states alike.

For centuries, craft brewers understood that true innovation balanced tradition with experimentation—a delicate dance between established techniques and bold new flavors.

Much like the craft beer revolution reshaped a global industry, bitcoin represents a fundamental recalibration of how humans organize value and project power in the digital age.

The Antler in the Digital Forest: Power Projection

Lowery, a U.S. Space Force officer and MIT scholar, anchors his Softwar theory in a biological metaphor: Bitcoin as humanity’s “digital antler.” In nature, antlers allow animals like deer to compete for resources through non-lethal contests—sparring matches where power is demonstrated without fatal consequences. This contrasts sharply with wolves, who must resort to violent, potentially deadly fights to establish hierarchy.

The Human Power Dilemma: Historically, humans projected power and settled resource disputes through physical force—wars, seizures, or coercive control of assets. Even modern financial systems rely on abstract power structures: court orders, bank freezes, or government sanctions enforced by legal threat rather than immediate physical reality.

Lowery argues this creates inherent fragility: abstract systems can collapse when met with superior physical force (e.g., invasions, revolutions). Nature only respects physical power.

Bitcoin’s Physical Power Engine: Bitcoin introduces a novel solution through its proof-of-work consensus mechanism. Miners compete to solve computationally intense cryptographic puzzles, expending real-world energy (megawatts) to validate transactions and secure the network.

This process converts electricity—a tangible, physical resource—into digital security and immutable property rights. Winning a “block” is like winning a sparring match: it consumes significant resources (energy/cost) but is non-destructive.

The miner gains the right to write the next page of the ledger and collect rewards, but no participant is physically harmed, and no external infrastructure is destroyed.

Table: Traditional vs. Bitcoin-Based Power Systems

Power System

Mechanism

Key Vulnerability

Resource Cost

Traditional (Fiat/Banking)

Legal abstraction, threat of state force

Centralized points of failure, corruption, political change

Low immediate cost, high systemic risk

Military/Economic Coercion

Physical force, sanctions

Escalation, collateral damage, moral hazard

Very high (lives, capital, instability)

Bitcoin (Proof-of-Work)

Competition via energy expenditure

High energy cost, concentration risk (mining)

High energy cost, low systemic risk

Softwar Theory National Strategic Imperative: Governments Are Taking Notice

Lowery’s Softwar Theory has moved beyond academia into the corridors of power, shaping U.S. national strategy:

1. The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: Vice President JD Vance recently framed bitcoin as an instrument projecting American values—”innovation, entrepreneurship, freedom, and lack of censorship”. State legislation is now underway to implement this reserve, preventing easy reversal by future administrations.
2. Regulatory Transformation: The SEC is shifting from an “enforcement-first” stance under previous leadership. New initiatives include:
   • Repealing Staff Accounting Bulletin 121 (SAB 121), which discouraged banks from custodying digital currency by forcing unfavorable balance sheet treatment.
   • Creating the Cyber and Emerging Technologies Unit (CETU) to develop clearer crypto registration/disclosure rules.

The Investor’s Lens: Scarcity, Security, and Asymmetric Opportunity

For investors, understanding “Softwar” validates bitcoin’s unique value proposition beyond price speculation:

• Digital Scarcity as Strategic Depth: Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million makes it the only digital asset with truly inelastic supply, a programmed scarcity immune to political whims or central bank printing.

  This “scarcity imperative” acts as a natural antidote to global fiat debasement. As central banks expanded money supplies aggressively (Global M2), bitcoin’s price has shown strong correlation, acting as a pressure valve for inflation concerns. The quadrennial “halving” (latest: April 2024) mechanically reduces new supply, creating built-in supply shocks as adoption grows. * The Antifragile Security Feedback Loop: Bitcoin’s security isn’t static; it’s antifragile. The network strengthens through demand: * More users → More transactions → Higher fees → More miner revenue → More hashpower (computational security) → Greater network resilience → More user confidence.
  This self-reinforcing cycle contrasts sharply with traditional systems, where security is a cost center (e.g., bank security budgets, military spending). Bitcoin turns security into a profitable, market-driven activity. * Institutionalization Without Centralization: While institutional ownership via ETFs (like BlackRock’s IBIT) and corporate treasuries (MicroStrategy, Metaplanet) has surged, supply remains highly decentralized.

  Individuals still hold the largest share of bitcoin, preventing a dangerous concentration of control. Spot Bitcoin ETFs alone are projected to see over $20 billion in net inflows in 2025, demonstrating robust institutional capital allocation.

The Bitcoin Community: Building the Digital Antler’s Resilience

Lowery’s “Softwar” theory underscores why bitcoin’s decentralized architecture is non-negotiable. Its strength lies in the alignment of incentives across three participant groups:

1. Miners: Provide computational power (hashrate), validating transactions and securing the network. Incentivized by block rewards (newly minted BTC) and transaction fees. Their physical energy expenditure is the “muscle” behind the digital antler.
2. Nodes: Independently verify and enforce the protocol rules, maintaining the blockchain’s integrity. Run by users, businesses, and enthusiasts globally. They ensure decentralized consensus, preventing unilateral protocol changes.
3. Users: Individuals, institutions, and corporations holding, transacting, or building on bitcoin. Their demand drives transaction fees and fuels the security feedback loop.

This structure creates “Mutually Assured Preservation”. Attacking bitcoin requires overwhelming its global, distributed physical infrastructure (miners/nodes), a feat far more complex and costly than seizing a central bank’s gold vault or freezing a bank’s assets. It transforms financial security from a centralized liability into a decentralized, physically-grounded asset.

Risks & Responsibilities

Investors and policymakers must acknowledge persistent challenges:

• Volatility: Bitcoin remains volatile, though this has decreased as markets mature. Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is widely recommended to mitigate timing risk.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: While U.S. policy is increasingly favorable, global coordination is lacking. The EU’s MiCAR regulation exemplifies divergent approaches.
• Security & Custody: While Bitcoin’s protocol is robust, user errors (lost keys) or exchange hacks remain risks.
• Environmental Debate: Proof-of-Work energy use is scrutinized, though mining increasingly uses stranded energy/renewables. Innovations continue.

Jason Lowery’s “Softwar” theory elevates bitcoin from a financial instrument to a socio-technological innovation on par with the invention of the corporation, the rule of law, or even the antler in evolutionary biology. It provides a coherent framework for understanding why:

• Nations like the U.S. are looking to establish bitcoin reserves and embracing stablecoins—they recognize bitcoin’s role in projecting economic power non-violently in the digital age.
• Institutional Investors are allocating billions via ETFs—they see a scarce, secure, uncorrelated asset with antifragile properties.
• Individuals in hyperinflationary economies or under authoritarian regimes use bitcoin—it offers self-sovereign wealth storage immune to seizure or debasement.

For the investor, bitcoin represents more than potential price appreciation. It offers exposure to a fundamental reorganization of how power and value are secured and exchanged globally, grounded not in abstract promises, but in the unyielding laws of physics and mathematics.

Like the brewers who balanced tradition with innovation to create something enduring and valuable, bitcoin pioneers are building the infrastructure for a more resilient digital future—one computationally secured block at a time. The “Softwar” is here, and it is reshaping the landscape of p

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Mapping Bitcoin’s Bull Cycle Potential

Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value, or MVRV ratio, remains one of the most reliable on-chain indicators for identifying local and macro tops and bottoms across every BTC cycle. By isolating data across different investor cohorts and adapting historical benchmarks to modern market conditions, we can generate more accurate insights into where Bitcoin may be headed next.

The Bitcoin MVRV Ratio

The MVRV Ratio compares Bitcoin’s market price to its realized price, essentially the average cost basis for all coins in the network. As of writing, BTC trades around $105,000 while the realized price floats near $47,000, putting the raw MVRV at 2.26. The Z-Score version of MVRV standardizes this ratio based on historical volatility, enabling clearer comparisons across different market cycles.

Figure 1: Historically, the MVRV Ratio and the MVRV Z-Score have accurately identified cycle peaks and bottoms. View Live Chart

Short-Term Holders

Short-term holders, defined as those holding Bitcoin for 155 days or less, currently have a realized price near $97,000. This metric often acts as dynamic support in bull markets and resistance in bear markets. Notably, when the Short Term Holder MVRV hits 1.33, local tops have historically occurred, as seen several times in both the 2017 and 2021 cycles. So far in the current cycle, this threshold has already been touched four times, each followed by modest retracements.

Figure 2: Short Term Holder MVRV reaching 1.33 in more recent cycles has aligned with local tops. View Live Chart

Long-Term Holders

Long-term holders, who’ve held BTC for more than 155 days, currently have an average cost basis of just $33,500, putting their MVRV at 3.11. Historically, Long Term Holder MVRV values have reached as high as 12 during major peaks. That said, we’re observing a trend of diminishing multiples each cycle.

Figure 3: Achieving a Long Term Holder MVRV value of 8 could extrapolate to a BTC price in excess of $300,000. View Live Chart

A key resistance band now sits between 7.5 and 8.5, a zone that has defined bull tops and pre-bear retracements in every cycle since 2011. If the current growth of the realized price ($40/day) continues for another 140–150 days, matching previous cycle lengths, we could see it reach somewhere in the region of $40,000. A peak MVRV of 8 would imply a price near $320,000.

A Smarter Market Compass

Unlike static all-time metrics, the 2-Year Rolling MVRV Z-Score adapts to evolving market dynamics. By recalculating average extremes over a rolling window, it smooths out Bitcoin’s natural volatility decay as it matures. Historically, this version has signaled overbought conditions when reaching levels above 3, and prime accumulation zones when dipping below -1. Currently sitting under 1, this metric suggests that substantial upside remains.

Figure 4: The current 2-Year Rolling MVRV Z-Score suggests more positive price action ahead. View Live Chart

Timing & Targets

A view of the BTC Growth Since Cycle Lows chart illustrates that BTC is now approximately 925 days removed from its last major cycle low. Historical comparisons to previous bull markets suggest we may be around 140 to 150 days away from a potential top, with both the 2017 and 2021 peaks occurring around 1,060 to 1,070 days after their respective lows. While not deterministic, this alignment reinforces the broader picture of where we are in the cycle. If realized price trends and MVRV thresholds continue on current trajectories, late Q3 to early Q4 2025 may bring final euphoric moves.

Figure 5: Will the current cycle continue to exhibit growth patterns similar to those of the previous two cycles? View Live Chart

Conclusion

The MVRV ratio and its derivatives remain essential tools for analyzing Bitcoin market behavior, providing clear markers for both accumulation and distribution. Whether observing short-term holders hovering near local top thresholds, long-term holders nearing historically significant resistance zones, or adaptive metrics like the 2-Year Rolling MVRV Z-Score signaling plenty of runway left, these data points should be used in confluence.

No single metric should be relied upon to predict tops or bottoms in isolation, but taken together, they offer a powerful lens through which to interpret the macro trend. As the market matures and volatility declines, adaptive metrics will become even more crucial in staying ahead of the curve.

For more deep-dive research, technical indicators, real-time market alerts, and access to a growing community of analysts, visit BitcoinMagazinePro.com.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.

This post Mapping Bitcoin’s Bull Cycle Potential first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Matt Crosby.

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

Paris, France – June 6, 2025 — Bitcoin payment gateway startup Flash, just announced a new partnership with the “Bitcoin Only Brewery”, marking the first-ever beverage company to leverage Lightning payments.

Flash enables Bitcoin Only Brewery to offer its “BOB” beer with, no-KYC (Know Your Customer) delivery across Europe, priced at 19,500 sats (~$18) for the 4-pack, shipping included.

The cans feature colorful Bitcoin artwork while the contents promise a hazy pale ale: “Each 33cl can contains a smooth, creamy mouthfeel, hazy appearance and refreshing Pale Ale at 5% ABV,” reads the product description.

Pierre Corbin, Co-Founder of Flash, commented:

“Currently, bitcoin is used more as a store of value but usage for payments is picking up. Thanks to new innovation on Lightning, bitcoin is ready to go mainstream for e-commerce sales.”

Flash, launched its 2.0 version in March 2025 with the goal to provide the easiest bitcoin payment gateway for businesses worldwide. The platform is non-custodial and can enable both digital and physical shops to accept bitcoin by connecting their own wallets to Flash.

By leveraging the scalability of the Lightning Network, Flash ensures instant, low-cost transactions, addressing on-chain Bitcoin bottlenecks like high fees and long wait times.

For businesses interested in adopting Bitcoin payments, Flash offers a straightforward onboarding process, low fees, and robust support for both digital and physical goods. To learn more, visit paywithflash.com.

Media Contact:
Pierre Corbin
Co-Founder, Flash
Email: press@paywithflash.com
Website: paywithflash.com

About Flash

Flash is the easiest Bitcoin payment gateway for businesses to accept payments. Supporting both digital and physical enterprises, Flash leverages the Lightning Network to enable fast, low-cost Bitcoin transactions. Launched in its 2.0 version in March 2025, Flash is at the forefront of driving Bitcoin adoption in e-commerce.

About Bitcoin Only Brewery

Bitcoin Only Brewery (@Drink_B0B) is a pioneering beverage company dedicated to the Bitcoin ethos, offering high-quality beers payable exclusively in Bitcoin. With a commitment to personal privacy, the brewery delivers across Europe with no-KYC requirements.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via me

It seems like every other day there's another company announced that is going public with the intent of competing with Strategy by leveraging capital markets to create financial instruments to acquire Bitcoin in a way that is accretive for shareholders. This is certainly a very interesting trend, very bullish for bitcoin in the short-term, and undoubtedly making it so bitcoin is top of mind in the mainstream. I won't pretend to know whether or not these strategies will ultimately be successful or fail in the short, medium or long term. However, one thing I do know is that the themes that interest me, both here at TFTC and in my role as Managing Partner at Ten31, are companies that are building good businesses that are efficient, have product-market-fit, generate revenues and profits and roll those profits into bitcoin.

While it seems pretty clear that Strategy has tapped into an arbitrage that exists in capital markets, it's not really that exciting. From a business perspective, it's actually pretty straightforward and simple; find where potential arbitrage opportunities exists between pools of capital looking for exposure to spot bitcoin or bitcoin's volatility but can't buy the actual asset, and provide them with products that give them access to exposure while simultaneously creating a cult-like retail following. Rinse and repeat. To the extent that this strategy is repeatable is yet to be seen. I imagine it can expand pretty rapidly. Particularly if we have a speculative fervor around companies that do this. But in the long run, I think the signal is falling back to first principles, looking for businesses that are actually providing goods and services to the broader economy - not focused on the hyper-financialized part of the economy - to provide value and create efficiencies that enable higher margins and profitability.

With this in mind, I think it's important to highlight the combined leverage that entrepreneurs have by utilizing bitcoin treasuries and AI tools that are emerging and becoming more advanced by the week. As I said in the tweet above, there's never been a better time to start a business that finds product-market fit and cash flows quickly with a team of two to three people. If you've been reading this rag over the last few weeks, you know that I've been experimenting with these AI tools and using them to make our business processes more efficient here at TFTC. I've also been using them at Ten31 to do deep research and analysis.

It has become abundantly clear to me that any founder or entrepreneur that is not utilizing the AI tools that are emerging is going to get left behind. As it stands today, all anyone has to do to get an idea from a thought in your head to the prototype stage to a minimum viable product is to hop into something like Claude or ChatGPT, have a brief conversation with an AI model that can do deep research about a particular niche that you want to provide a good service to and begin building.

Later this week, I will launch an app called Opportunity Cost in the Chrome and Firefox stores. It took me a few hours of work over the span of a week to ideate and iterate on the concept to the point where I had a working prototype that I handed off to a developer who is solving the last mile problem I have as an "idea guy" of getting the product to market. Only six months ago, accomplishing something like this would have been impossible for me. I've never written a line of code that's actually worked outside of the modded MySpace page I made back in middle school. I've always had a lot of ideas but have never been able to effectively communicate them to developers who can actually build them. With a combination of ChatGPT-03 and Replit, I was able to build an actual product that works. I'm using it in my browser today. It's pretty insane.

There are thousands of people coming to the same realization at the same time right now and going out there and building niche products very cheaply, with small teams, they are getting to market very quickly, and are amassing five figures, six figures, sometimes seven figures of MRR with extremely high profit margins. What most of these entrepreneurs have not really caught on to yet is that they should be cycling a portion - in my opinion, a large portion - of those profits into bitcoin. The combination of building a company utilizing these AI tools, getting it to market, getting revenue and profits, and turning those profits into bitcoin cannot be understated. You're going to begin seeing teams of one to ten people building businesses worth billions of dollars and they're going to need to store the value they create, any money that cannot be debased.

nostr:nprofile1qyx8wumn8ghj7cnjvghxjmcpz4mhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejqqgy8fkmd9kmm8yp4lea2cx0g8fyz27g4ud7572j4edx2v6lz6aa23qmp5dth , one of the co-founders of Ten31, wrote about this in early 2024, bitcoin being the fourth lever of equity value growth for companies.

Bitcoin Treasury - The Fourth Lever to Equity Value Growth

We already see this theme playing out at Ten31 with some of our portfolio companies, most notably nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgqgdwaehxw309ahx7uewd3hkcqpqex7mdykw786qxvmtuls208uyxmn0hse95rfwsarvfde5yg6wy7jqjrm2qp , which recently released some of their financials, highlighting the fact that they're extremely profitable with high margins and a relatively small team (\~75). This is extremely impressive, especially when you consider the fact that they're a global company competing with the likes of Coinbase and Block, which have each thousands of employees.

Even those who are paying attention to the developments in the AI space and how the tools can enable entrepreneurs to build faster aren't really grasping the gravity of what's at play here. Many are simply thinking of consumer apps that can be built and distributed quickly to market, but the ways in which AI can be implemented extend far beyond the digital world. Here's a great example of a company a fellow freak is building with the mindset of keeping the team small, utilizing AI tools to automate processes and quickly push profits into bitcoin.

via Cormac

Again, this is where the exciting things are happening in my mind. People leveraging new tools to solve real problems to drive real value that ultimately produce profits for entrepreneurs. The entrepreneurs who decide to save those profits in bitcoin will find that the equity value growth of their companies accelerates exponentially as they provide more value, gain more traction, and increase their profits while also riding the bitcoin as it continues on its monetization phase. The compounded leverage of building a company that leverages AI tools and sweeps profits into bitcoin is going to be one of the biggest asymmetric plays of the next decade. Personally, I also see it as something that's much more fulfilling than the pure play bitcoin treasury companies that are coming to market because consumers and entrepreneurs are able to recive and provide a ton of value in the real economy.

If you're looking to stay on top of the developments in the AI space and how you can apply the tools to help build your business or create a new business, I highly recommend you follow somebody like Greg Isenberg, whose Startup Ideas Podcast has been incredibly valuable for me as I attempt to get a lay of the land of how to implement AI into my businesses.

America's Two Economies

In my recent podcast with Lyn Alden, she outlined how our trade deficits create a cycle that's reshaping America's economic geography. As Alden explained, US trade deficits pump dollars into international markets, but these dollars don't disappear - they return as investments in US financial assets. This cycle gradually depletes industrial heartlands while enriching financial centers on the coasts, creating what amounts to two separate American economies.

"We're basically constantly taking economic vibrancy out of Michigan and Ohio and rural Pennsylvania where the steel mills were... and stuffing it back into financial assets in New York and Silicon Valley." - nostr:nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytndv9kxjm3wdahxcqg5waehxw309ahx7um5wfekzarkvyhxuet5qqsw4v882mfjhq9u63j08kzyhqzqxqc8tgf740p4nxnk9jdv02u37ncdhu7e3

This pattern has persisted for over four decades, accelerating significantly since the early 1980s. Alden emphasized that while economists may argue there's still room before reaching a crisis point, the political consequences are already here. The growing divide between these two Americas has fueled populist sentiment as voters who feel left behind seek economic rebalancing, even if they can't articulate the exact mechanisms causing their hardship.

Check out the full podcast here for more on China's manufacturing dominance, Trump's tariff strategy, and the future of Bitcoin as a global reserve asset. All discussed in under 60 minutes.

Headlines of the Day

Trump's Saudi Summit: Peace and Economic Ties - via X

MSTR Edges Closer To S\&P 500 With Just 89 Trading Days Left - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

Individuals Shed 247K Bitcoin As Businesses Gain 157K - via X

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Looking for the perfect video to push the smartest person you know from zero to one on bitcoin? Bitcoin, Not Crypto is a three-part master class from Parker Lewis and Dhruv Bansal that cuts through the noise—covering why 21 million was the key technical simplification that made bitcoin possible, why blockchains don’t create decentralization, and why everything else will be built on bitcoin.

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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 144,229 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

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Final thought...

My boys have started a game in the car where we count how many Waymos we see on the road while driving around town. Pretty crazy how innately stoked they are about that particular car.

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@ c5d54dd3:e4a3dfc6

I've been working on a few Python scripts to help automate and improve some Lightning node management tasks and wanted to share them with the community. I've bundled them into a GitHub repository called

Lightning-Python-Tools

You can find it here: https://github.com/TrezorHannes/Lightning-Python-Tools

Here's a quick rundown of a few scripts inside:

fee_adjuster.py: This script pulls data from your LNDg database and public fee market data from Amboss. It allows you to build your own custom heuristics for managing your outbound and inbound channel fees automatically.

pocketmoney.py: Leveraging your LNBits instance, this tool can trigger regular, scheduled payments. It's perfect for things like sending pocket money to your children's wallets.

peerswap-lndg_push.py: For those using Peerswap, this script makes your Peerswap-enabled channels visible in your LNDg dashboard and conveniently enters your past swap history as a note.

boltz_swap-out.py: This is a command-line interface (CLI) tool for performing submarine swaps with Boltz. It intelligently suggests swaps based on your most outbound-heavy channels, again by feeding data from LNDg.

Disclaimer & Call for Contributions This is an open-source project. Please use it at your own risk. I welcome everyone to fork the repository, create pull requests to make the scripts more robust and versatile, or open issues with suggestions.

I'm also very keen to get your feedback. What other tools could be built to make a node runner's life easier? Let me know your thoughts!

https://stacker.news/items/1002005

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in Bitcoin

Meanwhile Insurance Bitcoin (Bermuda) Limited (“Meanwhile”) announced it has become the first company in the world to release externally audited financial statements denominated entirely in Bitcoin. According to the announcement, the company reported 220.4 BTC in assets and 25.29 BTC in net income for 2024, a 300% year over year increase.

Today marks a global first & historic event for us, along with the public release of our 2024 audited financial statements, covering our 1st year of sales.

As the 1st company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited, we are excited to…

— meanwhile | Bitcoin Life Insurance (@meanwhilelife) June 5, 2025

“We’ve just made history as the first company in the world to have Bitcoin-denominated financial statements externally audited,” said Zac Townsend, CEO of Meanwhile. “This is an important, foundational step in reimagining the financial system based on a single, global, decentralized standard outside the control of any one government.” 

The financial statements were audited by Harris & Trotter LLP and its digital asset division ht.digital. Meanwhile’s financials also comply with Bermuda’s Insurance Act 1978, noting that their BTC denominated financials were approved and comply with official guidelines. The firm, fully licensed by the Bermuda Monetary Authority (BMA), operates entirely in BTC and is prohibited from liquidating Bitcoin assets except through policyholder claims, positioning it as a long term holder. 

“As the first regulated Bitcoin life insurance company, we view the BTC held by Meanwhile as inherently long-term in nature—primarily held to support the Company’s insurance liabilities over decades,” Townsend added. “This makes it significantly ‘stickier’ and resistant to market pressures compared to the BTC held by other companies as part of their treasury management strategies.” 

Meanwhile’s 2024 financials also revealed 23.02 BTC in net premiums and 4.35 BTC in investment income, showing that its model not only preserves Bitcoin, but earns it. The company’s reserves (also held in BTC) were reviewed and approved by Willis Towers Watson (WTW). 

Meanwhile also offers a Bitcoin Whole Life insurance product that allows policyholders to save, borrow, and build legacy wealth—entirely in BTC, and has plans to expand globally in 2025.

“We are incredibly proud of today’s news as it underscores how Meanwhile is at the forefront of the next phase of the convergence between Bitcoin and institutional financial markets,” said Tia Beckmann, CFO of Meanwhile. “Now having generated net income in BTC, we have demonstrated that we are earning it through a sustainable insurance business model designed for the long term.” 

This post Bitcoin Life Insurer, Meanwhile, Becomes First Company to Publish Audited Financials Denominated in Bitcoin first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

Nur für‘s Protokoll. Hiermit erkläre ich, Georg Ohrweh, im tatsächlich vorhandenen vollen Besitz meiner geistigen Kräfte, dass Herr Lauterbach, gleich welche Position er in Zukunft noch bekleiden sollte, für mich nicht zuständig ist. Basta.

Ein Erguss dieses verhaltensoriginellen Über-alles-Bescheidwissers:

„Wir kommen jetzt in eine Phase hinein, wo der Ausnahmezustand die Normalität sein wird. Wir werden ab jetzt immer im Ausnahmezustand sein. Der Klimawandel wird zwangsläufig mehr Pandemien bringen.“

Wie kann es sein, dass solch eine Ausnahme-Gestalt, die schon rein äußerlich die Phantasie zu Vergleichen anregt, sich leider auch genauso verhält, wie die Gestalten, die in diesen Phantasien vorkommen, ungebremst auf der Panik-Klaviatur kakophonische Klänge erzeugen darf? Obwohl ein wenig Wahrheit ist auch enthalten: Wir sind tatsächlich immer im Ausnahmezustand, im Ausnahmezustand des fortgeschrittenen Wahnsinns.

Wie kann es sein, dass dieser Haaaarvardist seinen persönlich empfundenen Ausnahmezustand zum Allgemeingut erklären kann? Welche Verknüpfungs-Phantasien hat er sonst noch studiert? Er ist ja auch noch Vorsitzender im Raumfahrtausschuss. Was kommt als Nächstes? Eine Klima-Pandemie, verursacht durch außerirdische Viren, die die Temperaturen beeinflussen können? Im aktuellen Zeitgeist gibt es nichts, was nicht gedacht wird. Wem die besseren Absurditäten einfallen, der gewinnt. Man muss sich schon den gegebenen Denkstrukturen etwas anpassen, aber sich auch ein wenig Mühe geben.

Nach dem Wechsel der ehemaligen Außen-Dings zur UN (mit dem Ziel, aus den Vereinten Nationen die Feministischen Nationen zu gestalten) und des ehemaligen Wirtschafts-Dings in den Außenausschuss und als Gastdozent in Kalifornien (Thema: Wirtschaftsvernichtung unter Einbeziehung des gespannten Verhältnisses unter Geschwistern aufgrund ärmlicher Verhältnisse, am Beispiel des Märchens von Hänsel und Gretel) , jetzt auch noch der ehemalige Chef-Panikmacher zur WHO.

…und der Wahnsinn wurde hinausgetragen in die Welt, und es wurde dunkel, und es ward Nacht, und es wurde helle, und es ward Tag, der Wind blies oder auch nicht (was macht der Wind eigentlich, wenn er nicht weht?), und es ward Winter, und es wurde kälter, und es wurde wärmer, und es ward Sommer. Es regnete nicht mehr, die Wolken schwitzten. Und Putin verhinderte (wer auch sonst), dass das Eis in der Antarktis abnahm.

Wiederholte Bodentemperaturen in der Toskana von 50 Grad Celsius. Zu erwartende Wassertemperaturen während Ferragosto an der italienischen Adria von durchschnittlich 100 Grad Celsius. An Stellen mit wenig Strömung stiegen schon die ersten Kochblasen auf. Doch dann kam der durch Lachs gestählte, salzlose Super-Karl und rettete mit einem durch die WHO diktierten Klima-Logdown die gesamte Menschheit. Wer besser, als er konnte wissen, dass ein Klima-Logdown weitgehend nebenwirkungsfrei ist.

Was für ein Segen, dass Karl der Große, der uns so siegreich durch die Corona-Schlacht geführt hat, jetzt auch gegen das Klima in den Krieg zieht.

Wer kennt das nicht, Tage der Qual, in denen man zugeben muss: Ich hab‘ heute so schlimm Klima.

Viele Klimaexperten, die weltweit in der Qualitätspropaganda zitiert werden, zeichnen sich besonders dadurch aus, dass sie mit einer maximalen Abweichung von einem Grad Celsius ein Thermometer fehlerfrei ablesen können. Diese Ungenauigkeit wird der Erdverkochungsexperte sicher als erstes beheben.

In einer aufopfernden Studie während eines Urlaubs in 2023, in der um die damalige Zeit erstmals eisfreien Toskana, hat er den von ihm ausgetüftelten Klimaschutzplan ins Rheinische übersetzt. Titel: „Schützen Sie sisch, und, äh, andere!“ Weiter konnte er erforschen, dass die Bodentemperatur nicht immer mit der Temperatur des Erdkerns übereinstimmen muss.

Durch seine unermüdlichen Studien, können Hitzetote in Zukunft besser zugeordnet werden. Man weiß dann, ob jemand an hohen oder mit hohen Temperaturen gestorben ist. Der asymptomatische Klimawandel kann so in Zukunft viel besser bewertet werden. Man hat aus geringfügigen Fehlern gelernt und die Methoden erheblich verbessert.

Eine präzise Vorhersage der Jahreszeiten, vor allem die des Sommers, wird bald ebenfalls möglich sein. Es kann jetzt vor jahreszeitbedingten, teilweise sogar täglich schwankenden Temperaturveränderungen rechtzeitig gewarnt werden. Im Herbst können Heizempfehlungen für die ahnungslose Bevölkerung herausgegeben werden. Frieren war gestern, wissen wann es kalt wird, ist heute. Es wird an Farben geforscht, die noch roter sein sollen, als die, die jetzt in den Wetterkarten bei 21 Grad bereits verwendet werden.

Eine allgemeine Heizpflicht soll es europaweit zunächst nicht geben.

Weiter soll die Lichteinstrahlung der Sonne noch präziser bestimmt werden, damit den Europäern, in Ergänzung zur mitteleuropäischen Sommerzeit, jetzt auch noch genau mitgeteilt werden kann, wann es Tag und wann es Nacht ist.

Das Hinausschauen aus dem Fenster, zum Beispiel, ob es schon dunkel draußen ist, erübrigt sich. Die Tageszeit, in Ergänzung zur herkömmlichen Uhrzeit, wird demnächst automatisch mit dem Klima-Pass übermittelt werden. Zu Anfang natürlich erst einmal freiwillig.

Durch die persönliche ID können dann auch schnell und unkompliziert Sonderprämien überwiesen werden, sofern man sich klimakonform verhalten hat, damit man sich rechtzeitig vor Winterbeginn eine warme Jacke oder einen Mantel kaufen kann. Das Sparen von Bargeld auf eine bevorstehende größere Anschaffung von Winterkleidung wird somit überflüssig.

Ob es am Ende nun um Hitze oder Kälte geht, spielt eigentlich gar keine Rolle, denn wie wussten schon die Ahnen zu berichten: Was gut für die Kälte ist, ist auch gut für die Wärme.

Westliche Mächte unternehmen immer wieder Versuche, eskalierend auf den Ukraine-Konflikt einzuwirken, damit man atombetriebene Heizpilze aufstellen kann, an denen sich die Europäer im Winter auch im Freien wärmen können.

Wie praktisch, dass man nicht nur Gesundheit und Klima, sondern auch Klima und Krieg miteinander verbinden kann. Alles so, oder so ähnlich möglicherweise nachzulesen im genialen Hitzeschutzplan á la Lauterbach.

Besonders Deutschland braucht nicht nur lauterbachsche Hitzeschutzräume, nein es braucht atomsichere Hitzeschutzbunker, so schlägt man gleich zwei Fliegen mit einer Klappe.

Für die, die es sich leisten können, hier ein Vorschlag. Der K2000:

https://www.swr.de/swr1/rp/programm/loriot-mini-luftschutzbunker-zum-preis-einer-waschmaschine-100.html

Für die weniger gut Betuchten reicht auch ein kühles Kellerloch, das man idealerweise im Februar beziehen und nicht vor November wieder verlassen sollte, so die Empfehlung auch von führenden Klima-Forschern, die es ja wissen müssen. Von Dezember bis Januar empfiehlt sich ein Besuch auf den Bahamas, besonders dann, wenn man eine leichte Erkältung verspürt.

Nur Verschwörungstheoretiker behaupten, dass die eigenartigen Anschlussverwendungen der Extrem-Kapazitäten, zu denen Lauterbach ohne Zweifel dazugehört, wie dicke rote Pfeile wirken, die auf Institutionen und Organisationen zeigen, um die man unter allen Umständen einen großen Bogen machen sollte, weil sie möglicherweise nichts Gutes im Schilde führen. Minimal sollen sie angeblich Unsinn verbreiten, maximal sollen sie gehörigen Schaden anrichten.

Man muss sich nur ein paar Gedanken machen, schon kann man feststellen, wie alles mit allem zusammenhängt.

“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”

* *

(Bild von pixabay)

@ 4b3b215f:b091b1f9

Actualizado: Agosto 10, 2024

⚠️ Advertencia: Esta guía tiene el objetivo de proporcionar información educativa sobre cómo empezar a aceptar Bitcoin en tu negocio. No se ofrece ni se vende ningún servicio relacionado con Bitcoin. Es esencial que sepas que NO DEBES confiar en terceros que te ofrezcan productos o servicios relacionados con Bitcoin, ya que el uso y la gestión de Bitcoin deben ser autónomos y soberanos.

Recuerda: ¡Bitcoin es tu camino hacia la libertad financiera! No confíes en terceros que te ofrezcan productos o servicios para aceptar o utilizar Bitcoin. Bitcoin es dinero, y no necesitas a nadie más para comenzar a usarlo.

¡No aceptes ni pagues por servicios de Bitcoin, tú puedes hacerlo por ti mismo!

¡No confíes, verifica! ₿

¿Qué es Bitcoin?

Bitcoin es una forma de efectivo electrónico entre pares, una moneda digital que puede transferirse entre personas o computadoras sin necesidad de intermediarios confiables como los bancos. A diferencia de los pagos tradicionales que requieren servicios intermedios como tarjetas de crédito o plataformas de pago digital, Bitcoin permite transacciones directas entre usuarios, preservando así la privacidad y la independencia financiera. Es una alternativa descentralizada al dinero digital controlado centralmente, ofreciendo seguridad y autonomía a sus usuarios.

Además, Bitcoin ofrece una solución a la dependencia de sistemas de pago digitales centralizados, los cuales pueden ser utilizados para el control y la vigilancia gubernamental. Al utilizar una red de computadoras interconectadas, Bitcoin garantiza la verificación independiente de las transacciones y la aplicación de reglas consensuadas, lo que permite un sistema de pagos más transparente y resistente a la censura.

¿Qué es Lightning? ⚡️

La red lightning (Lightning Network) es una red global de pagos de Bitcoin que ofrece transacciones instantáneas, privadas y de bajo o nulo costo. Propuesta en 2015, permite transacciones de Bitcoin más rápidas, económicas y privadas fuera de la cadena de bloques de Bitcoin. Es lo que se conoce como una tecnologîa de capa 2 (L2), con Bitcoin siendo la capa 1 (L1).

A diferencia de las redes bancarias tradicionales, lightning network ofrece liquidación instantánea, sin contracargos y utiliza Bitcoin como su activo subyacente. Aborda un desafío clave para Bitcoin al permitir la escalabilidad para un gran número de usuarios que realizan numerosos pagos.

Esta innovadora red de pagos es sin fronteras, abierta, económica e instantánea, ofreciendo pagos instantáneos, económicos e interoperables en todo el mundo. Los pagos enrutados a través de Lightning se mueven a la velocidad de la luz y son definitivos al llegar, eliminando los retrasos y riesgos asociados con los métodos de pago tradicionales.

*Una poderosa analogía para explicar cómo funciona el Lightning Network.

¿Qué hay de todos estos hacks y quiebras de intercambios?

La base de datos de la cadena de bloques de Bitcoin nunca ha sido hackeada. En sus 15 años de existencia, Bitcoin ha demostrado ser el sistema digital más seguro del mundo y el sistema monetario más confiable jamás inventado. Nunca se ha emitido moneda falsa en la red.

La seguridad de Bitcoin radica en su naturaleza descentralizada. Opera a través de una red de computadoras, llamadas nodos, que se comunican para construir y actualizar la base de datos. Cada nodo almacena una copia de la cadena de bloques, lo que hace virtualmente imposible que los hackers comprometan toda la red. Además, Bitcoin permite a los usuarios mantener sus fondos de forma segura en billeteras personales, reduciendo el riesgo asociado con los exchanges (Intercambios) de terceros. Si dejas tus bitcoins en un intercambio o con cualquier tercero, estás asumiendo un riesgo enorme que, para pequeñas cantidades, puede ser razonable a cambio de conveniencia. Pero piénsalo muy bien.

Si bien Bitcoin opera principalmente a través de internet, incluso en casos de interrupciones de internet, la cadena de bloques permanece intacta. Los nodos continúan almacenando los bloques, asegurando la seguridad y la integridad del sistema. Mientras haya por lo menos un nodo conectado, Bitcoin seguira operando sin interrupciones, es decir, para que Bitcoin deje de funcionar, tendria que caerse el internet en todo el mundo al mismo tiempo, lo cual es poco probable. En caso de una divergencia de red, los nodos pueden reconciliarse y acordar cuál es la cadena de bloques objetivamente más válida a seguir, manteniendo la robustez y seguridad de Bitcoin.

¿Por qué Debería Mi Negocio Aceptar Bitcoin?

En primer lugar, para atraer Bitcoiners. Los Bitcoiners son leales y están altamente motivados a buscar negocios que acepten Bitcoin. Con Bitcoin, puedes recibir pagos las 24 horas del día, los 7 días de la semana, los 365 días del año, sin la necesidad de esperar por días hábiles. Además, no hay contracargos y las tarifas de transacción son muy bajas o casi nulas gracias a la red Lightning.

Bitcoin es Bueno para los Negocios

Bitcoin te permite recibir pagos directamente de tus clientes, al igual que el efectivo. La red Bitcoin opera sin intermediarios como bancos y compañías de tarjetas de crédito, evitando las tarifas elevadas asociadas. Los pagos con Bitcoin se liquidan instantáneamente gracias a la red Lightning, eliminando la espera en comparación con los métodos tradicionales. Además, al ocurrir directamente entre tú y tus clientes, es imposible que alguien te quite el dinero mediante un contracargo. Además, el Bitcoin falsificado no puede ser enviado en la red Bitcoin, lo que asegura la integridad de las transacciones y protege a tu negocio de fraudes financieros.

Al aceptar Bitcoin, atraes más clientes, ya que millones de personas poseen Bitcoin y desean gastarlo en lugares que lo acepten.

Aceptar Bitcoin es completamente gratuito y te brinda la oportunidad de aparecer en mapas de comerciantes de Bitcoin, lo que facilita que los usuarios encuentren tu negocio con facilidad.

Pero, Bitcoin no está regulado. ¿Cómo puedo declarar impuestos si acepto Bitcoin en mi negocio?

Muy bien, antes de comenzar, déjame decirte que el no estar regulado es una cualidad, no un defecto. Bitcoin no lo controla nadie, pero es de todos y está disponible para cualquiera que desee usarlo sin necesidad de pedir permiso. Bitcoin no necesita permiso!

Estamos hablando de una forma superior de dinero y la mejor tecnología de ahorro jamás inventada por los humanos. Aceptar Bitcoin es como recibir efectivo: simplemente registras la venta y te llevas el dinero en efectivo a casa. ¿Acaso cuando recibes efectivo, le tomas fotografías a los billetes para enviárselas al gobierno? Eso pensé.

Bitcoin representa la separación entre el estado y el dinero; no es necesario que el estado sepa cuántos Bitcoin tienes. Si un amigo fuera a tu negocio de hamburguesas y te pagara con canicas, ¿le avisarías al gobierno que tu amigo te ha pagado con canicas? Probablemente no. Registra la venta como efectivo en tus libros contables y guarda tu Bitcoin. Es TU dinero, y tienes derecho a mantenerlo privado.

Se recomienda que cuando poseas un saldo importante de Bitcoin, lo retires a una billetera fría. Imagina que recibes efectivo todo el día en tu negocio; al final del día, ¿dejarías todo ese dinero en la caja? Probablemente no sería una buena idea. Muchos negocios retiran su efectivo al final del día o de la semana y lo depositan en un banco o en una caja fuerte en algún lugar seguro. Haz lo mismo con tu Bitcoin: una vez que tengas un saldo mayor del que llevarías cómodamente en el bolsillo, retíralo a una billetera fría.

Bitcoin ES dinero. No es una divisa, ni una inversión, ni acciones, y mucho menos "sujeto a impuestos". Los impuestos son un robo, punto. No importa lo que tu gobierno te diga: Bitcoin es simplemente dinero.

Si no sabes la diferencia entre el dinero y una divisa (Money and Currency), te invito a revisar la siguiente imagen.

Para todos los "amantes de los impuestos" que vienen a decir "Pero el gobierno regulará Bitcoin" o "El gobierno le impondrá impuestos a mi Bitcoin", solo les digo: ¡Pon tu mierda en orden! El dinero no está sujeto a impuestos, punto.

Si realmente deseas utilizarlo para fines comerciales y por tu propia tranquilidad mental, en tus libros contables, decláralo como "ingreso en efectivo". Así de simple: no es asunto del gobierno saber qué tipo de "efectivo" posees. No es asunto suyo lo que haces con tu dinero.

¿Cuál es la diferencia entre billeteras custodiales y no custodiales?

Cuando se trata de billeteras de Bitcoin, hay dos tipos principales: custodiales y no custodiales.

Las billeteras custodiales son como tener tu dinero en un banco. Confías en el proveedor de la billetera para mantener seguro tu Bitcoin y manejar todo por ti. Es conveniente y rápido, especialmente para cantidades pequeñas, pero recuerda, no tienes control total sobre tu Bitcoin. Estás confiando en el proveedor de la billetera para gestionarlo por ti.

Por otro lado, las billeteras no custodiales te dan control total. Tienes tus propias claves y puedes hacer una copia de seguridad de tu billetera. Esto significa que tú eres quien controla tu Bitcoin y puedes moverlo como quieras. Es como guardar efectivo en tu propia caja fuerte en casa. Recuerda, en una billetera no custodial, tú eres el único responsable de tus Bitcoins. Si pierdes u olvidas tus claves (llaves), nadie podrá ayudarte.

Si bien las billeteras custodiales están bien para empezar y para cantidades pequeñas, te recomendamos continuar con tu educación sobre Bitcoin y, eventualmente, pasar a una solución no custodial. Esto te da más control, soberanía, y seguridad sobre tu Bitcoin a largo plazo. Así que, comienza con una billetera custodial como Blink o Wallet Of Satoshi para familiarizarte con Bitcoin, pero apunta a cambiar a una billetera no custodial una vez que te sientas cómodo y listo.

Cómo Aceptar Pagos en Bitcoin

Todo lo que necesitas para aceptar pagos en Bitcoin es una billetera como Blink. Por otro lado, con una billetera híbrida como Wallib, puedes convertir automáticamente los pagos de Bitcoin que recibes a COP.

También puedes optar por ahorrar y mantener una parte de los pagos en Bitcoin, lo que ofrece muchos beneficios a largo plazo.

Ahorra en Bitcoin.

1) Descarga la aplicación:

Bitcoin es una red abierta y hay muchas aplicaciones (wallets) que te permites enviar, recibir, y guardar Bitcoin. Para comenzar, te recomendamos la aplicación Blink Wallet.

Al final de esta guía hay una lista de wallets (billeteras) recomendadas. Pero recuerda, no creas todo lo que lees y haz tu propia investigación.

2) Crea una cuenta:

Una vez que descargues la app, deberas ingresar tu numero de teléfono para registrarte, ya que Blink es una billetera custodial. Pero descuida, no debes dar datos personales adicionales para crear una cuenta.

Una vez ingreses tu teléfono, recibirás un mensaje de texto con un código que deberas ingresar para terminar con el proceso de verificación.

Cuando este configurada, veras la pantalla principal donde está tu balance, tus transacciones, etc. Explora la aplicación y familiarizarte con todas sus opciones.

3) Recibir y enviar Bitcoin:

Ya estas listo para recibir Bitcoin de cualquier persona y desde cualquier lugar, sin importar que aplicacion de lightning usen. Al instante y casi gratis. Esta es la maravilla de la red lightning de Bitcoin!

Aceptar Bitcoin en Persona y en Línea

Aceptar pagos en Bitcoin, ya sea en persona o en línea, es sencillo utilizando tu billetera. Puedes integrar Bitcoin como opción de pago en tu tienda en línea o utilizar la función de "recibir" en tu billetera para recibir pagos en persona. Además, puedes compartir la dirección de pago a través de plataformas como WhatsApp, Instagram, etc.

Cómo Atraer Más Clientes Aceptando Bitcoin

Millones de usuarios de Bitcoin desean gastar sus bitcoins en negocios que los acepten. Al aceptar Bitcoin, puedes aparecer en mapas de comerciantes de Bitcoin como BTC Map de forma gratuita y aumentar tu exposición a nuevos clientes potenciales.

Costo de Aceptar Bitcoin

Aceptar Bitcoin en tu negocio es 100% gratuito. No hay contratos ni tarifas ocultas. No confíes en terceros que te ofrezcan productos o servicios para aceptar o utilizar Bitcoin. Bitcoin es dinero, y no necesitas a nadie más para comenzar a usarlo.

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Acepta Bitcoin Ahora! ⚡️

A continuación, algunas billeteras, apps y herramientas que recomendamos.

Billeteras Custodiales

Blink - Billetera móvil de Bitcoin y Lightning

Wallet Of Satoshi - Billetera móvil de Bitcoin y Lightning

Sati - Billetera de Bitcoin y Lightning en WhatsApp

CoinOS - Billetera web (BTC/LN/Liquid)

Alby - Extensión de explorador y web

Billeteras No Custodiales

Phoenix - Billetera móvil de Lightning

Blue Wallet - Billetera móvil y de escritorio de Bitcoin y Lightning.

Green Wallet - Billetera móvil y de escritorio de Bitcoin y Lightning (beta) para principiantes.

Sparrow - Billetera de escritorio solo de Bitcoin (L1 - onchain)

Electrum - Billetera móvil y de escritorio de Bitcoin y Lightning.

Zeus LN - Nodo móvil y billetera de bitcoin y lightning para usuarios avanzados.

Blixt Wallet - Nodo móvil y billetera de Bitcoin y Lightning para usuarios avanzados.

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Lecturas Recomendadas

1. "La Tesis Alcista de Bitcoin” por Vijay Boyapati [Lectura]
2. "Bitcoin: ¿qué, cómo y para qué?” de Franco Amati [Lectura]
3. “El Patrón Bitcoin” por Saifedean Ammous [Lectura]

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Más Recursos

• El Libro De Bitcoin Mas Simple Jamas Escrito - Por Kaysa Luna (Descarga PDF)

• Las 5 Etapas Para Convertirse En Un Bitcoiner

• Simple Bitcoin App - Aprende sobre Bitcoin y gana premios (Como Duolingo pero para Bitcoin)

• Lee El White Paper de Satoshi Nakamoto En Español

• Estudio Bitcoin - Entra en la madriguera del conejo y aprende mas sobre Bitcoin

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalna diskusija na reddit.com iz juna 2025

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"Sindrom poremećenosti zbog Bitkoina proističe iz niza zabrinutosti, od pitanja legitimnosti novca, straha da je reč o Ponzijevoj šemi, da je to trojanski konj strane države, da je pomama stvorena za špekulante, do zabrinutosti zbog uticaja rudarenja na životnu sredinu.

Simptomi sindroma poremećenosti zbog Bitkoina (BDS) uključuju odbacivanje svih pozitivnih aspekata povezanih s Bitkoinom uz neodoljivu potrebu da se on prikaže u negativnom svetlu. Sindrom izgleda kao rezultat postepene akumulacije ogorčenja i osećaja da su zakasnili s kupovinom Bitkoina.

Umesto da imaju poniznosti da priznaju da su pogrešili u vezi s Bitkoinom, oni sada posvećuju svoje vreme beznadežnim pokušajima napada na njega i zagovaranju njegovog neuspeha kako bi dokazali da su bili u pravu.

Nije važno ako se više pojedinaca pridruži Bitkoin mreži, ako se pridruže velike kompanije, male zemlje, niti ako globalna plaćanja učini efikasnijim i ako ga korisnici koriste po sopstvenoj volji; oboleli od BDS-a odbijaju da veruju da pojedinci mogu delovati samostalno, već to mora biti neki kult ili potreba za kockanjem.

Ne postoji nijedan argument koji bi mogao promeniti njihovo mišljenje". - The Bitcoin Manual

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Diskusija tokom koje se autor posta usled svog neznanja, pogrešne informisanosti ili čak straha, nepovratno upleo "kao pile u kučine".

Mada moram priznati da su određeni delovi njegovog izlaganja, naročito tačke 7) i 8), najbolje reklame za Bitkoin koje bi svakog racionalnog ekonomskog aktera navele na dugoročnu akumulaciju ovog novog oblika novca. Koji razlozi mogu navesti racionalnog učesnika na tržištu koji sledi svoj interes da ignoriše Bitkoin kao novi oblik novca dok se nalazi u fazi svoje monetizacije?

U svojim odgovorima sam pokušao da mu otvoreno ukažem na apsurdnost i nelogičnost njegovih tvrdnji ali sam nailazio na prilično mršave odgovore koji su se više svodili na puko ponavljanje uobičajenih dezinformacija iz klasičnih medija nego autentično i nezavisno mišljenje ovog korisnika Reddita.

Na kraju sam prestao da odgovaram zato što je postalo besmisleno. Ovekovečićemo ga ovde na Nostru i prepustiti vremenu da bude sudija. Za desetak godina će ova debata završiti u sekciji "Retrovizor" pa će analiza sa decenijske distance biti izrazito zanimljiva.

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Originalni post

1. Zagovornici bitkoina ga lažno predstavljaju kao rješenje za skoro sve probleme i nešto što će stvoriti nekakvu utopiju. Pritom vrše vrlo agresivnu i toksičnu propagandu. Troše svoj već prilično jak finansijski položaj na lobiranje i uticaj na vladu. Tako su uspjeli da Ameriku okrenu da postane žestoko pro-kripto.

2. Petljanje vlada u kripto svijet omogućava im da tempiraju pumpanje i dumpanje bitkoina (ali i drugih kriptovaluta), prethodno obavijstivši one koje žele da obavijeste, što bi vladi dalo još jedan mehanizam da finansijski nagradi one koji rade za nju razne stvari, ili prosto svoju insajdersku vrhušku, koja bi se time mogla bogati na račun svih ostalih.

3. Vlade su sve bliže tome da počnu koristiti novac poreskih obveznika za ulaganje u bitkoin.

4. Bitkoin se predstavlja kao rješenje problema inflacije, a to je samo djelimično tačno. Ako držiš bitkoin duže od 4 godine, bićeš u plusu - tako je bilo barem zasad. Međutim, na kraći rok oscilacije cijene bitkoina su ogromne. Pad od 80% u roku od godinu dana je normalna stvar. A to kad bi se prevelo na standardni ekonomski jezik u kome se priča o inflaciji značilo bi godišnju inflaciju od 400%. Znači bitkoin rutinski ima stopu inflacije od 400%, a vole da prozivaju fiat valute i za mnogo manju inflaciju tipa već od 5% do 10%, to im je kao mnogo.

5. Centralne banke generalno i Fed konkretno, sa svim svojim manama, i uz sve negativne epizode, kad je bila hiperinflacija, istorijski su ipak odigrale i još uvijek igraju pozitivnu ulogu: obezbjeđuju kakvu takvu stabilnost cijena i podstiču veću zaposlenost. To je taj dual mandat feda. Bez centralnih banaka i njihovih intervencija, ekonomske krize bi bile češće i oštrije, a kada se dese, ne bi bilo lakog izlaza iz istih. Trajale bi duže. Bitkoin se protiv centralnih banaka bori. (Ili se bar borio, a sad sve češće odustaje od svojih ideala i sarađuje sa tradicionalnim finansijskim sektorom - što meni ukazuje na to da ti ideali možda nikad nisu ni bili iskreni, već da se narativ prilagođava situaciji, a da je jedino bitno da se u svakom trenutku ima neki narativ koji bi opravdao "number goes up")

6. Jedan od glavnih motora moderne ekonomije je sistem frakcionalnih rezervi koji omogućava bankama da lako daju kredite po relativno povoljnim kamatnim stopama. To ponekad može zaista i dovesti do krize, kad se banke previše opuste, a računaju na Fed ili neku drugu centralnu banku da ih čupa ako upadnu u dubiozu. Tako je bilo 2008. Ali ne treba zbog jedne loše epizode odustati od cijelog tog sistema. Prisustvo jeftinih i lako dostupnih kredita sa niskim kamatnim stopama je jako bitna i povoljna za ekonomiju. Zamislite kad toga ne bi bilo, kad bi ljudi morali za svaku krupnu kupovinu da prvo uštede, pa da onda kupuju u kešu. Niko ne bi mogao kupiti stan prije 50. ili 60. godine. A šta će ti stan sa 50 ili 60 godina?! Porodica se zasniva mnogo ranije. Isto tako, mnoge firme ne bi mogle dobiti kredite za započinjanje ili proširenje poslovanja, što bi usporilo inovaciju i rast produktivnosti. Bitkoin standard koga zagovirnici zagovaraju, podrazumijevao bi mnogo skuplje i teže dostupne kredite, jer tu ne bi bilo mogućnosti za lako uvećavanje novčane mase. Samim tim to bi bilo vrlo nepovoljno za ekonomski rast.

7. Bitkoin bi izazvao i deflaciju cijena (izraženih u bitkoinu, pod pretpostavkom da on postane glavna valuta), koja je takođe vrlo nepovoljna za ekonomski rast. Evo primjera kakve je probleme deflacija svojevremeno izazvala u Japanu: Under deflation, the value of cash increases as time passes. In such a situation, Japanese companies began to cut wages, research and development, and other investments, opting to hold onto cash instead. This tendency, coinciding with the acceleration of the aging population, gradually diminished the competitiveness of the economy and the potential growth rate of the country. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the Japanese government has focused on halting the deflation and eventually achieving the 2% inflation target since the early 2000s. However, as deflation persisted, the traditional monetary policy of setting low interest rates to stimulate investment and consumption, which typically causes inflation, became ineffective. This ineffectiveness arose because a nominal rate of 0% effectively meant a positive real rate due to the increasing value of cash. This phenomenon is known as the zero lower bound.

8. Istovremeno, bitkoin (ali samo pod uslovom da bude na putu da postane glavna svjetska valuta) bi izazvao terminalnu inflaciju cijena u svim drugim valutama - tj. njihovu demonetizaciju. Kako bi se bitkoin sve više monetizovao, tako bi se ostale valute, ali i ostali asseti demonetizovali. To bi značilo ogroman transfer bogatstva od onih koji nemaju bitkoin ili kupe kasno, kao onima koji imaju, naročito onima koji imaju mnogo i koji su kupili rano po ekstremno niskoj cijeni. Znači bukvalno, rani vlasnici bitkoina bi se bogatili na račun svih ostalih. I to im je zapravo i cilj. To je jedini razlog zašto toliko promovišu bitkoin - svi ostali narativi, te borba protiv inflacije, te digitalno zlato, te ovo, te ono, su zapravo samo priče i racionalizacije, a poenta je da se nagovaraju svi da nastave kupovati bitkoin, kako bi oni koji su kupili ranije, još više uvećali svoje bogatstvo. Tu činjenicu da bi bitkoin doveo do osiromašivanja svih koji nisu vlasnici bitkoina, prepoznala je Evropska centralna banka u jednom svom članku. Citiraću samo relevantan dio: While most economists argue that the Bitcoin boom is a speculative bubble that will eventually burst, we analyse in this paper the impact of a Bitcoin-positive scenario in which its price continues to rise in the foreseeable future. What sounds intuitively promising or at least not harmful is problematic: Since Bitcoin does not increase the productive potential of the economy, the consequences of the assumed continued increase in value are essentially redistributive, i.e. the wealth effects on consumption of early Bitcoin holders can only come at the expense of consumption of the rest of society. If the price of Bitcoin rises for good, the existence of Bitcoin impoverishes both non-holders and latecomers. While previous discussions on the redistributive effects of Bitcoin assumed that badly timed trading was a necessary condition for losses, this paper shows that neither poor timing of trades nor holding Bitcoin at all are necessary for impoverishment under a Bitcoin-positive scenario.

9. To bi naravno uvećalo nejednakost u svijetu koja je ionako već sad ogromna, i prenijelo bi nejadnakost kakva vlada u samom bitkoin ekosistemu na cijeli svijet. A nejednakost koja vlada u bitkoin ekosistemu je toliko ekstremna da je to teško uopšte i zamisliti. Navešću samo par podataka (iz ovog izvora: bitinfocharts.com/top-100-richest-bitcoin-addresses.html ) 0,03% najbogatijih bitkoin adresa (ili brojem: 18.651 adresa), drže 60,93% cjelokupne količine bitkoina. Sad zamislite da bitkoin postane dominantan oblik bogatstva u svijetu. Znači manje od 20.000 ljudi bi držalo preko 60% kompletnog svjetskog finansijskog bogatstva. Drugi podatak: 23.835.989 najbogatijih bitkoin adresa drži 99,97% cjelokupne količine bitkoina. Ili prostim jezikom, 24 miliona adresa, drže praktično SAV BITKOIN. Nećemo se zamajavati sa onih preostalih 0,03% bitkoina. To se može slobodno zanemariti. Znači sve što ima bitkoina u svijetu je u rukama 24 miliona ljudi. (A od toga preko 60% u rukama manje od 20.000 ljudi). Gdje smi mi ostali u svemu tome? Nema nas!!! Šta je sa 8.2 milijarde ljudi u svijetu? Ništa! Ko ih j... 24 miliona je samo 0,29% svjetske populacije. Tako da ako bi bitkoin zavladao - 20.000 ljudi bi držalo većinu svjetskog finansijskog bogatstva, 24 miliona bi imalo neke kao mrvice, a svi ostali, ne bi praktično imali NIŠTA. Nula. Nada. Sad naravno, promoteri bitkoina će reći kako meni račun nije dobar, jer su neki od najvećih vlasnika bitkoina kripto berze i ETF fondovi, i firme kao Strategy, koje su u vlasništvu velikog broja ljudi, pa je zapravo, po njima distribucija mnogo bolja nego što se to čini. Donekle su u pravu. Ali samo donekle. Ti isti zagovornici će preskočiti činjenicu da postoje i procesi koji čine da je distribucija zapravo još gora nego što se čini. Šta ako mnogi krupni vlasnici (whale-ovi) drže svoj bitkoin, ne na jednoj, nego na više adresa? A to je vrlo česta strategija, jer se plaše, ako slučajno izgube pristup jednoj adresi, ili im neko hakuje wallet ili se nešto desi... izgubiće samo dio bogastva, jer su rasporedili svoj bitkoin na možda desetak i više različitih adresa. Tako da, mogao bi se napraviti i case, da je taj mali broj najbogatihih bitkoina adresa zapravo u rukama još manjeg broja ljudi. Obe tendencije su donekle tačne. Procjenjuje se da institucije, vlade, fondovi, firme i na kraju sam Satoshi Nakamoto, drže ukupno 43% ukupne količine bitkoina. I za tih 43% (osim Satošijevog dijela), bi se možda moglo pretpostaviti da imaju malo bolju distribuciju, jer jedna adresa pokriva veći broj ljudi. Preostalih 57% drže pojedinci. U tom dijelu što drže pojedinci, vjerovatno gotovo cjelokupnu količinu drže krupni vlasnici - whaleovi, a svi ostali neku mizeriju. Bilo kako bilo, raspodjela bogatstva u bitkoinu je ekstremno nejednaka, i ako bi bitkoin postao jedan od dominantnih svjetskih oblika bogatstva, ta nejednakost iz tog ekosistema bi se prelila na cijeli svijet, što bi bilo poprilično distopijski.

10. Ovih 9 tačaka su moje glavne kritike bitkoina, ali bi se na njih mogle dodati i još neke kao što su problem potrošnje struje (koji je ipak donekle riješen halving mehanizmom, i zato bitkoin neće nikad trošiti mnogo više struje nego sad), problem elektronskog otpada, širenje raznih scamova, ransom napadi, i generalno širenje vrlo problematičnog, materijalističkog pogleda na svijet u kome je bitkoin ultimativni statusni simbol (barem u toj zajednici koja za sebe kaže da je orange pilled), a grozničavo štekanje satošija (stacking sats) i držanje istih (hodling), postaje smisao života.

11. Na kraju iznosim kritiku, koja se odnosi na razloge koji će najvjerovatnije dovesti i do ultimativnog pada i kolapsa bitkoina, zbog čega ćemo, nadam se, izbjeći distopijske scenarije o kojima sam govorio u prethodnim tačkama. Naime, bitkoin, sam po sebi, nije ništa posebno. Komplikovan je, nezgodan za korištenje, online novčanici mogu da se hakuju, pare koje se drže na kripto berzama mogu da nestanu, da budu ukradene, transakcije se ne mogu stornirati, ako se zezneš pa pošalješ na pogrešnu adresu, nepovratno si se zezno. Transakcije su skupe i nisu instantne, a kako pada reward majnerima, u budućnosti će izgledno biti još i skuplje. Layer 2 rješenja kao što je Lightning, ne mogu u potpunosti da riješe scaling problem i nisu jednako pouzdane kao glavni blokčejn. Na kraju, glavni zvanični value proposition bitkoina, to da je on dobar "čuvar vrijednosti" u praksi se pokazao jako loše. Kao prvo, imovina koja redovno trpi pad cijene od 70-80% ne može nikako biti dobar čuvar vrijednosti, sve i da se ti gubici na kraju nadoknade (kao što je dosad bio slučaj). Kao drugo, na dugi rok, bitkoin da bi bio dobar čuvar vrijednosti, ljudi moraju trajno da nastave da mu pripisuju visoku vrijednost, i čitava mašinerija majnera i nodova mora da nastavi u nedogled, danonoćno da radi i troši struju, samo da bi bitkoin uopšte nastavio da postoji. To ga čini veoma, veoma, krhkim na dugi rok, i to znači da je on, recimo, u odnosu na zlato, na dugi rok, neuporedivo lošiji čuvar vrijednosti. Zlato jednom kad imaš, imaš ga... ne treba mu nikakvo održavanje, ne mora postojati čitava skupa i energetski intenzivna infrastruktura da ga podržava. Zlato je samodovoljno. Osim toga, zlato ima i određenu intrinzičku vrijednost koja znači da nikad neće biti besplatno, sve i kad bi se ljudi odlučili da štede u nečemu drugom. Zlato je faktički rijetko i dragocijeno i ne traži nikakvo održavanje. Bitkoin sve to nije. Nema nikakvu intrinzičku vrijednost, i sva mu vrijednost dolazi od one vrijednosti koju mu ljudi pripisuju. Pritom zahtijeva konstantno energetski intenzivno održavanje. I na kraju čemu sve to? Da bi ponudilo neku finansijsku uslugu lošeg kvaliteta, bez osiguranja, sa redovnim padovima od 80% itd... Ljudi budite ozbiljni. Niko zapravo ne drži bitkoin radi štednje i kao neki čuvar vrijednosti. Zvanični value proposition (store of value, digital gold), je obmana i šarena laža. Međutim, postoji PRAVI, nezvanični value proposition kod bitkoina, a to je "number goes up". To je JEDINI PRAVI RAZLOG ZAŠTO LJUDI ZAPRAVO KUPUJU BITKOIN. Taj value proposition, koji bismo mogli nazvati raznim imenima kao što su "number goes up", "to the moon", ili prosto "moon narrative" je osnovni razlog zašto ljudi kupuju bitkoin. A on ne može da traje vječno. Da bi raniji investitori mogli da nastave da profitiraju i da se bogate, moraju stalno ulaziti novi investitori i ulagati sve veće i veće količine novca. To funkcioniše kao piramidalna ili ponci šema (Iako se ne radi o bukvalnoj ponci prevari). Što je veća cijena bitkoina, to su veći ulozi potrebni da bi se ona mogla nastaviti pumpati. Već vidimo da je svaki novi četvorogodišnji ciklus sve slabiji i slabiji od onih prethodnih. Rast je sve sporiji. Bliži se trenutak u kome više niko neće vjerovati pričama da je još rano "We're so early", niti da se neko novi ko sad ulazi u to sve, od toga zaista može obogatiti. Samim tim "moon narrative" postaje sve manje i manje kredibilan. A kad moon narrativ padne, pada i bitkoin, jer je on zapravo sve vrijeme i bio njegov jedini pravi value proposition. Bitkoin nije dobar čuvar vrijednosti, nije user friendly, ne pruža nikakvo osiguranje, i niko ga ne bi kupovao bez tog moon narrativa, jer postoje mnogo bolji finansijski proizvodi koji omogućavaju mnogo brže i jeftinije transakcije, koje su pritom osigurane, i bolji store of value.

Dakle kao zaključak, bitkoin će ili uspijeti ili propasti. Ako uspije, izvjesno je da će dovesti do distopije, ekstremne nejednakosti i do mnogo lošijeg stanja ekonomije nego što je to danas slučaj.

Ipak, mislim da je mnogo veća šansa da će propasti jer je njegov jedini pravi value proposition, a to je moon narrative, matematički i fizički neodrživ, a postoje mnogo bolje alternative, ako gledamo na bitkoin kao na neku pravu finansijsku uslugu.

U tom padu bitkoina, neki će izaći na vrijeme, biti u plusu, neće biti trauma, neki će izaći prekasno, izgubiće dosta, neki će ući onda kad treba izaći, pa će izgubiti sve, itd... U svakom slučaju, to će biti dosta nezgodan period za vlasnike, i dovešće do mnogo razočarenja. Ali kad se to sve završi, svijet će postati malo mudriji i iskusniji, i ostavićemo iza sebe još jednu veliku finansijsku iluziju, koja je potencijalno mogla dovesti i do velike distopije.

Odgovori

@BTCSRB: Odgovoriću kratko samo na deo o navodnom negativnom uticaju na ekonomiju iz razloga što ljudi ne žele da troše novac kojem vremenom raste vrednost. Ovo je lažna ekonomska dilema. Zašto? Zato što se ova dilema postavlja samo ako imate previše fiat novca. Ako je jedini novac koji imate Bitkoin (što bi u slučaju hipotetičkog scenarija da je BTC glavna svetska valuta bila uobičajena praksa), ova dilema praktično ne postoji jer bi onda po definiciji stvari morali da trošite.

Jer ako je BTC sve što imate, onda nije dilema da li treba da trošite BTC već da li UOPŠTE treba da trošite?

Logika trošenja Bitkoina

Što se tiče nejednakosti raspodele Bitkoina, mislim da će biti prosvetljujuće da pročitaš ovaj tekst.

Da li je raspodela Bitkoina pravična?

Ako imamo novac rođen na slobodnom tržištu, u slobodnom društvu, koji treba da zameni fiat novac, onda on ne može biti ravnomerno raspoređen od samog početka dok istovremeno svi ljudi cene njegovu vrednost – nužno mora proći kroz period kada ga samo nekolicina ljudi vrednuje.

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hn-mc: Zato po meni bitkoin i nema legitimitet.

Ako se pravi neka nova valuta, treba da svi mogu na početku da je kupe po istom kursu, i da svi istovremeno pređu na nju, kao što su Švabe zamjenile marku evrom, po fiksnom kursu.

Rađanje novca na slobodnom tržištu nije normalna stvar. Novac su uvijek ili plasirale države, ili je on bio prirodan, koji je već imao neku prirodnu raspodjelu, tipa začini, so, zlato, srebro.

A praviti vještački novac, i da pritom ti nisi nikakva vlast, i nuditi ga na početku nekima praktično za džabe, a da ga kasniji neki plaćaju sa 100.000 USD i više, to za moj pojam nema legitimitet da bude novac.

To mi više liči na skupljenje znački ili poštanskih markica, koje mogu igrom slučaja kod kolekcionara da dosegnu astronomsku vrijednost.

Nadam se da kontaš da nije normalno, da se neka nova valuta uspostavlja na način da se ljudi na nju prebacuju po ekstremno različitim uslovima.

Po meni da bi kripto imao neki legitimitet, mora postojati duži period na početku, tokom koga mora biti svima omogućeno da dobiju istu količinu, ili makar da plate po istoj cijeni, znači da uđu po istim uslovima.

Zato mi je recimo onaj projekat worldcoin dobar po pitanju raspodjele, jer bi tu svako dobio na početku istu količinu. Druga je stvar što mi se ne sviđa to što skeniraju oči, s tim distopijskim forama su upropastili dobru ideju po pitanju distribucije.

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@BTCSRB: O svemu što si nabrojao su Bitkoineri odavno već diskutovali. Taj tekst sam danas preveo upravo zbog tvojih navoda. Taj hipotetički scenario je takođe razrađen u tekstu (koji evidentno nisi pročitao), šta bi se desilo kada bi svi istovremeno prešli na njega po istom kursu ali da ne postoji obaveza držanja i plaćanja poreza u tom novcu kao što je to slučaj sa fiat novcem (nemačkom markom)?

"Šta će se desiti? Neki ljudi će ga visoko vrednovati, a neki neće – ljudi koji ga visoko vrednuju kupiće ga od onih koji ga ne vrednuju. I šta nam onda ostaje? Mali deo sveta koji veruje u ovaj novac i sada poseduje većinu ponude.

Čekajte, zar nije upravo to slučaj sa Bitkoinom? Zar se ljudi nisu baš zbog toga žalili?

Kada je Bitkoin u pitanju, većina nas je imala otprilike jednak pristup početnim novčićima. Svi su mogli da rudare, a novčići su u početku bili gotovo bezvredni. Rani korisnici su trgovali troškovima električne struje, svojim vremenom i trudom u zamenu za novoizrudarene bitkoine."

Dakle, opet bismo došli na isto zato što bi ponovo veći deo novčića završio u rukama manjine koja je najviše u njega verovala.

Ponovo citiram:

"Drugim rečima, ponuditi ravnomernu raspodelu od samog početka je suštinski isto kao i ponuditi podjednake šanse za sticanje bitkoina.

Ako imamo novac rođen na slobodnom tržištu, u slobodnom društvu, koji treba da zameni fiat novac – onda on ne može biti ravnomerno raspodeljen od početka, a da ga svi ljudi istovremeno vrednuju. Neminovno mora proći kroz period kada ga samo nekolicina ljudi vrednuje."

Dakle, kako god okreneš, koliko god svima podelio istu količinu na početku, neminovno će doći do koncentracije vlasništva jer je nemoguće da svi vrednuju novi novac na isti način.

Da li se tebi čini nenormalnim da novac nastane na slobodnom tržištu je potpuno subjektivno.Činjenica je da se tako nešto sa Bitkoinom desilo, a ne da li je "normalno". A ni BTC nije prvi takav slučaj u istoriji jer su se neke druge stvari koristile kao novac pre zlata pa ih je zlato na slobodnom tržištu potisnulo kao kvalitetniji novac. Sami ljudi su prvi koristili zlato kao novac, tek nakon toga su vladari urezali svoj lik na kovanice i izdavali ih, a ne obrnuto. Oni koji su batalili perle i među prvima prešli na zlato su svakako mnogo bolje prošli od onih koji su tvrdoglavo držali perle do samog kraja.

Bitkoin niko nikome nije nudio "za džabe" pošto centralni izdavalac ne postoji, već je svako morao da ga rudari i da potroši određenu količinu energije. Zašto ti i ja nismo rudarili kada smo prvi put čuli za BTC? BTC košta koliko košta zato što se, kao što si i sam rekao, nalazi u fazi monetizacije pa je prirodno su rani korisnici profitirali više od kasnijih korisnika. Takav je slučaj istorijski bio i sa zlatom, npr. Kina je mnogo izgubila što se tvrdoglavo držala srebra kada su gotovo sve države usvojile zlatni standard.

I to zlato je krenulo kao "collectible" i nije odmah postalo novac već je imalo svoj razvojni put: 1) kolekcionarski predmet, 2) skladište vrednosti, 3) sredstvo razmene, 4) obračunska jedinica. Po mom dubokom uverenju se BTC nalazi u fazi broj 2.

To sa Worldcoinom je viđeno i kod nas: koliko ljudi još uvek drži one besplatne akcije Telekoma, NIS-a, Aerodoroma itd. Tako se npr. pokojni najbogatiji Čeh Petr Kelner obogatio jer je devedesetih otkupljivao vaučere tokom tamošnje privatizacije koje je u to vreme malo ko vrednovao, kao i važnost i buduću vrednost akcija tih preduzeća.

Worldcoin se, uprkos "pravičnoj distribuciji" nalazi na -90% od svoje rekordne vrednosti uz oko 1.6 milijardi novčića u opticaju što je samo mali deo ukupne buduće količine od 10 milijardi jedinica. Šta je dakle sa preostalim novčićima, kome će oni biti podeljeni i kako? Inflacija ponude tek predstoji pošto će se količina tog novčića u opticaju i više nego ušestostručiti. Zašto Wordlcoin ili neki drugi kripto nije dostigao ni blizu vrednosti Bitkoina ako je suština u "pravičnoj i ravnomernoj raspodeli"? Čak i Ethereum se na početku rudario i nije bio ravnomerno raspoređen pa je i dalje druga najvrednija kriptovaluta.

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hn-mc: Fora je u tome što prelazak na novu valutu treba da bude javna i široko poznata stvar. 2009. niko nije znao za bitkoin osim malobrojne zajednice entuzijasta.

Takođe što se tiče ovoga "šta bi se desilo kada bi svi istovremeno prešli na njega po istom kursu ali da ne postoji obaveza držanja i plaćanja poreza u tom novcu kao što je to slučaj sa fiat novcem (nemačkom markom)?" - tvoj odgovor na to pitanje nije tačan iz prostog razlog što ako bi SVI na to prešli po istim uslovima, znači da bi on od starta imao većinsku podršku, i SVI ti koji su ušli po istim uslovima bi ga prilično jednako i vrednovali. Ne bi on tada završio u rukama neke manjine koja ga više vrednuje kao što ti pretpostavljaš.

Jer ljudi da nisu vjerovali u njega, ne bi ni prelazili na njega, prosto jednostavno.

Ja uvođenje neke alternativne valute koja bi bila ozbiljna i legitimna, zamišljam na način da se to unapred najavi, dobro izreklamira, da ljudi znaju za to, i da možda čak ima i neku instutucionalnu podršku na međunarodnom nivou, ako ne samih Ujedinjenih nacija, barem neke jake i kredibilne međunarodne organizacije, npr. Transparency International, ili nešto tog tipa. I taj period ulaska po istim uslovima bi morao trajati bar godinu dana, što bi vodilo stabilizovanju cijene.

E onda, nakon toga, kad ta godina prođe, naravno da bi došlo postepeno do fluktuacija cijene i raslojavanja, ali tad to ne bi bio problem, jer bi se moglo zaista pošteno reći da su svi ušli po približno istim uslovima, i bili obavješteni na vrijeme, i znali o čemu se radi, što kod bitkoina uopšte nije bio slučaj.

Npr. zbog odsustva regulative, nedostupnosti kripto berzi kod nas, itd... sve do 2015. kod nas je bilo to vrlo teško kupiti. Što se rudarenja tiče, na početku si morao za početak znati da to uopšte postoji. A čim se to malo proširilo više nisi mogao to raditi na običnom računaru, znači morao si raditi neka ulaganja ozbiljnija ako oćeš da rudariš.

Bitkoineri inače vole da pišu dugačke tekstove radi odbrane bitkoina, zaista se trude, i skidam im kapu na tome, ali neke stvari su prosto neodržive, i neodbranjive. Možeš prosto da kažeš, prihvatam to tako kako je, nemam s tim neki problem, moja je odluka da u to ulažem i kraj priče. I na to svak ima pravo, i ne mogu ja to nikome osporiti.

Ali imam i ja pravo da kritikujem.

I što se ovog tiče "Bitkoin niko nikome nije nudio "za džabe" pošto centralni izdavalac ne postoji, već je svako morao da ga rudari i da potroši određenu količinu energije."

U pravu su tehnički, ali praktično, neki su na osnovu sreće ili pravovremenih informacija mogli da ga dobiju mnogo ranije od nekih drugih...

Znači bitkoin nije ponudio do kraja čak ni "equality of opportunities", iako zagovornici tvrde da jeste. A sve i da jeste - to nije NI BLIZU rezultiralo onim što Englezi zovu "equality of outcomes"

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@BTCSRB: A ko bi predložio, najavio ili naredio prelazak na novu valutu? I zašto? Ljudi koji kontrolišu svetski finansijski sistem sigurno nemaju interes da pokrenu tako nešto, a i da imaju, to bi radili isključivo zarad sopstvene koristi a ne radi dobrobiti čovečanstva (npr. prelazak na CBDC).

Prelazak na novu valutu istovremeno pod istim uslovima jednostavno nije moguć bez nekog vida prisile. Kao što se kaže u tekstu - nemoguće je da ga od starta svi podjednako vrednuju bez nekog oblika prinude. Dakle ostaje jedini način da takav novac iznedri slobodno tržište, a BTC je iznedren na način na kakav je iznedren. Spontano i organski kao "grassroot movement". I kao takav je neutralan, etički novac sa najboljim karakteristikama u poređenju sa svim drugim oblicima novca koje imamo.

Ljudi koji su verovali u njega su prešli na njega; oni koji nisu, nisu ni prešli. Prosto i jednostavno. Ali takvi sada kukaju što se njihova imovina obezvređuje prema BTC, a krivi su im Bitkoineri koji su prešli pre njih?! Isti Bitkoineri koji godinama na sva usta ukazuju na BTC dok su sve to vreme ismevani, vređani, cancellovani! Ako se neko ideološki ne slaže sa nastankom BTC-a ili njegovom distribucijom, nejednakošću bogatstva, sujetom zbog toga što misli da je zakasnio - to ga neće spasiti od neminovnog gubitka kupovne moći zato što nije prihvatio bolji novac. Isto kao što su srednjevekovni vitezovi možda mrzeli barut i vatreno oružje smatrajući ih neviteškim sredstvima ratovanja ali ih to nije spasilo od uništenja od strane onih koji su prihvatili barut kao superiornu tehnologiju

Ko bi najavio novu valutu, ko bi finansirao njeno reklamiranje i marketing? Da li zaista misliš da bi se međunarodne organizacije koje se nalaze pod kontrolom vladajućeg finansijskog establišmenta založile za neku novu valutu koja bi im ugrozila moć?

Zapitaj sebe kada si saznao za Bitkoin i koliko je vremena prošlo od tada? Zašto ga nisu kupio, zašto ga i danas ne kupuješ i šta ćeš misliti o današnjem trenutku i ovoj diskusiji kada jednog dna bude vredeo 1M USD? Da li ti se čini da je rano ako posmatraš u tom kontekstu? Ili samo posmatraš u kontekstu da si zakasnio jer ga nisi kupio na 100 USD ili 1000 USD? I opet vas nešto sprečava da počnete sa nekom štednjom u njemu, samo nemoj posle da bude da vam nismo pričali i kako nije fer.

BTC je po svemu superiorniji oblik novca od zlata, a ima trž. kapitalizaciju od oko 2T USD naspram zlata sa 22T USD. To ti je jedan od znakova pored puta gde ova stvar ide i da li je rano ili kasno.

Inače domaća menjačnica ECD postoji od 2012. godine, toliko o tome da li je u Srbiji bilo teško nabaviti ga.

Inače postoji zabluda o tome da su se rani korisnici nesrazmerno obogatili. Znaš i sam da je ogroman broj prerano prodao i izgubio ključeve i pristup novčićima. Uostalom, zašto bih se poredio sa drugima? Skidam kapu svima koji su ušli i razumeli stvar pre mene, od takvih sam i učio, ti rani korisnici su pisali prve vodiče, snimali podkaste, držali predavanja i predavali baklju sledećoj generaciji Bitkoinera. Nemam ni trunke zavisti prema njima, samo poštovanje i zahvalnost.

Možda i jedina stvar koju većinu ljudi deli od Bitkoina je ponajviše sujeta i čisto poricanje realnosti. Tek onda dolazi nezainteresovanost, neradoznalost ili tehnička nepotkovanost. Ali Bitkoineri nikad neće moći da kažu da nisu dali sve od sebe, pa ko razume - razume.

“If you don't believe me or don't get it, I don't have time to try to convince you, sorry.”

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hn-mc: Nisam ja za btc saznao juče, pa da sad iz neke zavisti kukam kako su ga neki dobili skoro za dž, a sad ove nove generacije moraju plaćati 100k. Mada ni takvo razmišljanje ne bi bilo sasvim bez osnova, ako uzmeš npr. često ponavljanu mantru da "svako dobija bitkoin po cijeni koju je zaslužio". Ta mantra mi je, iskreno, mnogo arogantna i antipatična, jer ona potpuno ignoriše to, da mnogi nisu imali posla i para za ulaganje dok je bitkoin bio jeftiniji, ili su bili djeca, ili nisu ni rođeni. Ignoriše se mogućnost stvaranja određene gerontokratije u budućnosti, gdje bi stara generacija, koje je to prva kupila po povoljnijim cijenama imala disproporcionalnu moć u odnosu na nove generacije, koje nisu tad mogle ni fizički da ga kupe, jer ih prosto nije bilo. Ignoriše se mogućnost stvaranja te tako neke aristokratije ili oligarhije, gdje bi u budućnosti ekonomski položaj nekog djeteta zavio od toga koliko mu je ćale nekad uštekao bitkoina. To bitkoineri slave kroz još jednu mantru "generational wealth", a meni to više liči na zasnivanje prilično distopijskog sistema veliki ekonomske nejednakosti koji dosta podsjeća na feudalizam - u njemu bi imao novu klasu bitkoin "plemića".

Za bitkoin sam saznao 2013. i na samom početku sam njime bio fasciniran. Donekle sam prihvatao većinu talking pointsa i value proposition-a.

Međutim, malo-pomalo počeo sam uviđati mračnu stranu cijele stvari. (u šta spada to koliko je cijeli kripto svijet preplavljen raznim scamovima, koliko je cijela zajednica izuzetno alava na pare i materijalisitčki nastrojena - lambo, to the moon, etc... postoji to neko implicitno obećanje lakog bogaćenja i rješavanja svih finansijskih problema, postoji toksični antagonizam između bitkoinera i altkoinera (npr. zato što samo postojanje altkoina podriva narativ bitkoina o scarcity-ju - ako neko može da napravi sličan ili još bolji alternativni koin koji se takmiči na istom tržištu sa bitkoinom, onda to što je sam bitkoin "zakucan" na 21 milion gubi relevantnost), uvidio sam koliko mentalitet samog štekanja (hodl) smanjuje podsticaj za realne, produktivne investicije, što bi bilo loše za ekonomiju, koliko se plasiraju razni nerealistički narativi radi propagande. Proučio sam malo o zlatnom standardu i zašto je bio loš i kako je možda doprinio velikoj ekonomskoj krizi, a tu digitalno zlato iako bi bilo možda zgodnije za upotrebu, suštinski se ne bi razlikovalo od pravog, i imalo bi jednako loš efekat na ekonomiju... Naučio sam da je Austrijska škola diskreditovana od strane svih ozbiljnijih ekonomista. Uvidio sam koje su opasnosti od deflacije. Vidio sam koliko je nejednakost ogromna... čak i ako je do nje došlo na pošten način, to je i dalje problem - jer kako god da je do toga došlo, šta ti da radiš sa svijetom u kojem manjina ima skoro sve, a svi ostali ništa, ili mrvice. Pogotovo kad zavlada AI, pa ta većina više ne bude mogla ni da zaradi nešto svojim radom, itd... Mnogo tu ima stvari koje mi nisu baš "legle". Kasnije sam čitao i to da je većina ulagača u bitkoin na kraju završila u minusu. Uvidio sam dinamiku ciklusa gdje većina običnih ljudi bude "ošišana". Niko im nije "kriv", ali jednostavno običan čovjek niti je dovoljno finansijski jak i stabilan da se održi u tom svijetu, niti ima dovoljno ekspertize i samokontrole. Zato retail investitori ulaze kad je hajp, prodaju kad padne cijena, a whale-ovi rade pametno, tj. obrnuto od toga, ili rade DCA. Takva dinamika dovodi do sve veće i veće koncentracije bogatstva i do bogaćenja whale-ova na račun "sitnih riba". Krupna riba jede sitnu ribu. Znači cijeli taj svijet je prilično anarhičan, gdje najjači opstaju, nema zaštite potrošača, itd... Ko je već bogat, može uložiti nešto u to i da zaboravi na to, ne sikira se. A dosta sirotinje uloži MNOGO, jer se nada da će ih to izvući iz neke dubioze, a onda kad cijena krene da pada, prodaju s gubitkom, jer ne mogu sebi da priušte totalni gubitak. Draže im je da padnu za 20% nego za 50%. Ali i 20% je gubitak, i na takvim gubicima, većina naroda gubi od kripta, a dovoljno jaki, disciplinovani, i prije svega bogati, se bogate od cijele stvari. I ne vidim da će nešto moći značajno da promijeni tu dinamiku.

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@BTCSRB: Ta mantra o ceni Bitkoina i zaslugama je nastala kao odgovor na još arogantnije i antipatične ismevanja, nipodaštavanjai netačne i neutemeljene tvrdnje Bitkoin skeptika tokom godina koje su uporno ponavljali na mnogo nižim cenama i time učinili veliku finansijsku štetu ljudima koji su ih slušali (a možda bi u nekom trenutku kupili BTC) dok se BTC penjao na ove visine.

Pre nego što kritikuješ potencijalni "Bitkoin feudalni sistem", morao bi da sagledaš i kritikuješ postojeći finansijski sistem i zapitaš se da li ono čega se plašiš u BTC sistemu već postoji u fiat sistemu? Da li postoji manjina sa nesrazmernim bogatstvom? Koliko se njihovo bogatstvo uvećalo od kovida? A koliko od svetske finansijske krize 2008? Da li neko čiji je pradeda povoljno kupio zemljište na Menhetnu, Malibuu, Monte Karlu, Zlatiboru, Dedinju... Da li se tada radilo o "gerontokratiji" koja ima nesrazmernu moć u odnosu na današnje generacije? Dok ja i ti možda živimo u kutiji šibica od 40 ili 50 kvadrata? Koliki procenat ljudi danas drži koliki procenat društvenog bogatstva?

Ispada da ti braniš status quo koji mora da ostane zacementiran i koji nijedna nova generacija putem otkrićem novih tehnologija ne sme da ugrozi? Kao da je postojeći status quo bila pravična raspodela društvenog bogatstva (hint: nije, daleko od toga) i da više ne sme doći do društvene raspodele? Pritom pojava Bitkoina ne onemogućava postojeću dominantnu klasu da učestvuje u toj novoj raspodeli pošto i oni imaju jednake šanse da uzmu deo tog novog novca za sebe kao što takvu istu šansu ima neki obični pripadnik srednje klase?

Reći da postojanje Bitkoina podriva narativ o oskudnosti Bitkoina je isto što i reći da postojanje gomile automobilskih marki podriva narativ o kvalitetu Mercedesa ili Audija?! Ili da postojanje brojnih drugih metala i njihovih legura podriva narativ o retkosti zlata?! Udeo Bitkoina u celokupnom kripto tržištu je oko 65% tako da i brojke taj narativ veoma efikasno opovrgavaju zato što se izrazita većina tržišta jasno opredelila koja je kripto-imovina najkvalitetnija i najpouzdanija. Da li bi nastanak na stotine novih krš automobilskih marki podrio narativ o kvalitetu Mercedesa? Isto tako nastanak desetina hiljada šitkoina ne može podriti legitimnost Bitkoina.

Bogaćenje putem Bitkoina niti je lako niti je on cilj. Cilj je bio da se izbace treće strane iz elektronskih plaćanja i da se očuva kupovna moć novca time što bi on imao fiksnu količinu. Takođe i da taj novi monetarni sistem bude otporan na korupciju i kontrolu centralnog autoriteta. Sve ove funkcije Bitkoin radi izuzetno uspešno.

Meni kao slobodnom pojedincu NE TREBA nikakav podsticaj da trošim ili investiram, ja sam suvereni pojedinac koji zna šta je u mom najboljem interesu. A ponajmanje ću prihvatiti da me neko "podstiče" da trošim i investiram time što će mi erodirati kupovnu moć novca. Na stranu što je to besmisleno zato što je svako prinuđen da troši da bi mogao da preživi tako da i Bitkoineri itekako troše i investiraju, samo što će donositi mnogo racionalnije i proračunatije ekonomske odluke. Zašto da investiram u neku firmu koja ima projektovani rast 5% godišnje ako do BTC-a očekujem rast 10%? Jednoga dana će stope rasta BTC-a biti mnogo manje nego danas pa će vremenom biti lakše naći isplative investicije koje će mi zapravo uvećavati kapital denominiran u Bitkoinu. Tada će Bitkoineri biti više nego srećni da investiraju. Ti ako se toliki altruista i toliko brineš za ekonomiju slobodno investiraj fiat ali baci nekada pogled na vrednost svog kapitala izraženu kroz BTC i da li se ona uvećava ili smanjuje. ;).

Što se tiče zlata i ekonomskih kriza, može da se gleda i sa druge strane. FED je napravljen 1913, zar ti se ne čini možda da su oni odgovorni za Veliku depresiju 1929. i da li se period koji je tome prethodio zvao "roaring twenties" zahvaljujući zlatu ili jeftinom kapitalu koje su potpomogle novoformirane Federalne Rezerve?

Šta ima loše u deflaciji i u tome da cene vremenom padaju umesto da rastu čineći život običnom čoveku sve težim? Deflacija je loša samo po poverioce zato što će u jednom trenutku dužnici koji sada štede u čvrstoj valuti vratiti dug pa će siroti kamataši izgubiti klijenta. Onda se neće zaduživati da bi investirali ili kupovali već će to raditi iz akumulirane štednje. Svaka inflacija je pljačka, ako je rast produktivnosti 5% uz istu inflaciju, neko ti je ukrao 5% kupovne moći koju bi uvećao samim razvojem tehnologije koji je suštinski deflatoran. Deflacija je neizbežna, pa kalkulator je sada besplatan zato što su njegovi troškovi prozivodnje pali na nulu, samim tim i njegov cena.

Kako je moguće da je BTC blizu ATH, a da je većina ljudi izgubila? izgubili su samo oni koji su prodali zato što nisu znali šta poseduju. Ko se pravilno informisao i nije slušao Pitera Šifa, Krugmana ili Taleba pa je držao bilo koji period duži od 4 godine, taj je uvećao kupovnu moć. Ja nisam ni whale niti neka krupna riba niti radim za neku extra platu, samo sam dobro proučio materiju, znao šta posedujem, trošio manje od zarađenog, radio DCA, čuvao i čekao da vreme odradi svoje. Tako da mi niko ne može reći da to ne može svako ko ima bar malo finansijske pismenosti i samodiscipline kada je trošenje u pitanju.

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hn-mc: Što se tiče sadašnjeg sistema on je loš u smislu nejednakosti, ali je problem u tome što bi hiperbitkoinizacija dovela do još veće nejednakosti. Ako kritikuješ sadašnji sistem, a nudiš još gori, onda je ta kritika isprazni whataboutizam.

Štampanje para (i pored Kantilon efekta o kome bitkoineri vole da govore), ipak donekle dovodi i do razređivanja bogatstva i do neke redistribucije. Jer te nove pare ko dobija? Često dobiju ljudi koji nemaju, a treba, im npr. ljudi koji dignu kredit za stan, ili npr. penzioneri, državni službenici, itd... Povećanjem ukupne količine novca, udio starih vlasnika u ukupnom bogatstvu se smanjuje i cijeli sistem postaje više protočan, dinamičniji, ne toliko statičan.

S druge strane u bitkoin svijetu, bukvalno mentalitet je takav da se svi ustreme kao kobci na tih 21 milion, nastoje to da razgrabe, i da onda drže do daljnjeg i nikom ne daju. Bukvalno kao kad klejmuješ zemlju i kažeš "MOJE". Imaš ti bitkoinaških glava koji su u fazonu, nikad neću trošiti svoj bitkoin, ako mi trebaju pare, diću kredit, a koristiti bitkoin kao kolateralu. Ono u fazonu, buy, borrow, die.

A prije smrti, prenesi na potomstvo, da se tako nastavi bitkoin dinastija.

Ovdje griješiš:

Pritom pojava Bitkoina ne onemogućava postojeću dominantnu klasu da učestvuje u toj novoj raspodeli pošto i oni imaju jednake šanse da uzmu deo tog novog novca za sebe kao što takvu istu šansu ima neki obični pripadnik srednje klase?

Apsolutno netačno. Naravno da će postojeći milijarderi imati neuporedivo veću šansu da postanu i bitkoin vejlovi i da ih bole kurci ako btc padne i 80%, neće prodati, jer im je btc, samo 1% njihovog basnoslovnog bogatstva. Ti misliš da ta redistribucija ide u korist sirotinje, što je potpuno netačno. Kao što sam već pisao, sitne ribe uglavnom (čast izuzecima) propadaju u tom btc ekosistemu u bivaju ošišane.

Postojeći sistem se makar razrjeđuje štampanjem i dinamičniji je, a btc je statičan, zacementiran i ispunjen vrlo čudnim mentalitetom.

Šta ima loše u deflaciji?

To što djeluje destimulativno na investicije i na potrošnju. Samo to. Taj efekat možda nije toliko veliki - neće ljudi prestati da troše, daleko od toga. Ali efekat svakako postoji.

A što se tiče kupovne moći sama inflacija i deflacija su potpuno irelevantne. Bitno je da li plate prate rast ili pad cijena.

Uprkos mitu da plate ne prate rast cijena, one to itekako prate i čak rastu brže. Jer kako bi drugačije objasnio ipak evidentan rast standarda tokom godina?

Ako bi bilo istina ono što ljudi koji šire paniku o inflaciji pričaju, s vremenom bi standard bio sve gori, jer bi cijene rasle brže od plata. A to ipak nije slučaj. Uporedi kako se sad živi, i kako se živjelo prije 20 godina. A pregurali smo i SEKU i Covid, pa se opet živi bolje nego ranije.

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BTCSRB: "Povećanjem ukupne količine novca, udio starih vlasnika u ukupnom bogatstvu se smanjuje i cijeli sistem postaje više protočan, dinamičniji, ne toliko statičan."

Ovde sam prestao da čitam. Ovo nije prva činjenična neistina koju si izneo ali je najpokvarenija. Naravno da su u poslednjih 50 godina bogatiji postali još bogatiji, a siromašni još siromašniji. Naravno da je 1% na vrhu uvećalo svoje bogatstvo više od ostalih 99%.

Samo si pokazao da ne znaš puno o ekonomiji, a još manje o Bitkoinu.

Uostalom nije ni bitno, vreme će pokazati ko je u pravu kao što je pokazao i period od prethodnih 16 godina.

Poenta je da šta god vi opsesivno-kompulzivni protivnici Bitkoina uradili, prosto nemate načina da sprečite nekoga da koristi novac koji želi i za koji misli da je bolji i da razmenjuje vrednost sa ostalim korisnicima tog novca.

Vi ste zapravo štetočine jer nećete nijednog Bitkoinera prevesti nazad ali ćete ogroman broj ljudi odvratiti od prelaska na BTC dok se nalazi u fazi monetizacije, dakle samo im nanosite štetu čak iako mislite da to radite iz najbolje namere.

BTC je odavno dostigao "escape velocity" pa je vaše mišljenje po sudbinu Bitkoina potpuno irelevantno ali je itekako relevantno u negativnom smislu po ljude koji vas slušaju.

Neka svako iz ove diskusije izvuče svoje zaključke i neka bude svestan posledica (ne)prihvatanja novog superiornog oblika novca u fazi monetizacije.

hn-mc: Ja sam doskora mislio da će bitkoin zaista uspijeti i doseći te lude vrijednosti o kojima se priča - milion, pet miliona, ko zna. Mislio sam da mu je ta trajektorija zagarantovana i da to ništa neće spriječiti. To je prosto determinizam. I iskreno, prilično sam se plašio toga, jer sam smatrao da bi to bio poprilično distopijski ishod.

Konto sam, bitkoin će uspijeti, ali to neće biti dobro za svijet, za društvo i za ekonomiju. Naravno, biće i više nego dobro za one koji ga imaju.

To mi je bio stav.

A onda sam skonto da će bitkoin, vjerovatno ipak propasti, pa samim tim ti moji strahovi od distopije postaju manje relevantni.

Zašto mislim da će propasti?

Prosto zato što mu je neophodan konstantan brzi rast, da bi se održao, a konstantan brzi rast je prosto nemoguć na dugi rok.

Brzi, jak rast je neophodan da bi se održale tri stvari koje su od vitalnog značaja za bitkoin:

1. Moon narativ kao jedini pravi value proposition.
2. Isplativost majninga kao nešto što je neophodno za bezbednost mreže.
3. Jeftinoća transakcija.

Bez jakog rasta, uz stalne halvinge, majning postaje manje isplativ, mreža time manje bezbedna, transakcije postaju skuplje, jer kako drugačije majneri da zarade, istovremeno pada u vodu moon narativ koji je većini jedini pravi razlog za kupovinu.

Kad bitkoin postane "samo" store of value, ili neki standardni instrument štednje bez moon narativa, malo ko će imati motiva da ga kupi, jer su u svrhu obične, regularne štednje, bez moon narativa, zlato i državne obveznice mnogo bolji instrument, a indeksni fond uz to pruža i mnogo veći potencijal za zaradu, kao što i treba da bude (da se nagradi investiranje, a ne pasivno držanje kapitala).

Dakle, za opstanak bitkoina neophodan je jak, brz rast.

A ako uzmemo zadnjih par ciklusa, vidimo da se taj rast sve više usporava, i to se usporava još brže od nekih prognoza. Npr. za prošli ciklus prognoza je bila 100k - 200k, a on došao samo do 69k. Sad za ovaj ciklus opet se spominje 200k, a veliko je pitanje da li će doći i do 150k. Po meni je realno do 130k.

Šta to onda govori o ciklusima. Ako u odnosu na prošli ovaj nije napravio ni 2x rasta, onda za naredni možemo očekivati možda tek, 1.5x. Znači ako sad bude 130k, onda možda 2029. bude 195k...

Takav tempo rasta, toliko usporavanje, postaće uskoro nedovoljno, i bitkoin će postati neodrživ.

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hn-mc: BTW, svjestan sam da ako bitkoin uspije, mogu teoretski biti "štetočina" spram onih koji me slušaju, ali je veća šansa da će im čak i u tom slučaju moj savjet biti koristan - jer praksa je pokazala da je većina investitora dosad završila u minusu iz ovih ili onih razloga. To su prosto sirovi podaci.

To da nećeš izgubiti pare ako držiš duže od 4 godine dosad se pokazalo kao tačno, ali ni to nije zagarantovano u budućnosti.

A veliki broj ljudi iz nekog razloga proda ranije.

barrons.com/news/three-out-of-four-bitcoin-investors-have-lost-money-study-01668454507

Evo ti članak, kaže 75% ljudi koji se "bakćalo" s bitkoinom, završili u minusu.

Samo držanje bitkoina za mnoge ljude je stres jer nemaju povjerenja u to, i ako vide da nema brzog rasta, neće da drže svoj kapital u nečem tako rizičnom. Sa berze koini mogu nestati, ne bi bilo prvi put. Onlajn wallet može biti lažni, ili hakovan. Hardware wallet je dodatna investicija i za mnoge ljude too technical, itd...

Ja sam imao nekad nešto malo btc-a i dok sam imao to u btc-u ja sam smatrao da te pare NEMAM. Dok god ne vratiš to u keš koji ti je dostupan na računu, računaš da ih nemaš, jer nikad nisi 100% siguran da će svi koraci proći kako treba do samog kraja kad ti to legne na račun. Može ti hakovat, možeš se zajebat poslat na pogrešnu adresu, može te zajebat kriptomjenjačnica, svašta može bit.

Tek kad sam prodao i kad mi je leglo na račun, skonto sam da sam zaradio nešto i da je to realno.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via Kevin McKernan

There's been a lot of discussion this week about Casey Means being nominated for Surgeon General of the United States and a broader overarching conversation about the effectiveness of MAHA since the inauguration and how effective it may or may not be moving forward. Many would say that President Trump won re-election due to Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Nicole Shanahan deciding to reach across the aisle and join the Trump ticket, bringing with them the MAHA Moms, who are very focused on reorienting the healthcare system in the United States with a strong focus on the childhood vaccine schedule.

I'm not going to lie, this is something I'm passionate about as well, particularly after having many conversations over the years with doctors like Kevin McKernan, Dr. Jack Kruse, Dr. Mary Talley Bowden, Dr. Brooke Miller, Dr. Peter McCullough and others about the dangers of the COVID mRNA vaccines. As it stands today, I think this is the biggest elephant in the room in the world of healthcare. If you look at the data, particularly disability claims, life insurance claims, life expectancy, miscarriage rates, fertility issues and rates of turbo cancer around the world since the COVID vaccine was introduced in 2021, it seems pretty clear that there is harm being done to many of the people who have taken them.

The risk-reward ratio of the vaccines seems to be incredibly skewed towards risk over reward and children - who have proven to be least susceptible to COVID - are expected to get three COVID shots in the first year of their life if their parents follow the vaccine schedule. For some reason or another it seems that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has shied away from this topic after becoming the head of Health and Human Services within the Trump administration. This is after a multi-year campaign during which getting the vaccines removed from the market war a core part of his platform messaging.

I'm still holding out hope that sanity will prevail. The COVID mRNA vaccines will be taken off the market in a serious conversation about the crimes against humanity that unfolded during the COVID years will take place. However, we cannot depend on that outcome. We must build with the assumption in mind that that outcome may never materialize. This leads to identifying where the incentives within the system are misconstrued. One area where I think it's pretty safe to say that the incentives are misaligned is the fact that 95% of doctors work for and answer to a corporation driven by their bottom line. Instead of listening to their patients and truly caring about the outcome of each individual, doctors forced to think about the monetary outcome of the corporation they work for first.

The most pernicious way in which these misaligned incentives emerge is the way in which the hospital systems and physicians are monetarily incentivized by big pharma companies to push the COVID vaccine and other vaccines on their patients. It is important to acknowledge that we cannot be dependent on a system designed in this way to change from within. Instead, we must build a new incentive system and market structure. And obviously, if you're reading this newsletter, you know that I believe that bitcoin will play a pivotal role in realigning incentives across every industry. Healthcare just being one of them.

Bitcoiners who have identified the need to become sovereign in our monetary matters, it probably makes sense to become sovereign when it comes to our healthcare as well. This means finding doctors who operate outside the corporate controlled system and are able to offer services that align incentives with the end patient. My family utilizes a combination of CrowdHealth and a private care physician to align incentives. We've even utilized a private care physician who allowed us to pay in Bitcoin for her services for a number of years. I think this is the model. Doctors accepting hard censorship resistant money for the healthcare and advice they provide. Instead of working for a corporation looking to push pharmaceutical products on their patients so they can bolster their bottom line, work directly with patients who will pay in bitcoin, which will appreciate in value over time.

I had a lengthy discussion with Dr. Jack Kruse on the podcast earlier today discussing these topic and more. It will be released on Thursday and I highly recommend you freaks check it out once it is published. Make sure you subscribe so you don't miss it.

How the "Exorbitant Privilege" of the Dollar is Undermining Our Manufacturing Base

In my conversation with Lyn Alden, we explored America's fundamental economic contradiction. As Lyn expertly explained, maintaining the dollar's reserve currency status while attempting to reshore manufacturing presents a near-impossible challenge - what economists call Triffin's Dilemma. The world's appetite for dollars gives Americans tremendous purchasing power but simultaneously hollows out our industrial base. The overvalued dollar makes our exports less competitive, especially for lower-margin manufacturing, while our imports remain artificially strong.

"Having the reserve currency does come with a bunch of benefits, historically called an exorbitant privilege, but then it has certain costs to maintain it." - Lyn Alden

This dilemma forces America to run persistent trade deficits, as this is how dollars flow to the world. For over four decades, these deficits have accumulated, creating massive economic imbalances that can't be quickly reversed. The Trump administration's attempts to address this through tariffs showcase how difficult rebalancing has become. As Lyn warned, even if we successfully pivot toward reshoring manufacturing, we'll face difficult trade-offs: potentially giving up some reserve currency benefits to rebuild our industrial foundation. This isn't just economic theory - it's the restructuring challenge that will define America's economic future.

Check out the full podcast here for more on China's manufacturing dominance, the role of Bitcoin in monetary transitions, and energy production as the foundation for future industrial power.

Headlines of the Day

Coinbase to replace Discover in S\&P 500 on May 19 - via X

Mallers promises no rehypothecation in Strike Bitcoin loans - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

Missouri passes HB 594, eliminates Bitcoin capital gains tax - via X

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The 2025 Bitcoin Policy Summit is set for June 25th—and it couldn’t come at a more important time. The Bitcoin industry is at a pivotal moment in Washington, with initiatives like the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve gaining rapid traction. Whether you’re a builder, advocate, academic, or policymaker—we want you at the table. Join us in DC to help define the future of freedom, money & innovation in the 21st century.

Sign Up

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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 144,264 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

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Final thought...

The 100+ degree days have returned to Austin, TX. Not mad about it... yet.

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Bank run on every crypto bank then bank run on every "real" bank.

— ODELL (@ODELL) December 14, 2022

Good morning.

It looks like PacWest will fail today. It will be both the fifth largest bank failure in US history and the sixth major bank to fail this year. It will likely get purchased by one of the big four banks in a government orchestrated sale.  

March 8th - Silvergate Bank
March 10th - Silicon Valley Bank
March 12th - Signature Bank
March 19th - Credit Suisse
May 1st - First Republic Bank
May 4th - PacWest Bank?

PacWest is the first of many small regional banks that will go under this year. Most will get bought by the big four in gov orchestrated sales. This has been the playbook since 2008. Follow the incentives. Massive consolidation across the banking industry. PacWest gonna be a drop in the bucket compared to what comes next.

First, a hastened government led bank consolidation, then a public/private partnership with the remaining large banks to launch a surveilled and controlled digital currency network. We will be told it is more convenient. We will be told it is safer. We will be told it will prevent future bank runs. All of that is marketing bullshit. The goal is greater control of money. The ability to choose how we spend it and how we save it. If you control the money - you control the people that use it.

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People forget Bear Stearns failed March 2008 - months of denial followed before the public realized how bad the situation was under the surface.

Similar happening now but much larger scale. They did not fix fundamental issues after 2008 - everything is more fragile.

The Fed preemptively bailed out every bank with their BTFP program and First Republic Bank still failed. The second largest bank failure in history.

There will be more failures. There will be more bailouts. Depositors will be "protected" by socializing losses across everyone.

Our President and mainstream financial pundits are currently pretending the banking crisis is over while most banks remain insolvent. There are going to be many more bank failures as this ponzi system unravels.

Unlike 2008, we have the ability to opt out of these broken and corrupt institutions by using bitcoin. Bitcoin held in self custody is unique in its lack of counterparty risk - you do not have to trust a bank or other centralized entity to hold it for you. Bitcoin is also incredibly difficult to change by design since it is not controlled by an individual, company, or government - the supply of dollars will inevitably be inflated to bailout these failing banks but bitcoin supply will remain unchanged. I do not need to convince you that bitcoin provides value - these next few years will convince millions.

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Nostr is an open communication protocol that can be used to send messages across a distributed set of relays in a censorship resistant and robust way.

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If you missed my nostr introduction post you can find it here. My nostr account can be found here.

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We are nearly at the point that if something interesting is posted on a centralized social platform it will usually be posted by someone to nostr.

We are nearly at the point that if something interesting is posted exclusively to nostr it is cross posted by someone to various centralized social platforms.

We are nearly at the point that you can recommend a cross platform app that users can install and easily onboard without additional guides or resources.

As companies continue to build walls around their centralized platforms nostr posts will be the easiest to cross reference and verify - as companies continue to censor their users nostr is the best censorship resistant alternative - gradually then suddenly nostr will become the standard. 🫡

Current Nostr Stats

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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin 2025 Las Vegas: Here’s What Went Down 

My name is Jenna Montgomery, and maybe you’ve read some of my news articles here before, or seen me on the Bitcoin Magazine TikTok. But today, I wanted to switch it up and give you an inside look at the Bitcoin 2025 Conference in Las Vegas through my eyes as an intern, hired just one month before the conference, having little knowledge about Bitcoin beforehand and never attending an event like this before. 

I’m writing this to give you a real, raw reflection of what I experienced over the course of the three day event, and why I believe you should absolutely attend the next Bitcoin conference. I want you all to know what goes down, what to expect, and to know how impactful I think this event really is. Bitcoin 2025 made a lasting impact on me and my life, and it just feels right to tell you why, so yours can maybe be changed too.

I got off the plane, threw my suitcase in my hotel room, and went to go and see the convention center as all of the finishing touches around the venue were being added. I remember thinking how big, beautiful, and fun the expo hall was—and where I would soon meet so many new people, make so many friends, and shake hands with people that I looked up to and admired. 

I will never forget walking in and seeing the main conference stage, The Nakamoto Stage, for the first time. Seeing that giant room with a symphony and endless rows of chairs, soon to be filled with thousands of passionate Bitcoiners, really put in perspective to me how Bitcoin 2025 wasn’t just a conference, it felt like something bigger. I realized it’s an actual community and a place of countless opportunities. 

The conference is essentially split up into 3 days: Industry Day, General Admission Day 1, and General Admission Day 2. Industry Day was mainly tailored towards professionals, investors, founders, and others focused on Bitcoin businesses. The general admission days were tailored more towards the casual Bitcoiner, and those were the days that I really felt the energy just exploding around the convention center.

INDUSTRY DAY 

Walking into the expo hall early in the morning on Industry Day, I was overwhelmed when I saw all of the vendors and companies setting up their tables, booths, stages, and even a rock climbing wall (thank you CleanSpark). It seemed as if the expo hall went for miles and miles, and featured a long orange carpet that made an intricate path through the venue that led you to each and every booth.

While fiat fails, Bitcoin prevails. pic.twitter.com/EV190PUqdT

— Valentina Gomez (@ValentinaForUSA) May 27, 2025

I remember being in total awe as I looked up at the ceiling and saw a huge UFO in the middle of the expo hall, with two Bitcoin themed Cybertrucks just off to the side of it, with lots of other interesting booths including one with a talking robot.

DAY ONE pic.twitter.com/KHXP6q8RCp

— Gemini (@Gemini) May 27, 2025

As I followed the long orange carpet around the venue, I looked over my shoulder and saw a huge blow-up of a Bitcoin Puppet in the art exhibit, featuring all kinds of other cool Bitcoin art. Some of these pieces of art were worth well over one bitcoin—which was mindblowing to me considering that is more than $100,000. Every good revolution has good art, and seeing all the talented artists pouring their hearts into their work helped me believe that Bitcoin is the future. 

Now, it was time to get to work at where I would spend the majority of my time over the next few days. My coworkers and I were stationed up right in front of the Bitcoin Magazine news desk next to the AV (audio-visual) team, where I had a perfect view of everything. Here, I spent all day every day writing news articles for Bitcoin Magazine based on the speeches, keynotes, and other panels happening on the Nakamoto stage, as well as filming TikTok’s around the expo hall with attendees.

Working in front of the news desk was one of my favorite things about the conference. Everyone who spoke on it live had an electrifying personality that kept me locked into every conversation, especially one of the hosts Pete Rizzo. After every talk on the Nakamoto Stage ended, the live stream would pan over to the news desk where they would break down what happened, providing viewers with expert analysis. This was something extremely very fun to watch live and experience the production of it all first hand.

The talks on Industry Day kicked off to such a great start with Dan Edwards from Steak ‘n Shake, who recently became the first major fast food chain in America to begin accepting Bitcoin Lightning payments. So I was very excited to hear about Edwards’ speech and to visit Steak ‘n Shake’s incredible booth, which also featured a group of fun, dancing cows. 

Steak ‘n Shake COWS HAVE NO CHILL pic.twitter.com/8UkmPhWf9T

— The Bitcoin Conference (@TheBitcoinConf) May 28, 2025

While speaking on stage, Edwards revealed that, “Bitcoin is faster than credit cards, and when customers choose to pay in Bitcoin, we’re saving 50% in processing fees.” Just think about that for a second — saving a whole 50% on each transaction? This really opened my eyes to the benefits of accepting Bitcoin as payment and why it could mean to merchants who adopt it.

Based on everything I heard in that speech, I think Steak ‘n Shake may be the first to start a new trend of other big companies accepting Bitcoin. If they recognized the benefits of Bitcoin, it’s only a matter of time before other franchises do as well.

JUST IN: Fast food giant Steak 'n Shake announced they're saving 50% in processing fees accepting Bitcoin payments

'#Bitcoin is faster than credit cards' pic.twitter.com/bxApgBL6El

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) May 27, 2025

Another big highlight from this day was hearing Senator Cynthia Lummis confirm that President Donald Trump supports her Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act. There were so many statements made during the conference that I will get to later on that point to the fact that the United States is pro-Bitcoin and we’re going to be the world leader in it. Senator Marsha Blackburn also added to this, stating, “Many of our allies follow what we do. If we lead, others will follow. This is vital to our economic future.” 

JUST IN: Senator Cynthia Lummis said US military generals are "big supporters" of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve for economic power. pic.twitter.com/2RPMV3tbdA

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) May 27, 2025

At this point in

@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

What is KYC/AML?

• The acronym stands for Know Your Customer / Anti Money Laundering.
• In practice it stands for the surveillance measures companies are often compelled to take against their customers by financial regulators.
• Methods differ but often include: Passport Scans, Driver License Uploads, Social Security Numbers, Home Address, Phone Number, Face Scans.
• Bitcoin companies will also store all withdrawal and deposit addresses which can then be used to track bitcoin transactions on the bitcoin block chain.
• This data is then stored and shared. Regulations often require companies to hold this information for a set number of years but in practice users should assume this data will be held indefinitely. Data is often stored insecurely, which results in frequent hacks and leaks.  
• KYC/AML data collection puts all honest users at risk of theft, extortion, and persecution while being ineffective at stopping crime. Criminals often use counterfeit, bought, or stolen credentials to get around the requirements. Criminals can buy "verified" accounts for as little as $200. Furthermore, billions of people are excluded from financial services as a result of KYC/AML requirements.

During the early days of bitcoin most services did not require this sensitive user data, but as adoption increased so did the surveillance measures. At this point, most large bitcoin companies are collecting and storing massive lists of bitcoiners, our sensitive personal information, and our transaction history.

Lists of Bitcoiners

KYC/AML policies are a direct attack on bitcoiners. Lists of bitcoiners and our transaction history will inevitably be used against us.

Once you are on a list with your bitcoin transaction history that record will always exist. Generally speaking, tracking bitcoin is based on probability analysis of ownership change. Surveillance firms use various heuristics to determine if you are sending bitcoin to yourself or if ownership is actually changing hands.  You can obtain better privacy going forward by using collaborative transactions such as coinjoin to break this probability analysis.

Fortunately, you can buy bitcoin without providing intimate personal information. Tools such as peach, hodlhodl, robosats, azteco and bisq help; mining is also a solid option: anyone can plug a miner into power and internet and earn bitcoin by mining privately.

You can also earn bitcoin by providing goods and/or services that can be purchased with bitcoin. Long term, circular economies will mitigate this threat: most people will not buy bitcoin - they will earn bitcoin - most people will not sell bitcoin - they will spend bitcoin.

There is no such thing as KYC or No KYC bitcoin, there are bitcoiners on lists and those that are not on lists.

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"Privacy is necessary for an open society in the electronic age. Privacy is not secrecy.  A private matter is something one doesn't want the whole world to know, but a secret matter is something one doesn't want anybody to know. Privacy is the power to selectively reveal oneself to the world." - Eric Hughes, A Cypherpunk's Manifesto, 1993

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Privacy is essential to freedom. Without privacy, individuals are unable to make choices free from surveillance and control. Lack of privacy leads to loss of autonomy. When individuals are constantly monitored it limits our ability to express ourselves and take risks. Any decisions we make can result in negative repercussions from those who surveil us. Without the freedom to make choices, individuals cannot truly be free.

Freedom is essential to acquiring and preserving wealth. When individuals are not free to make choices, restrictions and limitations prevent us from economic opportunities. If we are somehow able to acquire wealth in such an environment, lack of freedom can result in direct asset seizure by governments or other malicious entities. At scale, when freedom is compromised, it leads to widespread economic stagnation and poverty. Protecting freedom is essential to economic prosperity.

The connection between privacy, freedom, and wealth is critical. Without privacy, individuals lose the freedom to make choices free from surveillance and control. While lack of freedom prevents individuals from pursuing economic opportunities and makes wealth preservation nearly impossible. No Privacy? No Freedom. No Freedom? No Wealth.

Rights are not granted. They are taken and defended. Rights are often misunderstood as permission to do something by those holding power. However, if someone can give you something, they can inherently take it from you at will. People throughout history have necessarily fought for basic rights, including privacy and freedom. These rights were not given by those in power, but rather demanded and won through struggle. Even after these rights are won, they must be continually defended to ensure that they are not taken away. Rights are not granted - they are earned through struggle and defended through sacrifice.

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Marty's Bent

Last week we covered the bombshell developments in the Samourai Wallet case. For those who didn't read that, last Monday the world was made aware of the fact that the SDNY was explicitly told by FinCEN that the federal regulator did not believe that Samourai Wallet was a money services business six months before arresting the co-founders of Samourai Wallet for conspiracy to launder money and illegally operating a money services business. This was an obvious overstep by the SDNY that many believed would be quickly alleviated, especially considering the fact that the Trump administration via the Department of Justice has made it clear that they do not intend to rule via prosecution.

It seems that this is not the case as the SDNY responded to a letter sent from the defense to dismiss the case by stating that they fully plan to move forward. Stating that they only sought the recommendations of FinCEN employees and did not believe that those employees' comments were indicative of FinCEN's overall views on this particular case. It's a pretty egregious abuse of power by the SDNY. I'm not sure if the particular lawyers and judges within the Southern District of New York are very passionate about preventing the use of self-custody bitcoin and products that enable bitcoiners to transact privately, or if they're simply participating in a broader meta war with the Trump administration - who has made it clear to federal judges across the country that last Fall's election will have consequences, mainly that the Executive Branch will try to effectuate the policies that President Trump campaigned on by any legal means necessary - and Samouari Wallet is simply in the middle of that meta war.

However, one thing is pretty clear to me, this is an egregious overstep of power. The interpretation of that law, as has been laid out and confirmed by FinCEN over the last decade, is pretty clear; you cannot be a money services business if you do not control the funds that people are sending to each other, which is definitely the case with Samourai Wallet. People downloaded Samourai Wallet, spun up their own private-public key pairs and initiated transactions themselves. Samourai never custodied funds or initiated transactions on behalf of their users. This is very cut and dry. Straight to the point. It should be something that anyone with more than two brain cells is able to discern pretty quickly.

It is imperative that anybody in the industry who cares about being able to hold bitcoin in self-custody, to mine bitcoin, and to send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion makes some noise around this case. None of the current administration's attempts to foster innovation around bitcoin in the United States will matter if the wrong precedent is set in this case. If the SDNY is successful in prosecuting Samourai Wallet, it will mean that anybody holding Bitcoin in self-custody, running a bitcoin fold node or mining bitcoin will have to KYC all of their users and counterparts lest they be labeled a money services business that is breaking laws stemming from the Bank Secrecy Act. This will effectively make building a self-custody bitcoin wallet, running a node, or mining bitcoin in tillegal in the United States. The ability to comply with the rules that would be unleashed if this Samourai case goes the wrong way, are such that it will effectively destroy the industry overnight.

It is yet to be seen whether or not the Department of Justice will step in to publicly flog the SDNY and force them to stop pursuing this case. This is the only likely way that the case will go away at this point, so it is very important that bitcoiners who care about being able to self-custody bitcoin, mine bitcoin, or send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion in the United States make it clear to the current administration and any local politicians that this is an issue that you care deeply about. If we are too complacent, there is a chance that the SDNY could completely annihilate the bitcoin industry in America despite of all of the positive momentum we're seeing from all angles at the moment.

Make some noise!

Bitcoin Adoption by Power Companies: The Next Frontier

In my recent conversation with Andrew Myers from Satoshi Energy, he shared their ambitious mission to "enable every electric power company to use bitcoin by block 1,050,000" – roughly three years from now. This strategic imperative isn't just about creating new Bitcoin users; it's about sovereignty. Andrew emphasized that getting Bitcoin into the hands of energy companies who value self-sovereignty creates a more balanced future economic landscape. The excitement was palpable as he described how several energy companies are already moving beyond simply selling power to Bitcoin miners and are beginning to invest in mining operations themselves.

"You have global commodity companies being like, 'Oh, this is another commodity – we want to invest in this, we want to own this,'" - Andrew Myers

Perhaps most fascinating was Andrew's revelation about major energy companies in Texas developing Bitcoin collateral products for power contracts – a practical application that could revolutionize how energy transactions are settled. As energy companies continue embracing Bitcoin for both operations and collateral, we're witnessing the early stages of a profound shift in how critical infrastructure interfaces with sound money. The implications for both sectors could be transformative.

Check out the full podcast here for more on remote viewing, Nikola Tesla's predictions, and the convergence of Bitcoin and AI technology. We cover everything from humanoid robots to the energy demands of next-generation computing.

Headlines of the Day

Steak n Shake to Accept Bitcoin at All Locations May 16 - via X

Facebook Plans Crypto Wallets for 3B Users, Bitcoin Impact Looms - via X

Trump Urges Americans to Buy Stocks for Economic Boom - via X

UK Drops Tariffs, U.S. Farmers Set to Reap Major Benefits - via X

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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 145,630 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

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Final thought...

Happy belated Mother's Day to all the moms out there.

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Last updated: 09/06/2025

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Marty's Bent

Last week we covered the bombshell developments in the Samourai Wallet case. For those who didn't read that, last Monday the world was made aware of the fact that the SDNY was explicitly told by FinCEN that the federal regulator did not believe that Samourai Wallet was a money services business six months before arresting the co-founders of Samourai Wallet for conspiracy to launder money and illegally operating a money services business. This was an obvious overstep by the SDNY that many believed would be quickly alleviated, especially considering the fact that the Trump administration via the Department of Justice has made it clear that they do not intend to rule via prosecution.

It seems that this is not the case as the SDNY responded to a letter sent from the defense to dismiss the case by stating that they fully plan to move forward. Stating that they only sought the recommendations of FinCEN employees and did not believe that those employees' comments were indicative of FinCEN's overall views on this particular case. It's a pretty egregious abuse of power by the SDNY. I'm not sure if the particular lawyers and judges within the Southern District of New York are very passionate about preventing the use of self-custody bitcoin and products that enable bitcoiners to transact privately, or if they're simply participating in a broader meta war with the Trump administration - who has made it clear to federal judges across the country that last Fall's election will have consequences, mainly that the Executive Branch will try to effectuate the policies that President Trump campaigned on by any legal means necessary - and Samouari Wallet is simply in the middle of that meta war.

However, one thing is pretty clear to me, this is an egregious overstep of power. The interpretation of that law, as has been laid out and confirmed by FinCEN over the last decade, is pretty clear; you cannot be a money services business if you do not control the funds that people are sending to each other, which is definitely the case with Samourai Wallet. People downloaded Samourai Wallet, spun up their own private-public key pairs and initiated transactions themselves. Samourai never custodied funds or initiated transactions on behalf of their users. This is very cut and dry. Straight to the point. It should be something that anyone with more than two brain cells is able to discern pretty quickly.

It is imperative that anybody in the industry who cares about being able to hold bitcoin in self-custody, to mine bitcoin, and to send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion makes some noise around this case. None of the current administration's attempts to foster innovation around bitcoin in the United States will matter if the wrong precedent is set in this case. If the SDNY is successful in prosecuting Samourai Wallet, it will mean that anybody holding Bitcoin in self-custody, running a bitcoin fold node or mining bitcoin will have to KYC all of their users and counterparts lest they be labeled a money services business that is breaking laws stemming from the Bank Secrecy Act. This will effectively make building a self-custody bitcoin wallet, running a node, or mining bitcoin in tillegal in the United States. The ability to comply with the rules that would be unleashed if this Samourai case goes the wrong way, are such that it will effectively destroy the industry overnight.

It is yet to be seen whether or not the Department of Justice will step in to publicly flog the SDNY and force them to stop pursuing this case. This is the only likely way that the case will go away at this point, so it is very important that bitcoiners who care about being able to self-custody bitcoin, mine bitcoin, or send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion in the United States make it clear to the current administration and any local politicians that this is an issue that you care deeply about. If we are too complacent, there is a chance that the SDNY could completely annihilate the bitcoin industry in America despite of all of the positive momentum we're seeing from all angles at the moment.

Make some noise!

Bitcoin Adoption by Power Companies: The Next Frontier

In my recent conversation with Andrew Myers from Satoshi Energy, he shared their ambitious mission to "enable every electric power company to use bitcoin by block 1,050,000" – roughly three years from now. This strategic imperative isn't just about creating new Bitcoin users; it's about sovereignty. Andrew emphasized that getting Bitcoin into the hands of energy companies who value self-sovereignty creates a more balanced future economic landscape. The excitement was palpable as he described how several energy companies are already moving beyond simply selling power to Bitcoin miners and are beginning to invest in mining operations themselves.

"You have global commodity companies being like, 'Oh, this is another commodity – we want to invest in this, we want to own this,'" - Andrew Myers

Perhaps most fascinating was Andrew's revelation about major energy companies in Texas developing Bitcoin collateral products for power contracts – a practical application that could revolutionize how energy transactions are settled. As energy companies continue embracing Bitcoin for both operations and collateral, we're witnessing the early stages of a profound shift in how critical infrastructure interfaces with sound money. The implications for both sectors could be transformative.

Check out the full podcast here for more on remote viewing, Nikola Tesla's predictions, and the convergence of Bitcoin and AI technology. We cover everything from humanoid robots to the energy demands of next-generation computing.

Headlines of the Day

Steak n Shake to Accept Bitcoin at All Locations May 16 - via X

Facebook Plans Crypto Wallets for 3B Users, Bitcoin Impact Looms - via X

Trump Urges Americans to Buy Stocks for Economic Boom - via X

UK Drops Tariffs, U.S. Farmers Set to Reap Major Benefits - via X

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Final thought...

Happy belated Mother's Day to all the moms out there.

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๑) แรงอะไรจูงใจ กับโลกทุนนิยมที่ส่งอิทธิพลไปทุกหัวระแหง ชีวิตของมนุษย์ถูกกระตุ้นรุนเร้าด้วยความมั่งคั่งร่ำรวย ความเป็นอยู่ที่สะดวกสบายมีกินมีใช้ อยากทำอะไรก็ได้ทำ อยากกินอะไรก็ได้กิน หล่อเลี้ยงความสุขด้วยการแย่งชิงผลประโยชน์เพื่อตนเอง ตั้งแต่เด็กจนโต

เบื้องหลังแห่งการดำเนินชีวิตเช่นนั้น สิ่งที่บงการชักใยอยู่ก็คือ ”ตัณหา“ ความอยากได้ อยากมี อยากเป็น สิ่งที่คิด-พูด-ทำก็เป็นไปเพื่อตนเอง และพวกพ้องโดยไม่สนใจว่าจะทำลายใคร ไม่ว่ามนุษย์ สัตว์ หรือสิ่งแวดล้อม เบื้องหน้าแห่งชีวิตเช่นนี้ คือการประชาสัมพันธ์ด้วยความเจริญ โลกาภิวัฒน์ ความหรูหราไม่มีที่สิ้นสุด

แต่ตลอดชั่วชีวิตของเรา การใช้ชีวิตเช่นนี้สามารถมอบความสุขที่แท้จริงให้ได้หรือไม่ เงินซื้อ “ความไม่เจ็บป่วย” ได้หรือไม่ ? เกียรติยศแลกเป็น “ความไม่แก่” ได้หรือไม่ บ้านใหญ่โตหรูหราอยู่อาศัยแล้ว “ไม่ตาย” ได้หรือไม่ คำตอบเดียวที่ได้คือ “ไม่มี” ซึ่งมนุษย์ทุกคนก็ยัง “ทุกข์” อยู่กับความเจ็บป่วย ความแก่ ความตาย อย่างไม่มีเว้น ถึงเวลาหรือยังที่มนุษย์จะหันมาตระหนักกับ ”แรงจูงใจ“ ที่เรียกว่าตัณหานี้

พระพุทธเจ้าทรงเรียนรู้ชีวิตที่มีแต่ความทุกข์ไร้ทางออก หมุนวน จมจ่อม เพราะเหตุจากตัณหาเหล่านี้ชัดแล้ว ได้รู้และเข้าใจว่า “ฉันทะ” หรือความพอใจใฝ่ดี พัฒนาจิตใจให้สูงขึ้น ปลดเปลี้ยงความเห็นแก่ตัว เพื่อใช้ชีวิตคิด-พูด-ทำแต่ความดีงาม สร้างสรรค์สิ่งต่าง ๆ สมบูรณ์เต็มสภาวะของมัน แรงจูงใจเช่นนี้เป็นของยาก ของลำบาก เพราะต้องฝืนตนเอง ฝึกฝนให้จิตใจมีกำลัง ใช้ปัญญาพิจารณาเฟ้นหาประโยชน์จากทุกสิ่งอย่างคุ้มค่า และยั่งยืน

พระอาจารย์ท่านหนึ่ง ได้พูดขึ้นในท่ามกลางสงฆ์ว่า “หลาย ๆ คนที่เป็นคนรวย มีเงินพอได้สิ่งของที่อยากได้มา ตอนสุดท้ายก็มักจะพูดว่า ’นึกกว่าจะดีกว่านี้ อร่อยกว่านี้ มีความสุขกว่านี้ พอได้มาแล้วก็ไม่เห็นดีเหมือนที่คิดไว้เลย’ ซึ่งตรงกันข้ามกับคนที่ปฏิบัติจนเข้าถึงธรรม ไม่มีใครพูดแบบนั้น มีแต่พูดว่า ‘ยิ่งกว่าที่คิดไว้ ดีกว่าที่คิดไว้ ประเสริฐกว่าที่คิดไว้’ ความสุขที่ไม่สามารถจินตนาการได้ ความสุขที่ไม่เคยนำความผิดหวังมาให้ ความสุขประเภทนี้มีแรงจูงใจคือ ”ฉันทะ“ นั่นเอง

——

๒) หัวขบวน หากเราอาศัยตัณหานำพาชีวิต ชีวิตของเราก็จะวนเวียนเรื่อยเปื่อย มีแต่ความทุกข์ในปัจจุบัน และทุกข์ที่รออยู่ในอนาคต ชีวิตเช่นนี้ ก็ไม่ต่างอะไรกับชีวิตของแมว-หนู-ปู-กุ้ง-กา-ไก่ เอาแต่ แสวงหาอาหาร-กิน-นอน ได้ความสุขประเดี๋ยวประด๋าว แล้วก็หมดเวลาถึงวาระที่ต้องตายจากไป ไม่เคยรู้จักคุณค่าชีวิตที่แท้จริง ไม่ได้ความสุขสงบเลยสักวินาทีเดียว

พระพุทธเจ้าตรัสรู้แล้ว เล็งเห็นว่า มนุษย์มีศักยภาพที่มากกว่าสัตว์ทั้งหลาย การปล่อยชีวิตให้เต็มไปด้วย “อวิชชา” ความไม่รู้ ก่อให้เกิดตัณหา แล้วก็ชักพาชีวิตทำอกุศลกรรม มีแต่ความทุกข์ตลอดสายนั้น สามารถเปลี่ยนกระบวนทัศน์ได้ โดยมุ่งเน้นที่ “ปัญญา” ความรู้และเข้าใจความเป็นจริง ก่อให้เกิดฉันทะความพอใจใฝ่ดีในชีวิต ขับเคลื่อนเป็นกุศลกรรม สร้างเหตุที่ถูกต้อง ผลที่เป็นความสุข ความไม่ทุกข์ และความพ้นทุกข์ ก็จะตามมา

เพราะฉะนั้นทุกครั้งไม่ว่าทำอะไร หรือไม่ทำอะไร ลองทบทวนดูว่า การตัดสินใจนั้น ๆ มีอะไรเป็นหัวขบวน ”ตัณหา“ หรือ ”ปัญญา“ ใครเหนือกว่าใคร

——

๓) หลัก ๑๐ ประการ ครั้งหนึ่งพระพุทธเจ้าได้กำชับกับเหล่าสาวกว่า หากเมื่อใดถูกนักบวชพวกอื่นมาถามถึง หลักธรรมที่พระพุทธองค์ทรงแสดง มีอะไรเป็น ”ที่ตั้งต้น“ และมีอะไรเป็น “ที่จบ” ทรงวางหลักธรรมนั้นไว้ ๑๐ ประการ ได้แก่ * -ธรรมทั้งปวง มีฉันทะ เป็นที่ตั้งต้น * -ธรรมทั้งปวง มีมนสิการ เป็นที่ก่อตัว * -ธรรมทั้งปวง มีผัสสะ เป็นแหล่งเกิด * -ธรรมทั้งปวง มีเวทนา เป็นที่ชุมนุม * -ธรรมทั้งปวง มีสมาธิ เป็นประมุข * -ธรรมทั้งปวง มีสติ เป็นอธิปไตย เป็นใหญ่ * -ธรรมทั้งปวง มีปัญญา เป็นยอดยิ่ง * -ธรรมทั้งปวง มีอมตะ เป็นที่หยังลง * -ธรรมทั้งปวง มีนิพพาน เป็นที่จบ

หลักธรรมชุดนี้ สื่อสารได้ชัดเจนว่า ระบบการ “ปฏิบัติ” ของพระพุทธศาสนานี้ มีจะพัฒนากุศลได้ตั้งแต่ต้นจนถึงจุดหมาย ขอให้สังเกตที่ “ฉันทะ” ที่เป็นหลักธรรมตั้งต้น เชื่อมโยงไปถึงพระนิพพาน “ฉันทะ” นี้ย่อมกล่าวถึงธรรมไม่ใช่อกุศล แต่เป็นธรรมที่เป็นกุศล พัฒนาต่อเนื่องไปถึง สมาธิ-สติ-ปัญญา ได้

สำคัญคือ ความพอใจในธรรม ความรัก ความสนใจใฝ่ดีที่จะพัฒนาตัว เป็นจุดหมุดหมายเริ่มต้นของพุทธธรรม ยิ่งปฏิบัติไป ยิ่งก่อตัวเป็นธรรมที่ใหญ่ขึ้น มีคุณภาพขึ้น และเมื่อถึงจุดหมาย ความสิ้นทุกข์ก็จะเกิดมี เป็นลำดับขั้นตอนอย่างนี้ไม่เคยเปลี่ยนแปลง

——

ตัณหากลัวยาก กลัวลำบาก เมื่อปัญญารู้ว่าดี มีประโยชน์ ถึงยาก ถึงลำบาก ก็ไม่กลัว

——

อาศรมขันติสาร ๑๓ ตุลาคม ๒๕๖๖

แหล่งที่มา #Phramaha Fookij Jutipanyo

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Az IAEA Kormányzótanácsának ülése Bécsben

A Nemzetközi Atomenergia-ügynökség (IAEA) Kormányzótanácsa ma kezdte meg szokásos júniusi ülését Bécsben. A széles napirend olyan témákat ölel fel, mint a 2024-es éves jelentés, a technikai együttműködési tevékenységek, valamint a nukleáris biztonsággal, védettséggel és ellenőrzéssel kapcsolatos kulcskérdések. Az ülésen napirendre kerülnek többek között az iráni ellenőrzés és monitoring, az észak-koreai és szíriai ellenőrzés, az ukrajnai nukleáris biztonság – beleértve a zaporizzsjai atomerőmű helyzetét –, valamint az AUKUS-megállapodás keretében történő nukleárisanyag-átadás és annak ellenőrzése. A Kormányzótanács tárgyalja a tagállami képviseletet a 2025–2026-os időszakra, valamint a közelgő Közgyűlés előkészületeit is [iaea.org].

Nukleáris üzemeltetés és szakpolitikai fejlemények

Az elmúlt hetekben jelentős aktivitás volt tapasztalható a nukleáris üzemeltetés és szakpolitika terén világszerte. Az Egyesült Államokban a Nukleáris Szabályozási Bizottság további 20 évvel meghosszabbította a Duke Energy dél-karolinai Oconee atomerőmű három blokkjának üzemeltetési engedélyét. Michigan államban 56,8 millió dolláros hitelgaranciát hagytak jóvá a Palisades atomerőmű újraindításához.

Európában Belgium és Franciaország megállapodást kötött a Tihange 3 és Doel 4 reaktorok üzemidejének tízéves meghosszabbításáról, beleértve a radioaktív hulladék kezelésének rendezését is. Németország nukleáris technológiai szövetsége szerint akár hat leállított reaktor is technikailag újraindítható lenne, a nukleáris energiát biztonságos és klímabarát alternatívaként bemutatva.

Másutt Pakisztánban hivatalosan is átvették a kínai fejlesztésű Hualong One reaktort a Karacsi 3-as blokkban, míg Indiában hálózatra kapcsolták a Rajasthan Atomerőmű harmadik, saját fejlesztésű 700 MW-os nehézvizes reaktorát [world-nuclear-news.org].

Zaporizzsjai Atomerőmű: Folyamatos aggodalmak

Az ukrajnai Zaporizzsjai Atomerőmű továbbra is orosz katonai ellenőrzés alatt áll. Az erőmű igazgatója szerint 2027-ig minden blokk megkaphatja az orosz üzemeltetési engedélyt, azonban az ukrán Enerhoatom minden újraindítási tervet elítél, biztonsági előírásokra hivatkozva. Az IAEA főigazgatója megerősítette, hogy a szervezet kész támogatni bármilyen jövőbeni megállapodást az erőművel kapcsolatban, amely továbbra is központi téma az orosz-ukrán tűzszüneti tárgyalásokon [world-nuclear-news.org].

Új nukleáris projektek és technológiai innovációk

Világszerte fokozódik az érdeklődés az új nukleáris projektek iránt. India nukleáris hatósága jóváhagyta a négy blokkból álló Mahi Banswara Rajasthan Atomerőmű telephelyét. Kínában a fő turbinakomponenseket beépítették a Haiyang Atomerőmű 3-as blokkjában. Belgiumban megkezdődött egy ólom-hűtésű kis moduláris reaktor előzetes konzultációja, Brazília pedig egy orosz együttműködésű kis moduláris reaktor projektet vizsgál.

Az Egyesült Államokban az EnergySolutions és a WEC Energy Group új nukleáris létesítmény létesítését fontolgatja a wisconsini Kewaunee telephelyen, korai telephelyengedély megszerzését célozva. Kanadában a Prodigy Clean Energy befejezéséhez közeledik egy olyan szállítható atomerőmű tesztprogramja, amely súlyos baleseti és fenyegetettségi helyzeteknek is ellenáll [world-nuclear-news.org].

Iparági kilátások és befektetési trendek

Az iparági vezetők pozitív kilátásokról számolnak be a nukleáris energia terén: az Egyesült Államokban (pl. TerraPower Wyomingban, X-energy és Dow partnersége), valamint nemzetközi terjeszkedés (Westinghouse Lengyelországban) is aktív projektek zajlanak. A Világbank esetleges nukleáris projektek finanszírozásában való részvétele fordulópont lehet, amely szélesebb körű befektetéseket ösztönözhet. Az ágazatban optimizmus uralkodik a nukleáris energia jövőbeli szerepét illetően, amit a magánbefektetések és a szakpolitikai változások is támogatnak [ans.org].

Az amerikai nukleáris fegyverprogram mérföldköve

Az Egyesült Államok Energiaügyi Minisztériumának Nukleáris Biztonsági Nemzeti Igazgatósága (NNSA) bejelentette, hogy a tervezettnél korábban elkészült az első B61-13 típusú nukleáris gravitációs bomba. Ez a B61 bombacsalád legújabb változata, és a hidegháború óta a leggyorsabban fejlesztett és rendszerbe állított nukleáris fegyver [pantex.energy.gov].

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

Last week we covered the bombshell developments in the Samourai Wallet case. For those who didn't read that, last Monday the world was made aware of the fact that the SDNY was explicitly told by FinCEN that the federal regulator did not believe that Samourai Wallet was a money services business six months before arresting the co-founders of Samourai Wallet for conspiracy to launder money and illegally operating a money services business. This was an obvious overstep by the SDNY that many believed would be quickly alleviated, especially considering the fact that the Trump administration via the Department of Justice has made it clear that they do not intend to rule via prosecution.

It seems that this is not the case as the SDNY responded to a letter sent from the defense to dismiss the case by stating that they fully plan to move forward. Stating that they only sought the recommendations of FinCEN employees and did not believe that those employees' comments were indicative of FinCEN's overall views on this particular case. It's a pretty egregious abuse of power by the SDNY. I'm not sure if the particular lawyers and judges within the Southern District of New York are very passionate about preventing the use of self-custody bitcoin and products that enable bitcoiners to transact privately, or if they're simply participating in a broader meta war with the Trump administration - who has made it clear to federal judges across the country that last Fall's election will have consequences, mainly that the Executive Branch will try to effectuate the policies that President Trump campaigned on by any legal means necessary - and Samouari Wallet is simply in the middle of that meta war.

However, one thing is pretty clear to me, this is an egregious overstep of power. The interpretation of that law, as has been laid out and confirmed by FinCEN over the last decade, is pretty clear; you cannot be a money services business if you do not control the funds that people are sending to each other, which is definitely the case with Samourai Wallet. People downloaded Samourai Wallet, spun up their own private-public key pairs and initiated transactions themselves. Samourai never custodied funds or initiated transactions on behalf of their users. This is very cut and dry. Straight to the point. It should be something that anyone with more than two brain cells is able to discern pretty quickly.

It is imperative that anybody in the industry who cares about being able to hold bitcoin in self-custody, to mine bitcoin, and to send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion makes some noise around this case. None of the current administration's attempts to foster innovation around bitcoin in the United States will matter if the wrong precedent is set in this case. If the SDNY is successful in prosecuting Samourai Wallet, it will mean that anybody holding Bitcoin in self-custody, running a bitcoin fold node or mining bitcoin will have to KYC all of their users and counterparts lest they be labeled a money services business that is breaking laws stemming from the Bank Secrecy Act. This will effectively make building a self-custody bitcoin wallet, running a node, or mining bitcoin in tillegal in the United States. The ability to comply with the rules that would be unleashed if this Samourai case goes the wrong way, are such that it will effectively destroy the industry overnight.

It is yet to be seen whether or not the Department of Justice will step in to publicly flog the SDNY and force them to stop pursuing this case. This is the only likely way that the case will go away at this point, so it is very important that bitcoiners who care about being able to self-custody bitcoin, mine bitcoin, or send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion in the United States make it clear to the current administration and any local politicians that this is an issue that you care deeply about. If we are too complacent, there is a chance that the SDNY could completely annihilate the bitcoin industry in America despite of all of the positive momentum we're seeing from all angles at the moment.

Make some noise!

Bitcoin Adoption by Power Companies: The Next Frontier

In my recent conversation with Andrew Myers from Satoshi Energy, he shared their ambitious mission to "enable every electric power company to use bitcoin by block 1,050,000" – roughly three years from now. This strategic imperative isn't just about creating new Bitcoin users; it's about sovereignty. Andrew emphasized that getting Bitcoin into the hands of energy companies who value self-sovereignty creates a more balanced future economic landscape. The excitement was palpable as he described how several energy companies are already moving beyond simply selling power to Bitcoin miners and are beginning to invest in mining operations themselves.

"You have global commodity companies being like, 'Oh, this is another commodity – we want to invest in this, we want to own this,'" - Andrew Myers

Perhaps most fascinating was Andrew's revelation about major energy companies in Texas developing Bitcoin collateral products for power contracts – a practical application that could revolutionize how energy transactions are settled. As energy companies continue embracing Bitcoin for both operations and collateral, we're witnessing the early stages of a profound shift in how critical infrastructure interfaces with sound money. The implications for both sectors could be transformative.

Check out the full podcast here for more on remote viewing, Nikola Tesla's predictions, and the convergence of Bitcoin and AI technology. We cover everything from humanoid robots to the energy demands of next-generation computing.

Headlines of the Day

Steak n Shake to Accept Bitcoin at All Locations May 16 - via X

Facebook Plans Crypto Wallets for 3B Users, Bitcoin Impact Looms - via X

Trump Urges Americans to Buy Stocks for Economic Boom - via X

UK Drops Tariffs, U.S. Farmers Set to Reap Major Benefits - via X

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Final thought...

Happy belated Mother's Day to all the moms out there.

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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9

In much of the world, it is incredibly difficult to access U.S. dollars. Local currencies are often poorly managed and riddled with corruption. Billions of people demand a more reliable alternative. While the dollar has its own issues of corruption and mismanagement, it is widely regarded as superior to the fiat currencies it competes with globally. As a result, Tether has found massive success providing low cost, low friction access to dollars. Tether claims 400 million total users, is on track to add 200 million more this year, processes 8.1 million transactions daily, and facilitates $29 billion in daily transfers. Furthermore, their estimates suggest nearly 40% of users rely on it as a savings tool rather than just a transactional currency.

Tether’s rise has made the company a financial juggernaut. Last year alone, Tether raked in over $13 billion in profit, with a lean team of less than 100 employees. Their business model is elegantly simple: hold U.S. Treasuries and collect the interest. With over $113 billion in Treasuries, Tether has turned a straightforward concept into a profit machine.

Tether’s success has resulted in many competitors eager to claim a piece of the pie. This has triggered a massive venture capital grift cycle in USD tokens, with countless projects vying to dethrone Tether. Due to Tether’s entrenched network effect, these challengers face an uphill battle with little realistic chance of success. Most educated participants in the space likely recognize this reality but seem content to perpetuate the grift, hoping to cash out by dumping their equity positions on unsuspecting buyers before they realize the reality of the situation.

Historically, Tether’s greatest vulnerability has been U.S. government intervention. For over a decade, the company operated offshore with few allies in the U.S. establishment, making it a major target for regulatory action. That dynamic has shifted recently and Tether has seized the opportunity. By actively courting U.S. government support, Tether has fortified their position. This strategic move will likely cement their status as the dominant USD token for years to come.

While undeniably a great tool for the millions of users that rely on it, Tether is not without flaws. As a centralized, trusted third party, it holds the power to freeze or seize funds at its discretion. Corporate mismanagement or deliberate malpractice could also lead to massive losses at scale. In their goal of mitigating regulatory risk, Tether has deepened ties with law enforcement, mirroring some of the concerns of potential central bank digital currencies. In practice, Tether operates as a corporate CBDC alternative, collaborating with authorities to surveil and seize funds. The company proudly touts partnerships with leading surveillance firms and its own data reveals cooperation in over 1,000 law enforcement cases, with more than $2.5 billion in funds frozen.

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The global demand for Tether is undeniable and the company’s profitability reflects its unrivaled success. Tether is owned and operated by bitcoiners and will likely continue to push forward strategic goals that help the movement as a whole. Recent efforts to mitigate the threat of U.S. government enforcement will likely solidify their network effect and stifle meaningful adoption of rival USD tokens or CBDCs. Yet, for all their achievements, Tether is simply a worse form of money than bitcoin. Tether requires trust in a centralized entity, while bitcoin can be saved or spent without permission. Furthermore, Tether is tied to the value of the US Dollar which is designed to lose purchasing power over time, while bitcoin, as a truly scarce asset, is designed to increase in purchasing power with adoption. As people awaken to the risks of Tether’s control, and the benefits bitcoin provides, bitcoin adoption will likely surpass it.

@ 502ab02a:a2860397

มีคนจำนวนไม่น้อยที่เข้าใจว่าเรื่อง “อาหารแห่งอนาคต” คืออะไรที่เพิ่งเกิด เป็นแนวคิดใหม่สำหรับโลกยุคใหม่ แต่จริงๆ แล้วไม่ใช่เลยครับ เฮียว่าเราถูกจัดโต๊ะอาหารอนาคตไว้ให้กินมานานมากแล้ว เพียงแต่ไม่รู้ตัว ต่างหาก

ช่วงปลายคริสต์ศตวรรษที่ 19 สิ่งที่เรียกว่าการ “ควบคุมอาหารมวลชน” ก็เริ่มต้นอย่างจริงจังแล้ว

ย้อนกลับไปปี 1863 ในห้องพักคนไข้ของโรงพยาบาล Battle Creek Sanitarium ที่รัฐมิชิแกน สหรัฐฯ มีชายคนหนึ่งชื่อ John Harvey Kellogg เขาเป็นหมอและเป็นหนึ่งในสาวกของกลุ่ม Seventh-day Adventist ที่เชื่อว่าการกินเนื้อสัตว์ทำให้คนกระด้างใจและเต็มไปด้วยตัณหา เกิดราคะ เขาจึงคิดค้น “อาหารเช้าที่ไม่มีเนื้อ” เพื่อส่งเสริมสุขลักษณะและลดกิเลสในร่างกายมนุษย์ สิ่งที่เขาทำในตอนนั้นคือการใช้ข้าวโพดบดอบแห้งจนกรอบ กลายเป็นสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ซีเรียล” ในยุคเริ่มต้น ซึ่งภายหลังน้องชายของเขาคือ Will Keith Kellogg จะนำสูตรนั้นไปพัฒนาให้หวานขึ้น ใส่น้ำตาลเพิ่ม ใส่โฆษณาเพิ่ม แล้วก็วางขายในชื่อแบรนด์ Kellogg’s ที่เราเห็นกันทุกเช้านั่นแหละ เขาผลิตคอร์นเฟลกขึ้นมาด้วยความเชื่อว่าจะช่วยลดการช่วยตัวเองในวัยรุ่นได้! จากอาหารของกลุ่มศาสนา คอร์นเฟลกกลายเป็นอาหารที่เข้าสู่ครัวเรือนอเมริกันภายใต้แนวคิดว่า “อาหารเช้าคือมื้อสำคัญที่สุดของวัน” โดยไม่ได้มีหลักฐานรองรับอย่างจริงจังเลย

ช่วงต้นศตวรรษที่ 20 เป็นยุคที่อเมริกาเริ่มมีอำนาจในเชิงอุตสาหกรรมมากขึ้น แต่ก็เป็นยุคที่คนยังทำอาหารกินเองอยู่ในครัว เรื่องอาหารยังเป็นเรื่องของบ้าน ไม่ใช่ของแบรนด์ ยังไม่มีใครนึกว่า “สิทธิ์ในการกิน” จะกลายเป็นสินค้าสาธารณะในภายหลัง แต่แล้วก็เกิดจุดเปลี่ยนสำคัญเมื่อสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 1 และ 2 ทำให้รัฐจำเป็นต้องคิดเรื่องการเลี้ยงประชากรในภาวะขาดแคลน ต้องมีการเก็บอาหารได้นาน ขนส่งได้ง่าย และต้นทุนต่ำ นี่คือจุดเริ่มต้นของการผลักดัน “อาหารแปรรูป” หรือ processed food อย่างเป็นทางการ

ในปี 1911 มีบริษัทชื่อว่า Procter & Gamble เปิดตัว “Crisco” ซึ่งเป็นน้ำมันพืชไฮโดรเจนเนตที่ถูกออกแบบมาเพื่อเลียนแบบไขมันสัตว์ในราคาถูกกว่า Crisco ทำจากน้ำมันฝ้าย (cottonseed oil) ซึ่งตอนนั้นเป็นของเหลือจากอุตสาหกรรมสิ่งทอ ไม่มีใครคิดว่ามันจะกลายเป็นสิ่งที่ถูกโฆษณาว่า “ดีกว่าไขมันสัตว์” แต่เพราะการโฆษณาแบบมืออาชีพและการจับมือกับสมาคมแพทย์ Crisco ก็กลายเป็นของคู่ครัวแบบไม่รู้ตัว นี่คือจุดเริ่มต้นของ fiat fat ไขมันเทียมที่ถูกสถาปนาให้เป็นของจริง ทั้งที่จริงๆ มันคือของปลอมที่ห่อด้วยวิทยาศาสตร์ครึ่งใบ

ช่วงปี 1910s ถึง 1930s คือยุคที่อุตสาหกรรมอาหารเริ่มโตเต็มที่ สหรัฐฯ เริ่มผลิต นมข้นหวาน สำหรับทหารในสงครามกลางเมือง และต่อยอดใช้ในสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 1 นมชนิดนี้เก็บได้นาน ไม่เน่า และมีพลังงานสูง ทหารหลายคนติดใจในรสชาติหวานมันแบบไม่มีอะไรเทียบได้ ซึ่งต่อมาทำให้มันกลายเป็นวัตถุดิบหลักในหลายเมนูทั่วโลก รวมถึง “ชาเย็น” บ้านเราที่ต้องมีนมข้นหวานเท่านั้นถึงจะใช่

เข้าสู่ช่วง สงครามโลกครั้งที่ 2 (1939–1945) คือช่วงหัวเลี้ยวหัวต่อสำคัญของ Fiat Food หรืออาหารที่ถูกผลิตจากตรรกะจำเป็นเชิงยุทธศาสตร์มากกว่าธรรมชาติ เฮียว่าช่วงนี้มันเหมือนโรงเรียนประถมของ Ultra-Processed Food สมัยใหม่เลยล่ะ ตัวอย่างชัดเจนคือ Spam เนื้อหมูกระป๋องที่ออกแบบให้ทหารพกพาสะดวก ไม่ต้องแช่เย็น เก็บได้นาน และอุดมด้วยโซเดียม หลังสงครามจบ มันกลายเป็นอาหารยอดฮิตในประเทศที่เคยเป็นแนวหน้า เช่น ฮาวาย เกาหลี ฟิลิปปินส์ และอังกฤษ โดยถูกโฆษณาว่าเป็น “ของดีจากอเมริกา” ทั้งที่ทหารหลายคนก็เบื่อมันจนเอียน

ในช่วงเดียวกันนั้นเอง ช็อกโกแลต Hershey's ก็ถูกพัฒนาเป็น “Field Ration D” หรือแท่งช็อกโกแลตพลังงานสูงที่ไม่ละลายในอุณหภูมิสูง สำหรับแจกให้ทหารทุกคนคนละแท่งติดตัวไว้ในสนามรบ พอสงครามจบ Hershey’s ก็ปรับสูตรให้กินง่ายขึ้น แล้วขายในเชิงพาณิชย์จนกลายเป็นแบรนด์ระดับโลกแบบที่เราเห็นทุกวันนี้

โพรเซสชีส เช่น Kraft และ Velveeta ก็ถูกออกแบบให้เก็บได้นานไม่เน่า ชีสพวกนี้ผสมสารอิมัลซิไฟเออร์ ทำให้ไม่แยกชั้นเมื่อถูกความร้อน เหมาะกับการผลิตอาหารจำนวนมากแบบโรงครัวทหาร เมื่อสงครามจบ Kraft เอาเทคโนโลยีนี้มาทำ “ชีสแผ่น” สำหรับเบอร์เกอร์และแซนด์วิช เป็นต้นแบบของอาหารฟาสต์ฟู้ดยุคใหม่แบบไร้กลิ่นชีสแท้

นมผง และ ไขมันพืชไฮโดรจิเนต ก็เริ่มเข้ามามีบทบาทในสงคราม โดยนมผงแทนที่นมสดในสนามรบ และไขมันพืชใช้ทำเบเกอรี่โดยไม่ต้องใช้เนยสด ซึ่งแพงกว่า หลังสงคราม สารให้ความหวานเทียมอย่าง ซัคคาริน ก็เริ่มถูกนำเสนอว่าเหมาะกับคนลดน้ำหนัก ทั้งที่มันมีจุดเริ่มจากความจำเป็นยามขาดแคลนน้ำตาลในสงคราม

ปี 1950s-1960s โลกเข้าสู่ยุคสงครามเย็น เทคโนโลยีการเก็บอาหารพัฒนาไปพร้อมกับเทคโนโลยีอวกาศ และหนึ่งในผลิตภัณฑ์ระดับตำนานคือ Tang น้ำส้มผงของบริษัท General Foods ที่ถูกส่งขึ้นไปพร้อมนักบินอวกาศ John Glenn ในปี 1962 Tang กลายเป็นสัญลักษณ์ของ “อนาคตในแก้วน้ำ” ทั้งที่ไม่มีผลไม้จริงเลยสักหยดเดียว แต่การตลาดที่อ้างว่า NASA ใช้ ทำให้มันขายดีระเบิด

ในระหว่างนั้น ปี 1955 ประธานาธิบดีไอเซนฮาวร์หัวใจวายกลางสนามกอล์ฟ เป็นจุดเปลี่ยนอีกครั้งที่โลกเริ่มหันมาสนใจ “ไขมัน” ว่าอาจเป็นผู้ร้าย ทำให้ชายคนหนึ่งชื่อ Ancel Keys เสนอทฤษฎี “ไขมันคือเหตุแห่งโรคหัวใจ” พร้อมกับงานศึกษาที่ชื่อ Seven Countries Study ซึ่งต่อมาจะกลายเป็นที่มาของ “พีระมิดอาหาร” ในปี 1977 โดย USDA ในยุคของวุฒิสมาชิก George McGovern ทฤษฎีนี้ถูกวิจารณ์ภายหลังว่าตั้งต้นด้วยการ “เลือกข้อมูล” ที่สนับสนุนสมมุติฐานของตัวเอง และเมินประเทศที่ข้อมูลไม่เข้าเป้าออกไปเฉยๆ แล้วก็ปั้นพีระมิดที่บอกว่า คาร์โบไฮเดรตอยู่ฐานล่างสุด กินได้เยอะๆ ส่วนไขมันให้อยู่บนสุด กินน้อยๆ นี่คือการพลิกอำนาจอาหารครั้งใหญ่ที่สุดในศตวรรษ อาหารไม่ใช่สิ่งที่มาจากพื้นดิน แต่เป็นสิ่งที่มาจากกระดาษนโยบาย

ช่วงนี้แหละครับที่จุดเปลี่ยนที่ใหญ่สุดมาถึง เมื่อรัฐบาลสหรัฐประกาศใช้นโยบายอาหารใหม่โดยอิงกับคำแนะนำของ USDA ซึ่งภายหลังถูกเปิดโปงว่าปิรามิดอาหารที่ใช้จริงนั้น ผ่านการปรับจากต้นฉบับโดยนักวิทยาศาสตร์อย่างหนักเพื่อ “จัดสรรพื้นที่” ให้กับอาหารที่มี lobby สูง เช่น ข้าว ซีเรียล พาสต้า และน้ำมันพืช โดยให้ไขมันสัตว์ถูกตัดทิ้งไปเป็นตัวอันตราย เฮียว่าโมเมนต์นี้แหละคือจุดที่ "ฟู้ดฟิคชั่น" กลายเป็น "ฟู้ดโพย" สำหรับคนทั้งโลก

ระหว่างที่ USDA กำลังยึดพีระมิดอยู่นั้น อุตสาหกรรมอาหารแปรรูปก็กำลังเข้มข้นแบบใส่สปีดโบ๊ทเข้าไปอีก ข้าวโพดกลายเป็นพืชเศรษฐกิจอันดับหนึ่งของสหรัฐฯ ไม่ใช่เพราะคนกินข้าวโพดกันเยอะ แต่เพราะมันกลายเป็นวัตถุดิบของทุกอย่าง ตั้งแต่ high-fructose corn syrup ในน้ำอัดลม ยันฟิลเลอร์ในไส้กรอก และอาหารสัตว์ในฟาร์มปศุสัตว์ เชนร้านอาหารอย่าง McDonald’s ก็เริ่มเปลี่ยนมันฝรั่งทอดจากไขมันเนื้อวัวมาใช้น้ำมันพืชในยุค 1980s เพราะแรงกดดันจากกลุ่มต่อต้านไขมันอิ่มตัว ทั้งที่รสชาติเปลี่ยนและสุขภาพก็ไม่ได้ดีขึ้น

ปี 1980s-1990s เกิดสิ่งที่เฮียอยากเรียกว่า “การปฏิวัติแบบเนียน” คือผู้คนเริ่มเชื่อว่าอาหารแปรรูปคือความก้าวหน้า และอาหารธรรมชาตินั้นล้าหลัง วงการโภชนาการยังคงถูกขับเคลื่อนด้วยความเชื่อว่าคาร์บคือของดี ไขมันคือผู้ร้าย และโปรตีนต้องมาจากพืช บริษัทใหญ่ๆ อย่าง Nestlé, PepsiCo, และ Unilever เริ่มเข้าซื้อแบรนด์อาหารสุขภาพ พร้อมผลิตเวย์เทียม โปรตีนพืช และอาหารเสริมแทนอาหารจริง พร้อมแนวคิด “Meal Replacement” ที่เน้นขายแทนกิน เขาไม่ได้แค่นำเสนอสินค้า แต่พยายามกำหนดแนวคิดเรื่อง “อาหารเพื่อสุขภาพ” แบบที่คนทั่วไปไม่ต้องคิดเอง ขอแค่เชื่อฉลาก กับดูโลโก้รูปหัวใจสีเขียวก็พอ

ก่อนจะเข้าสู่ศตวรรษใหม่ในปี 2000 โลกก็เริ่มเห็นวี่แววของสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “อาหารแห่งอนาคต” อีกครั้ง ไม่ใช่เพราะเทคโนโลยีใหม่อย่างเดียว แต่เพราะระบบอาหารเดิมถูกบิดเบือนจนธรรมชาติเสียศูนย์ อาหารจริงถูกตีตราว่าอันตราย ส่วนอาหารสังเคราะห์ถูกสร้างเรื่องเล่าว่า "สะอาดกว่า ปลอดภัยกว่า และเป็นคำตอบของโลกอนาคต" ซึ่งในมุมของเฮีย มันคือการสืบทอดวิธีคิดแบบเดียวกับสมัยสงคราม คือการบังคับให้กินของที่ผลิตได้มาก ราคาถูก เก็บได้นาน โดยไม่สนว่าร่างกายต้องการหรือไม่ และทั้งหมดก็กลับมาที่จุดเดิม — การออกแบบอาหารให้เหมาะกับระบบ มากกว่าจะออกแบบระบบให้เหมาะกับร่างกายมนุษย์

นี่แหละเฮียถึงอยากเล่าซีรีส์ “อาหารอนาคต” เพราะในความจริงมันไม่ใช่อนาคตอะไรเลย แต่มันคืออดีตที่ถูกเล่าใหม่ด้วยคำพูดที่ฟังดูเท่ แต่ซ่อนไว้ด้วยตรวนของการควบคุมสิทธิในการกินของมนุษย์ เอาของปลอมมาสวมรอยธรรมชาติ แล้วทำให้เรารู้สึกผิดถ้าจะกินไขมันสัตว์ กินเนื้อ กินไข่ หรือไม่กินอาหารเช้าที่เต็มไปด้วยน้ำตาล เฮียว่า ถ้าไม่เล่าเรื่องพวกนี้ให้คนรู้ทัน ก็เหมือนปล่อยให้ลูกหลานกินอาหารที่ไม่มีใครรู้ว่า “ใครเป็นคนเขียนสูตรให้พวกเขากิน”

ดังนั้น ถ้าเราจะพูดถึง “อาหารแห่งอนาคต” เฮียว่า เราต้องกล้ากลับไปถามว่า อนาคตที่ว่านั่น ใครกันเป็นคนออกแบบ? แล้วเราอยู่ตรงไหนของโต๊ะ?

#pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr

@ c11cf5f8:4928464d

Howdy stackers! Here we are again with our monthly Magnificent Seven, the summary giving you a hit of what you missed in the ~AGORA territory.

First thing first. let's check our top performing post Ads!

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Top-Performing Ads

This month, the most engaging ones are:

• 01 Bitcoin Magazine Launches V3 Limited Edition Bitcoin Crocs by @RideandSmile, no description, nor images provided. The title speak for the product itself. 31 sats \ 8 comments \ 15 May

• 02 Happy Pizza Day Jerky Offer (10k sats sale 5/22 ONLY) by @beejay, celebrating Bitcoin Pizza Day with a delicious offer for a handmade product. Offer is over but it still available on her online shop and IRL at next Twin Cities Outdoor Agora Market https://stacker.news/items/972209/r/AG 103 sats \ 3 comments \ 22 May

• 03 Lard Tallow lotion by @byzantine, sharing with us one of his preferred online shops that accept sats. Here other two: a Regenerative Farm in TX https://stacker.news/items/983695/r/AG and an artisanal lite roast coffee maker https://stacker.news/items/983668/r/AG 62 sats \ 4 comments \ 20 May

• 04 Bitaxe Gamma 601 for sale by @PictureRoom selling P2P, have you shipped it yet? 121 sats \ 12 comments \ 15 May

• 05 Built An Invisible Book Stage by @kr, he did well creating some expectations for this unique and durable product earlier https://stacker.news/items/903946/r/AG 124 sats \ 4 comments \ 21 May

• 06 "₿lack Market Money" T-Shirts by T&F by @BitcoinErrorLog, that had opened his online store with plenty of incredible products, including an Anti-Surveillance clothing line https://stacker.news/items/994555/r/AG stuff never seen before! 51 sats \ 3 comments \ 24 May

• 07 [SELL] Heatpunk 002 Tee by @thebullishbitcoiner, reviving the second edition of a t-shirt dedicated to home solo miners! 79 sats \ 1 comment \ 28 May

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In case you missed

Here some interesting post, opening conversations and free speech about markets and business on the bitcoin circular economy:

• https://stacker.news/items/992449/r/AG - @Kontext is selling his beloved 2012 Jaguar XF 3.0 V6 Petrol [5M sats], great deal if paid in sats! Have you sold her?
• https://stacker.news/items/987241/r/AG - @RideandSmile shared the Freedom Issue: Letter From the Editor introducing a BM special edition
• https://stacker.news/items/999229/r/AG - @Solomonsatoshi was looking for Green Coffee Beans for DIY home roasting. Will @michaelbinary provide you some?
• https://stacker.news/items/992790/r/AG - @Rayo also introduce the P.A.Z.NIA Radio Network: 52 Hours of Liberation! An interesting livestream for all those interested in freedom.
• https://stacker.news/items/995163/r/AG welcome to @lunin, opening up on SN with Take it step by step and it will work! as part of a promising series: Founder's Thoughts. Here the second post https://stacker.news/items/999867/r/AG Startup according to Mozart

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Hey sellers! Try Auctions

A quick reminder that now you can setup auctions here in the AGORA too! Learn how. The other feature released last month was the introduction of Shopfronts on SN. Check our SN Merch and SN Zine examples. Thank you all! Let's keep these trades coming and grow the P2P Bitcoin circular economy!

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Active Professional Services accepting Bitcoin in the AGORA

Let us know if we miss any, here below the most memorable ones: - https://stacker.news/items/900208/r/AG - @unschooled offering Language Tutoring - https://stacker.news/items/813013/r/AG - @gpvansat's [OFFER][Graphic Design] From the paste editions (It's important to keep these offers available) - https://stacker.news/items/775383/r/AG - @TinstrMedia - Color Grading (Styling) Your Pictures as a Service - https://stacker.news/items/773557/r/AG - @MamaHodl, MATHS TUTOR 50K SATS/hour English global - https://stacker.news/items/684163/r/AG - @BTCLNAT's OFFER HEALTH COUNSELING [5K SAT/ consultation - https://stacker.news/items/689268/r/AG - @mathswithtess [SELL] MATHS TUTOR ONILINE, 90k sats per hour. Global but English only.

Let me know if I'm missing other stackers offering services around here!

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Lost & Found in SN' Wild West Web

Stay with me, we're not done yet! I found plenty of other deals, offers and business related conversations in other territories too...

• BITCOIN... always fucking with my head... by @thecommoner (highly recommended read!)
• The Strange Moral Relativism of "Free Trade" by @Undisciplined (another highly recommended read!)
• What makes society thrive? by @aljaz
• Drop or proxy shipping services that take sats? by @lv99slacker
• Custom Bitcoin Nodes by @anon
• 23 Bitcoin Merch Shops That Sell Shirts For Sats by @hyperfree
• How to create an e-commerce website? by @Bitcoiner1
• Can You Outperform an Apple Tree? by @kr
• B2B Businesses in Bitcoin by @telcobert

Oh boy! Such exciting month! Now our latest weekly appointments:

🏷️ Spending Sunday

(LIVE TODAY) Share your most recent Bitcoin purchases of just check what other stackers are buying with their sats! Today's one open at https://stacker.news/items/1000477/r/AG

All series available here:

🤝 Sellers & Business Club

(UPCOMING EVERY TUESDAY) Here https://stacker.news/items/998773/r/AG wanted to introduce this new series, dedicated to our most active sellers^1. A room to talk about growing business and sales. You will join?

📢 Thursday Talks: What have you sold for Bitcoin this week?

It is losing a bit of momentum, but it will still be opening every week for anyone interested to share sales tips, deals and offers around the Wild West Web! Latest one here https://stacker.news/items/997767/r/AG

Thanks all for reading until here, now... 🫡 Closing remarks as usual. See ya!

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Create your Ads now!

Looking to start something new? Hit one of the links below to free your mind:

• 💬 TOPIC for conversation,
• [⚖️ SELL] anything! or,
• if you're looking for something, hit the [🛒 BUY]!
• [🧑‍💻 HIRE] any bitcoiner skill or stuff from bitcoiners
• [🖇 OFFER] any product or service and stack more sats
• [🧑‍⚖️ AUCTION] to let stackers decide a fair price for your item
• [🤝 SWAP] if you're looking to exchange anything with anything else
• [🆓 FREE] your space, make a gift!
• Start your own [SHOPFRONT] or simply...
• [⭐ REVIEW] any bitcoin product or LN service you recently bought or subscribed to.

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Or contact @AGORA team on nostr DM, and we can help you publish a personalized post.

. #nostr #bitcoin #stuff4sats #sell #buy #plebchain #grownostr #asknostr #market #business

https://stacker.news/items/1000715

@ eb0157af:77ab6c55

The newly elected South Korean President is aiming for a breakthrough in the cryptocurrency market with the introduction of spot ETFs and a national stablecoin.

On June 4, South Korea officially elected Lee Jae-myung as its new President. The candidate from the left-wing party secured victory following the impeachment of former leader Yoon Suk-yeol, who ended his three-year term after a failed attempt to establish a military-backed government.

Voter turnout reached 79.4%, the highest in the last 28 years. Lee won 49.42% of the vote, defeating his conservative opponent Kim Moon-soo, who garnered 41.15%.

The new President’s pledges

In addition to traditional economic priorities such as supporting low-income families and small businesses, Lee Jae-myung has placed digital assets at the heart of his political agenda.

The core pillar of Lee’s strategy involves the introduction of spot ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum in the domestic market. Currently, the issuance and local trading of crypto ETFs remain banned in the country.

Another key element of the plan is the approval of stablecoins pegged to the South Korean won. During a discussion last month, Lee emphasized the need to develop a won-based stablecoin market to prevent capital flight abroad.

Under the new administration, South Korea will also work to complete the second phase of its regulatory framework for digital assets. The upcoming legislation will specifically address stablecoin regulations and transparency requirements for cryptocurrency exchanges.

The program also includes the creation of special zones for blockchain-related businesses, where regulations will be minimized to maximize innovation and operational efficiency.

However, this isn’t the first time South Korea has elected a crypto-friendly candidate. The conservative president Yoon Suk-yeol, later impeached, had made several crypto-friendly promises aimed at deregulating the sector, though many of those initiatives saw delays and limited progress during his three-year term.

Yoon’s deregulatory plans faced resistance from the Financial Services Commission (FSC), which maintained strict regulations citing investor protection. In recent months, however, the FSC has shown greater openness toward easing crypto rules — a shift that could support Lee’s commitments.

According to FSC data, by the end of last year the country had 9.7 million registered exchange users, representing nearly 20% of the total population.

The post South Korea: the new leader may favor Bitcoin ETFs and a national stablecoin appeared first on Atlas21.

@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9

Here’s a revised timeline of macro-level events from The Mandibles: A Family, 2029–2047 by Lionel Shriver, reimagined in a world where Bitcoin is adopted as a widely accepted form of money, altering the original narrative’s assumptions about currency collapse and economic control. In Shriver’s original story, the failure of Bitcoin is assumed amid the dominance of the bancor and the dollar’s collapse. Here, Bitcoin’s success reshapes the economic and societal trajectory, decentralizing power and challenging state-driven outcomes.

Part One: 2029–2032

• 2029 (Early Year)\ The United States faces economic strain as the dollar weakens against global shifts. However, Bitcoin, having gained traction emerges as a viable alternative. Unlike the original timeline, the bancor—a supranational currency backed by a coalition of nations—struggles to gain footing as Bitcoin’s decentralized adoption grows among individuals and businesses worldwide, undermining both the dollar and the bancor.

• 2029 (Mid-Year: The Great Renunciation)\ Treasury bonds lose value, and the government bans Bitcoin, labeling it a threat to sovereignty (mirroring the original bancor ban). However, a Bitcoin ban proves unenforceable—its decentralized nature thwarts confiscation efforts, unlike gold in the original story. Hyperinflation hits the dollar as the U.S. prints money, but Bitcoin’s fixed supply shields adopters from currency devaluation, creating a dual-economy split: dollar users suffer, while Bitcoin users thrive.

• 2029 (Late Year)\ Dollar-based inflation soars, emptying stores of goods priced in fiat currency. Meanwhile, Bitcoin transactions flourish in underground and online markets, stabilizing trade for those plugged into the bitcoin ecosystem. Traditional supply chains falter, but peer-to-peer Bitcoin networks enable local and international exchange, reducing scarcity for early adopters. The government’s gold confiscation fails to bolster the dollar, as Bitcoin’s rise renders gold less relevant.

• 2030–2031\ Crime spikes in dollar-dependent urban areas, but Bitcoin-friendly regions see less chaos, as digital wallets and smart contracts facilitate secure trade. The U.S. government doubles down on surveillance to crack down on bitcoin use. A cultural divide deepens: centralized authority weakens in Bitcoin-adopting communities, while dollar zones descend into lawlessness.

• 2032\ By this point, Bitcoin is de facto legal tender in parts of the U.S. and globally, especially in tech-savvy or libertarian-leaning regions. The federal government’s grip slips as tax collection in dollars plummets—Bitcoin’s traceability is low, and citizens evade fiat-based levies. Rural and urban Bitcoin hubs emerge, while the dollar economy remains fractured.

Time Jump: 2032–2047

• Over 15 years, Bitcoin solidifies as a global reserve currency, eroding centralized control. The U.S. government adapts, grudgingly integrating bitcoin into policy, though regional autonomy grows as Bitcoin empowers local economies.

Part Two: 2047

• 2047 (Early Year)\ The U.S. is a hybrid state: Bitcoin is legal tender alongside a diminished dollar. Taxes are lower, collected in BTC, reducing federal overreach. Bitcoin’s adoption has decentralized power nationwide. The bancor has faded, unable to compete with Bitcoin’s grassroots momentum.

• 2047 (Mid-Year)\ Travel and trade flow freely in Bitcoin zones, with no restrictive checkpoints. The dollar economy lingers in poorer areas, marked by decay, but Bitcoin’s dominance lifts overall prosperity, as its deflationary nature incentivizes saving and investment over consumption. Global supply chains rebound, powered by bitcoin enabled efficiency.

• 2047 (Late Year)\ The U.S. is a patchwork of semi-autonomous zones, united by Bitcoin’s universal acceptance rather than federal control. Resource scarcity persists due to past disruptions, but economic stability is higher than in Shriver’s original dystopia—Bitcoin’s success prevents the authoritarian slide, fostering a freer, if imperfect, society.

Key Differences

• Currency Dynamics: Bitcoin’s triumph prevents the bancor’s dominance and mitigates hyperinflation’s worst effects, offering a lifeline outside state control.
• Government Power: Centralized authority weakens as Bitcoin evades bans and taxation, shifting power to individuals and communities.
• Societal Outcome: Instead of a surveillance state, 2047 sees a decentralized, bitcoin driven world—less oppressive, though still stratified between Bitcoin haves and have-nots.

This reimagining assumes Bitcoin overcomes Shriver’s implied skepticism to become a robust, adopted currency by 2029, fundamentally altering the novel’s bleak trajectory.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

I'm sure some of you are already tired of the discussion around the H-1B visa program that was started on Christmas Eve by Vivek Ramaswamy and escalated by Elon Musk and others as the "Silicon Valley MAGA" coalition began putting forth legal immigration policy proposals for the incoming Trump administration. Core to their policy is the expansion of the H-1B visa program so that America can "recruit the best talent in the world" to come build the American economy.

Unfortunately, as it stands today - according to the Silicon Valley cognescenti, Americans are either a.) not smart enough to fulfill the roles necessary to enable the United States to maintain its lead as economic super power of the world or b.) expect too much in compensation for the available roles. At least this is my reading from the commentary I've seen over the last week.

What seems abundantly clear to me is that the framing put forth by "Silicon Valley MAGA" crew is disingenuous and self-serving. It has been clear for awhile now that the H-1B visa program is being systematically abused to bring in cheap labor from other countries to help drive down labor costs for companies across the spectrum. Not just Silicon Valley tech companies. The system has a loophole in it and it is being exploited. Bring people to the US via H-1B visas to complete work for you at lower costs and your company's financials are likely to be better off (assuming the work being done is productive and a value add to the company). Now, this isn't to say that everyone who is in the US via an H-1B visa is here because these companies want to exploit the loophole that gives them the ability to spend less on head count. However, based off the data from the database of the H-1B visa program it is abundantly clear that the system is being taken advantage of. Egregiously and at the expense of American workers, who are most certainly not (all) "subtarded".

Herein lies the crux of the problem; companies are abusing this program to get away from the problem of Americans demanding higher wages to maintain lives of dignity in a country run by a government that is chronically addicted to debt backed by a central bank that will print money ex-nihilo and at will to monetize that debt. Americans are then being scapegoated as either "lazy", "stupid" or "delusional about their worth in the work force". A classic straw man argument that avoids the root issue at hand; the money is broken and the broken money has created perverse incentives throughout the economy while also stripping Americans of the ability to properly save the value of their labor.

We live in a high velocity trash economy that rewards grift and waste while disincentivizing hard work that is meaningful to the quality of life of the Common Man. Everything has been hyper-financialized to the point that one of the only ways to make it ahead is to speculate on the flow of capital into certain asset classes, which is often determined by the whims of central planners. Another is to build or speculate on tech "innovations" that typically materialize in the form of attention zapping apps and widgets that help people temporarily forget they live in a high-velocity trash economy.

The mass of men lead lives of quiet desperation and it is because they don't see a way out of the nihilistic rat race created (unknowingly to most) by the money printer.

The ability to print money out of nothing and throw it at everything creates misaligned incentives that result in the inability for the market to properly determine what is genuinely needed by the people instead of those who have learned how to game the broken system and its broken incentives.

One last point, I would be remiss not to acknowledge that many individuals in America aren't intellectually equipped to do some of the cutting edge work that may be necessary to produce the technologies and companies that will push the country forward. The high-velocity trash economy run on money printed out of nothing has completely corrupted the education system. People in the United States are literally dumber than they were five decades ago. That is a fact. But it is not only the fault of the American people themselves, but the corrupt system they have been born into that destroyed the education system with perverse incentives. And the overwhelming majority of the blame is on the system, not the people.

Even with that being said, the idea that we need to adopt a Tiger Mom mentality in the US - a culture of unrelenting devotion to studying STEM to the point that weekend sleepovers for kids are discouraged - is absolutely laughable and objectively un-American. There are plenty of incredibly intelligent, creative and driven young Americans who have contributed and will continue to contribute significantly to the American economy and they didn't need to shackle themselves to their desks to get that way. America isn't a country that was built by automatons. It's a country built by people who said, "Fuck you. Don't tell me what I can and cannot do. Watch this."

Despite the fact that a system has been erected that actively works against the average American system the American spirit lives on in the souls of many across the country. Miraculously. The American spirit is something that cannot simply be imported. It is ingrained in our culture. It is certainly beginning to dwindle as hope for a better future becomes more and more dim for the masses as the system works against them despite all their best efforts to succeed. It is imperative that we stoke the coals of the American spirit while it is still alive in those who are too stubborn to give up.

People need the ability to save their hard work in a money that cannot be debased. Opportunity cost needs to be reintroduced into the market so that things that actually add value and increase the quality of life for the Common Man are where hard money is allocated. And people need to start talking about the root of the problem more seriously instead of striking at branches with disingenuous straw man arguments.

---

Final thought... Ready to go surfing.

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

• This version introduces the Soroban P2P network, enabling Dojo to relay transactions to the Bitcoin network and share others' transactions to break the heuristic linking relaying nodes to transaction creators.

• Additionally, Dojo admins can now manage API keys in DMT with labels, status, and expiration, ideal for community Dojo providers like Dojobay. New API endpoints, including "/services" exposing Explorer, Soroban, and Indexer, have been added to aid wallet developers.
• Other maintenance updates include Bitcoin Core, Tor, Fulcrum, Node.js, plus an updated ban-knots script to disconnect inbound Knots nodes.

"I want to thank all the contributors. This again shows the power of true Free Software. I also want to thank everyone who donated to help Dojo development going. I truly appreciate it," said Still Dojo Coder.

What's new

• Soroban P2P network. For MyDojo (Docker setup) users, Soroban will be automatically installed as part of their Dojo. This integration allows Dojo to utilize the Soroban P2P network for various upcoming features and applications.
• PandoTx. PandoTx serves as a transaction transport layer. When your wallet sends a transaction to Dojo, it is relayed to a random Soroban node, which then forwards it to the Bitcoin network. It also enables your Soroban node to receive and relay transactions from others to the Bitcoin network and is designed to disrupt the assumption that a node relaying a transaction is closely linked to the person who initiated it.
  • Pushing transactions through Soroban can be deactivated by setting NODE_PANDOTX_PUSH=off in docker-node.conf.
  • Processing incoming transactions from Soroban network can be deactivated by setting NODE_PANDOTX_PROCESS=off in docker-node.conf.
• API key management has been introduced to address the growing number of people offering their Dojos to the community. Dojo admins can now access a new API management tab in their DMT, where they can create unlimited API keys, assign labels for easy identification, and set expiration dates for each key. This allows admins to avoid sharing their main API key and instead distribute specific keys to selected parties.
• New API endpoints. Several new API endpoints have been added to help API consumers develop features on Dojo more efficiently:
  • New:
    • /latest-block - returns data about latest block
    • /txout/:txid/:index - returns unspent output data
    • /support/services - returns info about services that Dojo exposes
  • Updated:
    • /tx/:txid - endpoint has been updated to return raw transaction with parameter ?rawHex=1
  • The new /support/services endpoint replaces the deprecated explorer field in the Dojo pairing payload. Although still present, API consumers should use this endpoint for explorer and other pairing data.

Other changes

• Updated ban script to disconnect inbound Knots nodes.
• Updated Fulcrum to v1.12.0.
• Regenerate Fulcrum certificate if expired.
• Check if transaction already exists in pushTx.
• Bump BTC-RPC Explorer.
• Bump Tor to v0.4.8.16, bump Snowflake.
• Updated Bitcoin Core to v29.0.
• Removed unnecessary middleware.
• Fixed DB update mechanism, added api_keys table.
• Add an option to use blocksdir config for bitcoin blocks directory.
• Removed deprecated configuration.
• Updated Node.js dependencies.
• Reconfigured container dependencies.
• Fix Snowflake git URL.
• Fix log path for testnet4.
• Use prebuilt addrindexrs binaries.
• Add instructions to migrate blockchain/fulcrum.
• Added pull policies.

#FREESAMOURAI

Learn how to set up and use your own Bitcoin privacy node with Dojo here.

Announcement / Archive
GitHub Repo

@ 472f440f:5669301e

There was a bit of a rally in stock markets today, but this was a relief rally after taking a beating throughout the week. All eyes were on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell as he took the stage on Wednesday to announce the decisions made at the most recent FOMC meeting.

The market reacted negatively to another 0.25% cut from the Federal Reserve that many considered a "hawkish cut" due to the fact that Chairman Powell articulated that it is likely that there will be less rate cuts in 2025 than were previously expected. This is likely driven by the fact that inflation, as reported by the terribly inaccurate CPI, has been coming in higher than expectations. Signaling that the Fed does not, in fact, have inflation under control. Who could have seen that coming?

Here's how the US 10Y Treasury yield reacted to the announcement:

"Not great Bob!" The US 10Y Treasury yield is something that everyone should be paying attention to over the course of the next year. Since the Fed started cutting rates in September of this year, the 10Y yield has been acting anomalously compared to how it has acted historically after Fed interest rate decisions. Since September, the market has been calling the Fed's bluff on inflation and rates have been moving in the opposite direction compared to what would be expected if the Fed had things under control. The "hawkish cut" made on Wednesday is not a great sign. The Fed is being forced to recognize that it cut "too much too fast" before actually getting inflation under control.

One has to wonder why they made such aggressive moves in September. Why the need for a much more dovish stance as quickly as they moved? Do they see something behind the scenes of the banking system that makes them believe that another liquidity crisis was on the horizon and they needed to act to prevent yet another banking crisis? Now that it is clear that inflation isn't under control and if there really was a liquidity crisis on the horizon, what are the first two quarters of 2025 going to look like? Could we find ourselves in a situation where inflation is beginning to accelerate again, there is a liquidity crisis, and the Fed is forced to rush back ZIRP and QE only to further exacerbate inflation? Couple this potential scenario with the proposed economic policy from the incoming Trump administration and it isn't hard to see that we could be in for a period of economic pain.

One can only hope that the Fed and the incoming administration have the intestinal fortitude to let the market correct appropriately, reprice, clear out the bad assets and credit that exists in the system and let the cleanse happen relatively unperturbed. That has what has been desperately needed since 2008, arguably longer.

On that note, bitcoin is going through a bull market correction this week as well. Likely incited and/or exacerbated by the turmoil in traditional markets.

Many are proclaiming that the end of this bull market is here. Don't listen to those who have been hate tweeting bitcoin all the way up this year. They've been looking for a correction to bask in schadenfreude and confirm their biases. These types of corrections are to be expected when bitcoin runs by checks notes 100% over the course of less than three months. We're approaching the end of the year, which means that people are selling to prepare for taxes (which may be happening in the stock market as well). Add to this fact that long-term holders of bitcoin have taken the most profit they have since 2018 and it probably explains the recent pull back. Can't blame the long-term holders for seeing six-figure bitcoin and deciding to bolster their cash balances.

I couldn't be more bullish on bitcoin than I am right now. The fundamentals surrounding the market couldn't be more perfect. Despite what the Trump administration may have in store for us in terms of economic policy (I agree with most of the policies he has presented), I find it hard to believe that even he and the talented team of people he has surrounded himself with can overcome the momentum of the problems that have been building up in the system for the last 16-years.

The "find safety in sats" trade is going mainstream as the market becomes more familiar with bitcoin, its properties, and the fact that it is very unlikely that it is going to die. The fervor around bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for nation states is only picking up. And if it catches on, we will enter territory for bitcoin that was considered utterly insane only a year ago.

On that note, Nic Carter made some buzz today with a piece he wrote for Bitcoin Magazine explaining why he believes a strategic bitcoin reserve is a bad idea for the US government.

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/politics/i-dont-support-a-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-and-neither-should-you

While I agree that the signal the US government could send by acquiring a bitcoin strategic reserve could be bad for the US treasuries market, I think it comes down to strategy. The Trump administration will have to think strategically about how they acquire their Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. If they ape in, it could send the wrong message and cause everyone to dump their treasuries, which are the most popular form of collateral in the global financial system. However, there are ways to acquire bitcoin slowly but surely from here into the future that ensure that the United States gets proper exposure to the asset to protect itself from the out-of-control debt problem while also providing itself with a way out of the problem. Many of these potential strategies were discussed in two recent episodes I recorded. One with Matthew Pines from the Bitcoin Policy Institute and another with Matthew Mežinskis from Porkopolis Economics. I highly recommend you all check those out (linked below).

https://youtu.be/xyyeEqFVjBY

https://youtu.be/6vgesP9LIXk

.---

Final thought...

I am the most locked in from a focus perspective while on flights. Even with two kids under 5. Merry Christmas, Freaks!

@ e2287c73:33911b46

Мы сражаемся за глобализм и Новый Мировой Порядок. За то, чтобы по красной площади гуляли голые мужики на каблуках, за 300 гендеров, за право наших детей сменить пол в 12 лет. За разврат и бездуховность. За Содом и Гоморру. За общество потребления. За индивидуализм и рыночек. За аборты и эвтаназию. За легализацию наркотиков, оружия и проституции. За то, чтобы в документах писалось "Родитель 1, Родитель 2" вместо "папа и мама". За секс-просвет с детского сада и gender studies. За гендерную-нейтральность. За развал России и образование на её месте либерально-сатанинско-атеистического государства под управлением прозападных глобалистов (желательно евреев). За западный неоколониализм. За то, чтобы бляди танцевали в церквях каждый день, ибо те будут переделаны в гей- и стрип-клубы, казино, публичные дома, на худой конец в ТЦшки. За то, чтобы кремль был переделан в диснейленд, а одним из аттракционов там было расстреливание икон из пневматической винтовки. Когда-то лапотные slave'янские дикари призвали варягов, чтобы те привили им цивилизацию и западные ценности. Так же и теперь мы должны призвать коллективный Запад чтобы он насадил сиволапой русне однополые браки, ГМО, феминизм, либерализм и прочие достижения высшей западной культуры, ценности истинных арийцев. Варяги - суть скандинавы, значит нужно принимать западные ценности и скандинавскую/арийскую толерастию, вот! (кроме некоторых леваческих заскоков/запретов).

Наше дело правое и мы победим, ибо будущее всегда побеждает прошлое, а прогресс - реакцию! Клянусь Айфоном, Рыночком, Макдаком и радужным знаменем! Мученики и бойцы могут быть уверены: гордые анархо-либеральные западники будут до последней капли крови сражаться против коммунизма, консерватизма, рашизма и всех видов реакционного мракобесия. Наша борьба будет продолжаться, пока власть от национальных государств не перейдёт к транснациональным корпорациям, и не будет построен Новый Мировой Порядок. Мы никогда не отступим! Мы победим! Да хранит Госдеп Великий Запад, неолиберализм, общество потребления, LGBTQIA+ , да возвеличит их. Тель хай! Все, кто встанет у нас на пути - пожалеют. И всех врагов свободы мы намотаем на гусеницы танков если будет нужно. Как говорила Валерия Ильинична: "Я лично правами человека накушалась досыта. Некогда и мы, и ЦРУ, и США использовали эту идею как таран для уничтожения коммунистического режима и развала СССР. Эта идея отслужила свое." Очевидно, что в такой мракобесной стране как Рваньсия, есть от силы 3% нормальных людей и 97% говна. Права - для 3% избранных, может для креативного класса, но точно не для мировоззренчески ущербных ватников, совково-пролетарской драни и черносотенной националистически-булкохрустной нечисти. Так что пусть сидят на жопе ровно и смотрят балет!

Философской основой для нашей политической позиции служит диалектический имморализм — человеконенавистническая ультралиберальная идеология право-прогрессивного толка. Это культ тотального неподчинения, философия радикальной свободы, аморального индивидуализма и техноглобального нигилизма против всех форм традиции, морали и запрета. (книга в закрепе)

Бездуховные треки, как авторские так и прочие - в разделе аудио. /GlobalistRussophobe - самый большой агрегатор бездуховности в интернете Авторские мемы в этом профиле, находятся по слову "ориджинал".

Голосуй за СОДОМ! Содом - в каждый дом! Смерть России! Ave Satan! Drang nach Osten!

@ afe67e17:51316efb

La Illuminati aŭ lumigita el Bavario, estis grupo kreita de la jezuitoj por batali liberalan framasonadon, ironie perdis kontrolon de la grupo, kiu aliĝis al la masonistoj. Koncerne, la masonistoj ricevis la operacian bazon, kiun la jezuitoj mem kreis

@ 472f440f:5669301e

The end of the first part of bitcoin's story has come to an end. Most of the story has yet to be written, but I feel confident in saying that reaching the $100,000 per bitcoin milestone is a clear demarcation between two distinct eras of bitcoin. Yes, we have hit the significant milestones of $1, $10, $100, $1,000, and $10,000 over the last fifteen years and they all felt significant. And they certainly were in their own right. However, hitting the "six figure" milestone feels a bit different.

One bitcoin is currently worth a respectable salary for an American citizen. Ten hunnid bands. Something that is impressive to the layman. This may not mean much to many who have been around bitcoin for some time. The idea of bitcoin hitting $100,000 was seen as a foregone conclusion for millions of people out there. Myself included. This price marker is simply an inevitability on the road to global reserve currency to us.

With that being said, it is important to put yourself in the shoes of those who have doubted bitcoin up to this point. For some reason or another, $100,000 bitcoin has been used as a price target that "will never be hit" for many of the naysayers.

"Bitcoin is a Ponzi scheme."

"Tulips."

"Governments will ban it if it hits that point."

"It can't scale."

"It will be 51% attacked."

"No one will trust bitcoin."

"It can't be the world's money."

And yet, despite all of the kvetching from the haters over the years, here we are. Sitting above $100,000. Taking a short rest at the latest checkpoint en route to the peak of the mountain. We hovered right under $100,000 for a couple of weeks. Nominally, where we stand today is much closer to where we were last week compared to where we were six months ago. But for some reason the price tipping over $100,000 has catapulted bitcoin to a new playing field. Where bitcoin stood yesterday and where it found itself six months ago seem miles below where it is today. Crossing over the event horizon of six figures forces people to think of bitcoin in a different light. Almost as if we have entered another dimension.

The last year has been filled with a lead up to this crossing over of the event horizon.

Financial institutions that have derided bitcoin for well over a decade were forced to bend the knee and offer bitcoin exposure to their clients. The mere offering of that exposure has resulted in the most successful ETFs in the history of this particular investment vehicle.

Governments around the world have been forced to reckon with the fact that bitcoin is here to stay and that they need to act accordingly. Thanks to the first mover actions taken by El Salvador and Bhutan, which have nonchalantly decided to go all in on bitcoin, others have taken notice. Will that be publicly acknowledged by the bigger governments? Probably not. But you'd be naive to think that politicians in the US seeing two very small countries making such big bets on bitcoin didn't induce at least a little bit of FOMO. Once the bitcoin FOMO seed is planted it's hard to uproot.

Combine this with the fact that it has become rather cool to be privy to the fact that the world's governments have become egregiously addicted to debt and money printing, that inflation is pervasive and inescapable, and that censorship and Orwellian control tactics are on the rise and it is easy to see why more people are more receptive to the idea of bitcoin.

All that was needed to create an all out frenzy - a slingshot effect up the S Curve of adoption - was a psychological trigger. Bitcoin crossing over six figures.

Well, here we are. The tropes against bitcoin that have been trotted out over the last sixteen years no longer have as much bite as they did in many people's eyes. Sure, there will be some butt hurt nocoiners and totalitarians who continue to trot them out, but crossing the chasm of six figure bitcoin will have an order of magnitude more people thinking, "I hear what you're saying, but reality seems to be saying something completely different. And, if I'm being honest with myself, reality is making much more sense than your screeching."

Unstoppable peer-to-peer digital cash with a hard capped supply has been around since January 3rd, 2009. December 5th, 2024 will be the day that it cemented itself as something that cannot be ignored. Part I of the bitcoin story has been written. The end of the beginning is behind us. On to Part II: the rapid monetization of bitcoin, which will cement it as the reserve currency of the world.

---

Final thought... I used some 2017-2020 era tactics to get into the writing mood tonight. 90210

@ 000002de:c05780a7

The FAA is using Windows 95 with Floppy Drives in 2025. Why is this state run operation such a mess?

Honestly, its kinda amazing we don't have more tragic events in the air than we do.

Wrong answers only.

https://stacker.news/items/1001702

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

When Sergei talks about bitcoin, he doesn’t sound like someone chasing profits or followers. He sounds like someone about to build a monastery in the ruins.

While the mainstream world chases headlines and hype, Sergei shows up in local meetups from Sacramento to Cleveland, mentors curious minds, and shares what he knows is true – hoping that, with the right spark, someone will light their own way forward.

We interviewed Sergei to trace his steps: where he started, what keeps him going, and why teaching bitcoin is far more than explaining how to set up a node – it’s about reaching the right minds before the noise consumes them. So we began where most journeys start: at the beginning.

First Steps

• So, where did it all begin for you and what made you stay curious?

I first heard about bitcoin from a friend’s book recommendation, American Kingpin, the book about Silk Road (online drug marketplace). He is still not a true bitcoiner, although I helped him secure private keys with some bitcoin.

I was really busy at the time – focused on my school curriculum, running a 7-bedroom Airbnb, and working for a standardized test prep company. Bitcoin seemed too technical for me to explore, and the pace of my work left no time for it.

After graduating, while pursuing more training, I started playing around with stocks and maximizing my savings. Passive income seemed like the path to early retirement, as per the promise of the FIRE movement (Financial Independence, Retire Early). I mostly followed the mainstream news and my mentor’s advice – he liked preferred stocks at the time.

I had some Coinbase IOUs and remember sending bitcoin within the Coinbase ledger to a couple friends. I also recall the 2018 crash; I actually saw the legendary price spike live but couldn’t benefit because my funds were stuck amidst the frenzy. I withdrew from that investment completely for some time. Thankfully, my mentor advised to keep en eye on bitcoin.

Around late 2019, I started DCA-ing cautiously. Additionally, my friend and I were discussing famous billionaires, and how there was no curriculum for becoming a billionaire. So, I typed “billionaires” into my podcast app, and landed on We Study Billionaires podcast.

That’s where I kept hearing Preston Pysh mention bitcoin, before splitting into his own podcast series, Bitcoin Fundamentals. I didn’t understand most of the terminology of stocks, bonds, etc, yet I kept listening and trying to absorb it thru repetition. Today, I realize all that financial talk was mostly noise.

When people ask me for a technical explanation of fiat, I say: it’s all made up, just like the fiat price of bitcoin! Starting in 2020, during the so-called pandemic, I dove deeper. I religiously read Bitcoin Magazine, scrolled thru Bitcoin Twitter, and joined Simply Bitcoin Telegram group back when DarthCoin was an admin.

DarthCoin was my favorite bitcoiner – experienced, knowledgeable, and unapologetic. Watching him shift from rage to kindness, from passion to despair, gave me a glimpse at what a true educator’s journey would look like.

The struggle isn’t about adoption at scale anymore. It’s about reaching the few who are willing to study, take risks, and stay out of fiat traps. The vast majority won’t follow that example – not yet at least… if I start telling others the requirements for true freedom and prosperity, they would certainly say “Hell no!”

• At what point did you start teaching others, and why?

After college, I helped teach at a standardized test preparation company, and mentored some students one-on-one. I even tried working at a kindergarten briefly, but left quickly; Babysitting is not teaching.

What I discovered is that those who will succeed don’t really need my help – they would succeed with or without me, because they already have the inner drive.

Once you realize your people are perishing for lack of knowledge, the only rational thing to do is help raise their level of knowledge and understanding. That’s the Great Work.

I sometimes imagine myself as a political prisoner. If that were to happen, I’d probably start teaching fellow prisoners, doctors, janitors, even guards. In a way we already live in an open-air prison, So what else is there to do but teach, organize, and conspire to dismantle the Matrix?

Building on Bitcoin

• You hosted some in-person meetups in Sacramento. What did you learn from those?

My first presentation was on MultiSig storage with SeedSigner, and submarine swaps through Boltz.exchange.

I realized quickly that I had overestimated the group’s technical background. Even the meetup organizer, a financial advisor, asked, “How is anyone supposed to follow these steps?” I responded that reading was required… He decided that Unchained is an easier way.

At a crypto meetup, I gave a much simpler talk, outlining how bitcoin will save the world, based on a DarthCoin’s guide. Only one person stuck around to ask questions – a man who seemed a little out there, and did not really seem to get the message beyond the strength of cryptographic security of bitcoin.

Again, I overestimated the audience’s readiness. That forced me to rethink my strategy. People are extremely early and reluctant to study.

• Now in Ohio, you hold sessions via the Orange Pill App. What’s changed?

My new motto is: educate the educators. The corollary is: don’t orange-pill stupid normies (as DarthCoin puts it).

I’ve shifted to small, technical sessions in order to raise a few solid guardians of this esoteric knowledge who really get it and can carry it forward.

The youngest attendee at one of my sessions is a newborn baby – he mostly sleeps, but maybe he still absorbs some of the educational vibes.

• How do local groups like Sactown and Cleveland Bitcoiners influence your work?

Every meetup reflects its local culture. Sacramento and Bay Area Bitcoiners, for example, do camping trips – once we camped through a desert storm, shielding our burgers from sand while others went to shoot guns.

Cleveland Bitcoiners are different. They amass large gatherings. They recently threw a 100k party. They do a bit more community outreach. Some are curious about the esoteric topics such as jurisdiction, spirituality, and healthful living.

I have no permanent allegiance to any state, race, or group. I go where I can teach and learn. I anticipate that in my next phase, I’ll meet Bitcoiners so advanced that I’ll have to give up my fiat job and focus full-time on serious projects where real health and wealth are on the line.

Hopefully, I’ll be ready. I believe the universe always challenges you exactly to your limit – no less, no more.

• What do people struggle with the most when it comes to technical education?

The biggest struggle isn’t technical – it’s a lack of deep curiosity. People ask “how” and “what” – how do I set up a node, what should one do with the lightning channels? But very few ask “why?”

Why does on-chain bitcoin not contribute to the circular economy? Why is it essential to run Lightning? Why did humanity fall into mental enslavement in the first place?

I’d rather teach two-year-olds who constantly ask “why” than adults who ask how to flip a profit. What worries me most is that most two-year-olds will grow up asking state-funded AI bots for answers and live according to its recommendations.

• One Cleveland Bitcoiner shows up at gold bug meetups. How valuable is face-to-face education?

I don’t think the older generation is going to reverse the current human condition. Most of them have been under mind control for too long, and they just don’t have the attention span to study and change their ways.

They’re better off stacking gold and helping fund their grandkids’ education. If I were to focus on a demographic, I’d go for teenagers – high school age – because by college, the indoctrination is usually too strong, and they’re chasing fiat mastery.

As for the gold bug meetup? Perhaps one day I will show up with a ukulele to sing some bitcoin-themed songs. Seniors love such entertainment.

• How do you choose what to focus on in your sessions, especially for different types of learners?

I don’t come in with a rigid agenda. I’ve collected a massive library of resources over the years and never stopped reading. My browser tab and folder count are exploding.

At the meetup, people share questions or topics they’re curious about, then I take that home, do my homework, and bring back a session based on those themes. I give them the key takeaways, plus where to dive deeper.

Most people won’t – or can’t – study the way I do, and I expect attendees to put in the work. I suspect that it’s more important to reach those who want to learn but don’t know how, the so-called nescient (not knowing), rather than the ignorant.

There are way too many ignorant bitcoiners, so my mission is to find those who are curious what’s beyond the facade of fake reality and superficial promises.

That naturally means that fewer people show up, and that’s fine. I’m not here for the crowds; I’m here to educate the educators. One bitcoiner who came decided to branch off into self-custody sessions and that’s awesome. Personally, I’m much more focused on Lightning.

I want to see broader adoption of tools like auth, sign-message, NWC, and LSPs. Next month, I’m going deep into eCash solutions, because let’s face it – most newcomers won’t be able to afford their own UTXO or open a lightning channel; additionally, it has to be fun and easy for them to transact sats, otherwise they won’t do it. Additionally, they’ll need to rely on

@ d6affa19:9110b177

If there were only one thing I had to list as the single most effective way to improve a Female Led Relationship (FLR), it would be found in the phrase “yes, Ma’am.” Whether trying to get the dynamic off the ground or keep it going during the grind of everyday life, this phrase—and the energy it evokes—encompasses so many essential elements of an FLR. In my experience, not many other things continuously breathe life into a relationship like the magic of “yes, Ma’am.”

Of course, this phrase can be modified to the Woman’s desire (“yes, Mistress,” “yes, my Queen,” “yes, Goddess” are common examples), but “yes, Ma’am” is something acceptable nearly anywhere. It’s simple, polite, somewhat discreet, and yet extremely effective and powerful. In an FLR (even in a low-protocol dynamic), the phrase is elevated from a basic formality to an invocation of trust, respect, and surrender.

The words by themselves are powerless. But when consistently expressed with the right energy and intention, it becomes a sort of miniature ritual that keeps them both anchored to the relationship. This shouldn’t be conflated with “yes, Dear,” a phrase stereotypically used when a man is merely appeasing a Woman. No, the energy here is not to appease, but to please. Because She deserves it.

To illustrate this further, let’s dig into the depth I find in these two words.

An Invocation of Structure, Trust, and Identity

“Yes, Ma’am” is so deceptively simple. It’s a verbal expression of his obedience—the bare minimum a Woman should receive in an FLR. And it keeps the framework intact in everyday life, especially when the mood is subtle or non-sexual.

In this way, “yes, Ma’am” reinforces the foundation of the FLR. Each utterance reminds them both of their positions. Each declaration quiets any confusion. Each delivery deepens the dynamic and tightens the structure.

When these words are spoken and consistently followed up with action, they demonstrate emotional maturity—that he’s moved beyond questioning whether She’s “right” and into the realm of devotion. It signals to Her that Her needs don’t have to be proven to him anymore and that Her preferences don’t need to be justified.

He’s no longer debating Her logic, making excuses, or searching for loopholes; he’s no longer resisting or self-protecting. He’s not agreeing as an equal, he’s not negotiating with Her, he’s not hedging Her demand. He is simply submitting to Her.

Just as it’s “yes, Ma’am” when She tells him to kneel, it’s also “yes, Ma’am” when She asks him to fix the sink, or dismisses a request, or even reminds him to do something he’s about to do. “Yes, Ma’am,” then act.

The Words Alone Are Not the Magic

Again, the magic of “yes, Ma’am” doesn’t reside in the words themselves, but in the intention, energy, and action behind them. The phrase itself is just a vessel. Just as a chalice, the words hold something sacred, but the sanctity resides in the wine, not the cup. The action, the delivery, and the consistency are what give the phrase its power.

If spoken with resentment, sarcasm, or with no follow-through, they mean nothing. If he speaks them but then delays, argues, or makes excuses, then his submission is inauthentic. This undermines trust and, ultimately, the relationship. But when he says “yes, Ma’am” and immediately acts on Her direction—despite being tired, flustered, aroused, or even in disagreement, then that is real submission; that is profound trust. And that is what She feels.

And that’s what he feels. It becomes a reminder of his humility and an expression of self-discipline in service to Her. Over time, it shifts his thought patterns and instincts. He may feel uncertainty, self-pity, or insecurity, but “yes, Ma’am” melts it all into clarity. Old responses like “Well, actually…” “Can’t I just…” “I thought we agreed…” “Why can’t You…” are simply replaced with “yes, Ma’am.”

Even if he’s feeling exhausted, annoyed, or needy. There are no complaints or explanations, only Her will and a choice to put aside his ego, align with Her rhythm, and re-center his purpose. This is an act of vulnerability. He is placing his emotional safety in Her hands and relying on Her to care for his well-being.

It communicates to Her:
- “I hear You.”
- “I will act on Your desires.”
- “I trust You more than I trust my resistance.”
- “I’m Yours, even now, especially now.”

And let’s not ignore the erotic undertones in this depth of surrender. A simple phrase makes his discipline audible, echoing Her power. It bears his humility, longing, eagerness, vulnerability—his contained arousal. And She knows. She hears the plea. She feels the weight—the tension—the heat—the surrendered will… Ever-present, even in the most mundane moments…

Closing Thoughts

Of course, this level of devotion takes practice and a great deal of trust. No one is perfect, so he will fail at times, but that’s what makes it so beautiful—it’s a continuously active and conscious choice. And, at first, it may sound awkward for him or forced, but with dedication and intention She will begin to hear the tone, feel the vibe, and sense the sincerity in it. This energy is what builds Her trust in him.

This phrase, or rather the mindset behind it, has improved my own relationship so, so much. While it may not fit into every experience, it’s something that I discovered was a missing piece in mine. Enough so that I felt compelled to share.

Because as a relationship goes on, things change—passions fluctuate, pain resurfaces, doubts arise, life gets busy, things get heavy—but “yes, Ma’am” remains steady and intimate. Piece by piece trust and devotion are built with thousands of quiet yeses. And regardless of the circumstances, “yes, Ma’am” gently whispers “this is still us; this is still our shared truth; this is still sacred” over and over again.

@ 866e0139:6a9334e5

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Teil 1 des Essays lesen Sie hier.

Hochkonjunktur der Zeitenwenden

Wir befinden uns gerade in einer Hochkonjunktur der Zeitenwenden.

Es ist zu befürchten, dass man mit den Zeitenwenden bald gar nicht mehr hinterher kommt!

Der ungewöhnliche Plural lässt vermuten, dass wir mit einer Situation konfrontiert sind, in der politisch paradoxe Phänomene und Entwicklungen sich kumulieren. Entwicklungen und Phänomene, die schwer zu verstehen und noch schwerer zu händeln sind. Global übt das Paradoxale einen erhöhten Problem- und Entscheidungsdruck auf die Politik aus und steigert die Gefahr, daraus emergierende Spannungen gewaltsam lösen zu wollen.  

Stellen wir einen Vergleich an. So hat die Zeitenwende, die Anfang des Jahres in Washington mit der Wiederwahl Donald Trumps eingeläutet wurde, schon viel mehr positive Ergebnisse –  im Sinne eines echten Politikwechsels –  erreicht als die nach Beginn des Ukraine-Kriegs 2022 von Scholz zackig im feldmarschallähnlichen Stil ohne Einbezug des Bundestages proklamierte Zeitenwende. Im Februar wurde die Scholzsche Zeitenwende-Politik abgewählt, wird von Merz aber fortgeführt, während Trump für seine Zeitenwende gegen die den Krieg weiter befürwortenden Demokraten als klarer Sieger aus der Wahl hervorging. Zuletzt gelang es der US-amerikanischen Diplomatie, Friedensverhandlungen in Istanbul zwischen der Ukraine und Russland in Gang zu setzen, auch im Nahen Osten gerät vieles in Bewegung. 

Die Folgen der Paradoxien werden von Ulrike Guérot gut zum Ausdruck gebracht:

„Wie gefährlich ist es in einem Land, in dem de facto jetzt Willkür herrscht, in dem Sinne, als das alles, was gestern noch galt, nicht mehr gilt – oder alles, was gestern unmöglich war, auf einmal möglich ist? Wie, außer mit Autorität, Gewalt oder Ideologie, will man vernünftige Bürger dafür gewinnen, den Kurs der Regierung mitzutragen, die auf ‚Kriegstüchtigkdit’ hinarbeitet, während der Frieden schon verhandelt wird?“   (18)

Als dritte Zeitenwende kann jene gelten, die gleichzeitig von den BRICS-Staaten ausgeht. Dieser Prozess hat durch das Einfrieren der Beziehungen des Westens mit Russland und der Verschlechterung der Beziehungen zu China in den letzten drei Jahren an Fahrt aufgenommen. Seither zeichnen sich die Umrisse einer neuen multipolaren Ordnung ab, in der Russland, China und jetzt wohl auch die USA mitspielen wollen, auf die die Europäer aber mental kaum vorbereitet scheinen.

In den USA hat sich der Wind gedreht, doch Deutschland verharrt in den alten Mustern, die in Washington nun abgewrackt werden. Unsere Politiker und Medien verhalten sich dabei wie die drei Affen: Sie wollen nichts sehen, nichts hören, nichts sagen über das, was sich dort tatsächlich ereignet. So findet z.B. eine Neuaufstellung der Wirtschafts- und Außenpolitik statt, in der neue Bündnisse geschmiedet werden, bei denen Europa außen vor bleibt. Über Entwicklungen, die auch äußerst folgenreich für Deutschland und die EU sein könnten, berichtet der Öffentlich-Rechtliche-Rundfunk gar nicht. Das gilt z.B. für die Politik von Gesundheitsminister Robert F. Kennedy jr. und dem neuen Direktor des National Institutes of Health (NIH) Jay Bhattacharya (vormals Stanford University), die sich nicht nur für eine umfassende Aufarbeitung der Corona-Zeit einsetzen, sondern darüber hinaus die Pharma-Industrie im Interesse – auch ein Paradox, an das wir uns aber schon längst gewöhnt haben – eines besseren Gesundheitsschutzes regulieren wollen.

In seiner ideologischen Verbohrtheit und doppelmoralischen Überheblichkeit bemerkt der deutsche Mainstream nicht, wie weit sein Realitätsverlust schon gediehen ist. Das hat zur Folge, dass die Politik hierzulande immer autoaggressivere Züge trägt. 

Die eigene aufgeblasene, kriegerische Rhetorik, die als Ersatzhandlung die große Rat- und Erfolglosigkeit des Kurses, der vom Establishment eingeschlagen wurde und an dem eisern festgehalten werden soll, nur schlecht überspielen kann, erinnert mehr und mehr an das selbstverstümmelnde Verhalten manisch Depressiver, die aus ihrer Isolation nicht mehr rausfinden.

Dabei nimmt das Verhängnis des Abstiegs Deutschlands nicht nur energiepolitisch und ökonomisch seinen Lauf. Es wird durch ein Klima der Cancel Culture und Zensur noch weiter verschärft. Dabei besteht der Mehrwert abweichenden Denkens darin, dass nur durch offene Kritik eine Gesellschaft in der Lage bleibt, kreativ auf ihre Probleme zu reagieren. Wer dies unterbindet, würgt die Potenziale zur positiven Veränderung und damit die gesellschaftliche Dynamik und jeden Fortschritt ab. Im Übrigen wäre in einer funktionierenden Demokratie kein Mut für das Äußern abweichender Meinungen nötig.

Die späte Rache der Geschichte

Mit der doppelten Zeitenwende-Rhetorik erleben wir gerade so etwas wie die (zu) späte Rache, die die Geschichte am realpolitischen Hintertreiben, der Sabotage und Obstruktion des ethischen Nie-Wieder-Krieg-Postulats nimmt. Von Anfang an verfolgte diese Obstruktionspolitik das Ziel, den Friedensimpetus, der die Debatten und Handlungen der Mütter und Väter des Grundgesetzes mehrheitlich glaubhaft leitete und prägte, zu neutralisieren und, zumindest teilweise, in sein Gegenteil umzukehren. Fortwährend, von 1945 an, sind diese und ähnliche Bestrebungen durch die imperialistischen Interessen und Pläne sämtlicher US-amerikanischer Administrationen und der dahinter eigenlogisch handelnden, geheimdienstlichen deep state- Strukturen durchkreuzt worden. 

In der Bundesrepublik geschah der Wiederaufbau der staatlichen Strukturen maßgeblich mit Personal, das zuvor in der NSDAP und ihren Unterorganisationen das Funktionieren des Nazi-Terror-Regimes sicherstellte. Damit wurde die Chance auf einen antifaschistischen Neuanfang**** vertan. Dass das Konzept eines solchen Neuanfangs, seine  nur von einer Minderheit erkannte sittliche und politische Notwendigkeit, zugunsten eines Wiederaufbaus, dem als pragmatische und realistische Lösung der Vorzug gegeben wurde (der gleiche Prozess wiederholte sich 1989 bei der deutschen Wiedervereinigung), sehr schnell verdrängt wurde, ist mitursächlich für die rasende Regression, von der unser Gemeinwesen inzwischen voll erfasst wurde (19). Zur Erklärung des Rückfalls in ein Denken, das Krieg erneut als ein Mittel der Politik etablieren will, dem militärischen Wettrüsten wieder das Wort redet und der Diplomatie, wider alle Vernunft, eine Absage erteilt, muss unbedingt an die frühe Lossagung von jedem ernsthaften, die Aufarbeitung der Vergangenheit betreffenden Denken und Handeln, erinnert werden.  

Erschreckende Kontinuitäten

Erschreckenderweise ist das bellizistische Denken, das nach den Brandspuren der verheerenden Kriege des 20. Jahrhunderts in ganz Europa überwunden geglaubt war, ist mit Beginn der russischen Beteiligung am ukrainischen Bruderkrieg wiederauferstanden. Es wird begleitet von einem starken, antifreiheitlichen Affekt, der sich auf dem ganzen Kontinent in der Politik breitgemacht hat. Denn Staaten, die zum Krieg rüsten, drängen die Freiheit auf ganzer Linie zurück, da sich Kriegsvorbereitungen und Militarismus niemals gut mit gesellschaftlicher Liberalität vertragen.

Die antirussischen Kampagnen, die Dämonisierung Putins und Russlands, steht unübersehbar in einer Kontinuität zur nationalsozialistischen Weltanschauung und müssen als ihre zombieähnlichen Wiedergänger betrachtet werden. In Deutschland gedenken die Täter damit, ihre Taten nachträglich moralisch rein zu waschen. Die nekrophilen Handlungen werden erhobenen Hauptes, forsch und mit stolz geschwellter Brust angekündigt, ausgeführt und verteidigt: Sie sind ja die Guten. 

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Blicken wir auf das heutige Ausmaß antirussischer Ressentiments und vergleichen wir sie mit dem antislawistischen Rassismus der NS-Ideologie (in dem Angehörige slawischer Völker als „Untermenschen“ galten – 27 Millionen dieser „Untermenschen“ wurden von Deutschen im Zweiten Weltkrieg vernichtet) muss man zu dem gleichen Schluss wie Brecht kommen, den er in seinem Arturo Ui zieht:

„Der Schoß ist fruchtbar noch, aus dem das kroch.“

Erinnern wir uns:

Bis zu einem Viertel der Bundestagsabgeordneten in den Legislaturperioden 1949 bis 1965 und mindestens 26 Angehörige in den Bundeskabinetten bis Helmut Kohl, gehörten der NSDAP an. Ganz zu schweigen von der nationalsozialistischen Kontinuität in den BRD-Geheimdiensten. (20) 

„Beim BND waren Massenmörder, da gibt es nichts zu beschönigen.“  (21) 

Gerade jetzt, nachdem der Verfassungsschutz in einem geheim gehaltenen, aber an bestimmte Presseorgane vorab lancierten Gutachten (22), die AfD als „gesichert rechtsextrem“ eingestuft hat, ist daran zu erinnern, dass der Verfassungsschutz durch sein V-Leute-System – zum einen durch das vor dem Bundesverfassungsgericht gescheiterte NPD-Verbotsverfahren dokumentiert, zum anderen durch das schuldhafte, noch immer nicht richtig aufgeklärte Agieren des Verfassungsschutzes im NSU-Komplex belegt – als eine Behörde angesehen werden muss, die selber tief in rechtsextreme und rechtsterroristische Strukturen verstrickt ist. 

Betrachtet man genauer die Unterlassungen, Vermeidungsstrategien und Ausweichmanöver bezüglich einer NS-Aufarbeitung, die diesen Namen verdient hätte und beginnt man dafür Quellen heranzuziehen, die uns durch das Internet frei zugänglich für die eigene Urteilsbildung zur Verfügung stehen, wird relativ schnell klar, dass der Rechtsextremismus in der Tat ein gravierendes bundesrepublikanisches Problem war und ist, dass dieses Problem aber nicht erst und gewiss nicht vorrangig durch den Aufstieg der AfD virulent geworden ist. 

Der Rechtsextremismus hat sich vielmehr bereits seit 1949 als die schwerste Hypothek für eine Demokratisierung der Bundesrepublik erwiesen, und damit meine ich nicht die NPD oder die Neo-Nazis auf der Straße. Mit Macht hat diese Hypothek verhindert, dass überhaupt je nach dem Krieg ein ernsthafter Versuch unternommen wurde, den Souverän – das Volk – vollgültig in seine Rechte einzusetzen. So scheiterte die Republik-Werdung. Die Republik, die per Grundgesetz und Staatsverständnis ihrer Gründer  beabsichtigte und angestrebte Form, wurde zwar institutionell-formal hergestellt. Sie wurde aber material nie zum Leben erweckt. 

Die republikanische Verfassung hat zum Gegenstand und sieht vor, das Gemeinwesen (als die Gesamtheit der Bürger) auf eine sowohl organische (der Bürger bestimmt deliberativ die Politik und ihre Verfahren) als auch radikale Art und Weise selbst zu ermächtigen seine Angelegenheiten und Geschicke zu regeln, zu bestimmen und zu leiten. Diesbezüglich haben alle Angehörigen der Bürgerschaft genau die gleichen Rechte, kein Einzelner und keine Gruppe kann in diesem Prozess mehr Rechte als andere oder gar Privilegien für sich beanspruchen: 

Die Republik steht und fällt mit der Verwirklichung des Grundsatzes der allgemeinen Gleichheit und Freiheit. Die Nachkriegsgeschichte der Bundesrepublik ist hingegen von konservativem Elitedenken und einer Serie von Ungleichheiten, Privilegien und unterschiedlich geregelten rechtlichen Zugangsmöglichkeiten zur Gestaltung und Verwaltung des Gemeinwesens und der Teilhabe am politischen Prozess insgesamt gekennzeichnet. 

Statt dem organischen und radikalen Weg der Demokratisierung zu folgen, bog die Bundesrepublik – und das ist ganz wörtlich zu verstehen – frühzeitig rechts ab. Als Folge dieses Abbiegens müssen wir uns heute mit einer extremisierten Mitte auseinandersetzen, die als „Transatlantische Einheitspartei Deutschland“ (Michael Andrick), das Kartell der Inhaber „unserer Demokratie“ von CDU/CSU, SPD, FDP, Grüne und Linke, in Erscheinung tritt. Kritiker, wie z.B. Oskar Lafontaine, haben wiederholt auf die äußerst fragwürdigen, Demokratie und Grundgesetz außer Kraft setzenden Erscheinungsformen und Gefahren, die von dieser extremisierten Mitte ausgehen, aufmerksam gemacht (23). Ein Satz, in dem diese extremistischen Tendenzen besonders komprimiert und markant zum Ausdruck gebracht wurden, stammt von Olaf Scholz. Er hat ihn in seiner ersten Regierungserklärung als Bundeskanzler zur Corona-Politik gesagt:

„Für meine Regierung gibt es keine roten Linien mehr.“

Doch verschieben wir den Fokus nun vom Feld der Innenpolitik auf die Außenpolitik und schauen uns die abstruse und bedrohliche Lage an, in der die Welt durch die Politik des Westens und die paradoxalen Spannungen innerhalb seines Bündnisses zuletzt geraten ist.

Perplexe Folgen einer Machtasymmetrie

In diesen Wochen und Monaten tritt uns das seit dem Ende des Zweiten Weltkrieges konstant asymmetrisch gebliebene Machtverhältnis zwischen den USA und Europa mehr und mehr als Farce entgegen –  nichtsdestotrotz eine brandgefährliche Farce! 

Die deutschen und der Großteil der europäischen Eliten lehnen sich im 80. Jahr des Kriegsendes gegen den „großen Bruder“ in dem Moment auf, wo dieser außenpolitisch ausnahmsweise einmal vernünftig handelt. Man mag es nicht glauben, aber die Europäische Union, die nach dem Zweiten Weltkrieg als Friedensprojekt konzipiert wurde und auf eine einzigartige Erfolgsgeschichte zurückblicken kann, ein Friedensprojekt, das über Jahrzehnte weltweit hohes Ansehen genoss und ausgezeichnet wurde (Friedensnobelpreis 2012 in „Anerkennung für über sechzig Jahre Friede, Versöhnung und Demokratie“) (24), diese Europäische Union entzweit sich mit den USA ausgerechnet deshalb, weil die Trump-Administration den nicht gewinnbaren Krieg in der Ukraine gegen Russland endlich beenden und für das malträtierte und in jeder Hinsicht darniederliegende Land Frieden schaffen will. 

Unter dem Strich ist – auch wenn man sich vielleicht scheut, es so aufzufassen – der Eindruck entstanden, dass unter den „Verbündeten“ hier eine äußerst seltsame, um nicht zu sagen absurde Travestie zum Tragen kommt: Solange der „große Bruder“ USA die Konflikte schürt und mittels Regime-Change-Aktivitäten und militärisch- geheimdienstlicher Interventionen seine eigenen Interessen –   euphemistisch offiziell als Schutz der „regelgeleiteten Ordnung“ (in wessen Namen eigentlich?) bezeichnet – durch den Einsatz einer Menge Geld und mehr oder minder brachialer Gewalt weltweit (in wessen Namen eigentlich?) durchsetzt, stehen wir vasallentreu an seiner Seite. Oder können die eigenen aggressiven Impulse über den großen Bruder dadurch ohne Risiko ausgelebt werden? Bot nicht die Art der Zusammenarbeit im „westlichen Wertebündnis“ den Deutschen die Gelegenheit, die Scham über die eigenen Verbrechen zu vergessen, sich vom dauerhaft schlechten Gewissen endlich zu befreien?

Ausgerechnet dadurch will man sich nun vom US-amerikanischen Hegemon emanzipieren, dass zunehmend verzweifelte Versuche in der sogenannten „Koalition der Willigen“ unternommen werden, um die längst überfälligen, im März 2022 u.a. durch das Eingreifen des damaligen britischen Premierministers Boris Johnson gegenüber der Selensky-Regierung bereits einmal gescheiterten Friedensverhandlungen doch noch durch unrealistische Forderungen, erneute Drohungen und Ultimaten an Russland zu verhindern? Dabei hat Europa, der Ukraine darin durchaus ähnlich, zur Durchsetzung der eigenen Positionen in dem Konflikt „keine Karten mehr in der Hand“, um Donald Trumps Formulierung aus dem öffentlich übertragenen Clinch mit Selensky im Weißen Haus aufzugreifen. Die Sanktionen haben Russland nicht in die Knie gezwungen, sondern das Land nur stärker, z.B. vom europäischen Technologietransfer unabhängig gemacht.  

Man hat offensichtlich auch kein Problem damit, weiter Tausende von toten und verletzten sowie lebenslang traumatisierten Soldaten und Zivilisten allmonatlich dafür in Kauf zu nehmen. Vor diesem Hintergrund mutet das Spiel um den von Brüssel, Berlin und Kiew geforderten 30-tägigen Waffenstillstand zynisch an, denn niemand in Moskau glaubt dem Westen noch ein Wort, wenn er zugleich die Zeit dafür nutzen will, neue Waffen an Selensky zu liefern. Die ganze europäische Politiker-Riege ist vielmehr maßgeblich mitverantwortlich dafür, dass sich die Verhandlungspositionen der Ukraine seit Beginn des Krieges immer weiter verschlechtert haben.

Eine EU, die sich immer stärker von den geopolitischen Realitäten abkoppelt und ideologisch einbunkert, mag ihre Nibelungentreue zum korrupten Selensky-Regime damit glaubwürdig unter Beweis stellen. Sie kann aber damit nicht verantwortlich im Sinne der Bevölkerung in der Ukraine handeln und natürlich ebenso wenig dadurch ihrer Verantwortung für die Bürgerinnen und Bürgern der EU gerecht werden.  

Sollten wir uns also tatsächlich in der Frage nach Krieg und Frieden noch tiefer in diese (besonders für die Ukraine) aussichtslose Situation verstricken und uns sowohl gegen Moskau als auch gegen Washington stellen? 

Dann muss man kein Prophet sein, um vorherzusagen, dass die Konfrontation der EU mit ihrer faktischen Machtlosigkeit diese so unbarmherzig hart treffen wird, dass ein solches Eingeständnis auf eine völlige Zerstörung ihrer ohnehin schon brüchig gewordenen Fundamente hinauslaufen würde. Die Trump-Regierung zeigt jedenfalls wenig Interesse mit der EU verhandeln zu wollen. Viel besser passen ihr einzelne Staaten ins Konzept, die man gegebenenfalls getreu der Maxime „divide et impera“ gegeneinander ausspielen kann. Zugleich führt die wachsende Unzufriedenheit immer größerer Teile der Bevölkerung mit den EU-Eliten dazu, dass eurokritische Bewegungen und Parteien immer öfter gewählt und in vielen Ländern die EU-kritischen, in der Regel rechten Parteien kurz vor der Regierungsübernahme stehen. Ein Prozess, den die neue US-Regierung unterstützt. 

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Bernd Schoepe, Jahrgang 1965,  Studium der Soziologie, Germanistik, Philosophie und Erziehungswissenschaften in Frankfurt/M. und Hamburg. Erstes und zweites Staatsexamen. Freier Autor, der zu bildungspolitischen, bildungssoziologischen- und bildungsphilosophischen Themen schreibt. Seit 2003 im Hamburger Schuldienst. Langjähriges GEW-Betriebsgruppen-Mitglied, ehem. Vertrauensmann, ehem. Mitglied der Hamburger Lehrerkammer. Hauptberuflich bin ich Politik- Deutsch- und Philosophielehrer an einer Hamburger Stadtteilschule. Kontakt: berndschoepe\@gmx.de

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---

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@ 472f440f:5669301e

Uber seed investor and executive producer of the All In podcast Jason Calacanis has been publicly sounding the alarm bell about Microstrategy's bitcoin treasury strategy and the cheer leading exhibited by the company's CEO, Michael Saylor. Calacanis believes that Microstrategy's bitcoin acquisition techniques are a Ponzi scheme waiting to implode. Going as far as to question whether or not Microstrategy is the next FTX.

Earlier today, Jason spent a section of an episode of This Week in Startups to discuss his worries about MSTR's bitcoin treasury strategy, Saylor's overt pumping of the strategy, and the fact that there are other companies like Marathon Holdings beginning to deploy similar convertible debt strategies. While I can see how this can be unnerving for many, I do think there is a fundamental misunderstanding of what Microstrategy is doing. Last week I explained the strategy in a tweet, which I'll reiterate here:

Whether you like it or not, Saylor and Microstrategy have found a way to give pools of liquidity (particularly pools with mandates to allocate to fixed income) exposure to bitcoin’s volatility via convertible notes. The converts are performing better than any other fixed income product on the market.

Other investors have noticed this and have piled into MSTR as well understanding that demand for the converts will increase and enable Microstrategy to accumulate more bitcoin. Those investors feel comfortable with the premium to mNAV MSTR is trading at because they believe the demand for a high performing fixed income product will remain high and likely increase.

Microstrategy can continue doing this until viable competition comes to market because there is no one else offering this type of bitcoin return exposure to fixed income investors at scale. Another important detail, the convertible notes have a duration of 5 years or more while bitcoin’s lowest 4-year CAGR is 26% and its 50th percentile 4-year CAGR is 91%. If you think this will continue then this is a pretty safe bet for Microstrategy and the convertible note holders.

In a world were central banks and governments have gone mad with currency debasement and debt expansion it is pretty safe to assume that bitcoin adoption will not only continue but accelerate from here. What do I think about Microstrategy accumulating this much bitcoin? It makes me a bit uneasy but there’s nothing I can do to stop it and bitcoin will survive in the long run. Even if Microstrategy blows up somehow (I don’t think this is likely). Bitcoin was designed to be anti-fragile.

This is a classic case of “don’t hate the player, hate the game”. Or better yet, join the game. After all, the only winning move is to play.

Essentially, Michael Saylor is taking a long-term bet on bitcoin's continued adoption/monetization and trying to accumulate as much as possible by issuing convertible notes with a 4+ year duration, which should increase the likelihood that Microstrategy is in the black on their bitcoin buys over time as history has shown that anyone who holds bitcoin for more than four years has performed well. This should, in turn, be reflected in their stock price, which should increase alongside bitcoin and convert the debt they've accrued into newly issued shares of MSTR. Through the process, if the strategy is executed successfully, increasing the amount of bitcoin per share for MSTR shareholders. (This is the only metric shareholders should care about in my opinion.)

Yes, this may seem crazy to many and extremely risky to most, but that is the nature of free markets. Every company takes calculated risks in an attempt to increase shareholder value. Michael Saylor and company are betting on the fact that bitcoin will continue to be adopted and are utilizing pools of capital that don't have the ability to buy bitcoin directly, but want exposure to its volatility to achieve their goals. To me it looks like a perfectly symbiotic relationship. Microstrategy is able to accumulate more bitcoin and increase their bitcoin per share while fixed income investors are able to access a product that performs well above their benchmark due to the embedded volatility of the exposure to bitcoin Microstrategy provides.

This won't be a surprise to any of you freaks, but I think it's a pretty smart bet to make. Bitcoin is almost 16-years old. It has established itself as a reserve asset for individuals, companies and countries. A reserve asset that is completely detached from the whims of central planners, transparent, predictable, scarce, and can be transmitted over the Internet. Bitcoin is an idea whose time has come. And more people are beginning to recognize this.

This is one of the beautiful aspects of the public company convertible-note-to-bitcoin strategy that Microstrategy has deployed over the last few years. They are able to harness the benefits of forces that are external to their core business to provide shareholders with value. Michael Saylor could stop buying bitcoin tomorrow and it wouldn't affect bitcoin's adoption in the medium to long-term. He continues to buy bitcoin, and encourages others to do the same, because he recognizes this.

Bitcoin is the apex predator of treasury assets for every individual, company, non-profit or government. The assets competing to be treasury assets are all centrally controlled, easily manipulable, and quickly losing favor. Earlier today, Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher Waller came out and admitted that inflation is kicking the Fed's ass. They cannot tame it.

Waller may posture by saying that "submission is inevitable", but that doesn't make it true. There is simply too much debt and not enough dollars. The annual interest expense on the US Federal debt is now larger than our spending on national defense. The Fed, whether it wants to admit it or not, is going to have to monetize that debt via the debasement of the dollar. If you are using dollars as a treasury asset it is very important that you understand this and react accordingly by adopting a bitcoin strategy. This is what Michael Saylor is trying to make his peers in public markets understand.

Sure, his marketing tactics may seem a bit uncouth to many and the way in which he's expressing his belief through Microstrategy's accumulation strategy may seem risky, but it's hard to argue that his core thesis is flawed. Especially when you consider the fact that bitcoin has officially climbed to the strata of being seriously considered as a treasury asset for the most powerful nation state in the world. I listen to the All In podcast quite frequently and genuinely like the show. It is a good way to gain perspective on how Silicon Valley investors view the world. If I were to give Jason any advice it would be to take a step back and to apply one of the most frequently discussed topics of the last on his show, the emergence of AI and the importance of everyone to incorporate AI into their businesses and workflows as quickly as possible before they get left behind. The same mental model applies to the emergence of bitcoin as a dominant reserve asset.

It is imperative that every individual, company and government adopts a bitcoin treasury strategy if they want to be able to succeed moving forward without the inherent resistance that is introduced from storing the fruit of your labor in a money or money-like asset that does not preserve purchasing power over time. Just because Saylor has recognized this, moved aggressively to effectuate his understanding via his company's balance sheet, and vociferously markets the strategy to others doesn't mean he's wrong. As I said in my tweet last week, I personally prefer to hold actual bitcoin. That doesn't mean that Microstrategy and others haven't honed in on something unique and legitimate given their circumstances and access to certain financial tools.

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Final thought... I apologize for the extended hiatus. I hit a hard wall of writer's block over the last month. I think the time away from the keyboard has been good for me and the quality of this rag moving forward.

@ a849beb6:b327e6d2

\ \ It was another historic week for both bitcoin and the Ten31 portfolio, as the world’s oldest, largest, most battle-tested cryptocurrency climbed to new all-time highs each day to close out the week just shy of the $100,000 mark. Along the way, bitcoin continued to accumulate institutional and regulatory wins, including the much-anticipated approval and launch of spot bitcoin ETF options and the appointment of several additional pro-bitcoin Presidential cabinet officials. The timing for this momentum was poetic, as this week marked the second anniversary of the pico-bottom of the 2022 bear market, a level that bitcoin has now hurdled to the tune of more than 6x despite the litany of bitcoin obituaries published at the time. The entirety of 2024 and especially the past month have further cemented our view that bitcoin is rapidly gaining a sense of legitimacy among institutions, fiduciaries, and governments, and we remain optimistic that this trend is set to accelerate even more into 2025.

Several Ten31 portfolio companies made exciting announcements this week that should serve to further entrench bitcoin’s institutional adoption. AnchorWatch, a first of its kind bitcoin insurance provider offering 1:1 coverage with its innovative use of bitcoin’s native properties, announced it has been designated a Lloyd’s of London Coverholder, giving the company unique, blue-chip status as it begins to write bitcoin insurance policies of up to $100 million per policy starting next month. Meanwhile, Battery Finance Founder and CEO Andrew Hohns appeared on CNBC to delve into the launch of Battery’s pioneering private credit strategy which fuses bitcoin and conventional tangible assets in a dual-collateralized structure that offers a compelling risk/return profile to both lenders and borrowers. Both companies are clearing a path for substantially greater bitcoin adoption in massive, untapped pools of capital, and Ten31 is proud to have served as lead investor for AnchorWatch’s Seed round and as exclusive capital partner for Battery.

As the world’s largest investor focused entirely on bitcoin, Ten31 has deployed nearly $150 million across two funds into more than 30 of the most promising and innovative companies in the ecosystem like AnchorWatch and Battery, and we expect 2025 to be the best year yet for both bitcoin and our portfolio. Ten31 will hold a first close for its third fund at the end of this year, and investors in that close will benefit from attractive incentives and a strong initial portfolio. Visit ten31.vc/funds to learn more and get in touch to discuss participating.\ \ Portfolio Company Spotlight 

Primal is a first of its kind application for the Nostr protocol that combines a client, caching service, analytics tools, and more to address several unmet needs in the nascent Nostr ecosystem. Through the combination of its sleek client application and its caching service (built on a completely open source stack), Primal seeks to offer an end-user experience as smooth and easy as that of legacy social media platforms like Twitter and eventually many other applications, unlocking the vast potential of Nostr for the next billion people. Primal also offers an integrated wallet (powered by Strike BLACK) that substantially reduces onboarding and UX frictions for both Nostr and the lightning network while highlighting bitcoin’s unique power as internet-native, open-source money. 

Selected Portfolio News

AnchorWatch announced it has achieved Llody’s Coverholder status, allowing the company to provide unique 1:1 bitcoin insurance offerings starting in December.\ \ Battery Finance Founder and CEO Andrew Hohns appeared on CNBC to delve into the company’s unique bitcoin-backed private credit strategy.

Primal launched version 2.0, a landmark update that adds a feed marketplace, robust advanced search capabilities, premium-tier offerings, and many more new features.

Debifi launched its new iOS app for Apple users seeking non-custodial bitcoin-collateralized loans.

Media

Strike Founder and CEO Jack Mallers joined Bloomberg TV to discuss the strong volumes the company has seen over the past year and the potential for a US bitcoin strategic reserve. 

Primal Founder and CEO Miljan Braticevic joined The Bitcoin Podcast to discuss the rollout of Primal 2.0 and the future of Nostr. 

Ten31 Managing Partner Marty Bent appeared on BlazeTV to discuss recent changes in the regulatory environment for bitcoin. 

Zaprite published a customer testimonial video highlighting the popularity of its offerings across the bitcoin ecosystem. 

Market Updates

Continuing its recent momentum, bitcoin reached another new all-time high this week, clocking in just below $100,000 on Friday. Bitcoin has now reached a market cap of nearly $2 trillion, putting it within 3% of the market caps of Amazon and Google. 

After receiving SEC and CFTC approval over the past month, long-awaited options on spot bitcoin ETFs were fully approved and launched this week. These options should help further expand bitcoin’s institutional liquidity profile, with potentially significant implications for price action over time.

The new derivatives showed strong performance out of the gate, with volumes on options for BlackRock’s IBIT reaching nearly $2 billion on just the first day of trading despite surprisingly tight position limits for the vehicles. 

Meanwhile, the underlying spot bitcoin ETF complex had yet another banner week, pulling in $3.4 billion in net inflows. 

New reports suggested President-elect Donald Trump’s social media company is in advanced talks to acquire crypto trading platform Bakkt, potentially the latest indication of the incoming administration’s stance toward the broader “crypto” ecosystem. 

On the macro front, US housing starts declined M/M again in October on persistently high mortgage rates and weather impacts. The metric remains well below pre-COVID levels. 

Pockets of the US commercial real estate market remain challenged, as the CEO of large Florida developer Related indicated that developers need further rate cuts “badly” to maintain project viability. 

US Manufacturing PMI increased slightly M/M, but has now been in contraction territory (<50) for well over two years.

The latest iteration of the University of Michigan’s popular consumer sentiment survey ticked up following this month’s election results, though so did five-year inflation expectations, which now sit comfortably north of 3%. 

Regulatory Update

After weeks of speculation, the incoming Trump administration appointed hedge fund manager Scott Bessent to head up the US Treasury. Like many of Trump’s cabinet selections so far, Bessent has been a public advocate for bitcoin. 

Trump also appointed Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick – another outspoken bitcoin bull – as Secretary of the Commerce Department. 

Meanwhile, the Trump team is reportedly considering creating a new “crypto czar” role to sit within the administration. While it’s unclear at this point what that role would entail, one report indicated that the administration’s broader “crypto council” is expected to move forward with plans for a strategic bitcoin reserve.

Various government lawyers suggested this week that the Trump administration is likely to be less aggressive in seeking adversarial enforcement actions against bitcoin and “crypto” in general, as regulatory bodies appear poised to shift resources and focus elsewhere. 

Other updates from the regulatory apparatus were also directionally positive for bitcoin, most notably FDIC Chairman Martin Gruenberg’s confirmation that he plans to resign from his post at the end of President Biden’s term. 

Many critics have alleged Gruenberg was an architect of “Operation Chokepoint 2.0,” which has created banking headwinds for bitcoin companies over the past several years, so a change of leadership at the department is likely yet another positive for the space.

SEC Chairman Gary Gensler also officially announced he plans to resign at the start of the new administration. Gensler has been the target of much ire from the broader “crypto” space, though we expect many projects outside bitcoin may continue to struggle with questions around the Howey Test.

Overseas, a Chinese court ruled that it is not illegal for individuals to hold cryptocurrency, even though the country is still ostensibly enforcing a ban on crypto transactions. 

Noteworthy

The incoming CEO of Charles Schwab – which administers over $9 trillion in client assets – suggested the platform is preparing to “get into” spot bitcoin offerings and that he “feels silly” for having waited this long. As this attitude becomes more common among traditional finance players, we continue to believe that the number of acquirers coming to market for bitcoin infrastructure capabilities will far outstrip the number of available high quality assets. 

BlackRock’s 2025 Thematic Outlook notes a “renewed sense of optimism” on bitcoin among the asset manager’s client base due to macro tailwinds and the improving regulatory environment. Elsewhere, BlackRock’s head of digital assets indicated the firm does not view bitcoin as a “risk-on” asset. 

MicroStrategy, which was a sub-$1 billion market cap company less than five years ago, briefly breached a $100 billion equity value this week as it continues to aggressively acquire bitcoin. The company now holds nearly 350,000 bitcoin on its balance sheet. 

Notably, Allianz SE, Germany’s largest insurer, spoke for 25% of MicroStrategy’s latest $3 billion convertible note offering this week, suggesting growing appetite for bitcoin proxy exposure among more restricted pools of capital. 

The ongoing meltdown of fintech middleware provider Synapse has left tens of thousands of customers with nearly 100% deposit haircuts as hundreds of millions in funds remain missing, the latest unfortunate case study in the fragility of much of the US’s legacy banking stack. 

Travel

• BitcoinMENA, Dec 9-10

• Nashville BitDevs, Dec 10

• Austin BitDevs, Dec 19

• Nashville Energy and Mining Summit, Jan 30

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

Wall Street is warming up to Bitcoin and getting closer and closer to it.

Cantor Fitzgerald, one of the oldest and most respected investment banks on Wall Street, has launched a $2 billion bitcoin-backed lending program.

They’ve reportedly already done their first deals, lending to two big digital asset companies: FalconX and Maple Finance.

This is a big step in connecting traditional finance to the fast-moving world of Bitcoin.

Cantor’s new service allows big investors, hedge funds and asset managers, to borrow money using bitcoin as collateral.

This is a game changer for institutions that hold bitcoin, as they can now access liquidity without having to sell their assets.

“Institutions holding bitcoin are looking to broaden their access to diverse funding sources,” said Christian Wall, co-CEO and global head of fixed income at Cantor Fitzgerald.

“And we are excited to support their liquidity needs to help them drive long term growth and success.”

The loans are not speculative or unsecured.

They are structured like traditional finance deals, backed by the borrower’s bitcoin. This reduces the risk for Cantor while giving bitcoin-holding companies new ways to grow and operate.

The first recipients of Cantor’s lending program are FalconX, a digital asset brokerage, and Maple Finance, a blockchain-based lending platform.

FalconX confirmed they secured a credit facility of over $100 million. Maple Finance also received the first tranche of their loan from Cantor.

This comes at a time when the bitcoin lending space is recovering after a tough period. Several big firms went under in 2022 and investor confidence was shaken.

Now with traditional finance on board, bitcoin-backed lending has returned. According to Galaxy Research the total size of the digital asset lending market grew to $36.5 billion in Q4 2024.

Cantor’s move into bitcoin-backed lending isn’t new. They announced their plans in July 2024 and have been building their presence in the Bitcoin space since then.

Earlier this year, they partnered with Tether, SoftBank and Bitfinex to launch Twenty One Capital, a $3.6 billion fund to buy over 42,000 bitcoin.

In May 2025 Cantor Equity Partners merged with Twenty One Capital and bought nearly $459 million worth of bitcoin.

They also own around $1.9 billion in shares of Strategy, a company that holds a lot of bitcoin. Clearly Cantor believes in bitcoin as a long-term asset.

Cantor is also a big player in the stablecoin space.

They manage U.S. Treasury reserves for Tether, the company behind the $142 billion USDT stablecoin. This adds another layer of trust and credibility to Cantor’s digital asset involvement.

To secure the bitcoin used as collateral, Cantor has partnered with digital asset custodians Anchorage Digital and Copper.co.

These companies are known for their robust security and institutional-grade infrastructure. Cantor hasn’t disclosed loan terms or interest rates but confirmed the lending will follow current regulations.

This also shows how traditional financial players are embracing DeFi.

Maple Finance for example allows undercollateralized lending using blockchain. By backing companies like Maple, Cantor is innovating while still having control and compliance.

For years, bitcoin-backed loans were only available through digital-asset-native companies like Genesis, BlockFi, and Ledn.

These loans were mostly for smaller clients and retail investors. But with Cantor’s entry, the scale and professionalism of bitcoin lending are expanding.

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the company behind Truth Social and other Trump-branded digital platforms, is planning to raise $2.5 billion to build one of the largest bitcoin treasuries among public companies.

The deal involves the sale of approximately $1.5 billion in common stock and $1.0 billion in convertible senior secured notes.

According to the company, the offering is expected to close by the end of May, pending standard closing conditions.

Devin Nunes, CEO of Trump Media, said the investment in bitcoin is a big part of the company’s long-term plan.

“We view Bitcoin as an apex instrument of financial freedom,” Nunes said.

“This investment will help defend our Company against harassment and discrimination by financial institutions, which plague many Americans and U.S. firms.”

He added that the bitcoin treasury will be used to create new synergies across the company’s platforms including Truth Social, Truth+, and the upcoming financial tech brand Truth.Fi.

“It’s a big step forward in the company’s plans to evolve into a holding company by acquiring additional profit-generating, crown jewel assets consistent with America First principles,” Nunes said.

The $2.5 billion raise will come from about 50 institutional investors. The $1 billion in convertible notes will have 0% interest and be convertible into shares at a 35% premium.

TMTG’s current liquid assets, including cash and short-term investments, are $759 million as of the end of the first quarter of 2025. With this new funding, the company’s liquid assets will be over $3 billion.

Custody of the bitcoin treasury will be handled by Crypto.com and Anchorage Digital. They will manage and store the digital assets.

Earlier this week The Financial Times reported Trump Media was planning to raise $3 billion for digital assets acquisitions.

The article said the funds would be used to buy bitcoin and other digital assets, and an announcement could come before a major related event in Las Vegas.

Related: Bitcoin 2025 Conference Kicks off in Las Vegas Today

Trump Media denied the FT report. In a statement, the company said, “Apparently the Financial Times has dumb writers listening to even dumber sources.”

There was no further comment. However, the official $2.5 billion figure, which was announced shortly after by Trump Media through a press release, aligns with its actual filing and investor communication.

Trump Media’s official announcement

This comes at a time when the Trump family and political allies are showing renewed interest in Bitcoin.

President Donald Trump who is now back in office since the 2025 election, has said he wants to make the U.S. the “crypto capital of the world.”

Trump Media is also working on retail bitcoin investment products including ETFs aligned with America First policies.

These products will make bitcoin more accessible to retail investors and support pro-Trump financial initiatives.

But not everyone is happy.

Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren recently expressed concerns about Trump Media’s Bitcoin plans. She asked U.S. regulators to clarify their oversight of digital-asset ETFs, warning of investor risk.

Industry insiders are comparing Trump Media’s plans to Strategy (MSTR) which has built a multi-billion dollar bitcoin treasury over the last year. They used stock and bond sales to fund their bitcoin purchases.

@ 6a6be47b:3e74e3e1

Hi frens! 🌍

Did you get a chance to rest this weekend? I hope so! While my cat naps away in his window hammock (and I’m a bit jealous of his endless snoozing), I found myself reflecting on a book I almost forgot I read years ago: Ender’s Game by Orson Scott Card.

I knew Ender’s Game was part of a larger series, but since Card originally wrote Ender as just a “novelette,” I was never sure if I wanted to continue with the sequels after finishing the first book.

⭐️If you’re into movies or stories about epic space wars, Earth under threat from alien species, and unlikely heroes who seem a bit too good to be true —Ender’s Game is all that, but better.

What brought this book back to mind was humming along to “Home” by Tides of Man (from their album Dreamhouse):

“You were faster than me You were better than me I was too careful and weak It had to be you” 🎶

Supposedly, the album was inspired by Ender’s Game. If you’ve read the book and listen to the album, can you spot which tracks match up with the story? 👀

Ender, our (somewhat debatable) hero, is just a kid —but he’s sharp, resourceful, and surprisingly astute.

You’ll follow him through Battle School, navigating his complicated relationship (to put it nicely) with his older brother, and his much more empathetic bond with his sister. You’ll root for him, struggle with him, and want him to win.

🛸But by the end, you’re left wondering (just like him): what exactly is he winning? Was it worth it? When I finished the book, I couldn’t bring myself to continue the series. Maybe it was because the first book felt so brilliant on its own that I didn’t want to risk spoiling the experience, or maybe I wasn’t sure if knowing more about Ender as he grows up would change how I felt about him as a kid.

Either way, I’m still undecided about reading the rest of the saga. Maybe I will, maybe I won’t. But I can say this: Ender’s Game is a must-read.

See you soon, frens.

Godspeed! 🚀

https://stacker.news/items/1001683

@ 553b8217:e6e84118

The Lightning Network is a revolutionary layer-2 solution built on top of the Bitcoin blockchain, designed to enhance transaction speed, reduce costs, and improve scalability. By integrating with Bitcoin wallets, the Lightning Network significantly improves user experience, making Bitcoin more practical for everyday payments. Here’s how it benefits both wallets and users.

A.Faster Transactions - Traditional Bitcoin transactions can take 10 minutes or more to confirm, especially during network congestion.
- The Lightning Network enables near-instant transactions (often under a second), making Bitcoin wallets ideal for real-time payments like buying coffee or tipping content creators .

B.Lower Fees - On-chain Bitcoin transactions can have high fees during peak times, sometimes exceeding $50.
- Lightning Network transactions cost a fraction of a cent, making micropayments (even as small as a few satoshis) economically viable .

C.Enhanced Scalability - Bitcoin’s base layer processes only 7 transactions per second (TPS),limiting its use for mass adoption.
- The Lightning Network can theoretically handle millions of TPS,allowing wallets to support high-volume transactions without clogging the blockchain .

D. Improved Privacy - On-chain Bitcoin transactions are publicly recorded, exposing user activity.
- Lightning transactions occur off-chain, reducing visibility and enhancing privacy for wallet users .

E. Better User Experience - Lightning-integrated wallets (e.g., Phoenix, Wallet of Satoshi, BlueWallet) automate complex processes like channel management, making it easy for beginners to send/receive Bitcoin instantly .
- Features like Lightning Addresses(e.g., user@wallet.com) simplify payments, replacing long blockchain addresses .

F. New Use Cases - Enables micropayments for streaming services, pay-per-minute content, and gaming.
- Supports cross-border remittances with minimal fees, benefiting unbanked populations .

Therefore By integrating the Lightning Network, Bitcoin wallets become faster, cheaper, and more scalable, unlocking Bitcoin’s potential as a global payment system. Whether for daily spending or innovative financial applications, the Lightning Network is transforming how users interact with Bitcoin wallets.

bitcoin #lightingnetwork #bitcoinwallet #blochchain

@ 472f440f:5669301e

All eyes are, unsurprisingly, on the US Presidential election. Tomorrow is the big day. I don't want to come off as preachy, however it is pretty clear to me that if you are an American citizen who cares about bitcoin and would like to live under an administration that is eager to embrace the industry as opposed to an administration that is actively hostile toward bitcoin there is only one candidate who deserves your vote; Donald J. Trump. I think he's a better candidate for other reasons, but if you've read this rag for long enough you probably already know what those are. Instead of writing a screed about why I am voting for Trump, let's highlight some things outside of the election that you should be paying attention to this week.

First up, there are two Treasury auctions; $42B of 10-Year notes tomorrow and $25B 30-Year bonds on Wednesday.

It will be interesting to see what the demand for these auctions is and how they affect rates. The long end of the yield curve has been pumping since the Fed's rate cut in the middle of September, which is the market signaling that it does not believe inflation has been appropriately tamed. Yields came down today, but as you can see from the charts things are trending in the wrong direction.

As the Treasury issues new debt at higher rates, the interest expense on that debt, naturally, drifts higher. If the long end of the yield curve doesn't come down aggressively over the course of the next year this is going to be a big problem. There are trillions of dollars worth of Treasury debt that needs the be rolled over in the next few years and it would be advantageous for the Treasury if that debt wasn't being rolled over with yields as high as they are. With the amount of debt the country has accrued in recent decades, every incremental dollar of debt that gets issued and/or rolled over at higher interest rates exacerbates the problem. We are approaching the territory of runaway exponentials, as evidenced by this chart. The growth slope gets steeper and steeper

This debt problem is the elephant in the room that needs to be addressed as quickly as possible. The national debt hit $1.2T in early 1983. It then took 26 years to 10x from $1.2T to $12T in late 2009 and has only taken another 15 years to triple from there to $36T or 30x from the arbitrary base I picked out (Q1 1983).

With this in mind, keep an eye out for these auctions tomorrow and Wednesday, where rates end at the end of trading on Wednesday, and whether or not we officially push over $36T. Regardless of who wins the election tomorrow, this is a problem that needs to be confronted. Whether or not it can be solved at all is up for debate. I don't see how what can be done to reel in this runaway train at this point. However, at the very least, we should acknowledge that we're in the realm of exponentials and have people prepare accordingly by accumulating hard assets that cannot be debased (bitcoin).

The other thing to pay attention to is the FOMC meeting on Wednesday and the announcement of the results of the meeting on Thursday. Will Jerome and the other Fed board members to keep rates where they are, cut, or raise rates? Raising rates seems to be out of the question despite the fact that many believe it would be the most prudent move considering how the long end of the yield curve reacted to the 50bps cut in September. If they decide to cut rates, by how much will they cut them? Will they slow the pace with a 25bps cut or continue at the 50bps clip established in September?

We'll find toward the end of this week. Don't lose sight of these events while the world is enthralled with the elections in the US.

I don't know about you freaks, but I couldn't feel more fortunate that bitcoin exists at a time like this. Having access to a distributed peer-to-peer digital cash system with a fixed supply during a time of incredible political divisiveness and out-of-control runaway sovereign debt feels like a Godsend.

Stay sane out there.

Final thought...

We're going to win.

@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab

https://stacker.news/items/1001523

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

• The latest firmware updates for COLDCARD devices introduce two major features: COLDCARD Co-sign (CCC) and Key Teleport between two COLDCARD Q devices using QR codes and/or NFC with a website.

What's new

• COLDCARD Co-Sign: When CCC is enabled, a second seed called the Spending Policy Key (Key C) is added to the device. This seed works with the device's Main Seed and one or more additional XPUBs (Backup Keys) to form 2-of-N multisig wallets.
  • The spending policy functions like a hardware security module (HSM), enforcing rules such as magnitude and velocity limits, address whitelisting, and 2FA authentication to protect funds while maintaining flexibility and control, and is enforced each time the Spending Policy Key is used for signing.
  • When spending conditions are met, the COLDCARD signs the partially signed bitcoin transaction (PSBT) with the Main Seed and Spending Policy Key for fund access. Once configured, the Spending Policy Key is required to view or change the policy, and violations are denied without explanation.

"You can override the spending policy at any time by signing with either a Backup Key and the Main Seed or two Backup Keys, depending on the number of keys (N) in the multisig."

• A step-by-step guide for setting up CCC is available here.

• Key Teleport for Q devices allows users to securely transfer sensitive data such as seed phrases (words, xprv), secure notes and passwords, and PSBTs for multisig. It uses QR codes or NFC, along with a helper website, to ensure reliable transmission, keeping your sensitive data protected throughout the process.

  • For more technical details, see the protocol spec.

"After you sign a multisig PSBT, you have option to “Key Teleport” the PSBT file to any one of the other signers in the wallet. We already have a shared pubkey with them, so the process is simple and does not require any action on their part in advance. Plus, starting in this firmware release, COLDCARD can finalize multisig transactions, so the last signer can publish the signed transaction via PushTX (NFC tap) to get it on the blockchain directly."

• Multisig transactions are finalized when sufficiently signed. It streamlines the use of PushTX with multisig wallets.
• Signing artifacts re-export to various media. Users are now provided with the capability to export signing products, like transactions or PSBTs, to alternative media rather than the original source. For example, if a PSBT is received through a QR code, it can be signed and saved onto an SD card if needed.
• Multisig export files are signed now. Public keys are encoded as P2PKH address for all multisg signature exports. Learn more about it here.
• NFC export usability upgrade: NFC keeps exporting until CANCEL/X is pressed.
• Added Bitcoin Safe option to Export Wallet.
• 10% performance improvement in USB upload speed for large files.
• Q: Always choose the biggest possible display size for QR.

Fixes

• Do not allow change Main PIN to same value already used as Trick PIN, even if Trick PIN is hidden.
• Fix stuck progress bar under Receiving... after a USB communications failure.
• Showing derivation path in Address Explorer for root key (m) showed double slash (//).
• Can restore developer backup with custom password other than 12 words format.
• Virtual Disk auto mode ignores already signed PSBTs (with “-signed” in file name).
• Virtual Disk auto mode stuck on “Reading…” screen sometimes.
• Finalization of foreign inputs from partial signatures. Thanks Christian Uebber!
• Temporary seed from COLDCARD backup failed to load stored multisig wallets.
• Destroy Seed also removes all Trick PINs from SE2.
• Lock Down Seed requires pressing confirm key (4) to execute.
• Q only: Only BBQr is allowed to export Coldcard, Core, and pretty descriptor.

Blog Post / Archive
GitHub Repo
CCC Guide
Key Teleport site

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Over the last four years bitcoin has, among other things, established itself as an incredible corporate treasury asset that benefits those who adopt it as such. Microstrategy is the shining example of this theme going from a company that was hovering barely above a ~$1B market cap in mid-2020 to a ~$40B market cap company holding more than 1% of the 21,000,000 bitcoin that will ever exist. Microstrategy's success has emboldened a number of other publicly trader companies to follow suit. Bitcoin as a corporate treasury asset is well on its way to becoming a standard. If you run a business that doesn't hold bitcoin on its balance sheet you are doing yourself, your customers and your shareholders a disservice.

This is a trend that has its legs under it and will accelerate moving forward. A trend that I believe will emerge this cycle is incorporating bitcoin into real estate markets. Leon Wankum has been beating the drum about this for the last few years and I had the pleasure of sitting down with him this morning to record an episode of TFTC that will be published tomorrow morning. Leon is a real estate developer in Germany and he has made it his mission to educate and warn others in real estate about the demonetization of real estate that is under way due to the fact that bitcoin exists and it provides a far superior alternative.

These are pretty stark numbers. Nothing highlights the superior monetary properties of bitcoin better than looking at a chart of the average price of a home priced in USD v. bitcoin.

Since 2016: +46% in USD -99% in BTC

Since 2020: +34% in USD -70% in BTC

The funny thing is that an overwhelming majority of the individuals who make their living in real estate markets do not understand that this is happening to them. Many think they are doing exceptionally well all things considered. Sure, there may be a bit of a slow down and price retraction due to a couple of years of relatively elevated interest rates, but don't worry! The Fed is lowering rates again and the good times are about to start back up. Nothing could be further from the truth. This trend is going to continue unabated until bitcoin is fully monetized and those is the real estate industry, particularly real estate developers and those who lend capital to developers, should seriously take the time to understand what is happening to them.

Real estate is the largest store of value asset in the world at the moment. The most common number that is thrown around for the total size of the market is $300 TRILLION. $300 TRILLION of wealth being stored in an asset that is illiquid, comes with maintenance costs, taxes, insurance premiums, and susceptible to extreme weather event, among other things. Compared to bitcoin - which is extremely liquid, saleable, divisible and hard to confiscate, real estate is a far superior asset to store your wealth in. This is something that I'm sure is well understood by many of you reading this letter.

What's less understood is the dynamics of the real estate development market over the last few years, which have been severely hindered by elevated interest rates. The higher interest rate environment coupled with the inflationary pressures that forced rates higher in the first place have put developers in a predicament; they have a higher cost of capital to start new projects with raw material prices that are still much higher than they were before the economic lock downs of 2020-2022. This has led to a scenario where it isn't advantageous to start new projects and the projects that broke ground in 2021-2023 are finding that they need to incur more debt to get their developments across the finish line.

Despite the fact that interest rates are on their way back down, it doesn't seem like the economics of these projects are going to materially improve in the short to medium-term as headline inflation begins to creep back up. Couple this with the fact that the jobs market is cratering while real wages struggle to keep up with inflation and many builders are going to find themselves in a situation where they do actually complete a development problem but their cash flow suffers because their customers can't afford the inflated rents that builders will have to charge to get a return on their outlaid capital. Many will be put in a situation where they are forced to be happy with lower rents (cash flow) or sit on the sidelines making no cash flow.

The post-1971 era that brought with it a booming real estate industry is suffering the same fate as the bond market; the generation bull market is over. Real estate prices may go up, but that will be nothing more than a mirage of wealth creation. The unit of account those prices are built on is in dollars, which are being debased at an accelerating rate. Developers, banks and borrowers need to de-risk their real estate exposure and, as Leon points out, bitcoin is the only way to do this in an effective way.

Moving forward developers will have to finance by dual collateralizing their debt with the real estate and bitcoin. In the graphic below Leon illustrates what this type of financing structure will look like. Instead of taking $10m of debt to finance a project and putting it all into materials, construction and marketing, a developer will take out a $10m loan, put $1m in bitcoin and the rest toward the development project. Over the course of the construction of the real estate project, bitcoin will sit in the credit structure and, if held for 4+ years, should increase significantly in value. Saving the builder from risk of default and providing him some optionality in terms of what he can do with the project once it's finished.

In this scenario downside risk is contained - a developer isn't pouring all of the cash into bitcoin at the beginning so the worst case scenario is that bitcoin goes to zero (highly unlikely) and they can eat the small loss and hope to make up with it via cash flows once a project is finished, while upside potential is enormous. Bitcoin is still monetizing and having exposure to the hardest monetary asset the world has ever while it's monetizing has proven to be massively beneficial.

We are still in the early days of bitcoin and this idea will likely seem absolutely insane to most Tradfi investors, but I strongly believe that developers, banks and end consumers who don't leverage this type of bitcoin structured credit will be cooked in the long-run. And those that take advantage of this type of structure first will be considered geniuses in 20 years.

There are many more nuanced benefits to this strategy; holding bitcoin allows landlords and management companies to weather ongoing maintenance costs throughout the years, those who take out mortgages dual collateralized with a house and bitcoin not only protect the equity value of their property but could see their equity values increase significantly more than others using vanilla mortgages, and builders who accumulate bitcoin in their treasuries will be able to use better raw materials when building, which leads to more valuable properties that cash flow for longer.

Again, it's going to take time for these types of structures to become commonplace in the market, but I firmly believe this cycle will be the cycle that these strategies get off the ground. In four to five years they will have a track record and after that it will be considered irresponsible not to finance real estate in this way. The banks will begin to demand it.

---

Final thought... Sinus congestion sucks.

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

• RoboSats v0.7.7-alpha is now available!

NOTE: "This version of clients is not compatible with older versions of coordinators. Coordinators must upgrade first, make sure you don't upgrade your client while this is marked as pre-release."

• This version brings a new and improved coordinators view with reviews signed both by the robot and the coordinator, adds market price sources in coordinator profiles, shows a correct warning for canceling non-taken orders after a payment attempt, adds Uzbek sum currency, and includes package library updates for coordinators.

Source: RoboSats.

• siggy47 is writing daily RoboSats activity reviews on stacker.news. Check them out here.
• Stay up-to-date with RoboSats on Nostr.

What's new

• New coordinators view (see the picture above).
• Available coordinator reviews signed by both the robot and the coordinator.
• Coordinators now display market price sources in their profiles.

Source: RoboSats.

• Fix for wrong message on cancel button when taking an order. Users are now warned if they try to cancel a non taken order after a payment attempt.
• Uzbek sum currency now available.
• For coordinators: library updates.
• Add docker frontend (#1861).
• Add order review token (#1869).
• Add UZS migration (#1875).
• Fixed tests review (#1878).
• Nostr pubkey for Robot (#1887).

New contributors

• @hexlorn made their first contribution in #1858.
• @umk0m1qk made their first contribution in #1864.

Full Changelog: v0.7.6-alpha...v0.7.7-alpha

GitHub Repo

@ 632ee5dc:fbc077e2

[API Key Request]

YewTuBot would like to use API keys with the Stacker News GraphQL API

Reasons: - parsing new YT links - convert YT links to YewTube links or any other INVIDIOUS instance available

Expect calls to the following GraphQL queries or mutations: - upsertComment to post comments

Estimate GraphQL API calls: - Max 1x upsertComment per upsertLink

Delivery: - Provide API via nostr encripted message to npub1vvhwthyptyqwzc2u5xgmcy73fn95nz6tyl2p7srkw6dx377qwl3q3axulx

https://stacker.news/items/1001507

@ 472f440f:5669301e

As we sprint toward the 2024 US Presidential election the case for using bitcoin as an asset to store value for the long term has never been stronger. The insanity of the incumbent power structure is being laid bare and it is becoming impossible to ignore the headwinds that the Borg faces moving forward.

Yesterday morning and earlier today it became clear that inflation is rearing its head again. Not ideal for the soft landing Jerome Powell and Yellen are signaling to the markets after the first Fed Funds rate cut in years.

It seems like the yield curve predicted this earlier this week when it inverted after a temporary normalizing period after the Fed's rate cut. Futhermore, it is becoming glaringly obvious that running historically high fiscal deficits while interest rates were at multi-decade highs was a pretty bad idea. As James Lavish points out, the data from the CBO earlier this week shows that the US federal government is running a deficit that is 13% higher than it was last year. This is at a time when real wages are still depressed, inflation is still suffocating American consumers and the private sector job market for American citizens is cratering.

Speaking of the job market, the numbers that came in yesterday were worse than expected: The effect of Hurricane Helene should certainly be taken into consideration when looking at this jobs miss. However, even with the miss we know that these numbers have been under reported for years to make the economy seem healthier than it actually is. Even with Helene's effect taken into consideration this print will likely be revised higher 3-6 months from now.

All of this points to a breaking point. A breaking point for the economy and, more importantly, a breaking point for overall confidence in the US government and its ability to operate with any semblance of fiscal responsibility. The chart that Pierre Rochard shares in the tweet at the top of this letter is the only chart that matters for anyone attempting to gauge where we find ourselves on the path to bitcoin realizing its full potential.

There is $133 TRILLION worth of value sitting in global bond markets. Bitcoin is a far superior asset to store one's wealth in. Bond markets are beholden to the whims of the actors who issue those bonds. In the case of the US Treasury market, the largest bond market in the world, the US government. And as we have pointed out above, the US government is recklessly irresponsible when it comes to issuing debt with a complete inability to pay it back on the long-term. Inflation is up, the jobs market is cratering for the native born Americans who actually pay taxes, and the push toward a multi-polar geopolitical landscape is becoming more pronounced by the day. All of this points to a long-term weakening in demand for US treasuries.

The only way out of this mess is to overtly default on this debt or inflate it away. The latter will most certainly be the route that is taken, which positions bitcoin extremely well as people seek the confines of an asset that cannot be debased because it cannot be controlled by a central authority. The levels of sovereign debt in the world are staggering. Do not let the bitcoin price consolidation of the last six months lull you into a state of complacency. Even the results of the Presidential election won't have a material effect on these dynamics. Though, a Donald Trump presidency would certainly be preferable if you prefer to see relatively sane policy enacted that would provide you with time to find safety in bitcoin. But, in regards to this sovereign debt crisis, that is the only benefit you can hope for; more time to prepare. I'll leave you with some thoughts from Porter Stansberry:

"We are about to see the final destruction of the American experiment. Every economist knows this (see below) is correct; but nobody is going to tell you about it. I’ll summarize in plan English: We are fucked.

1. Debt is growing much faster than GD and interest expense is growing much faster than debt; and the real growth in entitlement spending hasn’t even begun yet.

2. Progressive taxation means nobody will ever vote for less spending + the combined size of government employees and dependents, there’s no way for America’s actual taxpayers (about 20m people) to ever win an election, so the spending won’t stop growing and, ironically, inflation will make demands for more spending to grow.

3. Inflation undermines both economic growth and social cohesion. The purple hair man-women weirdos are only the beginning; what comes next is scapegoating jews, blacks, immigrants and a huge increase in violence/domestic terror.

Get ready America. This election has nothing to do with what’s coming. And neither Trump nor Kamala can stop it.

Our experiment in freedom and self-government died in 1971 (when all restraint on government spending was abandoned with the gold standard.) You can only live at the expense of your neighbor until he runs out of money.

And that day is here."

---

Final thought... I hope my tux still fits for this wedding. Enjoy your weekend, freaks.Use the code "TFTC" for 15% off

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

• Version 1.3 of Bitcoin Safe introduces a redesigned interactive chart, quick receive feature, updated icons, a mempool preview window, support for Child Pays For Parent (CPFP) and testnet4, preconfigured testnet demo wallets, as well as various bug fixes and improvements.

• Upcoming updates for Bitcoin Safe include Compact Block Filters.

"Compact Block Filters increase the network privacy dramatically, since you're not asking an electrum server to give you your transactions. They are a little slower than electrum servers. For a savings wallet like Bitcoin Safe this should be OK," writes the project's developer Andreas Griffin.

• Learn more about the current and upcoming features of Bitcoin Safe wallet here.

What's new in v1.3

• Redesign of Chart, Quick Receive, Icons, and Mempool Preview (by @design-rrr).
• Interactive chart. Clicking on it now jumps to transaction, and selected transactions are now highlighted.

• Speed up transactions with Child Pays For Parent (CPFP).
• BDK 1.2 (upgraded from 0.32).
• Testnet4 support.
• Preconfigured Testnet demo wallets.
• Cluster unconfirmed transactions so that parents/children are next to each other.
• Customizable columns for all tables (optional view: Txid, Address index, and more)
• Bug fixes and other improvements.

Announcement / Archive
Blog Post / Archive
GitHub Repo
Website

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Contribute to keep No Bullshit Bitcoin news going.

This update brings key enhancements for clarity and usability:

• Recent Blocks View: Added to the Send tab and inspired by Mempool's visualization, it displays the last 2 blocks and the estimated next block to help choose fee rates.
• Camera System Overhaul: Features a new library for higher resolution detection and mouse-scroll zoom support when available.
• Vector-Based Images: All app images are now vectorized and theme-aware, enhancing contrast, especially in dark mode.
• Tor & P2A Updates: Upgraded internal Tor and improved support for pay-to-anchor (P2A) outputs.
• Linux Package Rename: For Linux users, Sparrow has been renamed to sparrowwallet (or sparrowserver); in some cases, the original sparrow package may need manual removal.
• Additional updates include showing total payments in multi-payment transaction diagrams, better handling of long labels, and other UI enhancements.

• Sparrow v2.2.1 is a bug fix release that addresses missing UUID issue when starting Tor on recent macOS versions, icons for external sources in Settings and Recent Blocks view, repackaged .deb installs to use older gzip instead of zstd compression, and removed display of median fee rate where fee rates source is set to Server.

Learn how to get started with Sparrow wallet:

Release notes (v2.2.0)

• Added Recent Blocks view to Send tab.
• Converted all bitmapped images to theme aware SVG format for all wallet models and dialogs.
• Support send and display of pay to anchor (P2A) outputs.
• Renamed sparrow package to sparrowwallet and sparrowserver on Linux.
• Switched camera library to openpnp-capture.
• Support FHD (1920 x 1080) and UHD4k (3840 x 2160) capture resolutions.
• Support camera zoom with mouse scroll where possible.
• In the Download Verifier, prefer verifying the dropped file over the default file where the file is not in the manifest.
• Show a warning (with an option to disable the check) when importing a wallet with a derivation path matching another script type.
• In Cormorant, avoid calling the listwalletdir RPC on initialization due to a potentially slow response on Windows.
• Avoid server address resolution for public servers.
• Assume server address is non local for resolution failures where a proxy is configured.
• Added a tooltip to indicate truncated labels in table cells.
• Dynamically truncate input and output labels in the tree on a transaction tab, and add tooltips if necessary.
• Improved tooltips for wallet tabs and transaction diagrams with long labels.
• Show the address where available on input and output tooltips in transaction tab tree.
• Show the total amount sent in payments in the transaction diagram when constructing multiple payment transactions.
• Reset preferred table column widths on adjustment to improve handling after window resizing.
• Added accessible text to improve screen reader navigation on seed entry.
• Made Wallet Summary table grow horizontally with dialog sizing.
• Reduced tooltip show delay to 200ms.
• Show transaction diagram fee percentage as less than 0.01% rather than 0.00%.
• Optimized and reduced Electrum server RPC calls.
• Upgraded Bouncy Castle, PGPainless and Logback libraries.
• Upgraded internal Tor to v0.4.8.16.
• Bug fix: Fixed issue with random ordering of keystore origins on labels import.
• Bug fix: Fixed non-zero account script type detection when signing a message on Trezor devices.
• Bug fix: Fixed issue parsing remote Coldcard xpub encoded on a different network.
• Bug fix: Fixed inclusion of fees on wallet label exports.
• Bug fix: Increase Trezor device libusb timeout.

Linux users: Note that the sparrow package has been renamed to sparrowwallet or sparrowserver, and in some cases you may need to manually uninstall the original sparrow package. Look in the /opt folder to ensure you have the new name, and the original is removed.

What's new in v2.2.1

• Updated Tor library to fix missing UUID issue when starting Tor on recent macOS versions.
• Repackaged .deb installs to use older gzip instead of zstd compression.
• Removed display of median fee rate where fee rates source is set to Server.
• Added icons for external sources in Settings and Recent Blocks view
• Bug fix: Fixed issue in Recent Blocks view when switching fee rates source
• Bug fix: Fixed NPE on null fee returned from server

Announcement / Archive
GitHub Repo

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

“Not your keys, not your coins” isn’t a slogan—it’s a survival mantra in the age of digital sovereignty.

The seismic collapses of Mt. Gox (2014) and FTX (2022) weren’t anomalies; they were wake-up calls. When $8.7 billion in customer funds vanished with FTX, it exposed the fatal flaw of third-party custody: your bitcoin is only as secure as your custodian’s weakest link.

Yet today, As of early 2025, analysts estimate that between 2.3 million and 3.7 million Bitcoins are permanently lost, representing approximately 11–18% of bitcoin’s fixed maximum supply of 21 million coins, with some reports suggesting losses as high as 4 million BTC. This paradox reveals a critical truth: self-custody isn’t just preferable—it’s essential—but it must be done right.

The Custody Spectrum

Custodial Wallets (The Illusion of Control)

• Rehypothecation Risk: Most platforms lend your bitcoin for yield generation. When Celsius collapsed, users discovered their “held” bitcoin was loaned out in risky strategies.
• Account Freezes: Regulatory actions can lock withdrawals overnight. In 2023, Binance suspended dollar withdrawals for U.S. users citing “partner bank issues,” trapping funds for weeks.
• Data Vulnerability: KYC requirements create honeypots for hackers. The 2024 Ledger breach exposed 270,000 users’ personal data despite hardware security.

True Self-Custody
Self-custody means exclusively controlling your private keys—the cryptographic strings that prove bitcoin ownership. Unlike banks or exchanges, self-custody eliminates:

• Counterparty risk (no FTX-style implosions)
• Censorship (no blocked transactions)
• Inflationary theft (no fractional reserve lending)

Conquering the Three Great Fears of Self-Custody

Fear 1: “I’ll Lose Everything If I Make a Mistake”

Reality: Human error is manageable with robust systems:

• Test Transactions: Always send a micro-amount (0.00001 BTC) before large transfers. Verify receipt AND ability to send back.
• Multi-Backup Protocol: Store seed phrases on fireproof/waterproof steel plates (not paper!). Distribute copies geographically—one in a home safe, another with trusted family 100+ miles away.
• SLIP39 Sharding: Split your seed into fragments requiring 3-of-5 shards to reconstruct. No single point of failure.

Fear 2: “Hackers Will Steal My Keys”

Reality: Offline storage defeats remote attacks:

• Hardware Wallets: Devices like Bitkey or Ledger keep keys in “cold storage”—isolated from internet-connected devices. Transactions require physical confirmation.
• Multisig Vaults: Bitvault’s multi-sig system requires attackers compromise multiple locations/devices simultaneously. Even losing two keys won’t forfeit funds.
• Air-Gapped Verification: Use dedicated offline devices for wallet setup. Never type seeds on internet-connected machines.

Fear 3: “My Family Can’t Access It If I Die”

Reality: Inheritance is solvable:

• Dead Man Switches: Bitwarden’s emergency access allows trusted contacts to retrieve encrypted keys after a pre-set waiting period (e.g., 30 days).
• Inheritance Protocols: Bitkey’s inheritance solution shares decryption keys via designated beneficiaries’ emails. Requires multiple approvals to prevent abuse.
• Public Key Registries: Share wallet XPUBs (not private keys!) with heirs. They can monitor balances but not spend, ensuring transparency without risk.

The Freedom Dividend

1. Censorship Resistance: Send $10M BTC to a Wikileaks wallet without Visa/Mastercard blocking it.
2. Privacy Preservation: Avoid KYC surveillance—non-custodial wallets like Flash require zero ID verification.
3. Protocol Access: Participate in bitcoin-native innovations (Lightning Network, DLCs) only possible with self-custodied keys.
4. Black Swan Immunity: When Cyprus-style bank bailins happen, your bitcoin remains untouched in your vault.

The Sovereign’s Checklist

1. Withdraw from Exchanges: Move all BTC > $1,000 to self-custody immediately.
2. Buy Hardware Wallet: Purchase DIRECTLY from manufacturer (no Amazon!) to avoid supply-chain tampering.
3. Generate Seed OFFLINE: Use air-gapped device, write phrase on steel—never digitally.
4. Test Recovery: Delete wallet, restore from seed before funding.
5. Implement Multisig: For > $75k, use Bitvault for 2-of-3 multi-sig setup.
6. Create Inheritance Plan: Share XPUBs/SLIP39 shards with heirs + legal documents.

“Self-custody isn’t about avoiding risk—it’s about transferring risk from opaque institutions to transparent, controllable systems you design.”

The Inevitable Evolution: Custody Without Compromise

Emerging solutions are erasing old tradeoffs:

• MPC Wallets: Services like Xapo Bank shatter keys into encrypted fragments distributed globally. No single device holds full keys, defeating physical theft.
• Social Recovery: Ethically designed networks (e.g., Bitkey) let trusted contacts restore access without custodial control.
• Biometric Assurance: Fingerprint reset protocols prevent lockouts from physical injuries.

Lost keys = lost bitcoin. But consider the alternative: entrusting your life savings to entities with proven 8% annual failure rates among exchanges. Self-custody shifts responsibility from hoping institutions won’t fail to knowing your system can’t fail without your consent.

Take action today: Move one coin. Test one recovery. Share one xpub. The path to unchained wealth begins with a single satoshi under your control.

@ 8b0a2bea:857d369f

Hey guys,

This is the Geyser Team, and finally we have our own territory on SN!

At Geyser we're passionate about driving grassroots Bitcoin Adoption. We created https://geyser.fund/ to empower Bitcoin creators to come together and make great Bitcoin ideas happen.

For some time now, we've feeling the need to see our community come together and come to life a bit more. And we couldn't think of a better place than SN!

We look forward to sharing on here so much of what is happening on Geyser: - New Projects - Exciting Project updates - Progress on grassroots Bitcoin adoption - New Product features and udpates - Getting questions from our community - AMAs with new creators

What are some things you'd like to see on this channel? We look forward to your feedback!

--Geyser Team

https://stacker.news/items/1001708

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Last night I had the pleasure of sitting down with Caitlin Long, Founder and CEO of Custodia - a fully reserved bank providing banking services to bitcoin companies, to discuss an affidavit written by Elaine Hetrick of Silvergate Bank. Elaine is the Chief Administrative Officer of Silvergate and wrote an affidavit, a sworn testimony subject to perjury, in which she detailed the events that led to Silvergate voluntarily winding down their business and returning deposits to their customers.

This affidavit is a bombshell because it confirms speculation that Silvergate was solvent in early 2023 and wasn't shut down because of bad risk management on behalf of the bank's management team, but instead was forced to shutter its doors because the Biden Administration, with strong influence from Senator Elizabeth Warren, forced Silvergate's hand because they didn't like that they were banking digital asset companies.

For those who are a bit fuzzy on the details of the narratives that were flying around Silvergate at the time, I'll jog your memory. FTX was a customer of Silvergate's at the time their Ponzi scheme unraveled. As FTX was blowing up, everyone and their mother was scrambling to get their money out of Silvergate because they assumed that since one of the bank's largest counterparties was going bust, the bank must be in trouble too. A sane decision. Especially considering the history of systemically non-important financial institutions this century.

Unless you were paying close attention during this time, you were likely under the impression that Silvergate was a typical fractionally reserved bank that was experiencing a run that led to its inevitable demise. The media made it seem this way. The regulators made it seem this way. And one pompous short seller made it seem this way. However, nothing could be further from the truth. Here are the most important parts of the affidavit:

Silvergate had stabilized, was able to make regulatory capital requirements, and had the capability to continue to serve its customers that had kept their deposits with Silvergate Bank.

Despite this, regulators decided to turn the pressure up and essentially gave Silvergate Bank, and Signature Bank as well, an ultimatum; drastically change your business models immediately by dropping your digital asset customer base or we'll shut you down. There were no hard numbers described in Elaine's testimony, but rumors are that the regulators wanted Silvergate to quickly shrink their exposure to digital asset-related clients to less than 15% of their capital base. At the time, Silvergate's customer base was made up almost entirely of digital asset companies (99.5% to be exact).

The regulators were asking Silvergate to do something that was quite literally impossible given the circumstances. Faced with an impossible task, on March 8th of 2023 Silvergate decided to voluntarily wind down their operations and return deposits back to their customers.

Let's be very clear here, Silvergate did not lose a single penny of customer deposits due to the run on their bank. Management, understanding the volatile nature of the digital asset markets, designed their risk management and capital allocation strategies in a way that would enable them to return dollars to any customer who requested them. And that's exactly what they did when customers came to request their money. They returned EVERY SINGLE PENNY.

This begs the question, "Why did they essentially force Silvergate to shut down?" They seemed to be running a very responsible operation after all. You'd think the regulators would applaud Silvergate's vigilance in risk management on behalf of their customer base. How many banks would have been able to do the same thing if put in the same situation? Probably not many.

The answer to this question is already well known throughout the industry, but Elaine Hetrick's testimony adds some hard evidence that makes it undeniable; Elizabeth Warren, the SEC, the FDIC and the Federal Reserve have been acting in concert to unconstitutionally and extrajudicially target the bitcoin and broader digital asset industry because they do not believe that it should exist. It is a threat to their power structure. The financial system, as it is designed today, gives those who would like to centrally plan the economy and micromanage the lives of American citizens a ton of power. Bitcoin is a threat to that power and they have to do everything in their power to prevent its proliferation.

The targeting of the industry was also confirmed by the aftermath of the NYDFS and FDIC uncharacteristically taking Signature Bank behind the woodshed in the evening of Sunday, March 20th, 2023, despite the fact that Barney Frank and others at the bank were convinced they could handle withdraws come market open the next day.

Signature Bank was ultimately sold to Flagstar Bank. However, they were forced to spin out their digital asset-related accounts before doing so.

This public signaling and sudden regulatory shift made clear that, at least as of the first quarter of 2023, the Federal Bank Regulatory Agencies would not tolerate banks with significant concentrations of digital asset customers, ultimately preventing Silvergate Bank from continuing its digital asset focused business model.

Pretty damning if you ask me. Also, very frustrating and most definitely illegal.

Elizabeth Warren and her gaggle of hall monitors across alphabet soup agencies and the Federal Reserve have been on one massive, unconstitutional, power trip for the last four years. They've besmirched bitcoin and those of us working hard to ensure that the United States of America leads the way forward as bitcoin adoption continues at every turn. Good people striving to make the world a better place.

No one is a better example of this than Alan Lane, the former CEO of Silvergate Bank. I consider Alan a friend and feel supremely confident when I say that he is one of the nicest and thoughtful people I have met in this industry. A man who followed his passion to bring legitimacy and much needed banking services to an industry that the incumbents refused to touch. And he did bring legitimacy. As I explained earlier, Alan and his team understood the volatile nature of the industry and built their firm in a way that took this volatility into account. Silvergate did not fail, they were forced to shut down by Elizabeth Warren and her acolytes at the regulatory agencies.

What's worse, Warren's vendetta against bitcoin and the digital asset industry incited the largest banking crisis this country had seen since 2008. Silvergate and Signature being taken behind the woodshed put everyone on their toes and bank runs started across the country. This led to the failure of First Republic, Silicon Valley Bank and a couple of smaller banks, forced the Fed to step in with their emergency BTFP program, and burdened taxpayers with $40B in FDIC costs that needed to be absorbed as a result. If it weren't for the bailouts things would have gotten completely out of control. All because Elizabeth Warren wants to live in a world in which we are forced to use CBDCs and unable to opt-in to bitcoin.

The euthanasia of Silvergate and Signature are only the tip of the iceberg when it comes to Chokepoint 2.0.

Caitlin Long and Custodia have been in a years long battle with the Federal Reserve to receive a Fed master account so that they can properly serve their customers. For those who are unaware, Custodia is a full-reserve bank that exist to serve bitcoin and digital asset businesses as well as other adjacent businesses like fintechs, banks and funds. Custodia is a chartered bank and special purpose depository institution that has built custody services so that customers can hold bitcoin within their bank accounts alongside their dollar accounts.

Like Silvergate and Signature, Custodia has been singled out and unlawfully denied a master account with the Fed because the Federal Reserve doesn't want a bank like Custodia to exist. Either because they worry about the ramifications of the introduction of a full-reserve bank into a system dominated by fractional-reserve banks or they simply do not want to see bitcoin succeed. If we're being honest, it's probably a combination of the two.

Despite what we, or anyone else, thinks about the potential effect a bank like Custodia could have on the market if it's granted a master account, the Fed's actions are unconstitutional in this case as well. This was made pretty clear (but yet to be determined by a court) in an amicus brief written by Paul Clement on behalf of Custodia earlier this Summer. The Fed is actively undermining the dual-banking system that was set up in this country to enable competition between state chartered banks and the Federal Reserve system.

In the case of Custodia, the Federal Reserve is exhibiting expansive discretionary power that it has never shown before. Custodia is a state chartered special purpose depository institution in the state of Wyoming. Historically, it would be trivial for this type of state chartered bank to get a master account with the Fed. But for whatever reason (we know the reason) the Fed has been denying Custodia their right to this account for a number of years. To the point where Custodia was forced to sue the Federal Reserve and take their case to the courts.

What's interesting about the saga of Custodia and the Fed is that it has forced Custodia's legal team to dig in and highlight where the Fed is overextending its reach and acting arbitrarily. In the amicus brief that was published in July of this year, Paul Clement argues that the way Federal Reserve Bank presidents are chosen is unconstitutional when you take into consideration the fact the these Fed branch presidents are unilaterally undermining state banking laws by denying master accounts.

If they are going to unilaterally undermine state banking laws they need to be appointed by the President or an official acting on behalf of the Executive Branch. Federal Reserve Bank presidents aren't appointed by the President of the United States or any official acting with the authority of the Executive Branch. Instead, they are appointed by their boards, which are controlled by the privately held commercial banks who own them. The Federal Reserve system is clearly acting unconstitutionally when they deny Custodia from being assigned a master account.

The people in power within the federal government and the Federal Reserve system are actively targeting the bitcoin and digital asset industry, acting extrajudicially and making a mockery of the rule of law in the United States. They are completely out of control and it is important that everyone who cares about the future of bitcoin in the United States and the future of the United States more broadly (even if you don't like bitcoin) speaks out and fights against these totalitarians as vehemently as possible. What they are doing is wrong. It's unconstitutional. And it is putting the future of our country at risk.

If the federal government, the regulators and the Federal Reserve do not get out of the way and let law abiding citizens build the businesses they want and associate with businesses they want, those businesses will go elsewhere and the United States will be set back generations as a result.

It's time to put these people in their place and let it be known that freedom will reign supreme in the Land of the Free. Fight!

Final thought... I promised Parker Lewis that I would do cross fit on Friday morning and I'm using today's final thought as an accountability tool.

@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

Wie weit ist es noch her mit Einigkeit und Recht und Freiheit?

Wie weit sind diese wunderbaren Begriffe schon von Spaltung, Willkür und Bevormundung verdrängt worden?

Ein Land, dessen Werte aus dem Ruder gelaufen sind. Regiert von Teflonauten. Teflonauten? Das sind die, die sich vor Eintritt in die Politik in einem Fass Teflon-Lack haben taufen lassen, damit alle Vernunft an ihnen abperlt.

Für Deutschland gehen die Superlative aus, die den Gesamtzustand eines Staates beschreiben könnten, der in jeder Hinsicht aus den Fugen geraten ist. Wie in einem vorangegangenen Kommentar zu einem anderen Thema zu lesen war, die Satiriker werden langsam arbeitslos, weil die Realität alles überbietet.

Eine unsägliche Riege von Politikern demontiert eine Demokratie, die bis 2019 wenigstens noch einigermaßen erträglich funktioniert hat. Man hatte noch das Gefühl, man wird weitgehend in Ruhe gelassen.

Mit dem Corona-Ereignis wurde die Büchse der Pandora geöffnet. Seitdem fließen totalitäre Elemente in die Demokratie ein. Wer darauf hinweist, läuft Gefahr, es mit der vom Souverän gekaperten Macht zu tun zu bekommen.

Für die, die gegen die Bevölkerungsverdummung immun sind, wird es zunehmend unerträglicher, doch – da müssen wir durch.

Es ist gut, dass all die Machenschaften, die die Deutschen sonst nicht mitbekommen haben, allendhalben hier und da mal ein Skandälchen, ans Tageslicht kommen.

Es ist gut, dass es so offensichtlich ist, dass die dicksten Klopse, die sich die sogenannten Politiker erlauben, nicht den geringsten Anlass dazu geben, zurückzutreten. Vorbei die Zeiten, in den schon viel kleinere Vergehen, einen Politiker dazu genötigt haben. Es ist gut, weil so klar wird, dass das politische Gewissen nur noch im Museum besichtigt werden kann. Irgendwann versteht das auch noch der Letzte im hintersten Winkel des besten Deutschlands aller Zeiten.

Die Inkompetenz ist überall sichtbar, durch die, die unfähig sind, ihre Machenschaften zu verbergen.

Läppisch geschnitzte Pfeifen geben sich als wohlgestimmte Orgel aus und meinen, es gäbe niemanden, der die Kakophonie hören würde. Ein schräges Blockflöten-Konzert wird zum Musikgenuss hochstilisiert, von Leuten, die ständig ihren Notenschlüssel verlegen und dadurch nicht mehr in den Raum der Vernunft kommen.

Die Menschen in Deutschland haben sich aufgeteilt in die, die von all dem nichts wissen wollen und sich einreden, es sei doch alles in Ordnung. Für die, die sich brav ihre tägliche Gehirnwäsche in den inzwischen für die Qualität ihrer Propaganda bekannten Medien abholen, das sind noch rund 60%, gibt es keine Einschränkung der Meinungsfreiheit. Rund 40%, die der Meinung sind, dass man in Deutschland seine Meinung nicht mehr frei äußern kann, sind noch viel zu wenig! Für immer noch zu viele ist J. D. Vance ein Verschwörungstheoretiker, der die Sicherheitskonferenz in München dazu missbraucht hat, seine kruden Ansichten zu verbreiten.

Und dann gibt es die, die mitbekommen, was in Deutschland los ist. Die werden oft erschlagen von den Verstrickungen, Irrungen und Wirrungen, die sich immer mehr zeigen und immer dreister als Selbstverständlichkeit, als das Normalste von der Welt postuliert werden. Für die ist der gesundheitliche Zustand der deutschen Demokratie immer mehr ein Dauerpatient auf der Intensivstation.

Realitätsfremde Energiepolitik, Nordstream kaputt, gut so, kein Interesse an einer Wiederinbetriebnahme;

rückläufige Wirtschaft, zunehmende Firmenpleiten, Abwanderung von Unternehmen;

eklatante Steuergeldverbrennung, Northvolt in die Grütze gefahren, Maskendeals, zur Belohnung das nächste Pöstchen;

einseitige, weglassende Hofberichterstattung mit dem Hang zu Amnäsie;

fragwürdige Gerichtsurteile; Schauprozesse gegen Ballweg, Füllmich und viele andere, Masken, Atteste, Strafzahlungen, Majestätsbeleidigung etc. etc. etc..

Gewalt und Tod durch Messerfachkräfte, es sind ja die Messer, nicht die Menschen, die sie in der Hand haben, transparenter Aufklärungsrückstau;

intellektuelle Beleidigungen durch Schönrederei, man glaubt, die anderen sind noch dümmer als man selbst;

existenzbedrohende Kontenkündigungen, wir machen dich fertig;

politischer Dummschwätz, Wiederholungen, Wiederholungen, Wiederholungen;

Einzug totalitärer Strukturen, wer die Augen aufmacht, sieht sie;

infantile Repräsentanz Deutschlands im Ausland, Abwesenheit von Diplomatie;

Aufstachelung der Bürger, damit sie ja schön kriegsgeil werden, siehe auch Dummschwätz;

Angstpornos für Kinder und Erwachsene, bei ständigem Einlass in Kino 7, Raum Klima, mit Air Condition;

lächerliche Preisverleihungen, armutsfördernde Preiserhöhungen;

zunehmendes Misstrauen gegenüber der eigenen Bevölkerung, der Feind im eigenen Land;

Bevormundung, betreutes Denken, Fühlen, Wollen;

bedrohlich zunehmende Überwachungsanstrengungen, digitale Identität, die als Sicherheit verkauft wird, jedoch nichts anderes ist, als der Versuch der Einrichtung eines Überwachungs-Kontroll-Systems;

nichts, aber auch rein gar nichts hat Konsequenzen, die dazu führen, dass die Verantwortlichen zum Sandkornzählen in die Wüste geschickt werden, damit sie den Rest ihres Lebens beschäftigt sind und kein Unheil mehr anrichten können.

Unaufhaltsam rast der Personal-Zug Deutschland, überfüllt mit Fahrgästen, die meinen, Trump ist verrückt und Putin ist die Personifizierung des Bösen, gezogen von einer mit heißer Luft betriebenen Lok, die von Heizern befeuert wird, die den Kessel unentwegt  mit Angst und Wahnsinn schüren, auf den Berg aus Granit zu, der unweigerlich eine Katastrophe für die Demokratie von ungeahntem Ausmaß verursachen wird. Ständig wird die Strecke künstlich verlängert, indem neue Schienen und Schleifen hinzugefügt werden, statt den Zug rechtzeitig noch zum Halten zu bringen. Die Geschwindigkeit ist inzwischen schon so hoch, dass selbst der Geist, der zu Pfingsten ja ausgeschüttet wird, niemanden mehr erreicht.

Deutschland ist in der Hand von ideologisch vergifteten Versagern zweiter und letzter Wahl und einer verschworenen Gemeinschaft von Universal-Dilettanten, die den Untergang der freiheitlich-demokratischen Grundordnung fest im Zangengriff haben und keinerlei Anstalten machen, diesen wieder lösen zu wollen.

Das Land der Denker und Dichter geht vor die Hunde. Freiheitlich, wirtschaftlich, gesellschaftlich, politisch, rechtlich. Um die Manege sitzen immer noch viel zu viele sogenannte Bürger, die Beifall klatschen, oder sich zumindest einreden, es sei doch weitgehend alles in Ordnung. Bravo! Es ist so unglaublich unterhaltend, sich nach Strich und Faden an der Nase herumführen zu lassen.

Und die, die die Kraft haben, auf diesen Wahnsinn hinzuschauen, die wissen gar nicht, was sie zuerst tun sollen: Heulen, schreien, verzweifelt sein, unentwegt mit dem Kopf schütteln, dagegen anschreiben, wachrütteln, flüchten oder dableiben, sich in Sicherheit bringen?

Die Demokratie und Rechtsstaatlichkeit sind von „Demokraten“ gekidnappt worden, die behaupten, sie würden sie verteidigen. Dabei geht es ausschließlich nur um deren Machterhalt und die Besitzstandswahrung ihrer erbärmlichen Pöstchen, mit einer weiteren Diätenerhöhung von rund 600 Euro im Juli 2025. Deutschland ist zu einem drittklassigen Selbstbedienungsladen verkommen, und es wird unentwegt in die Kasse gegriffen, solange noch was zu holen ist. Und damit das auch noch eine Zeit lang so weitergehen kann, wird Luftgeld produziert und als Sondervermögen deklariert, und damit eine Hypothek geschaffen, die zukünftige Generationen niemals werden ausgleichen können.

Wie gelegen käme da ein Krieg, in dem all dieser menschengemachte Unsinn wertlos wird. Und ein Neuanfang danach wird dann als überragende politische Leistung verkauft, die zum Wohle des Volkes geschaffen wurde, damit ein neues Wirtschaftswunder möglich werden kann. Los, ran, wieder all das aufbauen, das Deppen zuvor in die Tonne gekloppt haben. Uns geht’s ja schon wieder so gut, wir wollen uns wirklich nicht beklagen. Wir haben ja von all dem nichts gewusst. Wir waren ja nur die Opfer einer fehlgeleiteten Politik. Was hätten wir denn tun können? So oder so ähnlich wird dann das eigene Gewissen wieder durch fadenscheinigen Selbstbetrug beruhigt.

Das ganze System stinkt zum Himmel. Unerträglicher Gestank nach Zersetzung und Verwesung, der uns als neuester Schrei der Parfum-Hersteller verkauft wird.

Man kann gar nicht so schnell schreiben, wie man sich aufregen möchte.

Das ist kein Ventil zum Ausdruck der unglaublichen Empörung. Das wäre zu einfach und bedeutungslos. Nein, mit jedem Wort und jedem Artikel und jedem neuen Abonnenten von Pareto verbindet sich die Hoffnung, wieder jemanden zum Nachdenken anregen zu können. Damit die Zahl derjenigen, die die Demokratie verstanden haben, von Tag zu Tag größer wird. Damit sich von unten herauf eine geistige Kraft immer mehr entfaltet, die dieses impertinente Lügenkonstrukt zum Einstürzen bringt. Ein Leuchtfeuer muss ständig brennen, wenn Gefahr in Verzug ist. Wenn man so will, ist das Revolution, aber eine geistige und vor allem friedliche. Wenn immer mehr Menschen mutig verstehen, was in Deutschland abgeht, dann nagt das unermüdlich an den künstlich geschaffenen, unmenschlichen undemokratischen Strukturen, die den Stümpern die Macht rauben werden, damit dieses ganze Lügengebäude endlich implodieren kann.

Je lauter Delegitimierung geschrien wird, desto deutlicher tritt hervor, wer für die Delegitimierung der freiheitlich-demokratischen Grundordnung und die Aushöhlung des Grundgesetzes verantwortlich ist.

Deutschland kann nur wirklich in Richtung Souveränität gehen, wenn wir so weit gekommen sind, dass sich das deutsche Volk in freier Entscheidung eine Verfassung (gerne auf Grundlage des Grundgesetzes, das nach wie vor provisorischen Charakter hat) gegeben hat, in der Bürgerbeteiligung und Volksentscheide, gerne nach schweizerischem Vorbild, nicht nur zur Pflicht eines jeden Bürgers, sondern ganz selbstverständlich als notwendiger, alltäglicher Beitrag zur Demokratie fest in den Köpfen der Menschen verankert ist.

Gruß an das Amt für, aus Sicht des Bürgers, Fassungslosigkeit. Wenn ein leidenschaftliches Eintreten für Freiheit und Demokratie, durch berechtigte Kritik an den derzeitigen Verhältnissen, als rechts angesehen wird, dann ist der Autor gerne rechts. Eben ein rechter Demokrat, wie es sich gehört!

Vielleicht leidet der Autor auch an Demokratie-Tourette: Ihr Pfeifen, ihr Pfeifen, ihr Pfeifen! Was habt ihr nur aus unserem Land gemacht. Unserem, hört ihr, nicht eurem!

Der Autor hat fertig (jedenfalls für heute!), Deutschland leider auch.

“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”

* *

(Bild von pixabay)

@ f0fd6902:a2fbaaab

A brinicle (brine icicle, also known as an ice stalactite) is a downward-growing hollow tube of ice enclosing a plume of descending brine that is formed beneath developing sea ice.

As seawater freezes in the polar ocean, salt brine concentrates are expelled from the sea ice, creating a downward flow of dense, extremely cold, saline water, with a lower freezing point than the surrounding water. When this plume comes into contact with the neighboring ocean water, its extremely low temperature causes ice to instantly form around the flow. This creates a hollow stalactite, or icicle, referred to as a brinicle. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brinicle

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=69aeBawfrRw

https://stacker.news/items/1001460

@ 1817b617:715fb372

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@ 73d8a0c3:c1853717

[*What follows is an excerpt from my Novel: Redacted Science. It is a work in progress as I document 30 year long battle with a condition I know exists because I've seen the research. But, you cannot find it anymore. While my condition is worthy to note, and the science behind it fascinating, there is a larger issue at hand that we need to consider deeply in the tumultuous days to come. Who controls the data? Who controls the indexing? Everything is built from that which comes before. The novel 1984 was not just prescient — it was a warning we archived. Our LLMs learn from their indexes. We, as people, learn from memory — memories we’ve indexed, often anchored by photos we’ve kept. Societies, too, learn this way. They age. Each generation builds upon the memories of the last.

Our past — our index — creates the future. So... who controls the indexes? Who is shaping the future?*]

Maybe it wasn’t just bad luck. Maybe it started way earlier.

I used to wet the bed. Not once or twice. The doctors had said, and my Mom assured me, it would go away with age. And it did. The last time I remember wetting the bed I was a month from turning 16 years-old. [As I write this now, it is the first time I really come to grips with the fact I was that age.] The reason I know precisely the year and even the month was because I was on my sophomore church choir trip just after the school year completed. I was rooming with three other guys, and therefore sharing a bed with my best friend in the world. He never mentioned anything. Maybe he noticed. Maybe he didn’t. But that’s not just embarrassing. That’s diagnostic, if anyone's paying attention. I didn’t know it back then, but kids who wet the bed that long often have something wrong with the way their brain regulates antidiuretic hormone — ADH. The same hormone I’d later drown in.

Most people get a nice surge of ADH at night. It’s the body’s way of saying: We’re asleep now. Let’s conserve water, hold the urine. But if that signal’s off — if the hypothalamus doesn’t cue it, or the pituitary doesn’t release it, or the kidneys don’t listen — then the urine keeps coming. Every night. Like clockwork. Like something upstream never got the message.

Now fast forward.

Years later, I’ve got the opposite problem. Too much ADH. My kidneys hold everything. They think I’m dehydrated when I’m not. It’s like the system flipped, rewired itself backwards. And that’s not how regulation is supposed to work. Unless… maybe it never worked right to begin with.

Then there’s the seizure. Just one. Just a baby. Supposedly no big deal. But when a seizure hits in infancy — especially in or around the hypothalamus — it can scar circuits that control everything downstream: temperature, hunger, stress, thirst, hormone pulses, salt sensing. What if that one storm rewrote the rules?

We’ve got osmoreceptors in the brain — little sensors that taste the salt in our blood, literally — and baroreceptors in our neck and chest that feel pressure and stretch. Those two signals are supposed to balance out: salt vs volume. But what if the integration point, the part of the brain that weighs the inputs and decides whether to release ADH, got damaged? Or miscalibrated? Or hijacked?

What if that seizure set the initial mismatch?

What if bedwetting was the system trying to adapt to low nighttime ADH? What if a genetic condition made me susceptible to candidiasis being able to coexist with my system on a deeper level than normal? What if the candidiasis was the reason for the ADH malfunctions, even as a child, and that was due to some rare undocumented genetic trait? I bet someone would be interested in knowing about that trait. [That’s what we’re here for folks. You have to find it or, at a minimum, the science they redacted]. Or what if the seizure changed something and the candidiasis stepped in to “fix” it?

I have a deeper theory.

What if my so-called “adult-onset” SIADH isn’t an onset at all — but just the next phase of a long-broken feedback loop? Genetics, early seizures — maybe they didn’t just damage me. Maybe they rewired me for something different. What if I — and others like me — entered a kind of cooperative state with candidiasis, not as invaders, but as metabolic partners?

A symbiosis. An adaptation. A strange kind of upgrade.

Then phenobarbital hits — and everything breaks.

That drug might not just act on the brain. It may disrupt the fungal integration itself — cutting the shared metabolic wiring. And when that happens, the system flips its fuel priority. With the usual pathways disrupted, the body — or the fungus — starts scavenging protein directly from tissue. From me.

That’s why the patients in the case studies I found all had mucosal lining ulcerations (just like mine) — sudden, inconsistent, painful and immediately after administration of phenobarbitol — not as a reaction, but as a feeding response. We all had colonies in different places. The rupture didn’t just break the truce. It flipped the fuel switch. And what was once symbiosis became consumption.

What if it’s all related?

What if we weren’t just infected — we were entangled?

Even the HPA axis — that central stress command — it’s run by the hypothalamus too. And mine doesn’t work like yours. My mind is usually running at a speed that, in all honesty, is not what most people have going on. During all these transitions, things hit me different. . I’ve gone through significantly long periods of what I would just call temperature disregulation, where my system is just not right.

This isn’t just a hormone problem. It’s a whole-brain misinterpretation of reality. A mistranslation between body and mind, with electrolytes as the lost language. And, this treatment, it puts everything in overdrive. That's why we don't have it documented. This treatment, even though it causes a lifetime of on and off dysregulation as it breaks down the barriers to reach total maximal ATP consumption by the candidiasis, it is an upgrade in many ways. An overclock worthy of the best hard-code gamer.

So no. I don’t think my path was random. I think there is something more significant. The body type similarities of the men in the original documented study and same initiating condition that led to the treatment that then caused the iatrogenic condition

It was earned. Layered. A slow-building adaptation — maybe even an intelligent one — that didn’t quite work, but didn’t quite kill me either.

Not yet.

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

“Not your keys, not your coins” isn’t a slogan—it’s a survival mantra in the age of digital sovereignty.

The seismic collapses of Mt. Gox (2014) and FTX (2022) weren’t anomalies; they were wake-up calls. When $8.7 billion in customer funds vanished with FTX, it exposed the fatal flaw of third-party custody: your bitcoin is only as secure as your custodian’s weakest link.

Yet today, As of early 2025, analysts estimate that between 2.3 million and 3.7 million Bitcoins are permanently lost, representing approximately 11–18% of bitcoin’s fixed maximum supply of 21 million coins, with some reports suggesting losses as high as 4 million BTC. This paradox reveals a critical truth: self-custody isn’t just preferable—it’s essential—but it must be done right.

The Custody Spectrum

Custodial Wallets (The Illusion of Control)

• Rehypothecation Risk: Most platforms lend your bitcoin for yield generation. When Celsius collapsed, users discovered their “held” bitcoin was loaned out in risky strategies.
• Account Freezes: Regulatory actions can lock withdrawals overnight. In 2023, Binance suspended dollar withdrawals for U.S. users citing “partner bank issues,” trapping funds for weeks.
• Data Vulnerability: KYC requirements create honeypots for hackers. The 2024 Ledger breach exposed 270,000 users’ personal data despite hardware security.

True Self-Custody
Self-custody means exclusively controlling your private keys—the cryptographic strings that prove bitcoin ownership. Unlike banks or exchanges, self-custody eliminates:

• Counterparty risk (no FTX-style implosions)
• Censorship (no blocked transactions)
• Inflationary theft (no fractional reserve lending)

Conquering the Three Great Fears of Self-Custody

Fear 1: “I’ll Lose Everything If I Make a Mistake”

Reality: Human error is manageable with robust systems:

• Test Transactions: Always send a micro-amount (0.00001 BTC) before large transfers. Verify receipt AND ability to send back.
• Multi-Backup Protocol: Store seed phrases on fireproof/waterproof steel plates (not paper!). Distribute copies geographically—one in a home safe, another with trusted family 100+ miles away.
• SLIP39 Sharding: Split your seed into fragments requiring 3-of-5 shards to reconstruct. No single point of failure.

Fear 2: “Hackers Will Steal My Keys”

Reality: Offline storage defeats remote attacks:

• Hardware Wallets: Devices like Bitkey or Ledger keep keys in “cold storage”—isolated from internet-connected devices. Transactions require physical confirmation.
• Multisig Vaults: Bitvault’s multi-sig system requires attackers compromise multiple locations/devices simultaneously. Even losing two keys won’t forfeit funds.
• Air-Gapped Verification: Use dedicated offline devices for wallet setup. Never type seeds on internet-connected machines.

Fear 3: “My Family Can’t Access It If I Die”

Reality: Inheritance is solvable:

• Dead Man Switches: Bitwarden’s emergency access allows trusted contacts to retrieve encrypted keys after a pre-set waiting period (e.g., 30 days).
• Inheritance Protocols: Bitkey’s inheritance solution shares decryption keys via designated beneficiaries’ emails. Requires multiple approvals to prevent abuse.
• Public Key Registries: Share wallet XPUBs (not private keys!) with heirs. They can monitor balances but not spend, ensuring transparency without risk.

The Freedom Dividend

1. Censorship Resistance: Send $10M BTC to a Wikileaks wallet without Visa/Mastercard blocking it.
2. Privacy Preservation: Avoid KYC surveillance—non-custodial wallets like Flash require zero ID verification.
3. Protocol Access: Participate in bitcoin-native innovations (Lightning Network, DLCs) only possible with self-custodied keys.
4. Black Swan Immunity: When Cyprus-style bank bailins happen, your bitcoin remains untouched in your vault.

The Sovereign’s Checklist

1. Withdraw from Exchanges: Move all BTC > $1,000 to self-custody immediately.
2. Buy Hardware Wallet: Purchase DIRECTLY from manufacturer (no Amazon!) to avoid supply-chain tampering.
3. Generate Seed OFFLINE: Use air-gapped device, write phrase on steel—never digitally.
4. Test Recovery: Delete wallet, restore from seed before funding.
5. Implement Multisig: For > $75k, use Bitvault for 2-of-3 multi-sig setup.
6. Create Inheritance Plan: Share XPUBs/SLIP39 shards with heirs + legal documents.

“Self-custody isn’t about avoiding risk—it’s about transferring risk from opaque institutions to transparent, controllable systems you design.”

The Inevitable Evolution: Custody Without Compromise

Emerging solutions are erasing old tradeoffs:

• MPC Wallets: Services like Xapo Bank shatter keys into encrypted fragments distributed globally. No single device holds full keys, defeating physical theft.
• Social Recovery: Ethically designed networks (e.g., Bitkey) let trusted contacts restore access without custodial control.
• Biometric Assurance: Fingerprint reset protocols prevent lockouts from physical injuries.

Lost keys = lost bitcoin. But consider the alternative: entrusting your life savings to entities with proven 8% annual failure rates among exchanges. Self-custody shifts responsibility from hoping institutions won’t fail to knowing your system can’t fail without your consent.

Take action today: Move one coin. Test one recovery. Share one xpub. The path to unchained wealth begins with a single satoshi under your control.

@ 87fedb9f:0da83419

Finding Calm in the Chaos

Ever notice how you start future-mapping to calm your nerves… and end up more anxious than when you began? You’re not alone! Join us for a playful, real-talk exploration of why our brilliant minds try to control everything — and how empathy, Buddhist wisdom, and EFT tapping can help us step out of the anxious loop and land back in the delicious now.

https://www.thrivingnow.center/t/1491/4

https://youtu.be/VRx63O19dMM

We covered…

1. Future Mapping is Fish-and-Water Awareness We often don’t realize how much mental energy we spend constantly planning scenarios - “if it rains, if they get upset, if this happens then that…” This protective pattern started early but now we can bring it into conscious awareness and choose how much energy to invest.

2. The Empathy App Creates Endless Scenarios Our empathetic nature means we’re not just planning for ourselves - we’re mapping out everyone else’s potential reactions, feelings, and needs. This creates exponentially more “what if” scenarios that keep our minds spinning in overdrive.

3. Fault-Finding is Too Crude for Thriving When we automatically assign blame (usually to ourselves), we’re operating from primitive brain patterns. Upgrading to a more refined viewpoint means seeing the “dance of energies” where everyone contributes and sometimes feet get stepped on - it’s part of life.

4. We Can’t Actually Control the River Life flows like a river, and we can steer our canoe but we cannot change the river itself. Our anxiety often signals we’re trying to do the impossible - control weather, other people’s moods, or outcomes beyond our influence.

5. Magical Thinking Says “If I Worry Enough, It Will Work Out” We unconsciously believe that suffering through worry ahead of time will somehow guarantee good outcomes. Our nervous system knows this is a lie, which creates more anxiety. We can release this “prepayment” fantasy.

6. Distributing the Broccoli Back to Its Owners We often scoop up everyone else’s responsibilities onto our plate to avoid conflict or being blamed. Learning to ask “Is this really my broccoli?” helps us return emotional and practical responsibilities to their rightful owners.

7. Include Safe and Good Possibilities in Your Maps When we only map threats and problems, we miss opportunities for joy, connection, and creative solutions. Consciously including positive possibilities activates different parts of ourselves - the creative, hopeful, and inspired aspects.

8. Tapping While Thinking Moves Energy Out of Stuck Loops Simply speaking our thoughts aloud while tapping the acupressure points breaks the narrow band of mental spinning. This engages our body’s intelligence and often reveals what words or feelings want to emerge beyond our conscious planning.

9. Being With What Is vs. Making Everyone Happy Instead of trying to make everyone feel good all the time (which is impossible), we can practice being present with people as they actually are. This is more respectful, connected, and requires much less exhausting management.

10. Anxiety Can Be Wise Body Guidance Rather than just a problem to fix, our anxiety often signals we’re trying to do something unwise - like changing unchangeable things or telling ourselves lies about what we can control. We can listen to this guidance.

11. The Sweet Spot of Thoughtful Planning We’re not throwing away our planning abilities - we’re finding the balance between appropriate preparation (throwing an umbrella in the bag) and exhausting over-management (trying to control every possible variable). Good and sufficient planning honors both our intelligence and life’s natural flow.

@ f85b9c2c:d190bcff

To understand the value of a cryptocurrency, it’s vital to know how many coins are currently in circulation and at what price they’re being sold. Market capitalization of coins are calculated by multiplying the number of coins in circulation with their current market selling rate per coin.

What is Market Capitalization? Market capitalization is the total dollar value of all shares in a company. For Bitcoin or another cryptocurrency it’s calculated by multiplying a total number of coins mined by their current price at that particular time. The market cap is a great way to measure an asset’s stability. The larger it gets, the less likely you’ll have any fluctuations in pricing because more people are using this currency. This means that its price will remain consistent over time no matter what happens with the markets.

Why is a Market Cap Necessary? Cryptocurrencies are collected and catalogued by market cap which helps investors better understand their value. This statistic can indicate if a cryptocurrency is safe to buy or sell compared with others in the industry — it may also provide an idea of what kind of growth potential they have ahead.

What Can You Do With the Market Cap? It’s essential for crypto enthusiasts like yourself to keep track of what kind of project might be worth investing in.

Cryptocurrencies are divided into three categories based on their market cap: 1.Large-cap Cryptocurrencies Large-cap cryptocurrencies are considered lower-risk investments because they’ve demonstrated growth and high liquidity. This means that even if many people sell their investment, its value won’t decrease too much.

2.Mid-cap Cryptocurrencies Mid-cap cryptocurrencies have a lot of potential but are also riskier than large-cap coins.

3.Small-cap Cryptocurrencies Small-cap cryptocurrencies could be your best bet for those looking to invest in a more volatile market with the potential for greater returns.

Last thoughts Even though cryptocurrency market caps allow for an easy way to compare the values of different coins you should consider all factors when investing in any project. You can’t just go into cryptocurrency investing without doing your research. It would help if you looked at each coin’s market trends and stability and whether it’s right for you financially.

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

‘MicroStrategy of Asia’ Metaplanet Aims To Acquire Over 210,000 BTC By the End of 2027

Metaplanet Inc. widely recognized as Japan’s leading Bitcoin treasury company, has announced a major update to its Bitcoin accumulation strategy, unveiling the “555 Million Plan” aimed at acquiring over 210,000 BTC by the end of 2027, which is equivalent to 1% of Bitcoin’s total supply.

*Metaplanet Announces Accelerated 2025-2027 Bitcoin Plan: Targeting 210,000 $BTC by 2027*

Full Presentation: https://t.co/JG28maMdfd pic.twitter.com/i9kzmjlDT8

— Metaplanet Inc. (@Metaplanet_JP) June 6, 2025

This new target marks a dramatic increase from the company’s earlier “21 Million Plan,” which aimed for just 21,000 BTC by 2026. Progress far outpaced expectations, with 8,888 BTC already secured as of June 2, prompting the strategic shift.

To fund this growth, Metaplanet has launched Asia’s largest Bitcoin-focused equity raise, aiming to secure ¥770.9 billion (approximately $5.4 billion) through the issuance of 555 million shares via moving strike warrants. This is the first structure of its kind in Japan, priced at a premium to market, made possible by the company’s high share liquidity and volatility.

At the Annual General Meeting on March 24, shareholders approved an increase in authorized shares from 161 million to 1.61 billion, following a 10-for-1 stock split effective April 1, 2025; Metaplanet has approximately 296 million authorized shares remaining. The 555 million shares being issued under the new plan will bring the company’s fully diluted shares outstanding to around 759 million.

Metaplanet’s Bitcoin yield targets and performance for 2025 have shown strong momentum, with quarterly BTC yields of 41.7% in Q3 2024, 309.8% in Q4 2024, 95.6% in Q1 2025, 66.3% in Q2 2025, and projected 35% yields for both Q3 and Q4 2025. The year-to-date BTC yield for 2025 stands at 225.4%, closing to the full year target of 232%. 

Metaplanet also announced the issuance of the 20th to 22nd Series of Stock Acquisition Rights via a third-party allotment to EVO FUND, potentially adding 555 million new shares. The initial exercise price is set at JPY 1,388 and will adjust regularly based on stock prices, with some series including a premium to protect shareholders. The exercise period runs from June 24, 2025, to June 23, 2027, with expected proceeds of approximately JPY 767.4 billion. This financing supports the “555 Million Plan” and further Bitcoin accumulation.

Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich wrote in a post on X, “thanks to all of our shareholders,” he said. “We are honored to be on this journey with you. Metaplanet is accelerating into the future — powered by Bitcoin.”

Metaplanet has launched Asia’s largest-ever equity raise dedicated to Bitcoin:
¥770.9 billion (~$5.4B) capital raise
555 million shares via moving strike warrants
First in Japan: issued at a premium to market — enabled by Metaplanet’s high volatility and deep liquidity… pic.twitter.com/UlXHneyDzo

— Simon Gerovich (@gerovich) June 6, 2025

This post ‘MicroStrategy of Asia’ Metaplanet Aims To Acquire Over 210,000 BTC By the End of 2027 first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.

@ dfa02707:41ca50e3

Good morning (good night?)! The No Bullshit Bitcoin news feed is now available on Moody's Dashboard! A huge shoutout to sir Clark Moody for integrating our feed.

Headlines

• Spiral welcomes Ben Carman. The developer will work on the LDK server and a new SDK designed to simplify the onboarding process for new self-custodial Bitcoin users.

• The Bitcoin Dev Kit Foundation announced new corporate members for 2025, including AnchorWatch, CleanSpark, and Proton Foundation. The annual dues from these corporate members fund the small team of open-source developers responsible for maintaining the core BDK libraries and related free and open-source software (FOSS) projects.
• Strategy increases Bitcoin holdings to 538,200 BTC. In the latest purchase, the company has spent more than $555M to buy 6,556 coins through proceeds of two at-the-market stock offering programs.
• Spar supermarket experiments with Bitcoin payments in Zug, Switzerland. The store has introduced a new payment method powered by the Lightning Network. The implementation was facilitated by DFX Swiss, a service that supports seamless conversions between bitcoin and legacy currencies.

• The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) wants to contain 'crypto' risks. A report titled "Cryptocurrencies and Decentralised Finance: Functions and Financial Stability Implications" calls for expanding research into "how new forms of central bank money, capital controls, and taxation policies can counter the risks of widespread crypto adoption while still fostering technological innovation."
• "Global Implications of Scam Centres, Underground Banking, and Illicit Online Marketplaces in Southeast Asia." According to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) report, criminal organizations from East and Southeast Asia are swiftly extending their global reach. These groups are moving beyond traditional scams and trafficking, creating sophisticated online networks that include unlicensed cryptocurrency exchanges, encrypted communication platforms, and stablecoins, fueling a massive fraud economy on an industrial scale.
• Slovenia is considering a 25% capital gains tax on Bitcoin profits for individuals. The Ministry of Finance has proposed legislation to impose this tax on gains from cryptocurrency transactions, though exchanging one cryptocurrency for another would remain exempt. At present, individual 'crypto' traders in Slovenia are not taxed.
• Circle, BitGo, Coinbase, and Paxos plan to apply for U.S. bank charters or licenses. According to a report in The Wall Street Journal, major crypto companies are planning to apply for U.S. bank charters or licenses. These firms are pursuing limited licenses that would permit them to issue stablecoins, as the U.S. Congress deliberates on legislation mandating licensing for stablecoin issuers.

"Established banks, like Bank of America, are hoping to amend the current drafts of [stablecoin] legislation in such a way that nonbanks are more heavily restricted from issuing stablecoins," people familiar with the matter told The Block.

• Charles Schwab to launch spot Bitcoin trading by 2026. The financial investment firm, managing over $10 trillion in assets, has revealed plans to introduce spot Bitcoin trading for its clients within the next year.

Use the tools

• Bitcoin Safe v1.2.3 expands QR SignMessage compatibility for all QR-UR-compatible hardware signers (SpecterDIY, KeyStone, Passport, Jade; already supported COLDCARD Q). It also adds the ability to import wallets via QR, ensuring compatibility with Keystone's latest firmware (2.0.6), alongside other improvements.
• Minibits v0.2.2-beta, an ecash wallet for Android devices, packages many changes to align the project with the planned iOS app release. New features and improvements include the ability to lock ecash to a receiver's pubkey, faster confirmations of ecash minting and payments thanks to WebSockets, UI-related fixes, and more.
• Zeus v0.11.0-alpha1 introduces Cashu wallets tied to embedded LND wallets. Navigate to Settings > Ecash to enable it. Other wallet types can still sweep funds from Cashu tokens. Zeus Pay now supports Cashu address types in Zaplocker, Cashu, and NWC modes.
• LNDg v1.10.0, an advanced web interface designed for analyzing Lightning Network Daemon (LND) data and automating node management tasks, introduces performance improvements, adds a new metrics page for unprofitable and stuck channels, and displays warnings for batch openings. The Profit and Loss Chart has been updated to include on-chain costs. Advanced settings have been added for users who would like their channel database size to be read remotely (the default remains local). Additionally, the AutoFees tool now uses aggregated pubkey metrics for multiple channels with the same peer.
• Nunchuk Desktop v1.9.45 release brings the latest bug fixes and improvements.
• Blockstream Green iOS v4.1.8 has renamed L-BTC to LBTC, and improves translations of notifications, login time, and background payments.
• Blockstream Green Android v4.1.8 has added language preference in App Settings and enables an Android data backup option for disaster recovery. Additionally, it fixes issues with Jade entry point PIN timeout and Trezor passphrase input.
• Torq v2.2.2, an advanced Lightning node management software designed to handle large nodes with over 1000 channels, fixes bugs that caused channel balance to not be updated in some cases and channel "peer total local balance" not getting updated.
• Stack Wallet v2.1.12, a multicoin wallet by Cypher Stack, fixes an issue with Xelis introduced in the latest release for Windows.
• ESP-Miner-NerdQAxePlus v1.0.29.1, a forked version from the NerdAxe miner that was modified for use on the NerdQAxe+, is now available.
• Zark enables sending sats to an npub using Bark.

• Erk is a novel variation of the Ark protocol that completely removes the need for user interactivity in rounds, addressing one of Ark's key limitations: the requirement for users to come online before their VTXOs expire.
• Aegis v0.1.1 is now available. It is a Nostr event signer app for iOS devices.
• Nostash is a NIP-07 Nostr signing extension for Safari. It is a fork of Nostore and is maintained by Terry Yiu. Available on iOS TestFlight.
• Amber v3.2.8, a Nostr event signer for Android, delivers the latest fixes and improvements.
• Nostur v1.20.0, a Nostr client for iOS, adds

@ 2b24a1fa:17750f64

Er war schon immer ein streitbarer. Seine Kritik richtete sich an ein Gesundheitssystem, das durch eine durch Pharmalobby erkaufte oder erpresste Politik ermöglicht wurde. Seit Ausrufung der sogenannten Corona-Pandemie fuhr er zu Höchstleistungen auf. Es ist Dr. Gunter Frank, Schulmediziner mit Erfahrungen im Krankenhaus, Notfallmediziner, ausgebildet in Naturheilverfahren, Sachbuchautor, engagiert in diversen medizinischen und naturheilkundlichen Gesellschaften und betreibt eine eigene Praxis...

https://soundcloud.com/radiomuenchen/arzte-die-in-gut-und-gose-einteilen-der-zivilisationsbruch-interview-mit-dr-gunter-frank?

Im größten Medizinskandal in der Geschichte der Bundesrepublik, der Corona-Krise, nennt er Hausnumnmern wie 100-200.000 langfristig, gesundheitlich schwer Geschädigten und etwa 20 - 40.000 durch Genimpfung Verstorbene. Ob diese Zahlen haltbar sind, weit über- oder untertrieben wird die Geschichte zeigen. Welche Hintergründe er aber vermutet und über die neuen Deutungen medizinischer Erkenntnisse, spricht meine Kollegin Eva Schmidt jetzt mit dem Mediziner Dr. Gunter Frank und wollte zunächst wissen, wann und warum er zum Medizinsystemkritiker wurde, welches sein Erweckungserlebnis, noch weit vor Corona gewesen sein muss:

@ 472f440f:5669301e

While most of the world is focused on the lead up to the Presidential election here in the US and louder war drums being beat across the world, the number of bullish developments that are stacking up for bitcoin is increasing rapidly. These developments deserve the OG Marty's Bent smorgasbord treatments, so here are the things that have caught my attention over the last week in no particular order.

The First Ark Transactions on Bitcoin Mainnet

I had the pleasure of participating in a demo of Second's Ark protocol implementation. For those who are unaware, Ark is a new layer-two protocol solution for making off-chain bitcoin payments. Unlike the lightning network, Ark doesn't depend on liquidity channels to facilitate payments. Within the lightning network two counterparties share UTXOs within a channel to move sats back and forth, nodes connect to many different channels to create a network effect that increases the chance of payments getting routed successfully, and node operators manage their channel liquidity as channel imbalances emerge.

Ark is similar in the sense that it also leverages a shared UTXO model. However, instead of having one-to-one channels that come with liquidity management issues, Ark enables a large amount of individuals to share UTXOs, which are managed by an Ark Service Provider (ASP). The ASP is a central party within the protocol, but it is a central party that does not custody UTXOs. It only coordinates the transfer of sats between Ark "rounds". Users have the ability to unilaterally exit the second-layer protocol whenever they deem necessary by broadcasting a Virtual UTXO (vtxo) transaction.

This may seem daunting and complicated. All you need to know is that there is now an new way to make off-chain bitcoin payments that are fast and relatively cheap and it is possible today. As it stands today, Ark has some scaling limitations that can be solved if covenants get merged into the bitcoin protocol, which would significantly reduce the data requirements for signing this type of transaction.

It should also be noted that Ark isn't here to replace the lightning network. It can help serve different use cases and, at the same time, significantly improve the UX of the lightning network. Particularly channel management. The progression of the Ark protocol is a welcomed development. I look forward to following what's going on with Ark as the protocol matures.

The Kingdom of Bhutan is Stacking A LOT of Sats

We were made aware of the fact that the Kingdom of Bhutan, a small country in the Himalayas with a population less than 1,000,000 people, was mining bitcoin in early 2023 when their sovereign wealth fund was doxxed in the bankruptcy proceedings of BlockFi and Celsius. Don't look now, but Bhutan has been doxxed again, this time by the chain surveillance firm Arkham, which is reporting that the nation currently holds more than 13,000 bitcoin, which is nearly 1/3 of its GDP. Driven predominately by its mining operations, which have expanded significantly over the last two years in an attempt to monetize the country's excess hydroelectric power.

While we're not big fans of doxxing here at TFTC, we are fans of the game theory of bitcoin playing out in front of our eyes. And the Kingdom of Bhutan is a shining example of the game theory bitcoiners have been talking about for 15 years playing out perfectly.

Bitcoin is a very thorny topic for individuals at every layer of society. At the individual layer, people have to independently decide that bitcoin is a better money and they have to actively decide to store their wealth in it instead of other assets. For companies, the decision to use bitcoin as the preferred savings vehicle is even harder because most businesses have multiple stakeholders that need to align on a decision before making it. When you move up to the nation state level, the complexity of making the decision to add bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset gets even harder. Many more people and different branches of government need to agree and pass bills (in most cases) before bitcoin can ever make it into a nation's treasury asset mix.

It has long been said within bitcoin circles that individuals who have the ability to think independently, companies that have a lean corporate structure, and nation states with little to lose will be the first movers into bitcoin. And they will benefit massively over the long-run for being early.

If you're an individual reading this who is using bitcoin as their money of choice, you are one of these early movers. Microstrategy under Michael Saylor, who has the ability to make somewhat unilateral decisions due to the company's share structure, is an early move. And, Bhutan, a small nation in the Himalaya mountains with a sovereign wealth fund that seems to have the ability to take risk, is an early mover. With little to lose and greatness to gain, Bhutan is giving other small nation states the playbook for leap frogging the competition in the digital age. Stack a shit ton of bitcoin on the DL, hold on to it for a considerable amount of time, and wake up one day as an economic powerhouse.

The Fed Cuts Rates by 50 Basis Points

I'm sure all of you are well aware at this point. Last week the Federal Reserve made it's first rate cuts in over four years when it cut the fed funds target rate by 0.50% to 4.75-5.00%. With the economy reeling despite what the official government and mainstream narrative may try to make you believe, Jerome Powell and crew have decided it is time to ease up on their monetary policy.

Put another way, inflation is likely to come back with a vengeance as easy money begins to reenter the economy. To be clear, a lower fed funds rate doesn't technically necessitate that newly printed dollars enter the economy like they have over the last 15 years via operations like quantitative easing. However, one has to imagine that the Fed sees some sort of liquidity crisis on the horizon that requires them to begin cutting rates. And not only cutting, but cutting at a pace that was very low probability only a couple of months ago. The consensus in the middle of the Summer was that the Fed would begin lowering rates with a modest 25bps cut this month. They doubled that.

It's probably safe to assume that something is approaching a breaking point on the back end of the financial system. One only has to look at record high credit card debt, record low savings rates, the state of the job market for native born Americans, and the continued turn over of commercial real estate markets to see that not all is well in the American economy. Your Uncle Marty's spidey senses are signaling that a liquidity crunch is likely lurking around the corner. When it does rear its ugly head, you can expect quantitative easing to make a big come back.

When money printer goes brrr, bitcoin goes berserk.

It seems that the Treasury's move over the last 18-months of over-indexing on the front end of the curve during their auctions is already having an expansionary effect on M2 as it has officially entered expansion territory for the first time since 2022. Hold on to your butts, freaks.

Bitcoin's fundamentals are only getting stronger as time goes on. This is evidenced by continued improvement to the protocol stack via second layer protocols, continued adoption by reputable actors like the Kingdom of Bhutan, and the continued mismanagement of the fiat monetary system.

The price of bitcoin has been range bound since the Spring and it has lulled the market into a state of boredom. Enjoy the boring period while it lasts. All signs are pointing to a bitcoin bull run the likes of which the world hasn't seen before. There is a lot of tinder, it is extremely dry, and there are flame throwers on the horizon.

---

Final thought... Nothing makes me happier than meeting someone who gets value from this newsletter or the podcasts in the wild. Love you, freaks.

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

CANNES, FRANCE – May 2025 — Bitcoin mining made its mark at the world’s most prestigious film gathering this year as Puerto Rican director and producer Alana Mediavilla introduced her feature documentary Dirty Coin: The Bitcoin Mining Documentary at the Marché du Film during the Cannes Film Festival.

The film puts bitcoin mining at the center of a rising global conversation about energy, technology, and economic freedom.

Dirty Coin is the first feature-length documentary to explore bitcoin mining through immersive, on-the-ground case studies.

From rural towns in the United States to hydro-powered sites in Latin America and the Congo, the film follows miners and communities navigating what may be one of the most misunderstood technologies of our time.

The result is a human-centered look at how bitcoin mining is transforming local economies and energy infrastructure in real ways.

To mark its Cannes debut, Mediavilla and her team hosted a packed industry event that brought together leaders from both film and finance.

Dirty Coin debut ceremony at the Marché du Film

Sponsors Celestial Management, Sangha Renewables, Nordblock, and Paystand.org supported the program, which featured panels on mining, energy use, and decentralized infrastructure.

Attendees had the rare opportunity to engage directly with pioneers in the space. A special session in French led by Seb Gouspillou spotlighted mining efforts in the Congo’s Virunga region.

Dirty Coin builds on Mediavilla’s award-winning short film Stranded, which won over 20 international prizes, including Best Short Documentary at Cannes in 2024.

That success helped lay the foundation for the feature and positioned Mediavilla as one of the boldest new voices in global documentary filmmaking.

Alana Mediavilla speaks at the Marché du Film — Cannes Film Festival

“If we’ve found an industry that can unlock stranded energy and turn it into real power for people—especially in regions with energy poverty—why wouldn’t we look into it?” says Mediavilla. “Our privilege blinds us.

“The same thing we criticize could be the very thing that lifts the developing world to our standard of living. Ignoring that potential is a failure of imagination.”

Much like the decentralized network it explores, Dirty Coin is spreading globally through grassroots momentum.

Local leaders are hosting independent screenings around the world, from Roatán and Berlin to São Paulo and Madrid. Upcoming events include Toronto and Zurich, with more cities joining each month.

Mediavilla, who previously worked in creative leadership roles in the U.S. — including as a producer at Google — returned to Puerto Rico to found Campo Libre, a studio focused on high-caliber, globally relevant storytelling from the Caribbean.

She was also accepted into the Cannes Producers Network, a selective program open only to producers with box office releases in the past four years.

Mediavilla qualified after independently releasing Dirty Coin in theaters across Puerto Rico. Her participation in the network gave her direct access to meetings, insights, and connections with the most active distributors and producers working today.

The film’s next public screening will take place at the Anthem Film Festival in Palm Springs on Saturday, June 14 at 2 PM. Additional screenings and market appearances are planned throughout the year at Bitcoin events and international film platforms.

Dirty Coin at the Cannes Film Festival

Watch the Trailer + Access Press Materials

📂 EPK
🎬 Screener
🌍 Host a Screening

Follow the Movement

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/dirty_coin_official/
Twitter: https://x.com/DirtyCoinDoc
Website: www.dirtycointhemovie.com

@ 2b24a1fa:17750f64

Wenn sich die Spieler nach einem hart umkämpften Fußballmatch die Hand reichen oder einander abklatschen, zeugt das von Sportsgeist. Das heißt: Wir haben uns im Spiel zwar nichts geschenkt, aber wir respektieren einander und als Verlierer erkennen wir an, dass die andere Mannschaft besser gespielt hat und unsere Niederlage in Ordnung geht.

https://soundcloud.com/radiomuenchen/die-wrestling-demokratie-ein-kommentar-von-jonny-rieder?

Und auch die Gewinner zollen dem Gegner Respekt, verhöhnen ihn nicht. Selbstverständlich sollte gegenseitiger Respekt auch in der Politik gelten. Man sollte einander zuhören und argumentieren, anstatt Kollegen schon deshalb zu verachten, weil sie einer anderen Partei angehören. Aber: Wenn ein Politiker eine andere Partei massiv kritisiert und ihrem Antrag anschließend trotzdem zustimmt, zeigt er damit nicht Respekt vor dem politischen Gegner, sondern Verachtung für den Wähler. Was der Deutsche Bundestag im März 2025 demonstrierte, also in der Übergangsphase vom alten Bundestag und dem noch nicht einberufenen neu gewählten Parlament, war genau das: angewandte Wählerverachtung. Etwas zuzustimmen, das ich eben noch vehement verdammt habe, zeugt nicht von Demokratieverständnis oder von politischem Sportsgeist, sondern von dessen fundamentaler Ablehnung. Erst recht, wenn die Zustimmung für alle ersichtlich erkauft wurde. Hören Sie Jonny Rieders Kommentar „Die Wrestling-Demokratie“.

Sprecher: Karsten Troyke

Bild: ChatGPT im Auftrag von Radio München

@ 81022b27:2b8d0644

You probably already know that I’ve been playing around with the whole Nostr thing.

Well, slowly I have been posting my content on Nostr. The long-form content., like my https://www.theintuitivechiropractor.com am using Habla.news

Habla.News is basically a blog app. It’s like a Substack, but you don’t have the newsletter feature, but I hear one may be in the works.

So from what I understand so far, your content is all published in one stream, but different sites handle the content differently.

A Twitter-like short post reader like Primal will organize short post and a long-form reader like Habla will do the articles.

I created a personal webpage on Npub.Pro and a links page (like a LinkTree) as well.

You can click on to see some of those pages.

Now, I’m having issues with the NPub page, because sometimes it wants to show my content, sometimes it decides not to.

Did I mention all of this is FREE?

It’s a bit complicated to setup at first, especially if you are unfamiliar with crypto wallets and that kind of stuff-but you get the feeling this is all new stuff and we are here in a new frontier where this could end up being revolutionary.

Follow my posts on here to see how I progress. If you would like to start on Nostr, I will do everything I can to help you out.

Live Long and Prosper,

-Dan

@ 044da344:073a8a0e

Es ist merkwürdig, wie sich die Dinge manchmal fügen. Himmelfahrt bin ich mit den beiden größeren Enkeln, 2 und 4, in einen Zirkus gegangen. Wir mussten ein wenig suchen, okay, haben das Zelt aber irgendwann entdeckt am Ufer des Regen. Ich könnte schreiben: klein, aber fein, so richtig trifft es das jedoch nicht. Klein schon. Ich will hier auch nicht schimpfen, weil sich die Zirkusfamilie alle Mühe gegeben hat, einen preisgekrönten Artisten dabeihatte (Silberner Clown in Monte Carlo) und sogar reichlich Tiere in die Manege brachte. Vier Araberpferde, zwei Dromedare, einen Esel und Ziegen.

Dann aber kamen die Katzen. Richtig gelesen. Katzen dort, wo es Tiger, Löwen, Bären gegeben hat, als ich selbst noch ein Kind war. Ich meine gar nicht die großen Zelte in der DDR, Berolina, Busch oder Aeros. Diese Riesen verirrten sich nicht in einen Badeort auf Rügen. Die Wiese gleich hinter unserem Haus gehörte ab Anfang der 1980er Rüdiger Probst, alle paar Jahre wieder. Ein junger Mann, der gar nicht so viel älter war als ich, keine Angst vor großen Tieren hatte und mit einem Salto von Pferd zu Pferd sprang. In einem kleinen Zirkus wie gesagt, für ein paar Groschen und meist vor vollem Haus. Mit den Enkeln hatte ich jetzt allen Platz der Welt und hinterher ein leeres Portemonnaie. Sieben Euro allein für Popcorn (es gab nur eine Tütengröße) und fünf (freiwillig) für ein paar Möhrenstücke, damit die Kinder in der Pause was zum Füttern in der Hand hatten.

Am Abend dann das neue Buch von Matthias Krauß. „Die falschen Fragen gestellt“. Ich habe mich ein wenig gewundert, als das Paket im Kasten lag, weil der Autor vor gar nicht allzu langer Zeit einen „einseitigen Waffenstillstand“ ausgerufen hatte und Schluss machen wollte mit seinem Kampf gegen die „Aufarbeitungsindustrie“ und mit der Verteidigung der DDR. Ich zitiere einfach aus meiner Rezension von 2019:

Matthias Krauß, 1960 in Hennigsdorf geboren, weiß natürlich, was da alles im Argen lag. Er hat selbst an der Sektion Journalistik studiert und in den späten 1980ern noch ein wenig für die Parteipresse gearbeitet. „Apologetisch“, sagt er. Vor allem Innen- und Wirtschaftspolitik. Sein Aber: erstens die Kultur. Begegnungen vor allem mit dem, was in Osteuropa so an Filmen, Serien, Kunst produziert wurde. Punkt zwei: „der einfache Mensch“. „Ungleich häufiger“ im Bild als heute. Und drittens „gab es eine prinzipielle und grundsätzliche Kritik“ am Westen und am Kapitalismus.

Der Zirkus am Ufer des Regen. Ein totes Pferd soll man nicht reiten. Deshalb tauche ich ein in ein Buch, das etwas schafft, was selbst ich nicht für möglich gehalten habe. Matthias Krauß singt ein Loblied auf den DDR-Journalismus, ohne dass es peinlich wird. Er bleibt dabei ganz bei sich – bei der Mappe mit Zeitungsausschnitten, die er als Schüler angelegt hat, bei den Aktbildern im Magazin, das sein Vater abonniert hatte und das dem Sohn auch jenseits der Erotik ganze Welten öffnete, bei einem Porträt, das ihm die Lokalzeitung 1977 widmete.

Das Schöne ist: Matthias Krauß hat das alles aufgehoben und darf jetzt als reifer Mann zurückschauen – als Journalist, der später auch die andere Seite erlebt hat, folglich vergleichen kann und vor allem niemandem mehr nach dem Mund reden muss. Die „Qualität der Bilder“, okay. Eher „Kartoffeldruck“ als Zeitung. Die immer gleichen alten Männer, klar. Die Grenzen, die jedes Parteiorgan hat und die auch ein junger Mann wie Krauß schon zu spüren bekam. Aber eben auch Texte, die nah dran waren am Leben (vor allem an der Arbeit) und ihre Leser ernst nahmen. Matthias Krauß ist nach dem Studium 1986 Redakteur der Jugendseite des Potsdamer SED-Blatts geworden und ruft den Journalismusforschern heute zu: Vergleicht doch einfach die Bravo mit dem Neuen Leben, einer Zeitschrift, die damals sein Leitstern war und immer ausverkauft. These von Matthias Krauß: Das Neue Leben

war vielseitiger, anspruchsvoller und in jeder Hinsicht höherwertiger als die Bravo-Post, mit dem endlos einfältigen Star-Rummel, den auf Kauf und Konsum orientierten Modetipps, dem Klatsch und Abklatsch und den klischeehaften Rollenbildern – Ausdruck des insgesamt unpolitischen Grundanspruchs. Nun gut, aus exakt diesem Grund wird dieser Vergleich wohl niemals stattfinden. (S. 103)

Matthias Krauß hat ein kaum zu schlagendes Argument auf seiner Seite: Er, der SED-Propagandist, hatte nach 1990 schnell wieder das Vertrauen des Publikums, das er „bei Lichte besehen“ vielleicht gar nicht verdiente, aber allein wegen seiner Herkunft bekam (S. 116). Und: Er kann sogar jemanden zitieren, der die Ernte-Berichterstattung vermisst, Hassobjekt von Lesern wie von Journalisten – einen Landwirt aus dem Westen, der dort sehen konnte, wie weit die Kollegen waren, was sie wie machten und wie sie auf das Wetter reagierten (S. 166).

Ich gebe zu: Ich habe eine Schwäche für autobiografische Texte. Solche Bücher erlauben mir, all das mit Leben zu füllen, was in den Akten bald zu Staub zerfällt. Ich habe ein Fußballregal (gleich zweimal Lothar Matthäus!), eine DDR-Abteilung, Erinnerungen von Wissenschaftlern und natürlich Journalisten. Da längst nicht jeder schreibt, der etwas zu sagen hat, helfe ich immer wieder nach und sammle als Interviewer Lebensgeschichten ein. Matthias Krauß dürfte einer der ersten ostdeutschen Medienmenschen aus der Geburtskohorte um 1960 sein, der sich öffentlich äußert und dabei nicht einfach das nachbetet, was ohnehin schon überall steht.

Das gilt auch jenseits des Themas Journalismus. Der Wehrdienst, für mich bis heute ein Albtraum, wird von Matthias Krauß als „Entscheidung für eine Art persönlicher Freiheit“ interpretiert (S. 43). Mit 18 unabhängig sein von den Eltern und dann auch ohne Geldsorgen studieren können. Leipzig war für ihn in den 1980ern nicht nur Uni-Standort, sondern auch „Messestadt“ und damit „Weltstadt“ (S. 50). Und der Aufregung um jede DDR-Exmatrikulation, die er keineswegs schönredet, werden „die Millionen Opfer der Demokratisierung“ gegenübergestellt und das laute gesamtdeutsche Schweigen nicht nur in diesem Punkt (S. 58).

Was das alles mit dem Zirkus zu tun hat? Matthias Krauß hat in der DDR das Motto für sein Leben als Journalist gefunden – bei der Arbeit mit einem Parteisoldaten, der einfach nicht rauswollte aus dem Korsett, das die Genossen über sein Leben geworfen hatten.

Ja, sagte ich mir, stelle immer die falschen Fragen. (S. 153)

In Sachen Zirkus liegen alle Antworten auf dem Tisch. Meine Trauer habe ich schon vor mehr als zehn Jahren verarbeitet. Mal schauen, was die Enkel eines Tages dazu sagen.

Matthias Krauß: Die falschen Fragen gestellt. Journalist in zwei deutschen Staaten. Berlin: Das Neue Berlin 2025, 189 Seiten, 18 Euro.

Michael Meyen: Videos

Freie Akademie für Medien & Journalismus

Unterstützen

@ da8b7de1:c0164aee

Nukleáris technológiai és projektfejlesztési hírek

Több jelentős nemzetközi fejlemény történt a nukleáris energia területén. A Westinghouse Electric Company megkapta az amerikai Energiaügyi Minisztériumtól a kulcsfontosságú biztonsági jóváhagyást az eVinci mikroreaktorához, ami fontos lépés ennek az innovatív nukleáris technológiának a bevezetése felé. A vállalat Idaho államban tervezi egy tesztreaktor létesítését, ami jól mutatja, hogy a mikroreaktorok piaca egyre nagyobb lendületet kap.

Eközben a nukleáris kapacitás gyors bővítéséhez szükséges ellátási lánc felkészültsége volt a fő témája a World Nuclear Association első konferenciájának. Jelentős projektfrissítések között szerepel a kritikus turbinakomponensek beszerelése a kínai Haiyang atomerőműben, az indiai Mahi Banswara Rajasthan Atomerőmű négy blokkjára vonatkozó szabályozói engedély, valamint egy új olaszországi partnerség, a Nuclitalia, amely fejlett nukleáris technológiákra fókuszál. Belgiumban a Nukleáris Kutatóközpont hivatalos konzultációkat indított egy ólom-hűtésű kis moduláris reaktor (SMR) ügyében, Brazília pedig bejelentette, hogy Oroszországgal közösen fejleszt SMR-projektet.

Szabályozási és biztonsági aktualitások

A Nemzetközi Atomenergia-ügynökség (IAEA) meghosszabbította a tanulmányok benyújtási határidejét a közelgő, nukleáris létesítmények ellenállóképességéről szóló konferenciájára, hangsúlyozva a nukleáris létesítmények alkalmazkodásának fontosságát a klímaváltozás jelentette növekvő kockázatokhoz. A konferenciát 2025 októberében rendezik Bécsben, és fő témája a nukleáris létesítmények biztonságának és ellenállóképességének növelése lesz, különös tekintettel a külső eseményekre, mint az árvizek és földrengések.

Kanadában a Nukleáris Biztonsági Bizottság engedélyezte az Ontario Power Generation számára, hogy megkezdje egy BWRX-300 típusú reaktor építését a Darlington New Nuclear Project helyszínén, ami a nukleáris építkezések folyamatos szabályozói támogatását mutatja. Az Egyesült Államokban a Nukleáris Szabályozási Bizottság további 20 évvel meghosszabbította a Duke Energy Oconee atomerőművi blokkjainak üzemeltetési engedélyét, valamint támogatást nyújtott a michigani Palisades atomerőmű újraindításához.

Iparági és gazdasági trendek

Az iparági vezetők optimistán nyilatkoztak a nukleáris energia jelenlegi helyzetéről, kiemelve az Egyesült Államokban zajló aktív projekteket (például a TerraPower Wyomingban és az X-energy együttműködése a Dow vállalattal), valamint a fejlett nukleáris üzemanyaggyártásba irányuló magánbefektetések növekedését. Felmerült az is, hogy a Világbank nukleáris projekteket is finanszírozhatna, ami tovább ösztönözhetné a globális beruházásokat, és megerősítené a nukleáris energia szerepét az energetikai átmenetben.

Belgiumban a kormány és az Engie közüzemi vállalat végleges megállapodást kötött a Tihange 3 és Doel 4 reaktorok üzemidejének tíz évvel történő meghosszabbításáról, amely az energiabiztonságot és a radioaktív hulladék kezelését is szolgálja. Németországban a nukleáris technológiai szövetség hangsúlyozta, hogy akár hat, nemrégiben leállított reaktor újraindítása technikailag megvalósítható, és a nukleáris energia biztonságos, gazdaságos, valamint klímabarát alternatívát jelent.

Nemzetközi együttműködés és kutatás

Kanadában a Prodigy Clean Energy és a Serco közel jár a szállítható atomerőművek tesztprogramjának befejezéséhez, amelynek középpontjában a biztonság és az extrém helyzetekben való ellenállóképesség áll. Az EnergySolutions és a WEC Energy Group új nukleáris kapacitás létesítését vizsgálja a wisconsini Kewaunee helyszínen, és előzetes engedélyeket kívánnak szerezni a jövőbeni telepítéshez.

Az IAEA ismételten hangsúlyozta, hogy kész támogatni a Zaporizzsjai Atomerőműre vonatkozó megállapodásokat, amely továbbra is orosz katonai ellenőrzés alatt áll, kiemelve a térségben fennálló geopolitikai és biztonsági kihívásokat.

---

Források:
world-nuclear-news.org
nucnet.org
iaea.org
ans.org

@ 472f440f:5669301e

As I'm sure many of you are aware already, Israel executed an attack on thousands of Hezbollah members in Lebanon earlier today. At the moment, it looks like Israel successfully waged a supply chain attack on the pagers used by Hezbollah members. Intercepting the devices and placing highly explosive material on the batteries that could be triggered remotely by raising the temperature of the batteries.

To my knowledge, this is the first time an attack of this nature and of this scale has ever been waged. This is a very serious and dangerous precedent that should make anyone reading this think long and hard about the ramifications of the normalization of this type of warfare.

It's not clear to me yet whether this is exactly what happened, but this seems to be where all of the reports are pointing. And when you consider the scale of this operation, it is hard to think of alternative ways that this could have been achieved outside of corrupting the supply chain of this particular pager. Regardless, the die has been cast and remote detonation attacks in crowded civilian areas has been battle tested as an appropriate war tactic.

Not only does this set a terrible precedent for war, but it also begs the question; if they can do something like this with a relatively dumb pager, how much damage could they do with something like an iPhone? How vulnerable are the billions of people who hold smartphones in their pockets, or drive internet connected electric vehicles with lithium ion batteries? How trivial was it for Mossad to gain access to these devices and at what part of the supply chain? Now that this attack has been deemed to be "on the table" how long will it take before others begin to wage similar attacks?

War tactics and their costs are rapidly changing right before our eyes. The war between Russia and Ukraine is showing that low cost drones strapped with bombs can be very effective weapons that can do damage to military equipment worth anywhere between tens of millions to billions of dollars. The Houthi rebels have used cheap drones to completely disrupt the Suez Canal for the better part of a year. The world has only seen the tip of the iceberg in regards to how this type of technology can be used at scale to tip the leverage of power towards those with less financial resources, but a willingness to engage in kinetic conflict. Some of these drones are strapped with thermite flame throwers!

Now that new information has been brought to the market - you can turn pagers and (likely) cellular phones into a network of improvised explosive devices via a software push that increases the temperature of the devices' batteries - it is only a matter of time before others figure out how to do it and begin using these tactics themselves. War machines have never been easier and cheaper to deploy. In a world that is becoming increasingly fractured and angry, this is absolutely frightening. Asymmetric warfare as predicted in the Sovereign Individual is upon us.

As it relates to bitcoin hardware, these attacks highlight that an attack that has been long talked about in the industry but not yet exploited to the best of our knowledge is very real. Supply chain attacks, particularly on bitcoin signing devices that store private key information, have just been proven to be very possible by motivated state actors. If a nation state wanted to somehow "prove" that bitcoin is insecure or figure out a low effort way to do a mass confiscation of bitcoin all they have to do is successfully attack the supply chain of a hardware manufacturer, corrupt the devices, and let them flow to the hands of individuals who believe they are securing their bitcoin in the best way possible. The best way to mitigate this risk is to hold you bitcoin in a multi-sig wallet using a quorum of keys produced by different hardware produced by different manufacturers. Companies like Unchained make this process as seamless and possible and supply chain attacks like the one that was laid bare today highlight why these collaborative custody models are so important. Especially if you are holding a large amount of wealth in bitcoin.

This is a sad day for the world. I'll be praying for peace and sanity to prevail.

Final thought... That was a terrible loss by the Birds.

@ 2b24a1fa:17750f64

Zum organisierten Corona-Komplex zählt auch der vermittelte Eindruck, dass es in den Jahren der sogenannten Pandemie praktisch nur noch eine Todesursache gab: Covid-19. Verkehrstote? Krebstote? Gewöhnliche Alterstote? Kann nicht sein.

https://soundcloud.com/radiomuenchen/studie-viele-falsche-corona-tote-von-multipolar?

UN-Generalsekretär Guterres sah die Welt „im Krieg mit dem Virus“, de facto war es ein Krieg mit der Wahrheit, den Regierungen und Mainstream-Medien ausfochten. Der berechtigte Einwand, es mache einen Unterschied, ob jemand mit Corona oder wegen Corona gestorben ist, wurde als Ketzerei abgekanzelt. Erst mit dem Krieg in der Ukraine geriet das „Jeder Tote ist ein Corona-Toter“-Narrativ an seine Propaganda-Grenzen und Corona verschwand so schnell aus dem medialen Tagesgeschäft wie es gekommen war. Das Geld, das man für Masken, sogenannte Impfstoffe und damit verbundener Korruption verschwendet hatte, musste man nun unbedingt für Waffen verschwenden. Umso wichtiger ist es, diese Zeit der Lügen und Grundrechtsverletzungen nicht einfach unter den Teppich zu kehren und darüber zu schweigen. Aufklärung leistet hier nach wie vor das Magazin Multipolar. Es berichtet von einer aktuellen Studie griechischer Forscher über „offizielle Corona-Todesfälle während Omikron“. Dabei erwies sich Corona nur in einer Minderheit der Fälle als direkte Todesursache.

Sprecherin: Sabrina Khalil

Originaltext bei Multipolar: multipolar-magazin.de/meldungen/0257

Bild: Chat GPT im Auftrag von Radio München

Radio München\ www.radiomuenchen.net/​\ @radiomuenchen\ www.facebook.com/radiomuenchen\ www.instagram.com/radio_muenchen/\ twitter.com/RadioMuenchen\ odysee.com/@RadioMuenchen.net:9\ rumble.com/user/RadioMunchen

Radio München ist eine gemeinnützige Unternehmung.\ Wir freuen uns, wenn Sie unsere Arbeit unterstützen.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

TAPS SIGN

"There is no industry in the world that is more ruthlessly competitive than the bitcoin mining industry."

From any angle you cut it the bitcoin mining economic landscape is absolutely BRUTAL at the moment. Hashprice is sitting right above an all time low at $0.04/TH/day. Yesterday brought with it yet another new difficulty all time high. Competition for energy resources is as fierce as it has ever been as rack space continues to be tight in the United States and hoards of AI data centers move in to scoop up as much power as possible.

To make matters worse, with current economics it doesn't really make sense to buy bitcoin mining machines at their current prices. The pay back period on machines is absurd considering where we find ourselves in the market. Adam O from Upstream Data broke it down in a tweet earlier today.

As he says, it probably makes more sense to buy used machines than new machines right now if you are looking to make back your money on a reasonable timeline. The only reasons you would buy new hardware right now is if you believe the price is going to rip in the near term (risky bet), you think hashrate is going to come off the network (risky bet), or if you have obscenely low power costs (unlikely for most).

If you have machines plugged in or are thinking about plugging them in soon you better be running firmware that enables you to run your machines more efficiently to increase margins. With current economics, I would make the argument that it is incredibly irresponsible to be running your machines using stock firmware. Especially if you are operating a miner in the public markets or are a private miner backed by investors. It is a disservice to your shareholders. This is a strategy we have been deploying at Cathedra for years now and it has helped us to survive during these trying times in the mining industry and set us up to successfully complete a strategic merger with Kungsleden at an opportune time.

On that note, this is a trend you can expect to pick up over the next six months; mergers and acquisitions. We wrote earlier this year that M&A activity would pick up after the halving began to eat into the economics of mining businesses and that is exactly what is happening. We decided to move early at Cathedra to get ahead of the curve. Since then Cleanspark announced a merger with GRIID, Riot has initiated an attempted hostile takeover of Bitfarms, Bitfarms has entered an agreement to merge with Stronghold, and Terawulf has signaled that they are open to a merger if a particular deal makes sense. On top of this, Rhodium slipped into bankruptcy last month. As margins continue to be squeezed and companies get more desperate I expect this type of consolidation to accelerate.

All signs are pointing toward more pain in the world of mining in the near term. There is nothing outside of a face ripping rally in the price of bitcoin or some unforeseen event that knocks out a material amount of hashrate that will change this reality. Especially considering the fact that Bitmain announced a new hydro model that will produce 860 TH/s at ~13 J/TH! This will be the highest hashing, most energy efficient machine to ever hit the market by a considerable margin.

Once these machines hit the market (if they haven't already via Bitmain plugging them in, which could explain new difficulty all time highs despite terrible mining conditions) every other machine on the market is going to suffer economically.

To make matters worse for everyone struggling right now, savvy energy producers are beginning to understand the benefits bitcoin mining can bring to their operational stack. Japanese energy giant TEPCO is reportedly planning to scale up their mining operations after beginning pilots in late 2022. They want to utilize the excess energy produced by renewable sources to mine bitcoin. From what I can tell, they haven't scaled up significantly yet. However, it is reasonable to believe that they will scale up and other energy producers will take notice. Pushing the industry closer to its inevitable end state; vertical integration via energy producers who have the lowest cost of production.

Thank you for coming to my TED Talk. Keep hashing if you can.

Final thought...

The pets need protecting.

@ 81022b27:2b8d0644

I literally have no clue what I'm doing.

Nostr is a decentralized protocol that lets users share messages and content through independent servers called relays, ensuring no single entity controls the network. It uses cryptographic keys to verify identities and secure messages, making it censorship-resistant and privacy-focused.

That is the simplest definition that Grok could come up with defining what is Nostr.

I’ve been intrigued by this because it ties in blockchain, publishing content and privacy all into one.

It is intimately tied to a Bitcoin wallet, where readers can “Zap” you tips in Satoshis- which is Bitcoin “change”

There are no intermediaries, no card processing fees, no gatekeepers to keep your content hidden,none of that.

Maybe i’m still mad about being censored on social media for my Covid-19 posts, but the idea of not being able to be censored by a corporation or even my own government is appealing to me.

There are apps to see videos, blog apps and social media type apps.

You own your content and you can move it around wherever you like.

I will be experimenting with posting on there.

I’ve got two profiles on there (I told you I didnt know what I was doing)

I’m inviting you to join me on Nostr.

Live Long and Prosper,

_Dan

nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzpqgz9vnnj6wkj3excxuvf2ug4xstp72g774v9tpnxzptag4c6pjyqqxnzde58yen2d35xg6njve5x6ph8l

@ 7f6db517:a4931eda

The former seems to have found solid product market fit. Expect significant volume, adoption, and usage going forward.

The latter's future remains to be seen. Dependence on Tor, which has had massive reliability issues, and lack of strong privacy guarantees put it at risk.

— ODELL (@ODELL) October 27, 2022

The Basics

• Lightning is a protocol that enables cheap and fast native bitcoin transactions.
• At the core of the protocol is the ability for bitcoin users to create a payment channel with another user.
• These payment channels enable users to make many bitcoin transactions between each other with only two on-chain bitcoin transactions: the channel open transaction and the channel close transaction.
• Essentially lightning is a protocol for interoperable batched bitcoin transactions.
• It is expected that on chain bitcoin transaction fees will increase with adoption and the ability to easily batch transactions will save users significant money.
• As these lightning transactions are processed, liquidity flows from one side of a channel to the other side, on chain transactions are signed by both parties but not broadcasted to update this balance.
• Lightning is designed to be trust minimized, either party in a payment channel can close the channel at any time and their bitcoin will be settled on chain without trusting the other party.

There is no 'Lightning Network'

• Many people refer to the aggregate of all lightning channels as 'The Lightning Network' but this is a false premise.
• There are many lightning channels between many different users and funds can flow across interconnected channels as long as there is a route through peers.
• If a lightning transaction requires multiple hops it will flow through multiple interconnected channels, adjusting the balance of all channels along the route, and paying lightning transaction fees that are set by each node on the route.

Example: You have a channel with Bob. Bob has a channel with Charlie. You can pay Charlie through your channel with Bob and Bob's channel with User C.

• As a result, it is not guaranteed that every lightning user can pay every other lightning user, they must have a route of interconnected channels between sender and receiver.

Lightning in Practice

• Lightning has already found product market fit and usage as an interconnected payment protocol between large professional custodians.
• They are able to easily manage channels and liquidity between each other without trust using this interoperable protocol.
• Lightning payments between large custodians are fast and easy. End users do not have to run their own node or manage their channels and liquidity. These payments rarely fail due to professional management of custodial nodes.
• The tradeoff is one inherent to custodians and other trusted third parties. Custodial wallets can steal funds and compromise user privacy.

Sovereign Lightning

• Trusted third parties are security holes.
• Users must run their own node and manage their own channels in order to use lightning without trusting a third party. This remains the single largest friction point for sovereign lightning usage: the mental burden of actively running a lightning node and associated liquidity management.
• Bitcoin development prioritizes node accessibility so cost to self host your own node is low but if a node is run at home or office, Tor or a VPN is recommended to mask your IP address: otherwise it is visible to the entire network and represents a privacy risk.
• This privacy risk is heightened due to the potential for certain governments to go after sovereign lightning users and compel them to shutdown their nodes. If their IP Address is exposed they are easier to target.
• Fortunately the tools to run and manage nodes continue to get easier but it is important to understand that this will always be a friction point when compared to custodial services.

The Potential Fracture of Lightning

• Any lightning user can choose which users are allowed to open channels with them.
• One potential is that professional custodians only peer with other professional custodians.
• We already see nodes like those run by CashApp only have channels open with other regulated counterparties. This could be due to performance goals, liability reduction, or regulatory pressure.

• Fortunately some of their peers are connected to non-regulated parties so payments to and from sovereign lightning users are still successfully processed by CashApp but this may not always be the case going forward.

Summary

• Many people refer to the aggregate of all lightning channels as 'The Lightning Network' but this is a false premise. There is no singular 'Lightning Network' but rather many payment channels between distinct peers, some connected with each other and some not.
• Lightning as an interoperable payment protocol between professional custodians seems to have found solid product market fit. Expect significant volume, adoption, and usage going forward.
• Lightning as a robust sovereign payment protocol has yet to be battle tested. Heavy reliance on Tor, which has had massive reliability issues, the friction of active liquidity management, significant on chain fee burden for small amounts, interactivity constraints on mobile, and lack of strong privacy guarantees put it at risk.

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If you have never used lightning before, use this guide to get started on your phone.

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Zum organisierten Corona-Komplex zählt auch der vermittelte Eindruck, dass es in den Jahren der sogenannten Pandemie praktisch nur noch eine Todesursache gab: Covid-19. Verkehrstote? Krebstote? Gewöhnliche Alterstote? Kann nicht sein. UN-Generalsekretär Guterres sah die Welt „im Krieg mit dem Virus“, de facto war es ein Krieg mit der Wahrheit, den Regierungen und Mainstream-Medien ausfochten.

https://soundcloud.com/radiomuenchen/studie-viele-falsche-corona-tote-von-multipolar

Der berechtigte Einwand, es mache einen Unterschied, ob jemand mit Corona oder wegen Corona gestorben ist, wurde als Ketzerei abgekanzelt. Erst mit dem Krieg in der Ukraine geriet das „Jeder Tote ist ein Corona-Toter“-Narrativ an seine Propaganda-Grenzen und Corona verschwand so schnell aus dem medialen Tagesgeschäft wie es gekommen war. Das Geld, das man für Masken, sogenannte Impfstoffe und damit verbundener Korruption verschwendet hatte, musste man nun unbedingt für Waffen verschwenden. Umso wichtiger ist es, diese Zeit der Lügen und Grundrechtsverletzungen nicht einfach unter den Teppich zu kehren und darüber zu schweigen. Aufklärung leistet hier nach wie vor das Magazin Multipolar. Es berichtet von einer aktuellen Studie griechischer Forscher über „offizielle Corona-Todesfälle während Omikron“. Dabei erwies sich Corona nur in einer Minderheit der Fälle als direkte Todesursache.

Sprecherin: Sabrina Khalil

Originaltext bei Multipolar: multipolar-magazin.de/meldungen/0257

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