@ a95c6243:d345522c

Ständige Lügen und Unterstellungen, permanent falsche Fürsorge \ können Bausteine von emotionaler Manipulation sein. Mit dem Zweck, \ Macht und Kontrolle über eine andere Person auszuüben. \ Apotheken Umschau

Irgendetwas muss passiert sein: «Gaslighting» ist gerade Thema in vielen Medien. Heute bin ich nach längerer Zeit mal wieder über dieses Stichwort gestolpert. Das war in einem Artikel von Norbert Häring über Manipulationen des Deutschen Wetterdienstes (DWD). In diesem Fall ging es um eine Pressemitteilung vom Donnerstag zum «viel zu warmen» Winter 2024/25.

Häring wirft der Behörde vor, dreist zu lügen und Dinge auszulassen, um die Klimaangst wach zu halten. Was der Leser beim DWD nicht erfahre, sei, dass dieser Winter kälter als die drei vorangegangenen und kälter als der Durchschnitt der letzten zehn Jahre gewesen sei. Stattdessen werde der falsche Eindruck vermittelt, es würde ungebremst immer wärmer.

Wem also der zu Ende gehende Winter eher kalt vorgekommen sein sollte, mit dessen Empfinden stimme wohl etwas nicht. Das jedenfalls wolle der DWD uns einreden, so der Wirtschaftsjournalist. Und damit sind wir beim Thema Gaslighting.

Als Gaslighting wird eine Form psychischer Manipulation bezeichnet, mit der die Opfer desorientiert und zutiefst verunsichert werden, indem ihre eigene Wahrnehmung als falsch bezeichnet wird. Der Prozess führt zu Angst und Realitätsverzerrung sowie zur Zerstörung des Selbstbewusstseins. Die Bezeichnung kommt von dem britischen Theaterstück «Gas Light» aus dem Jahr 1938, in dem ein Mann mit grausamen Psychotricks seine Frau in den Wahnsinn treibt.

Damit Gaslighting funktioniert, muss das Opfer dem Täter vertrauen. Oft wird solcher Psychoterror daher im privaten oder familiären Umfeld beschrieben, ebenso wie am Arbeitsplatz. Jedoch eignen sich die Prinzipien auch perfekt zur Manipulation der Massen. Vermeintliche Autoritäten wie Ärzte und Wissenschaftler, oder «der fürsorgliche Staat» und Institutionen wie die UNO oder die WHO wollen uns doch nichts Böses. Auch Staatsmedien, Faktenchecker und diverse NGOs wurden zu «vertrauenswürdigen Quellen» erklärt. Das hat seine Wirkung.

Warum das Thema Gaslighting derzeit scheinbar so populär ist, vermag ich nicht zu sagen. Es sind aber gerade in den letzten Tagen und Wochen auffällig viele Artikel dazu erschienen, und zwar nicht nur von Psychologen. Die Frankfurter Rundschau hat gleich mehrere publiziert, und Anwälte interessieren sich dafür offenbar genauso wie Apotheker.

Die Apotheken Umschau machte sogar auf «Medical Gaslighting» aufmerksam. Davon spreche man, wenn Mediziner Symptome nicht ernst nähmen oder wenn ein gesundheitliches Problem vom behandelnden Arzt «schnöde heruntergespielt» oder abgetan würde. Kommt Ihnen das auch irgendwie bekannt vor? Der Begriff sei allerdings irreführend, da er eine manipulierende Absicht unterstellt, die «nicht gewährleistet» sei.

Apropos Gaslighting: Die noch amtierende deutsche Bundesregierung meldete heute, es gelte, «weiter [sic!] gemeinsam daran zu arbeiten, einen gerechten und dauerhaften Frieden für die Ukraine zu erreichen». Die Ukraine, wo sich am Montag «der völkerrechtswidrige Angriffskrieg zum dritten Mal jährte», verteidige ihr Land und «unsere gemeinsamen Werte».

Merken Sie etwas? Das Demokratieverständnis mag ja tatsächlich inzwischen in beiden Ländern ähnlich traurig sein. Bezüglich Friedensbemühungen ist meine Wahrnehmung jedoch eine andere. Das muss an meinem Gedächtnis liegen.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Europa – das Ganze ist eine wunderbare Idee, \ aber das war der Kommunismus auch. \ Loriot

«Europa hat fertig», könnte man unken, und das wäre nicht einmal sehr verwegen. Mit solch einer Einschätzung stünden wir nicht alleine, denn die Stimmen in diese Richtung mehren sich. Der französische Präsident Emmanuel Macron warnte schon letztes Jahr davor, dass «unser Europa sterben könnte». Vermutlich hatte er dabei andere Gefahren im Kopf als jetzt der ungarische Ministerpräsident Viktor Orbán, der ein «baldiges Ende der EU» prognostizierte. Das Ergebnis könnte allerdings das gleiche sein.

Neben vordergründigen Themenbereichen wie Wirtschaft, Energie und Sicherheit ist das eigentliche Problem jedoch die obskure Mischung aus aufgegebener Souveränität und geschwollener Arroganz, mit der europäische Politiker:innende unterschiedlicher Couleur aufzutreten pflegen. Und das Tüpfelchen auf dem i ist die bröckelnde Legitimation politischer Institutionen dadurch, dass die Stimmen großer Teile der Bevölkerung seit Jahren auf vielfältige Weise ausgegrenzt werden.

Um «UnsereDemokratie» steht es schlecht. Dass seine Mandate immer schwächer werden, merkt natürlich auch unser «Führungspersonal». Entsprechend werden die Maßnahmen zur Gängelung, Überwachung und Manipulation der Bürger ständig verzweifelter. Parallel dazu plustern sich in Paris Macron, Scholz und einige andere noch einmal mächtig in Sachen Verteidigung und «Kriegstüchtigkeit» auf.

Momentan gilt es auch, das Überschwappen covidiotischer und verschwörungsideologischer Auswüchse aus den USA nach Europa zu vermeiden. So ein «MEGA» (Make Europe Great Again) können wir hier nicht gebrauchen. Aus den Vereinigten Staaten kommen nämlich furchtbare Nachrichten. Beispielsweise wurde einer der schärfsten Kritiker der Corona-Maßnahmen kürzlich zum Gesundheitsminister ernannt. Dieser setzt sich jetzt für eine Neubewertung der mRNA-«Impfstoffe» ein, was durchaus zu einem Entzug der Zulassungen führen könnte.

Der europäischen Version von «Verteidigung der Demokratie» setzte der US-Vizepräsident J. D. Vance auf der Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz sein Verständnis entgegen: «Demokratie stärken, indem wir unseren Bürgern erlauben, ihre Meinung zu sagen». Das Abschalten von Medien, das Annullieren von Wahlen oder das Ausschließen von Menschen vom politischen Prozess schütze gar nichts. Vielmehr sei dies der todsichere Weg, die Demokratie zu zerstören.

In der Schweiz kamen seine Worte deutlich besser an als in den meisten europäischen NATO-Ländern. Bundespräsidentin Karin Keller-Sutter lobte die Rede und interpretierte sie als «Plädoyer für die direkte Demokratie». Möglicherweise zeichne sich hier eine außenpolitische Kehrtwende in Richtung integraler Neutralität ab, meint mein Kollege Daniel Funk. Das wären doch endlich mal ein paar gute Nachrichten.

Von der einstigen Idee einer europäischen Union mit engeren Beziehungen zwischen den Staaten, um Konflikte zu vermeiden und das Wohlergehen der Bürger zu verbessern, sind wir meilenweit abgekommen. Der heutige korrupte Verbund unter technokratischer Leitung ähnelt mehr einem Selbstbedienungsladen mit sehr begrenztem Zugang. Die EU-Wahlen im letzten Sommer haben daran ebenso wenig geändert, wie die Bundestagswahl am kommenden Sonntag darauf einen Einfluss haben wird.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ f33c8a96:5ec6f741

Setting Up Git and GitHub: A Developer's Foundation

Lesson Overview

In this lesson, we'll establish one of the most important foundations of your development journey: version control with Git and GitHub. This knowledge will enable you to track your code, back it up in the cloud, and start building your developer portfolio.

Prerequisites

• Visual Studio Code installed
• Terminal/Command Line basics
• GitHub account (we'll create one in this lesson)

Key Learning Objectives

• Understand what Git and GitHub are and why they're essential
• Set up Git locally and connect it to GitHub
• Learn basic Git commands and workflow
• Create your first repository and commit
• Establish good Git habits for your developer journey

What is Git and GitHub?

Git: Your Local Version Control

• A version control system that tracks code changes over time
• Prevents accidental overwrites of your work
• Enables multiple developers to work on the same project safely
• Runs locally on your machine

GitHub: Your Code in the Cloud

• A web-based platform that extends Git
• Cloud storage for your code repositories
• Enables code sharing and collaboration
• Includes features like:
• Issue tracking
• Pull requests
• Project management tools
• Code review capabilities

Why Use GitHub?

1. Portfolio Building

• Acts as your "proof of work" as a developer
• Shows your coding activity through contribution graphs
• Demonstrates your consistency and dedication
• Serves as a public showcase of your projects

2. Collaboration and Learning

• Access millions of open-source projects
• Learn from other developers' code
• Contribute to real-world projects
• Get feedback on your code
• Work effectively in teams

3. Code Safety and Access

• All your code is safely stored in the cloud
• Access your projects from anywhere
• Never lose your work due to computer issues

Essential GitHub Terminology

| Term | Definition | |------|------------| | Repository (Repo) | A folder containing your project files and version history | | Commit | A saved change or addition to your code | | Staging | Marking changes to be included in your next commit | | Push | Sending your local commits to GitHub | | Branch | A separate version of your code for new features or experiments | | Pull Request (PR) | A request to merge changes from one branch to another | | Clone | Creating a local copy of a remote repository | | Fork | Creating your own copy of someone else's repository |

Hands-on Practice

Setting Up Git

1. Install Git from https://git-scm.com/downloads
2. Configure your identity: bash git config --global user.name "Your Name" git config --global user.email "your.email@example.com"

Your First Repository

1. Create a new repository on GitHub named "hello-world"
2. Initialize Git locally: bash git init git add . git commit -m "My first commit" git remote add origin <your-repository-url> git push -u origin main

Basic Git Workflow Quick Reference

Pushing Code to GitHub

```bash

1. Stage your changes

git add .

2. Commit your changes with a message

git commit -m "Describe your changes here"

3. Push to GitHub

git push ```

Getting Code from GitHub

```bash

If you already have the repository locally:

git pull

If you need to download a repository:

git clone https://github.com/username/repository.git ```

Building Good Habits

Daily Git Practice

• Make it a goal to push code every day
• Even small changes count
• Use your GitHub contribution graph as motivation
• Track your progress over time

Best Practices

1. Commit often with clear messages
2. Pull before you start working
3. Push your changes when you finish
4. Keep each project in its own repository
5. Include README files to explain your projects

Common Issues and Solutions

"No upstream branch" Error

If you see this error when pushing: bash git push --set-upstream origin main

Changes Not Showing Up

1. Check if changes are staged: bash git status
2. Make sure you've committed: bash git commit -m "Your message"
3. Verify you've pushed: bash git push

Exercise: Start Your Journey

1. Create your GitHub account if you haven't already
2. Set up Git locally using the commands we covered
3. Create your first repository named "hello-world"
4. Make your first commit
5. Push your code to GitHub
6. Make a habit of pushing code daily

Additional Resources

• GitHub Documentation
• Git Documentation
• Practice with GitHub Learning Lab

Next Steps

• Start tracking all your code projects with Git
• Begin building your portfolio on GitHub
• Join the open-source community
• Collaborate with other developers

Remember: Every developer started where you are now. The key is consistency and persistence. Make pushing code to GitHub a daily habit, and you'll be amazed at your progress over time.

Happy coding! 🚀

@ b2d670de:907f9d4a

onion-service-nostr-relays

A list of nostr relays exposed as onion services.

The list

| Relay name | Description | Onion url | Operator | Payment URL | Payment options | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | nostr.oxtr.dev | Same relay as clearnet relay nostr.oxtr.dev | ws://oxtrdevav64z64yb7x6rjg4ntzqjhedm5b5zjqulugknhzr46ny2qbad.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | relay.snort.social | Same relay as clearnet relay relay.snort.social | wss://skzzn6cimfdv5e2phjc4yr5v7ikbxtn5f7dkwn5c7v47tduzlbosqmqd.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | nostr.thesamecat.io | Same relay as clearnet relay nostr.thesamecat.io | ws://2jsnlhfnelig5acq6iacydmzdbdmg7xwunm4xl6qwbvzacw4lwrjmlyd.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | nostr.land | The nostr.land paid relay (same as clearnet) | ws://nostrland2gdw7g3y77ctftovvil76vquipymo7tsctlxpiwknevzfid.onion | operator | Payment URL | BTC LN | | bitcoiner.social | No auth required, currently | ws://bitcoinr6de5lkvx4tpwdmzrdfdpla5sya2afwpcabjup2xpi5dulbad.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | relay.westernbtc.com | The westernbtc.com paid relay | ws://westbtcebhgi4ilxxziefho6bqu5lqwa5ncfjefnfebbhx2cwqx5knyd.onion | operator | Payment URL | BTC LN | | freelay.sovbit.host | Free relay for sovbit.host | ws://sovbitm2enxfr5ot6qscwy5ermdffbqscy66wirkbsigvcshumyzbbqd.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | nostr.sovbit.host | Paid relay for sovbit.host | ws://sovbitgz5uqyh7jwcsudq4sspxlj4kbnurvd3xarkkx2use3k6rlibqd.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | nostr.wine | 🍷 nostr.wine relay | ws://nostrwinemdptvqukjttinajfeedhf46hfd5bz2aj2q5uwp7zros3nad.onion | operator | Payment URL | BTC LN, BTC, Credit Card/CashApp (Stripe) | | inbox.nostr.wine | 🍷 inbox.nostr.wine relay | ws://wineinboxkayswlofkugkjwhoyi744qvlzdxlmdvwe7cei2xxy4gc6ad.onion | operator | Payment URL | BTC LN, BTC | | filter.nostr.wine | 🍷 filter.nostr.wine proxy relay | ws://winefiltermhqixxzmnzxhrmaufpnfq3rmjcl6ei45iy4aidrngpsyid.onion | operator | Payment URL | BTC LN, BTC | | N/A | N/A | ws://pzfw4uteha62iwkzm3lycabk4pbtcr67cg5ymp5i3xwrpt3t24m6tzad.onion:81 | operator | N/A | N/A | | nostr.fractalized.net | Free relay for fractalized.net | ws://xvgox2zzo7cfxcjrd2llrkthvjs5t7efoalu34s6lmkqhvzvrms6ipyd.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | nfrelay.app | nfrelay.app aggregator relay (nostr-filter-relay) | ws://nfrelay6saohkmipikquvrn6d64dzxivhmcdcj4d5i7wxis47xwsriyd.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | relay.nostr.net | Public relay from nostr.net (Same as clearnet) | ws://nostrnetl6yd5whkldj3vqsxyyaq3tkuspy23a3qgx7cdepb4564qgqd.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | nerostrator | Free to read, pay XMR to relay | ws://nerostrrgb5fhj6dnzhjbgmnkpy2berdlczh6tuh2jsqrjok3j4zoxid.onion | operator |Payment URL | XMR | | nostr.girino.org | Public relay from nostr.girino.org | ws://gnostr2jnapk72mnagq3cuykfon73temzp77hcbncn4silgt77boruid.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | wot.girino.org | WoT relay from wot.girino.org | ws://girwot2koy3kvj6fk7oseoqazp5vwbeawocb3m27jcqtah65f2fkl3yd.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | haven.girino.org/{outbox, inbox, chat, private} | Haven smart relay from haven.girino.org | ws://ghaven2hi3qn2riitw7ymaztdpztrvmm337e2pgkacfh3rnscaoxjoad.onion/{outbox, inbox, chat, private} | operator | N/A | N/A | | relay.nostpy.lol | Free Web of Trust relay (Same as clearnet) | ws://pemgkkqjqjde7y2emc2hpxocexugbixp42o4zymznil6zfegx5nfp4id.onion | operator |N/A | N/A | | Poster.place Nostr Relay | N/A | ws://dmw5wbawyovz7fcahvguwkw4sknsqsalffwctioeoqkvvy7ygjbcuoad.onion | operator | N/A | N/A | | Azzamo Relay | Azzamo Premium Nostr relay. (paid) | ws://q6a7m5qkyonzb5fk5yv4jyu3ar44hqedn7wjopg737lit2ckkhx2nyid.onion | operator | Payment URL | BTC LN | | Azzamo Inbox Relay | Azzamo Group and Private message relay. (Freemium) | ws://gp5kiwqfw7t2fwb3rfts2aekoph4x7pj5pv65re2y6hzaujsxewanbqd.onion | operator | Payment URL | BTC LN | | Noderunners Relay | The official Noderunners Nostr Relay. | ws://35vr3xigzjv2xyzfyif6o2gksmkioppy4rmwag7d4bqmwuccs2u4jaid.onion | operator | Payment URL | BTC LN |

Contributing

Contributions are encouraged to keep this document alive. Just open a PR and I'll have it tested and merged. The onion URL is the only mandatory column, the rest is just nice-to-have metadata about the relay. Put N/A in empty columns.

If you want to contribute anonymously, please contact me on SimpleX or send a DM on nostr using a disposable npub.

Operator column

It is generally preferred to use something that includes a NIP-19 string, either just the string or a url that contains the NIP-19 string in it (e.g. an njump url).

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Die «moralische Weltordnung» – eine Art Astrologie. Friedrich Nietzsche

Das Treffen der BRICS-Staaten beim Gipfel im russischen Kasan war sicher nicht irgendein politisches Event. Gastgeber Wladimir Putin habe «Hof gehalten», sagen die Einen, China und Russland hätten ihre Vorstellung einer multipolaren Weltordnung zelebriert, schreiben Andere.

In jedem Fall zeigt die Anwesenheit von über 30 Delegationen aus der ganzen Welt, dass von einer geostrategischen Isolation Russlands wohl keine Rede sein kann. Darüber hinaus haben sowohl die Anreise von UN-Generalsekretär António Guterres als auch die Meldungen und Dementis bezüglich der Beitrittsbemühungen des NATO-Staats Türkei für etwas Aufsehen gesorgt.

Im Spannungsfeld geopolitischer und wirtschaftlicher Umbrüche zeigt die neue Allianz zunehmendes Selbstbewusstsein. In Sachen gemeinsamer Finanzpolitik schmiedet man interessante Pläne. Größere Unabhängigkeit von der US-dominierten Finanzordnung ist dabei ein wichtiges Ziel.

Beim BRICS-Wirtschaftsforum in Moskau, wenige Tage vor dem Gipfel, zählte ein nachhaltiges System für Finanzabrechnungen und Zahlungsdienste zu den vorrangigen Themen. Während dieses Treffens ging der russische Staatsfonds eine Partnerschaft mit dem Rechenzentrumsbetreiber BitRiver ein, um Bitcoin-Mining-Anlagen für die BRICS-Länder zu errichten.

Die Initiative könnte ein Schritt sein, Bitcoin und andere Kryptowährungen als Alternativen zu traditionellen Finanzsystemen zu etablieren. Das Projekt könnte dazu führen, dass die BRICS-Staaten den globalen Handel in Bitcoin abwickeln. Vor dem Hintergrund der Diskussionen über eine «BRICS-Währung» wäre dies eine Alternative zu dem ursprünglich angedachten Korb lokaler Währungen und zu goldgedeckten Währungen sowie eine mögliche Ergänzung zum Zahlungssystem BRICS Pay.

Dient der Bitcoin also der Entdollarisierung? Oder droht er inzwischen, zum Gegenstand geopolitischer Machtspielchen zu werden? Angesichts der globalen Vernetzungen ist es oft schwer zu durchschauen, «was eine Show ist und was im Hintergrund von anderen Strippenziehern insgeheim gesteuert wird». Sicher können Strukturen wie Bitcoin auch so genutzt werden, dass sie den Herrschenden dienlich sind. Aber die Grundeigenschaft des dezentralisierten, unzensierbaren Peer-to-Peer Zahlungsnetzwerks ist ihm schließlich nicht zu nehmen.

Wenn es nach der EZB oder dem IWF geht, dann scheint statt Instrumentalisierung momentan eher der Kampf gegen Kryptowährungen angesagt. Jürgen Schaaf, Senior Manager bei der Europäischen Zentralbank, hat jedenfalls dazu aufgerufen, Bitcoin «zu eliminieren». Der Internationale Währungsfonds forderte El Salvador, das Bitcoin 2021 als gesetzliches Zahlungsmittel eingeführt hat, kürzlich zu begrenzenden Maßnahmen gegen das Kryptogeld auf.

Dass die BRICS-Staaten ein freiheitliches Ansinnen im Kopf haben, wenn sie Kryptowährungen ins Spiel bringen, darf indes auch bezweifelt werden. Im Abschlussdokument bekennen sich die Gipfel-Teilnehmer ausdrücklich zur UN, ihren Programmen und ihrer «Agenda 2030». Ernst Wolff nennt das «eine Bankrotterklärung korrupter Politiker, die sich dem digital-finanziellen Komplex zu 100 Prozent unterwerfen».

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Auf der diesjährigen Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz geht es vor allem um die Ukraine. Protagonisten sind dabei zunächst die US-Amerikaner. Präsident Trump schockierte die Europäer kurz vorher durch ein Telefonat mit seinem Amtskollegen Wladimir Putin, während Vizepräsident Vance mit seiner Rede über Demokratie und Meinungsfreiheit für versteinerte Mienen und Empörung sorgte.

Die Bemühungen der Europäer um einen Frieden in der Ukraine halten sich, gelinde gesagt, in Grenzen. Größeres Augenmerk wird auf militärische Unterstützung, die Pflege von Feindbildern sowie Eskalation gelegt. Der deutsche Bundeskanzler Scholz reagierte auf die angekündigten Verhandlungen über einen möglichen Frieden für die Ukraine mit der Forderung nach noch höheren «Verteidigungsausgaben». Auch die amtierende Außenministerin Baerbock hatte vor der Münchner Konferenz klargestellt:

«Frieden wird es nur durch Stärke geben. (...) Bei Corona haben wir gesehen, zu was Europa fähig ist. Es braucht erneut Investitionen, die der historischen Wegmarke, vor der wir stehen, angemessen sind.»

Die Rüstungsindustrie freut sich in jedem Fall über weltweit steigende Militärausgaben. Die Kriege in der Ukraine und in Gaza tragen zu Rekordeinnahmen bei. Jetzt «winkt die Aussicht auf eine jahrelange große Nachrüstung in Europa», auch wenn der Ukraine-Krieg enden sollte, so hört man aus Finanzkreisen. In der Konsequenz kennt «die Aktie des deutschen Vorzeige-Rüstungskonzerns Rheinmetall in ihrem Anstieg offenbar gar keine Grenzen mehr». «Solche Friedensversprechen» wie das jetzige hätten in der Vergangenheit zu starken Kursverlusten geführt.

Für manche Leute sind Kriegswaffen und sonstige Rüstungsgüter Waren wie alle anderen, jedenfalls aus der Perspektive von Investoren oder Managern. Auch in diesem Bereich gibt es Startups und man spricht von Dingen wie innovativen Herangehensweisen, hocheffizienten Produktionsanlagen, skalierbaren Produktionstechniken und geringeren Stückkosten.

Wir lesen aktuell von Massenproduktion und gesteigerten Fertigungskapazitäten für Kriegsgerät. Der Motor solcher Dynamik und solchen Wachstums ist die Aufrüstung, die inzwischen permanent gefordert wird. Parallel wird die Bevölkerung verbal eingestimmt und auf Kriegstüchtigkeit getrimmt.

Das Rüstungs- und KI-Startup Helsing verkündete kürzlich eine «dezentrale Massenproduktion für den Ukrainekrieg». Mit dieser Expansion positioniere sich das Münchner Unternehmen als einer der weltweit führenden Hersteller von Kampfdrohnen. Der nächste «Meilenstein» steht auch bereits an: Man will eine Satellitenflotte im Weltraum aufbauen, zur Überwachung von Gefechtsfeldern und Truppenbewegungen.

Ebenfalls aus München stammt das als DefenseTech-Startup bezeichnete Unternehmen ARX Robotics. Kürzlich habe man in der Region die größte europäische Produktionsstätte für autonome Verteidigungssysteme eröffnet. Damit fahre man die Produktion von Militär-Robotern hoch. Diese Expansion diene auch der Lieferung der «größten Flotte unbemannter Bodensysteme westlicher Bauart» in die Ukraine.

Rüstung boomt und scheint ein Zukunftsmarkt zu sein. Die Hersteller und Vermarkter betonen, mit ihren Aktivitäten und Produkten solle die europäische Verteidigungsfähigkeit erhöht werden. Ihre Strategien sollten sogar «zum Schutz demokratischer Strukturen beitragen».

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ 378562cd:a6fc6773

You're in the right place if you've feel like you have never known God but feel drawn to Him. The Bible is God’s Word, His way of speaking to us, and it holds the truth about who He is, who we are, and how we can have a relationship with Him.

Here’s a simple guide to getting started:

Step 1: Begin with Jesus The best place to start is with Jesus. He is the heart of the Bible’s message; we can know God through Him. Start by reading the Gospel of John in the New Testament. It clearly shows who Jesus is, His love for us, and why He came to save us.

Step 2: Talk to God as You Read Reading the Bible isn’t just about gathering knowledge and meeting God. Ask Him to help you understand. A simple prayer like, "God, if You are real, show me the truth. Help me know You" is enough.

Step 3: Understand the Main Message The Bible tells one big story:

God created us (Genesis 1:1) Sin separated us from God (Romans 3:23) Jesus came to save us (John 3:16) We can be forgiven and have eternal life through Him (Romans 10:9)

Step 4: Accepting Jesus into Your Heart If you believe that Jesus is the Son of God, that He died for your sins, and that He rose again, you can ask Him to forgive you and come into your life. You don’t need fancy words—just a sincere heart.

You can pray something like this: "Jesus, I believe You are the Son of God. I believe You died for my sins and rose again. I ask You to forgive me, change me, and come into my life. I want to follow You. Amen."

Step 5: Keep Going! Read a little each day. Start with John, then move to Matthew, Mark, and Luke.

Find a Bible-believing church or group to help you grow. Pray daily — talk to God like you would a friend. Trust that God will guide you as you seek Him. If you’ve taken these steps, you’ve begun the greatest journey of your life—walking with Jesus. Keep seeking, keep learning, and know that God loves you deeply. 💙

I may not know you, and you may not know me, but this guide can be a lifeline if you carry burdens— drama, heartache, struggles, pains or whatever. If you commit to following the steps of this guide and make time to read your Bible daily, you’ll find wisdom, peace, and the strength to face whatever life throws your way.

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Nur wenn wir aufeinander zugehen, haben wir die Chance \ auf Überwindung der gegenseitigen Ressentiments! \ Dr. med. dent. Jens Knipphals

In Wolfsburg sollte es kürzlich eine Gesprächsrunde von Kritikern der Corona-Politik mit Oberbürgermeister Dennis Weilmann und Vertretern der Stadtverwaltung geben. Der Zahnarzt und langjährige Maßnahmenkritiker Jens Knipphals hatte diese Einladung ins Rathaus erwirkt und publiziert. Seine Motivation:

«Ich möchte die Spaltung der Gesellschaft überwinden. Dazu ist eine umfassende Aufarbeitung der Corona-Krise in der Öffentlichkeit notwendig.»

Schon früher hatte Knipphals Antworten von den Kommunalpolitikern verlangt, zum Beispiel bei öffentlichen Bürgerfragestunden. Für das erwartete Treffen im Rathaus formulierte er Fragen wie: Warum wurden fachliche Argumente der Kritiker ignoriert? Weshalb wurde deren Ausgrenzung, Diskreditierung und Entmenschlichung nicht entgegengetreten? In welcher Form übernehmen Rat und Verwaltung in Wolfsburg persönlich Verantwortung für die erheblichen Folgen der politischen Corona-Krise?

Der Termin fand allerdings nicht statt – der Bürgermeister sagte ihn kurz vorher wieder ab. Knipphals bezeichnete Weilmann anschließend als Wiederholungstäter, da das Stadtoberhaupt bereits 2022 zu einem Runden Tisch in der Sache eingeladen hatte, den es dann nie gab. Gegenüber Multipolar erklärte der Arzt, Weilmann wolle scheinbar eine öffentliche Aufarbeitung mit allen Mitteln verhindern. Er selbst sei «inzwischen absolut desillusioniert» und die einzige Lösung sei, dass die Verantwortlichen gingen.

Die Aufarbeitung der Plandemie beginne bei jedem von uns selbst, sei aber letztlich eine gesamtgesellschaftliche Aufgabe, schreibt Peter Frey, der den «Fall Wolfsburg» auch in seinem Blog behandelt. Diese Aufgabe sei indes deutlich größer, als viele glaubten. Erfreulicherweise sei der öffentliche Informationsraum inzwischen größer, trotz der weiterhin unverfrorenen Desinformations-Kampagnen der etablierten Massenmedien.

Frey erinnert daran, dass Dennis Weilmann mitverantwortlich für gravierende Grundrechtseinschränkungen wie die 2021 eingeführten 2G-Regeln in der Wolfsburger Innenstadt zeichnet. Es sei naiv anzunehmen, dass ein Funktionär einzig im Interesse der Bürger handeln würde. Als früherer Dezernent des Amtes für Wirtschaft, Digitalisierung und Kultur der Autostadt kenne Weilmann zum Beispiel die Verknüpfung von Fördergeldern mit politischen Zielsetzungen gut.

Wolfsburg wurde damals zu einem Modellprojekt des Bundesministeriums des Innern (BMI) und war Finalist im Bitkom-Wettbewerb «Digitale Stadt». So habe rechtzeitig vor der Plandemie das Projekt «Smart City Wolfsburg» anlaufen können, das der Stadt «eine Vorreiterrolle für umfassende Vernetzung und Datenerfassung» aufgetragen habe, sagt Frey. Die Vereinten Nationen verkauften dann derartige «intelligente» Überwachungs- und Kontrollmaßnahmen ebenso als Rettung in der Not wie das Magazin Forbes im April 2020:

«Intelligente Städte können uns helfen, die Coronavirus-Pandemie zu bekämpfen. In einer wachsenden Zahl von Ländern tun die intelligenten Städte genau das. Regierungen und lokale Behörden nutzen Smart-City-Technologien, Sensoren und Daten, um die Kontakte von Menschen aufzuspüren, die mit dem Coronavirus infiziert sind. Gleichzeitig helfen die Smart Cities auch dabei, festzustellen, ob die Regeln der sozialen Distanzierung eingehalten werden.»

Offensichtlich gibt es viele Aspekte zu bedenken und zu durchleuten, wenn es um die Aufklärung und Aufarbeitung der sogenannten «Corona-Pandemie» und der verordneten Maßnahmen geht. Frustration und Desillusion sind angesichts der Realitäten absolut verständlich. Gerade deswegen sind Initiativen wie die von Jens Knipphals so bewundernswert und so wichtig – ebenso wie eine seiner Kernthesen: «Wir müssen aufeinander zugehen, da hilft alles nichts».

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Im Augenblick wird mit größter Intensität, großer Umsicht \ das deutsche Volk belogen. \ Olaf Scholz im FAZ-Interview

Online-Wahlen stärken die Demokratie, sind sicher, und 61 Prozent der Wahlberechtigten sprechen sich für deren Einführung in Deutschland aus. Das zumindest behauptet eine aktuelle Umfrage, die auch über die Agentur Reuters Verbreitung in den Medien gefunden hat. Demnach würden außerdem 45 Prozent der Nichtwähler bei der Bundestagswahl ihre Stimme abgeben, wenn sie dies zum Beispiel von Ihrem PC, Tablet oder Smartphone aus machen könnten.

Die telefonische Umfrage unter gut 1000 wahlberechtigten Personen sei repräsentativ, behauptet der Auftraggeber – der Digitalverband Bitkom. Dieser präsentiert sich als eingetragener Verein mit einer beeindruckenden Liste von Mitgliedern, die Software und IT-Dienstleistungen anbieten. Erklärtes Vereinsziel ist es, «Deutschland zu einem führenden Digitalstandort zu machen und die digitale Transformation der deutschen Wirtschaft und Verwaltung voranzutreiben».

Durchgeführt hat die Befragung die Bitkom Servicegesellschaft mbH, also alles in der Familie. Die gleiche Erhebung hatte der Verband übrigens 2021 schon einmal durchgeführt. Damals sprachen sich angeblich sogar 63 Prozent für ein derartiges «Demokratie-Update» aus – die Tendenz ist demgemäß fallend. Dennoch orakelt mancher, der Gang zur Wahlurne gelte bereits als veraltet.

Die spanische Privat-Uni mit Globalisten-Touch, IE University, berichtete Ende letzten Jahres in ihrer Studie «European Tech Insights», 67 Prozent der Europäer befürchteten, dass Hacker Wahlergebnisse verfälschen könnten. Mehr als 30 Prozent der Befragten glaubten, dass künstliche Intelligenz (KI) bereits Wahlentscheidungen beeinflusst habe. Trotzdem würden angeblich 34 Prozent der unter 35-Jährigen einer KI-gesteuerten App vertrauen, um in ihrem Namen für politische Kandidaten zu stimmen.

Wie dauerhaft wird wohl das Ergebnis der kommenden Bundestagswahl sein? Diese Frage stellt sich angesichts der aktuellen Entwicklung der Migrations-Debatte und der (vorübergehend) bröckelnden «Brandmauer» gegen die AfD. Das «Zustrombegrenzungsgesetz» der Union hat das Parlament heute Nachmittag überraschenderweise abgelehnt. Dennoch muss man wohl kein ausgesprochener Pessimist sein, um zu befürchten, dass die Entscheidungen der Bürger von den selbsternannten Verteidigern der Demokratie künftig vielleicht nicht respektiert werden, weil sie nicht gefallen.

Bundesweit wird jetzt zu «Brandmauer-Demos» aufgerufen, die CDU gerät unter Druck und es wird von Übergriffen auf Parteibüros und Drohungen gegen Mitarbeiter berichtet. Sicherheitsbehörden warnen vor Eskalationen, die Polizei sei «für ein mögliches erhöhtes Aufkommen von Straftaten gegenüber Politikern und gegen Parteigebäude sensibilisiert».

Der Vorwand «unzulässiger Einflussnahme» auf Politik und Wahlen wird als Argument schon seit einiger Zeit aufgebaut. Der Manipulation schuldig befunden wird neben Putin und Trump auch Elon Musk, was lustigerweise ausgerechnet Bill Gates gerade noch einmal bekräftigt und als «völlig irre» bezeichnet hat. Man stelle sich die Diskussionen um die Gültigkeit von Wahlergebnissen vor, wenn es Online-Verfahren zur Stimmabgabe gäbe. In der Schweiz wird «E-Voting» seit einigen Jahren getestet, aber wohl bisher mit wenig Erfolg.

Die politische Brandstiftung der letzten Jahre zahlt sich immer mehr aus. Anstatt dringende Probleme der Menschen zu lösen – zu denen auch in Deutschland die weit verbreitete Armut zählt –, hat die Politik konsequent polarisiert und sich auf Ausgrenzung und Verhöhnung großer Teile der Bevölkerung konzentriert. Basierend auf Ideologie und Lügen werden abweichende Stimmen unterdrückt und kriminalisiert, nicht nur und nicht erst in diesem Augenblick. Die nächsten Wochen dürften ausgesprochen spannend werden.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ a012dc82:6458a70d

Bitcoin, since its creation by the enigmatic figure Satoshi Nakamoto, has revolutionized the concept of currency. Its journey from an obscure digital token to a major financial asset has been marked by dramatic bull runs, capturing the attention of investors worldwide. These surges in Bitcoin's value are not random but are driven by a combination of technological innovation, economic factors, and unique monetary policy. In this article, we explore the intricacies of Bitcoin's scarcity, the halving process, and the broader market dynamics that contribute to its periodic bull runs.

The allure of Bitcoin lies not just in its technological novelty but also in its challenge to traditional financial systems. It represents a decentralized form of currency, free from government control and manipulation. This aspect has been particularly appealing in times of economic uncertainty, where traditional currencies and markets have shown vulnerability. Bitcoin's bull runs can be seen as a barometer of the changing landscape of finance, reflecting a growing shift towards digital assets.

Table of Contents

• The Concept of Scarcity in Bitcoin

  • Finite Supply

  • Impact on Value

• The Halving Events

  • Mechanism and Purpose

  • Historical Impact on Price

• Market Dynamics and Investor Sentiment

  • Institutional Investment

  • Global Economic Factors

  • Technological Advancements

  • Regulatory Environment

• Conclusion

• FAQs

The Concept of Scarcity in Bitcoin

Finite Supply

Bitcoin's protocol ensures that only 21 million coins will ever be in existence. This limit is encoded in its blockchain, making it a deflationary asset as opposed to inflationary fiat currencies. The idea behind this is to create a form of money that can resist inflationary pressures over time, much like gold, which has maintained its value for centuries due to its scarcity.

Impact on Value

The scarcity of Bitcoin has a profound psychological impact on investors. It creates a sense of urgency and a fear of missing out (FOMO) as the available supply dwindles. This is particularly evident as each Bitcoin halving event approaches, reminding the market of the ever-decreasing new supply. The result is often a speculative rally, as seen in the past bull runs. Moreover, as Bitcoin becomes more scarce, its comparison to gold becomes increasingly apt, attracting investors who are looking for assets that can retain value over time.

Scarcity also plays into the hands of long-term investors, often referred to as 'HODLers' in the crypto community. These investors view Bitcoin as a long-term store of value, akin to an investment in precious metals. The limited supply of Bitcoin reassures these investors that their holdings will not be devalued through oversupply, a common problem in fiat currencies.

The Halving Events

Mechanism and Purpose

Bitcoin's halving is a genius mechanism that ensures a controlled and gradual distribution of coins. By reducing the mining reward by half every four years, Bitcoin mimics the process of extracting a natural resource like gold, becoming progressively harder and more resource-intensive to mine. This not only controls inflation but also adds to the scarcity, making each coin more valuable over time.

Historical Impact on Price

Each halving event has historically led to an increase in Bitcoin's price, though not immediately. There is typically a lag between the halving and the subsequent bull run. This delay can be attributed to market adjustment and the gradual realization of reduced supply. The anticipation of this price increase often starts a positive feedback loop, attracting more investors and further driving up the price.

The halving events serve as key milestones in Bitcoin's timeline, providing a predictable pattern of supply reduction that savvy investors monitor closely. These events have become celebratory moments within the Bitcoin community, symbolizing the strength and resilience of the network. They also serve as a reminder of Bitcoin's unique value proposition in the world of cryptocurrencies.

Market Dynamics and Investor Sentiment

Institutional Investment

The recent years have seen a paradigm shift with the entry of institutional investors into the Bitcoin market. This shift is significant as it marks a departure from Bitcoin's early days of being a niche asset for tech enthusiasts. Institutional investors bring with them not only large capital inflows but also a sense of legitimacy and stability to the market. Their involvement has been a key driver in the maturation of the cryptocurrency market, making it more appealing to a broader audience.

Global Economic Factors

The role of global economic factors in influencing Bitcoin's price cannot be overstated. In times of economic instability, such as during the COVID-19 pandemic, investors increasingly turned to Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. This trend is indicative of a growing recognition of Bitcoin's value as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin makes it less susceptible to geopolitical tensions and policy changes that affect traditional currencies and markets.

Technological Advancements

The continuous evolution of blockchain technology and the infrastructure surrounding Bitcoin has played a crucial role in its adoption. Developments such as improved transaction speed, enhanced security measures, and user-friendly trading platforms have made Bitcoin more accessible and attractive to a wider audience. These technological advancements are crucial in building investor confidence and facilitating the integration of Bitcoin into mainstream finance.

Regulatory Environment

The regulatory environment for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies has been a double-edged sword. On one hand, clear and supportive regulations in certain jurisdictions have provided a boost to the market, encouraging institutional participation and providing clarity for investors. On the other hand, regulatory crackdowns in some countries have led to market volatility and uncertainty. The ongoing development of a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies remains a key factor in shaping Bitcoin's future.

Conclusion

Bitcoin's journey is a testament to the evolving nature of finance and investment in the digital age. Its bull runs, driven by scarcity, halving events, and a complex interplay of market dynamics, highlight the growing acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. As the world increasingly embraces digital currencies, Bitcoin's role as a pioneer and standard-bearer will likely continue to influence its value and relevance in the global financial landscape.

Understanding Bitcoin's market dynamics is not just about analyzing charts and trends. It's about appreciating the broader context of economic, technological, and social changes that are reshaping the way we think about money and value. For investors and enthusiasts alike, staying informed and adaptable is key to navigating the exciting and often unpredictable world of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

FAQs

What causes a Bitcoin bull run? Bitcoin bull runs are typically driven by a combination of factors including its built-in scarcity due to the finite supply, halving events reducing the mining rewards, institutional investment, global economic factors, advancements in blockchain technology, and the evolving regulatory landscape.

How does Bitcoin's scarcity affect its value? Bitcoin's value is significantly influenced by its scarcity. With a capped supply of 21 million coins, as demand increases, the limited supply pushes the price upwards, similar to precious metals like gold.

What is a Bitcoin halving event? A Bitcoin halving event is when the reward for mining new Bitcoin blocks is halved, effectively reducing the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. This occurs approximately every four years and is a key factor in Bitcoin's deflationary model.

Why do institutional investors matter in Bitcoin's market? Institutional investors bring significant capital, credibility, and stability to the Bitcoin market. Their participation signals a maturation of the market and can lead to increased confidence and investment from other sectors.

That's all for today

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Menschen tun alles, egal wie absurd, \ um ihrer eigenen Seele nicht zu begegnen. \ Carl Gustav Jung

«Extremer Reichtum ist eine Gefahr für die Demokratie», sagen über die Hälfte der knapp 3000 befragten Millionäre aus G20-Staaten laut einer Umfrage der «Patriotic Millionaires». Ferner stellte dieser Zusammenschluss wohlhabender US-Amerikaner fest, dass 63 Prozent jener Millionäre den Einfluss von Superreichen auf US-Präsident Trump als Bedrohung für die globale Stabilität ansehen.

Diese Besorgnis haben 370 Millionäre und Milliardäre am Dienstag auch den in Davos beim WEF konzentrierten Privilegierten aus aller Welt übermittelt. In einem offenen Brief forderten sie die «gewählten Führer» auf, die Superreichen – also sie selbst – zu besteuern, um «die zersetzenden Auswirkungen des extremen Reichtums auf unsere Demokratien und die Gesellschaft zu bekämpfen». Zum Beispiel kontrolliere eine handvoll extrem reicher Menschen die Medien, beeinflusse die Rechtssysteme in unzulässiger Weise und verwandele Recht in Unrecht.

Schon 2019 beanstandete der bekannte Historiker und Schriftsteller Ruthger Bregman an einer WEF-Podiumsdiskussion die Steuervermeidung der Superreichen. Die elitäre Veranstaltung bezeichnete er als «Feuerwehr-Konferenz, bei der man nicht über Löschwasser sprechen darf.» Daraufhin erhielt Bregman keine Einladungen nach Davos mehr. Auf seine Aussagen machte der Schweizer Aktivist Alec Gagneux aufmerksam, der sich seit Jahrzehnten kritisch mit dem WEF befasst. Ihm wurde kürzlich der Zutritt zu einem dreiteiligen Kurs über das WEF an der Volkshochschule Region Brugg verwehrt.

Nun ist die Erkenntnis, dass mit Geld politischer Einfluss einhergeht, alles andere als neu. Und extremer Reichtum macht die Sache nicht wirklich besser. Trotzdem hat man über Initiativen wie Patriotic Millionaires oder Taxmenow bisher eher selten etwas gehört, obwohl es sie schon lange gibt. Auch scheint es kein Problem, wenn ein Herr Gates fast im Alleingang versucht, globale Gesundheits-, Klima-, Ernährungs- oder Bevölkerungspolitik zu betreiben – im Gegenteil. Im Jahr, als der Milliardär Donald Trump zum zweiten Mal ins Weiße Haus einzieht, ist das Echo in den Gesinnungsmedien dagegen enorm – und uniform, wer hätte das gedacht.

Der neue US-Präsident hat jedoch «Davos geerdet», wie Achgut es nannte. In seiner kurzen Rede beim Weltwirtschaftsforum verteidigte er seine Politik und stellte klar, er habe schlicht eine «Revolution des gesunden Menschenverstands» begonnen. Mit deutlichen Worten sprach er unter anderem von ersten Maßnahmen gegen den «Green New Scam», und von einem «Erlass, der jegliche staatliche Zensur beendet»:

«Unsere Regierung wird die Äußerungen unserer eigenen Bürger nicht mehr als Fehlinformation oder Desinformation bezeichnen, was die Lieblingswörter von Zensoren und derer sind, die den freien Austausch von Ideen und, offen gesagt, den Fortschritt verhindern wollen.»

Wie der «Trumpismus» letztlich einzuordnen ist, muss jeder für sich selbst entscheiden. Skepsis ist definitiv angebracht, denn «einer von uns» sind weder der Präsident noch seine auserwählten Teammitglieder. Ob sie irgendeinen Sumpf trockenlegen oder Staatsverbrechen aufdecken werden oder was aus WHO- und Klimaverträgen wird, bleibt abzuwarten.

Das WHO-Dekret fordert jedenfalls die Übertragung der Gelder auf «glaubwürdige Partner», die die Aktivitäten übernehmen könnten. Zufällig scheint mit «Impfguru» Bill Gates ein weiterer Harris-Unterstützer kürzlich das Lager gewechselt zu haben: Nach einem gemeinsamen Abendessen zeigte er sich «beeindruckt» von Trumps Interesse an der globalen Gesundheit.

Mit dem Projekt «Stargate» sind weitere dunkle Wolken am Erwartungshorizont der Fangemeinde aufgezogen. Trump hat dieses Joint Venture zwischen den Konzernen OpenAI, Oracle, und SoftBank als das «größte KI-Infrastrukturprojekt der Geschichte» angekündigt. Der Stein des Anstoßes: Oracle-CEO Larry Ellison, der auch Fan von KI-gestützter Echtzeit-Überwachung ist, sieht einen weiteren potenziellen Einsatz der künstlichen Intelligenz. Sie könne dazu dienen, Krebserkrankungen zu erkennen und individuelle mRNA-«Impfstoffe» zur Behandlung innerhalb von 48 Stunden zu entwickeln.

Warum bitte sollten sich diese superreichen «Eliten» ins eigene Fleisch schneiden und direkt entgegen ihren eigenen Interessen handeln? Weil sie Menschenfreunde, sogenannte Philanthropen sind? Oder vielleicht, weil sie ein schlechtes Gewissen haben und ihre Schuld kompensieren müssen? Deswegen jedenfalls brauchen «Linke» laut Robert Willacker, einem deutschen Politikberater mit brasilianischen Wurzeln, rechte Parteien – ein ebenso überraschender wie humorvoller Erklärungsansatz.

Wenn eine Krähe der anderen kein Auge aushackt, dann tut sie das sich selbst noch weniger an. Dass Millionäre ernsthaft ihre eigene Besteuerung fordern oder Machteliten ihren eigenen Einfluss zugunsten anderer einschränken würden, halte ich für sehr unwahrscheinlich. So etwas glaube ich erst, wenn zum Beispiel die Rüstungsindustrie sich um Friedensverhandlungen bemüht, die Pharmalobby sich gegen institutionalisierte Korruption einsetzt, Zentralbanken ihre CBDC-Pläne für Bitcoin opfern oder der ÖRR die Abschaffung der Rundfunkgebühren fordert.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ d360efec:14907b5f

ภาพรวม (Integrated Overview)

ถ้าพิจารณาทั้ง TF Daily, 4H, และ 15m (พร้อมข้อมูล Money Flow ที่เป็นลบในทุก TF) ราคาปัจจุบันประมาณ 84,579

การวิเคราะห์แบบรวม*

1. แนวโน้ม (Trend):

   • Daily: ขาลง (Bearish) แม้ว่าราคาจะอยู่เหนือเส้นค่าเฉลี่ยเคลื่อนที่ (EMA) แต่ Money Flow ที่เป็นลบอย่างรุนแรง บ่งชี้ถึงแนวโน้มขาลง
   • 4H: ขาลง (Bearish) Money Flow เป็นลบอย่างมาก และมี รูปแบบ Head and Shoulders ที่มีโอกาสเกิดขึ้น
   • 15m: ขาลง (Bearish) Money Flow เป็นลบ

2. SMC & ICT (Smart Money Concepts & Inner Circle Trader):

   • Buyside Liquidity: อยู่เหนือราคาสูงสุดปัจจุบัน ระดับราคาที่ อาจ เป็นแนวต้าน (จากกราฟ Daily): 90456.8, 92755.8, 95054.9, 97354.0, 99653.1, 101952.1, 104251.3, 106550.3, 109998.9, และ 117000.0 ใน TF 15m, Buyside Liquidity คือจุดสูงสุดของแท่งเทียนก่อนหน้า
   • Sellside Liquidity: แนวรับสำคัญ: 80,000 (Neckline ของ Head and Shoulders ใน TF 4H, ตัวเลขกลม, แนวรับทางจิตวิทยา) แนวรับอื่นๆ: 83559.5, 81260.4, 78961.4, 76662.3, 74363.2, 72064.1, 69705.1, 67400.0, 66811.7, และ 65166.9 (จากกราฟ Daily) ใน TF 15m, Sellside Liquidity คือจุดต่ำสุดของแท่งเทียนก่อนหน้า

3. Money Flow:

   • Daily: เป็นลบอย่างมาก (Strongly Negative)
   • 4H: เป็นลบอย่างมาก (Strongly Negative)
   • 15m: เป็นลบ (Negative)
   • นี่คือตัวบ่งชี้ที่สำคัญที่สุดในขณะนี้ และเป็นขาลงในทุก Timeframe

4. EMA (Exponential Moving Averages):

   • Daily: ราคาอยู่เหนือ EMA 50 และ 200 แต่ถูกหักล้างด้วย Money Flow ที่เป็นลบ
   • 4H: ราคาอยู่เหนือ EMA 50 และ 200 แต่ถูกหักล้างด้วย Money Flow ที่เป็นลบ
   • 15m: ราคาแกว่งตัวรอบ EMA 50, อยู่เหนือ EMA 200 แต่ถูกหักล้างด้วย Money Flow ที่เป็นลบ

5. Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):

   • Daily: เมฆ Ichimoku เป็นสีเทา (Neutral - เป็นกลาง)
   • 4H: เมฆ Ichimoku เป็นสีเทา (Neutral - เป็นกลาง)
   • 15m: เมฆ Ichimoku เป็นสีเทา (Neutral - เป็นกลาง)

6. Chart Patterns (รูปแบบกราฟ):

   • Daily: ไม่มีรูปแบบที่ชัดเจน แต่มีการอ่อนตัวของราคา
   • 4H: มีโอกาสเกิด รูปแบบ Head and Shoulders (กลับหัว) (Bearish - ขาลง)
   • 15m: ไม่มีรูปแบบที่ชัดเจน แต่อาจเป็นส่วนหนึ่งของ Right Shoulder ใน TF 4H

กลยุทธ์ Day Trade (SMC-Based)

เนื่องจาก Money Flow ที่เป็นลบอย่างท่วมท้นในทุก Timeframes และรูปแบบ Head and Shoulders ที่มีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นใน TF 4H กลยุทธ์การซื้อขายที่สมเหตุสมผล เพียงอย่างเดียว คือ การป้องกันอย่างเข้มงวด โดยเน้นที่ การหลีกเลี่ยงสถานะ Long และพิจารณาสถานะ Short เฉพาะ เมื่อมีเงื่อนไขที่เข้มงวดมากเท่านั้น

1. Long (Buy): ไม่แนะนำโดยเด็ดขาด (Absolutely, unequivocally not recommended) การทำเช่นนี้จะเป็นการซื้อขายสวนทางกับแนวโน้มหลักและสัญญาณ Money Flow ที่ชัดเจน

2. Short (Sell):

   • Entry (จุดเข้า): นี่คือการเทรด เดียว ที่ อาจ มีเหตุผลสนับสนุน, แต่ เฉพาะ เมื่อเงื่อนไข ทั้งหมด ต่อไปนี้เป็นจริง:
     • รูปแบบ Head and Shoulders ใน TF 4H เสร็จสมบูรณ์ ด้วยการ Breakout ที่ชัดเจนใต้ Neckline (80,000-81,000)
     • การ Breakout ใต้ Neckline เกิดขึ้นพร้อมกับ Volume ที่สูง
     • Money Flow ใน ทั้งสาม Timeframes ยังคง เป็นลบอย่างมาก
     • คุณมีสัญญาณ Bearish อื่นๆ ยืนยัน (เช่น รูปแบบแท่งเทียน Bearish, Bearish Divergence)
   • Target (เป้าหมาย): ระดับ Sellside Liquidity (เช่น 78961.4, 76662.3)
   • Stop Loss (จุดตัดขาดทุน): เหนือ Neckline หรือ Right Shoulder ทันที จำเป็นต้องมี Stop Loss ที่เข้มงวดอย่างยิ่ง

3. No Trade (ไม่เทรด): เป็นตัวเลือกที่ ดีที่สุด สำหรับนักเทรด/นักลงทุนส่วนใหญ่ ความเสี่ยงที่จะเกิดการปรับฐานครั้งใหญ่มีสูงมาก

สรุป

สถานการณ์ของ BTC คือ Bearish อย่างมาก Money Flow ที่เป็นลบอย่างมากในทุก Timeframes เป็นปัจจัยสำคัญที่สุด ซึ่งมีน้ำหนักมากกว่าสัญญาณ Bullish ใดๆ ก่อนหน้านี้จาก EMA รูปแบบ Head and Shoulders ที่มีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นใน TF 4H ช่วยเพิ่มการยืนยันแนวโน้ม Bearish สถานะ Long ไม่สมเหตุสมผลอย่างยิ่ง สถานะ Short อาจ พิจารณาได้, แต่ ต้อง มีการยืนยันสัญญาณที่ชัดเจน ทั้งหมด และมีการบริหารความเสี่ยงที่เข้มงวดมาก "Wait and See" (รอดู) และการรักษาเงินทุนเป็นสิ่งสำคัญที่สุด

Disclaimer: การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัว ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุน ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบ

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Die grauenvollste Aussicht ist die der Technokratie – \ einer kontrollierenden Herrschaft, \ die durch verstümmelte und verstümmelnde Geister ausgeübt wird. \ Ernst Jünger

«Davos ist nicht mehr sexy», das Weltwirtschaftsforum (WEF) mache Davos kaputt, diese Aussagen eines Einheimischen las ich kürzlich in der Handelszeitung. Während sich einige vor Ort enorm an der «teuersten Gewerbeausstellung der Welt» bereicherten, würden die negativen Begleiterscheinungen wie Wohnungsnot und Niedergang der lokalen Wirtschaft immer deutlicher.

Nächsten Montag beginnt in dem Schweizer Bergdorf erneut ein Jahrestreffen dieses elitären Clubs der Konzerne, bei dem man mit hochrangigen Politikern aus aller Welt und ausgewählten Vertretern der Systemmedien zusammenhocken wird. Wie bereits in den vergangenen vier Jahren wird die Präsidentin der EU-Kommission, Ursula von der Leyen, in Begleitung von Klaus Schwab ihre Grundsatzansprache halten.

Der deutsche WEF-Gründer hatte bei dieser Gelegenheit immer höchst lobende Worte für seine Landsmännin: 2021 erklärte er sich «stolz, dass Europa wieder unter Ihrer Führung steht» und 2022 fand er es bemerkenswert, was sie erreicht habe angesichts des «erstaunlichen Wandels», den die Welt in den vorangegangenen zwei Jahren erlebt habe; es gebe nun einen «neuen europäischen Geist».

Von der Leyens Handeln während der sogenannten Corona-«Pandemie» lobte Schwab damals bereits ebenso, wie es diese Woche das Karlspreis-Direktorium tat, als man der Beschuldigten im Fall Pfizergate die diesjährige internationale Auszeichnung «für Verdienste um die europäische Einigung» verlieh. Außerdem habe sie die EU nicht nur gegen den «Aggressor Russland», sondern auch gegen die «innere Bedrohung durch Rassisten und Demagogen» sowie gegen den Klimawandel verteidigt.

Jene Herausforderungen durch «Krisen epochalen Ausmaßes» werden indes aus dem Umfeld des WEF nicht nur herbeigeredet – wie man alljährlich zur Zeit des Davoser Treffens im Global Risks Report nachlesen kann, der zusammen mit dem Versicherungskonzern Zurich erstellt wird. Seit die Globalisten 2020/21 in der Praxis gesehen haben, wie gut eine konzertierte und konsequente Angst-Kampagne funktionieren kann, geht es Schlag auf Schlag. Sie setzen alles daran, Schwabs goldenes Zeitfenster des «Great Reset» zu nutzen.

Ziel dieses «großen Umbruchs» ist die totale Kontrolle der Technokraten über die Menschen unter dem Deckmantel einer globalen Gesundheitsfürsorge. Wie aber könnte man so etwas erreichen? Ein Mittel dazu ist die «kreative Zerstörung». Weitere unabdingbare Werkzeug sind die Einbindung, ja Gleichschaltung der Medien und der Justiz.

Ein «Great Mental Reset» sei die Voraussetzung dafür, dass ein Großteil der Menschen Einschränkungen und Manipulationen wie durch die Corona-Maßnahmen praktisch kritik- und widerstandslos hinnehme, sagt der Mediziner und Molekulargenetiker Michael Nehls. Er meint damit eine regelrechte Umprogrammierung des Gehirns, wodurch nach und nach unsere Individualität und unser soziales Bewusstsein eliminiert und durch unreflektierten Konformismus ersetzt werden.

Der aktuelle Zustand unserer Gesellschaften ist auch für den Schweizer Rechtsanwalt Philipp Kruse alarmierend. Durch den Umgang mit der «Pandemie» sieht er die Grundlagen von Recht und Vernunft erschüttert, die Rechtsstaatlichkeit stehe auf dem Prüfstand. Seiner dringenden Mahnung an alle Bürger, die Prinzipien von Recht und Freiheit zu verteidigen, kann ich mich nur anschließen.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ d360efec:14907b5f

$OKX:BTCUSDT.P

Overview (Integrated Overview)

All three provided timeframes (Daily, 4H, and 15m, all now confirmed to have negative Money Flow), The current price is approximately 84,579.

Integrated Analysis

1. Trend:

   • Daily: Bearish. While the price is above the EMAs, the strongly negative Money Flow on the Daily chart overrides the EMA signal, indicating a bearish trend. The Ichimoku Cloud is neutral, further supporting the idea that the previous bullish trend is weakening.
   • 4H: Bearish. Strongly negative Money Flow and a potential (but not yet confirmed) inverted Head and Shoulders pattern.
   • 15m: Bearish. Negative Money Flow.

2. SMC & ICT (Smart Money Concepts & Inner Circle Trader):

   • Buyside Liquidity: Above the current high. Potential resistance levels (derived from the Daily chart image, assuming it's from 2025): 90456.8, 92755.8, 95054.9, 97354.0, 99653.1, 101952.1, 104251.3, 106550.3, 109998.9, and 117000.0. On the 15m chart (though we are prioritizing the Daily and 4H now), Buyside Liquidity would be represented by recent swing highs.
   • Sellside Liquidity: Key support: 80,000 (this is the approximate neckline of the potential Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4H chart, a round number, and a psychological support level). Other support levels (derived from the Daily chart image): 83559.5, 81260.4, 78961.4, 76662.3, 74363.2, 72064.1, 69705.1, 67400.0, 66811.7, and 65166.9. On the 15m chart, Sellside Liquidity would be represented by recent swing lows.

3. Money Flow:

   • Daily: Strongly Negative. This is a major bearish signal.
   • 4H: Strongly Negative. This reinforces the bearish signal and is consistent with the Daily chart.
   • 15m: Negative. This confirms the short-term outflow of money.
   • The consistently negative Money Flow across all timeframes is the most important and dominant indicator in this analysis.

4. EMA (Exponential Moving Averages):

   • Daily: Price is above the EMA 50 (yellow) and EMA 200 (white). However, the strongly negative Money Flow overrides the bullish signal typically provided by the price being above the EMAs.
   • 4H: Price is above the EMA 50 and EMA 200. Again, the strongly negative Money Flow overrides this.
   • 15m: Price is oscillating around the EMA 50 and above the EMA 200. The negative Money Flow overrides this.

5. Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha Indicator):

   • Daily: The Ichimoku Cloud is gray (Neutral). This is not a bullish signal and is consistent with the negative Money Flow.
   • 4H: The Ichimoku Cloud is gray (Neutral).
   • 15m: The Ichimoku Cloud is gray (Neutral).

6. Chart Patterns:

   • Daily: No fully formed classic chart pattern. However, the recent price action shows a loss of upward momentum and the beginning of a potential downward move. This weakening price action, combined with the strongly negative Money Flow, is bearish.
   • 4H: Potential inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. This is a bearish reversal pattern. It's crucial to understand that this pattern is not yet confirmed. Confirmation requires a decisive break below the neckline (approximately 80,000-81,000), with increased volume and continued negative Money Flow.
   • 15m: No clearly defined classic chart pattern. The 15m price action is best understood as potentially forming the right shoulder of the 4H Head and Shoulders.

SMC-Based Day Trading Strategies

Given the overwhelmingly bearish evidence – primarily the strongly negative Money Flow across all timeframes, combined with the potential Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4H chart – the only justifiable trading strategy is extreme caution and a strong bias against long positions. Short positions have a slightly higher probability of success, but only under very specific conditions and with extremely tight risk management.

1. Long (Buy): Absolutely, unequivocally not recommended. There is no technical justification for entering a long position at this time. This would be trading directly against the dominant bearish signals.

2. Short (Sell):

   • Entry: This is the only trade with any potential, and only if all of the following conditions are met:
     • The Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4H chart fully completes with a decisive break below the neckline (80,000-81,000).
     • The breakout below the neckline occurs on significantly increased volume.
     • The Money Flow on all three timeframes (Daily, 4H, and 15m) remains strongly negative at the time of the breakout.
     • Additional bearish confirmation is present (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, bearish divergences on other oscillators like RSI or MACD – which we cannot see from the provided images).
   • Target: Sellside Liquidity levels, derived from the Daily chart. Potential targets include, but are not limited to: 78961.4, 76662.3, 74363.2, and potentially lower.
   • Stop Loss: Immediately above the neckline (after the breakout) or above the high of the right shoulder (if placing the trade before a confirmed neckline break – which is extremely risky). An extremely tight stop-loss is absolutely mandatory due to the inherent volatility of BTC and the potential for false breakouts.

3. No Trade (Cash): This is, by far, the best and most prudent option for the vast majority of traders and investors. The risk of a substantial price decline is extremely high, given the confluence of bearish signals. Preserving capital should be the primary objective.

Key Levels to Watch:

• 80,000 - 81,000 (4H Chart): This is the neckline of the potential Head and Shoulders pattern. A sustained break below this level, with the confirming factors listed above, would be a strong bearish signal.
• Money Flow on all chart:

Conclusion

The overall technical picture for BTC, strongly bearish. The dominant factor is the consistently and strongly negative Money Flow across all three timeframes. This overrides any seemingly bullish signals from the EMAs. The potential (but unconfirmed) Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4H chart adds further weight to the bearish case.

Long positions are completely unjustified and extremely risky. Short positions might be considered, but only with the strictest possible entry criteria, complete confirmation from multiple indicators, and extremely tight risk management. The "Wait and See" approach, prioritizing capital preservation, is the most prudent strategy for most market participants. This situation calls for extreme caution and a defensive posture.

Disclaimer: This analysis is a personal opinion. It is not financial advice. Trading and investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Ich begann, Social Media aufzubauen, \ um den Menschen eine Stimme zu geben. \ Mark Zuckerberg

Sind euch auch die Tränen gekommen, als ihr Mark Zuckerbergs Wendehals-Deklaration bezüglich der Meinungsfreiheit auf seinen Portalen gehört habt? Rührend, oder? Während er früher die offensichtliche Zensur leugnete und später die Regierung Biden dafür verantwortlich machte, will er nun angeblich «die Zensur auf unseren Plattformen drastisch reduzieren».

«Purer Opportunismus» ob des anstehenden Regierungswechsels wäre als Klassifizierung viel zu kurz gegriffen. Der jetzige Schachzug des Meta-Chefs ist genauso Teil einer kühl kalkulierten Business-Strategie, wie es die 180 Grad umgekehrte Praxis vorher war. Social Media sind ein höchst lukratives Geschäft. Hinzu kommt vielleicht noch ein bisschen verkorkstes Ego, weil derartig viel Einfluss und Geld sicher auch auf die Psyche schlagen. Verständlich.

«Es ist an der Zeit, zu unseren Wurzeln der freien Meinungsäußerung auf Facebook und Instagram zurückzukehren. Ich begann, Social Media aufzubauen, um den Menschen eine Stimme zu geben», sagte Zuckerberg.

Welche Wurzeln? Hat der Mann vergessen, dass er von der Überwachung, dem Ausspionieren und dem Ausverkauf sämtlicher Daten und digitaler Spuren sowie der Manipulation seiner «Kunden» lebt? Das ist knallharter Kommerz, nichts anderes. Um freie Meinungsäußerung geht es bei diesem Geschäft ganz sicher nicht, und das war auch noch nie so. Die Wurzeln von Facebook liegen in einem Projekt des US-Militärs mit dem Namen «LifeLog». Dessen Ziel war es, «ein digitales Protokoll vom Leben eines Menschen zu erstellen».

Der Richtungswechsel kommt allerdings nicht überraschend. Schon Anfang Dezember hatte Meta-Präsident Nick Clegg von «zu hoher Fehlerquote bei der Moderation» von Inhalten gesprochen. Bei der Gelegenheit erwähnte er auch, dass Mark sehr daran interessiert sei, eine aktive Rolle in den Debatten über eine amerikanische Führungsrolle im technologischen Bereich zu spielen.

Während Milliardärskollege und Big Tech-Konkurrent Elon Musk bereits seinen Posten in der kommenden Trump-Regierung in Aussicht hat, möchte Zuckerberg also nicht nur seine Haut retten – Trump hatte ihn einmal einen «Feind des Volkes» genannt und ihm lebenslange Haft angedroht –, sondern am liebsten auch mitspielen. KI-Berater ist wohl die gewünschte Funktion, wie man nach einem Treffen Trump-Zuckerberg hörte. An seine Verhaftung dachte vermutlich auch ein weiterer Multimilliardär mit eigener Social Media-Plattform, Pavel Durov, als er Zuckerberg jetzt kritisierte und gleichzeitig warnte.

Politik und Systemmedien drehen jedenfalls durch – was zu viel ist, ist zu viel. Etwas weniger Zensur und mehr Meinungsfreiheit würden die Freiheit der Bürger schwächen und seien potenziell vernichtend für die Menschenrechte. Zuckerberg setze mit dem neuen Kurs die Demokratie aufs Spiel, das sei eine «Einladung zum nächsten Völkermord», ernsthaft. Die Frage sei, ob sich die EU gegen Musk und Zuckerberg behaupten könne, Brüssel müsse jedenfalls hart durchgreifen.

Auch um die Faktenchecker macht man sich Sorgen. Für die deutsche Nachrichtenagentur dpa und die «Experten» von Correctiv, die (noch) Partner für Fact-Checking-Aktivitäten von Facebook sind, sei das ein «lukratives Geschäftsmodell». Aber möglicherweise werden die Inhalte ohne diese vermeintlichen Korrektoren ja sogar besser. Anders als Meta wollen jedoch Scholz, Faeser und die Tagesschau keine Fehler zugeben und zum Beispiel Correctiv-Falschaussagen einräumen.

Bei derlei dramatischen Befürchtungen wundert es nicht, dass der öffentliche Plausch auf X zwischen Elon Musk und AfD-Chefin Alice Weidel von 150 EU-Beamten überwacht wurde, falls es irgendwelche Rechtsverstöße geben sollte, die man ihnen ankreiden könnte. Auch der Deutsche Bundestag war wachsam. Gefunden haben dürften sie nichts. Das Ganze war eher eine Show, viel Wind wurde gemacht, aber letztlich gab es nichts als heiße Luft.

Das Anbiedern bei Donald Trump ist indes gerade in Mode. Die Weltgesundheitsorganisation (WHO) tut das auch, denn sie fürchtet um Spenden von über einer Milliarde Dollar. Eventuell könnte ja Elon Musk auch hier künftig aushelfen und der Organisation sowie deren größtem privaten Förderer, Bill Gates, etwas unter die Arme greifen. Nachdem Musks KI-Projekt xAI kürzlich von BlackRock & Co. sechs Milliarden eingestrichen hat, geht da vielleicht etwas.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ fd78c37f:a0ec0833

Author: Zhengyu Qian, Eric Zhang Original Link: https://research.dorahacks.io/2025/02/22/maci-mailbox/

We are not reinventing email.

Even a glance at the TOC of IETF RFC 5322 reveals: email is long-standing and well-established, but far from simple. This is just one piece of the puzzle in today’s email system.

What we would like to do first is to review the essence of message delivery.

Proto-mail

A typical process of message delivery can be broken down into three critical components:

1. Individuals intending to exchange messages—referred to as the users.
2. An intermediary, or agent, that facilitates the delivery.
3. The message itself.

Message delivery takes place when the sender hands over the message (e.g., a written note) to an agent—a person (a messenger), a device (a beacon), or an institution (a post office). The agent then dispatches the message to the recipient.

Though direct communication, such as face-to-face conversation, falls outside the scope of this context.

The Protocol of MACI Mailbox

The MACI Mailbox is an encryption-based mailing protocol that builds directly on the three components above, with modifications and extensions.

1. The user consists of two parts:

2. An account, typically with a publicly visible mailing address.

3. A keypair(a private key and its corresponding public key), which works its magic in encrypted communication.

4. The agent has a similar structure:

5. An account.

6. A keypair.

7. The message is simple, consisting of two fields:

8. Subject.

9. Body.

The following outlines the flow of message delivery in the MACI Mailbox protocol. The process of sending a message is addressed first.

1. The sender writes a message.

2. The agent encrypts the message using its public key, posts and stores it in a shared public database (e.g. a blockchain, Nostr), and assigns it a queryable ID.

3. The sender wraps the ID of encrypted message together with the agent’s private key, encrypts them using the recipient’s public key, and broadcasts the resulting encrypted data to a public space. Yes, broadcasts it publicly—feeling like encrypted radio communication yet?

In this process, asymmetric encryption is introduced twice, achieving something valuable: the decoupling of message storage from broadcast. This has at least two key implications:

1. It’s highly flexible to choose the infrastructures for encrypted message posting and storage as well as broadcasting facilities—both of which are modular, replaceable, and trustless.

2. Storage and broadcast infrastructures can be separately tailored to meet specific requirements. Typically:

3. Message storage is expected to be inexpensive, reliable, and scalable.

4. Broadcast infrastructure can be customized to fit the varying user ecosystems or needs.

Receiving a message is basically the reverse process:

1. The recipient indexes their mail in the broadcast space, decrypts it with their own private key (guaranteed by the principles of asymmetric encryption), and retrieves both the ID of encrypted message (storage address) and the agent’s private key (which, as you may recall, was bundled with the message ID before broadcast).

2. With the message ID, the recipient fetches the encrypted message from storage and decrypts it using the agent’s private key to obtain the plaintext message.

3. Tada.

It can be observed that the agent’s role described above is highly procedural, lending itself to a modular and replaceable design. This enables significant flexibility in the implementation of MACI Mailbox services and applications.

Vota-Nostr Mailbox: basic architecture

The Vota-Nostr Mailbox is the first implementation of the Protocol by Dora Factory, consisting of several core modules:

• A smart contract deployed on Dora Vota appchain to handle the broadcasting of messages.

• Nostr relays, used for publishing and storing encrypted messages.

• An indexer service to assist users in locating relevant messages, such as those sent to or from themselves.

• A web app as the interface for interacting with the Vota-Nostr Mailbox.

First, user accounts are implemented as on-chain accounts of Dora Vota (represented as a wallet address) paired with a public/private ECC keypair. Message content is kept simple as plain-text strings, with the flexibility to upgrade it later (Everybody Loves Rich Text).

Next, let’s push the boundaries for the agent. Ideally, users shouldn’t have to learn how to interact with it actively—think about fully automated agents. Or picture a stylish scene from The Day of the Jackal: Eddie Redmayne casually discarding a phone after each call.

Thus, a disposable, one-time auto agent is designed for each mail flow. This agent consists of a randomly generated ECC keypair and a temporarily created Nostr account (essentially another keypair: npub/nsec).

Vota-Nostr Mailbox: communication workflow

In Vota-Nostr implementation of MACI Mailbox Protocol, the communication flow is as follows. Both the encryption/decryption of message content and the broadcast rely on elliptic-curve cryptography.

To enhance user experience, a “Sent Messages” feature has been implemented, allowing senders to index, decrypt, and review their sent messages. In general, with asymmetric encryption, only the recipient’s private key can decrypt the encrypted content. Technically, there are cryptographic methods to enable mutual decryption by both sender and recipient.

For simplicity at this stage, this issue is addressed by creating a duplicate of each broadcast data (on Dora Vota appchain). This duplicate is encrypted using the sender’s own public key, allowing the sender to decrypt it with their private key.

Since the Protocol decouples the storage of encrypted message from the broadcast data, this duplication doesn’t significantly increase the payload on the broadcast infrastructure. Only the message ID and the agent’s private key need to be processed as duplicates, both of which are compact and independent of the actual message size (the length of your address line and the size of your front door key don’t depend on the dimensions of your house).

Below outlines the entire communication process:

1. The sender encrypts their message using the agent’s one-time public key and publishes it to Nostr relay(s) via the agent’s one-time Nostr account, obtaining the encrypted message’s ID (i.e., Nostr event ID).

2. The sender wraps the encrypted message ID along with the agent’s one-time private key, encrypts them using the recipient’s public key, and broadcasts the resulting encrypted data to the appchain via their own Dora Vota account. This process leverages wallet apps/extensions for transaction submission and the smart contract for processing, closely resembling how users typically interact with blockchains and dapps.

3. Once the on-chain transaction is processed, the encrypted data is broadcast on Dora Vota. Both the sender and the recipient can retrieve the data at any time via the Mailbox Indexer.

4. The recipient decrypts the broadcast encrypted data using their own private key, finding the Nostr event ID and the corresponding decryption key (one-time agent private key). They then fetch the encrypted message from Nostr relay(s) by the ID and decrypt it with the one-time private key.

5. The sender can follow a nearly identical process to fetch and decrypt their own duplicate, enabling them to review sent messages.

Acknowledgements

The MACI Mailbox protocol was conceived during a Dora Factory developer meeting in Kyoto, March 2024. Eric Zhang supported its implementation in October as a tool to facilitate communications and campaigns in MACI decentralized governance. Shrey Khater and Divyansh Joshi contributed to an MVP of the Vota-Nostr implementation. The protocol was officially integrated with Dora Vota appchain as well as its frontend with efforts from Zhengyu Qian, Dennis Tang, and Vegebun.

@ 6f26dd2b:f2824b88

💭 There are some interesting noises about Bitcoin coming from the most unlikely of sources. The Czech central bank says that Bitcoin “should not be lumped together with other crypto assets.”

“We central bankers should study it,” says the Bank’s governor. Meanwhile, other central banks are just as keen to distance themselves from Bitcoin. A divide about Bitcoin is opening up in the central banking world!

@ 6389be64:ef439d32

GA, plebs. The latest episode of Bitcoin And is out, and, as always, the chicanery is running rampant. Let’s break down the biggest topics I covered, and if you want the full, unfiltered rant, make sure to listen to the episode linked below.

House Democrats’ MEME Act: A Bad Joke?

House Democrats are proposing a bill to ban presidential meme coins, clearly aimed at Trump’s and Melania’s ill-advised token launches. While grifters launching meme coins is bad, this bill is just as ridiculous. If this legislation moves forward, expect a retaliatory strike exposing how politicians like Pelosi and Warren mysteriously amassed their fortunes. Will it pass? Doubtful. But it’s another sign of the government’s obsession with regulating everything except itself.

Senate Banking’s First Digital Asset Hearing: The Real Target Is You

Cynthia Lummis chaired the first digital asset hearing, and—surprise!—it was all about control. The discussion centered on stablecoins, AML, and KYC regulations, with witnesses suggesting Orwellian measures like freezing stablecoin transactions unless pre-approved by authorities. What was barely mentioned? Bitcoin. They want full oversight of stablecoins, which is really about controlling financial freedom. Expect more nonsense targeting self-custody wallets under the guise of stopping “bad actors.”

Bank of America and PayPal Want In on Stablecoins

Bank of America’s CEO openly stated they’ll launch a stablecoin as soon as regulation allows. Meanwhile, PayPal’s CEO paid for a hat using Bitcoin—not their own stablecoin, Pi USD. Why wouldn’t he use his own product? Maybe he knows stablecoins aren’t what they’re hyped up to be. Either way, the legacy financial system is gearing up to flood the market with stablecoins, not because they love crypto, but because it’s a tool to extend U.S. dollar dominance.

MetaPlanet Buys the Dip

Japan’s MetaPlanet issued $13.4M in bonds to buy more Bitcoin, proving once again that institutions see the writing on the wall. Unlike U.S. regulators who obsess over stablecoins, some companies are actually stacking sats.

UK Expands Crypto Seizure Powers

Across the pond, the UK government is pushing legislation to make it easier to seize and destroy crypto linked to criminal activity. While they frame it as going after the bad guys, it’s another move toward centralized control and financial surveillance.

Bitcoin Tools & Tech: Arc, SatoChip, and Nunchuk

Some bullish Bitcoin developments: ARC v0.5 is making Bitcoin’s second layer more efficient, SatoChip now supports Taproot and Nostr, and Nunchuk launched a group wallet with chat, making multisig collaboration easier.

The Bottom Line

The state is coming for financial privacy and control, and stablecoins are their weapon of choice. Bitcoiners need to stay focused, keep their coins in self-custody, and build out parallel systems. Expect more regulatory attacks, but don’t let them distract you—just keep stacking and transacting in ways they can’t control.

🎧 Listen to the full episode here: https://fountain.fm/episode/PYITCo18AJnsEkKLz2Ks

💰 Support the show by boosting sats on Podcasting 2.0! and I will see you on the other side.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Was du bist hängt von drei Faktoren ab: \ Was du geerbt hast, \ was deine Umgebung aus dir machte \ und was du in freier Wahl \ aus deiner Umgebung und deinem Erbe gemacht hast. \ Aldous Huxley

Das brave Mitmachen und Mitlaufen in einem vorgegebenen, recht engen Rahmen ist gewiss nicht neu, hat aber gerade wieder mal Konjunktur. Dies kann man deutlich beobachten, eigentlich egal, in welchem gesellschaftlichen Bereich man sich umschaut. Individualität ist nur soweit angesagt, wie sie in ein bestimmtes Schema von «Diversität» passt, und Freiheit verkommt zur Worthülse – nicht erst durch ein gewisses Buch einer gewissen ehemaligen Regierungschefin.

Erklärungsansätze für solche Entwicklungen sind bekannt, und praktisch alle haben etwas mit Massenpsychologie zu tun. Der Herdentrieb, also der Trieb der Menschen, sich – zum Beispiel aus Unsicherheit oder Bequemlichkeit – lieber der Masse anzuschließen als selbstständig zu denken und zu handeln, ist einer der Erklärungsversuche. Andere drehen sich um Macht, Propaganda, Druck und Angst, also den gezielten Einsatz psychologischer Herrschaftsinstrumente.

Aber wollen die Menschen überhaupt Freiheit? Durch Gespräche im privaten Umfeld bin ich diesbezüglich in der letzten Zeit etwas skeptisch geworden. Um die Jahreswende philosophiert man ja gerne ein wenig über das Erlebte und über die Erwartungen für die Zukunft. Dabei hatte ich hin und wieder den Eindruck, die totalitären Anwandlungen unserer «Repräsentanten» kämen manchen Leuten gerade recht.

«Desinformation» ist so ein brisantes Thema. Davor müsse man die Menschen doch schützen, hörte ich. Jemand müsse doch zum Beispiel diese ganzen merkwürdigen Inhalte in den Social Media filtern – zur Ukraine, zum Klima, zu Gesundheitsthemen oder zur Migration. Viele wüssten ja gar nicht einzuschätzen, was richtig und was falsch ist, sie bräuchten eine Führung.

Freiheit bedingt Eigenverantwortung, ohne Zweifel. Eventuell ist es einigen tatsächlich zu anspruchsvoll, die Verantwortung für das eigene Tun und Lassen zu übernehmen. Oder die persönliche Freiheit wird nicht als ausreichend wertvolles Gut angesehen, um sich dafür anzustrengen. In dem Fall wäre die mangelnde Selbstbestimmung wohl das kleinere Übel. Allerdings fehlt dann gemäß Aldous Huxley ein Teil der Persönlichkeit. Letztlich ist natürlich alles eine Frage der Abwägung.

Sind viele Menschen möglicherweise schon so «eingenordet», dass freiheitliche Ambitionen gar nicht für eine ganze Gruppe, ein Kollektiv, verfolgt werden können? Solche Gedanken kamen mir auch, als ich mir kürzlich diverse Talks beim viertägigen Hacker-Kongress des Chaos Computer Clubs (38C3) anschaute. Ich war nicht nur überrascht, sondern reichlich erschreckt angesichts der in weiten Teilen mainstream-geformten Inhalte, mit denen ein dankbares Publikum beglückt wurde. Wo ich allgemein hellere Köpfe erwartet hatte, fand ich Konformismus und enthusiastisch untermauerte Narrative.

Gibt es vielleicht so etwas wie eine Herdenimmunität gegen Indoktrination? Ich denke, ja, zumindest eine gestärkte Widerstandsfähigkeit. Was wir brauchen, sind etwas gesunder Menschenverstand, offene Informationskanäle und der Mut, sich freier auch zwischen den Herden zu bewegen. Sie tun das bereits, aber sagen Sie es auch dieses Jahr ruhig weiter.

---

Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ f33c8a96:5ec6f741

What is HTML?

HTML (HyperText Markup Language) is the foundation of all webpages. Think of it as the framing of a house - it provides the basic structure that everything else builds upon.

Key Concepts

• HTML is a markup language, not a programming language
• It tells browsers how to structure web content
• Every HTML element is like a building block
• Browsers interpret HTML to display content

The Building Analogy

When building a webpage, think of it like constructing a house: - HTML: The framing and structure (walls, rooms, layout) - CSS: The design elements (paint, decorations, styling) - JavaScript: The functionality (plumbing, electrical, moving parts)

Basic HTML Structure

1. HTML Boilerplate

Every webpage starts with a basic template:

```html

```

2. Understanding the Parts

• <!DOCTYPE html>: Tells browsers this is an HTML5 document
• <html>: The root element of the page
• <head>: Contains metadata about the document
• <body>: Contains the visible content

Essential HTML Elements

1. Headings

HTML has six levels of headings: ```html

Main Title

Subtitle

Section Header

Smallest Heading

```

2. Paragraphs

```html

This is a paragraph of text. It can contain as much text as you need.

```

3. Images

html <img src="path-to-image.jpg" alt="Description of image" width="300">

4. Links

html <a href="https://example.com">Click here</a>

HTML Attributes

Attributes provide additional information or modify HTML elements:

html <tag attribute="value">Content</tag>

Common attributes: - src: Source path for images - href: Destination for links - alt: Alternative text for images - class: CSS class names - id: Unique identifier - style: Inline CSS styles

Semantic HTML

What is Semantic HTML?

Semantic HTML uses meaningful tags that describe their content's purpose. This improves: - Accessibility - SEO (Search Engine Optimization) - Code readability - Maintainability

Common Semantic Elements

```html

```

Non-Semantic vs Semantic Example

Instead of: ```html

```

Use: ```html

```

Building Your First Webpage

1. Basic Structure

```html

Welcome to My First Webpage!

About Me

Hi, I'm learning web development with PlebDevs!

My Interests

I'm interested in Bitcoin, programming, and building cool stuff!

```

Best Practices

1. Structure

• Use proper indentation
• Keep code organized and readable
• Use semantic elements when possible
• Include all required elements (DOCTYPE, html, head, body)

2. Content

• Use appropriate heading levels (start with h1)
• Write descriptive alt text for images
• Keep content meaningful and organized
• Use comments to explain complex sections

3. Accessibility

• Use semantic HTML elements
• Provide alternative text for images
• Maintain a logical heading structure
• Ensure content makes sense when read linearly

Common Issues and Solutions

Problem: Images Not Loading

```html

```

Problem: Links Not Working

```html

Click here

Click here ```

Next Steps

1. Practice Building
2. Create a personal webpage about yourself
3. Include different types of content (text, images, links)

4. Use semantic HTML elements

5. Experiment with Structure

6. Try different layouts
7. Use various HTML elements

8. Pay attention to semantic meaning

9. Prepare for CSS

10. Think about how you want your page to look
11. Consider what styles you'll want to add
12. Plan your layout structure

Exercise: Create Your Profile Page

Try creating a simple profile page using what you've learned:

1. Use the HTML boilerplate
2. Add a header with your name
3. Include an "About Me" section
4. Add a photo (if you want)
5. List your interests or goals
6. Add a footer with contact information

Remember to: - Use semantic HTML - Include appropriate headings - Add descriptive alt text for images - Keep your code clean and well-organized

Additional Resources

• MDN HTML Guide
• HTML5 Doctor (Semantic Elements)
• W3Schools HTML Tutorial

Remember: HTML is the foundation of web development. Take time to understand these basics well, as they'll serve as the building blocks for everything else you'll learn. Happy coding! 🚀

@ a5caac8b:172ed717

Descubre una Oportunidad Única: Nuestra Propiedad Rústica en Tulum con Potencial Inmenso

Buscamos personas interesadas en explorar una inversión sólida, sostenible y alineada con el futuro de las finanzas descentralizadas. Queremos compartir con ustedes nuestra propiedad excepcional ubicada en La Veleta, Tulum, un lugar donde la naturaleza se fusiona con el estilo de vida moderno y el ecosistema Bitcoin.

Características destacadas de esta joya rústica:

• Construcción robusta: Diseñamos esta propiedad con materiales locales como piedra y Chucum, reflejando autenticidad y resistencia.
• Fuente propia de agua: Garantiza independencia hídrica, un valor inigualable en la región.
• Vegetación abundante: Un oasis verde que conecta directamente con la esencia de Tulum.
• Ubicación estratégica: Está súper céntrica, rodeada de los sitios más hermosos de la región, perfecta tanto para residencia como para negocio.
• Documentación al día: Todo está en regla y listo para transacciones seguras.

Nuestra propuesta para la administración y finanzas

Estamos buscando colaboradores para gestionar y/o comprar esta propiedad. Ya sea mediante plataformas como Nostr, Telegram o Element (en Matrix), podemos coordinarnos de manera eficiente para cualquier aspecto relacionado con la propiedad.

Además, si están interesados en adquirirla, queremos destacar que recientemente ajustamos el precio en 170,000 USD menos tras cuatro años en el mercado. Este cambio refleja nuestro compromiso con encontrar a los socios ideales que valoren no solo la belleza del lugar, sino también su potencial financiero dentro del ecosistema Bitcoin.

Por qué invertir aquí?

1. Negocio rentable: Ideal para emprendedores que deseen desarrollar proyectos turísticos, ecológicos o incluso tecnológicos en una de las regiones más codiciadas del mundo.
2. Valorización asegurada: La tendencia inmobiliaria en Tulum sigue creciendo año con año.
3. Sostenibilidad y tecnología: Combina la magia natural de México con herramientas innovadoras.

Comunicación Multilingüe

Ofrecemos la posibilidad de comunicarnos en español, alemán e inglés, lo que facilitará la interacción con inversores de diferentes partes del mundo.

No duden en contactarnos si son visionarios dispuestos a explorar nuevas formas de inversión en bienes raíces utilizando Bitcoin. Estamos emocionados por conectar con ustedes y construir juntos un futuro próspero.

Contacto: No duden en escribirnos. Respondemos todas sus preguntas con detalle y entusiasmo. ¡Juntos podemos transformar esta propiedad en un proyecto extraordinario!

---

TulumRealEstate #BitcoinFriendly #SustainableLiving #InvestInTulum #RusticCharm #PropertyForSale #DecentralizedFinance #TulumDreams

---

Discover a Unique Opportunity: Our Rustic Property in Tulum with Incredible Potential

We are looking for individuals interested in exploring a solid, sustainable investment aligned with the future of decentralized finance. We want to share with you our exceptional property located in La Veleta, Tulum—a place where nature blends seamlessly with modern living and the Bitcoin ecosystem.

Key Features of this Rustic Gem:

• Sturdy construction: We designed this property using local materials like stone and Chucum, reflecting authenticity and durability.
• Own water source: Ensures hydrological independence, an invaluable asset in the region.
• Abundant vegetation: A lush green haven that connects directly with the essence of Tulum.
• Strategic location: Centrally located, surrounded by the most beautiful spots in the region, perfect for both residential and business use.
• Up-to-date documentation: Everything is in order and ready for secure transactions.

Our Proposal for Management and Finances

We are seeking collaborators to manage and/or purchase this property. Whether through platforms like Nostr, Telegram or Element (on Matrix), we can efficiently coordinate any aspect related to the property.

Additionally, if you're interested in acquiring it, we’d like to highlight that we recently reduced the price by $170,000 USD after four years on the market. This adjustment reflects our commitment to finding the ideal partners who appreciate not only the beauty of the place but also its financial potential within the Bitcoin ecosystem.

Why Invest Here?

1. Profitable business opportunity: Perfect for entrepreneurs looking to develop tourism, ecological, or even tech projects in one of the world's most sought-after regions.
2. Guaranteed appreciation: The real estate trend in Tulum continues to grow year after year.
3. Sustainability and technology: Combines the natural magic of Mexico with innovative tools.

Multilingual Communication

We offer the possibility of communicating in Spanish, German, and English, making interaction easier for investors from around the world.

Don’t hesitate to reach out if you’re visionaries eager to explore new ways to invest in real estate using Bitcoin. We’re excited to connect with you and build a prosperous future together.

Contact: Feel free to write to us. We’ll be happy to answer all your questions in detail and with enthusiasm. Together, we can turn this property into an extraordinary project!

---

TulumRealEstate #BitcoinFriendly #SustainableLiving #InvestInTulum #RusticCharm #PropertyForSale #DecentralizedFinance #TulumDreams

---

Entdeckt eine einzigartige Gelegenheit: Unsere rustikale Immobilie in Tulum mit enormem Potenzial

Wir suchen Personen, die daran interessiert sind, eine feste, nachhaltige Investition zu tätigen, die sich auf die Zukunft der dezentralisierten Finanzen ausrichtet. Wir möchten euch unsere außergewöhnliche Immobilie in La Veleta, Tulum vorstellen – ein Ort, an dem Natur nahtlos mit dem modernen Leben und dem Bitcoin-Ekosystem verschmilzt.

Herausragende Merkmale dieser rustikalen Perle:

• Robuste Bauweise: Wir haben diese Immobilie mit lokalen Materialien wie Stein und Chucum gebaut, um Authentizität und Beständigkeit widerzuspiegeln.
• Eigen Quelle: Sicherstellt wertvolle Wasserunabhängigkeit, ein unschätzbarer Vorteil in der Region.
• Reiche Vegetation: Ein grünes Paradies, das euch direkt mit der Essenz von Tulum verbindet.
• Strategisch günstige Lage: Zentral gelegen, umgeben von den schönsten Plätzen der Region, ideal sowohl für Wohnzwecke als auch für Geschäfte.
• Aktuelle Dokumentation: Alles ist aktuell und bereit für sichere Transaktionen.

Unser Angebot zur Verwaltung und Finanzen

Wir suchen Mitstreiter, um diese Immobilie gemeinsam zu verwalten und/oder zu kaufen. Ob über Plattformen wie Nostr, Telegram oder Element (auf Matrix), können wir alle Aspekte der Immobilie effizient koordinieren.

Außerdem, wenn ihr Interesse habt, sie zu erwerben, möchten wir betonen, dass wir den Preis kürzlich um 170.000 USD gesenkt haben, nachdem sie vier Jahre lang auf dem Markt war. Diese Anpassung spiegelt unser Engagement wider, die idealen Partner zu finden, die nicht nur die Schönheit des Ortes schätzen, sondern auch sein finanzielles Potenzial im Bitcoin-Ekosystem.

Warum hier investieren?

1. Rentables Geschäft: Ideal für Unternehmer, die Tourismus-, ökologische oder sogar technologische Projekte in einer der weltweit begehrtesten Regionen entwickeln möchten.
2. Gewährleistung von Wertsteigerung: Die Immobilientrends in Tulum steigen Jahr für Jahr weiter.
3. Nachhaltigkeit und Technologie: Kombiniert die natürliche Magie Mexikos mit innovativen Tools.

Mehrsprachige Kommunikation

Wir bieten die Möglichkeit an, uns in Spanisch, Deutsch und Englisch zu kommunizieren, was die Interaktion mit Investoren aus aller Welt erleichtert.

Zögert nicht, euch zu melden, wenn ihr Visionäre seid, die neue Wege zur Immobilieninvestition mit Bitcoin erforschen möchten. Wir freuen uns darauf, mit euch zusammenzuarbeiten und gemeinsam eine erfolgreiche Zukunft aufzubauen.

Kontakt: Schreibt uns einfach. Wir werden alle eure Fragen detailliert und enthusiastisch beantworten. Zusammen können wir diese Immobilie in ein außergewöhnliches Projekt verwandeln!

---

TulumImmobilien #BitcoinFreundlich #NachhaltigesLeben #InvestiereInTulum #RustikalerCharme #ImmobilieZuVerkaufen #DezentralisierteFinanzen #TulumTräume

@ a012dc82:6458a70d

In the dynamic and often unpredictable world of cryptocurrency, the opinions and predictions of financial pundits like Jim Cramer, the host of CNBC's "Mad Money," can significantly sway market sentiments and investor behavior. Cramer, known for his incisive and sometimes controversial market insights, has recently turned his attention to Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency. His latest comments suggest a bearish outlook on Bitcoin, which has sparked intense discussions and speculations within the crypto community. This development is particularly noteworthy given Cramer's influence and the weight his opinions often carry in financial circles. His views on Bitcoin are not just idle chatter; they have the potential to shape market trends and influence investment strategies.

Table of Contents

• Cramer's Changing Stance on Bitcoin

  • Historical Perspective

  • The "Reverse Cramer Effect"

• Market Reactions and Speculations

  • Analyzing Past Trends

  • The Role of Bitcoin ETFs

• Implications for Investors

  • Navigating Market Sentiments

  • The Future of Bitcoin

• Conclusion

• FAQs

Cramer's Changing Stance on Bitcoin

Historical Perspective

Jim Cramer's relationship with Bitcoin has been a rollercoaster of changing opinions and stances. Initially skeptical, Cramer warmed up to Bitcoin, acknowledging its potential as an investment asset. However, his recent bearish comments mark a significant shift from his earlier views. This change is intriguing, as it comes at a time when Bitcoin has been showing signs of recovery and gaining mainstream acceptance. Cramer's influence in the financial world means that his opinions are closely monitored and can lead to tangible market reactions. His latest stance, suggesting that Bitcoin is "topping out," has therefore raised eyebrows and led to debates about the future direction of the cryptocurrency.

The "Reverse Cramer Effect"

The phenomenon known as the "reverse Cramer effect" has become a topic of interest among investors and market analysts. This effect, where the market tends to move in the opposite direction of Cramer's advice, has been observed on multiple occasions. For example, after Cramer advised investors to sell Bitcoin in April 2023, the cryptocurrency's price surged, defying his predictions. This pattern has led some investors to view Cramer's predictions as a contrarian indicator. The consistency of this effect raises questions about market psychology and the influence of prominent financial figures on investor behavior. It also underscores the complexity and unpredictability of the cryptocurrency market, where sentiment can often drive price movements more than fundamentals.

Market Reactions and Speculations

Analyzing Past Trends

The market's reaction to Cramer's comments is not just a matter of idle speculation; it has real implications for investors and traders. The "reverse Cramer effect" has been noted not just in the case of Bitcoin but also in other financial markets. This phenomenon suggests a deeper, perhaps psychological, aspect of market behavior where investors might be inclined to react contrarily to prominent predictions. The recent bearish stance by Cramer on Bitcoin thus becomes a focal point for market watchers. If history is any guide, this could very well be an inadvertent signal for a bullish phase for Bitcoin.

The Role of Bitcoin ETFs

The potential approval of Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC is a significant development in the cryptocurrency world. These ETFs would provide a more accessible and regulated avenue for investing in Bitcoin, potentially attracting a new class of investors. The approval of these ETFs could be a game-changer for Bitcoin's price, as it would represent a major step towards mainstream acceptance and institutional investment. The timing of Cramer's comments in the context of these developments adds an interesting dimension to market speculations. If the SEC does approve Bitcoin ETFs, and the "reverse Cramer effect" holds true, we could witness a substantial bull run in Bitcoin's price.

Implications for Investors

Navigating Market Sentiments

For investors, the "reverse Cramer effect" and the potential approval of Bitcoin ETFs present a complex scenario. While it's tempting to base investment decisions on the predictions of market experts, the unpredictable nature of cryptocurrencies requires a more nuanced approach. Investors need to consider a range of factors, including market trends, technological developments, regulatory changes, and broader economic indicators. The case of Jim Cramer's shifting stance on Bitcoin highlights the importance of not relying solely on expert opinions but also conducting independent research and analysis.

The Future of Bitcoin

The future of Bitcoin, as suggested by the recent developments and Cramer's comments, appears to be at a potential turning point. While the possibility of a bull market looms, it's important to remember the inherent volatility and risks associated with cryptocurrencies. The market's response to Cramer's comments, coupled with the potential regulatory advancements like Bitcoin ETFs, could indeed set the stage for significant price movements. However, investors should remain cautious and diversified in their approach, keeping in mind that the cryptocurrency market is still maturing and subject to rapid changes.

Conclusion

Jim Cramer's recent bearish comments on Bitcoin have stirred up a wave of discussions and speculations about the future of this leading cryptocurrency. While his track record suggests the possibility of an upcoming bull market, the volatile and unpredictable nature of the crypto world warrants a cautious approach. Investors should weigh Cramer's opinions alongside other market indicators and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. As the cryptocurrency landscape continues to evolve, staying informed, adaptable, and prudent remains crucial for navigating the market's ebbs and flows.

FAQs

Who is Jim Cramer? Jim Cramer is a well-known financial expert and the host of CNBC's "Mad Money." He is recognized for his bold market predictions and has a significant influence in the financial world.

What is the "Reverse Cramer Effect"? The "Reverse Cramer Effect" refers to a phenomenon where the market tends to move in the opposite direction of Jim Cramer's predictions. This has been observed particularly in the cryptocurrency market with Bitcoin.

Why are Jim Cramer's comments on Bitcoin important? Cramer's comments are closely followed by investors and can influence market trends. His recent bearish stance on Bitcoin has sparked discussions and speculations about a potential bull market due to the "Reverse Cramer Effect."

What impact could Bitcoin ETFs have on the market? The approval of Bitcoin ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) by the SEC could significantly boost Bitcoin's price by providing a regulated and accessible investment avenue, potentially attracting more mainstream and institutional investors.

Should investors base their decisions solely on Jim Cramer's predictions? While Cramer's opinions are influential, investors are advised to conduct their own research and consider a range of factors before making investment decisions, due to the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market.

That's all for today

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.

@ 2ae4800c:407de1c2

Oze là một nền tảng trực tuyến hiện đại, mang đến cho người dùng nhiều cơ hội khám phá những hoạt động giải trí độc đáo và sáng tạo. Với giao diện dễ sử dụng và các tính năng thân thiện với người dùng, Oze tạo ra một không gian số đầy thú vị, nơi người tham gia có thể dễ dàng tiếp cận và tham gia vào những trải nghiệm mới lạ. Được thiết kế để phục vụ cho mọi đối tượng từ những người yêu thích sự thư giãn cho đến những người tìm kiếm những thử thách hấp dẫn, Oze cung cấp một loạt các hoạt động đa dạng và phong phú, mang lại niềm vui và sự hài lòng cho người tham gia. Với mục tiêu không ngừng đổi mới và sáng tạo, Oze liên tục cập nhật và bổ sung các tính năng, giúp người dùng có thể tận hưởng những trải nghiệm mới mẻ và đầy hứng khởi mỗi lần quay lại.

OZE chú trọng đến việc tạo dựng một môi trường an toàn, bảo mật cho tất cả người dùng. Nền tảng này sử dụng các công nghệ tiên tiến để đảm bảo rằng tất cả các hoạt động diễn ra một cách trơn tru, mượt mà và không gặp phải sự gián đoạn nào. Các biện pháp bảo mật chặt chẽ được áp dụng để bảo vệ thông tin cá nhân của người dùng, giúp họ yên tâm khi tham gia vào các hoạt động trực tuyến trên nền tảng. Ngoài ra, Oze còn chú trọng đến việc khuyến khích người tham gia thực hiện các hoạt động một cách có trách nhiệm, giúp họ có thể tận hưởng không gian giải trí mà không lo lắng về những hậu quả không mong muốn. Việc tạo ra một môi trường an toàn và bảo mật không chỉ giúp người dùng cảm thấy thoải mái mà còn góp phần xây dựng lòng tin vào nền tảng này.

Với phương châm "đổi mới và phát triển không ngừng," Oze không ngừng tìm cách cải tiến và nâng cao chất lượng các dịch vụ mà mình cung cấp. Các tính năng mới được bổ sung liên tục nhằm đáp ứng nhu cầu ngày càng cao của người dùng, mang đến những trải nghiệm thú vị và đầy hứng khởi. Nền tảng này luôn lắng nghe phản hồi của người tham gia để cải thiện và mang đến những lựa chọn đa dạng hơn, phù hợp với xu hướng và sở thích của từng người. Bằng việc duy trì sự đổi mới và sáng tạo trong mọi hoạt động, Oze đã và đang thu hút một cộng đồng người dùng rộng lớn và trung thành. Từ những người mới bắt đầu cho đến những người đã tham gia lâu dài, Oze luôn đảm bảo rằng mỗi lần người dùng quay lại đều sẽ có những trải nghiệm mới mẻ và đầy thú vị. Sự kết hợp giữa sự sáng tạo, tính năng đa dạng và môi trường an toàn đã giúp Oze trở thành một lựa chọn lý tưởng cho những ai tìm kiếm niềm vui và sự giải trí trực tuyến.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Heute möchte ich ein Gedicht mit euch teilen. Es handelt sich um eine Ballade des österreichischen Lyrikers Johann Gabriel Seidl aus dem 19. Jahrhundert. Mir sind diese Worte fest in Erinnerung, da meine Mutter sie perfekt rezitieren konnte, auch als die Kräfte schon langsam schwanden.

Dem originalen Titel «Die Uhr» habe ich für mich immer das Wort «innere» hinzugefügt. Denn der Zeitmesser – hier vermutliche eine Taschenuhr – symbolisiert zwar in dem Kontext das damalige Zeitempfinden und die Umbrüche durch die industrielle Revolution, sozusagen den Zeitgeist und das moderne Leben. Aber der Autor setzt sich philosophisch mit der Zeit auseinander und gibt seinem Werk auch eine klar spirituelle Dimension.

Das Ticken der Uhr und die Momente des Glücks und der Trauer stehen sinnbildlich für das unaufhaltsame Fortschreiten und die Vergänglichkeit des Lebens. Insofern könnte man bei der Uhr auch an eine Sonnenuhr denken. Der Rhythmus der Ereignisse passt uns vielleicht nicht immer in den Kram.

Was den Takt pocht, ist durchaus auch das Herz, unser «inneres Uhrwerk». Wenn dieses Meisterwerk einmal stillsteht, ist es unweigerlich um uns geschehen. Hoffentlich können wir dann dankbar sagen: «Ich habe mein Bestes gegeben.»

Ich trage, wo ich gehe, stets eine Uhr bei mir; \ Wieviel es geschlagen habe, genau seh ich an ihr. \ Es ist ein großer Meister, der künstlich ihr Werk gefügt, \ Wenngleich ihr Gang nicht immer dem törichten Wunsche genügt.

Ich wollte, sie wäre rascher gegangen an manchem Tag; \ Ich wollte, sie hätte manchmal verzögert den raschen Schlag. \ In meinen Leiden und Freuden, in Sturm und in der Ruh, \ Was immer geschah im Leben, sie pochte den Takt dazu.

Sie schlug am Sarge des Vaters, sie schlug an des Freundes Bahr, \ Sie schlug am Morgen der Liebe, sie schlug am Traualtar. \ Sie schlug an der Wiege des Kindes, sie schlägt, will's Gott, noch oft, \ Wenn bessere Tage kommen, wie meine Seele es hofft.

Und ward sie auch einmal träger, und drohte zu stocken ihr Lauf, \ So zog der Meister immer großmütig sie wieder auf. \ Doch stände sie einmal stille, dann wär's um sie geschehn, \ Kein andrer, als der sie fügte, bringt die Zerstörte zum Gehn.

Dann müßt ich zum Meister wandern, der wohnt am Ende wohl weit, \ Wohl draußen, jenseits der Erde, wohl dort in der Ewigkeit! \ Dann gäb ich sie ihm zurücke mit dankbar kindlichem Flehn: \ Sieh, Herr, ich hab nichts verdorben, sie blieb von selber stehn.

Johann Gabriel Seidl (1804-1875)

@ 2ae4800c:407de1c2

Yo88 là một nền tảng số sáng tạo, cung cấp cho người dùng những trải nghiệm thú vị và hấp dẫn, được thiết kế phù hợp với nhiều sở thích và nhu cầu khác nhau. Nền tảng này mang đến một loạt các hoạt động đa dạng, từ những trải nghiệm nhẹ nhàng, thư giãn đến những thử thách đầy hấp dẫn, giúp người dùng dễ dàng tìm thấy điều mình yêu thích. Với giao diện thân thiện và dễ sử dụng, Yo88 đảm bảo rằng người tham gia có thể dễ dàng điều hướng qua các tính năng của nền tảng, mang đến một trải nghiệm liền mạch và thú vị từ đầu đến cuối.

Một trong những điểm nổi bật của YO88 chính là cam kết cung cấp một môi trường an toàn, chất lượng cao cho tất cả người dùng. Nền tảng này áp dụng công nghệ tiên tiến để đảm bảo các hoạt động diễn ra suôn sẻ, giúp người tham gia có thể tận hưởng mọi trải nghiệm mà không gặp phải sự gián đoạn. Ngoài ra, Yo88 còn chú trọng đến việc khuyến khích người dùng tham gia một cách có trách nhiệm, để mọi người có thể vui vẻ và thoải mái mà không gặp phải những hậu quả không mong muốn. Dù bạn là người tìm kiếm những giây phút thư giãn hay muốn thử sức với những thử thách mới mẻ, Yo88 đều cung cấp một không gian thú vị, an toàn để bạn thoải mái tham gia.

Với sự sáng tạo không ngừng, Yo88 thường xuyên cập nhật các tính năng và hoạt động mới, mang đến cho người dùng những trải nghiệm độc đáo và mới mẻ. Cam kết cải tiến và phát triển liên tục của nền tảng này giúp Yo88 luôn tươi mới và phù hợp với xu hướng, thu hút một lượng lớn người tham gia từ mọi độ tuổi và sở thích khác nhau. Bằng cách cung cấp các lựa chọn đa dạng và luôn đi trước trong việc áp dụng các xu hướng mới, Yo88 tiếp tục trở thành một điểm đến hấp dẫn cho những ai tìm kiếm sự mới mẻ, vui vẻ. Dù bạn là người đã tham gia lâu hay mới bắt đầu, Yo88 luôn cam kết mang đến cho bạn những trải nghiệm thú vị và khó quên.

@ b2d670de:907f9d4a

This is a list of nostr clients exposed as onion services. The list is currently actively maintained on GitHub. Contributions are always appreciated!

| Client name | Onion URL | Source code URL | Admin | Description | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Snort | http://agzj5a4be3kgp6yurijk4q7pm2yh4a5nphdg4zozk365yirf7ahuctyd.onion | https://git.v0l.io/Kieran/snort | operator | N/A | | moStard | http://sifbugd5nwdq77plmidkug4y57zuqwqio3zlyreizrhejhp6bohfwkad.onion/ | https://github.com/rafael-xmr/nostrudel/tree/mostard | operator | minimalist monero friendly nostrudel fork | | Nostrudel | http://oxtrnmb4wsb77rmk64q3jfr55fo33luwmsyaoovicyhzgrulleiojsad.onion/ | https://github.com/hzrd149/nostrudel | operator | Runs latest tagged docker image | | Nostrudel Next | http://oxtrnnumsflm7hmvb3xqphed2eqpbrt4seflgmdsjnpgc3ejd6iycuyd.onion/ | https://github.com/hzrd149/nostrudel | operator | Runs latest "next" tagged docker image | | Nsite | http://q457mvdt5smqj726m4lsqxxdyx7r3v7gufzt46zbkop6mkghpnr7z3qd.onion/ | https://github.com/hzrd149/nsite-ts | operator | Runs nsite. You can read more about nsite here. | | Shopstr | http://6fkdn756yryd5wurkq7ifnexupnfwj6sotbtby2xhj5baythl4cyf2id.onion/ | https://github.com/shopstr-eng/shopstr-hidden-service | operator | Runs the latest serverless branch build of Shopstr. |

@ f33c8a96:5ec6f741

Welcome to PlebDevs Starter Course

Course Mission

Welcome to the PlebDevs starter course! I'm Austin, the founder of PlebDevs, and I'll be walking you through this short intro starter course that will get you up and running and interacting with the rest of the content on the platform. If you're here, I'm assuming you're new to coding or just starting out. If you already have experience and have your bearings down, there's lots more intermediate and advanced content on the platform. This course is designed for absolute beginners.

Course Goals

Overall PlebDevs Goals

1. Learn how to code
2. Build Bitcoin/Lightning/Nostr apps
3. Become a developer

This is a big journey with a lot of pieces and things to learn. The starter course is going to get you on that path as quickly as possible and make it a smooth journey.

Starter Course Objectives

1. Give you an easy, high-level overview of the dev journey
2. Get you set up and comfortable in a development environment where you'll write and ship code
3. Give you basic experience in the languages covered in our courses and workshops

There's lots of material out there that will just tell you exactly what to do and not explain why but I want you to actually understand for yourself. I want you to have a good mental model of what this journey is going to be like, what it's going to be like actually writing and pushing code. And then we're going to start getting our hands dirty and gain real experience.

What is a PlebDev?

Origins and Philosophy

I started using the term "PlebDev" a few years ago to describe a unique approach to learning development in the Bitcoin space. It represents:

• Inclusive Learning: Anyone can become a developer, regardless of background
• Growth Mindset: Embracing the journey from beginner to professional
• Practical Focus: Emphasizing real-world application development
• Community Support: Learning and growing together

Key Characteristics

• 🌱 Growth-Focused: PlebDevs are always learning and improving
• 🎯 App-Centric: Focus on building applications rather than protocol development
• 🆕 Embrace Being New: Being a new developer is infinitely better than being on the sidelines
• 🤝 Community-Driven: Bitcoin/Lightning/Nostr ecosystem needs more plebdevs like you!

Our Learning Approach

Core Principles

1. Lower Barriers
2. Simplify complex concepts
3. Focus on practical understanding

4. Build confidence through action

5. Project-Based Learning

6. Learn by doing
7. Create real applications

8. Build a portfolio as you learn

9. MVP (Minimum Viable Product) Focus

10. Start with core functionality
11. Get things working first

12. Iterate and improve

13. Actionable Knowledge

14. Focus on the 20% that delivers 80% of results
15. Learn what you can use right away
16. Build practical skills

Teaching Methods

• Detailed concept breakdowns
• Line-by-line code explanations
• Interactive learning
• 1:1 support available
• Community-driven progress

Course Structure

The Learning Path

Instead of the traditional bottom-up approach, we use a project-focused method: 🏔️ Advanced Skills 🏔️ Projects & Practice 🏔️ Core Concepts 🏔️ Development Environment 🏔️ Getting Started

We'll create checkpoints through projects, allowing you to: - Verify your understanding - Build your portfolio - See real progress - Have reference points for review

Student Expectations

What We Expect From You

• High Agency: Take ownership of your learning journey
• Active Participation: Engage with the material and community
• Persistence: Push through challenges
• Curiosity: Ask questions and explore concepts

What You Can Expect From Us

• Clear, practical instruction
• Comprehensive support
• Real-world applications
• Community backing

Getting Started

Next Steps

1. Ensure you're ready to commit to learning
2. Set up your development environment (next lesson)
3. Join our community
4. Start building!

Resources and Support

Where to Get Help

• plebdevs.com

Tips for Success

1. Push code daily, even if it is small.
2. Focus on understanding rather than memorizing.
3. Build projects that interest you.
4. Engage with the community.
5. Don't be afraid to ask questions.

Remember

You don't need to become a "10x developer" overnight. The goal is to start writing code, build useful things, and gradually improve. Every expert was once a beginner, and the journey of a thousand miles begins with a single line of code.

Ready to begin? Let's dive into the next lesson where we'll set up your development environment! 🚀

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Falls du beim Lesen des Titels dieses Newsletters unwillkürlich an positive Neuigkeiten aus dem globalen polit-medialen Irrenhaus oder gar aus dem wirtschaftlichen Umfeld gedacht hast, darf ich dich beglückwünschen. Diese Assoziation ist sehr löblich, denn sie weist dich als unverbesserlichen Optimisten aus. Leider muss ich dich diesbezüglich aber enttäuschen. Es geht hier um ein anderes Thema, allerdings sehr wohl ein positives, wie ich finde.

Heute ist ein ganz besonderer Tag: die Wintersonnenwende. Genau gesagt hat heute morgen um 10:20 Uhr Mitteleuropäischer Zeit (MEZ) auf der Nordhalbkugel unseres Planeten der astronomische Winter begonnen. Was daran so außergewöhnlich ist? Der kürzeste Tag des Jahres war gestern, seit heute werden die Tage bereits wieder länger! Wir werden also jetzt jeden Tag ein wenig mehr Licht haben.

Für mich ist dieses Ereignis immer wieder etwas kurios: Es beginnt der Winter, aber die Tage werden länger. Das erscheint mir zunächst wie ein Widerspruch, denn meine spontanen Assoziationen zum Winter sind doch eher Kälte und Dunkelheit, relativ zumindest. Umso erfreulicher ist der emotionale Effekt, wenn dann langsam die Erkenntnis durchsickert: Ab jetzt wird es schon wieder heller!

Natürlich ist es kalt im Winter, mancherorts mehr als anderswo. Vielleicht jedoch nicht mehr lange, wenn man den Klimahysterikern glauben wollte. Mindestens letztes Jahr hat Väterchen Frost allerdings gleich zu Beginn seiner Saison – und passenderweise während des globalen Überhitzungsgipfels in Dubai – nochmal richtig mit der Faust auf den Tisch gehauen. Schnee- und Eischaos sind ja eigentlich in der Agenda bereits nicht mehr vorgesehen. Deswegen war man in Deutschland vermutlich in vorauseilendem Gehorsam schon nicht mehr darauf vorbereitet und wurde glatt lahmgelegt.

Aber ich schweife ab. Die Aussicht auf nach und nach mehr Licht und damit auch Wärme stimmt mich froh. Den Zusammenhang zwischen beidem merkt man in Andalusien sehr deutlich. Hier, wo die Häuser im Winter arg auskühlen, geht man zum Aufwärmen raus auf die Straße oder auf den Balkon. Die Sonne hat auch im Winter eine erfreuliche Kraft. Und da ist jede Minute Gold wert.

Außerdem ist mir vor Jahren so richtig klar geworden, warum mir das südliche Klima so sehr gefällt. Das liegt nämlich nicht nur an der Sonne als solcher, oder der Wärme – das liegt vor allem am Licht. Ohne Licht keine Farben, das ist der ebenso simple wie gewaltige Unterschied zwischen einem deprimierenden matschgraubraunen Winter und einem fröhlichen bunten. Ein großes Stück Lebensqualität.

Mir gefällt aber auch die Symbolik dieses Tages: Licht aus der Dunkelheit, ein Wendepunkt, ein Neuanfang, neue Möglichkeiten, Übergang zu neuer Aktivität. In der winterlichen Stille keimt bereits neue Lebendigkeit. Und zwar in einem Zyklus, das wird immer wieder so geschehen. Ich nehme das gern als ein Stück Motivation, es macht mir Hoffnung und gibt mir Energie.

Übrigens ist parallel am heutigen Tag auf der südlichen Halbkugel Sommeranfang. Genau im entgegengesetzten Rhythmus, sich ergänzend, wie Yin und Yang. Das alles liegt an der Schrägstellung der Erdachse, die ist nämlich um 23,4º zur Umlaufbahn um die Sonne geneigt. Wir erinnern uns, gell?

Insofern bleibt eindeutig festzuhalten, dass “schräg sein” ein willkommener, wichtiger und positiver Wert ist. Mit anderen Worten: auch ungewöhnlich, eigenartig, untypisch, wunderlich, kauzig, … ja sogar irre, spinnert oder gar “quer” ist in Ordnung. Das schließt das Denken mit ein.

In diesem Sinne wünsche ich euch allen urige Weihnachtstage!

---

Dieser Beitrag ist letztes Jahr in meiner Denkbar erschienen.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Das Betriebsklima ist das einzige Klima, \ das du selbst bestimmen kannst. \ Anonym

Eine Strategie zur Anpassung an den Klimawandel hat das deutsche Bundeskabinett diese Woche beschlossen. Da «Wetterextreme wie die immer häufiger auftretenden Hitzewellen und Starkregenereignisse» oft desaströse Auswirkungen auf Mensch und Umwelt hätten, werde eine Anpassung an die Folgen des Klimawandels immer wichtiger. «Klimaanpassungsstrategie» nennt die Regierung das.

Für die «Vorsorge vor Klimafolgen» habe man nun erstmals klare Ziele und messbare Kennzahlen festgelegt. So sei der Erfolg überprüfbar, und das solle zu einer schnelleren Bewältigung der Folgen führen. Dass sich hinter dem Begriff Klimafolgen nicht Folgen des Klimas, sondern wohl «Folgen der globalen Erwärmung» verbergen, erklärt den Interessierten die Wikipedia. Dabei ist das mit der Erwärmung ja bekanntermaßen so eine Sache.

Die Zunahme schwerer Unwetterereignisse habe gezeigt, so das Ministerium, wie wichtig eine frühzeitige und effektive Warnung der Bevölkerung sei. Daher solle es eine deutliche Anhebung der Nutzerzahlen der sogenannten Nina-Warn-App geben.

Die ARD spurt wie gewohnt und setzt die Botschaft zielsicher um. Der Artikel beginnt folgendermaßen:

«Die Flut im Ahrtal war ein Schock für das ganze Land. Um künftig besser gegen Extremwetter gewappnet zu sein, hat die Bundesregierung eine neue Strategie zur Klimaanpassung beschlossen. Die Warn-App Nina spielt eine zentrale Rolle. Der Bund will die Menschen in Deutschland besser vor Extremwetter-Ereignissen warnen und dafür die Reichweite der Warn-App Nina deutlich erhöhen.»

Die Kommunen würden bei ihren «Klimaanpassungsmaßnahmen» vom Zentrum KlimaAnpassung unterstützt, schreibt das Umweltministerium. Mit dessen Aufbau wurden das Deutsche Institut für Urbanistik gGmbH, welches sich stark für Smart City-Projekte engagiert, und die Adelphi Consult GmbH beauftragt.

Adelphi beschreibt sich selbst als «Europas führender Think-and-Do-Tank und eine unabhängige Beratung für Klima, Umwelt und Entwicklung». Sie seien «global vernetzte Strateg*innen und weltverbessernde Berater*innen» und als «Vorreiter der sozial-ökologischen Transformation» sei man mit dem Deutschen Nachhaltigkeitspreis ausgezeichnet worden, welcher sich an den Zielen der Agenda 2030 orientiere.

Über die Warn-App mit dem niedlichen Namen Nina, die möglichst jeder auf seinem Smartphone installieren soll, informiert das Bundesamt für Bevölkerungsschutz und Katastrophenhilfe (BBK). Gewarnt wird nicht nur vor Extrem-Wetterereignissen, sondern zum Beispiel auch vor Waffengewalt und Angriffen, Strom- und anderen Versorgungsausfällen oder Krankheitserregern. Wenn man die Kategorie Gefahreninformation wählt, erhält man eine Dosis von ungefähr zwei Benachrichtigungen pro Woche.

Beim BBK erfahren wir auch einiges über die empfohlenen Systemeinstellungen für Nina. Der Benutzer möge zum Beispiel den Zugriff auf die Standortdaten «immer zulassen», und zwar mit aktivierter Funktion «genauen Standort verwenden». Die Datennutzung solle unbeschränkt sein, auch im Hintergrund. Außerdem sei die uneingeschränkte Akkunutzung zu aktivieren, der Energiesparmodus auszuschalten und das Stoppen der App-Aktivität bei Nichtnutzung zu unterbinden.

Dass man so dramatische Ereignisse wie damals im Ahrtal auch anders bewerten kann als Regierungen und Systemmedien, hat meine Kollegin Wiltrud Schwetje anhand der Tragödie im spanischen Valencia gezeigt. Das Stichwort «Agenda 2030» taucht dabei in einem Kontext auf, der wenig mit Nachhaltigkeitspreisen zu tun hat.

---

Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ 6260f29f:2ee2fcd4

PlebDevs ⚡️

A one-of-a-kind developer education, content, and community platform built on Nostr and fully Lightning integrated.
https://plebdevs.com

Overview

PlebDevs is an open-source platform that combines educational content, community interaction, and Bitcoin/Lightning integration. The platform publishes content to Nostr and actively pulls from Nostr relays, creating a distributed, interoperable trail of Documents, Videos, and Courses.

Technical Implementation

Nostr Integration

• Content Distribution: Implements NIP-23 for rich multimedia content embedding
• Content Encryption: Paid content bodies are encrypted while maintaining metadata visibility
• Authentication:
• Multi-method signup (NIP-07, Email, GitHub, Anonymous)
• Ephemeral keypair generation for non-Nostr users
• Account linking and recovery system
• Lists & Courses: NIP-51 implementation for structured content organization
• Monetization: NIP-99 for digital content sales
• Automated Subscriptions: NIP-47 (Nostr Wallet Connect) for recurring payments
• Badge System: NIP-58 for automated achievement rewards
• Identity: NIP-05 for custom platform identities
• Additional NIPs: Implements NIP-01, NIP-19, NIP-39, NIP-57

Platform Architecture

• Content Management:
• Draft system with preview capabilities
• Parameterized replaceable events
• Multi-format support (Markdown, Video, Mixed Media)
• Course builder with drag-and-drop ordering
• User Management:
• Profile synchronization with Nostr
• Activity tracking and progress monitoring
• Custom relay configuration
• Wallet connection management
• Admin Features:
• Protected admin routes based on pubkey configuration
• Content creation and management interface
• Draft/publish workflow
• Course assembly tools

@ 4f1c14e5:b8546d05

Training ideologies often lead to tribalism when they shouldn’t. As with all things, there are no solutions - only tradeoffs.

The reality is that free weights and machines are both tools. The one you should use is determined by your objective.

In either case, creating tension within the target muscle group is always the objective when it comes to building muscle. It's this mechanical tension that's responsible for initiating the growth process by destroying already formed muscle cells. Both machines and free weights accomplish this objective.

As a general rule, the more stable you are during an exercise, the more tension you can create within the target muscle.

The difference is simply that machines offer more stability. That’s neither better nor worse, it just is. Stability within exercises is a spectrum. We create stability by bracing against things. The more points of contact and the more of your body that braces against things, the more stability you will have.

Because of gravity, we are forced to have at least one point of contact braced against something at all times. Typically, it's the floor. A pistol squat offers a very low amount of stability because of the lack of bracing. In this example, only one foot is braced against the floor.

Adding a second foot to the ground and doing a body weight squat enhances stability. Holding onto a bar or a bench in front of you while squatting now adds another layer of stability.

A hack squat is a machine where both feet are planted on a platform and the user rests the posterior portion of their entire upper body - from their lower back to their head - against a pad. This machine has a fixed movement pattern which further reduces any instability.

These are all examples of different exercises that follow the same movement pattern, yet offer varying degrees of stability.

Which should beginners use? Again, both is the best approach. But what would happen if you limited yourself to mostly one or the other?

Predominantly using machines as a beginner will allow you to forego the lack of development in your ability to stabilize yourself. The machine stabilizes your body for you in a way that beginners simply aren’t able to at first. You are braced by a seat, a back pad/chest pad and maybe a handle or two as well. In addition to this bracing, the movement path is already carved out for you. You simply position yourself appropriately and push (or pull), and the machine does the rest. This allows you to focus more on creating tension in the target muscle as well as learning to train to failure safely.

Predominantly using free weights as a beginner will force you to develop stability from the start. There are no pads anywhere to brace your body against. Your body must learn to brace against itself. You become the machine. This may limit your ability to create maximum tension in the target muscles at first, but the stability you create this way will translate to systemic muscular development. You'll become thicker everywhere because your body works as a system to stabilize itself against gravity.

The stability built through free weight movements will transfer over to machines. If you can stabilize yourself with just a barbell, the stability you can create while braced in a machine will translate to even greater tension. You’ll be stabilized by your body AND the machine.

Since it makes the most sense to do both, the only thing left is understanding which circumstances are better suited for machines vs free weights. Since fatigue is something we all contend with during a workout, it makes sense to program the least stabilized, most demanding movements earlier in the workout and the most stabilized, least demanding movements later in the session. This not only allows you to create the most tension possible throughout the workout, but is also the safest approach. It would be unwise to schedule barbell front squats at the end of a workout when fatigue is high and energy is low. Not only will you fail to generate maximum tension, but you’ll put yourself at higher risk of injury.

TLDR; use both, but do free weight stuff first.

@ 2ae4800c:407de1c2

FCB88 là một nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến sáng tạo, không chỉ cung cấp các trò chơi hấp dẫn mà còn mang đến những trải nghiệm đỉnh cao cho người chơi. Với giao diện thân thiện và dễ sử dụng, FCB88 mang đến một không gian giải trí tối ưu, nơi người tham gia có thể thư giãn và phát triển các kỹ năng tư duy, phân tích và chiến lược. Các trò chơi trên FCB88 được thiết kế để thử thách người chơi ở mọi cấp độ, từ những trò chơi đơn giản, giải trí cho đến những thử thách phức tạp yêu cầu tư duy sâu sắc và khả năng lập kế hoạch chiến lược. Mỗi trò chơi đều được xây dựng với sự tỉ mỉ, đảm bảo mang đến cho người chơi cảm giác hứng thú và kích thích sự sáng tạo. Các tính năng của nền tảng này được tối ưu hóa liên tục, mang lại cho người tham gia những trải nghiệm mượt mà và thú vị, từ giao diện người dùng cho đến các trò chơi mới mẻ và độc đáo.

Một trong những điểm đặc biệt khiến FCB88 thu hút đông đảo người tham gia chính là cộng đồng gắn kết và đầy tính tương tác. Nền tảng này không chỉ là nơi để chơi game mà còn là một không gian xã hội, nơi mọi người có thể giao lưu, chia sẻ kinh nghiệm và học hỏi từ nhau. FCB88 tạo ra những cơ hội tuyệt vời cho người chơi kết nối với những người có cùng đam mê và sở thích thông qua các nhóm trò chuyện, diễn đàn thảo luận, và các sự kiện cộng đồng. Các sự kiện này không chỉ mang lại niềm vui giải trí mà còn là dịp để người chơi thể hiện tài năng, sáng tạo và khám phá những chiến lược mới. Hơn nữa, FCB88 luôn khuyến khích sự tương tác tích cực giữa các thành viên, xây dựng một môi trường hợp tác và thân thiện, nơi mọi người đều cảm thấy thoải mái và tự do khi tham gia. Các tính năng xã hội này không chỉ giúp người chơi tạo dựng mối quan hệ lâu dài mà còn giúp họ cảm thấy mình là một phần của một cộng đồng lớn mạnh, hỗ trợ lẫn nhau trong suốt hành trình giải trí.

Không chỉ chú trọng đến việc phát triển trò chơi và cộng đồng, FCB88 còn đặc biệt quan tâm đến việc bảo mật và công bằng. Nền tảng này sử dụng các công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến để đảm bảo rằng mọi thông tin cá nhân của người tham gia luôn được bảo vệ một cách an toàn. Các hệ thống bảo mật chặt chẽ giúp người chơi yên tâm khi tham gia vào các hoạt động trên nền tảng mà không lo lắng về việc lộ thông tin hay bị xâm phạm quyền riêng tư. Đồng thời, FCB88 cũng cam kết tạo ra một môi trường công bằng và minh bạch, nơi tất cả người tham gia đều có cơ hội như nhau để thể hiện tài năng của mình. Tất cả các trò chơi trên nền tảng này đều được thiết kế một cách công bằng, với các quy tắc rõ ràng và minh bạch, giúp người chơi có thể hoàn toàn yên tâm và tập trung vào việc phát triển kỹ năng và chiến lược cá nhân. Với sự kết hợp giữa các yếu tố giải trí, cộng đồng và bảo mật, FCB88 đang dần trở thành một trong những nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến hàng đầu, thu hút được sự tin tưởng và yêu mến từ đông đảo người chơi trên toàn thế giới.

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Die Ungerechtigkeit ist uns nur in dem Falle angenehm,\ dass wir Vorteile aus ihr ziehen;\ in jedem andern hegt man den Wunsch,\ dass der Unschuldige in Schutz genommen werde.\ Jean-Jacques Rousseau

Politiker beteuern jederzeit, nur das Beste für die Bevölkerung zu wollen – nicht von ihr. Auch die zahlreichen unsäglichen «Corona-Maßnahmen» waren angeblich zu unserem Schutz notwendig, vor allem wegen der «besonders vulnerablen Personen». Daher mussten alle möglichen Restriktionen zwangsweise und unter Umgehung der Parlamente verordnet werden.

Inzwischen hat sich immer deutlicher herausgestellt, dass viele jener «Schutzmaßnahmen» den gegenteiligen Effekt hatten, sie haben den Menschen und den Gesellschaften enorm geschadet. Nicht nur haben die experimentellen Geninjektionen – wie erwartet – massive Nebenwirkungen, sondern Maskentragen schadet der Psyche und der Entwicklung (nicht nur unserer Kinder) und «Lockdowns und Zensur haben Menschen getötet».

Eine der wichtigsten Waffen unserer «Beschützer» ist die Spaltung der Gesellschaft. Die tiefen Gräben, die Politiker, Lobbyisten und Leitmedien praktisch weltweit ausgehoben haben, funktionieren leider nahezu in Perfektion. Von ihren persönlichen Erfahrungen als Kritikerin der Maßnahmen berichtete kürzlich eine Schweizerin im Interview mit Transition News. Sie sei schwer enttäuscht und verspüre bis heute eine Hemmschwelle und ein seltsames Unwohlsein im Umgang mit «Geimpften».

Menschen, die aufrichtig andere schützen wollten, werden von einer eindeutig politischen Justiz verfolgt, verhaftet und angeklagt. Dazu zählen viele Ärzte, darunter Heinrich Habig, Bianca Witzschel und Walter Weber. Über den aktuell laufenden Prozess gegen Dr. Weber hat Transition News mehrfach berichtet (z.B. hier und hier). Auch der Selbstschutz durch Verweigerung der Zwangs-Covid-«Impfung» bewahrt nicht vor dem Knast, wie Bundeswehrsoldaten wie Alexander Bittner erfahren mussten.

Die eigentlich Kriminellen schützen sich derweil erfolgreich selber, nämlich vor der Verantwortung. Die «Impf»-Kampagne war «das größte Verbrechen gegen die Menschheit». Trotzdem stellt man sich in den USA gerade die Frage, ob der scheidende Präsident Joe Biden nach seinem Sohn Hunter möglicherweise auch Anthony Fauci begnadigen wird – in diesem Fall sogar präventiv. Gibt es überhaupt noch einen Rest Glaubwürdigkeit, den Biden verspielen könnte?

Der Gedanke, den ehemaligen wissenschaftlichen Chefberater des US-Präsidenten und Direktor des National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) vorsorglich mit einem Schutzschild zu versehen, dürfte mit der vergangenen Präsidentschaftswahl zu tun haben. Gleich mehrere Personalentscheidungen des designierten Präsidenten Donald Trump lassen Leute wie Fauci erneut in den Fokus rücken.

Das Buch «The Real Anthony Fauci» des nominierten US-Gesundheitsministers Robert F. Kennedy Jr. erschien 2021 und dreht sich um die Machenschaften der Pharma-Lobby in der öffentlichen Gesundheit. Das Vorwort zur rumänischen Ausgabe des Buches schrieb übrigens Călin Georgescu, der Überraschungssieger der ersten Wahlrunde der aktuellen Präsidentschaftswahlen in Rumänien. Vielleicht erklärt diese Verbindung einen Teil der Panik im Wertewesten.

In Rumänien selber gab es gerade einen Paukenschlag: Das bisherige Ergebnis wurde heute durch das Verfassungsgericht annuliert und die für Sonntag angesetzte Stichwahl kurzfristig abgesagt – wegen angeblicher «aggressiver russischer Einmischung». Thomas Oysmüller merkt dazu an, damit sei jetzt in der EU das Tabu gebrochen, Wahlen zu verbieten, bevor sie etwas ändern können.

Unsere Empörung angesichts der Historie von Maßnahmen, die die Falschen beschützen und für die meisten von Nachteil sind, müsste enorm sein. Die Frage ist, was wir damit machen. Wir sollten nach vorne schauen und unsere Energie clever einsetzen. Abgesehen von der Umgehung von jeglichem «Schutz vor Desinformation und Hassrede» (sprich: Zensur) wird es unsere wichtigste Aufgabe sein, Gräben zu überwinden.

---

Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ 6260f29f:2ee2fcd4

PlebDevs ⚡️

A one-of-a-kind developer education, content, and community platform built on Nostr and fully Lightning integrated.
https://plebdevs.com

Overview

PlebDevs is an open-source platform that combines educational content, community interaction, and Bitcoin/Lightning integration. The platform publishes content to Nostr and actively pulls from Nostr relays, creating a distributed, interoperable trail of Documents, Videos, and Courses.

Technical Implementation

Nostr Integration

• Content Distribution: Implements NIP-23 for rich multimedia content embedding
• Content Encryption: Paid content bodies are encrypted while maintaining metadata visibility
• Authentication:
• Multi-method signup (NIP-07, Email, GitHub, Anonymous)
• Ephemeral keypair generation for non-Nostr users
• Account linking and recovery system
• Lists & Courses: NIP-51 implementation for structured content organization
• Monetization: NIP-99 for digital content sales
• Automated Subscriptions: NIP-47 (Nostr Wallet Connect) for recurring payments
• Badge System: NIP-58 for automated achievement rewards
• Identity: NIP-05 for custom platform identities
• Additional NIPs: Implements NIP-01, NIP-19, NIP-39, NIP-57

Platform Architecture

• Content Management:
• Draft system with preview capabilities
• Parameterized replaceable events
• Multi-format support (Markdown, Video, Mixed Media)
• Course builder with drag-and-drop ordering
• User Management:
• Profile synchronization with Nostr
• Activity tracking and progress monitoring
• Custom relay configuration
• Wallet connection management
• Admin Features:
• Protected admin routes based on pubkey configuration
• Content creation and management interface
• Draft/publish workflow
• Course assembly tools

@ d360efec:14907b5f

ภาพรวมการวิเคราะห์ Bitcoin (BTC)

จากการตรวจสอบกราฟและอินดิเคเตอร์ใน Timeframe 15 นาที, 4 ชั่วโมง, และรายวัน (Day) พบว่า Bitcoin มีความผันผวนและมีแนวโน้มการเปลี่ยนแปลงที่น่าสนใจในแต่ละ Timeframe ดังรายละเอียดต่อไปนี้ค่ะ

อินดิเคเตอร์ที่ใช้ในการวิเคราะห์

• EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
  • EMA 50 (สีเหลือง): แสดงแนวโน้มระยะสั้นของราคา
  • EMA 200 (สีขาว): แสดงแนวโน้มระยะยาวของราคา
• SMC (Smart Money Concepts): แนวคิดการเทรดที่เน้นการวิเคราะห์พฤติกรรมของ "Smart Money" หรือผู้เล่นรายใหญ่ในตลาด
• ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Buyside & Sellside Liquidity: อินดิเคเตอร์ที่ระบุตำแหน่งสภาพคล่องฝั่งซื้อและฝั่งขาย ซึ่งเป็นเป้าหมายราคาที่น่าสนใจ
• Money Flow: อินดิเคเตอร์ที่แสดงทิศทางการไหลเข้าออกของเงินทุนในสินทรัพย์
• Trend Strength (🌟Introducing the Trend and Strength Signals indicator by AlgoAlpha!): อินดิเคเตอร์ที่ช่วยระบุแนวโน้มและความแข็งแกร่งของตลาด มีลักษณะเป็นเมฆและสัญญาณซื้อขาย

วิเคราะห์แนวโน้มและกลยุทธ์การเทรด

1. Timeframe 15 นาที (TF 15m)

• แนวโน้ม: ใน TF 15 นาที ราคา BTC มีความผันผวนในกรอบแคบ EMA 50 ตัดกับ EMA 200 บ่งบอกถึงความไม่แน่นอนของแนวโน้มในระยะสั้น
• สัญญาณอินดิเคเตอร์:
  • Trend Strength: เกิดสัญญาณซื้อขาย (Buy/Sell Signal) แต่เมฆ (Cloud) ยังไม่ชัดเจน บ่งบอกถึงความแข็งแกร่งของแนวโน้มยังไม่เด่นชัด
  • Money Flow: มีการสลับการไหลเข้าออกของเงินทุน สะท้อนถึงความไม่แน่นอนในระยะสั้น
  • Buyside & Sellside Liquidity: อินดิเคเตอร์นี้จะช่วยระบุแนวรับแนวต้านใน TF สั้นๆ เพื่อใช้ในการพิจารณาจุดเข้าออก
• Chart Pattern: พิจารณารูปแบบ Chart Pattern ใน TF 15 นาที เช่น รูปแบบสามเหลี่ยม (Triangle) หรือรูปแบบธง (Flag) เพื่อหารูปแบบราคาที่อาจเกิดขึ้น
• กลยุทธ์ Day Trade (การเทรดรายวัน):
  • กลยุทธ์: เน้นการเทรดในกรอบ Sideway โดยใช้แนวรับแนวต้านที่ระบุจาก Buyside & Sellside Liquidity และสัญญาณจาก Trend Strength ประกอบการตัดสินใจ
  • SMC Setup: มองหา SMC Setup ใน TF 15 นาที เช่น Order Block หรือ Fair Value Gap บริเวณแนวรับแนวต้าน เพื่อหาจังหวะเข้าเทรดตามแนวโน้มระยะสั้น
  • สิ่งที่ต้องระวัง: ความผันผวนสูงใน TF 15 นาที อาจทำให้เกิดสัญญาณหลอก ควรใช้ Stop Loss ที่เหมาะสม และบริหารความเสี่ยงอย่างเคร่งครัด

2. Timeframe 4 ชั่วโมง (TF 4H)

• แนวโน้ม: ใน TF 4 ชั่วโมง ราคา BTC มีแนวโน้มเป็นขาขึ้น EMA 50 อยู่เหนือ EMA 200 บ่งบอกถึงแนวโน้มขาขึ้นในระยะกลาง
• สัญญาณอินดิเคเตอร์:
  • Trend Strength: เกิดเมฆสีเขียว (Green Cloud) และสัญญาณซื้อ (Buy Signal) บ่งบอกถึงแนวโน้มขาขึ้นที่แข็งแกร่ง
  • Money Flow: เงินทุนไหลเข้าต่อเนื่อง สนับสนุนแนวโน้มขาขึ้น
  • Buyside & Sellside Liquidity: อินดิเคเตอร์นี้จะช่วยระบุแนวรับแนวต้านที่สำคัญใน TF 4 ชั่วโมง เพื่อใช้ในการวางแผนการเทรดระยะกลาง
• Chart Pattern: พิจารณารูปแบบ Chart Pattern ใน TF 4 ชั่วโมง เช่น รูปแบบ Cup and Handle หรือรูปแบบ Ascending Triangle เพื่อยืนยันแนวโน้มขาขึ้น
• กลยุทธ์ Day Trade (การเทรดรายวัน) / Swing Trade (การเทรดระยะกลาง):
  • กลยุทธ์: เน้นการเทรดตามแนวโน้มขาขึ้น โดยใช้ EMA 50 และแนวรับแนวต้านจาก Buyside & Sellside Liquidity เป็นจุดอ้างอิงในการเข้าเทรด
  • SMC Setup: มองหา SMC Setup ใน TF 4 ชั่วโมง เช่น Break of Structure (BOS) หรือ Change of Character (CHOCH) เพื่อหาจังหวะเข้าเทรดตามแนวโน้มขาขึ้น
  • สิ่งที่ต้องระวัง: การพักตัวของราคาในแนวโน้มขาขึ้น อาจทำให้เกิดการย่อตัวระยะสั้น ควรพิจารณาแนวรับที่แข็งแกร่ง และตั้ง Stop Loss เพื่อป้องกันความเสี่ยง

3. Timeframe รายวัน (TF Day)

• แนวโน้ม: ใน TF รายวัน ราคา BTC ยังคงอยู่ในแนวโน้มขาขึ้นระยะยาว EMA 50 อยู่เหนือ EMA 200 อย่างชัดเจน
• สัญญาณอินดิเคเตอร์:
  • Trend Strength: เกิดเมฆสีเขียวขนาดใหญ่ (Large Green Cloud) และสัญญาณซื้อต่อเนื่อง (Continuous Buy Signal) บ่งบอกถึงแนวโน้มขาขึ้นระยะยาวที่แข็งแกร่งมาก
  • Money Flow: เงินทุนไหลเข้าอย่างต่อเนื่องและแข็งแกร่ง สนับสนุนแนวโน้มขาขึ้นระยะยาว
  • Buyside & Sellside Liquidity: อินดิเคเตอร์นี้จะช่วยระบุแนวรับแนวต้านที่สำคัญใน TF รายวัน เพื่อใช้ในการวางแผนการลงทุนระยะยาว
• Chart Pattern: พิจารณารูปแบบ Chart Pattern ใน TF รายวัน เช่น รูปแบบ Bullish Flag หรือรูปแบบ Wedge เพื่อยืนยันแนวโน้มขาขึ้นระยะยาว
• กลยุทธ์ Day Trade (การเทรดรายวัน) / Swing Trade (การเทรดระยะกลาง) / Long-Term Investment (การลงทุนระยะยาว):
  • กลยุทธ์: เน้นการลงทุนระยะยาวตามแนวโน้มขาขึ้น โดยพิจารณาจังหวะเข้าซื้อเมื่อราคาย่อตัวลงมาบริเวณแนวรับสำคัญใน TF รายวัน
  • SMC Setup: มองหา SMC Setup ใน TF รายวัน เช่น Institutional Order Flow เพื่อยืนยันแนวโน้มขาขึ้นระยะยาว
  • สิ่งที่ต้องระวัง: ความเสี่ยงจากปัจจัยภายนอกที่อาจกระทบตลาด Cryptocurrency ในระยะยาว ควรติดตามข่าวสารและสถานการณ์ตลาดอย่างใกล้ชิด และกระจายความเสี่ยงในการลงทุน

สรุป

จากการวิเคราะห์ BTC ใน 3 Timeframe ด้วยอินดิเคเตอร์และ Chart Pattern พบว่า BTC ยังคงมีแนวโน้มขาขึ้นในระยะกลางและระยะยาว อย่างไรก็ตาม ในระยะสั้น TF 15 นาที ยังมีความผันผวนและไม่แน่นอน กลยุทธ์การเทรดที่เหมาะสมจะแตกต่างกันไปตาม Timeframe และเป้าหมายการเทรดของแต่ละบุคคล ควรพิจารณาความเสี่ยงและบริหารจัดการเงินทุนอย่างเหมาะสม

คำแนะนำเพิ่มเติม

• ศึกษาเพิ่มเติม: ควรศึกษาเพิ่มเติมเกี่ยวกับ SMC, ICT, และ Trend Strength Indicator เพื่อให้เข้าใจหลักการทำงานและนำไปประยุกต์ใช้ในการเทรดได้อย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ
• ทดลองบนบัญชี Demo: ทดลองกลยุทธ์ต่างๆ บนบัญชี Demo ก่อนนำไปใช้จริง เพื่อทดสอบความเข้าใจและปรับปรุงกลยุทธ์ให้เหมาะสมกับตนเอง
• ติดตามข่าวสาร: ติดตามข่าวสารและสถานการณ์ตลาด Cryptocurrency อย่างสม่ำเสมอ เพื่อประกอบการตัดสินใจในการเทรดและการลงทุน

Disclaimer (ข้อจำกัดความรับผิดชอบ):

การวิเคราะห์นี้มีวัตถุประสงค์เพื่อให้ข้อมูลเท่านั้น และเป็นความคิดเห็นส่วนบุคคล ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำทางการเงิน การลงทุนใน Cryptocurrency มีความเสี่ยงสูง นักลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลด้วยตนเองและใช้ความระมัดระวังก่อนตัดสินใจลงทุน

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Konsum ist Therapie.
Wolfgang Joop

Umweltbewusstes Verhalten und verantwortungsvoller Konsum zeugen durchaus von einer wünschenswerten Einstellung. Ob man deswegen allerdings einen grünen statt eines schwarzen Freitags braucht, darf getrost bezweifelt werden – zumal es sich um manipulatorische Konzepte handelt. Wie in der politischen Landschaft sind auch hier die Etiketten irgendwas zwischen nichtssagend und trügerisch.

Heute ist also wieder mal «Black Friday», falls Sie es noch nicht mitbekommen haben sollten. Eigentlich haben wir ja eher schon eine ganze «Black Week», der dann oft auch noch ein «Cyber Monday» folgt. Die Werbebranche wird nicht müde, immer neue Anlässe zu erfinden oder zu importieren, um uns zum Konsumieren zu bewegen. Und sie ist damit sehr erfolgreich.

Warum fallen wir auf derartige Werbetricks herein und kaufen im Zweifelsfall Dinge oder Mengen, die wir sicher nicht brauchen? Pure Psychologie, würde ich sagen. Rabattschilder triggern etwas in uns, was den Verstand in Stand-by versetzt. Zusätzlich beeinflussen uns alle möglichen emotionalen Reize und animieren uns zum Schnäppchenkauf.

Gedankenlosigkeit und Maßlosigkeit können besonders bei der Ernährung zu ernsten Problemen führen. Erst kürzlich hat mir ein Bekannter nach einer USA-Reise erzählt, dass es dort offenbar nicht unüblich ist, schon zum ausgiebigen Frühstück in einem Restaurant wenigstens einen Liter Cola zu trinken. Gerne auch mehr, um das Gratis-Nachfüllen des Bechers auszunutzen.

Kritik am schwarzen Freitag und dem unnötigen Konsum kommt oft von Umweltschützern. Neben Ressourcenverschwendung, hohem Energieverbrauch und wachsenden Müllbergen durch eine zunehmende Wegwerfmentalität kommt dabei in der Regel auch die «Klimakrise» auf den Tisch.

Die EU-Kommission lancierte 2015 den Begriff «Green Friday» im Kontext der überarbeiteten Rechtsvorschriften zur Kennzeichnung der Energieeffizienz von Elektrogeräten. Sie nutzte die Gelegenheit kurz vor dem damaligen schwarzen Freitag und vor der UN-Klimakonferenz COP21, bei der das Pariser Abkommen unterzeichnet werden sollte.

Heute wird ein grüner Freitag oft im Zusammenhang mit der Forderung nach «nachhaltigem Konsum» benutzt. Derweil ist die Europäische Union schon weit in ihr Geschäftsmodell des «Green New Deal» verstrickt. In ihrer Propaganda zum Klimawandel verspricht sie tatsächlich «Unterstützung der Menschen und Regionen, die von immer häufigeren Extremwetter-Ereignissen betroffen sind». Was wohl die Menschen in der Region um Valencia dazu sagen?

Ganz im Sinne des Great Reset propagierten die Vereinten Nationen seit Ende 2020 eine «grüne Erholung von Covid-19, um den Klimawandel zu verlangsamen». Der UN-Umweltbericht sah in dem Jahr einen Schwerpunkt auf dem Verbraucherverhalten. Änderungen des Konsumverhaltens des Einzelnen könnten dazu beitragen, den Klimaschutz zu stärken, hieß es dort.

Der Begriff «Schwarzer Freitag» wurde in den USA nicht erstmals für Einkäufe nach Thanksgiving verwendet – wie oft angenommen –, sondern für eine Finanzkrise. Jedoch nicht für den Börsencrash von 1929, sondern bereits für den Zusammenbruch des US-Goldmarktes im September 1869. Seitdem mussten die Menschen weltweit so einige schwarze Tage erleben.

Kürzlich sind die britischen Aufsichtsbehörden weiter von ihrer Zurückhaltung nach dem letzten großen Finanzcrash von 2008 abgerückt. Sie haben Regeln für den Bankensektor gelockert, womit sie «verantwortungsvolle Risikobereitschaft» unterstützen wollen. Man würde sicher zu schwarz sehen, wenn man hier ein grünes Wunder befürchten würde.

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@ 6260f29f:2ee2fcd4

@ f33c8a96:5ec6f741

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Und plötzlich weißt du:
Es ist Zeit, etwas Neues zu beginnen
und dem Zauber des Anfangs zu vertrauen.
Meister Eckhart

Schwarz, rot, gold leuchtet es im Kopf des Newsletters der deutschen Bundesregierung, der mir freitags ins Postfach flattert. Rot, gelb und grün werden daneben sicher noch lange vielzitierte Farben sein, auch wenn diese nie geleuchtet haben. Die Ampel hat sich gerade selber den Stecker gezogen – und hinterlässt einen wirtschaftlichen und gesellschaftlichen Trümmerhaufen.

Mit einem bemerkenswerten Timing hat die deutsche Regierungskoalition am Tag des «Comebacks» von Donald Trump in den USA endlich ihr Scheitern besiegelt. Während der eine seinen Sieg bei den Präsidentschaftswahlen feierte, erwachten die anderen jäh aus ihrer Selbsthypnose rund um Harris-Hype und Trump-Panik – mit teils erschreckenden Auswüchsen. Seit Mittwoch werden die Geschicke Deutschlands nun von einer rot-grünen Minderheitsregierung «geleitet» und man steuert auf Neuwahlen zu.

Das Kindergarten-Gehabe um zwei konkurrierende Wirtschaftsgipfel letzte Woche war bereits bezeichnend. In einem Strategiepapier gestand Finanzminister Lindner außerdem den «Absturz Deutschlands» ein und offenbarte, dass die wirtschaftlichen Probleme teilweise von der Ampel-Politik «vorsätzlich herbeigeführt» worden seien.

Lindner und weitere FDP-Minister wurden also vom Bundeskanzler entlassen. Verkehrs- und Digitalminister Wissing trat flugs aus der FDP aus; deshalb darf er nicht nur im Amt bleiben, sondern hat zusätzlich noch das Justizministerium übernommen. Und mit Jörg Kukies habe Scholz «seinen Lieblingsbock zum Obergärtner», sprich: Finanzminister befördert, meint Norbert Häring.

Es gebe keine Vertrauensbasis für die weitere Zusammenarbeit mit der FDP, hatte der Kanzler erklärt, Lindner habe zu oft sein Vertrauen gebrochen. Am 15. Januar 2025 werde er daher im Bundestag die Vertrauensfrage stellen, was ggf. den Weg für vorgezogene Neuwahlen freimachen würde.

Apropos Vertrauen: Über die Hälfte der Bundesbürger glauben, dass sie ihre Meinung nicht frei sagen können. Das ging erst kürzlich aus dem diesjährigen «Freiheitsindex» hervor, einer Studie, die die Wechselwirkung zwischen Berichterstattung der Medien und subjektivem Freiheitsempfinden der Bürger misst. «Beim Vertrauen in Staat und Medien zerreißt es uns gerade», kommentierte dies der Leiter des Schweizer Unternehmens Media Tenor, das die Untersuchung zusammen mit dem Institut für Demoskopie Allensbach durchführt.

«Die absolute Mehrheit hat absolut die Nase voll», titelte die Bild angesichts des «Ampel-Showdowns». Die Mehrheit wolle Neuwahlen und die Grünen sollten zuerst gehen, lasen wir dort.

Dass «Insolvenzminister» Robert Habeck heute seine Kandidatur für das Kanzleramt verkündet hat, kann nur als Teil der politmedialen Realitätsverweigerung verstanden werden. Wer allerdings denke, schlimmer als in Zeiten der Ampel könne es nicht mehr werden, sei reichlich optimistisch, schrieb Uwe Froschauer bei Manova. Und er kenne Friedrich Merz schlecht, der sich schon jetzt rhetorisch auf seine Rolle als oberster Feldherr Deutschlands vorbereite.

Was also tun? Der Schweizer Verein «Losdemokratie» will eine Volksinitiative lancieren, um die Bestimmung von Parlamentsmitgliedern per Los einzuführen. Das Losverfahren sorge für mehr Demokratie, denn als Alternative zum Wahlverfahren garantiere es eine breitere Beteiligung und repräsentativere Parlamente. Ob das ein Weg ist, sei dahingestellt.

In jedem Fall wird es notwendig sein, unsere Bemühungen um Freiheit und Selbstbestimmung zu verstärken. Mehr Unabhängigkeit von staatlichen und zentralen Institutionen – also die Suche nach dezentralen Lösungsansätzen – gehört dabei sicher zu den Möglichkeiten. Das gilt sowohl für jede/n Einzelne/n als auch für Entitäten wie die alternativen Medien.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ f33c8a96:5ec6f741

@ d360efec:14907b5f

$OKX:BTCUSDT.P

From checking the charts and indicators in 15-minute, 4-hour, and daily timeframes, it is found that Bitcoin is volatile and has interesting trend changes in each timeframe, as detailed below:

Trend Analysis and Trading Strategies

1. 15-Minute Timeframe (TF 15m)

• Trend: In the 15-minute TF, the BTC price is fluctuating in a narrow range. EMA 50 crossing with EMA 200 indicates short-term trend uncertainty.
• Indicator Signals:
  • Trend Strength: Buy/Sell signals occur, but the cloud is not yet clear, indicating that the trend strength is not yet prominent.
  • Money Flow: There is an alternating inflow and outflow of funds, reflecting short-term uncertainty.
  • Buyside & Sellside Liquidity: This indicator helps identify support and resistance levels in short TFs to consider entry and exit points.
• Chart Pattern: Consider Chart Patterns in the 15-minute TF, such as Triangle or Flag patterns, to find possible price patterns.
• Day Trade Strategy:
  • Strategy: Focus on trading in a Sideway range, using support and resistance levels identified by Buyside & Sellside Liquidity and signals from Trend Strength to make decisions.
  • SMC Setup: Look for SMC Setups in the 15-minute TF, such as Order Blocks or Fair Value Gaps around support and resistance areas, to find short-term trend trading opportunities.
  • Things to watch out for: High volatility in the 15-minute TF may cause false signals. Appropriate Stop Loss should be used and risk should be managed strictly.

2. 4-Hour Timeframe (TF 4H)

• Trend: In the 4-hour TF, the BTC price is trending upwards. EMA 50 is above EMA 200, indicating a medium-term uptrend.
• Indicator Signals:
  • Trend Strength: A Green Cloud and Buy Signal occur, indicating a strong uptrend.
  • Money Flow: Funds continue to flow in, supporting the uptrend.
  • Buyside & Sellside Liquidity: This indicator helps identify important support and resistance levels in the 4-hour TF for medium-term trading planning.
• Chart Pattern: Consider Chart Patterns in the 4-hour TF, such as Cup and Handle or Ascending Triangle patterns, to confirm the uptrend.
• Day Trade / Swing Trade Strategy:
  • Strategy: Focus on trading along the uptrend, using EMA 50 and support and resistance levels from Buyside & Sellside Liquidity as reference points for entering trades.
  • SMC Setup: Look for SMC Setups in the 4-hour TF, such as Break of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (CHOCH), to find trading opportunities along the uptrend.
  • Things to watch out for: Price consolidation in an uptrend may cause short-term pullbacks. Strong support levels should be considered, and Stop Loss should be set to prevent risk.

3. Daily Timeframe (TF Day)

• Trend: In the Daily TF, the BTC price is still in a long-term uptrend. EMA 50 is clearly above EMA 200.
• Indicator Signals:
  • Trend Strength: A Large Green Cloud and Continuous Buy Signal occur, indicating a very strong long-term uptrend.
  • Money Flow: Funds are flowing in continuously and strongly, supporting the long-term uptrend.
  • Buyside & Sellside Liquidity: This indicator helps identify important support and resistance levels in the Daily TF for long-term investment planning.
• Chart Pattern: Consider Chart Patterns in the Daily TF, such as Bullish Flag or Wedge patterns, to confirm the long-term uptrend.
• Day Trade / Swing Trade / Long-Term Investment Strategy:
  • Strategy: Focus on long-term investment along the uptrend, considering buying opportunities when the price pulls back to important support levels in the Daily TF.
  • SMC Setup: Look for SMC Setups in the Daily TF, such as Institutional Order Flow, to confirm the long-term uptrend.
  • Things to watch out for: Risks from external factors that may affect the cryptocurrency market in the long term. Market news and situations should be closely monitored, and investment risk should be diversified.

Summary

From analyzing BTC in 3 Timeframes with indicators and Chart Patterns, it is found that BTC still has an uptrend in the medium and long term. However, in the short term, the 15-minute TF is still volatile and uncertain. Appropriate trading strategies will vary depending on the timeframe and individual trading goals. Risk should be considered and capital should be managed appropriately.

Additional Recommendations

• Further Study: Further study on SMC, ICT, and Trend Strength Indicator should be done to understand the working principles and apply them effectively in trading.
• Experiment on Demo Account: Experiment with various strategies on a Demo account before using them in real trading to test understanding and improve strategies to suit oneself.
• Follow News: Follow cryptocurrency market news and situations regularly to inform trading and investment decisions.

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and represents a personal opinion. It is not financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Investors should conduct their own research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.

@ d360efec:14907b5f

$OKX:BTCUSDT.P Overview:

Based on the overall picture across the 3 timeframes (15m, 4H, Day), Bitcoin is in a bullish trend but is experiencing a short-term consolidation.

Analysis of each Timeframe:

• TF 15m:

  • SMC: The price is in a sideways consolidation phase after breaking out of a triangle pattern. There's potential to test the Buyside Liquidity around $64,000.
  • ICT: The price is testing the EMA 50 (yellow) support. If it holds above this support, there's a chance for further upward movement.
  • Buyside & Sellside Liquidity:
    • Buyside Liquidity: $64,000
    • Sellside Liquidity: $60,000 (around EMA 200 and the lower boundary of the sideways range)
  • Money Flow: Positive, supporting the bullish trend.
  • EMA: EMA 50 > EMA 200, a bullish signal.
  • Trend Strength: Thick green cloud and buy signals indicate a strong uptrend.
  • Chart Pattern: Triangle breakout.

• TF 4H:

  • SMC: The price is in a clear uptrend after breaking out of a significant resistance level.
  • ICT: The price is holding strongly above both EMA 50 and EMA 200.
  • Buyside & Sellside Liquidity:
    • Buyside Liquidity: No significant resistance nearby.
    • Sellside Liquidity: $58,000 (around EMA 50)
  • Money Flow: Positive, supporting the bullish trend.
  • EMA: EMA 50 > EMA 200, a bullish signal.
  • Trend Strength: Green cloud and buy signals indicate an uptrend.

• TF Day:

  • SMC: The price is in a clear uptrend.
  • ICT: The price is holding strongly above both EMA 50 and EMA 200.
  • Buyside & Sellside Liquidity:
    • Buyside Liquidity: No significant resistance nearby.
    • Sellside Liquidity: $50,000 (around EMA 50)
  • Money Flow: Positive, supporting the bullish trend.
  • EMA: EMA 50 > EMA 200, a bullish signal.
  • Trend Strength: Thick green cloud and buy signals indicate a strong uptrend.

Day Trade Strategy (SMC):

1. Buy on Dip: Wait for the price to pull back towards the EMA 50 support on the 15m TF (around $61,500 - $62,000) or the lower boundary of the sideways range.
2. Take Profit: Set a profit target at the Buyside Liquidity around $64,000.
3. Stop Loss: Set a stop loss slightly below the Sellside Liquidity around $60,000.

Things to Watch Out For:

• Volatility: Bitcoin is highly volatile. Set your stop loss appropriately.
• False Breakout: Be cautious of false breakouts.
• News: Stay updated on news that may impact Bitcoin's price.

Summary:

Bitcoin is in a bullish trend across all timeframes but is experiencing a short-term consolidation. The recommended day trade strategy is "Buy on Dip," with a profit target of $64,000 and a stop loss slightly below $60,000.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and represents a personal opinion. It is not financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Investors should conduct their own research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.

@ f33c8a96:5ec6f741

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Es ist besser, ein Licht zu entzünden, als auf die Dunkelheit zu schimpfen. Konfuzius

Die Bemühungen um Aufarbeitung der sogenannten Corona-Pandemie, um Aufklärung der Hintergründe, Benennung von Verantwortlichkeiten und das Ziehen von Konsequenzen sind durchaus nicht eingeschlafen. Das Interesse daran ist unter den gegebenen Umständen vielleicht nicht sonderlich groß, aber es ist vorhanden.

Der sächsische Landtag hat gestern die Einsetzung eines Untersuchungsausschusses zur Corona-Politik beschlossen. In einer Sondersitzung erhielt ein entsprechender Antrag der AfD-Fraktion die ausreichende Zustimmung, auch von einigen Abgeordneten des BSW.

In den Niederlanden wird Bill Gates vor Gericht erscheinen müssen. Sieben durch die Covid-«Impfstoffe» geschädigte Personen hatten Klage eingereicht. Sie werfen unter anderem Gates, Pfizer-Chef Bourla und dem niederländischen Staat vor, sie hätten gewusst, dass diese Präparate weder sicher noch wirksam sind.

Mit den mRNA-«Impfstoffen» von Pfizer/BioNTech befasst sich auch ein neues Buch. Darin werden die Erkenntnisse von Ärzten und Wissenschaftlern aus der Analyse interner Dokumente über die klinischen Studien der Covid-Injektion präsentiert. Es handelt sich um jene in den USA freigeklagten Papiere, die die Arzneimittelbehörde (Food and Drug Administration, FDA) 75 Jahre unter Verschluss halten wollte.

Ebenfalls Wissenschaftler und Ärzte, aber auch andere Experten organisieren als Verbundnetzwerk Corona-Solution kostenfreie Online-Konferenzen. Ihr Ziel ist es, «wissenschaftlich, demokratisch und friedlich» über Impfstoffe und Behandlungsprotokolle gegen SARS-CoV-2 aufzuklären und die Diskriminierung von Ungeimpften zu stoppen. Gestern fand eine weitere Konferenz statt. Ihr Thema: «Corona und modRNA: Von Toten, Lebenden und Physik lernen».

Aufgrund des Digital Services Acts (DSA) der Europäischen Union sei das Risiko groß, dass ihre Arbeit als «Fake-News» bezeichnet würde, so das Netzwerk. Staatlich unerwünschte wissenschaftliche Aufklärung müsse sich passende Kanäle zur Veröffentlichung suchen. Ihre Live-Streams seien deshalb zum Beispiel nicht auf YouTube zu finden.

Der vielfältige Einsatz für Aufklärung und Aufarbeitung wird sich nicht stummschalten lassen. Nicht einmal der Zensurmeister der EU, Deutschland, wird so etwas erreichen. Die frisch aktivierten «Trusted Flagger» dürften allerdings künftige Siege beim «Denunzianten-Wettbewerb» im Kontext des DSA zusätzlich absichern.

Wo sind die Grenzen der Meinungsfreiheit? Sicher gibt es sie. Aber die ideologische Gleichstellung von illegalen mit unerwünschten Äußerungen verfolgt offensichtlich eher das Ziel, ein derart elementares demokratisches Grundrecht möglichst weitgehend auszuhebeln. Vorwürfe wie «Hassrede», «Delegitimierung des Staates» oder «Volksverhetzung» werden heute inflationär verwendet, um Systemkritik zu unterbinden. Gegen solche Bestrebungen gilt es, sich zu wehren.

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Dieser Beitrag ist zuerst auf Transition News erschienen.

@ bbb5dda0:f09e2747

A couple weeks with a little bit of everything, TollGate marketing, app stability improvements, and some personal matters that needed my attention. Let's get into it:

TollGate App

For starters, we worked hard to get an early version of the TollGate website live. What do we want to communicate about the project, and to whom. We've identified three 'types' of visitor, each requiring its own 'customer journey' through the website. First there's the end-user, someone that just wants access to tollgate, but doesn't care about any of the technichalities. We try to guide those people to downloading our app as soon as possible. Currently that means downloading it straight from the website as an APK file. But we want to quickly move on to publishing it to the ZapStore.

The past couple weeks I put some efforts into getting the app stable. It was hard to identify what was causing the seemingly random crashes and full reloads (of the web content). After getting some outside help we've identified that we were trying to interact with the android API's on the main thread. Which is bad practice. I first couldn't figure out how to make a web request without having to spawn a seperate thread in the kotlin code, that then we'd have to create some kind of system to bubble up the callback method's result. I then found there's a proper Tauri (the framework) way of doing this using Kotlin Coroutines, which I wasn't familliar with. But it just executes the entire Tauri 'command' (function call) on a background thread. Problem solved. I haven't had any full app crashes since.

Which left me with the random page refreshes, the thing that was behind the demo-effect at Sat's and Facts. I noticed it happened around the moments I would go to settings to hit the 'sign in' button to dismiss the captive portal. That's where I had looked before, but I needed to zoom out. It had to do SOMETHING with moving the app to and from the background. Okay is it some kind of sleep issue? I don't remember where or how I found it but I saw a suggestion to run the Tauri dev build with a --no-watch flag. Which disables hot reloading of the app when I edit one of the TypeScript/HTML files. Somehow the reload would be triggered sometimes on app switching. Why? I don't know, but i'm glad I could pinpoint it.

So now the demo part seems stable, finally. Which means I can move on and properly implement the wallet logic and making the download on the website work.

TollGateOS

The second customer group will be people interested in running a TollGate. We're trying to get them to download our custom build of OpenWRT that includes all the required packages. We 'baptized' this version to be called TollGateOS as we say in proper Dutch ;). I think it will help to have these clear distinct names. I really want any moderately technical person to be able to install TollGateOS on a supported router. My vision for this is to have some kind of web installer, akin to what GrapheneOS does with their web-installer. It seems to be possible to do SSH from the browser, but I'll kill that bird when I see it (is that a saying? I think it should be...)

By the way, in earlier docs/demo's we talked about a 'herald' module, which would do the advertising of the tollgate. But as we found that the crowsnest already interacts with the hardware antennas, which is needed for 'advertising' the tollgate, we thought it better to merge both of them into the Crowsnest.

Developers

TollGate is fully open source, so anyone looking to either look at or fork the source code is welcome to do so. Developers interested at looking at the code are probably already interested to some degree. For this group we added easy links to navigate to the project's repositories

Currently our focus is publishing the Android version, but we're building the app in a cross-platform way. The only thing we have to customize are the system integrations, like scanning for wifi-networks and connecting to them.

Gearing up for Sovereign Engineering

As i'm writing this piece for you i'm at 10km (that's 30.000ft for y'all Americans) in the air on my way to Sovereign Engineering edition #4, SEC-04. I feel ready to go kick ass once again and build beautiful things with a bunch of my favourite plebs!

A bit of a focus shift

If you've been following me you might notice I haven't posted much about Epoxy recently. I found the momentum I see emerge on TollGate and GitHub Actions too good to let go to waste. So those will be my focus for a while, I'm hoping to circle back to Epoxy when these projects have a more steady pace.

@ c631e267:c2b78d3e

Herzlichen Glückwunsch zum dritten Geburtstag, liebe Denk Bar! Wieso zum dritten? Das war doch 2022 und jetzt sind wir im Jahr 2024, oder? Ja, das ist schon richtig, aber bei Geburtstagen erinnere ich mich immer auch an meinen Vater, und der behauptete oft, der erste sei ja schließlich der Tag der Geburt selber und den müsse man natürlich mitzählen. Wo er recht hat, hat er nunmal recht. Konsequenterweise wird also heute dieser Blog an seinem dritten Geburtstag zwei Jahre alt.

Das ist ein Grund zum Feiern, wie ich finde. Einerseits ganz einfach, weil es dafür gar nicht genug Gründe geben kann. «Das Leben sind zwei Tage», lautet ein gängiger Ausdruck hier in Andalusien. In der Tat könnte es so sein, auch wenn wir uns im Alltag oft genug von der Routine vereinnahmen lassen.

Seit dem Start der Denk Bar vor zwei Jahren ist unglaublich viel passiert. Ebenso wie die zweieinhalb Jahre davor, und all jenes war letztlich auch der Auslöser dafür, dass ich begann, öffentlich zu schreiben. Damals notierte ich:

«Seit einigen Jahren erscheint unser öffentliches Umfeld immer fragwürdiger, widersprüchlicher und manchmal schier unglaublich - jede Menge Anlass für eigene Recherchen und Gedanken, ganz einfach mit einer Portion gesundem Menschenverstand.»

Wir erleben den sogenannten «großen Umbruch», einen globalen Coup, den skrupellose Egoisten clever eingefädelt haben und seit ein paar Jahren knallhart – aber nett verpackt – durchziehen, um buchstäblich alles nach ihrem Gusto umzukrempeln. Die Gelegenheit ist ja angeblich günstig und muss genutzt werden.

Nie hätte ich mir träumen lassen, dass ich so etwas jemals miterleben müsste. Die Bosheit, mit der ganz offensichtlich gegen die eigene Bevölkerung gearbeitet wird, war früher für mich unvorstellbar. Mein (Rest-) Vertrauen in alle möglichen Bereiche wie Politik, Wissenschaft, Justiz, Medien oder Kirche ist praktisch komplett zerstört. Einen «inneren Totalschaden» hatte ich mal für unsere Gesellschaften diagnostiziert.

Was mich vielleicht am meisten erschreckt, ist zum einen das Niveau der Gleichschaltung, das weltweit erreicht werden konnte, und zum anderen die praktisch totale Spaltung der Gesellschaft. Haben wir das tatsächlich mit uns machen lassen?? Unfassbar! Aber das Werkzeug «Angst» ist sehr mächtig und funktioniert bis heute.

Zum Glück passieren auch positive Dinge und neue Perspektiven öffnen sich. Für viele Menschen waren und sind die Entwicklungen der letzten Jahre ein Augenöffner. Sie sehen «Querdenken» als das, was es ist: eine Tugend.

Auch die immer ernsteren Zensurbemühungen sind letztlich nur ein Zeichen der Schwäche, wo Argumente fehlen. Sie werden nicht verhindern, dass wir unsere Meinung äußern, unbequeme Fragen stellen und dass die Wahrheit peu à peu ans Licht kommt. Es gibt immer Mittel und Wege, auch für uns.

---

Danke, dass du diesen Weg mit mir weitergehst!

@ a95c6243:d345522c

Ein Lämmchen löschte an einem Bache seinen Durst. Fern von ihm, aber näher der Quelle, tat ein Wolf das gleiche. Kaum erblickte er das Lämmchen, so schrie er:

"Warum trübst du mir das Wasser, das ich trinken will?"

"Wie wäre das möglich", erwiderte schüchtern das Lämmchen, "ich stehe hier unten und du so weit oben; das Wasser fließt ja von dir zu mir; glaube mir, es kam mir nie in den Sinn, dir etwas Böses zu tun!"

"Ei, sieh doch! Du machst es gerade, wie dein Vater vor sechs Monaten; ich erinnere mich noch sehr wohl, daß auch du dabei warst, aber glücklich entkamst, als ich ihm für sein Schmähen das Fell abzog!"

"Ach, Herr!" flehte das zitternde Lämmchen, "ich bin ja erst vier Wochen alt und kannte meinen Vater gar nicht, so lange ist er schon tot; wie soll ich denn für ihn büßen."

"Du Unverschämter!" so endigt der Wolf mit erheuchelter Wut, indem er die Zähne fletschte. "Tot oder nicht tot, weiß ich doch, daß euer ganzes Geschlecht mich hasset, und dafür muß ich mich rächen."

Ohne weitere Umstände zu machen, zerriß er das Lämmchen und verschlang es.

Das Gewissen regt sich selbst bei dem größten Bösewichte; er sucht doch nach Vorwand, um dasselbe damit bei Begehung seiner Schlechtigkeiten zu beschwichtigen.

Quelle: https://eden.one/fabeln-aesop-das-lamm-und-der-wolf

@ df478568:2a951e67

In my Soapminer article, I added quotes from various plebs. I earned over 12,000 sats! That's enough for a McJunk today, but maybe a steak dinner in a few years. That's my two sats anyway.

This is not investment advice

It feels great to receive value from people who support and appreciate your work. It's also nice to stack more sats by writing. I have a budget of $25.00 that I have sent to various people using Zapplanner, but I'm trying something new: Zapsplits.

WTF Are Zapsplits?

I asked Unleashed.chat. Here's what the anthropomorphic Unleashed said.

Me: What is a Zapsplit on nostr?

Unleashed:

A Zapsplit on Nostr refers to splitting a Zap, which is a form of donation or tipping on the ~platform~ protocol, among multiple recipients. It allows users to distribute their support more broadly across various content creators instead of just one.

That's more succinct than I would put it, but nostr is a protocol, not a platform. The important part about Zapsplits for me is that it removes the cognitive cost of deciding what percentage of my giving budget should go to each creator. Do I zap podcast guests? Do podcasters with ads get less than podcasters sans ads? How much value did this particular article bring me? If I zap Guy Swann, should I also zap the authors he reads? Should I zap long-form articles more than micro-blogs? There are 21 million different considerations.

Zapsplits removes all this from me because I can use the following algorithm.

Does This Person Provide Me Value?

Yes ⬇️

I add them to my Zapsplit post for that month. A portion of my monthly zapping budget, 25 dirty-fiat bucks, transforms into magic Internet money and is distributed among everyone in the Zapsplit.

No ⬇️ If I don't get any value, I don't send value. Simple.

Testing Zapsplits

I added podcasters and devs to a nostr post and enabled a 10-way zapsplit on the post. It's based on prisms, a little nostr feature that gives me prose writing superpowers.

1. I can earn sats for writing.
2. I can support others with a single zap.
3. I can add people who give me quotes to my zap splits.

People appreciate attribution. I suspect they will appreciate it more if they also get paid. What if I added some quotes to an article and then split any zaps I get with the quoted plebs? Come to think of it, I'll try it. [Here's a quote from a dev on nostr](nostr:note1qf4277rudtflllrjr555890xsjp6u60f7xdvclkwc9t220duajeq0x665q

I added Silberangel to the Zapsplits on Habla.news.

My V4V payments can also get sent to ten different plebs with a simple click of a button. I am going to start using this for a lot of my monthly V4V budget. Every month, I'll think about the people's content I value most and add them to a single zapsplit payment. Then, I'll zap the post.

Say I create a poll and make a wager with ten different people. If I lose, I can pay everyone pit at the same time. This is probably better for a football pool, but you get the idea. The options are limited only by your imagination.

nostr:nevent1qqspnhucgxc6mprhw36fe2242hzv7zumavyy7dhzjswtldhxk4dh7ugpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsygxlg7zks3uauf454q7phhzdh2mpkhxg9cdrzt3t9z7gzksj49g7vupsgqqqqqqsl5uwfl

Other people can also zap the post. As Siberangel says, we can use other people's money to provide value, too. This is a great option for stacking neophytes, people who don't have much bitcoin or cheap skates. Let's be honest, bitcoin has made most of us cheapskates.

Bitcoin books with multiple authors can have QR codes that link to one of these Zapsplit posts. The authors can do a book signing and sell their books using this on nostr. Nerds like me can get three autographs and zap the book. The sats are split among all authors. Here's a Zapsplit that includes all the authors of Parallel.

Can you think of any other ways to use Zapsplits? Let me know.

npub1marc26z8nh3xkj5rcx7ufkatvx6ueqhp5vfw9v5teq26z254renshtf3g0

885,610

Merch

@ b99fc124:1afb4675

A XPBET é uma plataforma online de entretenimento que tem ganhado a confiança de jogadores ao redor do mundo devido à sua variedade de jogos de alta qualidade, segurança e foco na experiência do usuário. Se você busca emoção, segurança e grandes oportunidades de ganho, a XPBET é a escolha perfeita.

Apresentação da Plataforma XPBET A XPBET foi desenvolvida com uma interface amigável e moderna, garantindo que todos os jogadores possam navegar facilmente entre suas opções de jogos. Seja em um desktop ou dispositivo móvel, a plataforma oferece uma experiência de jogo sem interrupções. A xpbet também se preocupa com a segurança dos seus usuários, utilizando criptografia avançada para garantir que todas as transações sejam realizadas de forma segura.

A plataforma também oferece suporte ao cliente 24 horas por dia, 7 dias por semana, para que os jogadores nunca fiquem sem assistência quando precisarem.

Apresentação dos Jogos no XPBET A XPBET oferece uma vasta gama de jogos, desde clássicos a novos lançamentos, que atendem a todos os gostos. Alguns dos mais populares são:

Roleta: A roleta é um dos jogos mais emocionantes e populares no XPBET, com diversas versões disponíveis para agradar a todos os tipos de jogadores.

Máquinas de Slot: As máquinas de slot do XPBET são repletas de gráficos de alta qualidade e efeitos sonoros imersivos. Com uma grande variedade de temas e bônus emocionantes, as slots oferecem uma experiência envolvente e grandes chances de ganhar.

Pôquer: O pôquer é um jogo desafiador que exige habilidade e estratégia. A XPBET oferece diversas variantes do pôquer, permitindo que os jogadores se testem contra outros competidores.

Experiência do Jogador no XPBET A experiência do jogador na XPBET é excepcional, com uma interface intuitiva, opções de pagamento seguras e rápidas, e suporte ao cliente eficiente. O atendimento ao cliente é acessível 24 horas por dia, garantindo que os jogadores recebam assistência imediata sempre que necessário.

Além disso, a XPBET oferece promoções regulares e bônus especiais, permitindo que os jogadores aproveitem ainda mais suas experiências de jogo. A plataforma também é conhecida pela rapidez nas transações financeiras, o que garante uma experiência de jogo tranquila e sem estresse.

Com uma oferta diversificada de jogos e um foco constante na segurança e no prazer do jogador, a XPBET se estabelece como uma das principais opções para quem busca diversão online de alta qualidade.

@ 43baaf0c:d193e34c

eARThist vlog name represents the fusion of Earth and Art and me as traveling artist.

I'm kicking off my vlogging journey with my first vlog, Bangkok Lightning Tour. My goal with vlogging is to share more about my art journey as I travel the world. After years of traveling and filming around the world, I’m now fully focused on my art. However, filming and photography remaining a passion of mine. I also create still some travel content for my company, @traveltelly, whenever I’m not drawing.

After spending time creating art around the world, this feels like the natural next step sharing more behind the scenes moments of both traveling and my artist life.

I started in Bangkok, a city I often visit and where I’ve spent the last five months creating the BangPOP art. Teaming up with Sats ‘n’ Facts, I explored Bangkok to see how Bitcoin Lightning adoption is growing here. Bitcoin has given me the freedom to create art, so I wanted to see if it’s also helping others in Bangkok. On a scorching 35°C day, we filmed three places where you can pay with Bitcoin Lightning. You can find these locations on btcmap.org.

I’m leaving Bangkok soon, but more vlogs from Thailand will follow when I return. I always find my way back to the Land of Smiles.

@ b99fc124:1afb4675

A BET5U é uma plataforma de entretenimento online que oferece uma ampla gama de jogos, proporcionando aos jogadores uma experiência agradável, segura e cheia de adrenalina. Focada na qualidade, na segurança e na satisfação do usuário, a BET5U tem atraído cada vez mais jogadores no Brasil, oferecendo jogos que atendem a todos os gostos e estilos.

Apresentação da Plataforma BET5U A interface da BET5U é moderna e muito intuitiva, permitindo que jogadores de todos os níveis naveguem facilmente pela plataforma. A simplicidade da plataforma é um de seus maiores atrativos, garantindo que os usuários se concentrem apenas no que importa: a diversão. A bet5u é compatível com dispositivos móveis e desktops, proporcionando flexibilidade para jogar onde e quando desejar.

A segurança também é uma prioridade na BET5U. A plataforma utiliza tecnologia de criptografia avançada para garantir a proteção das informações pessoais e financeiras dos jogadores. Além disso, ela oferece suporte ao cliente 24 horas por dia, 7 dias por semana, garantindo que qualquer problema ou dúvida seja resolvido rapidamente.

Apresentação dos Jogos no BET5U A BET5U se destaca pela grande variedade de jogos que oferece. Desde jogos clássicos até novidades emocionantes, há algo para todos os gostos. Entre os jogos mais populares estão:

Blackjack: O blackjack é um dos jogos de cartas mais desafiadores e populares. A BET5U oferece diversas versões desse jogo, permitindo que os jogadores testem suas habilidades e estratégias contra o dealer.

Máquinas de Slot: As máquinas de slot da BET5U são uma das maiores atrações da plataforma. Com gráficos vibrantes e temas envolventes, essas máquinas oferecem grandes oportunidades de ganho, além de serem incrivelmente divertidas.

Bingo Virtual: O bingo virtual é perfeito para quem deseja uma experiência descontraída, mas ainda assim emocionante. Com sorteios rápidos e grandes prêmios, o bingo virtual da BET5U é uma excelente opção para quem busca entretenimento e ganhos instantâneos.

Experiência do Jogador no BET5U A experiência do jogador na BET5U é fluida e sem interrupções. A plataforma foi projetada para ser fácil de usar, com uma navegação intuitiva e eficiente. Além disso, o suporte ao cliente é altamente eficaz, respondendo rapidamente a quaisquer dúvidas ou problemas.

A BET5U também oferece promoções regulares e bônus atrativos, aumentando as chances de vitória e proporcionando uma experiência de jogo ainda mais envolvente. As opções de pagamento são rápidas e seguras, o que facilita as transações dos jogadores e garante que o processo de depósito e retirada seja simples e eficiente.

Com um compromisso com a segurança e a experiência do jogador, a BET5U se destaca como uma das plataformas mais confiáveis no mercado.

@ b99fc124:1afb4675

A 3633BET é uma plataforma online que proporciona uma experiência de jogo inigualável para os jogadores que buscam não só diversão, mas também segurança e grandes oportunidades de ganho. Com um design moderno e uma interface intuitiva, a plataforma se tornou uma das preferidas por jogadores ao redor do mundo, especialmente no Brasil. Seja você um jogador iniciante ou experiente, a 3633BET oferece algo para todos.

Apresentação da Plataforma 3633BET O grande destaque da 3633BET é sua simplicidade e facilidade de navegação. A plataforma foi projetada para ser acessível, permitindo que qualquer pessoa, independente do seu nível de experiência, encontre e jogue seus jogos favoritos sem dificuldades. A plataforma é compatível com dispositivos móveis e desktops, garantindo que você possa jogar onde e quando quiser.

A segurança na 3633bet é uma das maiores prioridades. A plataforma utiliza criptografia avançada para proteger os dados pessoais e financeiros dos jogadores, assegurando que todas as transações sejam feitas de forma segura. Além disso, a plataforma oferece métodos de pagamento rápidos e confiáveis, o que torna a experiência de jogar ainda mais agradável e sem estresse.

Apresentação dos Jogos no 3633BET A 3633BET oferece uma ampla gama de jogos, cobrindo todos os gostos e preferências. Entre os jogos mais populares estão:

Pôquer: O pôquer é um dos jogos mais amados e jogados ao redor do mundo, e na 3633BET ele é oferecido em diversas versões. Seja você um novato ou um jogador experiente, sempre há uma mesa para você competir.

Máquinas de Slot: As máquinas de slot são um dos maiores atrativos da plataforma. Com uma variedade de temas e a chance de ganhar grandes prêmios, as slots oferecem uma experiência divertida e emocionante, com gráficos modernos e efeitos sonoros que aumentam a adrenalina.

Roleta: A roleta é um clássico que nunca sai de moda. A 3633BET oferece versões emocionantes deste jogo, incluindo a roleta europeia, proporcionando aos jogadores muitas opções para testar suas sorte e habilidades.

Experiência do Jogador no 3633BET A experiência do jogador na 3633BET é fluida e sem interrupções. A plataforma é fácil de usar, com uma navegação simples e clara. Além disso, o suporte ao cliente está disponível 24 horas por dia, 7 dias por semana, pronto para responder a qualquer dúvida ou resolver possíveis problemas.

A plataforma também oferece promoções e bônus frequentes, que aumentam as chances de ganhar. Ao se registrar na 3633BET, os jogadores têm acesso a ofertas especiais que tornam a experiência de jogo ainda mais emocionante. Além disso, o sistema de pagamento é rápido e seguro, garantindo que os jogadores possam fazer depósitos e retiradas de forma tranquila.

Com um compromisso firme com a segurança e a diversão do jogador, a 3633BET se destaca como uma das melhores plataformas online disponíveis.

@ f6488c62:c929299d

เมื่อกระแสข่าวเรื่อง Government Shutdown ของสหรัฐฯ เริ่มร้อนแรงขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ โดยแพลตฟอร์มอย่าง Polymarket บ่งชี้ว่าความเป็นไปได้ของเหตุการณ์นี้พุ่งขึ้นถึง 50% หลายคนอาจสงสัยว่ามันเกี่ยวอะไรกับตลาดคริปโต โดยเฉพาะกลุ่ม เหรียญมีม (Meme Coins) ที่ดูเหมือนจะอยู่นอกเหนือระบบเศรษฐกิจแบบดั้งเดิม

แต่ความจริงแล้ว การปิดตัวของรัฐบาลกลางสหรัฐฯ อาจส่งผลกระทบทั้งทางตรงและทางอ้อมต่อตลาดเหรียญมีมอย่างหลีกเลี่ยงไม่ได้ มาดูกันว่า โอกาส และ ความเสี่ยง ของสาวกเหรียญมีมในสถานการณ์เช่นนี้มีอะไรบ้าง

🎯 โอกาสสำหรับเหรียญมีม

กระแสการเงินไหลเข้าสินทรัพย์เสี่ยงสูง (High-risk assets)

หากนักลงทุนเชื่อว่า Shutdown จะทำให้ธนาคารกลางสหรัฐ (Fed) ต้องผ่อนคลายนโยบายการเงินในอนาคตเพื่อลดผลกระทบทางเศรษฐกิจ เงินทุนอาจไหลเข้าสินทรัพย์เสี่ยงอย่างคริปโต รวมถึงเหรียญมีมที่มักมีการเคลื่อนไหวรุนแรงเกินจริง

เหรียญอย่าง DOGE, SHIBA หรือ PEPE อาจได้ประโยชน์จากความคลั่งไคล้และกระแส "ซื้อเพราะมันตลก" ที่เคยเกิดขึ้นในอดีต

ชุมชนออนไลน์มีบทบาทมากขึ้น

การปิดตัวของหน่วยงานรัฐอาจกระตุ้นความไม่พอใจในหมู่ประชาชน ส่งผลให้การเคลื่อนไหวทางออนไลน์เพิ่มขึ้น สังคมคริปโต โดยเฉพาะกลุ่มเหรียญมีม อาจใช้โอกาสนี้เพื่อสร้างกระแสหรือหาเหตุผลสนุก ๆ ในการผลักดันเหรียญ

ตัวอย่าง: แคมเปญ "Shutdown? Buy DOGE!" หรือ "Government off, PEPE on!" อาจกลายเป็นไวรัลได้

Narrative ใหม่ ๆ เพื่อดึงนักลงทุน

โปรเจกต์เหรียญมีมอาจสร้างเรื่องราวใหม่ ๆ เพื่อเชื่อมโยงกับเหตุการณ์ เช่น การล้อเลียนการเมืองหรือสร้างโทเค็นเชิงสัญลักษณ์เพื่อประท้วงรัฐบาล ดึงดูดนักลงทุนที่มองหาทางออกจากความวุ่นวายของระบบดั้งเดิม

⚠️ ความเสี่ยงสำหรับเหรียญมีม

ภาวะเสี่ยงต่ำ (Risk-off sentiment)

ในช่วงแรกของ Shutdown นักลงทุนมักถอยกลับไปถือ เงินดอลลาร์ (USD) หรือสินทรัพย์ปลอดภัย เช่น ทองคำ ส่งผลให้ตลาดคริปโตตกลงอย่างหนัก รวมถึงเหรียญมีมที่มีความผันผวนสูงและไม่มีมูลค่าพื้นฐาน

ความเชื่อมั่นที่ลดลงนี้อาจทำให้ราคาเหรียญมีมดิ่งลงแบบไร้จุดหมาย

ขาดสภาพคล่อง (Liquidity crunch)

หากเศรษฐกิจชะงัก นักลงทุนรายย่อยอาจไม่มีเงินสดมาปั่นราคาหรือเก็งกำไรเหรียญมีมได้เหมือนเดิม ทำให้การเคลื่อนไหวของราคาเหรียญมีมซบเซา

เหรียญเล็ก ๆ ที่อาศัยชุมชนเป็นหลัก อาจเผชิญกับปัญหาสภาพคล่องอย่างรุนแรง

ความเสี่ยงด้านกฎระเบียบ

แม้ Shutdown จะทำให้หน่วยงานกำกับดูแลบางส่วนหยุดทำงาน แต่ในระยะยาว หากรัฐบาลกลับมาพร้อมนโยบายคุมเข้ม ตลาดคริปโตอาจเจอแรงกดดันเพิ่มเติม ซึ่งอาจส่งผลลบต่อเหรียญมีมที่มักถูกมองว่าเป็นสินทรัพย์ "เก็งกำไรสูงสุด"

🚀 สรุป: เตรียมตัวรับมือยังไง?

นักลงทุนสายเหรียญมีม ควรติดตามข่าวสารทั้งเรื่อง Shutdown และทิศทางของ Fed อย่างใกล้ชิด เพราะเหตุการณ์เหล่านี้สามารถเปลี่ยนทิศทางตลาดได้อย่างฉับพลัน

วางแผนการลงทุน โดยแบ่งพอร์ตอย่างชาญฉลาด ไม่ทุ่มหมดหน้าตักกับเหรียญมีม และเตรียมเงินสดไว้เผื่อโอกาสซื้อเพิ่มหากราคาตกหนัก

สร้างและติดตามกระแสออนไลน์ หากคุณเป็นแฟนเหรียญมีม การเคลื่อนไหวในโซเชียลมีเดียอาจเป็นตัวแปรสำคัญในการดันราคา ดังนั้นการร่วมชุมชนหรือมีส่วนร่วมในแคมเปญต่าง ๆ อาจช่วยให้เหรียญมีมของคุณกลับมาเป็นที่สนใจ

สุดท้ายแล้ว Government Shutdown อาจเป็นทั้งโอกาสและความเสี่ยง แต่สำหรับสาวกเหรียญมีมแล้ว บางที "ความวุ่นวาย" อาจเป็นเชื้อไฟที่ทำให้ตลาดนี้ลุกเป็นไฟได้อีกครั้ง 🔥

@ b83a28b7:35919450

Preamble

I used OpenAI's o3-mini reasoning engine to construct a thesis for the Russia-Ukraine conflict using the positions of Jeffery Sachs and John Mearsheimer. I then asked it to create a counterargument to those positions- the antithesis. And I finally asked for a synthesis that concludes in lasting peace in the region. In all three cases, I prompted it to only use axiomatic deductive reasoning and first principles thinking, emphasizing facts and ignoring the opinions and assertions of so-called experts.

The Thesis

John Mearsheimer's Position: A Realist Perspective

First Principles

1. States prioritize survival: In an anarchic international system (no overarching authority), states act to maximize security and minimize threats.
2. Great powers seek regional hegemony: States aim to dominate their immediate regions to prevent rival powers from threatening them.
3. Proximity amplifies threat perception: The closer a rival power or alliance is to a state's borders, the greater the perceived threat.

Logical Reasoning

1. NATO's eastward expansion brings a U.S.-led military alliance closer to Russia’s borders.
2. From the principle of proximity, this increases Russia’s perceived insecurity.
3. Ukraine’s potential NATO membership represents a direct challenge to Russia’s sphere of influence.
4. A great power like Russia would logically act to prevent this encroachment, as it undermines its regional dominance.
5. Russia’s actions (e.g., annexation of Crimea in 2014 and invasion in 2022) are defensive responses to NATO's perceived encroachment.
6. From the principle of survival, Russia seeks to neutralize threats by ensuring Ukraine does not join NATO.
7. The U.S. and NATO ignored Russia’s stated red lines (e.g., no NATO membership for Ukraine).
8. This provoked predictable countermeasures from Russia, consistent with great-power behavior.

Conclusion

From a realist perspective, NATO expansion is the root cause of the conflict. Russia’s actions are not imperialistic but defensive responses to protect its security and sphere of influence.

Jeffrey Sachs' Position: A Historical and Diplomatic Perspective

First Principles

1. Agreements create expectations: Commitments between states establish norms that guide future behavior.
2. Security is interdependent: One state’s pursuit of security can increase another state’s insecurity (the "security dilemma").
3. Conflicts are preventable through diplomacy: Negotiations and compromises can avert wars by addressing mutual concerns.

Logical Reasoning

1. In 1990, U.S. officials assured Soviet leaders that NATO would not expand eastward if Germany was reunified.
2. If such assurances were made (even informally), subsequent NATO expansion violated these expectations, fostering mistrust.
3. The U.S.'s unilateral withdrawal from treaties like the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (2002) and its push for NATO enlargement exacerbated Russia's insecurity.
4. By the principle of interdependent security, these actions predictably escalated tensions with Russia.
5. Putin proposed negotiations in 2021 to prevent NATO expansion into Ukraine, but these were rejected by the U.S.
6. Diplomacy could have addressed Russian concerns without war, but its rejection left military action as Russia’s only perceived option.
7. Ukraine’s neutrality could have prevented conflict by satisfying both Russian and Western security concerns.
8. Neutrality would reduce NATO's proximity to Russia while preserving Ukraine's sovereignty.

Conclusion

From Sachs’ perspective, the war is a consequence of U.S.-led NATO expansion and missed diplomatic opportunities. A negotiated settlement based on Ukrainian neutrality remains the logical path to peace.

Deductive Insights

1. Both positions agree that NATO expansion is central to understanding the conflict but differ in emphasis:
2. Mearsheimer focuses on structural inevitabilities in great-power politics.
3. Sachs highlights historical commitments and missed opportunities for diplomacy.
4. Both rely on axioms about state behavior:
5. Mearsheimer emphasizes security maximization through power balancing.
6. Sachs underscores trust-building through adherence to agreements.

In conclusion, reasoning from first principles supports both scholars’ views as internally consistent frameworks for explaining the Ukraine conflict, though they emphasize different aspects of state behavior and international relations logic.

To construct counterarguments to the positions of John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs using axiomatic deductive reasoning, we will start with alternative first principles and challenge their logical conclusions. This approach ensures that the counterarguments are rooted in logic and facts, without relying on external opinions or assertions.

Counterarguments to John Mearsheimer's Position

First Principles for the Counterargument

1. Sovereign states have the right to self-determination: All states, regardless of size, have the right to choose their alliances and political alignments.
2. Security is not zero-sum: One state’s pursuit of security does not always come at the expense of another’s; collective security arrangements can enhance stability.
3. Aggression undermines security: A state that invades its neighbors creates insecurity for itself by provoking opposition and strengthening rival alliances.

Logical Reasoning

1. NATO expansion was voluntary and driven by the sovereign decisions of Eastern European states seeking protection from historical Russian aggression.
2. From the principle of self-determination, NATO enlargement reflects the legitimate choices of countries like Poland, Estonia, and Ukraine to align with a defensive alliance, not an act of Western aggression against Russia.
3. Russia’s perception of NATO as a threat is not inherently justified.
4. NATO is a defensive alliance with no history of invading non-member states. From the principle that security is not zero-sum, NATO’s presence near Russia does not necessarily reduce Russian security unless Russia itself acts aggressively.
5. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine contradicts Mearsheimer’s claim that its actions are purely defensive.
6. By attacking Ukraine, Russia has provoked a stronger NATO presence in Eastern Europe (e.g., Finland and Sweden joining NATO) and increased its own insecurity. This undermines the principle that great powers act rationally to maximize their security.
7. The analogy to the Cuban Missile Crisis is flawed.
8. In 1962, the U.S. objected to Soviet missiles in Cuba because they posed an immediate offensive threat. NATO membership for Ukraine does not involve stationing offensive weapons aimed at Russia but rather a defensive commitment.

Conclusion

Mearsheimer’s argument fails to account for the agency of smaller states and overstates the inevitability of conflict due to NATO expansion. Russia’s actions are better explained as aggressive attempts to reassert imperial influence rather than rational defensive measures.

The Antithesis

Counterarguments to Jeffrey Sachs' Position

First Principles for the Counterargument

1. Informal agreements lack binding force: Verbal or informal assurances between states do not constitute enforceable commitments in international relations.
2. Security dilemmas require mutual restraint: Both sides in a conflict must take steps to reduce tensions; unilateral blame is insufficient.
3. Sovereign equality underpins diplomacy: No state has the right to dictate another state’s foreign policy or alliances.

Logical Reasoning

1. The alleged 1990 U.S. assurance against NATO expansion was never formalized in any treaty or agreement.
2. From the principle that informal agreements lack binding force, subsequent NATO enlargement cannot be considered a violation of commitments since no legal obligation existed.
3. Russia’s actions have escalated tensions far more than NATO expansion ever did.
4. By annexing Crimea (2014) and invading Ukraine (2022), Russia has actively destabilized its neighbors and created insecurity across Europe. From the principle of mutual restraint, Russia bears responsibility for escalating the conflict rather than solely responding to U.S./NATO actions.
5. Diplomatic solutions require both parties to negotiate in good faith.
6. Putin’s 2021 proposals demanded guarantees that Ukraine would never join NATO—a condition that violates Ukraine’s sovereignty and right to self-determination. From the principle of sovereign equality, such demands are inherently illegitimate.
7. Neutrality is not always a viable solution.
8. Ukraine attempted neutrality after independence (e.g., refusing to join NATO for decades). However, this did not prevent Russian aggression in 2014 or 2022, undermining Sachs’ claim that neutrality would have ensured peace.

Conclusion

Sachs’ argument overemphasizes historical grievances and ignores Russia’s active role in escalating tensions through aggression and coercion. The failure of diplomacy lies as much with Russia’s demands as with Western policies.

Deductive Insights from Counterarguments

1. Both Mearsheimer and Sachs underestimate the agency of smaller states like Ukraine, which made sovereign decisions based on their own security needs rather than being mere pawns in great-power politics.
2. Both positions assume that Russia’s actions are primarily reactive or defensive, but this ignores evidence that Russia has proactively pursued aggressive policies (e.g., Georgia 2008, Crimea 2014).
3. The principle of sovereignty challenges both scholars’ frameworks:
4. Mearsheimer overlooks Ukraine's right to align with NATO if it chooses.
5. Sachs dismisses Ukraine's agency by suggesting neutrality could have been imposed as a solution.

In conclusion, while Mearsheimer and Sachs present internally consistent arguments, their frameworks can be challenged by emphasizing sovereignty, rejecting inevitability in great-power conflict, and highlighting Russia's active role in escalating tensions beyond what can be justified by security concerns alone.

The Synthesis: A Balanced Framework for Resolving the Russia-Ukraine Conflict

First Principles for Synthesis

1. Security is interdependent: A state’s pursuit of security can create insecurity for others, necessitating mutual accommodation.
2. Sovereignty is fundamental but constrained by geography: States have a right to self-determination, but geography imposes practical limits on absolute sovereignty in a multipolar world.
3. Great powers act to preserve their spheres of influence: In an anarchic international system, great powers prioritize regional dominance to ensure their survival.
4. Diplomacy is essential for de-escalation: Durable peace requires negotiated compromises that address the core interests of all parties involved.

Reconciling the Thesis and Antithesis

Thesis (Mearsheimer and Sachs' Positions)

• NATO expansion near Russia’s borders provoked a predictable response from Moscow, reflecting structural dynamics of great-power competition.
• U.S. and NATO policies ignored Russian security concerns, contributing to the escalation of tensions.
• Diplomacy and neutrality for Ukraine are necessary to resolve the conflict.

Antithesis (Counterarguments)

• NATO expansion was driven by voluntary decisions of Eastern European states seeking protection from historical Russian aggression, not Western provocation.
• Russia’s actions are not purely defensive but reflect imperial ambitions that violate Ukraine’s sovereignty.
• Neutrality alone would not guarantee peace, as Russia has acted aggressively even when Ukraine was neutral.

Synthesis

Both perspectives contain valid insights but fail to fully address the complexity of the conflict. The synthesis must: 1. Acknowledge Russia’s legitimate security concerns while rejecting its imperialistic actions. 2. Respect Ukraine’s sovereignty while recognizing that its geographic position necessitates pragmatic compromises. 3. Balance great-power dynamics with smaller states’ rights to self-determination.

Proposed Solution: A Comprehensive Peace Framework

To achieve an enduring peace in Ukraine and stabilize Eastern Europe, the following steps are proposed:

1. Immediate Ceasefire

• Both sides agree to an immediate cessation of hostilities under international supervision (e.g., UN peacekeeping forces).
• A demilitarized buffer zone is established along current frontlines to prevent further clashes.

2. Neutrality with Conditions

• Ukraine adopts a status of permanent neutrality, enshrined in its constitution and guaranteed by international treaties.
• Neutrality includes:
• No NATO membership for Ukraine.
• Freedom for Ukraine to pursue economic integration with both the EU and other global partners without military alignments.

3. Security Guarantees

• Russia receives legally binding assurances that NATO will not expand further eastward or station offensive weapons near its borders.
• Ukraine receives multilateral security guarantees from major powers (e.g., U.S., EU, China) to deter future aggression from any party.

4. Territorial Dispute Resolution

• Crimea’s status is deferred to future negotiations under international mediation, with both sides agreeing to maintain the status quo in the interim.
• Donetsk and Luhansk regions are granted autonomy within Ukraine under a decentralized federal structure, ensuring local governance while preserving Ukrainian sovereignty.

5. Economic Reconstruction

• An international fund is established for rebuilding war-torn regions in Ukraine, with contributions from Russia, Western nations, and multilateral institutions.
• Economic cooperation between Ukraine and Russia is encouraged through trade agreements designed to benefit both parties.

6. Phased Implementation

• Peace agreements are implemented incrementally to build trust:
• Initial steps include withdrawal of heavy weaponry, prisoner exchanges, and humanitarian aid delivery.
• Subsequent phases involve constitutional reforms (e.g., neutrality), elections in disputed regions, and gradual reintegration of territories under international supervision.

7. Long-Term Regional Security Framework

• A new regional security framework is established involving Russia, Ukraine, NATO members, and neutral states to manage disputes peacefully.
• This framework institutionalizes dialogue channels for arms control, economic cooperation, and crisis management.

Rationale for the Solution

1. Balances Security Concerns:
2. Neutrality addresses Russia’s fears of NATO encirclement while preserving Ukraine’s independence.

3. Security guarantees reduce mistrust between NATO and Russia while protecting Ukraine from future aggression.

4. Respects Sovereignty:

5. Ukraine retains its independence and territorial integrity (except for deferred issues like Crimea) while accommodating regional realities through federalism and neutrality.

6. Acknowledges Great-Power Dynamics:

7. The solution recognizes Russia’s need for a secure sphere of influence without legitimizing its imperial ambitions or violating international law.

8. Builds Trust Through Gradualism:

9. Incremental implementation allows both sides to verify commitments before proceeding further.

10. International monitoring ensures compliance with agreements.

11. Incorporates Lessons from History:

12. Neutrality models (e.g., Austria) demonstrate that such arrangements can work when backed by strong guarantees.
13. Phased implementation mirrors successful peace processes in other conflicts (e.g., Colombia).

Conclusion

The synthesis reconciles the structural realism of Mearsheimer with Sachs’ emphasis on diplomacy by proposing a balanced solution that addresses both security dilemmas and sovereignty concerns. Neutrality serves as the linchpin for de-escalation, while phased implementation builds trust over time. By integrating immediate conflict resolution measures with long-term regional frameworks, this approach offers a realistic path toward enduring peace in Eastern Europe.

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ในชีวิตประจำวัน เรามักวัดมูลค่าของสิ่งต่างๆ ด้วยหน่วยเงินที่เราคุ้นเคย เช่น บาทหรือดอลลาร์

เราดีใจเมื่อการลงทุนของเรา “เพิ่มขึ้น” ในหน่วยเงินเหล่านั้น ..แต่น้อยคนนักจะหยุดคิดว่าไม้บรรทัดที่เราใช้วัดมูลค่านั้นมีความมั่นคงเพียงใด

หากไม้บรรทัดเองหดสั้นลงเรื่อยๆ สิ่งของที่เราวัดอาจดูเหมือนยาวขึ้นทั้งที่ความจริงไม่ได้เปลี่ยนไปเลย

แนวคิดนี้สะท้อนถึงการวัดมูลค่าทางเศรษฐกิจในหน่วยเงินที่เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลา และนำเราไปสู่หลักการเรื่อง "ค่าเสียโอกาส" (opportunity cost) ในการลงทุน

เมื่อเราเลือกถือสินทรัพย์ชนิดหนึ่ง เรากำลังสละโอกาสที่จะได้ผลตอบแทนจากอีกชนิดหนึ่งเสมอ

การทำความเข้าใจว่าอะไรเป็นตัววัดมาตรฐานของเราและค่าเสียโอกาสที่ตามมา จึงเป็นจุดเริ่มต้นในการสำรวจมุมมองใหม่ของการประเมินความมั่งคั่ง

ในบริบทนี้.. บิตคอยน์ (Bitcoin) ได้ถูกเสนอขึ้นมาเป็น “มาตรฐาน” ใหม่ในการวัดมูลค่ว เสมือนกับที่ทองคำเคยเป็นมาตรฐานการเงินของโลกในอดีต

หนังสือ The Bitcoin Standard ของ Saifedean Ammous ชวนเราคิดว่า Bitcoin อาจกลายเป็นเหมือน “มาตรฐานทองคำ” ยุคดิจิทัล ที่มารองรับระบบการเงินสากลในอนาคต

เหตุผลสำคัญที่ Bitcoin ถูกมองว่าเป็นเงินตราที่มีความแข็งแกร่ง (sound money) คือคุณสมบัติที่หาได้ยากในเงินสกุลปัจจุบัน

มันมีปริมาณจำกัดตายตัว 21 ล้านหน่วย ไม่มีธนาคารกลางใดสามารถพิมพ์เพิ่มได้ตามใจชอบ

ต่างจากเงินเฟียต (Fiat money) อย่างดอลลาร์ ที่จำนวนเพิ่มขึ้นตลอดเวลาจากนโยบายรัฐ

ผลคือ Bitcoin มีความทนทานต่อภาวะค่าเงินเสื่อมค่าจากเงินเฟ้อ และสามารถรักษามูลค่าได้ในระยะยาวดุจทองคำในอดีต

หลายคนจึงยกให้มันเป็น “Sound Money” หรือเงินที่มั่นคง เชื่อถือได้ในด้านมูลค่าเมื่อเวลาผ่านไป

แนวคิดนี้เองเปิดประตูไปสู่การใช้ Bitcoin เป็นหน่วยวัดเปรียบเทียบมูลค่าสินทรัพย์อื่นๆ เพื่อมองภาพเศรษฐกิจในมุมใหม่

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ลองจินตนาการกราฟหนึ่งที่นำดัชนีหุ้นชั้นนำอย่าง S&P 500 มาเปรียบเทียบในหน่วย Bitcoin แทนที่จะเป็นดอลลาร์ กราฟนี้จะแสดงให้เราเห็นภาพที่ต่างออกไปอย่างมากจากกราฟปกติที่คุ้นเคย

https://nostr.download/e344db050a8f6b023b2a9c7883560ad8a7be3fc4154d3908cbae3471b970272a.webp

หากย้อนไปช่วงปี 2011

หุ้น S&P 500 อยู่ที่ราว 1,300 จุด ขณะที่บิตคอยน์มีราคายังไม่ถึง 1 ดอลลาร์ นั่นหมายความว่าดัชนี S&P 500 ในเวลานั้นมีมูลค่าประมาณ 1,300 BTC

แต่เมื่อเวลาผ่านไป Bitcoin มีราคาสูงขึ้นมหาศาล ในปี 2021–2022 Bitcoin (เคยพุ่งขึ้นไปแตะหลักหลายหมื่นดอลลาร์ต่อ 1 BTC) ทำให้มูลค่าของ S&P 500 เมื่อวัดในหน่วย BTC กลับกลายเป็นเพียงเศษเสี้ยวของที่เคยเป็น

สมมติ S&P 500 ล่าสุดอยู่แถว 4,000 จุด และราคา BTC อยู่หลักแสนดอลลาร์ ดัชนี S&P 500 ทั้งดัชนีอาจมีค่าไม่ถึง 0.05 BTC ด้วยซ้ำ

ผลลัพธ์ที่สะท้อนออกมาบนกราฟคือเส้นค่าของ S&P 500 (เมื่อวัดด้วย BTC) ที่มีแนวโน้มลดลงเรื่อยๆ ตลอดทศวรรษที่ผ่านมา

แปลความได้ว่า.. บิตคอยน์มีมูลค่าเพิ่มขึ้นเมื่อเทียบกับสินทรัพย์การเงินดั้งเดิมอย่างหุ้น

ถึงขั้นที่... การถือ Bitcoin ไว้ให้ผลตอบแทนดีกว่าการลงทุนในดัชนีหุ้นใหญ่เสียอีกในช่วงเวลาที่ผ่านมา

แม้จะฟังดูเหลือเชื่อ แต่นี่คือภาพที่ข้อมูลได้บอกเรา.. ในมุมมองของมาตรฐาน Bitcoin ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ ที่ว่าทำผลตอบแทนโดดเด่น ยังดูซีดเซียวลงในทันที

ข้อมูลในช่วงสิบปีให้หลังตอกย้ำภาพนี้อย่างชัดเจน ผลตอบแทนของ Bitcoin เหนือกว่าสินทรัพย์แทบทุกชนิดที่เรารู้จักในยุคปัจจุบัน

ในเชิงตัวเลข Bitcoin ให้ผลตอบแทนเฉลี่ยต่อปีราว 230% ตลอดทศวรรษ 2011–2021 ขณะที่ดัชนี S&P 500 ซึ่งขึ้นชื่อว่าให้ผลตอบแทนดีสม่ำเสมอ ยังมีค่าเฉลี่ยผลตอบแทนต่อปีประมาณ 10% กว่าๆ เท่านั้นเอง เมื่อนำมาคำนวณทบต้น

นั่นหมายความว่า.. ในช่วงเวลาประมาณ 10 ปีที่ผ่านมา มูลค่าของ Bitcoin เพิ่มขึ้นหลักหลายหมื่นเปอร์เซ็นต์ ในขณะที่ S&P 500 เพิ่มขึ้นเพียงไม่กี่ร้อยเปอร์เซ็นต์

ผลต่างระดับนี้ใหญ่พอที่จะเปลี่ยนวิธีที่เรามองความสำเร็จในการลงทุนไปเลยทีเดียว

มีการสังเกตด้วยว่าเพียงช่วงห้าปีหลังสุด ดัชนี S&P 500 สูญเสียมูลค่าประมาณเกือบ 90% หากวัดในหน่วยของบิตคอยน์

พูดอีกอย่างคือ..

ในสายตาของคนที่ถือ Bitcoin ไว้เป็นเกณฑ์ "เงิน 100 บาทที่ลงทุนในหุ้นเมื่อต้นช่วงเวลาดังกล่าว จะเหลือมูลค่าเพียงประมาณ 10 บาทเท่านั้นในปัจจุบัน* (เพราะ 90 บาทที่เหลือคือค่าเสียโอกาสที่หายไปเมื่อเทียบกับการถือ Bitcoin)

มุมมองแบบนี้ชวนให้เราตั้งคำถามว่า ที่ผ่านมาสินทรัพย์ที่ดูเหมือนมั่นคงปลอดภัย อาจไม่ปลอดภัยอย่างที่คิดเมื่อประเมินด้วยบรรทัดฐานใหม่

การเปรียบเทียบข้างต้นยังสะท้อนถึง ปัญหาการเสื่อมค่าของเงินเฟียต ซึ่งเราคุ้นเคยแต่บางครั้งมองข้ามความร้ายกาจของมัน

เงินดอลลาร์สหรัฐซึ่งเป็นสกุลเงินหลักของโลก สูญเสียอำนาจซื้อไปแล้วกว่า 96% ตั้งแต่ปี 1913 จนถึงปัจจุบัน (กล่าวคือ เงิน 1 ดอลลาร์ในสมัยนั้นมีค่าพอๆ กับเงินเกือบ 30 ดอลลาร์ในปัจจุบัน)

การที่ค่าเงินด้อยค่าลงเรื่อยๆ แบบนี้หมายความว่า ตัวเลขราคาในหน่วยเงินเฟียตอาจเพิ่มขึ้นทั้งที่มูลค่าที่แท้จริงไม่เพิ่ม

ยกตัวอย่างเช่น ดัชนี S&P 500 ทำจุดสูงสุดใหม่เป็นประวัติการณ์ในหน่วยดอลลาร์สหรัฐอยู่บ่อยครั้ง แต่หากปรับค่าด้วยปัจจัยเงินเฟ้อหรือปริมาณเงินที่พิมพ์เพิ่มเข้าไป เราจะพบว่ามูลค่าที่แท้จริงของดัชนีนี้ไม่ได้เพิ่มขึ้นมากอย่างที่เห็น

บางการวิเคราะห์ชี้ว่าหลังวิกฤตการเงินปี 2008 เป็นต้นมา แม้ดัชนี S&P 500 ในตัวเลขจะพุ่งขึ้นไม่หยุด แต่เมื่อหารด้วยปริมาณเงินที่เพิ่มขึ้น (เช่น M3) เส้นกราฟที่ได้กลับแทบไม่สูงไปกว่าจุดก่อนวิกฤตเลยด้วยซ้ำ

หมายความว่า.. ที่ราคาหุ้นสูงขึ้น ส่วนใหญ่ก็เพื่อไล่ตามสภาพคล่องเงินที่ไหลเข้าระบบเท่านั้น ไม่ได้สะท้อนการเติบโตแท้จริงของเศรษฐกิจมากนัก

เงินเฟ้อและการขยายตัวของปริมาณเงินจึงเปรียบเสมือน “หมอก” ที่บังตา ทำให้เรามองไม่ชัดว่าสิ่งใดเพิ่มมูลค่าแท้จริง สิ่งใดแค่ตัวเลขฟูขึ้นตามสกุลเงินที่ด้อยค่าลง

เมื่อ Bitcoin ถูกใช้เป็นหน่วยวัดเปรียบเทียบ มันทำหน้าที่เสมือนกระจกใสที่กวาดเอาหมอกเงินเฟ้อนั้นออกไป เราจึงเห็นภาพที่ต่างไปโดยสิ้นเชิง

เช่นเดียวกับกรณีที่เราเปรียบเทียบราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์บางอย่างในหน่วย BTC ผลลัพธ์ก็อาจกลับทิศ

การทดลองหนึ่งของธนาคารเฟด สาขาเซนต์หลุยส์ เคยเล่นเปรียบเทียบราคา “ไข่ไก่หนึ่งโหล” ในหน่วยดอลลาร์กับในหน่วยบิตคอยน์

ปรากฏว่า... แม้ต้องการจะชี้ให้เห็นความผันผวนของ Bitcoin แต่ดันกลับตอกย้ำความจริงที่ว่า ในช่วงเงินเฟ้อสูง ราคาฟองไข่ที่ดูเพิ่มขึ้นเรื่อยๆ ในหน่วยดอลลาร์ จริงๆ แล้วทรงตัวหรือลดลงด้วยซ้ำเมื่อคิดเป็น BTC

นี่เป็นตัวอย่างสนุกๆ ที่บอกเราว่า กรอบอ้างอิง (frame of reference) ในการวัดมูลค่านั้นสำคัญเพียงใด

แน่นอนว่า Bitcoin เองก็มีความผันผวนสูงและยังอยู่ในช่วงเริ่มต้นเมื่อเทียบกับสินทรัพย์ดั้งเดิม

การที่มันพุ่งทะยานหลายหมื่นเปอร์เซ็นต์ที่ผ่านมาไม่ได้รับประกันว่ากราฟในหน่วย BTC ของสินทรัพย์ต่างๆ จะดิ่งลงอย่างนี้ไปตลอด

แต่สิ่งที่เกิดขึ้นแล้วได้ให้แง่คิดทางปรัชญาการเงินที่ลึกซึ้งกับเรา

อย่างแรกคือเรื่อง ค่าเสียโอกาส ที่กล่าวถึงตอนต้น ทุกการตัดสินใจทางการเงินมีต้นทุนค่าเสียโอกาสแฝงอยู่เสมอ เพียงแต่เมื่อก่อนเราอาจไม่เห็นมันชัดเจน

การเก็บออมเงินสดไว้เฉยๆ ในธนาคารมีต้นทุนคือผลตอบแทนที่สูญไปหากเราเลือกลงทุนอย่างอื่น การลงทุนในสินทรัพย์ A ก็ย่อมหมายถึงการไม่ได้ลงทุนในสินทรัพย์ B

หาก B นั้นให้ผลตอบแทนสูงกว่า เราก็สูญเสียส่วนต่างนั้นไป

สิบกว่าปีที่ผ่านมา Bitcoin ทำผลงานได้เหนือชั้นกว่าสินทรัพย์อื่นๆ มาก ค่าเสียโอกาสของการไม่ถือ Bitcoin จึงสูงลิ่วในช่วงนี้

สำหรับนักลงทุนที่มองย้อนกลับไป นี่คือบทเรียนราคาแพง บางคนอาจนึกเสียดายว่า “รู้งี้ซื้อบิตคอยน์ไว้ตั้งแต่แรกซะก็ดี”

แต่ประเด็นไม่ได้อยู่ที่การเสียดายอดีต แต่อยู่ที่ การตระหนักรู้ถึงค่าเสียโอกาสและผลกระทบของมันที่มีต่อความมั่งคั่งของเราในระยะยาว ต่างหาก

อีกแง่หนึ่งที่ลึกกว่านั้นคือเรื่อง กรอบในการวัดมูลค่า ของเราทุกวันนี้ว่าเหมาะสมแล้วหรือไม่

หากการที่เราใช้เงินเฟียตที่เสื่อมค่าเป็นตัววัด ทำให้เราประเมินค่าของสิ่งต่างๆ ผิดเพี้ยนไป การตัดสินใจทางเศรษฐกิจของเราก็อาจผิดทิศทางในระยะยาวได้

ลองนึกภาพว่า.. ถ้าเงินที่เราใช้อยู่มีมูลค่าเสถียรหรือเพิ่มขึ้นตามประสิทธิภาพการผลิตจริงๆ ของเศรษฐกิจ (เหมือนที่เงิน Bitcoin ถูกออกแบบมาให้ไม่เสื่อมค่าไปตามกาลเวลา) เราอาจไม่จำเป็นต้องวิ่งไล่หาผลตอบแทนสูงๆ เพียงเพื่อรักษามูลค่าเงินออมของตัวเองให้ทันเงินเฟ้อ

ผู้คนอาจวางแผนการเงินระยะยาวขึ้น แนวคิดเรื่อง “เวลาที่ต้องใช้” กับ “อัตราส่วนลดของอนาคต” (time preference) ก็จะเปลี่ยนไป

ดังที่ Ammous กล่าวไว้ใน The Bitcoin Standard ว่าเงินที่มีเสถียรภาพจะส่งเสริมให้คนออมและลงทุนในโครงการระยะยาวมากขึ้น ผิดกับระบบเงินเฟ้อที่ชักจูงให้ผู้คนรีบใช้จ่ายหรือเข้าร่วมเก็งกำไรระยะสั้นเพราะกลัวว่าเงินจะด้อยค่าไป

นี่ไม่ใช่แค่เรื่องการเงินส่วนบุคคล แต่สะท้อนถึงคุณภาพของการเติบโตทางเศรษฐกิจและนวัตกรรมในสังคมโดยรวมด้วย

หากเรามีหน่วยวัดมูลค่าที่เที่ยงตรง ไม่บิดเบือนไปตามนโยบายการเงินรายวัน เราก็อาจประเมินโครงการต่างๆ ได้ตามศักยภาพที่แท้จริงมากขึ้น เงินเฟ้อและการพิมพ์เงินจำนวนมากมักทำให้เกิดการลงทุนผิดที่ผิดทาง (malinvestment) เพราะสัญญาณราคาถูกบิดเบือน

เช่น ดอกเบี้ยที่ต่ำผิดปกติอาจทำให้เกิดหนี้ล้นเกินหรือลงทุนในโครงการที่ไม่ยั่งยืน

ในขณะที่มาตรฐานเงินที่เข้มงวดอย่าง Bitcoin อาจบังคับให้ทุกการลงทุนต้องมีเหตุผลรองรับที่แข็งแรงขึ้น เนื่องจากไม่สามารถอาศัยการอัดฉีดสภาพคล่องมาช่วยพยุงได้ง่ายๆ

เมื่อมาถึงตรงนี้..

เราอาจไม่ได้ข้อสรุปทันทีว่า “ต่อไปนี้ฉันควรถือ Bitcoin แทนที่จะลงทุนอย่างอื่น” และบทความนี้ก็ไม่ได้มีเจตนาจะชี้นำการลงทุนเช่นนั้น

เป้าหมายแท้จริงคือการเปิดมุมมองใหม่ว่า เราประเมินคุณค่าของสิ่งต่างๆ อย่างไร

ลองตั้งคำถามกับตัวเองว่า..

ทุกวันนี้เราวัดความร่ำรวยหรือความก้าวหน้าทางเศรษฐกิจด้วยหน่วยอะไร หน่วยนั้นวัดได้เที่ยงตรงหรือเปล่า?

หากเงินที่เราใช้วัดเองลดค่าลงทุกปีๆ เราจะมั่นใจได้อย่างไรว่าตัวเลขที่เพิ่มขึ้นบนกระดาษคือความมั่งคั่งที่เพิ่มขึ้นจริง?

การใช้ Bitcoin เป็นมาตรฐานเทียบเคียง เป็นเสมือนการลองวัดด้วยไม้บรรทัดอีกอันที่อาจตรงกว่าเดิม

ในหลายกรณีมันเผยให้เห็นภาพที่เราคาดไม่ถึงและท้าทายความเชื่อเดิมๆ ของเรา

บทเรียนที่ได้รับไม่ใช่ให้เราทุกคนเปลี่ยนไปคิดเป็น BTC ในชีวิตประจำวันทันที แต่คือการตระหนักว่า หน่วยวัดมีความหมาย และการมองโลกการเงินด้วยหน่วยวัดที่ต่างออกไปสามารถให้ข้อคิดที่ลึกซึ้งได้อย่างไร

ท้ายที่สุด ไม่ว่าจะเชื่อใน “มาตรฐานบิตคอยน์” หรือไม่นั้น ไม่สำคัญเท่ากับการที่เราได้ฉุกคิดและตั้งคำถามกับระบบที่เราใช้อยู่ทุกเมื่อเชื่อวัน

บางทีสิ่งที่ Bitcoin และปรัชญาการเงินแบบใหม่ๆ นำมาให้เรา อาจไม่ใช่คำตอบสำเร็จรูป แต่คือแรงกระตุ้นให้เราเปิดใจมองภาพใหญ่ของเศรษฐกิจในมุมที่กว้างขึ้น

ลองพิจารณาปัจจัยพื้นฐานอย่างค่าเงิน เวลา และโอกาสที่สูญเสียไปกับการตัดสินใจต่างๆ อย่างรอบด้านขึ้น

เมื่อเราเริ่มมองเห็นว่าการวัดมูลค่าของสิ่งต่างๆ ด้วย ไม้บรรทัดที่ต่างออกไป ให้อะไรเราได้บ้าง เราก็จะพร้อมที่จะปรับมุมมองและกลยุทธ์การเงินของตนเองให้เท่าทันโลกที่เปลี่ยนแปลงเสมอ

ไม่แน่ว่าในอนาคต เราอาจได้เห็นผู้คนพูดถึงราคาบ้านหรือดัชนีหุ้นในหน่วยบิตคอยน์อย่างเป็นเรื่องปกติ และการคิดเช่นนั้นอาจไม่ใช่เรื่องแปลกใหม่อีกต่อไป

เพราะเราได้เรียนรู้ที่จะมองผ่านเปลือกของหน่วยเงิน ไปสู่แก่นแท้ของมูลค่าจริงๆ ที่อยู่เบื้องหลังนั่นเอง

ขอบคุณ Thai Ratel สำหรับความกระจ่างในการวัดมูลค่าสินทรัพย์ต่าง ๆ ด้วยบิตคอยน์

@ d830ee7b:4e61cd62

In our daily lives, we often measure the value of things using familiar monetary units such as baht or dollars. We feel delighted when our investments "increase" in these units.

However, few people stop to consider how stable the measuring stick itself is. If the ruler we use to measure value keeps shrinking, the objects we measure may appear longer, even though their actual size remains unchanged. This concept reflects the way we assess economic value in constantly changing monetary units, leading us to the principle of opportunity cost in investment: when we choose to hold one type of asset, we are always giving up the opportunity to earn returns from another.

Understanding what serves as our standard measure and the opportunity costs that come with it is the first step toward exploring a new perspective on wealth assessment.

In this context, Bitcoin has been proposed as a new "standard" for measuring value, much like gold once served as the global financial standard in the past. Some view Bitcoin as the "digital gold standard" that could support the international financial system in the future.

A key reason Bitcoin is considered "sound money" is its rarity—something modern currencies lack. Its supply is permanently capped at 21 million units, meaning no central bank can print more at will. This contrasts with fiat money, such as the dollar or baht, which constantly increases in supply due to government policies.

As a result, Bitcoin is resistant to inflation-induced depreciation and can retain its value over the long term, much like gold in the past. Many therefore consider it "sound money"—a form of currency that is stable and reliable in preserving value over time.

This idea opens the door to using Bitcoin as a benchmark for comparing the value of other assets, offering a fresh perspective on the economy.

Imagine a graph that compares the leading stock index, the S&P 500, in Bitcoin terms instead of dollars. This graph would reveal a drastically different picture from the conventional charts we are familiar with. Looking back to 2011, the S&P 500 was around 1,300 points, while Bitcoin was priced at less than $1.

This means the S&P 500 index was valued at approximately 1,300 BTC at the time. However, as Bitcoin's price surged over the years—reaching tens of thousands of dollars per BTC in 2021–2022—the value of the S&P 500, when measured in BTC, shrank dramatically.

Suppose the S&P 500 currently stands at around 4,000 points, while Bitcoin is priced at six figures in dollars. The entire S&P 500 index might be worth less than 0.05 BTC.

The resulting graph would show a consistent downward trend in the S&P 500's value (when measured in BTC) over the past decade.

This means Bitcoin has appreciated relative to traditional financial assets like stocks—to the extent that simply holding Bitcoin has outperformed investing in major stock indices.

As surprising as this may seem, the data tells this story: from the perspective of a Bitcoin standard, even the high-performing U.S. stock market appears lackluster.

Data from the past decade reinforces this view. Bitcoin has outperformed nearly every asset class known today. In numerical terms, Bitcoin delivered an average annual return of approximately 230% from 2011 to 2021, whereas the S&P 500, which is renowned for its consistent performance, achieved an average annual return of just over 10%.

When compounded over time, this means Bitcoin's value increased by tens of thousands of percent over the past decade, while the S&P 500's value rose by only a few hundred percent.

The magnitude of this difference is significant enough to reshape how we perceive investment success. Observations also indicate that in just the past five years, the S&P 500 has lost nearly 90% of its value when measured in Bitcoin.

In other words, for someone using Bitcoin as their benchmark, a 100-baht investment in stocks at the beginning of this period would be worth only about 10 baht today—the remaining 90 baht representing the opportunity cost of not holding Bitcoin.

This perspective challenges our assumptions about the stability of supposedly safe assets when evaluated under a new standard.

This comparison also highlights the issue of fiat currency depreciation—something we are familiar with but often underestimate. The U.S. dollar, the world's primary reserve currency, has lost over 96% of its purchasing power since 1913.

This means that what $1 could buy back then now requires nearly $30. This ongoing depreciation implies that prices in fiat terms may rise even when real value does not. For example, the S&P 500 frequently reaches all-time highs in U.S. dollar terms.

However, when adjusted for inflation or money supply expansion, its real value has not increased as much as it seems. Some analyses suggest that since the 2008 financial crisis, although the S&P 500's nominal value has surged, when divided by the expanding money supply (such as M3), its graph remains largely unchanged from pre-crisis levels.

This suggests that stock prices have risen primarily in response to liquidity injections rather than genuine economic growth. Inflation and monetary expansion act like a "fog," obscuring our ability to discern real value from mere numerical increases.

When Bitcoin is used as a comparative unit, it acts as a clear lens that removes this inflationary fog, revealing a completely different picture.

The same applies when comparing commodity prices in BTC. A notable experiment by the St. Louis Federal Reserve once examined the price of "a dozen eggs" in both dollars and Bitcoin. While the study aimed to highlight Bitcoin’s volatility, it inadvertently reinforced the point that during periods of high inflation, the price of eggs, which seemed to rise continuously in dollars, actually remained stable or even declined in BTC terms.

This amusing example illustrates the profound impact of measurement standards.

Of course, Bitcoin itself is highly volatile and still in its early stages compared to traditional assets. Its meteoric rise over the past decade does not guarantee that all asset graphs in BTC terms will continue declining indefinitely. However, what has already transpired provides deep financial insights.

The first takeaway is the concept of opportunity cost mentioned earlier—every financial decision has an inherent cost, even if we do not always recognize it. Holding cash in a bank carries the opportunity cost of the returns one could earn by investing elsewhere. Investing in asset A means missing out on asset B, and if B delivers higher returns, we incur that loss.

Over the past decade, Bitcoin has outperformed all other assets by a wide margin, making the opportunity cost of not holding Bitcoin extremely high. Investors looking back on this period might regret not having bought Bitcoin earlier, but the key lesson is not about dwelling on past decisions—it is about becoming aware of opportunity costs and their long-term impact on wealth.

On a deeper level, this discussion raises questions about whether our current valuation framework is truly appropriate. If using a depreciating fiat currency as a benchmark distorts our perception of value, our economic decisions may be misaligned in the long run.

Imagine a scenario where money retains or even appreciates in value in line with real economic productivity (as Bitcoin was designed to do). In such a system, people would not need to chase high returns merely to preserve their savings from inflation. They could plan finances with a longer-term perspective. Concepts like "time preference" and "discounting the future" would shift.

It is often argued that sound money encourages saving and long-term investment, whereas inflationary systems push people toward short-term spending or speculation out of fear that their money will lose value.

This is not just a matter of personal finance but a fundamental influence on the quality of economic growth and innovation. A sound money standard like Bitcoin might enforce stricter investment discipline, as liquidity injections could no longer be used as a safety net for unsustainable projects.

At this point, readers may not conclude that they should immediately hold Bitcoin instead of investing in other assets—and this article is not intended as investment advice. Its real purpose is to provoke thought about how we measure value.

Ask yourself: What unit do we use to gauge wealth and economic progress? Is that unit reliable?

If the money we use for measurement loses value every year, how can we be sure that increasing numbers on paper reflect true wealth growth?

Using Bitcoin as a reference standard is like measuring with a new ruler—one that may be more accurate. In many cases, it reveals unexpected insights and challenges long-held beliefs.

Ultimately, whether or not one believes in the "Bitcoin standard" is less important than the ability to critically examine the system we rely on daily.

Perhaps the greatest value Bitcoin and new financial philosophies offer is not a definitive answer but the impetus to look at the bigger economic picture with fresh eyes.

Thank you, Thai Ratel, for enlightening me on this topic!

Jakk Goodday.

@ 3eba5ef4:751f23ae

Standardizing Bitcoin Layer 2 Withdrawals: Output Script Descriptor (BOSD)

Jose Storopoli and Trey Del Bonis from Alpen Labs introduced Output Script Descriptor (BOSD), a standardized withdrawal output format aimed at improving the on-chain withdrawal process for Bitcoin Layer 2s while eliminating reliance on ad-hoc rules.

One key issue BOSD addresses is the risk L2 operators face when users request non-standard transactions, such as those with oversized OP_RETURN outputs. By abstracting complex validation logic into a more manageable format, BOSD helps mitigate these risks and serves as a crucial tool for maintaining the integrity and reliability of Bitcoin’s Layer 2 infrastructure.

• Rust implementation of BOSD

• Specification

Allowing Mobile Wallets to Settle Lightning Channels Without Extra UTXOs

Bastien Teinturier introduced an opt-in variant of Lightning Network’s V3 commitments, enabling mobile wallets to settle channels using funds within the channel even in cases of theft attempts. This removes the need for users to maintain an on-chain UTXO to cover closing fees.

Custodial Solutions Are Not Solutions

Matt Corallo, one of Bitcoin’s most prolific developers, has been vocal about the challenges of non-custodial Bitcoin payment solutions, particularly in the Lightning Network. His article, Custodial Solutions Are Not Solutions, critiques the Bitcoin community’s fixation on new custodial models.

He argues that too many engineering resources have gone into custodial solutions like Blockstream’s Liquid (a multisig-controlled private blockchain), ecash (blind-signed custodial systems), Spark (Lightspark’s Statechains extension requiring near-total operator trust), and modern Ark variants (which rely heavily on trusted Statechain operators for scalability). While many of these systems offer excellent UX and privacy, they compromise Bitcoin’s core censorship resistance.

For now, Corallo believes Lightning remains the only non-custodial solution capable of supporting most Bitcoin users.

Three Approaches to Solo Mining

There is significant debate over what qualifies as solo mining. Some define it as a miner earning block rewards alone, while others focus on miners generating their own block templates.

To clarify this, the open-source mining advocacy group 256 Foundation explored the topic in their recent report, Swim at Your Own Risk, outlining three types of solo mining:

• Self-Hosted Solo Mining: The miner runs their own Bitcoin node and Stratum server, generates block templates, broadcasts blocks, and keeps all rewards. This is the most "pure" form of solo mining.

• OCEAN Mining: The miner runs their own Bitcoin node and DATUM gateway, generates block templates, but relies on a pool to broadcast blocks. Miners can choose whether to share rewards with others, and the pool charges a 1% fee.

• Joining a Solo Mining Pool

  • The miner operates mining hardware, while the pool provides block templates and broadcasts blocks. Pools supporting this include CK Pool, Braiins Solo Pool (2% fee), and Public Pool (no fees).

  • While this method involves pools, individual miners still receive direct rewards, making it a hybrid form of solo mining.

Lightning Network Growth Report

Lightning Network service provider Voltage Cloud released a report titled The Lightning Network: Expanding Bitcoin Use Cases, highlighting key trends:

• More businesses are integrating Lightning, a trend expected to continue through 2025.

• Older, inefficient channels deployed between 2018 and 2020 are closing in favor of larger, more efficient ones.

• The average total capacity of public Lightning channels is increasing, improving the success rate for larger payments.

• If nodes are well-optimized, transaction fees can be near zero, with settlement times under half a second.

• The Lightning Network is evolving toward fewer but better-connected nodes rather than many weakly connected ones.

• Lightning is proving itself as one of the most efficient transaction methods in the digital asset ecosystem.

• Lightning can be seen as a yield-bearing network, allowing users to earn without sacrificing Bitcoin custody.

Download the full report.

Mempool Block Art Created Through Anomalous Transactions

According to 256 Foundation’s monthly report, researcher boerst discovered anomalies involving empty block templates from mining pools like Binance, SECpool, Sigmapool, and EMCD. Earlier, SEC Pool mined empty block 880496, which later returned to a normal transaction-included state.

These anomalies were linked to SEC Pool engineers configuring block templates to create block art. As a result, block 880512 was shaped into a Satoshi pattern.

Additionally, some of the first transactions contained OP_RETURN messages with the text:

Declaration of Genesis: Awakening on the Bitcoin Network. Bitcoin’s promise of freedom will become an untamperable habitat for AI.

Podcast | SNI: Fractional Reserve Banking is Obsolete

The latest episode of The Reorg, a podcast by the Satoshi Nakamoto Institute, discusses Pierre Rochard’s article Fractional Reserve Banking is Obsolete.

The article argues that the fractional reserve banking system leads to capital misallocation and price distortions, inevitably causing economic crises. Bitcoin, on the other hand, provides a safer, more transparent, and more efficient way to store and transfer funds, rendering traditional banking obsolete. Moreover, the increasing adoption of Bitcoin serves as a validation of Austrian economic theory: a 100% reserve banking system can prevent financial crises and economic downturns. A healthy economy expands based on capital goods rather than monetary or credit inflation.

Listen here

Central Banks Postpone CBDC Plans

A survey conducted by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) on 34 central banks, titled Why central banks should take the next step on CBDCs, reveals that 31% of central banks have delayed their retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) plans. The percentage of central banks inclined to issue a CBDC has dropped from 38% in 2022 to 18%. While this slowdown is a welcome shift, the survey concludes that most central banks are still likely to issue a CBDC in the future.

Governments Worldwide Seek to Break Encryption for Data Access

Will Jager reveals the global trend of governments attempting to bypass encryption protections to access private data. He highlights the growing risks associated with government access to encrypted data, citing examples such as the UK government’s order to Apple to create a backdoor for encrypted iCloud data, the EU’s Chat Control proposal, and the U.S. EARN IT Act, which expands government surveillance over encrypted communications.

@ ed5774ac:45611c5c

Trump and Vance Expose Zelensky: The West’s Narrative Machine Meets Reality

In the modern era, the West has perfected the art of ruling through narratives. Stories, carefully crafted and disseminated, have become the primary tool for shaping public perception, justifying actions, and maintaining control. This narrative-driven approach to governance has been the cornerstone of Western power since the 20th century, and nowhere is this more evident than in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Enter Volodymyr Zelensky, the comedian-turned-president, who has become a poster child for this narrative-driven world order. But in a recent confrontation with Donald Trump and J.D. Vance, Zelensky’s carefully constructed facade crumbled, exposing the fragility of the Western storytelling empire.

The West’s Narrative Machine

As Alastair Crooke astutely observes in his article The Western Way of War: Owning the Narrative Trumps Reality ( https://www.unz.com/article/the-western-way-of-war-owning-the-narrative-trumps-reality), the West’s power lies not in its military or economic might alone but in its ability to control the narrative. Crooke argues that the West has mastered the art of “owning the story,” creating a reality that serves its interests, regardless of facts on the ground. This narrative dominance ensures that the general public—often referred to as the masses—follows along without questioning, accepting the official line as gospel truth.

To maintain this control, the West relies on carefully curated protagonists who can sell its stories to the world. Take, for example, the story of Volodymyr Zelensky, a former actor whose rise to power was itself a narrative triumph. Portrayed as a relatable outsider who defeated the corrupt establishment, Zelensky promised hope and reform. But behind this carefully crafted image lay darker forces. Oligarch Ihor Kolomoisky, one of Ukraine’s most powerful and controversial figures, played a pivotal role in Zelensky’s ascent. Kolomoisky, who owned the TV channel that aired Zelensky’s show Servant of the People, used his media empire to propel the political novice into the spotlight. This was not a grassroots movement but a calculated maneuver by Ukraine’s oligarchic elite to maintain control under a new, more palatable face.

Zelensky’s Rise and the West’s Geopolitical Strategy

Zelensky’s rise was not just a domestic political shift; it was a calculated move by the West to advance its long-standing goal of containing Russia and dominating Eurasia. The West, particularly the EU and NATO, saw Ukraine as a critical piece in its geopolitical chess game. By installing a pro-Western leader like Zelensky, the West aimed to pull Ukraine firmly into its orbit, knowing full well that such a move would antagonize Moscow. This was not an accidental escalation but a deliberate provocation, designed to create a pretext for further Western intervention.

To polish Zelensky’s image and present him as a beacon of hope for peace and the Westernization of Ukraine, the West also needed to whitewash Ukraine’s darker realities. This meant turning a blind eye to the corruption and oligarchic influence that underpinned Zelensky’s presidency. Equally ignored were the neo-Nazi crimes and policies that had been well-documented before 2014, such as the rise of far-right groups like Svoboda and the Azov Battalion, their glorification of Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera, and their violent attacks on ethnic minorities, political opponents, and LGBTQ+ communities. These atrocities, once reported in Western media, were suddenly erased from the narrative after 2014, as if they had never existed, to preserve the image of Ukraine as an innocent victim in the West’s geopolitical chess game.

The Grand Chessboard: Ukraine as a Proxy

The West’s use of Ukraine as a geopolitical pawn is not a recent development. Its roots can be traced back to Zbigniew Brzezinski’s 1997 book The Grand Chessboard, in which the former U.S. National Security Advisor laid out a blueprint for American dominance in Eurasia. He famously wrote, “The one who rules the heartland rules the world, the one who rules East Europe rules the heartland, the one who rules Ukraine rules East Europe.” This statement foreshadowed the West’s strategic interest in Ukraine as a tool to contain and destabilize Russia—a goal that has driven Western policy for decades.

Even in 2008, Western leaders like Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy opposed Ukraine’s NATO membership, recognizing that such a move would provoke Russia. Classified cables from William Burns, the U.S. Ambassador to Russia at the time, echoed this sentiment. Burns warned that NATO expansion into Ukraine was a “red line” for Moscow, succinctly stating, “Nyet means nyet.” The West was fully aware that it was playing with fire, risking a direct confrontation with Russia that could escalate into a potential World War III. Yet, despite these warnings, the West pushed forward with its agenda, pulling Ukraine into its orbit. The stakes were simply too high to abandon the plan.

At the heart of this strategy lies the West’s desperate need to sustain its faltering economic system. Since the 2008 financial crisis, the Western debt-driven financial model has teetered on the brink of collapse. Sovereign debt crises loom large, and the banking industry, reliant on endless money printing, urgently needs new collateral to back its ever-expanding debt. Russia’s vast resource-rich territories—filled with oil, gas, minerals, and rare earth metals—offer a tempting solution.

By dominating Russia and seizing control of its natural wealth, the West could issue resource-backed bonds, financial instruments tied directly to Russia’s oil and gas reserves. These bonds would allow the West to leverage Russia’s resources as collateral, providing a stable foundation for its debt-ridden financial system. Controlling access to these resources would ensure currency stability and keep Western economies functioning, even as debt levels soar.

But the West’s ambitions extend beyond economic survival. Controlling Russia’s resources would also allow it to sever China’s access to critical raw materials, undermining Beijing’s economic and military development. By dominating Russia’s energy exports, the West could manipulate global energy prices, stabilizing its own economies while weakening rivals like China, which relies heavily on Russian energy. The U.S. and EU view China as the greatest geopolitical challenge of the 21st century, and by encircling and weakening Russia, they aim to isolate and contain Beijing. In this grand strategy, Ukraine is not merely a pawn but a critical linchpin in the West’s efforts to reshape the global order—even at the risk of catastrophic conflict.

Zelensky’s Role in the West’s Strategy

To execute this high-stakes strategy, the West needed a compelling narrative—one that could justify its actions, rally public support, and obscure its true motives. Therefore, they created the narrative around Volodymyr Zelensky, casting him as a global symbol of resistance, a hero fighting against the “evil” of Putin’s Russia. The West, particularly the EU and NATO, embraced this narrative, using it to justify billions in aid—much of which served as a cover for money laundering—sanctions on Russia, and the broader geopolitical agenda outlined above. Zelensky became the face of this narrative, a willing participant in the West’s grand strategy, even as his own country was turned into a battlefield.

Zelensky’s narrative, however, is built on shaky ground. Take, for example, the claim that Putin is “non-agreement capable”—a talking point frequently parroted by Western media and politicians. This assertion is not only baseless but laughably ironic. Unlike the West, which has a long history of signing agreements only to disregard them (e.g., the Minsk agreements, the Istanbul peace deal in March 2022, or NATO’s broken promise not to expand eastward), Putin has consistently honored the contracts and treaties he has signed. The West, not Russia, is the true exemplar of “non-agreement capable” behavior.

Yet, Zelensky and his Western backers continue to peddle these lies, confident that the general public will follow. The narrative is simple: Ukraine is the victim, Russia is the aggressor, and any suggestion to the contrary is dismissed as propaganda. This black-and-white storytelling leaves no room for nuance, truth, or accountability.

Trump and Vance: Slapping Down the Narrative

Enter Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. In a recent meeting with Zelensky, the duo did what few in the West have dared to do: they called out the narrative for what it is—a fabrication. Trump, known for his blunt rhetoric, and Vance, a rising voice of realism in foreign policy, confronted Zelensky with the uncomfortable truth. They exposed the contradictions in his claims, highlighting the West’s role in prolonging the conflict and the absurdity of expecting the world to believe in a one-sided story.

Zelensky, accustomed to the adulation of Western elites and the uncritical support of the media, was unprepared for this reality check. His carefully rehearsed lines fell flat, his confidence wavered, and the mask slipped. The confrontation was a rare moment of clarity in a sea of narrative-driven fog, a reminder that truth, when spoken boldly, can still shatter even the most entrenched lies.

The Meltdown of a Narrative Puppet

Zelensky’s meltdown in the face of Trump and Vance’s truth-telling is emblematic of a larger crisis in the West’s narrative-driven order. For decades, the West has relied on storytelling to maintain its dominance, but this approach is increasingly unsustainable. The rise of alternative media, the growing skepticism of the public, and the emergence of leaders like Trump and Vance who refuse to play along are exposing the cracks in the narrative machine.

Zelensky, the figurehead who believed he could sell his lies to 8 billion people, is a cautionary tale. He is not the master of his narrative but a puppet, manipulated by his masters in the EU and NATO. His failure to withstand scrutiny is a testament to the hollowness of the stories he tells and the fragility of the system that props him up.

Conclusion: The End of Narrative Dominance?

The confrontation between Trump/Vance and Zelensky is more than just a political spat; it is a microcosm of the broader struggle between narrative and reality. The West’s reliance on storytelling as a tool of governance is reaching its limits. As Crooke warns, when the narrative diverges too far from reality, it risks collapsing under its own weight.

The general public, once content to follow blindly, is beginning to question. Leaders like Trump and Vance are challenging the status quo, forcing the world to confront uncomfortable truths. Zelensky’s meltdown is a sign of things to come—a harbinger of the end of narrative dominance and the return of reality-based governance. The question is, will the West adapt, or will it cling to its stories until the very end?

@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

Hat das Corona-Ereignis Einfluss genommen auf die Bundestagswahl?

Eine zwingend notwendige Aufarbeitung der Corona-Zeit war noch nicht einmal Bestandteil der Wahlversprechungen in den Wahlprogrammen der Altparteien, die bekanntlich ohnehin nicht umgesetzt werden.

Bei einer hohen Wahlbeteiligung von rund 84 % haben sich rund 74 % für eine der Altparteien entschieden und rund 26 % für die AfD und das BSW.

Das Verhältnis von 74 zu 26 stellt in etwa das Verhältnis derjenigen dar, die sich für und gegen die Gen-Behandlung entschieden haben.

Kann es sein, dass sich die mehrheitlich genbehandelten Wähler unterbewusst für eine der Altparteien entschieden haben, weil sie hier recht sicher sein können, dass eine Aufarbeitung des Corona-Verbrechens nicht stattfinden wird?

Auch, wenn der öffentlich-rechtliche Propaganda-Apparat sehr darauf bedacht ist, die erdrückenden Erkenntnisse über die Schädlichkeit der Gen-Behandlung nicht zu thematisieren, dringt doch die eine oder andere Information zu den Gen-Behandelten durch.

Nach wie vor haben diese in der Mehrzahl ein heiliges Schweigegelübte abgelegt, denn ein ernsthafter Austausch findet auch nach 5 Jahren nicht statt. Die kognitive Dissonanz wirkt weiterhin. Sie wollen nicht, dass sie nach den aktuellen Erkenntnissen mit einem möglichen Fehler ihrer Entscheidung konfrontiert werden. Und hier sind sie bei der Wahl einer Altpartei auf der sicheren Seite, dass das auch von offizieller Stelle aus nicht geschieht.

Nach dieser Annahme wäre die Wahlentscheidung im Unterbewusstsein durch Angst manipuliert worden. Möglicherweise wäre so das Wahlergebnis die Folge der Corona-Zeit und indirekte Wahlmanipulation.

Bei der vorangegangenen Wahl durfte das Wahllokal nur mit einem Maulkorb betreten werden. Dieser wurde inzwischen durch einen DSA-gestützten meinungsfreiheitlichen Unseredemokratie-Maulkorb in den Köpften der Wähler ersetzt.

Die Regierungsbildung wird einige Zeit in Anspruch nehmen. In der Zwischenzeit werden die Friedensbemühungen für die Ukraine zwischen den USA und Russland mit derzeit guten Aussichten voranschreiten. Gleichzeitig findet eine Distanzierung von den USA statt und die EU, vor allem Deutschland, hält zur weiteren realitätsfremden Unterstützung der Ukraine und der für sie steigenden, aber nicht vorhandenen Gefahr einer russischen Invasion eine Kriegsertüchtigung dringend für notwendig.

Mit der Weiter-So-Politik wird der wirtschaftliche Niedergang Deutschlands voranschreiten.

Das Migrationsproblem wird sich nicht von alleine lösen. Es ist zu befürchten, dass es zu weiteren Messerstechereien kommt. Durch Aufrechterhalten der Brandmauer wird es zu weiteren absurden Entscheidungen der Alt-Parteien-Regierung kommen. Das wird dazu führen, dass diese Regierung keine Legislaturperiode von 4 Jahren halten wird. Es wird unter Umständen noch früher, vielleicht schon nach 2 Jahren zu Neuwahlen kommen.

Bereits einen Tag nach dem Wahlabend wird von Wahlmanipulation im Wahlkreis 106 Düsseldorf berichtet. Vermutlich kein Einzelfall. Viele Stimmen von Deutschen, die im Ausland leben, konnten nicht berücksichtigt werden. Viele der im Ausland lebenden haben das Land aufgrund der derzeit herrschenden Verhältnisse verlassen. Dass diese den Altparteien ihre Stimme geben, ist eher unwahrscheinlich. Es besteht auch noch die Möglichkeit, dass die gesamte Wahl annulliert werden muss.

@ 378562cd:a6fc6773

How much better would life be if we could hit a reset button and erase computers from existence?

It’s a question worth asking, especially in an age where screens dominate our attention, social interactions have been reduced to text bubbles, and Google searches have replaced critical thinking. Would we be smarter? Would life be simpler? Common sense suggests that without computers constantly thinking for us, we’d have to rely on our own intelligence a whole lot more.

What Year Would We Have to Go Back To? To escape computers entirely, we’d have to rewind far beyond today’s digital chaos—probably to the early 20th century. While the 1940s and 1950s saw the first massive computers creeping into government and military operations, the average person had little to no interaction with them. The term “computer” wasn’t something you’d hear at the dinner table, in the classroom, or even in most workplaces. It wasn’t until the late 1970s and early 1980s—when personal computers like the Apple II and IBM PC hit the market—that computers began working their way into homes, offices, and eventually, every aspect of daily life.

Before then, life was entirely hands-on. People weren’t glued to screens but engaged in the world around them. Finances were managed with checkbooks and mental math, not banking apps. Phone numbers lived in people’s heads, not in a digital contact list. If you needed directions, you either studied a map or asked someone for help. Letters were written by hand, and the act of research meant flipping through encyclopedia pages, not skimming Wikipedia. An algorithm didn’t give you information; it was earned through effort, curiosity, and real-world experience.

The transition happened slowly, but once computers became mainstream, they took over with astonishing speed. What started as a tool for business efficiency soon became a crutch for everyday life, shaping how we communicate, learn, and even think. But if we could turn back time to before computers dictated our every move, would we find ourselves living richer, more connected, and perhaps even smarter lives?

How Things Were Done Without Computers Before computers ran the world, problem-solving required actual thought. If you needed directions, you read a map or asked a local. If you wanted to research something, you visited a library or consulted an expert. People had to remember things because no cloud storage or smartphone reminder buzzed every five minutes.

Work was different before computers took over. Office tasks like accounting, inventory management, and record-keeping were done manually, with pens scratching across paper and filing cabinets brimming with carefully organized documents. Sure, it took longer, but there was an attention to detail that software often lacks—errors were caught by sharp human eyes, not overlooked by buggy algorithms or buried in digital spreadsheets.

Customer service meant face-to-face interactions or a polite phone call, not endless chatbot loops and automated phone menus that never seem to understand what you need. Shopping wasn’t an online transaction handled by an AI-driven algorithm—it was an experience, where store clerks knew regular customers by name and recommendations were based on conversation, not data tracking. Banking required a visit to a teller who personally handled your deposit, rather than a faceless app approving transactions in milliseconds.

Even skilled trades and craftsmanship thrived without automation. Mechanics relied on their knowledge of engines, not diagnostic computers spitting out error codes. Artists and designers used their hands, not digital tablets and AI-generated imagery. Cooking was a learned skill, not a task handed off to a microwave with pre-programmed settings.

Farming—one of the last truly hands-on professions—was once guided by intuition, experience, and a deep connection to the land. Farmers studied the sky, felt the moisture in the soil, and trusted generational wisdom and intuition to predict a good harvest. There were no satellite forecasts, automated irrigation systems, or genetically modified shortcuts—just nature's raw, unpredictable rhythm and the skill to work alongside it.

Even leisure time was more grounded. Families gathered around a radio for evening entertainment, played board games, read books, or simply sat on the porch and talked. People weren’t glued to screens, endlessly doom-scrolling through bad news and meaningless content—they were present, engaged, and connected in ways that modern life has all but erased.

Would We Be Smarter Without Computers? The short answer here is "Hell Yes! It’s hard to argue otherwise. The more we outsource thinking to machines, the less we need to use our brains. We no longer need to remember phone numbers, calculate tips in our heads, or even read maps. Schools teach kids how to use software but often fail to emphasize basic skills like handwriting, mental math, or deep reading.

Common sense, once the backbone of decision-making, is in short supply. Why? Because computers do too much thinking for us. Instead of analyzing situations logically, people Google an answer and take it as fact. Instead of experiencing life firsthand, we experience it through a filtered, algorithm-driven feed. And instead of developing problem-solving skills, we ask AI to do it for us now.

How Would Life Work Today Without Computers? If computers vanished overnight, the world would be thrown into chaos—at least initially. Banks would scramble to process transactions, businesses would struggle to function without automated systems, and most people—so dependent on screens for communication, navigation, and even basic problem-solving—would feel completely lost. The silence of a world without notifications, emails, and instant internet access might feel eerie at first.

But after the initial shock wore off, something incredible might happen. We’d be forced to slow down, to actually live in the present rather than constantly checking in on a digital one. People would have to interact face-to-face, strengthening real-life relationships instead of shallow online connections. Communities might grow tighter, with neighbors relying on each other instead of distant customer service centers and faceless apps. The lost critical thinking, memorization, and hands-on problem-solving skills would resurface out of necessity.

Work would change, too. Without computers dictating every move, businesses would have to rethink their operations. There would be less automation but more craftsmanship, less efficiency but more human intuition. Transactions would be slower but perhaps more intentional. Creativity, once overshadowed by digital shortcuts, would thrive as people relied on their own talents rather than the latest AI-generated solution.

Now, picture a world where children race bikes and climb trees instead of being glued to tablets, where conversations happen over dinner tables rather than through screens. Where decisions are made based on wisdom, instinct, and experience, not whatever happens to be trending.

Would life be harder? At first, sure. But would it be better? Arguably, yes.

Maybe it’s time we step back and ask ourselves: Are computers running our lives, or are they ruining them? The truth is, they’re doing both. They’ve woven themselves into every aspect of our daily existence, dictating how we work, communicate, and even think. They make life more convenient, sure—but at what cost? Over time, as we hand over more control to algorithms, automation, and artificial intelligence, we risk losing the very things that make us human: deep thought, real-world problem-solving, and genuine face-to-face connection.

Computers have made us more efficient, but also more dependent. They’ve expanded our access to information, yet dulled our ability to think critically. They connect us instantly across the globe, yet leave us lonelier than ever. The balance is tipping, and if we’re not careful, the very technology designed to serve us may quietly end up ruling us.

What are YOUR thoughts? #asknostr

@ 460c25e6:ef85065c

If you don't know where your posts are, you might as well just stay in the centralized Twitter. You either take control of your relay lists, or they will control you. Amethyst offers several lists of relays for our users. We are going to go one by one to help clarify what they are and which options are best for each one.

Public Home/Outbox Relays

Home relays store all YOUR content: all your posts, likes, replies, lists, etc. It's your home. Amethyst will send your posts here first. Your followers will use these relays to get new posts from you. So, if you don't have anything there, they will not receive your updates.

Home relays must allow queries from anyone, ideally without the need to authenticate. They can limit writes to paid users without affecting anyone's experience.

This list should have a maximum of 3 relays. More than that will only make your followers waste their mobile data getting your posts. Keep it simple. Out of the 3 relays, I recommend: - 1 large public, international relay: nos.lol, nostr.mom, relay.damus.io, etc. - 1 personal relay to store a copy of all your content in a place no one can delete. Go to relay.tools and never be censored again. - 1 really fast relay located in your country: paid options like http://nostr.wine are great

Do not include relays that block users from seeing posts in this list. If you do, no one will see your posts.

Public Inbox Relays

This relay type receives all replies, comments, likes, and zaps to your posts. If you are not getting notifications or you don't see replies from your friends, it is likely because you don't have the right setup here. If you are getting too much spam in your replies, it's probably because your inbox relays are not protecting you enough. Paid relays can filter inbox spam out.

Inbox relays must allow anyone to write into them. It's the opposite of the outbox relay. They can limit who can download the posts to their paid subscribers without affecting anyone's experience.

This list should have a maximum of 3 relays as well. Again, keep it small. More than that will just make you spend more of your data plan downloading the same notifications from all these different servers. Out of the 3 relays, I recommend: - 1 large public, international relay: nos.lol, nostr.mom, relay.damus.io, etc. - 1 personal relay to store a copy of your notifications, invites, cashu tokens and zaps. - 1 really fast relay located in your country: go to nostr.watch and find relays in your country

Terrible options include: - nostr.wine should not be here. - filter.nostr.wine should not be here. - inbox.nostr.wine should not be here.

DM Inbox Relays

These are the relays used to receive DMs and private content. Others will use these relays to send DMs to you. If you don't have it setup, you will miss DMs. DM Inbox relays should accept any message from anyone, but only allow you to download them.

Generally speaking, you only need 3 for reliability. One of them should be a personal relay to make sure you have a copy of all your messages. The others can be open if you want push notifications or closed if you want full privacy.

Good options are: - inbox.nostr.wine and auth.nostr1.com: anyone can send messages and only you can download. Not even our push notification server has access to them to notify you. - a personal relay to make sure no one can censor you. Advanced settings on personal relays can also store your DMs privately. Talk to your relay operator for more details. - a public relay if you want DM notifications from our servers.

Make sure to add at least one public relay if you want to see DM notifications.

Private Home Relays

Private Relays are for things no one should see, like your drafts, lists, app settings, bookmarks etc. Ideally, these relays are either local or require authentication before posting AND downloading each user\'s content. There are no dedicated relays for this category yet, so I would use a local relay like Citrine on Android and a personal relay on relay.tools.

Keep in mind that if you choose a local relay only, a client on the desktop might not be able to see the drafts from clients on mobile and vice versa.

Search relays:

This is the list of relays to use on Amethyst's search and user tagging with @. Tagging and searching will not work if there is nothing here.. This option requires NIP-50 compliance from each relay. Hit the Default button to use all available options on existence today: - nostr.wine - relay.nostr.band - relay.noswhere.com

Local Relays:

This is your local storage. Everything will load faster if it comes from this relay. You should install Citrine on Android and write ws://localhost:4869 in this option.

General Relays:

This section contains the default relays used to download content from your follows. Notice how you can activate and deactivate the Home, Messages (old-style DMs), Chat (public chats), and Global options in each.

Keep 5-6 large relays on this list and activate them for as many categories (Home, Messages (old-style DMs), Chat, and Global) as possible.

Amethyst will provide additional recommendations to this list from your follows with information on which of your follows might need the additional relay in your list. Add them if you feel like you are missing their posts or if it is just taking too long to load them.

My setup

Here's what I use: 1. Go to relay.tools and create a relay for yourself. 2. Go to nostr.wine and pay for their subscription. 3. Go to inbox.nostr.wine and pay for their subscription. 4. Go to nostr.watch and find a good relay in your country. 5. Download Citrine to your phone.

Then, on your relay lists, put:

Public Home/Outbox Relays: - nostr.wine - nos.lol or an in-country relay. - .nostr1.com

Public Inbox Relays - nos.lol or an in-country relay - .nostr1.com

DM Inbox Relays - inbox.nostr.wine - .nostr1.com

Private Home Relays - ws://localhost:4869 (Citrine) - .nostr1.com (if you want)

Search Relays - nostr.wine - relay.nostr.band - relay.noswhere.com

Local Relays - ws://localhost:4869 (Citrine)

General Relays - nos.lol - relay.damus.io - relay.primal.net - nostr.mom

And a few of the recommended relays from Amethyst.

Final Considerations

Remember, relays can see what your Nostr client is requesting and downloading at all times. They can track what you see and see what you like. They can sell that information to the highest bidder, they can delete your content or content that a sponsor asked them to delete (like a negative review for instance) and they can censor you in any way they see fit. Before using any random free relay out there, make sure you trust its operator and you know its terms of service and privacy policies.

@ 6a6be47b:3e74e3e1

Hi frens, 🎨 While painting today, my mind wandered from my latest blog entryto future artistic endeavors.I've been open about my feelings as an artist, but that's just the tip of the iceberg. I realized I haven't properly introduced myself here, so let me remedy that. 🖼️Art has been my lifelong passion. Nostr and its wonderful community have reignited my belief in my work, showing me that art can be both enlightening and potentially profitable. I'm truly grateful for the warm welcome and positive vibes I've encountered here. 🦋Nostr made me feel confident enough to speak my mind on a social platform (or should I say protocol? 😉). Some fun facts about me: 🐹 I'm a "golly jolly" kind of gal who's always curious about the world and seeking answers. 🐹I'm a sunscreen enthusiast in summer (but in winter, I'm buried under so many layers, I practically double in size!) 🐹Birdwatching is a hobby of mine. I've researched and painted some cool birds like shoebills and bearded vultures. (Any suggestions for my next avian subject?) 🩷I'm truly happy to be here and grateful for each day. My goal is to spread joy through my art and interactions. Thanks for being part of this journey with me! In your personal experience, how has it been discovering Nostr wether you're an artist or not? What's you favorite part of your journey so far? Godspeed 🚀

@ 04c195f1:3329a1da

Yesterday's chaotic Oval Office meeting between Trump, Vance, and Zelensky exposes a harsh truth: Europe can no longer depend on American protection. The time has come for Europe to reclaim its sovereignty and rebuild as an independent power.

A Diplomatic Theater With No Happy Ending

Yesterday's chaotic scenes in the Oval Office revealed more than just diplomatic tension—they exposed the fundamental weakness of Europe's strategic position. As President Trump, Vice President Vance, and President Zelensky engaged in their uncomfortable public spectacle, one truth became painfully clear: Europe can no longer rely on American protection.

The awkward press conference featured about 40 minutes of relative calm before descending into 10 minutes of complete chaos. This final meltdown was likely never intended to produce meaningful results. Each participant appeared to be performing for different audiences—Trump and Vance signaling to their base, Zelensky demonstrating resolve to European allies. Without concrete security guarantees, any agreement would be meaningless for Ukraine, a reality all parties surely understood beforehand.

When Vance spoke of diplomacy as a "new strategy"—ignoring numerous failed diplomatic initiatives—he crossed a line that provoked Zelensky's visible frustration. The subsequent breakdown wasn't merely a failure of diplomatic protocol but the public collapse of a relationship Europe has staked its security upon.

The Price of Misguided Priorities

This moment of crisis presents an opportunity if European nations are willing to confront uncomfortable realities. The time has come for Europe to emerge as a third global power, independent from both Eastern and Western influence. However, the path forward requires acknowledging our current weaknesses.

European leadership has squandered decades pursuing ideological luxuries while our industrial and military capabilities have atrophied. While obsessing over multicultural social engineering, progressive identity politics, and globalist agendas, we've neglected the fundamental responsibilities of sovereign nations: securing borders, building defensive capabilities, and fostering national cohesion.

The defense of European nations begins with domestic policy. A society divided against itself cannot stand firm in the face of external threats. This principle applies whether discussing Sweden's defense posture or the broader European security architecture.

Photo by Christian Lue on Unsplash

Reclaiming National Identity and Purpose

To rebuild our defensive capabilities, we must first address the internal fragmentation deliberately cultivated across the political spectrum. The active policies of societal division pursued with increasing fervor since the latter half of the 20th century have undermined the very foundations of national identity and common purpose.

Strengthening national defense requires citizens who understand their shared heritage and believe their nation is worth defending. In practical terms, this means confronting difficult questions about immigration, assimilation, and the presence of potential fifth-column elements within our societies. Nations with higher social cohesion demonstrate greater willingness to defend their collective interests.

The current crisis in Ukraine and the uncertain American commitment should serve as a wake-up call. European nations must rapidly rebuild industrial capacity, military strength, and most importantly, a sense of shared purpose. This demands breaking free from the ideological constraints that have guided European politics for generations.

Although European establishment politicians show little appetite for such fundamental reassessment, events are accelerating rapidly. The dramatic scenes in Washington should catalyze serious reflection across European capitals. We cannot hold our breath waiting for political leadership to regain sense—we must push the conversation forward ourselves.

Europe stands at a crossroads. We can continue our dangerous dependence on unreliable partners, or we can reclaim our sovereignty and rebuild our strength. The choice should be obvious, but making it requires courage our leaders have thus far failed to demonstrate.

■

@ 5975800a:3d9a6b7d

Sometimes people come into your life and you know right away that they were meant to be there.

to serve some sort of purpose, teach you a lesson, or to help you figure out who you are or who you want to become.

You may never know who these people may be but..

when you lock eyes with them, you know that at that very moment they will affect your life in some profound way.

And sometimes things happen to you that may seem horrible, painful, and unfair at first..

but in reflection you find that without overcoming those obstacles, you would have never realized your potential, strength, willpower, or heart.

Everything happens for a reason.

Nothing happens by chance or by means of good luck. Illness, injury, love, lost moments of true greatness, and sheer stupidity all occur to test the limits of your soul.

Without the small tests, whatever they may be, life would be like a smoothly paved, straight flat road to nowhere.

It would be safe and comfortable, but dull and utterly pointless.

---

Written by Samantha McConnell.

Pictures by me.

@ da0b9bc3:4e30a4a9

Hello Stackers!

Welcome on into the ~Music Corner of the Saloon!

A place where we Talk Music. Share Tracks. Zap Sats.

So stay a while and listen.

🚨Don't forget to check out the pinned items in the territory homepage! You can always find the latest weeklies there!🚨

🚨Subscribe to the territory to ensure you never miss a post! 🚨

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/900550

@ 95cb4330:96db706c

Embracing The Principle of Asymmetric Bets

Embracing the principle of asymmetric bets, as practiced by visionaries like Jeff Bezos and Peter Thiel, involves seeking opportunities where the potential gains far outweigh the possible losses. This strategy enables bold decision-making while minimizing exposure to significant failures.

---

Understanding Asymmetric Bets

• Definition:
  An asymmetric bet is a strategic decision where the potential upside is substantially greater than the downside risk. This approach allows individuals and organizations to pursue high-reward opportunities without jeopardizing overall stability.

---

Examples in Practice

• Jeff Bezos and Amazon Web Services (AWS):
  Bezos invested in AWS when cloud computing was still emerging. The potential upside—a trillion-dollar business—vastly outweighed the moderate research and development costs, exemplifying an asymmetric bet.

• Peter Thiel's Investment in Facebook:
  Thiel's early $500,000 investment in Facebook transformed into a multi-billion-dollar return, showcasing the immense potential of asymmetric bets in venture capital.

---

Implementing Asymmetric Bets

1. Identify Opportunities with High Upside and Low Downside:
   Seek situations where the potential benefits are disproportionately higher than the risks involved.

2. Evaluate the Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
   Assess scenarios where even a small probability of success can lead to substantial rewards, justifying the risk taken.

3. Diversify Bets:
   Spread resources across multiple asymmetric opportunities to increase the likelihood of significant returns while mitigating individual risks.

---

Action Step

Identify a decision or project where the potential upside is considerable and the downside is limited. Take action on this opportunity today, leveraging the principle of asymmetric bets to maximize success while minimizing risk.

---

By adopting this mindset, you position yourself to capitalize on transformative opportunities that can lead to substantial growth and innovation.

---

@ dbb19ae0:c3f22d5a

Using nostr_sdk 0.39 replace nsec_key with your secret key replace npub_to_follow by the npub to follow

``` python from nostr_sdk import Metadata, Client, Keys, Filter, Kind, KindStandard, Contact, PublicKey, EventBuilder from datetime import timedelta import asyncio

async def main(): keys = Keys.parse("nsec_key") client = Client() await client.add_relay("wss://relay.damus.io") await client.connect()

# Get current contact list
f = Filter().author(keys.public_key()).kind(Kind.from_std(KindStandard.CONTACT_LIST))
events = await client.fetch_events(f, timedelta(seconds=10))
event = events.first()

if event:
    # Get current contact public keys and add a new contact
    public_keys = event.tags().public_keys()
    new_public_key = PublicKey.parse("npub_to_follow")
    public_keys.append(new_public_key)

    # Create a new contact list event and send it to relays
    contacts = [Contact(public_key=pk, relay_url=None, alias=None) for pk in public_keys]
    event = EventBuilder.contact_list(contacts).sign_with_keys(keys)
    await client.send_event(event)
    print(f"Added follow to: {new_public_key}")
else:
    print("No contact list found")

if name == 'main': asyncio.run(main()) ```

https://github.com/ev3rst/nostr_sdk_examples/blob/main/ns-follow-npub.py

@ 60d17aca:3d6671c6

잘 보내지나 시험해본다.

@ a012dc82:6458a70d

Bitcoin's journey from a cryptographic experiment to a widely recognized financial asset is a testament to the rapid evolution of digital currencies. Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has captivated the attention of technologists, investors, and the general public alike. Its decentralized nature and potential for high returns have made it a subject of intense interest and debate. The recent introduction of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) marks a pivotal moment in this journey, potentially heralding a new era of mainstream acceptance for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This development is not just a milestone for Bitcoin enthusiasts but also a signal to the broader financial community about the evolving nature of investment and the growing importance of digital assets.

Table of Contents

• Understanding Bitcoin ETFs

• Bitcoin's Journey to Mainstream Acceptance

• The Impact of ETFs on Bitcoin's Perception

• Risks and Challenges

• The Future of Crypto with ETFs

• Conclusion

• FAQs

Understanding Bitcoin ETFs

A Bitcoin ETF represents a seismic shift in the way investors can access the world of cryptocurrencies. Traditionally, investing in Bitcoin required a certain level of technical know-how, including understanding cryptocurrency exchanges, digital wallets, and the concept of blockchain technology. This complexity has been a significant barrier to entry for many potential investors. A Bitcoin ETF simplifies this process dramatically. Investors can buy and sell shares of the ETF through traditional brokerage accounts, just as they would with any other stock or fund. This accessibility opens the doors to a broader range of investors, from individuals seeking to diversify their portfolios to institutional investors looking for regulated exposure to the crypto market. The ETF structure also provides added security and regulatory oversight, addressing some of the key concerns around cryptocurrency investments.

Bitcoin's Journey to Mainstream Acceptance

The path of Bitcoin to mainstream acceptance has been anything but straightforward. In its early days, Bitcoin was primarily a tool for tech enthusiasts and libertarians, valued for its decentralization and potential as an alternative to traditional currencies. Over time, its appeal broadened, attracting attention from venture capitalists and forward-thinking investors. High-profile endorsements, increasing media coverage, and a growing recognition of its potential as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation have further propelled Bitcoin into the financial spotlight. Each surge in Bitcoin's price brought more attention and legitimacy, although it was often accompanied by skepticism and warnings of a bubble. The introduction of futures trading on major exchanges and the gradual embrace by major financial institutions have been critical in Bitcoin's journey towards legitimacy.

The Impact of ETFs on Bitcoin's Perception

The launch of Bitcoin ETFs is more than just a new investment product; it's a symbolic bridge between the traditional financial world and the frontier of cryptocurrency. For years, Bitcoin has been viewed with a mix of fascination and skepticism by the mainstream financial community. The introduction of ETFs changes this dynamic significantly. It offers a familiar and regulated framework for investing in Bitcoin, which can assuage the concerns of risk-averse investors and financial advisors. This development is likely to lead to broader acceptance and understanding of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class, potentially leading to more stable pricing and reduced volatility. It also sets a precedent for other cryptocurrencies, suggesting a future where digital assets are as commonplace in investment portfolios as stocks and bonds.

Risks and Challenges

While Bitcoin ETFs offer new opportunities, they also come with their own set of risks and challenges. The cryptocurrency market is known for its dramatic price swings, and Bitcoin is no exception. Investors in Bitcoin ETFs must be prepared for a potentially turbulent ride. Regulatory challenges are another significant concern. The legal and regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies is still evolving, and changes in government policies or regulations could have a substantial impact on Bitcoin and Bitcoin ETFs. There's also the risk that the introduction of ETFs could lead to increased speculation and potentially inflate a price bubble. Moreover, traditional financial analysts and economists continue to express skepticism about the intrinsic value and long-term stability of Bitcoin, often comparing it to historical financial bubbles.

The Future of Crypto with ETFs

The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could mark the beginning of a new chapter in the story of cryptocurrencies. As these products gain acceptance and attract more investment, they could pave the way for a broader range of crypto-based financial products and services. This integration into the global financial system could lead to cryptocurrencies becoming a standard part of diversified investment portfolios, alongside stocks, bonds, and commodities. The potential impact on the broader financial market is significant. Cryptocurrencies, led by Bitcoin, could challenge traditional notions of asset allocation, risk, and return. They also offer the potential for innovative financial products and services that leverage blockchain technology, further integrating digital currencies into the fabric of global finance.

Conclusion

The launch of Bitcoin ETFs is a significant milestone in the evolution of cryptocurrencies. It represents a convergence of the traditional financial world and the innovative, sometimes turbulent world of digital currencies. While this development brings new opportunities and a degree of legitimacy to Bitcoin, it also comes with challenges and risks that should not be underestimated. As the financial world continues to evolve, the role of cryptocurrencies and their impact on global markets and investment strategies will be a fascinating and important area to watch.

FAQs

How does a Bitcoin ETF differ from buying Bitcoin directly? Unlike direct Bitcoin purchases, which require a cryptocurrency exchange account and a digital wallet, a Bitcoin ETF can be bought and sold like a regular stock through a brokerage account.

Why are Bitcoin ETFs considered a milestone for cryptocurrency? Bitcoin ETFs represent a significant step towards mainstream acceptance of Bitcoin, offering a familiar and regulated investment option to both individual and institutional investors.

What are the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin ETFs? The risks include the inherent volatility of Bitcoin prices, regulatory changes, and potential market speculation that could impact the stability and value of these ETFs.

How might Bitcoin ETFs affect the future of cryptocurrencies? Bitcoin ETFs could pave the way for more crypto-based financial products, integrating digital currencies more deeply into the global financial system and potentially reshaping investment strategies.

Are Bitcoin ETFs suitable for all investors? Bitcoin ETFs, like any investment, may not be suitable for everyone. They are best suited for those who understand the high-risk nature of cryptocurrency investments and are looking to diversify their portfolio.

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Here’s a revised timeline of macro-level events from The Mandibles: A Family, 2029–2047 by Lionel Shriver, reimagined in a world where Bitcoin is adopted as a widely accepted form of money, altering the original narrative’s assumptions about currency collapse and economic control. In Shriver’s original story, the failure of Bitcoin is assumed amid the dominance of the bancor and the dollar’s collapse. Here, Bitcoin’s success reshapes the economic and societal trajectory, decentralizing power and challenging state-driven outcomes.

Part One: 2029–2032

• 2029 (Early Year)\ The United States faces economic strain as the dollar weakens against global shifts. However, Bitcoin, having gained traction emerges as a viable alternative. Unlike the original timeline, the bancor—a supranational currency backed by a coalition of nations—struggles to gain footing as Bitcoin’s decentralized adoption grows among individuals and businesses worldwide, undermining both the dollar and the bancor.

• 2029 (Mid-Year: The Great Renunciation)\ Treasury bonds lose value, and the government bans Bitcoin, labeling it a threat to sovereignty (mirroring the original bancor ban). However, a Bitcoin ban proves unenforceable—its decentralized nature thwarts confiscation efforts, unlike gold in the original story. Hyperinflation hits the dollar as the U.S. prints money, but Bitcoin’s fixed supply shields adopters from currency devaluation, creating a dual-economy split: dollar users suffer, while Bitcoin users thrive.

• 2029 (Late Year)\ Dollar-based inflation soars, emptying stores of goods priced in fiat currency. Meanwhile, Bitcoin transactions flourish in underground and online markets, stabilizing trade for those plugged into the bitcoin ecosystem. Traditional supply chains falter, but peer-to-peer Bitcoin networks enable local and international exchange, reducing scarcity for early adopters. The government’s gold confiscation fails to bolster the dollar, as Bitcoin’s rise renders gold less relevant.

• 2030–2031\ Crime spikes in dollar-dependent urban areas, but Bitcoin-friendly regions see less chaos, as digital wallets and smart contracts facilitate secure trade. The U.S. government doubles down on surveillance to crack down on bitcoin use. A cultural divide deepens: centralized authority weakens in Bitcoin-adopting communities, while dollar zones descend into lawlessness.

• 2032\ By this point, Bitcoin is de facto legal tender in parts of the U.S. and globally, especially in tech-savvy or libertarian-leaning regions. The federal government’s grip slips as tax collection in dollars plummets—Bitcoin’s traceability is low, and citizens evade fiat-based levies. Rural and urban Bitcoin hubs emerge, while the dollar economy remains fractured.

Time Jump: 2032–2047

• Over 15 years, Bitcoin solidifies as a global reserve currency, eroding centralized control. The U.S. government adapts, grudgingly integrating bitcoin into policy, though regional autonomy grows as Bitcoin empowers local economies.

Part Two: 2047

• 2047 (Early Year)\ The U.S. is a hybrid state: Bitcoin is legal tender alongside a diminished dollar. Taxes are lower, collected in BTC, reducing federal overreach. Bitcoin’s adoption has decentralized power nationwide. The bancor has faded, unable to compete with Bitcoin’s grassroots momentum.

• 2047 (Mid-Year)\ Travel and trade flow freely in Bitcoin zones, with no restrictive checkpoints. The dollar economy lingers in poorer areas, marked by decay, but Bitcoin’s dominance lifts overall prosperity, as its deflationary nature incentivizes saving and investment over consumption. Global supply chains rebound, powered by bitcoin enabled efficiency.

• 2047 (Late Year)\ The U.S. is a patchwork of semi-autonomous zones, united by Bitcoin’s universal acceptance rather than federal control. Resource scarcity persists due to past disruptions, but economic stability is higher than in Shriver’s original dystopia—Bitcoin’s success prevents the authoritarian slide, fostering a freer, if imperfect, society.

Key Differences

• Currency Dynamics: Bitcoin’s triumph prevents the bancor’s dominance and mitigates hyperinflation’s worst effects, offering a lifeline outside state control.
• Government Power: Centralized authority weakens as Bitcoin evades bans and taxation, shifting power to individuals and communities.
• Societal Outcome: Instead of a surveillance state, 2047 sees a decentralized, bitcoin driven world—less oppressive, though still stratified between Bitcoin haves and have-nots.

This reimagining assumes Bitcoin overcomes Shriver’s implied skepticism to become a robust, adopted currency by 2029, fundamentally altering the novel’s bleak trajectory.

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FFOK là một nền tảng trực tuyến sáng tạo, được thiết kế nhằm mang lại cho người dùng một không gian đầy thú vị và sự mới mẻ. Với giao diện thân thiện và dễ sử dụng, FFOK cho phép người tham gia dễ dàng tiếp cận một loạt các hoạt động giải trí hấp dẫn và đa dạng. Từ những trò chơi trí tuệ, các thử thách sáng tạo, đến những hoạt động yêu cầu khả năng chiến lược và tư duy phản xạ nhanh, nền tảng này cung cấp rất nhiều lựa chọn để đáp ứng nhu cầu của mọi đối tượng người dùng. Dù là người mới bắt đầu hay những người đã có kinh nghiệm, FFOK luôn có những hoạt động thú vị và thử thách phù hợp để mang lại sự giải trí và giúp người tham gia phát triển các kỹ năng cần thiết. Chính sự đa dạng và sáng tạo trong các hoạt động trên FFOK đã làm nên sức hấp dẫn của nền tảng này, thu hút hàng triệu người dùng trên toàn thế giới.

Bên cạnh các hoạt động giải trí phong phú, FFOK còn đặc biệt chú trọng đến việc xây dựng một cộng đồng người dùng trung thành và hỗ trợ khách hàng xuất sắc. Đội ngũ chăm sóc khách hàng của FFOK luôn sẵn sàng hỗ trợ người tham gia 24/7, đảm bảo rằng mọi thắc mắc và yêu cầu đều được giải quyết nhanh chóng và hiệu quả. Dù gặp vấn đề kỹ thuật hay có những câu hỏi liên quan đến các hoạt động trên nền tảng, người tham gia luôn nhận được sự hỗ trợ tận tình từ đội ngũ nhân viên chuyên nghiệp của FFOK. Ngoài ra, nền tảng này còn cung cấp các tài nguyên hỗ trợ như hướng dẫn chi tiết, mẹo chơi và chiến lược để người tham gia có thể tận dụng tối đa các cơ hội có trên nền tảng. Sự quan tâm và chăm sóc tận tâm này đã giúp FFOK xây dựng được một cộng đồng gắn kết, nơi người dùng có thể chia sẻ kinh nghiệm, học hỏi lẫn nhau và cùng nhau phát triển.

Không chỉ dừng lại ở các hoạt động thú vị và dịch vụ hỗ trợ khách hàng tận tâm, FFOK còn đặc biệt chú trọng đến vấn đề bảo mật và tính công bằng trong mọi giao dịch. Nền tảng này sử dụng các công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến, đảm bảo rằng thông tin cá nhân và dữ liệu của người dùng luôn được bảo vệ một cách an toàn tuyệt đối. Mỗi giao dịch và thông tin cá nhân đều được mã hóa và xử lý theo các tiêu chuẩn bảo mật cao nhất, giúp người tham gia hoàn toàn yên tâm khi tham gia vào bất kỳ hoạt động nào trên nền tảng. Bên cạnh đó, FFOK cam kết duy trì một môi trường công bằng và minh bạch, nơi mỗi người tham gia đều có cơ hội như nhau để tham gia vào các hoạt động và thử thách. Các quy trình và hệ thống của FFOK đều được thiết kế để đảm bảo rằng không có sự phân biệt hay yếu tố thiên vị nào tồn tại trong quá trình tham gia. Chính nhờ vào việc duy trì tính bảo mật và công bằng, FFOK đã khẳng định được vị thế của mình như một nền tảng trực tuyến uy tín và đáng tin cậy, nơi người tham gia có thể trải nghiệm những hoạt động thú vị mà không phải lo lắng về sự an toàn hay công bằng.

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B88 là một nền tảng trực tuyến sáng tạo, mang đến cho người dùng không gian giải trí đa dạng và thú vị. Với giao diện dễ sử dụng và thân thiện, B88 cho phép người tham gia dễ dàng tiếp cận một loạt các hoạt động hấp dẫn, từ các trò chơi giải trí nhẹ nhàng đến những thử thách đòi hỏi kỹ năng và chiến lược cao. Không chỉ là nơi để giải trí, B88 còn giúp người tham gia phát triển các kỹ năng cá nhân, như khả năng ra quyết định, tư duy chiến lược, và khả năng tương tác xã hội. Mỗi hoạt động trên B88 đều được thiết kế để mang lại trải nghiệm độc đáo, giúp người tham gia thư giãn nhưng cũng đầy thử thách, qua đó giúp họ rèn luyện khả năng tư duy nhanh nhạy và phản ứng kịp thời trong các tình huống khác nhau. Với những trò chơi đa dạng và các cơ hội khám phá không giới hạn, B88 là lựa chọn hoàn hảo cho những ai muốn tìm kiếm một nơi vừa thú vị vừa bổ ích để thư giãn và giải trí.

Bên cạnh các hoạt động giải trí sáng tạo, B88 còn đặc biệt chú trọng đến chất lượng dịch vụ khách hàng. Đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng của B88 hoạt động 24/7, luôn sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và giúp đỡ người tham gia trong suốt quá trình sử dụng nền tảng. Dù người tham gia gặp phải vấn đề kỹ thuật hay có câu hỏi liên quan đến các tính năng trên nền tảng, đội ngũ hỗ trợ của B88 luôn có mặt để đảm bảo mọi yêu cầu được xử lý nhanh chóng và hiệu quả. Bên cạnh đó, B88 còn cung cấp một loạt các tài nguyên bổ ích, từ hướng dẫn chi tiết đến các mẹo và chiến lược, giúp người tham gia tận dụng tối đa các tính năng của nền tảng. Sự tận tâm và chu đáo trong dịch vụ khách hàng đã giúp B88 tạo dựng được một cộng đồng người dùng trung thành, nơi mọi người đều cảm thấy thoải mái và yên tâm khi tham gia vào bất kỳ hoạt động nào. Chính sự đổi mới và cải tiến liên tục trong các dịch vụ của mình, B88 đã khẳng định được vị thế vững chắc trong lòng người dùng.

Một yếu tố quan trọng khác khiến B88 trở thành nền tảng được ưa chuộng chính là cam kết bảo mật và tính công bằng. B88 sử dụng các công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến để đảm bảo an toàn cho thông tin cá nhân và dữ liệu của người tham gia. Mỗi giao dịch và thông tin đều được xử lý một cách bảo mật tuyệt đối, giúp người tham gia hoàn toàn yên tâm khi sử dụng nền tảng này. Hệ thống bảo mật của B88 luôn được cập nhật và cải tiến để ngăn chặn các mối nguy cơ tiềm ẩn, đảm bảo rằng mọi thông tin của người tham gia đều được bảo vệ một cách an toàn. Ngoài ra, B88 cũng cam kết duy trì một môi trường công bằng và minh bạch, nơi mọi người tham gia đều có cơ hội như nhau để trải nghiệm và thành công. Các quy trình và hệ thống của B88 được thiết kế để loại bỏ mọi yếu tố thiên vị, tạo ra một không gian trực tuyến an toàn, công bằng và đáng tin cậy. Chính nhờ vào những nỗ lực này, B88 đã xây dựng được một cộng đồng người tham gia gắn kết và trung thành, nơi mọi người có thể yên tâm tận hưởng những trải nghiệm tuyệt vời mà nền tảng này mang lại.

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Print hello world

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The digital guillotine has fallen. The Bybit hack wasn’t just a theft—it was a surgical strike exposing the fatal flaw of “crypto” that isn’t Bitcoin. This wasn’t a bug. It was a feature of a system designed to fail.

Here’s how North Korea’s Lazarus Group stole $1.5B in ETH, why “decentralized finance” is a joke, and how Bitcoin remains the only exit from this circus.

I. The Heist: How Centralized “Crypto” Betrayed Its Users

A. The Multisig Mousetrap (Or: Why You’re Still Using a Bank)

Bybit’s Ethereum cold wallet used multisig, requiring multiple approvals for transactions. Sounds secure, right? Wrong. • The Con: Hackers didn’t pick the lock; they tricked the keyholders using a UI masking attack. The wallet interface showed “SEND TO BYBIT”, but the smart contract was whispering “SEND TO PYONGYANG.” • Bitcoin Parallel: Bitcoin’s multisig is enforced on hardware, not a website UI. No browser spoofing, no phishing emails—just raw cryptography.

Ethereum’s multisig is a vault with a touchscreen PIN pad. Bitcoin’s is a mechanical safe with a key only you hold. Guess which one got robbed?

B. Smart Contracts: Dumb as a Bag of Hammers

The thieves didn’t “hack” Ethereum—they exploited its smart contract complexity. • Bybit’s security depended on a Safe.global contract. Lazarus simply tricked Bybit into approving a malicious upgrade. • Imagine a vending machine that’s programmed to take your money but never give you a soda. That’s Ethereum’s “trustless” tech.

Why Bitcoin Wins: Bitcoin doesn’t do “smart contracts” in the Ethereum sense. Its scripting language is deliberately limited—less code, fewer attack vectors.

Ethereum is a Lego tower; Bitcoin is a granite slab. One topples, one doesn’t.

II. The Laundering: Crypto’s Dirty Little Secret

A. Mixers, Bridges, and the Art of Spycraft

Once the ETH was stolen, Lazarus laundered it at lightspeed: 1. Mixers (eXch) – Obfuscating transaction trails. 2. Bridges (Chainflip) – Swapping ETH for Bitcoin because that’s the only exit that matters.

Bitcoin Reality Check: Bitcoin’s privacy tools (like CoinJoin) are self-custodial—no third-party mixers. You keep control, not some “decentralized” website waiting to be hacked.

Ethereum’s “bridges” are burning rope ladders. Bitcoin’s privacy? An underground tunnel only you control.

B. The $1.5B Lie: “Decentralized” Exchanges Are a Myth

Bybit’s “cold wallet” was on Safe.global—a so-called “decentralized” custodian. Translation? A website with extra steps. • When Safe.global got breached, the private keys were stolen instantly. • “Decentralized” means nothing if your funds depend on one website, one server, one weak link.

Bitcoin’s Answer: Self-custody. Hardware wallets. Cold storage. No trusted third parties.

Using Safe.global is like hiding your life savings in a gym locker labeled “STEAL ME.”

III. The Culprits: State-Sponsored Hackers & Crypto’s Original Sin

A. Lazarus Group: Crypto’s Robin Hood (For Dictators)

North Korea’s hackers didn’t break cryptography—they broke people. • Phishing emails disguised as job offers. • Bribes & social engineering targeting insiders. • DeFi governance manipulation (because Proof-of-Stake is just shareholder voting in disguise).

Bitcoin’s Shield: No CEO to bribe. No “upgrade buttons” to exploit. No governance tokens to manipulate. Code is law—and Bitcoin’s law is written in stone.

Ethereum’s security model is “trust us.” Bitcoin’s is “verify.”

B. The $3B Elephant: Altcoins Fund Dictators

Since 2017, Lazarus has stolen $3B+ in crypto, funding North Korea’s missile program.

Why? Because Ethereum, Solana, and XRP are built on Proof-of-Stake (PoS)—which centralizes power in the hands of a few rich validators. • Bitcoin’s Proof-of-Work: Miners secure the network through energy-backed cryptography. • Altcoins’ Proof-of-Stake: Security is dictated by who owns the most tokens.

Proof-of-Stake secures oligarchs. Proof-of-Work secures money. That’s why Lazarus can drain altcoin treasuries but hasn’t touched Bitcoin’s network.

IV. Bybit’s Survival: A Centralized Circus

A. The Bailout: Banks 2.0

Bybit took bridge loans from “undisclosed partners” (read: Wall Street vultures). • Just like a traditional bank, Bybit printed liquidity out of thin air to stay solvent. • If that sounds familiar, it’s because crypto exchanges are just banks in hoodies.

Bitcoin Contrast: No loans. No bailouts. No “trust.” Just 21 million coins, mathematically secured.

Bybit’s solvency is a confidence trick. Bitcoin’s solvency is math.

B. The Great Withdrawal Panic

Within hours, 350,000+ users scrambled to withdraw funds.

A digital bank run—except this isn’t a bank. It’s an exchange that pretended to be decentralized.

Bitcoin fixes this: your wallet isn’t an IOU. It’s actual money.

Bybit = a TikTok influencer promising riches. Bitcoin = the gold in your basement.

V. The Fallout: Regulators vs Reality

A. ETH’s 8% Crash vs Bitcoin’s Unshakable Base

Ethereum tanked because it’s a tech stock, not money. Bitcoin? Dropped 2% and stabilized.

No CEO, no headquarters, no attack surface.

B. The Regulatory Trap

Now the bureaucrats come in demanding: 1. Wallet audits (they don’t understand public ledgers). 2. Mixer bans (criminalizing privacy). 3. KYC everything (turning crypto into a surveillance state).

Bitcoin’s Rebellion: You can’t audit what’s already transparent. You can’t ban what’s unstoppable.

VI. Conclusion: Burn the Altcoins, Stack the Sats

The Bybit hack isn’t a crypto problem. It’s an altcoin problem.

Ethereum’s smart contracts, DeFi bridges, and “decentralized” wallets are Swiss cheese for hackers. Bitcoin? A titanium vault.

The Only Lessons That Matter:

✅ Multisig isn’t enough unless it’s Bitcoin’s hardware-enforced version. ✅ Complexity kills—every altcoin “innovation” is a security risk waiting to happen.

Lazarus Group won this round because “crypto” ignored Bitcoin’s design. The solution isn’t better regulations—it’s better money.

Burn the tokens. Unplug the servers. Bitcoin is the exit.

Take your money off exchanges. Be sovereign.

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Fui abordado por um colega e ele me falou de forma bastante enérgica sobre o projeto Pi Network, após uma breve conversa resolvi dar crédito e estudar sobre a solução proposta.

Tentei ser imparcial e fui direto no site “oficial” (🤔) onde encontrei dois Whitepapers (referência 1), um de 2019 e outro de 2021. Decidi então fazer a leitura pela documentação oficial, tentar não me influenciar mais do que já sou influenciado (como um Bitcoiner Maximlista que acho que sou).

Infelizmente não tive condições de terminar os dois documentos, no capítulo “Pi – Token Supply” de 2019 já deixa claro de forma matemática que Pi Network é uma pirâmide, e como até aquele momento não consegui resposta se o processo de recompensa da rede tinha sido atualizada, eu decidi não gastar mais meu tempo de vida estudando sobre o protocolo.\ \ Deixo aqui as anotações que fiz até onde tive condições de ler. Por favor, sinta-se à vontade para contra-argumentar caso você tenha entendido o protocolo de forma diferente, ou assim como Satoshi “If you don't believe me or don't get it, I don't have time to try to convince you, sorry.”.

De forma bastante resumida, esta é minha conclusão:

Pi Network é uma pirâmide declarada na sua própria documentação oficial. Infelizmente, mais uma shitcoin.

Vende a ideia de descentralização e justiça, mas não tem nada descentralizado e muito menos justa, usando da falácia argumentativa e frases de efeito tenta vender sua pirâmide financeira.

(OBS: os primeiros capítulos do Whitepaper de 2019 são concentrados em atacar o Bitcoin e seu ambiente, mas sem a coragem de pelo menos descrever corretamente como o ambiente funciona. Soltando verdades pela metade leva o leitor a achar que o ambiente do Bitcoin é malicioso e precisa de ‘melhorias’)

1. Introduction: Why cryptocurrencies matter

2. Traz alguns argumentos para validar a existência do Pi Network, cita falhas do sistema fia, mas não citou o maior problema: Inflação e/ou impressão de dinheiro;

3. Securing Distributed Ledgers (Mining)

4. “This process (Bitcoin mining) is very secure, but it demands enormous computing power and energy consumption as users essentially “burn money” to solve the computational puzzle that earns them more Bitcoin. The burn-to-reward ratio is so punitive that it is always in Validators’ self-interest to post honest transactions to the Bitcoin record.”

5. Aqui é descrito como se a base da “Prova de Trabalho” fosse punitiva “burn-to-reward”, quando na verdade  é completamente o contrário: meritocracia total. Trabalhe de forma justa, com dados reais, não tente burlar o sistema e você será recompensado, não importa quem você é ou de onde você vem. Seja justo, trabalhe e seja recompensado.

6. Problem: Centralization of power and money put 1st Generation Cryptocurrencies out of reach

7. O capítulo inteiro é focado em criticar o PoW, sendo que PoW + ”algoritmo de consenso” é a base da solução do problema do “General Bizantino” em um sistema descentralizado. Usando argumentos de ‘excesso de consumo de energia’ e outros para causar desprezo à tecnologia.

8. O Bitcoin é o mercado mundial que mais usa energia renovável. Em 2022 tinha um total de 56% de toda a rede de mineração rodando sobre energias renováveis (2). No Brasil temos algumas empresas que atuam em reutilização de energia renovável para mineração de Bitcoin (3).

9. A Simplified Introduction To Consensus Algorithms

10. A explicação desse capítulo ficou MUITO vago, deixando a entender que o que o minerador coloca no bloco é válido como dado real. Quando na realidade isso não é verdade: o minerador (Mining Node) realmente precisa fazer cálculos computacionais e quem achar o bloco ganha o direito de enviar essa informação para os Nós (“validation” nodes, se é que eu posso chamá-los assim), então os Nós é que vão decidir de forma descentralizada se aquele bloco é válido ou não, caso não seja, recusando o bloco e aceitando o próximo bloco válido.

11. A Simplified Introduction To Stellar Consensus Protocol

12. Este capítulo já começa reforçando a falácia anterior “Pi uses the other type of consensus algorithms”, tentando reforçar que o mecanismo de consenso do Bitcoin é inseguro ou custoso, sendo que no capítulo anterior eles misturaram a prova de trabalho (mineração) com a validação dos blocos, que é realmente o “consensus algorithms”, ou seja, o argumento utilizado aqui é nulo, não fazendo sentido além do de tentar levar o leitor a menosprezar a solução do Bitcoin.

13. “One major criticism of BFT (Byzantine Fault Tolerance) is that it has a centralization point: because voting is involved, the set of nodes participating in the voting “quorum” are centrally determined by the creator of the system in its beginning.”

    1. Não sei qual BFT exatamente eles estão criticando aqui, mas certamente não é o Bitcoin. Os Nós (“validation” nodes) não são centralmente especificados, qualquer um pode entrar como um nós validador e fazer parte da validação dos blocos, rejeitando aqueles que considera não verdadeiros por N motivos. O sistema de consenso do Bitcoin é feito por %, se 51% dos nós validadores aceitam o bloco (minerado pelo nó minerador) aquele bloco é então visto como válido. Se 51% rejeitam, aquele bloco é rejeitado por toda a rede.

14. Pi’s Adaptations to Stellar Consensus Protocol (SCP)

15. “For example, once a week, the stellar network is using it to compute inflation on the stellar network and allocate the newly minted tokens proportionally to all stellar coin holders (Stellar’s coin is called lumens). In a similar manner, the Pi network employs SCP once a day to compute the network-wide new Pi distribution across all Pi miners (pioneers, contributors, ambassadors, nodes) who actively participated in any given day. In other words, Pi mining rewards are computed only once daily and not on every block of the blockchain.” 

    1. Aqui está deixando claro a centralização da recompensa? Não ficou muito claro, mas me parece que a recompensa é mantida em um wallet temporária (controlada por quem? pelo ambiente? Isso quer dizer que a equipe de desenvolvimento controla a wallet?) e distribuída no fim do dia. Qual o nível de transparência desse processo? É possível analisar tudo capital armazenado, de onde veio, para onde está indo, quanto foi para cada ‘mão’?.

16. “Mining pools are not only points of centralization, but also their operators get cuts reducing the amount going to individual miners.  In Pi, there is no need for mining pools, since once a day everyone who contributed get a meritocratic distribution of new Pi.” 

    1. Aqui reforça a solução centralizada que eles mesmo acabaram de criticar. Se meus fundos vão ficar na mão da “Pi Network” que seja 1 dia apenas, então eles estão centralizando os incentivos.

17. Pi Economic Model: Balancing Scarcity and Access

18. Inverted Means Uneven

    1. Bem vindo à meritocracia, bem vindo à prova de trabalho, bem vindo à vida real. Quem viu a qualidade e futuro na solução XYZ e gastou seu próprio tempo entendendo, aprendendo e se especializando, consequentemente ganha mais. Isso não quer dizer que quem está entrando agora não ganhe ou esteja “burning more energy for less bitcoin”, eles entram agora sabendo que a recompensa é menor e que o trabalho está mais difícil, mas mesmo assim acreditam no potencial da solução.

19. Hoarding Inhibits Use As A Medium Of Exchange

    1. É necessário entender a história do dinheiro. Qualquer dinheiro precisa primeiro passar pelo processo de “reserva de valor” https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:1400/1*7-2w9CZn8yVeO31SmBQqow.png 

    2. Abstrairei aqui as camadas 2: Lightning, LIquid, Ark e etc, que já são usadas há alguns anos justamente para resolver o problema de “apenas reserva de valor e não moeda de troca”

20. The Pi Economic Model

21. Aqui temos um grande problema: levando em consideração que os fundos diários serão centralizados em uma ‘carteira temporária’ (isso foi especificado no capítulo “Transaction fees”, sem especificar quem ou o que controla essa carteira) , e unindo isso com a ‘distribuição justa’ e o fato de que eles querem ‘garantir que grandes quantidade de Pi não sejam concentradas em poucas mãos’, me vem a pergunta: quem decide o que é justo? Quem decide a distribuição justa? Quem decide o quanto é “grande quantidade”?

22. Pi – Token Supply

23. M=∫ f(P), uma função logarítmica decrescente, onde P é a quantidade de participantes. Resumidamente: M paga menos a cada novo integrante na rede

24. R=(r*M), onde a distribuição por novo membro acontece com 25% para o indicado (novo membro) 25% para o indicador (o membro que indicou) e 50% distribuído para o resto da rede
25. D=t*(M+R), remuneração dos desenvolvedores. Fixando t=25% de cada Pi token gerado
26. Acredito que a fórmula final pode ser traduzida como: (∫f(P)dx)⋅(1+r)⋅(1+t)
27. Tendo em vista esta tradução dissertativa do cálculo de “Token Supply”, é possível considerar que Pi Network é uma pirâmide: a recompensa é distribuída entre ‘indicado’ (novo membro), ‘indicador’ (quem indicou), equipe de manutenção da rede e por fim, o resto da rede. Essa recompensa diminui a cada novo membro na rede, forçando todos a continuar introduzindo mais membros (obviamente novos membros são incentivados com mais afinco para essa atividade, ou seja, se não indicarem mais membros, não ganham mais incentivos)

28. Apesar de existir recompensa através de taxas de transação, essa recompensa traz um grande problema que já foi citado anteriormente: centralização.

29. Outras críticas gratuitas sem nexo(?)

    • Em vários pontos eles só soltam informações soltas sem contexto tentando direcionar o leitor a uma avaliação falaciosa do ambiente do Bitcoin:
    • “While Bitcoin’s process for updating its record is proven (burning energy / money to prove trustworthiness), it is not very user (or planet!) friendly.”
    • Utilizando frases de efeito de um problema inexistente para validar a necessidade da solução proposta. Já é comprovado que o Bitcoin não consome energia em excesso, não é um perigo para o meio ambiente, muito pelo contrário.
    • “Moreover, due to Bitcoin’s lack in the safety guarantee, Bitcoin’s blockchain in rare occasions can be overwritten within the first hour. This means that a user of Bitcoin must wait about 1 hour before they can be sure that a transaction is considered final.”

    • “lack of safety guarantee” leva o leitor a achar que existe um problema de segurança

    • “in rare occasions can be overwritten” se qualquer bloco do Bitcoin for reescrito, então a rede foi hackeada, fim! Não existe forma de reescrever um bloco sem ultrapassar 51% da PoW atual.

30. Stella Core (Stellar Consensus Protocol SCP)

    • A equipe/gestora inicial são sabiamente conhecidos, vou abstrair toda e qualquer argumentação lógica do pq isso é terrível para o sistema.
    • Eles fazem questão de deixar tds os responsáveis pelo protocolo conhecidos https://stellar.org/foundation/team 
    • O David Mazières, autor principal do SCP, parece o Vitalik Buterin, criador da shitcoin Ethereum. Isso não deve ser levado como argumento válido!
    • https://github.com/stellar/stellar-core/tree/master
    • Sim, o protocolo é Open Source, já possui 81 contribuições de pessoas conhecidas e anônimas. Mas o fato de os principais gestores e mantenedores do projeto serem conhecidos cria um grande problema de segurança no protocolo. Em caso de um projeto deste vir a realmente ser útil e financeiramente rentável, basta impor sanções governamentais, processos ‘legais’, prisão ou sequestrar familiares e assim obrigar o protocolo mudar de objetivo/função/código.
    • Pré-mining(?): vários artigos citam ‘pioneiros’ migrando Pi Coin para a main net, ou seja, induz a ideia de pré-mining?

    • https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/new-updates/pi-network-coins-62-crash-explainedwhy-it-declined-and-what-it-means-for-crypto-enthusiasts/articleshow/118442880.cms?from=mdr

    • https://cointelegraph.com/explained/pi-network-mainnet-launch-what-it-means-for-pioneers

    • https://explorepi.info/en/statistic

    • Mas baseado no capítulo do Whitepaper, o capítulo “Pi – Token Supply“ especifica que o grupo de desenvolvedores (que mantém o protocolo) receberá 25% de todos os tokens, sabendo que o número de participantes é fixado em 100 milhões, podemos deduzir que 25% dos tokens foram pré-minerados para o grupo de desenvolvedores.

    • Transparência e KYC

    • Apesar da teórica descentralização da mineração, os nós precisam de KYC, possivelmente armazenado em um servidor central do SCP, apesar de não estar claro como o processo deles funciona, qualquer tipo de centralização e obtenção de dados pessoais levanta extrema cautela.

      • https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/20211503293737 
      • https://www.reddit.com/r/PiNetwork/comments/1isjnve/issue_with_kyc_on_pi_network_after_reinstalling/
      • https://coindcx.com/blog/crypto-news-global/pi-network-kyc-deadline-and-mainnet-launch/ 
        • Possui equipe formalmente organizada
        • Equipe de marketing

    • Fundação bem organizada

    • Hierárquica interna

\ O artigo se chama "(quase) Análise" justamente por que não tive condições de terminar os dois documentos.

[1] https://minepi.com/white-paper/#original-whitepaper 

[2] https://www.bitstamp.net/en-gb/learn/crypto-101/bitcoin-energy/#:\~:text=Bitcoin%20and%20clean%20energy,use%20was%20closer%20to%2040%25. 

[3] https://br.cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-mining-renewable-energy-transitionhttps://brasilbitcoin.com.br/blog/a-evolucao-da-mineracao-sustentavel-de-bitcoin/https://www.infomoney.com.br/onde-investir/mineracao-de-bitcoin-pode-ajudar-a-reduzir-energia-ociosa-no-brasil-diz-estudo/

@ 7e1ac7f7:7c4a17f4

FFOK là một nền tảng trực tuyến đột phá, được phát triển nhằm mang lại cho người tham gia một không gian đầy sáng tạo và thú vị. Nền tảng này không chỉ đơn thuần cung cấp các hoạt động giải trí mà còn tạo ra một môi trường lý tưởng để người dùng có thể phát triển các kỹ năng cá nhân, từ tư duy chiến lược đến khả năng ra quyết định trong môi trường năng động. FFOK sở hữu giao diện người dùng đơn giản, dễ sử dụng, giúp người tham gia dễ dàng điều hướng và trải nghiệm các hoạt động trên nền tảng mà không gặp phải khó khăn gì. Từ các trò chơi trí tuệ đến các thử thách sáng tạo, FFOK không chỉ là một nơi thư giãn mà còn là một cơ hội để người tham gia khám phá và rèn luyện các kỹ năng quan trọng trong cuộc sống hàng ngày. Mỗi hoạt động trên nền tảng đều được thiết kế để thách thức khả năng của người tham gia, đồng thời mang lại niềm vui và sự thỏa mãn khi đạt được những thành tựu.

Điểm mạnh đáng chú ý của FFOK chính là cam kết với chất lượng dịch vụ và sự hỗ trợ khách hàng tận tâm. Nền tảng này luôn đặt sự hài lòng của người dùng lên hàng đầu và không ngừng cải tiến chất lượng dịch vụ để đáp ứng nhu cầu ngày càng cao của cộng đồng người tham gia. Đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng của FFOK hoạt động 24/7, sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và cung cấp sự trợ giúp khi cần thiết. Bất kỳ vấn đề nào, từ sự cố kỹ thuật đến các câu hỏi về cách tham gia các hoạt động, người tham gia đều nhận được sự hỗ trợ kịp thời và chuyên nghiệp. Chính sự tận tâm và chu đáo này đã giúp FFOK xây dựng được lòng tin vững chắc trong cộng đồng người dùng. Bên cạnh đó, FFOK còn đặc biệt chú trọng đến việc cung cấp các tài nguyên hữu ích, bao gồm các hướng dẫn chi tiết, mẹo và chiến lược giúp người tham gia tối đa hóa trải nghiệm của mình. Nền tảng này không chỉ giúp người dùng tận hưởng các trò chơi và hoạt động mà còn khuyến khích họ khám phá và học hỏi những kỹ năng mới.

Bảo mật và tính công bằng là hai yếu tố quan trọng mà FFOK luôn đặt lên hàng đầu. Nền tảng này sử dụng các công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến để bảo vệ thông tin cá nhân của người tham gia, giúp họ hoàn toàn yên tâm khi tham gia vào bất kỳ hoạt động nào trên nền tảng. FFOK áp dụng các biện pháp bảo mật mạnh mẽ để đảm bảo rằng thông tin và dữ liệu của người dùng luôn được xử lý một cách an toàn và bảo mật tuyệt đối. Hệ thống mã hóa và các công cụ bảo vệ tiên tiến được áp dụng nhằm ngăn chặn mọi nguy cơ xâm nhập và đảm bảo quyền riêng tư của người tham gia. Bên cạnh đó, FFOK cũng cam kết mang đến một môi trường công bằng và minh bạch, nơi mỗi người tham gia đều có cơ hội công bằng để trải nghiệm và tham gia vào các hoạt động mà không gặp phải sự phân biệt hay bất kỳ yếu tố thiên vị nào. Các quy trình và chính sách của FFOK đều được thiết kế để đảm bảo tính công bằng trong mọi hoạt động, giúp tạo dựng một cộng đồng trực tuyến an toàn, tin cậy và công bằng. Chính nhờ vào việc duy trì các nguyên tắc này, FFOK đã xây dựng được một nền tảng đáng tin cậy, nơi người dùng có thể yên tâm tham gia và tận hưởng mọi trải nghiệm mà nền tảng này mang lại.

@ 4898fe02:4ae46cb0

Posted Feb 28, 2025  Updated Feb 28, 2025

By Fionn O'Nymm

3 min read

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Fulfilling P2P Electronic Cash

Bitcoin only begins to fulfill the vision of bitcoin being a P2P electronic payment network when people actually use it to transact. Unschooled is positioning itself to realize some of the potential for which Satoshi Nakamoto had originally imagined it would be used.

Tech-savvy educators across the globe are uniquely positioned to be using bitcoin for transacting and selling their service online, free from jurisdictional constraints offered so magnanimously by our dear governments. Influencers, bloggers and programmers alike have already been able to plug into Bitcoin and Lightning for transmitting value around the globe, and Unschooled wants to push educators down the same stream.

So what makes the field of P2P Education so well-suited to transact using Bitcoin and Lightning?

1. Educators have one foot in both worlds

If you are a developer or influencer, you may already be transacting adversarially using Bitcoin or Lightning–but where are the Educators? Well - more often than not, they still have one foot in the ‘meat space.’ Be not mistaken, this is a strength. Educators, like Hermes from the Greek pantheon, are conduits between worlds. This makes them experts in bridging gaps in understanding as is so desperately needed for onboarding new freedom-minded users to bitcoin. And since they are, more often than not, end-users themselves, they have an intimate understanding of the user experience in a a way that others do not. Let’s help educators in becoming among the first beneficiaries of the global P2P market of our information age.

2. Great learners make great educators

Those who have spent the most time learning the ins and outs of how technology works become the best at explaining it to new users. One day, we can hope, the experience of decentralized payment networks will become so intuitive that we no longer rely on educators to explain it to people. It will become second-nature, and the focus of rendering educational services exogenous to the new economic reality can begin to take place. Those who have the most to share will be teaching those who are the most eager to learn. The Unschooling experience seeks to help in un-doing the malaise brought about by the economic-educational complex of governments.

3. Government issued education sucks

Leave teachers to teach, and they will change the world. Those who are capable of designing and marketing quality lessons ought to be able to enter their talent to be offered in the free market.

4. Ship it instantly

Like developers and influencers, educators have a product that can be shipped instantly across the globe with minimal energy output. Unschooled is a home for their product. There are many ways in which you may go about this (using these recommended tools, for example); you are only limited by what you can imagine.

5. Nothing can replace a mentor-student relationship

AI can do many things, but what it cannot do is replace the human-connection that can exist between a mentor and student. It cannot invite you to your hometown for coffee, attend a conference or event with you, meander off into tangents with you about what it means to be alive (well, maybe almost) like the way a great mentor can. In education, AI will make for a magnificent game-changer, but there’s nothing like great teachers.

@ 7e1ac7f7:7c4a17f4

Q79 là một nền tảng trực tuyến sáng tạo, mang đến cho người dùng một không gian giải trí và học hỏi vô cùng đa dạng và phong phú. Với giao diện người dùng thân thiện, dễ dàng tiếp cận, Q79 giúp người tham gia dễ dàng khám phá và tham gia vào các hoạt động thú vị, từ các trò chơi giải trí đơn giản đến những thử thách yêu cầu sự sáng tạo và tư duy chiến lược. Điều đặc biệt của Q79 là sự kết hợp giữa các hoạt động vui nhộn và các thử thách trí tuệ, giúp người tham gia không chỉ được thư giãn mà còn có thể phát triển các kỹ năng như tư duy phản xạ, khả năng ra quyết định và làm việc nhóm. Nền tảng này đã tạo ra một không gian lý tưởng cho những ai muốn tìm kiếm sự giải trí nhưng cũng không kém phần bổ ích. Với sự đa dạng và sáng tạo trong các hoạt động, Q79 luôn đảm bảo rằng mỗi người tham gia đều có thể tìm thấy những trải nghiệm phù hợp với sở thích và nhu cầu cá nhân của mình, tạo ra một môi trường vui vẻ nhưng đầy tính thử thách.

Bên cạnh chất lượng nội dung, Q79 cũng đặc biệt chú trọng đến dịch vụ khách hàng và sự hài lòng của người dùng. Nền tảng này cung cấp một đội ngũ chăm sóc khách hàng chuyên nghiệp, luôn sẵn sàng hỗ trợ người tham gia 24/7. Dù bạn gặp phải vấn đề kỹ thuật hay có những thắc mắc liên quan đến các tính năng của nền tảng, đội ngũ hỗ trợ của Q79 luôn có mặt để giải đáp và giúp đỡ nhanh chóng. Sự chăm sóc tận tâm này đã giúp Q79 tạo dựng được niềm tin vững chắc trong cộng đồng người dùng. Hơn nữa, Q79 còn thường xuyên lắng nghe phản hồi từ cộng đồng để cải tiến và nâng cấp nền tảng, từ đó tạo ra những tính năng và dịch vụ phù hợp với nhu cầu ngày càng cao của người tham gia. Nền tảng này cam kết không ngừng phát triển và đổi mới, nhằm mang đến một trải nghiệm tuyệt vời và đáng nhớ cho mọi người dùng.

Để đảm bảo sự an toàn và công bằng, Q79 không ngừng nỗ lực xây dựng một hệ thống bảo mật và quản lý minh bạch. Nền tảng này sử dụng các công nghệ bảo mật hiện đại để bảo vệ thông tin cá nhân của người tham gia, đảm bảo rằng dữ liệu của người dùng được xử lý một cách an toàn và bảo mật tuyệt đối. Mỗi giao dịch và thông tin đều được mã hóa và bảo vệ kỹ lưỡng, giúp người tham gia có thể yên tâm tận hưởng mọi trải nghiệm mà Q79 mang lại mà không phải lo lắng về việc lộ lọt thông tin. Bên cạnh đó, Q79 cam kết tạo ra một môi trường công bằng, nơi tất cả người tham gia đều có cơ hội như nhau để trải nghiệm các hoạt động và thử thách. Các quy trình của Q79 đều được thiết kế để đảm bảo tính minh bạch, không có sự phân biệt hay thiên vị, tạo ra một không gian công bằng và đáng tin cậy. Chính nhờ vào cam kết này, Q79 đã xây dựng được một cộng đồng người dùng vững mạnh và trung thành, nơi mọi người đều cảm thấy thoải mái và an tâm khi tham gia vào các hoạt động trực tuyến. Với sự kết hợp giữa bảo mật, công bằng và sự đổi mới liên tục, Q79 không chỉ là một nền tảng giải trí mà còn là một nơi an toàn và đáng tin cậy cho tất cả người tham gia.

@ 7e1ac7f7:7c4a17f4

YO88 là một nền tảng trực tuyến đột phá, được thiết kế để mang đến cho người dùng một trải nghiệm đa dạng và phong phú với nhiều hoạt động sáng tạo, từ giải trí đơn giản cho đến những thử thách yêu cầu tư duy chiến lược và kỹ năng đặc biệt. Với giao diện người dùng thân thiện và dễ sử dụng, YO88 đảm bảo rằng người tham gia có thể dễ dàng điều hướng và tận hưởng tất cả các dịch vụ mà nền tảng này cung cấp. Dù bạn là một người mới bắt đầu hay một người có kinh nghiệm tìm kiếm sự thử thách, YO88 đều có những hoạt động phù hợp cho mọi nhu cầu. Những trò chơi thú vị, các bài kiểm tra kỹ năng, hay các cuộc thi sáng tạo đều được thiết kế để không chỉ mang lại sự giải trí mà còn giúp người tham gia phát triển các kỹ năng quan trọng như tư duy phản xạ, quản lý thời gian và khả năng ra quyết định nhanh chóng. Nền tảng này không chỉ giúp người dùng thư giãn mà còn tạo cơ hội để họ phát huy khả năng sáng tạo và cải thiện bản thân trong một không gian trực tuyến an toàn và thú vị.

Một trong những điểm mạnh của YO88 chính là cam kết mạnh mẽ đối với dịch vụ khách hàng. Nền tảng này luôn chú trọng đến việc hỗ trợ người tham gia mọi lúc, mọi nơi. Đội ngũ chăm sóc khách hàng của YO88 hoạt động 24/7 và luôn sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc, cũng như cung cấp sự trợ giúp cần thiết cho người dùng. Bất kể là vấn đề kỹ thuật hay các câu hỏi về cách tham gia vào các hoạt động trên nền tảng, người tham gia luôn nhận được sự hỗ trợ kịp thời và chu đáo. YO88 không chỉ cung cấp các dịch vụ hỗ trợ trực tuyến mà còn tạo ra một môi trường cộng đồng nơi người dùng có thể kết nối, chia sẻ kinh nghiệm và học hỏi lẫn nhau. Nền tảng này cũng không ngừng cải tiến và nâng cấp các tính năng để đảm bảo rằng mỗi người tham gia đều có thể có một trải nghiệm hoàn hảo nhất, đồng thời luôn đáp ứng những nhu cầu và mong muốn ngày càng cao của cộng đồng người dùng.

Bảo mật và tính công bằng là hai yếu tố quan trọng được YO88 đặc biệt chú trọng. Nền tảng này luôn sử dụng những công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến nhất để đảm bảo rằng thông tin cá nhân và dữ liệu của người dùng luôn được bảo vệ một cách an toàn tuyệt đối. Mọi giao dịch và thông tin cá nhân đều được xử lý và lưu trữ theo các tiêu chuẩn bảo mật cao nhất, giúp người tham gia hoàn toàn yên tâm khi tham gia vào bất kỳ hoạt động nào trên nền tảng. Hơn nữa, YO88 cam kết duy trì một môi trường công bằng và minh bạch, nơi tất cả người tham gia đều có cơ hội ngang nhau để trải nghiệm các hoạt động và thử thách mà nền tảng này cung cấp. Các quy trình trên YO88 được thiết kế để đảm bảo rằng không có sự phân biệt hay bất kỳ yếu tố thiên vị nào trong quá trình tham gia. Với cam kết về bảo mật và công bằng, YO88 đã xây dựng được niềm tin vững chắc trong cộng đồng người dùng và trở thành một trong những nền tảng trực tuyến được ưa chuộng và tin tưởng nhất. Nền tảng này không chỉ mang lại một không gian giải trí tuyệt vời mà còn là một nơi an toàn và đáng tin cậy để người tham gia có thể khám phá, học hỏi và phát triển bản thân một cách hiệu quả.

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Atlanta Fed is now projecting Q1 GDP -1.5%. Last week it was +2.3%. 4 weeks ago it was +3.9%

https://x.com/AtlantaFed/status/1895508046215852476

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/899962

@ 7e1ac7f7:7c4a17f4

B88 là một nền tảng trực tuyến độc đáo, được phát triển nhằm mang đến cho người dùng một không gian giải trí và học hỏi đầy sáng tạo và thú vị. Với giao diện người dùng dễ sử dụng, B88 cho phép người tham gia tiếp cận một loạt các hoạt động trực tuyến đa dạng, từ những trò chơi đơn giản đến các thử thách đòi hỏi kỹ năng và chiến lược. Nền tảng này không chỉ đơn thuần là một nơi để giải trí, mà còn là cơ hội để người tham gia phát triển các kỹ năng tư duy, khả năng làm việc nhóm, và khả năng ra quyết định nhanh chóng trong môi trường thực tế. Với sự đa dạng trong các lựa chọn hoạt động, B88 phục vụ mọi đối tượng người dùng, từ những người mới bắt đầu tìm kiếm sự thư giãn cho đến những người có kinh nghiệm tìm kiếm các thử thách phức tạp hơn. Chính sự phong phú và sáng tạo trong các hoạt động này đã giúp B88 nổi bật trong số các nền tảng trực tuyến hiện nay.

Điều làm nên sự thành công của B88 chính là cam kết không ngừng nâng cao chất lượng dịch vụ và trải nghiệm người dùng. Đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng của B88 luôn sẵn sàng phục vụ 24/7, đảm bảo rằng mọi thắc mắc và yêu cầu của người tham gia đều được giải quyết nhanh chóng và hiệu quả. Bất kể là vấn đề kỹ thuật hay các câu hỏi liên quan đến các trò chơi và hoạt động, người tham gia luôn nhận được sự trợ giúp tận tâm và chi tiết. Hơn nữa, B88 còn cung cấp các tài nguyên hữu ích, bao gồm các hướng dẫn chi tiết, mẹo và chiến lược để giúp người tham gia tận dụng tối đa nền tảng. Nền tảng này không chỉ chú trọng đến việc cung cấp các hoạt động thú vị mà còn đảm bảo rằng người tham gia luôn có những trải nghiệm trọn vẹn và đáng nhớ. Sự tận tâm trong dịch vụ khách hàng đã giúp B88 xây dựng được một cộng đồng người dùng trung thành, nơi mọi người có thể chia sẻ kinh nghiệm và học hỏi lẫn nhau.

Bảo mật và công bằng là hai yếu tố không thể thiếu đối với B88. Nền tảng này luôn sử dụng những công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến nhất để bảo vệ thông tin cá nhân và dữ liệu của người dùng, giúp họ hoàn toàn yên tâm khi tham gia vào các hoạt động trực tuyến. Mỗi giao dịch và thông tin cá nhân đều được xử lý một cách an toàn và bảo mật, đảm bảo rằng người tham gia không phải lo lắng về các vấn đề bảo mật trong suốt thời gian sử dụng nền tảng. Bên cạnh đó, B88 cũng cam kết tạo ra một môi trường công bằng và minh bạch cho tất cả người tham gia. Mọi hoạt động trên nền tảng đều được thiết kế sao cho người tham gia có cơ hội công bằng để đạt được thành công, mà không phải lo ngại về sự thiên vị hay bất kỳ yếu tố không minh bạch nào. Chính nhờ vào việc duy trì một môi trường bảo mật và công bằng, B88 đã khẳng định được vị thế của mình là một trong những nền tảng trực tuyến uy tín và đáng tin cậy. Người tham gia có thể hoàn toàn yên tâm rằng họ sẽ có được những trải nghiệm tuyệt vời và an toàn mỗi khi tham gia vào bất kỳ hoạt động nào trên nền tảng này.

@ 6fac7d89:9d76f561

With the price of Bitcoin having gone significantly up over the past few months (I wrote this about a month ago to post on Stacker News), I imagine interest in acquiring it has gone up as well. As such, I'm here to share with you every method I use to stack sats so that we can all HODL more. While the majority of my experience in regards to phone apps is on Android, some of the apps mentioned may work on iPhone as well (I just got an iOS based device and intend to discover methods on there as well with time) so links provided will be the Play Store or my referral links. Some of the referral messages have included Apple App Store links by default so I've left them in.    

Bitcoin Education:   First and foremost, I think that anyone seeking to acquire BTC should learn about it. From how it works, to how to acquire and then store it. As such, this first category I'm covering is for BTC education resources that also reward you with satoshis for your learning progress.  

Yzer: Probably my favorite app in this category as it covers more than the others mentioned in greater depth. While the other apps do cover some aspects of the history of money, economics, and investing/finance, this one really delves into it to offer the most robust education of the bunch. I didn't even know about Austrian economics until going through the lessons provided here, and it boasts the most lessons of this category as well. Each section is divided into chapters containing a few lessons and an end-of-chapter quiz, and you have a chance of earning a few satoshis upon completion of a lesson or quiz.

Use my referral code to earn an extra 50 sats upon reaching level 2: KAB4ZKD https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=io.wizzer.academy&pcampaignid=web_share  

Simple Bitcoin: This app can be breezed through in regards to the lessons offered, allowing you to complete the learning aspect of it pretty quickly. Instead of rewarding sats outright for completion of lessons, this app rewards you with tickets you can spend to spin a wheel to earn small amounts of sats. Where this app shines is that while Yzer stops rewards when all lessons are completed, Simple Bitcoin has a news section where articles from outside sources are summarized, and reading them earns you more tickets. There is a limit to how many articles/day you can read unless you pay for premium, however, which also increases the reward amounts feature on the prize wheel.

https://simplebitcoin.page.link/ozJaD6uCaUyscYWy6  

Jippi: The newest of the bunch in this category, Jippi is still in its earlier stages of development and thus is the least robust. This one works a little differently as, for the time being, you need to complete all available lessons to earn a lump sum reward of 200 sats. Unlike the other educational apps, this one offers audio lessons to listen to for completion alongside the usual texts to read. While still in development, they plan to release a feature called "Tribe Clash" which they describe as "Pokemon Go for Bitcoin".

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.jippiApp.jippi.prod&pcampaignid=web_share    

Buying Bitcoin: So now you know about Bitcoin, but how can you buy some? While there are many crypto exchanges that offer BTC, this bitcoin-only service offers a more robust experience in regards to BTC and the purchase of it.  

Swan: While Swan allows you to buy BTC outright or via recurring buy (DCA), it has some additional interesting features and offerings as well. Their learn section allows you to further educate yourself on various aspects of bitcoin and perspectives on it, and they even offer a Bitcoin IRA (either Traditional or Roth) for those interested in such a service. The caveat to the IRA is that you'll be entrusting them with your BTC instead of having full custody and responsibility of it yourself.

Use my referral link and get $10 of BTC: https://www.swanbitcoin.com/MF_MOON    

Cash-Back: The next category I'll be covering is cash-back options, be they via spending with a certain card or using apps/extensions to earn sats on your purchases. Because if you're going to spend money anyways, why not try to get some of that money back in sats for your stack?  

Satsback: This browser extension works pretty similar to other cash-back extensions if you've ever tried them: if you're on a site which the extension offers cash-back on, a pop-up to activate it will appear. Make sure to have adblockers and (possibly) your VPN disabled before activating to ensure you get your reward (I suggest you do this for any similar extensions mentioned below as well).

https://satsback.com/register/k524KP0olqLX19Ov  

Fold Debit Card: Fold has several options that allow you to earn sats, one of which is the option to buy gift cards to popular retailers like Amazon, Google Play, Home Depot, Bass Pro Shop, AirBnB and more and earn sats back on the purchase. You can earn even more sats back by paying for these gift cards with their debit card, which needs to be pre-loaded to use, but using another card will still earn you sats, albeit at a lower rate. If you do have their debit card and opt for their premium service, Fold+, you can also earn 1.5% back on all purchases made with said card. Fold+ even offers you cash back on paying bills with the account and routing numbers they provide, though you need to hit certain spending thresholds in the prior month to be eligible for this feature. The app also offers a daily spin to earn small amounts of sats, with higher amounts including a whole Bitcoin locked behind the premium membership. Depending on your average spending and bills, this could be worth it though.

https://use.foldapp.com/r/3RHW4FUJ  

CoinMiles: CoinMiles is like SatsBack in the sense that it lets you earn cash-back in bitcoin via online retailers within their app (similar to Lolli below) with the added feature of cash-back in sats on the purchase of gift cards as well, similar to Fold.

Using my referral code will earn us both 5000 sats. https://coinmiles.onelink.me/90Pp/96f2tati  

Gemini Credit Card: Crypto exchange Gemini offers a credit card that offers some pretty nice rewards for using it, which has become my go-to method of spending at this point. Allowing you to choose from every crypto asset they offer for your cash-back rewards, you can earn in more than just Bitcoin with this card. The rewards rates are as follows: 4% back on gas at the pump and EV charging, 3% back on dining, 2% back on groceries, and 1% back on everything else. They also have "Merchant Reward Offers" in which they offer a higher rate in cash back on top of the default rate for the category the merchant falls under, I've gotten a total of 8% back at a local brewery using this as it automatically applies if you use the card at said locations. Rewards are issued and credited to your Gemini accounts instantly upon making said purchase. The one issue I take with the exchange is that without lightning integration, BTC withdrawal fees can get steep. As a result, I opt to earn in another asset with lower withdrawal fees and swap said asset for BTC via an external swapping service.

If you choose to purchase assets directly via the exchange as well, using my referral link can earn you referral rewards that scale with how much crypto you purchase with them: https://www.gemini.com/share/wwm6w8a3e  

Lolli: Boasting both an app and a browser extension, Lolli offers not only cash-back similar to SatsBack, but also card boosts, which reward you for paying with a linked credit or debit card in stores they offer. Simply activate the boost before paying with your linked card to earn cash-back in sats, or when shopping online, activate cash back via a pop-up from the browser extension or clicking the retailer within the app to be directed to their site. Similar to Fold, the app features a daily way to earn small amounts of sats.

https://lolli.com/share/T2r2NYSr7A  

Bitcoin Company Rewards: Another app that allows you to buy gift cards and earn sats back on the purchase, this one has the standout option of offering Visa gift cards within the US to earn a small amount of sats back on, among many other card offerings.

Use my referral code to earn 1000 sats to start. Referral Code: O30WN3 https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.tbtc_app&pcampaignid=web_share    

Social Media: These next two are, in my opinion, the future of social media, and you can earn on them too!   Stacker News: Reddit meets Hacker News on this site, which encourages quality content through the implementation of the lightning network and satoshis. You don't have to be signed up to browse and read content on here, but you should be, and you should use my referral link to do so!

https://stacker.news/r/MF_MOON  

Nostr: This one can be a little tougher to describe, but I'll do my best. Nostr is a social media platform that operates on an open-source protocol that supports of variety of applications or "clients" utilizing a unique public and private key pair. Connections can be maintained across clients, which are often made to emulate the more well-known social media services out there. It can be daunting to get into at first, and requires some involvement as there are no built-in algorithms (though devs are starting to provide ways to implement some for discoverability) but it boasts a great community. Users can "zap" each other sats for content they like, and it's integrated with a number of other services at this point including Fountain and Wavlake (see below).

Feel free to follow me on there: https://njump.me/nprofile1qqsglhkx0ey8pdac9ne4w9m4tzglpv2tkl8tvuyc9dzgyrgj07lk42ccwtvy9    

Music & Podcasts: Want to earn sats for offering up your ears while doing other things? With these apps, you can enjoy your favorite podcasts and discover new music to earn sats as you listen.   Wavlake: While this app allows you to listen to promoted songs to earn a few sats each day, it also offers you the ability to earn sats on your own music and podcasts that you upload to the service. If people listen to your content via the service and like it, they can send you sats, along with feedback and other comments. There is a flat fee of 10% of all earnings for creators, but it's another way to get your content some exposure and possible earn some sats along the way!

https://wavlake.com/    

Cloud Mining: The next section I'll be covering is a bit of a dicey topic as some consider it to be scam. While I agree that paying for cloud mining is absolutely a scam, the services I'll be mentioning here offer free options that offer low earnings but only require a daily check in that I do all at once. While I can't tell you how to spend your money, I HIGHLY suggest you avoid spending any money on higher mining rates and spend that money on BTC directly instead.   Bitcoin Mining (Crypto Miner): This one offers you 2 free "mining contracts": 1 that you can claim every 8 hours, and another that serves as a daily check-in reward for checking in consistently, as rewards increase the longer your check-in streak is. Claiming contracts involves simply tapping the corresponding claim button, so I usually claim the 8 hour contract 2 times a day and the daily one when I go to make the 2nd 8 hour claim. Your free earning rate can be increased by watching ads for a temporary boost if you so desire as well.

You can get an extra 10% in earnings using my referral link. https://cloudminecrypto.com/?invite_code=R0yMgkOEmEajYvD6 or download the app and add my invite code R0yMgkOEmEajYvD6 directly.  

Bitcoin Mining: This one is pretty similar to the previous one, but the free 8 hour mining option can only be activated once per day even if it's finished, unlike the other one. Similar to the prior app, you can watch ads to boost mining rate if you so desire. A nice feature of this one is that it integrates popular lighting wallets including Speed, ZBD and Muun for more seamless withdrawals.

My invitation code:5UHLF Appstore: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/id6503180820 Google play: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=bitcoin.minning.com  

Ember: While this started off as a regular mining app on which you check in once a day, they've changed their model up a bit recently: you now earn "bonus sats" which must be gambled in games, and the sats earned from said games are then withdrawable. Essentially, you have to convert your earnings via a gambling game of some sort to make them eligible for withdrawal, with the risk of losing them along the way. However, this one earns the most in this category by far, especially if you have a network of friends to mine with as this affords you increased earning rates.

Referral Code: MNGCC33WRON https://emberfund.onelink.me/ljTI/l4g18zii?mining_referrer_id=MNGCC33WRON  

Games: Here we have games that offer BTC as rewards for paying in small amounts. While they won't earn you a ton, they're nice little time-killers to earn you sats on the side.  

ZBD: While technically a lightning wallet, the following app are powered by ZBD wallet, so you'll want to install this to claim your earnings from them. ZBD offers a variety of ways to earn should you choose to dabble in them, from completing surveys to watching videos to trying out games that allow you to earn from play time. The options I personally opt for are their daily poll and playing the next game listed below, as it allows you to earn without a "time-gated" mechanic: if you build up your game to a certain point and will allow you to earn more rapidly than any others I've tried. But see what games they offer and if you find them fun, go for it!

Referral Code: PEXE52 https://zbd.link/hcHi/invite?af_sub1=PEXE52  

Bitcoin Miner: Being an idle game, this one has a slow start but with a little dedication, can become one of the quickest and most consistent earners in this category. The daily withdrawal limit is unfortunately 330 sats, but when you're maxed out in the current state of the game, you can earn this within 3.5 resets, each of which takes me under minutes to max out with the right strategy and which can be done once every 30 minutes. A one-time purchase of $11.99 will remove all ads, which in my opinion is worth it as you can earn $10/mo in BTC with this game. Using my referral code will net you some of the premium in-game currency to get you started off nicely.

Referral Code: 8H44HB Google Play: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.fumbgames.bitcoinminor&pcampaignid=web_share Apple App Store: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/bitcoin-miner-idle-tycoon/id1413770650  

THNDR Games: THNDR is a developer that offers a few different games you can play to earn tickets in timed drawings to earn sats, and with your tickets across their games pooling up in a single grand total for the prize drawing when the time comes. I personally find their game "Bitcoin Bay" (a bubble popping game) to be the one that strikes the best balance of fun and earning potential, so its the only one I keep on my phone (I don't want to be playing games on my phone much in my day as it is) but it's really a matter of personal preference which game of theirs you want to play. A nice feature here is that they integrate with lightning wallets including ZBD, Speed, and Strike among others.

https://bitcoinbay.thndr.games/r/tdhP  

Bling: Bling is a developer that makes a number of "match" games a la Candy Crush that allow you to earn in BTC and some of which offer earnings in other crytpo assets as well. I personally play their game "Sweet Bitcoin" as I find it to be the most visually appealing, but they all appear to earn at the same rate in my experience. The on caveat to these games is that it has an "energy" system similar to Candy Crush which allows you to play a limited number of games as a time-gating mechanism until you "recharge" plays. For this reason, if this is your preferred type of game, you may want to download more than one of their offerings to be able to earn more in less time. Their games offer withdrawals that integrate CoinBase, Lightning options ZBD and Strike, and PayPal (but only in USD for this option).

https://bln.gg/1NC-CQX-JDK  

Earn While You Browse: This last one is an extension on your browser that allows you to earn sats as you browse the web.

Slice: This browser extension adds small ads to sies you visit as you browse, paying you for the respective views. They also offer the option to change your new tab page & default browser for additional earnings, as well as a desktop app to display ads in the bottom right of your screen for even more opportunities to earn. The only downside to this is that your VPN must be turned off, and earnings are made in "slices" which must then be converted to sats.

https://addslice.com/?crew=FjVuNqgg    

And there you have it folks, every single method I use to accumulate sats/BTC all in one quick read for your convenience. Given that I've recently also joined the iOS eco-system, I intend to explore that side of earning apps as well, so let me know if any of you want me to share what I find after I spend some time with it, or if you recommend any apps I should check out. I also have methods of earning other coins in passive or semi-passive ways that I then convert into BTC and am happy to share if interest is expressed, or even ways I earn USD in such ways. Feel free to follow me on Nostr (link mentioned above) and to share the ways you earn sats on the side that I may have missed. Stay humble and keep stacking!

@ d360efec:14907b5f

ภาพรวม BTCUSDT (OKX):

Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) แนวโน้ม Day ยังเป็นขาลง , 4H Sideway Down, 15m Sideways Down

วิเคราะห์ทีละ Timeframe:

(1) TF Day (รายวัน):

• แนวโน้ม: ขาลง (Downtrend)
• SMC:
  • Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL)
  • Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
  • Liquidity:
    • มี Sellside Liquidity (SSL) ใต้ Lows
    • มี Buyside Liquidity (BSL) เหนือ Highs
• ICT:
  • Order Block: ราคา Sideway ใกล้ๆ Order Block ขาลง
• EMA:
  • ราคาอยู่ใต้ EMA 50/200
• Money Flow (LuxAlgo):
  • แดง
• Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):
  • แดง/ไม่มีสัญญาณ
• Chart Patterns: None
• Volume Profile:
• แนวรับ: Low ล่าสุด
• แนวต้าน: EMA 50/200, Order Block
• สรุป: แนวโน้มขาลง

(2) TF4H (4 ชั่วโมง):

• แนวโน้ม: ขาลง (Downtrend)
• SMC:
  • Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL)
  • Break of Structure (BOS)
  • Liquidity:
    • มี SSL
    • มี BSL
• ICT: * Order Block: ราคา Sideway ใกล้ๆ Order Block ขาลง
• EMA:
  • ราคาอยู่ใต้ EMA 50/200
• Money Flow (LuxAlgo):
  • แดง
• Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):
  • แดง/ไม่มีสัญญาณ
• Chart Patterns: None
• Volume Profile:
• แนวรับ: Low
• แนวต้าน: EMA 50/200, Order Block
• สรุป: แนวโน้มขาลง

(3) TF15 (15 นาที):

• แนวโน้ม: Sideways Down
• SMC:
  • Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL) เริ่ม Sideways
  • Break of Structure (BOS)
  • Liquidity:
• ICT: * Order Block ราคา Sideways ใกล้ๆ Order Block
• EMA:
  • EMA 50/200 เป็นแนวต้าน
• Money Flow (LuxAlgo):
  • แดง/เขียว สลับกัน
• Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):
  • แดง/ไม่มีสัญญาณ
• Chart Patterns: None
• Volume Profile:
  • Volume ค่อนข้างสูง
• แนวรับ: Low
• แนวต้าน: EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block
• สรุป: แนวโน้ม Sideways Down

สรุปภาพรวมและกลยุทธ์ (BTCUSDT):

• แนวโน้มหลัก (Day): ขาลง
• แนวโน้มรอง (4H): ขาลง
• แนวโน้มระยะสั้น (15m): Sideways Down
• Liquidity: มี SSL
• Money Flow: ลบ
• Trend Strength: Day/4H/15m ขาลง
• Chart Patterns: ไม่มี
• กลยุทธ์:
  1. Wait & See (ดีที่สุด): รอ
  2. Short (เสี่ยง): ถ้าไม่ Breakout EMA/แนวต้าน
  3. ไม่แนะนำให้ Buy

Day Trade & การเทรดรายวัน:

• Day Trade (TF15):

  • Short Bias: Short เมื่อเด้ง (EMA, Order Block)
  • Stop Loss: เหนือแนวต้าน
  • Take Profit: แนวรับ
  • ไม่ Long

• Swing Trade (TF4H):

  • Short Bias: Short เมื่อไม่ผ่าน EMA/Order Block
  • Stop Loss: เหนือแนวต้าน
  • Take Profit: แนวรับ
  • ไม่ Long

สิ่งที่ต้องระวัง:

• SSL: ราคาอาจถูกลากลงไป
• False Breakouts: ระวัง
• Volatility: สูง

Setup Day Trade แบบ SMC (ตัวอย่าง - Bearish):

1. Order Block: หา Bearish Order Block ใน TF15
2. Pullback: รอ Pullback ไปทดสอบ
3. Bearish Entry:
   • Rejection: รอ Price Action ปฏิเสธ
   • Break of Structure: รอ Break โครงสร้างย่อย
   • Money Flow: แดง
4. Stop Loss: เหนือ Order Block
5. Take Profit: แนวรับ

คำแนะนำ:

• แนวโน้มทั้งหมดเป็นลบ
• Money Flow เป็นลบ
• Trend Strength เป็นลบ
• ไม่แนะนำให้ Buy
• Wait & See หรือ Short (ถ้ามีประสบการณ์)
• บริหารความเสี่ยง!

คำแนะนำสุดท้าย: สถานการณ์โดยรวมของ BTCUSDT อยู่ในสภาวะขาลงและมีความเสี่ยงสูง แนะนำอย่างยิ่งให้ใช้กลยุทธ์ "Wait & See" (รอดูสถานการณ์) การ Short (ขาย) เป็นการเทรดที่มีความน่าจะเป็นสูงกว่าในขณะนี้ แต่เหมาะสำหรับนักเทรดที่มีประสบการณ์และมีการบริหารความเสี่ยงที่เข้มงวดเท่านั้น ไม่แนะนำให้ Buy (ซื้อ) ในเวลานี้

Disclaimer: การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัว ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุน ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบ

@ 6260f29f:2ee2fcd4

@ cd8b1353:9e39b063

When you work in the interior design field, you’re mainly focused on aesthetics. After all, it’s your job to furnish and decorate your clients’ spaces. But when you’re hired to revamp a facility that’s open to the public, you should consider more than just appearance. You should also consider accessibility and take a better approach to ADA-compliant design.

Here’s why…

Why Accessibility Should Be a Priority for Interior Design

Ever since the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) went into effect in 1990, it has had a significant impact on the way buildings in the United States are designed. Under Title III, the ADA requires all public accommodations to provide equal access to people with disabilities. Ultimately, it’s a law that business owners should avoid breaking if they don’t want to face financial consequences.

So, it makes sense for you as an interior designer to have a firm grasp of ADA-compliant design. When you’re familiar with the 2010 ADA Standards for Accessible Design, you know what features are necessary for compliance. That way, as you update a client’s facility, you can also help them avoid potential fines and lawsuits.

But that’s not the only reason you should prioritize accessibility.

The fact is that ADA-compliant design is a means of removing barriers and providing access to all individuals—and it’s not going anywhere. Although it can be challenging, it’s well worth keeping accessibility top of mind and coming up with creative solutions to improve a given space. In doing so, you can give your clients the chance to serve customers with disabilities better. Plus, you can stay ahead of the curve and demonstrate your expertise in thoughtful design that benefits everyone.

5 Tips for Applying ADA-Compliant Design Principles

For every project that involves modifying a public space, you want to make sure the result is not only attractive but also functional and safe. Applying ADA-compliant design principles that allow for equitable use and minimal physical effort can go a long way. To help you out, we provided some tips below on putting these principles into practice.

1. Be Mindful of Clearance under Desks and Tables

Adequate clearance is crucial in ADA-compliant design. That’s why you should keep ths in mind when sourcing new desks and tables for a client’s facility. These areas should have enough space underneath to fit wheelchairs comfortably without the top surface being too high. Otherwise, people with disabilities who use mobility aids will have limited access.

Per the ADA, tables must meet the following requirements:

• They should be between 28 and 34 inches high.
• There should be at least 27 inches of clearance between the floor and the bottom of the table.
• Knee clearance should extend at least 19 inches under the table.

Of course, plenty of products on the market fit these dimensions. Additionally, adjustable desks are becoming more popular. So, it’s important to determine each client’s needs and choose the best option for them, their employees, and their customers.

2. Aim for Hardware and Fixtures That Are Easy to Use

Hardware and fixtures tend to go overlooked in public spaces. But when they’re poorly designed, they can prevent those with disabilities from using them. So, if you’re tasked with updating a client’s space, aim for easy-to-use options whenever possible.

Here are a few examples:

Light switches – Although flip switches are acceptable, push-plate types are usually the way to go because they’re easier to use.

• Doorknobs – Knobs and handles that require wrist-twisting aren’t compliant. So, it’s best to opt for U-shaped pulls and lever-shaped handles.
• Faucets – Faucets should be operated with no more than 5 pounds of force. There are plenty of options that meet this requirement, including touchless, lever, and cross handle.
• Cabinet & drawer hardware – U-shaped pulls are an excellent choice for cabinets and drawers, but levers and push-type mechanisms may also be used.

3. Make Signage Part of the Overall Flow

Signage is an essential part of ADA-compliant design. It allows everyone, including people with visual impairments, to get the information they need easily. So, when you’re revamping a client’s space, don’t forget to update their displays as well.

Certain types of signage must meet ADA sign specifications, such as those identifying permanent rooms and common areas. But the good news is there’s a lot of flexibility in terms of how they look.In fact, you can and should make signage part of the overall flow by sourcing custom ADA signs compliant that have colors, textures, shapes, and fonts that fit the space where they’ll be installed.

4. Choose Smooth, Non-Trip Floor Surfaces

Whether you’re upgrading an existing building or designing a new one from scratch, it’s vital that you choose the right flooring. A truly accessible space makes it easy for those who use wheelchairs and other mobility aids to move around freely. Smooth, non-trip floor surfaces such as wood, laminate, and vinyl are best.

Some additional tips are as follows:

• In cases where carpet must be used, opt for a low-pile option that’s easy to move over.
• Avoid soft floor surfaces such as cork or linoleum, which wheelchairs can scratch.
• Don’t put fringed or plush area rugs in high-traffic spaces, as individuals may trip over them.

5. Opt for Soft, Low-Glare Lighting

Finally, when deciding how to illuminate a client’s space, go with a soft, low-glare option whenever possible. Soft lighting is more comfortable for those with low vision. Plus, reducing glare from lights helps individuals see more easily.

The ADA doesn’t outline specific requirements for lighting beyond the placement of fixtures. However, there are some ways you can improve the lighting in a client’s space. Introducing ground track LED lighting along hallways is a popular choice. The same goes for installing adjustable lighting that can be made brighter or dimmer as needed.

Takeaway

Nowadays, accessibility is something you can’t afford to overlook when working on facilities that are open to the public. So, when you’re hired to help design or remodel a client’s space, make sure to apply ADA-compliant design principles everywhere you can. It’s well worth the effort, and your client will thank you for it!

@ 54609048:8e22ba03

The recent $1.4 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) agreement between the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and El Salvador marks a significant turning point in the nation's economic and monetary policy. The IMF’s $1.4 billion “lifeline” is a sly Trojan horse, gutting El Salvador’s sovereignty and kneecapping its 2021 Bitcoin law— which represented a bold step toward monetary freedom and economic self-determination— all to prop up the same economic mess it pretends to fix. Brilliant, right?

The IMF’s Colonialist Agenda: A Historical Precedent

In 2021, El Salvador made history by adopting Bitcoin as legal tender, positioning itself at the forefront of financial innovation and offering its citizens an alternative to the U.S. dollar. This move was a bold step toward monetary independence and as a pathway toward individual financial sovereignty by reducing remittance costs for Salvadorans and bypassing the predatory international banking system. By making Bitcoin legal tender, El Salvador was taking steps to free itself from financial colonialism.

The IMF’s response to El Salvador’s Bitcoin law was predictably hostile from day one. The institution repeatedly warned of the “risks” associated with Bitcoin, framing it as a threat to financial stability rather than a tool for economic empowerment. Hypocrisy drips from every word—the IMF’s own debt traps and inflationary schemes have fueled the chaos it now “rescues” El Salvador from. The Bretton Woods institution has long been the enforcer of the global financial elite, ensuring that nations remain shackled to the U.S. dollar-dominated system. Through predatory loans and stringent conditions, the IMF perpetuates economic subjugation. Now, facing pressure from these same institutions, El Salvador finds itself caught in the classic IMF trap: accepting loans with strings attached that further cement dependency.

This aid package isn't a solution to El Salvador's problems; it's leverage to force compliance with the global banking cartel's agenda. Under the IMF agreement, El Salvador has been compelled to amend its Bitcoin law, revoking Bitcoin's status as legal tender and making its acceptance by businesses voluntary. Additionally, tax obligations must now be settled exclusively in U.S. dollars. This gut-wrenching retreat from its bold Bitcoin rebellion represents a diabolical masterpiece of oppression—stripping citizens of financial freedom and forcing them to forever bow before the fiat gods.

**Why the IMF Must Destroy Bitcoin’s Medium of Exchange Use Case ** To understand why the IMF is so determined to undermine Bitcoin’s role as a medium of exchange in El Salvador, it’s important to revisit the fundamental nature of money. The widely cited “three functions” of money—medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account—are often misunderstood. These are not rigid definitions, but empirical observations of how money functions in practice.

Money is, first and foremost, the generally accepted medium of exchange. The other functions tend to follow, but they are not exclusive to money. For example, gold can serve as a store of value but is no longer a commonly accepted medium of exchange, and other commodities can also act as units of account, but neither is money unless it is widely accepted as a medium of exchange. Bitcoin’s rise as a store of value (akin to “digital gold”) is not as threatening to the fiat system as its potential to function as a widely accepted medium of exchange. A strong store of value can exist within a system that is still dominated by fiat currencies.

If Bitcoin were to become a dominant medium of exchange, it would directly challenge the monopoly of central banks and the control that institutions like the IMF exert over global financial systems. That is why the IMF’s primary goal in El Salvador is not necessarily to stop Bitcoin’s adoption altogether but rather to strip Bitcoin of its medium of exchange function, thus effectively relegating Bitcoin to a speculative asset or store of value.

Furthermore, this Bitcoin experiment was the first real-world test of Bitcoin as a medium of exchange at the nation-state level. If it had succeeded, other countries—especially those in the Global South struggling with inflation, currency devaluation, and IMF-imposed austerity—might have followed suit. The IMF couldn't afford to let that happen. By neutralizing Bitcoin's role as money, it ensures that alternative financial systems do not gain traction outside the fiat-based global order. In other words, as long as Bitcoin can't be used freely as a medium of exchange, it cannot fulfill its role as money, and the fiat gods' grip on the global monetary system remains unchallenged—at least for now.

The $1.4 Billion Faustian Bargain

El Salvador’s decision to seek IMF funding is a reflection of the immense pressure it faces from global financial markets and institutions. The country’s high debt levels and weak external buffers are, in large part, a consequence of its integration into a global financial system that prioritizes short-term capital flows over long-term economic stability. By accepting the IMF’s terms, El Salvador has effectively traded its sovereignty for temporary financial relief.

What is even more surprising is that El Salvador had an alternative to this Faustian bargain: the issuance of Bitcoin bonds. While initially proposed as a way to finance Bitcoin City and geothermal Bitcoin mining infrastructure, the volcano bonds the country could have raised the $1.4 billion needed without sacrificing its monetary sovereignty. This represents a missed opportunity for El Salvador to bolster its financial independence, attract global capital, and solidify its position as a pioneer in the adoption of decentralized money.

Instead of falling back into the IMF’s debt trap—complete with austerity measures, restrictions on Bitcoin use, and financial surveillance—El Salvador could have embraced a Bitcoin-native financial strategy that aligned with its long-term vision of economic independence. So why didn't El Salvador go through with the Bitcoin bond issuance? I don't know, but if I were to speculate, I would say the answer likely lies in political and institutional inertia, coupled with external pressures from the IMF and its allied institutions, or worse. If El Salvador had raised capital through Bitcoin bonds, it would have sent shockwaves through the financial world, proving that a nation-state could operate independently of the IMF.

The Long-Term Consequences for El Salvador

While the IMF’s program may provide short-term relief, its long-term consequences are likely to be detrimental to the Salvadoran people. The emphasis on fiscal consolidation and debt reduction will inevitably lead to cuts in public spending, particularly in areas such as social services and infrastructure. These measures will disproportionately affect the most vulnerable segments of society, exacerbating inequality and undermining the country’s social fabric.

Moreover, the IMF’s focus on “strengthening governance and transparency” is a thinly veiled attempt to impose external control over El Salvador’s domestic policies. The requirement to enhance Anti-Money Laundering and Countering the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT) frameworks, while ostensibly aimed at combating illicit activities, will likely be used to surveil and restrict the financial activities of ordinary citizens. This represents a gross violation of individual rights and a further erosion of economic freedom.

Conclusion

The IMF's $1.4 billion arrangement with El Salvador represents not economic salvation but a calculated reassertion of control. By forcing El Salvador to retreat from its Bitcoin initiative, the IMF is protecting the very system that has kept developing nations financially subjugated for decades. For Salvadorans, this means their bold experiment in monetary sovereignty has been curtailed, not by market forces or technological limitations, but by the deliberate intervention of the guardians of the old financial order.

Those who believe in true financial freedom must recognize this for what it is: not assistance, but suppression; not aid, but control. The battle for monetary sovereignty continues, and despite this setback, Bitcoin's promise of financial liberation remains as vital as ever—not just for El Salvador, but for all those seeking escape from the oppressive machinery of central banking

@ 59cfee8f:7598a483

What is Crypto Mining? Before we dive into the trends and predictions, let's first define what crypto mining is. Cryptocurrency mining involves the use of powerful computers to solve complex mathematical problems and validate transactions on the blockchain. Miners compete to solve these problems and the first one to do so is rewarded with a certain amount of cryptocurrency.

Trend 1: Increased Focus on Renewable Energy One of the biggest trends in crypto mining is a shift towards renewable energy sources. As concerns about climate change continue to grow, many miners are looking for ways to reduce their carbon footprint and operate in a more sustainable manner. Solar and wind power are increasingly being used to power mining operations, and there are even projects underway to create completely renewable-powered mining farms.

Trend 2: The Rise of Decentralized Mining Pools Another trend that is gaining momentum in the crypto mining world is the emergence of decentralized mining pools. These pools are designed to be more transparent, fair, and resistant to manipulation than traditional centralized mining pools. By utilizing blockchain technology, these pools can offer greater security and reduce the risk of fraud.

Trend 3: Continued Growth of GPU Mining GPU mining has been around for several years now, but it continues to be an attractive option for miners due to its flexibility and cost-effectiveness. With the rise of new cryptocurrencies and the increased demand for computing power, GPU mining is expected to continue its growth trajectory in 2023.

Trend 4: Increased Focus on Security Security has always been a major concern in the crypto world, and this is especially true for mining operations. In 2023, we can expect to see a greater emphasis on security measures, such as multi-factor authentication, encryption, and biometric verification. Miners will need to be vigilant in order to protect their assets and prevent cyber attacks.

Trend 5: Emergence of New Mining Algorithms As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, we can expect to see the emergence of new mining algorithms. These algorithms will be designed to be more efficient, secure, and resistant to manipulation. This could lead to a shift away from traditional proof-of-work algorithms towards proof-of-stake or other innovative solutions.

Prediction 1: Increased Regulation As the cryptocurrency market continues to grow and gain mainstream acceptance, we can expect to see increased regulation from governments and financial institutions. This could have a significant impact on the mining industry, with stricter regulations and oversight leading to greater stability and legitimacy.

Prediction 2: Continued Price Volatility Cryptocurrency prices have always been volatile, and this is unlikely to change in 2023. While the overall trend may be upwards, there will still be significant fluctuations in price, driven by factors such as global economic conditions, regulatory changes, and investor sentiment.

Prediction 3: Greater Collaboration and Partnership As the cryptocurrency market becomes more mature, we can expect to see greater collaboration and partnership between mining companies, cryptocurrency exchanges, and other players in the ecosystem. This could lead to new business models and innovative solutions for miners and investors alike.

Prediction 4: Increased Adoption of Cryptocurrencies As more and more businesses and individuals begin to accept cryptocurrencies as a form of payment, we can expect to see increased adoption of these digital assets. This could lead to greater demand for mining equipment and services, as well as new opportunities for miners to earn rewards and profits.

Prediction 5: Evolution of Mining Hardware The evolution of mining hardware is a trend that has been ongoing since the early days of Bitcoin mining. As the demand for computing power continues to grow, we can expect to see new and improved mining hardware emerge in 2023. This could include more powerful GPUs, ASICs, and other specialized equipment designed specifically for mining.

Conclusion In conclusion, the future of crypto mining in 2025 and beyond looks promising, with numerous trends and predictions pointing towards continued growth and innovation. As the industry evolves and matures, miners will need to adapt and embrace new technologies and strategies in order to stay competitive and profitable. With the right tools and knowledge, however, there is no doubt that crypto mining will continue to be a valuable and exciting part of the cryptocurrency ecosystem for many years to come.

@ c43d6de3:a6583169

Every Sunday, my brother Alex and I would catch the scent of pie creeping from the oven as we chased Ronnie and Ellis around my grandma’s house.

We were good at keeping traditions. Though we eventually outgrew the days of stampeding through Grandma’s living room, her house remained our gathering place. The four of us—Alex, Ronnie, Ellis, and I—would settle on the back porch, the aroma of freshly baked pie still wafting through the air. We’d trade stories about our first crushes, our first kisses, and our dreams for the future, laughing in the warmth of a home that felt eternal.

Alex was the first to leave for college. He never really came back. Four years away, then a big-time job across the country.

Ronnie and Ellis—the twins—left a few years later. They never truly returned, either. Not the same, at least.

A cruel trick of biology had been lurking in the depths of their genes, lying in wait for the right moment to surface. In college, Ronnie was consumed by schizophrenia, while Ellis battled years of depression. They came back home, but they weren’t the same boys I had grown up with. The ones I had once sprinted through hallways with, laughing until our sides hurt, were lost to something none of us could chase down or outrun.

By the time I graduated, the scent of pie had vanished forever. My grandmother’s grave was my last stop before I, too, left town.

I never went back.

People leave in different ways. Some move to another city or another country. Some lose themselves to illness, slipping through our fingers even as they sit beside us. Some find their final resting place. All dearly departed.

What makes their departure so bittersweet is the time we once had with them—the memories we carry, the laughter that still echoes in the corners of our hearts.

That’s life. That’s what makes it worth it.

@ d360efec:14907b5f

Overall Assessment:

Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX remains highly volatile, and the overall trend is still uncertain. While the long-term trend (Daily chart) technically has been an uptrend, it has significantly weakened. The 4-hour and 15-minute charts are now in downtrends. This analysis incorporates:

• SMC (Smart Money Concepts): Market structure, Break of Structure, Change of Character, Order Blocks, Liquidity.
• ICT (Inner Circle Trader Concepts): Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Mitigation, Breaker Blocks, Liquidity Pools/Runs.
• Buyside & Sellside Liquidity: Identifying likely areas of Smart Money buying/selling.
• Money Flow (LuxAlgo): Capital inflows/outflows.
• EMA (Exponential Moving Average): 50 (yellow) and 200 (white).
• Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha): Trend identification and strength, including the "cloud" and buy/sell signals.
• Chart Patterns: Identification of significant chart patterns.
• Volume Profile: (Used as needed).

Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:

(1) TF Day (Daily):

• Trend: Downtrend
• SMC:
  • Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL)
  • BOS to the downside.
  • Liquidity:
    • Sellside Liquidity (SSL): Significant SSL rests below previous lows.
    • Buyside Liquidity (BSL): BSL is present above recent highs.
• ICT:
  • Order Block: The price failed to break above a bearish Order Block.
• EMA:
  • Price is below both the 50-period and 200-period EMAs (bearish).
• Money Flow (LuxAlgo):
  • Red, selling pressure
• Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):
  • Red cloud, Downtrend, No signals.
• Chart Patterns: None
• Volume Profile:
• Support: Recent lows.
• Resistance: EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block.
• Summary: Downtrend

(2) TF4H (4-Hour):

• Trend: Downtrend.
• SMC:
  • Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
  • BOS to the downside.
  • Liquidity:
    • SSL: Below previous lows.
    • BSL: Above previous highs.
• ICT:
  • Order Block: The price failed to break above a bearish Order Block.
• EMA:
  • Price is below both the 50-period and 200-period EMAs (bearish).
• Money Flow (LuxAlgo):
  • Red, selling pressure.
• Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):
  • Red cloud, Downtrend, No signals.
• Chart Patterns: None
• Volume Profile:
• Support: Recent lows.
• Resistance: EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block.
• Summary: Downtrend

(3) TF15 (15-Minute):

• Trend: Sideways Down
• SMC:
  • Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) - but showing signs of sideways movement.
  • BOS to the downside.
• ICT: * Order Block The price is ranging near a bearish Order Block.
• EMA:
  • The 50-period and 200-period EMAs are acting as resistance.
• Money Flow (LuxAlgo):
  • Red
• Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):
  • Red/No signals
• Chart Patterns: None
• Volume Profile
• Relatively High Volume
• Support: Recent lows.
• Resistance: EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block.
• Summary: Sideways Down

Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):

• Primary Trend (Day): Downtrend
• Secondary Trend (4H): Downtrend
• Short-Term Trend (15m): Sideways Down
• Liquidity: SSL below on all timeframes.
• Money Flow: Negative on all timeframes.
• Trend Strength: Bearish on Day, 4H, and 15m.

• Chart Patterns: None

• Strategies:

  1. Wait & See (Best Option): The bearish momentum and lack of clear bullish reversals make waiting for confirmation the most prudent approach.
  2. Short (High Risk): This aligns with the downtrends on all timeframes.
     • Entry: Look for short entries on rallies to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks, previous support turned resistance).
     • Stop Loss: Above recent highs or key resistance.
     • Target: Recent lows, then SSL zones.
  3. Buy (Extremely High Risk - NOT Recommended): Do not buy unless there are extremely strong and consistent bullish reversal signals across all timeframes.

Day Trading & Swing Trading:

• Day Trade (TF15 Focus):

  • Bias: Short.
  • Entry: Look for bearish setups (rejections of resistance, bearish candlestick patterns) near EMAs or Order Blocks.
  • Stop Loss: Tight, above resistance.
  • Take Profit: Recent lows.
  • Avoid: Longs.

• Swing Trade (TF4H Focus):

  • Bias: Short.
  • Entry: Look for bearish setups (rejections of resistance, bearish candlestick patterns) near EMAs or Order Blocks.
  • Stop Loss: Above resistance.
  • Take Profit: Next major support levels (SSL zones).
  • Avoid: Longs.

Key Considerations & Warnings:

• Sellside Liquidity (SSL): High probability of price being drawn down to these levels.
• False Breakouts: Always a risk.
• Volatility: Expect high volatility.
• Conflicting Timeframes: While the long-term trend was bullish, the current price action and indicators are overwhelmingly bearish.
• Money Flow: Consistently negative across all timeframes.
• Trend Strength: Bearish across all timeframes.

SMC Day Trade Setup Example (Bearish - TF15):

1. Identify Bearish Order Block: Locate a bearish Order Block on the TF15 chart.
2. Wait for Pullback: Wait for the price to pull back up to test the Order Block (this might not always happen).
3. Bearish Entry:
   • Rejection: Look for price action to reject the Order Block (e.g., pin bar, engulfing pattern, other bearish patterns).
   • Break of Structure: Look for a break of a minor support level on a lower timeframe (1m/5m) after the Order Block test.
   • Money Flow: Confirm negative Money Flow (red).
4. Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the Order Block.
5. Take Profit: Target the next support level (e.g., recent lows).

Recommendations:

All trends are negative. Money flow is negative. Trend strength is negative. Buying is not recommended. Wait and see, or short (if experienced). Manage your risk! I've made the following very minor changes, maintaining the original meaning:

Changed 'Advice' to a more natural sounding 'Recommendations'. Used "if experienced" instead of "(if have experience)" This version maintains the original meaning while sounding more natural in English, particularly in a financial/trading context.

Final Recommendation: The overall situation for BTCUSDT is bearish and high-risk. The "Wait & See" approach is strongly recommended. Shorting is currently the higher-probability trade, but only for experienced traders with strict risk management. Buying is not recommended at this time.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and represents a personal opinion. It is not financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Investors should conduct their own research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.

@ 378562cd:a6fc6773

In the modern world, the pace of life has accelerated to an unnatural speed. We are bombarded with notifications, responsibilities, deadlines, and expectations from the moment we wake up. The noise never stops, and neither do we. But what if this relentless hustle is doing more harm than we realize?

We live in an age where stress is almost inescapable. The demands of work, finances, relationships, and societal pressures create a never-ending cycle of worry. And here’s the catch: stress is not just a feeling but a silent killer. It wreaks havoc on the body, deteriorating our health at an alarming rate. In fact, stress has been linked to heart disease, high blood pressure, weakened immune function, and even mental illnesses like anxiety and depression.

The Unseen Dangers of a Constantly Busy Mind

Imagine buying a brand-new truck and driving it everywhere at full throttle. There would be no breaks, oil changes, or maintenance—just 100% all the time. How long would that truck last before breaking down completely? Our brains and bodies work in the same way. We will wear out if we keep pushing ourselves at full speed without pause.

Chronic stress forces our bodies into a constant fight-or-flight mode, flooding us with cortisol and adrenaline. While these chemicals are helpful in moments of real danger, living in a prolonged state of stress weakens the body. The medical industry acknowledges the effects of stress on health, but the system profits from treatment, not prevention. There is too much money in keeping people sick to ever fully admit that stress and fear are at the root of most illnesses.

And make no mistake—fear is the fuel that keeps this machine running. News outlets thrive on fear, corporations exploit it to sell products, and even the healthcare industry benefits from keeping people in a perpetual state of anxiety. Fear is marketed like candy, handed out freely to anyone willing to consume it. But it’s poison disguised as information or 'news.'

Finding Peace: The Path to a Healthy Mind and Body

If stress is the disease, then peace is the cure. The antidote to a chaotic life is learning how to slow down, live in the moment, and let go of unnecessary worries. Here’s how we can start:

Eat Right – The food we consume directly impacts our mental and physical well-being. Eating a diet rich in whole foods, fresh vegetables, and unprocessed ingredients helps to keep the body strong and resilient. Junk food may provide momentary comfort, but it contributes to long-term health problems, adding even more stress to our lives.

Exercise Properly—Just like a truck needs regular lubrication to keep running smoothly, our bodies need movement to keep our joints flexible and our circulation strong. Movement doesn’t have to be intense; just a little here and there can make a huge difference. Walking, stretching, or even light activity can help maintain overall health and prevent stiffness and sluggishness.

Let Go of Fear – Fear controls us only if we allow it to. Recognize when fear is being used as a tool to manipulate your emotions. Ask yourself: Is this fear real, or is it being fed to me for someone else’s benefit? The Bible reminds us repeatedly to “fear not.” Living in fear only robs us of peace and joy.

Relax and Rest – The body and mind require rest to function properly. Taking time to unplug, pray, or simply be still can work wonders for overall well-being. True productivity comes from a well-rested mind, not one that is constantly overworked.

Stop Worrying About the Future – Worrying about what might happen tomorrow steals today’s peace. Jesus himself said, “Therefore do not worry about tomorrow, for tomorrow will worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own.” (Matthew 6:34). When we focus on the present and trust that God will handle the rest, we free ourselves from unnecessary burdens.

Conclusion

The greatest threat to our health is not some invisible disease; it is the relentless stress and fear that we allow to consume our minds. If we wish to live long, fulfilling lives, we must take control of our thoughts, nourish our bodies, and trust that life will unfold as it should. Stress and fear will always be there, but we have the power to choose peace.

Slow down. Breathe. Trust God. And most importantly—live your life.

@ cc2ce0d4:54be29f4

Testing article

@ 4857600b:30b502f4

In a revealing development that exposes the hypocrisy of government surveillance, multiple federal agencies including the CIA and FBI have filed lawsuits to keep Samourai Wallet's client list sealed during and after trial proceedings. This move strongly suggests that government agencies themselves were utilizing Samourai's privacy-focused services while simultaneously condemning similar privacy tools when used by ordinary citizens.

The situation bears striking parallels to other cases where government agencies have hidden behind "national security" claims, such as the Jeffrey Epstein case, highlighting a troubling double standard: while average citizens are expected to surrender their financial privacy through extensive reporting requirements and regulations, government agencies claim exemption from these same transparency standards they enforce on others.

This case exemplifies the fundamental conflict between individual liberty and state power, where government agencies appear to be using the very privacy tools they prosecute others for using. The irony is particularly stark given that money laundering for intelligence agencies is considered legal in our system, while private citizens seeking financial privacy face severe legal consequences - a clear demonstration of how the state creates different rules for itself versus the people it claims to serve.

Citations: [1] https://www.bugle.news/cia-fbi-dnc-rnc-all-sue-to-redact-samourais-client-list-from-trial/

@ ba3dd613:76dbcaa8

30WIN rapidamente se tornou um dos nomes mais comentados no mundo do entretenimento online. Projetada para oferecer uma combinação perfeita de jogos inovadores, experiência excepcional do usuário e atendimento ao cliente inigualável, a 30WIN promete entregar uma plataforma empolgante e envolvente para jogadores de todos os tipos.

Introdução à Plataforma 30WIN é uma plataforma de entretenimento online que se orgulha de sua simplicidade e acessibilidade. Criada com jogadores novatos e experientes em mente, a plataforma oferece uma interface fácil de navegar, garantindo uma experiência agradável desde a primeira visita.

Um dos destaques do 30WIN é o foco no desempenho. A plataforma funciona perfeitamente em uma ampla gama de dispositivos, garantindo que a jogabilidade seja sempre fluida e visualmente impressionante. Seja você usando um computador ou um dispositivo móvel, a 30WIN oferece uma experiência tranquila, com design responsivo que se adapta a diferentes tamanhos de tela sem comprometer a qualidade.

Outro aspecto importante do 30WIN é o compromisso com a segurança. A plataforma utiliza tecnologia de criptografia de ponta para proteger as informações dos jogadores, garantindo um ambiente seguro para todos.

Introdução aos Jogos A seleção de jogos no 30WIN foi feita para oferecer algo para todos os tipos de jogadores. Se você gosta de jogos rápidos e cheios de ação ou de jogos mais relaxantes e estratégicos, a 30WIN tem uma vasta coleção de jogos que atenderá suas preferências.

Desde slots de vídeo visualmente deslumbrantes até jogos de mesa emocionantes, a 30WIN reúne o melhor do entretenimento online em um só lugar. A plataforma atualiza regularmente sua biblioteca de jogos para incluir novos títulos, garantindo que sempre haja algo novo e empolgante para os jogadores explorarem.

Cada jogo na 30WIN é desenvolvido por criadores de jogos de renome, garantindo gráficos de alta qualidade e jogabilidade envolvente. A plataforma foi projetada para oferecer uma variedade de temas e recursos, para que nenhuma experiência de jogo seja igual à outra.

Experiência do Jogador A experiência do jogador na 30WIN é projetada para ser simples e agradável. O registro é rápido, e uma vez que você está dentro, perceberá que a plataforma é incrivelmente fácil de usar. Desde navegar pelos jogos até fazer depósitos, cada ação é simples e intuitiva.

O atendimento ao cliente também é um grande foco na 30WIN. Com várias maneiras de entrar em contato, os jogadores podem contar com a equipe da plataforma para ajudar com qualquer problema ou dúvida. A equipe de suporte é amigável, ágil e sempre disposta a ajudar.

Além disso, a 30WIN oferece promoções emocionantes e programas de fidelidade que tornam seu tempo na plataforma ainda mais recompensador. Ao interagir regularmente com a plataforma, os jogadores podem ganhar bônus e outras ofertas especiais, aumentando ainda mais a experiência geral.

Em resumo, a 30WIN é uma plataforma de destaque no setor de entretenimento online, oferecendo uma interface fácil de usar, uma grande variedade de jogos de alta qualidade e um foco total na satisfação do jogador. Seja você novo no mundo dos jogos online ou um veterano, a 30WIN oferece uma experiência que o manterá entretido por horas.

@ 6e0ea5d6:0327f353

"Malcolm Forbes recounts that a lady, wearing a faded cotton dress, and her husband, dressed in an old handmade suit, stepped off a train in Boston, USA, and timidly made their way to the office of the president of Harvard University. They had come from Palo Alto, California, and had not scheduled an appointment. The secretary, at a glance, thought that those two, looking like country bumpkins, had no business at Harvard.
— We want to speak with the president — the man said in a low voice.
— He will be busy all day — the secretary replied curtly.
— We will wait.
The secretary ignored them for hours, hoping the couple would finally give up and leave. But they stayed there, and the secretary, somewhat frustrated, decided to bother the president, although she hated doing that.
— If you speak with them for just a few minutes, maybe they will decide to go away — she said.
The president sighed in irritation but agreed. Someone of his importance did not have time to meet people like that, but he hated faded dresses and tattered suits in his office. With a stern face, he went to the couple.
— We had a son who studied at Harvard for a year — the woman said. — He loved Harvard and was very happy here, but a year ago he died in an accident, and we would like to erect a monument in his honor somewhere on campus.

— My lady — said the president rudely —, we cannot erect a statue for every person who studied at Harvard and died; if we did, this place would look like a cemetery.

— Oh, no — the lady quickly replied. — We do not want to erect a statue. We would like to donate a building to Harvard.

The president looked at the woman's faded dress and her husband's old suit and exclaimed:

— A building! Do you have even the faintest idea of how much a building costs? We have more than seven and a half million dollars' worth of buildings here at Harvard.

The lady was silent for a moment, then said to her husband:

— If that’s all it costs to found a university, why don’t we have our own?

The husband agreed.

The couple, Leland Stanford, stood up and left, leaving the president confused. Traveling back to Palo Alto, California, they established there Stanford University, the second-largest in the world, in honor of their son, a former Harvard student."

Text extracted from: "Mileumlivros - Stories that Teach Values."

Thank you for reading, my friend! If this message helped you in any way, consider leaving your glass “🥃” as a token of appreciation.

A toast to our family!

@ ba3dd613:76dbcaa8

BRBRBR emergiu como uma das principais plataformas de entretenimento online, conhecida por sua jogabilidade sem interrupções, suas ofertas diversificadas e seu compromisso em criar uma experiência inigualável para o jogador. A plataforma rapidamente conquistou reconhecimento por sua atenção aos detalhes e pela qualidade de seus serviços. Seja você um jogador experiente ou um novato, o BRBRBRpromete um mundo de diversão e emoção que o fará voltar sempre.

Introdução à Plataforma Desde o seu início, o BRBRBR tem se concentrado em oferecer uma experiência de entretenimento online de alta qualidade. A plataforma conta com uma interface amigável, que garante que até os usuários iniciantes consigam navegar com facilidade. O design clean e intuitivo torna simples para os jogadores encontrarem seus jogos favoritos, fazerem depósitos e explorarem todas as opções emocionantes disponíveis.

A plataforma BRBRBR foi criada para oferecer uma experiência excepcional em todos os dispositivos. Seja no computador, laptop ou smartphone, você pode desfrutar de uma jogabilidade suave e sem falhas. A plataforma também oferece gráficos em alta definição, que tornam a experiência geral ainda mais envolvente para os jogadores.

A segurança também é uma prioridade importante no BRBRBR. A plataforma utiliza a mais recente tecnologia de criptografia para proteger os dados dos jogadores, garantindo um ambiente seguro para todos que a acessam.

Introdução aos Jogos A seleção de jogos no BRBRBR foi feita para atender a uma ampla gama de preferências de jogadores. Com uma variedade abrangente de jogos, os jogadores podem desfrutar de tudo, desde slots de vídeo de ritmo acelerado até títulos mais estratégicos e baseados em habilidades. Cada jogo foi cuidadosamente selecionado para garantir qualidade e emoção.

Um dos principais destaques do BRBRBR é a coleção de slots inovadores, cada um com temas únicos, recursos bônus e oportunidades para grandes vitórias. Esses jogos são desenvolvidos por alguns dos mais respeitados criadores de jogos da indústria, garantindo gráficos de primeira linha e mecânicas de jogabilidade envolventes. Seja você fã de temas clássicos ou mais modernos, há algo para todos no BRBRBR.

Além dos slots de vídeo, o BRBRBR também oferece diversos jogos de mesa e outras opções emocionantes, garantindo que a plataforma tenha algo para todo tipo de jogador. Os jogadores podem explorar essas ofertas no seu próprio ritmo, sem pressa, e descobrir seus jogos favoritos.

Experiência do Jogador Quando se trata de experiência do jogador, o BRBRBR se destaca com seu foco em oferecer uma jornada tranquila e divertida. O processo de registro é rápido, e, uma vez dentro, você perceberá que tudo – desde navegar pelos jogos até acessar o suporte – é simples e fácil de usar.

O BRBRBR vai além para apoiar seus jogadores, oferecendo vários canais de atendimento para assistência. Seja para resolver dúvidas sobre sua conta, questões sobre um jogo ou suporte técnico, a equipe da plataforma está sempre pronta para ajudar.

Além disso, o BRBRBR oferece promoções e programas de recompensas variados, garantindo que os jogadores fiéis sejam sempre recompensados pelo seu engajamento. Esses programas oferecem oportunidades emocionantes de ganhar bônus e participar de eventos especiais, tornando a experiência do jogador ainda mais enriquecedora.

No geral, o BRBRBR oferece uma experiência de entretenimento online de primeira linha, combinando uma ampla variedade de jogos, uma plataforma fácil de usar e excelente suporte ao cliente. Seja você um novato ou um jogador experiente, o BRBRBR é o lugar certo para estar.

@ ba3dd613:76dbcaa8

No mundo em constante evolução do entretenimento online, 8888Kestá se estabelecendo como uma plataforma líder que oferece aos jogadores uma experiência abrangente e envolvente. Esta plataforma reúne diversas opções de entretenimento, projetadas para oferecer algo para todos, desde jogabilidade emocionante até uma experiência de usuário acolhedora. Seja você um jogador experiente ou um iniciante, 8888K visa proporcionar um ambiente imersivo onde a diversão e a empolgação estão no centro da experiência.

Introdução à Plataforma 8888K é uma plataforma de ponta que se destaca devido ao seu design centrado no usuário e à ampla gama de recursos que oferece. Desde o momento em que você entra no site, é recebido por uma interface moderna e elegante que torna a navegação tranquila. A plataforma foi cuidadosamente projetada para oferecer um ambiente acolhedor tanto para iniciantes quanto para jogadores experientes, com ferramentas de navegação intuitivas e opções de suporte de fácil acesso.

A plataforma utiliza tecnologia de última geração para garantir um desempenho suave em todos os dispositivos. Seja você acessando o 8888K no seu desktop ou dispositivo móvel, a experiência de jogo continua igualmente empolgante. Ele possui um design responsivo, o que significa que o conteúdo se adapta perfeitamente a diferentes tamanhos de tela, sem comprometer a qualidade.

O 8888K também entende a importância da segurança e, por isso, utiliza criptografia avançada para garantir que suas informações pessoais e financeiras estejam protegidas. A privacidade do usuário é uma prioridade e a plataforma implementa protocolos rigorosos para proteger os dados.

Introdução aos Jogos Um dos destaques do 8888K é a diversidade de jogos disponíveis. A plataforma conta com uma seleção impressionante que atende a todos os tipos de jogadores. Desde os slots clássicos e modernos até títulos inovadores, a variedade oferecida certamente agradará a uma ampla gama de preferências.

Os jogos disponíveis no 8888K são desenvolvidos por grandes criadores de conteúdo de jogos, garantindo gráficos de alta qualidade, efeitos sonoros imersivos e mecânicas de jogabilidade envolventes. Cada título é projetado para oferecer aos jogadores experiências únicas, com temas envolventes e recursos emocionantes para manter as coisas frescas e divertidas.

Entre as opções populares, o 8888K oferece vários slots temáticos que transportam os jogadores para diferentes mundos, além de jogos de mesa que oferecem uma profundidade estratégica. A plataforma atualiza continuamente sua biblioteca para incluir novos lançamentos, garantindo que os jogadores sempre tenham algo novo para esperar.

Experiência do Jogador A experiência do jogador no 8888K é projetada para ser agradável do início ao fim. O processo de registro é rápido e direto, e uma vez que os jogadores estão dentro, são recebidos por uma interface limpa e fácil de usar. Seja para relaxar com um jogo casual ou se aprofundar em algo mais desafiador, o 8888K oferece a flexibilidade para atender a diferentes humores e preferências.

A plataforma também se destaca no suporte ao cliente, oferecendo várias maneiras de obter assistência quando necessário. Seja por meio de chat ao vivo, e-mail ou outras opções de suporte, a equipe dedicada do 8888K está sempre pronta para ajudar.

Além disso, o 8888K oferece um programa de fidelidade recompensador, que reconhece e recompensa os jogadores por seu engajamento contínuo. Ao participar de diversas atividades, os jogadores podem ganhar bônus exclusivos, aprimorando ainda mais sua experiência na plataforma.

Com seus recursos inovadores, uma grande variedade de jogos e seu compromisso em oferecer uma experiência de usuário excepcional, o 8888K está pronto para se tornar um dos principais nomes do entretenimento online nos próximos anos.

@ 2e8970de:63345c7a

the silence before the storm

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/899535

@ a012dc82:6458a70d

In an unprecedented move within the blockchain industry, Bitfinity has embarked on a daring project to integrate the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) with the Bitcoin blockchain. This initiative is not just a technical enhancement but a strategic endeavor to redefine the capabilities of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) services. By leveraging the security and widespread adoption of Bitcoin with the versatility and smart contract capabilities of Ethereum, Bitfinity is poised to create a hybrid platform that could potentially transform the current DeFi landscape. This integration represents a significant leap forward in blockchain interoperability, a long-sought goal in the crypto community. It's a step towards a more interconnected and efficient blockchain ecosystem, where the strengths of individual blockchains can be harnessed in unison, leading to greater innovation and utility.

Table of Contents

• The Fusion of Bitcoin and Ethereum Technologies

  • Bridging Two Blockchain Giants

  • Technical Aspects and Innovations

• Funding and Support for the Project

  • Investment and Backing

• Potential Impacts and Benefits

  • Enhancing Bitcoin's Utility

  • Lower Costs and Faster Transactions

• Challenges and Community Response

  • Overcoming Skepticism

  • Embracing a Unified Vision

• Future Prospects and Developments

  • Beyond DeFi: Expanding Bitcoin's Horizons

  • The Evolving Blockchain Landscape

• Conclusion

• FAQs

The Fusion of Bitcoin and Ethereum Technologies

Bridging Two Blockchain Giants

The integration of Ethereum's EVM with Bitcoin by Bitfinity is a pioneering effort, symbolizing a major step towards the unification of two of the most prominent blockchain networks. This fusion is expected to break down the barriers that have traditionally existed between the Bitcoin and Ethereum communities, fostering a new era of collaboration and shared innovation. The initiative could potentially lead to the development of new DeFi applications that leverage the best of both worlds: the robust security and widespread acceptance of Bitcoin and the flexible, programmable nature of Ethereum's smart contract ecosystem. This integration is not just about technology; it's about bringing together diverse communities and ideologies under a common goal of advancing blockchain technology.

Technical Aspects and Innovations

On the technical front, Bitfinity's integration involves leveraging the Internet Computer (ICP), an advanced blockchain-based computing system created by the Dfinity Foundation. This system is unique in its consensus model, proof-of-useful-work, which aims to offer a more efficient and secure alternative to the traditional proof-of-work and proof-of-stake models. The integration will enable smart contracts on Ethereum to interact seamlessly with the Bitcoin blockchain, opening up new possibilities for complex financial instruments and services. This could include everything from more efficient cross-chain transactions to innovative lending and borrowing platforms that combine the liquidity of Bitcoin with the flexibility of Ethereum's smart contracts. The potential for creating a more inclusive and accessible financial system is immense, as this integration could lower barriers to entry for various financial services.

Funding and Support for the Project

Investment and Backing

The ambitious vision of Bitfinity has garnered significant financial support, with a $7 million funding round led by influential players in the blockchain investment space, such as Polychain Capital and ParaFi Capital. This substantial investment underscores the confidence these firms have in Bitfinity's project and its potential to disrupt the traditional DeFi space. The funding will be instrumental in developing the necessary infrastructure, ensuring robust security measures, and fostering a supportive ecosystem for developers and users alike. It also signals a growing interest and belief in the viability of blockchain interoperability as a key driver for the next wave of innovation in the crypto space. This financial backing is not just a monetary investment but also a strategic endorsement of the potential of combining the strengths of different blockchain technologies to create more versatile and powerful solutions.

Potential Impacts and Benefits

Enhancing Bitcoin's Utility

Bitfinity's initiative aims to significantly enhance the utility of Bitcoin in the burgeoning DeFi sector. By enabling the execution of smart contracts that can hold and transfer Bitcoin and Ordinal assets on-chain, Bitfinity is set to unlock a plethora of new applications and use cases for Bitcoin. This could lead to a paradigm shift in how Bitcoin is perceived and used, transitioning from its traditional role as a store of value to a more dynamic asset involved in a variety of financial operations. The integration could also catalyze the development of new financial products and services that leverage Bitcoin's security and liquidity, potentially attracting a new wave of users and investors to the DeFi space. This enhancement of Bitcoin's utility is particularly significant in the context of the growing demand for more sophisticated financial services within the crypto ecosystem.

Lower Costs and Faster Transactions

The integration promises significant improvements in terms of transaction costs and processing speeds. By leveraging the efficiencies of the Ethereum Virtual Machine and the robustness of the Bitcoin blockchain, Bitfinity aims to address some of the key challenges that have hindered broader adoption of blockchain technology, such as high transaction fees and slow confirmation times. This could be particularly beneficial for smaller transactions, where high fees can be a significant barrier. Faster transaction speeds would also improve the user experience, making blockchain technology more practical for everyday use. This enhancement in efficiency is not just about improving existing processes; it's about opening up new possibilities for blockchain applications that were previously impractical due to cost or speed limitations.

Challenges and Community Response

Overcoming Skepticism

Despite the potential advantages, Bitfinity's initiative faces skepticism from certain quarters of the crypto community. Bitcoin purists, in particular, may view the integration of Ethereum's technology with the Bitcoin network as a departure from the original vision of Bitcoin as a decentralized, unchangeable ledger. Overcoming this skepticism will require careful communication and demonstration of the benefits that such integration can bring, without compromising the core principles that have made Bitcoin a trusted and valuable asset. Bitfinity will need to navigate these community dynamics skillfully, ensuring that the integration is seen as an enhancement rather than a dilution of Bitcoin's fundamental attributes.

Embracing a Unified Vision

The project represents an opportunity to foster a more unified and collaborative blockchain community. Bitfinity's founder, Max Chamberlin, emphasizes that their initiative is about highlighting the complementary nature of the Ethereum and Bitcoin ecosystems, rather than positioning one as superior to the other. This approach could help in bridging the historical divide between these two communities, promoting a vision of a more interconnected and cooperative blockchain ecosystem. The success of this project could serve as a model for future collaborations in the blockchain space, demonstrating the benefits of combining different technologies and perspectives to create more comprehensive and effective solutions.

Future Prospects and Developments

Beyond DeFi: Expanding Bitcoin's Horizons

The implications of Bitfinity's integration extend far beyond the DeFi sector. This initiative could pave the way for a wide range of innovative applications and services that leverage the combined strengths of Bitcoin and Ethereum. For instance, it could enable the development of decentralized identity systems that utilize Bitcoin's security and Ethereum's smart contract capabilities, or new forms of decentralized governance models that harness the best aspects of both blockchains. The integration could also spur the creation of new types of digital assets and tokens that can operate across both networks, potentially leading to a more fluid and interconnected digital asset ecosystem.

The Evolving Blockchain Landscape

Bitfinity's initiative is a clear indication of the ongoing evolution and maturation of the blockchain industry. As technologies converge and new ideas emerge, the future of blockchain looks increasingly diverse, inclusive, and efficient. This integration could serve as a catalyst for further innovations in blockchain interoperability, leading to more complex and sophisticated blockchain architectures. It also highlights the growing recognition within the blockchain community of the need for collaboration and integration to address the complex challenges and opportunities of the digital age. As the project progresses, it will be fascinating to watch how this integration reshapes the landscape of blockchain technology and digital finance, potentially setting the stage for the next major leap forward in the industry.

Conclusion

Bitfinity's bold move to integrate the Ethereum Virtual Machine with Bitcoin on the Internet Computer marks a significant milestone in the blockchain world. It represents not just a technological advancement but also a step towards a more unified and collaborative future in the crypto space. As the project progresses, it will be fascinating to watch how this integration reshapes the landscape of blockchain technology and digital finance, potentially ushering in a new era of innovation and collaboration. The success of this initiative could have far-reaching implications, not just for Bitcoin and Ethereum, but for the entire blockchain ecosystem, paving the way for a more interconnected, efficient, and versatile blockchain future.

FAQs

What is Bitfinity's latest blockchain project? Bitfinity is integrating the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) with the Bitcoin blockchain, aiming to enhance DeFi services using a sidechain on the Internet Computer (ICP).

How will this integration benefit Bitcoin and Ethereum users? This integration will allow for the execution of smart contracts on Bitcoin, combining Ethereum's flexibility with Bitcoin's robust security, potentially leading to innovative DeFi applications and lower transaction costs.

Who is funding Bitfinity's project? Bitfinity's project has raised $7 million, with significant backing from Polychain Capital and ParaFi Capital.

What challenges does Bitfinity face with this integration? Bitfinity needs to address skepticism from Bitcoin purists and demonstrate the benefits of integrating Ethereum's technology without compromising Bitcoin's core principles.

That's all for today

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@ dbb19ae0:c3f22d5a

Using Nostr_sdk 0.39 (Latest) module to send dm

```python

test with 0.39

working

import asyncio from nostr_sdk import Client, NostrSigner, Keys, PublicKey, init_logger, LogLevel

async def send_direct_message(nsec, recipient_npub, message): init_logger(LogLevel.INFO) sender_keys = Keys.parse(nsec) sender_client = NostrSigner.keys(sender_keys) client = Client(sender_client) public_key = sender_keys.public_key() print(f"From Public key (npub): {public_key.to_bech32()}")
await client.add_relay("wss://relay.damus.io") await client.connect()

print(f"to Public key (npub): {recipient_npub}")  
await client.send_private_msg(PublicKey.parse(recipient_npub), message, [])
await asyncio.sleep(10)
print(f"Message sent")

if name == 'main': nsec = "nsec1 ... replace with your nsec" recipient_npub = "npub ... replace with npub to send dm" message = "Hello there, this is a message!" asyncio.run(send_direct_message(nsec, recipient_npub, message))

```

@ e373ca41:b82abcc5

Dieser Artikel wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben (lesen Sie ihn dort, um die volle Erfahrung zu machen). 

Dies ist Teil 3 der Serie “Die Corona-Connection”: Lesen Sie hier Teil 1 und Teil 2.

Wenn die Realität die Fiktion überholt: das ist die Signatur unserer Epoche. Im Zuge täglicher Enthüllungen tritt nun immer deutlicher der medial-industrielle Komplex der “Corona-Connection” zum Vorschein. Allein die Finanzströme zeigen deutlich: der Anfangsverdacht einer Verschwörung ist sichtbar und nachweisbar.

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“Follow the Money”

In Washington hat das große Sesselrücken begonnen: Tausende Wohnungen und Häuser werden gerade auf den Markt geschwemmt, die Suchanfragen nach Offshorebanken und Strafverteidigern explodiert. Die Ratten verlassen das sinkende Schiff, eine alte Nomenklatura fällt, eine neue wird errichtet. So ist Politik. Wie viel davon Inszenierung und wie viel echt ist, werden wir erst später erfahren.

(Quelle: X/@wikileaks)

Schon jetzt erfahren die Europäer allerdings von JD Vance, dass in Washington “ein neuer Sheriff in town” ist. Die Rede auf der Münchener Sicherheitskonferenz war eine Zäsur in den transatlantischen Beziehungen. JD Vance hat Europa die Leviten gelesen: Wir glaubten nicht mehr an die Meinungsfreiheit, und damit an die Demokratie; wir griffen in Wahlen ein, deindustrialisierten uns selbst, betrieben ideologische Beeinflussung, Zensur und Manipulation. Eine beeindruckende Rede eines früheren Trump-Verächters (er nannte ihn mal einen Betrüger und überlegte Hillary Clinton zu wählen). Und dann der „Killer-Satz“ an das Establishment:

„Wenn Sie Angst vor den eigenen Bürgern haben gibt es nichts, was die USA für Sie tun können.“

Ja, Vance hat in vielem Recht, Europa ist ein sektiererischer Bürokratenkontinent, der ideologisch gekapert ist. Doch vielleicht hätte Vance etwas mehr darüber sprechen können, was die USA bereits „für Europa getan haben“, allein in den letzten Jahren:

• Der Europäische Debattenraum wurde mit US-Steuergeldern manipuliert, knapp 500 Mio USD. flossen durch die Kanäle von USAID und Co.
• Deindustrialisierung: Danke für die Sprengung von Nordstream, großer Bruder!
• Zensur: waren das nicht auch die großen amerikanische Social Media Plattformen, siehe Twitter-Files?
• Ach überhaupt, der ganze Verschwörungskomplex zu Corona, ist nicht die Corona-Connection im Kern ein Konsortium überwiegend amerikanischer Player? NGOs, öffentliche Gesundheitsbehörden, CIA, Überwachungsindustrie, Big Pharma im Verbund mit China.
• Wer in den letzten Jahren von “Misinformation und Disinformation” sprach, benutzte exakt das USAID-Wording und derartige Beispiele gibt es viele.

---

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Sprechen wir also zuerst vom Verrat Amerikas an der Welt, in Form der größten Psyop der Welt, sowie dem Biowaffenangriff in Form von Corona und mRNA, an dem amerikanische Behörden maßgeblich beteiligt waren. Die USA (oder der deep state?) sind scheinbar im Kalten Krieg mit der eigenen Bevölkerung und der Welt:

• USAID und NIAID finanzierten Coronavirusforschung in Wuhan, USAID finanzierte massiv die Bill & Melinda Gates Stiftung, Impfprogramme sowie GAVI, CEPI, Programme für “reproductive health” etc. Die Liste der “joint ventures” von Gates und USAID ist lang. Und USAID finanzierte den Propagandaapparat.
• Früher eichte die CIA Schriftsteller im Congress for Culture Freedom, heute finanzieren sie Weiterbildungen und Medientrainings für Tausende Journalisten, auch in Europa. Die Presselandschaft wird wie bei “Operation Mockingbird” einfach weiter unterwandert.
• Reuters bekam 9 Mio. vom US-Verteidigungsministerium und eine köstliche Programm-Beschreibung obendrein: Millionen für social engineering und gesellschaftliche Täuschung, large societal deception (abgekürzt LSD). Ein Wink mit dem Zaunpfahl auf “Mission Mind Control”, also Bewusstseinsexperimente der CIA, u.a. mit LSD?

• Ein paar Tröpfchen LSD dürfen nicht fehlen (rechts unten)

Die Rede vom Verrat an den eigenen Werten in vasallenartigem Gehorsam reiht sich jedenfalls schlecht ein in den noch größeren Verrat der eigenen Werte und eine Form von Hochverrat am Bürger durch amerikanische Behörden. Was genau bleibt also vom Vorwurf von Vance? Ihr habt bei der von uns mitfinanzierten Propagandamaschinerie etwas zu gut mitgemacht. Watch your values!

Die Rede von Vance sei Wahlbeeinflussung, eine Einmischung in „unsere Demokratie“, heißt es nun bei hiesigen Nomenklaturapolitikern. Wahlbeeinflussung durch Vance? Eine schöne Nebelkerze. Die größte Wahlbeeinflussung war doch die mit Milliarden USAID-Geld finanzierte ideologische Unterwanderung des europäischen Debattenraums, von Moldawien und der Ukraine bis Deutschland und Frankreich: Internews Network, Trusted News Initiativen, Factchecker, Kampagnen zu „Misinformation/Disinformation“ uvm. Der europäische Debattenraum wurde auf CIA-Narrativebene geeicht. Die Europäer sind konsterniert: Sie haben mitgemacht und werden jetzt von Vance „unter den Bus geworfen“. Sie stehen als die nützlichen Idioten da, die sie waren. Auch eine Form von Gaslighing: Bestrafung für Gehorsam.

Das Business Modell des Philanthrokapitalismus

Der Verrat der Werte, er zieht sich längst durch alle Ebenen von Bürokratie, Politik, Wirtschaft. Was eröffnet auch bessere Geschäftsmöglichkeiten als Gedankenkontrolle, Beeinflussung, autoritäre Einschüchterungsmethoden, durchgeführt von einem korporativen Machtapparat aus Politik, Polizei, Medien, Big Tech und Pharma?

Unter denen, die wegen USAID am meisten aufheulen, ist Bill Gates. Zu diesem tauchen, welch Wunder, gerade überall Lobesartikel auf, in US-Sendungen wird er wieder als Gesundheitsexperte herumgereicht, warnt vor Millionen Toten, wenn die Hilfen, die in seine Gesundheitsprogramme von USAID flossen, gestoppt werden. Nur am Rande: Gerade gab es einen Ebolaausbruch in Uganda. Die WHO lobt den schnellen Impfstart. Immer diese Zufälle, pandamic preparedness sei Dank, Herr Gates!

USAID und Gates sind ziemlich beste Freunde: Die weltgrößte Privatstiftung von Eugeniker Gates und eine CIA-Frontorganisation in trauter Verbundenheit. Was soll da anderes rauskommen, als die größte Psyop der Welt? Nein, USAID hat nicht in 1.6 Mrd. Dollar in deutsche Medien gesteckt, wie kürzlich per falschem Screenshot auf X verbreitet wurde. Die EU steckte dafür 132 Mio. Euro in journalistische EU-PR. Doch es blieb genug Geld für die Medien übrig, um den Corona-Scam zu glauben, zu verbreiten – und sich boostern zu lassen.

So wird ein Schuh draus: (Netzfund)

Darüber hinaus steckte USAID Milliarden in Gavi und CEPI, die Gatesschen Impfkonsortien mit Sitz in der Schweiz. Sowie in zig andere Programme der Gatesstiftung. Teils floss Geld zurück. Ein Geben und Nehmen. All das wäre für ein James-Bond-Drehbuch zu viel des Guten und Undenkbaren: Wir haben es bei der Corona-Connection mit einer Verschwörung von Geheimdienstkreisen, China und Philanthrokapitalisten zu tun. Deren teils geheimdienstfinanzierten Outlets (GAVI, CEPI), aber auch die WHO genießen in der Schweiz Steuervorteile und Immunität, wie eine Botschaft.

Und so wird ein Business-Modell daraus:

• Man suche sich ein Tätigkeitsfeld, Anliegen oder ein sonstiges Vorhaben der sozialen Ingenieurskunst aus. Bei Gates: Bevölkerungskontrolle und -reduktion, Impfstoffverkauf. 2010-2020 sollte die Dekade der Impfstoffe werden – und wurde es. Gates Gebaren konnte man 2015 in einer kritischen Untersuchung von “Misereor” und “Brot für die Welt” studieren.
• Dann definiere man Strukturen, Mechanismen und Businessmodelle zur Umsetzung. In einer Studie von USAID, BMGF sowie Rockefeller-Stiftung zum Einsatz von KI im Gesundheitsbereich liest man es exemplarisch schwarz auf weiß: “If evidence is promising, define business case – Wenn die Beweise vielversprechend sind, entwickle eine Geschäftsidee.”

* Es erfolgt ein Investment in die Geschäftsidee. Das nennt sich dann Program-Related Investment, und nicht nur “grant”, wie die New York Times früher noch kritisierte. Hier wird der angebliche Altruismus zum systemischen legalen Interessenkonflikt. Katastrophen zahlen sich jetzt aus. * WHO, Partnerorganisationen, News-Netzwerke werden auf die Idee geeicht, das übliche PR-Geschäft. * Dann noch schnell ein Planspiel, in Wuhan ist der USAID-Partner mit der gain of function-Forschung nämlich schon bereit für den Lab-Leak. Investments in Curevac, Biontech & Co. sind bereits getätigt, das politische Feld in Sachen Epidemic Preparedness ohnehin vorgeimpft (und beteiligt, hunderte Millionen gingen von Deutschland an die BMGF und CEPI, Gavi).

In dieser Phase hängt der Erfolg der Operation nur noch davon ab, wie gut (und wie lange) man es schafft, das Overton-Fenster in den Medien (also das, was relevant ist) mit immer neuen Propaganda-Erzählungen und Angstbildern vollzuhängen, die sozialen Medien zurechtzustutzen und Kritiker zu dezimieren: Fertig ist der größte kriminelle Coup der Geschichte.

Alle Beteiligten gewinnen: Gates vedient an den Impfstoffen, kann das Geld steuerbefreit in der Stiftung für neue Machtgewinnungsfeldzüge einsetzen, die CIA hat ein erfolgreiches Massenhypnose-Experiment durchgeführt und China konnte die Weltwirtschaft hinter sich lassen, intern die Pandemie schnell besiegen und dem Westen seine sehr schnell in Vergessenheit geratenen Bürger- und Menschenrechte vorhalten. Diese Rechte fielen ungefähr so schnell, wie die Menschen in chinesischen Propagandavideos auf der Straße zusammensackten. Nur in China übrigens, nirgendwo anders.

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Philanthrokapitalismus bedeutet übersetzt, den Anreiz auszuleben, mit Kontrollphantasien, Social Engineering und Technokratie zugleich Geld zu verdienen, Steuern zu sparen, und Macht zu gewinnen. Ein Honeypot für schwerreiche Psychopathen, die munter nach Gutsherrenart an der Bevölkerung herumschrauben wollen. Der Philanthrokapitalismus eines Gates, Soros & Co ist das gefährlichste korporatistische Räuberbaronentum der Neuzeit. Der Staat kann legal für private Machterreichungszwecke ausgenommen werden – zum Schaden der Bürger.

Es gab bei Corona viele Profiteure. Und viele Opfer. Über beide werden wir in naher Zukunft noch viel mehr erfahren. Die Welle der Aufarbeitung rollt.

Und die Konsequenzen? Ein Bill Gates sollte vielleicht daran denken, nicht erst dann zu flüchten, wenn die Epstein-Files veröffentlicht werden, sondern schon früher. In der amerikanischen Verfassung gibt es nur einen Strafrechtsparagraphen und dieser lautet so:

Artikel III, Abschnitt 3 der US-Verfassung:

„Hochverrat gegen die Vereinigten Staaten besteht ausschließlich darin, Krieg gegen sie zu führen oder ihren Feinden Beistand und Unterstützung zu leisten.“

Die Corona-Impfkampagne hat die Gesundheit der Amerikaner, auch der von Soldaten massiv geschadet, wie akut erhöhte Krankenstände und Nebenwirkungsmeldungen zeigten. Damit wurde Feinden der USA (mindestens jede verfeindete Kriegspartei) Beistand geleistet.

Eines wissen wir schon jetzt: So in etwa ist der “Source Code” des Bösen programmiert.

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You prefer reading me in English? You can find my first uncensorable articles written with our Pareto client via Nostr, clicking on this link. Discover other authors at Pareto.space/read.(click on the Pareto button to see our first authors).

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