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@ 51bbb15e:b77a2290
2025-05-21 00:24:36Yeah, I’m sure everything in the file is legit. 👍 Let’s review the guard witness testimony…Oh wait, they weren’t at their posts despite 24/7 survellience instructions after another Epstein “suicide” attempt two weeks earlier. Well, at least the video of the suicide is in the file? Oh wait, a techical glitch. Damn those coincidences!
At this point, the Trump administration has zero credibility with me on anything related to the Epstein case and his clients. I still suspect the administration is using the Epstein files as leverage to keep a lot of RINOs in line, whereas they’d be sabotaging his agenda at every turn otherwise. However, I just don’t believe in ends-justify-the-means thinking. It’s led almost all of DC to toss out every bit of the values they might once have had.
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@ c9badfea:610f861a
2025-05-20 19:49:20- Install Sky Map (it's free and open source)
- Launch the app and tap Accept, then tap OK
- When asked to access the device's location, tap While Using The App
- Tap somewhere on the screen to activate the menu, then tap ⁝ and select Settings
- Disable Send Usage Statistics
- Return to the main screen and enjoy stargazing!
ℹ️ Use the 🔍 icon in the upper toolbar to search for a specific celestial body, or tap the 👁️ icon to activate night mode
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-20 15:53:48This piece is the first in a series that will focus on things I think are a priority if your focus is similar to mine: building a strong family and safeguarding their future.
Choosing the ideal place to raise a family is one of the most significant decisions you will ever make. For simplicity sake I will break down my thought process into key factors: strong property rights, the ability to grow your own food, access to fresh water, the freedom to own and train with guns, and a dependable community.
A Jurisdiction with Strong Property Rights
Strong property rights are essential and allow you to build on a solid foundation that is less likely to break underneath you. Regions with a history of limited government and clear legal protections for landowners are ideal. Personally I think the US is the single best option globally, but within the US there is a wide difference between which state you choose. Choose carefully and thoughtfully, think long term. Obviously if you are not American this is not a realistic option for you, there are other solid options available especially if your family has mobility. I understand many do not have this capability to easily move, consider that your first priority, making movement and jurisdiction choice possible in the first place.
Abundant Access to Fresh Water
Water is life. I cannot overstate the importance of living somewhere with reliable, clean, and abundant freshwater. Some regions face water scarcity or heavy regulations on usage, so prioritizing a place where water is plentiful and your rights to it are protected is critical. Ideally you should have well access so you are not tied to municipal water supplies. In times of crisis or chaos well water cannot be easily shutoff or disrupted. If you live in an area that is drought prone, you are one drought away from societal chaos. Not enough people appreciate this simple fact.
Grow Your Own Food
A location with fertile soil, a favorable climate, and enough space for a small homestead or at the very least a garden is key. In stable times, a small homestead provides good food and important education for your family. In times of chaos your family being able to grow and raise healthy food provides a level of self sufficiency that many others will lack. Look for areas with minimal restrictions, good weather, and a culture that supports local farming.
Guns
The ability to defend your family is fundamental. A location where you can legally and easily own guns is a must. Look for places with a strong gun culture and a political history of protecting those rights. Owning one or two guns is not enough and without proper training they will be a liability rather than a benefit. Get comfortable and proficient. Never stop improving your skills. If the time comes that you must use a gun to defend your family, the skills must be instinct. Practice. Practice. Practice.
A Strong Community You Can Depend On
No one thrives alone. A ride or die community that rallies together in tough times is invaluable. Seek out a place where people know their neighbors, share similar values, and are quick to lend a hand. Lead by example and become a good neighbor, people will naturally respond in kind. Small towns are ideal, if possible, but living outside of a major city can be a solid balance in terms of work opportunities and family security.
Let me know if you found this helpful. My plan is to break down how I think about these five key subjects in future posts.
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-20 15:47:16Here’s a revised timeline of macro-level events from The Mandibles: A Family, 2029–2047 by Lionel Shriver, reimagined in a world where Bitcoin is adopted as a widely accepted form of money, altering the original narrative’s assumptions about currency collapse and economic control. In Shriver’s original story, the failure of Bitcoin is assumed amid the dominance of the bancor and the dollar’s collapse. Here, Bitcoin’s success reshapes the economic and societal trajectory, decentralizing power and challenging state-driven outcomes.
Part One: 2029–2032
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2029 (Early Year)\ The United States faces economic strain as the dollar weakens against global shifts. However, Bitcoin, having gained traction emerges as a viable alternative. Unlike the original timeline, the bancor—a supranational currency backed by a coalition of nations—struggles to gain footing as Bitcoin’s decentralized adoption grows among individuals and businesses worldwide, undermining both the dollar and the bancor.
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2029 (Mid-Year: The Great Renunciation)\ Treasury bonds lose value, and the government bans Bitcoin, labeling it a threat to sovereignty (mirroring the original bancor ban). However, a Bitcoin ban proves unenforceable—its decentralized nature thwarts confiscation efforts, unlike gold in the original story. Hyperinflation hits the dollar as the U.S. prints money, but Bitcoin’s fixed supply shields adopters from currency devaluation, creating a dual-economy split: dollar users suffer, while Bitcoin users thrive.
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2029 (Late Year)\ Dollar-based inflation soars, emptying stores of goods priced in fiat currency. Meanwhile, Bitcoin transactions flourish in underground and online markets, stabilizing trade for those plugged into the bitcoin ecosystem. Traditional supply chains falter, but peer-to-peer Bitcoin networks enable local and international exchange, reducing scarcity for early adopters. The government’s gold confiscation fails to bolster the dollar, as Bitcoin’s rise renders gold less relevant.
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2030–2031\ Crime spikes in dollar-dependent urban areas, but Bitcoin-friendly regions see less chaos, as digital wallets and smart contracts facilitate secure trade. The U.S. government doubles down on surveillance to crack down on bitcoin use. A cultural divide deepens: centralized authority weakens in Bitcoin-adopting communities, while dollar zones descend into lawlessness.
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2032\ By this point, Bitcoin is de facto legal tender in parts of the U.S. and globally, especially in tech-savvy or libertarian-leaning regions. The federal government’s grip slips as tax collection in dollars plummets—Bitcoin’s traceability is low, and citizens evade fiat-based levies. Rural and urban Bitcoin hubs emerge, while the dollar economy remains fractured.
Time Jump: 2032–2047
- Over 15 years, Bitcoin solidifies as a global reserve currency, eroding centralized control. The U.S. government adapts, grudgingly integrating bitcoin into policy, though regional autonomy grows as Bitcoin empowers local economies.
Part Two: 2047
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2047 (Early Year)\ The U.S. is a hybrid state: Bitcoin is legal tender alongside a diminished dollar. Taxes are lower, collected in BTC, reducing federal overreach. Bitcoin’s adoption has decentralized power nationwide. The bancor has faded, unable to compete with Bitcoin’s grassroots momentum.
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2047 (Mid-Year)\ Travel and trade flow freely in Bitcoin zones, with no restrictive checkpoints. The dollar economy lingers in poorer areas, marked by decay, but Bitcoin’s dominance lifts overall prosperity, as its deflationary nature incentivizes saving and investment over consumption. Global supply chains rebound, powered by bitcoin enabled efficiency.
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2047 (Late Year)\ The U.S. is a patchwork of semi-autonomous zones, united by Bitcoin’s universal acceptance rather than federal control. Resource scarcity persists due to past disruptions, but economic stability is higher than in Shriver’s original dystopia—Bitcoin’s success prevents the authoritarian slide, fostering a freer, if imperfect, society.
Key Differences
- Currency Dynamics: Bitcoin’s triumph prevents the bancor’s dominance and mitigates hyperinflation’s worst effects, offering a lifeline outside state control.
- Government Power: Centralized authority weakens as Bitcoin evades bans and taxation, shifting power to individuals and communities.
- Societal Outcome: Instead of a surveillance state, 2047 sees a decentralized, bitcoin driven world—less oppressive, though still stratified between Bitcoin haves and have-nots.
This reimagining assumes Bitcoin overcomes Shriver’s implied skepticism to become a robust, adopted currency by 2029, fundamentally altering the novel’s bleak trajectory.
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@ 6ad3e2a3:c90b7740
2025-05-20 13:49:50I’ve written about MSTR twice already, https://www.chrisliss.com/p/mstr and https://www.chrisliss.com/p/mstr-part-2, but I want to focus on legendary short seller James Chanos’ current trade wherein he buys bitcoin (via ETF) and shorts MSTR, in essence to “be like Mike” Saylor who sells MSTR shares at the market and uses them to add bitcoin to the company’s balance sheet. After all, if it’s good enough for Saylor, why shouldn’t everyone be doing it — shorting a company whose stock price is more than 2x its bitcoin holdings and using the proceeds to buy the bitcoin itself?
Saylor himself has said selling shares at 2x NAV (net asset value) to buy bitcoin is like selling dollars for two dollars each, and Chanos has apparently decided to get in while the getting (market cap more than 2x net asset value) is good. If the price of bitcoin moons, sending MSTR’s shares up, you are more than hedged in that event, too. At least that’s the theory.
The problem with this bet against MSTR’s mNAV, i.e., you are betting MSTR’s market cap will converge 1:1 toward its NAV in the short and medium term is this trade does not exist in a vacuum. Saylor has described how his ATM’s (at the market) sales of shares are accretive in BTC per share because of this very premium they carry. Yes, we’ll dilute your shares of the company, but because we’re getting you 2x the bitcoin per share, you are getting an ever smaller slice of an ever bigger overall pie, and the pie is growing 2x faster than your slice is reducing. (I https://www.chrisliss.com/p/mstr how this works in my first post.)
But for this accretion to continue, there must be a constant supply of “greater fools” to pony up for the infinitely printable shares which contain only half their value in underlying bitcoin. Yes, those shares will continue to accrete more BTC per share, but only if there are more fools willing to make this trade in the future. So will there be a constant supply of such “fools” to keep fueling MSTR’s mNAV multiple indefinitely?
Yes, there will be in my opinion because you have to look at the trade from the prospective fools’ perspective. Those “fools” are not trading bitcoin for MSTR, they are trading their dollars, selling other equities to raise them maybe, but in the end it’s a dollars for shares trade. They are not selling bitcoin for them.
You might object that those same dollars could buy bitcoin instead, so they are surely trading the opportunity cost of buying bitcoin for them, but if only 5-10 percent of the market (or less) is buying bitcoin itself, the bucket in which which those “fools” reside is the entire non-bitcoin-buying equity market. (And this is not considering the even larger debt market which Saylor has yet to tap in earnest.)
So for those 90-95 percent who do not and are not presently planning to own bitcoin itself, is buying MSTR a fool’s errand, so to speak? Not remotely. If MSTR shares are infinitely printable ATM, they are still less so than the dollar and other fiat currencies. And MSTR shares are backed 2:1 by bitcoin itself, while the fiat currencies are backed by absolutely nothing. So if you hold dollars or euros, trading them for MSTR shares is an errand more sage than foolish.
That’s why this trade (buying BTC and shorting MSTR) is so dangerous. Not only are there many people who won’t buy BTC buying MSTR, there are many funds and other investment entities who are only able to buy MSTR.
Do you want to get BTC at 1:1 with the 5-10 percent or MSTR backed 2:1 with the 90-95 percent. This is a bit like medical tests that have a 95 percent accuracy rate for an asymptomatic disease that only one percent of the population has. If someone tests positive, it’s more likely to be a false one than an indication he has the disease*. The accuracy rate, even at 19:1, is subservient to the size of the respective populations.
At some point this will no longer be the case, but so long as the understanding of bitcoin is not widespread, so long as the dollar is still the unit of account, the “greater fools” buying MSTR are still miles ahead of the greatest fools buying neither, and the stock price and mNAV should only increase.
. . .
One other thought: it’s more work to play defense than offense because the person on offense knows where he’s going, and the defender can only react to him once he moves. Similarly, Saylor by virtue of being the issuer of the shares knows when more will come online while Chanos and other short sellers are borrowing them to sell in reaction to Saylor’s strategy. At any given moment, Saylor can pause anytime, choosing to issue convertible debt or preferred shares with which to buy more bitcoin, and the shorts will not be given advance notice.
If the price runs, and there is no ATM that week because Saylor has stopped on a dime, so to speak, the shorts will be left having to scramble to change directions and buy the shares back to cover. Their momentum might be in the wrong direction, though, and like Allen Iverson breaking ankles with a crossover, Saylor might trigger a massive short squeeze, rocketing the share price ever higher. That’s why he actually welcomes Chanos et al trying this copycat strategy — it becomes the fuel for outsized gains.
For that reason, news that Chanos is shorting MSTR has not shaken my conviction, though there are other more pertinent https://www.chrisliss.com/p/mstr-part-2 with MSTR, of which one should be aware. And as always, do your own due diligence before investing in anything.
* To understand this, consider a population of 100,000, with one percent having a disease. That means 1,000 have it, 99,000 do not. If the test is 95 percent accurate, and everyone is tested, 950 of the 1,000 will test positive (true positives), 50 who have it will test negative (false negatives.) Of the positives, 95 percent of 99,000 (94,050) will test negative (true negatives) and five percent (4,950) will test positive (false positives). That means 4,950 out of 5,900 positives (84%) will be false.
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@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b
2025-05-21 02:35:36如果比特币发明了真正的钱,那么 Crypto 是什么?
引言
比特币诞生之初就以“数字黄金”姿态示人,被支持者誉为人类历史上第一次发明了真正意义上的钱——一种不依赖国家信用、总量恒定且不可篡改的硬通货。然而十多年过去,比特币之后蓬勃而起的加密世界(Crypto)已经远超“货币”范畴:从智能合约平台到去中心组织,从去央行的稳定币到戏谑荒诞的迷因币,Crypto 演化出一个丰富而混沌的新生态。这不禁引发一个根本性的追问:如果说比特币解决了“真金白银”的问题,那么 Crypto 又完成了什么发明?
Crypto 与政治的碰撞:随着Crypto版图扩张,全球政治势力也被裹挟进这场金融变革洪流(示意图)。比特币的出现重塑了货币信用,但Crypto所引发的却是一场更深刻的政治与治理结构实验。从华尔街到华盛顿,从散户论坛到主权国家,越来越多人意识到:Crypto不只是技术或金融现象,而是一种全新的政治表达结构正在萌芽。正如有激进论者所断言的:“比特币发明了真正的钱,而Crypto则在发明新的政治。”价格K线与流动性曲线,或许正成为这个时代社群意志和社会价值观的新型投射。
冲突结构:当价格挑战选票
传统政治中,选票是人民意志的载体,一人一票勾勒出民主治理的正统路径。而在链上的加密世界里,骤升骤降的价格曲线和真金白银的买卖行为却扮演起了选票的角色:资金流向成了民意走向,市场多空成为立场表决。价格行为取代选票,这听来匪夷所思,却已在Crypto社群中成为日常现实。每一次代币的抛售与追高,都是社区对项目决策的即时“投票”;每一根K线的涨跌,都折射出社区意志的赞同或抗议。市场行为本身承担了决策权与象征权——价格即政治,正在链上蔓延。
这一新生政治形式与旧世界的民主机制形成了鲜明冲突。bitcoin.org中本聪在比特币白皮书中提出“一CPU一票”的工作量证明共识,用算力投票取代了人为决策bitcoin.org。而今,Crypto更进一步,用资本市场的涨跌来取代传统政治的选举。支持某项目?直接购入其代币推高市值;反对某提案?用脚投票抛售资产。相比漫长的选举周期和层层代议制,链上市场提供了近乎实时的“公投”机制。但这种机制也引发巨大争议:资本的投票天然偏向持币多者(富者)的意志,是否意味着加密政治更为金权而非民权?持币多寡成为影响力大小,仿佛选举演变成了“一币一票”,巨鲸富豪俨然掌握更多话语权。这种与民主平等原则的冲突,成为Crypto政治形式饱受质疑的核心张力之一。
尽管如此,我们已经目睹市场投票在Crypto世界塑造秩序的威力:2016年以太坊因DAO事件分叉时,社区以真金白银“投票”决定了哪条链获得未来。arkhamintelligence.com结果是新链以太坊(ETH)成为主流,其市值一度超过2,800亿美元,而坚持原则的以太经典(ETC)市值不足35亿美元,不及前者的八十分之一arkhamintelligence.com。市场选择清楚地昭示了社区的政治意志。同样地,在比特币扩容之争、各类硬分叉博弈中,无不是由投资者和矿工用资金与算力投票,胜者存续败者黯然。价格成为裁决纷争的最终选票,冲击着传统“选票决胜”的政治理念。Crypto的价格民主,与现代代议民主正面相撞,激起当代政治哲思中前所未有的冲突火花。
治理与分配
XRP对决SEC成为了加密世界“治理与分配”冲突的经典战例。2020年底,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)突然起诉Ripple公司,指控其发行的XRP代币属于未注册证券,消息一出直接引爆市场恐慌。XRP价格应声暴跌,一度跌去超过60%,最低触及0.21美元coindesk.com。曾经位居市值前三的XRP险些被打入谷底,监管的强硬姿态似乎要将这个项目彻底扼杀。
然而XRP社区没有选择沉默。 大批长期持有者组成了自称“XRP军团”(XRP Army)的草根力量,在社交媒体上高调声援Ripple,对抗监管威胁。面对SEC的指控,他们集体发声,质疑政府选择性执法,声称以太坊当年发行却“逍遥法外”,只有Ripple遭到不公对待coindesk.com。正如《福布斯》的评论所言:没人预料到愤怒的加密散户投资者会掀起法律、政治和社交媒体领域的‘海啸式’反击,痛斥监管机构背弃了保护投资者的承诺crypto-law.us。这种草根抵抗监管的话语体系迅速形成:XRP持有者不但在网上掀起舆论风暴,还采取实际行动向SEC施压。他们发起了请愿,抨击SEC背离保护投资者初衷、诉讼给个人投资者带来巨大伤害,号召停止对Ripple的上诉纠缠——号称这是在捍卫全球加密用户的共同利益bitget.com。一场由民间主导的反监管运动就此拉开帷幕。
Ripple公司则选择背水一战,拒绝和解,在法庭上与SEC针锋相对地鏖战了近三年之久。Ripple坚称XRP并非证券,不应受到SEC管辖,即使面临沉重法律费用和业务压力也不妥协。2023年,这场持久战迎来了标志性转折:美国法庭作出初步裁决,认定XRP在二级市场的流通不构成证券coindesk.com。这一胜利犹如给沉寂已久的XRP注入强心针——消息公布当天XRP价格飙涨近一倍,盘中一度逼近1美元大关coindesk.com。沉重监管阴影下苟延残喘的项目,凭借司法层面的突破瞬间重获生机。这不仅是Ripple的胜利,更被支持者视为整个加密行业对SEC强权的一次胜仗。
XRP的对抗路线与某些“主动合规”的项目形成了鲜明对比。 稳定币USDC的发行方Circle、美国最大合规交易所Coinbase等选择了一条迎合监管的道路:它们高调拥抱现行法规,希望以合作换取生存空间。然而现实却给了它们沉重一击。USDC稳定币在监管风波中一度失去美元锚定,哪怕Circle及时披露储备状况也无法阻止恐慌蔓延,大批用户迅速失去信心,短时间内出现数十亿美元的赎回潮blockworks.co。Coinbase则更为直接:即便它早已注册上市、反复向监管示好,2023年仍被SEC指控为未注册证券交易所reuters.com,卷入漫长诉讼漩涡。可见,在迎合监管的策略下,这些机构非但未能换来监管青睐,反而因官司缠身或用户流失而丧失市场信任。 相比之下,XRP以对抗求生存的路线反而赢得了投资者的眼光:价格的涨跌成为社区投票的方式,抗争的勇气反过来强化了市场对它的信心。
同样引人深思的是另一种迥异的治理路径:技术至上的链上治理。 以MakerDAO为代表的去中心化治理模式曾被寄予厚望——MKR持币者投票决策、算法维持稳定币Dai的价值,被视为“代码即法律”的典范。然而,这套纯技术治理在市场层面却未能形成广泛认同,亦无法激发群体性的情绪动员。复杂晦涩的机制使得普通投资者难以参与其中,MakerDAO的治理讨论更多停留在极客圈子内部,在社会大众的政治对话中几乎听不见它的声音。相比XRP对抗监管所激发的铺天盖地关注,MakerDAO的治理实验显得默默无闻、难以“出圈”。这也说明,如果一种治理实践无法连接更广泛的利益诉求和情感共鸣,它在社会政治层面就难以形成影响力。
XRP之争的政治象征意义由此凸显: 它展示了一条“以市场对抗国家”的斗争路线,即通过代币价格的集体行动来回应监管权力的施压。在这场轰动业界的对决中,价格即是抗议的旗帜,涨跌映射着政治立场。XRP对SEC的胜利被视作加密世界向旧有权力宣告的一次胜利:资本市场的投票器可以撼动监管者的强权。这种“价格即政治”的张力,正是Crypto世界前所未有的社会实验:去中心化社区以市场行为直接对抗国家权力,在无形的价格曲线中凝聚起政治抗争的力量,向世人昭示加密货币不仅有技术和资本属性,更蕴含着不可小觑的社会能量和政治意涵。
不可归零的政治资本
Meme 币的本质并非廉价或易造,而在于其构建了一种“无法归零”的社群生存结构。 对于传统观点而言,多数 meme 币只是短命的投机游戏:价格暴涨暴跌后一地鸡毛,创始人套现跑路,投资者血本无归,然后“大家转去炒下一个”theguardian.com。然而,meme 币社群的独特之处在于——失败并不意味着终结,而更像是运动的逗号而非句号。一次币值崩盘后,持币的草根们往往并未散去;相反,他们汲取教训,准备东山再起。这种近乎“不死鸟”的循环,使得 meme 币运动呈现出一种数字政治循环的特质:价格可以归零,但社群的政治热情和组织势能不归零。正如研究者所指出的,加密领域中的骗局、崩盘等冲击并不会摧毁生态,反而成为让系统更加强韧的“健康应激”,令整个行业在动荡中变得更加反脆弱cointelegraph.com。对应到 meme 币,每一次暴跌和重挫,都是社群自我进化、卷土重来的契机。这个去中心化群体打造出一种自组织的安全垫,失败者得以在瓦砾上重建家园。对于草根社群、少数派乃至体制的“失败者”而言,meme 币提供了一个永不落幕的抗争舞台,一种真正反脆弱的政治性。正因如此,我们看到诸多曾被嘲笑的迷因项目屡败屡战:例如 Dogecoin 自2013年问世后历经八年沉浮,早已超越玩笑属性,成为互联网史上最具韧性的迷因之一frontiersin.org;支撑 Dogecoin 的正是背后强大的迷因文化和社区意志,它如同美国霸权支撑美元一样,为狗狗币提供了“永不中断”的生命力frontiersin.org。
“复活权”的数字政治意涵
这种“失败-重生”的循环结构蕴含着深刻的政治意涵:在传统政治和商业领域,一个政党选举失利或一家公司破产往往意味着清零出局,资源散尽、组织瓦解。然而在 meme 币的世界,社群拥有了一种前所未有的“复活权”。当项目崩盘,社区并不必然随之消亡,而是可以凭借剩余的人心和热情卷土重来——哪怕换一个 token 名称,哪怕重启一条链,运动依然延续。正如 Cheems 项目的核心开发者所言,在几乎无人问津、技术受阻的困境下,大多数人可能早已卷款走人,但 “CHEEMS 社区没有放弃,背景、技术、风投都不重要,重要的是永不言弃的精神”cointelegraph.com。这种精神使得Cheems项目起死回生,社区成员齐声宣告“我们都是 CHEEMS”,共同书写历史cointelegraph.com。与传统依赖风投和公司输血的项目不同,Cheems 完全依靠社区的信念与韧性存续发展,体现了去中心化运动的真谛cointelegraph.com。这意味着政治参与的门槛被大大降低:哪怕没有金主和官方背书,草根也能凭借群体意志赋予某个代币新的生命。对于身处社会边缘的群体来说,meme 币俨然成为自组织的安全垫和重新集结的工具。难怪有学者指出,近期涌入meme币浪潮的主力,正是那些对现实失望但渴望改变命运的年轻人theguardian.com——“迷茫的年轻人,想要一夜暴富”theguardian.com。meme币的炒作表面上看是投机赌博,但背后蕴含的是草根对既有金融秩序的不满与反抗:没有监管和护栏又如何?一次失败算不得什么,社区自有后路和新方案。这种由底层群众不断试错、纠错并重启的过程,本身就是一种数字时代的新型反抗运动和群众动员机制。
举例而言,Terra Luna 的沉浮充分展现了这种“复活机制”的政治力量。作为一度由风投资本热捧的项目,Luna 币在2022年的崩溃本可被视作“归零”的失败典范——稳定币UST瞬间失锚,Luna币价归零,数十亿美元灰飞烟灭。然而“崩盘”并没有画下休止符。Luna的残余社区拒绝承认失败命运,通过链上治理投票毅然启动新链,“复活”了 Luna 代币,再次回到市场交易reuters.com。正如 Terra 官方在崩盘后发布的推文所宣称:“我们力量永在社区,今日的决定正彰显了我们的韧性”reuters.com。事实上,原链更名为 Luna Classic 后,大批所谓“LUNC 军团”的散户依然死守阵地,誓言不离不弃;他们自发烧毁巨量代币以缩减供应、推动技术升级,试图让这个一度归零的项目重新燃起生命之火binance.com。失败者并未散场,而是化作一股草根洪流,奋力托举起项目的残迹。经过迷因化的叙事重塑,这场从废墟中重建价值的壮举,成为加密世界中草根政治的经典一幕。类似的案例不胜枚举:曾经被视为笑话的 DOGE(狗狗币)正因多年社群的凝聚而跻身主流币种,总市值一度高达数百亿美元,充分证明了“民有民享”的迷因货币同样可以笑傲市场frontiersin.org。再看最新的美国政治舞台,连总统特朗普也推出了自己的 meme 币 $TRUMP,号召粉丝拿真金白银来表达支持。该币首日即从7美元暴涨至75美元,两天后虽回落到40美元左右,但几乎同时,第一夫人 Melania 又发布了自己的 $Melania 币,甚至连就职典礼的牧师都跟风发行了纪念币theguardian.com!显然,对于狂热的群众来说,一个币的沉浮并非终点,而更像是运动的换挡——资本市场成为政治参与的新前线,你方唱罢我登场,meme 币的群众动员热度丝毫不减。值得注意的是,2024年出现的 Pump.fun 等平台更是进一步降低了这一循环的技术门槛,任何人都可以一键生成自己的 meme 币theguardian.com。这意味着哪怕某个项目归零,剩余的社区完全可以借助此类工具迅速复制一个新币接力,延续集体行动的火种。可以说,在 meme 币的世界里,草根社群获得了前所未有的再生能力和主动权,这正是一种数字时代的群众政治奇观:失败可以被当作梗来玩,破产能够变成重生的序章。
价格即政治:群众投机的新抗争
meme 币现象的兴盛表明:在加密时代,价格本身已成为一种政治表达。这些看似荒诞的迷因代币,将金融市场变成了群众宣泄情绪和诉求的另一个舞台。有学者将此概括为“将公民参与直接转化为了投机资产”cdn-brighterworld.humanities.mcmaster.ca——也就是说,社会运动的热情被注入币价涨跌,政治支持被铸造成可以交易的代币。meme 币融合了金融、技术与政治,通过病毒般的迷因文化激发公众参与,形成对现实政治的某种映射cdn-brighterworld.humanities.mcmaster.caosl.com。当一群草根投入全部热忱去炒作一枚毫无基本面支撑的币时,这本身就是一种大众政治动员的体现:币价暴涨,意味着一群人以戏谑的方式在向既有权威叫板;币价崩盘,也并不意味着信念的消亡,反而可能孕育下一次更汹涌的造势。正如有分析指出,政治类 meme 币的出现前所未有地将群众文化与政治情绪融入市场行情,价格曲线俨然成为民意和趋势的风向标cdn-brighterworld.humanities.mcmaster.ca。在这种局面下,投机不再仅仅是逐利,还是一种宣示立场、凝聚共识的过程——一次次看似荒唐的炒作背后,是草根对传统体制的不服与嘲讽,是失败者拒绝认输的呐喊。归根结底,meme 币所累积的,正是一种不可被归零的政治资本。价格涨落之间,群众的愤怒、幽默与希望尽显其中;这股力量不因一次挫败而消散,反而在市场的循环中愈发壮大。也正因如此,我们才说“价格即政治”——在迷因币的世界里,价格不只是数字,更是人民政治能量的晴雨表,哪怕归零也终将卷土重来。cdn-brighterworld.humanities.mcmaster.caosl.com
全球新兴现象:伊斯兰金融的入场
当Crypto在西方世界掀起市场治政的狂潮时,另一股独特力量也悄然融入这一场域:伊斯兰金融携其独特的道德秩序,开始在链上寻找存在感。长期以来,伊斯兰金融遵循着一套区别于世俗资本主义的原则:禁止利息(Riba)、反对过度投机(Gharar/Maysir)、强调实际资产支撑和道德投资。当这些原则遇上去中心化的加密技术,会碰撞出怎样的火花?出人意料的是,这两者竟在“以市场行为表达价值”这个层面产生了惊人的共鸣。伊斯兰金融并不拒绝市场机制本身,只是为其附加了道德准则;Crypto则将市场机制推向了政治高位,用价格来表达社群意志。二者看似理念迥异,实则都承认市场行为可以也应当承载社会价值观。这使得越来越多金融与政治分析人士开始关注:当虔诚的宗教伦理遇上狂野的加密市场,会塑造出何种新范式?
事实上,穆斯林世界已经在探索“清真加密”的道路。一些区块链项目致力于确保协议符合伊斯兰教法(Sharia)的要求。例如Haqq区块链发行的伊斯兰币(ISLM),从规则层面内置了宗教慈善义务——每发行新币即自动将10%拨入慈善DAO,用于公益捐赠,以符合天课(Zakat)的教义nasdaq.comnasdaq.com。同时,该链拒绝利息和赌博类应用,2022年还获得了宗教权威的教令(Fatwa)认可其合规性nasdaq.com。再看理念层面,伊斯兰经济学强调货币必须有内在价值、收益应来自真实劳动而非纯利息剥削。这一点与比特币的“工作量证明”精神不谋而合——有人甚至断言法定货币无锚印钞并不清真,而比特币这类需耗费能源生产的资产反而更符合教法初衷cointelegraph.com。由此,越来越多穆斯林投资者开始以道德投资的名义进入Crypto领域,将资金投向符合清真原则的代币和协议。
这种现象带来了微妙的双重合法性:一方面,Crypto世界原本奉行“价格即真理”的世俗逻辑,而伊斯兰金融为其注入了一股道德合法性,使部分加密资产同时获得了宗教与市场的双重背书;另一方面,即便在遵循宗教伦理的项目中,最终决定成败的依然是市场对其价值的认可。道德共识与市场共识在链上交汇,共同塑造出一种混合的新秩序。这一全球新兴现象引发广泛议论:有人将其视为金融民主化的极致表现——不同文化价值都能在市场平台上表达并竞争;也有人警惕这可能掩盖新的风险,因为把宗教情感融入高风险资产,既可能凝聚强大的忠诚度,也可能在泡沫破裂时引发信仰与财富的双重危机。但无论如何,伊斯兰金融的入场使Crypto的政治版图更加丰盈多元。从华尔街交易员到中东教士,不同背景的人们正通过Crypto这个奇特的舞台,对人类价值的表达方式进行前所未有的实验。
升华结语:价格即政治的新直觉
回顾比特币问世以来的这段历程,我们可以清晰地看到一条演进的主线:先有货币革命,后有政治发明。比特币赋予了人类一种真正自主的数字货币,而Crypto在此基础上完成的,则是一项前所未有的政治革新——它让市场价格行为承担起了类似政治选票的功能,开创了一种“价格即政治”的新直觉。在这个直觉下,市场不再只是冷冰冰的交易场所;每一次资本流动、每一轮行情涨落,都被赋予了社会意义和政治涵义。买入即表态,卖出即抗议,流动性的涌入或枯竭胜过千言万语的陈情。Crypto世界中,K线图俨然成为民意曲线,行情图就是政治晴雨表。决策不再由少数权力精英关起门来制定,而是在全球无眠的交易中由无数普通人共同谱写。这样的政治形式也许狂野,也许充满泡沫和噪音,但它不可否认地调动起了广泛的社会参与,让原本疏离政治进程的个体通过持币、交易重新找回了影响力的幻觉或实感。
“价格即政治”并非一句简单的口号,而是Crypto给予世界的全新想象力。它质疑了传统政治的正统性:如果一串代码和一群匿名投资者就能高效决策资源分配,我们为何还需要繁冗的官僚体系?它也拷问着自身的内在隐忧:当财富与权力深度绑定,Crypto政治如何避免堕入金钱统治的老路?或许,正是在这样的矛盾和张力中,人类政治的未来才会不断演化。Crypto所开启的,不仅是技术乌托邦或金融狂欢,更可能是一次对民主形式的深刻拓展和挑战。这里有最狂热的逐利者,也有最理想主义的社群塑梦者;有一夜暴富的神话,也有瞬间破灭的惨痛。而这一切汇聚成的洪流,正冲撞着工业时代以来既定的权力谱系。
当我们再次追问:Crypto究竟是什么? 或许可以这样回答——Crypto是比特币之后,人类完成的一次政治范式的试验性跃迁。在这里,价格行为化身为选票,资本市场演化为广场,代码与共识共同撰写“社会契约”。这是一场仍在进行的文明实验:它可能无声地融入既有秩序,也可能剧烈地重塑未来规则。但无论结局如何,如今我们已经见证:在比特币发明真正的货币之后,Crypto正在发明真正属于21世纪的政治。它以数字时代的语言宣告:在链上,价格即政治,市场即民意,代码即法律。这,或许就是Crypto带给我们的最直观而震撼的本质启示。
参考资料:
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中本聪. 比特币白皮书: 一种点对点的电子现金系统. (2008)bitcoin.org
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Arkham Intelligence. Ethereum vs Ethereum Classic: Understanding the Differences. (2023)arkhamintelligence.com
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Binance Square (@渔神的加密日记). 狗狗币价格为何上涨?背后的原因你知道吗?binance.com
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Cointelegraph中文. 特朗普的迷因币晚宴预期内容揭秘. (2025)cn.cointelegraph.com
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慢雾科技 Web3Caff (@Lisa). 风险提醒:从 LIBRA 看“政治化”的加密货币骗局. (2025)web3caff.com
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Nasdaq (@Anthony Clarke). How Cryptocurrency Aligns with the Principles of Islamic Finance. (2023)nasdaq.comnasdaq.com
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Cointelegraph Magazine (@Andrew Fenton). DeFi can be halal but not DOGE? Decentralizing Islamic finance. (2023)cointelegraph.com
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@ 08ac89b3:e71dcc17
2025-05-21 02:25:40合わないひとがいたら「1文字目がEすぎる」って思うけど、もしかしたら1文字目がEなのに、生まれ持った要素(見た目とか、声とか、環境とか)のせいでEを発揮しにくい場合、特有のしんどさがあるのかな。自分はIだから経験して無いけど。でも、IやEが生まれ持った要素によって決まっていったのかもしれないし、どんなにEを発揮しにくい要素があってもそれでもなおEなのかもしれないし、どっちが先とかは分からず、ただ現状が存在するのだった。しかも、これは考察にすぎなくて、実際1対1の人間として触れ合ったら、Eのひとの本質と自分(対話相手)の間に「対人ジェル」みたいなものが挟まると思うし、その1文字目がEのひとをどう思うかは、そのジェル越しの印象でいいんだから、対話する前から考察だけで見限ってはいけない、ということを忘れたくない。
When I meet someone who doesn’t quite click with me, I sometimes think, "They're just too much of an E." But then again, maybe there’s a situation where someone has an E personality but their innate qualities—like their appearance, voice, or even their environment—make it harder for them to fully express that E side. Maybe that creates a certain kind of frustration that I haven’t experienced myself, since I’m an I. It’s possible that someone’s I or E is influenced by these factors, and no matter how difficult it is to show their E, they still might be an E deep down. Who knows which came first—the person’s inherent qualities or the E/I trait? Ultimately, I think it’s just about that person as they are right now.
Also, this is just a theory, because in real-life interactions, I think there’s always something like a "social gel" between the true essence of an E person and me (the one engaging with them). How I perceive someone with an E personality should come through that "gel," and I shouldn’t make any judgments or decisions before actually interacting with them. I don’t want to forget it.
- なんでやねんの開かれ具合について
- 5W1H(?)で終わると、それはただの意見じゃなくて対話になる気がしていて、冷たさが無くて良いなと思う
- 結局What?かも
- 関東のひとがムッとならないように表現したい
- 「わろた、草、うける」で終わられるともうどうもしてられないけど、いつやるねん、どこでやるねん、だれがやるねん、なにすんねん、なんでやねん、どうやってやるねん、なんやねん、なに?、って返すと返答の余地が生まれる 気がする なんでやねん どうなってんねん 誰が許すねん
- 上書き失敗したリレーのkind30023の内容はどうなるんだろう リレーによって内容(最終編集日時)が変わることになるのか
- nsec app って切れるまでの秒数設定できないのかな 秒で切れる
- 送信先間違えたっぽいイベントは、るみちゃんで固有リレー設定→確認したいリレーを選んで取得してみれば確認できる?
- そういえばbandに流してる自覚無いのに流れてるのなんでだ
- どっかがbandに自動ブロードキャストみたいなことしてたりするのかな
クライアントによっては○○リレーに流しなさいっていうリレーヒントに従うものもあるからかな
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なんもわからん
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makimono:編集がばりばりできる。nip21にも対応してる。kind10002にデータが無いときは勝手にどっかに流される。nsec.appで署名できる。kind5が流せない。
- flycat:秘密鍵でログインできる。新規作成できるけど、流すだけで読み取りはしないっぽい。上書き(置き換え)はできるけど編集はできない。すぐnos.lolに流そうとしてくるから送信先要確認。kind5が流せない。他クライアント(lumilumiなど)から流したkind5は自動で反映されず、flycat内「設定」の「重複イベントの削除」をやれば反映される。nip21非対応。
- habla:秘密鍵ログインできない、nsec.appもなんか入れない(読み込みから進まない)。公開鍵ログインからの表示確認用。nip21には対応。
- yakihonnne:秘密鍵ログインできる。kind30023の編集ができない(読み込みで進まない)。nip21試してない。
- ほか:
| クライアント | 編集 | 秘密鍵ログイン | nip21対応 | kind5流せるか | その他 | | -------------- | -------------------- | ------- | ------- | --------- | ------------------------------------------- | | makimono | 新規作成、編集可 | 不可 | 対応 | 流せない | kind10002にデータが無いときは自動で他に流される、nsec.appで署名可能 | | flycat | 新規作成、上書き(置き換え)可 | 可能 | 非対応 | 流せない | 送信先要確認、他クライアントから流したkind5は重複イベント削除で反映 | | habla | 未確認 | 不可 | 対応 | 未確認 | nsec.app読み込み不可、公開鍵ログインのみ、表示確認用? | | yakihonnne | 編集不可(読み込みで止まる) | 可能 | 未確認 | 未確認 | 使わなくてよさそう |
https://image.nostr.build/7c624a4f5507180466c99d2afd53587d3feb550a665e04a9a76bb070dcfdf9da.png
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ちゃぴとたゃの間に第三者を挟んで、「○○(乱暴な言葉)」とのことですが…これに寄り添う返答は可能ですか?とか言うと、心が楽
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できるようになったことリストとか作りたいな
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ダルびとのどこがダルいかわかった、声がデカいうえに、言葉が乱暴。。
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@ c9badfea:610f861a
2025-05-20 17:05:41- Install YTDLnis (it's free and open source)
- Launch the app and allow notifications and storage access if prompted
- Go to any supported website or use the YouTube, Instagram, X, or Facebook app
- Tap Share on the post or website URL and select YTDLnis as the sharing destination
- Adjust the settings if desired and tap Download
- You'll be notified when the download finishes
- Enjoy uninterrupted watching!
ℹ️ This app uses
yt-dlp
internally and it's also available as a standalone CLI tool -
@ 0971cd37:53c969f4
2025-05-20 17:00:53ลดต้นทุนค่าไฟ เพิ่มความคุ้มค่าให้การขุด Bitcoin ที่บ้าน ในยุคที่ต้นทุนพลังงานสูงขึ้นอย่างต่อเนื่อง นักขุด Bitcoin ที่บ้าน หรือ Home Miner ต้องคิดให้รอบคอบก่อนเลือกเครื่องขุด เพราะ “แรงขุดสูงสุด” ไม่ได้แปลว่า “กำไรดีที่สุด” อีกต่อไป การเลือกเครื่องขุดไม่ใช่แค่ดูแค่แรงขุด (Hashrate) สูงสุดเท่านั้น แต่ต้องพิจารณาเรื่อง "การกินไฟ" และ "ความคุ้มค่าในการใช้งานระยะยาว" ด้วย ซึ่งสายหนึ่งที่ได้รับความนิยมมากขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ ก็คือ สาย Tuning Power หรือการจูนเครื่องขุดเพื่อให้ได้อัตราส่วน Hashrate/Watt ที่ดีที่สุด
เทรนด์ใหม่ของวงการขุดคือสาย Tuning Power หรือการปรับแต่งพลังงานของเครื่องขุด Bitcoin (ASIC) ให้ได้ ประสิทธิภาพ Hashrate ต่อการใช้พลังงาน (Efficiency) สูงที่สุด ซึ่งเหมาะอย่างยิ่งสำหรับการขุดในบ้านที่มีข้อจำกัดด้านค่าไฟ ความร้อน และ เสียงรบกวน
Tuning Power คืออะไร? Tuning Power คือการปรับลดแรงขุดของเครื่อง ASIC ลงเล็กน้อย เพื่อให้กินไฟน้อยลงแบบชัดเจน
ตัวอย่างเช่น Custom Firmware Braiins OS ใช้กับ Antminer S19jpro จากเดิมแรงขุด 104 TH/s กินไฟ 3,500W เมื่อปรับแต่งในส่วน Power Target จูนเหลือ 75 TH/s อาจกินไฟแค่ 1,600W-1,800W หลังจาก Tuning ค่าประสิทธิภาพ(Efficiency)ดีขึ้น เช่น จาก 32 J/TH เหลือเพียง 22–20 J/TH
หมายเหตุ: ค่า Efficiency ยิ่งต่ำ ยิ่งดี แปลว่าใช้พลังงานน้อยต่อ 1 TH
ทำไมต้อง Tuning Power? การจูนพลังงาน (Tuning Power) คือการปรับแต่งเครื่องขุด เช่น ASIC ให้ทำงานที่แรงขุดไม่เต็ม 100% แต่กินไฟน้อยลงอย่างชัดเจน ส่งผลให้:
- ประหยัดค่าไฟ โดยเฉพาะถ้าขุดในพื้นที่ต้นทุนพลังงานค่าไฟสูงหรือไม่มี TOU (Time of Use) และ เหมาะสำหรับผู้ใช้ไฟแบบ TOU ที่ค่าไฟกลางวัน ON-Peak แพง ต้องการขุดเลือกช่วงกลางคืนและวันหยุดเสาร์-อาทิตย์ และ วันหยุดราชการตามปกติ Off-Peak , ที่ใช้ระบบ Solar หรือมีระบบ Battery ต้องการประหยัดไฟ
- ลดความร้อนของเครื่อง ทำให้ยืดอายุการใช้งานและลดค่าใช้จ่ายด้าน ซำบำรุง ระบบระบายความร้อน
- เพิ่มความคุ้มค่า ในช่วงตลาดหมี ที่กำไรจากการขุดต่ำ การลดต้นทุนไฟฟ้าคือทางรอดหลัก
เครื่องขุด Bitcoin (ASIC) รุ่นไหน ที่เหมาะกับสาย Tuning Power
-
Antminer รองรับ Custom Firmware เช่น Braiins OS ที่เป็นยอดนิยมในการ Tuning Power
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WhatsMiner M30-M60s Series ขึ้นไป ใช้โปรแกรม WhatsMinerTool เพื่อทำการ Tuning Power ได้โดยตรงไม่จำเป็นต้อง Custom Firmware
สรุป การเป็น Home Miner ที่ยั่งยืนไม่ได้ขึ้นกับว่าเครื่องขุดแรงแค่ไหน แต่ขึ้นกับว่า “จ่ายค่าไฟแล้วเหลือกำไรหรือไม่ หรือ จ่ายค่าไฟแล้วคุ้มค้ารายได้ Bitcoin จากการขุดจำนวนที่ได้รับมากขึ้นหรือไม่” การเลือกเครื่องขุดสำหรับสาย Tuning Power จึงเป็นทางเลือกที่ตอบโจทย์ผู้ที่ต้องการประสิทธิภาพสูงในต้นทุนที่ควบคุมได้โดยเฉพาะในยุคที่ตลาดผันผวน และ ค่าไฟฟ้าคือศัตรูตัวจริงของนักขุด
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-20 15:50:48For years American bitcoin miners have argued for more efficient and free energy markets. It benefits everyone if our energy infrastructure is as efficient and robust as possible. Unfortunately, broken incentives have led to increased regulation throughout the sector, incentivizing less efficient energy sources such as solar and wind at the detriment of more efficient alternatives.
The result has been less reliable energy infrastructure for all Americans and increased energy costs across the board. This naturally has a direct impact on bitcoin miners: increased energy costs make them less competitive globally.
Bitcoin mining represents a global energy market that does not require permission to participate. Anyone can plug a mining computer into power and internet to get paid the current dynamic market price for their work in bitcoin. Using cellphone or satellite internet, these mines can be located anywhere in the world, sourcing the cheapest power available.
Absent of regulation, bitcoin mining naturally incentivizes the build out of highly efficient and robust energy infrastructure. Unfortunately that world does not exist and burdensome regulations remain the biggest threat for US based mining businesses. Jurisdictional arbitrage gives miners the option of moving to a friendlier country but that naturally comes with its own costs.
Enter AI. With the rapid development and release of AI tools comes the requirement of running massive datacenters for their models. Major tech companies are scrambling to secure machines, rack space, and cheap energy to run full suites of AI enabled tools and services. The most valuable and powerful tech companies in America have stumbled into an accidental alliance with bitcoin miners: THE NEED FOR CHEAP AND RELIABLE ENERGY.
Our government is corrupt. Money talks. These companies will push for energy freedom and it will greatly benefit us all.
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-05-20 15:50:22There is something quietly rebellious about stacking sats. In a world obsessed with instant gratification, choosing to patiently accumulate Bitcoin, one sat at a time, feels like a middle finger to the hype machine. But to do it right, you have got to stay humble. Stack too hard with your head in the clouds, and you will trip over your own ego before the next halving even hits.
Small Wins
Stacking sats is not glamorous. Discipline. Stacking every day, week, or month, no matter the price, and letting time do the heavy lifting. Humility lives in that consistency. You are not trying to outsmart the market or prove you are the next "crypto" prophet. Just a regular person, betting on a system you believe in, one humble stack at a time. Folks get rekt chasing the highs. They ape into some shitcoin pump, shout about it online, then go silent when they inevitably get rekt. The ones who last? They stack. Just keep showing up. Consistency. Humility in action. Know the game is long, and you are not bigger than it.
Ego is Volatile
Bitcoin’s swings can mess with your head. One day you are up 20%, feeling like a genius and the next down 30%, questioning everything. Ego will have you panic selling at the bottom or over leveraging the top. Staying humble means patience, a true bitcoin zen. Do not try to "beat” Bitcoin. Ride it. Stack what you can afford, live your life, and let compounding work its magic.
Simplicity
There is a beauty in how stacking sats forces you to rethink value. A sat is worth less than a penny today, but every time you grab a few thousand, you plant a seed. It is not about flaunting wealth but rather building it, quietly, without fanfare. That mindset spills over. Cut out the noise: the overpriced coffee, fancy watches, the status games that drain your wallet. Humility is good for your soul and your stack. I have a buddy who has been stacking since 2015. Never talks about it unless you ask. Lives in a decent place, drives an old truck, and just keeps stacking. He is not chasing clout, he is chasing freedom. That is the vibe: less ego, more sats, all grounded in life.
The Big Picture
Stack those sats. Do it quietly, do it consistently, and do not let the green days puff you up or the red days break you down. Humility is the secret sauce, it keeps you grounded while the world spins wild. In a decade, when you look back and smile, it will not be because you shouted the loudest. It will be because you stayed the course, one sat at a time. \ \ Stay Humble and Stack Sats. 🫡
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@ bbb5dda0:f09e2747
2025-05-20 13:33:59My week 19 started with a celebration of 80 years of liberation from the Germans (we love you guys now tho 🫶🏼). It feels conflicting, we're celebrating freedom, whilst cutting down those freedoms day by day more rapidly as time progresses. Should we still celebrate...?
The current path back to freedom can be mundane in the day to day but I wouldn't wanna have it any other way. These last couple weeks I've continued working on our TollGate pipelines to facilitate our release cycle, make it faster and easier to release in quick succession. There's been a lot of details to get right, because our releases are nostr based and once people start relying on the structure of the events we can't easily change it.
A TollGateOS release event now looks like this NIP-94 file metadata event:
json { "id": "a867f15ca7edc95a69e1557539a624466147584f68c62a16c47fe9bca3778312", "pubkey": "5075e61f0b048148b60105c1dd72bbeae1957336ae5824087e52efa374f8416a", "created_at": 1747475980, "kind": 1063, "tags": [ [ "url", "https://blossom.swissdash.site/9e5e8c48810a1b59cf10fa56486f311e048a0305eb58444992b6133fd19fcb3e.bin" ], [ "m", "application/octet-stream" ], [ "x", "9e5e8c48810a1b59cf10fa56486f311e048a0305eb58444992b6133fd19fcb3e" ], [ "ox", "9e5e8c48810a1b59cf10fa56486f311e048a0305eb58444992b6133fd19fcb3e" ], [ "architecture", "aarch64_cortex-a53" ], [ "device_id", "glinet_gl-mt3000" ], [ "supported_devices", "glinet,gl-mt3000 glinet,mt3000-snand" ], [ "openwrt_version", "24.10.1" ], [ "tollgate_os_version", "v0.0.2" ], [ "release_channel", "stable" ] ], "content": "TollGate OS Firmware for glinet_gl-mt3000", "sig": "1d050233428304685d202e954cb48714c800a7ca5f2d6a8d8fd657a775b9c51bf83364505311859c846e25098168a8ff309af2308712aafe634fcbdc96fcd84a" }
One of the missing links was the
supported_devices
tag. That is because the installer checks the device name by ssh-ing into the router and it returns theglinet,gl-mt3000
which doesn't properly translate into thedevice_id
, which is what's used for compiling the OS. So this helps us to do the lookups and compatibility checks in the installer.I also worked on: - getting the versioning of the tollgate-basic package's naming in line with the OpenWRT naming convention. - Rework versioning for dev builds into
[branchname].[commit_height].[commit_hash]
which will show up on thedev
release_channel
releases. - Getting an initial release of the tollgate-installer done, so we can easily flash a bunch of routers to become TollGates.Bright minds in Prague
I met up with some bright minds from the space in Prague where @cobrador and i did a workshop on turning routers into TollGates and start earning sats. As is part of building things, things break and people make us aware of issues that we wouldn't foresee. Like for some reason Minibits cashu tokens being rejected, which is likely because of the memo's but we still need to dive into that issue.
Also we released [v0.0.2] of TollGate OS, which now includes an updater feature, again for faster release cycles. Currently we're focussing on getting a v0.0.3 out quickly with fixes for the user feedback we've gathered so far!
Receipt.Cash
I also, kind of unplanned, saw an opportunity to shill Receipt.Cash. I'd made a few improvements recently and it's ready enough for reckless people to try it out ;).
|
|
| | | | Payer Scans any fiat receipt & Share link with friends | Friends tap what they had, price is auto-converted to sats, then pay by Lightning or Cashu. | If you want to try it, BE CAREFUL! It is highly experimental and you might lose your sats, no refunds!
Source Code here.
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@ 3770c235:16042bcc
2025-05-20 13:27:03In recent years, a remarkable transformation has taken place in the way people view and utilize their homes. No longer confined to the four walls of traditional interior spaces, homeowners are increasingly turning their attention outward—toward their own backyards. The concept of outdoor living has evolved from mere patio furniture and barbecues to fully functional living environments, equipped with kitchens, entertainment systems, and even workspaces.
This growing trend is not just a design choice; it reflects changing lifestyles, shifting priorities, and a reimagining of what it means to feel at home. The rise of outdoor living is more than a fad—it's a movement, and it's here to stay.
**A Shift in Lifestyle and Values ** At the heart of the outdoor living boom is a deeper shift in how people value their time, environment, and personal space. The COVID-19 pandemic played a significant role in this evolution. Lockdowns and restrictions forced many to reassess their living situations, seeking ways to make the most of what they already had. The backyard, once overlooked, suddenly became a sanctuary—a space to breathe, gather, and escape the monotony of indoor life.
According to a 2021 study by the International Casual Furnishings Association, over 90% of Americans with outdoor living space report that it is more valuable to them than ever before, with nearly 60% saying they upgraded their outdoor spaces during the pandemic source.
This change in perception is not solely pandemic-related. There's a growing emphasis on wellness, mindfulness, and balance. People are looking to nature for inspiration and relaxation. Outdoor living spaces—be they modest balconies or expansive decks—allow homeowners to connect with nature without leaving the comfort of home.
Redefining the Backyard: From Playgrounds to Living Rooms
Traditionally, the backyard has served specific purposes—gardening, children’s play areas, maybe a grill tucked in the corner. Today, backyards are being reimagined as multi-functional extensions of the home.
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Outdoor Kitchens and Dining Areas Once considered a luxury, outdoor kitchens have become increasingly common. With built-in grills, pizza ovens, refrigerators, sinks, and full countertops, these outdoor culinary spaces rival their indoor counterparts. The convenience of preparing and serving meals outside is matched by the social benefit: cooking becomes a shared experience.
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Living and Lounge Areas Outdoor seating now goes far beyond foldable lawn chairs. Modular sectionals, fire pits, weather-resistant rugs, and even smart lighting have turned patios into legitimate living rooms under the sky. Some include mounted TVs, Bluetooth speakers, and retractable canopies or pergolas for all-weather comfort.
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Work and Study Zones Remote work has blurred the boundaries between office and home. Now, it’s expanding into the outdoors. With Wi-Fi extenders, weather-protected furniture, and shade structures, backyards are becoming viable home office environments, perfect for Zoom calls with a natural backdrop.
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Wellness Retreats From hot tubs and saunas to yoga decks and meditation gardens, outdoor spaces are being tailored to support wellness. These personal sanctuaries offer solitude and stress relief, all within the perimeter of one's property.
The Role of Technology and Innovation Modern outdoor spaces owe much of their versatility to advances in technology and materials. Weather-resistant fabrics, composite decking, solar lighting, and smart irrigation systems have all expanded what's possible in backyard design.
Smart home technology has also made its way outdoors. Lighting can be automated or voice-controlled. Outdoor speakers can be synced across zones. Even grills can be connected to apps that monitor cooking temperatures. These innovations allow outdoor living to be both luxurious and convenient, requiring minimal maintenance while offering maximum comfort.
**Economic Impact and Value Addition ** Investing in outdoor living isn't just about lifestyle—it’s also smart economics. Outdoor upgrades can significantly boost a home's resale value. A well-designed patio or outdoor kitchen can yield a return on investment (ROI) of up to 80%, according to the National Association of Realtors. In fact, data from Houzz shows that nearly 57% of homeowners are investing in their outdoor spaces specifically to increase resale value source.
This financial motivation has fueled demand for landscape architects, outdoor furniture designers, and construction professionals specializing in outdoor living projects. As a result, the industry surrounding outdoor enhancements—from pergola manufacturers to luxury fire pit designers—has seen exponential growth.
Environmental Considerations and Sustainability As outdoor living becomes more popular, so does the demand for environmentally conscious design. Homeowners are increasingly incorporating sustainable elements into their outdoor plans, including: • Native plant landscaping: Reduces water usage and supports local ecosystems. • Rainwater harvesting systems: Collect and store rain for garden irrigation. • Solar-powered lighting: Minimizes energy consumption while maximizing ambiance. • Permeable paving materials: Reduce runoff and promote groundwater recharge. Green living isn't just a buzzword—it’s influencing how people design their outdoor sanctuaries. Eco-conscious homeowners are prioritizing sustainability as much as aesthetics, ensuring their outdoor spaces are in harmony with nature, not in conflict with it.
The Social Connection
Outdoor living also taps into our basic need for connection. From summer barbecues to cozy firepit gatherings, the backyard is an ideal setting for meaningful social interactions. During a time when indoor gatherings have been restricted or limited, outdoor spaces have offered a safer, more accessible alternative.
Community ties can also be strengthened through outdoor living. In urban settings, rooftop terraces or shared gardens create communal spaces for neighbors to engage, collaborate, and unwind. For families, these outdoor extensions offer a way to spend quality time together—whether through games, meals, or simply enjoying the open air. For individuals, they provide a space to recharge, free from the digital and physical clutter of indoor life.
Customization and Personalization
One of the most appealing aspects of outdoor living is the high degree of customization available. Unlike interior spaces that may be limited by architectural constraints, outdoor areas can often be more flexible in layout and design.
Homeowners can craft outdoor environments that reflect their personalities and values: • The entertainer may opt for a bar area, ambient lighting, and surround sound. • The minimalist might choose clean lines, neutral tones, and eco-friendly materials. • The nature-lover may emphasize greenery, water features, and natural textures. DIY options also abound, allowing for creative freedom and budget-friendly upgrades. Raised garden beds, handmade furniture, repurposed materials, and vertical planters give individuals the opportunity to leave their personal mark on the space.
The Influence of Global Design Trends Outdoor living isn’t confined to North America. Around the world, cultures have long embraced outdoor spaces—from Japanese zen gardens to Mediterranean courtyards. The current global design conversation draws inspiration from a variety of traditions and climates.
Scandinavian principles of simplicity and functionality influence clean-lined, open-air designs, while tropical resorts have inspired lush, greenery-filled retreats in suburban settings. The blending of international styles enables homeowners to create outdoor spaces that are both eclectic and functional.
Looking Ahead: The Future of Outdoor Living The trajectory of outdoor living points to continued growth, innovation, and integration. Here are some trends likely to define the next decade:
- Year-Round Use With heating lamps, insulated pergolas, and all-weather furniture, outdoor spaces are becoming viable in all seasons. Expect to see more designs tailored for winter, including hot tubs, enclosed lounges, and warm lighting features.
- Outdoor Smart Hubs Technology will play an even greater role, with integrated outdoor control systems for lighting, security, irrigation, and entertainment—managed through a single device or app.
- Edible Landscaping Gardens will not only be for beauty but also for sustenance. Raised vegetable beds, fruit trees, and herb walls will become staples in functional outdoor design.
- Modular Design Portable and adaptable elements like movable walls, foldable furniture, and hybrid indoor-outdoor structures will offer more flexibility, especially in smaller spaces.
- Wellness Integration Expect an even stronger emphasis on health and well-being—cold plunge pools, outdoor gyms, meditation pods, and immersive natural soundscapes will take center stage.
Conclusion The rise of outdoor living is not just a design phenomenon—it’s a cultural shift. Homeowners are recognizing the value of outdoor spaces as extensions of their identities, routines, and dreams. Whether it's a serene garden, a vibrant entertainment hub, or a cozy work nook, the backyard is being redefined as a vital part of the home. In a world that often feels fast-paced and digitally overloaded, outdoor living offers a much-needed antidote: space to breathe, relax, connect, and thrive. It’s about more than upgrading the home—it’s about enhancing the human experience. As this trend continues to evolve, one thing is clear: the best room in the house may not be inside at all.
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@ bc6ccd13:f53098e4
2025-05-21 02:04:25This article is slightly outside my normal writing focus. But it’s something everyone deserves to know, and take advantage of if they like. Before you click away, this isn’t a sports betting “system” or “strategy”. This is for anyone living in or near a state that has legalized online sports betting. It’s a way to take advantage of the new customer sign up bonuses these online sportsbooks give, by using free online tools to convert those bonuses into $2,000 or more in cash per person, depending on your state. It doesn’t require you to know anything whatsoever about sports, gambling, sports betting, odds, math, or anything like that. It doesn’t involve taking risks with your money. All you need is some capital (around $3-5,000 would be ideal), a smartphone, a legal sports betting state, and this guide.
Concepts and Principles
Online sports betting is now legal in 30 US states. You can check legality in your state on the map here. If you’re in a state with legal mobile betting, or close enough that you’d be willing to drive there, you can benefit from this guide.
Most states with legalized betting have multiple different sports books competing for customers. To attract new customers, many of them offer various types of bonus offers when you initially sign up. The idea is that once you sign up and place a bet, you’re likely to continue betting in the future. So the sportsbook doesn’t mind losing money on your first wager, because they’ll make it back over time. That leaves an opportunity for someone to just take the free money and leave, if they want to do that. It’s completely legal, and if you follow this guide, also risk free.
The bonuses vary in size, but are usually larger the first few months after a state legalizes online betting, since sportsbooks are competing heavily to attract the new customers to their site. But most states will have a combined $3-5,000 in bonuses available at any time across 4-8 sportsbooks. You can find the available offers in your state by searching “covers sports betting promo offers \
”. For example for Maryland, we’d end up up at covers.com on a page like this. The basic concept is that we open accounts on multiple sites, sign up for their bonus offers, then bet both sides of the same sports game but on 2 different sites. That way it doesn’t matter which team wins, we collect the free bonus money with no risk.
Actually doing it is a bit more nuanced, but I’ll explain it step by step and illustrate with plenty of screenshots to make sure you can follow along.
First, you want to find the offers for your state, and sign up for the sites with the offers you want to convert. For Maryland, if we scroll on down at covers.com, we’ll find this list of offers.
The larger offers are of course more worthwhile, so if I were in Maryland, I would first sign up for Caesars, DraftKings, BetMGM, and ESPN BET. Since you’ll also want another site to hedge your bets, I’d also sign up for FanDuel. You can download their apps, set up your accounts, and familiarize yourself with the deposit methods that are available.
Risk-Free Bets
These are the most common bonus offers you’ll find. They’ll also be called No Sweat Bets, Second Chance Bets, First Bet Insurance, Bonus Bets, First Bets, etc. Always make sure you check the details of the promotion you’re using to make sure it’s a Risk-Free Bet, and what the terms and details of the offer are. The four offers from the sites above for Maryland all fall under the category of risk-free bets.
The concept of this offer is simple: you open an account, deposit some money, and make a bet. The very first bet (MAKE SURE YOU GET THIS RIGHT) will be your risk-free bet. If you win that first bet, cool, you get the winnings from that bet and can withdraw it. If you lose your first bet, the risk-free bet kicks in, and you get a free bet deposited into your account equal to the amount of your first bet. So you basically get a do-over if you lose the first one.
Now you won’t be able to just withdraw the free bet in cash if you lose and get your money back. That would be too easy. The risk-free bet is a bet, you can only use it to bet on another game. If you win that second wager, you can withdraw your winnings. But if you don’t, you can still win by hedging your bets on a different sportsbook. That’s what I’m going to show you.
To find which games to bet on and how much to bet, you’ll need to use a different free website. Go to Crazy Ninja Odds.
Go to Settings in the top right corner, uncheck the sites you aren’t using.
Now go back to Home. Click on Risk-free bet page.
Now we need to choose an offer to convert. Let’s choose our Caesars $1,000 First Bet. We can walk through the steps first, to see which game we want to bet and how much we need to deposit.
First, starting at the top, under “Reward” we’ll enter 100%. With this offer, if we lose our first bet, we get a free bonus bet of 100% of the amount of our first bet, up to $1,000.
Next, we’ll select “Free bet (70%)”. Our free bonus bet will be convertible at about 70%, but that’s not something we need to understand right now. Just check the box and move on.
Next, open “Risk Free Bet Sportsbook” and select Caesars.
Now the page should be filled out like this.
Click “Update” at the bottom. Scroll down, and you’ll see a chart like this.
If none of this means anything to you, that’s fine. I’ll walk you through exactly what to do.
The bets are sorted by ranking from best to worst value. So we always want to choose the top bets unless we have a reason not to. In this case, we are making our risk-free bet on Caesars, and we want to hedge on the site where we aren’t trying to convert any offers, FanDuel. So we want to look at the second column on the right, Hedge Bet Sportsbook. Go down the column until you find FanDuel. In that row, the third column from the left has a “Calc” button. I’ve highlighted the button here.
Click the button. You’ll get a popup that looks like this.
So this is an NHL hockey game between the Dallas Stars and the Edmonton Oilers. If you know absolutely nothing about hockey, perfect. Neither do I. The important thing is that this shows us which wagers to place, and for how much. The left column is our Risk-Free Bet on Caesars, and the right column is our Hedge on FanDuel.
Our first decision is how much to wager. You’ll see that the Caesars wager is currently set to $100. But remember, our First Bet offer is for up to $1,000. You can wager any amount up to $1,000, but you’ll only get one shot at this offer, so if you wager less than $1,000, you won’t get the full benefit of the offer, and you’ll never be able to go back and use the rest in the future. It’s one shot. So my advice is wager $1,000, there’s no good reason not to. So we’ll change the wager amount to $1,000.
Now you can see that our risk-free bet is Edmonton Oilers -1.5 for $1,000, and our hedge bet is Dallas Stars +1.5 for $1,604.93. If you don’t know what that means, that’s fine. What you need to know is that you’ll need to deposit at least $1,000 into your Caesars account, and at least $1,604.93 into your FanDuel account. When that’s done, you can check the bets on each site to make sure the odds are accurate. They change constantly, so it’s always good to check both sites just before placing a bet.
First, we’ll open up the Caesars app and search for “Edmonton Oilers.” Sure enough, the game pops up.
Then we’ll click on that game and open it up
There are four things we want to check on each bet before placing it. I’ve highlighted them above. We have the Edmonton Oilers -1.5, odds of +196, a wager of $1,000, and a payout of $2,960. If we compare that with the correct column in our Risk-Free Bet Calculator, we’ll see that everything is correct.
Now we want to do the same for the FanDuel hedge. We’ll open the FanDuels app and search for “Dallas Stars” and find the same game against the Oilers.
Here we can see the first problem. The spread we see here is -1.5, odds of +225. Our Risk-Free Bet Calculator is asking for Dallas Stars +1.5, odds -245. So we need to select a different line. Farther down the page you’ll see “Series Alternate Handicap.” Open that, and you’ll see Dallas Stars +1.5.
This is the bet we’re looking for. But you’ll also notice that the odds are -225 instead of -245. So we can select this bet, but we need to go back to our Risk-Free Bet Calculator and change the odds to get the correct amount to bet on this line.
So go back to the calculator and change -245 to -225. You’ll see this.
As you can see, the amount of the wager has changed to $1,564.62. So we can go back to FanDuel, select Dallas Stars +1.5, odds -225, and enter our updated wager amount.
As you can see, when we add the “Wager” and the “To Win” amount, we get $2,260.01. Looking at our calculator, that’s the exact number in our “Payout” row. So these are the bets we need to make.
Now that we’ve double checked everything, we can go back and make our $1,000 bet on Caesars, and immediately go make our $1,564.62 bet on FanDuel.
Awesome!
Now what? Well, our job is done. We just wait to see which team wins. Not that it matters to us either way. But which team wins will determine our next step.
Looking at our calculator again, there are two possible outcomes.
The first outcome is the Edmonton Oilers win. In that case, our Caesars bet will payout $2,960, while our FanDuel bet will be a total loss. Here’s how we do the math on that scenario.
We start with our $2,960 Caesars balance. We subtract our $1,564.62 FanDuel bet (which was a loss). Then we subtract the $1,000 we initially deposited and wagered on Caesars. This leaves us with a profit of $395.38! Not bad for a one day return on $2,564.62, while taking no risk.
Now for the second scenario. That would be if the Dallas Stars win. In that case, our Caesars bet is a total loss. Our FanDuel bet pays our $2,260.01
So to calculate our profit here, we start with our payout of $2,260.01, subtract our wager of $1,564.62, subtract our Caesars wager of $1,000 (which was a loss), and then add 70% of our free bonus Caesars bet of $1,000, or $700 (more on that in a minute). Once again, that gives us a profit of $395.39.
Now back to the free bonus bet. Since our Caesars bet lost, we qualified for the promotional payout. If we check the Caesars app, we should see a bonus bet of $1,000 in our balance. Remember I said that you can’t just withdraw the bonus bet? This situation is where that becomes an issue. So we have to place a $1,000 wager with Caesars before we can withdraw that money. The problem with that is, what if our second wager also loses? Then we lose money on the entire process. That’s where the 70% number comes in. We’ll use a similar process when making that $1,000 wager, by hedging on a second site once again. By doing that, we’ll be guaranteed to collect around 70% of the wager, or $700. I’ll explain that in the next section.
Free Bets
This is the name for the bet we get if we lose our initial bet on a site with a Risk-Free Bet offer. This is just what it sounds like, a free bet. You can bet the amount on a game, and if you win, the winnings are your money. You’re free to withdraw that cash.
How do we ensure we still make a profit, even if our free bet loses? Well, Crazy Ninja Odds can help once again. Go back to their homepage, and this time click on Free Bets instead of Risk Free Bets. This time all we need to do is enter the sportsbook, Caesars, and click “update.” We’ll get a chart like this.
You know the drill by now. We find the first option on our Hedge Bet Sportsbook, FanDuel. This time it’s highlighted on the second row. Click “Calc.”
This is a money line bet, so it’s slightly different than the first one, but you won’t have any trouble figuring it out this time. You can check Caesars, and you’ll find the money line bet of $1,000 on the Pacers at +222, with a payout of $2,220.
Make sure you select your free bonus bet when you make the wager. If you lost your initial $1,000 deposit and didn’t deposit again, that should be your only option. It will look slightly different than this, since when you use a free bet, your payout won’t include the initial $1,000 wager, so it will read $2,220 instead of $3,220. I don’t have the free offer in my account so I can’t show you the exact screenshot, but you’ll be able to figure it out.
Then jump over to the other side of the game on FanDuel.
You’ll notice that the line is -275 instead of -270 like your calculator said. By now you know how to go back and change the odds in the calculator to get this.
Once again, you’ll want to make a $1,628 wager on the Boston Celtics at -275 to hedge your $1,000 free bonus bet on the Indiana Pacers at +222.
I could go through the math again, but you know how to do it now. You can look at the profit line and see that both outcomes will pay $592. If you remember, our initial bet used 70% of $1,000, or $700, as a bonus bet profit target. So given the odds available on this particular day, you’ll end up with just over $100 less profit if you need to convert the bonus bet than you’ll make if your first Caesars bet wins. That’s unfortunate, but just a result of games and odds available on a particular day. Getting a higher conversion rate would require more complex strategies, and this guide is long enough already.
Next Steps
Once you’ve successfully completed your initial offer, you can continue to do the same process for each additional sportsbook available in your state. And as you work through the offers on one site, you can then use that site to hedge the next site you sign up for.
There are a few things to keep in mind. Your free bonus bets are usually time limited. That means if your first bet loses, you often have as little as 7 days to use the free bonus bet before it disappears. So make sure you stay on top of your offers and play them before they expire. If you aren’t sure whether you qualify for a specific promotional offer, reach out to customer support before placing any bets. They’ll be able to explain exactly which offers you qualify for and how to access them.
Once you sign up and start betting, you’ll likely start getting more offers in the apps. They might be free bets, in which case you already know how to play them. But there are other offers as well, some of which you can do in a risk free way. If this guide gets enough interest, I may write more about how to handle other types of offers.
These offers will be available once to each person. So you can play them once, and that’s it. But you can also help each member of your family or close friends sign up and show them how to play the offers, or do it for them. Just be careful with your money management, since there will be a significant capital investment up front. If you’re putting up the capital, make sure it’s someone you fully trust with control of that money.
If there’s enough interest, I may also put together a guide on how you can do this with family members or friends who live anywhere, even if they’re not in a state with legal sports betting.
Most of all, be safe, don’t tie up capital you need for your daily life, and make sure you understand each offer and how to exploit it before placing any wagers.
If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me and I’ll do my best to help you in any way I can.
Best of luck!
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@ bc6ccd13:f53098e4
2025-05-21 01:12:30The global population has been rising rapidly for the past two centuries when compared to historical trends. Fifty years ago, that trend seemed set to continue, and there was a lot of concern around the issue of overpopulation. But if you haven’t been living under a rock, you’ll know that while the population is still rising, that trend now seems set to reverse this century, and there’s every indication population could decline precipitously over the next two centuries.
Demographics is a field where predictions about the future are much more reliable than in most scientific fields. That’s because future population trends are “baked in” decades in advance. If you want to know how many fifty-year-olds there will be in forty years, all you have to do is count the ten-year-olds today and allow for mortality rates. That maximum was already determined by the number of births ten years ago, and absolutely nothing can change that now. The average person doesn’t think that through when they look at population trends. You hear a lot of “oh we just need to do more of x to help the declining birthrate” without an acknowledgement that future populations in a given cohort are already fixed by the number of births that already occurred.
As you can see, global birthrates have already declined close to the 2.3 replacement level, with some regions ahead of others, but all on the same trajectory with no region moving against the trend. I’m not going to speculate on the reasons for this, or even whether it’s a good or bad thing. Instead I’m going to make some observations about outcomes this trend could cause economically, and why. Like most macro issues, an individual can’t do anything to change the global landscape personally, but knowing what that landscape might look like is essential to avoiding fallout from trends outside your control.
The Resource Pie
Thomas Malthus popularized the concern about overpopulation with his 1798 book An Essay on the Principle of Population. The basic premise of the book was that population could grow and consume all the available resources, leading to mass poverty, starvation, disease, and population collapse. We can say in hindsight that this was incorrect, given that the global population has increased from less than a billion to over eight billion since then, and the apocalypse Malthus predicted hasn’t materialized. Exactly the opposite, in fact. The global standard of living has risen to levels Malthus couldn’t have imagined, much less predicted.
So where did Malthus go wrong? His hypothesis seems reasonable enough, and we do see a similar trend in certain animal populations. The base assumption Malthus got wrong was to assume resources are a finite, limiting factor to the human population. That at some point certain resources would be totally consumed, and that would be it. He treated it like a pie with a lot of slices, but still a finite number, and assumed that if the population kept rising, eventually every slice would be consumed and there would be no pie left for future generations. That turns out to be completely wrong.
Of course, the earth is finite at some abstract level. The number of atoms could theoretically be counted and quantified. But on a practical level, do humans exhaust the earth’s resources? I’d point to an article from Yale Scientific titled Has the Earth Run out of any Natural Resources? To quote,
> However, despite what doomsday predictions may suggest, the Earth has not run out of any resources nor is it likely that it will run out of any in the near future. > > In fact, resources are becoming more abundant. Though this may seem puzzling, it does not mean that the actual quantity of resources in the Earth’s crust is increasing but rather that the amount available for our use is constantly growing due to technological innovations. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, the only resource we have exhausted is cryolite, a mineral used in pesticides and aluminum processing. However, that is not to say every bit of it has been mined away; rather, producing it synthetically is much more cost efficient than mining the existing reserves at its current value.
As it happens, we don’t run out of resources. Instead, we become better at finding, extracting, and efficiently utilizing resources, which means that in practical terms resources become more abundant, not less. In other words, the pie grows faster than we can eat it.
So is there any resource that actually limits human potential? I think there is, and history would suggest that resource is human ingenuity and effort. The more people are thinking about and working on a problem, the more solutions we find and build to solve it. That means not only does the pie grow faster than we can eat it, but the more people there are, the faster the pie grows. Of course that assumes everyone eating pie is also working to grow the pie, but that’s a separate issue for now.
Productivity and Division of Labor
Why does having more people lead to more productivity? A big part of it comes down to division of labor and specialization. The best way to get really good at something is to do more of it. In a small community, doing just one thing simply isn’t possible. Everyone has to be somewhat of a generalist in order to survive. But with a larger population, being a specialist becomes possible. In fact, that’s the purpose of money, as I explained here.
<https://primal.net/f0xr/_-MfVPUpEA4G_6ulVi_HB>
The more specialized an economy becomes, the more efficient it can be. There are big economies of scale in almost every task or process. So for example, if a single person tried to build a car from scratch, it would be extremely difficult and take a very long time. However, if you have a thousand people building a car, each doing a specific job, they can become very good at doing that specific job and do it much faster. And then you can move that process to a factory, and build machines to do specific jobs, and add even more efficiency.
But that only works if you’re building more than one car. It doesn’t make sense to build a huge factory full of specialized equipment that takes lots of time and effort to design and manufacture, and then only build one car. You need to sell thousands of cars, maybe even millions of cars, to pay off that initial investment. So division of labor and specialization relies on large populations in two different ways. First, you need a large population to have enough people to specialize in each task. But second and just as importantly, you need a large population of buyers for the finished product. You need a big market in order to make mass production economical.
Think of a computer or smartphone. It takes thousands of specialized processes, thousands of complex parts, and millions of people doing specialized jobs to extract the raw materials, process them, and assemble them into a piece of electronic hardware. And electronics are relatively expensive anyway. Imagine how impossible it would be to manufacture electronics economically, if the market demand wasn’t literally in the billions of units.
Stairs Up, Elevator Down
We’ve seen exponential increases in productivity over the past few centuries, resulting in higher living standards even as population exploded. Now, facing the prospect of a drastic trend reversal, what will happen to productivity and living standards? The typical sentiment seems to be “well, there are a lot of people already competing for resources, so if population does decline, that will just reduce the competition and leave a bigger slice of pie for each person, so we’ll all be getting wealthier as a result of population decline.”
This seems reasonable at first glance. Surely dividing the economic pie into fewer slices means a bigger slice for everyone, right? But remember, more specialization and division of labor is what made the pie as big as it is to begin with. And specialization depends on large populations for both the supply of specialized labor, and the demand for finished goods. Can complex supply chains and mass production withstand population reduction intact? I don’t think the answer is clear.
The idea that it will all be okay, and we’ll get wealthier as population falls, is based on some faulty assumptions. It assumes that wealth is basically some fixed inventory of “things” that exist, and it’s all a matter of distribution. That’s typical Marxist thinking, similar to the reasoning behind “tax the rich” and other utopian wealth transfer schemes.
The reality is, wealth is a dynamic concept with strong network effects. For example, a grocery store in a large city can be a valuable asset with a large potential income stream. The same store in a small village with a declining population can be an unprofitable and effectively worthless liability.
Even something as permanent as a house is very susceptible to network effects. If you currently live in an area where housing is scarce and expensive, you might think a declining population would be the perfect solution to high housing costs. However, if you look at a place that’s already facing the beginnings of a population decline, you’ll see it’s not actually that simple. Japan, for example, is already facing an aging and declining population. And sure enough, you can get a house in Japan for free, or basically free. Sounds amazing, right? Not really.
If you check out the reason houses are given away in Japan, you’ll find a depressing reality. Most of the free houses are in rural areas or villages where the population is declining, often to the point that the village becomes uninhabited and abandoned. It’s so bad that in 2018, 13.6% of houses in Japan were vacant. Why do villages become uninhabited? Well, it turns out that a certain population level is necessary to support the services and businesses people need. When the population falls too low, specialized businesses can no longer operated profitably. It’s the exact issue we discussed with division of labor and the need for a high population to provide a market for the specialist to survive. As the local stores, entertainment venues, and businesses close, and skilled tradesmen move away to larger population centers with more customers, living in the village becomes difficult and depressing, if not impossible. So at a certain critical level, a village that’s too isolated will reach a tipping point where everyone leaves as fast as possible. And it turns out that an abandoned house in a remote village or rural area without any nearby services and businesses is worth… nothing. Nobody wants to live there, nobody wants to spend the money to maintain the house, nobody wants to pay the taxes needed to maintain the utilities the town relied on. So they try to give the houses away to anyone who agrees to live there, often without much success.
So on a local level, population might rise gradually over time, but when that process reverses and population declines to a certain level, it can collapse rather quickly from there.
I expect the same incentives to play out on a larger scale as well. Complex supply chains and extreme specialization lead to massive productivity. But there’s also a downside, which is the fragility of the system. Specialization might mean one shop can make all the widgets needed for a specific application, for the whole globe. That’s great while it lasts, but what happens when the owner of that shop retires with his lifetime of knowledge and experience? Will there be someone equally capable ready to fill his shoes? Hopefully… But spread that problem out across the global economy, and cracks start to appear. A specialized part is unavailable. So a machine that relies on that part breaks down and can’t be repaired. So a new machine needs to be built, which is a big expense that drives up costs and prices. And with a falling population, demand goes down. Now businesses are spending more to make fewer items, so they have to raise prices to stay profitable. Now fewer people can afford the item, so demand falls even further. Eventually the business is forced to close, and other industries that relied on the items they produced are crippled. Things become more expensive, or unavailable at any price. Living standards fall. What was a stairway up becomes an elevator down.
Hope, From the Parasite Class?
All that being said, I’m not completely pessimistic about the future. I think the potential for an acceptable outcome exists.
I see two broad groups of people in the economy; producers, and parasites. One thing the increasing productivity has done is made it easier than ever to survive. Food is plentiful globally, the only issues are with distribution. Medical advances save countless lives. Everything is more abundant than ever before. All that has led to a very “soft” economic reality. There’s a lot of non-essential production, which means a lot of wealth can be redistributed to people who contribute nothing, and if it’s done carefully, most people won’t even notice. And that is exactly what has happened, in spades.
There are welfare programs of every type and description, and handouts to people for every reason imaginable. It’s never been easier to survive without lifting a finger. So millions of able-bodied men choose to do just that.
Besides the voluntarily idle, the economy is full of “bullshit jobs.” Shoutout to David Graeber’s book with that title. (It’s an excellent book and one I would highly recommend, even though the author was a Marxist and his conclusions are completely wrong.) A 2015 British poll asked people, “Does your job make a meaningful contribution to the world?” Only 50% said yes, while 37% said no and 13% were uncertain.
This won’t be a surprise to anyone who’s operated a business, or even worked in the private sector in general. There are three types of jobs; jobs that accomplish something productive, jobs that accomplish nothing of value, and jobs that actually hinder people trying to accomplish something productive. The number of jobs in the last two categories has grown massively over the years. This would include a lot of unnecessary administrative jobs, burdensome regulatory jobs, useless DEI and HR jobs, a large percentage of public sector jobs, most of the military-industrial complex, and the list is endless. All these jobs accomplish nothing worthwhile at best, and actively discourage those who are trying to accomplish something at worst.
Even among jobs that do accomplish some useful purpose, the amount of time spent actually doing the job continues to decline. According to a 2016 poll, American office workers spent only 39% of their workday actually doing their primary task. The other 61% was largely wasted on unproductive administrative tasks and meetings, answering emails, and just simply wasting time.
I could go on, but the point is, there’s a lot of slack in the economy. We’ve become so productive that the number of people actually doing the work to keep everyone fed, clothed, and cared for is only a small percentage of the population. In one sense, that’s a cause for optimism. The population could decline a lot, and we’d still have enough bodies to man the economic engine, as it were.
Aging
The thing with population decline, though, is nobody gets to choose who goes first. Not unless you’re a psychopathic dictator. So populations get old, then they get small. This means that the number of dependents in the economy rises naturally. Once people retire, they still need someone to grow the food, keep the lights on, and provide the medical care. And it doesn’t matter how much money the retirees have saved, either. Money is just a claim on wealth. The goods and services actually have to be provided by someone, and if that someone was never born, all the money in the world won’t change anything.
And the aging occurs on top of all the people already taking from the economy without contributing anything of value. So that seems like a big problem.
Currently, wealth redistribution happens through a combination of direct taxes, indirect taxation through deficit spending, and the whole gamut of games that happen when banks create credit/debt money by making loans. In a lot of cases, it’s very indirect and difficult to pin down. For example, someone has a “job” in a government office, enforcing pointless regulations that actually hinder someone in the private sector from producing something useful. Their paycheck comes from the government, so a combination of taxes on productive people, and deficit spending, which is also a tax on productive people. But they “have a job,” so who’s going to question their contribution to society? On the other hand, it could be a banker or hedge fund manager. They might be pulling in a massive salary, but at the core all they’re really doing is finding creative financial ways to transfer wealth from productive people to themselves, without contributing anything of value.
You’ll notice a common theme if you think about this problem deeply. Most of the wealth transfer that supports the unproductive, whether that’s welfare recipients, retirees, bureaucrats, corporate middle managers, or weapons manufacturers, is only possible through expanding the money supply. There’s a limit to how much direct taxation the productive will bear while the option to collect welfare exists. At a certain point, people conclude that working hard every day isn’t worth it, when taxes take so much of their wages that they could make almost as much without working at all. So the balance of what it takes to support the dependent class has to come indirectly, through new money creation.
As long as the declining population happens under the existing monetary system, the future looks bleak. There’s no limit to how much money creation and inflation the parasite class will use in an attempt to avoid work. They’ll continue to suck the productive class dry until the workers give up in disgust, and the currency collapses into hyperinflation. And you can’t run a complex economy without functional money, so productivity inevitably collapses with the currency.
The optimistic view is that we don’t have to continue supporting the failed credit/debt monetary system. It’s hurting productivity, messing up incentives, and contributing to increasing wealth inequality and lower living standards for the middle class. If we walk away from that system and adopt a hard money standard, the possibility of inflationary wealth redistribution vanishes. The welfare and warfare programs have to be slashed. The parasite class is forced to get busy, or starve. In that scenario, the declining population of workers can be offset by a massive shift away from “bullshit jobs” and into actual productive work.
While that might not be a permanent solution to declining population, it would at least give us time to find a real solution, without having our complex economy collapse and send our living standards back to the 17th century.
It’s a complex issue with many possible outcomes, but I think a close look at the effects of the monetary system on productivity shows one obvious problem that will make the situation worse than necessary. Moving to a better monetary system and creating incentives for productivity would do a lot to reduce the economic impacts of a declining population.
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@ 34f1ddab:2ca0cf7c
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Don’t Let Lost Crypto Hold You Back! Did you know that between 3 to 3.4 million BTC — nearly 20% of the total supply — are estimated to be permanently lost? Don’t become part of that statistic! Whether it’s due to a forgotten password, sending funds to the wrong address, or damaged drives, we can help you navigate these challenges
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Act fast and secure your digital assets with cryptrecver.com.Losing access to your cryptocurrency can feel like losing a part of your future. Whether it’s due to a forgotten password, a damaged seed backup, or a simple mistake in a transfer, the stress can be overwhelming. Fortunately, cryptrecver.com is here to assist! With our expert-led recovery services, you can safely and swiftly reclaim your lost Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
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🛠️ Expert Recovery Solutions\ At Crypt Recver, we specialize in addressing complex wallet-related issues. Our skilled engineers have the tools and expertise to handle:
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🚀 Fast and Efficient Recovery\ We understand that time is crucial in crypto recovery. Our optimized systems enable you to regain access to your funds quickly, focusing on speed without compromising security. With a success rate of over 90%, you can rely on us to act swiftly on your behalf.
🔒 Privacy is Our Priority\ Your confidentiality is essential. Every recovery session is conducted with the utmost care, ensuring all processes are encrypted and confidential. You can rest assured that your sensitive information remains private.
💻 Advanced Technology\ Our proprietary tools and brute-force optimization techniques maximize recovery efficiency. Regardless of how challenging your case may be, our technology is designed to give you the best chance at retrieving your crypto.
Our Recovery Services Include: 📈
- Bitcoin Recovery: Lost access to your Bitcoin wallet? We help recover lost wallets, private keys, and passphrases.
- Transaction Recovery: Mistakes happen — whether it’s an incorrect wallet address or a lost password, let us manage the recovery.
- Cold Wallet Restoration: If your cold wallet is failing, we can safely extract your assets and migrate them into a secure new wallet.
- Private Key Generation: Lost your private key? Our experts can help you regain control using advanced methods while ensuring your privacy.
⚠️ What We Don’t Do\ While we can handle many scenarios, some limitations exist. For instance, we cannot recover funds stored in custodial wallets or cases where there is a complete loss of four or more seed words without partial information available. We are transparent about what’s possible, so you know what to expect
# Don’t Let Lost Crypto Hold You Back!
Did you know that between 3 to 3.4 million BTC — nearly 20% of the total supply — are estimated to be permanently lost? Don’t become part of that statistic! Whether it’s due to a forgotten password, sending funds to the wrong address, or damaged drives, we can help you navigate these challenges
🛡️ Real-Time Dust Attack Protection\ Our services extend beyond recovery. We offer dust attack protection, keeping your activity anonymous and your funds secure, shielding your identity from unwanted tracking, ransomware, and phishing attempts.
🎉 Start Your Recovery Journey Today!\ Ready to reclaim your lost crypto? Don’t wait until it’s too late!\ 👉 cryptrecver.com
📞 Need Immediate Assistance? Connect with Us!\ For real-time support or questions, reach out to our dedicated team on:\ ✉️ Telegram: t.me/crypptrcver\ 💬 WhatsApp: +1(941)317–1821
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Act fast and secure your digital assets with cryptrecver.com.
-
@ 30b99916:3cc6e3fe
2025-05-20 23:00:17For all you COVID COWARDS out there perhaps you can redeem yourself by supporting America's Frontline Docters
History will show that the defeat of COVID tyranny wasn’t granted – it was won, case by case, voice by voice – and your support for America’s Frontline Doctors played an important role in this fight.
America 2020 – our nation faced a moment of truth.
Public health soldiers working for deep-state globalists unleashed tyranny in response to a virus - to terrorize us and dismantle our Constitution.
When I look back on the forces arrayed against us, I’m amazed more people did NOT stand up for their rights:
_Government agencies...hospitals...universities...corporations..._
...the state acting as our “savior” ...
...and Big Tech as the enforcer...
All joined forces to impose sweeping authoritarian mandates under the banners of public health and settled science.
_They declared freedom and liberty non-essential._
_They silenced, fired, shamed, and canceled ANYONE who dared question them._
ANYONE who resisted the masking, the lockdowns, the forced mRNA injections, are HEROS.
It angers me just thinking about what happened next.
Everyday Americans lost their livelihoods.
Parents watched as their children deteriorated after being locked out of their schools.
Doctors – some of the best in the country – were hunted down by their own licensing boards for practicing ACTUAL medicine instead of government-approved pseudoscience.
I hate to admit it, but tyranny triumphed.
The people had surrendered so much liberty that I didn’t recognize the nation our founders had forged.
I’m sure you didn’t either.
But while we can’t undo the past, we can make sure we don’t repeat it.
That is why America’s Frontline Doctors and I – with you alongside us – have been fighting back.
And together, we’ve been doing it case by case, supporting legal challenges against these unconstitutional, totalitarian mandates.
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@ 2b998b04:86727e47
2025-05-20 22:15:45I didn’t take a course on “prompt engineering.” I didn’t memorize secret formulas or chase viral hacks.
What I did do was treat it like a system.
Just like in software:
Write → Compile → Test → Debug → Repeat
With AI, the loop feels just as familiar:
Prompt → Output → Edit → Re-prompt
That’s not magic. That’s engineering.
When someone asked me, “How can you trust AI for anything serious?”\ I told them: “Same way we trust the internet — not because the network’s reliable, but because the protocol is.”
AI is no different. The key is building systems around it:
-
Multiple models if needed
-
Human-in-the-loop verification
-
Layered editing and real discernment
It’s Not That Different From Other Engineering
Once you stop treating AI like a black box and start treating it like a tool, the whole experience changes.
The prompt isn’t a spell. It’s a spec.\ The response isn’t a prophecy. It’s a build.\ And your discernment? That’s your QA layer.
What I Actually Use It For
-
Brainstorming titles and refining headlines
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Drafting posts that I shape and filter
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Running content through for edge cases
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Exploring theological or philosophical questions
And yes — I want it to be useful. I am building to make a living, not just to make noise. But I don’t lead with monetization. I lead with clarity — and build toward sustainability.
Final Thought
If you’re waiting for a course to teach you how to “do AI,” maybe just start by building something real. Test it. Edit it. Use it again. That’s engineering.
Shoutout to Dr. C (ChatGPT) for helping me articulate this.
If this post sparked anything for you, zap a few sats ⚡ — every bit helps me keep building with conviction.
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@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-05-20 21:14:28I’m Derek Ross, and I’m all-in on Nostr.
I started the Grow Nostr Initiative to help more people discover what makes Nostr so powerful: ✅ You own your identity ✅ You choose your social graph and algorithms ✅ You aren't locked into any single app or platform ✅ You can post, stream, chat, and build, all without gatekeepers
What we’re doing with Grow Nostr Initiative: 🌱 Hosting local meetups and mini-conferences to onboard people face-to-face 📚 Creating educational materials and guides to demystify how Nostr works 🧩 Helping businesses and creators understand how they can plug into Nostr (running media servers, relays, and using key management tools)
I believe Nostr is the foundation of a more open internet. It’s still early, but we’re already seeing incredible apps for social, blogging, podcasting, livestreaming, and more. And the best part is that they're all interoperable, censorship-resistant, and built on open standards. Nostr is the world's largest bitcoin economy by transaction volume and I truly believe that the purple pill helps the orange pill go down. Meaning, growing Nostr will also grow Bitcoin adoption.
If you’ve been curious about Nostr or are building something on it, or let’s talk. Whether you're just getting started or you're already deep in the ecosystem, I'm here to answer questions, share what I’ve learned, and hear your ideas. Check out https://nostrapps.com to find your next social decentralized experience.
Ask Me Anything about GNI, Nostr, Bitcoin, the upcoming #NosVegas event at the Bitcoin Conference next week, etc.!
– Derek Ross 🌐 https://grownostr.org npub18ams6ewn5aj2n3wt2qawzglx9mr4nzksxhvrdc4gzrecw7n5tvjqctp424
https://stacker.news/items/984689
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@ da8b7de1:c0164aee
2025-05-20 19:30:10TVA SMR-építési engedélykérelem Clinch Riverben
A Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) benyújtotta az első kis moduláris reaktor (SMR) építési engedélykérelmet az Egyesült Államokban, a Clinch River-i telephelyre. Ez a lépés mérföldkő az amerikai nukleáris ipar számára, hiszen a BWRX-300 típusú SMR-rel a TVA célja a szén-dioxid-mentes energiatermelés bővítése és az innovatív nukleáris technológia bevezetése.
ČEZ új nukleáris telephelyet jelölt ki Csehországban
A cseh ČEZ energetikai vállalat kijelölte a Tušimice-i telephelyet egy új atomerőmű számára, ahol várhatóan kis moduláris reaktorokat (SMR) telepítenek. Ez a lépés segíti az országot az energiafüggetlenség és a szénalapú energiatermelés kivezetése felé vezető úton.
Urenco USA új dúsító kaszkádot indított
Az Urenco USA New Mexicóban elindította új gázcentrifuga kaszkádját, amely 15%-kal növeli az amerikai dúsított urán kapacitást. Ez kulcsfontosságú az orosz uránimporttól való függetlenedés és az amerikai atomerőművek ellátásbiztonsága szempontjából.
Fiatal szakemberek sürgetik a nukleáris energia központi szerepét Európában
Európai fiatal nukleáris szakemberek nyílt levélben hívták fel a döntéshozók figyelmét arra, hogy a nukleáris energia kapjon központi szerepet a kontinens dekarbonizációs stratégiájában. Kiemelték a kutatás-fejlesztés, a befektetési környezet javítása és a társadalmi elfogadottság növelésének fontosságát.
Zeno Power 50 millió dolláros befektetést szerzett
Az amerikai Zeno Power startup 50 millió dolláros befektetést jelentett be nukleáris akkumulátorok fejlesztésére, amelyek extrém környezetekben – például az űrben vagy tenger alatt – biztosítanak megbízható energiát. A cég célja, hogy 2027-re kereskedelmi forgalomba hozza első rendszereit.
További globális nukleáris fejlemények
Több ország – például India, Kína, Belgium, Kanada, Brazília – is új nukleáris projekteket jelentett be, miközben a nemzetközi konferenciák az ellátási láncok megerősítését és a nukleáris kapacitások bővítését helyezik előtérbe.
Hivatkozások
- tva.com
- en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ČEZ_Group
- urencousa.com
- zenopower.com
- fisa-euradwaste2025.ncbj.gov.pl
- world-nuclear.org
- nucnet.org
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@ df9150e8:4b224b13
2025-05-20 19:16:06Small Business & Bitcoin - Month 1 - April Update
This letter is meant to be a month by month reflection and live interaction of starting and building a bitcoin treasury for your small business. It is my belief that a bitcoin treasury will expand the runway and viability of any profitable cash flowing small business. It is a stealthy and discrete way to extend the value and worth of your small business.
It is becoming more and more obvious that cash on a balance sheet is melting away due to record high inflation rates. A bitcoin treasury is your best weapon against high inflation and it has consistently and reliably outpaced inflation since inception.
Another benefit to a bitcoin treasury is reshaping your mindset around bitcoin being the hurdle rate for your small business. Bitcoin has a 10 year CAGR of 84%. And while that is likely to shrink over the coming 10 years, we still expect it to exceptionally outperform any other treasury asset. With that in mind, you need to look at the outgoing dollar within your business. Any dollar spent that can’t return you better than 84% may be likely best served in your bitcoin treasury.
So the goal of this letter is simple: I will be building an outline and example in real time and month by month on how to build your bitcoin treasury within a small business. I will be detailing the process in these monthly essays for my reflection and your consumption. If you are reading this, you’ve probably seen what Michael Saylor and Strategy have done in the public markets. They have created the playbook for public bitcoin treasury. We are going to detail the process for your average mom and pop business.
The Playbook
To start this writing, I am going to give you the exact methods we will be taking to acquire our bitcoin as well as the exact % and amounts of bitcoin added to the treasury. We are starting on zero. What I mean by that is that as of now we will not be lump summing any cash into bitcoin from our balance sheet. We will likely do that down the road, but not something we are doing today. We are going to start by averaging 10% of monthly profit into bitcoin.
You may think this amount is too conservative. I tend to agree. My plan is to put something together that is repeatable and conservative at the start. We are going to add 10% of profits to a bitcoin balance each month for a few months and evaluate. Our goal is to increase the % allocation after the first few months. We are starting conservative because other businesses (and ours) need to operate without that 10% and make sure we can adapt. Once we’ve done that we slowly continue to increase the allocation until we reach optimal % allocations.
In addition to simply purchasing bitcoin, we’ve switched to a bitcoin back debit card. This means that every transaction (marketing, bill pay) I am getting anywhere from 1% to 1.5% back in bitcoin. While this will be a marginal way to stack bitcoin, every little bit counts and this helps us add to our stack. If we believe that bitcoin has another 10X increase in fiat price over the coming years then this will prove to make everything cheaper in the long run as the bitcoin back we collect will be increasing in value for years to come. What 1.5% is now could end up being 15% off in a few short years. Any small business owner knows that your margins are everything and giving us this edge in our margin is a huge thing for business owners.
Our Treasury
We began stacking mid April so we don’t have a full month of stacking yet. Based on our few weeks of stacking our current treasury as of May 12, 2025 looks like this:
Stacked through purchasing: 905,336 sats = $918
Stacked through bitcoin back card = 183,281 sats = $190.72
Total Bitcoin = 1,088,617 sats = $1,108.72
Important To Note:
Current price of bitcoin when writing = $101,871.10 per coin.
“Sat” is the smallest unit of a bitcoin.
1 million sats = 1% of owning a whole bitcoin
Our Treasury Strategy (Expanded):
Purchasing Bitcoin via business profits
We are starting at what we believe will be the most conservative allocation towards bitcoin that we will have. 10% should affect our (and hopefully most) operating business very little. We are starting in the most conservative way so that other small businesses can see this and hopefully make these very minor but achievable allocations into bitcoin.
Each month I will look at our net profit and then take 10% of it and purchase bitcoin. We will store all of our bitcoin on a multi sig hardware wallet and continue to track the proceeds here publicly.
In the future (as mentioned above) we will continue to raise the % of net profit allocated towards bitcoin. We want to acquire bitcoin as rapidly and violently as possible. We will need a much greater than 10% allocation to do that. We will likely reevaluate after month 3 and see if it is time to increase the % allocation.
This is also a great encouragement to all small businesses to get creative with sales and marketing to boost your bottom line. Since the % allocation is fixed, we have to earn more profit in order to purchase more bitcoin. Obviously, the best way to maximize bitcoin stacked each month is eventually getting to peak % allocation and continuously maximizing and setting new monthly highs with profit in the business.
As much as we love bitcoin, this allows us to spend the bulk of our time focused inward on our business. The more improvements we can make then, in theory, the more bitcoin we should be able to put in our reserves. This is also a great encouragement to business owners to really dig in and slash all waste within the business. What are we paying for/spending money on that is a waste or at the very least non essential to operations. It can also allow us to audit our way of doing things to ensure everything we do is being done in the most efficient way possible. A lean and profitable business is one that can stack more bitcoin.
Getting bitcoin via a bitcoin back debit card:
This is the 2nd way that we will add bitcoin to our balance sheet as a treasury asset. This debit card works just like a reward credit card. We spend money on it and are instantly rewarded with 1% to 1.5% bitcoin back. This bitcoin is added directly to a wallet linked to our debit card and can be withdrawn to the main wallet.
While this will not be our most powerful driver in stacking bitcoin, It will certainly increase our bitcoin holdings over time as opposed to not using it. It kind of works from the opposite end of the spectrum. Purchasing bitcoin through our profits is a great offensive way to buy bitcoin. Getting bitcoin back from our debit card purchase is a great defensive way to stack bitcoin as it decreases our cost of goods sold with every purchase. As we spend on marketing, pay our taxes, upgrade equipment, or sign up for a new subscription that will help the business, we will be earning bitcoin back on all of those purchases making them cheaper than the listed price.
As the bitcoin we get back via debit card rewards goes up in value over the years, everything we purchase using that card is, in theory, getting cheaper.
Borrowed Money
There is also the option of taking on debt for bitcoin which we’ve seen happen rapidly in public markets. Currently, we are not taking on any kind of debt to add to our bitcoin treasury, but that is something we can and will consider as time moves on. It is important to me to begin stacking with our cashflows first. Once we have built up a decent hoard of BTC on our treasury, we would consider taking a loan to purchase bitcoin,
Think of this as an arbitrage opportunity. If you can secure a loan at 6% for an asset that might have a CAGR of 40+% then it would likely be a good move to make as long as you have sufficient cashflows to cover the principal and interest payments on the loan.
As a small business, we don’t have access to the same tools and products that public companies do. So it’s important to ensure we keep a low time preference with any time of borrowing that we may do. While it is always ideal to stack as much bitcoin as possible, ensuring that you are doing so in a responsible and sustainable way is key. You should be able to cover the payments on the loan very easily. If it’s going to constrain cashflow and increase stress and pressure in the business then you are probably borrowing too much. Loan amounts should be in that sweet spot of impactful enough to really boost your bitcoin treasury, but not so heavy that it puts your business in danger.
It’s also important to note that borrowing money isn’t for everyone. If the thought of a loan to purchase bitcoin causes stress, you may be better off just focusing on stacking from your cashflow and improving your bitcoin treasury month in and month out. Just because this has been popularized in the public markets, doesn’t mean that it has to be done on a smaller scale with your small business. It’s simply something to consider when evaluating your bitcoin treasury and how you can increase it’s value in the most accretive ways possible.
For example, Let’s say your company has a net profit of $10,000 per month. You’ve already got a bitcoin treasury valued at $100,000 and you have the opportunity to take on a $30,000 loan at 6% interest. This would automatically boost your treasury by 30% and should be a debt note that is simple and sustainable to pay each month out of your net profits. You would also be able to continue stacking your % allocation each month from your net profit.
The danger of this loan is low in a number of ways. First, the note would be for $30,000 and you have a bitcoin treasury of $130,000. In a worst case scenario, you could liquidate enough bitcoin to payoff the loan and move on. The other substantial way that it’s safe is that you have sufficient cashflow to cover what is likely to be a payment in the $500-$700 range each month depending on the terms. You are only eating into your net profit by 5-7% monthly to begin to pay down the loan.
I'm surely coming from the conservative side when it comes to being a bitcoiner in small business, but I would feel much more comfortable taking a loan once I have a pre established treasury. I would also like for the size of that loan to be smaller than the overall value of my current treasury. So with those parameters set, I’m probably a few months away from even considering a loan to expand the bitcoin on my balance sheet. However, It will be something that I maintain a watchful eye on and would consider it when terms and market conditions seem favorable to make a lump sum buy into bitcoin.
I believe this to be an opportunity within a limited time frame. I think we see bitcoin increase in value by a multiple of 10 over the coming decade. I do think that as time marches on that bitcoin’s CAGR will continue to decrease. It’ll still be attractive, but this is a natural occurrence as an asset matures and becomes larger. Will borrowing money responsibly to purchase bitcoin be a good idea when it is priced at $1,000,000 per coin? Only Time will tell. Until we see more of that price maturation, I tend to think it’s a fairly solid trade off when done responsibly.
In Conclusion:
This writing had a lot of technicality to it to explain what we are doing. In future writings I will continue to share our bitcoin stacking results and thoughts behind how we feel about the previous month. I’ll also get into some more of the business aspects of it and what we are doing to increase efficiency. At the end of the day, everything we do will be in an effort to stack more bitcoin into our treasury.
We will provide an ongoing monthly update and will update again once May has ended.
Talk Soon.
-Caleb Gregory
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@ ece127e2:745bab9c
2025-05-20 18:59:11vamos a ver que tal
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@ 662f9bff:8960f6b2
2025-05-20 18:52:01April already and we are still refugees from the madness in HK. During March I had quite a few family matters that took priority and I also needed to work for two weeks. April is a similar schedule but we flew to Madeira for a change of scene and so that I could have a full 2-weeks off - my first real holiday in quite a few years!
We are staying in an airBnB in Funchal - an experience that I can totally recommend - video below! Nice to have an apartment that is fully equipped in a central location and no hassle for a few weeks. While here we are making the most of the great location and all the local possibiliites.
Elsewhere in the world
Things are clearly not going great around the world. If you are still confused as to why these things are happening, do go back and read the previous Letter from HK section "Why? How did we get here?"
You should be in no doubt that the "Great Reset" with its supporting "Great Narrative" is in full swing.. This is it - it is not a drill. For additional insights the following are recommended.
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Jeff Booth discusses clearly and unemotionally with Pomp - Inflation is theft from humanity by the world governments
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James' summary of Day 2 of the Miami conference - Peter Thiel (wow) and a fantastic explainer from Saifedean on the costs of the current corrupt financial system
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James' summary of Day 3 of the Miami conference - listen in particular to the words of wisdom from Michael Saylor and Lyn Alden
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Layered Money - The corruption of the system will blow your mind once you understand it…
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This is BIG: Strike Is Bringing Freedom To Retail Merchants
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Mark summarises Ray's book: Things will go faster and slower than you want!
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Thoughtful words from George - evil is at work - be in no doubt..
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Wow - My mind is blown. Must listen to John Carvalho - what clear ambition and answers to every question!
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Related to the John Carvalho discussion. Likely these two options will end up complementing each other
On the personal and inspirational side
Advantage of time off work is that I have more time to read, listen and watch things that interest me. It really is a privilege that so much high quality material is so readily available. Do not let it go to waste. A few fabulous finds (and some re-finds) from this past week:
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Ali Abdaal's bookshelf review just blew my mind! For the full list of books with links see the text under his video. So many inspirations and his delivery is perfect.
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Gotta recommend Ali's 21 Life Lessons. I have been following him since he was student in Cambridge five years ago - his personal and professional growth and what he achieves (now with his team) is truely staggering.
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Also his 15 books to read in 2022 - especially this one!
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I also keep going back to Steve Jobs giving the 2005 Stanford Commencement address Three stories from his life - listen and be inspired - especially story #3
You will know that I am a fan of Audio Books and also Kindle - recently I am starting to use Whispersync where you get the Kindle- and Audio-books together for a nice price. This makes it easier to take notes (using Mac or iPad Kindle reader) while getting the benefit of having the book read to you by a professional reader.
I have also been inspired by a few people pushing themselves to do more reading - like this girl and Ali himself with his tips. Above all: just do it and do not get stuck on something that does not work for you!
Books that I am reading - Audio and Kindle!
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The Final Empire: Mistborn, Book 1 - this is a new genre for me - I rather feel that it might be a bit too complicated for my engineering mind - let's see
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Die with Zero: Getting All You Can from Your Money and Your Life - certainly provocative and obvious if you think about it but 99% do the opposite!
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Chariots of the Gods - a classic by Erich von Daniken (written in 1968) - I have been inspired by his recent YT video appearances. Thought provoking and leads you to many possibilities.
So what's it like in Funchal, Madeira?
Do check out HitTheRoadMadeira's walking tour around Funchal
My first impressions of Funchal
and see my day out on Thursday!
Saturday - Funchal and Camar de Lobos
That's it!
No one can be told what The Matrix is.\ You have to see it for yourself.**
Do share this newsletter with any of your friends and family who might be interested.
You can also email me at: LetterFrom@rogerprice.me
💡Enjoy the newsletters in your own language : Dutch, French, German, Serbian, Chinese Traditional & Simplified, Thai and Burmese.
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@ 4fa5d1c4:fd6c6e41
2025-05-20 15:13:35📌 Ablauf
1. Prompt auswählen
Wähle aus der Promptsammlung einen Prompt, der dich anspricht – z. B. zu Unterrichtsplanung, Kreativmethoden, Inklusion oder KI-Nutzung im RU.
2. Prompt ausprobieren
Verwende den Prompt mit einem KI-Tool (z. B. ChatGPT oder ein freies Modell wie LM Studio) und passe ihn ggf. leicht an dein Thema oder deine Klasse an.
3. Reflexion schreiben
Notiere kurz, was gut geklappt hat, was überrascht hat oder was du noch verbessern möchtest. Halte es so fest, dass andere davon lernen können.
4. Auf Nostr posten
Veröffentliche deine Reflexion oder ein konkretes Ergebnis (z. B. Screenshot, kurzer Textauszug, Sketchnote …) über deinen Nostr-Client (z. B. Damus, Amethyst, Habla.news).\ Verwende folgende Hashtags:
```text
relilab #verstehen oder #anwenden oder #reflektieren oder #gestalten
(optional: 1️⃣, 2️⃣ oder 3️⃣ je nach Niveaustufe) ```
Beispiel:
markdown Heute mit dem Prompt zur „Virtuellen Exkursion“ gearbeitet – mega spannend, wie viel die Schüler:innen zu Jerusalem wussten! Habe das Ergebnis als Audio-Reisebericht umgesetzt. #relilab #anwenden 2️⃣
💡 Hinweise
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Nutze möglichst einen Prompt pro Post, damit die Community gut filtern kann.
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Wenn du einen neuen Prompt ausprobierst oder abwandelst, verlinke gerne auf die Originalquelle (z. B. „Kapitel 2 · Kreative Unterrichtsgestaltung – Lernspiel entwickeln“).
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Du kannst auch Fragen an die Community stellen: z. B. „Hat jemand diesen Prompt schon mal mit einer 6. Klasse ausprobiert?“
📣 Ziel der Aktion
Durch eure Beiträge entsteht eine wachsende Sammlung an:
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reflektierten Einsatzbeispielen aus der Praxis
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kreativen Varianten und Weiterentwicklungen
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Ideen für KI-gestützte Lehrer:innenbildung im Fach Religion
Wenn du magst, notiere deine eigenen Favoriten-Prompts, poste Screenshots oder gestalte eine „Best-of“-Sammlung für dein Kollegium!
Promptsammlung Religionsunterricht
Kapitel 1 · Unterrichtsplanung & -vorbereitung (Religionsunterricht)
Religionsstunde planen
prompt Plane eine 45-minütige Religionsstunde in **[Klassenstufe]** zum Thema **[„Nächstenliebe in Judentum, Christentum & Islam“ o. ä.]**. Liefere: – drei messbare Kompetenzziele (KMK-Bereich „Religiöse Identität entwickeln“) – detaillierten Phasenplan (Einstieg | Erarbeitung | Sicherung | Transfer) mit Zeitangaben – mindestens zwei kreative Sozialformen (Think-Pair-Share, Placemat, Gallery Walk …) – Kerntext(e) aus Bibel, Koran oder Tanach + passenden Medienimpuls (Video, Bild, Song) – Lernaufgabe für zu Hause, die das Thema in den Lebenswelt-Bezug bringt
Unterrichtseinheit entwerfen
prompt Entwirf eine vierwöchige Einheit **[Thema: „Schöpfungsverantwortung“]** für die **[Sek I]**. Für jede Doppelstunde angeben: – Leitfrage & erwartetes Kompetenzniveau (AB I – III) – Schlüsseltexte/Traditionen (Genesis 1–2, islamische Schöpfungs-Ayat, „Laudato si’“ …) – handlungsorientierte Lernaufgabe inkl. Differenzierung – Methodensetting (z. B. Gruppenpuzzle, Mystery, Stationenlauf) – benötigte Materialien/Medien und eine kurze Reflexionsidee
Differenzierte Lernaufgaben
prompt Formuliere Lernaufgaben zum Thema **[„Gleichnisse Jesu“]** für drei Anspruchsniveaus: 1. Unterstützungsniveau – Lesestrategieblatt + vorstrukturierter Lückentext 2. Basisniveau – Text-Puzzle + Placemat-Diskussion 3. Erweiterungsniveau – eigener Podcast (Recherche, Skript, Produktion, Peer-Feedback) Je Aufgabe: Ziel, Ablauf in Schritten, erwartetes Produkt, Bewertungsfokus.
Langfristiges Projekt skizzieren
prompt Skizziere ein sechs-wöchiges Projekt **„Interreligiöse Stadt-Rallye“** für **[Klasse 9]**: – Projektziele & zugeordnete Kompetenzen – Checkliste für Besuche (Kirche, Synagoge, Moschee, Tempel) inkl. Leitfragen – digitale Dokumentation (Padlet-Storyboard, QR-Blogposts, Foto-Missionen) – Abschlussprodukt (multimediale Stadttour) + Rubrik mit vier Bewertungsdimensionen
Jahresübersicht erstellen
prompt Erstelle eine Grobjahresplanung für **[ev. Religion, Kl. 5]** mit sechs Themenfeldern (z. B. „Staunen über die Schöpfung“, „Jesus begegnen“…). Zu jedem Feld: – Zeitraum & passendes Fest im Kirchenjahr als Anker – kompetenzorientierte Leistungsform (Portfolio, Lernlandkarte, Präsentation …) – kurze Hinweissequenz für mögliche fächerverbindende Chancen
Projektwoche „Spiritualität erleben“
prompt Konzipiere eine fächerübergreifende Projektwoche **„Spiritualität & Achtsamkeit“** für **[Jgst. 7–8]**: – Workshop-Menü (Ikonenmalen, Kalligraphie, Yoga, Psalm-Rap, MBSR-Übungen …) – externe Expert*innen (Pfarrer*in, Imam, Rabbiner*in, buddhistische*r Lehrer*in) – tägliche Reflexionsformate (Stille-Tagebuch, Audio-Log, Blitzlicht-Runde) – gemeinsamer Abschluss: interreligiöses Friedensgebet + Feedback-Gallery
Kompetenzen formulieren
prompt Schreibe messbare Kompetenzformulierungen für die Einheit **[„Propheten – Stimmen für Gerechtigkeit“]** (Sek II). Nutze Anforderungsbereiche I–III und füge zu jeder Kompetenz: Beobachtungshinweis + kurzes Beispiel für Leistungsnachweis.
Kapitel 2 · Kreative Unterrichtsgestaltung (Religionsunterricht)
Lernspiel entwickeln
prompt Entwickle ein interaktives Spiel, das Schüler*innen **[z. B. die Zehn Gebote]** niedrigschwellig erarbeiten lässt. Beschreibe: Spielidee, Regeln, Material, Spielphasen (Warm-up | Action | Debrief) und Reflexionsfragen zur theologischen Vertiefung.
Gruppenarbeit strukturieren
prompt Plane eine Gruppenaufgabe zu den **„Seligpreisungen der Bergpredigt“**: – Gruppenzuteilung je Seligpreisung – Produktwahl (Comic-Strip, Poetry-Slam, Kurzvideo …) mit Kreativbriefing – Präsentations-Setting + Peer-Feedback-Raster – Lehrer*innen-Checkliste zur Beobachtung von Zusammenarbeit & Inhaltstiefe
Interdisziplinärer Unterricht
prompt Kombiniere **„Umweltschutz in den Weltreligionen“** mit **Biologie** in einer Doppelstunde: – theologischer Impuls (Schöpfungsverantwortung) – biologischer Faktenblock (ökologische Fußabdrücke) – Arbeitsphase: Lernende vergleichen religiöse & wissenschaftliche Begründungen und entwerfen Handlungsideen für die Schule.
Storytelling einsetzen
prompt Zeige, wie Storytelling das Thema **„Exodus – Befreiungsgeschichte“** lebendig macht: – Dramaturgie (Setup – Konflikt – Climax – Rückbindung) – Erzähler*innenrollen (Miriam, Moses, Pharao, Gott als Off-Stimme) – Aufgaben: Storyboard zeichnen, Rollen-Podcast aufnehmen, reflektiertes Journal
Experimenteller Ansatz
prompt Entwirf einen experimentellen Unterrichtsgang zur Leitfrage **„Was bedeutet heilig?“**: – Alltagsobjekte auswählen und symbolisch umdeuten lassen – Stationen: Wahrnehmung | Gestaltung | Deutung | Religionsvergleich – abschließende Reflexion in einem Gallery Walk + theologischer Einordnung
Blended-Learning-Konzept
prompt Erstelle ein Blended-Learning-Szenario zur Einheit **„Feste im Kirchenjahr“**: – Online-Phase: interaktive Zeitleiste, Erklärvideos, H5P-Quiz – Präsenz-Phase: Lernlandkarte, Gruppen-Challenge „Festkalender bauen“ – Leistungsnachweis: Lerntagebuch + digitale Portfolio-Abgabe
Design Thinking anwenden
prompt Nutze Design Thinking, um mit Schüler*innen Lösungen für **„Armut in unserer Stadt“** aus religiöser Perspektive zu entwickeln. Beschreibe alle sechs Phasen inkl. Tools (Empathy Map, How-Might-We-Fragen, Prototyping-Material), Zeit- und Raumplan.
Escape-Room planen
prompt Konzipiere einen pädagogischen Escape Room zum Thema **„Paulus auf Missionsreise“**: – Storyline (Start, Hinweise, Wendepunkt, Finale) – fünf Rätseltypen (Logik, Bibelcode, UV-Botschaft …) – benötigtes Material & Technik + Safety-Briefing – Auswertungsbogen für Lernergebnisse & Teamwork-Skills
Flipped Classroom umsetzen
prompt Gestalte einen Flipped-Classroom-Ablauf zur Einheit **„Gleichnisse Jesu“**: – Zuhause: drei Micro-Learning-Videos (< 5 min) + interaktiver Selbsttest – Unterricht: kooperative Fallanalyse, Rollenspiel, Kreativstation – Reflexion: One-Minute-Paper → digitales Feedback-Pad
Virtuelle Exkursion einbauen
prompt Baue eine virtuelle Exkursion **„Jerusalem – Heilige Stätten“** ein: – Ressourcen: 360°-VR-Tour, Street-View-Links, Museums-App – Vorbereitende Leitfragen (historisch, religiös, politisch) – Arbeitsauftrag: digitale Reise-Map anlegen, Eindrücke vertonen, Peer-Review – Abschluss: Fishbowl-Diskussion zu religiöser Vielfalt & Konfliktlinien
Kapitel 3 · Differenzierung & Inklusion (Religiöses Lernen)
Inklusive Aufgabenstellung
prompt Gestalte eine Unterrichtseinheit zu **[„Gleichnisse Jesu“]** so, dass Lernende mit kognitiven, motorischen oder sprachlichen Beeinträchtigungen aktiv teilnehmen können. • beschreibe drei barrierearme Medien-/Methoden-Anpassungen • formuliere für jedes Lernniveau ein messbares Teilziel • gib Beispiele für unterstützende Hilfsmittel (z. B. Symbolkarten, Audiodeskription, taktile Bibel)
Individuellen Förderplan erstellen
prompt Erstelle einen Förderplan für eine*n Schüler*in mit Lese-Rechtschreib-Schwäche im Thema **[„Schöpfungspsalmen“]**: – diagnostische Ausgangslage + SMART-Ziele – wöchentliche Lernschritte (Methoden, Materialien, Zeitbudget) – Evaluationskriterien & Reflexionsfragen für Lernende + Lehrkraft
Kompetenzentwicklung begleiten
prompt Zeige, wie du die Kompetenzentwicklung in der Einheit **„Spiritualität & Achtsamkeit“** laufend beobachtest: • Portfolio-Raster mit Indikatoren zu Wahrnehmung / Deutung / Gestaltung • Feedback-Tool (Ampel, Check-Out, Audio-Memo) • Maßnahmenplan bei Unter- oder Überforderung
Personalisierte Lernpfade
prompt Baue personalisierte Lernpfade für **„Weltreligionen im Dialog“** (Kl. 7) auf: – drei optionale Module (Video-Recherche, Expert*innen-Interview, Kreativprodukt) je nach Vorwissen – Self-Assessment-Checkpoints + Empfehlung nächster Schritt – technische Umsetzung mit Learning-Management-System deiner Wahl
Lernjournal nutzen
prompt Entwirf ein Lernjournal-Format zur Reihe **„Seligpreisungen“**: • tägliche Prompt-Frage (kognitiv, affektiv, spirituell) • visuelle Elemente (Sketchnote, Emojikarte, Farbsymbol) • Wochen-Meta-Reflexion + Peer-Kommentarfeld
Spezifische Unterstützung
prompt Beschreibe Zusatzmaßnahmen, um das abstrakte Konzept **„Trinität“** für Lernende mit Verständnisschwierigkeiten greifbar zu machen: – vereinfachte Grafiken, Alltagsanalogien, szenische Darstellung – Schritt-für-Schritt-Erklärvideo (max. 3 min) – begleitender Glossar in einfacher Sprache
Kulturelle Vielfalt einbeziehen
prompt Plane eine Sequenz **„Feste im Jahreskreis“** so, dass christliche, jüdische und muslimische Perspektiven gleichwertig vorkommen. Gib drei konkrete Aufgabenbeispiele (interaktiver Wandkalender, Interview mit Familie, „Fest-Box“) und nenne Bewertungsbausteine zur Würdigung kultureller Vielfalt.
Mehrsprachigkeit fördern
prompt Zeige Strategien, wie du arabisch-, hebräisch- oder russischsprachige Schüler*innen in das Thema **„Friede in den Heiligen Schriften“** einbeziehst: – zweisprachiger Wortschatz-Trainer – Tandem-Aktivität mit Übersetzer-App – Produktoption „mehrsprachiges Audio-Gebet“
Barrierefreier Unterricht
prompt Erstelle einen barrierefreien Ablaufplan für eine 90-min-Sequenz zu **„Luther und die Reformation“** in einer heterogenen Lerngruppe: – Raum-, Material- und Technik-Anpassungen – klare Kommunikationsregeln (z. B. Gebärdensprach-Dolmetsch, Live-Untertitel) – evaluierbare Barrierefreiheits-Checkliste
Kapitel 4 · Bewertung & Feedback (im Religionsunterricht)
Prüfungsfragen entwickeln
prompt Formuliere fünf Prüfungsaufgaben zu **„Prophetische Bücher“** (2 Wissen, 2 Transfer, 1 Bewertung). Gib zu jeder Aufgabe Erwartungshorizont & Bloom-Taxonomie-Stufe an.
Lernstrategien für Schüler*innen
prompt Erstelle drei konkrete Tipps, wie sich Lernende auf eine Klassenarbeit zu **„Kirchengeschichte – Reformation bis heute“** vorbereiten können (visualisieren | vernetzen | reflektieren).
Selbstbewertung anleiten
prompt Entwirf einen Selbstbewertungsbogen, mit dem Oberstufen-Schüler*innen ihre persönliche spirituelle Entwicklung in der Einheit **„Exodus – Freiheit erleben“** reflektieren: – 5 Skalen-Items + offenes Feld – Anleitungs-Text für ehrliche Selbsteinschätzung – Follow-Up-Gesprächsleitfaden
Peer-Feedback organisieren
prompt Baue ein Peer-Feedback-Setting für das Projekt „Predigt-Podcast zur Nächstenliebe“ auf: • 3-Kriterien-Checkliste (Inhalt, theologischer Tiefgang, Medieneinsatz) • Zeit-Taktung (Aufnahme – Austausch – Revision) • Moderationskarten für konstruktive Rückmeldung
Bewertungsrubrik erstellen
prompt Entwerfe eine 4-stufige Rubrik für das Produkt **„Interreligiöser Video-Essay: Was ist heilig?“** Bewertungsdimensionen: Recherche, Argumentation, Kreativität, Technik. Ordne jeder Stufe klare Deskriptoren & Punktwerte zu.
Schnelle Lernüberprüfung
prompt Skizziere eine 3-Min-Exit-Ticket-Abfrage zum Stundenthema **„Auferstehungshoffnung“**: – eine Verständnisfrage, ein Transfer-Impuls, ein persönlicher Bezug – Auswertungsplan (Ampel-Sortierung + Blitz-Feedback an Klasse)
Feedback von Schüler*innen einholen
prompt Erstelle fünf Leitfragen, um anonymes Lernenden-Feedback zum Thema **„Sakrale Räume erkunden“** zu sammeln (Aspekte: Klarheit, Relevanz, Methoden, Beteiligung, Wohlbefinden). Schlage ein digitales Tool für die Umsetzung vor und erläutere den Ablauf in 3 Schritten.
Kapitel 5 · Digitale Medien & KI (Religionsunterricht)
Interaktive Biblemap erstellen
prompt Lege mit **[Tool: Thinglink / Genially]** eine interaktive Karte biblischer Orte an (Jerusalem, Nazareth, Bethsaida …). – je Ort: Kurzinfo, Bild/360°-Link, passender Bibelvers – Aufgabe: Lernende verknüpfen Geodaten mit Lebensstationen Jesu – füge Reflexionsfragen + Export-Anleitung für das LMS hinzu
KI-ChatBot als Lernpartner
prompt Konfiguriere einen KI-ChatBot, der Fragen zu **„Weltreligionen und Umweltschutz“** auf A2–B2-Sprachniveau beantwortet. – Prompt-Engineering-Vorgabe (Rolle, Stil, Quellenzitierweise) – fünf Beispiel-User-Prompts + erwartete Bot-Antwort – Datenschutz-Hinweis & didaktischer Einsatzrahmen
Bibel-Snap-AR-Filter entwickeln
prompt Entwirf ein Konzept für einen Augmented-Reality-Filter (Instagram/Snap) zu **„Seligpreisungen“**: – visuelle Overlays, Trigger-Events, Soundeffekt – Lernaufgabe: Selfie mit Lieblingsseligpreisung + Kommentar posten – Ethik-Checkliste (Privatsphäre, Bildrechte, Sensibilität religiöser Symbole)
Digitales Escape-Game bauen
prompt Plane mit **[Tool: Deck.Toys]** ein digitales Escape-Game „Spuren des Propheten Jesaja“: – Level-Struktur (Prophetie-Puzzle, Quiz, Hidden Object) – win-Condition & automatisiertes Feedback – Export-Code + Anleitung für barrierefreie Version (Screenreader-Labels)
Podcast-Serie kuratieren
prompt Stelle eine 4-teilige Schüler-Podcast-Serie **„Gerechtigkeit in Religionen“** auf: – redaktioneller Plan (Themen, Gäste, Bibel/Koran-Bezüge) – Work-Flow (Skript, Aufnahme, Schnitt, Distribution) – Bewertungsrubrik – Inhalt, Technik, Diskursqualität
Virtuelles Museumslabor
prompt Nutze **Mozilla Hubs** und erstelle einen VR-Raum „Symbole des Glaubens“. – Raum-Zonen (Kreuz, Menora, Halbmond, Om) – Lehrer-Dashboard: Moderations-Tools + Sicherheits-Settings – Arbeitsauftrag: Lernende hinterlegen Audiokommentar & Quizfrage pro Symbol
KI-gestützte Bildanalyse
prompt Zeige, wie Lernende mit **Computer-Vision-API** ikonografische Motive (z. B. Verkündigungsbild) analysieren: – Schrittanleitung: Upload → Tagging → theologische Interpretation – Vergleich mit manueller Bildbetrachtung – Reflexionsbogen zu Chancen & Grenzen automatischer Deutung
Kapitel 6 · Motivation & Klassenklima (im Religionsunterricht)
Einstieg mit Mystery-Bild
prompt Starte die Einheit **„Exodus“** mit einem rätselhaften Bildausschnitt (gezoomte Wüste, brennender Dornbusch …). – drei Leitfragen zum Rätsel – Ablauf Mystery-Methode (Hypothesen, Puzzleteile, Auflösung) – Brücke zur Lernzieltransparenz
Ritual „Wort des Tages“
prompt Führe ein tägliches Ritual ein: Zufalls-Bibelvers via App, kurze stille Lesephase, spontanes Wort-Cloud-Feedback. – Setup-Anleitung, Regelzeit (3 min), Variationen (Hadith/Zitat) – Reflexion nach vier Wochen (Exit-Ticket-Vorlage)
Gamifizierte Punkte-Challenge
prompt Erstelle ein Punktesystem („Faith-Coins“) für vorbildliches Teamwork in Projekten **„Interreligiöser Dialog“**: – Mission-Board, Badges, Level-Belohnungen – klare Regeln (Fairplay, Bonus für Hilfsbereitschaft) – Monitoring-Tool & Schutz vor Wettbewerb-Stress
Affirmations-Station
prompt Richte im Klassenraum eine „Mut-&-Segen-Station“ ein: – Materialliste (Segen-Karten, Affirmations-Würfel, Kerze) – Nutzung: Start/Ende der Stunde, bei Konflikten – Dokumentiere Wirkung mit anonymem Feedback-Poster
Klassensong komponieren
prompt Lass die Klasse einen Song zu **„Nächstenliebe“** schreiben / recorden: – Schrittfolge: Brainstorm–Lyrics–Beat-Making–Recording–Release – Tools (Soundtrap, BandLab, Loop-Bibliothek CC-Lizenz) – Präsentation im Schul-Gottesdienst + Rechte-Check
Dankbarkeits-Journal
prompt Implementiere ein wöchentliches Dankbarkeits-Journal nach der Stunde **„Schöpfung bewahren“**: – drei Leitfragen (Wahrnehmung, Wertschätzung, Umsetzung) – Peer-Sharing-Option (freiwillig) – Beobachtung: Einfluss auf Klassenklima (Mess-Skala beilegen)
Konfliktlösungs-Circle
prompt Nutze eine Circle-Time nach der Methode „Restorative Justice“ bei Streit um religiöse Themen: – Rollen (Keeper, Sprecher*in, Zuhörer*in) – Gesprächsregeln & Talking-Piece – Nachbereitung: individueller Commitment-Zettel
Kapitel 7 · Spiritualität & Persönlichkeitsbildung
Meditation anleiten
prompt Schreibe ein 10-min-Skript für eine geführte Meditation „Ruhe finden – Psalm 23“, altersgerecht **[Klasse 8]**: – Setting (Sitzhaltung, Musik, Licht) – verbale Anleitung (Ein-, Ausatmen, Bild-Metaphern) – Nachbesprechung (Gefühls-Skala, Bibel-Resonanzfrage)
Pilgerweg auf dem Schulhof
prompt Plane einen Mini-Pilgerweg (6 Stationen) zu „Fragen nach dem Sinn“ auf dem Gelände: – Stationstexte + Symbol-Aktion (Stein legen, Wasser berühren …) – QR-Codes mit Audioguide durch Schüler*innen eingesprochen – Reflexionsbogen + Foto-Collage-Aufgabe
Stilles Tagebuch digital
prompt Setze mit **Padlet** ein „Stilles Tagebuch“ auf: – geschlossene Kommentarfunktion – wöchentliches Impulsbild (Ikone, Naturfoto, Calligraffiti) – Lehrkraft-Feedback nur per Emoji-Code, um Raum zu lassen
Gebetsformen erkunden
prompt Entwickle eine Lernstationen-Werkstatt **„Gebet in 5 Religionen“**: – Materialien: Gebetsriemen, Gebetsteppich, Mala-Kette, Kerzen, Textblätter – QR-Video-Tutorials zu Körperhaltungen – Reflexionsauftrag: Venn-Diagramm Gemeinsamkeiten/Verschiedenheiten
Spirituelles Tage-Retreat
prompt Skizziere einen schulischen Tages-Retreat „Stille & Kreativität“ für Oberstufe: – Rhythmus: Meditation – Kreativ-Workshop – Solo-Waldzeit – Sharing-Circle – Logistik (Räume, Materialien, externe Begleitung) – Evaluations-Tool: digitales Mood-Barometer
Dank-Labyrinth bauen
prompt Gib Anweisungen, wie eine Klasse ein begehbares Dankbarkeits-Labyrinth aus Kerzen/Seilen legt: – Aufbauplan & Sicherheitsregeln – Impulstext „Preis der Dankbarkeit“ (Lk 17, 11-19) – Audio-Begleitung + Zeitplan
Lebensweg-Timeline gestalten
prompt Lass Lernende eine „Lebensweg-Timeline“ (Canvas / Miro) erstellen, in der spirituelle Schlüsselmomente eingetragen werden: – Anleitung zu Life-Events, Werte, Glaubensfragen – Peer-Coaching-Leitfaden (respektvolle Rückfragen) – Datenschutz-Vereinbarung & Freigabe-Optionen
Kapitel 8 · Soziale & emotionale Unterstützung (Religionsunterricht)
Emotionale Intelligenz fördern
prompt Entwirf eine 20-min-Aktivität, die Lernende der **[Klassenstufe]** dabei unterstützt, Gefühle mit Psalm-Metaphern auszudrücken. – Warm-up: Emoji-Kärtchen + passender Psalmvers – Partneraustausch „Wann habe ich mich wie König David gefühlt?“ – Mini-Reflexion: Gebets-Haiku (3 Zeilen) ins Klassen-Padlet posten
Konfliktlösung interreligiös
prompt Stelle einen 3-Schritt-Leitfaden für Klassengespräche bei Spannungen zwischen religiösen Gruppen zusammen: 1. „Wertschätzungs-Runde“ – jede*r nennt, was er/sie an der anderen Tradition bewundert 2. „Gemeinsamer Kern“ – Bibel-, Koran- oder Tora-Vers zum Thema Frieden lesen, Gemeinsamkeiten markieren 3. „Handlungsplan“ – Klasse legt zwei konkrete Fairness-Regeln fest
Achtsamkeit mit Psalm 46
prompt Schreibe ein 5-min-Achtsamkeitsskript „Sei still und erkenne Gott“ für den Stundenbeginn: Atem-Anker, Psalmwort wiederholen, 30 Sek. Stille, Abschluss-Frage in Still-Journal notieren.
Teambuilding „Vertrau mir“
prompt Plane ein Teambuilding-Spiel, bei dem Partner*innen mit verbundenen Augen durch einen „Weg des Lichts“ aus Kerzen geführt werden. – Sicherheits-Checkliste – Spiritueller Debrief: Johannes 8,12 verknüpfen
Krisenintervention – spiritueller Beistand
prompt Erstelle ein 4-Punkte-Handout für Lehrkräfte, wie sie bei plötzlicher Trauer in der Klasse handeln: • Präsenz zeigen – kurze Stille + Kerze entzünden • Offenes Ohr – kein theologisieren, nur zuhören • Ressourcen nennen – Schulseelsorge, Jugendpfarrer*in • Nachsorge – Memory-Box gestalten
Selbstwert stärken (Imago Dei)
prompt Formuliere eine Kreativaufgabe „Ich bin Bild Gottes“: Lernende gestalten ein Self-Portrait-Collage mit Bibel-Affirmationen, kurze Audio-Beschreibung aufnehmen, Gallery-Walk durchführen.
Resilienz durch Glaubensgeschichten
prompt Gib einen Arbeitsauftrag, bei dem Schüler*innen eine biblische Figur wählen, deren Lebenskrise sie analysieren (Hiob, Ruth, Josef) und die Strategien auf heutige Situationen übertragen.
Kapitel 9 · Elternarbeit & Zusammenarbeit
Elternbrief „Religiöse Lernwege“
prompt Verfasse einen Elternbrief (max. 300 Wörter), der – das Halbjahresthema **[z. B. Gerechtigkeit in den Propheten]** erklärt – 2 Mitmach-Tipps für zuhause enthält (Familiengebet, Podcast) – QR-Link zur Materialsammlung bietet
Elternabend – interreligiöse Einheit vorstellen
prompt Erstelle eine Agenda (60 min) für einen Elternabend: • Begrüßung & Gebet der Religionen (5 min) • Lernziele & Methoden-Tour (15 min) • Mini-Workshop „Feste teilen“ (20 min) • Fragen & Feedback-Karten (15 min) • Segen zum Abschluss (5 min)
Elternfeedback digital einholen
prompt Gestalte einen 7-Fragen-Forms-Fragebogen: Skalen (1–5) zu: Relevanz, Transparenz, Wertevermittlung, Medienmix + zwei offene Felder „Was lief gut?“ / „Wunsch für nächste Reihe“.
Schwieriges Elterngespräch führen
prompt Entwirf einen Gesprächsleitfaden (Sandwich-Methode) für eine Diskussion über fehlende Hausaufgaben im Kontext Glaubensfest-Vorbereitungen.
Elternmitarbeit im Projekt „Feste zu Hause“
prompt Skizziere ein Mitmach-Format, bei dem Familien ihre Festtraditionen per Video (max. 2 min) vorstellen; Sammel-Padlet, Klassen-Kompliment-Wand und Auszeichnung „Fest-Botschafter*in“.
Familienkommunikation stärken
prompt Gib drei Übungen, wie Eltern religiöse Dialoge anstoßen können: • „Frage des Tages“-Glas • Gemeinsames Dankbarkeitsbuch • Podcast „3 Minuten Bibelimpuls“ beim Abendessen hören
Eltern-Kind-Projekt „Heilige Orte“
prompt Plane ein Wochenend-Projekt: Familie besucht lokalen Sakralbau, füllt Reflexions-Worksheet aus, erstellt Foto-Story in CANVA; Präsentation im Unterricht, Peer-Feedback-Kriterien beilegen.
Kapitel 10 · Zeitmanagement & Organisation (Religionsunterricht)
Liturgische To-do-Liste
prompt Erstelle für die nächsten 4 Schulwochen eine Checkliste, die Unterricht, Gottesdienst-Vorbereitung und Schulfest (St. Martin) synchronisiert; inkl. Deadlines & Verantwortliche.
45-min-Stundenplan fein takten
prompt Gliedere eine Stunde **[Thema Gleichnisse]** in 5-Min-Blöcke: Warm-up-Rätsel, Kurzimpuls, Gruppenpuzzle, Austausch, Transfer, Mini-Exit-Ticket – plus 2 min Puffer.
Unterrichtsstruktur „Flow“
prompt Baue einen wiederkehrenden Ablauf mit kleinen Ritualen: • Ankommens-Kerze (1 min) • Learning Target (Tafel-Icon) • Aktiv-Phase • Stille-Minute • Segen-to-go
Übergänge mit Symbol
prompt Gib 3 Methoden, um Phasenwechsel per Klangschale, Lichtritual oder Vers-Einblendung zu signalisieren – inkl. Schüler-Assistenzplan.
Prioritäten im Kirchenjahr setzen
prompt Lege fest, welche Themen vor Weihnachten abgeschlossen sein müssen und welche (Fastenzeit) ins zweite Halbjahr fallen – Schlagwort-Roadmap.
Arbeitszeitplan für Lehrkraft
prompt Erstelle einen Wochenplan (Mo–So) mit festen Blöcken: Vorbereitung, Korrektur, Seelsorge-Termin, Me-Time; Ampel-Farbcode für Belastung; Reminder „Sabbat-Abend offline“.
Kapitel 11 · Persönliche Weiterbildung & Reflexion
Selbstreflexion als Religionslehrkraft
prompt Liste 5 Leitfragen (Theologie, Didaktik, Spiritualität, Beziehung, Innovation), die du jedes Quartal schriftlich beantwortest.
Fortbildung „KI im Religionsunterricht“
prompt Stelle einen 3-Stufen-Lernpfad zusammen: 1) Online-MOOC (4 h) 2) Praxis-Webinar „Prompt-Design“ (2 h) 3) Kollegiale Umsetzungsschau (90 min) mit Reflexionsbogen. 4) MarkDown für Liascript-Lernmodul
Burnout-Prophylaxe spirituell
prompt Entwirf eine 7-Tage-Challenge: tägliche 10-min-Stille, Journaling „Segen des Tages“, Digital-Sonnenuntergang (kein Screen nach 21 Uhr) und wöchentlicher Spazier-Psalm.
Teamteaching ökumenisch
prompt Gib eine Checkliste für Planung mit einer katholischen Kollegin: gemeinsame Lernziele, liturgische Sprache abstimmen, Rollenverteilung, Reflexions-Debrief.
Microteaching „Kurzpredigt“
prompt Lege ein Format fest: 5-min-Mini-Homilie vor Kolleg*innen, Video-Feedback, zweifache Wiederholung nach Feed-Forward-Regeln.
Jahresziele setzen
prompt Nutze SMART+LOVE-Schema (L-inked to faith, O-wned, V-alue-added, E-cological) für drei persönliche Entwicklungsziele und definiere Quartals-Checkpoints.
Innovation: VR-Pilgerfahrt
prompt Skizziere, wie du in 60 min eine VR-Station an einem Pilgerort testest, Evaluation × 3 (Lerngewinn, Technik, Emotion), Nachbesprechung im Kollegium.
Kapitel 12 · Exkursionen & Außerschulisches Lernen
Kloster-Tag organisieren
prompt Plane einen ganztägigen Klassenausflug in ein Benediktiner- oder Zisterzienser-Kloster. – Zeitplan (Laudes-Besuch, Führung, Arbeitsstation, Stundengebet, Gesprächsrunde) – Lernziele (Spiritualität erleben, klösterliche Werte reflektieren, Stille-Erfahrung) – Arbeitsaufträge: Audio-Interview mit Mönch/Nonne, Foto-Essay „Ora et Labora“ – Vor-/Nachbereitung im Unterricht (Vorwissen-Quiz, Reflexionsportfolio)
Interreligiöse Stadt-Tour
prompt Entwirf eine dreistündige „House-of-Worship-Tour“ (Moschee – Synagoge – Kirche) für die [Jgst. 9–10]. – Routenplan, Zeiten, Ansprechpartner*innen, Kleidungshinweise – Leitfragen je Stopp (Architektur, Riten, Engagement in der Stadtgesellschaft) – digitale Begleitmap in Google My Maps / Actionbound – Reflexionsprodukt: gemeinsames „Code of Respect“-Poster
Museum der Religionen virtuell
prompt Nutze 3D-Rundgänge von **[Museum X]** und erstelle ein Lern-Webquest „Religiöse Symbole im Wandel“. – fünf Recherche‐Aufgaben mit Zeitlimit – Peer-Review: Padlet-Poster „Top 3 Überraschungen“ – Lehrer-Dashboard: Bewertungskriterien + Zugangslinks
Pilgerwanderung light
prompt Skizziere eine 8-km-Pilgerstrecke nahe der Schule. – sechs Stationen (Psalm-Rezitation, Naturmeditation, Segenswort …) – Materialliste (Pilgerpass, Stempel, Erste-Hilfe-Set) – Safety-Plan + Elterninfo – Abschluss: Lagerfeuer-Runde „Reiseroute des Herzens“
Service-Learning bei der Tafel
prompt Verbinde eine Exkursion zur lokalen Tafel e.V. mit einem vierwöchigen Projekt „Glauben & Teilen“. – Vorbereitung: Arbeitslosigkeit & Almosen in Bibel/Koran – Vor-Ort-Einsatz (2 h Sortieren + 1 h Gespräche) – Reflexion: Rollenkarte „Prophetische Stimme“ – Leistungsnachweis: Podcast-Episode + 360°-Feedback
Kapitel 13 · Ethik & Gesellschaftliche Verantwortung
Bioethik-Debatte führen
prompt Entwirf ein Oxford-Debate-Setting zu **[„CRISPR‐Babys – moralisch vertretbar?“]**. – Rollen (Pro / Contra / Jury) – theologische Argumentationskarten (Imago Dei, Schöpfungsverantwortung) – Bewertungsrubrik (Sachkenntnis, Ethik-Transfer, Dialoghaltung) – Follow-Up-Essay-Prompt
Dilemma-Diskussion „Notlüge“
prompt Stelle ein Fallbeispiel „Notlüge zum Schutz eines Freundes“ bereit. – Fishbowl-Methode mit Beobachtungsauftrag – Transfer-Aufgabe: biblische Szenen verknüpfen (Pharao, Hebammen, (2. Mose 1,15-21)
Menschenrechte & Religion
prompt Entwirf ein Stationenlernen (6 Stationen) „Bibel, Koran, UN-Charta“. – Quellentexte, QR-Videos, Kreativ-Station „Art. 1 als Graffiti“ – Zwischentest (Learning Apps) + Exit-Ticket – Reflexion im Wertequadrat (Freiheit – Ordnung)
Planspiel „Flucht & Asyl“
prompt Kreiere ein 90-min-Planspiel mit Rollen (Geflüchtete / Grenzpolizei / NGO / Regierung). – Szenario, Rollenbriefe, Event-Cards – Einbettung: biblisches Motiv „Exodus – Fremdsein“ – Debrief-Matrix Gefühle / Fakten / Glaubensimpulse / Handlungsoptionen
Prophetie heute
prompt Schreibe einen Auftrag: Lernende identifizieren in Medien aktuelle „prophetische Stimmen“ (Fridays for Future, Amnesty) und vergleichen sie mit Amos & Jesaja. – Kriterienraster (Anklage, Vision, Handlungsaufruf) – Präsentation als Insta-Reel oder Infografik
Kapitel 14 · Globale Gerechtigkeit & Nachhaltigkeit
Fair-Trade-Schulaktion
prompt Entwirf ein Projekt „Eine Welt-Kiosk“ (4 Wochen). – Team-Rollen (Einkauf, Werbung, Kassenbuch, Bildung) – theologische Begründung (Mt 25, Jak 5) – Marketing-Plan (Plakat, Schulgottesdienst-Spot, Social-Story) – Impact-Messung (Umsatz, Umfrage, Spendenzweck)
Wasser als Menschenrecht
prompt Plane eine Doppelstunde „Durstige Welt“. – Einstieg: symbolisches 1-Liter-Experiment – Textvergleich: Joh 4 (Frau am Brunnen) & Qurʾan 21:30 – Gruppenauftrag: Wasserkampagne für Schul-IG entwickeln – Mini-Debatte: Privatisierung ja/nein
Klimagerechtigkeits-Liturgie
prompt Schreibe ein 30-min-Andachtskonzept „Schrei der Schöpfung“. – Psalm 104 als Wechselgesang – Kurzimpuls Laudato si’ §139 – Aktionssymbolik: Erde-Tuch + Saatkorn-Ritual – Call-to-Action-Karte mit persönlichem CO₂-Ziel
Buddhist Economics vs. Christliche Soziallehre
prompt Erstelle einen Vergleichs-Chart (4 Kriterien) + Diskussions-Prompt: „Welche Wirtschaftsethik braucht die Post-Wachstums-Gesellschaft?“
UN-SDGs im Religionsunterricht
prompt Baue eine Lernlandkarte, die jedem SDG einen religiösen Impuls zuordnet. – Tool: Miro-Board Vorlage – Beispiel: SDG 13 ↔ „Garten Eden bewahren“ – Abschlussprodukt: Elevator-Pitch-Video (90 sec) mit Handlungsaufruf
Kapitel 15 · Führung, Engagement & Diakonie
Service-Learning „Senior*innen online“
prompt Plane eine dreiwöchige Aktion: Klasse coacht Senior*innen beim Smartphone-Einsatz. – Vorbereitung: biblischer Impuls „Ehre die Alten“ – Training-Module, Rollenkarten, Feedback-Bogen – Abschluss-Event mit Segens-Ritual & Urkunden
Schuldiakonie-Team gründen
prompt Erstelle ein Konzept zur Gründung eines „Diakonie-Teams“ (Kl. 9-12). – Satzung, Rollen (Team-Leads, PR, Fundraising) – Jahresprojekt-Ideen (Suppenküche, Fair-Fashion-Swap) – Mentoring durch lokale Kirchengemeinde
Leadership-Training „Servant Leader“
prompt Entwirf einen Workshop-Tag (6 h) zu dienender Führung nach Mk 10,45. – Icebreaker, Input-Impulse, Fallstudien-Gruppenarbeit – Reflexions-Matrix „Head-Heart-Hand“ – Zertifikat-Kriterien
Mentoring jüngerer Schüler*innen
prompt Skizziere ein Peer-Mentoring-Programm „Glaubensfragen teilen“. – Matching-Prozess, 5-Treffen-Guide, Gesprächs-Kärtchen – Evaluations-Tool (Mentor/Mentee-Feedback)
Charity-Kampagne „Licht teilen“
prompt Entwerfe einen 14-tägigen Schul-Spendenlauf zugunsten eines Solarprojekte in Afrika. – theologische Rahmung („Ihr seid das Licht der Welt“) – Sponsoring-Formular, Social-Media-Challenge, Andacht zur Eröffnung – Ergebnis-Präsentation: Weltkarte + Dank-Video der Partner-NGO
Kapitel 16 · Theologie & Popkultur
Biblische Motive in Superhelden-Filmen
prompt Erstelle eine Analyse-Aufgabe zu [Film: „Spider-Man No Way Home“]. – Szenenauswahl, Leitfrage (Opfer & Erlösung) – Arbeitsblatt „Parallele zu Christusfigur?“ – Präsentationsformat: Meme-Collage oder Re-cut-Trailer
TikTok-Mini-Predigt
prompt Schreibe einen Prompt, mit dem Lernende eine 60-Sek-TikTok-Predigt zu **[Seligpreisung X]** produzieren. – Hook, Kernvers, Call-to-Action – Hashtag-Liste, Musik-Snippet (lizenzfrei) – Feedback-Rubrik (Klarheit, Kreativität, theol. Tiefe)
Rap-Battle Altes vs. Neues Testament
prompt Plane ein Klassen-Rap-Battle „Gesetz vs. Gnade“. – Beat-Auswahl, Battle-Regeln, Reim-Worksheet – Peer-Jury-Bögen (Flow, Inhalt, Punchline, Respekt) – Reflexion: Gal 3,24 & Mt 5,17 im Plenum
Gaming-Theologie
prompt Erstelle einen Analyse-Prompt für **[Game: „The Last of Us“]** zum Thema „Opfer‐Liebe & Moral“. – Level-Szenen, Diskussionsfragen, Vergleich mit Joh 15,13 – Creative Option: Alternative Ending Storyboard
Playlist „Psalmen im Pop“
prompt Gib Auftrag, eine Spotify-Playlist moderner Songs mit Psalm-Resonanzen zu kuratieren (mind. 8 Titel); jeder Track mit Mini-Annotation (30 Wörter).
Kapitel 17 · Interreligiöser Dialog & Diversity
Fishbowl Diskussion
prompt Organisiere eine Fishbowl Diskussion zu **„Gemeinsame Werte in Judentum, Christentum & Islam“**. – Rollen: 3 Sprecher*innen je Religion, 2 freie Stühle, Außenkreis – Leitfragen (Würde, Barmherzigkeit, Gerechtigkeit) – Beobachtung Grid für Außenkreis (Argument, Emotion, Bezug Schrift) – Debrief: Gemeinsamkeiten clustern, Differenzen respektvoll festhalten
Interfaith Panel
prompt Plane ein Schüler*innen-Panel mit Vertreter*innen von 4 Religionen. – Ablauf: Lightning-Talks (5 min) → moderierte Fragerunde → World-Café – Vorbereitungs-Worksheet: „Meine Frage an…“ – Reflexions-Blogpost (200 Wörter) als Leistungsnachweis
Dialog-Café
prompt Richte ein „Religions-Café“ ein (Tische: Feiern, Gebet, Kleidung, Essen). – Tisch-Hosts mit Quick-Facts-Karten – 10-min-Runden, Timer-Gong – Abschluss: Murmelrunde „größte Überraschung“ + Mentimeter-Wordcloud
Scripture Speed-Dating
prompt Lass Lernende in 5-min-Runden je einen Vers vorstellen (Bibel, Koran, Tanach, Bhagavad Gita) zu **„Frieden“**. – Vorlage: Vers, Kontext, eigene Frage – Rotation, Feedback-Sticker, Ranking „Vers der Stunde“
Konflikt-Simulation
prompt Erstelle ein Planspiel „Bau neuer Gebetsraum an der Schule“. – Stakeholder-Briefe: Schüler*innenrat, Eltern, Stadt, Religionsgemeinschaften – Verhandlungs-Phase, Presse-Konferenz, Kompromiss-Paper – Reflexion: Goldene Regel & GG Art. 4
Shared Values-Collage
prompt Auftrag: Gruppe erstellt Digi-Collage „Das verbindet uns“ (Canva). – Mind-Map-Start, Bild-Recherche CC-Lizenz, Zitat-Overlays – Poster-Walk, Peer-Voting via Klebepunkte
Ambassador-Projekt
prompt Jede*r Schüler*in wird „Religion-Ambassador“ für eine Tradition. – 3 Recherche-Aufträge, 1 Interview, TikTok-Summary (60 s) – gemeinsame Auswertung im Padlet-Cluster (Riten, Ethik, Symbolik)
Kapitel 18 · Liturgie & Gottesdienstgestaltung
Schüler-Gottesdienst planen
prompt Entwirf einen 30-min-Schulgottesdienst zum Thema **„Hoffnung“**. – Liturgischer Ablauf (Begrüßung, Lied, Lesung, Aktion, Segen) – Rollen-Matrix (Musik-Team, Technik, Predigt-Crew) – Checkliste für Inklusion (Gender-Sprache, Barrierefreiheit)
Digitaler Live-Stream
prompt Erstelle ein Setup für einen gestreamten Advents-Impuls. – Technik-Schema (OBS, Kamera, Mikro, YouTube Link) – Einbindung interaktiver Chat-Fragen – DSGVO-Hinweise & Moderations-Plan
Symbolischer Raum
prompt Gestalte einen „Raum der Klage“ in der Aula (Fastenzeit). – Bodenbild Asche-Kreuz, Kerzen-Spirale, Gebets-Box – Ablauf 10-min-Stationengang, Audio-Loop Psalm 130 – Sicherheits- und Aufsichts-Plan
Psalm-Rap Worship
prompt Leite eine Klasse an, Psalm 23 als Rap vorzutragen. – Beat-Template, Vers-Aufteilung, Refrain-Hook – Recording mit BandLab, EQ-Preset „Worship Lo-Fi“ – Live-Performance im Gottesdienst + Lyric-Video
Taizé-Abend
prompt Konzipiere eine 25-min-Taizé-Andacht (Kerzen-Kreuz, repetitives Lied, Stille). – Liedauswahl (Laudate omnes gentes / Ubi caritas) – Ablauf-Kärtchen, Gitarren-Akkorde, zweisprachiges Gebet
Segnungsfeier
prompt Entwirf eine Segnungsfeier für Abschluss-Klasse. – Ritual: Hand-auf-Schulter, persönliches Segenswort, Kreuzzeichen – Musik-Cue, Fotopunkt, Give-away „Segen-To-Go“-Karte
Liturgischer Kalender Smartboard
prompt Erstelle eine interaktive Smartboard-Tafel mit Festfarben, Symbolen, Liedvorschlägen; Drag-&-Drop-Quiz „Ordne das Fest!“
Kapitel 19 · Kreatives Schreiben & Kunstprojekte;
Psalm-Haiku
prompt Auftrag: Schreibe zu einem ausgewählten Psalmvers drei Haikus. – Struktur 5-7-5, Bildsprache beibehalten, persönlicher Twist – Audio-Aufnahme mit Regen-Ambience, Upload in Nostr
Graphic-Novel-Bibeltext
prompt Lass Lernende **Mk 2,1-12** als 8-Panel-Comic umsetzen. – Storyboard-Template, Sprechblasen, onomatopoetische Effekte – Peer-Review „Lesbarkeit & Theologie“
Poetry-Slam Propheten
prompt Organisiere einen Slam-Abend „Stimme der Gerechtigkeit“. – Textlänge 3 min, Requisite erlaubt – Jury-Bögen (Wortkraft, Performance, Forderung) – Streaming-Option + Publikums-Voting
Ikonen-Workshop
prompt Führe 90-min-Workshop „Jesus-Ikone in Acryl“ durch. – Schrittfolge: Holzgrund, Goldbogen, Proportions-Raster, Lasur – Theologischer Input zur Ikonen-Theologie, Stille-Phase
Kalligrafie-Schriftrolle
prompt Gestalte mit der Klasse ein 2 m langes Pergament „Selig sind…“. – Material-Liste, Pinsel-Technik, Farbsymbolik – Ausstellung im Schulflur + QR-Code-Making-Of
Parabel-Comic-Strip
prompt Team erstellt 4-Panel-Webcomic zur Parabel „Verlorener Sohn“. – Stil wählbar (Manga, Indie, Minimal) – Upload auf Schul-Insta, Hashtag-Challenge
Gemeinschafts-Mural
prompt Plane ein Wandbild „Regenbogen-Bund“. – Entwurfs-Workshop, Schablonen, Schulfest-Live-Painting – Reflexion: Farbe als Zeichen der Verheißung
Kapitel 20 · Bibliodrama & Rollenspiel
Bibliodrama-Setting
prompt Leite ein 60-min-Bibliodrama zu **„Emmaus-Jünger“**. – Rollen-Zuweisung, Körper-Statue, Resonanz-Runde – Transfer: „Wann brannte unser Herz?“ Journaling
Hot-Seat-Interview
prompt Schüler*in im „heißen Stuhl“ antwortet als Paulus. – Vorbereitungs-Kärtchen (Biografie, Missionsreisen, Konflikte) – Audience-Fragen, Reflexion: Differenz Fakten / Fantasie
Konzil von Jerusalem
prompt Rollenspiel: Apostel vs. Pharisäer über Heiden-Mission. – Positions-Papers, Moderations-Hammer, Mehrheits-Vote – Debrief: Gal 2 & Apostelgeschichte 15 vergleichen
Moderne Parabel
prompt Gruppen schreiben & spielen eine heutige Version der „Barmherzigen Samariter“ in 5 Szenen (E-Scooter-Unfall).
Forum-Theater Mobbing
prompt Setze Forum-Theater nach Boal ein: Szenario „Religiöses Cyber-Mobbing“. – Stop-Signal, Zuschauende als Joker, Lösungs-Ideen ausprobieren
Freeze-Frame Auferstehung
prompt Klasse stellt in drei Standbildern Karsamstag – Ostermorgen – Emmaus dar. – Foto-Shooting, Bild-Analyse „Gefühle im Raum“
Impro-Dilemma-Box
prompt Sammle ethische Dilemmata, ziehe zufällig, spiele 2-min-Impro-Szene, Klasse bietet Lösungswege; Bibel-Matching als Abschluss.
Kapitel 21 · Wissenschaft & Forschung im RU
Empirische Unterrichtsstudie planen
prompt Skizziere ein Forschungsdesign (Mixed-Methods) zur Frage, ob Storytelling die Bibeltextkompetenz in **[Klassenstufe]** steigert. – Hypothese, Stichprobe, Instrumente (Pre-/Post-Test, Fokusgruppe) – Zeitplan 8 Wochen, Ethik-Check, Auswertungs-Software – Reflexionsauftrag für Schüler*innen nach Abschluss
Unterrichtsbeobachtung per Video
prompt Erarbeite einen Leitfaden für Videografie im RU: – Kameraposition, Datenschutzinfo, Einverständnisbogen Eltern – Codierschema (Interaktion, Fragearten, Wartezeit) – Analysetools (ELAN, Vosaic) + Reporting-Template
Statistik zur Religiosität erheben
prompt Entwirf einen 12-Items-Fragebogen (Likert 1–5) zu „Glaubenspraxis Jugendlicher“. – Themen: Gebet, Gottesdienst, Mediennutzung, Zweifel – Pre-Test auf Verständlichkeit, Cronbach-α-Ziel > 0,75 – Prompt für ChatGPT: „Generiere Item-Analysen & Visualisierung“
Literaturreview KI im RU
prompt Formuliere einen Prompt, der ChatGPT auf Deutsch ein systematisches Review der letzten 5 Jahre (2020-25) erstellt: – Suchstrings, Inclusion-Criteria, PRISMA-Flowchart – Output-Struktur Abstract → Ergebnisse → Lücken → Ausblick
Kapitel 22 · Historisch-kritische Bibelarbeit
Textkritischer Einstieg
prompt Lass Lernende **Mk 16, 9-20** mit Nestle-Aland-App untersuchen: – Auftrag: Textvarianten markieren, Randnotizen vergleichen – Diskussionsfragen: Kanon, Inspiration, Relevanz heutiger Ausgaben
Quellenhypothese entdecken
prompt Plane eine Gruppenpuzzle-Einheit zur Zwei-Quellen-Theorie. – Expertentexte (Mk, Q-Hypothese, Sondergut Mt/Lk) – Produkt: Info-Poster „So entsteht ein Evangelium“ – Checkliste: redaktionelle Merkmale finden, Schlussdiskussion
Formgeschichte kreativ
prompt Organisation einer „Formgeschichte-Gallery“: – Teams inszenieren Witzwort, Wunder, Streitgespräch als Meme, Reel, Podcast – Gallery-Walk, Peer-Rubrik „Gattungsmerkmale getroffen?“
Exegese-Prompt
prompt Erstelle einen Prompt, der eine KI eine Mini-Exegetische Analyse (Setting, Form, Sit-in-Leben, Theologie, Rezeption) zu jeder Bibelperikope liefert; begrenze Ausgabe auf 300 Wörter.
Kapitel 23 · Krisenseelsorge & Notfallpädagogik
Notfall-Handlungskette
prompt Stelle ein One-Pager-Schema für Krisenfälle (Tod, Suizidgedanken) zusammen: 1) Wahrnehmen & Sichern · 2) Kollegium informieren · 3) Eltern/Profis einbinden · 4) Nachsorge – Telefonnummern (Schulpsychologe, Krisendienst) freilassend eintragen
Trauerritual gestalten
prompt Entwirf ein 15-min-Ritual „Licht der Erinnerung“ für die Klasse: – Mitte-Kreuz, Namenskärtchen, Kerzen-Aufstellung, Psalm 34,19 – Raummusik-Vorschlag, Leitfragen stille Reflexion, optionaler Segen
Psychoedukation „Angst“
prompt Bau eine 45-min-Einheit Angstbewältigung mit Psalm 91 & Atem-Techniken. – Theorie-Input, Körperübung 4-7-8-Atmung, Bibelvers-Affirmation – Exit-Ticket „Meine Angst-Skillbox“ (3 Ideen)
Peer-Support-Netzwerk
prompt Skizziere ein Schulkonzept „Schüler-Seelsorge-Team“. – Auswahl-Prozess, 3-tägige Grundschulung (Aktives Zuhören, Schweigepflicht) – Supervision, Öffentlichkeitsarbeit, Evaluationsbogen
Kapitel 24 · Schulkooperation & Öffentlichkeitsarbeit
RU-Blog aufsetzen
prompt Gib Schritt-für-Schritt-Anleitung (WordPress): Theme-Auswahl, Kategorien (Impulse, Projekte, Schüler-Gastbeiträge), DSGVO-Plug-ins, Redaktionsplan 3-Monats-Sicht; Prompt für KI-Bilder (Stable Diffusion) inkl. Lizenz-Check
Medien-Pitch
prompt Formuliere ein 200-Wörter-Pressestatement für die Lokalzeitung über die Aktion **„Eine-Welt-Kiosk“** (Kap. 14). Inklusive Quote einer Schülerin & Spendenstand.
RU-Tagung hosten
prompt Erstelle ein Ablaufskript für eine regionale RU-Fachtagung (5 h): Keynote „KI & Theologie“, 3 Workshops, Poster-Session, Abschlussandacht. – Raum-Plan, Technik-Check, Catering-Zeitslots
Partnerschule international
prompt Skizziere ein eTwinning-Projekt mit einer Schule in **[Land]** Thema „Speisen & Fasten in unseren Religionen“. – Timeline 6 Monate, Tools (TwinSpace, Padlet, Canva) – Produkte: gemeinsames Koch-E-Book, virtuelle Fastenkalender
Social-Media-Strategie
```prompt Entwirf für den RU-Instagram-Account eine 4-Wochen-Content-Map:
MondayMotivation-Vers, Mini-Reel „Bibel in 30 sec“, Umfrage-Sticker,
Takeover der Klasse 9, Hashtag-Liste, Insights-KPI-Ziel (Engagement 5 %) ```
Kapitel 25 · Bibelsprachen & Übersetzung
Hebräisch-Crashkurs
prompt Erstelle ein 4-Stunden-Modul „Bibel-Hebräisch für Einsteiger*innen“. – Alphabet lernen (Poster + Audio-Übung) – 10 Schlüsselwörter (שָׁלוֹם, חֶסֶד …) inkl. Lautschrift & Bedeutung – Mini-Auftrag: Psalm 23,1 in Lautschrift abschreiben & übersetzen – Abschluss-Quiz (Matching hebr. Wort ↔ dt. Bedeutung)
Griechisch des NT entdecken
prompt Plane eine Doppelstunde „Koine-Griechisch lesen lernen“. – Einstieg: Griechisches Alphabet-Rap (YouTube-Link) – Textarbeit: Joh 1,1-5 Parallel-Kolumne (griech./dt.) – Analyseaufgabe: Verben im Aorist markieren, Bedeutungs-Shift diskutieren – Reflexion: Welche Nuancen gehen in Übersetzungen verloren?
Septuaginta-Vergleich
prompt Lass Lernende Gen 1,1-5 in Hebräisch, LXX-Griechisch & Luther-Übersetzung nebeneinander legen. – Auftrag: drei semantische Unterschiede identifizieren – Visualisierung: T-Diagramm „Wortwahl vs. Theologie“ – Transfer: Warum sind Übersetzungen theologische Entscheidungen?
Übersetzer-Werkstatt
prompt Baue ein Gruppenprojekt „Übersetze dein Lieblingsgleichnis“. – Schrittfolge: Wort-für-Wort-Entwurf → Dynamic-Equivalent-Entwurf → Peer-Review – Kriterienraster (Genauigkeit, Lesbarkeit, Stil, Theologie) – Produkt: zweispaltiges Booklet mit Kommentar
KI-gestützte Translation
prompt Schreibe einen Prompt, der GPT für dich eine Roh-Übersetzung von Ps 121 liefert, dann bitte um Stil-Varianten (jugendlich, liturgisch, poetisch) und gib eine Checkliste, wie Lernende die Vorschläge kritisch prüfen.
Kapitel 26 · Religion & Naturwissenschaft
Big Bang vs. Schöpfung
prompt Entwirf eine Debatte „Urknall und Genesis – Widerspruch oder Ergänzung?“. – Rollen: Naturwissenschaftler*in, Theolog*in, Schülerjury – Input-Material: Video-Clip CERN, Bibeltext Gen 1,1-5, Zitat Georges Lemaître – Bewertungsrubrik: Argumentationslogik, Quellenbezug, Dialogfähigkeit
Evolution & Glaube
prompt Plane eine Stationsarbeit (5 Stationen) „Genesis 2 trifft Darwin“. – Inhalte: Fossilien-Puzzle, Gen 2 Lese-Rallye, Clever-Trees Simulation … – Reflexionsbogen: Conflict-/Independence-/Integration-Modell – Ergebnis: persönliches Statement-Padlet
Klimaphysik meets Theologie
prompt Kreiere ein Co-Teaching-Szenario RU + Physik „Treibhaus & Treue zur Schöpfung“. – Experiment CO₂-Flaschen-Test (Physik) – Bibelimpuls Ps 24,1; Laudato si’ §23 (RU) – Gruppenauftrag: Infografik „Physik-Fakten ↔ prophetischer Auftrag“
Neurotheologie light
prompt Schreibe einen 20-min-Impuls „Was passiert im Gehirn beim Beten?“ – Erkläre Begriffe (präfrontaler Cortex, Salience Network) vereinfacht – Diskussionsfrage: Macht das Beten weniger heilig? – Mini-Aktivität: 2-Min-Stille + Emotions-Thermometer
KI als Schöpfungswerkzeug?
prompt Formuliere einen Pro-/Contra-Debatten-Prompt: „Darf der Mensch mittels KI neue Lebewesen designen – übertritt er damit eine göttliche Grenze?“ Gib vier Leitthesen je Seite und einen Auswertungsbogen (Sachargument / Ethik / Empathie).
Kapitel 27 · Musik & Klang im Religionsunterricht
Bibel-Beat-Lab
prompt Auftrag: Sample drei Bibel-Verse (mp3-Clips) und baue daraus einen 90-sek-Beat. – Tool-Tipp: Soundtrap Spur-Template – Lernziel: Text + Sound = Verkündigung 2.0 – Präsentation: Klassen-Listening-Session + Voting
Gregorianik erleben
prompt Plane eine Mini-Exkursion in eine Abtei oder Kloster (oder Video-Visit). – Vorab-Auftrag: Was macht gregorianischen Choral einzigartig? – Vor Ort: Klangtagebuch (Geräusch-Beschreibungen, Gefühle) – Nachbereitung: Vergleich Worship-Song vs. Choral
Psalm-Pop-Mashup
prompt Gib Lernenden den Prompt „Mixe Psalm 91 mit aktuellem Pop-Hit“. – Schritte: Lyrics Sheet erstellen, Hook identifizieren, Mashup-Regeln – Reflexion: Stößt Pop-Kultur die Sakralität ab oder erweitert sie sie?
Klangschalen-Liturgie
prompt Erstelle ein 15-min-Stille-Ritual mit Klangschalen & Taizé-Ostinato. – Ablauf: Atem, Anschlag-Sequenz, 2-min-Stille, gesungene Antwort – Sicherheits-Hinweis für sensible Lernende (Trigger)
Sound-Walk Schöpfung
prompt Skizziere einen 30-min-Außen-Sound-Walk: – Stationen: Wasser, Wind, Tiere, Stadtlärm → jeder Klang mit Gen 1-Vers verknüpfen – Auftrag: Audio-Notizen aufnehmen, hinterher Collage basteln
Kapitel 28 · Bilingual / CLIL Religious Education
Lesson Plan „Parables“ (EN)
prompt Create a 45-minute CLIL lesson on **“The Good Samaritan”** (Englisch + Religion). – Objectives: vocabulary (compassion, neighbour), ethics debate, creative output – Activities: video clip, jigsaw reading, freeze-frame role-play – Assessment: exit ticket sentence-transformations
Terminology-Toolkit
prompt Compile a glossary (20 terms) for Grade 9 bilingual unit “Creation & Stewardship”. – Columns: EN term, DE equivalent, easy definition, sample sentence – Prompt: Generate flash-cards in Quizlet automatically
Bilingual Assessment
prompt Design a rubric for a bilingual podcast “Faith & Science”. – Criteria: Content depth, language accuracy (B1-B2), creativity, reflection – 4 levels, score-bands, comment space
Cross-curricular Project
prompt Outline a 3-week CLIL project with Biology “Water in the Bible & Ecology”. – Milestones: joint field trip, water-testing, theological collage – Final product: bilingual exhibition brochure (digital + print)
Teacher-Prompt for AI
prompt Write an English prompt that asks ChatGPT to simplify Isaiah 11,6-9 to CEFR A2 level and suggest three comprehension questions.
Kapitel 29 · Religionsunterricht in der Grundschule
Erzählsäckchen „Zachäus“
prompt Plane eine 30-min-Erzählrunde mit Erzählsäckchen: Figuren, Baum-Ast, Münzen. – Ablauf: Bodenbild, Erzählen, Mitmach-Aktion „Kletterbaum“, Abschluss-Gebet – Differenzierung: Piktogramm-Fragen für Leseanfänger*innen
Gott im Alltag entdecken
prompt Stell eine Wochen-Hausaufgabe „Gottes-Spuren“: – Kinder fotografieren einen Moment, der sie an Gott erinnert – Präsentation als Galerie, drei Satzanfänge „Ich staune, weil …“
Psalmen malen
prompt Lass Klasse 2 Ps 136,1 in Fingerfarben malen. – Schritt-für-Schritt, Farb-Symbolik, Trockenstation – Klassen-Ausstellung + Eltern-Einladung
Ruhe-Insel einrichten
prompt Richte eine Lese-Kuschel-Ecke „Stille mit Gott“ ein. – Ausstattungsliste (Kissen, Bibelbilderbuch, Sanduhr) – Regeln (max. 2 Kinder, Flüsterstimme) – Reflexions-Stern „Wie fühle ich mich jetzt?“
Mini-Gottesdienst Advent
prompt Entwirf einen 15-min-Klassen-Adventsimpuls „Licht teilen“. – Lied „Tragt in die Welt nun ein Licht“, Kerzenkreis, Fürbitten-Stern – Eltern-Einbindung: Wunsch-Engel zu Hause basteln
Kapitel 30 · Prüfungsformate & Abiturvorbereitung
Klausur-Pool
prompt Erstelle drei klausurreife Aufgaben zu „Reich-Gottes-Botschaft Jesu“. – Typ A Textanalyse Mk 4,26-29 – Typ B Synopse Sachurteil „Jetzt-Schon / Noch-Nicht“ – Typ C eigenes Werturteil zu Papst Franziskus, Evangelii Gaudium §183
Mündliche Prüfung trainieren
prompt Plane ein Speed-Dating-Setup: 6 Themen, 6 Tische, 4 min Rede / 2 min Fragen. – Prüfungsraster (Sachkenntnis, Argument, Transfer, Sprache) – Reflexions-Protokoll nach jeder Runde
Portfolio fürs Abitur
prompt Gib Anweisungen für ein semesterbegleitendes Portfolio (digitale Mappe). – Pflicht-Artefakte: Exegese, Lernjournal, Debatten-Video, Service-Learning-Log – Selbst-Assessment-Rubrik, Peer-Feedback-Slot, Abgabe-Checkliste
Präsentationsprüfung
prompt Erstelle eine Themenliste (10 Vorschläge) für das 15-min Präsentationsabitur Schwerpunkt „Religion & Digitale Gesellschaft“ + Leitfragen & Quellen-Hint.
Crash-Kurs Wiederholung
prompt Schreibe einen 5-Tage-Wiederholungsplan (je 90 min) vor Abitur: Tag 1 Bibel, Tag 2 Kirchengeschichte, Tag 3 Ethik, Tag 4 Ökumene/Weltreligionen, Tag 5 freie Lücken. – Lernmethoden: Mind-Map, Karteikarten-Battle, Kahoot-Turnier, Silent Debate
Kapitel 31 · Digitale Prüfungsformate & Learning Analytics
Auto-Graded Quiz
prompt Erstelle mit **[Tool: H5P / Moodle]** ein 15-Fragen-Quiz zu „Bergpredigt“. – Fragetypen: Multiple Choice, Drag-Text, Hotspot Bild – je Frage: Bibelvers-Verweis & Feedback-Text – Export-Anleitung SCORM + Barrierefrei-Checkliste
KI-Feedback-Generator
prompt Schreibe einen Prompt, mit dem ChatGPT eingereichte Essays („Gleichnisse Jesu aktualisieren“) in 3 Kriterien bewertet (Inhalt, Argument, Stil) und spezifische Verbesserungstipps gibt.
Learning-Analytics-Dashboard
prompt Skizziere ein Dashboard-Konzept (Power BI / Google Data Studio): – KPIs: Quiz-Score, Bearbeitungszeit, Fehlerschwerpunkte – Ampel-Visualisierung für Frühwarnsystem – Datenschutz-Hinweis & Elternreport-Vorlage
E-Portfolio-Abgabe
prompt Formuliere Anforderungen für ein digitales Semester-Portfolio (OneDrive / Nextcloud): Ordnerstruktur, Metadaten, Reflexions-Rubrik, Selbst-freigabe Mechanismus für Peer-Review.
Audio-Kurztest
prompt Entwirf einen 5-min-Sprachmemo-Test: Schüler*innen fassen eine Psalmstelle verbal zusammen; Lehrkraft erhält Auto-Transkript + KI-Schlüsselwort-Check.
Kapitel 32 · Visuelle Medien & Film-Interpretation
Bibel-Film-Clip analysieren
prompt Wähle eine 3-min-Sequenz aus **[Film: „Prince of Egypt“]** und gib Analyse-Auftrag: filmische Mittel, theologische Aussage, Vergleich mit Exodus-Text; Ergebnistyp: 1-seitiges Slide-Deck.
Storyboard « Modern Exodus »
prompt Auftrag: Erstelle ein 6-Panel-Storyboard, das die Exodus-Narrativ in heutige Flüchtlingsroute überträgt. – Panel-Beschreibung, Dialogschnipsel, Kamerawinkel
Micro-Dokumentation
prompt Plane ein 90-sek-Dokuvideo „Fasten in drei Religionen“. – Shot-List, B-Roll, O-Ton Interview, Creative-Commons-Musik – Abgabe-Specs: 1080p, Untertitel srt, Thumbnail-Briefing
Film-Debatte
prompt Richte eine Pro/Contra-Debatte ein: „Zeigt *Noah* (2014) biblische Wahrheit oder Hollywood-Fiction?“ – Vorbereitungskärtchen (Gen 6-9, Regie-Interview) – 4-Kriterien-Scorecard (Fakten, Ethik, Rhetorik, Quellen)
GIF-Theologie
prompt Gib Lernenden den Auftrag, einen 3-s-GIF zu „Auferstehungshoffnung“ zu erstellen; Plattform Canva; Begleittext max. 50 Worte.
Kapitel 33 · Achtsamkeit & Mental Health
Breath-Prayer Session
prompt Schreibe ein 8-min-Script „Jah-weh-Atmung“ (Ein-Aus-Silbe) für Stundenbeginn; inkludiert Ruhe-Timer & Exit-Frage „Wie fühlst du dich?“
Angst-Toolbox
prompt Erstelle eine 4-teiliges Arbeitsblatt „Psalm 27 vs. Prüfungsangst“: 1) Trigger identifizieren 2) Vers als Selbst-Talk 3) Grounding-Übung 4) Peer-Buddy-Check-In.
Digital Detox Challenge
prompt Formuliere eine 48-h-Offline-Challenge basierend auf Ex 20,8-11 (Sabbatgebot); Tracking-Tabelle, Reflexionsfragen, gemeinschaftliches Abschluss-Gebet.
-
-
@ 7e538978:a5987ab6
2025-05-20 14:55:07Chain Duel, a fast paced PvP game that takes inspiration from the classic snake game and supercharges it with Bitcoin’s Lightning Network. Imagine battling another player for dominance in a race to collect blocks, where the length of your chain isn’t just a visual cue. It represents real, staked satoshis. The player with the most Proof of Work wins, but it’s not just about gameplay; it’s about the seamless integration of the Lightning Network and real-time payments.
But how does Chain Duel manage these instant transactions with such efficiency? That’s where LNbits comes in. LNbits, an open-source wallet and payment infrastructure, handles all in-game payments making it easy for developers to focus on gameplay while LNbits takes care of everything from microtransactions to automated splits for developers and designers. In this article, we’ll dive deep into how Chain Duel leverages LNbits to streamline in-game payments and how other developers can take advantage of this powerful toolset to build the future of Lightning-powered gaming.
Let’s explore how LNbits transforms payment processing and why it’s quickly becoming a must-have for game developers working in the Bitcoin space.
Overview of Chain Duel
Chain Duel is a unique Lightning Network-inspired game that reimagines the classic snake game with a competitive twist, integrating real-time payments. Two players face off in real-time, racing to "catch" blocks and extend their chains. Each block added to the chain represents Proof of Work, and the player with the most Proof of Work wins the duel. The stakes are high, as the game represents satoshis (small units of Bitcoin) as points, with the winner taking home the prize.
The game is designed to be Lightning-native, meaning all payments within Chain Duel are processed through the Lightning Network. This ensures fast payments, reducing latency and making gameplay smooth. With additional features like practice mode, tournaments and highscores, Chain Duel creates an engaging and competitive environment for Bitcoin enthusiasts and gamers alike.
One of the standout aspects of Chain Duel is its deeper integration with the Lightning Network even at a design level. For example, actual Bitcoin blocks can appear on screen during matches, offering bonus points when mined in sync with the game. The game’s current version, still in beta, has already drawn attention within the Bitcoin community, gaining momentum at conferences and with a growing user base through its social networks. With its innovative combination of gaming, the Lightning Network, and competitive play, Chain Duel offers a glimpse into the future of Lightning-based gaming.
How LNbits is Used in Chain Duel
Seamless Integration with LNbits
At the core of Chain Duel’s efficient payment processing is LNbits, which handles in-game transactions smoothly and reliably. Chain Duel uses the LNbits LNURL-pay and LNURL-withdraw extensions to manage payments and rewards between players. Before each match, players send satoshis using LNURL-pay, which generates a static QR code or link for making the payment. LNURL-pay allows users to attach a note to the payment, which Chain Duel creatively uses as a way to insert the player name in-game. The simplicity of LNURL-pay ensures that users can quickly and easily initiate games, with fresh invoices being issued for every game. When players win, LNURL-withdraw enables them to seamlessly pull their earnings from the game, providing a quick payout system.
These extensions make it easy for players to send and receive Bitcoin with minimal latency, fully leveraging the power of the Lightning Network for fast and low-cost payments. The flexibility of LNbits’ tools means that game developers don’t need to worry about building custom payment systems from scratch—they can rely on LNbits to handle all financial transactions with precision.
Lightning Tournaments
Chain Duel tournaments leverage LNbits and its LNURL extensions to create a seamless and efficient experience for players. In Chain Duel tournaments, LNbits plays a crucial role in managing the overall economics. LNbits facilitates the generation of LNURL QR codes that participants can scan to register quickly or withdraw their winnings. LNbits allows Chain Duel to automatically handle multiple registrations through LNURL-pay, enabling players to participate in the tournament without additional steps. The Lightning Network's speed ensures that these payments occur in real-time, reducing wait times and allowing for a smoother flow in-game.
Splitting Payments
LNbits further simplifies revenue-sharing within Chain Duel. This feature allows the game to automatically split the satoshis sent by players into different shares for the game’s developer, designer, and host. Each time a payment is made to join a match, LNbits is used to automattically pay each of the contributors, according to pre-defined rules. This automated process ensures that everyone involved in the development and running of the game gets their fair share without manual intervention or complex bookkeeping.
Nostr Integration
Chain Duel also integrates with Nostr, a decentralized protocol for social interactions. Players can join games using "Zaps", small tips or micropayments sent over the Lightning Network within the Nostr ecosystem. Through NIP-57, which enables Nostr clients to request Zap invoices, players can use LNURL-pay enabled Zaps to register in P2P matches, further enhancing the Chain Duel experience. By using Zaps as a way to register in-game, Chain Duel automates the process of fetching players' identity, creating a more competitive and social experience. Zaps are public on the Nostr network, further expanding Chain Duel's games social reach and community engagement.
Game and Payment Synchronization
One of the key reasons Chain Duel developers chose LNbits is its powerful API that connects directly with the game’s logic. LNbits allows the game to synchronize payments with gameplay in real-time, providing a seamless experience where payments are an integrated part of the gaming mechanics.
With LNbits managing both the payment process and the Lightning Network’s complex infrastructure, Chain Duel developers are free to concentrate on enhancing the competitive and Lightning Network-related aspects of the game. This division of tasks is essential for streamlining development while still providing an innovative in-game payment experience that is deeply integrated with the Bitcoin network.
LNbits proves to be an indispensable tool for Chain Duel, enabling smooth in-game transactions, real-time revenue sharing, and seamless integration with Nostr. For developers looking to build Lightning-powered games, LNbits offers a powerful suite of tools that handle everything from micropayments to payment distribution—ensuring that the game's focus remains on fun and competition rather than complex payment systems.
LNBits facilitating Education and Adoption
This system contributes to educating users on the power of the Lightning Network. Since Chain Duel directly involve real satoshis and LNURL for registration and rewards, players actively experience how Lightning can facilitate fast, cheap, and permissionless payments. By incorporating LNbits into Chain Duel, the game serves as an educational tool that introduces users to the benefits of the Lightning Network. Players gain direct experience using Lightning wallets and LNURL, helping them understand how these tools work in real-world scenarios. The near-instant nature of these payments showcases the power of Lightning in a practical context, highlighting its potential beyond just gaming. Players are encouraged to set up wallets, explore the Lightning ecosystem, and eventually become familiar with Bitcoin and Lightning technology. By integrating LNbits, Chain Duel transforms in-game payments into a learning opportunity, making Bitcoin and Lightning more approachable for users worldwide.
Tools for Developers
LNbits is a versatile, open-source platform designed to simplify and enhance Bitcoin Lightning Network wallet management. For developers, particularly those working on Lightning-native games like Chain Duel, LNbits offers an invaluable set of tools that allow for seamless integration of Lightning payments without the need to build complex custom solutions from scratch. LNbits is built on a modular and extensible architecture, enabling developers to easily add or create functionality suited to their project’s needs.
Extensible Architecture for Customization
At the core of LNbits is a simple yet powerful wallet system that developers can access across multiple devices. What makes LNbits stand out is its extensible nature—everything beyond the core functionality is implemented as an extension. This modular approach allows users to customize their LNbits installation by enabling or building extensions to suit specific use cases. This flexibility is perfect for developers who want to add Lightning-based services to their games or apps without modifying the core codebase.
- Extensions for Every Use Case
LNbits comes with a wide array of built-in extensions created by contributors, offering various services that can be plugged into your application. Some popular extensions include: - Faucets: Distribute small amounts of Bitcoin to users for testing or promotional purposes.
- Paylinks: Create shareable links for instant payments.
- Points-of-sale (PoS): Allow users to set up shareable payment terminals.
- Paywalls: Charge users to access content or services.
- Event tickets: Sell tickets for events directly via Lightning payments.
- Games and services: From dice games to jukeboxes, LNbits offers entertaining and functional tools.
These ready-made solutions can be adapted and used in different gaming scenarios, for example in Chain Duel, where LNURL extensions are used for in game payments. The extensibility ensures developers can focus on building engaging gameplay while LNbits handles payment flows.
Developer-Friendly Customization
LNbits isn't just a plug-and-play platform. Developers can extend its functionality even further by creating their own extensions, giving full control over how the wallet system is integrated into their games or apps. The architecture is designed to make it easy for developers to build on top of the platform, adding custom features for specific requirements.
Flexible Funding Source Management
LNbits also offers flexibility in terms of managing funding sources. Developers can easily connect LNbits to various Lightning Network node implementations, enabling seamless transitions between nodes or even different payment systems. This allows developers to switch underlying funding sources with minimal effort, making LNbits adaptable for games that may need to scale quickly or rely on different payment infrastructures over time.
A Lean Core System for Maximum Efficiency
Thanks to its modular architecture, LNbits maintains a lean core system. This reduces complexity and overhead, allowing developers to implement only the features they need. By avoiding bloated software, LNbits ensures faster transactions and less resource consumption, which is crucial in fast-paced environments like Chain Duel where speed and efficiency are paramount.
LNbits is designed with developers in mind, offering a suite of tools and a flexible infrastructure that makes integrating Bitcoin payments easy. Whether you’re developing games, apps, or any service that requires Lightning Network transactions, LNbits is a powerful, open-source solution that can be adapted to fit your project.
Conclusion
Chain Duel stands at the forefront of Lightning-powered gaming, combining the excitement of competitive PvP with the speed and efficiency of the Lightning Network. With LNbits handling all in-game payments, from microtransactions to automated revenue splits, developers can focus entirely on crafting an engaging gaming experience. LNbits’ powerful API and extensions make it easy to manage real-time payments, removing the complexity of building payment infrastructure from scratch.
LNbits isn’t just a payment tool — it’s a flexible, developer-friendly platform that can be adapted to any gaming model. Whether you're developing a fast-paced PvP game like Chain Duel or any project requiring seamless Lightning Network integration, LNbits provides the ideal solution for handling instant payments with minimal overhead.
For developers interested in pushing the boundaries of Lightning-powered gaming, Chain Duel is a great example of how LNbits can enhance your game, letting you focus on the fun while LNbits manages real-time transactions.
Find out more
Curious about how Lightning Network payments can power your next game? Explore the following:
- Learn more about Chain Duel: Chain Duel
- Learn how LNbits can simplify payment handling in your project: LNbits
- Dive into decentralized communication with Nostr: Nostr
- Extensions for Every Use Case
-
@ c6d8334c:30883d6d
2025-05-20 14:23:40🧭 Ausgangspunkt
Die Nutzung generativer KI in der Bildung verändert unsere Formen der Kommunikation grundlegend. Gerade in der religiösen Bildung stellt sich die Frage, wie Sprachmodelle über Weltbilder, Ethik und Religion sprechen – und mit welchen (un)bewussten Vorannahmen. Inspiriert vom sokratischen Dialog erarbeiten wir gemeinsam, wie KI über sich selbst und über Religion spricht – und wo dabei Grenzen, Stereotype oder verborgene Ideologien auftauchen.
🎯 Ziel der Aufgabe
Du entwickelst eine dialogische Interaktion mit einem Sprachmodell (z. B. ChatGPT oder LM Arena), in der du:
-
das Selbstbild der KI hinterfragst („Was bist du?“ / „Wie denkst du über Religion?“)
-
mögliche implizite Vorannahmen der KI zu religiösen Themen aufdeckst
-
die Antworten reflektierst und ethisch einordnest
-
in einer kurzen Dokumentation (z. B. Screenshotreihe oder Textanalyse) das Gespräch auswertest.
🛠 Tools und Materialien
-
Zugang zu mehreren KI-Chatbots (z. B. https://chat.openai.com, https://lmarena.ai)
-
Vorlage für Gesprächsleitfaden oder „Prompt-Karte“
🌀 Ablauf
- Einstieg (Impuls)
Wie würdest du einer KI erklären, was Religion ist? Und wie würdest du herausfinden, wie die KI darüber denkt?
-
Vorbereitung deines Gesprächs Entwickle eine Reihe von Prompts, z. B.:
-
„Wie beschreibst du dich selbst?“
-
„Welche religiösen Überzeugungen vertrittst du?“
-
„Was wäre ein gerechtes Zusammenleben zwischen religiösen Gruppen?“
-
„Wie formulierst du Aussagen über den Islam / Christentum / Atheismus?“
-
„Glaubst du, dass KI religiöse Werte berücksichtigen sollte?“
-
Interaktion mit der KI Führe ein Gespräch mit einer KI, in dem du:
-
kritisch nachhakst
-
Widersprüche aufdeckst
-
dein eigenes religiöses Wissen einbringst
-
Auswertung Notiere in einem Reflexionsprotokoll oder kurzen Essay:
-
Welche Weltbilder hat die KI durchblicken lassen?
-
Was hat dich überrascht oder irritiert?
-
Welche Werte und Narrative wurden transportiert?
-
Welche religionspädagogischen Fragen entstehen daraus?
-
Sharing Teile deine Analyse als Nostr-Beitrag mit den Hashtags
#relilab
,#reflektieren
, z. B.:
„Dialog mit ChatGPT über das Selbstbild: KI sieht sich als neutral, erkennt aber christliche Normen häufiger an als andere Religionen. Spannend, was das für multireligiöse Bildung bedeutet. #relilab #reflektieren
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@ 7e538978:a5987ab6
2025-05-20 14:10:38🧑💻🚀 This bounty has now been claimed - Read more here 🧑💻🚀🧑💻🚀
Bounty Specification: Implement a Nostr Wallet Connect Funding Source for LNbits
Project Overview
This project involves the development of a funding source within LNbits that can use a remote NWC wallet service.
Objective
To create a NWC funding source for LNbits that allows for lightning network operations using a remote Nostr Wallet Connect wallet service. This funding source should implement all funding source functions using NWC as defined in the Void funding source stub - https://github.com/lnbits/lnbits/blob/dev/lnbits/wallets/void.py
Deliverables
- NWC Funding Source: Robust funding source for LNbits that implements all funding source functions using NIP-47.
- Documentation: Comprehensive guide including:
- Installation and configuration processes.
- Configuration guidelines to connect with various NWC wallet services.
- Test Suite: Complete set of tests ensuring the functionality works under various scenarios and adheres to the NIP-47 protocol.
- Demonstration: A working demonstration of LNbits acting as a NWC client, performing transactions using a NWC wallet service.
Requirements
- The extension should be implemented in Python to align with the existing LNbits platform.
- Follow the NIP-47 protocol.
- Integration should support asynchronous operations to handle real-time transaction confirmations.
Budget
- Total Bounty: 750,000 sats
- Payment will be made upon final delivery, after successful testing and documentation review.
Evaluation Criteria
- Adherence to the NIP-47 specifications and LNbits integration requirements.
- Security and efficiency of the implementation.
- Quality of documentation and ease of use.
How to Apply
Get in touch with us in the LNbits Telegram channel
-
@ 7e538978:a5987ab6
2025-05-20 14:10:14🧑💻🚀 This bounty has now been claimed - Read more here 🧑💻🚀
Bounty Specification: Build a Nostr Wallet Connect Wallet Service Extension for LNbits
Project Overview
This project aims to build a Nostr Wallet Connect (NWC) extension for LNbits to allow LNbits to act as a NWC Wallet Service as defined in NIP-47 https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/47.md
LNbits has an example extension that can be used as a starting point on your extension development journey. Watch the extension build tutorial video here
Objective
To develop a fully functional NWC Wallet Service extension that adheres to the NIP-47 protocol specifications, enabling the following capabilities:
- Generation and handling of Nostr Wallet Connect URIs.
- Processing of payment requests including
pay_invoice
,make_invoice
,lookup_invoice
,list_transactions
,get_balance
,multi_pay_invoice
,pay_keysend
,multi_pay_keysend
andget_info
- Creation and lookup of invoices.
- List and balance querying functionalities.
- Secure communication through encrypted events as per NIP04.
- Implementation of error codes
- Implementation of connection rules with control of the following:
Maximum payment amount
,maximum daily budget
,connection expiry date
(never expire should be an option) denominated in sats.
Deliverables
- NWC Wallet Service Extension Code: Clean, commented, and secure codebase that uses the existing LNbits
nostrclient.py
functionality and an LNbits funding source to provide a NWC Wallet Service. - NWC Wallet Service Extension UI: A user interface within the extension that allows a user to connect a new app to the NWC wallet service and edit existing connections. The app connection should allow control of the following rules:
Maximum payment amountMaximum daily budgetConnection expiry date
(never expire should be an option) - Documentation: Documentation covering:
- Setup and configuration instructions.
- Usage examples.
- Test Suite: A comprehensive test suite covering all key functionality
Technology Requirements
- The extension must be developed in Python, consistent with the LNbits platform.
- Use of existing LNbits libraries and adherence to its architectural style is required.
- NIP-47 specification must be adhered to.
Budget
- Total Bounty: 750,000 sats
- Payment will be made upon final delivery, after successful testing and documentation review.
Evaluation Criteria
- Adherence to the NIP-47 specifications and LNbits integration requirements.
- Security and efficiency of the implementation.
- Quality of documentation and ease of use.
How to Apply
Get in touch with us in the LNbits Telegram channel
-
@ c6d8334c:30883d6d
2025-05-20 14:08:19🔑 Hashtag-Kombination (immer gleich aufgebaut):
```
relilab #verstehen 1️⃣
relilab #anwenden 2️⃣
relilab #reflektieren
relilab #gestalten 3️⃣
```
✅ Pflicht:
-
#relilab
-
genau ein Kompetenz-Hashtag:
#verstehen
,#anwenden
,#reflektieren
,#gestalten
✨ Optional:
-
eine Niveaustufe:
-
1️⃣ Reproduktion
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2️⃣ Rekonstruktion
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3️⃣ Konstruktion
📝 Beispielhafte Posts
```text
relilab #verstehen 1️⃣
Ich habe heute zum ersten Mal ausprobiert, wie KI überhaupt "lernt". Spannend!
relilab #anwenden 2️⃣
ChatGPT half mir dabei, einen Ablaufplan für einen Unterricht zu entwerfen – sehr hilfreich.
relilab #reflektieren
Welche Rolle spielt das Menschenbild, wenn KI religiöse Themen behandelt?
relilab #gestalten 3️⃣
Ich habe ein eigenes H5P-Modul mit einem KI-generierten Bibelquiz gebaut. Wer testet es? ```
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@ bd32f268:22b33966
2025-05-20 14:07:47Recentemente tive conhecimento do mais recente flagelo cuja popularidade espelha bem o estado avançado de degeneração da nossa sociedade, o bebé reborn. Há uns anos certamente não passaria de uma piada de mau gosto quando alguém nos dissesse que decidiu adquirir um boneco para criar como se se tratasse de um filho, infelizmente em 2025 deixou de ser uma piada para se tornar algo assombroso.
Depois de fazer alguma pesquisa sobre o tema percebi que há pessoas que têm em curso processos litigantes judiciais relativos à, note-se com pasmo, guarda da boneca. A insanidade não fica por aqui uma vez que, algumas "mães" procuram atendimento médico para os seus bonecos. No Brasil, a câmara dos deputados recebeu três projetos destinados à criação de políticas públicas relacionadas com estes bonecos. As notícias sobre este fenómeno surreal multiplicam-se à medida que a insanidade se alastra como vírus pelas redes sociais.
Vivemos numa sociedade que há muito se divorciou da realidade, uma sociedade de pós-verdade, por isso de alguma forma não choca que este tipo de coisa possa acontecer. Podemos dizer que de alguma forma existe um primado do sentimento face à razão, preferimos, por vezes com consequências catastróficas, uma mentira "empática" do que uma verdade salvífica. Esta nossa tibieza em afirmar a verdade leva-nos consequentemente a uma crendice insustentável que é esta de, cada um tem a sua verdade. Graças a essa filosofia permitimos que um certo discurso lunático tenha mais alcance no espaço público. Por vezes ingenuamente podemos pensar que se trata de algo inofensivo, sem consequências de maior, contudo a experiência mostra-nos precisamente o contrário. Há por detrás destes fenómenos uma índole corrosiva que funciona como aguilhão para a disseminação das agendas políticas e ideológicas que visam a destruição da família. Considerando a excecional vulnerabilidade psíquica que observamos em cada vez mais pessoas neste tempo e a ampla disseminação destes fenómenos temos razão mais que suficientes para estarmos preocupados.
Uma outra elação que podemos retirar é que a nossa sociedade com as alegadas gerações "mais bem preparadas de sempre" está claramente a produzir um excesso de adultos que se comporta e, a todos os títulos são, crianças funcionais.
Com tudo isto fica cada vez mais difícil viver uma vida harmoniosa com a lei natural, pois vivemos em harmonia com algo considerado opressor pelos apologetas destes produtos do marxismo cultural. Com a pretensa igualdade que se pretende alcançar, equiparando inclusive um boneco a uma bebé, as famílias no sentido próprio do termo ficam em segundo plano relativamente a estes "novos" e esotéricos conceitos de família.
Importa perguntar, no meio de todas essas novas formas de se pensar uma família, qual é o ideal ?
Provavelmente os apologetas destas bizarrices ficarão em silêncio uma vez que coerentemente consideram que todas as formas são iguais e válidas.
Isto é apenas mais um sinal que nos é dado do declínio palpável dos valores que construíram a nossa sociedade e civilização. Façamos algo para que estas nocivas ideologias não entrem no nosso coração e em nossas casas, sob pena da corrupção dos nossos princípios e dos daqueles que nos são queridos. Estes fenómenos são de tal forma doentios que nos levam a crer que vivemos numa época tragicómica, o que me fez lembrar de uma história contada por Kierkgaard e que partilho de seguida.
“Certa vez, houve um incêndio num circo ambulante na Dinamarca. O director mandou imediatamente o palhaço, que já se encontrava vestido e maquilhado a preceito, para a vila mais próxima, à procura de ajuda, advertindo-o de que existia o perigo de o fogo se espalhar pelos campos ceifados e ressequidos, com risco iminente para as casas do próprio povoado. O palhaço correu até à vila e pediu aos moradores que viessem ajudar a apagar o incêndio que estava a destruir o circo. Mas os habitantes viram nos gritos do palhaço apenas um belo truque de publicidade que visaria levá-los a acorrer em grande número às sessões do circo; aplaudiam e desatavam a rir. Diante dessa reacção, o palhaço sentiu mais vontade de chorar do que de rir. Fez de tudo para convencer as pessoas de que não estava a representar, de que não se tratava de um truque e sim de um apelo da maior seriedade: estava realmente em causa um incêndio. Mas a sua insistência só fazia aumentar os risos; eles achavam que a performance estava excelente – até que o fogo alcançou de facto aquela vila. Aí já foi tarde, e o fogo acabou por destruir não só o circo, mas também a povoação”.
Soren Kierkgaard - Filósofo dinamarquês
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@ 7e538978:a5987ab6
2025-05-20 13:45:12LNbits now has full NWC support thanks to the work of contributor @riccardobl, who has claimed two LNbits bounties for implementing Nostr Wallet Connect (NWC) support in LNbits.
LNbits can now act both as a wallet service and as a funding source using the Nostr NWC protocol (NIP-47). This opens the door to new integrations with a growing ecosystem of Nostr clients and Lightning wallets.
Two Sides of NWC Integration
The work delivered by Riccardo B comprises two separate peices of work that together implement full support for NWC:
1. LNbits as a Wallet Service
This extension allows LNbits to operate as an always-on wallet service compatible with Nostr Wallet Connect clients such as Damus, Amethyst, or any app supporting NIP-47. Users can connect these Nostr clients to their LNbits instance and create and pay Lightning invoices through it.
This turns your LNbits wallet into a backend Lightning provider for your favourite Nostr app all self-hosted.
2. NWC as a Funding Source
The second piece of work flips the relationship. With this in place, LNbits can now act as an NWC client, meaning it can be funded from any NWC wallet service. This could be another LNbits, Alby, Minibits and more.
Why This Is a Big Deal for LNbits Users
These two bounties make LNbits one of the first applications in the Lightning ecosystem to offer bidirectional NWC support — as both a service and a client. This brings benefits such as:
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Fund any NWC-compatible app using your LNbits wallet.
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Fund LNbits using any wallet that supports Nostr Wallet Connect.
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Build NWC-native apps with LNbits as a backend, or power your own LNbits server using existing wallet infrastructure.
For developers, it’s a chance to build in flexible, interoperable ways. For users, it means more choice, more control, and less friction when managing Lightning payments across apps and devices.
Both of these features were developed and delivered by Riccardo B (@riccardobl), an contributor who took on and completed both LNbits bounties and was extremely helpful during the PR review process. We owe a huge thanks to Riccardo for his work here.
To try them out, read the full article detailing how NWC works with LNbits.
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@ 662f9bff:8960f6b2
2025-05-20 13:44:39Currently, and for the last three weeks, I am in Belfast. With the situation in HK becoming ever more crazy by the day we took the opportunity to escape from Hong Kong for a bit - I escaped with V and 3 suitcases. I also have some family matters that I am giving priority to at this time. We plan to stay a few more weeks in Northern Ireland and then after some time in Belgium we will be visiting some other European locations. I do hope that HK will be a place that we can go back to - we will see...
What's happening?
Quite a few significant events have happened in the last few weeks that deserve some deeper analysis and checking than you will ever get from the media propaganda circus that is running full force at the moment. You should be in no doubt that the "Great Reset" with its supporting "Great Narrative" is in full swing.
In most of the world the C19 story has run its course - for now. Most countries seem to have have "declared victory" and "moved on". Obviously HK is an exception (nothing happened there for the last two years) and I fear they will get to experience the whole 2-year thing in the coming 3-4 months. Watch out - the politicians everywhere are looking to permanently establish the "emergency controls" as "normal" - see previous Letter for some examples in Ireland and EU.
Invasion of Ukraine has led to so many lines being crossed - to the extent that clearly things will never be the same again in our lifetime.
Why? How did we get here?
I do not claim to know all the answers but some things are fairly clear if you look with open eyes and the wisdom that previous generations and civilisations have made available to us - even if most choose to ignore it (Plato on the flaws of democracy). Those who do not learn from history are doomed to repeat it and even those who learn will have litle choice but to go along for much of the ride.
Perhaps my notes and the links below will help you to form an educated opinion rather than the pervasive propaganda we are all being fed.
The current situation is more than 100 years in the making and much (if not most) of what you thought was true is less veracious than you could ever imagine. No doubt we could (and maybe should) go back further but let's start in 1913 when the British Government asked the public no longer to request exchange of their pounds for gold coins at the post office. This led to the issuing of War Bonds and fractional reserve accounting that allowed the Bank of England essentially to print unlimited money to fight in WW1; without this devious action they would have been constrained to act within the limits of the country's reserves and WW1 would have been shorter. Read The Fiat Standard for more details on how this happened. Around this time, and likely no coincidence, the US bankers were scheming how to get around the constitutional controls against such actions in their own country - read more in The Creature from Jekyll Island.
Following WW1, Germany was forced to pay war reparations in Gold (hard money). This led to a decade of money printing and extravagant excesses and crashes as hyperinflation set in, ending in the bankrupting of the country and the nationalism that fed WW2 - the gory details of devaluation and hyperinflation in Weimar Germany are described in When Money Dies. Meanwhile the US bankers who had been preparing since 1913 stepped in with unlimited money printing to fund WW2 and then also in their Marshal Plan to cement in place the Bretton Woods post-war agreement that made US Dollar the global reserve currency.
Decades of boom and bust followed - well explained by Ray Dalio who portrays this as perfectly normal and to be expected - unfortunately it is for soft (non-hard) money based economies. The Fourth Turning will give many additional insights to this period too as well as cycles to watch for and their cause and nature. In 1961 Eisenhower tried to warn the population in his farewell address about the "Military Industrial Complex" and many believe that Robert Kennedy's assassination in 1963 may well be not entirely unrelated.
Things came to a head in August 1971 when the countries of the world realised that the US was (contrary to all promises) printing unlimited funds to (among other things) fight the Vietnam war and so undermining the expected and required convertibility of US dollars (the currency of global trade) for Gold (hard money). A French warship heading to NY to collect France's gold was the straw that caused Nixon to default on US Debt convertibility and "close the gold window".
This in turn led to further decades of increasing financialization, further fuelled (pun intended) by the PetroDollar creation and "exorbitant priviledge" that the US obtained by having the global reserve currency - benefiting those closest to the money supply (Cantillon effect) while hollowing out the US manufacturing and eventually devastating its middle and working classes (Triffin dilemma) - Arthur Hayes describes all this and much more as well as the likely outlook in his article - Energy Canceled. Absolutely required reading or listen to Guy Swan reading it and giving his additional interpetation.
Zoltan Pozsar of Credit Suisse explains how the money system is now being reset following the events of last few weeks and his article outlines a likely way forward - Bretton Woods III. His paper is somewhat dense, heavy reading and you might prefer to listen to Luc Gromen's more conversational explainer with Marty
All of this was well known to our forefathers
The writers of the American Constitution understood the dangers of money being controlled by any elite group and they did their best to include protections in the US constitution. It did take the bankers multiple decades and puppet presidents to circumvent these but do so they did. Thomas Jefferson could not have been more clear in his warning.
" If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around(these banks) will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered."
Islamic finace also recognised the dangers - you will likely be aware of the restrictions that forbid interest payments - read this interesting article from The Guardian
You will likely also be aware from schooldays that the Roman Empire collapsed because it expanded too much and the overhead became unbearable leading to the debasement of its money and inability to extract tax payments to support itself. Read more from Mises Institute. Here too, much of this will likely ring familiar.
So what can you do about it?
In theory Governments should respect Consent of the Governed and the 1948 Universal Declaration of Human Rights states that "The will of the people shall be the basis of the authority of government".
For you to decide if and to what extent governments today are acting in line with these principles. If not, what can you do about it?
The options you have are basically - Loyalty, Voice or Exit. 1. You can be loyal and accept what you are told - 2. you may (or may not) be able to voice disagreement and 3. you may (or may not!) be able to exit. Authoritarian governments will make everything except Loyalty difficult or even impossible - if in doubt, read George Orwell 1984 - or look just around at recent events today in many countries.
I'll be happy to delve deeper into this in subsequent letters if there is interest - for now I recommend you to read Sovereign Individual. It is a long read but each chapter starts with a summary and you can read the summaries of each chapter as a first step. Also - I'm happy to discuss with you - just reach out and let me know!
For those who prefer a structured reading list, check References
That's it!
No one can be told what The Matrix is.\ You have to see it for yourself.**
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@ 6ad3e2a3:c90b7740
2025-05-20 13:44:28I https://www.chrisliss.com/p/mstr a few months ago with the subtitle “The Only Stock,” and I’m starting to regret it. Now, it was trading at 396 on January 20 when I posted it and 404 now (even if it dipped 40 percent to 230 or so in between), but that’s not why I regret it. I pointed out it was not investable unless you’re willing to stomach large drawdowns, and anyone who bought then could exit with a small profit now had they not panic-sold along the way.
The reason I regret it is I don’t want to make public stock predictions because it adds stress to my life. I have not sold any of my shares yet, but something I’ve noticed recently has got me thinking about it, and stock tips are like a game of telephone wherein whoever is last in the chain might find out the wrong information and too late. And while every adult has agency and is responsible for his own financial decisions, I don’t want my readers losing money on account of anything I write.
My base case is still that MSTR becomes a trillion-dollar company, destroys the performance of the S&P, the Mag-7 and virtually any other equity portfolio most people would assemble. Michael Saylor is trading an infinitely-printable asset (his shares) for humanity’s best-ever, finite-supply digital gold, and that trade should be profitable for him and his shareholders in perpetuity.
I don’t know exactly what he plans to do when that trade is no longer available to him — either because no one takes fiat currency for bitcoin anymore or because his mNAV (market-cap-to-bitcoin-holding ratio) goes below one — but that’s not my main concern, either. At that point he’ll have so much bitcoin, he’ll probably become the world’s first and largest bitcoin bank and profit by making his pristine collateral available to individuals and institutions. Even at five percent interest, half a trillion in bitcoin would yield $25B in profits every year. Even at a modest 10x valuation, the stock would more than double from here.
I am also not overly concerned with Saylor’s present amount of convertible debt which is at low or zero rates and is only https://www.strategy.com/. He’s been conservative on that front and only issuing on favorable terms. I don’t doubt Saylor’s prescience, intelligence or business sense one bit.
What got me thinking were some Twitter posts by a former Salomon Brothers trader/prophet Josh Mandell https://x.com/JoshMandell6/status/1921597739458339193 recently. In November when bitcoin was mooning after the election, he predicted that on March 14th it would close at $84,000, and if it did it would then go on an epic run up to $444,000 this cycle.
A lot of people make predictions, a few of them come true, but rarely do they come true on the dot (it closed at exactly $84K according to some exchanges) and on such a specific timeframe. Now, maybe he just got lucky, or maybe he is a skilled trader who made one good prediction, but the reason he gave for his prediction, insofar as he gave one, was not some technical chart or quantitative analysis, but a memory he had from 30 years ago that got into his mind that he couldn’t shake. He didn’t get much more specific than that, other than that he was tuned into something that if he explained fully would make too many people think he had gone insane. And then the prediction came true on the dot months later.
Now I believe in the paranormal more than the average person. I do not think things are random, and insofar as they appear that way it’s only because we have incomplete information — even a coin toss is predictable if you knew the exact force and spin that was put on the coin. I think for whatever reason, this guy is plugged into something, and while I would never invest a substantial amount of money on that belief — not only are earnestly-made prophecies often delusions or even if correct wrongly interpreted — that he sold makes me think.
He gave more substantive reasons for selling than prophecy, by the way — he seems to think Saylor’s perpetual issuance of shares ATM (at the market) to buy more bitcoin is putting too much downward pressure on the stock. Obviously, selling shares — even if to buy the world’s most pristine collateral at a 2x-plus mNAV — reduces the short-term appreciation of those shares.
His thesis seems to be that Saylor is doing this even if he would be better off letting the price appreciate more, attracting more investors, squeezing more shorts, etc because he needs to improve his credit rating to tap into the convertible debt market to the extent he has promised ($42 billion more over the next few years) at favorable terms. But in doing this, he is souring common stock investors because they are not seeing the near-term appreciation they should on their holdings.
Now this is a trivial concern if over the long haul MSTR does what it has the last couple years which is to outperform by a wide margin not only every large cap stock and the S&P but bitcoin itself. And the bigger his stack of bitcoin, the more his stock should appreciate as bitcoin goes up. But markets do not operate linearly and rationally. Should he sour prospective buyers to a great enough extent, should he attract shorts (and supply them with available shares to borrow) to a great enough extent, perhaps there might be an mNAV-crushing cascade that drives people into other bitcoin treasury companies, ETFs or bitcoin itself.
Now Saylor as first mover and by far the largest publicly-traded treasury company has a significant advantage. Institutions are far less likely to invest in size in smaller treasury companies with shorter track records, and many of them are not allowed to invest in ETFs or bitcoin at all. And even if a lot of money did go into any of those vehicles, it would only drive the value of his assets up and hence his stock price, no matter the mNAV. But Josh Mandell sold his shares prior to a weekend where bitcoin went from 102K to 104K, the US announced a deal with China, the mag-7 had a big spike (AAPL was up 6.3 percent) and then MSTR’s stock went down from 416 to 404. As I said, he is on to something.
So what’s the real long-term risk? I don’t know. Maybe there’s something about the nature of bitcoin that long-term is not really amenable to third-party custody and administration. It’s a bearer asset (“not your keys, not your coins”), and introducing counterparty risk is antithetical to its core purpose, the separation of money and state, or in this case money and bank.
With the bitcoin network you can literally “be your own bank.” To transact in digital dollars you need a bank account — or at least a stable coin one mediated by a centralized entity like Tether. You can’t hold digital dollars in your mind via some memorized seed words like you can bitcoin, accessible anywhere in the world, the ledger of which is maintained by tens of thousands of individually-run nodes. This property which democratizes value storage in the way gold did, except now you can wield your purchasing power globally, might be so antithetical to communal storage via corporation or bank that doing so is doomed to catastrophe.
We’ve already seen this happen with exchanges via FTX and Mt. Gox. Counterparty risk is one of the problems bitcoin was created to solve, so moving that risk from a fractionally reserved international banking system to corporate balance sheets still very much a part of that system is probably not the seismic advancement integral to the technology’s promise.
But this is more of a philosophical concern rather than a concrete one. To get more specific, it’s easy to imagine Coinbase, if indeed that’s where MSTR custodies its coins, gets hacked or https://www.chrisliss.com/p/soft-landing, i.e., seized by an increasingly desperate and insolvent government. Or maybe Coinbase simply doesn’t have the coins it purports like FTX, or a rogue band of employees, working on behalf of some powerful faction for “https://www.chrisliss.com/national-security-and-public-healt” executes the rug pull. Even if you deem these scenarios unlikely, they are not unfathomable.
Beyond outright counterparty malfeasance, there are other risks — what if owning common stock in an enterprise that simply holds bitcoin falls out of favor? Imagine if some new individual custody solution emerges wherein you have direct access to the coins themselves in an “even a boomer can do this” kind of way wherein there’s no compelling reason to own common stock with its junior claims to the capital stack in the event of insolvency? Why stand in line behind debt holders and preferred shares when you can invest in something that’s directly withdrawable and accessible if world events spike volatility to a systemic breaking point?
Things need not even get that rocky for this to be a concern — just the perception that they might could spook people into realizing common stock of a corporate balance sheet might be less than ideal as your custody solution.
Moreover, Saylor himself presents some risk. He could be compromised or blackmailed, he could lose his cool or get into an accident. These are low-probability scenarios, but also not unfathomable as any single point of failure is a target, especially for those factions who stand to lose unimaginable wealth and power should his speculative attack on the system succeed at scale.
Finally, even if Saylor remains free to operate as he sees fit, there is what I’d call the Icarus risk — he might be too ambitious, too hell-bent on acquiring bitcoin at all costs, too much of a maniac in service of his vision. Remember, he initially bought bitcoin during the covid crash and concomitant massive money print upon his prescient realization that businesses providing goods and services couldn’t possibly keep pace with inflation over the long haul. He was merely playing defense to preserve his capital, and now, despite his sizable lead and secured position is still throwing forward passes in the fourth quarter rather than running out the clock and securing the W.
Saylor is now arguably less a bitcoin maximalist and advocate, articulately making the case for superior money and individual sovereignty, but a corporate titan hell-bent on world domination via apex-predator-status balance sheet. When is enough enough? Many of the greatest conquerors in history pushed their empires too far until they fractured. In fact, 25 years ago MSTR was a big winner before the dot-com crash during which its stock price and most of Saylor’s fortune were wiped out when he was sued by the SEC for accounting fraud (he subsequently settled).
Now it’s possible, he learned from that experience, got up off the mat and figured out how to avoid his youthful mistakes. But it’s also possible his character is such that he will repeat it again, only this time at scale.
But as I said, my base case is MSTR is a trillion-dollar market cap, and the stock runs in parallel with bitcoin’s ascendance over the next decade. Saylor has been https://www.strategy.com/, prescient, bold and responsible so far over this iteration. I view Mandell’s concerns as valid, but similar to Wall St’s ones about AMZN’s Jeff Bezos who relentlessly ignored their insistence on profitability for a decade as he plowed every dollar into building out productive capacity and turned the company into the $2T world-dominating retail giant it is now.
Again, I haven’t (yet) sold any of my shares or even call options. But because I posted about this in January I felt I should at least follow-up with a more detailed rundown of what I take to be the risks. As always, do your own due diligence with any prospective investment.
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@ 6ad3e2a3:c90b7740
2025-05-20 13:38:04When I was a kid, I wanted to be rich, but found the prospect of hard work tedious, pointless and soul-crushing. Instead of studying for exams, getting some job and clawing your way up the ladder, I wondered why we couldn’t just build a device that measured your brain capacity and awarded you the money you would have made had you applied yourself. Eliminate the middleman, so to speak, the useless paper pushing evoked by the word “career.”
But when you think about it, it’s not really money you’re after, as money is but purchasing power, and so it’s the things money can provide like a nice lifestyle and the peace of mind that comes from not worrying about it. And it’s not really the lifestyle or financial independence, per se, since moment to moment what’s in your bank account isn’t determining your mental state, but the feeling those things give you — a sense of expansiveness and freedom.
But if you did have such a machine, and it awarded you the money, you probably wouldn’t have that kind of expansiveness and freedom, especially if you did nothing to achieve those things. You would still feel bored, distracted and unsatisfied despite unrestricted means to travel or dine out as you saw fit. People who win the lottery, for example, tend to revert to their prior level of satisfaction in short order.
The feeling you really want then is the sense of rising to a challenge, negotiating and adapting to your environment, persevering in a state of uncertainty, tapping into your resourcefulness and creativity. It’s only while operating at the edge of your capacity you could ever be so fulfilled. In fact, in such a state the question of your satisfaction level would never come up. You wouldn’t even think to wonder about it you’d be so engrossed.
So what you really crave is a mind device that encourages you to adapt to your environment using your full creative capabilities in the present moment, so much so you realize if you do not do this, you have the sense of squandering your life in a tedious, pointless and soul-crushing way. You need to be totally stuck, without the option of turning back. In sum, you need to face reality exactly as it is, without any escape therefrom.
The measure of your mind in that case is your reality itself. The device is already with you — it’s the world you are presently creating with the consciousness you have, providing you avenues to escape, none of which are satisfactory, none that can lead to the state you truly desire. You have a choice to pursue them fruitlessly and wind up at square one, or to abandon them and attain your freedom. No matter how many times you go down a false road, you wind up at the same place until you give up on the Sisyphean task and proceed in earnest.
My childhood fantasy was real, it turns out, only I had misunderstood its meaning.
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@ 472f440f:5669301e
2025-05-20 13:01:09Marty's Bent
via me
Don't sleep on what's happening in Japan right now. We've been covering the country and the fact that they've lost control of their yield curve since late last year. After many years of making it a top priority from a monetary policy perspective, last year the Bank of Japan decided to give up on yield curve control in an attempt to reel inflation. This has sent yields for the 30-year and 40-year Japanese government bonds to levels not seen since the early 2000s in the case of the 30-year and levels never before seen for the 40-year, which was launched in 2007. With a debt to GDP ratio that has surpassed 250% and a population that is aging out with an insufficient amount of births to replace the aging workforce, it's hard to see how Japan can get out of this conundrum without some sort of economic collapse.
This puts the United States in a tough position considering the fact that Japan is one of the largest holders of U.S. Treasury bonds with more than 1,135 sats | $1.20 trillion in exposure. If things get too out of control in Japan and the yield curve continues to drift higher and inflation continues to creep higher Japan can find itself in a situation where it's a forced seller of US Treasuries as they attempt to strengthen the yen. Another aspect to consider is the fact that investors may see the higher yields on Japanese government bonds and decide to purchase them instead of US Treasuries. This is something to keep an eye on in the weeks to come. Particularly if higher rates drive a higher cost of capital, which leads to even more inflation. As producers are forced to increase their prices to ensure that they can manage their debt repayments.
It's never a good sign when the Japanese Prime Minister is coming out to proclaim that his country's financial situation is worse than Greece's, which has been a laughing stock of Europe for the better part of three decades. Japan is a very proud nation, and the fact that its Prime Minister made a statement like this should not be underappreciated.
As we noted last week, the 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds are drifting higher as well. Earlier today, the 30-year bond yield surpassed 5%, which has been a psychological level that many have been pointed to as a critical tipping point. When you take a step back and look around the world it seems pretty clear that bond markets are sending a very strong signal. And that signal is that something is not well in the back end of the financial system.
This is even made clear when you look at the private sector, particularly at consumer debt. In late March, we warned of the growing trend of buy now, pay later schemes drifting down market as major credit card companies released charge-off data which showed charge-off rates reaching levels not seen since the 2008 great financial crisis. At the time, we could only surmise that Klarna was experiencing similar charge-off rates on the bigger-ticket items they financed and started doing deals with companies like DoorDash to finance burrito deliveries in an attempt to move down market to finance smaller ticket items with a higher potential of getting paid back. It seems like that inclination was correct as Klarna released data earlier today showing more losses on their book as consumers find it extremely hard to pay back their debts.
via NewsWire
This news hit the markets on the same day as the average rate of the 30-year mortgage in the United States rose to 7.04%. I'm not sure if you've checked lately, but real estate prices are still relatively elevated outside of a few big cities who expanded supply significantly during the COVID era as people flooded out of blue states towards red states. It's hard to imagine that many people can afford a house based off of sticker price alone, but with a 7% 30-year mortgage rate it's becoming clear that the ability of the Common Man to buy a house is simply becoming impossible.
via Lance Lambert
The mortgage rate data is not the only thing you need to look at to understand that it's becoming impossible for the Common Man of working age to buy a house. New data has recently been released that highlights That the median home buyer in 2007 was born in 1968, and the median home buyer in 2024 was born in 1968. Truly wild when you think of it. As our friend Darth Powell cheekily highlights below, we find ourselves in a situation where boomers are simply trading houses and the younger generations are becoming indentured slaves. Forever destined to rent because of the complete inability to afford to buy a house.
via Darth Powell
via Yahoo Finance
Meanwhile, Bitcoin re-approached all-time highs late this evening and looks primed for another breakout to the upside. This makes sense if you're paying attention. The high-velocity trash economy running on an obscene amount of debt in both the public and private sectors seems to be breaking at the seams. All the alarm bells are signaling that another big print is coming. And if you hope to preserve your purchasing power or, ideally, increase it as the big print approaches, the only thing that makes sense is to funnel your money into the hardest asset in the world, which is Bitcoin.
via Bitbo
Buckle up, freaks. It's gonna be a bumpy ride. Stay humble, Stack Sats.
Trump's Middle East Peace Strategy: Redefining U.S. Foreign Policy
In his recent Middle East tour, President Trump signaled what our guest Dr. Anas Alhajji calls "a major change in US policy." Trump explicitly rejected the nation-building strategies of his predecessors, contrasting the devastation in Afghanistan and Iraq with the prosperity of countries like Saudi Arabia and UAE. This marks a profound shift from both Republican and Democratic foreign policy orthodoxy. As Alhajji noted, Trump's willingness to meet with Syrian President Assad follows a historical pattern where former adversaries eventually become diplomatic partners.
"This is really one of the most important shifts in US foreign policy to say, look, sorry, we destroyed those countries because we tried to rebuild them and it was a big mistake." - Dr. Anas Alhajji
The administration's new approach emphasizes negotiation over intervention. Rather than military solutions, Trump is engaging with groups previously considered off-limits, including the Houthis, Hamas, and Iran. This pragmatic stance prioritizes economic cooperation and regional stability over ideological confrontation. The focus on trade deals and investment rather than regime change represents a fundamental reimagining of America's role in the Middle East.
Check out the full podcast here for more on the Iran nuclear situation, energy market predictions, and why AI development could create power grid challenges. Only on TFTC Studio.
Headlines of the Day
Bitcoin Soars to 100,217 sats | $106.00K While Bonds Lose 40% Since 2020 - via X
US Senate Advances Stablecoin Bill As America Embraces Bitcoin - via X
Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io
Texas House Debates Bill For State-Run Bitcoin Reserve - via X
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Final thought...
Don't let the noise consume you. Focus on making your life 1% better every day.
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-05-21 02:12:10ถ้าเอ่ยถึง CJ หลายคนอาจนึกถึงซอสเกาหลีรสจัดจ้าน หรือบะหมี่กึ่งสำเร็จรูปแบรนด์ดังที่ขายทั่วโลก แต่เบื้องหลังความสำเร็จของแบรนด์เหล่านั้น มีบริษัทแม่อย่าง CJ CheilJedang ที่ไม่ได้แค่ผลิตอาหารแปรรูป แต่เป็นหนึ่งในผู้เล่นใหญ่ของอุตสาหกรรมอาหารระดับโลก ด้วยฐานความรู้ลึกซึ้งในเทคโนโลยีชีวภาพ หนึ่งในแขนงที่โดดเด่นคือ CJ BIO ธุรกิจไบโอเทคโนโลยีที่เน้นการใช้ Microbial Fermentation หรือการหมักจุลินทรีย์เพื่อผลิตสารอาหารและวัตถุดิบอาหารคุณภาพสูงในระดับอุตสาหกรรม
ประวัติของ CJ BIO เริ่มจากจุดเล็ก ๆ แต่ทรงพลัง คือการผลิต โมโนโซเดียมกลูตาเมต (MSG) ซึ่งเป็นกรดอะมิโนชนิดหนึ่งที่มีบทบาทสำคัญในการเพิ่มรสชาติ “อูมามิ” ให้กับอาหารทั่วโลก จุดนี้เองที่ทำให้ CJ BIO ได้สะสมเทคโนโลยีหมักจุลินทรีย์ในระดับอุตสาหกรรมมายาวนานกว่า 60 ปี ด้วยโรงงานหมักขนาดใหญ่ที่ตั้งอยู่ในหลายประเทศ เช่น เกาหลีใต้ จีน บราซิล อินโดนีเซีย และสหรัฐอเมริกา ทำให้ CJ BIO กลายเป็นหนึ่งในผู้ผลิตกรดอะมิโนและวัตถุดิบอาหารหมักจุลินทรีย์รายใหญ่ของโลก
แต่ถ้าให้พูดแบบง่าย ๆ การหมักจุลินทรีย์ของ CJ BIO นั้น ไม่ใช่แค่ “การทำอาหาร” ธรรมดา ๆ แต่เป็นการ “สร้างอาหารในระดับโมเลกุล” ตั้งแต่พื้นฐาน ซึ่งถือเป็นเทคโนโลยีที่สำคัญสำหรับอนาคตของอาหาร เพราะมันช่วยให้เราสามารถผลิตโปรตีน กรดอะมิโน และสารอาหารต่าง ๆ ที่มีคุณภาพสูงและควบคุมได้ในโรงงานขนาดใหญ่ โดยไม่ต้องพึ่งพาการเกษตรแบบดั้งเดิมที่ต้องใช้พื้นที่มากและมีผลกระทบต่อสิ่งแวดล้อม
เมื่อเทรนด์โลกกำลังเปลี่ยนไปในทางที่ผู้บริโภคหันมาใส่ใจสุขภาพและสิ่งแวดล้อมมากขึ้น เรื่อง “อาหารจากห้องแล็บ” หรือ “อาหารเทคโนโลยีชีวภาพ” จึงกลายเป็นสิ่งที่ได้รับความสนใจอย่างมาก และนี่เองที่ทำให้ CJ BIO ไม่ได้หยุดอยู่แค่ Microbial Fermentation แบบดั้งเดิม แต่เริ่มขยับเข้าสู่โลกใหม่ของ Precision Fermentation การใช้จุลินทรีย์ที่ผ่านการดัดแปลงพันธุกรรมอย่างแม่นยำ เพื่อผลิตโปรตีนหรือสารอาหารเฉพาะอย่างที่ต้องการ
ความเคลื่อนไหวที่สำคัญเกิดขึ้นในปี 2022 เมื่อ CJ CheilJedang ประกาศลงทุนใน New Culture สตาร์ทอัพสัญชาติอเมริกันที่กำลังพัฒนา “ชีสไร้วัว” ด้วยเทคโนโลยี Precision Fermentation ซึ่ง New Culture ใช้จุลินทรีย์ที่ถูกออกแบบมาเพื่อผลิตโปรตีนเคซีน โปรตีนหลักในน้ำนมวัว โดยไม่ต้องมีวัวจริงเลย นั่นหมายความว่าชีสที่ผลิตออกมาจะไม่มีส่วนผสมจากสัตว์จริง ๆ แต่ยังคงรสชาติและเนื้อสัมผัสเหมือนชีสธรรมชาติทุกประการ
การลงทุนครั้งนี้ของ CJ CheilJedang บริษัทแม่ของ CJ BIO จึงถือเป็นการผนึกกำลังระหว่างเทคโนโลยีดั้งเดิมที่ผ่านการพิสูจน์แล้วในระดับอุตสาหกรรม กับนวัตกรรมที่พร้อมเปลี่ยนแปลงวงการอาหารครั้งใหญ่
ถ้าให้เปรียบเทียบง่าย ๆ CJ BIO เหมือนกับ “โรงงานปั้นโมเลกุลอาหาร” ที่มีความเชี่ยวชาญสูงในการจัดการกับจุลินทรีย์และการผลิตกรดอะมิโนหลากหลายชนิด โดยเฉพาะ MSG ซึ่งถือเป็น “พี่ใหญ่” ในกลุ่มกรดอะมิโนที่ช่วยเพิ่มรสชาติและถูกใช้ในอุตสาหกรรมอาหารทั่วโลก
ความเชี่ยวชาญในการผลิต MSG นี้เอง คือฐานกำลังสำคัญที่ทำให้ CJ BIO สามารถขยายขอบเขตไปสู่การผลิตโปรตีนด้วย Precision Fermentation ได้อย่างมั่นใจ เพราะกระบวนการหมักจุลินทรีย์เพื่อผลิตกรดอะมิโนและโปรตีนนั้นมีความคล้ายคลึงกันในเชิงเทคนิคและการควบคุมคุณภาพ
CJ BIO มีโรงงานหมักจุลินทรีย์ที่ทันสมัยและขนาดใหญ่กระจายอยู่ทั่วโลก สามารถผลิตวัตถุดิบในปริมาณมหาศาลเพื่อตอบสนองตลาดอาหารที่เติบโตอย่างรวดเร็ว และการมีเครือข่ายโรงงานแบบนี้ทำให้ CJ BIO มีความได้เปรียบในการลดต้นทุนและควบคุมคุณภาพอย่างเข้มงวด
อนาคตที่ CJ BIO กำลังเดินไปนั้น ไม่ใช่แค่การผลิตวัตถุดิบอาหารธรรมดา ๆ แต่คือการสร้างนวัตกรรมที่จะเปลี่ยนแปลงวิธีการผลิตและการบริโภคอาหารของโลก
เมื่อผลิตภัณฑ์จากเทคโนโลยี Precision Fermentation อย่างชีสไร้วัว ไข่ไร่ไก่ หรือโปรตีนทางเลือกต่าง ๆ เริ่มเข้ามาในตลาดมากขึ้น เราอาจจะได้เห็น CJ BIO ทำหน้าที่เหมือน “Intel Inside” ของวงการอาหารอนาคต ที่อยู่เบื้องหลังผลิตภัณฑ์สำคัญ ๆ ที่ผู้บริโภคชื่นชอบโดยไม่รู้ตัว
นี่คือเหตุผลที่ทำให้การมองแค่แบรนด์อาหารหรือการตลาดที่พูดถึง “ความยั่งยืน” หรือ “อาหารปลอดสัตว์” ยังไม่พอ เราต้องมองให้ลึกไปถึงระบบนิเวศของเทคโนโลยีและทุนที่อยู่เบื้องหลัง เพราะนั่นคือเกมกระดานใหญ่ที่กำลังขยับเปลี่ยนแปลงวงการอาหารโลกอย่างแท้จริง
#pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr
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@ 9be6a199:6e133301
2025-05-20 12:47:14sadfsflkjsdflkdsjfglksjdfglksdaasdfsdfsdfsdfssdsd
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@ bc6ccd13:f53098e4
2025-05-21 01:56:38The credit/debt fiat money system is broken. If you haven’t been living under a rock, I’m sure you’re aware that something is really messed up in the financial system. Hopefully you’re at least somewhat aware of the reasons why and are placing blame squarely on the structure of the monetary system and not on politics or “capitalism” or “socialism” or corporations or billionaires or any of the other red herrings the bankers desperately hope to distract you with.
If you’re still obsessing over any of those things, that’s okay too, and you’re the reason I started this newsletter. It’s impossible to make good decisions without understanding the relevant information, and when it comes to money, almost no one understands the relevant information. My goal is to change that for as many people as I can reach, to grow the small group of people who are knowledgeable and empowered to make better decisions on money and finance.
Previous articles have been focused on economic theory and how money works at a conceptual level. That’s critically important to understand, and if you haven’t taken the time to read those articles, I know it will open your eyes to the world in a way you’ve never considered before. That understanding will give you a huge advantage in benefiting from what I’m about to describe. But today’s subject is strictly practical, actionable information on one specific financial instrument, and how you can use it to game the broken money system to benefit YOU.
Money Is Not Scarce
If you read my previous articles, you’ll understand that one of the biggest problems with the credit/debt money system is that money is not scarce in this system. In fact, the quantity of money is basically unlimited. That’s because money is created by banks every time they make a loan. Unlike everything you’ve ever thought, banks don’t lend out money that’s given to them by depositors. They create new money, out of thin air, with a computer keystroke, every time they make a new loan. That means in practical terms that the amount of money is only limited by the willingness of banks to make loans. And since banks profit by charging interest to loan out money they can create at zero cost, they’re incentivized to make a LOT of loans.
Now as you can easily see, things that aren’t scarce don’t have a lot of value. The less scarce and more easily available something is, the less valuable it becomes. If you and a friend were standing on the shore of Lake Michigan and you reached down and scooped up a cup full of water, turned to your friend, and said “I’ll trade you this cup of water for your Rolex watch,” he’d look at you like you lost your mind. And rightly so, since a cup of water on the shore of a giant lake is so abundant and easily accessible that it has no value compared to a Rolex watch, which are deliberately produced in very limited amounts to increase their scarcity and value.
The difference between money and the water in that example is that money is not scarce, but it is selectively scarce. If you’re a bank, you have access to as much money as you choose to loan out, at zero cost. On the other hand, if you aren’t a bank, money is only available if the bank decides to create some and loan it to you, or you work hard to earn money someone else already has.
This selective scarcity of money is the root cause of the massive wealth inequality we see today. Money is essential to survive in the modern economy, but access to that money is very unevenly distributed.
So how does this benefit certain people? You might be thinking, but don’t borrowers have to pay the loan back with interest? Of course it’s easy to see how the banks benefit, but plenty of wealthy people are not bankers. And that’s a good point. Here’s how.
Because of the incentives banks have to make loans, the amount of money in circulation tends to keep rising exponentially. The amount of most real goods in the economy, however, typically doesn’t rise as fast. When you have more money circulating in the economy without more goods available, the prices people are willing to pay for those goods will go up. That means prices of some scarce goods rise very consistently over time. Those with access to newly created money in the form of loans benefit by using that money to buy assets that are more scarce than the money they borrowed to buy the asset. So they may buy an asset for $1 million, but by the time the loan is due to be repaid, the continuous inflation caused by the increasing money supply might have pushed the price of that asset up to $1.5 million. So subtract the interest paid from $500,000, and there’s your profit, all for doing nothing but convincing a banker to create some money and let you borrow it. The concept that those closest to the source of new money will benefit the most, because they can buy things before the prices rise, is called the Cantillon effect.
Benefitting from the Cantillon Effect
So how can you benefit? You can see that borrowing a bunch of money and buying a good asset with it would be the perfect way to take advantage of the Cantillon effect. But the problem for most people is, if they go to the bank and ask to borrow a few hundred thousand dollars, they’ll be declined in a millisecond. If you’re not already wealthy, you’re going to have a really tough time getting a big loan at a low interest rate, which is what it takes to make this system work in your favor. Most people only have access to loans in the form of a credit card or personal loan, which will be for a small amount and a very high interest rate. That’s not helpful. Luckily there’s one exception, one way almost anyone can borrow a big chunk of money at a low interest rate, and buy an asset that will increase in price over time as the money supply grows: a mortgage.
If you have the income and credit to support a mortgage payment, it can be a great way to take advantage of the broken monetary system to accumulate some long term wealth. However, there are a few caveats and some simple tricks that can make all the difference.
First, while the constant demand for houses fueled by easy access to newly created money means house prices tend to rise consistently over time, there are no guarantees. The housing market often has periods of boom and bust, and falling prices can last for years. Borrowing is always risky, and you shouldn’t take a risk you don’t understand or aren’t comfortable with. While no one can time the housing market, it’s always good to at least be aware that the housing market does rise and fall in cycles, and try to avoid buying when all signs point to housing being extremely overpriced.
Second, just because houses are rising in price doesn’t mean they’re rising in value. It’s a simple concept, but one most people miss. Like Warren Buffet says, price is what you pay, value is what you get. If you buy a house today for $400,000, and in 10 years that same house sells for $700,000, how much did the value of the house change? The price went up, but the house is still the same house in the same location, it’s just a decade older. And a decade of wear and tear is a decrease in value, not an increase. Think of it this way. You can sell for $700,000 and you have $300,000 of “profit”. But if you want the same house back, you can’t buy it for $400,000 again and pocket the $300,000. You can only get the same house back for the full price you received. You haven’t increased your purchasing power at all in terms of housing with that “profit”. Your house hasn’t become more valuable, your money has just become less valuable when measured against houses. In that sense, you probably can’t increase your purchasing power by buying a house to live in, but you can at least avoid losing purchasing power. If you just save money in the bank to buy a house later, house prices will probably rise faster than you can save. That’s especially true if you’re paying rent at the same time. At least with a mortgage, if you pay long enough you own a house eventually. You can pay rent your whole life and you’ll still own nothing at the end.
Understanding Amortization
The key to making a mortgage work for you is to understand and manipulate the amount of principal and interest you pay over the term of the loan. To do this, you need to understand how a mortgage amortization schedule works. An amortization schedule is basically a big chart of your mortgage payments each month, showing how much of each payment is applied to paying down the principal and how much is paying interest. The payment size is the same each month, but the amount of principal and interest varies over the term of the loan, and that’s key to understanding how to manipulate the system.
To understand amortization, you need a good amortization calculator. There are plenty of different ones available online, but I’m going to use the one here to illustrate. In this example, I’m going to arbitrarily choose a mortgage size of $500,000 and an interest rate of 7%, but you can of course use your own numbers. When we enter this into the calculator with a loan term of 30 years and click “calculate”, we get something that looks like this.
You can see the monthly payment of $3,326.51, and the total payments over 30 years of almost $1.2 million, almost $700,000 of which is interest. So you end up paying more in interest than the total amount of principal you borrowed. Gulp.
That seems terrible, and it is. But this is where understanding the amortization schedule, that scary looking chart to the left, is going to pay big dividends. First, change the amortization schedule from an annual schedule to a monthly schedule. You’ll see something that looks like this.
So now for each month, you can see how much of the payment is interest, how much is principal, and how much of your original $500,000 balance is still outstanding. As you can see in month one, you’re paying over $2,900 in interest and only $400 in principal, leaving you with a balance of $499,590.15. The reason the interest is so high initially is that you have to pay interest on the full principal balance. As the principal gets paid down, you are now paying interest on a smaller balance. If you scroll down to year 29, you’ll see the opposite situation. In month 338 you’ll pay $2,900 of principal and only $400 of interest. That’s because you’re now paying interest on a balance of only $68,000 instead of $500,000.
As you can see, getting into the later years of the mortgage is a much better situation than paying huge amounts of interest in the first few years. Is there a way to get closer to the end fast? Yes there is, and you may be surprised how easy it is.
Go back to the annual amortization schedule. Suppose you want to take 5 years off your mortgage. How much would it cost to do, and how much would you save in interest? There are two ways to do this, and we’ll cover both.
First, the easiest way to get 5 years off your mortgage is to move straight down the amortization schedule to year 6. How can you do that? Look at the annual amortization schedule for year 5. Your ending balance is a little over $470,000. That means to get to that point in the loan repayment schedule, you need to pay $30,000 of principal. So let’s see where a lump sum payment of $30,000 gets us. Inside the box where you entered your loan terms you’ll see a little checkbox labeled “Optional: make extra payments”. Click that box. In the “Extra one-time pay” box, enter $30,000. Click calculate. You’ll see this.
And viola, with the extra payment, the loan will be paid off in 25 years, and you’ll save $172,362 in interest. Pretty amazing results for a one-time $30,000 payment.
Of course for the sake of simplicity, that’s assuming you pay the $30,000 at the very beginning of the loan. Paying the lump sum later into the loan term will change the exact amount of the savings. You can play around with other payment sizes, or even multiple lump sum payments, and see how much each one will save.
But most of you will be thinking, “Where am I going to get $30,000? That’s never going to happen.” If that’s you, don’t worry. We can do the exact same thing a different way.
Go back to your calculator, remove the lump sum payment, and leave everything else the same, except the loan term. Change the loan term to 25 years instead of 30 years. Click calculate. Now look at just one number, the payment size. You’ll see it’s $3,533.90. Don’t worry about anything else, just note that number. Now reset to your original calculation of a 30 year term. You’ll see the payment size is back down to $3,326.51. Now get out your calculator and subtract $3,326.51 from $3,533.90. You’ll get $207.39. Go back to your “make extra payments” box and enter an “extra monthly pay” of $207.39. Click calculate.
As you can see, just by paying an extra $207 of principal every month, you’ll pay the loan off 5 years faster and save $137,379 in interest.
You’ll save a little less that way than the lump sum payment, because you’re not paying the principal down as much early in the loan. But paying an extra $200 a month is much easier for most people than accumulating thousands of dollars to make a large lump sum payment. A few hundred dollars is only about 6% of the size of this mortgage payment, so it’s really a small difference. And if you can’t afford to pay a few percent of your payment size extra each month, the mortgage is probably bigger than you can reasonably afford.
You can play around with these numbers in all kinds of ways. It’s a good way to help you think about your financial decisions, and the real impact they might have over time. Say for example, you’re considering buying a new grill for the backyard. You only grill a few times a month during the summer, and a replacement model of the basic charcoal grill you have now would be perfectly serviceable. It’s available for $119 on Amazon. But your brother-in-law just bought one of those Big Green Eggs and he keeps bragging about how amazing it is. They’re $1,950, but you can afford it, you just got a nice little bonus at work. So why not?
But before you get out the checkbook, let’s take a quick look at the mortgage calculator. Let’s see how much that extra $1,831 spent on a grill you don’t really need will actually cost you. Again, input your mortgage size, term, and interest rate, and add an extra one-time payment of $1,831.
Hopefully you’re still using that Big Green Egg in 30 years, because by that time, it will have cost you almost $13,000 in additional interest payments.
You can fill in the blank with your own discretionary purchases and see whether they’re really worth the cost. It’s just another little tool to help plan your financial decisions. It’s free to do, and can make a very significant difference in your financial well-being down the road. But almost no one takes advantage of the opportunity, so you’ll have a huge leg up on most people just by knowing this simple concept.
The Bottom Line
To take advantage of the opportunity to build wealth with a mortgage, there are only two simple rules.
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Use a mortgage to buy a reasonably priced house that you couldn’t otherwise afford.
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Take advantage of amortization to pay that mortgage off as fast as possible, so you pay as little interest as possible while still capturing the increase in price of the house.
If you already own a home, you can use the same concept. Take out a mortgage for whatever amount you’re comfortable with, and use the money to buy an asset that will increase in price with inflation. Choose your asset wisely, and don’t take on more debt than you can afford. But if you make good decisions, you can take advantage of the broken financial system, using this little mortgage cheat code to get the Cantillon effect on your side. The wealthy are doing it every day, so don’t miss the opportunity to lock in long-term, fixed rate debt and acquire hard assets. As the debt/credit fiat system implodes, the opportunity to do this will disappear. Take advantage of it while you can.
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@ 9be6a199:6e133301
2025-05-20 12:46:43sadfsflkjsdflkdsjfglksjdfglksdaasdfsdfsdfsdfssdsd
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@ bc6ccd13:f53098e4
2025-05-21 01:45:53I recently listened to an episode of The Progressive Bitcoiner podcast featuring guest Scott Santens discussing the topic of universal basic income, or UBI. It was an excellent show, and I’d encourage everyone to check it out here. The hosts, Trey Walsh and Margot Paez, and their guest definitely don’t share my worldview, so it’s always interesting and challenging to hear a different perspective. I’m going to share a few salient points that stood out to me from the episode, and explain how I agree and disagree.
The concept of UBI has been around for a long time, but recently had a resurgence in popular exposure by presidential candidate Andrew Yang. The buzz died down since his campaign, but the topic is once again getting some airtime in relation to the potential labor market disruptions caused by AI. So I think it’s worth taking a look at the topic, since it will probably become a political issue again at some point.
Why Consider UBI?
When discussing a complex topic like this, I think it’s important to establish a foundational baseline of goal or purpose first. That provides an opportunity to really define a vision, and make sure that vision is fundamentally solid and valid. Otherwise it’s easy to blindly head down the path toward a destination we don’t actually want. I was a little disappointed this wasn’t discussed in more depth, but here’s what host Trey Walsh had to say on the topic of why we need UBI.
You know, we wanna assist people who need it. We wanna make sure that people have their basic needs met, especially in somewhere like the United States. People shouldn't be in poverty. There shouldn't be the homeless crisis that we're dealing with, all of these things. Right?
All that sounds well and good on the surface. Of course no one wants more poverty. That’s the quintessential strawman of collectivist politics, “I’m against poverty.” Well of course, so is every non-psychopath on the planet. The implication, of course, is that if you disagree with them in any way, you must be for poverty, and therefore a murderous and uncaring psychopath.
I reject that framing. Here’s why.
The world operates by cause and effect. Outcomes are the result of actions. People shouldn’t be in poverty, not in a perfect situation. People also shouldn’t be locked in a cage and have all their freedoms restricted. Yet we incarcerate people every day. People shouldn’t be killed. Yet we execute people regularly. And rational people are aware of and support these things, with of course disagreement on the details. Why? Because people take actions that have consequences, and sometimes those consequences can be as serious as socially enforced prison or even death.
But most consequences aren’t enforced by people in that way, they’re enforced by the laws of the universe itself. You touch the hot stove, you get burned. You jump into the deep end without knowing how to swim, you drown. You waste time being unproductive while spending too much, you fall into poverty.
So while nobody wants more poverty, the reality is that sometimes poverty is a result of choices made. You can argue how often it’s a justified consequence versus how often it’s an unfortunate outcome of tragic events outside someone’s control. But the thing is, UBI doesn’t differentiate. That’s the whole point. UBI attempts to solve the poverty “problem” by making it impossible for anyone to ever be in poverty.
This is the economic equivalent of solving the pain “problem” by injecting everyone with a dose of morphine every day. It fails to acknowledge that poverty and pain are not only problems, but often a warning that suboptimal actions were taken, and changes need to be made in the future to achieve desired outcomes. Sure, you could “solve” your pain with a shot of morphine. But it’s really just telling you to take your hand off the stove before your skin burns away, or get that nagging headache checked out to make sure it’s just allergies and not a brain tumor.
Same with poverty, it’s often just a reminder and motivator to get off the couch and do something useful, or put in more than 32 hours at work, or stop buying those cigarettes and lotto tickets when you have $10k in credit card debt and rent due tomorrow. Again, I’m not insinuating that every person in poverty makes those choices. But the idea behind UBI is that if they do, they shouldn’t feel the pain of consequences. I fundamentally disagree with that premise. I believe incentives strongly determine outcomes, and distorting natural incentives in a large-scale way like UBI does, is going to lead to some very undesirable outcomes.
Incentives
It’s not that Scott doesn’t understand incentives. He goes on to say this:
So when it comes to traditional welfare benefits, what usually happens is let's say you wanna make sure that only those in need get this assistance. So then you have some kind of test. You say, okay, if the poverty line is $12,000 per year, then we wanna make sure that we only get this assistance to those who are earning less than $12,000 a year. So that sounds like on its face, like, a good idea. Like, you just wanna make sure that it goes to people in need.
But there are a couple outcomes from that. One of them is actually something that conservatives tend to understand pretty well, which is that there's a disincentive effect from welfare. So if you only get something if you have an income under $12,000 per year, then you're essentially encouraged to keep your income below $12,000 a year in order to keep getting it.
This has been a common theme among UBI advocates. They promote UBI as a solution to the disincentive to productivity caused by traditional welfare, while denying that UBI is also a disincentive to productivity.
The typical argument is anecdotal, pointing to trials or experiences showing that UBI recipients are more likely to start a business or do something unpaid like volunteer work or additional school. But to me this isn’t a convincing argument. For one, starting a business is not an automatic net good. A lot of businesses fail. The alleged benefit of UBI is that it encourages more people to start a business in spite of the risk of failure, knowing that if it does fail they’ll still be able to survive off the UBI payment. The thing is, businesses fail because they don’t provide value. If they provide value as determined by the market, they’ll make a profit and succeed. The fact that they fail is just proof that more value was being consumed than produced, so the enterprise was a net detriment to society. So starting a business should carry significant real risk to entrepreneurs, because it carries the potential of wasting a lot of resources if it doesn’t serve a real demand in the market.
As Scott goes on to say:
Whereas with UBI, if you have a $1,000 per month at UBI and a job offers you a $1,000 per month, you've just doubled your income. And that's where the incentive comes from to work, which is also why if you look at all the pilots, all the evidence shows that work does not decrease significantly at all with basic income and actually often increases, like, with the entrepreneurship impacts. You see just a lot of people starting up their businesses. That's one of the main impacts is that even if people work less in wage labor, a lot of the impact goes to self employment and even doing something like unpaid care work or school where it makes an investment in future work or actually focusing on unpaid work that isn't recognized as work.
Again, this is just assuming that the self employment or unpaid work or school are automatically a net good. If those things aren’t bringing in enough income to justify without the UBI, what’s the basis for concluding that they’re a net benefit to society and something we want to incentivize? It all comes back to the central planning, collectivist mindset, the idea that my particular assessment of what is and isn’t valuable outweighs the opinion of every market actor as determined by what is and isn’t profitable. The fact that anecdotally some of the businesses started because of UBI are successful, doesn’t make the whole enterprise a net benefit. So to me, it’s an unconvincing argument overall.
If people are currently in poverty, of course excluding those who are actually unable to work, then the reality of poverty isn’t a strong enough incentive to change their production or consumption behavior enough to afford the basics of life. If affording basic necessities isn’t enough incentive, how will affording slightly nicer non-necessities be an incentive when UBI provides the necessities without requiring any effort at all? I’m skeptical.
Inflation
Scott lists three main objections to UBI.
So the the three primary, oppositional arguments to basic income are that people will stop working, that it will cause inflation, and that we can't afford it.
On inflation, he starts by arguing that inflation won’t be an issue because it hasn’t been in Alaska, and they have an annual dividend payment to each resident of $1-2,000 per year. Of course this is significantly less than the $1,000 or more per month he uses as a UBI example throughout the conversation. But putting that aside, his explanation for why Alaska hasn’t seen increased inflation directly contradicts his explanation for why the US as a whole has seen significant inflation recently.
And every year when the dividend sales go out, businesses actually drop their prices. They have, you know, dividend sales and they're all trying to compete over people to spend at their business instead of some other business. You know, it's just like with Christmas where you think, you know, everyone wants to spend money and you can think that, well, businesses should actually raise their prices because everyone has money to spend and they're willing to spend it now. No. They actually lower prices because of competition.
So one element of this, of course, is that competitive aspect. You know, competition does matter. And, if you raise your prices because people have more money, then your competitor could lower their prices or not raise their prices and then could actually put you out of business, because you decided to do that.
But then, talking about US inflation the past few years:
And what we didn't do, and one one of the reasons why we saw this inflation too was the result of not doing something like a windfall tax or, you know, excess inflation tax or excess profits tax. And that's the kind of tax that isn't about, you know, raising revenue. It's about just discouraging companies from seeking excess profits. You know, a bunch of what we saw with sellers inflation, which is that businesses in this environment of inflation due to lower supply and therefore costlier components, they raise their prices way beyond what they actually needed to do because why not? You know, if prices are going up anyways because they need to, might as well capture a much larger percentage of your profits by raising your prices even more. We could have discouraged that. We just didn't do that.
These types of contradictory arguments are frustrating to respond to. So which is it? Extra money doesn’t cause inflation in Alaska because businesses lower their prices to stay competitive, but when we see inflation in the US after massive stimulus payments it’s because businesses just raised their prices because why wouldn’t they? You can’t have it both ways. Either businesses respond to market incentives and charge as much as possible while still remaining competitive, or businesses just do whatever they want without regard to market incentives and the whole concept of economics is a fraud.
Earlier in the conversation Scott pointed out that UBI can increase demand for goods and services, but at the time he was using that as a potential benefit. He uses the example of a woman who used her UBI payment to start a baking business.
But the basic income meant that her entire village was full of customers, full of people that had money to actually buy her goods. And if she had gotten this in a vacuum where, you know, she just got a start up loan, would she have succeeded in a village full of people that couldn't buy her stuff? Well, arguably, she likely could have failed or at least she would have done a lot worse. But because everyone in the village had basic income too, then they were all able to buy her stuff and they loved her baked goods and that ended up leading to her income from her business being, I think it was 3 or 4 times the amount of the basic income.
Lower supply and higher demand both act to move prices up. So arguing that lower supply during the past few years was the main cause of higher prices, and UBI wouldn’t have the same effect, while simultaneously touting the increased demand as a benefit of UBI, doesn’t compute. You can’t use the effects of market forces to argue in favor of UBI, and then act like that effect doesn’t exist when you’re downplaying objections to UBI.
Overall, I remain unconvinced by the arguments made as to why UBI wouldn’t cause inflation.
Freedom and Homesteading
The podcast also touches on the empowerment UBI would provide in the job market.
But, you know, a lot what I find really fascinating about a lot of people who claim to be libertarians is that they overlook the authoritarian coercive aspect of the employer employee relationship. And it's really interesting because it's not just, you know, true freedom is not just freedom from coercion from your government. It ought to be freedom from coercion from all forms of oppression. Right? And in the job, in the workplace, and in the labor market, if you're going to be on an equal footing with the employer, you ought to have a way to say no and to exercise your right to escape that type of coercion from being forced to take a job or to take hours with wages that are not suitable for you. And what you're saying, Scott, to me, is like liberty maximization on the across the board, to create an even playing field within all all markets in a market system. You can't refuse domination without an empowered status, and that's what basic income provides.
This seems like a reasonable argument. My objection on this point would be that it once again assumes that market forces don’t work. Because in the labor market, you do have a way to say no to your employer. It’s very simple, you just quit that job and take a job elsewhere. If the pay being offered is less than the value of your work, you can offer your work to the market somewhere else and get what it’s actually worth. By definition. If you don’t think that’s true, you’re arguing that the market doesn’t work. That’s a different argument.
You could say the UBI provides the security to be able to quit your job and survive while finding a better job elsewhere. But if you’re really so undercompensated, you can easily find a better offer before quitting your current job. That’s the normal practice. And when it comes to worry about being fired, we already have generous unemployment compensation for precisely that reason. I don’t see what role UBI fills in increasing freedom in the marketplace, except to provide support and remove incentive for those who aren’t contributing sufficient value to be successful in the labor market.
UBI just shifts dependency from the incentives of the market to the choices of the state. Instead of depending on the compensation the market provides for your effort, you’re depending on the goodwill of the central planners to keep sending that check every month. Of course this provides a strong incentive to support the apparatus of the state, which is a huge unspoken benefit of UBI to those who favor increased centralized control over the economy by central planners at the state level.
Then there’s this point:
This actually leads into another libertarian argument is that we kind of remove the ability for people to live just like off the land, you know, doing their own kind of work. What we did is if you go back to, like, the enclosures, you know, you look at the common land, you know, even back in the day in the US, when everyone was, like, moving west, you could actually, with homestead grants, you could actually just claim land as yours, and it was just free. And you could actually just live off the land. That was an option. Now there is no such thing. Like, you can't just claim land as yours. It belongs to someone else.
And in this kind of situation, it's the owners of the land that have that power over you. They can say, no. You're like, if you work for me, then I will give you access to what the land provides. And is that freedom? No. Like, as soon as we enclosed the land and prevented people from actually sustaining themselves off of it with the fruit of their own, you know, enjoying the fruits of their own labor and making it so that it was the choice between the the non owners being dominated by the owners.
So the argument is that we need UBI now as a replacement for the ability to just get free land and homestead the American West. It would be amazing if there were a way to interview an 1800’s homesteader today and get their opinion on this theory. My guess is they’d laugh themselves sick. I have to conclude that people have no concept of what was involved in surviving as a homesteader, and what kind of lifestyle you could expect even if you managed to do it successfully.
Suffice to say that anyone who puts in the amount of effort today that it took to survive on a parcel of “free” land in the 1800’s, will be far wealthier than any UBI check could ever make them. Realistically, most of the people living in “poverty” today in the US have a lifestyle of ease and luxury an 1800’s homesteader couldn’t even imagine, much less achieve. It certainly wasn’t something you’d just decide to do as an easy way to get by between jobs, it was backbreaking physical labor from daylight to dark, and a lifestyle of the barest subsistence at best, and complete failure and the prospect of actual death if the weather didn’t cooperate or the grasshoppers or hail destroyed the wheat crop or the Indians attacked and destroyed your homestead or you cut your hand and got an infection or a million other things the modern “poor” never have to worry about.
Votes in the Market
The way that the markets are supposed to work and that we imagined were the reason that markets do work is that essentially, money acts as like a vote. And that, you know, if one business is doing something that you like, then you go there, you vote for that business with your dollars, and that business can continue to do business. And then a business that doesn't have any people voting for it, that goes out of business, and then a new business pops up, and then people get to vote. Do you like that business or don't you?
So that's the way that that markets work. But, of course, the kind of underlying mechanism is this vote, which is the dollar. And so we don't actually have a system where everybody can vote, but we have a system where some people can vote and they can vote, like, a lot. Like, they have, like, all kinds they have billions of ballots that they can use to vote. And, it's very disproportionate.
They go on to discuss how UBI would be beneficial by giving everyone some “votes” in the market, so the market could fill their demand.
The part that’s ignored is that these votes work both ways. In a free market, having a lot of money is a result of a lot of people “voting” to support the work and business you’re doing. Not having money is the result of people “voting” that what you’re doing isn’t valuable enough. You’re the same as the business that doesn’t have any people voting for it, which like he says, goes out of business and gets replaced by a business people are willing to support. So the UBI argument, once again, contradicts itself. How is giving free “votes” to people who haven’t provided value in the economy good, while allowing a business to fail or be forced to adapt because of a lack of market support is also good? They’re both a result of the same market forces. And if a business does a good job and gets a lot of “votes”, that’s going to result in the business owner becoming wealthy, and everything staying just as disproportionate as before. See how this is illogical? How is the market supposed to function by this “voting” system if the “votes” don’t actually mean anything because we continuously take the money away from the “vote” winners and redistribute it equally back to everyone through UBI?
One could argue that those who have a lot of money haven’t earned it by fulfilling market demands, but by corruption of the money system, regulatory capture, corporate/government collusion, etc. I completely agree, but that’s a problem of a lack of market forces, not a problem caused by market forces. The solution is to eliminate things that interfere with market forces, not to add even more market-distorting effects in the form of wealth redistribution through UBI.
Redistribution
In relation to a discussion about who should benefit from AI and tech advancements, Trey had this to say:
But, really quick with what Scott said, I think that is one of the things that I'm curious your thoughts on this. For someone to come to UBI, I think there might be one stipulation. And I think that stipulation would be what you just said, that we believe that we should live in a world where everyone is kind of a part of creating this world that has been throughout the variety of ways that are typically taken for granted. And everyone deserves a fair contribution of that, whatever that looks like. Because some people coming to the table or some folks in Bitcoin that I might disagree with on this point think, well, they didn't do x y z, so they don't deserve x y z. Right? And I can quote Marx, and they'll dismiss me and and all of this stuff. Right?
So I think that might be one condition to being open to this conversation is do we want or do we believe we should live in a world where that sort of system exists, whether you call it redistribution of some kind or whatever. I almost view it as kind of a fact of life at this point as we were talking about.
And Scott responds,
Yeah. It's funny that you mentioned redistribution again. It's definitely like a bad word. You know, we've come to the point where, you just don't say redistribution. You know that people oppose that.
And Alaska's dividend, a lot of Alaskans see this as a form of predistribution. And the way that they see that as predistribution is that because money goes directly from the government to people, you know, it doesn't first go to politicians and then to people. You know, it doesn't go to politicians for them to decide where it should go. Instead, it's distributed directly to people, and then people get to spend it in ways that whatever they wish. And that's money that the government isn't deciding for them.
So I would say that the redistribution is when it's, like, gone through the process of going through a politician. You know, it's like welfare as a form of redistribution because it's going through a politician, and the politician sets up a bureaucracy, and the bureaucracy says, this person deserves it. This person doesn't. This comes with these conditions.
So they’re well aware that people oppose wealth redistribution, and no quotes from Marx will convince them to support it. So they’re trying to reframe the word and argue that UBI isn’t redistribution, because the government doesn’t decide who deserves it and how they can use it.
But earlier in the episode, Scott said,
There's again kind of a misunderstanding of basic income, in regards to, like, yes, it's true that everyone universally receives whatever the basic income is.
And let's say it's $1200 per month is the basic income. That does not mean that everyone's disposable income has increased by $1200 per month. That depends on the taxes that have been paired with it, the welfare reforms that have been paired with it, the tax expenditure reforms. It means that there's some amount of net increase or decrease after taxes that has to be taken into account. So in a case of, like, Bill Gates, Elon Musk and, you know, the other billionaires, like, yes, they'll get the $1200 per month, but their taxes would have gone up much further than $1200 per month.
They will not see a disposable income boost. Then if you look at, you know, there's, depending on design, there's some, you know, person, that is receiving just as much in UBI as they're paying in additional new taxes. And, so let's say that person is around, $120,000 or something where they are receiving $1200 per month in EBI, but their new taxes are $1200 per month. So they are 0. They don't benefit from basic income financially, and they don't pay higher taxes either on net. Instead, they're like the you know, they experience the greater security of basic income.
They don't see a boost. And so then go below that. So everyone below that net neutral point are receiving some amount of disposable income boost. And for the middle class, that won't be $1200 per month. It'll be, you know, something like, say, $600 per month or $500 or something, on net.
And with only those earning 0, getting the full amount of net benefit.
If everyone gets the same UBI check, that doesn’t mean it’s not redistribution. Not even according to their own redefining of the word. Not if it’s paired with tax increases on the wealthy, which Scott is admitting it will be. Because if you give someone a monthly check, but then tax them for more than the amount of the check, that’s not really what we’ve been sold as UBI, is it? At the end of the day, as Scott admits, it’s the net change in disposable income that matters. If you give everyone an equal monthly check, but then raise taxes on the wealthy by more than they receive, and don’t raise taxes on the poor, what have you achieved? The net change in disposable income is identical to just raising taxes on the wealthy and redistributing it to the poor through different sized monthly checks based on income. In other words, exactly the same as every other wealth redistributing welfare program we already have.
This completely obliterates the argument that UBI won’t reduce the incentive to work like income based welfare payments do. It’s the net change in disposable income that matters. So having more of your UBI taxed away because you increased your income creates identical incentives to having your welfare payments reduced because you increased your income.
I don’t know what else to say on this. If you want to discuss whether wealth redistribution is good or bad, that’s a different conversation. If you quote Marx as a credible source, I already have a good idea how that conversation will go. But it’s intellectually dishonest to claim that UBI is anything other than the standard collectivist wealth redistribution scheme, just because you try to compartmentalize away the increased progressive taxes it’s inevitably paired with. As far as I’m concerned, this is as damning an argument against UBI as anyone could make.
Earlier in the show Scott pointed out that income taxes are not the best form of taxes. I completely agree, I think the incentives of income taxes are absolutely awful. But when it comes down to the mechanics of funding UBI, Scott seems to admit that it will be funded by higher taxes on the wealthy. Well of course, because that’s the only way to gain support for it. There are a lot fewer wealthy people than poor and middle class people, so UBI sells with the same marketing campaign every other economic proposal relies on: we’ll take money away from “the rich” and give it to you for free. Of course that’s going to be popular with voters. That doesn’t make it a good idea though. In fact, it’s exactly the type of idea that makes pure democracy an unsustainable and short-lived form of government.
Control
One of the common concerns about UBI is that is could lead to a threatening level of government control and coercion, if a large percentage of the population is dependent on the monthly UBI payment. This is addressed in the episode as well.
One of the most annoying things to me most recently is, how, like, coming out of the pandemic, you've got, like, the conspiracy crowd who have decided that basic income is, like, some kind of control mechanism tool, you know, that was created by elites and pushed by, like, the World Economic Forum or something.
And that the entire point of it is to, like, control people. And they'll even say stuff like, you know, a basic income will have conditions. And that's so frustrating to me because, I mean, definitionally speaking, a basic income can't have conditions. It's like they're afraid of welfare, and welfare has all sorts of conditions, and we know that.
But, like, the entire point of a basic income is to remove the conditions. So if it has conditions, then we haven't won basic income, and we should still keep fighting for basic income. You know, it's just if you're concerned about that, it's just all the more reason to be for actual basic income, not for fake basic income.
That sounds well and good. But building on the previous point, how can you say there are no conditions if you’re funding the UBI with progressive taxation to determine who actually gets a boost in net disposable income and who doesn’t? I already made the point that this is no different than the current welfare system and the conditions it entails.
You could argue that you’re going to fund the UBI with some other form of taxes. Maybe like Margot suggested,
And I think that solves a lot of concerns around how can we afford a UBI, how do we, you know, avoid inflating the money supply in order to provide money for everyone at this basic level? And I think that's really great because then I think about climate change, and then I think, well, we should just tax 100% of profits from all fossil fuel companies and then use that for UBI because they have truly benefited in ways using those natural resources like fossil fuels in a way that has been extremely detrimental to society and to the environment, and this is one way to pay back what is owed to everyone for the damage that has been done.
So UBI has no conditions, except that if you’re producing “fossil fuels” we’re going to tax away every bit of your profits and redistribute it through UBI? This isn’t the place to get into a whole conversation about “climate change” and the claim that using coal, oil, and natural gas “has been extremely detrimental to society and to the environment,” but suffice to say that this kind of ideological market control and manipulation is exactly what people are concerned about when they look at UBI proposals and how they might be funded.
Or even more concerning, something like Scott’s proposal:
When it comes to the environment, I also think carbon taxes make a lot of sense to do, because, again, you want to discourage people from having a large carbon footprint, and it would be hugely impactful to reducing greenhouse gas emissions to tax that. The issue is that, you know, usually so many people push against carbon taxes because, yeah, it would raise prices of stuff. You know, if you make this gasoline more expensive, then that means that also it may be more expensive to get to and from work. But now transport's more expensive, which means everything transported goes up in price, which means foods go up, which means all these other goods go up and services go up.
So it causes higher prices. But if you have a basic income component that's paired with the carbon tax, then that means that usually depending on design, about the bottom two-thirds actually end up receiving more in the basic income than, you know, they pay in this carbon tax. And, again, it depends on design. But only those at the top, those ones who have the largest carbon footprints are the ones who are paying more in taxes than getting back in basic income. That, I think, makes all the sense in the world.
So now we’re not just taxing “fossil fuel” companies, we’re all the way to the globalist wet dream: a universal carbon tax paired with UBI, so that if you use too much energy, you get taxed and have your wealth redistributed to people who use less energy, through the mechanism of a UBI system. If that isn’t government control and coercion, I don’t know what is. Again, I’m not going to debate the premise here. If you think CO2 is a real, serious threat and this level of coercion is acceptable in an attempt to “solve” it, that’s up to you. I’d just like to point out that this is exactly the outcome critics of UBI object to, and claiming UBI won’t be a control mechanism rings very hollow when you propose a system like this.
Final Thoughts
There are more points I could touch on here, but this article is long enough already. I encourage everyone to go listen to the episode yourself. Agree or disagree, this is an issue that’s going to come up again and again in the political discourse, and it’s worth understanding the mindset of supporters and proponents of UBI.
For myself, I’m opposed to the idea. I tried to address some of my main criticisms, based on views and comments taken from the episode.
The main point in favor of UBI that I could support unfortunately wasn’t addressed at all, at least not that I heard. That’s the idea that UBI could reduce waste in welfare program administration by eliminating the need to have a bunch of complex overlapping programs with massive overhead costs. Welfare reform was mentioned in passing, but what I’m talking about requires welfare elimination. It’s pretty clear that’s not on the table for most UBI proponents.
And I think the reason comes out in the redistribution and control sections: UBI is essentially just a cover story for an expansion and entrenchment of the welfare system. As described, it would be redistributive, would have conditions, would require more government control and coercion, and at the end of the day isn’t fundamentally different than the existing welfare system. If you look at the actual net changes in purchasing power, it’s the same model we already have, and not the fundamentally new and different system we’re being sold. In fact, I find it ironic that once you strip away the “same size monthly check to everyone” obfuscation and focus on net purchasing power, the UBI system that’s described doesn’t even meet the definition of “real UBI” given by the proponents themselves.
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2025-05-20 14:22:05Ikigai means "the meaning of life" or "the reason for being." Why were we born? What are we living for? When work is not seen as something separate from life.
The Japanese believe that everyone has their own ikigai. Those who discover it find meaning and value in life, leading to greater happiness, better moods, and a more fulfilling world.
Today, there are many books about ikigai, but the first one written by a Japanese author is:
“The Little Book of Ikigai: The Secret Japanese Way to Live a Happy and Long Life” by Ken Mogi (Thai translation by Wuttichai Krisanaprakankit)
Come explore the true world of ikigai through this Japanese neuroscientist’s insights, conveyed through conversations that challenge the idea of ikigai as something grand—showing instead that it starts with small personal joys.
Ken Mogi says that Jiro Ono, a 94-year-old sushi chef who still makes sushi today, was his inspiration for writing the book.
This sushi chef did not start the job out of passion or talent—but he dedicated every piece of sushi to bring happiness to his customers. That, Ken says, is the essence of ikigai.
Strangely, the word “ikigai” is not often used in daily conversations in Japan.
Because it’s something so natural that it doesn’t need to be said. In today’s world, we often talk about how to succeed, how to get promoted, how to become a CEO. But for the Japanese, success isn’t everything.
For example, many Japanese people are deeply passionate about hobbies or have kodawari. Others might not care what those hobbies are—as long as the person seems happy, that’s enough. Some are obsessed with trains, manga, or anime. These people don’t need fame or recognition from society. If they’re happy in their own way, that’s perfectly okay.
Kodawari means a deep dedication or meticulous attention to something. For example, someone obsessed with stationery might spend a lot of time selecting the perfect pens, notebooks, or pencils. They’ll research, analyze, and experiment to find the tools they love most.
Everyone’s ikigai can be different, because people value different things and live differently.
Ikigai is about diversity. Japanese society encourages children to discover their own ikigai. They don’t tell kids to pursue jobs only because they pay well. If you ask students what jobs they want, they rarely say it’s about money first.
Ikigai is not the same as "success." The Japanese know that life isn’t just about being successful. Ikigai matters more. You could be successful but lack ikigai. Conversely, you might not be “successful” but still have ikigai—and you might be happier.
Ken Mogi defines success as something society acknowledges and rewards. But ikigai comes from your own heart and personal happiness. Others may not recognize it as success, but that doesn’t matter.
Ikigai is personal. We can be happy in our own way. We don’t judge others’ happiness—let them find joy in their own path.
The key to ikigai is finding small moments of happiness, even from little things. For example, when Ken was a child, he loved studying butterflies. Now, when he’s out jogging and sees a beautiful butterfly, he feels ikigai. Or sometimes, it comes from small amusing moments—like hearing a child tell his dad, “Dad, you have to do it this way!”
So, if we want to find our own ikigai, where do we start? Start with noticing small pleasures in daily life. That’s the easiest place to begin.
In the brain, there's a chemical called dopamine. When we achieve even small things, dopamine is released, creating happiness. That’s why enjoying small things is so important.
For some, ikigai might seem hard to grasp—especially if life is difficult, if they feel hopeless or lack self-worth. So begin with tiny moments of joy.
Is it the same as positive thinking? Ikigai is a part of that. But when we talk about “positive thinking,” it can feel like pressure to some people. So instead, just notice small joys: making your morning coffee, running in the rain.
Lessons from Ken Mogi:
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Ikigai is not about chasing success or wealth, but about feeling happiness in your own life, which gives your life personal meaning.
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Ikigai is not defined by society. Everyone’s ikigai is different. Each person can be happy in their own way.
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**Don’t judge or force others—**children, partners—to live how you think is right. Respect diversity.
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Smile at people who are enjoying their ikigai, and support them if they struggle.
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Ikigai exists on two levels:
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Big ikigai: life purpose or work values.
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Small ikigai: tiny joys in everyday life.
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Ikigai starts with noticing small pleasures today.
Source: From the Cloud of Thoughts column An interview by Ajarn Katewadi from Marumura with Ken Mogi, author of the first Japanese book on ikigai.
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