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@ Lina Engword ⚡
2025-03-03 01:34:50$OKX:BTCUSDT.P
Timeframe Analysis:
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TF 15m (Intraday):
- Trend: Bearish (but showing signs of a minor reversal). Price was below both EMAs but is starting to move above the EMA 50.
- SMC:
- Clear Bearish OB at ~93,000 (tested and failed on March 1st).
- Bullish OB at ~86,000-87,000 (price tested and bounced).
- SSL: ~86,845, ~83,859 (already swept).
- BSL: ~92,669 (potential next target).
- Trend Strength: Cloud is still red but fading. A small Buy arrow appears.
- Day Trade Strategy (SMC):
- Caution: The market is volatile. The main trend is still down, but there's short-term buying pressure.
- Option 1 (Aggressive): Buy when the price dips near the Bullish OB (~87,000) or EMA 50. Set a stop-loss below the OB. Target the BSL (~92,669) or the previous Bearish OB.
- Option 2 (Conservative): Wait for a clear breakout above the Bearish OB (~93,000) before considering a buy.
- Short: If shorting, wait for the price to approach the Bearish OB again and look for a bearish reversal signal (e.g., Bearish Engulfing) before shorting.
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TF 4H (Medium-Term):
- Trend: Bearish. Price is below both EMAs, EMA 50 is below EMA 200.
- SMC:
- Larger Bearish OB: ~95,000-100,000.
- SSL: ~83,559.5, ~81,260.4, ~78,961.4 (medium- to long-term targets).
- BSL: 105,543.4
- Trend Strength: Dark red cloud. Sell signal.
- Strategy: Focus on shorts. Wait for pullbacks to the EMAs or Bearish OB and look for shorting opportunities.
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TF Day (Long-Term):
- Trend: Still Bearish, but starting to show signs of slowing down. The price has broken below the EMA 200.
- SMC: Large order Block $90,000-$100,000
- Trend Strength: The cloud is changing from dark red to a lighter red. No clear Buy signal yet.
- Strategy: Avoid going long. Wait for clearer reversal signals (e.g., breakout above EMA 50, Bullish Divergence).
Summary and Cautions:
- The main trend of BTC is still Bearish on all timeframes.
- The 15m TF is showing signs of a short-term Bullish Reversal, but be cautious as it's against the main downtrend.
- Smart Money may be accumulating at current price levels.
- Cautions: News, volatility, liquidity sweeps (stop-loss hunting).
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and make decisions carefully.
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