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@ mleku
2025-06-06 14:49:22
in short, the west started this, and the russians are going to finish it, and probably it's going to lead to instability across eastern europe because there is a lot of loyalty towards russia in that region, especially in former yugoslavia.
it is easy to say that because the "hard" actions were initiated by russia, that this was the official start of the war but anyone who has actually studied the recent past history of this situation can see that the first attack was actually a "soft" attack by the west that led to the Maidan uprising, which legitimised ukrainian nationalism. creating a strong polarity between the east and west that led to a military necessity to re-establish a firm stable boundary. which is ongoing.
i don't forsee anything less than russia taking everything east of the dnieper, and a standstill being hit if they try to push any further west, not because of ukraine but because of the mixed feelings of the people living to the west. bulgarians are mostly loyal to russia, but equally hostile, and the same in romania and poland, and indeed moldova, could even be traced back to russia's initiation as well because the north-east of romania, moldova was once part of romania, has a large ethnic russian population, to the point that there is a linguistic region spreading across from moldova right up to the border of serbia, and serbia recognises the "russine" culture, which speaks an archaic form of russian, in serbia, all government buildings must have signs that include a russine version, and i personally met a russine courier driver one time as i was travelling east out of germany, so i knew about this thing long ago.
it's not a perspective that you can gain without having spent quite a bit of time roaming around the whole region of the balkans. the overarching impression i got was that most of the people from former yugo, hungary and bulgaria/romania are mostly neutral or positive towards russia. just not the communist russia.