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@ mleku
2025-05-18 06:05:21
i predict that AI tools for programming are going to stop being popular once the programmers have to pay for it, and the funding of "free" use of it will end because they aren't going to get the skynet they were hoping for.
a related example of tech that is over hyped and under-delivering is hosting services like heroku
when my company comes to actually doing some serious amount of business with it, with the development of a matchmaking service based on data hosted on a heroku hosted index for shitcoin chains, the price of the service is turning out to be somewhere near the price of one programmer for 10 hours a week.
we are switching over to a hetzner based hosting which is like 1/5th of the cost
all the programmers who are happily vibe coding now will stop when they end up paying 1/4 of their wages to use it
the economics of replacing human brains just does not exist and any physicist with knowledge of the energy cost of computation could have told you
the real thing is so much more efficient
https://i.imgflip.com/9udhd1.jpg