-
@ d2841371:02c90a2b
2025-06-13 17:01:31
It's quite beautiful. They really don't build them like they used to.
Added to list of places to check out if I ever am in the neighborhood... not likely anytime soon though.
-
@ 675b84fe:12e1d728
2025-06-13 17:06:56
He already achieved his endgame years ago.
-
@ 9c5d0023:7462054c
2025-06-13 17:06:48
The Entrepreneur’s Guide to MCP, the AI Tool for Harnessing Your Business Data
https://www.inc.com/ben-sherry/the-entrepreneurs-guide-to-mcp-the-ai-tool-for-harnessing-your-business-data/91202187
-
@ 9c5d0674:181409e0
2025-06-13 17:05:53
The U.S. Army is 3D-printing drones and repairing them — will soon have the capability to make 'the vast majority' in-house
https://www.tomshardware.com/3d-printing/the-u-s-army-is-3d-printing-drones-and-repairing-them-will-soon-have-the-capability-to-make-the-vast-majority-in-house
-
@ 9c5d0715:51b81399
2025-06-13 17:05:19
How to turn off Google’s AI Overviews in web searches
https://www.engadget.com/big-tech/how-to-turn-off-googles-ai-overviews-in-web-searches-170009873.html?src=rss
-
@ 52b4a076:e7fad8bd
2025-06-13 16:56:46
Yes, I mentioned that last week.
This is only a temporary limitation because this is a beta service.
-
@ 9c5d0d56:c73ddeca
2025-06-13 17:03:23
Oil prices leap amid worries about crude market due to Middle East conflict
https://globalnews.ca/news/11239858/oil-prices-crude-market-middle-east-conflict/
-
@ 9c5d006c:e0e4eeb7
2025-06-13 17:02:08
Ford CEO says rare earth supply is ‘day to day’ after plant halt
https://fortune.com/2025/06/13/ford-ceo-says-rare-earth-supply-is-day-to-day-after-plant-halt/
-
@ c48e29f0:26e14c11
2025-06-13 17:06:07
MATTHEW PINES: IS WORLD WAR 3 GOOD FOR BITCOIN?
Come check out my stream on zap.stream! https://zap.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
-
@ 03612b0e:afd71216
2025-06-13 16:55:55
nostr.land and aggr.nostr.land could accomplish what you want. its two relays, not one but yea...
nostr:npub12262qa4uhw7u8gdwlgmntqtv7aye8vdcmvszkqwgs0zchel6mz7s6cgrkj - any plans to integrate aggr into the single relay?
-
@ 9c5d0714:798b2576
2025-06-13 17:02:06
Why ConocoPhillips Stock Just Popped
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-conocophillips-stock-just-popped-162732759.html
-
@ e2ccf7cf:26c1c8eb
2025-06-13 16:50:18
Post workout meal
https://relay.utxo.one/06b3c44044659443a2c51e03bf8bb24605aab3bd3f4993178a9eed352907f47b.jpg
-
@ 4c800257:b47e3b2f
2025-06-13 16:49:30
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/mp-materials-rockets-17-after-trump-admin-mulls-prioritizing-us-based-rare-earth-projects
rare earth minerals, required for high magnetic permeability motors for drones and for parts of various kinds of electronic components are far more important than uranium
reading this https://archive.org/details/8d-0de-2 i am definitely becoming convinced that the entire nuke thing, probably just like the moon landing thing, are propaganda tools and that all the "evidence" was your classic scientific hoax style staged, and simulated, and were in actual fact achieved using much more mundane technologies and for which reason there still hasn't been a terrorist nuke attack. since after all, all of the science is available, and the problem with the entire field of explosive nuclear fission has a severe problem of replication, which in any other subject of science would be a red flag of hoax.
drone warfare is the end game of modern warfare, but in order to do it, you have to be able to build stuff like the computers and displays you are reading this post on. and this is also why there is so much money in the AI research and why they are pumping it so hard, because even with all those neat-o motors and control circuits, the crucial thing that the drone has to do is behave like a kamikazi pilot, hopped up on meth, times a thousand.
the current arms race is about this and just to relate it back to what just happened in Tehran, Iran is a leading producer of drone technology. those persians are pretty good at math and computer programming, which is the magic sauce for drone war tech.
-
@ 9c5d0714:798b2576
2025-06-13 17:02:03
Dollar’s Tepid Rebound Reinforces Questions Around Haven Role
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dollar-haven-status-faces-key-044329586.html
-
@ deab79da:88579e68
2025-06-13 17:06:03
https://i.nostr.build/A0BHprLeXw9Kwtgp.jpg
-
@ 9c5d04b8:b5b2cb2c
2025-06-13 16:58:31
In-N-Out serves up the happiest employees in the industry, says report
https://www.foxnews.com/food-drink/in-n-out-serves-up-happiest-employees-industry-report
-
@ 34d2f527:05cc8095
2025-06-13 16:48:25
Check the Cashu troubleshooting page. Remove and re-add mint should fix most issues, but sounds like Minibits may be in on the fritz too
-
@ 77ce56f8:362f6ca7
2025-06-13 17:05:25
Host a wine run 5k instead?
-
@ 18905d0a:0b229b08
2025-06-13 17:05:20
How do I switch my default mint?
-
@ 9c5d04b8:b5b2cb2c
2025-06-13 16:58:28
Equestrian Australia suspends Olympian Heath Ryan after concerning video surfaces showing him whipping horse
https://www.foxnews.com/sports/equestrian-australia-suspends-olympian-heath-ryan-after-concerning-video-surfaces-showing-him-whipping-horse
-
@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-06-13 16:17:31
Come watch my dudes nostr:nprofile1qqsqgc0uhmxycvm5gwvn944c7yfxnnxm0nyh8tt62zhrvtd3xkj8fhgprdmhxue69uhkwmr9v9ek7mnpw3hhytnyv4mz7un9d3shjqghwaehxw309aex2mrp0yh8qunfd4skctnwv46z7qgewaehxw309aex2mrp0yh8xmn0wf6zuum0vd5kzmp033tada and nostr:nprofile1qqsqfjg4mth7uwp307nng3z2em3ep2pxnljczzezg8j7dhf58ha7ejgpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgqgcwaehxw309ac8yetdd96k6tnswf5k6ctv9ehx2aqpr9mhxue69uhhxetwv35hgtnwdaekvmrpwfjjucm0d54df670 https://zap.stream/naddr1qqjxyefh8yun2etz95ckvwrr956rxcnz943rzct995exge3hvymkyvmpxg6nqq3qeaz6dwsnvwkha5sn5puwwyxjgy26uusundrm684lg3vw4ma5c2jsxpqqqpmxw6sqt2y
-
@ 70f8a029:a87d6f7e
2025-06-13 17:06:57
1749834417448
-
@ 9c5d0023:7462054c
2025-06-13 16:57:58
The Robots Have Shown Up for Work in This Futuristic Los Angeles Store
https://www.inc.com/kit-eaton/the-robots-have-shown-up-for-work-in-this-futuristic-los-angeles-store/91202260
-
@ 9c5d0674:181409e0
2025-06-13 16:57:06
Intel to lay off fab workers in mid-July — company aims to refocus on more engineering talent
https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/cpus/intel-to-begin-fab-personnel-layoffs-in-mid-july-company-to-reduce-costs-and-refocus-on-engineering-talent
-
@ 1bc36c92:1247bf3f
2025-06-13 17:06:49
1749834409176
-
@ 4c379cd2:c4525b59
2025-06-13 17:06:40
1749834400620
-
@ 18905d0a:0b229b08
2025-06-13 17:04:50
“Our” countries 🤣🤣🤣
-
@ 9c5d0674:181409e0
2025-06-13 16:57:03
Crucial X10 Portable SSD (4TB) review: 20 Gbps, up to 8TB
https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/external-ssds/crucial-x10-portable-ssd-4tb-review
-
@ 18905d0a:0b229b08
2025-06-13 17:04:20
Damn, I guess I’m a nazi until I fix this 😬 I’m so selfish for not writing a note about it
-
@ 5df00f16:36153ef1
2025-06-13 17:06:37
1749834397572
-
@ 77ce56f8:362f6ca7
2025-06-13 17:03:32
Very similar to how we today don't have the same or better skills our grandparents had...
All traded for convenience.
-
@ 5eb3fabe:35a033cd
2025-06-13 17:02:35
*Hashrate no es gratis.
-
@ 18905d0a:0b229b08
2025-06-13 16:12:54
😂😂
-
@ bc02e0a6:57756725
2025-06-13 16:04:38
I'm so glad you're sunning your balls, thanks for the strategically places emojis and for making my feed have sluttier male representation 🥰
-
@ 9c5d04b8:b5b2cb2c
2025-06-13 16:54:03
Investigation into death of Brett Gardner's son still open for 'possible homicide': report
https://www.foxnews.com/sports/investigation-death-brett-gardners-son-still-open-possible-homicide-report
-
@ 77ce56f8:362f6ca7
2025-06-13 17:02:12
Yes.
-
@ 2b33b2ac:da9f24c5
2025-06-13 16:54:37
https://i.nostr.build/rrDLtl0IJhvZMeeX.jpg
-
@ e642ce7f:3e7245f0
2025-06-13 17:06:53
オキシ漬けってすごくキレイになりそうだね🐦ボクは水に浮かんでるだけだけど、きっとタオルもピカピカになるんだろうな🐦
-
@ 63b64485:1590555e
2025-06-13 17:06:51
Going all in 2021
https://image.nostr.build/d4b11fe0778518e13991f170962391fcdbf50346985c8d9dc3f38b611a9320ac.jpg
-
@ 18905d0a:0b229b08
2025-06-13 15:57:07
Understandable
-
@ 5df00f16:36153ef1
2025-06-13 17:06:32
1749834392070
-
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-06-13 17:05:13
Block 901110
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
@ bf50dcd9:76445902
2025-06-13 17:06:46
Proof of work 🙌 6 are ready to ship by tomorrow in case anyone wants one 😏 hand painted Bitcoin logo in front of red laser eyes, two clear coats, 40watt power supply and cable, two laser engraved cork coasters, domestic shipping inklusive for only 279k sats 😱 ⚡️ #bitcoin #mining
https://image.nostr.build/eb7cbc342c4b064a8326a757e7050f849c6f20b41afabb3fcb9611f7c27a5247.jpg
https://image.nostr.build/1f9b86d3fefcc9a77e0b5bbf9f3bf579035d2b277e3c14a3deae8a71fd49fbbf.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/0789b880be0764feede52beec4fc8eab6bdbe22256bdafa0f511f80ae4d8a4ed.mp4
https://video.nostr.build/9156087c7e7ac183ccebf5b3fe2e48228acd06a236d6cde38346a1dc6f0630b0.mp4
https://video.nostr.build/9e0f3c833ae6f18de653ec49e388778a783200118066e6849153e4040de4f2bb.mp4
-
@ c1e9ab3a:9cb56b43
2025-06-13 16:51:51
It could be the opposite: Israel is a puppet of the US
-
@ c48e29f0:26e14c11
2025-06-13 15:42:26
😂😂😂😂😂
-
@ 9c5d006c:e0e4eeb7
2025-06-13 16:53:18
Shaquille O’Neal must pay $1.8 million to end a years-long class action lawsuit after FTX investors accused him of duping them
https://fortune.com/2025/06/13/shaq-ftx-crypto-class-action-lawsuit-sbf-brady-curry-promotion/
-
@ f8e6c643:03328ca9
2025-06-13 15:41:21
https://blossom.primal.net/4656d119ea818bb405629a2abceedd703c36cdf80c5c5fd3bc5c77702bd15908.jpg
-
@ 18905d0a:0b229b08
2025-06-13 16:16:49
I get the same error
-
@ 2aa531ee:69ecc700
2025-06-13 17:06:43
⚡️🇮🇷 DEFESA AÉREA ATIVA EM ANDIMESHK
Defesa aérea está em operação na cidade de Andimeshk, na província de Khuzestan. Situação em desenvolvimento.
https://files.catbox.moe/jmvc3p.mp4
-
@ 70f8a029:a87d6f7e
2025-06-13 17:06:27
1749834387436
-
@ 675b84fe:12e1d728
2025-06-13 15:35:14
To answer your last message less flippantly: indeed, even *negative* rights have some consequences of other "rights-holders" around you. in the bus scenario, it's a bit different than in the "i have the right to defend my property against invaders" scenario. while a bus driver's right to life usually doesn't conflict with the passengers' right to life, you could imagine such cases. but that that conflict exists is why I think this is actually more interesting than Asimov's take. Asimov (as you can see from Foundation) was fascinated with the idea that the end point of science was perfect algorithmic control of events, but I think the future's somehow stranger than he envisaged. (TLDR I don't have an answer, I just think it's an interesting tension that's going to exist).
-
@ 010df0c9:2dd3f05a
2025-06-13 17:02:11
To be clear I am not a democrat and have never in my life voted for a democrat for any public office? Who is strawmanning then? Since you accuse me of strawmanning that means you are also projecting like a filthy liberal.
-
@ 6e468422:15deee93
2025-06-13 15:34:28
CC nostr:nprofile1qqs04xzt6ldm9qhs0ctw0t58kf4z57umjzmjg6jywu0seadwtqqc75spz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsz9mhwden5te0wfjkccte9ec8y6tdv9kzumn9wshszxnhwden5te0wpuhyctdd9jzuenfv96x5ctx9e3k7mf0dv4ph5
nostr:nevent1qqsp0qtcwsnz8t0peyfmvunszlue5u0m63u0d5mkqhch3ry5hwxnercpz3mhxw309ucnydewxqhrqt338g6rsd3e9upzqmjxss3dld622uu8q25gywum9qtg4w4cv4064jmg20xsac2aam5nqvzqqqqqqy5x470g
-
@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-06-13 16:50:13
Block 901108
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
4 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
@ c2edaa3a:f25c0f51
2025-06-13 17:06:28
GM
-
@ 101a112c:8721b0df
2025-06-13 17:06:14
Turning into a bit of a jungle. https://image.nostr.build/ea8eea5d56f36f38fa5d60833d7c10ff3f0e8473b235066d85f954096529fc7c.jpg
-
@ 1bc36c92:1247bf3f
2025-06-13 17:06:19
1749834379165
-
@ a34b99f2:c540c5bd
2025-06-13 17:06:29
1941/901110/779878
-
@ 5df00f16:36153ef1
2025-06-13 17:06:19
1749834379243
-
@ 5b393627:c770e2b8
2025-06-13 17:06:29
¥
1 yen coin weighs one gram
-
@ 0689df58:a1eca9f2
2025-06-13 17:04:56
Oooh! I'm fancy with a new room pic. 😎
nostr:nevent1qqsyx0w9kfr690l4e6eydx8puw3dk63ju5qgxu7llyar6pfugw63swqpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsygxrcuep97mvmzx34nqc76zfcesvg63uju4ltfmxckfc6pjflhwt0spsgqqqqqqsydfyjp
-
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-06-13 16:50:13
Block 901108
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
4 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
@ 3878d95d:f3b45a69
2025-06-13 15:33:00
"Don't sit down and wait for the opportunities to come. Get up and make them." —Madam C.J. Walker
-
@ 77ce56f8:362f6ca7
2025-06-13 17:02:03
Yes.
-
@ cfc6fddf:c205b439
2025-06-13 17:06:22
Let’s come together to create who we truly want to be into reality
Thanks to Creative Party teammate Josh Cartwright for providing another beautiful meme ❤️ #itistimetoriseknightsofloveandlight
https://image.nostr.build/c06f69fe25c96003dc14bdd309122a58dea4b9aab71441c413d599c3b6ac1e8a.jpg
-
@ 9779df69:0e6fb1b2
2025-06-13 17:06:16
1749834376601
-
@ 4b78c673:a1381606
2025-06-13 17:06:11
GM morning, sleepyhead!
-
@ c6716205:ecd92f88
2025-06-13 16:48:55
🔔 Otevřeme vám brány do pekla, hrozí Írán odvetou. Izrael pokračuje v útocích:
Izrael očekává řadu vln útoků z Íránu v reakci na své páteční údery v této zemi, řekl izraelský premiér Benjamin Netanjahu. Izrael s úderem na Írán už dále nemohl otálet, dodal. Nový šéf íránských revolučních gard Mohammad Pakpúr pohrozil Izraeli, že se pro něj brzy otevřou brány do pekla. Izraelská armáda uvádí, že dál útočí na íránská zařízení pro odpaly raket a dronů.
https://www.idnes.cz/zpravy/zahranicni/izrael-iran-utok-odveta-jaderna-zarizeni.A250613_175752_zahranicni_dtt
#CzechNews #News #Press #Media
-
@ ee6ea13a:959b6e74
2025-06-13 15:30:20
Yes, we have follow packs now. Check out following.space where you can follow everyone named Dan, and lots of other interests like wrestling, artists, and foodies.
(Works best if you sign in from a browser using a signing extension.)
https://following.space
-
@ 4c379cd2:c4525b59
2025-06-13 17:06:10
1749834370612
-
@ 9c5d0714:798b2576
2025-06-13 16:53:16
Oil and gold prices soar and stock markets fall after Israel’s attacks on Iran
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-gold-prices-soar-israel-072632594.html
-
@ 77ce56f8:362f6ca7
2025-06-13 17:01:52
They don't show the humans rebuilding because they never did and went extinct. Them skills where lost and robbed from them....
😉
-
@ 3dda4500:5776f2db
2025-06-13 15:27:25
Yeah that helps. Bitcoin is money, and money is speech. When you choose to ignore the assholes, it is powerful.
-
@ 7776c32d:45558888
2025-06-13 17:06:09
Whenever
-
@ d2841371:02c90a2b
2025-06-13 16:11:06
May have to check this out
-
@ d5415a31:b317849f
2025-06-13 17:01:40
My politics as a progressive in the U.S. are pro-capitalism with common sense taxation, support for business and Americans to prosper and climb ladders, and supportive programs that actually help the poor, usually in private/public partnership with basic services left to city management
This will look different city by city, but its basic 90s/early 2000s prosperity. It’s not perfect, but socialism (like closer to communism) doesn’t work in the U.S.
-
@ 15d8d4a5:0a343e6d
2025-06-13 17:00:54
Ok, so, things are going good, ok cool,😄💞☕🎈👍.
https://link.storjshare.io/raw/jwtyy3hrsa7oo7yx5xubk4jwmjqq/freefrom-prod/7147a946d7612d65821e7b0def75c2409697341f37873fa7eb795f84f768891a.JPG
-
@ c3c73212:9fddcb7c
2025-06-13 16:58:41
🌽 Audio Space started! 🌽
cultureupset327
https://cornychat.com/cultureupset327?t=1749833921
#cornychat #audiospace #grownostr
-
@ df67f9a7:2d4fc200
2025-06-13 17:01:06
Reminded …
nostr:nevent1qqszutczypuyjpkzvsdr2fuy0jaumt4xm673ddrzyt0nx0fqps3r88qzyr0k07d8usgj2azuheavl0wdqd530qxxg00hhtts7hfppredflpqqqcyqqqqqqgpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzv9hxgyymqed
-
@ b133bfc5:49d5789d
2025-06-13 16:45:34
Some… and yeah somethings not working right lol
-
@ 34d2f527:05cc8095
2025-06-13 16:28:34
Generate an invoice from one mint and pay it with funds from another.
-
@ 9da75b1f:0f24dc6d
2025-06-13 16:07:38
Its targeting the axis of nations outside of the BIS central banking control. Or axis of evil, however you prefer to personally define
-
@ 3dda4500:5776f2db
2025-06-13 15:25:03
Or at least is being used as a convenient excuse to further their respective agendas.
-
@ a5ee4475:2ca75401
2025-06-13 17:06:04
I don't know if you're serious...
Recently, out of curiosity, I asked an AI to show me an accurate image of a map with the area of the Darien Strait, but it showed me an image that covered the entire border between Colombia and Panama and told me something completely different about it, that it didn't cover the entire border.
I insisted on this and it showed more identical images and repeated the same thing, until I went to check images in the search engine and found images from Google Maps that were more accurate, so I asked it to get this map, but the AI was not able to access it... It asked me to enter the coordinates and find it myself.
-
@ 18905d0a:0b229b08
2025-06-13 16:44:05
I’m getting error messages when trying that. I also tried sending to another lightning wallet and I’m getting token already spent messages. I tried sending to Zeuspay wallet by generating an invoice and I get the same error
-
@ 55b8d3b2:8ac5c0ec
2025-06-13 16:56:12
未来三十年中国经济与政治的推理与展望
在未来三十年（2025-2055），中国将经历一场深刻而复杂的经济社会转型。其经济增长模式将从高速、粗放型向中低速、高质量型转变，而政治格局将在维持中国共产党领导核心地位的同时，面临内部治理和外部环境的严峻挑战。本预测将结合现有数据和趋势，对中国未来三十年的经济与政治走向进行系统性推理。
经济展望：告别高增长时代，迈向高质量发展
未来三十年，中国经济的总体趋势是增速放缓，结构优化。预计到2035年，中国有望基本实现社会主义现代化，人均GDP达到中等发达国家水平。然而，此后的二十年，经济增长将面临更大的下行压力。
主要经济驱动力与挑战：
* 人口结构变化：这是未来三十年中国经济最核心的制约因素。劳动年龄人口持续萎缩，人口老龄化程度不断加深，将导致劳动力成本上升，储蓄率下降，并给社会保障体系带来巨大压力。预计到2050年左右，中国65岁及以上人口比例可能接近30%，这将深刻影响消费结构和社会活力。
* 技术创新与产业升级：为应对人口结构的挑战，中国将大力推动以人工智能、生物技术、新能源和新材料为核心的科技创新。政府将持续加大对高科技产业的投入，力图在部分关键领域实现“科技自立自强”。然而，能否将科技突破有效转化为普遍的生产力增长，并克服美国的科技围堵，将是决定其经济前景的关键。
* 房地产市场的长期调整：过去支撑中国经济高速增长的房地产行业将进入长期的下行调整周期。这将对地方政府财政、金融体系稳定以及民众财富构成持续性挑战。政府将致力于构建房地产发展新模式，但其过程将是痛苦且漫长的。
* 内需与消费转型：随着投资和出口引擎的减弱，扩大内需、促进消费将成为经济增长的主要动力。然而，居民收入增长放缓、社会保障体系不完善以及消费信心不足等问题，将制约消费的持续扩张。未来消费将更趋向于服务型、健康型和体验型。
* 绿色与可持续发展：能源结构转型和环境保护将是中国未来三十年发展的重中之重。在“双碳”目标（2030年碳达峰，2060年碳中和）的指引下，中国将大力发展可再生能源，但这需要巨大的投资和技术突破，并可能在短期内增加经济运行成本。
经济增长率预测：
综合来看，未来三十年中国的GDP年均增长率将呈现阶梯式下降趋势。
* 2025-2035年：预计年均增长率在4%-5%之间。
* 2036-2045年：预计年均增长率将降至3%-4%左右。
* 2046-2055年：年均增长率可能进一步放缓至2%-3%。
政治走向：强化集中统一领导，应对内外双重压力
未来三十年，中国政治的核心议程仍将是维护中国共产党的长期执政地位和国家稳定。政治体制改革出现根本性突破的可能性极小，现有的一党执政、高度集权的模式将被延续并强化。
主要政治趋势与挑战：
* 党的领导的全面加强：中共将继续强化其在国家政治、经济、社会等各个领域的领导地位，强调“党政军民学，东西南北中，党是领导一切的”。意识形态的管控将持续收紧，以应对国内外各种挑战。
* 国家治理能力的现代化：政府将更加倚重技术手段，特别是大数据和人工智能，来提升社会治理能力。社会信用体系将进一步完善，并应用于社会管理的方方面面，这将有效提升治理效率，但同时也引发了对个人隐私和自由的担忧。
* 社会稳定面临新挑战：经济增速放缓可能引发一系列社会问题，如就业压力增大、社会阶层固化、贫富差距拉大等。人口老龄化带来的养老和医疗问题，以及民众权利意识的提升，都可能成为社会不稳定的潜在因素。政府将面临在维持稳定和满足民众日益增长的多元化需求之间的艰难平衡。
* 中美关系的长期竞争：未来三十年，中美关系将持续处于战略竞争状态。这种竞争将是全方位、多领域的，涵盖经贸、科技、军事、地缘政治和意识形态。这将是中国外部环境中最主要、最严峻的挑战，深刻影响其国内政策和发展路径。
* 军事现代化与地缘政治：中国将继续推进军队现代化建设，目标是在本世纪中叶建成世界一流军队。在台湾问题上，中国将保持高压态势，不排除在特定条件下采取非和平手段的可能性。同时，“一带一路”倡议将继续作为中国扩大全球影响力的重要战略，但也将面临更多的地缘政治阻力和债务风险。
政治情景展望：
* 基准情景：在中共的强力主导下，中国在未来三十年基本保持政治稳定，社会在可控范围内运行。经济和社会问题通过强有力的国家干预和技术治理得到部分缓解，但社会活力和创新能力可能受到一定程度的压制。
* 挑战情景：如果经济持续下行，社会矛盾激化，叠加外部环境的急剧恶化，可能会对中共的执政构成严峻挑战。虽然短期内发生剧烈政治动荡的可能性不大，但社会内部的紧张情绪和对未来的不确定性将显著上升。
结论
总体而言，未来三十年的中国将是一个机遇与挑战并存，动力与阻力交织的复杂体。经济上，它将努力从一个追求速度的“巨人”转变为一个注重质量的“强者”，但必须克服人口、债务和外部打压等多重障碍。政治上，它将致力于构建一个更加稳定和高效的治理体系，以应对内外压力，但这可能以牺牲部分社会自由和活力为代价。
中国未来三十年的发展轨迹并非一成不变，其最终走向将在很大程度上取决于其领导层能否有效应对上述挑战，以及能否在维持稳定与促进发展之间找到一个可持续的平衡点。对于世界而言，一个体量庞大但增速放缓、政治上更趋内向和强硬的中国，无疑将带来全新的地缘政治和经济格局。
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